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Today we were thrilled to host Julien Dumoulin-Smith, Managing Director of U.S. Power, Utilities, and Clean Energy Research at Jefferies. Julien joined the firm in July 2024 after serving as a Senior Research Analyst at Bank of America Merrill Lynch and as an Executive Director at UBS. He holds an MBA and a B.S. in Applied Mathematics from Columbia University. Institutional Investor magazine has ranked Julien as a #1 double-ranked analyst in both Utilities and Alternative/Clean Energy, and he was inducted into the II Hall of Fame for his cumulative accomplishments. It was our pleasure to welcome Julien to our office and hear his thoughtful perspectives on the ever-evolving energy and power landscape. In our discussion, we explore Julien's coverage universe, which he describes as “the full electron and derivatives landscape” spanning utilities, IPPs, renewables, gas plants, industrial adjacencies, and service providers. We discuss the influx of new investors entering power and utilities, Julien's observation that the biggest surprise isn't data center proliferation, but rather how tech companies are paying premiums for power to secure supply, and how utilities once seen as “defensive” are now showing growth characteristics. We touch on the tension between tech companies' need for rapid, large-scale power and their reluctance to become capital-intensive or FERC-regulated, why we're not seeing more long-term offtakes with existing power plants and how state level politics play into it, and how legacy players, new entrants, and regulators are all adapting to a power market being reshaped by AI demand, infrastructure bottlenecks, and novel deal structures. Julien shares that rising inflation across the economy is showing up in utility bills and expresses concern that LNG developers or data centers could be scapegoated for higher gas and power prices. He highlights the parabolic rise in the value of capacity and reliability, the drivers of power inflation including turbine shortages and rising capital costs, whether utilities are properly incentivized to control costs, the role of demand-response mechanisms, and how regulatory and state-level actions are shaping markets. We cover power market scenarios for high and low demand cases, the role of innovation in batteries, fuel cells, and other technologies, and the tension between patching existing systems versus building large-scale infrastructure. We also discuss constraints on ramping renewables, the growing influence of behind-the-meter power, implications for Q3 earnings, and much more. We covered a lot of territory and greatly enjoyed the conversation. To be added to Julien's research distribution list, click here. To start the show, Mike Bradley noted that markets continue to be mostly focused on the U.S. Government shutdown. The 10-year bond yield continues to trade sideways at ~4.1% with economic reports on pause until the government reopens. Internationally, Japan's Liberal Democratic Party elected Sanae Takaichi (who is viewed as fiscally expansionary), which some believe increases the risk of an unwind of the long-standing Yen carry trade. The S&P 500 is up roughly 80bps since the government shutdown, with Healthcare and Technology outperforming. He highlighted AMD's chip deal with OpenAI, which added roughly $70B in market cap, and Oracle's pullback on AI cloud margin concerns. On the crude oil market front, WTI price has increased modestly this week due to OPEC+ announcing a smaller than expected ~135kbpd oil production increase for November. While this could widen the 2026 surplus, traders are weighing when and how prices might react amid limited OPEC spare capacity. On the energy equity front, he pointed out FERMI America's strong IPO debut and continued investor enthusiasm for electricity generation. He ended by flagging the upcoming Rockpoint Gas Storage IPO (280bcf in Canada &
Later this week, we'll learn more about how the Federal Reserve decided to cut interest rates when the Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes of its most recent meeting. The document will give us clues about what's ahead and where FOMC members' priorities lie. Also on this morning's show: the IRS will now have a CEO, renewable energy becomes the world's largest electricity source, and OPEC producers decide to expand output.
Later this week, we'll learn more about how the Federal Reserve decided to cut interest rates when the Federal Open Market Committee releases the minutes of its most recent meeting. The document will give us clues about what's ahead and where FOMC members' priorities lie. Also on this morning's show: the IRS will now have a CEO, renewable energy becomes the world's largest electricity source, and OPEC producers decide to expand output.
OPEC this past weekend agreed to raise production into a falling market, putting it on the edge of confirming a major worldwide downturn. This is why, despite the crude cartel not increasing supply as much as feared, oil prices didn't really react. There are far greater problems plaguing the energy markets, including tightening dollar conditions which go right along with this major market warning. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------This is all exactly why Eurodollar University is holding a webinar on Tuesday October 14, at 6pm ET. To help you begin to unlearn the garbage that Economics has taught you and the financial media keeps repeating day after day after day. We're going to dive into the hidden story, really the hidden truth of interest rates to uncover the wealth of information they contain which is otherwise inaccessible to you and everyone else thanks to Economics and central banks. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------CNBC Oil rises more than 1% after OPEC+ hikes output less than expectedhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/06/oil-prices-gain-1percent-after-lower-than-expected-opec-output-hike.htmlBloomberg The Oil Market's 2026 Tsunami Will Be Costly to Financehttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-10-06/the-oil-market-s-2026-tsunami-will-be-costly-to-financeBloomberg Unsold Oil From Middle East Hints at Early Signs of Global Gluthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-02/unsold-oil-from-middle-east-hints-at-early-signs-of-global-gluthttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
The HC Commodities Podcast was invited to host a panel at the excellent Argus Global Markets Conference in London on September 30. We discussed how the commodities world is adapting trading strategies to markets now driven by Truths Socials, algorithmic sentiment, shifting geopolitics and increasing government intervention. A world where the fundamentals of supply and demand are only part of the picture. Is this new or just a reversion to a more normal world? Is it cyclical or structural? What does it mean for skillsets and participants? Our excellent panelists discuss: Saad Rahim, Chief Economist at Trafigura, David Fyfe, Chief Economist at Argus, Nick Kumleben of Greenmantle and Kurt Chapman, legendary oil trader and Director at Levmet.
Oil prices are higher after OPEC+ announced a monthly production hike, Bitcoin hit a high of nearly $126,000 over the weekend, Tesla is teasing fans with what might be a new car model, Italy's foreign ministry says the country is working with the European Commission to pressure the U.S. to reconsider a pasta-related tariff, and “Call Her Daddy” podcaster Alex Cooper has launched an advertising agency. Squawk Box is hosted by Joe Kernen, Becky Quick and Andrew Ross Sorkin. Follow Squawk Pod for the best moments, interviews and analysis from our TV show in an audio-first format. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
APAC stocks began the week mixed amid several holiday closures throughout the week and the ongoing US government shutdown.Nikkei 225 rallied, JPY fell and the JGB curve steepened amid hopes of fiscal loosening and a delay to BoJ policy normalisation following Sanae Takaichi's LDP leadership victory.Crude futures gained after OPEC+ producers agreed to a modest production increase of 137k bpd in November.Israel and Hamas are preparing for mediated negotiations on Monday in Egypt; hopes for a ceasefire have increased.NEC Director Hassett commented that mass layoffs of federal workers will begin if President Trump sees that shutdown talks are going nowhere.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ Construction PMI (Sep), Sentix (Oct), Retail Sales (Aug), US Employment Trends (Sep), New Zealand NZIER (Q3), BoE's Bailey, ECB's de Guindos, Lane, Escriva & Lagarde.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
HEADLINE: Russian Economic Crisis Driven by Budget Strain and Oil Market Competition GUEST NAME: Michael Bernstam SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Michael Bernstam about Russia's deteriorating economy and budget crisis. After three years of "military Keynesianism" driving manufacturing expansion, the labor force is exhausted and the government faces severe financial constraints. The new budget forecasts declining capital investment for the first time in decades, with military spending dropping 5.8% nominally. Russia increased profit taxes from 20% to 25% and is raising the value-added tax. Oil revenues, providing one-third of budget income, are declining due to global competition. With production costs of $42-44 per barrel plus required $15 discounts, Russia cannot compete effectively. The US shale revolution, producing 14 million barrels daily, drives OPEC's market share fight. OPEC's October 5 meeting will determine November quotas, with increases of at least 137,000 barrels per day expected, accelerating price declines. Taiwan purchases NAFTA, a refined oil product essential for semiconductors, from Russia at $70-80 per barrel, but only due to discounts. Bernstam concludes that capitalism, markets, and technological revolution—not military action—will ultimately challenge Russia, as US technological progress has added 8 million barrels of oil daily since 2004.
Eric Criscuolo, Market Strategist at the NYSE, recaps a strong start to Q4 as tech and small caps led gains. A government shutdown delayed key data, but private reports showed labor market weakness. M&A activity surged, with major deals across sectors. Healthcare outperformed on Pfizer news, while energy and financials lagged. Criscuolo flags CPI, FOMC minutes, and OPEC's meeting as next week's key drivers.
Kevin talks about the Federal Government Shutdown; What the Department of Transportation's shutdown plan means for trucking; on Sept. 26th Secretary Sean Duffy, Department of Transportation, declared a "national emergency" over states handling of commercial driver licenses for noncitizens; oil and gas prices react to concerns about oversupply of crude oil; a potential OPEC+ crude oil production increase; rising crude oil, gasoline and distillate inventories as refining activity and demand is softening; Kevin has the details, digs into the information, puts the data into historical perspective, offers his insights and a few opinions along the way.
Josh Young, Portfolio Manager at Bison Interests, stops by the Energy News Beat and Energy Impacts Podcasts with Stu Turley and David Blackmon for an in-depth look at the global oil and gas financial markets. In this powerful discussion, the trio dives into the latest developments shaping the energy landscape, from OPEC+ production strategies and Russia's role in global supply, to California's refinery challenges and the growing demand for natural gas driven by AI and data centers.Josh also shares valuable insights from his work at Bison Interests and Bison Insights Substack, exploring investment trends, ESG's real impact on the energy sector, and what the future could hold for oil and gas prices. Whether you're an investor, energy professional, or just someone wanting to understand the forces behind the markets, this episode offers a sharp, candid look at what's next for the global energy economy.Highlights of the Podcast00:00 – Opening & Introductions04:08 – Bison Interests & Building Bison Insights08:04 – Global Oil Markets & Russia's Influence13:14 – OPEC+ Spare Capacity Debate20:49 – California Energy Policy & Refinery Fires33:08 – ESG, Corporate Governance & Oil Majors41:35 – Layoffs at Imperial Oil & Corporate Culture44:57 – U.S. Industry Leadership & Historical Parallels47:17 – Methane Leakage, NGOs & Policy Critique55:01 – AI, Data Centers & Natural Gas Demand01:02:47 – Power Generation & Gas Turbine Shortages01:05:26 – Government Shutdown Impacts01:10:52 – Nuclear Energy Stocks & Market Bubble01:15:34 – Market Rally & Economic Insights
We are back on the road this week for an insightful visit with Ray Zage, CEO of Tiga Investments, and Shon Hiatt, Director of the Zage Business of Energy Initiative and Associate Professor of Business Administration at the University of Southern California. Ray is a seasoned global investor who has led Tiga since 2017. He began his career at Goldman Sachs and has held roles in Singapore, New York, and Los Angeles. He serves on multiple boards and also advises early-stage technology ventures. Shon joined the USC Marshall School of Business from Harvard in 2014 and is also a Distinguished Fellow at the Hamm Institute for American Energy. His research focuses on entrepreneurship, global strategy, innovation and sustainability. This week, USC is hosting its annual Energy Business Summit (details here). We were delighted to spend time with Ray and Shon to hear their perspectives on today's evolving academic and energy landscape. In our conversation, we discuss the Zage Business of Energy Initiative and its mission to build a pipeline of future energy leaders equipped to develop practical investment approaches and spark innovation and entrepreneurship across industries. Shon reflects on his research in Europe, noting parallels with California's energy challenges, and Ray shares his motivation to support broader, more objective research in energy beyond just “cleanliness,” shaped in part by his experiences across Asia and his perspective on long-term, balanced energy policy. We explore the history of energy at USC, California's refining and energy policy challenges, lessons from Asia, China, and Singapore's long-term planning, the growing energy needs of data centers in Asia versus the U.S., and the strategic positioning of countries like Singapore. We touch on the USC Energy Business Summit and its lineup of topics from energy storage and renewables, nuclear energy, and AI and energy demand, as well as the growing interest among students in pursuing energy careers. We address global electricity demand trends, energy affordability in emerging economies, the impacts of geopolitical instability on energy security, China's energy strategy, the global competition for raw materials, nuclear power developments, Silicon Valley's growing embrace of nuclear and natural gas, the need for durable laws to support long-term energy investment, and more. We greatly enjoyed the discussion and appreciate Shon and Ray for joining. Mike Bradley kicked us off by noting that markets were largely focused this week on the impending U.S. government shutdown. Over the past 50 years, there have been 21 shutdowns with an average length of 7-8 days. The longest shutdown was 35 days (Dec. 2018 to Jan. 2019), which occurred during President Trump's first term. On the bond market front, the 10-year bond yield (4.15%) was down marginally this week on the impending shutdown. Bond markets are mostly focused on employment reports this week (JOLTS Job Openings, Initial Jobless Claims and Nonfarm Payrolls) which would be delayed in a shutdown. On the broader equity market front, the S&P 500 seems to be in “no man's land” at least until investors see the outcome and duration of this impending shutdown. On the crude oil market front, WTI price was down ~$3/bbl (~$63/bbl) this week for a couple potential reasons. Oil traders are growing concerned that OPEC+ could announce an oil production increase for November of 500kbpd (and 1.5mmbpd over the next three months) at their October 5th Meeting, which would increase the 2026 global oil surplus even further. In addition, President Trump's Gaza Peace Plan may also be weighing a little bit on oil price because it eliminates any “perceived” war premium in oil prices. He ended by discussing the impending Fermi America IPO (FRMI). Fermi, co-founded by former Energy Secretary Rick Perry, is a planned 11 GW energy and data center c
APAC stocks traded mixed following modest gains on Wall Street, with focus on the length of the US government shutdown after the Senate rejected the House-passed CR, whilst Chinese participants were away for Golden Week.The Senate has rejected the House-passed CR (as expected), cementing a shutdown, while House and Senate GOP leaders will hold a 10 a.m. (15:00 BST) news conference Wednesday, according to Politico, citing sources.BoJ Tankan Survey came in mixed and not strong enough to trigger hawkish repricing. Pricing tilted incrementally dovish as the dust settled, with a BoJ official noting firms were divided on the impact of US tariffs.The OPEC Secretariat firmly rejected media reports alleging that the OPEC-8 countries are planning to increase production by 500k bpd, calling the claims wholly inaccurate and misleading. Looking ahead, highlights include EZ & UK Final Manufacturing PMI (Sep), EZ Flash HICP (Sep), US ADP (Sep), ISM Manufacturing (Sep), Atlanta Fed GDP, BoC Minutes, Fed's Barkin, ECB's Elderson, de Guindos, Rehn, BoC's Rogers, supply from UK and Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Donald Trump przedstawił plan zakończenia wojny Izrael–Hamas, w Polsce rusza system kaucyjny, OPEC+ rozważa zwiększenie produkcji ropy, a Jastrzębska Spółka Węglowa notuje miliardowe straty.0:00 - Skrót najważniejszych informacji0:55 - Plan Trumpa wobec Gazy2:22 - Start systemu kaucyjnego3:43 - Najważniejsze informacje z polskiej gospodarki4:33 - Najważniejsze informacje ze światowej gospodarki08:40 - Kłopoty JSW 09:45 - Dane z rynków i kalendariumKup subskrypcję „Rzeczpospolitej” pod adresem: czytaj.rp.pl
European markets closed higher yesterday, buoyed by strong performances in the healthcare and luxury sectors. In the US, concerns over a potential government shutdown failed to dampen investor sentiment, as a rebound in AI-related stocks helped support equity markets. Beyond market movements, President Trump unveiled a proposed plan to address the conflict in Gaza, alongside announcing a new wave of tariffs targeting a wide range of goods from films to furniture. In commodities, gold continues its impressive rally, reaching yet another record high. Meanwhile, oil prices declined sharply amid expectations that OPEC+ may increase output in November. Joining us on today's episode is James Haunso from Next Generation Research, who shares a timely and insightful update on the cybersecurity investment theme.(00:00) - Introduction: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content (00:35) - Markets wrap-up: Lucija Caculovic, Product & Investment Content (07:15) - Cybersecurity: James Haunso, Next Generation Research (12:04) - Closing remarks: Bernadette Anderko, Product & Investment Content Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
USDA quarterly stocks pressured corn and wheat with larger carryouts, soybeans slightly friendly. Cattle rebounded after early weakness, hogs retreated, gold hit records, crude slipped on OPEC output talk.
Wall Street recorded another positive session despite markets preparing for a US government shutdown and delays to key economic data releases such as the jobs report on Friday. S&P 500 up 0.4%, Nasdaq rose 0.3%. Dow was choppy from open but found strength in the last hour. Closed near high, up 82 points. Broadly positive sector performance. Healthcare the best performer, boosted by Pfizer rising 6.8% after Trump said he'd cut all prices in Medicaid for lowest-income Americans and expected other pharmaceutical companies to follow suit. Industrials and Materials also contributed positively to gains. Energy followed oil down as +OPEC plans a supply hike, while Financials and Cyclicals rounded out the negative performers.ASX to open flat. SPI futures down 5 points (-0.06%).Want to invest with Marcus Today? The Managed Strategy Portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services. Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.
In this podcast, Bassam Fattouh discusses with Paul Horsnell the latest developments in oil market and the outlook for the rest of this year and 2026. The podcast addresses some key questions shaping the oil market including: What have been the impacts of the latest decisions by the eight OPEC+ countries on market dynamics, […] The post OIES Podcast – Key trends shaping the oil market appeared first on Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.
Ad agosto, dopo due mesi consecutivi di crescita congiunturale, secondo l’Istat l’export verso i paesi extra Ue registra un’ampia riduzione. Le più forti calano verso Turchia (-26,1%) e Stati Uniti (-21,2%). Sul fronte importazioni le contrazioni più ampie riguardano Regno Unito (-36,6%) e paesi Opec (-27,1%), mentre crescono gli acquisti da Stati Uniti (+68,5%) e paesi Asean (+13,6%). Questi dati arrivano dopo la nuova raffica di dazi annunciati dal presidente Usa Donald Trump, in vigore dal primo ottobre: tariffe al 100% sui film realizzati all’estero, dazi al 50% su mobili da cucina e da bagno, dazi al 100% sui farmaci di marca o brevettati non prodotti negli Usa ed estensione del 25% alle importazioni di camion pesanti. La Casa Bianca non ha ancora chiarito se i prodotti europei saranno esclusi e, in caso contrario, si tratterebbe di una violazione dell’accordo con Bruxelles, che non è ancora giuridicamente vincolante. Intanto la Commissione Ue, attraverso il portavoce Olof Gill, si dice tranquilla ricordando il limite tariffario globale del 15% per le esportazioni europee di farmaci, legname e semiconduttori inserito nell’accordo quadro, che garantisce agli operatori economici Ue che non saranno applicate tariffe più elevate. Affrontiamo il tema con Lucio Miranda, presidente e fondatore Export USA.Moda a Milano, l’indotto della fashion week sfiora i 240 milioni di euroSi è chiusa la Milano Fashion Week con sette giorni di sfilate, presentazioni ed eventi, oltre 170 appuntamenti ufficiali e circa 1.000 showroom. L’impatto economico sulla città è stimato in 238,9 milioni di euro, +12,3% rispetto a settembre 2024. Quasi la metà è destinata allo shopping, il 39% a ristorazione e alloggi, il 15% ai trasporti. Cresce quindi l’indotto ma cala la spesa media, mentre resta difficile la situazione di molte imprese del tessile e dell’abbigliamento, strette tra debolezza della domanda e costi energetici. Secondo l’Osservatorio Crif il tasso di default delle società del settore è salito al 3,3% nel primo semestre 2024, sopra la media manifatturiera del 2,5%. Una possibile strada è la Cina, tra supply chain digitalizzate, sostenibilità e tecnologie innovative. Pitti e Accademia del Lusso hanno firmato un memorandum con scambi, cooperazione commerciale e investimenti italiani per lo sviluppo dei marchi moda. Andiamo dietro la notizia con Alessandro Plateroti, direttore Newsmondo.itEx Ilva, sindacati non partecipano al tavolo sulla cig straordinaria: Attendiamo convocazione a Palazzo ChigiFim, Fiom, Uilm e Usb non partecipano all’incontro convocato dal ministero del Lavoro sulla cig straordinaria all’ex Ilva. Chiedono che sia Palazzo Chigi a convocare un tavolo che chiarisca il percorso del governo e della struttura commissariale, considerando i 4.450 lavoratori coinvolti. I commissari straordinari hanno ricevuto una decina di manifestazioni di interesse, da attori nazionali e internazionali, e si sono dati una o due settimane per valutare. Dopo l’uscita di Baku Steel e Jindal, restano in campo i fondi americani Bedrock e Flacks con Steel Business Europe per rilevare l’intero gruppo. Altri puntano a singoli asset: Renexia al futuro impianto Dri, Marcegaglia e Imc alla controllata francese Socova, Marcegaglia e Sideralba ai tubifici, e la cordata Profilmec, Eusider e Marcegalia all’acciaieria di Racconigi. C’è anche l’offerta simbolica di Alleanza Verdi e Sinistra di Taranto che propone 2 euro per chiudere gli altiforni, non compatibile con i criteri della gara. Il ministro Urso riconosce una situazione complessa, aggravata dalle questioni giudiziarie e dal blocco di un altoforno, e ribadisce che la priorità è esaminare le offerte sull’intero asset, con la vendita a pezzi come seconda opzione. Interviene Paolo Bricco, Il Sole 24 Ore
APAC stocks eventually traded mostly firmer following the positive Wall Street performance on Friday, albeit participants remain cautious ahead of a risk-packed week that culminates with Friday's US jobs report.US President Trump said he will discuss the looming government shutdown with congressional leaders on Monday and believes Democrats may want to make a deal; he added that if Democrats refuse to make a deal, "the country closes", according to Reuters.The Trump administration is reportedly considering tariffs on foreign electronic devices based on the number of chips in each device, according to Reuters sources.OPEC+ will likely raise oil production quotas by at least 137k bpd at its October 5th meeting, according to Reuters, citing sources.European equity futures are indicative of a firmer cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.3% after cash closed +1.0% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish CPI Flash (Sep), EZ Sentiment (Sep). ECB's Cipollone, Muller, Kazaks, Schnabel, Lane, BoE's Ramsden, Fed's Waller, Hammack, Musalem, Williams, Bostic, and UK Chancellor Reeves. Events include Bank of Israel Announcement, Labour Party Conference (29th Sept - 1st Oct). Earnings from Jefferies, Carnival.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
A firmer start to the week for equities, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.3%, ES +0.5%; focus on a packed labour market agenda for the week and the looming US gov't shutdown.President Trump will be meeting with congressional leaders at 20:00BST/15:00ET; ahead of this, Trump has said if the Democrats refuse to make a deal "the country closes".USD pulling back from last week's data induced gains, JPY leads into a packed week and supported by BoJ's Noguchi. EUR & GBP also firmerFixed benchmarks in the green, Bunds lead after mostly cooler-than-expected Spanish flash figures, Gilts await Chancellor ReevesCrude curtaield by OPEC+ production reports, XAU at another ATH, Copper posting modest gainsLooking ahead, highlights include ECB's Cipollone, Muller, Kazaks, Schnabel, Lane, BoE's Ramsden, Fed's Waller, Hammack, Musalem, Williams, Bostic. Events include Bank of Israel Announcement, Labour Party Conference (29th Sept - 1st Oct). Earnings from Jefferies, Carnival.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
In this episode of Energy Newsbeat Daily Standup, Stuart Turley and Michael Tanner cover the energy sector's shifting tides as advertisers return to Big Oil, driven by financial realities and AI disruption. They highlight growing concerns over Chinese lithium batteries tied to a South Korean cyber incident and rising U.S. shale breakeven costs nearing $95/barrel. The Dallas Fed Survey reveals deep frustration in the shale patch over political and economic instability. They also touch on OPEC+ capacity concerns, a possible output hike, and Occidental's $10B sale of its OxyChem unit—signaling major changes ahead in global energy markets.Subscribe to Our Substack For Daily InsightsWant to Add Oil & Gas To Your Portfolio? Fill Out Our Oil & Gas Portfolio SurveyNeed Power For Your Data Center, Hospital, or Business?Follow Stuart On LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/stuturley/ and Twitter: https://twitter.com/STUARTTURLEY16Follow Michael On LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/michaelta... and Twitter: https://twitter.com/mtanner_1Timestamps:Highlights of the Podcast 00:00 - Intro00:12 - Why Advertisers Are Returning to Big Oil Despite Net-Zero Pledges02:25 - Chinese Lithium Battery System Took down South Korean Intelligence Agency, and Texas has 1200 of these installed04:37 - Dallas Fed Survey Reveals Unrest in America's Shale Patch14:08 - U.S. Shale Costs to Soar to $95 per Barrel Within a Decade21:19 - Markets Update21:46 - OPEC+ is poised to slip further below oil output target22:43 - Exclusive: OPEC+ plans another oil output hike in November, sources say25:15 - Occidental in talks to sell OxyChem unit for at least $10 billion, FT reports28:53 - OutroLinks to articles discussed:Why Advertisers Are Returning to Big Oil Despite Net-Zero PledgesChinese Lithium Battery System Took down South Korean Intelligence Agency, and Texas has 1200 of these installedDallas Fed Survey Reveals Unrest in America's Shale PatchU.S. Shale Costs to Soar to $95 per Barrel Within a Decade
Join Tom and Ryan as they discuss the week ahead in Aussie and global markets. Tech stocks led Wall Street higher as investors weighed the risk of a potential government shutdown, with US bond yields easing on the uncertainty. Robinhood shares climbed on strong prediction market volumes, while Barrick and Newmont announced leadership changes as gold surged to a fresh record high amid growing bets on rate cuts. Meanwhile, oil prices fell more than 3% as OPEC signalled plans to hike output. Back home, Aussie shares are set to open higher for a fourth straight session ahead of the RBA’s interest rate decision, where policymakers are expected to hold rates and await critical data. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Kia ora,Welcome to Tuesday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news gold is soaring on US missteps, and oil is falling as demand falters while supply is rising fast.Overnight US data was mixed. August pending home sales came in a little better than expected, up +4.0% from July, but only up +3.8% from year ago levels which themselves were relatively stunted. Less than 20% of American realtors expect the next three months to improve.But the Dallas Fed factory survey reported a sharpish turn lower, a second consecutive monthly contraction in manufacturing activity and the steepest since June. But they still have growth, just far less. New orders dipped again. Costs continue to rise faster than selling prices.The chances of a US federal government shutdown are rising with compromise no longer in anyone's vocabulary. Trump thinks no-one will blame him for his intransigence.And apparently, the next US tariff target is movie production - something both Australian and New Zealand creative industries will look at with trepidation.Singapore reported their producer prices rose. They grew by +1.1% in August from a year ago, after a -2.4% drop in the previous month. And this was their first producer price inflation since March 2025.Later today, China will release its August PMI data, the key releases before their Golden Week holiday break that starts tomorrow.In India, industrial production rose +4.0% in August from a year ago, slowing slightly from the upwardly revised 4.3% growth rate in July, but less than the expected +5% increase. Still, the result continued a reasonable first half of the year, showing that initial tariffs by the Americans did not have a significant immediate impact on their industrial activity.But today's big news will be the RBA's upcoming rate review. Analysts expect no change at 3.6%. Financial markets are of the same view with nothing priced in to secondary market wholesale rates. But the RBA will be weighing the impact of relatively strong labour markets, good economic growth, low budget deficits and a strong fiscal impulse, along with rising CPI inflation touching 3.0% in August. Waiting could leave them with a harder-to-control inflation problem, although to be fair, no-one expects a rise today even if many think it would be warranted and wise.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.14%, down -5 bps from yesterday.The price of gold will start today at US$3830/oz, up +US$72 from yesterday and a new all-time high. Silver had yet another big spurt, now almost at US$47/oz. This latest surge puts the US gold stockpile at Fort Knox and the NY Fed now worth more than US$1 tln.American oil prices are down a sharpish -US$2 at just over US$63/bbl, with the international Brent price now just over US$67.50/bbl. With global demand wavering, the planned OPEC increase, plus the resumption of Iraqi oil from their Kurdistan region has traders talking about a glut.The Kiwi dollar is at just over 57.8 USc and up +10 bps from yesterday. Against the Aussie however we are down -25 bps at 87.9 AUc and that is the lowest in three years. Against the euro we are little-changed at 49.3 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just on 65.1, down -10 bps.The bitcoin price starts today at US$113,795 and up +3.2% from yesterday. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest at under +/- 1.8%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.
Wall Street recorded a positive session as markets were unmoved by a potential US government shutdown over funding issues and hawkish commentary by FED officials. S&P 500 up 0.3%, Nasdaq rose 0.5%. Dow dropped at open, was choppy for much of the session, but found strength from about 1:30pm and steadily rose throughout the remainder of the day. Closed near high, up 69 points. Broadly positive sector performance. Energy the only negative performer, followed oil down on reports of +OPEC increasing supply. Cyclicals the best performer, boosted by a 1.1% rise in Amazon after it settled a FTC lawsuit for $2.5Bn over Prime sign-ups and cancellation difficulties, biggest civil penalty in FTC history. Industrials, Materials and Healthcare also contributed to the broad-based positive sector performance.ASX to rise. SPI futures up 15 points (+0.17%).Want to invest with Marcus Today? The Managed Strategy Portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services. Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.
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Wall Street ended a three-day losing streak after the latest inflation report, with the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation coming in line with economists’ expectations. This relief saw buyers push most sectors higher. Pharma stocks jumped on tariff news and game maker Electronic Arts surged on reports of a potential $50 billion buyout. Energy shares also led weekly gains ahead of the OPEC meeting. Still, concerns over a possible government shutdown weighed on sentiment heading into the week. Back home, futures point to a modest gain for the ASX 200 on Monday ahead of the RBA’s two-day meeting. The content in this podcast is prepared, approved and distributed in Australia by Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814. The information does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Consider the appropriateness of the information before acting and if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
WATCH the video on Substack by clicking the play button above or on YouTube (here).STREAM audio only on Apple Podcasts (here), Spotify (here), or your favorite podcast player app.DOWNLOAD a pdf of the slide deck by clicking the blue Download button below.For the past month or so we have been pushing back on the “oil glut” narrative and the pervasive oil gloom that has existed really since Liberation Day in early April of this year, which coincided with news of an accelerated unwind of OPEC quota cuts. Another week has gone by. We are now nearly at the end of September and firmly in the post summer, pre-winter “shoulder months” period for refinery runs that in prior periods of weak balances has seen crude soften. At least through the September 24th recording date of this video, crude oil prices are hanging in there around the mid-$60s.This week we check-in on where traditional energy stands in terms of growth and profitability, which are the drivers of absolute and relative equity performance. As we have previously noted, the biggest challenge the sector faces is not unfavorable narratives from leading macro agencies or environmental activists, but a now nearly 2-year period of EPS underperformance and a softening in profitability metrics. Our two key messages this week are (1) we believe we are now much closer to the trough of what we think has been a 2-2.5-year mini-downcycle following peak oil prices seen immediately after the start of the Russia-Ukraine War in 2022. and (2) As a result of where current profitability is and where we think it is headed in coming years, Energy should close the gap between its current discounted 3% market cap weighting in favor of its 5% earnings weighting in the S&P 500.It remains our view that 2020 marked the bottom of a structural downcycle that began in 2008 and that 2025 will ultimately prove to be year 5 of a structurally better period for profitability that we expect to last through at least the end of this decade. We reiterate our long-standing call that the energy sector will return to a market cap weighting in the S&P 500 closer to its historic 8%-10% range.
India's oil future is being shaped by global power moves and hidden agendas. What does this mean for the Indian economy and global energy security.In this episode of The Core Report Weekend Edition, Govindraj Ethiraj will be in conversation with energy expert Dr Anas Al Hajji to uncover the real story behind India's dependence on Russian oil, US tariffs on imports, and the role of OPEC, China, and Europe.Why is the International Energy Agency often wrong in its forecasts. How are India's refineries preparing for shifting crude supplies. Could China's oil storage strategy reshape global prices. And what really determines whether sanctions on Russia work or fail.We explore the truth about oil demand growth, future energy prices, and the geopolitical tensions driving markets. From India's energy security to US China trade wars, from Russia's oil exports to Canada's pipelines, this is a deep dive into the forces that will shape oil and energy markets through 2026.If you want to understand the next surge in oil demand, the risks for India's economy, and the opportunities for business leaders, this conversation is a must watch.Stay with us for sharp insights, expert analysis, and clear answers on where India and the world are heading in the global oil game.Join & Interact anonymously on our WhatsApp channel (https://tinyurl.com/The-Core-WhatsApp-Channel) Subscribe to our Newsletter (https://www.thecore.in/newsletters/thecorenewsletter)Follow Us on Social Media for More Updates:Twitter (https://twitter.com/the_core_in)Instagram (https://www.instagram.com/the.core.in/)Facebook (https://www.facebook.com/thecore.biz/)Linkedin (https://www.linkedin.com/company/thecore-in)Youtube (https://www.youtube.com/@thecore_in)
In this episode of Energy Newsbeat – Conversations in Energy, Stu Turley dives deep with Trisha Curtis, CEO of PetroNerds, in a no-holds-barred conversation on the myths of peak Permian, U.S. shale resilience, OPEC's bluff, China's global energy influence, rising electricity costs, the EU's energy collapse, and the urgent need for pragmatic U.S. energy policy. From oilfield boots-on-the-ground insights to the geopolitical chessboard, this is a masterclass in energy dominance, national security, and market realities. Don't miss it.Topics Covered:Is the Permian peaking or just getting started?Why U.S. oil & gas output keeps defying forecastsOPEC's spare capacity myth and Saudi strategyHow China weaponizes energy and manufacturingThe U.S. refining edge (and why it's at risk)Colorado, California, and the cost of bad energy policyEurope's energy collapse & reindustrialization threatsWhy power generation = national securityThe truth about LNG, coal, and blackout risksWatch, share, and subscribe to stay informed on the real energy stories behind the headlines.Highlights of the Podcast 00:00 - Intro01:07 - Topics: Peak Oil & OPEC01:50 - Peak Permian? Not Yet05:47 - Permian Gas & Decline Curves07:02 - U.S. Refining & Exports09:43 - Alaska, Gulf, California12:04 - China's Global Energy Push15:43 - OPEC Capacity Reality Check20:11 - Saudi Break-Even & Output24:06 - CO Energy Policy Fails27:53 - Utilities & Electricity Costs31:16 - Net Zero vs. Reality35:51 - France & EU Energy Collapse39:07 - Nuclear, LNG & China Risk42:13 - Blackouts & Coal Comeback44:29 - Gillette Coal Power Tour47:19 - Pipelines & NY Policy50:14 - Iran, Hamas, Middle East Risk51:58 - Dark Tankers & Sanctions55:21 - Russia's Oil Gameplan01:01:40 - Ukraine Ceasefire Risks01:03:36 - Exxon, Ruble & Russia Tax01:05:28 - U.S. Energy Dominance01:07:13 - Connect with Trisha CurtisConnect with Trisha on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/trisha-curtis-petronerds/Or her website: https://petronerds.com/
Recorded on September 11, 2025 and August 28, 2025 https://youtu.be/Z2sqvKk7bCo Episode 140 of the PetroNerds podcast is another energy dense, hot off the press, keynote address that Trisha Curtis recently gave in Midland, Texas. Trisha introduces this podcast with a fresh market update on oil prices, the Fed, escalating geopolitical risk with Russian drones entering Poland, and increasing drone and missile attacks on Ukraine. In this podcast Trisha Curtis, CEO of PetroNerds, sits down with Breanna Oakley, Tax Partner at Whitley Penn, at the Midland Petroleum Club for a keynote address and fireside chat kicking off Whitley Penn's Fuel of the Future conference series. Breanna asks Trisha a series of questions from oil and natural gas prices to what is happening with the Federal Reserve and interest rates? Trisha gets into the drivers of oil prices, global supply and demand, US shale production, "peak shale," natural gas prices, and the excitement around AI. Trisha further dives into geopolitics, OPEC production and Saudi production increases, and Russia's war in Ukraine. Breanna also asks Trisha about the economy and Trisha dives into the health of the US consumer, the Fed, interest rates, and China. Trisha also talks about the Permian Basin specifically, how folks are feeling with prices in the low $60s, and what this means for drilling and completion activity. Listen on Itunes
WATCH the video on Substack by clicking the play button above or on YouTube (here).STREAM audio only on Apple Podcasts (here), Spotify (here), or your favorite podcast player app.As all of you that have been watching our video podcasts or reading our posts over the years by now surely know, our focus at Super-Spiked and at Veriten has been on the long-term outlook for the energy sector, not the shorter-term oil price guessing game. But in recent weeks, we have not been able to resist weighing in on what we think is an excessively bearish consensus view of oil prices—the perceived massive oil glut—that has been weighing heavily on energy equity sentiment since the early April so-called "Liberation Day" tariff announcements that coincided with OPEC+ accelerating the unwind of a series of voluntary production cuts. That double whammy has driven an overwhelming consensus sentiment to be bearish oil demand while also assuming a surge in both non-OPEC and OPEC crude supply would drive oil prices to $50 or lower in 2025. But we are now 5.5 months past that early April bearish shift, and crude oil prices, at least so far, are proving far more resilient than expected even as OPEC+ has made incremental moves to unwind production cuts. Last week in a written post (here), we linked the excessive bearish near-term sentiment to a similar overhang that exists on the long-term oil view, where there is still a lingering let's call it a "net zero world" overhang that crude oil demand will peak in coming years or at best have minimal growth. We have observed that using OPEC Research analyses, rather than the IEA as a baseline, shows far less cyclical or structural crude oil oversupply. Yes, there is a still some softness that might be expected for coming months, but nothing like the "oil glut" that everyone fears.This week we follow up on last week's written post on this topic to set the record straight on a couple of items, address pushbacks to our pushback to anti-oil and gas macro biases in short-term analyses, and raise some new points on the near- and long-term oil macro outlook. There are 4 major areas we will discuss: (1) how we are thinking about OPEC+'s quota unwind; (2) China oil demand; (3) the role of US shale going forward; and (4) is there any chance the oil glut bears could still be proven correct.
In this episode of the Energy Newsbeat Daily Standup - Weekly Recap, Stu Turley and Michael Tanner dive into Oklo's $168B nuclear fuel recycling milestone, Scott Bessent's explosive critique of the Federal Reserve, and the geopolitical oil chessboard as OPEC+ eyes an October production increase. They also unpack California's failed refinery bailout, widespread oil & gas job cuts, and the 71% plunge in exploration capex. From Tennessee to Tehran, the duo challenges media narratives on “oil gluts,” inflation, and energy policy hypocrisy—all with charts, laughs, and hard-hitting analysis.Subscribe to Our Substack For Daily InsightsWant to Add Oil & Gas To Your Portfolio? Fill Out Our Oil & Gas Portfolio SurveyNeed Power For Your Data Center, Hospital, or Business?Follow Stuart On LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/stuturley/ and Twitter: https://twitter.com/STUARTTURLEY16Follow Michael On LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/michaelta... and Twitter: https://twitter.com/mtanner_1Timestamps:Highlights of the Podcast 00:00 - Intro00:12 - Oklo Commences First Phase Construction on Nuclear Fuel Recycling Facility02:19 - Treasury Secretary Bessent Says Fed ‘Must Change Course,' Demands an Entire Review07:59 - OPEC+ Agrees in Principle to Increase Production in October13:33 - California in Talks to Pay Hundreds of Millions to Valero to Stave Off Refinery Shutdown17:04 - Job Cuts Rock Global Oil and Gas Sector23:22 - Peak Oil Production? Oil Majors' Exploration Capital Tumbled Since 201328:46 - OutroLinks to articles discussed:Oklo Commences First Phase Construction on Nuclear Fuel Recycling FacilityTreasury Secretary Bessent Says Fed ‘Must Change Course,' Demands an Entire ReviewOPEC+ Agrees in Principle to Increase Production in OctoberCalifornia in Talks to Pay Hundreds of Millions to Valero to Stave Off Refinery ShutdownJob Cuts Rock Global Oil and Gas SectorPeak Oil Production? Oil Majors' Exploration Capital Tumbled Since 2013
CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW SCHEDULE 9-10-25 Good evening. The show begins in Poland as the government and military respond to drones crossing the Belarus to Poland border... FIRST HOUR 9-915 General Blaine Holt NATO Reacts to Russian Drone Incursions into Poland General Blaine Holt analyzes Russiandrone incursions into Polish airspace from Belarus, triggering a NATO Article 4 meeting. While NATO calls it an "intentional incursion" to allow de-escalation, Poland considers it an "act of war." The incident highlights NATO's rapid response capabilities and the broader "poly crisis" in Europe, requiring diplomatic de-escalation. 915-930 CONTINUED General Blaine Holt NATO Reacts to Russian Drone Incursions into Poland General Blaine Holt analyzes Russiandrone incursions into Polish airspace from Belarus, triggering a NATO Article 4 meeting. While NATO calls it an "intentional incursion" to allow de-escalation, Poland considers it an "act of war." The incident highlights NATO's rapid response capabilities and the broader "poly crisis" in Europe, requiring diplomatic de-escalation. 930-945 Lance Gatling Japan's LDP Prime Minister Race and China's Influence Lance Gatling discusses the race for Japan'snew Prime Minister within the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) following Ishida's resignation. The LDP lacks a majority, complicating coalition-building. Takaichi Sanae, a conservative candidate critical of China, is opposed by Beijing's propagandists, highlighting China's active influence in the Japanese political landscape .945-1000 Captain James Fanell NATO Article 4 Invoked Amidst Russian Drones, China's South China Sea AggressionCaptain James Fanell discusses NATO's Article 4 invocation after Russian drones entered Polish airspace during Zapad exercises, potentially testing defenses. He also details China's escalating aggression in the South China Sea, where its navy chased a Philippine vessel near Scarborough Shoal. The "poly crisis" necessitates increased US defense spending and alliances. SECOND HOUR 10-1015 Steve Yates Pentagon's National Defense Strategy Amidst Global Crises Steve Yates discusses the Pentagon's new National Defense Strategy (NDS), which prioritizes China as the "pacing challenge" over climate change. The "Fortress America" concept of homeland defense is debated against the need for alliances and extended deterrence. Events like Russian drones in Poland underscore the loss of US initiative and the urgency of adaptive defense strategies. 1015-1030 Charles Burton Canada's Dilemma: Chinese EVs and National Security Charles Burton discusses Canada'sreluctance to link national security with China, specifically regarding Chinese EVs (dubbed "spy machines"). Canadaimposed 100% tariffs at US request, leading to China's retaliation on Canadian canola. This creates a dilemma, as Canada prioritizes economic gain despite China's espionage and potential US border bans on Chinese EVs.1030-1045 Andrea Stricker Iran's Nuclear Program Targeted, Verification Crisis Ensues Andrea Stricker discusses Israel and USstrikes on Iran's nuclear facilities like Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan, destroying centrifuges and weaponization capabilities. The IAEA cannot verify Iran's nuclear material locations after inspectors were expelled. Iran's 60% enriched uranium poses a proliferation risk, leading to anticipated UN sanctions. The strikes prevented JCPOA-allowed centrifuge surges.1045-1100CONTINUED Andrea Stricker Iran's Nuclear Program Targeted, Verification Crisis Ensues Andrea Stricker discusses Israel and USstrikes on Iran's nuclear facilities like Fordo, Natanz, and Isfahan, destroying centrifuges and weaponization capabilities. The IAEA cannot verify Iran's nuclear material locations after inspectors were expelled. Iran's 60% enriched uranium poses a proliferation risk, leading to anticipated UN sanctions. The strikes prevented JCPOA-allowed centrifuge surges. THIRD HOUR 1100-1115 Professor Josh Blackman Judicial Defiance: Lower Courts Challenge Supreme Court and Trump AdministrationProfessor Josh Blackman details an unprecedented judicial "revolt" where lower federal courts, particularly in Boston, repeatedly defy Supreme Court rulings and temporary restraining orders against the Trump Administration. Cases involve deportation and presidential firing power. Chief Justice Roberts is struggling to make lower courts "get in line," prompting a rare concurrence from Justice Gorsuch criticizing the defiance.1115-1130 Professor Josh Blackman Judicial Defiance: Lower Courts Challenge Supreme Court and Trump AdministrationProfessor Josh Blackman details an unprecedented judicial "revolt" where lower federal courts, particularly in Boston, repeatedly defy Supreme Court rulings and temporary restraining orders against the Trump Administration. Cases involve deportation and presidential firing power. Chief Justice Roberts is struggling to make lower courts "get in line," prompting a rare concurrence from Justice Gorsuch criticizing the defiance. 1130-1145 Bob Zimmerman Space Policy, Launches, and Astronomical Discoveries Bob Zimmerman criticizes the over-budget Artemis lunar program while praising SpaceX's increased launches from Cape Canaveral. He discusses the politically-driven Space Force HQ relocation and NASA's efforts to reduce reliance on Russia for ISS orbit-raising. Global space startups are booming, Starlink cuts prices, and new astronomical discoveries are made.1145-1200CONTINUED Bob Zimmerman Space Policy, Launches, and Astronomical Discoveries Bob Zimmerman criticizes the over-budget Artemis lunar program while praising SpaceX's increased launches from Cape Canaveral. He discusses the politically-driven Space Force HQ relocation and NASA's efforts to reduce reliance on Russia for ISS orbit-raising. Global space startups are booming, Starlink cuts prices, and new astronomical discoveries are made.FOURTH HOUR 12-1215 Simon Constable Global Commodities, French Politics, and 9/11 Reflection Simon Constable discusses commodity trends: copper and gold prices surge due to AI demand and monetary fear, while orange juice falls and coffee rises. He covers France's political crisis, with Sebastien Lecornu becoming the sixth Prime Minister under Macron, and local support for Marine Le Pen's National Rally. He also shares a personal 9/11 account from One World Financial Center.1215-1230CONTINUED Simon Constable Global Commodities, French Politics, and 9/11 Reflection Simon Constable discusses commodity trends: copper and gold prices surge due to AI demand and monetary fear, while orange juice falls and coffee rises. He covers France's political crisis, with Sebastien Lecornu becoming the sixth Prime Minister under Macron, and local support for Marine Le Pen's National Rally. He also shares a personal 9/11 account from One World Financial Center.1230-1245 Grant Newsham Korea's Division, South Korea's Shift, and the Axis of Adversaries Grant Newsham traces Korea's1945 division by US officers, leading to North Korea's establishment. He highlights the pro-North Korea South Korean administration's alignment with China and Russia. The unified appearance of Kim Jong-un, Xi Jinping, and Vladimir Putin at a Beijing parade solidifies them as a formidable "axis of adversaries," intimidating the West.1245-100 AM Michael Bernstam Falling Oil Prices Threaten Russia's Economy, Boost US and Europe Michael Bernstam explains that falling oil prices, forecasted to drop to $50/barrel due to increased OPEC supply, will severely impact Russia'sbudget (based on $70/barrel) and push it towards recession. This benefits US consumers and GDP, while rising US LNGexports fully replace Europe's Russian gas, effectively isolating Russia from the European energy marke
Andrea Montero, an investment professional and energy sector specialist at Capital Group, joins Mike Gitlin to discuss the complexities of investing in oil and gas. From boots-on-the-ground research in the Canadian oil sands to navigating geopolitical shocks and policy shifts, Andrea shares how she applies a process-driven, principles-based approach to the energy trilemma: balancing security, affordability, and sustainability. She also reflects on why she returned to Capital Group after a summer internship, how her investment approach has changed since transitioning from analyst to portfolio manager and how collaboration across asset classes leads to stronger investment decisions. #CapGroupGlobal For full disclosures, go to capitalgroup.com/global-disclosures. For our latest insights, practice management ideas and more, subscribe to Capital Ideas at getcapitalideas.com. If you're based outside of the U.S., visit capitalgroup.com for Capital Group insights. Watch our latest podcast, Conversations with Mike Gitlin, on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLbKcvAV87057bIfkbTAp-dgqaLEwa9GHi This content is published by Capital Client Group, Inc. U.K. investors can view a glossary of technical terms here: https://www.capitalgroup.com/individual-investors/gb/en/resources/how-to-invest/glossary.html To stay informed, follow us LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/capital-group/posts/?feedView=all YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CapitalGroup/videos Follow Mike Gitlin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mikegitlin/ About Capital Group Capital Group was established in 1931 in Los Angeles, California, with the mission to improve people's lives through successful investing. With our clients at the core of everything we do, we offer carefully researched products and services to help them achieve their financial goals. Learn more: capitalgroup.com Join us: capitalgroup.com/about-us/careers.html Copyright ©2025 Capital Group
We are live in Paris where the French government has collapsed after Prime Minister Francois Bayrou loses a vote of confidence over his austerity budget. France will now seek its fifth prime minister in less than two years. Bayrou warned lawmakers that while they can oust him, they cannot ‘erase reality' about the country's ballooning debt. We are also in Munich at the IAA Mobility 2025 show where European car makers show off their latest models with Chinese rivals cranking up the pressure across the Continent. Xpeng boss He Xiaopeng tells CNBC he plans to take his mass-market Mona brand overseas next year. At the Gastech summit in Milan we speak to TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanné who says European energy markets must diversify in the face of Opec+ output hikes, U.S. tariffs and tighter sanctions on Russia. And the European single market also dominates discussions at the Ambrosetti Forum with former Italian Prime Minister Enrico Letta telling this channel that President Trump's tariffs have served as a ‘federator' for European unity.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Join OANDA Senior Market Analysts & podcast guest Nick Syiek (TraderNick) as they review the latest market news and moves. MarketPulse provides up-to-the-minute analysis on forex, commodities and indices from around the world. MarketPulse is an award-winning news site that delivers round-the-clock commentary on a wide range of asset classes, as well as in-depth insights into the major economic trends and events that impact the markets. The content produced on this site is for general information purposes only and should not be construed to be advice, invitation, inducement, offer, recommendation or solicitation for investment or disinvestment in any financial instrument. Opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of OANDA or any of its affiliates, officers or directors. If you would like to reproduce or redistribute any of the content found on MarketPulse, please access the RSS feed or contact us at info@marketpulse.com. © 2023 OANDA Business Information & Services Inc
We hear from U.S. Senator Richard Blumenthal at the Ambrosetti Forum who calls last week's military parade attendees in Beijing “a tableau of tyrants”. The Democratic senator for Connecticut urged the U.S. and Europe to present a united front against an “axis of upheaval”. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba resigns after less than a year in power following a sequence of failed elections. The Nikkei, however, surges on anticipation Ishiba's successor may usher in wider fiscal loosening. French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou is on the verge of being ousted in today's vote of no confidence in his austerity budget - a result which will raise concern over France's ability to cut debt and spending. In oil news, Opec+ nations move to unwind production cuts, boosting output by 137,000bpd in October as Saudi Arabia looks to reassert its market dominance. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Japanese PM Ishiba said he has decided to resign as LDP president and gave instructions to hold an emergency LDP leadership election; LDP is making final arrangements for a leadership vote on October 4th, according to TBS.US President Trump said Waller, Warsh and Hassett are the three finalists for the Fed chair nomination.US-China trade talks have reportedly made little progress towards a deal, and an impasse was hit on the fentanyl issue, according to WSJ.European bourses hold a positive bias, whilst US equities futures are incrementally firmer/flat.JPY lags as Japanese PM Ishiba resigns, EUR eyes the French PM's confidence vote later today.USTs/Bunds are essentially flat; more focus on Japan's emergency LDP election; OATs await France.Crude gains post OPEC and amid geopolitics; Gold soars to another ATH.Eight OPEC+ members agreed to raise the oil production by 137k bpd in October (as touted), citing a steady global economic outlook and current healthy market fundamentals.Looking ahead, US Employment Trends (Aug), NY Fed SCE & French Confidence Vote.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
The eight core OPEC+ members have agreed to a modest increase in oil output for October, surprising markets after recent cuts. As production dynamics shift, the implications for global supply and pricing are significant. Please note: this podcast is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell financial instruments. This podcast does not constitute a personal recommendation and is not investment advice. Investec
Little Watergate was bigger than Watergate. Behind it hid an event that will still be spoken of ten thousand years from now, just as we still speak of the domestication of wheat ten thousand years ago. Yet most have never heard about it, why it is the topic of this season finale.What if I told you there's more to the seasonal year 72-73 of the millenniums last long total solar eclipse, the Brettonwoods collapse, Hoovers death, WTC erection, OPEC block, first EU enlargement, The advent of the War on Terror and the end of the Cold War proper?
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Kevin covers the following stories; the U.S. Labor Department reported the Weekly Initial Jobless Claims; ADP released their Private-Sector Jobs Report; Americas Commercial Transportation Research Co. (ACT) reported July Used Class 8 Truck Sales; Freight Groups indicate their agenda as Congress puts together the next comprehensive policy for the nation's transportation system; Kevin has the details, digs through the information, puts the data into historical perspective, offers his insights and offers some opinions along the way. Oil and gas prices react to a surprise build in U.S. crude inventories, anticipated OPEC+ increasing production increases and other geo-political events.
Trump "teases" Xi, Putin an Kim of conspiring against the U.S.; last Friday, the National Association of Realtors released July Pending Home Sales; Real Estate Firm Redfin released data on home-purchase agreement cancellations; S&P Cotality Case-Schiller Index released data on which cities are experiencing falling home values; last Friday, the University of Michigan released their Consumer Sentiment Survey; Virginia ends tolls on a bridge in the State; Kevin has the details, digs through the data, puts the information in historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions. Oil and gas prices react to expectations of this weekend's OPEC+'s meeting and various economic news and reports.
Energy stocks heading lower as oil prices get hit. The latest OPEC headlines fueling that drop, and what one energy expert sees in store for the space heading into the Fall. Plus the shopping data that could hold up the holidays. Why shoppers are spending less on gifts, and the impact it could have on retailers.Fast Money Disclaimer
Kevin covers the following stories: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released Personal Income and Disposable Personal Income numbers; last Friday, the U.S. Commerce Department released the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation; Kevin points out from where the minor increase in inflation is coming, hint, it's not coming from where they have led us to believe!; Ford announces yet another recall; Kevin has the details, digs into the numbers, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions. Oil and gas prices react to anticipation that OPEC+, at the upcoming Sunday meeting, will not unwind remaining voluntary cuts, Saudi Aramco halting crude sales to India, Ukraine's attacks on Russia's oil-processing capacity and the recent meeting between Russia's Putin and China's Xi, the "Shanghai Cooperation Organisation."
Is the global transition to low-carbon energy accelerating or slowing down? One answer is that it depends where you look. In the US, energy policy has shifted away from support for low-carbon technologies, but China is continuing with record installations of solar, wind, and batteries, and record sales of EVs. With AI emerging as the central arena for great power completion, which model will work best at providing the power the new technologies need?The AI revolution will be the most transformative change in human history. That's according to Gerard Reid, this week's guest, a veteran energy commentator and co-founder of the advisory firm Alexa Capital. Gerard, who also co-hosts the podcast Redefining Energy, says he thinks AI will reinvent the world's energy system. There is a widening gulf between ‘petrostates' such as the US, which are rich in oil and gas and favor fossil fuels, and the ‘electrostates', led by China, which is dominates global manufacturing for technologies such as solar panels, batteries and EVs.Europe, which is relatively resource-poor, is following China's path out of necessity, while India and others weigh up which model to adopt. Gerard, host Ed Crooks and regular guest Amy Myers-Jaffe debate the different approaches that different countries are taking to build secure energy systems that will be able to meet growing demand for electricity for AI. Electricity is now the ultimate security priority, demanding grid upgrades, new technologies to support resilience including vehicle-to-grid, and new strategic partnerships. Gerard argues that OPEC's current strategy suggest it sees oil demand peaking soon. As the world adopts Chinese EVs and other low-cost, low-carbon technologies, some big questions are becoming increasingly urgent. Will the US continue to cling to fossil fuels? Will cheap solar upend electricity industries around the world? And above all, will the race for strategic and economic success be won by whichever country integrates AI, low-cost power, and resilient grids first?Ed Crooks is Vice Chair for the Americas at Wood Mackenzie. Amy Myers-Jaffe is the Director of NYU's Energy, Climate Justice and Sustainability Lab.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.