Podcasts about vancouver real estate

When is the right time to buy a home? For many, it's when they feel ready—personally and financially. But even then, timing the market, understanding future price direction, and interpreting shifting economic signals can complicate the decision. In this episode, we break down everything you need to know to make a confident, informed choice about buying a home in 2025.First, we examine the all-powerful & predominant force of interest rates. The Bank of Canada held steady in April, but with two more rate cuts expected in June and September, we could see the overnight rate drop to 2.25% by year-end. Variable-rate holders may feel relief by the fall, while fixed rates have remained mostly unchanged—making the 3.99% offers available now historically attractive, even if there's potential for further dips.But rates don't act alone. Sentiment plays a massive role. Despite consumer confidence hitting all-time lows, April brought a slight rebound—too soon to call it a trend. However, business sentiment continues to deteriorate, dragging down the Real Estate Outlook Index at its fastest pace since the 2022 rate shock. Sales volumes remain sluggish, and we don't expect a sharp bounce anytime soon.Real estate moves in cycles, and Vancouver's decades-long climb may be entering a slower phase. We revisit Toronto's 1989 peak, when prices fell 27% over seven years and took 22 years to recover in inflation-adjusted dollars. Could Vancouver follow a similar path after peaking in 2022? If so, prices may not reach those highs again until 2028 or later. Buying today means thinking long-term—and accepting that appreciation might not arrive on your timeline.Meanwhile, first-time buyers are getting older. In Canada, the average is now 33—up from 32 in the early '80s—while in Ontario it's hit 40. Surprisingly, Americans, with cheaper homes but more student debt, wait even longer (age 38 on average). What's driving Canadians to buy sooner? But supply is failing to keep up. March housing starts missed expectations by 14%, and condo construction is in freefall—down 45% from last year. Remove purpose-built rentals, and we're at 15-year lows. Ontario and BC, the provinces with the greatest need, are down 38% and 30% year-over-year. CMHC says we need 3.1 million more homes by 2030. At this rate, that's a pipe dream.On top of that, inventory levels are rising, especially in the pre-sale market. Vancouver could hit 3,500 unsold new condos by year-end—a 60% surge. With investor demand almost vanished (down from 50%, then 25% and now 7%!), developers are cancelling projects, and hundreds of homes won't break ground. Even with record immigration—Toronto just became North America's fastest-growing city—new supply is evaporating.We close with a mini-market update: May sales in Vancouver are trending at a six-year low (outside of COVID lockdowns), while inventory is at an 11-year high. Median prices are up slightly, but average prices are slipping. Could this be the inflection point?So… is now the right time to buy? That depends on your goals, your timeline, and your outlook. This episode delivers the data, trends, and insights to help you decide—with eyes wide open.Are you prepared to buy with the long-term in mind, even if prices don't rise during your ownership? Let's chat about it. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

Building major housing projects in Canada is a deeply complex and often misunderstood process — one that requires more than just permits and plans. It's about aligning the vision, values, and needs of developers, cities, and the communities they aim to serve. And at the centre of that delicate balance is Gary Pooni, President of Pooni Group, a renowned Urban Planning and Land Development consultancy based in Vancouver. With nearly 30 years of experience, Gary has played a critical role in shaping some of the most significant developments across Metro Vancouver, Vancouver Island, the Sea-to-Sky Corridor, Alberta, and Ontario.In this episode, we sit down with Gary to uncover the nuanced and often unseen world of urban planning in Canada why it seemingly takes an inordinate amount of time to build anything. With over 800 projects successfully guided through all stages of the development process in more than 25 Canadian municipalities, the Pooni Group has become the gold standard in bridging the gap between municipal regulations and private development. Gary shares how his team helps developers navigate the red tape of rezoning, permitting, and compliance — particularly in markets like Vancouver, where the approval process for major projects can take years and often results in a stifled housing supply and elevated prices.We ask Gary to shed light on why this process takes so long, what the biggest systemic bottlenecks are, and what practical solutions might look like. From there, we zoom out to a national lens, exploring the broader challenges that slow the pace of housing construction across Canada — and what must change if we're serious about addressing affordability and supply.But this conversation goes far beyond bureaucracy. We explore the future of Canadian cities and what urbanization might look like by 2050. Gary shares his bold predictions about how technology — particularly AI and robotics — will shape the way we design and build communities. He also discusses how the post-pandemic landscape has fundamentally shifted the office and retail sectors, and how the concept of “experience” is becoming the cornerstone of these spaces.We also dive into demographic shifts — with millennials and downsizing boomers now dictating what types of homes are being built, what features matter most, and how planners need to adapt their strategies to meet evolving lifestyles and expectations.Finally, Gary introduces his brand-new development course — a must for anyone looking to understand the ins and outs of real estate development in Canada. Whether you're a new developer, a seasoned investor, or a curious policy enthusiast, this course promises to deliver practical knowledge from one of the most experienced professionals in the field.This episode is a masterclass in how real estate development really works in Canada — from behind-the-scenes negotiations to the visionary thinking needed to build the cities of tomorrow. Don't miss it.Join The Course Here:https://laidleracademy.com/pooni-new-era-course _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

In this week we cover some of the most consequential turning points in Canada's housing narrative to date including the breakdown of the Federal Conservative and Liberal housing plans. New home construction is collapsing at a national level—plummeting in cities like Vancouver by as much as 36% year-over-year—just as Canadians are being asked to decide who should lead the country through the next era of growth, or decline. We begin with the Bank of Canada's latest rate decision: after seven cuts in the last 12 months, the BoC held steady at 2.75%, citing uncertainty caused by the ongoing U.S. tariff war. Governor Tiff Macklem emphasized that monetary policy can't fix trade disputes but must focus on maintaining price stability. Although unemployment is rising and growth is slowing, the threat of inflation led the Bank to pause further cuts. At the same time, bond yields are surging, which could soon push mortgage rates higher, adding yet another affordability challenge for buyers.Inflation data offered a brief reprieve, coming in at 2.3% for March—cooler than expected—thanks largely to lower gas prices. Shelter costs remain high but are decelerating, and rents continue to trend downward. National home sales, however, paint a more sobering picture. Volumes fell 5% month-over-month and 9% year-over-year, making this past March the slowest on record since 2009. Despite that, prices have only dipped modestly—just 2.1% year-over-year by HPI, and 3.7% by average price—suggesting the market remains surprisingly resilient even as sentiment erodes.But it's the housing start data that really underlines the problem: Canada posted the lowest monthly housing starts in six years, and it's getting worse. Toronto's pre-sale condo market has all but collapsed. Sales are 88% below the 10-year average, and unsold inventory now sits at a staggering 78 months of supply! That's 6 years! Developers are pulling out, projects are being cancelled or converted to rentals, and there's zero profit margin left in many builds. As construction slows, a severe future housing shortage feels inevitable as the roller coaster continues.Finally, we break down the election housing platforms of both the Liberal and Conservative parties. The Liberals plan to double annual home construction to 500,000, reintroduce tax incentives for rental construction, and create a new government housing agency—yet offer little in the way of realistic execution given Canada hasn't built more than 270,000 homes in a single year in over four decades. Meanwhile, the Conservatives propose slashing GST on new homes up to $1.3M, punishing cities that fail to meet housing targets, and offering financial rewards to those that exceed them. They aim to unleash supply by freeing up federal land and cutting red tape, though critics argue their platform lacks implementation details.If housing affordability matters to you—and it should—then this episode is essential listening. We examine not only the data but the direction each political party is trying to take Canada. With construction grinding to a halt, affordability still out of reach for most, and developers hitting pause across the country, the decisions we make now will define the housing market for the next generation.  _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

ome sales in Vancouver just hit their lowest point in six years, marking yet another painful milestone in what's quickly becoming one of the most uncertain and volatile real estate markets in decades. And if you're wondering why this is happening, just look at the bigger picture—consumer confidence in Canada just hit an all-time low. That's right—lower than the depths of the Great Financial Crisis, and worse than the early pandemic panic. Business confidence is in the same horrific state, and these weren't even recorded after Trump's tariffs took effect. With those now in place, pressure is mounting on the Bank of Canada as it faces a nightmarish economic puzzle: GDP is rising, inflation is expected to heat back up, the housing market is crumbling, and record levels of debt are coming due for renewal. Meanwhile, the March real estate data for Vancouver has just dropped, and we're breaking down all the key metrics—from collapsing sales volumes to rising inventory to surprisingly resilient home prices—and analyzing what all this means for home values for the spring 2025 market.Let's talk inflation. March came in hot at 2.6%, a big jump from the previous month's 1.9%, and far above expectations. Mortgage interest costs have fallen again for the 18th straight month, but inflation is now at a seven-month high, forcing the Bank of Canada into a tightening corner. And behind the scenes, 45% of businesses expect to raise prices more than 5% this year—double what it was just six months ago. While tariffs may warrant easing, inflation is pushing back hard, and markets no longer expect a rate cut in April. Meanwhile, GDP rose again—up 0.4% in January after a 0.3% climb in December—led by energy and mining. While the headline looks positive, remember: per capita GDP has been in decline for over two years. The BOC may take these numbers at face value, but it's a fragile recovery at best.South of the border, the U.S. Fed held its rate at 4.5% last month, with possible cuts later this year. But Powell made it clear: if inflation stays sticky, high rates could persist. Their GDP forecast was revised down and inflation up. The takeaway? If the Fed cuts, Canada could follow—especially as our economic risks grow and global trade uncertainty lingers. In the mortgage world, renewals are surging—up 110% year-over-year—and projections vary widely. BMO sees rates at 2% by end of 2026, while Scotia sees no cuts until 2027. The big banks don't agree, but they're all aligned on one thing: no hikes are coming. That's welcome news for those riding variable rates or planning their next move.New housing supply is in freefall. National housing starts dropped 4% month-over-month and 12% year-over-year, but BC is the epicenter of the downturn: starts plunged 22% just last month and are down 32% from last year. In Vancouver alone, they're off by 18%. This comes at a time when building permits are at rock bottom—meaning even fewer homes will be built in the years to come. While inventory is high now, the longer-term risk is a devastating shortage. Just look at the national data going back to 1972: while population growth has doubled, housing completions have actually declined. CMHC now estimates we'll be short 3.5 million homes by 2030. Add affordability and suitability issues, and we're heading toward a full-blown housing crisis. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

It's the Federal Election edition this month! Move Smartly Editor and Host, Urmi, once again speaks to John and Steve on what is going on in the data and on the ground in Toronto and Vancouver. And John and Steve sound off on what the two leading candidates to become Canada's PM at the end of the month, Liberal Party leader and current PM, Mark Carney, and Progressive Conservative Party leader and Leader of the Opposition, Pierre Poilievre have to say on housing GST rebates, capital gains and more on housing as Canada heads to the polls this April 28, 2025.  Today's Show Links: A Sticky End: Lessons Learned from Toronto's 2017 Real Estate Bubble: https://www.movesmartly.com/lessons-learned-from-toronto-2017-real-estate-bubble Mark Carney Housing Plan - Mar 2025: https://liberal.ca/housing-plan/ Pierre Poilievre Housing Plan - Dec 2023: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RxKI9zKhDNE&t=768s Contact Us Follow Steve on X-Twitter @SteveSaretsky; Email at: steve@stevesaretsky.com Follow John on X-Twitter @JohnPasalis; Email at: askjohn@movesmartly.com Follow Urmi on X-Twitter @MoveSmartly; Email at: editor@movesmartly.com About This Roundtable Series Each month, Move Smartly.com editor, Urmi Desai, talks to John Pasalis, Housing Analyst, Broker and President of Realosophy Realty in Toronto,  and Steve Saretsky, Housing Analyst and Realtor at the Oakwin Realty Group at Oakwin Realty in Vancouver about the latest data and on-the-ground insights in Canada's biggest residential RE markets. (Thanks to Jesse Bains, now at Linked In News, for kicking off this series at Yahoo Finance originally!) About This Show The Move Smartly show is co-hosted by Urmi Desai, Editor of Move Smartly, and John Pasalis, President and Broker of Realosophy Realty. MoveSmartly.com and its media channels on YouTube and various podcast platforms are powered by Realosophy Realty in Toronto, Canada. You can also watch this episode on our MoveSmartly YouTube channel here: https://www.youtube.com/movesmartly If you enjoy our show and find it useful, please like, subscribe, share, review and comment on whatever platform you are watching or listening to us from - we appreciate your support!

Welcome to The Vancouver Life Podcast! In this episode, we dive into the forces shaping the future of Vancouver's real estate market with Josh White, the General Manager of Planning, Urban Design, and Sustainability for the City of Vancouver. Josh brings a wealth of experience from his time as Director of City and Regional Planning and Co-Chief Planner at the City of Calgary, and now leads Vancouver's planning efforts at a time when housing supply, affordability, and urban development are more critical than ever. We discuss the lessons he's learned from his time in Calgary and brought to Vancouver, and how the city is tackling some of its biggest affordability challenges. We dig into the complexities of Vancouver's permitting process, why timelines under the City's ambitious 3-3-3-1 Plan have been difficult to meet, and whether hiring more staff is really the solution. Josh sheds light on the city's plan to streamline over 1,800 pages of policy documents into just 100 pages and what that will mean for builders and homeowners. We also explore upcoming system changes that could cut permit times in half by allowing Development Permits and Building Permits to be processed in parallel. Josh shares his take on Bill 47 and how transit-oriented development is shaping the future. We tackle the long and often frustrating process developers face to rezone and build towers, why Vancouver's city fees are among the highest in Canada, and how Development Cost Levies impact affordability and cash flow. We ask where these funds are being spent, whether there's accountability in how they're used, and discuss the city's evolving stance on banning natural gas in new homes. Josh also weighs in on Bob Rennie's recent proposal to allow foreign buyers to participate in pre-sales with long-term rental commitments, and we talk about changes to REDMA that give developers more breathing room in today's challenging market. Lastly, Josh shares his vision for housing in Vancouver, how builders can help streamline processes at City Hall, the conversations happening around affordability, and how sustainability is built into every decision the city makes for the future. This is an in-depth conversation you won't want to miss if you care about the future of housing in Vancouver.Josh White joined the City of Vancouver in May of 2024, coming from Calgary where most recently he was Director, City and Regional Planning and Co-Chief Planner at the City of Calgary. There, he stewarded the adoption of a new housing strategy in collaboration with partners and led the creation of a simpler and more effective planning policy and regulation. During a period of extraordinary population growth for the city, Josh also oversaw strategic growth, growth funding and financing, and infrastructure planning for the municipality. In his tenure at the City of Calgary, he also initiated and led the significant transformation of the development approvals system, which resulted in improved planning outcomes,benchmarked as among the most efficient in Canada.He holds a master's degree in urban and regional planning from Queen's University, and began his career in the private sector, serving a variety of private and public sector clients as a consultant with Urban Strategies in Toronto. Josh's private sector experience also includes leading planning and approvals for Alpine Park, a progressive n _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

What happens when 15,000 active listings meet only 2,000 quarterly sales? Former Urban Analytics co-owner and current Zonda Urban VP Jon Bennest sits down with Adam & Matt to reveal why half of Metro Vancouver's pre-sale inventory could up and vanish from the market in the next two years. Drawing on exclusive market data and 20 years of industry expertise, Jon explains the dramatic implications of the shift from investor-driven to end-user markets where many projects struggle to reach even 30% sold. From standing inventory opportunities to the challenges facing major developments, this insider conversation reveals exactly where the opportunities and pitfalls lie for buyers navigating today's uncertain market. What exactly defines the "Goldilocks Zone" where certain projects are still selling briskly? How many interest rate cuts will finally "bring the market back"? And what counterintuitive investment strategy does Jon favour that contradicts conventional wisdom about chasing hot neighborhoods? Don't miss this essential market intelligence from one of the industry's most respected data analysts.

The impact of tariffs on the housing market is already being felt. Even before they were implemented, just the threat of tariffs was enough to put buyers on the sidelines. Now that they are in place, the effects are hitting fast. Toronto, often viewed as a key indicator of the condo market, saw sales drop 28% month-over-month in February—a month that typically sees an increase from January. Vancouver's numbers reveal similar trends, with sales momentum reversing sharply after months of steady growth.While headline GDP growth showed a stronger-than-expected 2.6% annualized gain in Q4, the real story lies in GDP per capita, which has declined for two straight years, confirming that Canada has been in a per capita recession for over 24 months. Job vacancies have also plunged to their lowest levels since 2017, leaving workers with the worst job prospects in seven years. Despite what the official numbers suggest, the economic reality is pointing towards a prolonged slowdown that could further weaken real estate demand. One of the few bright spots for homeowners is the declining 5-year bond yield, which has hit a three-year low of 2.6%. This drop has made mortgage rates more attractive for the more than 50% of borrowers set to renew in the next two years. However, with tariffs likely to slow GDP growth even further, it's increasingly likely that the Bank of Canada will be forced to cut interest rates, possibly as soon as this spring, especially with an election on the horizon.The latest February 2025 real estate stats for Vancouver confirm shifting market dynamics. Total sales came in at 1,815, down 12% year-over-year and 29% below the 10-year average. This is particularly notable because since October, sales had been higher than 2023 levels each month—until February, when the trend reversed. The level of uncertainty created by tariff threats and economic instability has pushed buyers to the sidelines, and now that tariffs are in place, it appears the spring market may not materialize in the usual way.New listings rose 11% year-over-year to 5,066, marking a 12% increase above the 10-year average. However, February listings were actually lower than January, an unusual occurrence only seen six times in the past decade. The standout statistic here is condo inventory—February saw the highest number of condo listings ever recorded for the month, following a record-breaking January. This surge suggests a shift in buyer preference away from high-density living, as well as a growing supply of purpose-built rental housing, which is altering demand patterns. Inventory levels remain a key story, with active listings rising 32% year-over-year to 12,350, sitting 36% above the 10-year average. This places inventory at its highest February level in over a decade, though still below the 2012 peak of 14,875. The sales-to-active listings ratio stands at 15%, marking the 10th consecutive month in a balanced market, with detached homes at 10%, townhomes at 20%, and condos at 17%.One thing is clear—Vancouver real estate is at a pivotal moment, and how policymakers respond in the coming months could shape the market for years to come. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

Trump's shocking 25% tariffs, unprecedented economic uncertainty, and a trade assault on Canada with no clear demands...and we are only mid week. Gulp.Mortgage industry veteran Dustan Woodhouse sits down with Adam & Matt to discuss the immediate challenges reshaping Vancouver's real estate landscape in early 2025. From Warren Buffett calling tariffs "an act of war" to Dustan's surprising reversal on fixed vs. variable mortgages in 2025, this conversation unpacks the hard realities facing our housing market and the larger Canadian economic landscape.Is this the tipping point that transforms Vancouver's real estate landscape for decades to come? Will the traditionally resilient Vancouver market once again defy economic gravity? And with uncertainty becoming the norm rather than the exception, how should sellers, buyers and investors position themselves for what's coming next? Don't miss this timely, insightful conversation!

It's Day One of the latest Canada-US Trade Tariff War and this one is a doozey! Move Smartly Editor and Host, Urmi, once again speaks to John and Steve on what is going on in the data and on the ground in Toronto and Vancouver and how are Canadian real estate consumers reacting to the introduction of 25% blanket tariffs on our trade with the US courtesy of President Donald Trump? Will banks continue to prop up the pre-construction or are things changing? And will low interest rates and the first signs of prices dropping be enough to get Canadians back into real estate again like they did after the initial shock of the 2008 financial crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic shutdowns wore off?   Today's Show Links: John Pasalis - “Is Canada Propping Up Condos”: https://youtu.be/itUMEdVKiZ0?si=JrylsNlzn2UMYPzO   Contact Us Follow Steve on X-Twitter @SteveSaretsky; Email at: steve@stevesaretsky.com Follow John on X-Twitter @JohnPasalis; Email at: askjohn@movesmartly.com Follow Urmi on X-Twitter @MoveSmartly; Email at: editor@movesmartly.com About This Roundtable Series Each month, Move Smartly.com editor, Urmi Desai, talks to John Pasalis, Housing Analyst, Broker and President of Realosophy Realty in Toronto,  and Steve Saretsky, Housing Analyst and Realtor at the Oakwin Realty Group at Oakwin Realty in Vancouver about the latest data and on-the-ground insights in Canada's biggest residential RE markets. (Thanks to Jesse Bains, now at Linked In News, for kicking off this series at Yahoo Finance originally!) About This Show The Move Smartly show is co-hosted by Urmi Desai, Editor of Move Smartly, and John Pasalis, President and Broker of Realosophy Realty. MoveSmartly.com and its media channels on YouTube and various podcast platforms are powered by Realosophy Realty in Toronto, Canada. You can also watch this episode on our MoveSmartly YouTube channel here: https://www.youtube.com/movesmartly If you enjoy our show and find it useful, please like, subscribe, share, review and comment on whatever platform you are watching or listening to us from - we appreciate your support!

The Canadian housing market is experiencing one of its most dramatic shifts in recent history, as the gap between government promises and market realities continues to widen. While policymakers have focused on demand-side measures like home-flipping taxes, actual housing starts have declined significantly. Meanwhile, an unprecedented number of rental units are entering the market, leading to falling rental prices.Despite political rhetoric about increasing housing supply, overall housing starts have dropped 19% since their peak in 2021, now sitting at 239,000. However, rental unit construction is surging—up 44% year-over-year—comprising nearly half of all new starts. A record-breaking 144,000 rental units are currently in development, which is already having a profound effect on the market.Rental rates, which had been rising for 38 months straight, have now fallen for four consecutive months, with national averages dropping from a peak of $2,196 in January 2024 to $2,100 today. Shared accommodation listings have surged 42% year-over-year, with rates declining 7.6%, signaling a shifting dynamic in the rental market.While rental construction is booming, single-family home (SFH) completions tell a different story. In January 2025, only 3,800 SFHs were completed—the lowest monthly total since 1997. This ongoing supply crunch suggests that SFH prices may hold firm, even as the condo market weakens.Inflation in Canada remains relatively stable, sitting at 1.9% in January, marking six consecutive months at or below the Bank of Canada's 2% target. However, the vast majority of inflation—1.3%—is being driven by shelter costs. Mortgage interest costs, a key driver of inflation, have been slowing, with the most recent increase at just 0.2%, the weakest since April 2022.Employment Insurance (EI) claims are rising at an alarming rate. Nationally, claims increased 14% year-over-year, from 245,000 to over 280,000, while Ontario saw a 29% jump, from 76,000 to 98,000. These numbers suggest weakening economic conditions, which could drag down GDP growth in the months ahead.On the mortgage front, December saw a staggering 90% year-over-year surge in mortgage originations, largely due to renewals. Many homeowners who locked in ultra-low rates five years ago are now facing a 35% payment shock, putting additional strain on household finances.At the same time, housing inventory is surging. January saw an 11% month-over-month increase in new listings—the largest ever recorded. BC led the way with a staggering 29% increase. Pre-sale condo inventory in Greater Vancouver has nearly doubled from 7,000 to 12,000 units, pushing total available homes in the region above 25,000. This supply surge is making price increases unlikely in the near term.February data indicates a shift in market momentum. After months of year-over-year sales growth, February saw a 12% annual decline in sales activity. Prices are also softening, with median home prices in Greater Vancouver dropping $20,000 to $900,000—a 10% decline from peak values. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

Vancouver home prices took a sharp dive in January, hitting a two-year low, while Canada's GDP shrank in November, signaling potential economic trouble ahead. Adding to the uncertainty, looming tariffs could push housing costs even higher, leaving both buyers and sellers wondering what's next. If you're planning to enter the market in 2025, this episode is essential as we break down the data and what it means for you.The market is facing some serious headwinds and the threat of Tariffs is ever present. The potential for a 25% Tariff on key building materials like windows, drywall, and appliances would drive up construction costs, making new homes even more expensive. While a temporary 30-day pause has been put in place, tariffs could still take effect at any time. Earlier this week, when they seemed imminent, BMO's chief economist projected 0% GDP growth for 2025, 8% unemployment, and aggressive interest rate cuts down to 1.5%. The Canadian dollar briefly hit a 23-year low, and the 5-year bond yield dropped to a 30-month low, signaling lower mortgage rates ahead. In fact, 5-year fixed mortgage rates are already available at 3.89%, a sharp decline from last year.The BC Real Estate Association has painted a stark picture of what could happen if tariffs are imposed and Canada retaliates. They predict home sales could drop 30%, while active listings could rise 40%, leading to a more prolonged buyer's market. Mortgage rates could climb to 6% by 2026, and while prices are still expected to rise, they would increase at a much slower pace. With so much uncertainty, many buyers and sellers may wait on the sidelines, similar to the early days of the pandemic.At the same time, Vancouver's housing market is seeing some surprising shifts. January sales were up 9% year-over-year, marking the strongest January in three years. But new listings surged 46% compared to last year, reaching one of the highest January levels on record. Inventory is climbing quickly, hitting 11,100 active listings, a 33% increase over last year. The last time inventory was this high in January was 2019, a year when prices declined slightly. The sales-to-active listings ratio now sits at 14%, confirming that we remain in a balanced market, but momentum is shifting.Perhaps the biggest red flag is price movement. While the HPI benchmark price showed a slight increase in January, more immediate indicators tell a different story. Median prices dropped by $80,000, the largest single-month decline in 18 months, while average prices fell by $70,000, hitting their lowest level in two years. These sharp drops suggest that sellers may be adjusting expectations, while buyers hesitate to make moves in an uncertain environment.So, what's next? With sellers eager to offload properties and buyers waiting for more clarity on tariffs and interest rates, the spring market could be weaker than expected. Early February sales trends suggest a slower start, but as we approach the peak season, things could shift. Will prices stabilize, or are we heading into a prolonged downturn? Tune in as we analyze what's happening in Vancouver real estate and where the market might be headed next. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

It's roundtable time with John Pasalis in Toronto and Steve Saretsky in Vancouver! This month, John and Steve discuss how hopeful views at the start of the year have weathered. And after a rollercoaster of the ride that is the Trump presidency over the last two weeks, with Canada still reeling from a - temporary - reprieve from an unprecedented 25% tariff smackdown from the US, can another Bank of Canada cut to bring its policy rate to 3% do anything to calm skittish home buyers? Today's Show Links: Steve Saretsky X-Twitter: https://x.com/SteveSaretsky/status/1861831041385955768 New York Times - Trump Calls Canada a Big Player in the Fentanyl Trade. Is It? https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/30/world/canada/canada-fentanyl-trump.html?smid=url-share Contact Us Follow Steve on X-Twitter @SteveSaretsky; Email at: steve@stevesaretsky.com Follow John on X-Twitter @JohnPasalis; Email at: askjohn@movesmartly.com Follow Urmi on X-Twitter @MoveSmartly; Email at: editor@movesmartly.com About This Roundtable Series Each month, Move Smartly.com editor, Urmi Desai, talks to John Pasalis, Housing Analyst, Broker and President of Realosophy Realty in Toronto,  and Steve Saretsky, Housing Analyst and Realtor at the Oakwin Realty Group at Oakwin Realty in Vancouver about the latest data and on-the-ground insights in Canada's biggest residential RE markets. (Thanks to Jesse Bains, now at Linked In News, for kicking off this series at Yahoo Finance originally!) About This Show The Move Smartly show is co-hosted by Urmi Desai, Editor of Move Smartly, and John Pasalis, President and Broker of Realosophy Realty. MoveSmartly.com and its media channels on YouTube and various podcast platforms are powered by Realosophy Realty in Toronto, Canada. You can also watch this episode on our MoveSmartly YouTube channel here: https://www.youtube.com/movesmartly If you enjoy our show and find it useful, please like, subscribe, share, review and comment on whatever platform you are watching or listening to us from - we appreciate your support!

In this special episode of the Vancouver Life Real Estate Podcast, we welcome Doug Porter, Chief Economist at BMO Financial Group, to provide unparalleled insights into Canada's economic landscape. With over 30 years of experience and a proven track record as one of the top economic forecasters in North America, Doug shares his expert analysis on the Bank of Canada's recent rate cut and its potential ripple effects across the economy, financial markets, and the Canadian housing sector.We dive into hot-button topics like the impact of immigration policy changes on housing affordability, the long-term economic consequences of tariffs, and the evolving lending landscape in Canada. Doug also unpacks how the so-called “mortgage renewal cliff” may not be as alarming as it sounds, highlighting how Canadians are adapting to higher interest rates.From analyzing regional housing trends—like Vancouver's surprising resilience compared to Toronto's cooling condo market—to exploring the broader implications of geopolitical tensions, this episode is packed with actionable insights for homeowners, investors, and anyone curious about Canada's economic outlook.Doug's practical advice for buyers, his predictions for interest rates, and his views on what Canada must do to foster economic stability make this an episode you don't want to miss. Whether you're planning your next real estate move or simply want to understand the forces shaping Canada's financial future, this conversation will leave you informed and inspired.Tune in now and gain a deeper understanding of the market trends that matter most. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

With the largest US-Canada bond yield spread in 70 years & unprecedented trade threats looming, Moody's Analytics Director and Lead Canadian Economic Forecaster Brendan Lacerda sits down with Adam & Matt to unpack what Trump's tariff threats mean for our market.From Moody's baseline 5% tariff forecast to worst-case scenarios of 25%, Lacerda explores how these economic headwinds and diverging interest rates could reshape Vancouver real estate in 2025.Will the Bank of Canada's projected rate cuts spark market momentum? What do outsized tariffs mean for our local real estate market? And with Canada and US economies heading in opposite directions, what does this rare economic divergence mean for all Canadians? Don't miss this market update!

In this episode of the addy Podcast, Steve Jagger sits down with Jon Stovell, President of Reliance Properties, to discuss Vancouver's real estate landscape, heritage restoration, and the challenges of housing affordability. Jon shares insights on how Reliance has grown into one of Gastown's largest property owners, the complexities of heritage renovations, and the current state of housing development in British Columbia. They also explore the impact of government policies, rising construction costs, and what the future holds for real estate in 2025 and beyond. Topics Covered: - Jon's unique journey from racing pigeons to real estate - The business of heritage restoration and adaptive reuse - How government policies shape Vancouver's housing market - The challenges of developing new projects in today's economy - Predictions for the future of real estate in BC Connect with Jon Stovell: https://relianceproperties.ca/about/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/jonstovell/ ------ To learn more about addy and sign up - https://addyinvest.ca/ Download the app iOS - https://apps.apple.com/ca/app/addy-real-estate-investing/id1595926089 Android - https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.addyinvest.app&hl=en_CA Follow the addy social channels to keep up with everything that's happening in the addy community: Discord: https://discord.gg/addy TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@addyinvest Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/addyinvest/ Twitter: https://www.instagram.com/addyinvest/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/addyinvest/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/addyinvest Disclaimer Purchasing investments made accessible through addy will unless otherwise indicated be conducted by by registered dealers (including, in the case of exempt market products, exempt market dealers), registered or exempt funding portals or directly by issuers of securities. The information provided on addy's website, webinars, blog, emails and accompanying material is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute or form any part of any offer or invitation or other solicitation or recommendation to purchase any securities. It should not be considered financial or professional advice. You should consult with a professional to determine what may be best for your individual needs. Forward-Looking Statements Some information contains certain forward-looking information and forward-looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities legislation (collectively "forward-looking statements"). The use of the words "intention", "will", "may", "can", and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Although addy believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements and/or information are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements since addy can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. These statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements. Furthermore, the forward-looking statements contained in this news release are made as at the date of this news release and addy does not undertake any obligations to publicly update and/or revise any of the included forward-looking statements, whether as a result of additional information, future events and/or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities laws.

With interest rates, housing inventory, and sales all seeming to stabilize, could 2025 finally bring a return to "normal" in the Metro Vancouver real estate market?Not so fast. BCREA Chief Economist Brendon Ogmundson sits down with Adam & Matt this week to decode the mixed market signals ahead and reveals why Vancouver's real estate landscape could be on the verge of its biggest shake-up yet. With the potential Trump tariff of 25% on Canadian exports looming and impacts that could trigger emergency rate cuts or spiraling inflation, this is definitely not your typical market forecast.What geopolitical event could send Canadian interest rates ratcheting back up? Where will home prices be at the end of 2025? And with the Canadian dollar potentially facing historic lows, is now the time to buy? Don't miss this essential market forecast!

This week's episode is packed with crucial updates and insights that could directly affect your real estate decisions in 2025.A much stronger-than-expected jobs report has thrown a wrench into predictions for interest rate cuts, potentially keeping the Bank of Canada on hold this January. With Canada adding 91,000 jobs last month, (far exceeding expectations) compounded by labour market strength is complicating the case for lower rates. However, not all is as it seems: 62,000 of those jobs went to workers over 55, and a significant portion came from public sector growth (44%!). We break down what this could mean for mortgage rates and why the 5-year bond yield is already climbing.In Vancouver, affordability continues to be a challenge as recent policies are expected to push home prices higher. On the flip side, there's good news out of Burnaby, where one of the first multiplex building permits has been approved. The timeline, fees, and offsite costs surprised even the developer—and might give hope to those exploring small-scale development opportunities.We also tackle the ongoing affordability crisis, exploring how the ban on natural gas in new construction and new net-zero mandates are inflating the cost of homes. For example, a fourplex project now have an additional $150,000 for electrical upgrades, adding roughly $40,000 to the cost of each unit. These policy changes are a stark reminder to “watch what they do, not what they say” when it comes to government claims about building affordable housing.Meanwhile, mortgage arrears are also starting to climb, with delinquency rates hitting a 9-year high in Toronto. Yet even as the headlines grab attention, the data tells a different story—arrears remain well below pre-pandemic levels, and the overall risk of panic is low. However, with 50% of mortgage holders set to face higher payments over the next two years (in excess of 30+%), it's clear that financial strain is building for many Canadians.We also take a closer look at the nearly 30% of homes listed for sale that are vacant. Are they former Airbnbs, second homes, or properties listed to dodge the vacancy tax? It's a fascinating trend that raises more questions about the current state of the market.And to cap it off, we're excited to showcase a stunning family home on Vancouver's prestigious Golden Mile in Kitsilano. Located on West 1st Avenue, this property boasts breathtaking ocean views, over $1 million in renovations, and one of the most luxurious primary suites you'll ever see. Don't miss this incredible listing—check it out at www.3262W1st.com _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

In this episode, we explore our predictions for the 2025 Vancouver Real Estate Market, diving deep into the economic and financial trends that will shape the year ahead. With Canada's GDP growth expected to remain moderate, driven by immigration and resource exports, the potential for a mild recession looms if elevated interest rates continue to slow consumer spending and business investment. We analyze the possibility of economic turbulence while discussing key signals in sectors like housing, manufacturing, and retail. Meanwhile, Canada's population growth is expected to drop considerably from before but will still be pushing the annual growth, to what extent remains to be seen. This sustained influx will fuel housing demand but could strain infrastructure and services.On the employment front, the unemployment rate, currently at 6.8%, is projected to remain somewhat stable within the 6.5%-8% range. While population growth could create new job opportunities, sensitive sectors like construction and tech may see some challenges. Inflation, sitting at 1.9%, is anticipated to close the year between 2.0% and 2.5%, assuming stable monetary policy and limited disruptions in energy prices or supply chains. This outcome largely depends on US trade policy which has yet to be sorted out. The Bank of Canada's interest rate, currently at 3.25%, is forecasted to ease slightly by year-end if inflation targets maintain and economic growth softens. In tandem, mortgage rates are likely to decline as well, with variable & potentially fixed rates dropping too. Despite these adjustments, Canada's mortgage arrears rate, historically low at around 0.15%, may see a slight uptick as households adjust to higher payments on renewals.Turning to real estate, we predict a steady recovery in sales volumes, with activity returning near the 10-year average, barring any significant rate fluctuations. The sales-to-active listings ratio which is currently signaling balanced market conditions may tick up into a Seller's market with more interest rate fluctuations. Inventory levels may see modest growth too as many who did not sell in 2024 will return to the market to try again. In the pre-sale market, developers are projected to cautiously release new projects, reflecting a gradual increase in buyer confidence. After an 8% decline in rental rates during 2024, the rental market is expected to stabilize though this will largely depend on immigration levels and the overall performance of the economy.In this episode we also highlight the top markets poised to outperform the Greater Vancouver region in 2025. We look at Surrey and Langley as they continue to attract buyers with affordability and infrastructure investment among a list of other locations that we strongly endorse. Tune in and find out which areas those are!This episode provides a comprehensive roadmap for navigating the opportunities and challenges of Vancouver's 2025 real estate market. Whether you're a buyer, seller, or investor, these insights will help you stay ahead in a shifting landscape. Tune in to learn more about what to expect and how to make informed decisions in the year ahead or book a one-on-one exploratory call with us and we'll help guide you through this recovering marketplace. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

It's our first roundtable of the year with my co-host John Pasalis in Toronto and Steve Saretsky in Vancouver. This month, John and Steve discuss how the market performed last year and what we can expect in 2025. Plus, when will the preconstruction market slowdown result in price drops and how will the  incoming U.S. President Trump's threats against the Canadian economy and new Conservative government in Canada later this year and impact housing? Today's Show Links: John Pasalis - “Is Canada Propping Up Condos”: https://youtu.be/itUMEdVKiZ0?si=JrylsNlzn2UMYPzO Aziz Sunderji - “Immigration, Population Growth and the Allure of English Speaking Countries”: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/azizsunderji_ive-been-exploring-why-english-speaking-activity-7282448982860001283-ZeKy?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop Contact Us Follow Steve on X-Twitter @SteveSaretsky; Email at: steve@stevesaretsky.com Follow John on X-Twitter @JohnPasalis; Email at: askjohn@movesmartly.com Follow Urmi on X-Twitter @MoveSmartly; Email at: editor@movesmartly.com About This Roundtable Series Each month, Move Smartly.com editor, Urmi Desai, talks to John Pasalis, Housing Analyst, Broker and President of Realosophy Realty in Toronto,  and Steve Saretsky, Housing Analyst and Realtor at the Oakwin Realty Group at Oakwin Realty in Vancouver about the latest data and on-the-ground insights in Canada's biggest residential RE markets. (Thanks to Jesse Bains, now at Linked In News, for kicking off this series at Yahoo Finance originally!) About This Show The Move Smartly show is co-hosted by Urmi Desai, Editor of Move Smartly, and John Pasalis, President and Broker of Realosophy Realty. MoveSmartly.com and its media channels on YouTube and various podcast platforms are powered by Realosophy Realty in Toronto, Canada. You can also watch this episode on our MoveSmartly YouTube channel here: https://www.youtube.com/movesmartly If you enjoy our show and find it useful, please like, subscribe, share, review and comment on whatever platform you are watching or listening to us from - we appreciate your support!

Welcome to the first episode of The Vancouver Life Real Estate Podcast for 2025! As we kick off the new year, we start this year by reflecting on an intriguing 2024 in Greater Vancouver real estate. Today, we're unpacking December's freshly released market stats, analyzing how 2024 wrapped up, and exploring what's on the horizon for 2025.This is a special double-header episode where we'll revisit our 2024 real estate predictions to see where we were right, where we missed the mark, and what new trends are setting up 2025 to be a dynamic and potentially surprising year.Highlights from December reveal some fascinating trends. Sales reached their highest December total in three years, up 32% year-over-year, though still 15% below the 10-year average. New listings surged 26% year-over-year, marking the highest December total in three years. Inventory remains elevated, with December's levels the highest since 2018 and 25% above the 10-year average•The Sales-to-active ratios show balanced market conditions for the eighth consecutive month, with townhomes and apartments pushing us into the upper limits of a Balanced market.In terms of pricing, Vancouver's housing market defied more pessimistic predictions, with all three price metrics—HPI, median, and average prices—rising year-over-year. Notably, median prices climbed 4.5%, just 2% shy of the all-time high.As we dive deeper, we'll also compare Vancouver's performance to Toronto's market and national trends. While BC lagged behind the national average home price increase of 7.4%, it still holds the title for the highest average home price in Canada. Tune into the rest of the episode and find out where we right and where we went wrong as we review the predictions we made for 2024. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

Welcome to a special holiday edition of The Vancouver Real Estate Podcast! As we wrap up 2024, we're thrilled to celebrate a major milestone—our channel hitting 5,000 subscribers on Christmas Day, doubling in size over the past year! This achievement means the world to us, especially for such a niche channel, and it's all thanks to you—our viewers who have tuned in, shared our videos, and subscribed. As we move into 2025, we're committed to improving the channel, fostering open conversations about Vancouver real estate, and connecting 1-on-1 through our Calendly link. Looking back, 2024 was a year of housing promises from all levels of government. Initiatives like Bill 44, which aimed to densify single-family neighborhoods, faced hurdles like municipal pushback and high taxes & community contribution fees. The federal Housing Accelerator Fund & Trudeau promised over 3.9 million homes but has yet to deliver any completed builds.  CMHC raised its mortgage insurance limit to $1.5 million, which helps buyers access more expensive homes but doesn't address affordability. Meanwhile, policies like the anti-flipping tax are unlikely to curb rising prices but may reduce the supply of renovated properties, exacerbating the supply-demand imbalance. The market also saw significant struggles, with pre-sale projects shelved, developer insolvencies up 36% year-over-year, and building permits near all-time lows. On the brighter side, 2024 marked the first-interest rate cuts in over four years, which has started to provide relief for buyers and developers alike.   Inflation remained below 3% throughout the year, though maintaining this stability amidst global uncertainty will be a challenge, particularly with political shifts like the return of Trump and Canada's federal leadership changes. The Airbnb ban disrupted short-term rental markets, while stricter renters' policies continued to deter smaller investors, limiting rental supply.  As we head into 2025, the focus must shift from adding more policies to addressing the root issue: increasing housing supply by removing red tape and, ideally, reducing government fees and taxes.  Thank you again for helping us reach 5,000 subscribers, and we look forward to continuing this journey with you. Join us next week for a recap of December's stats, and don't miss our 2025 predictions episode on January 11.   Happy Holidays, and we'll see you in 2025! _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

Contact Marko Gelo, he's a Mortgage Broker!604-800-9593 cell/text Vancouver403-606-3751 cell/text CalgaryCall Marko via WhatsApphomefinancingsolutions.caCLICK HERE to view the blog version of this podcastCLICK HERE to download Marko's award-winning Mobile Mortgage App!Contact Andrew Way, he's a Realtor!604-802-2570 cell/textandrewway.ca Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

If you own a home in British Columbia, you could be sitting on an untapped financial opportunity worth seven figures. Thanks to Bill 44, homeowners now have the chance to significantly increase the value of their properties by converting single-family homes into modern multiplex developments. In this episode, we're joined by David Babakaiff of Alair Homes, an award-winning builder and expert in multiplex construction, to help homeowners understand how they can unlock this incredible potential.David explains how this new legislation impacts over 300,000 properties in the Lower Mainland, opening the door for homeowners to turn their lot into a wealth-generating asset. He shares real-life examples of families who have added over $1 million in equity by building duplexes, triplexes, or even larger multiplexes on their properties. Whether your goal is to sell the new units, rent them for passive income, or even live mortgage-free in a beautiful new home, the possibilities are multiple.This episode breaks down the process step-by-step, including how to assess the feasibility of your lot, secure financing, and design a project that maximizes profit while meeting your goals. David also highlights how his team simplifies the journey, offering a seamless approach with experts in financial planning, architecture, construction, tax strategies, and real estate sales.Your home might be worth far more than you think, and this podcast is your guide to finding out how much. Imagine transforming your property into a multi-unit building and walking away with significant financial gains—without losing ownership of your land. If you're curious about how much money you could make with a multiplex, reach out to us today to explore your options. This is your chance to turn your property into a wealth-building powerhouse.About David BabakaiffDavid is a veteran of residential building spanning almost three decades in BC.   His companies are multi award winning, building custom homes at volume, small multifamily mixed-use buildings and multiplexes. He has been vice president of BC interior's Canadian Home Builders Association; co-founder of a $5 million VCC fund, and founder of companies in forestry logistics and industrial waste management as well as industrial alternate energy technology. In 2012 David brought Aliar Homes to Vancouver, and today David's focus is helping homeowners unlock wealth by converting their houses to multiplexes.david@alairhomes.comAbout Alair HomesAlair began building one-of custom homes in Nanaimo and has grown to over 100 offices across North America. Today, Alair® has the largest footprint of any premium custom home building and large-scale renovation/ remodelling brand in the world. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

This episode delves deeply into the housing affordability crisis in Canada, a critical issue that remains at the forefront in 2024. With persistently high home prices, elevated interest rates, and a rising cost of living, homeownership is becoming increasingly unattainable for many Canadians.The data tells a sobering story. Homeownership rates in Canada have declined from 69% in 2011 to 66% today, with younger generations facing even greater challenges. For Canadians aged 25 to 29, the homeownership rate has dropped sharply, from 44.1% in 2011 to 36.5% in 2021. This decline underscores the growing barriers to entering the housing market.The struggles extend beyond prospective homebuyers. Developers are contending with soaring construction costs, skyrocketing municipal development fees, and high interest rates, creating a hostile environment for new projects. These challenges have led to a surge in shelved developments, land sell-offs, and insolvencies within the sector. Projects like "The Riv," a 37-story condo tower planned for Toronto, have been canceled due to insufficient buyer interest and unsustainable pre-sale thresholds. These setbacks highlight a looming crisis in housing supply that could worsen the affordability challenges Canadians already face.Adding to the complexity, Oxford Economics projects that housing affordability will not return to reasonable levels until 2035. Their Housing Affordability Index, which evaluates factors like home prices, wages, and interest rates, reveals that homes were affordable between 2005 and 2020 but became increasingly unaffordable, peaking in 2023. While affordability has started to improve slightly, it remains far from sustainable. For many Canadians, the prospect of waiting more than a decade for improved affordability is daunting, particularly in historically expensive markets like Vancouver and Toronto.Recent data from StatsCan challenges the narrative that home flipping significantly contributes to housing unaffordability. In British Columbia, only 3% of properties were flipped within a year in 2021, with minimal impact on overall market prices. While flipping can influence price volatility in overheated markets, its role in Canada's broader housing crisis appears overstated. The core issue remains the chronic mismatch between housing supply and demand.This episode also explores the November Greater Vancouver real estate statistics, offering insights into market trends. While total sales decreased by 20% month-over-month, they were up 29% year-over-year, signaling a potential shift. Inventory dropped to a seven-month low, though it remains 26% above the ten-year average. Despite elevated inventory levels, prices in some categories have remained stable or even increased, reflecting the market's resilience.Looking ahead, the episode discusses the Bank of Canada's upcoming December meeting and the potential implications of a rate cut. While a reduction could stimulate an early spring market in 2025, questions persist about whether it would genuinely address affordability or merely fuel demand without resolving supply constraints. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

It's December and time for our last monthly Toronto and Vancouver real estate roundtable of the calendar year with my co-host John Pasalis in Toronto and Steve Saretsky in Vancouver. This week, John and Steve explain why a jump up in YOY sales numbers obscures the reality of a sluggish market with some segments performing better than other and just how Vancouver and Toronto have come to top the list of the most expensive 25 cities in the US & Canada, topping LA, San Francisco and New York. We ended with a lively debate about whether large corporations should be allowed to buy homes to rent out as Canada's Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland calls for public submissions on this issue.  Today's Links: Link to Wowa list of housing expenses in largest 25 cities in US & Canada: https://x.com/SteveSaretsky/status/1862941518144983313 Link to John and Steve twitter exchange re large corporations buying homes: https://x.com/JohnPasalis/status/1859682242366406986 Contact Us Follow Steve on X-Twitter @SteveSaretsky; Email at: steve@stevesaretsky.com Follow John on X-Twitter @JohnPasalis; Email at: askjohn@movesmartly.com Follow Urmi on X-Twitter @MoveSmartly; Email at: editor@movesmartly.com   About This Roundtable Series Each month, Move Smartly.com editor, Urmi Desai, talks to John Pasalis, Housing Analyst, Broker and President of Realosophy Realty in Toronto,  and Steve Saretsky, Housing Analyst and Realtor at the Oakwin Realty Group at Oakwin Realty in Vancouver about the latest data and on-the-ground insights in Canada's biggest residential RE markets. (Thanks to Jesse Bains, now at Linked In News, for kicking off this series at Yahoo Finance originally!) About This Show The Move Smartly show is co-hosted by Urmi Desai, Editor of Move Smartly, and John Pasalis, President and Broker of Realosophy Realty. MoveSmartly.com and its media channels on YouTube and various podcast platforms are powered by Realosophy Realty in Toronto, Canada. You can also watch this episode on our MoveSmartly YouTube channel here: https://www.youtube.com/movesmartly If you enjoy our show and find it useful, please like, subscribe, share, review and comment on whatever platform you are watching or listening to us from - we appreciate your support!

This week in Canadian real estate, fresh GDP data revealed slower-than-expected economic growth. Canada's economy grew by 1% year-over-year in the third quarter, with GDP rising only 0.1% in September. On a per capita basis, GDP actually declined for the seventh consecutive quarter, reflecting further economic challenges. These weaker-than-anticipated numbers have shifted market expectations for a potential rate cut in December, with a 33% probability now placed on a 50-basis-point reduction. Despite these pressures, Canadians are saving at near-record levels! Household savings rate hitting 7.1% in Q3, as disposable income growth outpaced spending. This cautious approach reflects a broader sense of economic uncertainty and distrust in government policy as households prioritize financial stability amid ongoing volatility.However, alongside increased savings, Canadians are grappling with mounting debt and insolvencies. Credit card balances reached a record $110 billion in September, growing 9.7% year-over-year. Consumer insolvencies climbed 8.8% nationally and surged 18.4% in Ontario, returning to pre-pandemic levels. While not yet alarming, the pace of insolvency growth could escalate to financial crisis levels by 2025 if left unchecked. Meanwhile, the cost of housing remains a significant burden. Monthly mortgage payments for the typical home dropped slightly in October but remain up 90% compared to 2021 levels, with the average payment now sitting at $2,975—nearly double what it was just three years ago.In the mortgage market, both fixed and variable rates have seen modest declines from their 2024 peaks. Fixed rates currently average 4.4%, while variable rates are at 4.9%. These rates are expected to fall further, with markets projecting a bottom of 3% by mid-2025 as the Bank of Canada faces pressures from slowing inflation, weaker GDP, and economic risks such as Trump's proposed 25% tariffs. These tariffs could have a 2–3% negative impact on Canada's GDP, potentially driving the central bank to accelerate rate cuts to support the economy. Additionally, the rental market is poised to stabilize further, with new supply and slower population growth expected to ease inflationary pressures in housing over the next two years.Regionally, Vancouver's housing market continues to gain slight momentum. November sales are projected to rise 29% year-over-year, bringing activity closer to long-term 10-year averages. New listings, however, increased by just 10%, creating an environment where limited supply is supporting prices. Median prices climbed for the second month in a row, rising slightly by $5,000, while average prices jumped by $34,000. This contrasts sharply with the GTA, where new condo sales were down 91% compared to decade averages, and starts are forecasted to hit 20-year lows by 2025. While Toronto's challenges weigh on the broader market, Vancouver's resilience offers a glimmer of hope for Canadian real estate. Full November statistics will provide further clarity in the week ahead. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

In October, Vancouver's real estate market exhibited mixed signals. Despite a continued decline in home prices, with the benchmark HPI dropping for the fifth consecutive month by 0.6%, a surprising surge in sales emerged. Total sales jumped 43% from September and 32% year-over-year, marking October 2024 as the third-highest sales month of the year and the most active October since 2021. Experts suggest that the rate cuts so far, combined with optimism for further reductions, may have spurred buyers back into the market. This sentiment sharply contrasts with 2022 when rising interest rates deterred buyers.The recent U.S. election results, with Trump securing the presidency, bring significant economic implications for Canada. Key among these is the potential for new tariffs on Canadian imports to the U.S., which could add $30 billion in economic costs, with Canadian manufacturing and consumer prices bearing the brunt. This inflationary impact could strain housing affordability, as higher import costs would drive up construction expenses, potentially limiting new builds and pushing home prices higher. To counter these risks, the Bank of Canada might reduce rates further, which could increase Canadian homebuyers' purchasing power but also encourage some to enter the market amid potential economic downturns. Affordable housing targets in Canadian cities like Ottawa and West Vancouver face substantial setbacks due to escalating construction costs and financing issues. Ottawa has fallen short of its 500-unit annual goal every year since 2020, citing a funding gap of $931 million and a 150% increase in construction costs since 2021. West Vancouver also anticipates falling short of provincial targets, estimating that only 58 affordable units will be built in 2024—well below the province's target of 220. This affordability gap points to ongoing challenges for both public and private sectors, with limited options for expanding affordable housing despite rising demand.The “17 Villages” initiative in Vancouver seeks to create a gentler approach to housing density, adding low-rise residential buildings, townhouses, and multiplexes within 400 meters of established retail streets. This feels like a European-inspired model that will anchor neighborhoods with walkable retail and community amenities, allowing young professionals and families to stay in these areas at potentially lower costs. Unlike high-rise developments, these “villages” aim to enhance neighborhood character, create small business opportunities, and offer diverse housing options without dramatically altering community aesthetics.Touching on the October stats, Vancouver's real estate inventory fell by 7% month-over-month to a five-month low but remains 25% higher than last October and 26% above the 10-year average. With over 5,400 new listings—a 17% annual increase—the market has seen an influx of choices for buyers, while inventory is the highest for October since 2014. The sales-to-active listings ratio rose back to 19%, with townhomes and apartments now moving into seller's market territory. Detached homes saw a slight uptick in demand, but overall, the market remains balanced, favoring neither buyers nor sellers strongly. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

Welcome to the CRE podcast. 100% Canadian, 100% commercial real estate. In this episode of the Commercial Real Estate Podcast, hosts Aaron and Adam welcome back Mark Goodman, Principal of Goodman Commercial Inc. Join them as they discuss the current state of the Vancouver commercial real estate market. Goodman reveals that his firm commands about... The post Vancouver Real Estate: A Market in Motion with Mark Goodman, Principal of Goodman Commercial Inc appeared first on Commercial Real Estate Podcast.

With the BC provincial election approaching on October 19th, housing policy has become a focal point for both major parties—the NDP and the Conservatives. Each party has released its housing platform, but the Conservative Party's approach has sparked significant debate due to its "ambitious" tax-cut promises and plans to further streamline housing development.The Conservatives introduced the "Rustad Rebate," a tax cut that exempts rent, mortgage interest, and strata fees from BC income tax, starting at $1,500/month in 2026 and increasing to $3,000/month by 2029. While this would save a typical BC taxpayer around $105/month in its first year, critics argue that this rebate is a token gesture that does little to tackle the root causes of the housing affordability crisis.A standout promise is to drastically shorten the permit approval process, with a 6-month window for rezoning and 3 months for building permits. However, we have concerns over whether the province has the resources and expertise to enforce these timelines across multiple municipalities, particularly when recent efforts by Vancouver's Mayor Ken Sim have shown limited success in expediting permits under a similar framework.Here are the Conservative Proposals in Brief:1. Rustad Rebate: Offers BC residents tax deductions for housing expenses, but savings are marginal compared to soaring housing costs.2. Permit Approval Timelines: Promises to expedite housing approvals but lacks clarity on implementation and enforcement.3. Repeal of NDP Regulations: Aims to remove certain building codes that allegedly increase construction costs but provides no detailed analysis.4. Support Transit-Oriented Communities: Emphasizes building complete communities near transit hubs, but developers already incorporate these elements without government mandates. So..?5. Infrastructure Fund: Proposes a $1 billion annual fund for municipalities, yet doesn't address the revenue shortfall from proposed tax cuts. Where is the money coming from?September Market StatsThe latest market data for September is out and its status quo in the housing market as prices continue to drop. Key highlights include:The benchmark price dropped for the 4th month in a row, down 1.4% month-over-month and 7% below the peak in April 2022. At $925,000, the median price fell by $20,000, marking a total drop of $70,000 over four months.Despite rising inventory levels, buyer sentiment remains cautious as quality listings are limited. With election day approaching, it remains to be seen if either party's housing plan can reverse this trend and provide relief to struggling homeowners and prospective buyers alike._________________________________ Connect With Us To Talk Real Estate:

Central banks are aggressively easing and liquidity measures are turning up. Geopolitical conflict is ramping up, putting upwards pressure on oil prices, could this stoke another wave of inflation? Toronto and Vancouver Real Estate see rising inventory levels despite lower rates.  Check Out BMO's S&P 500 Index ZSP ETF Here: https://bit.ly/3xzrAO8BMO Global Asset Mgmt, November 2023. Based on $11billion in AUM in ZSP and ZSP.U.BMO S&P 500 Index ETF ZSP | BMO Global Asset Management (bmogam.com) Get your travel data sorted with Saily and enjoy smooth, safe, and reliable internet access while you're away in over 150 countries!Check out Saily at https://saily.com/looniehour and use our promo code 'LOONIEHOUR' to get 15% off your first purchase!  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This week has been monumental for Vancouver's real estate market, with several key factors influencing housing and the broader economic landscape. Inflation has officially hit 2%, marking a significant milestone for the Bank of Canada (BOC) as it reaches its target for the first time in nearly four years. While the broader inflation rate stands at 2%, if the mortgage interest component is excluded, inflation would be just 0.9%, signaling a rapid decline in core inflation metrics. However, rental inflation remains elevated at 8.6%, though this is expected to decrease in the coming months as rent prices have been falling for about a year, potentially pushing inflation even lower. As a result, markets are now pricing in rate cuts at every BOC meeting until at least the summer of 2025, with an estimated 1.75 basis points reduction by July 2025. The five-year bond, crucial for mortgage rates, is now trending downward at 2.7%, the lowest in over two years.On Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve made a notable move by cutting its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point, the first such reduction in over four years. This marks a shift from controlling inflation to supporting a slowing labor market. The Fed's decision to lower rates from 5.3% to 4.8% signals a major adjustment as inflation in the U.S. has fallen from a peak of 9.1% in mid-2022 to 2.5% in August, aligning closely with the Fed's 2% target. Policymakers have indicated further cuts this year, with more anticipated in 2025 and 2026. Adding to the shake-up, the federal government of Canada announced that it will increase the price cap for insured mortgages from $1 million to $1.5 million, a surprise to both the industry and policymakers. While many in the real estate sector championed the change, it's important to examine who this adjustment really benefits. Although extending the amortization period to 30 years from 25 years helps reduce monthly payments by about 9%, it also increases the long-term interest paid by homebuyers, with an additional $80,000 paid over the life of a mortgage. More critically, this move likely pushes the price band of homes in this range up by 9%, doing little to address affordability. Historically, the CMHC was designed to help veterans and lower-income buyers, but this increase will likely push prices higher, benefiting banks and investors more than first-time homebuyers. With the minimum down payment on a $1.5 million home being $125,000, this policy change seems to cater more to affluent buyers, as only 15% of Canadian households could qualify for such a mortgage. Despite these hurdles, this adjustment will create more demand in the $1 million to $1.5 million price band, potentially driving prices higher, which contradicts the notion of increasing affordability.This week's developments reflect the complex and often contradictory forces shaping the Vancouver real estate market. Inflation is cooling, but rate cuts are on the horizon, and new policies, like the increase in the insured mortgage cap, seem to be helping banks more than first-time homebuyers. Housing starts are down, and developers are grappling with higher fees, all while household debt continues to climb. The fall real estate market in Vancouver appears to be on shaky ground, and without significant changes to housing policy or economic conditions, the outlook remains uncertain. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

In the first week of September, the Vancouver real estate market received an update that reflects significant shifts. August numbers reveal that home prices have dropped even further, with detached homes now firmly in a buyer's market—a term seldom used in Vancouver. Compounding this, the Bank of Canada (BOC) cut interest rates for the third time, and all indicators point to more cuts ahead. As we move into the traditionally active Fall market, many wonder if September will mark a turning point, leading to a rebound in prices, or if the downward trend will continue throughout 2024.A closer look at the BOC's rate cut decision reveals that inflation has eased, with recent data showing inflation at a 40-month low. The central bank has reiterated its goal of bringing inflation down to 2%, and Governor Tiff Macklem's dovish comments suggest that additional cuts are likely if economic data continues to support them. The financial markets have already priced in another 25-basis-point rate cut in October and a full reduction by December.Interestingly, the BOC acknowledged the upward pressure on inflation from housing and shelter costs, even though national trends show rental rates and home prices have been falling for months. As these lagging indicators catch up, inflation is expected to ease further. Macklem also hinted that while inflation may drop, housing prices could begin to rise again as interest rates fall and market activity strengthens.Bond markets have also responded to the recent rate cut, with the Canadian five-year bond dropping to an 18-month low of 2.84%, signaling that fixed mortgage rates could follow suit in the coming weeks. Additionally, contrary to expectations, the Canadian dollar has strengthened against the U.S. dollar following the cuts—a potential signal that the U.S. Federal Reserve might also be gearing up to reduce rates at their upcoming September meeting.Turning to Vancouver's August real estate statistics, the market saw continued slow sales with a total of 1,896 transactions, marking a 17% year-over-year decline and a 23% drop from July. This represents the fourth consecutive month of falling sales, making August 2023 one of the weakest on record. The sales-to-active listings ratio sits at 14%, down 3% from last month and marking the fifth monthly decline in a row. We use this metric to determine if we are in a Buyers or Sellers' market. Detached homes are seeing a ratio of just 9%, deep in buyers' market territory. Meanwhile, the MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) recorded its third consecutive monthly decline, down 0.2% month-over-month and 0.9% year-over-year, bringing the benchmark price to $1,195,900.While the median price has fallen to $945,000 and the average price to $1,252,000—both back to January 2024 levels—the HPI remains a more stable indicator, smoothing out some of the month-to-month volatility.As we head into Fall, the big question remains: will inventory continue to rise as sales volumes decrease, as seen after the previous rate cuts, or will the market stabilize? With 1,050 new listings and 205 sales recorded in the first two business days of September, the upcoming weeks will be critical in determining the trajectory for the rest of the year. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

In this episode, we sit down and revisit the rapidly shifting rental market landscape with returning guest Keaton Bessy, Property Manager and Owner of Greater Vancouver Tenant and Property Management (GVANTPM). The last time Keaton joined the show 8 months ago, rental rates were steadily increasing month after month, with no signs of slowing down. However, the market has since undergone significant changes. A surge in inventory, elevated rental rates, the banning of Airbnb in secondary properties, and recent modifications to residential tenancy laws have collectively reshaped the market dynamics. Keaton dives into the differences between what we are reading compared to his on-the-ground insights into these developments.The discussion begins with a market overview, highlighting that while rental rates remain high, Vancouver and Ontario have seen a notable softening year over year. Despite this, Vancouver continues to be the most expensive rental market in Canada, with the average rent for a one-bedroom apartment down 8.4% sitting just over $2,750 a month and a two-bedroom down 6.4% from last year but still well above $3,650. The discussion explores what could be causing a drop in the rental market and whether this softening is a result of a recent surge in inventory, a rise in unemployment figures, or if it is influenced by broader government policy decisions.The conversation then shifts to the impact of immigration on the rental market. With a record 1.2 million person year-over-year increase in Canada's population, primarily driven by non-permanent residents, we examine whether the current softening of rental rates is a temporary blip or indicative of a longer-term stabilization trend. Keaton shares his views on whether these immigration trends will continue to apply upward pressure on rental prices and inventory.The episode also touches on the dynamics of the mortgage market, where rising mortgage originations and potentially lower carrying costs are discussed. The hosts question whether these factors might lead to a future decrease in rental rates or if available inventory levels will continue to play a more significant role in determining rent prices.Lastly, and perhaps most interestingly we delve into a recent and controversial ruling by the Residential Tenancy Branch (RTB) in Vancouver, which approved a 23.5% rent increase over the next two years for a local landlord. This decision has sparked widespread attention capturing more than 325,000 views in just a couple of days, and Keaton, who broke the story has been closely monitoring the situation and provides an in-depth analysis of the ruling and its potential implications for both landlords and tenants in Vancouver. Throughout the episode, you will gain a comprehensive understanding of the evolving rental market and what these changes mean for property owners and renters alike. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

Today we revisit our classic (and timely!) episode with Harvard's Teo Nicolais.Everyone knows that markets are cyclical, but how do they work and where are we at in Vancouver? Harvard Extension School Instructor Teo Nicolais sits down with Matt & Adam to detail the 4 stages of a real estate cycle and how it relates to the Vancouver real estate market.This episode is a must for those interested in real estate!

This week has brought significant developments to the Vancouver real estate market, with major changes both locally and internationally that are poised to impact buyers and sellers alike. The Federal Reserve held its key interest rate steady, but signaled potential rate cuts as early as September due to a cooling job market and easing inflation. This announcement, coupled with disappointing U.S. job growth and a rising unemployment rate, has led to market volatility. The Sahm Rule, which predicts a recession when the unemployment rate rises by 0.5 percentage points within a year, has been triggered, adding to fears of an economic downturn. As a result, markets are now pricing in U.S. rate cuts below 4% over the next 12 months, which could open the door for similar or more aggressive reductions in Canada in 2024.Locally, the B.C. government's abrupt reversal of newly enacted tenancy laws has caused further uncertainty, broken trust and further aggravated landlord/tenant relationships. Originally, the law extended the notice period for vacating tenanted properties from two to four months, but widespread backlash from the real estate industry & the general public prompted a quick amendment to three months. Adding to the complexity, the Federal government introduced 30-year amortizations for first-time home buyers (FTHB) on August 1, with the intention of making homeownership more affordable. However, while monthly payments might be lower, the total interest paid over the life of the mortgage will be higher, effectively increasing costs for buyers. This policy, like previous initiatives, appears to have been implemented with little consultation and may benefit Banks more than homebuyers - or anyone for that matter. The impact on the market remains to be seen, but it is clear that such measures are more about political optics than providing meaningful relief. At the same time, Canadians are grappling with an increasingly burdensome tax environment, with 47% of income now going toward taxes—more than what is spent on shelter, food, and clothing combined. This high tax burden makes it difficult for many to save for a down payment or enter the housing market, exacerbating the challenges facing potential homebuyers.The latest real estate statistics for July indicate a softening market in Vancouver. Average home prices dropped by $60,000, and total sales were 5% below both the previous month and the same time last year, marking the third consecutive month of declining sales. The market appears to be grinding to a halt, with buyers hesitating due to high costs and economic uncertainty. New listings also decreased for the third month in a row, although overall inventory remains high, particularly for detached homes, which are now at a five-year high. Overall, the Vancouver real estate market is entering a more conservative phase, characterized by slowing sales, high inventory, and softening prices. With economic uncertainty and a high cost of living, many potential buyers are holding off, waiting for clearer signs of stability or more favorable conditions. As the market adjusts to these recent developments, both buyers and sellers will need to navigate a complex and rapidly changing landscape. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

We often talk about Vancouver exporting real estate talent throughout North America. But what are the best & brightest in the industry actively learning from other cities? And what can these creative ventures outside of Vancouver tell us about ourselves?This week, Chad Boorman, Chief Financial Officer of Rize Alliance, sits down with Adam & Matt to talk all things Vancouver real estate, with a specific focus on Rize's push to build down the West Coast of the United States.How have recent Rize projects in Los Angeles informed the company's building practices in Vancouver? What are we getting right & what are getting wrong in our current housing market? And is Vancouver still considered a global city by anyone outside of Vancouver?This is a unique perspective on our market. Listen up!

The Vancouver real estate market has largely held strong in 2024, with prices rising for the first five months. However, a significant downturn appears to be building. High interest rates for two years, a ten-year low in sales volumes, and a spike in consumer and business insolvencies are all pointing to a decline in real estate prices.The June numbers are out, and we'll dive into them to discuss how low prices may go. Additionally, we'll provide updates on insolvency figures, the SSMUH initiative, and new tenant laws requiring landlords to give four months' notice if the new owner plans to live in the property.June's total sales were 2,398, down 19% year-over-year and 13% month-over-month, marking the second consecutive monthly decline and the slowest since 2019. With sales 24% below the ten-year average and rising inventory levels, owners are choosing to stay in their homes, while buyers remain hesitant. The expected rate cuts did not bring buyers but instead increased new listings and inventory.June saw 5,737 new listings, a 7% increase year-over-year, and a 3% rise above the ten-year seasonal average, marking the third month of elevated listings. This year has seen more listings than usual, with sellers eager to get deals done, whether for more space or relocations due to work.Inventory stood at 13,405, up 0.5% month-over-month and 35% year-over-year, reaching a four-year high and 20% above the ten-year average. The sales-to-active ratio fell to 18%, down 3% month-over-month, indicating a balanced market for the first time since January. The ratios for detached homes, townhomes, and apartments all dropped, suggesting a continued downward trend over the summer.Prices, which had been increasing every month of 2024, saw a decline in June. The Home Price Index (HPI) dropped by $5,000 to $1,207,000, though it remained up 0.5% year-over-year. The median price fell by $18,000 to $980,000, and the average price rose by $2,000 to a new all-time high of $1,350,000. However, with high rates, spiking inventory, and low sales, a peak in HPI prices for this cycle appears to have been reached, and a decline is expected over the next four months.Insolvencies are a growing concern, with consumer and business insolvencies in British Columbia, Alberta, Ontario, and Quebec rising by 1,750% since mid-2022. This financial stress will likely lead to business layoffs and forced property sales, further driving prices down.New tenant laws effective July 18th require landlords to give four months' notice to tenants for personal use. This change could complicate transactions and mortgage approvals, making rental properties harder to sell and potentially pushing rental prices up as investors withdraw from the market.While the Vancouver real estate market has shown resilience in early 2024, multiple factors are now converging to indicate a potential downturn in prices and lower sales volumes. High interest rates, rising inventory, low sales, increasing insolvencies, and new regulatory challenges are expected to exert downward pressure on prices for the foreseeable future. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

In this engaging and informative video, Dan and Ryan from the Vancouver Life Real Estate Group welcome back Bill Laidler, a multifamily developer with over 500 doors under construction, to discuss the transformative Small Scale Multi-Unit Housing Initiative, also known as the Multiplex Plan. Bill, a pioneer in this initiative, shares his extensive expertise on how each municipality in BC is adopting the legislation and reveals which ones might be holding back. Bill's previous video on this topic is the most watched of all time on this channel, proving the massive interest in this game-changing legislation.Bill Laidler dives into the current status of the Multiplex Plan implementation across various cities, highlighting the loopholes some municipalities are exploiting and those fully embracing the new zoning laws. He provides valuable insights into how the family-oriented housing crisis in Metro Vancouver can be addressed through this initiative, aiming to provide more homes with front doors, backyards, and three bedrooms, allowing local families to stay in their communities.The conversation shifts to why developers and builders are moving away from single-family homes towards multiplex developments. Bill explains how this transition reduces sale prices and opens the market to local purchasers who can afford homes in the $1 million to $1.5 million range. He also discusses the significant costs and city fees associated with development, including potential million-dollar expenses for city fees and offsite upgrades, and how these impact land values and project feasibility.Bill explores whether the current four to six-unit limit is sufficient to meet the growing demand for housing in Vancouver andl debate if more substantial changes are needed, such as increasing the unit limit or focusing on family-sized homes. Bill also breaks down the complexities of property tax implications for homeowners with properties in transit-oriented areas (TOAs) and explains what homeowners can expect in the coming years.Bill teases an upcoming event with the Mayor of Burnaby, offering an in-depth look at the city's adoption of the multiplex zoning laws. This event is an excellent opportunity for those eager to learn more about the new regulations and their potential impacts. For those looking to dive deeper, Bill offers additional resources and programs, including a six-week intensive course designed for homeowners, realtors, investors, and developers to understand everything about development potential in the multiplex space, from acquisition to feasibility studies and equity raising.Join us for an in-depth discussion on the future of housing in BC, packed with expert insights and practical advice to help you navigate this new landscape. Whether you're a homeowner, investor, or simply interested in the evolving real estate market, this video is for you. Connect with Billwww.laidleracademy.comEvent Ticketshttps://laidleracademy.com/hurley _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

In this episode, we dive into a whirlwind week in the real estate landscape, packed with highs and lows that are enough to make your head spin. Canadians hit a new all-time high in household net worth, while mortgage originations reached record lows. Inflation rose, inventory spiked, and yet housing affordability somehow improved, all amidst rising debt insolvencies.Join Dan and Ryan from the Vancouver Life Real Estate Group as they break down these perplexing trends and discuss what they mean for the summer months ahead. This episode covers:Inflation Insights: Despite expectations, inflation surprised on the upside, impacting market predictions for rate cuts.Mortgage Rates and Trends: The return of sub-5% mortgage rates, the rise in mortgage originations, and what types of mortgages are currently popular.- Population Growth: Canada's record-breaking population increase and its implications for the housing market.- Building Permits: An unexpected surge in building permits driven by rental units, and the changes in CMHC's MLI Select program.- Inventory Levels: A detailed look at rising inventory levels across Canada, particularly in Ontario and Vancouver.- High-End Real Estate: The highest sale price ever recorded in Greater Vancouver, and what it signifies about the economic gap.- Development Challenges: The complexities and hurdles faced by developers due to shifting regulations and municipal fees.- Multiplex Plan: Insights into BC's new multiplex initiative and its potential impact on housing affordability.This episode is a must-watch for anyone interested in understanding the current dynamics of the real estate market and what to expect moving forward. Dan and Ryan offer their expert analysis and predictions, ensuring you stay informed about the latest developments. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

The Bank of Canada's recent rate cut has been a significant event, widely appreciated by businesses and mortgage holders. This cut was expected by many who hoped for relief amid economic stress. While rate cuts generally indicate a weakening economy, they are crucial for easing monetary policy to support businesses and individuals. The Bank of Canada (BoC) aims to achieve an overnight rate of 2.75% by the end of next year, which means a substantial 200 basis points reduction over the next 18 months. The central bank's next decision is scheduled for July 24, and it has committed to ongoing data analysis before making further moves.The short-term implications of the rate cut are primarily on market sentiment. Optimism about the economy could spur consumer spending, and pre-approved buyers, previously on the sidelines, may start entering the market. However, with inventory at a four-year high, price increases may be limited in the short term. Lower borrowing costs will make loans more affordable, potentially increasing purchasing power and market activity over the next 6-9 months.In the long term, lower rates can stimulate economic activity by making credit more accessible, encouraging business investments, and reducing unemployment. If the BoC's rate cuts continue, the economy will begin to see a revival, but careful management is necessary to prevent inflation and supply chain pressures.A notable factor influencing the BoC's decision was the record $3.72 billion in quarterly net write-offs by the Big 6 banks, indicating significant financial strain. The majority of these write-offs were in personal loans and credit cards, highlighting consumer financial stress.Detailed May 2024 real estate statistics reveal that total sales were 2,733, down 20% year-over-year and 4% month-over-month. New listings were down 11% month-over-month but a 13% increase year-over-year. Inventory reached 12,908, marking a 7% month-over-month increase and a 39% year-over-year increase! The sales-to-active ratio has slid to 21%, the first drop in six months, indicating a cooling market. The ratio was 17% for detached homes, 29% for townhomes, and 23% for apartments. Prices continued to rise, with the HPI at $1,212,000, up 0.5% month-over-month and 2.3% year-over-year. The median price was $998,000, near its all-time high, while the average price hit a new ATH at $1,348,000.The summer market is expected to be dynamic, with potential opportunities for Buyers amid high inventory levels and lowering rates. However, significant price movements are unlikely until inventory tightens and further rate cuts materialize. Buyers may find a short-term window to act without intense competition, but overall market activity is anticipated to rise as borrowing becomes more affordable. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

Back by popular demand, this week's guest is Daryl Simpson, President of Townline.Daryl has worked in the development industry in the Lower Mainland since 1993, building towers and communities from initial concept to completion with some of Canada's top development companies. This week, Daryl sits down with Matt & Adam for a candid conversation about the current state of the market, new construction and presales, and how the balance of 2024 will unfold in terms of inflation, interest rates and home prices. You might be surprised!Bonus: where does Daryl see the opportunities in the Lower Mainland. This is a master class. Listen up!

In April 2024, the Vancouver real estate market experienced an unprecedented surge in inventory, reaching its highest point in four years. This surge was particularly notable given the market's recent trends and economic uncertainties. The sudden influx of properties for sale had significant implications for both buyers and sellers, prompting a re-evaluation of market dynamics.Total sales in April showed a modest increase compared to the previous year, suggesting some resilience despite prevailing economic challenges. However, the more substantial jump from the previous month indicated a potential shift in momentum. Despite these increases, sales remained below the 10-year average, signaling a sluggish market characterized by cautious buyer behavior and constrained affordability.The most striking aspect of April's market data was the sharp rise in new listings, which surged by a remarkable 65% compared to the same period last year. This surge was also significant when compared to the previous month, with a 40% increase in listings. Moreover, new listings exceeded the 10-year average by a considerable margin, marking a departure from recent trends. This sudden influx of listings can be attributed to various factors, including delayed expectations of interest rate cuts and economic uncertainties affecting both buyers and sellers.Looking ahead, predicting the market's trajectory remains challenging due to various economic and policy factors. The potential for rate cuts by the Bank of Canada in June could influence market dynamics, although their immediate impact may be limited. Broader economic challenges, such as declining GDP and increasing business insolvencies, suggest that significant changes in the real estate market may take time to materialize.Despite the increased inventory providing more options for buyers, uncertainties persist, making it difficult to gauge the market's future direction. Economic indicators, such as declining per capita GDP and rising unemployment in the United States, add further complexity to the outlook - not to mention the pending US election. However,  we should recognize that Canada has all the tools necessary to change its current trajectory and if we look at better leveraging other parts of our economy, like focusing on Canada's robust resource-based economy, our economy will not only recover but return to state of growth, confidence and affordability - especially in the housing market .April's market data reflects a complex interplay of economic factors shaping Vancouver's real estate landscape. While the surge in inventory offers opportunities for buyers, uncertainties surrounding economic performance and policy decisions highlight the need for  them to be cautious as well. This will put pressure on Sellers as inventory climbs and doesn't get consumed at the levels we've become accustom to. The market's trajectory will depend on various factors, including future rate cuts, economic recovery efforts, and broader policy changes aimed at revitalizing Canada's economy - but it is possible we could see a recession before things get better. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

Ben Smith has been involved in Vancouver real estate in one capacity or another for decades. He previously has worked with some of the region's major developers & more recently went national to become the President of Avesdo. To say he has a unique vantage point on both regional & national real estate trends is an understatement. Ben sits down with Adam & Matt to discuss the state of our housing market. What are some of the most interesting buying & building trends he is seeing in Metro Vancouver? Why has Vancouver fared better than Toronto since interest rates began to soar? And where are the best opportunities right now for the most discerning of buyers? This one is chock full of insight. Listen up!

In a landscape of economic uncertainty and shifting market expectations, the Bank of Canada's decision to maintain its overnight rate at 5% on Wednesday marks the sixth consecutive hold. This is solidifying a rate that has remained unchanged since July, now spanning nine months. With the next announcement slated for June 5th, Canadians are hoping to find relief but a level of uncertainty still remains and expectations continue to be on the move. With that said, there has been extended period of stability over the last year and possibly lasting until at least 2025 when the Bank projects inflation to finally reach its 2% target.Despite indications of excess supply in the Canadian economy, the Bank anticipates growth in the coming years, albeit amidst lingering inflationary pressures, particularly in the housing sector. Financial markets, however, foresee a departure from this status quo, anticipating a series of rate cuts starting in June. This speculation is fueled by mounting evidence of economic strain, including a recent uptick in unemployment, signaling potential challenges ahead.Meanwhile, south of the border, the US economy continues to outperform expectations, buoyed by robust consumer spending and resilient business activity, albeit accompanied by stubborn inflationary pressures. However, recent data suggests that the Federal Reserve may postpone rate cuts until September, as consumer prices continue to rise, prompting concerns about how that could impact the upcoming presidential election.The juxtaposition of economic indicators paints a complex picture, leaving analysts and policymakers grappling with the question of whether inflation can be tempered without triggering a recession. With each passing day, new data points emerge, fueling speculation and uncertainty about the future trajectory of interest rates and the possibility of recession.In Canada's largest city, Toronto, the real estate market faces mixed signals, with declining home sales but resilient prices, especially in the condo segment. Conversely, Calgary and Edmonton experience surging demand and dwindling inventory, driving substantial price appreciation and highlighting migration patterns influenced by affordability.Amidst these economic fluctuations, one thing remains clear: the road ahead is uncertain, and stakeholders must navigate a landscape fraught with both challenges and opportunities, as they await further developments in the months to come. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

In March 2024, the Canadian housing market experienced another notable increase in home prices, particularly in the condominium segment, which reached a new all-time high. This surge in prices reflects ongoing trends in the housing market, characterized by persistent demand and limited supply. The condominium market's resilience, despite broader economic conditions and rising interest rates, underscores the segment's attractiveness to buyers seeking relatively more affordable options in an increasingly expensive market.More and more we are hearing about rising mortgage delinquencies and When you consider the March 2024 statistics an analysis of Mortgage Delinquencies. Despite concerns about a potential mortgage renewal crisis, the data reveals that Canada's mortgage delinquency rate remains relatively low, especially compared to other countries like the UK and USA. The comparison offers insights into the robustness of Canada's housing market and its ability to weather economic fluctuations.Moreover, we explore the impact of inflation on mortgage interest costs, a significant factor influencing housing affordability. In Canada, where mortgage interest costs are included in the Consumer Price Index (not the case in most countries), the surge in these costs contributes to inflationary pressures, affecting overall affordability for homeowners.We also delve into the new 'Renters Bill of Rights' and its implications for rental housing providers. The government's initiatives to regulate the rental housing market are raising concerns among landlords, potentially affecting their profitability, usability and investment incentives for would be housing providers. This regulatory environment may lead to a slowdown in rental property development, exacerbating existing supply shortages in rental housing.Furthermore, the announcement of a $6 billion federal housing program aimed at funding provincial housing infrastructure signals government intervention to address housing affordability and supply issues, or at least attempt to. By incentivizing municipalities to adopt policies that promote housing development, the program aims to alleviate supply constraints and stimulate construction activity - such as putting a freeze on development costs for the next 3 years.February 2024 housing stats are also out and we delve into them in detail on this week's podcast, providing additional insights into market dynamics, including sales volumes, new listings, inventory levels, and the sales-to-active ratio. Despite fluctuations in these indicators, largely to the upside, the overarching trend reflects a market that is skewed towards sellers, with limited inventory and high demand contributing to rising home prices.Looking ahead, the housing market remains a hot topic amidst tight inventory and rising prices despite lending conditions. Anticipated adjustments in response to potential interest rate movements underscore the market's sensitivity to economic factors, policy changes and of course, affordability. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

Anxious about the Vancouver real estate market in 2024? Co-Founder and CEO of Domus Homes, Richard Wittstock, isn't and chances are that he's seen more market cycles than you! In fact, in his 30+ year career, Richard has learned one thing over and over again: Don't bet against the Vancouver real estate market. Richard joins Matt & Adam this week in-studio for a wide-ranging conversation about the past 5 years in Vancouver real estate, the current state of the market, and his purposeful approach to building missing middle homes. How's the market? Where does Richard see opportunities? And what product type is quickly replacing single-family detached. This is a master class on Vancouver real estate. Listen up.

In this episode, we unpack the latest developments in Vancouver's real estate market and the broader economic landscape. Home prices in Vancouver have experienced an unexpected surge, breaking a six-month downward trend. Despite this, the Bank of Canada (BOC) has maintained its interest rates at 5%, leading to alarming trends such as increased mortgage arrears and a shocking spike in corporate bankruptcies.The BOC's decision to hold rates at 5% was expected, with the central bank highlighting slow economic growth and easing wage pressures. While there's a possibility of rate cuts in the future, some critical data points suggest the need for more aggressive action. Markets are pricing in three cuts this year, but the BOC's historical tendencies may result in a delayed response.Insolvency data is revealing a concerning picture, with business insolvencies reaching levels not seen since 2006. Corporate bankruptcies are particularly alarming, hitting a monthly high of 570 in January, far surpassing the long-term average of 170. This downturn in the business sector is leading to a decline in private sector payrolls and a five-quarter negative trend in per capita GDP, signaling a potential recession...Mortgage arrears are on the rise, reaching 0.18%, a 28% increase from the 2022 low. Although still below pre-pandemic levels, the 500-mortgages in arrears increase is the largest since 2020, indicating potential challenges ahead. However, the impact on the Vancouver housing market remains relatively muted, with residents not rushing to sell their homes despite the higher rates.The local real estate market in February witnessed a 14% increase in total sales compared to the previous year, reaching 2,070 units—the highest since August 2023. However, this surge is still 23% below the 10-year average, suggesting a selective hyperactivity driven by low inventory. New listings increased by 31% year-over-year, bringing total inventory up by 6% and shockingly, the active inventory is sitting 0.3% above the 10-year average, indicating a potentially sustained low-inventory environment.The sales-to-active ratio experienced a significant 6% increase, reaching 23%! This marks a return to a sellers' market after five months. This trend is evident across property types, with detached, townhomes, and apartments all experiencing notable increases. Prices also rebounded after a six-month decline, showing a remarkable 1.9% increase in the HPI in February.Despite economic challenges and sounding like a broken record, the Vancouver housing market remains resilient. Home prices are inching closer to peak 2022 levels, defying the two-year interest rate hike cycle. With a median price of $960,000 and average price of $1,279,000, the market is showing signs of strength. However, warnings from market experts, suggest that broader economic issues might not be fully reflected in the BOC's decisions.As the market forges ahead, we explore the implications of tightened inventory and the potential impact on buyers. Investment houses provide a cautionary perspective, hinting at larger economic problems than acknowledged by the BOC. With corporate insolvencies rising and employment numbers under threat, the broader economic outlook remains uncertain and we urge you to consider a holistic view beyond central bank statements. _________________________________ Contact Us To Book Your Private Consultation:

Should YOU invest in Vancouver real estate right now? This week, Matt and Adam unpack the Vancouver investment thesis and explain the market conditions that make Vancouver an exceptional city for real estate investors. What's driving demand? What makes increasing supply so challenging? And what do past market cycles tell us about the future? Bonus: what have been the best investment areas over the past decade and where are the opportunities for investors right now? All this and some filler on today's great episode! 

We are just weeks out from the slowest year in British Columbia real estate in more than a decade. So long, 2023! Now all eyes turn to the year at hand: what exactly will happen in 2024? You want answers? We got answers!BCREA Chief Economist Bredon Ogmundson sits down with Adam & Matt to not only detail his Vancouver real estate predictions for 2024 but also his take on the future of the BC economy, unemployment, inflation & interest rates over the coming year.Do inventory levels rise alongside 2024 mortgage renewals? Do interest rate reductions lead to a big rebound in demand? And which markets does the BCREA Chief Economist bet on for 2024 appreciation? There is a reason Brendon has become our go-to guest at the start of any year. Tune in to find out why!