Turn Two Podcast

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Fantasy baseball explained through sabermetrics and sarcasm

Turn Two Podcast


    • Apr 27, 2022 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekly NEW EPISODES
    • 1h 11m AVG DURATION
    • 189 EPISODES

    4.7 from 77 ratings Listeners of Turn Two Podcast that love the show mention: player breakdowns, fantasy baseball podcast, analytics, prep, stats, matt, draft, co host, data, john, twitter, great info, extremely, analysis, great guests, approach, well done, miss, bring, team.



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    Latest episodes from Turn Two Podcast

    Starting Pitcher Breakouts w/ Steve Gardner

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 27, 2022 74:04


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Steve Gardner of USA Today to discuss early season breakouts in fantasy baseball. - Detroit's Walk-off Nightmare - Rizzo Power Surge - Kyle Wright's Value - Buy High Candidates - Is Cody Bellinger Back?

    Slow Starts & Low HR Totals w/ Grey Albright

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 20, 2022 74:20


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Grey Albright of Razzball to discuss: - Buy Low on Gerrit Cole? - Robbie Ray's Slider - Low HR Totals - Early Season Slow Starters - Pitch Clocks and Goofy Rules

    Early Season Trends w/ guests Joe Pisapia & John Laghezza

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 13, 2022 87:59


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Joe Pisapia of FantasyPros and John Laghezza of The Athletic to discuss early season trends. - Players off to hot/cold starts - Metrics to minor early in the season - Early buy low/sell high

    Players To Watch Early w/ guests Frank Stampfl and Sara Sanchez

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 6, 2022 78:25


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Frank Stampfl of CBS and Sara Sanchez of Bleed Cubbie Blue to discuss early season strategy in fantasy baseball. - Things to watch for - How to manage a roster during the first month - Players with a short leash - Award Predictions - Outlandishly Bold Predictions

    Projection Outliers & Bold Predictions w/ guest Derek Carty

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 30, 2022 73:49


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Derek Carty, creator of The Bat and The Bat X, to discuss outliers in 2022 MLB projections. - How The Bat/Bat X differentiates from other projections - How to evaluate & project rookies - Outliers who should outperform ADP - Environmental impact of projections - 2022 Bold Predictions - "Draft Justin Turner or you are a bad fantasy player"

    How To Find A Discount Ace w/ guest Nick Pollack

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 23, 2022 70:42


    Matt (MattWi77iams) is joined by Nick Pollack (@PitcherList) to discuss methods of locating a discount ace in fantasy drafts. - What analytics/metrics to watch for - The Andrew Heaney conundrum - Context is key for understanding - Using Stat Parameters to Locate Value - Opportunity, Stuff, and Consistency

    Evolution of Analytics & Modern Fantasy Baseball w/ Ron Shandler

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 16, 2022 68:38


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Ron Shandler from Baseball HQ to discuss the evolution of analytics and modern-day fantasy baseball analysis. - How fantasy baseball has changed in recent years - Is there too much data? - Favorite analytics for hitters/pitchers - Tips for new fantasy managers - What is missing is data analysis? - How proposed rule changes can change baseball - Latest news in MLB

    Bullpen Strategy & Saves w/ guests Greg Jewett & Doug Dennis

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 10, 2022 73:11


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Greg Jewett of The Athletic and Doug Dennis of Baseball HQ to discuss how to value relief pitchers in fantasy this season. - Are elite closers worth the investment? - FAAB/Waivers vs Draft & Hold - Closer Handcuffs - Talent vs Opportunity - Late Round RP Options - Elite Middle Relievers

    Projected Lineup Discussion & How To Deal With A Delayed Season

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 3, 2022 72:45


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) was joined by Matty Kiwoom of SPStreamer and Christopher Torres to discuss how the delayed season may impact fantasy baseball and talk about some of their disagreements with popular lineup projections like Roster Resource. - How the delayed season may impact player value - Be careful with platoons when projecting playing time - Value could change drastically with activity following the lockout - Disagreements with Roster Resource - We've been Nootbaar'd

    Opportunity Cost & Draft Strategy w/ guest Ariel Cohen

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 23, 2022 80:20


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Ariel Cohen, the creator of ATC projections, to discuss opportunity cost and how to apply it to draft strategy in fantasy baseball. - What is opportunity cost? - Using ADP & projections to your advantage - Positon/Category scarcity - Position by position examples

    AL West Under/Overvalued Players with guests Nando di Fino & Russell Withers

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 16, 2022 81:40


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by guests Nando di Fino of The Athletic & Russell Withers of Armchair Roto to discuss the AL West. - Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers - Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers - Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets - Featured players: Adolis Garcia, Noah Syndergaard, Justin Verlander, Shohei Ohtani, Jo Adell, Mitch Haniger, Spencer Howard, Jeremy Pena, and more!

    AL Central Under/Overvalued Players with guest Jeff Erickson

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 10, 2022 84:03


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian Seymour are joined by guest Jeff Erickson from RotoWire to discuss the AL Central. - Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers - Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers - Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets - Featured players: Shane Bieber, Jose Abreu, Andrew Benintendi, Casey Mize, Tarik Skubal, Matt Manning, Adalberto Mondesi, Zach Plesac, Robbie Grossman, and...Brent Rooker?

    AL East Under/Overvalued Players with guests Rob Silver & Jason Collette

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 3, 2022 126:39


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian Seymour are joined by guests Rob Silver from the Launch Angle Podcast and Jason Collette from RotoWire to discuss the AL East. - Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers - Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers - Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets - Featured players: Trey Mancini, Wander Franco, Teoscar Hernandez, Brandon Lowe, John Means, Kevin Gausman, Shane Baz, Aaron Judge, and more!

    NL West Under/Overvalued Players with guests Vlad Sedler & Jorge Montanez

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 27, 2022 87:01


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian Seymour are joined by guests Vlad Sedler from FTN and Jorge Montanez from NBC Sports Edge to discuss the NL West. - Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers - Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers - Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets - Featured players: Julio Urias Cody Bellinger, Logan Webb, Charlie Blackmon, Mike Yastrzemski, Yu Darvish, Jake Cronenworth, Zac Gallen, and more!

    NL Central Under/Overvalued Players with guests Derek Van Riper & Jenny Butler

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 20, 2022 76:55


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian Seymour are joined by guests Derek Van Riper from The Athletic and Jenny Butler from Fantrax to discuss the NL East. - Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers - Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers - Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets - Featured players: Jesse Winker, Nolan Arenado, Tyler O'Neill, Tommy Edman, Sonny Gray, Kyle Hendricks, Giovanny Gallegos, and More!

    NL East Under/Overvalued Players with guests Chris Clegg and Peter Pratt

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 12, 2022 82:59


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian Seymour are joined by guests Chris Clegg from Fantrax and Peter Pratt from the Locked On Marlins Podcast to discuss the NL East. - Overvalued Hitters/Pitchers - Undervalued Hitters/Pitchers - Favorite Late Round Fantasy Targets - Featured players: Pablo Lopez, Elieser Hernandez, Max Meyer, Jazz Chisholm, Pete Alonso, James McCann, Max Fried, Ian Anderson, Will Smith, and more.

    How to WIN money at Best Ball

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 3, 2022 63:24


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) discuss the strategy of playing best ball vs draft & holds & redraft. - High-volume vs Stand Alone - Price Point and Bankroll - Diversification Strategy - Find Your Advantage - How To Be Successful Long-Term

    Our Process of Player Evaluation

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 22, 2021 74:38


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by John Laghezza (@MLBMovingAvg) to discuss our player evaluation process and how you can do you own player breakdowns. - Matt's player breakdown series - Batted Ball Data vs Plate Discipline - Noise vs Signal - Player Examples

    Early Draft Season Strategy Session

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 16, 2021 72:30


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) discuss the player pool and strategy to navigate early fantasy baseball drafts. A strategy after going: - Pocket Aces - Hitter/Hitter - OF/OF - How to attack RP - Best positions to be "weak" on - Favorite KDS

    A Look Ahead: Outfield ADP (Part Two)

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 14, 2021 103:29


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP breakdown by taking a look at the outfield position (Part 2) and making predictions on value for next season. - OF's 50-100 in NFBC ADP - Massive tier if risky power/speed options - Conforto bounceback? - Boring production vs Upside - Raimel Tapia's outlook - Riley Greene & the DET outfield - Disagree w/ Steamer PT

    Pre-Lockout Pandemonium - Which Players Gained/Lost Value

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 1, 2021 74:57


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) and @BrianJSeymour discuss all of the last-minute transactions before the lockout to judge which players have seen a boost or drop in fantasy value. - Mad Max to Queens - Mets OBP outfield - Semien/Seager to TEX - Ray vs Gausman - Late bargains for power

    A Look Ahead: Outfield ADP (Part One)

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 24, 2021 130:47


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP breakdown by taking a look back at the outfield position and make predictions on value for next season. - Tucker vs Robert - Mullins a 2nd Rounder? - Yordan vs Judge - Teoscar Underrated - Is Carlson Worth His ADP? - Death by 1000 Papercuts

    Fantasy Impact of Early Offseason Moves

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 18, 2021 98:39


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by @ZackRoto & @MLBMovingAvg to discuss how early offseason hot stove may shape the fantasy baseball season. - Berrios extension & Current ADP - Berrios vs Stroman vs E-Rod - Verlander & Thor Outlook After New Deals - The Show Gets Gomber'd - Matt Olson's Ceiling - How to Value Seiya Suzuki

    A Look Back at ADP: Third Base

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2021 81:16


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for third base and make predictions on value for next season. - How early to take JRam? - Worth paying up for Devers/Machado? - Where should Riley be taken? - Bounceback Candidates: Moncada, Hayes, Suarez - Bottom Heavy but Not Shallow

    A Look Back at ADP: Shortstop

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 19, 2021 96:34


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for shortstop and make predictions on value for next season. - Tatis or Turner - Xander vs Seager - Tim Anderson always underrated - How early to take Wander? - Bounceback for Lindor? - Will Polanco repeat? - Rockies infield siutation

    A Look Back at ADP: Second Base

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 13, 2021 79:17


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for second baseman and make predictions on value for next season. - Is Semien worth a 2nd round pick? - Albies vs Altuve vs Whit vs Lowe - Massive mid-tier - Marte's Health - Edman Undervalued? - 2nd Season for Jazz

    A Look Back at ADP: First Base

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 6, 2021 92:00


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for first baseman and make predictions on value for next season. - Production vs ROI? - Should you invest in Vlad/Freeman? - Embarrassment of riches - Vlad vs Olson - Olson vs Alonso - Alonso vs Walsh - Walsh vs Mountcastle

    A Look Back at ADP: Catchers

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 22, 2021 92:17


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for catchers and make predictions on value for next season. - Will Realmuto be a "value" next season? - How early should Perez go? - The catcher cliff - Matt changes his mind several times on Varsho - The value of at-bats

    A Look Back at ADP: Starting Pitchers Part 3

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2021 82:58


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) & Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their ADP review/preview by taking a look back at NFBC ADP for starting pitchers and make predictions on value for next season. - Where Ohtani the SP should be drafted - Gallen bounceback? - Mahle solid/underappreciated? - Civale vs Stroman - Montas vs Peralta - Taillon post-Tommy John

    A Look Back at ADP: Starting Pitchers Part 2

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 8, 2021 91:47


    Matt (MattWi77iams) and Brian (@BrianJSeymour) continue their preseason ADP review and make predictions on value for next season. - How early should you take Wheeler? - How to value Pablo Lopez if he does not return - Sonny Gray vs Framber Valdez - Charlie Morton: Ageless Wonder - Patrick Corbin...

    A Look Back at Preseason ADP: Starting Pitchers

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2021 73:01


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) and @BrianJSeymour review preseason NFBC Main Event ADP to see what went right and what went wrong. - Preview 2022 Rankings - Predicting Early 2022 SP ADP - Strategy and Pitfalls in drafting SP early

    Chasing Categories & A Discussion About Burnout

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2021 73:51


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) & @BrianJSeymour discuss how to attack stolen bases down the stretch in fantasy baseball and end with a discussion about mental health and burnout. - Under The Radar SB Options - Teams With Best SB Matchups - How To Leverage "Dead" Teams - Discipline to Make Hard Choices At the 42-min:42-sec mark starts a discussion on burnout, mental health, & its impact on fantasy sports/ real life.

    Trade Deadline Value Shifts and Slow Draft Etiquette

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2021 35:17


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian (@BrianJSeymour) discuss value shifts heading out of the trade deadline and slow draft etiquette - Braves crowded outfield - How to handle Kyle Gibson - Kimbrel vs Hendriks - Park Factors - Brian's Solution for Slow Drafts

    K-BB Leaders Since Substance Crackdown/Trade Deadline

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 28, 2021 72:11


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by @BrianJSeymour to discuss: - K-BB Leaderboard since June 21 Crackdown - Command and Home Run Suppression - Importance of using FIP vs xFIP correctly - SP to be worried about - Marte/Luzardo & Other Trades

    Injury Analysis and Victory Laps

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2021 59:14


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) and Brian (@BrianJSeymour) break down injury analysis in fantasy sports. - Risk vs Value when drafting injury - Shocking PA comparisons - Human element vs Business Element - Prediction vs Blind Faith (The Vlad Jr Debate)

    Rule Changes, Interleague Play, and Under The Radar Hitters

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2021 99:04


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by @BrianJSeymour to discuss: - All-Star Game/ HR Derby - Rule Changes for 2021 - 7-Inning DHs, Man on 2nd, Shift - Interleague Play - Under the Radar Hitters

    Player Analysis vs Strategic Analysis

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 7, 2021 67:42


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by his new co-host Brian Seymour (@BrianJSeymour) to discuss their different views on the importance of player analysis in different formats versus the use of strategic analysis in volume play. - Get to know Brian Seymour (4 min 44 sec) - Player Analysis Debate (15 min 48 sec) - Matt's 2nd Half Best Ball Draft (46 min 33 sec)

    Foreign Substance Fallout: Arsenal Adjustments

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 30, 2021 101:59


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by John (@MLBMovingAvg) to discuss pitching performances during the first week of the foreign substance crackdown. - Breakdown of Matt's article - Change in Pitch Mix - Stuff vs Command - Sample size concerns - Buy, Sell, or Hold

    Joe Girardi and How Infinity Stones Can Save Baseball

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2021 63:22


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) of RotoBaller to discuss: - Joe Girardi has a screw loose - Gamesmanship - Dungeons and Dragons - How The Shift Has Evolved in Baseball - Mike calls Matt Thanos - How/when to attack standings/categories in you league

    How The New Baseball & Foreign Substance Ban Impact Fantasy

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2021 74:01


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino (@pmamminofantasy) of RotoFanatic.com to discuss the impact that the new baseball and foreign substance ban have on fantasy baseball. - Glasnow Injury - Bauer's Sweat/Rosin Argument - Registered RPM's - Reduced COR Baseball - The Fly Ball Problem - Not All Barrels Are Equal - Players Who Can Avoid Drag

    Rest Of Season Outlook (Outfielders)

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 2, 2021 75:49


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino of RotoFanatic to discuss our rest of season outlook on outfielders. - Trade or Hold Casty? - WIll Adolis stay hot? - Canha Underrated - Mullins vs Meadows - Buy low on Soler? - Outlook on Yelich

    Rest Of Season Lookout (Infield)

    Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2021 64:01


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Carmen Maiorano and Paul Mammino of RotoFanatic to discuss our rest of season outlook for infield hitters. - Can Posey maintain? - Vlad vs Freeman - Semien minus Dunedin - Chapman vs Riley - Jazz ceiling

    Early Plate Discipline Standouts

    Play Episode Listen Later May 12, 2021 41:46


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Carmen Maiorano (@CarmsClubhouse) of RotoFanatic to discuss early season standouts in plate discipline metrics. - Evan Longoria renaissance - Cedric Mullins legit? - Eduardo Escobar's future - Buy low on Piscotty?

    Pitching Analysis Using ERA Estimators

    Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2021 53:42


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino of RotoFanatic to discuss StuffERA and ERA estimators for early season pitcher analysis. - Is Kluber back? - Believe in Luis Garcia? - Eovaldi's Blueprint - Trust Dane Dunning? - Pitchers to "Buy High" on

    Strategy vs the MLB Batting Average Drought

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 28, 2021 38:49


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Carmen Maiorano of @Roto_Fanatic to discuss the league-wide offensive struggle to begin the 2021 season. - Historical Marks - BABIP Variables - LD vs FB hitters - Players To Target/Avoid

    Behind the Numbers - Early/Surprising Pitching Standouts

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 20, 2021 48:50


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Chris (@baseballpods) to discuss early season pitching standouts crafted through custom early-season metric parameters. - Early look at O-Swing, Z-Contact, SwStr% - Narrow down the field through CSW, K-BB, and Barrel% - Surprising standouts and omissions - Check show notes for player list* All pitchers (42) have above league average O-Swing%, Z-Contact%, SwStr% (24)*also have CSW above 30% (18)**also have K-BB% above 20% (5)***also held opponents to Barrel rate under 5% deGrom** Bieber** Burnes** Cobb** Tr.Rogers*** J. De Leon** Luetge Musgrove** Canning Glasnow*** Maeda Rodon** Cole** Kopech*** Wacha** Giolito** Eovaldi*** Loaisiga Ryu*** Kluber* McKenzie Alzolay* Ty.Anderson Heaney Fried* Lynn Bundy Houck Montgomery Means* Gibson Gausman L.Castillo Berris** Montas I.Anderson* Mahle** Fulmer T.Walker* Yarbrough Cease C.Anderson

    Fantasy Intervention w/ Dave McDonald

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 13, 2021 63:45


    Matt Williams (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Dave (@RunDMCd) to perform a fantasy intervention after the first week of the season. - Player evaluation mistakes - Spirit of Buy Low/Sell High - Fast/Slow Starters - Revolving bench door

    Early Season Bullpen & Closer Breakdown

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 6, 2021 73:19


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by Greg Jewett of The Athletic to discuss the current state of each MLB bullpen and hierarchy for saves - Breakdown every MLB bullpen - Arizona committee - No update on Rosenthal - Merryweather vs Romano - Left-handed Roadblocks

    Week One Start/Sit & Streamers

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 30, 2021 77:17


    Matt (@MattWI77iams) is joined by Paul Mammino (@pmamminofantasy) to discuss week one of the fantasy baseball season! - Shortened first week - 3 vs 4 game schedules - May/Price/Gonsolin - The Yastrzemski Line - CJ Cron vs everyone

    Fantasy Baseball "Warm Takes" w/ MLBMovingAvg

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 23, 2021 62:55


    Matt is joined by @MLBMovingAvg to discuss some "warm takes" in fantasy baseball. Basically hot takes that are confident have a chance to actually happen. - Alcantara vs Fried - Urshela top-10 3B? - Alonso returns value? - Willi Castro ROI - Wheeler > Snell? - Franmil Reyes hype

    Tout Wars Draft & Hold w/ James Anderson

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 22, 2021 69:37


    Matt (@MattWi77iams) is joined by @RealJRAnderson to discuss the latest news in fantasy baseball & recap the @ToutWars 15-Team Draft & Hold - LeClerc/Yates/Pagan - Adell/Witt Jr. demoted -Ohtani hype - Draft & Hold strategy - Deep league targets - Fav/Least Fav Picks

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