The Real Investment Show Podcast

Inflation pressures may be heating up again, and markets are beginning to notice. Rising prices can have major consequences for stocks, bonds, interest rates, and Federal Reserve policy. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss why persistent inflation is dangerous for both investors and the economy, how rising yields pressure bond prices, and why higher rates can challenge stock valuations — especially in high-growth and technology sectors. We also examine whether the recent market rally is underestimating the risk of another inflation wave. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Gamma Squeeze & Markets' 7-week Run 5:16 - Market Sectors vs Market Factors 13:34 - Rotations from Semi's to SAAS's? 15:57 - Market Rotations Back to Value? 17:50 - Charting Relative Scores of Market Factors 19:42 - Why Dispersion Matters 20:54 - CPI & Inflation Data - What Does it Tell Us? 23:41 - Gasoline Prices & CPI Calculations 26:58 - Chart Crimes and "Lower" Inflation 29:28 - CPI Today vs 1970's (more chart crime) 31:06 - What Kevin Warsh is Walking Into 33:35 - The Fed's Trap and Consumption Destruction 38:02 - Earnings Revisions Coming from Narrowed Breadth 38:53 - Commentary - Government Spending Impact on Inflation 45:35 - Debt to GDP Ratio - Explain Japan Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Government Debt: Not What The Doom Crowd Thinks It Is:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/government-debt-not-what-the-doom-crowd-thinks-it-is/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/UOSeQNOhcwI ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Mania Meets Market Rotation," here: https://youtu.be/bNIRIssbDP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Q & A Wednesday: Real Answers. No Spin." https://youtube.com/live/vMLyZ9wZbH8 ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, THIS Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MomentumStocks #Semiconductors #ValueInvesting #MarketRotation #Inflation #Bonds #InterestRates #FederalReserve

Markets remain heavily concentrated in high-beta Momentum trades, especially in Semiconductors and large-cap Growth stocks. But when speculative momentum runs go parabolic, history shows the reversals can be just as sharp. In today's pre-market update, we break down the difference between market sectors and investment factors, why the Momentum trade has gone vertical since April, and how rotations into Value, Quality, and Fixed Income could begin as investors reduce risk. We'll also examine why high-beta names could face the biggest downside during a correction, what a retracement in Semiconductors could look like, and why portfolio diversification matters more than ever when markets become this over bought. Are investors chasing performance at exactly the wrong time? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/bNIRIssbDP8 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fast Food Falters" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/fast-food-falters/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MomentumStocks #Semiconductors #ValueInvesting #MarketRotation

Q&A Wednesday is back. Markets are pushing record highs while oil prices surge on renewed Iran and Strait of Hormuz tensions, inflation concerns remain elevated, and the AI trade continues to dominate Wall Street headlines. Investors are also watching the Fed, tariffs, interest rates, retirement risks, taxes, and portfolio positioning as volatility quietly builds beneath the surface. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions, live, with straightforward analysis and no spin. Bring your questions about markets, retirement planning, portfolio management, taxes, risk, the economy, or whatever is on your mind. Questions we answered on today's show include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - CPI Checks In Higher Than Expected 5:02 - Duration and Velocity of Bullish Stampede 9:47 - Birthday Fishing Present 14:44 - Berkshire Hathaway Exposure to AI 17:30 - Investing Like Warren Buffett 19:12 - Why Aren't Swap Lines "Printing Money Out of Thin Air"? 22:03 - CPI Revisions 25:17 - Deflation in Rents 26:03 - GDP, Inflation, & Yields 27:00 - Hold Long-Dated Bonds or Sell? 28:04 - Are REIT's Over Extended? 29:41 - Should You Average into the S&P? 30:52 - Why is Stock-picking/Diversification So Hard Now? 32:30 - Stock Market Regimes & Asset Allocation 34:41 - CPI Data vs Fixed Income Allocations 41:06 - Church vs Casino Investing 42:03 - Long Term Investor: What's Your Personality? 46:37 - RSP vs SPY in Current Market Condition? 50:44 - What's a Good ETF for a Younger Person to Invest In? 52:34 - Space-X IPO Effects on Markets & Indexes Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Commodity Supercycle: The Enemy Of The Bull Thesis (Part 1)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/commodity-supercycle-the-enemy-of-the-bull-thesis-part-1/ "Earnings Estimate Revisions Are Very Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-estimate-revisions-are-very-optimistic/ "Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Is Pricing In 2028 Already" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/parabolic-semiconductor-rally-is-pricing-in-2028-already/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/vMLyZ9wZbH8 ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Buying Stampede: Good News & Bad News." here: https://youtu.be/hDeUW-rmwC4 ------- Watch our previous show, "Five Questions for Smarter Money Decisions" https://youtu.be/rZ1lej68NvE ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #MarketCorrection #BullMarket #QandAWednesday #StockMarket #RetirementPlanning #Investing #AskUsAnything

Markets are now approaching seven straight weeks of gains in one of the strongest buying stampedes since 1950. While bullish momentum, earnings growth, and corporate buybacks continue to support higher prices, markets are becoming increasingly stretched above long-term moving averages. We discuss why sharp advances like this often lead to short-term pullbacks, where key support levels may emerge, and why those corrections can create stronger opportunities for investors later in the year. Is this the start of a larger correction, or just a healthy pause before the next move higher? Watch today's breakdown of market momentum, overbought conditions, moving averages, and what history suggests could happen next. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/hDeUW-rmwC4 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fast Food Falters" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/fast-food-falters/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #MarketCorrection #BullMarket

Should you pay off debt, invest more in your 401(k), or do both? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn walk through five real-world financial decisions that millions of Americans face every year. Using new Vanguard research and simple math, we break down how to prioritize credit cards, mortgages, student loans, retirement savings, and employer matches to maximize long-term wealth. We also discuss why the mathematically correct answer is not always the emotionally correct one, and how personal priorities, risk tolerance, and peace of mind factor into financial planning. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:12 - Six Weeks of Market Advances - What Happens in Week-7?4:36 - Economic Data Review 5:30 - Narrow market Rally Poses Portfolio Risk 10:35 - Birthday Table & Coming Attractions 12:00 - Five Questions to Help You Make Better Financial Decisions 13:45 - Everybody Starts from Scratch 18:20 - Invest or Pay off Debt? 20:54 - Not Everybody Contributes to 401k Plan 25:50 - The Number One Asset is Time 30:21 - Taking a Loan Against Your 401k? (NO!) 32:51 - Margo Has Money Troubles & Other Streaming Treats 35:12 - Inherited Money: Pay Off Mortgage? (NO!) 43:04 - Healthy Debt vs Unhealthy Debt Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Commodity Supercycle: The Enemy Of The Bull Thesis (Part 1)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/commodity-supercycle-the-enemy-of-the-bull-thesis-part-1/ "Earnings Estimate Revisions Are Very Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-estimate-revisions-are-very-optimistic/ "Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Is Pricing In 2028 Already" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/parabolic-semiconductor-rally-is-pricing-in-2028-already/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtu.be/rZ1lej68NvE ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Tech Rally Risk Is Rising" here: https://youtu.be/RU_xjKIGiDs ------- Watch our previous show, "Annuities: Smart Move or Costly Mistake?" https://youtube.com/live/6Rag3wz8r3k ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnologyStocks #XLK #StockMarket #Investing #MarketRisk #FinancialPlanning #401k #DebtManagement #RetirementPlanning #PersonalFinance

Technology stocks continue to dominate the market as XLK and momentum-driven trades surge higher, but the rally is becoming increasingly narrow. Financials, Healthcare, Industrials, Energy, and Materials are lagging badly while Technology pulls the broader indexes higher. In today's pre-market update, we examine the growing divergence between Technology and the rest of the market, why overbought momentum conditions matter, and how concentrated rallies can create hidden risks for investors. We also discuss sector rotation, portfolio diversification, and why maintaining exposure to lagging sectors may help hedge against the next correction. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/rZ1lej68NvE --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnologyStocks #XLK #StockMarket #Investing #MarketRisk

Is the commodity supercycle the next great investment opportunity, or the biggest threat to the current bull market? Lance Roberts breaks down the growing Wall Street narrative that commodities are entering a multi-year boom driven by deglobalization, underinvestment in energy and metals, AI infrastructure demand, and concerns over long-term dollar dominance. But there's a major problem with the thesis: commodity spikes are inflationary, inflation destroys demand, and higher commodity prices often strengthen the U.S. dollar instead of weakening it. We examine the reflexivity problem, the China demand issue, AI's real impact on commodity consumption, and why the "dollar collapse" narrative may be overstated. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:50 - Trump - Xi Preview; Earnings Season Winds Down 4:36 - Economic Data Review 6:53 - The Contrarian Trade Continues 11:41 - The Bull Stampede 12:28 - The Commodity Super Cycle 15:16 - Supply/Demand is most important piece of economic equation 16:50 - The Commodity Reflexivity Loop 18:39 - Commodities are Notorious for Reversal 22:36 - The AI Boom Factor 24:15 - Earnings Recap - Stellar Results 30:46 - What's Driving Market Upside - AI Cap-Ex 36:39 - Prior Peaks in Longterm EPS Growth Estimates...and downturns 40:12 - ISM Mfg. vs S&P 500 Annual % Change (chart) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Commodity Supercycle: The Enemy Of The Bull Thesis (Part 1)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/commodity-supercycle-the-enemy-of-the-bull-thesis-part-1/ "Earnings Estimate Revisions Are Very Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-estimate-revisions-are-very-optimistic/ "Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Is Pricing In 2028 Already" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/parabolic-semiconductor-rally-is-pricing-in-2028-already/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/6Rag3wz8r3k ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Iran Headlines Rattle Markets" here: https://youtu.be/RU_xjKIGiDs ------- Watch our previous show, "Annuities: Smart Move or Costly Mistake?" https://youtube.com/live/bIrBY3SVfbQ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #Commodities #CommoditySupercycle #Inflation #BullMarket #Investing

Markets are reacting to renewed Iran tensions as oil prices rise and stock futures weaken. Energy stocks are leading while the Mag-7 trades lower, but the bigger concern may be how stretched markets have become after weeks of relentless gains. This "Bull Stampede" rally has pushed sentiment back to extreme bullishness, volatility remains very low, and markets are now heavily extended above long-term trends. History suggests these setups often lead to fast reversions, with 3% to 5% pullbacks arriving quickly once a catalyst appears. Will it come from Iran, inflation data, or the Trump-Xi meeting? Nobody knows the trigger, but markets rarely stay this overbought forever. The good news is that corrections within strong momentum-driven bull markets have historically created buying opportunities, not the start of major bear markets. We discuss oil, market complacency, volatility risks, investor sentiment, and why short-term corrections may ultimately support a longer-term bullish outlook. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/RU_xjKIGiDs --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis

Are annuities only for retirees, or can they play a role in building long-term financial security at any age? Richard Rosso & Jonathan "Smarty" McCarty break down the myths, costs, benefits, and risks of annuities, and how guaranteed income fits into a retirement strategy. We discuss how annuities can serve as bond substitutes, why fees vary so widely, how sales structures impact costs, and how to determine whether an annuity fits your personal retirement goals. Most importantly, we explore how to create a rules-based approach to guaranteed income that matches your lifestyle, risk tolerance, and future needs. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Living Vicariously thru Clients' Experiences 4:05 - Why Annuities Get a Bad Rap - Liquidity & Life 7:09 - Insuring Late-life Consumption 9:30 - Behavioral Mechanisms - Mental Accounting & Loss Aversion 11:48 - The Cap'n Crunch Diversion 12:58 - Benefits of Delaying Social Security 14:26 - Everybody "knows" when they're going to die 16:42 - Framing Delay as a Longevity Bet 17:23 - Women are Better Investors 19:43 - Spousal Protection Consideration 20:18 - Annuities Get Sold, Not Planned 23:17 - Secrets of Return Risk 25:51 - Study: Fixed Income Annuities vs Bonds 29:42 - Annuities We Don't Like 30:18 - Annuities Riders You May Not Need 33:34 - RIA Snuggies, Immediate Annuities,, and Early Retirement 36:22 - Getting a Second Opinion -What Problem is Annuity Solving? 42:50 - Immediate vs Variable Annuities 45:30 - How Much of an Annuity Do You Need? 47:36 - Passing Along Assets & Annuities 50:59 - Candid Coffee Tease Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/bIrBY3SVfbQ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "How Markets Ignore the Fear" here: https://youtu.be/1BrnxwNgzeY ------- Watch our previous show, "Semiconductors: Bubble or Bust?" https://youtube.com/live/X0moIzRXOHg ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Annuities #RetirementPlanning #GuaranteedIncome #FinancialPlanning #RetirementIncome

Semiconductor stocks continue to lead the market higher as the AI boom drives massive capital spending, soaring valuations, and relentless momentum in names like Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, and TSMC. But are investors witnessing the next great technology revolution, or the early stages of another market bubble? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine the semiconductor trade from both sides: Explosive AI demand, data center growth, and earnings momentum versus stretched valuations, narrowing market breadth, and growing concentration risk inside the S&P 500 and NASDAQ. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - Earnings Revisions are Ratcheting Up 4:32 - The Importance and Use of Technical Indicators 11:05 - Tools for Separating Narratives & Emotions from Market Reality 13:07 - Likes for Lebo Merch 14:10 - Semiconductors, AI, and Bubbles 16:58 - GPU's, CPU's, & LLM's 18:38 - The AMD Story & Supple-Demand Imbalances 24:10 - Portfolio Management Keeps You Out of Trouble 25:05 - Taking Profits is Important 26:45 - Where Will Money Go Next? 29:22 - Dissention in the Fed - Cuts or No Cuts? 32:15 - AI is Disinflationary in Nature 34:06 - The Curb Appeal of the Economy 36:18 - Guessing the Outcome - The K-Shape Continues 38:29 -The Technology Displacement Cycle Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/X0moIzRXOHg ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "A Robot Economy: Who Gets Rich, Who Gets Left Behind" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-robot-economy-who-gets-rich-who-gets-left-behind/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "How Markets Ignore the Fear" here: https://youtu.be/1BrnxwNgzeY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - What's Your Biggest Concern?" https://youtube.com/live/TFn61TpR-Fc ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #Semiconductors #AIStocks #Nvidia #TechnologyStocks

For four years, investors have been told the next crash was right around the corner. Russia-Ukraine, inflation at 9%, Fed rate hikes, Silicon Valley Bank, tariffs, AI fears, Iran tensions, and endless recession warnings all fueled bearish headlines. Yet despite every crisis narrative, the market has doubled from the October 2022 lows. This morning, we break down why markets continue to climb in the face of nonstop fear narratives, and what actually matters for long-term market direction: earnings growth and forward expectations. We also review the technical backdrop, including the MACD momentum indicator, buy and sell signals, overbought conditions, moving average deviations, and how technical analysis can help investors manage emotions, reduce risk, and improve portfolio discipline. Markets are never risk-free, but understanding trend, momentum, and earnings can help investors avoid costly emotional decisions. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/1BrnxwNgzeY --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis

It's Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff are taking your questions live from the YouTube chatroom. From markets at all-time highs and rising pullback risk, to Fed policy, rates, and portfolio positioning, we're breaking down what matters most right now. With stocks extended, volume thinning out, and momentum showing signs of fatigue, is this a healthy pause or the start of a correction? What should investors and traders be doing right here? Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:57 - Markets Rally, Oil Plunges 4:05 - AI Trade is Back - but watch for reversal 7:52 - Vanguard Bond Builders - Bonds vs ETF's 12:32 - Best Store of Cash for a Portfolio? 14:39 - Couples with Pensions 17:06 - How did you react to downturn in the market? 19:59 - Lump Sum vs Pension Payout? 21:15 - The Thing About High-Yield Bonds 23:15 - What About the "Bucket Strategy" for Managine Risk? 24:31 - What Happens if Pensions Go Broke? 26:12 - Technical - Is the MACD Ever Wrong (and what is it?) 28:14 - Technical - What is the difference between Absolute & Relative scores? 32:28 - Where Are Rotations Going Next? 33:33 - Why Aren't Nvidia & Palantir Part of This Advance? 35:32 - Are Gold Stocks a Decent Buy? 38:16 - Use of Inverse ETF's as Hedges 39:03 - Portfolio Over- & Under-weighting 39:58 - How to Work with RIA? 40:44 - What if U.S. Dissolves? 42:35 - Don't Worry; Be Happy 43:07 - Managing Stocks w Different Advisors 45:35 - What's Your Story? 46:20 - The Thing About Apple & Microsoft 50:48 - BOE Interest Rates & Impact on Gold Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/TFn61TpR-Fc ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "AI Rally Nears Exhaustion," here: https://youtu.be/cievTNHiw6Y ------- Watch our previous show, "Investing vs Trading - Finding the Balance," https://youtube.com/live/LGDW2OXJ6oo ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #AIStocks #MarketOutlook #RiskManagement

Markets continue pushing to new all-time highs as AI stocks lead the rally higher, but momentum and money flow signals are beginning to weaken beneath the surface. While the bullish trend remains intact, overbought conditions are building and a near-term pullback or consolidation would not be surprising. Lance Roberts reviews why slowing money flows matter, what history says about momentum-driven rallies, and why patience, profit-taking, and risk management still matter even in strong markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/cievTNHiw6Y --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #AIStocks #MarketOutlook #RiskManagement

Investing and trading are often treated as opposing strategies, but the real advantage comes from knowing how to use both effectively. Long-term investing builds wealth through discipline and compounding, while trading can create short-term opportunities to enhance returns or manage risk. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down the key differences between investing and trading, when each approach makes sense, and how to structure a portfolio that incorporates both without letting emotion or overactivity take control. We discuss time horizons, risk management, position sizing, and how to avoid the common mistake of letting short-term trades derail long-term financial goals. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:58 - Hormuz Headlines & Market Gyrations 5:16 - Market Volume Spreads & Correction Targets 10:11 - The Story of Cinco de Mayo & Taco Tuesday 13:34 - Trading vs Investing 14:45 - Proposed Ban on Prediction Markets in Texas 16:07 - Zero Days to Expiration: The Ultimate Gamble 18:06 - Psychological Effects of Prediction Markets - the tax on the poor 21:18 - Who's Making the Money? 22:54 - Warren Buffett's Pile of Cash 25:36 - We Want to Believe Fundamentals Matter 28:04 - What Are Your Top-five Stocks? 30:05 - Binary Outcomes - All or Nothing 31:42 - Markets are Expensive 33:31 - When Buy & Hold Fails 36:10 - Protect Capital - The Value of Time 39:02 - Sequence of Returns Risk 40:14 - What to do with Cash Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/LGDW2OXJ6oo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Cooling-Off Correction Ahead," here: https://youtu.be/LbNhP30VHio ------- Watch our previous show, "Summer Sell-Off Risk Rising," https://youtube.com/live/h2Bku-whRmY ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar's Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketCorrection #InvestingStrategy #RiskManagement #Investing #Trading #PortfolioStrategy #RiskManagement #WealthBuilding

Markets remain extended, and while a major decline is unlikely, a short-term correction would be normal. With volume thinning at current levels and momentum nearing a sell signal, the risk is for a pullback into the 6,800–6,900 range, where stronger support and prior trading activity exist. We are using this environment to take profits, rebalance portfolios, and add some defensive exposure. The objective is to manage risk now and maintain flexibility, so we have capital ready to deploy when a better opportunity presents itself. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/LbNhP30VHio --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketCorrection #InvestingStrategy #RiskManagement

Markets have pushed higher, but underlying risks are beginning to build as we head into the summer months. From stretched valuations and overbought technical conditions to seasonal weakness and shifting liquidity, investors may be facing a more challenging environment than recent gains suggest. Lance Roberts breaks down the key signals pointing to a potential summer sell-off, including market breadth, momentum, and the impact of earnings season winding down. We also discuss how buybacks, economic data, and Federal Reserve policy could influence the next move in stocks, and whether any pullback would represent a healthy reset or something more significant. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - Launching Month of May - Manufacturing Numbers review 4:42 - Ongoing Update on Strait of Hormuz 6:02 - Trim Risk Now 10:43 - Chat Rebuttal: Why the market doesn't care about ongoing "war..." 13:45 - Why Summer Correction Risk is Rising 15:45 - Market Breadth Continues to Deteriorate 17:33 - New York Advance/Decline Line Breadth Metric 18:32 - Market Volatility 20:21 - Summer Seasonality is a Real Thing 23:57 - Market Performance in Mid-term Election Years 25:46 - Updated Outlook for Oil Prices 28:54 - How to Navigate Markets Now 32:12 - The Robot Economy & The Minimum Wage 37:48 - The Conundrum of the K-Shaped Economy & Wealth Divide 40:43 - You CAN Be Replaced - Jobs at Risk 42:04 - What You Can Do About It 44:35 - Invest today in the companies of tomorrow Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/h2Bku-whRmY ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Markets Near Peak - Pullback Risk Rising," here: https://youtu.be/OBGLWIvsGZI ------- Watch our previous show, "Gray Divorce: Social Security Secrets," https://youtube.com/live/rXi5IdkLNRM ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar's Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketPullback #InvestingStrategy #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook #Investing #MarketVolatility

Markets closed at new all-time highs, but conditions are increasingly stretched. Momentum is extended, and a short-term sell signal is approaching. That does not signal a crash, but it does suggest the rally is due for a pause or pullback. Support levels sit near 6,980 at the 20-day moving average, with a stronger cluster closer to 6,880. A move back toward those levels would be a healthy reset and create better buying opportunities. Now is the time to manage risk—trim positions, rebalance, and raise some cash rather than chasing the rally. Investors often stay fully invested too long, then react emotionally during declines. Taking action early allows you to stay disciplined and prepared. If you don't sell high, you cannot buy low. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/OBGLWIvsGZI --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketPullback #InvestingStrategy #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis

Gray divorce is on the rise, and many investors are missing a key opportunity: Social Security benefits tied to an ex-spouse. Richard rosso & Jonathan McCarty explain how divorced spousal benefits work, including eligibility rules, timing decisions, and how much you may be able to claim. If you were married at least 10 years, you could receive up to 50 percent of your ex-spouse's benefit, or even more through survivor benefits, without impacting their payout. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Financial Repercussions of Gray Divorce 1:47 - Economic Numbers Review 2:16 - Data Center & Power Station Build Outs 4:40 - Interest Rates & Kevin Warsh 6:22 - Apartment Build Outs - Function Over Form 9:39 - Gray Divorce Rates - One in Three: Financial Vulnerabilities 12:58 - Going Back to Work After Divorce 14:23 - Demographics, Ageism, & Merit-based Immigration 18:24 - AI & Content Creation : Lessons About Business 20:15 - Taxation Following Divorce 21:37 - Mishaps with Social Security After Divorce 23:02 - Longevity & Empty-nester's 25:29 - Timing Matters - All in the Family 29:39 - Financial Advisor as Referee 35:15 - Social Security: Spousal Benefits, Survivors Benefits Qualifications 38:32 - Don't Make These Divorce Mistakes 41:53 - First Rule When You Know You're Divorcing 45:22 - The Middle Class is Being Bolstered by Growth in Assets 46:14 - Will AI replace FA's? 50:56 - Candid Coffee Event 5/16 Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/rXi5IdkLNRM ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Market Stalls as Risks Build," here: https://youtu.be/SSzwq4AG2-0 ------- Watch our previous show, "Fed Holds Rates as Powell Stays On," https://youtube.com/live/oYQSPI-_BqE?feature=share ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar's Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #GrayDivorce #SocialSecurity #RetirementPlanning #DivorceFinance #WealthManagement

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 3.5%–3.75%, but the bigger story may be what comes next. Powell announced he plans to remain on the Federal Reserve Board as a governor after his term ends—an unusual move that limits a potential board vacancy and keeps his influence in play. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine what this means for monetary policy, market expectations, and the timing of future rate cuts. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - Closing Out April, Moving Into May: earnings season winding down 3:52 - Eli Lilly & GLP-1 4:21 - No Change in Fed Stance & Oil Prices 6:04 - Market Consolidation Continues 9:56 - Mrs. Roberts Moderates & Likes for Lebo 11:47 - Mag-4 Earnings Review 16:16 - Eli Lilly & Myriad Applications for GLP-1 19:13 - Most Uneventful Eventful Fed Meeting 23:22 - Office Politics at The Fed 26:01 - The Hawkish Take is the Correct One 27:41 - What Really Drives Inflation (not car insurance) 31:47 - Inflation Varies by Location 33:15 - The Fed is Stuck 34:59 - Oil Futures Pricing & the "Sweet Spot" 36:47 - Earnings & Profit Margins - Where's the Risk? 39:08 - Caterpillar Earnings & Data Center Construction Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/oYQSPI-_BqE?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Market Stalls as Risks Build," here: https://youtu.be/SSzwq4AG2-0 ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Markets & Your Money ," https://youtube.com/live/xzazFr20EOE ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar's Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #FederalReserve #InterestRates #JeromePowell #MonetaryPolicy

Markets continue to consolidate, working off overbought conditions by moving sideways rather than correcting sharply. With momentum beginning to fade and a potential sell signal approaching, the near-term outlook suggests limited upside as equities search for direction. Earnings season is nearing its conclusion, which could temporarily shift focus away from corporate results and back toward economic data and broader macro trends. While record stock buybacks are expected to provide some support in the short term, seasonal weakness into May and June would not be unusual as the quarter progresses. This environment calls for discipline rather than aggression. Investors may want to focus on risk management, portfolio rebalancing, and selectively raising cash to prepare for the next opportunity when markets reset for a more durable advance. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/SSzwq4AG2-0 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement

Markets continue to push higher, but the underlying story is getting more nuanced. Leadership is narrowing, valuations are stretched, and investors are weighing strong momentum against rising risks—from interest rate uncertainty to geopolitical developments and shifting economic data. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff open the chatroom to tackle your most pressing financial questions in real time. From portfolio strategy and market outlook to retirement planning, taxes, and risk management, we'll break down what matters most in today's environment and how to think through what comes next. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Jerome Powell's Last Stand 5:59 - Markets Primed for Pull Back 10:28 - When Will Oil Prices Peak? 13:48 - Will UAE Exit from OPEC+ Fracture CarteL? 15:39 - Could OPEC Break Up Lead to Oil Over-supply/Price Crash? 17:00 - The Fed Should Be Seen & Not Heard 20:27 - Strategies for Rates and Timing 22:25 - John Bogle, International Mutual Funds, & Boat Anchors 27:37 - Market Volatility & Record Retail Participation 28:25 - How We Use Options 31:01 - When Do We Know the Software Services Apocalypse is Over? 33:23 - What Was Your Worst Trade...and Biggest Mistake? 38:37- What Did Lance have for Breakfast? 40:05 - Investing in Photonic Stocks? 43:38 - Armadillos & Horses (really, people??) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/xzazFr20EOE ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Overextended Markets - Pullback Risk Rising," here: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "The Hidden Costs of Divorce," https://youtube.com/live/sSYl1w7TUek?feature=share ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Chase These All-Time Highs" is here: https://youtu.be/fcqpg6b8GPQ ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar's Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #FederalReserve #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #FinancialPlanning #InvestorQuestions

Markets held steady Tuesday, but beneath the surface, conditions are becoming increasingly stretched. Prices are now sitting well above key moving averages, with momentum and relative strength pushing into overbought territory. While there's no immediate sign of breakdown, this level of extension typically limits upside and raises the probability of a near-term pullback. With key catalysts ahead, including today's Fed announcement and earnings releases, markets are vulnerable to even minor negative surprises. As we move into May, a period that historically brings more volatility, the combination of seasonal weakness and technical extension increases risk. This may be a good time to review portfolios, trim risk, and prepare for a potential pullback—which could ultimately present a more favorable entry point. Markets don't move in straight lines, and patience here may be rewarded. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz --- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Microsoft OpenAI Marriage Is On Rocky Ground" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-microsoft-openai-marriage-is-on-rocky-ground/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #FederalReserve #TechnicalAnalysis

Divorce is rarely just emotional—it can be financially devastating. Lance Roberts and Jon Penn break down the many costs and consequences of divorce, with a focus on "financial infidelity" and how hidden spending, secret accounts, and undisclosed income are tearing marriages apart. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:58 - Earnings Season Chugs Along 4:01 - What's Hanging Over Markets Now 5:31 - Market Breadth Narrows 10:34 - Private Jets & Early Wake-up Calls 11:24 - Cohabiting, Marriage, & Financial Conflict 16:14 - Forensic Accountants & Secret Families(!) 18:52 - Splitting & Combining Money - The Zero-based Budget 21:52 - Two Biggest Causes of Divorce 23:06 - The "Gray Divorce" Phenomenon 25:08 - Financial Infidelity & Gambling 30:08 - Biggest Risk in Marriage (Poll) 32:34 - "Half!" 36:10 - Pre-marital Financial Counseling 37:56 - The Real Meeting 42:07 - Financial Habits are Hereditary 47:17 - Beware Lifestyle Creep Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/sSYl1w7TUek?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Narrow Rally Warning," here: https://youtu.be/KOvVspATC_o ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Why is the Market Ignoring the Strait? " https://youtube.com/live/tpVJst4GNkE?feature=share ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Chase These All-Time Highs" is here: https://youtu.be/fcqpg6b8GPQ ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar's Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketBreadth #Nasdaq #EnergyStocks #DivorceCosts #FinancialInfidelity #PersonalFinance #MarriageAndMoney #WealthManagement

Markets pushed to another all-time high Monday, with momentum accelerating as the 20-DMA crosses back above key moving averages. But while price action remains strong, conditions are increasingly overbought and extended, making further gains harder to sustain. Under the surface, cracks are forming. The equal-weighted S&P 500 has declined for five consecutive days, signaling narrowing market breadth as leadership rotates back into mega-cap tech. Nvidia's surge highlights this concentration risk, raising questions about how durable this rally is without broader participation. Looking ahead, futures are mixed this morning, and key macro signals are developing. The U.S. Dollar is stabilizing and nearing a buy signal, which could pressure commodities. Meanwhile, energy prices and the XLE ETF are strengthening, potentially setting up a reversal trade that could support broader market participation. Watch for whether energy and value stocks can step in to stabilize breadth, or if this rally continues to narrow. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/KOvVspATC_o --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketBreadth #Nasdaq #EnergyStocks

Geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz have historically sent shockwaves through global markets—especially oil. Yet today, markets appear unusually calm. Why? Lance Roberts breaks down the disconnect between rising geopolitical risk and resilient equity markets, exploring why investors may be discounting the threat, including shifting oil correlations, expectations for contained conflict, and the role of liquidity, positioning, and market structure. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - Assassination Attempts & Strait of Hormuz News 5:12 - Markets Consolidate to Close at All-time Highs 9:44 - Data Center Plays Today 15:06 - Men, Women, & Movies 19:42 - Is the Market Ignoring the Strait of Hormuz? 29:42 - What To Do Now 36:02 - The Dollar's Funeral Nobody Attended Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Smart Wealth Transfer Strategies " https://youtube.com/live/J1FjILk7Gaw ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Chase These All-Time Highs" is here: https://youtu.be/fcqpg6b8GPQ ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar's Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #RiskManagement #StockMarketNews #Geopolitics #OilPrices #Investing

Markets ended a volatile week at new all-time highs, but the path higher is getting more challenging. Despite ongoing consolidation, stocks remain extended above key moving averages, suggesting upside from here may be more limited than the sharp rally off recent lows. Under the surface, the market is still healthy. Breadth is improving, sector rotation is constructive, and earnings growth—especially in semiconductors and energy—continues to support higher prices. However, rising oil prices and interest rates are beginning to push inflation expectations higher, which could become a headwind. The message for investors is simple: stay constructive, but don't chase. Use strength to take profits, rebalance risk, and be patient for better entry points as markets either consolidate further or pull back. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/fcqpg6b8GPQ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #RiskManagement #StockMarketNews

What are the smartest ways affluent families transfer wealth efficiently—and what mistakes should you avoid? Richard Rosso & Devoda Owens share wealth transfer strategies from the simplest approaches to more advanced planning techniques, starting with foundational tools like annual gifting and using lifetime exemptions. Also explaining how to think about asset selection—what to gift now versus what to hold for a step-up in basis. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Missed Exits, '70's Music, Origins of the RIA Eagle 4:15 - Looking at Wealth Transfers 5:55 - Charitable Donations & Tax Deductions 7:47 - The Great Wealth Transfer 11:14 - Wealth Transfer Planning for Asset Protection 13:03 - The Foundation of Wealth Transfer is Gifting 16:58 - Trust Planning: Revocable & Irrevocable Trusts 19:31 - Potential for Taxation of Wealth Transfers 22:59 - Managing Illiquid Assets in a Trust 24:57 - Messy Estate Plans for Celebrities (Do you really need one?) 30:14 - Trusts Are Expensive 31:56 - Donor-advised Charitable Funds 35:27 - Leaving Inheritance for Pets, the Saga of Gravy Train 37:49 - Roth Conversions in Wealth Transfers 42:14 - Our Next Candid Coffee (5/16/26)* Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Devoda Owens, CFP, MS ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/J1FjILk7Gaw ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Can Warsh Reshape the Fed?" https://youtube.com/live/MKQ5YTaUNh8 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Wait for the Setup" is here: https://youtu.be/0PkDug9qEys ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Short Covering Rally Or Is The Bull Market Back?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/short-covering-rally-or-correction-over/ "Market Lesson: Why Panic Is A Costly Mistake" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-lesson-dont-waste-being-bailed-out/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WealthTransfer #EstatePlanning #TrustStrategies #FinancialPlanning #HighNetWorth

Kevin Warsh's nomination hearing put Federal Reserve reform front and center. His vision challenges long-standing norms, raising key questions about how monetary policy could change—and what it means for markets. What would a Warsh-led Fed mean for interest rates, inflation expectations, and market stability? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the implications. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Kevin Warsh & Fed Reform; Technology at All-time High 5:47 - If You Missed the Rally... 10:32 - Temps in God's Country 11:39 - Odds are Kevin Warsh Will Be Confirmed 12:22 - Misnomer: The Fed is Trying to Bail Out the Dollar 16:02 - All Money is Lent Into Existence 18:29 - Money Supply is Not a Gauge of Inflation 22:09 - Misunderstanding Leads to Poor Investing Decisions 23:19 - When Kevin Warsh Replaces Jerome Powell 24:44 - QE is Reverse-Robinhood 26:40 - Fed Switch from Trimmed PCE for Inflation Metric 28:22 - Fed Communication & Forward Guidance 31:20 - Markets No Longer Pay Attention to Fundamentals 34:39 - Will Warsh Be Able to Make Substantive Changes? 36:17 - Fed Crises & New Chairmen 39:18 - Passive Investing Does a Disservice to Economy 41:05 - The Value Names Don't Have a Lot of Value 43:06 - Passive Investing Creates Mis-allocation of Capital ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/MKQ5YTaUNh8 ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Ask Us Anything " https://youtube.com/live/yFe9x3vjJn0 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Wait for the Setup" is here: https://youtu.be/0PkDug9qEys ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Short Covering Rally Or Is The Bull Market Back?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/short-covering-rally-or-correction-over/ "Market Lesson: Why Panic Is A Costly Mistake" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-lesson-dont-waste-being-bailed-out/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #InvestingStrategy #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #KevinWarsh #InterestRates #Inflation #MonetaryPolicy

Markets continue to hold up well, but momentum is beginning to slow as overbought conditions persist. While earnings expectations and money flows remain supportive, the near-term upside appears limited without a period of consolidation or a pullback. In today's pre-market update, we discuss why patience is critical here. With key economic data ahead and uncertainty around potential Fed leadership changes, markets may need time to reset before the next leg higher. Chasing this rally at current levels could expose investors to unnecessary short-term volatility. Technically, the setup is improving beneath the surface. The 20-DMA is rising and working back above longer-term moving averages, which can provide near-term support if markets hold current levels. However, a more attractive entry point likely comes with a pullback toward the 50- and 100-DMA support cluster. Despite geopolitical concerns, including tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, markets are focusing on forward earnings and longer-term expectations. The trend remains intact, but discipline is key as momentum slows and the market works through this phase. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/0PkDug9qEys?si=DP1sskL3hOfVuD_C --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #InvestingStrategy #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve

It's Q&A Wednesday, and we're tackling the questions that matter most right now—markets at all-time highs despite geopolitical tension, whether this rally can hold, and where investors should be positioned if volatility returns. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff also dive into real-world portfolio decisions: how to think about inflation hedges like I-Bonds and TIPS, strategies around QLACs and RMDs, tax considerations in ETFs, and where to park cash in today's environment. Along the way, we break down emerging risks and opportunities, from private credit exposure and national debt concerns to IPO dynamics and structural market changes. If you're trying to make sense of a market that seems disconnected from headlines while still planning for long-term outcomes, this episode connects the dots. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:58 - Kevin Warsh & Iran Blockade 5:03 - Can Markets' Rally Be Maintained? 9:45 - I-Bonds & Tips 12:45 - QLAC's & RMD's 15:30 - What Would You Have Done Differently in Last Downturn? 17:35 - What Tax Benefits are Provided with SPYI ETF? 18:49 - NASDAQ-100 Fast Entry Rule Change 20:22 - Private Investment IPO's 22:05 - When Markets Pull Back, to what sectors will money rotate? 23:34 - What is the Private Credit Risk to Insurance Companies? 25:25 - What is the future impact of the National Debt? 28:40 - Space-X IPO 29:35 - Auto-callable Growth ETF's 36:01 - What Vehicles are Used for Cash Positions? 38:14 - Why is S&P at All-time Highs w Hormuz Strait Still Closed? ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/yFe9x3vjJn0 ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Financial Illiteracy: Too Big to Ignore" https://youtube.com/live/jAHYTG9JFDg ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Buy the Dip or Wait?" is here: https://youtu.be/70nOJWV4YDI ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Short Covering Rally Or Is The Bull Market Back?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/short-covering-rally-or-correction-over/ "Market Lesson: Why Panic Is A Costly Mistake" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-lesson-dont-waste-being-bailed-out/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #BuyTheDip #MarketOutlook #TradingStrategy #Investing #FinancialPlanning #Retirement #MarketAnalysis

Markets are set to open slightly higher, with oil prices steady and futures pointing to a modest gain. The key question: can the rally hold, or are we entering a more uneven phase? Markets remain technically overbought, which limits near-term upside and increases the likelihood of choppy, sideways movement. Recent pullbacks are not surprising and, at this stage, are more consistent with consolidation than the start of a deeper correction. Under the surface, buying pressure remains firm. Hedge funds and professional managers are increasing exposure, while retail investors are beginning to re-engage after missing the recent dip. Support levels remain intact, suggesting any downside may be limited. We are also seeing a rotation back into mega-cap and growth stocks after earlier leadership from value, signaling a potential shift in market leadership. In this type of environment, patience matters. Rather than chasing extended positions, focus on stocks and sectors that have already bottomed and are beginning to recover. Those setups may provide more attractive entry points as the market works through this phase. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/70nOJWV4YDI --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #BuyTheDip #MarketOutlook #TradingStrategy #Investing

Financial illiteracy is no longer just a personal challenge—it's a growing national risk. With U.S. household debt exceeding $18 trillion and nearly 40% of Americans unable to cover a $400 emergency, the consequences are becoming impossible to ignore. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down how a lack of basic financial education is driving poor decision-making, rising debt levels, and long-term economic instability. From budgeting and credit to investing and risk management, millions are navigating an increasingly complex financial system without the tools they need. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:18 - Market Pull Back No Surprise 7:28 - Leg Day & Italy Prep 9:45 - Financial Literacy Dearth in America 14:44 - Subscriptions & Memberships - The KISS Army 16:13 - High School & College "Stock Picking" classes 19:05 - National vs Personal Debt 20:55 - The Credit Card - Credit Score Myth 23:09 - Manifestation Practices to Better Financial Health 25:17 - Family Discussions: Money & Goals 28:07 - The Perils of Buy Now - Pay Later vs Lay-Away 30:29 - Don't Let Market Moves Scare You 31:36 - First Houses, Inspections, Mortgages, & Escrows 34:27 - The Big Push for Home Ownership - Beware! 37:22 - Trade Skills & Economics in High School 39:04 - How Banks Make Money (on You) 41:55 - how to Properly React to Markets - Rules vs Me ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/jAHYTG9JFDg ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Chase or Fade the Rally? " https://youtube.com/live/Uz93eoE43pc ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Overbought Market: Wait for the Pullback" is here: https://youtu.be/hSb-tdMdmWc ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Short Covering Rally Or Is The Bull Market Back?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/short-covering-rally-or-correction-over/ "Market Lesson: Why Panic Is A Costly Mistake" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-lesson-dont-waste-being-bailed-out/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #InvestingStrategy #MarketOutlook #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #FinancialIlliteracy #PersonalFinance #DebtCrisis #MoneyManagement #EconomicRisk

Markets pulled back slightly Monday but remain extended above key support levels, with momentum and relative strength still in overbought territory. Historically, when prices stretch this far above moving averages, the "gravitational pull" of those averages tends to bring markets back toward support. That doesn't mean an immediate decline, but it does suggest limited upside in the near term. The easy opportunity to deploy capital has likely passed for now. A better entry point will come—either through consolidation or a pullback driven by news or shifting sentiment. While the recent rally has been strong, it has also been narrow, with many stocks still trading below their 50-day moving average. Breadth is improving, but not convincingly enough to justify aggressive positioning. For investors, this is a time for discipline: manage risk, avoid chasing extended markets, and be patient. If recent volatility caused stress in your portfolio, it may be a signal that your risk exposure needs adjustment. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/hSb-tdMdmWc --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #InvestingStrategy #MarketOutlook #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis

Markets have surged back to all-time highs—but now comes the key decision: chase the rally, or fade it? Lance Roberts breaks down whether this rally has staying power or if investors should be cautious at current levels. We analyze short covering vs. true accumulation, sector rotation, and the impact of falling oil prices and changing inflation expectations. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:01 - April Doing What It Does Best 3:16 - The Recent Correction is Over 4:50 - Don't Chase the Rally 10:03 - Why the Market Rebound was Stronger than Expected 13:35 - Why Behavioral Investing Leads to Poor Outcomes 16:57 - Technical charting of Over Sold / Over Bought Composite 19:39 - The Fear-Greed Composite 22:02 - Everyone Has a Reason to Hate the Rally 22:58 - Testing the Negative Narratives 26:33 - Secular Bull/Bear Periods Happen - How to Prepare? 28:33 - Why Panic is a Costly Mistake 33:00 - Bearish Sentiment Remains 35:27 - Don't Bail Out of This Rally 37:24 - Seven Portfolio Actions to Take Right Now ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Uz93eoE43pc ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Watch our previous show, "Your Longevity Score: Are You Ready?" https://youtube.com/live/-2PqycDpJfw ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Chase This Rally" is here: https://youtu.be/gbk9otKae2Q ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Short Covering Rally Or Is The Bull Market Back?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/short-covering-rally-or-correction-over/ "Market Lesson: Why Panic Is A Costly Mistake" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-lesson-dont-waste-being-bailed-out/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #PortfolioManagement #StockMarket #MarketRally #Investing #TradingStrategy #MarketOutlook

Markets have staged a powerful rally off the recent lows, reclaiming the 200-DMA and pushing to new highs. Historically, when markets recover that level within four weeks, forward returns tend to improve—and this time, the rebound happened in just three weeks. Momentum is strong, money flows have flipped positive, and moving averages are turning higher. So why not chase it? Because the market is now stretched. Relative strength is overbought, and prices are significantly extended above key moving averages. When markets get this far ahead of their trend, short-term pullbacks are common—even within bullish setups. Over the past two years, rallies like this have repeatedly reset back toward support before continuing higher. This doesn't signal a major selloff. It suggests a pause or correction that creates better entry points. From a portfolio management perspective, this is a time to stay disciplined: trim profits, rebalance risk, and raise some cash. Identify positions that lagged during both the decline and the recovery, and consider reallocating. Small adjustments now can position you to take advantage of the next pullback. Patience here may offer a better opportunity to add exposure at more favorable levels. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/gbk9otKae2Q --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #PortfolioManagement

Longevity risk is now measurable. The Longevity Preparedness Index, developed by the MIT AgeLab, scores how ready you are to live a long life. The average result is just 60 out of 100, signaling a major gap in retirement planning. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty explain what drives that score, where most people fall short, and how to improve it. From Social Security timing to guaranteed income, flexible withdrawals, growth exposure, and healthcare planning, building a durable retirement plan requires multiple strategies working together. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - 8-ball Answers & Longevity Challenges 4:23 - Cap'n Crunch & Colorectal Cancer 6:27 - Longevity Preparedness Index 8:32 - Revolutionary Medical Testing 11:42 - Who Will Be Your Care Provider? 14:42 - Transition from Individualism to Collectivism w Care 17:51 - The Importance of Community: Transportation, Neighborhood 21:03 - Daily Activities & Physical Well-being 23:34 - How Do You Spend Your Days? 25:21 - Intellectually Stimulating 28:37 - How Will You Matter in Retirement? 29:38 - Finances in Retirement 32:50 - Worry About Running Out of Money in Older Age 35:05 - Knowing Where Your Money is Invested - and Why 36:35 - The Ability to Manage Day-to-Day Finances 39:35 - The Wellness Market 41:15 - AI Robots as care givers 43:38 - Moderate Physical Activity 45:09 - Is Your Home Well-prepared for Aging in Place? 48:58 - Dealing with Life Transitions 52:02 - Take Time to Reminisce 54:01 - Adapting to New Life Circumstances ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/-2PqycDpJfw ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, April 18: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything-2/ -------- Watch our previous show, "What Will the Fed Do Next? " https://youtube.com/live/IflJyKIbe7s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Rally 11%: What's Next?" is here: https://youtu.be/ep4NAmWINYg ------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: https://www.johnhancock.com/ideas-insights/longevity-preparedness-index/longevity-preparedness-score.html https://www.livingto100.com/calculator ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LongevityRisk #RetirementPlanning #FinancialPlanning #MITAgeLab #WealthStrategy

With inflation trends shifting, economic data sending mixed signals, and markets hovering near key levels, the big question is: what will the Federal Reserve do next? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the Fed's current dilemma—balancing inflation control with economic growth—and what it means for interest rates, equities, and bonds. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Markets Hit 5th All-time High for 2026 6:48 - Markets Up 11% from Bottom 11:35 - Pollen & Taylor Sheridan 16:25 - Allbirds & AI craze 20:12 - Market Turnover Velocity & SEC "oversight" 26:57 - Market Breadth & Growth to Value Rotation 31:22 - The Fed is Stuck 36:58 - The Tailwind for Fed Rate Cuts has Increased 39:02 - The Risk of Volatility Remains 41:19 - Markets Have Priced-in Iran ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/IflJyKIbe7s ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, April 18: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything-2/ -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Markets, Taxes, and Your Money" https://youtube.com/live/X2EdwIni6_8 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Rally 11%: What's Next?" is here: https://youtu.be/ep4NAmWINYg ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Oil Shock: Will The Fed Intervene" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-shock-will-the-fed-intervene-part-2/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #SP500 #MarketTrends #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #FedPolicy

Markets have surged 11% from recent lows after a powerful ten-day rally, pushing above key moving averages and approaching more overbought conditions. Momentum is strong, and buy signals are in place, but as markets stretch further from their averages, upside may become more challenging in the near term. A major difference in this cycle is the absence of a "death cross." The 50-day moving average never broke below the 200-day, and markets quickly reclaimed key technical levels. Historically, that type of setup points to stronger underlying support and lowers the probability of a full retest of recent lows. That said, short-term pullbacks are still possible. A move back to support could provide a better opportunity to add exposure, particularly as volatility risks begin to rise later in the year. The debate now: is this just a short-covering rally, or the start of a more durable advance? We break down the technical signals, momentum trends, and what to watch next. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/ep4NAmWINYg --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #SP500 #MarketTrends

It's Q&A Wednesday, and with Tax Day here, we're tackling your biggest questions on markets, taxes, and financial strategy in real time. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff field questions, from navigating today's market volatility to making smart, last-minute tax decisions, this episode is driven by what matters most to you. We break down current events, investor concerns, and practical steps you can take right now to stay on track. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:03 - Markets Climb Higher 3:01 - Watch Sentiment, Fear-Greed Index 6:38 - Markets Rally Back to All-time Highs 10:42 - How Do Money Flows Work? 13:34 - What is the Next Resistance Level? 15:08 - Risk Bucket Strategies & Goal Scooping 19:13 - At Age 70, Holding or Managing? 21:27 - Long Bonds - Investing or Trading? 25:34 - How Our Kids Invest 26:13 - Revaluation of Gold? Don't Bank on it. 29:18 - Where Rosso Shops for Clothes 30:29 - Pre- or Post-Tax Portfolio? 38:13 - Insurance Company Annuities & Private Credit Exposure 41:33 - Space-X & Anthropics IPO's 43:32 - When is Ideal Time to Initiate Annuity Withdrawals? ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/X2EdwIni6_8 ------- REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, April 18: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/ask-us-anything-2/ -------- Watch our previous show, "Are Financial Advisor Fees Really Worth It?" https://youtube.com/live/5IaUfLHtiyg ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hit Highs: Buy Now or Wait?" is here: https://youtu.be/wiSeFGUo6IE ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "S&P 500 Outlook: The 8.2% Rally & What Comes Next." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sp-500-outlook-the-8-2-rally-what-comes-next/ "Oil Shock: Will The Fed Intervene" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-shock-will-the-fed-intervene-part-2/ "The South Park Investment Curse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/lets-knock-on-wood/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #SP500 #TaxDay #StockMarket #Investing #FinancialPlanning #WealthManagement

Markets have surged back to all-time highs, a sharp reversal from just weeks ago when geopolitical fears dominated headlines. With price now clearing all major resistance levels and reclaiming key moving averages, the technical backdrop has improved significantly. Market breadth is expanding, providing a healthier foundation for this rally. However, conditions are now short-term overbought, suggesting a pause or pullback could be next. The key level to watch is the cluster of support formed by recently reclaimed moving averages and high-volume trading zones. If markets can consolidate and hold these levels, it may offer a favorable entry point for investors looking to add exposure. Seasonality also begins to play a role, as post–Tax Day retail flows historically pick up into late April and May. While a summer correction remains a reasonable expectation, the near-term outlook points to consolidation followed by a potential continuation higher. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/wiSeFGUo6IE --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #SP500

Are financial advisor fees really worth it—or are you paying more than you should? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down the true value behind advisory fees and what investors should expect in return. It's not just about investment performance. A good advisor delivers portfolio construction, risk management, tax efficiency, and long-term financial planning—all designed to help you build and protect wealth. Also in this episode, Lance and Jon offer tax tips for the day before Taxes are due... Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:13 - Iran Negotiations = More Market Volatility 6:17 - Markets Rally Towards Previous Highs 8:16 - Is the Correction Over? 11:19 - Lance is Back; Thanks to Jon 13:10 - Why Pay an Advisor? 18:24 - You Don't Have to Beat a Benchmark 19:24 - Driving in Houston & Managing Risk 22:34 - Why You Need an Advisor 28:43 - Use the Right Tool 31:55 - Why We Don't Sleep (so that YOU can) 34:07 - The Truth About Paying a Fee 39:07 - The Value in Starting Young(er) 43:42 - Last Minute Tips for Tax Day (tomorrow) ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/5IaUfLHtiyg ------- Watch our previous show, "The S&P 500 Rally: What Comes Next?," https://youtube.com/live/ylJqaK248pk ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Buy Signal Is Back - But Don't Chase" is here: https://youtu.be/lM6tkRDoRe8 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "S&P 500 Outlook: The 8.2% Rally & What Comes Next." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sp-500-outlook-the-8-2-rally-what-comes-next/ "Oil Shock: Will The Fed Intervene" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-shock-will-the-fed-intervene-part-2/ "The South Park Investment Curse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/lets-knock-on-wood/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #FinancialAdvice #AdvisorFees #WealthManagement #InvestingStrategy #PersonalFinance

Markets opened weak Monday but staged a powerful reversal, pushing back toward recent highs and reclaiming key technical levels. Money flows have flipped from deeply negative to positive, and a short-covering squeeze has accelerated the move higher. The big shift: markets are now trading back above all major moving averages, including the 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-DMA. That transition signals a return to "buy mode" from a technical perspective, with momentum clearly improving. Historically, reclaiming these levels after an oversold condition often marks a short-term bottom. However, investors should not get complacent. Markets are now short-term overbought, and a consolidation or pullback is likely in the coming days. That could provide a more favorable entry point for deploying capital or rebalancing portfolios. Looking ahead, risks remain. Rising oil prices and their potential impact on inflation and earnings could drive another correction this summer. If the recent drawdown felt uncomfortable, it may be a signal to reassess portfolio risk and positioning. This is a market shifting back to strength—but with caution warranted. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/lM6tkRDoRe8 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis

The S&P 500 just surged 8.2% off its March lows—reclaiming key technical levels and sitting within striking distance of all-time highs. But is this the start of a sustained move higher, or just a reflexive rally before another pullback? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down what drove the rally—from extreme bearish sentiment and a volatility reset, to easing geopolitical tensions—and why those factors matter for investors right now. We also examine the critical technical signals, including the reclaiming of the 200-day moving average, and what history suggests about forward returns after similar setups. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:08 - Is the Correction Over? 4:50 - When Markets Are Correcting... 8:39 - Earnings Season Commences 10:12 - Now is the Time to Rebalance Risk 16:37 - Lance's U.K. Vacation 21:09 - Big Rally Last Week - What Happens Next - Factors to Watch 26:43 - Bull Case vs Bear Case 30:00 - Lance's Investor Guidelines 33:09 - Markets Feel Worse Than They Are 36:08 - The Southpark Market 40:09 - Why You Should Be Buying the Crash 42:07 - What Everyone Knows... 44:12 - Nothing Stays Static 47:03 - The Hard Part of Investing ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ylJqaK248pk ------- Watch our previous show, "What To Do After You Inherit Money," https://youtube.com/live/PfgdqYStb70 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Back Above 200-DMA?" is here: https://youtu.be/_JrTG3hB_co ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "S&P 500 Outlook: The 8.2% Rally & What Comes Next." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sp-500-outlook-the-8-2-rally-what-comes-next/ "Oil Shock: Will The Fed Intervene" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-shock-will-the-fed-intervene-part-2/ "The South Park Investment Curse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/lets-knock-on-wood/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP500 #StockMarket #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook #InvestingStrategy #FinancialMarkets

Markets surged 8.2% last week, reclaiming the critical 200-day moving average within the key 4-week window—historically a positive signal for forward returns. Even more notable, the S&P 500 pushed back above the 50- and 20-DMAs, clearing major resistance levels in a powerful technical reversal. But this morning brings new uncertainty. Geopolitical tensions are rising as the U.S. Navy announces a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following a failed cease-fire, with futures pointing modestly lower. After an extended rally—especially in Technology—markets may be due for a near-term pullback. The key question now: can markets consolidate above the 200-DMA and hold recent gains? If so, the bullish case strengthens. If not, this could turn into another failed breakout. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/_JrTG3hB_co --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP500 #StockMarket #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook

Receiving an inheritance can be life-changing—but without a clear plan, it can also lead to costly mistakes. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty walk through the critical steps to take after inheriting money, from protecting the assets and understanding tax implications to building a long-term financial strategy. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Smarties Candies & Holographic Tombstones 3:21 - Baby Boomers, Inheritances, & Great Wealth Transfer 5:31 - Planning for an Inheritance 8:03 - The Stress of Care-giving 12:59 - What to Do with the Money 15:38 - Tax Implications for Inheritance Money 18:44 - Funding the Financial Security Cushion 20:07 - Paying off Debt & Using Credit Cards Wisely 22:23 - Implementation of Financial Plan 25:12 - Fallacies w Inherited Stock 26:26 - Testamentary Trusts 30:40 - Movie Stars' Poor Estate Plans 31:40 Candid Coffee Teaser 33:22 - The Emotional Impact of Inheritance Money 35:11 - Elvis' Estate Plan 37:06 - Leaving Behind as Little as Possible 38:40 - Dealing with all the Schtuff 41:26 - Generational Financial Insecurity 42:45 - How We Grew Up vs Now 45:01 - Lithographs & Gunsmoke 46:38 - Pintos & Car Colors ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/PfgdqYStb70 ------- Watch our previous show, "US–Iran Deal: What Investors Must Watch Next," https://youtube.com/live/1GbqGflIK4A ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "2Oil vs Markets: The Ceasefire Test" is here: https://youtu.be/ktGa-pbc3ps ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InheritancePlanning #WealthManagement #FinancialPlanning #EstatePlanning #Investing

Markets are reacting fast to signs of a potential resolution between the U.S. and Iran—but what should investors actually focus on next? A ceasefire or diplomatic breakthrough can spark a powerful short-term rally, driven by falling oil prices, easing geopolitical risk, and improved sentiment. But history shows these moves are often just the beginning—not the end—of the real story. Jon Penn & Michael Lebowitz break down the key signals investors need to watch as the situation evolves. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:06 - How Durable Will Iran Cease-Fire Be? 8:50 - How We've Reduced Risk 13:34 - Leaving Enough Meat on the Bone 15:40 - What Happens After Resolution? 19:43 - Guidance Will Matter More Than Earnings 20:58 - Cease-fire & Sentiment 24:34 - Who Do You Trust? 28:48 - Buy When Stocks Are Cheap 34:37 - Is Apple the Next Google? 40:53 - Getting Caught Up in the AI Race ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/1GbqGflIK4A ------- Watch our previous show, "Starter Home vs Renting: The Real Money Decisions," https://youtube.com/live/Iro2CW91YdM ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "2Oil vs Markets: The Ceasefire Test" is here: https://youtu.be/ktGa-pbc3ps ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #Investing #MarketOutlook #Geopolitics #OilPrices #Inflation #Investing

Markets are showing early signs of stabilization following a ceasefire announcement, but one key variable continues to dominate: oil prices. Before the news, oil and risk assets were moving in near-perfect opposition, signaling heightened geopolitical sensitivity. Now, markets are attempting to hold above the 200-day moving average—a critical technical level that could define the next trend. The big question: will the ceasefire hold, and will oil confirm the market's optimism? With earnings season approaching, potential buybacks ahead, and improving seasonality, the backdrop is turning more constructive—but fragile. If markets maintain support above the 200-DMA, upside participation increases. If not, risk management becomes key. For now, oil remains the signal to watch—and the durability of peace talks may determine everything that follows. Hosted by RIA Senior Financial Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP, and Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/ktGa-pbc3ps?si=RJiIjL8O0lokvLI2 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #Investing #MarketOutlook

Buying your first home, planning a wedding, managing insurance changes, and starting a career—these are the real financial decisions young adults are facing right now. Jon Penn & Danny Ratliff are "Two Dads on Money," walking through a real-life scenario: from choosing to buy instead of rent in a limited market. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:51 - Markets Respond to Iran Ceasefire 8:57 - Money Talks w Kids Young & Older 12:26 - Home Purchase Blues - Rent vs Buy? 17:37 - Mistakes w Houses in the Past 19:49 - Have the Money Conversation w Kids 23:27 - 1st Jobs & Pay Yourself First 26:09 - The Value of Dollars & Time - Save-Share-Spend 28:36 - Device Control & Watching Stocks 30:42 - Setting Spending Thresholds 33:19 - What the Most Successful Families Do - Kids & Cars 37:52 - How You Know When It's Time to Replace a Vehicle 42:34 - How to Stand out - Hand-written Notes 46:28 - Having a Realistic Financial Plan ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Iro2CW91YdM ------- Watch our previous show, "AI Advertising Explained: How Brands Win Inside ChatGPT," https://youtube.com/live/AufKaBCT8uU?feature=share ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "2Ceasefire Rally: Breakout or Trap?" is here: https://youtu.be/HWJR7qbcEP8 ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FirstTimeHomeBuyer #RentVsBuy #PersonalFinance #FinancialPlanning #MoneyInYour20s

Markets are surging on news of a two-week ceasefire in Iran—but is this the start of a sustained rally or just another short-term bounce? With markets previously oversold and put activity at extreme levels, conditions were already in place for a reflexive move higher. Now, the ceasefire may be the catalyst pushing the S&P 500 back above the critical 200-day moving average. But here's the catch: markets don't usually bottom on good news. Hosted by RIA Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/HWJR7qbcEP8 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketRally #Investing #OilPrices

AI is changing how consumers discover businesses, make decisions, and trust information. Lance Roberts visit with Joseph Levi, Co-founder & CEO of Noise Media, about how advertising inside AI platforms like ChatGPT could reshape marketing, SEO, and brand building. Lance and Joseph explore whether businesses can influence AI-generated answers, the difference between the best answer and a paid answer, and why trust and accuracy are becoming the most valuable currencies in the AI era. From niche positioning to content strategy, we explain what actually works and what doesn't when trying to show up in AI-driven results. We also discuss the shift from traditional search engines to AI assistants, how small businesses can adapt, and the biggest marketing mistakes to avoid. Plus, we dive into the rise of AI agents, monetization strategies, and the competitive landscape between leading AI platforms. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:21 - What is Noise Media, GEO (Generative Optimization) 2:28 - Advertising within ChatGPT - Importance of appearing in answers 3:51 - The best answer vs the paid answer 5:53 - Having Faith in the Quality of the Information (You cannot "trick the system;") 6:21 - Two scenarios - specific query, generic query 9:10 - Building a Brand with AI - content is king 10:48 - The Shift in Consumer Discovery 11:27 - The Next Big Player? 13:13 - Where is the starting point? 14:40 - What's the best length of content 16:45 - Will AI Neutralize the challenge of SEO strategies & changing algorithms 19:00 - The Fear of AI Job Replacement 21:10 - Elements of Optimal positioning for new businesses - test and learn 24:05 - Getting ready for business - scaling up 25:14 - Utilization of AI and leverage - having a team of AI agents 27:06 - Marketing Mistakes Small Businesses Make & The Importance of Marketing 32:35 - Seeing Opportunity when New Platforms Emerge 33:49 - Vudo.AI 35:05 - A matter of trust & The Velocity of AI 36:21 - How to Monetize AI 36:51 - Who's the Best AI now - Claude vs ChatGPT Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/AufKaBCT8uU?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "4-6-26 AI: How To Invest in the Next Industrial Revolution - Brian Dunlap Interview" https://youtube.com/live/ckKzFqCAHHs?feature=share ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AIAdvertising #ChatGPTMarketing #FutureOfSearch #DigitalMarketingStrategy #AIForBusiness

AI is not hype — it is the most consequential economic shift since the Industrial Revolution, and it is rewriting the investment playbook. Lance Roberts and special guest, Blackrock's Brian Dunlap, break down the full AI and tech stock story: how we got here, where the money is flowing, and what investors need to know right now. From the infrastructure build-out and enterprise adoption to physical AI, robotics, and autonomous vehicles, we walk through the entire investment cycle — including the IDGT and BAI ETFs, the hyperscalers driving capex, and why data centers are the revenue-generating factories of the AI era. (More information may be seen at iShares.com). We also tackle the hard questions: Is this a boom or a bubble? Are debt concerns valid? What is circular financing, and how does it affect long-term sustainability? And what does the road ahead look like as we approach the critical inflection point from training to inference? If you want the full picture on AI investing — the macro forces, the key players, and a framework for positioning your portfolio — this is the episode. 00:00 INTRO 2:09 - The AI/Tech Stock Story 3:58 - How We Got Here & The Impact of AI 7:42 - AI will become a piece of National Security 9:32 - AI is the next Industrial Revolution 10:47 - A Fundamental Shift in the Employment Landscape 12:11 - The Net Result of AI Expenditures 14:02 - What Does the Future of AI Look Like? 14:44 - The Adoption Cycle 16:14 - We're in the infrastructure Build phase; Enterprise Adoption - tokenization 18:05 - Revenue Opportunities Physical AI - Robots & autonomous vehicles 20:00 - Investing in the Cycles (IDGT etf) (BAI etf) 21:48 - Timing of the Buildouts - what's the useful life? 23:15 - Moving towards an inflection point in AI - building to training/inference Datacenters in space? 26:09 - The AI Investment Thesis - datacenters are factories producing revenue 27:56 - Who are the hyperscalers 29:46 - Are Debt Concerns Valid? 32:09 - Who are funding sources - Boom vs Bubble? 35:07 - Demand for AI has done nothing but accelerate 36:00 - The issue of circular financing... 39:05 - The Trajectory of Revenue Growth in AI 42:33 - How Long Before AI Puts us Out of a Job? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Brian Dunlap, Director, Blackrock Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtube.com/live/ckKzFqCAHHs --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AIStocks #TechInvesting #ArtificialIntelligence #StockMarket #AIInfrastructure #Blackrock #IDGT #BAI #ETF