Podcasts about Yield curve

In this special Friday editorial edition of The KE Report, we sit down with Marc Chandler, Managing Partner at Bannockburn Global Forex and Editor of the Marc to Market website, to unpack a whirlwind week for global macroeconomics and central bank policy. Key Discussion Points: The New Era at the Federal Reserve: A deep dive into Fed Chair Warsh's debut meeting, his lean toward "strategic ambiguity," and why the market is now pricing in a hawkish trajectory for the end of the year. The Surging US Dollar Index: Why the dollar is breaking out of its year-long range, achieving new highs against the Japanese Yen and Canadian Dollar, and defying widespread expectations of a decline. Yield Curve and Global Rate Differentials: An analysis of the flattening 2-to-10-year yield curve and how widening interest rate differentials between the US, Europe, and Japan are acting as a powerful tailwind for the greenback. Commodities and Looming Macro Risks: Why a significant pullback in crude oil prices is reshaping inflation expectations, contrasted against potential supply shocks in agriculture and shifting geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Market Psychology: Optimism or Complacency?: A candid look at whether current equity markets are priced to perfection, the signals to watch next, and how investors can use disciplined trailing stops to protect their portfolios in a late-stage bull market.   Click here to visit Marc's site - Marc To Market - https://www.marctomarket.com/   ------------------------------ For more market commentary & interview summaries, subscribe to our Substacks:  The KE Report: https://kereport.substack.com/  Shad's resource market commentary: https://excelsiorprosperity.substack.com/   Investment disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Investing in equities, commodities, really everything involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Guests and hosts may own shares in companies mentioned.

Today's episode includes a discussion on the ever-changing slope of the yield curve, an interview with Sagent's Sridhar Sharma and Shane Leonard on how the latest and greatest in underwriting technology is reducing friction in the mortgage origination process, and what to expect from the Federal Reserve under new Chair Warsh.Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.This week's podcasts are sponsored by NFTYDoor, the white-label HELOC platform for banks, credit unions, and  brokers. Close in zero days with warehouse funding. Power your home equity lending with NFTYDoor.

We know how central bankers are just itching to raise policy rates and all over the world, led primarily by those in Europe. The hawkishness is already spreading. Just today, an official from South Korea's central bank said, hey, oil prices up we need to think about some hikes, too. But what are the markets pricing? It's not what you'd think.  What do the curves look like for now but also beyond the near-term? In a word, frown.     Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis----------------------------------------------------------------------------------What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?That's exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider----------------------------------------------------------------------------------https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

In a market defined by uncertainty, standing still on the balance sheet may be the biggest risk of all. Zach Zoia of Darling Consulting Group—and co‑host of the On the Balance Sheet podcast—joins us to unpack how financial institutions should be thinking about rate risk, balance sheet strategy, and margin pressures amid persistent yield curve volatility. We dive into how recent global events, including heightened geopolitical tensions, private credit stress, and shifting risk appetite, are influencing bank decision‑making today—and why loan and deposit pricing discipline will matter more than ever as we move into 2026. Whether you're re‑evaluating your tolerance for risk or wondering where margin tailwinds (and headwinds) may emerge, this conversation offers practical insights for ALCO and executive teams navigating what's next.Send us Fan MailPresented by Remedy ConsultingFor more information on BankTalk:BankTalk  WebsiteSubscribe to BankTalk NewsRemedy Consulting WebsiteRemedy LinkedInTo speak on the BankTalk Podcast, please  email us. 

PT Asset Management CEO Sean Dranfield talked with Proactive's Stephen Gunnion about the current bond market environment, highlighting why he believes conditions are increasingly attractive for investors despite geopolitical uncertainty and shifting rate expectations. Dranfield explained that recent geopolitical events, including tensions involving Iran, have had a surprisingly muted impact on bond markets. He noted that both interest rates and credit spreads have seen only modest movement, reinforcing the difficulty of predicting market direction. He said this underscores the importance of focusing on fundamentals rather than forecasts. A key theme of the discussion was the opportunity at the long end of the yield curve. Dranfield pointed out that steep yield curves and higher starting yields are creating compelling return potential. He explained that even a modest decline in rates could generate strong returns, stating that investors can benefit from both income and price appreciation over time. At the same time, he highlighted opportunities in high-quality structured credit on the short end of the curve, including AAA-rated instruments. These investments, he said, can deliver “really attractive single digit total returns without reaching for either credit risk or interest rate risk,” offering stability regardless of rate movements. Dranfield emphasised a balanced approach, combining longer-duration bonds with shorter, defensive positions to manage volatility while capturing upside potential. He added that portfolios are currently positioned with a strong defensive component to help buffer against uncertainty. Watch the full interview for deeper insights into bond market strategy and positioning. For more videos like this, visit the Proactive YouTube channel, give this video a like, subscribe to the channel, and enable notifications so you never miss an update. #BondMarket #FixedIncome #InvestingStrategy #InterestRates #YieldCurve #AssetManagement #CreditMarkets #StructuredCredit #MacroOutlook #FinanceInsights #ProactiveInvestors

On the Balance Sheet hits its 50th episode and the guys are joined by DCG's Jeff Croteau to parse through recent yield curve movements, the March Fed meeting, and Q1 ALCO themes.  The trio delve into why ALCOs need to understand their balance sheet needs and be opportunistic when rates are volatile, look inward first when assessing your funding game plan, as well as recent lending discussions and how pricing/volume trends may influence your NII levels in 2026 and beyond.For more insights and ideas, visit DCG at DarlingConsulting.com or follow us on LinkedIn.

In this episode, Luke Leasure breaks down how DeFi's onchain yield curve is constructed using Ethena and Pendle. He explores implied yields, term structure, and how curve signals connect to Bitcoin performance, shifting yield regimes, hedging demand, and broader crypto market risk. Thanks for tuning in! As always, remember this podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely their opinions, not financial advice. -- Follow Blockworks Research: https://x.com/blockworksres Follow Luke Leasure: https://x.com/0xMether -- Subscribe on YouTube: https://bit.ly/3foDS38 Subscribe on Apple: https://apple.co/3SNhUEt Subscribe on Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3NlP1hA Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Timestamps: (0:00) Introduction (2:35) How Ethena and Pendle Work (5:19) Reading the Yield Curve (7:23) What Drives the Signal (9:02) Why Implied Yields Trade Rich (11:12) Closing Comments -- Check out Blockworks Research today! Research, data, governance, tokenomics, and models – now, all in one place Blockworks Research: https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ Free Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter -- Disclaimer: Nothing said on 0xResearch is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Boccaccio, Danny, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

The yield curve may continue its steepening trend, with recent flattening just a cyclical retracement, Jason Granet, CIO of BNY says on this Macro Matter's episode of the FICC Focus podcast series. Granet joins co-hosts Ira Jersey and Will Hoffman of the Bloomberg Intelligence US Interest-Rate Strategy team to discuss the state of the economy, how BNY assesses the outlook and how it thinks about sizing risk. The focus turns to Federal Reserve policy, the Treasury yield curve and funding markets.  The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI's FICC Focus series.

Michael Zuber and Jason Hartman analyze the current financial landscape, specifically contrasting volatile speculative assets with stable income-producing real estate. Jason defines a true investment as one that generates consistent income, labeling Bitcoin, gold, and silver as mere speculations or stores of value rather than wealth creators. The conversation highlights a significant housing supply shortage across the United States, which the speakers believe provides a "moat" of protection for property owners. They predict that while commercial syndications may face significant financial pain and devaluations, the single-family rental market remains a historically proven asset class. Ultimately, the source emphasizes that favorable monetary policies and high demand for housing will continue to benefit conservative real estate investors over the next decade. #RealEstate #Bitcoin #FedPolicy #KevinWarsh #Investing #HousingShortage #Multifamily #Syndication #Economy #YieldCurve #JasonHartman #MarketVolatility #RenterNation #FinancialTrends #PropertyInvestment #GoldSpeculation #InterestRates #CommercialRealEstate   Key Takeaways: 0:00 What an investment is or is not 8:15 Hawk or Doves and the yield curve 14:02 Renter nation and housing supply 19:07 We need more supply  23:43 US Vacancy rates and the pain that remains 26:31 Catch Jason at Michael's event      Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Twitter.com/JasonHartmanROI Instagram.com/jasonhartman1/ Linkedin.com/in/jasonhartmaninvestor/ Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: https://www.jasonhartman.com/ Free Class:  Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: http://JasonHartman.com/Fund CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: http://JasonHartman.com/Protect Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: https://www.jasonhartman.com/deals Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: https://JasonHartman.com/Ron Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: https://www.PandemicInvesting.com

A currency is like the equity of a country, so the dollar's recent decline is akin to a drop in the stock of the US, says Morgan Stanley Global Head of Macro Strategy Matt Hornbach. He joins this edition of Macro Matters, part of the FICC Focus podcast series with co-hosts Ira Jersey and Will Hoffman of the Bloomberg Intelligence US Interest Rate Strategy team, to discuss the US and global economic and central-bank outlooks. The trio examine how these may affect currencies, yield curves and risk assets across G3+ markets.

The 10-year Treasury yield is finally pushing comfortably above the 2-year yield; we will explain why this "normalization" is healthy but often precedes a mid-cycle slowdown.Today's Stocks & Topics: ThSprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM), Oil Field Services, Market Wrap, “The Yield Curve "Un-Inversion", Anebulo Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ANEB), Invest in the Demand for Magnets, The Auto Industry, United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS), Rollover 403b to Roth I-R-A, Cardinal Health, Inc. (CAH), Winners and Loser Around the Tax Cuts and Tariffs.Our Sponsors:* Check out ClickUp and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://www.clickup.com* Check out Invest529: https://www.invest529.com* Check out Progressive: https://www.progressive.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

This conversation explores the transformative potential of Bitcoin in rebuilding trust within financial systems. It discusses the current trust deficit in society, the evolution of credit structures, and how Bitcoin can empower individuals to achieve their dreams without liquidating their assets. The speakers emphasize the need for moral courage to innovate credit products that align with Bitcoin's principles, ultimately envisioning a future where trust is restored through decentralized financial systems.TakeawaysBitcoin is seen as a trust machine that can rebuild trust in financial systems.There is a significant trust deficit in society, particularly regarding institutions and governments.Bitcoin offers a transparent and auditable system that can restore confidence in financial arrangements.The concept of credit is evolving from a credit-based system to a money-based system with Bitcoin.Integrating Bitcoin into credit structures can create better financial products and align interests between borrowers and lenders.Bitcoin's finite nature makes it a better store of value compared to fiat currencies.Using Bitcoin for long-term objectives can empower individuals to achieve their dreams without selling their assets.Moral courage is needed to address the challenges in the current credit space and embrace Bitcoin.Innovative credit products can help individuals leverage their Bitcoin without liquidating it.The future of finance can be built on trust-minimized protocols that align incentives and empower communities.KeywordsBitcoin, trust, finance, credit structures, empowerment, innovation, future, community, economic value, educationChapters00:00 Introduction to the Summit of Summits01:21 Rebuilding Trust in Financial Systems with Bitcoin11:54 Reimagining Credit with Bitcoin20:45 The Future of Bitcoin in Credit Structures29:13 Building Trust in Financial Systems29:58 The Future of Data Centers and Bitcoin Mining

Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we look at why short-term rates and long-term rates are seeing a decoupling. Plus, Robbie sits down with iEmergent's Bernard Nossouli for a discussion on why mortgage demand is better predicted by bottom-up, borrower-level and local-market signals than by national macro assumptions, while still requiring vigilance for structural inventory gaps, demographic shifts, and policy shocks that lenders and policymakers must factor in to understand true housing opportunity. And we close by examining what we are in terms of labor market softening.With rising credit costs, every dollar matters. L1 Credit is a full-service credit reporting agency designed to help you reduce expenses and safeguard margins. Lenders switching to L1 Credit are consistently seeing 15-20% savings on credit costs.  L1 Credit delivers the flexibility and value you need on credit, flood, fraud, and verification products—all backed by the high standard of service you expect from Lenders One. Don't wait—request your FREE cost-savings review today at lendersone.com.

Janet Rilling expects the yield curve to continue to steepen into 2026 as the Fed holds down the front end and the market “controls the rest.” She reviews the bond market's moves this year and how fixed income had “quite a good year.” However, she urges caution around some corporate credit segments and breaks down some of the AI capex. She's finding opportunity in “global government bonds” creating a “higher yield break-even spread.”======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

In this episode, Ben and Chief Investment Officer Keith Lockwood break down the major forces shaping today's financial markets, from the rise of AI and big tech to the evolving role of the Federal Reserve. They explore how these trends are impacting investors, jobs, and economic outlooks as we approach 2026. Don't miss this episode if you want to stay ahead of the curve and make smarter financial decisions in a rapidly changing landscape.   Here's some of what we discuss in this episode:

Welcome to our LIVE Q&A session! Lance Roberts is taking your questions directly from the YouTube live chat—covering markets, investing, retirement planning, inflation, interest rates, the Federal Reserve, portfolio strategy, risk management, and your personal finance questions. No scripts, no agenda—just real-time answers based on data, history, and risk-focused investing principles. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Not Every December is Positive 5:03 - Momentum is Back 11:01 - Economic Summit tease 12:01 - Live Q&A: Is the 60-40 Rule still viable 19:34 - Debt to GDP Ratio - threat to US Dollar; purchasing power of the US Dollar 22:24 - The purchasing Power of the US Dollar vs Inflation (Chart Crime) 26:53 - Dollar performance since release of Chat GPT 28:05 - Biggest Mistake/Triumph 30:08 - Is the BitCoin 4-year Cycle still Alive? 33:36 - What's the best investment for beginning investor? 35:58 - What Roles should REIT's play over the next 5-years? 37:14 - Is there a trade for money rotation among the Mag-7 39:17 - Dated Maturity Bond ETF's? 40:47 - Yield Curve steepening, inversion or un-inversion 42:16 - What happens to AI if Cap-Ex doesn't show up? 42:33 - In what bucket does Gold belong? 43:27 - Small Cap outlook for 2026 45:18 - When will long-term bonds recover? 46:13 - Bull/Bear case for private real estate & Private equity/credit 50:09 - When is marriage a good investment ? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GdOXH7vQrt8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Base Up as Bitcoin Builds a Bottom," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lOg7kPGVEpM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Is Private Equity A Wolf In Sheep's Clothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-private-equity-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ -------- Watch our previous show, "Bear Markets Are a Good Thing," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bdlhQgMthW4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- #StockMarketNews #BitcoinAnalysis #PreMarketUpdate #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #InvestingQandA #StockMarketLive #FinancialPlanning #MarketOutlook #RetirementPlanning

Welcome to our LIVE Q&A session! Lance Roberts is taking your questions directly from the YouTube live chat—covering markets, investing, retirement planning, inflation, interest rates, the Federal Reserve, portfolio strategy, risk management, and your personal finance questions. No scripts, no agenda—just real-time answers based on data, history, and risk-focused investing principles. We'll break down what's moving the markets, how to think about pullbacks, what the Fed may do next, how valuations affect future returns, and how to build financial plans that survive full market cycles. Whether you're a new investor or a seasoned pro, this LIVE Q&A is your chance to get expert insight—right now. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Not Every December is Positive; Retail Sales, Black Friday, & Target snafu 5:03 - Momentum is Back 11:01 - Economic Summit tease 12:01 - Live Q&A: Is the 60-40 Rule still viable - the goal is reducing volatility (three legs of investing) 19:34 - Debt to GDP Ratio - threat to US Dollar; purchasing power of the US Dollar 22:24 - The purchasing Power of the US Dollar vs Inflation (Chart Crime) 26:53 - Dollar performance since release of Chat GPT 28:05 - Biggest Mistake/Triumph - luck in real estate; lost money in Oil & Gas 30:08 - Is the BitCoin 4-year Cycle still Alive? 33:36 - What's the best investment for beginning investor? 35:58 - What Roles should REIT's play over the next 5-years? 37:14 - Is there a trade for money rotation among the Mag-7 as investors try to pick winners? 39:17 - Dated Maturity Bond ETF's? 40:47 - Yield Curve steepening, inversion or un-inversion 42:16 - What happens to AI if Cap-Ex doesn't show up? (It already is) 42:33 - In what bucket does Gold belong? (risk) 43:27 - Small Cap outlook for 2026 45:18 - When will long-term bonds recover? (They are) 46:13 - Bull/Bear case for private real estate & Private equity/credit 50:09 - When is marriage a good investment (and when is it not)?

Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, to break down the latest news and forces driving global markets after another tough week for markets.

Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, and Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, are back to break down the latest macro news and market drivers after a brutal week for risk assets.

In the wake of underperforming municipal bonds this year, portfolio managers Bill Housey and John Wilhelm of First Trust highlight why they believe fresh opportunities for tax-free investors have emerged. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Subscribe Here to the ROI Podcast & other First Trust Market News Website: First Trust PortfoliosConnect with us on LinkedIn: First Trust LinkedInFollow us on X: First Trust on XSubscribe to the First Trust YouTube ChannelSubscribe to the ROI Podcast YouTube Channel

In this episode:Key findings from the Q3 2025 Market Intelligence ReportWhy asset dispersion is narrowing and what that means for diversificationWhere our models see strength—select metals, emerging markets, and durationThe implications of a neutral dollar and extended U.S. equitiesHow we're positioning portfolios for selective exposure and flexibilityReferenced in this episode:Dantes Outlook Market Intelligence Report (Q3 2025)Substack: https://dantesoutlook.substack.comLearn more: https://dantesoutlook.com 

Join us for an educational webinar featuring Macrae Sykes, Portfolio Manager of The Gabelli Financial Services Opportunities ETF (GABF); moderated by Audrey Melville, Director of Marketing. This session explores: - The long-term power of the American Tailwind, a concept championed by Warren Buffett. - How GABF has strategically positioned itself to capitalize on secular shifts in financial services, including digital transformation, wealth transfer, and regulatory catalysts. - What makes a “great business” and how GABF identifies them. - Why active management matters in today's ETF landscape—and how GABF differentiates from passive peers. We also examine: - ABF's compelling fundamentals: 3-year track record, competitive valuation, and attractive-growth portfolio. - Real-world examples of portfolio holdings with entrepreneurial leadership and durable economic moats. - How themes like AI in financial services, the Baby Boomer wealth transfer, and regulatory shifts may unlock growth opportunities. This is a recording of a live webinar that aired on October 7th, 2025. 0:00 Opening Remarks 2:53    Introduction by Macrae Sykes 3:36   "The American Tailwind" 5:58   Great Businesses 8:51   Bank Consolidation 9:58   Yield Curve and the Federal Reserve Rate Outlook 15:33  Aging of the Population 17:27  AI - Financial Services 22:54  Entrepreneurial Mindsets 31:50  American Express 43:02 Contact us 43:54 Disclaimers To learn more about Gabelli Funds' fundamental, research-driven approach to investing, visit https://m.gabelli.com/gtv_cu or email invest@gabelli.com. Connect with Gabelli Funds: • X - https://x.com/InvestGabelli • Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/investgabelli/ • Facebook - https://www.facebook.com/InvestGabelli • LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/investgabelli/ http://www.Gabelli.com Invest with Us 1-800-GABELLI (800-422-3554)

Our Fixed Income Strategist Vishy Tirupattur explains how changes in the yield curve are affecting markets such as insurance, Treasury yields and mortgage rates.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript ----- Vishy Tirupattur: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I am Vishy Tirupattur, Morgan Stanley's Chief Fixed Income Strategist. Today – How the shape of the yield curve has affected credit and housing markets, and the risk of changes to the curve and its implications. It's Tuesday, October 7th at 1pm in New York. The shape of the yield curve plays a pivotal role in financial markets. It influences everything from credit conditions to housing and mortgage dynamics. And you've been hearing on this show for some time about more Fed rate cuts coming. Our economists expect 25 basis point rate cuts at the next three meetings – that is October, December and January. And then two more in April and July of next year. What does this mean to the shape of the curve? Our high conviction call has been that investors should position for a steeper yield curve. Why does the curve matter? It's not just a macro signal. It's a transmission mechanism that shapes pricing, risk appetite, and sector flows. Take life insurers, for example. A steeper curve has turbocharged demand for fixed annuity products, which in turn drives flows into spread assets like corporate and securitized credit. Insurance demand has become a powerful technical in credit markets. This year's steepening has been led by falling front-end yields. For example, 2-year Treasuries are down about 60 basis points, significantly outpacing the 40 basis point drop in 10-year yields and just 5 basis point drop in 30-year yields. That front-end move reflects shifting rate expectations and offers relief to highly leveraged issuers who rely on short-term funding. But longer-dated yields remain sticky, keeping all-in borrowing costs elevated. That is good for insurers – and the sale of fixed annuity products – but acts as a brake on overall issuance, helping keep credit spreads tight despite macro uncertainty. That said, not all markets benefit. Mortgage rates, which track longer yields more closely than the fed funds rate, have actually risen 25 to 30 basis points since the easing cycle began in September of 2024. That's a headwind for affordability. While a steeper curve may support lending and future housing supply, it's not helping today's buyers. A flatter curve with lower long-end yields would offer more meaningful relief—but that is clearly not our base case. Bottom line: Rate cuts matter, but the shape of the curve may matter more. A steeper curve is a tailwind for credit but a headwind for housing. And a reminder that not all markets move in sync. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

Arthur Hayes says Bitcoin could hit $250K by year-end, and it all starts with Trump's secret plan to take control of the Federal Reserve. In today's show, we explain how the next financial regime shift plays out, covering:• How Trump seizes control of the Fed• Why Lisa Cook is the final domino• Yield Curve control & regional banking strategy• HyperLiquid vs. Binance: the perpetual wars• Stablecoins as global dollar bank accounts• Why salary earners lose in a hyper-financialized world• Bitcoin's $250K setupWatch the full episode now.Timestamps:00:00 Intro00:50 Presidential Poker Explained02:57 Trump's Secret Weapon Against the Fed05:27 The Hidden Math Behind Stablecoin Explosions08:24 HyperLiquid Bull Case & Exit Strategy10:30 Talus, Hibachi, Recall Ads13:59 When Everything Becomes Money, Nothing Is15:11 Neobank Wars: Ether.fi vs Plasma19:20 The Fed's Money Printer Has a Fatal Flaw21:23 Enso, Relay Ads22:01 The “333 Rule” That Breaks Every Economy23:29 America's Empire Is Collapsing29:50 Bitcoin's $250K Path32:21 France Is Quietly Preparing to Abandon the EuroArthur Hayes IG - https://www.instagram.com/cryptohayes/Arthur Hayes LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/arthur-hayes-b493b42/Arthur Hayes Substack - https://cryptohayes.substack.com/Arthur Hayes X: https://x.com/CryptoHayesArthur Hayes Blog: https://cryptohayes.medium.com/Maelstrom X: https://x.com/MaelstromfundMaelstrom Website: https://maelstrom.fund/Website: https://therollup.co/Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1P6ZeYd...Podcast: https://therollup.co/category/podcastFollow us on X: https://www.x.com/therollupcoFollow Rob on X: https://www.x.com/robbie_rollupFollow Andy on X: https://www.x.com/ayyyeandyJoin our TG group: https://t.me/+TsM1CRpWFgk1NGZhThe Rollup Disclosures: https://therollup.co/the-rollup-discl

Investors' exuberance is fueling this year's stock rally, but will key economic risks dampen the market's mood? The current bull run has lifted stocks from their springtime lows to higher levels in autumn. The artificial intelligence boom is one of the big factors driving it. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve is dealing with the challenging situation of balancing the weakening job market and stubborn inflation. The Fed cut interest rates for the first time in 2025 in the third quarter, but the path forward from here is less certain. Morningstar Inc Senior Markets Reporter Sarah Hansen discusses seven key market factors you should watch in Q4 2025.Nvidia's investment of up to $100 billion in ChatGPT creator OpenAI could shatter records. The big bet is helping feed two simple narratives about the AI era, according to Dan Kemp, chief research and investment officer at Morningstar Investment Management Europe. First, there's too much investment in the technology, and booms tend to lead to busts. Second, AI has changed the rules of investing and returns. Kemp cautions investors to remember that there are a wide range of possible outcomes than these easy stories.  On this episode:You examine the highs and lows during each quarter and write about it. What do you think are the biggest takeaways from Q3? Stocks are climbing higher despite a lot of risks. What signals is the market ignoring, and could it be at its own peril? The AI boom is driving what's going on in the market. Mega-cap tech companies are making huge investments. Where's the money going, and how long is this level of spending expected to continue? The hot IPO market has benefited from AI. Some of the most successful IPOs this year involved the industry. Can you describe this revival? The first interest rate cut of 2025 is in the books. The Federal Reserve pointed to the softening job market as one reason for the move. What are strategists telling you as the markets await the Fed's next move? Inflation is still not tamed and hovering above the Fed's 2% target. There are expectations that tariffs could raise prices for a while. What are the outlooks from Morningstar and other strategists? As the Fed cuts rates, short-term yields will come down. What about the rest of the bond market? Where do people see the risks? The federal funding fight is continuing in Washington, D.C. Let's timestamp this moment. It's Tuesday, Sept. 30. The US government would shut down on Oct. 1 if there's not an agreement. How does uncertainty like this affect the markets, and what should investors think? Earnings season is coming up in a couple weeks. What is your team watching for? What's the takeaway for investors as we enter Q4?We talked on last week's Investing Insights about inflation. The Federal Reserve's preferred tracker showed inflation slightly ticked up in August as forecasters expected. It also revealed consumer spending rose. What do you think that's signaling about the US economy? In this week's Markets Brief column, you highlighted Nvidia's potentially record-breaking investment. The chipmaker announced it would invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI. How should investors think about this deal?New economic data is due out this week. What are you tracking for next week's Markets Brief? Read about topics from this episode.  13 Charts on Q3's Tech-Driven Stock Rally Will the AI Boom in Semiconductor Stocks Continue? What Investors Need to Know About the Steepening Yield Curve The Fed's ‘Difficult Situation': Reading Between the Lines of the September Dot Plot Forecasts for August PCE Report Shows Some Cooling, but Tariff Impacts Persist What Investors Need to Know About a US Government Shutdown Markets Brief: Nvidia's AI Spending Spree Raises Boom and Bust Fears  What to watch from Morningstar. Is Your Dividend Income at Risk? Here's How to Spot Dividend Traps Should You Hold Cash Investments After the Fed Cuts Interest Rates?What You Need to Know Before Choosing a Stock ETFInvesting in AI? Here Are 6 Undervalued Stocks for Buy-and-Hold Investors Read what our team is writing.Sarah HansenDan KempIvanna Hampton Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/

Craig Jeffery talks with Damian McIntyre and John Mosko of Federated Hermes about the evolving state of US tariffs, court rulings, and their ripple effects on inflation, the Fed, and investment strategies. They explore how companies are reacting, what it means for rates, and how treasury professionals can navigate duration and asset decisions in this environment.   Views are those of Federated Securities Corp. as of 9/05/25, and are subject to change based on market conditions and other factors. These views should not be construed as a recommendation for any specific security or sector. Bond prices are sensitive to changes in interest rates, and a rise in interest rates can cause a decline in their prices. You could lose money by investing in a mutual fund. Although some money market funds seek to preserve the value of your investment at $1.00 per share, they cannot guarantee they will do so. An investment in these funds is not a bank account and is not insured or guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other government agency. Ultrashort and other short duration bond funds are not “money market” mutual funds. Some money market mutual funds attempt to maintain a stable net asset value through compliance with relevant Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) rules. Short duration funds are not governed by those rules, and their shares will fluctuate in value. Due to various risks and uncertainties, actual events, results or actual performance may differ materially from that reflected or contemplated in any forward-looking statements. Nothing contained herein may be relied upon as a guarantee, or a representation as to the future. Although the information provided in this podcast has been obtained from sources which Federated Hermes believes to be reliable, it does not guarantee accuracy of such information and such information may be incomplete or condensed. Federated Hermes is not affiliated with Strategic Treasurer.

US Rates strategists Phoebe White and Ipek Ozil reflect on the drivers of this week's bull flattening move and discuss views ahead of next week's FOMC meeting and the September corporate tax day.   Speakers Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy Ipek Ozil, Head of US Interest Rate Derivatives Strategy   This podcast was recorded on Sept 12, 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5080506-0 https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5076988-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Key Takeaways:   The options yield curve is a powerful tool: It offers a way to earn high returns in today's markets, providing a modern alternative to old interest-rate-based strategies. Sell options on liquid assets: Selling options on assets like Bitcoin or the S&P 500 can be like running a renewable energy plant—using market ups and downs to create steady income. Read market emotions and patterns: Knowing how emotions, seasonal trends, and the volatility risk premium work can help you time your investments better. Profit from volatility gaps: The difference between implied and realized volatility can be an opportunity for gains, especially in emotional markets. Blend defense and offense in strategy: Taleb's approach focuses on protecting against losses, while Washington's uses emotional energy for gains—together they make a strong market strategy. Chapters: Timestamp Summary 0:00 Understanding the Options Yield Curve in Modern Finance 3:19 Economic Depression and the Impact of Low Interest Rates 5:19 Emotional Energy and Market Volatility as Waves 9:23 Understanding Volatility Risk Premium in Bitcoin Options Trading 17:02 Emotional Strength and Market Strategies for Financial Success   Powered by Stone Hill Wealth Management   Social Media Handles    Follow Phillip Washington, Jr. on Instagram (@askphillip)   Subscribe to Wealth Building Made Simple newsletter https://www.wealthbuildingmadesimple.us/   Ready to turn your investing dreams into reality? Our "Wealth Building Made Simple" premium newsletter is your secret weapon. We break down investing in a way that's easy to understand, even if you're just starting out. Learn the tricks the wealthy use, discover exciting opportunities, and start building the future YOU want. Sign up now, and let's make those dreams happen!   WBMS Premium Subscription   Phillip Washington, Jr. is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

Daily Market Update: Record Closes and Economic Revisions In this episode of Dividend Cafe, Brian Szytel discusses the record-high closes on the DOW, S&P, and Nasdaq, noting a significant boost in the last 30 minutes of trading. He reviews year-to-date market performance and the recent revision in non-farm payroll numbers, which saw a considerable downward adjustment. The episode also covers the unusual yield curve movements, expectations for potential Fed rate cuts, and upcoming economic indicators such as the PPI and CPI numbers. Additionally, small business optimism has ticked up, reflecting a more confident outlook. The bond market's reaction, particularly the decline in 10-year yields, is analyzed, indicating potential continued strength in long-duration investments. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 01:02 Employment Data and Revisions 02:24 Yield Curve and Interest Rates 03:20 Economic Indicators and Small Business Sentiment 03:59 Bond Market and Long Duration Investments 04:40 Conclusion and Upcoming Events Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

In this conversation, Kathy Jones and Liz Ann Sonders discuss the current state of the housing market, the implications of potential Fed policy changes, and the broader economic indicators that could affect market expectations. They explore the complexities of housing affordability, the yield curve, and the potential impact of this week's job reports on both the equity and bond markets. The discussion highlights the interconnectedness of various economic factors and the uncertainty surrounding future market movements.Check out Liz Ann Sonders's and Kevin Gordon's recent housing article "Take the Long Way Home: Is Housing Bottoming?" On Investing is an original podcast from Charles Schwab. For more on the show, visit schwab.com/OnInvesting. If you enjoy the show, please leave a rating or review on Apple Podcasts.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Performance may be affected by risks associated with non-diversification, including investments in specific countries or sectors. Additional risks may also include, but are not limited to, investments in foreign securities, especially emerging markets, real estate investment trusts (REITs), fixed income, municipal securities including state specific municipal securities, small capitalization securities and commodities. Each individual investor should consider these risks carefully before investing in a particular security or strategy.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.Forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only, may be based upon proprietary research and are developed through analysis of historical public data.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.(0925-9RZJ)

Meera Chandan, Francis Diamond, Patrick Locke and Octavia Popescu discuss the drivers of yield curve steepening across DM markets, FX implications of fiscal differentiation/ US payrolls and the latest developments in FX hedge ratios.   Speakers Meera Chandan, Global FX Strategy Francis Diamond, Global Rates Patrick Locke, Global FX Strategy Octavia Popescu, Global FX Strategy   This podcast was recorded on 5 September 2025. This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at https://www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-5073426-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2025 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. It is strictly prohibited to use or share without prior written consent from J.P. Morgan any research material received from J.P. Morgan or an authorized third-party (“J.P. Morgan Data”) in any third-party artificial intelligence (“AI”) systems or models when such J.P. Morgan Data is accessible by a third-party. It is permissible to use J.P. Morgan Data for internal business purposes only in an AI system or model that protects the confidentiality of J.P. Morgan Data so as to prevent any and all access to or use of such J.P. Morgan Data by any third-party.

Kicking off Thursday's coverage, Kevin Green has his eyes on the bond market domestically and internationally. He highlights the 4.2% level as key point to watch for the U.S. 10-year treasury. KG adds that it's appearing more "50/50" odds that there could be 75bps of rate cuts in 2025. Later, he discusses the run higher in gold prices citing central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions as drivers for the precious metal. KG then looks at the post-earnings reaction for Salesforce (CRM) as shares slide after weak guidance and for HP Enterprise (HPE) after record 2Q revenue.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The real yield curve may steepen from both ends much further then it has, Mizuho Securities Head of Macro Strategy Dominic Konstam says on this Macro Matters edition of FICC Focus podcast. Konstam joins host Ira Jersey, head of interest-rate strategy at Bloomberg Intelligence. After reviewing Konstam's career arc, the two discuss term premium and how shifts in the yield curve could effect risk assets. Konstam thinks Trump Administration policies will continue to weight on the dollar. The Macro Matters podcast is part of BI's FICC Focus series.

The Chrisman Commentary Daily Mortgage News Podcast delivers timely insights for mortgage lenders, loan officers, capital markets professionals, and anyone curious about the mortgage and housing industry. Hosted by industry expert Robbie Chrisman, each weekday episode breaks down mortgage rates, lending news, housing market trends, capital markets activity, and regulatory updates with insightful analysis, expert perspectives, and conversations with top professionals from across the mortgage industry. Stay informed, gain actionable insights, and keep up with developments in mortgage banking and housing finance. Learn more at www.chrismancommentary.com.In today's episode, we go through trends across the credit landscape, including for commercial mortgage-backed securities. Plus, Robbie sits down with Rob Chrisman for a discussion on lender product offerings and what the fall season has traditionally meant for residential lending. And we close by looking at what MBS spreads from the U.S. Treasury yield curve have been doing to mortgage rates versus historical norms. Sponsored by Gallus Insights. Mortgage KPIs, automated, at your fingertips. Gallus allows you to turn data from your various databases and systems into automated business intelligence and actionable insights. 

Sean Dranfield stops by Morning Movers with his take on the treasury market. Looking at the yield curve, he provides context to the front end of the curve as investors carefully eye developments for any easing from the Federal Reserve. Sean adds that tariff uncertainty and possible refunds to already collected tariffs could be a tough environment for bond market investors.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we go through all the news stories from the mortgage industry. Plus, Robbie sits down with Trueworks Victor Kabdebon for a discussion on data from recent homebuyer surveys pertaining to products and lender decisions. And we close by looking at why the U.S. Treasury yield curve has been steepening as of late.FHA fall-out borrowers represent untapped market shares that can stabilize your shrinking pipeline. Arrive Home's Earned Equity Program supports these clients on their path to meaningful homeownership. Additionally,  FHA borrowers who don't have the benefit of family assistance are able to qualify using the Nation's leader in DPA. 

Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we go through the unfolding drama surrounding Fed Governor Cook's firing. Plus, Robbie sits down with Arrive Home's Shawn King for a discussion on how downpayment assistance is helping millions of Americans build generational wealth. And we close by looking at how the shape of the yield curve is impacting ARM production.FHA fall-out borrowers represent untapped market shares that can stabilize your shrinking pipeline. Arrive Home's Earned Equity Program supports these clients on their path to meaningful homeownership. Additionally,  FHA borrowers who don't have the benefit of family assistance are able to qualify using the Nation's leader in DPA. 

Send us a textThis week on The Skinny on Wall Street, Kristen and Jen dive into the resurgence of SPACs and yes, Chamath Palihapitiya, the once-dubbed “SPAC King,” is back with a brand-new deal. We unpack what a SPAC really is, why they exploded in 2020, changes in the new structures and more. From warrants and dilution to sponsor “promotes” and fee double-dips, we break down the mechanics in plain English and debate whether this latest wave feels like opportunity or déjà vu all over again.Alongside the SPAC talk, we zoom out to explore what's happening in broader markets. Jen highlights shifts in global rates,  including why European long-term yields are rising even as the ECB cuts, while Kristen points to an unusual disconnect with U.S. credit spreads at 30-year lows. We also touch on a wild market day sparked by headlines about AI pilot program failures, raising the question of whether investors are once again pricing perfection into risk assets.Finally, we share some exciting updates from The Wall Street Skinny itself. We've launched live interactive events like AI-Proof Your Career on LinkedIn and YouTube, giving listeners the chance to learn and engage with us directly. Plus, in the spirit of “back to school,” we're running a limited-time flash sale on our finance courses, from express Excel bootcamps to deep-dive investment banking and private equity technicals. Whether you're a student, a new hire, or just a finance junkie, this episode blends timely Wall Street analysis with practical ways to sharpen your own skills.Find courses HERE and use code AUG25FLASH for 20% off through August 24, 2025!For a 14 day FREE Trial of Macabacus, click HERE For 20% off Deleteme, use the code TWSS or click the link HERE! Our Investment Banking and Private Equity Foundations course is LIVEnow with our M&A course included! Shop our LIBRARY of Self Paced Online Courses HEREJoin the Fixed Income Sales and Trading waitlist HERE Our content is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

In this episode of the Bitcoin for Corporations Show, Pierre Rochard and Spencer Nichols unpack Strategy's Q2 earnings: FASB's mark-to-market EPS, perpetual preferreds (“stretch/stride/strike/strife”), ATM/MAV guidance, and the idea that Strategy could scale from ~4% to ~8% of outstanding bitcoin. They also dig into bitcoin-as-collateral, reflexivity, and treasury risk management.

David Busch assumes the higher PPI numbers are tariff-related and will pass through to the CPI measurements soon enough. “Inflation is still persistent, it's still sticky,” forcing the Fed onto a longer path for rate cuts. He's looking at sectors like consumer discretionary, which could benefit from a steepening yield curve. “I would also consider REITs,” he adds, with the expectations that rates will come down, but emphasizes the need for quality names. He also likes fixed income.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Paul Galloway examines the current shape of the yield curve and the signals behind the 10-year treasury yield. He discusses market uncertainty, interest rate dynamics, inflation, and geopolitical factors influencing investor behavior. What does a flat curve mean for recession risk, borrowing costs, and future rates? Tune in to decode the outlook.

Karen Veraa-Perry expects more U.S. investors to move from money markets to the bond market. She especially likes the 3 to 7-year part of the curve, but also sees investor interest in international bond markets. Karen notes record-breaking flows into Blackrock's 0-3 month Treasury bond ETF (SGOV) as well. She forecasts 1-2 rate cuts this year, with the highest probability in September. She explains popular ways for investors to get exposure to fixed income markets, including “bond laddering.”======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The delayed August 1 trade deadline is pushing back any potential Fed rate cuts, says Thierry Wizman. He thinks there should be more easing and does expect at least one cut this year, citing a weakening consumer and labor market. Right now, he sees opportunities “outside of the normal business cycle” and betting on the yield curve steepening.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Ever hear someone say “the yield curve is inverted,” but have no idea what that means? Or people talking about the “10-year” yields and not knowing why that matters? Or what "bond prices and yields have an inverse relationship" means?? Saaaaammmeeee.In this episode, we're definitely getting a bit more advanced, but it's important to grasp these concepts as best as you can, because it will really help you understand how the economy, monetary policy, and what's happening in the world - really does affect how our money makes money. Today we are FULLY breaking down the yield curve—what it is, what moves it, and why it's one of the most important signals in the entire market. We'll explains how things like inflation, economic growth, government debt, and even global drama (yes, drama) can make yields rise or fall.You'll learn:What the yield curve actually shows usWhy inflation expectations are everythingHow supply and demand for bonds move the marketWhat the bond market thinks about the FedWhy geopolitics can send yields swinging in both directionsIf you've ever wanted to understand bond yields without needing a finance degree, this one's for you.------------------------------------------------------------Send a question, leave a review, subscribe, follow & share!✨⁠⁠Support the show⁠⁠

Will market volatility persist through the rest of 2025? • Learn more at thriventfunds.com • Follow us on LinkedIn • Share feedback and questions with us at podcast@thriventfunds.com • Thrivent Distributors, LLC is a member of FINRA and a subsidiary of Thrivent, the marketing name for Thrivent Financial for Lutherans.

Sarah Hansen, Morningstar Inc's senior markets reporter, discusses the uncertain outlook for the third quarter and how investors should prepare for market volatility.What Was Surprising From Q2 Market VolatilityMixed Expectations as Trump's Tariff Deadline ApproachesHow Should Investors Prepare Themselves for Market Volatility?How Tariff Uncertainty Could Affect Company EarningsHow Trump's Tax and Spending Bill Raises Concerns About Federal DeficitHow the Fed's Decision on Interest Rates Could Affect the Yield CurveShould Investors Brace for More Market Volatility? Read about topics from this episode.  13 Charts on Q2's Major Market Rebound Market Volatility: What to Watch in Q2 After Big Swings in Q1 Has the Stock Market Reached Peak Optimism on Tariffs? What Investors Need to Know About Tariffs Tariffs Would Likely Hit These US Stock Sectors the Hardest What Investors Need to Know About the Budget Reconciliation Bill The Deficit is the Biggest Risk for the Bond Market, Says Matt Eagan of Loomis Sayles How Much Will the Fed Cut Interest Rates? How Healthy Is the US Economy? Here's What the Top Economic Indicators Say  What to watch from Morningstar. Is the International Outlook Brighter Than the US?Digital Advice in 2025: What You Need to Know About Robo-AdvisorsDemystifying Private Equity and Private Credit ETFs: What Every Investor Should KnowMarket Volatility: Portfolio Diversification Is Winning in 2025 Read what our team is writing:Sarah HansenIvanna Hampton Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/

Two Morningstar research leaders join Investing Insights to discuss whether US investors should consider international stocks and fixed income. They are Dominic Pappalardo, chief multi-asset strategist, and Philip Straehl, chief investment officer for the Americas, for Morningstar Wealth, part of registered investment adviser, Morningstar Investment Management. Key Takeaways:How the Markets Have Been Handling Volatility in 2025Why Economic Data Has Stayed More Stable Than the Markets During VolatilityWhy the Timing and the Scale of the Tariffs Were a Shock to the Market  Will International Stocks Outperform US Stocks?Why Now Is the Time to Check Your International vs US Stock AllocationShould Investors Broaden Their International Stock Exposure?Why Global Consumer Stocks Are Poised to Perform Well During Market Volatility  How Rising Yields in Fixed Income Can Create Opportunities for Investors  How the Shape of the Yield Curves Have ShiftedHow US Investors Can Mediate US Dollar Weakness With International Equity Exposure Key Takeaways on the US Market Outlook vs International Market Outlook   Read about topics from this episode.  2025 Morningstar Investment Conference: How to Invest Today Bull or Bear? Here's How the Outlook for Stocks Stacks Up BlackRock's Rick Rieder: Why the US Economy Is Going to Be Fine 6 Charts on How Trump's Tariffs Have Upended Global Markets Should Investors Rethink Global Diversification Amid Tariff Uncertainty? What Higher Bond Yields Mean for Markets in 2025 Why the Bond Market Looks Brighter Than It Did in 2022 The Trade Deals That Could Calm Wall Street Why Holding Assets Outside the US Dollar Has Paid Off in 2025 Consumer Stocks Stand Out Among Opportunities for the Second Half of 2025 For Investors Who Can Get Beyond Headline Risk, Opportunity Beckons in Bonds How Healthy Is the US Economy? Here's What the Top Economic Indicators Say What to watch from Morningstar. Digital Advice in 2025: What You Need to Know About Robo-Advisors Demystifying Private Equity and Private Credit ETFs: What Every Investor Should KnowMarket Volatility: Portfolio Diversification Is Winning in 202513 Elite Companies With Fast-Growing Dividends Read what our team is writing:Philip Straehl Dominic Pappalardo Ivanna Hampton  Follow us on social media.Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MorningstarInc/X: https://x.com/MorningstarIncInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/morningstar... LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/5161/

The Bitcoin Alpha podcast explores the macroeconomic forces driving Bitcoin's evolution as a neutral reserve asset. Treasury Secretary Bessent's pivot from tariffs to growth-focused fiscal policy signals inevitable monetary expansion as US debt sustainability reaches critical levels. Japan's yield curve crisis threatens $1.2 trillion in Treasury holdings while Bitcoin demonstrates remarkable resilience during market volatility. The discussion covers Bitcoin treasury companies like MicroStrategy flooding public markets, stablecoin regulation priorities, and institutional adoption trends. With 30-day volatility near one-year lows and the longest streak above $100K in Bitcoin's history, the risk-reward setup appears historically favorable as traditional financial systems face mounting pressure.

Amid ongoing trade tensions with the United States, authorities in China say they will stimulate domestic consumption and reduce reliance on exports.Today's Stocks & Topics: PVH - PVH Corp., Market Wrap, Vanguard Sector ETFs, China Unveils Plan to Boost Domestic Spending and Combat Tariffs, NFLX - Netflix Inc., Market Madness, MMM - 3M Co., Private Sector Debt, Yield Curve, WOOF - Petco Health & Wellness Co. Inc., SNAP Funding.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

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