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Depending on perspective, it's not difficult to agree with George Friedman's interpretations of “how the world turns”. I first met George in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania in 1983 where he was a Professor at the United States War College. It was instantly obvious that the professors knowledge in his field was second to none. George's most recent book “The Storm Before the Calm” (2020) set the stage for the era we are now navigating. This interview with Dr Friedman on the current Middle East crisis is one of our best discussions of how, when, where and why such events happen and how they play out. Whether or not you agree, the founder and chairman of Geopolitical Futures is at his best. And we visit The Mailroom with Mrs Producer. File your comments and complaints at Leighton@newstalkzb.co.nz OR Carolyn@newstalkzb.co.nz Haven't listened to a podcast before? Check out our simple how-to guide. Listen here on iHeartRadio Leighton Smith's podcast also available on iTunes:To subscribe via iTunes click here See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Darrell Castle talks about President Trump’s recent summit with Premier Xi in China and points out the similarities with President Nixon’s summit in China in 1972. Transcription / Notes NIXON WENT TO CHINA TOO Hello, this is Darrell Castle with today's Castle Report. This is Friday the 22nd day of May in the year of our Lord 2026. President Trump just completed a three-day historic summit with Premier Xi in China. He is not the first President to visit China since President Nixon made that trip in 1972 when China was a far different nation than today as it was in the throes of suffering through the Maoist revolution. This is the Friday before Memorial Day when we pause to remember the fallen and for most it is the start of a 3-day weekend, but for Joan and I it is a different sort of anniversary to remember. Forty-nine years ago, on this date we saw each other for the first time because we were introduced on a blind date with mutual friends. So, we met forty-nine years ago on this date and we have been together ever since but our actual anniversary, the forty-nine will be in December. This Memorial Day falls 81 years after the end of World War ll, seventy-seven years after the end of the Korean War, and fifty-one years after the end of the Vietnam War. I guess the other wars, the desert wars, are still going on. Since we are into a little nostalgia this week and to prevent burying the lead it was 54 years ago that Nixon made his historic trip to China. It was historic because China and the US, although friends in World War ll had been bitter enemies for 23 years or since the Maoist revolution. The governing principle upon which the Chinese government has been based for all those years now 77 has been that capitalism would inevitably fail, and communism would ultimately triumph around the world. The triumph would come by way of revolution as it did in China but with the aid of countries where the Communist revolution had already occurred. That principle explains why the real enemy of the Western forces fighting in Korea and Vietnam was China and Russia, not North Korea and North Vietnam. When Nixon arrived in China in 1972 the Communist Revolution had been ongoing since 1949 or 23 years but China had not fared well under Communism. It was a desperately poor, agrarian society in which the people were making little or no progress. There was very little indoor plumbing, especially in rural areas, and very little access to electricity. GDP per capita was barely at subsistence levels. Unlike today, China was technologically backward with a massive military but unable to technically compete. Trade with China was at $95.9 million and Nixon sought to build a bridge across the hostility of that world. He famously declared it “the week that changed the world.” President Clinton had a different approach to China because he apparently believed that massive technology transfers and resulting economic success would ease tensions and result in a more peaceful world. In 2000 he gave the Chinese PNTR or Permanent Normal Trade Relations and supported Chinese membership in the WTO or World Trade Organization in 2001. Before Chinese entry into the WTO the US-China trade deficit was about $83 billion but by 2015 it was $367 billion. Chinese imports into the US also surged massively with an estimated replacement of US jobs at about 2.4 to 3.4 million. Communities built in the US around the manufacture of electronics, clothing, furniture, automobiles, and other products were devastated and became just the rust belt. Nixon visited a weak, agrarian society but the new economic policies turned it into an economic and military superpower. Now President Trump has visited this country which has been hostile to the United States for 77 years. Trump's approach to negotiating is to assume he has the strength in the relationship and to use it to his advantage. Tariffs, export controls, global alliances, and military power are all used in an effort to help benefit US farmers, manufacturers, energy workers, and many others. I predict that Trump's trip to China will prove similar to Nixon's in some ways. They both sought direct personal negotiation producing tangible economic benefits to both sides with protection from dangerous strategic competition. There is a knowledge or at least an assumption that President Clinton's belief that economic success alone would moderate strategic behavior did not work and guardrails have to be installed and adhered to. Nixon engaged an impoverished third-world China for the purpose of using it to counter the Soviets. Trump engaged a powerful superpower to prevent it from obtaining or maintaining dominance in key areas. He got a public commitment from Xi to stop supplying weapons to Iran and to not aid in Iranian nuclear efforts. I have some thoughts on Xi's statement about Iranian efforts to develop nuclear weapons. In my view his statement meant nothing or it was what in the law is referred to as legal fiction. He said that Iran should not have nuclear weapons and Iran should reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Well of course for the world's economies the Strait should be reopened; a no brainer. Both sides know that nukes are not the reason for the attack on Iran and not the real reason for the continuation of the war. Thomas Massie just found out in his Republican primary what the real reason is. If the Israel lobby or the friends of Israel wants you out of congress then you are out of congress. There aren't many surviving Republicans who are not totally sold out the Israel lobby. Rand Paul is an example and Thomas Massie was another. So almost no Republicans and about the same number of Democrats although some Democrats seem to survive without total subservience. If there are grounds for optimism coming from the summit they can be found in Xi's public speech or at least that's how I see them. The English version of Xi's speech comes to me via George Friedman and his Geopolitical Futures so quoting Mr. Xi. “Honorable President Donald J. Trump, ladies and gentlemen, friends, looking back at the cause of China-U.S. relations, whether or not we could have mutual respect, peaceful coexistence and win-win cooperation is the key to whether the relationship can advance steadily. The world today is changing and turbulent. China-U.S. relations concern the well-being of over 1,7 billion people of both countries and affect the interests of the over 8 billion people of the world. Both sides should rise up to this historic responsibility and steer the giant ship of China-U.S. relations forward steadily and in the right direction.” To me that statement says this is a multi-polar world and if we are to progress together and for the good of the world's people you must recognize that. If you are willing to do that then 77 years of hostility can end at least open hostility can end. President Trump probably had the speech examined by his China people and he probably pointed out the thousands of Chinese spies who occupy every university of note, every corporation of note and even hold political office. Yes the mayor of Alameda, California has confessed to being a Chinese agent. There are hardly any members of Congress or the Senate who haven't slept with at least one Chinese spy. Mr. Xi let me ask you this if the Chinese are so smart and so technologically proficient why do you have to steal your technology and your scientific advances from us. I'm just guessing but I imagine all those things were discussed. In short, China needs the American market to save its economy. In recent years economists have noted that Chinese domestic consumption has fallen off a cliff, but production is soaring. Thar means that China cannot absorb nearly enough of its production and needs the American market to do that. America needs China and Russia to help it find a face-saving exit from its war against Iran. You both control Iran and we will endeavor to control Netanyahu. To carry my point a little further Xi mentioned the Thucydides Trap in which the ancient Greek Geopolitical Thinker pointed out that when a rising power collides with an old power war is always the result. Xi said he hopes that can be avoided for China and the U.S. If that is the case and both sides want to avoid war then talking is at least the first step and a necessary one. To that end they have scheduled another summit for Washington in September, I think. Finally, folks, it seems to me that China has everything to lose and nothing to gain by war with the United States. George Friedman pointed out the fact that he mentioned Thucydides but did not mention Lenin, or Marx, and to me that's pretty significant and could mean a turning away from 77 years of false assumptions. Why are these two men meeting and negotiating, well, I think necessity is the mother of invention and right now they need each other. At least that's the way I see it, Until next time folks, This is Darrell Castle, Thanks for listening.
George Friedman, from Geopolitical Futures guested on Podcast 318, five weeks ago.As the Iran war has developed into a longer and much more serious event, it was appropriate to muster his knowledge and expertise for an update.Knowing that there were threats for ever greater expansion of the conflict, we endeavoured to cover different results for each possibility.We take a look at energy shortage and policy failure, and critique AI.And we visit The Mailroom with Mrs Producer. File your comments and complaints at Leighton@newstalkzb.co.nz OR Carolyn@newstalkzb.co.nz Haven't listened to a podcast before? Check out our simple how-to guide. Listen here on iHeartRadio Leighton Smith's podcast also available on iTunes:To subscribe via iTunes click here See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Media around the world has been engrossed with reporting, speculating, and arguing the case over the war with Iran. While it may have been ‘out of the blue' for many, the conflict came as no surprise to those following the developments in the Middle East. George Friedman, Chairman and Founder of Geopolitical Futures, exploits knowledge he's accumulated over decades, providing his opinion on why US President Donald Trump made the decision to attack Iran. He provides the answers others can't. And as always, we visit the mailroom with Mrs Producer. File your comments and complaints at Leighton@newstalkzb.co.nz OR Carolyn@newstalkzb.co.nz Haven't listened to a podcast before? Check out our simple how-to guide. Listen here on iHeartRadio Leighton Smith's podcast also available on iTunes:To subscribe via iTunes click here See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Darrell Castle talks about President Trump’s speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos Switzerland presented earlier this week and the important issues surrounding the speech including Greenland, Iran, Gaza, Ukraine, and of course Minneapolis. Transcription / Notes TRUMP SPEAKS TO THE WEF Hello, this is Darrell Castle with today's Castle Report. This is Friday the 23rd day of January in the year of our Lord 2026. I will be talking about President Trump's speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos Switzerland which was given on Wednesday of this week. I will also talk about some of the important issues surrounding that speech including Greenland, Iran, Gaza, Ukraine, and of course Minneapolis. Yes, President Trump traveled to Davos this week accompanied by a large U.S. delegation including Secretary of State Marco Rubio. California Governor Gavin Newscom was in attendance although not part of the US delegation. He was quick to gather a news event to question everything the President said. So, the President spoke for over an hour to the richest, most powerful, most pompous and self-important people in this world. He used the occasion to sign the Board of Peace Charter, officially launching a new international organization tasked with overseeing the peace process between Israel and Hamas to end the war in Gaza. Trump said as he signed, “This Board is the chance to be one of the most consequential bodies ever created, and it's my enormous honor to serve as its chairman.” Founding members of the board were in attendance including Bahrain, Morocco, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bulgaria, Hungary, Indonesia, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, Pakistan, Paraguay, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Uzbekistan, Mongolia and the United Arab Emirates. Missing was Bibi Netanyahu because he has an international warrant out for him and he would most likely have been arrested. Could the Board of Peace end up replacing the United Nations? President Trump seems to think so, “I wish the United Nations could do more. I wish we didn't need a Board of Peace. The UN just hasn't been very helpful. I'm a big fan of the UN's potential but it has never lived up to its potential.” Trump, despite his criticism, didn't call for the dissolution of the UN. I suppose he left that duty to me and I have been actively calling for its dissolution since about 1990 when I became associated with the Constitution Party. Many people agree with me but find it very difficult to say so. I supported Ron Paul's presidential campaigns partly because of his end the FED rhetoric and his criticism of international bodies such as the UN. I fear that the Board of Peace will become just another bureaucracy but we will see whether it can really achieve peace in Gaza. The proposal calls for Hamas to lay down its arms which it has publicly refused to do. Jared Kushner, the president's son-in-law presented a slide show detailing the architectural plans for the Gaza strip. I hope those plans include the Palestinians still alive but we will see. Perhaps they can find jobs in the fabulous hotels and resorts that are supposed to be built. In the meantime, the IDF has reportedly killed at least 466 Palestinians since the ceasefire started as well as 3 journalists one of whom worked for Bari Weiss the new head of news at CBS. When invited to speak at WEF Denmark announced that it would not be attending because of Trump's position on Greenland. Perhaps the Danes don't quite understand the art of the deal. He renounced any plans to acquire Greenland by force and worked out a deal with NATO to allow US use of Greenland and in return plans for tariffs on EU members were canceled. Trump believes, and it makes sense to me, that the US needs influence there as a hedge against long term adversaries in the Arctic like China and Russia, for example. He assured them that US acquisition of rights in Greenland was not only, not a threat to NATO but would greatly enhance the security of the alliance. He said the new agreement would involve the Danes with the Golden Dome, and mineral rights. In case you don't know Golden Dome is a new missile defense system being built. Mark Rutte, the head of NATO, said after his meeting with Trump that the discussion about Greenland had changed. Now the discussion is about how the arctic region can be protected and secured. George Friedman is a geopolitical analyst of impeccable reputation and I have been a subscriber to his publication, Geopolitical Futures for many years. In regard to Greenland George said in his recent newsletter that he admitted for the first time he just could not explain or figure out something. He could not explain why Trump would place tariffs on NATO allies in order to acquire interest in Greenland. Now that Trump has lowered the temperature of the discussion the point may be moot but I think he does not have the same regard for the Europeans that many others have. In fact, I think this whole new Strategic Strategies Report that the administration just released is an announcement that the security agreement that has existed since World War ll has run its course and is now over. The US will consider its own hemisphere and its own defense first. In other words, this is all a continuation of the American Revolution which for 250 years has not been able to separate the American people from the European bankers. The bankers got their prize with the formation of the Federal Reserve which was formed to take control of the US financial system and keep the American people in debt slavery forever. The FED prints its own money and loans it to the US so it can be used to pay US interest on the debt that it has, thus 38 trillion debt and one trillion of interest. Take, for example, Mark Carney the Prime Minister of Canada. He is former governor of the Central Bank of England and former governor of the Central Bank of Canada and though in office, still associated with powerful banking and investment firms. That may be rambling a bit but it's still all very true. Trump went on in his speech with his usual carrot and stick approach. “Certain places in Europe are not even recognizable, frankly, anymore, they're not recognizable, and I love Europe, and I want to see Europe do good, but its not heading in the right direction.” He mentioned his Scottish and German heritage and said the people of the United States care deeply about Europe. He used part of his time to tout what he called restoring the American dream. He mentioned his Executive Order to prevent Wall Street Corporations from buying single family homes thus driving up the cost of rent and making owning a home much more expensive. “Families live in homes, not corporations.” Well, amen to that quote Mr. President, that is exactly right. My approval of that action and the quote is not very libertarian but then I am not a libertarian. The US is not going to subsidize the whole world he told the assembled Davos men and women. Global tariffs were implemented to address the large trade deficits the US was experiencing adding that many countries were taking advantage of the United States. He went on to brag about the economic changes and success that he believes the US is experiencing. So, my conclusion is that he went to Davos to conclude a Greenland deal and to sign the Board of Peace agreement but mostly to explain himself to these people. Wars still rage in Ukraine, Gaza, and Iran. The one in Iran seems to be heating up again with the Ayatollah publicly admitting to over 5000 protesters killed. Many reporters from inside Iran report more than 10,000. The Ayatollah has taken a very hard line calling the uprising sedition and blaming the United States and Israel for it and threatening full scale war. Trump has ordered his military leaders to give him strike options that could be done so something is most likely coming. US strategic bombers have been seen over the Persian Gulf region. I said I would say a few words about Minneapolis so here they are. That city seems to be the tip of the iceberg that is the massive fraud being committed against the US government but mainly against the working, taxpaying Americans. If you work and a portion of your labor and money you need to feed your family is taken from you by the IRS apparently a good deal of that is used to feed the terrorists in Somalia and to line the pockets of politicians across America. The politicians look the other way and run interference for the fraudsters and they are then rewarded with millions of fraudulently acquired dollars. It seems that California, Illinois, Massachusetts, and others may even be bigger than Minnesota. You are certainly aware that ICE is in Minnesota trying to round up, arrest and deport illegal criminals but the politicians who have been receiving millions in bribes from the illegals have been protecting them and attacking ICE agents. I suppose they believe that if they scream loud enough we the people will join the criminals, but then who will pay the taxes. This disorder went so far as to involve an attack or at least a forced disruption of Sunday Services at a Baptist church called Cities Church in St. Paul. Yes former news reporter Don Lemon led the mob into the church and disrupted people who were worshiping God on a Sunday morning. Lemon gave a lot of sanctimonious words about how protest is protected by the 1st amendment. He is really attacking Christianity and trying to eliminate the right of Christians to worship freely which is sacrosanct in the 1st amendment. It seems that in Minnesota they really love and value sanctuary except when it involves places that actually are sanctuaries. Contrast my city of Memphis with Minneapolis and notice the difference. Memphis has now had two good mayors in a row and the difference is astounding. The mayor didn't want federal authority here but he said if it's coming let's cooperate and use it to benefit the city. The guard came to help with the street patrols so the MPD could do police work. ICE was here arresting illegal criminals as they found them. Two statistics illustrate the whole thing and the difference. Car left down 70% and murders down 44% and people can walk their own streets at least better than before criminals were allowed to take over our cities. Finally, folks, wither you hate Donald Trump or love him pray for peace. Our children will appreciate it. At least that's the way I see it, Until next time folks, This is Darrell Castle, Thanks for listening.
George Friedman of Geopolitical Futures discusses the shifting global order in this essential conversation. He explains why the world is "re-anchoring" away from the Cold War framework, how Russia's failure in Ukraine has ended its status as a global power, and why the US-China relationship is now the defining geopolitical dynamic of our era.
Earlier this month, Geopolitical Futures released its annual Forecast, which focuses on the most critical changes to the international order in the year to come. One of the featured predictions in this year's Forecast was on the shifting relationship between the United States and China. It is a relationship that GPF Chairman George Friedman believes will define the next generation of international relations. This week on Talking Geopolitics, George joined host Christian Smith to give a preview of this forecast, and we'll even dive into the perplexing logic of Donald Trump's will-he, won't-he attempt to take ownership of Greenland from Denmark, a NATO ally. Visit http://www.geopoliticalfutures.com for world-class geopolitical analysis and discussion.
President Donald Trump said he would refrain from imposing tariffs on goods from European nations opposing his effort to take possession of Greenland, citing a "framework of a future deal" he said was reached regarding the island. The decision, which Trump announced Wednesday on social media, marks a stark reversal for a president who has repeatedly attempted to coerce Europe over Greenland. It came after a meeting with North Atlantic Treaty Organization Secretary General Mark Rutte at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. For more perspective, we heard from George Friedman, Founder and Chairman of Geopolitical Futures. He spoke to Bloomberg's Paul Allen and Avril Hong on the Asia Trade. Plus - Japanese stocks gained as sentiment improved following US President Donald Trump's declaration that he would refrain from imposing tariffs on European nations opposed to his goal of taking over Greenland. For more on what is going on in Japan, we spoke to Alice French, Bloomberg's Japan Stock Reporter. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this episode of GREAT POWER PODCAST, host Ilan Berman speaks with Kamran Bokhari of the New Lines Institute regarding the Trump administration's unexpected early January operation to apprehend Venezuelan strongman Nicolas Maduro and the larger strategic implications of that move.BIO:Dr. Kamran Bokhari is Senior Director and a key founder of the New Lines Institute for Strategy & Policy. Previously, Dr. Bokhari served as Director of the Institute's Analytical Development Department and played a pivotal role in establishing its M.A. program in Strategy & Policy, where he teaches three seminars. Bokhari publishes a weekly essay for Geopolitical Futures and is a regular columnist with Forbes. Dr. Bokhari brings over 15 years of private-sector intelligence experience, providing intellectual leadership in publishing cutting-edge geopolitical analyses and strategic forecasts and has also served as Central Asia Studies Coordinator at the U.S. State Department's Foreign Service Institute. His core areas of expertise are: Strategic Intelligence Analysis, Foreign Policy/National Security, Eurasian Geopolitics (Middle East, South Asia, Central Asia, & South Caucasus) Democratization, Civil-Military Relations, Comparative Political Systems, Counterterrorism, & Political Islam.
Widespread anti-government protests in Iran have been growing for weeks now in Iran, and the government crackdown has turned deadly. While protests here are not a new phenomenon, many are saying this time things are much different. With the US poised to intervene and the future of the Iranian regime hanging in the balance, this week on the podcast we're taking a look at how the situation is evolving and how it is perceived by the wider region. Talking Geopolitics host Christian Smith is joined by GPF Chairman George Friedman as well as Geopolitical Futures contributing analyst Kamran Bokhari to break it all down. Visit http://www.geopoliticalfutures.com for world-class geopolitical analysis and discussion.
In his book, The Storm Before the Calm, Geopolitical Futures chairman and founder George Friedman explained the challenges that low birth rates and longer life expectancy will bring to America. As an aging population causes a shrinking workforce, this deepening demographic crisis could have long-term impacts across the globe. And the solutions come with their own set of challenges. On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, George joins host Christian Smith to break it all down, from the use of immigration to stabilize labor markets, to artificial intelligence and much more. And for more analysis, go to https://geopoliticalfutures.com/gpf-newsletter/ to get access to our free newsletter as well as our NEW special report: Reviving NATO's Eastern Line, by GPF Senior Analyst Antonia Colibasanu. This report is available for a limited time.
Welcome back to the Ties That Bind. This week, we are looking further south along NATO's eastern flank at Romania.Romania has long advocated for increased NATO and US presence in the Black Sea. Since the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, the importance of the Black Sea and Romania's role have been reflected in an increased NATO presence and multiple defense and infrastructure investments. The country has been a critical actor in helping the Ukrainian war effort, serving as a logistics and military training hub, and securing Ukrainian grain exports in the first years of the war.In this episode, we'll hear from three Romanian experts about the country's role in NATO and Black Sea security, its defense investments, and plans to address strategic infrastructure challenges that have far-reaching significance for the alliance. We'll also hear about what's happening on the domestic front, notably the long-term repercussions of the annulled 2024 presidential election. While public opinion shows high support for NATO, Romania and its neighbors continue to be targeted by long-term Russian influence campaigns, and we'll hear how these are affecting social attitudes towards NATO and Western institutions.Featured guests: * Antonia Colibasanu, Senior Analyst, Geopolitical Futures, FPRI Senior Fellow* Eusebiu Slavitescu, European defense analyst, former Romanian MFA* Alina Bargaoanu, Communications expert, University of Political Studies and Public Administration, BucharestListen to the previous episode on Poland in NATO here. Get full access to FPRI Insights at fpriinsights.substack.com/subscribe
The US-brokered peace deal saw Hamas release the Israeli hostages on Monday – an event watched by both Israel's CE Ambassador Alan Roth down in Wellington, and Leighton up in Auckland. That evening, they joined up over Zoom to analyse the effects of what had taken place over the previous few days. On Tuesday morning, Geopolitical Futures' George Friedman approached the milestone with an historic and militaristic perspective. The two complementary analyses are packed with knowledge and information and not to be missed. And as always, we end the programme in the Mailroom with Mrs Producer. File your comments and complaints at Leighton@newstalkzb.co.nz Haven't listened to a podcast before? Check out our simple how-to guide. Listen here on iHeartRadio Leighton Smith's podcast also available on iTunes:To subscribe via iTunes click here See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
For this episode of Talking Geopolitics, we turn our attention to China, where President Xi Jinping has been busy intensifying a crackdown on high-ranking officials. But although China's president may seem like a permanent feature on the global stage, a shaky Chinese economy and circling rivals means that his rule is far from secure. Geopolitical Futures analyst and China expert, Victoria Herczegh, has been writing about this issue for GPF subscribers on our website, and now she joins host Christian Smith to discuss what lies behind Xi's purges, what keeps him up at night, and what might happen when Xi leaves office.
PRC: THE RUMORS OF XI. VICTORIA HERCZEGH GEOPOLITICAL FUTURES.1940 WUHAN
PRC: THE RUMORS OF XI. VICTORIA HERCZEGH GEOPOLITICAL FUTURES.CONTINUED 1955
BELARUS: ROMANCING EU/NATO. EKATERINA ZOLOTOVA, GEOPOLITICAL FUTURES 1846 BRUSSELS
SHOW SCHEDULE 7-08-25: 7-08-25: Good evening. The show begins in the markets, gaming POTUS moving deadlines... CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR FIRST HOUR 9:00-9:15 #Markets: Markets don't believe more than 10% tariffs. Liz Peek The Hill. Fox News and Fox Business 9:15-9:30 #Markets: The Musk way. Liz Peek The Hill. Fox News and Fox Business 9:30-9:45 EU: The rare earths are everywhere in Europe. Judy Dempsey, Senior Scholar, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Berlin. 9:45-10:00 NATO: Preparing Rotterdam. Judy Dempsey, Senior Scholar, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Berlin. SECOND HOUR 10:00-10:15 #LondonCalling: The Fed gives away one trillion over ten years. @josephsternberg @wsjopinion 10:15-10:30 #LondonCalling: PM Starmer backs down to Labour. @josephsternberg @wsjopinion 10:30-10:45 Iran: The missiles are unchecked. Behnam Ben Taleblu 10:45-11:00 Iran: Houthis are unsolved. Behnam Ben Taleblu THIRD HOUR 11:00-11:15 PRC: Xi decline. Gregory Copley, Defense & Foreign Affairs 11:15-11:30 BRICS: Wasted finance. Gregory Copley, Defense & Foreign Affairs 11:30-11:45 Iran: Turkey rising. Gregory Copley, Defense & Foreign Affairs 11:45-12:00 King Charles Report: State dinner with Emmanuel Macron at Windsor. Gregory Copley, Defense & Foreign Affairs FOURTH HOUR 12:00-12:15 Ukraine: "Defensive" weapons. John Hardie, Bill Roggio 12:15-12:30 NATO: Russia attack by 2030. John Hardie, Bill Roggio 12:30-12:45 Vietnam: Trade success. Jack Burnham, FDD 12:45-1:00 AM Belarus: Talking with EU/NATO. Ekaterina Zolotova, Geopolitical Futures
On Saturday US time, 7 B2 Spirit Bombers dropped more than a dozen Bunker Buster Bombs on Iran as part of a coordinated strike on three nuclear sites inside the country. It came just over a week after Israel began its own strikes on Iran, which it said was approaching the point of no return in the development of a nuclear weapon. But it has left the world asking: is this a turning point, the start of a new conflict in the Middle East? Or the end of another one? On the podcast, recorded Sunday, June 22nd, Geopolitical Futures chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss what's behind America's decision to attack, what next for Iran and the region, and whether the US may be dragged into another quagmire in the Middle East. Visit http://www.geopoliticalfutures.com for world-class geopolitical analysis and discussion.
The return of Donald Trump to the White House was always going to mean a new showdown between the world's two largest economies. But, after spiraling tensions and escalating tariffs, last week the US and China announced that they had agreed to roll back recent measures for an initial 90 days. The agreement, which was hammered out over a weekend in Geneva, has relieved the markets. But the future of the relationship is far from settled – not least because the two sides are attempting to negotiate thorny issues concerning both their security and economic relationships side by side. So what comes next? Host Christian Smith is joined by Geopolitical Futures' director of analysis Allison Fedirka, and China analyst Victoria Herczegh, to find out. Visit http://www.geopoliticalfutures.com for world-class geopolitical analysis and discussion.
“Europe is a crisis point, not the United States. The crisis point is that Europe has to come to terms with World War II,” says George Friedman, founder and chairman of Geopolitical Futures. In a conversation with Daniela Cambone, he explains that the post–World War II global system, where the U.S. played the role of geopolitical and economic anchor, is now over. “It's a very great system reset,” he explains. “It's a very great system reset. The financial community is obsessed with money, and that's quite understandable. But this nation is more than money, it's national security.”He also shifts focus to Europe, warning that if the continent fails to reconcile with its past and current geopolitical role, it could become a flashpoint for future conflict. “This is the place I'd watch for a war—Europe and Asia,” Friedman says, pointing to Europe's long history of internal wars among nation-states. Key Facts:America undergoes a necessary reinventionWhy is the massive reset necessary?Rising global tensions and instabilityWill the U.S. dollar remain dominant?Why central banks are stockpiling goldThe growing crisis in Europe
After Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskyy's Oval Office bust up, you might think the war in Ukraine is going rather well for Vladimir Putin. But, according to Geopolitical Futures Chairman George Friedman, the Russian president has already lost the war. Tune in to this new podcast from Geopolitical Futures as Friedman explains Russia's failure, why he thinks Trump is buttering up Putin, and what he thinks of the press conference heard round the world and the decision to pause U.S. military aid for Ukraine. Visit http://www.geopoliticalfutures.com for world-class geopolitical analysis and discussion.
"PREVIEW: CANADA: Colleague Allison Fedirka of Geopolitical Futures reports that PM Justin Trudeau has failed in policies meant to manage immigration and supply adequate affordable housing. More tonight." 1900 Quebec
From London to Warsaw, Paris to Kyiv, last week's election of Donald Trump for a second time in the U.S. has sent European leaders scrambling. With the expectation that Trump will reduce defense support for Ukraine and Europe more generally, tune in to this special podcast from Geopolitical Futures as Chairman and Founder George Friedman explains what Trump means for Europe and the post-war order. Visit http://www.geopoliticalfutures.com for world-class geopolitical analysis and discussion.
PREVIEW: #DARIEN GAP: #PANAMA: Conversation with colleague Allison Fedirka of Geopolitical Futures re the Darien Gap and the beginning plans by the Panamanian government, working with the US, to limit the flow of migrants headed North to the USA. More tonight. 1929 Panama City
PREVIEW: #SOUTHAFRICA: Conversation with Ronan Wordworth of Geopolitical Futures in Capetown, South Africa, re the strugges to form a government after the dominant ANC, no longer a majority, offered to form a unity government and was rejected by all other parties unless conditions are met that are not manageable. The deadline is Sunday 16 June or else new elections. More tonight. https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/south-african-opposition-parties-holding-crunch-talks-on-the-ancs-unity-plan-but-deep-rifts-remain/ar-BB1nNUVw 1899 South Africa Kimberley Mines
1/2: #SOUTH AFRICA: ANC struggles to find a unity government or even a partner to form a government by Sunday 16 June. Ronan Wordsworth, Geopolitical Futures, @GPFutures. https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/south-african-opposition-parties-holding-crunch-talks-on-the-ancs-unity-plan-but-deep-rifts-remain/ar-BB1nNUVw 1770 MAP
2/2: #SOUTH AFRICA: ANC struggles to find a unity government or even a partner to form a government by Sunday 16 June. Ronan Wordsworth, Geopolitical Futures, @GPFutures. https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/south-african-opposition-parties-holding-crunch-talks-on-the-ancs-unity-plan-but-deep-rifts-remain/ar-BB1nNUVw 1890 CAPETOWN
#MOSCOW: Summertime heat and strolling in the parks. Ekaterina Zolotova, Geopolitical Futures https://geopoliticalfutures.com/the-reality-of-russo-chinese-relations/ 1910 Moscow
PREVIEW: #MOSCOW: #SUMMER: Conversation with colleague Ekaterina Zolotova, Geopolitical Futures, re her walks in the parks of Moscow in the early summery heat: Indian tourists -- and what may be cricket-playing. 1900 Moscow
PREVIEW: #RUSSIA: Conversation with George Friedman of Geopolitical Futures regarding President Putin's recent visit to President Xi in Beijing. The discussion will focus on what Mr. Putin sought to gain from this meeting and whether he was able to obtain the necessary support to aid his ongoing war in Ukraine. More details on the outcomes and implications of this high-level meeting between the Russian and Chinese leaders will be provided later. 1815 Moscow
#BELARUS: Lukashenko and his best ally Putin. Ekaterina Zolotova, Geopolitical Futures https://geopoliticalfutures.com/new-strategic-documents-preserve-belarus... 1930 Minsk
#Myanmar: PRC playing off the rebels vs the junta and not winning. Victoria Herczegh, Geopolitical Futures @GPFutures. ttps://geopoliticalfutures.com/in-myanmar-china-considers-a-new-strategy/ 1900 Burma
PREVIEW: #ROMANIA: #NATO: Conversation with colleague Professor Antonia Colibasanu of Geopolitical Futures in Bucharest re the recommendation that the next Secretary General of NATO is best from the Eastern Wing of NATO-- Finland, Sweden, the Baltics, Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania -- the frontline states facing the Kremlin. More of this in the new week. 1920 Poland
#HUNGARY: Orban under political scrutiny by Hungarian protesters. Guest: George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures @GPFutures https://geopoliticalfutures.com/the-hungarian-crisis/ 1956 Hungary
#Moon: The contest for the armed Lunar colonies. Guest: George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures @GPFutures https://geopoliticalfutures.com/geopolitics-and-the-moon/ 1870
PREVIEW: #HUNGARY: Conversation with George Friedman of Geopolitical Futures re the long serving president of Hungary, Victor Orban, and how he has shaped his maverick presence in the EU, NATO, and the Ukraine war. More later tonight. 1930 Budapest
PREVIEW-#UKRAINE: #ROMANIA-#DANUBE: Conversation with Antonia Colibasnu of Geopolitical Futures re the vast 1771 mile-long Danube River and the war in Ukraine --and in this exchange, Antonia explains the evolution of the thinking and plannng about the Danube by the ten riparian states from the Montreux Convention of 1936 to the ejecting of Russia from the Danube Commission March 1, 2024. more details later. 1904 Danube at Romania
#ROMANIA: On the front line of the Danube River investigating a crashed drone. Antonia Colibasanu, Geopolitical Futures @GPFutures https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/world/russia-ukraine-war-live-romania-finds-drone-fragments-on-farm-near-ukraine-border/ar-BB1kJNBA 1900 BUCHAREST
1/2: #RUSSIA: The G5 Sahel leans toward Russia and its vision of a railroad from Tripoli to the CAR. Ronan Wordsworth, Geopolitical Futures @GPFUTURES https://geopoliticalfutures.com/what-washingtons-departure-from-niger-means/ 1895 Nigeria
2/2: #RUSSIA: The G5 Sahel leans toward Russia and its vision of a railroad from Tripoli to the CAR. Ronan Wordsworth, Geopolitical Futures @GPFUTURES https://geopoliticalfutures.com/what-washingtons-departure-from-niger-means/ 1770
#Russia: The Crocus City concert hall and Moscow mourning. Ekaterina Zolotova. Geopolitical Futures @GPFutures https://geopoliticalfutures.com/an-attack-in-moscow/ 1904 Moscow
#RUSSIA: Entertaining a progressive income tax. .Ekaterina Zolotova. Geopolitical Futures @GPFutures https://geopoliticalfutures.com/to-plug-russias-fiscal-gap-something-has-to-give/ Undated Cossack House
PREVIEW: #MOSCOW: In conversation with colleague Ekaterina Zolotova of Geopolitical Futures re the attack on concert goers and shoppers at Crocus City, where Ekaterina visited as recently as late February. More later. 1815 Moscow
PREVIEW: #NIGER: #RUSSIA: Conversed with Ronan Wordsworth of Geopolitical Futures re the Niger junta ordering the US drone base to close and leave -- and learned of a grand plan out of Moscow to build a railroad from Tripoli into Central Africa and the G5 Sahel Nations (European-influenced Mauritania, Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger, French-influenced Chad) now tempted to lean toward Moscow and Beijing, even Tehran in Niger's case. More soon. 1906 Nigeria
#HAITI: Gang Leaders with Agency in charge of Port -Au-Prince & What is to be done? Allison Fedirka, Geopolitical Futures @GPFutures https://geopoliticalfutures.com/no-one-wants-responsibility-for-haiti/ 1900 Haiti German Legation
#Venezuela:Confident Nicolas Maduro looks to the July Election. Allison Fedirka, Geopolitical Futures @GPFutures https://geopoliticalfutures.com/against-russian-allies-in-latin-america-the-us-makes-its-moves/ 1945 Venezuela
#RUSSIA: #UZBEKISTAN: #KAZAKHSTAN: The US competes in Central Asia with Green Tech. Ekaterina Zolotova, Geopolitical Futures @GPFutures https://geopoliticalfutures.com/the-west-makes-its-case-for-the-green-transition-in-central-asia/ 1913 Samarkand
#HOUTHIS: The Unknowns of the severed cable. Antonia Colibasanu, Geopolitical Futures. @GPFutures https://geopoliticalfutures.com/disruptions-to-undersea-cables/ 1969 Yemen
#Romania: #Moldova: The Russian threat heard soberly in Bucharest. Antonia Colibasanu, Geopolitical Futures. @GPFutures https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/us/moldova-faces-multiple-threats-from-russia-as-it-turns-toward-eu-membership-foreign-minister-says/ar-BB1jDvxh 1890 Bucharest