Podcasts about Yield curve

  • 409PODCASTS
  • 1,081EPISODES
  • 28mAVG DURATION
  • 5WEEKLY NEW EPISODES
  • Oct 3, 2025LATEST
Yield curve

POPULARITY

20172018201920202021202220232024

Categories



Best podcasts about Yield curve

Show all podcasts related to yield curve

Latest podcast episodes about Yield curve

Investing Insights
How Inflation, AI, and Budget Battles Will Shape the Stock Market in Q4

Investing Insights

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2025 23:33


Investors' exuberance is fueling this year's stock rally, but will key economic risks dampen the market's mood? The current bull run has lifted stocks from their springtime lows to higher levels in autumn. The artificial intelligence boom is one of the big factors driving it. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is dealing with the challenging situation of balancing the weakening job market and stubborn inflation. The Fed cut interest rates for the first time in 2025 in the third quarter, but the path forward from here is less certain. Morningstar Inc Senior Markets Reporter Sarah Hansen discusses seven key market factors you should watch in Q4 2025.Nvidia's investment of up to $100 billion in ChatGPT creator OpenAI could shatter records. The big bet is helping feed two simple narratives about the AI era, according to Dan Kemp, chief research and investment officer at Morningstar Investment Management Europe. First, there's too much investment in the technology, and booms tend to lead to busts. Second, AI has changed the rules of investing and returns. Kemp cautions investors to remember that there are a wide range of possible outcomes than these easy stories.  On this episode:You examine the highs and lows during each quarter and write about it. What do you think are the biggest takeaways from Q3? Stocks are climbing higher despite a lot of risks. What signals is the market ignoring, and could it be at its own peril? The AI boom is driving what's going on in the market. Mega-cap tech companies are making huge investments. Where's the money going, and how long is this level of spending expected to continue? The hot IPO market has benefited from AI. Some of the most successful IPOs this year involved the industry. Can you describe this revival? The first interest rate cut of 2025 is in the books. The Federal Reserve pointed to the softening job market as one reason for the move. What are strategists telling you as the markets await the Fed's next move? Inflation is still not tamed and hovering above the Fed's 2% target. There are expectations that tariffs could raise prices for a while. What are the outlooks from Morningstar and other strategists? As the Fed cuts rates, short-term yields will come down. What about the rest of the bond market? Where do people see the risks? The federal funding fight is continuing in Washington, D.C. Let's timestamp this moment. It's Tuesday, Sept. 30. The US government would shut down on Oct. 1 if there's not an agreement. How does uncertainty like this affect the markets, and what should investors think? Earnings season is coming up in a couple weeks. What is your team watching for? What's the takeaway for investors as we enter Q4?We talked on last week's Investing Insights about inflation. The Federal Reserve's preferred tracker showed inflation slightly ticked up in August as forecasters expected. It also revealed consumer spending rose. What do you think that's signaling about the US economy? In this week's Markets Brief column, you highlighted Nvidia's potentially record-breaking investment. The chipmaker announced it would invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI. How should investors think about this deal?New economic data is due out this week. What are you tracking for next week's Markets Brief? Read about topics from this episode.  13 Charts on Q3's Tech-Driven Stock Rally Will the AI Boom in Semiconductor Stocks Continue? What Investors Need to Know About the Steepening Yield Curve The Fed's ‘Difficult Situation': Reading Between the Lines of the September Dot Plot Forecasts for August PCE Report Shows Some Cooling, but Tariff Impacts Persist What Investors Need to Know About a US Government Shutdown Markets Brief: Nvidia's AI Spending Spree Raises Boom and Bust Fears  What to watch from Morningstar. Is Your Dividend Income at Risk? Here's How to Spot Dividend Traps Should You Hold Cash Investments After the Fed Cuts Interest Rates?What You Need to Know Before Choosing a Stock ETFInvesting in AI? Here Are 6 Undervalued Stocks for Buy-and-Hold Investors Read what our team is writing.Sarah HansenDan KempIvanna Hampton Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/

The Treasury Update Podcast
Talking Tariffs: Current Status and Investment Impacts (Federated Hermes)

The Treasury Update Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 29, 2025 33:01


Craig Jeffery talks with Damian McIntyre and John Mosko of Federated Hermes about the evolving state of US tariffs, court rulings, and their ripple effects on inflation, the Fed, and investment strategies. They explore how companies are reacting, what it means for rates, and how treasury professionals can navigate duration and asset decisions in this environment.   Views are those of Federated Securities Corp. as of 9/05/25, and are subject to change based on market conditions and other factors. These views should not be construed as a recommendation for any specific security or sector. Bond prices are sensitive to changes in interest rates, and a rise in interest rates can cause a decline in their prices. You could lose money by investing in a mutual fund. Although some money market funds seek to preserve the value of your investment at $1.00 per share, they cannot guarantee they will do so. An investment in these funds is not a bank account and is not insured or guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other government agency. Ultrashort and other short duration bond funds are not “money market” mutual funds. Some money market mutual funds attempt to maintain a stable net asset value through compliance with relevant Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) rules. Short duration funds are not governed by those rules, and their shares will fluctuate in value. Due to various risks and uncertainties, actual events, results or actual performance may differ materially from that reflected or contemplated in any forward-looking statements. Nothing contained herein may be relied upon as a guarantee, or a representation as to the future. Although the information provided in this podcast has been obtained from sources which Federated Hermes believes to be reliable, it does not guarantee accuracy of such information and such information may be incomplete or condensed. Federated Hermes is not affiliated with Strategic Treasurer.

At Any Rate
US Rates: Yield curve bull flattens ahead of September FOMC

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 12, 2025 10:36


US Rates strategists Phoebe White and Ipek Ozil reflect on the drivers of this week's bull flattening move and discuss views ahead of next week's FOMC meeting and the September corporate tax day.   Speakers Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy Ipek Ozil, Head of US Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy   This podcast was recorded on Sept 12, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5080506-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5076988-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

#AskPhillip
Harvesting Volatility Using Options - The New Yield Curve

#AskPhillip

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2025 20:53


Key Takeaways:   The options yield curve is a powerful tool: It offers a way to earn high returns in today's markets, providing a modern alternative to old interest-rate-based strategies. Sell options on liquid assets: Selling options on assets like Bitcoin or the S&P 500 can be like running a renewable energy plant—using market ups and downs to create steady income. Read market emotions and patterns: Knowing how emotions, seasonal trends, and the volatility risk premium work can help you time your investments better. Profit from volatility gaps: The difference between implied and realized volatility can be an opportunity for gains, especially in emotional markets. Blend defense and offense in strategy: Taleb's approach focuses on protecting against losses, while Washington's uses emotional energy for gains—together they make a strong market strategy. Chapters: Timestamp Summary 0:00 Understanding the Options Yield Curve in Modern Finance 3:19 Economic Depression and the Impact of Low Interest Rates 5:19 Emotional Energy and Market Volatility as Waves 9:23 Understanding Volatility Risk Premium in Bitcoin Options Trading 17:02 Emotional Strength and Market Strategies for Financial Success   Powered by Stone Hill Wealth Management   Social Media Handles    Follow Phillip Washington, Jr. on Instagram (@askphillip)   Subscribe to Wealth Building Made Simple newsletter https://www.wealthbuildingmadesimple.us/   Ready to turn your investing dreams into reality? Our "Wealth Building Made Simple" premium newsletter is your secret weapon. We break down investing in a way that's easy to understand, even if you're just starting out. Learn the tricks the wealthy use, discover exciting opportunities, and start building the future YOU want. Sign up now, and let's make those dreams happen!   WBMS Premium Subscription   Phillip Washington, Jr. is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

The Dividend Cafe
Tuesday - September 9, 2025

The Dividend Cafe

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 9, 2025 6:41


Daily Market Update: Record Closes and Economic Revisions In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel discusses the record-high closes on the DOW, S&P, and Nasdaq, noting a significant boost in the last 30 minutes of trading. He reviews year-to-date market performance and the recent revision in non-farm payroll numbers, which saw a considerable downward adjustment. The episode also covers the unusual yield curve movements, expectations for potential Fed rate cuts, and upcoming economic indicators such as the PPI and CPI numbers. Additionally, small business optimism has ticked up, reflecting a more confident outlook. The bond market's reaction, particularly the decline in 10-year yields, is analyzed, indicating potential continued strength in long-duration investments. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 01:02 Employment Data and Revisions 02:24 Yield Curve and Interest Rates 03:20 Economic Indicators and Small Business Sentiment 03:59 Bond Market and Long Duration Investments 04:40 Conclusion and Upcoming Events Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

On Investing
The Housing Market Remains Out of Sync

On Investing

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 5, 2025 21:09


In this conversation, Kathy Jones and Liz Ann Sonders discuss the current state of the housing market, the implications of potential Fed policy changes, and the broader economic indicators that could affect market expectations. They explore the complexities of housing affordability, the yield curve, and the potential impact of this week's job reports on both the equity and bond markets. The discussion highlights the interconnectedness of various economic factors and the uncertainty surrounding future market movements.Check out Liz Ann Sonders's and Kevin Gordon's recent housing article "Take the Long Way Home: Is Housing Bottoming?" On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.(0925-9RZJ)

At Any Rate
Global FX and Rates: Yield curve steepening, payrolls and FX hedge ratios

At Any Rate

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 5, 2025 18:30


Meera Chandan, Francis Diamond, Patrick Locke and Octavia Popescu discuss the drivers of yield curve steepening across DM markets, FX implications of fiscal differentiation/ US payrolls and the latest developments in FX hedge ratios.   Speakers Meera Chandan, Global FX Strategy Francis Diamond, Global Rates Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy Octavia Popescu, Global FX Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 5 September 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5073426-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

TD Ameritrade Network
Yield Curve Focal Point Ahead of Key Jobs Data, CRM Earnings Slide

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 8:49


Kicking off Thursday's coverage, Kevin Green has his eyes on the bond market domestically and internationally. He highlights the 4.2% level as key point to watch for the U.S. 10-year treasury. KG adds that it's appearing more "50/50" odds that there could be 75bps of rate cuts in 2025. Later, he discusses the run higher in gold prices citing central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions as drivers for the precious metal. KG then looks at the post-earnings reaction for Salesforce (CRM) as shares slide after weak guidance and for HP Enterprise (HPE) after record 2Q revenue.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

FICC Focus
Macro Matters: Yield-Curve Steepening With Mizuho's Konstam

FICC Focus

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 26:04


The real yield curve may steepen from both ends much further then it has, Mizuho Securities Head of Macro Strategy Dominic Konstam says on this Macro Matters edition of FICC Focus podcast. Konstam joins host Ira Jersey, head of interest-rate strategy at Bloomberg Intelligence. After reviewing Konstam's career arc, the two discuss term premium and how shifts in the yield curve could effect risk assets. Konstam thinks Trump Administration policies will continue to weight on the dollar. The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI's FICC Focus series.

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News
9.3.25 Commercial MBS; Rob Chrisman on Product Suites; Yield Curve Shift

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 3, 2025 18:39 Transcription Available


The Chrisman Commentary Daily Mortgage News Podcast delivers timely insights for mortgage lenders, loan officers, capital markets professionals, and anyone curious about the mortgage and housing industry. Hosted by industry expert Robbie Chrisman, each weekday episode breaks down mortgage rates, lending news, housing market trends, capital markets activity, and regulatory updates with insightful analysis, expert perspectives, and conversations with top professionals from across the mortgage industry. Stay informed, gain actionable insights, and keep up with developments in mortgage banking and housing finance. Learn more at www.chrismancommentary.com.In today's episode, we go through trends across the credit landscape, including for commercial mortgage-backed securities. Plus, Robbie sits down with Rob Chrisman for a discussion on lender product offerings and what the fall season has traditionally meant for residential lending. And we close by looking at what MBS spreads from the U.S. Treasury yield curve have been doing to mortgage rates versus historical norms. Sponsored by Gallus Insights. Mortgage KPIs, automated, at your fingertips. Gallus allows you to turn data from your various databases and systems into automated business intelligence and actionable insights. 

TD Ameritrade Network
Yield Curve Steepening & What it Means for the Fed

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 2, 2025 6:23


Sean Dranfield stops by Morning Movers with his take on the treasury market. Looking at the yield curve, he provides context to the front end of the curve as investors carefully eye developments for any easing from the Federal Reserve. Sean adds that tariff uncertainty and possible refunds to already collected tariffs could be a tough environment for bond market investors.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Dantes Outlook Market Podcast
Sweet Spot for Bonds and Navigating Equity Pullbacks

Dantes Outlook Market Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 30, 2025 6:22


Rates & Fed Policy: Markets are overly optimistic on rate cuts; inflation remains sticky, keeping the Fed cautious (DeepMacro).Equity Positioning: Systematic funds are heavily tilted toward equities, with allocations at or near record highs (MenthorQ).China Equities: Narrowing gap between H-shares and A-shares signals opportunity; liquidity and household cash provide strong support (HSBC).Market Breadth: Short-term indicators are overbought, but long-term breadth remains healthy (Dantes Outlook).Fixed Income: Attractive yields unlikely to return to pre-pandemic lows; belly of the curve (5–6 year maturities) offers a balance of income and rate risk (Vanguard).Municipals & Credit: Municipal bonds and investment-grade credit stand out as high-quality, inexpensive options.Equities: Active managers struggle against the Magnificent Seven; indexing provides a strong foundation, while Industrials, Financials, and Healthcare offer selective momentum opportunities (Morningstar, Dantes Outlook).Takeaway: Stay disciplined, revisit bond allocations, and avoid overstretching for yield or risk.

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News
8.28.25 Money, Money, Money; Truework's Victor Kabdebon on Homebuyer Sentiment; Yield Curve Steepening

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2025 25:06 Transcription Available


Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we go through all the news stories from the mortgage industry. Plus, Robbie sits down with Trueworks Victor Kabdebon for a discussion on data from recent homebuyer surveys pertaining to products and lender decisions. And we close by looking at why the U.S. Treasury yield curve has been steepening as of late.FHA fall-out borrowers represent untapped market shares that can stabilize your shrinking pipeline. Arrive Home's Earned Equity Program supports these clients on their path to meaningful homeownership. Additionally,  FHA borrowers who don't have the benefit of family assistance are able to qualify using the Nation's leader in DPA. 

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News
8.26.25 Fed Governor Cook Drama; Arrive Home's Shawn King on Down Payment Assistance; Yield Curve Shape

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2025 26:12 Transcription Available


Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we go through the unfolding drama surrounding Fed Governor Cook's firing. Plus, Robbie sits down with Arrive Home's Shawn King for a discussion on how downpayment assistance is helping millions of Americans build generational wealth. And we close by looking at how the shape of the yield curve is impacting ARM production.FHA fall-out borrowers represent untapped market shares that can stabilize your shrinking pipeline. Arrive Home's Earned Equity Program supports these clients on their path to meaningful homeownership. Additionally,  FHA borrowers who don't have the benefit of family assistance are able to qualify using the Nation's leader in DPA. 

The Wall Street Skinny
176. Chamath's New SPAC (Detailed Breakdown) Plus Europe's Yield Curve Warning

The Wall Street Skinny

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2025 49:26


Send us a textThis week on The Skinny on Wall Street, Kristen and Jen dive into the resurgence of SPACs and yes, Chamath Palihapitiya, the once-dubbed “SPAC King,” is back with a brand-new deal. We unpack what a SPAC really is, why they exploded in 2020, changes in the new structures and more. From warrants and dilution to sponsor “promotes” and fee double-dips, we break down the mechanics in plain English and debate whether this latest wave feels like opportunity or déjà vu all over again.Alongside the SPAC talk, we zoom out to explore what's happening in broader markets. Jen highlights shifts in global rates,  including why European long-term yields are rising even as the ECB cuts, while Kristen points to an unusual disconnect with U.S. credit spreads at 30-year lows. We also touch on a wild market day sparked by headlines about AI pilot program failures, raising the question of whether investors are once again pricing perfection into risk assets.Finally, we share some exciting updates from The Wall Street Skinny itself. We've launched live interactive events like AI-Proof Your Career on LinkedIn and YouTube, giving listeners the chance to learn and engage with us directly. Plus, in the spirit of “back to school,” we're running a limited-time flash sale on our finance courses, from express Excel bootcamps to deep-dive investment banking and private equity technicals. Whether you're a student, a new hire, or just a finance junkie, this episode blends timely Wall Street analysis with practical ways to sharpen your own skills.Find courses HERE and use code AUG25FLASH for 20% off through August 24, 2025!For a 14 day FREE Trial of Macabacus, click HERE For 20% off Deleteme, use the code TWSS or click the link HERE! Our Investment Banking and Private Equity Foundations course is LIVEnow with our M&A course included! Shop our LIBRARY of Self Paced Online Courses HEREJoin the Fixed Income Sales and Trading waitlist HERE Our content is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

Bitcoin Magazine
Is Strategy Becoming the Central Bank of the Future? | Bitcoin for Corporations Ep. 11

Bitcoin Magazine

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 15, 2025 48:12


In this episode of the Bitcoin for Corporations Show, Pierre Rochard and Spencer Nichols unpack Strategy's Q2 earnings: FASB's mark-to-market EPS, perpetual preferreds (“stretch/stride/strike/strife”), ATM/MAV guidance, and the idea that Strategy could scale from ~4% to ~8% of outstanding bitcoin. They also dig into bitcoin-as-collateral, reflexivity, and treasury risk management.

TD Ameritrade Network
Finding Opportunities in a Steepening Yield Curve

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2025 8:12


David Busch assumes the higher PPI numbers are tariff-related and will pass through to the CPI measurements soon enough. “Inflation is still persistent, it's still sticky,” forcing the Fed onto a longer path for rate cuts. He's looking at sectors like consumer discretionary, which could benefit from a steepening yield curve. “I would also consider REITs,” he adds, with the expectations that rates will come down, but emphasizes the need for quality names. He also likes fixed income.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

SL Advisors Talks Energy
AI, Trump And The Yield Curve

SL Advisors Talks Energy

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 10, 2025 5:38


The other day I listened to an interview with the CEO of Anthropic, Dario Amodei, on an Economist magazine podcast. Anthropic is in AI safety and research. They write large language models for sectors including healthcare and financial services. Many people think AI will create such fundamental change that it will eliminate jobs across large […]

The Treasury Update Podcast
Reading the Curve: Decoding the 10-Year Yield

The Treasury Update Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2025 28:35


Paul Galloway examines the current shape of the yield curve and the signals behind the 10-year treasury yield. He discusses market uncertainty, interest rate dynamics, inflation, and geopolitical factors influencing investor behavior. What does a flat curve mean for recession risk, borrowing costs, and future rates? Tune in to decode the outlook.

TD Ameritrade Network
Investing in the ‘Belly' of the Yield Curve & ‘Bond Laddering'

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2025 7:51


Karen Veraa-Perry expects more U.S. investors to move from money markets to the bond market. She especially likes the 3 to 7-year part of the curve, but also sees investor interest in international bond markets. Karen notes record-breaking flows into Blackrock's 0-3 month Treasury bond ETF (SGOV) as well. She forecasts 1-2 rate cuts this year, with the highest probability in September. She explains popular ways for investors to get exposure to fixed income markets, including “bond laddering.”======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

TD Ameritrade Network
Wizman: Bet on Yield Curve Steepening This Year

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2025 6:35


The delayed August 1 trade deadline is pushing back any potential Fed rate cuts, says Thierry Wizman. He thinks there should be more easing and does expect at least one cut this year, citing a weakening consumer and labor market. Right now, he sees opportunities “outside of the normal business cycle” and betting on the yield curve steepening.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Market MakeHer Podcast
98. Reading The Yield Curve Like a Crystal Ball for the Economy

Market MakeHer Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 46:44


Ever hear someone say “the yield curve is inverted,” but have no idea what that means? Or people talking about the “10-year” yields and not knowing why that matters? Or what "bond prices and yields have an inverse relationship" means?? Saaaaammmeeee.In this episode, we're definitely getting a bit more advanced, but it's important to grasp these concepts as best as you can, because it will really help you understand how the economy, monetary policy, and what's happening in the world - really does affect how our money makes money. Today we are FULLY breaking down the yield curve—what it is, what moves it, and why it's one of the most important signals in the entire market. We'll explains how things like inflation, economic growth, government debt, and even global drama (yes, drama) can make yields rise or fall.You'll learn:What the yield curve actually shows usWhy inflation expectations are everythingHow supply and demand for bonds move the marketWhat the bond market thinks about the FedWhy geopolitics can send yields swinging in both directionsIf you've ever wanted to understand bond yields without needing a finance degree, this one's for you.------------------------------------------------------------Send a question, leave a review, subscribe, follow & share!✨⁠⁠Support the show⁠⁠

Advisor's Market360™
2025 Midyear Market Outlook

Advisor's Market360™

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 7, 2025 25:14


Will market volatility persist through the rest of 2025? • Learn more at thriventfunds.com • Follow us on LinkedIn • Share feedback and questions with us at podcast@thriventfunds.com • Thrivent Distributors, LLC is a member of FINRA and a subsidiary of Thrivent, the marketing name for Thrivent Financial for Lutherans.

Investing Insights
Market Volatility: 4 Key Factors to Track in Q3 2025

Investing Insights

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 4, 2025 14:21


Sarah Hansen, Morningstar Inc's senior markets reporter, discusses the uncertain outlook for the third quarter and how investors should prepare for market volatility.What Was Surprising From Q2 Market VolatilityMixed Expectations as Trump's Tariff Deadline ApproachesHow Should Investors Prepare Themselves for Market Volatility?How Tariff Uncertainty Could Affect Company EarningsHow Trump's Tax and Spending Bill Raises Concerns About Federal DeficitHow the Fed's Decision on Interest Rates Could Affect the Yield CurveShould Investors Brace for More Market Volatility? Read about topics from this episode.  13 Charts on Q2's Major Market Rebound Market Volatility: What to Watch in Q2 After Big Swings in Q1 Has the Stock Market Reached Peak Optimism on Tariffs? What Investors Need to Know About Tariffs Tariffs Would Likely Hit These US Stock Sectors the Hardest What Investors Need to Know About the Budget Reconciliation Bill The Deficit is the Biggest Risk for the Bond Market, Says Matt Eagan of Loomis Sayles How Much Will the Fed Cut Interest Rates? How Healthy Is the US Economy? Here's What the Top Economic Indicators Say  What to watch from Morningstar. Is the International Outlook Brighter Than the US?Digital Advice in 2025: What You Need to Know About Robo-AdvisorsDemystifying Private Equity and Private Credit ETFs: What Every Investor Should KnowMarket Volatility: Portfolio Diversification Is Winning in 2025 Read what our team is writing:Sarah HansenIvanna Hampton Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/

Investing Insights
Is the International Outlook Brighter Than the US?

Investing Insights

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 27, 2025 18:54


Two Morningstar research leaders join Investing Insights to discuss whether US investors should consider international stocks and fixed income. They are Dominic Pappalardo, chief multi-asset strategist, and Philip Straehl, chief investment officer for the Americas, for Morningstar Wealth, part of registered investment adviser, Morningstar Investment Management. Key Takeaways:How the Markets Have Been Handling Volatility in 2025Why Economic Data Has Stayed More Stable Than the Markets During VolatilityWhy the Timing and the Scale of the Tariffs Were a Shock to the Market  Will International Stocks Outperform US Stocks?Why Now Is the Time to Check Your International vs US Stock AllocationShould Investors Broaden Their International Stock Exposure?Why Global Consumer Stocks Are Poised to Perform Well During Market Volatility  How Rising Yields in Fixed Income Can Create Opportunities for Investors  How the Shape of the Yield Curves Have ShiftedHow US Investors Can Mediate US Dollar Weakness With International Equity Exposure Key Takeaways on the US Market Outlook vs International Market Outlook   Read about topics from this episode.  2025 Morningstar Investment Conference: How to Invest Today Bull or Bear? Here's How the Outlook for Stocks Stacks Up BlackRock's Rick Rieder: Why the US Economy Is Going to Be Fine 6 Charts on How Trump's Tariffs Have Upended Global Markets Should Investors Rethink Global Diversification Amid Tariff Uncertainty? What Higher Bond Yields Mean for Markets in 2025 Why the Bond Market Looks Brighter Than It Did in 2022 The Trade Deals That Could Calm Wall Street Why Holding Assets Outside the US Dollar Has Paid Off in 2025 Consumer Stocks Stand Out Among Opportunities for the Second Half of 2025 For Investors Who Can Get Beyond Headline Risk, Opportunity Beckons in Bonds How Healthy Is the US Economy? Here's What the Top Economic Indicators Say What to watch from Morningstar. Digital Advice in 2025: What You Need to Know About Robo-Advisors Demystifying Private Equity and Private Credit ETFs: What Every Investor Should KnowMarket Volatility: Portfolio Diversification Is Winning in 202513 Elite Companies With Fast-Growing Dividends Read what our team is writing:Philip Straehl Dominic Pappalardo Ivanna Hampton  Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/

TD Ameritrade Network
Dranfield: Look to Long End of Yield Curve

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2025 6:56


Sean Dranfield covers the bond market and notes a lack of volatility this year despite all the turmoil in the world. He thinks the idea that foreign investors are backing out of U.S. bonds is “much ado about nothing.” He counsels investors to look at the longer end of the yield curve, citing higher overall yields and the steepness of the curve itself. “Bonds have become less rate-sensitive,” he argues, and explains what that means for yields.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Tales from the Crypt
US Debt Crisis, Japan's Yield Curve Blowout, and Bitcoin's $100K Resilience | Bitcoin Alpha E008

Tales from the Crypt

Play Episode Listen Later May 23, 2025 89:56


The Bitcoin Alpha podcast explores the macroeconomic forces driving Bitcoin's evolution as a neutral reserve asset. Treasury Secretary Bessent's pivot from tariffs to growth-focused fiscal policy signals inevitable monetary expansion as US debt sustainability reaches critical levels. Japan's yield curve crisis threatens $1.2 trillion in Treasury holdings while Bitcoin demonstrates remarkable resilience during market volatility. The discussion covers Bitcoin treasury companies like MicroStrategy flooding public markets, stablecoin regulation priorities, and institutional adoption trends. With 30-day volatility near one-year lows and the longest streak above $100K in Bitcoin's history, the risk-reward setup appears historically favorable as traditional financial systems face mounting pressure.

Vertical Research Advisory
VRA Investing Podcast: Japan's Yield Curve, Trump's Policies, and the Bull Market's Next Move - Kip Herriage - May 21, 2025

Vertical Research Advisory

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2025 28:40


In today's episode, Kip dives deep into a volatile day on Wall Street, breaking down what really happened during a dramatic market swing where the Dow plunged 700 points and the NASDAQ staged an impressive intraday rally before things took a sharp turn. He unpacks the impact of a weak 20 year U.S. government bond auction, explores the ripple effects of rising rates in Japan, and sheds light on how global debt dynamics could play into the markets.

Forward Guidance
US Assets Are Dead Money Without A Policy Shift | Weekly Roundup

Forward Guidance

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 18, 2025 53:24


This week, we discuss Powell's hawkish speech, how to think about trading tariffs and the weaponization of the US account deficit, and whether we should expect a significant growth slowdown. We also delve into rate cuts & the yield curve, why Bitcoin is the trade after the trade, and more. Enjoy! — Follow Capital Flows: https://x.com/Globalflows Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx — Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1hLnf2szLRxPcUkIJwPyj34UbhHadON69/view?usp=sharing — Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv — At Ondo, we design institutional-grade platforms, assets, and infrastructure to bring financial markets onchain. We believe that combining the best of TradFi with the best of DeFi will dramatically improve our financial system—making it fairer, faster, and more accessible to all. Learn more about how Ondo is bringing capital markets onchain at https://ondo.finance/ — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:45) Recent Fed Remarks (06:26) Macro View and Tariff Trades (16:27) Ondo Ad (16:52) Market Positioning and Growth Slowdown (27:30) Debating Growth & the Yield Curve (35:30) Ondo Ad (36:01) Debating Growth & the Yield Curve (Con't) (36:59) Equities & Government Spending (41:44) Bitcoin: The Trade After the Trade — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

TD Ameritrade Network
Wells: U.S. Could Lose Safe Haven Status for Markets, Yield Curve Steepening

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2025 7:01


Andrew Wells thinks the 10-year bond could test 5% much sooner than expected, and likes the front end of the yield curve as an investment opportunity. On the long end, though, he's more skeptical as the Treasury attempts to deal with the national deficit. He says the U.S. may lose its status as a safe haven for assets amid the volatility and likes gold instead. In terms of trade, he thinks the “dominos could fall very quickly” once the first agreement is released.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

InvestTalk
China Unveils Plan to Boost Domestic Spending and Combat Tariffs

InvestTalk

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 26, 2025 47:00


Amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States, authorities in China say they will stimulate domestic consumption and reduce reliance on exports.Today's Stocks & Topics: PVH - PVH Corp., Market Wrap, Vanguard Sector ETFs, China Unveils Plan to Boost Domestic Spending and Combat Tariffs, NFLX - Netflix Inc., Market Madness, MMM - 3M Co., Private Sector Debt, Yield Curve, WOOF - Petco Health & Wellness Co. Inc., SNAP Funding.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

The Bid
212: The Role of Low-Carbon Opportunities In The Infrastructure Investment Landscape

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 14, 2025 19:20


Infrastructure investments have long been recognized as a foundation for economic growth and low carbon infrastructure is increasingly becoming an area of interest for investors in both public and private markets. But how will low carbon infrastructure play a role in the evolving energy investing landscape? Helen Jewell, Chief Investment Officer for fundamental equities at BlackRock helps us explore the significance of infrastructure from an investing perspective, the opportunities in public markets, and the long-term growth potential from investments in renewable energy.Sources: “Growth in global electricity demand is set to accelerate in coming years” in IEA, February 2025; BGF Sustainable Growth Infrastructure Fund, Fundamental Equities, BlackRock Febrruary 2025; FTSE Developed Core Infrastructure Index = 3.35%, Source: FTSE Russell as at 31 January 2025; National Grid Sell US Onshore Renewables Arm $174billion Brookfield” Reuters, February 2024; Bloomberg NEF, January 2025; Bloomberg New Energy Outlook, 2025; “How Copper Will Shape Our Future” BHP, September 2025;This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosureslow carbon investing, low carbon infrastructure, infrastructure, infrastructure investing, low carbon opportunities, copper, metals, infrastructure investments, See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Bid
The Intersection of AI and Geopolitics From An Investing Lens

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 28, 2025 22:49


Rapid advancements in artificial intelligence are influencing global power dynamics in ways that are reshaping the investment landscape. So, how are these AI developments impacting geopolitics, and what does this mean for investors?Catherine Kress, Head of Geopolitical Research and Jeff Shen, co-head of systematic equities at BlackRock join Oscar to help us understand the current themes driving the intersection of AI and geopolitics, how the broader technology and AI race is evolving, and the broader implications of the shifting US policy landscape on active management opportunities.Sources: DeepSeek model training cost claims from paper, January 2025; 60% of US tech revenues derived from overseas based on Aladdin Explore, using revenue breakdowns from the S&P 500 index as of 4/30/2024; “DeepSeek's low-cost AI spotlights billions spent by US tech” Reuters, January 2025; “How DeepSeek AI Sparks Nearly $1 Trillion U.S. Tech Implosion”, Investors Business Daily, January 2025;“Nvidia Stock Has Almost Recovered From DeepSeek Rout. There's More Good News” Barrons, February 2025; “US government commission pushes Manhattan Project-style AI initiative”, Reuters, Nov 2024; “US tightens control on AI chips export drawing pushback” BBC, January 2025; “FACT SHEET: Ensuring U.S. Security and Economic Strength in the Age of Artificial Intelligence” White House Press Briefing, January 2025; “What Donald Trump's Win Means For AI” Time Magazine, November 2025; “Trump plans to impose 25% tariffs on autos, chips and pharmaceuticals”, CNN, February 2025; “REMARKS BY VICE PRESIDENT VANCE AT THE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) ACTION SUMMIT” US Embassy 2025, February 2025This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Rebel Capitalist Show
Yield Curve Inverts (Again!), Consumer Confidence Collapses, Bitcoin Plummets

The Rebel Capitalist Show

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 26, 2025 70:30


The Rebel Capitalist helps YOU learn more about Macro, Investing, Entrepreneurship AND Personal Freedom.✅ Come to Rebel Capitalist Live here https://rebelcapitalistlive.com/   ✅Check out my private, online investment community (Rebel Capitalist Pro) with Chris MacIntosh, Lyn Alden and many more for $1!! click here https://georgegammon.com/pro   ✅Rebel capitalist merchandise https://www.rebelcapitaliststore.com

Making Sense
HOLY SH*T: The Yield Curve Just Inverted Again

Making Sense

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 26, 2025 20:15


If you are in any way interested in precious metals, check out what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/Rates are down sharply, so much the broad yield curve re-inverted from one critical spot. Given the macro context with crashing consumer confidence and a steep loss of economic momentum, particularly in the services sector, that re-inversion along with a multi-month low in 2-year yields is telling us everything we need to know. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Treasury Yields Slide as Confidence Gauge Stokes Economy Fearshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-25/treasuries-rally-as-traders-boost-bets-on-fed-interest-rate-cutsConference Board Consumer Confidencehttps://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidencehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The Bid
Thematic Investing: Finding Tomorrow's Themes Today

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 21, 2025 16:23


Thematic investing is gaining traction in today's investing landscape, but what exactly is thematic investing and how can investors take advantage of this new trend? Jeff Shen, co-head of systematic Active Equity at BlackRock, joins Oscar to help us understand the current themes driving investment opportunities, how his team identifies and evaluates emerging themes and the role of technology in shaping the future of investing. We'll also discuss the risks associated with thematic investing and key takeaways for investors looking to capitalize on these trends.This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Financial Focus Radio Show
Conflicts of Interest, IRA Mistakes to Avoid, Return to Normal Yield Curve (2.8.25)

Financial Focus Radio Show

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 10, 2025 78:25


This week's show covers IRA mistakes to avoid, conflicts of interest in financial advice, why you have so many accounts, and the normalizing yield curve.

The Bid
The Economic Impact of Tariffs

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 7, 2025 21:36


Trade policies have always been a critical aspect of global economies and recent developments in US. Tariffs have sparked market volatility and discussions around the impact on inflation. The latest tariff announcements by President Trump have sent ripples through the market, affecting various sectors, and raising questions about their long-term impact. But what exactly are these new tariffs and how will they influence US companies, global supply chains and the broader market? Joining Oscar to unpack these developments is Glenn Purves Global head of Macro in the BlackRock Investment Institute and Catherine Kress, Head of geopolitical research and Strategy at BlackRock.This episode was recorded at 2pm, February 5th, 2025.This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

TD Ameritrade Network
Opportunities in the Short End of the Yield Curve

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 30, 2025 9:50


Peter Baden navigates stock picking while dealing with the volatility of the Trump administration. He says to use strategies to “quickly deploy” money when you see an opportunity. He also looks at the bond market, calling it a “bond-picker's market” right now. He likes staying in the short end of the yield curve. He doesn't expect the Fed to cut rates this year. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The Bid
A Macro and Geopolitical Outlook – Live from Davos

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 24, 2025 24:52


In a special episode recorded from Davos, host Oscar Pulido is joined by Philipp Hildebrand, Vice Chairman of BlackRock, and Tom Donilon, Chairman of the BlackRock Investment Institute, to discuss the latest insights on the macroeconomic and geopolitical outlook for 2025. Philipp and Tom will provide their expert analysis on how these dynamics are shaping the global economic environment and what it means for investors and policymakers, offering listeners a behind-the-scenes perspective from Davos. This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Forward Guidance
Trump Vs The Fed: The Battle Over Rates, Growth, & Inflation | Weekly Roundup

Forward Guidance

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 24, 2025 48:39


This week we discuss the impact of Trump and his executive orders, the outlook for inflation, and the yield curve steepening. We also delve into warning signals for equities, CEO mentions of economic slowdown, and much more. Enjoy! — Follow Capital Flows: https://x.com/Globalflows Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.co/G7Ljv4x5Dp — Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1EK4VxLf1UrpTCmKGgBVE0PeIxr3ek4f-/view?usp=sharing — Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125 — SKALE is the next evolution in Layer 1 blockchains with a gas-free invisible user experience, instant finality, high speed, and robust security. SKALE is built different as it allows for limitless scalability and has already saved its 46 Million users over $9 Billion in gas fees. SKALE is high-performance and cost-effective, making it ideal for compute-intensive applications like AI, gaming, and consumer-facing dApps. Learn more at skale.space and stay up to date with the gas-free invisible blockchain on X at @skalenetwork Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world's crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com. — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:37) Introduction and Guest Introduction (01:20) Market Overview and Trump's Influence (02:16) Fed's Interest Rate Strategy (04:38) Executive Orders and Market Reactions (14:55) Ads (Skale, Ledger) (16:01) Roundup Continues (18:53) Inflation and Economic Indicators (24:09) Challenging Market Assumptions (24:34) Trump's Influence on Market Sentiment (25:13) Inflation and Energy Prices (27:09) Ads (Skale, Ledger) (28:26) FOMC Voting Members Rotation (29:18) Analyzing the Yield Curve (33:04) Market Reactions and Predictions (39:11) Economic Slowdown and Recession Risks (48:04) Final Thoughts and Market Outlook __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

The Bid
Rebuilding The US Physical Economy

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 17, 2025 19:01


A critical theme for 2025 and beyond rebuilding the US physical economy with the Infrastructure, Investment and Jobs Act, and other policy measures, there's a renewed focus on enhancing infrastructure, reshoring manufacturing and addressing the housing supply gap. These efforts are not just about construction and development. They're about revitalizing the US economy and creating sustainable economic growth. Joining Oscar is Jay Jacobs, US head of Thematic and Active ETFs at BlackRock. Jay will provide insights into the demographic trends influencing the housing market, the reshoring of manufacturing, and the bipartisan support for these developmentsSources: New York Governor. "Governor Hochul Announces $54 Million in State Funding to Support the Second Avenue Subway Project." 7/30/2024; Reuters. "JFK Airport's massive overhaul takes winding route through debt markets." 12/6/23; Department of Transportation. "Hudson River Tunnel Project between New York and New Jersey." July 2024; American Society of Civil Engineers. "ASCE'S Infrastructure Report Card Gives U.S. "C-" Grade, Says Investment Gap Trillion, Bold Action Needed. 3/3/2021; Report Card for America's Infrastructure. "Overview of Bridges." 2021; MRL Consulting. "Semiconductor in everyday life: products from leading companies you use daily." 7/31/24; Center for Strategic and International Studies, “Mapping the semiconductor supply chain: the critical role of the indo-pacific region,” 5/30/2023; Semiconductor Industry Association. "America Projected to Triple Semiconductor Manufacturing Capacity by 2032. The Largest Rate of Growth in the World." 5/8/24; Realtor.com, “U.S. housing supply gap grows in 2023; growth outpaces permits in fast-growing sunbelt metros,” 2/27/2024; Motley Fool Money. "Millennial Home-Buying and Homeownership Statistics." 9/10/24; CNN. “More than half of American renters who want to buy a home fear they'll never afford one." July 29, 2024; Merrill Lynch. "Will the "Great Wealth Transfer" transform the markets?" May 2024. This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Bid
A Stock Picker's Guide to 2025

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 10, 2025 22:12


As we welcome a new year, we reflect on 2024 as another strong year for equities with inflation, interest rates, and the ongoing impact of artificial intelligence. Still very much in the spotlight. 2025 is shaping up to be an intriguing year for equity investors BlackRock's Global CIO of Fundamental Equities, Tony DeSpirito, will discuss the factors driving the market where he sees the biggest equity opportunities and some of the challenges that lie ahead.Sources: S&P 500 2 Year Return, Y Charts, ‘How Reddit Surprised Wall Street With 185% Post-IPO Surge', Investor Business Daily, Nov 2024; Russell 1000 Value Index historical charts; 2023 GICS Changes: Companies Impacted and What You Need to Know, State Street Global Advisors, Jan 2023; The Magnificent Seven Monitor, Reuters; BlackRock Fundamental Equities with data from FactSet as of 11/30/24This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Rebel Capitalist Show
Yield Curve Gives Warning, Elon Is WRONG About This, Dollar Milkshake Playing Out?

The Rebel Capitalist Show

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 20, 2024 77:14


The Rebel Capitalist helps YOU learn more about Macro, Investing, Entrepreneurship AND Personal Freedom.✅ Come to Rebel Capitalist Live here https://rebelcapitalistlive.com/   ✅Check out my private, online investment community (Rebel Capitalist Pro) with Chris MacIntosh, Lyn Alden and many more for $1!! click here https://georgegammon.com/pro   ✅Rebel capitalist merchandise https://www.rebelcapitaliststore.com

The Bid
Infrastructure mini-series Ep 2: The Low-Carbon Transition: A $100 Trillion Infrastructure Opportunity

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 20, 2024 18:31


In the second episode of our infrastructure mini-series on The Bid, guest host Mark Weidman, speaks with Matt Harris and Salim Samaha from Global Infrastructure investing to explore one of the biggest opportunities in infrastructure, the global transition to a low carbon economy.Sources: IEA Net Zero 2050, May 2021; Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) New Energy Outlook 2024 (May 2024); LevelTen Energy - Q1 2024 PPA Price Index Executive Summary - North America; Carbonomics, Goldman Sachs Dec 2022This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Bid
Infrastructure mini-series Ep 1: The Growing Demand For Infrastructure Investment

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 13, 2024 19:12


In this first episode of our infrastructure miniseries on The Bid, guest host Mark Wiedman is joined by Raj Rao, Founding Partner, President and Chief Operating Officer of Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP), now a part of BlackRock to talk infrastructure investing 101, how the asset class started, what's driving its growth and why it's becoming a must have in investors' portfolios.Sources: “Data center spending skyrockets as cloud building rush accelerates”, CIO Dive, Sep 2024; “The Infrastructure Opportunity: Listed Versus Unlisted”, Institutional Investor 2022This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Making Sense
The Yield Curve is Signaling a Major Warning – Here's What You Need to Know

Making Sense

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 5, 2024 18:08


Why are interest rates rising at one end of the yield at the same time falling on the opposite side? With more recession data coming in all the time, starting with payrolls, it seems as though there should be a uniform response from the marketplace. But that's not how steepening works. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisWashington PostHouse Passes Bush Tax Cuthttps://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/2001/03/09/house-passes-bush-tax-cut/99152799-f156-414f-82c4-bed4fca05bb3/Time ‘The Worst Is Over'https://time.com/archive/6917914/the-worst-is-over/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Best Real Estate Investing Advice Ever
JF3697: Why This Prolific Investor Is Sitting on the Sidelines … for Now ft. Jeremy Roll

Best Real Estate Investing Advice Ever

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 18, 2024 35:09


In this episode of Next Level CRE on the Best Ever CRE Show, Jeremy Roll, a seasoned multi-cycle real estate and alternative asset investor and president of the Roll Investment Group, joins host Matt Faircloth. Jeremy breaks down how to invest as a defensive investor in 2024 and beyond based on his experience before and during the 2008 recession and the COVID-19 pandemic.  He discusses where to invest during a recession (which is likely coming, he says — he explains why), the key indicator he's following to determine whether or not we're headed for a recession, and why he's currently sitting on the sidelines to see how things play out economically. He also discusses the philosophy behind doing nothing, what he's looking for to determine when it's time for him to jump back in, and why — as a cash flow investor — he avoids negative leverage at absolutely all costs. Jeremy Roll | Real Estate Background Roll Investment Group Based in: Los Angeles, California Say hi to him at: LinkedIn Sponsors: Altra Running  

The Indicator from Planet Money
Can the yield curve still predict recessions?

The Indicator from Planet Money

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2024 9:08


Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has come. In fact, the inverted yield curve has predicted every recession since 1969 ... until now. Today, are we saying goodbye to the inverted yield curve's flawless record?Related episodes:The inverted yield curve is screaming RECESSION (Apple / Spotify) Yield curve jitters Two Yield Curve Indicators For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org. Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter. Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy