POPULARITY
Categories
Plus: A consortium including Google, Coinbase, and BlackRock backs new stablecoin. And shares in Siemens Energy rise over strong demand in electrification and AI data centers. Julie Chang hosts. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Want the cheat code to protect and grow your wealth? Check out Rebel Capitalist Pro https://rcp.georgegammon.com/pro
The Iran deal is back on again and off again, but oil is not buying it. Marty and John sift through the weekend headline chaos to focus on what actually matters: WTI near seventy dollars and the dollar index back above one hundred. They break down Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's speech on economic statecraft, why reshoring critical supply chains is moving from PowerPoint to plant openings, and how Iran's oil sanctions waivers are really a dollar dominance play. They also dig into the AI-driven memory shortage that is ending consumer electronics deflation, the administration's crackdown on frontier model releases, and why Apollo's seventeen percent withdrawal requests are a warning shot for private credit. To close, they look at Strategy's preferred share depeg, Bitcoin scraping fifty-eight thousand, and BlackRock's quiet reiteration that every portfolio needs one to two percent allocated to BTC.
In today's episode, William Green speaks with Emily Haisley, who heads the Behavioral Finance team at BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, with $14 trillion under management. Here, she explores the critical intersection of investing & psychology, explaining how she helps elite fund managers identify & counteract their behavioral biases, regulate their emotions, optimize their physiological state, avoid systematic mistakes, & take risks that align with their edge. This conversation offers powerful insights on how to win the inner game of investing. IN THIS EPISODE YOU'LL LEARN: (00:00:00) Intro (00:00:40) How Emily Haisley became head of Behavioral Finance at BlackRock (00:23:52) How her team helps fund managers recognize their behavioral biases (00:28:51) How to counteract a notoriously destructive bias, myopic loss aversion (00:39:56) Why disposition bias leads investors to hold losers & sell winners (00:44:31) Why it's helpful to experience investment pain, not just learn about it (00:53:46) How investment teams can profit by “beating up” their decision makers (00:56:00) How the best investors benefit by subjugating their own ego (01:00:14) What practical steps Emily recommended to one elite investment team (01:17:48) Why she views “tainted altruism” as “the saddest bias” (01:25:27) What investors can do to manage stress & its impact on their decisions (01:29:35) How BlackRock uses AI to simulate decision making amid extreme volatility (01:35:32) Why she's learned to embrace uncertainty, false starts, mistakes, & change (01:52:33) How 3 new year's resolutions nudged Emily toward a happier life Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Inquire about William Green's Richer, Wiser, Happier Masterclass. Benjamin Graham's book The Intelligent Investor. J. Krishnamurthi's book On Right Livelihood. William Green's podcast interview with Annie Duke. William's book, Richer, Wiser, Happier. Follow William Green on X. Related books mentioned in the podcast. Ad-free episodes on our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Get smarter about valuing businesses through The Intrinsic Value Newsletter. Follow our official social media accounts: X | LinkedIn | Facebook. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: Plus500 Netsuite Vanta Shopify References to any third-party products, services, or advertisers do not constitute endorsements, and The Investor's Podcast Network is not responsible for any claims made by them. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm
A new bipartisan housing bill headed to President Trump bars large institutional investors that already own at least 350 single‑family homes from buying more, and loosens a stack of federal rules to speed up construction, modernize manufactured‑home standards and push FHA limits closer to today's prices in an effort to boost supply and stop Wall Street outbidding families.
Dr. Marta Havryshko, a Ukrainian historian and activist, discusses the complex internal and geopolitical realities of the Russia-Ukraine war. Havryshko highlights the controversial glorification of Nazi collaborators in modern Ukraine and the subsequent suppression of academic research that challenges these nationalist narratives. She critiques the Western media for ignoring human rights violations, such as the brutal forced conscription of Ukrainian men and the influence of far-right battalions. The conversation further explores how global corporate interests and Western political elites utilize Ukraine as a proxy to strategically weaken Russia. Ultimately, she warns that the dehumanization of dissenting voices and the escalation of military rhetoric risk a broader, more catastrophic global conflict. Watch on BitChute / Brighteon / Rumble / Substack / YouTube *Support Geopolitics & Empire! Become a Member https://geopoliticsandempire.substack.com Donate https://geopoliticsandempire.com/donations Consult https://geopoliticsandempire.com/consultation **Listen Ad-Free for $4.99 a Month or $49.99 a Year! Apple Subscriptions https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/geopolitics-empire/id1003465597 Supercast https://geopoliticsandempire.supercast.com ***Visit Our Affiliates & Sponsors! Above Phone https://abovephone.com/?above=geopolitics American Gold Exchange https://www.amergold.com/geopolitics Escape The Technocracy (15% off w/ GEOPOLITICS!) https://escapethetechnocracy.com/geopolitics Expat Money (FREE “Plan B” Report!) https://expatmoney.com/geopolitics PassVult https://passvult.com Sociatates Civis https://societates-civis.com StartMail https://www.startmail.com/partner/?ref=ngu4nzr Wise Wolf Gold https://www.wolfpack.gold/?ref=geopolitics Websites X https://x.com/HavryshkoMarta Facebook https://www.facebook.com/profile.php/?id=61578894123458 Responsible Statecraft https://responsiblestatecraft.org/author/martahavryshko About Marta Havryshko Marta Havryshko is a U.S.-based author and researcher focused on Ukrainian nationalism, the far right, and the Russo-Ukrainian War. Havryshko holds a PhD in History from the Ivan Franko National University of Lviv in Ukraine. *Podcast intro music used with permission is from the song “The Queens Jig” by the fantastic “Musicke & Mirth” from their album “Music for Two Lyra Viols”: http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)
Inflation and investing are once again front and center as markets assess a new mix of price pressures. In this Ask Me Anything episode of The Bid, host Oscar Pulido is joined by Helen Jewell, BlackRock's International Chief Investment Officer for Fundamental Equities, and Tom Becker, senior portfolio manager on BlackRock's Global Tactical Asset Allocation team.Together, they explore what is driving inflation today, from AI infrastructure demand and energy bottlenecks to fiscal spending, supply constraints, and regional differences. The conversation examines how inflation is affecting capital markets, equities, fixed income, stock market trends, and portfolio diversification.This episode also looks at the role of AI as both a near-term inflationary force and a potential longer-term productivity driver. As AI investing accelerates demand for electricity, chips, copper, data centers, and infrastructure, investors are watching how these megaforces reshape markets and the global economy.Key insights:· How AI infrastructure demand is contributing to inflation pressures· Why inflation differs across regions, including the U.S., Europe, Japan, and China· Where pricing power matters most for companies and sectors· How inflation measures like CPI, PCE, and PPI inform market views· Why sticky inflation can challenge traditional stock-bond diversification· How investors can think about inflation across equities, bonds, and multi-asset portfolios
Stijn Schmitz welcomes back John Feneck to the show. John Feneck is the CEO of Feneck Consulting Group. The discussion opens with the critical tungsten supply crunch, where China's recent export restrictions, including cutting off Japan, highlight a severe imbalance. John notes that the U.S. has not produced tungsten since 2015, while 85% of global supply comes from China, Russia, and North Korea, posing risks for defense and technology. He sees potential in advanced North American projects, and mentions growing U.S. government interest in securing domestic production. On precious metals, he views the recent sharp correction in silver and gold as a medium-term buying opportunity, with silver likely to hold around $50 after its parabolic rise, and gold's long-term bullish case supported by large bank price targets despite near-term rate-hike uncertainties. He favors producers Silverco and Americas Gold and Silver for their strong plans and management conviction. Turning to copper, near all-time highs, John highlights the supply constraints from long permitting timelines and names Power Metallic, backed by 17 billionaires and exceptional drill results, and PTX Metals, which offers low-cost copper with a pending uranium spin-off. In critical minerals, he mentions Esport Critical for its rare earths, uranium, and copper assets, and First Tolerium for its innovative thermoelectric technology with potential defense and drone applications, showcased at the upcoming DARPA competition. John concludes by describing Feneck Consulting Group's decade-long track record of providing actionable insights, real-time email updates, and investor conferences, emphasizing the value of independent, non-herd thinking in resource investing. Timestamps:00:00:00 – Introduction00:00:42 – Tungsten Market Overview00:02:47 – Global Supply Challenges00:04:06 – North American Tungsten Projects00:07:15 – Defense Applications Importance00:11:55 – Precious Metals Transition00:13:50 – Silver Price Analysis00:16:40 – Gold Market Outlook00:19:00 – Mining Stock Investments00:22:30 – Copper Sector Opportunities00:25:00 – Attractive Producers?00:31:10 – Rare Earths and Emerging Tech00:35:05 – Feneck Consulting Group Guest Links: X: https://x.com/feneckconsult YouTube: https://youtube.com/feneckcommoditiesreport LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/feneckcommoditiesreport E-Mail: mailto:john.feneck@yahoo.com Website/Newsletter: https://www.feneckconsulting.com/ Ticker’s Discussed:Gold: Triumph Gold (TSXV:TIG, OTCQB:TIGCF), Norsemont Mining (NOG, NRRSF). Silver: Silverco Mining (TSXV:SICO, OTCQB:SICOF), Americas Gold & Silver (USA, USAS). Tungsten: Guardian Metal Resources (NYSE:GMTL, OTCQB:GMTLF), Western Star Resources (CSE:WSR, OTCQB:WSRIF), Spartan Metals (W, SPRMF). Copper: Power Metallic (PNPN, PNPNF), PTX Metals (TSXV:PTX, OTCQB:PANXF). Special Situations: First Tellurium (FTEL, FSTTF), Eastport Critical (EVI, EVIIF). John Feneck is CEO of Feneck Consulting Group. He began his career in 1992 as an equity analyst for Merrill Lynch's global allocation fund. From 1993 to 2019 he held senior executive roles at Merrill Lynch Funds (now BlackRock) and J.P. Morgan Chase Funds, where he ranked #1 in gross and net sales once at Merrill Lynch and three times at J.P. Morgan (among 40 peers). Since 2017 he has contributed articles to Kitco—becoming a regular contributor in 2021—and has appeared as a featured guest. He's delivered over 250 client seminars and webinars, spoken at 12 global commodities events, and in 2017 joined Sprott's precious metals portfolio-management team. There he developed a proprietary methodology combining technical analysis with direct insights from company management, advocating a “go anywhere” strategy and a diversified portfolio of 25–50 resource stocks to navigate the sector's volatility. In September 2019 he founded Feneck Consulting Group, helping small- and mid-cap metals and mining companies raise brand awareness and advising high-net-worth advisors on market opportunities and risks. He holds Series 7, Series 63, CMFC and CIMA Level 1 certifications (though he is not a licensed advisor) and focuses on consulting. Based in Scottsdale, AZ, he's a single dad to an 11-year-old daughter and spends weekends as a professional musician, athlete and traveler.
David McKnight discusses the Woman's World article Suze Orman Reveals When to Buy an Annuity - and the One Question You Must Answer First. For years, Orman has warned investors away from annuities, often lumping them into the category of expensive financial products that enrich salespeople at the expense of consumers. David has been surprised by what the current views of Orman appear to be, completely in line with what David has been preaching for years. Orman's analysis begins with a key consideration: annuities can be a helpful tool in retirement, but whether they make sense for you depends on one key factor: your income needs. In the Woman's World article, Orman writes that the first step is to figure out how much money you need each month to cover your essential expenses. Next, you should look at your guaranteed income sources like Social Security, a pension, rental properties, interest, or dividends. David paints out the scenario in which you get permission to take more risk in the stock market portion of your portfolio. A recent BlackRock study showed that people whose living expenses are guaranteed spend 22% more than those who rely on their stock market portfolio alone in retirement. David talks about what he refers to as a "piecemeal internal Roth conversion feature" and why it may be a beneficial asset. David sees Orman's approach as short-sided for the fact that guaranteed lifetime income isn't the only mathematically appropriate use of annuities. True, most retirees own bonds because they want stability, but bonds do come with reinvestment risks, interest rate risks, inflation risks, and often low long-term returns. David explains what would happen if you reached into your portfolio, removed bonds, and replaced them with an annuity. According to David, the conversation needs more nuance because "not all annuities are created equal". Remember: retirement planning isn't about one-size-fits-all financial advice; it's about creating a customized approach that will help you wring the most efficiency out of your retirement savings. Mentioned in this episode: David's new book: The Secret Order of Millionaires David's national bestselling book: The Guru Gap: How America's Financial Gurus Are Leading You Astray, and How to Get Back on Track Tax-Free Income for Life: A Step-by-Step Plan for a Secure Retirement by David McKnight DavidMcKnight.com DavidMcKnightBooks.com PowerOfZero.com (free video series) @mcknightandco on Twitter @davidcmcknight on Instagram David McKnight on YouTube Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com Suze Orman Woman's World article - Suze Orman Reveals When to Buy an Annuity - and the One Question You Must Answer First BlackRock Ken Fisher
The Iran deal looked like a breakthrough until both sides started spinning it within the hour, but oil kept falling and the dollar stayed bid anyway. Marty and John walk through a week of narrative violations, from WTI dropping into the mid seventies to Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish first FOMC press conference. They dig into why hyperscaler CapEx exploding while free cash flow collapses makes Volcker 2.0 impossible, how housing affordability and debt service are pushing the Fed and Treasury back together, and why frontier AI is now a state secret. They also check in on Bitcoin's quiet grind, with Taiwan's central bank exploring reserves and BlackRock still building products in the background.
On this episode of CoinDesk's Public Keys at the New York Stock Exchange, host Jennifer Sanasie sits down with Digital Assets Council of Financial Professionals founder Ric Edelman to discuss the disconnect between declining crypto sentiment and Wall Street's rapid investment in digital asset infrastructure. Their conversation covers the CLARITY Act, the fight over crypto in 401(k) plans, tokenization, and Edelman's long-term outlook for Bitcoin. In this week's 10X Trade, Maelstrom CIO Arthur Hayes shares his highest-conviction trade. Strive Chief Risk Officer Jeff Walton examines the future of digital credit following the sharp declines of STRC and SATA, arguing that digital credit could represent the next $300 trillion opportunity for Bitcoin. Also on the show, BlackRock Global Head of Digital Assets Robbie Mitchnick discusses BITA, the iShares Bitcoin Premium Income ETF, while 21Shares Co-Founder Ophelia Snyder explains why today's financial infrastructure may be fundamentally incompatible with the tokenized future Wall Street is working to build. - This episode of Public Keys is brought to you by Kraken Pro. For more: https://pro.kraken.com/ - Learn more at https://www.bullish.com/. - To get marketing moving news delivered daily, download CoinDesk's mobile app: https://linktr.ee/coindeskapp. - Timecodes: 00:00 Welcome to Public Keys 00:37 Strategy's STRC Crashes to a Record Low 01:04 Schwab and Cboe Enter Prediction Markets 01:45 Franklin Templeton Files For Bitcoin Dividend ETFs 02:30 Ric Edelman on Crypto's Great Disconnect 05:05 Will the CLARITY Act Pass? 06:08 Crypto Lobby vs. Banking Lobby Into the Midterms 08:48 Edelman's Bitcoin and Ethereum Outlook 12:34 10X: Arthur Hayes' Highest-Conviction Trade 14:07 Strive's Jeff Walton on Digital Credit's Worst Day 15:46 Inside the STRC and SATA Leverage Liquidation 20:43 The $300 Trillion Credit Market Opportunity 23:46 Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF Flows 24:48 BlackRock's Robbie Mitchnick on the BITA Launch 28:37 Ophelia Snyder on Tokenization's Reality Check 30:15 The Scale Problem in Tokenizing Capital Markets
Our heroes alight to Blackrock and relay their findings - but certain mistakes will come back to bite them!Support the showVenture Forth is a Dungeons and Dragons podcast. We play 5th edition (5e) Dungeons and Dragons in a home-brew D&D actual play setting. Our campaign takes place in the high fantasy realm of Elbor. A world of monsters, heroes and epic tales to be told. D&D is a TTRPG, a tabletop roleplaying game, also known as an RPG. Our gameplay is perfect for beginners to Dungeons and Dragons from episode 1. Olma Marsk is played by Rebecca Hausman, Flynn Felloweave is played by Russ Bartek, March is played by Bridget Black, Ceallach is played by Shane O'Loughlin, Seeker is played by Rodney Campbell, and the DM is played by Ethan Ralphs and Seth Fowler.https://www.ventureforthdnd.com/https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCNl1hOaZiXruwLE8Ct1NNNA
The twin pressures of vulnerable energy supply and rising power demand are making energy security a durable investment theme. Hugo Liebaert, Sustainable Investment and Research Analytics at the BlackRock Investment Institute, explains where opportunities are emerging around critical energy bottlenecks.General disclosure: This material is intended for information purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities, funds or strategies to any person in any jurisdiction in which an offer, solicitation, purchase or sale would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. The opinions expressed are as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Investing involves risks. BlackRock does and may seek to do business with companies covered in this podcast. As a result, readers should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this podcast.In the U.S. and Canada, this material is intended for public distribution.In the UK and Non-European Economic Area (EEA) countries: this is Issued by BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered office: 12 Throgmorton Avenue, London, EC2N 2DL. Tel:+ 44 (0)20 7743 3000. Registered in England and Wales No. 02020394. For your protection telephone calls are usually recorded. Please refer to the Financial Conduct Authority website for a list of authorised activities conducted by BlackRock.In the European Economic Area (EEA): this is Issued by BlackRock (Netherlands) B.V. is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Registered office Amstelplein 1, 1096 HA, Amsterdam, Tel: 020 – 549 5200, Tel: 31-20- 549-5200. Trade Register No. 17068311 For your protection telephone calls are usually recorded.For Investors in Switzerland: This document is marketing material.In South Africa: Please be advised that BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited is an authorised Financial Services provider with the South African Financial Services Board, FSP No. 43288.In Singapore, this is issued by BlackRock (Singapore) Limited (Co. registration no. 200010143N). This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. In Hong Kong, this material is issued by BlackRock Asset Management North Asia Limited and has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong. In Australia, issued by BlackRock Investment Management (Australia) Limited ABN 13 006 165 975, AFSL 230 523 (BIMAL). This material provides general information only and does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation, needs or circumstances. Before making any investment decision, you should assess whether the material is appropriate for you and obtain financial advice tailored to you having regard to your individual objectives, financial situation, needs and circumstances. Refer to BIMAL's Financial Services Guide on its website for more information. This material is not a financial product recommendation or an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any financial product in any jurisdictionIn Latin America: this material is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice nor an offer or solicitation to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any shares of any Fund (nor shall any such shares be offered or sold to any person) in any jurisdiction in which an offer, solicitation, purchase or sale would be unlawful under the securities law of that jurisdiction. If any funds are mentioned or inferred to in this material, it is possible that some or all of the funds may not have been registered with the securities regulator of Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Panama, Peru, Uruguay or any other securities regulator in any Latin American country and thus might not be publicly offered within any such country. The securities regulators of such countries have not confirmed the accuracy of any information contained herein. The provision of investment management and investment advisory services is a regulated activity in Mexico thus is subject to strict rules. For more information on the Investment Advisory Services offered by BlackRock Mexico please refer to the Investment Services Guide available at www.blackrock.com/mx©2026 BlackRock, Inc. All Rights Reserved. BLACKROCK is a registered trademark of BlackRock, Inc. All other trademarks are those of their respective owners.BII0626-5595004-EXP0627
“LLMs give us the opportunity to kind of rethink how much expected skill we can get out of our tools and techniques,” says Jeffrey Rosenberg, managing director and senior fixed income portfolio manager for BlackRock Systematic. “If deep fundamental value investing is dedicating 10,000 hours to create ... concentrated portfolios based on an expectation of high degrees of skill, maybe we can do something similar because the technology allows us to.” This is an evolution from a model focused on maximizing small advantages, according to Rosenberg, who joins Bloomberg Intelligence's Noel Hebert on this episode of the Credit Crunch podcast. The two discuss rates decorrelation, systematic's peanut-butter-cup moment and iShares Systematic Alternatives Active ETF (IALT), the company's latest liquid systematic-strategy offering. The Credit Crunch podcast is part of BI's FICC Focus series.
Baptism is more than a moment — it's a declaration of a new life in Christ. Join us as we celebrate stories of transformation and look at how Jesus calls us to believe in Him, leave behind the old life, and grow into the fullness of who He created us to be.
Brady and John open with World Cup talk, including Canada's first-ever World Cup win, the U.S. matchup, and how the tournament is challenging global stereotypes about America Bitcoin sentiment is notably weak, with price around $62K and many market participants expecting a four-year-cycle-style bottom later in 2026 John outlines possible causes of the sell-off, including whale selling, miner selling, AI stock flows, and reflexive belief in the four-year cycle The hosts compare this drawdown to 2022, noting that today's decline feels less explainable than the Fed tightening, inflation, and crypto collapses of the prior bear market They discuss Kevin Warsh's first Fed meeting, unchanged rates, mixed dot plots, and the possibility that inflation remains above target until 2028 Lyn Alden's CNBC appearance is highlighted, especially her view that major balance sheet reduction is unlikely and that much of Bitcoin's leverage-driven pain may already be behind us BlackRock's new Bitcoin income ETF is discussed as another sign that Wall Street continues building Bitcoin products, even if the product may not suit every investor Strategy's Stretch preferred stock volatility is analyzed, with John arguing the situation is serious but not existential for Strategy SpaceX's IPO and 18,712 BTC holdings are discussed as another example of unique founder-led companies holding Bitcoin Swan announces RBX, Real Bitcoin Exchange, a product designed to help ETF holders, especially GBTC holders, exchange shares for real Bitcoin in a tax-efficient, in-kind process ► For high-net-worth individuals and corporations seeking to build generational wealth with Bitcoin, Swan Private is your guide ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/private?utm_campaign=private&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your bright orange future with the Swan IRA today! Real Bitcoin, no taxes ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/ira?utm_campaign=ira&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Secure your Bitcoin with Swan Vault ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/vault?utm_campaign=vault&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Download the all-new Swan Bitcoin App ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/app?utm_campaign=app&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Want to learn more about Bitcoin? Check out Welcome To Bitcoin a FREE Introductory course. Learn about Bitcoin in under 1 hour! ✔ https://www.swanbitcoin.com/welcome?utm_campaign=welcome_to_bitcoin&utm_medium=sponsorship&utm_source=podcast&utm_content=swan_signal_live ► Connect with Swan Bitcoin: ✔ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Swan ✔ Instagram: https://instagram.com/SwanBitcoin ✔ LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/swanbitcoin ✔ Threads: https://www.threads.com/@swanbitcoin ✔ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SwanBitcoin/ ✔ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@realswanbitcoin
Bitcoin just flashed one of its most reliable historical buy signals — dipping below its 200-week moving average twice in two weeks, a setup Kraken's Chief Economist Thomas Perfumo says has delivered 113% MEDIAN returns over the following year (and 313% over two years), with median time to break even of just TWO DAYS. The signal has only triggered on roughly 10% of all trading days since 2017. But the bull case lands into a brutal backdrop: Add Franklin Templeton filing BTC-reinvesting dividend ETFs, BlackRock's BITA pitched as "too big to ignore" for income investors, and Illinois passing the most punitive crypto tax in the country — and today's setup is the wildest bull/bear divergence we've seen all cycle. We break down whether Kraken's 113% historical signal will hold against Saylor's structural crisis, what miners going below cost actually means, and whether BTC's two-day median break-even is the bull case nobody's talking about. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
You Didn't Get SpaceX? Don't Worry, There Are Other Mega IPOs Coming You may feel like everyone got into SpaceX except you, and now you're wondering: Should I buy shares today? Is there something better coming next? The reality is that several other massive IPOs could be coming sooner than many investors realize. At the top of the list are OpenAI, with an estimated valuation of $852 billion, Anthropic, with an estimated valuation of $965 billion, Stripe, with an estimated valuation of $159 billion, and Databricks, with an estimated valuation of $134 billion. Before you get too excited about these potential offerings, or beat yourself up for missing SpaceX, consider what the historical data tells us. Research examining 1,724 U.S. IPOs between 2011 and 2024 found that the average IPO gained approximately 23% on its first day of trading. However, over the following three years, those same IPOs underperformed the broader market by an average of 25 percentage points. The study also found that since 1980, companies coming public with at least $100 million in annual sales and a price-to-sales ratio above 40 experienced an average decline of 45% from their first-day closing price. For current SpaceX shareholders, there could still be a near-term catalyst. Under Nasdaq's fast-entry rules, newly public companies can become eligible for inclusion in the Nasdaq-100 after just 15 trading days. However, both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones indexes currently maintain a 12-month waiting period before new companies become eligible for inclusion. If your appetite for risk remains high, you'll likely have opportunities to speculate on OpenAI, Anthropic, Databricks, and other AI-related companies when they eventually go public. But an interesting question remains: When these AI giants hit the public markets, will investors who bought SpaceX at the IPO decide to sell some of their shares and rotate into the next hot AI opportunity? There are plenty of unanswered questions, which is exactly why we prefer not to invest based on hype, headlines, or fear of missing out. Instead, we focus on financial fundamentals, valuation, cash flow, and long-term business quality. Exciting stories can drive prices higher for a while, but over time, fundamentals tend to matter most. What Can the Nifty Fifty and Tech Bubble Teach Us About Today's Market? Every market cycle has a story. In the early 1970s it was the "Nifty Fifty." In the late 1990s it was the internet and technology boom. Today it is artificial intelligence. The late 1990s we saw the technology boom where the internet was a revolutionary innovation that truly changed the world. Investors were correct about the technology but wrong about what they should pay for it. Companies with little revenue and no profits traded at astronomical valuations. The Nasdaq saw a five-fold increase between 1995 and early 2000. When the bubble burst, the fallout was severe. The Nasdaq ultimately lost almost 80% of its value. Hundreds of companies disappeared. Even industry leaders such as Cisco, Intel, and Microsoft experienced stock declines of 50% to 90%. Many investors assumed technology would continue growing forever and overlooked the simple fact that stock prices had already discounted years of future success. After peaking in March 2000, it took over 15 years for the Nasdaq to reclaim its previous high in April 2015. Often times I hear people say this time is different because unlike many internet companies in 2000, today's AI leaders are highly profitable businesses generating enormous cash flow. So, let's take a look at the Nifty Fifty as another, maybe more similar example. The Nifty Fifty era was built around the belief that a small group of dominant companies were so good that valuation no longer mattered. Investors piled into stocks such as Coca-Cola, IBM, Xerox, Polaroid, McDonald's, Sears and others. These companies were viewed as "one-decision stocks “buy them and never sell them. Investors would make excuses for the valuations because the businesses were strong. Through 1972, these firms averaged 22% annual earnings growth over the previous five-year period and had great profitability with an average return on equity over 22%. The problem was as enthusiasm grew, valuations expanded dramatically, with many trading at 40 to 60 times earnings despite an economy growing much slower. Then reality arrived. The 1973-74 bear market combined with inflation, rising interest rates, and an economic recession caused many of these stocks to fall 50% to 80%. The S&P 500 fell over 14% in 1973 and more than 26% in 1974. Most of the companies survived and remained successful businesses, but investors who paid excessive prices often waited a decade or longer to earn satisfactory returns. Today's AI boom has similarities to both periods. Like the Nifty Fifty, investors are concentrating heavily in a small number of dominant companies. Like the tech bubble, there is widespread excitement surrounding a transformational technology that is likely to reshape entire industries. However, history reminds us that even great companies can become poor investments when expectations become too optimistic. During every major market cycle, investors eventually discover the difference between a great business and a great stock. The key lesson from both the Nifty Fifty and the dot-com era is that transformative technologies often live up to their promise. What investors frequently get wrong is the price they are willing to pay for that future growth. AI may ultimately be every bit as revolutionary as investors believe. The bigger question is whether today's stock prices already reflect much of that future success. As we've learned from previous cycles, when expectations become too high, excellent results may not be enough to satisfy the market. Private Credit Funds Are Facing High Redemption Requests Again This Quarter For the first quarter of 2026, redemption requests in several private credit funds exceeded the industry-standard 5% quarterly redemption cap. Second-quarter requests appear to be even higher. BlackRock's flagship private credit fund received redemption requests totaling 13.3% of fund assets, up from 9.3% in the first quarter. BlackRock has indicated it will continue to honor only up to 5% of redemption requests per quarter. Blackstone is facing a similar situation. Investors requested redemptions equal to roughly 10% of fund assets, and the firm also appears committed to maintaining its 5% quarterly redemption limit. Cliffwater may be facing the greatest pressure. Its $31 billion private credit fund received redemption requests totaling 17% of fund assets, far above the amount investors can currently withdraw and higher than the roughly 14% that was requested in Q1. Private credit funds have been dealing with a number of challenges, including rising loan losses, fraud concerns, and significant exposure to software companies. Many software businesses are facing pressure as investors question how artificial intelligence could impact their future growth and profitability. During BlackRock's last earnings call, CEO Larry Fink stated that institutional investors such as pension funds and insurance companies continue to allocate capital to private credit strategies. I don't want to call the man a liar, but it does seem strange that with all the problems that private credit is having I would think institutional funds would also be pulling back from investing. One would expect at least some institutional investors to become more cautious as risks increase. What concerns me most is the continued use of redemption gates. The longer funds limit withdrawals to 5% per quarter, the more investors may worry about liquidity. That concern can become self-reinforcing, leading more investors to submit redemption requests. If that happens, redemption demand could continue to rise in future quarters, creating additional pressure on the industry. Investors Turn a Blind Eye to Fundamentals For many years, successful investing was built on analyzing company fundamentals. Today, however, there is a growing trend toward speculation and gambling. Many investors simply do not seem to care about valuation or earnings and instead believe stocks will continue to go "to the moon." Tesla is a good example. Three years ago, Wall Street analysts projected that Tesla would generate $163 billion in revenue by 2025. The actual figure came in far lower at $94.8 billion, more than 40% below expectations. Historically, missing growth expectations by such a wide margin would have been a major disappointment for investors. Yet Tesla shares have risen roughly 59% over the last three years despite falling well short of those revenue projections. There are other signs of speculation throughout the market. Thirteen years ago, there were only 39 private companies valued at more than $1 billion. Today, there are over 800. This trend highlights two important developments. First, private companies are staying private much longer, allowing early investors to capture a greater share of the value creation before public investors have an opportunity to participate. Second, investors are assigning much higher valuations to these businesses, many of which have little or no earnings and, in some cases, no positive cash flow at all. Markets can remain driven by optimism for long periods of time, but eventually fundamentals matter. The challenge for investors is determining when sentiment and speculation have pushed prices too far ahead of reality. Headlines Say Crisis, Economic Data Says Otherwise The economy continues to show surprising resilience despite concerns surrounding higher energy prices and the conflict involving Iran. Many investors expected consumers to pull back as gasoline prices surged and headlines focused on geopolitical risks. Instead, economic data suggests the U.S. consumer remains in good shape. Retail sales in May rose 6.9% from the prior year, exceeding expectations and demonstrating that consumers are still willing to spend despite higher fuel costs. Even excluding gasoline stations, retail sales increased 5.4%, showing that spending strength was broad-based rather than simply a reflection of higher energy prices. Online sales, clothing purchases, restaurant spending, and other discretionary categories all contributed to the gains. Housing is also showing signs of stabilization. Pending home sales, which measure signed contracts on existing homes, rose 3.8% in May to the highest level in six months. The increase was well above economist expectations and marked a 4.8% improvement from a year ago. What makes these numbers particularly impressive is that they occurred while mortgage rates remained above 6% and energy prices were elevated because of Middle East tensions. Buyers and consumers appear to be adapting to a higher-rate environment rather than waiting indefinitely for lower borrowing costs. This does not mean there are no risks. Higher energy prices act like a tax on consumers, and housing affordability remains a challenge. However, the latest retail sales and housing data suggest the economy is far from rolling over. For investors, this is another reminder that economic fundamentals often matter more than headlines. While markets may focus on wars, oil prices, and geopolitical uncertainty, consumers are still spending, homes are still being purchased, and the economy continues to move forward. The Most Important Part of the Fed Meeting Wasn't the Rate Decision The Federal Reserve's June meeting marked one of the biggest shifts in Fed communication and leadership in decades. As expected, the Fed left interest rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, but the details beneath the surface were far more important. For the first time since 1951, a former Fed chair will remain on the Board after stepping down as chairman. Jerome Powell's decision to stay on as a governor creates an unusual dynamic as new Chairman Kevin Warsh begins reshaping the institution. Historically, outgoing Fed chairs have typically left the Board when their chairmanship ended. Warsh wasted little time signaling change. The Fed announced five new task forces that will review key aspects of monetary policy and Federal Reserve operations, including inflation frameworks, the Fed's balance sheet, its reliance on data sources, and productivity and jobs and the impact of artificial intelligence and other transformative technologies. The reviews are expected to produce recommendations later this year and could shape how the Fed operates for years to come. Perhaps the most noticeable change was the Fed statement itself. The policy statement was significantly shortened and went from above 300 words recorded in recent meetings to around 130 wors. It also removed much of the forward-looking language that investors had grown accustomed to under previous leadership. Language that suggested a bias toward future rate cuts was eliminated, reflecting a more data-dependent and less guidance-driven approach. The updated projections were also more hawkish than many expected. Nine of the 18 policymakers who submitted forecasts now expect at least one rate hike before year-end, while the other nine see rates remaining unchanged or moving lower. The result is a Fed that appears deeply divided on the path forward as inflation remains above target. Another major headline came from Warsh himself. Only 18 of the Fed's 19 policymakers submitted a forecast in the quarterly dot plot, with Warsh confirming that he did not provide one. As a long-time critic of forward guidance, Warsh appears to be signaling that the Fed may gradually move away from one of Wall Street's most closely watched communication tools. Half of the committee is worried inflation remains too high and believes rates may need to move higher. The other half sees little need for additional tightening. This sets the stage for Warsh's hope for a “family fight” as he believes more disagreement will lead to a better discussion so the Fed can finally deliver on price stability. While the rate decision itself was unanimous, the projections revealed a growing divide beneath the surface. The takeaway is clear: while rates didn't move, the Federal Reserve did. A shorter statement, less forward guidance, a chairman who won't publish his own rate forecast, five new policy task forces, and a committee split down the middle on the direction of rates all point to a Federal Reserve that looks very different than it did just a few months ago. The era of predictable Fed communication may be ending, and markets will have to adjust. Financial Planning: Give More, Pay Less with Appreciated Stock One of the most tax-efficient ways to support a favorite charity or church is by donating appreciated stock instead of cash. When stock that has been held for more than one year is gifted directly to a qualified charity, the charity receives the full market value of the shares and can sell them without paying tax because it is a tax-exempt organization. The donor generally receives the same charitable income tax deduction they would have received had they donated cash, while also avoiding the realization of any capital gain. For example, if someone is considering donating either $50,000 of cash or $50,000 of appreciated stock, the charity receives the same economic benefit in either case, $50,000 that can be used to further its mission. Likewise, the donor generally receives the same $50,000 itemized charitable deduction. The difference is that if the stock was originally purchased for $20,000, donating the shares allows the donor to avoid recognizing the $30,000 capital gain. If the donor still wants to own the investment, they can use the cash that otherwise would have been donated to repurchase the shares, effectively increasing their cost basis from $20,000 to $50,000 and reducing future taxable gains. Companies Discussed: Accenture plc (ACN)
Blue Alpine Cast - Kryptowährung, News und Analysen (Bitcoin, Ethereum und co)
Jetzt bei Kraken anmelden und 30 EUR Bonus erhalten: https://bit.ly/kraken-bonusThemen & Timestamps:00:00 Begrüssung und Themenüberblick01:16 BlackRock und die grosse Konvergenz zur TradFi03:06 Neuer BlackRock Bitcoin-ETF mit Covered-Call-Strategie04:42 Wichtiger Abgang bei der Ethereum Foundation06:48 Microsoft-Kryptovirus verbreitet sich über USB-Drives08:43 US-Agenturen fordern Identitätsprüfung bei Stablecoins
Was Blackrock actually a positive for bitcoin but not in the way you think...RUMBLE WALLET:wallet.rumble.com/simply► Bitcoin Well: https://www.nmj1gs2i.com/63CFP/FGXLG/?source_id=podcast► Ledn: https://www.nmj1gs2i.com/63CFP/9B9DM/?source_id=podcastSimply Bitcoin clients get 0.25% off their first loan► Bitkey: https://www.nmj1gs2i.com/63CFP/7XDN2/?source_id=podcastSIMPLY for 10%► SAT123: https://www.nmj1gs2i.com/63CFP/KMKS9/?source_id=podcastUse code SIMPLY for 15% off► Stamp Seed: https://www.nmj1gs2i.com/63CFP/M2GJW/?source_id=podcastPROMO CODE: SIMPLY for a 15% discount► HIVE Digital Technologies: https://www.nmj1gs2i.com/63CFP/6JHXF/?source_id=podcast► Mining Disrupts: https://www.nmj1gs2i.com/63CFP/J8P3N/?source_id=podcastPROMO CODE: SIMPLYBITCOIN for a 20% discountFOLLOW US► https://twitter.com/SimplyBitcoin► https://twitter.com/bitvolt► https://twitter.com/Optimistfields► Nostr: npub1vzjukpr2vrxqg2m9q3a996gpzx8qktg82vnl9jlxp7a9yawnwxfsqnx9gcJOIN OUR TELEGRAM, GIVE US A MEME TO REVIEW!► https://t.me/SimplyBitcoinTVSUBSCRIBE TO OUR YOUTUBE► https://bit.ly/3QbgqTQSUPPORT US► On-Chain: bc1qpm5j7wsnk46l2ukgpm7w3deesx2mdrzcgun6ms► Lightning: simplybitcoin@walletofsatoshi.com#bitcoin #bitcoinnews #simplybitcoinDISCLAIMER: All views in this episode are our own and DO NOT reflect the views of any of our guests or sponsors.Copyright Disclaimer under section 107 of the Copyright Act 1976, allowance is made for "fair use" for purposes such as criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship, education and research. If you are or represent the copyright owner of materials used in this video and have a problem with the use of said material, please contact Simply Bitcoin.
The Patriotically Correct Radio Show with Stew Peters | #PCRadio
Joe Kent just torched the official story on the Butler assassination attempt. The former Director of the National Counterterrorism Center sat down with Mario Nawfal and confirmed what the regime has been hiding: Thomas Crooks was no lone wolf with zero digital footprint. He was showing up at FBI headquarters, starring in BlackRock commercials, and the entire crime scene got scrubbed before real investigators could touch it.
Private credit is changing again. And this time, the story is not just that investors are still trying to pull money out. That is still happening, of course, with BlackRock the latest name too see a huge run. But now there is another problem. It is not only that current investors want out. It is that new investors aren't coming in. That is a much bigger shift.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Webinar June 2026: Why Smart Investors Keep Missing Every Major Economic Turning PointIt isn't that they're buying the wrong assets. They're using a broken map of the monetary system — and getting it wrong leads to catastrophic decisions. Let's fix that. Sunday, June 28 @ 5:30pm ET. Sign up below. https://webinar.eurodollar-university.com/home----------------------------------------------------------------------------------Private Equity Faces Reckoning With Struggle to Clear Buyout Backloghttps://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/private-equity-urged-to-capitulate-to-clear-buyout-backlogPrivate credit boom cools as lending, flows slow sharplyhttps://www.reuters.com/legal/transactional/private-credit-boom-cools-lending-flows-slow-sharply-2026-06-05/Investors choosier about private markets after turbulence, say pension fund advisershttps://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/investors-choosier-private-markets-turbulence-134931562.htmlMorningstar Report Finds Semiliquid Fund Market Nears $600 Billion as Private Credit Loses Steamhttps://newsroom.morningstar.com/news/news-details/2026/Morningstar-Report-Finds-Semiliquid-Fund-Market-Nears-600-Billion-as-Private-Credit-Loses-Steam/default.aspxEssentials of Private Equityhttps://www.blackstone.com/pws/essentials-of-private-equity/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDUI'll also be active on Bravais Social - a new AI-centered social network designed for professionals and knowledge workers. The platform aims to bring together a wider range of tools and functionalities tailored specifically for professional interaction, research, and knowledge exchange in one place. You can find me here: https://bravais.social/profile/eduhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU
Bitcoin tanked to $64,000 after Kevin Warsh's first FOMC turned full hawkish — the median dot plot now sees a 2026 rate HIKE, October hike odds jumped to 60%, and Bitcoin/Ether ETFs swung back to outflows ($111M combined, with BlackRock's IBIT bleeding $31M). But the on-chain picture is bullish: Bitcoin whales (1,000+ BTC addresses) just reversed months of selling and now control the highest BTC supply since March, absorbing 125,000 BTC in the first half of June. Add Strategy's STRC preferred stock hitting a record low (freezing Saylor's main BTC-buying engine), whale-sized 1,750 BTC put hedges at the $62K strike flashing weekend caution, Bitwise's Matt Hougan still calling for $1 million Bitcoin within 10 years, and the SEC scrapping the trade-through rule (clearing the runway for tokenized stocks) — and today's setup is the most confusing tape of the cycle. We break down whether the whale accumulation signals the bottom is in, what Warsh's hawkish pivot means for 2026, and whether the $62K weekend put hedge is the warning everyone's missing. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Financial market infrastructure is often invisible to investors, yet it powers every trade, settlement, and ownership record across capital markets. As technology evolves, tokenization is emerging as a new way to represent and transfer financial assets, raising questions about how markets may operate in the future.In this episode of The Bid, Oscar Pulido speaks with Rob Goldstein, Chief Operating Officer at BlackRock. They discuss what tokenization means in practice, how it differs from cryptocurrencies, and why digital assets are drawing increased attention from investors, institutions, and policymakers.The conversation explores how tokenization could improve access, efficiency, and connectivity across financial markets. Rob also shares his perspective on the coexistence of traditional financial systems and digital assets, the role of digital wallets, and the regulatory developments that could shape adoption in the years ahead.Key insights:· How tokenization creates digital representations of financial assets· Why tokenization differs from cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin· How digital wallets could expand access to capital markets· Why traditional finance and digital assets may coexist· What role blockchain technology plays in financial infrastructure· How regulation could influence the future of tokenized markets
BTC Sessions Ep. 078: The Iran War Was Theatrical, FIC Wins & Bitcoin Manipulation Exposed | Simon DixonThe Iran ceasefire was timed to the SpaceX IPO. The petrodollar is being deliberately broken. And your Bitcoin is being systematically moved into institutional custody — whether you realize it or not. Simon Dixon returns to lay out exactly how the managed transition to a multipolar world works, who's pulling the strings, and why self-custody is the only rational response.You'll learn why Simon argues China — not the US — won the financial and geopolitical contest, how the closure of the Strait of Hormuz was a manufactured pricing event to concentrate wealth upward, and why BlackRock's new Bitcoin Premium Income ETF is a carrot designed to get you to hand over your keys. You'll also understand the connection between digital ID legislation in the UK and Canada, AI surveillance infrastructure, and the "you will own nothing" endgame Simon has been tracking for years. Specific signals covered include the 30-year yield, the Japan carry trade break, the Bank of Japan rate hike to 1%, and the bond market dynamics that set the timeline for the entire war.⏱️ Timestamps:0:00 - Intro1:14 - Simon Dixon Returns: Iran Deal and SpaceX IPO Timing1:56 - China Wins: Financial Industrial Complex vs Transnational Capital3:22 - Netanyahu as Middle Management in Power Hierarchy3:58 - Multipolar Transition: Middle East as Financial Corridor5:24 - Sovereign Wealth Funds and Informal Capital Alliance6:41 - Manufacturing Strait of Hormuz Crisis for Wealth7:38 - Markets Reveal Iran War as Theater via Oil Gold Bonds9:25 - Liquidity Needs: Ping-Trump Meeting and SpaceX IPO11:21 - Managed Transition and Bounded Escalation Explained14:52 - Iran Deepens China Ties, Israel Pivots to GCC16:24 - UAE Exits OPEC Breaking Petrodollar for New Security Model19:46 - Israel Decapitates IRGC Hardliners for Regional Deal25:16 - Multipolar World AI Dominance and Nuclear Energy Prize30:48 - Funding Iran's Reconstruction and Revealing Contracts39:51 - Middle Class Asset Strip Completed or More Ahead42:38 - Bank of Japan 1% Hike Breaks Carry Trade48:27 - Digital ID Laws and AI Surveillance Endgame55:56 - BlackRock and Strategy Centralize Bitcoin Custody1:01:51 - SBF Celsius and Covert Crypto Deleveraging Networks1:08:16 - If Trump Serves Americans Nothing Makes Sense• About Simon DixonX: @SimonDixonTwittYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@UC_wNYJCyycXXPmWni2JNZhQ
CME Group filed a federal lawsuit in Washington, D.C. against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and Chairman Michael Selig. The suit challenges the regulator's recent decision to approve perpetual futures for Kalshi and Coinbase, arguing that these 24/7 contracts are legally swaps rather than futures. GUEST: Chris Perkins, CEO of 250 Digital Asset Follow Chris on X ➜ https://x.com/perkinscr97 ~This episode is sponsored by iTrust Capital~ iTrustCapital | Get $100 Funding Reward + No Monthly Fees when you sign up using our custom link! ➜ https://bit.ly/iTrustPaul 00:00 intro 00:10 Sponsor: iTrust Capital 00:31 Chris Perkins on Perps 03:25 Terry Duffy Sues CFTC 04:35 CME Trying To Kill Crypto Perps 07:24 Terry Duffy Calls Michael Selig a Liar on CNBC 07:56 Banning Hyperliquid? 09:55 CME Monopoly Power 11:20 Chicago Crypto "Privilege Tax" 12:17 Federal Reserve Stablecoin ID Checks!? 16:19 $STRC Collapsing! 18:35 BlackRock Causing $STRC Mass Exit? 19:54 Coincidence? 20:15 CNBC Fudding Michael Saylor 21:08 Nothing To Worry About? 22:24 Michael Saylor: A.I. is Not a Problem 23:00 Quantum & A.I. will help crypto? 24:00 Lightning Round 24:26 July 4th Crash 24:40 Peter Schiff 24:52 CME vs Hyperliquid 25:11 Strategy to BlackRock? 25:34 Brian vs Dimon 26:10 Morpho & Vaults 27:12 SpaceX vs Solana & Hyperliquid 27:40 Binance vs Coinbase 28:55 Federal Reserve vs Uncertainty 30:36 outro #Bitcoin #XRP #Ethereum ~TradFi Sues CFTC!
Truly Significant honors Chuck Garcia and his extraordinary Dad and Mother in this special edition of Success Made to Last. Learn from this insightful conversation about the art of honoring your parents today and always...... for you are their legacy. Chuck is a mountain climber, financial guru, college professor, brother, friend, and much more. Here's what grabbed me........Success gets you to the summits of life...significance (from intellectual giants like his parents) teaches you why you made the climb.Chuck spent 25 years on Wall Street in leadership roles at Bloomberg, BlackRock, and Citadel before reinventing himself as a leadership coach, speaker, author, professor, and mountaineer.Today he is the founder of Climb Leadership International and teaches leadership communication at Columbia University. His work focuses on emotional intelligence, executive presence, communication, and resilience. What makes him especially interesting through the Truly Significant lens is that he doesn't teach leadership from theory alone. He uses mountain climbing as a metaphor for life, leadership, and transformation.He has climbed peaks including Kilimanjaro, Elbrus, and the Matterhorn, and often connects lessons from the mountains to moments of personal reinvention. His most recent book, The Moment That Defines Your Life, explores how emotional intelligence and Stoic philosophy help people navigate defining moments when careers, families, and identities are on the line. What is Truly Significant About Chuck Garcia? Not the titles. Not Wall Street. Not the mountains.What's significant is that Chuck's career suggests a central truth: Remember.....Success gets you to the summit. Significance teaches you why you climbed the mountain in the first place.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/success-made-to-last-legends--4302039/support.
Crypto News: BlackRock's new bitcoin income fund offers cash flow alongside BTC exposure. BlackRock's Chief Investment Officer Rick Rieder says 'I think Bitcoin is ultimately going considerably higher'. Ripple invests in Flutterwave, pushing its stablecoin and XRP Ledger into payments across Africa. Squid adds Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin for cross-chain swaps.Brought to you by
Matt opens the show by examining the SpaceX IPO frenzy and the staggering scale of Elon Musk's reported trillion-dollar net worth, arguing that most people underestimate the difference between millions, billions, and trillions. He explores what that level of wealth means in terms of influence, ownership, and market power, while reflecting on why investors continue pouring capital into AI and aerospace companies.On the crypto side, the episode covers BlackRock's new Bitcoin income fund, the launch of a privacy-focused institutional DeFi yield product on Ethereum, congressional efforts to block a U.S. CBDC, and growing stablecoin adoption in countries like Nigeria. Matt also explores a larger question facing the industry: crypto's infrastructure is maturing rapidly, but when will Bitcoin, Ethereum, and blockchain technology become products that ordinary people use every day rather than assets people simply trade and hold?Happy HODLing, Everyone. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Inside BlackRock's newest bitcoin ETF, BITA. Global Head of Digital Assets at BlackRock, Robert Mitchnick breaks down the launch of the firm's newest bitcoin ETF, the Bitcoin Premium Income Fund (BITA). He tells CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie why the covered call strategy targets a high-teens income yield, which investors this product appeals to, and more. - Timecodes: 00:00 - BlackRock's BITA Opens for Trade 00:20 - Why BITA Is the Right Next Evolution for Bitcoin's Funds 01:10 - Staking vs. Covered Call Yield 01:48 - Who Is the Target Investor? 02:36 - In What Market Could BITA Outperform IBIT? - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie.
BlackRock launches the BITA fund. BlackRock's Bitcoin Premium Income Fund, ticker BITA, begins trading today, holding spot bitcoin and IBIT shares while selling call options to generate monthly income. CoinDesk's Uyen Truong hosts "CoinDesk Daily." - This episode was hosted by Uyen Truong. “CoinDesk Daily” is produced by Jennifer Sanasie and edited by Victor Chen.
Crypto News: Bitcoin price rallies and the charts look bullish with a bullish divergence setting up on the BTC weekly chart, altcoins will also follow. BlackRock to launch Bitcoin Premium Income ETF tomorrow. Brought to you by
Matt opens the show discussing the ongoing SpaceX IPO frenzy, admitting a serious case of FOMO as the stock surged from its $135 allocation price to over $200 in just a few days. He breaks down why some Daily Crypto News listeners made quick gains, why he's still skeptical of chasing it here, and whether SpaceX's growing AI ambitions could justify its massive valuation.The episode also covers Bitcoin holding around $66,000 despite renewed optimism, BlackRock's new Bitcoin Income Fund going live, Bybit launching options trading for Tether Gold, and Hyperliquid processing $1.4 billion in SpaceX-related trading volume. Matt also examines today's Federal Reserve meeting under Chair Kevin Warsh, the Netherlands' proposed unrealized gains tax, XRP giving back recent gains, and why it's far too early to declare a new crypto bull market.Happy Hodling, Everyone. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
U.S. President Donald Trump has confirmed that he has signed the U.S.-Iran peace deal, signaling that the deal has been completed despite a signing ceremony on Friday. The crypto market extended its gains on the back of this development, with Bitcoin breaking above the psychological $67,000 level. ~This episode is sponsored by Uphold~ Uphold Exa Credit Card ➜ https://bit.ly/UpholdExa 00:00 intro 00:10 Sponsor: Uphold 01:00 Deal details 03:30 JD Vance: Post 60 days 05:00 Mohamed El-Erian: We might have dodged a bullet 07:00 Rate hike odds 07:50 SpaceX rug 09:20 Jim Chanos: Is SpaceX Enron 2.0? 11:20 CLARITY Act dead (for now)? 13:45 MiCA pumping ETH 14:40 Tom Lee launches BMNP 15:30 STRC Dividend Day 16:00 STRC vs BMNP 16:45 Jack Mallers : I don't understand it 17:50 BlackRock launches new BITA ETF #Crypto #bitcoin #ethereum ~Iran Peace Deal Rallies Crypto Market!
Our heroes make their return to Blackrock, but more than sharp rocks lurk in the forests of the Frey.Support the showVenture Forth is a Dungeons and Dragons podcast. We play 5th edition (5e) Dungeons and Dragons in a home-brew D&D actual play setting. Our campaign takes place in the high fantasy realm of Elbor. A world of monsters, heroes and epic tales to be told. D&D is a TTRPG, a tabletop roleplaying game, also known as an RPG. Our gameplay is perfect for beginners to Dungeons and Dragons from episode 1. Olma Marsk is played by Rebecca Hausman, Flynn Felloweave is played by Russ Bartek, March is played by Bridget Black, Ceallach is played by Shane O'Loughlin, Seeker is played by Rodney Campbell, and the DM is played by Ethan Ralphs and Seth Fowler.https://www.ventureforthdnd.com/https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCNl1hOaZiXruwLE8Ct1NNNA
BlackRock Global Fixed Income CIO Rick Rieder says that investor demand for new IPOs like SpaceX can accelerate rapidly as portfolios make room for new allocations. Speaking to Scarlet Fu, Katie Greifeld and Eric Balchunas on Bloomberg ETF IQ, he also remarked that the Fed could benefit from providing less forward guidance during an easing period to create animal spirits and spur market momentum.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
When BlackRock needed to tokenize their first fund, they called Securitize. When the New York Stock Exchange decided to trade stocks 24/7 on-chain, they called Securitize. In this interview, CEO Carlos Domingo reveals why the DTCC is repeating the same fatal mistake the telecom companies made when WhatsApp arrived, why the banks actually need the Clarity Act far more than crypto does, and what happens when AI agents start trading tokenized assets in real time. Carlos breaks down the Jump Trading partnership, how atomic swaps are replacing T+1 settlement, why BlackRock choosing Securitize changed everything for institutional adoption, and his vision for a future where tokenized stocks, ETFs, and AI-powered portfolios all live in one wallet — and you don't even know you're using a blockchain. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
What happens when Christ is at the center of every moment of every day? In Colossians 4, Paul challenges us to live with purpose, speak with grace, and look for opportunities to point others toward Jesus. Discover how God uses ordinary people and everyday conversations to make an extraordinary difference in their community and the world.
Send us Fan MailMorgan Reed and Jamison Donoho of the Rock Band, Graffiti Black joins us to talk about A24 Horror Movies, Psychology, Euphoria and the current Music Scene. Segment 1: Pop Culture - We discuss current Pop Culture in Entertainment, Music and News like HBO's Euphoria and the A24 Movie the Backrooms. 10:36We tried The Watchers by Wayfinder Brewing 02:04 & 40:00Segment 2: Beer Flights - We find out everything on the band, Graffiti Black, Morgan Reed (Bass) and Jamison Donoho (Drums). 49:14We tried Tangerine Radler by Urban Chestnut Brewing 44:44 & 01:16:20Segment 3: Pub Talk - Pyschology talk! 01:23:10We Tried Reeferm Madness by Great Notion Brewing 01:20:34 & 01:32:00Theme song by Lost Like Lions Guest Links and Social Media:Instagram: GraffitiBlackSpotify: Graffiti BlackYouTube: Graffiti BlackWRBR the Bear Morgan ReedOur Merch Store!!Hop Station Craft BarGet Beer, Cocktails, and fab food while enjoying darts, vintage games. Hop Station is hopping!Niles BrewingUnique Beers and Cocktails! They host events and trivia weekly. Located in downtown Niles, Michigan!Perry Vine MeadsThe place to be in the Midwest to get your buzz on with the some of the finest meads ever!Shake Up CocktailsWant a zesty and fresh cocktail with the flavors of the fair? Go no further than Shake Up Cocktails!Disclaimer: This post contains affiliate links. If you make a purchase, I may receive a commission at no extra cost to you.Support the show
Plus: A consumer-sentiment index shows Americans are feeling slightly better about the economy. And redemptions requests rose from investors in BlackRock's flagship private-credit fund. Pierre Bienaimé hosts. Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. An artificial-intelligence tool assisted in the making of this episode by creating summaries that were based on Wall Street Journal reporting and reviewed and adapted by an editor. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Asia infrastructure investing is becoming central to the global energy transition as rising demand, energy security concerns, and the need for more resilient systems accelerate capital deployment across the region. In Southeast Asia, the opportunity is not only about replacing old systems, but building new infrastructure at scale for a growing economy.In this episode of The Bid, host Oscar Pulido speaks live from Ecosperity in Singapore with Salim Samaha, Global Head of Energy at Global Infrastructure Partners, a part of BlackRock, and Heidi Yip, Head of Sustainable and Transition Solutions for Asia Pacific at BlackRock. Together, they discuss how the infrastructure opportunity is evolving globally, why Asia's transition differs from Western markets, and where investors are seeing momentum across renewables, grids, storage, and system flexibility. Key insights include:· How Asia's infrastructure build-out differs from Western markets· Why energy security is becoming inseparable from the energy transition· Where capital is flowing across renewables, grids, storage, and interconnection· How public-private partnerships can help mobilize transition finance· Why execution bottlenecks, permitting, and offtake frameworks remain critical· Where AI, innovation, and rising demand may reshape future infrastructure needsKey moments:00:00 Asia Infrastructure Boom01:06 Live From EcoSperity03:16 Energy Transition Now04:20 Southeast Asia Grid Challenge06:43 West vs Asia Reality Check08:58 How APAC Investors Deploy Capital11:26 Scaling Projects and Labor Crunch13:17 Where Capital Flows and Bottlenecks15:13 Five Year Outlook and Innovation17:23 Wrap Up and Disclosures
Asia infrastructure investing is becoming central to the global energy transition as rising demand, energy security concerns, and the need for more resilient systems accelerate capital deployment across the region. In Southeast Asia, the opportunity is not only about replacing old systems, but building new infrastructure at scale for a growing economy.In this episode of The Bid, host Oscar Pulido speaks live from Ecosperity in Singapore with Salim Samaha, Global Head of Energy at Global Infrastructure Partners, a part of BlackRock, and Heidi Yip, Head of Sustainable and Transition Solutions for Asia Pacific at BlackRock. Together, they discuss how the infrastructure opportunity is evolving globally, why Asia's transition differs from Western markets, and where investors are seeing momentum across renewables, grids, storage, and system flexibility. Key insights include:· How Asia's infrastructure build-out differs from Western markets· Why energy security is becoming inseparable from the energy transition· Where capital is flowing across renewables, grids, storage, and interconnection· How public-private partnerships can help mobilize transition finance· Why execution bottlenecks, permitting, and offtake frameworks remain critical· Where AI, innovation, and rising demand may reshape future infrastructure needsKey moments:00:00 Asia Infrastructure Boom01:06 Live From EcoSperity03:16 Energy Transition Now04:20 Southeast Asia Grid Challenge06:43 West vs Asia Reality Check08:58 How APAC Investors Deploy Capital11:26 Scaling Projects and Labor Crunch13:17 Where Capital Flows and Bottlenecks15:13 Five Year Outlook and Innovation17:23 Wrap Up and Disclosures
P.M. Edition for June 11. After threatening more strikes against Iran this morning and then calling them off, President Trump said this afternoon that there's an agreement to end the war–although final details still need to be completed. Plus, Trump says he plans to nominate Jay Clayton, a top federal Manhattan prosecutor and former SEC chairman, as intelligence director. WSJ national security reporter Yoko Kubota discusses why this move might help defuse a fight with Congress over a crucial spying tool. And SpaceX officially sold $75 billion worth of shares, making it the biggest IPO ever. Asset managers like BlackRock helped: The Journal learned that it put in an order to buy at least $5 billion worth of SpaceX shares. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Plus: Amazon says its data centers used 2.5 billion gallons of water last year. And Jeff Bezos launches new AI venture Prometheus while batting down AI job loss fears. Julie Chang hosts. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Crypto News: Jim Cramer continues being bearish on Bitcoin. BlackRock and Fidelity are quietly turning bitcoin ETFs into a two-firm market. Mastercard has launched a payment system designed for AI agents to transact autonomously, with Coinbase, Ripple ,Solana and polygon among 30+ partners already signed on.Brought to you by
Today we cover the continued institutionalization of crypto as BlackRock moves closer to launching a Bitcoin income ETF, Japan advances legislation that could pave the way for crypto ETFs, and the CFTC proposes new oversight rules for prediction markets. We also examine the rapid growth of real-world asset tokenization, which has now reached nearly $29 billion, alongside a stablecoin market that has expanded to roughly $320 billion.Matt also discusses Singapore's DBS Bank launching tokenized gold products, why tokenization may be the most important trend in crypto today, and whether a potential SpaceX IPO could pull speculative capital away from Bitcoin, AI, and other risk assets. Finally, we review the latest crypto prices, Bitcoin's recovery above $62,000, and why the real story may not be price action at all, but the continued buildout of crypto infrastructure happening behind the scenes.Happy Hodling, Everyone. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
BlackRock's IBIT is sitting about $13 billion underwater on its Bitcoin holdings. Every ETH ETF is in the red. David walks through which funds bought the top, which took profit, and what happens to crypto if ETF holders finally crack. Plus: a preview of DAS Asia and DAS London, and the SpaceX pre-IPO trade on Hyperliquid. TIMESTAMPS: (00:00) Intro (01:16) Crypto ETFs (15:54) DAS Events 2026 (18:07) SpaceX Perps FOLLOW THE SHOW › David — https://x.com/dcanellis › The Breakdown — https://x.com/TheBreakdownBW › The Breakdown Newsletter — https://blockworks.com/newsletter/the-breakdown Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to the Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ DISCLAIMER As always, remember this podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely their opinions, not financial advice.
This week on Market Mondays, we broke down everything from the Knicks' impact on MSG stock to the future of AI, Bitcoin, ETFs, and the biggest opportunities shaping the next decade.We discussed why market volatility creates opportunity, what Trump's latest AI comments could mean for investors, OpenAI IPO speculation, the AI race with China, and whether Bitcoin's long-term thesis remains intact. We also covered BlackRock's ETF strategy, Ethereum's role in tokenization, the rise of one-click portfolios, and why Eli Lilly just joined the trillion-dollar club.Plus, we gave our thoughts on SpaceX IPO rumors, CrowdStrike's pullback, Marvell's momentum, MicroStrategy's Bitcoin strategy, and how to build a portfolio designed to win in the AI era. If you're serious about investing, wealth building, and staying ahead of market trends, this is an episode you don't want to miss.#MarketMondays #Investing #StockMarket #Bitcoin #AI #ArtificialIntelligence #OpenAI #BlackRock #Ethereum #ETFs #TechStocks #WealthBuilding #Finance #InvestingEducation #earnyourleisureAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
Keith talks with data-driven investor Neal Bawa, the "mad scientist of multifamily," about why apartment values have dropped 20%–30% while single-family prices have stayed resilient. They break down how interest rate shocks, the homeowner lock-in effect, and a wave of new multifamily supply are reshaping returns for today's investors. Keith and Neal also dissect the build-to-rent model—who it really serves, how apartment oversupply is pressuring its rents, and why pending legislation could upend the space. Neal closes with a specific, data-backed timeline for when multifamily rents and values may finally turn the corner, giving listeners a concrete roadmap instead of vague market guesses. Resources: Grocapitus Website - https://www.grocapitus.com Multifamily U's Free eBook: Location Magic - https://multifamilyu.com/lp/location-magic-ebook/ Multifamily U's Investor Club – https://multifamilyu.com/club Episode Page: GetRichEducation.com/609 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. For predictable 10-12% quarterly returns, visit FreedomFamilyInvestments.com/GRE or text FAMILY to 66866 Unlock truly passive real estate income—visit flockhomes.com/GRE today to see if your properties qualify for a 721 exchange with Flock Homes. To get in the best physical, mental, and professional shape of your life, go to DanielThomasHind.com and apply for Daniel's intensive 1-on-1 coaching for burnt-out entrepreneurs and executives. Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search "how to leave an Apple Podcasts review" For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— GREletter.com Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript: Keith Weinhold 0:00 Keith, welcome to GRE. I'm your host, Keith Weinhold. The single-family real estate market is steady, but with apartment building values down 20 to 30% since 2022 when will the multifamily Armageddon end? We ask our qualified guest, and how will slowing birth rates in immigration affect real estate? And more today on Get Rich Education. You know, Mid South Home Buyers, that top Memphis turnkey provider. I learned that a secret weapon behind their explosive growth is more than just you buying their properties, it's an executive coach for nine years now, their CEO, Terry Kerr, and his COO, Pat Nix, have worked privately with a coach who I've now learned from too, and he doesn't market himself online anywhere. After 12 years behind the scenes, that coach is now making himself available exclusively for GRE listeners. His name is Daniel Thomas Hind. If you're a hard-charging business owner or investor who wants to get in the best shape of your life, physically, mentally, and professionally, you can fill out an application for a free consult. This is private one on one coaching for those willing to go to uncommon lengths to achieve uncommon results. Thanks to Daniel, we've all become better leaders, better operators, and better men. It started by showing up for ourselves. Now it's your turn. Go to Daniel Thomas hind.com H I N D, that's Daniel Thomas hind.com and sign up before Spotsville Flock homes helps multifamily owners exit the operator grind, whether it's your six plex or a 50 unit apartment, through a 721 exchange. This defers your capital gains tax. It's a strategy long used by institutions. Now you can swap tenants and toilets for passive income and zero management. Request your initial valuations. See if your property qualifies at flockhomes.com/gre That's F L O C K homes dot com slash G R E. Neal Bawa 2:13 You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is Get Rich Education. Keith Weinhold 2:29 Welcome to GRE from Valencia, Spain to Valencia, California, and across 188 nations worldwide. America's favorite shaved mammal on a microphone is back with you for another wealth building week. I'm Keith Weinhold, and you're listening to Get Rich Education. The world's biggest problems are the world's biggest businesses. That's not a coincidence, and that's why we discuss housing here. And there's been a chronic shortage of affordable housing last month at a commencement speech, Harrison Ford, yes, the guy that played both Han Solo and Indiana Jones, talked about how a fulfilling life has both passion and purpose. Passion is what gets you out of bed in the morning, purpose is what helps you sleep at night, you and I. We can bring this mindset to our lifestyle, to the business we do, and to our investing. Treating tenants well is what helps real estate investors sleep well at night. While we're doing well, we can be doing good too. Multifamily syndicators keep failing, going out of business, and losing all of their investors' money due to mortgage rate resets. It just keeps happening. What this really means, that these groups that pooled together investor money to buy apartment buildings, largely that were set up in 2022 and earlier keep blowing up almost fully due to the fact that interest rates reset higher. Some of them had a fixed rate for five years. Well, rates spiked four years ago, and that's why a lot of them have yet to blow up, and these apartments have lost so much value that no one will refinance them, you know. Even if that apartment operator increased the net operating income over the years, even if rents went up, it doesn't matter. So, you still haven't heard the last of it. Do you remember a couple years ago, when a lot of people in the apartment space, they were saying just stay alive till 25 and that nonsense, like if you keep your head above water until 2025 oh well, then rates are certainly going to fall, and everyone's going to be okay. Well, 2025 is long gone. Keith Weinhold 5:01 Mortgage rates haven't fallen in any significant way, so that survive until 25 thing or whatever mantra derivative people used that was a farce, like I've said on the show here for years. You cannot predict interest rates, so I didn't make the call that they were going to go up or down at all, because you can't predict them, but so many people said, oh, rates will fall substantially by now, no way, you just can't make that assumption, you've got to take history over hunches, and all of that, a lot of those multifamily deals 100% depended. depended on refinancing at favorable rates, and that's exactly why they failed. A surefire way to look foolish is to predict interest rates. We'll talk more about the multifamily Armageddon with today's guest. I also want to get into what's called the 21st century road to housing act, because that became one of the most hotly debated housing policy provisions this year. And what this is, is a Senate bill, and it would require certain large institutional investors that develop these bills to rent single family communities. It would force them to sell those homes to individual buyers within seven years. So, in other words, what a big firm could do is build a neighborhood of rental homes, lease them for up to seven years, but they couldn't hold on to them any longer than that. They couldn't hold them indefinitely as rentals, this bill is not aimed at you, the individual investor. It is aimed at big institutions, and what I mean by that is that's generally defined as owning 350 or more homes. That's what we're talking about here. Small landlords and mom and pop investors are not the target, it targets corporate portfolios, and this means groups whose names you've probably heard of, like Blackstone, First Key Homes, Progress Residential, and Invitation Homes. They are some of the heavyweights that the government is looking to clamp down on, so whenever you hear someone talk about big Wall Street landlords, that is who they're talking about. Now, some groups are pretty worried about the 21st Century Road to Housing Act, like the NHB, that's the National Association of Home Builders, and a lot of multifamily groups are concerned, and why is that? Well, the effect is it could dramatically reduce new housing production. Keith Weinhold 7:44 See, a big institution like First Key Homes or Blackstone, they wouldn't want to even get into this business anymore. They wouldn't want to build big build to rent communities anymore if they have to sell them all within seven years. See, they want to buy and hold for the long term, kind of like what you and I are doing, because you and I know that owning a group of selective buy and hold single family rentals is a really profitable place to be, but so if they don't want to build, then that creates a reduction in supply, which could make prices go up, and then obviously hurt those trying to afford their own home. Well, that would defeat the purpose of this whole thing. I mean, my gosh, this always seems to happen when government gets involved. So, the 21st Century Road to Housing Act could limit supply, which is the exact opposite of its intent to get first-time home buyers into their first home, and if this passes, it does have bipartisan support. This lower supply, then yes, indeed puts upward pressure on prices. Just amazing. So then it could actually go on to help the everyday mom and pop investor, like you and I, that already owns property, the individual at last check, though they're looking to pass a version that still restricts some of these giant institutions from getting into build to rents, but yet it does not have that seven year sale requirement. What's really important to remember here is that Washington, they're looking to stifle big Wall Street players from the rental market, which could reduce supply. They're not targeting individual investors. The context that's important is that these groups, they own 10s of 1000s of homes, they don't own hundreds of 1000s, and they don't own a million, so it's a really small percentage of the housing market, whatever direction policy breaks, then the headlines that it creates are just greater in magnitude than the effect on the market is. It's an important frame of reference here. Let's meet this week's guest. This week we're welcoming back a guest that we haven't heard from in a year or two in real estate circles. He is popularly known as the mad scientist of multifamily. He's quite an in-demand speaker. He has a $500 million multifamily portfolio that he essentially shares with over 1300 investors. He's sharp, a good educator, and a straight shooter. That's why he's here. It's a warm welcome back to Neal Bawa. Neal Bawa 10:32 Thanks for having me on the show again. It's delightful to be here, and so many interesting things to talk about in the world these days. Keith Weinhold 10:38 There really are.. I don't know if we can get it all in, Bawa is spelled B A W A. Neal, I want to get to your future housing market outlook later. How you think the future looks, including when multi families quasi Armageddon might end. But first, you're known as a data driven real estate guy. Tell us about that, and how being data driven makes you profitable. Neal Bawa 11:03 I see concern, and I'll tell you why. The single family and multifamily market have been atrociously incredibly divergent since the first quarter of 2022 They have not tracked yet each other at all, even though if you look at the last 50 years, they tend to track each other. So you know, 2008 was a Armageddon for single family, Armageddon for multifamily, and they both sort of came up in 2012 2013 and then they had a really good time until Covid. Keith Weinhold 11:30 Yeah, Neal Bawa 11:31 but the second quarter of 2022 is when Fed started raising rates, and since then we've sort of slid - multifamily has gone down in terms of pricing between 20 and 30% depending upon the metro, you know, and depending upon whether it's new construction, new construction assets have gone down more than 30% and existing assets that are filled up have gone down by 20 to 30% depending upon the metro. So, metros that have a large amount of supply, closer to 30% decline in value, the metros that have less supply probably closer to 20% decline in value, right. Keith Weinhold 12:03 Demand demand has been pretty resilient. It's more of a supply story. Neal Bawa 12:06 It's a huge supply story, right. So, if you look at, you know, occupancy, essentially what's happened is there was so much supply that came in that really people started on those projects in 2022 maybe they didn't start a construction until 2023 they didn't finish construction until 2025 so they started leasing up in 2025 They had to give offer concessions two months, sometimes three months free, and so that pushed down the rents in 2025. And they're not done, because you typically can't rent an apartment in six months. If it's brand new, it's going to take you about 18 months to rent it, and sometimes 24 months, and so it's affected our rents in 2025 it's affecting our rents in 2026. Now it's unlikely to affect it in 2027 but we'll go there, you know, at a later stage. But at the moment, we, what we've seen is negative rent growth in the United States for multifamily for the last 12 to 15 months, and what I think is going to be negative rent growth in Q of this year and Q2 of this year, so Q1 was negative, Q2, which we are in now, is likely to be negative or flat now. Single family, on the other hand, has gone in a different direction, which has been very difficult to understand, and I believe it's taken me a while to really understand this, but I think I've finally figured it out. Single family prices are not down since 2022 which makes no sense at all, because the average mortgage in the United States today is almost double, almost double, not quite double, but almost double of what it was in at the beginning of 2022 when interest rates were about 3.3 3.4% Right now we're sitting around, you know, six and a half percent interest rates, so not quite doubled interest rates, but they've obviously gone up a fair bit, and as a result, your average, you know, mortgage has almost doubled, but home prices haven't dropped, which makes no sense if you really think about it, because home prices are a factor of demand, and they're also a factor of people's ability to pay, so if all of a sudden within four years you're paying, the mortgage is doubled, then less people are going to be able to buy, but it stayed up, the market has stayed up, and the biggest reason it stayed up is because of what is known as the lock-in effect. So, the US market typically has a million new homes every year, and there's more than a million existing homes that are transacted, right? So, it's an open market, it's a perfect competition market, but it hasn't been perfect competition for the last four years, because so many people locked in ridiculously low interest rates. Neal Bawa 14:28 Perfect example, in 2021 and 2022 I have a 15 year mortgage at 1.75% If I sell my house back to myself, my mortgage quadruples, quadruples, right, because it goes from 1.75% to six and a half percent, so I can't even imagine even think about leaving my home, right, because it's just such a perfect loan. Most people don't have anywhere near 1.75% but there's lots of people with more mortgages in the 3% three and a half percent, and 4% range that basically can't go anywhere, and because those homes are not coming into the market. The last three years the market has had this unusual not enough supply factor, and that's been keeping prices up. That is ending. That is ending, because what we've been tracking is the percentage of homes in the United States that have low mortgages. Low is simply defined as anything under four and a half percent, and that percentage is going down each quarter, because you know divorces happen, deaths happen, you know people move for jobs, and so every time that happens, that locked in rate goes away, because you sell your home and move on, and so for a while that lock in effect was predominant, it was controlling everything, but as time has gone on, interest rates were higher in 2324 2526 For also almost four years have passed since the rate started going up. So each quarter the percentage of homes in the US that have these low interest rates has slowly moved down, and we're almost back to a normal timeframe. Neal Bawa 15:53 And this is causing the single family market to not have a conniption, but we're starting to see a balancing of the market, where it's not just a buyer's market anymore, in some places it's actually seller's market, some places it's a buyer's market. So we're now starting to see home prices drop in number of markets in the United States. I can't say that they've dropped in super majors, but we're seeing a flattening out effect of home prices in most metros in the US, and there should be a flattening effect. Just to be blunt, I mean, obviously I own a bunch of single-family homes, so I just wanted them to keep going up for selfish reasons. But if you think about it, we had huge home price growth in like 30 plus percent in number of years, 2021 22 and even 23 and during those years, salaries only went up by two to 3% a year. In one year, they went up by 4% and rents also went up like crazy. There was a 2021 was 15% rent growth year. So, at some point, there had to be an adjustment, and we are in that period of adjustment where single family prices are basically flat on a national basis. Yes, going up in the San Francisco Bay Area because of AI, and going up in a couple other technology-heavy metros because of AI, but otherwise fairly flat, and I don't expect that to change for the next year. So, my forecast is next 12 to 18 months, home prices in the US are going to be flat on a nominal basis, they're going to be down on an inflation-adjusted basis, but you know, because of the Iran, more inflation's three and a half percent, so home prices should go up three and a half percent. So, if they stay where they are, well, they're really dropping three and a half percent. Keith Weinhold 17:29 Yeah, before this year began, I released our forecast, it was for 2% nominal home price appreciation in the one to four unit space for the US this year, and I still like how that looks. There's so much to unpack with what you just talked about. In my view, there's nothing unusual at all that when mortgage rates rose sharply a few years ago, that home prices rose as well. Why? Because actually, that's what usually happens, which is counterintuitive to most people. In all of our lifetimes, residential real estate prices have only fallen significantly one time, that was around 2008 due to a number of unusual circumstances. The only thing that's a bit different this time is, of course, how fast rates increased in 2022 and 2023 and people wondering if residential real estate prices could still keep up, and they certainly have, but yeah, you brought up this dichotomy, this bifurcation about how the apartment market and the one to four unit space kind of separated from each other in 2022 or 2023 That's what's so interesting. Neal Bawa 18:36 I do want to point out a couple things, though, and I don't want to be a Pollyanna here and talk about negative stuff, but I think that there's big difference between 2008 and that timeframe and where we are today, and that difference is, and it has multiple parts. Not all of your audience is aware of this. Until about 2012 the United States had very reasonable birth rates. You know, we were one of those countries that had avoided the debacle that Japan, Korea, China, and a number of other countries are seeing South Korea being the absolute worst, where basically they were producing one baby per generation, where you need about 2.2 babies just to kind of keep your population where it is, right, and the US was unusually high in that, and that we were still above that threshold, which meant that our population would continue to grow and not fall. Now, there was two reasons our population was growing: One, we had more than 2.2 babies per household, and second, we had a very significant amount of legal and a very significant amount of illegal or undocumented immigration. Right, so we had both of those pipelines today. All three of those have flipped, so the United States now basically looks like Korea or China or Japan in that every household is producing about one and a half babies, which means that our population growth, which hasn't stopped yet, because it takes a while for these things to catch. Up is likely to stop, like it's, and at some point decline again. Luckily, we're not there yet. The US is a fairly young population, unlike Japan, which is one of the oldest populations in the world. So, it'll, we'll still continue to see population growth, but there is no doubt. And you can ask Chat GPT, right? How has population growth in the United States slowed over the last 20 years. Neal Bawa 19:22 Make me a graph, and it will make you a very nice graph, and you'll very clearly see there's a slowdown in population growth. The second part is both documented and undocumented immigration. It's my estimate that since this administration took over, somewhere between half 1,000,001 million people have left the United States. Now it's very difficult to get an actual number, as you can imagine. A number of these people were undocumented, so we didn't really know how many there were to begin with. And a number of them, when they left, they also left by an undocumented rate, that you know, path. So we've lost a bunch of those people, and also the people that have stayed in the country, we've lost a number of them in the workforce. Here's a perfect anecdote, Keith. About 33% of the construction workforce in the United States was undocumented, one in three. In Texas, as much as 40% Keith Weinhold 19:45 Yeah, that's huge. Neal Bawa 19:45 It's very significant. Number of those people don't show up for work anymore. I don't think they've left the US, at least I don't think so. But they don't show up for work anymore, because that's how they get caught, right. So, what we've seen is that the construction workforce in the United States has become been decimated over the last 12 months, and the impact is much greater in the second half of 2025 than the first half. Why? Because even though they wanted to do ICE enforcement, they just simply didn't have enough agents, enough facilities, enough judges. When the second half of last year, they sort of started catching up on that, hiring more agents, getting more facilities, getting more judges, and so we started to see a real challenge there. I have properties in 10 markets in the US, and what I can say is about seven of those markets, mostly Southern markets, I am beginning to see dropping occupancy related to this phenomenon. I'm seeing a reduction, and so markets like Georgia and Texas, Florida are more hit than my northern markets like Idaho. I haven't seen any impact at all, but these southern markets, multiple properties, multiple metros, I'm seeing this - people, mostly of Spanish, Mexican origin, not renewing leases. I don't know what they're doing. I don't know if they're sleeping in their cars. I don't know if they're basically just, you know, staying with mom or staying with, you know, some other family. But I'm seeing a very, very big pullback in my leases tied to this, and occupancy is dropping in those markets that are heavily Hispanic. And so I'm seeing the impact of that on landlords, but I also know that there's an impact on the US at all, and overall demand on rentals, whether it's single family or multifamily. This is a significant impact, because I don't think that the Republicans are going to make a U-turn on this. I don't want to get political, but you know, stating the obvious. Keith Weinhold 19:45 Yes, United States had its biggest birth year in 2007 when there were more than 4 million babies born. The average age of the first time homebuyer today is 40 years old. If that holds true, that peak would take place in 2047 And then, yes, to your point about changes in immigration, yes, it sounds like a potentially a reduction in demand with what you're talking about, with some vacancies, and also maybe a reduction in supply when you have fewer construction workers to build these places as well, we're talking about building properties. Neal, I want to talk to you about the build to rent space. Somewhat is build to rent better than traditional real estate? I think that's what we really want to know. And for those that don't know, build to rent means when you construct a property where from day one that construction project is built for a tenant, not an owner occupant. I see a lot of pros and cons there. Can you talk to us about the trade-offs between build to rent and traditional real estate? Neal Bawa 19:52 Yeah, if you think about it, it's a really terrible word, built to rent, because if you think about the word built to rent should be apartments, right, but actually doesn't mean apartments, right? So, built to rent actually means single family or town homes that were built to rent out, right? And then you're like, why don't they just said built to rent apartments and town homes? Well, you know, was too long an acronym, and we suck at acronyms anyway. But BTR, or built to rent, is essentially building single family or town homes, but specifically building them to rent, and it doesn't include any apartments at all, right? And the reason why the BTR market was growing in the last five or six years is that roughly 18 million American families can no longer afford to buy starter single family homes, you know, and by starter I mean, small old single-family homes. That's how Americans usually started, you know, in their 20s and 30s. They would buy these homes, some of them, but they would fix up, and then they over time, in their 30s, late 30s and 40s and 50s, they would upgrade, and then at starting the 50s, it would flatten out, and then the 60s, they would start to downgrade, right? That's been a typical thing that's happened in America for 56 5070, years. Well, that is, cannot happen anymore. And it broke in 2022 until 2022 It was a normal cycle beyond 2022 because interest rates almost doubled, and the mortgages almost doubled, but the incomes only increased by 10 to 20% There became this orphaned generation of Americans, roughly 18 million families, that simply cannot afford to buy that starter home, and they are now forever renters. They don't know it. They think that they're going to catch up at some point, but five minutes with an Excel spreadsheet, I could prove it to them that they're not going to catch up. Neal Bawa 25:35 Maybe one in 100 families would see a very large increase in income, and that would result in them catching up, but for the most part, as a group, these 18 million families, they're forever enters as a group that didn't exist before 2021 right. It's entirely because of this outrageous increase in mortgages, while not seeing a drop in home prices, that led to this, and so those orphan families, they actually earn pretty well, so these are families that make 70, 80, $90,000 in mid markets. They make over $100,000 if they're living on the coasts or in expensive markets, and they still can't buy that, you know, starter home. And so they don't want to live in apartments. I have lots of apartments, old ones, new ones, and I want these people to live there, but they don't want to live there, and so they've been looking for an option, and that option has been developers like me building communities of 200 300 townhomes or single family homes with a small little yard, and then basically from day one, instead of selling them, renting them out, and then once you're done renting out the whole community with 200 tenants, then you sell that to an apartment company. You know, there's lots of apartment companies in the US that have 100,000 units. Well, they want to buy these because the turnover is lower. So, what happens is most of these town homes and single-family homes for rent. Families come in, and they typically rent for three to five years before they move, whereas in on my apartments I lose 40% of my tenants each year. So, if I have 200 tenants, I lose 80 of them every year, and I have to basically go back, clean up those units, deal with the vacancy. But when I have townhome communities like my Idaho Falls townhome community. I lose a tenant at roughly every four years, and so, as you can imagine, profitability goes up when turnover goes down, right? Neal Bawa 27:31 Because you don't have that cost of turnover and vacancy, and so eventually those large landlords that are holding 100,000 units figured out, I like this, what Neal Bawa is doing, he's building these 200 townhomes, I want to buy these from him when they're rented. I don't want to build them, I don't want to lease them up, I just want to buy them when they're stabilized. And so BTR became that name for that marketplace where developers would build townhomes and single families, rent them out, and then sell them to institutional, and it was some— Keith Weinhold 27:56 People think of fabulous institutionalization of the starter home. Neal Bawa 28:00 And in many ways it is, because what happened is, for a while, these institutional players, like Blackstone and BlackRock, they were like, we are just going to go out and buy 50,000 single-family homes, and that's going to be the institutionalized. Well, that worked really well if you bought in 2008 2009 2010 2011 because you got them bought them at a discount, but when they started buying them in 2015, 16, 17, 18 at ever higher prices, they didn't make any money. So the vast majority of these public funds that were created to buy large amounts of single family have failed if they've purchased anything in the last seven or eight years. If they bought before that, they made huge amounts of money. Family homes are so expensive that basically buying them for rental did not make sense, so these companies have now pivoted to saying we'll only buy communities that have 100 or 200 or 300 of these homes, because then we get the benefits of having centralized leasing, centralized property management, centralized maintenance, and I don't have homes spread all over the metro, they're all in one place, and I can make more profit from that. In theory, that's been good, and you might think that I'm bullish on BTR, but I'm actually today bearish on BTR for one single reason. About seven months ago, Republicans started talking about a bill - I don't know what the name of the bill is, but what this bill does is it forces builds to rent developers like me within seven years of building the property to sell all of the homes in that property to single family tenants, not to Blackstone, not to Blackrock, but to single family tenants. Hasn't passed yet, but it passed the Senate with an 8910 vote, which means that both Democrats and Republicans wanted to vote for this. If it passes the House, and because Donald Trump himself is very heavily opposed to it, he's made it very clear he doesn't like this. He's a developer, obviously. It hasn't passed the House yet, but if it passes the house, that will destroy the build to rent market. No one will ever build build to rent, because the worst possible thing is I build this, and within seven years I have to actually sell it to individual buyers. If I do that, my banks are going to hate me and not give me loans to build BTR anymore. Obviously, there's going to be some grandfathering to the communities that I'm building now, or maybe even build the ones that I'm building in 2027 maybe grandfathered. It usually is, because you know, Congress never does anything retroactively, and they give you a year or two, but if it passes, it's doomsday for BTR. I hope it doesn't happen, but that's the way it's looking, because it's bipartisan. Bipartisan bills are more likely to pass Keith Weinhold 30:40 Now for the mom and pop investor, the individual investor build to rents have obvious appeal due to your point about the lower turnover, lower maintenance costs on a new build, lower insurance costs often on a new build, and then there's the tenant appeal to a new build as well, but of course there is that investor downside. I think a lot of investors are aware of their thin initial cash flow that they're going to have on build to rent, but you know, Neal, another downside with build to rent, I think a lot of investors don't look at is, hey, just how many of these things are they building? Are they building 500 of them? Do I have some overbuild risk if I buy into this community that could suppress occupancy and rents for a while. Neal Bawa 31:21 What we've seen is that when Built to Rent started out in 2017-2018 it was its own asset class. It wasn't competing with apartments, it wasn't competing with single family rentals, it was just its own thing. However, in the last two or three years, as more and more apartments flooded the marketplace, we had a glut. It moved away from that. It basically started getting affected, and the rent started falling, just like any other portion of the market. You know, think of it as three portions of market. There's the built to rent, which I described, you know, brand new single family homes, town homes per rent. There's the apartments, both brand new and existing, and there's the single family rentals, right, which there are millions of. What we are seeing now is it's become one market, right? All of them are affecting each other, and the apartments, which have a huge amount of glut, there's a massive amount of new apartments that have come in in the last two years, are really pushing the rents down for single family, they're pushing that rents down for BTR. So, at this point, what I would say to people that have this concern, Keith, is simply look at incoming apartment supply, because if you're in a marketplace, and I'll give you examples of really good markets that are crushed right now. If you're in a market that has a lot of incoming supply, whether you buy a single family rental, a quadplex, a 50 plex that's an apartment, or 100 unit BTR, you're going to suffer for rent growth if you have a lot of incoming supply in 2026 and that is across the board in every market in the US. Huntsville, Alabama is, in my opinion, one of the most interesting markets in the US for 5 year, 10 year growth, right? Neal Bawa 32:54 If I had to say you don't need a loan, it's just your own cash, no investors, where would you put money in? It would be at the top of my list, not at the very top. Idaho Falls is definitely the number one market in the US in my list, but Huntsville is up there. But right now, do you know what rent growth in Huntsville is? Minus 2% negative 2% Why? Because there's 6000 units coming into a market that's, you know, 1/5 or 1/10 the size of Phoenix, right. It's 1/10 the size of Dallas, but it has half the units of Dallas or Phoenix coming in, and so rent growth is negative there. So, what I would say is today absolutely everyone that is an investor should understand that we live in the magic world of AI, and you should be talking with Chat GPT about incoming supply for any market that you're interested in, and using that to make your decisions, because all of these markets merged, BTR, new apartments, old apartments, single family, everything has emerged in the last 24 months, where they're all affecting each other, and if there's too much supply of any one kind, it's affecting all of the other markets, and that's the message that I have. And none of this is like you have to go buy a $25,000 software like Costar today. Chat GPT is your costar. Keith Weinhold 34:11 You're listening to Get Rich Education. We're talking with the mad scientist of multifamily, Neal Bawa, where we come back, including what he thinks about recovery for the beleaguered multifamily market. I'm your host, Keith Weinhold. What if you got your mortgage loans the same place I get mine? You sure can at Ridge Lending Group, NMLS 42056 They provided GRE listeners with more loans than anyone, because Ridge specializes in investment property. They'll help you build a long-term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your prequal, and even chat directly with President Caeli Ridge. While it's on your mind, start at ridgelendinggroup.com that's ridgelendinggroup.com Keith Weinhold 34:56 Let me ask you something: if you've worked hard to build wealth, is your money positioned to actually support your goals? A lot of accredited investors leave capital sitting in cash because it feels safe, but inflation and missed income opportunities can quietly erode its value. Freedom Family Investments offers freedom notes for investors seeking structured income backed by real estate. It's a straightforward approach built on real assets, not speculation. In full disclosure, I'm an investor myself. What I like is that their team walks you through how it all works, so you can decide if it aligns with your portfolio and income goals. Every investment carries risk, and nothing is guaranteed, but with a track record of consistent on-time investor payouts, they built real credibility. Go to freedomfamilyinvestments.com to book a clarity call, or text family 268 66 That's Family 266 866 Speaker 1 36:00 This is the star of the A E Show, The Real Estate Commission. Todd Rollette. Listen to Get Rich Education with my friend Keith Weinhold, and don't quit your daydream. Keith Weinhold 36:20 Welcome back to Get Rised Education. We're talking with Neal Bawa, a really sharp multifamily syndicator who's also highly data driven. And Neal, tell us more about the beleaguered multifamily market that had those aforementioned problems really cropping up in 2022 and we had a lot of supply and spiking rates. What does it look like for the path to recovery for the US multifamily market? Neal Bawa 36:45 Luckily, demand is strong, and even though occupancies have dropped, typically the multifamily market, the large multifamily market in the US, tends to be between 95 and 96% occupied. Okay, and right now we're on 93% so that all that incoming supply means that about 7% of our apartments in the US are empty at the moment, we're trying to fill them, and we are seeing that occupancy drop, not across just new apartments that are leasing up, but also drop in class B and class C. We've also seen a huge increase in concessions, so I studied this quite obsessively, and I can tell you that 2026 in some markets is the recovery year, but not across the board in the United States, and the reason for that is sentiment. Once renters get used to huge amounts of concessions, it's like a drug, it takes a little while before you wean those renters off of those drugs, and so there's that hit right now. Every renter program, Keith Weinhold 37:44 Everyone wants their freebie for good. Neal Bawa 37:46 Yeah, exactly. It's like, hey, what, you're not giving me two months free? Hey, what, you're not even offering me one month free? It takes a while for that expectation to happen, because there's such a huge amount of concessions in the US. So, to me, there are a few markets, usually the smaller markets or very fast growing markets, where there's a recovery in 2026 but otherwise 2027 The first half of 2027 is recovery. The second half of 2027 is fast rent growth in a lot of markets. Why? Because remember, interest rates have been high since 2023 A lot of projects were started in 2022 went into construction in 23 came to market in 25 and 26 Lease ups are happening in 25 and 26 By early mid 27 these are all leased up, right? The second half of 2027 there isn't a lot of delivery in any of these big markets, because to deliver in the second half of 27 you would have started construction in that second half of 2025 and I counted those permits market by market. There's just not a lot, because by that time everyone knew that projects were not getting funded, everyone knew that interest rates were high, so there wasn't a lot of supply of new starts in the apartment market in the second half of 25 so there's not going to be a lot of delivery in the second half of 27 and all of the existing stuff would have been leased by then. So 2026 is one of those years where we could still see more concessions in the second half of 2026 I still see rent growth for apartments to be flat. You mentioned single family might be a little bit higher. It tends to be a little bit higher than apartments in terms of rent growth, but I think flat rent growth for 2026 is what I'm projecting. I'm projecting small rent growth in the first half of 2027 for most markets, and then I'm projecting robust rent growth, call it 3% or greater on an annualized basis, in the second half of 2027 and I'm projecting that most markets in the US that are not seeing a population drop, so count out places like Detroit are going to see a very aggressive rent growth, four or 5% rent growth, that's aggressive in our world, in 2028 28 and 29 are shaping up to be. Supply deficit years, years where supply is well under demand. Keith Weinhold 40:05 It's pretty easy to project completions when you just go ahead and look at starts, and really, what you're counting is the story of absorption. Neal Bawa 40:14 Yep, and what's nice about apartments is you can actually build a single family home in about nine months, right, but you can't build apartments in less than 24 months. There's just so much permitting issues, there's so many delivery issues, fire code issues, and so we have a crystal ball on the multifamily side that we are now getting better at using. I don't think the industry was very good at this in 2022 but now we're really all obsessed with how many permits does my metro have, and how many permits does my state, and how many permits does the US have? And everyone that I know in the industry that's data driven knows that there's a massive glut now, maybe a little bit of a glutton that remaining portion of 2026 equilibrium in 27 and a huge, huge supply deficit in 28 and 29 So everything that I'm doing is based on this, and this crystal ball actually works because of that two year gap between shovels in the ground and delivery, Keith Weinhold 41:10 and it sounds like you've recommended Chat GPT as a go-to source for investors to look into these things, that happens to be my favorite one as well, and you are well, maybe it's a bit too much to say, but it almost feels like to me pioneering with the way that you use AI. In fact, I know before our show today you were running some other things in the background that made me wonder, hey, am I talking to the real Neil or the clone Neil? I know I've got the real Neil here, but why don't you tell us about how you're using AI to make data-driven decisions in real estate? Neal Bawa 41:40 Sure, so the first thing is that we've completed our journey with the low hanging fruit of AI. Every single person in our company is fully trained on how to use Chat GPT. Most of our research-related processes are automated. For example, 100% of our investor updates are now written by Chat GPT. What we do is we go into our property manager meetings on Mondays or Tuesdays sit down with them, beat them up, and the transcript is then taken by our team in the Philippines. They take that transcript and put it into a pre-trained Chat GPT string, it's called a custom GPT, and the string took a while to train, but now that it's trained, all it needs is a transcript. We just copy paste it in, we don't give it any instructions, and it outputs a really wonderful investor update, right. And so our updates for our investors are 99% written by AI. Of course, we'll go in and add our comments at the end of the process. So we've automated investor updates, rent comps, so you know if we are underwriting a new property today, what we do is we simply go into a Google file and copy paste the address and hit enter roughly once a minute. A software, which is written by AI - we're not coders, but the software knows how to write code - it checks the file, if it sees a new address, it goes in there, grabs the address, and then it basically goes to apartments.com rent.com realtor.com and all of these places, and checks the rents for this particular property in two mile radius. It eliminates all the ones that don't match, like you don't want to match the rents of a 1970 or 80s built property with a brand new 25 built property. Those are not comps, it's not comparable. So it basically is very careful, it keeps a radius range of two miles, and also basically is a property of the same kind, you know, like it never matches up a three story property with a 10 story property. Those don't match, one of them obviously is more of a central business district or downtown sort of thing, and so it basically grabs all of those rent comps and then puts them into a file and posts in a Slack channel. Usually it takes it about 1213 minutes to do that, and so whoever put that address in about 12 minutes later goes into the Slack channel and says, "Hmm, these are all my rent comps, right? And boom, now you're basically, you have all these ready rent comps. So, what we've done is, we've automated a significant portion of what we are doing with both our property managers and inside the company with acquisitions and things like that, we're also scraping massive amounts of data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics website, which we just couldn't deal with that data before, and building very beautiful, very interactive dashboards. We don't use Chat GPT for that. We find for dashboarding a tool called Claude, which is by a company called Anthropic, is much better, so we have currently over 150 interactive dashboards that Claude has created that update in real time and give us access to data. If anything, I find that we are in this incredible time where decision making has become much easier, as long as you spend time with these tools. So, in our company we have an absolute mandate that no one has broken for the last year. One year per day, people must program, and by programming we mean issuing common language instructions to tools and build dashboards and build software that automates our work. Have we laid off anyone because of this? I mean that. Be the next obvious question. The answer is no, because it's made it easier for us to serve a much larger audience, so it's easier to grow your company. We just are not hiring anyone, and we haven't hired anybody for the last 18 months, so we have a hiring freeze, but at the same time all of our people are employed because they're they're now much more valuable. So everyone in our company is now a programmer, and even though that sounds weird, it's completely true. Neal Bawa 45:24 Every single person in our company writes code, and they write code by talking with Cloud Code or talking with Chat GPT, and then Chat GPT, of course, does the actual code writing, but people have become very, very good at answering questions and saying, "I want a dashboard like this, turn these radio buttons into drop boxes, and give me the last month, and last three months, and last 12 months, and do this, and do that, and connect this, and I also want to host this on a server, but I want to make sure that only I can see it. I need a password added. Imagine 1000 of these conversations happening in our company every day. Yeah, that's interesting. And what you just described Keith Weinhold 46:00 there at Gro Capitas is somewhat of a microcosm for what's happening in the broader economy, where we've been in this low high or low fire environment for quite a while. Well, Neal, as we're winding down here, we recently had a new Fed chair come in. It seems incomprehensible to me that there could possibly be any rate cuts. I don't know how we could responsibly make a rate cut with all these inflationary layers. We had the pandemic, and then terrorists, and then the Iran war, and the energy shocks, and all these bottled up supply chains. What are your thoughts with regard to the Fed? Neal Bawa 46:29 I still think that we'll get one rate cut, and that rate cut will be based on political pressure. So, for the first time ever, I have seen the Fed break into factions, so if you look at the latest Fed meeting, which happened, you know, there was dissent, there were two clear factions, so the Fed is becoming less data driven and more faction driven, and I think that one of the factions, which obviously wants rate cuts to go down, is going to triumph at some point later in the year, but until we get past the incredible increase in inflation because of the Iran war, I don't think that faction is going to win. Right, there's three or four people in that faction, that's not enough votes to get past the others. So I'm predicting no rate cuts until Q4 of this year. If the Fed was entirely logical, there should still not be a rate card in Q4, but I think it'll happen because there's political pressure. Keith Weinhold 47:25 The preservation of independence is key. Neil Bhawa, this has been great, and a lot of people learn from you. You're a brilliant educator, as well as what you're doing in the multifamily space, and a lot of other places. So, if someone wants to connect with you, learn more about what you do. What's the best way for them to do that? Neal Bawa 47:43 So we built a website called Multi Family University. It's completely free. There is no subscription. There's no upsell. We do not have an educational product, but what we do is each year we have 8-12 webinars that we create with their extraordinarily good looking thanks to the use of AI. Yay, and we share them with an audience, and usually between 5000 and 1000 people attend our webinars each year, of which roughly 1% become investors with us. The rest, the remaining 99% just continue to get free access to data, and we cover every imaginable real estate topic: Single family, multifamily, industrial hotels, self storage, Airbnb, and even controversial topics outside of real estate, like climate change or impact of climate change and impact of AI. So you know, multifamily university is the best place you can go to, multifamily you.com/club It's a free club, and it's free forever. Keith Weinhold 48:42 Neal, it's been valuable to our audience. Thanks so much for coming back out of the show. Neal Bawa 48:46 Thanks for having me. Keith Weinhold 48:53 Oh, a terrific, wide-ranging chat with Neal. There, yes, this interesting 2022 divergence between single family and multifamily, the slowing birth rate, and how that won't really catch up with real estate in a big way for perhaps 20 plus more years. How single family rentals beat multifamily on the basis of tenant retention, and a lot more that we covered there, and he's got a good data driven timeline for apartments being back in favor by 2027 and 2028 After the interview, Neil and I chatted some more off Mike, and he would like to come back on the show next year. We're probably going to have him, because we have a lot more to talk about at that time. We can see if the multifamily market is really healing. Also, did you pick up on this? I wonder why, for his own home he would get a 15 year mortgage at 1.75% interest, so I'll have to ask him about that. That's surely a fantastic interest rate, but a 15 year loan rather than a 30 year that maybe he could have gotten at two and a half percent at the time. Well, 15 year probably. Is not the best use of capital, because it increases your equity position rapidly. When instead, those dollars could have been out in the market earning an actual return somewhere else. But he's a smart guy, he must have an answer. We can talk about that at that time. We've got a lot of terrific shows coming up here on the GRE podcast, specific learning episodes, where it's just me teaching you, as well as new guests and returning guests too. Until next week, I'm your host, Keith Weinhold. Don't quit your daydream. Speaker 2 50:35 Nothing on this show should be considered specific personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial, or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of Get Rich Education LLC exclusively. Speaker 2 51:03 The preceding program was brought to you by Your Home for Wealth Building, getricheducation.com.
Jefferey Jaxen guest hosts this week, while Del continues touring across Europe with our film, An Inconvenient Study.ICAN Lead Attorney Aaron Siri, Esq., joins Jefferey to discuss a controversial Department of Justice brief involving COVID vaccine mandates.Next, we'll highlight Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton's new investigation into major food companies' use of glyphosate, exposing shocking regulatory loopholes.Then, as communities across America push back against the rapid expansion of AI data centers, former BlackRock portfolio manager Ed Dowd breaks down the surprising financial reality behind the boom.Plus, raw milk activist Max Kane shares his mission to transform the future of food through regenerative agriculture, raw food, and local food systems, and talks about his recent meeting with HHS Secretary Robert Kennedy, Jr.Guests: Aaron Siri, Esq., Ed Dowd, Max KaneBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-highwire-with-del-bigtree--3620606/support.