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The Black Swan follows a repentant master criminal as she sets up corrupt clients in front of hidden cameras. But is she really reformed – and is the director up to his own tricks? By Samanth Subramanian. Read by David Bateson. Help support our independent journalism at theguardian.com/longreadpod
SOURCES: 'Black Swan' Ashley Benefield sentenced for killing her estranged husband | FOX 13 Tampa Bay'Natalie Cochran is the Face of Evil': Victim Impact StatementsThe Case of the Black Swan (Part 2) | Full Episode - 911 call https://www.vanityfair.com/style/2021/09/when-doug-and-ashley-benefield-started-a-ballet-company-it-wasnt-supposed-to-end-in-death?srsltid=AfmBOoqo4GReC-Hdw4l6knCDhmeby2j3USf_hCIA_gf9cvykxa1_CT0bAshley Byers, swimsuit model, on Trump payroll as Florida office manager: Report - Washington TimesChristina Alessia Female Model Profile - Sarasota, Florida, US - 15 PhotosGeneral 1 — We Stand With AshleyThe Case of the Black Swan (Part 2) | Full EpisodeRed Flags: Don't Ignore These Warning Signs at Your Company
Stassi is back with an episode meant to inspire you, packed with the ultimate beauty list of things she swears by. After getting flooded with DMs about her skin, makeup, hair, and style—she's finally revealing everything. From her seasonal Botox routine to the exfoliant that replaced retinol, her go-to lip liners, bronzers, moisturizers, tubing mascaras, perfume, and the EMS workout that changed her body in just 20 minutes. Literally everything!She also dives into her obsession with finance influencer Becca Bloom and what it means to live “long-term greedy,” shares a Black Swan-era internship story that might've launched Natalie Portman's movie poster moment, and why she builds every outfit around the perfect pair of shoes. This episode is your one-stop guide to all of Stassi's beauty must-haves.Shop all of Stassi's Faves on ShopMy: https://shopmy.us/stassiThank you for supporting our sponsors!Caraway: Visit Carawayhome.com/STASSI10 or use code STASSI10 at checkout to take an additional 10% off your next purchase.Hiya: Go to hiyahealth.com/STASSI to get 50% off your first orderNutrafol: Get $10 off your first month's subscription and free shipping when you go to Nutrafol.com and enter promo code STASSIQuince: Go to Quince.com/stassi for 365-day returns, plus free shipping on your order.Thrive Market: Visit thrivemarket.com/stassi to get 30% off your first order, plus a FREE $60 gift!Progressive: Visit Progressive.com to see if you could save on car insuranceSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
" I think the narrative structure of those story ballets, which were some of the biggest stories of my childhood. I grew up watching Swan Lake. Giselle, La Bayadère, these were stories that were as present to me as anything that I read. Those story ballets are often split in two parts in a way. You have the White Swan and the Black Swan. In Giselle, you have the young girl and then you have the shade, the kind of ghost who comes to haunt her, her lover. Very similar in La Bayadère. And the structure of this novel is in two parts and it's two versions, in a way, of the same character. And now that you said it, I wonder if in some way, without realizing it, that narrative structure had really seeped into my brain."Katie Kitamura is the author five novels, most recently Audition and Intimacies, which was named one of the New York Times 10 Best Books of 2021, longlisted for the National Book Award and the PEN/Faulkner Award, and a finalist for a Joyce Carol Oates Prize. She is a recipient of the Rome Prize in Literature, fellowships from the Cullman Center and the Lannan Foundation, and many other honors. Her work has been translated into twenty-one languages. She teaches in the creative writing program at New York University.Episode Websitewww.creativeprocess.info/podInstagram:@creativeprocesspodcast
I felt it...perfect...it was perfect. Join Reneé, John Paul, and Travis as they discuss Darren Aronofsky's 2010 psychological horror film "Black Swan." Please consider supporting the show on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/thepodmortem Pod Mortem / Stairhole Productions Merch: https://www.teepublic.com/user/thepodmortem Pod Mortem would like to thank Original CINematic for sponsoring this week's episode! https://www.ogcinpro.com/ Feel free to contact: William Rush: wrush@ogcinpro.com Xxena Rush: xrush@ogcinpro.com Where to listen to the podcast and follow us on social media: https://allmylinks.com/thepodmortem Follow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thepodmortem https://www.instagram.com/travismwh https://www.instagram.com/bloodandsmoke https://www.instagram.com/juggalodaddy84 Follow us on Twitter: https://twitter.com/thepodmortem https://twitter.com/bloodandsmoke https://twitter.com/realstreeter84 https://twitter.com/travismwh What would you rate Black Swan and what should we watch next? Email us at thepodmortem@gmail.com "Pod Mortem Theme" written and performed by Travis Hunter-Sayapin. https://youtube.com/travismwh
สรุปวิกฤติ ภาษีทรัมป์ โลกกำลังเข้าสู่ Great Depression /โดย ลงทุนแมน สรุปวิกฤติภาษีทรัมป์ ที่อาจกำลังพาโลกพบความโกลาหลที่สุดในรอบเกือบ 100 ปี ? หลังจากดอนัลด์ ทรัมป์ได้ประกาศ Reciprocal Tariff Act เพื่อกำหนดภาษีนำเข้า ทำให้แต่ละประเทศทั่วโลก ปั่นป่วนอย่างหนักไปตาม ๆ กัน แต่ว่านี่ไม่ใช่ครั้งแรกที่ประธานาธิบดีสหรัฐฯ ประกาศทำสงครามการค้ากับประเทศต่าง ๆ และครั้งนั้นตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ ลดลงมากถึง 89% ภายใน 3 ปี และกว่าที่ดัชนีตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ จะกลับมาระดับเดิมได้ ก็ต้องใช้เวลานานถึง 25 ปี วิกฤติเศรษฐกิจตกต่ำครั้งประวัติศาสตร์นั้น เกิดขึ้นเมื่อ 95 ปีที่แล้ว โดยรู้จักกันในชื่อ "Great Depression" คำถาม คือ มันจะเกิดขึ้นกับโลกเราอีกครั้ง ในยุคของทรัมป์หรือไม่ ? จนถึงตอนนี้เราคนไทย ต้องรู้อะไรบ้าง ? โลกกำลังเข้าสู่เหตุการณ์ Black Swan ครั้งใหม่ ที่ไม่เคยเกิดมาก่อนในรอบ 95 ปี หรือไม่ ระเบียบการค้าเสรีของโลกที่เป็นมาเกือบร้อยปี จะเปลี่ยนไปอย่างไร ลงทุนแมนจะเล่าให้ฟัง
Verhandle wie ein Profi: Weg vom Gewinnen - hin zur kreativen Problemlösung! Creating value oder enlarge the pie – also den Mehrwert schaffen und den Kuchen vergrössern, sind Begrifflichkeiten, die ein der Verhandlungslehre essentiell sind. Creating Value - Mehrwert schaffen. Das wird dir recht häufig im Verhandlungskontext begegnen. Ei-gentlich klingt das ja ganz easy UND das kann es auch tatsächlich sein. Wenn Du weisst, wie. In der Regel dauert es ein wenig, bis Du in einer Verhandlung am Tisch überhaupt damit beginnen kannst. Um dieses Thema geht's in dieser Episode – des PRM Podcast Besser verhandeln. Creating value oder enlarge the pie – also den Mehrwert schaffen und den Kuchen vergrössern, sind Begrifflichkeiten, die ein der Verhandlungslehre essentiell sind. Wenn Du jetzt einen, naja, nennen wir ihn mal „Innovationsallergiker“ der in einem Meeting nach seiner Meinung gefragt wird und nach einem Moment der Stille einfach nur „Kuchen“ sagt, vor Augen hast, dann hast Du A - im Jahr 2011 zu viel Fernsehen – wobei sorry, ANALOGES Fernsehen für die jüngeren unter euch - geschaut und b) die gleichen komischen Gedankengänge wie ich in dieser Situation. Sorry, ich schweife ab – denn ich möchte ich hier jedoch nicht intensiver über die Auswirkungen effekti-ver Werbung mit dir sprechen, sondern eher über den Kuchen, der im Verhandlungskontext in aller Munde ist. Dieser besagte Kuchen steht für den ursprünglichen Verhandlungsgegenstand – also das, worum es in deiner Verhandlung geht. Nun wissen wir ja spätestens seit wir das Buch „The mind and heart of the negotiator“ von Leigh Thompson gelesen - ODER HIER zumindest die Buchbesprechung gehört haben, dass Verhandlungen nur in den aller wenigsten Fällen „fixed pies“ als einen starren Verhandlungsge-genstand beinhalten, sondern dieser Gegenstand durchaus variabel ist. Eine Verhandlung zwischen einer Event-Agentur, mit der ich zusammenarbeite, und einem Caterer, der für ein GrossEvent beauftragt wurde, gestaltete sich wie folgt: Claudia (so nennen wir sie hier jetzt mal) ist die Projektleiterin für dieses Event. Da ihr Kollege kurzfristig krankheitsbedingt ausgefallen ist, übernimmt sie den Termin mit dem Caterer. Die Verhandlung an sich verläuft gut – (natürlich
Today we have a two doc couple on the podcast who are back to broke. This couple lives in NYC, has two young children and had nearly $1 million in student loans at the end of training. They have worked hard to get on the same page, save and build wealth, and still have fun living their lives in the process. They talked about the need to know what you care about and what you don't. They care more about travel than a fancy expensive apartment. Knowing what you value is critical. After the interview we are talking about mortgages for Finance 101. Today's sponsor, Black Swan Real Estate, offers accredited investors access to private multifamily real estate investments with an investor-first model. Unlike most firms, Black Swan collects no GP-level fees and takes no profit until investors receive a full return of capital. Their physician-led team brings a hands-on approach to managing their $375M portfolio, ensuring every asset is optimized for cash flow, appreciation, and tax advantages. With a track record of meeting and exceeding return targets, Black Swan Real Estate provides stability and growth for long-term wealth building. Discover more at https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/blackswan The White Coat Investor has been helping doctors with their money since 2011. Our free financial planning resource covers a variety of topics from doctor mortgage loans and refinancing medical school loans to physician disability insurance and malpractice insurance. Learn about loan refinancing or consolidation, explore new investment strategies, and discover loan programs specifically aimed at helping doctors. If you're a high-income professional and ready to get a "fair shake" on Wall Street, The White Coat Investor channel is for you! Be a Guest on The Milestones to Millionaire Podcast: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/milestones Main Website: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com Student Loan Advice: https://studentloanadvice.com YouTube: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/youtube Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thewhitecoatinvestor Twitter: https://twitter.com/WCInvestor Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thewhitecoatinvestor Subreddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/whitecoatinvestor Online Courses: https://whitecoatinvestor.teachable.com Newsletter: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/free-monthly-newsletter
ตลาดหุ้นไทย กับ BLACK SWAN แผ่นดินไหว หนักสุดใน 100 ปี | ลงทุนแมนจะเล่าให้ฟัง ประเทศไทย เคยได้รับผลกระทบกับแผ่นดินไหวจากรอยเลื่อนสะกายมาแล้ว ขนาด 7.3 ในปี 2473 หรือ 95 ปีที่แล้ว เหตุการณ์แผ่นดินไหวเมื่อวันที่ 28 มี.ค. 2568 ขนาด 7.7 เป็นเหตุการณ์ไม่คาดฝัน หรือเรียกได้ว่า BLACK SWAN ถ้าย้อนกลับไปเหตุการณ์ภัยพิบัติที่รุนแรง ปี 2547 สึนามิที่ภาคใต้ของประเทศไทย ปี 2554 น้ำท่วมครั้งใหญ่ ปี 2568 แผ่นดินไหวครั้งใหญ่ในครั้งนี้ คำถามของคนที่อยู่ในวงการตลาดทุนที่สงสัยในตอนนี้ก็คงจะเป็น อะไรจะเกิดขึ้นต่อไปกับเศรษฐกิจ ? แล้วเราควรต้องรับมืออย่างไร ? ซึ่งมันอาจเกิดความ Panic ทั้งเศรษฐกิจจริงและตลาดหุ้นมากน้อยแตกต่างกันไป แต่ท้ายที่สุด ทุกเหตุการณ์จะจบลงด้วยการแก้ไข การปรับตัว และทิ้งบทเรียน ทิ้งกรณีศึกษาบางอย่างเอาไว้.. แล้วเรื่องนี้เราน่าจะควรรู้อะไรบ้าง ? ลงทุนแมนจะเล่าให้ฟัง
BIG Marvel movie/TV NEWS!! Intro 03:00 Full list of actor/actress names confirmed for Avengers Doomsday (and/or Secret Wars?) 08:00 McAvoy/Fassbender vs Stewart/Mckellen which Professor X/Magneto cast would you rather see? 10:20 Will Doomsday end like Secret Wars Issue 1 ended? What role will Loki play? 13:15 Dr Doom & Molecule Man (Hickman comics) OR Scarlett Witch (MCU)? 16:50 Namor vs Black Panther & 616 Illuminati 21:00 How will Spiderman fit in? Will Photon recruit the X Men? Fantastic Four movie ends with incursion - leading them to 616? 25:20 Diving into Dr Doom (Rabum Alal?), incursions, and Sue Storm 30:00 Side characters: Skrulls, Black Swans, Doom's Thor force, Ultron, etc 35:05 Will Reed Richards build the Bridge or Life Raft? Top 3 MCU movies since Endgame? 42:11 The Sentry (Thunderbolts) in Avengers Doomsday & what major characters could appear in a series or movie BEFORE doomsday? Shang Chi? White Vision? 45:15 Brief SPOILER talk Daredevil Born Again Episode 5 Follow us on social media: Twitter/Instagram/TikTok: @whysosidiouspod YouTube: www.youtube.com/@whysosidiouspod?app=desktop Email us questions/requests: whysosidious@yahoo.com Subscribe, Rate, and Review! Send us your questions/comments!Support the show
A continued discussion of the NATO debacle. It is time for America to completely reassess alliances and partnership around the world starting with NATO and then working its way down the list of useless and toxic relationships and promises to commit American blood and treasure to flashpoints planet-wide. The sheer insanity of EU/SSR behavior and the total inadequacy of NATO as a military organization across the entire martial spectrum. NATO insisted after the wall 1989-91 fell that the NATO blob would NOT expand eastward. It did. America should take a non-interventionist pause and get its internal house in order before standing astride the world again and lighting fires that never go away and continuously make things worse. Stop the madness. References: Winning The Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air And Missile Defenses The Russian Reconnaissance Fire Complex Comes of Age Nyet Means Nyet (William Burns 2008) Pat Buchanan Where Does NATO Enlargement End? DoS Cable: NATO ENLARGEMENT: RUSSIAN ASSERTIONS REGARDING THE TWO-PLUS-FOUR AGREEMENT ON GERMAN UNIFICATION Navy Matters Get the US Out of NATO Books: Edward Bernays Propaganda Sevim Dagdelen NATO: A Reckoning with the Atlantic Alliance Matt Kennard The Racket: A Rogue Reporter vs The American Empire Daniel Ellsberg The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner Scott Horton Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine Nassim Taleb Incerto: Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game Mark Gunzinger & Bryan Clark Winning the Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air and Missile Defense Christian Brose The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare My Substack Email at cgpodcast@pm.me
Become a Client: https://nomadcapitalist.com/apply/ Get our free Weekly Rundown newsletter and be the first to hear about breaking news and offers:https://nomadcapitalist.com/email Join us for the next Nomad Capitalist Live event: https://nomadcapitalist.com/live/ What happens when the next global crisis hits — and your government locks you down again? In this episode, Mr Henderson reflects on how the world changed after COVID-19 and why most people are still unprepared for the next Black Swan event. Whether it's another pandemic, a geopolitical crisis, or something entirely unexpected, the message is clear: you need a Plan B to protect your personal freedom. Mr Henderson shares his experiences of travelling during lockdowns to strategies for securing second citizenships and residence permits so you can be prepared and protected for what comes next. Nomad Capitalist helps clients "go where you're treated best." We are the world's most sought-after firm for offshore tax planning, dual citizenship, international diversification, and asset protection. We use legal and ethical strategies and work exclusively with seven- and eight-figure entrepreneurs and investors. We create and execute holistic, multi-jurisdictional Plans that help clients keep more of their wealth, increase their personal freedom, and protect their families and wealth against threats in their home country. No other firm offers clients access to more potential options to relocate to, bank in, or become a citizen of. Because we do not focus only on one or a handful of countries, we can offer unbiased advice where others can't. Become Our Client: https://nomadcapitalist.com/apply/ Our Website: http://www.nomadcapitalist.com/ About Our Company: https://nomadcapitalist.com/about/ Buy Mr. Henderson's Book: https://nomadcapitalist.com/book/ DISCLAIMER: The information in this episode should not be considered tax, financial, investment, or any kind of professional advice. Only a professional diagnosis of your specific situation can determine which strategies are appropriate for your needs. Nomad Capitalist can and does not provide advice unless/until engaged by you.
Guest: Simeon Hein Date 3-20 - 5-7 EST live TOPIC: Black Swan Ghosts: A New Understanding of UFOs, Ghosts & Unexplained Events Dr. Hein taught statistics to university undergrads and has a Ph.D. in sociology, emphasizing how humans interact with technology. He has written several books and was recently featured on the History Channel Show “In Search Of” In 1996, he started his own research and teaching company, the Mount Baldy Institute, to allow people to learn resonant viewing, a type of intuitive training that taps into our creative unconscious intelligence. Dr. Hein also studies and lectures on crop circles and takes people on crop circle tours. And he also plays guitar and writes music. Dr. Simeon Hein received a Ph.D. in sociology from Washington State University, emphasizing research methods and statistics, in 1992. He is the director of a research and teaching company, the Mount Baldy Institute in Boulder, Colorado, founded in 1997 to allow people to learn Remote Viewing: intuition training that taps into our creative unconscious intelligence. He also studies crop circles and takes people on crop circle tours. You can watch his lectures about crop circles. In addition, he is an avid acoustic guitarist. You can listen to his music here. He is the author of many books, including Opening Minds: A Journey of Extraordinary Encounters, Crop Circles, and Resonance and, more recently, Planetary Intelligence: 101 Easy Steps to Energy, Well Being, and Natural Insight. His previous book is Black Swan Ghosts: A sociologist encounters witnesses to unexplained aerial craft, occupants, and other elements of the multiverse. His most recent book is Dark Matter Monsters: Cryptids, Ball Lightning, and the Science of Secret Lifeforms. You can find Simeon on YouTube and Twitter. Dr. Simeon Hein's blog with the latest updates is at NewCrystalMind.com.
Register here for the live online event to learn about ‘Cleveland's Amazing Cash Flow Opportunities' on Thursday 3/20. Keith discusses the potential elimination of property tax, highlighting its impact on home affordability, rent stability, population influx, and retiree financial relief. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis supports a constitutional amendment requiring 60% voter approval to abolish property tax. Hear about the broader economic implications, including the potential for increased sales tax and widened wealth inequality. GRE Coach, Naresh, analyzes the impact of federal layoffs on the DC housing market, predicting a decline in home values and increased private sector job opportunities. Both emphasize the importance of the BRRRR strategy for real estate investors. Show Notes: GetRichEducation.com/545 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching:GREmarketplace.com/Coach Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. You get paid first: Text FAMILY to 66866 Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search “how to leave an Apple Podcasts review” For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— text ‘GRE' to 66866 Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript: Automatically Transcribed With Otter.ai Keith Weinhold 0:01 Welcome to GRE. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, there's a proposal to eliminate the property tax. Is a Washington DC real estate crash upon us, then a terrific guest and I are talking about the future of interest rates in inflation. And finally, an event you won't want to miss all today on get rich education. Speaker 1 0:23 Since 2014 the powerful get rich education podcast has created more passive income for people than nearly any other show in the world. This show teaches you how to earn strong returns from passive real estate investing in the best markets without losing your time being a flipper or landlord. Show Host Keith Weinhold writes for both Forbes and Rich Dad advisors and delivers a new show every week since 2014 there's been millions of listener downloads of 188 world nations. He has a list show guests and key top selling personal finance author Robert Kiyosaki, get rich education can be heard on every podcast platform, plus it has its own dedicated Apple and Android listener phone apps build wealth on the go with get rich education podcast, sign up now for the get rich education podcast, or visit get rich education.com Corey Coates 1:09 You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is get rich education. You Keith, Keith Weinhold 1:25 welcome to GRE from Fort Carson, Colorado to Carson City, Nevada and across 188 nations worldwide. I'm Keith Weinhold, and you are in for another wealth building week at get rich education. I don't like to predict interest rates, because it's really hard to do. But it does get interesting today, because our guest says that he will with his tight read on the economy, this is a unique time, perhaps in my entire life, where we have more new policies shaping the economy and real estate. Then, anytime I can remember, policies are made by politicians, but we don't get into the politics here, rather the policies and how it affects you and her. Any of these policies spicier than this one from earlier this month. Be mindful that this voice is from a person that made his name as a real estate investor. Donald Trump 2:29 I also have a message tonight for the incredible people of Greenland. We strongly support your right to determine your own future, and if you choose, we welcome you into the United States of America. We need Greenland for national security and even international security, and we're working with everybody involved to try and get it. But we need it really for international world security. And I think we're going to get it one way or the other. We're going to get it. We will keep you safe. We will make you rich, and together, we will take Greenland to heights like you have never thought possible before. It's a very small population, but very, very large piece of land and very, very important. Keith Weinhold 3:17 Yes, the long time New York City Real Estate Investor there has gone well beyond Gotham now with plans to expand America's real estate empire, if you will. Is this imperialism or America First policy? Or is it abject comedy? I guess that it could be all three. I'll let you decide. Well, the federal policy shakeups like that, also what they seem to be doing are emboldening others, including at the state level, where Florida, interestingly, recently proposed eliminating the property tax, taking it to zero. What is property tax free? Real Estate coming to you as well. Let's look at the prospects for this and what the effects would be of eliminating the Property Tax with some things that you probably never thought about before, and yes, your mind might shoot ahead. You might anticipate saving 1000s in lost tax dollars every year, even saving over 10,000 bucks a year per single family home in high tax areas. And you know, property taxes, sharpest critics, they say you have got to get rid of this thing, because you basically just endlessly rent your house from the government, and the rent goes up every year, and so therefore it's like forever rent that you have to pay. What's even worse is that the. Amount of property tax you pay is based on your homes or your apartment buildings market value. Well, because the government prints so much money and creates inflation that pumps up all the housing values, many of which are fake, inflated gains, and then your property tax goes up based on this phantom gain. And we've really seen that over the last five years, both real gains and Phantom gains. And then, plus, of course, each full dollar that you earn from your work right now is already taxed, say, down to just 70 cents, is what you've got left over. Well, then your 70 cents is further whittled down by property tax and all the other taxes that you have to pay out of that currently, all 50 states have a property tax every one of them, and you might already know that property taxes, they're basically highest in really two main places. When we look at property tax as a percent of your income. Those places are Texas and the Northeast, where they're upwards of 4% even 5% in fact, it's more than 5% of your income every year that goes to property tax in the state of Maine, but it's 4% or more in a number of states. And of course, if you don't pay them every single year until you die, the government will repossess your home from you. And almost 5 million Americans lose their home every year, many of them to this tax foreclosure. And in the US, the property owner pays the property tax, of course, but effectively, renters do too, because as landlords, we pass it along to tenants. It's embedded in that market rent amount, all right. Well, can we end the property tax? Well, former presidential candidates like Ron Paul and Herman Cain have proposed it. They didn't get elected. Texas has discussed it a lot, but yeah, it's Florida that has newly and boldly proposed eliminating the property tax. And like falling dominoes, if this gets abolished in one state, it increases the chances that more will follow. And Florida is a big state, the third largest in population. Well, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis came out and said this, taxing land and property is the more oppressive and ineffective form of taxation. That's what he said. Now let me tell you why he says that before we look at the chances that property tax will be eliminated, DeSantis says it's oppressive, because look see, you can personally dodge your income tax by making your paycheck smaller, although that might not be desirable, you sure could, and you can certainly avoid sales tax by consuming less, but see there is no escape from property tax. That's the oppression that's being referred to here. Let me tell you where we're at with eliminating the property tax, and then what the absolutely Titanic impacts of this would be DeSantis goes on to say, property taxes are local, not state. So we'd need to do a constitutional amendment which requires 60% of voters to approve it, to eliminate them, which DeSantis supports, even to reform or lower them. Right? But he goes on to say this, and here we go. We should put the boldest amendment on the ballot that has a chance of getting that 60% that's the end of the quote. Okay, so that's what it's going to take to eliminate property tax in Florida, where, if it happens, it could be a model for other states to follow, like we're seeing a little bit with the zero income tax states. All right, here's what I think would happen if they were eliminated. First home affordability would massively improve, skyrocketing property values. So many more people could afford the lowered monthly payment without property tax making prices soar, especially the values of lower price to median priced homes. They could really bring those into the affordability range, and they are the exact ones that make the best rental properties. What about rents? If property taxes went to zero, rents would stay stable. Landlords would do little or nothing to drop them. That's just how it works when people are already used to paying a certain price. Also population influx to the affected area. I mean that population influx that already works for states in attracting residents. That have zero state income tax, it would with property tax too. I mean that would clearly be desirable for people to own property tax free homes, especially in the beginning, before this settles in and those home prices soar. Also, retiree financial relief would take place. Those people on fixed incomes would really be helped. But you know what would not happen with governments slashed property tax revenue. They couldn't reduce their spending proportionally. I have no faith that they could. They would have to get their income from elsewhere and see shifting away from property tax over to beefing up your sales tax, that would hurt poor people the most. For example, in Florida's case, it's been studied, and they discovered they would have to increase their sales tax from the current 6% up to 12% to maintain the same services. Can you imagine 12% sales tax, and another effect of abolished property tax is that wealth inequality would widen because the property owners are the ones that benefit the most. So those are the big effects. But look, there are more problems eliminating property tax, that means the areas would need to find another way to pay for schools and roads and parks and local services like police and emergency responders. Maybe some of that stuff could be privatized. But if the tax, if that were just shifted away from local government and that went toward state and federal government, well, then local control would be lost. So that is a really undesirable side effect. But as a real estate investor, come on. The prospect of an abolished property tax that has got to excite you. I wouldn't count on it happening anytime soon, but now you know more about the prospects for it happening and what the impact would be with an elimination of property tax. coming up soon. Here on the GRE podcast, what the Bible says about money when Pastor John joins us, it's going to be a show unlike any we've ever done before, and maybe will ever do again. You might not be a Christian or religious at all, but this is still relevant to you, because the Bible is the top selling book in the history of the world, and it has an indelible influence on the people around you. The book the Bible, says some things that make you wonder if wealth accumulation is even virtuous. We're gonna face those verses head on and get pastor John's insights there. That's a really anticipated show. I'm also gonna ask him what other religions have to say about money. Also some well known guests down the road here on the show, including the get rich education debut of Laurel Langemeier and more. LAUREL she was known as the millionaire maker since back in the days when a million dollars was actually a lot of money. To be sure that you don't miss these upcoming episodes on your pie catching device, hit the Follow button right now while it's on your mind and you'll be all set. Let's meet with this week's guest. This week's guest is a familiar one, because he's on Team GRE, yeah, it's an in house chat with our super helpful investment coach. What he does is he helps you devise your big picture real estate strategy all the way down to connecting you with the exact right property addresses. He does that free at GRE marketplace business speaker Jim Rohn said, formal education will make you a living. Self education will make you a fortune. He's got both with an MBA from Duke. Then he worked at both banks and financial publishing companies before landing here at GRE in 2021 but importantly, for years now, he's been an active real estate investor, just like you and I are. Hey, a big welcome back to the show. Naresh Vista, Naresh Vissa 14:13 hey, thanks for that wonderful, wow, amazing introduction, and thanks for having me back on. It's been a few months. Keith Weinhold 14:20 Yeah, we haven't heard from you since October here. So what's going on in the real estate and economics world? From your vantage point, everyone's got a different slant on it based on what they see. Naresh Vissa 14:32 There's a lot happening. As you know, Keith and our listeners, I'm not sure if they're following, but we're seeing tremendous, tremendous changes in the financial markets in general, and the financial markets include the real estate markets, and the impact is going to be widespread for better or for worse, I think, for better over the long haul. So what I'm talking about right now is, for example, interest rates, mortgage rates, home value. Use inflation, those are all very important parts of the economy. And we have this new government department called Doge, the Department of government efficiency. And Doge has gone in. And I loved your newsletter where you talked about Doge a little bit, and the walk that I took, as you called it, the awkward walk with a box full of your stuff or something like that. The sure, because I've been fired before. Yep, yep, it's happened to me once too. I took the awkward walk with the box of of random stuff. Yeah, lots and lots of of layoffs are happening within the government. The private sector continues to lay off people as well, like it usually does, and this is a big deal. The reason why it's a big deal is because aggregate demand. I don't want to say it will be killed, but we're already seeing an impact on home values in places that are very dependent on government workers, places like Washington, DC, Virginia, Maryland, there's actually a 10% year on year decline in home values in those areas. I don't know if you knew about that, Keith, but that's been the impact, and that's based off of the February statistics, the February numbers. So we've seen a decline, and that decline will likely spread to other areas that are dependent on federal workers, or where federal workers make up a good chunk of the local economy. I bring this up because we have providers in Maryland who we work with, who GRE has worked with for three or four years now, and they're seeing somewhat of a decline in the area as well. Because just you don't have to work in DC to be a federal worker. You can work in a major city like Baltimore or in a suburb in between Baltimore and BC. So we're seeing somewhat of a decline in our investors have all of a sudden gotten interested in investment property in the Maryland area because they knew, hey, we know GRE works in the Baltimore operates in the Baltimore area, and just want to scope out some homes. So previously, two years ago, three years ago, when list price was not negotiable. Now all of a sudden, the sellers are open to offers when there was no budging on offers three years ago. So I bring this up because the Department of government efficiency, I believe, to my knowledge, we're up to six figures. More than 100,000 workers have either been laid off or taken the buyout package, so we're somewhere in the six figures of people who got that now, they do have eight months severance. But with that being said, you would think that most humans, they'll immediately start looking for the next job. They're not gonna just enjoy for eight months and then scramble to find that next job. So this is having a widespread impact on housing, home values on it's going to have an impact on interest rates. We're seeing that interest rates are coming down, and if there's any sign, which I don't think there is, but if there's any sign of a recession, if there's any sign of bleeding, then the Fed is going to start cutting interest rates again. So I think we saw peak interest rates a few months ago, those interest rate values, those mortgage rates, aren't going to be going back up anytime soon. We know that almost it's almost a fact that we know that, because the Fed is not going to be raising rates, the most punishing thing they can do is just keep rates steady for a long period of time. But I didn't anticipate that later this year, they're going to start cutting again because of these widespread mass layoffs. Keith Weinhold 18:32 And of course, Washington, DC is essentially ground zero for these federal layoffs. Federal jobs account for about 25% of DC jobs. You the listener, probably find it to be no surprise that that is the highest in the nation. But of course, this can also affect private companies, those private companies that have federal government contracts as well, and Naresh, before we open it up to the nation, we just think about DC. Do we have any idea of what properties are going to be hurt the most? A lot of times you might think of that in the case of what is the income range of these federal employees that are being laid off now, a lot of them are probationary employees, meaning that they're in their first year of employment. Naresh Vissa 19:19 Well, it's a huge mix keep. That's a really good question, because I think a broker, like a real estate broker who's trying to sell will try to beef up the price and say, Oh, this doesn't affect us, and this only affects very high income folks. Well, that's the fact of the matter. Is there, if you work for the federal government, you're not necessarily ultra high income or ultra high net worth, you get the perks, and you get perks of working a government civil servant Job while taking somewhat of a lower pay. So it's actually a mix, because you have people in the first two years of employment. So the youngsters. Now, those aren't your homeowners, though, the 2223 24 those. Just say the people in their mid 20s, they're not the homeowners, they're the renters. So you can expect them to leave. They'll probably if they can't find a job, which it's going to be much harder to find a job in that DC area, they may move to Philadelphia or New York or California or wherever they can find a job. They'll just get up and move and move, and that's one of the benefits. I did that when I was in my early and mid 20s, many times where I just packed up and moved. I was more than happy to do it. So they're not your homeowners, but the homeowners are going to be the people who are getting laid off. So there are mass layoffs happening right now, and those people are homeowners, and then the people who are taking the buyout packages very likely, because they're either approaching or at retirement age, and it remains to be seen whether those people it's like a retirement gift, like, Hey, this is a great party. You know, getting eight months of free pay. Like, that's pretty amazing and happy retirement. Or maybe folks were like, they didn't say for retirement all that much, and they were planning to work another 10 years. Those are the people who could be sellers. Bottom line is, when you have this amount of mass layoffs, and we're seeing it in the data, there are more homes for sale today in that DMV area. I By the way, I used to live there. I used to live in in Maryland, great. More homes for sale today than I believe in the lab, definitely over the last five years. And it could be even over the last 15 years, to my knowledge. Keith Weinhold 21:29 And for those that don't know DMV, that means Delaware, Maryland, Virginia, that area, yep. So Naresh Vissa 21:34 there are more homes for sale, and the home values actually are now. This is a crazy thing. The home values in on average are back at 2020 levels. So basically, the peak of 2020, is what the home values are at today. And just my prediction. I don't think it takes a genius to predict this, but the layoffs are just getting started. They're just scratching the surface, and they're going to continue, because this Doge is a an 18 month program or an 18 month project. It's supposed to, it was called the Manhattan Project of our time. So they're just scratching the surface. And I'd expect home values in those areas to continue to fall. And you're gonna see it's not immediate. It's not like there are mass layoffs one day and then home values fall the next month. A lot of these effects, we won't start seeing them where the DC area won't start seeing them. 678, months down the road, Keith Weinhold 22:27 Doge is more than just a meme coin. Now our own in house investment coach, Naresh Vissa and I are talking about the state of real estate today. More we come back, including nuracious thoughts on the future direction of inflation. This is Get Rich Education. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold you know what's crazy? Your bank is getting rich off of you. The average savings account pays less than 1% it's like laughable. Meanwhile, if your money isn't making at least 4% you're losing to inflation. That's why I started putting my own money into the FFI liquidity fund. It's super simple. Your cash can pull in up to 8% returns, and it compounds. It's not some high risk gamble like digital or AI stock trading. It's pretty low risk because they've got a 10 plus year track record of paying investors on time in full every time. I mean, I wouldn't be talking about it if I wasn't invested myself. You can invest as little as 25k and you keep earning until you decide you want your money back, no weird lock ups or anything like that. So if you're like me and tired of your liquid funds just sitting there doing nothing. Check it out. Text family to 66866, to learn about freedom family investments, liquidity fund again. Text family to 6686 Hey, you can get your mortgage loans at the same place where I get mine, at Ridge lending group NMLS, 42056, they provided our listeners with more loans than any provider in the entire nation because they specialize in income properties. They help you build a long term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. You can start your pre qualification and chat with President Caeli Ridge personally. Start now while it's on your mind at Ridge lendinggroup.com that's Ridge lendinggroup.com Jim Rickards 24:34 this is author Jim Rickards. Listen to get rich education with Keith Weinhold, and don't quit your Daydream. Keith Weinhold 24:49 welcome back to get recidiation. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, it's an in house chat with our own GRE investment coach, Naresh Vissa. He's been talking about the fallout on DC area. Jobs with the regime shakeup that we had in the White House starting earlier this year. And Naresh, I know that you have some thoughts about what this can do to the future direction of inflation. Tell us about it. Naresh Vissa 25:12 Well, the first thing Keith is, if you look throughout history, or even your lifetime, what we saw from 2021 until today, really, because inflation is going up. I don't want to say it's going back up, but it is going up. We've seen an inflationary cycle that I've never seen in my lifetime. It's worse than any short term inflation cycle that this country has faced, at least in my lifetime. And I was born in the late 80s, let's just say 1990 and moving forward. So I bring that up because this is some pretty bad inflation that the world and that the United States has seen, and we don't need to get into all the details about how it happened or the mistakes that were made at the time when the Fed should have started raising rates, when the government should have stopped spending. That's all history. Moving forward, I'm actually very optimistic now that we've actually reached peak inflation. And when I say peak inflation, I mean during this micro cycle where inflation has gone back up from a 2.4% rate to a 3% rate. I think that's the highest we're going to get during this micro cycle. It did reach some I believe it was above 9% in 2022 yes, we're definitely not going to going to reach that. But 3% is still too high for the Federal Reserve. It's still too high for Americans. It's a major reason why Americans went to the voting boots and or the ballot boxes and made the decisions that they made because of inflation. It's the most important issue on most Americans minds. And I bring this up because I'm very optimistic that we've seen this 3% peak and that we're going to be going down moving forward because of the first half of this interview, the fact that all of a sudden, it is a sudden thing, because a lot of people weren't expecting this, I was, but a lot of people weren't expecting these mass government layoffs. And these mass government layoffs, they hit corporations. They hit private businesses. Anyone with a government contract is going to be hit anyone who was profiting off of waste, fraud, abuse, which you'll be surprised how many private and many times this is legal, like it's legal waste, it's legal abuse, and all of a sudden those checks are going to stop coming in, or the way of doing those business practices are going to stop because the government is clamping down on it. Why? Because it's taxpayer money, and taxpayers are upset. So the pullback or the elimination of waste, fraud, abuse, is definitely a good thing, but also the mass layoffs, we're going to see a decrease in aggregate demand. And when we see a decrease, I'll just say demand. I mean, that's more common, so we'll see a decline in demand. So when there's a decline in demand, what happens? Prices go down, and we're already seeing it. There's already proof of it. I already I brought up the housing market in the DMV area, and I can also tell you oil prices, for example, which is one of the main drivers of inflation, oil and gas energy prices one of the top three drivers, along with government spending. So you got mass layoffs, which will kill a lot of that aggregate demand, you have the oil, gas and energy, and then the reduction in government spending. So all that combined is going to lower inflation, going back to the energy prices, oil is down for really since the inauguration. That trend should continue, given the policy change, and that drives it drives inflation, it drives deflation, it drives pricing, because any good that you need, it's probably going to be transported with the use of energy the microphone you're using, Keith, how was it shipped? Maybe in a truck, and the truck is powered by fuel, or maybe something was sent in an airplane or in an actual ship. All that requires energy and fuel. So if you can lower energy costs, then we're going to see a continued decline in inflation, and energy costs continue to fall, continue to plummet. So I think this is good for inflation. Yes, it is. There is pain. We talked the first entire half of this episode on layoffs. Layoffs are they're painful. Taking that Walk of Shame is painful. There is going to be pain. But at the same time, remember, there are more than 10 million available private sector jobs, and we already have more than a million jobs that are opening up as a result of investment within the United States since January, 20 of this year. We have companies like Apple. We have Taiwan, semiconductor, Eli Lilly, the list goes on and on and on, of major corporations, big corporations, mid sized companies, who are opening up more operations within the United States. So the private sector jobs, which are really the innovative, long lasting jobs, they are growing there is just a tremendous. To opportunity, especially for young people. If I was young again, I wouldn't want to work for the government. I'd want to go work for one of these companies, where they're essentially going to be recruiting and begging youngsters to come work for them Keith Weinhold 30:12 to corroborate nourishes lower inflation expectations. Since the beginning of the year, we've had a fairly sharp decrease in bond yields now. GRE listeners know by now that mortgage rates somewhat move with Jerome Powell's federal funds rate, but they're more closely tied to bond yields, specifically the yield on the 10 year T note. Okay, so then what makes the 10 year go lower? Hence, mortgage rates along with them, that is lower inflation expectations in a slowing economy. And another reason that bond yields and hence mortgage rates with them, fall, is when people sell stocks and make a flight to safety into bonds, that pushes up bond prices and lowers bond yields. So again, those are two factors that move bond yields and, resultantly, mortgage rates. And that's what has been happening. Naresh Vissa 31:08 absolutely. And the important thing to remember something you touched on and what I talked about earlier, which is, yes, there is going to be a reduction in federal government and federal government jobs, and I think this is going to pass on to states as well. I think many states, in fact, I know that many states, even blue states, are taking a look at their books and saying, hey, you know what? We should be making cuts too. Because states, they operate on much tighter budgets, whereas the federal government, they basically have access to a printing press. State governments do not so the point that I'm making here is that, yes, it's painful. We're going through some pain right now. The DMV area is going through some pain. The stock market has gone through some pain. The Crypto markets have gone through some pain. Everyone's gone through some pain, but they say no pain, no gain, and the jobs are being transferred, as I brought up earlier, from the government sector to the private sector, and the private sector is where we can see tremendous, tremendous growth. Look at GRE for example, we're a private company, and we've seen tremendous growth, right? Tremendous growth in just innovation and and our services and our offerings. Now, imagine a bigger company that, and how much growth they can have. I think overall, I'm very optimistic and about inflation coming down, hitting that 2% target by the end of this year. In fact, I think it'll hit that 2% target a few months before the end of the year. And once we hit that target, then the Fed is going to start cutting rates again, and there's a chance that they may even start cutting rates before we hit that 2% target. I don't think they should. I thought they made a mistake doing that last year when they started cutting, when inflation hit 2.4% I think or two and a half percent, they started cutting again. I think the inflation rate has to hit actually 2% across the board, and then they can start with their gradual cutting. So if somebody asked today, hey, narration, which many do as, hey, how low do you think interest rates are going to go this year? My answer is not very low. This here, you'd have to have a cataclysmic Black Swan event, which it's called Black Swan because none of us can predict it, none of us can see it. So you'd have to have an event like that for the Fed to just basically slash rates overnight, which I don't see anytime soon. The other most popular question I've gotten this week is, are we going to go into a recession? You know, it seems like the world is falling apart and world war three and and stocks are tanking, and crypto is tanking, and this is tanking and that's tanking. This is when people told me a few weeks ago, actually. And my answer is, No, I don't think we're going to see a recession unless there's a black swan event. But I don't think so. And the reason is because of the tool that the Fed has. The Fed can cut, cut, cut. That's one of the Ben now, if we were at low interest rates, if we were at, let's say, historic low interest rates, and we were in this situation today, I would be very pessimistic and say it's not looking good. But any sign of a recession, the Fed is going to act at their next meeting. They won't even need to call an emergency meeting. They'll act at their next meeting, whenever that may be, they'll act and start cutting rates, and that's going to quickly stimulate the economy and get investors like our folks, because that's going to affect the bond yields, that's going to affect the mortgage rates, and investors are going to jump in to buy real estate, and people are going to jump in to buy discounts in the stock market, et cetera, et cetera. Keith Weinhold 34:44 To your point, thank goodness the Fed has some ammo. Since the federal funds rate is about 4% they do have some ammo, and they can cut that rate down. You can imagine if the Fed funds rate was zero, like it was a few years ago, and they couldn't make cuts because they don't want to. Make it negative. So Naresh and I here talking about a number of forces that are largely outside your control. So these are the sort of things you can keep your eye on. However, there is something you can do that's very much in your control, and it happens this Thursday, where you can join Naresh and a co host on our upcoming live event. Tell us about it, Naresh. Naresh Vissa 35:22 well, like you said, it's this Thursday, we're going to be talking about the BRRRR strategy, which has become the most popular real estate investment strategy. GRE has seen in its existence. Our investors are almost hooked onto this burst strategy. We're going to talk more about it on the webinar. Burr stands for buy, rehab, rent, refinance, repeat, and we'll get into all that in the webinar. It's a great way to build equity in a property very quickly, and to use that equity towards your down payment, so that you're not paying that standard, traditional 20 to 25% down. Some of our investors have done BRRRR's in markets like Tennessee, where they put zero down, or where they even made money on the if you want to call it the flip, so we're going to be talking about them. It's specifically geared towards we've done a burr event before on the Memphis, Tennessee market. This is a burr online event that covers the Cleveland, Ohio market, and that's a market that we have not touched on much here at get rich education, we've promoted some properties here and there. It's a really popular market, and it's a state that is growing and looking if someone were to ask me, Hey, Naresh what's the one state that you think can become the next Florida. And we've covered Florida here before. I live in Florida. Politics aside, Florida has boomed Since 2020. Or so. The number of how you can judge a state's growth is by its GDP numbers. And most importantly, are people moving there? That's the key. Are people moving there? And I would say Ohio is that next state where I think many people in the Midwest are going to say, hey, you know what, I want to go move there, because they're looking to make a lot of changes that are pro growth, that are pro real estate, including potentially eliminating the property tax, school choice programs there. That's huge for kids, universal school choice, and, most importantly, potentially eliminating the income tax now, these are all long term plans. It's not happening anytime soon, but those are the visions and the goals for Ohio, and I think they're going to happen by 2030 I would expect many of these plans and policies to happen. And what that means for real estate is it's going to boom because people are going to move to Ohio because of that, there aren't a lot of states that offer no income tax. So those are my thoughts on Ohio, and we're going to talk a little bit more about that on the webinar. Keith Weinhold 37:50 Many expect Vivek Ramaswami to be the next governor of Ohio. If that comes true, Vivek has a lot of the same pro business policies that Ron DeSantis does in Florida, for example, Ohio has a high population, a stable population, America's seventh largest population, and a slow growing one with a great diversity of industry there in Ohio and Cleveland. Naresh Vissa 38:15 So Keith, we have we're approaching record numbers of registrations for this event. We still have room for several more people. So I highly recommend people go to GRE webinars.com. That's GRE webinars.com. You can register for the event. It's going to be fun. All of our webinars recently have been a ton of fun. We've gotten great feedback, a lot of engagement. I think you'll learn a lot for sure. So I'm looking forward to seeing everybody there. Keith Weinhold 38:42 Your co host, Phil, was on last week's show with us, both you and Phil, we'll be talking about this burr live event in Cleveland. I really suggest you, the listener, attend live. You might get a better Property selection that way, and you'll surely be able to ask questions, and sometimes with the other participants, they ask a really good question that you had not even thought of previously. It's our live burr event for Cleveland cash flow properties. You the listener probably remember when Phil was here last week, we gave an example of where you can get eight to one leverage and up to $500 cash flow on a single family home in Cleveland. I really recommend that you attend, and you'll be hearing more from the race, then you can sign up at GRE webinars.com We'll see if we break that record of, I think, 538 registrants last webinar that we had late last year. Do you have any last thoughts about the event? Naresh, Naresh Vissa 39:41 like I said, before our events have it's free to attend. That's the first thing. You don't need to pay us anything. But we sell out these events. So I highly recommend that people go once again to GRE webinars.com. We can only hold a certain number of people. It's a few 100 people. So we want to sell out again. We hope you can. Join us and you will not regret I think you're gonna really like the Cleveland market. We're gonna talk more about that, the Ohio market in general. And I think folks are really, really gonna like this strategy. I know a lot of you have invested in Burt, in other markets, or have been researching Burr and you really like what you hear this is the market. I think that you should pay really, really close attention to our team is really strong there. Phil's team, really strong, very honest. They're quick, they're reliable. So if you've had a bad experience doing a burr elsewhere, I think you'll have a better experience with our team over here. Keith Weinhold 40:35 We'd call it a sellout crowd, but you don't have to pay anything. We'd call it a standing room only crowd, but you don't have to stand up. You can sit down and enjoy it from the comfort of your own home this Thursday at 8pm eastern at GRE webinars.com. Thanks for coming on to the show. Naresh, Naresh Vissa 40:51 thanks a lot, Keith. Keith Weinhold 40:57 Yeah, strong insights from our own new race today, inflation expectations cut back and forth like a knife with big policy decisions on layoffs and tariffs and more tariffs on lumber and gypsum board. I mean, they are two of the major inputs that can increase the cost of homes. Gypsum board just means drywall tariffs, slow trade, less fuel is used to ship things like we touched on. And a lot of people ask, well, doesn't an economic slowdown mean lower prices, but yet don't tariffs raise prices? Well, you got to take on that from Naresh today. Now, sometimes I am asked, where is the real opportunity in today's real estate market? I've been a guest on other business shows lately, and I've been asked that question, where's the opportunity in today's real estate market? And I've got two answers. If you have more money and less time. Go with new build properties, because builders are still awarding you with massive rate buy downs, often to near a 5% mortgage rate. They are buying it down for you, but instead, if you have less money and more time, because you have to wait a few months for a rehab, then go with the burr strategy. That is the other opportunity. It's going to give you a higher return than new build in most cases, because what you get is in improbably high leverage along with strong cash flow. And those are two notions that typically don't go together. Well, on Thursday, we're bringing that to you with our live event. I mean, is there a more seasoned pro with the burr strategy in the entire nation than one co host for the event? Phil and then the mind spring of knowledge and ideas from Naresh as the other co host, and they're both active investors themselves, bringing you the opportunity in Cleveland in just a few days. And of the hundreds of registrants, not all of them attend live, but do attend live. If you can give yourself an advantage, you can be connected with available properties conducive to the burr strategy. If you're interested, or maybe you're just more interested in how it all works one last time it is GRE 's live event for Cleveland's amazing cash flow opportunities this coming Thursday, the 20th at 8pm Eastern, 5pm Pacific, healthy real world monthly rents that are more than 1% of the purchase price single family properties, many for under 100k in investor sweet spots. It's free to attend. It's from the comfort of your own home. Registration is still open at GRE webinars.com until next week. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, don't quit your Daydream. Speaker 2 44:04 Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host, is operating on behalf of get rich Education LLC exclusively. Keith Weinhold 44:28 You know, whenever you want the best written real estate and finance info, oh, geez, today's experience limits your free articles access, and it's got paywalls and pop ups and push notifications and cookies disclaimers, it's not so great. So then it's vital to place nice, clean, free content into your hands that adds no hype value to your life. That's why this is the golden age of quality newsletters, and I write every word of ours. Myself. It's got a dash of humor, and it's to the point because even the word abbreviation is too long, my letter usually takes less than three minutes to read, and when you start the letter, you also get my one hour fast real estate video. Course, it's all completely free. It's called the Don't quit your Daydream. Letter, it wires your mind for wealth, and it couldn't be easier for you to get it right now. Just text GRE to 66866, while it's on your mind, take a moment to do it right now. Text GRE to 668666. The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth, building, getricheducation.com.
In this true crime story of Love and Murder: Heartbreak to Homicide, host Ky tells you the controversial Black Swan trial of Ashley Benefield, a former ballerina whose whirlwind romance with Doug Benefield spiraled into a deadly custody battle. On September 27, 2020, a 911 call revealed the aftermath of a shooting that left Doug dead and Ashley claiming self-defense.As Ky goes through the complex layers of this case, listeners will ponder the question: was Ashley a battered woman defending herself, or a calculating person orchestrating her husband's murder?The narrative unfolds with a look into the tumultuous relationship between Doug and Ashley, marked by quick romance, financial struggles, and allegations of abuse. As tensions rose, Ashley's claims of Doug's aggression and her subsequent actions led to a tragic confrontation. With evidence from both sides, including forensic analysis and testimonies, the trial raises critical questions about domestic violence and the nuances of self-defense.Throughout the episode, Ky shares insights and personal reflections, encouraging listeners to contemplate the blurred lines in this case. Join us for this thought-provoking episode, and don't forget to share your thoughts on the case in the comments. Do you think this was self-defense or do you think Ashley was actually plotting to kill her husband? For pictures and videos of this case, join the Patreon at the $3/mo tierYou can also join for free so you won't miss another case.www.patreon.com/loveandmurder1. Introduction to the Black Swan Trial2. The Relationship Between Doug and Ashley3. The Night of the Shooting4. The Trial and Evidence Presented5. Verdict and Sentencing6. Conclusion and Reflection*******************Past Cases Mentioned in this Episode:A Jealous Mother Abuses Her 6 Kids and Horrifically Murders Two of Her Daughters | Theresa Knorrhttps://murderandlove.com/a-jealous-mother-abuses-her-6-kids-and-horrifically-murders-two-of-her-daughters-theresa-knorr/Body Found Stuffed in Fridge in Forest, Boyfriend Charged with Murder | Christopher Blevinshttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/body-found-stuffed-in-fridge-in-forest-boyfriend-charged-with-murder-christopher-blevins--64304163An Important Conversation About the Hidden Reality of Male Domestic Abuse - The Case of Alex Skeelhttps://murderandlove.com/an-important-conversation-about-the-hidden-reality-of-male-domestic-abuse-the-case-of-alex-skeel/Woman Murders Parents and Lives with the Bodies for 4 Years Before Arrested | Virginia McCulloughhttps://www.spreaker.com/episode/a-woman-murders-her-parents-and-lives-with-the-bodies-for-4-years-before-arrested-virginia-mccullough--64176693************************************************************************************************Support these businesses; support LaM:BJs - Save $35 on a yearly membership with my link: www.murderandlove.com/BJs✨✨For a commercial-free episode, pictures, and more head to our exclusive group at www.patreon.com/loveandmurder✨✨Podcast Promo: And Then They Were Gone*************************************************************************************************
Another week, another wave of chaos, some of it real, some of it manufactured. From political standoffs to quantum computing breakthroughs and an AI-driven “Black Swan” moment that could change everything, here are my thoughts on some of the biggest things at the intersection of business, tech, and people. With that, let's get into it.Trump & Zelensky Clash – The internet went wild over Trump and Zelensky's heated exchange, but the real lessons have nothing to do with what the headlines are saying. This wasn't just about politics. It was a case study in ego, poor communication, and how easily things can go off the rails. Instead of picking a side, I'll break down why this moment exploded and what we can all learn from it.Microsoft's Quantum Leap – Microsoft claims it's cracked the quantum computing code with its Majorana particle breakthrough, finally bringing stability to a technology that's been teetering on the edge of impracticality. If they're right, quantum computing just shifted from science fiction to an engineering challenge. The question is: does this move put them ahead of Google and IBM, or is it just another quantum mirage?The AI Black Swan Event – A new claim suggests a single device could replace entire data centers, upending cloud computing as we know it. If true, this could be the biggest shake-up in AI infrastructure history. The signs are there as tech giants are quietly pulling back on data center expansion. Is this the start of a revolution, or just another overhyped fantasy?The Gaza Resort Video – Trump's AI-generated Gaza Resort video had everyone weighing in, from political analysts to conspiracy theorists. But beyond the shock and outrage, this is yet another example of how AI-driven narratives are weaponized for emotional manipulation. Instead of getting caught in the cycle, let's talk about what actually matters.There's a lot to unpack this week. What do you think? Are we witnessing major shifts in tech, politics, and AI or just another hype cycle? Drop your thoughts in the comments, and let's discuss.Show Notes:In this Weekly Update, Christopher provides a balanced and insightful analysis of topics at the intersection of business technology and human experience. The episode covers two highly charged discussions – the Trump-Zelensky Oval Office incident and Trump's controversial Gaza video – alongside two technical topics: Microsoft's groundbreaking quantum chip and the potential game-changing AI Black Swan event. Christopher emphasizes the importance of maintaining unity and understanding amidst divisive issues while also exploring major advancements in technology that could reshape our future. Perfect for those seeking a nuanced perspective on today's critical subjects.00:00 - Introduction and Setting Expectations03:25 - Discussing the Trump-Zelensky Oval Office Incident16:30 - Microsoft's Quantum Chip, Majorana29:45 - The AI Black Swan Event41:35 - Controversial AI Video on Gaza52:09 - Final Thoughts and Encouragement#ai #politics #business #quantumcomputing #digitaltransformation
Pat welcomes singer Robin McAuley back to the "Zoom Room" to discuss his new album "Soulbound."See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Antifragile is a concept created by Nasim Taleb, author of the Black Swan, to describe the ability to gain and prosper amid confusion and disorder. Certain people thrive in this environment and President Trump is a prime example of this ability. In this commentary we discuss how antifragility is this secret sauce that contributes to America's greatness.
Break in your ballet shoes and for God's sake, let this girl climax (!) because we are talking about Darren Aronofsky's Black Swan. From Natalie Portman's Oscar winning performance to this stacked cast to its immersive handheld camera, Black Swan is a big fave, even if Nina's passivity can be frustrating to watch. Plus: debate about Thomas' sexual assault, lauding Ryder's profane Beth, sheet cake meltdowns, the desire for perfection, and exquisite mirror work. Reference: Phoenix. “Black Swan” Has Mad Chicks, Made Me Feel Crazy.” Autostraddle Questions? Comments? Snark? Connect with the boys on Instagram, BlueSky, Youtube, Letterboxd, Facebook, or join the Discord to get in touch with other listeners > Trace: @tracedthurman > Joe: @bstolemyremote Be sure to support the boys on Patreon! Theme Music: Alexander Nakarada Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
We've got mail! Jonathan and Honey answer your questions about cinema, films, family and everything in between. This week, the pair discuss weirdly delivered lines in films - from 'I need aqua' in 10 Things I Hate About You to the unusual pronunciation of Romeo in Baz Lurhmann's Romeo + Juliet.Black Swan is also encouraged to 'live a liddle' in this week's bonus episode, Orks are struggling to read human menus and Penn & Teller are heckling at the cinema.Let us know what you think! You can get involved by emailing us at reeltalk@global.com and follow us on Instagram on @reeltalkrossThanks for listening. Listen and subscribe to Reel Talk on Global Player or wherever you get your podcasts.
When I saw that it can be demonstrated that the formula for calculating the curve of the earth is wrong, it was my black swan moment. Instead of curving like a sphere, it is flat!
Halle and Alison stay on their toes to talk shrugs and sex while they ruin Black Swan.
Jeff and Amber dive into duality, obsession, and the pursuit of perfection in Darren Aronofsky's dark, psychological horror film, Black Swan! For exclusive episodes and content, check out A Film By... Podcast on our Patreon with a FREE 7-day trial. You can also sign up as a free member! Check out www.afilmbypodcast.com/ for more information.Email us at afilmbypodcast@gmail.com with your questions, comments, and requests.Find us on Instagram, X, and Facebook @afilmbypodcast.
Tune in to CHRIS AKIN PRESENTS for a candid conversation with Robin McAuley about his new album SOULBOUND! We discuss the album's unique, heavier sound, the collaboration with new writers, and what sets this release apart. Robin also talks about Black Swan, his concerns about maintaining his performance edge, and his upcoming tour plans. Is rock heading in a heavier direction? Join us as we explore this question with a true rock icon.NOTE: Everything said here, and on every episode of all of our shows, are 100% the opinions of the hosts. Nothing is stated as fact. Do your own research to see if their opinions are true or not.#RobinMcAuley #SoulboundAlbum #RockInterview #NewMusic #HeavySound
February 28th Robin McAuley releases his 3rd solo album. I am privileged to call Robin a friend! from McAuley-Schenker to Survivor, Raiding the Rock Vault in Las Vegas and Black Swan Band! follow him and enjoy this new album. I had the privilege of sitting down tonight and chatting with Robin about this brand new album. The album is called SOULBOUND and is his third on Frontiers Records. Robin worked with a brand new producer ALDO LONOBILE. Robin shares the latest as well on a new Black Swan record and what his plans are for 2025!
Robin McAuley has built a legendary career spanning decades, establishing himself as one of rock's most enduring and powerful vocalists. Best known for fronting McAuley Schenker Group in the late ‘80s and early ‘90s, his soaring voice became a signature of melodic hard rock. Collaborating with guitar virtuoso Michael Schenker, the group released classic albums like Perfect Timing (1987) and Save Yourself (1989), which featured hit tracks such as “Anytime” and “This Is My Heart.” McAuley's distinct blend of grit and melody set him apart in an era dominated by powerful vocalists.Beyond MSG, McAuley's career has been marked by his adaptability and relentless passion for music. He has worked with projects such as Grand Prix and Survivor, further cementing his reputation in the rock world. Over the years, he remained an in-demand vocalist, making guest appearances and lending his talents to numerous projects while continuing to tour. Despite shifts in the rock landscape, McAuley's unmistakable voice never faded, proving his longevity and versatility.In recent years, McAuley has seen a resurgence with the Frontiers Music label, releasing acclaimed solo work and forming the supergroup Black Swan alongside Reb Beach (Whitesnake, Winger), Jeff Pilson (Foreigner, Dokken), and Matt Starr (Ace Frehley, Mr. Big). Their debut album, Shake the World (2020), received widespread praise, proving that melodic hard rock still had a strong pulse. The follow-up, Generation Mind (2022), further solidified their chemistry, showcasing McAuley's still-powerful vocals and his ability to craft anthemic, emotionally charged songs.http://www.robinmcauley.com/
From Grand Prix to McAuley Schenker Group (MSG), Survivor, and the hard-hitting supergroup Black Swan, Robin McAuley has spent decades proving why he's one of the most underrated vocalists in rock. Now, at 72 years old, he's not slowing down—in fact, he's getting heavier.In this episode, we sit down with Robin to discuss his brand-new solo album Soulbound (out Feb 28), his surprise detour into graphic design, and the odds of a Black Swan tour finally happening. We also take a deep dive into his MSG years, the pressure to write radio hits, and what it was like to have The Black Crowes open for him in 1990—before they blew up.If you're a fan of Foreigner, Scorpions, Whitesnake, or classic hard rock with killer vocals, this episode is for you.
An explainer on Chesterton's Fence.Connect with Sam on LinkedIn - I share customer expeirence content multiple times a week, and love hearing from listeners with questions or ideas for topics.Subscribe to my newsletter, Customer Experience Patterns - I publish a new edition with each full-length episode of the podcast.My LinkedIn Learning courses: How To Create Great Customer Experiences & Build A Customer-Centric Culture. In-depth video series that teach you how to create great experiences, and build customer-centric cultuers. My new learning course on Customer Experience foundations will be live in March, 2025Thanks to my talented colleague Emily Tolmer for the cover art. Thanks to my friends at Moon Island for the music. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
*Note - This week, we're re-airing a standout episode from February 2024. As we've reflected on it many times recently, we've noticed that many of the insights Dr. Kohl shared are even more relevant today, a year later. Given the current economic volatility in agriculture, we're excited to revisit this conversation and share Dr. Kohl's wise and reassuring perspective once again. …………… In this week's episode, Tracy sits down with Dr. David Kohl, renowned agricultural economist, to discuss the current state of farm economics in a world full of uncertainty. Titled “Black Swans, Gray Rhinos & Roller-Coaster Farm Economics,” this conversation delves deep into the opportunities, challenges, and strategies that agriculture producers need to be aware of in today's volatile market. What You'll Learn: 1. Roller-Coaster Economics: Dr. Kohl explains how agriculture is currently navigating a period of unpredictable economic cycles. Producers need to understand what this means for their operations and how they can prepare for the ups and downs ahead. 2. Significant Opportunities for Producers: Dr. Kohl identifies the most pressing opportunities in agriculture right now. From technological innovations to shifting market dynamics, find out where smart producers can capitalize and grow in the face of uncertainty. 3. The Biggest Threats to Agriculture: With agriculture facing rapid changes, Dr. Kohl shares his bird's-eye view of the greatest threats to the industry. What should producers be most concerned about in the coming years, and how can they plan for what's ahead? 4. Black Swan vs. Gray Rhino Events: You've likely heard of Black Swan events, but what about Gray Rhino events? Dr. Kohl provides insight into the potential impact of both disruptive forces. Learn how to identify these events and what steps you can take to prepare for them before they arrive. 5. Common Mistakes Producers Are Making: Dr. Kohl also shares some of the most common mistakes he sees among producers today. Are you falling into these traps? Tune in to learn how to avoid them and make smarter decisions in your business. 6. Strengthening Your Farm Operation: As volatility becomes the new norm, Dr. Kohl offers actionable advice on how to future-proof your farming operation. Discover the strategies that will help make your business more resilient and adaptable to change. 7. Lightning Round with Dr. Kohl: Get to know Dr. Kohl better in a fun and fast-paced lightning round! From his top book recommendations to the best life advice he's received, this is a lighter segment filled with inspiration and wisdom. Given the current economic volatility in agriculture, we're excited to revisit this conversation and share Dr. Kohl's wise insights for navigating economic uncertainty. Thanks for tuning in, Tracy =================================
Spanish singer and songwriter Victoria Canal mixes pop styles, from bangers to weighty tunes with thoughtful, often probing, occasionally flirty lyrics, which revolve around her own complicated identity. She won two of Britain's prestigious Ivor Novello Awards, famously sang with Coldplay at last year's Glastonbury Festival, and had released a pair of EPs that marked her as a distinctive songwriter.Her latest LP, Slowly It Dawns, sparkles with wisdom hard-learned, and allows space for heavy feelings, all with a sense of light-hearted play. Victoria Canal plays some of these songs, in-studio. Set list: 1. Vauxhall 2. Black Swan 3. 15%
In this 14th solo episode, I kick things off with the SNL 50th Anniversary Special. They rolled out classic skits that "didn't age well," according to them. But let's be real—those were the best ones. Back when Saturday Night Live was actually funny. Before wokeness turned every sketch into an unfunny lecture on race.I also dive into the latest O.J. Simpson documentary on Netflix. My wife and I watched it the other night, and it brought back memories of that infamous trial. From the prosecution's missteps to the role of Mike Gilbert, I break down why the case became such a turning point in race relations—and how it shaped the justice system we see today.Beyond that, I get into a masterclass on negotiations, Black Swans, trendsetters, real estate, the AI tools I've been using most lately, and so much more.
In this episode of Horror Hour with the Hanna's, we pirouette into the haunting world of Black Swan (2010), Darren Aronofsky's psychological horror masterpiece. With Natalie Portman's Oscar-winning performance as a ballerina spiraling into obsession, this film blends beauty, madness, and body horror in a way that still lingers in audiences' minds.We break down the film's themes of artistic perfection, duality, and psychological decay, exploring how Aronofsky crafts a nightmarish descent into madness. Is Black Swan a horror film in disguise or a true genre-bending thriller? And how does its portrayal of ambition and self-destruction still resonate today?This week we are joined by Andrew from "The Revisionist Almanac". You can find more of Andrew here:https://open.spotify.com/show/0k1pTUl2hYrgIiZpziFQTv?si=95a2eba2ed404992Follow Us on Instagram and TikTok: @horrorhourwiththehannasMusic by Aries Beats - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DPpnxLYrzVA
This week, Robert spirals into a twisted ballet of insanity, while Ira's idea of a dramatic transformation is swapping his pajamas for sweatpants. Join Robert and Ira as they discuss BLACK SWAN and share their top 5 battlin' bitches. Listen for free through iTunes, Stitcher, Spotify, iHeartRadio, or Google Podcast Music. So, if you've ever wondered what it would be like to be a thin sexy hottie in a tutu who is obsessed with ballet, and you live with your kind but over protective mother and you audition for both leading roles in Sean Lake, the sweet White Swan and the edgy Black Swan but your personality is more suited for the White Swan, and then a new dancer arrives on the scene who is hot and edgy and would make a better Black Swan and you start going bonkers, take some Ecstasy, and have hot lesbian sex with your dark and edgy competitor or maybe you don't, and your jealousy gets greater and so do your disturbing hallucinations as you get in touch with your dark side and you descend into madness blurring the line between reality and fantasy and you grow feathers and wings and die, then this podcast is for you!
Grow, cook, eat, arrange with Sarah Raven & Arthur Parkinson
Alfie Nickerson is a biodynamic flower farmer making his mark in British horticulture, and his 3,500-strong dahlia field, buzzing with wildlife, is testament to that.After working for 6 years as a jobbing gardener in London, and then volunteering at Fern Verrow – the biodynamic farm of previous guest Jane Scotter – Alfie describes his journey in creating the biodiverse haven that is Burnt Fen Flowers, as well as sharing his favourite annuals and dahlias, on this week's episode of ‘grow, cook, eat, arrange'.In this episode, discover:Alfie's early gardening experiences in London, and what drew him to the Norfolk countrysideThe incredible work behind Burnt Fen's biodynamic flower cropHow they prioritise biodiversity in their practices, and what that biodiversity gives back to the landAlfie's absolute favourite varieties of annuals and dahlias for cuttingVisit Burnt Fen Flowers: https://burntfenflowers.com/Products mentioned:Ammi majushttps://www.sarahraven.com/products/ammi-majusHelichrysum bracteatum 'White' (Sunflower)https://www.sarahraven.com/products/helichrysum-bracteatum-whiteZinnia elegans 'Giant Purple Prince'https://www.sarahraven.com/products/zinnia-elegans-giant-purple-princePapaver somniferum 'Black Swan'https://www.sarahraven.com/products/papaver-somniferum-black-swanDahlia 'Jowey Winnie'https://www.sarahraven.com/products/dahlia-jowey-winnieFollow Sarah: https://www.instagram.com/sarahravenperchhill/Get in touch: info@sarahraven.comShop on the Sarah Raven Website: http://bit.ly/3jvbaeuFollow us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sarahravensgarden/Order Sarah's latest books: https://www.sarahraven.com/gifts/gardening-books?sort=newest
On this episode of The Zach Show, Julie and Zach discuss Black Swan, more specifically the twisted journey of Nina's descent into madness, the erotic rivalry that unfolded between Lily and Nina, fan theories on the film, the price of perfection, and more. Guest bio: Dr. Julie Labau is a research scientist for the Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute with a PhD in neuroscience. SUPPORT THE AUXORO PODCAST BY SUBSCRIBING TO AUXORO PREMIUM (BONUS EPISODES & EXCLUSIVE CONTENT): https://auxoro.supercast.com/ JULIE LABAU LINKS:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/julielabau/PhD Defense: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o3Fy8lpcPzE&t=0s AUXORO SOCIAL LINKS: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/auxoroYouTube: https://bit.ly/3CLjEqFFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/auxoromagNewsletter: https://www.auxoro.com/thesourceYouTube: https://bit.ly/3CLjEqF To support the show, please leave a review on Spotify and Apple Podcasts. This nudges the algorithm to show The AUXORO Podcast to more new listeners and is the best way to help the show grow. It takes 30 seconds and the importance of getting good reviews cannot be overstated. Thank you for your support: Review us on Apple Podcasts: https://bit.ly/458nbhaReview us on Spotify: https://bit.ly/43ZLrAt
"Have you ever dreamed of a better version of yourself?" The Substance asks just how far will you go for youth and beauty. It critiques the pressure society puts on people, especially women, to be perfect. It also put us through the paces. Between the body horror, and the sound design the three of us were quite queasy while watching this, but that doesn't stop us from admiring the performances, the production design and the criminally not nominated sound design. Coralie Fargeat, we're keeping our eyes peeled for your next venture. What did you think of The Substance? Let us know on Twitter, Instagram or Threads! Listen to the score, tracked played The Substance Read the script Listen to our other episodes we talked about - The Zone of Interest, The Favourite, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Anatomy of a Fall, Parasite, Roma, Promising Young Woman, Black Swan, Women Talking Watch I Like To Watch with Trixie and Katya Theme music by RomanBelov #TheSubstance #BestPicture #BestDirector #BestActress #BestOriginalScreenplay #BestMakeupAndHairstyling #Oscars2025 #2025Oscars #AcademyAwards #Oscars
Get more notes at https://podcastnotes.org This member's only content is a compilation of several podcasts that will teach you about the importance of mental models and how they can help you improve your decision-making process.Get the FULL COLLECTIONKey Takeaways:* Mental Model: Direction Over Speed* If you're pointed in the wrong direction, it doesn't matter how fast you're traveling* Mental Model: Availability Bias* Design your environment to the best of your availability to limit your temptation to perform unwise actions* Mental Model: Hanlon's Razor* Don't attribute to malice what can be attributed to stupidity. Don't assume someone did something because they're a bad person, assume they did it out of stupidity.* Mental Model: George Mack's Razor* When presented with two options, choose the one that brings a greater amount of luck.* Mental Model: Zeitheimer's* Every generation tends to assume their problems are the absolute worst – we forget about the daily struggles of our ancestors* Our generation is complaining about social media addiction – people less than a hundred years ago were dying on battlefields during world wars* Mental Model: Signal vs. Noise* This mental model is all about how to distinguish the high-intensity/useful information (the stuff that actually matters) from the noise* If a book has been around for 100 years, you can assume it'll be around for 100 additional years (this is also known as the Lindy Effect)Defining Mental Models* A mental model is ways of taking principles from different disciplines and applying them to make better decisions* Helpful mental models:* Be careful of actions that would multiple your life by 0* Don't take any risk that might make your life go to zero* E.g: It's great if you exercise and don't smoke, but if you drive drunk you could go to jail or end up deadMental Model: The Map is Not the Territory* Check out Shane's blog post on the topic* A few examples:* A balance sheet is the map of a business, but it doesn't fully represent the company* An employee satisfaction survey (a map) is only a glimpse of the entire terrain (everything going on within the company)* “If you become exclusive to one map, you're less likely to identify when the terrain changes” – Shane Parrish* “There's always an imperfect relationship between reality and the models we use to represent and understand them, but it's necessary in order to simplify things because we can't deal with the world in all of its complexity” – Shane Parrish* Like online dating* The “map” (someone's profile) doesn't match the overall person – they'll often be completely different* The size of your email list is a map, but it doesn't tell you about the territory* It doesn't tell you about the open rates, the engagements, or whether people care if they receive the emails* Business targets/projections are another example* For one, they're often pulled out of thin air* The growth target doesn't, in fact, indicate what's possible* “If you could 10x something, why would you be happy with 5x, and if 5x'ing something is, in fact, impossible, why would you be disappointed with 4x?” – SamMental Model: The Unforced Error* This mental model comes from Super Thinking: The Big Book of Mental Models by Gabriel Weinberg* The concept: do all you can to prepare to avoid bad outcomes* Ex: Dress well to avoid making a bad first impression* Ex: Don't text while driving to avoid getting in a car crash* “An unforced error is the most basic way you can be wrong. Independent of all other circumstances, you done f**ked up.” – ChrisMental Model: Anti-fragility* This one originates from Nassim Taleb, author of Antifragile, and a few other classics – The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and Skin in the Game* The main idea – Become someone who thrives and improves from disorder* Think of a glass cup: if you drop it on the floor (disorder), it breaks (AKA it's fragile)* How can you do this? – There are quite a few ways:* Have multiple sources of income – this way, if you lose your job (disorder), you'll be fine* Exercise and build strength – if you stumble and lose your balance, you're more likely not to hurt yourself* Look for business opportunities where no matter what happens, you'll experience an upsideMental Model: Finding Good in the Bad* This one originates from Josh Waitzkin in his first appearance on The Tim Ferriss Show* It's very easy to get bummed out when it rains and let it affect your mood* Josh realized parents instill this in their kids by encouraging them to stay inside when it's raining rather going out to actually enjoy the “bad” weather* So, he flipped it. Josh taught his son to look at rain and think: “Oh, look at how beautiful it is! Let's go outside and enjoy it!”* George adds – “When everything's going bad, I say ‘good.' When everything's going good, I say ‘bad.'”* When times are good, it's quite easy to take your foot off the gas* When times are bad, it's an opportunity to thriveMental Model: Surround Yourself With People You Admire* “I definitely find the biggest influence in my output and the way I think is who I'm around” – George Mack* Think of two versions of yourself:* In one world, you spend most of your time around a positive and motivational person (like David Goggins)* In another world, you spend most of your time around a sloth (the type of person who always has negative blinders on)* After a year, imagine these two people meet – they'll be completely different!* High agency people actively seek out those they admire and want to emulate* Chris thinks David Perell largely fits this bill – “He's always the dumbest person in the room in one of multiple domains and he keeps changing the domain””Mental Model: Directional Arrows of Progress* This one comes from Josh Wolfe (as discussed in these Podcast Notes). Here's how Josh explains it:* “The half-life of technology intimacy” is a trend related to how we interact with our computers:* 50 years ago, you had a giant computer the size of multiple refrigerators sitting in the corner of a room* The way you would interact would be to flip it's switches, and pull plugs etc.* 25 years ago – we first got personal computers* How did we interact with them? – Mainly through a keyboard and a computer mouse* 12.5 years ago – the dominant form of computers became laptops* Now it's physically on your lap, so the computer has gotten closer to you* 6.5 years ago – the iPhone* It's the last thing we touch at night, as well as the first thing we touch in the morning* You “swipe” it and “tap” it* The only physical barrier with the human body is a thin film of fabric in your pants* 3.5 years ago – the smartwatchGet the FULL COLLECTION Thank you for subscribing. Leave a comment or share this episode.
There is a new competitor in the A.I market and its called FREE. Project star gate with mini nuclear that sector ran up, but nvidia did not move up. Meaning it reached a peak and all the good news in priced into the name. Bank of Japan raised interest rates and dried up liquidity which is why cryptocurrency markets are being smashed. All bounces will be short lived through March. New liquidity flows will move from tech to commodities. ☕ Support Civilization Cycle Podcast Buy As a Double Espresso
*** Apologies for delay in linking podcast, was on travel.*** The US Air Force is at a turning point in 21st century warfare and in danger of whistling past the graveyard if they fail to take notice and action on the emerging Revolutions in Military Affairs (RMA). The era of manned combat aircraft is coming to a close. The era of manned bombers with gravity bombs is over. The era of fixed site nuclear missiles is in great peril. The era of hyper-velocity missiles whether high parabola of IRBM/ICBM or Fractional Orbital Bombardment System (FOBS) glide vehicles. If the pilot mafia doesn't do something about what is coming, the result will be cataclysmic. The Pentagon will not to the right thing, regretfully. References: A Concise History of the U.S. Air Force Jeffrey J. Smith Tomorrow's Air Force: Tracing the Past, Shaping the Future David Hambling Swarm Troopers: How Small Drones Will Conquer the World Garrett Graff Raven Rock: The Story of the U.S. Government's Secret Plan to Save Itself--While the Rest of Us Die Paul Ozorak Underground Structures of the Cold War: The World Below Daniel Ellsberg The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner Nassim Taleb Incerto: Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin in the Game Mark Gunzinger & Bryan Clark Winning the Salvo Competition: Rebalancing America's Air and Missile Defense Christian Brose The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare My Substack Email at cgpodcast@pm.me
Lauren Goodwin and Michael LoGalbo are back for round two of our annual Black Swans discussion. From climate risks to maritime threats, tune in for three outside-the-box risks that could most disrupt investor consensus this year.
In this episode Robin McAuley returns to the podcast, Robin talks about his new solo album “Soulbound” (Feb 28th), working with Aldo Lonobile, the status of the 3rd album from Black Swan, new music from him and Michael Schenker, the greatness of Reb Beach (Ep 305), performing career retrospective sets, his large amount of recorded output the past several years, Frontiers SRL, Jeff Pilson (Ep 391), and a ton more. This episode is brought to you by DEB Concerts. Follow DEB on Facebook and Twitter to get updates on upcoming shows, and more! This episode is also brought to you by Sunset Tattoo Tulsa. Sunset Tattoo has over 25 years of experience, and is located at 3146 E. 15th St. in Tulsa, OK. Native owned, and a female tattoo artist in house. The tattoos are "Done Good and Proper" so be sure to like their facebook page for more details. Stream us anytime everywhere podcasts are heard.
On this episode, Mark and Dan talk about: DeepSeek and its impact on the markets, What strategies Dan uses the most to trade, The fake ticker XYZ becoming an actual ticker for Block, Dan's typical holding period for straddles, Whether Dan will short straddles, and much more. Brought to you by tastytrade.
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Mary & Blake discuss everything YOU had say about to Outlander episode 7.14 - Ye Dinna Get Used To It. In this episode, discuss Lord John Grey's eye injury and the surgery performed by Claire to fix it. We also touch on the introduction of new characters like Percival Wainwright and the Marquis de Lafayette, and how they fit into the overall narrative. Brianna's skills with a shotgun during a confrontation at Lallybroch are highlighted, as well as the growing relationship between William, Jane, and Fanny, and how it helps viewers connect more with William's character. Also in this episode: The hosts express disappointment that the show has not yet included the bonus version of the theme song, speculating it may be saved for the season finale. Blake feels bad for Sophie Skelton's character Brianna, noting she's had to deal with "a bunch of junk" this season compared to other characters like Roger. We analyze the introduction of Lord John Gray's stepbrother Percival Wainwright, discussing how the show made it challenging to track who he was and whether viewers should trust him. Mary points out the interesting cultural context around Brianna casually mentioning having a gun, noting how that would be viewed differently in 18th century Scotland versus modern-day America. We praise the development of the relationship between William, Jane, and Fanny, agreeing it has helped make William's character more compelling and relatable. Blake expresses frustration with the show's overuse of historical figure cameos, feeling they are being shoehorned in without serving the larger narrative. We engage in a lengthy discussion about the visceral reactions people can have to depictions of eyes and other body parts, using examples from films like Black Swan and Hostel. Mary shares a personal anecdote about playfully teasing her male friends as a teenager by flicking their Adam's apples, which Blake finds deeply unsettling. We analyze how Jamie and Claire's behavior towards Lord John Gray seems out of character, speculating it may stem from unresolved guilt or embarrassment over their past relationship. SUBSCRIBE TO OUTLANDER CAST: AN OUTLANDER PODCAST Apple Podcasts YouTube Spotify CONNECT WITH MARY & BLAKE Like Our Facebook Page Join Our Facebook Group Join The #NerdClan Follow On Twitter Follow On Instagram UNLOCK BONUS EPISODES, PREMIUM PODCASTS & MORE -- www.JoinTheNerdClan.com Sign up HERE for Blake's Book Club: DRUMS OF AUTUMN CHECK OUT THE BEST MERCH ON THE PLANET: THE MARY & BLAKE STORE Shop for all of our podcasts, sayings, and listener inspired designs in one easy place. FOLLOW ALL OF OUR PODCASTS AT MARY & BLAKE: This Is Us Too: A This Is Us Podcast The Pokemon Pokedex With Rhys & Felicity: A Pokemon Podcast The Percy Jackson Prophecy: A Percy Jackson Podcast The MCU Diaries: Essays On Marvel Television Podcast Bridgerton With Mary & Blake: A Bridgerton Podcast Keep Calm And Crown On: The Crown Podcast Minute With Mary: A Younique Network Marketing Podcast Rise Up!: A Hamilton Podcast The Leftovers Podcast: The Living Reminders The North Remembers: A Game Of Thrones Podcast Wicked Rhody: A Podcast About Rhode Island Events and Life You've Been Gilmored: A Gilmore Girls Podcast ParentCast: A Podcast For New Parents Outlander Cast: An Outlander Podcast The Potterverse: A Harry Potter Podcast The Last Kingdom With Mary & Blake: A Podcast For The Last Kingdom House Of The Dragon With Mary & Blake: A Podcast For House Of The Dragon The Rings Of Power With Mary & Blake: A Rings Of Power Podcast READ OUR LATEST BLOGS AT MARY & BLAKE: Mary & Blake's Blog The MCU Diaries The Handmaid's Diaries Minute With Mary Outlander Cast Blog A huge thank you to all of our members at the #NERDCLAN for helping to make this podcast possible. EXECUTIVE PRODUCERS SuzyQ, Joanne Felci, Nadra Assaf, Siobhan M. O'Connor, Katy Valentine, Maryanne St. Laurent, Sara Zoknoen, MD, Martha, Anne Gavin, Bobbi Franchella, Peg Cumbie, Dana Mott-Bronson, Kirstie Wilson CO - PRODUCERS Kristina Mann, Candace Galbraith, Jennifer L. Dominick, Whitney Robins, Tina Schneider, Sharon Stevenson-Kelley, Barbara Falk, Keelin Dawe, Meredith Bustillo, ASSOCIATE PRODUCERS Louan, Laura Dassrath, Suzanne Moss, Sarah Dietderich, Brenda Lowrie, Dianna Anderson, Stephanie Holm, Tracy Enos, Jeffrey Zellan, Shonna Chapman, Dianne Karpowicz, Candy Hartsock, Carolyn Needham, Patricia Barron Tardio, Angie Leith, Karen Snelling, Christine Milleker, Marilyn L. Neenan d
This two doc couple is celebrating 8 years of marriage. He talks about how having such a fantastic partner is the most important part of his life and has made all of this hard work worth it. He talked about the importance of being financially educated so you can learn from others and avoid the mistakes they have made. He said he is grateful his mistakes were early and fairly small. This couple has always valued saving and building wealth and have generally saved her entire income. They even paid cash for their home in their mid 30s. These two are an incredible couple that show us just what is possible when you are both on the same page in your relationship and your finances. After the interview we will talk about your finances at the beginning of the year. Are you ready to take control of your financial future through investments that you can personalize to your specific goals? Black Swan Real Estate specializes in helping high-income professionals, including physicians, achieve financial freedom through private multifamily real estate investments. With over 13 years of experience, a $375M portfolio, and 1,600+ units under management, Black Swan offers unique opportunities that put investors first. They operate with no GP-level fees—ever—a structure virtually unheard of in the industry. Led by physician Dr. Elaine Stageberg and supported by a vertically integrated team, Black Swan ensures hands-on management and a proven track record of strong, stable returns. Learn more about their investor-aligned approach at https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/blackswan The White Coat Investor has been helping doctors with their money since 2011. Our free financial planning resource covers a variety of topics from doctor mortgage loans and refinancing medical school loans to physician disability insurance and malpractice insurance. Learn about loan refinancing or consolidation, explore new investment strategies, and discover loan programs specifically aimed at helping doctors. If you're a high-income professional and ready to get a "fair shake" on Wall Street, The White Coat Investor channel is for you! Be a Guest on The Milestones to Millionaire Podcast: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/milestones Main Website: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com Student Loan Advice: https://studentloanadvice.com YouTube: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/youtube Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thewhitecoatinvestor Twitter: https://twitter.com/WCInvestor Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thewhitecoatinvestor Subreddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/whitecoatinvestor Online Courses: https://whitecoatinvestor.teachable.com Newsletter: https://www.whitecoatinvestor.com/free-monthly-newsletter
Was it self-defense, revenge, or cold-blooded murder? Get exclusive Killer Instinct content on my patreon : https://www.patreon.com/killerinstinct If you like the show, telling a friend about it would be helpful! You can text, email, Tweet, or send this link to a friend: http://bit.ly/KillerInstinctPod Follow Savannah on IG: @savannahbrymer Follow Savannah on Twitter: @savannahbrymer Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Andrea Canning and Blayne Alexander sit down to talk about Andrea's episode, “Deadly Dance.” In 2020, former ballerina Ashley Benefield claimed she acted in self-defense after fatally shooting her husband, Doug Benefield. But to investigators, the crime scene pointed to one thing – murder. Andrea and Blayne discuss how the name Black Swan became associated with Ashley Benefield's murder trial. Plus, Dateline producer Rob Buchanan answers viewer and listener questions and shares what he saw in the courtroom.Listen to the full episode of "Deadly Dance" here: https://link.chtbl.com/dl_deadlydance
Dubbed the ‘Black Swan' case, a former ballerina falls in love with a man 30 years her senior, but when their love story spirals out of control one of them winds up dead. Andrea Canning reports.