The Real Investment Show Podcast

It's a mega-earnings report day, and a Fed Meeting day, to boot; the notion among some investors that 20% returns are normal is scary. The Fed is expected to hold steady on interest rates, but there is dissention in the ranks of Fed Governors. Inflation erodes your purchasing power—are you prepared? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down smart strategies to hedge against inflation and protect your wealth. Lance and Danny commiserate on kids home for the Summer and then off to college. You've got to have inflation for economic growth; the best hedge against inflation, historically, is still stocks. The only benchmark for portfolios is the rate of inflation. Investing strategies are only wrong if they don't work. Adjusting retirement for inflation and lifestyle. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: Mega Earnings Reports & Fed Day Preview SEG-2a: Kids Home for Summer & Off to College SEG-2b: Currency Debasement & Inflation SEG-3: Emotional Aspects of Inflation (bias) SEG-4: Adjusting Retirement for Inflation & Lifestyle Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0rXwvTN34YI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Capturing Rotation in Market Correction" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrBF8fbdFEo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1   ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Grit, Grind, & Glam" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnGdW2MyR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRotation #Healthcare #Technology #BasicMaterials #Industrials #Transports #REIT #InvestorExhaustion #InflationHedge #ProtectYourWealth #SmartInvesting #InflationProtection #FinancialPlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Healthcare stocks have been under a lot of pressure of late as markets continue in rotational moves. Healthcare has been basing, going back to April; not going up, not going down, just traveling sideways. Meanwhile, Technology has been doing very, very well...and getting very, very over bought (looks a lot like the S&P 500). If we start to see a correctional move in the S&P, we could see a move to areas in which there is good fundamental value (like Healthcare), and also into areas that have been beaten up: They're not going down anymore, but they haven't been rising, either. These could catch some rotational action. Basic Materials, Industrials, and Transports all have been doing well as a result of the AI-chase and the associated infrastructure build-out. But Utilities, however, have been doing okay as a mixed bag of companies: These may come to be seen as a risk-off defensive play. Similarly, REIT's haven't gone anyway as a function of interest rates. There remains risk of a correction; timing is always the problem. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrBF8fbdFEo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRotation #Healthcare #Technology #BasicMaterials #Industrials #Transports #REIT #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets continue their bullish trend; Infrastructure build-out for AI is beginning to show up in data. Money flows return to US markets. Lance shares the bet he has with his dog; Lance & Jon share their "Two Dads" wisdom for fresh college grads' job searched & career choices, and offer three pillars for success:   ○ Grit: Passion + perseverance.  Stick through setbacks, stay committed, believe effort matters more than innate talent.   ○ Grind: The value of hard work—late nights, travel, dedication. Equally important: know your limits and prioritize recovery to avoid burnout.   ○ Glam: Pursue purpose and passion. Finding meaning in your work keeps the grind worthwhile. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: The Bullish Market Remains Intact SEG-2a: Dog Bets SEG-2b: Three Pillars for Success, Pt.1: Grit SEG-3a: Going Digital SEG-3b: Three Pillars for Success, Pt.2: Grind SEG-4: Three Pillars for Success, Pt.3: Glam   Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,   Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnGdW2MyR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Stocks Appreciate Money Flows" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVphLBnAmaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Big Tech Earnings" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XvF7rNkJdX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=1s  ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MoneyFlow #Gold #EmergingMarkets #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #CareerAdvice #CollegeGrads #StartYourCareer #FinancialPlanning #NewGradTips #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets continue to perform bullishly, stringing together a sixth day of gains on Monday. If Tuesday follows suit, markets will stretch out a line of positive closes stacking up against an inevitable down day, sooner or later. The question is whether markets will cross the 20-DMA: A pullback to 6,260 would not be surprising at all. WHEN that happens, we'll look next to the 50-DMA at around 6,280 and to the 200-DMA below that at 5,870. All that to say, there is some downside risk to the market. Meanwhile, Emerging Markets are improving, but still trading sideways; as money flows head back into the U.S. Emerging Markets and Gold are tending to lag the S&P. Money flows are always looking to where they'll get appreciation. Right now, Stocks are doing that trick very well. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVphLBnAmaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MoneyFlow #Gold #EmergingMarkets #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance reviews the Big News from the weekend, the trade accord between the US and the European Union, and previews the data that will drive markets this week: PCE report and a Fed meeting on tap. What will move markets? Commentary on the non-impact of Tariffs: Markets have already priced-in any change, as markets adapt. What the Fed says about QT/QE will matter. Lance shares another family drama episode, with retail therapy and a "people-cott" on Ulta make up. There is no reason to be overly bearish on markets for now; more people are calling for correction now (which means it will only be delayed further) as markets grind higher. Lance addresses YouTube Chatroom questions on an oversold market, and what to do with excess cash; money doesn't leave the market, it just moves around. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: The Most Important Thing in Earnings Reports12:02 - Tesla Correction & Pre-market commentary SEG-2: The Real Impact of Tariffs & Market Movers  SEG-3a: Roberts Family Drama & The Ulta Guy  SEG-3b: Will Correction Be Delayed by More Expectations? SEG-4: Chat Q & A: Oversold markets & What to do with Cash   Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,   Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XvF7rNkJdX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=1s  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prelude to Pullback" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QhyvfiwBPG8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are You a Meme Stock Mania DORK?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-TT_XaVhgI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=3&t=185s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #BigTechEarnings #TechStocks2025 #EarningsSeason  #StockMarketNews #FAANG #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

We're about to enter the two months of the year when volatility begins to pick up; August and September tend to be weaker months. Markets have had a very long stretch with minimal movement. Two things to note: Markets have been above the 20-DMA for 68-days (one of the longest stretches in history). Money flows are beginning to decline, which is a sign of investor exhaustion. Sentiment and positioning are very bullish, and there has been excess speculation as the market has continued to grind higher. At this point it is reasonable to expect a short-term pullback, or at least a consolidation in the market. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QhyvfiwBPG8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Is your portfolio full of DORKs? Jonathan Penn and Jonathan McCarty unpack the return of meme stock mania and  four speculative favorites: DNUT (Krispy Kreme), OPEN (Opendoor), RKLB (Rocket Lab), and KSS (Kohl's). These retail-loved names are soaring again—but should you follow the hype or stay grounded? We'll discuss why these stocks are rallying, the behavioral finance behind retail speculation, and the portfolio risks in chasing "lottery ticket" trades. Jonathan & Jonathan also memorialize Ozzy Osborne and Hulk Hogan; how college-grads' first jobs' earnings are not as rosy as expected, and the valueof a trade education is looking up; it's time to start thinking about portfolio housekeeping and RMD's as year-end approaches. How to manage inherited IRA's & wealth transfers; beneficiaries & estate planning. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: Investor Appetite for Speculation SEG-2a: RIP, Ozzy & Hulk SEG-2b: Portfolio Returns & Meme Stock to Avoid SEG-2c: First Job Prospects for College Grads SEG-3a: Wrestle Mania Memories SEG-3b: College Education Expense ROI vs Trades & Apprenticeships SEG-4a: Candid Coffee & Web Tease SEG-4b: Portfolio Housekeeping & RMD's   Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors Jonathan Penn, CFP, & Jonathan McCarty, CFA, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-TT_XaVhgI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Will Be the Catalyst for Correction?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-N20Dd9DjU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How AI is Driving the Market" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhqbFkLRaO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=173s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ "AI Is Powering Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-is-powering-markets/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MemeStocks #DORKportfolio #CollegeROI #TradeSchool #Apprenticeship #HulkHogan #WrestleMania #OzzyOsborne #IRA #RothIRA #RMD #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Artificial intelligence is no longer the future—it's the engine behind today's market moves. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how AI and machine learning are reshaping investing strategies, influencing algorithmic trading, and transforming financial analysis. Lance looks at earnings season and Tesla's results; there's nothing wrong with the markets, but all the ingredients are in place for a market reversion; what will be the catalyst? Lance corrects himself on Tesla comments; Lane and Michael hash over the impact of AI on market trading, and the pro's and con's of algorithmic trading; AI can tell you what to buy, but what about when to sell? Jerome Powell is in a pickle with an over-budget Fed Building redux and an unhappy Boss (DJT). What would a Powell removal do for markets? Lance's notes on our switch to pure-digital August 4th; is the government missing an investment opportunity in the AI infrastructure buildout?  * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: Earnings Season Results to Date SEG-2a: Tesla Correction & Pre-market commentary SEG-2b: AI vs Dot-com Revolutions  SEG-3: Fed Froth & Powell Fed Building Bungle SEG-4a: Going Digital SEG-4b: The AI Investment Buildout Opportunity   Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhqbFkLRaO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=173s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Will Be the Catalyst for Correction?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-N20Dd9DjU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Are Stocks Going Up?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H_aRMFHXBbE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2455s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ "AI Is Powering Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-is-powering-markets/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #CreditSwaps #CreditSpreads #AIMarkets #AIInvesting #ArtificialIntelligence #StockMarketTrends #MachineLearningFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Earnings Season continues...everything is fine as reports are coming in better-than-expected for the most part. Markets enjoyed a Wednesday rally with solid buying. But interestingly, volatility collapsed, with hedging concerns "giving up" on concerns over the rise in complacency. This low VIX doesn't necessarily mean anything...along with the Put/Call Ratio and credit default swaps (see today's Daily Market Commentary - link below). Credit Spreads are extremely compressed, too. These are all good and well by themselves. They are just ingredients. But those ingredients need a catalyst, and when that catalyst appears, these ingredients suggest there will next occur a very sharp reversion in the markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-N20Dd9DjU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #CreditSwaps #CreditSpreads #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Stocks are rallying despite weak fundamentals. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the real reasons behind the 2025 market surge. Malcom Jamal-Warner and Ozzy Osborne pass; they always come in three's: Who's next? Trumps tariff deal with Japan moves markets momentarily; Meme stocks are back. Negative divergences while markets on the rise signal more potential for market correction (not crash!) Lance & Danny discuss why stocks are up and where the money is coming from. The Roberts' Family Saga - the tale of the new mattress - continues. Why's the market going up: Markets move on speculative activity & narratives (don't watch the news during the day!) Lance & Danny discuss how the news affects forward earnings (think: Enron), and why we have Sarbanes-Oxley. How we manage our portfolios; the Schiller CAPE-10 explained, and mean reversion cycles.  * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: Jamal-Warner, Ozzy, & Meme Stocks are Back SEG-2: Why Are Stocks Up - Where the money comes from SEG-3a: The Roberts' Mattress Saga  SEG-3b: Why is the Market Rallying? SEG-4: How Does the News Affect Forward Earning   Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H_aRMFHXBbE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2455s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Warning Signs in Negative Divergences," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m9Yu1BZPLw4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Rent or Buy?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t68v7YNraes&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #NegativeDivergence #RelativeStrength #Momentum #WhyAreStocksUp #StockMarketRally #InvestorSentiment #MarketMystery #Stocks2025 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets opened lower on Tuesday, and rallied back in the afternoon; on Monday, markets opened higher, and fell off. Markets just aren't making much headway. Markets are still stringing together the longest run of days above the 20-DMA. This all suggests that we are going to get a correction at some point. Relative strength is in a negative divergence while the market is going up. That's a warning sign, and there's also a negative divergence in momentum as the market is moving higher, at the same time. This DOESN'T mean the market is going to crash, but it DOES bring up the risk of at least a short-term correction.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://youtu.be/TYCtn9zlFKU ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #NegativeDivergence #RelativeStrength #Momentum #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Renting vs Buying a Home – Which Makes More Sense in 2025? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn, Two Dads on Money, ponder whether, with rising mortgage rates and stubbornly high rents, is it better to rent or buy right now?  * What are the true costs of homeownership vs renting? * What are the hidden fees most people overlook? * What are the financial pros and cons of both options? Home ownership is often styled as the "American Dream," thanks to marketing by the National Association of Realtors (what's their vested interest??) For the unprepared, home ownership can become a nightmare. Avoid the anchoring effect in determining whether your house purchase was a gain or a loss (expenses of ownership). Housing is not unaffordable; your expectations may be, however. Before you sign that lease or lock in a mortgage, listen in!

Bonds have been trapped in a trading range for some time, with Yields stuck at around 4.3-4.4%. This is a function of economic growth and inflation. If you want to know where interest rates should trade (in terms of the Ten-year Treasury), it's GDP + Inflation: There is about an 84% correlation going all the way back to 1970. Technically speaking, there's a giant wedge being built into Yields, and they're going to break out to one side or the other. If to the upside, rates will move up to about 4.8%, maybe 4.9%; some kind of inflationary pressure is going to be needed to raise that rate above GDP to add to that total return. However, if the economy slows, we could see Yields break down below the wedge, putting rates closer to 4%, maybe 3.5%. The rest of the markets are doing fine for now. Another wedge pattern is also developing, and a break out to the downside is going to lead to that correction we've been expecting. Interestingly, the NASDAQ has traded above its 20-DMA for over 60-days, the longest such stretch since 1999. Money flows are extended; that typically marks market peaks. Retail trading flows appear to be reaching a level of exhaustion.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://youtu.be/TYCtn9zlFKU ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #GDP #Inflation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Can the AI boom sustain current valuations, or is a reckoning coming? Lance Roberts examines how AI and Big Tech investing trends are shaping portfolios, whether rising interest rates will derail Tech stock market outlook, and the growing risks of regulation impact on Big Tech from Washington to Brussels. Markets are still flirting with all-time highs. Lance shares the latest Roberts Family Saga, and his Coldplay strategy. Is investor exuberance getting out of hand? Options expiring within 24-hours are at an all-time high: This is not hedging, this is pure betting. Lance discusses anticipated spending for AI, and identifies associated debt as productive (think, Hoover Dam) vs non-productive (entitlements), which is dis-inflationary. Buuy backs are a poor (non-productive) use of capital. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: Mega-cap Earnings Preview SEG-2a: Another Roberts Family Saga & Coldplay SEG-2b: Market Exuberance is Getting Out of Hand SEG-3a: Paramount & Colbert Kill The Late Show SEG-3b: No Concerns for Market Correction...yet SEG-4: Productive Debt vs Stock Buy Backs   Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dnE_SxbFc0c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here:  https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "Money Scripts & Credit Scores," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaEHi-fSbuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #GravitationalPull #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #BigTech #TechStocks #ArtificialIntelligence #FAANG #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets are overbought and very extended above moving averages. This is neither out of the ordinary or a crisis situation. Markets are still flirting with all-time highs, but the deviations are important to pay attention to: Moving averages are like gravity, pulling indexes back towards the center. There is still support for stocks, thanks to earnings activity, but once the reporting is done, the focus will return to economic data, and that's when stock will be most susceptible to the gravitational pull. Economic data is okay, but not great, and a pullback to the 200-DMA (worth about 6%) would be no surprise. Investors should expect a 3-5% correction around August or September.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GmJdcv12lGA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #GravitationalPull  #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle host Rich's last live Radio-episode* and reveal the reason for Matt's recent absence from the show. Airport Security parameters; strong start to Earnings Season; references to '80's TV sit-coms; market futures, Lance's charts, the ultimate Death Cross; Richard previews Saturday's (7/19) Candid Coffee, and the genesis of the partnership with Lance Roberts; understanding Money Scripts; Netflix & streaming services; Gen-Z and Social Media. Rich and Matt discuss the possibilities of Mrs. Roberts' bakery/coffee shop; Retail Sales report analysis: People are still spending. The Paradox of Thrift, Fed meetings and a brief history of the Federal Reserve Banking System. Rich reviews American Express' report, debt to income ratios and Money Scripts (Brad Klontz); how childhood location bears on credit scores in later life.   * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: Matt's Back (and leg) & some market commentary SEG-2a: Candid Coffee Preview SEG-2b: Money Scripts & Financial Success SEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Coffee Shop & Retail Spending SEG-3b: Retail Sales Summary SEG-4: AmEx reports, Money Scripts, & Managing Money   Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaEHi-fSbuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here:  https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "The Magnificent 7 Are Mediocre," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFXBBqri1lo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyScripts #CreditScoreTips #FinancialMindset #CreditHealth #MoneyBehavior #EarningsSeason #RetailSales #Inflation #ParadoxOfThrift  #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Are the Magnificent Seven losing their magic?  Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz get the real story behind Magnificent Seven stocks performance and what it means for your investment strategy. Lance reviews this week's PPI report (flat) showing little to no effects from tariffs. Yet. The make up of the US economy (80% services) is such that corporations will primarily pay tariffs, and likely not pass along much of the additional cost. Earnings Season continues to roll along as markets enter the seasonally-weaker period of the year. Lance and Michael discuss PPI and what the Fed might be thinking next. The Question de Jour is what is happening with bonds. NOTE: Lance reveals more details about our upcoming programming changes; pay attention! Lance & Michael discuss how we manage Bonds; the surge in retail speculation and the performance (?) of Mag-7 stocks (meh). Michael discusses the two forms of Volatility, and Lance preaches to the YouTube Chat choir. SEG-1: PPI Comes in Flat - Markets Prepare for Correction SEG-2: What is the FEd Thinking Now? SEG-3a: Show Changes Coming SEG-3b: How We Manage Bond Portfolios SEG-3c: Has the Mag-7 Lost its Magic? SEG-4a: YouTube Chat SEG-4b: S&P 500 Realized vs Implied Volatility   Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFXBBqri1lo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here:  https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "SPAC's are Back!," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MaCxUW2BClU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #ContrarianIndicator #Technology #LiberationDay #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #BondPortfolio #MagnificentSeven #StockMarketUpdate #TechStocks #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Earnings Season continues to roll, and the window for the buy back window won't be open until the end of the month. Starting today, markets tend to enter a seasonally-weaker period of the year as investors process earnings and volatility begins to tick higher. Market action has already been slack over the past couple of weeks, and it's highly deviated from moving averages. A reversal back to the 200-DMA is worth a 6% decline, a move that would be well-within historical norms. Of concern now is the high levels of retail investor speculation, making up about 14% of trading volume. That's more than was seen during the "meme mania" of 2021 (12%). Such spikes in speculation typically occurs at a market peak, and is a set up for market correction. We cannot stress enough the importance of taking opportunity to rebalance risk and take profits now. A 6% correction ain't nothin'.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #ContrarianIndicator #Technology #LiberationDay #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

SPAC's (Special Purpose Acquisition Companies) are making headlines again. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down why SPAC investing is back in 2025, what's driving the latest SPAC market trends, and what investors need to know before jumping in. Are these deals a golden opportunity or another speculative bubble?  Earnings Season continues with Banks' reports and the effects of stock buy backs beginning to wane. Tuesday's CPI print had something for everyone; will PPI finally show effects of tariffs? We're preparing for 3-5% correction by mid-August or September. Will President Trump replace Jerome Powell at the Fed? What really matters is what markets wants: An independent Fed. Should the Fed be cutting rates now? (The Fed is always late.) Lance & Danny discuss who really pays tariff fees (producers); eating out and budget leakage. Wall Street will sellyou anything you want, even when you don't know what it is yet: SPAC's are back, along with a voracious appetite for risk. When investors are all-in, that sets up for correction. Danny describes new challenges to Roth Conversions under the Big Beautiful Bill...and impromptu revelation of grade school antics and interpersonal relationships...and commentary on speculative risk returning to the market. SEG-1: Bank Earnings Review, PPI Preview, and Contrarian Indicators SEG-2: Will Trump Replace Powell? SEG-3: SPAC's are Bank - Will St. Will Sell You What You Want SEG-4a: Roth Conversations Under the Big Beautiful Bill SEG-4b: If Lance Was a Bully SEG-4c: Speculative Risk Returns to the Market   Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MaCxUW2BClU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Turtle Trading" "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bullish Sentiment is a Contrarian Indicator," is here:  https://youtu.be/4k2AfV8moZ8 ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dad's on Money," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rm-FNuRdgB0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #BullishSentiment #ContrarianIndicator #Technology #LiberationDay #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #SPACs #SPACInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestingNews #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets are doing what the markets do best: Consolidating following a rally. Elevated momentum signals are flipping back and forth (not uncommon), and relative strength is coming down from over-bought levels. This is keeping markets from making much of an advance. The back-and-forth debate over Fed rate cuts is also making things uncertain: The markets want a rate cut, but if inflation shows up in the form of tariff impacts on PPI numbers, that news will weigh on markets today (the report to be published after this post). None of this mitigates the risk of a 3-5% correction as early as mid-August. One of the recent "propellants" for the markets from recent lows was the under-weighting by asset managers in Tech prior to Liberation Day. Now playing catch up, they're buying up those shares to rebalance portfolios, and that's resulted in a huge surge in positioning and sentiment. (Remember, sentiment is a contrarian indicator: When everyone is bullish, and everyone has bought, that leaves a vaccuum beneath stocks, where the next buyers will be in a correction). We think we'll see that happen sometime in August or September.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://youtu.be/4k2AfV8moZ8 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #BullishSentiment #ContrarianIndicator #Technology #LiberationDay #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

What kinds of traps and pitfalls could younger investors be falling into? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn provide advice from Two Dad's on Money in today's episode: Nvidia is shipping its H-20 chips to China; Lance previews this week's CPI and PPI reports; earnings season is underway, stock buy backs have dominated, surging higher than ever, but will taper; Markets prepare for sector rotations. Lance & Jonathan discuss the differences betweem trading and speculating, the Math of Loss, and the cost of starting over. How to successfully speculate with little money (there are some caveats!) High risk vs low risk; The one thing you cannot squander: Time. The power of saving. SEG-1: Nvidia Ships Chips; CPI, PPI Previews SEG-2: The Difference Between Investing & Speculating SEG-3: How to Successfully Speculate SEG-4: The One Thing You Must Not Squander   Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rm-FNuRdgB0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Turtle Trading" "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set for Rotation," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=diYGZ_-lLMI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Relative Returns Or Absolute: What's More Important?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EbuyQ4mMSas&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketRotation #Transportation #Technology #Industrials #AI #AIbuildOut #ArtificialIntelligence #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #FinancialAdviceForKids #MoneyLessonsFromDad #TeachingKidsMoney #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Another market rally Monday, flirting again with all-time highs. While there is nothing overall concerning about the markets, they're always setting up for some kind of rotation. There are a few things to pay attention to now. The market is being primarily driven  by three sectors: Industrials, Transportation, and Technology. Those secotrs have been outperforming relative to the S&P. Technology has been leading the charge, of late; Industrials have also been posting well. Both are tied to the AI buildout. What will happen next, as these sectors become over bought, is money moving to risk-off areas, like Staples, which have been under-performing lately. Money doesn't leave the market, it just changes where it goes. There is a pretty big deviation between the risk-on and risk-off trades.    Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=diYGZ_-lLMI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketRotation #Transportation #Technology #Industrials #AI #AIbuildOut #ArtificialIntelligence #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Earnings Season has commenced with lowered expectations, meaning higher "beat" rates for companies, thanks to the lowered bar. Market react mildly to Mexican & Canadian 30% Tariffs; a warning for this week's CPI Report: The past four reports have been lower than expected, so a much higher number may be printed this time around. A three-month preview of market probabilities shows 50-50 chance of continued bullish activity; BUT, markets are over bought, and the odds are even for a correction of as much as 5% back to the 6,000 level. Lance shares his family's weekend exploits with Tex Mex food and Mrs. Roberts' new penchant for sourdough bread making. Lance reviews his weekend piece on Absolute vs Relative Returns, the consequences of both, and three things required for market predictions. We are naturally negatively biased; why market compounding is a myth; average vs compound returns are very different; what really caused the Dot-com Crash. NOTE: There are BIG changes coming to The Real Investment Show; if you're not subscribed here, you could miss out. Comparing Trade War outcomes: 2017 vs 2025. The risk to markets now: Trump vs Powell tiffs; the markets want an independent Fed; the risk to be aware of. "Con" is short for "Confidence Game.: SEG-1: Earnings Season Begins SEG-2a: Tex-Mex & Sourdough SEG-2b: Absolute vs Relative Returns SEG-3: Dealing with Our Naturally Negative Bias SEG-4a: Big Changes Coming SEG-4b: Maybe this Trade War Really Isn't that Different   Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EbuyQ4mMSas&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Risks Ahead of Earnings Season," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUggnhse9kk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What the Big Beautiful Bill Means for Your Money & Retirement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=juL4OhaFgbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=114s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #RelativeReturns #AbsoluteReturns #InvestmentStrategy #PortfolioPerformance #InvestorEducation #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Earnings Season begins this week; technically, markets are doing okay. This weekend's Bull Bear Report lays out a three month preview of what markets are likely to do on a probability basis. There is a 50-50 chance the current bull market trend will contimnue, because there's not a lot to bring this market down. BUT...the other side of that argument includes a choppy market thru the end of the year, and/or we get a correction at some point. Looking at markets from back in May, things were very over bought, leading to a correction back to the 200-DMA, which was a very good set up for adding money to portfolios. The same type of topping pattern in relative strength is emerging, and we're expecting some kind of medium-term correction at some point. A 5% correction back to the 6,000 level is a distinct possibility.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUggnhse9kk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #EarningsSeason #Nvidia #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

What is the impact of the recently-passed Big Beautiful Bill on your money and retirement plans? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty plumb the depths of the legislation to find the good--and the bad--effects it will have. Richard review the latest round of tariffs on Canada (markets don't care), and AI is promising to be a game changer in the middle management job market. The Big Beautiful Bill has benefits and drawbacks: there are caps and limitations, as well as enhancements for charitable giving; there is no "no taxes" on Social Security; changes in SS for future generations will likely be phased-in; remembering Gilligan's Island and coconut adaptations; the reality of "no tax on tips;" accelerated depreciation for business and higher SALT deductions; the Trump Savings Account for kids; a preview of our January 2026 Economic Summit. SEG-1: Canadian Tariffs' Market Impact - meh SEG-2: The Big Beautiful Bill's Caps & Limitations SEG-3a: Candid Coffee Teaser SEG-3b: The Big Beautiful Bill - Tax Brackets & Social Security SEG-4a: Gilligan's Island, & Policy Polarization SEG-4b: SALT Deduction & Trump Savings Accounts   Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=juL4OhaFgbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=114s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Might Lower Rates Be The Cure For Higher Prices?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/might-lower-rates-be-the-cure-for-higher-prices/ "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "7-10-25 Nvidia is not Dead," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueeSGu1M0dg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Lower Rates Cure Higher Prices?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDzRO8ePU-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BigBeautifulBill #FederalBill2025 #MoneyAndPolicy #LegislationImpact #FinancialPlanning #SocialSecurity #TrumpSavingsAccount #SALTdeduction #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

As inflation remains elevated and the Federal Reserve begins to shift its tone, markets are asking: Will lower interest rates actually bring prices down — or make them worse? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz unpack the delicate balance between monetary policy, consumer behavior, and price pressures: * The historical relationship between rate cuts and inflation * Why inflation may be more “sticky” than expected * How consumer demand and debt loads are reshaped by lower rates * The unintended consequences of looser policy on asset prices * What this means for investors and retirees going forward SEG-1: Why Economists Expect Higher Growth by 2026 SEG-2: Growth is Back in Vogue SEG-3a: Like & Subscribe tease - changes coming SEG-3b: Can Lower Rates Cure Higher Prices? SEG-4a: Coffee Cafe, ChatGPT, & Economic Haiku SEG-4b: Earnings Season Preview: Tariff Effects?   RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDzRO8ePU-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Might Lower Rates Be The Cure For Higher Prices?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/might-lower-rates-be-the-cure-for-higher-prices/ "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "7-10-25 Nvidia is not Dead," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueeSGu1M0dg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Protect Your Multi-decade Retirement From Inflation," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4MmYoAZvc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #EarningsSeason #Nvidia #InterestRates #InflationControl #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #PriceStability#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Economists are expecting a sharp pick up in economic growth before the end of the year, despite earlier, pre-tariff weaknesses. News about more threatened tariffs notwithstanding, economists are looking past all that. Interestingly, that's the needed premise to support expectations for much stronger earnings growth from analysts into the end of the year. So future expectations are seeming to support where valuations are trading. 6,900 is now a realistic target by the end of the year for analysts. This elevated sentiment and sheer exuberance should be taken as a caution sign because markets are very, very over bought. Also on Wednesday, Nvidia became the first $4-Trillion company. Ever. Clearly, Nvidia is NOT dead.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueeSGu1M0dg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #EarningsSeason #Nvidia #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

More Tariff trouble on the horizon, but markets have seen this movie before (The Stick & Carrot Show). Market risk remains, as markets are highly deviated. Sentiment remains positive; there's a large gap between market performance and economic  data, however. Deviations tend to resolve themselves to the downside. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff reveal how to shield your retirement savings from decades of inflation: The necessity of Inflation and how to deal with it (inflation is a function of economic growth); the mistake of being too conservative, fear of The Black Swan that never appears. Lance reveals his memory challenges; living thru market downturns, and lessons learned. Market downturns don't happen over night. Treasuries vs Equities: What's the proper blend? Passive Investing is an oxymoron. Risk management is essential for fighting inflation. SEG-1: Tariff Threats Return, Market Risk Rises SEG-2: The Necessity of Inflation and How to Deal With It SEG-3a: Lance's Dementia Test SEG-3b: Living thru Market Downturns SEG-4: Inflation-proofing Retirement - Treasuries vs Equities   RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4MmYoAZvc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Risk is Rising," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NdRpxHuJF4s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "ETF's Are Eating the World," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18uxAOHUAE0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #RetirementPlanning #InflationProtection #RetirementSavings #FinancialFreedom #SmartInvesting #InvestingStrategies  #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The big divergences between markets and their moving averages typically resolve themselves to the downside. There is now risk down to about 6,000 on the S&P, which would bring us back to the breakout prior to the all-time high. A correction would help reset the market's over bought condition. Volatility is down; that's a function of options trading, and no one seems to want to hedge portfolios against a downsized market. There is no risk control in portfolios presently because investors would rather chase the upside in markets. That's always a danger. A correction could come at any time. All the ingredients are in place, just waiting for a catalyst to get buyers out of the market and bring sellers back in.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NdRpxHuJF4s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Earnings season is upon us; will volatility pick up? A bigger question will be how tariffs may affect corporate earnings. Employment numbers are dipping into contraction zone as the economy slows. Markets sell off on renewed tariff news. Crude oil prices are creeping back up. No one is expecting correction...which is when they usually appear. Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have exploded in popularity—driving a massive shift from active to passive investing. But is this trend distorting markets and concentrating risk? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn explore how ETF growth may be reshaping price discovery, liquidity, and investor behavior: Why do investors choose single-stock ETF's? Leverage. But that cuts both ways, when stocks are going up as well as going down. Lance and Jonathan examine FUnd performance vs Indexes over time. The irony of ETF's: They're passive, but being traded like stocks because of a "get-rich-quick" mentality. Speculation leads to broken markets. Lance and Jonathan discuss the US Dollar and why it remains the default reserve currency of the world, even as the mix of currencies evolves. Lance advises when it's time to be bearish. SEG-1: Earnings Season Prelude - No Fear of Correction SEG-2: Astro's & ETF's - It's All About Leverage SEG-3: The Irony of ETF's SEG-4: Dealing with the Dollar   RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18uxAOHUAE0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Fear of Correction," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EtaKUHTNq-Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Bull Market is Alive and Well" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DtaiG62GGL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=141s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #InvestorGreed #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #OilPrices #Tariffs #ETFs #PassiveInvesting #MarketTrends #InvestingStrategies  #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets sold off on the announcement of new tariffs to be imposed in August, not surprisingly, in a start to working off markets' over sold condition. We're expecting more sloppiness for the next week or so. Markets are pretty deviated from the 20-, 50-, and 200-DMA's, and the "gravitational pull" of averages is likely to draw down stock prices at some point. 10-year Treasury yields have been on the rise the last few days. Why? Treasury Auctions are this week, and traders want to short the market to drive up yields, drive prices down ahead of that action. Crude oil has also been one of The Big Stories as of late, and prices are beginning to creep back up around $67-68/bbl. If oil can break above the 200-DMA, expect higher prices; we are also in hurricane season, and any closure of oil rigs in the Gulf will also goose prices higher. The Skew Index is reflecting a lot of volatility evaporating out of the markets as speculation returns. There is no fear of a correction now...which is generally a good time to hedge against one. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EtaKUHTNq-Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #InvestorGreed #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #OilPrices #Tariffs #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance is back from vacation, and the markets did not crash in his absence! On the contrary, they're doing very well. President Donald Trump's Big Beautiful Bill has been signed into law; still to be seen: its impact on earnings. We express our sentiments for the families and friends of loved ones lost in the Central Texas Flash Floods over the July 4th Weekend. Investor greed is a record levels, along with technical indicators, meaning markets are primed for a correction or consolidation; all that's needed is a catalyst. There's nothing wrong with the markets; how to properly prognosticate: Correction is coming. Lance and Brent commiserate on Monday's studio technical challenges. Looking for a better risk-reward proposition in markets; understanding retail investor enthusiasm: Where is the money coming from? A comparison, 2020 vs 2025. Lance reviews his UK trip to visit his son: Is America Unfair? Lance visits a Bath liquor store; eating the tariffs in order to compete. The Penny Stock fraud. SEG-1: BBB Passes - What's the Impact on Earnings? SEG-2: There's Nothing Wrong w the market SEG-3: Looking For a Better Risk-Reward Ratio SEG-4a: Is America Unfair? SEG-4b: Penny Stock Fraud   Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DtaiG62GGL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=141s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Greed Is At Extreme Levels," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lneFe1hqJc4 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Bulls Are Back in Town" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #InvestorGreed #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets did NOT crash while we were on vacation! Investor greed, however, is at extreme levels, along with over bought levels in the market, and the 13 composite technical indicators we track. There is lots of retail speculation afoot, and whenever you see things at this high level, this is where you're set up for some type of event to cause a short term correction or consolidation. What that event might be, nobody knows. Tariffs could play a role here. This is not a great place to chase markets; instead, this could be an opportunity to re-balance risk in portfolios and take some profits if you've had big gains in the recent rally.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lneFe1hqJc4 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #InvestorGreed #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Are annuities always a bad deal? Not so fast. In today's episode, Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty tackle the myths and misconceptions around annuities. From income guarantees to tax-deferred growth, find out how annuities can actually support your retirement strategy—if used the right way.  Jonathan shares his changed life as a new father,  and a discussion of investor confirmation bias, who's likely to be the replacement for Jerome Powell, and the Shado Fed, tariffs, inflation, and political bias in investing. Rich and Jonathan address the growing impact of AI on the labor market and the velocity of AI. The concept of annuities and life expectancy: How AI can extend your life.  Rich's insight to the Texas State Fair and an intriguing  business opportunity;  Texas History and good music; spending in retirement with stable-income vs variable-income sources. Why most annuities are sold and not planned for. The job of a financial advisor is to be unbiased; origins of the retirement crisis without pensions. SEG-1: Choosing the Best College for Best ROI SEG-2: The Velocity of AI in Financial Planning SEG-3: Retirement Spending w Stable vs Variable Income SEG-4: Why Annuities Get a Bad Rap Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP, plus Senior Financial Planner, Sarah Buenger, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QvoAQJShFsU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Oil Prices Are Saying About the Economy," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiMvWO2ZDX8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed's Next Mistake," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Retirement Blueprint Candid Coffee," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AnnuitiesExplained #RetirementPlanning #InvestSmart  #AnnuityEducation #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

What's to be The Next Big Thing to generate a narrative this Summer? Apple's recent report wasn't stellar, and absent any astonishing, new developments, the company's growth appears to be stagnant; yet, Apple is not dead. Lance and Danny address the new push to make private equity investing available for "the little guy," and the illusion of limited volatility. Beware the "good deals;" Wall Street will always find something to sell you if you want to buy it. The fallacy of "above average" gains in private equity; you never hear about the deals that go sour. A political sidetrack into the supposed fate of the Big Beautiful Bill and Term Limits. Danny and Lance review a Vanguard report on the average balances of 401k's (beware "average" comparisons!). SEG-1: What Will Be the Next Narrative of the Summer?  SEG-2: The Private Equity Push SEG-3: The Fallacy in "Above Average" Gains SEG-4: How Does Your 401k Compare to National Averages? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Trajectory Remains Bullish," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DRzdiS6C1vc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1   ------- Our previous show is here: "Is WW III Off the Table?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTZR3PEvaxc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Retirement Blueprint Candid Coffee," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #BuyTheDip #IranIsraelConflict #WorldWar3 #GeopoliticsAndMarkets #WarImpactOnStocks #GlobalConflict #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #401k #PrivateEquity #PrivateEquityETF #SpaceX #SuperSavers #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Danny & Lance begin the show with good intentions and good taste with a follow up to Beyond Meat and Flexitarianism, then discuss the sticky wicket of stock and land inheritances, and whether or not you should disclaim a hefty inheritance. Today's show also features several bonus elements, including a recap of Mrs. Robert's trip to the Vegas Bitcoin Expo and convention robots; an exposition on the alleged death of American Exceptionalism, and a follow-up to the story of Mrs. Roberts' instant pickle recipe. Lance & Jonathan opine with chatroom participants about their first PC's, and Jonathan critiques a ChatGPT-created SWAN Portfolio. Lance and Jonathan Penn conduct a deep dive into why Wall Street is coming after your retirement savings—and what you can do about it. SEG-1: Land Inheritances & Liquidity Issues SEG-2: Mrs. Roberts' Pickles, 1st PC's, & The Swan Portfolio SEG-3: The Death of American Exceptionalism SEG-4: How Wall Street is Coming for Your Retirement Savings RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Trajectory Remains Bullish," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DRzdiS6C1vc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1   ------- Our previous show is here: "Is WW III Off the Table?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTZR3PEvaxc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Retirement Blueprint Candid Coffee," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SlowingEconomy #ImpossibleMeat #Flexitarian #StockInheritance #EstatePlanning #PrivateEquity #AlternativeInvestments #RetailInvestors #WallStreetWatch #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

This Month's Middle East turmoil calls to rememberance the Japanese Carry Trade blow up vs Iran Bombings: There is not the same sense of urgency this time; markets have already moved-on. Is Apple dead? Lance and Jonathan addresses a YouTube Chatroom query with analysis of how Apple continues to do well, despite a paucity of innovation; why 420 ETF's all own Apple; the evolution of the smartphone. Why you need Apple in your portfolio. Lance and Jonathan also address whether your college grad kid should move back in with Mom & Dad. SEG-1: Where's he Sense of Urgency? SEG-2: Is Apple Dead? SEG-3: Why You Need Apple in Your Portfolio SEG-4: Two Dad's on Money: Should Your College Grad Move Back Home? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Trajectory Remains Bullish," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DRzdiS6C1vc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1   ------- Our previous show is here: "Is WW III Off the Table?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTZR3PEvaxc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Retirement Blueprint Candid Coffee," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #SmartInvesting #Apple #PortfolioManagement #MarketVolatility #CollegeGrads #TwoDadsOnMoney #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Are annuities always a bad deal? Not so fast. In today's episode, Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty tackle the myths and misconceptions around annuities. From income guarantees to tax-deferred growth, find out how annuities can actually support your retirement strategy—if used the right way.  Jonathan shares his changed life as a new father,  and a discussion of investor confirmation bias, who's likely to be the replacement for Jerome Powell, and the Shado Fed, tariffs, inflation, and political bias in investing. Rich and Jonathan address the growing impact of AI on the labor market and the velocity of AI. The concept of annuities and life expectancy: How AI can extend your life.  Rich's insight to the Texas State Fair and an intriguing  business opportunity;  Texas History and good music; spending in retirement with stable-income vs variable-income sources. Why most annuities are sold and not planned for. The job of a financial advisor is to be unbiased; origins of the retirement crisis without pensions. SEG-1: Daddy Duty & Investor Confirmation Bias SEG-2: The Velocity of AI in Financial Planning SEG-3: Retirement Spending w Stable vs Variable Income SEG-4: Why Annuities Get a Bad Rap Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QvoAQJShFsU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Oil Prices Are Saying About the Economy," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiMvWO2ZDX8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed's Next Mistake," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AnnuitiesExplained #RetirementPlanning #InvestSmart  #AnnuityEducation #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Is the Fed setting the stage for another policy blunder?  As inflation pressures linger and economic growth slows, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the risks of the central bank's next move—and what it could mean for your money on this morning's episode of #TheRealInvestmentShow. The Market Rally is ON, yet oil prices are telling a different story about the economy. President Trump could be picking a successor to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell sooner than later. Lance and Michael expose the Fed's political "independance," and it's proclivity for financial socialism. The Fed is always late...and always wrong. The true role of the Fed is to protect its member banks. Jerome Powell doesn't mind being late. The ill-fated push to lower bank's minimum reserve requirements. Again. (Did we not learn from the past?) SEG-1: Vacation Prelude - The Rally is On SEG-2: The Folly of the Fed & Financial Socialism SEG-3: Economic Data Shows Weaking - Will the Fed be too late? SEG-4: The Fed is Always Wrong RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8wHxhOOWMQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Oil Prices Are Saying About the Economy," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiMvWO2ZDX8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Bulls Are Back in Town," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #OilPrices #Tariffs #FederalReserve #InterestRates #InflationOutlook #RecessionRisk #FedMistake #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #MarketRally #BullishMarket #OilPrices #Tariffs #IranIsraelConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

In case you haven't noticed, the market's been in a rally ever since the April lows. Investor sentiment is finally turning more extreme-bullish. The whole Tariff thing is not A Thing; the Debt Crisis is not A Thing; World War 3 is not A Thing. Investors are starting to look past all this, and sentiment is on the rise. Markets on Wednesday knocked on the door of another all-time high; the NASDAQ achieved that milestone. Again. And it is possible the S&P will set a new, all-time high this week. Under the surface, things are over bought but not extremely stretched. July tends to be an event stronger month; August/September tend to be a lot weaker. If there is a risk of another correction, it will probably happen in August or September; not likely in July. Of note have been oil prices, seeing a sharp spike after the Israel/Iran conflict and the Iran bombings, but then falling equally as quickly. Oil prices have collapsed, sitting on support at the 50-DMA, and still on a sell signal. It would be no surprise to see oil bounce a bit from this level, but prices are going to remain stuck in the $60/bbl range for a while. Oil prices are being more reflective of economic data, which is showing sluggishness in the economy: Reduced economic demand = reduced demand for oil. Oil pries are actually telling us a lot about the economy, heading into the Summer. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiMvWO2ZDX8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #OilPrices #Tariffs #IranIsraelConflict #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Market speculation is at an all time high, yet there are economic surprises in store that could shake things up. There is now an illusion of economic strength. Lance discusses the recent reversal of the Death Cross in the S&P and NASDAQ; the Gold Cross is at an all time high. Lance and Danny address the new push to make private equity investing available for "the little guy," and the illusion of limited volatility. Beware the "good deals;" Wall Street will always find something to sell you if you want to buy it. The fallacy of "above average" gains in private equity; you never hear about the deals that go sour. A political sidetrack into the supposed fate of the Big Beautiful Bill and Term Limits. Danny and Lance review a Vanguard report on the average balances of 401k's (beware "average" comparisons!). SEG-1: Market Speculation Has Gone Bonkers SEG-2: The Private Equity Push SEG-3: The Fallacy in "Above Average" Gains SEG-4: How Does Your 401k Compare to National Averages? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Trajectory Remains Bullish," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DRzdiS6C1vc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1   ------- Our previous show is here: "Is WW III Off the Table?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTZR3PEvaxc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #BuyTheDip #IranIsraelConflict #WorldWar3 #GeopoliticsAndMarkets #WarImpactOnStocks #GlobalConflict #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #401k #PrivateEquity #PrivateEquityETF #SpaceX #SuperSavers #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets enjoyed a very nice rally on Tuesday, up by about 1% by the end of the day. A little bit of a sell-off right before the end of the session restrained markets from achieving another all-time high. The trajectory of the market remains bullish. Lance discusses progress since the Death Cross in the Spring; the difference between when a Death Cross matters or not is whether a Recession occurs afterwards. The NASDAQ is actually at all-time highs, triggering a "Golden Cross." If the NASDAQ continues to set new, all-time highs, it will drag the S&P with it. Despite these achievements, we're still expecting some sloppiness in the markets; use any dips as an opportunity to buy at lower prices. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DRzdiS6C1vc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1   ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #BuyTheDip #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Is the threat of World War III finally off the table?  Lance Roberts breaks down the latest developments in global conflict and what they mean for financial markets. From oil prices and defense stocks to safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries, we'll unpack how investors should think about geopolitical risk now. Are markets too complacent—or is the worst truly behind us? Is Apple dead? Lance addresses a YouTube Chatroom query with analysis of how Apple continues to do well, despite a paucity of innovation; why 420 ETF's all own Apple; the evolution of the smartphone. Why you need Apple in your portfolio. What is the next narrative of the Summer? Is the Fed trapped (again)? SEG-1: Markets & The End of WW3 SEG-2 Is Apple Dead (It's not growing...) SEG-3: Why You Need Apple in Your Portfolio SEG-4: Cease Fire Violations & Summer's Next Narrative RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,   Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTZR3PEvaxc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Bullish Prelude to July," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DiUwcZ7ujqU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "U.S. Strikes Iran: How to Invest When Geopolitics Explode" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5GDPILjaAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #BullishMarket #IranIsraelConflict #WorldWar3 #GeopoliticsAndMarkets #WarImpactOnStocks #GlobalConflict #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets on Monday were under a bit of pressure because of the weekend bombings in Iran and their nothing-burger response. Markets broke out of their consolidation and ended the day in the green, retaining a bullish stance. Markets held support at a previous top, and proved multiple levels on which there is solid footing. Unfortunately, there's not a tremendous amount of upside from where we are now, but technicals are improving. The downside risk is down to 2,800, and there is about 100-points of upside, so the risk/reward is not great enough to be super-aggressive. Pay attention to slowing economic growth, and the a Federal Reserve that is content to hold pat on interest rates for now.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DiUwcZ7ujqU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #BullishMarket #IranIsraelConflict #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Over the weekend, the U.S. launched strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities. Of course, for Americans and the financial markets, the response from not only Iran but also Iran's allies will be critical. Lance Roberts describes a process of logical evaluation and portfolio risk management when markets experience turmoil: What matters most to investors? What do these attacks mean for earnings? How might geopolitics affect EOQ activity? [NOTE: Lance is on vacation next week, 6/30-7/4] Remembering the Japanese Carry Trade blow up vs Iran Bombings: There is not the same sense of urgency this time; markets have already moved-on. How will the Israel-Iran conflict play out? Watch "Top Gun." Likely outcomes will be higher oil prices, a stronger dollar, and weaker equities.  SEG-1: Bombings in Iran: What Matters Most? SEG-2a: Lance's Summer Vacation Preview SEG-2b: Where's the Sense of Urgency? SEG-3: How the Iran-Israel Conflict Will Play Out SEG-4: Watching for Pickup in Volatility RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,   Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5GDPILjaAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Respond to Iran Bombings," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yWM3nfbeF2I ------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Day Preview: Will They or Won't They?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEf6M7XXCqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #Gold #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

How are markets reacting to the weekend bombings in Iran?  Futures are slightly positive. On Friday markets sold off, landing right on top of the 20-DMA; the market continues to work along this support line after working off about half of the over bought condition. Looking ahead to next month, July tends to be a stronger period, going into the third quarter, and buy back windows reopen. There may be a decent entry point by the end of this week. The Dollar was already beginning to rally prior to the weekend's geopolitical news, and there is a huge short position on the Dollar. If the US Dollar Index gets to 99- or 100, look for a pretty sharp rally in the Dollar as those shorts are forced to cover. And any rise in the Dollar is going to weigh on assets that are traded in dollars. For Oil Prices, the big concern is what's happening in and around the Strait of Hormuz, a backbone of oil prices; oil prices had spiked following the weekend's attacks, but have been cooling over the past few hours. Gold prices similarly had a lot of early gains on Sunday, but are starting to give up a large portion of those gains this morning. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yWM3nfbeF2I ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #Gold #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

It's Fed Day!  Will the Federal Reserve finally cut rates—or kick the can again? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down what's at stake, what markets are pricing in, and what it means for your money. Thursday is Juneteenth, markets are closed, and so are we. Lance reviews the track for crude oil prices and the likely effect on inflation as the Iran-Israel conflict continues. What will Jerome Powell say following today's Fed meeting? Fed grammar matters. Danny and Lance review elements of the Big, Beautiful Bill as it bounces between the House and Senate; contents subject to change. Lance points out the insane irony of the Dept. of Agriculture's stance on feeding wildlife vs. feeding the masses. Danny and Lance review a Barron's article depicting a dilemma of wanting to retire early on limited savings, and live to 98. Hilarity ensues. SEG-1: Juneteenth & Fed Day SEG-2a: Fed Meeting Preview & Market Sentiment SEG-2b: The BIg, Beautiful Bill - Pt.1 SEG-3: The Big, Beautiful Bill - Pt.2 SEG-4: Can You Afford to Retire? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEf6M7XXCqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Oil Prices Are On the Rise," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4O6HNmfPPb4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What's the Difference Between Fixed Income and "Stable" Income?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jV5Oepv5zPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #Inflation #SupplyDemand #FedDay #FederalReserve #FedRateDecision #FOMC #InterestRateCut #JeromePowell #FinanceNews #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #FixedIncome #StableIncome #RetirementPlanning #IncomeInvesting #FinancialEducation #MarketVolatility #BigBeautifulBill #DeptAgriculture #ParksWildlife #SNAP  #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Oil prices are on the rise in response to the current turmoil in the Middle East. Will this feed into higher inflation? The cure for higher oil prices is higher oil prices because it crimps off demand. The Fed has been concerned about inflation from tariffs, but that hasn't been the case. Now, the spectre of hotter inflation is rising with oil price increases; however, this all must be put into context: a longer view of oil price oscillations have not seen much of a spike. We may see a small increase in inflation, but not nearly to the degree the media would have you believe. When the Iran-Israel conflict ends, oil prices will slide back down. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4O6HNmfPPb4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #Inflation #SupplyDemand #FederalReserve #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

What's the difference between fixed income and "stable" income?  Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down the key differences between Dividend Stocks vs fixed income investments like bonds and annuities, and other strategies often labeled as stable income; how each performs in various market environments, the risks you may not see, and what every retiree or income-focused investor should consider. Lance and Jon also address the #1 Thing that homeowners regret about their houses, and a special "Two Dad's on Money" episode about whether your college grad kid should move back in with Mom & Dad. SEG-1: Retail Sales Preview, Where Market Risk Remains SEG-2: Are Dividend Stocks "Stable" or Fixed? SEG-3a: How to Calculate (and understand) Dividend Risk SEG-3b: Homeowners' #1 Remorse SEG-4: Two Dad's on Money - Should Your College Grad Move Back Home? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jV5Oepv5zPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Where Downside Risk Remains," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cIyoblbtIdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "How the Iran-Israel Conflict Could Shock Global Markets," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3v0Xj2_iJ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PensionFund #DownsideRisk #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #FixedIncome #StableIncome #RetirementPlanning #IncomeInvesting #FinancialEducation #MarketVolatility #IranIsraelConflict #TwoDadsOnMoney #CollegeGrads #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets rallied a bit on Monday, despite the turmoil in the Middle East. Retail investors bought heavily into the dip. Futures this morning are slightly depressed. Oil prices fell, stock prices rose, and really, nothing has changed. Bulls are still trying to drive the market higher, but struggling to do so; momentum is beginning to slow. A bit of perspective: Markets finished the first quarter, and then fell sharply in April, followed by the current upward thrust that has continued through the second quarter. This has gotten pension funds off-sides, a situation that must be corrected before the end of the month: Therein lies the downside risk to markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cIyoblbtIdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PensionFund #DownsideRisk #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts breaks down the latest developments in the Iran-Israel conflict and what they mean for global markets, oil prices, and investor sentiment. With tensions rising in the Middle East, we explore how geopolitical risk is shaping the outlook for the S&P 500, energy stocks, safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries. Lance touches on the impact of Middle East conflicts on the stock market, how oil prices typically respond to geopolitical tension, and what sectors may benefit or suffer from the crisis. Lanec also addresses investor strategies during geopolitical uncertainty, with a look at historical market reactions to major conflicts. SEG-1: Iran-Israel - What's the next Catalyst? SEG-2: Market Effects of Iran-Israel Conflict SEG-3: Bifurcated Investing by Political Persuasion SEG-4: The Return of TINA RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3v0Xj2_iJ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain Bullish Despite Weekend Events," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CMnSNn4v7Yo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is a College Degree Really Worth It?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QuYNsk7T3tY ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #MarketVolatility #IranIsraelConflict #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing