Podcasts about PMI

Are you defining project success the wrong way? Most project managers are — at least according to PMI's Dave Garrett. Project Management Happy Hour hosts Kim Essendrup and Kate Anderson sit down with Dave — Senior Advisor at the Project Management Institute (PMI) and co-founder of ProjectManagement.com — for a frank and real conversation about PMI's new definition of project success to talk about how realistic it is, and what it means for the future of our profession. For decades, project success was judged by the “iron triangle” — scope, schedule, and budget. But PMI has officially redefined it: “A successful project is one that delivers value worth the effort and expense.” Dave explains how this updated definition shifts the focus from checking boxes to delivering outcomes that truly matter — and how every PM can start measuring success through value creation instead of rigid constraints. The discussion digs into PMI's new M.O.R.E. framework — a practical mindset for modern project leaders: M – Manage Perceptions: Build trust and alignment with stakeholders. O – Own Success: Don't just deliver; ensure the value lands. R – Relentlessly Reassess: Constantly re-evaluate priorities and adapt to change. E – Expand Perspective: See the bigger picture across business strategy, customers, and society. Dave also shares lessons from his early startup days building Gantthead.com, the dot-com crash, and how those lessons apply in today's AI-driven project world. You'll hear how the rise of automation is making project management more human, pushing PMs to lead through empathy, influence, and strategic insight rather than process checklists. If you've ever struggled with the question, “Was my project really a success?”  this episode will give you a fresh, empowering way to answer it. Key Takeaways PMI's official definition of project success now centers on value, not just time, cost, and scope. The M.O.R.E. mindset helps PMs evolve beyond administrators into strategic leaders. AI will augment, not replace, project managers — freeing them to focus on human connection and business impact. “Success” is contextual: a delayed project that delivers exceptional value can still be a win. Guest Links Learn more about PMI's Project Success initiative: pmi.org/projectsuccess Connect with Dave Garrett on LinkedIn Explore PMI's AI resources: pmi.org/ai  Want even more? Join us at pmhappyhour.com/membership to get PDU certificates for episodes, downloadable templates, access to our PM community, and 1:1 time with Kim and Kate.      

We have a semi PMI here. We were sidetracked by some...fascinating news regarding what occurred with Josh over the weekend.The fun continues on our social media pages!Jeremy, Katy & Josh Facebook: CLICK HERE Jeremy, Katy & Josh Instagram: CLICK HERE

In this episode, Ricardo discusses AI washing, a growing trend where organizations falsely claim to use artificial intelligence. Similar to greenwashing, AI washing occurs when companies exaggerate their AI capabilities to attract investors or appear innovative. In reality, many so-called AI systems are just basic automation or rule-based tools. This practice creates serious risks, including loss of credibility, legal issues, and project failure. Vargas highlights warning signs: flashy storytelling over science, unrealistic promises, lack of true AI experts, neglect of data quality, and poor governance. He explains that real AI projects require transparency, solid data, ethics, and humility—reminding project managers to avoid overpromising and to focus on genuine, data-driven value instead of hype. Listen to the podcast to learn more!

Neste episódio, Ricardo discute o AI washing, uma tendência crescente em que organizações alegam falsamente usar inteligência artificial. Semelhante ao greenwashing, o AI washing ocorre quando as empresas exageram suas capacidades de IA para atrair investidores ou parecer inovadoras. Na realidade, muitos dos chamados sistemas de IA são apenas ferramentas básicas de automação ou baseadas em regras. Essa prática cria sérios riscos, incluindo perda de credibilidade, questões legais e fracasso de projetos. Vargas destaca os sinais de alerta: narrativas chamativas em detrimento da ciência, promessas irrealistas, falta de verdadeiros especialistas em IA, negligência com a qualidade dos dados e governança deficiente. Ele explica que projetos reais de IA exigem transparência, dados sólidos, ética e humildade — lembrando os gerentes de projeto de evitar promessas exageradas e focar em valor genuíno, baseado em dados, em vez de exageros. Escute o podcast para saber mais!

JKJ brings you PMI! Katy has the positive story today, Jer hits us with a Minus, and Josh brings us home with an Interesting story! The fun continues on our social media pages!Jeremy, Katy & Josh Facebook: CLICK HERE Jeremy, Katy & Josh Instagram: CLICK HERE

Today, Jeremy shares a "positive" story, while Josh presents a "negative" tale concerning Millennials and their wage disparity, and Katy concludes with an "intriguing" piece about grocery bagging.The fun continues on our social media pages!Jeremy, Katy & Josh Facebook: CLICK HERE Jeremy, Katy & Josh Instagram: CLICK HERE

Global equities have had a good run since the Liberation Day jitters in April, with Japan and South Africa being standout markets. Chris Holdsworth, Chief Investment Strategist, Investec Wealth & Investment International says markets are awaiting the next moves, but clouding the outlook has been the US government shutdown, which meant that the September jobs numbers could not be released. September inflation data could also be delayed. Meanwhile South Africa's PMI numbers are improving, which should have a positive Impact on GDP. Investec Focus Radio SA

In this episode, Ricardo announces the release of the second global research on AI in project management, co-authored with Antonio Nieto-Rodriguez. Compared to their first study two years ago, AI has moved from experimentation to mainstream adoption. The 2025 report, based on insights from 870 professionals in 97 countries, shows that AI familiarity has doubled, and over two-thirds now use AI tools daily. Nearly half of organizations report cost reductions, and 25% achieved over $250,000 ROI. The greatest benefits appear in scaling, risk management, and forecasting. Barriers have shifted from technical to cultural and ethical. By 2028, 42% of organizations expect AI copilots to manage most projects. AI won't replace humans but enhance leadership and decision-making. Download the free report at pmairevolution.com. Listen to the podcast to learn more!

Neste episódio, Ricardo anuncia o lançamento da segunda pesquisa global sobre IA em gerenciamento de projetos, em coautoria com Antonio Nieto-Rodriguez. Em comparação com o primeiro estudo, realizado há dois anos, a IA passou da experimentação para a adoção generalizada. O relatório de 2025, baseado em insights de 870 profissionais em 97 países, mostra que a familiaridade com IA dobrou e mais de dois terços agora usam ferramentas de IA diariamente. Quase metade das organizações relatam reduções de custos e 25% alcançaram um ROI superior a US$ 250.000. Os maiores benefícios aparecem em escala, gerenciamento de riscos e previsão. As barreiras deixaram de ser técnicas e passaram a ser culturais e éticas. Até 2028, 42% das organizações esperam que copilotos de IA gerenciem a maioria dos projetos. A IA não substituirá os humanos, mas aprimorará a liderança e a tomada de decisões. Baixe o relatório gratuito em pmairevolution.com. Escute o podcast para saber mais!

European bourses and US futures are firmer into a quieter than initially scheduled session on account of the gov't shutdown, ES +0.3%.DXY underpressure, down to a 97.70 trough. JPY is the relative laggard after remarks from Ueda, NZD continues to climb.USTs await ISM Services, Bunds unreactive to PMI revisions and remarks from Lagarde re. Knot. Gilts are attentive to the OBR's first forecast round.Crude saw fleeting upside on Hamas asking for more time to consult on Trump's Gaza plan, XAU pauses for breath.Looking ahead, US Final Composite PMIs (Sep), ISM Services (Sep), ECB's Schnabel, Fed's Williams, Jefferson, BoE's Bailey.Due to the US government shutdown, the following data will not be released: US NFP (Sep).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

楓葉債（Maple Bonds）熱潮指外國企業在加拿大發行、以加元計價的債券。過去一直是邊緣市場，近來卻成為跨國企業，尤其是美國企業的熱門融資門路。2025 年首九個月，楓葉債的發行規模已達 163 億加元，不僅超越去年全年，更刷新了歷史紀錄。楓葉債為何突然爆紅？首先，加拿大央行（BoC）比美國更快、更早減息。9 月 17 日，央行基準利率已降至 2.5%，而聯儲仍維持較高水平。息差直接改變了跨國企業的計算——美國公司若在加拿大發債，再透過利率掉期將加元資金換回美元，總成本比在本土融資還便宜。其次，2025年1月1日起，楓葉債正式納入 FTSE Canada Universe Bond Index。這意味著加拿大本土基金若要緊貼基準，必須買入楓葉債。被動資金的機械需求，使得發行市場瞬間「由冷轉熱」。另外，對加拿大機構投資者而言，高質而穩定回報的資產選擇不多，楓葉債亦應運而生。例如今年 6 月，美國的 NextEra Energy 一舉發行 20 億加元楓葉債，成為加拿大史上最大規模的企業楓葉債之一。對加拿大投資人來說，這是世界級信用的加元資產；對 NextEra 而言，則是一次划算的融資操作。另一個例子是 花旗銀行的回歸。沉寂多年後，花旗選擇再度進入加元市場，這不僅是套利，更是戰略性舉動，傳遞出 Maple Bonds 已經具備深度與流動性，不再是臨時性的「副線市場」。但在楓葉債熱潮的背後，整體經濟環境其實是相對惡劣；加拿大央行之所以減息，其中一個原因是經濟數據惡化：就業市場疲弱：7 月與 8 月共流失 10 萬個職位，失業率升至 7.1%。出口暴跌：第二季出口重挫 27%，貿易戰成為主要元兇。PMI 低迷：已連續八個月低於榮枯線，9 月更跌至 47.7。在這樣的背景下，維持低利率幾乎是唯一選擇，與此同時加元匯率亦受壓，加元兌美元徘徊在 1 美元兌 1.39 加元的四個月低位。對美國的債券發行人來說，弱加元帶來更划算的融資與更穩定的掉期成本；對加拿大當局而言，低匯率維持了出口競爭力，甚至吸引美國邊境消費者來加購物。更重要是，加拿大極高槓桿的地產按揭市場對息口極為敏感。所以在可見將來，加拿大有很大機會長期地維持低息和弱加元的情況。但低假以時日，弱加元的寬鬆政策，只會進一步加劇「收入停滯、生活成本上升」的滯脹格局。 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit leesimon.substack.com/subscribe

Play audio-only episode | Play video episode | Play on YouTube | Play on Spotify Click above to play either the audio-only episode or video episode in a new window. Episode Summary When stakeholders doubt the schedule, they doubt the leader behind it. Project schedules are more than a collection of dates... they are instruments of leadership that can either inspire confidence or create skepticism. In this conversation, Michael Pink, CEO of SmartPM Technologies, joins Cornelius Fichtner to explain how schedule visibility enables project leaders to see risks early, prevent overruns, and lead with credibility. Drawing from his experience in analyzing thousands of construction projects, Michael explains how transparent and data-driven schedules elevate leadership trust, keep teams aligned, and ensure projects stay on course.

PMI and ISM manufacturing showed a mixed picture, according to Kevin Green. New orders showed the biggest red mark on the report. Kevin explains why investors want to watch the numbers as Europe experiences similar weaknesses. He also takes a closer look at the ADP employment report and the "divergence" to watch between ADP and BLS.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

中國製造業面臨嚴峻挑戰 。最新的9月份採購經理指數（PMI）繼續低於50（本月為49.8），這已是連續第六個月處於榮枯線以下，反映製造業處於收縮狀態 。中國製造業和整體經濟承壓的主要原因包括：* 內需不足：中國自身無法單靠內需來消化產能 。* 去槓桿化未解：房地產泡沫爆破已四年多至五年，但去槓桿化情況仍未解決，導致內需無法提振 。* 貿易戰的衝擊 ，出口難以增加，且多國（如美國）開始有貿易防範心態 。發改委公布推出5000億人民幣政策性金融措施，旨在促進幫助地方在基建和金融服務業上「重新啟動機器」。中央政府明顯不願將地方債務負擔轉移到中央，所以資金的性質是貸款，而不是中央撥款給地方派發財政補貼。雖然發改委稱5000億人民幣政策性金融措施屬於「準財政措施」，但由於還錢的主體是地方政府而非官員個人，且權位變動不確定，地方官員傾向於看重眼前的利益，而非長遠的問責性，這使得5000億的「借款」設定難以有效制約貪腐和資金濫用，亦難免造成以下問題：* 貪腐風險：地方官員可能批專案向中央借錢，承辦商將錢放入口袋，官員收受回佣，最終地方政府還不了錢，官員卻可能已轉移資產至海外 。* 重複失敗經驗：這屬於當局最擅長但效用有限的「堆砌鋼筋水泥」的凱因斯政策，如2009年「四萬億」措施的長期效果不佳 。中國社會結構性與長期性挑戰除了經濟數據，中國經濟還面臨什麼長期結構性問題？* 城鄉差距巨大：一、二線城市先富起來，但仍有十億八億人處於相對低收入、低教育水平，在當前世界環境中缺乏競爭力 。* 中低收入群體資產被鎖死：房地產泡沫破裂後，許多在中低線城市購房的中低收入群體資產被鎖在其中 。* 「低端人口」問題：政府必須限制農村貧窮人口自由流動，因大規模流竄會被視為社會動亂的潛在因素 。* 年輕人就業艱難：大學畢業生就業情況也很有問題，社會流動性大減。* Q7：中央與地方的矛盾對經濟政策執行有何影響？中國根本困境在於社會存在嚴重的扭曲，加上中央與地方的矛盾，使得中國一直以來無法突破「內捲」的問題。 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit leesimon.substack.com/subscribe

Stephen Grootes speaks to Andiswa Nondudule, Economist at Absa CIB, about the Absa Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), which climbed 2.7 points to 52.2 in September, signalling a return to expansion. Encouragingly, the Q3 average rose to 50.8, a marked improvement from the first half of the year. But Absa warns that the recovery remains uneven, with weak export demand and US trade tariffs still weighing on the sector. The Money Show is a podcast hosted by well-known journalist and radio presenter, Stephen Grootes. He explores the latest economic trends, business developments, investment opportunities, and personal finance strategies. Each episode features engaging conversations with top newsmakers, industry experts, financial advisors, entrepreneurs, and politicians, offering you thought-provoking insights to navigate the ever-changing financial landscape.    Thank you for listening to a podcast from The Money Show Listen live Primedia+ weekdays from 18:00 and 20:00 (SA Time) to The Money Show with Stephen Grootes broadcast on 702 https://buff.ly/gk3y0Kj and CapeTalk https://buff.ly/NnFM3Nk For more from the show, go to https://buff.ly/7QpH0jY or find all the catch-up podcasts here https://buff.ly/PlhvUVe Subscribe to The Money Show Daily Newsletter and the Weekly Business Wrap here https://buff.ly/v5mfetc The Money Show is brought to you by Absa     Follow us on social media   702 on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TalkRadio702 702 on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@talkradio702 702 on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/talkradio702/ 702 on X: https://x.com/CapeTalk 702 on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@radio702   CapeTalk on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@capetalk CapeTalk on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ CapeTalk on X: https://x.com/Radio702 CapeTalk on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CapeTalk567 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, Guy Adami and Liz Thomas of SoFi discuss recent sports highlights, including the Milwaukee Brewers' and Green Bay Packers' performances. They delve into the potential market impact of a looming government shutdown, focusing on labor market data and how the Fed's moves might influence economic trends. The conversation also touches on key data metrics like jolts and PMI, along with the implications of AI on the market. Additionally, they explore international markets, specifically China's tech sector, and the rising gold market. They conclude with observations on market volatility and possible end-of-year trends. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Premium This is a preview of our premium episode. Full access is available only to premium subscribers. Click here and learn about the Premium Podcast to access this interview and transcript... Play audio-only preview episode | Play video preview episode | Play on YouTube | Play on Spotify Click above to play either the audio-only preview episode or video preview episode in a new window. Episode Summary Leadership comes in many styles, and the podium of a conductor offers striking lessons for project managers. In this conversation, Itay Talgam brings his wealth of experience as a classical conductor to shed light on what leadership means when you are tasked with guiding a group of experts toward a shared goal. Using vivid stories about Riccardo Muti, Leonard Bernstein, and other legendary maestros, he shows how leadership style is not fixed but evolves with culture, context, and experience. Just as conductors must adapt to each orchestra, project leaders must adapt to the unique culture of their teams and organizations. The discussion emphasizes how authority and autonomy can coexist, why culture and leadership are inseparable, and how leaders can expand their own style without losing authenticity.

Chinese President Xi Jinping has led tributes at a ceremony in Beijing, as commemorative events took place across the country to learn about the perseverance and courage of revolutionary heroes (01:03). China's manufacturing activity picked up in September, with the PMI rising 0.4 points from the month before, and the non-manufacturing PMI remaining stable (02:12). And Israel has accepted a U.S.-proposed Gaza ceasefire plan that includes the release of all hostages (11:17).

Play audio-only episode | Play video episode | Play on YouTube | Play on Spotify Click above to play either the audio-only episode or video episode in a new window. Episode Summary Managing more than one project at a time can feel like a constant balancing act, and for many project managers it is part of everyday life. In this conversation, Elizabeth Harrin joins Cornelius Fichtner to discuss the updated second edition of Managing Multiple Projects and the changes it brings. The discussion highlights how Chapter 7 has been reframed as "Practices," offering practical approaches for building sustainable success. Listeners will gain clear advice on where to start, how to set boundaries, and which methods can lighten the workload without sacrificing quality.

JKJ conducts PMI here. We have an adorable uplifting tale about a wealthy cat, a poignant story about the dangers of yawning, and tips on how to enhance the enjoyment of baseball games!The fun continues on our social media pages!Jeremy, Katy & Josh Facebook: CLICK HERE Jeremy, Katy & Josh Instagram: CLICK HERE

Las Bolsas comienzan la semana con el foco puesto en el posible cierre del Gobierno de Estados Unidos, una situación que genera incertidumbre en los mercados y podría impactar negativamente en la confianza de los inversores. A esto se suma una agenda macroeconómica intensa, con datos clave que podrían marcar el rumbo de la renta variable en Europa, EE.UU. y Asia. Entre las principales referencias de los próximos días destacan las cifras de PMI en China, Japón, EEUU y la eurozona, el dato adelantado de inflación en Europa, el PIB del segundo trimestre en EEUU, y el informe de empleo de septiembre en EEUU. Además compañías como Nike, Solaria y Tesco presentarán sus resultados. En la Tertulia de Mercados de Capital Intereconomía, Belén Ríos, jefa de ventas para Iberia en J. Safra Sarasin; Fernando Fernández-Bravo, responsable de ventas institucionales en Invesco; Juan Martín Valiente, socio de AMCHOR Investment Strategies; y Felipe Lería, Head de Iberia & Latam en UBP analizan si los resultados empresariales podrán actuar como catalizadores para los mercados y cuál será la hoja de ruta de la Reserva Federal en relación con los tipos de interés.

In this episode, Ricardo introduces the concept of nano projects: ultra-short, highly focused initiatives lasting just a few days, designed to generate value quickly. Unlike megaprojects, which require months or years, nano projects respond to the need for speed and adaptation in a fast-paced world. Examples include testing a marketing channel in five days, redesigning hospital processes in a week, or running rapid pilots in the public sector. Their advantages include low risk, rapid learning, and greater team engagement, as results are quickly seen. However, they require a well-defined scope, discipline, and attention to quality. Ricardo emphasizes that they complement traditional models, helping to reduce uncertainty and stimulate innovation in short cycles. Listen to the podcast to learn more!

Neste episódio, Ricardo apresenta o conceito de nano projetos, iniciativas ultracurtas, com foco extremo e duração de poucos dias, criadas para gerar valor rapidamente. Diferente dos megaprojetos, que exigem meses ou anos, os nano projetos respondem à necessidade de velocidade e adaptação em um mundo acelerado. Exemplos incluem testar um canal de marketing em cinco dias, redesenhar processos hospitalares em uma semana ou executar pilotos rápidos no setor público. Suas vantagens são: baixo risco, aprendizado rápido e maior engajamento da equipe, já que os resultados aparecem rapidamente. Contudo, exigem escopo bem definido, disciplina e atenção à qualidade. Ricardo destaca que eles complementam os modelos tradicionais, ajudando a reduzir incertezas e estimulando a inovação em ciclos curtos. Escute o podcast para saber mais!

In previous weeks, the Fed's easing expectations appear to have been driving all markets, sending equities higher, credit spreads tighter, and the USD and US yields lower. However, better US data this week have resulted in some rate cut expectations to unwind. Markets will be in for another big test next week, with the US Payrolls report and the significant risk of a US government shutdown. We preview China's PMI data, the Reserve Bank of India and the Reserve Bank of Australia's policy meetings, and activity data in Japan. Chapters: US: 01:49, China: 06:50, India: 10:39, Japan: 13:58, Australia: 15:35. 

Vendredi 26 septembre, la renonciation de la Chine au statut de pays en développement auprès de l'OMC, les dépenses des GAFAM dans l'IA, le profit warning de Porsche, et l'indice PMI de la France, ont été abordés par Wilfrid Galand, directeur général adjoint de Montpensier Arbevel, Léa Dauphas, chef économiste chez TAC ECONOMICS, Eric Lewin, président d'EL Finance, et Stéphanie Maugey, gérante Privée à la Financière d'Uzès, reçu par Marc Fiorentino dans l'émission C'est Votre Argent sur BFM Business. Retrouvez l'émission le vendredi et réécoutez la en podcast.

Josh shares an uplifting tale about a woman who experienced a unique walk down the aisle, unlike any other. Meanwhile, Katy recounts a quirky incident involving some wild squirrels (they're truly nuts)! To wrap up PMI, Jeremy presents an intriguing narrative about the ten most bizarre things to appreciate.The fun continues on our social media pages!Jeremy, Katy & Josh Facebook: CLICK HERE Jeremy, Katy & Josh Instagram: CLICK HERE

APAC stocks eventually traded mixed following the subdued lead from Wall Street; Japanese markets returned from holiday, Chinese markets were choppy before posting gains.Fed Chair Powell said that towards the next meeting, the Fed will look at labour market, growth data, and inflation data to assess whether policy is in the right place, adding that if it is not, they will move it there.DXY edged higher throughout the APAC session, EUR/USD briefly dipped under 1.1800, AUD was boosted by Aussie CPI, JPY weakened slightly post-PMI.US President Trump shifted his stance on Ukraine and said he thinks Ukraine, with the support of the EU, is in a position to fight and "win" all of Ukraine back in its original form.OpenAI, Oracle (ORCL), and Softbank (9984 JT) announced five new US data centres; NVIDIA (NVDA) director Mark A. Stevens sold over 350k common shares.European equity futures are indicative of a softer cash open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.4% after cash closed +0.6% on Tuesday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo Survey (Sep), Supply from Italy, UK, Germany, US, Speeches from BoE's Greene, Fed's Daly.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

S&P futures are flat as investors await flash PMI data for signs of economic momentum and a key speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell this afternoon. Markets remain cautious with elevated tech valuations, led by Nvidia's AI rally. Meanwhile, President Trump and HHS Director RFK Jr. stirred controversy with unproven claims about Tylenol and autism, and Trump is set to address the U.N. on U.S. foreign policy. On the earnings front, MU, AIR, and MLKN report after the bell.

While September's PMI print didn't move markets in the U.S., Kevin Green urges investors to keep their eyes on international economies. He talks about how Germany is acting as a buoy for the Eurozone PMI as tariff uncertainty lingers over the EU. Additionally, South Korea's president warned of a financial crisis if the U.S. continues its investment demands.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

European bourses gradually climb higher and currently at peaks; US equity futures are flat awaiting Fed Chair Powell.GBP hit by soft PMI, Eurozone data showed diverging fortunes for manufacturing and services.USTs are essentially flat; Gilts modestly out-edge peers following disappointing flash PMI metrics.Crude initially in the red but have managed to climb higher, XAU at another ATH, catching a bid on reports that China aims to become custodian of foreign gold reserves.Looking ahead, US Flash PMIs (Sep), US Richmond Fed Index, NBH Policy Announcement; Speakers include BoE's Pill, Fed's Powell, Bostic, Bowman, ECB's Cipollone, BoC's Macklem, US President Trump at UN General Assembly; Supply from the US; Earnings from Micron.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Olivia Álvarez, analista de AFI, repasa las claves macro con vistazo a los datos de PMI preliminares de la eurozona y esa previsión de la OCDE para España. Ojo al euro.

JKJ is taking you on a global journey with some PMI today! Katy shares an uplifting tale about AI robots assisting the elderly. Josh discusses a downside regarding a doctor who saved a life yet received a 4-star rating, while Jeremy presents a fascinating story about airbags designed for airplanes!The fun continues on our social media pages!Jeremy, Katy & Josh Facebook: CLICK HERE Jeremy, Katy & Josh Instagram: CLICK HERE

La atención de esta semana en las Bolsas se centra especialmente en la comparecencia del presidente de la Reserva Federal, Jerome Powell, este martes en un simposio económico tras la reciente bajada de tipos. A esto se suman datos clave como el PCE deflactor en EEUU, las cifras de PIB en España y EEUU, y los PMI adelantados de septiembre. En el plano corporativo, el mercado estará atento a los resultados de empresas como AutoZone, Micron Technology, H&M, JD Sports, Costco o Grenergy. Iberdrola presentará su nuevo plan estratégico, mientras que BBVA tiene que decidir su mejora o no su OPA sobre Banco Sabadell. En la tertulia de mercados de Capital Intereconomía, Ricardo Comín (Vontobel), Sébastien Senegas (Edmond de Rothschild AM), Álvaro Antón (Aberdeen) y Patricia Molpeceres (AllianceBernstein) analizan las claves de la semana, si es la liquidez lo que realmente impulsa a las Bolsas, y algunos factores de riesgo como el impacto de la crisis política en Francia o la incertidumbre en torno al empleo en EEUU.

In this episode, Ricardo questions whether Agile is still sufficient in the face of the speed of artificial intelligence. Created in 2001, the Agile Manifesto introduced short iterations and continuous learning to address the unpredictability of software development. However, today, tools become obsolete in days, raising questions about the relevance of 2- to 4-week cycles or a quarterly backlog. Vargas doesn't criticize Agile—on the contrary, he recognizes its essential role for organizations in dealing with volatility. The point is to reflect on how to apply it intelligently in the face of the rapidity of AI: smaller microcycles? More discipline? An "Agile 2.0" that includes governance, ethics, and social responsibility? The challenge is adapting to the current intensity of change. Listen to the podcast to learn more!

Neste episódio, Ricardo questiona se o Ágil ainda é suficiente diante da velocidade da inteligência artificial. Criado em 2001, o Manifesto Ágil trouxe interações curtas e aprendizado contínuo para enfrentar a imprevisibilidade do desenvolvimento de software. Porém, hoje, ferramentas tornam-se obsoletas em dias, levantando dúvidas sobre a relevância de ciclos de 2 a 4 semanas ou de um backlog trimestral. Vargas não critica o Ágil — ao contrário, reconhece seu papel essencial para organizações lidarem com volatilidade. O ponto é refletir sobre como aplicá-lo de forma inteligente frente à rapidez da IA: microciclos menores? Mais disciplina? Um “Ágil 2.0” que inclua governança, ética e responsabilidade social? O desafio é adaptar-se à intensidade atual das mudanças. Escute o podcast para saber mais!

Michael Reinking, Senior Market Strategist at the NYSE, recaps a week where the Fed cut rates 25 basis points, lifting markets to record highs. U.S.-China talks, including a framework for a TikTok deal, eased tensions and supported global indices. Strong retail sales added momentum, though not inflation adjusted. Small caps outperformed following the Fed's move. Reinking flags the Trump-Xi call, triple-witching, and PMI and PCE data as next week's key drivers.

Our strategists Michelle Weaver and Adam Jonas join analyst Christopher Snyder to discuss the most important themes that emerged from the Morgan Stanley Annual Industrials Conference in Laguna Beach.Michelle Weaver: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Michelle Weaver, Morgan Stanley's U.S. Thematic Strategist.Christopher Snyder: I'm Chris Snyder, Morgan Stanley's U.S. Multi-Industry Analyst. Adam Jonas: And I'm Adam Jonas, Morgan Stanley's Embodied AI Strategist.Michelle Weaver: We recently concluded Morgan Stanley's annual industrials conference in Laguna Beach, California, and wanted to share some of the biggest takeaways.It's Tuesday, September 16th at 10am in New York.I want to set the stage for our conversation. The overall tone at the conference was fairly similar to last year with many companies waiting for a broader pickup. And I'd flag three different themes that really emerged from the conference. So first, AI. AI is incredibly important. It appeared in the vast majority of fireside conversations. And companies were talking about AI from both the adopter and the enabler angle. Second theme on the macro, overall companies remain in search of a reacceleration. They pointed to consistently expansionary PMIs or a PMI above 50, a more favorable interest rate environment and greater clarity on tariffs as the key macro conditions for renewed momentum. And then the last thing that came up repeatedly was how are companies going to react to tariffs? And I would say companies overall were fairly constructive on their ability to mitigate the margin impact of tariffs with many talking about both leveraging pricing power and supply chain shifts to offset those impacts. So, Chris, considering all this, the wait for an inflection came up across a number of companies. What were some of your key takeaways on multis, on the macro front? Christopher Snyder: The commentary was stable to modestly improving, and that was really consistent across all of these companies. There are, you know, specific verticals where things are getting better. I would call out data center as one. Non-res construction, as another one, implant manufacturing as one. And there were certain categories where we are seeing deterioration – residential HVAC, energy markets, and agriculture.But we came away more constructive on the cycle because things are stable, if not modestly improving into a rate cut cycle. The concern going in was that we would hear about deteriorating trends and a rate cut would be needed just to stabilize the market. So, we do think that this backdrop is supportive for better industrial growth into 2026.We have been positive on the project or CapEx side of the house. It feels like strength there is improving. We've been more cautious on the short cycle production side of the house. But we are starting to see signs of rate of change. So, when we look into [20]26 and [20]27, we think U.S. industrials are poised for decade high growth. Michelle Weaver: You've had a thesis for a while now that U.S. reshoring is going to be incredibly important and that it's a $10 trillion opportunity. Can you unpack that number? What are some recent data points supporting that and what did you learn at the conference? Christopher Snyder: Some of the recent data points that support this view is U.S. manufacturing construction starts are up 3x post Liberation Day. So, we're seeing companies invest. This is also coming through in commercial industrial lending data, which continues to push higher almost every week and is currently at now record high levels. So, there's a lot of reasons for companies not to invest right now. There's a lot of uncertainty around policy. But seeing that willingness to invest through all of the uncertainty is a big positive because as that uncertainty lifts, we think more projects will come off the sidelines and be unlocked. So, we see positive rate of change on that. What I think is often lost in the reassuring conversation is that this has been happening for the last five years. The U.S. lost share of global CapEx from 2000 when China entered the World Trade Organization almost every year till 2019 when Trump implemented his first wave of tariffs. Since then, the U.S. has taken about 300 basis points of global CapEx share over the last five years, and that's a lot on a $30 trillion CapEx base. So, I think the debate here should be: Can this continue? And when I look at Trump policy, both the tariffs making imports more expensive, but also the incentives lowering the cost of domestic production – we do think these trends are stable. And I always want to stress that this is a game of increments. It's not that the U.S. is going to get every factory. But we simply believe the U.S. is better positioned to get the incremental factory over the next 20 years relative to the prior 20. And the best point is that the baseline growth here is effectively zero. Michelle Weaver: And how does power play into the reshoring story? AI and data centers are generating huge demand for power that well outstrip supply. Is there a risk that companies that want to reshore are not able to do so because of the power constraints?Christopher Snyder: It's a great question. I think it's part of the reason that this is moving more slowly. The companies that sell this power equipment tend to prioritize the data center customers given their scale in magnitude of buying. But ultimately, we think this is coming and it's a big opportunity for U.S. power to extend the upcycle.Manufacturing accounts for 26 percent of the electricity in the country. Data center accounts for about 5 percent. So, if the industrial economy returns to growth, there will be a huge pull on the grid; and I view it as a competitive advantage. If you think about the future of U.S. manufacturing, we're simply taking labor out and replacing it with electricity. That is a phenomenal trade off for the U.S. And a not as positive trade off for a lot of low-cost regions who essentially export labor to the world. I'm sure Adam will have more to say about that. Michelle Weaver: And Adam, I want to bring robotics and humanoid specifically into this conversation as the U.S.' technological edge is a big part of the reshoring story. So how do humanoids fit into reshoring? How much would they cost to use and how could they make American manufacturing more attractive? Adam Jonas: Humanoid robots – we're talking age agentic robots that make decisions from themselves autonomously due to the dual purpose in the military. You know, dual purpose aspect of it makes it absolutely necessary to onshore the technologies.At the same time, humanoid robots actually make it possible to onshore those technologies. Meaning you need; we're not going to be able to replicate manufacturing and onshore manufacturing the way it's currently done in China with their environmental practices and their labor – availability of affordable cheap human labor.Autonomous robots are both the cause of onshoring. And the effect of onshoring at the same time, and it's going to transform every industry. The question isn't so much as which industry will autonomous robots, including humanoids impact? It's what will it not.And we have not yet been able to find anything that it would. When you think about cost to use – we think by 2040 we get to a point where to Chris's point, the marginal cost of work will be some factor of electricity, energy, and some depreciation of that physical plant, or the physical robot itself. And we come up with a, a range of scenarios where centered on around $5 per hour. If that can replace two human workers at $25 an hour, that can NPV to around $200,000 of NPV per humanoid. That's discounting back 15 years from 2040.Michelle, there's 160 million people in the U.S. labor market, so if you just substituted 1 percent of that or 1.6 million people out of the U.S. Labor pool. 1.6 million times $200,000 NPV; that's $320 billion of value, which is worth, well, quite a lot. Quite a lot of money to a lot of companies that are working on this. So, when we get asked, what are we watching, well, in terms of the bleeding edge of the robot revolution, we're watching the Sino-U.S. competition. And I prefer to call it competition. And we're also watching the terra cap companies, the Mag 7 type companies that are quite suddenly and recently and very, very significantly going after physical AI and robotics talent. And increasingly even manufacturing talent. So again, to circle back to Chris's point, if you want evidence of reshoring and manufacturing and advanced manufacturing in this country, look at some of these TMT and tech and AI companies in California. And look at, go on their hiring website and watch all the manufacturing and robotics people that they're trying to hire; and pay a lot of money to do so. And that might be an interesting indicator of where we're going.Michelle Weaver: I want to dig in a little bit more there. We're seeing a lot of the cutting-edge tech coming out of China. Is the U.S. going to be able to catch up?Adam Jonas: Uh, I don't know. I don't know. But I would say what's our alternative. We either catch up enough to compete or we're up for grabs. OK?I would say from our reading and working closely with our team in China, that in many aspects of supply chain, manufacturing, physical AI, China is ahead. And with the passage of time, they are increasingly ahead. We estimate, and we can't be precise here, that China's lead on the U.S. would not only last three to five years, but might even widen three to five years from now. May even widen at an accelerating rate three to five years from now.And so, it brings into play is what kind of environment and what kind of regulatory, and policy decisions we made to help kind of level the playing field and encourage the right kind of manufacturing. We don't want to encourage trailing edge, Victorian era manufacturing in the U.S. We want to encourage, you know, to skate to where the puck is going technology that can help improve our world and create a sustainable abundance rather than an unsustainable one. And so, we're watching China very, very closely. It makes us a little bit; makes me a little bit kind of nervous when we – if we see the government put the thumb on the scale too much.But it's invariably going to happen. You're going to have increased involvement of whichever administration it is in order to kind of set policies that can encourage innovation, education of our young people, repurposing of labor, you know. All these people making machines in this country now. They might get, there may be a displacement over a number of years, if not a generation.But we need those human bodies to do other things in this economy as well. So, we; I don't want to give the impression at all in our scenarios that we don't need people anymore. Michelle Weaver: What are the opportunities and the risks that you see for investors as robotics converges with this broader U.S. manufacturing story? Adam Jonas: Well, Michelle, we see both opportunities and risks. There are the opportunities that you can measure in terms of what portion of global GDP of [$]115 trillion could you look at. I mean, labor alone is $40 trillion.And if you really make humanoid that can do the work of two workers, guess what? You're not going to stop at [$]40 trillion. You're going to go beyond that. You might go multiple beyond that. Talking about the world before AI, robotics and humanoid is like talking about the world before electricity. Or talking about business before the internet. We don't think we're exaggerating, but the proof will be in the capital formation. And that's where we hope we can be of assistance to our clients working together on a variety of investment ideas. But the risks will come and it is our professional responsibility, if not our moral responsibility, to work with our partners across research to talk about those risks. Michelle, if we have labor displacement, go too quickly, there's serious problems. And if you don't, if you don't believe me, go look at, look at you know, the French Revolution or the Industrial Revolution, or Age of Enlightenments. Ages of scientific enlightenment frequently cohabitate times of great social and political turmoil as well. And so, we think that these risks must be seen in parallel if we want to bring forth technologies that can make us more human rather than less human. I'm sorry if I'm coming across as a little preachy, but if you studied robots and labor all day long, it does have that effect on you. So, Michelle, how do you see innovation priorities changing for industrials and investors in this environment?Michelle Weaver: I think it's huge as we're seeing AI and technology broadly diffuse across different segments of the market, it's only becoming more important. About two-thirds of companies at the conference mentioned AI in some way, shape, or form. We know that from transcripts. And we're seeing them continue to integrate AI into their businesses. They're trying to go beyond what we've just seen at the initial edge. So, for example, if I think about what was going on within AI adoption a couple years ago, it was largely adding a chat bot to your website that's then able to handle a lot of customer service inquiries. Maybe you could reduce the labor there a little bit. Now we're starting to see a lot more business specific use cases. So, for example, with an airline, an airline company is using AI to most optimally gate different planes as they're landing to try and reduce connection times. They know which staff needs to go to another flight to connect, which passengers need to move to another flight. They're able to do that much more efficiently. You're seeing a lot on AI being adopted within manufacturing to make manufacturing processes a lot more seamless. So, I think innovation is only going to continue to become more important to not only industrials, but broadly the entire market as well.Clearly the industry is being shaped by adaptability, collaboration, and a focus on innovation. So, Chris, Adam, thank you both for taking the time to talk. Adam Jonas: Always a pleasure. Michelle.Christopher Snyder: Thank you for having us on. Michelle Weaver: And to our listeners, thanks for listening. If you enjoy Thoughts on the Market, please leave us a review wherever you listen to the show and share the podcast with a friend or colleague today.

Play audio-only episode | Play video episode | Play on YouTube | Play on Spotify Click above to play either the audio-only episode or video episode in a new window. Episode Summary The most dangerous issue facing a Project Management Office (PMO) is not sudden collapse but a gradual decline in relevance and impact. In this conversation, Mel Bost, author of Understanding Project Practices and Processes, shares his insights from Chapter Four of the book, which focuses on PMOs and project performance. He explains why PMOs often fail to deliver consistent value, even when they are not technically “broken.” He highlights overlooked factors, from alignment with organizational strategy to a lack of meaningful performance measures, that contribute to slow underperformance. The discussion underscores that without proactive adjustments, a PMO can continue to operate while its value to the business quietly diminishes.

With fresh economic data and anticipated interest rate cuts from the U.S. Federal Reserve, the market has a lot to look forward to as the back-to-school season ushers in a time of renewed focus. In this episode, host John Bryson sits down with Matt and Emily for a timely check-in as summer draws to a close.They delve into the recent uptick in global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) readings and how it might signal shifts in market sentiment. They also explore the current phase of U.S. earnings growth and discuss their strategies for stocks and bonds in the current market landscape. Here's a glimpse into the conversation.1 What opportunities do you see in bonds and equities?Emily: We favor high-quality bonds like investment-grade corporates, mortgage-backed securities, and municipal bonds due to elevated yields and potential duration benefits. In stocks, we think it's time to shift from riskier market segments to high-quality stocks. We are focusing on sectors like technology, communication services, and industrials, emphasizing companies with strong returns on equity and reasonable PEG ratios.2 How do you view the current phase of the market cycle with regard to U.S. earnings?Matt: Earnings growth will have to remain the key driver of equity returns as dividend yields are low and P/E ratios are high. S&P 500 Index earnings have exceeded expectations, but Q3 and Q4 earnings performance will be crucial to watch. Ultimately, we think strong earnings are the best thing this market's got going for itself.3 How do you interpret the recent bounce in global PMI, especially for U.S. manufacturing and services?Emily: Global PMI showed a reacceleration in growth in August. The U.S. manufacturing PMI at 53.3 was the highest reading of the year. U.S. services also performed well. United States is showing better relative growth compared to Europe, leading us to favor U.S. equities.

In this episode of The Impostor Syndrome Files, we explore what it takes to lead through change. My guest this week is Erin Herman, keynote speaker, writer and consultant, whose mission is to help people lead with more humanity. Drawing on her experiences in both the private and public sectors, Erin shares why courage, empathy and a growth mindset are essential for navigating change.Here we talk about what gets in the way of leading change effectively, including outdated workplace systems and cultural resistance to vulnerability. Erin offers powerful insights into the difference between confidence and self-assurance, and how a strong personal value system can be a grounding force when self-doubt or impostor syndrome creep in. We also discuss how to influence our environments at every level, not just from the top.About My GuestFor over 20 years, Erin Herman has worked with executive teams across the globe, including Fortune 500 companies, to lead change that actually sticks. Her leadership career has taken her from the boardrooms of St. Jude Children's Research Hospital to the global halls of the United Nations. Along the way, she's built partnerships that created lasting impact—like securing a $300 million commitment to support pediatric research, one of the largest gifts ever made to a children's hospital.One of the projects she's most proud of is the Learning Passport—a digital education platform she co-created with Microsoft and Cambridge University. It now reaches children in more than 40 countries and was named one of TIME's 100 Best Inventions. It's also been ranked the third most influential project in the world by PMI.Erin has spoken at the UN General Assembly, led global initiatives across China, Finland, Italy, and South Africa, and been featured by organizations like the University of Missouri's Bloch School of Business. But at the heart of everything she does is a single goal: helping people lead with more humanity.Whether she's working with C-suite leaders navigating change or high-achieving women ready to stop shrinking and start leading, her work is about creating the kind of transformation that resonates—long after the keynote ends.~Connect with Erin:LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/erin-herman-97832217/ Instagram: @eebherm Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/erin.beaton.18 Podvantage Page: https://erin.podvantage.ai/ Website: https://theerinherman.com/~Connect with Kim and The Impostor Syndrome Files:Join the free Impostor Syndrome Challenge:https://www.kimmeninger.com/challengeLearn more about the Leading Humans discussion group:https://www.kimmeninger.com/leadinghumansgroupJoin the Slack channel to learn from, connect with and support other professionals: https://forms.gle/Ts4Vg4Nx4HDnTVUC6Join the Facebook group:https://www.facebook.com/groups/leadinghumansSchedule time to speak with Kim Meninger directly about your questions/challenges: https://bookme.name/ExecCareer/strategy-sessionConnect on LinkedIn:https://www.linkedin.com/in/kimmeninger/Website:https://kimmeninger.com

Jeremy, Katy, and Josh present an entertaining episode of PMI here. Katy shares some uplifting news about a new kind of dating "app," while Josh has a downside to report; police were summoned to deal with some high school students over the weekend. Meanwhile, Jeremy introduces something intriguing; a novel method for gifting money to newlyweds.The fun continues on our social media pages!Jeremy, Katy & Josh Facebook: CLICK HERE Jeremy, Katy & Josh Instagram: CLICK HERE

In this week's episode, Ricardo questions whether artificial intelligence (AI) actually reduces project risks or creates new ones. While it helps predict delays, identify flaws, and minimize errors, AI can create invisible risks, such as data bias, which distorts results, and "blind trust," when professionals accept predictions without critical analysis. Another risk is technological dependence: if the tool fails or disappears, the project could stall. There are also ethical and legal questions about who is responsible for AI's misguided decisions. Vargas emphasizes that AI is neither a villain nor an absolute solution. It should be seen as an ally, but always with human oversight, contingency plans, and clear accountability from managers. Listen to the podcast to learn more!

No episódio desta semana, Ricardo questiona se a inteligência artificial (IA) realmente reduz riscos em projetos ou se também cria novos. Embora ajude a prever atrasos, identificar falhas e minimizar erros, a IA pode gerar riscos invisíveis, como viés nos dados, que distorce resultados, e a “confiança cega”, quando profissionais aceitam previsões sem análise crítica. Outro risco é a dependência tecnológica: se a ferramenta falhar ou desaparecer, o projeto pode parar. Há ainda questões éticas e legais sobre quem responde por decisões equivocadas da IA. Vargas reforça que a IA não é vilã nem solução absoluta. Ela deve ser vista como aliada, mas sempre com supervisão humana, planos de contingência e responsabilidade clara dos gestores. Escute o podcast para saber mais!

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Market Performance, Tariffs, and Economic Indicators: A Post-Labor Day Analysis In this episode of Dividend Cafe, recorded on Tuesday, September 2nd, Brian Szytel reviews the market performance following Labor Day weekend. The DOW closed down 249 points, the S&P dropped by 0.7%, and the Nasdaq fell by 0.8%, with notable rotation from growth to value stocks. The episode discusses the current and future status of tariffs under the IEEPA and Section 301, as well as recent economic indicators such as ISM and PMI manufacturing numbers and construction spending data. Furthermore, Brian addresses the implications of the CHIPS Act and government stakes in private companies, highlighting concerns over government intervention in private enterprise. The episode concludes with observations on volatility and the performance of dollar-sensitive securities. 00:00 Welcome and Market Recap 01:02 Tariffs and Legal Battles 02:13 Economic Indicators and Manufacturing Data 03:25 Government Stake in Intel and CHIPS Act 05:47 Market Volatility and Closing Remarks Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Jordi Visser is a macro investor with over 30 years of Wall Street experience. He also writes a Substack called “VisserLabs” and puts out investing YouTube videos. In this conversation we talk about the federal reserve, what is going to happen with artificial intelligence, future outlook for stock market, and why interest rate cuts will be so bullish for bitcoin.===================== Independent Investor ConferenceMarkets are at all-time highs. Public equities are outperforming. And individual investors are driving it all. It's officially the rise of the retail investor. On September 12th in NYC, I'm hosting the Independent Investor Summit — a one-day event built exclusively for self-directed investors. We're bringing together some of the smartest public market investors I know for a full day of macro insights, market predictions, one-on-one fireside chats, and actionable investment ideas from each investor. This is going to be an absolute banger event. Join us if you like markets and think retail is two steps ahead of Wall Street.

Jordi Visser is a macro investor with over 30 years of Wall Street experience. He also writes a Substack called “VisserLabs” and puts out investing YouTube videos. In this conversation we talk about Jerome Powell's recent comments, why PMI is important, why bitcoin isn't going up, AI bubble, MAG7 getting cheaper, and where Jordi sees risk right now. ===================== Independent Investor ConferenceMarkets are at all-time highs. Public equities are outperforming. And individual investors are driving it all. It's officially the rise of the retail investor. On September 12th in NYC, I'm hosting the Independent Investor Summit — a one-day event built exclusively for self-directed investors. We're bringing together some of the smartest public market investors I know for a full day of macro insights, market predictions, one-on-one fireside chats, and actionable investment ideas from each investor. This is going to be an absolute banger event. Join us if you like markets and think retail is two steps ahead of Wall Street.

Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger PictureThe windmills in NJ are making electricity expensive, they are killing the economy in NJ and the people are paying the price. The [CB] is continuing the pressure of higher rates, which is slowing down the real estate industry, and the lumber industry is suffering. Trump will use the [CB] fiat currency to rebuild the US. The [DS] is now sending messages, they will resist but it will not work. Trump lets us know that U1 and the CF are now entering the picture. Trump sends a message that we have a world wide problem with missing children. He is beginning the narrative, this will lead to the pedo networks, child trafficking. The players are the same and it is now expanding. Trump is the storm, he is now showcasing all the crimes the [DS] has committed. These people are sick, crimes against humanity.   Economy https://twitter.com/onechancefreedm/status/1957517597328712012   commitments. We've seen this before. In 2006–07, lumber collapsed long before the housing bust became obvious. In 2021–22, lumber's spike and crash captured the whiplash of pandemic stimulus meeting Fed tightening. Today's drop, back under $600, is telling us not just about oversupply but about fading demand in an economy where mortgage costs remain restrictive and liquidity is being drained. There's also a market structure angle. Commodities like lumber usually run ahead of official data: the PMI slowdown, weakening credit surveys, and leveraged ETF outflows are all now echoing the same caution. Lower lumber prices might look like disinflation on paper, but if the driver is demand destruction, that's recessionary, not bullish This is the kind of signal markets often ignore until it's too late: a quiet commodity screaming that growth is slowing, leverage is retreating, and the cushion of speculative appetite is gone. When builders stop buying wood, it's about the whole cycle losing momentum. 1. High Interest Rates Suppressing Housing and Construction DemandHigh interest rates have been a primary driver of the lumber market's contraction by cooling the U.S. housing sector, which accounts for a significant portion of lumber consumption (e.g., framing for new homes). Elevated rates make mortgages more expensive, leading to fewer home starts, builder pullbacks, and delayed projects. This reduces overall demand for softwood lumber, pushing prices down as inventories build.    2. Tariffs on Canadian Lumber Imports Disrupting Supply and PricingTariffs, particularly the U.S. duties on Canadian softwood lumber, have exacerbated the contraction by increasing costs for importers while simultaneously reducing buyer appetite. Canada supplies about 30% of U.S. lumber demand, so these trade barriers create volatility: producers raise prices to offset duties, but buyers hold off, leading to oversupply and falling market prices.        In summary, the lumber market's contraction isn't due to just one factor—high interest rates are primarily eroding demand through a sluggish housing sector, while tariffs are inflating costs and causing market hesitancy. Together, they've created a feedback loop of falling prices and reduced activity. If rates begin to drop (as some predict) or trade disputes resolve, recovery could start later in 2025  (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.