The Real Investment Show Podcast

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It's a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.

Lance Roberts


    • Jul 1, 2022 LATEST EPISODE
    • daily NEW EPISODES
    • 24m AVG DURATION
    • 1,693 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from The Real Investment Show Podcast

    American Epidemic: Living Beyond our Means

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 1, 2022 47:50

    (7/1/22) Remember the 1970's--things were so much simpler then, right? Is this really a bear market, about which we're in denial? The Truth Comes from the Data. The Fed is raising rates so they can lower them again; Richard Rosso's Summer Reading List (preview); who's living paycheck-to-paycheck now? American Epidemic: Living Beyond our Means. Tire Terrorists; how much have Boomers saved for Retirement? What ever happened to the E*Trade Baby? Will Social Security COLA go up 10%? Senior Citizens League working to lower Insulin costs; the health/wealth dynamic in Retirement. SEG-1: Do We Need to Go Back to 1970? SEG-2: The Epidemic of Living Beyond Our Means SEG-3: Tire Terrorists & Retirement Reality SEG-4: The Health-Wealth Dynamic in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qtbkQxRpDJ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2612s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Second-Half of 2022 Be Better than the First?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A5u70SPxPhA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: "Is Becoming an Ex-Pat the Best Way to Blunt Inflation?" v=TOhFfAXqajk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2805s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Don't Fight the Fed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fight-the-fed -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Retirement #SocialEscurity #COLA #Healthcare #FederalReserve #RateHikes #Markets #Money #Investing

    Inflation's 3% Pay Cut

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 30, 2022 47:48

    (6/30/22) Markets have worst start to the year since dirt; will the second half be any better? What does it mean when 31% of persons working in the Financial sector today have never witnessed a bear market; what separates a bad start from a bear market? Why loss aversion can lose worse than the loss you're trying to avoid; what makes for YouTube success; what happens when the Fed hits the brakes (their foot is on the pedal now)? Don't fight the Fed; that's who has the money. Adulting with the Roberts kids; Jobless Claims are climbing as Recession looms. That the Fed looks at: PCE. Earnings vs Expectations; American's are receiving an effective 3% pay cut, thanks to inflation. SEG-1: Where Do Markets Go From Here? SEG-2: The Danger of Dealing with Loss Aversion & Anchoring SEG-3: All Roads Lead to the Federal Reserve SEG-4: Why the Top 33% Are so Pessimistic Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TOhFfAXqajk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2805s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Second-Half of 2022 Be Better than the First?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A5u70SPxPhA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: Can Recession Be Avoided? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HzltEgnx9To&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=160s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Don't Fight the Fed" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/dont-fight-the-fed -------- Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: "Sell Into This Week's Strength? Probably A Good Idea" | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart youtube.com/watch?v=ol-9dUp-t4g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #Recession #PayCut #ConsumerSentiment #FoodPrices #SavingsGap #Deflation #Markets #Money #Investing

    Will the Second-Half of 2022 Be Better than the First?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 30, 2022 3:03

    (6/30/22) Markets have chalked up the worst first-half of the year on record; history shows that stocks tend to do better in the second-half of the year...outside of a recession. Much of the recent economic data does not bode well for the economy heading into July, with the risk of recession increasing by the Fed's rate hikes and balance sheet reduction. Historically, if a recession hits, markets dip lower. And even though markets are down this year, so far, there is still more downside possible. There is also a strong possibility of a recession in earnings. It all boils down to earnings, valuations, and adjustments--and earnings have not been revised down enough to compensate for the risk of an economic recession. Our advice: Trade carefully, and use rallies to reduce portfolio risk. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A5u70SPxPhA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession #Inflation #Earnings #Valuations #InterestRates #MonetaryPolicy #Markets #Money #Investing

    Can Recession Be Avoided?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 29, 2022 47:23

    (6/29/22) Does LeBron James' $170M salary make him inflation proof? Why the rich are weathering the weakening economy better than the rest of us; rising wages vs the rise of robots in the workplace. Inflation hits July 4th groceries; American side-hustles; can recession be avoided? Inflation & the savings gap: $6k/yr in debt to maintain standard of living. SEG-1: Measuring Consumer Sentiment SEG-2: Why Inflation Doesn't Hurt the Wealthy (as much) SEG-3: Hot Dogs, Inflation, & Side-hustles SEG-4: Inflation & The Savings Gap Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will June's End Provide Lift to Markets?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AaPk8S3MP0A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show is here: Pt.1: The Bullwhip Effect https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iWUzF01b1T4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 Pt.2: What is Needed for Stable Energy Pricing is Stable Energy Production https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O1DgopbUOxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=30s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Earnings Recession Coming As Fed Hikes Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-recession-coming-as-fed-hikes-rates/ -------- Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: "Sell Into This Week's Strength? Probably A Good Idea" | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart youtube.com/watch?v=ol-9dUp-t4g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #Recession #ConsumerSentiment #SideHustle #FoodPrices #SavingsGap #Deflation #Recession #EnergyPolicy Markets #Money #Investing

    Will June's End Provide Lift to Markets?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 29, 2022 3:07

    (6/29/22) Poorer than expected economic data triggered a market sell-off on Tuesday: The Richmond Fed Survey reported a big drop in all components, suggesting a recession is becoming a much higher probability. Similarly, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, the Dallas Fed indicators show pervasive economic slowing, thanks to tighter monetary policy, higher inflation, and higher interest rates. The Census Board's Consumer Confidence survey revealed big declines in street-level sentiment. Markets didn't like that, and fell to retest support at the previous lows of May. The hope now is that as June comes to an end, portfolio rebalancing and shuffling will provide a bit of a lift to markets. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AaPk8S3MP0A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession #Inflation #WindowDressing #PortfolioRebalancing #InterestRates #MonetaryPolicy #Markets #Money #Investing

    What is Needed for Stable Energy Pricing is Stable Energy Production

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 28, 2022 47:48

    (6/28/22) Calls for regulating Cryptocurrency are echoing our sentiments two years ago; Monday's market response was partially affected. This is not the bottom...yet. The Fed is "hard at work" fighting inflation, while should be focused on economic growth; inflation will cure itself. How the "bullwhip effect" will hurt. The problem with MMT and "free" money. House prices are falling as interest rates rise; we're seeing inflation's prelude to deflation; the effect on commodities & Dr. Copper. The Fed is in a trap, and using lagging data. The Fed is about to make a big policy mistake, hiking rates too fast instead of allowing inflation to take care of itself. But you can't fight the Fed. Fact Checkers' demands for censorship because their videos are garbage. Why does the Biden administration pattern its energy policy's after Germany's? How's what working out for them? What is needed for stable energy pricing is stable energy production (oil). SEG-1: Regulating Crypto & Effects on Markets SEG-2: The Fed Hard at Work & The Bullwhip Effect SEG-3: The Fed's Policy Mistake SEG-4: You Tube Censorship & Green Energy Foibles Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: Pt.1: The Bullwhip Effect https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iWUzF01b1T4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 Pt.2: What is Needed for Stable Energy Pricing is Stable Energy Production https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O1DgopbUOxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=30s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Can Markets Continue Momentum at Quarter's End?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b7w2mnXFudY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Affordable Care Act Was Neither Affordable or Healthcare," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-74hJNiGWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Earnings Recession Coming As Fed Hikes Rates" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/earnings-recession-coming-as-fed-hikes-rates/ -------- Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: "Sell Into This Week's Strength? Probably A Good Idea" | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart youtube.com/watch?v=ol-9dUp-t4g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullwhipEffect #MarketRally #FedMistake #Inflation #Deflation #Recession #EnergyPolicy Markets #Money #Investing

    Can Markets Continue Momentum at Quarter's End?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 28, 2022 3:00

    (6/28/22) $30-Billion in rebalancing is at play this week as the end of June marks the end of the quarter, and fund managers have much to do in the way of "window dressing" prior to reporting their results by the end of the week. This has provided an upward bias to markets over the last few days, following last week's 6.5% rally. After essentially consolidating yesterday, S&P, Dow, and NASDAQ futures are positive ahead of the opening bell. Markets are expected to challenge the 20-DMA at the open, and above that there's resistance at the 50-DMA--the level at which markets consolidate back in late April. If the S&P can achieve the 4,000 level, that will be a good place to reduce risk in portfolios. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b7w2mnXFudY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #WindowDressing #PortfolioRebalancing #Markets #Money #Investing

    The Affordable Care Act was Neither Affordable or Caring

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2022 46:41

    (6/27/22) The end of June signals end of quarter rebalancing; if we're going to have a Recession, it will have been The Most Forecast Recession Ever. How much higher can markets rally? Investors have been trained (by the Fed) to believe markets cannot go down. Running in Houston Heat; the impact of healthcare on Retirement planning; healthcare costs are high because of demand on the system; The Affordable Care Act was neither affordable or caring; Sitting is the new smoking. Stocks shrug off ignorant comments from Congress and hawkishness of the Fed; there's a need for a bear market rinse cycle on Wall Street. SEG-1: The Most-forecast Recession in History SEG-2: How Much Higher Can Markets Rally? SEG-3: The Impact of Health on Retirement SEG-4: The Need for a Bear Market Rinsing Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-74hJNiGWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Dust Settle This Week?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AugBq93GC9k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Fighting Elizabeth Warren," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fhjGYdhEm9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2590s -------- Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: "Sell Into This Week's Strength? Probably A Good Idea" | Lance Roberts & Adam Taggart youtube.com/watch?v=ol-9dUp-t4g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuh0I07NdQcssCvh6_yDa9bz&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession #MarketRally #BearMarket #Healthcare #Retirement #Markets #Money #Investing

    Will the Dust Settle This Week?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2022 3:33

    (6/27/22) Markets rallied 6.5% on the S&P last week--was that the bottom? We won't really know until the dust settles from this week, with a $30-B rebalancing act coming as the end of June marks the end of the quarter. This regular "window-dressing" parade will add more buying pressure to the markets ahead of the first two weeks of July--which tend to be strong performers, historically. Caveat: Seasonality hasn't worked out too well for markets this year...2022 has had one of the worst starts to the year since the 1930's. However, over-sold market conditions are turning up; there is some support remaining for a rally. The target is between 3,900 and 4,000 at the 50-DMA. We're seeing the same set up for June that we saw in May, when a rally wiped out most of the losses. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AugBq93GC9k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #WindowDressing #PortfolioRebalacning #MarketRally #Markets #Money #Investing

    Is a Roth Conversion Right for You?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2022 47:46

    (6/24/22) Washington Word Salad & Transitioning: Gasoline Prices, markets' anemic rally; that is the Bond market saying? What in the world is the Fed trying to do? What will markets do without "Fed Juice?" Is a Roth conversion really in your best interests? Depends on what your tax status will be. Janet Yellen's transformative weekend greeting; Secure Act 2.0 gets another iteration; financial literacy and the hierarchy of savings. SEG-1: What the Hell is the Fed Doing? SEG-2: The Cleansing of Recession; should Cryptocurrency be Regulated? SEG-3: Roth Redo & Calculating All the Variables SEG-4: Yellen's back; Secure Act 2.0 & Financial Literacy RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0S4ifVF9OSo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2660s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Have Markets Priced-in Recession?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3oh5QfrxQuc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Fighting Elizabeth Warren," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fhjGYdhEm9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2590s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #Jerome Powell #FederalReserve #ElizabethWarren #Recession #JanetYellen #Taxes #SecureAtct2_0 #Markets #Money #Investing

    Fighting Elizabeth Warren

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2022 47:53

    (6/23/22) The end of June--and end of the Quarter looms: Can markets continue to rally despite a defined downtrend? Political Season is coming; populace votes according to pocketbook; solution to high energy prices is in the need for creating an environment more conducive to oil production: Stop villainizing oil companies. Houston Heat & Landscape; Jerome Powell vs Elizabeth Warren; difference between recession & depression; running the economy over a cliff; a bear market will make you want to get out of the market; the importance of exposure to equities all the time. Risk management vs risk aversion. SEG-1: Market Potential for Rally, Remain in Defined Downtrend SEG-2: Oil Prices & Politics SEG-3: Jerome Powell's Battle w Inflation & Elizabeth Warren SEG-4: What Bear markets Make You Want to Do RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fhjGYdhEm9U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2590s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Have Markets Priced-in Recession?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3oh5QfrxQuc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Who Sets the Price for Gasoline You Pay?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zm24yVS5eG8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #Jerome Powell #FederalReserve #ElizabethWarren #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

    Have Markets Priced-in Recession?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2022 4:17

    (6/23/22) Fed Chair Jerome Powell's testimony Wednesday that he might have to create a recession to contain inflation roiled markets, and he's set for a second round today. Futures have been reversing early losses, and the question now is whether markets can keep it up. We contend that any rally should be sold-in to; selling pressure continues to appear in these rallies because of so many investors feeling trapped, looking for any relief. We're looking for markets to rally back to the 20-DMA and 50DMA, somewhere between 3,950 and 4,000. Markets continue to price-in what's going on economically, but have not yet priced-in a recession, nor the decline in earnings estimates that has to occur as the economy slows. In turn, prices will have to decline as adjustments are made for lower earnings. Similarly, yields have not yet priced-in a recession; we're looking for interest rates to fall sharply to 2-1/2%. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3oh5QfrxQuc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession #Inflation #InterestRates #OilPrices #MarketRally #Markets #Money #Investing

    Who Sets the Price You Pay for Gasoline?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2022 47:56

    (6/22/22) Markets rallied +2% following a three-day weekend; gasoline prices took a slight slide, while mortgage rates spiked. Who sets the price you pay for gasoline? Not the major oil companies; why a gas tax "holiday" won't work; the real oil company profit margin story. The truth about home ownership, and why Millennials can't afford a house (Netflix has nothing to do with it.) Houses are not assets; financialization of everything, and where mortgage rates ought to be. Summer travel plans & Savings myths; lining up for Jerome Powell's "soft" landing; if the Fed would just stop... SEG-1: Markets' Post-holiday Rally SEG-2: Gasoline Tax Holiday Realities SEG-3: Why Millennials Can't Afford a House SEG-4: Softer Summer Travel Plans RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zm24yVS5eG8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Happens to Oil Prices After Big Spikes?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ROFhlaCmI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Is the Fed Determined to Make Another Policy Mistake" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ycqSp0gcwS0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1814s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Oil Price Reversions – The Inevitable Outcome Of Recessions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/oil-price-reversions-the-inevitable-outcome-of-recessions/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #GasolinePrices #ProfitMargins #HomeOwnership #Millennials #Boomers #Netflix #Jerome Powell #FederalReserve #PolicyMistakes #Inflation #JanetYellen #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

    What Happens to Oil Prices After Big Spikes?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2022 4:11

    (6/22/22) Markets bounced 2% following a long weekend break. This morning's early morning sell-off may keep prices suppressed. Consolidations lead to failures and short-term increases, making it difficult for investors to make any returns. Oil prices are beginning to exhibit this behavior, too, down about 4% after big run up. We're looking for a bounce at about $96 to $100/bbl. As demand slows down as the economy weakens, the diminished demand for fuel will further weaken prices. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V8ROFhlaCmI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Oil Price Reversions – The Inevitable Outcome Of Recessions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/oil-price-reversions-the-inevitable-outcome-of-recessions/ ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #MarketBounce #SupplyDemand #Markets #Money #Investing

    Is the Fed Determined to Make Another Policy Mistake?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 21, 2022 47:55

    (6/21/22) Markets needed the holiday break; The Crypto Story: Liquidation; Sentiment & Market correlation: As negative as it gets. Oil Stocks pull back, but they're not finished yet. Gasoline prices slip; ICE's vs EV's--the break-even point is greater than expected; how inflation hit Warren Buffett's luncheon; The Fed's dilemma: Inflation vs Financial Instability: the Fed is determined to make (another) policy mistake; Bitcoin Bites It; Dave Portnoy - the poster-child for sports gambling-to-stock-gambling; the math of market losses--why you never catch up. SEG-1: The Crypto Story: Liquidation & Negative Sentiment SEG-2: ICE's vs EV's - where's the break-even point? SEG-3: The Fed's Determined to Make a Policy Mistake SEG-4: The Math of Market Losses RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ycqSp0gcwS0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1814s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Are Markets Near a Short-term Bottom? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TZvP5u3oTYc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Did the Fed Just Guarantee a Recession?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49-4SCSOUIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Oil Price Reversions – The Inevitable Outcome Of Recessions" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/oil-price-reversions-the-inevitable-outcome-of-recessions/ -------- Videos mentioned in this show: https://www.ted.com/talks/graham_conway_the_contradictions_of_battery_operated_vehicles -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #PolicyMistakes #Cryptocurrency #Inflation #JanetYellen #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

    Are Markets near a Short-term Bottom?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 21, 2022 3:41

    (6/21/22) Last week's sell-off pushed markets down sharply, and markets tried to stabilize on Friday, ahead of the long weekend. As we produce this report, all indexes are showing the possibility of a bit of a bounce this morning. Markets are over-sold down to three standard deviations below the 50-DMA, putting more downward pressure on stocks as the average continues to slide. This and other indicators are at levels from which we should start to see a bounce. A reasonable retracement level would be right at the 3,900 to 4,000 point for a rally. We're suggesting that any rally be used to sell into to reduce risk and raise cash. A break above the 50-DMA will give you a shot at the 200-DMA. So long as the Fed continues to aggressively raise rates, keep a watch for indications of a breakout to the upside---something we don't expect to happen today. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TZvP5u3oTYc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBottom #MarketSellOff #FederalReserve #RateHike #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing 

    Money Mistakes to Avoid in a Bear Market

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2022 47:54

    (6/17/22) Richard Rosso channels his inner Janet Yellen; markets have lost all confidence in the Executive Branch and the Federal Reserve; money tips for a bear market: Household liquidity is key for survival; examine spending, and hold off on major purchases; a Recession is necessary for restoring value to the system; recognizing the difference between a reflexive rally & a bullish trend. The Financial Efficacy of Solar Panels; ESG's are about to bite investors on the backside; Wall St. will exploit anything for a buck; the Anti-ESG Fund = The S&P 500; The most important area consumers need to see relief: Food & Gasoline; It's Hot; cold coffee brews, Father's Day; living in Retirement in Troubled times; guaranteed income will replace stocks & bonds in investor appeal. SEG-1: Channeling Janet Yellen SEG-2: Knowing the Difference Between Reflexive Rally & Bullish Trends SEG-3: Why ESG's Are About to Bite Back SEG-4: It's Hot; Cold Coffee, Father's Day; Living in Retirement in Troubled Times Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YJ_rMAazIY8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Fed Hikes Rates 75bp - What now? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_b5_MCVSOag&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Did the Fed Just Guarantee a Recession?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49-4SCSOUIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #MoneyMistakes #Inflation #JanetYellen #Recession #Markets #Money #investing

    Did the Fed just Guarantee a Recession?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2022 47:56

    (6/16/22) The Fed boosts rates by 75-bp; Joe Biden takes on Big Oil, and Big Oil responds; Retail Sales are measured in dollars, not in volume (what happens when you're paying more for less); Markets as predictor of where economy is heading. The Fed's rate hikes are politically motivated; why the "Headline Number" is so called; Jerome Powell is lying about the economy; Regional Fed's and U. Mich Sentiment are closer to reality. Joe Biden isn't totally to blame for high energy prices...but he's not helping, either. Ten Things to lower oil prices. SEG-1: Biden vs Big Oil: Measuring Retail Sales in Dollars, Not Volume SEG-2: The Fed's Rate Hikes are Politicized SEG-3: It's Not All Biden's fault, but He's Not Helping SEG-4: Blame ESG's for High Gasoline Prices Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49-4SCSOUIE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Fed Hikes Rates 75bp - What now? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_b5_MCVSOag&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Should You Move to Mexico to Escape Inflation?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xu-ifsc52ig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #FederalReserve #RateHike #GasolinePrices #JoeBiden #RetailSales #Markets #Money #investing

    Fed Hikes Rates 75bp - What now?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2022 3:29

    (6/16/22) Markets rallied on Wednesday despite a 75bp rate hike announced by the Fed. Then, overnight, traders sobered-up to the news that the Fed will be more aggressive in the future about raising rates additionally--not a good omen for strong economic growth. Markets are three standard deviations over-sold, and a short-term buy-signal failed to trigger. Markets continue to trade in a defined downtrend, and are now near the bottom of that range. Markets will have to hold support at this level in order to produce any kind of a short term rally over the next few days. Earnings estimates have yet to fall in reflecting the future impact of higher rates and diminished spending. Ongoing sell signals would indicate lower valuations to come. That being said, use any bounces we might get over the next few days to raise some cash and trim risks from portfolios. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_b5_MCVSOag&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #RateHike #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing

    Should You Move to Mexico to Escape Inflation?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 15, 2022 48:04

    (6/15/22) What will the Fed do? Between the heat, high prices, wars, and uncertainties, it seems to be the Summer of Apocalypse. The Fed is set to raise interest rates (50 vs 75 basis points?) How will the Fed fight inflation? A more pressing problem is Financial Instability; the impact of inflation; high oil prices tend to cure high prices; the Fed's mistake is in trying to extend the business cycle; dealing w inflation by moving to Mexico; the root of unrest is economic inequality; the dilemma of inflation vs deflation (which is out of the Fed's control). When we get to the point of buying equities, you're not going to want to. SEG-1: Summer Apocalypse: What's the Fed's Biggest Problem? SEG-2: Trying to Control Economic Outcomes has Bad Outcomes SEG-3: Dealing w Inflation: Moving to Mexico SEG-4: What Inflation Will Be Like 12-months from Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xu-ifsc52ig&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Happened to Cryptocurrencies?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O9yb6IliilQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "What's the Best Measure of Inflation: CPI, PPI, or PCE?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_YO9VSoXnZ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2801s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #FederalReserve #Cryptocurrency #RateHike #BearMarket #BullMarket #SummerApocalypse #Mexico #2012Movie #Markets #Money #investing

    What Happened to Cryptocurrencies?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 15, 2022 3:43

    (6/15/22) Cryptocurrencies were supposed to be the ultimate alternatives to Gold and the Dollar, but that hasn't worked out so well: Back in 2015 there was a big move towards crypto's as the new "digital gold," with the ability to combat inflation--which seemed to work well, so long as a continuous stream of liquidity into the markets was unabated. Bitcoin soared to the $70,000 range, but since has fallen dramatically to $20k as the premise of crypto becoming the replacement for Gold as a hedge against inflation has fallen apart, and the speculative nature of crypto has evaporated as losses mount. As in any speculative asset, when losses reach a certain, critical point, margin calls and negative sentiment are triggered, and liquidation events occur. We will not be surprised to see a significant reduction in margin debt in the next report from FINRA. Ethereum has similarly lost a tremendous amount of value, down 60% for the year. Have these assets lost all of their value? Not necessarily; but speculative investment assets will always exhibit spectacular booms and busts. The question remains--when will these find their bottom, and when will a more opportune time to invest in them become apparent? We are now seeing significant deviations from long-term moving averages, suggesting a decent tradable rally--but we'd recommend using that rally to liquidate weaker positions, reduce risk, and raise cash ahead of a better opportunity for a longer-term, positive trend in which to invest. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O9yb6IliilQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Cryptocurrency #BitCoin #Ethereum #SpeculativeAsset #Markets #Money #Investing

    What's the Best Measure of Inflation: CPI, PPI, or PCE?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 14, 2022 47:54

    (6/14/22) Markets technically enter bear territory, but a longer perspective belies the angst; gauging the markets' response to inflation (which will reverse); what the Fed Whisper says about a 75-bp rate hike; the faster the Fed raises rates, the higher the volatility; CPI, PPI, or PCE: What's the best measure of inflation? When will inflation end? Senior gifts; stock buy-back blackout period; Lance's Narci-drone; the love affair w Cryptocurrency: The Thrill is Gone. SEG-1: Markets "Technically" Enter Bear Territory SEG-2: What the Fed Whisperer Says About Interest Rates SEG-3: CPI, PPI, & PCE: Measuring Inflation SEG-4: How Stock Buy-back Blackout Impacts Markets Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_YO9VSoXnZ4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2801s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Should You Buy the Rip?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hQKHViTPWAg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Consumer Sentiment at Lower Levels Now than in Financial Crisis," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSFzZvG4IW8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Consumer is Getting Squeezed:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-consumer-is-getting-squeezed InvestorProtection.org -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #FederalReserve #Gasoline #PPI #PCE #FedWhisperer #Markets #Money #investing

    Should You Sell the Rip?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 14, 2022 5:34

    (6/14/22) Markets have officially declined more than 20%--the arbitrary measurement that defines a "bear market," but what does that really mean? (It's FELT like a bear market for the past several months!) Markets are not two standard deviations below the 50-DMA, a point from which markets have previously bounced. "Buy the Dip" is no longer in vogue--it's "Sell the Rip." The next level of resistance in the S&P will be at around 4,000; MACD and money flow indicators have reversed from "buy" to "sell" signals, all suggesting markets will go lower over the next few weeks. So, what's the difference between a "technical" bear market and a real one? That's when a previous, bullish trend of rising prices is broken and begins to trend lower. What matters is the perspective you use to view these trends. While markets ARE down 21% this year, from peak to trough, we are still above the 2020 market peak, and the 200-week moving average has been where markets have found bottoms--and that trend has remained positive. What we're seeing is not a bear market but a bull market correction. Markets are more over-sold now than at the bottom of 2020 and 2018. If markets go through a more normal correction, watch for the S&P to drop down to test the 200-WMA at about 3,500 or 3,400. As liquidity exits the market, things will revert to where they should have been over the past two years, in terms of valuation and earnings growth. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hQKHViTPWAg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #MarketCorrection #200WMA #Markets #Money #Investing

    Consumer Sentiment at Lower Levels Now than in Financial Crisis

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2022 47:55

    (6/13/22) Inflation is hotter than expected--IRS increasing mileage allowance in mid-year; largest inflation gauge is Homeowners' Equivalent Rent--w a 3-mo lag; Bitcoin sustained a 25% bloodbath over the weekend; inflation is hitting everything: Lottery Tickets, gasoline, Beer, Costco Peanut butter; Biden polling at all time lows; consumer sentiment at lower levels than in Financial Crisis; McDonald's quest for profitability; job hopping at restaurants; fallacies of oil companies' profits: inflation breaks things; markets' biggest problem is lack of clarity; bear markets don't end while everyone still wants to buy. Inflation is driving everything; GAO: 20% of PPP payments were fraudulent; Geico's lawsuit loss; Demand for random crap as indicator. SEG-1: Hotter Inflation & Bitcoin Bloodbath SEG-2: Lottery Tickets, Gasoline, & Beer: Inflation everywhere SEG-3: McDonald's Better Bad Choices for Profitability SEG-4: Inflation & the Demand for Random Crap Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSFzZvG4IW8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will the Fed Be More Aggressive?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pjhj5Ai7Yyo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How the Consumer is Getting Squeezed," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S82YQo2N_vA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Consumer is Getting Squeezed:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-consumer-is-getting-squeezed InvestorProtection.org -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #FederalReserve #Gasoline #Peanut_butter #Geico #McDonalds #Markets #Money #investing

    Will the Fed Be More Aggressive?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2022 2:45

    (6/13/22) Market Futures are sharply lower, with the Dow set to open in negative territory--which could be the low-point of the day. The hotter-than-expected inflation print released Friday is worrying investors that the Fed might move more aggressively in hiking rates in the near-term. That announcement comes on Wednesday, so markets are trading off ahead of the news. We expect the FOMC to follow thru on a 50-bp rate hike; of more interest will be the Fed's commentary for hints of subsequent actions later this Summer. Add to the mix a $3.2-T options expiration this week, and you've got a great recipe for market volatility. If markets open lower, we think it will trigger a MACD Sell-signal, unfortunately, since the Buy-signal was only recently established, with a subsequent rally; that rally is done. We believe it's best to use any intra-day rallies to lift exposure raise some cash--maybe even put in some shorts: If we break through market lows today, there is the likelihood of more downside in the near-term. Once we get past Wednesday's Fed announcement and Friday's Options Expirations, we can begin to think about what comes next. For the moment, the watchword is protect your portfolio. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pjhj5Ai7Yyo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #InterestRates #FederalReserve #OptionsExpiration #Markets #Money #Investing

    The Coming Economic Devastation

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2022 47:55

    (6/10/22) Markets took it on the chin, and stocks that flourished during the pandemic are not being punished; CPI and Inflation all point to stagflation in the economy and a need for economic cleansing with turbulence in every asset class; Texas ranks among the top three states for elder fraud, with funeral scams, telemarketers, and pigeon drops; from the "Rise & Shine Act" to our own "Stacked Waffle Act," the creative titling of proposed retirement reform legislation belies the state of retirement preparedness. Economic devastation to come from higher and higher energy prices; the hard choices lower income earners must make. SEG-1: Pandemic Stocks Get Spanked SEG-2: Dealing with Elder Fraud SEG-3: Creative Titles for Retirement Legislation SEG-4: Inflation vs Stagflation: Economic Devastation Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tf6Xvysz5Lg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2584s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Stuck Ahead of CPI," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zWpkksv101k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "How the Consumer is Getting Squeezed," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S82YQo2N_vA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Consumer is Getting Squeezed:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-consumer-is-getting-squeezed InvestorProtection.org -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Stagflation #Inflation #CPI #Gasoline #ElderAbuse #RetirementLegislation #Markets #Money #investing

    How the Consumer is Getting Squeezed

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2022 47:57

    (6/9/22) Texas Heat may be approaching par with inflation and gasoline prices; markets shed 1% on comments from SEC Chair Gensler on dropping Payment-for-Order-Flows. Is Janet Yellen nuts: Where inflation really comes from. There is zero appreciation for consumers by government economists. How to make Wall St. a "fairer" place; follow the money. Consumers are running out of means to pay as inflation rages. Target, Amazon, & WalMart are economic "canary in the coal mine." Calculating Core CPI. SEG-1: Texas Heat, Gasoline Prices, and Nowhere Markets SEG-2: What's Up w Janet Yellen? SEG-3: Why Payment-for-Order-Flow Isn't Going Away SEG-4: The Consumer is Getting Squeezed Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S82YQo2N_vA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Stuck Ahead of CPI," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zWpkksv101k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Problem w Joe Biden's $3.5-T Tax Plan," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GcP5a4MJyls&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1239s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "The Consumer is Getting Squeezed:" -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #Gasoline #JanetYellen #Free_Trades #Robinhood #Citadel #ConsumerSpending #Markets #Money #investing

    Markets Stuck Ahead of Friday's CPI Report | 3:00 on Markets & Money

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 9, 2022 3:57

    (6/9/22) Markets are essentially stuck ahead of Friday's CPI report. Wednesday's market party was spoiled by SEC Chairman Gensler pontificating on the end of Payment for Order Flow and creating more of a market auction type atmosphere--a move that would dramatically affect how Wall Street makes its money. The news pushed markets 1% lower by the close, which remained in a tight trading range, for a ninth straight day. The subsequent consolidation process is eating up the buy-signal octane, shrinking the gap between support and resistance. A breakout to the upside would allow markets to shoot towards the 200-MDA, but a break-out lower would re-test lows established last month. A hotter inflation number, and a more hawkish Fed next week would certainly add downward pressure to the market. Volatility, however, remains rather muted. When volatility increases, meaning the stock market is declining, the resulting sell-off would test those recent lows, a potential risk not to be ignored. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zWpkksv101k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #HawkishFed #SEG #OrderFlow #AuctionMarket #Robinhood #Markets #Money #Investing

    The Problem with Joe Biden's $3.5-T Tax Plan

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2022 47:50

    (6/8/22) The problem with Joe Biden's $3.5-T tax plan; why Janet Yellen is always wrong: Transitory vs Permanent Inflation; Markets Rally after negative open; wash, rinse, repeat; what Joe Biden's wet blanket tax plans mean for investors; how to help American's save more; electricity rates and the pay-off for solar panels; current tax credits are for things most people cannot afford (Tesla's & Solar Panels); why not tax incentives for saving? Consumer Credit on the rise; Target's Results & Excess Inventory; Slowing Economy, rising rates, and Fed tightening; Velveeta Nails; What's going on sale? SEG-1: Transitory vs Permanent Inflation: Yellen is Always Wrong SEG-2: Why Biden's Tax Hike Plan is a Wet Blanket on the Economy SEG-3: How to Solve America's Savings Dearth SEG-4: Target's Results & Consequences of Inflation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel:   -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What to Do When Markets Are Stuck in a Trading Range," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZtJsfFrB_Kg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Rise & Fall of Free Trades," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SoCUauUPkVQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JoeBiden #TaxHikes #Inflation #JanetYellen #SavingsRate #TaxIncentives #Markets #Money #investing

    What to Do When Markets Are Stuck in a Trading Range| 3:00 on Markets & Money

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2022 3:28

    (6/8/22) Markets have not gone much of anywhere over the past seven days; markets opened lower Tuesday, coming off support established last Monday, and closed up almost 1%, back towards the top of the trading range we've been in for the past week. The challenge is how to make some traction as the markets address three problems: Markets have rallied to the top of a trading range, which is at the same level as April & May bottoms; the current buy-signal is getting over-bought, and beginning to narrow; and as the 50DMA comes down to the top of the trading range, it creates another level of resistance; as markets continue to move sideways, more and more downward pressure is being applied. This is why we have been suggesting raising some cash--and we followed our own advice yesterday, building a short-market hedge if markets start to break to the downside, setting up a re-test of the lows of early May. With more and more economic indicators pointing to a slowing economy, and the Fed beginning to tighten monetary policy, there are plenty of reasons to remain concerned about market stability. But, if markets DO move to the upside, it's a simple thing to remove those hedges and put our cash back to work. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZtJsfFrB_Kg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #MarketHedge #Markets #Money #Investing

    The Rise and Fall of "Free" Trades

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 7, 2022 47:55

    (6/7/22) Investor fear vs Doing Anything About it: Why we're still not yet in a Bear Market--no one is really wiling to sell anything. Interesting dichotomy in latest NFIB report: Plenty of job openings, but no one is hiring. "Free" trading platforms promote more frequent trades, and lower stock holding times; ultimate result is a losing proposition from investors; enhances payment for order flow phenomenon. (This will never go away beause it benefits Wall St.) Friday's CPI: Has Inflation Finally Peaked? Results will take a while to burn off, but high prices will remain. How the government stoked the flames of inflation with "free" money...and wants to do it again. SEG-1: Why We're Still Not in a Bear Market SEG-2: The Rise & Fall of Free Trading SEG-3: Has Inflation Finally Peaked? SEG-4: Stupid Things the Government Does Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SoCUauUPkVQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Is it Time to Take Profits in Energy Stocks?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OSNn-wTdkBc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Dimon Warning Against Economic Hurricanes," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2NV4Qqu_6Tk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #FreeTrades #CPI #Inflation #Markets #Money #investing

    Is it Time to Take Profits in Energy Stocks?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 7, 2022 4:15

    (6/7/22) Energy Prices have been on the rise for myriad reasons, including the Russia/Ukraine War, and an under-supply of domestic oil thanks to regulatory changes. The energy indexes have followed suit, up nearly 50% this year, while the S&P is down 14%--an amazing out-performance that historically does not last for long. So, it is time to take profits in energy stocks? Energy prices, as a proxy for energy stocks, are worth noting: Oil at $118/bbl is three standard-deviations above the 50-MMA of oil prices. That's a more than 4-year stretch of prices above long-term moving averages (remember, moving averages are averages for a reason: Prices had to trade above AND below that average over a period of time.) Just three years ago, energy prices were trading at a NEGATIVE, three standard-deviations BELOW that same 50-month moving average. In 2020 no one wanted to own energy stocks because they were in the tank; now, everyone can't get enough of 'em. The last time we saw this phenomenon was in 2008. With prices currently over-extended, and the economy going into recession, there are implications for a reduction in demand, and a consequential drop in energy prices from reduced demand and increased supply. Prices will revert--maybe not this month or the next--but now would be a good time to think about taking some profits in energy stocks off the table. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OSNn-wTdkBc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EnergyStocks #OilPrices #CommoditiesPrices #SupplyDemand #Recession #Markets #Money #Investing

    Dimon Warning Against "Economic Hurricanes"

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 6, 2022 47:52

    (6/6/22) ChaseBank CEO Jamie Dimon is warning against "economic hurricanes," which, as we on the Texas Gulf Coast all know, can be prepared for, and that hurricanes often do not hit their expected target. With market sentiment so heavily negative, every rally should be sold in to. ESG investing exposed for the great money heist that it is: S&P Energy Index performance vs. anti-energy ESG funds. The ugly truth about the green movement; The need for gradual transition; current result is "greenflation." There is no such thing as "ESG." The best cure for high prices is high prices. Inflation is an imbalance in Supply/Demand dynamic. There is no stability in prices. The importance of skilled labor, irreplaceable by automation. SEG-1: Preparing for Economic Hurricanes SEG-2: The Case for a Short-Term Bullish Rally SEG-3: ESG investing: The Great Money Heist SEG-4: How to Cure high Prices Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2NV4Qqu_6Tk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Downtrend Remains Intact" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YPoLYJTcNiQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Coming Era of QT," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=URUYDjaejak&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EconomicHurricane #MarketRally #Market Sentiment ESGinvesting #Greenflation #LaborCosts #Automation #SkilledLabor #Markets #Money #investing

    Downtrend Remains Intact

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 6, 2022 2:54

    (6/6/22) Markets are set to rally this morning following Friday's sell off--the big question is whether the rally can be maintained? Markets are starting the week on a MACD Buy-signal, and are on the over-bought side, short-term, which could suppress any rally slightly. Markets are struggling with bottoms established in April, and also when Russia attached Ukraine. Additionally, the 50-DMA is rapidly dropping, following the downward trendline. There is much work to do as negative sentiment remains predominant. Also providing impact this month will be $3.2-Trillion options expirations, and the quarterly portfolio fund rebalancing dynamic; these factors could give a lift to markets. As long as the downtrend remains intact, we've got to use these rallies to sell-in to, raise cash, and be a bit more defensive. Meanwhile, the Fed will be tightening liquidity AND raising interest rates. Observing price action will provide clues as to where markets might go next. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YPoLYJTcNiQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketResistance #MarketBottom #50_DMA #OptionsExpiration #FederalReserve #QuantitativeTightening #InterestRates #Markets #Money #Investing

    Beware Faux Financial Planners

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 3, 2022 47:51

    (6/3/22) Elon Musk is so concerned about the economy he's considering cutting his workforce by 10%; how Lebron James became NBA's first billionaire while still playing; National Donut Day & Shipley's; Faux Financial Plans: When everyone is recommending the same thing; understanding what you own; Difference between A-, B-, and C-funds; Financial planning using a CPA: How much will you save over a lifetime? Going from successful to significant in life. Think inflation's bad here? Turkey has it at 70%; buying gasoline at Kroger; wage growth vs inflation; when CAN you retire? Essentials of Estate Planning: Managing Risk & Powers of Attorney. SEG-1: Markets Respond to Jobs Numbers SEG-2: Beware Faux Financial Planners SEG-3: The Difference Between Successful and Significant SEG-4: Retiring Amidst Inflation Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w w Sr. Relationship Manager, Jon Penn, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mHceLFicUGs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2595s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Fail at Resistance," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EhVZcQ-tmYc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "The Coming Era of QT," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=URUYDjaejak&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JobsNumbers #Inflation #Retirement #ElonMusk #LeBronJames #FinancialPlanning #EstatePlanning #Markets #Money #investing

    The Coming Era of QT

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 2, 2022 47:54

    (6/2/22) Markets took to heart a quasi-retraction from Fed Gov. Bostic on possible halt to Fed tightening later this Summer, pulling back to previous lows. Regardless, markets are still in a buying mood, and this will be the wash-rinse-repeat pattern for the next several weeks; too many investors are predicting a bear market for it to occur. Queen Elizabeth-II marks her 70th year on the throne; can the monarchy last? The Fed's method of quantitative tightening can be partially accomplished by attrition; Securitization of Mortgages explained; With markets under pressure, is there still more downside to come? The reason bear markets happen: No one's expecting it. Individuals and investors are generally wrong at extremes. Working from Home to be a thing of the past? Corporate stock buy backs--Is it the most efficient use of capital? How companies manipulate number to meet Wall Street's estimates. SEG-1: Markets Walk Back Rally: Wash, Rinse, Repeat SEG-2: Queen Elizabeth-II Jubilee; The Coming Era of QT SEG-3: The Reason Bear Markets Occur SEG-4: Working From Home & The Games Corporations Play Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=URUYDjaejak&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Markets Fail at Resistance," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EhVZcQ-tmYc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Bullish or Bearish...or Somewhere In Between?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PwDMdEj0AvI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarket #FedTightening #Inflation #StockBuyBacks #CorporateEarnings #Gasoline #Markets #Money #investing

    Markets Fail at Resistance

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 2, 2022 3:29

    (6/2/22) Markets sold off after Fed Governor Bostic walked-back his comments about a potential Fed pause later this Summer, which markets interpreted to mean a more aggressive Fed in hiking rates and reducing liquidity. The hope for a kinder, gentler Fed policy had been fueling markets. The good news is that markets are still on a "buy" signal, and the MACD is still positive. But markets still remain in an over-sold condition. Higher future this morning are suggesting a bit of a rally, right out of the gate...but sustainability of said rally will be paramount. The not-so-good news yesterday was that markets failed at a resistance level that goes all the way back to February of this year. As markets grind higher, they'll be eating up the buy signals in the process, limiting upside somewhat. Because prevailing sentiment remains bearish, that will give a bit of a lift to markets as some investors are caught in a short squeeze on some positions. We think this continues to be a sellable rally. Our strategy remains, as markets work through multiple levels of resistance, to use the opportunity to sell laggards and raise cash. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EhVZcQ-tmYc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketResistance #MarketBottom #FedGovBostic #20_DMA #50_DMA #200_DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

    The Great Resignation has shifted to The Great Re-hiring

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 1, 2022 47:54

    (6/1/22) Summer Markets could provide opportunity for investors; 25% of Americans are delaying retirement because of inflation--meaning, they weren't ready to retire in the first place. How Biden/Powell are fighting inflation; the solution for high gasoline prices is more oil. California lifeguards earning 6-figure incomes; how The Great Resignation has shifted to The Great Re-hiring; how we're handling inflation & the Savings Paradox; Bearish or neutral, or bullish to neutral: best place may be to shift to neutral; where interest rates are going; financial solvency. SEG-1: Summer Markets Preview SEG-2: Cali Lifeguards & The Great Resignation becomes Great Rehiring SEG-3: Market Commentary: Moving to Neutral SEG-4: The Davos Solution for Thee, but not We Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: "Bullish or Bearish...or Somewhere In Between?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PwDMdEj0AvI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Could Markets Rally All the Way into Summer?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ZxVJ70WpiY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "What Markets Are Trying to Tell the Fed," is here: youtube.com/watch?v=nI4hgabk8pk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2s "Student Loan Forgiveness is a Nightmare" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JQymauDEgrg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SummerMarket #Retirement #NeutralStance #Cash #Bullish #Bearish #GreatResignation #Inflation #Gasoline #Markets #Money #investing

    Could Markets Rally All the Way into Summer?

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 1, 2022 3:46

    (6/1/22) We're seeing signs of a much stronger rally as we head into Summer months: There has not been a negative June in the markets since 2015; July also tends to be a stronger month in the Summer. Things are more dicey in August and September, but with markets under so much pressure the past two months, it would not be a surprise to see markets take off in the next two months. Markets tend to do the opposite of what everyone expects: With over 8,200 articles written on "the coming recession," the bear market, and lots of negative sentiment--consumer sentiment at levels reflecting proximity to market bottoms--markets tend to buck the trend. If markets can drive back up to the 4,300 or 4,400 levels, more bullish sentiment will reign. That will set up for the next leg of the bear market as the Fed tightens liquidity and raises interest rates. As economic growth slows further and stock prices begin to fall, that will be an opportunity to put cash to work. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ZxVJ70WpiY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CounterTrendRally #MarketBottom 20_DMA #50_DMA #200_DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

    No More Rate Hikes

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 1, 2022 48:57

    (5/31/22) Markets prepare to wrap up May, and enter the final month of the Second Quarter, and how investors can take advantage; why inflationary pressures remain; how Washington's idiocy made inflation worse...and some Senators want to repeat the process. Oil Company margins are no better now, thanks to inflation of labor and materials, and higher costs of extraction. How trapped-longs can finally get out; why the Fed is behind the curve in preparing for the next recession; Iran's "secret" tunnels; The new Delorean; Why Student Loan Forgiveness is a fundamentally flawed concept. SEG-1: Use the Rally to Rebalance Risk SEG-2: Top Gun, Redux, Washington Idiocy, Elizabeth Warren's Mis-guided Economics SEG-3: Markets Are Trying to Tell the Fed: No More Rate Hikes SEG-4: The Flawed Reasoning Behind Forgiving Student Loans Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show, "What Markets Are Trying to Tell the Fed," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nI4hgabk8pk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 ...and "Student Loan Forgiveness is a Nightmare!" here: https://studio.youtube.com/video/JQymauDEgrg/edit?c=UCXVMMgEidXlrTM1coedg70A -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Can the Rally Last?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GBjuuoSd0-s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Unintended Consequences of Taxing the Rich," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7-Bzc9WImg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InterestRates #Inflation #FederalReserve #ElizabethWarren #TopGunMaverick #IranTunnels #Delorean #StudentLoanForgiveness #Markets #Money #Investing

    Can the Rally Last?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 31, 2022 4:28

    (5/31/22) Markets are ending the month of May with a nice rally in the previous week--but can it last? There are still a lot of companies that are offsides in market allocations in terms of equities as well as in bonds--anyone with a 60/40 allocation is out of whack. Much of the remaining rebalancing will have to be accomplished in the final month of the quarter: June. Volatility, however, has not been suggesting the recent rally can stand. What are markets telling us? The bottom that has been building over the past several days continues to hold, allowing a triggering of the MACD buy signal. Markets are still in a very-defined downtrend; markets could rally back up to the 50-DMA--and if so, offer a great opportunity to reduce risk in portfolios. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GBjuuoSd0-s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CounterTrendRally #MarketBottom 20_DMA #50_DMA #200_DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

    Toughest Year Ever?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 30, 2022 9:10

    (5/30/22) As the markets go, so goes the year: The way we look at financial markets is very different from the way the Fed looks at financial markets. Keep in mind where we've come from, and where we are today: How inflation was created, and the mistake everyone made was that growth in the economy was organic...but in reality was fueled by all the liquidity that had been injected into the economy; the problem of not having an investing strategy. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO [NOTE: This segment was previously broadcast, but with lots of flaws in the production. We're taking the opportunity of the Memorial Day observance to re-run the opening segment of that show, with corections in the adudio.] -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DPmbKGvJZTU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Much Room Does the Market Have?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nl79wxkNCoI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Unintended Consequences of Taxing the Rich," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7-Bzc9WImg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Snap Goes the Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/snap-goes-the-economy -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InterestRates #Inflation #FederalReserve #Markets #Money #Investing

    Target Date Funds: The Rule of Dumb

    Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2022 47:49

    (5/27/22) Will the Memorial Day weekend see lots of "revenge travel?" Never under-estimate the ability of a bear market to suck you in one more time; a reflexive rally is not an all-clear sign for investors. Listen to screeching sound of a dead-cat bounce; how are companies responding; how long can a reflexive rally last? ESG funds are just S&P funds in a green skirt. Target Date Funds: The Rule of Dumb. Why Target Date Fund dates mean nothing; Cheese dreams and pizza portfolios; the glory of Velveeta. Changes coming to Social Security; Soylent Green & Estate Planning. SEG-1: Why the Reflexive Rally is Not an All-Clear SEG-2: The Dead Cat Bounce & Greenwashing ESG's SEG-3: Target Date Funds, Cheese Dreams, & Pizza Portfolios SEG-4: Changes Coming to Social Security & Estate Planning Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP w Senior Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8zo8cYq67jU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2585s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Much Room Does the Market Have?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nl79wxkNCoI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "2022: The Toughest Year Ever," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DPmbKGvJZTU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Snap Goes the Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/snap-goes-the-economy -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ReflexiveRally #MemorialDay #SocialSecurity #EstatePlanning #Cheese #Markets #Money #Investing

    The Federal Reserve: Two Hikes & Done?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2022 47:57

    (5/26/22) 2022 is turning out to be one of the roughest years ever for market investors; where investors are most likely to make mistakes; how aggressive will the Fed be on interest rates? No one is surprised at Meta's fraud issues; the question of blockchain integrity; software security will be an ongoing business & investing opportunity; what will the Fed's next action mean for markets? The Fed looks at markets differently than do investors; too much money chasing to few deals: What's the fate of SPAC's? Positive market signs are emerging: Are we ready for a reflexive rally? SEG-1: The Toughest Year Ever SEG-2: How Aggressive Will the Fed Be? SEG-3: Meta Fraud & Blockchain Integrity SEG-4: The Fate of SPAC's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TAIKsfiA7VA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: How Much Room Does the Market Have?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Nl79wxkNCoI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Unintended Consequences of Taxing the Rich," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7-Bzc9WImg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Snap Goes the Economy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/snap-goes-the-economy -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bonds #InterestRates #FederalReserve #Meta #Blockchain #SPAC #Markets #Money #Investing

    How Much Room Does the Market have?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2022 4:22

    (5/26/22) Good news for markets as they try to establish a bottom and set up for a counter-trend rally. Stock prices peaked in March, and since then have had a tough time. The MACD signal has been in a downward trend, applying downward pressure to pricing at the same time. Wednesday's rally triggered a MADC Buy-signal for the first time in 8-weeks. Markets have been stabilizing and forming consistent bottom levels. With the MACD signal in place, money flow signals turning positive, and markets still over-sold, these elements suggest the potential for markets to get a lift. The Big Question is, how much room does the market have before running into the next level of resistance? Because the upside is limited, playing any rally must be done with caution. Where will resistance levels be? Perhaps the 20-DMA trend line; the 50-DMA has a little more room to run up to the 4,200 level in the month of June. After that, the 200-DMA, which would lift markets to previous peaks we saw in March. As we move to these levels, reduce risk as these rallies offer the opportunity. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f8nL3K0gZWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CounterTrendRally #MarketBottom 20_DMA #50_DMA #200_DMA #Markets #Money #Investing

    Unintended Consequences of Taxing the Rich

    Play Episode Listen Later May 25, 2022 47:57

    (5/25/22) Selling pressures continue in the markets, stringing together the most losing weeks since 1928, underscoring the importance of bonds as markets shift from inflation to growth priorities. Correlations and Causations of the Uvalde Shootings: coincidence of increased violence with growth in social media; the velocity of information makes it too easy to react & respond. Why catfish live longer; the rich who want to raise taxes...and the unintended consequences for the less-affluent. Are credit spreads forecasting a Fed-engineer soft-landing? How the Fed views Markets: Cycle to Cycle. SEG-1: Importance of Bonds as Markets Shift Priorities SEG-2: Uvalde: Correlation & Causation SEG-3: Noodling, Catfish, Multi-millionaires & Tax Hikes SEG-4: How the Fed Looks at the Market vs the rest of us Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l1n-MUHuVuw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2576s -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Bonds Are Turning a Corner," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f8nL3K0gZWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s -------- Our previous show, "Dealing with Negative News in a Positive Way," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7-Bzc9WImg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bonds #InterestRates #Stocks #TaxTheRich #UvaldeShooting #SoftLanding #Markets #Money #Investing

    Bonds Are Turning a Corner

    Play Episode Listen Later May 25, 2022 3:28

    (5/25/22) Bonds have started to turn a corner in recent weeks, picking up their non-correlation relative to equity prices--exactly what you want if you're using bonds as a hedge against a stock sell-off. Taking a look at interest rates for hints of where rates are heading reveals much about the economy, and where it's heading, as well. As slowing in April of the rate of growth of inflation allowed interest rates to rise, so did May's reports of slowing inflationary growth, causing rates to drop. Interest rates are now sitting on critical support, and if the decline continues, we're expecting a break of about 2.7% on the Ten-year Treasury rate...pushing rates into the 2%-ish range. The significance of this is, stocks and bonds are starting to price-in slower growth, rather than higher inflationary pressures. So what to do about a very large short-position in Bonds? There's a good possibility of lower rates and higher bond pries through the month of June. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f8nL3K0gZWc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=3s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Bonds #EconomicGrowth #InterestRates #TenYearTreasury #Markets #Money #Investing

    Dealing with Negative News in a Positive Way

    Play Episode Listen Later May 24, 2022 48:38

    (5/24/22) Thanks to Snapchat and Mega, and their impact on FAANG stocks, markets sold off last week's gains. Price action remains negative; is relief on the horizon? LA Port activity smoothing out. Bad geopolitical news further weighs on markets, investors, and advisors: How to handle negative news in making investing decisions. At Davos 2022, Ray Daleo says "cash is trash;" why does the Dollar continue to strengthen" We're the cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry. The value of having a financial advisor--and what an FA is. Will the S&P make it 8-in a row? Why true investors must think of doing the "uncomfortable." SEG-1: Markets in Need of a Reflexive Rally SEG-2: How to Manage Negativity for Positive Investing Outcomes SEG-3: The Value of a Financial Advisor (Behind the Scenes Look) SEG-4: Investing Inside vs Outside of Recessions Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Chris Behan, Business Development Officer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7-Bzc9WImg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Will Markets Give Up All of Monday's Gains?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_aFa-LZJTU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 -------- Our previous show, "Wht the Recession Will Be Later than Expected," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSOqv7k7R7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #BearMarket #Recession #SnapChat #Mega #Geopolitical #RayDaleo #Davos2022 #CashIsTrash #DollarStrength #Markets #Money #Investing

    Will Markets Give Up All of Monday's Gains?

    Play Episode Listen Later May 24, 2022 4:14

    (5/24/22) Markets were able to hold support at last week's lows--and important test of the bottom, and a set up for a double-bottom. Unfortunately, markets are pointing lower following Snapchat's poor report, which is weighing on FAANG stocks, which in turn are placing a drag on the S&P. A commonality of recent weeks has been a rally that gets sold-into, which has been the heart of the negative pressure on the 20-DMA. Price declines are also what's keeping the MACD signal in "sell" territory, and yesterday's rally did not trigger a "buy" signal. Because markets are so over-sold, we are expecting some type of intermediate-term rally providing investors an opportunity to rejigger portfolios and adjust for risk. There is SO much negative sentiment in the markets; when markets do what no one expects--that will be The Opportunity to take advantage of. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N_aFa-LZJTU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1 ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BearMarket #Volatility #RiskReduction #Markets #Money #Investing

    Why the Recession Will Be Here Later than Expected

    Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2022 48:01

    (5/23/22) The Dow is now stringing together 8-weeks of losses--its worst performance since the 1920's. Contrary to media claims of a bear market, the 20% drop is but a correction on the road to Bubblization: This will be The Most Forecasted Recession in history. Graduation Weekend at the Roberts' house; Davos 2022 = Pinky & The Brain. When all the experts agree, something else is bound to happen; why buy & hold doesn't work at the wrong end of market cycle. NABE Report: increased expectations for inflation and recession. The Bullwhip Effect in retail inventories will be deflationary. The Roberts' Pool Project & Sugar Rush pricing; the next hurdle will be Labor and coming layoffs. Recession may not be averted, but will occur later than expected. Corresponding trends with Monkey Pox: Is God trying to tell us something? If the Apostles had cellphones...The Elephant in the room is the Demographics of Social Security (and why Obamacare is a failure): Demographics are Destiny. SEG-1: Markets' Minor Correction on Road to Bubblization SEG-2: High School Graduation; When Experts Agree, Something Else is Bound to Happen SEG-3: NABE & The Bullwhip Effect; The Roberts' Pool Project SEG-4: Monkey Pox & The Destiny in Demographics Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSOqv7k7R7c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: Why a 20% Correction Does Not a Bear Market Make," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HKhlF7Qj_cM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s -------- Our previous show, "Dealing with Healthcare Costs in Retirement," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Up-mCl0M8sI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2588s -------- Articles mentioned in this podcast: "Economic Stagnation Arrives As “Sugar Rush” Fades" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-stagnation-arrives-as-sugar-rush-fades/ -------- Other Videos mentioned in this podcast: "If Bible characters had iPhones" w/ John Crist: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nt5k_tO6768 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #BearMarket #Recession #NABE #BullwhipEffect #Demographis #SocialSecurity #Obamacare #Markets #Money #Investing

    Why a 20% Correction Does Not a Bear Market Make

    Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2022 3:43

    (5/23/22) Breaking through the markets' 20% barrier does not a bear market make, regardless of breathless media commentary. 20% off today's S&P is merely a correction, thanks to the lone-term bullish trend of rising prices remains well intact. On Friday, buying came in in the late afternoon, holding onto support established earlier last week. Markets are looking to move higher this morning--an indication that the bottom could hold, and the first, key test will be right at 4,000, right where its 20-DMA is sitting. However, there are several downtrends with which to be dealt. The good news is that Volatility is not indicating a panic-driven selling bear market. While there is much selling pressure, Volatility has been declining, and the markets' decline has been quite orderly. After eight weeks straight of selling in the Dow, and seven-weeks of similar activity in the S&P, it would not be surprising to see a couple of positive weeks in the markets at this point...offering a great opportunity to rebalance risk and reposition portfolios for what happens later this year as the Fed hikes rates and tightens policy. Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ -------- Watch the video version of this report by subscribing to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HKhlF7Qj_cM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=2s ------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BearMarket #Volatility #RiskReduction #Markets #Money #Investing

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