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For the next 90 days, the two countries will temporarily ease tariffs on each other's goods as trade talks continue. But what does this deal mean for the broader economy? Marketplace's Kai Ryssdal sits down with Adam Posen from the Peterson Institute for International Economics to discuss the damage that's already been done. Also on the show, how soybean farmers feel about the latest trade deal and why Chinese manufacturers are trying to reach American consumers via TikTok.
For the next 90 days, the two countries will temporarily ease tariffs on each other's goods as trade talks continue. But what does this deal mean for the broader economy? Marketplace's Kai Ryssdal sits down with Adam Posen from the Peterson Institute for International Economics to discuss the damage that's already been done. Also on the show, how soybean farmers feel about the latest trade deal and why Chinese manufacturers are trying to reach American consumers via TikTok.
Adam Posen, President of the Petersen Institute for International Economics discusses the outlook for inflation in the US and the Institute's recent research on tariffs. He speaks with Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In den USA triumphiert Donald Trumps „Make America Great Again“, in Berlin ist die Ampelkoalition zerbrochen. Im Podcast „Das Thema“ analysieren wir die wirtschaftlichen Folgen der politischen Schocks dieser Woche. Weiterführende Links: Ökonom Adam Posen zur US-Wahl: „Trump wird am Ende versuchen, den Dollar zu schwächen“ US-Notenbank: Fed dürfte Zinsen heute erneut senken Bruch der Ampelkoaltion: Drei FDP-Abgänge und zwei Doppelminister Zum manager magazin Abo Der Tag – Die Wirtschaftsnachrichten als Newsletter Das manager magazin fasst den Tag für Sie zusammen: Die wichtigsten Wirtschaftsnachrichten im Überblick. Täglich ab 18:00 Uhr. Hier geht es zur Anmeldung! Dieser Podcast wurde produziert von Felix Klein, Selina Hegger und Sven Bergmann.+++ Alle Infos zu unseren Werbepartnern finden Sie hier. Die manager-Gruppe ist nicht für den Inhalt dieser Seite verantwortlich. +++ Alle Podcasts der manager Gruppe finden Sie hier. Mehr Hintergründe zum Thema erhalten Sie bei manager+. Jetzt drei Monate für nur € 10,- mtl. lesen und 50% sparen manager-magazin.de/abonnieren Informationen zu unserer Datenschutzerklärung.
Adam Posen, president at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, says former President Donald Trump is "weaponizing" uncertainty with his tariff plans. Trump wants to put a 20% tariff on all imports. Posen spoke with Bloomberg's Jonathan Ferro and Lisa AbramowiczSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Peterson Institute for International Economics President Adam Posen discusses Fed Day and the presidential election. Posen speaks with Bloomberg's Dani Burger.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
U.S. economist Adam Posen has expressed his approval of the Bank of Japan's current monetary tightening cycle as the Japanese economy is generally progressing as the BOJ expects.
インタビューに応じたピーターソン国際経済研究所のアダム・ポーゼン所長、23日、米ワイオミング州ジャクソンホール【ジャクソンホール時事】米有力シンクタンク「ピーターソン国際経済研究所」のアダム・ポーゼン所長は23日、日銀の利上げ路線継続に関し、日本経済はおおむね日銀の予想通りに推移しており、「追加利上げの余地はあり、引き締めバイアスは適切だ」との見解を示した。 U.S. economist Adam Posen has expressed his approval of the Bank of Japan's current monetary tightening cycle as the Japanese economy is generally progressing as the BOJ expects.
How do the proposed economic policies of Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump differ—and where is there overlap? Adam Posen, the president of the nonpartisan Peterson Institute for International Economics, joins FP Live to discuss the two campaigns' agendas. Suggested reading: Adam Posen on Industrial Policy: America's Zero-Sum Economics Doesn't Add Up Ravi Agrawal's Interview With U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai (FP Live March 2023) Edward Alden on Robert Lighthizer: The Man Who Would Help Trump Upend the Global Economy Jared Cohen: Don't Bet Against the Dollar Keith Johnson: Trump's Plan to Weaken the Dollar Makes No Sense FP Staff: The Kamala Harris Doctrine Peterson Institute for International Economics: Election 2024: Assessing Presidential Economic Platforms Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
NOTE: This podcast was recorded before Joe Biden announced he was stepping down from the US presidential raceBoth the Republicans and Democrats are talking tough on economic competition with China. But is this wise? Today on the show, Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, discusses why a hard line on China might not be the best line. To take part in the audience survey and be in with the chance to win a pair of Bose QuietComfort 35 wireless headphones, click here. Click here to find T&Cs for the prize draw.Soumaya Keynes writes a column each week for the Financial Times. You can find it hereSubscribe to Soumaya's show on Apple, Spotify, Pocket Casts or wherever you listen.Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
In this episode, Alan Dunne welcomes former central banker and current President of the Peterson Institute, Adam Posen, to discuss the economic outlook and monetary policy. Posen explains why he believes markets are mistaken in expecting rate cuts next year and identifies the key factors driving stronger economic growth. They explore global central banking and monetary policy, examining the successes and challenges of inflation targeting, the models used by central banks, and the most important variables to monitor for policy decisions. Posen also discusses why inflation targeting may become more challenging in the coming years and argues that less forward guidance from policymakers could be beneficial. They discuss the outlook for fiscal policy for the next administration and Posen explains that while a fiscal crisis is not his base case, he foresees significant upside risks to bond yields in the coming years.-----EXCEPTIONAL RESOURCE: Find Out How to Build a Safer & Better Performing Portfolio using this FREE NEW Portfolio Builder Tool-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Follow Adam on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 02:10 - Introduction to Adam Posen05:45 - Was it all about luck?07:40 - Was the Covid19 period handled the wrong way economically?12:06 - Are we going into more challenging times for inflation targeting?13:56 - The political pressure on central banks16:48 - The challenges of inflation targeting23:47 - A micro-managing nightmare?29:50 - What are the
Donald Trump has made inflation a central part of his campaign message. At his rallies, he rails against “the Biden inflation tax” and “crooked Joe's inflation nightmare,” and promises that in a second Trump term, “inflation will be in full retreat.”But if you look at Trump's actual policies, that wouldn't be the case at all. Trump has a bold, ambitious agenda to make prices much, much higher. He's proposing a 10 percent tariff on imported goods, and a 60 percent tariff on products from China. He wants to deport huge numbers of immigrants. And he's made it clear that he'd like to replace the Federal Reserve chair with someone more willing to take orders from him. It's almost unimaginable to me that you would run on this agenda at a time when Americans are so mad about high prices. But I don't think people really know that's what Trump is vowing to do.So to drill into the weeds of Trump's plans, I decided to call up an old friend. Matt Yglesias is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist and the author of the Slow Boring newsletter, where he's been writing a lot about Trump's proposals. We also used to host a policy podcast together, “The Weeds.”In this conversation, we discuss what would happen to the economy, especially in terms of inflation, if Trump actually did what he says he wants to do; what we can learn from how Trump managed the economy in his first term; and why more people aren't sounding the alarm.Mentioned:“Trump's new economic plan is terrible” by Matthew Yglesias“Never mind: Wall Street titans shake off qualms and embrace Trump” by Sam Sutton“How Far Trump Would Go” by Eric CortellessaBook Recommendations:Take Back the Game by Linda Flanagan1177 B.C. by Eric H. ClineThe Rise of the G.I. Army, 1940-1941 by Paul DicksonThoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Rollin Hu. Fact-checking by Kate Sinclair and Mary Marge Locker. Mixing by Isaac Jones, with Aman Sahota. Our senior editor is Claire Gordon. The show's production team also includes Annie Galvin, Elias Isquith and Kristin Lin. Original music by Isaac Jones. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser. Special thanks to Sonia Herrero, Adam Posen and Michael Strain.
Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio.In this episode, we feature conversations with John Kartsonas & Adam PosenWatch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
There is no doubt that China's economy is struggling. After Chinese President Xi Jinping ended the country's zero-COVID policy a year ago, most economists expected growth to surge—but that never really happened, and deeper problems became apparent. So what are the exact causes of China's stagnation? The economists Adam Posen, Zongyuan Zoe Liu, and Michael Pettis each have different answers. China's future—and the future of the United States' policy toward China—hinges on which of their answers is the right one. Foreign Affairs Executive Editor Justin Vogt spoke with them at a November 14 discussion co-hosted by the Peterson Institute for International Economics, of which Posen is president. Liu is the Maurice R. Greenberg fellow for China studies at the Council on Foreign Relations. Pettis is a senior fellow at the Carnegie China Center and professor of finance at Peking University.
China's rise has been among the most consequential economic events of the past half century. Before the reforms begun by Deng Xiaoping in the late 1970s, China was among the poorest nations in the world. The transformations over the past 45 years have made it a central player in the world economy. But in the last few years, the Chinese juggernaut has stalled. And while many economies slowed during the COVID pandemic, the downturn in China has been especially acute. Will the Chinese economy rebound? Adam Posen joins EconoFact Chats to share his thoughts on this and other issues, drawing on his latest Foreign Affairs article ‘The End of China's Economic Miracle.' Adam is the President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
China's rise has been among the most consequential economic events of the past half century. Before the reforms begun by Deng Xiaoping in the late 1970s, China was among the poorest nations in the world. The transformations over the past 45 years have made it a central player in the world economy. But in the last few years, the Chinese juggernaut has stalled. And while many economies slowed during the COVID pandemic, the downturn in China has been especially acute. Will the Chinese economy rebound? Adam Posen joins EconoFact Chats to share his thoughts on this and other issues, drawing on his latest Foreign Affairs article ‘The End of China's Economic Miracle.' Adam is the President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
The world's second-largest economy is slowing down. But are concerns overblown? What's at risk for the global economy? How should policymakers react? The Wall Street Journal's chief China correspondent, Lingling Wei; economist Adam Posen; and FP's James Palmer join Ravi Agrawal to decipher the economic data and news from China. Suggested reading: James Palmer: As China's Property Sector Crumbles, Who Takes the Fall? Zongyuan Zoe Liu: Xi's Policies Have Shortened the Fuse on China's Economic Time Bomb Hal Brands: The Dangers of China's Decline Tony Chan, Ben Harburg, and Kishore Mahbubani: America Can't Stop China's Rise Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Will Bidenomics help the US Democrats win another term in office? Will the policies be effective in tackling the climate crisis? Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, thinks not. In the last in our series on Bidenomics, he tells Gideon why offering incentives to private sector businesses is, in his view, a bad strategy.Free links to read more on this topic:John Kerry: Energy transition is the ‘new industrial revolution'Adam Posen: ‘Russia and North Korea worked hard to be self-sufficient, it has not turned out well for them'The west shouldn't give up on ‘gentle commerce' just yetWTO warns about fragmentation of global trade into allied blocsSubscribe to The Rachman Review wherever you get your podcasts - please listen, rate and subscribe.Presented by Gideon Rachman. Produced by Fiona Symon. Sound design is by Breen TurnerRead a transcript of this episode on FT.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
There is a lot of taxpayer money going into propping up industry in the U.S. From semiconductor chip fabrication in Arizona to green hydrogen plants in California. Is this smart policy? Today on the Indicator, our guests debate! We're joined by Réka Juhász, economist at the University of British Columbia and Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics.After the debate, tell us what you thought! Did anything you heard change your mind or make you think differently about industrial policy? Send us a note at indicator@npr.org.For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org. Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter.
The Biden administration has undertaken an aggressive effort to revitalize domestic manufacturing, particularly in areas like semiconductors and green technology. The reasons are manifold. The pandemic exposed frailties in the supply chain. Climate concerns have accelerated the urgency around the energy transition. And anxiety about growing Chinese dominance in key areas (such as batteries) has heightened geopolitical concerns. So now, day after day, we see spates of announcements of new factories being opened up in these areas. But what are the risks and dangers to this approach? On this episode of the podcast, recorded at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, we speak with Adam Posen, a former member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee who now serves as president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics. He warns that the basic logic for this domestic industrial policy is misguided and based on a faulty understanding of domestic economic dynamics. He also says that we're taking a wrong and dangerous approach to dealing with perceived competitive threats from China.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Adam Posen isn't ruling out the Bank of England pushing UK interest rates as high as 7%.The president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics and a former member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee, Posen says the 6.25% rate investors have priced in for the end of 2023 is the level he's been predicting for the past year. “The fact that the inflation is proving more persistent,” he says, just means “they'll have to go higher.”Joining David Merritt and Francine Lacqua on this week's In the City, Posen says that—both in terms of policy and communication—the Bank of England got it wrong repeatedly throughout 2022 and into 2023. He also gives his take on the UK mortgage market meltdown—which he says doesn't warrant a bailout. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President & Former BOE Monetary Policy Committee Member, sees the Fed getting above 5.5% before the end of the year. Michael Collins, PGIM Fixed Income Senior Portfolio Manager, says there's low risk of a deep recession. Linda Duessel, Federated Hermes Senior VP & Senior Equity Strategist, expects the Fed to keep higher for longer as they stick to their inflation target. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President, says China President Xi is more concerned about trade issues than what Joe Biden says about him. Brad Dillman, Cortland Chief Economist, discusses the commercial and residential real estate market. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Today House Speaker Kevin McCarthy will give a speech at the New York Stock Exchange outlining his case for cutting spending in return for raising the debt limit. Plus, negotiations in Europe over Poland’s ban on imports of grain and other agriculture products. It’s yet another economic consequence of Russia’s war on Ukraine. And, the case for keeping a more globalized economy intact from Adam Posen of the Peterson Institute for International Economics. He says that shoring up supply chains, addressing concerns about China and fighting inequality are all worthy causes, but that more protectionist economic policy is not the answer.
Today House Speaker Kevin McCarthy will give a speech at the New York Stock Exchange outlining his case for cutting spending in return for raising the debt limit. Plus, negotiations in Europe over Poland’s ban on imports of grain and other agriculture products. It’s yet another economic consequence of Russia’s war on Ukraine. And, the case for keeping a more globalized economy intact from Adam Posen of the Peterson Institute for International Economics. He says that shoring up supply chains, addressing concerns about China and fighting inequality are all worthy causes, but that more protectionist economic policy is not the answer.
Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Chief Economist, still sees the Fed hiking by 25 basis points in May following the March CPI print. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund Portfolio Manager, says the direction of the banking crisis is "clear" but "the magnitude is not." Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President & former BOE Monetary Policy Committee member, discusses the problems with subsidies in global trade. Tim Adams, Institute of International Finance President and CEO & former Under Secretary of Treasury for International Affairs, says this isn't a banking crisis. Mark Kimmitt, former US Assistant Secretary of State for Political-Military Affairs & Retired Brigadier General, discusses the leak of classified documents. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In a Foreign Policy essay that is being much discussed by policymakers this week, Adam Posen argues that U.S. industrial policy is needlessly protectionist—and is likely to backfire. Why does he think Washington has it wrong? And how did we get here? Posen discusses and debates his ideas with host Ravi Agrawal. FP subscribers can watch these interviews live and submit questions and suggestions by going to https://foreignpolicy.com/live/. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief US Equity Strategist & CIO, says risk for the equity market is elevated now more than it's been for the last six or twelve months. Lisa Hornby, Schroders Head of US Multi-Sector Fixed Income, doesn't think banks are out of the woods yet. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Bank Equity Strategy and Large Cap Bank Analyst, says banks are moving in the right direction. Torsten Slok, Apollo Global Management Chief Economist, says this banking crisis is not like a normal banking crisis. Adam Posen, Peterson Institute President, says we need a new trade policy in the US. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The UK's budget crisis last September led to a plunge in the value of the pound, the sacking of the Chancellor of the Exchequer after 39 days in office, and a vote of no confidence against the Prime Minister. These events highlight how fiscal policies can have wide-spread political and economic consequences. As the U.S. Congress fails to raise the debt ceiling in a timely manner, what lessons might U.S. policy-makers draw from the British experience? How does failure to raise the debt ceiling affect faith in U.S. Treasury debt? And what are the rammifications of eroding trust in U.S. debt? Adam Posen joins EconoFact Chats to discuss these issues. Adam is the President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics. He served seven terms as an advisor to the U.S. Congressional Budget Office, and a three-year term on the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee.
The UK's budget crisis last September led to a plunge in the value of the pound, the sacking of the Chancellor of the Exchequer after 39 days in office, and a vote of no confidence against the Prime Minister. These events highlight how fiscal policies can have wide-spread political and economic consequences. As the U.S. Congress fails to raise the debt ceiling in a timely manner, what lessons might U.S. policy-makers draw from the British experience? How does failure to raise the debt ceiling affect faith in U.S. Treasury debt? And what are the rammifications of eroding trust in U.S. debt? Adam Posen joins EconoFact Chats to discuss these issues. Adam is the President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics. He served seven terms as an advisor to the U.S. Congressional Budget Office, and a three-year term on the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee.
THE THESIS: In the era of credentialism, virtue signaling and godlessness, people who have been granted intellectual gifts by God display impressive stupidity. They are wise in their own eyes. THE SCRIPTURE & SCRIPTURAL RESOURCES: Ecclesiastes 2:15Then I said to myself, “As is the fate of the fool, it will also befall me. Why then have I been extremely wise?” So I said to myself, “This too is vanity.”Proverbs 3:77 Do not be wise in your own eyes; fear the Lord and shun evil.THE NEWS & COMMENT:[AUDIO] - Another astonishing clip from the Cato Institute event today, this one from the influential Adam Posen, head of the Peterson Institute. He says a focus on domestic manufacturing is simply a “fetish for keeping white males with low education in the powerful positions they are in.”[AUDIO] - Flashback: Bloomberg Says Raising Taxes on Poor People is a “Good Thing”[AUDIO] - Everything you need to know about the climate change hoax in 2 mins. I got the sound the best I could. 1992. Al Gore vs. Rush Limbaugh [God rest him.]
THE THESIS: In the era of credentialism, virtue signaling and godlessness, people who have been granted intellectual gifts by God display impressive stupidity. They are wise in their own eyes. THE SCRIPTURE & SCRIPTURAL RESOURCES: Ecclesiastes 2:15Then I said to myself, “As is the fate of the fool, it will also befall me. Why then have I been extremely wise?” So I said to myself, “This too is vanity.”Proverbs 3:77 Do not be wise in your own eyes; fear the Lord and shun evil.THE NEWS & COMMENT:[AUDIO] - Another astonishing clip from the Cato Institute event today, this one from the influential Adam Posen, head of the Peterson Institute. He says a focus on domestic manufacturing is simply a “fetish for keeping white males with low education in the powerful positions they are in.”[AUDIO] - Flashback: Bloomberg Says Raising Taxes on Poor People is a “Good Thing”[AUDIO] - Everything you need to know about the climate change hoax in 2 mins. I got the sound the best I could. 1992. Al Gore vs. Rush Limbaugh [God rest him.]
This week's episode of In The City isn't for the lighthearted. Three weeks into her term, UK Prime Minister Liz Truss's financial plans have sowed market chaos, pummeled the pound and put her political future in doubt. So how bad is it? Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, tells David Merritt and Francine Lacqua that "it's hard to imagine worse panic than what we've seen ... it's just really sad to see the UK government behaving in this irresponsible way." Plus: The pound is on parity watch. We hear from a trader who made billions in 2008 and is now buying up sterling, and a hedge fund manager who is shorting the pound and betting against UK stocks. And to get the latest on UK news delivered to your inbox, subscribe to The Readout with Allegra Stratton.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Join MarketWatch's Greg Robb as he reports live from the Fed's annual summer retreat in Jackson Hole. Greg will react to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's highly-anticipated remarks and provide listeners a glimpse of the behind-the-scenes discussions of the outlook for the U.S. economy, interest rates, and more. Greg and MarketWatch reporter, Jeffry Bartash will be joined by the President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, Adam Posen.
Adam Posen, Peterson Institute President & Former BOE Policy Committee Member, says Boris Johnson has caused untold damage. Brian Deese, White House National Economic Council Director, says the White House has tools other that tariffs they can use to counter China. Alifia Doriwala, RockCreek Group Managing Director, says the slowing global economy, monetary tightening and the impact from the war in Ukraine will hit portfolios for years to come. Heather Boushey, Council of Economic Advisers Member, says President Biden is making clear that price fairness is his main goal. Stephanie Aaronson, Brookings Institution Head of Economic Studies, says the Fed needs to slow the economy.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Ex-MPC member Adam Posen says the Bank of England will need to raise rates by at least another 3 percentage points in order to control inflation.
The end of the Cold War marked the beginning of a new, interdependent world. Growing global consensus around trade rules, technology transfers, mass migration and investment ushered in a wave of globalization that was championed as the most effective means of bringing prosperity and stability to big and small countries. Yet lately, a slew of anti-globalization movements have led to a marked decrease in world trade. Some economists predict that the war between Russia and Ukraine will only accelerate the decline of globalization. With supply chains already fractured due to the pandemic and climate change, the war will remind many developed nations that they cannot rely on foreign countries for badly needed resources like wheat or natural gas. China, one of the world's biggest exporters of goods, will likewise see the economic isolation of Russia as a reason to become more independent and protect itself from being vulnerable to similar economic sanctions in the future. Others take a more optimistic view about the future of globalization; with all the comparisons to the 1970's and sustained inflation, many forget that it was a decade that paved the way for a sustained expansion of trade and international migration. And the best way to deal with inflation, these experts argue, is to open economies and increase the flow of goods. The future will see more, not less, economic interdependence, cooperation, and globalization. Arguing for the motion is Adam Posen, President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics Arguing against the motion is Harold James, economic historian and Professor of History and International Affairs at Princeton University QUOTES: ADAM POSEN “We are moving to a world where division is going to be more evident, and where values in national security are going to determine more of our economic decisions” HAROLD JAMES “The globalization that's going to follow in the 21st century is about the globalization of services and the use of information technology. It's a very exciting prospect.” Sources: ABC, BBC, PBS The host of the Munk Debates is Rudyard Griffiths - @rudyardg. Tweet your comments about this episode to @munkdebate or comment on our Facebook page https://www.facebook.com/munkdebates/ To sign up for a weekly email reminder for this podcast, send an email to podcast@munkdebates.com. To support civil and substantive debate on the big questions of the day, consider becoming a Munk Member at https://munkdebates.com/membership Members receive access to our 10+ year library of great debates in HD video, a free Munk Debates book, newsletter and ticketing privileges at our live events. This podcast is a project of the Munk Debates, a Canadian charitable organization dedicated to fostering civil and substantive public dialogue - https://munkdebates.com/ Senior Producer: Ricki Gurwitz Editor: Adam Karch
Amid the Russia-Ukraine conflict, COVID-19 lockdowns and associated supply chain disruptions, globalization is arguably facing its biggest test of the post-Cold War era. In this episode of Exchanges at Goldman Sachs, Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, Dani Rodrik, professor at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government, and Jim O'Neill, former chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, discuss where globalization is headed from here and what that could mean for society, the economy, and markets. This episode is based on Goldman Sachs Research's latest Top of Mind report “(De)Globalization Ahead?”
John Williams, Federal Reserve Bank of New York President, says including hikes in increments of a half-percentage point is a “reasonable option” for the Fed. Kristalina Georgieva, IMF Managing Director, says the war in Ukraine is threatening the world order. Gita Gopinath, IMF First Deputy Managing Director, expects to see inflation easing toward 3% in the second half of the year. Angela Stent, Brookings Non-Resident Senior Fellow and Dan Yergin, S&P Global Vice Chairman, discuss their outlook for the war in Ukraine. Adam Posen, Peterson Institute President & Former BOE Monetary Policy Committee Member, says inflation is probably peaking in the U.S. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, joined this week's “What Goes Up” podcast to discuss how Russia's invasion of Ukraine threatens to further separate the world's economies, and how a 20-year-long backlash to globalization is causing the U.S. to fall behind. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Synopsis: Each month, The Straits Times' US Bureau Chief Nirmal Ghosh presents an Asian perspective of the biggest global talking points with expert guests. In this episode, Nirmal Ghosh talks to Dr Adam Posen, the president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, about the world of humanity and nation states breaking into blocs. 00:22 Dr Posen's view on the end of globalisation 04:23 World economy will likely split into blocs 07:38 Economists that feel threatened may have an incentive to move their reserves out of the US 10:17 Europe wants to wean itself off dependence on Russia's oil and gas 14:07 Dr Posen's view on US's Indo-Pacific policy Produced by: Nirmal Ghosh (nirmal@sph.com.sg), Ernest Luis and Fa'izah Sani Edited by: Eden Soh Subscribe to the Asian Insider Podcast channel and rate us on your favourite audio apps: Channel: https://str.sg/JWa7 Apple Podcasts: https://str.sg/JWa8 Google Podcasts: https://str.sg/wQsB Spotify: https://str.sg/JWaX SPH Awedio app: https://www.awedio.sg/ Website: http://str.sg/stpodcasts Feedback to: podcast@sph.com.sg Follow Nirmal Ghosh on Twitter: https://str.sg/JD7r Read Nirmal Ghosh's stories: https://str.sg/JbxG Register for Asian Insider newsletter: https://str.sg/stnewsletters Asian Insider videos: https://str.sg/wdcC --- Discover more ST podcast series: Asian Insider Podcast: https://str.sg/JWa7 Green Pulse Podcast: https://str.sg/JWaf Health Check Podcast: https://str.sg/JWaN ST Sports Talk Podcast: https://str.sg/JWRE #PopVultures Podcast: https://str.sg/JWad Bookmark This! Podcast: https://str.sg/JWas Lunch With Sumiko Podcast: https://str.sg/J6hQ Discover BT Podcasts: https://bt.sg/pcPL Follow our shows then, if you like short, practical podcasts! #STAsianInsider See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Synopsis: Each month, The Straits Times' US Bureau Chief Nirmal Ghosh presents an Asian perspective of the biggest global talking points with expert guests. In this episode, Nirmal Ghosh talks to Dr Adam Posen, the president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, about the world of humanity and nation states breaking into blocs. 00:22 Dr Posen's view on the end of globalisation 04:23 World economy will likely split into blocs 07:38 Economists that feel threatened may have an incentive to move their reserves out of the US 10:17 Europe wants to wean itself off dependence on Russia's oil and gas 14:07 Dr Posen's view on US's Indo-Pacific policy Produced by: Nirmal Ghosh (nirmal@sph.com.sg), Ernest Luis and Fa'izah Sani Edited by: Eden Soh Subscribe to the Asian Insider Podcast channel and rate us on your favourite audio apps: Channel: https://str.sg/JWa7 Apple Podcasts: https://str.sg/JWa8 Google Podcasts: https://str.sg/wQsB Spotify: https://str.sg/JWaX SPH Awedio app: https://www.awedio.sg/ Website: http://str.sg/stpodcasts Feedback to: podcast@sph.com.sg Follow Nirmal Ghosh on Twitter: https://str.sg/JD7r Read Nirmal Ghosh's stories: https://str.sg/JbxG Register for Asian Insider newsletter: https://str.sg/stnewsletters Asian Insider videos: https://str.sg/wdcC --- Discover more ST podcast series: Green Pulse Podcast: https://str.sg/JWaf In Your Opinion Podcast: https://str.sg/w7Qt Health Check Podcast: https://str.sg/JWaN ST Sports Talk Podcast: https://str.sg/JWRE #PopVultures Podcast: https://str.sg/JWad Bookmark This! Podcast: https://str.sg/JWas Lunch With Sumiko Podcast: https://str.sg/J6hQ Discover BT Podcasts: http://bt.sg/podcasts Follow our shows then, if you like short, practical podcasts! #STAsianInsider See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The global economy has felt the ripple effects of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine for nearly a month now. Today, we chat with Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, who argues that the war could erode the “global” part of this economy. Plus: A look at who benefits from new trade deals, why governments and aid organizations claim credit for humanitarian assistance and how housing support programs create stability for recipients. Keep independent journalism going strong. Give today to support Marketplace.
The global economy has felt the ripple effects of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine for nearly a month now. Today, we chat with Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, who argues that the war could erode the “global” part of this economy. Plus: A look at who benefits from new trade deals, why governments and aid organizations claim credit for humanitarian assistance and how housing support programs create stability for recipients. Keep independent journalism going strong. Give today to support Marketplace.
Adam Posen, Peterson Institute President & Former BOE Monetary Policy Committee Member, makes the case for raising the inflation target. Steve Chiavarone, Federated Hermes Portfolio Manager, says its still risk-on for the time being. Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Research Founder, President & CIO, expects productivity to make a comeback. Ellen Wald, Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council, says gas prices are starting to calm down. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
An old debate in economic circles is whether Europe's strong safety net and worker protections are preferable to America's more company-friendly labor rules. Now this classic argument is getting a fresh look, as economies on both sides of the Atlantic bounce back from pandemic work-stoppages. The U.K. and many euro-area nations adopted generous furlough programs that subsidized worker wages after Covid-19 halted business, and consequently kept workers on payrolls. The U.S., meantime, allowed companies to fire employees and then compensated the newly jobless workers with unemployment insurance payments. This week Stephanomics podcast, Bloomberg reporters Carolynn Look in Frankfurt and Reade Pickert in Washington share the ups and downs of the European and American approaches to pandemic worker relief. By one measure, Europe's furlough strategy proved superior: the euro area's unemployment rate peaked at 8.6% last year, far lower than the U.S.'s 14.8% high. Finally, Adam Posen of the Peterson Institute for International Economics shares with Stephanie Flanders why he prefers the euro area's approach. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Mohamed El-Erian, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, describes the perfect storm facing emerging markets. Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President, responds to Lawrence Summers's comment saying central bankers are too woke to tackle inflation. Vitor Gaspar, International Monetary Fund Fiscal Affairs Department Director, says central banks should look through the transitory increase in prices and conduct policy with a steady hand. Nadia Lovell, UBS Senior U.S. Equity Strategist, evaluates the resilience of economic reopening to supply chain disruptions, a jump in energy prices and the prospect of reduced central bank support. Ken Leon, CFRA Research Director, discusses better-than-expected trading results from Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and Citi. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics lays out evidence for the U.S.'s retreat from globalization, and its potential consequences.
Jared Bernstein, White House Council of Economic Advisers Member, says the White House can't yet determine what sort of impact the recommended pause in the use of Johnson & Johnson's Covid-19 vaccine would have on it's vaccination target and economy. Dr. Peter Hotez, Baylor College of Medicine National School of Tropical Medicine Dean, says the U.S. pause of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine could lead to a negative impact on the global vaccination effort. Adam Posen, Peterson Institute President, says we shouldn't worry about inflation yet. Simona Mocuta, State Street Senior Economist, says we shouldn't dismiss food inflation. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com
Adam Posen explains why the US Federal Reserve is suddenly cutting interest rates and what that has to do with President Trump's trade war.
Adam Posen explains why the US Federal Reserve is suddenly cutting interest rates and what that has to do with President Trump's trade war.