Podcasts about Yield curve

Rates & Fed Policy: Markets are overly optimistic on rate cuts; inflation remains sticky, keeping the Fed cautious (DeepMacro).Equity Positioning: Systematic funds are heavily tilted toward equities, with allocations at or near record highs (MenthorQ).China Equities: Narrowing gap between H-shares and A-shares signals opportunity; liquidity and household cash provide strong support (HSBC).Market Breadth: Short-term indicators are overbought, but long-term breadth remains healthy (Dantes Outlook).Fixed Income: Attractive yields unlikely to return to pre-pandemic lows; belly of the curve (5–6 year maturities) offers a balance of income and rate risk (Vanguard).Municipals & Credit: Municipal bonds and investment-grade credit stand out as high-quality, inexpensive options.Equities: Active managers struggle against the Magnificent Seven; indexing provides a strong foundation, while Industrials, Financials, and Healthcare offer selective momentum opportunities (Morningstar, Dantes Outlook).Takeaway: Stay disciplined, revisit bond allocations, and avoid overstretching for yield or risk.

Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we go through all the news stories from the mortgage industry. Plus, Robbie sits down with Trueworks Victor Kabdebon for a discussion on data from recent homebuyer surveys pertaining to products and lender decisions. And we close by looking at why the U.S. Treasury yield curve has been steepening as of late.FHA fall-out borrowers represent untapped market shares that can stabilize your shrinking pipeline. Arrive Home's Earned Equity Program supports these clients on their path to meaningful homeownership. Additionally,  FHA borrowers who don't have the benefit of family assistance are able to qualify using the Nation's leader in DPA. 

Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we go through the unfolding drama surrounding Fed Governor Cook's firing. Plus, Robbie sits down with Arrive Home's Shawn King for a discussion on how downpayment assistance is helping millions of Americans build generational wealth. And we close by looking at how the shape of the yield curve is impacting ARM production.FHA fall-out borrowers represent untapped market shares that can stabilize your shrinking pipeline. Arrive Home's Earned Equity Program supports these clients on their path to meaningful homeownership. Additionally,  FHA borrowers who don't have the benefit of family assistance are able to qualify using the Nation's leader in DPA. 

Send us a textThis week on The Skinny on Wall Street, Kristen and Jen dive into the resurgence of SPACs and yes, Chamath Palihapitiya, the once-dubbed “SPAC King,” is back with a brand-new deal. We unpack what a SPAC really is, why they exploded in 2020, changes in the new structures and more. From warrants and dilution to sponsor “promotes” and fee double-dips, we break down the mechanics in plain English and debate whether this latest wave feels like opportunity or déjà vu all over again.Alongside the SPAC talk, we zoom out to explore what's happening in broader markets. Jen highlights shifts in global rates,  including why European long-term yields are rising even as the ECB cuts, while Kristen points to an unusual disconnect with U.S. credit spreads at 30-year lows. We also touch on a wild market day sparked by headlines about AI pilot program failures, raising the question of whether investors are once again pricing perfection into risk assets.Finally, we share some exciting updates from The Wall Street Skinny itself. We've launched live interactive events like AI-Proof Your Career on LinkedIn and YouTube, giving listeners the chance to learn and engage with us directly. Plus, in the spirit of “back to school,” we're running a limited-time flash sale on our finance courses, from express Excel bootcamps to deep-dive investment banking and private equity technicals. Whether you're a student, a new hire, or just a finance junkie, this episode blends timely Wall Street analysis with practical ways to sharpen your own skills.Find courses HERE and use code AUG25FLASH for 20% off through August 24, 2025!For a 14 day FREE Trial of Macabacus, click HERE For 20% off Deleteme, use the code TWSS or click the link HERE! Our Investment Banking and Private Equity Foundations course is LIVEnow with our M&A course included! Shop our LIBRARY of Self Paced Online Courses HEREJoin the Fixed Income Sales and Trading waitlist HERE Our content is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

In this episode of the Bitcoin for Corporations Show, Pierre Rochard and Spencer Nichols unpack Strategy's Q2 earnings: FASB's mark-to-market EPS, perpetual preferreds (“stretch/stride/strike/strife”), ATM/MAV guidance, and the idea that Strategy could scale from ~4% to ~8% of outstanding bitcoin. They also dig into bitcoin-as-collateral, reflexivity, and treasury risk management.

David Busch assumes the higher PPI numbers are tariff-related and will pass through to the CPI measurements soon enough. “Inflation is still persistent, it's still sticky,” forcing the Fed onto a longer path for rate cuts. He's looking at sectors like consumer discretionary, which could benefit from a steepening yield curve. “I would also consider REITs,” he adds, with the expectations that rates will come down, but emphasizes the need for quality names. He also likes fixed income.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The other day I listened to an interview with the CEO of Anthropic, Dario Amodei, on an Economist magazine podcast. Anthropic is in AI safety and research. They write large language models for sectors including healthcare and financial services. Many people think AI will create such fundamental change that it will eliminate jobs across large […]

Paul Galloway examines the current shape of the yield curve and the signals behind the 10-year treasury yield. He discusses market uncertainty, interest rate dynamics, inflation, and geopolitical factors influencing investor behavior. What does a flat curve mean for recession risk, borrowing costs, and future rates? Tune in to decode the outlook.

Karen Veraa-Perry expects more U.S. investors to move from money markets to the bond market. She especially likes the 3 to 7-year part of the curve, but also sees investor interest in international bond markets. Karen notes record-breaking flows into Blackrock's 0-3 month Treasury bond ETF (SGOV) as well. She forecasts 1-2 rate cuts this year, with the highest probability in September. She explains popular ways for investors to get exposure to fixed income markets, including “bond laddering.”======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The delayed August 1 trade deadline is pushing back any potential Fed rate cuts, says Thierry Wizman. He thinks there should be more easing and does expect at least one cut this year, citing a weakening consumer and labor market. Right now, he sees opportunities “outside of the normal business cycle” and betting on the yield curve steepening.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Ever hear someone say “the yield curve is inverted,” but have no idea what that means? Or people talking about the “10-year” yields and not knowing why that matters? Or what "bond prices and yields have an inverse relationship" means?? Saaaaammmeeee.In this episode, we're definitely getting a bit more advanced, but it's important to grasp these concepts as best as you can, because it will really help you understand how the economy, monetary policy, and what's happening in the world - really does affect how our money makes money. Today we are FULLY breaking down the yield curve—what it is, what moves it, and why it's one of the most important signals in the entire market. We'll explains how things like inflation, economic growth, government debt, and even global drama (yes, drama) can make yields rise or fall.You'll learn:What the yield curve actually shows usWhy inflation expectations are everythingHow supply and demand for bonds move the marketWhat the bond market thinks about the FedWhy geopolitics can send yields swinging in both directionsIf you've ever wanted to understand bond yields without needing a finance degree, this one's for you.------------------------------------------------------------Send a question, leave a review, subscribe, follow & share!✨⁠⁠Support the show⁠⁠

Kia ora,Welcome to Thursday's Economy Watch where we follow the economic events and trends that affect Aotearoa/New Zealand.I'm David Chaston and this is the international edition from Interest.co.nz.And today we lead with news the US yield curve has steepened overnight on messy talk about the US Fed's independence, and arbitrary US tariff statements.In more direct economic news, US mortgage applications fell sharply last week, even after adjusting for the holiday weekend. There were -10% lower than the prior week. But they are still +18% higher than a year ago. To be fair, year-ago levels were unusually low. Rising interest rates are getting the blame for the recent fall-off in activityAmerican producer prices rose +2.3% in June which was much less than the May +2.7% rise and less than the expected +2.5%. A rather large and unusual monthly drop in logistics costs kept the overall index restrained.Meanwhile US industrial production inched higher, up +0.7% in June from a year ago. It was driven by a good rise in businesses equipment and mining but that masked a fall in the much larger sector manufacturing consumer goods. But to give better context, neither of those year-on-year gains showed up in June.And that flat recent trend is showing up in the Fed's July Beige Book surveys. Economic activity increased slightly from late May through early July. Five Districts reported slight or modest gains, five had flat activity, and the remaining two Districts noted modest declines in activity. There was nothing here indicating rising business or consumer sentiment and impending investment - pointedly, quite the opposite.Across the border, Canadian housing starts in June stayed high, and certainly higher than expected. They were expected to retreat somewhat after a strong May, but remained at those elevated levels.And staying in Canada, they have released data that shows the gap between the top earners and the bottom earners has reached a record divide. The bottom 40% of households now have less than 3% of all household wealth. The top 10% have almost half. It is a twist that foreshadows future social stresses.Later today we will get Japanese trade data for June, and that is expected to be positive.And as expected. the Indonesian central bank cut its policy rate late yesterday by-25 bps to 5.25%. They said the tariff-rate 'deal' with the US will be positive for them.Also later today we will be watching the June labour market report for Australia. Another good jobs gain is expected (+20,000), skewed sharply towards full-time positions. And we will get an update in Australian inflation expectations.The UST 10yr yield is now at 4.46%, down -3 bps from yesterday at this time. The price of gold will start today at US$3,354/oz, up +US$27 from yesterday at this time.American oil prices are little-changed at US$66.50/bbl while the international Brent price is still just over US$68.50/bbl.The Kiwi dollar is now at 59.5 USc and up +10 bps from this time yesterday. Against the Aussie we are down -20 bps at 91.1 AUc. Against the euro we are also down -20 bps at 51.1 euro cents. That all means our TWI-5 starts today at just on 67.2, and down -20 bps.The bitcoin price starts today at US$119,039 and up +1.4% from this time yesterday. And that takes it back to NZ$200,000. Volatility over the past 24 hours has been modest, at just on +/-1.5%.You can get more news affecting the economy in New Zealand from interest.co.nz.Kia ora. I'm David Chaston. And we will do this again tomorrow.

Will market volatility persist through the rest of 2025? • Learn more at thriventfunds.com • Follow us on LinkedIn • Share feedback and questions with us at podcast@thriventfunds.com • Thrivent Distributors, LLC is a member of FINRA and a subsidiary of Thrivent, the marketing name for Thrivent Financial for Lutherans.

Sarah Hansen, Morningstar Inc's senior markets reporter, discusses the uncertain outlook for the third quarter and how investors should prepare for market volatility.What Was Surprising From Q2 Market VolatilityMixed Expectations as Trump's Tariff Deadline ApproachesHow Should Investors Prepare Themselves for Market Volatility?How Tariff Uncertainty Could Affect Company EarningsHow Trump's Tax and Spending Bill Raises Concerns About Federal DeficitHow the Fed's Decision on Interest Rates Could Affect the Yield CurveShould Investors Brace for More Market Volatility? Read about topics from this episode.  13 Charts on Q2's Major Market Rebound Market Volatility: What to Watch in Q2 After Big Swings in Q1 Has the Stock Market Reached Peak Optimism on Tariffs? What Investors Need to Know About Tariffs Tariffs Would Likely Hit These US Stock Sectors the Hardest What Investors Need to Know About the Budget Reconciliation Bill The Deficit is the Biggest Risk for the Bond Market, Says Matt Eagan of Loomis Sayles How Much Will the Fed Cut Interest Rates? How Healthy Is the US Economy? Here's What the Top Economic Indicators Say  What to watch from Morningstar. Is the International Outlook Brighter Than the US?Digital Advice in 2025: What You Need to Know About Robo-AdvisorsDemystifying Private Equity and Private Credit ETFs: What Every Investor Should KnowMarket Volatility: Portfolio Diversification Is Winning in 2025 Read what our team is writing:Sarah HansenIvanna Hampton Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/

Two Morningstar research leaders join Investing Insights to discuss whether US investors should consider international stocks and fixed income. They are Dominic Pappalardo, chief multi-asset strategist, and Philip Straehl, chief investment officer for the Americas, for Morningstar Wealth, part of registered investment adviser, Morningstar Investment Management. Key Takeaways:How the Markets Have Been Handling Volatility in 2025Why Economic Data Has Stayed More Stable Than the Markets During VolatilityWhy the Timing and the Scale of the Tariffs Were a Shock to the Market  Will International Stocks Outperform US Stocks?Why Now Is the Time to Check Your International vs US Stock AllocationShould Investors Broaden Their International Stock Exposure?Why Global Consumer Stocks Are Poised to Perform Well During Market Volatility  How Rising Yields in Fixed Income Can Create Opportunities for Investors  How the Shape of the Yield Curves Have ShiftedHow US Investors Can Mediate US Dollar Weakness With International Equity Exposure Key Takeaways on the US Market Outlook vs International Market Outlook   Read about topics from this episode.  2025 Morningstar Investment Conference: How to Invest Today Bull or Bear? Here's How the Outlook for Stocks Stacks Up BlackRock's Rick Rieder: Why the US Economy Is Going to Be Fine 6 Charts on How Trump's Tariffs Have Upended Global Markets Should Investors Rethink Global Diversification Amid Tariff Uncertainty? What Higher Bond Yields Mean for Markets in 2025 Why the Bond Market Looks Brighter Than It Did in 2022 The Trade Deals That Could Calm Wall Street Why Holding Assets Outside the US Dollar Has Paid Off in 2025 Consumer Stocks Stand Out Among Opportunities for the Second Half of 2025 For Investors Who Can Get Beyond Headline Risk, Opportunity Beckons in Bonds How Healthy Is the US Economy? Here's What the Top Economic Indicators Say What to watch from Morningstar. Digital Advice in 2025: What You Need to Know About Robo-Advisors Demystifying Private Equity and Private Credit ETFs: What Every Investor Should KnowMarket Volatility: Portfolio Diversification Is Winning in 202513 Elite Companies With Fast-Growing Dividends Read what our team is writing:Philip Straehl Dominic Pappalardo Ivanna Hampton  Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/

Sean Dranfield covers the bond market and notes a lack of volatility this year despite all the turmoil in the world. He thinks the idea that foreign investors are backing out of U.S. bonds is “much ado about nothing.” He counsels investors to look at the longer end of the yield curve, citing higher overall yields and the steepness of the curve itself. “Bonds have become less rate-sensitive,” he argues, and explains what that means for yields.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The Bitcoin Alpha podcast explores the macroeconomic forces driving Bitcoin's evolution as a neutral reserve asset. Treasury Secretary Bessent's pivot from tariffs to growth-focused fiscal policy signals inevitable monetary expansion as US debt sustainability reaches critical levels. Japan's yield curve crisis threatens $1.2 trillion in Treasury holdings while Bitcoin demonstrates remarkable resilience during market volatility. The discussion covers Bitcoin treasury companies like MicroStrategy flooding public markets, stablecoin regulation priorities, and institutional adoption trends. With 30-day volatility near one-year lows and the longest streak above $100K in Bitcoin's history, the risk-reward setup appears historically favorable as traditional financial systems face mounting pressure.

In today's episode, Kip dives deep into a volatile day on Wall Street, breaking down what really happened during a dramatic market swing where the Dow plunged 700 points and the NASDAQ staged an impressive intraday rally before things took a sharp turn. He unpacks the impact of a weak 20 year U.S. government bond auction, explores the ripple effects of rising rates in Japan, and sheds light on how global debt dynamics could play into the markets.

This week, we discuss Powell's hawkish speech, how to think about trading tariffs and the weaponization of the US account deficit, and whether we should expect a significant growth slowdown. We also delve into rate cuts & the yield curve, why Bitcoin is the trade after the trade, and more. Enjoy! — Follow Capital Flows: https://x.com/Globalflows Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx — Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1hLnf2szLRxPcUkIJwPyj34UbhHadON69/view?usp=sharing — Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv — At Ondo, we design institutional-grade platforms, assets, and infrastructure to bring financial markets onchain. We believe that combining the best of TradFi with the best of DeFi will dramatically improve our financial system—making it fairer, faster, and more accessible to all. Learn more about how Ondo is bringing capital markets onchain at https://ondo.finance/ — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:45) Recent Fed Remarks (06:26) Macro View and Tariff Trades (16:27) Ondo Ad (16:52) Market Positioning and Growth Slowdown (27:30) Debating Growth & the Yield Curve (35:30) Ondo Ad (36:01) Debating Growth & the Yield Curve (Con't) (36:59) Equities & Government Spending (41:44) Bitcoin: The Trade After the Trade — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Andrew Wells thinks the 10-year bond could test 5% much sooner than expected, and likes the front end of the yield curve as an investment opportunity. On the long end, though, he's more skeptical as the Treasury attempts to deal with the national deficit. He says the U.S. may lose its status as a safe haven for assets amid the volatility and likes gold instead. In terms of trade, he thinks the “dominos could fall very quickly” once the first agreement is released.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Is the market Tariff-ied?

Amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States, authorities in China say they will stimulate domestic consumption and reduce reliance on exports.Today's Stocks & Topics: PVH - PVH Corp., Market Wrap, Vanguard Sector ETFs, China Unveils Plan to Boost Domestic Spending and Combat Tariffs, NFLX - Netflix Inc., Market Madness, MMM - 3M Co., Private Sector Debt, Yield Curve, WOOF - Petco Health & Wellness Co. Inc., SNAP Funding.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Infrastructure investments have long been recognized as a foundation for economic growth and low carbon infrastructure is increasingly becoming an area of interest for investors in both public and private markets. But how will low carbon infrastructure play a role in the evolving energy investing landscape? Helen Jewell, Chief Investment Officer for fundamental equities at BlackRock helps us explore the significance of infrastructure from an investing perspective, the opportunities in public markets, and the long-term growth potential from investments in renewable energy.Sources: “Growth in global electricity demand is set to accelerate in coming years” in IEA, February 2025; BGF Sustainable Growth Infrastructure Fund, Fundamental Equities, BlackRock Febrruary 2025; FTSE Developed Core Infrastructure Index = 3.35%, Source: FTSE Russell as at 31 January 2025; National Grid Sell US Onshore Renewables Arm $174billion Brookfield” Reuters, February 2024; Bloomberg NEF, January 2025; Bloomberg New Energy Outlook, 2025; “How Copper Will Shape Our Future” BHP, September 2025;This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosureslow carbon investing, low carbon infrastructure, infrastructure, infrastructure investing, low carbon opportunities, copper, metals, infrastructure investments, See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Rapid advancements in artificial intelligence are influencing global power dynamics in ways that are reshaping the investment landscape. So, how are these AI developments impacting geopolitics, and what does this mean for investors?Catherine Kress, Head of Geopolitical Research and Jeff Shen, co-head of systematic equities at BlackRock join Oscar to help us understand the current themes driving the intersection of AI and geopolitics, how the broader technology and AI race is evolving, and the broader implications of the shifting US policy landscape on active management opportunities.Sources: DeepSeek model training cost claims from paper, January 2025; 60% of US tech revenues derived from overseas based on Aladdin Explore, using revenue breakdowns from the S&P 500 index as of 4/30/2024; “DeepSeek's low-cost AI spotlights billions spent by US tech” Reuters, January 2025; “How DeepSeek AI Sparks Nearly $1 Trillion U.S. Tech Implosion”, Investors Business Daily, January 2025;“Nvidia Stock Has Almost Recovered From DeepSeek Rout. There's More Good News” Barrons, February 2025; “US government commission pushes Manhattan Project-style AI initiative”, Reuters, Nov 2024; “US tightens control on AI chips export drawing pushback” BBC, January 2025; “FACT SHEET: Ensuring U.S. Security and Economic Strength in the Age of Artificial Intelligence” White House Press Briefing, January 2025; “What Donald Trump's Win Means For AI” Time Magazine, November 2025; “Trump plans to impose 25% tariffs on autos, chips and pharmaceuticals”, CNN, February 2025; “REMARKS BY VICE PRESIDENT VANCE AT THE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) ACTION SUMMIT” US Embassy 2025, February 2025This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

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If you are in any way interested in precious metals, check out what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/Rates are down sharply, so much the broad yield curve re-inverted from one critical spot. Given the macro context with crashing consumer confidence and a steep loss of economic momentum, particularly in the services sector, that re-inversion along with a multi-month low in 2-year yields is telling us everything we need to know. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Treasury Yields Slide as Confidence Gauge Stokes Economy Fearshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-25/treasuries-rally-as-traders-boost-bets-on-fed-interest-rate-cutsConference Board Consumer Confidencehttps://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidencehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Thematic investing is gaining traction in today's investing landscape, but what exactly is thematic investing and how can investors take advantage of this new trend? Jeff Shen, co-head of systematic Active Equity at BlackRock, joins Oscar to help us understand the current themes driving investment opportunities, how his team identifies and evaluates emerging themes and the role of technology in shaping the future of investing. We'll also discuss the risks associated with thematic investing and key takeaways for investors looking to capitalize on these trends.This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

This week's show covers IRA mistakes to avoid, conflicts of interest in financial advice, why you have so many accounts, and the normalizing yield curve.

Trade policies have always been a critical aspect of global economies and recent developments in US. Tariffs have sparked market volatility and discussions around the impact on inflation. The latest tariff announcements by President Trump have sent ripples through the market, affecting various sectors, and raising questions about their long-term impact. But what exactly are these new tariffs and how will they influence US companies, global supply chains and the broader market? Joining Oscar to unpack these developments is Glenn Purves Global head of Macro in the BlackRock Investment Institute and Catherine Kress, Head of geopolitical research and Strategy at BlackRock.This episode was recorded at 2pm, February 5th, 2025.This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

This week we speak with Christoph Jung (Head Fixed Income) about the current drivers of interest rates developments, impact of tariffs and tactical positioning in the bond market. DISCLAIMER This publication is for information- and marketing purposes only. The provided information is not legally binding and neither constitutes a financial analysis, nor an offer for investment-transactions or an investment advice and does not substitute any legal, tax or financial advice. Bergos AG does not accept any liability for the accuracy, correctness or completeness of the information. Bergos AG excludes any liability for the realisation of forecasts or other statements contained in the publication. The reproduction in part or in full without prior written permission of Bergos is not permitted.

Peter Baden navigates stock picking while dealing with the volatility of the Trump administration. He says to use strategies to “quickly deploy” money when you see an opportunity. He also looks at the bond market, calling it a “bond-picker's market” right now. He likes staying in the short end of the yield curve. He doesn't expect the Fed to cut rates this year. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

In a special episode recorded from Davos, host Oscar Pulido is joined by Philipp Hildebrand, Vice Chairman of BlackRock, and Tom Donilon, Chairman of the BlackRock Investment Institute, to discuss the latest insights on the macroeconomic and geopolitical outlook for 2025. Philipp and Tom will provide their expert analysis on how these dynamics are shaping the global economic environment and what it means for investors and policymakers, offering listeners a behind-the-scenes perspective from Davos. This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

This week we discuss the impact of Trump and his executive orders, the outlook for inflation, and the yield curve steepening. We also delve into warning signals for equities, CEO mentions of economic slowdown, and much more. Enjoy! — Follow Capital Flows: https://x.com/Globalflows Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.co/G7Ljv4x5Dp — Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1EK4VxLf1UrpTCmKGgBVE0PeIxr3ek4f-/view?usp=sharing — Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125 — SKALE is the next evolution in Layer 1 blockchains with a gas-free invisible user experience, instant finality, high speed, and robust security. SKALE is built different as it allows for limitless scalability and has already saved its 46 Million users over $9 Billion in gas fees. SKALE is high-performance and cost-effective, making it ideal for compute-intensive applications like AI, gaming, and consumer-facing dApps. Learn more at skale.space and stay up to date with the gas-free invisible blockchain on X at @skalenetwork Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world's crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com. — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:37) Introduction and Guest Introduction (01:20) Market Overview and Trump's Influence (02:16) Fed's Interest Rate Strategy (04:38) Executive Orders and Market Reactions (14:55) Ads (Skale, Ledger) (16:01) Roundup Continues (18:53) Inflation and Economic Indicators (24:09) Challenging Market Assumptions (24:34) Trump's Influence on Market Sentiment (25:13) Inflation and Energy Prices (27:09) Ads (Skale, Ledger) (28:26) FOMC Voting Members Rotation (29:18) Analyzing the Yield Curve (33:04) Market Reactions and Predictions (39:11) Economic Slowdown and Recession Risks (48:04) Final Thoughts and Market Outlook __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

The Federal Reserve faces mounting uncertainty, Trump's sweeping economic policies are set to reshape markets, and the bond market remains under immense pressure—making 2025 a year of financial turbulence. In this insightful interview, Andrew Brill sits down with Jared Dillian to unpack the Fed's 2025 outlook, the potential return of yield curve control, transformative tax reforms, and how global rebuilding efforts in Ukraine and California could drive demand for commodities. Jared also analyzes the risks of public and tech sector layoffs, stock market volatility, and offers actionable strategies to protect and grow your wealth during these uncertain times. Investment Concerns? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://bit.ly/42nfMMm Get Jared's insights on the markets and personal finance sent to your inbox every week at https://www.jareddillianmoney.com/go/JD053AF021/WEA Chapters: 1:32 - The Economy Today: Perspectives on Inflation and Growth 3:40 - A House Divided: Contrasting Fed Opinions 5:27 - Will Jay Powell Bend to Trump's Pressure? 7:18 - Market Reactions: CPI, PPI, and Bond Movements 9:42 - The Trump Steepening: What's Next for the Yield Curve? 11:12 - Yield Curve Control: Inflationary Consequences and Historical Context 13:20 - The Housing Conundrum: Prices, Supply, and Policy 15:22 - Economic Strains: Forbearance, Foreclosures, and Unemployment 18:06 - Cutting the Deficit: Layoffs, Debt, and Tough Choices 20:41 - Scott Besson's Task: Fixing the Treasury's Maturity Problem 23:24 - Commodities on the Rise: Weak Dollar, Big Rebuilds 26:11 - Trump's Policy Playbook: Taxes, Tariffs, and Manufacturing 30:48 - Tariffs: A Costly Tax on the Consumer? 33:47 - Are Manufacturing Jobs the Future? 34:09 - Stock Market Outlook: Is Optimism Already Priced In? 36:04 - Beyond Stocks: Agriculture and Commodities 37:12 - AI and the Future of Jobs 38:04 - We'll We Be Better Off in 2025? Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #Wealthion #Wealth #Finance #Investing #Economy #FederalReserve #TrumpEconomy #Markets #Inflation #Commodities #HousingMarket #BondMarket #TaxReform #EconomicOutlook #FinancialPlanning #StockMarket #EconomicPolicy #RebuildingEfforts #2025Predictions ____________________________________ IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

A critical theme for 2025 and beyond rebuilding the US physical economy with the Infrastructure, Investment and Jobs Act, and other policy measures, there's a renewed focus on enhancing infrastructure, reshoring manufacturing and addressing the housing supply gap. These efforts are not just about construction and development. They're about revitalizing the US economy and creating sustainable economic growth. Joining Oscar is Jay Jacobs, US head of Thematic and Active ETFs at BlackRock. Jay will provide insights into the demographic trends influencing the housing market, the reshoring of manufacturing, and the bipartisan support for these developmentsSources: New York Governor. "Governor Hochul Announces $54 Million in State Funding to Support the Second Avenue Subway Project." 7/30/2024; Reuters. "JFK Airport's massive overhaul takes winding route through debt markets." 12/6/23; Department of Transportation. "Hudson River Tunnel Project between New York and New Jersey." July 2024; American Society of Civil Engineers. "ASCE'S Infrastructure Report Card Gives U.S. "C-" Grade, Says Investment Gap Trillion, Bold Action Needed. 3/3/2021; Report Card for America's Infrastructure. "Overview of Bridges." 2021; MRL Consulting. "Semiconductor in everyday life: products from leading companies you use daily." 7/31/24; Center for Strategic and International Studies, “Mapping the semiconductor supply chain: the critical role of the indo-pacific region,” 5/30/2023; Semiconductor Industry Association. "America Projected to Triple Semiconductor Manufacturing Capacity by 2032. The Largest Rate of Growth in the World." 5/8/24; Realtor.com, “U.S. housing supply gap grows in 2023; growth outpaces permits in fast-growing sunbelt metros,” 2/27/2024; Motley Fool Money. "Millennial Home-Buying and Homeownership Statistics." 9/10/24; CNN. “More than half of American renters who want to buy a home fear they'll never afford one." July 29, 2024; Merrill Lynch. "Will the "Great Wealth Transfer" transform the markets?" May 2024. This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

As we welcome a new year, we reflect on 2024 as another strong year for equities with inflation, interest rates, and the ongoing impact of artificial intelligence. Still very much in the spotlight. 2025 is shaping up to be an intriguing year for equity investors BlackRock's Global CIO of Fundamental Equities, Tony DeSpirito, will discuss the factors driving the market where he sees the biggest equity opportunities and some of the challenges that lie ahead.Sources: S&P 500 2 Year Return, Y Charts, ‘How Reddit Surprised Wall Street With 185% Post-IPO Surge', Investor Business Daily, Nov 2024; Russell 1000 Value Index historical charts; 2023 GICS Changes: Companies Impacted and What You Need to Know, State Street Global Advisors, Jan 2023; The Magnificent Seven Monitor, Reuters; BlackRock Fundamental Equities with data from FactSet as of 11/30/24This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Greg McBride has his eye on yields as the Fed cuts rates. He says mortgage rates ticked back above 7% despite those cuts, which he blames on steepening yield curves. Turning to the Trump administration, he says there's a lot of uncertainty "until the ink is dry" on policies, though he expects a "slower but still solid" economy overall in 2025. Greg urges consumers to focus on paying off debt as a way to hedge against potential inflation. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Join us for an insightful conversation with Lakshman Achuthan from the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), where we promise you'll gain a deeper understanding of the complex world of economic cycles. Lakshman, a veteran in business cycle analysis, shares his expertise on the intricate dance between growth, inflation, and employment, and how these cycles, though interconnected, often march to the beat of their own drums. Our discussion highlights why economies are inherently cyclical, buffeted by internal dynamics and external shocks, and how recessions often arise when these weaknesses coincide with unforeseen events. The episode also delves into the current economic climate, dissecting phenomena such as the recent un-inversion of the yield curve, providing insights into where we are in the economic cycle and what this might mean for the future.This episode also takes a closer look at the economic landscape shaped by policies from the Trump administration, examining the structural impacts on employment and broader economic trends. We reflect on how historical patterns and unexpected downturns, like the 2018 inflation gauge surprise, pose challenges for economic forecasting. The global manufacturing sector's struggles amid a prolonged slowdown is another focal point, with discussions on potential recovery sparks and the implications on inflation and economic growth. Lakshman emphasizes the importance of staying open to evolving data and trends, highlighting the disparities between the resilient U.S. service sector and the cyclical nature of manufacturing. Tune in to explore the significance of forward-looking indicators and how they can provide a roadmap for anticipating changes in the economic landscape.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Today's sponsor is Ringtree, the smart choice for small business phone systems. Stop using your personal cell for business! Ringtree gives you a virtual business phone number that easily forwards right to your cell. It also has 800 numbers, voicemail transcription, a virtual receptionist, and lots of other great features - all with zero hardware and instant setup.Visit ringtree.io and use code LEADLAG to save Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

The Rebel Capitalist helps YOU learn more about Macro, Investing, Entrepreneurship AND Personal Freedom.✅ Come to Rebel Capitalist Live here https://rebelcapitalistlive.com/   ✅Check out my private, online investment community (Rebel Capitalist Pro) with Chris MacIntosh, Lyn Alden and many more for $1!! click here https://georgegammon.com/pro   ✅Rebel capitalist merchandise https://www.rebelcapitaliststore.com

In the second episode of our infrastructure mini-series on The Bid, guest host Mark Weidman, speaks with Matt Harris and Salim Samaha from Global Infrastructure investing to explore one of the biggest opportunities in infrastructure, the global transition to a low carbon economy.Sources: IEA Net Zero 2050, May 2021; Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) New Energy Outlook 2024 (May 2024); LevelTen Energy - Q1 2024 PPA Price Index Executive Summary - North America; Carbonomics, Goldman Sachs Dec 2022This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

In this first episode of our infrastructure miniseries on The Bid, guest host Mark Wiedman is joined by Raj Rao, Founding Partner, President and Chief Operating Officer of Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP), now a part of BlackRock to talk infrastructure investing 101, how the asset class started, what's driving its growth and why it's becoming a must have in investors' portfolios.Sources: “Data center spending skyrockets as cloud building rush accelerates”, CIO Dive, Sep 2024; “The Infrastructure Opportunity: Listed Versus Unlisted”, Institutional Investor 2022This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Professor Campbell Harvey, professor of finance at the Fuqua School of Business at Duke University and the inventor of the most famous recession indicator — the inverted yield curve — returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 219 to discuss the state of the economy, the yield curve, and what's ahead for U.S. growth. Links:   DeFI and the Future of Finance: https://www.amazon.com/DeFi-Future-Finance-Campbell-Harvey/dp/1119836018 https://www.fuqua.duke.edu/faculty/campbell-harvey https://people.duke.edu/~charvey/ https://twitter.com/camharvey Timestamps: 00:02 Introduction to Professor Campbell Harvey 00:51 BlackRock's "end of boom-bust cycle" thesis 04:15 Historical perspective on market cycles 06:14 Impact of wealthy consumers on economy 07:13 Role of technological innovation 11:37 U.S. leadership in innovation 14:31 Growth prospects and productivity potential 16:09 Post-election growth outlook 24:56 U.S. debt and deficit challenges 28:16 Social Security sustainability issues 32:51 Inverted yield curve indicator discussion 40:11 Impact of technological innovations 45:21 Federal Reserve policy critique 50:20 Distortions from Fed's zero-rate policy 54:18 Future consequences of Fed decisions 59:40 Closing thoughts on U.S. prospects

As we look back, 2024 was marked by a delicate balance between economic recovery and ongoing challenges. Despite some positive developments, the global economy faced hurdles that influenced investor sentiment and strategic decisions. Central banks navigated complex inflationary pressures, while investors sought to adapt to a rapidly changing environment. Jean Boivin, Head of The BlackRock Investment Institute, joins Oscar to help us look ahead to the new year. Jean will provide insights into the structural shifts we anticipate and explain how investors can navigate the five mega forces that the BlackRock Investment Institute identifies as key drivers of the new macro regime.This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

AI has been dominating investing headlines for almost two years, but it's not just a buzzword. It's a powerful technology that's poised to revolutionize industries and economies on a global scale. Investors are asking how will AI reshape job markets, productivity and economic growth? Nicholas Fawcett, a senior economist in the BlackRock Investment Institute joins Oscar to explore what AI means for the broad economy and the different stages of AI's evolution.Sources: Productivity estimates based on Brynjolfsson, Li, and Raymond (2023), Dell'Acqua et al. (2023) , Cui et al. (2024); Capex spend from BlackRock Investment Institute, Reuters, October 2024; Agricultural data based on IPUMS USA, October 2024This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

For The Bid's 200th episode, joining Oscar is one of BlackRock's founders, Rob Kapito. Rob currently serves as president of BlackRock and has witnessed the firm's incredible journey from the days of a largely US-based fixed income shop to becoming the firm trusted to manage more money than any other investment company in the world. Rob shares insights on the history of BlackRock, the firm's growth, and the evolving culture that has driven its success. We also look ahead to the future and get Rob's views on what lies ahead for BlackRock.This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Why are interest rates rising at one end of the yield at the same time falling on the opposite side? With more recession data coming in all the time, starting with payrolls, it seems as though there should be a uniform response from the marketplace. But that's not how steepening works. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisWashington PostHouse Passes Bush Tax Cuthttps://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/2001/03/09/house-passes-bush-tax-cut/99152799-f156-414f-82c4-bed4fca05bb3/Time ‘The Worst Is Over'https://time.com/archive/6917914/the-worst-is-over/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

In this episode of Next Level CRE on the Best Ever CRE Show, Jeremy Roll, a seasoned multi-cycle real estate and alternative asset investor and president of the Roll Investment Group, joins host Matt Faircloth. Jeremy breaks down how to invest as a defensive investor in 2024 and beyond based on his experience before and during the 2008 recession and the COVID-19 pandemic.  He discusses where to invest during a recession (which is likely coming, he says — he explains why), the key indicator he's following to determine whether or not we're headed for a recession, and why he's currently sitting on the sidelines to see how things play out economically. He also discusses the philosophy behind doing nothing, what he's looking for to determine when it's time for him to jump back in, and why — as a cash flow investor — he avoids negative leverage at absolutely all costs. Jeremy Roll | Real Estate Background Roll Investment Group Based in: Los Angeles, California Say hi to him at: LinkedIn Sponsors: Altra Running  

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has come. In fact, the inverted yield curve has predicted every recession since 1969 ... until now. Today, are we saying goodbye to the inverted yield curve's flawless record?Related episodes:The inverted yield curve is screaming RECESSION (Apple / Spotify) Yield curve jitters Two Yield Curve Indicators For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org. Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter. Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

The Rebel Capitalist helps YOU learn more about Macro, Investing, Entrepreneurship AND Personal Freedom.✅Check out my private, online investment community (Rebel Capitalist Pro) with Chris MacIntosh, Lyn Alden and many more for $1!! click here https://georgegammon.com/pro   ✅Rebel capitalist merchandise https://www.rebelcapitaliststore.com

On this TCAF Tuesday, hear Josh Brown and Michael Batnick discuss taking down risk, tech dilution, Apple reactions, and more on an all-new episode of What Are Your Thoughts! This episode is sponsored by YCharts! Subscribe to the YCharts blog to ensure you're plugged into the latest insights, research, and market trends. Get 20% off your initial subscription when you start your free YCharts trial and tell them WAYT sent you (new customers only) : https://go.ycharts.com/compound Sign up for The Compound newsletter and never miss out: https://www.thecompoundnews.com/subscribe Check out the latest in financial blogger fashion at The Compound shop: https://www.idontshop.com Instagram: https://instagram.com/thecompoundnews Twitter: https://twitter.com/thecompoundnews LinkedIn: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-compound-media/ Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Josh Brown are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. The information provided on this website (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information. Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here: https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices