Podcasts about ten reasons

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Best podcasts about ten reasons

Latest podcast episodes about ten reasons

Top Traders Unplugged
SI344: Trend Following during Trump Tariff Turmoil ft. Katy Kaminski

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 19, 2025 70:49 Transcription Available


In this episode, we explore the current market dynamics and discuss Katy Kaminski's latest research paper on crisis and correction alpha, which provides insights into how CTA strategies are navigating turbulent times. We also touch on the importance of understanding how trends shift and the implications for various asset classes. From examining the impact of correlation and volatility in risk management to discussing the nuances of different trading speeds, we aim to equip you with a clearer perspective on what to expect from these time tested strategies, which forms part of the latest wave of Portable Alpha offerings. Join us, as we find out how you can uncover opportunities in these challenging market conditions.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Katy on LinkedIn.Episode TimeStamps:01:07 - What has caught our attention recently?06:58 - Industry performance update08:33 - What are the most interesting markets according to Kaminski?14:06 - Industry performance numbers15:31 - Crisis or correction?22:04 - A historical perspective - we have been here before..28:50 - Crisis alpha or Chaos alpha?33:01 - Why are managers' performance so different this time?39:20 - It's all about the long game41:42 - The trend following trading speed is shifting50:18 - Should markets be treated differently in terms of speed?52:18 - Advice for building strong trend...

Top Traders Unplugged
IL37: Hate the Game? How to Navigate Life's Economic Challenges ft. Daryl Fairweather

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 16, 2025 52:30 Transcription Available


Discover how to navigate the complexities of personal and professional decisions through the lens of behavioral economics. Kevin Coldiron speaks with Daryl Fairweather, Chief Economist at Redfin and author of the book "Hate the Game," who shares insights on using economic principles to tackle everyday challenges, from negotiating salaries to understanding workplace dynamics. They explore the importance of empathy and perspective-taking in decision-making, emphasizing that understanding the rules of the economic game can empower individuals to succeed despite systemic inequalities. Fairweather discusses her own journey in economics and the lessons learned from her experiences, including the value of strategic thinking in competitive environments. This conversation is not only enlightening but also serves as a practical guide for anyone looking to improve their decision-making skills and career trajectory.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Kevin on SubStack & read his Book.Follow Daryl on X and read her book.Episode TimeStamps: 02:26 - Introduction to Daryl Fairweather07:30 - Choosing games and assessing probabilities13:14 - How do you know if your boss is a jerk?14:03 - Why it is important to be aware of how you present...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI343: CTAs: The Unexpected Heroes of Market Crises ft. Yoav Git

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 12, 2025 71:23 Transcription Available


Together with Yoav Git, we'll explore how market conditions are shifting and what that means for investors, especially in light of recent bond market movements. It's been a wild ride lately, with unexpected changes in correlations between stocks and bonds, and we're here to break it all down. We'll also touch on the implications for trend-following strategies and how they can adapt in these turbulent times. So, whether you're a seasoned investor or just curious, hang tight as we unravel these complex topics together!-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Yoav on LinkedIn.Episode TimeStamps:01:21 - What has caught our attention recently?04:39 - Are there more to the Trump Tariffs than meets the eyes?09:53 - What is actually a safe haven asset today?11:50 - Industry performance update15:15 - Git's trend following perspective on fixed income17:25 - Trend following performance numbers21:39 - What you can expect from trend following during a crisis period30:31 - What we can learn from the current economic events34:27 - Key insights to achieving diversification40:40 - Achieving better performance through trend predictors45:01 - How CTAs interpret diversification in a unique way50:03 - Are we experiencing more dispersion today than previously?57:57 - The symbiotic relation between time and price in a trend following...

Top Traders Unplugged
TTU149: Risk, Return, Repeat: The Portable Alpha Revival ft. Razvan Remsing & Alan Dunne

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 9, 2025 69:44 Transcription Available


Today, we're diving into the world of portable alpha and how it can really shake up your investment game. Alan Dunne and I are chatting with Razvan Remsing from Aspect Capital, who shares that this concept isn't new but is gaining traction again as allocators look for ways to make their portfolios work harder. With everything going on in the markets, it's essential to think about how different strategies can fit together, especially in a world where traditional asset allocations might not cut it anymore. We'll explore the benefits of a multi-asset approach and how CTAs can play a crucial role in managing risk while seeking out returns.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Follow Razvan on LinkedIn.Find out more about DUNN CapitalEpisode Timestamps:01:28 - Introduction to Razvan Remsing and Aspect Capital06:50 - A critical time for portable alpha products18:25 - The evolution of the sophistication of investors25:44 - Why trend following is the magic sauce to your portfolio33:07 - Are investors sleeping on portable alpha strategies?37:07 - The state of the CTA space from a global macro perspective45:14 - The total portfolio approach52:48 - Razvan's perspective on replication strategies58:14 - Key advice for working with...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI342: From Trend Following to Super Determinism ft. Richard Brennan

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 5, 2025 75:23 Transcription Available


Together with Richard Brennan, we'll explore how current market uncertainties are shaping investor sentiment and prompting a massive shift in how we think about financial systems. As we navigate through some heavy topics, we also touch on the importance of maintaining a disciplined approach in a world where noise can easily drown out the signals. Expect insights on the evolving landscape of trading, where we emphasize the necessity of aligning with processes rather than predictions. Join us as we unpack these ideas and their implications for both our trading philosophy and our understanding of the market dynamics at play.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Rich on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps:02:24 - What has caught our attention recently?12:58 - The damage of leveraged ETF products15:38 - Reflecting on the trend following performance of Q125:18 - Industry performance numbers26:42 - Super determinism - how it impacts our trading41:59 - The relationship between science, trend following and the universe55:36 - Understanding complex adaptive systems as a trend follower01:13:36 - What is up for next week?Copyright © 2024 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I...

Top Traders Unplugged
UGO01: Reflexive Markets, Real-Time Risk: The Dawn of the 0DTE Era ft. Mike Green

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 2, 2025 64:11 Transcription Available


In the premiere of U Got Options, Cem Karsan is joined by Mike Green for an unfiltered, high-conviction conversation straight from the floor of the CBOE. Together, they dive deep into the explosive growth of 0DTE options - now driving over 60% of S&P volume - and unpack how this shift is quietly rewiring market reflexivity, volatility dynamics, and the path of dispersion. With stories from the pits and sharp macro takeaways, this episode sets the tone for a series that goes beyond the headlines to decode the real forces shaping today's markets. Raw. Insightful. Essential.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 02:04 - Introduction to Mike Green07:39 - How and why 0DTE options have changed the investing landscape17:23 - Implied volatility is changing - what does it mean for investors?25:18 - How periods of relative stability impact investor behaviour31:03 - The unwind of passives - is the system under pressure?39:51 - What are prices actually telling us?43:31 - Why this cycle might be different48:52 - What makes a long lasting investor?54:17 - A deep dive into passive flows57:18 - Individualism in investing - are we becoming too separated?Copyright © 2024 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI341: Nothing Good Happens Below the 200-Day Moving Average ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 29, 2025 61:27 Transcription Available


Alan Dunne and Mark Rzepczynski tackle the current market vibes, focusing on how factors like the 200-day moving average can shift market sentiment and affect portfolio strategies. As they navigate through the choppy waters of market performance, they discuss the importance of understanding uncertainty versus risk and how it impacts decision-making for both individual investors and managers alike. There's also an exploration of how curiosity plays a crucial role for fund managers in adapting to ever-changing market dynamics. Join us for an insightful discussion on making sense of today's investment landscape.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Mark on Twitter.Follow Alan on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps:01:04 - What has caught our attention recently?04:09 - Industry performance update06:22 - How markets and managers respond to tariffs09:39 - Are we talking ourselves into a recession?12:55 - Why the distinction between risk and uncertainty is important16:26 - What is price telling us about market noise?24:06 - How quant traders should approach uncertainty28:59 - How the current economic landscape shapes systematic trading31:52 - Feedback loops, reaction functions and monetary policy36:05 - Advice for dealing with uncertainty as an investor41:36 - Curiosity as a characteristic in fund...

Top Traders Unplugged
IL36: Democracy, Money, and the Central Bank - A Risky Balance ft. Leah Rose Downey

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 26, 2025 59:20 Transcription Available


Our guest on this episode is Leah Downey, Junior Research Fellow at St. John's College Cambridge and author of the new book Our Money: Monetary Policy as If Democracy Matters. Independent central banks are thought to be necessary to prevent politicians using monetary policy to influence elections and to avoid dangerously high levels of inflation. Is this really correct? Is it really healthy for a democracy to allocate so much power to a very small group of unelected people? Why is monetary policy considered ‘too complicated' for politicians when equally complex areas like energy and defence are not? Is more uncertainty in monetary policy actually better for long-run economic stability? We tackle all these questions as we explore Dr. Downey's view that the way we govern central banks needs to change.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Kevin on SubStack & read his Book.Learn more about Leah on her website and read her book.Episode TimeStamps: 02:23 - Introduction to Leah Rose Downey08:36 - A comic flimsy ground10:34 - Examples of the tension between legislators and Fed15:21 - Legislators have become a weak economic

The Prophecy Club - All Broadcasts
10 Reasons: Watch for April 25 - Food Shortage 03/26/2025 - Audio

The Prophecy Club - All Broadcasts

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 26, 2025 28:30


Today Pastor Stan gives 10 Reasons why we should prepare and be aware of a food shortage coming. Maybe even as early as April. Many Prophecies say a food shortage is coming, but they don’t tell us what causes it. Today we look at what might be some of those causes. 00:00 – National Emergency 04:32 – Ten Reasons 16:23 – Trump as King 23:13 – Joseph’s Kitchen

The Prophecy Club - All Broadcasts
10 Reasons: Watch for April 25 - Food Shortage 03/26/2025 - Video

The Prophecy Club - All Broadcasts

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 26, 2025 28:30


Today Pastor Stan gives 10 Reasons why we should prepare and be aware of a food shortage coming. Maybe even as early as April. Many Prophecies say a food shortage is coming, but they don’t tell us what causes it. Today we look at what might be some of those causes. 00:00 – National Emergency 04:32 – Ten Reasons 16:23 – Trump as King 23:13 – Joseph’s Kitchen

Top Traders Unplugged
SI340: ETFs, Size, and the Commodity Problem ft. Alan Dunne

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 22, 2025 65:24 Transcription Available


In today's episode, Alan Dunne and I take a step back - and a step forward - by exploring 125 years of hard-earned market wisdom, courtesy of the Global Investment Returns Yearbook, the definitive source of long-term asset class performance. What does this rich dataset tell us about equities, bonds, diversification, and the underrated role of patience in investing? And how relevant are these lessons for investors navigating today's high-concentration markets, stubborn inflation, and the potential cracks in the classic 60/40 portfolio?But that's not all - we also dive into one of the most overlooked challenges facing systematic trend followers today: capacity constraints, especially in commodities. Drawing on Quantica's latest research, we examine why commodities have historically been critical to CTA performance, how liquidity limits silently erode returns as strategies scale, and why the explosive growth of trend following ETFs may come at a hidden cost investors rarely see.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps:00:41 - What has caught our attention recently?04:14 - A new era for Germany?10:02 - The ETF space is on fire11:21 - The Nordic countries are on a roll12:18 - Dunne's global macro perspective21:39 - Industry performance update27:07 - An analysis of the Global Investment Returns Yearbook34:29 - Why are expected returns so far off real returns in the Pension Fund space?41:07...

Top Traders Unplugged
TTU148: CTAs - The Good, The Bad, and The Misunderstood ft. Rob Carver, Graham Robertson and Yoav Git

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 19, 2025 69:36 Transcription Available


Today, we're diving deep into the world of CTAs and their role in investment portfolios. We discuss the balance between focusing on a single asset class versus a multi-asset approach, emphasizing that different asset classes offer unique utilities to investors. Our guests share insights from their experiences, highlighting the importance of tailored execution strategies and how technology can enhance trading performance. We also explore the growing interest from major players like Fidelity and BlackRock in trend-following strategies, raising questions about the future of CTAs in institutional portfolios. Join us as we unpack these themes and share our thoughts on the evolving landscape of systematic trading.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Rob on Twitter.Follow Graham on LinkedIn.Follow Yoav on LinkedIn.Find out more about DUNN CapitalEpisode Timestamps:04:02 - Introduction to Yoav Git06:16 - The background behind Graham, Rob and Yoav's relationship12:15 - What is common about people working at Man AHL?15:47 - Should you focus on single or multi asset classes?24:58 - The state and outlook for fixed income and29:47 - Liquidity and how it plays a role in alternative...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI339: CTAs vs ETFs: The Showdown That Could Change Everything ft. Andrew Beer and Tom Wrobel

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 15, 2025 79:30 Transcription Available


Andrew Beer and Tom Wrobel joins us to talk about the current state of global markets and the pivotal changes affecting our industry. We're all feeling the shift in dynamics, and we're here to unpack how that impacts our investing approaches. From the rise of new ETFs to the ongoing debate about the future of managed futures, we'll cover it all. So grab your headphones and get ready for some straight talk on trends, volatility, and what it means for all of us as investors.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Andrew on Twitter.Follow Tom on LinkedIn.Episode TimeStamps: 00:47 - What has caught our attention recently?06:11 - Industry performance update14:30 - Wild moves in markets16:55 - Trump dumps on Trump trade26:23 - A wealth of products - is it just a phase?35:16 - The developments in the CTA space36:21 - Are we trying to engineer the impossible?41:45 - The pros and cons of inflection points vs short term models50:28 - Why do CTAs replicate the way they do?57:36 - Are the new ETFs threatening the CTA franchise?01:01:56 - Discussing performance in the CTA space01:09:22 - The use of QIS strategies in trend following01:13:52 - Final thoughtsCopyright © 2024 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're...

Top Traders Unplugged
ALO29: What Every Investor Should Know About Valuations ft. David Giroux

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 12, 2025 61:17 Transcription Available


Leveraged loans combined with treasuries create a solid strategy for navigating today's fixed income market. These two asset classes work like a peanut butter and jelly sandwich, balancing each other out—leveraged loans shine when interest rates rise, while treasuries thrive when rates drop. In our chat today with David Giroux, portfolio manager at T. Rowe Price, we dive into how this mix helps manage risk and enhance returns in uncertain market conditions. Giroux shares his insights on the current investment landscape, emphasizing the importance of evaluating management quality and capital allocation strategies. Join us as we unpack these ideas and explore what they mean for the future of investing.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Read more about David here.Episode TimeStamps: 02:20 - Introduction to David Giroux and T. Rowe Price09:00 - Are mostly sectors overvalued?11:43 - What has driven the change in valuations?13:48 - How Giroux determines how much risk to allocate in markets18:19 - The outlook for equity returns and Giroux stance on AI21:42 - The relationship between market meltdowns and interest rates23:29 - Giroux's outlook for inflation28:32 - How Giroux uses his past experience to predict markets31:37 - How Giroux constructs stock portfolios35:35 -...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI338: Politics, Markets & Power Plays: An Unfiltered Look ft. Cem Karsan

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 8, 2025 68:47 Transcription Available


Together with Cem Karsan, we take a serious look at how the shifting political landscape and economic pressures are impacting global markets. We discuss the implications of a potential (engineered) recession and what it means for various asset classes, especially in relation to current U.S. policies. With the conversation turning to Europe, we analyze the region's military rearmament and its potential effects on the global balance of power. We also touch on the evolving dynamics regarding Turkey's economic challenges and geopolitical significance. Buckle up for a straightforward discussion filled with insights and practical implications for investors navigating this complex landscape.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 01:03 - What has caught our attention recently?05:40 - We are at a populism crossroads07:09 - Industry performance update09:02 - The current state and outlook for the global economy21:03 - The absurdity of lowering yields to maintain a strong dollar28:47 - The Mar-a-Lago accord - realistic or pure speculation?35:42 - Are we seeing a new new world order?42:20 - How the TSMC deal with the US will impact the conflict between Taiwan and China50:28 - A perfect storm for the Turkish economy57:20 - The importance of Turkey's position and military power58:49 - Oil is in a weird spot at the moment01:03:00 - Could extreme market drops cause...

Top Traders Unplugged
GM80: Doomsday Clock Ticks: Are We Close to a Monetary Shift? ft. Adam Rozencwajg

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 5, 2025 79:35 Transcription Available


Today Cem Karsan and I are diving into a pretty intense topic today: the looming potential for a monetary regime change that feels like it's right around the corner. We're talking to Adam Rozencwajg about how the shifts in global commodity dynamics, particularly in natural resources like oil and gas, are becoming a lot clearer as supply constraints tighten up. It's all about recognizing the signs, and we believe that the next six to nine months will be crucial for investors looking to ride this wave. We're also throwing around some serious thoughts on how geopolitical factors are impacting these markets, especially regarding energy security. So grab a seat, because we're about to unpack why you should be paying attention to these developing trends and what they could mean for the future of commodities.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Follow Adam on LinkedIn.Episode TimeStamps: 02:32 - A big picture framework - what has changed since our last conversation?09:32 - Why are commodities so cheap today?17:03 - Why is now the moment to go long?31:04 - We are in a huge carry trade47:04 - Commodities are taking over another role51:15 - Where are the greatest opportunities in rare metals?58:40 - It will end badly for millennials01:04:09 - Conspiracy theories in the gold industry01:06:55 - The outlook for the U.S energy...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI337: How Best to "Replicate" Managed Futures Returns ft. Katy Kaminski

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 1, 2025 63:28 Transcription Available


In this episode, Katy Kaminski helps us explore the latest trends in managed futures and how different approaches to replication can impact performance and correlation. We explore the pros and cons of index versus mechanical replication, highlighting how each method reacts differently in various market conditions. Plus, we touch on the most recent developments in the ETF space and how they're reshaping access to CTAs, but also question if all of the new products are truly worthy of the "CTA" lable. Stick around as we break down these ideas and share insights that can help shape your investment strategies.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Katy on LinkedIn.Episode TimeStamps:01:50 - What has caught our attention recently?06:09 - Industry performance update13:06 - Q1, Rick: Have Katy done any work on Co-Movement Factor and "offsides" systems?18:12 - Q1.2, Rick: Katy's work shows us the dispersion between "slow" and "fast" systems w/ an optimal window of 10mo: How does this "optimal window" differ by year?25:54 - Q2, Brian: Are there more individual investors than institutional investors?28:43 - Q2.2: Are investors holding the ETF “long term”, or do they “chase performance”?32:25 - Q3, Niels: How should we think about future returns in trend following?36:24 - The beta of trend following and how to access it44:05 - Combing index- and mechanical replication50:58 - The pitfalls of replication...

Top Traders Unplugged
IL35: The New Age of Economic Warfare: Are We Ready? ft. Edward Fishman

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 26, 2025 61:05 Transcription Available


Our guest on this episode is Edward Fishman, a world expert on the modern art of economic warfare. Edward is author of the new book Chokepoints: American Power In The Age of Economic Warfare. He currently teaches at Columbia University and prior to that advised the US Secretary of State, Joints Chiefs of Staff and Treasury Department on the deployment of economic sanctions. We discuss the details of how the US uses its dominant position in the world's financial markets and technology software to pressure countries like Iran, Russia and China. Most importantly this episode explains why these tools used to influence these chokepoints are permanent and are starting to form the contours of the new global economy that will persist for the coming decades. -----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Kevin on SubStack & read his Book.Follow Edward on X and read his book.Episode TimeStamps: 02:14 - Introduction to Edward Fishman08:24 - The failures of economic warfare14:04 - What Stuart Levy can teach us about economic19:26 - Who even want to work at banks nowadays?22:10 - The most successful sanction in modern times27:02 - The dangers of sanctions, export

Top Traders Unplugged
SI336: How to Invest in Turbulent Times? ft. Graham Robertson

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 22, 2025 63:01 Transcription Available


With global market dynamics shifting rapidly and geopolitical noise reaching new heights, how can investors adapt and thrive? In this episode, we explore why an adaptive approach is crucial for navigating today's turbulent financial landscape. Our conversation delves into the challenges investors face when competing against dominant market players and how trend-following strategies can shine in times of crisis. We also examine the often-overlooked disconnect between price and value - and how this mismatch might actually present fresh opportunities. Join us for an insightful discussion with Graham Robertson from Man AHL, as we unpack these critical insights and explore why trend following remains a powerful tool for generating "crisis alpha." Buckle up for a fascinating conversation!-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Graham on LinkedIn.Episode TimeStamps:01:11 - What has caught our attention recently?03:27 - Are kids too worried about the state of the world?05:58 - Our current observations on trend10:54 - How to capture the moves in the European energy markets13:05 - Valuable insights on alternative markets17:11 - Are alternative markets trending better?23:02 - The state of liquidity in the industry25:52 - How Man AHL approaches crypto29:47 - Industry performance update31:42 - Q1, Rick: Is a cross-over system typically the primary tool for Trend?37:14 - The origins of...

The Cold-Case Christianity Podcast
Ten Reasons We Fail To Share Our Faith - Part 2

The Cold-Case Christianity Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 19, 2025 27:59


In this episode of the Cold-Case Christianity Podcast, J. Warner Wallace continues a two-part program in which he describes ten reasons why we, as Christians, fail to share our faith. Are these reasons legitimate concerns or convenient excuses? J. Warner talks about the first five reasons and provides tips to overcome the obstacles that typically prevent us from sharing what we believe.

Top Traders Unplugged
OI14: Behind the Scenes of a Crypto Hedge Fund ft. Michael Hall & Anatoly Crachlilov

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 19, 2025 67:10 Transcription Available


In this episode, Moritz Seibert speaks with Anatoly Crachilov and Michaell Hall from Nickel Digital, a prominent London-based crypto hedge fund. Anatoly (CEO) and Michael (CIO) founded the company in 2019 with an initial focus on in-house arbitrage and basis trading strategies. Over the years, their business model has evolved and adapted to the fast-changing world of digital assets. Today, Nickel Digital operates as a multi-strategy, multi-manager setup with more than $250 million in AUM, making it one of the largest and longest-standing crypto hedge funds globally. Anatoly, Michael and Moritz speak about the opportunities and challenges of operating a multi-PM digital asset hedge fund, how they differ from traditional asset hedge fund pod shops, and how the attract and find new PMs to work with them.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Moritz on Linkedin.Follow Michael on LinkedIn.Follow Anatoly on LinkedIn.Episode TimeStamps: 02:13 - Introduction to Nickel Digital and how they found their way to crypto08:10 - A trip down memory crypto lane12:25 - Why is the basis still so wide on crypto?15:07 - The state of alpha in the crypto space18:23 - What kind of portfolio does Nickel Digital run?19:56 - How they...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI335: Trend Following or Mean Reversion: What Works Best When? ft. Rob Carver

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 15, 2025 84:36 Transcription Available


Join us for a fascinating and in-depth conversation with Rob Carver, where we'll discuss the current state of gold, the impact of rising borrowing costs on futures pricing, and how these elements intertwine with market trends. Along the way, we'll tackle listener questions that challenge the status quo, digging into everything from fees in the hedge fund world to the implications of recent political shifts. It's a jam-packed session for anyone looking to get a clearer picture of the investment landscape today.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Rob on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 01:07 - What on earth is going on with gold?04:58 - The hidden fees of the hedge fund world11:25 - Industry performance update15:00 - Q1, David: Since Rob's book was published, several multi-asset leveraged ETFs have become available. Do you think these products have a place in a long-term portfolio? If so, what kind of allocation would you consider reasonable?21:17 - Q2, Carlos: Imagine a systematically traded trend following account starting with $100k across 10 markets. Over time, the account grows to $200k. Would it generally be “better” to split the capital into two separate and different trading strategies (each trading 10 instruments), or to add more instruments/markets to the existing strategy for greater market diversification?24:49 - Q3, Chris: Does the use of ETFs to backtest Rob's trend following strategies provide an accurate representation of performance?29:41 - Q4, Steve: Any pointers on how...

The Cold-Case Christianity Podcast
Ten Reasons We Fail To Share Our Faith - Part 1

The Cold-Case Christianity Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 12, 2025 27:59


In this episode of the Cold-Case Christianity Podcast, J. Warner Wallace begins a two-part program in which he describes ten reasons why we, as Christians, fail to share our faith. Are these reasons legitimate concerns or convenient excuses? J. Warner talks about the first five reasons and provides tips to overcome the obstacles that typically prevent us from sharing what we believe.

Top Traders Unplugged
ALO28: Why Hedge Funds Still Matter ft. Alexander de Bruin

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 12, 2025 60:01 Transcription Available


In this episode, Alexander de Bruin, Head of Fund Research at Edmond de Rothschild, joins Alan Dunne to discuss the art and science of selecting managers and building portfolios of alternatives. Alexander shares insights from his background in convertible bond trading and how it has shaped his approach to allocating capital. The conversation explores the rapid growth of private markets, with a focus on the current opportunities in private credit. They also delve into Alexander's framework for constructing hedge fund portfolios, examining the role of multi-manager, multi-strategy funds compared to other diversifying strategies. Alexander provides a behind-the-scenes look at his manager due diligence process, including his unique approach of sitting on the trading floor with hedge fund managers to gain a deeper understanding of their strategies.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 02:20 - Introduction to Alexander de Bruin09:02 - The clients and portfolios that Edmond de Rothschild13:18 - Should the 60/40 portfolio be revamped?15:40 - de Bruin's approach to implementing new strategies19:41 - How de Bruin deal with the paranoia of something going wrong22:27 - Is there a place for multi-strat approaches?25:09 - The challenges of managing risk as a multi-strat manager26:53 - How hedge funds deal with portfolio constraints29:19 - Opportunities and risks in private markets35:32 - How high...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI334: Why Quants Might Be Your Best Bet ft. Nick Baltas

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 8, 2025 58:29 Transcription Available


Together with Nick Baltas, we're diving deep into systematic investing to discuss why strategies like trend following is a hidden gem in the current (crazy) economic and geo-political landscape. We touch on recent trends, the implications of AI in investing, and how these dynamics can impact our portfolios. We also discuss the costs of rebalancing and the potential pitfalls when it comes to fixed-weight portfolios, how the trust in the financial system and economic data is starting to fade rapidly and much more. Stay tuned, there is a lot to unpack.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Nick on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps:01:40 - What has caught our attention recently?05:26 - A mini crash in the crypto space11:24 - Breath vs Size of Crypto Investors14:24 - The US Fixed Income policy is changing16:07 - Industry performance update19:21 - Reviewing current trends in 202523:46 - How people react to trend following as a defensive strategy28:51 - What are the most popular risk mitigation strategies?30:53 - An alternative way of allocating away from bonds and into "safe" equities38:13 - The trust in the system is fading...rapidly46:53 - Why price might be more accurate when using trend following49:42 - The unintended impact of rebalancingCopyright © 2024 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved----PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment

Top Traders Unplugged
ALO27: Unlocking Wealth: Insights from UBS's CIO Mark Haefele

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 5, 2025 62:33 Transcription Available


Mark Haefele, CIO of Global Wealth Management at UBS, shares valuable insights on the evolving landscape of investing amidst unprecedented government intervention in the economy. He emphasizes that understanding the role of government spending and its impact on market dynamics is crucial for today's investors. The conversation explores the distinction between managing wealth and managing investments, highlighting the importance of adopting a mindset of abundance rather than scarcity. Haefele also explains the significance of long-term structural trends, such as demographics and digitalization, which shape investment decisions. Throughout the discussion, he offers practical advice for navigating the complexities of investing in a world where macroeconomic factors increasingly influence outcomes.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Follow Mark on LinkedIn.Episode TimeStamps: 02:24 - Introduction to Mark Haefele05:08 - Behind the scenes of Haefele's job06:41 - The key takeaways from Haefele's book08:56 - The difference between managing your wealth and managing your investment11:10 - How has the investing world changed over the years?14:44 - Is now a culmination of previous crises?16:52 - The 5 structural trends of the global economy and how it relates to government spending19:52 - How they apply the 5 structural trends in a broad...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI333: Convexity - The Trend Following Game Changer! ft. Richard Brennan

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 1, 2025 72:55 Transcription Available


Most investors focus on returns, but what about the shape of those returns? Today, Rich and I explore the often overlooked concept of convexity - a game-changing principle in trend following that helps us thrive in unpredictable markets. Inspired by insights from our recent guest, Dave Dredge, we break down why mastering convexity is key to cutting losses early, riding big winners, and staying ahead of market turbulence.If you're serious about protecting and growing your portfoli - while making smarter, more systematic decisions - this episode is a must-listen. Join us for a deep dive into the mechanics of risk, reward, and the powerful edge convexity can give your portfolio!-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Rich on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps:01:49 - What has caught our attention recently?06:20 - Industry performance update11:10 - Why does convexity matter for trend following?36:13 - What do we actually mean by convexity?42:04 - Sharpe world - the pitfalls of today's economy52:30 - Why risk and volatility can feel like the same thing56:08 - The core of trend following58:22 - Why open trade equity makes no sense for managers01:00:03 - The business of trend following01:01:37 - The exponential potential of trend following01:08:05 - The times have changed - why is trend following more important than ever?01:11:22 - What is up for next week?Copyright © 2024

Top Traders Unplugged
GM79: How Global Economic Dynamics Shape Our Future ft. Matthew Klein

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 29, 2025 61:59 Transcription Available


Today, we explore the intricate dynamics of global trade and economics, highlighting the central thesis of Matt Klein's book, "Trade Wars or Class Wars." Klein argues that the common perception of trade as a zero-sum game is fundamentally flawed; instead, he emphasizes that positive-sum solutions exist, benefiting all parties involved. The conversation explores the impact of internal dynamics within countries, particularly focusing on how these dynamics affect international relations and economic outcomes. Additionally, we discuss the current state of the global economy, rising bond yields, and the potential consequences of immigration policies on labor markets and housing. We invite listeners to rethink traditional economic narratives and consider how collective actions can lead to improved outcomes for everyone.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Follow Matthew on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 02:08 - Introduction to Matthew Klein05:32 - Expanding the definition of trade13:45 - The dynamic between growth and productivity17:04 - The state of the German economy and how it could be improved22:42 - Klein's perspective on the development of the bond markets28:49 - Klein's outlook for inflation and interest rates34:36 - Are we approaching a consumer credit crisis?38:49 - Is there a productivity boom in...

On Your Mind
Dr. Ross Ellenhorn - Author Of How We Change: And Ten Reasons Why We Don't

On Your Mind

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 28, 2025 40:46


Understanding how we change begins with challenging the stigma around mental health and rethinking traditional approaches to recovery. Timothy J. Hayes hosts a conversation with Dr. Ross Ellenhorn, who shares his groundbreaking methods for helping individuals navigate psychiatric and substance use challenges within their communities. Dr. Ellenhorn, a pioneer in community integration, discusses how social inclusion and hope can transform lives, offering a compassionate alternative to conventional in-hospital care. This episode sheds light on redefining treatment by focusing on people as whole individuals, not just their diagnoses, and inspiring change through connection and support.Love the show? Subscribe, rate, review, and share!Here's How »Join the On Your Mind Community today:journeysdream.orgTwitterInstagramFacebookYouTube

love ten reasons timothy j hayes
Aviation Careers Podcast
ACP412 Ten Reasons You Should NOT Become An Airline Pilot: 2025 Edition.

Aviation Careers Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 27, 2025 19:19


In this episode, we will discuss the 10 reasons you should NOT become an airline pilot. In our last episode, we talked about the many great reasons to become an airline pilot but there are some reasons you should NOT become an airline pilot. Send us your accomplishments and a photo if you want us […] The post ACP412 Ten Reasons You Should NOT Become An Airline Pilot: 2025 Edition. appeared first on Aviation Careers Podcast.

Top Traders Unplugged
SI332: Market Turbulence: How to Adapt to Regime Changes in Investing ft. Alan Dunne & Mark Rzepczynski

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 25, 2025 65:15 Transcription Available


Today, we dive into the complexities of current market dynamics, emphasizing the heightened levels of uncertainty stemming from recent regime changes. Mark Rzepczynski shares insights on how this uncertainty can influence investment behavior and market trends, highlighting the importance for investors to adapt their strategies in response to these shifts. The discussion touches on the implications of fluctuating correlations and volatility, particularly for systematic and trend-following strategies. We also explore how the intricate nature of financial markets as complex systems can lead to nonlinear reactions to shocks, making it crucial for traders to consider both measurable risks and the non-measurable uncertainties that can affect their models. The episode wraps up with reflections on the role of institutional arrangements and how they can impact market outcomes in a rapidly changing environment.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Follow Mark on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 01:16 - A flurry of activities04:05 - The state of VIX and how newspapers and media measure uncertainty09:11 - How do trend followers take advantage of the uncertainty in markets?12:50 - What are the components of the regime shift?16:04 - The implications of the regime shift17:57 - Industry performance update19:21 - The state of bond markets from an uncertainty perspective21:16 - Do...

Top Traders Unplugged
GM78: Is this 1995 all over again? ft. Dave Dredge & Cem Karsan

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 22, 2025 91:35 Transcription Available


Today, we guide you into the complexities of the current financial landscape, emphasizing the crucial theme of positioning in an environment marked by rising interest rates and shifting market dynamics. We explore how recent structured product issuance is significantly impacting market structure, particularly in the U.S., where the volume of callable bonds and equity-linked products has surged. They highlight the risks associated with reliance on historical correlations, which may not hold in times of market stress, and the implications for investors navigating these turbulent waters. The conversation also touches on the potential for a significant monetary regime shift, akin to what was seen in the late '90s, driven by geopolitical tensions and domestic economic policies. You will gain valuable insights into how to recognize and adapt to these evolving risks, to become well prepared for the challenges ahead.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Follow David on LinkedIn.Read David's report here.Episode TimeStamps: 01:34 - A quick catch up since last conversation02:13 - Dredge's key takeaways from 202408:58 - When did things really start to move for Dredge?15:41 - Cem's analysis of the recent global macro environment22:51...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI331: Crafting the Perfect Investment Portfolio in 2025 ft. Alan Dunne

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 18, 2025 65:39 Transcription Available


Today, we dive deep into the evolving landscape of investment strategies, emphasizing the critical need for diversification in portfolios. With a particular focus on the German economy's challenges, we highlight how geopolitical factors and shifting market dynamics are reshaping investment approaches. We explore the potential implications of rising bond yields and the importance of incorporating trend-following strategies to mitigate risks associated with traditional asset classes. We also touch on the necessity for investors to rethink their allocations to adapt to an uncertain future, moving beyond outdated correlations and assumptions. As we examine the perspectives of notable figures in finance, the episode serves as a timely reminder of the importance of strategic asset allocation in navigating today's complex market environment.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps:00:55 - What has caught our attention recently?02:41 - Why has the German economy changed so much?10:20 - A world of unexpected political events13:57 - How can there be a beta if managers are so different?16:06 - The state of the global macro environment25:10 - Industry performance update28:10 - Are investors relying too much on past performance?35:01 - Are we seeing signs of a catastrophic bubble?40:14 - 2025 - a deja vu to 1995?42:24 - Advice for constructing a robust trend following portfolio54:49...

Top Traders Unplugged
OI13: The Art of Continuous Trading: Mastering Market Dynamics ft. Bill Gebhardt

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 15, 2025 48:04 Transcription Available


Bill Gebhardt from 10Dynamics discusses the intriguing intersection of market efficiency and systematic trading strategies. He emphasizes the idea that while traditional views suggest markets are efficient, many hedge funds continue to find success using price-based strategies that should theoretically not work. This paradox leads to a fascinating exploration of the psychological aspects of trading, particularly how human behavior can create opportunities for systematic traders. Gebhardt shares insights on the operational complexities of running a nearly continuous trading process, utilizing intraday data, and employing a diverse range of signals. The conversation explores the risks of underfitting versus overfitting in trading models, ultimately advocating for a strategy that embraces empirical success without excessive optimization.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Moritz on Linkedin.Follow Bill on X.Episode TimeStamps: 02:17 - Introduction to Bill Gebhardt06:35 - No pain, no gain08:40 - Why are they called 10Dynamics?10:08 - What is their philosophy behind how markets work?12:24 - Are the signals that they run based on trend following?13:47 - How they handle the operational complexity of their system18:15 - How they assess the validity of their data20:39 - Exploring the technical details behind the execution of their...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI330: Yield Storm Ahead: Preparing for a New Era ft. Cem Karsan

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 11, 2025 61:24 Transcription Available


Together with Cem Karsan we take the pulse of the evolving landscape investors are faced with amidst rising interest rates and market volatility. A key takeaway is the recognition of structural changes in bond markets, with the potential for significantly higher yields impacting investment strategies. We explore the implications of current geopolitical dynamics, including Trump's perhaps surprising approach to China, his expansionary agenda and how it may shape market expectations moving forward. We also address the challenges of navigating a world where traditional hedging strategies in markets like fixed income are becoming increasingly difficult. With insights into market sentiment and potential counter-trend rallies, this episode provides a thought-provoking look at the complexities facing investors right now.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Cem on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 01:19 - What has caught our attention recently?06:39 - Industry performance update08:34 - Long term skew in vol markets is causing trouble13:41 - Approaching OPEX - what is in sight?21:28 - Does a strong S&P500 performance indicate an incoming crisis?24:08 - Are we approaching a counter trend rally?26:33 - It's getting hard to hedge35:16 - Investors are long without realizing it38:34 - We need a shadow Fed President43:23 - We are in a leadership vacuum47:58 - Early signs of improvement in China?55:31 -...

Top Traders Unplugged
TTU147: How to Craft a Rich Life Beyond Money ft. William Green

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 8, 2025 104:56 Transcription Available


William Green, author of the book "Richer, Wiser, Happier", returns to the podcast for an eye opening conversation centered around the complexities of investing and the importance of building a rich life beyond mere financial success. We explore the idea that true wealth encompasses autonomy, meaningful relationships, and personal growth, rather than just monetary accumulation. Throughout the discussion, William shares lessons learned from interviewing some of the greatest investors, emphasizing the significance of self-awareness and understanding one's biases in decision-making. We also touch on the current landscape of investing, including the dominance of U.S. equities and the implications of artificial intelligence in the financial world. By weaving in personal anecdotes and stories, William illustrate how to navigate uncertainty and position oneself for long-term success while maintaining a focus on what truly matters in life.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow William on X and read his book.Episode Timestamps:01:42 - Catching up since our last conversation07:22 - The importance of having connection and belonging along the path13:51 - The power of friendships20:21 - A key component to achieve success22:20 - The pitfalls of becoming successful26:47 - How psychology influences investment decisions and how to overcome biases34:23 - Common biases among successful...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI329: CTAs: Innovation Meets Legacy & the BlackRock Effect ft. Andrew Beer & Tom Wrobel

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 4, 2025 88:14 Transcription Available


Together with Andrew Beer and Tom Wrobel, we dive deep into the evolving landscape of managed futures and CTAs, highlighting the critical need for a narrative shift to better communicate their value to investors. Andrew and Tom discuss the challenges faced by allocators in understanding the unique benefits of trend-following strategies, especially amidst a backdrop of changing market dynamics. They explore the implications of BlackRock's recent move to launch an actively managed manager ETF, which could significantly impact how managed futures are perceived and allocated within investment portfolios. The conversation also touches on the potential for new ESG-compliant products that could attract investors reluctant to engage with traditional commodity exposure. With insights into the current market environment and the importance of adaptability, this episode provides valuable perspectives for anyone interested in systematic investing and the future of CTAs.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Andrew on Twitter.Follow Tom on LinkedIn.Episode TimeStamps: 01:20 - Our expectations going into 202507:00 - What to do when bonds are collapsing10:21 - Industry performance update11:49 - A deep dive into indices17:36 - The mechanisms behind creating an index23:13 - What returns can you expect from a CTA replication index?27:21 - What are the average fees in today's...

Top Traders Unplugged
IL34: Democratizing Data: A New Approach for Trustworthy Information ft. Julia Lane

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 1, 2025 42:54 Transcription Available


Our guest on this episode is Dr. Julia Lane, Professor at New York University and author of the book Democratizing Our Data: A Manifesto. Dr. Lane is a member of the National AI Research Resource Task Force and has advised the White House on promoting the use of Federal data for evidence building. She believes that the US system collecting data is outdated, inaccurate and unable to reform itself. This includes the data that goes into measures like GDP and unemployment. The current system is also unable to track the impact of AI on the economy. We discuss her proposals including her work to establish a new non-partisan institute to provide accurate and secure data available to everyone. -----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Kevin on SubStack & read his Book.Follow Julia on LinkedIn and read her book.Episode TimeStamps: 02:29 - Introduction to Julia Lane03:42 - We need to rethink how we generate trustworthy data12:49 - How does data collection look like in the U.S?18:14 - How do we find out what firms are working in artificial intelligence?24:53 - How Lane believes we can solve the challenges of collecting trustworthy data30:38 - How you maintain trust...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI328: Year-End Roundtable: The Future of Trend Following and Market Dynamics (Part 2)

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 28, 2024 66:48 Transcription Available


Join us for Part 2 of our Year-End discussion between all of the hosts on the Systematic Investor Series where we debate the trends and themes shaping the investment landscape heading into 2025. The episode highlights the significance of social media and podcasts in increasing awareness of systematic investment strategies, as well as the challenges posed by evolving market dynamics. Key topics include the role of the U.S. dollar under the new Trump administration, the impact of trend-following strategies, and the ongoing debate about replication in managed futures. We will also share our outrageous predictions for 2025, including insights into the potential resurgence of alternative investments and shifts in global economic relations. Happy New Year from all of us at TopTradersUnplugged.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Rob on Twitter.Follow Alan on Twitter.Follow Andrew on Twitter and LinkedIn.Follow Katy on LinkedIn.Follow Cem on Twitter.Follow Mark on Twitter.Follow Nick on

Top Traders Unplugged
OI12: Breaking Rules: Going Beyond Traditional Trend Following ft. Tillmann Sachs & Vishal Sharma

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 25, 2024 51:29 Transcription Available


In this episode, Moritz Seibert speaks with Tillmann Sachs and Vishal Sharma from J8 Capital Management, a systematic London-based CTA. The main focus of their discussion is J8's Global Absolute Return Strategy, which trades several different systems across markets and styles, including carry, arbitrage, and trend following. We also speak about their latest addition to this portfolio, namely the Redwood strategy, which is a short-term model trading some of the world's most liquid futures markets and works with intraday data that's sampled every 3 minutes. It's an interesting conversation with a CTA “plus” – a term Tillmann uses as they employ many strategies away from rules-based trend following.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Moritz on Linkedin.Follow Tillmann on LinkedIn.Learn more about J8 Capital.Episode TimeStamps: 16:16 - Introduction to Tillmann Sachs, Vishal Sharma and J8 Capital Management04:06 - Why did they start J8 Capital?05:09 - What got them interested in a systematic approach?09:12 - The story behind the J8 Global Absolute Return Strategy13:53 - Multiple different systems or one big system?16:25 - Why don't they incorporate equities in their strategy?21:36 - Managing risk in arbitrage...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI327: 2024's Biggest Investment & Trend Following Insights (Part 1)

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 21, 2024 58:46 Transcription Available


This part 1 of 2 episode features a compelling roundtable discussion among all of our incredible co-hosts here at TopTradersUnplugged, where we reflect on the key takeaways of 2024. The main focus is on the significant return dispersion observed in the trend-following community throughout 2024, where performance varied dramatically among managers. We explore the factors contributing to this dispersion, such as differences in speed, market universe, and the impact of discretionary de-risking strategies. Additionally, we examine the influence of macroeconomic changes, particularly the effects of Federal Reserve policies, on market trends and investor behavior. As the conversation unfolds, we also share insights and personal reflections on our investment strategies and predictions for 2025.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Rob on Twitter.Follow Alan on Twitter.Follow Andrew on Twitter and LinkedIn.Follow Katy on LinkedIn.Follow Cem on Twitter.Follow Mark on Twitter.Follow Nick on

Top Traders Unplugged
GM77: Unlocking the Roaring 2020s: Is Bitcoin the New Gold? ft. Ed Yardeni

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 18, 2024 59:04 Transcription Available


Ed Yardeni, President of Yardeni Research, joins Alan Dunne in this episode to review his Roaring 2020s thesis for the US economy. Ed makes a compelling case for sustained economic growth, driven by rising productivity gains fuelled by technological advancements. The discussion covers expectations for the policy mix under the incoming Trump administration, including how fiscal developments could influence the Federal Reserve's actions. The conversation also examines developments in the bond markets, exploring whether meaningful deficit reductions can keep the bond vigilantes at bay. He shares his optimistic outlook on the stock market, despite elevated valuations, high concentration in the S&P 500 and speculative behaviour in certain areas. Finally, Ed offers his perspective on gold and questions whether Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are merely the modern equivalent of “digital tulips.”-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Follow Ed on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 02:14 - (Re)Introduction to Ed Yardeni04:51 - How the incoming U.S. administration will impact the economy07:55 - Has Trump fought back the bond vigilantes?10:52 - Was the Fed cut unnecessary?13:20 - Strange decisions from the Fed16:14 - Will the Fed be true to their words?17:57 - Will inflation become sticky?19:29 - Yardeni's perspective on the neutral...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI326: Volatility and Trends: What 2024 Held for Trend Followers ft. Katy Kaminski

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 13, 2024 60:20 Transcription Available


Today, we examine the intriguing dynamics of systematic investing, focusing on the theme of volatility sizing and its implications for trend following strategies. We discuss how volatility often expands during profitable trades, highlighting the importance of managing risk through dynamic sizing compared to static approaches. We explore the interplay between equities and managed futures, emphasizing how these strategies can complement each other while navigating the complexities of correlation risk. As we look ahead to 2025, the conversation touches on broader economic themes, including inflation volatility and its potential impact on investment strategies. With insights from recent research, the episode provides valuable perspectives for investors seeking to understand the evolving landscape of systematic investing.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Follow Katy on LinkedIn.Episode TimeStamps:01:05 - What has caught our attention recently?02:13 - Industry performance update03:48 - Our takeaways from 202409:20 - How different speed has performed in different markets13:25 - Has market correlation been lower than usual this year?14:15 - Concluding on 202415:55 - Interesting news in the ETF space18:29 - Key takeaways from the Hedge Nordic Roundtable 202420:18 - Optimism for the managed futures...

Top Traders Unplugged
GM76: Are We Being Deceived by Economic Data? ft. Paul Donovan

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 11, 2024 64:55 Transcription Available


Alan Dunne welcomes Paul Donovan, Chief Economist of UBS Global Wealth Management, to this episode for a thought-provoking discussion on the global economic outlook. Together, they explore the structural challenges facing Europe and whether the current wave of pessimism is overstated. Paul highlights how data mismeasurement contributes to the gap between perception and reality while acknowledging the hurdles for productivity growth in Europe. They also consider whether comparisons between Europe's economic trajectory and Japan's stagnation are valid and discuss the prospects for U.S. growth under President Trump. The conversation also examines the recent inflation cycle, the potential effects of new U.S. tariffs on inflation, and the implications for Federal Reserve policy.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Follow Paul on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 02:28 - Introduction to Paul Donovan06:02 - The state of the European economy09:19 - The notion of fairness is changing13:55 - Can a new economic model emerge?18:54 - Has Europe become Japanified?22:21 - Should Europe worry about lagging behind on tech?29:04 - An economic plague in the UK34:02 - How can economists address the happiness of the people38:15 - What have the cost of things stayed high?44:32 - The potential for supply...

Top Traders Unplugged
SI325: Why Adaptive Strategies Matter Now More Than Ever ft. Graham Robertson

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 7, 2024 62:14 Transcription Available


Today, together with Graham Robertson of MAN AHL, we delve into the intriguing dynamics of trend following and its relationship with current market conditions, particularly influenced by central bank actions. We examine how trend followers have navigated recent volatility and the challenges posed by fluctuating interest rate expectations. We highlight the significance of understanding correlation trends among different asset classes and the importance of diversifying strategies in enhancing portfolio resilience. The discussion also touches on the complexities of trend following strategies and the necessity for clearer communication to investors about their benefits. As we explore the evolving landscape of systematic investing, the episode underscores the need for adaptive strategies in an unpredictable economic environment.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps:00:52 - What has caught our attention recently?02:04 - Are single stocks signaling trouble?05:00 - Major divergence in market performance globally08:06 - Industry performance update09:06 - Our key observations from 202411:24 - Advice for getting your market capacity right15:33 - Our thoughts on trading speed17:14 - Don't get too caught up on specific narratives18:38 - Industry performance numbers20:02 - How Idiosyncratic risk works26:55 - Setting up the optimal defense28:31 - Don't be...

Top Traders Unplugged
IL33: The Soul of Wealth: Behavioral Secrets to a Purposeful Life ft. Daniel Crosby

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 4, 2024 55:22 Transcription Available


Our guest on this episode is Dr. Daniel Crosby, New York Times bestselling author and Chief Behavioral Officer at Orion Advisor Solutions. Daniel joins us to discuss his new book - The Soul of Wealth: 50 Reflections on Money and Meaning. We discuss simple actions everyone can take to apply the lessons of behavioral finance to their own investing - actions that have a shockingly large impact on wealth accumulation. Daniel talks about why even the most experienced professional investors might benefit from having a financial advisor and how new research on willpower can help us be more effective investors. We end with an overview of Daniel's new research on the three principles that seem to drive the most purposeful lives.-----EXCEPTIONAL RESOURCE: Find Out How to Build a Safer & Better Performing Portfolio using this FREE NEW Portfolio Builder Tool-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Kevin on SubStack & read his Book.Follow Daniel on LinkedIn and read his book.Episode TimeStamps: 02:09 - Introduction to Daniel Crosby07:55 - What caused Crosby to write his book?11:28 - How would Crosby like people to...

Talking Real Money
Investor Gratitude

Talking Real Money

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 4, 2024 44:50


In this episode: 2:21 Ten Reasons to Be a Thankful Investor 8:01 The State of the U.S. Economy 9:12 Reflections on the Recent Election 10:05 Financial System Stability 13:35 The Art of Excess 14:58 The Impact of AI 16:21 Value in Asset Classes 28:48 Speculation and Risk 32:23 Managing IRA Investments 36:01 Strategies for Successful Investing Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Top Traders Unplugged
SI324: Embracing Uncertainty using Adaptive Models ft. Richard Brennan

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 30, 2024 69:14 Transcription Available


Today, we dive deep into the complex dynamics of global markets and the often overlooked risks that can accumulate during periods of apparent stability. Together with Richard Brennan, we discuss the rising concerns over declining fertility rates worldwide, highlighting how economic pressures, environmental challenges, and cultural shifts contribute to this seismic change. We draw parallels between these demographic trends and the unpredictability of financial markets, emphasizing the importance of adaptive strategies in navigating uncertainty. The conversation also touches on the limitations of traditional risk management models, advocating for a shift towards frameworks that prioritize resilience and adaptability. In this episode you will gain valuable insights into how both personal and economic landscapes can evolve and respond to changing conditions.-----EXCEPTIONAL RESOURCE: Find Out How to Build a Safer & Better Performing Portfolio using this FREE NEW Portfolio Builder Tool-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Rich on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps:01:37 - What has caught our attention recently?07:20 - Is now the best time to allocate to alternatives?12:14 - Industry performance update17:58 - How we manage uncertainty in "chaotic systems"25:55 - How to translate ensemble models to trend following28:25 - The benefits of adding more trend following models34:10 - It takes guts to be a greedy pig37:04 - The hidden risks of financial markets48:47 - Why Value at Risk (VaR) models makes more sense than having stops56:35 - The inevitable outcome of...

Top Traders Unplugged
GM75: Macro Mastery: The HedgeEye Approach ft. Keith McCullough

Top Traders Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 27, 2024 62:42 Transcription Available


Keith McCullough, Founder and CEO of Hedgeye Risk Management, joins Alan Dunne in this episode for an in-depth look into Keith's distinctive approach to global macro analysis and tactical trading. The conversation explores Keith's background as a hedge fund manager and his views on how markets have evolved, especially in relation to option flows. Keith breaks down his four-quadrant framework for macro analysis, explaining how pinpointing the economy's position within these quadrants is as much an art as it is a science. His framework currently signals continued strength in the US dollar and US equities. A fundamental aspect of Keith's approach is his respect for market signals and the need for these signals to confirm his macro views. He also shares valuable insights into the behavioural challenges of investing and emphasizes the importance of a disciplined, repeatable process to drive long-term success.-----EXCEPTIONAL RESOURCE: Find Out How to Build a Safer & Better Performing Portfolio using this FREE NEW Portfolio Builder Tool-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on Twitter.Follow Keith on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 02:23 - Introduction to Keith McCullough05:01 - From hedge fund to research07:29 - Being a retail investor is an insult09:56 - How McCullough has reacted to the rise of 0DTE options13:48 - Have stocks become more macro driven?15:54 - Where are we currently in the 4 quads?19:22 - The challenge of lag in macro signals21:26 - McCullough's framework...

Dial In with Jonny Ardavanis
Ten Reasons You Should Be Thankful with Jonny Ardavanis

Dial In with Jonny Ardavanis

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 26, 2024 38:50


Discover 10 Biblical Reasons for Gratitude | Christian Thanksgiving MessageExplore deep Biblical insights on gratitude with pastors Johnny and Hank as they unpack God's sovereignty, forgiveness, love, and more. Learn why thankfulness isn't just for Thanksgiving, but a core Christian discipline. Perfect for believers seeking to cultivate gratitude in all seasons.Key Topics:God's sovereignty and controlBiblical forgiveness and graceThe power of God's loveScripture's role in gratitudeChristian communityHeaven's promiseDivine provision