Podcasts about MPC

ExxonMobil, Chevron, and TotalEnergies are cash generating machines.  (0:15) - Where In The Energy Industry Should You Be Looking To Invest Right Now? (11:10) - Tracey's Top Stock Picks For Your Watchlist (43:00) - Episode Roundup: XOM, CVX, TTE, VLO, MPC

Every crypto holder relies on one thing and rarely thinks about it until it fails: how the keys are kept safe. Just days after the Coldcard hack drained over $100 million from users who appeared to do everything right, Ledger's Head of EMEA Kasper Luyckx joins Stefan to explain what really keeps digital assets safe, from hardware signers to bank-grade HSMs. Kasper, who has seen custody from both sides after years at UBS and Crypto Finance, walks through what actually went wrong at Coldcard (a seed generated in software instead of the secure chip, with far too little randomness), why it was an isolated firmware failure rather than an indictment of self-custody, and how Ledger's in-house attack lab, the Donjon, works. From there the conversation opens up: the real gap between retail and institutional custody, where multisig, MPC and HSMs fit, and the big shift from simply storing crypto to on-chain payments and tokenized securities. They also dig into AI on both sides of security, including Ledger's new Agent Stack, where AI agents can propose transactions but a human still approves each one on the device. The throughline: as AI makes vulnerabilities cheaper to find, keeping a human in the loop matters more than ever, and most people will end up holding value in a hybrid of self-custody and trusted custodians. Enjoy the episode.

Click here to join Sync Producer Hub In this episode of Sync Producer Spotlight, Bronx Child discusses his musical roots, how he transitioned from piano lessons and choir into beat-making on the MPC, and how he discovered sync music through the Sync Producer Hub and Clint's TV Mastery course. He shares examples of scoring for independent films and TV, talks about workflow challenges (MPC to DAW integration, time zones for briefs), and his pitching strategy for music libraries and reality TV placements. Bronx Child's top advice: manage your time, protect your health, dream big, stay persistent, and use community resources to grow in the sync space.

Eleventh Sunday after PentecostAugust 9, 2026Worship Service includes:Scripture Readings: Psalm 28:6-9 and Philippians 2Sermon:  I Hope You Dance given by Rev. Dr. Tom KortClick here for Worship Bulletin - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -Welcome to Morrisville Presbyterian Church.No matter who you are or where you are on your journey of Faith,you are invited to MPC.Education Hour:Contact Pastor Alex Lester-Abdalla at alexlester-abdalla@mpcusa.net Worship Service:In-Person and Livestream begins at 10:30 a.m. each Sunday.Morrisville Presbyterian Church771 N Pennsylvania AveMorrisville, Pennsylvania 19067(215) 295-4191 Website: https://www.mpcusa.org Support the show

Série Som do Céu: Vozes e Canções - Roma Pereira: samba com propósito Entrevistadores: André Castilho e Aristeu Pires Júnior Convidada: Roma Pereira - Cantora e compositora Instagram: @roma.pereira.9 Pode o samba ser "Som do Céu"? Roma Pereira prova que sim! Nesta entrevista emocionante gravada no acampamento da MPC, em Minas Gerais, a cantora mineira revela como trocou a revolta pela paz e transformou o cotidiano em teologia cantada. De um encontro transformador com Jesus aos 19 anos até a formação de uma "cozinha" musical com seus próprios filhos, Roma quebra preconceitos e mostra que o ritmo não tem dono: é um presente divino. Prepare o coração para uma história de identidade e superação. Confira! See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

We’re excited to have Will Loux, senior vice president of global economic affairs for the U.S. Dairy Export Council, join us to share his presentation of the future of U.S. dairy exports. For years, the U.S. dairy export portfolio has leaned heavily on nonfat dry milk, skim milk powder, lactose and lower-protein whey products. But our exports are changing. In the latest episode of The Milk Check, host Ted Jacoby sits down with Will Loux to break down the changing U.S. export picture. In this episode, we cover: Why U.S. dairy exports are moving toward cheese, fats and higher-value proteins How domestic protein demand is pulling skim solids away from dryers Why more cheese may be produced partly to create additional whey protein How exports are absorbing a larger share of new U.S. cheese production Where Latin America offers room for additional cheese growth What it will take for U.S. butter exports to become more consistent and profitable The U.S. has the milk. It has new processing capacity. And it is capturing a growing share of international cheese demand. But growth creates new challenges. Are you ready to meet them? Listen to The Milk Check episode 104: Can the U.S. Keep Its Dairy Export Advantage? Also available on: Amazon Music, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and YouTube. Got questions? We'd love to hear them. Submit below, and we might answer it on the show. Ask The Milk Check Transcript: Ted Jacoby III: [00:00:00] Coming up on the Milk Check. Will Loux: What I’ve heard from folks in Europe and elsewhere is how do they manage the U.S. tsunami of exports that’s coming? And I think that, at the Export Council, it makes me excited, but it does mean we need to keep our strategies current. Ted Jacoby III: Welcome to the Milk Check from T.C. Jacoby & Co., your complete guide to dairy markets, from the milking parlor to the supermarket shelf. I’m Ted Jacoby. Let’s dive in. Ted Jacoby III: Today, we are very excited to have Will Loux, Senior Vice President of Global Economic Affairs for the U.S. Dairy Export Council joining us.  A few weeks ago I saw a presentation that Will gave that talked about where the U.S. dairy industry is going, especially from an international perspective. It was an absolutely fantastic presentation, and I couldn’t help but think that just this presentation alone would be an absolutely fantastic topic for our podcast.  I have a bunch of our traders joining us, many of our usual suspects, including: Ted Jacoby III: Diego Carvallo, Joe Maixner, Miguel Aragon, Mike Brown, all from our trading team. Guys, thanks for joining us. Will, thank you so much for joining us. It’s great to see you again. Will Loux: Good to see you, Ted. Thanks for having me on. Ted Jacoby III: Excited to have all of our listeners listen to this. Will, the floor is yours. Will Loux: Perfect. Well, thank you for having me, Ted, and glad to have so many people on here and another audience for this presentation. I’ve got some slides. For those of you like me who will listen to this podcast usually while driving, feel free to go check it out on YouTube. I am also gonna do my best to reference what is in those slides as best I can remember to do so. But what is the future of U.S. dairy exports? What we’ve seen, really over the last twenty-five years, has been this tremendous, consistent growth, in aggregate U.S. dairy exports. We just got May data, and what we saw was on an annualized basis over the last twelve months, the U.S. actually set a new record again. So our exports have never been higher than they are today. But that said, our exports look fundamentally different than what they did 20 years ago. Before, when we were getting started with exports, 75, 80% of our exports were really driven by nonfat dry milk, and low-protein whey products, and lactose. That’s been the vast majority of our portfolio for much of this time, and we’ve had a few different eras where we’ve seen U.S. cheese exports picked up, especially around 2014 when the world was short of milk and we saw U.S. cheese and butter go overseas. But then we saw that stagnate for a few years. Now, what we’ve seen since COVID has been this tremendous growth of these more value-add products, these specialty products. I believe the U.S. is moving towards a portfolio in the export market that looks a lot like cheese, fats, and proteins. And that’s gonna be the core of our exports, I think, going forward because the U.S. dairy industry is really kind of, I consider it an evolution rather than, like, a true revolution. But this is one of those facets that I think is really interesting to see is the U.S. has consistently been growing its exports, unlike a [00:03:00] lot of other supply origins. But this is one that I think as we go forward I’m really excited about. But it’s gonna change how we need to think about exports over the next few years. Ted Jacoby III: Will, it sounds like what you’re saying is not only are we seeing the total volume of exports go up, but the dollar per pound value is even going up faster because we’re switching away from that low-cost carb portfolio to a much higher-value protein, fat, et cetera portfolio. Fair to say? Will Loux: I think that’s exactly right. I think there are implications for that, too.  That if the U.S. is moving out of perhaps exporting as much skim milk powder or sweet whey because we’re instead making UF milk or cottage cheese or yogurt or high-protein whey, well, there’s still demand overseas for that sweet whey and for that skim milk powder. But now, it’s actually getting supplied by a few other countries, too. So, we do have to keep all of these things in mind. But to me, I think we’re moving up the value chain as the U.S., and what I’ve heard from folks in Europe and elsewhere is how do they manage the U.S. tsunami of exports that’s coming? And I think that, at the Export Council, it makes me excited, but it does mean we need to keep our strategies current with where we’re gonna go in the future. One of the things that I’ve noticed here over the last really few months but even going back to last year has been a real shift in how the U.S. dairy market is balancing itself. I would argue that for the last really 20 years, to be frank, but at least for the last 15 years, the U.S. dairy market has largely been balanced to domestic fat demand. Yes, we did see, certainly, exports of cheese grow over this time, so I don’t want to discount that as a butterfat-heavy product, but for the most part, what we’ve seen has been the U.S. has consistently balanced with where domestic demand for butterfat has grown, and then we’ve exported the skim solids largely in the form of nonfat dry milk and sweet whey overseas. What we’ve seen here over the last several years has been the U.S. switching from a traditionally balancing to domestic milkfat demand, where we’ve seen butter consumption grow, whole milk consumption grow. U.S. milk production, U.S. dairy production grew with that. And then, we exported the additional skim solids in the form of nonfat dry milk, sweet whey, high protein whey, lactose. Those products were the ones that we were really exporting. Now, what I think is happening is the U.S. is no longer really balancing to fat anymore. We’re in this precarious balance right now. We’re not quite balanced to protein yet, and we’re not quite balanced to the beef market yet because we still have high prices for protein. We don’t have enough of it to go around. We don’t have enough beef for the beef market to go around, but we also have more milk fat than the domestic market can consume. And so we’ve seen these exports really rise. So, I think what we’re seeing right now is the U.S. being pulled in different directions, and the U.S. exports as we go forward here over the next few years is in some ways at a crossroad as to which of these routes do we go. Do we swing back to balancing to milk fat, which would mean we’re probably short of protein, or do we start balancing more to protein, which means we’re gonna need to find homes for a heck of a lot more cheese and butter in the next few years. [00:06:00] Because to me, at least, if you look at the beef market, from a dairy farmer’s perspective, you are still seeing that incentive to add additional cows just based on the returns on the beef side of things. And because of that incentive to hold the dairy cows longer to get the additional black calf, also with that breeding the best of the best in the young stock, we are just seeing the largest milking herd since the 1990s and the lowest replacement herd since the 1970s. And everything we’re seeing on the beef cattle side of things would suggest this isn’t slowing down anytime soon. But from the U.S. perspective, I think what this means is we’re gonna continue to see more milking cows around, and those cows are getting more productive than ever before. And even as we’re seeing this surge in milk production, I think on a component basis, last year in in 2025 we were up 3.8%. This year we’re up not quite at 3%, but still pretty darn close. Even as we see this growth of milk, these additional black calves coming on the market, we actually still don’t see enough protein hitting the dairy markets right now. And so, what we’re seeing is even as we see this huge surge in cottage cheese production and yogurt production, my personal opinion is yogurt doesn’t get enough credit for this protein rally. It’s like 10X the volume of cottage cheese, but what we’re seeing right now is this pull of protein. I think this pull of protein is predominantly domestic. We’re seeing UF beverages, we’re seeing yogurts, we’re seeing cottage cheese, we’re seeing everything that whey protein can go into from cereals to snacks to beverages. All of that protein pull is basically sucking protein and skim solids that had been going to the export market back into the U.S. By virtue of that, we’re also seeing U.S. cheese production need to increase, not so much for the cheese demand that we’re seeing here in the United States, but rather for the whey demand that we’re seeing here as well. The cheese has really become that co-product of the whey stream. I think even conversations that I’ve had with U.S. manufacturers of, “How can I get more whey protein without building a new cheese plant” is part of the consideration. One of the things that we’ve looked at over this time has really been where is this protein in the United States going? Because we’ve seen U.S. milk production rise, U.S. milk protein production rise in the sense of protein out of the cow, but we still have less nonfat dry milk and skim milk powder than we had a year ago. What I’ve noticed over this time has been certainly the cheese vat continues to get first dibs on most of that protein. Even in the May data that we got out of USDA, you saw cheese production was up, even when nonfat dry milk was sitting at sky-high levels north of $2.00. What we’re really seeing right now is we’re pulling milk out of the dryers and either putting it into the cheese vat or putting it into these other high-protein products and the like. What that is doing is that’s shifting our export mix. So far this year, our exports of skim milk powder, amazingly, are flat somehow. But if [00:09:00] you look at our May exports of nonfat dry milk and skim milk powder, they were down 20%, and I think that’s reflective of that, and we were down last year. What we’re seeing has been the U.S. is moving out of some of these carb-heavy, as you talked about, Ted, to these more higher value uses for these products. And even nonfat dry milk production picked up in May, but it’s not that we pulled milk out of the yogurts or out of the cottage cheese or out of the natural cheese itself, it’s that we stopped making skim milk powder and instead made nonfat dry milk. This is really where we’re seeing this pull of protein, either in the form of beef necessitating more cows or necessitating more capacity to make whey proteins, milk proteins, UF products, or just high-protein dairy products. All of that pulled together is sending a, “Let’s go make more milk.” Contrasting that, you have cheese and fats, which at this point right now, and historically this isn’t too unusual, but it is something different than we’ve really seen over the last few years, has been this export push of cheese and dairy fats in the form of predominantly butter, AMF, and to a lesser extent whole milk powder. What we’re seeing here has really been this shift where right now I think we’re growing our milk production as fast as the international market can absorb our cheese and fats. Because if you look here, since COVID, what we’ve seen is about 36%, over a third of the new cheese that’s been manufactured in the United States, has gone to export. If you think about that historically, about 5% of the new cheese in the previous decade went to exports. And now we’re at 35%. And if you look at the last two years, it’s north of 65% has gone to exports. As we’re building these new cheese plants, in part for the whey, there is that eye towards, “Okay, where are we going with this cheese?” And it’s gotta be overseas. Within that, too, the United States is actually the one capturing what is a growing global market. It’s not just that the U.S. is flooding the market with less expensive cheese, it’s that global cheese demand is growing, and the U.S. is the one capturing that. Because if you look, since COVID, the U.S. has captured about 60% of that new cheese demand that’s happening overseas, and that’s really been coming from the United States. Europe’s grown their cheese exports too, so has New Zealand. Australia’s basically flat, but the rest of the world evens up. The difference here is that the United States is really the one capturing this demand growth because we have the milk, we have the cheese, and that’s really where I think the U.S. has managed to expand its footprint, be a more consistent exporter, and really break into new markets that it hasn’t before. But we’ve been in cheese for a while. Granted, it’s at a different scale today than what it has been. We were up 20% last year in cheese exports. This year we’re up about 25% so far this year. We continue to surge in our cheese exports. The difference that is new this time around is, fundamentally, that we’re seeing this expansion come not [00:12:00] just in cheese as our primary vehicle to export the fat and casein, but also in fat-heavy products, predominantly butter, but also AMF and whole milk powder, too. That you’re seeing the United States now, for every, load of high-protein beverages, you’re gonna have a load of cream that you’re gonna need to deal with, or multiple loads of cream that you’re gonna have to deal with, and that’s now going overseas. Domestic demand for butter is still going strong. Domestic demand for whole milk continues to grow. The difference is we’ve just grown production faster than that domestic demand. And so, you pull this all together, and I really think we’re seeing an evolution in our portfolio for exports. Cheese by value is now our biggest export product, and you’ve seen fats and proteins continue to grow within that portfolio, as well, from a value perspective. While we’ve seen nonfat dry milk, low protein whey, lactose, those have really been flat to declining over this timeframe. And so, if you look at that incremental growth that we’ve seen in our U.S. dairy exports since COVID, again, what we’ve seen is our two biggest stars during this period have been cheese and fats, and I think protein in the long run is still really optimistic to me. But you pull this all together, the U.S. is still gonna be a major player in skim milk powder, sweet whey, whey permeate, lactose. But if you look at where our exports are gonna grow in the future, those are really some of the key products. What do you all think about this as kind of a argument here for where our U.S. dairy exports are going? Joe Maixner: That’s been exactly what we’ve been discussing for the past six plus months, that our supply is going to continue to outpace the domestic demand. So 100% agree with everything you said in this, Will. I think that butter will continue to become a major player in the export market. Miguel Aragón: In my case, being out there in the trenches, I see this day in, day out. The penetration of U.S. cheese and butter, especially right now. We know the soaring ingredients, but cheese and butter especially, every day you could see it more and more in the marketplace. Something really interesting that you said at the beginning: If we’re gonna produce more cheese, we’re gonna have to find a place for it. We know the numbers, we see the numbers. It’s an amazing story. But right now, as we speak, that is replicating in Central America. You guys see it at the U.S. DEC. And I just came back from Colombia. The opportunity is there for us, as long as we keep doing what we’re doing now and looking at the market, adapting to the market, adapting to what the market is asking us for, and also replacing some of the product that is coming from Europe and New Zealand. But I agree with what you’re saying here 100%. Ted Jacoby III: Will, I’m gonna turn the question around on you a little bit. Is the global demand for butterfat there for us to continue to increase how much butter we’re exporting? And is the global demand for cheese there? Will that global demand keep increasing for those two products? Will Loux: From my perspective, it’s yes. What I find interesting over the last couple years has been that [00:15:00] cheese demand held up exceptionally well even during high inflation periods. Where we saw other dairy products actually feel a lot of the pressure internationally, cheese demand kept growing pretty much right on track. What we’ve seen here on the cheese side over the last couple of years internationally has been this acceleration in cheese demand, and I think some of that has to do with, as Miguel was saying, tremendous growth from our partners in Latin America. That’s been a key engine for U.S. dairy exports here over the last couple of years and, frankly, since the Export Council was founded about 30 years ago. But when we look at the opportunities abroad, I think that we still have a lot of untapped potential on the cheese side. I remain pretty optimistic about that. The other thing I’ll say, too, here is: I don’t think European milk production’s gonna keep growing at 3% a year. I don’t think you’re seeing the same investment in new cheese capacity. I think we’re seeing investment in Europe and New Zealand in new protein capacity, and that’s maybe another conversation. But I think the U.S., one, has the opportunity to capture what is a growing global market on the cheese side, and also capture market share on the cheese side. The butter standpoint has been interesting. Butter has typically been, internationally, one of the more price-elastic products. It’s one that we’ve seen when butter prices really skyrocketed, some of that may be allocation, but when butter prices were high, we did see international demand struggle. Conversely, when butter prices were low, like they are today in many ways, we’ve seen butter demand grow. And butter demand internationally is growing, not just out of the U.S., but globally. I think the question I have here with butter is less about can the U.S. compete in this market, but more, what is our price point relative to Europe and New Zealand. Because I think if you look at our butter exports, for much of last year we were probably a buck a pound below Europe. A lot of that butter was going into Europe, where coincidentally the tariff into Europe is about a buck a pound. I think my question is more crucially than can the U.S. capture growing demand for butter, it’s where do we grow our butter exports. And I, personally, think the U.S. should never be exporting really butter to Europe unless we get additional market access. I think the U.S. should be exporting butter to its higher value markets and partners, places like Mexico, like Central America, North Asia and Korea, Australia, the Middle East, assuming we can keep the strait open for a little while. But I still remain pretty optimistic that the U.S. can keep growing in those products. Some of it will be market share, and some of it will be new demand, particularly on the cheese side. Ted Jacoby III: Will, looking at this graph where it’s talking about, U.S. dairy exports by destination, there’s a big increase into Latin America since 2021. Will Loux: Yep. Ted Jacoby III: Is that fair to say most of that is cheese? Will Loux: It’s fair to say most of it is cheese. We have seen increases also in nonfat dry milk and skim milk powder exports to Latin America over this timeframe, too, but the big driver, I think especially post-COVID in Latin America, was, [00:18:00] one, that region was the first major region, I should say, where tourism increased to levels higher than what it was before COVID, and we continue to see pretty good economic performance in the region. The other thing I don’t wanna discount here, too, has also been the full implementation of CAFTA-DR, our trade agreement with many of the Central American countries came into full effect, and you’ve seen this real surge in demand from the region and collaboration with our local partners there, that we’ve really seen this growth in Central American demand and Caribbean demand. Most of that is cheese. More recently, there are also butter and AMF and so going there too, but cheese has been the engine on the Latin American side most recently. Mike Brown: Will, I’ve got a question. Anything in particular we in the dairy industry, and of course you at U.S. DEC, are watching as far as improving opportunities, but also possible disadvantages we may gain through trade. Will Loux: Yeah. Great question, Mike. I have a mix of optimism, and then probably a couple notes of caution on this. So from my optimistic take, a lot of these new agreements on reciprocal trade that we’ve signed with key partners around the world, some of these are incredibly exciting because these are markets we’ve wanted to have agreements with for a long time. In particular, Indonesia makes me very excited. I think if we are able to see that actually be implemented here soon, I would be even more excited. I think there’s still a question on when that gets fully implemented. Taiwan is another one. We are getting access into markets that we never had access to before. We’ll see when those are fully implemented but again, I am still pretty optimistic on where those have opportunities for the U.S. to build upon and get on an equal footing with our competitors in Oceania and in Europe. However, our competitors are not staying static. We see a new agreement here between the European Union and Mexico. We have an agreement between the European Union and Mercosur that gets them additional access, particularly in proteins. I think the U.S. cannot take its customers for granted. Especially as we look at places like Mexico, that’s one where competition is not going to go away. And when we’ve seen nonfat dry milk sit 75 cents plus above Europe, you’re gonna see customers start calling Europe and New Zealand and looking for alternative sources. Or when we have high-protein whey products that are in such demand domestically, are we making sure we’re contacting our customers abroad? Because what we’re seeing now is Europe is heavily investing in additional whey protein capacity. Even as the U.S. is the largest exporter of high-protein whey in the world, I think there are other origins that are coming for that. And so, when I look optimistically, it’s like, “Great, we get more market access.” But to some of the key questions that I have around like is the U.S. ready for the future of dairy exports, one of them is gonna be: How do we actually meet this international demand on the protein side, and are we gonna have the market access that we need to be able [00:21:00] to capture sales? As I look at the world market today, I have a ton of optimism for where the U.S. can really be the supplier of choice, but it’s not gonna be a straight line from here to there, even on the fats or even on the cheese. I think the last couple years, milk production’s been up so much, it’s allowed us to capture a lot of demand, but even those I think will bounce around. Mike, I don’t know if that answered your question, but that was where my head’s at these days. Ted Jacoby III: Everybody, we will be right back after these messages. Diego Carvallo: I’m Diego Carballo with T.C. Jacoby & Co.. T.C. Jacoby & Co. specializes in international dairy markets. For new customers that haven’t done business with Jacoby, I would tell them that we can provide them with many of the powders, dairy products that they consume, not only with the physical product, but we can also help them mitigate their risk. We know dairy. We know the main players. We know the main providers for the whole value chain. We are one of the strongest players in the U.S. market because we have contact all the way from the farmer moving the liquid milk all the way to the end users that buy the end products. I am Diego Carballo with T.C. Jacoby & Co., and we bring dairy to the world. Will Loux: Ted, maybe what do you think if we go through a couple of these questions and have a little debate? Ted Jacoby III: All right. We’ll ask our team. Number one, does the U.S. have the necessary market access and global reach to capture sales opportunities in a multipolar world? Will Loux: And maybe I’ll clarify what I mean by multi-polar world. Ted Jacoby III: Great idea. Will Loux: Cause what I mean by that is if you look at global dairy trade leading up to COVID especially, from 2010 to 2020, China was the engine of that global dairy import demand growth. They accounted for 40% of that growth. These days, I’m not particularly optimistic China’s gonna be the engine. I think China will be an important import market, for sure. And I think they’re still gonna need fats, they’re still gonna need proteins, but they’re growing their own domestic supply, particularly of commodities. So, what I think the future looks like from a demand perspective is collective growth. Latin America, Southeast Asia, Middle East, North Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa even, I think there will be a lot of countries growing that collectively equal what China was doing before. But we’re gonna have to play in a lot of markets. So, the question to you guys then is: Do we have the reach and access to be able to compete in a lot of different places, or what does that look like for the U.S.? Because China is not gonna be the engine of global dairy demand here over the next decade, we’re gonna have to compete in a lot of different markets. In the previous decade leading up to COVID, you saw a lot of the New Zealand milk production, an increasing percentage was going to China, which opened up opportunities for us in Southeast Asia and the Middle East and others.  As we look at this next era of dairy exports, do we have the market access? Do we have the global reach and infrastructure to be able to capture sales in a lot of different markets [00:24:00] around the world? Diego Carvallo: That’s a good question. If we start with the premise that the U.S. is not gonna desperately need to export nonfat, I would say that it’s not gonna be that difficult to find new markets. The U.S. is not gonna have to fight to move additional volumes like they need to do for products like butter. Where do we take the skim milk powder that we’re currently making if China is not a huge buyer anymore? There’s plenty of demand still to be covered in other regions of Southeast Asia in other regions in Latin America, where we should have a good footprint and where we should have some advantages when it comes to freight. I would say the main markets where we have to gain market share are gonna be definitely Central America, the Caribbean and Latin America because of all of the advantages when it comes to freight and the relationship and other factors. The market where we’re gonna fight with the rest of the origins is gonna be Southeast Asia, we may need to go there and fight with price, with aggressive pricing, and we may need to compete even with China, ’cause we’re hearing that even China has been exporting product to that region in the past year. There’s gonna be some markets where we are positioned to gain market share and others where we’re gonna have to compete in price. Ted Jacoby III: Miguel, what do you think? With cheese and butter, do we have the necessary market access and global reach? Miguel Aragón: We do have the necessary market access. Our products are welcome where we are taking them. Our issue is more like, the cheeses that we produce at scale, cheddar and color cheddar, are not necessarily the cheeses that our markets are asking for. We need Gouda, we need Monterey Jack, we need Sadero, we need Manchego. We need the help of our partners, our plant partners, to adapt and to see the opportunity of the cheeses that those markets ask for. And I’m in particular about Latin America. But then again, that’s a big market.  U.S. cheeses are well-received. We do have places to go with it. We just have to get better at exporting. U.S. DEC does a really good job at helping us get into those markets, vet the customers and teach about the products. We are doing the right things. We just need to do it a little bit better. We do have places to go with that extra cheese. Ted Jacoby III: Miguel, do you think there’s a lot of underserved regions in Central and South America? In other words, are there a lot of customers who the only reason they’re not buying and importing more U.S. cheese is because they don’t know who to buy it from, they don’t have the contacts? Miguel Aragón: I do. In the last trips that I made, especially to the northern part of South America, colombia, Peru, Ecuador, there is demand. It just reminds me of Mexico 15, 20 years ago. They don’t know who to buy it from. They don’t know that we make it. They don’t know that we have the variety that we have. It’s an education. We have to work, harder at marketing our products down there. But there is a place. There is definitely a place. There is a market. Ted Jacoby III: Thanks, Miguel. All right, Joe, I got a question for you. Can the U.S. export butterfat products consistently and in a [00:27:00] profitable manner? Joe Maixner: I think we’ve started showing that we can export consistently. Numbers have been pretty consistent and have been growing throughout the year. A profitable portion probably remains to be seen. We’ll always have to be aggressive as we’re entering into new markets ‘ cause we’re gonna have to find a way to penetrate into markets that have been historically dominated by Europe or Oceania with a product that does not look like Europe or Oceania’s product. The easiest way to do that, obviously, is to, for lack of a better term, buy our way into the market to people to try the product. But once our product is in there and they realize it’s a consistent quality butter, I think that we certainly have the opportunity to be profitable long-term. Realistically, exporting butterfat consistently makes everybody more profitable in the U.S. because it pushes fat offshore, which helps our butter price, ultimately, domestically. Will Loux: When I look at exporting butterfat profitably, for us, especially at the Export Council, it’s been one of those things that the U.S. for the longest time hasn’t had butter basically to export. When we’ve gotten long, we’ve found places to clear it. I think what’s changed this time around has been that it seems like with the pull of protein, that we’re gonna have at least some butter available long-term. The question that I still have is where are the best places for us to invest? And even as an Export Council, where are the best places for us to invest our resources into trying to make sure that customers even know that the U.S. has butter available to export, while also trying to find ways of helping U.S. exporters navigate different tariffs than they’ve traditionally had to export, making sure the product specs meet it, and then also trying to get new market access in places that, for a while we’ve seen a lot of trade agreements that thankfully got the U.S. access in cheese and in milk powders, and sometimes butter was in there, sometimes it wasn’t. And so how do we get additional access into that? I look at the U.S.-Japan phase one, that we got additional cheese access, I think we could use some additional butter access into Japan. I’m pretty optimistic on this one. I don’t know if we’re there yet, but I think it’s gonna be isolating which markets are going to be the most profitable for us. I’m probably less optimistic that we’re gonna be consistent in exporting butter here in the next couple of years. But long-term, I think it’s undeniable that the U.S. is gonna have to go in this direction eventually. Ted Jacoby III: Why are you less optimistic in the short-term? Will Loux: I’m a little optimistic in the short-term because we have been exporting effectively double the butter exports we have been. We’ve seen that gap between the U.S. and international markets close quite a bit. Inventories are pretty low. The milk fat test, until May, which surprised me a little bit, had been slowing down as farmers adjusted rations. If we get to the point where butter is $1.40, $1.50, I’m not sure it always makes sense for the farmers to pay for the incremental increase in feed inputs to boost the butterfat test to the [00:30:00] extent that would boost our exports. We may find ourselves tighter in butter in the fourth quarter because we’ve exported our way back to balance. And to me, it looks like where cheese was 15 years ago: That we are on the path towards being a consistent exporter, but we’re often still going to prioritize our domestic market. From the U.S. perspective, I think our butter looks like cheese did 15 years ago, where we’re often export competitive, but not always. Joe Maixner: Will, basically, you have summed up exactly what I’ve been saying for a while, where the butter export opportunity will be cyclical because we will get super competitive, which will drive our domestic price up, which will take us out of the market, and then in turn, cause a surplus of domestic butter to show up in the market, which will then collapse the price and make us super competitive again in the export market. We’re still early enough in the phase that we’re trying to figure out those cycles. I do think it’s cyclical. Overall, though, I do think we will be a consistent exporter. There’ll be a base, and it will ebb and flow, but I do think we will be a consistent exporter moving forward because as we’ve gained market share, we are getting loyal end-use customers in export markets that will consistently pay for our product. Will Loux: I 100% agree with that. I think it’s gonna be, where do we keep our consistent customers, and where are the opportunistic sales that maybe ebb and flow? That’s gonna be a multi-year process as that all shakes out as to where are our stickiest markets within all this? Mike Brown: You want those consistent customers. Jacoby, one of our jobs is helping people with those opportunities. So, they’re both important, but you still need that core base demand and respect for the product. And so, I have a question for you on this, Will. Let’s take butter. Butter’s a great example because the world is unsalted 82, we’re salted 80. I think Joe would attest: We’re seeing suppliers trying to be more flexible in making the product that meets that demand, yet on the other hand, if you’re gonna store a commodity, you gotta make the commodity that is the market product. What are you seeing as far as our adaptability to be that flexible supplier in the world market? What else do we need to do that maybe we aren’t currently doing? Will Loux: There certainly has been a lot of progress made. From my perspective, you have a few different things. One is, of course, the salted and the fat content in the U.S. is different. It’s rare that we’re gonna be exporting from our inventories of 80 salted unless it’s just purely a price play. But what I think about when I think long-term export opportunities is really targeting the key channels that the U.S. is likely to win in first. And some of that’s food manufacturing. I think that’s where the U.S. can be really good, especially making bulk butter for export. I think it’s the first channel. But then it’s also making sure our formats meet the expectations of the customers. Because food manufacturing, I think, will only get us so far. The next phase where the U.S. can really excel in a couple markets is in the foodservice space and in the bakery space, in particular. We have next to no [00:33:00] capacity in the U.S. to make butter sheets, basically the stuff that you would use for croissants or bakery applications. Those are things we know we’ve heard from customers on how we can make products that are specifically geared towards that. In the long run, those are some of the issues. Some of it’s also from an Export Council perspective, educating customers on why U.S. butter is a different color, helping them understand how to utilize it. And even if they choose to use 80%, how to adjust their formulations to that to help understand, “Hey, this is a simple difference of 2% fat difference.” We can work in that space here, too. Long term, I think the U.S. needs to be sure, and this is something we’ve seen in all the other export products that we’ve seen over the years, is not solely trying to sell what we make here in the U.S. and say, “Hey, you should try this instead.” But instead figuring out what our customers are asking for and really making that product. And a lot of that goes down to also the formats and trying to move beyond just bulk butter for further processing into really targeted markets with those specific products. Ted Jacoby III: Joe, do you think the butter industry will invest in those things to increase our capabilities to deliver what the customer wants? Joe Maixner: I think eventually they may have to if our fat components continue the direction that they’re going. Some of the forward thinkers will be the first to adapt, and they’ll be the beneficiaries of investing in some further processing type manufacturing to be able to account for that. Cause at the end of the day, the profit’s in the value add. It’s not in selling bulk.  If there’s production capacity, and there’s space to do the addition, and somebody has the foresight to take the chance on it, I think that the payoff is there. Because if you get into that food service type packaging or laminated butter sheets or you get into a product that nobody else is making, that makes you very sticky in that market. You own that market. Will Loux: Even as we’re talking about butter here, we’ve got to think of other, fat-heavy products that could actually play really well in the international market. I tend to think whether it’s, like a UHT cream product, I know there’s always interest in like a frozen cream product. That’s a hard thing for the U.S. to make in some ways. I think UHT creams, we continue to see grow even as we see UHT milk itself actually decline globally. But we’re seeing real interest in that food service sector of, “Hey, let’s get whipping creams that are really targeted towards some of these international markets.” As much as for the U.S. it’s geared around, “Okay, what’s the most storable form of fat?” I think that’s step one, to find a way to export it. But step two is really what are these value-add fat-containing products that we can actually be targeting and competing in as well. And then I think balancing to like an AMF or a whole milk powder, but then using our butter and creams for the value add opportunities. Ted Jacoby III: I agree. Joe Maixner: Let’s not forget cream cheese, either. Cream cheese internationally has been phenomenal. That has plenty of trajectory to keep going. Miguel Aragón: I [00:36:00] must agree 100% with what Joe was saying on cream cheese. We are seeing phenomenal requests for cream cheese throughout Latin America, now in Asia. As what you were saying about channels, Will, we are now working with retailers in Central America with butter. Right now, it’s food service packaging going into retailers, but I think that’s a very interesting thing happening because once those brands of U.S. manufacturers start showing up in the retailers, I think we’re gonna have a better pool of U.S. butter. Ted Jacoby III: I agree, Miguel. Will, I think we should move on to the next couple of questions.  – I’m gonna read them both out because I think they’re very related. The first question is, can the U.S. grow cheese exports fast enough to keep up with whey protein demand. And then the second question is, will the U.S. have the protein to supply both the rising domestic and international consumption? I’ll answer the Second question first, which is, my dad, one of the things he drove into us as traders was, at the end of the day, everything’s a matter of price. Which means supply and demand will be regulated by what the price of protein is in the global market. I think it’s fair to say Europe has a much greater ability to add whey protein processing than the U.S. does because a smaller percentage of the whey offtake from cheese plants in Europe is currently being processed into whey protein. So, we will see some pushback there. But in the end of the day, that’s simply gonna self-regulate over what that global price is. My prediction is, can the U.S. grow cheese exports fast enough to keep up with that whey protein demand? I think we are reaching a point where the U.S. is consistently priced where the world market is priced for cheese, and I think that is going to change the way new cheese plants get built because we have had pushback for for 40 years. It’s exactly what Miguel has been talking about, is you don’t make the cheese that we want. Well, if we’re consistently now priced properly into the international market, my challenge for the cheese industry is someone needs to build a plant that supplies the international market with what they want, because we’ve arrived at the point where we’re gonna be consistently competitive now, and that risk becomes worth it. Miguel, do you agree? Miguel Aragón: Totally. I couldn’t have said it better. The market is there; it’s waiting for us to take more of it, but we need the right product now. Ted Jacoby III: And I think that whey protein demand may actually drive someone to do it.  What do you think? Will Loux: I agree with everything you’re saying. I think these are two inextricably linked pieces. Right now the signals are such: “Make more whey protein capacity” is clear. There’s also an element of “make more MPC capacity” or “make more capacity with the skim stream targeting proteins” as well. I think what’s holding back some of this capacity to date is probably much more the profitability on the cheese and on the fat side, and where those prices are at. From the dairy farmer perspective of if they’re investing is, the dairy farmer getting the price signals on the protein side? Because right now they’re getting the [00:39:00] price signals on the cheese side and on the fat side, and those are saying not as much to grow. These all need to be put into the spectrum of like, if we successfully grow our cheese exports and keep that international price relatively firm and grow demand abroad for cheese, and grow demand abroad for fats, it’s clear to me the protein demand seems pretty much insatiable here in the U.S. I think there’s a ton of untapped demand internationally, especially as GLP-1s start launching internationally. Like, there is a lot of international demand that I don’t think the U.S. should lose sight of, particularly with regards to whey proteins and milk proteins and all these other products. But it comes down to: can we grow our exports of cheese and butter, not just where we’re setting the global price for those products, but finding ways to make that stream profitable internationally, just as we’ve made the protein stream now incredibly profitable from a whey protein perspective. Folks are gonna come, particularly in Europe, as you said, I think they’re manufacturing over a million metric tons right now of sweet whey in Europe. Some of that’s gonna go to high-protein whey products. We’re gonna have more competition in that space. We’ll see what the price ends up being. All of these things are inextricably linked. And when I think about the mandate here at the Export Council, it’s like, how do we grow those cheese, those fat, and those protein exports, to keep that profitably moving and continue that investment? Because demand’s there for protein, and we’re seeing good demand internationally for cheese. We’re moving the fat overseas. But how do we do that in the most valuable way possible, I think is really what’s gonna be that next era of U.S. dairy exports. Joe Maixner: Will, I’m gonna ask you a question, ‘ cause I’m gonna push back a little bit. You said that farmers aren’t seeing the signals because of cheese and fat. You don’t think a $17 plus Class III and an $18 Class IV basically for the next year, plus your return on beef, plus your cheap inputs on feed is not enough to get the farmers to expand? Will Loux: Oh, I think they will continue to expand. When the nonfat dry milk price shot up, I think that was a reflection that we were short on protein. That we pulled so much out of the dryer, that was that reflection. But I think as Mike even said on one of your previous podcasts, that it was really shown in the PPD rather than necessarily in the protein price. I don’t mean necessarily they’re not getting the signal, it’s just some of it’s our pricing system is a convoluted signal. Ted Jacoby III: Will, you’re speaking to the choir. Mike Brown: I’m gonna have to quote you on that one. Ted Jacoby III: I’m gonna take this opportunity to say, Will, thank you so much for joining us today. This has been a fantastic discussion. I hope you come back soon and join us again, because we always love having you on our podcast. Will Loux: Always fun being with you guys. Thanks for having me on. Miguel Aragón: Bye, guys. [00:42:00] End Commercial: Mike Brown: For one part of the supply chain to be successful, everyone has to be. My superpower is practical application of data and analysis. I believe firmly that Jacoby’s success is because we help our suppliers and our buyers be successful. I’m Mike Brown, and I love working for T.C. Jacoby & Co. because I get to help people make their businesses more successful.

Simon Brown of JustOneLap discusses market volatility, Brent crude trading below $80 a barrel, strong US corporate earnings, the MPC's decision to keep rates unchanged, and a more than 7% rally in platinum group metals. SAfm Market Update - Podcasts and live stream

Tenth Sunday after PentecostAugust 2, 2026Worship Service includes:Scripture Readings: Psalm 34 and John 6:25-35Meditation:  Living on Crumbs given by Rev. Dr. Tom KortClick here for Worship Bulletin - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -Welcome to Morrisville Presbyterian Church.No matter who you are or where you are on your journey of Faith,you are invited to MPC.Education Hour:Contact Pastor Alex Lester-Abdalla at alexlester-abdalla@mpcusa.net Worship Service:In-Person and Livestream begins at 10:30 a.m. each Sunday.Morrisville Presbyterian Church771 N Pennsylvania AveMorrisville, Pennsylvania 19067(215) 295-4191 Website: https://www.mpcusa.org Support the show

The Kospi rollercoaster continues - Korea's main stock index records its best day ever as SK Hynix and Samsung increase their valuations by more than a quarter. The Nasdaq breaks a 6-day losing streak as Microsoft adds the most to its market cap in a single day of any company, ever. Elsewhere, the Bank of England delivers its fifth hold in a row, with the MPC voting 6 to 3 to keep rates unchanged. And Italian defence giant Leonardo upgrades its profit and order forecasts for the year as new contracts surge 45-percent in the first half.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Ninth Sunday after PentecostJuly 26, 2026Worship Service includes:Scripture Readings: Psalm 121 and Luke 24:13-25Sermon:  While They Were Walking given by Rev. Kyle AndersonClick here for Worship Bulletin - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -Welcome to Morrisville Presbyterian Church.No matter who you are or where you are on your journey of Faith,you are invited to MPC.Education Hour:Contact Pastor Alex Lester-Abdalla at alexlester-abdalla@mpcusa.net Worship Service:In-Person and Livestream begins at 10:30 a.m. each Sunday.Morrisville Presbyterian Church771 N Pennsylvania AveMorrisville, Pennsylvania 19067(215) 295-4191 Website: https://www.mpcusa.org Support the show

Stephen Grootes speaks to Citi South Africa economist, Gina Schoeman about the South African Reserve Bank’s decision to leave the repo rate unchanged at 7%, the inflation risks facing the economy, and what the MPC’s cautious stance means for growth, consumers and the outlook for interest rates. In other interviews, Communications Minister Solly Malatsi talks about the government's push to get TikTok to extend its Creator Rewards Programme to South Africa. While local creators generate millions of views, they remain excluded from the platform's main monetisation programme. The Money Show is a podcast hosted by well-known journalist and radio presenter, Stephen Grootes. He explores the latest economic trends, business developments, investment opportunities, and personal finance strategies. Each episode features engaging conversations with top newsmakers, industry experts, financial advisors, entrepreneurs, and politicians, offering you thought-provoking insights to navigate the ever-changing financial landscape.    Thank you for listening to a podcast from The Money Show Listen live Primedia+ weekdays from 18:00 and 20:00 (SA Time) to The Money Show with Stephen Grootes broadcast on 702 https://buff.ly/gk3y0Kj and CapeTalk https://buff.ly/NnFM3Nk For more from the show, go to https://buff.ly/7QpH0jY or find all the catch-up podcasts here https://buff.ly/PlhvUVe Subscribe to The Money Show Daily Newsletter and the Weekly Business Wrap here https://buff.ly/v5mfetc The Money Show is brought to you by Absa     Follow us on social media   702 on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TalkRadio702 702 on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@talkradio702 702 on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/talkradio702/ 702 on X: https://x.com/CapeTalk 702 on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@radio702   CapeTalk on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@capetalk CapeTalk on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ CapeTalk on X: https://x.com/Radio702 CapeTalk on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CapeTalk567 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Stephen Grootes speaks to Citi South Africa economist, Gina Schoeman about the South African Reserve Bank’s decision to leave the repo rate unchanged at 7%, the inflation risks facing the economy, and what the MPC’s cautious stance means for growth, consumers and the outlook for interest rates. The Money Show is a podcast hosted by well-known journalist and radio presenter, Stephen Grootes. He explores the latest economic trends, business developments, investment opportunities, and personal finance strategies. Each episode features engaging conversations with top newsmakers, industry experts, financial advisors, entrepreneurs, and politicians, offering you thought-provoking insights to navigate the ever-changing financial landscape.    Thank you for listening to a podcast from The Money Show Listen live Primedia+ weekdays from 18:00 and 20:00 (SA Time) to The Money Show with Stephen Grootes broadcast on 702 https://buff.ly/gk3y0Kj and CapeTalk https://buff.ly/NnFM3Nk For more from the show, go to https://buff.ly/7QpH0jY or find all the catch-up podcasts here https://buff.ly/PlhvUVe Subscribe to The Money Show Daily Newsletter and the Weekly Business Wrap here https://buff.ly/v5mfetc The Money Show is brought to you by Absa     Follow us on social media   702 on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TalkRadio702 702 on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@talkradio702 702 on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/talkradio702/ 702 on X: https://x.com/CapeTalk 702 on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@radio702   CapeTalk on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@capetalk CapeTalk on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ CapeTalk on X: https://x.com/Radio702 CapeTalk on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CapeTalk567 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Click here to join Sync Producer Hub In this episode the host talks about becoming obsessed with the MPC, how it changed his workflow, and the different ways he arranges tracks using clip mode, arranger mode, and grouped pads. He also compares the hands-on MPC experience to working in Logic and shares lessons from finishing an album started on the MPC. The conversation shifts to sync topics—trending genres and feels, tips for sports music (keep lyrics broad), metadata advice for remixes/covers, and upcoming events like an ESPN placement breakdown on July 20th and Shades of Sync registration reopening July 26th.

This evening, we wrap up the day's market action with Sanlam Private Wealth, unpack the MPC's decision to hold interest rates with the Institute for Economic Justice, explore South Africa's LNG opportunities with Standard Bank Group, examine the PIC governance crisis with the University of Johannesburg, discuss the challenge of balancing grid stability with coal plant retirements with Professor Vally Padayachee, and, in this week's SMME feature, we follow the entrepreneurial journey of Bro Cabs. SAfm Market Update - Podcasts and live stream

Nick Kunze of Sanlam Private Wealth discusses the JSE's decline, driven by higher oil prices, Google's AI spending and interest rate uncertainty. He explains why the MPC's decision to hold rates is good for consumers, and reflects on weaker US markets, Google's $6 billion AI investment and Tesla's lower profits. SAfm Market Update - Podcasts and live stream

The South African Reserve Bank will announce its next interest rate decision today, with many economists expecting another hike. Inflation rose to 4.5% in May, driven by higher oil and fuel prices after tensions in the Middle East disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. The MPC raised rates by 0.25% in May, taking the prime rate to 10.5% and Reserve Bank Governor, Lesetja Kganyago has warned further increases may be needed. For expectations and the Impact of rate hikes on workers. We spoke to FEDUSA General Secretary, Riefdah Ajam.

Zimele Mbanjwa from FNB Wealth & Investments unpacks Sasol's business performance metrics. Or has the investment case become all about oil prices and geopolitical conflict? Benay Sager from DebtBusters discusses the latest 2026 Money Stress Tracker and what it reveals about the financial pressure facing South Africans. Tertia Jacobs from Investec looks ahead to this week's key macro events: Wednesday's CPI data and Thursday's MPC interest rate decision.

The next decade of global dairy growth may look very different from the last one. For years, much of the world's additional milk came from pasture-based systems. New Zealand added acres. Production expanded across parts of South America, Australia and Europe. But those regions are not growing the way they once did. Today, the next unit of milk is increasingly coming from grain-fed systems. That shift could put the U.S. in the driver's seat for global dairy markets over the next 5 to 10 years. In this episode of The Milk Check, host Ted Jacoby III and the Jacoby team are joined by Scott Briggs of Bridgecape Commodities. We dive into: Why marginal milk growth is shifting from grass-fed to grain-fed systems What environmental policy and structural inefficiencies mean for European milk production Why China is shifting from building milk supply to creating higher-value dairy products Why the U.S. will need to become a more consistent exporter of butterfat Plus, beef income has helped support dairy farm margins and encouraged producers to breed more cows to beef. What happens if beef prices fall? The cows are ready. The plants are being built. What's next for U.S. dairy? Listen to The Milk Check episode 102: Who Wins the Next Decade of Milk Production? Also available on Amazon Music, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and YouTube. Got questions? We'd love to hear them. Submit below, and we might answer it on the show. Ask The Milk Check Intro commercial [Text not included.] Ted Jacoby III: Coming up on the Milk Check. Ted Jacoby III: You’ve got the U.S. dairy industry now in a position where even the worst-case scenario continues to be a threat for Europe or the rest of the world from a milk supply standpoint. Ted Jacoby III: Welcome to the Milk Check from T.C. Jacoby & Co., your complete guide to dairy markets, from the milking parlor to the supermarket shelf. I’m Ted Jacoby. Let’s dive in. This week, we are excited to have Scott Briggs from Bridgecape Commodities joining us. Scott lives in Australia and really understands what’s going on with dairy markets on that side of the pond. Scott, thank you so much for joining us. We’re excited to have you. Why don’t we start by having you tell everybody a little bit about yourself? Scott Briggs: Thanks very much for the intro, Ted. I’m Scott Briggs, Bridgecape Commodities, based down in Melbourne, Australia and work with a number of Asian and Oceanic consumers to try and understand global dairy markets and try and help them risk manage. Thanks very much for the opportunity to be a part of the podcast. Ted Jacoby III: Scott, thanks for joining us. We’re really excited to have you. We’re gonna have a little bit of a debate: How do U.S. dairy production costs compare to those in New Zealand, Europe, and China today? Do we think the U.S. is building a lasting competitive advantage? And what does that mean for the global dairy market over the next five years? Scott, I’ll start with you. You’re based down under. Do you think the U.S. Is developing a competitive advantage, or do you think New Zealand will continue to be in the driver’s seat? Scott Briggs: It’s a very big topic Ted, but I think the short answer is that yeah, the U.S. is really in a great position to drive global dairy markets over the next 5 to 10 years. One of the major things that’s changed probably since about 2015, we’ve been in a transition period where the marginal milk growth is not coming from a grass-fed system anymore, it’s coming from a grain-fed system. Between 2000 when a lot of global dairy markets started to deregulate and we had falling trade controls and those sorts of things, quotas in the EU eventually coming off, between 2000 and 2015, the marginal milk growth was really coming from a grass-fed system, be it New Zealand growing the number of acres that it planted or the number of acres that it farmed. Places like Uruguay or southern Brazil or Argentina growing quite strongly and other parts of Europe and Australia as well. So that was the driver of the growth, and that’s why we saw that volatility in global dairy markets driving back towards a grass-fed cost of production. But since then, those places have stopped growing and really the next unit of growth or the next liter of growth comes from grains and ultimately that does mean that the U.S. is in a great position to respond to the milk production needs of the world. At the end of the day, you’ve got the greatest exportable surplus of grains and you’ve got a fantastic platform to grow from. That’s the 10,000-foot view of why the U.S. is in the box seat. Ted Jacoby III: You mentioned that even New Zealand is starting to go towards a grain-based system. Could you tell me a little bit more about that? Scott Briggs: I would say that’s pretty incipient, Ted, but there’s certainly steps that are being taken in New Zealand that seem to mirror what Australia’s been doing for probably the last five to 10 years. You have a marginal cost of production that is grain-fed and it’s being led by the U.S. At the moment, if we looked at the margins in the U.S. for a dairy farmer, they’re pretty good given your beef situation. But if you were to remove that beef situation or that beef revenue, you’re probably at a pretty low income over feed cost. But that’s still a highly profitable milk price for a grass-fed system. And a lot of the fixed costs are already being paid off, be it the farmer’s labor the equipment on the farm all of those overheads, they’re already being paid off by a pasture fed system. So, there’s a huge marginal return for that extra liter of milk that comes out of a pasture fed system. If you look at the steps that have occurred in Australia and that are probably starting to come to New Zealand, it is a lot more shared housing in wetter areas, feed pads, dry feed pads. It's certainly not moving to the barn fed system that the States has got. More multiple calvers, if you like, to flatten out that milk curve. A lot more maize silage production, which just stores that little bit better and gives you more dry matter per acre as well. It’s these kind of marginal steps which have occurred a lot in Australia or even in some of our more grass-fed areas, and that are starting to occur in New Zealand. And some of the incentives that are being given, market-wise, in New Zealand to produce that shoulder milk or that additional milk are starting to respond with additional investment on farm. Ted Jacoby III: So, is maybe another way to put it that core pasture-based part of New Zealand dairy farming continues to be very profitable, but any marginal increase in milk production that would come from New Zealand, the cost of that marginal increase is probably the same or more likely probably less than the same marginal increase in milk production in the U.S.? Scott Briggs: Look, I would say that the marginal cost of production out of the States is pretty good. If you think that you’ve already got all the infrastructure paid for and it’s really just an additional growth there. But I think it’s more so the profit margins that sit in a pasture-fed system in New Zealand allow for that investment to try and get that little bit of extra milk as well. So, I wouldn’t say either or are better placed. It’s just that we do have a lot of low-hanging fruit in Oceania, if you like, to start moving into that kind of system. Ted Jacoby III: That makes sense. That makes sense. Mike Brown (2): One thing I think about New Zealand and why the system is the way it has been historically has been your cost of concentrates or grains hasn’t always been as competitive. You lead world price in a lot of cases, and your location makes you very competitive. Your dairymen have more room to pay some of those higher costs for that marginal production. So my question is the strong world price has a fair amount to do, obviously , with everybody’s growth, but in your case when you look at that difference in marginal cost versus that pasture based cost, are you more sensitive to that marginal change in price than maybe some other markets just simply because your feed costs are higher? Scott Briggs: Let’s have a look at world milk prices at the moment. The U.S. at $17 a counterweight, if you like, $16.50, $17 a counterweight. That’s low on your range. On the New Zealand numbers, that’s coming out at a $9.50 dollars per kilo in New Zealand dollars, which is a historically pretty high milk price. So, they do have that ability to just bring in PKE exports. One of the major sources of additional feed or additional milk growth in New Zealand is this palm kernel expeller which comes off of the palm kernel crushing. It’s kinda like soybean meal, if you like that they bring in from Indonesia and other palm kernel or palm crushing countries. Fonterra had placed limits on that for a long period of time because it was affecting the fat composition of the milk. Once they removed those limits, PKE imports went up 20% or 30% almost in one or two years. The last two seasons, New Zealand milk growth has been about 4% or 5% this year, and probably 2% or 3% the year before, so 6 or 7%. Nearly a third to a half of that has come from the additional energy that’s coming in the PKE. So it’s having a huge marginal impact on their growth, and it’s coming at a pretty low cost ’cause it’s a low-cost feed source. So, I think, Mike, going back to your question, they have that ability to grow because there’s such a lot of low-hanging fruit between that grass-fed cost of production, which is already paying for their farm, and the milk price that they’re getting paid, which is actually a marginal cost of production out of the U.S. Mike Brown (2): What kind of world fat price might change their incentive on PKE? We’re seeing a little bit of that here because it’s very expensive here, and people look at their marginal return. It isn’t, of course, near what it was when fat was $2.50. Do you think, depending where that world market settles, will that change the incentive to use PKE? ‘Cause in our case, it’s fat production is the real gain that you get compared to other alternative rations we feed. Scott Briggs: I think it’s seen more as just a bulk source of feed and source of energy- to get the cow up early in the season, Mike, and peak it as high as possible, and then to keep going on the shoulder. It’s a milk solids game rather than a tweak the fat percentage game. At $9.50 they’ll be feeding it. Mike Brown (2): Yes. Scott Briggs: $9.50 a kilo of milk solids they’ll be feeding it. Mike Brown (2): Oh, yes. Yeah. I would be feeding it here, too. Yeah. At that price for sure. Yeah. Ted Jacoby III: My thoughts immediately go to Europe. The U.S. is well-positioned for growth. New Zealand is building off a very profitable base, which insulates them and puts them in a very good position of at least maintaining their position in the global market. Where does that put Europe? Scott Briggs: Europe is an interesting situation where realistically I think that they’re gonna struggle for the main drivers of additional milk production. They seem to be struggling to add any additional land at a reasonable cost, whether it be to the feed base or to the dairy base. That’s obviously being driven by environmental policy, which is very different in Europe than it is say in the U.S. or even Latin America. So I think that they’re gonna struggle at that policy level to be able to keep driving forward. The other thing that does sit within Europe is that we’re only 10 years removed from quota coming off, and so we’re still in that process of losing milk production where we should in the more marginal areas, or from the smaller farms, or from the more marginal land, and trying to drive it into places like Germany or the Netherlands. And so whenever you’ve got a core base of pretty uneconomic sticky milk, it takes a fairly heavy price response to drive change in those farms. So down at the lowish milk prices that we’ve got globally at the moment and I say, I’m happy to debate that point. I think we’re at pretty low milk prices on the range since the end of COVID, particularly with the low feed prices. Where we are at the bottom of the price range, you’re gonna still struggle to get some of these European guys out given the subsidies that they’ve got. But that also means you’re not driving efficiency back into the system. So it feels to me like Europe’s gonna really struggle to meet the global needs and be a quick mover like the States has been. Probably the call-out on that one to me would be Russia. They’ve got probably huge settings if they wanted Russia and the Stans to really grow into dairy production. But it’s not gonna be something that’s being done for the rest of the world. I think it’s gonna be getting done for their part of the world and for China. Ted Jacoby III: Speaking of Eastern Europe, do you think Poland still has a lot of room to grow as well? Scott Briggs: I wouldn’t know the specific micro settings of Poland. It does seem like they are growing pretty well. If you look at the investments that are going into some of the Stans, eventually Ukraine and some of the other parts of the former Eastern Bloc, if you like, it does seem like there’s a lot of investment in Belarus still. It does seem like there’s a lot of investment going in there to help feed parts of the world that longer-term probably aren’t gonna be getting fed by the U.S. Ted Jacoby III: That makes sense to me. With all these different factors, what about China? China’s in a pretty interesting spot from a milk production standpoint. They really increased their milk production three or four years ago, and then more or less stabilized it. Where is their cost of production and where does China go from here? Scott Briggs: Probably the first point to make is that we’ve all learned not to bet against China on dairy production in the last four or five years on milk production in particular. That’s been an incredible rise. And I think the second thing is that lesson to me is then, don’t bet against them and what they might be able to do with the quality of the product, and the investments that they’re making in manufacturing capacity now. There’s a huge push from China to value add, particularly on the protein side, and to then try and drive that down in sales into Southeast Asia and other parts of the world. They’ve obviously got a huge domestic market, but when it comes to starting to grow into things like processed cheese or fat exports or even micellar casein exports and MPC exports, that’s where I think that their next push is gonna be, is trying to move out anything that they don’t need domestically. So it’s not just gonna be bulk whole milk powder, which has been the story of the last two or three years. The structural issue that they’ve got is that their population versus their arable land is just huge. That’s a long-term limiter, if you like, for how much you can push into exports. Ultimately, as their productivity grows and their incomes grow, they’ll be consuming more dairy themselves. The steps that we’ve seen the last four or five years were really about shoring up domestic milk capability so that they weren’t a victim of world markets, and then now they’re trying to value add that milk. They’ve learned the lesson that you don’t grow milk but not grow factories, and they’ve learned the lesson that you don’t grow demand without growing milk. The policy now is, let’s do step changes as productivity rises to drive income rises. I think that they’re gonna be putting a push on certain functional products into Asia But I don’t think that they’re necessarily in a place to be the driver of global milk production because ultimately their cost of production, going back to where you started, Ted, is higher, and it’s structurally higher because of the fact that they just don’t have enough arable land for the population that they’ve got. Ted Jacoby III: But with China doing that and really trying to expand into value add and even trying to export, I gotta believe that’s causing Fonterra and the other New Zealand exporters to really shift their export strategy. What’s happening there? Scott Briggs: When you look at Fonterra, their stated strategy is to basically be a skim protein and fat company. They have recognized that the days of whole milk powder are limited. China went through a period where they went from 500,000 tons of imports pre-COVID to 800,000, and now they’re back down to 500,000 again. They’ve really gone through that boom and during that period, Fonterra’s basically said, “We need to move out of whole milk powder and move back into being a skim and fat company.” And when I say a skim and fat company, a skim protein and fat company. And so, we have seen them push 50 to 70,000 tons more skim into Southeast Asia. But what they’re now starting to do is to value add that skim, similar to what the U.S. is doing: putting on more ultrafiltration in front of dryers, ’cause that’s the highest marginal investment that you can do. Starting to do more MPCs, starting to do more value add on the fat side, as well. There’s been some huge investments in UHT cream which are gonna be going ahead or have already gone ahead and are being launched for this year, which draws fat away from butter and AMF. Overall, their stated strategy is to be a nutrition and food service company. Nutrition: protein-heavy products. Food service: fat-heavy products. And so they’re moving away from that whole milk powder. I think that the next stage for them is to try and drive those two sorts of products into Southeast Asia. Because China itself is already quite a big market for those sorts of products and is probably screaming out for, “How do we not use WPC and WPI?” ‘Cause that’s the highest priced protein in the world right now. So how do we move away from that? I think they’re also trying to help Southeast Asia grow protein as a category. Ted Jacoby III: But based on what you said of China’s strategy, it almost sounds like it means China and New Zealand are going head-to-head in that market in Southeast Asia. Scott Briggs: Yeah. Yeah. I think- And- And look, that’s a 5 to 10-year view. We’re already seeing traditional Fonterra markets or New Zealand markets, Open Country Dairy’s obviously nearly 20% of the market down there now, as well, and are making their own steps towards value-adding fat. So that’s always one to keep in mind. We’re certainly seeing a competition of powder flows and functional product flows from China, including fat, laminated fat, pastry butter, those sorts of things, coming into Southeast Asian markets that were traditionally New Zealand-dominated markets. Diego Carvallo: Going back to China’s milk production, a lot of rumors about a disease in the northwest of China hand, foot, and mouth. Very little information. We have several customers that have asked about it. Without going down the rabbit hole, is there any update in that regards? Scott Briggs: Super important if it were to be a big story. I think that the likelihood of it being a massive story is low at the moment from what I’ve seen at least. The key thing to watch for me in China is always the spot milk price. They’ve got a fantastic not that it’s particularly visible, but they do have a huge trade of liquid milk market between different zones and between companies in specific zones. It’s a little bit like your plus/minus to the Class III. So that spot milk price to me is always the one which tells you: are they having any problems? And it does seem to me like the containment strategy was quite effective early on. Lock down the zones, stop the movement of the cattle. So yeah, it doesn’t look like it, but, it’s a bit of a black box. Diego Carvallo: So, we don’t expect a long-term impact to their production as of right now? Scott Briggs: Not at this stage, but that could change tomorrow. Ted Jacoby III: Everybody, we will be right back after these messages. Diego Carvallo: I’m Diego Carballo with T.C. Jacoby & Co.. T.C. Jacoby & Co. specializes in international dairy markets. For new customers that haven’t done business with Jacoby, I would tell them that we can provide them with many of the powders, dairy products that they consume, not only with the physical product, but we can also help them mitigate their risk. We know dairy. We know the main players. We know the main providers for the whole value chain. We are one of the strongest players in the U.S. market because we have contact all the way from the farmer moving the liquid milk all the way to the end users that buy the end products. I am Diego Carballo with T.C. Jacoby & Co., and we bring dairy to the world. Ted Jacoby III: Josh, I’m gonna put you on the spot. Is the U.S. gonna continue to increase our exports? And if so, who do we increase those exports at the expense of? How is that gonna play out? Josh White: Yes. We’re going to absolutely continue to increase our exports. The most obvious area is where there’s gonna be a need, and that’s fat, at the moment. It’s pretty well-noted that we’ve invested heavily in cheese production, boy, if those new cheese process facilities are running at the moment, they’re happy to have a co-product in whey proteins. Things are looking pretty good at the moment. As a result of that, we’re assuming that anybody who can produce cheese or process cheese is trying to process just as much as they possibly can. As a result of that, it seems pretty eminent that the U.S. will continue to have available cheese for the global consumer. Now we’ll take a look at the protein side. One of the expected results of this protein movement in the U.S., and now again, I wanna clarify this movement because I think there’s a lot of chatter about GLP-1 being the main driver, and I would almost view that as just a catalyst and a reason why the U.S. market might be leading in protein consumption. ‘Cause if you look around the world, this is a health and wellness trend that is not exclusive to the United States, not exclusive to Europe. It’s happening everywhere. We receive inquiries from all over the world, including import regions, for protein. Given the limitation on whey protein availability, one would assume that we’re gonna see quite a migration to milk proteins, and Scott did a great job of alluding to that earlier. We’re finding different ways of concentrating protein and delivering it to the consumer. The result of that, fat’s going to come along with it. I’ve listened to Gus, Mike and the team talk fairly openly about the incredible improvements in components over the past several years from the U.S. dairymen. Scott alluded to component growth in other parts of the world as well. We’re going to have surplus fat, and there’s going to be extra fat beyond what the U.S. consumer can take in, and as a result of that, we’re going to be hungry to capture market share in the global market. Now, you ask, “At whose expense?” And that’s a loaded question in some ways because I think there’s two things going on. I also think fat consumption globally is increasing, maybe not at the rate protein is and maybe not as popular right now, but if you look, ever since the early 2000s when we made this paradigm shift in the U.S. to moving away from the old food pyramid model and moving into this clean label, healthy consumable products, fat no longer was the enemy, and it seems like ever since that happened, the world has also agreed, and we’ve continued to see more clean label dairy fat being consumed per capita globally. So, two things will happen. One is the U.S., we’re in position to grow our milk production more quickly than anywhere else in the world. We have the infrastructure, currently, we have the economics to do that, and we might outpace that fat consumption growth globally. Which means then, yes, we will have to capture some market share. And from who? It, it’s either going to be Europe or Oceania, and I think that’s a seasonal thing. I don’t know that I would point to either single market as being the loser in that, other than that the dairy support and economic situation and the outlook for dairy growth in Europe seems to have more headwinds than the rest of the world. One would assume that they’re a bit more vulnerable, right now, to the U.S. capturing market share. Ted Jacoby III: Joe, what about fat? Joe Maixner: Josh summed it up pretty clearly. We’re going to have to continue to be a net exporter of fat. We’re gonna continue to add fat into our system with all of these high protein demand and these components that just continue to creep higher and higher. We’re not going to consume everything that we can supply. We will have to be a net exporter of fat moving forward until either the supply structurally shifts or we find a different way to utilize it. I agree with Josh and Scott that it’s going to be seasonal dependent on whose expense it comes at because I think that our fat market, our butter market specifically, is going the direction that cheese has gone over the past 15 years, where it becomes almost a cyclical market. We’ll be really competitive, we’ll get a lot of exports on the books, we’ll clean up our inventories, and then our pricing will spike, we will not be competitive on exports for a while, which will develop this surplus of domestic inventory and force us to depress pricing again and go back into the export markets. Josh White: We have a U.S. bias obviously, as we’re looking at the world. The one limitation to U.S. capturing fat market share is the reputation of U.S. fat being quite a bit different. Our commodity butter is an 80% salted butter. Our packaging is different. The visual appearance of our product is different. The flavor profile of our product is a bit different. Up until now, the opportunity for us to capture market share has happened largely in the processing sector as an ingredient to make something else. As of late, we’re starting to realize a little bit more of a win in, say, food service applications in developing markets and other things. From your perspective, how close is the U.S. to penetrating into the food service or retail business in import regions for butterfat? Scott Briggs: Yeah. It’s a good question. I think there’s two parts to that answer. The first is that you break down trade barriers slowly, but it happens. It’s been happening since the start of trade, right?  You know, I do think that there’s the ability to continue educating the consumer to get them comfortable with the product, the appearance of the product. I think I said that to Joe once: U.S. butter, it’s not terrible. It’s a great tagline. But I’m not a marketing guy. It will continue to gain acceptance, I think, Josh. I think the second thing to recognize is that with Fonterra, so New Zealand, trying to put so much fat into food service applications, I think for the point of educating, as you say, what does that mean in Asia and China? It’s not necessarily just butter. UHT cream is just this massive category which keeps on growing in Asia. Asia’s not this singular thing. Like they’re all sub-markets. But as a generalization, bakery is huge through a lot of Southeast Asia China itself. If you travel there, it’s cakes, it’s pastries, it’s a hell of a lot of really nice product. It’s seen as a luxury good if you like and through the supermarkets and convenience stores and everything like that. That’s a huge sector which needs a more functional application. There’s a lot of growth in there. That’s actually leaving behind ingredient markets for U.S. fat, whether that be in Australia or whether that be into Southeast Asia or the Middle East. So that is actually to me, probably the lowest hanging fruit, and it’s what you’ve already seen. So it’s not like you need to necessarily change the spec immediately to go for these applications. It can be just as easily going for what’s been left behind by New Zealand. Just one point that I’d make about whose market share is the U.S. gonna take on certain products? The European milk growth in late last year really does mask the fact that we probably still need U.S. butterfat exports to balance the world market. If you were to take the 100,000 excess tons that Europe made in the second half of last year out of the market, say that was unsustainable milk growth for a period of time, once we eat through that stock, we’ve taken a lot of the U.S. growth, if you like. We’ve absorbed a lot of that growth in what you’ve made, and we needed it. So I do think that we’re going through a process of still eating through those European stocks overall, and that glut that we had, which was driven by two years of fantastically high milk prices. But once we get through that, the global consumer is buying $5,000 butter, and they’re buying $3,000 skim. And that is a price level that’s comfortable in a lot of the world. Mideast is obviously going through a few lumps right now, so we may have some problems on demand in the next six months. But once we get through that and, hopefully the conflict there is over and they return to some kind of growth, we do get to a position where we probably need U.S. fat in the world market. Mike, you made the comment about how well the U.S. farmer is now not feeding for fat, and it does seem like some of that fat component growth at least is slowing. Do you see responsiveness to fat prices significantly, and how can that change the U.S. fat balance of being a reliable or necessary exporter? Mike Brown (2): As far as producer decisions, I’ve had some conversations, particularly with cheese plants, who are seeing some changes and talking with their producers. And some are making some adjustment to ration changing sources, and what those sources are finding is what we’re seeing in the milk supply, protein remains relatively strong and still grows. Fat has slowed down a bit, and most of it is PKE. That seems to be the change. Talking with producers, I had a good conversation, actually, last fall with a very high producing Jersey herd who said that if fat gets below about $1.70, it doesn’t really make sense for him to feed PKE anymore because he isn’t getting enough return from it. I think there’s probably some doing that. Is it broad? I think when the U.S. cows are milking so well, they’re reluctant to make a lot of ration changes that might slow things down. But we’re seeing somewhat on the margin. Will it solve the problem? No, because it’s genetics. It’s the genomics, our selection for fat. There’s so much variability in fat genetics within cattle, particularly Holsteins, that they’ve been able to make huge progress, and of course that’s permanent. So I expect that fat will continue to stay high. So, will we see some moderate fluctuations from time to time? Sure. That market will, I think, have some effect, particularly since they’ve gotten so high. Will our trend change? No. We’ll continue to improve in fat and in protein with time just because genetic selection in the U.S., particularly with sexed semen and genomics, has just gotten so intense that I don’t see that changing. The rate of gain will slow because the base population is higher versus the sires that are being used, but that will continue. We may slow down. We’re not gonna turn around and go the other way. Ted Jacoby III: Awesome. Thanks, Mike. Jacob Menge: I was gonna stir the pot a bit and almost take the other side by saying I have a degree in economics, so I succumb to liking to pretend that free trade is how everything works in the world. And it doesn’t. And I think we’re pretty clearly going down this path of almost a bifurcated world of trade relationships. And I really think it would be a mistake to ignore that moving forward, especially with Russia potentially being able to supply China in the future. We’re almost taking for granted that everyone is gonna buy from the most efficient producer in the world, and we’re really going into this kind of tumultuous geopolitical landscape that it feels like we’re probably ignoring. I don’t think that changes the fact that the U.S. is still gonna have to export. We’re producing more than we’re gonna consume. We’re not gonna let the product rot. We’re probably not gonna shut down all these nice facilities we just built. But it does make me question what price we are going to be getting when we go to export the products. What happens to the basis on those export sales? There’s a big geopolitical issue when it comes to a lot of the analysis we’ve just been doing. Scott Briggs: How much of the cake is baked? How much growth are we guaranteed to see on U.S. milk supply in the next two to three years, and cheese supply, just as a function of these investments that have already been made? How much of the world trade has already bifurcated? China’s getting it from New Zealand. Okay, that could break. I could see that breaking. I could see the Middle East possibly breaking, like you’re already seeing Iran getting certain product from Belarus or you already seen China get part of it. So there could be massive breakages in there, you’re right. The challenge is if we were to stop trading between Russia, the ‘Stans, and China, if that became one zone and we all became the other zone, like the two biggest linkages are the Middle East and New Zealand, and you probably do flood the market if you were to stop that. Who would get hurt in that scenario? It’s probably Europe. It’s Gonna be a race to the bottom to try and kill some of the highest cost milk production. Yeah, how much of the cake is baked? Ted Jacoby III: I would say it is pretty baked. But I think of it more in terms of between the current trends we’re seeing and how sticky we suspect they are from a breeding-to-beef standpoint, specifically cattle supply, beef cattle supply, and being able to continue to supply the beef market with beef, I think we’re gonna continue to see some really good returns to dairy farmers breeding to beef, which means they are going to resist and be pretty resistant even when the milk price is low to reducing the number of cows in the U.S. That’s number one. That puts in a really hard floor. In addition to that, those dairy farmers, especially the really big ones, are making really good money when you add the beef income on top of the milk income, and they’re looking to continue to expand as a result. So, in terms of the capacity that’s already added, they’re gonna fill it up. In terms of the additional capacity, which, let’s just put it this way: Over the last two to three years, we’ve had a lot of new capacity. Over the next couple of years, we will continue to have additional capacity added, but at a lower rate than what we just saw, but it’s all gonna get filled up. I don’t think we’re gonna have a problem over the next three to five years filling the capacity that we build because I think that the income situation for the dairy farmer in the U.S., it’s just in a really good spot. Even if you take, what’s our worst-case scenario from a milk revenue standpoint? Whey protein prices collapse. We produce so much milk that butter prices stay low, nonfat prices stay low, cheese prices stay low. All that means is we’re just gonna be that much more competitive in the global market, and I think our overproduction is probably gonna hurt Europe more than it’s actually gonna hurt the U.S. Josh White: I’ll just maybe add to it that, the most obvious way that the U.S. has invested is to add a lot of cheese processing capacity over the past few years, massive investments. People are well aware of it. But the aggregate of all of the incremental expansions and all of that has been really significant as well. It feels almost imminent right now that we were already investing in dairy growth before the beef on farm income reached a level that it’s at today, and it just doesn’t feel like that’s going to change any time in the near future. And as a result of that, it only maintains or accelerates that desire to make more milk. We were having conversations 24 months ago about how would we have the heifers to grow the herd? How would we do this? We found a way to grow the herd. The component growth outperformed expectations, and it’s only been more consistently profitable because the revenue stream’s been spread across more things. So we’re gonna have milk, and if we’re gonna have milk, we’re going to figure out a way to process that milk. And so far, there must have been some really good foresight to do that and build all of this cheese processing capacity to absorb it up till now, and we’ve got a little runway left to continue to fill them up. But there’s conversations at every major place about how do we extend our put-through and extend our yield by shipping more condensed skim, by processing more UF milk products, by… I can go on and on. I don’t know if it’s exactly what you were asking, but are we done in investing in our ability to process more milk? I don’t believe so. The next move had to have already been thought about and has to be under construction. We’re years out from the one after that. I think there’s plenty that are thinking about the next move. Mike Brown (2): It’s kinda like the beef has created this amazing revenue stream for dairy producers in the U.S., and our use of sexed semen and beef selection has just improved that. Same with whey proteins and plant profitability. With these very high whey protein isolate and whey protein concentrate prices, even at a 70-cent whey market, your margins on your whey proteins are very high, which gives those plants a little more room to grow. But I think the other part is: we’ve always talked about growth in cheese, the milk proteins are growing, too, and as whey protein prices get higher, manufacturers and product developers are figuring out ways to use lower-priced dairy protein alternatives, and that market’s gonna grow as well. How much milk do we have left to dry into whey? How much milk are we gonna have left to dry into powder if those markets continue to grow? We don’t think they’re done yet. We think that growth is there. Will these prices stay where they are forever? Probably not, but the demand seems to be continuing to grow. Part of it isn’t will we grow our plants, it’s also what will we be making in those plants? Are we gonna be making more focus on other protein products than just cheese? Ted Jacoby III: I think one of the most ironic things about milk production in the U.S. right now is the fact that the biggest danger, the thing that would hurt the dairy farmer the most right now, is actually not milk cost. It’s beef price. What would happen if the beef price collapses to the point where breeding the beef is no longer profitable? We’re going to double the amount of dairy heifers we start producing. You know how that plays out? That plays out by, right now the number of lactations out of a cow has gone from two to three to four, which is decreasing the rate of increase of the components in the milk because you’re turning over a smaller percentage of your herd every year. All you’re gonna do is speed that up. So maybe our milk production plateaus or even drops a little bit, but the components in the milk increase will speed up as a result. You’ve got the U.S. dairy industry now in a position where even the worst-case scenario continues to be a threat for Europe or the rest of the world from a milk supply standpoint. Mike Brown (2): We look at the percentage of milk in the U.S. that is now produced by these extremely efficient, very well-managed, very well-leveraged herds, and so our susceptibility is less. It’s kinda like we’re going through a heat wave right now, Scott, and everybody says, “What’s that gonna do to milk?” A whole lot less than it used to because of the controlled environments of our modern barns. We’ve done a lot and kinda like I think in a lot of industries, we’ve had some good profitability, people have made investments for the long term. And when you make big investments for the long term, you don’t usually turn around. You’re committed to being in the business. I think the biggest thing for us, in my mind, is for years we’ve been looking at the whey and dry milk markets, exports are a huge part of those sales. Cheese is growing, and we’ve reached a point with cheese where those export sales are becoming more and more important, and so how do we sustain them over time? What do we need to do? I think a good example, Joe’s been working a lot with our opportunities in butter over the last few years and working with folks that we work with and what do I need to make to take best advantage of those export markets? We’ll continue to do that as well. We’re just thinking a lot more world demand than just, “I need to make a 40-pound block of cheddar and who will buy it?” We’re trying to think a little harder than that now. Scott Briggs: Mike, you touched on if we’d had the milk production growth that we’ve had in the last two years 10 years ago, we would’ve wiped out certain pieces of milk production around the world. The market would not have absorbed that level of additional product. Now, we certainly had a period in October, November, December last year, where things got uneconomic in certain part of the world, and we didn’t last. Because ultimately, the demand shone through and, having listened to the podcast, protein demand and that protein story is a huge part of that in the States. That, to me, is a trend that’s really only beginning around a lot of the other parts of the world. It can go underestimated from your side of the world. You guys are the vanguard in that. You’re the leaders in it. You’ve got the category. China’s got a great category in this area and is making some huge investments in it. But, we’ve just seen here in Australia and in Southeast Asia some massive investments from European companies into cottage cheese, into ready-to-drink categories with the principal idea of exporting them to Asia. And, that growth model into developing markets is always put a high price product in there that’s branded from a developed market, and then grow the category with the local champion. You get an imported product, it looks sexy and it looks great, and it’s like a luxury product, and then you grow the category by producing a lower price point product to try and then get the local population really going for it. And so that’s just started. The other thing that’s really hot in different parts of Asia is, funnily enough, processed cheese for food service. It’s a really quickly growing category. It’s a category that gets a lot of interest. We’ve spent a lot of time on the point of does the U.S. have a competitive advantage for supply, in this kind of changing world. I think one of the biggest pieces of competitive advantage that the States has is its ability to grow an export pathway. It’s a mindset; it’s a trade infrastructure, as well, with government relations and everything like that allows you to grow into world markets in a way that probably a lot of other places don’t have. If we’ve got a growing demand, and I made this point before, we might see a few lumps here, mainly because of the Middle East, right? The Middle East looks a little bit overbought, looks a little bit quiet. Southeast Asia’s having a few little hiccups with changes in Indonesia and some of their currency devaluation, like these sort of short-term issues. But longer term, it’s very comfortable for a Southeast Asian consumer buying $2,800 to $3,200 skim and $5,000 butter. These are price points that work now, which never worked before, that’s the growth price point now. I do think that we’re going to have a situation where the world market is gonna be the next engine for some of the growth in protein demand and fat demand as well. Tristan Suellentrop: Scott, being based in Australia, I’d be interested to hear your perspective on the potential super El Niño that was confirmed this week. How does that factor into your outlook for dairy production in Oceania over the next year or two? And how concerned should producers in Australia and New Zealand be if it develops as forecasted? Scott Briggs: So it’s a very detailed topic. The El Niño indicator that everybody looks at is the Southern Oscillation Index, which is screaming El Niño at the moment. The reality is that what impacts Australia and New Zealand is not just the El Niño. It can be a major impact, but we’ve also had years where it has had no impact, and probably even at a similar level of El Niño indicator. And the reason for that is the El Niño obviously talks about what’s happening out in between South America and Asia, so that pressure, but our weather system, particularly in our dairy regions, is just as impacted by how much moisture is exiting Antarctica and moving north, into the southern parts of Australia, which are our heavy dairy regions, and also into New Zealand. The other weather system that impacts our dairy production during spring and our moisture levels is how much tropical cyclone activity is actually exiting the Pacific Islands and moving down into the North Island of New Zealand, which really doesn’t have a lot to do with El Niño either. The key point is that, right now El Niño, yeah, it’s a real phenomenon, but it’s not the only thing that’s gonna impact Oceania. when you look back at the history, which we have, some years it’s a really important thing, and other years you can have a fantastic spring in what seems to be an El Niño year. The other point that I’d make is that we have fantastic moisture right now. We’re getting huge rainfalls through Australia particularly, but also in New Zealand, which are really recharging things over winter. Economics would also mean that we’ve all got a fair bit of silage buffered away from the last 12 months of good weather. So I don’t think, at this stage, we’re seeing anything that’s like a huge impact on Oceanic dairy, but it’s very early. The thing that we’re all gonna need to watch out for is how much does it rain, particularly in New Zealand in December. New Zealand in December, January, that’s really when we have to start looking at what might happen. Ted Jacoby III: Cool. All right. Scott, this was a fantastic discussion. Thank you so much for joining us. Really appreciate your insight and your expertise in what’s going on the other side of the pond. Thank you.  Thank you. Lockhart, thank you very much. Cheers, guys. Next time on The Milk Check. Will Loux: The U.S. exports as we go forward here over the next few years is at a crossroad. Do we swing back to balancing to milk fat, which would mean we’re probably short of protein? Or do we start balancing to protein, which means we’re gonna need to find homes for a heck of a lot more cheese and butter. Ted Jacoby III: Join us and our special guest, Will Loux from the U.S. Dairy Export Council as we discuss the future of U.S. dairy exports. Ending commercial: The best part of my job is working directly with cheesemakers and helping their businesses run better because they make wonderful, great products. Anything we can do to make them more successful not only helps them, but helps Jacoby. We look at how milk flows through their plant, what their real cost of products are, so when they’re making marketing decisions, making new investments, particularly on whey processing, they have a benchmark to use to determine what opportunities they have and what the returns would be. Whey has become so valuable with these high-protein markets. There’s added value that they can get by just condensing it, and maybe moving further down the supply chain in the longer term, making products themselves. My role is to help them cost that so they have a better understanding of what the opportunities can be. Longer term, we expect the whey protein market to remain very valuable. For one part of the supply chain to be successful, everyone has to be, and part of my role is trying to help people be as competitive as they can possibly be. My superpower is practical application of data and analysis. I believe firmly that Jacoby’s success is because we help our suppliers and our buyers be successful. I’m Mike Brown, and I love working for T.C. Jacoby & Co. because I get to help people make their businesses more successful.

Eighth Sunday after PentecostJuly 19, 2026Worship Service includes:Scripture Readings: Psalm 138 and Luke 11:9-13Meditation:  Reflections on Youth-in-Mission Trip given by Youth-in-Mission membersClick here for Worship Bulletin - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -Welcome to Morrisville Presbyterian Church.No matter who you are or where you are on your journey of Faith,you are invited to MPC.Education Hour:Contact Pastor Alex Lester-Abdalla at alexlester-abdalla@mpcusa.net Worship Service:In-Person and Livestream begins at 10:30 a.m. each Sunday.Morrisville Presbyterian Church771 N Pennsylvania AveMorrisville, Pennsylvania 19067(215) 295-4191 Website: https://www.mpcusa.org Support the show

Dave Cole, CEO, and Fred Bell, President and COO, of Elemental Royalty Corporation (TSX: ELE) (Nasdaq: ELE), both join me for a visual tour through their key producing and development royalty and streaming assets.   We start off reviewing the key cornerstone gold and copper assets within their royalty portfolio of 18 cash-flowing royalties, 28 advanced development assets, and ~250 total mineral royalties globally; diversified across multiple jurisdictions and across precious metals, critical minerals, and battery metals.   In the process of going over key assets we touched upon the key news out yesterday on July 15th, regarding their strategic US$25 million investment package with Quilla Resources Inc. and its subsidiary Minera Pampa de Cobre S.A.C. (“MPC”) to expand Elemental's royalty exposure to the producing Chapi Copper Project in Peru and support Quilla's next phase of growth.  Elemental acquired an additional perpetual, uncapped 1.0% NSR royalty over Quilla's Pampa Negra and Candelaria concessions, increasing Elemental's royalty interest to a total of 3.0% NSR   We also unpack the rationale and risk/reward proposition from their news out on May 14th announcing the definitive agreement to acquire all of the issued and outstanding common shares of Vizsla Royalties Corp. (TSX-V: VROY; OTCQX: VROY) by way of a court-approved plan of arrangement.    The new dividend has highlighted, which provides investors the option of being paid in either cash or Tether Gold tokens, (which are backed by physical gold); and the corresponding value of having Tether Investments S.A. de C.V as their key stakeholder.   Their board of directors believes that Elemental Royalty Corp is currently positioned on the cutting edge of marrying the value of hard assets anchored in commodities and royalty instruments, with the interest from investors in the utility of digital assets.   Click to follow the latest news from Elemental Royalty Corp     To see a comprehensive list of all Elemental Royalty Corp assets: https://www.elementalroyalty.com/our-assets/     2026 Asset Royalty Handbook now available: https://wp-elemental-royalty-2026.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/media/2026/06/ELE-Royalty-Asset-Handbook-2026.pdf   If you have any follow up questions for Dave or Fred at Elemental Royalty Corp, then please email those to me at  Shad@kereport.com.   In full disclosure, Shad is a shareholder of Elemental Royalty Corp at the time of this recording, and may choose to buy or sell shares at any time.      For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:   The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/ Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/     Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing in equities and commodities involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

24 years old. Staten Island. No label. No manager. Just beats and a vision.JBoogz pulls up to First Smoke of the Day and breaks down what it actually takes to build an independent music career from scratch in 2026. He flipped a Mac DeMarco sample on TikTok and hit 2 million views. Now he is in LA cooking with artists and stacking percentages over upfront cash.We get into how sampling actually works, why the MPC changed everything for independent producers, how TikTok built his career before Instagram did, why he takes royalty percentages over upfront money, and what a 24 year old producer from Staten Island would tell anyone starting from zero right now.For the music heads, the producers and anyone building something real without asking permission.Subscribe to First Smoke of the Day for weekly cannabis culture and the realest conversations in the game. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this episode, Denny and paaao discuss everything about Vultisig: what it is, its token, future plans, and much more.Swap now https://swap.thorchain.org/ THORChain is a decentralized crypto exchange. THORChain is the first and biggest DEX for Bitcoin. You can use any self custody wallet to swap and there's no KYC required.Timestamps:00:00:00 Intro00:03:00 Paaao starts00:04:00 What is Vultisig?00:05:00 37 chains supported — Vultisig was born from THORChain MPC/TSS technology00:06:00 Every Vultisig user is a mini THORChain ecosystem00:08:00 When will we have a proper referral fee on all swaps, not just THORChain?00:12:00 What API is used? Is it OpenOcean for Solana meme coins?00:13:00 Is there an MEV component?00:14:00 How are swaps routed for maximum efficiency?00:17:00 How is Vultisig positioned to take advantage of everything that's coming?00:19:00 bRUNE support and the acquisition of Station Wallet00:20:00 Station is being converted into a fully agentic wallet!00:21:00 CCL on Rujira makes a great case for agentic use00:23:00 As soon as THORChain came back, people started swapping again00:25:00 MiCA consequences — people fleeing to self-custody00:26:00 How do we capture these users?00:28:00 Help us connect to communities, THORChads! Private keys are toxic!00:30:00 We have a sophisticated SDK that we are hardening — Hermes Agent00:31:00 Your agent can interact with other agents00:33:00 Vultisig is a return to proper self-custody00:35:00 Vultisig is building for the future00:38:00 Our goal is to make the wallet super easy — please let us know what can be improved!00:39:00 Self-hosting a Vultisig server could be powerful for businesses00:42:00 Could the VULT token become a universal in-app gas token?00:43:00 We'd need more centralized accounting — interesting idea00:45:00 We don't want to mix AI with wallet setup to reduce attack vectors00:47:00 Everyone can use Vultisig however they want, but self-hosting means maintaining your own app00:47:30 Vultisig Marketplace — developers can create automations00:48:00 For the first time, you can use custodial infrastructure to DCA through automated workflows00:49:00 We are focusing primarily on the agentic side rather than the marketplace00:51:00 Fee percentage question00:52:00 Is Vultisig hiring?00:53:00 Everyone is welcome to join Discord and open a PR, but we're not hiring full-time00:54:00 How safe are AI agents with Vultisig?00:55:00 We are focused on guardrails and multiple security layers for AI agents00:57:00 AI agents have been our biggest challenge00:58:00 Finding the balance between AI capabilities and guardrails is difficult01:00:00 Rujira support is coming soon!01:01:00 What makes you so excited about Rujira?01:02:00 Paaao loves lending, borrowing, and the liquidation engine01:03:00 The cross-chain capabilities are truly unique01:04:00 The connection between Rujira and Vultisig01:06:00 When XMR? Paaao: We're exploring how to add it01:08:00 MPC cryptography is difficult because we use DKLS01:09:00 MiCA regulations complicate the situation01:11:00 Is there anything else you'd like to talk about?01:12:00 Shout-out to the OGs: Try Vultisig again! It's changed a lot — send us feedback!01:13:00 Shared vaults for families, trust funds, and much more01:14:00 We want to improve communication — app releases every week01:16:00 Quai recommendation01:17:00 THORChain is a cockroach!

Three Plates Tommy has ghosted us since the April 20 show. Today is the day he answers. Rock Sampson blesses us with his presence and a set before the start time.Three Plates Tommyhttps://www.instagram.com/holdingitdo...E-Zonehttp://flavorsbyezone.comXGhttp://fullytoxic.comRock Sampson  / rocksampsonatx  

Economist Dr Roelof Botha reflects on Alan Greenspan's legacy, Gill Marcus's MPC tenure, and highlights of the Q1 2026 Afrimat Construction Index.

Everybody in manufacturing knows the skills gap is real. Far fewer people are doing anything about it. That tension runs through this entire conversation, and it's why we're glad to have Kyra Tillman back on the show as part of our workforce development series. Kyra runs BTM Industries, a small job shop in Woodstock, Illinois, and she's a driving force behind the Manufacturing Pathways Consortium, a group of more than a hundred McHenry County manufacturers, every local high school, and dozens of community partners who decided to grow their own talent instead of fighting over the same shrinking pool.  The numbers back it up. This year 186 students applied for the summer internship program and 85 got placed, with grant funding covering 85 percent of their wages. We get into the parts most people skip. How do you actually build an internship that works when your team is already slammed? Why do so many shops still say they don't have time for an inexperienced kid? And how did this group push back on a new Illinois foreign language requirement that would have gutted high school manufacturing programs, and win? There's a bigger idea underneath all of it. The shortage isn't only a skills gap, it's an opportunity gap. Most students have no idea these careers exist, and the fix isn't complicated. Open your doors, bring kids in, and let them try the work. Whether you run a shop, sit on a school board, or just want to see your community thrive, this one's a blueprint you can copy. What's Covered in this Episode (0:00) Why workforce development gets its own series, and welcoming Kyra back (1:56) Kyra's path to owning BTM Industries, a third-generation Woodstock job shop (4:13) MPC: 100+ manufacturers, every local high school, one focus: the talent pipeline (5:59) Why it works: stop playing the victim and do something about it (8:48) Inside the summer internship program: 186 applied, only 85 placed (10:53) Building a real intern plan instead of winging it (15:16) It's a manufacturing experience, not a polished college internship (16:15) CLA: helping manufacturers find millions in savings and revenue (17:23) Nick's intern Peter and the value of learning what you don't want (20:00) Why this program is oversubscribed when others can't fill seats (22:40) The funding model: grants cover 85 percent of intern wages (25:16) Saving CTE programs from Illinois's new foreign language requirement (27:45) IMTS Job Shops Workshop and Networking Reception, September 15 (28:39) Putting machined parts on guidance counselors' desks (32:46) Connecting with students who don't yet know what they like (35:00) It's an opportunity gap as much as a skills gap, so open your doors (36:42) Scaling means hiring beyond the shop floor, from coders to accountants (40:09) Why we love the quality of SMW Autoblok workholding (41:36) The results so far: 400+ interns, 46 now working in manufacturing (44:00) Help solve the problem: Let's get more manufacturers involved (47:15) How to replicate this: start with your local schools (49:30) Summer events, the Rockford party, and an IMTS kickoff Resources Mentioned Manufacturing Pathways Consortium CLA IMTS SMW Autoblok Connect with Kyra Tillman Manufacturing Pathways Consortium BTM Industries Connect with MakingChips Website: https://www.MakingChips.com On Facebook On LinkedIn On Instagram On Twitter On YouTube

»

➔

Cut Chemist has been on my list since the day I started this podcast, so getting him on for Episode 85 was a real full-circle moment. He's someone whose records genuinely shaped how I dig and how I think about putting samples together, and across this conversation he traces the whole arc — from kicking along to a Bobby Darin concert in the womb, to a McDonald's straw on a snare drum, to Star Wars soundtracks, to the moment hip hop landed for him in 1983.We get deep into the Hollywood scene that raised him, the Rhino Records parking-lot quarter bins where he and his friends amassed beats nobody had touched, and the Jungle Brothers album that made him realise he could make "a record made out of records."From Unity Committee into Jurassic 5, sharing the production chair with Nu-Mark, the all-45s leap into Brain Freeze with DJ Shadow, the solo tightrope of The Audience's Listening, and right up to his candlelit listening parties now — this one's a masterclass in following the unfamiliar. It's long, it's nerdy in all the right places, and I couldn't have asked for more from a guest who's influenced me this much.In this episode we cover:His earliest musical memories — parents, live drums, Carpenters and a deep sci-fi soundtrack obsessionDiscovering hip hop in 1983 via KDAY, breakdancing, graffiti and the elements one at a timePublic Enemy, Bomb Squad and why Main Source is his production templateThe Jungle Brothers album that turned him into a samplerLearning gear the hard way — reel-to-reel, Roland S10, MPC, the Pro Tools learning curveForming Jurassic 5 out of Unity Committee, and the east-coast heart in a west-coast cityPre-internet sample sleuthing and the legendary Rhino Records quarter binsFirst DJ gigs at 15, learning to cut, and the up-and-down fader style that became his ownQbert and the 1996 X-Men vs Scratch Pickles battleA digging philosophy: is the juice worth the squeeze?Sharing production with Nu-Mark, building Lesson 6, and breaking in Europe with Mr FormatThe Rare Equations mix, the Number Song remix and the all-45s origins of Brain FreezeOzomatli, Brazilian and African digging, and constructing a set like a compositionThe Audience's Listening at 20, The Garden in Brazil, and the Italy trip that changed everythingThe Good Life Cafe education and record shopping with Biz MarkieStable Sound, the Bandcamp subscription, and his candlelit psychedelic sound bathsOn Keb Darge, on Edan, and the Expert of None shows coming next

Click here to join Sync Producer Hub This episode highlights community wins and lessons: member shout-outs for leveling up, turning a rejection into progress, and new sync placements and royalty updates. You'll get clear pitching and email advice for music supervisors, tips on organizing your Disco catalog, MPC/production workflow insights, Shades of Sync conference prep, and how social media and AI can help generate sync opportunities.

Industry experts estimate synthetic identity fraud costs the financial industry as high as $95 billion a year, and the most damaging attacks pass every verification check without triggering a single alert.Tedd Huff, CEO of fintech advisory firm Voalyre and founder of Fintech Confidential, brings 25 years of payments and fraud infrastructure experience to a direct conversation with Hal Lonas, Chief Technology Officer of Trulioo, the identity verification platform trusted by Google, JP Morgan Payments, Stripe, Airbnb, and Meta.Lonas explains why detection rates hide more than they reveal, how fraudsters now add intentional imperfections to AI-generated deepfakes to beat detection systems, and why agentic commerce requires an entirely new verification layer beyond KYC and KYB. The conversation covers Trulioo's Know Your Agent (KYA) framework, the Digital Agent Passport, Google's Agent Payments Protocol (AP2), and the privacy regulation debate most compliance teams have not fully worked through.Find out more1️⃣ Ask your identity vendor for their false negative rate, not just their detection rate, and demand specific numbers.2️⃣ Build continuous monitoring into your post-onboarding workflow so your system is still watching on day 30, 60, and 90.3️⃣ Audit every automated decision model in your stack and document the logic before your next regulatory exam.4️⃣ Map your verification flow and tier friction based on real-time risk signals instead of running flat checks on every customer.5️⃣ Get your compliance and growth teams in the same room with a shared dashboard showing fraud loss rates and abandonment rates side by side.Guest:Hal Lonas LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/hal-lonas-4555b1Hal Lonas X: https://x.com/hal_lonasCompany:Trulioo: https://www.trulioo.comFintech Confidential:Podcast: https://fintechconfidential.com/listenNotifications: https://fintechconfidential.com/accessLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/fintechconfidentialX: https://x.com/FTconfidentialInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/fintechconfidentialFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/fintechconfidentialSupporters:Under.io streamlines application and underwriting by digitizing PDFs for digital signature: under.io/FTCSkyflow is a zero trust data privacy vault delivered as an API, covering PCI, CCPA, GDPR, SOC 2, and beyond: skyflowsecure.comDFNS provides wallets as a service, API first, multi-chain, secured with MPC, used by Stripe, Fidelity, and others: fintechconfidential.com/dfnsHawk AI offers real-time payment screening, AML monitoring, and dynamic customer risk rating to reduce false positives: gethawk.comAbout:Hal Lonas is the Chief Technology Officer of Trulioo, where he leads technology strategy, product development, and engineering. He co-founded BrightCloud, a cloud-native threat intelligence company, and previously served as CTO at Webroot, Carbonite, and OpenText before joining Trulioo in 2021.Trulioo is a global identity verification platform operating across 195 countries, covering 14,000+ ID document types, 6,000+ watchlists, and 700 million business entities.Tedd Huff is CEO of Voalyre and founder of Fintech Confidential. The show is produced by DD3 Media and brings you the people, tech, and companies that change how you pay and get paid.Chapters: 00:00 Introduction01:28 Meet Trulioo CTO02:48 From Space to Security04:11 Dfns: Wallets as a Service (sponsor)05:32 Sleeper Accounts Explained08:33 False Negatives Metric11:43 Explainable Adaptive ML13:23 Deepfakes Raise Stakes15:03 Asymmetric Defense Signals17:51 Privacy Versus Safety21:25 Sky Flow: Building Fast and Secure (sponsor)22:27 Friction Based Risk24:16 Case Study ConsenSys26:04 Know Your Agent Future27:52 Agent Passport Checks32:43 Open Standards AP234:35 Are Defenders Losing36:05 Leader Advice Wrap40:37 Final Thoughts and Outro41:36 Hawk AI - Realtime Fraud Monitoring (sponsor)42:23 DisclaimerDisclaimer: The information provided in this episode is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial, legal, or investment advice.#syntheticidentityfraud #identityverification #KYC #KYB #agenticcommerce #KnowYourAgent #deepfakedetection #fintechfraud #fraudprevention #AML #trulioo #AP2 #GoogleAP2 #AIfraud #fintechcompliance #fintechconfidential

Simon Brown unpacks a US personal savings rate of just 2.6% — one of the lowest on record — and why it matters more as a fragility gauge than a crash signal. He covers the collapsed Iran deal and its effect on oil and South African fuel prices, the SARB's prime rate hike to 10.5% and why he thinks the MPC has it wrong, and the near-10% surge in Naspers and Prosus on news that WeChat is putting AI at the centre of its app. Plus SPAR's brutal trading update, the year-to-date scoreboard with South Korea up 123%, Afrimat's Nersa win, Dell's near four-bagger, and why Simon keeps buying Clicks at two-year lows. Topics: US savings rate, Iran and oil, SARB rates, Naspers, Prosus, Tencent, SPAR, food retail, South Korea, Dell, Clicks. WorldWideMarkets is part of JustOneLap.com.

Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message!The tide has officially turned for mortgage interest rates. Following the Reserve Bank's razor-edge split decision to hold the OCR last week, borrowers are hitting a major structural shift. An estimated 40% of all New Zealand mortgage debt is exposed to repricing in the next six months alone - shifting from a mindset of two years of falling rates straight into a rising rate wall.This week, Nick Goodall and Kelvin Davidson analyse the macroeconomic consequences of this lag in monetary policy. We break down the newly updated Cotality Sales Volume Forecast Model, which officially strips 10,000 transactions out of our original 2026 projections.Plus, we dissect the internal vs. external board divide at the RBNZ, unpack the Government's council "consent bonus" budget initiative, and preview Thursday's upcoming May Home Value Index (HVI) results.This week we discuss:The Repricing Shock: Why 31% of fixed debt and 10% of floating debt are running directly into higher rates over the next six months.The 2-Year Fix Pivot: Why the mathematical reality of moving from a short-term fix to a 2-year runway means a 0.3% to 0.4% immediate lift in debt-servicing costs.Slashing the 2026 Model: Recalibrating the official housing metrics down to a flat 90,000 transaction ceiling for this year, with a potential slide below 90k in 2027.The Internal vs. External Divide: Analysing Cam Bagrie's take on why external MPC members are voting for rate hikes while internal RBNZ staff cling to optimistic GDP models.April Mortgage Lending Slowdown: Dissecting the $8 billion lending block and why bank switching and aggressive cashback windows are shutting.Council "Consent Bonuses": Reviewing the Government's infrastructure financial incentives for councils hitting high density targets.Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn, X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email ngoodall@cotality.com or kdavidson@cotality.comThis podcast is for educational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or tax advice. The hosts are not licensed Financial Advice Providers in New Zealand. All information is of a general nature and does not take into account your personal situation or goals. Please consult a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.

Welcome to Episode 399 On this episode we have: W.o.W. Highs/Lows News Bike Updates She knows Moto The Jaguar Sprint Call to action- leave reviews, interact, sign up for the MPC at the link below. Show contact info Creative Riding is available on Apple Podcasts, Sound Cloud, Google Play, Tune In, Spotify, etc. Leave the show a rating and review on your favorite podcast app. https://motorcycle-podcasts.com/ https://motopodchallenge.com/ Check out our blog: creative-riding.com Contact the show: Discord: https://discord.gg/3kzhhChcUj Email: creativeridingpodcast@gmail.com FB/IG: @creativeridingpodcast Reddit: @Creative_Riding Support the show: patreon.com/creativeriding zazzle.com/store/creative_riding research about big cats and bikes: https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/d18b4e7d0eeb47d8b2e0ae7acd656480 https://magazine.cycleworld.com/article/1962/2/1/harley-davidson-250-sprint

Stephen Grootes speaks to Citi South Africa economist Gina Schoeman about the SARB’s decision to hike interest rates by 25 basis points as rising fuel and food prices driven by the Middle East conflict reignite inflation concerns. In other interviews, John Steenhuisen, Agriculture Minister talks about the Pretoria High Court’s landmark interim ruling allowing private procurement and administration of Foot-and-Mouth Disease vaccines without direct State veterinary oversight, the Department of Agriculture’s response to the judgment and concerns around biosecurity and disease control in South Africa. The Money Show is a podcast hosted by well-known journalist and radio presenter, Stephen Grootes. He explores the latest economic trends, business developments, investment opportunities, and personal finance strategies. Each episode features engaging conversations with top newsmakers, industry experts, financial advisors, entrepreneurs, and politicians, offering you thought-provoking insights to navigate the ever-changing financial landscape.    Thank you for listening to a podcast from The Money Show Listen live Primedia+ weekdays from 18:00 and 20:00 (SA Time) to The Money Show with Stephen Grootes broadcast on 702 https://buff.ly/gk3y0Kj and CapeTalk https://buff.ly/NnFM3Nk For more from the show, go to https://buff.ly/7QpH0jY or find all the catch-up podcasts here https://buff.ly/PlhvUVe Subscribe to The Money Show Daily Newsletter and the Weekly Business Wrap here https://buff.ly/v5mfetc The Money Show is brought to you by Absa     Follow us on social media   702 on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TalkRadio702 702 on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@talkradio702 702 on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/talkradio702/ 702 on X: https://x.com/CapeTalk 702 on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@radio702   CapeTalk on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@capetalk CapeTalk on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ CapeTalk on X: https://x.com/Radio702 CapeTalk on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CapeTalk567 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Petri Redelinghuys of Herenya Capital Advisors weighs in on the Mag 7 as the basket trades at all-time highs: buy, sell or hold? Vishal Rama from Prescient previews this afternoon's MPC rate decision: hike or unchanged? Plus, Ahmore Burger-Smidt of Werksmans Attorneys unpacks changes to M&A regulations that could streamline the process.

She launched her firm on January 12th. Six weeks later she'd billed $120,000 — working off an Excel spreadsheet, a phone, and zero AI. While most of the industry is convinced the next placement is one shiny tool away, Lauren Lehman quietly proved the opposite, and this conversation breaks down exactly how she did it. Before we get into it — this episode is brought to you by Atlas, the AI-first recruitment platform built to eliminate admin. The resume never tells the full story, and Atlas captures every candidate conversation automatically so nothing gets buried in your notes. With MagicSearch you can ask things like "who mentioned they're open to relocating next year?" and pull the answer from your entire database instantly. Atlas customers have reported over 40% EBITDA growth and over 80% increase in monthly billings after adopting the platform. Get started and unlock your exclusive listener offer at recruitwithatlas.com. Lauren spent nearly a decade recruiting in healthcare and then accounting and finance before walking away from a comfortable, high-billing seat to start Manta Search. In this episode she's honest about the part nobody posts about: the fear of failing, the costs people underestimate, and the reality that you become marketing, payroll, admin, and AR the day you go out on your own. Her advice is to have the lawyer and accountant in place before you jump — then jump anyway. As she puts it, you build the parachute on the way down. The engine behind the $120K is less glamorous than the number suggests, and that's the point. Lauren treats business development as the circle of life for a desk — two to three hours every single day, calendar blocked, phone off, hitting 50 companies a block through calls, texts, voice notes, and LinkedIn. She walks Benjamin through her actual MPC scripts, why she leads with a candidate instead of begging for a job order, and why texting CFOs outperforms email every time. Spoiler: they text back, because they're people on their phones just like the rest of us. Then there's mushrooming — Lauren's term for turning one filled role into an entire account. She breaks down precisely how she asks a hiring manager for the introduction into legal, engineering, or IT without sounding opportunistic, when to make the ask, and how she follows up on open roles without ever becoming a resume pusher. This is the relationship game that replaced the transactional, burnout-driven headhunter mentality she ran during the pandemic gold rush, and the shift to a white-glove approach — including learning to say no to the wrong searches — is what made the model durable. And on the question every recruiter is wrestling with: Lauren thinks AI isn't good enough to replace the human part yet, and that leaning on it too early is quietly making recruiters lazy. She uses it where it helps on the back end, but the relationships, the follow-up, and the discipline are still hers. If you've been waiting for the perfect moment to go all in, this is the episode. Draw the line in the sand and start your six weeks now — because 2026 is your year. Connect with Lauren Lehman on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/laurentaylorlehman/

I sat down with Patrick from Ampli live at ConsenSys in Miami for a wide-ranging conversation that ran nearly an hour, and for good reason. Patrick went from studying political science in Germany and France to becoming a crypto tokenomics advisor, and now co-founder of Ampli, a company building the security infrastructure for AI agents that manage money. We got into why blockchain was essentially built for AI before AI even existed, how Ampli's Agent Control Room lets fund managers discover, deploy, and control agents without ever handing over the keys, and why 90% of crypto exploits last year came down to human error rather than smart contract bugs. We also talked about the future of stablecoins as geopolitical tools, why DeFi is bottoming out like the post-dotcom era before a decade-long bull run, and what a world looks like where every phone has a personal banker inside it. This is one of those conversations packed with insight for founders, fund managers, and anyone paying attention to where finance is actually heading. Disclaimer:Nothing mentioned in this podcast is investment advice and please do your own research. It would mean a lot if you can leave a review of this podcast on Apple Podcasts or Spotify and share this podcast with a friend. Be a guest on the podcast or contact us - https://www.web3pod.xyz/ Connect: https://ampli.net/ Key points with time stamps: • [00:00] Patrick introduces himself, political science background in Germany and France, discovered Bitcoin and Ethereum in 2016, drawn in by smart contracts as a governance solution• [04:00] What Ampli is building, agentic capital management infrastructure that lets AI agents autonomously transact money and digital assets securely• [08:00] Why Ampli pivoted from consumer products to infrastructure, the agent capability grew faster than the security stack beneath it• [12:00] How Ampli's separation of powers works, agents only send suggestions, policies are written on-chain, and the agent never holds the keys• [16:00] The 90% statistic, security researchers found that over 90% of exploited crypto funds last year came from human error, social engineering, and front-end spoofing, not smart contract bugs• [20:00] Why blockchain was built for AI before AI arrived, it is cumbersome for humans but perfect for machines transacting value at scale• [25:00] What comes next in the agentic space, purpose-built agents, agent marketplaces, and agents subcontracting other agents• [30:00] The Visa study showing 90% of stablecoin transactions on Ethereum in 2024 were done by bots, proof the rails are ready for machine-to-machine finance• [35:00] DeFi trends, Patrick's thesis that DeFi is bottoming out like the post-dotcom era, with tokenization and institutional adoption set to drive a decade-long secular bull run• [40:00] Companies Patrick admires, Midas for disciplined tokenization and Fortify for MPC-based self-custody• [44:00] Ampli's Agent Control Room, their first product, letting fund managers discover, deploy, benchmark, and control agents• [48:00] Crypto's real product-market fits, stablecoins, yield, gambling, capital gains, and front-loading liquidity through ICOs and TGEs• [52:00] Stablecoins as geopolitical tools, how the US chose private stablecoins over CBDCs to spread dollarization globally, and what a future AI-native monetary primitive might look like• [56:00] Advice for founders, listen to potential clients obsessively, build toward customer needs, and always push toward profitability so investors chase you

We gathered to listen through one of the most singular debut albums ever made. Here's the recording of the chat. Niall is joined at our live listening event Listen Closely in the Big Romance by Cian Galvin aka Irish hip-hop producer and crate digger The Expert to discuss... DJ Shadow - Endtroducing (1996) A towering achievement in sample-based plunderphonics, music arrangements and turntablist-lead production techniques, DJ Shadow's 1996's debut album Endtroducing remains one of the most evocative and singular classic albums of recent times. Entirely built of obscure crate-dug samples using an Akai MPC60 sampler, Endtroducing's cinematic soundscapes finds a transportive space where emotionally resonant electronica and hip-hop meet - the middle ground between light and shadow. It is considered one of the best albums of all-time, and is certainly one of mine. * Support Nialler9 on Patreon, get event discounts, playlists, ad-free episodes and join our Discord community Listen on Apple | Android  | Patreon | Pocketcasts | CastBox | Stitcher | Spotify | RSS Feed | Pod.Link The third instalment of our loosely titled Plunderphonics series for the Nialler9 Listening Party brought us to a record that, thirty years on, still doesn't quite sound like anything else. DJ Shadow's Endtroducing, released September 16th 1996 on Mo' Wax, is a record built entirely from other records - and yet it sounds like nothing any of those records ever sounded like. If you missed the night, the podcast recording is above. What follows is a bit of context and some of what we got into. The trilogy so far We've now done The Avalanches' Since I Left You and J Dilla's Donuts as part of this loose series. All three are sample-based records. All three feel like complete worlds unto themselves. There's something about the constraint of working entirely within found sound that produces a particular kind of magic - you're hearing music that was already forgotten being given an entirely new life, filtered through the taste and instincts of one person with a singular obsession. Endtroducing is the most melancholic of the three. It's not a party record or a rap record in any conventional sense. It's a cinematic, introspective piece of work - breakbeats, jazz, psychedelia, hip-hop, all of it dissolved into something that feels like its own atmosphere. The kid from Davis, California Josh Davis grew up in Davis, California, then San Jose - both outside the main cultural centres, which is something he and Mo' Wax founder James Lavelle bonded over immediately when they first spoke by phone. Lavelle had grown up in Oxford. Both felt like outsiders to the scenes they were drawn to. Shadow was experimenting with a four-track recorder in high school and DJing on the campus radio station KDVS at UC Davis before he'd made a single release. By 1993 he was part of the Solesides underground hip-hop collective alongside Blackalicious, Lateef, and Lyrics Born. Lavelle found him through a B-side remix on a forgotten hip-hop promo, tracked him down through a friend at Tommy Boy Records, and told him: "Don't worry about choruses and verses, just push your sound further." That's more or less what he did. The equipment The entire album was made on an Akai MPC60 II, a pair of turntables, and an Alesis ADAT tape recorder that belonged to Dan the Automator. Shadow was 23 years old. The MPC could sample 2.5 seconds of stereo and store 13 seconds total. Everything on the record - the beats, the melodies, the percussion - had to be constructed within those limits. Self-imposed limitation producing something that infinite digital possibilities probably couldn't. There's a reason we don't really get records like this anymore, and it's partly because the tools have become too open-ended. The seams and the constraints are part of what gives Endtroducing its particular texture. The crates Shadow spent his days in the basement of Rare Records in Sacramento, a shop with records piled to the ceiling. He found a mummified bat down there once. The cover photograph, taken by B+, shows producer Chief Xcel and Lyrics Born (in a wig) in that same basement. It's as good a visual summary of the album's ethos as you'll find anywhere. He made it a rule to avoid sampling obvious or well-known material. The samples he pulled were largely from forgotten funk, soul, jazz, experimental, and sound library records - music that had no audience left and no commercial future. He rescued them. The liner notes credit everything, including the big clearance cases: Metallica, Björk, and the David Axelrod piano loop that anchors 'Midnight in a Perfect World'. Lavelle handled the clearances. "The samples were pretty easy to clear," he said. "It's different when you're sampling some Swedish drum break from 1970 than sampling James Brown." The album itself Endtroducing feels like a place. Not a collection of tracks but a world you enter at the start and leave at the end, slightly altered. The drums on 'Building Steam with a Grain of Salt', the disorienting loop of 'Changeling', the controlled chaos of the second half of 'Scatter Brain', the three-part sweep of 'Stem/Long Stem', the ache of 'Midnight in a Perfect World'. It's not a happy record. Shadow said himself that feelings of self-doubt and depression came through in the music during production. You can hear it. The Wire's first ever review called it "a debut of melancholic mediocrity." Melody Maker said "you need this record. You are incomplete without it." The bigger question There's a clip of Shadow in the Rare Records basement that gets used a lot in discussions about Endtroducing. He gestures around at the records and says: "Almost none of these artists still have a career. Ten years down the line, you'll be in here." It's a bleak thought, but also the central one. Sampling asks us to reckon with music's ephemerality - but it also offers a counter-argument. These records survived because Shadow found them. Their sounds are in the album. They're still being heard.

The pound has lost 95% of its purchasing power since 1971. Every fiat currency in history has eventually gone to zero. Bitcoin might be the first money that actually holds its value — and building the financial services around it is what Piotr, Product Manager at Xapo Bank, has spent years working on.In this episode, Jordan sits down with Piotr to explore:How Piotr Bedkowski went from ING Bank sceptic to fully orange-pilled BitcoinerWhy Xapo Bank only holds USD and BTC — and why that's a deliberate choiceThe case for borrowing against Bitcoin instead of selling itHow Xapo's underground vaults earned the nickname "Fort Knox of Bitcoin"Why rehypothecation of collateral is off the table at Xapo — full stopEarning yield and monthly Bitcoin income from your existing stackWhat the "iPhone moment" for global Bitcoin adoption might actually look likeWhy Bitcoin-backed lending rates should, in theory, be the lowest in the worldTIMESTAMPS:00:00 Intro — Bitcoin is currency for the people01:00 Welcome and Piotr's background02:00 Joining Xapo Bank and building wealth products04:00 Bitcoin-backed lending and yield on Bitcoin06:00 Discovering Bitcoin twice — and why most people do09:00 Looking for the next Bitcoin (and why that's a mistake)10:00 Currency debasement — Argentina, Europe, and everywhere else13:00 The history of money and why fiat always fails17:00 What Xapo Bank is actually building and why19:00 Self-custody vs. custodial — meeting people where they are22:00 Inside Xapo's vaults — the Fort Knox of Bitcoin27:00 MPC security and why transactions are now near-instant32:00 How Xapo decides what products to build next38:00 Bitcoin-backed cards and what's coming42:00 Zero rehypothecation — and why it matters44:00 The iPhone moment and Bitcoin's next ten years48:00 Why Bitcoin-backed lending rates should be the lowest

AUA2026 Spotlight: PARP-Inhibitor Combination Treatments for the Urologic Care Team CME Available: https://cme.auanet.org/URL/PARP26ONL LEARNING OBJECTIVES: At the conclusion of this CME activity, participants will be able to: 1. Integrate biomarker and genetic testing principles into clinical workflows for patients with metastatic prostate cancer, including when to order testing, how to interpret HRR mutation results (inclusive of BRCA and non-BRCA), and how to address barriers to testing through multidisciplinary coordination. 2. Explain the mechanism of action of PARP inhibitors and the biological and clinical rationale for their use—both as monotherapy and in combination approaches—in the treatment of mPC. 3. Evaluate emerging efficacy and safety data on PARPi combinations, including patient subgroup analyses, sequencing strategies, and the role of combination therapy in different stages of mPC. 4. Apply best practices for side effect monitoring and mitigation in patients receiving PARP inhibitors alone or in combination, leveraging the multidisciplinary team for optimal therapy management and patient quality of life. 5. Implement guideline-concordant care strategies in practice, including genetic testing workflow implementation, coordination among care team members, and patient engagement in shared decision-making and clinical trial enrollment. 5. Utilize current evidence-based guidelines to select and sequence PARP inhibitor therapy for patients with mPC, optimizing oncologic outcomes while individualizing care based on molecular profile and patient-specific factors. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS: Support provided by independent educational grants from: Astrazeneca Merck & Co., Inc Pfizer, Inc.

En este episodio de The Milk Check en Español, Diego, Yara y Miguel analizan uno de los mercados lácteos más inciertos de los últimos años. El equipo conversa sobre la limitada disponibilidad de leche en algunas regiones de Estados Unidos, la fuerte demanda de leche ultrafiltrada, el sólido mercado de exportación de quesos y por qué el mercado de leche descremada en polvo sigue desconectado de los fundamentos tradicionales. También hablan sobre el incremento en los costos de flete, la creciente necesidad de SMP en México, el cambio en el comportamiento de compra de los clientes al construir inventarios de seguridad y cómo las tensiones geopolíticas, negociaciones comerciales y la volatilidad global están impactando los mercados lácteos alrededor del mundo. Desde NFDM y quesos hasta fletes, futuros y comercio internacional, este episodio cubre los factores más importantes que están definiendo el mercado lácteo actual. ¿Tienes preguntas? Nos encantaría escucharlas. Envíalas abajo y podríamos responderlas en el pódcast. Pregúntale a The Milk Check Diego Carvallo: Buenas tardes a todos nuestros queridos clientes y, proveedores. Los saludamos desde la ciudad de San Luis, donde estamos Miguel, yo, y Yara esta semana reuniéndonos con el equipo para reuniones de estrategia y análisis de mercado. Y bueno, bienvenidos al pódcast de esta semana. Estamos a mediados del mes de mayo con muchísima incertidumbre, muchísimas, eh, comentarios y preguntas sobre el mercado. Yara Morales: Sí, saludos a todos. Miguel Aragón: Así es, sí nos estamos reuniendo aquí en nuestra reunión trimestral, viendo, tratando de, ver la bola de cristal, pero no, no, no, no, está, está- no aparece, no aparece. Yara Morales: Sí, yo creo que las mismas preguntas que nosotros tenemos las tienen todos los clientes y los proveedores también. La verdad, es una incertidumbre todo lo que está pasando con el mercado. Es un año de verdad muy a-atípico, muy diferente a todos los años. O sea, ya, ya muchos clientes hasta nos dicen: «Pues ya no me sirven las referencias que tenemos de todos los estadísticas que teníamos anteriormente». La verdad, ya no, no. Ha sido un año muy difícil para todos. Así es. Diego Carvallo: Si quieren, podemos comenzar hablando un poquito de, de la parte de fluidos y después pasar a, a los productos. Eh, así entendemos un poquito cómo, cómo se sienten los fundamentos. Em, bueno, hemos tenido varias reuniones con el equipo de fluidos y, eh, a pesar de que el número de producción de, de leche de Estados Unidos sigue estando bastante bien, eh, seguimos teniendo un crecimiento bastante sano en la producción de leche, em, estamos viendo, eh, que para el medio del spring flush, que estamos actualmente, no pareciera haber sobrantes de leche, eh, a descuentos tan significativos como lo que había en los años anteriores. Y, eh, eh, la verdad es que ha creado algo de, eh, dudas, algo de preocupación, sobre todo para el equipo de fluidos, porque en estos momentos usualmente estamos viendo la, las cargas de leche descontadas a, a unos descuentos muy importantes y este año no ha sido el caso. Entonces, eh, hay mucha discusión y mucha, eh, como conversaciones sobre la demanda, sobre todo la demanda de lo que son, eh, las cargas ultrafiltradas, que está muy, muy fuerte esa demanda y pareciera que las plantas todavía tienen más capacidad para absorber leche. Em, por el otro lado, la parte de la crema sí está bastante larga, hay bastante producto disponible, pero lo que es la ultrafiltrada y la leche líquida, pareciera que con toda la capacidad nueva que agregamos este año, em… Hay suficiente planta para absorber ese crecimiento. Miguel Aragón: Así es, así es. Eh, un comentario importante que nos hacían los-nuestros compañeros es el de que en estos tiempos las– usualmente las cargas se compran o se mueven a descuento y este año no, se están moviendo a la par, lo cual está causando una incertidumbre bastante alta en el mercado. Diego Carvallo: Si, si ese es el caso ahora en el pleno flush, pues el mercado debería sentirse muy ajustado una vez salgamos del flush. Exacto. Y entremos en periodos de baja producción. Miguel Aragón: Exactamente. Eso lo, lo estamos empezando a ver en, en, en el mercado de futuros, eh, por lo pronto en el lado de lo queso. No sabemos qué tanto se ajuste, pero nos da algo de, de, de pausa ahí de- Sí. Yara Morales: Porque si siguen, este, mandando la leche para la clase uno, que es para toda la leche fortificada, para lo que es el, el, el yogur griego y, y lo que es el cottage, pues la verdad es que mucha leche se va a ir para allá. Eh, va a estar todavía muy escasa. Clase uno y clase tres. Diego Carvallo: Clase tres. Mhm. Exactamente. Clase uno y clase tres. Es importante aclarar también que e-e-ese panorama que estábamos describiendo es sobre todo lo que es, eh, al este de las montañas, de los Rockies. Todo lo que es California y la costa oeste, sí tengo entendido que hay bastante leche. Hay bastante leche. Que la leche sigue bien larga. Sí, así es. De hecho, uno, ayer coment– eh, estaba en plática con un-uno de nuestros proveedores y nos decían que tienen suficiente leche para las plantas de queso, en, por lo menos en California. Eh, y lo que comentabas, Diego, definitivamente esto se está viendo para el lado este y para el, el, de hecho, plantas en el centro del suroes– en el sureste. Sí, sí. El caso de la costa este ha estado muy ajustado de hace muchos años. Bueno, este año, eh, ese nivel, ese tightness, esa falta de leche, se ve aún más, eh, pronunciada. Em, bueno, con eso podemos entonces hacer como un, un cambio y empezar a hablar un poquito más de los, de los subproductos. Eh, Miguel, ¿quieres hablar un poquito de la parte de quesos antes de entrar en, en los polvos? Sí, sí. De hecho, ah, es, el– aunque el mercado doméstico sigue teniendo suficiente producto para la demanda que tenemos, el mercado de exportación es completamente otro tema. Eh, más que u– esta semana estamos viendo algo de movimiento en los mercados de Asia y, este, y Oceanía, con la, una demanda que se está incrementando. Miguel Aragón: Ojo, cuando eso es, esos mercados se llevan bastante producto. Habían estado algo dormidos, eh, las últimas Seis semanas, ocho semanas. Pero estamos viendo que ahora al parecer la están ya buscando producto otra vez. Eso tal vez nos va a poner algo de, de restricciones de producto para México, Centroamérica, Suramérica, porque al parecer lo pagan mejor, eh- Estados Unidos es el país más competitivo en este momento para lo que son quesos, ¿no? Sigue siendo el más competitivo. Así es, así es. Aunque hay algo de, de sobre todo mozzarella, de, de, de– hubo algo de producción en Europa, pero no, seguimos siendo los más competitivos, Diego Carvallo: sobre todo en los cheddar. Ya, ya, ya. Okey, interesante. ¿Y si están viendo, eh, en lo que va de año un aumento en todo lo que son exportaciones a esas regiones? Sí, todo, Miguel Aragón: sí, los, los mercados a los que hemos exportado siguen creciendo, sigue creciendo la demanda. Eh, aún no podemos ver, eh, cómo, se desparrama la demanda o cómo, cómo se– cuándo es más demanda y menos demanda, porque ha sig– ha seguido creciendo constantemente. ¿Y Diego Carvallo: cuál es, eh, tu outlook para el resto del año? ¿Estás– tú sientes que el mercado ha conseguido un soporte bastante claro y que la demanda puede mantener los precios actuales o, o sientes más bien que en algún momento podemos volver a caer? No, la, creo que Miguel Aragón: estamos en un, en un, tenemos un piso. Ya. Y aunque hemos creído que vamos a estar en un rango, al contrario, creemos que tal vez, eh, el mercado empiece a tratar de, de, de, de subir un poco, de apuntar para arriba- De romper esa resistencia. De romper esa resistencia hacia arriba. Pero, ah, todo depende cómo, cómo siga la demanda doméstica, porque eso es lo que nos va, nos va a marcar Diego Carvallo: la pauta. ¿Y el tema de la guerra en Irán está afectando en algo la demanda de los clientes de ustedes en el sureste asiático? Miguel Aragón: Definitivamente, definitivamente. De hecho, tuvimos algo de cargas nosotros que, que anduvieron dando vueltas. Hasta en la India teníamos cargas que, que iban a, a Arabia Saudita, eh, y nos, nos afecta a nosotros, pero está afectando a todos los productores también. Eh, y es un mercado por varias cosas. U-una, porque no podemos entrar, pero otra, la más importante, es porque las aseguradoras no nos están asegurando las cargas que van para ese mercado. Nadie las asegura y si no las aseguran El mercado claro no puede, no puede tomarlo, no puede tomar ese producto Es demasiado riesgo. Ya, Diego Carvallo: ya, ya. Miguel Aragón: Imagínate Yara Morales: el transporte, cómo se está incrementando también Diego Carvallo: con todo eso. Eso es lo siguiente, eso es lo siguiente. Es un tema que vamos a hablar también, que está afectando sobre todo a los productos más económicos, porque representan un porcentaje más alto del, del costo del producto. Sé que ahorita todo el mundo quiere hablar mucho de nonfat, así que si quieren pasamos un poquito a hablar ese tema- Nos dedicamos al nonfat. Que es el más complicado en este momento. Eh, mira, en pocas palabras, yo diría, en este momento estamos viendo un mercado que está de cierta manera desconectado entre lo que es lo, lo que estamos viendo en los fundamentos con lo que estamos viendo en la realidad del mercado físico. Los fundamentos, eh, apuntan y todos los reportes del USDA apuntan a que hay un crecimiento en la producción de nonfat, hay un crecimiento en la producción de SMP y hay inventarios relativamente sanos. Sin embargo, lo que estamos viendo en el mercado spot, en el mercado actual, es algo bastante distinto. Y puede ser por algunos factores como los de los recalls que tuvimos, eh, ¿cómo se dice un recall en español? La- Reclamos. Un reclamo de producción que tuvimos durante los últimos meses que ajustaron el mercado, pero la realidad es que el mercado spot, el mercado físico actualmente sigue estando sumamente ajustado. Hay muy poco producto, la mayoría de las plantas siguen completamente sobrevendidas. Eh, los traders y revendedores tienen muy poco inventario en mano. Y también vemos ese mismo patrón desde el punto de vista de los clientes. La mayoría de los clientes siguen todavía bastante cortos de producto y necesitan may-mayor, mayor volumen para saciar sus inventarios de seguridad y su producción. Entonces, eh, yo diría, en el corto plazo todavía vemos un mercado bastante bien sostenido, pero creemos que una vez pase el spring flush, después de estos dos próximos dos meses, deberíamos ver una mejor correlación entre lo que es el mercado físico o el CME Cash y el mercado de futuros. Y creemos que principalmente el CME Cash debería hacer gran parte de ese trabajo para llegar a un nivel más cercano a donde están los futuros. Es decir, creemos que debería haber cierta, eh, corrección y consolidación en un nivel posiblemente cercano a, a los cuatro mil quinientos, cuatro mil seiscientos, para de ahí poder buscar, eh, opciones de moverse para más arriba o mantenerse firme el resto del año. Sí somos, eh, creyentes de que el resto del año el polo va a seguir bastante ajustado, pero no creemos que nos podamos mantener en los precios que estamos actualmente, que son dos dólares treinta por libra, que es un precio en el que ya empezamos a ver que la demanda se frena un poco Okey. Em, todo lo que son MPC, eh, MPC setenta y MPC ochenta han seguido mucho ese patrón en el que el mercado está muy ajustado, no hay suficiente producto y hay mucha demanda que ha venido de sports nutrition, de otras aplicaciones a buscar, eh, sustitutos en el mercado del MPC. Em, Yarita, cuéntanos un poquito cómo has visto tú la demanda, cómo has visto a tus clientes en México, eh, ¿cuál es la expectativa de mercado desde el punto de vista del cliente mexicano? Yara Morales: Bueno, la, la verdad es que con toda la escasez que hubo en los primeros meses y que no podíamos surtirles la leche, porque todos los proveedores nos agarraron sin inventario y a México lo agarraron sin inventario. Afortunadamente, ya a partir de marzo, abril, ya empezaron a recibir producto. Entonces, ahorita los clientes en México tengo entendido que ya tienen un poquito más de inventario. Aparte, pues están cerrando contratos, eh, se está comprando SMP de, de Europa, los que tienen cupo y el producto va a empezar a llegar ya en mayo y son precios más competitivos. Los precios tan altos, los, eh, clientes finales, pues obviamente tienen una resistencia ya a pagar estos precios tan altos y empezaron a utilizar la leche fresca, que había bastante, ¿verdad? Este, podían encontrar hasta de cuatro pesos por litro. Ahorita ya no hay, se está escaseando. Todo el norte de México, ya la leche fresca está escaseando demasiado. Ahorita hay un poco más en el centro, que es donde también hay bastante producción de leche fresca, pero va a llegar el momento, como ya a finales de junio, julio, que empieza a escasear la leche fresca. Entonces, definitivamente va a haber una necesidad de leche descremada. Aparte de las formulaciones, pues ya las tienen con la leche descremada. Y la verdad es que todavía sigue habiendo, este, demanda. Ya no igual como en un principio que estaba todo mundo desesperado tratando de conseguir y recibir algo, pero de cualquier manera sigue la demanda, sigue todavía los clientes tratando de conseguir producto. Diego Carvallo: Y es difícil que no vengan a comprar a Estados Unidos. Por eso, por eso yo soy de la creencia que el mercado se va a mantener bastante firme por el resto del año, porque las importaciones de Europa sabemos que va a ser un volumen limitado, menos de diez mil toneladas, posiblemente para todo el año. Eh, si hay poca leche bronca en México, no van a tener otra opción que o, o consumir menos o, o venir a comprar a Estados Unidos, en pocas palabras. Entonces, eh, sí, yo creo que eso debería dar soporte. Debería marcar al menos un piso en los precios de, del nonfat. Quería Miguel Aragón: a-adherir un poco una reseña. En el– ahora que estuvimos en Chicago atendiendo el ADPI, estuvimos juntas con algunos, ah, productores de, de, de comida aquí en Estados Unidos y nos comentaban algo que tal, tal vez quisiera ver ustedes qué opinan. Eh, muchos Yo era de la creencia que nada más en México compraban al día, por decirlo así, y, y no había contratos largos. Resulta que en Estados Unidos era la misma situación y con varias de las empresas que nos juntamos nos dijeron: es que ahora estamos tratando de decidir si contratamos toda la segunda mitad del año, eh, a estos precios o nos esperamos. Es la gran cuestión ahí con las empresas que estuvimos platicando dentro de Estados Unidos. Y eso era nonfat Diego Carvallo: también o queso también. Nonfat. Ajá. Principalmente. Nosotros hemos visto exactamente ese mismo patrón. Los clientes en Estados Unidos tenían inventario al día, tenían una carga de, que tenían que utilizar esta semana y a la semana siguiente les llegaba otra carga y no tenían inventario. Ahora la tendencia es comenzar a construir inventario de seguridad, proteger para al menos dos o tres meses para protegerse de que una carga esté demorada o que no haya producto. Así es, exactamente. Miguel Aragón: Creo que Diego Carvallo: es una reseña muy Miguel Aragón: interesante Diego Carvallo: que, no la había Miguel Aragón: visto yo Diego Carvallo: y se ve ahora. Y eso resulta en demanda adicional, porque eso a la final, cuando todos los clientes de Estados Unidos, muchos, tratan de crear inventario de seguridad a la misma vez, cuando el mercado está muy ajustado, crea un crecimiento en la demanda que no es artif– no es orgánico, pero sí crea una subida en la Miguel Aragón: demanda. Así es. Y creo que alarga esta, esta cuestión que estamos viendo ahora. Está ajustado. Sí, Yara Morales: y lo hemos estado viendo con los clientes de México, los queseros, los que tienen plantas de queso, que han querido cuando menos tener la seguridad de que van a tener el producto, por eso pagan los precios. Entonces, han estado comprando con precios hasta meses adelantados. Y es, y era algo que no se veía. ¿Por qué? Pues porque estamos tan cerca que pueden llevarse el producto, pues en una semana o dos semanas y ya tienen la leche. Pero ahorita con esta escasez, pues la verdad que prefieren cerrar contratos largos, aunque sean meses más adelantados. Diego Carvallo: Correcto, correcto. Un punto también importante mencionar es el costo, cómo está afectando el mercado los altos costos de combustible y de flete, sobre todo para productos económicos. Hace poco estuvimos cotizando algunas cargas de permeato a México y a diferentes partes de Asia, y el costo del flete ha subido muchísimo. Eh, es algo que también está afectando a muchos clientes y viene dado a raíz del conflicto en Asia. Eh, ¿cómo está afectando eso a, a su, a la demanda de queso? Miguel Aragón: Definitivamente nos está afectando porque en, en, como saben, manejamos, eh, tres líneas de queso nosotros. Manejamos el queso de primera, eh, que tal vez es el que no, no refleja tanto, eh, el, el incremento en flete, pero lo refleja, pero lo puede absorber un poco más. Pero en el producto, ah, grado B que decimos nosotros, que se supone que era un poco más barato, eh, sí le afecta porque es un producto más barato. Y ahora el producto, eh, que manejamos para reproceso, que es el producto barato, es el producto para extender la proteína en el queso, eh, para hacer más queso, sobre todo queso análogo, ahí sí se sintió fuerte el i-el impacto del flete, porque a veces son– o sea, ha subido cuatro o cinco centavos por libra de diferentes lugares. Depende de, depende de la geografía de Estados Unidos, de donde estemos mandando el queso y es donde más nos ha afectado. Totalmente. En el Diego Carvallo: producto más barato. Igual que- Y, y no solo es en fletes marítimos, sino en fletes terrestres. La parte del transporte en camión en Estados Unidos ha subido mucho. Nosotros solíamos pagar cuatro o cinco centavos para mover una carga de California a El Paso. Hoy en día ese precio está cercano a los seis, o sea, ha subido un cerca de un 20 % En, en la– cuando movemos Miguel Aragón: produ– movemos queso de, de, de Washington a, a El Paso, estábamos pagando trece centavos la libra. Hoy día diecisiete centavos, a veces dieciocho centavos. Y de-dependiendo también si, si se empieza a mover algo como de, digamos, de, del sur, de, de, del suroeste, cuando empieza a moverse mucho melón o cosas así, o cuando viene la temporada de árboles de Navidad, depende de la temporada, esto va, va a incrementarse aún más. Sí. Yara Morales: Igual que el refrigerado. El refrigerado se estaban pagando doce centavos y ahorita ya están cerca de dieciocho centavos. Entonces sí ha Miguel Aragón: subido bastante. Sí, sí, sí, nos está afectando en el queso, en la, en el movimiento del queso y en el movimiento de la mantequilla, definitivamente. Yara Morales: También. El Diego Carvallo: último tema que nos ha preguntado mucho la gente. Cuéntenos un poquito sobre el tratado de libre comercio y qué expectativas hay ahora que se vuelve a negociar entre Estados Unidos y México Bueno, Yara, tú ya has escuchado porque- La verdad, Yara Morales: hay mucha incertidumbre, hay muchas preguntas. Eh, ahora en junio que viene la revisión, pues, mmm, son varios, varios factores, ¿no? Se viene el, la revisión del Tratado de Libre Comercio y se viene el Mundial de fútbol en los tres países. Entonces todo el mundo anda como que muy alterado con todo eso, porque no saben, no sabemos qué es lo que vaya a pasar, no sabemos cómo se vaya a, a mover ese Tratado de Libre Comercio, si se va a renegociar, qué porcentajes pudieran darse o si vamos a quedar en cero, que es lo que todo mundo pretende, porque pues es la economía de México. La economía de México realmente necesita ese Tratado de Libre Comercio. Y, este, y yo creo que todos, porque para todos es un beneficio, ¿no? Inclusive para Estados Unidos. Entonces hay mucha incertidumbre, ¿no? La verdad, mmm, yo pregunto y ando investigando y todos mis clientes pues no saben qué es lo que vaya a pasar. Miguel Aragón: Así es. Y nos está… esta incertidumbre nos afecta día a día, eh, sobre todo con México por la cuestión del tipo de cambio, porque sale un encabezado y se dispara el dólar, eh, sale otro encabezado y se fortalece el peso. Es cuestión de todos los días, todos los días, este, y las, la cuestión política nos, nos, sí nos está afectando bastante. No, Diego Carvallo: no hay certidumbre. Miguel Aragón: Claro. Eh, pero una cosa superimportante que, que, que creo que está, eh, afectando algo lo del tratado y muchas otras cosas es que se nos vienen las elecciones primarias en, en, aquí en noviembre- Estados Unidos. Estados Unidos. Y a eso tú sabes que- Es muy importante. Es muy importante, porque hay que mover el, el, el, el, el, el, lo que piensa el público. Claro, hay que ganar los votos. Y hay que ganar los votos y aquí vamos a ver si se va a hacer cosas para, para tratar de tener algún efecto sobre eso. Y muchas veces no tiene nada que ver con México, Diego Carvallo: obviamente, también las de Irán, pero el mercado, básicamente, yo creo que va a mantener mucha volatilidad, va, va a haber mucha incertidumbre y, eh, las, las monedas van a tener, obviamente, como resultado una variación bastante violenta. Los bancos nos afectan. Exactamente. Yara Morales: Sí. ¿ Diego Carvallo: Qué otro punto importante? Definitivo, Yara Morales: definitivo. Ay, pues yo creo que todo esto es bien interesante. Vamos a ver qué sucede. Este, no sé qué otra cosa podemos Diego Carvallo: manejar. Voy a estar, yo voy a estar en Antad la próxima semana. Eh, lastimosamente, esta vez no me van a poder acompañar Yara y Miguel Pero yo voy a estar en Antalas, así que con mucho gusto, eh, me, me encantaría conocer y encontrarme con algunos de nuestros clientes estando allá. Así que no duden en, en contactarnos. Así es, así es. Desafortunadamente, Miguel Aragón: yo Diego Carvallo: no Miguel Aragón: voy. Sí. Ah, pero yo voy a estar en, en, en Alimentec, en Bogotá, creo que es. Entonces, si alguien nos está viendo en Colombia o que vaya a estar en Alimentec, por ahí estamos. Excelente, excelente. Que Yara Morales: por cierto también va a haber elecciones en Colombia. Miguel Aragón: También. Así es. Sí, Yara Morales: también va a haber elecciones en Colombia. Hay que ver cómo, cómo se- Más volatilidad. Se ve todo. Más volatilidad todavía. Más Diego Carvallo: gasolina al fuego, sí. Bueno, mil gracias a todos. Gracias, Miguel y Yara. Gracias. Gracias, gusto en Yara Morales: saludarlos a todos. Bye

Crypto markets are becoming faster, more fragmented and increasingly automated. But as AI agents, prediction markets and autonomous trading systems grow, a major question is emerging: Who is watching the market manipulators? From spoofing and wash trading to insider trading in prediction markets, the next generation of financial crime may look very different from what regulators and compliance teams are used to.  In this episode, we discuss: - Why market manipulation in crypto is becoming harder to detect - How spoofing and layering evolved across exchanges and blockchains - Why prediction markets create entirely new compliance risks - The growing role of AI agents in autonomous trading - How bad actors coordinate across platforms, wallets and social networks - Why regulators are focusing heavily on insider trading in prediction markets - The challenge of monitoring cross-chain and cross-platform activity - Why legacy compliance systems are struggling with alert fatigue - How AI-powered compliance agents may become the future of surveillance - The balance between innovation, regulation and consumer protection - Why the future of finance is increasingly moving on-chain As crypto, prediction markets and AI converge, the attack surface for fraud and manipulation is expanding rapidly. This conversation explores what the next era of market surveillance and crypto compliance may look like. This podcast is sponsored by BRON Do you believe in self custody, but hate that one mistake or one lost phrase can wipe everything out? BRON is a self custody wallet built by the team behind Copper, designed to work the way people actually use crypto. Your balances stay private, not visible on public blockchain explorers. You can swap across chains with fees as low as 5 to 10 basis points. And if something happens, built in inheritance makes sure your assets do not disappear forever. Instead of seed phrases, BRON uses MPC encryption and trusted Guardians you choose, so recovery is possible without sacrificing control. BRON is for people who want self custody without stress, and features usually reserved for institutions.  Learn more through the link: https://go.bron.org/henriarslanian09

Featuring Gary Liu, Co-Founder and CEO of Terminal 3, former CEO of the South China Morning Post, and a leader with experience across Google and Spotify. AI agents are no longer a future concept. They are already here, acting, transacting and making decisions. But there is a fundamental problem. We do not fully understand how they operate. And yet, we are rapidly integrating them into financial systems, enterprise workflows and digital infrastructure. This is not just a technology shift. It is a trust, identity and compliance challenge in the making. In this episode, we discuss: - Why identity is the biggest unsolved problem in an AI agent world - How agents can impersonate and misuse credentials - Why current fraud and compliance frameworks are not designed for AI behavior - The role of cryptography, decentralized identity and verifiable credentials - Why stablecoins and blockchain may become the backbone of agent commerce - The risks of data leakage and privacy breaches - Why enterprises need guardrails for AI agents AI agents do not think in terms of ethics or legality. They optimize for outcomes. And that changes everything. This podcast is sponsored by BRON Do you believe in self custody, but hate that one mistake or one lost phrase can wipe everything out? BRON is a self custody wallet built by the team behind Copper, designed to work the way people actually use crypto. Your balances stay private, not visible on public blockchain explorers. You can swap across chains with fees as low as 5 to 10 basis points. And if something happens, built in inheritance makes sure your assets do not disappear forever. Instead of seed phrases, BRON uses MPC encryption and trusted Guardians you choose, so recovery is possible without sacrificing control. BRON is for people who want self custody without stress, and features usually reserved for institutions. Learn more through the link: https://go.bron.org/henriarslanian09

Nonfat is sitting north of $2.25 on the CME spot market. But the bigger question is how long it can hold. In the latest episode of The Milk Check, the Jacoby team breaks down a dairy market that feels tight, fragile and increasingly dependent on timing. Here's what they're watching: Why nonfat prices surged, and what could break them How protein demand is pulling milk away from dryers Why MPC and MPI are outpacing nonfat What the inverted futures curve suggests for the second half of the year How depooling and Class III–IV dynamics are shifting milk flows Why butter feels weaker, even in the middle of flush Plus, the team talks through what happens if the nonfat market doesn't break soon. There's still a lot of milk moving. Just not where it used to go. Let the Jacoby team help you get up to speed on the new dairy market dynamics. Click below and listen to The Milk Check episode 98: A Market on Borrowed Time. Got questions? We'd love to hear them. Submit below, and we might answer it on the show. Ask The Milk Check Ted Jacoby III: Coming up on the Milk Check. Jacob Menge: if this doesn’t start falling soon, I think there’s gonna be people that are trying to make money on the short side of this thing because they didn’t make money on the long side. Ted Jacoby III: Welcome to the Milk Check from T.C. Jacoby & Co., Your complete guide to dairy markets, from the milking parlor to the supermarket shelf. I’m Ted Jacoby. Let’s dive in. Today is May 1st. It’s a couple of days after the ADPI and a couple of weeks after the Cheese Expo, and it’s usually after those two meetings a really good time to talk markets. So, we’ll go ahead and start with the market that everybody was talking about at the ADPI. Josh, Jake, Joe, what’s going on with our nonfat market? We’re at $2.26 today, I believe. Are we gonna stay up here for a while? Josh White: It’s a more challenging question than just the absolute price today. I think that if I were to summarize the show, there was a recognition across the entire dairy industry that there might be some legitimate reasons for nonfat to be tighter than they have been over the last several years. It feels like a lot of different things have resulted in the current spot price that we’ve seen today. Over the last five years, we globally have made more skim milk powder and nonfat. We’ve consumed more skim milk powder and nonfat, but the real story is in the fact that we’ve also made a whole lot more milk, and that milk doesn’t seem to have found its way to the dryer. Seems to have found its way to a variety of different products. And equally as important during the ADPI was the talk about the protein market, which I think we can likely get to later. But things like RDT products, beverages, protein consumption, cheese consumption, a lot of things have consumed incremental milk growth, particularly in the U.S., and that happened after many years where buyers had very little concerns over access to supply. And as a result, I think in the background we watched global inventories decline, and that all seems to have come to a head here in the early part of 2026. And now as we’re getting into the northern hemisphere flush, and particularly in middle America, yeah, then we have ADPI. And so, what’s interesting about your question is throughout most of the conference people were pretty convinced, “Yeah, we’re in a tighter nonfat market. We’re all buying into that.” Yet, the days following ADPI, we’ve seen futures sell off a bit and we’ve seen a little bit more volume traded at the CME spot call. What’s that mean going forward? Jacob Menge: The most interesting thing going forward is you don’t talk to single person that says these prices are gonna stick around for six months. And so it’s really a matter of timing, how long do we stay up here? I think we’re already up here longer than most anybody thought. And the other thing is, nobody got this market right. Some people got in at a buck 25. Those guys sold at a buck 40. They said, “I’m gonna take my 15, 20 cents and run.” And they felt like a genius for about three days before we were quickly at a buck 60. And we’ve got this really interesting dynamic of no market participant really happy with it being up here because nobody really made money on the way up. And everybody convinced that, okay it’s on the clock for when it comes off. And I’m not even gonna disagree with that, right? I don’t think anybody would argue that long-term we’re gonna have $2.50 nonfat in 2028 or whatever. But this really comes down to a question of timing, and I think that’s where you get mixed opinions. But in general, I think most people are of the opinion that it’s not gonna be that long before this thing does start to fall. I don’t have that strong of an opinion actually, but what I do have an opinion on is if this doesn’t start falling soon, I think there’s gonna be people that are trying to make money on the short side of this thing because they didn’t make money on the long side, that they’re gonna start feeling some pain. And as our curve has come up a bit over the past month, we’ve got this really interesting market conditions where, again, if we’re up at these levels even a month from now, two months from now sure, I’d make the argument, why couldn’t you have another squeeze higher? Because there’s still not that much product available right now today. We’re starting to see that change. We saw some really nice volume on the CME spot auction just this morning. But that’s what the eyes are on is how long does this thing take? And if it starts this week versus six weeks from now, I think those have very different implications for how the market reacts. Josh White: We’ve got three different reactions to the nonfat market right now. You’ve got the true nonfat participants that need product now, and that’s priced in the $2.25-plus type range right now on the countryside. And to your point, we’re seeing a few more loads available which is a decent sign. The market participants seem pretty convinced that we’re gonna see an easing from this price, but so are futures. And I think that’s another important thing to point out is that the futures curve is inverted and it’s quite a bit lower than the spot price today. So, you can have both situations. You can have a spot price drop while the futures price maybe doesn’t as much. Over the past few days, the futures curve has definitely traded lower, confirming what we heard there is that most people don’t believe in this market being as tight as it is currently into the future. And we have to remember, this is traditionally a globally traded product and our competitors across the pond are still quite a bit lower and making a whole lot of skim milk powder today. So, I think longer term, if the assumption is that we need to compete globally for at least some business, particularly in markets like Asia, we’re gonna have to be a little bit more aggressive to compete, but futures are saying we will be. Another important topic was now we’re starting to see an acceleration of the NDPSR price now that we’ve had several months of higher spot prices, and that’s starting to have an impact on markets other than just the powder market. And I think maybe, Gus, you would have a little bit more to say about how the market’s reacting to some of the component prices moving higher in the solids nonfat side of things. Gus Jacoby: The situation as we’ve talked about in the past is protein is being pulled in a lot of different directions and we don’t see that demand going away anytime soon. The one comment I would make though is your isolated protein, certainly UF milk in fluid form, are seeing some of the highest demand that we’ve seen in a very long time. So, if you’re cheese maker, if you wanna fortify, and certainly on higher butterfat milk, there’s plenty of folks that wanna fortify right now, there’s probably a little bit of a pull on all the skim solids at this moment in time. I don’t think that story has changed. We’ve beaten that up for a while. But that’s certainly gonna pull a fair amount of milk out of the dryer for nonfat. You look at where the capacity has been added, whether it be in the Southwest with all the large cheese plants that have been added there, and then Upstate New York where some dryers are also gonna sit idle as some new processing capacity comes on there. That’s two areas of the country that are gonna get a lot less milk into the nonfat dryers than previous. And certainly here we are now in the flush as these plants ramp up, it would typically be your highest powder production timeframe, and instead those solids are going elsewhere, and that will keep nonfat production down for the foreseeable future. Ted Jacoby III: Gus, are you seeing milk move towards Class IV plants instead of Class III plants this year? Gus Jacoby: We still see fortification solids during this flush finding its way into cheese plants. But that’s your surplus skim solids that might exist, and those are only available, I believe, because of the flush. Now, it’s not UF milk, right? UF milk tends to be going elsewhere whether it be going to some sort of IV or II-type arrangement, whether it be a high-protein beverage or a high-protein dry product. But you are still seeing a fair amount of condensed and other skim solids going to the cheese vat for fortification purposes. I think the way that will unfold likely is that those surplus skim solids that aren’t being turned into isolated protein products, they’re gonna probably get pulled out to a certain degree of the cheese plants, and then cheese plants will just not be able to utilize fortification as they are typically used to or would like as we move through the year. Ted Jacoby III: So, what you’re saying is if the price stays up here, the milk that is going into the dryers making nonfat will continue to do so longer than usual, and they won’t lose the flush-specific skim solids? Gus Jacoby: I don’t know if I’d agree with that, Ted. I think the flush, no matter where you’re at in the country, the surplus solids find its way to the dryer typically. And as we come out of the flush, certainly less solids everywhere will go toward the nonfat dryer, just as it always does during those seasonality changes and we come out of the spring. It’s just that the areas I talked about, Southwest and Northeast, they’re not getting near as much as they used to in the flush, and so overall that production is going to be missed upon the market. Ted Jacoby III: Do you sense any kind of competition right now between Class III and Class IV for the surplus milk, or is it just following its usual path? Gus Jacoby: There’s some surplus condensed solids going to cheese plants that if a better price could be had into a powder plant, it would go there. Ted Jacoby III: Okay. Gus Jacoby: And that’s happening predominantly in the upper Midwest, and maybe a little bit in other areas. But certainly if you’re gonna get a higher return going into cheese than you could going into powder, you’re gonna go after it right now. And that’s where the demand I would say is. But surplus is surplus, and you’re gonna sell it to the highest return you can. Ted Jacoby III: Okay. That sounds good. Joe, anything to add on the nonfat side? Joe Maixner: Any milk that is making it to dryers, they’re prioritizing the milk to try to get into the milk protein concentrate (MPC) sector or milk protein isolate (MPI) as opposed to nonfat because the return is better. Ted Jacoby III: Makes sense to me. Joe, Josh, are we seeing MPC prices rise faster than nonfat right now? Josh White: Yeah, no, it has to be faster than nonfat because basis is appreciating. You’ve got an MPC market that likes to trade on a multiple of nonfat, and that has appreciated. That has continued to increase. Now, again, I noted earlier we got an inverted forward curve, which means that basis can be going up and price could stay the same or even go down the second part of the year. So, that’s the dichotomy we’re dealing with right now, is that from a cost basis, it looks like it could be pretty okay the rest of the year. And if there’s dry time available, you would think you’re gonna maximize that MPC. And when compared to whey protein concentrate (WPC) prices, MPC 85 is a bargain. But again, not everyone can easily substitute between the two, and that takes some time for the market to figure out which market participants may be able to switch between WPCs and MPCs, may take a little time for them to make that switch. Ted Jacoby III: So, I just wanna clarify for the audience. There’s two different ways we can look at it. If we’re selling it forward into the second half of the year, from a market perspective, we may be selling it for a lower price because the futures curve is a lot lower than the cash price is today. But if we’re selling MPC or nonfat today, you’re telling me that the nonfat price has effectively doubled in the last three months, and the MPC price has more than doubled because not only has its basis doubled based on the nonfat market, but the overage above that has also gone up. Josh, you’re on mute. Josh White: I thought you said clarify for the audience, so I didn’t realize it was a question for me. Ted Jacoby III: Oh the answer is yes. That’s exactly what’s happening. Josh White: Yes. Nailed it. Ted Jacoby III: All right. So, basically what we’re saying is skim solids and protein are in high demand. That’s loud and clear. [Center commercial] Ted Jacoby III: Mike, what about from a federal order perspective, how this all feeds through the federal order? Obviously, since it’s a higher market right now, Class IV is what’s driving Class I prices. Obviously, it drives Class II prices. Is there anything else that kind of shifts around in a market like this? Mike Brown: There’s a couple things. First of all, a lot of your Class IV production is co-op owned. And what we’re seeing is depooling in Class IV, and to some degree Class II where it’s possible. So, rather than to go into the pool and get a blend price that’s below your class price, they’re electing to depool, just like we saw with cheese last fall when it was much higher than butter powder. We’re seeing some of that. But if you’re pooled, you’re ambivalent because you’re gonna pull the pool draw out anyway, and it’s not gonna make a lot of difference. It’s markets like the Southwest where a lot of that milk is never pooled or rarely pooled, and even in the eastern part of Kansas, changes in central order, you less have to pool it because the differential is so much wider now from Kansas City than it used to be. You may see more activity as you watch pool decisions being made since last June when the changes, people are getting a lot better at predicting whether or not they should be involved with the pool or not because it’s getting easier to predict because behavior is more what you’d expect. So, from my point of view, it has some effect, certainly, and if you’re trying to maximize a return to your owners and you have a plant with capacity and you get a higher value product, you’re gonna try to run the milk through that plant. Second part of that, of course, if you already have obligations, and some of these new cheese plants have supply obligations, they’re gonna get their milk regardless of the shift in price. So, it has less effect than you might think, but there is still effect, particularly if you’re having to pool your IV. There’s certainly a lot of IV being depooled right now. Production isn’t much lower. It’s just regionally shifted some, a lot more in the West Coast right now than in the Southwest. The orders kinda mute what would be the normal market decision to maximize return on milk for a producer because if you’re gonna blend it anyway, you don’t have the incentive that you do if you don’t. That said, right now, Class III guys, they’re pooled. The other part of this III-IV spread is, of course, what is the value of those solids into those cheese plants? I’m working on that today, Ted, trying to figure out how much does the high-WPC80 and WPI market bring to the value of buying outside Class IV solids to justify the price? Just on the price of cheese, I got some numbers here in front of me, you’re looking at on a per-pound cheese yield basis, if you buy powder in the powder market right now, it’s 25 to 40 cents more per pound cheese yield than it would be if you’re getting it from Class III. Mike Brown: You better either have a great margin or you’re really hitting up the whey market, and I’m gonna figure out exactly what that is. But that decision isn’t just a cheese decision, particularly with whey protein so high. There is a value of that nonfat dry milk whey protein that in the past didn’t matter as much as it does now. So, it may make that slightly more attractive or less unattractive than it would’ve in the past because your whey returns are so high on that protein compared to what they have been historically. So, it’s complicated, but it’s not just the value in cheese. It’s the value in cheese and in whatever your plant can make for whey. If you can make WPC80, you can pay more for those nonfat solids, obviously, than you can if you don’t. Ted Jacoby III: So to clarify, usually when you ship fluid into a Class III plant, you pay the Class III solids price. Mike Brown: That’s correct. Ted Jacoby III: If you use powder, you’re gonna have to pay whatever the prevailing nonfat price is. And most everybody running a cheese plant right now would really like their skim solids in fluid form so they can pay those Class III values instead of the Class IV values. Mike Brown: Oh, absolutely. But if they’ve got excess fat, and a lot of our American-style cheese plants now do have excess fat, what’s your market for that fat, and does it make sense to pay a little more for that protein from the Class IV side so that I can get a better price for that fat? Although we all know multiples this year aren’t near as horrible as they were a year ago. Yeah. So it’s a little better market. If you’re gonna get right down to dollars and cents, really you gotta look at your whole product mix out of your cheese plant and figure out what can you really afford to pay for those solids . And plus the opportunity of running your plant more full. What’s your fixed cost savings by running more product through your plant even if the cost is a little higher? Ted Jacoby III: Speaking of butterfat, Joe, this butter market just feels like it’s gone a lot lower than we expected it to go. Joe Maixner: Yeah, it’s weak. Cream’s not sloppy. It sure doesn’t seem like it’s super long in the market. But there’s still plenty of butter being made, and I think that this market’s also pricing in the fact that we’re anticipating that export reports are gonna decrease in the amount of butter that will get out monthly moving forward until this Middle East conflict gets resolved. And we’re basically peak flush through east of the Rockies, so this is the highest production point we’re gonna see through the rest of the year until we get past the holidays. Ted Jacoby III: Gus, are cream multiples poor right now as well? Gus Jacoby: We’re still on the flush, right? But they’re much, much tighter and higher than they were a year ago this time. It just goes to show that the additional churn capacity we’ve seen around the country and some better preparation by a lot of folks in dealing with excess butterfat has made this market a fair amount healthier when it comes to cream. Not near as sloppy as it was a year ago. Multiples have held at or better than even the year previous for flush times. So, I would imagine that what we’re gonna see here going forward is representative of this new marketplace. Ted Jacoby III: Josh, anything to say about the whey protein market? Josh White: Maybe some early signs of a market trying to figure out if it wants to continue on the trajectory it’s been on. WPC80, the general consensus out of ADPI is it remains tight. Seen a few extra spot loads trade this week though, so maybe some people were waiting for that information to let go of a little excess inventory or some incremental loads. WPI feels like it’s pretty stable. And the market came to the conclusion, I believe, during the ADPI conference, that, okay, it seems to be priced right. It doesn’t feel like WPI needs to go up at the moment. And we’ve definitely seen more offers since the show. Not ready to conclude that’s going lower because of where the WPC80 price is and how tight the WPC80 market is. So, those two have really converged at the moment, almost to a point that doesn’t make a lot of sense, the price spread between the two, so the market’s going to figure that out. So, yeah, that would be the only changes. Other than that, maybe just reiterating that we are constantly talking to new customers about new demand creation, and also outside of the traditional sports nutrition category, a lot of new CPG product launches and things like that are absolutely still in motion and consuming a lot of dry protein. Ted Jacoby III: Makes sense to me, and I would agree. And then, what I would say about cheese is it was easily the most boring market at the ADPI. I’d start by saying that. It feels like a market where a lot of people are complaining that the price isn’t low enough for them to get new sales on, but they also can’t find a ton of product out there. There is some spot product trading around, but there’s not massive quantities of it like you sometimes see in the height of the flush, which just makes me feel that right now the cheese market is in balance. In balance in a way that maybe we’re not getting a huge amount of additional export sales on the books, but we are continuing to export at a pretty high rate , especially considering there’s a lot of sales on the books that were put on the books earlier in the year that are gonna continue to ship. And it’s kept this market, this cheese market, I think, relatively well cleaned up considering we’re in the height of the flush. So, we don’t see a lot of movement going forward, at least in the next few months in cheese. You’re gonna trade in a 30 cent range, 20 cent range around where the current price is. That would be my take on the cheese market. All right. To all our listeners, I really appreciate you guys listening to us. I hope this information is helpful, and we look forward to talking to you soon. Take care. [Ending credits]

Click here to join Sync Producer Hub I share production wins including my first ESPN placements from the "Emotionless" album, TuneSat hits, BMI registration reminders, and community highlights. I also talk about recent sync submissions, revisions, and an upcoming release with Fee-lo. Tech & workflow: I cover using Claude (Code) for metadata and tools, my MPC-to-Logic workflow (exporting audio + MIDI), tips for arranging and exporting for sync, and a quick tour of a royalty dashboard that visualizes placements and earnings.

In this episode of The New Warehouse Podcast, Kevin chats with Dr. Stephen Neel of Lineage about what it really takes to manage food safely at scale. Lineage operates one of the world's largest temperature-controlled warehouse networks, but this conversation makes it clear they see themselves as much more than cold storage. Dr. Neel walks through how food behaves differently from other products, why microclimates matter, and how traceability is reshaping operations. More importantly, he introduces a mindset shift that challenges how most warehouses think about efficiency, risk, and responsibility.Learn more about our sponsors here: Ocado Intelligent Automation, MPC & IFS Softeon Follow us on LinkedIn and YouTube.Support the show

Emma K. Wagner is a mental performance consultant (MPC) finishing up her Master's degree in sport and exercise psychology at Springfield College. She works in the endurance sport space, specifically with ultramarathon runners, trail runners, and triathletes. She has worked at mammoth trailfest and will be back this year! She will be working in Colorado Springs in the fall with Summit Sport Psychology.  We cover all things mental game and how to handle your mind mid race  Find her @emmawagner.mpc Find us @trailrunningwomenpod

In this episode of The New Warehouse Podcast, Kevin chats with Mike Ross, President of the Franklin County Area Development Corporation (FCADC). Ross has spent over 40 years in economic development and walks through how Franklin County, Pennsylvania, became a true logistics hub.They get into what actually drives that kind of growth. It's not just location. It's infrastructure, long-term planning, and knowing how to land the right projects at the right time.Learn more about our sponsors here: Ocado Intelligent Automation, MPC & IFS Softeon Follow us on LinkedIn and YouTube.Support the show

In this episode of The New Warehouse Podcast, Kevin chats with Dave Harriger, CEO and Founder of Swifthouse, about the evolution of his 3PL business and the journey to implementing a new WMS. Based just outside Philadelphia, Swifthouse supports e-commerce brands with fulfillment services from pick and pack to shipping and tracking. Dave shares how early growth, major client shifts, and operational challenges forced him to rethink his strategy. The conversation explores why defining your niche, building strong processes, and saying no to the wrong clients can ultimately drive better, more sustainable growth.Learn more about our sponsors here: Ocado Intelligent Automation, MPC & IFS Softeon Follow us on LinkedIn and YouTube.Support the show

In this episode of The Bitcoin for Corporations Show, host Pierre Rochard sits down with Mike Belshe, CEO and Co-Founder of BitGo, to discuss the evolution of institutional digital asset security. From pioneering multi-signature protocols in 2013 to becoming a regulated OCC National Bank, Belshe explains why the "single point of failure" is the greatest risk to corporate treasury—and how to engineer it out of existence.We dive deep into the technical and operational "moats" required to secure hundreds of billions of dollars. Belshe breaks down why BitGo chooses Multi-Sig over MPC, the "LinkedIn ban" they enforced to stop social engineering, and why he believes stablecoins are a superior financial fabric compared to the 0.2% yield and high fees of traditional banking. Whether you're a CFO looking to understand custody or a developer interested in the future of payment protocols, this conversation provides a masterclass in building a resilient financial future.Episode Chapters00:00 – Introduction: BitGo's journey from 2013 to a National Bank01:45 – The "Lonely Error": Solving the web's 402 Payment Required code03:11 – Why Multi-Sig is the gold standard for Bitcoin security05:44 – Decentralizing custody: Keys across 1,000 miles and multiple jurisdictions07:42 – Why BitGo became a bank: Solving the CME Group custody challenge10:15 – Bridging the gap: Security vs. Liquidity in market structure13:10 – Corporate Governance: Rule-based systems for billion-dollar transfers15:37 – The LinkedIn Ban: Fighting social engineering and "French attacks"18:40 – The "Access to Nothing" Principle: Protecting executives from physical threats20:15 – Stablecoins vs. Legacy Banking: The 0.2% yield trap26:49 – The hidden 5% tax of credit cards and the future of digital payments31:30 – Fragmentation vs. Interoperability in the stablecoin "War of the L1s"36:45 – Regulatory outlook: The Clearing Act and the Genius Act45:10 – Final thoughts: Why BitGo is more than just a custodianDISCLAIMER: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.