Podcast appearances and mentions of Ray Dalio

Welcome back to another in-between-isode, with one of my favorite formats: the good old-fashioned Q&A.Sponsors: Monarch Money track, budget, plan, and do more with your money: MonarchMoney.com/Tim (50% off your first year at monarchmoney.com with code TIM)Eight Sleep Pod Cover 5 sleeping solution for dynamic cooling and heating: EightSleep.com/Tim (use code TIM to get $350 off your very own Pod 5 Ultra.)AG1 all-in-one nutritional supplement: DrinkAG1.com/Tim (1-year supply of Vitamin D (and 5 free AG1 travel packs) with your first subscription purchase.)*For show notes and past guests on The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast.For deals from sponsors of The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast-sponsorsSign up for Tim's email newsletter (5-Bullet Friday) at tim.blog/friday.For transcripts of episodes, go to tim.blog/transcripts.Discover Tim's books: tim.blog/books.Follow Tim:Twitter: twitter.com/tferriss Instagram: instagram.com/timferrissYouTube: youtube.com/timferrissFacebook: facebook.com/timferriss LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/timferrissPast guests on The Tim Ferriss Show include Jerry Seinfeld, Hugh Jackman, Dr. Jane Goodall, LeBron James, Kevin Hart, Doris Kearns Goodwin, Jamie Foxx, Matthew McConaughey, Esther Perel, Elizabeth Gilbert, Terry Crews, Sia, Yuval Noah Harari, Malcolm Gladwell, Madeleine Albright, Cheryl Strayed, Jim Collins, Mary Karr, Maria Popova, Sam Harris, Michael Phelps, Bob Iger, Edward Norton, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Neil Strauss, Ken Burns, Maria Sharapova, Marc Andreessen, Neil Gaiman, Neil de Grasse Tyson, Jocko Willink, Daniel Ek, Kelly Slater, Dr. Peter Attia, Seth Godin, Howard Marks, Dr. Brené Brown, Eric Schmidt, Michael Lewis, Joe Gebbia, Michael Pollan, Dr. Jordan Peterson, Vince Vaughn, Brian Koppelman, Ramit Sethi, Dax Shepard, Tony Robbins, Jim Dethmer, Dan Harris, Ray Dalio, Naval Ravikant, Vitalik Buterin, Elizabeth Lesser, Amanda Palmer, Katie Haun, Sir Richard Branson, Chuck Palahniuk, Arianna Huffington, Reid Hoffman, Bill Burr, Whitney Cummings, Rick Rubin, Dr. Vivek Murthy, Darren Aronofsky, Margaret Atwood, Mark Zuckerberg, Peter Thiel, Dr. Gabor Maté, Anne Lamott, Sarah Silverman, Dr. Andrew Huberman, and many more.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

In this special crossover episode with the Money Rehab podcast, we feature journalist Nicole Lapin's latest wide-ranging conversation with legendary investor Ray Dalio—founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund. Dalio shares his take on navigating today's economic chaos—rising inflation, interest rate shifts, and global instability—and why these moments, while stressful, follow patterns we can learn from. He breaks down the principles that have guided his investing success and explains how to think long-term through any financial cycle. This episode goes beyond the markets. Dalio also opens up about grief, happiness, and the limits of what money can buy. He reflects on personal loss, his definition of success, and the lessons he hopes to pass on to future generations. Pre-order Ray's new book How Countries Go Broke and find all of his work here.

James Hatfield explores his incredible journey from running a house painting business to becoming a pivotal figure in technology and product innovation. James shares insights on the importance of radical candor, data obsession, and the challenges of transitioning skills across starkly different industries.▬▬▬▬▬ Resources ▬▬▬▬▬James Hatfield: https://www.linkedin.com/in/james-hatfield/Branden Sewell: https://www.linkedin.com/in/brandensewell/Live Switch: https://www.liveswitch.com/Cruden Bay Golf Club: https://crudenbaygolfclub.co.uk/Radical Candor: https://www.radicalcandor.com/Principles by Ray Dalio: https://www.principles.com/Never Split The Difference by Chris Voss: https://www.amazon.com/Never-Split-Difference-Negotiating-Depended/dp/0062407805Okinawa Karate: https://ageshiojapan.com/okinawa_karate/styles-of-okinawan-karateOff The Ladder Contractor: https://open.spotify.com/show/3jbERR16vQ0073zSNTk8lr?si=372a415975d54ccbInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/cacklemedia/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@cacklemediaX: https://x.com/CackleMediaLLCYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CackleMediaLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/cacklemedia/Support the pod when signing up for Descript / SquadCast: https://get.descript.com/transferableskill▬▬▬▬▬ Timestamps ▬▬▬▬▬00:00 Introduction to Transferable Skills00:19 The Concept of Transferable Skills01:04 Radical Candor in the Workplace01:32 The Power of Humility and Feedback02:10 James Hatfield's Career Journey13:29 The Importance of Knowing Your Numbers16:07 Data Obsession and Business Growth17:56 From Home Services to Financial Technology20:43 Innovating in the Clinical Sector22:34 Aha Moment: The Birth of a New Idea23:08 Exploring Practical Applications24:16 Revolutionizing Business Operations26:48 Balancing Focus and Curiosity29:30 The Power of Networking36:27 Soft Data vs. Hard Data41:22 Concluding Thoughts and Reflections

In part two of Nicole's conversation with Ray Dalio (founder of Bridgewater Associates and architect of the All Weather Portfolio), they move beyond the markets and into the personal. While part one tackled the economy, inflation, and portfolio strategy, this episode is all about legacy, happiness, and the limits of what money can buy. Ray opens up about the worst moment of his life, how he defines success, and what he hopes the next generation takes from his journey. It's a rare side of one of the world's most influential investors—and a conversation that will stick with you long after the episode ends. Pre-order Ray's latest book How Countries Go Broke ⁠here⁠. Find all of Ray's books ⁠here⁠. 

If you started investing any time within the last five years, it's probably felt like a steady stream of firsts—between a global pandemic, changing interest rates, inflation, war, and recession fears, it's been one plot twist after another. But it's not a new story—it's the same economic movie on repeat. And if you understand the principles behind it, you can learn to master the markets. That's where today's guest Ray Dalio comes in. He's the founder of Bridgewater Associates—the world's largest hedge fund with over $150 billion under management—and the author of New York Times bestsellers like Principles, that's become required reading from Wall Street to Silicon Valley. Ray literally wrote the book on how to invest through any cycle—and today, he's here to teach you how. Pre-order Ray's latest book How Countries Go Broke here. Find all of Ray's books here.

Two Israeli Embassy staffers are murdered outside the Capital Jewish Museum in the latest of a string of anti-Semitic attacks and protests across the country.  [00:00:00] Matthew Continetti [00:11:10] Ray Dalio [00:28:48] Mike Sarraille [00:36:50] Marc Thiessen [00:55:13] Daniel Bilak [01:13:37] Karl Rove [01:32:00] Bret Baier Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Mayur Kamat is the chief product officer at N26—a $9 billion neobank serving over 7 million customers in 25 countries—where he leads product, design, data, and research. Prior to N26, Mayur was Head of Product at Binance, growing the crypto exchange to a peak $400 billion valuation. Earlier in his career, he built and scaled products at Google (Gmail Mobile, Hangouts), Microsoft, and travel unicorn Agoda.Learn:1. How to find and focus on the highest-leverage problems2. Why you shouldn't optimize for compensation early in your career3. Why you should optimize for strengths, not weaknesses4. Why you need to decide if you truly want the C-suite path5. Why working at a fintech company creates exceptional PMs6. Strategy = hypothesis × experimentation velocity7. Small, fast wins compound faster than big, slow bets—Brought to you by:• WorkOS—Modern identity platform for B2B SaaS, free up to 1 million MAUs• Paragon—Ship every SaaS integration your customers want• Vanta—Automate compliance. Simplify security.—Where to find Mayur Kamat:• X: https://x.com/5degreez• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mayur/—Where to find Lenny:• Newsletter: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com• X: https://twitter.com/lennysan• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lennyrachitsky/—In this episode, we cover:(00:00) Introduction and Mayur's background(04:49) Working at Binance: An inside look(18:18) Career advice for product managers(27:00) PM career paths(33:58) Understanding fintech customers(36:00) Understanding your strengths(44:46) Creating a culture of experimentation(51:14) Hiring and developing top talent(54:50) Building a diverse product portfolio(57:08) Working in high talent density areas(59:43) Personal and professional balance(01:06:32) High-leverage opportunities and decision making(01:14:28) AI tools in the workplace(01:19:14) Failure corner(01:25:11) Lightning round and final thoughts—Referenced:• Binance: https://www.binance.us/• Google: https://about.google/• Microsoft: https://www.microsoft.com/• Agoda: https://www.agoda.com• N26: https://n26.com/• Which companies accelerate PM careers most: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/which-companies-accelerate-your-pm• Which companies produce the best product managers: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/which-companies-produce-the-best• Bezos Says Work-Life Balance is a “Debilitating” Phrase: https://www.investopedia.com/news/bezos-says-worklife-balance-debilitating-phrase/• Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs: https://www.simplypsychology.org/maslow.html• PayPal Mafia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PayPal_Mafia• Changpeng Zhao on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cpzhao/• Ray Dalio on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raydalio/• Porter's five forces: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Porter%27s_five_forces_analysis• Jonathan Rosenberg on X: https://x.com/jjrosenberg• Aura: https://buy.aura.com/• Intercom: https://www.intercom.com/• Palantir: https://www.palantir.com/• Revolut: https://www.revolut.com/• Chime: https://www.chime.com/• Stripe: https://stripe.com/• Dropbox: https://www.dropbox.com/• Alex Algard on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexalgard• Hiya: https://www.hiya.com/• Brian Chesky's new playbook: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/brian-cheskys-contrarian-approach• Gemini: https://gemini.google.com/app• Writer: https://writer.com/• Google Hangouts: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Google_Hangouts• Sundar Pichai on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sundarpichai/• Google Meet: https://meet.google.com/landing• House on Hulu: https://www.hulu.com/series/ef39603f-eb90-4248-8237-f6168d7c1be1• Big Bang Theory on Hulu: https://www.hulu.com/series/9bde5aeb-5297-4290-b173-19a4d59cc11d• Adolescence on Netflix: https://www.netflix.com/title/81756069• The White Lotus on HBO: https://www.hbo.com/the-white-lotus• Robinhood: https://robinhood.com/us/en/• Nikita Bier's post on X about Bible Chat: https://x.com/nikitabier/status/1915252215507210349• Bible Chat: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/bible-chat-daily-devotional/id6448849666?mt=8• Suno: https://suno.com/home• Disfrutar: https://www.disfrutarbarcelona.com/—Recommended books:• StrengthsFinder 2.0: https://www.amazon.com/StrengthsFinder-2-0-Tom-Rath/dp/159562015X• The 5 Types of Wealth: A Transformative Guide to Design Your Dream Life: https://www.amazon.com/Types-Wealth-Transformative-Guide-Design/dp/059372318X—Production and marketing by https://penname.co/. For inquiries about sponsoring the podcast, email podcast@lennyrachitsky.com.—Lenny may be an investor in the companies discussed. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.lennysnewsletter.com/subscribe

Welcome to another wide-ranging "Random Show" episode I recorded with my close friend Kevin Rose (digg.com)! We cover dozens of topics: from the cutting edge of health tech to pro-tips for colonoscopies; AI; adventures in Japan and Taiwan seeking out perfect coffee and tea; tips for drinking less alcohol; powerful documentaries like 32 Sounds and books such as Awareness; the unexpected joys and therapeutic benefits of adult Lego; and much, much more.Sponsors:Vanta trusted compliance and security platform: https://vanta.com/tim ($1000 off) Momentous high-quality supplements: https://livemomentous.com/tim (code TIM for up to 35% off)ExpressVPN high-speed, secure, and anonymous VPN service: https://www.expressvpn.com/tim (get 3 or 4 months free on their annual plans)*For show notes and past guests on The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast.For deals from sponsors of The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast-sponsorsSign up for Tim's email newsletter (5-Bullet Friday) at tim.blog/friday.For transcripts of episodes, go to tim.blog/transcripts.Discover Tim's books: tim.blog/books.Follow Tim:Twitter: twitter.com/tferriss Instagram: instagram.com/timferrissYouTube: youtube.com/timferrissFacebook: facebook.com/timferriss LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/timferrissPast guests on The Tim Ferriss Show include Jerry Seinfeld, Hugh Jackman, Dr. Jane Goodall, LeBron James, Kevin Hart, Doris Kearns Goodwin, Jamie Foxx, Matthew McConaughey, Esther Perel, Elizabeth Gilbert, Terry Crews, Sia, Yuval Noah Harari, Malcolm Gladwell, Madeleine Albright, Cheryl Strayed, Jim Collins, Mary Karr, Maria Popova, Sam Harris, Michael Phelps, Bob Iger, Edward Norton, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Neil Strauss, Ken Burns, Maria Sharapova, Marc Andreessen, Neil Gaiman, Neil de Grasse Tyson, Jocko Willink, Daniel Ek, Kelly Slater, Dr. Peter Attia, Seth Godin, Howard Marks, Dr. Brené Brown, Eric Schmidt, Michael Lewis, Joe Gebbia, Michael Pollan, Dr. Jordan Peterson, Vince Vaughn, Brian Koppelman, Ramit Sethi, Dax Shepard, Tony Robbins, Jim Dethmer, Dan Harris, Ray Dalio, Naval Ravikant, Vitalik Buterin, Elizabeth Lesser, Amanda Palmer, Katie Haun, Sir Richard Branson, Chuck Palahniuk, Arianna Huffington, Reid Hoffman, Bill Burr, Whitney Cummings, Rick Rubin, Dr. Vivek Murthy, Darren Aronofsky, Margaret Atwood, Mark Zuckerberg, Peter Thiel, Dr. Gabor Maté, Anne Lamott, Sarah Silverman, Dr. Andrew Huberman, and many more.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Politics is getting in the way of making good financial decisions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Moody's has officially downgraded U.S. debt, sending shockwaves through the financial world and raising serious questions about America's fiscal future. Meanwhile, gold is cooling after a blistering start to 2025—but is another breakout above $3,000 on deck? China's massive gold demand surge and a rare move by Ray Dalio's fund are turning heads across global markets. And with silver on the verge of a breakout, could a precious metals mania be just getting started?   Moody's Downgrade: Moody's has officially downgraded U.S. debt below AAA, citing unsustainable government spending—making it the last of the big three rating agencies to do so. Long-Term Bond Bear Market: The U.S. bond market may be entering a prolonged bear market aligned with escalating government debt. Gold Price Consolidation: After a surge in early 2025, gold prices are undergoing a correction; investors are watching closely for the next support level.  

James goes into market news for the week and discusses his ideal allocation for individual equities in a portfolio. At the end of the episode James deep dives into direct quotes from some of history's best investors- Ray Dalio, Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch, and Tom Lee. Have a question or topic you want to hear covered in a future episode? Send us a direct message here: ⁠Contact - West & Walters⁠Want to talk to a professional investment advisor, or schedule your FREE financial planning meeting? ⁠Schedule A Call - West & Walters

Krafttraining, Schlaf, Ernährung und soziale Bindung – das sind nicht nur Gesundheitsfaktoren, sondern auch Prinzipien für nachhaltigen Vermögensaufbau. Andreas Ogger verbindet Biologie mit Finanzstrategie und beleuchtet Ray Dalios Erfolgsgeheimnis. Zusätzlich warnt er vor teuren Versäumnissen bei der AWV-Meldepflicht. Und warum Small Talk mehr bewirken kann, als man denkt, zeigt ein Blick in die Forschung.

In this episode we answer emails from Dave, Jeff and Peter.  We discuss a new risk parity ETF, ALLW, a social security claiming question and considerations, and how a listener has been misled regarding so-called dividend investing by misinterpreting a misleading source.Links:Father McKenna Center Donation Page:  Donate - Father McKenna CenterALLW Fund Main Page:   ALLW: SPDR® Bridgewater® All Weather® ETFOpen Social Security:  Open Social Security: Free, Open-Source Social Security CalculatorHartford Funds Dividend Fund Page:  The Power of Dividends: Past, Present, and FutureBen Felix Dividend Video:  The Irrelevance of DividendsBen Felix Dividend Video #2:  The Relevance of Dividend IrrelevanceBreathless Unedited AI-Bot summaryFinancial misconceptions can cost you dearly. This eye-opening episode tackles three critical investment topics that challenge conventional wisdom and may transform how you approach your portfolio.When State Street and Bridgewater Associates launched their All Weather ETF (ALLW), it promised the stability of risk parity with the pedigree of Ray Dalio himself. We dissect this new offering—examining its 175% leverage, complex asset allocation, and 0.85% expense ratio—to determine whether it delivers on its promises or falls into the same traps as similar products like RPAR and UPAR. For investors approaching retirement, understanding these nuances could be the difference between confidence and confusion in the decumulation phase.Delaying Social Security benefits remains one of retirement planning's most debated decisions. We cut through the noise of oversimplified break-even calculators to explore what truly matters: appropriate risk-free rate calculations, the value of guaranteed income streams, and perhaps most importantly, how your family's longevity history should influence your claiming strategy. For married couples, the analysis becomes even more critical as spousal benefits create powerful optimization opportunities that generic calculators often miss.The episode concludes by dispelling one of investing's most persistent myths: the magical power of dividends. When Hartford Research noted that "85% of the S&P 500's return came from reinvested dividends and compounding," many investors misinterpreted this to mean dividends themselves were responsible for these returns. We reveal how this fundamental misunderstanding leads investors astray, explain why dividend payments offer no advantage in today's zero-commission environment, and demonstrate why creating your own "dividend" through strategic selling provides superior tax control.Whether you're building wealth or planning your withdrawal strategy, these insights will help you see beyond marketing claims to make decisions based on financial reality rather than comforting illusions. Listen now to align your investment approach with actual market mechanics instead of persistent financial folklore.Have a question about risk parity investing or portfolio construction? Email frank@riskparityradio.com or visit riskparityradio.Support the show

Jake Kaminski is a two-time Olympic silver medalist in archery and a longtime member of the US Archery Team. He runs a successful YouTube channel, writes training guides, and develops high-performance gear under the Kaminski Archery brand. Sign up for the Kaminski Archery Backyard Championship here.Sponsors:Helix Sleep premium mattresses: https://HelixSleep.com/Tim (27% off all mattress orders) AG1 all-in-one nutritional supplement: https://DrinkAG1.com/Tim (1-year supply of Vitamin D (and 5 free AG1 travel packs) with your first subscription purchase.)Shopify global commerce platform, providing tools to start, grow, market, and manage a retail business: https://shopify.com/tim (one-dollar-per-month trial period)*Timestamps:[00:00:00] Start.[00:06:50] A glimpse into the high-precision world of Olympic archery.[00:11:04] How Jake and I connected.[00:18:27] Jake's auspicious introduction to archery.[00:21:15] Why you (Yes! You!) should try archery.[00:22:01] The differences between bows.[00:25:19] The admirable proficiency of Shot IQ's Bodie and Joel Turner.[00:26:24] Ethical bow hunting, performing under pressure, and transitioning from rifle to bow.[00:29:22] Why I wouldn't have cut it as a competitive archer in Korea.[00:30:14] Mindful archery and training hard to make competition easy.[00:37:00] What Jake did when compound bow archery started to get boring.[00:40:00] Meeting legendary Coach Kisik Lee (KSL).[00:43:06] The upsides of having no social life as a kid.[00:45:20] The welcoming weirdness of archery communities.[00:46:33] For the sake of form, Coach Lee shakes things up.[00:51:21] “I am.” — an affirmation for apathy adjustment.[00:58:11] London, 2012 Olypmics: when it all starts coming together.[01:08:28] How does teamwork play out in archery?[01:15:40] My own experience with Coach Lee.[01:19:23] The trials of training and traveling.[01:27:33] Blank bale practice.[01:31:14] Layering, biomechanics, and other early points of focus.[01:33:03] The underrated importance of follow through.[01:36:40] Coach Lee's take on follow through vs. release.[01:37:29] Gauging tension and intention as an instructor.[01:38:52] Attention to grouping over hitting the bullseye.[01:40:57] Making adaptations for physical limitations.[01:43:30] The ups and downs of our patented “Jesus take the wheel” instinctive approach.[01:46:24] Warm-up tournaments, barebowing, black bales, and string walking.[01:50:54] Recovering from the disaster that made me rethink Lancaster.[01:55:15] Rebalancing gear: arrows and arrow rests.[02:00:50] The importance of practicing in tournament-like conditions.[02:04:03] Securing convenient fuel.[02:08:17] Lancaster preparation logistics (with special thanks to Heather Kaminski and Rick Simpson Oil).[02:13:17] The glue that holds us together: note-taking and training logs.[02:16:47] Even counterintuitive consistency is key.[02:18:45] Our experience at Lancaster.[02:28:00] “The goal is to do the least necessary, not the most possible.” — Henk Kraaijenhof[02:31:44] Learning by observation and conversation on the practice range.[02:35:35] What's the Kaminski Archery Backyard Championship, and why should you get involved?[02:40:30] How can you (and why should you) get started with archery today?[02:42:48] Parting thoughts.*For show notes and past guests on The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast.For deals from sponsors of The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast-sponsorsSign up for Tim's email newsletter (5-Bullet Friday) at tim.blog/friday.For transcripts of episodes, go to tim.blog/transcripts.Discover Tim's books: tim.blog/books.Follow Tim:Twitter: twitter.com/tferriss Instagram: instagram.com/timferrissYouTube: youtube.com/timferrissFacebook: facebook.com/timferriss LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/timferrissPast guests on The Tim Ferriss Show include Jerry Seinfeld, Hugh Jackman, Dr. Jane Goodall, LeBron James, Kevin Hart, Doris Kearns Goodwin, Jamie Foxx, Matthew McConaughey, Esther Perel, Elizabeth Gilbert, Terry Crews, Sia, Yuval Noah Harari, Malcolm Gladwell, Madeleine Albright, Cheryl Strayed, Jim Collins, Mary Karr, Maria Popova, Sam Harris, Michael Phelps, Bob Iger, Edward Norton, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Neil Strauss, Ken Burns, Maria Sharapova, Marc Andreessen, Neil Gaiman, Neil de Grasse Tyson, Jocko Willink, Daniel Ek, Kelly Slater, Dr. Peter Attia, Seth Godin, Howard Marks, Dr. Brené Brown, Eric Schmidt, Michael Lewis, Joe Gebbia, Michael Pollan, Dr. Jordan Peterson, Vince Vaughn, Brian Koppelman, Ramit Sethi, Dax Shepard, Tony Robbins, Jim Dethmer, Dan Harris, Ray Dalio, Naval Ravikant, Vitalik Buterin, Elizabeth Lesser, Amanda Palmer, Katie Haun, Sir Richard Branson, Chuck Palahniuk, Arianna Huffington, Reid Hoffman, Bill Burr, Whitney Cummings, Rick Rubin, Dr. Vivek Murthy, Darren Aronofsky, Margaret Atwood, Mark Zuckerberg, Peter Thiel, Dr. Gabor Maté, Anne Lamott, Sarah Silverman, Dr. Andrew Huberman, and many more.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Terry Real is a nationally recognized family therapist, author, and teacher. His book I Don't Want To Talk About It: Overcoming the Secret Legacy of Male Depression, the first book ever written on the topic of male depression, is a national bestseller. His new book, Us: Getting Past You & Me to Build a More Loving Relationship is a New York Times bestseller.Sponsors:Cresset prestigious family office for CEOs, founders, and entrepreneurs: https://cressetcapital.com/tim (book a call today)Ramp easy-to-use corporate cards, bill payments, accounting, and more: https://ramp.com/tim (Get $250 when you join Ramp)Wealthfront high-yield cash account: https://Wealthfront.com/Tim (Start earning 4.00% APY on your short-term cash until you're ready to invest. And when new clients open an account today, you can get an extra fifty-dollar bonus with a deposit of five hundred dollars or more.) Terms apply. Tim Ferriss receives cash compensation from Wealthfront Brokerage, LLC for advertising and holds a non-controlling equity interest in the corporate parent of Wealthfront Brokerage. See full disclosures here.*For show notes and past guests on The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast.For deals from sponsors of The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast-sponsorsSign up for Tim's email newsletter (5-Bullet Friday) at tim.blog/friday.For transcripts of episodes, go to tim.blog/transcripts.Discover Tim's books: tim.blog/books.Follow Tim:Twitter: twitter.com/tferriss Instagram: instagram.com/timferrissYouTube: youtube.com/timferrissFacebook: facebook.com/timferriss LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/timferrissPast guests on The Tim Ferriss Show include Jerry Seinfeld, Hugh Jackman, Dr. Jane Goodall, LeBron James, Kevin Hart, Doris Kearns Goodwin, Jamie Foxx, Matthew McConaughey, Esther Perel, Elizabeth Gilbert, Terry Crews, Sia, Yuval Noah Harari, Malcolm Gladwell, Madeleine Albright, Cheryl Strayed, Jim Collins, Mary Karr, Maria Popova, Sam Harris, Michael Phelps, Bob Iger, Edward Norton, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Neil Strauss, Ken Burns, Maria Sharapova, Marc Andreessen, Neil Gaiman, Neil de Grasse Tyson, Jocko Willink, Daniel Ek, Kelly Slater, Dr. Peter Attia, Seth Godin, Howard Marks, Dr. Brené Brown, Eric Schmidt, Michael Lewis, Joe Gebbia, Michael Pollan, Dr. Jordan Peterson, Vince Vaughn, Brian Koppelman, Ramit Sethi, Dax Shepard, Tony Robbins, Jim Dethmer, Dan Harris, Ray Dalio, Naval Ravikant, Vitalik Buterin, Elizabeth Lesser, Amanda Palmer, Katie Haun, Sir Richard Branson, Chuck Palahniuk, Arianna Huffington, Reid Hoffman, Bill Burr, Whitney Cummings, Rick Rubin, Dr. Vivek Murthy, Darren Aronofsky, Margaret Atwood, Mark Zuckerberg, Peter Thiel, Dr. Gabor Maté, Anne Lamott, Sarah Silverman, Dr. Andrew Huberman, and many more.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

ข้อความโพสต์จาก Ray Dalio ได้เขียนข้อความไว้ว่า "สิ่งหนึ่งที่ต้องเน้นย้ำถึงปัญหา นั่นก็คือความแม่นยำของการวินิจฉัย และประสิทธิผลของผลลัพธ์นั้นดีอย่างไร เราควรที่จะมีแผ่นกรองเพื่อทดสอบว่าปัญหาที่เราแก้นั้นมันเป็น 1. เขาสามารถระบุถึงปัญหาที่แก้ได้ด้วยวิถีทางใด และ 2. เขามีการแก้ไขปัญหาที่ประสบความสำเร็จอย่างไรบ้างในอดีต" - ในความหมายที่ว่าผู้คนที่ไม่รู้ว่าควรทำอะไร ก็ไม่ได้หมายความว่าคุณจะรู้ว่าคุณควรทำอะไร - ปัญหาใหญ่ที่สุดของชีวิตก็คือ เราไม่รู้ว่าสิ่งที่เราคิดมันเป็นอย่างไร แล้วอะไรกันแน่ที่ควรคิด - แผ่นกรองคือตัววัดผลว่าเราควรจะต้องคิด พูด หรือกระทำอย่างไร ในสิ่งที่ชีวิตนั้นบอกให้เราทำ - สังเกตผู้คนที่เราจะเชื่อมั่นในตัวเขาว่า เขามีท่าทีอย่างไรต่อปัญหาและ ปัญหาที่เขาได้ทำมาเป็นอย่างไรบ้าง - ความสำเร็จในอดีตอาจจะไม่ใช่ตัวชี้วัดที่ดีของอนาคต แต่พอนำมาเป็นแง่มุมได้ว่า เขาใช้หลักการใดในการตัดสินใจ

Dr. Kenneth Rogoff has undoubtedly had one of the highest-profile and most interesting careers of any Grandmaster working outside of chess. He is an author and Harvard professor who was once singled-out by none other than Bobby Fischer, as a player who had shown remarkable chess improvement. As a young chess star, Dr. Rogoff actually dropped out of high school to move to Europe and pursue chess professionally, but by age 18 he had returned to the U.S. and enrolled at Yale. He would remain active in chess for many more years, but his top priority gradually switched from chess to academics, and he eventually quit chess entirely (save for an exhibition game against Magnus Carlsen in 2012) Dr. Rogoff still loves chess and thinks about it all the time, but economics turned out to be the right decision for him, as he has become a distinguished professor who has worked as the Chief Economist at the World Bank, and has met 8 different U.S. Presidents in his life. His new book, Our Dollar, Your Problem,intersperses occasional lessons from his chess career while providing a modern history of the U.S. dollar as the reserve currency. This interview focuses primarily on Dr. Rogoff's chess career, but those interested in his reflections on the global economy should stay tuned until the end of the interview, and should definitely check out his new book. Timestamps of topics discussed are below.  Recorded on April 3, 2025.  0:02- We dive into GM Rogoff's chess upbringing, and his interactions with Bobby Fischer  Mentioned: NM Eric Marchand, IM Sal Matera , GM Rogoff's chess biography: https://rogoff.scholars.harvard.edu//pages/biography Bobby Fischer article mentioning GM Rogoff: https://rogoff.scholars.harvard.edu/sites/g/files/omnuum5901/files/rogoff/files/fischer69.pdf Karpov-Ulf Andersson 1969 ADD IMAGE  https://www.chessgames.com/perl/chessgame?gid=1019420 11:00- How did Dr. Rogoff gain hundreds of rating points in his early teens? 21:00- Was it hard to switch from the meritocratic chess world to academia?  25:00- What led to Dr. Rogoff dropping out of high school at age 16 to pursue chess? What was life like as an American teenager living alone in Europe in 1969?  Mentioned: Muppets in Moscow by Natasha Rogoff  26:00- Thanks to our sponsor, Chessable.com! If you sign up for Chessable Pro in order to unlock discounts and additional features, be sure to use the following link: https://www.chessable.com/pro/?utm_source=affiliate&utm_medium=benjohnson&utm_campaign=pro And you can check out their new offerings here: https://www.chessable.com/courses/all/new/ 32:30- Why did Dr. Rogoff make a U-turn and go to Yale University after dropping out of high school? 34:00- Patreon mailbag question: Does Dr. Rogoff ever daydream about what a professional chess life might have looked like? 37:00- Why did Dr. Rogoff quit chess “Cold turkey”?  Mentioned: Carlsen-Rogoff 2012 https://www.chessgames.com/perl/chessgame?gid=1690691 40:00- Does Dr. Rogoff have a favorite chess memory? Who were his favorite players?  Mentioned: Kasparov, Peter Thiel, Arkady Dvorkovich ,Reshevsky-Rogoff 1978, IM Kim Commons, Lev Aronian   Larsen-Rogoff 1968 Fischer-Spassky 1975 53:00- What is the origin of the phrase “Our Dollar, Your Problem”? (The title of Dr. Rogoff's new book 58:00- What can regular people do to prepare for volatile markets? 1:00:00- Patreon mailbag question: Is the US debt load sustainable? What does Dr. Rogoff think of Ray Dalio's writing?  1:05:00- Dr. Rogoff has met 8 presidents and many more world leaders- do any experiences stand out?  1:08:00- What does Dr. Rogoff think of the future of crypto-currencies?  Mentioned: Sapiens by Yuval Noah Harari Thanks to Dr. Rogoff for joining me! You can get his new book here.  Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

From big price targets from major institutions to Ray Dalio sayings its too late to Arthur Hayes saying long everything, NLW breaks down an interesting if confusing week. Sponsored by: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Crypto Tax Calculator⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Accurate Crypto Taxes. No Guesswork. Say goodbye to tax season headaches with Crypto Tax Calculator: Generate accurate, CPA-endorsed tax reports fully compliant with IRS rules. Seamlessly integrate with 3000+ wallets, exchanges, and on-chain platforms. Import reports directly into TurboTax or H&R Block, or securely share them with your accountant. Exclusive Offer: Use the code BW2025 to enjoy 30% off all paid plans. Don't miss out - offer expires 15 April 2025! Ledger Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors The Breakdown podcast. Celebrating 10 years of protecting over 20% of the world's crypto, Ledger ensures the security of your assets. For the best self-custody solution in the space, buy a LEDGER™ device and secure your crypto today. Buy now on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Ledger.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/nathanielwhittemorecrypto Subscribe to the newsletter: https://breakdown.beehiiv.com/ Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownNLW

In this episode of The Breakdown, host NLW explores legendary investor Ray Dalio's recent update on the shifting global monetary order. Dalio asserts that the U.S. is nearing a significant decline due to unsustainable economic fundamentals, and nations are now actively reducing their dependence on the U.S. dollar. NLW discusses Dalio's vision for a cooperative, negotiated global financial realignment rather than a chaotic collapse, highlighting the potential roles of Bitcoin, stablecoins, and digital assets within this transition. The episode concludes with a comprehensive overview of how key countries—including the U.S., Canada, Russia, the UK, and South Korea—are shaping their crypto policies in response to these global changes, underscoring digital assets' increasing influence in international economic strategies. Sponsored by: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Crypto Tax Calculator⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Accurate Crypto Taxes. No Guesswork. Say goodbye to tax season headaches with Crypto Tax Calculator: Generate accurate, CPA-endorsed tax reports fully compliant with IRS rules. Seamlessly integrate with 3000+ wallets, exchanges, and on-chain platforms. Import reports directly into TurboTax or H&R Block, or securely share them with your accountant. Exclusive Offer: Use the code BW2025 to enjoy 30% off all paid plans. Don't miss out - offer expires 15 April 2025! Ledger Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors The Breakdown podcast. Celebrating 10 years of protecting over 20% of the world's crypto, Ledger ensures the security of your assets. For the best self-custody solution in the space, buy a LEDGER™ device and secure your crypto today. Buy now on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Ledger.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/nathanielwhittemorecrypto Subscribe to the newsletter: https://breakdown.beehiiv.com/ Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownNLW

This time around, we have a bit of a different format, featuring the book that started it all for me, The 4-Hour Workweek. Readers and listeners often ask me what I would change or update, but an equally interesting question is: what wouldn't I change? What stands the test of time and hasn't lost any potency? This episode features two of the most important chapters from the audiobook of The 4-Hour Workweek. The chapters push you to defend your scarce attention—one by saying no to people, the other by saying no to excess information.Sponsors:David Protein Bars 28g of protein, 150 calories, and 0g of sugar: https://davidprotein.com/tim (Buy 4 cartons, get the 5th free.)Our Place's Titanium Always Pan® Pro using nonstick technology that's coating-free and made without PFAS, otherwise known as “Forever Chemicals”: https://fromourplace.com/tim (Shop their Spring Sale today!)AG1 all-in-one nutritional supplement: https://DrinkAG1.com/Tim (1-year supply of Vitamin D (and 5 free AG1 travel packs) with your first subscription purchase.)*For show notes and past guests on The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast.For deals from sponsors of The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast-sponsorsSign up for Tim's email newsletter (5-Bullet Friday) at tim.blog/friday.For transcripts of episodes, go to tim.blog/transcripts.Discover Tim's books: tim.blog/books.Follow Tim:Twitter: twitter.com/tferriss Instagram: instagram.com/timferrissYouTube: youtube.com/timferrissFacebook: facebook.com/timferriss LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/timferrissPast guests on The Tim Ferriss Show include Jerry Seinfeld, Hugh Jackman, Dr. Jane Goodall, LeBron James, Kevin Hart, Doris Kearns Goodwin, Jamie Foxx, Matthew McConaughey, Esther Perel, Elizabeth Gilbert, Terry Crews, Sia, Yuval Noah Harari, Malcolm Gladwell, Madeleine Albright, Cheryl Strayed, Jim Collins, Mary Karr, Maria Popova, Sam Harris, Michael Phelps, Bob Iger, Edward Norton, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Neil Strauss, Ken Burns, Maria Sharapova, Marc Andreessen, Neil Gaiman, Neil de Grasse Tyson, Jocko Willink, Daniel Ek, Kelly Slater, Dr. Peter Attia, Seth Godin, Howard Marks, Dr. Brené Brown, Eric Schmidt, Michael Lewis, Joe Gebbia, Michael Pollan, Dr. Jordan Peterson, Vince Vaughn, Brian Koppelman, Ramit Sethi, Dax Shepard, Tony Robbins, Jim Dethmer, Dan Harris, Ray Dalio, Naval Ravikant, Vitalik Buterin, Elizabeth Lesser, Amanda Palmer, Katie Haun, Sir Richard Branson, Chuck Palahniuk, Arianna Huffington, Reid Hoffman, Bill Burr, Whitney Cummings, Rick Rubin, Dr. Vivek Murthy, Darren Aronofsky, Margaret Atwood, Mark Zuckerberg, Peter Thiel, Dr. Gabor Maté, Anne Lamott, Sarah Silverman, Dr. Andrew Huberman, and many more.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Tom Bilyeu and co-host Drew tackle the first 100 days of the Trump presidency—an era marked by volatility and shifting world dynamics. With signature candor and sharp analysis, Tom unpacks the ripple effects of global power plays: the destabilization of the post-WWII order, the mounting US-China economic standoff, and Ray Dalio's stark warning that massive change is inevitable. Alongside Drew, Tom interrogates the headlines, from the unpredictability of Trump's style to China's unwavering claims it can outlast American economic pain. This episode lays the intellectual groundwork for understanding our new, unstable world order—why economic and political models are breaking down, how tariffs and non-trade barriers play into global negotiations, and what lessons from history can help us decode what's coming. If you want to gain clarity in these chaotic times and learn how to build a mindset for predicting (rather than reacting to) future disruption, this conversation is essential listening. SHOWNOTES 00:00 "Erratic First Hundred Days" 03:08 Tariffs: Strategy or Economic Gamble? 08:39 Assessing Policy Impact Quickly 12:35 "Risk of Civil Conflict Rising" 16:03 Mindful Navigation and Future Consequences 18:22 Global Capital Dilemma 21:07 Economic Predictability Drives Investment 23:47 Annexation Dispute and Trench Warfare 26:59 Key Sticking Points in Ukraine Conflict 31:53 U.S.-China Trade Conflict Dynamics 33:13 Manufacturing Investment and Economic Growth 37:37 AI Revolutionizing Code and Surgery 41:24 "Strategic Choice and Human Dominance" 45:52 Questions Over Dating Apps 47:37 "Revealing Personalities Through Questions" 50:38 Join Our Live Sessions CHECK OUT OUR SPONSORS Vital Proteins: Get 20% off by going to ⁠https://www.vitalproteins.com⁠ and entering promo code IMPACT at check out Upway: Get $150 OFF any purchase over a thousand when you use code IMPACT at ⁠https://upway.co⁠. iRestore: For a limited time only, our listeners are getting a HUGE discount on the iRestore Elite when you use code IMPACT at ⁠https://iRestore.com/impact⁠. Monarch Money: Use code THEORY at ⁠https://monarchmoney.com⁠ for 50% off your first year! Mint Mobile: If you like your money, Mint Mobile is for you. Shop plans at ⁠https://mintmobile.com/impact.⁠  DISCLAIMER: Upfront payment of $45 for 3-month 5 gigabyte plan required (equivalent to $15/mo.). New customer offer for first 3 months only, then full-price plan options available. Taxes & fees extra. See MINT MOBILE for details. What's up, everybody? It's Tom Bilyeu here: If you want my help... STARTING a business:⁠ join me here at ZERO TO FOUNDER⁠ SCALING a business:⁠ see if you qualify here.⁠ Get my battle-tested strategies and insights delivered weekly to your inbox:⁠ sign up here.⁠ ********************************************************************** If you're serious about leveling up your life, I urge you to check out my new podcast,⁠ Tom Bilyeu's Mindset Playbook⁠ —a goldmine of my most impactful episodes on mindset, business, and health. Trust me, your future self will thank you. ********************************************************************** Join me live on my⁠ Twitch stream⁠. I'm live daily from 6:30 to 8:30 am PT at⁠ www.twitch.tv/tombilyeu⁠ ********************************************************************** LISTEN TO IMPACT THEORY AD FREE + BONUS EPISODES on APPLE PODCASTS:⁠ apple.co/impacttheory⁠ ********************************************************************** FOLLOW TOM: Instagram:⁠ https://www.instagram.com/tombilyeu/⁠ Tik Tok:⁠ https://www.tiktok.com/@tombilyeu?lang=en⁠ Twitter:⁠ https://twitter.com/tombilyeu⁠ YouTube:⁠ https://www.youtube.com/@TomBilyeu Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today on the show, Fareed speaks with The Economist's editor-in-chief Zanny Minton Beddoes and hedge fund billionaire Ray Dalio about America's economic turmoil in the first 100 days of the Trump administration and President Trump's problems with Fed Chair Jerome Powell.  Next, Victoria Nuland, a former senior State Department official, joins the show to discuss the Trump administration's efforts to negotiate a peace deal in Ukraine. Finally, what will Pope Francis' progressive legacy mean for the election of the new Pope? Fareed speaks to The New York Times columnist Ross Douthat.   Guests: Zanny Minton Beddoes (@zannymb), Ray Dalio (@RayDalio), Victoria Nuland, Ross Douthat (@DouthatNYT) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Stephen West is a father, husband, and host of the Philosophize This! podcast.Sponsors:Gusto simple and easy payroll, HR, and benefits platform used by 400,000+ businesses: https://gusto.com/tim (three months free) Momentous high-quality supplements: https://livemomentous.com/tim (code TIM for up to 35% off)Eight Sleep's Pod 4 Ultra sleeping solution for dynamic cooling and heating: https://eightsleep.com/tim (save $350 on the Pod 4 Ultra)*For show notes and past guests on The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast.For deals from sponsors of The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast-sponsorsSign up for Tim's email newsletter (5-Bullet Friday) at tim.blog/friday.For transcripts of episodes, go to tim.blog/transcripts.Discover Tim's books: tim.blog/books.Follow Tim:Twitter: twitter.com/tferriss Instagram: instagram.com/timferrissYouTube: youtube.com/timferrissFacebook: facebook.com/timferriss LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/timferrissPast guests on The Tim Ferriss Show include Jerry Seinfeld, Hugh Jackman, Dr. Jane Goodall, LeBron James, Kevin Hart, Doris Kearns Goodwin, Jamie Foxx, Matthew McConaughey, Esther Perel, Elizabeth Gilbert, Terry Crews, Sia, Yuval Noah Harari, Malcolm Gladwell, Madeleine Albright, Cheryl Strayed, Jim Collins, Mary Karr, Maria Popova, Sam Harris, Michael Phelps, Bob Iger, Edward Norton, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Neil Strauss, Ken Burns, Maria Sharapova, Marc Andreessen, Neil Gaiman, Neil de Grasse Tyson, Jocko Willink, Daniel Ek, Kelly Slater, Dr. Peter Attia, Seth Godin, Howard Marks, Dr. Brené Brown, Eric Schmidt, Michael Lewis, Joe Gebbia, Michael Pollan, Dr. Jordan Peterson, Vince Vaughn, Brian Koppelman, Ramit Sethi, Dax Shepard, Tony Robbins, Jim Dethmer, Dan Harris, Ray Dalio, Naval Ravikant, Vitalik Buterin, Elizabeth Lesser, Amanda Palmer, Katie Haun, Sir Richard Branson, Chuck Palahniuk, Arianna Huffington, Reid Hoffman, Bill Burr, Whitney Cummings, Rick Rubin, Dr. Vivek Murthy, Darren Aronofsky, Margaret Atwood, Mark Zuckerberg, Peter Thiel, Dr. Gabor Maté, Anne Lamott, Sarah Silverman, Dr. Andrew Huberman, and many more.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Trump desafia a China, o mundo e o próprio Jerome Powell, mas o mercado não reage bem em meio aos conflitos dos EUA e derruba o dólar no mundo. Em meio a todo o imbróglio, Ray Dalio alerta para uma mudança profunda no sistema financeiro e a chegada de um colapso muito maior que uma recessão econômica.

In the wake of Trump's liberation day tariffs, stocks, bonds and the US dollar collapsed all at once as investors started dumping American assets. Some commentators argued that China might be behind the selling to put the US government under pressure. In this week's podcast let's discuss if it is wise to sell US assets should investors demand a risk premium, is Ray Dalio is right about how reserve currencies change over time and what is the Mar A Lago accord?Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3cjsyPFCorporate Finance: https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC Ways To Support The Channel:Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinanceBuy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyleVisit our website: https://www.onfinance.orgFollow Patrick on Twitter Here: https://bsky.app/profile/pboyle.bsky.socialBusiness Inquiries ➡️ sponsors@onfinance.org

In today's episode:The former fake and illegitimate president, Joe Biden, gives a speech for some reasonPentagon officials alleged to have been involved with the leak about the "Elon-China meeting" hit piece are removedRay Dalio discusses the end of the world order and what threats those looking to change it will face - something worse than recession!Trump economic advisor Kevin Hassett says there won't be a recession that that 130 countries are engaged in negotiationsThe fear campaign around the Mar-a-Lago Accord attempts to frame each element as doomed to fail without addressing the wholeFormer UK PM Gordon Brown frets over the end of the global order and wants to start a new oneThe City of London, the British Crown, and the Regime banking system via Empire of the City (1946)The Hill publishes an article about Trump dismantling the oligarchy.Connect with Be Reasonable: https://linktr.ee/imyourmoderatorLinks, articles, ideas - follow the info stream at t.me/veryreasonableHear the show when it's released. Become a paid subscriber at imyourmoderator.substack.comVisit the show's sponsors:Diversify your assets into Bitcoin: https://partner.river.com/reasonableDiversify your assets into precious metals: reasonablegold.comJoin the new information infrastructure - get Starlink: https://www.starlink.com/residential?referral=RC-1975306-67744-74Other ways to support the work:ko-fi.com/imyourmoderatorDonate btc via coinbase: 3MEh9J5sRvMfkWd4EWczrFr1iP3DBMcKk5Make life more comfortable: mypillow.com/reasonableMerch site:https://cancelcouture.myspreadshop.com/https://cancelcouture.comFollow the podcast info stream: t.me/veryreasonableYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@imyourmoderatorOther social platforms: Truth Social, Gab, Rumble, or Gettr - @imyourmoderator Become a member at https://plus.acast.com/s/be-reasonable-with-your-moderator-chris-paul. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

If you're serious about becoming a better leader, there's one person you should definitely learn from: Ray Dalio – the man behind the world's most successful hedge fund. In this video, I break down:  ✅ The secret behind radical transparency ✅ Why mistakes are a leader's greatest teacher ✅ How to build a team that performs without you ✅ Why culture always beats strategy ✅ And how Dalio's methods can transform your business or team Whether you're leading a startup, growing a team, or leveling up personally — these principles will give you clarity, structure, and momentum.

In a shocking turn, some Republicans are floating the idea of raising taxes on the wealthy as the federal deficit soars to historic highs—$2.6 trillion projected for this year. Once unthinkable in GOP circles, this progressive-style proposal is gaining quiet traction as the party faces pressure to pay for massive spending while billionaire Ray Dalio warns of a looming debt crisis. Meanwhile, Trump's team pushes a bold "rescission" strategy to force spending cuts. Can the GOP change course before the bond market buckles—and will Congress act before it's too late?

As the U.S. hurtles toward a record $2.6 trillion deficit, the Republican Party faces a full-blown identity crisis. Once the party of fiscal restraint, the GOP is now mired in internal conflict over skyrocketing spending, with some lawmakers even considering tax hikes on the wealthy—an idea long anathema to conservatives. Meanwhile, billionaire Ray Dalio sounds the alarm on a looming "debt death cycle," warning there may not be enough buyers for U.S. bonds. With Trump launching a bold rescission campaign targeting NPR, PBS, and foreign aid, and Congress deeply divided, America teeters on the edge of financial chaos. Is this the beginning of real reform—or the unraveling of fiscal sanity?

➡️ Unlock 13,000 USDT Trading Rewards! https://www.lbank.com/activity/futurestournament/DiscoverCrypto?icode=4M7MZ ➡️  Arculus - https://www.getarculus.com/products/arculus-cold-storage-wallet ●▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● ➡️ Follow on X - https://x.com/DiscoCryptoLive ➡️  Join Telegram - https://t.me/+vS5uDtG57XpjNDA1 ●▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● All of our videos are strictly personal opinions. Please make sure to do your own research. Never take one person's opinion for financial guidance. There are multiple strategies and not all strategies fit all people. Our videos ARE NOT financial advice. Our videos are sponsored & include affiliate content. Digital Assets are highly volatile and carry a considerable amount of risk. Only use exchanges for trading digital assets. We never keep our entire portfolio on an exchange.  #bitcoin #crypto

This episode is a little different.Recently, some of the ideas I've shared about Bitcoin on social media have started gaining traction. So I wanted to bring those thoughts together and put them into a dedicated episode.It's just me, sharing what I see happening, where the world might be heading, and why I've never been more bullish on Bitcoin.Thank you to everyone who tunes in and supports the show each week, it means the world

Rich Barton is the co-founder and co-executive chairman of Zillow, a company transforming how people buy, sell, rent, and finance homes. Before Zillow, Rich founded Expedia within Microsoft in 1994 and successfully spun the company off as a public company in 1999. He served as president, CEO, and board director of Expedia and later co-founded and served as non-executive chairman of Glassdoor.Sponsors:Ramp easy-to-use corporate cards, bill payments, accounting, and more: https://ramp.com/tim (Get $250 when you join Ramp)Cresset prestigious family office for CEOs, founders, and entrepreneurs: https://cressetcapital.com/tim (book a call today)Shopify global commerce platform, providing tools to start, grow, market, and manage a retail business: https://shopify.com/tim (one-dollar-per-month trial period)*For show notes and past guests on The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast.For deals from sponsors of The Tim Ferriss Show, please visit tim.blog/podcast-sponsorsSign up for Tim's email newsletter (5-Bullet Friday) at tim.blog/friday.For transcripts of episodes, go to tim.blog/transcripts.Discover Tim's books: tim.blog/books.Follow Tim:Twitter: twitter.com/tferriss Instagram: instagram.com/timferrissYouTube: youtube.com/timferrissFacebook: facebook.com/timferriss LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/timferrissPast guests on The Tim Ferriss Show include Jerry Seinfeld, Hugh Jackman, Dr. Jane Goodall, LeBron James, Kevin Hart, Doris Kearns Goodwin, Jamie Foxx, Matthew McConaughey, Esther Perel, Elizabeth Gilbert, Terry Crews, Sia, Yuval Noah Harari, Malcolm Gladwell, Madeleine Albright, Cheryl Strayed, Jim Collins, Mary Karr, Maria Popova, Sam Harris, Michael Phelps, Bob Iger, Edward Norton, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Neil Strauss, Ken Burns, Maria Sharapova, Marc Andreessen, Neil Gaiman, Neil de Grasse Tyson, Jocko Willink, Daniel Ek, Kelly Slater, Dr. Peter Attia, Seth Godin, Howard Marks, Dr. Brené Brown, Eric Schmidt, Michael Lewis, Joe Gebbia, Michael Pollan, Dr. Jordan Peterson, Vince Vaughn, Brian Koppelman, Ramit Sethi, Dax Shepard, Tony Robbins, Jim Dethmer, Dan Harris, Ray Dalio, Naval Ravikant, Vitalik Buterin, Elizabeth Lesser, Amanda Palmer, Katie Haun, Sir Richard Branson, Chuck Palahniuk, Arianna Huffington, Reid Hoffman, Bill Burr, Whitney Cummings, Rick Rubin, Dr. Vivek Murthy, Darren Aronofsky, Margaret Atwood, Mark Zuckerberg, Peter Thiel, Dr. Gabor Maté, Anne Lamott, Sarah Silverman, Dr. Andrew Huberman, and many more.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Welcome to another episode of Impact Theory with Tom Bilyeu. Today, we're diving into an intriguing aspect of our ever-evolving world: the complexities of international policies, economic strategies, and the tech-driven transformation shaping society's future. As we unravel these dynamic narratives, we'll touch on everything from the economic forecasts of visionaries like Ray Dalio to the ethical implications of technological advancements like AI sexbots. From the White House premises to the heart of El Salvador, we're addressing the pressing issues that may redefine the way we understand leadership, economics, and technology. Let's embark on this captivating journey of insights and discussion. Now, let's plunge into today's thought-provoking episode. SHOWNOTES 00:00 Debt Cycles, Populism, and Strongmen 09:19 Cultural and Economic Dominance Factors 13:19 Economic Warfare Escalation 16:41 Bukele's Impact on El Salvador's Crime 21:37 CNN Bias on Immigration Policies 27:58 Supreme Court's Ambiguous Ruling 35:03 Hamilton on Pardons and Legal Balance 39:04 Skepticism Over Fast Predictions 44:44 "Federal Funding vs. Institutional Autonomy" 50:32 "Manage Your Own Psychology" 56:02 "Myelination Impact on Human Connections" 59:01 "The Life and Death of Bob Flanagan" 01:06:03 Mastering Neurochemistry and Life's Game CHECK OUT OUR SPONSORS Audible: Sign up for a free 30 day trial at https://audible.com/IMPACTTHEORY  Vital Proteins: Get 20% off by going to https://www.vitalproteins.com and entering promo code IMPACT at check out Kettle & Fire: Get 20% off your first order at https://kettleandfire.com/impact with code IMPACT  Shopify: Sign up for your one-dollar-per-month trial period at https://shopify.com/impact Thrive Market: ​​Go to https:thrivemarket.com/impact for 30% off your first order, plus a FREE $60 gift! American Alternative Assets: If you're ready to explore gold as part of your investment strategy, call 1-888-615-8047 or go to https://TomGetsGold.com Tech Unheard: Tune into Tech Unheard from Arm and NPM—wherever you get your podcasts. iTrust Capital: Use code IMPACTGO when you sign up and fund your account to get a $100 bonus at https://www.itrustcapital.com/tombilyeu  Mint Mobile: If you like your money, Mint Mobile is for you. Shop plans at https://mintmobile.com/impact.  DISCLAIMER: Upfront payment of $45 for 3-month 5 gigabyte plan required (equivalent to $15/mo.). New customer offer for first 3 months only, then full-price plan options available. Taxes & fees extra. See MINT MOBILE for details. What's up, everybody? It's Tom Bilyeu here: If you want my help... STARTING a business: join me here at ZERO TO FOUNDER SCALING a business: see if you qualify here. Get my battle-tested strategies and insights delivered weekly to your inbox: sign up here. ********************************************************************** If you're serious about leveling up your life, I urge you to check out my new podcast, Tom Bilyeu's Mindset Playbook —a goldmine of my most impactful episodes on mindset, business, and health. Trust me, your future self will thank you. ********************************************************************** Join me live on my Twitch stream. I'm live daily from 6:30 to 8:30 am PT at www.twitch.tv/tombilyeu ********************************************************************** LISTEN TO IMPACT THEORY AD FREE + BONUS EPISODES on APPLE PODCASTS: apple.co/impacttheory ********************************************************************** FOLLOW TOM: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tombilyeu/ Tik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tombilyeu?lang=en Twitter: https://twitter.com/tombilyeu YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TomBilyeu Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Could Trump's tariffs push China to the brink and trigger the next global crisis? In this must-watch conversation, market strategist Ed Yardeni joins James Connor to break down the explosive mix of politics, policy, and market volatility shaping 2025. Yardeni explains why he believes U.S. stocks may have already bottomed, why gold is back in favor, and how Trump's trade agenda could have massive unintended consequences, including rising tension with China and the risk of conflict over Taiwan. Yardeni unpacks: Why April's lows may mark the bottom for U.S. equities Why today's extreme fear may be a contrarian buy signal How Trump's tariff policy could spark geopolitical shockwaves Why China-Taiwan tensions are heating up The legal battles challenging Trump's trade authority Why central banks (and Yardeni) are now backing gold His revised S&P 500 target and earnings forecast for 2025 The emotional swing from American exceptionalism to global pessimism Whether we're headed for a recession or something worse How North American energy dominance could provide a long-term edge Yardeni also weighs in on warnings from Ray Dalio, the actions of Warren Buffett, and the lawsuits that could reshape Trump's tariffs. This is a must-watch if you want a balanced, data-driven perspective on what's really driving markets in 2025. Chapters: 00:26 - Market Panic or Golden Opportunity? Yardeni Says Buy 02:27 - Yardeni's Bold Call: S&P 6000 by Year-End? 03:20 - Valuation Crystal Ball: The Earnings Math Behind 6000 04:08 - Wall Street Wins Big—But What About Main Street? 06:23 - Bonds Battered: Why Yardeni Isn't Selling 08:11 - Is the U.S. Government Quietly Engineering a Recession? 11:53 - China's Secret Weapon: Dumping Treasuries & Buying Gold? 15:25 - Could a China-Taiwan War Crash the Global Economy? 18:32 - Dollar in Decline: Real Risk or Overblown Fear? 19:48 - Recession Incoming? Yardeni vs. Ray Dalio's Doomsday View 36:40 - Oil & Copper Crash: Warning Signs for Global Growth? Investment Concerns? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://bit.ly/3G6NE78 Hard Assets Alliance - The Best Way to Invest in Gold and Silver: https://www.hardassetsalliance.com/?aff=WTH Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #Wealthion #Wealth #Finance #Investing #EdYardeni #StockMarket #Gold #Geopolitics #Trump #Tariffs #China #Taiwan #Recession #Macroeconomy #MarketOutlook #EconomicRisks #PortfolioStrategy #StockMarket #stocks  ________________________________________________________________________ IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode of Market Mondays, we unpack the latest moves in tech, finance, and global economics. We kick things off with Trump's flip-flop on tech tariffs and what that could mean for investors and the broader market. Ray Dalio also raised eyebrows this week with his warning about something “greater than a recession”—we break down what he might be signaling. Then there's NVIDIA's massive $500 billion commitment to building American-made AI supercomputers in the U.S. for the first time. Is this a sign that semiconductors are still the smartest long-term play in a fractured global economy?Troy delivers an in-depth stock options presentation, and we debate whether it makes sense to explore put options on luxury brand LVMH in the current market. Special guest Morgan DeBaun joins the show to talk about her journey in tech, growing her companies, navigating mergers and acquisitions, and balancing motherhood while running an empire.We also tackle some key investment questions from the audience: What should someone making $60K a year or less be doing with their money? The price to buy NVIDIA, How should investors navigate the bond market during uncertain times? And if you have $1.2 million to invest while making $100K annually, is the “2 tech, 2 index” strategy the best move—or are there smarter options?Link to EYL University Sale (enter code "marketmondays" at check out for 50% discount): https://eyluniversity.com#MarketMondays #NVIDIA #RayDalio #TrumpTariffs #MorganDeBaun #InvestingTips #StockMarket #TechStocks #OptionsTrading #LVMH #AI #Bonds #FinancialFreedom #EarnYourLeisure #WealthBuilding #BlackWealth #MoneyMondays #StockTips #Tariffs #USManufacturingOur Sponsors:* Check out NerdWallet: https://www.nerdwallet.comSupport this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/marketmondays/donationsAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Ray Dalio warns of a looming economic crisis worse than a recession, citing a breakdown of the world order, while the PBD panel debates tariffs, taxes, China, and U.S. education. Is America headed for a reset—or just repeating history?

The crypto markets are at a crossroads. While macro chaos — tariff whiplash, rising yields, and inflation fears — continues to dominate headlines, bitcoin has barely budged. And some say that's exactly the signal. In this episode, Matt Hougan of Bitwise and Matthew Sheffield of FalconX join Laura to unpack the tension between short-term volatility and long-term conviction. They explore why this cycle may look very different from previous ones, how institutional capital is navigating crypto, and whether we're entering a new era defined by fundamentals, not just narratives. Plus: Why bitcoin might hit $200K, what Ethereum needs to reclaim momentum, and the real potential of DeFi under this new administration. Visit our website for breaking news, analysis, op-eds, articles to learn about crypto, and much more: unchainedcrypto.com Thank you to our sponsors! Bitwise Human Rights Foundation Guest: Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise Previous appearances on Unchained: How Small Bitcoin ETF Issuers Will Compete With the Likes of BlackRock Why a Spot Bitcoin ETF Will Probably Launch No Later Than January 10 Matthew Sheffield, Senior Trader at FalconX Links Subscribe to our new crypto + macro newsletter! https://bitsandbips.beehiiv.com/subscribe Recent coverage of Unchained on the economy and tariffs:  Why CoinFund Believes There's Still a Strong Bull Case for Bitcoin and Crypto Arthur Hayes on Why Tariffs Will Be Good for Bitcoin and Crypto Bits + Bips: Why a U.S. Recession May Be Coming — And Still Isn't Priced In Bits + Bips: Trump's Tariffs Are Causing Mayhem, But Will They Revive U.S. Manufacturing? Trump Tariffs Sink Crypto, BlackRock Pumps Bitcoin's Bags Why Trump-Induced Stagflation Could Finally Make Bitcoin a Safe Haven In Market Crash, What Should You Buy? Crypto VCs Are Making These Bets Bitcoin Tops $83,000 as Tariff Pause Sends Markets Soaring Crypto Traders See Another $1B Liquidated Amid Tariff Turbulence  Recession incoming? Ray Dalio's remarks on Meet the Press Timestamps:

Ray Dalio says he believes the economy is already on the edge of a full-blown recession already, and he's hardly alone. However, Dalio also told Meet The Press his main worry is that recession economy getting slammed by a crisis. While Mr. Dalio means persistently higher interest rates, we know that's not what the real markets are pricing even if ultimately this would lead to exactly what he's warning about. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisNBC News Ray Dalio MtPhttps://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/video/billionaire-investor-ray-dalio-is-worried-about-something-worse-than-recession-full-interview-237257285807Bloomberg Bessent Is Wrong About Banks Saving Treasurieshttps://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-04-14/bessent-is-wrong-about-banks-saving-treasuriesFRBNY SCEhttps://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/sce#/Bloomberg Fearing Recession, Young People Are Heading to Grad Schoolhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-12/grad-school-interest-surges-as-young-people-fear-recession-bleak-job-markethttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

In this analysis, the bond market's unsettling movements raise suspicions of a deeper financial struggle. With global powers possibly retaliating against U.S. tariffs, the situation is further complicated by growing national debt. As figures like Ray Dalio and Elon Musk warn about the dangers of excessive borrowing, the U.S. faces an unsustainable financial trajectory. The discussion delves into the looming threat of a debt death cycle, the failures of Congress to address spending, and how tariffs may not be the only issue at play. With the U.S. potentially heading toward a breaking point, the need for a balanced approach to national finances is critical.

This analysis explores the unsettling movements in the bond market, signaling a potential financial crisis linked to U.S. tariffs and soaring national debt. With global powers possibly retaliating, figures like Ray Dalio and Elon Musk highlight the dangers of excessive borrowing and warn of an unsustainable fiscal path. The discussion examines the looming threat of a "debt death cycle," the failures of Congress to tackle spending, and how tariffs might not be the only factor driving this crisis. As the U.S. edges closer to a financial breaking point, the need for a balanced, sustainable approach to national finances becomes increasingly urgent.

The bond market is rattling, and suspicions are rising about a deeper financial battle involving U.S. tariffs and unsustainable national debt. As figures like Ray Dalio and Elon Musk sound alarms, the U.S. faces a potential economic meltdown, with Congress failing to act on runaway spending. From global retaliation to the dangers of a "debt death cycle," this conversation unpacks the urgent need for a financial course correction before the country hits a breaking point.

In this episode of The Chad & Cheese Podcast, Jeff Taylor, the nutty professor behind Monster.com, crashes the mic to dish on job boards, entrepreneurial chaos, and why the hiring game's more bonkers than a squirrel on espresso. He takes us on a nostalgia trip through Monster's heyday, chuckling at how Indeed swooped in like a job-posting ninja and the LinkedIn deal hit like a plot twist in a bad rom-com—spoiler: LinkedIn won. Taylor's saga is a hoot: from birthing Monster, to getting a decade-long MBA beatdown from Ray Dalio at Bridgewater (think Wall Street with extra yelling), to now pimping his new gig, BoomBand, which promises to rescue resumes and job postings from the stone age—because who needs parchment scrolls in 2025? He cracks up over flops like Eons—“Facebook handed me my lunch”—and slings zingers like “Jeff Taylor is back, bitches,” while preaching that job seekers are the real MVPs, job boards are deader than disco, and keeping market share is like wrestling a greased pig. With a gleam in his eye, he's hell-bent on jazzing up resumes to strut past, present, and future vibes, proving that thriving in this HR tech madhouse means diving headfirst into the crazy—and maybe dodging a few industry punches along the way. Chapters 00:00 - Introduction to Jeff Taylor 02:02 - Jeff's Entrepreneurial Journey 03:34 - The Evolution of Job Boards 06:37 - The Challenges of Job Market Dynamics 08:29 - The Impact of Aggregators on Job Boards 10:54 - The LinkedIn Deal and Its Consequences 12:36 - Reflections on Monster's Legacy 19:37 - Lessons from Eons and Future Aspirations 29:05 - The Evolution of Monster and Ad Agencies 34:00 - Transitioning to Bridgewater and Learning from Ray Dalio 39:30 - The Journey to BoomBand: Challenges and Insights 46:46 - Reinventing Recruitment: The Future of Resumes and Job Postings

Chuck Zodda and Mike Armstrong discuss Trump warning tariffs are coming for electronics after reprieve. Apple was on the brink of crisis before Trump's tariff concessions. How one shortage can disrupt the entire worldwide supply chain. The bond market's rout is bad news for the US economy. What actually is a recession? Ray Dalio is worried that something worse than a recession is coming.

President Trump reverses course tariffs — pausing most hikes but raising them on China, while exempting key tech imports. Trump's top trade adviser Peter Navarro, Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) and billionaire investor Ray Dalio join Kristen Welker with exclusive reactions. Kelly O'Donnell, Jonathan Martin, Kimberly Atkins Stohr and Matt Gorman join the Meet the Press roundtable.

 Wall Street veteran and macro expert, James Lavish, and Preston Pysh have a candid back and forth about the Trump tariffs and what the impact in game theory looks like moving forward. They also talk about how it's impacting fixed income, equities, and Bitcoin. Plus how the U.S. might navigate things from here and what's expected ahead. IN THIS EPISODE YOU'LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 04:14 - How MAG 7 dynamics differ from MAGA trade policies 04:48 - Insights from the Street on where equities and crypto are headed 14:07 - How the U.S. dollar contributed to structural trade imbalances 14:49 - Why China's bond selloff may be a response to U.S. tariffs 15:56 - The potential size of the “boggie” in market selloffs and debt 16:23 - Ray Dalio's framework for understanding today's deeper economic shifts 16:41 - The case for the end of globalism and what replaces it 23:42 - Why Elon Musk might be at odds with his economic circle 28:02 - What tariffs mean for inflation and the bond market 36:19 - The role of Dollar Stablecoins in the evolving financial system Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES James' X Account. James' The Informationist Newsletter. James' Bitcoin Opportunity VC Fund. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed.   NEW TO THE SHOW? Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Check out our Bitcoin Fundamentals Starter Packs. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Get smarter about valuing businesses in just a few minutes each week through our newsletter, The Intrinsic Value Newsletter. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: SimpleMining Hardblock AnchorWatch CFI Education Found Fundrise Indeed The Bitcoin Way Vanta Shopify Onramp TurboTax Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm

#597: A recession is coming, and it might be worse than most people expect. That's the sobering assessment from Bob Elliott, former Head of Ray Dalio's Investment Team at Bridgewater Associates, when he joins us on the podcast. Bob explains that several economic factors are converging to create challenging conditions. The combination of current trade policies, persistent inflation issues, and a Federal Reserve that's constrained in its response is creating significant economic headwinds. Tariffs play a central role in this economic outlook. While their inflationary impact remains debatable, their growth-negative effects are more certain. When imported goods become more expensive, consumers have less money to spend on other things. This reduces demand across the entire economy. Manufacturing and reshoring aren't simple solutions either. Bob points out that building new factories takes about five years, with payback periods stretching 30 years. This timeline explains why CEOs hesitate to make such investments, especially in an environment where policies change unpredictably. This uncertainty has driven CEO confidence to its lowest levels since the 2008 financial crisis, further complicating economic prospects. For individual investors, Bob offers surprisingly straightforward advice. Despite his sophisticated background managing billions, he follows a simple personal investment strategy: dollar-cost averaging and diversification. He even limits himself to reviewing his investments just once annually — typically the Wednesday before Thanksgiving. This disciplined approach prevents overtrading and removes emotion from investment decisions — principles that apply whether you're investing regular income or handling a windfall. Throughout our conversation, Bob emphasizes that the US economy fundamentally runs on consumer spending. When policies redirect money from discretionary spending toward necessities, the effects ripple throughout the entire system. Want to hear more of Bob's insights on recession probability, investment strategy, and economic policy? Listen to the full episode now. Timestamps: Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising run times. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths. (0:00) Introducing Bob Elliott, former head of Ray Dalio's investment team at Bridgewater (2:56) Bob discusses high probability of recession due to growth-negative policies (7:00) Tariffs likely growth negative in short-term despite long-term manufacturing goals (14:20) Transition from global supply chains to parallel and redundant manufacturing systems (19:50) Four economic levers: tariffs, tax policy, monetary policy, and government spending (26:15) Stock market reacts to short-term expectations despite positive long-term outlook (34:15) Bond markets performing well as growth slows; potential recession duration of 1-1.5 years (45:40) Long-term productivity growth creates wealth despite short-term volatility (53:15) Dollar-cost averaging and diversification recommended for individual investors (59:15) Bob discusses founding GiveWell to identify highest-impact charitable giving (1:11:10) Bob explains Unlimited Funds, making hedge fund strategies accessible to everyday investors Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Tom and Co-Host Producer Drew explore a range of topics shaping the current socio-political and technological landscape. With insights from Ray Dalio's tweets and the backdrop of recent policy announcements, the episode delves into the impact of tariffs, globalization, and the intricate dance of international economics. Tom unravels the complexities of U.S.-China trade relations, the nuances of economic policies under Trump, and the controversial rhetoric surrounding these issues. Emphasizing clarity and depth, Tom and Drew dig into the less obvious layers of geopolitical strategy, explaining how currency manipulation and trade barriers play a pivotal role in the global economic stage. They also reflect on the looming AI revolution, China's impressive technological advancements, and the ethical dilemmas posed by rapid innovation. Join them for a deep dive into the dynamics reshaping America and the world today. SHOWNOTES 00:00 Modern Echoes of Marie Antoinette 09:55 Decoding Geopolitical Strategies 11:53 Ray Dalio on Tariffs' Impact 17:07 Currency Warfare and Tariffs 22:05 "Unpredictable Consequences of Economic Warfare" 29:57 Tariffs' Uncertain Global Impact 35:02 Waiting on Election Outcome 39:32 AI's Energy and Global Race 45:34 "AI Inspires Creative Expansion" 47:58 Elon's Political Impact Examined 57:49 Avoid Racial Profiling in Justice 01:01:19 Reevaluating Deportation Ethics 01:06:55 "Future of Intelligence and Energy" 01:13:41 "Goal-Oriented Strategy vs. Emotion" 01:14:45 "Until Next Time, Legends" CHECK OUT OUR SPONSORS Audible: Sign up for a free 30 day trial at https://audible.com/IMPACTTHEORY  Vital Proteins: Get 20% off by going to https://www.vitalproteins.com and entering promo code IMPACT at check out Shopify: Sign up for your one-dollar-per-month trial period at https://shopify.com/impact Thrive Market: ​​Go to https:thrivemarket.com/impact for 30% off your first order, plus a FREE $60 gift! American Alternative Assets: If you're ready to explore gold as part of your investment strategy, call 1-888-615-8047 or go to https://TomGetsGold.com Tech Unheard: Tune into Tech Unheard from Arm and NPM—wherever you get your podcasts. ********************************************************************** What's up, everybody? It's Tom Bilyeu here: If you want my help... STARTING a business: join me here at ZERO TO FOUNDER SCALING a business: see if you qualify here. Get my battle-tested strategies and insights delivered weekly to your inbox: sign up here. ********************************************************************** If you're serious about leveling up your life, I urge you to check out my new podcast, Tom Bilyeu's Mindset Playbook —a goldmine of my most impactful episodes on mindset, business, and health. Trust me, your future self will thank you. ********************************************************************** Join me live on my Twitch stream. I'm live daily from 6:30 to 8:30 am PT at www.twitch.tv/tombilyeu ********************************************************************** LISTEN TO IMPACT THEORY AD FREE + BONUS EPISODES on APPLE PODCASTS: apple.co/impacttheory ********************************************************************** FOLLOW TOM: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tombilyeu/ Tik Tok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tombilyeu?lang=en Twitter: https://twitter.com/tombilyeu YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TomBilyeu Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

#596: Yesterday, the White House rolled out the biggest tariffs in a century, sending markets into their worst decline since the pandemic. While headlines focus on supply chains and inflation, there are important economic stories you're not hearing about. During the first half of this month's First Friday episode, we dig into what nobody's talking about. And in the second half, we grapple with the headlines. Student loan rules just changed again. The government added new limits to Public Service Loan Forgiveness. Right now, 9.2 million people — one in five borrowers — can't keep up with payments. Many folks don't even know payments started again after that four-and-a-half-year break. S&P just dropped a new report that backs what smart money already knows: index funds crush actively managed funds 90 percent of the time. Even with all those tech stocks dominating the market, you still come out ahead with simple indexing. You know who's gobbling up the mortgage market? Rocket Companies. They just bought both Redfin and Mr. Cooper. They'll handle one of every six mortgages in America. They've positioned themselves at every step of the homebuying journey — from when you search for homes on Redfin to financing and monthly payments for the next 30 years. The White House just made a surprising move with Bitcoin. They're setting up a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve to hold coins long-term. They're also creating a separate stockpile for crypto they seize in legal cases. Pretty clear signal that Bitcoin stands apart from other cryptocurrencies. In the second half, we dive into those significant new tariffs making headlines.  The S&P 500 dropped 4.8 percent on Thursday — we haven't seen a drop like that since the pandemic. The new rules put at least a 10 percent tariff on everything coming into the country. Then come the "reciprocal" rates: 20 percent for European goods, 27 percent for items from India, and a combined 65 percent for Chinese imports. We bring in Bob Elliott to make sense of this situation. His credentials are impressive — he spent 13 years at Bridgewater Associates (the world's largest hedge fund), served as head of Ray Dalio's investment team, and graduated magna cum laude from Harvard.  During the 2008 crisis, he directly advised the Treasury, Federal Reserve, and White House.  Bob offers a reality check about bringing back manufacturing jobs: you can't build factories overnight. These investments take years, and companies hesitate to make 30-year commitments when policies change every few months. Bob breaks down four economic forces all hitting at once: tariffs jacking up prices, government cutting spending, tax policies on hold, and the Fed moving like molasses. Put them together? Yikes. He doesn't sugarcoat it — the short-term outlook looks "pretty negative." Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices