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Political Violence; Fed Rate cut; IEEPA tariffs; Cocaine; Genocide; Pagers; IVF | Yaron Brook ShowSeptember 17, 2025
Sep 16, 2025 – Learn why a non-recessionary growth slowdown might fuel an ongoing bullish surge in stocks, gold, and crypto. Senior Analyst Mike Singleton of Invictus Research speaks with FS Insider today about emerging tariff-induced...
Nvidia shares dipped more than 1 percent after China banned tech companies in the country from buying Nvidia's chips, Patrick O'Hare of Briefing.com and Managing Director of Investments at EP Wealth Advisors Adam Phillips on the current markets, More on the Thursday October 16th Retirement & Wealth Strategies for Your Future seminar at the Palo Alto Elks Lodge with EP Wealth Advisors CFP Chad Burton and CFP CFA Ryan Ignacio
MRKT Matrix - Wednesday, September 17th Dow adds 200 points, S&P 500 is flat after Fed delivers widely expected rate cut (CNBC) Gen Z Leads Biggest Drop in FICO Scores Since Financial Crisis (Bloomberg) Sales of heavy trucks are falling like the U.S. is headed for a recession (CNBC) Deutsche Bank hikes 2026 gold forecast (CNBC) Chinese Officials Urge Firms to Shun Nvidia AI Chip (WSJ) Nvidia CEO says he's ‘disappointed' after report China has banned its AI chips (CNBC) StubHub's stock opens at $25.35 in NYSE debut after ticket seller's long-awaited IPO (CNBC) Lyft Stock Spikes 14%. Self-Driving Cars Are Coming to Nashville. (Barron's) --- Subscribe to our newsletter: https://riskreversalmedia.beehiiv.com/subscribe MRKT Matrix by RiskReversal Media is a daily AI powered podcast bringing you the top stories moving financial markets Story curation by RiskReversal, scripts by Perplexity Pro, voice by ElevenLabs
Investor home purchases just logged their biggest drop since 2023, with condos taking the sharpest hit. What's driving the slowdown, and how could Fed policy shape what happens next? In this episode, Kathy Fettke talks with Chen Zhao, Head of Economic Research at Redfin, about why investors pulled back in Q2, what markets are seeing the greatest headwinds, and what a potential three rate cuts from the Fed this year could mean for both investors and everyday buyers. LINKS CHECK OUT OUR NEW WEBSITE & BECOME A MEMBER (IT'S FREE)! https://realwealth.com/join-step-1 FOLLOW OUR PODCASTS The Real Wealth Show: Real Estate Investing Podcast https://link.chtbl.com/RWS Real Estate News: Real Estate Investing Podcast: https://link.chtbl.com/REN FREE RealWealth® EDUCATION & TOOLS RealWealth Market Reports: https://realwealth.com/learn/best-places-to-buy-rental-property/ RealWealth Videos: https://realwealth.com/category/video/ RealWealth Assessment™: https://realwealth.com/assessment/ RealWealth® Webinars: https://realwealth.com/webinars/ READ BOOKS BY RealWealth® FOUNDERS The Wise Investor by Rich Fettke: https://tinyurl.com/thewiseinvestorbook Retire Rich with Rentals by Kathy Fettke: https://tinyurl.com/retirerichwithrentals Scaling Smart by Rich & Kathy Fettke: https://tinyurl.com/scalingsmart DISCLAIMER The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are provided for informational purposes only, and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell any securities or to make or consider any investment or course of action. For more information, go to www.RealWealthShow.com
MRKT Matrix - Tuesday, September 16th What to Watch at the Strangest Fed Meeting in Years (WSJ) Fed ‘Third Mandate' Forces Bond Traders to Rethink Age-Old Rules (Bloomberg) It's Not Just the Fed. This Week Is a Central-Bank Bonanza (WSJ) Apple Could Be Best Positioned to Benefit From AI Hardware ‘Revolution,' Analyst Says (Barron's) Microsoft announces $30 billion investment in AI infrastructure, operations in UK (CNBC) Google's Gemini tops Apple's App Store, snagging lead spot from ChatGPT (CNBC) YouTube to use AI to help podcasters promote themselves with clips and Shorts (TechCrunch) --- Subscribe to our newsletter: https://riskreversalmedia.beehiiv.com/subscribe MRKT Matrix by RiskReversal Media is a daily AI powered podcast bringing you the top stories moving financial markets Story curation by RiskReversal, scripts by Perplexity Pro, voice by ElevenLabs
On today's episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about the new drop in mortgage rates and whether the Fed rate cut has already been priced in. Related to this episode: Have Fed rate cuts already been priced into mortgage rates? | HousingWire HousingWire | YouTube More info about HousingWire Enjoy the episode! The HousingWire Daily podcast brings the full picture of the most compelling stories in the housing market reported across HousingWire. Each morning, listen to editor in chief Sarah Wheeler talk to leading industry voices and get a deeper look behind the scenes of the top mortgage and real estate stories. Hosted and produced by the HousingWire Content Studio. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Join economist Dr. Orphe Divounguy and Chris Krug as they discuss the different perspectives on the impact of a Fed rate cut on this episode of Everyday Economics! Everyday Economics is an unrehearsed, free-flow discussion of the economic news shaping the day. The thoughts expressed by the hosts are theirs, unedited, and not necessarily the views of their respective organizations. Support this podcast: https://secure.anedot.com/franklin-news-foundation/ce052532-b1e4-41c4-945c-d7ce2f52c38a?source_code=xxxxxx Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq pared earlier losses on Tuesday as caution set in ahead of an anticipated interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve.~This episode is sponsored by Tangem~Tangem ➜ https://bit.ly/TangemPBNUse Code: "PBN" for Additional Discounts!00:00 Intro00:10 Sponsor: Tangem00:40 Will history repeat itself?01:20 Tom Lee: This is just mid cycle02:50 Recession odds03:20 Bitcoin bearish scenarios04:30 Retail sales05:10 Credit crisis06:25 Klarna07:15 Tom Lee: agrees with removing quarterly earnings08:50 $5B fund rare earth minerals09:10 Gold & Silver skyrocket09:50 How high can Ethereum go after a rate cut?12:00 ETH tokenized stocks flying13:10 Uniswap: best beta ETH play?14:00 Tune in Tomorrow14:20 Outro#Crypto #federalreserve #Bitcoin~Fed Rate Cut in 24hrs
Dr. Preston Cherry drops by the NYSE set to discuss the impact of a Fed rate cut on the economy. Preston addresses concerns from households and how different approaches to defensive strategies could benefit people looking to de-risk. He later touches on the state of the labor market, citing layoffs he's hearing about from the oil & gas industry. Preston says people should stay committed to their investing plans and stresses that younger investors have the most precious commodity working in their favor: time.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Join economist Dr. Orphe Divounguy and Chris Krug as they discuss the week ahead on this episode of Everyday Economics! Everyday Economics is an unrehearsed, free-flow discussion of the economic news shaping the day. The thoughts expressed by the hosts are theirs, unedited, and not necessarily the views of their respective organizations. Support this podcast: https://secure.anedot.com/franklin-news-foundation/ce052532-b1e4-41c4-945c-d7ce2f52c38a?source_code=xxxxxx Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Derek Moore, Shane Skinner, and Mike Snyder team up to discuss whether a Fed rate cut matters as much as people seem to think, especially given that most people have mortgages locked in lower. Plus, reviewing the revised lower employment numbers and whether the economy is truly slowing. ORCL moved 40% higher at one point in a single day, but what other large companies have moved that much? Later, based on U-Mich surveys, inflation expectations are dropping while Gold reaches a new all-time high even on an inflation adjusted basis. All this and more this week. ORCL single day move vs Volkswagen in 2008 University of Michigan inflation expectations survey Employment revisions Gold price vs Gold Mining Stocks Fed rate cuts are coming but what does it mean for housing? Bond PE ratios Market expectations for Fed Funds dip below 3% by end of 2026 Distribution of outstanding 30-year conventional mortgage borrower interest rates Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com
After nine months of standing pat, the Federal Reserve is set to offer some interest rate relief on Wednesday. The open question is what hints are on offer about what comes next.~This Episode is Sponsored By Coinbase~ Buy $50 & Get $50 for getting started on Coinbase➜ https://bit.ly/CBARRON00:00 Intro00:10 Sponsor: Coinbase00:40 Volatile week ahead01:50 90% locked in02:30 Trueflation02:50 CNBC: 25bp is better than 50bp04:30 TikTok05:10 CNBC: USA/China deal soon?06:45 Polkadot: Interesting timing?07:30 Companies should not report earnings?08:15 Solana flips $BNB08:45 Helius09:10 Dan Moorehead on Helius10:35 ETH selling to SOL11:00 BASE token soon?11:50 Outro#Crypto #Bitcoin #fomc~Fed Rate Cut Countdown
Philip Straehl thinks tariff impacts are still filtering through and will hit in the next few months. He considers them a “transitory element” but thinks an inflation surprise could cause a market downturn because it would delay the Fed rate cutting cycle. He talks about the impact of a 25 basis point rate cut this week on the economy, and the low probability of a 50 point cut.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Thomas Urano thinks the Fed needs to signal their focus on labor market weakness by cutting rates, but doesn't think it should cut by 50 points, or even cut several months in a row. He also discusses mortgage trends and housing affordability and explains what mortgage-backed security trends can indicate about the economy. As far as fixed income, he thinks that investors should be looking at the “belly of the curve”: 3, 5, or 7-year bonds.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Alex Navin, Managing Director, Performance Trust Capital Partners, LLC, joins The CLO Investor podcast to discuss the year for CLO equity on multiple fronts: leveraged loan defaults, spread compressions, potential Fed Rate cuts, and the growth in CLO debt EFTs.
Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments shares his take on the August payroll figures and reviews the Recession Risk Dashboard which is currently holding with an overall green signal. He also covers why he thinks we may see three interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year.
In this Dialogue episode of The Synopsis, we provide an update for Perimeter Solutions, Constellation Software, and Copart. Plus a risk to Nvidia's dominance and a bit of history on fed rate cuts vs battling inflation. *Expert Call Transcripts* If you want to get a free trial to access >200k AlphaSense expert call transcripts, use this link here. ~*~ For full access to all of our updates and in-depth research reports become a Speedwell Member here. Please reach out to info@speedwellresearch.com if you need help getting us to become an approved research vendor in order to expense it. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) — Intro, Book Rec. (2:41) — Perimeter Solutions Overview (11:15) — IMS acquisitions and capital allocation (23:09) — Constellation Software Recap (29:50) — Copart Recap (39:03) — Nvidia GPU Risk (44:25) — Fed Rate History -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- For full access to all of our updates and in-depth research reports, become a Speedwell Member here. Please reach out to info@speedwellresearch.com if you need help getting us to become an approved research vendor in order to expense it. *-*-*- Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at info@speedwellresearch.com for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discussed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. At the time of publication, one or more contributors to this report has a position in PRM, CSU, and CPRT. Furthermore, accounts one or more contributors advise on may also have a position in PRM, CSU, and CPRT. This may change without notice. Please see our full disclaimers here: https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/
All three major market indexes hit record highs on Thursday despite a sticky CPI report. Investors are now focused on the Fed cuts next week, and today's consumer sentiment data.Important DisclosuresThis material is intended for general informational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decisions.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.Diversification and rebalancing strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market, economic or political conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.Investing involves risk, including loss of principal, and for some products and strategies, loss of more than your initial investment.The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.Apple Podcasts and the Apple logo are trademarks of Apple Inc., registered in the U.S. and other countries.Google Podcasts and the Google Podcasts logo are trademarks of Google LLC.Spotify and the Spotify logo are registered trademarks of Spotify AB.(0130-0925)
U.S. core inflation data comes in as expected while unemployment claims are almost at 4-year highs which boosts hopes of a Fed rate cut next week. Global equities respond by pushing into the green. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is set to hold talks with Chinese Vice-Premier He Lifeng in Madrid next week. Top of the agenda will be trade, security and Tik Tok's presence in the U.S.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Segment 1: Paul Nolte, Senior Wealth Advisor and Market Strategist, Murphy & Sylvest, joins John to talk about the latest employment and inflation data, what the data means for Fed policy, how much the Fed will cut rates, consumer sentiment falling, and what he’s telling his clients right now. Segment 2: Mike Spriggs, Head of Consumer […]
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Join economist Dr. Orphe Divounguy and Chris Krug as they discuss the likelihood of multiple Fed rate cuts in the coming months and the impact on the housing market on this episode of Everyday Economics! Everyday Economics is an unrehearsed, free-flow discussion of the economic news shaping the day. The thoughts expressed by the hosts are theirs, unedited, and not necessarily the views of their respective organizations. Support this podcast: https://secure.anedot.com/franklin-news-foundation/ce052532-b1e4-41c4-945c-d7ce2f52c38a?source_code=xxxxxx
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The Federal Reserve is now seen as likely to cut interest rates multiple times before the end of the year, following another weak jobs report that showed unemployment jumping to a four-year high.~This Episode is Sponsored By Coinbase~ Buy $50 & Get $50 for getting started on Coinbase➜ https://bit.ly/CBARRON00:00 Intro00:10 Sponsor: Coinbase00:40 Polymarket Odds01:10 BLS Broken01:30 Howard Lutnik hyping up the job numbers03:00 Numbers come in04:00 Terrible job numbers04:45 Should companies share some of the tariff profits05:50 Diamond Circle06:20 No second rate cuts?08:00 Gold rush08:45 Inflation moving investors to gold and small caps09:35 Tim Cook promises jobs11:00 Trump forecasting more jobs12:30 $SBET merger?13:25 USA 2nd place?14:15 Outro#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum~Multiple Fed Rate Cuts After Job Data?
Over the past few months, the economic debate has heated up: the Federal Reserve is weighing the possibility of lowering interest rates, President Trump has already extended corporate tax cuts, and the national debt continues to soar. What does all of this mean for your retirement security? In this episode, we unpack how lower rates could affect everything from your 401(k) and pension returns to the cost of borrowing in retirement. We'll also explore why Trump is pressing for lower rates — arguing it will ease pressure on the ballooning national debt and further stimulate business growth following his extension of corporate tax cuts. But not everyone agrees. Democrats continue to push for raising taxes on the wealthy as their answer to debt and inequality, setting up a stark contrast in economic philosophy. One side wants to grow the economy by slashing taxes and borrowing more cheaply; the other says it's time for the top earners to shoulder the load. As markets, policymakers, and retirees all brace for the Fed's next move, we'll break down the stakes, the politics, and what it means for your financial future. Listen in. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> LET'S CONNECT Show website: https://www.providencefinancialpodcast.com Find us at: https://www.providencefinancialinc.com Get to know Anthony: https://anthonysaccaro.com Anthony's book: https://morelifethanmoneybook.com Amazon Author Page: https://amazon/author/anthonysaccaro YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/AnthonySaccaro/featured Radio: https://www.providencefinancialradio.com Yelp: https://www.yelp.com/biz/providence-financial-and-insurance-services-inc-woodland-hills Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Providence.FinancialInc/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/AnthonySaccaro LinkedIN: https://www.linkedin.com/in/anthonysaccaro/
The August jobs report shows the U.S. economy added just 22,000 jobs, far below expectations, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, the highest since 2017 outside the pandemic. In this episode, Kathy Fettke breaks down the latest data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, including which industries are adding jobs, where losses are showing up, and why long-term unemployment is on the rise. You'll also hear how markets reacted, with Treasury yields dropping, mortgage rates hitting new yearly lows, and investors betting on a Federal Reserve rate cut in September. For real estate investors, Kathy explains how falling mortgage rates could open refinancing and buying opportunities, while a weaker labor market may signal challenges ahead for rental demand and consumer confidence. JOIN RealWealth® FOR FREE https://realwealth.com/join-step-1 FOLLOW OUR PODCASTS Real Wealth Show: Real Estate Investing Podcast https://link.chtbl.com/RWS SOURCES: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/jobs-report-august-stock-market-today-09-05-2025/card/how-markets-are-reacting-to-the-august-jobs-report-in-charts-FQcQtn7rwcUks8KYBbJ9?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=ASWzDAi5rhcACM9CUVuSweEm6gfhlzjTymFu-MGPtOdT6FSdkv99FJMXEzn4IZAJjOk%3D&gaa_ts=68bb3e42&gaa_sig=7Pc9VuZh3MAASJs3g1fibqeeIosHhMl5M5QtC4kyYQ3hpWkwoe_QfVXzgrgz1BPAS57xZt78Hf84_DJtirgONQ%3D%3D
You don't always need to pick the hot technology stocks to get great returns Investing is very emotional and it's always nice to be part of the crowd and buy the hot stocks like Apple, Alphabet and Amazon, but they are not always the top performers. Sometimes your boring, undervalued companies can do very well. As an example, Apple over the years has performed nicely, but over the last five years the gain was 114%. Not a bad return, but if you held a boring company like Tractor Supply over the same five years, you would have a gain of 119%. Even an old insurance company like Allstate over the last five years was up 115%. Five years ago, if you saw the value in a company called Tapestry, which owns Coach and Kate Spade, your return was over 545%. Apple's not the only big tech company that was surpassed by these boring companies. If you look at Amazon over the last five years, you'll see a return of only 49%. One other area that is often discounted is that many of your boring companies are also paying dividends and generating cash flow that can be used to purchase other equities on sale. You may be thinking Apple does pay at dividend but it's important to note the yield is only 0.45%. Sometimes being boring is good and not being so concentrated in the hot stocks can pay off in the long run. I especially think this will be the case as we look out over the next 5-10 years! Another weak job report likely solidifies a Fed rate cut August non-farm payrolls increased by just 22,000, which was well below the estimate of 75,000. This weak report also comes with another month of negative revisions as employment in June and July combined is 21,000 lower than previously reported. Healthcare and social assistance continued to lift the headline number as the sectors added 31k and 16k jobs respectively. Many other areas in the report actually saw declines with payrolls in construction falling 7,000, manufacturing declining 12,000, and professional and business services dropping 17,000. Government also saw a decline of 16,000 jobs and I worry this is a ticking time bomb since employees on paid leave or receiving ongoing severance pay are counted as employed in the establishment survey and those that opted to take the government's offer at the beginning of the year will start coming off severance pay as the deal lasted through September. The most recent data I saw was that 75,000 federal employees took the offer, but not all were accepted into the program. I guess we will see the actual data and its impact over the next couple of months. With the weakness, I was surprised to see leisure and hospitality produce a gain of 28,000 jobs in the month. While much of this sounds concerning, the unemployment rate held relatively steady at 4.3% and that doesn't incorporate the fact that 1.9 million or 25.7% of all unemployed people were jobless for 27 weeks or more. My belief is that many of those that have been unemployed that long are skewing the data as I can't imagine they have been looking for a job that hard. With the unemployment rate low and deportations potentially weighing on the supply of workers, I just don't see how it would be possible to maintain strong job growth given the limited supply. Because of this I still don't remain overly concerned by the weak showing. Even with my lack of concern, this will likely lead to a Fed rate cut this month with markets now essentially putting odds for a 25-basis point cut at 100% and even a 50-basis point cut is now on the table with markets putting those odds at 12% after the job print. That's up from a zero percent chance on Thursday. Should you panic over the job opening data? The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey showed job openings fell to 7.18 million in the month of July. This was below the estimate of 7.4 million and also marked the lowest reading since September 2024. It was only the second time since the end of 2020 that job openings came in below 7.2 million. While this may sound troubling, I believe it just illustrates how crazy the labor market got after Covid. If we look at job openings before 2020, nearly 7.2 million openings would have been a great number. In 2016, job openings averaged 5.86 million; in 2017, job openings averaged 6.12 million; in 2018, job openings averaged 7.11 million; and in 2019, job openings averaged 7.15 million. So, while the headline may sound troubling, I still believe we could have job openings fall into the low 6 million range and it wouldn't be problematic, especially given the fact that unemployment remains extremely low. Even with that, I do believe the Fed will use this as further evidence of a softening labor market and that will give them the excuse to cut rates at the meeting this month. I'm still not convinced that is the right move, but we did hear from Fed Governor Christopher Waller, who is supposedly on the short list to replace Powell as Fed chair, that he believes there should be multiple cuts over the next few months, saying interest rates today are perhaps 1.0 to 1.5 percentage points above their “neutral” level. American luxury brands are destroying Europe's luxury brands It appears that European luxury brands like Gucci, Hermes and LVMH have increased their prices beyond what the average consumer is willing to pay. Currently, American consumers are spending the lowest share of discretionary income on luxury goods since 2019. The European luxury brands seem to have their heads in the clouds thinking American consumers would pay any price for a luxury purse from Europe. I think they have now discovered that the American consumer has reached their limit. Two luxury American brands have benefited from the ignorance of the European luxury brands. Both Ralph Lauren and Tapestry, which owns Coach and Kate Spade, have seen their sales increase. A chart of these luxury brands stocks shows European brands dropping while American brands have been increasing. One may be thinking now is the time to step in and buy Tapestry or Ralph Lauren, but with the recent stock increase they are no longer a great value as Ralph Lauren trades at over 20 times forward earnings and Tapestry is now over 19 times forward earnings. I would take a different side of the coin as I believe investors should understand that the European luxury brands will likely not just sit on their hands and do nothing and they will likely try and win back market share. With the increase in prices over the years I'm sure the profit margins are very fat, and they may have a good amount of space to do some heavy discounts to get their market share back. Both Tapestry and Ralph Lauren are dealing with the current tariff situation and that could hurt their profit margins going forward as well. On a side note, in years past we have warned people paying the high prices for European purses that they would not appreciate as much if at all. I have not researched it, but I feel pretty confident that if sales are down as much as they are, the resale on those expensive purses has probably dropped as well. Financial Planning: Mortgage rates reach 2025 low Mortgage rates have fallen to their lowest level of the year, reaching levels not seen since last October. Throughout 2025, 30-year mortgage rates have fluctuated between 6.5% and 7%, and as of Friday, September 5, they dipped as low as 6.29%. While this presents an opportunity for buyers and homeowners considering a refinance, caution is warranted. Rates are still likely to experience volatility even as the broader declining trend continues over the next several years. In 2024, mortgage rates actually rose at year-end despite the Federal Reserve implementing three rate cuts. In 2025, it is widely expected that the Fed will cut again in September, with additional cuts likely by year-end. This current window of lower rates may be worth taking advantage of, but paying upfront points may not be wise just yet, as there will likely be future opportunities to capture even lower rates. Companies Discussed: The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC), Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY), Snowflake Inc. (SNOW) & Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
Fed Rate Cuts 2025: AI Investment Opportunities and Duration Strategy for Kentucky Retirement Planning Federal Reserve Rate Cuts Signal Major Investment Opportunities Ahead In this episode of The Financial Hour, […] The post Fed Rate Cuts 2025: AI Investment Opportunities and Duration Strategy for Kentucky Retirement Planning appeared first on Dupree Financial.
A shocking emergency rate cut from the Fed has Bitcoin reeling. Is this the start of a mega dump—or the final shakeout before liftoff? Find out what's next and how to prepare your crypto strategy now!
Jason Blackwell shares his insights on the Federal Reserve's potential rate cut. Blackwell believes a 25 basis point cut is more likely than 50 basis points, as the Fed aims to balance both sides of its mandate. He thinks the labor market is softer but not falling out of bed, and expects a recovery due to seasonality and hiring. He suggests investors consider high-quality, short-to-intermediate duration bonds and focus on quality within their equity portfolios, rather than relying on the AI cycle.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Phillip Streible examines the commodities market following a weak jobs report that sent 10-year Treasury yields to a low not seen since April. He discusses the potential for a 50 basis point interest rate cut at the Federal Reserve's September meeting and its impact on gold prices, which have rallied to record highs. He also weighs in on the likelihood of gold reaching $5000 an ounce.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Even with ADP Employment and Jobless Claims data, Chris Versace says the latest ISM Services print will help determine Thursday's trading activity. Ahead of Friday's non-farm payrolls print, he believes looking at revised jobs numbers from the summer paint a picture of a continued slowing in the labor market. For the Fed's rate cut odds, Chris says it's "going to come down to the wire" as mixed messages continue to be shared from Fed governors.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Brad Roth says tomorrow's jobs report will decide whether the Fed cuts rates this month. “We just don't want anything to come out that would give the Fed reason to pause.” He thinks that traders are hesitating to be “fully risk-on,” pointing to inflows into Treasuries and gold, as well as a lack of market breadth. “It's almost exhausting how much we've talked about the Mag 7,” Brad says, but too much of the market's valuation hangs on them.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Experts Say there is a 90% chance of a Fed Rate cut at next week's Fed Meeting. Do you need to refinance? Let's talk about how it works! Watch LIVE and ask your questions. Get a text message when I go live with a link to join. Text "LIVE" to 844-935-3634. Support the stream: https://streamlabs.com/mortgagemomradio1 Debbie Marcoux is licensed by the Department of Financial Protection and Innovation under the California Business, Consumer Services and Housing Agency, NMLS ID 237926. Also licensed in, AZ-0941504, Fl-LO76508, GA-69178, HI-237926, ID-MLO-2080237926, IL-031.0058339, NV-57237, NC-I-210940, OR, TN-184373, TX, WA-MLO-237926.
Nationally syndicated financial columnist and author Terry Savage joins Lisa Dent to discuss whether or not she thinks that the federal reserve will cut interest rates this month. She reviews her upcoming column. And, as always, she answers questions from listeners.
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Ray discusses the prospect of a Fed rate cut in September with Fook Hien and its implications for risk assets. They share their perspectives on US bond yields amid challenges to the Fed's independence. Additionally, they discuss their views on equities, focusing on the US semiconductor sector, as well as Chinese and European equities, concluding with insights on the Euro. Find out more from our latest Weekly Market Outlook report here.Speakers: - Ray Heung, Senior Investment Strategist, Standard Chartered Bank - Yap Fook Hien, Senior Investment Strategist, Standard Chartered Bank
Our Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets discusses why a potential start of monetary easing by the Federal Reserve might be a cause for concern for credit markets. Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Andrew Sheets: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan Stanley. Today – could interest rate cuts by the Fed unleash more corporate aggressiveness? It's Wednesday, August 27th at 2pm in London. Last week, the Fed chair, Jerome Powell hinted strongly that the Central Bank was set to cut interest rates at next month's meeting. While this outcome was the market's expectation, it was by no means a given.The Fed is tasked with keeping unemployment and inflation low. The US unemployment rate is low, but inflation is not only above the Fed's target, it's recently been trending in the wrong direction. And to bring inflation down the Fed would typically raise interest rates, not lower them. But that is not what the Fed appears likely to do; based importantly on a belief that these inflationary pressures are more temporary, while the job market may soon weaken. It is a tricky, unusual position for the Fed to be in, made even more unusual by what is going on around them. You see, the Fed tries to keep the economy in balance; neither too hot or too cold. And in this regard, its interest rate acts a bit like taps on a faucet. But there are other things besides this rate that also affect the temperature of the economic water. How easy is it to borrow money? Is the currency stronger or weaker? Are energy prices high or low? Is the equity market rising or falling? Collectively these measures are often referred to as financial conditions. And so, while it is unusual for the Federal Reserve to be lowering interest rates while inflation is above its target and moving higher, it's probably even more unusual for them to do so while these other governors of economic activity, these financial conditions are so accommodative. Equity valuations are high. Credit spreads are tight. Energy prices are low. The US dollar is weak. Bond yields have been going down, and the US government is running a large deficit. These are all dynamics that tend to heat the economy up. They are more hot water in our proverbial sink. Lowering interest rates could now raise that temperature further. For credit, this is mildly concerning, for two rather specific reasons. Credit is currently sitting with an outstanding year. And part of this good year has been because companies have generally been quite conservative, with merger activity modest and companies borrowing less than the governments against which they are commonly measured. All this moderation is a great thing for credit. But the backdrop I just described would appear to offer less moderation. If the Fed is going to add more accommodation into an already easy set of financial conditions, how long will companies really be able to resist the temptation to let the good times roll? Recently merger activity has started to pick up. And historically, this higher level of corporate aggressiveness can be good for shareholders. But it's often more challenging to lenders. But it's also possible that the Fed's caution is correct. That the US job market really is set to weaken further despite all of these other supportive tailwinds. And if this is the case, well, that also looks like less moderation. When the Fed has been cutting interest rates as the labor market weakens, these have often been some of the most challenging periods for credit, given the risk to the overall economy. So much now rests on the data what the Fed does and how even new Fed leadership next year could tip the balance. But after significant outperformance and with signs pointing to less moderation ahead, credit may now be set to lag its fixed income peers. Thank you as always for listening. If you find Thoughts to the Market useful, let us know by leaving a review wherever you listen. And also tell a friend or colleague about us today.
Viewpoint This Sunday with Malcolm Out Loud – Can Trump really ban mail-in voting? Atty Sidney Powell is here on that story and a big win for Trump, where the New York appeals court throws out $527 million penalty in the civil fraud case. Economist David Tice discusses the Fed's latest move. Moment of truth nears closer for Putin and Zelenskyy, IQ al-Rassooli explains the path forward...
Jordi Visser is a macro investor with over 30 years of Wall Street experience. He also writes a Substack called “VisserLabs” and puts out investing YouTube videos. In this conversation we about the idea of US buying more bitcoin, what's going on with the CPI & PPI, the idea of revaluing gold, how AI is accelerating everything, and how to evaluate your portfolio. ===================== Independent Investor ConferenceMarkets are at all-time highs. Public equities are outperforming. And individual investors are driving it all. It's officially the rise of the retail investor. On September 12th in NYC, I'm hosting the Independent Investor Summit — a one-day event built exclusively for self-directed investors. We're bringing together some of the smartest public market investors I know for a full day of macro insights, market predictions, one-on-one fireside chats, and actionable investment ideas from each investor. This is going to be an absolute banger event. Join us if you like markets and think retail is two steps ahead of Wall Street.