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Wharton's Cade Massey, Eric Bradlow, Adi Wyner, and Shane Jensen speak with football analyst Josh Hermsmeyer about the state of quarterbacks in the NFL. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.unexpectedpoints.com/subscribe
Wharton's Cade Massey & Adi Wyner speak with Josh Hermsmeyer, founder of airyards.com, about the upcoming NFL season, the new kickoff rules, possible division leaders, standout players, and more. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Josh Hermsmeyer joins the pod for the weekly livestream to talk:* If Drake Maye should start, and generally what we learn from the preseason* How the Cowboys played the last few drafts so poorly at WR and lost all leverage with CeeDee Lamb* A bet on the kick-return rate for the 2024: Herms takes under 40%, Kevin takes the over* Strong analysis from the NFL's Michael Lopez and Tom Bliss on the minimal benefit of bye weeks during the regular season This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
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Wharton's Eric Bradlow, Shane Jensen, Cade Massey, and Adi Wyner speak with Josh Hermsmeyer, writer at FiveThirtyEight, about football analytics, the concept of momentum, the NFL Draft, and the cross-section of analytics and team culture. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
15:37 - Guest: Josh Hermsmeyer of FiveThirtyEight.com on what the Commanders should take away from the NFC-champion Philadelphia Eagles, including insight on the Eagles' team-building and quarterback-drafting philosophies and the truth about drafting quarterbacks in the current NFL 37:08 - Capitals: analysis of a 4-3 overtime win at the NHL-worst Columbus Blue Jackets 41:50 - College Basketball: breakdowns of Maryland's 66-55 win over No. 21 Indiana and Virginia's Tech's 92-83 loss at No. 23 Miami 48:02 - Nationals: react to another report indicating that a sale of the Nats likely isn't coming anytime soon Visit PaulsonAndNace.com and tell Paulson & Nace that Al Galdi sent ya! Download the Hiatus app by going to Hiatus.App Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) of FiveThirtyEight joins me to discuss:* What makes a great analytical franchise, why the Eagles are lapping the field* The Nathaniel Hackett hire* What the Giants and Ravens should do at QB* Revisit bold offseason predictions* Whether Brock Purdy can sustain his strong efficiencyView on YouTube:Listen on Apple: Please rate and review!Listen on Spotify:Subscribe to my substack for daily written analysis and twice a week podcasts,* Weekly Adjusted Scores and Advanced Reviews* Weekly updated Power Ratings* Proprietary Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency* Paid subscriber access to Google sheet with downloadable metrics and inputsFollow me on Twitter: @KevinCole___ This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit unexpectedpoints.substack.com/subscribe
George Chahrouri and Eric Eager are joined by Josh Hermsmeyer to talk about the making of his WR Blow Up model, Bitcoin, Mahomes, and the Lions. 00:00 - Introducing Josh Hermsmeyer 6:20 - Josh's WR Blow Up Model 25:26 - Bitcoin Crash 32:00 - Josh's take on Restore the Roar 44:17 - Patrick Mahomes Bounce-Back Szn? 56:00 - 2021 QB Class: Jones, Lance, Fields, Wilson 1:04:40 - Recommendations
George Chahrouri and Eric Eager are joined by Josh Hermsmeyer to talk about the making of his WR Blow Up model, Bitcoin, Mahomes, and the Lions. 00:00 - Introducing Josh Hermsmeyer 6:20 - Josh's WR Blow Up Model 25:26 - Bitcoin Crash 32:00 - Josh's take on Restore the Roar 44:17 - Patrick Mahomes Bounce-Back Szn? 56:00 - 2021 QB Class: Jones, Lance, Fields, Wilson 1:04:40 - Recommendations Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Josh Hermsmeyer of 538 joins Kevin to opine on the coaches/executive quarterback rankings released in a recent article and go pick-by-pick giving their own rankings and rationales, plus what a strict analytical model predicts for the 2022 season.
Kevin and Josh give their best ideals for the NFL that media and football guys would consider cancellable.
Josh Hermsmeyer of FiveThirtyEight joins the show to discuss the NFL before the 2022 playoffs. He talks about his prime Super Bowl contenders and the metrics that he uses to evaluate them. The discussion also touches on NFL quarterbacks such as Josh Allen, Carson Wentz, and Justin Herbert (one is getting lucky, one needs to throw deep more). Josh also talks about a new metric for pass rushers and whether he would re-sign Baker Mayfield. The conversation ends with a great discussion of meat.
In this week's Bills by the Numbers presented by FanDuel, Chris Brown and Steve Tasker dissect whether the Bills need a balanced attack or should go all in on airing it out to get the offense back on track. In our 'One Burning Question', we try to answer how many Bills wins it will take to land a playoff berth. We catch up with FiveThirtyEight football writer/analyst Josh Hermsmeyer to find out how much luck is involved with turnovers and how that impacts the NFL leaders. Our FanDuel Hi-Lo predicts the teams with the highest and lowest totals across four statistical categories.
Josh Hermsmeyer is a writer for FiveThirtyEight.com covering the NFL and a football analyst. This week, Josh is the guest for the guys who go deep into the rest of the NFL season.
What's been happening in the NFL this past week (0:00) Josh Hermsmeyer Intro (6:33) Nick Chubb's contract extension (8:43) Lamar Jackson extension (42:47) Does the salary cap increase parity (48:28) Recommendations and "Would You Rather" Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
What's been happening in the NFL this past week (0:00) Josh Hermsmeyer Intro (6:33) Nick Chubb's contract extension (8:43) Lamar Jackson extension (42:47) Does the salary cap increase parity (48:28) Recommendations and "Would You Rather"
Kevin Cole is joined by FIVETHIRTYEIGHT's Josh Hermsmeyer again to talk about the Eagles tanking situation, GM's and head coaches across the NFL and much more in this weeks episode of Unexpected Points.
The NBA tips off tonight, in time to ensure Christmas basketball in 2020! Headed into the season, LeBron’s Lakers still sit atop the West, and maybe the entire league. Mavericks star Luka Doncic appears to be the early frontrunner for MVP, but does he have what it takes to earn that status? And with Giannis Antetokounmpo signed and Kevin Durant returning from injury, can Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo repeat last year’s surprising playoff run? Zach Lowe brings us the latest on the James Harden situation, and more. Then, Josh Hermsmeyer breaks down the best and worst of movie football coaches.
Many might debate who the best movie football coach is, but FiveThirtyEight's Josh Hermsmeyer is the only person who's tried crunching some data to figure out the answer. He joins Big Screen Sports for a discussion about fictional football coaches and his recent piece, "Who's The Most Chaotic Movie Football Coach?"Read Josh's entire piece here: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/whos-the-most-chaotic-movie-football-coach/ and follow him on Twitter @friscojosh.Big Screen Sports is brought to you by Indeed and BetOnline.ag. Use promo code BlueWire to claim your welcome bonus at BetOnline.ag and go to Indeed.com/BLUEWIRE to receive your $75 credit.Episodes the "Eastbound & Down" re-watch drop every Monday on the Big Screen Sports podcast feed. Get updates on the movies on the schedule by following Big Screen Sports on Twitter @Big_ScreenSport or joining the Big Screen Sports Facebook Group. Big Screen Sports is presented by Blue Wire Podcasts. Check out bluewirepods.com to find your next favorite podcast.
This week, the guys are joined by Josh Hermsmeyer of airyards.com and 538.com to talk analytics and some football.
Casey is joined by FiveThirtyEight writer and AirYards evangelist Josh Hermsmeyer. Josh is a programmer, a writer, and has worked in the wine industry for more than a decade. Casey and Josh talk about smoked meat, turning pleasure into a business, and the pitfalls of trying to do that all the time. --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/nobodylikescaseymclain/message Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/nobodylikescaseymclain/support
PFF's Kevin Cole sits down with FiveThirtyEight and Establish the Run's Josh Hermsmeyer to talk Josh's famous Air Yards model (2:30) and statistical trends through 3 weeks of the NFL season (11:30). Kev and Josh also discuss some of their favorite under the radar Week 4 NFL fantasy football plays (18:15) and which teams could represent the AFC and NFC in Super Bowl LV (28:23).
Josh Hermsmeyer of FiveThirtyEight joins me to discuss the NFL. He describes his study receiver separation from defenders and what this means for receiver skill. Josh also breaks down the early season performance of Josh Allen and Drew Brees and what aspects are predictive of the future. We discuss Green Bay, Seattle and New England before Josh surprises everyone with his bold prediction for the 2020 season.
Josh Hermsmeyer, 'The Air Yards Guy' from Establish The Run and 538 stops by the FTA Studios to go deep into some analytics with Alex Blickle and myself.
Josh Hermsmeyer is an accomplished data scientist who developed the industry-leading Air Yards Buy Low Model (available exclusively on EstablishTheRun again this season) and writes for ESPN's 538. He sits down with Adam Levitan to discuss his model, using data in fantasy and which stats actually matter. Editor's Note: Josh's Air Yards Buy Low Model is part of our In-Season Package. That also includes Silva's Matchups, all of Levitan's DFS content, Thorman's rankings and tons more. Head to www.EstablishTheRun.com for details. TIMESTAMPS: Establishing the Buy Low Model (2:04 ) | Critiquing the models performance (7:20) | Does the data need context? (12:39) | Buy Low for QBs & RBs? (15:28) | Working with small sample sizes (20:45) | Stats that actually matter (23:44) | The evolution of NFL analytics (28:40) | Tips on getting into analytics (31:06 ) | Listener Questions (33:22) | SHOW LINKS How the Buy Low Model Works: https://establishtherun.com/hermsmeyer-how-the-buy-low-model-works/ Hermsmeyer: Which Stats Matter for WRs: https://establishtherun.com/hermsmeyer-what-metrics-matter-for-fantasy-wrs/ Silva’s Top 150: https://establishtherun.com/evan-silvas-top-150-2020/ NFL Bundle Package is Live: https://establishtherun.com/subscribe/ Silva’s Sleepers and Undervalued: https://establishtherun.com/2020-sleepers-and-undervalued/
Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) of fivethirtyeight.com joins to discuss NFL analytics and unlocking quantitative talent evaluation. We discuss elite Michael Thomas, Davante Adams, and predicting the next breakout fantasy receiver. --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app
George and Eric are joined by fivethirtyeight's Josh Hermsmeyer to discuss his most recent article on receiver separation (10:08). Which receiver is Josh most impressed with (31:15). Which quarterbacks are best set up to thrive with the pandemic preseason (39:29). With a quarterback chosen at random, which receiver would you choose to score a touchdown from 10-15 yards out (43:55). Fan questions (52:00). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
George and Eric are joined by fivethirtyeight's Josh Hermsmeyer to discuss his most recent article on receiver separation (10:08). Which receiver is Josh most impressed with (31:15). Which quarterbacks are best set up to thrive with the pandemic preseason (39:29). With a quarterback chosen at random, which receiver would you choose to score a touchdown from 10-15 yards out (43:55). Fan questions (52:00).
PFF's George Chahrouri and Eric Eager are back with another podcast episode, covering all subjects encompassing the analytics of the game of football. George and Eric are joined by Evan Silva, Josh Hermsmeyer, Kevin Cole and Timo Ridley to re-draft all the current NFL stars (0:00-2:00). Picks 1-10 (2:00-18:00). Who would go first if Kyler and Joe Burrow were in the same draft (13:00-16:00). The guys breakdown Baker Mayfield's game (19:00-24:00). Picks 11-20 (19:00-35:00). Josh Allen upside and worth (37:00-42:00). Picks 21-32 (36:00-65:00). Picks 33-45 (65:00-87:00). First non-qb selected (54:00-58:00). First defensive player taken (60:00). Picks 46-64 (88:00-118:00) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
PFF's George Chahrouri and Eric Eager are back with another podcast episode, covering all subjects encompassing the analytics of the game of football. George and Eric are joined by Evan Silva, Josh Hermsmeyer, Kevin Cole and Timo Ridley to re-draft all the current NFL stars (0:00-2:00). Picks 1-10 (2:00-18:00). Who would go first if Kyler and Joe Burrow were in the same draft (13:00-16:00). The guys breakdown Baker Mayfield’s game (19:00-24:00). Picks 11-20 (19:00-35:00). Josh Allen upside and worth (37:00-42:00). Picks 21-32 (36:00-65:00). Picks 33-45 (65:00-87:00). First non-qb selected (54:00-58:00). First defensive player taken (60:00). Picks 46-64 (88:00-118:00)
What types of numbers should fantasy footballers be focused on when evaluating players? Which type of data is most meaningful? Last year on The Late-Round Podcast, JJ sat down with FiveThirtyEight's Josh Hermsmeyer to help answer some of those questions.
Coach Paul Alexander is a 36 year veteran NFL and major college football coach. An Academic All American football player, he began coaching at Penn State, then University of Michigan and Central Michigan before taking on his first NFL coaching assignment with the New York Jets in 1991. For the next 23 years he was the offensive line coach of the Cincinnati Bengals where he helped set a number of NFL and club records … it's a tenure unheard of in modern day coaching cycles. In 2015 Alexander was featured on the cover of Sports Illustrated in its article: “The Mozart behind the Bengals 6-0 record”. In 2017, Pro Football Focus ranked his offensive line #1 statistically in pass protection over the 11 year life of their measure; also in 2017, he was once again recognized by Sports Illustrated as the top offensive line coach in the business and named to their “Dream Team Coaching Staff”. In 2018, Alexander joined the Dallas Cowboys as their offensive line coach.Part of Alexander's success lies in the fact that he is always learning — always striving to push beyond the limits of his comfort zone. This is critical for remaining competitive in any high performing career, as the bar is always moving from play to play, and from game to game.True to his philosophy, at the age of 47, Coach Alexander took up the challenge of learning the piano at the University of Cincinnati College Conservatory of Music. His life has been profoundly enriched by the challenge and beauty of learning the language of music, and has inspired him to perform the master works of Beethoven, Liszt, Chopin, Schumann and Mozart. While studying piano at the conservatory, his teachers were three concert pianists: Albert Muhlbock, Michael Chertock and Michelle Conda. Learning from those artists taught him the striking and universal parallels of high level performance across domains and inspired him to write a book on elite performance in athletics and music. Alexander's book “PERFORM” is about the journey of an NFL Coach training with a concert pianist where he offers lessons for teachers, coaches, athletes and musicians. It's an inspiring read for anyone who has to stand up and perform in either their professional or personal lives.Josh Hermsmeyer is a writer for FiveThirtyEight and the Founder of AirYards.com where he works on all things football analytics. He is also a great follow on Twitter at @FriscoJosh. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
PFF data scientists George Chahrouri and Eric Eager chat with friend of the program, Josh Hermsmeyer, from FiveThirtyEight. George, Eric, and Josh discuss Josh's background and the Ravens successes so far this season. Also on this episode, George and Eric preview the games they are most excited for as we head into Week 15 of NFL action. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
PFF data scientists George Chahrouri and Eric Eager chat with friend of the program, Josh Hermsmeyer, from FiveThirtyEight. George, Eric, and Josh discuss Josh's background and the Ravens successes so far this season. Also on this episode, George and Eric preview the games they are most excited for as we head into Week 15 of NFL action.
It's a happy Friday as we're now at the end of Lions week as Matthew Coller is joined by a plethora of guest to help preview the upcoming game and the NFL Playoffs. We open the show with Myron Medcalf joining Coller to discuss which situations we would trust this Vikings in (1:00). Coller and Medcalf are then joined by Jeff Riger, from 97.1 The Ticker in Detroit, to preview the Vikings/Lions game (28:00). Hour Two opens with 538's Josh Hermsmeyer joining Coller to talk about Kirk Cousins' success before former Viking George Iloka calls in to chat about life after football and the Vikings secondary (52:00). Phil Mackey and Judd Zulgad then come in to wrap up the week for a brief NFL Playoff Roundtable (1:22:00).
In case you missed today's show and can only listen to one segment of today's show listen to the third segment when Matthew Coller was joined by 538's Josh Hermsmeyer to discuss how the Vikings have gotten the best out of Kirk Cousins. We're also joined in this segment by former Vikings George Iloka to discuss life after football and the Vikings secondary.
Nick Kostos and Ken Barkley chat with Josh Hermsmeyer of FiveThirtyEight to breakdown his Air Yards theory for NFL receivers, how they translate into having DFS success and much more. See omnystudio.com/policies/listener for privacy information. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Josh Hermsmeyer, Writer for FiveThirtyEight and Founder of AirYards.com where he works on all things football analytics, joins hosts Cade Massey, Shane Jensen, Eric Bradlow, and Adi Wyner to discuss his predictions for the current NFL season and the analytics backing him up on Wharton Moneyball. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Clock Dodgers Podcast - Comedy | Motivation | Sports | Pop Culture
Neal, Adam and Josh are joined by Peter Howard from DLF, Playerprofiler and Dynasty Crossroads fame! It was the first time we had Peter on Clock Dodgers and it will certainly not be the last. Whether you're playing redraft, dynasty, daily fantasy (DFS), Best Ball or you just want to avoid the madness and stresses of the world, you need Clock Dodgers in your life! Get an edge in your leagues while enjoying unfiltered hilarious and insightful conversation about football, life, culture and more! ------------------------- Topics on this episode: - Peter Howard and his work at DLF, Playerprofiler and Dynasty Crossroads - Dug deep into some of Peter's great fantasy football work for a better understanding - Premature victory laps were taking because we know our stuff, so why not? - Trust Issues - Mike Evans, Josh Gordon, Chris Carson and Stefon Diggs + Adam Thielen - Rank 'Em! - Sammy Watkins, Demarcus Robinson, Austin Ekeler, Mason Rudolph and more - Foul or No Foul: Hotels in space, not shaking the winners hand, Dolphins broken rebuild, unhappy athletes forcing trades and the OFFICIAL drink of a psychopath - Show and Tell: Tony Bennett declining his raise, a book recommendation from Adam's mom, Josh failed and Josh Hermsmeyer's website airyards.com ------------------------- Follow us @clockdodgers on Twitter and Instagram BE KIND - BE GREAT - KEEP DODGING!
Something very special, recorded just after Week 1 of the NFL season. We have a panel discussion with Ron, Eric and Josh. We talk running backs, the future of NFL analytics and much much more.Podcasts cost money to make, equipment, software and the like. Thankfully Betfair has sponsored this podcast which means I can just concentrate on getting fantastic guests!
fivethirtyeight.com football writer and analyst Josh Hermsmeyer joins Edward to dissect the Cowboy's Week 1 win over the NY Giants.
fivethirtyeight.com football writer and analyst Josh Hermsmeyer joins Edward to dissect the Cowboy's Week 1 win over the NY Giants.
SummaryShow from 9/04/19In this episode of Wharton Moneyball our hosts talk with the writer at FiveThirtyEight and the Founder of AirYards.com, Josh Hermsmeyer. They discuss the Colts starting quarterback Jacoby Brissettt and the data involved in broken tackles. Have you ever wonder where does the data on broken tackles come from? Next, ESPN writer, editor-in-chief and head statistician for FootballOutsiders.Com, Aaron Schatz talks with us about the one NFL team that he feels is under the radar.Guests:Josh Hermsmeyer is a writer for FiveThirtyEight and the Founder of AirYards.com where he works on all things football analytics. Follow him on Twitter @friscojoshAaron Schatz launched the football analytics website FootballOutsiders.com in July 2003. He remains editor-in-chief and head statistician for the website as well as the book series “Football Outsiders Almanac”. He also writes for ESPN.com and ESPN The Mag.Follow him on Twitter @FO_ASchatzCheck out his website https://www.footballoutsiders.com/ See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Interview with FiveThirtyEight football writerJosh Hermsmeyer.
Will Brinson, Sean Wagner-McGough and John Breech break down the latest NFL news, including Andrew Luck's status (2:00), Baker Mayfield claiming people want the Browns to lose (12:00) and much more before tackling the latest episode of "Hard Knocks" (20:00). Then Will and Sean interview Josh Hermsmeyer of 538 and Establish the Run to talk about why Aaron Rodgers will bounce back (30:00), how teams can run play action without actually running (36:00), why the Cowboys shouldn't pay Zeke Elliott and what they should do with Dak (39:00), the idea of drafting two quarterbacks in the first round (44:00), what run/pass efficiency says about a team (51:00) and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Josh Hermsmeyer of 538 and Establish the Run
Adam Levitan chats with Josh Hermsmeyer of FiveThirtyEight.com about his Buy Low Model and how it applies to successful DFS tournament play. They also discuss if expensive wine really is better, the Air Yards metric, Defense Doesn't Matter and lots more. The Buy Low Model will exclusively be available on EstablishTheRun.com this season. TIMESTAMPS: Josh’s background in Fantasy (1:59) | The football analytics niche (7:02) | An introduction to Air Yards (9:04) | Why is the NFL behind in analytics? (12:15) | What teams do analytics well (16:42) | Establishing The Run (19:50) | The Buy Low Model (21:53) | The “defense doesn’t matter” take (28:56)
The Ringer’s Robert Mays and Kevin Clark discuss the news of the NFL making pass interference reviewable (02:00) and the drama surrounding Nick Caserio (07:00). Then FiveThirtyEight’s Josh Hermsmeyer joins the show to discuss the influx of analytics around the league (12:00), what it reveals about the quarterback landscape (24:00), and how it will affect the future of the NFL (31:30). Hosts: Robert Mays and Kevin Clark Guest: Josh Hermsmeyer
Scott is on vacation so Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) of FiveThirtyEight joins Mike to talk about projections and the state of fantasy and real football as it relates to maximizing win probability. Is there true skill level among NFL players or are they merely creatures of their environments and usage? Why and to what extent are zeroRB concepts useful in gaining a competitive edge in drafting? How much of offensive vs. defense outcomes are generally driven by the offense? How often should teams pass and how should they run? Are the under 25 QBs ready to propel the NFL into the next generation of play or is Josh bearish on their prospects? Analysis on players including Antonio Brown, Le'Veon Bell, David Johnson, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Travis Kelce.
Josh Hermsmeyer, better known online as @friscojosh, is a contributor to 538 and writes a lot of great analytical NFL content.Here we chat about some of my favourite articles, his time making wine and the 538 writing process.Podcasts cost money to make, equipment, software and the like. Thankfully Betfair has sponsored this podcast which means I can just concentrate on getting fantastic guests!
For the third episode of What Would Sashi Do, Kevin Cole (@Cole_Kev), Director of Data and Analytics at RotoGrinders and proprietor of Predictive Football, talks with Josh Hermsmeyer, football writer and analyst at FiveThirtyEight. You can follow Josh on Twitter @friscojosh. Josh and Kevin talk about “Foil of the Week” John Elway and his curious … Continue reading WWSD Ep.3 – Josh Hermsmeyer, FiveThirtyEight
In this momentous week of NFL player movement, host Pat Fitzmaurice (@Fitz_FF) is joined by guest Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh), who discusses the epic trades that sent Odell Beckham Jr. to Cleveland and Antonio Brown to Oakland. Josh also talks about his recent trip to Indianapolis, where he attended the NFL Scouting Combine and the Big Data Bowl – and drank with Sean Payton. Josh is the aviator of air yards, and he tells Pat about the origins of his work with that stat. He also discusses his background in wine and touches on his Twitter persona, his run as a high school quarterback, his own fantasy leagues and more. Host: Pat Fitzmaurice (@Fitz_FF) Guest: Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) Podcast produced by Colm Kelly (@OvertimeIreland) In association with TheFootballGirl.com Music provided by International Jet Set
Which type of data should we, as fantasy football managers, care most about? On Episode 226, JJ chats with Josh Hermsmeyer, FiveThirtyEight writer and creator of AirYards.com, to help answer this question. Josh talks through the value of air yards and explains which metrics we tend to overvalue and undervalue. And he also gives some insight on how to prospect running backs and quarterbacks.
Ben Baldwin of the Athletic and Josh Hermsmeyer of 538 join the Taekcast to break down all of the available statistics and evidence on the value of running backs. Does running the ball at all even matter? How do running backs influence the passing game? All of the questions are definitively answered here. Sponsors: Token Talks Podcast DailyRoto.Com PROMO: RORY Learn more about your ad-choices at https://news.iheart.com/podcast-advertisers
Rudy Jacinto (@paradojaNFL) analiza el artículo de Josh Hermsmeyer sobre el uso o abuso del play action en la NFL utilizando Next Gen Stats. ¡La NFL no termina y nosotros tampoco! Instagram - http://bit.ly/3yFueraIG Facebook - https://bit.ly/3yFueraFB Grupo Facebook - https://bit.ly/3yFueraFBg Twitter - https://bit.ly/3yFueraTW Itunes - https://bit.ly/3yFueraItunes Spotify - http://bit.ly/3yFueraSpotify Sitio web - https://3yfuera.com/ Artículo del día: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/can-nfl-coaches-overuse-play-action-they-havent-yet/Mentioned in this episode:PRECIO DEL FANTASY
Rudy Jacinto (@paradojaNFL) analiza el artículo de Josh Hermsmeyer sobre el uso o abuso del play action en la NFL utilizando Next Gen Stats. ¡La NFL no termina y nosotros tampoco! Instagram - http://bit.ly/3yFueraIG Facebook - https://bit.ly/3yFueraFB Grupo Facebook - https://bit.ly/3yFueraFBg Twitter - https://bit.ly/3yFueraTW Itunes - https://bit.ly/3yFueraItunes Spotify - http://bit.ly/3yFueraSpotify Sitio web - https://3yfuera.com/ Artículo del día: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/can-nfl-coaches-overuse-play-action-they-havent-yet/
Rudy Jacinto (@paradojaNFL) analiza el artículo de Josh Hermsmeyer sobre el uso o abuso del play action en la NFL utilizando Next Gen Stats. ¡La NFL no termina y nosotros tampoco! Instagram - http://bit.ly/3yFueraIG Facebook - https://bit.ly/3yFueraFB Grupo Facebook - https://bit.ly/3yFueraFBg Twitter - https://bit.ly/3yFueraTW Itunes - https://bit.ly/3yFueraItunes Spotify - http://bit.ly/3yFueraSpotify Sitio web - https://3yfuera.com/ Artículo del día: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/can-nfl-coaches-overuse-play-action-they-havent-yet/
Rudy Jacinto (@paradojaNFL) analiza el artículo de Josh Hermsmeyer sobre el uso o abuso del play action en la NFL utilizando Next Gen Stats. ¡La NFL no termina y nosotros tampoco! Instagram - http://bit.ly/3yFueraIG Facebook - https://bit.ly/3yFueraFB Grupo Facebook - https://bit.ly/3yFueraFBg Twitter - https://bit.ly/3yFueraTW Itunes - https://bit.ly/3yFueraItunes Spotify - http://bit.ly/3yFueraSpotify Sitio web - https://3yfuera.com/ Artículo del día: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/can-nfl-coaches-overuse-play-action-they-havent-yet/
Davis is joined by Josh Hermsmeyer from 538 Sports to discuss Josh's research into the effects of play action in the NFL, other notable conclusions from his research in 2018, how the buy low air yards model did in 2018, why Jarvis Landry is bad and how to properly sous vide a piece of meat (and much more). Learn more about your ad-choices at https://news.iheart.com/podcast-advertisers
www.patreon.com/taekcast Josh Hermsmeyer joins the show to break down once and for all, why defenses do not matter and the math behind it. Josh holds that this is true for DFS, seasonal and forecasting picks Against The Spread. Sponsors: MyBookie.AG Promo: MATTEK DailyRoto.Com Promo: Janis Learn more about your ad-choices at https://news.iheart.com/podcast-advertisers
Hosted by Jeremy Hardt with guest Josh Hermsmeyer Questions & Answers Jeremy and Josh discuss why the signs are there for Courtland Sutton to explode in the coming weeks, why Randall Cobb could eat if he can just get healthy, and why Mike Evans is going to have a hell of a season. The guys discuss high efficiency Wide Receivers like John Brown, Cooper Kupp, and Michael Thomas, and they even admit to preferring both Devin Funchess and Tyler Boyd to Doug Baldwin. Sponsor SquadQL – All-in-one app that recommends the best starting lineup, personalized news, player research and more, head to SquadQL.com. FantasyMath – The fantasy-consensus model using probability to help drive your start and sit decisions. Sign up at rotoviz.fantasymath.com for only $20! Email: RotoVizRadio@gmail.com Twitter: @RotoVizRadio -RotoViz 30% discount - RotoViz.com/podcast -Support us on Patreon - https://www.patreon.com/RotoVizRadio
Courtland Sutton Could Explode – Josh Hermsmeyer: RotoViz Mailbag
Hosted by Jeremy Hardt with guest Josh Hermsmeyer Questions & Answers Jeremy and Josh discuss why the signs are there for Courtland Sutton to explode in the coming weeks, why Randall Cobb could eat if he can just get healthy, and why Mike Evans is going to have a hell of a season. The guys discuss high efficiency Wide Receivers like John Brown, Cooper Kupp, and Michael Thomas, and they even admit to preferring both Devin Funchess and Tyler Boyd to Doug Baldwin. Sponsor SquadQL – All-in-one app that recommends the best starting lineup, personalized news, player research and more, head to SquadQL.com. FantasyMath – The fantasy-consensus model using probability to help drive your start and sit decisions. Sign up at rotoviz.fantasymath.com for only $20! Email: RotoVizRadio@gmail.com Twitter: @RotoVizRadio Sign up to RotoViz with a 30% discount - RotoViz.com/podcast Support us on Patreon - https://www.patreon.com/RotoVizRadio
Volume 4 - Dave (@dsanders877) and Andrew (@DrewFerraro88) finish discussing what they've learned through the first 3 weeks of the NFL season. Rookie QBs - Sam Darnold (1:46-5:28), Josh Rosen (5:29-6:22), Baker Mayfield and Browns 2018 expectations (6:23-8:34), Josh Allen (8:35-9:52), Ranking the rookie QBs (9:53-11:30), Should rookie QBs start from Day One? (11:31-13:35), Impact of college reps on QB development and readiness to play in the NFL (13:36-15:35), Twitter educating football fans [shoutouts to Matt Waldman, Dan Orlovsky, Evan Silva, Warren Sharp, Josh Hermsmeyer, Tony Romo, Pat McAfee #ForTheBrand (15:36-24:18), Continuing Andrew Luck conversation from Part 1 (24:19-25:29). If you're enjoying the podcast, please subscribe, rate, review and tell your friends! Follow the show on Twitter @EvoSportsPod and on Facebook at Evolution Sports Podcast.
538 and AirYards.com's Josh Hermsmeyer
Episode 89: Two-A-Days with Josh Hermsmeyer & Chris Allen Hosted by Greg Smith (@gregsauce). The Two-A-Days series on the 2QBXP podcast features two analysts per episode breaking down their personal strategies for managing the quarterback position in fantasy. This ninth installment features Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) of 4for4 and AirYards.com, plus Chris Allen (@ChrisAllenFFWX) of 4for4, Fantrax, and The Dynasty Owners Manual podcast. Josh is up first (2:30), and he'll explain depth of target’s relationship to wide receivers versus its relationship to quarterbacks, as well as the value of depth-adjusted completion percentage in evaluating QBs. Later (30:58), Chris explains the dangers of recency bias, the importance of looking beyond accumulated counting stats, and the origins of his exploration into weather’s effects on fantasy football. Links TwoQBs.com's 2018 2QB & Superflex Draft Guide4for4.comAirYards.comWeather Effects and Fantasy Foobtall, Part 1 by Chris AllenWeather Effects and Fantasy Foobtall, Part 2 by Chris Allen A TwoQBs.com Production Intro Music: Fire Whiskey - Speed DemonsOutro Music: Dead Remote - Three Words
Matt (@MattJonesTFR) was joined by Josh Hermsmeyer (@FriscoJosh) to talk all things WR for this upcoming season. They talked about everything from general draft strategy to specific busts and values at the WR position for the 2018 NFL Season. Follow along with the guys on Twitter and good luck in your Best Ball contests this year!
The Taekcast has it's first return guest as Josh Hermsmeyer from airyards.com & 4for4.com comes back to the show to talk about David Johnson vs the Field, the YOLO QB theory, surprising results that he found in his research in proprietary data, conversations he's had with some people inside the NFL and how we can go about fixing soccer for an American audience. Sponsors: MyBookie.AG Promocode: MATTEK ApexFantasyLeagues.com Learn more about your ad-choices at https://news.iheart.com/podcast-advertisers
Perfect Lineup Podcast - Daily Fantasy Strategy and Stories of Success
How do you create a predictive football stat? Josh Hermsmeyer took an underutilized stat of AirYards and created his own efficiency and opportunity metrics that not only help predict pass catcher volume but reveal QB and coaching intent. Hear his story and get to know the man behind AirYards. Josh’s MUST READ Rotoworld Article: http://www.rotoworld.com/articles/nfl/69265/446/why-receiver-air-yards-matter IN THIS EPISODE YOU WILL LEARN: Where Josh grew up Dad’s […] The post Ep 36 – “Mr. AirYards” Josh Hermsmeyer – His Path to Discovery & Detailed Process of Predicting WR Volume & Coaching Intent appeared first on Perfect Lineup.
The Football Diehards Podcast with Justin Lonero and Bob Harris
Justin Lonero (@justinlonero) and Bob Harris (@footballdiehard) breakdown the NFC West. They talk about who they are taking at the 1.01 between Todd Gurley and David Johnson. Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) also joins them to talk about the value of Air Yards and his deep dive into NFL play data. Make a first-time deposit of 5$ or more on Draft Kings and get a free 3$ voucher by using the promo code Diehards. The Football Diehards Podcast with Bob Harris and Justin Lonero is produced by Kyle Dvorchak (@ffkylethekid).
In this episode of Wharton Moneyball hosts Eric Bradlow, Shane Jensen, and Adi Wyner get into NBA playoffs and MLB pitching. Then they bring on TrueMedia Network's VP to talk basketball analytics. Plus a look at the NFL with Josh Hermsmeyer of Airyards.com. And last, but not least, the hosts get into some NHL and do their weekly Over/Under segment. Check it out!Guests:Dean Oliver - Vice President of Data at TrueMedia Networks and one of the pioneers of the advanced statistical revolution in basketball with his fundamental book, Basketball on PaperFollow him on Twitter @DeanO_LyticsJosh Hermsmeyer - He runs Airyards.com which provides data and metrics for NFL analysts and prides on its simple to use advanced statistics. Follow him on Twitter @FriscoJosh See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.
Davis is joined by Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) from 4for4.com and airyards.com to discuss the evolution of NFL analytics, how fucking boring baseball is, Bitcoin, the gold standard and Baker Mayfield. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://news.iheart.com/podcast-advertisers
I take a break from the mock drafts to do a brain dump of some thoughts on avoiding bias in our process and decisions. References to Kevin O'Brien @the_ff_engineer and his FF Engineering Pod featuring JJ Zachariason @LateRoundQB, and Josh Hermsmeyer @friscojosh with his tweet and links to the Algorithm Aversion paper here: https://twitter.com/friscojosh/status/975180929986584577 --- This episode is sponsored by · Anchor: The easiest way to make a podcast. https://anchor.fm/app Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/fusionffb/support
Episode 68: 2018 Offseason Kickoff with Sal Stefanile Host Greg Smith (@gregsauce) welcomes TwoQBs.com co-founder Salvatore Stefanile (@2QBFFB) back to the show to get the podcast fired up for the 2018 offseason. They spend the first portion of the show discussing Sal's decision to not play fantasy football last year, and where he stands today. Full disclosure, the conversation steers away from football to real-life issues for a time. Around the 12-minute mark, the focus comes back to fantasy with an examination of the NFL's most quarterback-needy teams, including Minnesota, Denver, Arizona, Cleveland, and Buffalo. Your hosts discuss how free agent and rookie passers might fit into those teams plans, as well as more speculative destinations like the Dolphins, Jaguars, Giants, Ravens, and Bengals. From Case Keenum to Joel Stave, and Kirk Cousins to Geno Smith, Greg and Sal lay out all sorts of scenarios that could shake up the two-quarterback fantasy landscape. Links 'Sauce vs. Sal: The State of 2QB Fantasy by Greg Smith & Sal Stefanile2018 Redraft QB Rankings by Greg SmithAirYards.com by Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) A TwoQBs.com Production Intro Music: Fire Whiskey - Speed DemonsOutro Music: Dead Remote - Three Words
Hosted by Jeremy Hardt with guest Josh Hermsmeyer Questions & Answers Jeremy and Josh discuss why fantasy owners should follow the volume and expect a bounce-back from Amari Cooper next season. They also talk about the fantasy prospects of Corey Coleman and Corey Davis next year and give their thoughts about Derick Henry. It’s Divisional Weekend, and the guys give their thoughts on this weekend’s slate of games. SPONSORS SeatGeek– The smartest, easiest way to get tickets to any live event. SeatGeek helps you find the best seats at the best prices - fully guaranteed. Download the SeatGeek app and enter promo code RVRadio to get $20 off your first SeatGeek purchase. Email: RotoVizRadio@gmail.com Twitter: @RotoVizRadio If you're a listener of the show but not yet a subscriber, Sign up to RotoViz with a 30% discount - RotoViz.com/podcast
Fantasy Football Podcast: RotoUnderworld Radio Ep 344: The Podfather Matt Kelley (@Fantasy_Mansion) and Josh Hermsmeyer from AirYards.com forecast Devin Funchess fantasy production in the absence of Kelvin Benjamin. Will Josh Gordon have an impact this season or ever again? Should 49ers fans be excited about Jimmy Garoppolo? More important to future winning: John Lynch or Kyle Shanahan? Jay Ajayi better off or worse off on the Eagles? Is Amari Cooper hopeless or is he on the cusp of a season-long breakthrough? Bench Doug Baldwin or AJ Green? Is Ty Montgomery a fraud? Joe Mixon is similar to TJ Yeldon (in a good way). Is Alex Collins for real? Dissecting the Mike Evans enigma. Is Jameis Winston a bust? Demaryius Thomas is fading from fantasy relevance as slow as possible. Is Dez Bryant's touchdown scoring a skill? What happened to Terrelle Pryor? Is Josh Doctson definitely better? Dede Westbrook's time is now. Is Devonta Freeman a bust? Play DFS contests with unique lineups. Go to PlayDraft.com. Code: UNDERWORLD Advanced metrics, prospect evaluations, and fantasy football information were provided by PlayerProfiler.com
Josh Hermsmeyer joins the OTI Podcast.
The RotoViz Mailbag, the RotoViz Radio show dedicated to answering your fantasy football questions. If you’re a listener of the show who isn’t subscribing yet to RotoViz, you can get a special 30% discount through the podcast homepage. Host: Jeff Matson (@jeffmatsonRV), Contributor for RotoViz Guest: Josh Hermsmeyer (@FriscoJosh), Head of Analytics for RotoViz.com QUESTIONS & ANSWERS On the show, Jeff and Josh discuss why Kenny Golladay is the must add week one waiver target, how Daily Fantasy GPP contests should focus on players likely to exceed value, and answer fantasy questions from listeners. SPONSOR DRAFT – The official daily fantasy platform of RotoViz Radio. Download the DRAFT app or play on your computer at PlayDraft.com. For a limited time, new players get a FREE entry with their first deposit! Use our promo code RVRADIO. MyBookie – The official sportsbook of RotoViz Radio. Join now with our promo-code RotoMailbag, and MyBookie will match your first deposit with a bonus of up to 100 percent. Visit MyBookie.ag today. Contest- Sign up for MyBookie.ag and deposit funds and take advantage of the matching finuds offer using promo code "RotoMailbag" and forward a copy of your confirmation email to RotoVizRadio@gmail.com to be entered into a contest to win a special edition RotoViz staff jacket.
Rotoviz contributor Josh Hermsmeyer talks about "Air Yards" on this week's FEAST podcast.
Week 10 Preview: This week Colm(@thecolmkelly) & Doug(@DMooreNFL) are joined by Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh). Josh is know by some as The Air Yards guy and is a contibutor to Rotoworld. We talk Air Yards and look ahead to week 10. As always, thanks for listening, we hope you enjoy and please continue to spread the word of OTI. Follow @overtimeireland on Twitter.
Matt Williamson (@WilliamsonNFL) and Ryan McDowell (@RyanMc23) welcome Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh), who shares his expertise on a variety of Fantasy Football metrics and analytics, with a focus on AIRYARDS.
The third outing for the Unfiltered podcast with Jeff Lefevere and I welcoming guest Josh Hermsmeyer from Capozzi Family Winery & Pinotblogger.com and panelist Andrew Barrow from Spittoon & Wine Sediments. 00:23 - Welcome and introductions 01:04 - Capozzi Family Winery Q&A 05:52 - Wine collectors, "buyer beware" 07:54 - Bait and switch on Winesearcher? 15:35 - 100-point ratings and wine writing 27:05 - Twitter and wine 32:36 - U.S. Wine Exports Jump 30 Percent 36:56 - Contact details 37:10 - Next show guest and panelists Feedback: winecast@gmail.com Copyright 2007 Acan Media, Inc. Licensed to the public under Creative Commons.