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Alibaba raised $10 billion in a share sale this week specifically to fund AI expansion, then immediately launched its Wan3.0 AI video model — a signal that Chinese tech giants are moving fast and spending big to compete with US rivals. We examine what this capital deployment means for the global AI arms race, competitive dynamics, and whether US investors should be paying closer attention to Chinese AI.Today's Stocks & Topics: Cameco Corporation (CCJ), Market Wrap, The Utility Sector, Themes Humanoid Robotics ETF (BOTT), Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF (BOTZ), ROBO Global Robotics & Automation Index ETF (ROBO), MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM), Alibaba's $10 Billion AI Bet: What China's Tech Giants Signal About the Global AI Race, Good ETFs to Invest In, Genpact Limited (G), Autodesk, Inc. (ADSK), August Gas Price Milestone.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Trump's decision to hike Canada auto tariffs to 50% after trade talks collapsed marks one of the most aggressive moves yet in the ongoing US-Canada trade war. We explain how this reshapes auto supply chains, raises car prices for American consumers, and what the broader tariff escalation signals for North American economic integration.Today's Stocks & Topics: The Hershey Company (HSY), Market Wrap, DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS), Memory Squeeze, Gold, Trade War 2.0: Canada Auto Tariffs Hit 50% and What It Means for Your Wallet, Target Corporation (TGT), Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD), Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, KPP Newsletter, Long Term Care in Retirement.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
The US dollar is hovering near multi-month lows as debt concerns and geopolitical risk unnerve investors, and that weakness has ripple effects across everything from import prices to emerging market assets. We break down why the dollar is under pressure, who wins and who loses, and what a sustained dollar slide would mean for the American investor.Today's Stocks & Topics: Danaher Corporation (DHR), Market Wrap, NICE Ltd. (NICE), Electricity Prices, Devon Energy Corporation (DVN), Why Is the Dollar Weakening? What Multi-Month Lows Mean for Your Purchasing Power, Saving to Buy a House, Buzzi S.p.A. (BIT:BZU), Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB), Rare Earth Metals.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Aug 28, 2026 – Nvidia and Marvell reveal AI's next phase, software stages a comeback after the "SaaS apocalypse," and a hawkish Warsh puts a Fed hike back on the table. Ryan Puplava breaks down where growth, value, and rate risk collide for investors...
Germany's Ifo Institute reported this week that its aging population is pushing social spending to record highs, a fiscal dynamic that closely mirrors the pressures the US Social Security and Medicare systems are heading toward. We examine what demographic-driven fiscal stress looks like, how it affects bond markets and currency strength, and what lessons American investors can draw.Today's Stocks & Topics: Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL), Market Wrap, Sibanye Stillwater Limited (SBSW), Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT), The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW), Single Stock ETFs, Barrick Mining Corporation (B), Germany's Aging Population and Record Social Spending: A Preview of America's Fiscal Future?, State Street SPDR S&P Health Care Services ETF (XHS), Sectors to Invest In, LeMaitre Vascular, Inc. (LMAT), The Hackett Group, Inc. (HCKT), Caterpillar Inc. (CAT), GE Vernova Inc. (GEV), Bad Investments.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Ray Dalio warned this week that Treasury Secretary Bessent's market intervention signals a debt crisis is getting closer — and he's recommending gold and bitcoin as hedges. We dig into what the bond market is telling us about US fiscal sustainability and whether Dalio's alarm bells should change how everyday investors position themselves.Today's Stocks & Topics: Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST), Market Wrap, TTM Technologies, Inc. (TTMI), Oil Markets, The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW), Ray Dalio's Debt Crisis Warning: Is the US Heading for a Fiscal Breaking Point?, Energizer Holdings, Inc. (ENR), Digital Core REIT (SGX:DCRU), T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW), Saving to Buy a House.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
The Senate has delayed work on the Clarity Act while regulators continue building a broader framework for digital assets, with the White House preparing a meeting of crypto executives, the SEC, and the CFTC. We will walk through what a regulatory framework would actually change for ordinary investors, and how to evaluate this space without treating it as a portfolio cornerstone. Today's Stocks & Topics: Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD), Market Wrap, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc. (CBRL), Private Credit, Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY), Regulation catches up to digital assets, Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK), EnerSys (ENS), Investment Loss, AAON, Inc. (AAON), US Packaged Food Companies.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
The Kansas City Fed set this year's Jackson Hole theme as financial innovation and its implications for payments and policy, arriving alongside a stablecoin float above $307 billion. We will break down what tokenized money and instant payments actually change about the plumbing of the financial system, and what investors should and should not read into it.Today's Stocks & Topics: VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), Market Wrap, Sandisk Corporation (SNDK), How to Identify Winning Stocks?, Nucor Corporation (NUE), Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD), Financial innovation is now a Fed problem, Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF (VEA), Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Index Fund (VEU), Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, Sonos, Inc. (SONO), IMAX Corporation (IMAX), State Street SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE), Taxable Account.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
The dollar has fallen to a two-month low against the euro, near 1.1590. On tomorrow's InvestTalk, we explain why currency moves quietly drive a large share of international fund returns, and whether hedged or unhedged exposure makes more sense from here.Today's Stocks & Topics: VBWX Technologies, Inc. (BWXT), Market Wrap, Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD), Money Market Funds, First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG), The dollar's slide and what it does to your foreign holdings, Nucor Corporation (NUE), Zoetis Inc. (ZTS), T. Rowe Price International Value Equity Fund (TRIGX), iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF (IXUS), SEC's Plan to Eliminate Quarterly Reporting.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Aug 21, 2026 – The biggest move this week wasn't semis or Iran—it was bonds. 30-year Treasury yields hit 5.3%, a two-decade high. Investors are demanding more compensation for duration amid $40T debt, AI financing needs, and rising oil...
The Russell 2000 set a fresh record to close out last week even as large caps struggled. On tomorrow's InvestTalk, we look at what leadership rotation historically signals, and how investors should think about size exposure without chasing a two-week move.Today's Stocks & Topics: Vanguard Morningstar Mid-Cap Value Index Fund Admiral Shares (VMVAX), Market Wrap, Rollins, Inc. (ROL), Household Debt, American Electric Power Company, Inc. (AEP), Small caps woke up: is the rally finally broadening?, Physical Gold or Gold Stocks, Apple Inc. (AAPL), Housing Insurance.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Nosipho Radebe speaks to Sithembile Bopela, Head of Financial Markets and Insights at FNB Wealth & InvestmentsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Nosipho Radebe is in conversation with Kwame Antwi, Founder & Director at KOA Capital See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Nosipho Radebe speaks to Viv Govender, Senior Analyst at Rand SwissSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Nosipho Radebe is in conversation with Zwelakhe Mnguni, Chief Investment Officer at Benguela Global Fund Managers See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The federal government will spend about a trillion dollars on interest this year, roughly what it spends on national defense, and every rate increase makes that number larger. We will explain why the government's own borrowing costs now shape monetary policy, what that means for long-dated bonds, and why central banks around the world are buying gold at the fastest pace in years.Today's Stocks & Topics: Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO), Market Wrap, Valero Energy Corporation (VLO), Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC), Phillips 66 (PSX), Car Makers and Motor Oil, The Trillion-dollar Interest Bill Nobody Votes On, Avantis International Equity ETF (AVDE), Short Selling vs Put Options, Chevron Corporation (CVX), Salesforce, Inc. (CRM), ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW).Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
In the same week that vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz dwindled and a new Iran bill threatens to bar 'hostile' ships, Turkish officials confirmed Black Sea passage continues while Houthi attacks escalate in the Red Sea region. We map out how simultaneous threats to multiple critical waterways create compounding risks for global trade, inflation, and investor portfolios.Today's Stocks & Topics: Positions Sizing, Market Wrap, Innovative Industrial Properties, Inc. (IIPR), Private Investments, Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT), Global Shipping Under Siege: How Hormuz, the Black Sea, and Red Sea Threats Hit Your Investments, Equity and Retirement, Williams-Sonoma Inc. (WSM), Big Tech Earnings, ONEOK, Inc. (OKE), AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB), Interest Rates.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
A weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report sent the dollar sliding and pushed back market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike. We explore what softer labor data means for the rate outlook, bond markets, and where investors should be positioned.Today's Stocks & Topics: The Glimpse Group, Inc. (GGRP), Market Wrap, FreightCar America, Inc. (RAIL), Veralto Corporation (VLTO), Market Rotation, V.F. Corporation (VFC), Soft Jobs Report and the Dollar's New Direction: What It Means for Investors, KPP Newsletter, Otis Worldwide Corporation (OTIS), Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT), Boston Scientific Corporation (BSX), How Much Money Do You Need To Be Happy?Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Aug 14, 2026 – Inflation data cooled enough to ease rate-hike fears. The consumer is showing real cracks in retail sales and sentiment. AI infrastructure spending keeps accelerating, led by Nvidia's $500 billion financing push. Market breadth is broadening beyond mega-cap tech...
A new report shows homes are selling below asking price in 38 of the 50 biggest U.S. cities, a signal that the long-dominant seller's market may be finally turning. We examine what this shift means for real estate as an asset class, homebuilder stocks, and mortgage-sensitive portfolios.Today's Stocks & Topics: AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV), Market Wrap, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (REGN), Affordable Care Act (ACA), Onto Innovation Inc. (ONTO), U.S. Housing Market Cracks: Homes Selling Below Asking Price in 38 Major Cities, Pulse Biosciences, Inc. (PLSE), Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER), Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD), Dillard's, Inc. (DDS), Margin Debt.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
The S&P 500 is approaching another record high after a few weeks, powered in part by record-breaking options activity and a recovery from July's brief selloff. We will dig into whether the fundamental and technical picture supports this rally or if investors are getting ahead of themselves.Today's Stocks & Topics: GSK plc (GSK), Market Wrap, Stop Orders, S&P Global Inc. (SPGI), “Refine, Baby, Refine”, iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF (RING), S&P 500 Near Record Highs: Is the Stock Market Rally Sustainable in 2026?, The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. (GBX), WisdomTree US Value Fund of Benef Interest (WTV), Vanguard Dividend Appreciation Index Fund Admiral Shares (VDADX).Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Software stocks are swinging wildly amid growing debate over whether AI is cannibalizing traditional SaaS business models—a phenomenon some are calling the 'SaaSpocalypse.' We explore the structural risks to software sector valuations and what a shifting tech landscape means for investors with heavy tech exposure.Today's Stocks & Topics: Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (DLR), Market Wrap, Barrick Mining Corporation (B), Heidelberg Materials AG (ETR:HEI), Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM), The SaaSpocalypse Debate: Are AI Stocks Disrupting SaaS in 2026?, General Motors Company (GM), Veeva Systems Inc. (VEEV), European Stocks, Appian Corporation (APPN), The Yen and Bond Markets.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
The explosive growth of data centers is creating a surprising surge in demand for workforce housing near construction and operation sites. This under-the-radar connection between AI infrastructure and real estate markets opens up investment angles most people haven't considered.Today's Stocks & Topics: Medtronic plc (MDT), Market Wrap, UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC), Valero Energy Corporation (VLO), How to Read the Charts, Target Corporation (TGT), Data Centers, Housing, and the Hidden Real Estate Play in the AI Boom, Retirement Account, DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. (DV), Gold, Roblox Corporation (RBLX), Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL), Credit Markets.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4hmEuE3 David Bahnsen hosts the Monday Dividend Cafe, recapping a quiet market day with the Dow down 60 points, the S&P essentially flat, and the Nasdaq down 32 bps, while noting rapid credit-spread tightening and the 10-year yield closing at 4.7%. Energy led sectors as oil rose over 5%, while REITs lagged; he highlights that most S&P 500 profit-margin expansion is concentrated in large tech rather than the broader index. PitchBook data show 33,600 unsold private-equity-owned companies globally, up year-to-date. On policy, the Senate recessed after voting to fund the government through mid-December, with no movement on a GOP budget blueprint or the CLARITY crypto bill. The key development was Friday's jobs report: 23,000 jobs lost, large downward revisions, and a lower unemployment rate driven by labor-force exits, reducing September hike odds to 50/50. Redfin data show widespread below-ask home sales, especially in Florida and Texas, and he addresses a listener question about faith references in his Friday piece. 00:00 Welcome and Agenda 00:24 Market Wrap and Rates 00:57 Credit Spreads and Risk 02:18 Sector Moves and Breadth 02:57 Margins and AI Divide 04:12 Private Equity Backlog 05:17 Friday Episode Plug 06:02 Middle East and Oil 06:28 Washington Policy Update 07:21 Jobs Report Shock 07:55 Fed Outlook After Jobs 08:43 Housing Price Softening 10:50 Energy and SPR Levels 11:29 Ask TBG Faith Question 13:49 Closing and Friday Preview Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
More Americans are exiting the workforce entirely rather than searching for new jobs, with many citing a job market that has simply worn them down. This shift in labor force participation has deep implications for wage growth, inflation, consumer spending, and the Fed's next move.Today's Stocks & Topics: Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. (PLAY), Market Wrap, Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD), AstraZeneca PLC (AZN), HubSpot, Inc. (HUBS), The Progressive Corporation (PGR), Workers Are Dropping Out: What Falling Labor Force Participation Signals for the Economy, Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. (APLE), Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, Market Topics, Realty Income, Space X Investors.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
The AI Arms Race: Is the US Lead Over China Already Gone?A provocative new op-ed argues the United States has all but lost its AI advantage over China, just as hyperscalers are posting massive earnings from AI infrastructure spending. We examine what this competitive shift means for technology investors and long-term US economic leadership.Today's Stocks & Topics: Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (DLR), Market Wrap, AppLovin Corporation (APP), The Yen, Company's Debt, The AI Arms Race: Is the US Lead Over China Already Gone?, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM), Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL), The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV).Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Aug 7, 2026 – Earnings continue to support the AI infrastructure cycle. The labor market is slowing without clear evidence of recession. The Nasdaq repaired what now looks like a failed breakdown. Breadth remains healthy, and global technology...
Don Wick of Red River Farm Network and Randy Martinson of Martinson Ag Risk Management discuss grain market factors at play in the first week of August on the Agweek Market Wrap.
Markets whipsawed this week as Trump called off strikes, Iran denied talks, and stocks surged then pulled back on every new headline. Learning to separate signal from noise when geopolitical events drive extreme short-term volatility is one of the most valuable skills a long-term investor can develop.Today's Stocks & Topics: The Walt Disney Company (DIS), Market Wrap, Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA), Airlines, Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE), Iran Peace Signals and Market Volatility: How to Invest When Headlines Move Markets, Taking Profits, Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW), Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD), Artificial intelligence (AI) Use.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
New York just sued prediction market platform Kalshi, calling it an illegal gambling operation — even as sophisticated traders pour into these markets using AI bots and advanced data strategies. We examine what prediction markets tell us about information pricing and whether they belong in an investor's toolkit.Today's Stocks & Topics: Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD), Market Wrap, Matador Resources Company (MTDR), Global Financial System, Newmont Corporation (NEM), Are Prediction Markets Legal? The Kalshi Lawsuit and What It Means for Investors, Roth I-R-A, Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD), Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP), abrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Longer Dated Strategy K-1 Free ETF (BCD), Data Centers.Our Sponsors:* Check out Anthropic and use my code Claude.ai/invest for a great deal: https://www.anthropic.com* Check out Chilipad and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/INVEST for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Bloomberg reports that Trump's tariffs are likely to stick around despite their unpopularity, signaling that businesses and investors need to treat elevated trade barriers as a structural feature of the economy — not a temporary headwind. We examine the long-term investment implications of a world where tariffs are the new normal.Today's Stocks & Topics: Carpenter Technology Corporation (CRS), Market Wrap, Boston Scientific Corporation (BSX), Boston Scientific Corporation (BSX), Leopold Aschenbrenner, Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT), Tariffs Are Here to Stay: How Permanent Trade Barriers Are Reshaping Long-Term Investing, Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, Return of Equity vs. Return of Assets, Fox Corporation (FOXA), iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT), The U.S. Treasury.Our Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
AI-themed ETFs are surging in number even as the sector faces a rough quarter, with companies like Anthropic rolling out cheaper models and AI capital expenditures dominating earnings calls — yet returns remain elusive for many investors. We ask the critical question every listener wants answered: when does the AI infrastructure spending boom actually translate into profits?Today's Stocks & Topics: Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH), Market Wrap, Bond Concentration Risk, State Street Corporation (STT), AI's Spending Problem: When Does the Massive Cash Burn Start Paying Off?, CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Mueller Industries, Inc. (MLI), Fibonacci Extensions, Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI).Our Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/invest for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Jul 31, 2026 – This week showed that earnings can overpower macroeconomic pressure when companies provide hard evidence that spending is producing revenue, backlog, and adoption. Microsoft and Amazon revived the AI trade through rapid cloud growth and clearer monetization,
Jamie Dickerman of Red River Farm Network and Randy Martinson of Martinson Ag Risk Management discuss the headlines moving the markets, including on war, trade and weather, on the Agweek Market Wrap.
The US dollar has been whipsawing — pulling back as the US-Iran attacks paused, while simultaneously hitting 40-year highs against the yen — creating a confusing picture for currency and international investors. We explore what these dollar dynamics mean for your international holdings and the broader economic outlook.Today's Stocks & Topics: Brookfield Corporation (BN), Market Wrap, Share Dilution, Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), Is the US Dollar Losing Its Edge? The Dollar Outlook in the Age of Oil Shocks and Geopolitical Risk, The Coca-Cola Company (KO), Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP), EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME), Hedge Funds Demand.Our Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/invest for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
The 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near January 2025 highs as oil-driven inflation fears collide with an uncertain Fed path, creating serious turbulence in bond markets. We break down what these yield levels mean for bond investors, mortgage borrowers, and anyone trying to build a balanced portfolio right now.Today's Stocks & Topics: ING Groep N.V. (ING), Market Wrap, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM), Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS), Commercial Real Estate Lending, Autoliv, Inc. (ALV), Bond Market Outlook 2026: What Treasury Yields Near Multi-Year Highs Mean for Your Portfolio, CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Corning Incorporated (GLW), Energy Transfer LP (ET), ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW), Big Tech Credit Risks.Our Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/invest for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
U.S. gas prices have crossed the $4-per-gallon mark again as the ongoing conflict between the U.S. and Iran continues to rattle energy markets. With the Strait of Hormuz under threat and tanker traffic dropping, investors need to understand how this ripple effect reaches their wallets.Today's Stocks & Topics: T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Equity ETF (TCAF), Market Wrap, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM), B2Gold Corp. (BTG), The Industrial Boom, Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO), Gas Prices Going Up in 2026: What the $4 Pump Means for Your Portfolio, American Express Company (AXP), Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP), Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO), Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT), Quant Investing, Banks.Our Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/invest for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
With oil prices spiking and gas crossing $4 again due to Middle East conflict, the Federal Reserve faces a nightmare scenario where energy-driven inflation could force rate hikes even as the economy shows signs of slowing. This tension between fighting war inflation and supporting growth is the single biggest macro question for investors right now.Today's Stocks & Topics: Cameco Corporation (CCJ), Market Wrap, Oscar Health, Inc. (OSCR), Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE), Solventum Corporation (SOLV), The Fed's Impossible Position: War Inflation vs. Rate Cuts, Interest Options, Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, Dover Corporation (DOV), LiveWire Group, Inc. (LVWR), The Oil Markets.Our Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/invest for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
The U.S. dollar has been gaining ground as investors flee to safety amid escalating Middle East tensions, even as the pound and other currencies give back recent gains. But a stronger dollar has its own set of consequences for multinationals, emerging markets, and commodity prices.Today's Stocks & Topics: Trump Account vs. 529 Account, Market Wrap, abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF (GLTR), K Shaped Economy, CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF), Dollar vs. Emerging Market Currencies: Is the Safe-Haven Rally a Trap?, Blue-Chip Stocks, Meta Platforms, Inc. (META), Private Label Brands, Vanguard Energy Index Fund ETF Shares (VDE), Chubb Limited (CB).Our Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/invest for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Even as semiconductor stocks sell off and geopolitical headlines dominate, there are pockets of the market quietly delivering solid returns — and most retail investors are completely ignoring them. This week we explore the sectors and themes that are working when tech isn't, and how to find opportunity in the chaos.Today's Stocks & Topics: Jackson Financial Inc. (JXN), Market Wrap, AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB), 401k Allocations, DraftKings Inc. (DKNG), Stocks Beyond Tech: Where Is the Market Actually Working Right Now?, VICI Properties Inc. (VICI), Agree Realty Corporation (ADC), Best Stock Screeners, UGI Corporation (UGI), Avantis U.S. Equity ETF (AVUS), Vanguard Russell 3000 ETF (VTHR), The Dollar.Our Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/invest for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
With a major earnings season kicking off for the mega-cap tech names, an obscure volatility measure is pointing to a potential breakout — but the bar is sky-high and geopolitical headwinds are creating an unusually uncertain backdrop. How these earnings come in will likely determine whether the broader market can hold its current levels or breaks down.Today's Stocks & Topics: The Western Union Company (WU), Market Wrap, Danaher Corporation (DHR), Trump Imposes 50% Tariffs on Canadian, NIKE Inc. (NKE), Can the Magnificent Seven Earnings Hold the Market Up?, Cameco Corporation (CCJ), Cameco Corporation (CCJ)¸ Target Corporation (TGT), U.S. Oil.Our Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/invest for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
India is facing a double hit from the Iran conflict — oil import costs are surging while its rupee weakens, squeezing corporate margins and complicating the country's ambitious trade negotiations with the United States. We look at how the world's most populous country is navigating this energy crisis and what it means for emerging market investors.Today's Stocks & Topics: U.S. Bancorp (USB), Market Wrap, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) Report, Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. (GLPI), India's US Trade Deal in 2026: Can It Survive the Iran Oil Shock?, RTX Corporation (RTX), T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. (TROW), Perpetual Futures.Our Sponsors:* Check out Chilipad and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://sleep.me* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/invest for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out TruDiagnostic and use my code INVEST20 for a great deal: https://www.trudiagnostic.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Today's Post - https://bahnsen.co/4yvcd4b David Bahnsen reviews a modest down day for markets as Iran tensions and reported American casualties push oil above $80 (ending above $83), with the Dow down ~300, S&P -19 bps, Nasdaq -5 bps, and the 10-year yield at 4.59%; communication services and energy led while healthcare lagged. He cites IPO froth cooling, noting SpaceX below $120 versus a $135 IPO and far off highs. In politics, he highlights Maine's Senate race likely featuring progressive Troy Jackson versus Susan Collins and notes Michigan Democrats consolidating behind Haley Stevens, outlining the difficult map for a Democratic Senate majority. Economically, he underscores the Supreme Court reversal of IEEPA tariffs lowering blended import tariffs from ~11% to ~6–6.5%, while flagging a record 105.8M outside the labor force, soft industrial production, rising import prices, and housing starts driven by multifamily. He previews next week's Fed meeting under Chair Kevin Warsh, balance-sheet maturity shortening, midstream earnings (Kinder Morgan), and answers why shorting stocks is inherently leveraged and generally unsuitable for most investors. 00:00 Welcome and Setup 00:17 Iran Tensions and Oil 01:24 Market Wrap and Sectors 02:17 IPO Froth Check 03:13 Senate Races Outlook 05:39 Economy Data and Tariffs 07:43 Housing and Fed Preview 09:08 Energy Earnings and Gas 10:01 Ask TBG Short Selling 12:00 Wrap Up and Links Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Contrary to the traditional flight-to-safety playbook, bond yields are rising alongside oil prices as war-driven inflation fears overwhelm demand for U.S. Treasuries as a haven asset. We examine why this unusual bond market behavior matters for every investor who holds fixed income, and what it signals about the durability of the post-pandemic rate environment.Today's Stocks & Topics: ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. (ZIM), Market Wrap, Netflix, Inc. (NFLX), High Deficit on Bond Markets, Financial Planning, War Bonds vs. War Stocks: How Treasuries Are Really Responding to the Iran Conflict, KPP Newsletter, Zions Bancorporation, National Association (ZION), Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, Newmont Corporation (NEM), Edison International (EIX), Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM), FCC Trying To Change Quarterly Earnings Rules.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Even as the Strait of Hormuz closed and oil surged, chip stocks and the Nasdaq bounced back sharply as investors bet that AI-driven earnings growth outweighs any geopolitical headwinds. We explore the dangerous psychology of a market that keeps shrugging off war headlines — and whether that confidence is justified.Today's Stocks & Topics: Cincinnati Financial Corporation (CINF), Market Wrap, iShares U.S. Power Infrastructure ETF (POWR), Tema Electrification ETF (VOLT), Defiance AI & Power Infrastructure ETF (AIPO), Oil Traders Warning, Reddit, Inc. (RDDT), Is the AI Rally Ignoring a Real Geopolitical Threat to Tech Stocks?, Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.B), Financial Sector, The Housing Market.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
New data shows retail traders are piling into speculative assets and individual momentum plays while largely ignoring broad index exposure in the S&P 500 — a behavioral pattern that historically signals late-cycle risk-taking. We explore the psychology behind this trend and why chasing shiny objects almost always ends badly for individual investors.Today's Stocks & Topics: Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM), Market Wrap, Brussels and European Banks, Coherent Corp. (COHR), Retail Investors Chase Shiny Objects While Ignoring the S&P 500, iShares Core Dividend ETF (DIVB), Lennox International Inc. (LII), Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB), Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR), Small Caps.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Brian Szytel hosts Dividend Cafe on Thursday, July 16, describing a down market day driven by rotation out of tech and semis, with the Nasdaq down 1.5% versus modest declines in the Dow and S&P, and equal-weighted S&P outperforming cap-weighted by over 160 bps. He highlights ongoing housing weakness: existing home sales at the lowest pace since 1995, affordability pressures with mortgage payments rising from about $1,700 to $3,100 since 2020, and record home equity (~$11T) contributing to illiquidity as most homeowners have rates below current levels. He addresses financials' July strength, noting they signal economic health but appear fairly to slightly richly valued around 2x price-to-book. Economic data was mostly positive (retail sales +0.2%, Philly Fed 41 vs 13, claims 208 vs 218) while housing data disappointed (builder sentiment down, pending sales -5.6%). 00:00 Market Wrap and Rotation 00:47 Housing Market Stuck 01:23 Affordability and Equity 03:08 Financials Sector Question 04:36 Economic Data Rundown 05:12 Housing Data Misses 05:37 Closing Thoughts Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com
Oil prices are surging, the Fed is flagging war-driven inflation risks, and consumers are already feeling pain at the pump — raising fears that a second inflation wave could undo the progress made over the past two years. We walk through whether the current macro setup is truly comparable to 2022 and what investors should do differently this time.Today's Stocks & Topics: Covered Calls, Market Wrap, The Auto Industry, S&P Global Inc. (SPGI), Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET), RELX PLC (RELX), How to Protect Your Portfolio from Inflation's Second Wave, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST), Altria Group, Inc. (MO), Philip Morris International Inc. (PM), Industrial Supply Change.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Follow these seven steps to keep your financial goals on track in the second half of 2026.Today's Stocks & Topics: Micron Technology, Inc. (MU), iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY), SK hynix Inc. (SKHY), Market Wrap, These Simple Portfolio Checks Could Save You from Costly Mistakes, Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH), Moving Averages, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST), Japanese Yen.Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands
Brian Szytel recaps a mixed but positive market day with the Dow up about 45 points, the S&P 500 up 0.4%, and the Nasdaq up just under 1%, helped by a broad financial-sector rally despite somewhat mixed large-bank earnings. Oil rose with increased Middle East tensions and volatility around the Strait of Hormuz. The main story was a better-than-expected CPI report: headline CPI fell 0.4% versus expectations for -0.1%, and core CPI was essentially flat (-0.02%) versus a forecast of +0.2%, bringing year-over-year core to 2.6% and pushing the 10-year yield down about 3 bps to 4.58%, with Fed futures repricing to lower odds of hikes. He notes one print isn't a trend, highlights a stronger NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, and explains why deflation is worse than modest inflation, citing Japan's long period of minimal growth. 00:00 Market Wrap and Earnings 00:45 Oil Jitters Middle East 01:01 CPI Surprise and Rates 02:39 Fed Talk and Futures 04:12 Small Business Optimism 04:26 Inflation Versus Deflation 05:35 Japanification Case Study 06:34 Wrap Up and Sign Off Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com