Podcasts about global rates

WAR! (or is it?) Tesla Robotaxi Update Japan's rice problem Drink up! New guidelines coming... PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter    Warm-Up - WAR! (or is it?) - Tesla Robotaxi Update - Japan's rice problem - Drink up! New guidelines coming... Markets - Not phased by Iranian attack - (well planned attack for markets - timing, newsflow and narrative of "successful mission") - A ceasefire now - quick wars! - P/E forward nearing 22 - Leading indicators - dropping - VERY Resilient overall - dips are for buying - NASDAQ 100 closing in on all-time highs - triple top Dropping the F Bomb - 7am CNBC - " Two counties that have been that have been fighting so long and so hard that they do not know what the "F***ck" they are doing" Oil - Drops from high of $78 to $66 - Iran bombing news spikes the price on Sunday night - and then....free fall.... Tesla - Everyone is a flutter about the RoboTaxi test in Austin - Stock moved up 10% on the news Monday -- Everyone knows it is a long haul - but the hope and the promise is something that investors live on - Tesla Robotaxis spotted speeding, making improper turns on first day of service, according to Bloomberg HAMMER - Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, alongside Chairman of the Joint Chiefs General Dan Caine, in a news conference Sunday, reviewed operational details of Saturday's “Operation Midnight Hammer,” the well-concealed strikes against nuclear development facilities in Iran that both men called an “incredible and overwhelming success.” - “We have completed our very successful attack on the three Nuclear sites in Iran, including Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan,” President Donald Trump said Saturday. - Bunker Buster Bombs - lots of them - Was it a success? -- Monday: Iran coordinated the attacks on U.S. base in Qatar and gave officials advance warning to minimize casualties Interesting - Online job listing company CareerBuilder + Monster filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on Tuesday. Leading Indicators - A measure of future U.S. economic activity fell in May for the sixth straight month and triggered a recession signal, held down by consumer pessimism, weak new orders for manufactured goods, an uptick in jobless benefits claims and a drop in building permit applications. - The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index fell by 0.1% to 99.0 last month after a downwardly revised 1.4% drop in April, which was the largest decline in the index since the spring of 2020 at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. The decline matched the consensus expectation among economists polled by Reuters. - "With the substantial negatively revised drop in April and the further downtick in May, the six-month growth rate of the Index has become more negative, triggering the recession signal," she said. "The Conference Board does not anticipate recession, but we do expect a significant slowdown in economic growth in 2025 compared to 2024, with real GDP growing at 1.6% this year and persistent tariff effects potentially leading to further deceleration in 2026." Global Rates and Central Banks - Update World Rates Japan's Rice Problem - Rice prices in Japan more than doubled in May, spiking 101.7% year over year and marking their largest increase in over half a century. - The huge spike follows a 98.4% increase in April, and a rise of 92.1% year over year in March. - Japan's rice prices have been in the spotlight in recent times, with the government releasing emergency stockpiles to moderate the price of the country's staple food. - The surge in rice prices comes as Japan's core inflation rate climbed to 3.7% in May, marking its highest level since January 2023.

In this podcast, Francis Diamond, Khagendra Gupta and Frida Infante discuss the Norges Bank, Riskbank and BoE meetings this week and implications for European rate markets.   Speakers: Francis Diamond, Head of European Rates Strategy Khagendra Gupta, European Rates Strategy Frida Infante, European Rates Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 20 June 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5009094-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5012102-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5012114-0, for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Rates strategists Francis Diamond and Phoebe White discuss their latest views on global inflation markets. Breakevens in DM inflation markets have been modestly lower over the past month, as inflation has softened. Looking ahead to 2H25, we expect diverging trends between US and Euro area inflation, driving an outperformance in US inflation markets, particularly at the front end.   Speakers:  Francis Diamond, Head of European Rate Strategy Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy   This podcast was recorded on June 18, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

In this podcast Francis Diamond and Khagendra Gupta broadly outline their thoughts on Euro area and UK rates markets over the second half of this year, touching on yields, curves, swap spreads and volatility. This podcast was recorded on 13 June 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5004085-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

In this podcast, Francis Diamond, Khagendra Gupta and Matteo Mamprin discuss a range of different European rate market topics covering the recent ECB meeting, thoughts around cross-currency basis and an update on €-SSA markets.   This podcast was recorded on 06 June 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related reports at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5002257-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4999113-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4999331-0.pdf for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

In this podcast Francis Diamond and Khagendra Gupta discuss their thoughts on Euro area rate markets ahead of the June ECB meeting and also discuss thoughts on the long end of EUR and GBP curves.   Speakers: Francis Diamond, Head of European Rates Strategy Khagendra Gupta, European Rates Strategist   This podcast was recorded on 30 May 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4998044-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

In this podcast Khagendra Gupta and Frida Infante discuss recent developments in Scandinavian interest rate markets and important drivers looking ahead.   Speakers Khagendra Gupta, European Rates Strategist Frida Infante, Rates Strategy    This podcast was recorded on 23 May 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4991719-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

JPM Strategists Meera Chandan and Jay Barry discuss rising term premium across DM government bond markets, the passage of the House tax bill, rising tariff risks, and what this means for rates and FX markets.   Speakers:  Meera Chandan, Global FX Strategy Jay Barry, Head of Global Rates Strategy   This podcast was recorded on May 23, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4989466-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4991726-0,  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4989711-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4989990-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4979940-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Speakers:  Khagendra Gupta, European Rates Strategist Ipek Ozil, US Rates Strategy   In this podcast Khagendra Gupta and Ipek Ozil discuss the drivers of US and Eurex futures roll and their outlook for Jun25/Sep25 bond futures rollover.   This podcast was recorded on 19 May 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related reports at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4971531-0 and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4984252-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss a variety of topics covering thoughts around the impact of de-dollarisation on Euro govie and swap markets, the May BoE meeting and UK rates as well as the Riksbank and Norges Bank meetings this week.     Speakers Francis Diamond, Head of European Rates Strategy Aditya Chordia, European Rates Strategist Khagendra Gupta, European Rates Strategist     This podcast was recorded on 09 May 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4981304-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4980024-0 & https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4980028-0, for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

In this podcast, Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss their the reaction of European rates markets to the tariff announcement this week. This podcast was recorded on 04 April 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4949749-0 , https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4946392-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss their latest thoughts on European rate markets, focusing on Euro rates markets into the 2 April tariff announcement, thoughts on SSAs and issuance, Scandi rates following recent CB meetings and UK rates in light of this week's Spring Statement.   This podcast was recorded on March 28, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4942101-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4946392-0.pdf for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Rates strategists Francis Diamond and Phoebe White discuss their latest views on global inflation markets. The past few weeks have seen divergent performances in DM inflation breakevens with HICP swaps across the curve rising following the German fiscal announcement whilst other DM breakevens fell. Outside the HICP space, front-end breakevens appear cheap on a valuation basis.   Speakers Francis Diamond, Head of European Rate Strategy Phoebe White, Head of Inflation Strategy   This podcast was recorded on March 21, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4922930-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss their latest thoughts on European rate markets given the seismic shift in German fiscal policy and the repricing in European rates markets against a backdrop of ongoing tariff uncertainty.   Speakers Francis Diamond, Head of European Rates Strategy Aditya Chordia, European Rates Strategist Khagendra Gupta, European Rates Strategist   This podcast was recorded on March 14, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4935267-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

In this podcast Francis Diamond, Ravi Balakrishnan, Nicolaie Alexandru-Chidesciuc and Aditya Chordia discuss frequently asked client questions on increasing spending needs for defence and Ukraine reconstruction, European policy response options, various funding options on table, and the impact on sovereign issuance and markets. This podcast was recorded on 20 February 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4915753-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

In this podcast Francis Diamond and Khagendra Gupta discuss the main drivers European cross currency basis and their latest thoughts on the cross currency basis market. This podcast was recorded on 24 January 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4889166-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Luis Oganes, head of Global Macro research at J.P. Morgan, discusses the outlook for government bond issuance in 2025 with strategists Jay Barry and Aditya Chordia. The team discusses how ongoing central bank QT amplifies issuance trends, and wide budget deficits suggest term premium should remain elevated in the US and UK, while these trends should be less impactful for Euro-area and Japanese yields.   Speakers: Luis Oganes, Head of Global Macro Research Jay Barry, Head of Global Rates Strategy Aditya Chordia, European Rates Strategy     This podcast was recorded on 17 January 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4887257-0, for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

In this podcast, Francis Diamond and Aditya Chordia discuss their latest thoughts on European rate markets given the increase in yields seen since the start of this year. This podcast was recorded on 08 January 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related reports at: https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4880271-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4879160-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4879138-0.pdf © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

J.P. Morgan's Francis Diamond and Jay Barry discuss the varied outcomes of this week's BoE and Fed meetings, and their implications for DM rates markets over the near term. Speakers: Jay Barry, Fixed Income Strategy Francis Diamond, Rates Strategy This podcast was recorded on 20 December 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4872382-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4871565-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4870758-0, for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss the outlook for European rates markets over 2025. This podcast was recorded on 26 November 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4849003-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss their thoughts on European rate markets following a busy week of events with the US election, Riksbank, Norges Bank and BoE meetings and the collapse of the German coalition government. Speakers: Francis Diamond, Rates Strategy Aditya Chordia, Rates Strategy Khagendra Gupta, Rates Strategy This podcast was recorded on 8 November 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4836095-0,  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss their thoughts on the upcoming ECB meeting, funding dynamics and swap spreads as the UK budget at the end of this month. This podcast was recorded on 14 October 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4817582-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

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Elisabetta Ferrara and Aditya Chordia discuss their views on the evolution of demand for Euro area government bonds, based on the analysis in their recently published update on Euro area government bonds demand.   This podcast was recorded on10 September 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4787964-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Spreadbites is a new monthly podcast and video series where we discuss key trends in credit markets. Stephen Dulake, Global Head of Spreads Product Research, and Samantha Azzarello, Head of Content Strategy, are joined by Eric Beinstein, Head of U.S. High Grade Credit Research and Strategy and Amy Sze who heads ABS Research to unpack the latest themes in global credit markets.   Speakers: Stephen Dulake, Global Head of Spreads Product Research Samantha Azzarello, Head of Content Strategy Eric Beinstein, Head of U.S. High Grade Credit Research Amy Sze, Head of ABS Research   This podcast was recorded on July 23rd, 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related reports at: https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4744651-0; https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4751803-0; https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4720096-0, for more information please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

Strategists Francis Diamond, Raphael Brun-Aguerre and Aditya Chordia discuss the first round of voting in the French elections, implications for the outcome after the second round and the recent reaction in French spreads and broader European fixed income markets. They also touch briefly on the upcoming UK general election.   This podcast was recorded on 02 July 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4736223-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4736551-0 and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4732647-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Srini Ramaswamy and Ipek Ozil discuss the latest themes in US interest rate derivatives markets.   Speakers:  Srini Ramaswamy, Managing Director and Co-Head of US Rates Strategy  Ipek Ozil, Executive Director, U.S. Fixed Income Derivatives Research This podcast was recorded on June 17, 2024.  This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at: https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4722179-0. For more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.  

Rates strategists Francis Diamond and Aditya Chordia discuss some current key themes and topics for European rate markets. French politics is the focus for Euro rate markets and with the situation fluid they discuss what has changed over the past few days and how that impacts on view on French spread and other intra-EMU spreads. They also touch on UK political developments this past week and the June BoE meeting. Speakers: Francis Diamond, UK Rates & European Inflation Strategy Aditya Chordia, Rates Strategy This podcast was recorded on 14 June 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4723970-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Rates strategists Francis Diamond, Fabio Bassi and Aditya Chordia discuss some current key themes and topics for European rate markets. They cover the upcoming May ECB meeting, valuations in swap and bond space views on swap spreads, the upcoming French ratings review and the relevance of European Parliamentary and the UK general election for rate markets.    This podcast was recorded on 31 May 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4713356-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

In this episode, Rates strategists Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss some current key themes and topics for Euro area rate markets. They cover the upcoming April ECB meeting, the recent fiscal announcements and noise in France and Italy, views on swap spreads, drivers of Euro volatility and the impact of rising oil prices on inflation markets.   Speakers Francis Diamond, UK Rates & European Inflation Strategy  Aditya Chordia, Rates Strategy  Khagendra Gupta, Rates Strategy    This podcast was recorded on 5 April 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4666360-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

Morten Lund, Khagendra Gupta and James Nelligan preview the upcoming Norges and Riksbank meetings and discuss our views in the FX and Rates market. This podcast was recorded on 20 March 2024. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

In this episode, Fabio Bassi, Francis Diamond and Aditya Chordia discuss thoughts on the recent flash HICP inflation print, the upcoming ECB meeting and the UK Spring budget and the implications for both Euro and UK rates markets. They also discuss thoughts around the expected outcome of the ECBs review of its operational framework.   This podcast was recorded on 1 March 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4642541-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

Elisabetta Ferrara and Aditya Chordia discuss their views on the evolution of demand for Euro area government bonds, based on the analysis published in our Global government bond activity chart pack.   This podcast was recorded on 28 February 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4635297-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Francis Diamond and Allan Monks discuss the upcoming February BoE meeting and views on UK rate markets. The BoE is widely expected to leave rates, but given the clear shift in inflation surprises and perceived risks since November, we believe the Bank will almost certainly make a dovish pivot that puts future easing higher up on the agenda than before. August is our current call, although its hard to argue too strongly against June. The BoE will not shut the door on a potential May cut, but we think it will also not want to encourage expectations for an easing that early. We keep a bullish duration view at the front end of the UK curve via longs in 1Yx1Y SONIA and money market curve flatteners. This podcast was recorded on 26 January 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4614062-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2024 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

In this episode, Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss thoughts on the upcoming ECB meeting and current views on Euro area rate markets, intra-EMU spreads, swap spreads and Euro volatility. This podcast was recorded on 19 January 2024. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4607876-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Nick Kunze Sanlam Private Wealth on a roller coaster of a year with some big losers but also decent winners on the local exchange Nerina Visser director ETFsa reviewing a huge year in local ETFs, the rise of AMCs and the 10X buyout of CoreShares

Fabio Bassi, Francis Diamond, Khagendra Gupta and Aditya Chordia discuss the 2024 Rates Outlook.   This podcast was recorded on 21 November 2023. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4562369-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.  

BIO: Harley Bassman is an industry thought leader and commentator on macroeconomic issues spanning decades.STORY: In 2019, Harley bought some calls and sold some puts on Citibank stock for a cost strategy. He believed the stocks would increase because all its peers were trading above their book value. When COVID came, the stocks went south, causing Harley to make his biggest loss ever.LEARNING: When something trades well below what you think its value is, consider why that's the case. Size the investment. “Forget timing; size the investment. Pick the size such that you'll make enough if you're right, you'll make money enough, and if you're wrong, you won't get wiped out.”Harley Bassman Guest profileHarley Bassman is an industry thought leader and commentator on macroeconomic issues spanning decades. He spent 26 years at Merrill Lynch. From 2014 to 2017, Harley was an Executive VP and Portfolio Manager at PIMCO. In 2011, he joined Credit Suisse's Global Rates. In 2006, he built the RateLab, a full spectrum US Rates Trading Desk Strategy Group.Presently, Harley is a Managing Partner at Simplify Asset Management. He continues to pen an episodic macroeconomic Commentary as well as manage a “hedge fund of one.”Harley has a B.A. in management science from the University of California, San Diego, and an MBA in finance and marketing from the University of Chicago.Worst investment everIn 2019, Harley bought some calls and sold some puts on Citibank stock for a cost strategy. He believed the stocks would increase because all its peers were trading above their book value. Harley put more into this trade than he logically should have. He was hung up on the value construct and wasn't thinking about why the stock traded under tangible.When COVID came, the stocks went south, causing Harley to make his biggest loss ever.Lessons learnedWhen something trades well below what you think its value is, consider why that's the case.Size the investment. When you make an investment, invest enough so that your gain can be worthwhile.Sizing is more critical than entry-level.Andrew's takeawaysBe very careful when investing in banks because if their equity gets hit, the value of their assets could fall.Actionable adviceDon't fall into a value trap. Be careful of single names because there's always a lottery effect that you can never predict.Harley's recommendationsHarley recommends reciting his Maven mantra: Number one, it's always about character. Number two, it's never different this time. And number three, you're born, you live, and then you die. Prioritize your life.No.1 goal for the next 12 monthsHarley's number one goal for the next 12 months is to focus and spend more time with his family.Parting words “Just be careful and stay safe.”Harley Bassman [spp-transcript] Connect with Harley BassmanLinkedInTwitterBlog

Fabio Bassi, Francis Diamond and Aditya Chordia discuss their published views on the ECB and BoE meetings scheduled for next week and their potential market impacts.   This podcast was recorded on 20 October 2023 This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4536377-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures  for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

Elisabetta Ferrara and Aditya Chordia discuss their recently published Global government bond activity chart pack outlining our latest views on the evolution of demand for Euro area government bonds.   This podcast was recorded on September 27, 2023. This communication is provided for information purposes only.  Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4515185-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

Francis Diamond and Frida Infante discuss their recently published Monthly Inflation Outlook outlining our latest views on European and UK inflation.   This podcast was recorded on 22 September 2023. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4484727-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

Fabio Bassi and Francis Diamond discuss views on the BoE meeting and potential market impacts as well as any read across to European markets from the Fed and BoJ next week.   This podcast was recorded on 15 September 2023. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4514473-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

Khagendra Gupta and Matteo Mamprin discuss their recently published Scandinavia Monthly Interest Rate Outlook outlining their views on the Swedish and Norwegian Interest Rates markets.   This podcast was recorded on 12 September 2023. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4506279-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

Francis Diamond and Aditya Chordia discuss thoughts on the upcoming ECB meeting in September and potential implications for Euro area rate markets and intra-EMU spreads.   This podcast was recorded on 08 September 2023. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at http://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4509538-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

Aditya Chordia and Francis Diamond discuss the latest themes and recommendations in Global SSA markets.   This podcast was recorded on 31 August 2023. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4502123-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

Khagendra Gupta and Matteo Mamprin discuss the recent dynamics of the upcoming September 2023/December 2023 Eurex futures roll cycle.   This podcast was recorded on 30 August 2023. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4487200-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

2H23 will deliver a continuation of the tightening journey for most of DM central banks, at least over the summer, although differentiation across jurisdictions will emerge as we approach the end of the cycle.   This podcast was recorded on 23 June 2023. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4445501-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

Austin Campbell is the managing partner of Zero Knowledge Consulting, an adjunct professor at Columbia Business School, and used to work at Paxos in both Portfolio Management and Chief Risk Officer. He also was Co-Head of Digital Assets in Global Rates at CitiBank at JP Morgan for a decade.  Austin knows a thing or two about the TradWorld and we brought him on to help us navigate all of the TradNews that has surfaced in the last two weeks around the crypto space.  ------

Is inflation pulling back or blowing up into a worldwide financial disaster? The latest CPI report shows that U.S. inflation has come down substantially, but just a week before that, the Fed hiked short-term interest rates by three-quarters of a percent in its battle against high prices. The CPI report is now changing what some economists believe the Fed will or should do next. But inflation is also a worldwide problem and some doom and gloom economists are worried about the possibility of “global hyperinflation.” Let's take a look at a hedge fund warning and how real estate can protect you from this kind of uncertainty.Hi, I'm Kathy Fettke and this is Real Estate News for Investors. If you like our podcast, please subscribe and leave us a review. First, the October CPI shows a lower-than-expected .4% increase in consumer prices. That brings the annual rate down from 8.2% in September to 7.7% in October. (1) It's still too high but as economist Andrew Hunter at Capital Economics said in a CNBC report: “At least it's a move in the right direction.” The report triggered a huge stock market rally right after that report, with the Dow closing up more than 1,000 points. There's also a lot of talk about how inflation is much lower than it appears, because the inflation reports use lagging data.After the CPI report, Wharton Professor Jeremy Siegel told CNBC that “inflation is basically over” and the Fed is getting it wrong because it's not using up-to-date information, including data on the housing market. (2) He says there's already a decline in both home and rent prices and believes the Fed isn't taking that into consideration. When asked when the Fed should have stopped implementing aggressive rate hikes, Siegel says like “yesterday.”He says the Fed still has time to take its foot off the brake at the December meeting. Any decisions at that meeting will also be influenced by the “next” CPI report for November, which will be released just ahead of that meeting.Is the World on the Verge of Hyperinflation?Meantime, one of the world's largest hedge funds recently sent letters to clients, warning them that the world could be on the verge of hyperinflation. That's when the value of your money disappears rapidly and the cost of goods changes so quickly that stores want you to ask for the price. As reported by the Financial Times, the Florida-based Ellio Fund says we are in an “extremely challenging” situation and possibly the worst since World War II. Ellio was founded by billionaire Paul Singer and manages more than $50 billion in assets. (3)In the letter it sent to clients, the firm said that “investors should not assume they have seen everything” because they have experienced other financial crises, like the dotcom bust or the 2008 financial crisis. It says that today's situation is the culmination of an extreme set of financial scenarios at the end of a long period of cheap money, and that hyperinflation is a very real possibility that could cause a “global societal collapse and civil or international strife.” There's no guarantee this will happen, but the hedge fund says that we are currently headed in that direction. Elliot suggests that the stock markets will fall further, possibly as much as 50% from their peak. According to the Financial Times, the hedge fund is currently up 6.4% this year, and has only lost money in two calendar years since its launch in 1977. Fund managers named a few of the bigger financial risks it sees in the road ahead. They include potential bank losses on bridge financing, potential markdowns on collateralized loan obligations, and losses from leveraged private equity. Global Rates of InflationSo how does U.S. inflation compare to other countries?The Consumer Price Index topped 9% in June, which is the highest it's been in 40 years, but it has fallen slightly since then, to 8.5% in July and 8.2% in September. For comparison, let's take a look at a list of countries and their rates of inflation on the Trading Economics website. (4) The September/October reading on inflation ranges from -2.5% in South Sudan to 269% in Zimbabwe. Only three countries have a negative reading, and most countries are in the single to lower double digits, but we already know that it doesn't take much of an increase to cause a lot of financial pain.In the U.S., inflation has subsided a bit from 9.1% in June to 8.2% in September. Our neighbor to the north, in Canada, the inflation rate is 6.9%. To the south, in Mexico, the inflation rate is 8.7%. The United Kingdom is battling an inflation rate of 10.1%, and in Italy, it's 11.9%. France and Spain are lower at 6.2% and 7.3% respectively. Russian inflation is quite high at 13.7%. But there are many countries experiencing an inflation rate of 20% or higher, and even some with triple digit inflation. In August inflation hit 117% in Sudan and 139% in Syria. Last month, in October, Venezuela had an inflation rate of 156%. Lebanon is up to around 162% and then there's Zimbabwe, which I previously mentioned with a rate of 269%.Definition of “Hyperinflation”Those are annual rates of inflation, so none of them meet the definition of “hyperinflation.” According to USNews.com, hyperinflation is “a phenomenon in which the prices of goods and services in an economy rise uncontrollably in a short period.” It is “typically considered hyperinflation if prices rise by 50% or more in a month, which is an annualized inflation rate of at least 14,000%.” (5)Not all financial experts agree with the idea that hyperinflation will cause havoc around the world. The International Monetary Fund's Managing Director, Kristalina Georgieva, believes that U.S. inflation is reaching its peak, which sounds very dovish. She told Bloomberg: “I'm not going to jump ahead of data, but it is very possible that we are peaking.” She says: “We now see central banks very united on fighting inflation as a top priority and rightly so.” (6)Protect Yourself with Real EstateBut the future is not certain, and it's wise to protect the value of your assets, even if worldwide hyperinflation doesn't manifest. I believe we can protect ourselves with income producing residential real estate because people will always need a place to live, and there's a huge shortage of homes in the U.S. Even if your portfolio values dip, the assets will not fade into nothing, the way currency can during periods of hyperinflation. It's something you can count on and history shows that property values typically recover and appreciate.It does cost more to buy property with a loan right now, but even at 7%, it's much lower than it has been historically. According to an article in Mynd, 7% still qualifies as a low rate. Back in October of 1981, the interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate loan spiked to almost 19%. (7)Mynd Vice President Dennis Bron supports the idea of real estate as a hedge against inflation. He says: “Even in this crazy environment, property is still a relatively safe investment.” In this article, he refers to single-family rental homes which produce rental income along with tax write-offs for expenses and depreciation. Although some housing markets are seeing a home price correction, housing experts don't expect a dramatic downturn because housing demand is so strong.Mynd's Senior Vice President of Investment Management, Don Gangula, says: “Rental housing demand is going to continue. Some percentage of people are going to work out of their houses for some period of time. A lot of these people may not want to buy, so you are going to have a spillover from the apartment rental cohort who are looking for a home in the rental market.” While it might be harder to find good investment opportunities, many experts believe they are there, if you look for them.You'll find links to the articles I mentioned in the show notes for this episode. You can also find out more about how to find investment opportunities by joining RealWealth at newsforinvestors.com. Just click on the Join for Free link for complete access to our market data, our experienced investment counselors, and our curated list of real estate professionals.And please remember to subscribe to this podcast if you haven't already, and leave us a review!Thanks for listening. I'm Kathy Fettke.Links:1 -https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/10/heres-the-inflation-breakdown-for-october-2022-in-one-chart.html2 -https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/jeremy-siegel-stock-market-rally-fed-cpi-inflation-basically-over-2022-113 -https://www.ft.com/content/f3bb0f96-1816-4481-8318-4f7583326a4a4 -https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/inflation-rate5 -https://money.usnews.com/investing/term/hyperinflation#:~:text=Cons%20of%20Hyperinflation-,What%20Is%20Hyperinflation%3F,rate%20of%20at%20least%2014%2C000%25.6 -https://finance.yahoo.com/news/global-inflation-may-nearing-peak-090322699.html7 -https://www.mynd.co/knowledge-center/what-happens-to-real-estate-during-inflation

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