The Real Investment Show Podcast

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It's a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.

Lance Roberts


    • Aug 13, 2026 LATEST EPISODE
    • daily NEW EPISODES
    • 26m AVG DURATION
    • 3,414 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from The Real Investment Show Podcast

    8-13-26 Retail Investors Are Chasing Again | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2026 4:27


    Markets remain near record highs, but after a powerful run since April, the S&P 500 is trading more than two standard deviations above trend and has stalled in a tight range. At the same time, retail investors are aggressively buying dips and returning to many of the stocks and sectors that previously burned them. That enthusiasm can keep markets elevated, but stretched conditions warrant caution. As midterm elections approach, investors should avoid chasing the rally, rebalance where necessary, and focus on managing portfolio risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/1sKwI4gscZo --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Wall Street To Support Data Center Growth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wall-street-to-support-data-center-growth/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #PortfolioManagement

    8-12-26 Q&A Wednesday - Is Inflation Back in Control?

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 42:07


    Fresh inflation data later this morning puts the Federal Reserve and the economy back in focus: Can inflation continue to cool despite higher energy prices? Is the weakening labor market increasing pressure on the Fed to cut rates? And with markets near record highs, should investors remain bullish, rebalance portfolios, or prepare for more volatility? Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your live questions on inflation, interest rates, the economy, markets, portfolio risk, and what investors should be watching next. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Inflation Day - CPI Preview 3:45 - Earning Season wrapping - earnings beats were high, buy backs return 4:35 - Markets Bank & Forth, consolidation continues 5:19 - Bullish Trend Continues - focus on what matters 9:27 - Bloomberg Poll - Living On Parents' Money & Adulting 14:57 - When buying stocks, how much does CEO matter? 17:07 - Tracking Gold Prices/Oil Prices/Inflation 18:25 - K-shaped Economy: When will weakening consumer matter? (Never bet against the consumer) 20:22 - AI Data Center Investment instruments: Revenue-generating asset class? 22:55 - Capital Gains Tax changes' effects on Boomer Retirement? 24:15 - Individual Bonds vs Bond Funds (SimpleVisor) 26:34 - US Treasuries & Yen intervention (FIMA Facility) 29:48 - Bond Yields at 5%+ - Good Time to Buy? 30:54 - CAPE Yields 31:23 - Are Buybacks Losing their Effectiveness? 33:20 - Is there circular-financing going on with Nvidia? 36:34 - What do you consider a long-duration bond? (Duration exceeds needs) 38:49 - What about Corporate Bonds? 39:56 - Earnings are fake? (Microsoft Operating Income) Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Why Bearish Headlines Keep Losing," https://youtu.be/ygeDd0d0XF8 -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Hl6lVuNeTYM ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Abel Takes Charge at Berkshire Hathaway" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/abel-takes-charge-at-berkshire-hathaway/ -------- Watch our previous show, "What Really Drives Markets?" https://youtube.com/live/c9cOlFVLGoU ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #Earnings #PortfolioManagement #Inflation #FederalReserve #Economy

    8-12-26 Why Bearish Headlines Keep Losing | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 3:52


    Markets are consolidating after their recent surge, but the underlying trend remains bullish. Momentum is on a buy signal, moving averages are rising, earnings remain strong, credit spreads are tight, and liquidity continues to support stocks. From tariffs and geopolitical conflicts to recession fears, bearish narratives have repeatedly challenged investors over the past five years. Yet staying out of the market because of scary headlines has been costly. Lance Roberts explains why earnings, liquidity, credit conditions, and market trends matter more than predictions, and why investors should focus on the data rather than the narrative. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/ygeDd0d0XF8 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #Earnings #PortfolioManagement

    8-11-26 What Really Drives Markets?

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2026 46:04


    What really drives bull and bear markets? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine why corporate earnings remain one of the most important forces behind market performance. Rising profits can support bull markets, while significant earnings declines have historically accompanied the most severe bear markets. We also examine calls for "sound money" and a return to the gold standard. While concerns over debt, deficits, inflation, and dollar debasement are legitimate, a gold-backed dollar could have significant consequences for credit, economic growth, and investors. The key is separating economic concerns from the fundamental forces actually driving markets. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - CPI Preview & Economic Numbers 4:51 - Markets Break Out to All-new Highs 10:15 - Birthday's & Beach Trips 12:13 - Emails to Lance - Back to Gold? 15:28 - Why We Invest 17:46 - Short-run Price Uncertainty 20:26 - The US as Reserve Currency of the World 21:30 - Real GDP vs Debt 24:38 - The Gold Standard Trap 25:53 - Gold's Role in Your Portfolio 29:26 - Earnings & Valuations - What to Pay Attention To? 31:57 - Markets are Constantly Pricing-in Earnings Expectations 33:17 - Earnings & Multiplier Performance History 34:56 - How We Rebalanced - Black Rock vs Goldman 36:16 - When Earnings Fall (chart) 39:05 - Credit Spread - The Differential Between Yields 43:02 - AI Credit Spreads are a Small Part of Market Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Market Highs Come With a Warning" https://youtu.be/3RiOabBiud4 -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/c9cOlFVLGoU ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wage-growth-as-a-leading-inflation-indicator/ "Sound Money: Be Careful What You Wish For" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sound-money-be-careful-what-you-wish-for/ "Earnings Drive Both Bull & Bear Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-drive-both-bull-bear-markets/ "Leveraged ETFs: Math Often Trumps Hype" -------- Watch our previous show, "Internet Scams You Need to Know - The Ari Schwartz Interview https://youtube.com/live/Azt1_vs16bA?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #MarketRisk #Volatility #Earnings #Gold #MarketOutlook

    8-11-26 Market Highs Come With a Warning | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2026 4:39


    Markets have broken out to new all-time highs after two months of consolidation, a bullish development that could support higher prices over the next six to twelve months. But the rapid advance has also pushed markets back toward overbought conditions. Volatility is deeply suppressed, investor fear is scarce, and money flow and market breadth have surged toward levels where they have historically peaked. That does not mean a market crash is coming, but it does argue for greater attention to portfolio risk. We explain why the longer-term outlook remains bullish, what could trigger a correction, and which market internals we're watching next. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/3RiOabBiud4 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Leveraged ETFs: Math Often Trumps Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leveraged-etfs-math-often-trumps-hype/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #MarketRisk #Volatility

    8-10-26 Internet Scams You Need to Know - The Ari Schwartz Interview

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 10, 2026 44:12


    Internet scams are evolving faster than ever, with artificial intelligence making phishing emails, fake phone calls, and fraudulent videos more convincing than traditional scams. Jon Penn and Venable Cybersecurity Services Managing Director, Avi Schwartz explain the most common online scams targeting consumers, investors, retirees, and businesses, along with practical steps you can take to protect yourself and your finances. We discuss AI-enhanced phishing attacks, deepfake voice and video scams, business email compromise, texting scams (smishing), elder fraud, and payment fraud involving gift cards and cryptocurrency. We also cover what to do if you've been scammed, how quickly you need to act to improve your chances of recovering stolen funds, and why authentication, passkeys, and independent verification are among your best defenses. Whether you're protecting your retirement savings, your business, or helping aging parents avoid fraud, this episode provides practical cybersecurity and financial safety strategies that can reduce your risk of becoming the next victim. 0:00 INTRO 0:20 - Internet Scams to be Aware of 3:53 - AI enhanced Phishing 7:00 - Deep Fake Voice & Video Scams 13:39 - Catch Them If You Can - How to get your money back 15:37 - Texting scams & smishing 18:21 - How Much Can You Lose? 19:29 - Who are the Targets? 22:34 - How Long Can it Take? 24:40 - Dealing with Elder Fraud 26:11 - How to Prevent or Reduce Chances of Falling Victim to Scams 30:09 - Strengthen Authentication - passkeys 34:10 - Verify Before You Act (avoid urgency) 36:26 - Avoid Engaging with Unknown Contacts - Ignore it 36:55 - Double check all Financial Transactions 38:47 - Watching for Payment Red Flags (Gift Cards & Cyber Currency) 41:58 - Authentication & Verification are Key Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP, w special guest, Venable Cybersecurity Services Managing Director, Ari Schwartz Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Azt1_vs16bA ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI-Driven Fraud Scams Are Evolving Fast: What People Should Watch For and Can Do To Protect Themselves, Their Friends, and Family" https://www.centerforcybersecuritypolicy.org/insights-and-research/ai-driven-fraud-scams-are-evolving-fast-what-people-should-watch-for-and-can-do-to-protect-themselves-their-friends-and-family -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Consolidate as Sector Rotation Strengthens," https://youtu.be/pG8vxTC6oco ------- Watch our previous show, "Do You Really Know Your Risk Tolerance?" https://youtube.com/live/m3KZ1fbws2k ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CyberSecurity #InternetScams #IdentityTheft #FinancialPlanning #PersonalFinance

    8-7-26 Aging in Place - What to Consider

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2026 42:15


    8-7-26 Aging in Place - What to Consider More Americans want to age in place, but is staying in your home the best financial and lifestyle decision? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty explore the real costs, benefits, and planning strategies behind one of retirement's biggest decisions. We discuss how neighborhoods, community connections, and changing retirement goals influence aging in place, while comparing the costs of home modifications with assisted living. We also examine emerging technologies—including AI companions, telehealth, smart-home monitoring, and wearable devices—that are reshaping independent living for older adults. Topics include long-term care planning, reverse mortgages and HECMs, Social Security and Medicare decisions, accommodating live-in caregivers, home safety upgrades, mental fitness, and why some older Boomers are choosing larger homes rather than downsizing. Whether you're planning for yourself or helping aging parents, this conversation offers practical financial insights for making informed decisions before a crisis forces your hand. 0:00 INTRO 0:19 - Aging Place Rationale & Evolution 2:30 - Neighborhoods & Community Spirit 5:29 - Progression of Goal Shifting 6:43 - Financial Guide - Aging in Place 10:52 - Eliminating Risks at Home 14:55 - Is Remaining at Home less Expensive than Assisted Living? 18:27 - Preparing for One vs Two Aging in Place: Future Technology 19:40 - The Demographics of AI Companions 20:15 - Surveillance Technology 22:36 -Children's Awareness of Long Term Care Coverage 23:27 - Home Bidets 25:11 - Understanding the trends & technology of Aging in Place 26:02 - Accommodating live-in caregivers 27:05 - Older Boomers Buying Bigger Homes trend 28:53 - After dinner dominos, cards, Mahjong, & Bingo 32:38 - Things to do for mental acuity - Elder Tech: Door Dash, Uber, Aura ring, etc. 35:44 - New Longevity Calculators & Telehealth 37:30 - Renovation vs Relocation 39:12 - Paying for the modifications - reverse mortgages & HECM's 41:04 - Smart decisions for SS & Medicare Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/H03YeyoVCkk ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "RIA E-Guide Library: Aging in Place" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- Watch our previous show, "The 60/40 Portfolio Is Not Dead" https://youtube.com/live/9KGokK9tGuA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #AgingInPlace #LongTermCare #PersonalFinance #Retirement

    8-6-26 Hidden AI Debt: Is the Risk Overblown?

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2026 40:29


    Has Wall Street been looking at hyperscaler debt all wrong? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine claims that the "hidden debt" of AI hyperscalers has surged to $1.65 trillion through off-balance-sheet obligations, including long-term leases and infrastructure commitments. But does that mean the AI investment thesis is breaking down? We'll separate the headlines from the fundamentals by comparing the financial strength of Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle. While hidden obligations deserve attention, not all debt carries the same risk, and not every hyperscaler should be viewed through the same lens. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - ISM Looking Good, MFG at 4-year High 4:13 - Markets Take a Rest - time to rebalance? 9:27 - Forward Returns After Breakout to New Highs 14:04 - Open Source AI vs Closed Source AI 17:18 - Who Benefits, Regardless of Source? (Who is the common denominator?) 22:31 - Hyperscaler Bear Porn - Look at the debt 24:53 - A Basket of Hyperscalers Does Not an Index Make 27:35 - What Does "Off Balance Sheet" Mean? (There Are Three Types) 28:27 - Data Center Leasing 30:32 - Joint Ventures 30:55 - Chip Leasing 35:20 - Listen to the Markets 38:34 - Busting Narratives; don't believe the hype Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/HeU8LWC2rfo?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Palantir Earnings Provide Hope For The Software Sector" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/palantir-earnings-provide-hope-for-the-software-sector/ "Hidden Debt: Is Our Hyperscaler Thesis Wrong – Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hidden-debt-is-our-hyperscaler-thesis-wrong-part-2/ "Carnage In Hyperscaler Credit: Really?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/carnage-in-hyperscaler-credit-really/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Time to Rebalance?" https://youtu.be/y7Er-AsOkFc ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Market Questions Answered" https://youtube.com/live/9KGokK9tGuA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #PortfolioManagement #RiskManagement #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #Technology #FinancialPlanning

    8-6-26 Time to Rebalance? | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2026 4:12


    The S&P 500 has broken out to fresh all-time highs after months of consolidation, triggering a new momentum buy signal. But after one of the strongest five-day rallies since April 2025, should investors keep buying, or start taking profits? In today's Before the Bell, we discuss why this is an ideal time to review your portfolio's risk, rebalance strategically, and trim oversized winners. We explain why rebalancing shouldn't be mechanical, how to distinguish quality companies from long-term laggards, and why understanding why a stock is underperforming matters just as much as its valuation. We also examine surging call-option activity, declining volatility, and why a healthy pullback would be normal after such a powerful advance. Learn how disciplined profit-taking and thoughtful portfolio management can help reduce stress during the market's next consolidation or correction. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/y7Er-AsOkFc --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #PortfolioManagement #RiskManagement #MarketOutlook

    8-5-26 Q&A Wednesday: Market Questions Answered

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2026 49:30


    It's Q&A Wednesday, and we're answering your live chat questions on today's biggest investing, market, and economic topics. With the S&P 500 near record highs after weeks of consolidation, investors are asking what comes next. Is this breakout sustainable, or are markets setting up for another bout of volatility? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff discuss market leadership, interest rates, inflation, AI, bonds, portfolio positioning, retirement planning, and whatever else is on your mind. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - AMD, Eli Lilly Earnings & Markets' New High 2:49 - Strait of Hormuz/Iran & Headlines 4:24 - Economic Data Weakens - JOLTS report 5:11 - The Thing About Consolidations & Breakouts 7:54 - Interest rates about to trigger bond buy signal 10:00 - Coffee & Keeping Lance Around 10:51 - Market Behavior & Investment Sentiment 12:19 - Core CPI vs Fed Funds Rate: Is the Fed wrong or the bond market wrong? 15:47 - Using Stablecoin to purchase international stocks 18:05 - Options strategies on parabolic moves 19:00 - US Debt Clock composition & Gold Purchases 23:16 - Will Yield Curve Control be eventually implemented? 24:50 - Is this a good week to rebalance? 27:18 - Investing in broad-market ETF's via SEP IRA 31:27 - Preferred Bonds vs Corp Bonds, & 60/40 Allocations 34:15 - Why you need inflation (why we invest) 39:28 - Understanding what you're buying (bonds) 42:17 - Emerging Market equities concentrated in PVR, VALE? 42:45 - Off balance Sheet AI Debt 43:14 - US purchase of Yen - a form of yield curve control? 46:49 - Traditional Pension + SS = ratio for equities? 48:25 - Two Types of Debt Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/HeU8LWC2rfo?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bonds In Your Portfolio: Why Ditching Them Is The Wrong Move" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bonds-in-your-portfolio-why-ditching-them-is-the-wrong-move/ "AI Bear Case: What Skeptics Get Right And Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bear-case-what-skeptics-get-right-and-wrong/ "The Momentum Crash: Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-momentum-crash-is-it-over/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "New Highs, Now What?" https://youtu.be/K0SaWvIeYkQ ------- Watch our previous show, "The 60/40 Portfolio Is Not Dead" https://youtube.com/live/9KGokK9tGuA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #Bonds #MarketOutlook FinancialPlanning #MarketOutlook

    8-5-26 New Highs, Now What? | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2026 4:10


    The S&P 500 has broken out to a new all-time high after months of sideways consolidation, but does that mean investors should immediately buy? Lance Roberts explains how consolidations work, why sideways markets can resolve overbought conditions without a major correction, and why patience may be rewarded after a breakout. We also discuss why a short-term pullback toward the breakout level could create a better entry point while preserving the current momentum buy signal. Plus, we examine the bond market as falling Treasury yields move closer to triggering a buy signal, despite ongoing concerns about inflation and oil prices. Before chasing new highs, understand what the technicals are signaling about stocks, bonds, interest rates, and where the next opportunity may develop. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/K0SaWvIeYkQ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #Bonds #MarketOutlook

    8-4-26 The 60/40 Portfolio Is Not Dead

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2026 47:31


    Is the classic 60/40 portfolio really obsolete, or are investors making a costly mistake by abandoning bonds? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine why fixed income still plays a critical role in portfolio construction, risk management, and long-term wealth preservation. We'll discuss why bonds remain valuable despite recent volatility, how they can improve diversification, and why chasing all-equity returns may expose investors to unnecessary risk. If you've been told that "bonds are dead," this conversation offers a different perspective backed by history and current market conditions. 0:00 INTRO 1:12 - Space-X First Report Preview 4:16 - Market Consolidation Continues 6:00 - Sometimes the Best Thing to Do is Nothing 8:57 - Space-X Options? 9:44 - 60/40 Portfolio is Dead? 13:41 - The Case Against Bonds 19:16 - Correlation Matters 24:09 Why Gold Does Not Belong in Bond Side of Portfolio 28:07 - Why We Own Certain Assets 31:02 - Understanding Beta 36:11 - Never Look at Bonds as a Hedge for Inflation 38:35 - Investing when it's "Safe" 39:36 - Inflation is not a Bad Thing 44:50 - Own Bonds, not ETF's Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/9KGokK9tGuA ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bonds In Your Portfolio: Why Ditching Them Is The Wrong Move" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bonds-in-your-portfolio-why-ditching-them-is-the-wrong-move/ "AI Bear Case: What Skeptics Get Right And Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bear-case-what-skeptics-get-right-and-wrong/ "The Momentum Crash: Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-momentum-crash-is-it-over/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Defy the Breakdown" https://youtu.be/Op2rlRHPdaU ------- Watch our previous show, "The Momentum Crash: Is It Over?" https://youtube.com/live/XLZMmL1p-H0 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #Bonds #PortfolioManagement #RetirementPlanning #AssetAllocation

    8-4-26 Markets Defy the Breakdown | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2026 3:59


    The S&P 500 has once again proven why emotional investing rarely pays off. After briefly breaking below the 50-day moving average and triggering bearish headlines, the market quickly reversed, reclaimed key technical levels, and is now back within striking distance of new all-time highs. In today's Before the Bell, we examine why this prolonged consolidation continues to frustrate investors, what the latest earnings from Palantir, Microsoft, Amazon, and chip stocks could mean for the AI trade, and why a new momentum buy signal may be close to triggering. We also discuss the seasonal headwinds of August and September, elevated oil prices, fading summer trading volume, and the improving earnings outlook that continues to support stock prices. Is this finally the breakout investors have been waiting for, or just another head fake inside a frustrating trading range? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/Op2rlRHPdaU --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #AIStocks #MarketOutlook

    8-3-26 The Momentum Crash: Is It Over?

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 3, 2026 50:03


    Momentum stocks have suffered one of the sharpest reversals in years, leaving investors wondering whether the worst is behind us or if another leg lower is still ahead. Lance Roberts looks at what caused the momentum crash, why crowded trades can unwind so quickly, and whether the recent rebound is signaling a durable recovery or simply a temporary relief rally. We'll also discuss what history suggests about momentum reversals, portfolio diversification, risk management, and the technical signals investors should watch before increasing exposure to high-growth stocks. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Markets End a Negative July 4:42 - Maybe Not the Buy-the-Dip Opportunity 11:10 - Is the Momentum Crash Over? 17:06 - The Retail Side of Levered Trade 21:09 - The Cap-ex Spend is Real 22:39 - Proportion of S&P 500 Co's Beating Earnings Estimates 26:15 - Is the Correction Over? 29:35 - Bet on Nothing - Trade on Environment You're Given 33:58 - Sector Analysis 35:38 - The AI Bear Case - Three Arguments 39:26 - Hyperscaler Cap-Ex 41:38 - Circular Financing Myth 44:33 - Is AI Revenue Fake? 46:50 - Positioning for Either Outcome Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/XLZMmL1p-H0 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Bear Case: What Skeptics Get Right And Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bear-case-what-skeptics-get-right-and-wrong/ "The Momentum Crash: Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-momentum-crash-is-it-over/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Market Bounce or More Chop?" https://youtu.be/gGQUeec8J9w ------- Watch our previous show, "Mid-Year Financial Checklist" https://youtube.com/live/2oESMTD2Cqg?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #MomentumInvesting #MarketOutlook

    8-3-26 Market Bounce or More Chop? | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 3, 2026 5:02


    The market has reclaimed the 50- and 100-day moving averages after last week's selloff, avoiding the knee-jerk breakdown many feared. But does that mean the next leg higher has begun? In today's Before the Bell, we explain why the S&P 500 remains trapped in a two-month consolidation, why diversified portfolios have held up better than momentum trades, and why this still may not be the "buy the dip" opportunity many investors are waiting for. We'll also discuss why momentum stocks remain under pressure despite a deep correction, what technical signals traders should watch before re-entering that space, and why August and September's seasonal weakness argues for disciplined risk management rather than chasing rallies. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/gGQUeec8J9w --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement

    7-31-26 Mid-Year Financial Checklist

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2026 45:37


    Are you on track financially, or is it time for a mid-year course correction? In this episode, we walk through a comprehensive mid-year financial checklist designed to help investors and retirees prepare for the second half of the year. We'll discuss whether your portfolio allocation still matches your goals, why sector rotation matters, realistic expectations for investment returns, and the importance of updating retirement income plans. We also cover mid-year tax projections, Roth conversion strategies (including the often-overlooked downsides), charitable giving techniques, insurance reviews, and why knowing what your money is actually for may be the most important financial planning decision you make. We'll also touch on labor market trends, including what high-paying employers like Buc-ee's tell us about today's economy, and the growing role of AI and robot teachers in education. Whether you're planning for retirement, reducing taxes, reviewing insurance coverage, or refining your investment strategy, this checklist can help you finish the year on stronger financial footing. 0:00 INTRO 0:20 - Lettuce Memes, Future Shock, Bad Architecture, & Tiny Towns 7:12 - Market Frustrations & Sector Rotations 10:01 - Is Your Allocation Right for You? 13:25 - Robot Teachers in New York 15:11 - What Your Money is For... 16:37 - Expectations for Returns 20:36 - What You Can Make at Buc-cee's 22:29 - Mid-year Tax Projections 26:39 - Retirement Income Update, Charitable Intent & Micro-budgeting 30:02 - Charitable Remainder Trust 33:43 - Putting together a strategy for charitable giving 37:16 - The "Alt Side" of the Roth Conversion 41:06 - Insurance Review 42:44 - Savvy Social Security DLS Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/2oESMTD2Cqg?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Hyperscaler Credit: Warning or Opportunity?" https://youtube.com/live/lsx5FwAF_mQ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning #Investing #TaxPlanning #WealthManagement

    7-30-26 Hyperscaler Credit: Warning or Opportunity?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2026 44:04


    Are investors overreacting to rising credit spreads among the largest AI hyperscalers? As companies like Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle continue borrowing heavily to fund massive AI infrastructure, headlines are warning of "carnage" in hyperscaler credit markets. But does wider credit spread really signal financial trouble—or simply reflect unprecedented capital spending? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine what credit default swaps (CDS), bond spreads, and AI capital expenditures are actually telling investors. We'll separate sensational headlines from market reality, and explore whether this is a genuine warning sign or another example of fear outrunning the fundamentals. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Markets Sell of as Margins Unwind 3:48 - What Happens When Moving Averages Are Broken 7:22 - Yields Respond to FOMC 9:42 - What Walsh Didn't Say... 14:01 - Four Things (he did say) 16:01 - No Support for Rate Hikes in Slowing Economy 21:26 - Momentum is the Market Driver (and it's unwinding) 23:24 - Why the 2% Inflation Target? 27:09 - Google vs Microsoft Earnings & Market Responses 30:25 - Hyperscalers & Credit Spreads 36:34 - Oracle is the Problem Child 37:42 - Market Price Narratives are not Realistic 39:42 - The Importance of Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/lsx5FwAF_mQ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Carnage In Hyperscaler Credit: Really?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/carnage-in-hyperscaler-credit-really/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Consolidate as Sector Rotation Strengthens," https://youtu.be/pG8vxTC6oco ------- Watch our previous show, "Will the Fed Meeting Matter?" https://youtube.com/live/NXuTqIZToX0 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #MomentumStocks #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #Investing #TechStocks #PortfolioManagement

    7-30-26 50-DMA Breakdown: What's Next? | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2026 4:54


    Markets are testing a critical technical level after failing to reclaim the 50-day moving average. Is this a routine pullback before new highs, or the beginning of a deeper correction? In today's Before the Bell, we examine why failed rallies after a moving average break deserve more attention than the initial decline, what the next support levels at the 100- and 200-day moving averages could mean for investors, and why momentum stocks are experiencing far more damage than the broader market. We'll also discuss why oversold conditions could spark a short-term rally, why panic selling may be the wrong move for momentum investors, and how Treasury yields and the Federal Reserve could influence market direction over the next several trading sessions. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/Jn1ZGnryxU4 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #MomentumStocks #MarketOutlook

    7-29-26 Will the Fed Meeting Matter?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2026 43:42


    It's Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff answer your questions from our YouTube Live chat while discussing one of the week's biggest market events: the Federal Reserve meeting. Will the Fed's latest decision change the market's direction, or is earnings season, inflation, and economic data driving the bigger story? We answer your questions on investing, portfolio management, retirement planning, market volatility, interest rates, AI stocks, and the economic headlines shaping investor decisions. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - US/Iran Tit-for-tat, FOMC & Rates w No Forward Guidance 3:15 - Earnings Beat Rate at 83% 4:42 - Markets Languish Below 50-DMA 9:24 - Earnings Prelude 10:31 - What has raised living standards (defining "living standards") vs Happiness 15:40 - Social Media & comparisons to wrong benchmarks 17:26 - The Role of Moving Averages (and how we use them) 21:06 - Using Odd Moving Averages vs 20-, 50-, 100-DMA standards 22:10 - Buying Chinese Chip Stocks (or any International stocks)? 24:24 - Where to Find Earnings Estimates by Sectors 25:33 - Mag-7 performance, Microsoft, & Free Cash Flow 28:24 - Repatriation of Money to Japan? 29:36 - Will AI Improve Middle Class standards of Living? (Solo-preneurships) 32:44 - Should We Incentivize Young Couples to Have Children thru Tax Credits? 36:40 - Will Interest Rates & Inflation Continue to Move Up? 37:02 - Is GIS a Dividend Trap? 40:06 - Most pressing worry in current environment: What we don't know 40:33 - When Bear Sterns Collapsed... Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, DAnny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/NXuTqIZToX0 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Capex Depreciation Risk Is The Catch To Record Earnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-capex-depreciation-risk-is-the-catch-to-record-earnings/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Consolidate as Sector Rotation Strengthens," https://youtu.be/pG8vxTC6oco ------- Watch our previous show, "Do You Really Know Your Risk Tolerance?" https://youtube.com/live/m3KZ1fbws2k ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #StockMarket #Investing #FinancialPlanning #QAWednesday #StockMarket #MarketRotation #Investing #SP500 #PortfolioManagement

    7-29-26 Markets Consolidate as Sector Rotation Strengthens | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2026 3:56


    Markets remain trapped below key technical resistance, with the S&P 500 unable to reclaim its 20-day and 50-day moving averages. While money flows continue to soften and price action stays locked in a tightening consolidation pattern, market internals tell a different story. Lance Roberts shares why equal-weighted stocks are outperforming, why Mega-Cap technology and semiconductors are no longer carrying the market, and how improving market breadth is masking weakness in the headline indexes. We also discuss the seasonal challenges of August and September, what investors should watch for before adding risk, and why diversification becomes especially valuable during periods of market rotation. Rather than chasing headlines, successful investing often means recognizing when leadership is changing, maintaining discipline, and preparing to capitalize on opportunities when quality companies become temporarily mispriced. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/pG8vxTC6oco --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketRotation #Investing #SP500 #PortfolioManagement #Semiconductors #RiskManagement #ValueInvesting

    7-28-26 Do You Really Know Your Risk Tolerance?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 28, 2026 49:08


    Everyone says they're comfortable with investment risk—until markets actually decline. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn discuss why true risk tolerance isn't measured during bull markets but during periods of fear and uncertainty. We explain the difference between financial capacity and emotional tolerance, why investors often overestimate the amount of volatility they can handle, and how emotional decisions can permanently damage long-term returns. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - Markets Building Downward Pressure 4:00 - Semi's in Momentum Trade 8:39 - Investor, Know Thyself 11:00 - Investing is Supposed to be Boring 14:02 - Waiting Until the Market is "Safe" 15:47 - Risk Knows No Age 21:06 - TOD vs POD - What's the Difference? 23:55 - What is Per Stirpes? 27:34 - Lance's Treasure Hunt 28:03 - Diversity of Accounts Is Not a Good Thing 28:03 - Diversity of Accounts Is Not a Good Thing 34:58 - The Value in Consolidation of Accounts 36:42 - SIPC Insurance and Bankruptcy 45:04 - At What Age...? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/m3KZ1fbws2k ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Retail Traders Consistently Underperform Over Time" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-retail-traders-consistently-underperform-over-time/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Bounce as Oil Retreats" https://youtu.be/-32Zu3-6gP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "AI's Earnings Catch: The Depreciation Risk" hhttps://youtube.com/live/5lrbGjrxvQY ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Semiconductors #StockMarket #Investing #RiskManagement #ValueInvesting #RiskTolerance #FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning

    7-27-26 AI's Earnings Catch: The Depreciation Risk

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 27, 2026 46:18


    Big Tech continues to post record earnings, but investors may be overlooking one critical risk: AI capital spending. Lance Roberts explains why today's AI spending boom could become tomorrow's accounting headwind, how depreciation affects corporate profitability, and why investors should look beyond headline earnings. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Elon Musk, former Trillionaire & Another Iran Cease-fire 5:34 - Markets Set to Open Sharply Higher 10:59 - Shopping w Mrs. Roberts & Back to College 13:09 - AI Depreciation Risk Impact on Earnings 16:40 - Valuations on EBITDA 19:11 - Hyperscalers' 2026 Estimates 20:25 - Focusing on Free Cash Flow--why?? 23:25 - Markets Have Already Priced-in Depreciation 25:20 - How to Best Evaluated Companies 27:38 - Are US Treasuries a Safe Asset? 33:34 - What Happens if Foreign Demand for Dollars Goes to Zero? 38:00 - The Only Thing that Matters: Duration 41:03 - Change in Duration is Not a Credit Event 42:37 - Why Buy US Treasuries? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/5lrbGjrxvQY ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Capex Depreciation Risk Is The Catch To Record Earnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-capex-depreciation-risk-is-the-catch-to-record-earnings/ "Are US Treasuries Still A Safe Asset?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/are-us-treasuries-still-a-safe-asset-copy/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Bounce as Oil Retreats" https://youtu.be/-32Zu3-6gP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Financial Fitness Friday - Trump Accounts: What Parents Need to Know" https://youtube.com/live/UGqEJxQ6Fls?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #ArtificialIntelligence #BigTech #Investing #MarketAnalysis

    7-27-26 Markets Bounce as Oil Retreats | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 27, 2026 4:35


    Stocks are set to open sharply higher as oil prices reverse from last week's overbought extremes, reinforcing why technical analysis often provides better signals than reacting to headlines. We review how falling oil prices are influencing stocks, gold, silver, and the U.S. dollar, and why those relationships matter for investors. We also examine whether the S&P 500 can reclaim its 50-day moving average after last week's breakdown, what the current momentum sell signal suggests, and why markets remain trapped in a consolidation range. While oversold conditions could support a short-term rebound, geopolitical risks and overhead resistance continue to warrant disciplined risk management rather than emotional reactions. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/-32Zu3-6gP8 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis

    7-24-26 Trump Accounts - What Parents Need to Know

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 24, 2026 47:56


    What are Trump Accounts, and could they reshape how families save and invest for the next generation? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down how Trump Accounts work, who qualifies, how they're funded, the role of employers and charitable contributions, and how these new custodial accounts compare with traditional UGMA and UTMA accounts. We also discuss investment choices, withdrawal rules, inflation considerations, and the potential addition of publicly traded securities. Beyond the mechanics, we explore the broader goal of improving financial literacy, raising financially responsible children, and avoiding the financial planning mistakes that can undermine long-term wealth. Whether you're a parent, grandparent, financial advisor, or simply curious about this new savings concept, we'll explain what matters most—and what questions still need answers. 0:00 INTRO 0:19 - Sleep Training & Trump Accounts 5:07 - Creating Financial Literacy Lessons? 8:51 - Evolution of Trump Accounts - How are they funded? 12:54 - Allowing publicly traded securities in Trump Accounts 14:51 - Employers' Contributions (Michael Dell donation) 15:53 - Custodial Account Aspects 18:55 - Making the first withdrawal 21:15 - E-bikes & Mopeds (Better Off Dead) 23:38 - UGMA's, UTMA's vs Trump Accounts 25:26 - The choices in Trump Accounts? 28:09 - Indexing for Inflation? 29:41 - The process & custodial choices 32:03 - The Charitable Donation angle 33:24 - The Financial Education Milestones with Trump Account funds 38:26 - Raising Financially Viable Children 40:43 - Financial Planning Minefields 43:38 - Final Thoughts on Trump Accounts Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/UGqEJxQ6Fls?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Retail Traders Consistently Underperform Over Time" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-retail-traders-consistently-underperform-over-time/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Eye Earnings as Oil Lifts Yields" https://youtu.be/rWpYjR1_Cxs ------- Watch our previous show, "Why Investors Keep Chasing What's Hot" https://youtube.com/live/-ZZA_xtFZGg?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpAccounts #FinancialPlanning #FinancialLiteracy #Investing #RetirementPlanning

    7-23-26 Can SpaceX Fire on All Cylinders?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2026 47:07


    SpaceX has transformed the commercial space industry with reusable rockets, Starlink, and ambitious plans for Starship. But after one of the largest IPOs in history, can the company continue delivering the growth investors now expect? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine whether SpaceX's fundamentals can keep pace with its valuation. We'll discuss launch cadence, Starlink's revenue potential, Starship's development timeline, competitive pressures, capital requirements, and the risks investors should consider before chasing one of the market's most talked-about stocks. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - Where Do Markets Go Next? 3:40 - The Oil, Dollar, & Gold Connection 9:41 - The Only Thing That Really Matters is Earnings Growth 13:52 - Liquidity Matters as well 15:11 - Google Earnings & Negative Free Cash 23:59 - Space-X: Is Value Eroding? 26:51 - The Three Distinct Businesses of Space-X 33:08 - What Space-X Employees Will Do 37:04 - The Track Record of Elon Musk 37:50 - When to Buy Space-X? 40:52 - Space-X Earnings: Wait for it 41:50 - Oil, Bonds, & Gold Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/XGeCGPXfE4k ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Can SpaceX Fire On All Cylinders?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/can-spacex-fire-on-all-cylinders/ --- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Oil, Earnings, and Market Complacency," https://youtu.be/nBKqoSD_uCI ------- Watch our previous show, "Why Retail Traders Keep Losing" https://youtube.com/live/neGG2EOd8SM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #EarningsSeason #Investing #SpaceX #ElonMusk #GrowthStocks

    7-23-26 Oil, Earnings, and Market Complacency | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2026 4:21


    Climbing Oil prices continue on a momentum buy signal as crude approaches key resistance near the 100-day moving average. A stronger U.S. dollar is rising alongside oil, while gold remains under pressure as global demand for dollars increases. Despite geopolitical tensions and higher energy prices, market volatility remains surprisingly subdued. In today's Before the Bell, we examine why the S&P 500 continues to hold support near the 50-day moving average, how corporate earnings are offsetting macro risks, and why investor complacency may be the biggest risk currently hiding beneath the market's surface. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/nBKqoSD_uCI --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #EarningsSeason #Investing

    7-22-26 Q&A Wednesday - Spotting Market Narratives

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 22, 2026 52:51


    It's Q&A Wednesday, and we're tackling some of the biggest questions investors are asking right now. How do you separate compelling market narratives from reality? We discuss practical ways to identify, question, and fact-check popular investing themes before making portfolio decisions. 0:00 INTRO 0:52 - Google, Intel, Tesla Preview 5:45 - Oil Price Futures & Iran 10:44 - How much allocation to high risk, high reward strategies? 14:44 - Which company for toilet paper price increases 15:25 - Determining when to buy stock in high momentum sector (like semi-conductors)? 19:59 - SimpleVisor S&P Estimated earnings 20:32 - Long dated calls & puts for risk management in current market? 24:22 - Hyperscalers & AI GPU Depreciation & Free Cash Flow 28:27 - Holdings Breakdown in S&P - buying equally in all sectors? 31:45 - Is there a good Sector Rotation Fund we watch? 32:25 - What do we do in the morning to prepare for the day? (not Suze Ormand) 36:12 - Isn't Rebalancing adding to losers? 40:15 - Roth IRA w ETF's 41:26 - Private Credit in a slowing economy 44:51 - Have Food Stocks bottomed? (General Mills) 48:11 - Outlook for Interest Rates through the end of the year 49:53 - Are Energy Stocks attractive? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/AmHOXWmt2OI ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Retail Traders Consistently Underperform Over Time" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-retail-traders-consistently-underperform-over-time/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Eye Earnings as Oil Lifts Yields" https://youtu.be/rWpYjR1_Cxs ------- Watch our previous show, "Why Investors Keep Chasing What's Hot" https://youtube.com/live/-ZZA_xtFZGg?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #EarningsSeason #InterestRates #Investing #StockMarket #PersonalFinance #WealthBuilding #LongTermInvesting

    7-22-26 Markets Eye Earnings as Oil Lifts Yields | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 22, 2026 4:05


    Oil prices continue climbing, keeping pressure on inflation expectations and Treasury yields as crude approaches another key technical resistance level. While markets recently reclaimed the 50-day moving average, that breakout is being tested ahead of major earnings from Alphabet, Intel, and Tesla. In today's Before the Bell, we examine why rising oil prices matter for stocks, how higher yields could weigh on market sentiment, what weakening retail demand may signal for the economy, and the key technical levels investors should watch as earnings season accelerates. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/rWpYjR1_Cxs --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #EarningsSeason #InterestRates #Investing

    7-21-26 Why Investors Keep Chasing What's Hot

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2026 49:42


    Why do so many investors continue chasing yesterday's biggest winners? Whether it's Bitcoin, gold, silver, semiconductors, or the latest AI stock, the temptation to follow what's already surged can be difficult to resist. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn explore the psychology behind performance chasing, why investors constantly compare their portfolios to the market's hottest sectors, and how fear of missing out (FOMO) can quietly undermine long-term returns. 0:00 INTRO 0:51 - Cyclospora & Iranian Tit-for-Tat - Markets React 5:45 - Markets Unable to Hold 50-DMA 10:58 - Lettuce Pray 11:48 - The Peril of Chasing What is "Hot" 15:27 - How Wall Street Makes Money (on you) 17:29 - The Semi-Conductor Thesis 21:22 - The Myths of Long Term Investing & The Narratives 26:31 - Errors in Benchmarking Portfolios 31:47 - Margin Debt & the Measures that Matter 36:02 - The Pattern Day Trading Rule Change 37:41 - Why Speculative Trading Accounts are a Terrible Idea 39:22 - When Dollars Are at Critical Mass - Don't touch my principle 44:04 - Rebalancing Portfolios in Retirement 45:48 - It's Always All About Inflation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Home Affordability: Better Than Headlines Suggest" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/home-affordability-today-is-better-than-the-headlines/ "Money: The 10 Immutable Laws Of Building Wealth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/money-the-10-immutable-laws-of-building-wealth/ "Why Retail Traders Consistently Underperform Over Time" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-retail-traders-consistently-underperform-over-time/ "Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/greed-and-how-to-lose-100-of-your-money/ --- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Earnings Hold the Key" https://youtu.be/1Nm8E7UjxbY ------- Watch our previous show, "Why Retail Traders Keep Losing" https://youtube.com/live/neGG2EOd8SM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #Semiconductors #RiskManagement #PersonalFinance #WealthBuilding #LongTermInvesting

    7-21-26 Earnings Hold the Key | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2026 4:45


    Markets are trying to reclaim key technical support after slipping below the 50-day moving average, but today's close may be more important than the opening bounce. Lance Roberts breaks down what the latest price action, relative strength, and sell signals are telling investors as earnings season begins to shape market direction. He also examines why semiconductor stocks remain one of the most important leadership groups to watch. Is the recent bounce the start of a new uptrend, or just another rally within a larger downtrend? Learn why a break above resistance could improve the outlook, why the 100-day moving average matters, and why this is not yet an "all-clear" signal. With volatility risks increasing into the coming weeks and election season approaching, now is a good time to evaluate portfolio exposure and use rallies to rebalance risk rather than chase returns. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/1Nm8E7UjxbY --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #Semiconductors #RiskManagement

    7-20-26 Why Retail Traders Keep Losing

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2026 49:25


    Why do so many retail traders consistently underperform the market over time? Despite unprecedented access to information, sophisticated trading platforms, artificial intelligence, and social media investing communities, the average individual investor continues to lag behind long-term market returns. Lance Roberts examines the behavioral and structural reasons behind retail investors' poor performance. From emotional decision-making and chasing momentum to overconfidence, excessive trading, poor risk management, and market timing mistakes, we'll explore why doing more often leads to earning less. 0:00 INTRO 1:03 - Momentum Meltdown 5:20 - What is the VIX Telling Us Now? 10:44 - Weekend Recap - Venus & Mars 14:30 - Home Affordability is Better Than Headlines Suggest 18:33 - Then vs Now 24:06 - The Ten Laws of Money 24:55 - Why Retail Investors Under-perform 27:58 - The Investor Return Gap 30:26 - Buy & Hold vs Average Retail Investors 39:40 - Don't Speculate w Your Savings 42:40 - Average Retail Options Losses 43:42 - Five Investing Tactics Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/neGG2EOd8SM ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Home Affordability: Better Than Headlines Suggest" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/home-affordability-today-is-better-than-the-headlines/ "Money: The 10 Immutable Laws Of Building Wealth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/money-the-10-immutable-laws-of-building-wealth/ "Why Retail Traders Consistently Underperform Over Time" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-retail-traders-consistently-underperform-over-time/ "Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/greed-and-how-to-lose-100-of-your-money/ --- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Test Support as Volatility Stirs," https://youtu.be/tdipv_cxBQ4 ------- Watch our previous show, "Roth Rules and Dividend Myths" https://youtube.com/live/K-mLdepNr6Y?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #VIX #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement #RetailInvesting #BehavioralFinance #Investing #WealthBuilding

    7-20-26 Markets Test Support as Volatility Stirs | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 20, 2026 4:36


    Weekend fears over Iran, higher oil prices, and falling markets are fading fast as futures turn positive and crude oil pulls back. But the bigger story is happening beneath the surface. The S&P 500 is testing key support after slipping below its 50-day moving average, while the VIX remains unusually subdued despite rising geopolitical tensions and the start of a critical earnings week. Will this be another brief shakeout like June, or is a larger pullback developing? Lance Roberts examines the technical setup, why the next couple of trading sessions matter, what the VIX is signaling, how oil prices could influence market sentiment, and why disciplined risk management remains essential as earnings season accelerates. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/tdipv_cxBQ4 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #VIX #EarningsSeason #RiskManagement

    7-17-26 Roth Rules and Dividend Myths

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2026 44:18


    Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty explore some of the biggest retirement and investing questions facing Americans today. We examine how SECURE Act 2.0 is accelerating the "Rothification" of retirement savings, why catch-up Roth contributions remain a powerful planning tool, and what investors need to know about employer Roth matching and the long-term tax implications. We also tackle one of the hottest debates in retirement planning: Are dividend stocks really safer, or are investors being seduced by yield? We examine the arguments popularized by Dave Ramsey and Suze Orman, discuss whether dividends actually provide better retirement income, and explain why total return—not yield alone—should drive long-term investment decisions. Along the way, we'll discuss how today's market environment, disruptive technologies, and changing tax policies could reshape retirement planning for years to come. Plus, we preview our upcoming "Narrative Busters" series, where we challenge some of Wall Street's most widely accepted investment beliefs. 0:00 INTRO 0:19 - Butt stuff & Taxes 3:39 - MAHA & Homeopathy (Health & Wealth are Connected) 5:45 - Secure Act 2.0 & Rothification of America 9:53 - Do Not Stop Catch-up Contributions to Roths 12:58 - Putting Employer Matches in Roth accounts 14:15 - Dealing with Tax Implications (Bending Over) 15:45 - Temperature Technology 19:11 - Take the Pain of Taxes Now vs Later (Will They Tax Our Roths?) 20:23 - The Roth Saga of Peter Thiel 22:48 - The Tax Cascade is Coming 25:05 - Suze Orman, Dave Ramsey Rationale on Dividend Paying Stocks 27:58 - Dividend = Safety? 32:47 - Seduced by Yield 37:00 - If You Want Income... 39:15 - Impact of Disruptive Companies 40:39 - Narrative Busters tease (Which Ghost Buster is Who? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Is Market Leadership Changing?" https://youtu.be/-NtwWZUvZBA ------- Watch our previous show, "Winning Less, Investing Better" https://youtube.com/live/K-mLdepNr6Y?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #RothIRA #DividendInvesting #TaxPlanning #FinancialPlanning

    7-16-26 Headwinds, Tailwinds, and Market Risk

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2026 45:35


    Markets rarely move in a straight line. Just like the weather, investing requires understanding both the headwinds that can slow markets down and the tailwinds that can keep the rally moving forward. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine the key forces shaping today's investment landscape, including stretched valuations, investor sentiment, earnings expectations, interest rates, liquidity, and the continued influence of artificial intelligence. While several risks deserve close attention, there are also powerful catalysts that could continue supporting stocks in the months ahead. The goal is not to predict the next storm, but to recognize the environment and adjust portfolio risk accordingly. 0:00 INTRO 1:04 - Earnings and AI Exuberance 4:44 - Consolidation Process Continues 6:33 - Have Semi-conductors Earnings Expectations Peaked? 11:03 - Pizza, Pineapple, & Sam Houston's Chili 12:54 - Why Junk Bonds and Junkier Bonds are Trading Fine 16:07 - The Bifurcated Bond Market 18:35 - What Fund Gating Really Means 21:44 - Pay Attention to Credit Spreads 22:54 - Investor Sentiment & GDP Growth 25:53 - When the Yield Curve Was Wrong 29:34 - Headwinds & Forecasts (The Big Tailwind of AI Spending) 33:40 - The Cone of Uncertainty 38:15 - Watch the Indicators 39:57 - Semi-conductors Aren't Looking Good Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/PA0HSeYexfE ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Semiconductor Warning as Markets Climb," https://youtu.be/9PJPUe3i390 ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - CPI, Earnings, and Market Risks" https://youtube.com/live/zVjwV7l3kjw ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Semiconductors #Nvidia #MarketOutlook #Investing #RiskManagement #FinancialPlanning

    7-16-26 Semiconductor Warning as Markets Climb | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 16, 2026 5:15


    Markets continue to grind higher after breaking out of a multi-week consolidation pattern, with resistance near previous highs still in focus. Technical trends remain constructive as buy signals stay intact and moving averages continue rising, but momentum is becoming increasingly stretched as markets approach overbought territory. The bigger story is happening beneath the surface. Leadership rotated sharply on Wednesday as investors moved back into Mega Cap technology names like Nvidia, Microsoft, and Amazon while semiconductor stocks suffered broad selling pressure despite ASML's earnings. With the semiconductor sector breaking below key technical support, investors should watch closely to see whether this is simply a healthy consolidation or the beginning of a larger topping pattern. Lance Roberts examines the technical outlook for the S&P 500, the developing head-and-shoulders pattern in semiconductor stocks, why the 50- and 100-day moving averages matter, and whether slowing earnings growth expectations could signal a shift in market leadership. We also discuss the potential for a reflex rally in chip stocks and what investors should monitor before making portfolio adjustments. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/9PJPUe3i390 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Are BDCs Ignoring Junk Bonds?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-are-bdcs-ignoring-junk-bonds/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #SectorRotation #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis

    7-15-26 Q&A Wednesday - CPI, Earnings, and Market Risks

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 43:58


    What if the biggest advantage in today's markets isn't making more trades or winning every debate—but knowing when to step back? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine two powerful ideas: why constantly trying to be "right" can actually hurt investment returns, and how today's financial markets increasingly resemble gambling platforms fueled by constant speculation, options trading, prediction markets, sports betting, and cryptocurrencies. 0:00 INTRO 0:51 - Banks' Earnings Soar on Trading Revenue 3:52 - Markets Continue Gravitating Along Rising 20-DMA 9:00 - Where Was Danny? 11:27 - What Happened w CPI (Bonds Are Always Right) 15:28 - Credit Spreads - Which One to Watch? 17:30 - Market Reaction to Iran War - What will next cause Correction? (How will this impact earnings?) 20:55 - Always expect Correction 27:27 - How to Track Buy-Now, Pay-later Debt? 30:20 - Dealing with Cash 32:51 - When You Have a Loser (explain) 33:38 - What Will Semi-conductors do Without Helium? 36:22 - Will Negative Guidance be a Catalyst for Pullback? 37:10 - Prioritization of Funding Retirement Vehicles 38:53 - IBM Announcement Translation 40:28 - What CPI, PPI Numbers mean (going to Costco) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/zVjwV7l3kjw ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Is Market Leadership Changing?" https://youtu.be/-NtwWZUvZBA ------- Watch our previous show, "Winning Less, Investing Better" https://youtube.com/live/K-mLdepNr6Y?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #SectorRotation #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #Semiconductors #OilPrices #RiskManagement #WealthBuilding

    7-15-26 Is Market Leadership Changing? | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2026 4:03


    Markets continue to ride the rising 20-day moving average as a tightening price wedge keeps the bullish trend intact. A breakout above resistance could fuel another leg higher, but investors should also be watching the calendar as August and September have historically brought weaker seasonal performance and lighter trading volumes. Lance Roberts discusses why sector rotation may become the next big market story. Financials and Healthcare have lagged while Technology and Semiconductor stocks have led the rally. If leadership begins to shift, it could signal a more defensive, risk-off environment rather than the start of a broader market decline. We also examine what technical levels matter most and what could determine whether markets continue higher or finally take a breather. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/-NtwWZUvZBA --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #SectorRotation #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis

    7-14-26 Winning Less, Investing Better

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2026 50:34


    What if the biggest advantage in today's markets isn't making more trades or winning every debate—but knowing when to step back? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine two powerful ideas: why constantly trying to be "right" can actually hurt investment returns, and how today's financial markets increasingly resemble gambling platforms fueled by constant speculation, options trading, prediction markets, sports betting, and cryptocurrencies. 0:00 INTRO 0:54 - Mixed Market & Heightened VIX on Semi-conductors 4:41 - Markets Trying to Breakout of Wedge 9:18 - Candid Coffee Tease 10:01 - The Challenge of Investing in Current Market 12:18 - The Velocity of Information Makes us Worse Investors 18:15 - Being an Unemotional Investor - Be Like Spock 24:08 - Don't Benchmark Portfolio to High Water Mark 24:35 - We've Been Bred to Compete 26:07 - Gamification of Markets - 7 Rules of Poker 29:19 - When Enough is Enough 34:57 - Spotting Bubbles 36:12 - Using AI for Financial Advice 40:54 - AI is Not a Fiduciary 42:55 - Burt's Question on Solo 401k's & Roths Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/K-mLdepNr6Y?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Oil, Chips, and a Market at Support," https://youtu.be/rk3wl-CHUKs ------- Watch our previous show, "Why Spotting Bubbles Is So Hard" https://youtube.com/live/7bEwrd8UCHM ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Poker (Gambling) Can Teach You To Be A Better Investor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/poker-gambling-can-teach-you-to-be-a-better-investor/ 'Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ "Spotting Market Bubbles: Why History Says It's Nearly Impossible" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spotting-market-bubbles-why-history-says-its-nearly-impossible/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Semiconductors #OilPrices #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #BehavioralFinance #LongTermInvesting #RiskManagement #WealthBuilding

    7-14-26 Oil, Chips, and a Market at Support | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 14, 2026 3:37


    Markets remain on a technical buy signal, but today's session could determine whether stocks finally break out of their tightening compression pattern or remain trapped inside the wedge. Rising moving averages continue to provide support, yet higher oil prices are pushing interest rates higher, adding another layer of risk for investors. We also examine the semiconductor sector, where momentum is fading as volatility increases. We'll discuss the key support levels, upside targets, stop-loss zones, and what a breakdown could mean for technology stocks and the broader market. If you're heavily invested in semiconductors, these technical levels deserve close attention. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/rk3wl-CHUKs --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Semiconductors #OilPrices #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing

    7-13-26 Why Spotting Bubbles Is So Hard

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 13, 2026 50:59


    Every investor wants to identify the next market bubble before it bursts, but history shows that's far easier said than done. Whether it's technology stocks, housing, cryptocurrencies, or today's Artificial Intelligence leaders, distinguishing a true speculative bubble from a powerful long-term investment trend is one of the greatest challenges in investing. Lance Roberts explains why bubbles are so difficult to recognize in real time, the behavioral biases that cloud investor judgment, and how to manage portfolio risk without relying on perfect market timing. 0:00 INTRO 0:51 - Bank Earnings Kick off This Week 4:50 - Market Complacency is High 11:34 - AI Capex Risk Cuts Both Ways 16:02 - The Multiplier Effect of AI Cap-ex Spending 18:39 - Productivity Growth Illustrated 22:19 - Why Spotting Bubbles is Difficult - The Paradox 24:56 - A History of Stock Market Bubbles 28:00 - Valuations & Market Drawdowns 30:42 - Four Horsemen of Financial Bubbles 34:03 - The Bubble Checklist: Momentum vs Mania 42:53 - How to Stay Invested 46:45 - Order of Liquidation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/7bEwrd8UCHM ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Momentum Meets Complacency," https://youtu.be/h4kEwVr7l-0 ------- Watch our previous show, "Yield Curve Warnings: Signal or False Alarm?" https://youtube.com/live/oFqAQg5DkiI ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Capex Risk Cuts Both Ways In The American Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-capex-risk-cuts-both-ways-in-the-american-economy/ "Spotting Market Bubbles: Why History Says It's Nearly Impossible" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spotting-market-bubbles-why-history-says-its-nearly-impossible/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #Investing #OilPrices #Semiconductor #MarketBubbles #BehavioralFinance #RiskManagement

    7-13-26 Momentum Meets Complacency | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 13, 2026 3:25


    Markets finally broke above weeks of price compression, triggering a bullish momentum breakout after rising support and declining resistance converged. While the technical picture remains constructive, investor complacency is increasing as markets approach overbought territory. Lance Roberts examines why this breakout may have more limited upside than many investors expect, why cheap put options deserve attention, how oversold oil prices could reverse higher into the mid-$80s, and why the continued rotation from Value to Growth—led by semiconductors—is expanding across the broader market. We also discuss how rising energy prices could become a headwind for technology stocks even as market momentum remains positive. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/h4kEwVr7l-0 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #Investing #OilPrices #Semiconductor

    7-10-26 The Boomerang Generation - When Adult Kids Move Back Home

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 10, 2026 59:21


    More families are experiencing the Boomerang Generation phenomenon, with adult children moving back home because of housing costs, student debt, career changes, or other life events. Before saying "yes," parents should understand the financial, legal, and retirement planning implications. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty discuss how you can protect your retirement while helping your adult children, including household expenses, setting boundaries, estate planning considerations, and knowing when financial support helps—or hurts. Whether your adult children are moving back temporarily or never left the nest, having a clear plan can preserve both your finances and your family relationships. Subscribe for more insights on retirement planning, investing, personal finance, Social Security, and building long-term financial security. 0:00 INTRO 0:24 - McCarty's Contaminated Gasoline Tale 1:45 - Texas Stock Exchange Opens 3:35 - The Boomerang Generation - why is it happening? 6:00 - Where Younger Generations Want to Live & Financial Independence 9:57 - The Long Term Care Crisis Impact on Children 14:03 - Homebuilders' Response to Shifting Trends (Tiny Homes) 16:35 - Dealing with Lifestyle Creep 18:14 - Planning for Multi-family Living 20:34 - The Associated Costs of Moving Back Home 23:55 - Planning Pragmatically - Defining Purpose and Process 28:14 - Financial Expectations - Spending Tomorrow's Money 30:06 - Empty-nesting again 32:39 - Establishing Household Ground Rules 36:05 - The Long Term Care Dilemma & Care Giving 38:28 - Importance of Reviewing Insurance Needs - What to do with the Stuff 40:22 - Dealing with Tax Implications (Gifting, Home Purchases, etc) 42:01 - The Sibling Imbalances (Roth Conversions) 47:30 - What's the Exit Strategy; Lawnmowers & Socks 50:20 - The Emotional Impacts of Cohabitation 54:04 - Narrative Busters Tease - The Space-X Narrative, AI Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/gXj-QntdhK0?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday" https://youtube.com/live/ua-paCoNRwo?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Risk: The Ratios That Mislead Investors," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-debt-risk-the-ratios-that-mislead-investors/ "Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wage-growth-as-a-leading-inflation-indicator/ "Mag 7 Stocks: Risk Or Opportunity In The Making?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mag-7-stocks-risk-or-opportunity-in-the-making/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #BoomerangGeneration #PersonalFinance #AdultChildren #FamilyFinance

    7-9-26 Yield Curve Warnings: Signal or False Alarm?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 9, 2026 47:04


    Flattening yield curves, violent sector rotations, and shifting market leadership often trigger recession headlines—but do they really predict when markets will peak? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz look at why investors frequently confuse condition indicators with timing indicators. While yield curve flattening and rapid rotations between growth and value stocks can reveal that the market environment is changing, they don't tell you exactly when a recession or bear market will begin. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - Markets' Response to Hormuz Limbo 5:54 - Consolidation Patterns Remain Unchanged 11:24 - The Risk of Continuing Iran Conflict 14:58 - The Ambiguous Fed 16:43 - Chip Stocks' Behavior 18:16 - Market Volatility is Low 21:35 - SEC Rules Changes & Liquidity 23:24 - The Japanese Yen & Carry Trade 29:58 - Japan's "Trolly Car" Problem & Risk to U.S. 32:47 - Yield Curve Warnings 37:43 - Long- or Short-duration Bonds? 40:05 - What's the Real Yield? 42:00 - Why Own Bonds Now? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO,w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/oFqAQg5DkiI ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Breakout Still Waiting," https://youtu.be/hGKaEy7tJiY ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Markets, Rates, and Risk" https://youtube.com/live/ua-paCoNRwo ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are Flattening Curves And Style Rotations Deceptive Omens?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/are-flattening-curves-and-style-rotations-deceptive-omens/ 'The Low VIX Hides Fierce Undercurrents" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-low-vix-hides-fierce-undercurrents/ "The Yen At 40-Year Lows: Should You Care?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-yen-at-40-year-low-should-you-care/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Premarket #SP500 #Semiconductors #Investing #YieldCurve #Recession #RiskManagement

    7-9-26 Breakout Still Waiting | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 9, 2026 4:34


    Markets remain trapped in a tight consolidation pattern, but the technical picture has not materially changed. The S&P 500 once again found support at the closely aligned 20-day and 50-day moving averages, preserving the current buy signal while investors wait for a decisive breakout. Semiconductor stocks continue to lead the Nasdaq as money rotates back into the momentum trade, even as geopolitical tensions with Iran create headline risk. We'll discuss why the market appears comfortable with the current environment, what could trigger a 3% to 5% pullback, and why oil prices remain a critical variable. We'll also examine the surge in the U.S. dollar following renewed Middle East tensions, what a potential reversal could mean for commodities and precious metals, and why Treasury yields may be approaching an important turning point after becoming technically overbought. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/hGKaEy7tJiY --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Premarket #SP500 #Semiconductors #Investing

    7-8-26 Q&A Wednesday - Markets, Rates, and Risk

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 8, 2026 50:38


    It's Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts examines whether the momentum-driven rally in semiconductors can continue, how the Iran cease-fire breakdown could affect markets, and what investors should watch ahead of the FOMC decision. We also answer your questions on the differences between the NASDAQ VIX and S&P VIX, whether government policies continue to support elevated real estate prices, investing in Canadian companies through IRAs, the implications of a yield curve un-inversion, portfolio rebalancing strategies, dollar-cost averaging, maintaining the right cash allocation, the rise of inverse ETFs tied to the Magnificent Seven, recent SEC rule changes, and the lawsuit challenging NASDAQ's handling of the proposed SpaceX listing. We also discuss technology versus semiconductor sector leadership and why electricity demand and long-term power contracts are becoming increasingly important investment themes. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - FOMC Meeting Preview - Iran Cease Fire is Done 5:00 - Consolidation Range Continues; Momentum Trade in mostly Semi-conductors 6:58 - Risks from Iran Action 11:34 - Fight to the death & swats in school 14:11 - NASDAQ VIX vs S&P VIX 16:07 - How much of Real Estate prices are supported by Govt.? 17:04 - Canadian Companies in IRA's? 19:12 - Yield Curve inversion & un-inversions & Risk of Recession 26:13 - Mistakes with Cash in Investing (Cash = Opportunity) 29:17 - The Problem with Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) 33:03 - Criteria for Rebalancing Portfolio 38:17 - Mag-7 Inverse ETF 39:42 - SEC Rule Changes 44:54 - The Cash Cushion Has Never Been Thinner 46:13 - Technology vs Semi-conductors as sectors 47:11 - Lawsuit against NASDAQ for fast-tracking Space-X 47:43 - Electricity Contracts Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ua-paCoNRwo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Momentum Cracks, But Markets Hold" https://youtu.be/nO2N4bdLifo ------- Watch our previous show, "Could You Spot a Ponzi Scam?" https://youtube.com/live/36xwcnfxPa0 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Risk: The Ratios That Mislead Investors," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-debt-risk-the-ratios-that-mislead-investors/ "Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wage-growth-as-a-leading-inflation-indicator/ "Mag 7 Stocks: Risk Or Opportunity In The Making?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mag-7-stocks-risk-or-opportunity-in-the-making/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #Investing #Semiconductors #BeforeTheBell #FederalReserve #RetirementPlanning #FinancialPlanning

    7-8-26 Momentum Cracks, But Markets Hold | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 8, 2026 5:45


    Markets remain locked in an increasingly tight consolidation pattern, with price compression signaling that a decisive move may be approaching. While technical support continues to hold, traders should be watching downside levels closely as geopolitical tensions with Iran re-emerge and add another layer of uncertainty. The biggest shift beneath the surface is in market leadership. The momentum trade, led by semiconductors, is beginning to weaken as a potential head-and-shoulders pattern develops. At the same time, investors are rotating toward value stocks and broader market participation, helping stabilize the major indexes despite weakness in high-flying momentum names. Lance Roberts examines whether expanding market breadth can offset the risks posed by fading momentum leadership, rising oil prices, and renewed Middle East tensions. We also discuss how a sustained escalation in Iran could affect earnings expectations, inflation, and the market outlook in the weeks ahead. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/nO2N4bdLifo --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Risk: The Ratios That Mislead Investors," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-debt-risk-the-ratios-that-mislead-investors/ "Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wage-growth-as-a-leading-inflation-indicator/ "Mag 7 Stocks: Risk Or Opportunity In The Making?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mag-7-stocks-risk-or-opportunity-in-the-making/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #Investing #Semiconductors #BeforeTheBell

    7-7-26 Could You Spot a Ponzi Scam?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 7, 2026 46:47


    Could you recognize a Ponzi scheme before it's too late? Most victims believe they're too smart to be scammed—until they're not. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn look at how Ponzi schemes, affinity fraud, and romance scams exploit trust, emotion, and urgency rather than intelligence. From promises of guaranteed returns to online relationships that suddenly turn into investment opportunities, scammers continue to steal billions from unsuspecting investors every year. We'll discuss the warning signs every investor should know, why even experienced professionals fall victim, and the practical steps you can take to protect yourself, your family, and your retirement savings. 0:00 INTRO 0:56 - ISM: Economy is Okay 3:11 - Market Compression & AI Arms Race 9:49 - Trump Accounts for Grandkids? 17:16 - Why Money Doesn't Survive Generations 20:16 - Trump Accounts vs 529's 25:34 - Ponzi Schemes & Scams 29:37 - When It's Too Good to Be True...It Is 31:53 - Investment Scams! 35:58 - Elderly Parents, Trust, & Romance Scams 39:12 - When You have to Become The Parent Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/36xwcnfxPa0 ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Will AI Chip Competition Derail the Rally?" https://youtu.be/QeB5fBrW4yA ------- Watch our previous show, "Margin Debt Myths Investors Should Ignore" https://youtube.com/live/qz2YPAd-qPI ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Risk: The Ratios That Mislead Investors," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-debt-risk-the-ratios-that-mislead-investors/ "Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wage-growth-as-a-leading-inflation-indicator/ "Mag 7 Stocks: Risk Or Opportunity In The Making?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mag-7-stocks-risk-or-opportunity-in-the-making/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #ArtificialIntelligence #Semiconductors #Investing #RiskManagement #PonziScheme #InvestmentFraud #ScamAwareness #RetirementPlanning #FinancialEducation

    7-7-26 Will AI Chip Competition Derail the Rally? | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 7, 2026 5:20


    Markets are pulling back after Monday's momentum buy signal as investors digest news that China's DeepSeek has reportedly developed its own AI chip. Is this the beginning of a larger rotation away from the semiconductor leaders that have powered this bull market? Lance Roberts examines why semiconductor stocks have become increasingly vulnerable after a parabolic advance, how new competition can quickly change supply-and-demand expectations, and why profit-taking in one sector can ripple through the entire market. We also discuss why defensive sectors, including Healthcare, Financials, Utilities, Real Estate, and Consumer Staples, could begin attracting capital if technology leadership continues to weaken. We'll review the technical backdrop, explain why momentum remains positive despite today's softer opening, and discuss practical risk-management strategies investors should consider as market leadership begins to broaden. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/QeB5fBrW4yA --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Risk: The Ratios That Mislead Investors," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-debt-risk-the-ratios-that-mislead-investors/ "Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wage-growth-as-a-leading-inflation-indicator/ "Mag 7 Stocks: Risk Or Opportunity In The Making?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mag-7-stocks-risk-or-opportunity-in-the-making/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #ArtificialIntelligence #Semiconductors #Investing #RiskManagement

    7-6-26 Margin Debt Myths Investors Should Ignore

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 6, 2026 45:05


    Does rising margin debt really signal an imminent stock market crash? Not necessarily. Lance Roberts examines why many commonly cited margin debt charts can be misleading, which measures deserve investors' attention, and how leverage should be interpreted within the context of liquidity, economic growth, and market trends. 0:00 INTRO 0:50 - July 4th Recap, FIFA Soccer, & Earnings Season Launch 5:31 - Market Set up for July 9:46 - Market Futures & Economic Surveys 12:23 - Wage Growth as a Leading Economic Indicator 15:10 - Correlation of Wages to Inflation 20:13 - Real Wages' Effect on Economy 22:44 - Margin Debt Risk - The Ratios that Mislead 28:02 - Margin Debt Makes Great Clickbait 30:00 - Margin Debt & Market Cap 33:33 - Indicators that Matter (to the markets) 35:52 - Net Credit Balances 39:11 - Margin Debt vs Personal Savings (cash) 41:16 - What Year-over-year Change Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/qz2YPAd-qPI ------- Watch our previous show, "The Widow's Penalty in Social Security" https://youtube.com/live/iHJLWOZY4NQ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Risk: The Ratios That Mislead Investors," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-debt-risk-the-ratios-that-mislead-investors/ "Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wage-growth-as-a-leading-inflation-indicator/ "Mag 7 Stocks: Risk Or Opportunity In The Making?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mag-7-stocks-risk-or-opportunity-in-the-making/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #EarningsSeason #MarketOutlook #SP500 #MarginDebt #Investing #MarketAnalysis #FinancialPlanning

    7-6-26 Is a July Rally Taking Shape? | Before the Bell

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 6, 2026 3:41


    July has historically been one of the stock market's stronger months, and technical conditions are beginning to improve. In today's Before the Bell, we examine whether today's trading could trigger a momentum buy signal, why price compression often precedes major moves, and how earnings season could determine whether stocks reach new all-time highs. We also discuss why a stronger U.S. dollar, stable interest rates, and healthy money flows continue to support equities, while emphasizing why disciplined risk management remains essential despite improving market momentum. Could July deliver another seasonal rally, or will investors need to prepare for the more challenging months ahead? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/eeKXyodhOJA --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Risk: The Ratios That Mislead Investors," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/margin-debt-risk-the-ratios-that-mislead-investors/ "Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wage-growth-as-a-leading-inflation-indicator/ "Mag 7 Stocks: Risk Or Opportunity In The Making?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mag-7-stocks-risk-or-opportunity-in-the-making/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #EarningsSeason #MarketOutlook #SP500

    7-3-26 The Widow's Penalty in Social Security

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 3, 2026 45:56


    The loss of a spouse is one of life's most difficult transitions, and for many retirees, it can also result in a significant reduction in Social Security income. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty explain the Social Security "Widow's Penalty," why survivor benefits often leave widows and widowers with less household income, and the planning strategies that can help protect your retirement. We discuss the importance of delaying Social Security when appropriate, planning for life as a surviving spouse, Roth conversions, IRA withdrawal strategies, qualified charitable distributions (QCDs), and estate planning fundamentals that can help preserve wealth for the next generation. You'll also learn why communication between spouses is essential, how the step-up in basis can benefit heirs, why holding assets with large unrealized losses may create unintended consequences, and how thoughtful planning today can reduce financial stress tomorrow. If you're married, widowed, approaching retirement, or helping aging parents prepare for the future, this episode offers practical guidance on protecting both your income and your legacy. 0:00 INTRO 0:19 - America's 250th & Buc-cee's 5:42 - Narrative Busters & Stock Stories 6:48 - Commemorative SS Card 8:16 - American Ingenuity - Automotive Deep Scrub, Carpet Cleaning 12:40 - Widows' Penalty with Social Security 16:30 - How to plan for living single as Senior - Roth Conversions & IRA Withdrawals 18:25 - Importance of Delaying Social Security 22:41 - Importance of Estate Planning Basics 26:23 - Qualified Charitable Distributions to Reduce IRA RMD's 28:45 - Keeping the exemption for Two 31:02 - Importance of Communication - Who's Left Behind? 33:40 - Maximizing w Step Up in Basis - taking the losses before you pass 35:21 - Don't Die with Assets Holding Losses 39:21 - Closing thoughts - Plan Ahead & Catch Up Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/iHJLWOZY4NQ ------- Watch our previous show, "Milton Friedman Was Mostly Right" https://youtube.com/live/qDTBlhH8YGY ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, "Narrative Busters: Market Stories Investors Should Approach With Caution," Saturday, July 18, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/RfJtCj2byfDr --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #WidowsPenalty #RetirementPlanning #EstatePlanning #FinancialPlanning

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