Podcasts about statsbomb

Andy, Hibbo and Nacho preview FPL Gameweek 38! The boys talk StatsBomb data, fixtures and transfer/captaincy plans!

Andy, Hibbo and Nacho preview FPL Gameweek 37! The boys talk StatsBomb data, fixtures and transfer/captaincy plans!

Andy, Hibbo and Nacho preview FPL Gameweek 36! The boys talk StatsBomb data, fixtures and transfer/captaincy plans!

Andy, Hibbo and Nacho preview FPL Gameweek 35! The boys talk StatsBomb data, fixtures and transfer/captaincy plans!

Andy, Hibbo and Nacho preview FPL Gameweek 34! The boys talk StatsBomb data, fixtures and transfer/captaincy plans!

Andy, Hibbo and Nacho preview FPL Gameweek 33! The boys talk StatsBomb data, fixtures and transfer/captaincy plans!

Andy, Hibbo and Nacho preview FPL Gameweek 32! The boys talk StatsBomb data, fixtures and transfer/captaincy plans!

Andy, Hibbo and Nacho preview FPL Gameweek 30! The boys talk StatsBomb data, fixtures and transfer/captaincy plans!

Andy, Hibbo and Nacho preview FPL Gameweek 30! The boys talk StatsBomb data, fixtures and transfer/captaincy plans!

Andy, Hibbo and Nacho preview FPL Gameweek 29! The boys review GW28, talk StatsBomb data, fixtures and transfer/captaincy plans!

Andy, Mo and Nacho preview FPL Gameweek 28! The boys review GW27, talk StatsBomb data, fixtures and transfer/captaincy plans!

MIDWEEK DEADLINE! Andy, Mo and Nacho preview FPL Gameweek 27! The boys review GW26, talk StatsBomb data, fixtures and transfer/captaincy plans!

Andy, Hibbo and Nacho preview FPL Gameweek 26! The boys review GW25, talk StatsBomb data, the best options and Transfer/Captaincy plans!

Andy, Hibbo and Nacho preview FPL Gameweek 25! The boys review GW24, talk StatsBomb data, the best doublers and Transfer/Captaincy plans!

Welcome dear listener to the latest episode. I'm Paul and I am joined by Sean and Daz. The Reds win at Bournemouth. Still top of the Premier League with a game in hand - 6 from Arsenal, 9 from Forest and 13 from Chelsea and 15 from City and Newcastle. We'll review the PSV game and mostly look at Bournemouth, with a look ahead at the next 2 weeks.Part One - PSV Eindhoven: xG 1.32 to 1.61 (0.76 penalty)Frustrating, because a draw would put them in the mix for the round of 16 tie against us. Conceding in the 6th minute of 4 minutes of added time in the first half was frustrating.Some good signs - Chiesa, McConnell and Andy Robertson. However Quansah - oof. Elliott - what do we think? Danns….Finishing first - yawn….Part Two - Bournemouth away revised Fotmob xG 1.58 to 2.52 (.76 for the penalty) but Opta has it at 1.00 to 2.66. Statsbomb somewhere in between.Kepa and the nightmare for him that is Mohamed Salah. Thinking Chelsea Kop end 2019. 21 PL goals this season, passes Lampard to go 6th on the all time PL list - 178, 6 behind Aguero. Moving closer to 3rd on Liverpool's all time list - 236 - 241 is the next milestone (Gordon Hodgson - played between 1925 and 1935)..Narrative nationally that we were lucky and that it's been easy…TAW game review suggested the Match of the Day reporting was rather like NBC's highlights. They hit the post twice, missed an open goal, should have had a penalty, we should not have had a penalty…They had spells, but we had longer ones - in the first half, Trent, Dom could easily have scored.Part Three - 14/15 games left. The mighty Arsenal win the champions league against City (oh wait)56 points - 7 wins against lower table opposition (6 at home and Leicester away_ would yield 21 points. 77 with 8 other games to play. 3 other wins takes us to 86. Arsenal could get to 92, but you feel that emotion cannot sustain them.Over-emotional FCHow many wins do we think?Spurs Plymouth, Everton. Lineups and predictionsWe will be back the week after February 12th with a review of Spurs and Plymouth Argyle and then Everton away.Thanks to Sean and Daz for joining me, Paul. And most of all, thank you dear listener for joining us. If you enjoyed the pod, please share it with a friend. Follow us @FirstStateKopites on Twitter  – we only tweet and retweet from sources we think are credible. Music is courtesy of Hypenotic – they are a Welsh electro-pop band –https://hyperfollow.com/hypenotic

Andy, Hibbo and Nacho preview FPL Gameweek 24! The boys review GW23, talk StatsBomb data, the best doublers and Transfer/Captaincy plans! GET NORD VPN!

Welcome dear listener to the latest episode. I'm Paul and I am joined by Daz. The Reds had a win away at Brighton last week, followed by 2 very big wins. We will look ahead to Villa at home - the last game before the 3rd international break. Part One - 2 games against Brighton: Brighton away in the Carabao Cup - 3-2, could have been comfortable with Jarrell's few moments Brighton at home - xG 1.65 to 1.01 (0.71 to 0.77) Game of 2 halves - first half we look slow, poorly shaped and lacking some energy. 9th minute Darwin chance. 14th minute we look as outnumbered as we have at any time this season (Mitoma?). Second half looked immediately different, then by 69, we were ready to take over the game. Estupian was man of the match until he wasn't. Subs at 66 were huge - Jones and DIaz. But chances had started to flow (Gomes, VVD, Mo). Gakpo, vintage Salah (164 EPL goals now) and the Kop. The high press. Joe Gomez was magnificent. Endo then helps close the game down. Part Two - Leverkusen: 4-0 over the German champions - xG 3.79 to 0.80 (0.63 v 0.16 first half). Statsbomb has 2.9 for Liverpool 3rd defeat in 18 months for Leverkusen Very even in the first half - you could see why they have been hard to beat. Lots of intricate movement. Second half, the Curtis pass to Luis Diaz was the trigger Second goal again within 5 minutes;  Now Liverpool are 93.3% chance of finishing in the top 8 Part Three - Villa at home brings us to the end of this difficult spell: Narratives Villa are quietly in a slump Team selection  Prediction We will be back next week with a review of the Villa game. Thanks to Daz. for joining me, Paul. And most of all, thank you dear listener for joining us. If you enjoyed the pod, please share it with a friend. Follow us @FirstStateKopites on Twitter  – we only tweet and retweet from sources we think are credible. Music is courtesy of Hypenotic – they are a Welsh electro-pop band – https://hyperfollow.com/hypenotic 

Bailey is joined by the founder of Statsbomb, Ted Knutson, to discuss the formation of the company, the rise of analytics in football, and the role it plays in player recruitment, plus discuss summer transfers which Ted has covered with The Transfers Flow. *This is the first 15 minutes of the show. For the full episode, and all our other content on the 93:20 player, you can join below - for less than the price of a pint of beer each month.* ninetythreetwenty.com/9320-player/about-9320-player/ SIGN UP FOR OUR NEWSLETTER! A FREE WEEKLY UPDATE WITH NEW CONTENT GUARANTEED. CLICK THE LINK BELOW AND ENTER YOUR EMAIL IN THE BOX. ninetythreetwenty.com/contact/

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Ted Knutson of The Transfer Flow to discuss his work at Statsbomb, modeling soccer for gambling, how he got into soccer gambling, set pieces, the value of a truly great player for gambling like Leo Messi or Cristiano Ronaldo, fixing Chelsea Football Club and much more Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Davis Mattek is joined by Andy Molitor (AndyMSFW) from the Deep Dive Pod and BETSPERTS Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 =================== soccer, football, gambling, soccer gambling, Chelsea, ted knutson, transfer flow, transfer flow podcast Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Welcome dear listener to the latest episode of the 6th season of the pod. I'm Paul and I am joined by Daz, and Justin. And we are 3 for 3, as the Reds went to Old Trafford win 3-0 and we looked good. We will go into detail on the game, we will preview the United game and will look elsewhere at the weekend and what else is happening in the footy world. Part One - United away: xG might not be the most useful: United 1.38 total, - Statsbomb - .98? - 0.08 at half time Liverpool 1.78 total - 0.69 at half time. BUT xGoT 2.44 to 0.64. Overall 30 to 31 touches in the opposition box (favors United) - 16 to 9 at half time. BUT look at the position data - so interesting….. First Half: United set up differently - Slot explain the 7/11 press of last season and the 9/10 press (without the man marking) 5 minutes - so close to that iconic Scouser kisses the camera moment - VVD and Ryan fantastic movement.  At 35 - Caesmiro took the hit, but Mainoo, Mazouri, and Dalot positioning. One missed pass should not kill you. 42 - Luis Diaz interception - Casemiro falls down, thought Taylor would give a foul. Salah has Dalot backing off, Diaz first time shot. Second half 56 - Mainoo dispossessed by the least noticeable of our midfielders (Alexis) sweeping movement and a first time finish - Szobo and Salah. Game over at 59 minutes. Jota and Szobozlai chances didn't even count for xG Salah had a couple of great chances -  Game management - United had more chances, but it felt like we could step up a gear if we needed to. Salah… unbelievable consistency. Fantastic Michael Cox article breaking down how his dribbles have fallen off while his assists have dramatically increased - now ONLY De Bruyne has more since Mo started in the league. 10 goals at Old Trafford - top 5 in goals at OT in the time he's played? We are just better than them, player by player. Harder challenges to follow (Slot) Part Two - previewing Forest and Milan away: Team selection - same again?  Forest - what to expect? Less signings than usual? Formation against a team with one of the lowest xGAs in the fledgling PL season (2.1) ? Milan - what kind of rotation? Predictions Part Three - Elsewhere: Everton - a real crisis? Chelsea - ownership crisis? Leicester - can't be found guilty because they were relegated - what a wheeze We will be back in just over a week with a review of the Forest game. Thanks to Justin and Daz for joining me, Paul. Thank you dear listener for joining us.If you enjoyed the pod, please share it with a friend. Follow us @FirstStateKopites on Twitter  – we only tweet and retweet from sources we think are credible. Music is courtesy of Hypenotic – they are a Welsh electro-pop band – https://hyperfollow.com/hypenotic 

On this edition of the FootballVision Podcast, Phil is joined by Ted Knutson (founder and former CEO of StatsBomb) to discuss the role of data and analytics within scouting and recruitment. Topics include the debate between traditional and modern scouting, what it's like to work with clubs, becoming known for their radars and more. Host: Phil Costa Guest: Ted Knutson Learn more at https://www.footballvisionpodcast.com/ Interested in advertising on this podcast? Email sales@bluewirepods.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Wharton's Cade Massey & Eric Bradlow speak with Chris Leazier, Hudl's Market Director for North America, about their recent acquisition of StatsBomb, the importance of video in data collection, and more. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Gary is joined by Jaymes Monte from StatsBomb to discuss the role of attacking throw-ins including: - Is there a difference between a long throw and a possession throw? - How can we measure the effectiveness of throw-ins in different areas of the pitch? - Why are Arsenal better than Man City at throw-in efficiency? And much more!! You can read his article on Attacking Throw-Ins: https://statsbomb.com/articles/soccer/measuring-throw-in-success/ Check out MSC coaching content: https://www.modernsoccercoach.com/blog

Podcast assessing the key stats around Liverpool's transfer targets and potential departures, including Martin Zubimendi from Real Sociedad. Neil Atkinson hosts, with the help of our partners at StatsBomb... Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

On this edition of the FootballVision Podcast, Phil is joined by Ted Knutson (founder and former CEO of StatsBomb) to discuss the role of data and analytics within scouting and recruitment. Topics include the debate between traditional and modern scouting, what it's like to work with clubs, becoming known for their radars and more. Host: Phil Costa Guest: Ted Knutson Learn more at https://www.footballvisionpodcast.com/ Interested in advertising on this podcast? Email sales@bluewirepods.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

On this edition of the FootballVision Podcast, Phil is joined by Ted Knutson (founder and former CEO of StatsBomb) to discuss the role of data and analytics within scouting and recruitment. Topics include the debate between traditional and modern scouting, what it's like to work with clubs, becoming known for their radars and more. Host: Phil Costa Guest: Ted Knutson Learn more at https://www.footballvisionpodcast.com/ Interested in advertising on this podcast? Email sales@bluewirepods.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Ted Knutson joins Baker to discuss Calafiori, Yoro and maybe the next Mo Salah? Follow Ted at The Transfer Flow (links below) - https://www.youtube.com/@TransferFlowPodcast - https://x.com/thetransferflow - https://www.thetransferflow.com If you're looking for more FPL conversation with us come and join our Patreon, www.patreon.com/aboveaveragefpl The podcast is also available on YouTube where you can find us at www.youtube.com/aboveaveragefpl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Tom and Chris react to Tuesday's price reveals, including Son and White! Plus, a chat with Statsbomb boss James Yorke about how their data can help you win at FPL! ━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Get your At-Home Testosterone Blood Test from Manual! Promo code: FFS45 CLICK: https://www.manual.co/testosterone-replacement-therapy/initial-testosterone-blood-test?coupon=FFS45&utm_source=podcast&utm_medium=sspn&utm_campaign=FantasyFootballScout   ━━━━━━━━━━━━━ WIN AT FPL with Opta Data + Team reveals!

O 4º episódio do Data Footure analisa minuciosamente o relatório publicado pelo Statsbomb comparando ligas pelo mundo utilizando a temporada 2021/22 como parâmetro. Caio e Hugo comentam sobre cada uma das métricas analisadas: Chutes, posse, dribles e pressão. O artigo mostra como o Brasil se assemelha em termos de posse ao estilo de jogo praticado na europa e tem estilo completamente antagônico a ligas como da Argentina e Uruguai. Em termos de finalização, temos uma média de gols melhor que as outras da América Latina, mas ainda atrás das top5, no entanto sem muita qualidade por finalização. Em termos de pressão, o Brasileirão aparece como uma liga muito passiva, principalmente se comparada com outras ligas na américa latina. Link do relatório: https://statsbomb.com/wp-content/uplo... Ajude o Rio Grande do Sul: sosenchentes.rs.gov.br/inicial CONHEÇA O FOOTURE • Acesse o Site: footure.com.br/ • Footure Club: footure.com.br/footure-club/​​ • Loja Futeboleira: footure.com.br/loja • Cursos de Análise Tática: footure.com.br/footure-lab/​​​​ AS NOSSAS REDES SOCIAIS • Twitter: twitter.com/footurefc​​​​​​​​​ • Instagram: instagram.com/footurefc​​​​​​​​ • Facebook: facebook.com/footurefc​​​​​​​​ • LinkedIn: linkedin.com/company/footurefc

O Episódio três do Data Footure aborda um artigo, escrito em inglês, da Statsbomb sobre as mudanças no futebol do ponto de vista do analytics. Comentamos sobre o impacto da mudança de regra no tiro de meta e seus desdobramentos, a compleição de passes e suas possíveis causalidades, o decréscimo no número de cabeceios e uma análise da quantidade de dribles tentados e em quais zonas têm maior ocorrência. Link do artigo: https://statsbomb.com/articles/soccer/how-football-is-changing/ Ajude o Rio Grande do Sul: sosenchentes.rs.gov.br/inicial CONHEÇA O FOOTURE • Acesse o Site: footure.com.br/ • Footure Club: footure.com.br/footure-club/​​ • Loja Futeboleira: footure.com.br/loja • Cursos de Análise Tática: footure.com.br/footure-lab/​​​​ AS NOSSAS REDES SOCIAIS • Twitter: twitter.com/footurefc​​​​​​​​​ • Instagram: instagram.com/footurefc​​​​​​​​ • Facebook: facebook.com/footurefc​​​​​​​​ • LinkedIn: linkedin.com/company/footurefc

Wharton's Eric Bradlow, Shane Jensen, and Adi Wyner speak with Seth Partnow, Director of North American Sports at StatsBomb, about how NBA teams can maximize the playing time of key players. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Host Danny Leroux and Seth Partnow of StatsBomb and The Athletic discuss the NBA Trade Deadline. They break down which teams improved the most, why there were fewer high-impact moves, the Thunder's fascinating future, the Knicks' place in the East hierarchy and much more. Subscribe to RealGM Radio on Apple Podcasts or via the RSS feed.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The latest episode of the Real Deal brings on the insightful Ali Fakharany, co-founder of StatsBomb for a deep dive analyzing the best teams in Europe. Tune into hear how we rank this year's Champions League contenders and the best teams in Europe as a whole. Timestamps: 5:00 - Real Madrid 20:50 - Barcelona 34:18 - New look Atletico Madrid 39:48 - Are Girona a real title contender? 42:30 - The Manchester City-ification of Arsenal 50:45 - Manchester City 1:02:12 - Liverpool 1:12:16 - Strength of Premier League 1:16:20 - Manchester United 1:23:50 - Bayern Munich 1:30:50 - Bayer Leverkusen 1:35:40 - PSG 1:40:49 - Inter Milan 1:51:50 - Recap and Summary Find us on X, Instagram, YouTube and TikTok at @realdealpods for more takes and banter between episodes on our Managing Madrid Spotify feed! Did you enjoy this podcast? Get a ton of bonus content exclusively on Patreon.com/ManagingMadrid. Join our Real Madrid Discord Channel: https://discord.gg/rTD2PmE26f Managing Madrid is a hub for all Madridistas with updated news, op-eds, tactical analyses, artwork, and of course, podcasts. It also serves as a means for Real Madrid fans to connect and discuss the team. We would like your support so that we can continue to produce podcasts for you. The site is run by a small team that works tirelessly around the clock to make it into what it is today. Your contributions will allow us to continue to have a real and full-time presence in keeping this website, and it's podcasts, going. Hosts this week: Mehedi Hassan (@MHassanFootball) Siddharth Ramsundar (@TacticalFouling) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Slovenskí futbalisti štyrikrát postúpili na vrcholný turnaj. Zakaždým najmä vďaka tímovému výkonu. Ak sa darí mužstvu, začnú z neho vytŕčať individuality. S relácii Fair Play sme sa s dátovým analytikom Marekom Kabátom zo StatsBomb pozreli na kľúčových mužov Francesca Calzonu.

Wharton's Eric Bradlow, Shane Jensen, Cade Massey, and Adi Wyner speak with Seth Partnow, Director of North American Sports at StatsBomb, about the beginning of the NBA season, the Denver Nuggets, Victor Wembanyama, the Eastern Conference, and more. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

StatsBomb's Head of Football Analysis Matt Edwards joins the show to talk about his career using data to work with coaches and his current work in college football analytics.

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.cannonstats.comEver wondered what stats mean and when the right time was to use them was? Well, this is the podcast/video for you!In this bonus episode, I am joined by Clive Palmer to talk about advanced stats, and how they help us to understand the game. Learn how the stats work, what the limitations are, and what context is needed for the stats.Below is the very detailed notes and explanations I wrote to prepare for this podcast.At the very bottom for premium subscribers is the video recording that we made as well. (if you subscribe to the Arsenal Vision Podcast Patreon this should also be available to you on that channel)Expected Goals (xG):This is probably the advanced stat one that people are most familiar with but it is probably still a bit understood.I think the resistance to the idea behind rating chances has broken down. We all naturally have an intuitive sense of when a chance is high or low-quality. For example the Gabriel Jesus goal against Manchester United. We KNOW this is a clear chance and that there is a high probability of scoring here.But what is the estimate of scoring here?For this shot in my expected goals model, it is rated as 67% chance of being converted, which is going to be on the higher side for what chances will end up being rated. The largest factors for a shot's rating is the distance from goal, the angle of the goal for the player to aim at, and if it was taken with feet, head or other.The information for this comes from event data that gives the time and location of every on-ball action on the field. From this, we can infer information about the chance and use that to compare it to how those factors of applied to shots with similar characteristics.This shot is from a fast break situation, which helps tell that the defense is not going to be set and it a more dangerous situation. The speed of this move is 7.3 yards per second making this a very direct attack with is another positive indicator that the defense has been unsuccessful in slowing the attack down.Jesus completes a dribble before he shoots this is a major positive for his chance as it is a clear indicator that he has opened up space for a shot.This is also given the “big chance” indicator by Opta and that is a bit of a cheat that helps that this is not pressured and a one-on-one.One of the major limits of doing this with the regular event data is that the model is blind to where the other players are and information needs to be inferred from other characteristics. We see this when he takes the shot:The model from the event data only knows this and has to guess as to everything else from the proceeding events and the characteristics of the shot:This is an obvious shortcoming and why when you see the xG for a shot, especially from ones that don't have tracking elements (for example Statsbomb uses freeze frames to also show where all the players are in the frame for the events that they capture. The newer Opta data also uses something similar to get around this) it should come with pretty large error bars for the estimate of the “true” probability for the shot. With this shot we can make some decent assumptions, it's a direct/fast break so minimal defenders back. Jesus made a dribble before he shot which probably means he isn't under pressure when he shoots but it is still a bit of guesswork on to just how open it might be.When to Use xGYou will see xG used in a number of different places and ways. One of the more popular is after a match; I post a couple of different illustrations of the xG for a match that I think are helpful for describing the game.The first is the xG shot map, which plots all of the shots and goals for each team and the size of the dot corresponds to the xG value. This gives a nice picture of where the shots took place and how dangerous those shots were. There are a number of different ways that a team can accumulate the different xG values and seeing the shots helps provide more information and context for the number.The next popular type is the xG race chart.This shows the timing and value of the different shots that each team took. It can help illustrate a number of different things that might not be obvious from a shot chart alone. First is that game state (the score, and number of players on the field) matters and will change the strategy for teams. Second, it also helps describe and get a feel for how the game has gone from the total chance creation.With my running xG charts I also add in error bars, which is the shaded area to help illustrate the uncertainty that comes with each shot that we identified earlier.Single match xG is still better thought of as a descriptive tool, it tells you what happened in a match. It can help tell you if a team was better or if perhaps a win was lucky but that is just part of the picture (we will have more stats on this kind of thing later). A single match can be pretty random with lots of small things affecting if a clear-cut chance happens or not. Over more matches, the signal becomes stronger and the value of xG starts to shine through.Using xG in the seasonOne of the things that xG is good at, is that it is a better predictor of future goals scored/allowed for a team than other measures, especially in smaller sample sizes. When you get into the 8-12 match range the advantage for xG is at its highest over goals in predictive power, with goals closing the to be nearly as good as xG as the season progresses further.This is especially helpful when there is a big deviation from expected and actual production during the period in question, as the better bet is that future production will be closer to xG than goals. Even better however is using a combination of the two with weights of 70/30 because goals also have important information about a team. This is why you will see me use charts like this in the season.Goals provide information, they are the main component of what a team is trying to do in a game towards winning pointsOne other thing is that aggregation can hide information with outlier games having an outsized effect on things. For situations like this I have another chart that I think is a helpful wau to look at a team. This chart plots a team's xG for and against over the course of the season. For Arsenal last season they were consistently better than their opponents with just a handful of times where they were outplayed and one really big outlier performance. This is another one that you can also use the weighted xG and Goals as well to help get the story of the season for the team. Post Shot Expected Goals/Goalkeeping MetricsPost-Shot xG (PSxG) or xG On Target (xGOT) are models that look to measure the xG value of a shot but instead of stopping at the moment that shot is taken it also looks at where the shot is in relation to the frame of the goal. For a post-shot xG model, the biggest factors are still the distance and angle of the shot, but also now also the z and y coordinates of where it is estimated to cross the goal line.PSxG models do not take into account the positioning of the keeper (by design because better positioning is a skill that will help a keeper save more than expected) and some have information about how hard the bull has been struck but that is not available in the more simple event data.When to Use PSxGPost-shot xG is also a noisy stat where finding the signal of how good a goalkeeper is at keeping out shots or a player is at placing their shots is harder to estimate. Season to season a goalkeeper's goals prevented compared to expected (PSxG- Actual Goal) is in the +/- 0.2 goals prevented per 90 range, that is a BIG variation from season to season.If for example, you have Aaron Ramsdale who for his career is roughly at 99% for goals saved compared to average, in a single season it wouldn't be out of the ordinary to see that fluctuate to between 115% and 75% and that is what he has done for his career!I have not seen the same level of estimates of when exactly these type of stats become more reliable with confidence intervals that are not huge yet like what has been done with finishing where you can start seeing a signal at the 75+ shots range but realistically a few hundred shots to have confidence about a player's finishing skill.My intuition is that it is probably in the 150+ to start seeing a signal and in the 300 or more range to get a more reliable idea but I have not had the time to put this to the test. A project for another day. So given the above information, it does feel like goalkeeper stats are ones that should come with pretty high error bars around them, especially for a single shot, a single match, or even a season.They can be thought of I think as at best rough estimates but beyond that my confidence with them comes with large caveats. Expected Threat (xT)/Goal Probability Added(GPA)This was a popular question when I asked what people wanted to learn about. Expected Threat was created by Karun Singh (now employed by Arsenal) and has become one of the more popular ways of calculating on-ball actions. If you are interested in the nitty-gritty of how it works he has a nice write-up on the methodology on his blog.The shorter explanation is that the pitch is laid out into zones and a player is credited with the difference in value between those zones as it is moved through passing and carrying.I have been doing something similar for a while and my first stab at something like this going back to my 2017 Passing Progression Value Added and have evolved my work into what I call Goal Probability Added.My model also works off of zones and the value of each is trained from the xG created in a possession after the ball has been in that zone, along with the probability that the other team will create xG from you having possession in that zone. Giving you a pitch that looks something like this:Most of the field is not very valuable, with pretty minor increases until you get within 25 or so yards of goal. You will also see that possession in your own box is negative meaning the other team is more likely to score when the ball is there than you are.My model also takes into account the failure of an action and how that changes both teams' chances of scoring. I took a lot of inspiration from the work done on by American Soccer Analysis and their Goals Added model for direction on certain questions. My model also breaks things down into similar parts, passing, receiving, carrying, dribbling, and shooting.I have started breaking down defensive actions as well for how that changes the opposing team's actions but don't publish that regularly with match reports.With this you can create fun sequence-type charts that show the change in goal probability as the ball moves around the pitch. This is the first goal in Arsenal's 3-1 win against Manchester United scored by Martin Odegaard.Most of the buildup play is low value because it is still far away from goal. The play starts to become more valuable as it gets into the final third. From there the pass into Eddie Nketiah in the half-space adds 3% to the chance of scoring, his pass into the box to Gabriel Martinelli adds 8% and then his cross adds 20% with the very good finish adding another 5%.Why use xT or GPA?

Ted Knutson and James Yorke return to reminisce about the opening decade of StatsBomb

Wharton's Eric Bradlow, Shane Jensen, and Adi Wyner speak with Seth Partnow, Dir. of North American Sports at StatsBomb, about the expectations and outlook for the San Antonio Spurs and their recent #1 draft pick, Victor Wembanyama. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.comSeth Partnow (@SethPartnow) joins the pod to talk through his vast experience in multiple sports.Topic covered include:* Why he hates what the term “analytics” has come to mean* His book “The Midrange Theory”* Did Jokic and the Nuggets help dispel notions of great regular season teams not finishing in the playoffs* How to build an effective front office to inte…

Wharton's Eric Bradlow, Shane Jensen, Cade Massey, and Adi Wyner speak with Seth Partnow, Director of North American Sports at Statsbomb, about the first round of the NBA Playoffs, team strategy, and player development, Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This episode of the Sports Business Classroom Audio Experience is from a previously recorded webinar on “How Stats Inform and Distort the NBA Awards Debate“ hosted by Howard Beck (previously with Sports Illustrated, Bleacher Report, NY Times) and Seth Partnow (Director of North American Sports for StatsBomb and contributor for The Athletic). Howard and Seth are also joined by SBC General Manager Larry Coon to discuss the upcoming Business of Basketball Immersive Experience and help navigate live questions from webinar attendees.In this episode, Howard and Seth discuss: Analytics vs eye test when evaluating playersUtility and validity of factoring all-in-one statsPoint of view from a reporter and award voterWhich advanced stats to take into accountQuestions from webinar attendeesFollow SBC: LinkedIn | Instagram | Twitter | FacebookFollow Howard Beck: LinkedIn | TwitterFollow Seth Partnow: LinkedIn | Twitter

Davis Mattek is joined by ESPN's Ryan O'Hanlon (@rwohan) to discuss his new book on analytics in the world of soccer, "Net Gains," including how to analyze goalkeepers, who the new Sergio Busquets is, and much more in an over-arching conversation about analytics in sports. www.patreon.com/taekcast Purchase the book HERE: https://www.abramsbooks.com/product/net-gains_9781419758911/

On this episode of the Managing Madrid Podcast, Kiyan Sobhani, Siddharth Ramsundar, and Ali Elfakharany of StatsBomb discuss: Examining the process: How Real Madrid have fared in their performances since the Spanish Super Cup final Real Madrid's percentage of winning the League and Champions League How Barcelona's run may not be sustainable Is there a lack of a clear favourite to win the UEFA Champions League? Reflecting on the decision to reject Joao Cancelo Should Real Madrid be as ruthless as Barcelona with moving contracts? Dani Ceballos playing the best football of his career Should he be renewed ? Eduardo Camavinga at LB What is Real Madrid's starting midfield in the future? Why did it take so long for Ceballos to break through? Champions League odds Napoli, City, Benfica And a ton more. Did you enjoy this podcast? Get a ton of bonus content exclusively on Patreon.com/ManagingMadrid. Managing Madrid is a hub for all Madridistas with updated news, op-eds, tactical analyses, artwork, and of course, podcasts. It also serves as a means for Real Madrid fans to connect and discuss the team. We would like your support so that we can continue to produce podcasts for you. The site is run by a small team that works tirelessly around the clock to make it into what it is today. Your contributions will allow us to continue to have a real and full-time presence in keeping this website, and its podcasts, going. Hosts this week: Kiyan Sobhani (@KiyanSo) Siddharth Ramsundar (@tacticalfouling) Ali Elfakharany (@alifakharany) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

On this episode of the Managing Madrid Podcast, Kiyan Sobhani, Siddharth Ramsundar, and Ali Elfakharany of StatsBomb discuss: Is this a full blown crisis? The Ferland Mendy and Dani Carvajal conundrum “Ball receives in space” -- a new stat Antonio Rudiger's acquisition and form The numbers behind Vinicius Jr and Karim Benzema's form Are Real Madrid fans overreacting? The defensive reliance on Thibaut Courtois's heroics Aurelien Tchouameni vs Casemiro A nuanced discussion on Carvajal The tactical deficiencies of Carlo Ancelotti and what can change Was Fede Valerde at RW really ever a solution? The case that this season's Real Madrid is actually better than last season Barca's improvement Future coaching options Xabi Alonso and Mikel Arteta Fine margins, what ifs What Erik Ten Hag has done at Manchester United. La Liga woes Toni Kroos's season  Eduardo Camavinga's playing time And much more Did you enjoy this podcast? Get a ton of bonus content exclusively on Patreon.com/ManagingMadrid. Managing Madrid is a hub for all Madridistas with updated news, op-eds, tactical analyses, artwork, and of course, podcasts. It also serves as a means for Real Madrid fans to connect and discuss the team. We would like your support so that we can continue to produce podcasts for you. The site is run by a small team that works tirelessly around the clock to make it into what it is today. Your contributions will allow us to continue to have a real and full-time presence in keeping this website, and its podcasts, going. Hosts this week: Kiyan Sobhani (@KiyanSo) Siddharth Ramsundar (@tacticalfouling) Ali Elfakharany (@alifakharany) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Ted Knutson, CEO and founder of StatsBomb, joins me to talk about his journey through being a professional bettor, bookmaker and creating innovative data and insights for professional soccer and American football.Follow Ted on Twitter: @mixedknutsListen on Apple: Please rate and review!Listen on Spotify:View on YouTube:Subscribe to my substack for daily written analysis and twice a week podcasts, including:* Weekly Adjusted Scores and Advanced Reviews* Weekly updated Power Ratings* Proprietary Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency* Paid subscriber access to Google sheet with downloadable metrics and inputsFollow me on Twitter: @KevinCole___ This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe

Ted Knutson, the CEO of StatsBomb who has also worked a professional bettor and book maker, joins the show for a wide ranging conversation. Highlights include: Magic the Gathering as an entry into the betting world (6:06). How to improve yourself (11:24). Ted's process as a professional bettor (14:23). Working at Pinnacle sports book (17:20). The soccer market at Pinnacle (23:52). From betting to soccer data and analytics (26:41). The xG model of StatsBomb (33:10). Set pieces in soccer (36:12). World Cup 2022 (40:52). American football data and analytics (43:23). The Football Analytics Show is presented by The Power Rank, a site devoted to predictive analytics for football betting. To get the free sports betting newsletter, click here: https://thepowerrank.com/ Support the podcast: https://www.patreon.com/footballanalytics

Taylor sits down with The Athletic's Seth Partnow to discuss his top 125 players list. He explains his process on how his tiering system works. Later they talk about his book The Mid Range Theory, and they wrap up the show with Seth teasing what he's working on over at StatsBomb.

A commercial free episode of Tuesday's Sports Loud Mouths show, featuring interviews with special guests former Braves, Royals, Tigers, Reds, and Cardinals catcher and current West Michigan Whitecaps manager Brayan Pena and The Athletic NBA Analyst, StatsBomb director of basketball, and author of “The Midrange Theory” Seth “Anchorage Man” Partnow. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/world-wide-sports-radio-n/support

Seth Partnow, author of The Midrange Theory, Director of Basketball for StatsBomb, and contributor to the Athletic joins to explain why the Mavericks letting Jalen Brunson go is understandable and perhaps even a smart move for longer term team building. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices