Podcast appearances and mentions of Paul Gilding

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CLIMATE ACTION SHOW -  AUGUST 22ND 2022Produced by Vivien LangfordT I P P I N G  P O I N T S - IN NATURE AND SOCIETY Guests:Music by Tom Hume - "Petition" and Tambah Project " Our Song"- https://environmentalmusicprize.com/ Erica Chernoweth with Shankar Vedantam  - https://hiddenbrain.org/podcast/how-to-change-the-world/ August 7th Climate Rally in Sydney organised by Knitting Nanas and Water for Rivers Alison Boyd - Greens MLC NSW Parliament Rilka   -   Blockade Australia Paul Keating - Sydney Branch Secretary of Maritime Union of Australia Paddy Gibson - Workers for Climate Action &  Jumbunna Institute https://www.uts.edu.au/research/jumbunna-institute-indigenous-education-and-research David Spratt - Research Director for Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restorationhttps://www.breakthroughonline.org.au/climatedominoes Nick Breeze - Producer of Climate Genn. Please check out these fine podcasts from UK https://genn.cc/https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K9wB0P3Y5d0 TIPPING POINTS IN NATURE AND SOCIETY The burning question is what forms of Climate Action  work? Are the harsh new anti protest laws a sign that Government fears the huge changes demanded by campaigners?  Is  ABC  RN turning up at a Blockade Australia safe place a sign? I was delighted. It was daring for the ABC. Geoff Thompson's Background Briefing is well worth a listen, though 3CR has been reporting on this movement for ages.  We are looking for social tipping points when the majority of people understand that direct action is needed.  Nature understands the tipping points of hot house gasses, the Antarctic Ice shelf just crumbles..... and you know the rest.PODCAST :  https://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/backgroundbriefing/inside-the-climate-activists-plan-to-shut-down-australia/101324992  In search of what climate action works, I quote from Erica Chernoweth's study on how Non Violent Action has more lasting effects than Violent revolution, especially if we all get behind it. Then I go to the Sydney Climate Rally of August 7th. The harsh new anti protest laws and imminent opening of new gas wells are upermost in our minds.Paddy Gibson talks about the hopes of the Gommeroi people that the new government will stop the Santos Gas project in the Pilliga. Yet Santos is attempting to overide their Native title to establish  850 gas wells in the Pilliga Forest.Paul Keating and Abigail Boyd voice the massive opposition from unions and civil society groups to the new police powers over protesters and Rilka speaks about how harshly they had been applied to Blockade Australia. Then we hear from David Spratt talking to Nick Breeze about climate risk. He says that the IPCC is giving policy makers the wrong message.   For him the only question is "What is the worst that can happen and what do we need to do to prevent it? Breaking news : Paul Gilding's comments on changing our focus from reducing emissions to slowing the RATE of warming by cancelling methane."Much of the climate debate and its central arguments were formed in the 1990s when we perceived we had decades to get things under control. The context has now dramatically changed. The 2020s already see unprecedented heatwaves, wildfires, floods, emerging food crises and related geopolitical conflict – and yet this process has just begun. Every fraction of a degree of warming now brings us closer to climate tipping points that if breached, could lead to a runaway process we cannot control. We are teetering on that edge.Therefore, we need to reset the debate to have a laser focus on the immediate rate of warming and everything that influences it.This will not be easy. History shows that most large-scale global change happens with many distributed actions. Rather than ‘death by a thousand cuts', it's more like ‘life by a thousand little victories.' Thus, most arguments about the merits of different possible actions on climate change, end up with the same conclusion – we need an ‘all of the above' strategy. We see no silver bullets or amazing heroes, just all of us, and all that we do.Sometimes, though very rarely, an idea comes along which is not like that. A single action that could literally change the course of history.I believe slashing methane emissions urgently, with large reductions this decade, is such an action. Methane is a climate weapon of mass destruction if we don't act, but a silver bullet if we do. It will not stop climate change - not even close - but it might buy us the time to do so. Success in rapid methane reduction could be the singular difference between achieving some level of messy but manageable global change vs the descent into chaos and economic collapse.However, we will only take this action if we shift our mindset and focus from the ‘level of emissions' to the ‘rate of warming'.It's a hard argument to make because of the deeply entrenched focus and momentum on emissions reduction – towards which all progress is then seen as additive. As a result, everyone agrees methane is important, but its singular power to change the path we are on is not yet recognised.Let me be very clear - my key argument is not ‘methane vs CO2', it is ‘warming vs emissions.' They're connected, but very different. And it's the difference that defines the importance.If we are to reduce the existential risk of runaway climate change, we must slow the 'rate of warming' in less than 10 years. Even drastic reductions in CO2 emissions - while essential and urgent for different reasons - will simply not get us there. Firstly, because CO2 warms the climate slowly (and thus cutting it reduces the rate of warming slowly) and secondly because cutting fossil fuel use also reduces the aerosol pollution which currently has a temporary ‘cooling' effect.Given all the above, we can see that slowing the ‘rate of warming' is our single most critical task and urgent methane reduction is the most viable way to achieve it.We must therefore throw everything at this task – including faster elimination of fossil fuels, especially gas, and a dramatic focus on food and agriculture, particularly livestock. And we must deliver this change in less than 10 years.It's a tall order. The good news is that, while not easy, it's completely doable. Everything we require is available - we just need to decide. As with fossil fuels, the incumbent players will argue it's complicated and difficult, bad for jobs and the economy, that ‘sure we need to change, just not so fast!'.They are completely wrong. The science is clear that the path we are on – unprecedented climate events, geopolitical chaos, food crises and the risk of runaway warming - is immeasurably and incomparably worse than anything we can do to slow it down.If you want to understand the detail behind this argument, I explored it all in a recent discussion paper at the University of Cambridge. It covers the emergency nature of the task, the actions available and the economic opportunities that result. In particular, I explain why a focus on food and agriculture – particularly livestock – should now be our priority task.This detail matters, but don't let it distract you from the simplicity of the idea. The path we are on today is accelerating climate change with the risk of runaway warming and global economic chaos. We can choose a different path, but only if we slash methane emissions to slow the rate of warming. The future may well be determined by our decision."~ Paul Gilding, 15 August 2022PDF:https://www.paulgilding.com/s/CC-emissions-v-warming-20220815-FINAL.pdfDiscussion paper:https://www.cisl.cam.ac.uk/resources/publications/methane-markets-and-food-how-climate-emergency-will-drive-urgent-focus Source:https://www.paulgilding.com/cockatoo-chronicles/shifting-focus-from-emissions-to-warming      

This is the second part of the Charlie's interview with Mick Wettenhall. Charlie caught up with Mick Wettenhall at his property 'Weemabah' at Trangie, NSW to dig into his own regenerative journey. Mick most recently has been progressing research into a little know fungi that has an enormous capacity to sequester carbon in the soil. Mick would rather see an agricultural evolution than an agricultural revolution, highlighting that if we are to support the adoption of regenerative practices it needs to be 'adaptable' to their current farming situations. To start a dialogue and converse more about topics raised in this podcast, please visit The Regenerative Journey Podcast Facebook Group.   Episode Takeaways: Dr James White pioneered the research into plants farming microbes back in 2013 |Think big, start small, scale fast | There is a massive potential to sequest carbon in soil, farmers just need to know how | The key to driving a shift in farmers thinking of how they can contribute to reversing climate change is the conscious consumer through their buying choices | ‘Create a product or service that people can patronize to make that difference | ’The only thing missing to rapidly progress the research and uptake of carbon sequesting practices in this space is money | You can’t manage what you don’t measure | Farmers need to be remunerated for the carbon they sequest and nutritious food they grow | Hand held nutrition scanning technology is developing rapidly |Market gets what market wants |Create a demand economy lead by consumers to support farmers to grow more nutritious food |Mick uses a number of Johnson Su compost bioreactors to make  fungal dominant compost which he then makes an extract from to spread on his crops | It is essentially a static pile aerobic compost | Once the thermophilic stage is complete worms are then added (vermophilic) | If the same amount of funds that is currently invested in industrial Ag ‘solutions' was invested in regenerative farming techniques........ | Truth is first ridiculed, then opposed then accepted as fact | Next generation will want to be part of the solution | Mick attended Landmark in his early 30s. It could be called a personal development course, however is so much more...Charlie has completed the course as well | Landmark Forum is essentially 'Holding a mirror up against ones self to help identify why one does the things one does '.... Episode Links :  Aust soil planners group  - Australia's largest sustainable group of farmers. ’Quality Agriculture’ - John Kempf David Johnson  ‘The Great Disruption’  - Paul Gilding  Landmark Forum 

"This is about choice, not about our capacity to deliver. Each and every ‘black elephant’ is fixable – if we act in time." Choices have consequences. In this post from PaulGilding.com, Mr Gilding reminds us that COVID-19 was not a singular, unexpected event. Rather, a global pandemic, along with the climate emergency, ecosystem collapse, growing inequality, and other crises, are issues that our political and business leaders have been warned about but so far have chosen to ignore. Author, social entrepreneur, & advocate Paul Gilding is a Fellow at the University of Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership.

BZE speaks to well-known Australian environmentalist Paul Gilding about the implications of the covid-19 pandemic on climate change, sustainability and the environment. Paul authored the 2011 book called The Great Disruption

BUILDING THE BUSINESS CO-ALITIONMay 18th. Produced by Vivien Langford  and Andy BrittGuests at the Climate Emergency Summit at Melbourne Town HallPaddy ManningIan DunlopPaul GildingHeidi LeeSimon Holmes a CourtThis lively panel discussion, recorded before the pandemic showed us how great shifts can happen suddenly, is even more relevant now. Right now the Climate community is zooming and publishing and trying to influence the stimulus spending towards a livable biosphere. The practical solutions from tonight's panel  shine a light on the path forward.  Ian Dunlop, with his depth of  experience in the fossil fuel industry, speaks of the " predatory delay and moral bankruptcy " of some business leaders,who had the best access to information and knew the risks of rising emissions. He says we must keep talking about the risks as CEOs have not accepted the urgency of emissions reduction. Paul Gilding says " If a country has a good plan, the business community will support it" Heidi Lee finds that " It's not enough to say No. We must find something to say YES to. She gives practical examples of BZE's work with four trade unions and the people of Collie W.A (Hear our broadcast of November 18th 2019). She is more sympathetic to the costs and difficulties faced by industry in transition and she received rousing applause. Her can do message was much appreciated by the well informed audience whose questions showed how the public is way ahead of the politics Simon Holmes a Court reported on the demand internationally for our Green Hydrogen. He asked "are there any transition plans apart from BZEs that see NO role for gas? " And this is highly relevant, as we ease up from the pandemic and the gas lobby is positioning us to depend on it far into the future even for making hydrogen. Paddy Manning was able to  guide the panel to deeply explore the realities we face. His new book "Body Count" show how aware he is of "the hopeless failure to convey the risks of accelerating emissions leads to confusion" Climate change now has its own body count in Australia which is highly exposed and must get better prepared. He said in a previous interview " After 30 years of debate it's not so much climate change that's killing us, It's ignorance and confusion" Thanks to the Sustainable Living Festival  

In this Best in Climate episode, Christine reads a recent post from PaulGilding.com. He makes the case that it was always going to come to this - the crash of our current unsustainable global economy was unavoidable. "Whether it was a pandemic triggering a shutdown, a climate emergency bursting the carbon bubble, a populist backlash against inequality, wars over water or countless other possible triggers, this moment has long been inevitable."

BUSINESS COLLAPSE and TRANSITION FILM FESTIVAL17th February 2020. Andy Britt -Production Vivien Langford - InterviewsPaul Gilding - Author of Climate Contagion 2020-2025Heidi Lee - BZE Business and Industry ManagerJulian O'Shea - Film "Solar Tuk" Bob Brown -  Film "Convoy"Bruce Shillingsworth - Film " When the rivers run dry"Christine MIlne - Ambassador for International GreensAt the Climate Emergency Summit 14/15th Feb, Paul Gilding showed that the threat of collapsing Fossil Fuel businesses will match the climate disruptions we are already facing. Ian Dunlop, whose association with Shell and the Coal Industry gives us an inside view , said they are engaged in "predatory delay" and must shut down within 2 years. Christine Milne saw signs at Davos of the corporations positioning themselves for bail outs.We ask : Are they too big to fail? Will we let them take us down with them? Please sign the declaration.Meanwhile Heidi Lee is helping business and industry to re imagine themselves using non fossil energy, yes even  green steel. She waxes lyrical over Arc Furnaces and takes us to where things are really molten.  As Simon Holmes a Court said "there is a war on for talent" as coal, oil and gas struggle to find young people who want to work on climate wrecking projects. Heidi is recruiting volunteer engineers to work on projects that leave something to be proud of.Transitions Film Festival starts this week and we speak to Julian O'shea about why he modified a second hand Tuk Tuk to make it go on solar power. He's just been on a tour in India and Thailand. It's a cheaper vehicle than most EVs and will reduce the urban pollution as it beetles about town at 50km p/h. The film Solar Tuk Tuk shows on opening night at the NOVAWe hear Bob Brown calling us to stop  the coal trucks, lock the gates against gas and get in the way of logging in the Tarkine. He calls us Bravehearts and the film "Convoy" celebrates the brave people putting themselves in the way of climate disruptors. He was on the platform beside Adrian Burrugubba of the Wangan and Jagalingou people in the Galilee.Bruce Shillingsworth comes from western NSW where the Darling/ Baarka river is being robbed of its waters. First Nations people feel abandoned and do not acccept the poor conditions that have left them high and dry and have caused widespread deaths of fish and wildlife. He wishes to unify Australians in the restoration of the rivers and the land. You can see it yourself and be part of the discussion, when the film "When the rivers run dry" shows at the  NOVA 

Welcome back to Series 2 of Leading in a Climate Changed World from Olivier Mythodrama. Episode 2 sees Robin speaks to entrepreneur and environmentalist, Paul Gilding. This interview could perhaps, be seen as a remedy to some of the messages of despair we have uncovered in previous podcasts, as Paul tells us it’s not too late to shift the way we live and work to avoid total catastrophe. They discuss the subject of political and corporate leadership and how patterns of change throughout history, are positive signs for our future, and what we can do to instigate this. Find out how World War 2 could be an optimistic framework for systemic change. As always, you can get in touch with us on email: hello@leadinginaclimatechangedworld.com We’d love to hear from you if you have any suggestions for the podcast or website. Look out for us on Twitter and Facebook, and please continue to spread the word!

Welcome to the Extinction Rebellion Podcast! In this first episode, Jessica Townsend and Marijn Van de Geer from Extinction Rebellion (XR) will be answering the kind of questions new rebels ask when they first join XR. Some useful links to documents, articles, videos and people we refer to throughout this episode: -The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change https://www.ipcc.ch/ - How to get to zero net carbon emissions: . Victory Plan by Ezra Silk (co-founder and Policy Director, The Climate Mobilization) https://www.theclimatemobilization.org/victory-plan/ . The concept of climate mobilization in mainstream political conversation (Bill McKibben) . Other climate mobilization plans: Paul Gilding, Lester Brown and Michael Hoexter - The XR structure . Quick overview of the changes XR UK has undergone since its inception by one of the founders: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aDwRLKioIvE - Examples of civil disobedience: . Gandhi's defiance of British colonial rule laws (started March 1930) . The children in 1963 in Birmingham, Alabama, USA . The suffragette movement - The science on climate breakdown and mass biodiversity loss: . The International Union for Conservation of Nature’s (IUCN) Red List of Threatened Species https://www.iucnredlist.org/ . Recount: It’s Time to ‘Do the Math’ Again (David Spratt, 2015) and . Climate Reality Check: After Paris, Counting the Cost (David Spratt, 2016) . Naomi Klein 'This Changes everything' (2015) . 'Global warming will happen faster than we think' Yangyang Xu, Veerabhadran Ramanathan and David G. Victor https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-018-07586-5 . 'Two degree is prescription for disaster (former NASA scientist James Hansen) https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/two-degree-global-warming-limit-is-called-a-prescription-for-disaster/ . '1.5C warming limit means fossil fuel phase out by 2030' (climate researcher Glenn Peters) https://www.climatechangenews.com/2015/12/07/scientists-1-5c-warming-limit-means-fossil-fuel-phase-out-by-2030/ . Kevin Anderson, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research University of Manchester, has written numerous articles which we quote from a lot, check them out here: https://tyndall.ac.uk/people/kevin-anderson . Dr. Katherine D. Marvel - NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies: https://pubs.giss.nasa.gov/authors/kmarvel.html Producer - Dave Anderson Sound Editor - Dave Stitch Research - Jessica Townsend & Marijn van de Geer

Is life today better than ever before? Does the data bear that out? This hour, TED speakers explore the stories we tell with numbers — and whether those stories portray the full picture. Guests include psychologist Steven Pinker, economists Tyler Cowen and Michael Green, journalist Hanna Rosin, and environmental activist Paul Gilding.

Paul Gilding argues that we have entered a period of global ecological crisis and economic stagnation that will last for decades. This will lead to an economic and social transformation of significance in the history of humanity. Paul Gilding has been an activist and social entrepreneur for 35 years, his personal mission is to lead, inspire and motivate action globally on the transition of society and the economy to sustainability. A Sydney Ideas talk on 29 April, 2009 http://sydney.edu.au/sydney_ideas/lectures/2009/great_disruption.shtml

Jorgen Randers, Professor of Climate Strategy from the BI Norwegian Business School, is one of the world's most respected and rigorous global systems experts. Forty years ago he co-authored the best-selling environmental book of all time -- The Club of Rome's 1972 Limits to Growth, which set out different scenarios, including ones of overshooting and collapse, out to 2100. Now, 40 years later, Randers asks the question: What will the world look like in another 40 years? His answer is in his new book, 2052 - A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years. His forecasts contain good news and bad. We will see impressive advances in resource efficiency, and an increasing focus on human well-being rather than on per capita income growth. But this change might not come as we expect. Future growth in population and GDP, for instance, will be constrained in surprising ways by rapid fertility decline as result of increased urbanisation, productivity decline as a result of social unrest, and continuing global poverty. The current dominant global economies, particularly the United States, will stagnate, but emerging economies will do well. Runaway global warming is likely. Following the presentation by Professor Jorgen Randers, Paul Gilding will offer his perspectives. Paul Gilding recently authored The Great Disruption, and also serves on the global faculty of the University of Cambridge's Program for Sustainability Leadership (CPSL). He argues that the world will embark on an emergency response to prevent environmental catastrophe. A member of Crawford School of Public Policy will also provide comments. This event is presented by the Development Policy Centre at the Crawford School of Public Policy in partnership with Australia 21 and the Purves Environmental Fund. Presentation slides are available from the Devpolicy events page: https://devpolicy.crawford.anu.edu.au/event-extra/past

As we enter what Paul Gilding calls the Great Disruption – it’s only a matter of when, not whether, the world will change course on the scale of a wartime mobilization – this time to restore nature and human communities. Author and 350.org founder Bill McKibben, Transition U.S. leader Carolyne Stayton, community organizer Mary Gonzales and retired Marine Colonel Mark “Puck” Mykleby show how people are building a national movement to create resilience from the ground up in local communities and regions.

Interview: Brisbane Writer's Festival with Paul Gilding, Stefan Hajkowicz and John de Graaf

Aired 06/10/12 PAUL GILDING says it's time to stop worrying about climate change. We need instead to brace for impact because global crisis is no longer avoidable. He believes this Great Disruption started in 2008, with spiking food and oil prices and melting ice caps. It is not simply about fossil fuels and carbon footprints. We have come to the end of Economic Growth, Version 1.0, a world economy based on consumption and waste, where we lived beyond the means of our planet's ecosystems and resources According to Gilding, the coming decades will see loss, suffering, and conflict as our planetary overdraft is paid; however, they will also bring out the best humanity can offer: compassion, innovation, resilience, and adaptability. Gilding says we must fight-and win-what he calls The One Degree War to prevent catastrophic warming of the earth. He believes the crisis offers us a chance to replace our addiction to growth with an ethic of sustainability, and an unmatched business opportunity as old industries collapse and new companies reshape our economy. In the aftermath of the Great Disruption, we will measure "growth" not by quantity of stuff but quality of life. PAUL GILDING is an independent writer, advisor and advocate for action on climate change and sustainability. He has been involved with and led activist campaigns on a wide variety of social and environmental issues and served as Executive Director, Greenpeace Australia and Greenpeace International. Gilding founded Ecos Corporation in 1995, consulting to some of the world's largest corporations on issues of sustainability until its sale in 2008. His first book is THE GREAT DISRUPTION: Why the Climate Crisis will Bring on the End of Shopping and the Birth of a New World. http://paulgilding.com

Guests Kevin from http://freedomlovin.com and http://healthymindfitbody.com and Michael from SoCalLibertopia videos are availablehttp://libertopia.org/media/videos/libertopia-2010-speeches/http://libertopia.org/media/videos/libertopia-2011-speeches/Yet another rights-violating statist courthouse, despite its PR claimshttp://www.miottawa.org/CourtsLE/58thDistrict/The Police State Is Here by Tim Kellyhttp://www.fff.org/comment/com1205p.aspWho Is Most Likely to Oppose Totalitarianism? by Robert Higgs http://blog.independent.org/2012/03/29/who-is-most-likely-to-oppose-totalitarianism/Kev's HS religious memeshttp://www.moreaucatholic.org/s/768/2col.aspx?sid=768&gid=1&pgid=264What do you do when a truth--a new truth to you--conflicts with your belief system?143: Logic Saves Lives Part 1 - Foundation, Attitudes and Valueshttp://schoolsucks.podomatic.com/entry/2012-05-25T16_12_31-07_00Get a mental software (wetware:) upgrade and explore your subconscious emotional psychologyhttp://happinesscounseling.com/happiness-resources/How Critical Thinkers Lose Their Faith in God by Daisy Grewalhttp://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=how-critical-thinkers-lose-faith-godSam Harris simply destroys catholicismhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AcO4TnrskE0from: The God Debate II: Harris vs. Craighttp://youtu.be/yqaHXKLRKzghttp://pennsundayschool.com/Maxed-out or abundance? Paul Gilding, Peter Diamandis debatehttp://www.kurzweilai.net/qa-from-the-ted-stage-paul-gilding-and-peter-diamandis-debatebumper music "God" by John Lennonhttp://www.johnlennon.com/ to comment, please go to http://completeliberty.com/magazine/category/91697

Aired 03/25/12 Recently the annual TED conference took place in Long Beach California. I have long recommended its famous 18 minute TED talks. Check out TED.com/talks, they cover a wide range of topics including science, technology, design, business, global issues and they have recurring themes of inspiration, challenge, and optimism. Not unlike what I try to do with this radio show. On opening day the recent conference scheduled two talks one after the other. The first by Paul Gilding entitled The Earth is Full asked questions like Have we used up all our resources? Have we filled up all the livable space on Earth? Gilding suggests we have with the possibility of devastating consequences. In a talk that's equal parts terrifying and oddly hopeful, he says "It takes a good crisis to get us going. When we feel fear and we fear loss we are capable of quite extraordinary things." That talk was followed by one by today's guest, PETER DIAMANDIS, entitled Abundance Is Our Future in which he makes the case for optimism -- that we'll invent, innovate and create ways to solve the challenges that loom over us. "I'm not saying we don't have our set of problems -- problems - climate crisis, species extinction, water and energy shortage - we surely do. But ultimately, we knock them down." Since the dawn of humanity, a privileged few have lived in stark contrast to the majority. Conventional wisdom says this gap cannot be closed. But, according to a new book by Diamandis and co-author Steven Kotler, it is closing-fast. In Abundance: The Future is Better Than You Think, they document how progress in artificial intelligence, robotics, infinite computing, ubiquitous broadband networks, digital manufacturing, nanomaterials, synthetic biology, and many other exponentially growing technologies will enable us to make greater gains in the next two decades than we have in the previous two hundred years. They believe we will soon have the ability to meet and exceed the basic needs of every man, woman, and child on the planet. http://diamandis.com http://www.abundancethebook.com

The Great Disruption Paul Gilding, Professor, Cambridge University Program for Sustainability Leadership Richard Heinberg, Senior Fellow, Post Carbon Institute Growth as we’ve known it is over, say Paul Gilding and Richard Heinberg. “The idea that we can keep on growing the economy up against the physical limits of the Earth” – water, oil, and land – “is not physically possible,” says Gilding, author, The Great Disruption. “We’re in a trap really. If we grow the economy, then we’ll hit those limits again. Prices will go up. Oil prices will go up. Food prices will go up. And the economy will go down,” he says. “If we don’t grow the economy, we’re going to drown in debt. We’re going to take a while to find our way out of this morass that we’ve dug ourselves into.” Richard Heinberg, author, The End of Growth, has written that it took decades for nominal GDP to recover after the Great Depression. But the fallout of the Great Recession, he says, will be much worse. “I don’t think we’ll ever see growth the way we experienced during the decades of the 20th century.” “We have to create an economy that exists within nature’s limits,” he says. “We’ve been borrowing from the past, by way of fossil fuels. We’re also borrowing from future generations, by way of debt – all so that we can consumer as much as possible right now.” Gilding highlights one industry, solar, for which projections are increasingly optimistic. Globally, the industry is growing 40% each year, he notes, and every time the industry doubles, the price per watt falls by 20%. By 2020, he expects solar to be cheaper than coal. That’s not to say that energy incumbents will be easily swept aside. Oil firms are using every known trick, and developing more, to secure new deposits, Heinberg says: “We’re getting better and better at scraping the bottom of the barrel.”“They are fighting tooth and nail,” says Paul Gilding. “They are going to do whatever it takes to defend their cash. It’s up to government to overcome that, and to have the courage to stare them down and to enforce the change.” Such a stand is underway in Gilding’s native Australia, where parliament just passed legislation placing a price on carbon. Yes, the legislation is a compromise, with some carve-outs for energy-intensive industries, says Gilding, but “the key thing is that we’re going to cross that dreaded line that you haven’t crossed yet, which is that we’re saying nationally: you have to deal with the issue.” “I think our country has a larger capacity for denial,” says Richard Heinberg, an understatement that draws laughs. “I think we’re going to have to hit the wall before we see fundamental change.” This program was recorded in front of a live audience at The Commonwealth Club in San francisco on November 7, 2011

2011 has brought with it many challenges to the global community, namely weather extremes pushing up record food prices, and political instability spiking oil prices. Until now our economy has been based on consumption and waste, where we lived beyond our means and the resources of the planet’s ecosystems. According to Paul Gilding we have come to the end of economic growth as we know it and now it is time for Economic Growth 2.0. Gilding paints a picture of the coming decades as ones filled with loss, suffering, conflict, geopolitical instability, food shortages and massive economic change. However, he believes all of this will bring out humanity’s best qualities; compassion, innovation and adaptability will carry us through these coming crises and make us a stronger and more advanced civilization.