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Keith highlights the decline in college town real estate due to demographic changes and reduced international student enrollment. The national housing market is moving towards balance, with 4.6 months of resale supply and 9.8 months of new build supply. Commercial real expert and fellow podcast host, Hannah Hammond, joins Keith to discuss how the state of the real estate market is facing a $1 trillion debt reset in 2025, potentially causing distress and foreclosures, particularly in the Sun Belt states. Resources: Follow Hannah on Instagram Show Notes: GetRichEducation.com/563 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. You get paid first: Text FAMILY to 66866 Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search “how to leave an Apple Podcasts review” For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— text ‘GRE' to 66866 Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript: Automatically Transcribed With Otter.ai Keith Weinhold 0:01 Welcome to GRE. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, are college towns doomed. There's a noticeably higher supply of real estate on the market. Today is get rich education. America's number one real estate investing show. Then how much worse will the Apartment Building Loan implosions get today? On get rich education. Speaker 1 0:27 Since 2014 the powerful get rich education podcast has created more passive income for people than nearly any other show in the world. This show teaches you how to earn strong returns from passive real estate investing in the best markets without losing your time being a flipper or landlord. Show Host Keith Weinhold writes for both Forbes and Rich Dad advisors, and delivers a new show every week since 2014 there's been millions of listener downloads in 188 world nations. He has a list show guests and key top selling personal finance author Robert Kiyosaki, get rich education can be heard on every podcast platform, plus it has its own dedicated Apple and Android listener phone apps build wealth on the go with the get rich education podcast. Sign up now for the get rich education podcast, or visit get rich education.com Corey Coates 1:12 You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is get rich education. Keith Weinhold 1:28 Welcome to GRE from Orchard Park, New York to port orchard, Washington and across 188 nations worldwide. I'm Keith Weinhold, and you're listening to get rich education. How most people set up their life is that they have a job or an income producing activity, and they put that first, then they try to build whatever life they have left around that job. Instead, you are in control of your life when you first ask yourself, what kind of lifestyle Am I trying to build? And then you determine your job based on that. That is lifestyle design, and that is financial freedom, most people, including me, at one time. And probably you get that wrong and put the job first. And then we need to reverse it once you realize that, you discover that you found yourself so far out of position that you try to find your way back by putting your own freedom, autonomy and free agency first. There you are lying on the ground, supine, feeling overwhelmed, asking yourself why you didn't put yourself first. Then what I'm helping you do here is get up and change that by moving your active income over to relatively passive income, and doing it through the most generationally proven vehicle of them all, real estate investing for income. We are not talking about a strategy that didn't exist three years ago and won't exist three years from now. It is proven over time, and there's nothing avant garde or esoteric here, and you can find yourself in a financially free position within five years of starting to gradually shift that active income over to passive income. Keith Weinhold 3:29 Now, when it comes to today's era of long term real estate investing, we are in the midst of a real estate market that I would describe as slow and flat. Both home price appreciation and rent growth are slow. Overall real estate sales volume is still suppressed. It that sales volume had its recent peak of six and a half million homes moved in 2021 which was a wild market, it was too brisk and annual sales volume is down to just 4 million. Today, more inventory is accumulating, which is both a good news and a bad news story. I'm going to get to this state of the overall market shortly. First, let's discuss real estate market niches, a particular niche, because two weeks ago, I discussed the short term rental arms race. Last week, beach towns and this week, in the third of three installments of real estate market niches are college towns doomed? Does it still make sense to invest in college town real estate? Perhaps a year ago on the show, you'll remember that I informed you that a college closes every single week in the United States. Gosh, universities face an increasingly tough demographic backdrop ahead. We know more and more people get a free education. Education online. Up until now, universities have tapped a growing high school age population in this seemingly bottomless well of international students wanting to study in the US. But America's largest ever birth cohort, which was 4.3 million in 2007 is now waning. Yeah, that's how many Americans were born in 2007 and that was the all time record birth year. Well, all those people turn 18 years old this year. This, therefore, is an unavoidable decline in the pool of potential incoming college freshmen from the United States. And on top of that, the real potential of fewer international students coming to the US to study adds to the concern for colleges. This is due to the effects and the wishes of the Trump administration. It already feels like a depression in some college towns now among metro areas that are especially reliant on higher education, three quarters of them suffered weaker economic growth over the past 12 years than the US has as a whole. That's according to a study at Brookings Metro. They're a non profit think tank in DC, all right, and in the prior decade, all right, previous to that, most of those same metros grew faster than the nation did. If this was really interesting, a recent Wall Street Journal article focused on Western Illinois University in McComb Illinois as being symbolic of this trend, where an empty dorm that once held 800 students has now been converted to a police training ground, it's totally different, where there are active shooter drills and all this overturned furniture rubber tipped bullets and paintball casings, you've got to repurpose some of these old dorms. Nearby dorms have been flattened and they're now weedy fields. Two more dorms are set to close this summer. Frat houses and homes once filled with student renters are now empty lots city streets used to be so crowded during the semester that cars moved at a crawl. That's not happening anymore. It's almost like you're watching the town die, said a resident who was born in Macomb and worked 28 years for the Western Illinois Campus Police Department. Macomb, Illinois is at the heart of a new rust belt across the US colleges are faltering, and so are the once booming towns and economies around them. Enrollment is down at a lot of the nation's public colleges and universities starting next year due to demographics like I mentioned, there will be fewer high school graduates for the foreseeable future, and the fallout extends to downtown McComb. It's punishing local businesses. There's this multiplier effect that's diminishing. It's not multiplying for generations. Colleges around the US fueled local economies, created jobs and brought in students and their visiting families to shop and spend and growing student enrollment fattened school budgets, and that used to free universities from having to worry about inefficiencies or cutting costs. But the student boom has ended, and college towns are suffering. And what are some of the other reasons for these doomed college towns? Well, first, a lot of Americans stopped having babies after the global financial crisis, you've got a strong dollar and an anti foreigner administration that's likely to push international student numbers down on top of this, and then, thirdly, US students are more skeptical of incurring these large amounts of debt for college and then, universities have been increasing administrative costs and tuition above the rate of inflation, and they've been doing that for decades. Tuition and operating costs are detached from reality, and in some places, student housing is still being built like the gravy train is not going to end. I don't see how this ends well for many of these universities or for student housing, so you've really got to think deeply about investing in college town housing anymore. Where I went to college, in Pennsylvania, that university is still open, but their enrollment numbers are down, and they've already closed and consolidated a number of their outlying branch campuses. Now it's important notice that I'm focused on college towns, okay, I'm talking about generally, these small. Smaller, outlying places that are highly dependent on colleges for their vibrancy. By the way, Pennsylvania has a ton of them, all these little colleges, where it seems like every highway exit has the name of some university on it. That is starting to change now. Keith Weinhold 10:21 Conversely, take a big city like Philadelphia that has a ton of colleges, Temple University, Penn, which is the Ivy League school, St Joseph's, Drexel LaSalle, Bryn Mawr, Thomas Jefferson, Villanova. All these colleges are in the Philly Metro, and some of them are pretty big. Well, you can be better off investing in a Philly because Philly is huge, 6 million people in the metro, and there's plenty of other activity there that can absorb any decline in college enrollment. So understand it's the smaller college town that's in big trouble. And I do like to answer the question directly, are college towns doomed? Yes, some are. And perhaps a better overall answer than saying that college towns are doomed, is college towns have peaked. They've hit their peak and are going down. Keith Weinhold 11:23 Let's talk about the direction of the overall housing market now, including some lessons where, even if you're listening 10 years from now, you're going to gain some key learning. So we look at the national housing market. There is finally some buyer selection again, resale housing supply is growing. I'm talking overall now, not about the college towns. Back in 2022, nearly every major metro could be considered not just a seller's market, but a strong seller's market. And it was too much. It was wild. Three years ago, buyers had to, oftentimes offer more than the asking price, pay all cash. Buyers had to waive contingencies, forgo inspections, and they had to compete with dozens of bidders. I mean, even if you got a home inspection, you pray that the home inspector didn't find anything worse than like charming vintage wiring, because you might have been afraid to ask for some repairs of the seller, and that's because the market was so hot and competitive that you might lose the deal. Fast forward to today, and fewer markets Hold that strong seller's market status. More metros have adequate inventory. And if you're one of our newsletter subscribers, you saw that last week, I sent you a great set of maps that show this. As you probably know, six months of housing supply is deemed as the balance point between buyers and sellers over six months favors buyers under six favors sellers. All right, so let's see where we are now. And by the way, months of housing supply, that phrase is also known as the absorption rate nationally, 4.6 months of resale supply exists. That's the current level, 4.6 months per the NAR now it bottomed out at a frighteningly low one and a half months of supply back in 2022 and it peaked at 12 full months of supply during the global financial crisis, back in 2010 All right, so these are the amounts of resale housing supply available for sale, and we overbuilt homes back in the global financial crisis, everyday people owned multiple homes 15 years ago because virtually anyone could qualify for a loan with those irresponsible lending standards that existed back in that era. I mean, back then, buyers defaulted on payments and walked away from homes and because they had zero down payment in the home. Well, they had zero skin in the game to protect and again, that peaked at 12 months of supply. Now today, Texas and Florida have temporarily overbuilt pockets that are higher than this 4.6 month national number and of course, we have a lot of markets in the Northeast and Midwest that have less than this supply. But note that 4.6 months is still under six months of supply, still favoring sellers just a little, but today's 4.6 months. I mean, that's getting pretty close to historic norms, close to balance. All right, so where is the best buyer opportunity today? Well, understand that. So far, have you picked up on. This we've looked at existing housing supply levels here, also known as resale homes. The opportunity is in new build homes. What's the supply of new construction homes in the US? And understand for perspective that right now, new build homes comprise about 1/3 of the available housing supply. And this might surprise you, we are now up to 9.8 months of new build housing supply, and that's a number that's risen for two years. That's per the Census Bureau and HUD. A lot of builders, therefore, are getting desperate right now, builders have got to sell. The reason that they're willing to cut you a deal is that, see, builders are paying interest costs and maintenance costs every single day on these nice, brand new homes that are just languishing, just sitting there. Understand something builders don't get the benefit of using a home. Unlike the seller family of a resale or existing home, see that family that has a resale home on the market, they get the benefit of living in it while it's on the market. This 9.8 months of new build supply is why buyers are willing to cut you a deal right now, including builders that we work with here at GRE marketplace. Keith Weinhold 16:30 And we're going to talk to a builder on the show next week and get them to tell us how desperate they are. In fact, it's a Florida builder, and we'll learn about the incentives that they're willing to cut you they're building in one of these oversupplied pockets. So bottom line is that overall, an increasing US housing supply should keep home prices moderating. They're currently up just one to 2% nationally, and more supply means better options for you. Hey, let's talk about this very show that you're listening to, the get rich education podcast. What do you like to do while you're listening to the show? In fact, what are you doing right now while you're listening to the show? Well, in a recent Instagram poll, we asked our audience that very question you told us while listening to the show, 50% of you are commuting, 20% are exercising, 20% are at work, and 10% are doing home chores like cleaning or dishes. Now is this show the number one real estate investing podcast in the United States, we asked chatgpt that very question, and here's how they answered. They said, Excellent question. Real estate investing podcasts have exploded over the past 10 to 12 years, but only a handful have true long term staying power. Here's a list of some of the longest running, consistently active real estate investing podcasts that have built serious legacies. And you know something, we are not number one based on those criteria. This show is ranked number two in the nation. Number one are our friends at the real estate guys radio show hosted by Robert Helms. How many times have I recommended that you go ahead and give them a listen? Of course, I'm just freshly coming off spending nine days with them as one of the faculty members on their summit at sea. Their show started in 1997Yes, on actual radio, before podcasts even existed, and chat GPT goes on to say that they're one of the OGS in the space. It focuses on market cycles, investing strategies and wealth building principles known for its international investor perspective and high profile guests like Robert Kiyosaki. All right, that's what it says about that show. And then rank number two is get rich. Education with me started in 2014 and it goes on to say that this is what the show's about. It says it's real estate centric with a macroeconomic and financial freedom philosophy. It focuses on buy and hold investing, inflation, debt strategy and wealth building. Yeah, that's what it says. And I'd say that's about right? And this next thing is interesting. It describes the host of the show, me as communicating with you in a way that's clear, calm and slightly academic. That's what it says. And yeah, you've got to be clear. Today. There's so much competing for your attention that if I'm not clear with you, then I'm not able to help you calm. Okay? I guess I remain calm. And then finally, slightly academic. I. Hadn't thought about that before. Do you think that I'm slightly academic in my delivery? I guess that's possible. It's appropriate for a show with the word education in our name. I guess it makes sense that I'd be slightly academic. So that fits. I wouldn't want to be heavily academic or just academic, because that could get unrelatable. So there's your answer. The number two show in the nation for real estate investing. Keith Weinhold 20:29 How are things going with your rental properties? Anyway, I had something interesting happen to me here these past few months. Now I have a property manager in one market that manages quite a few of my properties, all these single family homes and I had five perfect months consecutively as a real estate investor. A perfect month means when you have 100% occupancy, 100% rent collection, and zero maintenance or repair costs. Well, this condition went on for five months with every property that they managed. For me, which is great, profitable news, but that's so unusual to have a streak like that, it kind of makes you wonder if something's going wrong. But the streak just ended. Finally, there was a $400 expense on one of these single family homes. Well, this morning, the manager emailed me about something else. One of my tenants leases expires at the end of next month. I mean, that's typical. This is happening all the time with some property, but they suggested raising the rent from $1,700 up to 1725, and I rarely object to what the property manager suggests. I mean, after all, they are the expert in that local market. That's only about a one and a half percent rent increase, kind of slow there. But again, we're in this era where neither home price growth nor rent growth have been exceptional. Keith Weinhold 22:02 I am in upstate Pennsylvania today. This is where I'm from. I'm here for my high school class reunion. And, you know, it's funny, the most interesting people to talk to are usually the people that have moved away from this tiny town in Appalachia, counter sport, Pennsylvania, it's not the classmates that stayed and stuck around there in general are less interesting. And yes, this means I am sleeping in my parents home all week. I know I've shared with you before that Curt and Penny Weinhold have lived in the same home and have had the same phone number since 1974 and I sleep in the same bedroom that I've slept in since I was an infant every time that I visit them. Kind of heartwarming. In a few days, I'm going to do a tour of America's first and oldest pretzel bakery in Lititz, Pennsylvania with my aunts and uncles to review what you've learned so far today, put your life first and then build your income producing activity around that. Many college towns are demographically doomed, and even more, have peaked and are on their way down. Overall American residential real estate supply is up. We're now closer to a balanced market than a seller's market. We've discussed the distress in the five plus unit apartment building space owners and syndicators started having their deals blow up, beginning in 2022 when interest rates spiked on those short term and balloon loans that are synonymous with apartment buildings. When we talked to Ken McElroy about it a few weeks ago on the show, he said that the pain still is not over for apartment building owners. Keith Weinhold 23:51 coming up next, we'll talk about it from a different side, as I'll interview a commercial real estate lender and get her insights. I'll ask her just how bad it will get. And this guest is rather interesting. She's just 29 years old, really bright and articulate, and she founded her own commercial real estate lending firm. She and I recorded this on a cruise ship while we're on the real estate guys Investor Summit at sea a few weeks ago. So you will hear some background noise, you'll get to meet her next I'm Keith Weinhold. There will only ever be one. Get rich education podcast episode 563 and you're listening to it. Keith Weinhold 24:31 The same place where I get my own mortgage loans is where you can get yours. Ridge lending group and MLS 42056, they provided our listeners with more loans than anyone because they specialize in income properties, they help you build a long term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your prequel and even chat with President Caeli Ridge personally, while it's on your mind, start at Ridge lendinggroup.com that. Ridge lendinggroup.com, you know what's crazy? Keith Weinhold 25:03 Your bank is getting rich off of you. The average savings account pays less than 1% it's like laughable. Meanwhile, if your money isn't making at least 4% you're losing to inflation. That's why I started putting my own money into the FFI liquidity fund. It's super simple. Your cash can pull in up to 8% returns, and it compounds. It's not some high risk gamble like digital or AI stock trading. It's pretty low risk because they've got a 10 plus year track record of paying investors on time in full every time. I mean, I wouldn't be talking about it if I wasn't invested myself. You can invest as little as 25k and you keep earning until you decide you want your money back. No weird lockups or anything like that. So if you're like me and tired of your liquid funds just sitting there doing nothing, check it out. Text family to 66 866, to learn about freedom family investments, liquidity fund, again, text family to 66866 Caeli Ridge 26:13 this is Ridge lending group's president, Caeli Ridge. Listen to get rich education with key blind holes. And remember, don't quit your Daydream. Keith Weinhold 26:31 Hey, Governor, education nation, Keith Weinhold, here we're on a summit for real estate on a cruise ship, and I'm with Hannah Hammond. She's the founder of HB capital, a commercial real estate lending firm, and the effervescent host of the Hannah Hammond show. Hey, it's great to chat Hannah Hammond 26:48 you too. It's been so great to get to know you on this ship, and it's been a lot of fun, Keith Weinhold 26:51 and we just met at this conference for the first time. Hannah just gave a great, well received presentation on the state of the commercial real estate market. And the most interesting thing, and the thing everyone really wants to know since she lends for five plus unit apartment buildings as well, is about the commercial real estate interest rate resets. Apartment Building values have fallen about 30% nationwide, and that is due to these resetting loans. So tell us about that. Hannah Hammond 27:19 Yeah, so there is a tidal wave of commercial real estate debt coming due in 2025 some of that has already come due, and we've been seeing a lot of the distressed assets start to hit the market in various asset classes, from multifamily, industrial, retail and beyond. And then, as we continue through 2025 more of that title, weight of debt is going to continue to come due, which is estimated to be around $1 trillion of debt. Keith Weinhold 27:44 That's huge. I mean, that is a true tidal wave. So just to pull back really simply, we're talking about maybe an apartment building owner that almost five years ago might have gotten an interest rate at, say, 4% and in today's higher interest rate environment that's due to reset to a higher rate and kill their cash flow and take them out of business. Tell us about that. Hannah Hammond 28:03 Yeah. So a lot of investors got caught up a few years ago when rates were really low, and they bought these assets at very low cap rates, which means very high prices, and they projected, maybe over projected, continuous rent growth, like double digit rent growth, which many markets were seeing a few years back, and that rent growth has actually slowed down tremendously. And so much supply hit the market at the same time, because so much construction was developed a few years back. And so now there's a challenge, because rents have actually dropped. There's an overage of supply. Rates have doubled. You know, people were getting apartment complexes and other assets in the two or 3% interest rate range. Now it's closer to the six to 7% interest rate range, which we all know it just doesn't really make numbers work. Every 1% increase in interest you'd have to have about a 10% drop in value for that monthly payment to be the same. So that's why we're seeing a lot of distress in this market right now, which is bad for the people that are caught up on it, but it's good for those who can have the capital to re enter the market at a lower basis and be able to weather this storm and ride the wave back up Keith Weinhold 29:08 income down, expenses up. Not a very profitable formula. Let's talk more about from this point. How bad can it get? We talked about 1 trillion in loans coming due this calendar year tell us about how bad it might be. Hannah Hammond 29:23 So it's estimated that potentially 25% of that $1 trillion could be in potential distress. And of course, if two $50 billion of commercial real estate hit foreclosure all at the same time, that would be pretty catastrophic, and there would be a massive supply hitting the market, and therefore a massive reduction in property values and prices. And so a lot of lenders have been trying to mitigate the risk of this happening, and all of this distress debt hit the market at one time. And so lenders have been doing loan modifications and loan extensions and the extend and pretend, quote. Has been in play since back in 2025 but a lot of those extensions are coming due. That's why we're feeling a little bit more of a slower bleed in the commercial market. But you know, in the residential market, we're not seeing as much distress, because so many people have those fixed 30 year rates. But in commercial real estate, rates are generally not fixed for that long. They're more they could be floating get or they might only be fixed for five years, and then they've reset. And that's what we're seeing now, is a lot of those assets that were bought within the last five years have those rate caps expiring, and then the rates are jacking it up to six to 7% and the numbers just don't make sense anymore. Keith Weinhold 30:36 That one to four unit space single family homes up fourplexes has stayed relatively stable. We're talking about that distress and the five plus unit multi family apartment space. So Hannah, when we pull back and we look at the lender risk appetite and the propensity to lend and to want to make loans, of course, that environment changes over time. I know that all of us here at the summit, we learn from you in your presentation that that can vary by region in the loan to value ratio and the other terms that they're talking about giving. So tell us about some of the regional variation. Where do people want to lend and where do people want to avoid making loans Hannah Hammond 31:11 Exactly? And we were talking about this is every single region is so different, and there's even micro markets within certain cities and metropolitan areas, and the growth corridors could have a very different outlook and performance than even in the overexposed metro areas. So lenders really pay attention to where the capital is flowing to. And right now, if you look at u haul reports and cell phone data, capital is flowing mostly to the Sun Belt states, and it's leaving the Rust Belt states. So this is your southeast states, your Texas, Florida, Arizona, and these types of regions where a lot of people are leaving some of the Rust Belt states like San Francisco, Chicago, New York, where those markets are being really dragged down by all this office drag from all the default rates in these office buildings that have continued to accumulate post COVID. So the lender appetite is going to shift Market to Market, and they really pay attention to the asset class and also the region in which that asset class is located. And this can affect the LTV, the amount of money that they're going to lend based on the value of the property, also the interest rate and the DSCR ratios, which is how much above the debt coverage the income has to be for the lender to lend on that asset. Keith Weinhold 32:26 So we're talking about lenders more willing to make loans in places where the population is moving to Florida, other markets in the Southeast Texas, Arizona. Is that what we're talking about here. Hannah Hammond 32:37 exactly, and even on the equity side, because we help with equity, like JV equity or CO GP equity, on these development projects or value add projects. And a lot of my equity investors, they're like, Nah, not interested in that state. But if it's in a really good Sunbelt type market, then they have a better appetite to lend in those markets. Keith Weinhold 32:56 Was there any last thing that we should know about the lending environment? Something that impacts the viewers here, maybe something I didn't think about asking you? Hannah Hammond 33:04 I mean, credit is tight, but there's tons of opportunity. Deals are still happening. Cre originations are actually up in 2025 and projected to land quite a bit higher in 2025 at about 660, 5 billion in originations, versus 539 billion in 2024 so the good news is, deals are happening, movements are happening, purchases and sales are happening. And we need movement to have this market continue to be strong and take place, even though, unfortunately, some investors are going to be stuck in that default debt and they might lose on these properties, it's going to give an opportunity for a lot of other investors who have been kind of sitting on the sidelines, saving up capital and aligning their capital to be able to take advantage of these great deals. Because honestly, we all know it's been really hard to make deals pencil over the past few years, and now with some of this reset, it's going to be a little bit easier to make them pencil. Keith Weinhold 33:04 This is great. Loans are leverage, compound leverage, trunks, compound interest, leverage and loans are really key to you making more of yourself. Anna, if someone wants to learn more about following you and what you do, what's the best way for them to do that? Hannah Hammond 33:42 At Hannah B Hammond on Instagram, my show, the Hannah Hammond show, is also on all platforms, YouTube, Instagram, Spotify, Apple, and if you shoot me a follow and a message on Instagram, I will personally respond to and would love to stay connected and help with any questions you have in the commercial real estate market. Keith Weinhold 34:27 Hannah's got a great presence, and she's great in person too. Go ahead and be sure to give her a follow. We'll see you next time. Thank you. Keith Weinhold 34:40 Yeah. Sharp insight from Hannah Hammond, there $1 trillion in commercial real estate debt comes due this year. A quarter of that amount, $250 billion is estimated to be in distress or default. This could keep the values of larger apartment buildings suppressed. Even longer, as far as where today's opportunity is, next week on the show, we'll talk to a home builder in Florida, ground zero for an overbuilt market, and we'll see if we can sense the palpable desperation that they have to move their properties and what kind of deals they're giving buyers. Now until next week, I'm your host, Keith Weinhold, do the right thing before you do things right out there, and don't quit your Daydream. Speaker 3 35:33 Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of get rich Education LLC exclusively. Keith Weinhold 35:56 You know, whenever you want the best written real estate and finance info. Oh, geez, today's experience limits your free articles access and it's got pay walls and pop ups and push notifications and cookies disclaimers. It's not so great. So then it's vital to place nice, clean, free content into your hands that adds no hype value to your life. That's why this is the golden age of quality newsletters. And I write every word of ours myself. It's got a dash of humor, and it's to the point because even the word abbreviation is too long, my letter usually takes less than three minutes to read, and when you start the letter, you'll also get my one hour fast real estate video. Course, it's all completely free. It's called the Don't quit your Daydream letter. It wires your mind for wealth, and it couldn't be easier for you to get it right now. Just text gre 266, 866, while it's on your mind, take a moment to do it right now. Text, gre 266, 866, Keith Weinhold 37:12 The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth, building, getricheducation.com.
What happens when a president leads with intentional communication and a heart for spiritual impact? In this encore episode, Troy Meachum, President of ACR Supply Company, shares how trust, stewardship, and a people-first approach have shaped a flourishing workplace culture. Find full show notes here: https://workplaces.org/podcast/452-how-one-companys-culture-transformation-drove-engagement-and-revenue Share the love. If you enjoyed this episode, please rate it on Apple Podcasts and write a brief review. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-flourishing-culture-podcast/id1060724960?mt=2 By doing so, you will help spread our podcast to more listeners, and thereby help more Christian workplaces learn to build flourishing cultures. | Follow our Host, Al Lopus, on X https://twitter.com/allopus | Follow our Host, Al Lopus, on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/allopus/ | Email our host at al@workplaces.org
The moves come as XRP soars following a broad crypto rally punctuated by Bitcoin hitting an all-time high of $122,838 on July 14. XRP is among the top gaining crypto assets over the past week.~This episode is sponsored by Uphold~Uphold Get $20 in Bitcoin - Signup & Verify and trade at least $100 of any crypto within your first 30 days ➜ https://bit.ly/pbnuphold00:00 Intro00:15 Sponsor: Uphold00:55 Chart01:33 XRP Volume01:45 XRP Leverage ETF launches02:00 Most important XRP metric: TikTok02:28 12 months02:45 TikTok reactions04:20 Gareth vs Tim: Traders are lost?05:10 XRP vs Eth marketcap05:30 XRP Season06:04 XRP DEX skyrocketing + velocity06:35 Google trends07:10 Supply shock?07:35 Japan SBI XRP07:50 Loyalty Points to XRP conversions08:00 “Crypto assets” button08:45 SBI was waiting for regulation09:33 SBI testing XRP Ledger Wallet09:50 OSAKA wallet10:20 $YEN coming to XRPL10:50 Outro#XRP #Crypto #Ethereum~XRP Smashes All-Time High!
Supply chain managers are in a risky business. Does the insurance industry have their back?
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Bitcoin Maximalist, and Sr. BTC advisor to President Bukele Max Keiser reminds us: “I've Done The Math. A Bitcoin Supply Shock Is Imminent. At $400,000 Bitcoin, the global hash wars will be so intense the US invokes national security and seizes publicly traded companies like $MSTR $COIN $MARA $RIOT” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
US President Trump said they are very close to an India deal, could possibly make one with Europe & it is too soon to say re. Canada.US stocks finished higher but with volatile trade amid reports that Trump had drafted a letter to fire Powell; later, Trump denied this.DXY has regained some composure after getting hit on Fed independence concerns, G10s softer with AUD lagging after soft jobs data.USTs ease after Wednesday's upside, JGBs initially followed suit but picked up after the latest JGB liquidity auction.Crude remains afloat, XAU rangebound, base peers lack conviction in contained trade.Highlights include Australian Employment, UK Jobs, EZ HICP (Final), US Trade, Jobless Claims, Retail Sales & Atlanta Fed GDPNow, G20 Finance Ministers Meeting, Speakers including Fed's Kugler, Daly, Cook & Waller, Supply from Spain, France & UK, Earnings from Novartis, Publicis, Volvo, PepsiCo, GE, Abbott Laboratories, Netflix & TSMC.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
“Life is short and it ends, the clock is ticking. Don't get all wrapped up in your personal self, that's a very unhealthy thing to do.” - Fred Smith, Founder of FedEx (1944 - 2025) On June 21, 2025, the business world - more specifically the supply chain world - lost a giant. FedEx Founder Fred Smith passed away at the age of 80. Frederick Wallace Smith was born in Marks, Mississippi in 1944. According to common anecdotes, he first imagined a company that could provide overnight delivery for an economics paper he wrote while studying at Yale in 1965 - and he got a C because the professor thought the idea was implausible. In this episode of Art of Supply, Kelly Barner looks at Fred Smith's many contributions from five decades in business: The risk he had to be willing to take on in pursuit of his vision The many innovations that were introduced by FedEx during his tenure Why Smith's perspective on what kind of business FedEx was in was so critical to its success Links: FedEx Ground's Contractor Woes Case Dismissed: Spencer Patton Prevails Over FedEx Reading FedEx Ground the RICO Act Will FedEx Freight hit the open road? Kelly Barner on LinkedIn Art of Supply LinkedIn newsletter Art of Supply on AOP Subscribe to This Week in Procurement
Despite the current geopolitical environment, product prices have strongly recovered from their lows of the past couple of seasons as demand returned from key export markets. Experts claim tighter global production has contributed to improved demand for meat products. The Country's Jamie Mackay explains further. LISTEN ABOVESee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
#FenceFam One of the biggest fence events for the Ornamental AG Fence World is one month away... The East Coast Fence Rivalry is star studded this year with the biggest names in the industry for suppliers, pounders, and fence professionals. Listen in to Mitchel Zimmerman explain the who, how, and where of the ECFR 2025!!! Everything FenceTech Here: https://www.americanfenceassociation.com/fencetech/2026/ Cheers! Remember to like, share, comment and REVIEW! The Fence Industry Podcast Links: IG @TheFenceIndustryPodcast FB @TheFenceIndustryPodcastWithDanWheeler TikTok @TheFenceIndustryPodcast YouTube @TheFenceIndustryPodcastWithDanWheeler Visit TheFenceIndustryPodcast.com Email TheFenceIndustryPodcast@gmail.com Mr. Fence Companies: IG @MrFenceAcademy FB @MrFenceAcademy TikTok @MrFenceAcademy YouTube @MrFenceAcademy Mr. Fence Tools https://mrfencetools.com Mr. Fence Academy https://mrfenceacademy.com Gopherwood & Expert Stain and Seal IG @stainandsealexperts FB @ExpertProfessionalWoodCare YouTube @Stain&SealExperts FB Group Stain and Seal Expert's Staining University Visit RealGoodStain.com Visit Gopherwood.us Log Cabin Fence IG @Log_Cabin_Fence FB @LogCabinFence Visit LogCabinFence.com Elite Technique Visit getelitetechnique.com Greenwood Fence Visit greenwoodfence.com FenceNews Visit fencenews.com Ozark Fence & Supply promo code: TFIP15 for 15% off! Visit ozfence.com Benji with CleverFox for all your FENCE website needs! Visit cleverfox.online Stockade Staple Guns Visit stockade.com Bullet Fence Systems Visit bulletfence.com ZPost Metal Fence Posts Visit metalfencepost.com
Interview with Lon Shaver, President of Silvercorp Metals Inc.Our previous interview: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/posts/silver-demand-rises-as-supply-struggles-to-keep-pace-7082Recording date: 9th July 2025Silvercorp Metals presents a compelling investment opportunity as a proven silver producer positioned to capitalize on favorable market dynamics and structural shifts in silver demand. With nearly two decades of profitable operations in China, the company has demonstrated exceptional operational resilience, maintaining profitability and free cash flow generation even during challenging market conditions.The company's competitive advantage lies in its exceptionally low-cost production structure. With all-in sustaining costs (AISC) of just over $12 per ounce compared to current silver prices trading in the $35-36 range, Silvercorp generates substantial profit margins that provide significant cash generation capacity. This cost efficiency stems from mature operations and operational expertise developed over 20 years of continuous production.President Lon Shaver believes the silver market has entered "a new paradigm" where prices are "unlikely to trade below $30 and more likely to touch $40." This fundamental shift is driven by silver's dual nature as both a precious metal investment vehicle and critical industrial commodity. The convergence of traditional investment demand with accelerating industrial consumption creates multiple demand drivers supporting higher price levels.Silvercorp's growth strategy centers on disciplined geographic diversification while maintaining focus on precious metals production. The company is constructing a new mine in Ecuador, targeting production commencement in 2027. Crucially, this expansion is funded entirely through internally generated cash flows, avoiding shareholder dilution through equity raises. As Shaver explained, "We've built up this cash balance to be able to go out and grow the company, we are self-funding some initial growth programs."The company's financial strength provides strategic flexibility for opportunistic growth. Rather than pursuing aggressive expansion that could strain resources, Silvercorp has built substantial cash reserves from profitable operations. This approach reduces execution risk while maintaining financial flexibility for future opportunities in an industry where management describes the project pipeline as "skinny."Silver's industrial applications continue expanding across solar panels, electric vehicles, electronics, and renewable energy infrastructure. The metal's superior electrical and thermal properties make it irreplaceable in advanced technologies. Simultaneously, monetary policy uncertainty drives investment demand for precious metals, with silver offering accessible entry points compared to gold.Supply constraints compound favorable demand dynamics. New mine development faces increasing regulatory hurdles, extended permitting timelines, and technical challenges. Limited new supply additions benefit established producers like Silvercorp with proven operational capabilities and existing production capacity.Beyond the Ecuador project, Silvercorp maintains strategic optionality through its position in New Pacific Metals, providing exposure to silver growth assets in Bolivia. This structure allows participation in potential future production growth while limiting direct development risks.The silver mining sector's ongoing consolidation creates opportunities for larger, more efficient operators. Silvercorp's scale, operational expertise, and financial strength position it favorably as either a consolidator or strategic partner. The company's nearly two-decade track record of profitable operations across multiple market cycles demonstrates management expertise and operational resilience.For investors seeking exposure to silver's structural growth opportunity, Silvercorp offers established profitability, substantial profit margins, strategic growth initiatives, and financial strength. The combination of low-cost production, geographic diversification, and favorable market fundamentals positions the company to capitalize on what management views as a fundamental shift in silver pricing dynamics.View Silvercorp Metals' company profile: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/companies/silvercorp-metalsSign up for Crux Investor: https://cruxinvestor.com
APAC stocks were mostly subdued following the lacklustre handover from Wall St.US President Trump says he is working on five to six trade deals and there will probably be two to three deals by August 1st.European equity futures indicate a marginally softer cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.3% on Tuesday.DXY is fractionally softer after gaining again yesterday, EUR/USD has returned to a 1.16 handle, Cable sits sub-1.34 pre-CPI.France's Marine Le Pen warned that if French PM Bayrou does not revise his public spending plan they "will seek to topple him".Looking ahead, highlights include UK CPI, US PPI, Industrial Production & Capacity Utilisation, Fed's Barkin, Barr, Cook, Hammack, Logan, Kugler & Williams, Supply from Germany, Earnings from J&J, PNC, BAC, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, ASML & Sandvik.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Supply chains must be a product of the geography they support, leading to specific requirements around transport modes, temperature control, and even warehousing capacity. This also means that supply chain experts must be as well versed in the infrastructure and logistics of their local area as they are that of their suppliers. In this episode of The Sourcing Hero podcast, Host Kelly Barner welcomes Samah Mahdi Abdulla. Samah is a supply chain professional with over 15 years of experience and a master's degree in Logistics, Procurement, and Supply Chain Management. She is based in Bahrain and has worked in industries as diverse as retail and food production. Shares her unique perspective on procurement and supply chain: The benefits of specialized - and continuing - education in procurement and supply chain How working from an island nation has shaped her work The speed of business in Bahrain that supply chains must be prepared to support Links: Samah Mahdi Abdulla on LinkedIn
Ben Emons previews the PPI report tomorrow and covers the rare earth minerals sector, which is a main driver of producer prices. He notes that Trump originally tried to put tariffs on rare earths, which backfired. Instead, the government has made investments in MP Materials (MP) – and a deal with Apple (AAPL) has sent the stock soaring today.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
Interview with James McDonald, President & CEO of Kootenay Silver Inc.Our previous interview: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/posts/kootenay-silver-ktn-high-grade-mexican-silver-explorer-and-developerRecording date: 9th July 2025Kootenay Silver (TSXV:KTN) represents a compelling investment opportunity in the emerging silver bull market, combining proven management expertise with high-grade Mexican silver assets positioned for strategic acquisition. The company's recent maiden resource estimate at its flagship Columba project demonstrates institutional-quality assets with significant expansion potential.The 54 million ounce maiden resource at Columba, grading 284 g/t silver, establishes Kootenay Silver among the higher-grade silver developers globally. The resource concentration in three primary vein systems, particularly the D Vein containing over 30 million ounces across 1,200 meters of strike length, provides operational advantages for potential future mining scenarios. Combined with the company's broader portfolio exceeding 300 million ounces across multiple Mexican properties, this scale positions Kootenay Silver as a significant silver platform.Columba's geological setting within a preserved volcanic caldera provides exceptional exploration upside. The minimal surface erosion has preserved the vein system from top to bottom, while drilling has confirmed strong mineralization extending to 540 meters depth with potential for significantly greater vertical extent. The 4-kilometer by 3-kilometer vein system footprint compares favorably to established Mexican silver districts, suggesting district-scale potential.CEO James McDonald's experience co-founding Alamos Gold provides credibility for value creation. The Alamos success story—acquiring 2.2 million ounces for $12.5 million during the gold market bottom and achieving commercial production within six years—demonstrates management's ability to identify and develop undervalued assets. Kootenay Silver employs a similar strategy, advancing discoveries to preliminary economic assessment stage before selling to major mining companies, reducing capital requirements while maintaining upside exposure.The company's $20 million financing enables systematic resource expansion through 50,000 meters of drilling over 2025. The initial 30,000 meters target "low-hanging fruit" by expanding known mineralized zones, providing high-probability success and regular news flow. Management has identified clear milestones, targeting 100 million ounces to attract strategic interest, with serious acquisition discussions typically beginning around 75 million ounces.Kootenay Silver benefits from favorable silver market dynamics as prices break out from multi-year trading ranges. Supply constraints from declining ore grades and limited new discoveries combine with accelerating industrial demand from renewable energy, electric vehicles, and 5G infrastructure. Monetary demand intensifies as central banks maintain expansionary policies and geopolitical tensions drive diversification from traditional assets.Risk-Adjusted ReturnsThe company has de-risked key development factors through established surface access agreements, proximity to major infrastructure, and favorable political developments in Mexico. The drilling-focused strategy requires continued capital access, though the recent financing provides runway through 2025's critical expansion phase.Kootenay Silver offers investors leveraged exposure to silver's emerging bull market through a proven management team advancing high-grade assets toward strategic acquisition. The combination of exceptional resource quality, systematic development approach, and favorable market timing creates multiple pathways for value creation as the company advances toward the scale thresholds that attract major mining company interest.View Kootenay Silver's company profile: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/companies/kootenay-silver-incSign up for Crux Investor: https://cruxinvestor.com
Interview with Joe David, Managing Director of Elementos Ltd.Recording date: 10th July 2025Elementos Limited (ASX:ELT) is positioning itself as a unique player in the critical minerals sector through its vertically integrated tin operation spanning from mine to metal production in Spain. The company's flagship Oropesa project in Andalusia has published a robust Definitive Feasibility Study demonstrating $270 million AUD NPV and 26% internal rate of return using conservative $30,000 per tonne tin pricing, well below current market levels around $33,000.The project's compelling economics stem from a differentiated vertical integration strategy. Elementos has secured a 50% option over a Spanish tin smelter located 220 kilometers from the mine site, enabling the company to capture European tin premiums of approximately $1,000 per tonne above London Metal Exchange prices. This integration transforms typical concentrate sales receiving 92-93% payables into 98-99% recovery through smelting, effectively making European smelting operations cost-neutral while accessing premium pricing.Managing Director Joe David emphasizes the strategic scarcity underlying the investment thesis: "The tin market is only 2% of the copper market... if you included every single tin development project that sit within listed companies on any of the exchanges worldwide, I think you can count them on two hands." This scarcity has intensified due to supply disruptions in Myanmar and reduced Chinese smelter utilization rates dropping to 50% from typical 70-80% levels.The company has made substantial permitting progress in mining-friendly Andalusia, which generates 90% of Spain's metallic mining revenue. Elementos is approaching the public exhibition phase, a significant de-risking milestone requiring regulatory confirmation of project feasibility. The recent Metals X investment provides funding runway while multiple parties across equity, debt, and offtake spectrums have engaged in discussions, reflecting strong commercial interest in the limited global tin development pipeline.Elementos' positioning aligns with the European Union's Critical Raw Materials Act and represents the only proposed vertically integrated primary tin operation in Europe, offering investors exposure to both structural tin supply deficits and Europe's strategic mineral security initiatives.View Elementos' company profile: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/companies/elementos-limitedSign up for Crux Investor: https://cruxinvestor.com
Declining labor force participation, lower birth rates and a collapse in net migration are combining to squeeze the U.S. labor supply. NAFB News ServiceSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
“Each person has their own story,” says Kerim Kfuri, author and host of “The Supply and Demand Show” and President and CEO of The Atlas Network, LLC.In this conversation with Daniel and Peter, Kerim shares insights gleaned from a lifetime of experiences in a multi-cultural and cross-border world. From growing up as a child of immigrants speaking multiple languages to leading a packing and logistics organization with over 2,000 suppliers around the world, Kerim has learned what works–and what doesn't–when it comes to working together through global differences.Tune in to learn:How to set the stage for working with others across cultures through survey questionsWhy curiosity is so important in leading across global boundariesHow generalizations limit our understanding of othersThe great leveler in all leadership is communication, Kerim says. Communication helps you “connect the dots and know exactly who and how and what each person's experiences are.”Questions, comments, or topic ideas? Drop us an e-mail at podcast@stewartleadership.com.In this episode:1:33 – Introduction: Kerim Kfuri3:18 – Topic: Leading Through Global Differences5:53 – How to Balance Preconceived Notions with an Open Mind10:15 – How Kerim's Background Shaped his Career19:44 – How to Efficiently Communicate, Understand, and Build Relationships32:57 – Bringing Understanding to the Global Supply ChainResources:Kerim Kfuri's Website“The Supply and Demand Show” (YouTube)Supply Chain Ups and Downs, by Kerim KfuriThe Atlas Network, LLCStewart Leadership Insights and Resources:6 Tips for Improving Your Active Listening SkillsPlease Help Me Communicate Better!The 2 Levels in Every Conversation7 Ways to Become a People First Manager6 Questions that Strengthen Company ConnectionsBeyond Engagement Surveys: Creating a Compelling Employee Experience (Webinar)If you liked this episode, please share it with a friend or colleague, or, better yet, leave a review to help other listeners find our show, and remember to subscribe so you never miss an episode. For more great content or to learn about how Stewart Leadership can help you grow your ability to lead effectively, please visit stewartleadership.com and follow us on LinkedIn, Instagram, and YouTube.
APAC stocks were ultimately mixed with the region indecisive in the aftermath of the latest Chinese GDP and activity data.European equity futures indicate a marginally higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.2% on Monday.DXY has given back some of yesterday's gains, EUR/USD remains on a 1.16 handle, other majors are contained.EU draws up retaliatory tariffs for US goods in case a trade deal is not reached, including aircraft and booze, according to WSJ.Crude futures remained subdued after US President Trump announced 100% tariffs on Russia and secondary sanctions on other countries that buy oil from Russia if a Ukraine deal is not struck within 50 days.The ECB is to discuss a more negative scenario next week than previously envisaged in June after Trump's latest tariff threat, according to Reuters.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ Industrial Production, German ZEW, US & Canadian CPI, OPEC MOMR, Bundesbank Monthly Report, Fed's Bowman, Barr, Barkin & Collins, BoE's Bailey & UK Chancellor Reeves, Supply from Germany, Earnings from JPMorgan, Blackrock, Wells Fargo, Citi and Ericsson.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
✔️ Sources: ► https://x.com/ecb/status/1945076445732123051?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ► https://x.com/re_tweet/status/1944751921417638270?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ► https://x.com/jratcliff/status/1944947179896102968?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ► https://x.com/btc_archive/status/1945101255740690700?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ► https://x.com/stoolpresidente/status/1944753121495822509?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ► https://x.com/lookonchain/status/1944959737742946600?s=52&t=CKH2brGypO5fEYTgQ-EFhQ✔️ Check out Our Bitcoin Only Sponsors!► https://archemp.co/Discover the pinnacle of precision engineering. Our very first product, the bitcoin logo wall clock, is meticulously machined in Maine from a solid block of aerospace-grade aluminum, ensuring unparalleled durability and performance. We don't compromise on quality – no castings, just solid, high-grade material. Our state-of-the-art CNC machining center achieves tolerances of 1/1000th of an inch, guaranteeing a perfect fit and finish every time. Invest in a product built to last, with the exacting standards you deserve.► Join Our telegram: https://t.me/PlebUnderGroundChat #Bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrency #dailybitcoinnews #memecoins The information provided by Pleb Underground ("we," "us," or "our") on Youtube.com (the "Site") our show is for general informational purposes only. All information on the show is provided in good faith, however we make no representation or warranty of any kind, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, adequacy, validity, reliability, availability, or completeness of any information on the Site. UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCE SHALL WE HAVE ANY LIABILITY TO YOU FOR ANY LOSS OR DAMAGE OF ANY KIND INCURRED AS A RESULT OF THE USE OF THE SHOW OR RELIANCE ON ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED ON THE SHOW. YOUR USE OF THE SHOW AND YOUR RELIANCE ON ANY INFORMATION ON THE SHOW IS SOLELY AT YOUR OWN RISK.
Ep. 193: It's been a season of change, and in this episode, Fi and I are getting into what it really looks like to walk away from what's comfortable in order to make space for something better. We talk about that weird in-between stage—when you've decided to leave, but don't know what's next—and how we've both been sitting with that uncertainty in our own ways. Fi opens up about her breakup, the emotions that caught her off guard, and how she's learning to listen to herself more deeply. Whether you're navigating endings, glow-ups, or something in between, this one's for you. Leave Me a Message - click here! For Mari's Instagram click here! For Pursuit of Wellness Podcast's Instagram click here! For Mari's Newsletter click here! For Fi's Instagram click here! Sponsored By: Upgrade your kitchen with Caraway's non-toxic cookware. Visit carawayhome.com/WELLNESS10 or use code WELLNESS10 for 10% off your next purchase. Hungryroot makes healthy eating easy — 40% off your first box + a free item for life at hungryroot.com/POW with code POW. Visit dreamrecovery.io and use code PURSUIT15 for an exclusive discount on products that support deeper sleep and better recovery. Maui Nui delivers wild-harvested, nutrient-rich venison straight to your door. Order now at mauinuivenison.com/POW. Supply is limited so don't wait! Bake-from-frozen sourdough, pasta & pastries — ready in 25 minutes. Visit wildgrain.com/POW for $30 off your first box + free croissants in every box. The first 1,000 to join at functionhealth.com/POW or use gift code POW at sign-up get a $100 credit toward their membership. Whether you're launching a side hustle or building the next big brand, Shopify makes it simple to start and scale. Visit shopify.com/mari to make it happen. Show Links: Bloom Pop delivers bold, bubbly flavor with real gut health benefits—made with clinically-backed prebiotics and no junk. Topics Discussed 00:52: Fi's lore 00:23: Life updates since Fi's last appearance 02:45: New boyfriend reveal 03:49: Personal growth after breakup 05:05: Dating a baseball coach long-distance 09:30: Golfing as a couple 10:05: Golf and real estate networking 12:25: Your partner shouldn't hate you 13:43: Baseball season and relationship logistics 14:21: Pregnancy holidays and birth planning 19:24: Mari's baby ultrasound and health update 22:30: Gender reveal & cupcake fail 24:50: Ridiculous baby purchases 25:40: Mari's formula ingredient rabbit hole 31:48: Fi's Bartholin cyst 34:26: Symptoms and progression 38:20: ER treatment of cysts (to be continued) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this week's episode of the Coin Stories News Block powered exclusively by Ledn, we cover the biggest headlines related to Bitcoin, macroeconomics, and global finance: Bitcoin Breaks $120,000, Expert Predicts $200K in 2025 IBIT: Fastest ETF to $80 Billion It's “Crypto Week” in the U.S. -- What That Means for Regulatory Clarity Bitcoin Advocate Gould Confirmed as New OCC Chief ---- The News Block is powered exclusively by Ledn – the global leader in Bitcoin-backed loans, issuing over $9 billion in loans since 2018, and they were the first to offer proof of reserves. With Ledn, you get custody loans, no credit checks, no monthly payments, and more. Learn more at www.Ledn.io ---- Read every story in the News Block with visuals and charts! Join our mailing list and subscribe to our free Bitcoin newsletter: https://thenewsblock.substack.com ---- References mentioned in the episode: Bitcoin Hits New All-Time Highs Trump Issues New Tariffs on Trade Partners Trump Announces Sweeping New Tariffs A Significant Number of Shorts Were Liquidated Michael Saylor Tweet on Shorting Bitcoin Bitcoin Was the Best-Performing Asset Class in Q2 Central Banks Cutting Rates at Fastest Pace since 2020 Central Banks Have Cut Rates 64 Times in 2025 White House “Looking Into” Trump's Ability to Fire Powell Bitcoin ETFs Set Second-Largest Daily Inflow IBIT Becomes Fastest-Ever ETF to Surpass $80 Billion Matt Hougan's Tweet on Supply and Demand Bitcointreasuries.net Chart Showing Institutional Adoption House Speaker Announces July 14 “Crypto Week” in D.C. Bo Hines' Tweet on “Crypto Week” Senate Confirms Jonathan Gould as OCC HeadJPMorgan Tells Fintechs to Pay Up for Customer Data Access Former Bitfury Executive Gould to Take Over OCC ---- Natalie's Upcoming Events: Bitcoin 2026 will be here before you know it. Get 10% off Early Bird passes using the code HODL: https://tickets.b.tc/event/bitcoin-2026?promoCodeTask=apply&promoCodeInput= Your Bitcoin oasis awaits at Camp Nakamoto: A retreat for Bitcoiners, by Bitcoiners. Code HODL for discounted passes: https://massadoptionbtc.ticketspice.com/camp-nakamoto ---- This podcast is for educational purposes and should not be construed as official investment advice. ---- VALUE FOR VALUE — SUPPORT NATALIE'S SHOWS Strike ID https://strike.me/coinstoriesnat/ Cash App $CoinStories #money #Bitcoin #investing
In this episode, Chuck dives into the root causes of the housing crisis. Using clips from interviews with housing experts and reporters, he explores the popular theory that the housing crisis is caused by a lack of supply. He shows how this belief relates to the Strong Towns approach. ADDITIONAL SHOW NOTES Learn how to unlock housing in your city: The Housing-Ready City: A Toolkit for Local Code Reform Hear more from… Cullum Clark Conor Dougherty Steve Nygren Chuck Marohn (Substack) This podcast is made possible by Strong Towns members. Click here to learn more about membership, including member-exclusive perks.
In this episode of Supply Chain Now, host Scott Luton talks with Jake Barr, CEO at BlueWorld Supply Chain Consulting, and Karin Bursa, CEO of NIRAKIO, to break down key takeaways from Gartner's 2025 Supply Chain Symposiums in Orlando and Barcelona. They explore the “never normal” concept and why supply chain leaders must embrace constant disruption. Jake shares his insights on why visibility alone is no longer enough and why leaders need to focus on the consequences of real-time data. The trio also discusses the growing importance of AI in transforming supply chain operations, from advanced scenario planning to the rise of agentic AI. As we head into the second half of 2025, Jake and Karin provide actionable advice for leaders to better navigate ongoing disruptions and improve their supply chain strategies with a laser focus on continuous learning and AI-driven solutions.Jump into the conversation:(00:00) Intro(01:36) Show overview and key topics(03:23) Warm-up questions and fun facts(06:03) Gartner supply chain symposium insights(11:38) Key takeaways and discussions(22:38) The role of AI in supply chain(28:34) AI in supply chain: real use cases(29:26) Supply chain as a strategic weapon(31:24) Visibility is not enough(35:05) The risks of relying on Excel(38:37) Change management in supply chain(47:00) The future of AI in supply chainResources:Connect with Karin Bursa: https://www.linkedin.com/in/karinbursa/ Learn more about NIRAKIO: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nirakio/ Connect with Jake Barr: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jake-barr-3883501/ Learn more about Gartner: https://www.gartner.com/en/conferences/na/symposium-us Connect with Scott Luton: https://www.linkedin.com/in/scottwindonluton/Learn more about Supply Chain Now: https://supplychainnow.com Watch and listen to more Supply Chain Now episodes here: https://supplychainnow.com/program/supply-chain-now Subscribe to Supply Chain Now on your favorite platform: https://supplychainnow.com/join Work with us! Download Supply Chain Now's NEW Media Kit: https://bit.ly/3XH6OVkThis episode was hosted by Scott Luton and produced by Amanda Luton. For additional information, please visit our dedicated show page at: https://supplychainnow.com
Connect with Early Riders // Connect with OnrampPresented collaboratively by Early Riders & Onramp Media...Final Settlement is a weekly podcast covering the underlying mechanics of the bitcoin protocol, its ongoing development and funding, and real-world applications of the technology.00:00 - Bitcoin's All-Time Highs and Market Dynamics14:53 - The Role of ETFs and Retail Interest in Bitcoin21:52 - Venture Capital and Strategic Capital Allocation29:47 - Counterparty Risks and Market Stability31:38 - The Gambling Nature of Crypto Markets33:43 - Market Structure and Bitcoin Dominance36:01 - Retail vs. Institutional Demand in Crypto40:12 - Privacy and Decentralization in the Age of AI44:41 - Wages, Inflation, and Bitcoin Accumulation47:44 - The Evolution of Bitcoin Mining52:35 - Convergence of AI and Bitcoin57:57 - Historical Perspectives on Capital and ControlIf you found this valuable, please subscribe to Early Riders Insights for access to the best content in the ecosystem weekly.Links discussed:https://x.com/MTanguma/status/1944718183509664170https://x.com/matthew_pines/status/1944465838448525806https://x.com/anilsaidso/status/1943662915745350084https://www.theblock.co/post/362357/next-crypto-ipos-vcs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=socialhttps://x.com/EricBalchunas/status/1943664470032576876https://thedefiant.io/news/markets/pump-fun-raises-500-million-minutes-pump-token-sale-fc226b29https://www.nbcboston.com/news/business/money-report/trump-certainly-can-fire-fed-chair-powell-if-theres-cause-hassett/3765586/https://blockworks.co/news/coreweave-pending-buy-aihttps://www.nbcboston.com/news/business/money-report/trump-certainly-can-fire-fed-chair-powell-if-theres-cause-hassett/3765586/Keep up with Michael: X and LinkedInKeep up with Brian: X and LinkedInKeep up with Liam: X and LinkedIn
Today's message explores the importance of understanding and utilizing the spiritual gifts and supply that each believer has through the Holy Spirit. Pastor Kerrick Butler emphasizes the need for Christians to be informed about how the Spirit moves, both in corporate settings and individual lives. As you stream this message, you'll be encouraged listen to the inner witness of the Holy Spirit, to forgive others, and to come together in unity, as this amplifies the power and effectiveness of your spiritual gifts and supply.
OBADIAH (SERVENT OF YAHWEHThere is at least twelve people name Obadiah in the Bible. Smiths Bible Dictionary The book itself does not include much information about Obadiah, nor the date and place of the book being written. The book of Obadiah is about Edom's judgment and Israel's restoration.In this morning's study I will begin to ‘Unravel the Words of Obadiah'. We will take a look at verses 1 thru 4. I will also read from 1 Kings 8 beginning with verse 16.Obadiah means “Servant of Yahweh”. As a servant of Yahweh our desire is to work for Him and also to be pleasing to Him. This is really where it begins for each of us. Yahweh is not going to teach us, illuminate Biblical texts for us, or give us insight if we are not interested in serving Him or doing His work. 1 Thus saith, &c. = The words of this prophecy, therefore, are not Obadiah's, but Yahweh's.the Lord GOD. = Hebrew Adonai Jehovah. concerning Edom. = This is a unique prophecy. The audience is not Israel, but it is a prophecy spoken to the nations. The Edomites are descended from Esau.a rumour = tidings. the LORD. = Hebrew. Yahweh. Supply the logical Ellipsis: "from Yahweh [that Edom is to be attacked]". And = or, and [already]. Ambassador = This prophet, like an apostle, was sent forth among the nations (the Gentiles) to proclaim a message to them – he was not sent solely to Israel, as was so often the case with these prophets.2 Behold = Figure of speech As-ter-is-mos. A calling of attention to a thing by making an asterisk. Calling attention to the words of Yahweh. This means we need to pay attention to what follows, as it is very important. Thee = Yahweh is now speaking to Edom. Small = This is a word for abbreviated or little - in this context it means insignificant. Despised = Contemptible. This is the same word used to describe how Esau thought of his birth right. He had contempt for it. He thought little of it. 3 The pride of thine heart hath deceived thee = The Edomites were proud of their wealth and riches, which they had by stealing when combined together; and of their military skill and courage, and of their friends and allies;Pride = zaw-done' From ‘zood' or ‘zeed'; arrogance. The Bible refers to two types of sin: Intentional sin and unintentional sin. Unintentional sin is sin that is done without intent (You did wrong, but you didn't have the intent to do wrong). It is done out of negligence or carelessness. It is still a sin, however, and it still needs to be dealt with – all sin has consequences. Intentional sin, on the other hand, has a degree of rebellion, forethought and intent attached to it. This is a more serious form of sin. This intentional sin is what Yahweh is referring to here in regard to the people in the last days – Edom (Proverbs 18:12) High = Elevated. Lifted high, out of reach. Who will bring me down? This is Edom's question. We know the answer to this…Yahweh! Yahweh humbles the proud (Proverbs 29:23)4 among the stars = Figure of speech Hy-per-bo-le. (a casting or going beyond, overshooting, excess. The figure is so called because the expression adds to the sense so much that it exaggerates it, and enlarges or diminishes it more than is really meant in fact. Or, when more is said than is meant to be literally understood, in order to heighten the sense.) Join me as we go Chapter by Chapter, Verse by Verse, Unraveling the Words of Yahweh!Have any questions? Feel free to email me; keitner2024@outlook.com
How does American Tungsten (CSE: TUNG | OTCQB: DEMRF | FSE: RK9) aim to supply up to 16% of U.S. tungsten demand?Led by CEO Ali Haji, the company is breathing new life into the historic IMA Mine in Idaho. With existing infrastructure and private patented land ownership streamlining permitting, the project holds a clear strategic advantage.In this interview, Ali shares insights from their NI 43-101 technical report, summer exploration plans, and growing U.S. government engagement in critical mineral supply. With additional silver and molybdenum credits, American Tungsten is positioning itself as a fast-moving domestic supplier in a tightening market.Learn more about American Tungsten: https://americantungstencorp.com/Watch the full YouTube interview here: https://youtu.be/w59Fm03WE94And follow us to stay updated: https://www.youtube.com/@GlobalOneMedia?sub_confirmation=1
Staples pivots to services like TSA pre-check, passport photos, and Verizon device sales as core printing business declines. Chris and Anne debate whether this services salvation story can sustain the 945-location chain or if it's just delaying the inevitable. Brought to you by the A&M Consumer and Retail Group, Simbe, Mirakl, and Ocampo Capital.
Magic realism is an excellent way to articulate the inarticulable, to assert dissent, and to question order. Historical fiction is an amazing vehicle for examination of the past! Join Kimberly for a discussion of Russell's novel in the context of Gabriel García Márquez, Isabel Allende, and even Mary Karr. You'll come away with a better understanding of The Antidote, while gaining a broader sense of how TRUTH sometimes functions well in fiction and sometimes falls short.
Interview with Andre Liebenberg, Executive Director & CEO of Yellow Cake PLCOur previous interview: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/posts/slow-supply-fast-demand-uraniums-new-investment-reality-7136Recording date: 7th July 2025Yellow Cake presents a compelling pure-play uranium investment opportunity positioned to capitalize on structural supply-demand imbalances in the global uranium market. The London-listed company holds approximately 22 million pounds of physical uranium stored primarily in Canada and France, providing direct exposure to uranium price appreciation without operational mining risks.The investment thesis centers on a fundamental supply deficit that is expected to persist for 3-5 years. Current global uranium production delivers approximately 165 million pounds annually against demand of 180 million pounds and rising, creating an immediate gap of 15 million pounds that is projected to widen as nuclear capacity expansion accelerates globally. China alone is constructing 26-28 reactors simultaneously, while technology companies increasingly turn to nuclear power for reliable, clean electricity to power data centers and artificial intelligence operations.Technology sector involvement represents a transformative catalyst for uranium demand. Amazon's $20 billion commitment to data center complexes alone represents half the market capitalization of the entire uranium sector, highlighting the scale of capital these companies are willing to deploy for energy security. As CEO Andre Liebenberg notes, "If a tech company had to put 20 billion dollars into the mining space, you could build a pretty big project for that." This suggests technology companies possess sufficient resources to directly address supply constraints through upstream investments if fuel security becomes a constraint to their operations.Supply-side constraints appear particularly acute given the limited number of producing jurisdictions. Five countries produce 90% of global uranium, with Kazakhstan accounting for approximately half of world production. Much of this flows to China and Russia, creating a "bifurcated market" where Western utilities face increasing competition for uranium supplies. As Liebenberg explains, "Kazakhstan, half their material goes to China. If you include Russia, it's probably closer to 2/3. Namibia, the two operating mines in Namibia are both owned by the Chinese that goes to China."Critical inventory depletion adds urgency to the supply situation. US utilities now hold approximately two years or less of uranium reserves against an 18-24 month fuel cycle, representing what Liebenberg characterizes as "the low point of their infantry." This follows nearly a decade of utilities contracting below consumption levels, a practice that cannot continue indefinitely. The eventual resumption of utility contracting represents a key catalyst for uranium price appreciation.Yellow Cake's strategic positioning provides multiple competitive advantages. The company's agreement with Kazatomprom allows $100 million annual uranium acquisitions at spot prices through 2027, providing assured access to supply in an increasingly thin market. As Liebenberg observes, "With the spot market today, you saw Sprott raise $200 million and the spot market popped $7 without them spending a penny. It's a very thin and liquid market. So $100 million volume will move the price."The company's track record demonstrates strategy effectiveness. Yellow Cake raised $200 million at IPO when uranium traded at $21 per pound and has grown to over $1.5 billion in market capitalization with uranium at $76 per pound. Liebenberg expresses confidence in continued appreciation: "I'm still of the belief that we could see a doubling in the uranium price. We're sort of partway through that journey."Government policy support for nuclear expansion, including the World Bank's decision to resume nuclear project funding and support from 14 major banks for tripling nuclear capacity, creates favorable regulatory tailwinds. Small modular reactor development adds another demand catalyst, with commercial operation possible by the end of the decade.Yellow Cake PLC offers investors direct uranium exposure through a transparent, risk-controlled business model positioned to benefit from structural supply-demand imbalances and technology sector-driven demand growth over the next 3-5 years.View Yellow Cake's company profile: https://www.cruxinvestor.com/companies/yellow-cake-plcSign up for Crux Investor: https://cruxinvestor.com
In this podcast Anders Hove talks to Milo McBride and Ray Cai about EV and battery supply chains in the US in the wake of the passage of the new budget bill, and what these changes mean for US competition with China in this space. Milo McBride is a Fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for […] The post OIES Podcast – The new US budget bill and US EV and battery supply competition with China appeared first on Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.
SHOW SCHEDULE 7-9-25. Good evening. The show begins in Ukraine still waiting for air defense supply... 1856 BLACK SEA FLEET CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR FIRST HOUR 9:00-9:15 #Ukraine: Air power cannot win a war. Colonel Jeff McCausland, USA (Retired) @mccauslj @cbsnews @dickinsoncol 9:15-9:30 #Ukraine: NATO prepares Rotterdam. Colonel Jeff McCausland, USA (Retired) @mccauslj @cbsnews @dickinsoncol 9:30-9:45 Harvard: What is to be done? Peter Berkowitz, Hoover. 9:45-10:00 Harvard: What is to be done? Peter Berkowitz, Hoover continued. SECOND HOUR 10:00-10:15 Atomic bomb education. Peter Huessy, @gordongchang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill 10:15-10:30 LEO: Weaponizing lasers vs Germany EU. Rick Fisher, @gordongchang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill 10:30-10:45 PRC: Rumors of Xi. Charles Burton, @gordongchang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill 10:45-11:00 PRC: Weaponizing LEO. Brandon Weichert, @gordongchang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill THIRD HOUR 11:00-11:15 Solomons vs PRC. Cleo Paskal, FDD 11:15-11:30 Solomons vs PRC. Cleo Paskal, FDD continued 11:30-11:45 End of Russiagate. @andrewcmccarthy @nro @thadmccotter @theamgreatness 11:45-12:00 Russia asset seizures. Michael Bernstam FOURTH HOUR 12:00-12:15 France: Wildfires at Marseilles. Simon Constable 12:15-12:30 England: Bayeux comes to the UK. Simon Constable 12:30-12:45 ULA: Is the Vulcan ready? Bob Zimmerman behindtheblack.com 12:45-1:00 AM Mars: Meteorite for sale. Bob Zimmerman behindtheblack.com Key corrections made:
David Aspell says the market will care more about tariff threats if they're made against bigger trading partners. He thinks copper tariffs of 50% are “much higher” than the market expected, and its price surge has already had rippling consequences. He is bullish on copper (/HG) overall. “The [countries] we import copper from are generally friendly” to us, he adds, “The speed in which it's being implemented is quite surprising.”======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-...Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-...Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/19192...Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplu...Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-net...Follow us on X – / schwabnetwork Follow us on Facebook – / schwabnetwork Follow us on LinkedIn - / schwab-network About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about
“This is a long standing discussion within the networking and security industry: is there a perimeter? I think the reality is the perimeter still exists because it's a data and logical perimeter, but it doesn't exist anymore as a physical perimeter.” - Ken Rutsky, Chief Marketing Officer at Aryaka As the world becomes increasingly digital, ensuring network connectivity and security become parallel objectives that all companies must prioritize. Add in trying to do it as efficiently as possible, and the challenge only grows. Ken Rutsky is the Chief Marketing Officer at Aryaka. They recently released their first Network Security Trends in Transportation and Logistics report, part of a series of research efforts looking at network security trends for different industries. In this episode of the Art of Supply podcast, Ken joins Kelly Barner to discuss: The unique combination of physical and digital security needs that transportation and logistics companies have to satisfy How the cost, complexity, and relative risk associated with network security are being addressed Balancing systems integration and also network perimeters to ensure connectivity on the move without taking on undue risk Links: Ken Rutsky on LinkedIn 2025 State of Network Security in Transportation & Logistics Kelly Barner on LinkedIn Art of Supply LinkedIn newsletter Art of Supply on AOP Subscribe to This Week in Procurement
European bourses began with modest gains and have gradually increased, largely led by reports of Chinese housing support.US futures are contained as newsflow has been limited, ex-China, since the overnight tariff developments.DXY is marginally firmer but well within Wednesday's band, G10s flat aside from Antipodeans benefiting from metals action and China support; BRL lags on 50% tariffsFixed benchmarks have been gradually drifting from overnight highs, now essentially flatBase metals glean on reports of Chinese stimulus, precious peers also firmer though action has been more gradualLooking ahead, highlights include US Weekly Claims, Chinese M2/New Yuan Loans, Speakers including Fed's Musalem, Waller & Daly, BoE's Breeden, Supply from the US. Earnings from Delta & Conagra Brands.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
US President Trump announced tariff rates for seven countries and later announced a 50% tariff for Brazil; President Trump also announced the US is to impose a 50% tariff on copper, effective August 1st.The EU is discussing car import quotas and export credits with the US in trade talks, according to sources cited by Reuters.A muted reaction was seen across markets following the FOMC minutes; FOMC Minutes stated that most saw some reduction in the Fed funds rate this year as appropriate.European equity futures indicate a mildly higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.4% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include German CPI final, Norwegian CPI, Swedish GDP, US Weekly Claims, Chinese M2/New Yuan Loans, OPEC WOO, Speakers including Fed's Musalem, Waller & Daly, ECB's Cipollone & BoE's Breeden, Supply from US, Earnings from Delta & Conagra Brands.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Kiera is joined by Ted Osterer of Synergy Dental Partners to talk about the money field of dentistry in this moment of 2025, including tariffs, negotiating and raising fees, finding supplies, and more. Episode resources: Subscribe to The Dental A-Team podcast Schedule a Practice Assessment Leave us a review Transcript: Kiera Dent (00:01) Hello, Dental A Team listeners. This is Kiera. And today I am jazzed. I have a super fun guest on the podcast today. We're going to talk about the tariff sheriff, how that's impacting dentistry, the rise of dental supply costs, and honestly what to do because I'm so annoyed by all these pieces. What's the economic outlook? How do dentists freaking survive? Like, gosh, it just seems like a funny world out there. But we have Ted Osterer. He is with Synergy. I love this buying group. I think they're Absolutely incredible. We're gonna shed some light for you guys. So Ted, welcome to the show today. How are you? Ted Osterer (00:32) I am doing very, very well. Thank you so, so much for having me. Congratulations on your thousandth episode recently. I'm happy to be a part of this and any value I could bring to your listeners, hey, we're all better for it. Kiera Dent (00:39) Thank you. Well, thanks, Ted. And yes, ⁓ I'm still in utter awe that we hit a thousand episodes. Like when I started this, it was just a whim, a pipe dream. Jason and I were hiking. It's not a joke. I literally was hiking half-dome. Mind you, Jason had said, hey, let's go down to Yosemite. I'd love a nice relaxing weekend down there. And I had learned that you could go get, like, this is prior. You can't do this anymore. That you could get these like day passes, like these day camping passes. And if you just went and sat at this little lodge for a few hours. So I was like, Jay, yeah, of course we'll go down there for this very calm, welcoming, welcome, like very easy, relaxing weekend. Little did he know I had full plans to try and get half dome tickets and like hike half dome. I even brought the gloves, like I was ready to go. And sure enough, I got the lottery, got the tickets. Jason was like, what the heck? We're going to freaking hike half dome. Like, Kiera, we haven't even prepped for this. We haven't done any of this. We don't even have a hotel. We got a hotel an hour away. We had to drive an hour outside of town. It was the nastiest hotel. They were like, I'm not even joking. There was like hair and like this little pill on the pillow that were not ours. Jason's like had the worst sleep of his night and I'm like listen there's no hotels around me of 70. Like we're filing so we had a place. We went back super early the next morning to hike Half Dome and lo and behold on our hike I said Jay I think we need to build a podcast. This is where it all started. It was like one of those things that I never imagined a thousand episodes would hit and here we are. Ted, you're hanging out with me a thousand in. And I think it's just fun because of all the value, all the stories, all the people. And like you and I were talking about pre-show, the podcast is really just a place where I get to selfishly hang out and just have a good conversation with people that I like. I get to meet new people in the industry. And as a byproduct of my nerdiness and excitement of meeting people, all of our listeners get benefited by this. So Ted, I'm so happy you're a part of this. Thank you for that. ⁓ Outside of Yosemite, let's talk about the rising cost of dental supplies, the tariffs, how this is going to impact. Because I know people are really nervous about it. I see in lots of dental groups out there, and you guys are really great. That's why I had you come on, because I think you're a huge solution to these problems. So take it away, Ted also, so the listener know how on earth did you even get into dentistry? Let's talk about that first, and then let's talk about what this even looks like for dental practices long-term. Ted Osterer (03:00) How did I get into dentistry? ⁓ It was fate, it was just destiny. Growing up, I had 13 teeth pulled. I had braces for five years and it was like, well, I'm here for life, I guess. And this is just how we can all grow as a unit. ⁓ I've been in dentistry for about 15 years now. I started out as a dental supply rep. I was going door to door for over five years and... funny enough that, you know, this isn't the, I grew up in the New York area. This is the major metropolitan New York area. And I had a really good buddy and he was like, I think you'd be a really good fit actually managing anal practices. And I can actually introduce you to someone. And it was like a small like eight practice group. I can introduce you to somebody, the practice on the Upper East Side of Manhattan. Go see if you'd be a good fit. And I'm just kind of like, sure, guess. know, it's like always like have a conversation. And I had a conversation and sure enough, I got along really well with a particular office manager ⁓ from this group and I went to go work for this office manager. ⁓ Within three months, I had my own practice. I was a practice manager. You know, it's so funny going from a supply rep to an office manager, right? I learned the first and I'm not saying this is everybody, but I learned the first day of being in a dental office that I knew nothing. Kiera Dent (03:59) Yeah. Ted Osterer (04:29) about what happens in a dental office, right? Like I'm like, could, God, it's gonna be a piece of cake. I've been in dentistry for five years. And so I could tell you how strong and impressive material was. That does not help with insurance codes or posture downgrade or presenting treatment or creating a schedule or reading a schedule, anything like that. So, much respect to everyone that manages offices that's listening right now that my goodness, you're fighting the good fight. Keep up the good work. ⁓ Kiera Dent (04:40) does not. Agreed. Ted Osterer (04:57) I did that for some time. I was recruited to work for care credit. I oversaw New England for a few years where then they moved me to South Florida. And then a few months after that, I was recruited by Synergy. I've been here since 2021. And this is really, really cool. You know, I came to Synergy because the message was, do you want to make an impact in the dental world? You know, like you love what you do, but do you really want to make an impact? Do you want to help independent dentistry? And I was like, man, what a line, right? Like I was suckered in and I really wanted to make a difference. And sure enough, almost four years later, we're still here at, you know, we're the largest dental buying club in the country. We are the fastest growing dental buying club in the country. And we're just trying to preserve independent dentistry by giving them the same supply and overhead cost at a 20 plus practice DSO would get. that, know, we were founded by dentists. It was as black and white as, Hey, If enough of us order from the same places, they'll give us a discount. And now we have people in charge of negotiating pricing. You know, we have a dedicated team to each member to make sure that they're getting the values worth here at Synergy and they're not ordering more than they have to. And you you asked about tariffs, the rising overhead costs, all of that really, really fun stuff, right? Let's dive into that, right? You know, the perceived economic uncertainty of everything. Are prices going to go up? Yes, of course. Does that mean you need to buy everything right now at the same time to save money in like six months? No, you probably shouldn't do that either. You know, the waiting game generally always pays off, be it in dentistry or outside of dentistry when it comes to money, you know, you're better off just kind of, you know, hold the chips, hold down the fort, you know, you're, it's not, you do not sound the alarms, of course, right? You know, the price of your crowns is not going to go up 10,000 % like. Kiera Dent (06:21) Yeah. Ted Osterer (06:50) Calm down, chill out, right? It's what we've monitored. Have tariffs affected some prices? Yes. ⁓ Many have already gone down. Many have plateaued with that price increase and we kind of have a safe, what, just gauge on what those actually are, right? The percentages have been minimal. It's a few dollars here and there. Kiera Dent (06:52) Yes, I agree. Ted Osterer (07:17) Again, the industry is not belly up. really should not be your ⁓ primary concern. Providing optimal quality ⁓ of treatment should be your number one concern still to this day. I don't think it's going to make a difference whether you're getting a new sensor or not. If your sensor goes, you're OK. Kiera Dent (07:36) It's It's really true. Well, Ted, I love that. And I love your story. And I love that you have the real life experience in dental practices, because that's something that we pride ourselves on at Dental A Team. It's like, we've been there, done that, and done it successfully. And you're right. Being in a practice is no small task. It's no small feat. And ⁓ I think the supply costs, I do agree with you. think certain people were getting a little bit, maybe extra on this, of how concerned we are of cost. And I don't think it's a wrong thing. to look at, to project down and to forecast forward to make sure that you keep in line with your overhead. Like people who are looking at this, I'm high-fiving you because you actually are looking at your numbers and you understand the cost of your supplies. But at the same time, I remember I was at a, I have a friend who's very wealthy. We're talking like this person brings in 28, 30 million annually a year. And like, I just giggle because it is a great friend. Ted Osterer (08:25) Sounds like a great friend. There you go. All right. Kiera Dent (08:29) I thought he said he was a cosmetic dentist when I met him and he's surely not a cosmetic dentist. He's a cosmetic chemist. So skincare, things like that. And I remember we were talking and he was like, yeah, I just got so freaked out about the stocks. I pulled everything out of the stock market. This was two years ago. And I'm like, bro, like the amount of gains because you got so scared is incredible. And I had another friend, we were sitting at a wealth conference and we had like Ray Dalio there and Paul Tudor Jones and gosh. Marks, Howard Marks, like so many of the big players in wealth and they weren't talking. And this guy named Harry Dent came in and Harry Dent has been known for being right and wrong on predictions of the market. And I remember like, I'm not kidding you. We talked in this conference of do not make rash decisions. Like we're here to gather all the information, synthesize it out and then make best decisions. And I kid you not, we are two days into this five day conference and I met this guy and he's like, Harry Dent just freaked me out. I went and sold all my... like sold everything like that night pulled everything out of the stock market. I was like, dude, you're the reason people talk about what not to do because you should never be this radical. And so I feel like while those are extremes, I feel like dentistry can kind of be that way with the supply. Like we feel it's the stock market plummeting on us within our supply chain because we've got tariffs on there. When the reality is let's remember dentistry by default, a lot of our products already have very high margins on them. Like I'm not going to say it to the world in case there are people who are not dentists listening. but you can just think about fluoride for one second. So fluoride has insane margins on it, which are very profitable for you. The bulk of dentistry is very profitable. So these small rises, agreed, let's take a look at that. But like you said, Ted, it's not the end of the world. So I am curious though, from my like nerdy side, what things have gone up the most? What are you guys seeing across the board that the tariffs or the uncertainties, like the economy's gone up you guys. Bread, I'm shocked. or gasoline, you want to talk about gas prices? Like I don't know, in Florida it's way cheap. Here I'm in Reno in California. I kid you not in Truckee it was $7 a gallon and I like wanted to throw up the gases that much money, but I'm like if gas for a gallon is $7, bread prices, I mean you're paying five bucks, six bucks a loaf for bread, like supplies are going to be higher. It's not something that I'm like, oh my gosh, my cotton rolls went up. Well yeah, of course they went up. does like everything in the world has gone up. Home prices have gone up, but I am curious, what have you guys seen that the tariffs hit the most? Like what are some of those supplies? But we're ashricking this. Everyone listening, you have to promise you will not be either of my two friends who go radical. So when Ted tells you which one's worth a little bit higher, do not go out and give me like your prepping situation where you go buy all this because you're freaking out about it. Like steady the course, stay consistent, and just like watch the scene because most things will level out just like in stocks, just like in investments. But if we're radical and being wild on it, that's where you get. Like it just does not benefit. So I think Ted, everyone has promised. I made them just promise like everybody. Yes, you promise. Don't be radical. Ted, what are some of the ones that are seeing the highest hits? Like what, what products, what things are you guys seeing? Ted Osterer (11:33) Since you all promised ⁓ not to be radical, I will go ahead and share. Yeah, unbreakable. We know that's unbreakable. Kiera Dent (11:36) You promised. It's unbreakable. You did that, you like kissed the thumb, something like that. And then you like do a dance. All of them have done that, right? Nobody better lie. Don't be radical. Okay. They're good. Ted Osterer (11:52) Excellent. So for those listening at home, I did a very, very impressive interpretive dance, but for those watching, you saw it, it's all good. ⁓ So with a lot of the terrorists I've seen, and look, it's so volatile, you know, and for those, again, listening, I'm doing that thing with your finger, you go up and down a lot about how much it goes up and down. You know, look, I mean, you saw a lot of the anesthetics made in Canada go up a significant percent. You saw a lot of lab cases sent from overseas or, you know, it's funny enough, for those that don't know what the gray market is in terms of the supplies in the industry, Products are made overseas, totally fine, right? There's nothing wrong with products that are made overseas. However, sometimes they're made in factories that are only authorized in certain countries, even though it could be big name, know, supply partners, major manufacturers. I won't name drop, you know what I mean? I'm not trying to, you can Google it, you have access to the internet, congrats. When it comes to, these products that are made overseas are only regulated to be in select countries, they still have to be refrigerated certain ways, they still could have, they could have been made a long time ago, they're set to expire. They are mailed here and then they are sold to the United States, they're unregulated. You'll see their costs are... Insanely low to the point where it's too good to be true spoiler a lot a spoiler it is too good to be true right in the event that someone You know your malpractice insurance Is kicked in you use great, you know gray market products. You might be losing a case and that's not the smoke you want However, in the event of these tariffs funny enough what went up these gray market products, right? ⁓ They went up to the point where Kiera Dent (13:25) Yeah. Interesting. Ted Osterer (13:46) They're the same pricing, if not more than what your rep is offering you now. know, and look, you don't want to be caught with something like that. And it goes to show you that you, again, you're worried about optimal care. You should be worried about what you're putting in your patient's mouth as well. And depending on where you order it from, right? Like picture yourself, you're a patient in a chair, okay? And an assistant walks in to set, you know, to set the room, to put the supplies that you're going to use on that tray and she opens an eBay box. Imagine what the patient must be feeling knowing that or an Amazon box. It's like, wait a minute, if your patient's aware at all, you probably don't want that. And now that price is the same price that a major dealer is going to offer you or a rep can offer you. That's the worst case scenario. I believe that that's what I've seen went up the most. And there were some labs from overseas. Kiera Dent (14:23) Yeah, no. No. No. I'm just. Ted Osterer (14:44) ⁓ where the tariff was taking effect, a lot of the tariffs they were getting, were passing directly onto the consumer. I've seen that stop also. I'm not gonna say it's not gonna happen again, but it's not like you can order in bulk all these cases, you know? So, you know, again, when it comes to your labs, if you're satisfied with your lab, play the waiting game. You should be fine. Kiera Dent (14:53) Mm-hmm. It's true. Yeah, that's actually really helpful to know Ted, because I was really curious and I think it's one of those things of, I don't know, I'm the clinician inside of me. I originally dental assistant, office manager, treatment coordinator. We have a lot of hygienists on our team. ⁓ I think all of us in consulting, well, yes, we watch the numbers exponentially, which is why I brought Ted on. I wanted synergy to be here. I think it's a great solution for your numbers. The biggest thing I will also say is like, Please don't be so obsessive with the numbers that you cut your amazing dentistry and you are actually not doing the best dentistry for patients. I believe that when we do good by our patients, when we take care of them, when we use great products, I'm not saying you have to be I have a car. I'm not saying you have to be like high, high end. You can if you choose, but just making sure that we're doing right by our patients. Like I said, dentistry is a very profitable industry. as is, like we have done a really good job of keeping the practices profitable in spite of insurances and all of that. But I really just want to make sure people, when we're looking at this, let's not penny pinch and nickel, like watching all of our nickels when we're actually doing a disservice to our patients. So agreed, like that gray market, things like that. Yes, I like to be a good shopper. I love to get a good deal, but making sure that it's a good deal that's also taking care of your patients would be my like word to the wise. Again, I believe that when we are good and we're honest to our patients, people feel that there's good karma, there's good energy, it's all the way around. So Ted, how does synergy work? Like how do you get around this? Because things are going up. Being a business owner, mean, our margins are, they've been high, so maybe they're a little less high. I will also say, like doctors, I hope you've increased your fees too. You should do that. like, it's not just supplies that get to go up. Dentistry also gets to go up and it should be going up. And if you haven't raised your fees, I'll just asterisk that right now. Like that is very common. It's very normal. It should be done every single year. I think that's a way to offset some of these costs for you too. It's ethical and honest, but Ted kind of walk us through like independent dentists, which are most of the practices listening. We do have some DSOs on there. I think sometimes you can feel like, I don't know. It's like the little brother who's watching the big brother drive the car and it's like, why can't I get these deals? Like I know I'm just one practice, but. Sometimes you feel neglected. sometimes feel like distributors and manufacturers don't give you as good of a deal. Like, let's be real. The DSOs do get better deals than you do. I I've heard, I go talk to a lot of people and they're like, well, yeah, if you've got 20, 30, 50 practices, we're going to give you like pennies on the dollar compared to my solo practice that's going to be paying more for it due to the bulk distribution. So how can we have that of like, how can Independence Dennis win? Not have these costs hit them and to still play in the big leagues, even though they don't want to necessarily practice that way today. Ted Osterer (17:53) Yeah, awesome question, right? You hit on the head. What did DSO's do? They strong arm these dealers, manufacturers, distributors, and they say, look, I have 30 offices. We all want to order from you. We'll commit to this amount of spend. We'll commit to this amount of product. Give me the absolute best deal that you will, or I'm going to the other distributor that's on the next page of this advertisement that I am looking at, right? So they're just negotiating fees all day. That's what the ESOs are doing. They have people in place to negotiate these rates all day. That's what Synergy Dental Partners has, Independent Dentistry, ⁓ I mean, look, it's alive and well. We see it every day, you know, just because there's not major conferences that you're demanded to go to like the ESOs and things like that doesn't mean they're not alive and well and band together and know what's actually going on in dentistry, right? So Independent Dentists will subscribe to Synergy. to have access to the same pricing that those 20 plus, 30 plus practice DSOs would get, right? We negotiate with these supply partners all day long on the supplies that you're already using, right? I mean, that's what we do. We bully our vendors. We come to an agreement with specific supply partners to be in our network and have very attractive offerings that they will only offer to Synergy members, right? We're partnered with major distributors. We negotiate with... them all day, we're partnered with different implant organizations, with different rotary organizations, with different services. Depending on what you're looking for, we're going to offer you something that you would not be able to get on your own, right? Do you have to order in bulk with a synergy member? No, that's the point of us because we have enough dentists all ordering from the same place that the bulk is taken care of. Order as you go, right? So Darby is our anchor supplier, shines the largest distributor in the country. Patterson's the second largest distributor in the country. Darby's the third largest distributor in the country. When you place an order with them, everything comes in one to two days. As a synergy member, any order over $249, there's no shipping charges. And let's think about that in itself. Do you have to order in bulk now? No, do you have to hit a crazy minimum? No, you can order four times a month and not pay shipping. Everything's gonna come in one to two days. Now regarding all these manufacturer deals, Kiera Dent (20:01) awesome. Ted Osterer (20:15) Oh, I like to buy four to get one free. like to buy three to get one free. You hear the word free. Awesome. Great. Now we do have a lot of offerings just like that care, right? However, we've negotiated the net costs of those buy four, get one threes, get one free, buy three, get one free for just one. So you can order one. You don't need to spend $700 on your favorite composite to get one free. And now shade C3 is going to sit on your shelf for the next three years and it expires. You're going to throw it away anyway. So you wasted all that money. Kiera Dent (20:23) Right. Mm-hmm. Ha! Ted Osterer (20:43) The point of us is inventory control. It's cash flow management. I mean, if cash is what you're worried about, well guess what? mean, order as you go, you're probably not gonna pay shipping anyway. You have the supply you need. My goodness, Kara, have you ever had to clean out a supply closet? Is it not the worst day of the month? You know, when people order the wrong things, yeah, maybe you'll return it, or what are you gonna do? You're gonna check it off that checklist and then put it where you think it goes. Now it's gonna sit there forever. Yikes, right? Kiera Dent (21:02) Yep. Yep. Ted Osterer (21:13) You know, with Darby, things are easy to return. You order as you go, it's not gonna get lost in some shuffle if you order as you go, right? We are partnered getting discounts with Strom and NeoDent for implants and BioHorizons and Zest for the locator attachment through overdenture materials, Comet and Brassler for rotary. ⁓ We just rolled out our partnership with Bisco. We're partnered with UltraDent, Crestor, LB, Phillips. I'm going to put your listeners to sleep as I shamelessly plug these. Incredible companies offering the incredible deals are giving our members but the whole point of us is Carrie said you love to shop Bad news pal. I'm taking that phone away from you. We've done that shopping for you We know where your pricing should be is every price the lowest price on the market. I can't confidently say yes It's not true. I can confidently say that a lot of them are the best price in the market But every price is going to be competitive and if you're taking four or five hours to place an order with six tabs open texting four different reps. That's four patients that you could have seen in that time. not only, let's say you order from all those places. Now you got five different shipping charges. And now you don't know when any of these orders are gonna come. It could take weeks. Something could be on back orders. Something could be expired. But hey, you saved a dollar on gloves. Congratulations, you know? Kiera Dent (22:16) you I love it. And I think that this, is why I like Synergy. I feel like it's, you get the Costco discounts without the bulk requirements. And that's something that I really enjoyed about it because something we teach with our clients is do not be stocking up. I remember I worked at Midwestern University's dental college for a few years. And I remember I went through their supplies and because there was so much Ted Osterer (22:44) Yep. Kiera Dent (22:58) We, like, I remember throwing away boxes and boxes and boxes of expired supplies, things that we couldn't use anymore. And it was disgusting. And I was shocked and I was like, that's it. We have to get this to where we can see everything. And so we're really big in consulting of like tip out bids, having clear things, having it where your order is not like tucked in boxes and nooks and crannies. ⁓ And the way you're able to do that is by buying as you need it, rather than buying. Like I remember buying when I was an assistant ordering. Ted Osterer (23:07) What a waste. Kiera Dent (23:25) I think like 10 boxes of gloves. Like we had them stacked everywhere. It was just like an absurd amount because we were like, well, we got the deal. We need to have this versus like, no, like what are we using? That also keeps our costs down. We're not having these high end fluxes and low drops in our supplies. We're able to have that more consistent, have more consistent overhead. And like you said, sometimes Costco is not the cheapest. Sometimes I can get it cheaper at other places, but the reality is the time we're saving and also the more dentists buying within Synergy. more we're able to get the bulk discount. So it's like, it's the biggest DSO you can be a part of without being a part of a DSO, like air quotes around it, because you're not a part of a DSO, but it's the collective community group that's driving down the pieces for it. And Ted, correct me if I'm wrong, I feel like when I've talked to Synergy in the past, you don't have to give up your reps, because I know people get really weird about like, but like we've been best friends with so and so, and it's like, you can still order from the companies you want. Is that correct? Or do you need to like order through Benco? I thought it was like something with that, but help us understand like, Do I have to give up my rep? Do I have to only order through your guys' people? How does this work for me to transition over? Because I do know dentists are very loyal and I think that's an amazing attribute. I would say like stay loyal. Also make sure that your overhead's making sense as you're going and buying supplies. Ted Osterer (24:36) If you're a member of Center Gentle Partners, feel free to order from whoever you'd like. There's no minimums or anything like that. Now, are you better off buying from the suppliers in our network if you're trying to save money and time? Yes, like you just said. So Darby's our anchor supplier. They're the only distributor that we work with. If you're best friends with the Banco rep and you're looking to save money, and you give us a shot and like I said the sole point is to save money we can very much help you and there's plenty to go around that if you need to order from Banco who you mentioned earlier or any other distributor have at it but I mean if we can cut your supply cost by 25-30 % you keep your reps for service you keep your reps for whatever you choose to keep them for yes by all means we are not offended there's no exclusive like that. Now relationships are important. know, like you said that regarding manufacturers, if you have a rep already with Darby, you don't have to change who you're already ordering from as long as they're network. We don't force you to do anything differently. But hear me out. You brought up Costco. Now, you know, you went to Costco, you you only have how many free hours in a week? You know, either you can get that at Costco or you could spend the gas money and the time. Kiera Dent (25:44) Yeah. Mm-hmm. Ted Osterer (26:01) to hit up Walmart and Publix and somewhere else on the way home and now you're too tired to go do whatever it is that you wanted to do that night. But hey, you saved like 26 bucks, have at it, well done. How valuable is your time to you? Yeah. Kiera Dent (26:05) Yeah. Well done. Yeah. And if your gas is $7 a gallon, you did not actually make any money. thinking about that, but like for dentists, I think there's a good book, Dan Martell, I raved about him quite a few times to buy back your time. And I think this is a zone where we can have, where you can actually save time. You can save money and you can actually, even your assistant. So doctors, you might not be ordering, but your assistant's ordering. Think of like, if I didn't have to give up five hours or four hours of my assistant's time, which is what I used to have to block off. Ted Osterer (26:22) You Kiera Dent (26:43) and you can see more patients with that assistant rather than them ordering that right there is a cost saving. So I did some quick math because I heard what you said. If we are able to save you usually 25 % on your supply costs. So I just thought, okay, let's say there's a million dollar practice. This million dollar, that's about 83,000. We'll just do 84,000 rough math. A month is what this practice would be producing. We like as a consulting company for your supply costs to be about 5 % of that. So I was like, okay. That'd be like 4,200 bucks that month that could go towards supplies. If you guys save 25%, that's a thousand dollar savings, over a thousand dollar savings on that 4,200 a month. I was thinking about that, like a thousand dollars a month. This is on a million dollar practice. I didn't go for a sky high one. If you're bigger than that, obviously it's way more than that. But I just thought Ted, like, if you could save a thousand dollars a month, cause I know you guys have this, like you guys have sexy stats on how much you're able to save practices. I understand you might have to have two, three conversations with your reps. of like, guys, for us, we care about you, we love you. The reality is, I'm willing to have that conversation if I'm gonna get thousand bucks a month. Because that's now $12,000 for the year. And I think about, well right there, if you're looking at other things, virtual assistants can cost you $12,000 for a year. They can do all your billing, they can do outsource pieces for you, you could hire a personal assistant for you for $12,000. Even that extra $1,000 a month, I'm thinking, could you bring on different team members for that? What does that look like? I understand like a full assistance not going to cost you 12 grand, but I'm like virtual assistance are outsourced billing, different things that you could use those funds for that right there to me. I'd be willing to have some conversations and just look at. So that's where I want to, I'm really big on numbers because I'm like, cool, 25%. But I'm like, when it breaks down to like thousands a month that I could then reinvest and use in better areas, just like I'm like, you guys, you can keep spending money on Indeed. Go for it. And I'm not here to say indeed is not great. but you could also switch to AvaHR, which used to be VivaHR. It's literally 149 bucks a month for unlimited posting of ads. I took my cost of posting ads. I'm doing the same thing. I'm literally posting ads on the exact same platforms. I used to spend $15,000 a year on that, and now I pay about $1,200 a year. Right there, I'm like, that's a switch I'm willing to make. Yes, bummer, I don't get to like post directly to Indeed anymore. Same thing, I don't maybe get to like buy directly from my rep. you still can keep the relationship. Like if you need to buy equipment or different things like that, like you can still keep the relationship. But I think, and they will try to sweet talk you, but I've seen it with the buying groups, the savings that you get, I just say have the conversation. A thousand bucks a month, go on, get a massage, do something fun. Like, I don't know, take your kids on vacation for 12 grand, whatever it is, but that's just literally buying the same materials through a different platform and getting... money kickback. don't know. To me, Ted, it's always been a no-brainer, which is why I bring you guys on the podcast. So that's my spiel. But Ted, anything you have to take, wrap this up because I think with the tariffs, with the rising costs, realizing it's not that big of a deal, buy as you go. You can use these buying groups. You can be like a DSO, but you can buy what you need, not having to get all these deals. You're able to cut your costs. You said about 25 % on supplies and just go look at what you spent on supplies last three months. Think if you got 25 % of that back. I think I'd be willing to have a conversation. But Ted, you tell me what you think. Those are my thoughts on this. Ted Osterer (30:06) I said, I was going to say like the exact same thing, unfortunately, but I, you know, I'll take that one. I'll take that one second further to really, really simplify it. Right. And just summarize everything you just said. You know, we're partnered with over 50 supply partners, including eight different labs. Right. So as a consulting agency, right. Like we see labs as high as 10, 15%, you know, it should be what six to 8%. Yeah, so I mean, let's say you're a million dollar practice. That's the practice Kiera just said. If I save you just 1 % of your overhead, that is a $10,000 that Kiera's talking about. And it is so easy to save that as a member of Synergy. And my goodness, thank you so much for having me on. It really means a lot. And thank you for acknowledging. Kiera Dent (30:59) Yeah, of course. I think it's a matter where Ted, I, when I get really passionate about things, like I love Swell. They do their Google reviews so well, you're able to save costs on your marketing, but get like really incredible patients. When I see a zone where I'm like, supplies are supplies are supplies. I understand you love your rep, but I'm like, supplies are. If I can get the exact same anesthetic, like I need my Lido, it's certified and I can buy it from Benco or I can buy it from Shine, but I can get it for... X versus Y and I'm going to save substantially to me that's a way doctors it. I think that this is just being a higher level CEO that realizes just like DSO CEOs do as much as I love the product from X. I'm going to buy it from here because I'm literally able like it's the exact same thing. just get it on sale. So why would I not do that? And as a female like that's girl math for you Ted. Like if I can get it on sale, I'm going to buy it because I can use it to go get what I want over here. I just think like These are the zones, dentists, that the elites do. These are the zones that the multi-million dollar practices are doing. So learn from their strategies. Again, it's gonna be one, two, three, maybe a little bit uncomfortable conversations. You don't need to burn the relationship. But I would say if I was you sitting there looking at my overhead, looking for ways to do cash flow, I would radically consider something that's not going to impact your patient care, that's going to make your practice much easier and also give you more time back in your life. So that's why I you guys on. Again, I don't work for Synergy. We don't have an affiliate relationship with them. I love them, I adore them. I truly think you guys are just doing a great thing in the business. We are working on a partnership with them in the future for all of our clients. It's something that's really been big on my mind because I feel like, hey, why not? All of our clients that are with us, let's get them the best deals. But this is why I wanted you guys on the podcast. So Ted, how can people connect with you? How can they try you guys out? Again, you don't have to burn your rep. can just go even test it out. ⁓ But how can they try you guys out just to see what this looks like for their practice? Ted Osterer (32:53) Go to the TheSynergyDentalPartners.com know, leave your information with us. Please, please, please tell us that the A team sent you, you know, of course extra promotional offers if the A team, I mean, A plus team in my book, of course. ⁓ Yes, yes, A plus plus. And please let them know that you were sent by them so we can make the offering even more attractive for you. And you know, when you join Synergy, you don't even have to have that typical conversation. You can just hide in the bathroom. Kiera Dent (33:05) Thank you. Thank you. I agree. Ted Osterer (33:23) and we're all good. It's okay. Kiera Dent (33:25) Yeah, it truly is. Don't make this wild, you guys. ⁓ Ted, I appreciate it. Thank you so much for coming and talking about what the reality is and what things have gone up in pricing and how you guys have been able to watch it go up and down. You're seeing so many more supplies than just the solo practitioners seeing. so you're able to see, kind of like stock markets, we're able to see at a bird's eye view of what's really going in the landscape of it. And I want to just remind people, you guys, the future is bright. No matter what's going on, the future is bright. There's always solutions. Ted Osterer (33:29) Thank you. Kiera Dent (33:53) And I think right now is where we get a bit more scrappy, a bit more innovative, and truly you shouldn't be seeing much of a hit. Like shoot, if you're seeing a hit, just switch over to Synergy and you won't even see that hit. So try it out. ⁓ Ted, thank you for being on the podcast with me and thank you for everybody. I really think this is an awesome way for you guys to truly take care of your practice, take care of your patients, and make life easier, which is what we're all about. So Ted, thanks for joining me today. I super appreciate you. Ted Osterer (34:03) Yeah. ⁓ I'm happy to be here. Thanks again. Kiera Dent (34:19) And for all of you listening, thanks for listening and we'll catch you next time on the Dental A Team Podcast.
Send me a messageMost climate policies focus on cutting emissions. But what if the real issue is what's being left off the table, fossil fuel production itself?In this week's episode of Climate Confident, I speak with Tzeporah Berman, Chair of the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty Initiative, about why global climate goals are doomed if we keep expanding fossil fuel supply while trying to cut demand.Tzeporah explains how the Paris Agreement never once mentions the words “oil,” “gas,” or “coal”, despite 86% of emissions coming directly from them. She lays out the case for a global treaty to phase out fossil fuel production, how countries like Colombia are already stepping up, and why we need a just transition framework that includes debt relief and international cooperation.We discuss:Why fossil fuel expansion continues despite climate pledgesThe $7 trillion in annual subsidies distorting energy marketsThe role of Global South nations and equity in the energy transitionHow “net zero” has been weaponised as a delay tacticAnd why renewables alone won't solve the crisis unless we stop digging the hole deeperThis is a frank look at what it really takes to deliver on climate targets, and why we can't keep ignoring the supply side of the problem.
US President Trump flagged the release of at least 7 tariff letters today. Reports that the EU is closing in on a temporary "framework" agreement, via FT.European bourses began modestly firmer and have been grinding higher since, Euro Stoxx 50 +1.1%; German autos bid on trade nuances, Basic Resources hit by non-US copper performance, Media lags after WPPStateside, futures are in the green and directionally in-fitting with Europe but gains are much more muted, ES +0.2%; updates around AAPL, NVDA, AMZN in focusUSD steady with G10s mixed but essentially flat. RBNZ as expected, no significant NZD move.Fixed benchmarks have a modest upward bias, though they remain markedly lower on the week; today's action in Europe is a retracement of Tuesday's supply-induced pressure rather than a pronounced move higher.Crude has an upward bias, specifics light. XAU softer. Front-running of US copper into potential tariffs has widened the Comex-LME arbitrage to over USD 2,000/t.Looking ahead, highlights include FOMC Minutes, Speakers include ECBʼs Lane, Nagel & de Guindos, Supply from the US.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
APAC stocks traded mixed following the similar performance stateside where tariff updates remained in focus.US President Trump said he will announce something on pharmaceuticals very soon and will be announcing semiconductor tariffs, believes the copper tariff will be 50%.President Trump said the US is probably two days off from sending the EU a letter, which means a deal.European equity futures indicate a slightly higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.6% on Tuesday.DXY is a touch higher with the USD mixed vs. peers (stronger vs. havens, weaker vs. antipodeans).RBNZ maintained the OCR at 3.25%, as expected, hinted at future rate cuts ahead.Looking ahead, highlights include BoE FSR, FOMC Minutes, RBA's Hunter, BoE Governor Bailey, ECB's Lane, Nagel & de Guindos, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
Meet my friends, Clay Travis and Buck Sexton! If you love Verdict, the Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show might also be in your audio wheelhouse. Politics, news analysis, and some pop culture and comedy thrown in too. Here’s a sample episode recapping four Tuesday takeaways. Give the guys a listen and then follow and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts. Supply and Demand is a Real Thing President Trump's cabinet meeting addresses a range of topics, including the devastating Texas floods, economic developments, and border security. The hosts highlight the Trump administration’s claim that tariffs have generated over $100 billion in revenue, with projections of $300 billion more, challenging mainstream narratives about inflation and price hikes. The discussion transitions into immigration enforcement, spotlighting Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass’s opposition to ICE operations in MacArthur Park. Clay and Buck critique sanctuary city policies and explore the broader economic impact of illegal immigration on housing costs, emergency room usage, and labor markets. They argue that removing illegal immigrants could lower rent prices and reduce strain on public services, reinforcing conservative immigration stances. Salena Zito Recalls Butler Journalist Salena Zito joins the show to discuss her new book, "Butler: The Untold Story of the Near Assassination of Donald Trump and the Fight for America’s Heartland." Zito recounts her firsthand experience at the rally where Trump was shot in the ear, describing the chaos, the president’s resolve, and the symbolic power of his raised fist. She reflects on how the event transformed Trump’s sense of purpose and galvanized support across the political spectrum. The hosts predict that Trump’s reaction in Butler will become an iconic moment in American history, likening it to Lincoln at Gettysburg. Energy Secretary Chris Wright Fresh out of President Trump's cabinet meeting, Energy Secretary Chris Wright joins the show to outline the Trump administration’s “Make Energy Great Again” (MEGA) strategy. This includes ending half a trillion dollars in federal subsidies for wind, solar, and electric vehicles, which Wright argues have destabilized the power grid and driven up electricity costs. He emphasizes a return to fossil fuel production on federal lands, streamlined permitting, and targeted tax credits for next-generation nuclear, geothermal, and hydroelectric technologies. The conversation shifts to the affordability of gasoline, with Wright noting a 25–30 cent per gallon drop in prices over the past year despite global instability. He attributes this to increased domestic production and a shift in Middle East dynamics, particularly regarding Iran. The hosts and Wright also explore the urgent need for massive energy infrastructure expansion to meet the exponential power demands of AI technologies, warning of a looming 200-gigawatt shortfall if current coal plant closures proceed without adequate replacement. Cosmetic Theater The inefficiencies of TSA airport security, celebrating the end of the shoe-removal requirement and sharing personal anecdotes about pre-check lines and airport design. Airports in Miami, Fort Lauderdale, and Las Vegas are criticized for poor layout and outdated facilities, while LaGuardia, Nashville, and Salt Lake City receive praise for recent improvements. Make sure you never miss a second of the show by subscribing to the Clay Travis & Buck Sexton show podcast wherever you get your podcasts! ihr.fm/3InlkL8 For the latest updates from Clay and Buck: https://www.clayandbuck.com/ Connect with Clay Travis and Buck Sexton on Social Media: X - https://x.com/clayandbuck FB - https://www.facebook.com/ClayandBuck/ IG - https://www.instagram.com/clayandbuck/ YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/c/clayandbuck Rumble - https://rumble.com/c/ClayandBuck TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@clayandbuck YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@VerdictwithTedCruzSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
How do you take strangers and turn them into superfans? It's one of those marketing challenges that once you master it, you can easily scale your course business. Catch this episode to talk funnels, the customer journey and the two key types of emails to send. Get the full links and show notes at https://CourseCreatorsHQ.com/240. LINKS MENTIONED / RECOMMENDED Just in time for Amazon Prime Days - 24 Top Tools & Gear for Online Course Creatorshttps://CourseCreatorsHQ.com/214Get 30 free days of Kajabi + 10 weeks of free coaching when you sign up using this link (pick your plan) - https://coursecreatorshq.com/kajabisignup Customer Journey: Get this free course - Is My Course Idea Any Good? here -https://www.coursecreatorshq.com/idea Where should I host my course? https://coursecreatorshq.com/how-to-choose-the-best-place-to-host-your-course-video/Join us for weekly live coaching - https://CourseCreatorsHQ.com/launchpad RELATED EPISODES E061: Use This Tool to Find Your Perfect StudentsE187: Funnels, Email & Better Messaging… Oh My!E039: Funnels 101 – Strategies for Online Course CreatorsE065: 5 Ways to Create Partnerships That Lead to Five- and Six-FiguresE175: 12 Questions to Build Your Online Course Business in 2024 KEY TAKEAWAYS FOR ONLINE COURSE CREATORS Think of your customer journey:First, they notice you (hello, lead magnet or post)Then they get curious (your emails & value)Finally, they feel ready to commit (your offer!)To find the Customer Journey for your students:- Find obstacles and questions that come up- Supply resources at that point in the journey. Decide whether you will focus on Autoresponder / Sequence / Funnel Vs. Broadcast COME VISIT JULIE! Get on the email list AND get the FREE Ultimate Course Creators Planner - https://coursecreatorshq.com/2025PlannerPodcast GoodPods Let's talk about this episode on GoodPods – https://CourseCreatorsHQ.com/goodpods (mobile only, download the app first) Website https://www.CourseCreatorsHQ.comYouTube https://coursecreatorshq.com/YouTubePodcast Facebook https://www.facebook.com/CourseCreatorsHQInstagram https://www.instagram.com/CourseCreatorsHQTwitter https://www.Twitter.com/CourseHQThreadshttps://www.threads.net/@coursecreatorshq Disclaimers https://coursecreatorshq.com/disclaimers/
Lina Castaneda talks about her career journey; being an industry rising star, the importance of staying coachable; & why our differences are our superpowers. IN THIS EPISODE WE DISCUSS: [05.00] Why Lina emigrated from Colombia to Canada, and what the move taught her. “It was a big change, but I saw it as a chance for growth on my own journey. I've always believed that stepping outside of your comfort zone is where real growth happens.” [06.35] How Lina found supply chain, and why she fell in love with the industry. “I quickly fell in love with the complexity and the impact of the industry. Supply chain touches every single part of our lives – it's a behind-the-scenes powerhouse that keeps the world moving!” [07.59] Lina's journey moving through operations and customer service, and how each role added a new layer to her expertise and developed her leadership style. “It's been quite a journey. Tons of learning, tons of growth – and a few surprises along the way!” [11.41] Lina's role as Chief Customer Officer at Tai Software. [13.33] Lina's take on why customer experience is harder, but also more important, than ever before, and the challenges of balancing personalization with scalability. “Customers have higher expectations. They're not just comparing us to other companies in the industry, but to the best experiences they've had anywhere. So there's a constant need to raise the bar.” [16.04] From technology to collaboration, Lina's biggest takeaways from Manifest in February. “Being surrounded by so many passionate creative minds was really energizing.” [18.29] What it means to be a Certified ScrumMaster and Scrum Product Owner, the importance of staying coachable and continuing to learn, and why that mindset has been key to Lina's leadership style and success. “Great leaders are learners forever.” [20.58] What being named an industry ‘Rising Star' means to Lina, and why awards and recognition for women are so important. “Representation matters. So when women see other women being celebrated for their worth, it reinforces that there is a place for them at the table. It breaks down stereotypes, inspires the next generation, and helps create a more diverse, inclusive industry.” [23.06] Why our differences are our superpowers, and how Lina encourages her team to recognize and leverage their own unique superpowers. [26.49] Lina's experience, as a woman and immigrant, moving through the male-dominated worlds of technology and supply chain, and how a sense of purpose was critical to overcoming challenges. “These fields have historically been male-dominated. Being an immigrant meant I often had to overcome not just gender biases but cultural barriers. I had to work harder to prove myself or make my voice heard, but I focused on what I could control – my work ethic, my ability to adapt, my commitment to learning. And I leaned into my differences.” [29.50] Lina's advice to those looking to follow in her footsteps. [31.39] The future for Lina. RESOURCES AND LINKS MENTIONED: You can connect with Lina Castaneda over on LinkedIn. If you enjoyed this episode and want to hear more women discussing the immigrant experience, check out 422: Women In Supply Chain, Kiran Mann, 437: Women In Supply Chain, Mercedes Pina, 450: Women In Supply Chain, Jenny Perlitch or 207: Women in supply chain, Shana Zheng.
Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we look at the the flooding in Texas' impact on housing inventory. Plus, Robbie sits down with Truework's Ethan Winchell to discuss reshaping income and employment verification through automation, while balancing speed, accuracy, and fairness in an industry ripe for digital transformation. And we close by examining what to look forward to on this week's economic calendar.Thank you to Truework, the only all-in-one, automated VOIEA platform that helps mortgage providers achieve up to 50% cost savings with an industry leading 75% completion rate.
On this episode of Multifamily Mastery, John Casmon interviews Paul Kaseburg, Chief Investment Officer at MG Properties. Paul shares insights into managing a 32,000-unit portfolio across the Western U.S., emphasizing the importance of vertical integration, legislative compliance, and proactive risk management. He details how MG navigates current challenges such as oversupply in multifamily housing, using a value-driven acquisition strategy that balances core-plus and value-add opportunities. Paul also discusses the firm's centralized operational strategies, measured use of AI tools, and the enduring power of company culture and long-term investment planning. Paul Kaseburg Current role: Chief Investment Officer at MG Properties Say hi to them at: mgproperties.com Get a 4-week trial, free postage, and a digital scale at https://www.stamps.com/cre. Thanks to Stamps.com for sponsoring the show! Post your job for free at https://www.linkedin.com/BRE. Terms and conditions apply. Join the Best Ever Community The Best Ever Community is live and growing - and we want serious commercial real estate investors like you inside. It's free to join, but you must apply and meet the criteria. Connect with top operators, LPs, GPs, and more, get real insights, and be part of a curated network built to help you grow. Apply now at www.bestevercommunity.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
It's Ticked Off Tuesday and Jared is coming in hot from sunny Portugal (in spirit). This week's gripes include geography snobs nitpicking Connecticut towns, a landlord who thinks a Home Depot bucket is a toilet replacement, and a 5K race that rewarded victory with... six pancake coupons. Jared also roasts email evaders and golf cart speed demons mowing down frogs like it's a twisted version of Mario Kart. Plus, big tour news and a brand-new hour of comedy on the way. Tune in for righteous complaints, sharp takes, and all the cathartic laughs you didn't know you needed.
The U.S. housing market appears to be stuck. Our co-heads of Securitized Product research, Jay Bacow and James Egan, explain how supply and demand, as well as mortgage rates, play a role in the cooling market.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----James Egan: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Jim Egan, co-head of Securitized Products Research at Morgan Stanley.Jay Bacow: And I'm Jay Bacow, the other co-head of Securitized Products Research at Morgan Stanley. And after getting through last week's blistering hot temperatures, today we're going to talk about what may be a cooling housing market. It's Monday, June 30th at 2:30pm in New York. Now, Jim, home prices. We just got another index. They set another record high, but the pace of growth – the acceleration as a physicist in me wants to say – appears to be slowing. What's going on here?James Egan: The pace of home price growth reported this month was 2.7 percent. That is the lowest that it's been since August of 2023. And in our view, the reason's pretty simple. Supply is increasing, while demand has stalled.Jay Bacow: But Jim, this was a report for the spring selling season. I know we got it in June, but this is supposed to be the busiest time of the year. People are happy to go around. They're looking at moving over the summer when the kids aren't in school. We should be expecting the supply to increase. Are you saying that it's happening more than it's anticipated?James Egan: That is what we're saying. Now, we should be expecting inventories today to be higher than they were in, call it January or February. That's exactly the seasonality that you're referring to. But it's the year-over-year growth we're paying attention to here. Homes listed for sale are up year-over-year, 18 months in a row. And that pace, it's been accelerating. Over the past 40 years, the pace of growth from this past month was only eclipsed one time, the Great Financial Crisis.Jay Bacow: [sighs] I always get a little worried when the housing analyst brings up the Great Financial Crisis. Are you saying that this time the demand isn't responding?James Egan: That is what we're saying. So, through the first five months of this year, existing home sales are only down about 2 percent versus the first five months of 2024. So they've basically kind of plateaued at these levels. But that also means that we're seeing the fewest number of transactions through May in a calendar year since 2009. And that combination of easing inventory and lackluster demand, it's pushed months of supply back to levels that we haven't seen since the beginning of this pandemic. Call it the fourth quarter of 2019, first quarter of 2020, right before inventory has really plummeted to historic lows.Jay Bacow: All right, so 2009, another financial crisis reference. But you're also – you're speaking around a national level, and as a housing analyst, I feel like you haven't really spoken about the three most important factors when we think about things which are: Location. Location. And location.James Egan: Absolutely. And the deceleration that we're seeing in home price growth – and I would point out it is still growth – has been pervasive across the country. Year-over-year, HPA is now decelerating in 100 percent of the top 100 MSAs, for which we have data. In fact, a full quarter of them, 25 percent of these cities are now actually seeing prices decline on a year-over-year basis. And that's up from just 5 percent with declining home prices one year ago.Jay Bacow: As a homeowner, I do like the home price growth. And is it the same story when you look more narrowly around supply and demand?James Egan: So, there might be some geographical nuances, but we do think that it largely boils down to that. Local inventory growth has been a very good indicator of weaker home price performance, particularly the level of for-sale inventory today versus that fourth quarter of 2019. If we look at it on a geographic basis, of 14 MSAs that have the highest level of inventory today compared to 2019, 11 of them are in either Florida or Texas. On the other end of the spectrum, the cities where inventory remains furthest away from where it was four and a half years ago, they're in the Northeast, they're in the Midwest.Jay Bacow: As somebody who lives in the Northeast, I'd like to hear that again. But you're also; you're quoting existing prices, which that's been the outperformer in the housing market. Right?James Egan: Exactly. New home prices have actually been decreasing year-over-year for the past year and a half at this point. It's actually brought the basis between new home prices, which tend to trade at a little bit of a premium to existing sales; it's brought that basis to its tightest level that we've seen in at least 30 years. And that's before we take into account the fact that home builders have been buying down some of these mortgage rates. But Jay, you've recently done some work trying to size this.Jay Bacow: Yeah. First it might help to explain what a buydown is.A home builder might have a new home listed at say, $450,000. And with mortgage rates in the context of about 6.5 percent right now, the home buyer might not be able to afford that, so they offer to pay less. The home builder – often many of them also have an origination arm as well. They'll say, you know what? We'll sell it to you at that $450,000, but we'll give you a lower mortgage rate; instead of 6.5 percent, we'll sell it to you for $450,000 with a 5 percent mortgage rate. Then maybe the home buyer can afford that.James Egan: And so, new home prices are actually coming down. And by that we're specifically referring to the median price of new home transactions. They're falling despite the fact that these buy downs might be influencing prices a little bit higher.Jay Bacow: Right. And when we look at how often this is happening, it's a little actually hard to get it from the data because they don't have to report it. But when we look at the distribution of mortgage rates in a given month – prior to 2022, there were effectively no purchase loans that were originated less than one point below the prevailing mortgage rate for a given month.However, more recently we're up to about 12 percent of Ginnie Mae purchases, and those are the more credit constrained borrowers that might have a harder time buying a home. And about 5 percent of conventional purchase loans are getting originated with a rate 1 percent below the outstanding marketJames Egan: And so, this might be another sign that we're seeing a little bit of softening in home prices. But what are the implications on the agency mortgage side?Jay Bacow: I would say there's probably two things that we're keeping an eye out on. Because these are homeowners that are getting below market rate, the investors are getting a below market coupon. And because they're getting sold at a discount, they don't want that, but they're going to stay around for a while. So, investors are getting these rates that they don't want for longer.And then the other thing you think about from the home buyer perspective is, you know, maybe they – it's good for them right now. But if they want to sell that home, because they're getting a below market mortgage rate, they bought the home for maybe more than other people would've. So, unless they can sell it with that mortgage attached, which is very difficult to do, they probably have to sell it for a lower price than when they bought it.Now Jim, what does all this mean for home prices going forward?James Egan: Now, when we think about home prices, we're talking about the home price indices, right? And so those are going to be repeat sales. It's going to, by definition, look at existing prices and not necessarily the dynamics we're talking in the new home price market.Jay Bacow: Okay, so all this builder buy down stuff is interesting for what it means for new home prices – but doesn't impact all the HPA indices that you reference.James Egan: Exactly, and at the national level, despite what we've been talking about on this podcast, we do think that home prices remain more supported than what we are seeing locally. Inventory is increasing, but it also remains near historically low levels. Months of supply that I mentioned at the top of this podcast, it's picked up to the highest level it's been since the beginning of this pandemic. We're also talking about four to four and a half months of supply. Anything below six is a tight environment that has been historically associated with home prices continuing to climb.That's why our base case is for positive HPA this year. We're at +2 percent. That's slower than where we are now. We think you're going to continue to see deceleration. And because of what we're seeing from a supply and demand perspective, we are a little bit more skewed to the downside in our bear case. Instead of that +2, we're at -3 percent than we are towards the upside in our bull case. Instead of that plus two, we're at plus 5 percent in the bull case. So slower HPA from here, but still positive.Jay Bacow: Well, Jim, it's always a pleasure talking to you, particularly when you're highlighting that the home price growth is going to be stronger in the place where I own a home.James Egan: Pleasure talking to you too, Jay. And to all of you listening, thank you for listening to another episode of Thoughts on the Market. Please leave a review or a like wherever you get this podcast and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.Jay Bacow: Go smash that subscribe button.