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Vincent Reinhart, chief economist and macro strategist at BNY Investments, says that Monday's temporary halt to the tariff battle between the United States and China significantly reduces the potential for a recession, but it doesn't create the clarity that investors and business leaders are seeking. He believes the U.S. will continue to deliver solid results long-term, but warns that the road to those long-term gains is likely to be bumpy, and even notes that "for now, cash looks pretty attractive." Larry Tentarelli, editor at Blue Chip Daily Trend Report, says that the market's gains Monday continue a trend that has been building since the market bottomed after "Liberation Day." He says the recent moves have crossed trend lines and moved the Nasdaq out of bear-market territory and the recent gains have more room to run. Plus, Paula Fleming, chief spokesman for the Better Business Bureau of Eastern Massachusetts, Maine, Rhode Island and Vermont, talks about avoiding summer scams around roofing, home construction and more.
Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge and Lori Calvasina, Head of U.S. Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, break down the market action after the Fed left rates unchanged and a fresh wave of earnings. ARM and Skyworks report as semis stay in focus. Fed deep-dive with BNY Investments' Vincent Reinhart and Jefferies' David Zervos after fresh commentary from Fed Chair Powell. Jon Breaking down ARM's quarter with Benchmark analyst Cody Acree. Our Sara Eisen has an exclusive interview with Citadel CEO Ken Griffin on the markets, monetary policy, and Trump vs. Harvard.
Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found Click On Picture To See Larger Picture The [DS][CB] are trying to blame Trump for the inflation, they are using the price of eggs, but the narrative is falling apart. The [CB] is beginning the narrative of pushing back against Trumps rate cuts, if they keep the rates high and Trump brings inflation down with lowering oil the Fed is screwed, if they lower the rates and try to crash the economy they are screwed. Gold in the end will destroy the Fed. The [DS] is on life support. The [WEF] is trying to figure out a way to control the flow of information. Trump let us know that we have more work ahead of us, which means more winning. Scavino sends a message that we are witnessing the destruction of the old guard and the people are taking back the country. Trump let's us know that there is bright light above the US, Dark to Light. (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:13499335648425062,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-7164-1323"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="//cdn2.customads.co/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs"); Economy https://twitter.com/JSADallas/status/1883875999810818194 https://twitter.com/QuintenFrancois/status/1883210659615166949 Federal Reserve expected to stand pat on rates even as Trump demands cuts The Federal Reserve is nearly certain to keep its key interest rate unchanged at its policy meeting this week, just a few days after President Donald Trump said he would soon demand lower rates. Vincent Reinhart, chief economist at BNY Investments and a former top economist at the Fed, said Powell won't let Trump's attacks affect his policy decisions. Fed officials have clearly signaled they expect to skip a rate hike, at least in January, to evaluate the job market and economy. Some officials, including Beth Hammack, president of the Fed's Cleveland branch, have argued that the persistence of inflation means the Fed should keep its key rate elevated. Hammack voted against the Fed's quarter-point cut last month. Most economists forecast that widepread tariffs will likely lift inflation by roughly several-tenths of a percentage point — not a large amount, but potentially enough for the Fed to postpone rate cuts. It could take months for the tariffs to be formally imposed and then to evaluate their impact on the economy. Some economists don't think the impact will be apparent until next year. Source: yahoonews.com Political/Rights https://twitter.com/KeenanPeachy/status/1883716202113179720 henchman. He's the one who imposed the mandatory EPA removal on everyone. Disgraced Mayor Karen Bass Caves to Trump's Demands After Public Rebuke — Parts of Palisades Set for Immediate Reopening Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass has caved into President Donald Trump's demands, allowing Pacific Palisades to reopen immediately. This decision comes after Trump's vociferous and humiliating public rebuke, exposing a deep-seated weakness within Bass's administration. In the aftermath of the devastating Palisades Fire, President Donald Trump visited Pacific Palisades to survey the damage and meet with local officials. “Know the risks. Follow public health guidelines: wear a N95 mask and use personal protective equipment,” she added. https://twitter.com/MayorOfLA/status/1883683513892790435?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1883683513892790435%7Ctwgr%5E5a48a1e1369eac719a179ed6f9e115bb87988514%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thegatewaypundit.com%2F2025%2F01%2Fdisgraced-mayor-karen-bass-caves-trumps-demands-after%2F https://twitter.com/LibertyValkyrie/status/1883765280536678618 Source: thegatewaypundit.com https://twitter.
Vincent Reinhart, chief economist and macro strategist at Dreyfus - Mellon, says investors should "Never count out recessions," but he notes that the chances of one happening amid current economic strength are low, less than the 15 percent of the time that recessions normally happen. Moreover, he notes that recessions now and in the future may not look the way recessions did before the turn of the century. New York Times columnist Peter Goodman discusses his new book, "How The World Ran Out of Everything," Bryce Colburn of USA Today Blueprint talks about a recent survey on the "junk fees" that Americans hate the most and, in The Danger Zone, Kyle Guske of New Constructs revisits retailer Wayfair, a zombie stock that may have what shoppers need but which should have investors shopping for alternatives unless they're shopping for a total loss.
This week, the Federal Reserve is gathering to make its latest interest rate decision. The central bank is widely expected to hold rates steady, but the FOMC September meeting will give us a lot of clues about the future of the economy and the direction of the stock market. Former Fed official Vincent Reinhart, now chief economist at Dreyfus and Mellon, talks about how a new approach from the central bank could affect our money. We've also got our eyes on FedEx. The shipping giant is expected to report earnings this week, and WSJ reporter Esther Fung is here to explain its recent struggles, how it is competing with UPS and what this means for shareholders. And we're talking about ESG. It's one of the most talked-about terms in investing, but what do those letters actually mean? Take a listen to get a better grip on the markets for the week of September 17. Further Reading An Important Shift in Fed Officials' Rate Stance Is Under Way Pushing Inflation to Fed Target Will Run Into Tight Labor Market, Researcher Says FedEx Quarterly Sales Fall 10% as Shipping Struggles Continue Looking for an Alternative to ESG Investing? Here's One Possibility
Kathryn Kaminski, AlphaSimplex Chief Research Strategist, says a 6% 10-year yield is not crazy. Vincent Reinhart, Chief Economist and Macro Strategist Dreyfus and Mellon, says current yield levels are sustainable. Chuck Grom, Gordon Haskett Senior Retail Analyst, says we are seeing signs of a discretionary recession. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder, says fixed income returns are better than a year ago.Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Richard Clarida, Fmr. Federal Reserve Vice Chair, PIMCO Global Economic Advisor & Columbia University Professor, says one more Fed hike is in play in the fall. James Athey, Abrdn Investment Director, reacts to the ECB hiking rates by 25 basis points. Vincent Reinhart, Dreyfus and Mellon Chief Economist and Macro Strategist, says Fed Chair Jerome Powell is "pretty confusing."Mandeep Singh, Bloomberg Intelligence, discusses Meta revenue, forecast beating estimates. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Brian Sack was recently the Director of Global Economics at the D.E. Shaw Group, and prior to that, he was the manager of the System Open Market Account or SOMA and the head of the Markets Group at the New York Federal Reserve bank, where he managed the Fed's balance sheet. Brian joins Macro Musings to talk about the central bank's balance sheet, its operating system, and his work at the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee. Specifically, David and Brian discuss the current state of the Fed's balance sheet, Brian's theory of QE, how to improve the effectiveness of the floor system, and a lot more. Transcript for the episode can be found here. Brian's LinkedIn profile Brian's Google Scholar archive David Beckworth's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings Click here for the latest Macro Musings episodes sent straight to your inbox! Check out our new Macro Musings merch here! Related Links: *Monetary Policy with Abundant Liquidity: A New Operating Framework for the Federal Reserve* by Joseph Gagnon and Brian Sack *Monetary Policy Alternatives at the Zero Lower Bound: An Empirical Assessment* by Ben Bernanke, Vincent Reinhart, and Brian Sack
Vincent Reinhart, chief economist and macro strategist at Dreyfus-Mellon, says that for all of the concerns investors have about the economy -- fears that have been heightened due to headlines about bank collapses -- economic activity remains strong and is likely to stay that way for much of the time the Federal Reserve is trying to curb inflation. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of VettaFi looks at a banking fund that has been buffeted by current events as an exemplar for trend-following with his ETF of the Week, Matthew Tuttle of Tuttle Capital -- which recently opened funds based on the picks of Jim Cramer -- discusses the pundit's call on Silicon Valley Bank, and Ed Slott of IRAhelp.com answers a listener's question.
Vincent Reinhart, Dreyfus and Mellon Chief Economist, discusses the Fed's path following US inflation cooling. Leland Miller, China Beige Book CEO, says we could see extremely high GDP growth in China next year. Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist & Managing Director, says the Fed will keep hiking rates even though we will see inflation metrics coming down this year. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO & Chief Research Officer, talks retail in the wake of CPI. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief US Equity Strategist, is confident this market rally will continue through December. Jordan Rochester, Nomura G-10 FX Strategist, sees GBP-USD at 1.25 next year. Vincent Reinhart, Dreyfus Mellon Chief Economist, sees an economic downturn within the next 12 months. Rubeela Farooqi, High Frequency Economics Chief US Economist, says the Fed doesn't want to overtighten. Bob Doll, Crossmark Global Investments Chief Investment Officer, says the Fed has to pray this labor market quiets down. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Vincent Reinhart, chief economist and macro strategist for Dreyfus and Mellon, says there is "no safe place for an investor right now except cash" and inflation-protected securities, due to high inflation and the Federal Reserve's inability to this point to get prices under control. As a result, Reinhart says that the economy is either in or entering a shallow recession, with a recovery that could take a while to arrive and that might not be particularly robust when it gets here. Ed Moya, senior market analyst at OANDA, talks technical analysis and why investors are so cautious about risky assets now and why they're not likely to act differently to the market until there's a reason for optimism return until inflation is no longer the primary driver for markets; Timothy Reick, chief executive officer at Liberty Street Advisors -- advisor to the Private Shares Fund -- discusses why private equity is an asset class that is not correlated to the broad stock market that individual investors largely overlook in their portfolios. And in the Market Call, Jason Herried, director of equity strategies at Johnson Financial Group, talks about investing in mutual funds and ETFs and balancing long-term portfolio plans with shorter-term market opportunities.
Olivier Blanchard, Former IMF Chief Economist, says the Fed is going to have a hard time slowing inflation. Vincent Reinhart, Dreyfus and Mellon Chief Economist, says the Great Moderation is over. Savita Subramanian, BofA Securities Equity and Quant Strategist, says energy is investable again. Alina Polyakova, Center for European Policy Analysis President & CEO, says Putin may advance further into Europe if he takes Ukraine. Elsa Lignos, RBC Global Head of FX Strategy, says there are big obstacles to de-dollarization. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Vincent Reinhart, Mellon Chief Economist and Macro Strategist, says the delta variant is Jay Powell's taper "ace card." Dennis Gartman, Chairman of the University of Akron's Endowment Fund and Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter, says smart money has been leaving the market since July. Gabriela Santos, says she fundamentally disagrees with the thesis that China is uninvestable. George Friedman, Founder and Chairman of Geopolitical Futures, says all-in wars like Afghanistan always places the U.S. at a disadvantage. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Vincent Reinhart, Mellon Chief Economist and Macro Strategist, says the delta variant is Jay Powell's taper "ace card." Dennis Gartman, Chairman of the University of Akron's Endowment Fund and Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter, says smart money has been leaving the market since July. Gabriela Santos, says she fundamentally disagrees with the thesis that China is uninvestable. George Friedman, Founder and Chairman of Geopolitical Futures, says all-in wars like Afghanistan always places the U.S. at a disadvantage. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Michelle Meyer, BofA Securities Head of U.S. Economics, sees the U.S. economy continuing to grow well above trend after the expected peak in the second quarter. Troy Gayeski, SkyBridge Partner and Senior Portfolio Manager, says value plays still have legs. Vincent Reinhart, Mellon Chief Economist and Macro Strategist, says needs to walk a fine line in his testimony to Congress this week. Dr. Joshua Sharfstein, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Vice Dean, discusses risks around the Covid-19 delta variant and the urgency to vaccinate more people. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Michelle Meyer, BofA Securities Head of U.S. Economics, sees the U.S. economy continuing to grow well above trend after the expected peak in the second quarter. Troy Gayeski, SkyBridge Partner and Senior Portfolio Manager, says value plays still have legs. Vincent Reinhart, Mellon Chief Economist and Macro Strategist, says needs to walk a fine line in his testimony to Congress this week. Dr. Joshua Sharfstein, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Vice Dean, discusses risks around the Covid-19 delta variant and the urgency to vaccinate more people. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Vincent Reinhart, chief economist at Mellon, says the economic activity is being miscategorized as a recovery because it is just a rebound until we see a return to something much closer to pre-Covid levels on unemployment and economic activity. That bodes well for a broader economic recovery once the pandemic has ended. Also on the show, John Kosar of Asbury research says the market is likely headed for a correction of 10 percent or more before it can get much higher, Bill Pekowitz of the Aberdeen Global Premier Properties Fund talks about how coronavirus 'put real estate in the crosshairs,' and Julian Koski of New Age Alpha talks about avoiding losers in the Market Call.
Carmen Reinhart, World Bank Chief Economist and Vincent Reinhart, Mellon Chief Economist look at how the coronavirus pandemic is affecting the global economy and financial markets. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, discusses why he expects dollar-renminbi to take over as a dominant currency pair. Dr. Deborah Fuller, University of Washington School of Medicine Microbiology Professor, says at least 50-60% of the population will need to be vaccinated in order to stop this pandemic. David Rosenberg, Rosenberg Research Chief Economist & Strategist, sees a release of pent-up demand once a vaccine is broadly distributed. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Carmen Reinhart, World Bank Chief Economist and Vincent Reinhart, Mellon Chief Economist look at how the coronavirus pandemic is affecting the global economy and financial markets. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, discusses why he expects dollar-renminbi to take over as a dominant currency pair. Dr. Deborah Fuller, University of Washington School of Medicine Microbiology Professor, says at least 50-60% of the population will need to be vaccinated in order to stop this pandemic. David Rosenberg, Rosenberg Research Chief Economist & Strategist, sees a release of pent-up demand once a vaccine is broadly distributed.
“Even by the standards of systemic crises, this is a once in a century, global – truly global – crisis,” explains Carmen Reinhart, the World Bank's newly-appointed Chief Economist, about the pandemic-led economic downturn. In a special appearance on The Development Podcast, Reinhart and World Bank Group President David Malpass give us their perspective on the health of the global economy and what they believe a path to recovery looks like. “More-so than the 2008 crisis,” according to Malpass, “this one is really hitting the poor, hitting the developing countries. It's not only a financial crisis, but it's a true deep, deep economic crisis.” Plus: Pabsy Mariano joins hosts Paul Blake and Raka Banerjee to preview this year's entirely virtual World Bank Group – IMF Annual Meetings and details how you can participate from home. Show notes: -Read Carmen and Vincent Reinhart's article, “The Pandemic Depression”, in Foreign Affairs: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-08-06/coronavirus-depression-global-economy (https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-08-06/coronavirus-depression-global-economy) -Get the latest on the 2020 World Bank Group – IMF Annual Meetings and plan to participate: http://live.worldbank.org/ (http://live.worldbank.org)
Dr. Penny Wheeler, CEO at Allina Health and Dr. Craig Samitt, President of Blue Cross Blue Shield of Minnesota discuss their value-based agreement to provide more affordable health care. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Businessweek National Correspondent Josh Green profile the various groups of voters that will be participating in the presidential election. Vincent Reinhart, Chief Economist at Standish Mellon Asset Management, explains why he sees a global economic "pandemic depression." And we Drive to the Close with Abhay Deshpande, CEO at Centerstone Investors. Hosts: Jason Kelly and Alix Steel. Producer: Paul Brennan Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Dr. Penny Wheeler, CEO at Allina Health and Dr. Craig Samitt, President of Blue Cross Blue Shield of Minnesota discuss their value-based agreement to provide more affordable health care. Bloomberg Businessweek Editor Joel Weber and Businessweek National Correspondent Josh Green profile the various groups of voters that will be participating in the presidential election. Vincent Reinhart, Chief Economist at Standish Mellon Asset Management, explains why he sees a global economic "pandemic depression." And we Drive to the Close with Abhay Deshpande, CEO at Centerstone Investors. Hosts: Jason Kelly and Alix Steel. Producer: Paul Brennan
Dr. Rasmus reviews the growing number of mainstream economists now beginning to predict the current economic crisis, either is now or soon may become, another Great Depression. World Bank and Mellon Bank chief economists, Carmen and Vincent Reinhart’s forthcoming essay in the prestigious Foreign Affairs Journal is reviewed. Rasmus notes how their analysis is similar to points he’s been making since March 2020. Other views similar by liberal dean of economics, Paul Krugman, who calls today’s crisis ‘The Greater Recession’ and others are noted. Few mainstream economists now call it a V-shape recovery, unlike this past spring. Rasmus then reviews actual GDP contractions world wide in 2020 and why they suggest a ‘great recession’ that is weakening at best in the 3rd quarter. Why the current economy will weaken: more Covid 19 problems, basic restructuring of the economy, coming political instability, and financial crisis potentially in 2021. (check out my articles at jackrasmus.com blog for updates).
Vincent Reinhart, BNY Mellon Asset Management Chief Economist says central banks do not create extra demand; they borrow it. William Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist and Former Fed President, discusses his latest column on the repo market. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School Professor and Former White House Economic Adviser to President Obama, says there are parts of the economy that are quite weak despite the unemployment rate being low. Dr. Jennifer Rohn, University College London Principal Research Associate, says there may be a delay of developing information surrounding the coronavirus coming from China. Dan Ives, Wedbush Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, says the IPhone 11 product cycle is much stronger than anyone could have anticipated, especially in China. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Vincent Reinhart, BNY Mellon Asset Management Chief Economist says central banks do not create extra demand; they borrow it. William Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist and Former Fed President, discusses his latest column on the repo market. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School Professor and Former White House Economic Adviser to President Obama, says there are parts of the economy that are quite weak despite the unemployment rate being low. Dr. Jennifer Rohn, University College London Principal Research Associate, says there may be a delay of developing information surrounding the coronavirus coming from China. Dan Ives, Wedbush Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst, says the IPhone 11 product cycle is much stronger than anyone could have anticipated, especially in China.
Vincent Reinhart, chief economist and macro strategist at Mellon, is not forecasting a recession in the United States but he said that trade uncertainty has been a drag on economic activity worldwide, creating a global recession. Moreover, even when the trade and tariff disputes are resolved, he said things will not be better than before, as it will take time to recover from the damage being caused by the slowdown in trade. Also on the show, Chuck answers a listener's question about an investing strategy espoused by Jim Cramer, Sandy Block of Kiplinger's Personal Finance talks about ways to simplify your finances, and Mike Liss of American Century Value has the Market Call.
Adam Posen, Peterson Institute President, says the Bank of England can't do anything ahead of Brexit. Willem Buiter, Citi Special Economic Advisor, only sees the BOE hiking rates in response to a soft Brexit. Vincent Reinhart, Standish Mellon Asset Management Chief Economist, says he no longer takes "Japanification" as a bad term. Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Senior Portfolio Manager, does a deep dive into consumer staple stocks. And Amanda Renteria, Clinton 2016 Presidential Campaign National Political Director, says a fighting spirit is more important than policy proposals for the Democratic candidates. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Adam Posen, Peterson Institute President, says the Bank of England can't do anything ahead of Brexit. Willem Buiter, Citi Special Economic Advisor, only sees the BOE hiking rates in response to a soft Brexit. Vincent Reinhart, Standish Mellon Asset Management Chief Economist, says he no longer takes "Japanification" as a bad term. Andrew Slimmon, Morgan Stanley Investment Management Senior Portfolio Manager, does a deep dive into consumer staple stocks. And Amanda Renteria, Clinton 2016 Presidential Campaign National Political Director, says a fighting spirit is more important than policy proposals for the Democratic candidates.
Vincent Reinhart, chief economist and macro strategist at Mellon said in the Big Interview that between tariff problems and economic issues in Europe, investors must wait for the second half of the year for solid growth. That said, economic growth will be sufficient to avoid recession but not enough to satisfy investors who want to see more global expansion. Also, Adam Grimes of Talon Advisors suggested that investors should be long in stocks, while expecting a bear market to arrive in six to nine months, and David Brady of Brady Investment Counsel discussed large-cap growth investments in the Market Call.
Vincent Reinhart, Mellon Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, discusses what's he's looking to in the Fed Minutes. Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-Texas) says the President's border wall is a 14th century solution to a 21st century problem. John Brabender, Brabenderbox Chief Creative Officer & Republican Strategist, discusses fractures in the GOP. Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley Global Head of Banks and Diversified Financials Research, says she has her eye on big bank buybacks. ------ Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Vincent Reinhart, Mellon Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, discusses what's he's looking to in the Fed Minutes. Rep. Henry Cuellar (D-Texas) says the President's border wall is a 14th century solution to a 21st century problem. John Brabender, Brabenderbox Chief Creative Officer & Republican Strategist, discusses fractures in the GOP. Betsy Graseck, Morgan Stanley Global Head of Banks and Diversified Financials Research, says she has her eye on big bank buybacks. ------
Matt Forester, Chief Investment Officer for BNY Mellon Lockwood Advisors, will discuss key concerns with the markets today, and how they’re likely to impact investors. Dr. David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist and Head of the Global Market Insights Strategy Team, J.P. Morgan Asset Management, will discuss the state of the markets and the global economy. Phil Orlando, Chief Equity Market Strategist at Federated, on the confluence of politics, economics and the financial markets. Vincent Reinhart, Chief Economist at Standish, on the economic outlook and the Fed.
Former Republican Presidential candidate Carly Fiorina says Democrats need to get a program and criticizing Donald Trump isn't enough. Prior to that, Vincent Reinhart, Standish Mellon's chief economist, says Jay Powell as a Fed Chair would be different than Jay Powell as a Fed governor. Nathan Sheets, PGIM's chief economist, says China's President Xi has set himself up for not just five years, but 10 years of rule. Paul Hanly Jr, attorney and shareholder at Simmons Hanly Conroy, says Trump's speech on the opioid epidemic was a disappointment. Brian Wieser, a senior research analyst at Pivotal Research, says Twitter suffers from "shiny object syndrome." Finally, Carlyle Group Co-Founder David Rubenstein says it's important that Carlyle maintains its culture through its executive shakeup. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Former Republican Presidential candidate Carly Fiorina says Democrats need to get a program and criticizing Donald Trump isn't enough. Prior to that, Vincent Reinhart, Standish Mellon's chief economist, says Jay Powell as a Fed Chair would be different than Jay Powell as a Fed governor. Nathan Sheets, PGIM's chief economist, says China's President Xi has set himself up for not just five years, but 10 years of rule. Paul Hanly Jr, attorney and shareholder at Simmons Hanly Conroy, says Trump's speech on the opioid epidemic was a disappointment. Brian Wieser, a senior research analyst at Pivotal Research, says Twitter suffers from "shiny object syndrome." Finally, Carlyle Group Co-Founder David Rubenstein says it's important that Carlyle maintains its culture through its executive shakeup.
Steven Cook, a senior fellow for Middle East studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, talks about the geopolitical and security situation for the U.S. and Syria, following the U.S. air strikes. Bloomberg's Tony Capaccio discusses how the strike raises the stakes for Russia. Al Angrisani, the former assistant labor secretary under President Reagan, and Carl Riccadonna, Bloomberg Intelligence's chief U.S. economist, discuss jobs and why Angrisani says wage growth should be the Trump administration's priority. Finally, Vincent Reinhart, chief economist at Standish Mellon Asset Management, talks about job numbers, the Fed and the outlook for Trump's fiscal policy.
Vincent Reinhart, the chief economist at Standish Mellon Asset Management, says the Wall Street Journal's coverage of the Fed's January meeting shaped the probability of a March rate hike. Neil Dwane, a global strategist at Allianz Global Investors, discusses Donald Trump's speech to the joint session of Congress. Bloomberg Intelligence's Paul Sweeney discusses Snap's IPO. Finally, Bloomberg's Erik Schatzker discusses the management shake-up at the world's biggest hedge fund, Bridgewater, as Ray Dalio steps down as interim co-CEO and co-CEO Jon Rubenstein exits after 10 months on the job.
(Bloomberg) -- Taking Stock with Kathleen Hays and Pimm Fox. u0010 u0010GUEST: u0010Vincent Reinhart u0010Chief Economist u0010Standish Mellon Asset Mgmt Co LLC u0010Will discuss the FOMC outcome.
Standish Mellon's Vincent Reinhart focuses on the Fed with Tom Keene and Michael McKee on Bloomberg Surveillance. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Vincent Reinhart of the American Enterprise Institute talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the government interventions and non-interventions into financial markets in 2008. Conventional wisdom holds that the failure to intervene in the collapse of Lehman Brothers precipitated the crisis. Reinhart argues that the key event occurred months earlier when the government engineered a shotgun marriage of Bear Stearns to JP Morgan Chase by guaranteeing billion of Bear's assets and sending a signal to creditors that risky lending might come without a cost. Reinhart argues that there is a wider menu of choices available to policy makers than simply rescue or no rescue, and that it is important to take action before the crisis comes to a head.
Vincent Reinhart of the American Enterprise Institute talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the government interventions and non-interventions into financial markets in 2008. Conventional wisdom holds that the failure to intervene in the collapse of Lehman Brothers precipitated the crisis. Reinhart argues that the key event occurred months earlier when the government engineered a shotgun marriage of Bear Stearns to JP Morgan Chase by guaranteeing billion of Bear's assets and sending a signal to creditors that risky lending might come without a cost. Reinhart argues that there is a wider menu of choices available to policy makers than simply rescue or no rescue, and that it is important to take action before the crisis comes to a head.