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In an insightful interview with Bronwyn Nielsen, veteran scenario planner Clem Sunter discusses red flags in global geopolitics, from Biden's missile authorizations in Ukraine to Trump's unpredictable return. He delves into the rising tensions in Israel, the leadership challenges in South Africa, and the existential threat of climate change. With cautionary flags raised, Sunter emphasizes the urgent need for pragmatic leadership to steer the world and South Africa away from potential crises.
Tonight's BizNews Briefing dives into global tensions as Biden greenlights Ukraine's use of US missiles against Russia, raising concerns about World War III. Also featured: We Buy Cars' strong results, Clem Sunter's war scenarios, NASPERS' trading update, and the impact of food safety regulations on township businesses. Plus, get insights on PPC's progress and Neil de Beer's take on ANC dynamics.
In his keynote address at the BNC#6 conference, Clem Sunter delved into the intricate methodology of scenario planning, emphasising the importance of studying current challenges and adjusting interpretations based on evidence. He highlighted key global flags such as religious tensions, leadership dynamics, geopolitical risks, and climate change concerns. Sunter also addressed economic challenges, social polarisation driven by social media, and the looming impact of ageing populations. With a focus on South Africa, he discussed the upcoming pivotal election and the need for inclusive economic growth and infrastructure development. Sunter's insightful analysis provides a clear roadmap for navigating complex global challenges.
Today Mel interviews world-renowned futurist Clem Sunter, talking about the future of the franchise business, and offering advice for franchisees.
South Africa is home to one of the world's foremost scenario planners - an Oxford PPE and erstwhile top business executive who played a huge role in the late 1980s in steering the nation towards the High Road of negotiation, rather than a widely anticipated civil war. Now in his late 70s, futurist Clem Sunter's passion for the country is undimmed. But he fears that today's political and business leaders are not appreciating the arrival of the second watershed that was highlighted in the original High Road Low Road scenarios three decades back. In this absorbing interview he explains to BizNews's Alec Hogg what's really at stake in Election 2024. In short, that it's “the economy, stupid...” and without a 1980s-type refocus, this time to promote entrepreneurship, all of the Young Democracy's gains since 1994 will be lost Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
After listening to Kasonomics author GG Alcock's recent interview on the dynamism of township entrepreneurs, SA's globally respected futurist Clem Sunter prodded us into kicking off a series celebrating these emerging champions. The inimitable GG agreed to help, getting the ball rolling by bringing Refiloe Rantekoa into the BizNews studio to tell us his story. Rantekoa is no stranger to media coverage, having won Emerging Entrepreneur competitions that brought him to the attention of global news networks like Bloomberg and Al Jazeera. But his achievements haven't yet registered where he actually needs it. The township bakery entrepreneur is struggling to raise capital from State agencies whose sole purpose is to support emerging entrepreneurs. Given the obstacles he has overcome and the dreams of this 30-something business creator, it's a mystery where the bureaucrats think they will unearth a more deserving candidate for taxpayer support. Refiloe and GG spoke to Alec Hogg of BizNews. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Clem Sunter is in a league of his own. The former head of Anglo's Gold and Uranium Division (when it was the world's #1), the Oxford-educated futurist and prolific best-selling author is passionate about encouraging entrepreneurship. Particularly those resilient beings who overcome incredible odds by operating successfully in South African townships, a highly compeititve, under-researched and under-supported sector. Sunter has little time for State-imposed schemes that waste taxpayer money on favouring the creation of 'businesses' by the politically connected. Much better, he says, for government to recognise a veritable army of informal sector entrepreneurs building businesses and creating jobs where meritocracy rules. In this interview with Alec Hogg, Sunter lauds the insights of recent BizNews interviewee GG Alcock - suggesting his voice is the one should be heard above those of many empty vessels whom ignore the township economy and thus have little feel for what's really happening in South Africa. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Clem Sunter's article on the five key issues we need to pay attention to in the coming 12 months was extremely popular among the BizNews community, with more than 25 000 having read the piece within 48 hours of being published. In this in-depth interview with BizNews editor Alec Hogg, SA's top scenatio planner Sunter goes into greater detail on the things that keep him up at night - including the risk of World War Three.
Steven Nathan, founder of 10X and former top rated JSE investment analyst, shares his insights into what awaits investors in 2022. In discussion with BizNews editor Alec Hogg, Nathan offers a rational perspective on topical items ranging from mandatory vaccines and Clem Sunter's concerns at growing risks around WW3 through to Bob van Dijk's gigantic bet on his company's shares and tech stocks generally.
In this episode of the BizNews Power Hour, scenario planner Clem Sunter unpacks the big risks of 2022 including flagging the possibility of World War Three; Free thinking Steven Nathan explains why he is optimistic about 2022; Corion's David Bacher talks tech stocks and share performances; and the IRR's John Endres offers insights into the first volume of the Zondo Commission's report.
The Luxury of Conversation brought to you by Lexus LS500 and features Clem Sunter, author, scenario planner and strategist. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Scenario planner, Clem Sunter discusses on what happened in Afghanistan after the US removed their troops in the country. Bruce Whitefield goes through the interim financial results of Absa and Sasol with the company's top executives. And a seasoned stand-up comedian talks to us about her tumultuous past and her relationship with money. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Author of 'Thinking the Future', Clem Sunter, joins Alec Hogg to weigh in on the chaos currently gripping South Africa. Sunter says that "the red flag of [the] looting and destruction of shopping malls has just raised the odds on the second scenario and demonstrated that we are at a tipping point where urgent action to create a people's economy needs to be taken."
Author of 'Thinking the Future', Clem Sunter, joins Alec Hogg to weigh in on the chaos currently gripping South Africa. Sunter says that "the red flag of [the] looting and destruction of shopping malls has just raised the odds on the second scenario and demonstrated that we are at a tipping point where urgent action to create a people's economy needs to be taken."
In this episode of the BizNews Power Hour, Alec Hogg is joined by co-host Steven Nathan; Futurist Clem Sunter on the low or high roads that SA may follow; Institute of Race Relations outgoing CEO Frans Cronje on where the ANC is heading; a spotlight on the proposed firearm bill with Nicholas Lorimer and Gideon Joubert; founder of Safari Investments Francois Marais on township mall looting, and the BizNews Power Hour Team.
In this episode of the BizNews Power Hour, Alec Hogg is joined by co-host Steven Nathan; Futurist Clem Sunter on the low or high roads that SA may follow; Institute of Race Relations outgoing CEO Frans Cronje on where the ANC is heading; a spotlight on the proposed firearm bill with Nicholas Lorimer and Gideon Joubert; founder of Safari Investments Francois Marais on township mall looting, and the BizNews Power Hour Team.
Welcome to the Mel Viljoen Podcast! In this episode, Mel interviews world-renowned futurist Clem Sunter on the future of the franchise business and how individual franchise owners should behave like foxes in adapting to the unprecedented challenges posed by the pandemic and economic lockdown.
Dr Frans Cronje, CEO of the IRR - the thinktank that played a key role in educating ANC leaders and the demise of apartheid - says the ANC is in the midst of an existential crisis. But, before it disappears, it will push through legislation that paves the way for State Capture Round 2. Dr Cronje, who has worked with Clem Sunter and has a PhD in scenario planning, says the ANC takes the question of whether it can survive the decade very seriously - much more so than business leaders and political opponents. Policy reforms needed to fix the SA economy are too challenging for President Ramaphosa and team to effect - and they do not appreciate what's needed to restore growth to the upward trajectory last seen when Thabo Mbeki was president. The ANC's newfound power through land expropriation without compensation is set to trigger a sweeping seizure of many assets, says Dr Cronje, who steps down at the end of this year.
Dr Frans Cronje, CEO of the IRR - the thinktank that played a key role in educating ANC leaders and the demise of apartheid - says the ANC is in the midst of an existential crisis. But, before it disappears, it will push through legislation that paves the way for State Capture Round 2. Dr Cronje, who has worked with Clem Sunter and has a PhD in scenario planning, says the ANC takes the question of whether it can survive the decade very seriously - much more so than business leaders and political opponents. Policy reforms needed to fix the SA economy are too challenging for President Ramaphosa and team to effect - and they do not appreciate what's needed to restore growth to the upward trajectory last seen when Thabo Mbeki was president. The ANC's newfound power through land expropriation without compensation is set to trigger a sweeping seizure of many assets, says Dr Cronje, who steps down at the end of this year.
Clem Sunter, South Africa’s most highly regarded scenario planner and strategist, discusses climate change and ethics in a Q&A session with David Levinson, Senior Investment Analyst at Nedgroup Investments.
Clem Sunter is one of South Africa's most respected strategists, making an indelible mark on the birth of the new South Africa which followed his High Road scenario of negotiated settlement rather than the Low Road of political turmoil. In this in-depth interview with BizNews editor-in-chief Alec Hogg, Sunter - a prolific author of strategy books who had a successful career at Anglo American - examines the options that governments have as they start to lift lockdowns designed to contain Covid-19. Sunter also shares his assessment of the mixed signals we have been receiving from the data and research produced on the incidence and transmission of Covid-19 and its death rate. Like Stanford professor of medicine Prof Jay Bhattacharya, who also has a PhD in economics and has concluded that the Covid-19 figures guiding government policies need to be reworked, Sunter points to a delicate balancing act between suppressing economies to save some lives and re-opening business to protect others
Clem Sunter is one of South Africa's most respected strategists, making an indelible mark on the birth of the new South Africa which followed his High Road scenario of negotiated settlement rather than the Low Road of political turmoil. In this in-depth interview with BizNews editor-in-chief Alec Hogg, Sunter - a prolific author of strategy books who had a successful career at Anglo American - examines the options that governments have as they start to lift lockdowns designed to contain Covid-19. Sunter also shares his assessment of the mixed signals we have been receiving from the data and research produced on the incidence and transmission of Covid-19 and its death rate. Like Stanford professor of medicine Prof Jay Bhattacharya, who also has a PhD in economics and has concluded that the Covid-19 figures guiding government policies need to be reworked, Sunter points to a delicate balancing act between suppressing economies to save some lives and re-opening business to protect others
Will working from home become the new normal? Behavioural finance expert Dan Crosby, futurist Clem Sunter, Investec’s Marc Kahn and Stephen Koseff and other experts share their insights into what the workplace will look like post pandemic. Investec Focus Radio
Will working from home become the new normal? Behavioural finance expert Dan Crosby, futurist Clem Sunter, Investec's Marc Kahn and Stephen Koseff and other experts share their insights into what the workplace will look like post pandemic. Listen to more episodes in the series · Investec Focus South Africa
Will working from home become the new normal? Behavioural finance expert Dan Crosby, futurist Clem Sunter, Investec’s Marc Kahn and Stephen Koseff and other experts share their insights into what the workplace will look like post pandemic. Listen to more episodes in the series
In Episode Four our guest is a lad from Kensington in London whose chance meeting with a lass sitting on a wall in Cornwall sent him on an adventure that was to have a massive impact on South Africa's peaceful transition. Until fate intervened, the highlight of Clem Sunter's life had been playing on the undercard of a Rolling Stones concert at Oxford University as one half a folk music duo called Clem and John. Like other guests on this show, Clem was selected on the basis that if his story were captured in book form, it would likely be a bestseller. The only surprise is why South Africa's most famous futurist hasn't written that autobiography already. Clem Sunter is a prodigious written, having written 17 books, the most recent of which refer to how we can all learn from foxes in this world of warp speed change. Clem Sunter
BizNews — In Episode Four our guest is a lad from Kensington in London whose chance meeting with a lass sitting on a wall in Cornwall sent him on an adventure that was to have a massive impact on South Africa’s peaceful transition. Until fate intervened, the highlight of Clem Sunter’s life had been playing on the undercard of a Rolling Stones concert at Oxford University as one half a folk music duo called Clem and John. Like other guests on this show, Clem was selected on the basis that if his story were captured in book form, it would likely be a bestseller. The only surprise is why South Africa’s most famous futurist hasn’t written that autobiography already. Because apart from his other attributes Clem Sunter is also a prodigious writer, having produced 17 books, the most recent of which refer to how we can all learn from foxes, that most adaptable of animals.
BizNews — In Episode Four our guest is a lad from Kensington in London whose chance meeting with a lass sitting on a wall in Cornwall sent him on an adventure that was to have a massive impact on South Africa’s peaceful transition. Until fate intervened, the highlight of Clem Sunter’s life had been playing on the undercard of a Rolling Stones concert at Oxford University as one half a folk music duo called Clem and John. Like other guests on this show, Clem was selected on the basis that if his story were captured in book form, it would likely be a bestseller. The only surprise is why South Africa’s most famous futurist hasn’t written that autobiography already. Because apart from his other attributes Clem Sunter is also a prodigious writer, having produced 17 books, the most recent of which refer to how we can all learn from foxes, that most adaptable of animals.
Flags of the future to watch In our most recent Topco Business Unusual Podcast guest Clem Sunter, Topco CEO Ralf Fletcher discusses: What the future might hold. Clem Sunter Joined Anglo America in 1966 in London, through its gold division, then moved to its Zambia division and later moved with them to South Africa in 1973. Later he was tasked with devising different scenarios for future proofing the organisation. The latest pandemic has made the world incredibly vulnerable, we all have to be like a fox, In order to survive we need to be agile, adaptive & ready for new situations and change. We need to watch 4 main flags 1. The real driver of global economy - China & America relationship over the next 2 years. 2. level of inequality. If only the poor are affected, and the rich is unaffected then this will drive further inequality in South Africa. This is why SME's and entrepreneurs are so important. 3. Climate Change and reduction of certain animal species. The world is very fragile at the moment and our carbon emissions are going to play a huge role in our recovery. 4. The chance of a war. this may be less likely. Further to this, if you are a Fox you need to keep diversified, in terms of assets and investments. We also have not seen any real data yet, so we need to be cautious.
Flags of the future to watch In our most recent Topco Business Unusual Podcast guest Clem Sunter, Topco CEO Ralf Fletcher discusses: What the future might hold. Clem Sunter Joined Anglo America in 1966 in London, through its gold division, then moved to its Zambia division and later moved with them to South Africa in 1973. Later he was tasked with devising different scenarios for future proofing the organisation. The latest pandemic has made the world incredibly vulnerable, we all have to be like a fox, In order to survive we need to be agile, adaptive & ready for new situations and change. We need to watch 4 main flags 1. The real driver of global economy - China & America relationship over the next 2 years. 2. level of inequality. If only the poor are affected, and the rich is unaffected then this will drive further inequality in South Africa. This is why SME's and entrepreneurs are so important. 3. Climate Change and reduction of certain animal species. The world is very fragile at the moment and our carbon emissions are going to play a huge role in our recovery. 4. The chance of a war. this may be less likely. Further to this, if you are a Fox you need to keep diversified, in terms of assets and investments. We also have not seen any real data yet, so we need to be cautious.
BizNews — Clem Sunter is one of South Africa's most respected strategists, making an indelible mark on the birth of the new South Africa which followed his High Road scenario of negotiated settlement rather than the Low Road of political turmoil. In this in-depth interview with BizNews editor-in-chief Alec Hogg, Sunter - a prolific author of strategy books who had a successful career at Anglo American - examines the options that governments have as they start to lift lockdowns designed to contain Covid-19. Sunter also shares his assessment of the mixed signals we have been receiving from the data and research produced on the incidence and transmission of Covid-19 and its death rate. Like Stanford professor of medicine Prof Jay Bhattacharya, who also has a PhD in economics and has concluded that the Covid-19 figures guiding government policies need to be reworked, Sunter points to a delicate balancing act between suppressing economies to save some lives and re-opening business to protect others. - Jackie Cameron
BizNews — Clem Sunter is one of South Africa's most respected strategists, making an indelible mark on the birth of the new South Africa which followed his High Road scenario of negotiated settlement rather than the Low Road of political turmoil. In this in-depth interview with BizNews editor-in-chief Alec Hogg, Sunter - a prolific author of strategy books who had a successful career at Anglo American - examines the options that governments have as they start to lift lockdowns designed to contain Covid-19. Sunter also shares his assessment of the mixed signals we have been receiving from the data and research produced on the incidence and transmission of Covid-19 and its death rate. Like Stanford professor of medicine Prof Jay Bhattacharya, who also has a PhD in economics and has concluded that the Covid-19 figures guiding government policies need to be reworked, Sunter points to a delicate balancing act between suppressing economies to save some lives and re-opening business to protect others. - Jackie Cameron
In Episode 21 of Inside Covid-19 we look the end of a lockdown that costs SA R13bn a day, considering how that's likely to happen; also, the Stanford University prof whose research suggests Governments have massively overreacted to the virus; a counter of sorts from SA's leading scenario planner Clem Sunter; and on a lighter note, how man's best friend may end up saving the world from a confused post lockdown future – with sniffer dogs being trained to identify those who are Covid-19 positive. - Alec Hogg
BizNews — In Episode 21 of Inside Covid-19 we look the end of a lockdown that costs SA R13bn a day, considering how that's likely to happen; also, the Stanford University prof whose research suggests Governments have massively overreacted to the virus; a counter of sorts from SA’s leading scenario planner Clem Sunter; and on a lighter note, how man’s best friend may end up saving the world from a confused post lockdown future – with sniffer dogs being trained to identify those who are Covid-19 positive.
In Episode 21 of Inside Covid-19 we look the end of a lockdown that costs SA R13bn a day, considering how that's likely to happen; also, the Stanford University prof whose research suggests Governments have massively overreacted to the virus; a counter of sorts from SA's leading scenario planner Clem Sunter; and on a lighter note, how man's best friend may end up saving the world from a confused post lockdown future – with sniffer dogs being trained to identify those who are Covid-19 positive. - Alec Hogg
BizNews — In Episode 21 of Inside Covid-19 we look the end of a lockdown that costs SA R13bn a day, considering how that's likely to happen; also, the Stanford University prof whose research suggests Governments have massively overreacted to the virus; a counter of sorts from SA’s leading scenario planner Clem Sunter; and on a lighter note, how man’s best friend may end up saving the world from a confused post lockdown future – with sniffer dogs being trained to identify those who are Covid-19 positive.
Back in 2011, Lindsay spoke to one of South Africa's best-known and well-loved businessmen - Scenario Planner, Futurist and Keynote Speaker Clem Sunter. In this interview, Mr Sunter spoke about his article titled, "Redirecting Julius [Malema]". Interview recorded June 2011.
Strictly Business — Back in 2011, Lindsay spoke to one of South Africa's best-known and well-loved businessmen - Scenario Planner, Futurist and Keynote Speaker Clem Sunter. In this interview, Mr Sunter spoke about his article titled, "Redirecting Julius [Malema]". Interview recorded June 2011.
“Greed is good”. Some of you might remember the phrase immortalized by Michael Douglas who played Gordon Gekko in the 1987 movie Wall Street. Well, the world has more than lived up to these words by pursuing the principle that excessive greed is even better. In a critical analysis of the principles driving modern business, Series 1 of the Purpose Inspired podcast by Wayne Visser demonstrates that the predatory behavior of the lion is symbolic of the way most companies are run today. But the world cannot go on like this. The podcast, which is based on the book “Beyond Reasonable Greed” by Wayne Visser and Clem Sunter, argues strongly for an alternative and more positive vision involving sustainable business in both a social and an environmental sense. In order to achieve this, companies will need to change – to shapeshift – from the tooth-and-claw logic of lions to the more caring, holistic philosophy of the elephant.But what does this mean in practice? The podcast unpacks what is really meant by sustainability and sets out seven steps to create sustainable commerce, including a renewed focus on values, vision, work, governance, relationships, communication and services. We also look at what is required for sustainable economics, through new perspectives on measures, externalities, markets, investments, money, banking and trade. And then we look to the future, exploring two scenarios for the medium to long term: Oases in the Desert, where the corporate lions continue to rule, but their kingdoms are increasingly restricted by their own destructive behavior and popular discontent; and Plains of the Serengeti, where companies shapeshift into elephants which strive for a proper balance between cooperation and competition and a continuing diversity of species, large and small, strong and weak. The podcast concludes that multi-level shapeshifting is required for sustainability. Apart from corporate transformation, it is up to governments on the one hand and each and every one of us as individuals on the other to adopt the persona of an elephant in order to pass on a worthwhile heritage to our children. Join us on the journey, as we transform business fangs and claws into tusks and trunks.
Interviewing Clem Sunter on his latest book, Flag…
Interviewing Clem Sunter on his latest book, Flag Watching, gave Alec Hogg the ideal opportunity to dig into the world famous futurist's perspective on South Africa and the world. Appropriately, the interview was conducted the day before a high profile public debate between the former head of Anglo American's Gold Division and EFF leader Julius "nationalise everything" Malema. Sunter explains why he shares a lot of the same ideals as Malema - and provides the mos congent argument you'll hear of how to boost employment and stimulate economic growth. Sunter's brilliant and creative mind at its best.
INCOSE SA — INCOSE Western Cape Year End Function: Chantell Ilbury is an independent scenario strategist, facilitator, speaker and top-selling business author. She specialises in guiding organisations through strategic conversations, especially in times of uncertainty. Chantell holds a BSc in Chemistry, a post-graduate Higher Diploma in Education, an Executive MBA from the University of Cape Town Graduate School of Business, and has studied Strategic Negotiation through Harvard Business School in Boston. It was at UCT where she first met Anglo America’s Clem Sunter and shared her ideas on scenario planning that lead to the writing of their best-selling books The Mind of a Fox, Games Foxes Play and Socrates and the Fox. The three books were later published together as The Fox Trilogy in 2011. Chantell is also a guest lecturer on strategy and scenario planning at a number of top business schools, and is an accomplished speaker on scenarios and effective strategy in times of uncertainty. As a scenario strategist she works across a diverse array of sectors including energy, resources, mining, agriculture, transportation, industrial and manufacturing activities, and with teams as far afield as the UK, the US, the Netherlands, Belgium, Austria, Italy, Ukraine, Australia, Jamaica, Kuwait, Singapore, India, Réunion Island, as well as throughout Southern and Central Africa. PRESENTATION SLIDES — PDF (1.5 MB)
INCOSE SA — INCOSE Western Cape Year End Function: Chantell Ilbury is an independent scenario strategist, facilitator, speaker and top-selling business author. She specialises in guiding organisations through strategic conversations, especially in times of uncertainty. Chantell holds a BSc in Chemistry, a post-graduate Higher Diploma in Education, an Executive MBA from the University of Cape Town Graduate School of Business, and has studied Strategic Negotiation through Harvard Business School in Boston. It was at UCT where she first met Anglo America’s Clem Sunter and shared her ideas on scenario planning that lead to the writing of their best-selling books The Mind of a Fox, Games Foxes Play and Socrates and the Fox. The three books were later published together as The Fox Trilogy in 2011. Chantell is also a guest lecturer on strategy and scenario planning at a number of top business schools, and is an accomplished speaker on scenarios and effective strategy in times of uncertainty. As a scenario strategist she works across a diverse array of sectors including energy, resources, mining, agriculture, transportation, industrial and manufacturing activities, and with teams as far afield as the UK, the US, the Netherlands, Belgium, Austria, Italy, Ukraine, Australia, Jamaica, Kuwait, Singapore, India, Réunion Island, as well as throughout Southern and Central Africa. PRESENTATION SLIDES — PDF (1.5 MB)
CliffCentral.com — Prof. Block interviews Clem Sunter and they discuss the earthquake that hit parts of South Africa, the threat of global warming, the future of South Africa, as well as Einstein’s thoughts on the Israeli-Palestine conflict.