Podcasts about OPEC

US President Trump's advisers are considering a stopgap tariff regime if the court appeal against the tariff block fails, while the effort that the Trump administration is considering would allow tariffs of up to 15% for 100 days, according to WSJ.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said a couple of large deals are close. Furthermore, he said China talks are a bit stalled but believes they will have more talks in a few weeks and noted the EU's deal is in motion.European stocks opened with modest gains and have continued to build on that, whilst US equity futures are incrementally lower.DXY is firmer and towards session highs, JPY marginally benefits post-Tokyo CPI.USTs marginally lower/flat, two-way EGB action on prelim. inflation prints ahead of Germany's figure and US PCE.Crude is trading with modest gains given the risk tone and into weekend OPEC events, base metals move lower.Looking ahead, German Inflation, US PCE (Apr), Canadian GDP, S&P Credit Review on France, DBRS on Germany & Spain, Speakers including Fed's Logan, Bostic & Daly.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Today we had the pleasure of hosting Michael Mische, Associate Professor of Management at the University of Southern California's Marshall School of Business. Michael joined the USC faculty in 1997 and also serves as CEO and a Managing Member of the Synergy Consulting Group. At Marshall, he leads and coordinates the school's undergraduate and graduate curricula in management consulting. Our interest in connecting with Michael was sparked by his recent report, “A Study of California Gasoline Prices” (linked here). The study presents a comprehensive, data-driven analysis of the persistently high retail gasoline prices in California. We were thrilled to explore the findings of the report and hear Michael's broader perspective on California's energy and power landscape. In our discussion, we cover the main themes of Michael's report, beginning with his long-standing interest in the oil and gas industry dating back to the 1973 Arab oil embargo. We explore the study's key finding that there is no evidence of price manipulation or gouging by refiners, and Michael's conclusion that California's high gasoline prices are a direct result of deliberate policy choices. Michael explains why policymakers pursue these strategies, why Californians tolerate higher energy costs, and how these policies create economic strain for lower income residents. We cover the broader economic impact of California energy policies, including the departure of more than 360 major companies since 2018, the national security risks posed by refinery closures that supply a significant share of aviation fuel and diesel to military operations in California, Arizona, and Nevada, how the push for renewable energy has become a primary driver of rising energy costs, and the underlying economics of the refining industry. We discuss the broader effects of refinery shutdowns on infrastructure like roads and airports, California's increasing dependence on foreign oil, the potential for in-state production growth, proposed policy solutions, the risks of state-run refinery models, how Middle Eastern investors are increasingly targeting U.S. real assets and innovation sectors, and more. We greatly appreciate Michael joining and sharing his expertise and insights with us all. Mike Bradley kicked off the discussion by noting that broader U.S. equities surged ~2.0% on Tuesday, largely driven by news that President Trump would be extending the deadline on EU tariff increases from June 1 to July 9. Equity markets also rose due to the unexpectedly high m/m increase in May Consumer Confidence. On the bond market front, 10-year and 30-year U.S. bond yields traded lower by 8-10bps, mostly due to a plunge in Japanese bond yields despite optimistic news on the EU tariff front and Consumer Confidence. In commodities, WTI price pulled back ~$1/bbl (~$61/bbl) on growing concern that OPEC+ will raise July oil production by another ~0.4mmbpd. Iranian nuclear talks underway in Rome have sparked cautious optimism for a breakthrough, which might prove to be another “marginal” headwind for crude prices. On the U.S. policy front, Mike highlighted last week's passage of a House Tax Bill which surprisingly gutted renewable/solar subsidies and sent solar equities plunging. Passage through the Senate isn't guaranteed and could potentially extend/reverse the timeline on some of the solar subsidies. On the electricity front, it was a great week for nuclear and SMR equities (handful of SMR equities up ~40%) following four nuclear-focused Executive Orders from the Trump Administration. He also pointed out the recent eye-popping MISO Summer Capacity Auction (~$666/mw) versus last year's auction price (~$30/mw) which will lead to much higher utility bills. He closed by highlighting California's current refinery capacity of ~1.6mmbpd and how the two most recent refinery closure announcements (tota

28 May 2025. That's according to Energy Minister Suhail Al Mazrouei. We ask energy expert Robin Mills where that power will come from and how the grid will cope. Plus, M&A activity is heating up in the UAE. We speak to one of the companies involved in the latest deal.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

APAC stocks mostly higher following the Wall St. strength, futures since off best awaiting NVIDIA earningsUS President Trump says Canada joining the Golden Dome is free if they are the 51st State, adding "They are considering the offer!"DXY continues to pick up, EUR/USD tests 1.13 to the downside & Cable lost 1.35, JPY choppyRBNZ cut as expected, but refrained from overtly dovish languageJGBs came under pressure after a somewhat mixed 40yr auction, USTs & EGBs also softCrude marginally firmer ahead of OPEC, gold indecisive, base peers lacklustreLooking ahead, highlights include German Unemployment Rate, ECB SCE, US Richmond Fed Index, FOMC Minutes, OPEC+/JMMC, Speakers including Fed's Williams, Kashkari & BoE's Pill, Supply from UK, Germany & US, Earnings from NVIDIA, Salesforce, Abercrombie & Macy's.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

President Trump's recent visit to the Gulf region marked a dramatic shift from the previous administration's Middle East diplomacy. In his visit to Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar, Trump focused on securing significant investment commitments and commercial partnerships to support the region's AI and other ambitions.  The trip showcased Trump's transactional approach to foreign policy—one focused on bilateral deals rather than regional frameworks, and economic partnerships over military interventions. It also raised important questions about oil markets, geopolitical competition with China, nuclear agreements, and the future of energy prices. So what are the likely impacts of massive investment pledges from Gulf nations? Do low oil prices limit the ability to make good on them? What is the outlook for oil prices with uncertainty over OPEC+ policy, a possible Iran deal, and possible new sanctions on Russia? And what does Trump's transactional diplomacy mean for traditional alliances and regional stability?  This week, Jason Bordoff speaks with Helima Croft, Joe McMonigle, and Karen Young about how the Trump administration is reshaping U.S. relations with Middle East countries and the long- and short-term implications it will have on energy markets and geopolitics. Helima is managing director and global head of commodity strategy at RBC Capital Markets, where she leads the coverage of energy markets and geopolitical risk. Joe is a distinguished visiting fellow here at the Center on Global Energy Policy and the founder and president of the Global Center for Energy Analysis, an independent research and analysis firm. Karen is a senior research scholar here at the Center on Global Energy Policy and a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute where she focuses on the political economy of the Gulf States and energy policy. Credits: Hosted by Jason Bordoff and Bill Loveless. Produced by Mary Catherine O'Connor, Caroline Pitman, and Kyu Lee. Engineering by Sean Marquand. Stephen Lacey is executive producer.  

Today we get to visit with Brad Keithley from Alaskans for Sustainable Budgets and go over the post session Weekly Top 3. This weeks topics: 1/3 of the year paid for by PFD cuts; Anna MacKinnon's issues; could Alaska stop OPEC tail wagging? Then we'll recap with some of my thoughts and then finish up in hour two with Chris Story's sneak peek at his new book followed up by his weekly uplift.

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The EU set to focus on critical sectors in a bid to avoid US tariffs, according to Bloomberg sources.Stocks in the green and generally at session highs; NQ +1.7%.USD attempts to atone for recent losses, JPY weighed on by a pullback in domestic yields.Bonds bid and yields slump on MOF sources, Gilts outperform on this & reports that the UK will be shifting to shorter-term borrowing in order to lower its interest bill.Crude uneventful ahead of OPEC+ whilst precious and base metals slip.Looking ahead, US Durable Goods & Consumer Confidence, NBH Policy Announcement, Supply from the US, Earnings from AutoZone.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

While no one is accusing egg producers of colluding or price-fixing, from an economic standpoint, it certainly could be happening either by design or incidentally.Original article: https://mises.org/power-market/how-high-egg-prices-may-resemble-high-opec-cartel-oil-prices

While no one is accusing egg producers of colluding or price-fixing, from an economic standpoint, it certainly could be happening either by design or incidentally.Original article: https://mises.org/power-market/how-high-egg-prices-may-resemble-high-opec-cartel-oil-prices

Crude Oil tanks as OPEC+ floods the market with product. Russia and Saudi Arabia just did the unthinkable by announcing that they’re increasing output by 411,000 barrels per day starting in June. With demand forecasts going down every day as the world braces for a Trump induced global recession, it’s the exact opposite move from what everyone expected. This episode tackles what this means for the economy, the future of energy, Trump’s tariff gambit, inflation and unemployment. Access the episode resources. Resources OPEC OilPrice.com U.S. EIA: Advances in technology led to record new well productivity in the Permian Basin in 2021 EnergyNews: OPEC maintains its forecast for oil demand growth in 2025 and 2026 Reuters: US agrees to sell Saudi Arabia $142 billion arms package Responsible Statecraft: Lobby Horse: Trump’s ‘trillion dollar' visit to Saudi Arabia Deloitte: 2025 Renewable Energy Industry Outlook World Economic Forum: 5 trends shaping the energy world in 2025 AInvest: JPMorgan Cuts 2025 Oil Price Forecasts 12% on Weak Demand, OPEC+ Output ExxonMobil: ExxonMobil Announces First-Quarter 2025 Results Reuters: OPEC output hikes, trade wars have US oil producers wary of 'drill baby drill' Trading Economics: United States Exports By Category St. Louis Fed: Breakeven Fiscal Oil Price for Saudi Arabia (SAUPZPIOILBEGUSD) UNFTR Episode Resources Peak Oil: It's a Crude, Crude World. Bitcoin & Crude Oil. The Energy Independence Myth. Iceberg. Dead Ahead. Video: Oil Prices TANK as OPEC Floods the Market -- If you like #UNFTR, please leave us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts and Spotify: unftr.com/rate and follow us on Facebook, Bluesky, TikTok and Instagram at @UNFTRpod. Visit us online at unftr.com. Join our Discord at unftr.com/discord. Become a member at unftr.com/memberships. Buy yourself some Unf*cking Coffee at shop.unftr.com. Visit our bookshop.org page at bookshop.org/shop/UNFTRpod to find the full UNFTR book list, and find book recommendations from our Unf*ckers at bookshop.org/lists/unf-cker-book-recommendations. Access the UNFTR Musicless feed by following the instructions at unftr.com/accessibility. Unf*cking the Republic is produced by 99 and engineered by Manny Faces Media (mannyfacesmedia.com). Original music is by Tom McGovern (tommcgovern.com). The show is hosted by Max and distributed by 99.Support the show: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/unftrSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

My guest today is Daniel Dicker, a seasoned oil trader, former floor broker at the NYMEX, and well-known expert on energy markets. Over a three-decade career, Daniel has seen the full arc of oil's role in financial markets—from a bellwether commodity to a sidelined input. In this conversation, we explore why oil has fallen off the radar for many investors, and what signs might bring it roaring back. We also discuss why renewables aren't ready, how nuclear fits in, and the unexpected reasons he might start buying oil again. Please enjoy this conversation with Daniel Dicker. For the full show notes, transcript, and links to the best content to learn more, check out the episode page HERE. ----- Making Markets is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Making Markets, visit joincolossus.com/episodes. Stay up to date on all our podcasts by signing up to Colossus Weekly, our quick dive every Sunday highlighting the top business and investing concepts from our podcasts and the best of what we read that week. Sign up here. Follow us on Twitter: @makingmkts | @ericgoldenx Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Show Notes (00:00:00) Welcome to Making Markets (00:00:43) The Changing Role of Oil in the Economy (00:01:56) Financialization and Speculation in Oil Markets (00:04:55) Impact of Renewables and ESG on Oil (00:07:01) Government Policies and Oil Prices (00:14:45) Strategic Petroleum Reserve and Market Manipulation (00:17:38) Recession Risks and Corporate Earnings (00:23:35) Media Coverage of Commodities (00:24:36) Investment Strategies in Energy (00:25:19) Oil Market Dynamics and Bankruptcies (00:26:46) Buffett's Investment in Occidental (00:28:28) Renewable Energy and Carbon Capture (00:30:37) Nuclear Energy Investments (00:37:27) Geopolitics and Oil Supply (00:39:47) OPEC's Challenges and Strategies (00:42:46) Future of Oil Prices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The U.S. Labor Department reported the weekly Initial Jobless Claims; Kevin has the details, digs into the data and offers his insights. S&P Global released the U.S. manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) and U.S. services PMI; Kevin discusses the report and offers his perspective. The National Association of Realtors reported April existing home sales; Kevin looks at the data and puts it into perspective. Oil reacts to OPEC+ discussing a production increase for July, an unexpected rise in U.S. crude oil inventories and the expiration of U.S. oil company Chevron's license to operate in Venezuela. Kevin pays tribute to our fallen heroes as we enter this Memorial Day Holiday weekend.

US President Trump's Tax/Spending bill is currently being debated in the US House (passed the Rules Committee overnight), the debate has formally hit the two-hour minimum as of the time of publication; vote time TBC.European stocks trade lower following the Wall Street and APAC losses; US equity futures attempt to recover recent losses.USD mixed vs. peers, EUR and GBP digest PMI metrics, JPY narrowly leads.USTs a little firmer finding some reprieve following 20yr weakness, Bunds choppy following EZ PMIs.Crude pressured amid reports of further OPEC+ output hikes, Spot gold a little lower.Bitcoin extended on gains and printed a fresh all-time high of above the USD 111k level; Texas House approved the bill to create a Bitcoin reserve.Looking ahead, US Flash PMIs, Jobless Claims, Canadian Producer Prices, NZ Retail Sales, ECB Minutes. Speakers including RBA's Hauser, BoE's Breeden, Dhingra & Pill, ECB's Elderson & de Guindos, BoC's Gravelle, Fed's Barkin & Williams, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Mark Rossano connects with Rory and discusses the complexities of the oil and gas market, focusing on price volatility, OPEC's production strategies, and the geopolitical implications of Iran and Russia's oil exports. He emphasizes the importance of diesel in the economy and the impact of EU sanctions on global oil flows. The conversation provides insights into the current state of the energy sector and the challenges faced by major oil-producing countries. In this conversation, Mark Rossano discusses the dynamics of the crude market, the implications of tariffs on trade, and the current state of the refining industry. He highlights the challenges faced by Europe in energy procurement, the ongoing trade tensions between China and the US, and the impact of these factors on global supply chains. Rossano also delves into the intricacies of diesel and gasoline demand, emphasizing the need for refiners to adapt to changing market conditions.

Scott Bauer breaks down the markets beyond stocks. He weighs in on the dollar's (/DX) recent weakness in the wake of the Moody's downgrade, but notes the relatively muted response across other asset classes. Meanwhile, gold (/GC) is higher due in part to its oversold condition and the ongoing safe-haven bid. Turning to Bitcoin (/BTC), he believes the cryptocurrency is set to break all-time highs, driven by growing risk appetite and acceptance. In commodities, Scott is bearish on crude oil (/CL), citing a lack of demand and potentially higher OPEC production.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

U.S. Tariffs are hurting China Exports from China have dropped dramatically which has weighed on China's economy. This has caused protests due to lost jobs and wages in their economy. Exports from China to the United States dropped 20% in April, but China did pick up exports from other countries like Indonesia, Thailand and Africa. While this may help a little, the export dollars for China to these other countries pales in comparison to the mighty consumption of the US consumer. China's economy depends on exports considering the fact that in 2024 1/3 of GDP growth came from exports. The Chinese government is panicking a little bit with the central bank in China saying it would cut interest rates and inject more liquidity into the financial system. Some factories in China are pausing their production and laying off workers until things pick up again. Goldman Sachs estimates that roughly 16,000,000 jobs in China come from exports to the United States. With the news that tariffs are being lowered for 90 days it will be interesting to see how companies and these countries react. The US will still have a 30% tariff on many Chinese products, but that is much more manageable than the 145% that was in effect. It is important to remember this is a pause and that rhetoric could pick back up as negotiations continue. I do believe a reescalation in the trade war would really hurt the Chinese economy more than ours and I'm optimistic we will see a trade deal reached, but it will likely take time. I believe it is worth waiting for as a better trade agreement will benefit us for decades down the road.   Inflation continues to cool The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the month of April came in at a 12-month rate of 2.3%, which was below the estimate of 2.4% and marked the lowest reading since February 2021. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, came in at 2.8% which matched expectations and was in line with March's reading. Energy was a major help to the headline number as it fell 3.7% compared to last year with gasoline in particular down 11.8% over that timeframe. While this is all great many economists are worried about what the next few months will look like on the inflation front due to tariffs. Joseph Gagnon from the Peterson Institute for International Economics said he believes a 10% average tariff rate would add as much as 1 percentage point to the CPI after about six to nine months. While I would agree with the idea that inflation will likely increase in the months ahead, I still don't believe it will be to a problematic level for two reasons. First, we should remember there are several players that can absorb the costs from these tariffs. You have to consider the companies importing products can reduce their margin, there would be shipping/transportation companies that can reduce their costs, the company's manufacturing products can lower their prices, and then yes, the consumer is the last piece of the puzzle that could now have higher prices. With all that said I don't believe a 10% tariff would result in a 10% increase in prices due to all the places in the supply chain that can absorb some of the cost. The second reason I wouldn't be overly concerned is I wouldn't see the tariff as embedded inflation and it could likely be viewed as a one-time lift to prices that would then be lapped next year. Nonetheless this story will be interesting to monitor in the coming months to see what the actual impact is, but I do remain optimistic about our economy and the inflation outlook.   Could artificial intelligence create more jobs? Many people think that artificial intelligence, also known as AI, is going to reduce jobs for people. The CEO of IBM, who admits that AI has replaced hundreds of workers, said it has created more jobs than it has eliminated. He went on to say it frees up investment that the employer can put to other areas that include such jobs as software engineering, sales, & marketing. Normal things like creating spreadsheets and other routine tasks can be done with artificial intelligence, but it still takes a human to do the critical thinking on how to use that data to enhance business for the company. If you're working for a company and you don't have much contact with other workers that relate to your job, your job could be at risk of being replaced by AI. Make sure your job involves using data to work with other people, which should give you job security in the growing world of AI.   Oil at $50 a barrel? There is talk that we could see oil drop from around $60 a barrel down to $50 a barrel, which would be a big benefit for consumers at the pump. The reason for this is that OPEC and its allies are increasing production of oil faster than anyone expected. By June they could be producing nearly 1,000,000 more barrels of oil per day compared to current levels. The United States is currently the number one producer of oil in the world with production of nearly 15,000,000 barrels per day. If you're wondering does that meet our consumption? It does not as that stands at 19.6 million barrels per day. OPEC is not taking this sitting down and they want to regain market share. To do it appears they're willing to see lower oil prices. The reason why oil prices are expected to drop is that the demand is about the same as it was just one year ago, so the increase in production means we'll probably have an oil glut for a while. At $50 a barrel most oil companies can still make money off of producing oil, but US oil companies might stop doing stock buybacks and could no longer build new wells. What this would do is hurt supply in the future and oil would turn around and increase once again. If you invest in oil companies, you have to realize that supply/demand of oil will rule the price of the stock. But fortunately, most of the big oil companies pay a good dividend, which makes it a little bit easier to hold on when the stocks have a temporary decline. For consumers, this means the average cost per gallon of gasoline across the country, which is now around $3.20 per gallon, could drop to levels around $2.50 per gallon. Consumers in California may not see declines in the prices at the pump as California continues to drive refiners out of the state and reject refined gasoline from other states that do not meet a ridiculously high standard. If you want to blame someone for higher gas prices in California you can blame the governor and Sacramento for ridiculous policies on gasoline.   Financial Planning: Trusts and Retirement Accounts Do Not Mix Naming a living trust as the beneficiary of a retirement account—such as an IRA or 401(k)—is generally not a good idea due to potential tax inefficiencies and administrative complexity. Under the SECURE Act, the "stretch IRA" option has been largely eliminated for most non-spouse beneficiaries, and replaced with a 10-year rule requiring the entire account to be withdrawn within a decade of the original owner's death. If a trust is named as the beneficiary and it isn't specifically drafted to be the beneficiary of a retirement account, it may not qualify for this 10-year treatment and could face even faster distribution requirements, such as a 5-year distribution period, accelerating taxes significantly. Instead, it's typically better to name individual beneficiaries directly on retirement accounts to preserve flexibility and minimize tax impact. For those needing control over distributions—for example, to protect minor children or spendthrift heirs—a carefully drafted trust designed to meet IRS requirements should be used with the help of a qualified estate planning attorney. For most other cases, listing actual people or charities as beneficiaries is a much simpler and more efficient strategy.   Companies Discussed: Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS), Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR), Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT) & Lyft, Inc. (LYFT)

Alles over wat er op de internationale energiemarkt gebeurt, en waarom. Met Hans van Cleef, senior energie-econoom bij Publieke Zaken. In deze aflevering hebben we het natúúrlijk over olie. Na Trump's Liberation Day maakte de olieprijs een duikvlucht. In slechts twee dagen ging er 12% af. Bovendien verhoogde OPEC+, Saudi-Arabië voorop, de productie. Wat betekent dit voor die productie, vooral in de VS? Tennet kwam afgelopen week met z'n jaarlijkse Monitor Leveringszekerheid, een week nadat Publieke Zaken óók een rapport over hetzelfde onderwerp publiceerde. Gaan we Spanje achterna of houden we hier wél het licht aan? Dezelfde vraag voor aardgas komende winter. Oftewel: hoe staat het met het vullen van de gasbergingen nu het stookseizoen voorbij is? En ETS2 is in aantocht. Op 6 mei kon er voor het eerst in worden gehandeld. Wat gebeurde er met de prijs?

 On today show we're talking about what is happening in the world of energy. This is a Real Estate podcast. The only reason to be talking about energy is that energy is the economy. For every unit of economic output there is an equivalent unit of energy consume somewhere in the world. These two track one another with razor like Precision.To start with we need to acknowledge that there is no universe in which you can have US energy dominance and low oil prices at the same time. These are mutually exclusive. The cost of shale oil production is so much higher than conventional oil and the capital markets are much more intelligent than they were back in 2009 at the start of the shale oil revolution. There are a handful of oil analysts who I follow. They truly understand, energy markets. In my experience, the mainstream media take a very simplistic view and completely misreport if not outright misrepresent what's happening in the world of energy.-------------**Real Estate Espresso Podcast:** Spotify: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://open.spotify.com/show/3GvtwRmTq4r3es8cbw8jW0?si=c75ea506a6694ef1)   iTunes: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-estate-espresso-podcast/id1340482613)   Website: [www.victorjm.com](http://www.victorjm.com)   LinkedIn: [Victor Menasce](http://www.linkedin.com/in/vmenasce)   YouTube: [The Real Estate Espresso Podcast](http://www.youtube.com/@victorjmenasce6734)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/realestateespresso](http://www.facebook.com/realestateespresso)   Email: [podcast@victorjm.com](mailto:podcast@victorjm.com)  **Y Street Capital:** Website: [www.ystreetcapital.com](http://www.ystreetcapital.com)   Facebook: [www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital](https://www.facebook.com/YStreetCapital)   Instagram: [@ystreetcapital](http://www.instagram.com/ystreetcapital)  

Additional benefits from the 90-day tariff pause between the U.S and China have come to light; Kevin discusses these benefits. Goldman Sachs analysis indicates President Trump's preferred crude oil prices; Kevin discusses this and offers his insights. The U.S. Treasury released the April Tariff Revenue data; Kevin discusses the effect on the budget deficit, additionally, Zero Hedge points out other unexpected surprises in the data; Kevin has the details. Steelmaker Nucor shut down production at some of its facilities; Kevin has the details and offers his insights. Oil and gas prices react to unexpected U.S. crude oil inventory data, OPEC+ adjustments to oil supply growth forecasts and data from the American Petroleum Institute.

On the HAT Podcast Eric Pfeiffer and C.J. Miller have the news including a look at the long-term impact on U.S. soybean farmers of trade wars with China and will OPEC production increases have a positive impact on prices at our pumps? HAT Chief Meteorologist Ryan Martin has mostly dry conditions today but he'll detail rain chances for Indiana that start tonight, and the Wednesday soybean and wheat markets again worked higher while corn futures were quiet and mixed. Andy Eubank has settlements and analyst Karl Setzer adds his market insights. It's all part of the #HATPodcast, made possible by First Farmers Bank & Trust - proudly serving local farms, families, and agribusiness for 140 years. Visit them online at FFBT.com to learn more.

Erdöl gilt als flüssiges Vermögen, als schwarzes Gold. Es ist einer der wichtigsten, aber auch der umstrittensten Rohstoffe unserer Zeit. Als Brennstoff wird es zum Klimakiller, Ölvorkommen sind immer wieder Ursache für gewaltsame Konflikte. Gleichzeitig spielt Öl immer noch eine entscheidende Rolle bei der Mobilität, der Wirtschaft und Energiesicherheit. Noch immer gilt: Öl bedeutet Macht. Aktuell steigt die Attraktivität des fossilen Energieträgers wieder, weil der Ölpreis zuletzt gesunken ist. Denn während die globale Nachfrage wegen des weltweiten Zollstreits nachlässt, steigt zeitgleich auch das Angebot, weil die OPEC+ die Fördermenge nicht drosselt. Wir beleuchten die Hintergründe, analysieren die politischen Spannungen und werfen einen Blick in die Zukunft des Öls. Wird es noch lange eine zentrale Rolle in unserer Energieversorgung spielen, oder steht uns eine nachhaltige Wende bevor? Darüber sprechen wir mit der Wirtschaftswissenschaftlerin Prof. Dr. Claudia Kemfert, Andreas Hölzel vom ADAC, Geologe Prof. Dr. Ingo Sass und Ökonom Prof. Dr. Niko Paech. Podcast-Tipp: Deutschlandfunk Hintergrund Norwegen hat sich sehr ehrgeizige Klimaziele gesetzt. Gleichzeitig lässt die Regierung vor der Küste weiter nach Öl und Gas bohren. Im Land wird diese Politik "norwegisches Paradox" genannt. International gibt es viel Kritik daran. https://www.ardaudiothek.de/episode/hintergrund/greenwashing-norwegen-wo-oel-und-gasfoerderung-als-nachhaltig-gilt/deutschlandfunk/14339543/

Additional benefits from the 90-day tariff pause between the U.S and China have come to light; Kevin discusses these benefits. Goldman Sachs analysis indicates President Trump's preferred crude oil prices; Kevin discusses this and offers his insights. The U.S. Treasury released the April Tariff Revenue data; Kevin discusses the effect on the budget deficit, additionally, Zero Hedge points out other unexpected surprises in the data; Kevin has the details. Steelmaker Nucor shut down production at some of its facilities; Kevin has the details and offers his insights. Oil and gas prices react to unexpected U.S. crude oil inventory data, OPEC+ adjustments to oil supply growth forecasts and data from the American Petroleum Institute.

Plus: Germany foils an alleged Russian act of sabotage. And Novo Nordisk strikes a $2.2 billion deal to develop obesity pills with U.S. biotech Septerna. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today we had the pleasure of hosting Dr. Francesco Sassi for a wide-ranging discussion on global energy and geopolitics. Francesco is a Postdoctoral Fellow at the University of Oslo and previously served as a Research Fellow in energy geopolitics and markets at Ricerche Industriali ed Energetiche (RIE). Francesco holds a Ph.D. in Political Science – Geopolitics from the University of Pisa, where he focused his research on the Sino-Russian gas interdependence. We were drawn to his straightforward analysis, insightful commentary, and use of maps to bring complex dynamics to life. We were thrilled to visit with Francesco and learn from his perspective. In our conversation, we explore the rise of political risk in energy markets and the growing global interdependence of the energy system, driven by factors such as China's increasing influence in shaping energy geopolitics, new interdependencies created by energy technology, trade and manufacturing, as well as disruptions like COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war. We examine Russian gas volumes to Europe, Spain's leadership in clean energy and the implications of its recent blackout, and the dual forces shaping Europe: rising cross-border interconnectivity projects alongside increasing energy nationalism. We touch on President Trump's recent visit to the Middle East, which is part of broader interest in energy and AI investment in the region, OPEC+ strategy, market share pressures, and the impact of low oil prices on Russia. Francesco shares his perspective on the potential for a Putin-Zelensky meeting, tensions between India and Pakistan, and how energy policy is becoming increasingly central to electoral platforms in Europe. We turn to Argentina's recent progress under President Milei, Israeli investment in lithium extraction technology in Argentina's lithium triangle, and how energy and mineral resources are increasingly being used as tools of foreign policy and geopolitical leverage. We close with Francisco's thoughts on the growing power of energy as a force shaping international relations and global industrial strategy. It was a dynamic and insightful conversation. Mike Bradley kicked off the discussion by noting that broader markets rallied substantially on Monday following news that China and the U.S. have agreed to a “tentative” tariff deal. Broader equity markets (S&P 500) have completely retraced their losses since Trump's April 2nd Day of Liberation and are now up slightly (+4%). Meanwhile, the S&P Volatility Index has plunged from its April 8th tariff volatility highs and is now trading near YTD lows, something to be monitored closely as any surprise event could send broader markets lower. On the bond market front, the 10yr bond yield is trading sideways even though April CPI came in lower than expected. PPI will be released on Wednesday and if it too prints lower than expected, it could provide room for the Fed to begin cutting rates at their June 18th FOMC meeting. On the crude oil front, WTI price has rebounded nicely over the past week and now trades at ~$63/bbl. Oil traders remain focused on future OPEC+ production increases and increasingly on whether U.S. E&Ps will begin altering their 2025 capex plans at these lower prices levels. He wrapped up with a look at key events this week, notably NRG Energy's acquisition of LS Power's portfolio of natural gas generation assets (~13gw for ~$12 billion). The move follows Constellation Energy's mid-January deal to acquire Calpine Corp. and demonstrates that both companies are positioning themselves for an acceleration in electricity growth this decade. Many thanks to Francesco for sharing his time and insights with us today. We hope you enjoy the discussion as much as we did! Our best to you all.

The Commercial Vehicle Safety Alliance's International Roadcheck is underway and continues through Thursday. The National Federation of Independent Businesses released their Small Business Optimism Index; Kevin discusses the results and offers his insights. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the April Consumer Price Index; Kevin digs into the details, discussed the information and offers his insights. Oil reacts to US- China tariff relief, increasing OPEC+ crude oil production, U.S. inflation data, ceasefires and peace negotiations.

The Commercial Vehicle Safety Alliance's International Roadcheck is underway and continues through Thursday. The National Federation of Independent Businesses released their Small Business Optimism Index; Kevin discusses the results and offers his insights. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the April Consumer Price Index; Kevin digs into the details, discussed the information and offers his insights. Oil reacts to US- China tariff relief, increasing OPEC+ crude oil production, U.S. inflation data, ceasefires and peace negotiations.

Today we return to the oil market, a market that is in flux, both from a traditional supply and demand picture, but that is now also embroiled in geopolitics, an uncertain global trade environment and a potential recession. Is oil going lower for longer? And what about volatility? The last month or so has seen a dramatic return of volatility and associated results for traders, positive and negative. Is that set to continue? Our guest is Matt Smith, lead energy analyst for the US at the data and analytics company Kpler 

Usually weekends are slow news days, not so this past weekend. Friday, a trade deal with India was signed; later a ceasefire was announced between India and Pakistan; Ukranian President Volodymyr Zelensky agreed to meet Russian President Vladmir Putin in Turkey on Thursday; progress in talks between the U.S. and Iran over their nuclear program; the U.S. and China have agreed to slash tariffs for 90 days; President Trump signs executive order setting 30-day deadline for drugmakers to lower prescription drug costs; Kevin has the details and offers his insights. Oil reacts to the ceasefires, tariff deals, U.S. - China 90-day tariff pause, increased OPEC+ crude oil production and U.S. -Iran negotiations. 

OPEC surprises the market. Texas upgrades its grid.  In this episode of Energy Espresso Quick Shot, Dave Bosco covers OPEC's unexpected move to raise oil output by 411,000 barrels per day and what it means for prices. He also breaks down Texas's $33B plan to build a high-voltage “power superhighway” in the Permian Basin. Plus, a tribute to Reagan Rorschach and what's coming next on the show.Don't miss this episode packed with market-shaking news and personal reflections!00:00 Introduction and Host Welcome00:11 Breaking News: OPEC's Unexpected Output Hike02:39 Impact of Trade War and Tariffs on Oil Prices05:08 Texas Power Super Highway: ERCOT's New Transmission Lines13:46 Challenges and Future of Power Generation in Texas16:45 In Memoriam: Reagan Rorschach18:33 Upcoming Episodes and Closing Remarks

After weeks of speculation, OPEC made it official, announcing they will restore oil production at a faster clip than expected.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

#7 Currents: An Energy Update (5/12/25-5/16/25) Links: Don't Fall for the Phase-Out Fallacy: https://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/renewable/dont-fall-for-the-phase-out-fallacy/ OPEC+ to Increase Oil Production—Again: https://www.instituteforenergyresearch.org/international-issues/opec-to-increase-oil-production-again/

After averaging around $US 75/B over the past few years, the WTI oil price fell below $US 60/B in early May. The weakness is driven by growing concerns about a potential recession resulting from US tariffs and announcements from the OPEC+ group that they will accelerate adding supply to the market, just as demand may be softening. To help us understand the recent volatility in oil prices, our guest this week is Jeremy Irwin, Global Crude Lead at Energy Aspects. Here are some of the questions Peter and Jackie asked Jeremy: Is this a repeat of 2015, when OPEC decided to flood the market to weaken US shale oil producers? Is President Trump influencing the OPEC+ strategy, as he may want lower oil prices to help offset the inflationary effects of US tariffs? At current price levels, how will US oil production respond? If profit is tight at lower prices, will US oil producers prioritize paying shareholders or capital spending? How might changes to US sanctions on Venezuela, Russia, and Iran impact the oil market? When do you expect global (and China's) oil demand to peak? In the short term, how serious is the threat of recession to oil demand? Do you expect Canadian oil export infrastructure to expand? Content referenced in this podcast:See the Energy Aspects website to learn more about their research data, tools, and consulting servicesPlease review our disclaimer at: https://www.arcenergyinstitute.com/disclaimer/ Check us out on social media: X (Twitter): @arcenergyinstLinkedIn: @ARC Energy Research Institute Subscribe to ARC Energy Ideas PodcastApple PodcastsAmazon MusicSpotify 

Usually weekends are slow news days, not so this past weekend. Friday, a trade deal with India was signed; later a ceasefire was announced between India and Pakistan; Ukranian President Volodymyr Zelensky agreed to meet Russian President Vladmir Putin in Turkey on Thursday; progress in talks between the U.S. and Iran over their nuclear program; the U.S. and China have agreed to slash tariffs for 90 days; President Trump signs executive order setting 30-day deadline for drugmakers to lower prescription drug costs; Kevin has the details and offers his insights. Oil reacts to the ceasefires, tariff deals, U.S. - China 90-day tariff pause, increased OPEC+ crude oil production and U.S. -Iran negotiations. 

President Donald Trump's energy ambitions are running into a familiar obstacle: OPEC, led by Saudi Arabia. POLITICO's Ben Lefebvre breaks down how OPEC's actions will simultaneously help and hurt the president's energy agenda and what to expect from his Middle East trip this week. Plus, fifteen attorneys general of Democratic-led states filed a lawsuit on Friday challenging President Donald Trump's executive order declaring an “energy emergency.” Ben Lefebvre is an oil and gas policy reporter for POLITICO.  Josh Siegel is the host of POLITICO Energy and a congressional energy reporter for POLITICO.  Nirmal Mulaikal is the co-host and producer of POLITICO Energy.  Alex Keeney is a senior audio producer at POLITICO.  Gloria Gonzalez is the deputy energy editor for POLITICO.  Matt Daily is the energy editor for POLITICO. For more news on energy and the environment, subscribe to Power Switch, our free evening newsletter: https://www.politico.com/power-switch And for even deeper coverage and analysis, read our Morning Energy newsletter by subscribing to POLITICO Pro: https://subscriber.politicopro.com/newsletter-archive/morning-energy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today Cem and Niels dissect a world quietly shifting beneath our feet.As markets hum along, Cem explains why the real story lies beneath the surface: a structural liquidity drain, a creeping stagflation that defies familiar playbooks, and a political regime shift few are pricing in. From Buffett's exit to dollar fragility, elite endowments tapping the bond market, and oil diplomacy with geopolitical undertones—this is a conversation about change in motion.But this episode doesn't stop at markets. It's about the narrative arc of societies under stress—about whether the West can summon the unity and courage to face its next great test.Insightful, urgent, and layered - this is the episode you will look back on and say: the clues were all there.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 01:17 - What has caught our attention recently?06:54 - Industry performance update08:44 - Inflation is coming - what now?16:43 - The Fed is stuck and the Trump administration is changing26:07 - If US debt defaults, what is left?29:32 - Are we experiencing the decline of the dollar?40:19 - The OPEC game43:21 - Reflecting on the conversation with Demetri Kofinas48:33 - What is courage as a society?50:49 - The West is being disunified...on purpose53:22 - Do we actually know who or what the real enemy is?58:58 - Cem's latest market forecastCopyright © 2024 –...

Kevin's thoughts on the election of the first American Pope. Kevin reacts to further comments by Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell and President Trump's reaction Powell's "wait and see" approach. Data from the U.S. Labor Department regarding Initial jobless claims and Worker Productivity were released; Kevin digs into the details and offers his opinion and insights. The first trade deal has been reached; Kevin has the who, what and when. Oil reacts to looming trade talks between the U.S. and China, the "breakthrough" deal with Great Britain, increasing crude oil production by OPEC+ and "tariff risk premium" replacing the global risk premium (Mideast tensions and Ukraine-Russian war). 

Recorded on May 7, 2025 and January 16, 2025 https://youtu.be/AsKA7RStov4 Episode 131 of the PetroNerds podcast is a true PetroNerds special. This podcast is the lecture Trisha Curtis gave at the Eisenhower School for National Security and Resource Strategy on January 23, 2025. In this lecture Trisha explains that energy is power, literally and figuratively, and she spends time putting energy in the context of geopolitics getting into the weeds on the US, China, and Russia. This introduction is special in and of itself. Trisha explains what is happening in oil prices and why they are oversold and gets into OPEC output increases and why this actually makes sense right now. In this heavy hitting geopolitical lecture Trisha covers Iran, Saudi Arabia, demand for power generation, energy realities and geopolitics, coal, natural gas, and oil, and net zero being a fantasy. She discusses US energy leverage and dominance that has not been leaned into and used, energy implications for auto manufacturing and military capacity, ammunition supply, implications for the global economy of traditional fuels, getting real on the energy transition, lack of information in the market place and the lack of appropriately evaluating traditional fuels. Trisha also covers the onerous regulations and aggressive green policies in Europe and their lack of participation in AI, their deindustrialization, and their inability to defend themselves. Trisha gets into oil prices, the health of the US and global economy, the role of natural gas prices and the impact to hurting US manufacturing, resiliency of US shale, natural gas prices and US oil and gas production, OPEC spare capacity and global spare capacity and Saudi production. She further discusses Germany's unhealthy economy, stagflation, high electricity prices, rising unemployment, and increasing manufacturing capacity sitting idle, and their exposure to China, the SPR and the actual use cases for it and selling off, Ford and CATL, climate change and the techolongs of wind, solar, and batteries in extreme temperatures, She covers the importance of infrastructure and pipelines, the US leaving the Paris Climate Accords, the US exporting more LNG and increasing global energy security, Chinese auto dumping and undercutting global manufacturing, and China's fictitious GDP growth. Trisha spends a lot of time in the Q&A talking about electricity, wind and solar, Chinese coal and competition, the US SPR and refilling it, US shale and execution during and coming out of COVID, longer laterals and less wells and less rigs, global primary energy consumption, AI and electricity demand, Chris Wright, LNG, and America being open for business. Listen on Itunes

Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna welcome Dr. Anas Alhajji to the show to discuss OPEC+ production increase & market reactions, Trump's visit and oil politics, and the long-term outlook for oil and LNG  & much more. https://bit.ly/43ldvBg What Do Saudi Arabia & Allies in OPEC+ Want from Accelerating the Unwinding of Voluntary Cuts? - Anas Alhajji   

Let's talk about OPEC, gas prices, Trump, and jobs....

Today we were thrilled to welcome our good friend Ashley Zumwalt-Forbes, former Deputy Director for Batteries and Critical Materials at the U.S. Department of Energy, to our offices in Houston. Ashley brings more than a decade of experience in acquiring, financing, and developing greenfield and brownfield mining projects, with deep expertise across the global mining supply chain. She served in the Biden Administration from January 2024 to January 2025, overseeing deployment of capital and tax incentives into the U.S. battery supply chain. Prior to her government service, Ashley was Co-Founder and President of Black Mountain Metals and Black Mountain Exploration. We were delighted to host Ashley for a timely and insightful conversation on the state of the global metals and minerals landscape. In our discussion, we explore the bipartisan consensus on reducing U.S. dependence on foreign-sourced metals and minerals, particularly from China. Ashley shares her experience at the DOE and her goal to buy down demand risk to attract private capital, especially for large-scale processing infrastructure. We discuss the surge of investment and momentum in lithium brine projects in the U.S. along with efforts to accelerate domestic mining, including the Trump Administration's move to expedite permits for 20 projects. Ashley outlines the tension between the desire to onshore more production and the current lack of downstream markets outside China, which remains a bottleneck for full supply chain development in the U.S. She shares innovative developments in processing methods, including China's nickel conversion efforts in Indonesia, the potential for copper to be codified as a critical mineral in upcoming legislation, and why permitting reform and seabed mining are bandaids for the larger challenge of unit economics in the U.S. Ashley further explains the difficulty in making margins at each U.S. supply chain stage, especially when compared to China's vertically integrated structure and non-profit-driven strategy, the benefits of targeted tariffs to protect nascent U.S. industries, and the lack of U.S. processing as the true choke point. She highlights the decline of U.S. stockpiles from Cold War levels to today, how the materials once stockpiled fueled the Allied victory in WWII, the depleted reserves in the U.S. today, the complexities involved in the U.S. minerals agreement with Ukraine, challenges in raising capital for mining projects, and the limited investor base. We also examine how structured government support will be essential for the U.S. to be competitive, Ashley's next steps in her pursuit of sourcing and supporting “weird and wonderful” mining transactions, and more. As you will hear, Ashley offers a unique mix of policy insight, deep market understanding, and a genuine passion for rebuilding the U.S. industrial base. We're thankful for her time and insights. Mike Bradley opened the discussion by noting that broader markets were down marginally for the day and that “Trumpatility” appears to be temporarily subsiding. He highlighted a handful of notable developments in energy markets over the past week, first being OPEC+ agreeing to another ~400kbpd increase in June oil production in addition to the ~400kbpd production increase in May, both of which are being done into an oversupplied global oil market. Saudi seems to be the main driver of the OPEC+ increases and offered several reasons for their actions at this juncture. The second development relates to a big change in E&P mindset that's occurred over the last couple of weeks at these lower oil price levels (high $50s/low $60s). A handful of E&Ps recently announced cuts to their 2025 capital programs (CTRA, EOG & FANG) and others are fully expected to announce cuts this week and next. The final development was Diamondback Energy's recent Letter to Stockholders (linked

The American Transportation Research Institute (ATRI) has released research defending the repeal of the Federal Excise Tax on new trucks and trucking equipment; you will not believe the amount of the tax and what the tax was to fund; Kevin reviews the data and offers his insights. U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright is evaluating loans issued from the $400 Billion Green Bank fast-tracked in the period between the time President Trump was elected and Inauguration Day; Kevin digs into the data. The U.S. Department of Transportation announced changes to a Federal Highway Administration rule for states to establish emission-reduction goals; Kevin discusses the reasons for the changes. Oil and gas prices react to changes on the demand side, geopolitical events in the Mideast, additional sanctions on Russia. OPEC+'s increase in production and the U.S. dollar fluctuation

[깊이 있는 경제뉴스] 1) 美 재무부장관, 이번 주 中측과 회동 예정 2) 美 연준, 금리 결정 D-1.. 韓 “금리인하 기조 유지” 3) OPEC+, 국제유가 급락에도 증산 결정.. 이유는? 4) 체코 법원, 한수원 원전 계약에 급제동.. 전망은? 5) 떠도는 MG손보.. 금융당국, ‘가교보험사' 검토 - 김치형 경제뉴스 큐레이터 - 손석우 경제뉴스 큐레이터 [친절한 경제] WTO는 왜 관세 문제를 해결하지 못 하고 있나요?

Group Chat News is back with the hottest stories of the week including all the updates on tariffs, Warren Buffett steps aside for Greg Abel, President Trump orders the reopening of Alcatraz, oil prices open nearly at -4% lower as OPEC prepares to hike production again and much more 

Oil prices drop to 4-year lows as OPEC+ agrees to hike output. Why one top energy analyst sees crude crumbling to $40 per barrel before pumping higher. Plus Ford reports earnings, Skechers laces up to go private, and Trump takes aim at movie studios with new tariff threats. How Needham's Senior Internet and Media Analyst Laura Martin sees it impacting the streaming landscape.Fast Money Disclaimer

Plus: Trump calls for a 100% tariff on movies made overseas. And oil tumbles after OPEC+ agrees on another large supply hike. Luke Vargas hosts. Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Senior visiting research fellow at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, Dr Shihab-Eldin joins us on The afikra Podcast to discuss his extensive career in nuclear and solar energy research, particularly his work in Kuwait on pioneering solar energy projects. We explore the challenges and potential of transitioning away from fossil fuels, the energy trilemma of affordability, security, and sustainability, and the role of decarbonization technologies. Dr Shihab-Eldin also reflects on the historical and future perspectives of energy supply and demand, the impact of carbon emissions, and the viability of nuclear power. We conclude with a discussion on climate change impacts in the Arab world and the necessity of international cooperation for future energy solutions.00:00 Introduction 01:12 Early Career and Solar Energy Initiatives04:10 Challenges and Opposition to Solar Energy05:37 Energy Reserves and Future Predictions09:19 The Energy Trilemma11:57 Environmental Impact and Efficiency23:40 Global Emissions and Climate Change29:51 Global Race and Industrialization31:04 Direct Air Capture Technology33:33 Scaling and Cost Challenges34:33 Political Will and Global Cooperation40:35 Renewable Energy and Solar Power43:59 Global Warming and Climate Change in the Arab World54:11 Nuclear Energy: Past, Present and Future59:24 Final ThoughtsAdnan Shihab-Eldin is a senior visiting research fellow at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies and a board member of the Kearney Energy Transition Institute. A former research physicist at Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, he has held academic and visiting positions at institutions such as Kuwait University, UC Berkeley, Harvard, and CERN. He previously served as director general and board member of the Kuwait Foundation for the Advancement of Sciences, and held senior roles at organizations including the IAEA, UNESCO, and OPEC. A long-standing member of the World Federation of Scientists' Energy Permanent Monitoring Panel, he also co-chairs its Management of Catastrophic Risks panel. Shihab-Eldin has received numerous honors, including the IAEE's 2023 award for Outstanding Contributions, the 2022 Spirit of Salam Award, and UC Berkeley's 2017 Elise and Walter A. Haas International Award.Hosted by:Mikey Muhanna

If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/The Treasury Secretary spoke through the financial media to Jay Powell. He had a very simple message for the Fed Chair: pay attention to the 2s. And Ronald McDonald. It's not just the Treasury market. If only that was the case, there is also a close relationship - therefore strong warning - coming via the oil market, too. This is already why OPEC is itself shifting to recession economics.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Bessent Says Two-Year Treasuries Signaling Fed Should Cuthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-01/bessent-says-two-year-treasuries-are-signaling-fed-should-cutBloomberg Understanding the Unlikely Saudi Push for Lower Oil Priceshttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-05-01/opec-puzzle-understanding-the-saudi-push-for-lower-oil-pricesCNN McDonald's just had its worst quarter since Covid. It said customers are getting nervoushttps://www.cnn.com/2025/05/01/investing/mcdonalds-earnings-first-quarter-2025https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Our Global Commodities Strategist Martijn Rats discusses the ongoing volatility in the oil market and potential macroeconomic scenarios for the rest of this year.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Martijn Rats, Morgan Stanley's Global Commodities Strategist. Today on the podcast – the uncertainty in the oil market and how it can play out for the rest of the year.It's Tuesday, April 29th, at 3pm in London.Now, notwithstanding the energy transition, the cornerstone of the world's energy system is still the oil market; and in that market, the most important price is the one for Brent crude oil. Therefore, fluctuations in oil prices can have powerful ripple effects on various industries and sectors, as well as on the average consumer who, of course, pays attention to gasoline prices at the pump. Now with that in mind, we are asking the question: what's been happening in the global oil market recently?Earlier this month, Brent crude oil prices dropped sharply, falling 12.5 per cent over just two trading sessions, from around 75 dollars a barrel to close to 65 dollar a barrel. That was primarily driven by two factors: first, worries about the impact of trade wars on the global economy and therefore on oil demand, after the Trump administration's announcement of reciprocal tariffs.Secondly, was OPEC's announcement that, notwithstanding all the demand uncertainty that this created, it would still accelerate supply growth, progressing not only with the planned production increases for May; but bring forward the planned production increases for June and July as well. Now you can imagine, when OPEC releases extra production whilst the GDP outlook is weakening, understandably, this weighs on the price of oil.Now to put things into context, two-day declines of 12.5 per cent are rare. The Brent futures market was created in 1988, and since then this has only happened 24 times, and 22 of those instances coincided with recessions. So therefore, some commentators have taken the recent drop as a potential sign of an impending recession.Now while Brent prices have recovered slightly from the recent lows, they're still very volatile as they continue to reflect the ongoing trade concerns, the economic outlook, and also a strong outlook for supply growth from OPEC and non-OPEC countries alike. The last few weeks have already seen unusually large speculator selling. So with that in mind, we suspect that oil prices will hold up in the near-term. However, we still see potential for further headwinds later in the year.In our base case scenario, we expect that demand growth will slow down to approximately 0.5 million barrels a day year-on-year by the second half of 2025, and that is down from an an initial estimate earlier in the year when were still forecasting about a million barrel a day growth over the same period. Now this slowdown – coupled with an increase in non-OPEC and OPEC supply – could result in an oversupply of the market of about a million barrels a day over the remainder of 2025. Now with that outlook, we believe that Brent prices could eventually drop further down into the low-$60s.That said, let's also consider a more bearish scenario. Oil demand has never grown continuously during recessions. So if tariffs and counter-tariffs tip the economy into recession, oil demand growth could also fall to zero. In such a situation, the surplus we're currently modeling could be substantially larger, possibly north of 1.5 million barrels a day. Now that would require non-OPEC production to slow down more severely to balance the market. In that scenario, we estimate that Brent prices may need to fall into the mid-$50s to create the necessary supply slowdown.On the flip side, there's also a bullish scenario where we and the market are all overestimating the demand impact. If oil demand doesn't slow down as much as we currently expect and OPEC were to revert quite quickly back to managing the supply side again, then inventories would still build but only slowly. Now in that case, Brent could actually return into the low-$70s as well.All in all, we would suspect that the twin headwinds of higher-than-expected trade tariffs and faster-than-expected OPEC+ quota increases will continue to weigh on oil prices in the months ahead. And so we have lowered our demand forecast for the second half of the year to just 0.5 million barrels a day, year-on-year. And we've also lowered our prices forecasts for 2026; we're now calling for $65 a barrel – that's $5 a barrel lower than we were forecasting before.Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.