Podcast appearances and mentions of michael gayed

Michael Gayed of FKMT shares his insights on the launch of his firm's ETF focused on deregulation. Gayed explains that the fund aims to capitalize on companies benefiting from shifts in the regulatory environment, citing Uranium Energy Corp (UEC) as a key example. He also discusses the fund's exposure to Bitcoin and gold.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

The financial world stands at a critical juncture as Treasury yields approach 18-year highs and markets wrestle with conflicting economic signals. In this riveting conversation between macro strategists Jim Bianco and Jay Hatfield, hosted by Michael Gayed, we explore the counterintuitive relationship between Fed policy and market reactions that has left many investors scratching their heads.When the Fed cut rates last September, yields went up. This paradox forms the backdrop for a fascinating debate about whether higher rates might actually be the cure for higher rates. Hatfield advances his "Hopfield Rule"—the observation that housing starts falling below 1.1 million units have preceded 11 of 12 post-WWII recessions—suggesting we may be closer to economic trouble than many realize. Meanwhile, a 20% drop in oil prices this year has created what Hatfield calls "stag-deflation" rather than the stagflation many fear.The conversation takes a surprising turn when examining market influences. Bianco reveals that retail investors purchased $4.1 billion worth of stocks in just four hours following the Moody's downgrade, effectively stabilizing the market. This "do-it-yourself" investor revolution has fundamentally changed market dynamics, with retail traders wielding unprecedented influence despite focusing on just a handful of popular stocks and ETFs.Both experts offer nuanced perspectives on tariffs, inflation expectations, and the global bond sell-off. While the immediate outlook suggests continued volatility, they highlight that today's fixed income market structure offers significantly more favorable characteristics than during the initial rate hiking cycle of 2022-2023.Whether you're concerned about spiking Treasury yields, curious about the impact of retail traders, or trying to position your portfolio for what comes next, this discussion provides crucial insights from two of the sharpest minds in macro investing. Subscribe for more illuminating conversations that help you navigate these complex market conditions.With ChatDOC, instantly analyze professional documents using AI — featuring word-level citations, chart/formula breakdowns, cross-file query, and full support for PDFs/epub/scanned files.Free version handles 10 documents (up to 3000 pages) and cross-searches 30 files.Click the link below to unlock +10 document slots : https://chatdoc.com?src=leadlaglive Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Market veterans know that bull runs and corrections rarely travel in straight lines, and in this riveting conversation with Michael Gayed, we explore the subtle signals suggesting our recent market recovery might be more fragile than it appears. Michael, who accurately predicted the S&P's 20% drop earlier this year, walks us through the conflicting indicators currently puzzling even seasoned analysts.What particularly stands out is the disconnect between rapidly recovered credit spreads and still-struggling small caps – a warning sign Michael believes shouldn't be ignored. Treasury yields remain stubbornly elevated despite easing tariff concerns, while the Japanese yen's strengthening since January suggests forces beyond trade policy may be driving market volatility. For anyone trying to read these complex market signals, Michael offers a refreshingly candid framework that cuts through the noise.The conversation takes a fascinating turn when addressing gold's prospects, with Michael clarifying his controversial stance. Having been bullish since October 2023, he now sees gold transitioning from safety asset to momentum play – often a precursor to correction. Through behavioral finance principles like the disposition effect, he explains why gold could face a 10-20% pullback despite its long-term bull case remaining intact. Most provocatively, we explore what Michael calls "manipulation on a scale we've never seen before," where presidential tweets move markets and rhetoric trumps fundamentals. If you're navigating today's bewildering investment landscape, this episode provides the context and perspective to help you distinguish between market noise and meaningful signals. Subscribe now for more cutting-edge market insights that go beyond the headlines!With ChatDOC, instantly analyze professional documents using AI — featuring word-level citations, chart/formula breakdowns, cross-file query, and full support for PDFs/epub/scanned files.Free version handles 10 documents (up to 3000 pages) and cross-searches 30 files.Click the link below to unlock +10 document slots : https://chatdoc.com?src=leadlaglive Support the show

The markets have shifted into a new volatility regime, and traders need fresh tools to navigate these choppy waters. In this illuminating conversation, Michael Gayed hosts David Dziekanski (Founder and CEO of Quantify Funds), Mike Venuto (Co-Founder of Tidal ETF Services), and Michael Silva (trader and host of Figuring Out Money) to explore innovative trading strategies for today's challenging market environment.David introduces Quantify's groundbreaking launch of four new "stacked" ETFs that provide a revolutionary approach to thematic investing. Unlike traditional leveraged funds, these products offer 100% exposure to two carefully paired stocks within a single fund, creating effective 2:1 leverage with built-in rebalancing. The newly launched funds include APED (MicroStrategy/Coinbase), LAYS (NVIDIA/AMD), SPCY (NVIDIA/SMCI), and ZIPP (Uber/Tesla) - each targeting high-interest themes from cryptocurrency to artificial intelligence.The conversation delves into the mechanics behind these innovative products, explaining how they solve one of the most challenging aspects of portfolio management: executing those difficult rebalances between correlated assets, especially during earnings seasons or market turbulence. As David explains, "These are prepackaged vehicles offering rebalancing in an ETF that you don't have to think about."Silva shares practical insights on adjusting trading strategies during periods of expanded volatility, while Venuto illuminates the structural tax advantages ETFs offer over traditional investment vehicles. The panel also explores Quantify's successful BTGD fund, which applies the stacking approach to Bitcoin and gold, demonstrating how automatic rebalancing can capture value during volatile market swings.For traders navigating today's unpredictable markets, this discussion offers valuable perspectives on using innovative investment vehicles to maintain tactical exposure while managing risk more effectively. Whether you're looking to trade through earnings season, add tactical leverage to your portfolio, or simply understand the evolving landscape of ETF innovation, this episode provides crucial insights for surviving and thriving in volatile markets.SnoreMedic is the simple, comfortable mouthguard that stops snoring instantly—so you (and your partner) can finally sleep through the night. Try it risk-free for 60 nights. Wake up refreshed.

Is Wall Street ignoring the true risk in markets? Michael Gayed joins Maggie Lake to explain why investors are watching the wrong risk signals by focusing on Trump's tariffs and why small caps, Japan, and junk debt may hold the real clues to what happens next. In this in-depth conversation, Michael breaks down: Why small caps are halfway through a lost decade How Japan's monetary policy and the reverse carry trade could trigger a global credit event The dangerous disconnect between small caps and junk debt spreads Why passive flows into mega-cap stocks are masking real economic weakness How a bullish or bearish tail event could resolve these market distortions And why gold may not behave like a safe haven in the next crisis Chapters: 0:32 - Tariff Tensions: Growth Under Pressure? 4:23 - Zombie Small Caps: Crisis or Transformation? 6:57 - Mega Tech Mirage: The Illusion of Market Health 9:25 - Reverse Carry Unveiled: Japan's Financial Tipping Point 14:35 - Trump's Dollar Dilemma: The Weaker Wish 16:02 - Unwinding Uncertainty: What Could Spark A Japan Panic? 20:59 - Gold Sell-Off: Unveiling the Warning 24:05 - Economic Signals: Growth or Gloom in the US? 27:25 - Deregulation Dilemma: Positioning for Change 29:47 - Oil Outlook: Balancing Supply, Demand, and Risk 30:56 - Equity Rotation: Shifting from Mega Caps 33:11 - Small Cap Timing: Seizing the Opportunity 35:26 - Global Pivot: Betting on International Markets 36:20 - Conviction Check: What Would Change the Game? We want to hear from you! What would you like to see on Wealthion? Please take our poll here: https://www.youtube.com/post/UgkxtJvEEM4j_eRy7iT---EJ_mbkp1En1P0O Investment Concerns? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://bit.ly/4lckV0E Hard Assets Alliance - The Best Way to Invest in Gold and Silver: https://www.hardassetsalliance.com/?aff=WTH Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #Wealthion #Wealth #Finance #Investing #MichaelGayed #Markets #SmallCaps #Japan #TailRisk #CreditCrisis #Gold #Bonds #EconomicOutlook #StockMarket #MarketCrash #Recession #PassiveInvesting #Macro #Tariffs  ________________________________________________________________________ IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dive into the intricacies of small-cap investing as Michael Gayed and Brian Drubetsky explore the current economic landscape and its implications for market opportunities. With interest rates being a pivotal factor for many small-cap firms, our discussion unpacks the latest trends in earnings growth and the potential for favorable shifts in monetary policy.From analyzing the essential characteristics that can help small-cap stocks thrive, to recognizing the undervalued opportunities in sectors like consumer discretionary and real estate, this episode aims to equip you with the knowledge to recognize and seize upcoming market trends. As we uncover the transformative influence of technology and automation on small caps, listeners will gain a better understanding of how to navigate this often-overlooked segment of the market effectively. Join us as we dissect key questions surrounding the future of small caps, from their historical performance to robust strategies for capitalizing on growth. Don't miss this insightful episode—subscribe, leave a review, and share your thoughts! Your engagement is invaluable as we continue to explore the evolving world of finance together.DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Cullen Capital and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Why is gold shining brighter while the yen wobbles? Join us for an enlightening conversation as we host Michael Gayed, the astute mind behind The Lead-Lag Report, who doesn't shy away from bold predictions. Michael explores the complexities of Japan's interest rate hikes and their impact on global market volatility. We dissect the turbulent trade winds blowing between the US, China, Canada, and Mexico, scrutinizing how tariffs and erratic policies from the Trump era might reshape businesses and markets. Amidst these discussions, Michael deciphers the recent spike in gold prices as a harbinger of economic unease and weighs in on the crypto market's erratic tides under a pro-crypto Trump administration.On a more personal note, witness the exhilarating yet taxing journey of rapid business growth. We share insights into streamlining operations, the thrill of expansion, and the silver linings amidst chaos. Our dialogue offers a fresh perspective on the investment landscape, with a spotlight on treasuries and the intriguing potential of existing funds. Despite the bearish sentiment surrounding treasuries, we unwrap a strategic investment play that could benefit from widening credit spreads. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just stepping into this dynamic world, this episode provides a feast of insights and optimism.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Support the show

Value: After Hours is a podcast about value investing, Fintwit, and all things finance and investment by investors Tobias Carlisle, and Jake Taylor. See our latest episodes at https://acquirersmultiple.com/podcast We are live every Tuesday at 1.30pm E / 10.30am P. About Jake Jake's Twitter: https://twitter.com/farnamjake1 Jake's book: The Rebel Allocator https://amzn.to/2sgip3l ABOUT THE PODCAST Hi, I'm Tobias Carlisle. I launched The Acquirers Podcast to discuss the process of finding undervalued stocks, deep value investing, hedge funds, activism, buyouts, and special situations. We uncover the tactics and strategies for finding good investments, managing risk, dealing with bad luck, and maximizing success. SEE LATEST EPISODES https://acquirersmultiple.com/podcast/ SEE OUR FREE DEEP VALUE STOCK SCREENER https://acquirersmultiple.com/screener/ FOLLOW TOBIAS Website: https://acquirersmultiple.com/ Firm: https://acquirersfunds.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/Greenbackd LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/tobycarlisle Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/tobiascarlisle Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tobias_carlisle ABOUT TOBIAS CARLISLE Tobias Carlisle is the founder of The Acquirer's Multiple®, and Acquirers Funds®. He is best known as the author of the #1 new release in Amazon's Business and Finance The Acquirer's Multiple: How the Billionaire Contrarians of Deep Value Beat the Market, the Amazon best-sellers Deep Value: Why Activists Investors and Other Contrarians Battle for Control of Losing Corporations (2014) (https://amzn.to/2VwvAGF), Quantitative Value: A Practitioner's Guide to Automating Intelligent Investment and Eliminating Behavioral Errors (2012) (https://amzn.to/2SDDxrN), and Concentrated Investing: Strategies of the World's Greatest Concentrated Value Investors (2016) (https://amzn.to/2SEEjVn). He has extensive experience in investment management, business valuation, public company corporate governance, and corporate law. Prior to founding the forerunner to Acquirers Funds in 2010, Tobias was an analyst at an activist hedge fund, general counsel of a company listed on the Australian Stock Exchange, and a corporate advisory lawyer. As a lawyer specializing in mergers and acquisitions he has advised on transactions across a variety of industries in the United States, the United Kingdom, China, Australia, Singapore, Bermuda, Papua New Guinea, New Zealand, and Guam. He is a graduate of the University of Queensland in Australia with degrees in Law (2001) and Business (Management) (1999).

Unlock the secrets of crafting a robust investment portfolio with insights that challenge conventional wisdom. Join me, Michael Gayed, alongside experts Matt O'Brian and Brad Barrie, as we explore the critical role of diversification and the potential risks when concentration takes center stage. We'll unravel the intricacies of true diversification, discuss "line item risk," and emphasize why preparation should be prioritized over prediction in the ever-volatile market landscape.Our conversation ventures into the uncharted territory of risk management by challenging traditional views on asset allocation. With insights from Harry Markowitz and our guests' expertise in tactical management, we highlight the necessity of understanding varying risk profiles rather than simply spreading investments across asset classes. As we dissect the influence of market psychology and valuation metrics, you'll learn how these elements affect investment decisions, especially during economic downturns.Discover innovative strategies for navigating complex market environments through mutual funds and global macro hedge fund approaches. This episode uncovers the often-overlooked advantages of mutual funds in less traditional asset classes and their synergy with hedge fund strategies. As markets continue to shift, we advocate for tactical active approaches and flexible portfolio management, ensuring you're equipped to adapt and thrive in a fluid financial world.DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Dynamic Wealth Group and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Join me, Michael Gayed, and my esteemed guest Mike Larson, Editor-in-Chief at Money Show, as we unravel the bold investment strategies that have reshaped the financial landscape in 2023. Discover how offensive investing styles have not only outperformed but also paved the way for potential recovery in the bond market, particularly high-quality treasuries. We delve into the vibrant Money Show events in Las Vegas, a hotbed of dynamic investment insights, featuring luminaries like Ralph Acampora and Dan Ives who bring a wealth of knowledge from technical analysis to energy and economic strategies.Looking ahead to 2025, we examine the transition from tech-heavy portfolios to a broader sector approach, with energy, industrials, materials, and financials taking center stage. Listen as we dissect the potential impacts of Trump administration policies on U.S.-based companies and the shift towards increased credit growth opportunities. Our annual top picks report, boasting insights from over 44 expert contributors, reveals a diverse array of conservative and aggressive investment recommendations, offering invaluable guidance for navigating the evolving market.The conversation then broadens to a global perspective, highlighting the resurgence of value investing, the potential of small-cap stocks, and the critical importance of international diversification. We explore the energy sector with insights from Robert Bryce and consider the implications of deregulation on financial and real estate markets. As we conclude, I extend an invitation to the upcoming Money Show in Las Vegas, promising an enriching experience filled with networking, learning, and engaging discussions. This episode is a treasure trove of investment wisdom, tailored for both seasoned investors and those just starting their financial journey.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Prepare to challenge everything you thought you knew about the macroeconomic landscape as we welcome Michael Gayed, the insightful founder of the Lead Lag Report, to dissect the future of global markets with a particular glance at 2025. With a bold statement about the reverse carry trade, especially through the lens of Japan's unique financial environment, Michael draws connections between low interest rates, currency strength, and international borrowing dynamics. Listen as he unravels the potential turmoil Japan could face due to inflation and currency issues, and shares captivating anecdotes, including a follower's experience with the carry trade from Honduras.Anticipate a transformation in market dynamics as we examine the rise of AI and its influence on small caps versus large caps, questioning the long-standing dominance of tech since 2011. Younger investors are entering the market, and with them comes a thirst for high returns, leading us to analyze the unforeseen outcomes of the Fed's rate hike cycle and Yellen's interventions. Our dialogue navigates through the concerns of inflation and the looming concentration bubble in top stocks, scrutinizing the persistent efforts by policymakers to keep markets afloat amidst downturns.Step outside the echo chamber of financial groupthink with us, as we advocate for independent thinking and critical analysis in market strategies. We call into question the YOLO mentality and meme-driven investment tactics while discussing the ineffectiveness of shorting. For those eager to deepen their understanding, we recommend resources like Onyx and the Lead Lag Report. The episode concludes with an exploration of skepticism surrounding AI's economic impact, potential market reactions to policy changes from figures like Donald Trump, and the volatile role of Bitcoin during credit events.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

What if everything you thought you knew about the financial markets was wrong? Join us as we welcome back seasoned market analyst Michael Gayed to dissect the pervasive notion of market manipulation. Together, we unravel the intricate roles that liquidity and algorithms play in shaping the financial landscape. As we navigate through the current state of limbo, Michael provides a thought-provoking analysis on how potential political shifts, specifically a Trump presidency, might reshape the regulatory environment and offer new prospects for small and mid-sized companies. This episode is a must-listen for anyone eager to understand the balancing act of offensive and defensive investment strategies in these unpredictable times.The conversation takes an intriguing turn as we explore the dynamics of stock market shifts, particularly how sudden price declines can present opportunities for dollar cost averaging. We scrutinize the performance of the Russell 2000 against the S&P 500 and explore how deregulation could potentially boost small-cap stocks. Michael and I critically examine the Federal Reserve's past rate decisions and discuss the implications of rising 10-year treasury yields, all while questioning the traditional perceptions of market behaviors. By assessing the impact of tariffs and inflation on economic policy, we provide a comprehensive look at the factors influencing today's market conditions.To round out our discussion, we venture into the speculative realms of gold and cryptocurrency, examining how excess liquidity fuels over-optimism among investors. Geopolitical tensions add another layer of complexity, impacting oil prices and investment strategies. We also discuss the merits of diversifying into undervalued sectors like miners, small caps, and emerging markets, while acknowledging the challenges hedge funds face in keeping pace with the S&P 500. This episode is packed with valuable insights that equip investors to navigate and capitalize on the shifting market dynamics with a well-balanced and informed approach.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Mike "C-Roc" welcomes Michael Gayed, CFA, founder of the Lead-Lag Report and renowned voice in finance. In this inspiring episode, Michael shares his journey of resilience and reinvention, shaped by his father's entrepreneurial spirit and their shared story of perseverance. Michael discusses his family's roots, his father's rise from humble beginnings in Egypt to success in the U.S., and the profound impact of losing his father during the 2008 financial crisis. He explains how these experiences fueled his determination to rebuild and redefine his path, embodying the transformative "Phoenix from the ashes" philosophy that guides his life and work. Together, Mike "C-Roc" and Michael explore themes of identity, overcoming setbacks, and embracing personal growth through life's unpredictable squiggles. They dive into the value of constant learning—whether it's exploring new financial tools like options trading or navigating professional reinvention—and the mindset required to keep pushing forward. If you're looking for a story of grit, reinvention, and the unstoppable power of perseverance, this episode is for you. Don't miss this dynamic conversation with Michael Gayed, CFA, as he reveals the ingredients that make him—and his mission—unshakable. Website- www.leadlagreport.com Social Media Links/Handles- https://instagram.com/leadlagreport https://www.linkedin.com/company/leadlagreport/ https://facebook.com/leadlagreport https://twitter.com/leadlagreport https://www.youtube.com/theleadlagreport

What if everything you thought you knew about diversification was wrong? Join us for a compelling conversation with Michael Gayed, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, and Jeff Sarti from Morton Wealth as we challenge the status quo on what it means to truly diversify an investment portfolio. In a world of unpredictable markets, we discuss the vital importance of holding assets that may not always be in vogue but can safeguard against economic downturns. From the shifting reliability of bonds to the necessity of strategic asset weighting, this episode offers a fresh perspective on achieving consistent performance and managing risk in today's financial landscape.But that's not all. We also shed light on the often-overlooked private credit market, where Jeff shares insights on navigating its complexities and potential pitfalls. With concerns about liquidity and weakened underwriting standards in the spotlight, discover how exploring less crowded markets might just be the key to mitigating risks. Drawing on the work of behavioral finance experts like Daniel Kahneman, we tackle the familiarity bias that can cloud investment judgment, using Apple as a prime example of how brand recognition can lead to overconfidence. It's a reminder to always seek genuine understanding over mere comfort when making investment decisions.Rounding out our conversation, we scrutinize the speculative excesses and valuation concerns permeating the current market scenario. With an eye toward long-term investment strategies, we emphasize the need for a value-oriented approach amidst macroeconomic challenges. While navigating the pressures and perplexities of fiscal policies, excessive liquidity, and changing trading mentalities, we stress the importance of staying grounded in fundamentals. Don't miss this episode's engaging discourse on behavioral finance and the wisdom of adopting a cautious yet strategic approach to investing.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Today's sponsor is Deftform, the simplified form builder you've been waiting for. Stop using overpriced and bloated alternatives. Deftform gives you everything you need to create unlimited forms and collect unlimited responses.Visit deftform.com and use the code LEADLAG to get 20% off the Lifetime package. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

This week, Michael Gayed joins Opto Sessions to discuss the current state of the global economy, from the implications of the reverse carry trade to 2025 market predictions and Trump's policies. He explores Bitcoin's role in modern finance, the challenges posed by high valuations & why China's stock market could surpass the US in the coming years.

In this episode, Michael Gayed, publisher of the Lead-Lag Report  @leadlagreport  joins us to explore the state of financial markets as we enter 2025. From market manipulation and deregulation to gold, small-cap stocks, and the potential for a credit event, we break down the trends, risks, and opportunities shaping the year ahead. Don't miss this insightful conversation packed with actionable perspectives for investors. #gold #stocks #investing ----------- Thank you to our #sponsor MONEY METALS. Make sure to pay them a visit: https://bit.ly/BUYGoldSilver ------------

What if a political resurgence could reshape financial landscapes? Join me, Michael Gayed, alongside the seasoned financial strategist Julian Brigden, as we dissect the hypothetical "Trump 2.0" scenario. We tackle its potential ripple effects across growth, equities, fixed income, and the dollar, with a special spotlight on the evolving role of cryptocurrency. Julian, a veteran from Lehman Brothers, HSBC, and the mastermind behind MI2 Partners, brings unique insights into how retail investors, emboldened by the post-COVID market, are challenging the supremacy of institutional giants. Together, we unravel the cyclical nature of markets, examining how inexperience often breeds overconfidence and risky ventures. Our conversation draws intriguing parallels between today's market trends and historic bubbles, like the dot-com era, fueled by captivating narratives. Julian and I lay bare the risks associated with speculative fervor and over-leveraging, especially in booming sectors like AI and crypto, while also contemplating the stages of market reaction to potential Trump policies. This discussion serves as a cautionary tale of maintaining vigilance amidst enticing market stories.Venture further with us as we scrutinize the broader economic implications of tariffs, tax policies, and monopolistic market structures under the Trump administration. We explore the potential downsides of reshoring manufacturing and the inflationary pressures of tariffs on long-term bond yields. From the challenges in the oil market to the global influence of a strong dollar, our dialogue exposes the intricate dance between government policies, market reactions, and economic growth. This episode promises a thorough exploration of these complex dynamics, offering listeners a nuanced understanding of the current financial terrain.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Today's sponsor is CBDX, home of premium, legal THC gummies. Perfect for relaxation, creativity, or unwinding after a long day, these delicious gummies deliver the quality you can trust. With fast discreet shipping and great flavors, CBDX makes enjoying THC easy and hassle-free.Visit CBDX.com and use code LEADLAG to save on your first order! Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Can Bitcoin reshape the societal structures we know today? Join us as I, Michael Gayed, publisher of The Lead Lag Report, engage in a compelling dialogue with Aleks Svetski, a seasoned Bitcoin enthusiast and entrepreneur, who shares his transformative journey from skepticism to profound understanding of Bitcoin's intricate relationship with global economic systems. Together, we unravel the constant waves of criticism Bitcoin faces, from claims of being a Ponzi scheme to the challenges posed by emerging technologies such as quantum computing. Aleks offers a unique perspective stemming from his entrepreneurial background, shedding light on the complex interplay of volatility, risk, and earning, which has enriched his relationship with Bitcoin.We navigate the contentious discussions around quantum computing's potential impact on Bitcoin and cryptography. Aleks and I delve into the skepticism surrounding quantum computers' ability to outperform traditional technology while exploring the potential benefits they could bring to Bitcoin, such as enhanced security and increased hash rates. We also ponder whether Bitcoin can truly transform societal structures by addressing broader issues of inequality and fairness. Our discussion challenges the notion that simply fixing monetary systems can solve deep-seated human behaviors, advocating instead for a focus on fairness over forced equality.Finally, explore with us the profound themes in Aleks' latest work, "Bushido of Bitcoin," which weaves together philosophy, ethics, and visionary storytelling to provide a sophisticated narrative on Bitcoin's potential. This book is more than just a critique; it's an invitation to foster critical thinking rather than blind optimism about Bitcoin's role in governance, culture, and wealth. Aleks recounts his personal transformation throughout 2022 and 2023, finding renewed energy in nuanced discussions, leading him to share his insights in the book. With parts available for free at BushidoBitcoin.com, listeners are encouraged to engage with Aleks' work and join the conversation on Bitcoin's evolving landscape.Today's sponsor is Ringtree, the smart choice for small business phone systems. Stop using your personal cell for business! Ringtree gives you a virtual business phone number that easily forwards right to your cell. It also has 800 numbers, voicemail transcription, a virtual receptionist, and lots of other great features - all with zero hardware and instant setup.Visit ringtree.io and use code LEADLAG to save Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Could a potential Trump presidency in 2025 redefine the financial landscape? Join us as we engage with the  Michael Gayed, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, who shares his expert insights on how such political shifts, alongside the compelling rise of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, might influence the markets. Michael illuminates the intricate dance between market skepticism, Federal Reserve policies, and gold prices, drawing fascinating comparisons to historical stock market performances across various administrations. Dive deep into the complex interplay of liquidity, market momentum, and asset pricing, and discover what these elements mean for investors looking to navigate potential risks and seize opportunities in 2025.As we dissect the current market sentiment, we question whether we're on the brink of speculative mania, fueled by retail investors' frenzy in leveraged single stock funds. Get ready for an eye-opening discussion on the potential impacts of a Bank of Japan rate hike and its ripple effects across global markets. Michael also offers a compelling analysis of the intriguing relationship between Bitcoin and gold, touching on generational differences in asset preferences. Prepare for an insightful exploration of bullish assets, like long-duration treasuries and small caps, and their roles amid deflation scares and yield collapses. With a keen look at mortgage rate trends despite fluctuations in the 10-year yield, this episode promises to challenge your investment paradigms and equip you with fresh strategies for the future.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Discover the strategies that keep investors ahead of the curve in a volatile political landscape with our special guest, Porter Collins, known for his pivotal role in "The Big Short." Join us as Porter and I, Michael Gayed, dissect the unpredictable impacts of political outcomes on investments, from Trump-era policies to the influence of high-profile figures like Elon Musk. We tackle the art of maintaining objectivity in a politically charged environment, examining specific trades such as GEO and Fannie Mae securities.Explore the intricate dynamics of market trends and how they intersect with potential political shifts, particularly under a possible Trump administration. We delve into the implications of military and immigration policies on investments and the strategic role of GSE preferred stocks. Porter shares his insights on the future of corporate tax strategies and the expected scrutiny of major corporations, while we ponder on the economic consequences of budget cuts in sectors like healthcare.Navigate the complexities of the current economic landscape with an eye on treasury challenges, inflation, and the volatility of financial markets. We reflect on the lessons of the 1970s inflation era and discuss the potential benefits for gold and Bitcoin investors today. From asymmetric investment opportunities to geopolitical factors affecting oil prices, we cover it all. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis of market outlooks, energy trends, and the looming commercial real estate crisis, offering a wide-angle view of the forces shaping today's investment world.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

The macroeconomic roadmap given a Trump or Harris victory, according to Eric Basmajian, Michael Gayed and Chaim Siegel (1:00). Sector opportunities and historical behavior during Democratic and Republican administrations (9:30). How investors should be thinking about geopolitical angles (15:30). Cumulative inflation vs the inflation rate (21:10).  If Trump wins and puts in extensive tariffs, which companies could be hurt the most? (25:30) Watch the video here.Show Notes:These 3 Indicators Predict Every RecessionFTSL: In Case The Fed Keeps Rates HereFed Way Leaning The Wrong WayRead the transcriptFor full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores and dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions

Join me, Michael Gayed, as I sit down with seasoned investor Gary Brode to tackle some of the most pressing issues in the financial world today. How effective are current regulations in the fight against foreign money laundering, and what role does Senator Elizabeth Warren play in this landscape? We dissect the effectiveness of fines and discuss potential legislative changes needed to truly make an impact. Gary lends his expertise to a complex conversation on inflation, arguing it's more a product of unchecked government spending and debt monetization than Federal Reserve actions. His insights remind us of the historical pitfalls of fiat currencies, sparking a critical examination of systemic economic challenges.The conversation takes a global turn as we navigate the intricacies of China's economic stimulus and its far-reaching effects on international markets. Are such government-driven market interventions sustainable in the long run? Gary and I highlight the investment potential we see in small-cap and micro-cap companies that promise robust growth amidst these uncertainties. Bitcoin's role as a political talking point is more relevant than ever, with significant implications for investors seeking long-term gains. We discuss how understanding market misconceptions can uncover hidden opportunities for the astute investor.As global energy demands rise, we turn our focus to uranium and nuclear energy's pivotal role in achieving carbon-free energy generation. We address the supply and demand dynamics impacting uranium pricing and the challenges faced by major producers. With a nod to authenticity, I emphasize the importance of integrity in investment strategies, drawing on the genuine connections I've built over time, including my relationship with Gary. This episode is packed with insights for anyone looking to deepen their understanding of the current financial landscape and spot emerging investment opportunities.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Unlock the secrets of navigating market ups and downs with insights from seasoned trader Chris Vermeulen and Lead-Lag Report publisher Michael Gayed. Chris recounts his journey from trading during the tech bubble to mastering a refined strategy anchored in technical analysis and ETFs. We promise that you'll gain the knowledge to ride upward trends even in bearish conditions, focusing on the critical importance of market direction over emotional decision-making. Learn how to optimize returns by selecting ETFs based on major indices like the S&P 500, while effectively managing risks across asset classes, including bonds and cash.Our episode dives deep into the gold market's historical price movements, providing insights into potential financial instability and recession signals. With a cautious stance on gold investments, we explore the strategic use of inverse ETFs to navigate economic downturns. The discussion further examines how robust employment statistics impact equities and bonds, offering a window into the complex interplay of economic indicators and market reactions. Chris and Michael share their perspectives on market timing, false signals, and the resilience of systematic trading strategies, providing listeners with a roadmap to interpret market conditions.For those approaching retirement, this episode is a must-listen. We tackle the risks of traditional buy-and-hold strategies and the volatility of dividend stocks during downturns, presenting the asset revesting strategy as a beacon of consistency and low risk. Chris introduces the concept of asset reinvesting, a strategy that reallocates capital into top-performing asset classes to ensure steady growth. From understanding money management personalities to balancing personal interests with professional endeavors, we offer a comprehensive guide to making informed financial decisions, all while maintaining emotional stability in volatile markets.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

In this week's edition of Wealthion's Weekly Market Recap, Andrew Brill highlights key insights from our expert guests: Christopher Vermeulen examines the broader macro picture, focusing on oil and offering chart analysis for uranium. Michael Gayed explains why traditional models may no longer apply in today's economy and touches on the debt crisis. Anthony Pompliano discusses his new book and shares his perspective on Bitcoin. Finally, Ram Ahluwalia differentiates between value and growth stocks and explains how recent rate cuts affect Baby Boomers' investment decisions. Investment Concerns? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://bit.ly/4eGNgs8 Chapters: 00:00 - Introduction 00:12 - Chris Vermeulen - Highlights | Full Interview: https://youtu.be/5h4-ww9_Ip4 13:34 - Michael Gayed - Highlights | Full Interview: https://youtu.be/WdtT8BcIe9I 25:42 - Anthony Pompliano - Highlights | Full Interview: https://youtu.be/THEunvIxTAE 36:08 - Ram Ahluwalia - Highlights | Full Interview: https://youtu.be/MqFNEcxdW84 Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #Wealthion #Wealth #Bitcoin #AI #USDebt #Oil #Uranium #Investing #Macro #StockMarket #Crypto #Markets #Economy #Commodities Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

What if Canada never faced a housing bust because of unique factors at play? Join me, Michael Gayed, and our guest, Ron Butler, a seasoned mortgage expert with three decades of experience, as we tackle the intricate labyrinth of the Canadian housing market. You'll uncover the reasons behind Canada's resilience to a housing crisis, even when other countries were not so lucky. From low interest rates to foreign investments and a noteworthy influx of legal immigration, we unpack the elements that have skyrocketed home prices, leaving a significant number of Canadians grappling with affordability concerns.We delve into the growing frustrations among young Canadians who are exploring opportunities abroad due to high living costs. With a large landmass restricted by strict land use policies, Canada faces a unique housing scarcity issue. As real estate lending becomes a cornerstone of the Canadian banking system, supported by government backing to appease older voters, we also explore the alternative lending market that provides high-interest loans, supporting liquidity in the financial sector. This insight will illuminate how these dynamics play a critical role in shaping the country's real estate landscape.Finally, we navigate the pressing economic challenges that loom over the Canadian housing market. Stagnant wages, rising personal debt, and the challenges of refinancing at higher rates are leading to a financially strained public. As we discuss the potential for a real estate market correction and regional disparities, we question whether the once-resilient Canadian consumer remains as strong today. Tune in for a comprehensive analysis of what lies ahead for Canada's housing market and the implications for its citizens.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Andrew Brill welcomes Michael Gayed to explain why liquidity has overtaken traditional fundamentals as the primary driver of market performance. Michael, Portfolio Manager at Tidal Financial Group and Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, highlights the misaligned incentives that keep liquidity flowing and distort market pricing alongside the Federal Reserve's controversial role in these dynamics. He also discusses China's surprising stock market recovery, sectors he's bullish on, the breakdown of traditional economic indicators post-COVID, and what this all means for investors. Few. Investment Concerns? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.wealthion.com/free Chapters: 01:58 - Economic Outlook: A Bifurcated Market 03:49 - Traditional Indicators: No Longer Reliable? 07:27 - The Fed's Rate Cut: Did They Jump the Gun? 11:35 - China's Stock Market Surge and Future Potential 13:53 - The Impact of China's Recovery on Commodities, Inflation & USD 18:01 - Is a Recession on the Horizon? 19:31 - US Debt Concerns: What's The Real Crisis Point? 21:58 - Bonds and the Fed's Influence on the Market 24:10 - Is AI Still a Big Market Driver? 25:45 - Sector Opportunities: Energy, Healthcare, and Utilities 31:01 - Michael's Barbell Investing Strategy Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #Wealthion #Wealth #Investing #Finance #Markets #Economy #China #Oil #Gold #Fed #Macro #Stocks #LeadLag #MichaelGayed  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

You can tell a lot about the market by analyzing what sectors and stocks are leading...and what sectors and stocks are lagging. So, what message are the markets sending out NOW? What should investors consider buying...or selling...as we head into the fourth quarter of 2024? To get the answers to those questions, I invited Michael Gayed, editor of the Lead-Lag Report and host of the Lead-Lag Live Podcast, to join me for this week's MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast segment.We begin by discussing the August selloff, the September rebound, and what the wild action says about markets moving forward. Michael lays out a skeptical case. He notes that smaller capitalization stocks are still lagging their bigger cap brethren, while sectors like utilities and asset classes like gold are leading the advance. That's typically “defensive” action, indicating it's premature to sound an all clear for stocks. He goes on to explain why investing is “always about probabilities” – and why it's so important to pay attention to “disconnects and divergences” when deciding where and whether to commit your capital.Next, Michael explains which credit market indicator he's closely watching for signs of renewed trouble. He also names the one currency market trend that could lead to future selling in markets – one that we just got a “preview” of in early August. As the conversation nears an end, we cover topics like China stimulus and what contrarian trades it could fuel...why he has liked gold for almost a year, and still does...and what more speculative subsector of healthcare he favors. Finally, Michael previews what he'll talk about at the 2024 MoneyShow Orlando, scheduled for Oct. 17-19 at the Omni Orlando Resort at ChampionsGate. Click here to register: https://orlandomoneyshow.com/?scode=061246

Michael Gayed, CFA, drops a bombshell in today's interview with Daniela Cambone: A looming market crash. Citing a slew of economic red flags, Gayed warns investors to buckle up. Questions on Protecting Your Wealth with Gold & Silver? Schedule a Strategy Call Here ➡️ https://calendly.com/itmtrading/podcast or Call 866-349-3310

What if today's market turbulence signals the onset of another financial crisis akin to 1987, 1998, or 2008? Join me, Michael Gayed, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, as I engage in a profound discussion with Axel Merk, an authority in the gold industry. We dissect current market conditions, compare them with past crises, and uncover the diverse profiles of gold investors—from dollar skeptics to diversification seekers. Axel underscores the necessity of a well-rounded investment toolkit to navigate the unpredictability of financial markets, urging you to expand your comfort zone and prepare for the future.Unravel the intricate relationship between Federal Reserve policies and market narratives in our compelling conversation. We scrutinize the Fed's prioritization of systemic risk over stock market valuations, the complexities of forecasting economic recessions, and the crucial role of credit spreads. Delving into the significance of timely yet limited jobs reports and the rapid shifts driven by media, Axel and I explore the unique market dynamics during slower summer months and the inherent challenges of economic predictions in a tightening monetary landscape.Expand your global perspective as we analyze Japan's precarious financial situation and its potential worldwide impact, including rising borrowing costs and fiscal hurdles. We explore China's strategic gold purchases amid sanctions, the ramifications of increasing credit card delinquencies, and the evolving global economic landscape influenced by China's ascent. Reflecting on skepticism in investment trends and the enduring value of gold in diverse portfolios, I invite you to follow my live insights on Twitter for real-time financial market updates.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

What if the impressive performance of a few semiconductor giants is masking the true health of the entire sector? Join us for an engaging conversation with Michael Gayed from The Lead-Lag Report. We'll dissect how ETFs heavily weighted by companies like NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor can create a distorted picture of industry strength. Michael will guide us through the importance of examining all stocks within a sector to get a genuine understanding of market dynamics and stock performance.In addition to sector analysis, we'll explore why picking the right industry might be more crucial than selecting individual stocks in today's unbalanced market cycles. Michael shares insightful perspectives on the exceptional performance of sectors like semiconductors while cautioning that not all companies within a booming industry are on equal footing. We also delve into thought-provoking discussions on how market movements are increasingly driven by for-profit entities rather than governments, echoing the dystopian concerns raised in George Orwell's "1984." Don't miss this episode if you're looking to challenge conventional wisdom and gain a deeper understanding of market trends.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Support the Show.

Unlock the secrets of securing capital for your startup as I, Michael Gayed, join forces with NYU Stern's own Professor Glenn Okun to unravel the complexities of entrepreneurial finance in today's challenging economy. Together, we dissect the current climate where surging interest rates are reshaping the terrain for rising businesses, scrutinizing the high barriers and intensified competition for investment. This episode is a treasure trove for entrepreneurs looking to navigate the stormy seas of venture capital and establish a stronghold in a market where Goliaths are increasingly dominant.Venture beyond the startup scene with us as we also tackle the thorny issues around the green energy transition and the fallout from COVID-induced financial landscapes. Diving into the world of investment strategies, we question the viability of passive approaches in an age of market anomalies and scrutinize the energy sector's pivot toward practices that favor shareholders. With Professor Okun's expertise lighting the path, we examine the forces of political sway, corporate power plays, and technological breakthroughs that could very well overturn the status quo of the investment universe. Tune in for an episode that promises to equip you with the insights to make savvy decisions in a market brimming with both peril and promise.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Navigate the perplexing currents of today's investment landscape with us, Michael Gayed and expert analyst Sam Burns from Mill Street Research, as we dissect the S&P's dominance and the challenges of traditional diversification. Gain valuable insight into the shifting sands of asset allocation, where the once-reliable tactics now stumble in the face of large-cap earnings surprises and the creeping dread of 'zombie companies' amidst rising interest rates. Our conversation spans from the perplexing behavior of small-cap stocks to the potential economic ripples of the November elections, painting a comprehensive picture of a market at a crossroads.As we parse through the intricate economic recovery, Sam and I scrutinize the historical echoes of inflation and how today's landscape differs, considering the impacts on housing, the auto industry, and consumer spending. We delve into the enigma of emerging markets and China's influence, probing the gap between GDP growth and corporate earnings while dissecting the sector allocation mix affecting investment returns. Join our intricate dance through economic indicators and the commodities market, as we shed light on gold's breakout and the shifting tides that may influence your next investment move.Thank you for tuning in to an episode brimming with insights and a forward-looking perspective on fiscal policy, bank credit growth, and the economic indicators that matter most in our post-COVID world. For those keen on staying abreast of market trends and expert analysis, follow us on Mill Street Research, Twitter, and LinkedIn. A heartfelt nod to Sam Burns for his invaluable expertise and to our listeners for embarking on this journey through the financial landscape with us. Here's to more enlightening episodes and engaging discourse ahead.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Michael Gayed joins the podcast to discuss current market risks, the Yen carry trade, and why he believes some larger institutional players are considering gold.

Unlock the mystery behind the surging gold prices as I, Michael Gayed, sit down with the esteemed Alasdair Macleod. With his unparalleled experience spanning the financial spectrum, Alasdair sheds light on the intricate dance between currency value and gold—a beacon of stability in an unpredictable economic seascape. Our discourse journeys through the global lens, where gold is not merely a commodity but the bedrock of wealth, and we dissect the possibility that rising gold prices may signal a waning dollar instead of a gold rush.Venture through a world where Bitcoin and gold clash in a battle for the title of true financial security. Alasdair, with his wisdom, guides us through the labyrinth of these two assets as hedges against counterparty risk, and unravels the tapestry of investing in gold, both in paper form and its tangible allure. We navigate the silver market's curious dynamics, touching upon manipulation, industrial demand, and the investment horizon in the mining sector, all set against the backdrop of escalating geopolitical tensions and interest rate hikes.As we wrap up our conversation, Alasdair and I contemplate the implications of global economic currents on gold's gleaming ascent. We scrutinize the faltering US dollar, the influence of interest rates on the G7 economies, and the stark realities facing the European banking system. The episode culminates with a glimpse into the profound challenges of recapitalizing the European Central Bank, offering listeners a riveting panoramic view on the pressing issues shaping the world's financial future. Join us as we unravel these golden insights, equipping you with the foresight to traverse the tumultuous tides of our global economy. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Unlock the secrets of macro trading with trading maestro Jonathan Matthews, as he shares the wisdom gleaned from his illustrious career at Brevin Howard. I'm your host, Michael Gayed, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, and in this episode, we delve into Jonathan's transition from handling equity derivatives and FX to revolutionizing the way retail subscribers view the markets with his 'Super Macro' analysis. Our exchange is sprinkled with tales of volatility and the rare, golden moments that define a trader's journey, offering you a front-row seat to the thought processes of an industry veteran.The Fed's recent mixed messages have traders and analysts alike scratching their heads—what's their endgame? Jonathan and I dissect this bewilderment, contemplating the interplay between economic signals, such as the soaring core PCE inflation rate, and the silent response from the Fed. We examine the peculiar timing of rate cut speculations considering global financial uncertainties and the upcoming U.S. election, giving listeners an edge in understanding these cryptic strategies.To cap off, we probe the U.S. economy's surprising resilience to the Fed's rate hikes and what this means for inflation control efforts. The conversation transitions to the broader market, where we discuss vulnerabilities and the capacity for potential deleveraging events, contrasting current market conditions with those in the run-up to the 2008 crisis. Plus, we shine a light on the curious case of precious metals amidst a skeptical market. Join us for a session packed with expertise to help you navigate the tumultuous waters of finance.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Michael Gayed, CFA (@leadleagreport) publisher of The Lead-Lag Report and Fund Manager, discusses topics related to the stock market, treasuries, Bitcoin, and commodities. The conversation covers the current investing environment, the impact of Bitcoin, the risk from Japan, the Fed's rate cuts, the importance of Fed credibility, the euphoria around Nvidia, the AI narrative, and small-cap stocks. He also gives his views on the potential trade for 2024 and the influence of political factors on interest rates. Michael joins podcast hosts (⁠⁠⁠⁠@jimiuorio⁠⁠⁠⁠) and Bob Iaccino (⁠⁠⁠⁠@Bob_Iaccino⁠⁠⁠⁠) to explore the distorted environment of the stock market and large-cap tech stocks. They emphasize the importance of small caps and international investments. They also dive into the role of treasuries as a risk-off asset and their relationship with credit spreads. The conversation touches on the perception of Bitcoin as an investment vehicle and the potential trade in copper and industrial commodities. The discussion highlights the significance of sticking to a strategy and avoiding style drift. Takeaways -The current investing environment is challenging for active and tactical investors, as it is focused on the S&P 500 and rocket ship stocks. -Bitcoin hitting new all-time highs indicates a lot of liquidity in the market, making it unlikely for the Fed to cut rates. -Japan poses a potential risk to global financial markets, as the Bank of Japan may have to raise rates to address inflation, causing a squeeze on the yen and a reversal of the carry trade. -Small caps may outperform large caps in election years, but it is important to consider the impact of debt and credit spreads on small cap performance. -Credibility is important in the financial markets, and the current speculative nature of certain assets challenges central bank credibility. Investors should be cautious of the euphoria surrounding certain stocks, such as Nvidia, and consider valuations and long-term prospects. -The AI narrative should be evaluated based on its impact on various sectors, such as utility companies and small caps, and its potential to improve margins. -Small caps can be a contrarian trade, but it is important to assess the risks and consider the influence of political factors on interest rates. Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Agreement 01:21 The Current Investing Environment 04:17 The Fed's Rate Cuts 06:14 Inflation and Wage Increases 08:31 The Elephant in the Room: National Debt 09:16 The Potential Risk from Japan 12:09 The Periphery and Japan's Impact 14:48 The Importance of Credibility 20:14 The AI Narrative and Small Caps 22:08 The Valuation of Nvidia 24:26 The Potential Trade for 2024: Small Caps 26:59 The Performance of Small Caps in Election Years 27:41 The Relationship between Small Caps and Credit Spreads 27:41 The Influence of Political Factors on Interest Rates 27:59 The Distorted Environment of the Stock Market 28:37 The Importance of Small Caps and International Investments 29:28 The Role of Treasuries as a Risk-Off Asset 30:29 The Relationship Between Treasuries and Credit Spreads 31:20 The Misconception about Treasuries' Performance 32:19 The Role of Treasuries in a Volatility Spike 33:16 The Flight to Safety and the Role of Treasuries 34:13 The Risk-Off Nature of Treasuries and the Dollar 35:28 The Importance of Small Caps and Small Business 36:05 The Perception of Bitcoin as an Investment Vehicle 37:37 The Role of Bitcoin in a Portfolio 38:39 The Temptation to Trade ETFs and the Holding Period 40:35 Investing in China through Commodities 41:19 The Risk of Investing in China and the Role of Confiscation 44:47 The Importance of Sticking to a Strategy and Avoiding Style Drift 46:56 The Fallacy of Putting Traders on Pedestals 49:17 The Potential Trade in Copper and Industrial Commodities 51:08 The Importance of Timing and Mean Reversion in Trading

Join Daniela Cambone for an insightful conversation with Michael Gayed, publisher of the LeadLag Report, as he discusses his concerns about the Federal Reserve's actions and the potential risks to the stock market. Questions on Protecting Your Wealth with Gold & Silver? Schedule a Strategy Call Here ➡️ https://calendly.com/itmtrading/podcast or Call 866-349-3310

Prepare to navigate the treacherous currents of the fixed income market as I, Michael Gayed, along with the astute Althea Spinozzi from Saxo Bank, impart pivotal insights into a decade of fixed income strife and strategies. Our latest Lead-Lag Live voyage casts a spotlight on the inflationary tumult and investor risk perceptions that have molded the financial seascape, with Althea expertly dissecting the ebbs and flows from the European debt crisis to today's volatile treasuries. Catch the drift as we scrutinize the enduring strength of credit spreads amidst a swift rate hike cyclone and discern the foreboding clouds amassing over the junk bond horizon.Feel the pulse of the Federal Reserve's monetary machinations and their enigmatic influence on long-duration treasury yields through the lens of Althea's profound expertise. As we probe the complex dance between fiscal policy and the looming US election, we weigh the Fed's prospects of navigating the economy without tipping the political scales. This delicate balance underscores the paramount discussion for investors and policymakers alike, highlighting the Fed's pivotal role in maintaining economic equilibrium as we edge closer to 2024.Venture further into the global theater where the chess pieces of international investors and national policies sway the fate of US Treasuries. Acknowledge the seismic potential of a Japanese investment retreat and the consequent shockwaves that could jolt the global markets. We also cast our gaze towards China and Europe, dissecting how their economic strategies resonate with the US financial ecosystem. With Althea's expertise at the helm, brace for a comprehensive analysis of transatlantic rate dynamics, served directly from her Saxo Bank analyses and Twitter dispatches, ensuring you remain a move ahead in the strategic game of fixed income markets.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Embark with me, Michael Gayed, as we navigate the ever-shifting terrain of financial advising, featuring the remarkable insights of Kurt Altrichter, the mind behind Ivory Hill. As the financial markets oscillate with the uncertainty of our times, Kurt's leap from a conventional wirehouse broker-dealer to the helm of his own firm during a pandemic is nothing short of inspiring. Together, we unravel the tapestry of today's investment challenges, discussing the nuances of asset allocation in an era where the S&P 500's dominance challenges diversification strategies. Our conversation traverses the delicate balance between the stability of dollar-cost averaging and the protective strategies like buffer ETFs that shield against volatility.The art of investment is a masterpiece of patience and strategy, particularly poignant during bear market cycles that test the resolve of even the most seasoned investors. This episode sheds light on these historic stretches of stagnant markets, such as the years from 1964 to 1982, and the "lost decade" that began the new millennium. Kurt and I reflect on the psychological battles investors face, and how such trying times catalyze a shift towards more proactive asset management. By embracing technical analysis and dividend strategies, we reveal how calculated risks can transform upward trends into opportunities for substantial returns.As retirement planning looms on the horizon, we dissect the transformation of 401k plans and the increasing popularity of model portfolios. Through client stories and real-world scenarios, we demonstrate how goal-based financial plans can triumph over age-old adages in securing a more comfortable future. Kurt illuminates the battle against inflation's erosive effects on fixed incomes, stressing the necessity to preserve purchasing power for those golden years. Whether you're an investor seeking clarity in a fog of market complexity or a financial advisor hoping to sharpen your edge, this episode is a wellspring of wisdom for the financially curious.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Get ready to unlock the secrets of real estate investment in a market that's been through a seismic shift since the financial crisis. Joining me, Michael Gayed, is the astute investor and content creator Nick Halaris, who left his mark in law and consulting to conquer the property investment world. Our conversation navigates through the treacherous waters of macroeconomic changes and the tidal wave of institutional investment that has rewritten the playbook for housing markets, both single-family and multifamily. With Nick's expertise, we untangle the complex interplay of market forces, political debate, and the looming shadow of legislative action, giving you a front-row seat to the changing face of property investment.As the discussion deepens, we lift the veil on the interconnection between real estate and politics, including the regulatory landscape that continues to mold the future of property ownership and investment. The concept of tokenization emerges as a beacon of innovation—imagine transforming your bricks-and-mortar investments into tradable securities through the magic of blockchain technology. Nick and I explore the impact of these advancements on liquidity, valuation, and the broader investment community. Then, we pivot to the juxtaposition of real estate and the fast-paced tech industry, assessing the role of physical infrastructure amid the digital revolution and dispensing essential wisdom for the aspiring real estate investor navigating a post-pandemic world. Tune in for a masterclass in adapting to the ever-evolving game of property investment with agility and foresight.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Embark on an intellectual journey with Michael Gayed and our esteemed guest Brian Albrecht as we unravel the intricate tapestry of today's economic landscape. This episode guarantees to arm you with a deeper understanding of how data, computation, and behavioral economics are reshaping the field. Together, we scrutinize the rise of empirical research focused on causal relationships, and how these advancements influence policy-making and macroeconomic trends. By shedding light on the complexities of market power and competition in the US economy, we lay bare the fundamental shifts affecting both businesses and consumers.As the dialogue progresses, Brian and I confront the contentious issues of market concentration, inflation, and the role of 'superstar' firms in our economy. We tackle the misconceptions around price gouging head-on, emphasizing the need to discern the nuanced interplay between supply and demand. The chapter on tariffs cuts through the political rhetoric, offering a candid evaluation of their consequences on international trade, domestic manufacturing, and the wallets of everyday Americans. This segment is sure to challenge your preconceptions and enrich your grasp of current economic policies.Concluding with a look towards the horizon, our conversation shifts toward the pressing concerns over government debt, regulatory landscapes, and the economy's ability to adapt in uncertain times. Brian's insights shine a light on how markets and regulations can evolve, presenting a hopeful outlook on the potential for reform and innovation in the face of these challenges. This episode is more than just a podcast; it's a panoramic view of our economic reality, intended for those ready to embrace a sophisticated perspective on the forces shaping our fiscal and regulatory frameworks.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Embark on an intellectual odyssey with us, as I, Michael Gayed, sit down with the illustrious Chris Fenton, whose journey from Cornell engineer to Hollywood heavyweight has positioned him at the nexus of US-China relations. Chris's seasoned insights into the delicate interplay of culture and commerce between these two titans are a revelation, emphasizing a critical pivot toward balanced engagement without kindling the flames of conflict. Our conversation spans from the silver screens of Tinseltown to the corridors of power in Beijing, uncovering the nuances of trade imbalances, intellectual property challenges, and the intricacies of representing sports icons in the Chinese cultural landscape.As the digital era permeates every facet of our lives, we scrutinize one of its most controversial offspring, TikTok, through the lens of geopolitical strategy and societal impact. Chris Fenton decodes the potential of this cultural powerhouse to sow discord among Americans, particularly the youth, by exacerbating divides and shaping political narratives. The implications are profound—we dissect the role of social media in molding perspectives and influencing public opinion, navigating through the subtext of 'woke' vs. anti-woke debates and the tug-of-war over data control. This chapter serves as a cautionary tale, alerting us to the unseen currents of foreign influence that stream through our daily digital interactions.To conclude, we turn our gaze to the shifting sands of the business landscape with China, where the rise of its electric vehicle (EV) industry takes center stage. The conversation drives home the point with a look at Tesla's strategic maneuvers in this competitive arena and the broader implications for US-China corporate dance. We demystify the complexities that businesses face in this market—balancing economic prospects with national security and staying true to American values. This episode isn't just a deep dive into US-China affairs; it's a roadmap for entrepreneurs and policy-makers alike, who seek to chart a course through the opportunities and pitfalls that define this critical global relationship. Join us for a discourse that traverses from the boardrooms of the West to the bustling streets of the East, as we usher in a future where cooperation and competition coexist.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Embark on an intellectual journey with me, Michael Gayed, as I sit down with the astute Vitaliy Katsenelson, a value investor who brings a refreshing twist to traditional investing wisdom. Together, we dissect the true essence of value investing, where Vitaliy's unique perspective—shaped by his move from Russia in 1991 and honed through years of experience—blurs the lines between value and growth. His disciplined approach to treating stocks as whole companies and his commitment to a margin of safety resonates throughout our discussion, particularly as he shares his strategy behind managing his investment in Uber.As the conversation steers into the realm of the oil industry, prepare to scrutinize the factors influencing oil demand and the steady advancement of electric vehicles. I shed light on why the road to a post-combustion engine world might be longer than anticipated, considering the current state of charging infrastructure and the influence of ESG trends on the investment landscape. Listen closely for insights on identifying oil companies that excel in managing the cyclical nature of the market—those with the combination of low production costs and strategic leadership that spells success.In the finale of our episode, Vitaliy and I navigate the broader scopes of the energy transition and the art of marketing within the investment sector. You'll hear candid reflections on the intersection of our personal philosophies and professional practices, and how authenticity has played an unexpected role in business growth. Our discussion traverses the political and practical challenges of green energy adoption, spotlighting nuclear power's potential in the energy mix. For a blend of personal anecdotes, industry expertise, and the untold narratives behind investment decisions, tune in for a deep dive into the minds that see beyond the numbers. And for those who prefer the spoken word, my musings on investing are now available on the Intellectual Investor, the "lazy man's podcast.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the show

Gain invaluable insights into personal finance as Amir Noor, a seasoned financial advisor with a 15-year track record, joins me, Michael Gayed, in a riveting discussion that promises to untangle the often-misunderstood world of financial planning. Our conversation ranges from the nuances of different advisor types to the urgency of aligning your financial strategies with your most cherished life goals. We debunk the myth that investing trumps planning and highlight those pivotal moments, like starting a family, that sharpen one's focus on their financial future. As we navigate through generational shifts and societal trends, Amir lays out the foundational steps he employs to kickstart a client's journey towards financial clarity and empowerment.As the buzz around loan forgiveness builds with the upcoming election, we dissect the critical need for financial literacy and the educational system's gap in providing it. The ease of falling into the traps set by credit cards and tempting 'buy now, pay later' offers is alarming, and we stress the influential role financial planners can play in curbing these habits. By embracing tools like expense tracking spreadsheets, one can become a prudent steward of their finances, setting the stage for long-term prosperity. Join us for a chapter that not only scrutinizes current financial trends but also champions the transformative power of disciplined spending and saving behaviors.Retirement may seem like a distant dream for many, but our discussion peels back the layers of this complex phase, offering insights and strategies for navigating its choppy waters. We share a story of a client who, even after a lottery windfall, grappled with retirement planning, illustrating the perils of underestimating inflation and the cost of elder care. The conversation also includes a primer on choosing a financial advisor that aligns with your interests, with a spotlight on the virtues of a fiduciary, fee-only approach. Plus, we don't overlook the gender nuances in financial planning, acknowledging how differences in risk tolerance and life expectancy between men and women can shape their financial strategies. Tune in for an episode filled with essential advice, whether you're laying the cornerstone for retirement or seeking to fortify your fiscal foundation.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://leadlagreport.substack.com today.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or othe Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Unlock the secrets behind market anomalies and refine your investment acumen with Michael Gayed and guest expert JD Henning. In this riveting discussion, we dissect the peculiarities of price momentum and post-earnings announcement drift, providing you with a blueprint to harness these phenomena for your portfolio's growth. From the nuanced interplay of volatility and market trends to JD's time-tested momentum gauge signals, you'll gain exclusive insights tailored to outsmart the market's elusive rhythms.Venture with us into the financial market's shadowed realms, as we shed light on the enigmatic performance of 'zombie companies' during fiscal stimulus, and how even robust businesses like GCT can fall prey to pricing lags. You'll emerge with a fortified understanding of market efficiency, the human psyche's influence on investment decisions, and the art of portfolio construction. Whether you're navigating the headwinds of active versus passive investing or seeking to anticipate sector movements, this episode equips you with the strategic foresight to capitalize on the market's capricious nature.ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://leadlagreport.substack.com today.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

Ready to uncover the secrets of global investment strategies? This episode promises to deliver a wealth of knowledge, straight from the brains of renowned expers Peter Berezin. Join us as we dissect the financial world, exploring the current dominance of US equities, the potential of emerging and European markets, and the looming impact of an imminent recession. Our guest brings his wealth of experience to the table, allowing us to dig deep into the complexities of small cap stocks and the financial landscape as a whole.Buckle up as we traverse the intricate terrain of monetary policy and the inevitable recession risks in the US. Our journey takes us all the way to Japan, focusing on the Bank of Japan's attempts to normalize its monetary policy and the potential for a reverse carry trade. We'll unearth the potential performance of the yen in the coming year and the cultural aspect of deflation in Japan. We also dive into the transformative role of AI, offering a fresh perspective on its impact on businesses and investors. Finally, our discussion takes a global turn, topping off with some exciting non-US investments. We'll shed light on the potential of emerging markets, the geopolitical rifts impacting Mexico and Vietnam, and the possibility of European banks being a great long-term investment. Michael Gayed and Peter also share their insights on the role of central banks like the ECB in mitigating financial crises. So, join us for an exciting tour of the global financial landscape, led by the industry's best!ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at https://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive and get 30% off as a podcast listener.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.Support the show

Overview In Episode 15, we unravel the mysteries and strategies of compound interest, a fundamental concept in finance that can significantly impact your financial future. Our panel of financial experts, Helaine Olen, Jordan Grumet, Mariko Gordon, and Michael Gayed, bring a wealth of knowledge and diverse perspectives to illuminate how compound interest plays a dynamic role in wealth building. Segments Segment 1: The Magic of Compound Interest: Transforming Your Finances Discover the transformative power of compound interest and how it can exponentially grow your savings, turning small, consistent investments into substantial wealth over time. Segment 2: Grow Your Fortune: Understanding Compound Interest in Investments Explore the vast landscape of investments where compound interest works its magic. From stocks to retirement accounts, learn how to harness this power for long-term financial prosperity. Segment 3: Early Start, Greater Wealth: Harnessing Compound Interest Over Time We delve into the importance of starting your investment journey early and the astonishing effects of compound interest over time, emphasizing the significant advantage of time in growing your wealth. Segment 4: Strategic Wealth Building: Compound Interest for Life's Milestones Align your financial goals with life's milestones using the power of compound interest. Whether planning for retirement, a dream vacation, or other significant life events, we guide you through creating a personalized investment strategy. Segment 5: Navigating Compound Interest: The Investor and Borrower's Guide Learn how compound interest can be a boon for investors and a bane for borrowers. We provide strategies for both, ensuring you make the most of this powerful financial tool in your financial journey. Guest Profiles: Helaine Olen: An award-winning opinion writer and author of "Pound Foolish," Helaine Olen offers invaluable insights on financial decision-making, blending her expertise in money and society to provide a unique perspective on personal finance. http://helaineolen.com Jordan Grumet: Combining medical and financial expertise, Jordan Grumet, host of Earn & Invest and author of "Taking Stock," brings a fresh perspective on wealth, health, and living a life without regrets. https://earnandinvest.com Mariko Gordon: Founder of Daruma Capital Management and a trailblazer for women in finance, Mariko Gordon empowers women in business and finance, sharing her vast experience and insights in the financial world. https://marikogordon.com Michael Gayed: Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report and Portfolio Manager at Tidal Financial Group, Michael Gayed is known for his ETF-focused research and investment strategies, offering a treasure trove of insights for any investor. https://leadlagreport.com

In the early months of 2023, recession fears loomed large, and the world later faced geopolitical turmoil with conflicts still standing in Ukraine and the Middle East. Despite this, the S&P surged approximately 15%, and the Nasdaq skyrocketed by 30%. Join James Connor of Bloor Street Capital ( @BloorStreetCapital ) and Michael Gayed, Portfolio Manager at Tidal Financial Group and Publisher of the Lead-Lag Report ( @leadlagreport ), as they unravel the mysteries behind this unexpected market positivity, and what it means for the economy. They'll explore the signals these market movements are sending, dive into the intricacies of the bond market, and analyze if fluctuating oil prices hint at a potential economic downturn. This insightful conversation navigates the disconnects observed in today's markets, providing perspective on how seemingly contradictory indicators can coexist. #MarketDisconnects #EconomicSignals #oil WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKETS? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.wealthion.com ************************ At Wealthion, we show you how to protect and build your wealth by learning from the world's top experts on finance and money. Each week we add new videos that provide you with access to the foremost specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate and personal finance. We offer exceptional interviews and explainer videos that dive deep into the trends driving today's markets, the economy, and your own net worth. We give you strategies for financial security, practical answers to questions like “how to grow my investments?”, and effective solutions for wealth building tailored to 'regular' investors just like you. Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis. Put the wisdom from the money & markets experts we feature on Wealthion into action by scheduling a free consultation with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors, who will work with you to determine the right next steps for you to take in building your wealth. SCHEDULE YOUR FREE WEALTH CONSULTATION with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors here: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.wealthion.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Subscribe to our YouTube channel: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCKMeK-HGHfUFFArZ91rzv5A?sub_confirmation=1⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Follow us on Facebook: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.facebook.com/Wealthion-109680281218040⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ****************************** IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as official investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust.

Tom welcomes Portfolio Manager Michael Gayed, author and publisher of the Lead Lag Report, back to the show. Michael highlights the current market situation and why it is challenging to make accurate predictions about the near future. There is overconfidence amongst investors that the economy will avoid a recession, despite increasing default risks. Additionally, most believe that stocks will continue to outperform, even though the charts are not indicative of a new bull market. Michael also shares his concerns about Treasuries and the rising possibility of bank failures. He believes that the Fed is more reactionary and less anticipatory, and they will most likely take a longer time to respond to the current economic situation. We are approaching a crucial turning point, and something must be done to address the mounting issues. Michael explains the importance of the Gold to Lumber ratio, which acts as a leading indicator for the housing market. He has faith in this ratio as it has proven to be an accurate indicator of market trends. Finally, Michael discusses the irrationality in markets and its possible outcomes. He believes that the market is in a state of euphoria, which may lead to a severe downturn in the future. He also highlights the need for more rationality. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:45 - Complacency Risks3:54 - Market Concentration7:00 - Irrational Melt Ups9:02 - Crypto Thoughts11:15 - Treasury Concerns15:42 - Bank Failure Risk17:42 - Central Bank Reactions24:43 - Refinancing26:10 - Housing Concerns28:34 - Consumers & Oil Prices30:10 - Japan & Oil Imports33:29 - Japan Treasury Holdings35:03 - Gold/Lumber Ratio38:18 - FOMO & Equity Bubbles41:30 - Anxiety & Confusion44:15 - Safe Haven Trades45:40 - Wrap Up Talking Points From This Weeks Episode Market overconfidence despite increasing default risks and absence of new bull market indicators. Concerns about treasuries, bank failures, and Fed's reactionary approach. Importance of Gold to Lumber ratio as leading indicator and irrationality in markets leading to a future downturn. Guest Links:Website: https://www.leadlagreport.com/Website: https://www.tidalfinancialgroup.comTwitter: https://twitter.com/leadlagreportYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/theleadlagreport Michael A. Gayed, CFA, is Portfolio Manager at Toroso Asset Management, an award-winning author and publisher of The Lead-Lag Report. Michael is a well-respected results-oriented Investment Manager showcasing 15 years of successfully executing initiatives that result in significant revenue growth. In addition, he is known for identifying and implementing various investment strategies to capture market anomalies while maintaining a business mindset beyond portfolio management. Michael offers a proven track record of evaluating business/investment opportunities, quickly understanding market dynamics and relationships. He is also an out-of-the-box thinker committed to strengthening organizations' financial performance through dedicated hard work and a passion for investing. He is a graduate of (Cum Laude) NYU Stern School of Business with a Double Major in Finance & Management and has a Bachelor of Science in Finance & Management. In addition, he is a Chartered Financial Analyst from the CFA Institute.