QAV Podcast

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Tony Kynaston is a black belt investor. Over 25 years, his portfolio has outperformed the market. Now he's going to teach us how he does it.

Tony Kynaston & Cameron Reilly

Australia


    • May 27, 2025 LATEST EPISODE
    • weekly NEW EPISODES
    • 37m AVG DURATION
    • 410 EPISODES


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    Latest episodes from QAV Podcast

    QAV 821 — Roombas, Regulators & Rogue Traders

    Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2025 39:46


    In episode 821 of the QAV Podcast, Cameron and Tony kick things off with tales of gas outages and cold showers before diving into the markets. They review the portfolio performance, explain the HLS sell-off, and unpack the latest antics of Donald Trump's tariff diplomacy. Stocks under the spotlight include VVA (Viva Leisure) with their eyebrow-raising stake in Gorilla X Labs, NRW's legal wrangle over the Whyalla port, and a deep-dive pulled pork on ANZ. The ANZ segment touches everything from executive turnover, the bloated One Platform app, substance abuse allegations, and the Suncorp acquisition, to Cameron's prediction that the whole thing will be scrapped in favour of an AI-driven rebuild. Sprinkle in some talk about robot security Roombas, the legacy of Damien Broderick, Sparks' new album, and Japanese punk, and you've got another vintage QAV session.

    QAV 820 — Wet Lettuce Watchdogs

    Play Episode Listen Later May 20, 2025 26:04


    In this episode, Cameron and Tony tackle the political earthquake caused by the breakup of Australia's Federal Coalition, dig into the implications of the RBA's latest rate cut, and explore how the U.S. credit downgrade might ripple through markets. We hit hot topics from taxing unrealized gains to a lesson in value investing resilience through the lens of a Tobias Carlisle interview with Rich Pzena. We close with a deep pulled pork on Cettire Ltd (CTT), the controversial drop-shipping retailer that's either misunderstood genius or speculative flameout. Plus: the ASX plays dumb, and Helen Mirren gets name-dropped twice.

    QAV 819 — The Roll Back

    Play Episode Listen Later May 14, 2025 26:33


    In this episode of QAV Australia, Cam and Tony navigate a turbulent market buoyed by a temporary rollback in US-China tariffs and a curious rally in Bitcoin. They break down the movements in gold stocks like Perseus (PRU), Ramelius (RMS), and West African Resources (WAF), unpack ANZ's (ANZ) CEO handover and the impact of its Suncorp acquisition, and look into Super Retail Group's (SUL) Q3 results. The episode also features deep dives into the governance concerns at Macquarie (MQG), a bizarrely massive dividend from Healius (HLS), a skeptical look at luxury drop shipper Cettire (CTT), and a pulled pork segment on outdoor advertising player oOh!media (OML). Cam also shares a personal health win, and the duo wraps up with some recommendations, banter, and a little Van Halen nostalgia.

    QAV 818 — Buffett's Last Dance

    Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2025 17:38


    In this episode of QAV Club, recorded on 6 May 2025, Cameron and Tony unpack the Australian federal election result with the kind of sharp political analysis and irreverent banter you expect. They explore the collapse of support for the Liberal Party, the implications for Peter Dutton, and the broader shifts in Australian voter demographics. Then, they pivot to Warren Buffett's final Berkshire Hathaway AGM, reflecting on his legacy, investing philosophy, and the future of the company post-Buffett. The episode also includes due diligence on NRW Holdings (NWH), QPM Energy (QPM), and a deep dive pulled pork segment on Motorcycle Holdings (MTO). Plus, there's a listener question on Healius (HLS), and Cameron fields the perennial paradox of being a Marxist value investor. Oh, and there are motorcycles, AI, and some pointed shots at Donald Trump. Classic QAV.

    QAV 817 — Smart Metal and Dumb Markets

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 30, 2025


    This week we deep-dive into BIS (Bisalloy Steel Group), questioning whether it's truly a steel commodity play given its rising price amid a falling steel market. Tony delivers a pulled pork on BIS, exploring their niche in quenched and tempered steel, its use in defence industries, and the company's recent inclusion in the All Ords. W also tackle discrepancies in price-to-operating-cashflow (Pr/OpCaf) numbers between Stockopedia and manual calculations, and reflect on the sale of Stock Doctor. There's a reader question on operating cashflow calculations and plenty of banter about sobriety, diet, and what they've been watching lately—from _Landman_ to _Face/Off_.

    QAV 816 — Gold Diggers

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 23, 2025 31:45


    In this post-Easter episode, Cam and Tony chew through the week's market moves, exploring why the All Ords is up despite a gloomy global outlook. They rip into Trump's latest Fed-firing fantasies, dissect the economics of tariffs, and wonder if AI will treat us like Yellowstone squirrels. There's a deep dive on Bank of Queensland's latest results, plus a pulled pork on gold miner Tribune Resources (ASX: TBR). They close with some existential musings on economic stagnation, robot-run suburbs, and whether humans are about to be the squirrels of tomorrow.

    QAV 815 — Tax On, Tax Off

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 16, 2025 17:17


    In this episode, Cameron and TK dive into the tumultuous week in the markets, heavily influenced by the Trump administration's tariff announcements and subsequent pause. They discuss the impact on US Treasury bonds, China's long-term economic strategy, and the potential breakdown of global trust in the US economy. They briefly cover portfolio updates, Ray Dalio's perspective on the breakdown of the global order, and company-specific news including Accent Group (AX1), Findi (FND), Comms Group (CCG), Perenti (PRN), Telstra (TLS), and TK's new board appointment at Clime Investment Wealth (CIW). TK also provides a detailed "Pulled Pork" analysis on Cedar Woods Properties (CWP). The episode concludes with after hours.

    QAV 814 — The Big Grift (repost)

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 15, 2025 38:59


    In this episode, Cameron and TK dive into the recent market volatility, largely driven by US tariff announcements. They discuss the importance of sticking to the QAV investing framework during uncertain times, contrasting it with reactive or emotional decision-making often seen elsewhere. The conversation touches on the potential economic impacts of the tariffs, including the logic behind them, the potential for decoupling from China, the historical context of tariffs in Australia, and the possibility of it all being a "grift".

    QAV 814 — The Big Grift

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 8, 2025 38:59


    In this episode, Cameron and TK dive into the recent market volatility, largely driven by US tariff announcements. They discuss the importance of sticking to the QAV investing framework during uncertain times, contrasting it with reactive or emotional decision-making often seen elsewhere. The conversation touches on the potential economic impacts of the tariffs, including the logic behind them, the potential for decoupling from China, the historical context of tariffs in Australia, and the possibility of it all being a "grift".

    QAV 813 – The Mill Red Flag

    Play Episode Listen Later Apr 2, 2025 14:53


    In this episode, TK shares his busy week involving golf, horse racing, and family events, including his daughter's first auction and his upcoming birthday. Cameron updates on the QAV light portfolio's performance, noting it's now beating the index since inception and for the financial year, despite selling EHL and TPG. They discuss Dollarama's acquisition of The Reject Shop (TRS) at a significant premium, speculate on the rationale, and touch on potential challenges for Dollarama in the Australian market. Concerns are raised about Stockopedia following staff departures and data discrepancies, particularly with Price to Operating Cash Flow (PropCAF) figures. The hosts delve into ASIC and the RBA scrutinizing the ASX over CHESS replacement issues and operational risks. They analyze several stocks: Accent Group (AX1) potentially seeing increased stake from Fraser's Group, New Hope Group's positive results and share buyback amidst slumping coal prices, Ramelius Resources' (RMS) controversial acquisition of Spartan Resources and subsequent removal from Stock Doctor's star list due to disclosure and financial concerns, and NZME's results, potential corporate activity involving Stuff, and a looming board challenge from Canadian billionaire Jim Grennan. A significant discussion revolves around establishing 'red flags' for corporate governance issues, triggered by Helia's (HLI) CEO selling shares before bad news, Indiana Resources (IDA) failing to lodge reports on time, and broader concerns about management integrity, timely disclosure, and when to remove a red flag. They also cover TPG Telecom's sale of assets to Vocus and perform a deep dive into Santos (STO), including its history, recent performance, QAV metrics, and associated risks. The episode wraps up with 'After Hours' chat about classic TV shows like Joe 90 and Odd Squad, films like Unforgiven and Ipcress File, music discoveries including Transplants and The Distillers, and TK's upcoming horse races.

    QAV 812 – ASA’s Chairman on Continuous Disclosure

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 26, 2025 75:13


    This week we're talking with Steve Mabb, Chairman of the Australian Shareholders Association, about what we can do about the many failures of ASX-listed companies to disclose their results during the most recent reporting season.

    QAV 811 – Thinking About It

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 19, 2025 32:41


    Tony and Cameron explore the market's recent volatility and recovery, examining key performances in both their Australian and US portfolios. They dive deep into the curious case of Ramelius Resources, dissecting the company's recent series of announcements that puzzled investors and raised questions around transparency and disclosure practices. Other highlights include a robust discussion on small caps versus large caps in the context of passive investing impacts, strong results from Perseus Mining and Metals X, and an analysis of Shape Australia's promising financial position and future outlook. The episode wraps up with listener questions about portfolio hedging strategies and implications of the Ramelius and Spartan Resources merger.

    QAV 810 – The QAV Magnificent 12

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 12, 2025 36:55


    In this episode, we review recent half-yearly results and market volatility, discussing notable movements in the dummy portfolio compared to the benchmark, as well as significant shifts in commodities such as crude oil. We dive into reporting-season surprises from companies like Qantas, Hello World, Pepper Money, and Karoon Energy, exploring the lack of timely “confession season” disclosures and how that impacts investment decisions. The topic of whether to pause stock purchases during reporting season is debated, expressing our frustration over abrupt CFO departures and earnings “shock” announcements. We conclude with a “Pulled Pork” deep dive on mining services group Perenti (PRN), analyzing cash-flow quirks, forecast earnings, and overall QAV metrics.

    QAV 809 – The Reporting Season Red Flag

    Play Episode Listen Later Mar 5, 2025 23:40


    In this episode, we review recent half-yearly results and market volatility, discussing notable movements in the dummy portfolio compared to the benchmark, as well as significant shifts in commodities such as crude oil. We dive into reporting-season surprises from companies like Qantas, Hello World, Pepper Money, and Karoon Energy, exploring the lack of timely “confession season” disclosures and how that impacts investment decisions. The topic of whether to pause stock purchases during reporting season is debated, expressing our frustration over abrupt CFO departures and earnings “shock” announcements. We conclude with a “Pulled Pork” deep dive on mining services group Perenti (PRN), analyzing cash-flow quirks, forecast earnings, and overall QAV metrics.

    QAV 808 – The Value Investor's Lament

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 26, 2025 30:59


    In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony navigate the carnage of reporting season, where many QAV stocks have taken a beating. They discuss the brutal market reactions to earnings misses, the underperformance of value stocks relative to growth, and what the latest results say about the overall market sentiment. Despite the doom and gloom, there are bright spots, including Berkshire Hathaway's latest results and a few standout earnings reports. Tony also revisits the concept of market tops and how investors should be positioning themselves.

    QAV 807 – Half Year Havoc

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 19, 2025 27:06


    Half year reports are playing their usual havoc on some of our stocks, as results disappoint the market. But is the market over-reacting in some cases? Tony thinks so. We're also talking about the RBA's decision to cut interest rates and how that affects our investing decisions. Stocks covered today include FND, AMP, CVL, PPM, and Tony's deep dive is on FSF. He also answers a listener's question about borrowing to buy shares. After hours includes discussions about Babylon, the ACO, racing updates and fasting.

    QAV 806 – The Reilly Indicator

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 12, 2025 18:06


    In QAV Episode 806, Cameron and Tony cover key market updates, including Elon Musk's $97B bid for OpenAI, Trump's steel tariffs, and the resurgence of iron ore as a buy. They analyze portfolio performance, noting that long-held stocks tend to outperform, and discuss Nick Scali, Beach Energy, and Seven West Media's earnings. Cameron unveils the ‘Reilly Indicator', suggesting that a lack of sell signals could indicate an impending market correction. They revisit the ‘Crazy Girlfriend Rule' for stocks that repeatedly disappoint, explore the impact of COVID lows rolling off charts, and debate when bad news stops being a red flag. The Pulled Pork segment examines Grange Resources (GRR)—a strong performer but with a looming mine closure. The episode wraps with fun discussions on horse racing, Al Pacino, and flat-pack furniture frustrations.

    QAV 805 – Whack A Mole

    Play Episode Listen Later Feb 5, 2025 34:24


    In this episode recorded on February 4, 2025, we dive into the impact of recent US tariff implementations and their immediate retraction. We also discuss the resignation of Resolute Mining's CEO following his detention in Mali and its effect on the company's share price, TK explains the Ricardo effect on national economic strategy, the collapse of Mosaic Brands, regulatory approval for FND, and a 'Pulled Pork' segment on Aurelia Metals (AMI), covering the company's history, current status, and future projections amid the booming gold prices. In After Hours, they offer tributes to Marianne Faithful and discuss pop culture, including 'Rogue Heroes' and 'Inland Empire', Nazi propaganda and 20th-century Russian literature.

    QAV 804 – The DeepSeek Black Swan

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 29, 2025 27:08


    In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony discuss a variety of topics, from Tony's trip to Tasmania and adventures at MONA to Cameron's kitchen mishap with a mandolin slicer. The conversation transitions to market insights, including the impact of the Chinese AI system DeepSeek on global markets and Nvidia's significant market cap loss. The duo explores key investment stories like Lindsay Australia's stock performance and Washington H. Soul Pattinson's involvement, as well as discussing pathology services company ACL and its challenges in a government-regulated environment. The episode closes with reflections on the late David Lynch and his creative legacy.

    QAV 803 – Shares For Beginners

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 22, 2025 74:18


    While TK is away, I'm chatting with Phil Muscatello from the Shares For Beginners podcast, about everything the two of us have learned about investing over the years we have produced our respective podcasts.

    QAV 802 – SWEET FA

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 15, 2025 25:01


    This week we're talking about commodities such as crude oil, copper, and lithium becoming buys again, Wall Street predictions and the practical approach of focusing on quality investments and managing risk. Tony shares analysis on several stocks including NWH and MYR, discussing red flags, and a pulled pork on HZN. Cameron discussed his recent analysis on Rule 1 selling and some news regarding FSF and GNP, plus an article from the AFR about Australia's private sector being in recession. After Hours features reviews of films like ‘Civil War' and the ‘Planet of the Apes' series, along with the show ‘Black Snow', and NVIDIA's groundbreaking announcements at CES.

    QAV 801 – CY24 Portfolio Analysis

    Play Episode Listen Later Jan 8, 2025 42:30


    In our first episode for 2025, we break down our mixed portfolio results for 2024, talk about news related to MWY, ABA, ERD, RMS, play clips from a 1994 talk from Peter Lynch, review Geoff Wilson's investing checklist, discuss Eugene Lama's views on efficient markets, quantum computing threats. And in the After Hours segment we talk about the films, TV and music that's kept us busy over the break.

    QAV 752 – Time Capsule

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 26, 2024 30:56


    A review of the stock market's winners and losers for the year, updates on TLS, DTL and FPR, Planck's Principle in investing, our predictions for 2025, and a 'Pulled Pork' on Wagner's Holding Company (WGN). In After Hours we talk about Leunig, say RIP to departed friends, and discuss ADHD.

    QAV 751 – The Buffett Indicator

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 18, 2024 34:26


    This week we're talking about SXE's new contracts, The Buffett Indicator, "The Mind of Wall Street", the Murdoch succession crisis, Pulled Porks on GTN and RM, and then in After Hours we discuss Dune Part Two, S02 of Bookie, Vivaldi's Four Seasons, Skeleton Crew, Wild Gods, Pink Moon and using the Australian government to bail out failing news organisations.

    QAV 750 – Hello World

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 10, 2024 34:32


    In this episode of QAV: Tony's recent golfing escapades and his upcoming move to Cape Schanck. We discuss ANZ's CEO change, reviewing the impact on the stock and the broader banking landscape, including concerns over market share and IT integration challenges. ABA's merger with MyState is analyzed for synergies and potential risks. There's an in-depth look at operating cash flows from Fleet Partners and whether it remains a QAV stock. The 'Pulled Pork' segment features Hello World Travel Limited, examining its financials and market position. Other topics include Boom Logistics' consolidation, commodities recovering thanks to China's statements, the RBA's interest rates decision, and Rule 1 sell strategies. The episode also includes reviews of recent media highlights, from cinema classics to new spy thrillers.

    QAV 749 – Aqualung

    Play Episode Listen Later Dec 3, 2024 33:45


    In this episode, while Tony is playing golf, I am joined by guest co-host QAV club member Geoff Fleming. We discuss Geoff's investing journey, then get into Anthony Scaramucci's book on Bitcoin "investing", recent updates from EHL and FND, ASIC's warnings about cybersecurity threats to share holdings, the latest market news including gold stocks like WestGold (WGX) and Resolute Mining (RSG), and a deep dive on Auswide Bank (ABA), including its recent acquisition, merger talks with MyState, and financial challenges. After hours chat includes Babylon, The Old Man, pumpkin pie, Pink Floyd / Roger Waters concerts, Jethro Tull lyrics, Bauhaus movement, Cobra Kai and The Life of Apollonius of Tyana by Philostratus.

    QAV 748 – The Trump Slump

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 26, 2024 35:39


    In this episode, we discuss the impact of Trump's tariffs and sanctions on markets, the consolidation of Boom Logistics, Resolute Mining Update, listener feedback about lithium investments and accruals, the Mooch on bitcoin and his Trump decoder ring, a pork on Woodside Petroleum (WDS), Nick Scali's Logistics Challenges, the latest on the super tax proposal, EV vehicle sales in Australia, and a second pork on U.S. company Pool Corporation (POOL), a recent Berkshire Hathaway investment. After Hours includes Tony's recent experiences with Rockwiz, Stephen Fry, and a golf win, while Cameron talks about the 1963 Italian horror film BLACK SABBATH and a new documentary about Elvis' 68 Comeback Special.

    QAV 747 – Zombies, Accruals and Fascists

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 20, 2024 34:49


    In a jam-packed two-hour long episode 747, we're talking about everything from the RSG kidnapping to accruals in the QAV checklist, the performance of ASG, why Cam didn't buy SWM when he read Kerry Stokes' AGM speech, Zombie companies on the ASX, the NAB being sued by ASIC, the retirement of Joyce Corporation's CEO, GrainCorp profits, Brokers hype, Findi's Indian ATM / IPO play, before wrapping up with after-hours chatter about horses, boxing, movies, fascism, and 20 years of podcasting.

    QAV 746 – King Trump

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 13, 2024 34:53


    In this mammoth two-and-a-half-hour marathon episode #746, we covered an extensive range of topics, from Trump's 2024 election victory and its implications, to detailed analysis of multiple companies and market sectors. Elon Musk's new role as Minister for Government Efficiency (DOGE), portfolio performance updates showing significant outperformance of benchmarks, and several mining company developments including Resolute Mining's Mali crisis, Liontown Resources' lithium struggles, the delisting of Namoi Cotton and the challenges of tracking corporate actions in Light portfolios, and iron ore market challenges. Cam does a pulled pork on US shipping company TeeKay Corporation's history and operations, and Tony does a pulled pork on Qantas Airways' business model and fleet concerns. The After Hours section also included discussions about horseracing updates, entertainment recommendations including David Tennant shows, and concluded with an extensive debate about Trump's potential impact on democracy and different perspectives on fascism in America.

    QAV 745 – Sandbagging

    Play Episode Listen Later Nov 5, 2024 31:33


    We discuss the RBA's Cup Day meeting, TK does a 'Pulled Pork' on CCP's recent performance, and quotes from 'What Works on Wall Street' by O'Shaughnessy, exploring key accounting ratios and shareholder yield. After hours is about cycling safety, Coppola's "DEMENTIA 13", scotch eggs, and managing celebrities.

    QAV 744 – The Woozle Effect

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2024 33:34


    We're talking about the impact of Solly Lew's strategic moves on Myer, before discussing Mosaic Brands' recent troubles, portfolio reports, and Tony provides a comprehensive 'Pulled Pork' segment on AMP. Cam discusses the Woozle Effect in investing and provides pulled pork on one of the stocks in our U.S. portfolio, Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior (BLX). After Hours includes updates on horse racing, a recommendation of the TV show 'Bad Monkey', and reviews of Fritz Lang's film 'M' and Kubrick's "Full Metal Jacket".

    QAV 743 – The Throat Punch

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 23, 2024 31:38


    In this episode, Tony and Cam talk about market predictions, and recent impressive gains in WGX, FND and WLFC. In the pulled pork, Tony analyses Redox (RDX), and then answers questions about portfolio strategies and buyback versus dividend yields. The episode also features insights from O'Shaughnessy's 'What Works on Wall Street', and After Hours has personal anecdotes about Cameron's Kung Fu grading, Tony's horse racing, reviews of classic films and literary works like 'Pimp: The Story of My Life' by Iceberg Slim.

    QAV 742 – Flame Trees

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2024 27:35


    This episode - an analysis of Pepper Money Limited (PPM), Emeco Holdings (EHL), Macmillan Shakespeare (MMS), and GTN. We discuss share buybacks, the impact of private equity ownership, the importance of dividend changes as buy/sell signals, the use of three-point trendlines in stock analysis, and the performance of the US dummy portfolio. We delve into O'Shaughnessy's research on dividends from "What Works on Wall Street", Lefevre's warning about listening to brokers, and explore strategies for stocks under takeover offers. In After Hours - Dennis Hopper, Rick Rubin, Slow Horses and Kung Fu.

    QAV 741 – Boringly Happy

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2024 28:50


    In episode 741 of QAV, Tony and Cam discuss fear and greed with quotes from "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator", analyse West African Resources' (WAF) market situation due to Burkina Faso's political climate, Bank of Queensland's (BOQ) franchise strategies, Tony's attempts to get ChatGPT to help with the Kelly Criterion, answer a question about US Dummy Portfolio Strategy, and discuss insights on price-to-cash flow ratios from 'What Works on Wall Street' by O'Shaughnessy. The 'Pulled Pork' section features an in-depth look at Adairs (ADH) and its new strategic direction. And, of course, After Hours.

    QAV 740 – Release the Sausages!

    Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2024 33:31


    In this episode, we do a deep dive into 'Reminiscences of a Stock Operator' by Edwin Lefèvre, detailing Jesse Livermore's life and lessons. We give AU and U.S. portfolio updates, some discussion about interest rates and the housing market, say goodbye to VUK, keep an eye on the iron ore price, reveal TK's recent mistakes, and talk through a quote from 'What Works on Wall Street' by O'Shaughnessy. The 'Pulled Pork' segment looks at one of our U.S. investments, American retailer Lands' End (LE), its history and recent quarterly results.

    QAV 739 – The Buffett Measure

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 25, 2024 34:39


    In this episode of the QAV 739 Club, CR and TK review their portfolio performance, do a pulled pork on Qantas, discuss the impact of the RBA's interest rate decision, and the effectiveness of insider trading signals and the impact of Dividend Strategies in Australia.

    QAV 738 – Pigs Get Slaughtered

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 17, 2024 37:10


    In this episode of QAV, we discuss the ASX's record high, our portfolio returns, Earnings Surprises, Vysarn (VYS) raising capital, and analyse the GenusPlus Group (GNP). We look at news stories about builders going bankrupt, lessons from the dot-com crash and share a couple of WWOWS quotes.

    QAV 737 – FEAR & GREED

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2024 37:42


    In this episode, Tony and Cam discuss recent commodity declines and a gold price surge and what it all means, as well as recent Brettalator issues and portfolio updates. Tony reads from 'What Works on Wall Street' talking about how value investing sustains through market bubbles. The 'Pulled Pork' segment features Cash Converters, analysing its business model, regulatory impact and growth potential. a big punt In After Hours, they also discuss low-budget films, William Shatner's intense role in 'The Intruder,' and Nick Cave's new album 'Wild God.' The conversation shifts to Allan Lichtman's election predictions, Lachlan Murdoch, and a Brett Whiteley art exhibition.

    QAV 736 – RECENCY BIAS

    Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2024 33:17


    In this episode of the QAV value investing podcast, Tony and Cam review the impressive US portfolio performance with a rise of 44%, compared to the S&P's 27%, and compare with the Australian portfolios. They discuss the recent performance of big caps versus small caps, MMS setbacks. Behavioral economics insights from ‘What Works on Wall Street' by Shaughnessy are explored, focusing on recency bias and overconfidence. They cover Resimac (RMC) CEO's sudden resignation, financial implications for Australian Clinical Labs (ACL), Stock Doctor data integrity issues with SCL, and delve into Judo Holdings' (JDO) market position in the ‘Pulled Pork' segment. Listener questions about SMSF strategies are addressed. The episode closes with After Hours, emotional updates on Tony's horse racing ventures, tales of Cape Schanck, Dave Grohl's autobiography, The Room, Brahms Intermezzi, and the joys of old Jackie Chan and Donnie Yen films.

    QAV 735 – F SCORES

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2024 33:34


    QAV 734 – Stockopedia Webinar

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2024 60:53


    In this episode of QAV, Elio D'Amato from Stockopedia interviews Tony Kynaston. The discussion covers Tony's investing principles, his journey from corporate management to investing, Tony's philosophy of having a disciplined investment system, and key strategies he employs in his Quality at Value (QAV) investing approach. They touch on the importance of cash flow over earnings, trend lines for timing buys and sells, and the use of a checklist for evaluating stocks. The webinar also highlights how Tony manages his portfolio and some of his stock picks like Boom Logistics, Macmillan Shakespeare, and AGL. There's also a dive into the dynamics of market sentiment, psychology of investing, and how to maintain discipline amidst macroeconomic noise.

    QAV 733 – Recovering

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2024 86:48


    In this episode Tony and Cam discuss the recent global market crash, its causes, and how value investors can navigate the turmoil.

    QAV 732 – Water Off A Duck’s Back

    Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2024 36:26


    In this episode Tony and Cam discuss the recent global market crash, its causes, and how value investors can navigate the turmoil.

    QAV 731 – Getting High with VIT

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2024 24:41


    QAV 730 – Consistency Is The Key

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 24, 2024 35:51


    In this episode of the QAV podcast, we look at recent news involving SGI, ATP, FGM, CVL, AX1 and a deep dive into ABB's recent share price drop and business fundamentals. We discuss listener Conrad's successful modification of the QAV investment system, which led to a 31.4% return in the last year and review some advice from O'Shaughnessy's 'What Works on Wall Street' regarding consistency in investing. The after-hours segment includes discussions on examples of outstanding customer service, the benefits of rural call centers, and U.S. politics. We also chat about Tony's recent golf win, film reviews of 'Stingray' (1976) and 'The Assassination Bureau' (1969), and recommend the music of The Jim Carroll Band and Grace Cummins and the Doctor Who site, stitchesintime.

    QAV 729 – The Trump Bump

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2024 42:28


    In this episode of the QAV podcast, hosts Tony Kynaston and Cameron Reilly are discussing a record-high in the All Ordinaries index spurred by the 'Trump bump', Aussie Broadband's sudden dive (ABB), portfolio results, more FY survey results, MLX's bump, the Shipping Crisis, thoughts about integrating "Buyback Yield" into the checklist, and Tony breaks down the history and market stance of Elders Limited (ELD) in a detailed 'pulled pork' segment. They also explore the Apple Vision Pro's new features and its future alongside immersive tech like Oculus Rift, then shift to the political scene with discussions on Trump's influence on global conflicts. The conversations touch on AI, Elon Musk's ventures like Neuralink and SpaceX, horse racing updates, book recommendations, and reviews of 'Better Call Saul' and Tom Cruise films.

    QAV 728 – Fixing The U.S. Checklist

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 10, 2024 30:47


    In this episode of the QAV podcast, Tony Kynaston and Cameron Reilly discuss the necessary improvements and changes to their US portfolio, including updates to their buying checklist and new financial metrics. Tony does a pulled pork on the U.S. company Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC). In Australian news, they delve into market news affecting coal and iron ore prices and cover some more member survey results ad TK updates us on his Rich List Portfolio . IN after hours, they talk about Tasmania's MONA art gallery and reflect on AI's future, drawing from insights by Elon Musk and Bill Gates, indoor golf simulators compared to real-life golfing, and their upcoming demo of the Apple Vision Pro, speculating on technology's impact on real-life experiences.

    QAV 727 – Great FY Results

    Play Episode Listen Later Jul 2, 2024 47:37


    In this episode of the QAV podcast, hosts Tony Kynaston and Cameron Reilly cover a range of topics at the start of the new financial year. They begin the resilience in financial and property markets amid global interest rate hikes, and how the gig economy affects unemployment rates. They also touch on the history and impact of quantitative easing, review their own and member financial year results, and analyze market news related to companies like Myer and Fortescue Metals Group. Tony provides an in-depth look at Auric Mining Ltd (AWJ) in his 'pulled pork' segment. Tony answers questions about tax rates and performance-based share issuance, then in After Hours they get into movie reviews of 'Furiosa' and 'Marie Antoinette.' They also explore AI's potential future impacts on job markets and technological advancements, referencing Ray Kurzweil's predictions.

    QAV 726 – Negative Waves

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2024 83:39


    In episode 726 of QAV, Tony and Cameron pay tribute to the late Donald Sutherland, then shift to discussing fluctuations in the crude oil market, a deep dive into Ben Graham's investment principles and their relevance today, alongside a detailed analysis of TabCorp Holdings, the market's over-reaction to HLI news, and FND breaking the curse of the pulled pork.

    QAV 725 – Mr Lazy & Mr Dumb

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 18, 2024


    In this episode of QAV, Cameron and Tony dive into recent market activities, the RBA's decisions, the Lindy Effect, substantial shareholder announcements, and GrainCorp's prospects, along with a detailed analysis of Embark Early Education (EVO). Member questions about living off a share portfolio during down years and the differences between value and quality investing are addressed. Additionally, Tony clarifies the calculation of shares on issue for Rio Tinto, emphasizing global figures for earnings per share. In after hours, the duo also covers Mario Puzo's 'The Godfather', Alphonse Mucha, and the Archibald Prize, and discuss the potential and risks of AI, drawing references from science fiction. They wrap up with thoughts on films and books, including 'Klara and the Sun'.

    QAV 724 – Our First U.S. Episode

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2024


    In this episode of QAV, Cam and Tony explore the U.S. market for the first time, with a brief introduction of Tony and his QAV system of value investing, a discussion of value v growth investing, a discussion of the performance of our U.S. dummy portfolio, a deep dive or 'Pulled Pork' segment on Reinsurance Group of America (RGA), and a review of the FY survey results we've received so far from club members.

    fy pulled pork reinsurance group qav

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