The Real Investment Show Podcast

It's Fed Day!  Will the Federal Reserve finally cut rates—or kick the can again? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down what's at stake, what markets are pricing in, and what it means for your money. Thursday is Juneteenth, markets are closed, and so are we. Lance reviews the track for crude oil prices and the likely effect on inflation as the Iran-Israel conflict continues. What will Jerome Powell say following today's Fed meeting? Fed grammar matters. Danny and Lance review elements of the Big, Beautiful Bill as it bounces between the House and Senate; contents subject to change. Lance points out the insane irony of the Dept. of Agriculture's stance on feeding wildlife vs. feeding the masses. Danny and Lance review a Barron's article depicting a dilemma of wanting to retire early on limited savings, and live to 98. Hilarity ensues. SEG-1: Juneteenth & Fed Day SEG-2a: Fed Meeting Preview & Market Sentiment SEG-2b: The BIg, Beautiful Bill - Pt.1 SEG-3: The Big, Beautiful Bill - Pt.2 SEG-4: Can You Afford to Retire? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEf6M7XXCqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Oil Prices Are On the Rise," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4O6HNmfPPb4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What's the Difference Between Fixed Income and "Stable" Income?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jV5Oepv5zPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #Inflation #SupplyDemand #FedDay #FederalReserve #FedRateDecision #FOMC #InterestRateCut #JeromePowell #FinanceNews #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #FixedIncome #StableIncome #RetirementPlanning #IncomeInvesting #FinancialEducation #MarketVolatility #BigBeautifulBill #DeptAgriculture #ParksWildlife #SNAP  #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Oil prices are on the rise in response to the current turmoil in the Middle East. Will this feed into higher inflation? The cure for higher oil prices is higher oil prices because it crimps off demand. The Fed has been concerned about inflation from tariffs, but that hasn't been the case. Now, the spectre of hotter inflation is rising with oil price increases; however, this all must be put into context: a longer view of oil price oscillations have not seen much of a spike. We may see a small increase in inflation, but not nearly to the degree the media would have you believe. When the Iran-Israel conflict ends, oil prices will slide back down. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4O6HNmfPPb4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #Inflation #SupplyDemand #FederalReserve #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

What's the difference between fixed income and "stable" income?  Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down the key differences between Dividend Stocks vs fixed income investments like bonds and annuities, and other strategies often labeled as stable income; how each performs in various market environments, the risks you may not see, and what every retiree or income-focused investor should consider. Lance and Jon also address the #1 Thing that homeowners regret about their houses, and a special "Two Dad's on Money" episode about whether your college grad kid should move back in with Mom & Dad. SEG-1: Retail Sales Preview, Where Market Risk Remains SEG-2: Are Dividend Stocks "Stable" or Fixed? SEG-3a: How to Calculate (and understand) Dividend Risk SEG-3b: Homeowners' #1 Remorse SEG-4: Two Dad's on Money - Should Your College Grad Move Back Home? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jV5Oepv5zPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Where Downside Risk Remains," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cIyoblbtIdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "How the Iran-Israel Conflict Could Shock Global Markets," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3v0Xj2_iJ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PensionFund #DownsideRisk #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #FixedIncome #StableIncome #RetirementPlanning #IncomeInvesting #FinancialEducation #MarketVolatility #IranIsraelConflict #TwoDadsOnMoney #CollegeGrads #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets rallied a bit on Monday, despite the turmoil in the Middle East. Retail investors bought heavily into the dip. Futures this morning are slightly depressed. Oil prices fell, stock prices rose, and really, nothing has changed. Bulls are still trying to drive the market higher, but struggling to do so; momentum is beginning to slow. A bit of perspective: Markets finished the first quarter, and then fell sharply in April, followed by the current upward thrust that has continued through the second quarter. This has gotten pension funds off-sides, a situation that must be corrected before the end of the month: Therein lies the downside risk to markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cIyoblbtIdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PensionFund #DownsideRisk #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts breaks down the latest developments in the Iran-Israel conflict and what they mean for global markets, oil prices, and investor sentiment. With tensions rising in the Middle East, we explore how geopolitical risk is shaping the outlook for the S&P 500, energy stocks, safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries. Lance touches on the impact of Middle East conflicts on the stock market, how oil prices typically respond to geopolitical tension, and what sectors may benefit or suffer from the crisis. Lanec also addresses investor strategies during geopolitical uncertainty, with a look at historical market reactions to major conflicts. SEG-1: Iran-Israel - What's the next Catalyst? SEG-2: Market Effects of Iran-Israel Conflict SEG-3: Bifurcated Investing by Political Persuasion SEG-4: The Return of TINA RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3v0Xj2_iJ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain Bullish Despite Weekend Events," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CMnSNn4v7Yo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is a College Degree Really Worth It?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QuYNsk7T3tY ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #MarketVolatility #IranIsraelConflict #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets sold off slightly on Friday on concerns over the Iran-Israel conflict, down to the 20-DMA, which has been good support for markets. Markets remain over bought, and markets started on Friday to work off some of that "overboughtedness, and this morning futures are pointing higher. Interestingly, while retail investors are fully into the markets, institutional investors have been woefully underweight equities, and have some catching up to do. As markets continue to push higher, each of the interim dips are being bought up by institutional investors, which will continue to be the case as we approach the end of this month, and the end of the quarter, the end of the reporting period for hedge funds and portfolios. We believe the next two weeks will see more buying pressure as these groups reallocate capital to bolster their portfolio performance. The US Dollar, meanwhile, has been under pressure, trying to set a double bottom in order to set up for a counter-trend rally. There's a ton of negative sentiment on the Dollar, with the short-dollar trade the most over-crowded, presently. Something will cause a shift back into the US Dollar, and create a potential rally to between $97 and $103. A stronger Dollar will attract foreign investors back into the US, with a positive effect on domestic markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CMnSNn4v7Yo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Is a college degree still worth the rising cost? As student loan debt climbs and tuition skyrockets, more families and young adults are asking whether a traditional four-year education offers a worthwhile return on investment. In this episode, we break down the financial data behind college costs, degree value by major, and explore growing alternatives like trade schools, certifications, and apprenticeships. Richard Rosso & Susan Buenger posit whether higher education is still the smart path — or if it's time to rethink the college equation.  SEG-1: Initial Market Response to Israeli Attack on Iran SEG-2: The Best College Major ROI SEG-3a: Israeli Raid & Market Volatility SEG-3b: Expectations & College Preparation - When to Start the Process SEG-4: Competition & Planning for College RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Sarah Buenger, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QuYNsk7T3tY ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Love for Puts," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imI9OvQa8ac&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Inflation Cools" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3F4zKT325bo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InflationCools #InflationUpdate #ConsumerPriceIndex #HigherEducation #TradeSchoolAlternative #CollegeWorthIt #StudentDebt #EducationROI #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

May CPI surprised with a "cooler" print on inflation, begging the question of what the Fed will do next. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the CPI report, reveal what's driving the slowdown in some consumer prices, and explore what it means for interest rates, your portfolio, and the broader economy.  Who's going to end up "eating" the tariff-related increases? A clue may appear in the PPI reading. April saw a massiv surge in stock buy backs; that window will soon close. Lance and MIchael discuss the initial effects of tariffs on the economy; consumer choice is a factor that should not be ignored. For investors, the key is focusing on what really matters (earnings) vs the popular narratives de jour. Markets have all the information, but investors sometimes allow sentiment to take control. SEG-1: CPI & PPI - Who's Eating the Tariffs? SEG-2: Parsing CPI: What Did Tariffs Really Affect? SEG-3: Why All That Matters is Earnings SEG-4: How to Manage Risk Best RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3F4zKT325bo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Love for Puts," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imI9OvQa8ac&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "CPI Day - Will Inflation Hold Steady?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2SOCvadsj58&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InflationCools #InflationUpdate #ConsumerPriceIndex #MarketPullback #StockBuyBacks #Puts #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #MayCPI #InflationWatch #CPI2025 #MarketRally #SmallCapStocks #Russell2000 #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #ImpossibleMeat #Flexitarian #StockInheritance #EstatePlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

 Markets had a rare down-day amid the relentless run since April. Markets are up 3% for the year. There was a record surge in buy back announcements in April, well above any previous year, which is where much of the buying pressure for stocks came from. What happens when the buy back window next closes?? There are two things going on that might indicate now is a good time to think about hedging your protfolio, or at the very least, being patient: Buy backs are about to go into blackout period, and there is no love for puts right now. No one seems to want to buy any insurance for their portfolio: Why buy insurance, when the market is just going to keep going up?? Well...typically, when levels of Puts are low, that indicates proximity to market peaks. These factors, along with seasonality, would tend to indicate markets are primed for a pullback. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imI9OvQa8ac&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPullback #StockBuyBacks #Puts #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Today is CPI Day, and all eyes are on the Consumer Price Index report for May.  What will today's CPI data mean for the Federal Reserve's interest rate path and future market volatility? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the implications for stocks, bonds, and consumer sentiment. Lance questions the data the government is providing, and examines the Small Caps' performance of late. What will be the impact of tariffs on CPI? Why now is a "normal" interest rate environment. Nobdy cares about economic date revisions. Danny tackles the question of whether you should disclaim a $5-Million inheritance; hilarity ensues with an anecdote about Lance's son's request for money. No. Impossible Meat goes "Flexitarian;" more hilarity ensues. Danny & Lance discuss the sticky wicket of stock and land inheritances; CPI preview: No expectation of a hot print. SEG-1: What Difference Does a One-Tenth Percent Inflation Make? SEG-2: Inflation Expectations vs Real Life SEG-3: Should You Disclaim an Inheritance? SEG-4a: Beyond Meat & Flexitarian's SEG-4b: Land Inheritances & Liquidity Issues SEG-4c: CPI Preview RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2SOCvadsj58&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=1s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Small Caps on a Tear...but," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IaVrimYakns&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Private Equity is Coming for Your Money," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z5pY32IgCBY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=152s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MayCPI #InflationWatch #CPI2025 #MarketRally #SmallCapStocks #Russell2000 #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #ImpossibleMeat #Flexitarian #StockInheritance #EstatePlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Small Cap stocks have been on a tear lately, and lost of speculative bets are being placed on Small Caps. You may recall, Smapp Caps got beaten up in April, and have had a nice rally since. We are advising caution at this elevated level, approaching the 200-DMA, and take some profits sooner than later. There's real risk to Small Cap stocks economically; economnic data is showing slowing, and that is going to impede earnings at some point. It's important to note that 40% of Small Cap stocks are not profitable, particularly in the Russell 2000, which is also approaching its 200-DMA and is very over bought on multiple levels. These stocks perform best coming out of a recessionary cycle, and right now is the wrong side of that cycle. While the S&P is near all-time highs, Small Caps are way, way back.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IaVrimYakns&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #SmallCapStocks #Russell2000 #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn uncover how private equity investments are no longer just for the ultra-wealthy...but is that the best plan? With Wall Street's latest push, retail investors are now being targeted as the next frontier for capital. From alternative investments in 2025 to the growing trend of private equity entering 401(k) plans, we break down what you need to know about the risks of private equity, the lack of transparency compared to public markets, and what this shift could mean for retail investors. Don't miss this deep dive into why Wall Street is coming after your retirement savings—and what you can do about it. SEG-1: Industrials Lead the Way SEG-2: The Private Equity Story - Why Am I So Lucky? SEG-3: The Private Equity Story - The Democratization of Private Equity SEG-4: The Private Equity Story - Everyone's Looking for an Edge RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z5pY32IgCBY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=152s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Preparing for a Pullback," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoKv2jBDwNs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Buy the Dip--Technically Speaking," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BTKdUS6nh4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuySignal #Tariffs #MarketNarrative #PrivateEquity #AlternativeInvestments #RetailInvestors #WallStreetWatch #FinancialFreedom #BuyTheDip #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketStrategy #Sentiment #Price #FearGreedIndicator  #InvestingTips #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Rally continues with the Bulls in control since April 9, but not much has happened. Markets needed a reason to sell, and Tariffs gave them that reason, but that is all over with. That's why you have to be careful with narratives. Markets move past them quickly, and it's on to the next issue or event. Weekly buy signals now suggest the correction is complete, Bulls are back in control, and all time highs are just a breath away. We're seeing improvements in sentiment and breadth; we're in th emiddle of a reversal process. However, there is an expectation of a relaxation of what's going on: Money flows are ebbing, sellers are exhausted, and buyers are slowing. That suggests that markets are going to consolidate, or pullback to support at the 200-DMA.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoKv2jBDwNs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuySignal #Tariffs #MarketNarrative #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Are you waiting for the perfect moment to "buy the dip" but unsure how to spot it?  Lance Roberts reveals how to identify smart entry points using technical analysis. From recognizing key support levels and reversal patterns, to understanding what oversold indicators are really telling you, we'll walk you through the tools, charts, and signals that professional investors rely on. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a long-term investor trying to fine-tune your entry, this episode will help you buy with more confidence when markets pull back. Plus, we'll share insights on how to avoid common pitfalls, manage risk, and ride the recovery wave effectively. SEG-1: Market Upsides Outweigh the Downsides SEG-2: How to Know When to Buy the Dip or Not SEG-3: Two Key Tools - Sentiment & Price SEG-4a: Futures Commentary SEG-4b: Preparing for Next Earnings Season RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BTKdUS6nh4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "This is Not a Bear Market Rally," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=15oEA1pEwQE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is 70 the New 65? Reshaping Retirement in America," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6DR5m8qL-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarketRally #MarketCorrection #BuySignal #RisingRelativeStrength #BuyTheDip #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketStrategy #Sentiment #Price #FearGreedIndicator  #InvestingTips #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

We received lots of email traffic over the weekend about the "next shoe to drop" in the markets: This is NOT a bear market rally. Yes, we had a correction; that correction is now over. Taking a longer view of market action (think: weekly vs daily), we get a better sense of what is going on. We're seeing a lot of improvement from where we were just a couple of months ago. The correction worked off a lot of the over bought conditions. And on a weekly basis, a buy-signal has been triggered. We are now seeing rising relative strength. We will see a correction sometime this summer; it's just a matter of time. That would provide another buying opportunity to add exposure to equities. For investors, the upside potential for the markets outweighs the downside. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=15oEA1pEwQE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarketRally #MarketCorrection #BuySignal #RisingRelativeStrength #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Should the new retirement age be 70?  Richard Rosso explores the financial, social, and personal implications of delaying retirement. What does working longer mean for your retirement planning in 2025 and beyond? Is it a necessity—or a trap? Whether you're nearing retirement or decades away, understanding how changes to the retirement age could affect your benefits and financial independence is critical. Listen or watch to hear what raising the Social Security age could mean for you and why 70 might become the new 65. We introduce another of our Summer Interns, Parker McGill, from the University of Tennessee; the aftershocks of the Trump/Musk feud; retirement savings trends are improving; Denmark has raised its retirement age to 70; should the US take a cue? A preview of today's Government Jobs Report: Will bad news (lower employment) be good news (Fed incentive to cut rates)? SEG-1: Polymarkets Bets on Trump, Musk, & Recession SEG-2: Jobs Report Preview & Raising SS Retirement Age SEG-3: Saving for Retirement & Financial Independence SEG-4: Jobs Numbers: Bad News is Good News? Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Summer Intern, Parker McGill (University of Tennessee) Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6DR5m8qL-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "S&P 7,000?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r8b98kV23Ao&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Rates Cuts Do Not Equal Inflation," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4BgEM6uejWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=155s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementAge #SocialSecurity #RetirementPlanning  #FinancialIndependence #WorkingLonger #DonaldTrump #ElonMusk #RetirementSavings #JobsNumbers #ADP #BLS #FederalReserve #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Are investors wrong to assume that rate cuts will automatically tame inflation?  Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz challenge the belief that the Fed's rate cuts always translate into lower inflation. Using historical data and current economic conditions, we explore how monetary policy really interacts with price pressures—and why rate cuts may actually stoke inflation under the wrong conditions. Specifically, Lance and Mike address the real impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts and inflation, why cutting rates doesn't always reduce inflation, and some lessons from past economic cycles.  What today's investors should expect in 2025

Markets rallied in the morning and faded in the afternoon on Wednesday, which was no surprise: Markets are still overbought, wrestling with a momentum sell signal, and futures are flat ahead of Friday's BLS employment report. Markets anticipate the number will be weaker than expected, adding to the trend of weaker economic performance. If that's the case, markets could perform better, interpreting the data to foreshadow a lowering of interest rates sooner than later. (A stronger jobs report could ignite a sell-off, as rate cuts would be expected to be pushed back later in the year.) Markets are very close to all-time highs, with some Wall Street analysts pushing for S&P 7,000 by the end of the year. Similarly, the Mag-7 have come roaring back in the Nasdaq, and that index is also approaching new, all-time highs. Markets may continue to struggle to make gains, unlike the major moves we saw in April, but there's no reason to be negative on markets, presently; expectations for a retracement to recent lows is very slight. "Buy the Dip" should be the function for investors for now. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r8b98kV23Ao&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #SP7000 #AmericanExceptionalism #Dollar #Mag7 #MoneyFlows #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Is a summer swoon looming in the stock market for 2025?  Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff explore the historical performance of the S&P 500 and major sectors during the summer months—June through August, and examine whether investors should brace for a seasonal pullback, looking at historical June-to-August returns and volatility trends, what typically drives a summer slowdown in stocks, and sector-by-sector analysis: What holds up best in weak seasonal periods? How do global macroeconomic conditions and slowing growth shape investor behavior? Lance and Danny also discuss how markets listen and absorb news...and adapt. The US is NOT going broke; Lance again discusses the economic benefits of needful government spending on infrastructure projects and the multiplier effect. Danny and Lance also parse a potential bill to ban sitting Congresspersons from investing in markets. SEG-1: Sell in May, or Go Away? SEG-2: Why June Isn't Always a Loser Month for Markets SEG-3: The More Markets Hear, the More They Adapt SEG-4a: Is the US Going Broke? SEG-4b: Should Congress Be Banned from Trading? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55_d45otgA4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Sell in May & Go Away?," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k0JoZpN0_40&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Reports of the Death of American Exceptionalism are Greatly Exaggerated," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2B9lqcwx9EU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2063s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SellInMay #MarketRally #AmericanExceptionalism #Dollar #Mag7 #MoneyFlows #SummerSwoon #StockMarketTrends #MarketForecast #Investing2025 #SeasonalInvesting #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Should you sell in May and go away?  Markets have had a strong rally following the sell off in April: Markets were under pressure, over sold, and sentiment got very negative.  That sentiment has not totally reverse quite yet, and there is a lot of momentum behind the market presently. Price tends to carry price: As markets begin to rally, like a freight train, it's hard to stop. One thing to keep in mind: Lower returns are not necessarily negative returns. Technically, markets are doing fine, and behind the scenes some bullish activity has been occurring. Money flows have turned positive, and the Mag-7's are doing well again. Hedge funds have been under-weighted, which is being corrected, and that's adding octane; stock buy backs continue to add liquidity to the markets. The markets' consolidation process is actually bullish for investors. A breakout of consolidation will set up for a rally to new, all-time highs. How will that happen amid the falling dollar and the threat of tariffs? Markets tend to do what you don't expect.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k0JoZpN0_40&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SellInMay #MarketRally #AmericanExceptionalism #Dollar #Mag7 #MoneyFlows #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Is America's global leadership really fading?  Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn reveal the truth behind the “decline of American exceptionalism” narrative, and why the U.S. continues to lead in economic strength, innovation, and global influence. Today's show also features several bonus elements, including a recap of Mrs. Robert's trip to the Vegas Bitcoin Expo and convention robots; an exposition on the alleged death of American Exceptionalism, and a follow-up to the story of Mrs. Roberts' instant pickle recipe. Lance & Jonathan opine with chatroom participants about their first PC's, and Jonathan critiques a ChatGPT-created SWAN Portfolio. Parents have apparently failed an entire generation, if a survey of Google search terms is to be believed; Lance and Jonathan expose homeowner "wilding" as reason enough for HOA's, and Lance closes with the promise of opportunity. And amore focused show tomorrow. SEG-1: Be Careful of Negative Narratives SEG-2a: Convention Robots SEG-2b: The Death of American Exceptionalism SEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Pickles, Pt-2 SEG-3b: First PC's & AI Multipliers SEG-3c: The SWAN Portfolio SEG-4a: Google Searches & Parental Failures SEG-4b: Wilding Homeowners SEG-4c: Opportunities are Coming Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2B9lqcwx9EU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2063s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Beware of Anti-US Narratives ," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T5p7sa_q0rI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Buying Stocks is Always hard," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24ymsN45E9s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AmericanExceptionalism #USEconomicResilience  #USGlobalLeadership #AmericasFuture #DebunkTheDecline #Dollar #EmergingMarkets #InternationalMarkets #ForeignCurrency #MoneyFlows #InvestorGreed #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #AprilVolatility #Gold #Dollar #InvestingChallenges #InvestorMindset #BehavioralFinance #Innovation #ArtificialInetlligence #AI #BitCoin #Robots #SWANPortfolio #HomeOwnership #Wilding #HOA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

he Dollar has been under s tremndous amount of pressure, which is enticing some investors to move assets into other currencies. As Dollar has declined we've seen a relative increase in Emerging Markets and International Stocks. The narrative now is that the decline in the Dollar is a decline in American Exceptionalism, so money must move away from US stocks. Be very careful with that notion: A longer view of Emerging Markets and International's will show those asset classes have still not quite made up for losses over the past 5-years. And an impartial look at where economic growth is going to occur in the future shows it's not going to be in Europe or emercing countries. They will benefit from a strong US market to come, but they're not going to be the drivers of innovation and growth. Another long-term view of the Dollar's performance reveals that it is now higher than it was ten-years ago.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video of this report here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T5p7sa_q0rI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AmericanExceptionalism #Dollar #EmergingMarkets #InternationalMarkets #ForeignCurrency #MoneyFlows #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Why does the stock market test our patience and nerve?  Lance Roberts looks at the psychology of investing, how to master long-term strategies, and ways to navigate market volatility with confidence! Today is National Leave Work Early day...but before you do, make sure to tackle Lance's Monday Mandatory Reading list (links are provided below); Lance shares another tender moment from the Roberts' kitchen, and his essay on why buying stocks is hard any way you look at it (yet investors still do!) and a review of Ten Investing Rules to live and invest by. SEG-1a: National Leave Work Early Day SEG-1b: Wrapping Up May SEG-2: Monday Mandatory Reading List SEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Pickle Recipe SEG-3b: Why Buying Stocks is Hard SEG-4: Ten Investing Rules for Navigating Volatile Markets Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24ymsN45E9s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "6-2-25 Don't Get Greedy," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ClTgBtG0z3g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is This the Year for Your Roth Conversion?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Lv4vPAF638&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestorGreed #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #AprilVolatility #Gold #Dollar #InvestingChallenges #InvestorMindset #BehavioralFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets wrapped the month of May very strongly, despite the choppy performance in the last week of the month. Markets are expected to open slightly lower this morning, and we're expecting more choppy performance. We're still in favor of taking profits, reducing risk, and raising cash while markets are mildly positive for the year. Remember how you felt during April's volatility? If you were uncomfortable, you had too much risk. Don't be greedy. Gold has had a decent corrective cycle; the Dollar is working a consolidation cycle. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video of this report here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ClTgBtG0z3g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestorGreed #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #AprilVolatility #Gold #Dollar #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Is 2025 the ideal time for a Roth conversion?  RIchard Rosso considers future tax rates potentially on the rise and retirement goals in focus, and why converting to a Roth IRA could be a smart move. We'll break down the rules, potential tax implications, and key strategies to maximize your tax-free retirement income. Whether you're planning for retirement or looking to optimize your wealth, don't miss this essential guide to Roth conversions in 2025 and beyond! [NOTE: Due to technical issues, the missing first segment will be reposted in a separate clip.] SEG-1: Markets, Tariffs, & Corporate Concerns (The Lost Segment can be viewed here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-oCeEyCktR4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ) SEG-2a: Young Interns & '70's Crime Dramas SEG-2b: Dealing with Decumulation SEG-3: The Problem of Under-spending in Retirement SEG-4: PCE Preview & Needed Tweaks in Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w A&M University Intern, Will Lewis Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Lv4vPAF638&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Correction is Over," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_utj49L0G3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Death of Narratives" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mIl8rM1AW6w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RothConversion #TaxFreeRetirement #RothIRA2025  #RetirementStrategies #TaxPlanning #MarketNarratives #SocialSecurity #RothIRA #Roth401k #PCE #Inflation #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

President Trump's tariffs are being negated by Trade Courts, and markets feel inspired. Nvidia reports earnings, and is poised for a 6% gain today; we're still on the cusp of all that AI can do. Lance and Michael discuss the importance of recognizing and shutting out the narratives that distract investors; why we all seem to need a reason "why" things are as they are. Commentary on Nvidia's technology "moat;" comparisons to Apple's growth curve. How narratives matter (and do not); fundamentals are still long-term market drivers. The relationship between deficits and interest rates explored; beware of being too attached to any narrative. "The End of American Exceptionalism?" Don't you believe it. Consumer confidence...what is the Money Supply doing. SEG-1: Nvidia Earnings & Cusp of AI Growth  SEG-2: Shifting Narratives & Reasons Why SEG-3: Fundamentals Drive Markets Long-term SEG-4: Why Tariffs are NOT Inflationary Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mIl8rM1AW6w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Correction is Over," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_utj49L0G3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Nvidia Day!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWSQGN1zFrg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorrectionOver #NVDA #NvidiaStock #TechStocks #StockMarketNews #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MarketNarratives #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Nvidia will open positively this morning following last night's earnings report. The stock's performance has been intriguiing, essentially trading sideways following a phenomenal run over the past four years. And despite claims of the death of AI, etc., etc., Nvidia is poised to set new, all-time highs today. The recent consolidation just allowed for earnings and valuation to "catch up" with the price. Similarlym, the S&P today will be pushing to a new high, confirming recent support actually held. The next move higher will be a test of all-time highs, around 6,130. Markets have recovered about 80% of the declines seen earlier this year. Regardless of the (false) narratives, if you want to make money, you've got to follow what the market is telling you. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video of this report here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_utj49L0G3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorrectionOver #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

It's “Nvidia Day!” The Big Dog in the Tall Grass for AI reports earnings after the closing bell today. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff delve into the anticipation surrounding Nvidia's upcoming earnings report, set to be released after today's market close. We'll explore market expectations, potential impacts on NVDA stock, and the broader implications for the AI and semiconductor sectors. Also a discussion about the inimitable Mrs. Roberts, and the profound changes AI is poised to wrought on global industries. Is the 4% Rule dead or just being updated? Lance bemoans the bots in our X and YouTube channels, and he and Danny review the changes afoot in advisors' recommendations for retirement savings drawdowns. SEG-1: EOM & Shifting Sentiment SEG-2a: Lance' Wife is Scary SEG-2b: Is AI the Next Leg of Industrial Revolution? SEG-3a: Retirement Income Empowerment teaser SEG-3b: Death of the 4% Rule? SEG-4a: Twitter Bots & Chatrooms SEG-4b: Changing the 4% Rule Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWSQGN1zFrg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What is the Risk to Nvidia?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6KJCZut3qwU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "The Anchoring Problem & How to Solve It" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6t41x9fsYv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NvidiaDay #NVDA #NvidiaStock #TechStocks #StockMarketNews #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #AnchoringBias #BehavioralFinance #CognitiveBiases #InvestmentPsychology #SmartInvesting #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets enjoyed a nice, 2% rally Tuesday on news of a pause until July on Eurozone tariffs by President Trump. (Remember our article in November 2024 revealing tariffs as NOT inflationary; see link below). Goldman Sachs came out this week admitting as much. Duh. This entire rally has been predicated on the realization that tariffs are not the inflationry boogie man, and not that big of a hit to the economy. It's all economic sticks & carrots by the Trump Administration. Money flows are very elevated to levels that are typically seen at the peaks of market advances, not the beginning. We've come very far, very fast; this is a good time to take some profits out of the market. Money flows into Nvidia since the bottom have been stellar, which has elevated the stock price; Nvidia is up 40% from the low. That's still 14% below its all-time highs, but a 40% gain is not chump-change. So the risk tomorrow, after the company's report tonight, is to the downside, or a very muted upside. Options pricing currently are foretelling a move of 7%, either up or down.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video of this report here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6KJCZut3qwU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The markets sold off last week in a much-needed correction. Market support coalesced around the 100- and 200-DMA at 5,790. Markets will bounce off that level today. A MACD sell signal is being triggered at a very high level, and we're not over sold quite yet, so markets are not finished with the relaxation/consolidation phase. There is still risk for markets, temporarily; there could be a pullback to the 50-DMA. The 6,000 level on the S&P will be a challenge at this point. Remember, June tends to be a weaker month for markets (and corporate share buy backs go away); July tends to be stronger (and buy back activity returns). If you have not yet rebalanced your portfolio against risk, today would be a good day to do so. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video of this report here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gbbRIpFRqE ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Are there hidden flaws in the One Big Beautiful Spending Bill?  Danny Ratliff & Jonathan Penn expose what they're not telling you, diving into the fine print of the 2025 federal spending bill. Is it as beautiful as they claim—or are there costly warts hidden beneath the surface?  Danny & Jon break down the economic risks inherent in the politics and pork. SEG-1: Will Investors Pause for Memorial Day Weekend? SEG-2: Wart on the One Big Beautiful Bill SEG-3: Advice for the Class of 2025, Pt 1 SEG-4a: Advice for the Class of 2025, Pt 2  SEG-4b: Is Now the Time to Add Bonds? Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: ------- Articles mention in this show: "Death Of The Dollar: An Eternal Tale" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/death-of-the-dollar-an-eternal-tale/ "Corporate Stock Buybacks – Do They Affect Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-stock-buybacks-do-they-affect-markets/ "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody's Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Pullback We Needed ," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bonds Are Cheap?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SpendingBill2025 #DebtAndDeficits #FiscalPolicyWatch #EconomicRealityCheck #LegislativeImpact #Bitcoincash  #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicGrowth #BondMarket #InvestingInBonds #FixedIncome #InterestRates2025 #MarketOutlook #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets sold off Wednesday, and we're still approaching a sell signal, which will be mild, at best. The 20-DMA has been very quietly sneaking up on the 100- and 200-DMA alignments. This is building a lot of support around 5,750. Yesterday's pullback was a much-needed event. The 50-DMA has also bottomed and is now turning positive, which is also supportive for higher stock prices. This sell off was not the beginning of the next leg down for the markets, but it is the pullback needed to get markets in a better position. Economic growth is still around 2.3%, employment data is fine, and there is no apparent sign of recession.  Economically-sensitive sectors are continuing to perform well, which tells us that markets are okay with economic growth. Interestingly, without Fed intervention, interest rates have risen to about where economic growth should be. By the way, Bitcoin has been on FIRE lately, hitting new records at $110,000 Wednesday. Bitcoin is extremely over bought. Bitcoin is a great proxy for stocks and risk-taking. Right about now is when you should take a little bit of profits. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y87ApddExgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bitcoin #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicGrowth #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #InvestorPatience #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Is this the beginning of a market correction—or just a healthy pullback?  Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down recent volatility, key technical signals, and what smart investors should be watching right now; a review of Target & WalMart's earnings reports. Lance rebuts claims by Fisher Investments that stock buy backs do not affect markets. Convincingly. A review of Jamie Dimon's market complacency warnings, and Lance and Danny discuss on line shopping pro's and con's. Danny backs into a preview of our upcoming Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop, how to build and grow wealth, and how Lance plans to distribute his inheritance to his kids. SEG-1: A Retail Tale of Have's & Have-nots SEG-2: Is This the Start of a Correction? SEG-3a: The Buy Back Factor in Markets SEG-3b: Jaime Dimon's Warning of Market Complacency SEG-3c: Retailers, Tariffs, & Online Shopping SEG-4a: Succession Planning for Boomers SEG-4b: Retirement Income Empowerment preview SEG-4c: The First Step to Building Wealth & Self Preservation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mD_sgSpa4Go&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=20s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Corporate Stock Buybacks – Do They Affect Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-stock-buybacks-do-they-affect-markets/ "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody's Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Market Sectors Are Telling Us," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsVVT2IzJuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are Markets Too Complacent?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N8MpeSQZeRs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1309s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicCommentary #BasicMaterials #Communications #Utilities #Transportation #Energy #AI #RealEstate #MarketCorrection #StockMarket2025 #InvestorInsights #BearMarketWatch #RiskManagement  #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Market sectors can tell you a lot about what's happening in the real economy, and where money is being spent: This reflects into earnings. Investors also tend to invest in areas that are doing very well vs those that aren't. Money chasing money tends to give an indication of concerns in the economy. So what are sectors that are economically-sensitive say? Basic Materials: Money flows are coming in, which would not be the case were there concerns about the health of the economy. The Communications sector has seen a lot of recovery, particularly since the sell-off. Cap-ex for the Mag-7 companies are at all-time highs, specifically in AI-related areas. (News Flash: AI is not dead.) Utilities, which are sensitive to interest rates, have had a very sharp rise, reflecting the anticipated higher need for energy generation demands from AI. Another interest rate-sensitive area is Real Estate, which has been improving, but remains under pressure. Transportation and Energy have been improving, as well;  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qsVVT2IzJuo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSectors #Economy #EconomicCommentary #BasicMaterials #Communications #Utilities #Transportation #Energy #AI #RealEstate #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #InvestorPatience #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Are investors dangerously ignoring risk? Despite signs of slowing economic growth, elevated valuations, and geopolitical uncertainty, markets continue to trend higher with remarkably low volatility. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn address whether or not markets too complacent, remembering wedding anniversaries, and whether the ratings agencies are to be believed: Why even rate Treasuries at all? A look at bad headlines (If it bleeds, it leads), and whether now is a terrible time to retire; the reality that markets don't really care about anything but forward earnings guidance. We'll explore why investor sentiment appears disconnected from fundamentals, what past periods of complacency have taught us, and how to identify the early warning signs of risk being mispriced. If you're concerned about market bubbles, overconfidence, or “this time is different” thinking, this episode offers important context — and caution. SEG-1: Moody Downgrade, CBO Projections, & Buy the Dip SEG-2a: Happy Anniversary - Tomorrow SEG-2b: Why Have Ratings on Treasuries? SEG-3a: Retirement Income Empowerment tease (registration link below) SEG-3b: Bad Headlines, Retirement Timing, & AC/DC-Squirrel! SEG-4: All Markets Care About is Forward Earnings Guidance Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N8MpeSQZeRs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1309s ------- Articles mention in this show: "USA Versus JNJ" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/usa-versus-jnj/ "Moody's Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/moodys-debt-downgrade-does-it-matter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Patience, Grasshopper," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HEQXlux8Yfg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Moody's Debt Downgrade – Does It Matter?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UP8yVn_65v0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestorPatience #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #MoodysDowngrade #CreditRating #DebtCrisis #BondMarket #USCreditRisk #MarketComplacency #InvestorSentiment #MarketRisk #StockMarketTrends #BubbleWarning #RetirementPlanning #RetireSmart #InflationAndRetirement #FinancialFreedom #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets have improved in terms of breadth and trends, having come very, very far in a very, very short time. The S&P has been very over bought on momentum and relative strength; we are going to get a correction. That does not mean another 20% decline, but at some point a pullback wll reverse some of the over bought conditions. We're also seeing this in the tech-weighted Nasdaq, which is very close to hitting its all-time highs. The whoel Mag-7 group has broken above its trendline, and we have reversed all of the negativity. The Nasdaq, in particular, has begun building inverse head-and-shoulder patterns, reversing the negative trends building earlier in the year. Small Cap stocks, however, continue to suck this year, not having the recovery that large caps have had. The VIX remains very supressed, with very little concern by investors whether or not there should be some type of correction. That type of complacency, in itself, is worrisome. Not even the Moody's downgrade was enough of a trigger for correction. June may hold the potential for a pullback in the market. For now, patience is the keyword.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HEQXlux8Yfg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #InvestorPatience #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

What does a lower credit rating mean for investors, interest rates, and the broader economy? Lance Roberts examines the implications of Moody's recent U.S. debt downgrade, historical precedents, market reactions, and potential consequences for fiscal policy and the bond market.

Markets have enjoyed a 19% rally from the Liberation Day lows (such declines do not happen often, and worth paying attention to when they do). Markets are currently around 2% below all-time highs, having almost fully-recovered from the decline in just the last three weeks. In terms of momentum and market strength, we're extremely over bought, and the markets need a pause to refresh. The Moody's Debt Downgrade will provide pressure on the bond and stock markets, which is no surprise. Will the Moody's move be the event that brings sellers to market? Markets will pull back; but if we're going to advance again to new, all-time highs, markets will need to hold at support at about the 200-DMA. If that fails, markets will drop down to the 50- and 20-DMA, around 5,550-ish.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hAR6Dr4E-UE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

What if your Social Security benefits were no longer taxed? A new bill in Congress could make that happen — but is it real policy or just political posturing? Richard Rosso unpacks the proposal to eliminate federal income tax on Social Security, what it could mean for retirees, and the fiscal reality behind the promise.

Are rising yields a warning sign, or are they reflecting renewed economic strength? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz dive into the latest movements in bond yields and what they signal for markets, the Fed, and your portfolio.  Lance and Mike analyze the shape of the yield curve, interest rate forecasts, and what it all means for investors in 2025: * Why the 10-year Treasury yield is making headlines  * Is the inverted yield curve still relevant?  * What to watch from the Fed and inflation data  * How bond market signals impact equity prices Stay informed. Stay ahead. ➤ Subscribe for more market insight and financial commentary. SEG-1: If You Don't Raise Cash, You Can't Buy the Dip SEG-2: Inflation Continues to Modulate Lower SEG-3: Markets Are Driven by Trading Dynamics SEG-4: The Problem with the Buffett Indicator Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nkCQucjucCo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Wealth Effect Is Not Always Virtuous" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-wealth-effect-is-not-always-virtuous/ "A Bear Market Rally?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Now is the Time to Not Be Greedy" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bdJgbyS_PkA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Equity Chase is On" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zRtjeKGJ7o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/  ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondYields #InterestRates #YieldCurve #MarketUpdate #TreasuryYields #MarketRally InvestorGreed #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #Mag7Stocks #StockMarket2025 #StockMarketRally #EquityOutlook #BullMarket2025 #InvestmentStrategy #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #PatiencePays#MarketRally #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets continue to perform well, ending on Wednesday about where they started. Boeing received a nice lift from a big order for planes from Qatar, and the country is planning to spend more money on US defense technology which will impact companies like Raytheon and Palantir. A failed peace meeting in Turkey will weigh on markets this morning. One might assigne headline risk to a market pullback, but the reality is markets will recede following the most recent, huge short-covering rally over the pasdt two weeks. This is not the time to be greedy: Remember how you felt when things were looking sour, and now that markets have rallied, take some care: If you don't take some cash here, you cannot buy the next dip when it comes along...and it will come.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bdJgbyS_PkA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (6/28/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #InvestorGreed #BuyTheDip #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #Mag7Stocks #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA  #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

As markets climb higher, investors are rushing back into stocks. But is the chase for equity returns grounded in fundamentals—or just FOMO? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff dive into the sudden surge in equity markets and the renewed appetite for risk. Is this rally sustainable—or are investors simply chasing performance at the top? What's fueling the stock market rally in 2025, how is sentiment shifting, and why chasing returns in bull markets can be dangerous without a disciplined investment strategy. Lance & Danny also explore portfolio positioning and risk management tips that can help you stay grounded amid the hype. How to get back into the market? Is a bid to offer 4 X leverage for retirement accounts a good idea? What changes our thesis about Bonds?  Whether you're managing your own money or working with an advisor, now's the time to revisit your equity exposure and prepare for what comes next. SEG-1: Do We Sell in May & Go Away? SEG-2: How Do We Get Back In? SEG-3: 4 x Leverage for 401k? SEG-4: What Changes our Thesis on Bonds? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1zRtjeKGJ7o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mention in this show: "A Bear Market Rally?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Turn Positive for the Year...barely" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dp2bd5BsGmE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is Tariff-driven Volatility Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5U_4ulK_Pw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/  ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #Mag7Stocks #StockMarket2025 #StockMarketRally #EquityOutlook #BullMarket2025 #InvestmentStrategy #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #PatiencePays#MarketRally #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets turned positive for the year on Tuesday...by .8%, clearing all major levels of resistance. That doesn't leave much more resistance for markets to achieve all-time highs again. Markets are defying expectations for correction and recession. Pro investors are very far behind in allocation due to their negative positioning on equities, and they missed out. Now they're underweight w the Mag-7, and now must catch up at elevated prices. Add to this a strong surge in buy backs by these companies in the past few weeks. This momentum will fade, and some consolidation /pullback will occur, but so long as markets' support levels remain in place, markets will try to move higher.     Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dp2bd5BsGmE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (6/28/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #Mag7Stocks #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA  #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Tariffs rattled markets. Then… silence. Are we in the clear—or is another shock coming? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn tackle the question: Is Tariff Volatility Over? The reversal of tariffs is only a 90-day reprieve; markets are very over bought, and after Monday's rally are due for some pullback (sooner or later); be patient and bide your time before jumping into the fray. Lance and Jonathan discuss why contrarian investing is smart. Preview of today's inflation print; the danger of not doing proper research before investing: Know what you own. Wondering where to invest next? What do you use on an everyday basis? Watch now and subscribe for more real-world investing insight. SEG-1: This is Inflation Week SEG-2: Why Contrarian Investing is Important SEG-3: The Danger of Not Doing the Research SEG-4: The Importance of Understanding What You Own Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t5U_4ulK_Pw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "A Bear Market Rally?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "It Pays to Be Patient" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtbRbUJF0L8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Deal with a Bear Market Rally" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uTZmVaVMzpg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/  ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #PatiencePays #TariffVolatility #GlobalMarkets #StockMarket2025 #TradeWarAftermath #RealInvestmentShow #MarketRally #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Technically speaking, markets are very over bought in terms of relative strength, which suggests that a lot of the rally from recent lows has been priced into the market. Markets can remain over bought...for a while, but will have more difficulty rising higher without a bit of a pullback first. The likelihood markets will retest those lows is very...low. Momentum is also extremely over bought, which is another indicator markets could have a pullback. If you're looking to add equity exposure to your portfolio, it will pay to be patient. Where will those entry points be? Markets on Monday broke above the 100- and 200-DMA; that's great, but markets must now hold above that level to make the breakout stick. The next level of resistance will be the all-time high, so there's not a lot to stop markets from here to there. Any pullback to the 200-DMA will be a good place for a buy-in.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KtbRbUJF0L8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (6/28/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketPullBack #PatiencePays #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA  #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

It's Lance Roberts' 60th birthday, and the birthday faery made an early visit to the studio. Markets will be boosted today by news of an agreement between the US and China over tariffs. Is the recent market rebound a sign of recovery—or just a classic bear market trap?  Lance Roberts breaks down what defines a bear market rally, why investors often get whipsawed by false hope, and how to position your portfolio amid short-term optimism and long-term uncertainty. With earnings season in full swing and rate cuts still in question, we'll explore whether this bounce has legs or is setting up for another leg lower. Lance is looking for a classic truck and has his eye on a '71 International Scout; interestingly, commentary on valuations, and the prices people are willing to pay. A history lesson on market corrections, recessions, and bottoms (with charts); why it's important to not ignore bear market signs. SEG-1: 60th Birthday, Mother's Day & Bear Market Rally SEG-2a: Bidding on a '71 Scout SEG-2b: Valuations Are What People Are Willing to Pay SEG-3: Bear Market Rallies and Market Bottoms SEG-4: Do Not Ignore Bear Market Signs Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uTZmVaVMzpg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "A Bear Market Rally?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-bear-market-rally/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "S5-12-25 Do You Want to Make Some Money?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ngmFyV6B9TY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Tax Reform Stall?" and "Money Advice for Single Moms on Mother's Day:" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7_0Zpmbtb-I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s Watch the first-hour of the show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kwfW2yddsWI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/  ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #100DMA #50DMA #200DMA #BearMarketRally #StockMarketUpdate #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategies #EconomicForecast #LanceRobertsBirthday #InternationalScout #RayDaleo #JohnHuntsman #PEterSchiff #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The market driver today will be news of a workout between the US and China over tariffs. The markets' technical support line,  going back to the begining of the tariff negotiations, is emerging as a conglomeration of resistance turning to support at the 100- and 200-DMA's. These are the last lines of defense beyond which markets can move higher. The key is for markets to move above those resistance levels, and hold. Markets are over bought on a few fronts, momentum and relative strength are also quite elevated. This is the challenge to set emotions aside and read what the markets are telling us. Disclosure: We're holding a higher-than-normal amount of cash, and we have a short position in our portfolio that will likely be removed once the market confirms the correction is completed. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ngmFyV6B9TY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (6/28/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #200DMA #50DMA #200DMA  #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Being a single mom means wearing every hat—and that includes the CFO of the household. In this special Mother's Day edition of Financial Fitness Friday, Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle offer tailored financial planning advice for single moms, covering essential strategies for budgeting, building an emergency fund, managing debt, and long-term investing. Rich and Matt also cover market trends, tariff news, and Qualified Charitable Deduction Strategies. SEG-5: Will the Tax Bill Pass - How to Prepare SEG-6: Memory Care & Tax Changes Coming SEG-7: Qualified Charitable Deduction Strategies SEG-8: Money Advice for Single Mom's on Mother's Day Hosted by RIA Advisors DIrector of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7_0Zpmbtb-I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s What the first-hour of the show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kwfW2yddsWI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Shallow Pullbacks Still Spell Opportunity" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rqKH5pCCtr8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed Stays Hawkish" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cn7-AOMEbKY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/  ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SingleMomFinance #MothersDayMoneyTips #FinancialIndependenceForMoms  #SmartMoneyForMoms #BudgetingForSingleMoms #TaxReform2025 #CapitalGainsTax #CorporateTaxChanges #TaxPolicyUpdate #CongressionalGridlock #FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #MarketUpdate #HigherForLonger #SmartInvesting #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #FedDay #FOMC #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ChinaBlinks #ChinaTariffs #TradeWar #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

With a new administration in Washington and control of Congress shifting, tax reform is once again a high-stakes issue for investors and business owners. Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle analyze what's on the table—proposals to adjust capital gains rates, reduce or expand corporate tax burdens, and modify personal income brackets. We'll break down where negotiations stand, what's likely to change, and how gridlock could delay progress. This episode is a must-listen for anyone trying to position their portfolio ahead of potential tax legislation. SEG-1: Why It's Never "Really Different This Time" SEG-2: The American Pope & Mother's Day Spending SEG-3: Tax "Reform" May Not Look Like You Want SEG-4: When Roth vs Pre-Tax Works Best Hosted by RIA Advisors DIrector of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kwfW2yddsWI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 What the second-hour of the show here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7_0Zpmbtb-I&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Shallow Pullbacks Still Spell Opportunity" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rqKH5pCCtr8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Fed Stays Hawkish" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cn7-AOMEbKY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/  ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxReform2025 #CapitalGainsTax #CorporateTaxChanges #TaxPolicyUpdate #CongressionalGridlock #FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #MarketUpdate #HigherForLonger #SmartInvesting #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #FedDay #FOMC #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ChinaBlinks #ChinaTariffs #TradeWar #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Federal Reserve kept its stance firmly hawkish at their latest FOMC meeting — but what does that mean for stocks, bonds, and the economy? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the Fed's latest interest rate decision, Jerome Powell's comments, and the immediate market reaction, covering key sectors impacted, investor sentiment shifts, and the Fed's outlook for inflation, growth, and monetary policy going forward. Lance and Michael discuss why Fed Head Jerome Powell was surprised by the Trump Tariffs, the relative strength of the dollar, and how the economy is "normalizing" with "higher" interest rates. Lance and Michael also discuss the merits of Ai with Apple & Google, and the multiplier effect artificial intelligence will produce for supporting industries; the importance of identifying and investing in companies poised for generating earnings growth. Don't miss this critical update as the Fed's tough tone shapes the path ahead for portfolios and financial markets. SEG-1: Fed Day Snoozer; Earnings Season Wraps SEG-2: Why It's Okay to Run a Trade Deficit SEG-3: The Economy is Actually Normalizing SEG-4a: Apple vs Google-Ai SEG-4b: Investing in Companies Generating Earnings Growth Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O9m45eTIyu0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Storm Before The Calm" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-storm-before-the-calm/ “Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025 https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ "Resistance Is Futile” – For Both Bulls And Bears" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/resistance-is-futile-for-both-bulls-and-bears/ "Economic Decline Gains Momentum" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/economic-decline-gains-momentum/ "Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Can the Market Continue to Build?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e00bUJpRZZc ------- Our previous show is here: "China Blinks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cn7-AOMEbKY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=5s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (5/3/25) HERE: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/live-chat/  ------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #FederalReserve #InterestRate #HawkishFed #InvestingOpportunity FederalReserve #FOMC #InterestRates #MarketUpdate #HigherForLonger #SmartInvesting #FinancialAdvice #StockMarket #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #FedDay #FOMC #InterestRates #FederalReserve #ChinaBlinks #ChinaTariffs #TradeWar #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #JobElimination #TargetDateFunds #RiskManagement #InvestingTips #StockMarketUpdate #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets initially responded with disappointment to the Fed holding firm on interest rates, but did pull out a positive day by the end of Wednesday's session. Markets again bounced off support at the 50-DMA, testing and holding that level twice in the past few days. Markets are building support at the same time the 20-DMA is catching up to the 50-DMA, building a double layer of support just below where stocks are trading. Professional traders are currently under-weight or equally-weighted exposure to equities, which gives a lot of potential buying power entering the market. Markets are now building a nice consolidation range, and if they can break above resistance at the 200-DMA, will clear the way for markets to move higher. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e00bUJpRZZc ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (6/28/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #FederalReserve #InterestRate #HawkishFed #InvestingOpportunity #RebalancePortfolio #ReduceRisk #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketNormalization #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing