Podcasts about industrials

Mike Wilson, our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, and Dan Skelly, Senior Investment Strategist at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, discuss the outlook for the U.S. stock market in 2026 and the most significant themes for retail investors. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Mike Wilson: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson. Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Daniel Skelly: And I'm Dan Skelly, Senior Investment Strategist for Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. Mike Wilson: Today we're going to have a conversation about our views on the U.S. stock market in 2026, and what matters most to retail investors in particular. It's Monday, December 8th at 9am in New York. So, let's get after it. Dan, it's great to see you. We always talk about the markets together. I think this is a great opportunity for us to share those thoughts with listeners. Our view coming into this year is still pretty bullish for 2026. We've been bullish on [20]25 as you have, probably for, you know, similar – maybe some slightly different reasons. I think one of our differentiating views is that we do think inflation is still a major risk for individual investors. And institutional investors, quite frankly, which is why stocks have done so much better. A concept, I think you're well aware of. And I think, you know, the risk for retail is that there's going to be; it's going to be volatile. So, point-to-point, we're still bullish as you are. How are you thinking about managing that point-to-point path? And how are you structuring your portfolio as we go into 2026 with a bullish outlook – but understanding that it's not always going to be smooth. Daniel Skelly: So, like you said, we've also shared this view that next year's going to be positive, albeit there's going to be more volatility. And when I think about the two main risks that retail investors are facing today, one of them is definitely inflation. We're seeing that in services. We're seeing that in housing. We've had the labor market shrink over the recent couple of quarters, so who knows if wage inflation pops up again. But there are ways to definitely hedge against that in an equity portfolio. We think, for instance, owning parts of the AI infrastructure cohort is one of the ways of hedging, whether that be in utilities, pipelines, energy infrastructure in general. These are areas that we think are a necessary hedge against inflation risk. And number two are a positive diversifier. And second key point, Mike, just thinking about that diversification comment. Look, we all know that in many ways the Mag 7 – and the technology strength that we've seen this past year – has driven a fairly concentrated market. I think what people, particularly on the individual side, are recognizing less is just how much AI cuts across many other sectors in parts of the market. And again, we think that risk of over concentration is still out there. And we like the idea of thinking of embedding natural diversification into the equity portfolio. Mike Wilson: Yeah. I mean, it's interesting. Inflation, you know, is part of that story too because AI is somewhat disinflationary or deflationary. I think, you know, investing in things that can drive higher productivity even away from AI can mitigate some of that risk in the economic outlook. But if I think about, you know, the Mag 7 dominance, and just this concentrated market risk, which you spoke about. If inflation re-accelerates next year, which, you know, is one of our core views as the economy improves – doesn't that broaden out the opportunity set? And you know, like there's been this idea that, ‘Oh, you have to own these seven stocks and nothing else.' I mean, part of our view for next year is that we think the market's going to broaden out. How are you set up for that broadening out? And how are you thinking about picking stocks and new themes that can work – that maybe people aren't paying attention to right now? Daniel Skelly: Yeah, it's a great point, Mike. And so, on the first topic, we do think there's broadening, and that's a combination of factors. Number one is just the market becoming more convicted about the Fed cutting path, which we've talked about, and the firm's view reaffirms for next year. Number two is starting to see some of the benefits of deregulation, right, which should impact maybe some of the more cyclical sectors out there – Financials, Energy being two of them. Maybe seeing more M&A activity too as a byproduct of deregulation. And that should bode better for mid- and maybe small caps as well as they receive a M&A premia in the valuations. And I know you've talked about small caps recently in your commentary. But last point I'll make Mike, and it comes back to AI. It almost feels like AI is this huge inflationary ramp at first to get to that deflationary nirvana down the road – with productivity. I think one of the key factors we think about, in terms of a bottom-up perspective, which is what we focus on in across the portfolio, is definitely pricing power. Who owns the pricing power and the key data and the key AI adoption outlook in order to absorb all the different tools and technology diffusion we've seen in the last three years. And that's going to play out, Mike, as you well know, across a variety of sectors and themes. So, agreed, we should see broadening for all those varying reasons. Mike Wilson: So, I mean, there are a couple areas I think, where we overlap. Financials…Daniel Skelly: Yep. Mike Wilson: Industrials, Healthcare, some of the themes that I think we both; we share our bullish views. And what do you think those areas are, within those sectors? You think that you have a differentiated view maybe than the consensus being Financials, Industrials, Healthcare? That the market may be missing, which offers more upset? Daniel Skelly: Sure. I'll start with Financials, which has been an overweight call for us for some time, as I know it has for you as well. And I think that kind of cyclical re-acceleration in the economy is one part. I think the Fed cutting is another part. I think deregulation is clearly another driver. Fourth Capital Markets recovery, which we have seen now. We had a little bit of a technical lull with the government shutdown in terms of filings and issuance, but we see all of the pipeline indicators, indicating green lights for next year in terms of recovery. I think the one thing I would argue that I've observed in looking at all of our vast data sets is that despite all these different bullish factors, this still maybe has been a theme or a sector that investors have traded in and out of, right? I don't think I've even seen like a real strong, consistent overweight. So, I think number one, that's an opportunity. And last point is, listen, there's different sub-sector bifurcation going on, as you know, within the industry, whereas money centers and large banks are performing really well. The same is not the case of regionals and alts managers. And there are varying reasons for that. But we would even argue, Mike, there could be catchup trades within the sector next year. Mike Wilson: Yeah, I would agree on that. I mean, the regional over money centers and actually regionals over alt managers, because I mean – I think the Treasury Secretary has talked about this, you know. Trying to get the regulated banking system kind of back in the game may actually be an opportunity to take share back from some of those alt managers, which have actually done quite well. What about on Healthcare? We upgraded that back in the summer. I think you've been constructive on parts of Healthcare, right. Wwhat do you think people are missing there and why could that be a good sector for next year? Daniel Skelly: Yeah. We were definitely, I'll say, earlier than you and wrong. You had really good timing in terms of your Healthcare upgrade last summer. And look, the sector was out of favor for two years. What we think we observed in the kind of July-August period is: First and foremost, I think we got past the point of maximum policy concern and risk. And ironically, we saw some kind of nominal or surface level deal signed with the government around most favored nation pricing. And it was really, not a lot to write home about. It wasn't as egregious as a policy inflection as some had feared. So, I think that was the first key catalyst. Second, we just saw a really good revisions breadth. And I know this is a comment you make a lot in your work. But we saw across big pharma, tools and life science, medical technology, and devices. We saw really good positive earnings revisions coming out of third and even starting the second quarter. Thirdly, I think if you're talking about an M&A in capital markets recovery, you can't not talk about Healthcare. I think that's a space that'll be ripe for deal making. And then just fourth, right? Look, as the market broadens out, and as people are stopping or maybe slowing the crowding and the key leadership, they're going to go again from AI enablers to AI adopters. And we think AI is going to be a vector that cuts across the Healthcare industry in a really positive way. Mike Wilson: Yeah, I mean, the efficiencies that are, you know, possible in the Healthcare sector seem immense. I mean, it, it appears to me that that's going to be an area where there's probably some new solutions, some new companies we don't even know about yet. So, to me that's a very exciting area that's been dormant for quite a while. What about Consumer, Dan? It's been this K economy. It's been very bifurcated, you know, high-end versus middle-income, lower-income. I mean, what are the themes within consumer that you're finding in putting to work in your portfolio? Daniel Skelly: Yeah. We've talked a lot, Mike, in the last year or so about playing Consumer platforms, particularly domestically oriented versus global consumer brands. And there's a couple of key drivers behind that. But first, when you look at what's going on in consumer land, and Simeon Gutman's been a really good, kind of, analyst looking at this theme over time. In many ways it's starting to resemble the Mag 7 in terms of winner take all phenomena. If you look at some of the major consumer big box platforms, they're taking 50- 60 percent of share of total retail sales. Just a couple of companies. So, number one, we're really focused on platforms where market share gains, free cash flow and revenue – recurring revenue – in particular, are leading to even stronger competitive moats, particularly in a capital-intensive industry. And what we've observed about retail is that as those leaders in big box areas take more share, they can reinvest that winning capital in their advertising growth in their online channel and widen their moats even more. Secondly though, in order to have a positive theme, I've always said you got to fund it from somewhere. And so, what we've observed again over the last year or so is – when I think about some of the even highest quality global brands they've suffered seeing less traction in China. And that's amid less of a willingness from Chinese consumers to own American and European brands. There's a lot to that, but I think culturally, obviously the trade war, the AI war for prominence leading to maybe some of that lack of cultural traction. Secondly, we've also, I think, started to see the growth of AI tools start to weigh on established brands. I think what makes a brand cool and the barriers to entry in terms of creating brands is going to go down in the future because of AI influencing and advertising tools. And so, simply put, we continue to like, Mike, the big box consumer platforms across, clothing and food, housing, across e-commerce. That continues to be one of our higher conviction themes. Mike Wilson: All right, Dan, I want to come back to, kind of, AI infrastructure. I mean, AI spending has been the big, big theme. But there's other types of infrastructure spend and CapEx. It's been dormant, quite frankly, and with the [One] Big Beautiful Bill [Act] perhaps incentivizing some of that. How does that play into your thought process around other industrial stocks that could benefit? Daniel Skelly: Absolutely, Mike. You cited the AI infrastructure spending. We think continues kind of unimpeded going into next year. Number two, we think the Fed cutting, just creating better financing conditions in terms of bigger projects. You mentioned as well, the fiscal incentives. And look, I think Chris Snyder has been spot on the last year or so talking about reshoring production wins coming back to the U.S. I don't think this is certainly as cognizant on the – or on the minds of individual investors. Maybe not even institutional investors. But the U.S. is winning manufacturing production share and has been for some time. And we've seen that no doubt ramp up post the announcement of the [One] Big Beautiful Bill {Act]. No doubt. But we think that has implications, Mike, for stocks and stock picking within what we would call, kind of, shorter cycle themes. And I think whether that be in Logistics and Transports or HVAC or some of the Non-Resi, Non-Datacenter related verticals. There are a whole bunch of stocks that have been kind of dormant for two to three years as we've been in this ISM recession that we think could certainly wake up next year as things broaden out. Mike Wilson: Yeah, we would agree with that. And I guess lastly, you know, there's always this Johnny come lately, you know, fear factor of, ‘Well … stocks are up a ton. My neighbor's bragging how much money they're making. So, I must have missed it all.' And I think embedded within that is this fear of valuation. The valuations are now very rich. What's your response to individual clients about – it's not too late, they haven't missed it. It's still a bull market. In fact, we would argue a new bull market began in April with a new economic cycle. What is your response to those folks who have that angst? Daniel Skelly: Two things. One is the market today looks totally different than it did in the past, and AI is no doubt one big part of that. The composition of the market in many ways is higher quality, less debt, more recurring revenue. Big call option on productivity coming from AI earnings, power, et cetera. So, we think the market should trade at richer levels than it did in the past, point number one. Point number two, we would say whereas most people say time is your friend – for individual investors, they would also say valuation is no short term or short run indicator, but it's the best long run indicator. And looking at today's, again, extended levels of valuation relative to history – they would say that's not going to play out well over the long run. I would actually take the other side of that. I think that the earnings and the economic potential unleashed not just from AI, but some of these fiscal and monetary policies could create tremendous margin earnings potential in the long run. And so, I think today we're looking at a level of multiples that appears artificially high. And based on what could be a big earnings inflection point in that multi-year timeframe could frankly just be superficially high. Mike Wilson: Well, Dan, it's always great to get your perspective. I always enjoyed chatting with you. Daniel Skelly: Likewise. Mike Wilson: Thanks for coming on the show and sharing it with our listeners. It's great to see you. Daniel Skelly: Thanks Mike. Mike Wilson: And thanks to our listeners. Thanks for tuning in and let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out.

Despite disappointing economic data, treasury yield dynamics, particularly the widening 2-10 spread, are supporting financial and industrial stocks, making a year-end market grind higher plausible. Justin Bergner notes that a hawkish Federal Reserve rate cut is likely, conditioning the market for less frequent cuts. He highlights regional banks and short-cycle industrial stocks as potential opportunities, given their underperformance and improving macro indicators.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The ASX 200 dropped 49 points to 8565 (0.6%) after a promising start. US futures in the negative hurt sentiment, together with Japanese losses on higher rates coming. Losses pretty much across the board, CSL fell 1.4% on vaccine concerns, the banks wilted with the Big Bank Basket down to $262.95 (0.7%). ANZ falling 1.3% and financials under pressure, HUB down 4.5% and NWL falling 4.0%. MQG dipped 0.4%. REITS slid with SGP down 2.3% and VCX off 1.2%. Industrials also sliding, TLS down 1.2% with CPU falling 3.3% and REA off 0.8%. Tech slipped, WTC down 2.6% and TNE falling 2.1%. Retail also in the doldrums, TPW resumed the dive, off 7.3%, APE similarly off 2.1% and NCK down 3.0%.In resources, Iron ore majors held firm, gold miners were mixed despite bullion rising, EVN down 1.9% and lithium stocks depressed, PLS off 3.2% and MIN down 3.9%. Oil and gas stocks rose, WDS up 0.9% and uranium stocks mixed.In corporate news, AUB smashed 17.8% lower as the bid was withdrawn, TWE has cleared the decks for the new CEO with a $687m impairment on US goodwill. PME dipped 1.6% on another order, the ASX itself had issues this morning with its announcement platform falling 2.8% as many stocks were put into a trading halt.Nothing on the local economic front. Japan opened the door a little further on rate rises.Asia markets mixed, Japan down 1.8%, China up 0.8% And HK up 0.8%.10-year yields pushing to 4.56%.US futures – Dow down 267 Nasdaq down 273. The holiday season is over.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

The ASX 200 drifted lower today in listless trade finishing down 3 to 8614. Up 2.4% this week. Banks eased back with the Big Bank Basket down to $264.84 (-1.1%) as CBA dropped 1.3% and ANZ down 1.4%. SUN continued lower on storm damage. Other financials rose with NWL up 0.7% and GQG rising 2.0%. Industrials mostly better, WES up 0.6% with WOW up 3.2% as tech did well today. WTC rallied another 4.7%, though XRO down 0.7%. The All-Tech Index was up.In resources, gold miners once again the stars of the show. NEM up 2.0% and VAU gaining 2.7% as lithium stocks also did well. PLS up 2.5% and MIN up 2.2% Uranium stocks slightly better, but oil and gas stocks drifted down.In corporate news, CTD remain in suspension on accounting issues, WBC fell 0.8% on a NZ fine, and SGR unchanged on a cleansing prospectus to allow Bally shares to trade on market.Nothing on the economic front. Asia markets flat, Japan up 0.3%, China up 0.2% And HK up 0.1%.10-year yields pushing to 4.53%.US futures – Dow up 52, Nasdaq up 46.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

The ASX 200 gave up its strong start to close up 70 points to 8607 as the higher-than-expected CPI number took the top off things. It was a monthly number, so can be more volatile, but 3.8% was above RBA and economist's expectations. Banks were mixed with CBA steady as NAB and WBC dipped down. The Big Bank Basket rose to $266.89 (+0.1%). MQG had a good day, up 2.8% and wealth managers also pushed ahead, HUB up 1.9% and NWL up 1.3%. Insurers mildly positive, SUN up 0.8% with REITs mixed, GMG up 1.3% but elsewhere losses as bond yields pushed higher. SCG off 0.5% and CHC down 0.4%. Industrials were firm, WES up 1.9% with retail surprisingly strong, JBH up 1.0% and APE rising 1.4% with TPW crashing 32.3% on a trading update. Fast food also better, GYG and DMP doing well, Travel stocks also better, WEB up 3.4% and FLT gaining 2.3%. Tech stocks continue to stumble around, WTC down 1.2% and XRO off 0.1% with TNE falling 2.8%.  The All-Tech Index steady.In resources, iron ore stocks pushed higher, BHP up 2.0% and FMG up 2.4% with gold miners shrugging off early weakness to push higher, VAUDA did well, up 6.5% after the hedge book news, lithium stocks exploded, PLS up 7.2%and MIN up 3.0% with oil and gas better and small gains in uranium.In corporate news, Brookfield lobbed a bid for NSR at 286c. That is three bids this week. Debutante SEA rose 12.5% after a $20m IPO. EOS jumped 3.6% after a court penalty and DRO was up 8.5% again after its recent order.On the economic front, as above, the CPI was higher than expected at 3.8%. Chalmers and Bullock not happy.Asian markets were firm, although Taiwan in focus on fears of further Chinese aggression.10-year yields rose to 4.53% on CPI. AUD rose too.UK Budget today. European markets opening higher.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you.If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

Far from the traditional image of industrials as an old economy, slow growth, low innovation sector,  many of these companies have changed beyond recognition in recent years. Equity investment  analyst Sebastian Siersted focuses on the European industrials space and outlines why he feels  businesses in this part of the world have an innovation head start on peers around the world and  are well insulated against any future tariff threat. #CapGroupGlobal This content is intended to highlight issues and be of a general nature. It should not be considered advice, an endorsement or a recommendation. Products mentioned are not an offer of the product and may not be available for sale or purchase in all countries. All investments have risk, and you may lose money. Past results are not a guarantee of future results. Statements attributed to an individual represent the opinions of that individual as of the date published and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Capital Group or its affiliates. Investing outside the United States involves risks, such as currency fluctuations, periods of illiquidity and price volatility. These risks may be heightened in connection with investments in developing countries. For our latest insights, practice management ideas and more, subscribe to Capital Ideas at getcapitalideas.com. If you're based outside of the U.S., visit capitalgroup.com for Capital Group insights. Watch our latest podcast, Conversations with Mike Gitlin, on YouTube: https://bit.ly/CG-Gitlin-playlist This content is published by Capital Client Group, Inc., and copyrighted to Capital Group and affiliates, 2025, all rights reserved.  For more information, including our detailed disclosures, visit www.capitalgroup.com/global-disclosures. U.K. investors can view a glossary of technical terms here: https://bit.ly/49rdcFq To stay informed, follow us: LinkedIn: https://bit.ly/42uSYbm YouTube: https://bit.ly/4bahmD0 Follow Mike Gitlin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mikegitlin/About Capital Group Capital Group was established in 1931 in Los Angeles, California, with the mission to improve people's lives through successful investing. With our clients at the core of everything we do, we offer carefully researched products and services to help them achieve their financial goals. Learn more: capitalgroup.com Join us: capitalgroup.com/about-us/careers.html Copyright ©2025 Capital Group

A quieter day as the ASX 200 rose 12 points to close at 8537 (0.1%). Banks were in the doldrums, entering official correction territory as BEN AML issues sunk the sector, CBA dropped 1.2% and NAB off 0.1% with the Big Bank Basket down to $266.70 (0.7%).  Other financials fell, Insurers eased, QBE off 1.5% and IAG falling 1.7%. REITs drifted lower, GMG down 0.7% and VCX off 1.6%. Industrials were a little weaker, WES fell 0.8% with WOW and COL easing back, tech slid, WTC off 1.5% and TNE showing a modest 1.6% gain. The All-Tech Index up 0.8%. Resources were generally positive. BHP rose 1.0% with RIO doing well, up 2.3% and FMG gaining 2.7%. Gold miners enjoying a big jump in AUD bullion, NST up 2.0% and EVN up 3.5% with the uranium sector slightly better and lithium fighting back to square. In corporate news, DRO rose 14.6% on a ‘new' EU order, RHC jumped 12.7% after reported revenue and earnings better than expected. WEB took flight after a 72% jump in TTV and SRG romped 6.4% higher on some new contracts. VAU rose 2.2% as it unwound most of its gold hedges. BEN dropped 7.4% on AML issues.In economic news, ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rose slightly. Highest reading since early September.Asian markets: Japan steady China up 1.3% and HK up 0.6%. European markets set to open higher again.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you.If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

A solid start to the week with the ASX 200 up 109 points to 8525 (1.3%). Across the board gains, with US futures pointing slightly higher too. Banks were better led by CBA up 1.2% and the Big Bank Basket up to $268.55 (1.1%). Financials were generally firm, even GQG up 0.6% and SOL rising 1.8% as it joined with Genesis to make a bid for MVF at 80c. Insurers rose, QBE up 1.4% and REITs did well, GMG up 2.1% and SGP rallying 2.3%. Industrials in the green, WES up 0.2% and ALL rising 0.5% with TCL up 2.0% and RMD up 2.2% better in healthcare. CSL too had a good day. PME rose 3.5% on new orders in America.  TLS rose1.9 % and REA up 1.9%. Resources were mostly better, BHP up 0.6% with its on/off bid for Anglo, RIO rose 1.1% and FMG up 1.9%. Lithium stocks gave back some recent gains, MIN down 3.2% and PLS down 3.6% with gold miners up, GMD up 1.3% and rare earths also doing better. Oil and gas stocks slid on crude falls, WDS down 1.3% and uranium stocks slightly better.In corporate news, QUB were approached by Macquarie with a 520c NBIO whilst MVF rose 44.3% on a 80c bid. MYX returned to trade after the Treasurer knocked back the Cossette bid. DRO rose 1.8% after some more news on the recent share sales and a new US MD. IRE soared 8.0% before a trading halt concerning continuous disclosure.Asian markets weaker with Japan closed for a holiday, China down 0.6% and HK up 1.4%.European markets set to open higher again.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you.If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

The ASX 200 dropped another 136 points to finish at 8417, bring total losses for November to 5% so far – placing it on track for the worst month since September 2022. Resources were pummelled, BHP fell 3.2% on Chinese ore embargoes with RIO off 3.2% and FMG tumbling 5.5%. Gold miners were also hit hard despite bullion holding up, NEM down 6.1% and EVN off 4.5%. Lithium stocks saw selling back in aggressively, LTR down 8.4% and PLS off 6.9%. Base metal stocks and rare earths in trouble too, ELV down 11.8% and ILU down 11.6%. Energy stocks also under pressure, WDS down  2.7% and STO falling 3.0%. Industrials were less affected, TCL down 1.4% and GMG off 3.6% with WES down 1.4% and retail falling after LOV down 13.8% on guidance and AX1 crashing 15.4% on similar negative guidance. Banks saw selling, CBA held firm, the other three off, the Big Bank Basket down to $265.65 (%). Other financial slid, HUB down 3.3% and NWL off 4.5%. Tech was mixed, WTC gained 2.4% on reaffirming guidance at the AGM. The All-Tech index falling 0.8%.In corporate news, MYX saw its shares halted after a big fall and the Treasurer knocking back the bid. KGN rose slightly on an update, REH better despite a 18% fall in EBIT. WJL got BGH to pay 91c in the takeover battle. In economic news, nothing locally, Japanese inflation came in stronger than expected.  Asian markets weaker with Japan down 2.5%, China down 1.9% and HK down 2.1%.European markets set to open weaker again.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you.If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

Parker Weil is Executive Managing Director, Co-Head of Global Corporate and Investment Banking Coverage at TD Securities (TDS), and sits on the CIB Executive Management Committee. He is responsible for overseeing the business' global strategy, managing key relationships, and leading high-profile transactions to drive business growth and market expansion.   Prior to this, Parker was the Co-Head of the Financial Sponsors Group which manages the firm's relationships with Private Equity firms, Family Offices, and Independent Sponsors. He has over 30 years of experience providing M&A advice and capital raising services to companies in the manufacturing, energy & power, and business services industries. Prior to TD Cowen, Parker served as Managing Director and head of the Industrials and Natural Resources investment banking group for Stifel Financial Corp. He previously held roles at Bank of America Merrill Lynch and Salomon Brothers. Parker currently serves on the Board of Directors of 180 Degree Capital Corp. He has also served on Clean Energy Fuels and on the Board of Trustees of the Ridgewood Lacrosse Association.   Parker holds a BA in Economics from the University of Pennsylvania and an MBA from the Kellogg Graduate School of Management at Northwestern University.

Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains why he continues to hold on to an out-of-consensus view of a growth positive 2026, despite near-term risks.Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today I'll discuss our outlook for 2026 that we published earlier this week. It's Wednesday, Nov 19th at 6:30 am in New York. So, let's get after it. 2026 is a continuation of the story we have been telling for the past year. Looking back to a year ago, our U.S. equity outlook was for a challenging first half, followed by a strong second half. At the time of publication, this was an out of consensus stance. Many expected a strong first half, as President Trump took office for his second term. And then a more challenging second half due to the return of inflation. We based our differentiated view on the notion that policy sequencing in the new Trump administration would intentionally be growth negative to start. We likened the strategy to a new CEO choosing to ‘kitchen sink' the results in an effort to clear the decks for a new growth positive strategy. We thought that transition would come around mid-year. The U.S. economy had much less slack when President Trump took office the second time, compared to the first time he came into office. And this was the main reason we thought it was likely to be sequenced differently. Earnings revisions breadth and other cyclical indicators were also in a phase of deceleration at the end of 2024. In contrast, at the beginning of 2017—when we were out of consensus bullish—earnings revisions breadth and many cyclical gauges were starting to reaccelerate after the manufacturing and commodity downturn of 2015/2016. Looking back on this year, this cadence of policy sequencing did broadly play out—it just happened faster and more dramatically than we expected. Our views on the policy front still appear to be out of consensus. Many industry watchers are questioning whether policies enacted this year will ultimately lead to better growth going forward, especially for the average stock. From our perspective, the policy choices being made are growth positive for 2026 and are largely in line with our ‘run it hot' thesis. There's another factor embedded in our more constructive take. April marked the end of a rolling recession that began three years prior. The final stages were a recession in government thanks to DOGE, a rate of change trough in expectations around AI CapEx growth and trade policy, and a recession in consumer services that is still ongoing. In short, we believe a new bull market and rolling recovery began in April which means it's still early days, and not obvious—especially for many lagging parts of the economy and market. That is the opportunity. The missing ingredient for the typical broadening in stock performance that happens in a new business cycle is rate cuts. Normally, the Fed would have cut rates more in this type of weakening labor market. But due to the imbalances and distortions of the COVID cycle, we think the Fed is later than normal in easing policy, and that has held back the full rotation toward early cycle winners. Ironically, the government shutdown has weakened the economy further, but has also delayed Fed action due to the lack of labor data releases. This is a near-term risk to our bullish 12-month forecasts should delays in the data continue, or lagging labor releases do not corroborate the recent weakness in non-govt-related jobs data. In our view, this type of labor market weakness coupled with the administration's desire to ‘run it hot' means that, ultimately, the Fed is likely to deliver more dovish policy than the market currently expects. It's really just a question of timing. But that is a near-term risk for equity markets and why many stocks have been weaker recently. In short, we believe a new bull market began in April with the end of a rolling recession and bear market. Remember the S&P [500] was down 20 percent and the average S&P stock was down more than 30 percent into April. This narrative remains underappreciated, and we think there is significant upside in earnings over the next year as the recovery broadens and operating leverage returns with better volumes and pricing in many parts of the economy. Our forecasts reflect this upside to earnings which is another reason why many stocks are not as expensive as they appear despite our acknowledgement that some areas of the market may appear somewhat frothy. For the S&P 500, our 12-month target is now 7800 which assumes 17 percent earnings growth next year and a very modest contraction in valuation from today's levels. Our favorite sectors include Financials, Industrials, and Healthcare. We are also upgrading Consumer Discretionary to overweight and prefer Goods over Services for the first time since 2021. Another relative trade we like is Software over Semiconductors given the extreme relative underperformance of that pair and positioning at this point. Finally, we like small caps over large for the first time since March 2021, as the early cycle broadening in earnings combined with a more accommodative Fed provides the backdrop we have been patiently waiting for. We hope you enjoy our detailed report published earlier this week and find it helpful as you navigate a changing marketplace on many levels. Thanks for tuning in. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!

The ASX 200 started positively to fade to a loss of 21 points to 8454 (0.3%). Banks showed weakness with more slippage as the Big Bank Basket fell to $264.08 (-1.3%) CBA off 1.3% and ANZ down 2.0%. MQG continues to slide, down 1,4% and HUB off 1.1%. GQG is enjoying a rare moment in the sun, up 9.1% as it is pursuing an anti-AI tilt. Insurers eased, REITs were slightly firmer, GMG bouncing back 1.1% and VCX up 2.0%. Industrials were mixed again, ALL up 0.8% and LNW gaining 4.4%. Retailers fell, TPW down another 2.3%. GYG continues to suffer, off 4.3%, DMP down 0.2% as the shorts move back in. Tech found some bargain hunters, WTC up 0.4% and TNE stumbling around. Unchanged in the end. In resources, we saw a rebound in BHP and FMG, gold miners were back with bullion up to $6280 and EVN up 2.0% with GMD up 2.9%. Lithium stocks paused, rare earth stocks rose, Oil and gas stocks rose, WDS up 1.2% and uranium stocks modestly better. In corporate news, DRO, down 19.6%, shot out of the air as its US head left in a hurry. WJL got a 90c NBIO offer from Helloworld, NUF soared 10.8% on stronger guidance and KMD rose 2.1% on Q1 sales.In economic news, wage growth came in as expected at 3.4%. Asian markets quietly mixed with Japan up 0.1%, China up 0.2% and HK down 0.5%.European markets set to open weaker.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you.If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

A nasty start to the day accelerated to a loss of 167 points (-1.9%) on the ASX 200 as RBA minutes and US futures took us down. The big three sectors were hit hard with the iron ore miners smacked. BHP off 3.7% on UK court ruling and RIO off 2.7% with FMG falling 2.0%. Energy stocks also slipped, WDS down 1.9% with STO off 0.6% and uranium stocks under pressure. Gold miners too sold off as bullion slipped, NST down 5.6% and EVN down 5.2% with lithium the only sector that saw any green. PLS up 3.3% and LTR up 2.1%. Banks were also sold down hard, WBC fell 3.0% and CBA down 1.7% with the Big Bank Basket falling to $267.54 (-1.8%). Financials also in the seller's sights, NWL fell 6.2% and MQG off 1.7%. Insurers fell, QBE down 1.4% and REITS under pressure too. GMG off 3.0% as a tech play on data centres. Industrials saw across the board selling, WES fell 1.2% and REA off 2.4% with CAR falling 3.2% as TLS down 0.2%. Tech stocks were decimated after TNE disappointed, off 17.2% despite a special dividend. WTC fell 4.6% and XRO tumbled 3.3% with the All-Tech Index down 4.3%. In corporate news, JHX rallied 9.9% on better-than-expected results, AGM's dominated. BSL fell 1.7% on EBIT to land at the bottom of guidance range. CAT tested a life with a 11.7% fall on a growth rate of 19%. ALQ fell 2.9% on better numbers. PLT was a rare bright spot after a jump in first half profits, up 6.8%. On the economic front, RBA minutes took rate cuts off the table. Australian consumer confidence rose 0.7% too.  Asian markets weaker with Japan down 2.9%, China down 0.3% and HK off 1.6%.European markets set to open weaker.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you.If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

Today we are joined by Nic Munoz.  He is someone worth listening to for a few reasons: 1. He has studied countless "Great" individuals throughout history. He is a wealth of information. 2. He has built a successful online brand, standing out in the competitive education space. 3. He has a clear understanding of his strengths, and the mission he wants to dedicate his life to. We hope you enjoy the conversation. Check out Nic's Website here: https://www.nicmunoz.com Read my thoughts every Tuesday: https://maxdepth.beehiiv.com/subscribe  00:38 Ernest Shackleton and Fridtjof Nansen 4:35 Early Lives 15:30 The Industrials vs Modern Founders 18:00 Making Humans Interplanetary 28:30 Interests, Intentions, and Effectiveness 38:15 Life as Art 1:00:00 Dostoyevsky

Andrew Almeida argues that the current market is not in a bubble and thinks the AI story will continue and trickle into other sectors. He likes Cisco (CSCO) and thinks investors should be holding the Mag 7. In addition, he likes midcap financials and industrials, anticipating lower rates for the former and AI-fueled investment in the latter. He sees a Santa Claus rally ahead and thinks investors should stay in the market rather than sit on the sidelines.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The ASX 200 slipped again by 19 points to 8800 (0.2%) as CBA continued to weigh, off another 3.1% with the Big Bank Basket down to $279.76 (-1.6%). Joining in the casualty list were 360 off 13.1% on disappointing numbers and ALL down 7.5% as it came up lemons. Our dismal tech sector continues to slide as XRO head lower still, off 2.2% and WTC down 0.8%. REA fell 2.5% and CAR down 1.0%. Industrials were ok, TCL up 0.5% and WES gaining 0.7% with COL and WOW better, TLS gained another 0.4%. GYG continue to be wrapped lower, down 2.0% and TPW also fell hard today, off 4.4%.In resource land, iron ore improved in Asian trade, BHP up 0.6% and RIO sprinting 2.3% ahead. Gold miners were modestly better, NST up 1.4% and EVN up 2.0%. Lithium stocks better, LTR up 6.1% on its new auction platform, MIN roared 9.2% ahead on selling part of its lithium business to POSCO. LYC slid 2.7% with uranium stocks weaker. Oil and gas stocks better with WDS up 1.4%. Coal stocks weaker. In corporate news, FLT rose 1% on an earnings update, NWL fell 0.4% after surviving a protest vote at the AGM, MP1 resumed trade after capital raising. A1N dropped 9.7% on much weaker ad revenue. DMP rose 1.8% after an AGM update.In economic news, investor loan numbers, in Asia hopes for more Chinese stimulus helped iron ore prices higher.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

The ASX 200 fell 17 points to 8824 (0.2%) as CBA stumbled 6.6% lower on trading update.  Every 1% is a 10-point fall. This wiped any thoughts of gains off the table. The Big Bank Basket fell to $284.31 (-3.8%). WBC bucked the trend in the banks, up 1.3%. Financial generally flat, MQG up 0.7% and QBE rising 0.6%. Industrials generally firmer, TCL up 1.0%, WES up 0.6% and WOW and COL slightly firmer. REITs firmed, GMG up 1.5% and SGP rising 1.3%. TLS also had a good day up 1.0%. Tech remained becalmed,.XRO flat and WTC off 0.3%. The All -Tech Index flat. Resources were firm. BHP, RIO and FMG were steady, but gold miners showed strength, NST up 3.2%, NEM up 4.3% and GMD rising 2.8%. Lithium stocks were also very strong, PLS up 7.5% and MIN up 6.0%. Oil and gas better, WDS up 1.6% and uranium stocks steady. In corporate news, CBA was the focus. Comments from Matt Comyn on competition and a reduction in NIM sent the stock down %. SCG rose 0.7% on a trading update. BEN also falling hard on cash earnings of $120,7m down 8.5%.  COL flat on CEO comments at the AGM. EDV announced a new head of Dan Murphy's.Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index surged 12.8% to 103.8 points in the past month. Asian markets easing back slightly. Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

The ASX 200 kicked 66 points higher to 8836 (0.8%) as news of a Senate vote to end the shutdown brought risk appetite back. ANZ results helped the banking sector as the market warmed to the transformation story, with the stock hitting record highs, up 3.2%. The Big Bank Basket rose to $295.69 (0.2%) with CBA slipping slightly.Financials were better, as MQG found some analyst love and ZIP rose 4.5% on Nasdaq listing news. NWL rallied 2.4%, with XYZ bouncing hard, up 6.9%. Insurers firmed; REITs were mixed, with GMG down 1.3% and SCG up 0.7%.Healthcare was also mixed as CSL fell 0.1% and RMD rose 0.6%. Industrials perked up after a lacklustre start, TLS up 0.6% with QAN rallying 2.3%, and the tech space doing well — WTC gained6.2 % and XRO rose 1.0%, with the All-Tech Index up %.Resources were also in demand — gold miners kicked higher, NST up 3.5% and EVN up 3.9%. Lithium stocks enjoyed a day out, PLS up 9.2% and MIN gaining 4.0%. Rare earth stocks were back in favour, LYC up 4.8% and ARU rallying 7.8% to its SPP price. Energy stocks were also in demand, WDS up 1.2% and PDN rose 7.9%, with LOT up 5.9% as uranium found favour.In corporate news, MND rose 11.0% on a trading update, DOW hit a five-year high on a solid opening higher $750m Chevron deal, and DNL exploded 7.8% higher on improved results. AUB flat on news that CVC Asia joined the fray. AGL rose 1.6% after it agreed to divest its stake in Tilt Renewables. MYX fell 5.9% on news Cosette will appeal the court decision.Asian markets – HK up 0.9%, China off 0.1% and Japan up 1.3%.  US futures strong on shutdown hopes. Nasdaq up 307 Dow up 98. European markets set for a strong opening. Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

The ASX smashed lower to finish the week off 59 points at 8770 (0.7%), with the week down 1.2%. Felt like a lot more really!  Banks came under pressure, coming off all-time highs as MQG was dumped 5.7% and WBC and CBA fell hard. The Big Bank Basket dropped to $295.13 (-1.1%). Financials and wealth managers continued to fall, with NWL off 2.6% and AMP down 2.9%. REITs were a mixed bag — GMG steady, while CHC slipped 1.2%. Industrials slid, with SGH down 1.6% and ALL off 2.0%, while the tech sector came under serious pressure — WTC down 2.7% and XRO off 2.5%. The All-Tech Index fell 2.2%.TLS bucked the trend on defensive buying, up 1.2%, while QAN landed 6.6% lower after an update. Resources were weaker too, as the big miners sold off — BHP down 0.8% and RIO off 1.3%. Gold miners were mixed, with NEM up 1.8% and EVN down 0.7%. Some buying appeared in rare earths, but uranium came under a little pressure.In corporate news, XYZ dropped 15.8% on a Q3 revenue miss, QAN fell again on a trading update, and OML slipped 6.0% after warning of a weaker finish to the year. REA came under pressure on results, but NWS rallied slightly on its own. AQZ crash-landed 42.7% after a voluntary suspension ended with a large profit drop and the MD stepping down. MQG became the latest blue-chip loser to be skewered, on disappointing results.On the economic front, nothing locally, but Chinese trade numbers disappointed and iron ore dropped again in Singapore trade.Asian markets - HK down 1.1%, China off 0.2% and Japan down 2%.  US Futures off lows, Nasdaq up 40 Dow up 50. European markets set for a slightly lower opening. Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

Tim is a co-founder and Managing Partner at Angeles Equity Partners.  Tim is responsible for overseeing all aspects of the firm's investment activities. Prior to co-founding Angeles Equity Partners in 2014, Tim co-led the Industrials vertical at The Gores Group with Jordan Katz. Tim was responsible for leading due diligence efforts, driving operational transformation and providing portfolio company oversight.  During his tenure at Gores, Tim served as the Chairman and/or Chief Executive Officer of numerous portfolio companies, and was a member of both the Management and Investment Committees.  Prior to Gores, Tim spent two years at Gateway, where he was responsible for the revenue and margin performance of Services, Software, and Enterprise Products in the Professional Business Unit. Prior to Gateway, Tim spent more than five years at Bain & Company, where he led numerous strategy, M&A and operational improvement engagements for corporate and private equity clients.  Before that, Tim served in various sales leadership and transformation positions at AT&T and began his career with IBM. Tim received a B.A. in Finance from Texas A&M University and an M.B.A. with a concentration in Entrepreneurial Finance from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.

The ASX 200 managed to cling to small gains today, up 26 points to 8828 (0.3%).NAB fell 3.3% after results saw some profit-taking on low growth, WBC down 1.2% as it went ex-dividend. Insurers were better, with QBE up 1.7% and MPL up 0.8%, while other financials remained sloppy and weak.Industrials generally mixed — TLS up 0.6%, TCL up 0.8%, and ALL rising 1.3%, with WES slipping 1.2% again, and JBH falling 3.1%. Travel stocks also fell, WEB down 2.7% and FLT losing altitude, off 1.4%.One bright spot was LNW, up 8.2% on a better-than-expected quarterly. DMP also gained 4.7% as shorts covered, just in case. Tech was slightly firmer as WTC rallied 0.6% and XRO up 0.5%, with the All-Tech Index up %.Resources firmed — BHP up 1.6% despite iron ore falling again, RIO also doing well. Gold miners were better on a bullion price increase, NST up 2.8% and NEM rising 2.8%. Rare earths were still under some pressure, as was the uranium space, while oil and gas firmed, WDS up 1.6%.In corporate news, ZIP fell 4.2% after its AGM reaffirmed guidance — perhaps the market was looking for another upgrade. JHX tumbled again, down 12.7%, as it went into a trading halt and blamed index rebalancing for the earlier sell-off. TAH dropped 3.0% as Aware Super sold down, and AMC rallied 5.0% on first-quarter results.On the economic front, Balance of Payments data was released today, showing the seasonally adjusted balance on goods increased by $2.827bn in September.Asian markets - HK up 1.6% China up 1.3% and Japan bouncing 1.6% 10-year yields squeezed to 4.36%.US Futures, Nasdaq down 19. Dow up 13. Tesla vote tonight.European markets set for a flat opening.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

The ASX fell another 12 points to 8802, well off lows, as resources were slammed hard. The market finished well off the lows of the day as US futures recovered from heavy early losses. Banks held up again, CBA up 1.3% and the Big Bank Basket up to $297.93 (+0.9 % ). MQG dropped 0.4%, and financials were mixed — ASX up 1.6% and GQG off 1.7% again. Insurers saw small gains, SUN up 0.6% and MPL up 1.2% on an acquisition. Industrials were mixed, TLS rose 1.5% with BXB recovering slightly, WOW and COL rose, and TCL up 0.8%. Tech stocks fell, XRO off 0.9% and WTC continuing to fall off 1.4%. The All-Tech Index was down 1.7%. Healthcare stocks were mixed — CSL fell 0.4% despite a briefing on vaccines this morning, RMD up 0.6%, and PME slipping 1.4%.Resources tumbled, BHP off 0.5% with FMG down 2.5%, though well off the lows. Gold miners saw small losses even as bullion pushed higher. Lithium stocks fell hard, PLS down 3.3% and MIN off 3.4%. Rare earths saw heavy losses, LYC off 3.3% and ILU down 3.6%. Second-liners like ARU fell 5.7%, well below the SPP placement price of 28c.In corporate news, TYR appointed Nigel Lee as new CEO, GMG fell 3.4% on an AGM update. WDS looking to boost cashflow.Nothing on the economic front here. Asian markets crumbled in places — the Nikkei 225 dropped the most since April, as tech valuations came under scrutiny.Asian markets - HK up 0.1% China up 0.1% and Japan down 1.5% 10-year yields 4.31%. US Futures off lows, Nasdaq down 52. Dow up 56.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

Today's guest is Emily Nguyen, Head of Industrials and Warp Speed at Palantir Technologies. Emily joins Emerj Editorial Director Matthew DeMello on the show to discuss the realities of AI adoption on the factory floor. Despite rapid advances in AI, many manufacturers still rely on legacy systems, siloed data, and even pen-and-paper processes. Emily shares insights from her 12 years at Palantir on how to bridge these gaps, connect critical functions, and build organizational readiness for AI. Want to share your AI adoption story with executive peers? Click emerj.com/expert2 for more information and to be a potential future guest on the 'AI in Business' podcast!

The ASX 200 dropped another 81 points to 8814 (0.9%) as the RBA kept rates unchanged as expected. Banks and iron ore miners synchronised falls, with the Big Bank Basket down to $295.15 (-0.4%). WBC saw buyers up 1.5% on broker comments post the result. CBA down 0.8%. Insurers and financials slid, MQG down 0.8% and QBE off 0.7%, with SOL continuing to flounder off another 1.7%. REITs under pressure again, GMG off 1.9% and SGP falling 1.1%. Industrials weaker with some exceptions, DMP, LNW and PWH in the green. WES lost another 0.8% with JBH off 1.9% and SUL falling 2.8%. Tech eased back again, XRO down another 1.6% and WTC falling 1.5%.In resources, iron ore miners under pressure with prices off in Asia. BHP down 1.9% and FMG dropping 2.7%. Lithium and rare earths seeing profit taking, LYC down 1.2% and MIN off 2.3%. Gold miners were generally steady. Oil and gas eased, WDS down 0.7%, and uranium stocks fell back to earth.In corporate news, GEM fell 13.0% on an earnings update, LNW to delist from Nasdaq, CCX jumped 8.8% on positive momentum in trade. NVX crashed 10.6% as Stellantis pulled out of its agreement.On the economic front, the RBA left rates unchanged. Capital Economics believes the Reserve Bank will still lower interest rates twice next year, with the first reduction coming in the third quarter.Asian markets mixed, HK up 0.2%, China down 0.4% and Japan down 0.5%. 10-year yields 4.34%. US Futures easing back, Dow off 189 and Nasdaq falling 218.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

The ASX 200 started badly down some 40 points but rallied to close up 13 at 8892 (0.2%). Once again it was the banks that led the turnaround with WBC numbers pleasing and the sale of the RAMS Home Loan book also a positive. The bank closed up 2.8% with the Big Bank Basket at $297.33 (+2%). CBA kicked up 2.3% and other financials were mixed. REITs slid with GMG down 0.2% and SGP off 0.8% and insurers also fell, QBE down 1.2%. Industrials ended up mixed, after a sluggish start, WES up 0.3% and REA bouncing 1.1%. Tech stocks did better, WTC up 0.6% and XRO rallying 2.3%. In the healthcare space, RMD fell 4.3% on its results, CSL continued to drag the sector down, off another 1.7%.Resources were weaker on Chinese data, BHP down 0.2% and rare earths spluttered lower, LYC off 8.1% and lithium depressed, PLS down 5.2% and LTR off 0.4%. Gold miners eased back as bullion tested $4000, NST down 2.0% and EVN off 2.5%. Oil and gas stocks rose as crude pushed ahead, WDS up 1.3% and STO up 1.1%, uranium drifted lower, PDN down 2.0%.In corporate news, DRO steady on a Latin American order, DMP rose 0.2% after selling its printing business.Asian markets mixed, HK up 0.1%, China up 0.2% and Japan up 0.9%.10-year yields 4.35%. US futures slightly higher.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

In this episode of Private Markets 360°, we welcome Scott Wolff, President and Managing Director at American Securities. With over two decades at the firm, Scott has played a pivotal role in shaping investment strategies, particularly within the industrial sector. Scott shares invaluable insights into the current deal environment, the innovative application of AI solutions to enhance operational efficiencies, and the importance of developing internal talent within portfolio companies. His extensive experience provides a unique perspective on the complexities and potential of private investments in today's market.   Credits:  Host/Author: Chris Sparenberg, Jocelyn Lewis Guests: Scott Wolff, American Securities Producer: Georgina Lee Published With Assistance From: Feranmi Adeoshun www.spglobal.com www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence

The ASX 200 dropped another 41 points to 8886 as interest rate sensitive stocks fell and WES dropped 7.1% on AGM comments. Banks held firm as we await details from APEC on the Trump/Xi Meeting which was all over in 90 minutes. The Big Bank Basket held at $289.37 (+0.1%), with insurers slipping and financials a little wishy washy. REITs tumbled as rates rose, GMG down 1.3% and SCG off 2.9% on rate rethink. Industrials were also weaker, ALL fell 2.2% with WOW gaining 3.3% at the expense COL down 2.6%. REA continued to fall, down 2.6%. TLS off 1.4% and tech stocks fell again, XRO down 2.6% and WTC down another 2.6%. TCL slid 2.4% with JBH under pressure following a trading update. CSL found some friends, up 5.2% but RMD and COH fell.In resources, a mixed picture, gold miners were spotty. Some ok, some not, NEM gained 1.3% and RRL up 1.2% with uranium stocks still in fashion (for now). PDN up 5.9% and lithium stocks benefitting from broker upgrades to the lithium price. PLS up 5.4% and LTR gaining 11.2%.In corporate news, MIN soared 13.7% on much better-than-expected results, UNI fell 4.3% after an update and L1G returned to trade after capital raise and soared 11.7%. CIA also doing well on a quarterly in the iron ore space, up 9.9%. JHX fell 3.1% after losing the chair to a vote.In economic news, the BoJ held rates unchanged, Trump met Xi for 90 minutes to talk trade. Not sure that is long enough to really get into the ‘nitty gritty', but China seems to be happy to buy soybeans. Tariffs reduced from 57% to 47%. Not a huge deal really.Asian markets mixed, HK up 0.1% China down 0.3% and Japan up 0.5%10-year yields 4.23%. US Futures not doing much really. Yet.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

The ASX 200 dropped 86 points to 8926 (-1.0%) as inflation came in hotter than expected and snuffed out any rate cut hopes for next week. The banks bore the brunt, CBA down 2.1% and WBC falling 3.1% with the Big Bank Basket falling to $289.08 (-2.1%). Insurers fell, QBE down 1.6% and SUN off 2.0%. Other interest rate stocks fell, TCL down 1.9% and REITs under pressure, GMG down 1.4% and SGP off 3.9%. Industrials eased back, WES dropped 1.7% and ALL off 1.6% with WOW up 2.4% as COL fell 1.9%. CSL continued to decline down 4.0% and XRO falling 2.0% with the All-Tech Index off 1.4%. In resources, iron ore rallied, BHP up 1.3% and FMG up 1.0% and the gold sector doing much better, EVN up 2.4% and NST up 2.4%. Rare earths still under some pressure, ARU off 20.0% as the capital raise weighed, lithium stocks trying to push higher, PLS up 1.6% and the uranium sector soaring on a Cameco deal in the US and BOE jumped 19.8% on quarterly numbers, PDN up 11.3% and oil and gas flat.In corporate news, NCK gained 12.7% on strong Q1 ANZ sales. WOW up 2.4% on quarterly sales, SDR rose 2.5% on a trading update. On the economic front, underlying inflation came in stronger than expected at 3%. Rate cuts are off for 2025. Trimmed mean of 1% QoQ. Well above the forecast 0.6%.Asian markets generally firm, Nikkei 225 up 1.9%, HK up 0.1% and China up 0.4%. 10-year yields 4.23%. US Futures mixed. Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

The ASX 200 fell 43 points to 9012 (0.5%) as resources were sold off heavily. Two blue chip casualties today too in CSL on a downgrade and delays to its demerger plans and WTC on ASIC raid on offices. Both falling heavily, CSL off 15.9% and WTC down 15.9% too. The All-Tech Index fell 1.1%. Gold miners under serious [pressure again today with NEM down 4.1% and NST falling 3.1% as bullion fell below US$4000. The Iron ore majors fared better with small losses, but rare earths dropped in a brutal sell down, LYC fell 13.9% and ILU down 5.2% with lithium stocks back on the chopping board as LTR dropped 12.8% and PLS fell 6.1%. Oil and gas stocks eased, WDS down 1.7% and uranium stocks fell, PDN down 4.4% and DYL off 2.5%. Banks though and other defensives were in demand. CBA up 1.4% and NAB rising 2.5% with the Big Bank Basket back up to $295.24 (+1.4%). Insurers gained too. QBE up1.5 % and SUN up 2.2%. Broker AUB got a NBIO from Swedish private equity, up 5.9% and SDF rose in sympathy. Industrials firmed, WES pushing ahead again, up 2.8% TLS up1.0 % and COL gaining 1.6%. In healthcare CSL weighed and tech stocks fell, WTC being responsible. In corporate news, media speculation on Bain Capital bidding for all or some of DMP saw the stock rocket before denial and profit taking killed it, still up 7.2%. FLT fell 0.9% as it sold its Cross Hotels business. On the economic front, Trump was in Japan meeting new PM Takaichi as the Fed kicks off its meeting tonight.Asian markets mixed ahead of framework trade deal, Japan down 0.8%, with HK and China mildly positive.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

The ASX 200 rose 37 points to 9056 (0.4%) after flirting with a new record high. Banks came off the early boil somewhat, CBA up 0.8% and the Big Bank Basket up to $291.17 (+0.7%). Financials generally were firm, ZIP up 3.0% and XYZ 1.8% higher. REITS too were a little better, GMG up 0.9% and SCG up 0.2%. Industrials generally were solid, ALL up 1.8% and QAN took off, up 3.4% with BXB also doing well, up 1.2%. COL and WOW slightly better and tech mixed, WTC down 0.6% and XRO up 0.9% as the All-Tech Index rose 0.4%. In resources, it was a mixed picture, iron ore majors firmed, BHP up 0.7%, gold miners were mixed on quarterly results, NEM continued to see profit taking post the quarterly, down 3.1% and RMS fell 5.7% on quarterly. Rare earths remain under pressure as the US and China edge closer to a trade deal. LYC down 2.4% and ILU off 6.9%. Oil and gas stocks slightly higher, STO up 1.4% with uranium mixed. In corporate news, NXL dropped 16.8% on the CEO resigning, PNV bounced 3.9% as the chair fell on his sword and VEA fell 4.3% on cigarette sales drop. AUB jumped 12.1% on takeover rumours from Swedish PE. On the economic front, Chinese industrial companies saw their earnings surge the most in nearly two years. Asian markets firmed on trade hopes. Japan up 2.1% China up 1.1% and HK up 1.0%.Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you. If you're looking for personal financial advice, our friends at Clime Investment Management can help. Their team of licensed advisers operates across most states, offering tailored financial planning services.  Why not sign up for a free trial? Gain access to expert insights, research, and analysis to become a better investor.

Eric Criscuolo, Market Strategist at the NYSE, recaps a week defined by a sharp momentum meltdown across high-beta and speculative assets. Meme stocks, crypto miners, and quantum computing names saw steep declines before rebounding on news of potential government investment. Precious metals like gold and silver also dropped from recent highs amid overbought conditions and macro uncertainty. Despite the volatility, major indices stabilized, supported by strong earnings and sector rotation into Energy, Healthcare, and Industrials. The week closed with optimism as markets regained footing and investors looked ahead to key economic data and trade developments.

Listen to an interview with the keyboardist, composer, and computer music pioneer Brad Garton. He's best known for his work with the legendary West Lafayette, Indiana punk band Dow Jones and The Industrials, but Garton's work in music spans from progressive rock to experimental composition.  Brad Garton was raised in Columbus, Indiana, in a family with strong local ties. His father, Robert D. Garton, served for decades in the Indiana State Senate. Garton joined Dow Jones and The Industrials while studying pharmacology at Purdue University, earning the nickname “Mr. Science” for his innovative use of synthesizers and electronic sound effects.  Following his work in punk rock, Garton moved into the world of computer-assisted composition. He earned a Ph.D. in music composition from Princeton University in 1989, and later joined the faculty at Columbia University, where he served as Director of the Computer Music Center, formerly known as the Columbia-Princeton Electronic Music Center.

I went down AI rabbit holes yesterday testing out theories. Whether you pay for the tools or not, you should be using them. Here are the links to all the sales: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TRENDSPIDER - The best charting software EVER - just over $50/month with my link ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Episode 495 Last Friday' panic didn't last long.  I've been hoping for a pullback to buy the dip; but even if that doesn't happen, that just reiterates the strength of this market.  Bottom line, leadership remains strong and it's mostly focused on the ancillary AI trade.  What I call the convergence of Industrials and Tech. Sign up for free ALERTs & Market Commentary at:  https://www.investablewealth.com/subscribe/ ------------------------------------------------------

Sabadell té 724 teulades d'amiant als polígons industrials

“Everyone's too greedy,” Chris Watling says, “the market is primed” for a pullback. “You never know what the spark is,” he adds. However, he would buy on a dip – but he warns traders to get an idea of the size of the dip before they get in. He expects a soft landing rather than a recession. Chris still likes U.S. large caps, but is also looking to emerging markets. On the other hand, he would sell gold in favor of industrial commodities.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

This episode is sponsored by Brookfield In recent years, industrials and manufacturing companies have attracted relatively modest levels of interest from private equity managers. However, a reappraisal may now be overdue. In the US and other developed markets, trade tariffs and the need for more resilient supply chains are driving a resurgence in homegrown industrials. And given the advent of new technologies – including artificial intelligence – the opportunities around reimagining processes and finding valuable efficiencies could be huge. In this episode, Anuj Ranjan, CEO of Brookfield's private equity group, and David Bonasia, a managing partner and head of operations for the firm's Americas group, explain why industrials could offer excellent openings for PE investors. After all, companies in this space tend to avoid the drastic swings in valuations that have been problematic for investors in other sectors, they say. And with AI on hand to boost value creation efforts, there's plenty of upside to capture.

Across the industrials space, M&A activity ranges from ‘challenging yet steady' to highly robust. Following RBC's Global Industrials Conference 2025, this episode of Strategic Alternatives examines the mood of the sector. Joshua Rosenbaum, Global Head of Industrials, leads the specialists in assessing which sub-sectors are showing strength, and whether solid balance sheets and a potentially benign regulatory environment can set the stage for a broader wave of deals.

In this episode of Talk Money To Me, Candice Bourke and Felicity Thomas sit down with Shaw and Partners Senior Research Analyst Philip Pepe to unpack Australia's industrial sector following the FY25 reporting season.We cover:Key reporting season takeaways across the ASX industrials sectorHow companies are navigating inflation, rising costs, and the energy transitionStrong results from Southern Cross Electrical (SXE), Tasmea (TEA), SRG, and IPD Group (IPG)The outlook for engineering services, infrastructure, and data centresEmerging clean energy opportunities across Calix (CXL) and Hazer Group (HZR)Philip's top stock picks for 2026 and how investors should be positioning now

The SPX opened at an all-time high, as Kevin points to a bullish cross in the index adding support to the move. He's keeping an eye on the 6,530 as a support level based on past price action. After the PPI ticked lower, he urges investors to keep an eye on the industrials sector as it reaches a key technical point. Kevin later highlights levels to watch for the homebuilders group.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Under the time-tested market strategy, the Dow Theory, market strength requires Industrials and Transports to move in sync. While Industrials have held firm, persistent weakness in the Dow Transports is flashing warning signals. For many investors, that divergence suggests cracks beneath the surface of the broader market rally and raises questions about sustainability. Chuck Carlson, CEO of Horizon Investment Services and publisher of HorizonInvestment.com, joins Andy Giersher on the Gains podcast to discuss the details. Make sure to subscribe to us on the Audacy app; leave us a review and rate us on Apple Music, too! Have a question for host Andy Giersher? Tweet him @Giersh. Never miss an episode from us! Hit the follow button on our Instagram and Twitter."

Rates & Fed Policy: Markets are overly optimistic on rate cuts; inflation remains sticky, keeping the Fed cautious (DeepMacro).Equity Positioning: Systematic funds are heavily tilted toward equities, with allocations at or near record highs (MenthorQ).China Equities: Narrowing gap between H-shares and A-shares signals opportunity; liquidity and household cash provide strong support (HSBC).Market Breadth: Short-term indicators are overbought, but long-term breadth remains healthy (Dantes Outlook).Fixed Income: Attractive yields unlikely to return to pre-pandemic lows; belly of the curve (5–6 year maturities) offers a balance of income and rate risk (Vanguard).Municipals & Credit: Municipal bonds and investment-grade credit stand out as high-quality, inexpensive options.Equities: Active managers struggle against the Magnificent Seven; indexing provides a strong foundation, while Industrials, Financials, and Healthcare offer selective momentum opportunities (Morningstar, Dantes Outlook).Takeaway: Stay disciplined, revisit bond allocations, and avoid overstretching for yield or risk.

European bourses opened mostly firmer but now display a mixed picture; NVDA +0.5% into earnings.DXY rises following prior day's losses and risk aversion; Aussie fails to benefit from earlier upside post-CPI.USTs steady, Bunds/Gilts are bid albeit with little newsflow, but as the risk tone dipped a touch.Industrials trade softer on risk aversion, gold holds its ground despite Dollar strength.Looking ahead, Comments from Fed's Barkin, Supply from the US, Earnings from NVIDIA, Snowflake, CrowdStrike, HP Inc. & Kohl's.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Healthcare stocks have been under a lot of pressure of late as markets continue in rotational moves. Healthcare has been basing, going back to April; not going up, not going down, just traveling sideways. Meanwhile, Technology has been doing very, very well...and getting very, very over bought (looks a lot like the S&P 500). If we start to see a correctional move in the S&P, we could see a move to areas in which there is good fundamental value (like Healthcare), and also into areas that have been beaten up: They're not going down anymore, but they haven't been rising, either. These could catch some rotational action. Basic Materials, Industrials, and Transports all have been doing well as a result of the AI-chase and the associated infrastructure build-out. But Utilities, however, have been doing okay as a mixed bag of companies: These may come to be seen as a risk-off defensive play. Similarly, REIT's haven't gone anyway as a function of interest rates. There remains risk of a correction; timing is always the problem. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrBF8fbdFEo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRotation #Healthcare #Technology #BasicMaterials #Industrials #Transports #REIT #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Jonathan Sakraida has a Strong Buy rating on 3M (MMM) and a Buy recommendation on Honeywell (HON). However, both are selling off after their quarterly earnings report. Jonathan sees catalysts for both names, including coming spinoffs. Alex Coffey shows example options trades on both names.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Jul 22, 2025 – Fiscal stimulus is running hot, the Fed is still on the brake, and stocks refuse to quit—so what's really going on under the hood of the U.S. economy? Discover where the markets and economy are likely heading in the second half...

The dollar's bearish run is likely to affect U.S. equity markets. Michelle Weaver, our U.S. Thematic & Equity Strategist, and David Adams, our Head of G10 FX Strategy, discuss what investors should consider.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Michelle Weaver: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michelle Weaver, U.S. Thematic and Equity strategist at Morgan Stanley. David Adams: And I'm Dave Adams, head of G10 FX Strategy here at Morgan Stanley. Michelle Weaver: Our colleagues were recently on the show to talk about the impact of the weak dollar on European equities. And today we wanted to continue that conversation by looking at what a weak U.S. dollar means for the U.S. equity market.It's Thursday, July 17th at 2pm in London. Morgan Stanley has a bearish view on the U.S. dollar. And this is something our chief global FX strategist James Lord spoke about recently on the show. But Dave, I want to go over the outlook again, since Morgan Stanley has a really differentiated view on this. Do you think the dollar will continue to depreciate during the remainder of the year? David Adams: We do, and we do. We have been dollar bears this whole year, and it has been very out of consensus. But we do think the weakness will continue and our forecasts remain one of the most bearish on the street for the dollar. The dollar has had its worst first half of the year since 1973, and the dollar index has fallen about 10 percent year to date, but we think we're at the intermission rather than the finale. The second act for the dollar weakening trend should come over the next 12 months as U.S. interest rates and U.S. growth rates converge to that of the rest of the world. And FX hedging of existing U.S. assets held by foreign investors adds further negative risk premium to the dollar. The result is that we're looking for yet another 10 percent drop in the dollar by the end of next year. Michelle Weaver: That's really interesting and a differentiated view for Morgan Stanley. When I think about one of the key themes that we've been following this year, it's the multipolar world or a shift away from globalization to more localized spheres of influence. This is an important element to the dollar story.How have tariffs impacted currency and your outlook? David Adams: Tariffs play a key role in this framework. Tariffs have a positive impact on inflation, but a negative impact on U.S. growth. But the inflation impact comes faster and the negative impact on growth and employment that comes a bit later. This puts the Fed in a really tough spot and it's why our economists are pretty out of consensus in calling for both no cuts this year, and a much faster and deeper pace of cuts in 2026. The results for me in FX land is that the market is underestimating just how low the Fed will go and just how low U.S. rates will go, in general. Tariffs play a big role in helping to generate this rate convergence, and rate differentials are a fundamental driver of currencies. The more that U.S. rates are going to fall, the more likely it is that the dollar keeps falling too. Michelle Weaver: Tariffs have certainly impacted heavily on our view for the U.S. equity market and it's something that no asset class is not impacted by really. Given the volatility and the magnitude of the move we've seen this year, are foreign investors hedging more? David Adams: We do think they've started hedging more, but the bulk of the move is really ahead of us. Foreign investors own a massive amount of U.S. assets. European investors alone own $8 trillion of U.S. bonds and stocks, and that's only about a quarter of total foreign ownership of U.S. assets. Now when foreign investors buy U.S. assets, they have to sell their currency and buy the dollar. But at some point, you're going to have to bring that money back, so you're going to have to sell the dollar and buy back your home currency again. If the dollar rises over this period, you've made a gain, congratulations. But if it falls, you've made a loss. Now a lot of foreign investors will hedge this currency risk, and they'll use instruments like forwards and options to do so. But in the case of the U.S., we found that a lot of foreign investors really choose not to hedge this exposure, particularly on the equity side. And this reflects both a view that the dollar would appreciate; so, they want to take that gain. But it also reflects the dollar's negative correlation to equities. So, what's changing now? Well, a lot of investors are starting to rethink this decision and add those FX hedges, which really means dollar selling. Now, there's a lot of factors motivating their decision to hedge. One, of course is price. If U.S. rates are going to converge meaningfully to the rest of the world – like we expect – that flattens out the forward curve and makes those forwards cheaper to buy to hedge. But the breakdown in correlations that we've seen more broadly, the uptick in policy volatility and uncertainty, and the sell off in the dollar that we've already seen year to date, have all increased the relative benefit of FX hedging. Now, Michelle, I often get asked the question, that's a nice story, but is hedging actually picking up? And the answer is yes. The initial data suggests that hedging has picked up in the second quarter, but because of the size of U.S. asset holdings and given how much it was initially unhedged, we could be talking about a significant long-term flow. We have a lot more to go from here. Michelle Weaver: Yeah. David Adams: We estimated that just over half of Europe's $8 trillion holdings are unhedged. And if hedge ratios pick up even a little bit, we could be talking about hundreds of billions of dollars in flow. And that's just from Europe. But Michelle, I wanted to ask you. What do you think a weaker dollar means for U.S. companies? Michelle Weaver: The weaker dollar is a substantial underappreciated tailwind for U.S. multinational earnings, and this is because these companies sell products overseas and then get paid in foreign currency. So, when the dollar's down, converting that foreign revenue back into dollars, gives them a nice boost, something that domestic only companies aren't going to benefit from. And this is called the translation effect. Recently we've seen earnings revisions breadth, essentially a measure of whether analysts are getting more optimistic or pessimistic start to turn up after hitting typical cycle lows. And based on our house view for the dollar, there's likely more upside ahead based on that relationship for revisions over the next year. David Adams: Interesting. Interesting. And is this something you're hearing about from companies on things like earnings calls? Michelle Weaver: No, this dynamic isn't being highlighted much on earnings calls. Typically, companies talk about foreign exchange effects when the dollar's strengthening and provides a headwind for corporate earnings. But when we're in the reverse scenario like we are now with the dollar weakening and getting a boost to earnings, we tend to not hear as much discussion, which is why I called this an underappreciated tailwind. And according to your team's forecast, we still have a substantial amount of weakening to go and thus a substantial amount of benefit for U.S. companies to go. David Adams: Yeah, that makes sense. And who do you think benefits most from this dynamic? Are there any sectors or investment styles that look particularly good here? Michelle Weaver: Mm hmm. So generally, it's the large cap companies that stand to gain the most from this dynamic, and that's because they do more business overseas. If we look at foreign revenue exposure for different indices, around 40 percent of the S & P 500's revenue comes from outside the U.S., while that's just 22 percent for the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index. But the impact of a weaker dollar isn't the same across the board. Foreign revenue exposure and earnings revision sensitivity to the dollar vary quite a bit, when we look at the sector and the industry group level. From a foreign revenue exposure perspective, Tech Materials and Industrials have the highest foreign revenue exposure and thus can benefit a lot from that dynamic we've been talking about. When we look from an earnings revisions perspective, Capital Goods, Materials, Software and Tech Hardware have the most earnings revisions, sensitivity to a weaker dollar, so they could also benefit there. David Adams: So, I guess this brings us to the million-dollar question that all of our listeners are asking. What do we do with this information? What does this mean for investors? Michelle Weaver: So as the dollar, continues to weaken, investors should keep a close eye on the industries and companies poised to benefit the most – because in this multipolar world, currency dynamics are not just a macro backdrop, but an important driver of earnings and equity performance.Dave, thank you for taking the time to talk. And to our listeners, thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen to the show and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.

Another market rally Monday, flirting again with all-time highs. While there is nothing overall concerning about the markets, they're always setting up for some kind of rotation. There are a few things to pay attention to now. The market is being primarily driven  by three sectors: Industrials, Transportation, and Technology. Those secotrs have been outperforming relative to the S&P. Technology has been leading the charge, of late; Industrials have also been posting well. Both are tied to the AI buildout. What will happen next, as these sectors become over bought, is money moving to risk-off areas, like Staples, which have been under-performing lately. Money doesn't leave the market, it just changes where it goes. There is a pretty big deviation between the risk-on and risk-off trades.    Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=diYGZ_-lLMI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketRotation #Transportation #Technology #Industrials #AI #AIbuildOut #ArtificialIntelligence #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Stocks hold steady as tariff uncertainty continues. Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains how policy deferrals, earnings resilience and forward guidance are driving the market.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing why stocks remain so resilient. It's Monday, July 14th at 11:30am in New York. So, let's get after it. Why has the equity market been resilient in the face of new tariff announcements? Well first, the import cost exposure for S&P 500 industries is more limited given the deferrals and exemptions still in place like the USMCA compliant imports from Mexico. Second, the higher tariff rates recently announced on several trading partners are generally not perceived to be the final rates as negotiations progress. I continue to believe these tariffs will ultimately end up looking like a 10 percent consumption tax on imports that generate significant revenue for the Treasury. And finally, many companies pre-stocked inventory before the tariffs were levied and so the higher priced goods have not yet flowed through the cost of goods sold. Furthermore, with the market's tariffs concerns having peaked in early April, the market is looking forward and focused on the data it can measure. On that score, the dramatic v-shaped rebound in earnings revisions breadth for the S&P 500 has been a fundamental tailwind that justifies the equity rally since April in the face of continued trade and macro uncertainty. This gauge is one of our favorites for predicting equity prices and it troughed at -25 percent in mid-April. It's now at +3 percent. The sectors with the most positive earnings revisions breadth relative to the S&P 500 are Financials, Industrials and Software — three sectors we continue to recommend due to this dynamic. The other more recent development helping to support equities is the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill. While this Bill does not provide incremental fiscal spending to support the economy or lower the statutory tax rate, it does lower the cash earnings tax rates for companies that spend heavily on both R&D and Capital Goods.Our Global Tax Team believes we could see cash tax rates fall from 20 percent today back toward the 13 percent level that existed before some of these benefits from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act that expired in 2022. This benefit is also likely to jump start what has been an anemic capital spending cycle for corporate America, which could drive both higher GDP and revenue growth for the companies that provide the type of equipment that falls under this category of spending. Meanwhile, the Foreign-Derived Intangible Income is a tax incentive that benefits U.S. companies earning income from foreign markets. It was designed to encourage companies to keep their intellectual property in the U.S. rather than moving it to countries with lower tax rates. This deduction was scheduled to decrease in 2026, which would have raised the effective tax rate by approximately 3 percent. That risk has been eliminated in the Big Beautiful Bill. Finally, the Digital Service Tax imposed on online companies that operate overseas may be reduced. Late last month, Canada announced that it would rescind its Digital Service Tax on the U.S. in anticipation of a mutually beneficial comprehensive trade arrangement with the U.S. This would be a major windfall for online companies and some see the potential for more countries, particularly in Europe, to follow Canada's lead as trade negotiations with the U.S. continue. Bottom line, while uncertainty around tariffs remains high, there are many other positive drivers for earnings growth over the next year that could more than offset any headwinds from these policies. This suggests the recent rally in stocks is justified and that investors may not be as complacent as some are fearing. Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!

Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson explains why investors have largely remained calm amid recent developments in the Middle East.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing how to think about the tensions in the Middle East for U.S. equities. It's Monday, June 23rd at 11:30am in New York. So, let's get after it. Over the weekend, the United States executed a surprise attack on Iran's nuclear enrichment facilities. While the extent of the damage has yet to be confirmed, President Trump has indicated Iran's nuclear weapon development efforts have been diminished substantially, if not fully. If true, then this could be viewed as a peak rate of change for this risk. In many ways this fits our overall narrative for U.S. equities that we have likely passed the worst for many risks that were weighing on stocks in the first quarter of the year. Things like immigration enforcement, fiscal spending cuts, tariffs and AI CapEx deceleration all contributed to dragging down earnings forecasts. Fast forward to today and all of these items have peaked in terms of their negative impact, and earnings forecasts have rebounded since Mid-April. In fact, the rebound in earnings revision breadth is one of the sharpest on record and provides a fundamental reason for why U.S. stocks have been so strong since bottoming the week of April 7th. Add in the events of this past weekend and it makes sense why equities are not selling off this morning as many might have expected. For further context, we looked at 23 major geopolitical events since 1950 and the impact on stock prices. What we found may surprise listeners, but it is a well understood fact by seasoned investors. Geopolitical shocks are typically followed by higher, not lower equity prices, especially over 6 to12 months. Only five of the 23 outcomes were negative. And importantly, all the negative outcomes were accompanied by oil prices that were at least 75 percent higher on a year-over-year basis. As of this morning, oil prices are down 10 percent year-over-year and this is after the actions over the weekend. In other words, the conditions are not in place for lower equity prices on a 6 to12 month horizon. Having said that, we continue to recommend large cap higher quality equities rather than small cap lower quality names. This is mostly a function of sticky long term interest rates and the fact that we remain in a late cycle environment in which the Fed is on hold. Should that change and the Fed begin to signal rate cuts, we would pivot to a more cyclical areas of the market. Our favorite sectors remain Industrials which are geared to higher capital spending for power and infrastructure, Financials which will benefit from deregulation this fall and software stocks that remain immune from tariffs and levered to the next area of spending for AI diffusion across the economy. We also like Energy over consumer discretionary as a hedge against the risk of higher oil prices in the near term. Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found today's episode informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review; and if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!