The Real Investment Show Podcast

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It's a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.

Lance Roberts


    • Aug 15, 2025 LATEST EPISODE
    • daily NEW EPISODES
    • 26m AVG DURATION
    • 2,995 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from The Real Investment Show Podcast

    8/15/25 The Money Playbook for Young Millionaires

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 15, 2025 43:49


    Becoming a millionaire at a young age (take Sydney Sweeny. Please.) is an incredible achievement—but keeping and growing that wealth is a whole different game. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down The Money Playbook for Young Millionaires—the proven strategies high net worth young investors use to safeguard their money, build lasting wealth, and avoid costly mistakes. Everything from wealth protection for young investors, asset protection strategies, and tax planning for young wealthy individuals, to the critical mindset shifts needed to grow your net worth in any market...whether your success came from business, investing, or inheritance, this guide will help you protect your wealth for decades to come. If you're a high net worth millennial or a young investor ready to play the long game, this is your roadmap. 1 - Sydney Sweeney's Worth "only" $40-Mil 2 - Taylor Swift's Financial Plan 3 - Health & Wealth 4 - Basic Trust Planning 5 - Tax Planning & Strategies 6 - The Most Important Decision You Can Make 7 - Estate Tax Planning 8 - Trust Planning & Taylor Smith  9 - Where There's a Will...  10 - Charitable Giving & Linda Blair 11 - Investing in Opportunity Zones 12 - Final Wishes & Abandoned Assets Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fOXqIaMP8RY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Breadth Expands," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Will the Fed Cut Rates NOW??" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1vTkvEIUxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WealthProtection #YoungInvestors #HighNetWorth #AssetProtection #FinancialPlanning #SydneySweeny #TaylorSwift #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    8/14/25 Will the Fed Cut Rates NOW??

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2025 44:43


    Will the Federal Reserve blink and cut rates now? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest inflation data, economic trends, and market signals that could force the Fed's hand and what it means for your portfolio.  Lance previews today's PPI report, which could reveal tariff inflation producers are having to pay. More importantly will be any trend PPI numbers reveal. Markets continue to touch all time highs amid fundamental weaknesses. Following Wednesday's CPI number, is the Fed going to be forced to lower rates? Lance and Michael discuss pro's & con's and the "Sneaky" Inflation index; why PPI is a more accurate gauge of tariff inflation. Markets have already pried-in the next rate cut. Forward earnings expectations are very elevated...and deviated from economic realities. Michael Reviews the "UPS Barometer" of activity; only ten companies are driving market gains presently; the S&P 490 are struggling. What if Nvidia stumbles in next report? (This is NOT the end of the AI cycle.) Markets over-estimate growth; are rotating sectors more rapidly; how long will the rotations stick? Fundamentals matter more to small- and mid-cap companies, more susceptible to economic changes. WHat will the Fed be thinking following PPI, PCE, & Nvidia report next week? SEG-1a: PPI & Retail Sales Preview - Will Tariff Inflation Appear? SEG-1b: Sector Rotation Beginning to Appear SEG-2a: What Are the Odds of a 50 vs 25 Rate Cut? SEG-2b: The Shoe Price Index & "Sneaky" Inflation SEG-2c: Why PPI Data is Important Tell of Tariff Inflation SEG-2d: What Would Market Response Be to 1/2-pt. cut? SEG-2e: Earnings Growth is Being Driven By Only Ten Companies SEG-2f: What If Nvidia Stumbles?  SEG-2g: Markets Are Richly Priced on a Narrative  SEG-2h: How Long Will This Rotation Stick? SEG-2i: The Fundamental Realities of Small- & Mid-Caps SEG-2j: The SimpleVisor Thematic Portfolio Tools SEG-2k: Wait to Gauge the Fed Post-PPI, PCE, & Nvidia Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1vTkvEIUxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Index Isn't Always Accurate: Factors Influencing Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-index-isnt-always-accurate-factors-influencing-yields/ "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Breadth Expands," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Portfolio Concentration: Hidden Risks That Can Sink Your Returns," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #FederalReserve #RateCut #InterestRates #USEconomy #StockMarketNews #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    8-14-25 Market Breadth Expands | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2025 4:29


    Markets yet again hit new, all-time highs on Wednesday, following a very well-defined uptrend. This is a very narrow trend channel. Even though a buy signal has been triggered, upside is somewhat limited. The up-again, down-again, up-again, down-again market patterns over the past several days is not a great sign of internal market strength because of the mis-match of buyers and sellers struggling at current price levels. The gap between the S&P 500 Equal Weight and the S&P itself is getting pretty large. The rotation out of tech that we've been looking for is showing up in the equal-weighted index. This suggests that some of the leaders are starting to give up some of their gains. The good news is, we're starting to see growth in market breadth, and money is starting to rotate into areas of the market that had not previously participated in the gains. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    8/13/25 Portfolio Concentration: Hidden Risks That Can Sink Your Returns

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2025 54:00


    Many investors unknowingly take on portfolio concentration risk—placing too much money in one stock or sector. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down why concentrated stock portfolios can be dangerous, how lack of investment diversification can magnify losses, and what smart risk management investing looks like. Whether you're building long-term wealth or protecting what you've earned, understanding the hidden dangers of over-concentration is critical. We'll share practical tips to improve your stock diversification strategy, reduce downside risk, and strengthen your portfolio's resilience in volatile markets. SEG-1a: CPI Print Offers Hope for September Rate Cut SEG-1b: Small- & Mid-Cap Performance SEG-2a: Blood Tests & Caffeine SEG-2b: Market Capitalization Concentrations SEG-2c: Is there an Ideal Number of Stocks for a Portfolio? SEG-2d: What is the Goal? SEG-2e: Over-weighting or Under-weighting Positions SEG-2f: The Pain Trade  SEG-2g: What Happens Next w Sector Rotation? SEG-2h: Portfolios Are Like NASCAR SEG-2i: What is Your Goal? SEG-2j: Investing Without a Plan is Like Throwing Darts in the Dark SEG-2k: Portfolio Construction for Returns & Taxes SEG-2l: YOLO vs Planning SEG-2m: Importance fo Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Internals Remain Weak," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3v7e03zkoWs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Meme Stock Trading & Jesse Livermore's Timeless Rules for Speculation," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZVH-DHO81pk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2s------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #PortfolioRisk #Diversification #StockMarketTips #InvestingStrategy #WealthManagement #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    8-13-25 Market Internals Remain Weak | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2025 5:29


    Markets jumped to all-time highs following Tuesday's CPI Report on expectations the Fed will cut rates in September. The report provided markets with a lot of optimism and the opportunity to change the discount rate for stocks. Apparently, it matters not that markets have been rallying all year on expectations of Fed rate cuts. Markets have been in a linear trend, running in a channel for the past week and a half; meanwhile, there has continued to be a negative divergence in money flows. When money flows decline, more pressure is placed on stocks. Money flows now need to play catch up with the rising markets. Bullishly, markets have broken out to new, all-time highs, and typically, new highs beget new highs, so there's no reason to be overly bearish. But, despite the rallying mood, market internals remain weak. Breadth in the market remains very narrow. Small & Mid-Caps have seen a small uptick and rotation into that space, but be careful: While large cap stocks are making new highs, small- and mid-cap stocks remain very range-bound. From a performance perspective, Small- and Mid-cap stocks continue to lag their large-cap brethren.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3v7e03zkoWs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    8-12-25 Two Dads on Money - Meme Stock Trading & Jesse Livermore's Timeless Rules for Speculation

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2025 57:31


    Meme stocks meet Jesse Livermore's timeless trading rules —  Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn discover how classic speculation strategies apply to today's market frenzy. Lance preview's today's CPI print and a Goldman Sachs report on who exactly is shouldering the increased costs of tariffs; a look at markets' up/down pattern, and weakness within; Lance and Jonathan discuss meme stocks, speculative risk, and what the Old Masters of investing had to say about it. Also commentary and guidance for younger investors and those who would like to begin investing: How to get the discipline started. SEG-1a: CPI Preview - It's Always .2% SEG-1b: Who's Footing the Bill for Tariffs? SEG-2a: Meme Stock Frenzy SEG-2b: Speculative Trading Index Examined SEG-2c: Two Old Dudes' Pudding & Protein Paks SEG-2d: The Risk of Speculative Trading SEG-2e: Benjamin Graham on Risk SEG-2f: Jesse Livermore on Market Dynamics & Risk  SEG-2g: Ten Rules for Investing SEG-2h: Think Ahead SEG-2i: Needs vs Wants for Younger Generation SEG-2j: First Apartments, First Phones SEG-2k: Getting Started w Savings Plans SEG-2l: Time Flies SEG-2m: What Index Investing Teaches SEG-2n: It's a Different Game for 40-50-year olds Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZVH-DHO81pk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Watch the Weakness in the Rally," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R2kE4pk9IMA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "US GDP Shows Cracks - Why You Should Pay Attention" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fszx_pdp-sA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #NASDAQ #MemeStocks #StockMarketTrading #JesseLivermore #TradingStrategy #MarketSpeculation #JesseLivermore #BenjaminGraham #NeedsWants #SavingMoney #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing  

    8-12-25 Watch the Weakness in the Rally | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2025 2:58


    Markets have been in an interesting, up/down, up/down pattern over the past week and a half, stair-stepping through a recovery rally, and now again approaching new all-time highs. Relative strength continues to moderate, and momentum remains in a weakening trend. Money flows are weak, as well. So while the recent rally has been good, it has been on very narrow breadth. In fact, yesterday's NASDAQ rally only included 48% of the index members (the lowest on record). This has not been a hallmark, bull market rally, and because of its inherent weakness, any data coming out over the next few weeks has the potential to cause yet another decline or correction. This is a rally in which you want to be managing risk very carefully. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R2kE4pk9IMA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    8-11-25 US GDP Shows Cracks - Why You Should Pay Attention

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2025 51:07


    August may be a seasonally-weaker month for markets, but for Summer Weather in Texas, it's hot! Lance shares weekend wedding events, and previews this week's economic data reports: Will inflation stoked by tariffs appear in the numbers? The only question that matters to investors his how the news will affect forward earnings estimates. There is now a 90% probability of a Fed rate cut by September; much will hinge on this week's CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales data. Lance reviews the similarities and differences between the Dot Com bubble and the AI boom. (Lance's ADD is triggered by a story on a TV monitor about adult pacifiers.) Revenues are key to economic growth, and employment is critical. Commentary on debts, deficits, and student loan defaults. Markets are sitting in a contraction zone: 80% of market is not growing. Global growth forecasts are dismal; debt is not the problem. Debts and deficits are a feature of the economy, not a bug. SEG-1a: August Weather & Weddings in Texas SEG-1b: CPI, PPI, & Retail Sales: Will Tariff Inflation Show Up? SEG-2a:The Only Question That Matters - How Does it Affect Earnings? SEG-2b: AI Today is a Lot Like 1999 SEG-2c: Adult Pacifier Distraction SEG-2d: Revenue is What Generates Earnings SEG-2e: Wage Growth Isn't Increasing SEG-2f: IMF Growth Projections  SEG-2g: The Debt & Deficits Problem Isn't What You Think Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fszx_pdp-sA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Set Up for Correction" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ajVPyWtMA9I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Would a 20% Social Security Reduction Mean for Your Retirement?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2eRpXL4yYQI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #AllTimeHighs #USDollar #Gold #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #MarketOutlook #GDPTrends #RecessionRisk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    8-11-25 Markets are Set Up for Correction | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2025 5:15


    Markets are doing okay despite their correction a week ago, which revealed a pullback in relative strength. Markets subsequently stair-stepped their way back up to tease new, all-time highs. Do not rule out the presence of seasonality, however. The thing to watch is the deterioration of money flows; even though markets are going up, the underlying money flows are continuing to weaken. Are money flows about to turn positive? It's the wrong time of the year for that. Market is actually set up more for correction. Buyers are sitting a good bit lower than where sellers are.     Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ajVPyWtMA9I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #AllTimeHighs #USDollar #Gold #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    8-8-25 What Would a 20% Social Security Reduction Mean for Your Retirement?

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 8, 2025 31:45


    Could your Social Security check be slashed by 20%?  With trust fund depletion looming, many retirees could face harsh income cuts sooner than expected. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down what a 20% Social Security reduction would mean for your retirement lifestyle, how to prepare now, and smart income strategies to fill the gap. Whether you're already retired or nearing retirement, this is a must-watch. 1: Social Security should be considered a stipend  2: Social Security Shores-up Your Financial Plan 3: The Myth of Breaking-even 4: Family Dynamics & Spousal Benefits 5: Calculating Benefit Loss from Taking early Retirement 6: If Social Security Goes Away... 7: Paying More Taxes to Shore Up Trust Fund 8: Giving Up More by Taking SS Early 9: Ignore the Media Hype Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2eRpXL4yYQI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-7-25 Is the Correction Over?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UEX8Ev1PJgo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Low Beta Boom: Sidestepping The Dot-Com Bust" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xW8-B15zzCk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurityCuts #RetirementPlanning #FinancialSecurity #SocialSecurity2025 #IncomeStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    myth retirement register cfp social security financial planning reduction senior financial advisor your financial plan candid coffee real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit
    8-7-25 The Low Beta Boom: Sidestepping The Dot-Com Bust

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2025 48:19


    How can low beta stocks help savvy investors sidestep the pain of the Dot-Com Bust? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz reveal why that lesson matters today...what low beta investing means, how it works in bear markets, and how it can protect your portfolio from bubbles and volatility. Lance reviews market reaction to tariffs coming completely online, and Apple's commitment to re-shore manufacturing to the US; the multiplier effect of domestic manufacturing. A look at Eli Lilly's successful completion of trials for its GLP pill; markets continue to hover along the 20-DMA. Lance and Michael discuss the AI phenomenon; what it really means when we're talking about "the market;" what is the cycle that is sustaining the stock market? How will younger investors' habits imprint market dynamics. What will trigger a crisis of confidence in the market; Lance and Michael discuss the importance of continuous risk management. SEG-1: Tariffs Are Fully in Effect - Market Response  SEG-2a: Markets Continue to Defy Dire News SEG-2b: Is the AI Bubble the Same as the Dot-com Bubble? SEG-2c: Commentary on the Concentration on AI Stocks SEG-2d: What Do We Mean when We Say, "Market?" SEG-2e: The Virtuous Cycle Lifting Markets Higher SEG-2f: Impact  & Influence of Younger Investors' Habits SEG-2g: What Will Be the Crisis of Confidence? SSEG-2h: The Importance of Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xW8-B15zzCk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-7-25 Is the Correction Over?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UEX8Ev1PJgo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Build a Winning Investment Portfolio | What to Buy & What to Avoid in 2025 " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYKQ9V4PIfU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #20DMA #LowBetaStocks #DotComBubble #RiskManagement #StockMarketCrash #DefensiveInvesting#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    8-7-25 Is the Correction Over? | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2025 3:53


    Markets continue to hover around the 20-DMA. There is a negative divergence between momentum and the market rally, with buying participation and money flows being very weak. Retail "dip-buyers" continue to step in to nibble at every dip in the market. Markets will again provide clearance above the 20-DMA, which will validate the test of that level. Relative strength is beginning to recover from Friday's sell off. Just because we had a one-day sell off does not necessarily mean the correction is over; be cautious in your risk taking. There is no sign of concern for a correction; portfolio insurance in the form of Puts is very, very cheap now. That is a good contrarian indicator that risk still exists in the market. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UEX8Ev1PJgo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing  

    8-6-25 How to Build a Winning Investment Portfolio | What to Buy & What to Avoid in 2025

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2025 57:14


    Are you building an investment portfolio but unsure what assets belong—and which ones to avoid? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff demonstrate how to build a diversified portfolio, the critical assets every investor should consider (stocks, bonds, ETFs), and the common portfolio mistakes that could hurt your long-term returns. How to know the correct investment tool to use; the good and bad sides of mutual funds; why you should be caustius about private equity and alternative investment opportunities. Annuities: Three questions to ask about yourself; can you "Be Your Own Bank?" Lance describes his personal annuity and insurance plans. Why you should never put all your money into anything. If you want to be wealthy, do what wealthy people do. SEG-1: Markets' Response to Earnings are Muted   SSEG-2a: Using the Correct Tool to Structure Your Portfolio SEG-2b: Wall Street Will Sell You Anything You Want SEG-2c: Why Mutual Funds Get a Bad Rap SEG-2d: Mutual Funds Will Always Underperform an Index SEG-2e: Be Cautious of Alternative Investments & Private Equity SEG-2f: Opportunity Zone Investments? SEG-2g: Three Tests for Annuities SEG-2h: Can You "Be Your Own Bank?" SSEG-2i: How Lance's Annuity Works SEG-2j: Never Put ALL Your Money in Anything SEG-2k: Do What Wealthy People Do Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYKQ9V4PIfU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Be Careful with Technical Analysis" is here:  ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qNJPwrh0f4E&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Where Do Millennials Get Financial Advice? | Two Dads on Money Talk Smart Money Moves" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4CeRptptzCU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #StopLoss #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #20DMA #PortfolioBuilding #InvestmentStrategy #DiversifyYourPortfolio #FinancialPlanningTips #SmartInvesting #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    8-6-25 Be Careful with Technical Analysis | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2025 5:43


    Technical Analysis is a good way of seeing what the herd is thinking; it's a representation of market psychology. Those who characterize technical analysis as "voodoo" actually take the rules a little too literally. We suggest using stop loss levels as a measure, and when those stops are triggered, either pay attention to find a bounce to sell into, or that stock will confirm support from a previous level. Why is this relevant? We violated the 20-DMA this week. That does not necessarily mean we're going into a bigger correction; the violation WAS a warning sign that markets COULD work their way lower. This is where PATIENCE is important in using technical analysis. IF markets stay below the 20-DMA thru Friday, that's a confirmation of the break. If markets close above this level on Friday, then the break below was just a violation; if they close BELOW that level, it's a confirmation of the break, and a key to watch for markets to go lower towards the 50-DMA. Be cautious about knee jerk reactions because of a technical break; you could get whipsawed.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qNJPwrh0f4E&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #StopLoss #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Palantir #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    8-5-25 Where Do Millennials Get Financial Advice? | Two Dads on Money Talk Smart Money Moves

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2025 52:08


    In this episode of Two Dads on Money, Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn dive into how Millennials find financial advice in today's digital world. From TikTok influencers to YouTube financial experts, and from Reddit forums to traditional financial planners, where should Millennials really turn for smart money guidance?   Lance reviews Monday's Market action, Eurozone vs U.S. economic growth expectations, and Palantir's earnings report. Millennials are getting a lot of financial information from AI, which is nothing more than GroupThink. Why the F.I.R.E. movement failed; retirement is boring; entrepreneurism and the realities of running your own business. Pro's & con's of Capitalism (it's not broken).   SEG-1: Markets Stage Two 1% Moves in Two Days SEG-2a: Two Dads on Money - Where Millennials Get Financial Info SEG-2b: Making Money on The Internet SEG-2c: Legal Liabilities Behind Financial Advice SEG-2d: Beware of Get Rich Quick Advisors SEG-2e: Social Media Advice Purveyors Do Not Know You SEG-2f: The Rise & Fall of the FIRE Movement SEG-2g: Myths & Realities of Starting Your Own Business SEG-2h: Why Businesses Fail SEG-2i: The Need for Financial Education SEG-2j: Find a Mentor SEG-2k: Capitalism Isn't Broken   Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4CeRptptzCU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Regain Footing at 20-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1ewHonE7Mw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bull Streak Ends as August Begins" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IKtxyXbfikM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1223s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/   #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Palantir #Capitalism #FinancialEducation #FIREMovement #MillennialMoney #20DMA #StockMarket2025 #BullMarketEnds #AugustStockTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    8-5-25 Markets Regain Footing at 20-DMA | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2025 4:00


    Palantir knocked the cover off the ball with last night's earnings report, but since the company is not as large as, say, Apple, Google, or Meta, that's not going to provide quite as much lift to the markets. Following two sell-offs Thursday and Friday, markets on Monday executed a nice one-percent move to the upside, making for TWO one-percent moves in two days to reclaim the 20-DMA. The issue now is whether markets can hold onto the gains and stay above that level for the remainder of the week. Such would also remove the risk of markets further dipping to the 50-DMA. Relative Strength also saw a decent bounce on Monday. However...pay attention to what's happening, because risk DOES still remain. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1ewHonE7Mw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Palantir #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing  

    8-4-25 Bull Streak Ends as August Begins

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2025 42:37


    The historic stock market bull streak has finally come to an end as August kicks off, raising concerns about seasonal weakness, rising volatility, and technical breakdowns. Lance Roberts breaks down what triggered the reversal, how meme stock speculation is adding risk, and what the August-September period historically means for investors. Lance Roberts discusses the latest earnings reports, and provide insights on how to navigate the market correction risks, why investors should be wary of excessively high valuations; managing portfolios for risks today. Lance also covers the aspect of time investors have to recover from adverse results; it's different for a 60-year old vs a 30-year old. Markets are sailing on tailwinds now, but hat if...? Commentary on monopolies, duopolies, and how big is too big? SEG-1a: Our New Digital Format & Housekeeping    SEG-1b: Market Commentary - High Beat Rates SEG-2a: New Show Format explainer SEG-2b: The Big Trick with Valuations SEG-2c: Investor Sentiment, Valuations, & FOMO  SEG-2d: Managing Portfolios for Risks Today SEG-2e: How Much Time Do You have? SEG-2f: Market Tailwinds & What-if's SEG-2g: Ad Spending on Meta & Google SEG-2h: A Brief History of Monopolies & Gov't Regulation SEG-2i: Markets Are Being Driven by only 6 Companies SEG-2j: Be Cautious Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is a Reflexive Rally on the Way Today?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0PFQOOnWZxI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Herd Mentality Could Be Costing You Big" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hkyUUEPAlWY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #BreakingTrendLine #20DMA #StockMarket2025 #BullMarketEnds #AugustStockTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

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    8-4-25 Is a Reflexive Rally on the Way Today? | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2025 3:29


    Markets have just concluded one of the longest stretches of stocks running above their moving averages, and of not having a +/- move in a single day; 72-days with out that occurring, the longest stretch since 1968. That all ended on Friday: We took out the 20-DMa, and had a 1.75-percent drop. We took a very over-bought relative strength index and crammed it to the bottom of its trading range in one day. IT should be no surprise to see a bit of a reflexive rally this morning in attempt to recover some of Friday's decline. Today's question is whether markets can get back above the 20-DMA and reverse that break. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0PFQOOnWZxI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #BreakingTrendLine #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    8-1-25 Herd Mentality Could Be Costing You Big

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 1, 2025 46:31


    Why do investors so often buy high and sell low? Jonathan Penn & Matt Doyle expose the dangers of herd mentality in the stock market, how FOMO (fear of missing out) drives bad decisions, and what behavioral finance teaches us about avoiding costly investing mistakes. Learn how to recognize crowd behavior—and how to protect your portfolio from emotional traps. Jon & Matt also cover market response to new tariffs, and whether markets will catch a breather. Transitioning from an accumulator to a distributor in terms of cash flow in retirement. An interesting comparison between Ricky Arnaz & Lucille Ball and Lance & Christina Roberts. How RIA crafts a retirement fund distribution plan;  more commentary on our last Radio episode, and a preview of our next Candid Coffee [see registration link below]. Is the Roth decision right for you now?  * NOTE: Today was our final terrestrial Radio broadcast, as we transition to an all-digital platform starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1a: Last Radio Broadcast SEG-1b: Market Reactions to "Sweeping" New Tariffs SEG-2: Will Markets Take a Breather? SEG-3a: Ricky & Lucy and Christina & Lance SEG-3b: Transitioning from Accumulation to Distribution SEG-4a: Last Broadcast & Savvy Social Security SEG-4b: Distribution Cash Flow Strategies Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hkyUUEPAlWY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Consider the Risk" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8aJBb1QNpg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed Holds Firm" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v09W8vpagMw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HerdMentality #InvestorBehavior #MarketMistakes #FOMOInvesting #BehavioralFinance #RetirementFunds #RothConversion #RequiredMinimumDistribution #KSEV #LastRadioShow #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-31-25 The Fed Holds Firm

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2025 46:32


    The Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady in its latest policy meeting, signaling a firm stance amid inflation concerns, and despite unchecked market bullishness. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down what the Fed's decision means for investors, the economy, and your portfolio. AI datacenter buildouts are showing up in economic data...but, the 3% GDP print has a more dire undertone: Strip out the build outs, and the economy is weaker than it appears. Is dissention among Fed governors politically motivated, or being economically cautious? Home prices are declining; housing is like an economic pyramid (NOT a pyramid scheme!) The AI buildout is skewing economic data. The bulk of market positivity bs being driven by only a few, large companies; any iss by Amazon or Apple reported today could sway markets tomorrow. 

    7-31-25 Consider the Risks Even in Bullish Markets | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2025 2:48


    Markets are doing just fine despite a sell-off towards the 20-DMA, but did not close at that level. Markets will likely have a positive day Thursday overall. Markets are still very over bought, which will limit upside action; still very close to moving up to 6,400 on the S&P (a little hard to believe following April's 20% drop FROM 6,000 and we're now back almost to 6,400). Markets are getting fairly extended, although risk is contained for the moment; earnings are coming in much better than expected. There is still a lot of bullish bias in the markets, and that's keeping things elevated. Apple and Amazon report today, and there's a risk that if either one misses, it could pull back markets tomorrow. We're now entering the end of summer; August is considered a weaker month for markets, even in a bullish environment. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8aJBb1QNpg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRotation #Apple #Amazon #Comcast #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-30-25 How to Effectively Hedge Against Inflation

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2025 46:33


    It's a mega-earnings report day, and a Fed Meeting day, to boot; the notion among some investors that 20% returns are normal is scary. The Fed is expected to hold steady on interest rates, but there is dissention in the ranks of Fed Governors. Inflation erodes your purchasing power—are you prepared? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down smart strategies to hedge against inflation and protect your wealth. Lance and Danny commiserate on kids home for the Summer and then off to college. You've got to have inflation for economic growth; the best hedge against inflation, historically, is still stocks. The only benchmark for portfolios is the rate of inflation. Investing strategies are only wrong if they don't work. Adjusting retirement for inflation and lifestyle. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: Mega Earnings Reports & Fed Day Preview SEG-2a: Kids Home for Summer & Off to College SEG-2b: Currency Debasement & Inflation SEG-3: Emotional Aspects of Inflation (bias) SEG-4: Adjusting Retirement for Inflation & Lifestyle Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0rXwvTN34YI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Capturing Rotation in Market Correction" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrBF8fbdFEo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1   ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Grit, Grind, & Glam" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnGdW2MyR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRotation #Healthcare #Technology #BasicMaterials #Industrials #Transports #REIT #InvestorExhaustion #InflationHedge #ProtectYourWealth #SmartInvesting #InflationProtection #FinancialPlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-30-25 Capturing Rotation in Market Correction | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2025 4:58


    Healthcare stocks have been under a lot of pressure of late as markets continue in rotational moves. Healthcare has been basing, going back to April; not going up, not going down, just traveling sideways. Meanwhile, Technology has been doing very, very well...and getting very, very over bought (looks a lot like the S&P 500). If we start to see a correctional move in the S&P, we could see a move to areas in which there is good fundamental value (like Healthcare), and also into areas that have been beaten up: They're not going down anymore, but they haven't been rising, either. These could catch some rotational action. Basic Materials, Industrials, and Transports all have been doing well as a result of the AI-chase and the associated infrastructure build-out. But Utilities, however, have been doing okay as a mixed bag of companies: These may come to be seen as a risk-off defensive play. Similarly, REIT's haven't gone anyway as a function of interest rates. There remains risk of a correction; timing is always the problem. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrBF8fbdFEo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRotation #Healthcare #Technology #BasicMaterials #Industrials #Transports #REIT #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-29-25 Two Dads on Money - Grit, Grind, & Glam

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2025 46:33


    Markets continue their bullish trend; Infrastructure build-out for AI is beginning to show up in data. Money flows return to US markets. Lance shares the bet he has with his dog; Lance & Jon share their "Two Dads" wisdom for fresh college grads' job searched & career choices, and offer three pillars for success:   ○ Grit: Passion + perseverance.  Stick through setbacks, stay committed, believe effort matters more than innate talent.   ○ Grind: The value of hard work—late nights, travel, dedication. Equally important: know your limits and prioritize recovery to avoid burnout.   ○ Glam: Pursue purpose and passion. Finding meaning in your work keeps the grind worthwhile. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: The Bullish Market Remains Intact SEG-2a: Dog Bets SEG-2b: Three Pillars for Success, Pt.1: Grit SEG-3a: Going Digital SEG-3b: Three Pillars for Success, Pt.2: Grind SEG-4: Three Pillars for Success, Pt.3: Glam   Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,   Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnGdW2MyR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Stocks Appreciate Money Flows" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVphLBnAmaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Big Tech Earnings" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XvF7rNkJdX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=1s  ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MoneyFlow #Gold #EmergingMarkets #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #CareerAdvice #CollegeGrads #StartYourCareer #FinancialPlanning #NewGradTips #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-29-25 Stocks Appreciate Money Flows | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2025 4:17


    Markets continue to perform bullishly, stringing together a sixth day of gains on Monday. If Tuesday follows suit, markets will stretch out a line of positive closes stacking up against an inevitable down day, sooner or later. The question is whether markets will cross the 20-DMA: A pullback to 6,260 would not be surprising at all. WHEN that happens, we'll look next to the 50-DMA at around 6,280 and to the 200-DMA below that at 5,870. All that to say, there is some downside risk to the market. Meanwhile, Emerging Markets are improving, but still trading sideways; as money flows head back into the U.S. Emerging Markets and Gold are tending to lag the S&P. Money flows are always looking to where they'll get appreciation. Right now, Stocks are doing that trick very well. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVphLBnAmaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MoneyFlow #Gold #EmergingMarkets #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-28-25 Big Tech Earnings

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 28, 2025 46:33


    Lance reviews the Big News from the weekend, the trade accord between the US and the European Union, and previews the data that will drive markets this week: PCE report and a Fed meeting on tap. What will move markets? Commentary on the non-impact of Tariffs: Markets have already priced-in any change, as markets adapt. What the Fed says about QT/QE will matter. Lance shares another family drama episode, with retail therapy and a "people-cott" on Ulta make up. There is no reason to be overly bearish on markets for now; more people are calling for correction now (which means it will only be delayed further) as markets grind higher. Lance addresses YouTube Chatroom questions on an oversold market, and what to do with excess cash; money doesn't leave the market, it just moves around. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: The Most Important Thing in Earnings Reports12:02 - Tesla Correction & Pre-market commentary SEG-2: The Real Impact of Tariffs & Market Movers  SEG-3a: Roberts Family Drama & The Ulta Guy  SEG-3b: Will Correction Be Delayed by More Expectations? SEG-4: Chat Q & A: Oversold markets & What to do with Cash   Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,   Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XvF7rNkJdX8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=1s  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prelude to Pullback" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QhyvfiwBPG8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are You a Meme Stock Mania DORK?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-TT_XaVhgI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=3&t=185s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #BigTechEarnings #TechStocks2025 #EarningsSeason  #StockMarketNews #FAANG #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-28-25 Prelude to Pullback | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 28, 2025 4:42


    We're about to enter the two months of the year when volatility begins to pick up; August and September tend to be weaker months. Markets have had a very long stretch with minimal movement. Two things to note: Markets have been above the 20-DMA for 68-days (one of the longest stretches in history). Money flows are beginning to decline, which is a sign of investor exhaustion. Sentiment and positioning are very bullish, and there has been excess speculation as the market has continued to grind higher. At this point it is reasonable to expect a short-term pullback, or at least a consolidation in the market. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QhyvfiwBPG8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-25-25 Are You a Meme-stock Mania Dork?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 25, 2025 46:37


    Is your portfolio full of DORKs? Jonathan Penn and Jonathan McCarty unpack the return of meme stock mania and  four speculative favorites: DNUT (Krispy Kreme), OPEN (Opendoor), RKLB (Rocket Lab), and KSS (Kohl's). These retail-loved names are soaring again—but should you follow the hype or stay grounded? We'll discuss why these stocks are rallying, the behavioral finance behind retail speculation, and the portfolio risks in chasing "lottery ticket" trades. Jonathan & Jonathan also memorialize Ozzy Osborne and Hulk Hogan; how college-grads' first jobs' earnings are not as rosy as expected, and the valueof a trade education is looking up; it's time to start thinking about portfolio housekeeping and RMD's as year-end approaches. How to manage inherited IRA's & wealth transfers; beneficiaries & estate planning. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: Investor Appetite for Speculation SEG-2a: RIP, Ozzy & Hulk SEG-2b: Portfolio Returns & Meme Stock to Avoid SEG-2c: First Job Prospects for College Grads SEG-3a: Wrestle Mania Memories SEG-3b: College Education Expense ROI vs Trades & Apprenticeships SEG-4a: Candid Coffee & Web Tease SEG-4b: Portfolio Housekeeping & RMD's   Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors Jonathan Penn, CFP, & Jonathan McCarty, CFA, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w-TT_XaVhgI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Will Be the Catalyst for Correction?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-N20Dd9DjU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How AI is Driving the Market" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhqbFkLRaO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=173s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ "AI Is Powering Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-is-powering-markets/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MemeStocks #DORKportfolio #CollegeROI #TradeSchool #Apprenticeship #HulkHogan #WrestleMania #OzzyOsborne #IRA #RothIRA #RMD #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-24-25 How AI is Driving the Market

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 24, 2025 46:33


    Artificial intelligence is no longer the future—it's the engine behind today's market moves. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how AI and machine learning are reshaping investing strategies, influencing algorithmic trading, and transforming financial analysis. Lance looks at earnings season and Tesla's results; there's nothing wrong with the markets, but all the ingredients are in place for a market reversion; what will be the catalyst? Lance corrects himself on Tesla comments; Lane and Michael hash over the impact of AI on market trading, and the pro's and con's of algorithmic trading; AI can tell you what to buy, but what about when to sell? Jerome Powell is in a pickle with an over-budget Fed Building redux and an unhappy Boss (DJT). What would a Powell removal do for markets? Lance's notes on our switch to pure-digital August 4th; is the government missing an investment opportunity in the AI infrastructure buildout?  * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: Earnings Season Results to Date SEG-2a: Tesla Correction & Pre-market commentary SEG-2b: AI vs Dot-com Revolutions  SEG-3: Fed Froth & Powell Fed Building Bungle SEG-4a: Going Digital SEG-4b: The AI Investment Buildout Opportunity   Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhqbFkLRaO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=173s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Will Be the Catalyst for Correction?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-N20Dd9DjU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Are Stocks Going Up?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H_aRMFHXBbE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2455s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ "AI Is Powering Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-is-powering-markets/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #CreditSwaps #CreditSpreads #AIMarkets #AIInvesting #ArtificialIntelligence #StockMarketTrends #MachineLearningFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-24-25 What Will Be the Catalyst for Correction? | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 24, 2025 4:49


    Earnings Season continues...everything is fine as reports are coming in better-than-expected for the most part. Markets enjoyed a Wednesday rally with solid buying. But interestingly, volatility collapsed, with hedging concerns "giving up" on concerns over the rise in complacency. This low VIX doesn't necessarily mean anything...along with the Put/Call Ratio and credit default swaps (see today's Daily Market Commentary - link below). Credit Spreads are extremely compressed, too. These are all good and well by themselves. They are just ingredients. But those ingredients need a catalyst, and when that catalyst appears, these ingredients suggest there will next occur a very sharp reversion in the markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-N20Dd9DjU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #CreditSwaps #CreditSpreads #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-23-25 Why Are Stocks Going Up?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2025 46:33


    Stocks are rallying despite weak fundamentals. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the real reasons behind the 2025 market surge. Malcom Jamal-Warner and Ozzy Osborne pass; they always come in three's: Who's next? Trumps tariff deal with Japan moves markets momentarily; Meme stocks are back. Negative divergences while markets on the rise signal more potential for market correction (not crash!) Lance & Danny discuss why stocks are up and where the money is coming from. The Roberts' Family Saga - the tale of the new mattress - continues. Why's the market going up: Markets move on speculative activity & narratives (don't watch the news during the day!) Lance & Danny discuss how the news affects forward earnings (think: Enron), and why we have Sarbanes-Oxley. How we manage our portfolios; the Schiller CAPE-10 explained, and mean reversion cycles.  * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: Jamal-Warner, Ozzy, & Meme Stocks are Back SEG-2: Why Are Stocks Up - Where the money comes from SEG-3a: The Roberts' Mattress Saga  SEG-3b: Why is the Market Rallying? SEG-4: How Does the News Affect Forward Earning   Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H_aRMFHXBbE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2455s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Warning Signs in Negative Divergences," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m9Yu1BZPLw4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Rent or Buy?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t68v7YNraes&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #NegativeDivergence #RelativeStrength #Momentum #WhyAreStocksUp #StockMarketRally #InvestorSentiment #MarketMystery #Stocks2025 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-23-25 Warning Signs in Negative Divergences | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2025 3:58


    Markets opened lower on Tuesday, and rallied back in the afternoon; on Monday, markets opened higher, and fell off. Markets just aren't making much headway. Markets are still stringing together the longest run of days above the 20-DMA. This all suggests that we are going to get a correction at some point. Relative strength is in a negative divergence while the market is going up. That's a warning sign, and there's also a negative divergence in momentum as the market is moving higher, at the same time. This DOESN'T mean the market is going to crash, but it DOES bring up the risk of at least a short-term correction.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://youtu.be/TYCtn9zlFKU ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #NegativeDivergence #RelativeStrength #Momentum #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-22-25 Two Dads on Money - Rent or Buy?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 22, 2025 46:34


    Renting vs Buying a Home – Which Makes More Sense in 2025? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn, Two Dads on Money, ponder whether, with rising mortgage rates and stubbornly high rents, is it better to rent or buy right now?  * What are the true costs of homeownership vs renting? * What are the hidden fees most people overlook? * What are the financial pros and cons of both options? Home ownership is often styled as the "American Dream," thanks to marketing by the National Association of Realtors (what's their vested interest??) For the unprepared, home ownership can become a nightmare. Avoid the anchoring effect in determining whether your house purchase was a gain or a loss (expenses of ownership). Housing is not unaffordable; your expectations may be, however. Before you sign that lease or lock in a mortgage, listen in!

    7-22-25 Bonds Are Trapped in a Trading Range | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 22, 2025 4:10


    Bonds have been trapped in a trading range for some time, with Yields stuck at around 4.3-4.4%. This is a function of economic growth and inflation. If you want to know where interest rates should trade (in terms of the Ten-year Treasury), it's GDP + Inflation: There is about an 84% correlation going all the way back to 1970. Technically speaking, there's a giant wedge being built into Yields, and they're going to break out to one side or the other. If to the upside, rates will move up to about 4.8%, maybe 4.9%; some kind of inflationary pressure is going to be needed to raise that rate above GDP to add to that total return. However, if the economy slows, we could see Yields break down below the wedge, putting rates closer to 4%, maybe 3.5%. The rest of the markets are doing fine for now. Another wedge pattern is also developing, and a break out to the downside is going to lead to that correction we've been expecting. Interestingly, the NASDAQ has traded above its 20-DMA for over 60-days, the longest such stretch since 1999. Money flows are extended; that typically marks market peaks. Retail trading flows appear to be reaching a level of exhaustion.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://youtu.be/TYCtn9zlFKU ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #GDP #Inflation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-21-25 Big Questions for Big Tech

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2025 46:36


    Can the AI boom sustain current valuations, or is a reckoning coming? Lance Roberts examines how AI and Big Tech investing trends are shaping portfolios, whether rising interest rates will derail Tech stock market outlook, and the growing risks of regulation impact on Big Tech from Washington to Brussels. Markets are still flirting with all-time highs. Lance shares the latest Roberts Family Saga, and his Coldplay strategy. Is investor exuberance getting out of hand? Options expiring within 24-hours are at an all-time high: This is not hedging, this is pure betting. Lance discusses anticipated spending for AI, and identifies associated debt as productive (think, Hoover Dam) vs non-productive (entitlements), which is dis-inflationary. Buuy backs are a poor (non-productive) use of capital. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: Mega-cap Earnings Preview SEG-2a: Another Roberts Family Saga & Coldplay SEG-2b: Market Exuberance is Getting Out of Hand SEG-3a: Paramount & Colbert Kill The Late Show SEG-3b: No Concerns for Market Correction...yet SEG-4: Productive Debt vs Stock Buy Backs   Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dnE_SxbFc0c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here:  https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "Money Scripts & Credit Scores," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaEHi-fSbuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #GravitationalPull #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #BigTech #TechStocks #ArtificialIntelligence #FAANG #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-21-25 Moving Averages' Gravitational Pull | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2025 4:56


    Markets are overbought and very extended above moving averages. This is neither out of the ordinary or a crisis situation. Markets are still flirting with all-time highs, but the deviations are important to pay attention to: Moving averages are like gravity, pulling indexes back towards the center. There is still support for stocks, thanks to earnings activity, but once the reporting is done, the focus will return to economic data, and that's when stock will be most susceptible to the gravitational pull. Economic data is okay, but not great, and a pullback to the 200-DMA (worth about 6%) would be no surprise. Investors should expect a 3-5% correction around August or September.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GmJdcv12lGA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #GravitationalPull  #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-18-25 Money Scripts & Credit Scores

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 46:17


    Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle host Rich's last live Radio-episode* and reveal the reason for Matt's recent absence from the show. Airport Security parameters; strong start to Earnings Season; references to '80's TV sit-coms; market futures, Lance's charts, the ultimate Death Cross; Richard previews Saturday's (7/19) Candid Coffee, and the genesis of the partnership with Lance Roberts; understanding Money Scripts; Netflix & streaming services; Gen-Z and Social Media. Rich and Matt discuss the possibilities of Mrs. Roberts' bakery/coffee shop; Retail Sales report analysis: People are still spending. The Paradox of Thrift, Fed meetings and a brief history of the Federal Reserve Banking System. Rich reviews American Express' report, debt to income ratios and Money Scripts (Brad Klontz); how childhood location bears on credit scores in later life.   * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: Matt's Back (and leg) & some market commentary SEG-2a: Candid Coffee Preview SEG-2b: Money Scripts & Financial Success SEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Coffee Shop & Retail Spending SEG-3b: Retail Sales Summary SEG-4: AmEx reports, Money Scripts, & Managing Money   Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaEHi-fSbuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here:  https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "The Magnificent 7 Are Mediocre," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFXBBqri1lo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyScripts #CreditScoreTips #FinancialMindset #CreditHealth #MoneyBehavior #EarningsSeason #RetailSales #Inflation #ParadoxOfThrift  #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-17-25 The Magnificent 7 Are Mediocre

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 46:15


    Are the Magnificent Seven losing their magic?  Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz get the real story behind Magnificent Seven stocks performance and what it means for your investment strategy. Lance reviews this week's PPI report (flat) showing little to no effects from tariffs. Yet. The make up of the US economy (80% services) is such that corporations will primarily pay tariffs, and likely not pass along much of the additional cost. Earnings Season continues to roll along as markets enter the seasonally-weaker period of the year. Lance and Michael discuss PPI and what the Fed might be thinking next. The Question de Jour is what is happening with bonds. NOTE: Lance reveals more details about our upcoming programming changes; pay attention! Lance & Michael discuss how we manage Bonds; the surge in retail speculation and the performance (?) of Mag-7 stocks (meh). Michael discusses the two forms of Volatility, and Lance preaches to the YouTube Chat choir. SEG-1: PPI Comes in Flat - Markets Prepare for Correction SEG-2: What is the FEd Thinking Now? SEG-3a: Show Changes Coming SEG-3b: How We Manage Bond Portfolios SEG-3c: Has the Mag-7 Lost its Magic? SEG-4a: YouTube Chat SEG-4b: S&P 500 Realized vs Implied Volatility   Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFXBBqri1lo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here:  https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "SPAC's are Back!," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MaCxUW2BClU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #ContrarianIndicator #Technology #LiberationDay #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #BondPortfolio #MagnificentSeven #StockMarketUpdate #TechStocks #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-17-25 Prepare Now for Correction | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2025 4:26


    Earnings Season continues to roll, and the window for the buy back window won't be open until the end of the month. Starting today, markets tend to enter a seasonally-weaker period of the year as investors process earnings and volatility begins to tick higher. Market action has already been slack over the past couple of weeks, and it's highly deviated from moving averages. A reversal back to the 200-DMA is worth a 6% decline, a move that would be well-within historical norms. Of concern now is the high levels of retail investor speculation, making up about 14% of trading volume. That's more than was seen during the "meme mania" of 2021 (12%). Such spikes in speculation typically occurs at a market peak, and is a set up for market correction. We cannot stress enough the importance of taking opportunity to rebalance risk and take profits now. A 6% correction ain't nothin'.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #ContrarianIndicator #Technology #LiberationDay #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-16-25 SPAC's are Back!

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2025 46:17


    SPAC's (Special Purpose Acquisition Companies) are making headlines again. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down why SPAC investing is back in 2025, what's driving the latest SPAC market trends, and what investors need to know before jumping in. Are these deals a golden opportunity or another speculative bubble?  Earnings Season continues with Banks' reports and the effects of stock buy backs beginning to wane. Tuesday's CPI print had something for everyone; will PPI finally show effects of tariffs? We're preparing for 3-5% correction by mid-August or September. Will President Trump replace Jerome Powell at the Fed? What really matters is what markets wants: An independent Fed. Should the Fed be cutting rates now? (The Fed is always late.) Lance & Danny discuss who really pays tariff fees (producers); eating out and budget leakage. Wall Street will sellyou anything you want, even when you don't know what it is yet: SPAC's are back, along with a voracious appetite for risk. When investors are all-in, that sets up for correction. Danny describes new challenges to Roth Conversions under the Big Beautiful Bill...and impromptu revelation of grade school antics and interpersonal relationships...and commentary on speculative risk returning to the market. SEG-1: Bank Earnings Review, PPI Preview, and Contrarian Indicators SEG-2: Will Trump Replace Powell? SEG-3: SPAC's are Bank - Will St. Will Sell You What You Want SEG-4a: Roth Conversations Under the Big Beautiful Bill SEG-4b: If Lance Was a Bully SEG-4c: Speculative Risk Returns to the Market   Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MaCxUW2BClU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Turtle Trading" "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bullish Sentiment is a Contrarian Indicator," is here:  https://youtu.be/4k2AfV8moZ8 ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dad's on Money," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rm-FNuRdgB0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #BullishSentiment #ContrarianIndicator #Technology #LiberationDay #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #SPACs #SPACInvesting #StockMarketTrends #InvestingNews #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-16-25 Bullish Sentiment is a Contrarian Indicator | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2025 3:53


    Markets are doing what the markets do best: Consolidating following a rally. Elevated momentum signals are flipping back and forth (not uncommon), and relative strength is coming down from over-bought levels. This is keeping markets from making much of an advance. The back-and-forth debate over Fed rate cuts is also making things uncertain: The markets want a rate cut, but if inflation shows up in the form of tariff impacts on PPI numbers, that news will weigh on markets today (the report to be published after this post). None of this mitigates the risk of a 3-5% correction as early as mid-August. One of the recent "propellants" for the markets from recent lows was the under-weighting by asset managers in Tech prior to Liberation Day. Now playing catch up, they're buying up those shares to rebalance portfolios, and that's resulted in a huge surge in positioning and sentiment. (Remember, sentiment is a contrarian indicator: When everyone is bullish, and everyone has bought, that leaves a vaccuum beneath stocks, where the next buyers will be in a correction). We think we'll see that happen sometime in August or September.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://youtu.be/4k2AfV8moZ8 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #BullishSentiment #ContrarianIndicator #Technology #LiberationDay #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-15-25 Two Dad's on Money

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2025 46:13


    What kinds of traps and pitfalls could younger investors be falling into? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn provide advice from Two Dad's on Money in today's episode: Nvidia is shipping its H-20 chips to China; Lance previews this week's CPI and PPI reports; earnings season is underway, stock buy backs have dominated, surging higher than ever, but will taper; Markets prepare for sector rotations. Lance & Jonathan discuss the differences betweem trading and speculating, the Math of Loss, and the cost of starting over. How to successfully speculate with little money (there are some caveats!) High risk vs low risk; The one thing you cannot squander: Time. The power of saving. SEG-1: Nvidia Ships Chips; CPI, PPI Previews SEG-2: The Difference Between Investing & Speculating SEG-3: How to Successfully Speculate SEG-4: The One Thing You Must Not Squander   Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rm-FNuRdgB0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Turtle Trading" "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set for Rotation," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=diYGZ_-lLMI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Relative Returns Or Absolute: What's More Important?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EbuyQ4mMSas&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketRotation #Transportation #Technology #Industrials #AI #AIbuildOut #ArtificialIntelligence #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #FinancialAdviceForKids #MoneyLessonsFromDad #TeachingKidsMoney #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-15-25 Markets Set for Rotation | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2025 4:18


    Another market rally Monday, flirting again with all-time highs. While there is nothing overall concerning about the markets, they're always setting up for some kind of rotation. There are a few things to pay attention to now. The market is being primarily driven  by three sectors: Industrials, Transportation, and Technology. Those secotrs have been outperforming relative to the S&P. Technology has been leading the charge, of late; Industrials have also been posting well. Both are tied to the AI buildout. What will happen next, as these sectors become over bought, is money moving to risk-off areas, like Staples, which have been under-performing lately. Money doesn't leave the market, it just changes where it goes. There is a pretty big deviation between the risk-on and risk-off trades.    Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=diYGZ_-lLMI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketRotation #Transportation #Technology #Industrials #AI #AIbuildOut #ArtificialIntelligence #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-14-25 Relative Returns Or Absolute: What's More Important?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2025 46:16


    Earnings Season has commenced with lowered expectations, meaning higher "beat" rates for companies, thanks to the lowered bar. Market react mildly to Mexican & Canadian 30% Tariffs; a warning for this week's CPI Report: The past four reports have been lower than expected, so a much higher number may be printed this time around. A three-month preview of market probabilities shows 50-50 chance of continued bullish activity; BUT, markets are over bought, and the odds are even for a correction of as much as 5% back to the 6,000 level. Lance shares his family's weekend exploits with Tex Mex food and Mrs. Roberts' new penchant for sourdough bread making. Lance reviews his weekend piece on Absolute vs Relative Returns, the consequences of both, and three things required for market predictions. We are naturally negatively biased; why market compounding is a myth; average vs compound returns are very different; what really caused the Dot-com Crash. NOTE: There are BIG changes coming to The Real Investment Show; if you're not subscribed here, you could miss out. Comparing Trade War outcomes: 2017 vs 2025. The risk to markets now: Trump vs Powell tiffs; the markets want an independent Fed; the risk to be aware of. "Con" is short for "Confidence Game.: SEG-1: Earnings Season Begins SEG-2a: Tex-Mex & Sourdough SEG-2b: Absolute vs Relative Returns SEG-3: Dealing with Our Naturally Negative Bias SEG-4a: Big Changes Coming SEG-4b: Maybe this Trade War Really Isn't that Different   Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EbuyQ4mMSas&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Risks Ahead of Earnings Season," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUggnhse9kk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What the Big Beautiful Bill Means for Your Money & Retirement" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=juL4OhaFgbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=114s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #RelativeReturns #AbsoluteReturns #InvestmentStrategy #PortfolioPerformance #InvestorEducation #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-14-25 Market Risks Ahead of Earnings Season | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2025 4:38


    Earnings Season begins this week; technically, markets are doing okay. This weekend's Bull Bear Report lays out a three month preview of what markets are likely to do on a probability basis. There is a 50-50 chance the current bull market trend will contimnue, because there's not a lot to bring this market down. BUT...the other side of that argument includes a choppy market thru the end of the year, and/or we get a correction at some point. Looking at markets from back in May, things were very over bought, leading to a correction back to the 200-DMA, which was a very good set up for adding money to portfolios. The same type of topping pattern in relative strength is emerging, and we're expecting some kind of medium-term correction at some point. A 5% correction back to the 6,000 level is a distinct possibility.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kUggnhse9kk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Dollar Setting Up For A Comeback?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-dollar-setting-up-for-a-comeback/ "Relative Returns Or Absolute. What's More Important?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/relative-returns-or-absolute-whats-more-important/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #EarningsSeason #Nvidia #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-11-25 What the Big Beautiful Bill Means for Your Money & Retirement

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 11, 2025 46:15


    What is the impact of the recently-passed Big Beautiful Bill on your money and retirement plans? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty plumb the depths of the legislation to find the good--and the bad--effects it will have. Richard review the latest round of tariffs on Canada (markets don't care), and AI is promising to be a game changer in the middle management job market. The Big Beautiful Bill has benefits and drawbacks: there are caps and limitations, as well as enhancements for charitable giving; there is no "no taxes" on Social Security; changes in SS for future generations will likely be phased-in; remembering Gilligan's Island and coconut adaptations; the reality of "no tax on tips;" accelerated depreciation for business and higher SALT deductions; the Trump Savings Account for kids; a preview of our January 2026 Economic Summit. SEG-1: Canadian Tariffs' Market Impact - meh SEG-2: The Big Beautiful Bill's Caps & Limitations SEG-3a: Candid Coffee Teaser SEG-3b: The Big Beautiful Bill - Tax Brackets & Social Security SEG-4a: Gilligan's Island, & Policy Polarization SEG-4b: SALT Deduction & Trump Savings Accounts   Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=juL4OhaFgbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=114s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Might Lower Rates Be The Cure For Higher Prices?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/might-lower-rates-be-the-cure-for-higher-prices/ "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "7-10-25 Nvidia is not Dead," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueeSGu1M0dg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Lower Rates Cure Higher Prices?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDzRO8ePU-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BigBeautifulBill #FederalBill2025 #MoneyAndPolicy #LegislationImpact #FinancialPlanning #SocialSecurity #TrumpSavingsAccount #SALTdeduction #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-10-25 Will Lower Rates Cure Higher Prices?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 10, 2025 46:14


    As inflation remains elevated and the Federal Reserve begins to shift its tone, markets are asking: Will lower interest rates actually bring prices down — or make them worse? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz unpack the delicate balance between monetary policy, consumer behavior, and price pressures: * The historical relationship between rate cuts and inflation * Why inflation may be more “sticky” than expected * How consumer demand and debt loads are reshaped by lower rates * The unintended consequences of looser policy on asset prices * What this means for investors and retirees going forward SEG-1: Why Economists Expect Higher Growth by 2026 SEG-2: Growth is Back in Vogue SEG-3a: Like & Subscribe tease - changes coming SEG-3b: Can Lower Rates Cure Higher Prices? SEG-4a: Coffee Cafe, ChatGPT, & Economic Haiku SEG-4b: Earnings Season Preview: Tariff Effects?   RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NDzRO8ePU-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Might Lower Rates Be The Cure For Higher Prices?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/might-lower-rates-be-the-cure-for-higher-prices/ "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "7-10-25 Nvidia is not Dead," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueeSGu1M0dg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Protect Your Multi-decade Retirement From Inflation," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4MmYoAZvc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #EarningsSeason #Nvidia #InterestRates #InflationControl #FederalReserve #EconomicPolicy #PriceStability#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-10-25 Nvidia is not Dead | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 10, 2025 5:34


    Economists are expecting a sharp pick up in economic growth before the end of the year, despite earlier, pre-tariff weaknesses. News about more threatened tariffs notwithstanding, economists are looking past all that. Interestingly, that's the needed premise to support expectations for much stronger earnings growth from analysts into the end of the year. So future expectations are seeming to support where valuations are trading. 6,900 is now a realistic target by the end of the year for analysts. This elevated sentiment and sheer exuberance should be taken as a caution sign because markets are very, very over bought. Also on Wednesday, Nvidia became the first $4-Trillion company. Ever. Clearly, Nvidia is NOT dead.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueeSGu1M0dg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #Tariff #EarningsSeason #Nvidia #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-9-25 How to Protect Your Multi-decade Retirement From Inflation

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 9, 2025 46:18


    More Tariff trouble on the horizon, but markets have seen this movie before (The Stick & Carrot Show). Market risk remains, as markets are highly deviated. Sentiment remains positive; there's a large gap between market performance and economic  data, however. Deviations tend to resolve themselves to the downside. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff reveal how to shield your retirement savings from decades of inflation: The necessity of Inflation and how to deal with it (inflation is a function of economic growth); the mistake of being too conservative, fear of The Black Swan that never appears. Lance reveals his memory challenges; living thru market downturns, and lessons learned. Market downturns don't happen over night. Treasuries vs Equities: What's the proper blend? Passive Investing is an oxymoron. Risk management is essential for fighting inflation. SEG-1: Tariff Threats Return, Market Risk Rises SEG-2: The Necessity of Inflation and How to Deal With It SEG-3a: Lance's Dementia Test SEG-3b: Living thru Market Downturns SEG-4: Inflation-proofing Retirement - Treasuries vs Equities   RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4MmYoAZvc0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=18s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Risk is Rising," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NdRpxHuJF4s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "ETF's Are Eating the World," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18uxAOHUAE0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #RetirementPlanning #InflationProtection #RetirementSavings #FinancialFreedom #SmartInvesting #InvestingStrategies  #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-9-25 Market Risk is Rising | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 9, 2025 4:42


    The big divergences between markets and their moving averages typically resolve themselves to the downside. There is now risk down to about 6,000 on the S&P, which would bring us back to the breakout prior to the all-time high. A correction would help reset the market's over bought condition. Volatility is down; that's a function of options trading, and no one seems to want to hedge portfolios against a downsized market. There is no risk control in portfolios presently because investors would rather chase the upside in markets. That's always a danger. A correction could come at any time. All the ingredients are in place, just waiting for a catalyst to get buyers out of the market and bring sellers back in.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NdRpxHuJF4s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #Volatility #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

    7-8-25 ETF's Are Eating the World

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 8, 2025 46:16


    Earnings season is upon us; will volatility pick up? A bigger question will be how tariffs may affect corporate earnings. Employment numbers are dipping into contraction zone as the economy slows. Markets sell off on renewed tariff news. Crude oil prices are creeping back up. No one is expecting correction...which is when they usually appear. Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have exploded in popularity—driving a massive shift from active to passive investing. But is this trend distorting markets and concentrating risk? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn explore how ETF growth may be reshaping price discovery, liquidity, and investor behavior: Why do investors choose single-stock ETF's? Leverage. But that cuts both ways, when stocks are going up as well as going down. Lance and Jonathan examine FUnd performance vs Indexes over time. The irony of ETF's: They're passive, but being traded like stocks because of a "get-rich-quick" mentality. Speculation leads to broken markets. Lance and Jonathan discuss the US Dollar and why it remains the default reserve currency of the world, even as the mix of currencies evolves. Lance advises when it's time to be bearish. SEG-1: Earnings Season Prelude - No Fear of Correction SEG-2: Astro's & ETF's - It's All About Leverage SEG-3: The Irony of ETF's SEG-4: Dealing with the Dollar   RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18uxAOHUAE0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Fear of Correction," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EtaKUHTNq-Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Bull Market is Alive and Well" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DtaiG62GGL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=141s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #InvestorGreed #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #OilPrices #Tariffs #ETFs #PassiveInvesting #MarketTrends #InvestingStrategies  #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

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