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As the COVID-19 pandemic presents unprecedented challenges to every level of the global economy, the National Committee on U.S.-China Relations is bringing together leading American and Chinese experts on economics and trade to share analysis and projections on the issues. We invite you to join us for a series of virtual programs, Coronavirus Crisis: What it means for U.S.-China Economic & Trade Relations, over the next month. The first program in the series, Coronavirus Crisis: The Short and Long-Term Economic Impact in China and the United States, was held on April 29, 2020, and featured: Gao Shanwen, Chief Economist, Essence Securities Co., Ltd.; Huang Yiping, Professor of Economics and Deputy Dean, National School of Development, Peking University; Catherine Mann, Global Chief Economist, Citi; Mark Zandi, Chief Economist, Moody's Analytics.
Marc Joffe is a senior policy analyst at Reason Foundation. After a long career in the financial industry, including a senior director role at Moody's Analytics, Joffe's research now focuses on sovereign and sub-sovereign credit risk and fiscal sustainability. His financial research has been published by the California State Treasurer's Office, UC Berkeley, the Mercatus Center at George Mason University and the Macdonald-Laurier Institute among others. Joffe is a regular contributor to The Fiscal Times and his op-eds have also appeared in The Guardian, Bloomberg View and RealClearMarkets. TOPIC: California needs to reassess stay-at-home orders to prevent an economic tragedy!! Roger Aronoff is the executive director and Editor of the Citizens Commission on National Security. Aronoff founded the Citizens’ Commission on Benghazi. He has produced and directed six documentaries, and produced a weekly series on PBS called “Think Tank with Ben Wattenberg.” Topic: TV Networks Should Redirect the Money Set to Benefit the WHO!! Sheriff Richard Mack has been in law enforcement all his life. You could even say he was born into it as the son of an FBI agent. He began his career after graduating BYU in 1978, became a police officer in Provo, Utah, where eventually becoming a detective. After a colorful decade in Utah, he moved back to his home state of Arizona to run for Graham County Sheriff. Topic: Sheriffs are standing all across America for Liberty and against the quarantine of our Constitution!!
Jimmy Barrett and Shara Fryer take you through the stories that matter on the morning of 03/19/2020, including: The CDC changed their guidelines for nursing homes and long-term care facilities Friday night after President Trump declared a national emergency over the coronavirus outbreak. The guidelines now urge facilities to restrict all visitations except for "certain compassionate care situations, such as end of life situations." What kind of stimulus should Congress pass to rescue the economy? Nearly 80 million jobs in the US economy are at high or moderate risk today, according to analysis in the last week from Moody's Analytics. That's more than half of the 153 million jobs in the economy overall.
A stunning then-and-now view of the economy: The new report on February jobs growth is gangbusters, but the markets in March tell us a very different story. The coronavirus is raising the risk of a global recession. President Trump tours Tennessee tornado damage this hour before heading to the CDC in Atlanta. The CDC trip was briefly in doubt due to a false alarm that someone there might be infected with the coronavirus. And Michigan is the biggest prize as the 2020 Democratic race heads into super Tuesday 2.0. Bernie Sanders won the Michigan primary four years ago, but Joe Biden hopes his work on the big auto industry bailout gives him blue collar credibility. Today's Panel: CNN's Kaitlan Collins, Brittany Shepherd with Yahoo News, Lisa Lerer with The New York Times, and POLITICO's Heather Caygle Also on the program: CNN's Christine Romans, Mark Zandi with Moody's Analytics, and Damian Paletta with The Washington Post
Senior Economist Ben Carliner sits down with Mark Zandi, Chief Economist of Moody's Analytics, to discuss the global economic outlook and the Euro Challenge, the EU's academic competition for high school students in the United States. Rising trade tensions and geopolitical risks have weighed on business sentiment over the past year, damaging the manufacturing sector in particular. The question is where do things go from here? Have we hit bottom, or is the uncertain policy environment poised to spread from manufacturing to the broader economy?
On the latest episode of the Conduit Street Podcast, Kevin Kinnally and Michael Sanderson discuss the latest news and notes from Annapolis, including what Governor Hogan's fiscal year 2021 budget proposal means for counties; this week's economic briefing from Moody's Analytics to the Senate Budget and Taxation Committee; and a slew of potential revenue-generating proposals being buzzed-about around town.MACo has made the podcast available through both iTunes and Google Play Music by searching Conduit Street Podcast. You can also listen on our Conduit Street blog with a recap and link to the podcast.You can listen to previous episodes of the Conduit Street Podcast on our website.Useful LinksPrevious Conduit Street Coverage: Governor’s 2021 Budget Proposal – What It Means for CountiesPrevious Conduit Street Coverage: It’s Back! Governor Revives SDAT Cost Shift To CountiesPrevious Conduit Street Coverage: Governor Hogan Proposes $1 Billion Tax Cut for RetireesPrevious Conduit Street Coverage: Kirwan “Chatter” Already In High Gear
Join Michael and his guest, Barbara Denham, Senior Economist with Moody's Analytics Reis, as they discuss office performance, future forecasts, and strategies for the market.For customized commercial brokerage services call Michael Bull, CCIM at 404-876-1640 x 101 or visit http://www.BullRealty.comFor cloud accessible commercial agent training, check out Michael Bull’s video-audio training at: http://www.CommercialAgentSuccess.comAppreciate the show? Please thank our sponsors: http://bit.ly/2ty53e1Subscribe to our weekly show topic email notification to know who’s on each weeks show and the topic: http://bit.ly/2gfoKSNYou’re invited to subscribe to the show’s YouTube channel: http://bit.ly/2u1vr1nFor more videos, podcasts, and articles visit: http://www.CREshow.comConnect with America’s Commercial Real Estate Show: LinkedIn:https://www.linkedin.com/company/americas-commercial-real-estate-show Twitter: https://twitter.com/CRE_show Instagram: https://instragram.com/creshow
Barbara Denham, Senior Economist with Moody's Analytics Reis, joins Michael to discuss the current state of retail going into its busiest quarter.For customized commercial brokerage services call Michael Bull, CCIM at 404-876-1640 x 101 or visit http://www.BullRealty.comFor cloud accessible commercial agent training, check out Michael Bull’s video-audio training at: http://www.CommercialAgentSuccess.comAppreciate the show? Please thank our sponsors: http://bit.ly/2ty53e1Subscribe to our weekly show topic email notification to know who’s on each weeks show and the topic: http://bit.ly/2gfoKSNYou’re invited to subscribe to the show’s YouTube channel: http://bit.ly/2u1vr1nFor more videos, podcasts, and articles visit: http://www.CREshow.comConnect with America’s Commercial Real Estate Show: LinkedIn:https://www.linkedin.com/company/americas-commercial-real-estate-show Twitter: https://twitter.com/CRE_show Instagram: https://instragram.com/creshow
We're circling back to CECL. There's been some changes to the implementation of the standard that need discussing, but we also wanted to add a fresh perspective on the preparation. One of the things that came out in this conversation is the quality of the data that will be needed. Yes, that data may be more expensive, but there's a lot to be said for knowing your loan portfolio's data better than you currently do. The silver lining to this cloud is that the data we will have to collect will also benefit our marketing efforts. From Raymond James, we have John Toohig. John Toohig is a Managing Director at Raymond James, a Board Member and President of Raymond James Mortgage Company, Inc and Head of the Whole Loan Group. John joined Raymond James (formerly Morgan Keegan) in September of 2006. As manager of the Whole Loan group, Mr. Toohig’s primary responsibilities include day-to-day trading of whole loan packages, portfolio analysis, transaction management and the structuring of whole loan, participation and various structured products. Mr. Toohig’s product focus encompasses both seasoned and new production: residential mortgages (both QM and Non-QM), commercial mortgages, consumer lending, scratch and dent loans, and non-performing assets. Prior to joining the Whole Loan group at Raymond James, Mr. Toohig was a part of the firm’s Taxable Banking platform where he was responsible for corporate debt transactions, trust preferred securities, sale leaseback transactions and ABS transactions. Mr. Toohig received his undergraduate degree from the Houghton College and his MBA from the University of Mississippi with a focus in finance and IT. Mr. Toohig has his Series 7, 24 and Series 63 licenses. His community involvement includes currently serving as Member of the Board of Trustees for St. Agnes Academy / St. Dominic School. He is also a former chairman for both the Lafayette and DeSoto county American Cancer Society Relay for Life events and the former president of the Ole Miss MBA Alumni Board. Mr. Toohig resides in Memphis, TN with his wife Sha, and his two daughters, Helen Grace and Cressey, while he works in Raymond James’ east Memphis branch. From Moody's Analytics, we have Robby Holditch with us again. Robby is a Director in the Regulatory and Accounting Solutions team. He is responsible for providing accounting expertise across solutions, products, and services offered by Moody’s Analytics in the Americas. Robby has 15 years of experience in tax, financial reporting, and fair value measurement with regional banks and Big 4 audit firms. He has Bachelor of Accountancy and Master of Taxation degrees from Mississippi State University. To hear more from Robby on Main Street Banking, check out our previous episode on CECL.
The U.S. stock market kicked off the week with soft performance, as Wall Street seemed worried about second quarter earnings. At the close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 1%; the S&P 500 Index eked out a gain of 0.02%; and the NASDAQ Composite closed 0.17% higher. Indices closed in the red zone on Tuesday, as Energy and Technology stocks led decliners while Industrials and Consumer Discretionary stocks ticked up. In economic news, retail sales increased in June. Census Bureau data showed sales rose 0.4% in June versus expectations of a 0.1% gain. Indices finished in red territory on Wednesday, dipping amid a variety of earnings releases. Housing starts dipped to an annualized rate of 1.25 million units for the month of June, falling short of analyst expectations. Additionally, the Federal Reserve released its July Beige Book, which details economic conditions in the 12 Federal Reserve districts. While the report was generally positive, international trade difficulties were a noted concern. After two days in the red, the market closed with gains on Thursday, rebounding from session lows on a variety of economic news. Initial jobless claims increased as Labor Department data showed claims rose by 8,000 to 216,000 in the week ended July 13. The results were slightly shy of consensus and Moody's Analytics forecasts. Indices ended the week in the red zone on Friday, with stocks trading lower amid a variety of quarterly earnings reports. Consumer confidence is up in July according to a preliminary reading from the University of Michigan. The survey rose to 98.4 from 98.2 in June, versus an expected reading of 98.5.
The U.S. stock market kicked off the week with soft performance, as Wall Street seemed worried about second quarter earnings. At the close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 1%; the S&P 500 Index eked out a gain of 0.02%; and the NASDAQ Composite closed 0.17% higher. Indices closed in the red zone on Tuesday, as Energy and Technology stocks led decliners while Industrials and Consumer Discretionary stocks ticked up. In economic news, retail sales increased in June. Census Bureau data showed sales rose 0.4% in June versus expectations of a 0.1% gain. Indices finished in red territory on Wednesday, dipping amid a variety of earnings releases. Housing starts dipped to an annualized rate of 1.25 million units for the month of June, falling short of analyst expectations. Additionally, the Federal Reserve released its July Beige Book, which details economic conditions in the 12 Federal Reserve districts. While the report was generally positive, international trade difficulties were a noted concern. After two days in the red, the market closed with gains on Thursday, rebounding from session lows on a variety of economic news. Initial jobless claims increased as Labor Department data showed claims rose by 8,000 to 216,000 in the week ended July 13. The results were slightly shy of consensus and Moody's Analytics forecasts. Indices ended the week in the red zone on Friday, with stocks trading lower amid a variety of quarterly earnings reports. Consumer confidence is up in July according to a preliminary reading from the University of Michigan. The survey rose to 98.4 from 98.2 in June, versus an expected reading of 98.5.
After 8-years, working in various roles across the organization, three years ago Keith Berry founded the Moody’s Analytics Accelerator at the directive of the Board. This is a group inside Moody’s focused on launching innovative products typically via a partnership with a FinTech startup. As many of you are thinking through how to set up your own innovation lab or accelerator, there are a ton of lessons from Moody’s Analytics experience including: (1) how they partner with Fintechs, (2) how trends influencing their thesis and (3) specifically how they’ve approached AI/ML as a big trend influencing so much of their work today.
There is an elephant in the room for community banks and that is the Current Expected Credit Loss (CECL) that is within several years of implementation. Potentially, it could have an impact to banks' retained earnings but also has an impact on loan pricing and generally how banks view their credit exposure. It's a shift that is coming...that's not being discussed as it needs to be in the community banking world. Robby Holditch with Moody's Analytics stops by to discuss what CECL is and it's potential impact on the community bank.
In the fourth of six panel discussions recorded at Used Car Week 2018, Joe Overby moderates a panel discussion with some of the leading economists in the used-car industry: Jonathan Smoke of Cox Automotive, Tom Kontos of KAR Auction Services and Tony Hughes of Moody's Analytics.
Moody's Analytics is known for its deep risk expertise when analyzing global markets. What does Moody's Canadian expert economist think of our country's housing markets and Vancouver more specifically? Brendan LaCerda joins Adam & Matt to discuss present risks and future outlooks for Canadian real estate as well as larger global trends that will impact your portfolio. Listen up!
Adam Kamins, senior economist with Moody's Analytics, joins show host Michael Bull to discuss the opportunities in real estate present by The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act which also includes topics of multifamily market projections, market prices, rate changes and predictions, CRE sector favorability, and favorable provisions for REITS.Visit their website at: https://www.moodysanalytics.com/
Adam Kamins, senior economist with Moody's Analytics, joins show host Michael Bull to discuss the CRE sectors and U.S. regions effected by The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act which also includes topics of rates and changes, employment, SALT, Wall Street and stock performance, stimulus, tax reform future impacts and more. Visit their website at: https://www.moodysanalytics.com/
Rob and Jason are joined by Conor Hoekstra to discuss Competive Coding websites and competitions Conor Hoekstra works at Moody's Analytics as a C++ Software Developer helping maintain and develop an insurance software program called AXIS. Wanting to develop better algorithm and data structure knowledge he started using online sites like HackerRank and LeetCode to do so. He now has a YouTube channel where he reviews the contests from the last week of Competitive Coding sites like HackerRank, LeetCode, topcoder and Codeforces) and also covers solutions to the trickier problems. News Announcing Tensor Comprehensions Google summer of code for GCC Pacific++ 2018 location and dates confirmed 59+ videos now up from Meeting C++ 2017 CppNow Registration Open Conor Hoekstra @code_report Links Code_Report YouTube Channel HackerRank LeetCode TopCoder CodeForces Sponsors think-cell software Embo++ Hosts @robwirving @lefticus
Adam Kamins, Senior Economist at Moody's Analytics, joins host Michael Bull on America's Commercial Real Estate Show to discuss how hurricanes (Harvey and Irma) effect US Business, fuel prices, and expectations going forward with economic recovery.
Jacob is a founder of stealth research operation Alchematics, which specializes in the development of new techniques in algorithmic trading & investing utilizing machine learning, as well as a boutique brokerage. He is also Head of Data Sciences for insurer JRP Group, where he has focused on the asset side of the insurer, identifying and innovating novel algorithms and technologies which have influenced £bns of trades within a short tenure. One such learning algorithm solved a problem of greater complexity than that solved by AlphaGo at Google Deepmind and is estimated to be worth £50m to the company. Jacob has a wide and successful career at the top end of finance, from trading £0.5bn per day for Barclays in equity arbitrage strategies, to advising the UK Treasury & DMO on the largest deal in European financial history, at the height of the credit crunch. He has also been independently commissioned by Moody's Analytics to advise and share algorithmic IP with their stochastic asset modelling provider Barrie & Hibbert, after innovating algorithmic techniques to remove all model error - something not achieved by a department of PhD's. He has directed quantitative teams in Asia & Europe to develop his asset models for companies such as Mirae Asset, South Korea's largest asset manager. He has worked for or advised over 40 investment banks, asset managers, hedge funds and insurers. He specializes in the development of novel algorithms and techniques for investing and trading and believes he has started a couple of entirely new statistical learning fields fit for the 'trading paradigm' - which center around "learning about learning" - one of which is "stochastic Tsun Zu". He is currently authoring a book on Data Science and believes that good data science is the essence of good investment & trading. He will be a guest speaker at the first ever Chief Data Scientist forum in London this September. Steven Cawiezell has established TheTradersPlan.com as a distinctively unique ETF & Growth stock newsletter that focuses on trends in the market indices. Being a former Financial Advisor at a large broker dealer (and watching portfolios crash in 2008) forced Steven to abandon "buy & hold" and create an simple ETF strategy that has averaged 64.11% per year since 2007 that anyone can follow. To watch a free training webinar where Steven shares with you the secrets to his easy to follow ETF trading system simply go to http://www.TheTradersPlan.com On the Podcast Steven brings together trading systems experts, Professional Traders, and financial authorities to share with you how they help their clients make profitable trades and you can too.
Adam Ozimek of Moody's Analytics and blogger at Forbes talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about why economists change their minds or don't. Ozimek argues that economists make erratic but steady progress using econometrics and other forms of evidence to understand the impact of public policies such as the minimum wage or government stimulus. Roberts pushes back and discusses the role of ideology, the complexity of where our views come from and the potential for confirmation bias.
The U.S. is awash in inexpensive oil. That's usually been a plus for the economy, because even though energy companies get squeezed, drivers get a break at the pump. Now, that relationship's gotten a bit hairier. Oil producers have slashed jobs and investment, yet consumers haven't picked up the slack you'd expect from more affordable gas. So here's the question: Is cheap oil now bad for the economy? Ryan Sweet, a senior economist at Moody's Analytics, joins Benchmark co-hosts Tori and Dan to discuss.