Podcasts about global rates

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  • 172EPISODES
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  • Jun 12, 2026LATEST

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Best podcasts about global rates

Latest podcast episodes about global rates

At Any Rate
Global Rates: European Rate Markets – looking ahead over 2H26

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 12, 2026 17:57


In this podcast Francis Diamond, Khagendra Gupta and Aditya Chordia discuss European rate market views for the second half of this year.   This podcast was recorded on 12 June 2026. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5329365-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures  for important disclosures. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: ECB, cross-market views and UK politics update

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 5, 2026 9:42


In this podcast Francis Diamond, Khagendra Gupta and Aditya Chordia discuss the upcoming ECB meeting and implications for Euro area rate markets, cross-market themes and provide an update on UK politics and the gilt market.   This podcast was recorded on 05 June 2026. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5321668-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party.

FICC Focus
Macro Matters: Morgan Stanley's Hornbach on Oil and Global Rates

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2026 26:14


Oil prices have become the key driver of global rates markets as conflict in the Middle East reshapes inflation expectations and policy outlooks. Matt Hornbach, Morgan Stanley's global head of macro strategy, joins Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence chief US interest-rate strategist, on this Macro Matters edition of the FICC Focus podcast. Hornbach explains why energy prices have been the dominant force behind moves in US and global bond markets, why longer-term inflation expectations have remained relatively contained and how the Federal Reserve under Kevin Warsh may react differently to oil at $80 vs. $110 a barrel. The two also discuss whether investors are too confident that crude prices will remain structurally elevated even after the Strait of Hormuz reopens, and what that could mean for Treasury yields and broader asset markets. They also examine spillover from Japan's bond market, the risks around the Bank of Japan and dollar-yen and why upcoming trade negotiations involving the US, Mexico and Canada could become another important source of volatility for global fixed income.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Energy priced and UK politics drive Bunds and Gilt yields higher

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2026 11:10


In this podcast Francis Diamond and Aditya Chordia discuss Euro area and UK rate markets given the moves in oil prices and this week's political events in the UK.   This podcast was recorded on 15 May 2026. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5298094-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Analyzing Eurex and US futures roll and cross currency bases

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2026 12:45


In this podcast Khagendra Gupta and Ipek Ozil discuss the drivers of US and Eurex futures roll and their outlook for Jun26/Sep26 bond futures rollover. They also discuss their outlook for the cross currency bases through the remainder of the year.   Speakers Ipek Ozil, Head, U.S. Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy Khagendra Gupta, Head, European Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy   This podcast was recorded on May 15, 2026. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5291182-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5298292-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5290684-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates – And now my fears, they come to me in threes

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2026 19:40


J.P. Morgan Strategists discuss the impact to the April employment report on FX and rates markets and delve into Treasury's May refunding announcement.   Speakers:  Jay Barry, Head of Global Rates Strategy Meera Chandan, Co-Head of Global FX Strategy   This podcast was recorded on May 8, 2026.   This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5294404-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5292375-0, and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5290421-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party.

Supply Chain Secrets
The Crisis That Isn't Moving Global Rates

Supply Chain Secrets

Play Episode Listen Later May 4, 2026 29:46


The Strait of Hormuz has been closed for two months, yet TransPacific and Asia-Europe freight rates are barely moving compared to the disruptions of 2024-2025. This week, Lars and Caroline put the Hormuz crisis in proper context and cover the other headlines reshaping ocean freight.In this episode, Lars Jensen and Caroline Weaver cover:Why Pacific and Asia-Europe spot rates are rising on seasonality, not the Hormuz crisis, and what the futures market is signaling for peak seasonLive updates from the Strait of Hormuz: vessel escorts, Iranian attacks, and why seafarers face higher risk inside a military convoy than outside oneHow Khor Fakkan scaled from 100 to 6,000 trucks per day to route cargo around a closed straitChina's new blocking statutes, the EU analog that already exists, and why compliance is now a lose-lose for many companiesThe MEPC decision expanding ECA coverage to the Northeast Atlantic and the net zero framework clinging to life support ahead of November

moving crisis european union iranians strait hormuz eca transpacific asia europe lars jensen global rates caroline weaver
At Any Rate
Global Rates: Central banks likely to wait-and-see against a backdrop of ongoing Middle-East uncertainty

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 24, 2026 20:55


In this podcast Francis Diamond, Jay Barry and Khagendra upcoming central bank meetings and US, Euro area and UK rate markets against the backdrop of the ongoing Middle-East conflict.   This podcast was recorded on 24 April 2026. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5270887-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party.

WTFinance
Troops on the Ground in Iran as Escalation Inevitable? with David Woo

WTFinance

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 27, 2026 34:11


Interview recorded - 27th of March, 2026On this episode of the WTFinance podcast I have the pleasure of welcoming back David Woo. David is a top global macro strategist who challenges consensus, such as calling Trump's 2016 election, the post-Covid rebound, and major macro inflection points before they happened. He is also the founder of David Woo Unbound and co-author of the upcoming book “Merry-Go-Round Broke Down” a geopolitical novel.During our conversation we spoke about the current conflict in the middle east, the first proxy war between the US & China, whether we could see boots on the ground, what this means for the economy and markets around the globe and more. I hope you enjoy!0:00 - Introduction1:44 - Current situation in the Middle East?3:14- Escalation to the gulf8:09 - Russia/Ukraine proxy war?10:57 - China's options12:54 - Trying to TACO14:39 - Energy & Desalination bombing?18:36 - Political capital?21:20 - America first to global agenda22:42 - How would China react?23:40 - China losing energy security25:25 - Impact on US economy and markets?30:07 - US Hegemony to continue32:04 - One message to takeaway?David Woo is the Founder/CEO of David Woo Unbound, a new global forum devoted to promoting fact-based debates about markets, politics and economics.Until 2021, David was the Head of Global Rates, Foreign Exchange, and Emerging Market Fixed Income Strategy & Economic Research at Bank of America, where he managed the top ranked global macro strategy team on Wall Street. Previously, David was the Head of Global Currency Strategy at Barclays Capital and the Head of Local Markets Strategy for Central and Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa at Citigroup.David is known on Wall Street for his bold and out-of-consensus calls that includes the RMB devaluation in 2015 and Trump's victory in 2016. He was also the first Wall Street analyst to initiate coverage on Bitcoin in 2013. Business Insider voted David as one of the 12 smartest people on Wall Street in 2016 and Bloomberg calls him one of the “most outspoken voice on Wall Street."David started his career at the International Monetary Fund in Washington D.C.. He received his Ph.D in Economics from Columbia University.David Woo - Book - https://www.amazon.com/Merry-Go-Round-Broke-Down-Novel-Globalization/dp/B0GCX8Y6KT/Website - https://www.davidwoounbound.com/YouTube - @DavidWooUnbound Twitter - https://twitter.com/DavidwoounboundWTFinance - Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes -https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthony-fatseas-761066103/Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Global DM Swap Spread Outlook

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 20, 2026 19:27


In this podcast Khagendra Gupta, Ipek Ozil, Francis Diamond, Takafumi Yamawaki, and Ben Jarman discuss the main drivers of DM swap spreads.   This podcast was recorded on 20 March 2026. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5230870-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Where next for CB and rates as the Middle-East conflict persists?

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 13, 2026 24:18


In this podcast Francis Diamond, Jay Barry and Aditya Chordia discuss the impact of the ongoing Middle-East conflict on US, Euro area and UK rate markets and upcoming central bank meetings.   This podcast was recorded on March 13, 2026. This communication is provided for information purposes only.  Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5230864-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Analysing Eurex and US futures roll

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 13, 2026 11:15


In this podcast Khagendra Gupta and Ipek Ozil discuss the drivers of US and Eurex futures roll and their outlook for Mar26/Jun26 bond futures rollover.   Speakers:  Ipek Ozil - Head of US Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy Khagendra Gupta - Head of European Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy   This podcast was recorded on February 13, 2026. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5201365-0 and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5203633-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party.  

Mackenzie Investments Bites & Insights
Canada's bond reality check and what it may signal for global rates

Mackenzie Investments Bites & Insights

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 11, 2026 22:05


Why is Mackenzie's fixed-income team more dovish than the market on Bank of Canada cuts? Host Rajan Bansi sits down with Konstantin Boehmer to unpack Canada's setup, Fed independence, and what rate paths could mean for portfolios through 2026. Tune in for client-ready talking points, and a practical way to frame diverging central banks in global portfolios.  This episode was recorded on February 9, 2026. 

Russell Investments
Global rates begin to diverge

Russell Investments

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 2, 2026 4:44


DisclosuresThese views are subject to change at any time based upon market or other conditions and are current as of the date at the top of the page.Investing involves risk and principal loss is possible.Past performance does not guarantee future performance.Forecasting represents predictions of market prices and/or volume patterns utilizing varying analytical data. It is not representative of a projection of the stock market, or of any specific investment.This material is not an offer, solicitation or recommendation to purchase any security. Nothing contained in this material is intended to constitute legal, tax, securities or investment advice, nor an opinion regarding the appropriateness of any investment, nor a solicitation of any type.The general information contained in this publication should not be acted upon without obtaining specific legal, tax and investment advice from a licensed professional.  The information, analysis and opinions expressed herein are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual entity.Please remember that all investments carry some level of risk. Although steps can be taken to help reduce risk it cannot be completely removed. They do no not typically grow at an even rate of return and may experience negative growth. As with any type of portfolio structuring, attempting to reduce risk and increase return could, at certain times, unintentionally reduce returns.Investments that are allocated across multiple types of securities may be exposed to a variety of risks based on the asset classes, investment styles, market sectors, and size of companies preferred by the investment managers. Investors should consider how the combined risks impact their total investment portfolio and understand that different risks can lead to varying financial consequences, including loss of principal. Please see a prospectus for further details.Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.Copyright © Russell Investments Group LLC 2026. All rights reserved.This material is proprietary and may not be reproduced, transferred, or distributed in any form without prior written permission from Russell Investments. It is delivered on an “as is” basis without warranty.CORP-12981Date of first use: January, 2026

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Cross currency basis 1H26 outlook

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 23, 2026 9:33


In this podcast Khagendra Gupta and Ipek Ozil discuss the drivers of €STR/SOFR cross currency base.   Speakers:  Khagendra Gupta - Head of European Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy Ipek Ozil - Head of US Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy   This podcast was recorded on January 23, 2026. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5182266-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party.  

At Any Rate
Global Rates - Monthly Inflation Outlook

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 22, 2026 11:33


Rates strategists Francis Diamond and Phoebe White discuss their recently released Monthly Inflation Outlook. The recent increase in energy prices has pushed breakevens higher but we see limited potential for a further rise in intermediate breakevens.   Speakers: Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy Francis Diamond, Head of European Rate Strategy     This podcast was recorded on Jan 22, 2026. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5077727-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: 2026 Global government issuance outlook

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 16, 2026 33:06


J.P. Morgan's Global Rates Strategy team discusses the outlook for DM government bond issuance in 2026.   Speakers Jay Barry, Head of Global Rates Strategy Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy Aditya Chordia, European Rates Strategy Khagendra Gupta, Head of European Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy Takafumi Yamawaki, Head of Japan Fixed Income Research Ben Jarman, Australia and New Zealand Chief Economist   This podcast was recorded on 16  January 2026. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5168334-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2026 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party  

Market Matters
Live from the trading floor: Views on global rates, FX, and EM

Market Matters

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2025 12:17


In this episode, Brady Leventhal, head of North America FX Sales for Hedge Funds, is joined by Matthew Franklin Lyons, head of Global Rates Trading and Fixed Income Financing, and Stephen Jeffries, head of Currencies in Emerging Markets and FX Services Trading. Together, they recap highlights from J.P. Morgan's recent 10th annual Global Macro Conference, along with key risks and opportunities for 2026 across global rates, FX and emerging markets.   This episode was recorded on December 8, 2025.   The views expressed in this podcast may not necessarily reflect the views of JPMorgan Chase & Co, and its affiliates, together J.P. Morgan, and do not constitute research or recommendation advice or an offer or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument. They are not issued by Research but are a solicitation under CFTC Rule 1.71. Referenced products and services in this podcast may not be suitable for you, and may not be available in all jurisdictions. J.P. Morgan may make markets and trade as principal in securities and other asset classes and financial products that may have been discussed. The FICC market structure publications, or to one, newsletters, mentioned in this podcast are available for J.P. Morgan clients. Please contact your J.P. Morgan sales representative should you wish to receive these. For additional disclaimers and regulatory disclosures, please visit www.jpmorgan.com/disclosures © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Company. All rights reserved.

At Any Rate
Global Rates 2026 Outlook

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 26, 2025 36:52


J.P. Morgan's global rates strategists discuss the 2026 outlook for developed markets, with discussions on rates, curves, swap spreads and volatility.   Speakers: Jay Barry, Head of Global Rates Strategy Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy Ipek Ozil, Head of US Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy Teresa Ho, Head of US Short Duration Strategy Francis Diamond, Head of European Rate Strategy Khagendra Gupta, Head of European Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy Aditya Chordia, European Rates Strategy   This podcast was recorded on November 25, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5140998-0 and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5136297-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Analyzing Eurex and US futures roll

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 18, 2025 9:00


In this podcast Khagendra Gupta and Ipek Ozil discuss the drivers of US and Eurex futures roll and their outlook for Dec25/Mar26 bond futures rollover.   Speakers:  Ipek Ozil, Head of US Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy Khagendra Gupta, Head of European Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 18 November 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5125943-0 and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5131611-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Trick or Treating with Central Banks

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 31, 2025 10:04


Ipek Ozil and Khagendra Gupta discuss the recent and upcoming central bank developments as well as their impact on derivatives markets.   Speakers:  Ipek Ozil, Head of US Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy Khagendra Gupta, Head of European Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 31 October 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5118629-0 and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5119964-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Cross currency basis 4Q25 outlook

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 10:13


In this podcast Khagendra Gupta and Ipek Ozil discuss the drivers of €STR/SOFR cross currency bases.   Speakers:  Ipek Ozil, Head of US Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy Khagendra Gupta, Head of European Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 3 October 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5092332-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Scandi Central Banks and noisy UK politics

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 26, 2025 9:57


In this podcast Francis Diamond and Khagendra Gupta discuss the Riksbank and Norges Bank meetings this month and implications for Scandinavian rate markets as well as recent noise around UK politics.   This podcast was recorded on 26 September 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5087057-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Digging into a week of DM central bank decisions

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 19, 2025 18:51


Rates strategists Jay Barry and Francis Diamond discuss the outcomes of this week's FOMC, BoE, and BoJ meetings, and the impact on DM rates markets.   Speakers:  Jay Barry, Head of Global Rates Strategy Francis Diamond, Head of European Rate Strategy   This podcast was recorded on September 19, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related reports at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5084041-0 and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5085131-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Monthly Inflation Outlook

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 18, 2025 6:49


US Rates strategist Phoebe White and European Rates strategist Frida Infante discuss the August inflation data and their outlook for inflation markets going forward. While they see limited catalysts to push Euro area breakevens out of recent ranges, the backdrop remains supportive for US breakevens.   Speakers: Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy Frida Infante, European Rates Strategist   This podcast was recorded on September 18, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5077727-0 for more information; please visit  www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.    

At Any Rate
Global Rates: ECB and BoE meetings, French spreads and Dutch indexation

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 19:43


In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss the Euro market post the September ECB meeting, French spreads following the appointment of a new PM and the upcoming BoE meeting.   Speakers: Francis Diamond, Head of European Rates Strategy Aditya Chordia, Rates Strategy Khagendra Gupta, Rates Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 12 September 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5076241-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Scandi Rates Outlook

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 10:38


In this podcast Khagendra Gupta and Frida Infante discuss recent developments and our views in Sweden and Norway rates market.    This podcast was recorded on 04 September 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5074338-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Euro area and UK rate markets into the end of summer

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 29, 2025 14:38


In this podcast, Francis Diamond and Khagendra Gupta discuss their latest views on Euro area and UK rate market as markets start to move out of summer holiday mode.   This podcast was recorded on 29 August 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5070106-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates, FX & Economics: Scandinavian macro, FX, and rates update

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 15, 2025 19:45


In this podcast Khagendra Gupta, Morten Lund, and James Nelligan discuss recent developments and our views in Sweden and Norway macro, FX, and rates market.   This podcast was recorded on 15 August 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5054858-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5052254-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5048039-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5057023-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5054895-0   for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Dissecting the BoE's hawkish cut, Scandi rate markets update

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 8, 2025 12:59


In this podcast Francis Diamond and Khagendra Gupta discuss the August BoE rate decision and provide and update on Scandinavian Rate market themes and views.   This podcast was recorded on 08 August 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related reports at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5052438-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5052254-0, for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: European rates summer themes – seasonality, swap spreads, SSAs and gilts

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 11, 2025 13:16


In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta broadly discuss some summer themes for European rate markets focusing on seasonality in intra-EMU spreads, Eur swap spread views, SSA thoughts and UK gilt yields.   Speakers: Francis Diamond, Head of European Rates Strategy Aditya Chordia, European Rates Strategy Khagendra Gupta, European Rates Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 11 July 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5025853-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: European rates markets roundup: German fiscal, NATO meeting, carry themes, de-dollarisation flows and UK rates

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2025 17:37


In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Elisabetta Ferrara discuss recent German fiscal and NATO events this week as well as views on carry as a theme, an update on tracking de-dollarisation flows and thoughts on UK rates.   Speakers Francis Diamond, Head of European Rates Strategy Aditya Chordia, European Rates Strategy Elisabetta Ferrara, European Rates Strategy   This podcast was recorded on June 27, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5014923-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4985123-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5012148-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5005164-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

DH Unplugged
DHUnplugged #758: Dropping the Hammer

DH Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2025 63:59


WAR! (or is it?) Tesla Robotaxi Update Japan's rice problem Drink up! New guidelines coming... PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter    Warm-Up - WAR! (or is it?) - Tesla Robotaxi Update - Japan's rice problem - Drink up! New guidelines coming... Markets - Not phased by Iranian attack - (well planned attack for markets - timing, newsflow and narrative of "successful mission") - A ceasefire now - quick wars! - P/E forward nearing 22 - Leading indicators - dropping - VERY Resilient overall - dips are for buying - NASDAQ 100 closing in on all-time highs - triple top Dropping the F Bomb - 7am CNBC - " Two counties that have been that have been fighting so long and so hard that they do not know what the "F***ck" they are doing" Oil - Drops from high of $78 to $66 - Iran bombing news spikes the price on Sunday night - and then....free fall.... Tesla - Everyone is a flutter about the RoboTaxi test in Austin - Stock moved up 10% on the news Monday -- Everyone knows it is a long haul - but the hope and the promise is something that investors live on - Tesla Robotaxis spotted speeding, making improper turns on first day of service, according to Bloomberg HAMMER - Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, alongside Chairman of the Joint Chiefs General Dan Caine, in a news conference Sunday, reviewed operational details of Saturday's “Operation Midnight Hammer,” the well-concealed strikes against nuclear development facilities in Iran that both men called an “incredible and overwhelming success.” - “We have completed our very successful attack on the three Nuclear sites in Iran, including Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan,” President Donald Trump said Saturday. - Bunker Buster Bombs - lots of them - Was it a success? -- Monday: Iran coordinated the attacks on U.S. base in Qatar and gave officials advance warning to minimize casualties Interesting - Online job listing company CareerBuilder + Monster filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection on Tuesday. Leading Indicators - A measure of future U.S. economic activity fell in May for the sixth straight month and triggered a recession signal, held down by consumer pessimism, weak new orders for manufactured goods, an uptick in jobless benefits claims and a drop in building permit applications. - The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index fell by 0.1% to 99.0 last month after a downwardly revised 1.4% drop in April, which was the largest decline in the index since the spring of 2020 at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. The decline matched the consensus expectation among economists polled by Reuters. - "With the substantial negatively revised drop in April and the further downtick in May, the six-month growth rate of the Index has become more negative, triggering the recession signal," she said. "The Conference Board does not anticipate recession, but we do expect a significant slowdown in economic growth in 2025 compared to 2024, with real GDP growing at 1.6% this year and persistent tariff effects potentially leading to further deceleration in 2026." Global Rates and Central Banks - Update World Rates Japan's Rice Problem - Rice prices in Japan more than doubled in May, spiking 101.7% year over year and marking their largest increase in over half a century. - The huge spike follows a 98.4% increase in April, and a rise of 92.1% year over year in March. - Japan's rice prices have been in the spotlight in recent times, with the government releasing emergency stockpiles to moderate the price of the country's staple food. - The surge in rice prices comes as Japan's core inflation rate climbed to 3.7% in May, marking its highest level since January 2023.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: European rates Scandi and UK central bank round up

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2025 8:00


In this podcast, Francis Diamond, Khagendra Gupta and Frida Infante discuss the Norges Bank, Riskbank and BoE meetings this week and implications for European rate markets.   Speakers: Francis Diamond, Head of European Rates Strategy Khagendra Gupta, European Rates Strategy Frida Infante, European Rates Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 20 June 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5009094-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5012102-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5012114-0, for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Monthly Inflation Outlook

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 18, 2025 15:04


Rates strategists Francis Diamond and Phoebe White discuss their latest views on global inflation markets. Breakevens in DM inflation markets have been modestly lower over the past month, as inflation has softened. Looking ahead to 2H25, we expect diverging trends between US and Euro area inflation, driving an outperformance in US inflation markets, particularly at the front end.   Speakers:  Francis Diamond, Head of European Rate Strategy Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy   This podcast was recorded on June 18, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: European rates market 2H25 outlook – range trade and selectively seeking carry

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2025 14:04


In this podcast Francis Diamond and Khagendra Gupta broadly outline their thoughts on Euro area and UK rates markets over the second half of this year, touching on yields, curves, swap spreads and volatility. This podcast was recorded on 13 June 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5004085-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

At Any Rate
Global Rates: European rates market topics: The ECB, cross currency basis and €-SSA markets

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 6, 2025 16:14


In this podcast, Francis Diamond, Khagendra Gupta and Matteo Mamprin discuss a range of different European rate market topics covering the recent ECB meeting, thoughts around cross-currency basis and an update on €-SSA markets.   This podcast was recorded on 06 June 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related reports at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5002257-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4999113-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4999331-0.pdf for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: ECB preview and long end curve thoughts

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later May 30, 2025 12:06


In this podcast Francis Diamond and Khagendra Gupta discuss their thoughts on Euro area rate markets ahead of the June ECB meeting and also discuss thoughts on the long end of EUR and GBP curves.   Speakers: Francis Diamond, Head of European Rates Strategy Khagendra Gupta, European Rates Strategist   This podcast was recorded on 30 May 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4998044-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Scandinavian interest rate update

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2025 12:38


In this podcast Khagendra Gupta and Frida Infante discuss recent developments in Scandinavian interest rate markets and important drivers looking ahead.   Speakers Khagendra Gupta, European Rates Strategist Frida Infante, Rates Strategy    This podcast was recorded on 23 May 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4991719-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

At Any Rate
Global FX & Global Rates: Term premia rising: implications for rates and FX

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2025 26:43


JPM Strategists Meera Chandan and Jay Barry discuss rising term premium across DM government bond markets, the passage of the House tax bill, rising tariff risks, and what this means for rates and FX markets.   Speakers:  Meera Chandan, Global FX Strategy Jay Barry, Head of Global Rates Strategy   This podcast was recorded on May 23, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4989466-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4991726-0,  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4989711-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4989990-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4979940-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Analysing Eurex and US futures roll

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later May 19, 2025 12:39


Speakers:  Khagendra Gupta, European Rates Strategist Ipek Ozil, US Rates Strategy   In this podcast Khagendra Gupta and Ipek Ozil discuss the drivers of US and Eurex futures roll and their outlook for Jun25/Sep25 bond futures rollover.   This podcast was recorded on 19 May 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related reports at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4971531-0 and https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4984252-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: European rates market round-up

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later May 9, 2025 18:30


In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss a variety of topics covering thoughts around the impact of de-dollarisation on Euro govie and swap markets, the May BoE meeting and UK rates as well as the Riksbank and Norges Bank meetings this week.     Speakers Francis Diamond, Head of European Rates Strategy Aditya Chordia, European Rates Strategist Khagendra Gupta, European Rates Strategist     This podcast was recorded on 09 May 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4981304-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4980024-0 & https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4980028-0, for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: European rates and Tariff Top Trumps

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 4, 2025 12:13


In this podcast, Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss their the reaction of European rates markets to the tariff announcement this week. This podcast was recorded on 04 April 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4949749-0 , https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4946392-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Tariffs, issuance, and fiscal drivers

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 28, 2025 18:35


In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss their latest thoughts on European rate markets, focusing on Euro rates markets into the 2 April tariff announcement, thoughts on SSAs and issuance, Scandi rates following recent CB meetings and UK rates in light of this week's Spring Statement.   This podcast was recorded on March 28, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4942101-0, https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4946392-0.pdf for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates – Discussing the divergent drivers of US and EUR breakevens

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 21, 2025 11:23


Rates strategists Francis Diamond and Phoebe White discuss their latest views on global inflation markets. The past few weeks have seen divergent performances in DM inflation breakevens with HICP swaps across the curve rising following the German fiscal announcement whilst other DM breakevens fell. Outside the HICP space, front-end breakevens appear cheap on a valuation basis.   Speakers Francis Diamond, Head of European Rate Strategy Phoebe White, Head of Inflation Strategy   This podcast was recorded on March 21, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at  https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4922930-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

At Any Rate
Global Rates: Where next for European rate markets?

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 14, 2025 21:28


In this podcast Francis Diamond, Aditya Chordia and Khagendra Gupta discuss their latest thoughts on European rate markets given the seismic shift in German fiscal policy and the repricing in European rates markets against a backdrop of ongoing tariff uncertainty.   Speakers Francis Diamond, Head of European Rates Strategy Aditya Chordia, European Rates Strategist Khagendra Gupta, European Rates Strategist   This podcast was recorded on March 14, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4935267-0  for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.  

At Any Rate
Global Rates, EM & Economics: Q&A on European defence spending and Ukraine

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 20, 2025 31:14


In this podcast Francis Diamond, Ravi Balakrishnan, Nicolaie Alexandru-Chidesciuc and Aditya Chordia discuss frequently asked client questions on increasing spending needs for defence and Ukraine reconstruction, European policy response options, various funding options on table, and the impact on sovereign issuance and markets. This podcast was recorded on 20 February 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4915753-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: What drives European cross currency basis?

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 24, 2025 11:41


In this podcast Francis Diamond and Khagendra Gupta discuss the main drivers European cross currency basis and their latest thoughts on the cross currency basis market. This podcast was recorded on 24 January 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4889166-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates - 2025 Global government issuance outlook

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 17, 2025 21:34


Luis Oganes, head of Global Macro research at J.P. Morgan, discusses the outlook for government bond issuance in 2025 with strategists Jay Barry and Aditya Chordia. The team discusses how ongoing central bank QT amplifies issuance trends, and wide budget deficits suggest term premium should remain elevated in the US and UK, while these trends should be less impactful for Euro-area and Japanese yields.   Speakers: Luis Oganes, Head of Global Macro Research Jay Barry, Head of Global Rates Strategy Aditya Chordia, European Rates Strategy     This podcast was recorded on 17 January 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4887257-0, for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

At Any Rate
Global Rates: European rates market update

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 8, 2025 14:44


In this podcast, Francis Diamond and Aditya Chordia discuss their latest thoughts on European rate markets given the increase in yields seen since the start of this year. This podcast was recorded on 08 January 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related reports at: https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4880271-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4879160-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4879138-0.pdf © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.