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3-2-20261971 HAHNAZ SQUARE, TEHRANHusain Haqqani critiques inconsistent US leadership and the "fog of war," expressing skepticism that air strikes alone can achieve regime change without ground troops or planning. Guest: Bill Roggio, Husain Haqqani. 1.Husain Haqqani examines Pakistan's military strikes against the Taliban in Kabul, occurring alongside the broader regional instability triggered by US and Israeli strikes on Iran. Guest: Husain Haqqani, Bill Roggio. 2.Bridget Toomey and Bill Roggio puzzle over Houthi restraint despite solidarity with Iran, questioning if capabilities are depleted or being held for strategic reasons. Guest: Bill Roggio, Bridget Toomey. 3.Bridget Toomey details Iraqi militia drone attacks and embassy protests, highlighting Iran's deep influence over Iraqisecurity forces and the potential for further regional chaos. Guest: Bill Roggio, Bridget Toomey. 4.Malcolm Hoenlein reports on the decapitation of Iran's leadership and explores potential coalition governments, including the possible return of the exiled Crown Prince. Guest: Malcolm Hoenlein. 5.Malcolm Hoenlein describes the fluid situation in Lebanon as Hezbollah reactivates, while discussing global economic adjustments and the potential for increased OPEC oil production. Guest: Malcolm Hoenlein. 6.Captain James Fanell assesses US Navy control over the Straits of Hormuz, addressing Iranian propaganda and the accidental loss of US aircraft over Kuwait. Guest: Gordon Chang, Captain James Fanell. 7.Rick Fisher warns of Chinese involvement in Iranian air defenses and the possible transfer of hypersonic missiles, which could escalate the conflict into a stalemate. Guest: Gordon Chang, Rick Fisher. 8.Jonathan Sayeh highlights the revolutionary mindset of young Iranians celebrating the Ayatollah's death, suggesting they are waiting for clear instructions to reclaim their country. Guest: Bill Roggio, Jonathan Sayeh. 9.Jonathan Sayeh details a four-to-five-week military campaign to deplete Iran's missile stockpiles and leadership, paving the way for a potential civilian-led revolutionary uprising. Guest: Bill Roggio, Jonathan Sayeh. 10.Edmond Fitton-Brown discusses Iran's retaliatory strikes on Gulf neighbors like Qatar and the UAE, noting the effectiveness of regional air defenses against Iranian drones. Guest: Bill Roggio, Edmond Fitton-Brown. 11.Experts explore the risks of regime change in Iran, citing historical failures and the country's ethnic complexities while considering the role of the exiled monarchy. Guest: Bill Roggio, Edmond Fitton-Brown. 12.John Hardie explains Russia's marginal influence in the Iran crisis, noting Putin's cautious attempt to balance ties with Trump while focusing resources on Ukraine. Guest: Bill Roggio, John Hardie. 13.Discussion focuses on how the Middle East conflict might divert US interceptor missiles from Ukraine, impacting the ongoing war of attrition against Russian forces. Guest: Bill Roggio, John Hardie. 14.Ahmad Sharawi analyzes Iran's strategy of targeting Gulf civilian infrastructure to pressure the US into de-escalation, despite regional air defenses intercepting many attacks. Guest: Bill Roggio, Ahmad Sharawi. 15.Ahmad Sharawi reports on prisoner exchanges between Damascus and the Druze, suggesting a path toward decentralized stability and minority rights in a war-torn Syria. Guest: Bill Roggio, Ahmad Sharawi. 16.
Malcolm Hoenlein describes the fluid situation in Lebanon as Hezbollah reactivates, while discussing global economic adjustments and the potential for increased OPEC oil production. Guest: Malcolm Hoenlein. 6.1746
Sentient oil, dialectical analysis of oil, the "bathtub" vs. dialectical take on oil, the obsession with oil among Western elites, oil as a possession of the developing world, the nationalization of oil, OPEC, the dwindling oil holdings of the Western capitalists, oil as a tool of containing China, why US efforts to contain China with oil will fail, Venezuela, Maduro's removal, the fallacy of the US taking control of Venezuela's oil, Iran, the 1953 coup in Iran, British Petroleum (BP), BP as a facilitator of the coup, the role oil workers played in Iran's revolution, US designs on Iran, the role oil played in the latter part of the Cold War, oil used as a tool of economic warfare against the Soviet Union, the Petrodollar, the Petro Wars of the 1990s in the developing world, the Ukraine-Russia conflict as a new Petro War, Charif Souki, liquefied natural gas (LNG), Michael Khorkokovsky, grid war, the desire of US elites to rebuild/privatize US energy infrastructure, false flags to destroy the US grid, cryptocurrency, crypto as the new PetrodollarMusic by: Keith Allen Dennishttps://keithallendennis.bandcamp.com/ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
PBoC announced it will cut the FX Risk Reserve Ratio for forward FX sales to 0% from 20%, effective March 2nd to promote FX market development and support corporate exchange rate risk management.European equities firmer, Telecoms lead following potential M&A; US equity futures lower in the continuation of Thursday's tech-led selloff.DXY is flat; G10s broadly firmer, ex-EUR and GBP. USTs mildly firmer, Bunds choppy after mixed regional inflation prints.Crude gains and awaits the next chapter of the US-Iran saga and the OPEC+ meeting; Metals shine ahead of US PPI.Looking ahead, highlights include German CPI (Feb), Canadian GDP (Jan), US PPI (Jan), Comments from BoE's Pill.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Our Global Commodities Strategist Martijn Rats discusses the geopolitical drivers behind the recent spike in oil prices and outlines four Iran scenarios.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Martijn Rats, Morgan Stanley's Global Commodities Strategist.Today – what's fueling the latest oil market rally.It's Thursday, February 26th, at 3pm in London.What happens when oil prices jump, even though there's no actual shortage of oil? That's the situation we're in right now. Tensions between the U.S. and Iran have escalated again. Naturally, markets are paying attention.Over the past week, Brent crude rose about $3 to around $72 per barrel. WTI climbed into the mid-$60s. Shipping costs surged. And traders have started paying a premium for protection against a sudden oil spike – the levels we haven't seen since the early days of the Ukrainian invasion.But here's the key point: there's no clear evidence that global oil supply has tightened. Exports are still flowing. Tankers are still moving. And some near-term indicators of physical tightness have actually softened. When oil is truly scarce, buyers scramble for immediate barrels and short-term prices spike relative to future delivery. Instead, those spreads have narrowed, and physical premiums have eased.This isn't a supply shock. It's a risk premium. In simple terms, investors are buying insurance. So what could happen next? We see four broad scenarios.Before I outline them though, here's something we do not see as a core case: a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Roughly 15 million barrels per day of crude and another 5 million of refined product moves through that corridor. A sustained shutdown would be enormously disruptive. But we think the probability is very low.Now coming back to our four scenarios. The first is straightforward. A negotiated settlement; conflict is avoided. Iranian exports continue and shipping lanes remain open. In that scenario, what unwinds is the geopolitical risk premium – which we estimate at roughly $7 to $9 per barrel. If that fades, Brent could drift back to the low-to-mid $60s, similar to past episodes where prices spiked on fear and then retraced once supply proves unaffected.Second, we could see short-lived frictions – shipping delays, higher insurance costs, temporary logistical issues. That might remove a few hundred thousand barrels per day for, say, a few weeks.. Prices could briefly spike into the $75–80 range. But balancing forces would kick in relatively quickly. For example, China has been building inventories at a steady pace. At higher prices, that stockbuilding would likely slow, helping offset temporary disruptions. That points to some further upside in prices – but then normalization.The third scenario is more serious, but still contained: localized export losses of perhaps 1 to 1.5 million barrels per day for a month or two. Prices would stay elevated longer, but spare capacity and demand adjustments could eventually stabilize the market.Now our last scenario is the more serious and considers a potential shipping shock. The real risk here isn't wells shutting down – it's shipping disruption. Global trade of crude oil depends on efficient tanker movement. If transit times were extended even modestly, effective shipping capacity could fall sharply, creating what amounts to a temporary tightening of about 2 to 3 million barrels per day – or about 6 percent of global seaborne supply. That is a logistics shock, not a production outage – but it would push prices toward early-2022-type levels, at least briefly.Now let's zoom out. Beyond geopolitics, the fundamentals look weak. OPEC+ supply is rising, and our forecasts show a sizable surplus building in 2026. Even if some of that oil ends up in China's stockpiles, a lot would still likely flow into core OECD inventories. Historically, when the market looks like this, prices tend to fall, not rise.Which brings us back to the central point. Oil isn't rallying because the world has run out of barrels. It's rallying because markets are pricing geopolitical risk. And unless that risk turns into actual, sustained disruption, insurance premiums tend to expire.Thank you for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.This podcast references jurisdiction(s) or person(s) which may be the subject of economic sanctions. Readers are solely responsible for ensuring that their investment activities are carried out in compliance with applicable laws.
27/2 Nvidia, trimestrale record ma non convince il mercato. Tutto quello che dovete sapere, ecco perchè il titolo non sta reagendo. Huang: il mercato sta sbagliando sul sell-off del software. Salesforce, debacle nel pre-market trascina i titoli del software. Wall Street, futures contrastati oggi conti di Warner Bros. Discovery, Dell Technologies and CoreWeave. Greer: dazi globali al 15% “laddove necessario”. Europa: 4,2mld export superano limite accordato. FMI su Usa: deficit troppo elevato. Dollaro e Treasury stabili, oro e argento sulla parità: le nuove stime di JPM. Bitcoin recupera 68.000$, il caso Jane Street. Petrolio sale, oggi colloqui a Ginevra con Iran. Opec+ verso aumento produzione ad aprile. Asia, entusiasmo Tech: Nikkei e Kospi da record, Yen stabile. SK Hynex e Samsung nuovi massimi storici. Merz in Cina, verso accordo per vendita 120 Airbus. Europa Prudente, i conti di Eni, Stellantis e Poste Italiane. Pirelli batte le attese, debito in calo. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
► Werde Teil der Koch-Community: https://bit.ly/360wallstreetpc * Die positive Stimmung im KI-Sektor hält auch im Vorfeld der heute Abend anstehenden Zahlenbekanntgabe bei NVIDIA an. Für diese hatten gestern AMD und Meta mit einem milliardenschweren Deal gesorgt. Entsprechend positiv präsentieren sich auch die Mittwochs-Futures an der New York Stock Exchange und der Nasdaq. Softwaretitel bekommen ebenfalls Luft, nachdem Anthropic auf einer Veranstaltung eher Kooperationen mit Software-Unternehmen in den Mittelpunkt stellte und weniger den Umstand, dass seine KI-Agenten das Geschäftsmodell traditioneller Softwareunternehmen überflüssig machen würden. Die Rede zur Lage der Nation von US-Präsident Donald Trump sorgt dagegen für keine großen Marktbewegungen. Für etwas Beruhigung sorgen Meldungen über eine mögliche Produktionssteigerung seitens der OPEC+ mit Blick auf ein erwartetes Nachfragehoch und die steigenden Rohölpreise im Zusammenhang mit den Unsicherheiten rund um den Iran Ein Podcast - featured by Handelsblatt. Impressum: https://www.360wallstreet.de/impressum *Werbung
For å forstå dagens oljemarked, og markedet for frakt av olje, må du bl.a. vurdere sanksjoner mot skyggeflåten og amerikansk tollpolitikk, strategiene i OPEC, import og forbruk av olje i Kina og India. I dag har vi besøk av en av de mest sentrale aktørene i bransjen: Lars Barstad, CEO i Frontline. Han skal hjelpe oss å forstå hvorfor tankratene nå står i taket og hvorfor skipsverdiene har steget som de har gjort. I tillegg er Arctics egen olje og tankanalytiker, Ole-Rikard Hammer med i studio.
Two veteran newsletter editors map out where the next big moves, and best entry points, could emerge across metals and energy in 2026. Gold and silver may be digesting a sharp correction, but both guests argue the bigger bull-market backdrop is intact, setting up a very “stock-picker” tape in mining. Meanwhile, energy remains out of favor, yet Josef Schachter lays out a tightening supply/demand case (and a clear playbook for scaling in before the next macro-driven run). Segment 1 & 2 - Brien Lundin, editor of the Gold Newsletter and host of the New Orleans Investment Conference, shares his insights on the current state of the precious metals market. He discusses the potential for continued sideways trading in gold and silver before the next rally, while highlighting opportunities in exploration and development-stage companies like K2 Gold, Aris Minerals, and Banyan Gold. Brien also emphasizes the importance of individual company stories and the excitement of potential new discoveries across various global jurisdictions. Click here to learn more about the Gold Newsletter. - https://goldnewsletter.com/ Segment 3 & 4 - Josef Schachter, founder and editor of the Schachter Energy Report and author of the Eye on Energy report, discusses the macroeconomic drivers and company-specific trends within the oil and natural gas sectors. He reviews the 2026 World Outlook Conference, providing insights into OPEC+ production constraints, the impacts of global depletion rates, and the emerging energy demands driven by the "AI revolution". Schachter also highlights specific investment opportunities in companies such as InPlay Oil and Birchcliff Energy while outlining his expectations for a multi-decade commodity supercycle. Click here to learn more about The Schachter Energy Report - https://schachterenergyreport.ca/ If you enjoy the show, be sure to subscribe to our podcast feed (KER Podcast), YouTube channel, and follow us on X for more market commentary and company interviews. Don't forget to subscribe and leave us a review! For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks: The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/ Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.
In this conversation, Josef Schachter discusses the current state of the oil market, emphasizing the ongoing energy super cycle and the challenges faced by both US and Canadian oil production. He highlights the limitations of OPEC in increasing production and the implications for global oil prices. Schachter also addresses the infrastructure challenges in Canada, the importance of refining margins, and the potential for investment in the sector as foreign companies return. The discussion concludes with an overview of the risks to the bullish outlook for oil prices and the future of the energy sector.
On this Socratic Breakdown, host Radell Lewis and panelists dive into the latest Epstein files controversy why are co-conspirator names still redacted while victims' names were exposed? Hillary Clinton calls out Trump for pushing closed-door testimony, and Pam Bondi's hearing before Congress raises serious questions about a potential cover-up at the DOJ. The panel examines Trump's connections to Epstein, the Mossad and Israel allegations, and why the Attorney General can't answer basic questions about Ghislaine Maxwell's prison deal.Then the conversation shifts to Trump's attack on free speech after Stephen Colbert's interview with Texas gubernatorial candidate James Talarico was pulled from CBS under FCC pressure from Brendan Carr. Why is Trump afraid of Talarico, and what does this mean for political speech in America?The panel also breaks down Trump's EPA rollbacks removing greenhouse gas regulations on methane, CO2, and nitrogen emissions a move that benefits oil executives while making the atmosphere more dangerous for everyday Americans. Plus, Gavin Newsom's aggressive legal strategy against the Trump administration, OPEC's influence on oil prices, and the growing global movement to ban kids from social media.This is the Purple Political Breakdown political solutions without political bias. New episodes drop every Thursday at 8 AM EST. Join the conversation on Discord for future Socratic Breakdowns.Tags/Keywords to include on your platform: Epstein files 2025, Trump Epstein cover-up, Pam Bondi hearing, Hillary Clinton testimony, Stephen Colbert James Talarico, FCC censorship, Brendan Carr, EPA deregulation, social media ban teenagers, Gavin Newsom lawsuit, Trump free speech, MAGA, oil prices OPEC, political podcast, nonpartisan politicsStandard Resource Links & RecommendationsThe following organizations and platforms represent valuable resources for balanced political discourse and democratic participation: PODCAST NETWORKALIVE Podcast Network - Check out the ALIVE Network where you can catch a lot of great podcasts like my own, led by amazing Black voices. Link: https://alivepodcastnetwork.com/ CONVERSATION PLATFORMSHeadOn - A platform for contentious yet productive conversations. It's a place for hosted and unguided conversations where you can grow a following and enhance your conversations with AI features. Link: https://app.headon.ai/Living Room Conversations - Building bridges through meaningful dialogue across political divides. Link: https://livingroomconversations.org/ UNITY MOVEMENTSUs United - A movement for unity that challenges Americans to step out of their bubbles and connect across differences. Take the Unity Pledge, join monthly "30 For US" conversation calls, wear purple (the color of unity), and participate in National Unity Day every second Saturday in December. Their programs include the Sheriff Unity Network and Unity Seats at sports events, proving that shared values are stronger than our differences. Link: https://www.us-united.org/ BALANCED NEWS & INFORMATIONOtherWeb - An AI-based platform that filters news without paywalls, clickbait, or junk, helping you access diverse, unbiased content. Link: https://otherweb.com/ VOTING REFORM & DEMOCRACYEqual Vote Coalition & STAR Voting - Advocating for voting methods that ensure every vote counts equally, eliminating wasted votes and strategic voting. Link: https://www.equal.vote/starFuture is Now Coalition (FiNC) - A grassroots movement working to restore democracy through transparency, accountability, and innovative technology while empowering citizens and transforming American political discourse. Link: https://futureis.org/ POLITICAL ENGAGEMENTIndependent Center - Resources for independent political thinking and civic engagement. Link: https://www.independentcenter.org/ GET DAILY NEWSText 844-406-INFO (844-406-4636) with code "purple" to receive quick, unbiased, factual news delivered to your phone every morning via Informed (https://informed.now) ALL LINKShttps://linktr.ee/purplepoliticalbreakdownThe Purple Political Breakdown is committed to fostering productive political dialogue that transcends partisan divides. We believe in the power of conversation, balanced information, and democratic participation to build a stronger society. Our mission: "Political solutions without political bias."Subscribe, rate, and share if you believe in purple politics - where we find common ground in the middle! Also if you want to be apart of the community and the conversation make sure to Join the Discord: https://discord.gg/ptPAsZtHC9
Jack Prandelli of The Merchants News Substack stopped by, and we had a blast visiting about huge changes in the oil and gas markets. At the end of the podcast, we also discuss how we should restructure electricity prices for consumers. 1. China's efforts to reduce its reliance on the US dollar: - China is shorting US Treasuries and buying gold to try to reduce its dependence on the US dollar in global trade, especially for commodities like oil. - However, China still relies heavily on importing oil and gas, which is priced in US dollars through the petrodollar system.2. The growth of US LNG exports to Europe: - The US is rapidly expanding its LNG export capacity, which is helping Europe replace Russian gas. - A key company, OneOk, owns a large portion of the pipeline infrastructure market supporting US LNG exports.3. The performance and strategies of major oil and gas companies: - Integrated companies like Exxon and Chevron are performing better than more specialized companies like Occidental. - European oil majors like BP and Total are struggling more, with BP considering asset sales.4. OPEC's challenges in managing oil production and pricing: - OPEC has struggled to meet its own production targets, leading it to consider changes to its pricing mechanisms. - There are geopolitical tensions, like the US trying to influence OPEC members like Venezuela and Iran.5. The role of natural gas, renewables, and nuclear power in the energy transition: - The guests discuss the pros and cons of different energy sources, arguing for a balanced approach that ensures reliable and affordable energy. - There are concerns about the ability of renewables alone to provide reliable power without fossil fuel or nuclear backup.Stu and Jack cover a wide range of topics related to the global energy markets, geopolitics, and the energy transition, with a focus on oil, gas, and LNG. Based on the transcript analysis, here are the main topics discussed:**1. China's De-Dollarization Strategy**China is actively working to reduce its dependence on the US dollar by shorting US Treasuries and accumulating gold. However, this effort faces a fundamental constraint: China's massive need for imported oil and gas, which are priced in US dollars through the petrodollar system, keeps it tethered to dollar-denominated trade.**2. US LNG Export Expansion**The US is rapidly scaling up its liquefied natural gas (LNG) export capacity, playing a crucial role in helping Europe transition away from Russian gas supplies. One Oak, a significant player, controls a large portion of the pipeline infrastructure that supports these exports.**3. Oil and Gas Company Performance**The discussion compares how different energy companies are faring:- Integrated majors like Exxon and Chevron are outperforming more specialized companies like Occidental- European oil majors (BP, Total) are struggling more significantly, with some considering asset sales**4. OPEC Production and Pricing Challenges**OPEC faces difficulties meeting its own production targets and is considering adjustments to its pricing mechanisms. Geopolitical tensions also play a role, with the US attempting to influence OPEC members like Venezuela and Iran.**5. Energy Transition and Power Sources**We debate the role of natural gas, renewables, and nuclear power in the energy transition, emphasizing the need for a balanced approach that maintains reliable and affordable energy while questioning whether renewables alone can provide consistent power without fossil fuel or nuclear backup.Connect with Jack on his LinkedIn here: https://www.linkedin.com/in/prandelligiacomo/Check out the Merchant News Substack: https://themerchantsnews.substack.com/Thank you To Steve Reese and Reese Energy Consulting for sponsoring the podcast:https://reeseenergyconsulting.com/Check out the Energy News Beat Substack: https://theenergynewsbeat.substack.com/Check out The Energy News Beat Website: https://energynewsbeat.co/Questions on Investing in Oil: https://sandstoneassetmgmt.com/invest-in-oil-and-gas/
16/2 Wall street chiusa per President's Day, Shanghai, Sud Corea, Taiwan chiuse per il capodanno cinese. Hang-Seng in lieve rialzo, oggi a mezzo servizio. Giappone: pil 4Q sotto le attese, yen debole oggi incontro Takaichi - Ueda (BOJ). Focus in India con AI Impact Summit: leaders, capi di Stato e Big dell'AI preparano annunci miliardari e partnership. Mercati alle prese con la volatilità: “esitazione” è la nuova parola chiave su timori dispution Ai di interi settori. Ecco cosa dicono gli analisti e le strategie per navigare la volatilità. Intanto tutte le MAG7 sono in rosso da inizio anno e sottoperformano S&P500. Petrolio, OPec+ pronta a aumentare produzione, domani colloqui a Ginevra Usa-Iran. Europa: oggi Eurogruppo. Bce prepara la strategia per dare forza internazionale all'euro. Lagarde: Bce dev'essere preparata a maggiore volatilità. Decreto energia della discordia, mercoledì in CDM. Focus su Edison, Moncler, Unipol e Eni (nuova scoperta in Angola). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Markets closed out the week balancing cooler inflation against renewed volatility in tech and AI. U.S. CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year in January, with core inflation falling to 2.5% — the lowest level since March 2021. While the report strengthens the case for potential Fed rate cuts, it follows a robust labor market update earlier in the week, keeping policy expectations finely balanced. Equities struggled, with the Nasdaq dropping 2% amid fresh AI disruption fears despite Anthropic raising $30 billion at a $380 billion valuation. Meanwhile, China posted a record $242 billion current account surplus in Q4 2025, highlighting export resilience despite weak domestic demand. Oil slipped on reports that OPEC+ may resume production increases in April. Gold rebounded after briefly falling below $5,000 per ounce. The yen is on track for its strongest week in a year versus the dollar. In crypto, Bitcoin remains stable week-over-week. Coinbase shares rose despite a Q4 earnings miss, even as reports surfaced that CEO Brian Armstrong has sold roughly $500 million in stock over the past nine months. Several crypto CEOs, including leaders from Ripple, Gemini, Uniswap, and Chainlink, have joined the CFTC advisory group. A volatile week wraps with inflation cooling — but crosscurrents in AI, geopolitics, and liquidity remain firmly in play.
Donald Trump has moved the war for critical minerals from the margins of policy to the heart of great power rivalry. In this episode of Battle Lines, we look at Project Vault, America's bid to take back control of the critical minerals and rare earths supply chain from China. This bid to build a vast new stockpile and industrial strategy was unveiled at the inaugural US Critical Minerals Ministerial Summit last week. Supporters see it as a necessary first step to protect American industry and national security. Critics warn that for middle countries, it may simply shift dependencies rather than break them.Venetia talks to Sibylline Chief Analyst Sam Olsen to unpack what Project Vault really means, why processing matters more than mining, and how China has weaponised its dominance in ways OPEC never could. Plus, a deep dive on how Greenland fits into the West's rare earths strategy. Greenland Energy, Business and Mineral Resources Minister Naaja Nathanielsen on that Trump deal, Chinese influence and the challenges of mining on the island. Producer: Peter ShevlinExecutive Producer: Louisa Wells► Sign up to our most popular newsletter, From the Editor. Look forward to receiving free-thinking comment and the day's biggest stories, every morning. telegraph.co.uk/fromtheeditorContact us with feedback or ideas:@venetiarainey@RolandOliphant Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
On this episode of Purple Political Breakdown, host Radell Lewis dives deep into the newly released Epstein files, breaking down the 3.5 million pages of DOJ documents and what they reveal about Donald Trump, Bill Clinton, Elon Musk, Bill Gates, Prince Andrew, and other high-profile names. Who's being protected by the redactions, and why are victims being exposed while powerful men stay hidden? Then Radell tackles the gas prices myth head-on with a full research segment on how gas prices actually work from crude oil and OPEC production decisions to refinery closures and global supply and demand and why no U.S. president, Republican or Democrat, controls what you pay at the pump. Plus: Operation Metro Surge and the ICE crackdown in Minnesota, the FBI's raid on Fulton County's election office with Tulsi Gabbard on speakerphone with Trump, the massive Democratic special election upset in Texas, Trump's cratering approval ratings, how Twitter's algorithm is skewing political reality, the measles outbreak under RFK, and the 2026 midterms outlook. The show wraps with ten good news stories the media won't tell you about, from CRISPR gene therapy breakthroughs to malaria vaccine success in Ghana. Political solutions without political bias. New episodes every Sunday at 8 AM EST. Keywords: Epstein files, Epstein documents release, Trump Epstein, Clinton Epstein, Elon Musk Epstein, gas prices explained, who controls gas prices, OPEC, crude oil prices, ICE Minnesota, Operation Metro Surge, Fulton County FBI raid, 2026 midterms, Trump approval rating, Twitter algorithm bias, election integrity, tariffs, political podcast, nonpartisan politics, Purple Political Breakdown, Radell Lewis, Alive Podcast NetworkStandard Resource Links & RecommendationsThe following organizations and platforms represent valuable resources for balanced political discourse and democratic participation: PODCAST NETWORKALIVE Podcast Network - Check out the ALIVE Network where you can catch a lot of great podcasts like my own, led by amazing Black voices. Link: https://alivepodcastnetwork.com/ CONVERSATION PLATFORMSHeadOn - A platform for contentious yet productive conversations. It's a place for hosted and unguided conversations where you can grow a following and enhance your conversations with AI features. Link: https://app.headon.ai/Living Room Conversations - Building bridges through meaningful dialogue across political divides. Link: https://livingroomconversations.org/ UNITY MOVEMENTSUs United - A movement for unity that challenges Americans to step out of their bubbles and connect across differences. Take the Unity Pledge, join monthly "30 For US" conversation calls, wear purple (the color of unity), and participate in National Unity Day every second Saturday in December. Their programs include the Sheriff Unity Network and Unity Seats at sports events, proving that shared values are stronger than our differences. Link: https://www.us-united.org/ BALANCED NEWS & INFORMATIONOtherWeb - An AI-based platform that filters news without paywalls, clickbait, or junk, helping you access diverse, unbiased content. Link: https://otherweb.com/ VOTING REFORM & DEMOCRACYEqual Vote Coalition & STAR Voting - Advocating for voting methods that ensure every vote counts equally, eliminating wasted votes and strategic voting. Link: https://www.equal.vote/starFuture is Now Coalition (FiNC) - A grassroots movement working to restore democracy through transparency, accountability, and innovative technology while empowering citizens and transforming American political discourse. Link: https://futureis.org/ POLITICAL ENGAGEMENTIndependent Center - Resources for independent political thinking and civic engagement. Link: https://www.independentcenter.org/ GET DAILY NEWSText 844-406-INFO (844-406-4636) with code "purple" to receive quick, unbiased, factual news delivered to your phone every morning via Informed (https://informed.now) ALL LINKShttps://linktr.ee/purplepoliticalbreakdownThe Purple Political Breakdown is committed to fostering productive political dialogue that transcends partisan divides. We believe in the power of conversation, balanced information, and democratic participation to build a stronger society. Our mission: "Political solutions without political bias."Subscribe, rate, and share if you believe in purple politics - where we find common ground in the middle! Also if you want to be apart of the community and the conversation make sure to Join the Discord: https://discord.gg/ptPAsZtHC9
On September 14, 1960, Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, and Kuwait officially formed OPEC to ensure that oil-producing nations, rather than private companies, had the power to stabilize international oil prices. The cartel really flexed its muscle when the global economy was brought to its knees during the 1973 Oil Embargo on the US and its allies.
In this episode of Ask the Geographer podcast, Dr. Angus McNelly, a lecturer in international development at King's College London, discusses the intricate relationship between fossil fuels and the development of countries, particularly in China and Latin America. He explains how the post-World War II era marked a significant shift in global politics and economics, leading to the rise of fossil fuels as a cornerstone of development. Angus highlights the geopolitical transformations that occurred during this time, including the formation of OPEC and the emergence of new nations that sought to control their natural resources for economic growth. Angus also discusses how developing countries and emerging economies can path the way to reducing fossil fuel dependency for a more sustainable future.
We were honored this week to welcome Ali Moshiri, CEO and President of Amos Global Energy, for a Special Edition COBT focused on Venezuela. Ali is the former President of Chevron Africa-Latin America and spent nearly 40 years at Chevron. He joined the company in 1978 as a petroleum engineer and went on to hold a wide range of senior technical, strategic, and leadership roles, ultimately overseeing Chevron's upstream operations across Africa and Latin America, including key positions in Venezuela and the broader region. Since retiring from Chevron in 2017, Ali has served as an advisor to Chevron and is currently President and CEO of Amos Global Energy, a Houston-based upstream independent focused on building a diversified portfolio across Latin America (with selective investments in the U.S. and Africa) through an integrated direct investment model. With deep operational, geopolitical, and strategic experience across global energy markets, Ali brings a unique and long-term perspective to today's discussion. In our conversation, Ali describes the on-the-ground conditions based on frequent travel to Venezuela and argues there is widespread misunderstanding of the country driven by years of narrative focus on migration, crime, and deportation rather than fundamentals. He details Venezuela's fundamentals including resource size and accessibility, proximity to the U.S., and the historical role of Gulf Coast heavy-oil refinery conversions and the light/heavy differential in making Venezuela barrels attractive. We discuss where development is likely to concentrate, the production ramp and capital needs, why in his mind the clearest lever for Venezuelan recovery is increasing oil output, workforce and execution constraints, the role of service companies, and who is most likely to invest first. Ali notes the key to mobilizing capital is a credible public-private partnership structure that can be written into a term sheet, alongside securing a lead private investor. He explains China's presence as largely commercial and loan driven, and Russia's as more geopolitical, and he doesn't expect either to materially expand or compete for incremental assets. We explore why prioritizing stability through a managed transition (including Venezuela's Vice President, and now Acting President, Delcy Rodríguez's role) is essential to convert investor interest into commitment, and he frames the recent vote more as a referendum than a fully competitive election, with a later phase needed for a truly democratic process. We touch on OPEC's incentives to keep Venezuela “inside the tent,” where near-term investment should concentrate, why midstream is less attractive today, the longer-term upside in gas and LNG, and much more. We ended by asking Ali for his ten-year outlook on global oil demand and the sources of future supply. As mentioned, details about Venezuela's reform of the Organic Law on Hydrocarbons are linked here. We greatly appreciate Ali for sharing his candid insights into a complex situation. The Veriten team shared a few quick comments to kick off the show. Mike Bradley flagged two themes: commodities volatility has dominated the year so far, with oil and gas prices swinging sharply due to geopolitical issues, while metals and Bitcoin have hit highs and then pulled back. He also noted that during recent Q4 earnings calls, oil majors and early-reporting service companies have faced many questions about Venezuela, but few have clear answers, making the discussion with Ali very timely. Arjun Murti added that global oil demand continues to grow, and while U.S. shale should hold a long-term plateau, it's unlikely to repeat its outsized contribution to global supply growth, raising the question of what comes after shale. He pointed to Venezuela's long-term potential, recalling the suc
This episode of The Logbook, our History of Motorsports Series, looks back at a transformative period in American motorsports during the mid-1970s to 1979, guided by Dr. Daniel J. Simone. The episode explores how the OPEC oil embargo challenged and eventually reshaped racing, focusing on the NASCAR Winston West Series. Various significant drivers, such as Ray Elder, Jimmy Insolo, and Herschel McGriff, are highlighted alongside the struggles and triumphs of west coast racing teams. The narrative also covers the impact of the environmental movement on racing and the importance of regional talents in shaping the national scene. The episode concludes with the legacies left by these drivers and the changes in racing dynamics heading into the 1980s. ===== (Oo---x---oO) ===== 00:00 NASCAR Winston West Series: A Turbulent Era 01:55 The 1975 Racing Season: Challenges and Changes 03:31 NASCAR Pacific Coast Late Model Division: Early Days 04:18 Riverside International Raceway: A Hub of Motorsports 04:50 The Evolution of NASCAR Winston West Series 05:26 Key Drivers and Their Legacies 06:19 Ray Elder: A Racing Legend 09:05 Herschel McGriff: The Age-Defying Lumberman 13:03 The 1976 Season: New Challenges and Opportunities 16:32 The Rise of New Champions 26:02 The 1979 Season: A Benchmark Year 35:32 The Legacy of the Winston West Series 39:57 Conclusion and Acknowledgements ==================== The Motoring Podcast Network : Years of racing, wrenching and Motorsports experience brings together a top notch collection of knowledge, stories and information. #everyonehasastory #gtmbreakfix - motoringpodcast.net More Information: Visit Our Website Become a VIP at: Patreon Online Magazine: Gran Touring Follow us on Social: Instagram This episode is part of our HISTORY OF MOTORSPORTS SERIES and is sponsored in part by: The International Motor Racing Research Center (IMRRC), The Society of Automotive Historians (SAH), The Watkins Glen Area Chamber of Commerce, and the Argetsinger Family - and was recorded in front of a live studio audience.
This series of storms highlights the need to rethink how electricity is priced for consumers in the United States. Wind and solar receive subsidies, have no end-of-life funds, and incur no grid-resilience costs when they can't generate. The current pricing model also does not include grid resiliency costs and the additional maintenance required for natural gas turbines to spin up and down during wind and solar generation. The additional maintenance costs are just passed on to consumers, who don't realize they are caused by wind and solar installations. The main topics discussed in this Energy News Beat Stand Up are:1. The impact of recent winter storms on the U.S. energy grid and the performance issues with renewable energy sources like wind and solar during peak demand periods. The speaker argues that wind, solar, and storage need to be repriced to account for the additional costs they impose on the grid.2. The launch of "Project Vault" by the Trump administration to establish a strategic critical minerals reserve and reduce U.S. dependence on foreign suppliers, especially China. The speaker highlights several companies that are expected to benefit from this initiative.3. Siemens Energy's $1 billion investment to expand manufacturing of grid equipment in the U.S., creating 1,500 new jobs. The speaker praises the "approachability" of the Trump administration and the Department of Energy, which he says has made it easier for companies like Siemens to invest in Republican-led states.4. The decline in OPEC oil production in January 2026, largely due to political turmoil in Venezuela. The speaker discusses the complexities of the global oil market, noting that "not all oil is created equal" and that OPEC is taking a cautious approach to production quotas and cuts.5. India's continued imports of Russian oil, despite pressure from the U.S. to reduce reliance on Russian energy. The speaker argues that he does not fault India for buying cheap Russian oil, but criticizes California for importing Russian oil-derived jet fuel, which he sees as a national security risk.6. The need for more truthful and fact-based reporting on energy issues by the mainstream media, which the speaker believes is often biased in favor of renewable energy.1.Overreliance on Renewables Leaves Americans Out in the Cold, and Paying More for Electricity2.Trump's Project Vault Gives US Critical Minerals a Boost3.Siemens Energy Commits $1 Billion to Ramp Up Manufacturing in US, Impacting Grid Equipment4.OPEC Output Fell Last Month Due to Venezuela Turmoil5.Oil Rises Amid Conflicting Reports on Iran6.India Is Expected To Only Slowly Reduce Its Import Of Russian Oil7.When will the Mainstream Media Report the Truth on Energy? Nick Deluliis Stops By to Talk about the Truth In EnergyShout out to Steve Reese and the Reese Energy Team at https://reeseenergyconsulting.com/Sources: theenergynewsbeat.substack.com, nationalreview.com, Grok, electrek.co, eia.gov Get your CEO on the podcast: https://sandstoneassetmgmt.com/media/Is oil and gas right for your portfolio? https://sandstoneassetmgmt.com/invest-in-oil-and-gas/
Interview withAndrew Penkethman, MD & CEO of Ardea Resources Ltd.Mark Selby, CEO of Canada NickelRecording date: 2nd February 2026The global nickel market is undergoing a fundamental transformation that is creating investment opportunities in Western-controlled supply chains. Andrew Penkethman, CEO of Ardea Resources, and Mark Selby, CEO of Canada Nickel, recently discussed how their large-scale projects in Australia and Canada are positioned to capitalise on this shift.After two challenging years dominated by Indonesian supply flooding global markets, the landscape is changing. Since December 2025, nickel prices have risen approximately $4,500 per ton as Indonesia transitions from overwhelming production to active supply management. Selby characterises Indonesia as "an OPEC of one country," now implementing quota controls rather than unrestricted output. Price increases across the entire supply chain—from ore to nickel pig iron to stainless steel—indicate genuine market tightness rather than temporary speculation.Both executives emphasise a critical distinction between their new development projects and the aging operations that closed in 2024. Legacy assets from BHP and First Quantum represent 30-year-old mines with declining grades, increasing costs, and years of underinvestment. In contrast, Ardea's Goongarrie Hub and Canada Nickel's Crawford project offer fresh economics with 30-50+ year mine lives, substantial resources, and modern processing capabilities that position them favourably on the cost curve.Strategic validation has arrived through significant partnerships. Ardea secured $98.5 million in definitive feasibility study funding from Sumitomo Metal Mining and Mitsubishi Corporation, whilst Canada Nickel attracted Anglo American, Agnico Eagle, and Samsung SDI as investors. These experienced institutions seek long-term supply arrangements spanning decades, not speculative positions.Government support is accelerating development timelines. Both projects have received major project status enabling streamlined permitting and access to sovereign wealth fund financing. Canada's Prime Minister Mark Carney personally promotes the Crawford project to Middle Eastern investors, whilst Australia develops an "investor front door" program for critical minerals projects.The investment thesis extends beyond electric vehicles into broader critical minerals security. Chinese interests control approximately 80% of refined nickel supply, creating strategic vulnerabilities that Western governments address through supply chain diversification initiatives. With defence spending increasing globally and only a handful of quality nickel projects advancing worldwide, both companies expect construction decisions in 2026-2027.Sign up for Crux Investor: https://cruxinvestor.com
LtCOL. Karen Kwiatkowski : Trump Runs OPECSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Another Government shutdown is upon us; the U.S. Labor Department released the Producer Price Index; S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index has been released including-new orders, production, employment, supplier deliveries, etc.; Amazon announces Corporate job cuts; oil prices react to geopolitical events, a stronger dollar, milder U.S. weather forecasts and OPEC+ production announcements; Kevin has the details, digs into the data, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Another Government shutdown is upon us; the U.S. Labor Department released the Producer Price Index; S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index has been released including-new orders, production, employment, supplier deliveries, etc.; Amazon announces Corporate job cuts; oil prices react to geopolitical events, a stronger dollar, milder U.S. weather forecasts and OPEC+ production announcements; Kevin has the details, digs into the data, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions.
Another Government shutdown is upon us; the U.S. Labor Department released the Producer Price Index; S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index has been released including-new orders, production, employment, supplier deliveries, etc.; Amazon announces Corporate job cuts; oil prices react to geopolitical events, a stronger dollar, milder U.S. weather forecasts and OPEC+ production announcements; Kevin has the details, digs into the data, puts the information into historical perspective, offers his insights and opinions. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
APAC stocks pressured with several bearish factors weighing, incl. the partial US shutdown, weak Chinese PMIs & NVIDIA's OpenAI investment stalling.DXY rangebound, EUR firmer but below 1.19. USD/JPY initially benefited from Takaichi's remarks, though subsequent clarification unwound this.Fixed benchmarks mixed, JGBs benefit from the latest election polling.Crude benchmarks hit alongside APAC stocks, OPEC+ maintained the pause as expected. Spot gold continued to falter, base peers hit by the Chinese data.Bitcoin hit a trough just below USD 75k before finding a floor.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Final Manufacturing PMIs (Jan), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jan), Speakers including BoE's Breeden & Fed's Bostic, Treasury Refunding Announcement, Earnings from Palantir & NXP Semiconductors.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
① Xi Jinping has published an article, calling for building China into a financial powerhouse. He says China needs to build a strong currency that will reach the status of a global reserve. What remain to be done in expanding the yuan's global footprint? (00:47) ② What's at stake in Uruguayan President Yamandu Orsi's week-long visit to China? (14:21) ③ Donald Trump has nominated Kevin Warsh to be the next chair of the US Federal Reserve. What do we know about Warsh? (24:56) ④ As US-Iran tensions boost oil prices, why has OPEC+ decided to maintain its current oil production levels? (35:36) ⑤ China's annual Spring Festival travel rush began on Monday. Why is a new record expected for the number of travels during this year's rush? (45:19)
This week, MSD pivots a bit and airs the latest episode of the Oil Groundup Podcast, where host Rory Johnston welcomes Ronald Smith, a consultant with 25 years of experience analyzing the Russian oil and gas sector. The discussion delves into why Russia's industry is far more complex than other OPEC+ members due to its vast refining sector and extensive pipeline networks that crisscross continental Asia. Smith explains the geographic evolution of production, highlighting West Siberia as the current "anchor" while exploring the future potential of Arctic and East Siberian greenfields._____TerraHutton empowers junior mining companies to secure investment with immersive, interactive, and visually striking storytelling. Learn more about the TerraHutton platform HERE______This episode of Mining Stock Daily is brought to you by... Revival Gold is one of the largest pure gold mine developer operating in the United States. The Company is advancing the Mercur Gold Project in Utah and mine permitting preparations and ongoing exploration at the Beartrack-Arnett Gold Project located in Idaho. Revival Gold is listed on the TSX Venture Exchange under the ticker symbol “RVG” and trades on the OTCQX Market under the ticker symbol “RVLGF”. Learn more about the company at revival-dash-gold.comVizsla Silver is focused on becoming one of the world's largest single-asset silver producers through the exploration and development of the 100% owned Panuco-Copala silver-gold district in Sinaloa, Mexico. The company consolidated this historic district in 2019 and has now completed over 325,000 meters of drilling. The company has the world's largest, undeveloped high-grade silver resource. Learn more at https://vizslasilvercorp.com/Equinox has recently completed the business combination with Calibre Mining to create an Americas-focused diversified gold producer with a portfolio of mines in five countries, anchored by two high-profile, long-life Canadian gold mines, Greenstone and Valentine. Learn more about the business and its operations at equinoxgold.com Integra Resources is a growing precious metals producer in the Great Basin of the Western United States. Integra is focused on demonstrating profitability and operational excellence at its principal operating asset, the Florida Canyon Mine, located in Nevada. In addition, Integra is committed to advancing its flagship development-stage heap leach projects: the past producing DeLamar Project located in southwestern Idaho, and the Nevada North Project located in western Nevada. Learn more about the business and their high industry standards over at integraresources.com
In this episode of the Oil Groundup Podcast, host Rory Johnston welcomes Ronald Smith, a consultant with 25 years of experience analyzing the Russian oil and gas sector. The discussion delves into why Russia's industry is far more complex than other OPEC+ members due to its vast refining sector and extensive pipeline networks that crisscross continental Asia. Smith explains the geographic evolution of production, highlighting West Siberia as the current "anchor" while exploring the future potential of Arctic and East Siberian greenfields. Listeners will learn about the immense logistical hurdles of operating in the world's largest swamp and the technological shift toward horizontal drilling and multi-stage fracking in deeper, tighter horizons. The conversation also uncovers how Russia's tax regime and ruble devaluation serve as unique economic buffers, allowing production to remain resilient despite international sanctions and price caps. Finally, Smith provides a forward-looking assessment of Russia's commitment to OPEC+ and the strategic importance of the massive Vostok Oil project in maintaining future global supply.Ronald's Substack can be found HERE
You can't buy this kind of entertainment. When President Trump throws out a mean Truth Social post, he can move the markets, but when an Aircraft Carrier Strike group shows up near Iran and Iraq, the oil traders panic. It is quite possible that the Glut Narative may just roll off into the sunset, as Stu Turley has said on the podcast "Where's the Glut?" much like the "Where's the Beef" Wendy's commercial. We are seeing a commodities Supercycle surge, and did oil just make it to the Commodities Homecoming Dance? We cover critical investing and issues that will impact consumers in the oil and gas markets. The main topics discussed in this Energy News Beat Stand-UP are:1. Geopolitical tensions and their impact on oil prices: - President Trump's threats of military action against Iran and the resulting spike in Brent crude oil prices - Concerns about potential supply disruptions from Iran and Iraq, which could further impact oil markets2. Declining oil and gas exploration and investment: - The plunge in global conventional oil and gas discovery volumes in recent years - The decline in overall oil and gas capital expenditures, focused on short-cycle, low-cost projects - The high percentage of production coming from post-peak oil and gas fields raising concerns about future supply3. The changing dynamics in the oil and gas industry: - The dichotomy between "drill, baby, drill" and "grow, baby, grow" approaches to production - The role of refinery demand in determining the pricing and trading of different crude oil grades - Saudi Aramco's efforts to change how OPEC monitors and prices oil, moving towards a more refinery-driven model4. Potential mergers and acquisitions in the sector: - The ongoing discussions around a potential merger between Coterra Energy and Devon Energy - The involvement of activist investor Kimmeridge in pushing for this merger, including the potential nomination of Scott Sheffield to Coterra's board5. Performance and outlook for oil and gas companies: - The strong stock price performance of major oil companies like ExxonMobil and Chevron - The potential opportunities in the mining and gold/silver sectors as a hedge against oil and gas market volatilityStories Covered in today's Energy News Beat Stand-Up1.Brent Breaks $70 After Trump Threatens Iran With Military Force2.Oil Options on Longest Bullish Run Since 2024 as Iran Risk Looms3.Oil Exploration Drastically Lagging Demand – We are approaching a critical junction of lack of investment4.Trinidad & Tobago: The $4 Billion Nat Gas Play5.Gas Turbines Suffer Economic Hardships Due to Stress Placed on Them by Wind and Solar6.Saudi Aramco Raises $4 Billion as Oil Prices Remain Under the Oil Glut ThreatA shout-out to Reese Energy Consulting for sponsoring the Podcast: https://reeseenergyconsulting.com/Check out: theenergynewsbeat.substack.com,Get your CEO on the podcast: https://sandstoneassetmgmt.com/media/Is oil and gas right for your portfolio? https://sandstoneassetmgmt.com/invest-in-oil-and-gas/
Robert Bryce is an author and movie producer, and he has a great Substack at Robertbryce.substack.com. We consider him a national treasure, and he holds nothing back in this great interview. We explore the world to see how energy, oil, and geopolitics collide. As we release this podcast, US Ships are approaching Iran, and oil prices are responding. The main topics discussed in this Podcast are:1. The role of energy, particularly oil, in global geopolitics and conflicts: - The transcript discusses how targeting electrical grid infrastructure has been a common military tactic in major conflicts like the Iraq wars, the Russia-Ukraine war, and the situation in Venezuela. - Controlling energy resources and infrastructure is seen as a key strategic objective in these conflicts.2. The "dark fleet" and Venezuela's involvement in circumventing sanctions: - The discussion touches on Venezuela's relationship with Russia and China, and how they have been using a "dark fleet" of tankers to move oil and bypass sanctions. - This highlights how energy trade and financial mechanisms are being used to counter geopolitical pressure.3. The shift towards a "Western Hemispheric energy powerhouse": - There is discussion about the Trump administration's efforts to align the energy resources of the Western Hemisphere, including shale, oil sands, and Venezuela's heavy crude, under a framework that prioritizes reliable, low-cost supply. - This is seen as a potential challenge to OPEC's influence.4. The challenges facing the transition to renewable energy and electrification: - The transcript touches on the growing demand for electricity, the constraints on the power grid and natural gas supply, and the difficulties in rapidly scaling up new energy infrastructure. - There is a discussion about the role of natural gas, data centers, and new technologies like reciprocating engines in meeting this growing energy demand.5. The performance and challenges of the electric vehicle (EV) market: - The transcript discusses the significant financial losses incurred by legacy automakers in their efforts to compete with Tesla and enter the EV market. - This is seen as an example of the industry misjudging the market and customer demand for EVs.Chapters/Time Stamps03:27 War and how energy infrastructure is targeted07:59 Energy is the key to geopolitics14:35 Greenland is the New Green Deal18:32 EIA Growing Electricity Demand 27:37 Natural Gas, and we may be too dependent on one source32:41 EVs and the problems car makers have had, and caused. Check out Robert Bryce on his Substack: https://robertbryce.substack.com/Check out the Energy News Beat Substack: https://theenergynewsbeat.substack.com/or the Energy News Beat Website https://energynewsbeat.co/
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger PictureChina & Canada are trying to bypass Trump trade tariffs. This has already failed, and Trump calls out Carney.EU economy is weak and it is getting weaker, there are two paths, one that follows the [CB] agenda the other is Trump economic agenda. Inflation declines again, Gold and Silver are up, Trump’s plan is working, its time to end the endless.The [DS] is now calling for the insurgency to accelerate. Clinton and Obama are now calling on their foot soldiers to push the insurrection against Trump. Trump has put a message to all D’s, lets work together, the optics are very good, the D’s will do this for a short period of time but in the end they will push the insurrection. Once they do this, they lost the people. Timing and optics are very important. Economy Carney Cracks: Canada Has ‘No Intention’ Of Pursuing Free Trade Deal With China After Trump Threatens 100% Tariffs To review: right before Davos, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney returned from a trip to Beijing and announced a new 5-point ‘strategic partnership’ to ‘diversify our trade partnerships.’ The agreements included slashing tariffs on Chinese EV imports from 100 percent to 6.1 percent for the first 49,000 units, in exchange for China cutting tariffs on Canadian canola from 85 percent to 15 percent until at least the end of the year. Other exports, including Canadian canola meal, lobsters, crabs, and peas will also not be subject to Chinese anti-discrimination tariffs until at least the end of 2026. A week later, Carney told the global elite at Davos resort that the “rules-based order” established by the United States and its allies following WW2 was fraying amid the current rivalry between China and America, so the “middle powers must act together because if we’re not on the table, we’re on the menu.” Carney said that for their survival, nations should no longer “go along to get along” with Trump. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney says Canada has “no intention” of pursuing a free trade deal with China, after Donald Trump threatened to slap a 100% tariff on Canadian exports if Ottawa “makes a deal” with Beijing. Source: zerohedge.com Trump Is Right About Europe's Weak Economy: U.S. vs. EU Compared President Trump argued that Europe's economic stagnation is the result of a self-inflicted “civilizational erasure” driven by reliance on what he calls the “Green New Scam,” which he says has replaced affordable energy with costly and unreliable wind power. He further asserted that unchecked mass migration has strained social infrastructure and altered the continent's cultural identity, while a stifling regulatory environment and excessive government spending have suppressed the innovation needed to compete with the United States. Finally, he accused European nations of freeloading on American security, arguing that their failure to meet NATO defense spending targets over the past 70 years has allowed them to avoid the true costs of national sovereignty at the expense of the American taxpayer. Based on current economic data as of January 2026, the comparison supports Trump's critique. While the United States is experiencing aggressive growth alongside widespread deregulation, Europe remains mired in what can best be described as stabilized stagnation. The United States enters 2026 with inflation at 2.7%, steadily returning toward the 2% target. As in President Trump's first term, strong GDP growth has been paired with relatively modest inflation. Fourth-quarter GDP growth is projected at 5.4%, dwarfing Europe's stagnant 0.2%. For the full year, U.S. growth is expected to reach between 4.3% and 5%, while Europe is projected to manage only about 1.3% to 1.6%. On the labor front, the United States maintains its historical advantage, with unemployment at 4.4% compared to 6.3% in the Eurozone. This low level of unemployment has been achieved despite deep government job cuts that reduced taxpayer costs. While the United States reduced federal spending by $100 billion, European fiscal policy has moved in the opposite direction. The U.S. has moved 1.2 million people off food stamps, while European social safety nets are coming under increased strain from rising living costs. In 2024, the most recent data available, EU social protection spending rose by 7%, far outpacing nominal GDP growth. This imbalance pushed the social expenditure-to-GDP ratio to 27.3% across the bloc, with countries such as France and Austria exceeding 31%, reinforcing the strain caused by rising demand for social welfare. Energy remains far cheaper in the United States, particularly electricity and natural gas, due to abundant domestic production, lower taxes and levies, and reduced reliance on imports, with overall prices about half of Europe's and industrial electricity often as little as one-third. Source: thegatewaypundit.com (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); https://twitter.com/profstonge/status/2015764155580756471?s=20 https://twitter.com/truflation/status/2015770236105138602?s=20 https://twitter.com/WallStreetMav/status/2015647917441183786?s=20 spending problems. Gold is at record highs against every currency, not just the dollar Political/Rights DOGE https://twitter.com/WallStreetMav/status/2015553600106164548?s=20 Geopolitical https://twitter.com/MarioNawfal/status/2015729194270154997?s=20 supply before then. More LNG, more U.S. gas, more renewables… Higher costs baked in. For Brussels this is an irreversible line. After 2027, there's no “going back to normal.” The EU has indeed been importing refined petroleum products from India that originate from Russian crude oil, creating an indirect pathway for Russian oil to enter the European market despite sanctions on direct imports from Russia since December 2022. This circumvention became prominent after the EU and G7 imposed a price cap on Russian oil, prompting Russia to redirect exports to countries like India and China, where the crude is refined and then resold. EU officials and analysts have long acknowledged the loophole, which is why recent sanctions packages have targeted it directly. For instance, the EU’s 18th sanctions package in July 2025 banned the import of petroleum products derived from Russian crude processed in third countries, and specifically sanctioned Nayara Energy, an Indian refinery partly owned by Russia’s Rosneft. The 19th package in October 2025 further tightened measures by sanctioning additional third-country entities, including three in India, for supporting Russia’s circumvention efforts. As a result, major Indian refiners like Reliance Industries have stopped importing Russian crude for certain facilities to comply with these rules and maintain access to EU markets. Russia, meanwhile, continues to adapt by using new middlemen exporters to supply India, aiming to sustain the flow despite the crackdown. India has not fully stopped importing Russian oil since then, but imports have significantly declined. In 2025, Russia’s share of India’s crude oil imports fell to 33.3% from 36% the previous year, while OPEC’s share rose slightly to 50%. By December 2025, India dropped to the third-largest buyer of Russian fossil fuels overall, importing €2.3 billion worth that month, with major refiners like Reliance Industries scaling back or halting purchases. This reduction appears driven by a mix of U.S. tariff pressures, steeper discounts on Russian crude drawing buyers back selectively, and India’s strategic diversification to ensure energy security without fully alienating Russia—a key defense and trade partner. https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2015527595975033161?s=20 the CMC Joint Staff Dept: Under investigation for violations 5. Director of CMC Political Work Dept: Removed in 2025 over corruption The US-China rivalry has gone well beyond trade. The purges depicted in the image of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC) stem from an escalating anti-corruption campaign under Xi Jinping, which has targeted the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) extensively since 2023. This drive is officially framed as rooting out graft, bribery, and disciplinary violations, but analysts widely interpret it as a mechanism for Xi to consolidate power, enforce unwavering loyalty among military leaders, and address systemic issues like incompetence or factional rivalries that could undermine PLA readiness. The campaign has intensified in 2025-2026, affecting nearly the entire top echelon of the CMC—China’s highest military decision-making body, chaired by Xi himself—leaving it in significant disarray War/Peace Report: Iran's Khamenei Flees to ‘Fortified' Bunker, Fearing U.S. Strike Following rising concerns over a possible U.S. military strike, Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei has relocated to a heavily fortified underground compound in Tehran, according to reports, which cited sources close to the regime who revealed his son now oversees day-to-day operations. Source: breitbart.com https://twitter.com/amuse/status/2015828196273303756?s=20 calling it a dream disconnected from reality. The US covers about 68% of NATO defense spending while Europe still misses its 2% commitments. Medical/False Flags [DS] Agenda https://twitter.com/libsoftiktok/status/2015559098847428717?s=20 https://twitter.com/JoeConchaTV/status/2015519543846703552?s=20 If you are preparing a city for an insurrection is this what you do to lower morale, have police quit and this way there is no one to stop the insurgency In 2024 Minnesota AG Keith Ellison Argued No Right to Carry a Gun at ‘Political Rallies and Protests' In 2024, Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison (D) was among 17 AGs who contended there is no right to carry a gun at “political rallies and protests.” The AGs did this in a January 26, 2024, filing in support of upholding California's gun controls for “sensitive places” in a Ninth Circuit case. In the filing, Ellison and the other AGs expressed support for banning the possession of firearms “in crowded places.” The AGs wrote: “Without the power to institute such restrictions, California and other states would be left unable effectively to prevent gun violence in crowded places, around vulnerable populations, or where individuals are exercising other constitutionally protected rights, putting the public at risk.” They emphasized, “Even the perceived risk of gun violence could cause repercussions, as individuals may be discouraged from visiting crowded or confined locations where they know others may be armed.” Source: breitbart.com https://twitter.com/BillClinton/status/2015562744993350135?s=20 Didn’t Bill and Hiliary Violate a Supeona to testify in front of congress, they broke the law, shouldn’t he be in jail. Barack Obama Urges More Street Protests, Blames Trump for Minneapolis Shooting https://twitter.com/BarackObama/status/2015479691147149747?s=20 4700 Q !!Hs1Jq13jV6 ID: a54ff9 No.10644532 Sep 14 2020 11:34:31 (EST) Worth remembering [think what you see today]. https://2009-2017.state.gov/documents/organization/119629.pdf
In this episode of Mining Stock Education, host Brian Leni interviews Elliott Gue, the editor and chief analyst at Energy Bulletin. Elliott discusses the current geopolitical landscapes affecting energy markets, future energy demand, and investment opportunities. He provides an in-depth analysis of Venezuela's misunderstood oil reserves and its potential production capabilities. Furthermore, Elliott outlines the long-term forecast of a major energy crisis emerging from rising global demand, decreasing non-OPEC supply, and limited OPEC spare capacity. He advises investors to look at various sectors such as US refineries, oil services companies, and upstream natural gas producers as potential opportunities to mitigate and profit from the anticipated energy shortages by 2028-2030. 00:00 Introduction 01:27 Venezuela's Oil Reserves: Myths and Realities 04:55 Investment Needs for Venezuela's Oil Industry 09:19 Impact on US Refineries and Global Oil Market 17:00 Geopolitical Factors and Oil Market Dynamics 24:58 Future Energy Crisis and Strategic Importance of Venezuela 27:43 China's Energy Strategy: Build First, Break Later 29:16 India's Energy Growth and Challenges 31:17 Global Competition for Energy Commodities 32:41 The Role of Natural Gas in the US Energy Market 35:31 Renewables and Grid Scale Storage 41:20 Investment Strategies in the Energy Sector 47:41 Elliott's Newsletter and Final Thoughts Elliott's website: https://energyandincomeadvisor.com/ Sign up for our free newsletter and receive interview transcripts, stock profiles and investment ideas: http://eepurl.com/cHxJ39 Mining Stock Education (MSE) offers informational content based on available data but it does not constitute investment, tax, or legal advice. It may not be appropriate for all situations or objectives. Readers and listeners should seek professional advice, make independent investigations and assessments before investing. MSE does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of its content and should not be solely relied upon for investment decisions. MSE and its owner may hold financial interests in the companies discussed and can trade such securities without notice. MSE is biased towards its advertising sponsors which make this platform possible. MSE is not liable for representations, warranties, or omissions in its content. By accessing MSE content, users agree that MSE and its affiliates bear no liability related to the information provided or the investment decisions you make. Full disclaimer: https://www.miningstockeducation.com/disclaimer/
Matt Marshall - President of AEGIS CTA comes back onto the podcast to unpack the hornets nest that is Global Geopolitics and how everything is affecting oil & gas strip and futures. Throughout the episode, Matt opines on Venezuela, OPEC, Iran, China, Russia, Data Centers, and much much more.**Disclaimer: This podcast is meant for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please note that commodity interest trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all participants. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and AEGIS does not offer or manage trading programs or direct individual commodity interest accounts. To see their full disclaimer, please visit www.aegis-hedging.com. A big thanks to our 3 Minerals & Royalties Podcast Sponsors:--Tracts: If you are interested in learning more about Tracts title related services and software, then please call 281-892-2096 or visit https://tracts.co/ to learn more.--Riverbend Energy Group: If you are interested in discussing the sale of your Minerals and/or NonOp interests w/ Riverbend, then please visit www.riverbendenergygroup.com for moreinformation--Farmers National Company: For more information onFarmer's land management services, please visit www.fncenergy.com oremail energy@farmersnational.com
Why Oil Prices May Stay Low In 2026 and what it means for India is a question shaping business decisions, policy debates, and household economics across the country.In this India Energy Week 2026 special episode of The Core Report, Govindraj Ethiraj speaks with Atanu Mukherjee, CEO Dastur Energy to break down the global energy outlook for 2026, why oil supply is likely to stay ahead of demand, and how a lower crude oil price regime could impact India. From Brent crude price expectations in the 50 to 60 dollar range to changing oil flows, this conversation explains why oil prices may remain soft and what that really means for inflation, growth, and energy security.The discussion explores how oversupply in global oil markets, OPEC's evolving role, and limited volatility are reshaping energy markets in 2026. It also looks closely at India's oil imports, including Russian oil and Venezuela as a longer-term option, and why India's refining capacity and petrochemicals strategy are becoming more important as fuel demand patterns change.Beyond oil, this episode examines LNG prices, global gas supply expansion, and why natural gas remains critical for India despite price sensitivity and import dependence. You will also hear why renewables alone may not be enough, how gas and coal-based solutions could support reliable power, and why energy affordability is becoming as important as clean energy goals.A key theme in this conversation is the rising energy demand from AI, data centres, and hyperscalers. As artificial intelligence expands, India's power infrastructure, grid integration, and energy mix will play a decisive role in determining how fast the digital economy can grow. The episode connects global energy trends with India's economic and technological future in a clear, grounded way.If you are tracking oil prices in 2026, India's energy strategy, LNG markets, geopolitics, or the intersection of energy and AI, this conversation offers valuable context and long-term perspective for professionals in finance, consulting, manufacturing, and policy.Understanding why oil prices may stay low in 2026 is not just about forecasting markets. It is about understanding how energy shapes India's competitiveness, resilience, and growth in a rapidly changing world. Stay with The Core Report for deeper conversations that cut through noise and help you make sense of what comes next.#OilPrices2026 #IndiaEnergy #CrudeOil #EnergyMarkets #IndiaEnergyWeek2026 #TheCoreReport #TheCoreJoin The Core Insider to get access to perks:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCzXJw6XkwZulY4nigdtvs4Q/joinListeners! We await your feedback: https://tinyurl.com/TCR-Listener-SurveyThe Core & The Core Report is ad supported & FREE for all readers & listeners. Write in to shiva@thecore.in for sponsorships & brand studio requirements.For more of our coverage check out thecore.in (https://www.thecore.in/)Support the Core Report (https://tinyurl.com/Support-the-Core-Report)Join & Interact anonymously on our WhatsApp channel (https://tinyurl.com/The-Core-WhatsApp-Channel) Subscribe to our Newsletter (https://www.thecore.in/newsletters/thecorenewsletter)
In this blockbuster episode, Tara breaks down a jaw-dropping admission that most of the mainstream media is ignoring: “We will control the Venezuelan oil.” This isn't a war. It isn't a seizure. And it isn't illegal. It's a strategic, sanctions-backed move that may have just ended America's dependence on OPEC, kneecapped China's energy supply, and reshaped global geopolitics—without losing a single U.S. soldier.
In this historic and clarifying episode, Tara explains why so many people are panicking over Venezuela—and why they're missing the point. The U.S. didn't seize Venezuelan oil. It was handed over under long-standing sanctions authority passed by Congress itself. With ports blockaded legally, energy leverage restored, and China cut off from discounted oil, this episode breaks down how decades of compromised policy were reversed almost overnight. The result? A seismic shift away from OPEC and toward American energy dominance—sold in dollars.
In this explosive breakdown, Tara unpacks what may be the boldest foreign-policy and energy strategy in modern U.S. history. From rare earth minerals and Chinese leverage to Venezuela's oil ports and the unraveling of OPEC, this episode lays out how sanctions, indictments, and energy dominance intersect. At the center of it all: a blunt declaration—the United States will control Venezuelan oil—and a global power shift that could kneecap China, collapse hostile regimes, and end America's dependence on the Middle East once and for all.
Peter Boockvar, Chief Investment Officer at One Point BFG Wealth Partners and author of The Boock Report, sees "bells ringing" on the AI tech trade with Oracle, CoreWeave, and Nvidia showing tiredness, and warns the question is whether the baton can be passed to other sectors without the market falling apart. His three favorite groups for 2026 are energy (where $60 oil is "one of the cheapest assets in the world" and he sees $70+ minimum), agriculture (fertilizer stocks like Mosaic and Nutrient), and beaten-down consumer staples offering "bond-like dividend yields with equity-like upside." On Venezuela, he disagrees with the oil-for-midterms thesis - it's really about stiff-arming China, Russia, and Iran, and won't impact oil supply for 5-10 years anyway. He's been trimming silver after its vertical move toward $100 but still likes gold driven by central bank buying and dollar diversification. His biggest concern: if we lose the AI trade, its dominance is so large it could take everything down with it.This episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: http://vaneck.com/REMXJuliaLinks: Substack/The Boock Report: https://boockreport.com/Twitter/X: https://x.com/pboockvarTimestamps:00:00 Intro and welcome Peter Boockvar01:18 2025 retro: World markets did really well, fire lit under international markets03:15 Bells ringing on AI tech trade - Oracle, CoreWeave, Nvidia tiredness05:45 China competition in AI - models more applicable, monetizing faster06:30 Bifurcated economy: Manufacturing recession, lower-middle income spending weak07:45 Data center build out - question of when not if it slows08:30 Delta earnings: Premium cabin strong, main cabin no growth09:15 Europe bifurcated too: Germany/France struggling, Spain/Greece doing well11:36 Three favorite groups for 2026: Energy, ag, consumer staples12:15 Energy: Bearish sentiment extreme, contrarian setup, CFTC net longs at 15-year lows13:30 Venezuela: 5-10 years before notable production increase14:15 OPEC production lagging quotas - most running at full capacity15:00 US shale production slowing, rolling over even in Permian15:45 Peak oil demand pushed out - hybrids winning, EV demand delayed16:30 Ag: Fertilizer stocks - Mosaic, Nutrient - down and out value plays17:15 Consumer staples destroyed over 12 months - deep value now17:52 Names: Kimberly Clark, Nestle, Pepsi, ConAgra, Coke, Reynolds18:24 Oil at $60 is one of the cheapest assets in the world - sees $70 minimum19:15 Energy holdings: Exxon, BP, Shell, Canadian Natural Resources, Oxy, Noble, EQT23:44 Venezuela won't impact oil supply for 5-10 years - focused on near-term25:32 Inflation: Conflicting dynamics - services decelerating, goods inflation returning27:00 Next Fed chair will have inflation dilemma - sticky around 3%28:45 Services inflation could rebound in back half of 2026 as apartment supply absorbed29:01 Reaction to Powell subpoena30:09 Powell is done cutting - will be playing 18 holes in June31:28 Last Fed cut was not necessary - took neutral rate below 1%32:30 Need low and stable prices first, then labor market improves35:34 Gold north of $4,600 - levels don't surprise, maybe pace did36:27 Silver at $92 - trimming position, tree needs to take a breather37:30 Gold thesis: Central bank buying, dollar diversification has more legs38:49 2025 lesson: World woke up to opportunities outside mag seven40:22 What not to own: Mag seven, long duration bonds40:46 Japan matters for global rates - JGB yields rising, canary in coal mine42:00 Bullish emerging market local currency bonds - better finances, cheap currencies42:57 EM names: China, Malaysia, Singapore, Mexico, Brazil, Chile, Indonesia43:45 Biggest risk: Losing AI trade and gap up in long-term rates44:24 Optimism: Broadening out continues, international markets, commodity trade has legs45:03 Parting thoughts: Investors need to be flexible in their thinking
Geopolitics is back on the front page—Venezuela sanctions shifts, unrest in Iran, and fresh supply/demand puzzles for global oil. In this episode, Jordan, and Jeremy unpack what rising or falling crude could mean for U.S. gas prices, market leadership, and long-term retirement planning. We cover sequencing risk, diversification, and why disciplined rules matter more than headlines.If you're retired or retiring soon, your plan should drive your risk—not the news cycle. Ready to stress-test your strategy?Subscribe for more videos like this one.Timestamps:00:00 – Opening: Venezuela, Iran, and Why Energy Is Back in Focus01:45 – Why Venezuela Matters: Oil Reserves, OPEC, and Global Power04:05 – Regime Change Implications: Can Oil Production Recover?06:40 – OPEC, Iran, and the Global Supply-Demand Tug of War09:30 – Where Venezuelan Oil Goes Today: China, Sanctions, and Security12:05 – What This Means for Inflation, Gas Prices, and Your Wallet16:40 – Market Volatility, Portfolio Implications, and Final TakeawaysRPOA Advisors, Inc. (d/b/a Retirement Planners of America) (“RPOA”) is an SEC-registered investment adviser. Registration as an investment adviser is not an endorsement by securities regulators and does not imply that RPOA has attained a certain level of skill or training.This podcast has been prepared for informational and educational purposes only. It is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, personalized investment, financial, tax, or legal advice. RPOA does not provide tax or legal advice. You should consult your own tax and legal advisors before engaging in any transaction or strategy.Opinions expressed are those of RPOA as of the date of publication and are subject to change. Investing involves risks, including possible loss of principal. Diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee a profit, nor do they eliminate the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
In a single week, Donald Trump goes after the Federal Reserve, criminalises Jerome Powell, and shakes the idea of central bank independence, the quiet pillar holding the global financial system together. At the same time, two oil superpowers, Venezuela and Iran, slide into fresh instability. Coincidence? Not quite. We unpack a world that feels wildly out of balance. In the U.S., markets are booming while consumer confidence collapses. The top 10 stocks now make up 40% of the S&P 500, profits are rising six times faster than wages, and young unemployment is running at 8.5% while older workers stack second jobs. GDP says “fine.” Lived reality says otherwise. Then we turn to energy, the thing that still prices everything. With oil hovering around $60 a barrel, sanctions wobbling, OPEC under strain, and Iran emerging as the real wildcard, we ask what happens next. Oil expert Carol Nackley joins us to explain why Venezuela's reserves don't mean cheap fuel, why Iran could flip the market overnight, and why political chaos makes long-term energy investment almost impossible. This episode is about imbalance, in money, markets, power, and psychology, and why when trust in institutions cracks, the consequences show up everywhere: in your wages, your bills, and the price you pay at the pump. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Predicting the Unpredictable: Energy and Geopolitics in 2026 This week, Peter and Jackie kick off the year with their 2026 outlook. They begin by asking a fundamental question: How relevant are predictions in an increasingly unpredictable world? While acknowledging the limits of forecasting, they outline key themes and directional expectations for 2026—and remind leaders that, in times like these, scenario development, continuous monitoring, and course correction are far more valuable than rigid forecasts. The discussion focuses on four major areas shaping the outlook for Canadian energy, spanning oil and gas and clean energy technologies: Global geopolitics and energy markets: examining how unfolding events in Venezuela and Iran—and ongoing tensions involving the United States, China, Russia, and Ukraine—could influence global energy markets. Oil and gas fundamentals: assessing the direction of oil prices and North American natural gas in 2026. Technology and disruption: exploring whether electric vehicles will regain momentum, how rapidly solar deployment will continue to scale, and whether projections for AI-driven energy demand will keep accelerating. Canada's unique circumstances: politics, policy, and infrastructure—from climate policy and the Ottawa–Alberta memorandum of understanding (MOU) on an oil pipeline, to elections (and potential elections) to watch. While predicting the future may be difficult, one thing Jackie and Peter are confident about is that the ARC Energy Ideas podcast will be here throughout the year—helping you navigate what is shaping up to be a consequential and eventful year for energy markets and geopolitics. Please review our disclaimer at: https://www.arcenergyinstitute.com/disclaimer/ Check us out on social media: X (Twitter): @arcenergyinstLinkedIn: @ARC Energy Research Institute Subscribe to ARC Energy Ideas PodcastApple PodcastsAmazon MusicSpotify
Stijn Schmitz welcomes back Josef Schachter to the show. Josef Schachter is Founder, Schachter Asset Management Inc. The discussion centers on the current and future outlook for the global energy market, with a particular focus on oil and natural gas production and investment opportunities. Schachter presents a bullish perspective on the energy sector, forecasting a significant upward trajectory for oil prices. He predicts WTI oil prices will range from $52-$66 in Q1 2026, rising to $74-$84 in Q4, potentially reaching $100 per barrel by 2028-2029. This projection is underpinned by several key factors, including normal demand growth of 1.2-1.3 million barrels per day and constrained OPEC production capabilities. A critical aspect of Schachter’s thesis is the global lack of new oil discoveries and declining production rates. He highlights that shell oil production experiences 30-50% decline rates in the first year, necessitating continuous drilling. He notes, that over a billion people worldwide lack stable electricity access, presenting a significant future demand opportunity for energy resources. The conversation explores investment strategies within the energy sector, with Schachter recommending a diversified approach based on individual risk profiles. He suggests considering natural gas, light to medium gravity oil exposure, and service industry stocks. Notably, he emphasizes the importance of companies with strong balance sheets, insider ownership, and prudent management. Schachter is particularly optimistic about Canadian energy companies, many of which are currently trading at two to three times cash flow, with potential to expand to seven or eight times during a potential energy super cycle. He points out attractive dividend yields from various energy companies, ranging from 5% to 11%. The conversation also touches on geopolitical factors, including potential developments in Venezuela and the global shift in energy production and consumption. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:23 – Oil Price Outlook 00:04:39 – Inventory Analysis 00:08:29 – Venezuela Oil Shift 00:10:21 – Rule of Law 00:14:53 – Canadian Stock Impacts 00:17:11 – Investment Opportunities 00:19:00 – Dividend Yields 00:21:30 – Energy Super Cycle 00:22:49 – M&A Activity 00:35:32 – Discovery Shortages 00:40:38 – Global Demand Growth 00:48:16 – Energy Report Details Guest Links: Website: https://schachterenergyreport.ca Josef Schachter is a 40+ year veteran of the Canadian Investment Management Industry, Josef Schachter has experienced several exceptional and turbulent global economic and stock market cycles. With his primary focus in the stock market and the energy sector, Josef is able to weave global political, economic and monetary issues with current energy data into a compelling story of what's going on, what is to come, and why. Josef is a frequent guest on Michael Campbell's Podcast ‘Mikes Money Talks' and other podcast and radio shows and is often quoted in the media. He is a regular Guest Speaker at the annual World Outlook Financial Conference in Vancouver and he delivers presentations to various companies and organizations. For several years, he was a frequent and notably colourful commentator on BNN Bloomberg's Market Call. Josef provided Oil and Gas research to Maison Placements Canada geared to their institutional clients for 15 years ending April 2017, and was acknowledged as the first analyst in Canada to predict the Oil Price Plunge of 2014. Prior to establishing his firm Schachter Asset Management Inc. in 1996, Josef was the Chief Market Strategist at Richardson Greenshields, a Director of RGCL and a member of its Investment Policy Committee. He holds a Chartered Financial Analyst designation and is a past Chairman of the Canadian Council of Financial Analysts.
Societe Generale Head of FIC and Commodity Research Michael Haigh joins Merryn Somerset Webb to break down why the US attack on Venezuela and any subsequent attempt to reboot its energy industry is unlikely to change oil prices near-term. He explains why markets are more influenced right now by OPEC’s supply decisions and China’s rapid strategic petroleum reserve buying—and warns prices could fall if China slows purchases. The conversation then turns to a bullish outlook for copper, driven by electrification, artificial intelligence and data centers, as well as defense spending. Plus, Haigh argues gold and silver still have upside—gold on sustained central-bank demand and silver on persistent deficits—while noting key risks if central-bank buying or global uncertainty meaningfully eases.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
MAIOR ICO DA HISTÓRIA: VEJA COMO SE POSICIONAR - https://emprc.us/G91yKRNo PodCa$t #121, o primeiro episódio do ano, os analistas da Empiricus discutem os principais temas que podem impactar seus investimentos em 2026.Neste episódio, nosso time de analistas, composto por Larissa Quaresma, Matheus Spiess e Lais Costa, falam sobre como deve ser o próximo ciclo de juros no Brasil e nos Estados Unidos, analisando os dados recentes de inflação e mercado de trabalho e o que eles indicam para a política monetária.Também debatemos a captura de Nicolás Maduro e os efeitos geopolíticos dessa mudança no controle do petróleo venezuelano, com impactos diretos sobre commodities, OPEC e mercados globais, incluindo o Brasil.No quadro Compra ou Vende, analisamos três ativos que estão no radar dos investidores:– Ouro – Petróleo – Tesouro IPCA+ Para fechar, os participantes compartilham a dica cultural da semana.O Empiricus PodCa$t é o podcast semanal para quem quer entender economia, mercado financeiro, investimentos e os grandes movimentos globais de forma clara e direta.
Never has so much been misunderstood by so many. In this episode, we break down what President Trump is actually doing in Venezuela—and why claims of “war” completely miss the point. From legally enforced sanctions and naval blockades to collapsing Venezuelan oil production and China's growing energy crisis, this may be one of the most consequential geopolitical maneuvers of our lifetime. This isn't regime change by bombs. It's power through courts, sanctions, energy leverage, and economic reality—executed entirely within the law. Is Trump building his own version of OPEC? Is China being economically cornered? And why does Venezuela suddenly have no choice but to comply? This is next-level strategy—and almost nobody is explaining it correctly.
Macro trends blogger and economist David Woo @DavidWooUnbound, CEO of David Woo Unbound, a global forum devoted to the promotion of fact-based debates about markets, politics, and economics, argues the world changed forever after the US captured Maduro on January 3 in "Operation Absolute Resolve" - the first time in 100 years a country took out another head of state without consent. He explains this signals the death of the rule-based international order, making gold extremely bullish as countries can no longer trust the dollar system. Woo's key trades for 2026: short oil (December contract heading to high 40s/low 50s) as Trump needs to win the affordability argument for midterms, and he gives 65% odds of a massive $2,000 tariff rebate stimulus package. He admits getting gold completely wrong last year (up 60%) but remains bullish, warns the K-shaped economy consensus is about to be upended if lower oil and stimulus help the bottom 80%, and identifies the AI bubble bursting as the biggest risk - with Microsoft's January 28 earnings as a crucial date.This episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Rare Earth and Strategic Metals ETF: http://vaneck.com/REMXJuliaWoo, the former head of Global Interest Rates, Foreign Exchange, Emerging Markets Fixed Income Strategy & Economics Research at Bank of America, is known for some of his bold and contrarian calls, including Trump winning the presidential race in 2016 (https://www.cnbc.com/2016/12/08/bofaml-analyst-got-ovation-from-co-workers-the-morning-after-election.html), and that the 2020 US presidential election would be much closer than expected and the results contested (https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/the-dangerous-groupthink-stalking-wall-street-20210909-p58q48).Links: Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@DavidWooUnbound Website: https://www.davidwoounbound.com/ Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/DavidwoounboundTimestamps: 0:00 Intro and welcome David Woo01:28 Macro picture - don't fight Trump 02:31 Midterm election is the biggest story of 202605:17 Affordability argument - Venezuela about oil - not democracy, not drugs12:45 Tariff rebate? 65% chance of massive fiscal stimulus before midterms16:10 Don't fight Trump - theme of 202616:35 Gold was up 60% - the ultimate Trump trade of 202517:15 Short oil is the ultimate Trump trade of 202619:03 K-shape economy consensus about to be upended20:43 What David got wrong on gold last year26:17 The world is not the same - Venezuela changes everything31:45 US tech lead over China shrinking from 2-3 years to 6 months33:54 Knock-on effects: Bearish emerging markets, bullish defense, bullish gold38:57 OPEC biggest loser - lost Venezuela, may lose Iran42:04 TACO or FAFO? 44:44 Why does stock market matter to Trump?49:34 Biggest risk for 2026: Bursting of AI bubble52:10 Retail buy-the-dip crowd - most powerful force in markets54:14 Wrap up and where to find David Woo
Today we had the pleasure of welcoming back Rob West, Founder and Lead Analyst at Thunder Said Energy, continuing our tradition of kicking off the year with his perspectives. Rob has joined us on COBT six times in our history and has earned the honor of holding the lead-off spot in 2022, 2024, 2025, and now 2026. He is a long-time energy analyst and provides unique, thought-provoking, and economic-driven insights into energy research and technologies. Rob launched Thunder Said in 2019 and previously served at Sanford C. Bernstein and Partners Capital. Based in Estonia, he brings a valuable global lens to the energy landscape. One of Veriten's highlights from 2025 was having Rob join the firm as a Senior Advisor. We were delighted to visit with Rob to reflect on 2025 and explore what the future might hold for energy in 2026. In our conversation, Rob reflects on the shift in the dominant energy-market narrative from net zero and the energy transition (2021 – 2023), to geopolitical security post Russia-Ukraine, and now overwhelmingly toward AI and power demand. We discuss the outlook for sharply higher global defense spending by 2030 and its potential benefits to infrastructure, industry, AI, smart grids, and competitiveness. Rob outlines a broader recalibration of energy “truths” entering 2026 including solar growth potentially flattening, EV growth slowing or declining, the LNG glut narrative being questioned, and oil demand continuing to grow at roughly ~+1 MMbbl/d per year. Rob shares his outlook on global LNG, highlighting a wave of new supply that is frequently delayed, Russian LNG logistics constraints, Australia's domestic market interventions, and how policy changes in the U.S. and China are contributing to slower EV sales. We explore whether rising marginal coal mining costs in China could translate into higher Chinese power prices, China's energy strategy and diversification, and the copper outlook, including potential demand headwinds if solar and EV growth slows in 2026, alongside the importance of “primary analysis.” Rob highlights why flexible grids and better utilization are the biggest levers to reducing power system costs and explains his rationale for a more cautious U.S. shale outlook, remarking that oil markets are now influenced less by OPEC policy and more by U.S. foreign policy pressure. We closed by asking Rob for his biggest wildcard for 2026, which he identified as a collapse/fracturing of Russia as a state, with major implications for resource markets and control of assets. It was an insightful discussion and we can't thank Rob enough for sharing his time and thoughts with us. Mike Bradley and Arjun Murti both joined from the Goldman Sachs Energy, CleanTech & Utilities Conference in Miami. Mike opened by emphasizing that two of the major market themes in 2025 were AI/data center and electricity demand growth. He noted that most investors still believe these two themes will continue to resonate in 2026, and will probably need to, especially at current valuations. On the energy commodity front, WTI oil price is up ~2% so far this year, while U.S. natural gas price is down ~8% on a warmer weather outlook. Across broader equities, the S&P 500 is up ~1% this year while the DJIA is up ~2%. The best performing sectors so far this year have been energy, financial, industrial, and materials, while the underperformers have been technology and telecom. On the energy equity front, he noted that last weekend's events in Venezuela have lifted (materially in some cases) shares of U.S. oil majors, large-cap international oil services and Gulf Coast refiners, while E&Ps have been the underperformers. The wide divergence in energy equity performance this week is mostly due to optimism of an infrastructure/oil services/oil production revival in Venezuela which may be premature. He added that hedge funds could be a culprit for these outsized moves mostly because they weren't positi
"Would you hand the fate of your nation to someone who never finished high school?" This episode opens with a question that sets the stage for a gripping exploration of Venezuela's dramatic journey from prosperity to crisis. Kent Hance takes listeners on a vivid ride through the country's history, revealing how the world's richest oil reserves became a symbol of squandered potential and political missteps. Listeners will be hooked by Kent's storytelling as he draws powerful comparisons between Venezuela and Texas, highlighting how leadership choices can make or break a nation. The episode unpacks the rise of Hugo Chavez and the astonishing ascent of Nicolás Maduro, a former bus driver whose leadership led to widespread poverty and chaos. Kent's signature wit shines as he shares memorable moments, including the covert military operation that toppled Maduro and the celebration of Venezuelans eager for change. Key themes and moments include: The staggering gap between Venezuela's oil wealth and its economic reality The origins of OPEC and its Texas connection Personal stories of hope, loss, and resilience from Venezuelans forced to flee their homeland The secret mission "Absolute Resolve," which changed the course of history in a single weekend Kent's reflections on leadership, with unforgettable lines like, "Pick your battles wisely," and "You get what you pay for." This episode is packed with hard-hitting insights, historical context, and Kent's trademark humor. It's a must-listen for anyone curious about global politics, economics, and the lessons Texas—and the world—can learn from Venezuela's cautionary tale.