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Gold is enjoying a bump after President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on US steel and aluminum imports this week. Merryn speaks with reporter Jack Ryan, who covers mining and precious metals, and gold market veteran Charlie Morris of ByteTree to discuss what’s driving gold’s ascent and what investors can do to make some money out of the moves. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Regular listeners of the Merryn Talks Money podcast know that Merryn Somerset Webb usually ends her interviews with one question. If you had to invest all of your money into one of these assets, and hold it for the next 10 years, which would it be: Bitcoin or gold? In this week's episode, she makes that question the foundation for a conversation with Charlie Morris, chief investment officer and founder of ByteTree, and Alexander Chartres, a fund manager at Ruffer. The episode was taped in front of audience at the Bloomberg offices in London. Want to see Merryn live? Check out her shows in Edinburgh at Fringe Festival this August! See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Good morning to you,I am going to be sending out two pieces in fairly quick succession: first, today's, some commentary on the latest bitcoin price action, and then another, tomorrow hopefully, about gold mining.It looks like bitcoin (currently $67,000, down from highs of $73,500) is now “enjoying” a correction. Microstrategy (NDX:MSTR) has 5xd, since we covered it in the summer, and some profit-taking is inevitable. My own strategy though is to HODL. I don't think this is the end of the cycle. Longer term I think bitcoin goes higher, even if it is short-term overbought and over-heated. I know of no strategy that has consistently beaten HODL, so that is what I am going to continue to doThere is an expression you will have heard me use from time to time: “from false moves come fast moves in the opposite direction”. Sometimes you will see a move above an old high, a “false breakout”, before a market reverses. At the moment the breakout above the old high to $73,500 then the reversal looks like it could be one of those. It may do that. It may not. You never know. But the risk with bitcoin is not having a position. My preferred interpretation is: “ongoing correction in a bull market”. But these are the kind of doubts that haunt you when climbing the wall of worry. There is nothing a bull market likes to do more than throw you off. Hence HODL.It has been said before, but I say it again: were you to sell your bitcoins for pounds dollars or euros, you would effectively be swapping a technologically superior form of money for one that is technologically inferior. When looked at in these terms, selling bitcoin for fiat makes little sense. When bull markets come along you always kick yourself for not owning enough bitcoin, so, again, HODL.I met a city friend of mine at a drinks party last night and he was telling me how many institutions are buying $200,000 btc September call options: that means some traders in institutions are, in effect, making leveraged bets that bitcoin will be $200,000 in 6 months time. Buying such high risk, out-of-the-money calls could be seen as symptomatic of excess bullish sentiment. It signals irrational exuberance. It signals catch-up trade - trying to make up the money you missed out by not being positioned sooner. But that institutional money, with all the information it has about order-flows and all the rest of it, is making such bets is also a bullish sign. I, for one, hope those call options come good.Altcoin Season is Upon Us - or It WasFinally, another anecdote from earlier in the week, which shows just how hot things were getting, this one about altcoin season. Fortunes, sometimes life-changing fortunes, get made and lost, though mostly lost, in altcoin season. It was upon us. My son's mate from uni, age 23, is now a trader. On Tuesday he was bragging on their Snapchat about a win he just had. LocalAI - I have no idea what that is - began trading on Monday. On Tuesday it was up over 17,000%. You read that right. On a Tuesday.I took a look at it on Wednesday. It had just fallen over 60%.The following day it nearly tripled, before falling 50% again. Nuts!How to navigate it all? It's a full-time job keeping up with what's going on in the altcoin world and they are not something I know a great deal about, I'm relieved to say. I'm familiar with about ten. Fortunately, I know a man who does. So let me take this opportunity to recommend Charlie Morris's Bytefolio. Charlie is a former fund manager from HSBC, who ran the billion-dollar Absolute Return fund for 20 years. He also wrote the extremely popular Fleet Street Letter for many years, before handing it over to Nigel Farage and his team. Charlie now runs a suite of letters at Bytetree. He was early to the bitcoin story, back in 2014. He has almost unrivalled knowledge of portfolio management and asset allocation, of technical analysis and trend following, and he applies it to the world of crypto and altcoins. So take a look and see what you think - you get the first month free. The crypto letter is ace, but I also like his more mainstream Multi-Asset Investor and his speculative Venture too.Right, I'll be back very soon, tomorrow hopefully, talking gold mines. Will I ever learn?Until then, This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe
Good morning to you,I am going to be sending out two pieces in fairly quick succession: first, today's, some commentary on the latest bitcoin price action, and then another, tomorrow hopefully, about gold mining.It looks like bitcoin (currently $67,000, down from highs of $73,500) is now “enjoying” a correction. Microstrategy (NDX:MSTR) has 5xd, since we covered it in the summer, and some profit-taking is inevitable. My own strategy though is to HODL. I don't think this is the end of the cycle. Longer term I think bitcoin goes higher, even if it is short-term overbought and over-heated. I know of no strategy that has consistently beaten HODL, so that is what I am going to continue to doThere is an expression you will have heard me use from time to time: “from false moves come fast moves in the opposite direction”. Sometimes you will see a move above an old high, a “false breakout”, before a market reverses. At the moment the breakout above the old high to $73,500 then the reversal looks like it could be one of those. It may do that. It may not. You never know. But the risk with bitcoin is not having a position. My preferred interpretation is: “ongoing correction in a bull market”. But these are the kind of doubts that haunt you when climbing the wall of worry. There is nothing a bull market likes to do more than throw you off. Hence HODL.It has been said before, but I say it again: were you to sell your bitcoins for pounds dollars or euros, you would effectively be swapping a technologically superior form of money for one that is technologically inferior. When looked at in these terms, selling bitcoin for fiat makes little sense. When bull markets come along you always kick yourself for not owning enough bitcoin, so, again, HODL.I met a city friend of mine at a drinks party last night and he was telling me how many institutions are buying $200,000 btc September call options: that means some traders in institutions are, in effect, making leveraged bets that bitcoin will be $200,000 in 6 months time. Buying such high risk, out-of-the-money calls could be seen as symptomatic of excess bullish sentiment. It signals irrational exuberance. It signals catch-up trade - trying to make up the money you missed out by not being positioned sooner. But that institutional money, with all the information it has about order-flows and all the rest of it, is making such bets is also a bullish sign. I, for one, hope those call options come good.Altcoin Season is Upon Us - or It WasFinally, another anecdote from earlier in the week, which shows just how hot things were getting, this one about altcoin season. Fortunes, sometimes life-changing fortunes, get made and lost, though mostly lost, in altcoin season. It was upon us. My son's mate from uni, age 23, is now a trader. On Tuesday he was bragging on their Snapchat about a win he just had. LocalAI - I have no idea what that is - began trading on Monday. On Tuesday it was up over 17,000%. You read that right. On a Tuesday.I took a look at it on Wednesday. It had just fallen over 60%.The following day it nearly tripled, before falling 50% again. Nuts!How to navigate it all? It's a full-time job keeping up with what's going on in the altcoin world and they are not something I know a great deal about, I'm relieved to say. I'm familiar with about ten. Fortunately, I know a man who does. So let me take this opportunity to recommend Charlie Morris's Bytefolio. Charlie is a former fund manager from HSBC, who ran the billion-dollar Absolute Return fund for 20 years. He also wrote the extremely popular Fleet Street Letter for many years, before handing it over to Nigel Farage and his team. Charlie now runs a suite of letters at Bytetree. He was early to the bitcoin story, back in 2014. He has almost unrivalled knowledge of portfolio management and asset allocation, of technical analysis and trend following, and he applies it to the world of crypto and altcoins. So take a look and see what you think - you get the first month free. The crypto letter is ace, but I also like his more mainstream Multi-Asset Investor and his speculative Venture too.Right, I'll be back very soon, tomorrow hopefully, talking gold mines. Will I ever learn?Until then, This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe
This is the last of these pieces about gold in ancient history. I'm back from the Edinburgh Fringe now, and more regular market commentary will resume. Lots of exciting things happening on this Substack. If you missed them this week, check out Wednesday's piece on uranium, the coming supply squeeze and how to play this (almost) inevitable bull market. On Monday I covered bitcoin - in particular, how UK investors can get exposure via a traditional broker (and thus have it in their SIPP or ISA). And Friday I told the story of one of the maddest gigs I have ever done.Coming up this week: Dr John will be sharing his picks of the North American oil and gas plays. Plus together, with Dr John and Charlie Morris of Bytetree, I have been working on the the Do F All portfolio: a do-very-little portfolio for the hands-off investor, who wants to invest his or her money safely and well, without constantly having to monitor it. There'll be a podcast and a piece about that very soon.So look out for all of those. For now, your Sunday morning thought piece, a historical piece with many parallels to today: the Romans and the debasement of money. The Roman Empire is probably more famous for debasing its currency, than for its money itself. But for that debasement to have been so prolonged (it went on for hundreds of years) and, some might say, effective, it needed an established, widely recognised and credible money as a starting point. Here look at the rise and full of sound money in Ancient Rome. There are many parallels to today.The geology of central Italy is not particularly abundant in gold and silver, and it was only really after Rome began expanding beyond central Italy in the third century BC that it started using gold and silver. Commodity money tends to be determined by the resources available. Bronze (copper and tin) is abundant in the area, and bronze, in the form of weights - aes rude, often as heavy as 11oz (300g) - was the early currency of choice. As the Republic expanded, so did access to gold and silver, either from loot, tribute or mine supply, and so did these precious metals make their way into Roman money. The first silver denarius was minted in 211BC. Within 50 or 60 years Roman coinage was widespread across Italy. Much of the silver to mint the coins came from mines in Macedonia, which Rome now controlled. For the next 500 years this silver coin, containing about just over 1/8th of an ounce (4g) of silver - a little bit more than the weight of a 1p coin - would be the backbone currency of Rome. One denarius was exchangeable for ten asses (the aes rude evolved to become the as) - hence its name “of ten”, or tenner. It was 95-98% pure silver. To give you some kind of benchmark, sterling silver is only 92.5% pure. The purchasing power of a denarius would be more than the underlying metal value - ranging between 1.5 and 3 times the value. That's seigniorage for you.The denarius lives on today, especially in many Latin languages. The Italian word for money is “denaro”, “dinero” is Spanish, “dinheiro” is Portugese, “denar” is Slovenian. In many Arab nations, the currency is the dinar. The symbol for the English penny used to be ‘d' - as in 1d.Heads of emperors appeared on coins, and so, as a result, did their use as imperial propaganda. The more coins circulating around the ever-growing empire, spreading the message of Roman imperial might, the better.As a side note, consider this Trajan denarius from AD 101. On the reverse we see Providentia, Roman goddess of foresight, overlooking a globe (the world, the empire).Similarly, this Roman aureus of Hadrian from 117AD, when he became emperor, and when the Roman empire was at its most extensive, shows, on the reverse, Trajan, the previous emperor (on the right) passing a globe - the empire - to Hadrian who accepts it. This Hadrian sestertius (there were four of these brass coins to a denarius) tells the same story.This surely kills the notion that people thought the earth was flat. Several centuries earlier Aristotle had argued that the world was round saying. "the Earth is spherical". While in 240 BC, Greek astronomer Eratosthenes actually calculated the circumference of the earth, and accurately, by measuring the angles of shadows.Coin clipping and the debasement of moneyThe infamous debasement only began shortly after the Republic became Empire, and control of money passed from the Senate to the Emperor. It lasted several hundred years. By the first century AD, taxation and tribute only covered around 80% of the imperial budget. The shortfall was met by mining and the loot of newly conquered nations. But the empire was no longer expanding at the same rate, so this was becoming an increasingly risky strategy. Shortfalls, especially under extravagant emperors, became increasingly common. The solution to excess spending, as today, was not to rein it in, but to debase the currency. In AD64 Nero reduced both the amount of silver in a denarius (to 3.5grams) as well as the purity of the metal itself (to 93.5%). A few decades later, under Trajan, the Roman Empire reached its greatest extent. From then on, it receded. That meant the supply of loot from newly conquered territories also receded. By lowering the amount of silver in its coins, Rome could produce more coins and "stretch" its budget. Successive emperors followed Nero's strategy. As with boiling frogs and the debasement of currency today, the process was gradual. 100 years after Nero, around 150AD, the purity of silver had been reduced to 83%. By 250AD the silver purity was 50%. But then the debasement accelerated. By 275AD it was just 5%. As time progressed, the sleight of hand was exposed. By the time of Diocletian, who was emperor from 284 to 305AD, there was so little precious metal in the money, the emperor had to resort to price controls. It was under Diocletian that the last denarii were minted.The most important gold coin of Ancient Rome was the aureus, similar in size to the denarius, but containing roughly twice the weight of precious metal (gold is denser than silver). It would be a bit heavier than a 2p today. An aureus was 25 denarii, so the gold-silver ratio would have been about 1:12, the historical norm. Nero reduced the gold content to 7.3g (coincidentally perhaps the same weight as the sovereign of the British Empire). By 210AD the gold content had fallen to 6.3g. However, unlike the silver denarius, the aureus kept its near-100%, 24-karat purity.By the fourth century, the idea of obtaining an aureus for 25 denarii was long gone. In 301, one gold aureus was worth 833 denarii; barely a decade later, the same aureus was worth 4,350 denarii. In 337, Constantine, who had re-located the heart of the Empire to Constantinople, replaced the aureus with the solidus - about 4.5 grams of 24 karat gold. Initially, one solidus was worth 275,000 denarii, but by 356, one solidus was worth 4,600,000 denarii. Talk about inflation. (That last stat is from Wikipedia and it sounds dubious).However, in a breathtaking show of hypocrisy that even leaders today would struggle to pull off, the Roman authorities, despite the declining quality of the metal content of their denarius, refused to accept anything other than gold and silver in payment of taxes. Take in the good money, send out the bad.Of course, one key reason for the relentless debasement was a bloated Roman state that was incapable of living within its means. But another reason must be lack of raw material. As central Italy had little supply, the metal had to be obtained elsewhere and most of it came in the form of war booty and the subsequent tributes and taxes levied. No wonder Rome was constantly at war. That was its business model. But the expense of continual wars, without the corresponding payback of loot from the newly conquered, made the model unsustainable. The expansion ceased, but the spending didn't.Interested in buying gold to protect yourself in these uncertain times? My recommended bullion dealer is The Pure Gold Company, whether you are taking delivery or storing online. Premiums are low, quality of service is high. They deliver to the UK, US, Canada and Europe, or you can store your gold with them. More here. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe
This is the last of these pieces about gold in ancient history. I'm back from the Edinburgh Fringe now, and more regular market commentary will resume. Lots of exciting things happening on this Substack. If you missed them this week, check out Wednesday's piece on uranium, the coming supply squeeze and how to play this (almost) inevitable bull market. On Monday I covered bitcoin - in particular, how UK investors can get exposure via a traditional broker (and thus have it in their SIPP or ISA). And Friday I told the story of one of the maddest gigs I have ever done.Coming up this week: Dr John will be sharing his picks of the North American oil and gas plays. Plus together, with Dr John and Charlie Morris of Bytetree, I have been working on the the Do F All portfolio: a do-very-little portfolio for the hands-off investor, who wants to invest his or her money safely and well, without constantly having to monitor it. There'll be a podcast and a piece about that very soon.So look out for all of those. For now, your Sunday morning thought piece, a historical piece with many parallels to today: the Romans and the debasement of money. The Roman Empire is probably more famous for debasing its currency, than for its money itself. But for that debasement to have been so prolonged (it went on for hundreds of years) and, some might say, effective, it needed an established, widely recognised and credible money as a starting point. Here look at the rise and full of sound money in Ancient Rome. There are many parallels to today.The geology of central Italy is not particularly abundant in gold and silver, and it was only really after Rome began expanding beyond central Italy in the third century BC that it started using gold and silver. Commodity money tends to be determined by the resources available. Bronze (copper and tin) is abundant in the area, and bronze, in the form of weights - aes rude, often as heavy as 11oz (300g) - was the early currency of choice. As the Republic expanded, so did access to gold and silver, either from loot, tribute or mine supply, and so did these precious metals make their way into Roman money. The first silver denarius was minted in 211BC. Within 50 or 60 years Roman coinage was widespread across Italy. Much of the silver to mint the coins came from mines in Macedonia, which Rome now controlled. For the next 500 years this silver coin, containing about just over 1/8th of an ounce (4g) of silver - a little bit more than the weight of a 1p coin - would be the backbone currency of Rome. One denarius was exchangeable for ten asses (the aes rude evolved to become the as) - hence its name “of ten”, or tenner. It was 95-98% pure silver. To give you some kind of benchmark, sterling silver is only 92.5% pure. The purchasing power of a denarius would be more than the underlying metal value - ranging between 1.5 and 3 times the value. That's seigniorage for you.The denarius lives on today, especially in many Latin languages. The Italian word for money is “denaro”, “dinero” is Spanish, “dinheiro” is Portugese, “denar” is Slovenian. In many Arab nations, the currency is the dinar. The symbol for the English penny used to be ‘d' - as in 1d.Heads of emperors appeared on coins, and so, as a result, did their use as imperial propaganda. The more coins circulating around the ever-growing empire, spreading the message of Roman imperial might, the better.As a side note, consider this Trajan denarius from AD 101. On the reverse we see Providentia, Roman goddess of foresight, overlooking a globe (the world, the empire).Similarly, this Roman aureus of Hadrian from 117AD, when he became emperor, and when the Roman empire was at its most extensive, shows, on the reverse, Trajan, the previous emperor (on the right) passing a globe - the empire - to Hadrian who accepts it. This Hadrian sestertius (there were four of these brass coins to a denarius) tells the same story.This surely kills the notion that people thought the earth was flat. Several centuries earlier Aristotle had argued that the world was round saying. "the Earth is spherical". While in 240 BC, Greek astronomer Eratosthenes actually calculated the circumference of the earth, and accurately, by measuring the angles of shadows.Coin clipping and the debasement of moneyThe infamous debasement only began shortly after the Republic became Empire, and control of money passed from the Senate to the Emperor. It lasted several hundred years. By the first century AD, taxation and tribute only covered around 80% of the imperial budget. The shortfall was met by mining and the loot of newly conquered nations. But the empire was no longer expanding at the same rate, so this was becoming an increasingly risky strategy. Shortfalls, especially under extravagant emperors, became increasingly common. The solution to excess spending, as today, was not to rein it in, but to debase the currency. In AD64 Nero reduced both the amount of silver in a denarius (to 3.5grams) as well as the purity of the metal itself (to 93.5%). A few decades later, under Trajan, the Roman Empire reached its greatest extent. From then on, it receded. That meant the supply of loot from newly conquered territories also receded. By lowering the amount of silver in its coins, Rome could produce more coins and "stretch" its budget. Successive emperors followed Nero's strategy. As with boiling frogs and the debasement of currency today, the process was gradual. 100 years after Nero, around 150AD, the purity of silver had been reduced to 83%. By 250AD the silver purity was 50%. But then the debasement accelerated. By 275AD it was just 5%. As time progressed, the sleight of hand was exposed. By the time of Diocletian, who was emperor from 284 to 305AD, there was so little precious metal in the money, the emperor had to resort to price controls. It was under Diocletian that the last denarii were minted.The most important gold coin of Ancient Rome was the aureus, similar in size to the denarius, but containing roughly twice the weight of precious metal (gold is denser than silver). It would be a bit heavier than a 2p today. An aureus was 25 denarii, so the gold-silver ratio would have been about 1:12, the historical norm. Nero reduced the gold content to 7.3g (coincidentally perhaps the same weight as the sovereign of the British Empire). By 210AD the gold content had fallen to 6.3g. However, unlike the silver denarius, the aureus kept its near-100%, 24-karat purity.By the fourth century, the idea of obtaining an aureus for 25 denarii was long gone. In 301, one gold aureus was worth 833 denarii; barely a decade later, the same aureus was worth 4,350 denarii. In 337, Constantine, who had re-located the heart of the Empire to Constantinople, replaced the aureus with the solidus - about 4.5 grams of 24 karat gold. Initially, one solidus was worth 275,000 denarii, but by 356, one solidus was worth 4,600,000 denarii. Talk about inflation. (That last stat is from Wikipedia and it sounds dubious).However, in a breathtaking show of hypocrisy that even leaders today would struggle to pull off, the Roman authorities, despite the declining quality of the metal content of their denarius, refused to accept anything other than gold and silver in payment of taxes. Take in the good money, send out the bad.Of course, one key reason for the relentless debasement was a bloated Roman state that was incapable of living within its means. But another reason must be lack of raw material. As central Italy had little supply, the metal had to be obtained elsewhere and most of it came in the form of war booty and the subsequent tributes and taxes levied. No wonder Rome was constantly at war. That was its business model. But the expense of continual wars, without the corresponding payback of loot from the newly conquered, made the model unsustainable. The expansion ceased, but the spending didn't.Interested in buying gold to protect yourself in these uncertain times? My recommended bullion dealer is The Pure Gold Company, whether you are taking delivery or storing online. Premiums are low, quality of service is high. They deliver to the UK, US, Canada and Europe, or you can store your gold with them. More here. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe
The recent weak data and other red flags coming from Europe and the US suggests a global equity correction is nigh, says Charles Morris, CIO of ByteTree.com. IG financial analyst Angeline Ong also asks Morris why he's exited all his AI-related investments. Any opinion, news, research, analysis, or other information does not constitute investment or trading advice. Follow us on Twitter, Instagram, and YouTube *Your capital is at risk. 70% of retail CFD accounts lose money*
Before we begin today's piece, a quick reminder for those who might find themselves in the Scottish neck of the woods this August, I am doing a show at the Edinburgh Fringe all about gold. It's from August 4th to 20th at 2pm. Please come if you are in town- you can get tickets here.Plus an added bit of history: it takes place in the room in which Adam Smith wrote Wealth of Nations. Hopefully, I will see you there. So, the pound …An alert just went off in my calendar: “start looking to short the pound”, it says. Why would one short strength?Look at the pound these last few months, it has been very strong, very strong indeed. You wouldn't know it to listen to many financial commentators, who so often seem consumed with national self-loathing, but against a basket of foreign currencies, the pound actually flirting with six-year highs (it's got a bit further to go against the euro and the US dollar, though, largely, we tend to think of pound-dollar, aka cable, as the defining measure). Charlie Morris of Bytetree argues that the pound has become the carry trade. (When you borrow at a low-interest rate in one currency and invest in another currency at a higher rate of return).We are in an equities bull market of sorts, and the pound, as the currency of a nation geared to finance, tends to be strong when financial assets are strong. During times of financial crisis, it is much weaker.Whatever the explanation for recent pound strength, I set the alert some three or four years ago - before the strength kicked in. What was I thinking?It's based on a cycle I've identified. As far as I know, I'm the first to observe this cycle, so, with Brand Frisby in mind, I've named it after myself: Frisby's Flux - the eight year cycle in the pound. Before I explain the cycle, let me issue a disclaimer. As outlined last week, it's easy to look back at history, find some arbitrary pattern and declare it a cycle. Real life in real time is often a very different matter. Nevertheless, cycles can help frame where we are in the grand scheme of things. My observation is that every eight years, the pound seems to crash. We start in 1976, the year of the IMF (International Monetary Fund) crisis. At one point, inflation reached 24%. The Labour government borrowed $3.9bn, at the time the largest loan ever requested. From high to low, sterling lost around 40%, reaching $1.60.But it recovered. By the early 1980s sterling was back above $2.40.Then came the next bear phase, in which the pound would drop by more than 55% and reach an all-time low against the dollar – $1.04. This was the era of the Falklands War and then the miners' strike. The low came shortly after 1984, in early 1985.On the other side of the trade, the US dollar was showing extraordinary strength – so much so that France, Germany, Japan, the US and the UK eventually colluded to depreciate it. This was the Plaza Accord of 1985. Again sterling would recover – this time to $2.Eight years on, in 1992, sterling hit another significant low. This was Black Wednesday, when the Bank of England took the UK out of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). It fell from $2 to $1.40 – a 30% loss. The killing that George Soros made selling the pound sealed his reputation.Eight years later, around 2000, as the dotcom bubble collapsed, so the pound lost 20% of its value. (What did I say about the pound being geared to finance?). But again it recovered. By 2007 it was above $2.10. Can you imagine? The pound above two bucks only 16 years ago.Then we got the financial crisis of 2008 and, yup, the pound lost 35%, hitting a low of $1.36.The next low came in 2016 with Brexit then the infamous Flash Crash of 2016, shortly after Theresa May's speech at the Conservative Party Conference. Having been above $1.70 at one point earlier in this cycle, it hit a low of $1.14, according to some measures. The overall drop from high to low was almost 35%.The subsequent bull market was probably the limpest in living memory. The 2016 low was retested in the Corona panic of 2020, but then we get a good rally to $1.42 by summer 2021.After that, with so much political upheaval, the pound turned down. When the Bank of England broadcast that it would be selling the UK gilts it had printed the money to buy during Quantitative Easing, and Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng then gave us his low-tax budget, panic hit the markets and the pound hit an intraday low of a $1.04 (the same low it hit in 1985). Since then we have had quite some rally.Here's the illustration of everything I've just described. Don't you love charts? They get to the point much quicker.Did the 8-year cycle low come early? Was that it in 2022? Or can we expect it some time in 2024?When I first wrote about Frisby's Flux, as long ago as 2017 it may have been, I suggested that we should be looking for a high some time in 2022-2023, as an opportunity to go short. Hence why I put that notification in my calendar. This current rally might be providing us with just one such opportunity. Question is: how long does the rally go on?On a long-term basis, the pound at $1.28 is not exactly hugely overvalued. On a Big Mac Index basis (which measures relative currency value around the world based on the cost of a Big Mac) we are not far off fair value. As I say, cycles are easy to identify in the rear view mirror. They are much harder to trade in real time. Perhaps the trigger will be yet more dysfunctional politics. Perhaps the Bank of England will fall even further behind the inflation curve and rates will spike, triggering some kind of crisis, such as we saw in the lead up to 1992. Perhaps equities more generally turn bearish. We can only guess what the trigger might be. But Frisby's Flux, whatever it is worth, and that might be very little, is suggesting there might soon be an opportunity to go short the pound looking for an eventual low in 2024.Interested in buying gold to protect yourself in these uncertain times? My current recommended bullion dealer in the UK is The Pure Gold Company, whether you are taking delivery or storing online. Premiums are low, quality of service is high. They deliver to the UK, US, Canada and Europe, or you can store your gold with them.The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe
Before we begin today's piece, a quick reminder for those who might find themselves in the Scottish neck of the woods this August, I am doing a show at the Edinburgh Fringe all about gold. It's from August 4th to 20th at 2pm. Please come if you are in town- you can get tickets here.Plus an added bit of history: it takes place in the room in which Adam Smith wrote Wealth of Nations. Hopefully, I will see you there. So, the pound …An alert just went off in my calendar: “start looking to short the pound”, it says. Why would one short strength?Look at the pound these last few months, it has been very strong, very strong indeed. You wouldn't know it to listen to many financial commentators, who so often seem consumed with national self-loathing, but against a basket of foreign currencies, the pound actually flirting with six-year highs (it's got a bit further to go against the euro and the US dollar, though, largely, we tend to think of pound-dollar, aka cable, as the defining measure). Charlie Morris of Bytetree argues that the pound has become the carry trade. (When you borrow at a low-interest rate in one currency and invest in another currency at a higher rate of return).We are in an equities bull market of sorts, and the pound, as the currency of a nation geared to finance, tends to be strong when financial assets are strong. During times of financial crisis, it is much weaker.Whatever the explanation for recent pound strength, I set the alert some three or four years ago - before the strength kicked in. What was I thinking?It's based on a cycle I've identified. As far as I know, I'm the first to observe this cycle, so, with Brand Frisby in mind, I've named it after myself: Frisby's Flux - the eight year cycle in the pound. Before I explain the cycle, let me issue a disclaimer. As outlined last week, it's easy to look back at history, find some arbitrary pattern and declare it a cycle. Real life in real time is often a very different matter. Nevertheless, cycles can help frame where we are in the grand scheme of things. My observation is that every eight years, the pound seems to crash. We start in 1976, the year of the IMF (International Monetary Fund) crisis. At one point, inflation reached 24%. The Labour government borrowed $3.9bn, at the time the largest loan ever requested. From high to low, sterling lost around 40%, reaching $1.60.But it recovered. By the early 1980s sterling was back above $2.40.Then came the next bear phase, in which the pound would drop by more than 55% and reach an all-time low against the dollar – $1.04. This was the era of the Falklands War and then the miners' strike. The low came shortly after 1984, in early 1985.On the other side of the trade, the US dollar was showing extraordinary strength – so much so that France, Germany, Japan, the US and the UK eventually colluded to depreciate it. This was the Plaza Accord of 1985. Again sterling would recover – this time to $2.Eight years on, in 1992, sterling hit another significant low. This was Black Wednesday, when the Bank of England took the UK out of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). It fell from $2 to $1.40 – a 30% loss. The killing that George Soros made selling the pound sealed his reputation.Eight years later, around 2000, as the dotcom bubble collapsed, so the pound lost 20% of its value. (What did I say about the pound being geared to finance?). But again it recovered. By 2007 it was above $2.10. Can you imagine? The pound above two bucks only 16 years ago.Then we got the financial crisis of 2008 and, yup, the pound lost 35%, hitting a low of $1.36.The next low came in 2016 with Brexit then the infamous Flash Crash of 2016, shortly after Theresa May's speech at the Conservative Party Conference. Having been above $1.70 at one point earlier in this cycle, it hit a low of $1.14, according to some measures. The overall drop from high to low was almost 35%.The subsequent bull market was probably the limpest in living memory. The 2016 low was retested in the Corona panic of 2020, but then we get a good rally to $1.42 by summer 2021.After that, with so much political upheaval, the pound turned down. When the Bank of England broadcast that it would be selling the UK gilts it had printed the money to buy during Quantitative Easing, and Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng then gave us his low-tax budget, panic hit the markets and the pound hit an intraday low of a $1.04 (the same low it hit in 1985). Since then we have had quite some rally.Here's the illustration of everything I've just described. Don't you love charts? They get to the point much quicker.Did the 8-year cycle low come early? Was that it in 2022? Or can we expect it some time in 2024?When I first wrote about Frisby's Flux, as long ago as 2017 it may have been, I suggested that we should be looking for a high some time in 2022-2023, as an opportunity to go short. Hence why I put that notification in my calendar. This current rally might be providing us with just one such opportunity. Question is: how long does the rally go on?On a long-term basis, the pound at $1.28 is not exactly hugely overvalued. On a Big Mac Index basis (which measures relative currency value around the world based on the cost of a Big Mac) we are not far off fair value. As I say, cycles are easy to identify in the rear view mirror. They are much harder to trade in real time. Perhaps the trigger will be yet more dysfunctional politics. Perhaps the Bank of England will fall even further behind the inflation curve and rates will spike, triggering some kind of crisis, such as we saw in the lead up to 1992. Perhaps equities more generally turn bearish. We can only guess what the trigger might be. But Frisby's Flux, whatever it is worth, and that might be very little, is suggesting there might soon be an opportunity to go short the pound looking for an eventual low in 2024.Interested in buying gold to protect yourself in these uncertain times? My current recommended bullion dealer in the UK is The Pure Gold Company, whether you are taking delivery or storing online. Premiums are low, quality of service is high. They deliver to the UK, US, Canada and Europe, or you can store your gold with them.The Flying Frisby is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.theflyingfrisby.com/subscribe
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.What does it take for a broad asset allocation shift to occur, and how do gold and Bitcoin fit into the ever-changing financial landscape? Join me, Michael Gayed, as I sit down with ByteTree founder and multi-asset expert Charlie Morris for a fascinating conversation on these alternative assets and our evolving world of investment.We'll explore the performance of gold and Bitcoin, their low negative correlation, and the potential benefits of allocating both assets in a portfolio. Charlie shares his insights on why institutional investors have been slow to embrace Bitcoin, but how private investors can create opportunities in alternative investments. We'll also discuss market trends, safe haven definitions, and the challenges faced by these assets in the current market environment.Finally, we examine the implications of regulation on Bitcoin's growth and its place in the tech sector. Charlie reveals how Bitcoin faces competition in technology and has outperformed both the Nasdaq and gold in the last 30 years. We'll also dive into the importance of network effects, the risks of investing in Bitcoin miners, and the future of Bitcoin in the face of regulatory challenges. Don't miss this insightful discussion to expand your understanding of gold and Bitcoin's role in the world of investment.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.See disclosures for The Lead-Lag Report here: https://www.leadlagreport.com/static/termsandconditionsFoodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:
With global uncertainty has come a renewed interest in the precious metal and we discuss the gold outlook with four companies in this space. On 24 May 2023, Master Investor hosted four gold companies with exciting projects in development to help keep our investors ahead of the curve. Participants: Charlie Morris, Founder and Chief Investment Officer at ByteTree.com Alexander Scanlon, CEO of Barton Gold Harry Anagnostaras-Adams, Executive Chairman of KEFI Gold + Copper Natalie Bellis, CEO of Seventy Ninth Group Mark Child, CEO of Condor Gold For more investment and economics analysis plus inspiration please visit our website masterinvestor.co.uk.
Bitcoin and Gold have recently suffered along with everything else, but some say the signs are that we've seen the worst. US$ strength looks exhausted, which is a relief for risk assets, but can we be complacent about the inflationary outlook?Jacob Lindberg from Vinter and Charlie Morris from ByteTree Asset Management discuss the newly released BOLD Chart Pack, which is updated and distributed monthly. In it, they look at the drivers behind ByteTree's BOLD1 Index, which combines gold and bitcoin on a risk-weighted basis. The pack includes BOLD's long- and short-term performance against other asset classes, as well as ByteTree's fair valuations. Also included are charts that highlight the major macro issues of the day. Video of this episode is available at vinter.co/bytetree
Welcome to this week's Digital Bytes which has an analysis on the following topics: Collapse of crypto price, reality or a buying opportunity - whether or not to ‘buy the dip' cannot be answered in one word. There are many factors one needs to consider; potentially spreading the buying of volatile assets such as cryptocurrencies over a period of time to smooth out the price you pay can prove to be a lower-risk way to gain exposure. Cryptocurrencies remain a very risky volatile asset class and knowing when to buy and sell is often a matter of luck, not judgement, as sentiment often tends to be the biggest driver of prices. Can Gresham's Law help predict which crypto to buy? - there is a rather obscure economic law called “Gresham's Law” and how it applies to blockchain networks. Simply put, Gresham's Law states that “bad money drives out good”. Whilst this was previously used to explain the way in which those coins with high commodity value (value of the metal) would be taken out of circulation, a modified version of this law can be applied to explain how high value utility tokens will become increasingly scarce over time and how, conversely, lower value tokens will predominate as a medium of exchange. Is pay to play really an effective business model? - the play-to-earn business model, a recent innovation in the gaming industry, gives gamers ownership over in-game assets and allows them to increase their value by actively playing the game. It avails users the opportunity to not only add value but also reap benefits. Do not choose between gold and Bitcoin: own both - you don't need much Bitcoin to make money when things are going well, but you do need quite a lot of gold. Moreover, it is highly unlikely that gold and Bitcoin will both be overvalued at the same time since they are naturally counter-cyclical. There is no need to choose between gold and Bitcoin, but to combine them for their strengths and weaknesses. This combination, on a risk-weighted basis, is a powerful idea and is the liquid alternative offering exposure to gold and Bitcoin. We are intending to move our weekly mailings to Substack over the next couple of weeks and will be loading our articles on Substack. All current subscribers will be moved to Substack. This link shows how it will appear in Substack - https://digitalbytes.substack.com/p/29th-june-2022-digital-bytes-7a6?sd=pf --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/jtylee/message
On this episode of Tech Weekly, City A.M. reporters Lily Russell-Jones and Charlie Conchie chat to Charlie Morris, CIO and founder of ByteTree, for a conversion about the war in Ukraine; what role that Bitcoin and gold are currently playing; and whether Bitcoin truly is a safe-haven asset. Charlie Conchie also talks to Nasson about how fintech companies have responded to the current crisis. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
// Coinscrum Institutional Web Summit 2021 //Guests Ajit Tripathi, Aave John Wu, Ava Labs Richard Crook, DASL Ankush Jain, Aaro Capital //Moderator - Joyce Lai, New Territories //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
// Coinscrum Institutional Web Summit 2021 //Guests Charles Kerrigan, CMS Teana Baker-Taylor, The Chamber of Digital Commerce Mary Beth Buchanan, Merkle Science Marc Taverner, INATBA //Moderator - Ian Taylor, CryptoUK //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
// Coinscrum Institutional Web Summit 2021 //Guests Luke Dorney, Zodia Swen Werner, State Street Lauren Kiley, Pure Digital Markets Max Boonen, B2C2 //Moderator - Matthew Lempriere, BSO //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
// Coinscrum Institutional Web Summit 2021 //Guests Rupertus Rothenhaeuser, Crypto Finance AG Henry Durrant, Reactive Markets Duncan Trenholme, TP ICAP Leon Marshall, Genesis //Moderator - Eva Lawrence, Arcane Crypto //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP73 Segment - OnChain Reaction with Tom Salter from ByteTree //Segment Overview:: Tom joins to review Bitcoin's price rally, along with the aftermath of Chinas's crackdown in July and the explaination behind the market's current bullish picture. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP72 Segment - Friday Market Wrap with Nick Mancini, Chief Community Officer, Trade the Chain //Segment Overview:: Nick joins us to wrap up the week, chew on the hottest news and take a look at the sentiment and technical charts for ETH and BTC. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
// Coinscrum Institutional Web Summit 2021 //Guests - Chris Tyrer, Fidelity Digitial Assets //Moderator - Lawrence Wintermeyer, Global Digital Finance //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
In this episode of Daily Crypto we discuss the recent behavior of Bitcoin, why it's peak then dropped, and why we might be on the verge of a historic bull run, plus one skeptic's thoughts of Bitcoin's true price, how miners are getting around graphic cards low hash rates, and a master art forger who is entering the NFT world. Episode resources: Bitcoin Miners Send An Unusual Amount Of Coins To Exchanges Bitcoin bull run: analysts predict record rally to end 2021 Bitcoin price spikes 10% and surpasses $ 55,000 thanks to billionaire George Soros Bitcoin market capitalisation hits $1 trillion surpassing Facebook, Tesla Bitcoin is 'overpriced' as it is worth no more than $28k, says ByteTree's investment chief Crypto miners have busted through Nvidia's LHR graphics cards yet again Infamous German art forger Wolfgang Beltracchi is selling recreations of the world's most valuable painting as a collection of NFTs Blockchains vie for NFT market, but Ethereum still dominates — Report See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/cryptodailyshow/message
//Coinscrum Markets EP71 Segment - Market Spotlight with Sudhu Arumugam, Co-Founder, CoinFlex //Segment Overview:: In this interview we'll be diving into explaining the present state of crypto derivatives and outline the various forms of crypto derivatives available in the market today and how this trend is looking out in the near future. To join us in this important and ever evolving topic is Sudhu Arumugam, co-founder of CoinFlex, the world's first physically delivered futures exchange. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP71 Segment - OnChain Reaction with Tom Salter from ByteTree //Segment Overview:: Tom joins to review Bitcoin's price rally, along with the aftermath of Chinas's crackdown in July and the explaination behind the market's current bullish picture. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP70 Segment - DeFi Convention with Sidney Powell, Co-founder & CEO, Maple Finance //Segment Overview:: Crypto lending is a growing trend among institutional investors, turning heads since 2019 and going strong further into 2021. This fast-growing sector attracts investors for the high returns that surpass banks' traditional options, with institutional players deploying billions of dollars in this market in 2020 alone. How is this boom in crypto lending developing at an institutional level? Here to share his thoughts on this very interesting trend is Sidney Powell, Co-founder and CEO at Maple Finance. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP70 Segment - Friday Market Wrap with Nick Mancini, Chief Community Officer, Trade the Chain //Segment Overview:: Nick joins us to wrap up the week, chew on the hottest news and take a look at the sentiment and technical charts for ETH and BTC. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP70 Segment - Crypto RFQ with Austin Reid, Chief of Staff, FalconX //Segment Overview:: What are the big institutions investing in this month? In this market analysis Austin joins Paul to dive deep into institutional diversification. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP69 Segment - Friday Market Wrap with Nick Mancini, Chief Community Officer, Trade the Chain //Segment Overview:: Nick joins us to wrap up the week, chew on the hottest news and take a look at the sentiment and technical charts for ETH and BTC. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP69 Segment - DeFi Convention with Pete Woodard, Head of Institutional Growth, Alpaca Finance //Segment Overview:: Yield farming is a rising technique for profit in the cryptocurrency industry. More DeFi services are being directed to facilitate this practice, with the concept of leveraged yield farming starting to take over for new and experienced investors in the crypto space. Here to share thoughts on the rising practice of leveraged yield farming and how it will look moving forward, is Pete Woodard, Head of Institutional Growth, Alpaca Finance in a conversation with Paul Gordon. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP69 Segment - OnChain Reaction with Tom Salter from ByteTree //Segment Overview:: Tom joins to review the interesting picture from mining and institutional activity, along with an analysis of the latest market fluctuations. Also, let's take a look at the "curse" of leverage returns. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP68 Segment - Friday Market Wrap with Nick Mancini, Chief Community Officer, Trade the Chain //Segment Overview:: Nick joins us to wrap up the week, chew on the hottest news and take a look at the sentiment and technical charts for ETH and BTC. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP68 Segment - Governance & Guardrails segment with Perianne Boring, Founder & President, Chamber of Digital Commerce //Segment Overview:: In this past year, we've seen a growing interest from regulators towards cryptocurrencies, but inclusion of tax reporting requirements for crypto as a payfor within the US infrastructure bill really raised the bar of scrutiny this past month. But crypto is already taxed and reporting requirements already exist. To review the impact of this upcoming regulation, Perianne Boring, founder and president of the Chamber of Digital Commerce joined Teana Baker-Taylor in this insightful interview. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP68 Segment - Crypto RFQ with Anton Golub, Founder, Flovtec //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP67 Segment - Friday Market Wrap with Nick Mancini, Chief Community Officer, Trade the Chain //Segment Overview:: Nick joins us to wrap up the week, chew on the hottest news and take a look at the sentiment and technical charts for ETH and BTC. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP67 Segment - Market Spotlight with Cesar Cerrudo from CTO IOActive Labs //Segment Overview:: What exactly happened in the biggest hack in DeFi? Can it happen again? As the ecosystem grows, its market has also experienced a huge pump with a current market capitalization of over $121 billion. However, this growth has also shined a light on cybersecurity issues. In the last month, 3 major cyberattacks have happened to DeFi services, including the biggest hack in crypto so far to the exchange Polygon. In this interview, Cesar Cerrudo, CTO of IOActive Labs joins host Paul Gordon to analyze the reasons and impact of security hacks in DeFi. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP67 Segment - OnChain Reaction with Tom Salter from ByteTree //Segment Overview:: Tom joins to review Bitcoin's price rally, along with the aftermath of Chinas's crackdown in July and the explaination behind the market's current bullish picture. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP66 Segment - Friday Market Wrap with Nick Mancini, Chief Community Officer, Trade the Chain //Segment Overview:: Nick joins us to wrap up the week, chew on the hottest news and take a look at the sentiment and technical charts for ETH and BTC. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP66 Segment - Crypto RFQ with Anton Golub, Founder, Flovtec //Segment Overview:: Anton joined Teana Baker-Taylor to review the last week in the crypto markets. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
We sit down with Charlie Morris of ByteTree Asset Management to discuss all things Bitcoin/crypto and their unique Gold & Bitcoin fund strategy aptly named Bold. A must listen for crypto believers and non-believers alike.
//Coinscrum Markets EP65 Segment - Friday Market Wrap with Nick Mancini, Chief Community Officer, Trade the Chain //Segment Overview:: Nick joins us to wrap up the week, chew on the hottest news and take a look at the sentiment and technical charts for ETH and BTC. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP65 Segment - Crypto RFQ with Patrick Heusser, Head of Trading, Crypto Broker AG //Segment Overview:: Patrick joined Paul Gordon to review the last week in the crypto markets. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Earn up to 8% interest with Blockfi - http://www.coinscrum.com/blockfi-earn-interest/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP64 Segment - OnChain Reaction with Tom Salter from ByteTree //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP63 Segment - Friday Market Wrap with Nick Mancini, Chief Community Officer, Trade the Chain //Segment Overview:: Nick joins us to wrap up the week, chew on the hottest news and take a look at the sentiment and technical charts for ETH and BTC. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP63 Segment - Market Spotlight with Asen Kostadinov, Head of Strategy, Copper & Chris Aruliah, Chief Product Officer, BCB Group //Segment Overview:: During 2020 and in most recent times institutions have been each time more drawn towards the possibilities of the cryptocurrency markets and blockchain development. From its retail beginnings, we take a look at how crypto market infrastructure is maturing and catching up to the needs of institutions and regulators for adaptability and further adoption. Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Earn up to 8% interest with Blockfi - http://www.coinscrum.com/blockfi-earn-interest/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
In this episode, Jacob Lindberg speaks with Charlie Erith, the CEO of ByteTree Asset Management. Erith spent 25 years in equity sales, hedge funds, and long-only fund management before joining ByteTree. They both talk about being a value investor in crypto, viewing bitcoin as a network, having a clear investment thesis, and which skills you as a traditional asset manager can bring into crypto. They also talk about ByteTree's current products including newsletters, a private fund, and an exchange-traded product tracking a bitcoin and gold index.
//Coinscrum Markets EP62 Segment - Friday Market Wrap with Nick Mancini, Chief Community Officer, Trade the Chain //Segment Overview:: Nick joins us to wrap up the week, chew on the hottest news and take a look at the sentiment and technical charts for ETH and BTC. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Earn up to 8% interest with Blockfi - http://www.coinscrum.com/blockfi-earn-interest/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
//Coinscrum Markets EP62 Segment - Market Spotlight with Francesco Renzi, CEO SuperFluid //Segment Overview:: Superfluid is a real-time settlement protocol built for DeFi. Using the Ethereum blockchain, this startup is focused on creating the first capital efficient gross settlement solution. This proposal highlights the flaws of today's money transfer system across different types of money, including digital currencies. Francesco joined Paul Gordon to tell us more about how does this solution benefit business and users across the DeFi ecosystem. //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Earn up to 8% interest with Blockfi - http://www.coinscrum.com/blockfi-earn-interest/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
Le bitcoin a repris des couleurs ce lundi 26 juillet. Au cours d'échanges asiatiques, la cryptomonnaie a grimpé de près de 15% en moins d'une heure et demi pour atteindre plus de 39500 dollars avant de reperdre une partie de ses gains. Il a emmené dans son sillage d'autres monnaies virtuelles comme l'Ethereum ou le Dogecoin. Aucune information ce lundi, n'expliquait vraiment cette montée fulgurante du Bitcoin. Cette nouvelle envolée serait plutôt liée à une série de signes positifs envoyés ces derniers jours. Un site internet avait annoncé qu'Amazon accepterait bientôt les paiements en Bitcoin, information depuis démentie par l'entreprise même si elle a confirmé son intérêt pour ce secteur. Par ailleurs, la semaine dernière, à l'occasion, du « B word », un évènement organisé par le fonds d'investissement américain Ark Invest autour du Bitcoin, plusieurs grands patrons ont réaffirmé leur intérêt pour les monnaies virtuelles. Parmi eux, Jack Dorsey, à la tête de Twitter, et Elon Musk, le patron de Tesla. Or, le milliardaire excentrique fait la pluie et le beau temps sur le cours du Bitcoin. Après avoir annoncé en mai, que Tesla n'accepterait plus les paiements en Bitcoin en raison de son impact environnemental, il a finalement dit que la marque allait « très probablement » les accepter à nouveau. Le patron de Tesla serait moins inquiet en raison du durcissement des législations chinoises contre les « mineurs ». Les serveurs qui génèrent les Bitcoins utilisent beaucoup d'énergie et en Chine, cette électricité provient en partie du charbon. Ces « mines » sont de moins en moins concentrées en Chine. Avant même le dernier tour de vis de Pékin, la part de marché de l'empire du milieu s'était déjà effondrée. Mais Elon Musk ne fait pas tout ! « Le prix effervescent du bitcoin de ce matin a été exagéré par un nombre important de paris à la baisse qui ont été perdus », explique sur Twitter James Bennett, du cabinet d'analyse de cryptomonnaies ByteTree. En clair, une hausse modérée a poussé des investisseurs qui avaient pariés à la baisse à liquider leur position, pour ne pas prendre le risque de perdre plus d'argent. Monnaies numériques institutionnelles Les monnaies numériques suscitent aussi l'enthousiasme des banques centrales. Une soixantaine de juridictions planchent sur la création de leur propre monnaie virtuelle ou sont déjà en phase d'expérimentation, selon la Banque des règlements internationaux (BRI). Pour l'instant, cette course à la cryptomonnaie existe surtout sur le papier. Seules les Bahamas ont officiellement une monnaie numérique nationale. Mais d'autres ont déjà bien avancé sur le projet. C'est le cas de la Chine. Elle développe le yuan numérique : un moyen de paiement par smartphone. Les essais menés depuis plusieurs mois localement sont pratiquement terminés. Des habitants de Shanghai par exemple ont reçu des yuans sur leur téléphone à utiliser dans certains commerces. Plus de 5 milliards de dollars de transactions ont déjà été réalisées. Officiellement, pas de calendrier pour son déploiement, mais l'e-yuan pourrait faire ses débuts en 2022 à l'occasion des JO d'hiver de Pékin. D'autres projets ont été annoncés récemment, par les Émirats arabes Unis ou encore par la Banque centrale européenne. L'Institution de Francfort a indiqué la semaine dernière qu'elle lançait un projet pilote. L'euro numérique pourrait être stocké sur des comptes que l'on pourrait ouvrir directement auprès de la Banque centrale actuellement seules les banques peuvent le faire. Mais, l'euro numérique ce n'est pas pour demain et sans doute pas avant 2025 ou 2026. D'autant que si la France et l'Allemagne y sont favorables, elles souhaitent un accord politique et qu'il faudra des changements législatifs. Influence De l'engouement donc et également beaucoup de défiance. C'est même précisément pour cela que certaines institutions se lancent dans l'aventure. C'est le cas de la Banque centrale européenne. La BCE craint que la multiplication de ces monnaies qu'elles soient privées ou nationales n'affaiblisse à terme l'influence de l'euro. Et puis, les cryptomonnaies privées, décentralisées, séduisent certains investisseurs, mais beaucoup moins les autorités, notamment car elles permettent de passer plus facilement sous les radars. Les cryptomonnaies ont été prises en compte dans le plan de Bruxelles pour lutter contre le blanchiment et le financement du terrorisme. L'UE veut assurer la traçabilité des transferts financiers en bitcoin. La Chine a interdit les cryptomonnaies parce qu'elles ne sont pas régulées par des institutions financières et sont sujettes à la spéculation. Ce mois-ci, la banque centrale chinoise a même fermé une société de logiciels soupçonnée d'être impliquée dans des transactions en cryptomonnaies. ► À écouter aussi : Le bitcoin: une révolution monétaire est-elle en marche?
//Coinscrum Markets EP62 Segment - OnChain Reaction with James Bennett from ByteTree //Read on Coinscrum Website www.coinscrum.com or watch the video version on our Youtube Channel. //Follow our Social Media:: www.linkedin.com/company/coinscrum www.twitter.com/coinscrum www.facebook.com/Coinscrum //Join our Facebook Community:: https://www.facebook.com/groups/Coinscrum //Our sponsors:: Buy & HODL BTC/ETH/LTC/XRP on Luno - http://www.coinscrum.com/luno-exchange/ Earn up to 8% interest with Blockfi - http://www.coinscrum.com/blockfi-earn-interest/ Analyse on-chain data at ByteTree - http://www.coinscrum.com/bytetree-terminal/ The world's most popular way to buy, sell, and trade crypto - https://www.blockchain.com/
Welcome to the ninth episode of the Bonner Private Research Podcast. I'm joined by Charlie Morris, founder and chairman of ByteTree.com, an ambitious blockchain 2.0 software project to provide real-time economic statistics and data from blockchains. Today we chat about all things crypto, what he expects for the markets at large in 2021 and beyond, and just how he came to find himself heading one of Britain's oldest, most revered financial publications, the Fleet Street Letter. Bullet Points 00:50 - 2014 and cryptos 03:24 - Introducing Charlie Morris 06:49 - Finding out about Bitcoin 09:00 - ByteTree: the professional tool for valuing and understanding Bitcoin 09:40 - The biggest change in regards to the attitude of professionals towards cryptocurrencies 11:28 - The UK's regulator: being pretty unfriendly to the industry 12:00 - Why Bitcoin is inherently a good idea 15:57 - Do alt coins pose a threat to fiat hegemony? 19:30 - Assets vs money / Gold vs Bitcoin 26:26 - What network indicators to look at: Supply and Demand School arguments for Bitcoin's price fluctuations 32:04 - Why has Bitcoin not pulled along the alt-coins as it did in previous bull runs? 35:56 - The Government's response to COVID 40:05 - What Charlie does for a living and how his analysis can help individual investors 44:54 - Dow 50,000 or Bitcoin 50,000 first? Or neither?