Podcasts about Yield curve

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Latest podcast episodes about Yield curve

Forward Guidance
US Assets Are Dead Money Without A Policy Shift | Weekly Roundup

Forward Guidance

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 18, 2025 53:24


This week, we discuss Powell's hawkish speech, how to think about trading tariffs and the weaponization of the US account deficit, and whether we should expect a significant growth slowdown. We also delve into rate cuts & the yield curve, why Bitcoin is the trade after the trade, and more. Enjoy! — Follow Capital Flows: https://x.com/Globalflows Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx — Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1hLnf2szLRxPcUkIJwPyj34UbhHadON69/view?usp=sharing — Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv — At Ondo, we design institutional-grade platforms, assets, and infrastructure to bring financial markets onchain. We believe that combining the best of TradFi with the best of DeFi will dramatically improve our financial system—making it fairer, faster, and more accessible to all. Learn more about how Ondo is bringing capital markets onchain at https://ondo.finance/ — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:45) Recent Fed Remarks (06:26) Macro View and Tariff Trades (16:27) Ondo Ad (16:52) Market Positioning and Growth Slowdown (27:30) Debating Growth & the Yield Curve (35:30) Ondo Ad (36:01) Debating Growth & the Yield Curve (Con't) (36:59) Equities & Government Spending (41:44) Bitcoin: The Trade After the Trade — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

TD Ameritrade Network
Wells: U.S. Could Lose Safe Haven Status for Markets, Yield Curve Steepening

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2025 7:01


Andrew Wells thinks the 10-year bond could test 5% much sooner than expected, and likes the front end of the yield curve as an investment opportunity. On the long end, though, he's more skeptical as the Treasury attempts to deal with the national deficit. He says the U.S. may lose its status as a safe haven for assets amid the volatility and likes gold instead. In terms of trade, he thinks the “dominos could fall very quickly” once the first agreement is released.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

InvestTalk
China Unveils Plan to Boost Domestic Spending and Combat Tariffs

InvestTalk

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 26, 2025 47:00


Amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States, authorities in China say they will stimulate domestic consumption and reduce reliance on exports.Today's Stocks & Topics: PVH - PVH Corp., Market Wrap, Vanguard Sector ETFs, China Unveils Plan to Boost Domestic Spending and Combat Tariffs, NFLX - Netflix Inc., Market Madness, MMM - 3M Co., Private Sector Debt, Yield Curve, WOOF - Petco Health & Wellness Co. Inc., SNAP Funding.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

The Bid
212: The Role of Low-Carbon Opportunities In The Infrastructure Investment Landscape

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 14, 2025 19:20


Infrastructure investments have long been recognized as a foundation for economic growth and low carbon infrastructure is increasingly becoming an area of interest for investors in both public and private markets. But how will low carbon infrastructure play a role in the evolving energy investing landscape? Helen Jewell, Chief Investment Officer for fundamental equities at BlackRock helps us explore the significance of infrastructure from an investing perspective, the opportunities in public markets, and the long-term growth potential from investments in renewable energy.Sources: “Growth in global electricity demand is set to accelerate in coming years” in IEA, February 2025; BGF Sustainable Growth Infrastructure Fund, Fundamental Equities, BlackRock Febrruary 2025; FTSE Developed Core Infrastructure Index = 3.35%, Source: FTSE Russell as at 31 January 2025; National Grid Sell US Onshore Renewables Arm $174billion Brookfield” Reuters, February 2024; Bloomberg NEF, January 2025; Bloomberg New Energy Outlook, 2025; “How Copper Will Shape Our Future” BHP, September 2025;This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosureslow carbon investing, low carbon infrastructure, infrastructure, infrastructure investing, low carbon opportunities, copper, metals, infrastructure investments, See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Bid
The Intersection of AI and Geopolitics From An Investing Lens

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 28, 2025 22:49


Rapid advancements in artificial intelligence are influencing global power dynamics in ways that are reshaping the investment landscape. So, how are these AI developments impacting geopolitics, and what does this mean for investors?Catherine Kress, Head of Geopolitical Research and Jeff Shen, co-head of systematic equities at BlackRock join Oscar to help us understand the current themes driving the intersection of AI and geopolitics, how the broader technology and AI race is evolving, and the broader implications of the shifting US policy landscape on active management opportunities.Sources: DeepSeek model training cost claims from paper, January 2025; 60% of US tech revenues derived from overseas based on Aladdin Explore, using revenue breakdowns from the S&P 500 index as of 4/30/2024; “DeepSeek's low-cost AI spotlights billions spent by US tech” Reuters, January 2025; “How DeepSeek AI Sparks Nearly $1 Trillion U.S. Tech Implosion”, Investors Business Daily, January 2025;“Nvidia Stock Has Almost Recovered From DeepSeek Rout. There's More Good News” Barrons, February 2025; “US government commission pushes Manhattan Project-style AI initiative”, Reuters, Nov 2024; “US tightens control on AI chips export drawing pushback” BBC, January 2025; “FACT SHEET: Ensuring U.S. Security and Economic Strength in the Age of Artificial Intelligence” White House Press Briefing, January 2025; “What Donald Trump's Win Means For AI” Time Magazine, November 2025; “Trump plans to impose 25% tariffs on autos, chips and pharmaceuticals”, CNN, February 2025; “REMARKS BY VICE PRESIDENT VANCE AT THE ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (AI) ACTION SUMMIT” US Embassy 2025, February 2025This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Rebel Capitalist Show
Yield Curve Inverts (Again!), Consumer Confidence Collapses, Bitcoin Plummets

The Rebel Capitalist Show

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 26, 2025 70:30


The Rebel Capitalist helps YOU learn more about Macro, Investing, Entrepreneurship AND Personal Freedom.✅ Come to Rebel Capitalist Live here https://rebelcapitalistlive.com/   ✅Check out my private, online investment community (Rebel Capitalist Pro) with Chris MacIntosh, Lyn Alden and many more for $1!! click here https://georgegammon.com/pro   ✅Rebel capitalist merchandise https://www.rebelcapitaliststore.com

Making Sense
HOLY SH*T: The Yield Curve Just Inverted Again

Making Sense

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 26, 2025 20:15


If you are in any way interested in precious metals, check out what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/Rates are down sharply, so much the broad yield curve re-inverted from one critical spot. Given the macro context with crashing consumer confidence and a steep loss of economic momentum, particularly in the services sector, that re-inversion along with a multi-month low in 2-year yields is telling us everything we need to know. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Treasury Yields Slide as Confidence Gauge Stokes Economy Fearshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-25/treasuries-rally-as-traders-boost-bets-on-fed-interest-rate-cutsConference Board Consumer Confidencehttps://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidencehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The Bid
Thematic Investing: Finding Tomorrow's Themes Today

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 21, 2025 16:23


Thematic investing is gaining traction in today's investing landscape, but what exactly is thematic investing and how can investors take advantage of this new trend? Jeff Shen, co-head of systematic Active Equity at BlackRock, joins Oscar to help us understand the current themes driving investment opportunities, how his team identifies and evaluates emerging themes and the role of technology in shaping the future of investing. We'll also discuss the risks associated with thematic investing and key takeaways for investors looking to capitalize on these trends.This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Financial Focus Radio Show
Conflicts of Interest, IRA Mistakes to Avoid, Return to Normal Yield Curve (2.8.25)

Financial Focus Radio Show

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 10, 2025 78:25


This week's show covers IRA mistakes to avoid, conflicts of interest in financial advice, why you have so many accounts, and the normalizing yield curve.

The Bid
The Economic Impact of Tariffs

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 7, 2025 21:36


Trade policies have always been a critical aspect of global economies and recent developments in US. Tariffs have sparked market volatility and discussions around the impact on inflation. The latest tariff announcements by President Trump have sent ripples through the market, affecting various sectors, and raising questions about their long-term impact. But what exactly are these new tariffs and how will they influence US companies, global supply chains and the broader market? Joining Oscar to unpack these developments is Glenn Purves Global head of Macro in the BlackRock Investment Institute and Catherine Kress, Head of geopolitical research and Strategy at BlackRock.This episode was recorded at 2pm, February 5th, 2025.This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Bergos Now
A Fixed Income Update: Yield Curve Developments, Tariffs and Tactical Positioning (EN) #232

Bergos Now

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 7, 2025 12:48


This week we speak with Christoph Jung (Head Fixed Income) about the current drivers of interest rates developments, impact of tariffs and tactical positioning in the bond market. DISCLAIMER This publication is for information- and marketing purposes only. The provided information is not legally binding and neither constitutes a financial analysis, nor an offer for investment-transactions or an investment advice and does not substitute any legal, tax or financial advice. Bergos AG does not accept any liability for the accuracy, correctness or completeness of the information. Bergos AG excludes any liability for the realisation of forecasts or other statements contained in the publication. The reproduction in part or in full without prior written permission of Bergos is not permitted.

TD Ameritrade Network
Opportunities in the Short End of the Yield Curve

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 30, 2025 9:50


Peter Baden navigates stock picking while dealing with the volatility of the Trump administration. He says to use strategies to “quickly deploy” money when you see an opportunity. He also looks at the bond market, calling it a “bond-picker's market” right now. He likes staying in the short end of the yield curve. He doesn't expect the Fed to cut rates this year. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The Bid
A Macro and Geopolitical Outlook – Live from Davos

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 24, 2025 24:52


In a special episode recorded from Davos, host Oscar Pulido is joined by Philipp Hildebrand, Vice Chairman of BlackRock, and Tom Donilon, Chairman of the BlackRock Investment Institute, to discuss the latest insights on the macroeconomic and geopolitical outlook for 2025. Philipp and Tom will provide their expert analysis on how these dynamics are shaping the global economic environment and what it means for investors and policymakers, offering listeners a behind-the-scenes perspective from Davos. This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Forward Guidance
Trump Vs The Fed: The Battle Over Rates, Growth, & Inflation | Weekly Roundup

Forward Guidance

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 24, 2025 48:39


This week we discuss the impact of Trump and his executive orders, the outlook for inflation, and the yield curve steepening. We also delve into warning signals for equities, CEO mentions of economic slowdown, and much more. Enjoy! — Follow Capital Flows: https://x.com/Globalflows Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.co/G7Ljv4x5Dp — Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1EK4VxLf1UrpTCmKGgBVE0PeIxr3ek4f-/view?usp=sharing — Forward Guidance Audience Survey: https://forward-guidance.beehiiv.com/forms/109bcbf7-0948-43b8-be8d-5390a5198125 — SKALE is the next evolution in Layer 1 blockchains with a gas-free invisible user experience, instant finality, high speed, and robust security. SKALE is built different as it allows for limitless scalability and has already saved its 46 Million users over $9 Billion in gas fees. SKALE is high-performance and cost-effective, making it ideal for compute-intensive applications like AI, gaming, and consumer-facing dApps. Learn more at skale.space and stay up to date with the gas-free invisible blockchain on X at @skalenetwork Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security for consumers and enterprises, proudly sponsors Forward Guidance, where traditional finance meets crypto. As Ledger celebrates a decade of securing 20% of the world's crypto assets, it offers a secure gateway for those entering digital finance. Buy a LEDGER™ device today and protect your assets with top-tier security technology. Buy now on Ledger.com. — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:37) Introduction and Guest Introduction (01:20) Market Overview and Trump's Influence (02:16) Fed's Interest Rate Strategy (04:38) Executive Orders and Market Reactions (14:55) Ads (Skale, Ledger) (16:01) Roundup Continues (18:53) Inflation and Economic Indicators (24:09) Challenging Market Assumptions (24:34) Trump's Influence on Market Sentiment (25:13) Inflation and Energy Prices (27:09) Ads (Skale, Ledger) (28:26) FOMC Voting Members Rotation (29:18) Analyzing the Yield Curve (33:04) Market Reactions and Predictions (39:11) Economic Slowdown and Recession Risks (48:04) Final Thoughts and Market Outlook __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Wealthion
Trump, The Fed, and 2025's Coming Financial Rollercoaster | Jared Dillian

Wealthion

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 21, 2025 45:35


The Federal Reserve faces mounting uncertainty, Trump's sweeping economic policies are set to reshape markets, and the bond market remains under immense pressure—making 2025 a year of financial turbulence. In this insightful interview, Andrew Brill sits down with Jared Dillian to unpack the Fed's 2025 outlook, the potential return of yield curve control, transformative tax reforms, and how global rebuilding efforts in Ukraine and California could drive demand for commodities. Jared also analyzes the risks of public and tech sector layoffs, stock market volatility, and offers actionable strategies to protect and grow your wealth during these uncertain times. Investment Concerns? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://bit.ly/42nfMMm Get Jared's insights on the markets and personal finance sent to your inbox every week at https://www.jareddillianmoney.com/go/JD053AF021/WEA Chapters: 1:32 - The Economy Today: Perspectives on Inflation and Growth 3:40 - A House Divided: Contrasting Fed Opinions 5:27 - Will Jay Powell Bend to Trump's Pressure? 7:18 - Market Reactions: CPI, PPI, and Bond Movements 9:42 - The Trump Steepening: What's Next for the Yield Curve? 11:12 - Yield Curve Control: Inflationary Consequences and Historical Context 13:20 - The Housing Conundrum: Prices, Supply, and Policy 15:22 - Economic Strains: Forbearance, Foreclosures, and Unemployment 18:06 - Cutting the Deficit: Layoffs, Debt, and Tough Choices 20:41 - Scott Besson's Task: Fixing the Treasury's Maturity Problem 23:24 - Commodities on the Rise: Weak Dollar, Big Rebuilds 26:11 - Trump's Policy Playbook: Taxes, Tariffs, and Manufacturing 30:48 - Tariffs: A Costly Tax on the Consumer? 33:47 - Are Manufacturing Jobs the Future? 34:09 - Stock Market Outlook: Is Optimism Already Priced In? 36:04 - Beyond Stocks: Agriculture and Commodities 37:12 - AI and the Future of Jobs 38:04 - We'll We Be Better Off in 2025? Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #Wealthion #Wealth #Finance #Investing #Economy #FederalReserve #TrumpEconomy #Markets #Inflation #Commodities #HousingMarket #BondMarket #TaxReform #EconomicOutlook #FinancialPlanning #StockMarket #EconomicPolicy #RebuildingEfforts #2025Predictions ____________________________________ IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

ValueSide
The Fed And The Market - Managing The Yield Curve

ValueSide

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 20, 2025 7:57


It puts an entirely different slant on how we view the Yield Curve. It's no longer this passive time difference between short and long maturities. Now, it's as if there is one active player (the Bank—the Fed) who puts up their latest interest rates. While on the sidelines, the rest of the world (literally) stands in judgment of the Fed's move. If the Fed raises rates too high, as they did from 2022 until 2024, the long end of the Yield Curve, the Seer, stays put, refusing to budge, showing to the world that the Fed has overreacted.

ValueSide
The Fed And The Market - Managing The Yield Curve

ValueSide

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 19, 2025 7:57


It puts an entirely different slant on how we view the Yield Curve. It's no longer this passive time difference between short and long maturities. Now, it's as if there is one active player (the Bank—the Fed) who puts up their latest interest rates. While on the sidelines, the rest of the world (literally) stands in judgment of the Fed's move. If the Fed raises rates too high, as they did from 2022 until 2024, the long end of the Yield Curve, the Seer, stays put, refusing to budge, showing to the world that the Fed has overreacted.

ValueSide
The Fed And The Market - Managing The Yield Curve

ValueSide

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 19, 2025 7:57


It puts an entirely different slant on how we view the Yield Curve. It's no longer this passive time difference between short and long maturities. Now, it's as if there is one active player (the Bank—the Fed) who puts up their latest interest rates. While on the sidelines, the rest of the world (literally) stands in judgment of the Fed's move. If the Fed raises rates too high, as they did from 2022 until 2024, the long end of the Yield Curve, the Seer, stays put, refusing to budge, showing to the world that the Fed has overreacted.

ValueSide
The Fed And The Market Managing The Yield Curve

ValueSide

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 18, 2025 7:57


It puts an entirely different slant on how we view the Yield Curve. It's no longer this passive time difference between short and long maturities. Now, it's as if there is one active player (the Bank—the Fed) who puts up their latest interest rates. While on the sidelines, the rest of the world (literally) stands in judgment of the Fed's move. If the Fed raises rates too high, as they did from 2022 until 2024, the long end of the Yield Curve, the Seer, stays put, refusing to budge, showing to the world that the Fed has overreacted.

The Bid
Rebuilding The US Physical Economy

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 17, 2025 19:01


A critical theme for 2025 and beyond rebuilding the US physical economy with the Infrastructure, Investment and Jobs Act, and other policy measures, there's a renewed focus on enhancing infrastructure, reshoring manufacturing and addressing the housing supply gap. These efforts are not just about construction and development. They're about revitalizing the US economy and creating sustainable economic growth. Joining Oscar is Jay Jacobs, US head of Thematic and Active ETFs at BlackRock. Jay will provide insights into the demographic trends influencing the housing market, the reshoring of manufacturing, and the bipartisan support for these developmentsSources: New York Governor. "Governor Hochul Announces $54 Million in State Funding to Support the Second Avenue Subway Project." 7/30/2024; Reuters. "JFK Airport's massive overhaul takes winding route through debt markets." 12/6/23; Department of Transportation. "Hudson River Tunnel Project between New York and New Jersey." July 2024; American Society of Civil Engineers. "ASCE'S Infrastructure Report Card Gives U.S. "C-" Grade, Says Investment Gap Trillion, Bold Action Needed. 3/3/2021; Report Card for America's Infrastructure. "Overview of Bridges." 2021; MRL Consulting. "Semiconductor in everyday life: products from leading companies you use daily." 7/31/24; Center for Strategic and International Studies, “Mapping the semiconductor supply chain: the critical role of the indo-pacific region,” 5/30/2023; Semiconductor Industry Association. "America Projected to Triple Semiconductor Manufacturing Capacity by 2032. The Largest Rate of Growth in the World." 5/8/24; Realtor.com, “U.S. housing supply gap grows in 2023; growth outpaces permits in fast-growing sunbelt metros,” 2/27/2024; Motley Fool Money. "Millennial Home-Buying and Homeownership Statistics." 9/10/24; CNN. “More than half of American renters who want to buy a home fear they'll never afford one." July 29, 2024; Merrill Lynch. "Will the "Great Wealth Transfer" transform the markets?" May 2024. This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Simple Success With John Brandy
211 - The Yield Curve

Simple Success With John Brandy

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 13, 2025 17:53


Multiple Sources of Income Opportunity: We have a rare opportunity for someone to join us as a scriptwriter, editor, mixer or showrunner, possibly even for co-founder rewards. If you are interested enough to dedicate the time to learn the craft, contact us at this Facebook link: ⁠⁠http://www.facebook.com/simplesuccesswithjohnbrandy⁠⁠ Our Credits: These podcasts are productions of Little Red Hen Industries. OUR FIFTH YEAR!! Learn about financial education & personal finance with John Brandy on Simple Success on Mondays! Listen to great speeches with John on A Choice Voice, which comes out on Wednesdays! Follow Us Here: ⁠⁠⁠https://www.instagram.com/simplesuccesswithjohnbrandy⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠https://www.pinterest.com/simplesuccesswithjohnbrandy/⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠https://www.facebook.com/simplesuccess⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠https://www.reddit.com/r/littleredhen/⁠⁠⁠ All Little Red Hen Productions: ⁠⁠⁠John Brandy Podcasts⁠⁠⁠ Production Credit: Techno King: John C. Brandy Alter Ego: Doubting Thomas Fact-Checker: A Small Brown Beef Animal, Really Tiny. Facts Are Important But Are Also Easy Social Manager: Abraham Lincoln Media Expert: Augustus Caesar Psychologist: William James Sound Designer: Adobe's Creative Suite Language Consultant: Lea – The French “Do Your Own Research” Lady Videographer: Etomon Koshki Audio Props: Les Paul Inspiration: Many podcasts and other sources and of course Napoleon Hill. Subscribe Links: iOS Simple Success: ⁠⁠⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/simple-success-with-john-brandy/id1549566678⁠⁠⁠ Droid Simple Success: ⁠⁠⁠https://podcasts.google.com/search/simple%20success%20with%20john%20brandy⁠⁠⁠ iOS A Choice Voice: ⁠⁠⁠https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a-choice-voice-with-john-brandy/id1560026051⁠⁠⁠ Droid A Choice Voice: ⁠⁠⁠https://podcasts.google.com/search/a%20choice%20voice%20with%20john%20brandy⁠⁠⁠ AI Voices & Other Stuff @ Amazon Polly, Google, Open AI, Eleven Labs, Adobe, ACE Studios, Suno.AI,  & Udio.Com.⁠⁠⁠⁠ Finally, you can find us on Podmatch, Matchmaker.FM, Podbooker and Podcast Guests, where we consider guests & guesting on other people's shows. And really finally, our main background music and sound effects come from ⁠⁠⁠freesound.org⁠⁠⁠.

The Bid
A Stock Picker's Guide to 2025

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 10, 2025 22:12


As we welcome a new year, we reflect on 2024 as another strong year for equities with inflation, interest rates, and the ongoing impact of artificial intelligence. Still very much in the spotlight. 2025 is shaping up to be an intriguing year for equity investors BlackRock's Global CIO of Fundamental Equities, Tony DeSpirito, will discuss the factors driving the market where he sees the biggest equity opportunities and some of the challenges that lie ahead.Sources: S&P 500 2 Year Return, Y Charts, ‘How Reddit Surprised Wall Street With 185% Post-IPO Surge', Investor Business Daily, Nov 2024; Russell 1000 Value Index historical charts; 2023 GICS Changes: Companies Impacted and What You Need to Know, State Street Global Advisors, Jan 2023; The Magnificent Seven Monitor, Reuters; BlackRock Fundamental Equities with data from FactSet as of 11/30/24This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

TD Ameritrade Network
Watch Steeping Yield Curve in "Slower but Still Solid" 2025

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 6, 2025 8:15


Greg McBride has his eye on yields as the Fed cuts rates. He says mortgage rates ticked back above 7% despite those cuts, which he blames on steepening yield curves. Turning to the Trump administration, he says there's a lot of uncertainty "until the ink is dry" on policies, though he expects a "slower but still solid" economy overall in 2025. Greg urges consumers to focus on paying off debt as a way to hedge against potential inflation. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Lead-Lag Live
Lakshman Achuthan on Economic Cycle Insights, Yield Curve Un-inversion, and Global Manufacturing Challenges

Lead-Lag Live

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 5, 2025 38:09 Transcription Available


Join us for an insightful conversation with Lakshman Achuthan from the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), where we promise you'll gain a deeper understanding of the complex world of economic cycles. Lakshman, a veteran in business cycle analysis, shares his expertise on the intricate dance between growth, inflation, and employment, and how these cycles, though interconnected, often march to the beat of their own drums. Our discussion highlights why economies are inherently cyclical, buffeted by internal dynamics and external shocks, and how recessions often arise when these weaknesses coincide with unforeseen events. The episode also delves into the current economic climate, dissecting phenomena such as the recent un-inversion of the yield curve, providing insights into where we are in the economic cycle and what this might mean for the future.This episode also takes a closer look at the economic landscape shaped by policies from the Trump administration, examining the structural impacts on employment and broader economic trends. We reflect on how historical patterns and unexpected downturns, like the 2018 inflation gauge surprise, pose challenges for economic forecasting. The global manufacturing sector's struggles amid a prolonged slowdown is another focal point, with discussions on potential recovery sparks and the implications on inflation and economic growth. Lakshman emphasizes the importance of staying open to evolving data and trends, highlighting the disparities between the resilient U.S. service sector and the cyclical nature of manufacturing. Tune in to explore the significance of forward-looking indicators and how they can provide a roadmap for anticipating changes in the economic landscape.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Today's sponsor is Ringtree, the smart choice for small business phone systems. Stop using your personal cell for business! Ringtree gives you a virtual business phone number that easily forwards right to your cell. It also has 800 numbers, voicemail transcription, a virtual receptionist, and lots of other great features - all with zero hardware and instant setup.Visit ringtree.io and use code LEADLAG to save Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

The Rebel Capitalist Show
Yield Curve Gives Warning, Elon Is WRONG About This, Dollar Milkshake Playing Out?

The Rebel Capitalist Show

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 20, 2024 77:14


The Rebel Capitalist helps YOU learn more about Macro, Investing, Entrepreneurship AND Personal Freedom.✅ Come to Rebel Capitalist Live here https://rebelcapitalistlive.com/   ✅Check out my private, online investment community (Rebel Capitalist Pro) with Chris MacIntosh, Lyn Alden and many more for $1!! click here https://georgegammon.com/pro   ✅Rebel capitalist merchandise https://www.rebelcapitaliststore.com

The Bid
Infrastructure mini-series Ep 2: The Low-Carbon Transition: A $100 Trillion Infrastructure Opportunity

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 20, 2024 18:31


In the second episode of our infrastructure mini-series on The Bid, guest host Mark Weidman, speaks with Matt Harris and Salim Samaha from Global Infrastructure investing to explore one of the biggest opportunities in infrastructure, the global transition to a low carbon economy.Sources: IEA Net Zero 2050, May 2021; Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) New Energy Outlook 2024 (May 2024); LevelTen Energy - Q1 2024 PPA Price Index Executive Summary - North America; Carbonomics, Goldman Sachs Dec 2022This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

BankTalk Podcast
How will the US Elections Affect your Liquidity and Investment Strategy? | BankTalk Episode 111

BankTalk Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 19, 2024 26:51


Join Scott Hildenbrand from Piper Sandler as we discuss the recent Fed moves, the yield curve, unrealized losses, and the US elections and strategies that banks and credit unions are making to improve their investment portfolios.Send us a textPresented by Remedy ConsultingTechnology Contract Negotiation & System Assessments, T&C Improvements, and FI Strategic Planning.For more information on BankTalk:BankTalk WebsiteSubscribe to BankTalk NewsRemedy Consulting WebsiteRemedy LinkedInTo speak on the BankTalk Podcast, please email us.

The Bid
Infrastructure mini-series Ep 1: The Growing Demand For Infrastructure Investment

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 13, 2024 19:12


In this first episode of our infrastructure miniseries on The Bid, guest host Mark Wiedman is joined by Raj Rao, Founding Partner, President and Chief Operating Officer of Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP), now a part of BlackRock to talk infrastructure investing 101, how the asset class started, what's driving its growth and why it's becoming a must have in investors' portfolios.Sources: “Data center spending skyrockets as cloud building rush accelerates”, CIO Dive, Sep 2024; “The Infrastructure Opportunity: Listed Versus Unlisted”, Institutional Investor 2022This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

TD Ameritrade Network
Term Premium vs Risk Premium in Yield Curve

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 13, 2024 4:25


Kathy Jones discusses the Fed's path, examining the signals from Fed speakers and Jerome Powell for the December meeting and beyond. She notes strong demand on the long end of the yield curve and breaks down what that term premium is telling us. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The Julia La Roche Show
#219 Campbell Harvey: End of Boom-Bust Cycle? | Will Yield Curve Show First False Signal?

The Julia La Roche Show

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 12, 2024 64:49


Professor Campbell Harvey, professor of finance at the Fuqua School of Business at Duke University and the inventor of the most famous recession indicator — the inverted yield curve — returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 219 to discuss the state of the economy, the yield curve, and what's ahead for U.S. growth. Links:   DeFI and the Future of Finance: https://www.amazon.com/DeFi-Future-Finance-Campbell-Harvey/dp/1119836018 https://www.fuqua.duke.edu/faculty/campbell-harvey https://people.duke.edu/~charvey/ https://twitter.com/camharvey Timestamps: 00:02 Introduction to Professor Campbell Harvey 00:51 BlackRock's "end of boom-bust cycle" thesis 04:15 Historical perspective on market cycles 06:14 Impact of wealthy consumers on economy 07:13 Role of technological innovation 11:37 U.S. leadership in innovation 14:31 Growth prospects and productivity potential 16:09 Post-election growth outlook 24:56 U.S. debt and deficit challenges 28:16 Social Security sustainability issues 32:51 Inverted yield curve indicator discussion 40:11 Impact of technological innovations 45:21 Federal Reserve policy critique 50:20 Distortions from Fed's zero-rate policy 54:18 Future consequences of Fed decisions 59:40 Closing thoughts on U.S. prospects

Advisor's Market360™
2025 Outlook

Advisor's Market360™

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 12, 2024 23:27


How will changes on the political front influence the financial markets? • Learn more at thriventfunds.com • Follow us on LinkedIn • Share feedback and questions with us at podcast@thriventfunds.com • Thrivent Distributors, LLC is a member of FINRA and a subsidiary of Thrivent, the marketing name for Thrivent Financial for Lutherans.

The Bid
2025 Outlook: Building The Transformation

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 6, 2024 17:54


As we look back, 2024 was marked by a delicate balance between economic recovery and ongoing challenges. Despite some positive developments, the global economy faced hurdles that influenced investor sentiment and strategic decisions. Central banks navigated complex inflationary pressures, while investors sought to adapt to a rapidly changing environment. Jean Boivin, Head of The BlackRock Investment Institute, joins Oscar to help us look ahead to the new year. Jean will provide insights into the structural shifts we anticipate and explain how investors can navigate the five mega forces that the BlackRock Investment Institute identifies as key drivers of the new macro regime.This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
US Market Open: US yield curve steepens and Dollar is broadly softer ahead of JOLTS and Fed speak, OATs await Wednesday's confidence vote

Ransquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 3, 2024 3:16


European bourses are entirely in the green; US futures are essentially flat ahead of US JOLTS and Fed speak.USD is broadly softer vs. peers, EUR/USD reclaims 1.05.US yield curve steepens ahead of JOLTS, OATs await Wednesday's confidence voteCrude climbs higher, base metals benefit from the risk tone and softer USD.Looking ahead, US JOLTS, Speakers including Fed's Goolsbee, Daly, Kugler.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The Bid
AI's Three Investing Phases

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 29, 2024 20:42


AI has been dominating investing headlines for almost two years, but it's not just a buzzword. It's a powerful technology that's poised to revolutionize industries and economies on a global scale. Investors are asking how will AI reshape job markets, productivity and economic growth? Nicholas Fawcett, a senior economist in the BlackRock Investment Institute joins Oscar to explore what AI means for the broad economy and the different stages of AI's evolution.Sources: Productivity estimates based on Brynjolfsson, Li, and Raymond (2023), Dell'Acqua et al. (2023) , Cui et al. (2024); Capex spend from BlackRock Investment Institute, Reuters, October 2024; Agricultural data based on IPUMS USA, October 2024This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News
11.25.24 Homeowner Equity Use Cases; Polunsky Beitel Green's Marty Green on the Fed; Yield Curve Flattening

Chrisman Commentary - Daily Mortgage News

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 25, 2024 21:03 Transcription Available


Lenders can easily integrate income verification into their workflow and verify any borrower at any point during the application process with Truework Income. By connecting every verification method into one platform, Truework helps lenders eliminate process disruptions, maintain a competitive borrower experience and reduce the fiscal impact of verifying income. Banks, credit unions and wholesale lenders are using Truework because it's the only platform making income verification as easy as clicking a button. 

Market MakeHer Podcast
64. How The Credit Market Influences Your Loan Interest Rates

Market MakeHer Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 22, 2024 31:49


What is the credit market and how does it determine our loan interest rates? It's actually the same thing as the bond market, and we consumers all participate in it. Join us as we delve into the intricacies of the credit market and how it influences interest rates across various financial products, including credit cards, auto loans, and mortgages.  We will also discuss the yield curve, the role of the Federal Reserve (aka The Fed), and how understanding these concepts can empower consumers to make informed financial decisions. The financial system is interconnected like a giant puzzle. We're here to help you put all the pieces together and learn how to make the system and your money work for you!   Takeaways✨ Interest rates on loans are influenced by the yield curve. ✨ The credit market determines interest rates for various loans. ✨ The Federal Reserve impacts short-term rates directly. ✨ Understanding the yield curve helps in making financial decisions. ✨ Consumers can influence the stock market through their spending. ✨ Credit card rates are tied to the prime rate, which is influenced by the Fed. ✨ Auto loans are typically tied to the middle of the yield curve. ✨ Mortgages are related to the 10-year treasury yields.  Episodes mentioned:18. Understanding the Yield Curve 52. Intro to Bonds    Donate To Our Financial Literacy Mission  Still Have More Questions or a Comment? 

The Bid
BlackRock's Evolution: Insights from BlackRock President Rob Kapito

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 15, 2024 19:05


For The Bid's 200th episode, joining Oscar is one of BlackRock's founders, Rob Kapito. Rob currently serves as president of BlackRock and has witnessed the firm's incredible journey from the days of a largely US-based fixed income shop to becoming the firm trusted to manage more money than any other investment company in the world. Rob shares insights on the history of BlackRock, the firm's growth, and the evolving culture that has driven its success. We also look ahead to the future and get Rob's views on what lies ahead for BlackRock.This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

TD Ameritrade Network
Bonds' Butterfly Effect Could Pinch Yield Curve

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 15, 2024 4:22


The bond-market "butterfly effect" might slow down long yields if the Fed is forced to stop cutting, argues OJ Renick, who's tentatively holding the red light on Treasuries, for now. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185 Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7 Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watch Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-explore Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/ Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/abou

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
11-7-24 Fed Day Arrives

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2024 46:01


In the aftermath of the 2024 Election, attention now turns to today's Fed announcement, with odds makers giving 96% chance of a quarter-percent rate cut. Meanwhile, markets are roiling as foreign investors try to position after the election. Managers are scrambling to re-risk in time for year-end reporting; Wednesday was a huge day for Small Caps. Lance and Michael discuss the frequency of Mexican Food, our up coming 2025 Economic Summit, and what investors should do in response to Tuesday's election. The results argue for the value in a diversified portfolio. Questions remain: Why was Gold getting crushed? What will Trump do? Will there be an economic surprise? A discussion of economic reporting, and prediction the NFIB Confidence Index will surge with the Trump win. Employment data, however, is slightly below average. Why is the Fed cutting rates? Watch for a wall of corporate debt coming due. We're in a "fine" economy; the Fed meeting may seem boring, but read between the lines. Will there be a Fed surprise? Half-percent rate cut vs NO rate cut? Watch for language changes in Fed statement. Trump Tariffs do not necessarily promote growth. Will we see '70's-style inflation? Can the Fed control the yield curve? (Operation Twist) Most of the Fed's sway is in what they say. SEG-1: Post-election Analysis & Fed Meeting Preview SEG-2: Election Reaction: What Do We Do Next? SEG-3: Economic Reporting Preview SEG-4: Fed Control of Yield Curve; Why is Gold Surging? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XA3421RaEAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Is Gold Surging?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-is-gold-surging/ "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep's Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back! " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lb3hFtjlQ38&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Trump Wins!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xY3WborUcsw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2973s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #GoldSurges #FedDay #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #MexicanFood #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
11-7-24 Fed Day Arrives!

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 7, 2024 46:02


In the aftermath of the 2024 Election, attention now turns to today's Fed announcement, with odds makers giving  96% chance of a quarter-percent rate cut. Meanwhile, markets are roiling as foreign investors try to position after the election. Managers are scrambling to re-risk in time for year-end reporting; Wednesday was a huge day for Small Caps. Lance and Michael discuss the frequency of Mexican Food, our up coming 2025 Economic Summit, and what investors should do in response to Tuesday's election. The results argue for the value in a diversified portfolio. Questions remain: Why was Gold getting crushed? What will Trump do? Will there be an economic surprise? A discussion of economic reporting, and prediction the NFIB Confidence Index will surge with the Trump win. Employment data, however, is slightly below average. Why is the Fed cutting rates? Watch for a wall of corporate debt coming due. We're in a "fine" economy; the Fed meeting may seem boring, but read between the lines. Will there be a Fed surprise? Half-percent rate cut vs NO rate cut? Watch for language changes in Fed statement. Trump Tariffs do not necessarily promote growth. Will we see '70's-style inflation? Can the Fed control the yield curve? (Operation Twist) Most of the Fed's sway is in what they say.  SEG-1: Post-election Analysis & Fed Meeting Preview SEG-2: Election Reaction: What Do We Do Next? SEG-3: Economic Reporting Preview SEG-4: Fed Control of Yield Curve; Why is Gold Surging? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,  w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XA3421RaEAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Is Gold Surging?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-is-gold-surging/ "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep's Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back! " is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lb3hFtjlQ38&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Trump Wins!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xY3WborUcsw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2973s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #GoldSurges #FedDay #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #MexicanFood #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Bid
From Ballots to Markets: Analyzing the 2024 US Election Results

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 6, 2024 9:49


As the election results have been called, we bring you a special episode of The Bid where Catherine Kress, head of Geopolitical Research and Strategy at BlackRock joins Oscar to discuss what is next for markets and how investors can position themselves for success during a volatile period.This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener.In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets.Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Making Sense
The Yield Curve is Signaling a Major Warning – Here's What You Need to Know

Making Sense

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 5, 2024 18:08


Why are interest rates rising at one end of the yield at the same time falling on the opposite side? With more recession data coming in all the time, starting with payrolls, it seems as though there should be a uniform response from the marketplace. But that's not how steepening works. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisWashington PostHouse Passes Bush Tax Cuthttps://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/2001/03/09/house-passes-bush-tax-cut/99152799-f156-414f-82c4-bed4fca05bb3/Time ‘The Worst Is Over'https://time.com/archive/6917914/the-worst-is-over/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The Bid
The Race For Innovations In ETFs and Index Investing

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 1, 2024 20:00


Innovation in the investment industry is a hot topic thanks to the rise of things like AI, shifting investor demand, and volatile markets that are requiring more agility from investors. Today we'll be exploring the innovations driving both the ETF Market and Index investing more broadly, examining the latest trends and challenges facing investors, and how technology is playing a role in shaping these products.Joining Oscar live in London at BlackRock's annual UK Wealth Investors Forum is Manuela Sperandeo, Head of Product for iShares in EMEA and Stuart Doole, global head of Equity investing research at MSCI, an investment research firm that provides stock indexes, portfolio risk, and performance analytics.Sources: ‘Global ETF assets reach $11 trillion', Investment News, February 2024 Carefully consider the Funds' investment objectives, risk factors, and charges and expenses before investing. This and other information can be found in the Funds' prospectuses or, if available, the summary prospectuses which may be obtained by visiting www.iShares.com or www.blackrock.com. Read the prospectus carefully before investing. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal. Actively managed funds do not seek to replicate the performance of a specified index, may have higher portfolio turnover, and may charge higher fees than index funds due to increased trading and research expenses. The iShares ETFs that are registered with the US Securities and Exchange Commission are distributed in the US by BlackRock Investments, LLC. This material does not constitute an offer or solicitation to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any shares of any Fund (nor shall any such shares be offered or sold to any person) in any jurisdiction in which an offer, solicitation, purchase or sale would be unlawful under the securities law of that jurisdiction. BlackRock Is not affiliated with MSCI.This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The Bid
The Case For Active Equity Investing – A Fund Manager's Perspective

The Bid

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 25, 2024 20:12


Active equity investing isn't just about picking stocks, it's about making informed strategic decisions to beat the market or generate alpha. But what does that really mean for your portfolio, and how can you consider long-term investing strategies when faced with volatile markets?Recorded live in London at BlackRock's annual UK Wealth Investors Forum, joining Oscar is Alister Hibbert, head of BlackRock's Strategic Equity Team. Together they explore the nuances of active investing, how to be selective when considering companies for a portfolio, and how to think long term when faced with short-term headwinds.Sources: “Bernard Arnault & Family” Forbes; “Obesity Market to Reach $150B as Demand Grows, Supply Stabilizes” Reuters; “Who is Bernard Arnault” CNBCThis content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. In the UK and Non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies. For full disclosures go to Blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosuresSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Investing Insights
Apple Earnings Are on Deck. Will Apple Intelligence Help Drive iPhone Sales?

Investing Insights

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 25, 2024 16:31


Katie Binns, director of product management for Morningstar Indexes, discusses bank loans' benefits even as interest rates are expected to fall. William Kerwin, equity analyst for Morningstar Research Services who covers Apple, reveals the two main things he wants to hear about on the earnings call.What Are Bank Loans?Bank Loans vs. Junk BondsThe Role of Bank Loans in Your PortfolioWhy the Market for Bank Loans Has GrownCompanies With Bank Loans TodayWhy Bank Loans Are Less Volatile Than Junk BondsHow Interest-Rate Cuts Could Affect Floating-Rate InvestmentsCould Riskier Credit Investments Default with an Economic Slowdown?What's Coming Up in the Markets?Is Apple Intelligence Worth Upgrading Your iPhone?How Important Are iPhone 16s Holiday Sales to Apple?Why Apple Discontinued Developing Self-Driving Vehicles and Electric CarsCould Nvidia Taking the Title as the World's Most Valuable Company Affect Apple?What to Look for in Apple EarningsApple Stock Outlook Read about topics from this episode.  The Morningstar LSTA US Leveraged Loan Index Highlights a Growing Asset Class Popular With Credit Investors A Way to Protect Your Portfolio Against Bond Price DropsCan Bank Loan Funds Rise to the Top Again?Apple iPhone 16 Event Inspires Confidence Keep up with Morningstar's coverage of company earnings.  What to watch from Morningstar.Is Your Portfolio Built to Withstand a Market Rotation? Inherited IRA Rules: What You Need to Know Before 2025How to Find the Best Health Savings AccountHow GLP-1 Drugs Like Ozempic Are Boosting Biopharma Stocks Read what our team is writing:William Kerwin, CFA Katie Binns Ivanna Hampton Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/

Best Real Estate Investing Advice Ever
JF3697: Why This Prolific Investor Is Sitting on the Sidelines … for Now ft. Jeremy Roll

Best Real Estate Investing Advice Ever

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 18, 2024 35:09


In this episode of Next Level CRE on the Best Ever CRE Show, Jeremy Roll, a seasoned multi-cycle real estate and alternative asset investor and president of the Roll Investment Group, joins host Matt Faircloth. Jeremy breaks down how to invest as a defensive investor in 2024 and beyond based on his experience before and during the 2008 recession and the COVID-19 pandemic.  He discusses where to invest during a recession (which is likely coming, he says — he explains why), the key indicator he's following to determine whether or not we're headed for a recession, and why he's currently sitting on the sidelines to see how things play out economically. He also discusses the philosophy behind doing nothing, what he's looking for to determine when it's time for him to jump back in, and why — as a cash flow investor — he avoids negative leverage at absolutely all costs. Jeremy Roll | Real Estate Background Roll Investment Group Based in: Los Angeles, California Say hi to him at: LinkedIn Sponsors: Altra Running  

The Indicator from Planet Money
Can the yield curve still predict recessions?

The Indicator from Planet Money

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2024 9:08


Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has come. In fact, the inverted yield curve has predicted every recession since 1969 ... until now. Today, are we saying goodbye to the inverted yield curve's flawless record?Related episodes:The inverted yield curve is screaming RECESSION (Apple / Spotify) Yield curve jitters Two Yield Curve Indicators For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org. Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter. Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

The Rebel Capitalist Show
News: Yield Curve Inverts...AGAIN (This Is Insane)

The Rebel Capitalist Show

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2024 23:52


The Rebel Capitalist helps YOU learn more about Macro, Investing, Entrepreneurship AND Personal Freedom.✅Check out my private, online investment community (Rebel Capitalist Pro) with Chris MacIntosh, Lyn Alden and many more for $1!! click here https://georgegammon.com/pro   ✅Rebel capitalist merchandise https://www.rebelcapitaliststore.com

The Compound Show with Downtown Josh Brown
BlackRock Reduces Risk, Apple Reaction, the Case for eBay, Yield Curve Un-Inverts

The Compound Show with Downtown Josh Brown

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2024 61:21


On this TCAF Tuesday, hear Josh Brown and Michael Batnick discuss taking down risk, tech dilution, Apple reactions, and more on an all-new episode of What Are Your Thoughts! This episode is sponsored by YCharts! Subscribe to the YCharts blog to ensure you're plugged into the latest insights, research, and market trends. Get 20% off your initial subscription when you start your free YCharts trial and tell them WAYT sent you (new customers only) : https://go.ycharts.com/compound Sign up for The Compound newsletter and never miss out: https://www.thecompoundnews.com/subscribe Check out the latest in financial blogger fashion at The Compound shop: https://www.idontshop.com Instagram: https://instagram.com/thecompoundnews Twitter: https://twitter.com/thecompoundnews LinkedIn: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-compound-media/ Investing involves the risk of loss. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be or regarded as personalized investment advice or relied upon for investment decisions. Michael Batnick and Josh Brown are employees of Ritholtz Wealth Management and may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this video. All opinions expressed by them are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management. The Compound Media, Incorporated, an affiliate of Ritholtz Wealth Management, receives payment from various entities for advertisements in affiliated podcasts, blogs and emails. Inclusion of such advertisements does not constitute or imply endorsement, sponsorship or recommendation thereof, or any affiliation therewith, by the Content Creator or by Ritholtz Wealth Management or any of its employees. For additional advertisement disclaimers see here https://ritholtzwealth.com/advertising-disclaimers. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Any mention of a particular security and related performance data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. The information provided on this website (including any information that may be accessed through this website) is not directed at any investor or category of investors and is provided solely as general information. Obviously nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. See our disclosures here: https://ritholtzwealth.com/podcast-youtube-disclosures/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices