Podcasts about statistical

A reanalysis of a study found that fluoxetine alone showed no measurable benefit over placebo in treating adolescent depression after 12 weeks Researchers uncovered 11 additional suicide-related events that were hidden or misclassified, bringing the total to 21 serious incidents Statistical tactics and selective reporting made fluoxetine appear safer and more effective than it really was in clinical trials A different reanalysis mentioned that adverse events and many side effects were minimized or excluded from the original reports Improving gut health, getting regular exercise, undergoing therapy, and optimizing vitamin D are viable approaches for treating depression

Subscribe to DTC Newsletter - https://dtcnews.link/signupIn this episode of the DTC Podcast, we sit down with Drew Marconi, Co-founder and CEO of Intelligems, to dig into the real way brands should be thinking about testing in 2025.Forget just optimizing for conversion rate or AOV. The smartest brands are now optimizing every site change—pricing, shipping, offers, content—for one thing: profit per visitor.Drew shares how Intelligems helps brands move beyond surface-level CRO and into truly strategic decision-making by treating pricing, shipping, and discounts as testable business levers.Stop guessing, start knowing. Install Intelligems for free: https://apps.shopify.com/intelligemsKey Insights:Why profit per visitor is more than conversion rate or revenueIt's the only metric that balances AOV, margin, and conversion—and captures true business impact.What most brands get wrong about pricingMany haven't touched prices in years or are afraid to test them. Drew explains how to approach price testing without backlash.The roadmap to build a culture of experimentationFrom VP-level buy-in to weekly testing meetings, learn how the best teams are structured for consistent optimization.How to test pricing, offers, and shipping intelligentlyGet the real-world tactics behind straddle tests, dynamic discounts, and testing offer mechanisms.Agentic AI is coming to testingDrew breaks down how automated agents will soon handle ideation, test execution, analysis, and rollout—without human bottlenecks.If you're still optimizing for revenue or conversion alone, this episode will change how you think about growth. It's not just about what wins the test—it's about what drives profit.Timestamps00:00 – The state of A/B testing and pricing strategies02:15 – Drew's journey from McKinsey to founding Intelligems04:30 – Why pricing needs to be broader than just the list price07:10 – Dynamic pricing fears and consumer perception09:20 – Building effective testing roadmaps for DTC brands12:05 – Running price elasticity tests for better profit per visitor14:30 – Personalization strategies based on traffic sources16:45 – Optimizing Black Friday & holiday offers through testing19:30 – Creating a culture of experimentation inside your brand22:40 – How high-performing teams structure ongoing testing cycles25:10 – Statistical significance, confidence intervals & testing duration28:20 – Measuring profit per visitor vs. focusing on conversion rate30:15 – The agentic AI future of A/B testing & infinite experimentationHashtags#ABTesting #PricingStrategy #EcommerceGrowth #DTCBrands #ConversionOptimization #Personalization #ProfitPerVisitor #BlackFridayStrategy #AIAutomation #MarketingAnalytics Subscribe to DTC Newsletter - https://dtcnews.link/signupAdvertise on DTC - https://dtcnews.link/advertiseWork with Pilothouse - https://dtcnews.link/pilothouseFollow us on Instagram & Twitter - @dtcnewsletterWatch this interview on YouTube - https://dtcnews.link/video

Last week on my show with Tarric Brooker we discussed the stouch about the ABS, migration and arrival statistics. Recall recent data on arrivals versus departures showed a significant uptick in population. The Australian Government's official document, Fundamentals of migration in Australia: Migration concepts and measurements, from the Centre for Population, explicitly stated that “border … Continue reading "Migration, Replacement And Statistical BS"

Statistical analyst and writer for The Athletic Austin Mock joins Silver & J.D. to break down his NFL win projection model, why the 49ers are on the short list to dethrone the Eagles in the NFC, and the reasons behind their potential success this seasonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this compelling episode, I sit down with the incredible Maria Castillo Dominguez, a "statistical unicorn" who has mastered navigating finances, particularly as a woman. We dive deep into breaking free from childhood money beliefs, the vital role of communication in financial partnerships, and how you can achieve not just wealth, but true financial peace and joy. Key Highlights:Heal Your Money Story: Uncover how childhood beliefs shape your finances.Partner Up on Money: Master crucial money talks for shared financial success.Break "Good Girl" Habits: Confidently earn, save, and invest on your own terms.Find Financial Peace: Connect emotional healing with financial clarity and joy.Be a Money Unicorn: Defy norms and build the life you truly desire.If you're a woman looking to confidently claim your financial future, understand the emotional nuances of money, and shatter old limitations, this conversation is your guide.Maria Castillo Dominguez, CFP® is the founder of Valoria Wealth Management, a boutique, women-led financial planning firm helping high-income women and couples design lives of purpose, clarity, and freedom. With over a decade of experience and deep tax expertise, Maria specializes in equity compensation, lifestyle planning, and helping clients take bold steps—whether it's a career break, business launch, or early retirement. Based in South Florida and serving clients nationwide, she's on a mission to make financial planning empowering, personal, and judgment-free.Maria's Links:Her websiteFacebookInstagramLinkedInYouTubeLinks:Psychology of MoneySmart Women Finish RichWant to hear a specific topic? Text Us!Always and Never About Money Episode Links:Video Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/@MoneyMasteryWithChelseaSocials: https://linktr.ee/the_money_whisperMoney Mastery Website: www.moneymastery.workReddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/AlwaysandNeverMoney/

Statistical analyst and writer for The Athletic Austin Mock joins Silver & J.D. to break down his NFL win projection model, why the 49ers are on the short list to dethrone the Eagles in the NFC, and the reasons behind their potential success this seasonSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Summary In this episode of Armed American Radio, host Mark Walters discusses various legal challenges and victories related to gun rights with guests including Joseph Greenlee from the NRA and Dr. John Lott. The conversation covers recent court decisions, the impact of administration changes on crime rates, and personal stories highlighting the importance of self-defense. The episode emphasizes the need for continued support for the NRA and other organizations fighting for Second Amendment rights. In this episode, Mark Walters discusses the importance of self-defense stories, particularly those involving firearms, and how they relate to current crime rates in cities like Chicago and Washington, DC. The conversation highlights the deterrent effect of armed citizens, the impact of political leadership on crime, and the necessity of legal support for gun owners. The roundtable discussion also delves into cultural shifts and the role of education in shaping public perceptions of safety and crime prevention. Takeaways The NRA is actively involved in numerous legal challenges across the country. Recent court decisions have shown promise for gun rights advocates. Florida's young adult purchase ban is being challenged by the NRA. The importance of self-defense laws is highlighted through personal stories. Statistical analysis shows a significant drop in crime rates in DC under the current administration. The threat of prosecution is a key deterrent for criminals. The NRA's legal efforts are crucial in the fight against gun control measures. Public support for the NRA is essential for continued advocacy. The conversation emphasizes the need for vigilance in protecting Second Amendment rights. The impact of immigration on crime rates is a pressing issue. Self-defense stories highlight the importance of firearms in personal safety. Crime rates in cities like Chicago and DC are alarming and require attention. The Trump administration is making strides to ease gun carry laws. Community response is crucial in addressing ongoing violence in urban areas. Legal support for gun owners is essential in self-defense situations. Education plays a vital role in preventing crime and promoting safety. Government accountability is necessary for public safety and trust. Cultural shifts can lead to significant political changes. The actions of agencies like the ATF raise concerns about government overreach. Unity among gun owners and advocates is essential to protect rights. Keywords NRA, gun rights, litigation, court cases, self-defense, crime statistics, immigration, legal challenges, Second Amendment, Florida gun laws, self-defense, firearms, crime rates, Chicago, political dynamics, deterrent effect, gun ownership, public safety, legal support, cultural shifts    

Summary In this episode of Armed American Radio, host Mark Walters discusses various legal challenges and victories related to gun rights with guests including Joseph Greenlee from the NRA and Dr. John Lott. The conversation covers recent court decisions, the impact of administration changes on crime rates, and personal stories highlighting the importance of self-defense. The episode emphasizes the need for continued support for the NRA and other organizations fighting for Second Amendment rights. In this episode, Mark Walters discusses the importance of self-defense stories, particularly those involving firearms, and how they relate to current crime rates in cities like Chicago and Washington, DC. The conversation highlights the deterrent effect of armed citizens, the impact of political leadership on crime, and the necessity of legal support for gun owners. The roundtable discussion also delves into cultural shifts and the role of education in shaping public perceptions of safety and crime prevention. Takeaways The NRA is actively involved in numerous legal challenges across the country. Recent court decisions have shown promise for gun rights advocates. Florida's young adult purchase ban is being challenged by the NRA. The importance of self-defense laws is highlighted through personal stories. Statistical analysis shows a significant drop in crime rates in DC under the current administration. The threat of prosecution is a key deterrent for criminals. The NRA's legal efforts are crucial in the fight against gun control measures. Public support for the NRA is essential for continued advocacy. The conversation emphasizes the need for vigilance in protecting Second Amendment rights. The impact of immigration on crime rates is a pressing issue. Self-defense stories highlight the importance of firearms in personal safety. Crime rates in cities like Chicago and DC are alarming and require attention. The Trump administration is making strides to ease gun carry laws. Community response is crucial in addressing ongoing violence in urban areas. Legal support for gun owners is essential in self-defense situations. Education plays a vital role in preventing crime and promoting safety. Government accountability is necessary for public safety and trust. Cultural shifts can lead to significant political changes. The actions of agencies like the ATF raise concerns about government overreach. Unity among gun owners and advocates is essential to protect rights. Keywords NRA, gun rights, litigation, court cases, self-defense, crime statistics, immigration, legal challenges, Second Amendment, Florida gun laws, self-defense, firearms, crime rates, Chicago, political dynamics, deterrent effect, gun ownership, public safety, legal support, cultural shifts  

Summary In this episode of Armed American Radio, host Mark Walters discusses various legal challenges and victories related to gun rights with guests including Joseph Greenlee from the NRA and Dr. John Lott. The conversation covers recent court decisions, the impact of administration changes on crime rates, and personal stories highlighting the importance of self-defense. The episode emphasizes the need for continued support for the NRA and other organizations fighting for Second Amendment rights. In this episode, Mark Walters discusses the importance of self-defense stories, particularly those involving firearms, and how they relate to current crime rates in cities like Chicago and Washington, DC. The conversation highlights the deterrent effect of armed citizens, the impact of political leadership on crime, and the necessity of legal support for gun owners. The roundtable discussion also delves into cultural shifts and the role of education in shaping public perceptions of safety and crime prevention. Takeaways The NRA is actively involved in numerous legal challenges across the country. Recent court decisions have shown promise for gun rights advocates. Florida's young adult purchase ban is being challenged by the NRA. The importance of self-defense laws is highlighted through personal stories. Statistical analysis shows a significant drop in crime rates in DC under the current administration. The threat of prosecution is a key deterrent for criminals. The NRA's legal efforts are crucial in the fight against gun control measures. Public support for the NRA is essential for continued advocacy. The conversation emphasizes the need for vigilance in protecting Second Amendment rights. The impact of immigration on crime rates is a pressing issue. Self-defense stories highlight the importance of firearms in personal safety. Crime rates in cities like Chicago and DC are alarming and require attention. The Trump administration is making strides to ease gun carry laws. Community response is crucial in addressing ongoing violence in urban areas. Legal support for gun owners is essential in self-defense situations. Education plays a vital role in preventing crime and promoting safety. Government accountability is necessary for public safety and trust. Cultural shifts can lead to significant political changes. The actions of agencies like the ATF raise concerns about government overreach. Unity among gun owners and advocates is essential to protect rights. Keywords NRA, gun rights, litigation, court cases, self-defense, crime statistics, immigration, legal challenges, Second Amendment, Florida gun laws, self-defense, firearms, crime rates, Chicago, political dynamics, deterrent effect, gun ownership, public safety, legal support, cultural shifts  

DNA evidence has become a powerful tool in modern criminal investigations, often playing a crucial role in identifying and convicting criminals. Here is a summary of how DNA evidence is used in the process:Crime scene collection: When a crime occurs, investigators collect biological material such as blood, hair, saliva, or other bodily fluids from the crime scene. These samples may be found on weapons, clothing, or other objects relevant to the crime.Preservation and analysis: Collected samples are carefully preserved to maintain their integrity and prevent contamination. Forensic scientists extract DNA from the biological material and analyze it in a laboratory. The DNA is compared to the DNA profiles of known individuals, such as suspects or individuals connected to the case.DNA profiling: The extracted DNA is subjected to a process called DNA profiling, which examines specific regions of the DNA sequence that vary between individuals. This profiling creates a unique DNA profile, often referred to as a DNA fingerprint, which can differentiate one person from another with a high degree of accuracy.Database searches: DNA profiles obtained from crime scene evidence can be compared against DNA databases that store profiles of convicted criminals, arrestees, and unidentified individuals. If a match is found between the crime scene DNA and a profile in the database, it can provide a lead in identifying a suspect.Individual identification: If there is no immediate match in the DNA databases, investigators may collect DNA samples from potential suspects or individuals connected to the case, such as victims or witnesses. By comparing their DNA profiles to the crime scene DNA, investigators can exclude innocent individuals and focus on potential suspects.Statistical analysis: Forensic scientists and statisticians use probability calculations to evaluate the significance of a DNA match. These calculations estimate the likelihood of finding the observed DNA profile in the general population, aiding in assessing the strength of the evidence.Courtroom presentation: When DNA evidence is introduced in court, forensic experts testify about the reliability and significance of the findings. They explain the methodology used, the statistical analysis performed, and the match between the crime scene DNA and the defendant's DNA profile, if applicable.Corroboration with other evidence: DNA evidence is often used in conjunction with other types of evidence, such as eyewitness testimony, fingerprints, or surveillance footage. Corroborating evidence strengthens the overall case and supports the prosecution's argument for the defendant's guilt.It's important to note that while DNA evidence is highly reliable, human error or mishandling of samples can introduce inaccuracies. Therefore, proper collection, preservation, analysis, and interpretation of DNA evidence are crucial to ensure its effectiveness in convicting criminals.According to new court filings, Bryan Kohberger's defense team is challenging the validity of the DNA samples that have been taken and used to connect Kohberger to the crime scene. In this episode, we take a look at the new claims by Kohberger's team and if there is any validity to them.(commercial at 10:41)to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.comsource:Bryan Kohberger Lawyer Says No Victim DNA Found in Suspect's Home or Car (newsweek.com)

DNA evidence has become a powerful tool in modern criminal investigations, often playing a crucial role in identifying and convicting criminals. Here is a summary of how DNA evidence is used in the process:Crime scene collection: When a crime occurs, investigators collect biological material such as blood, hair, saliva, or other bodily fluids from the crime scene. These samples may be found on weapons, clothing, or other objects relevant to the crime.Preservation and analysis: Collected samples are carefully preserved to maintain their integrity and prevent contamination. Forensic scientists extract DNA from the biological material and analyze it in a laboratory. The DNA is compared to the DNA profiles of known individuals, such as suspects or individuals connected to the case.DNA profiling: The extracted DNA is subjected to a process called DNA profiling, which examines specific regions of the DNA sequence that vary between individuals. This profiling creates a unique DNA profile, often referred to as a DNA fingerprint, which can differentiate one person from another with a high degree of accuracy.Database searches: DNA profiles obtained from crime scene evidence can be compared against DNA databases that store profiles of convicted criminals, arrestees, and unidentified individuals. If a match is found between the crime scene DNA and a profile in the database, it can provide a lead in identifying a suspect.Individual identification: If there is no immediate match in the DNA databases, investigators may collect DNA samples from potential suspects or individuals connected to the case, such as victims or witnesses. By comparing their DNA profiles to the crime scene DNA, investigators can exclude innocent individuals and focus on potential suspects.Statistical analysis: Forensic scientists and statisticians use probability calculations to evaluate the significance of a DNA match. These calculations estimate the likelihood of finding the observed DNA profile in the general population, aiding in assessing the strength of the evidence.Courtroom presentation: When DNA evidence is introduced in court, forensic experts testify about the reliability and significance of the findings. They explain the methodology used, the statistical analysis performed, and the match between the crime scene DNA and the defendant's DNA profile, if applicable.Corroboration with other evidence: DNA evidence is often used in conjunction with other types of evidence, such as eyewitness testimony, fingerprints, or surveillance footage. Corroborating evidence strengthens the overall case and supports the prosecution's argument for the defendant's guilt.It's important to note that while DNA evidence is highly reliable, human error or mishandling of samples can introduce inaccuracies. Therefore, proper collection, preservation, analysis, and interpretation of DNA evidence are crucial to ensure its effectiveness in convicting criminals.According to new court filings, Bryan Kohberger's defense team is challenging the validity of the DNA samples that have been taken and used to connect Kohberger to the crime scene. In this episode, we take a look at the new claims by Kohberger's team and if there is any validity to them.(commercial at 10:41)to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.comsource:Bryan Kohberger Lawyer Says No Victim DNA Found in Suspect's Home or Car (newsweek.com)Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-moscow-murders-and-more--5852883/support.

Ben Criddle talks BYU sports every weekday from 2 to 6 pm.Today's Co-Hosts: Ben Criddle (@criddlebenjamin)Subscribe to the Cougar Sports with Ben Criddle podcast:Apple Podcasts: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/cougar-sports-with-ben-criddle/id99676

On this episode of the Giants Huddle podcast, John Schmeelk is joined by Senior Data Scientist from Sumer Sports, Sam Bruchhaus. He discusses his favorite quarterback statistics, gives some reality checks on takeaways and pass rushing, and talks about some data on the Giants quarterbacks. :00 - Quarterback stats 12:50 - Offensive efficiency 17:20 - Offensive line data 27:35 - Wide receiver stats 30:17 - Overall defensive data 35:13 - Statistical reality checks 39:17 - Sumer Sports technologySee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Send us a textTriple-doubles in the WNBA demonstrate impressive all-around performance but may be overvalued when it comes to determining player impact on winning championships. The history and evolution of this statistical achievement reveals interesting patterns about versatility in women's basketball while raising questions about how we evaluate player contributions.• Triple-double defined as recording double digits in three statistical categories (points, rebounds, assists, steals, or blocks)• Sherryl Swoopes recorded the first WNBA triple-double in 1999 with 14 points, 15 rebounds, 10 assists• Skylar Diggins achieved the first All-Star game triple-double in just 23 minutes• Caitlin Clark became the youngest player to record a triple-double during her rookie season• Alyssa Thomas leads the WNBA in triple-doubles with 16-18 and counting• The 2024-25 season potentially features the highest number of triple-doubles in WNBA history• Position context matters when evaluating triple-doubles (guards getting rebounds vs. centers getting assists)• Despite impressive triple-double statistics, players like Alyssa Thomas haven't necessarily won championships• Statistical achievements should be celebrated but not overvalued compared to team successPlease make sure to like, subscribe, comment, and tell anyone who's anyone about the show. Continue to watch the WNBA and support the page!Support the showhttps://linktr.ee/GetABucketShow for more content!!!

Send us a textYou might be using AI models in pathology without even knowing if they're giving you reliable results. Let that sink in for a second—because today, we're fixing that.In this episode, I walk you through the real statistics that power—and sometimes fail—AI in digital pathology. It's episode 4 of our AI series, and we're demystifying the metrics behind both generative and non-generative AI. Why does this matter? Because accuracy isn't enough. And not every model metric tells you the whole story.If you've ever been impressed by a model's "99% accuracy," you need to hear why that might actually be a red flag. I share personal stories (yes, including my early days in Germany when I didn't even know what a "training set" was), and we break down confusing metrics like perplexity, SSIM, FID, and BLEU scores—so you can truly understand what your models are doing and how to evaluate them correctly.Together, we'll uncover how model evaluation works for:Predictive Analytics (non-generative AI)Generative AI (text/image generating models)Regression vs. Classification use casesWhy confusion matrix metrics like sensitivity and specificity still matter—and when they don't.Whether you're a pathologist, a scientist, or someone leading a digital transformation team—you need this knowledge to avoid misleading data, flawed models, and missed opportunities.

Will we ever see this in baseball again?

Send us a text❗️Is synthetic data trustworthy enough to train AI for patient care? It just might be—and that's what both excites and terrifies me. ❗️Hey trailblazers! In this episode of the Digital Pathology Podcast, I take you through the second part of our AI in Pathology series—this time, we're focusing on generative AI and how it's revolutionizing diagnostics, education, and workflow in our field.From synthetic H&E slides that could pass for real to multimodal agents that can read your histology images and chat with you about them—yes, really—this is where digital pathology meets the “bleeding edge” of AI development.We'll also look at real use cases, a synthetic biobank you can trust, and the biases, hallucinations, and ethical minefields that come along for the ride.

Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we review how statistics can be applied to fit a certain narrative. Plus, Robbie sits down with borrower Riley Howard to discuss his rate shopping journey with various lenders. And we close by looking at the actual year-over-year change in loan files being closed.Thank you to Total Expert, the purpose-built customer engagement platform trusted by hundreds of modern financial institutions. Total Expert turns customer data into actionable insights that help lenders engage and guide consumers through complex financial decisions.

Welcome to The Chrisman Commentary, your go-to daily mortgage news podcast, where industry insights meet expert analysis. Hosted by Robbie Chrisman, this podcast delivers the latest updates on mortgage rates, capital markets, and the forces shaping the housing finance landscape. Whether you're a seasoned professional or just looking to stay informed, you'll get clear, concise breakdowns of market trends and economic shifts that impact the mortgage world.In today's episode, we review how statistics can be applied to fit a certain narrative. Plus, Robbie sits down with MBA Chair Laura Escobar to discuss her travels around the country. And we close by looking at what payrolls missing estimates means for future Fed rate cuts.Thank you to Total Expert, the purpose-built customer engagement platform trusted by hundreds of modern financial institutions. Total Expert turns customer data into actionable insights that help lenders engage and guide consumers through complex financial decisions.

In this episode, we talk to two genetic counselors about their recent publications in a special edition of the Journal of Genetic Counseling focused on research methods in genetic counseling. First, Benjamin Helm delves into statistical approaches and discusses how transparency and honesty in research can lead to more meaningful scientific contributions. Then Kennedy Borle explores the challenges and benefits of integrating qualitative and quantitative approaches in genetic counseling research.   Segment 1: “Research methods in genetic counseling: Statistical approaches and resources”   Benjamin M. Helm, PhD, MS, CGC, is an Associate Professor of Clinical Medical & Molecular Genetics at Indiana University with specific interests in cardiovascular genetics, epidemiology, and public health genomics. He works within the Cardiovascular Genetics program at IU School of Medicine/Indiana University Health. His clinical and academic interests include genetic arrhythmias, congenital heart disease, familial hypercholesterolemia and lipoprotein (a), polygenic score methods, and assessment of population screening for genetic cardiovascular disorders. Additional work extends into public health, improving investigation of genetic risk factors for sudden death in infants and children and birth defect surveillance in Indiana.   In this segment we discuss: Importance of systematic bias and robust study design Understanding parametric research: assumptions, sample size, and data behavior Common misconceptions, such as the over-reliance on p-values for legitimacy and the pitfalls of p-hacking Encouragement for genetic counselors to engage with statistical research   Segment 2: “Using mixed methods for genetic counseling research”   Kennedy Borle is a board-certified genetic counsellor and PhD Candidate in Interdisciplinary Studies at the University of British Columbia. Her research is focused on understanding unmet need for clinical genetic services to improve equitable access to care. Kennedy is also passionate about promoting high quality and justice oriented genetic counselling research practices.   In this segment we discuss: The complexities and advantages of using mixed methods in genetic counseling Challenges of integrating qualitative and quantitative data The importance of rigorous planning and study design How collaboration can enhance research outcomes   Would you like to nominate a JoGC article to be featured in the show? If so, please fill out this nomination submission form here. Multiple entries are encouraged including articles where you, your colleagues, or your friends are authors.   Stay tuned for the next new episode of DNA Dialogues! In the meantime, listen to all our episodes Apple Podcasts, Spotify, streaming on the website, or any other podcast player by searching, “DNA Dialogues”.    For more information about this episode visit dnadialogues.podbean.com, where you can also stream all episodes of the show. Check out the Journal of Genetic Counseling here for articles featured in this episode and others.  Any questions, episode ideas, guest pitches, or comments can be sent into DNADialoguesPodcast@gmail.com.  DNA Dialogues' team includes Jehannine Austin, Naomi Wagner, Khalida Liaquat, Kate Wilson and DNA Today's Kira Dineen. Our logo was designed by Ashlyn Enokian. Our current intern is Stephanie Schofield.

The Statistical Authorship of the Torah by Timeless Torah in the 21st Century

How many Air Bud movies are there? A handful, right? Maybe if you have really big hands. And next year there'll be another one, because we're in the golden age of nostalgia baiting. And speaking of nostalgia, remember when the Twins were good? Strangely, it seems that paying everyone tens of millions of dollars is not necessarily improving the game.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

The saga of Jeffrey Epstein is ongoing and ever-present in the news.  And there are powerful lessons to be learned.  But the talking heads are mostly just spinning their wheels.  So, if you're seeking some straight talk and inside scoop about all of it, you've come to the right place.   This is a 2-part episode, as there is much ground to cover.  The title, of course, is an homage to the great Beatles song.  But in truth, Ms. Maxwell does indeed wield a hammer.  The Trump folks want to use it to do damage control and she's looking to dig a tunnel out of the federal bureau of prisons.  It remains to be seen whether Ghislaine Maxwell will be the extinguisher or the accelerant to this dumpster fire of a case.   IN THIS EPISODE: Preamble:  Ghislaine is talkin' to the feds, but to what end? Thoughts on whether Epstein took his own life, through the lens of the suicide and mental health epidemic in jails and prisons; The non-prosecution plea agreement that Ghislaine Maxwell says requires dismissal of all her charges; What this really shows is the importance of well drafted plea agreements; Statistical analysis of the “trial penalty”; Fighting the dreaded appeal waiver in plea agreements; Pleading “straight up” when the government is offering you a terrible plea agreement.   Stay tuned for PART II!

The National Association of science writers has about 2000 members, even as the field of science journalism has been experiencing a contraction. In her 2025 Nieman lab prediction for journalism, Siri Carpenter suggested that, given the challenges the world faces, it might be time that newsrooms embrace "science as a thread that runs through every beat." Science journalism is the focus of this episode of Stats and Stories, with guests Jeff Mervis and Andrew van Dam. Jeff Mervis reports on science policy in the United States and worldwide to explain to scientists how government works. He keeps a close eye on the changing fortunes of science across the federal government. He also follows efforts to improve science and math education and the factors that shape the U.S. and global scientific workforce. Andrew Van Dam writes the Department of Data column each week for The Washington Post. He has covered economics and wrangled data and graphics for The Post and the Wall Street Journal. He got his start at the Idaho Press-Tribune.

Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch!Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free)Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free)Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work!Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;)Takeaways:Causal assumptions are crucial for statistical modeling.Deep learning can be integrated with causal models.Statistical rigor is essential in evaluating LLMs.Causal representation learning is a growing field.Inductive biases in AI should match key mechanisms.Causal AI can improve decision-making processes.The future of AI lies in understanding causal relationships.Chapters:00:00 Introduction to Causal AI and Its Importance16:34 The Journey to Writing Causal AI28:05 Integrating Graphical Causality with Deep Learning40:10 The Evolution of Probabilistic Machine Learning44:34 Practical Applications of Causal AI with LLMs49:48 Exploring Multimodal Models and Causality56:15 Tools and Frameworks for Causal AI01:03:19 Statistical Rigor in Evaluating LLMs01:12:22 Causal Thinking in Real-World Deployments01:19:52 Trade-offs in Generative Causal Models01:25:14 Future of Causal Generative ModelingThank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible!Yusuke Saito, Avi Bryant, Ero Carrera, Giuliano Cruz, James Wade, Tradd Salvo, William Benton, James Ahloy, Robin Taylor,, Chad Scherrer, Zwelithini Tunyiswa, Bertrand Wilden, James Thompson, Stephen Oates, Gian Luca Di Tanna, Jack Wells, Matthew Maldonado, Ian Costley, Ally Salim, Larry Gill, Ian Moran, Paul Oreto, Colin Caprani, Colin Carroll, Nathaniel Burbank, Michael Osthege, Rémi Louf, Clive Edelsten, Henri Wallen, Hugo Botha, Vinh Nguyen, Marcin Elantkowski, Adam C. Smith, Will Kurt, Andrew Moskowitz, Hector Munoz, Marco Gorelli, Simon Kessell, Bradley Rode, Patrick Kelley, Rick Anderson, Casper de Bruin, Philippe Labonde, Michael Hankin, Cameron Smith, Tomáš Frýda, Ryan Wesslen, Andreas Netti, Riley King, Yoshiyuki Hamajima, Sven De Maeyer, Michael DeCrescenzo, Fergal M, Mason Yahr, Naoya Kanai, Aubrey Clayton, Jeannine Sue, Omri Har Shemesh, Scott Anthony Robson, Robert Yolken, Or Duek, Pavel Dusek, Paul Cox, Andreas Kröpelin, Raphaël R, Nicolas Rode, Gabriel Stechschulte, Arkady, Kurt TeKolste, Marcus Nölke, Maggi Mackintosh, Grant...

Nnamdi Madubuike was double teamed a lot last year after a breakout 2023 season that featured 13 sacks. Is it realistic for him to have that kind of sack production again?

In this episode of the Friday Habit, Nick McEvily shares his journey from design to entrepreneurship, emphasizing the importance of customer interviews and the role of design in business success. He discusses his life in Mexico City, the challenges of the zero to one stage in startups, and the common pitfalls founders face in achieving product market fit. The discussion highlights the necessity of data-driven decision-making and the art of understanding customer needs through effective communication. In this conversation, Nick McEvily shares insights on the importance of effective listening, crafting open-ended questions for interviews, and the significance of gathering honest feedback from clients. He emphasizes the need for entrepreneurs to validate their ideas quickly and the changing landscape of venture capital, advocating for a more thoughtful approach to business development. The discussion also touches on the value of data in decision-making and the importance of humility in leadership.Takeaways:Nick McEvily emphasizes the importance of customer interviews.Design plays a crucial role in building trust with users.The zero to one stage is a critical phase for startups.Delusion can be necessary for founders to succeed.Many founders do not spend enough time understanding their customers.Effective design must resonate with the target audience.Data should back the intuition of CEOs and founders.Customer feedback can be misleading if not approached correctly.Surveys are just one tool among many for gathering insights.Building a strong narrative is essential for fundraising. Good listening skills help decipher unspoken truths.Facing the truth can lead to stronger confidence.Crafting a script is essential for effective interviews.Open-ended questions yield higher quality responses.Limit the number of questions to maintain engagement.Finding unbiased participants is crucial for research.Statistical significance is important in decision-making.Don't wait too long to present ideas to customers.Exploration leads to new opportunities and ideas.The venture capital landscape is evolving towards more validation.Connect with Nick:https://www.nickmcevily.com/https://www.linkedin.com/in/nickmcevilyLearn More: Visit TheFridayHabit.com for show notes, resources, and to download the guide on working on your business rather than in it. Stay Connected: Subscribe to The Friday Habit for more real-life business lessons, candid conversations, and actionable strategies to elevate your entrepreneurial journey.Chapters:00:00 Introduction to Nicholas McEvily  01:04 Life in Mexico City and Family  04:00 Journey into Design and Entrepreneurship  07:00 The Importance of Design in Business  10:00 Navigating the Zero to One Stage  13:04 Common Pitfalls in Product Market Fit  16:00 Insights from Customer Interviews  19:11 The Art of Listening and Understanding  20:37 Crafting Effective Interview Questions  21:33 The Importance of Open-Ended Questions  23:14 Navigating Client Relationships  25:16 Finding Participants for Research  26:23 The Value of Data in Decision Making  28:23 The Balance of Confidence and Humility  30:33 Validating Ideas Quickly  33:05 Exploring New Ventures and Markets  35:42 Learning from Failure and Exploration  37:47 The Changing Landscape of Venture Capital  39:22 Final Thoughts and Action Items  

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 2025 Open Championship at Royal Portrush -Discussing top 10 on odds board at Open -4 matchups -2 t10's -2 futures outrights, 1 outright added -Sleeper, 3 R1 three balls, lineups -Scoring, best bet For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the 2025 Open Championship at Royal Portrush -Discussing top 10 on odds board at Open -4 matchups -2 t10's -2 futures outrights, 1 outright added -Sleeper, 3 R1 three balls, lineups -Scoring, best bet For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59

Robbie Baseball (@robbiebaseball) & Benjamin Chase (@biggentleben) explore the leaders in both hitting & pitching statistical categories across Minor League Baseball. This episode is for dynasty, prospects & minor league baseball lovers. From the International League to the Florida State league, the fellas have you covered! Please SUB our YouTube channel & Discord while making sure to follow us on social media @pallazzopodcast & email us at pallazzopodcast@gmail.com Pallazzo Podcast Discord:https://discord.gg/vN68dsKr47Patreon:https://www.patreon.com/pallazzopodcastBen's Site:https://chasingbaseballgreatness.medium.com/TIME STAMPS (Add 1 Minutes & 30 Seconds For Commercials)00:00 Start of Show01:00 MLB News Of Note25:00 Robbie's Jesus Take The Wheel Pitching Streamer28:00 MiLB HR Leaders29:00 MiLB SB Leaders29:50 MiLB Most Pitching Strikeout Leaders30:40 MiLB IP Leaders33:00 MiLB Fewest BB Leaders41:00 MiLB Batting AVG Leaders1:10:00 MLB Draft Shocking PredictionsAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

In the first episode of our special two-part series on the AgCulture Podcast, you'll hear from Tim Kelly and Dr. Craig Wyatt from AB Vista. Tim explores how data and statistical tools can improve decision-making in dairy operations, while Craig shares key insights from the poultry industry and how they apply across livestock systems. Both sessions challenge the way we think about efficiency, variability, and production. Listen now on all major platforms!Meet the guests: Tim Kelly, Ruminant Technical Sales Manager at AB Vista, brings years of industry experience to the conversation, drawing from leadership roles across dairy and feed sectors. Dr. Craig Wyatt, Regional Technical Service Manager at AB Vista, shares technical insights from nearly two decades in poultry and feed innovation.What you will learn: (00:00) Introduction(04:17) Measuring dairy complexity(05:48) Statistical decision making(19:31) Poultry industry insights(22:12) Benchmarking feed data(29:19) Feed ingredient variability(48:00) Closing thoughtsDiscover the world of agriculture with the "Ag Culture Podcast".  This podcast will be a gateway for those passionate about agriculture to explore its global perspectives and innovative practices.Join Paul as he shares his experiences in the agricultural industry, his travels and encounters with important figures around the world.Available on YouTube, Spotify and Apple Podcasts.Subscribe at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠http://www.agculturepodcast.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and keep an eye out for future episodes, bringing insights and stories from the vibrant world of agriculture.

Whether clients should attend home inspections is a question that plagues both new and seasoned professionals. After 20 years in the field and countless inspections, I've concluded that despite some challenges, having clients present during inspections creates the best outcomes for everyone involved.The most compelling reason for client attendance comes down to communication efficiency. When clients witness the inspection process firsthand, they develop a clearer understanding of their property's systems and potential issues. This immediate education eliminates confusion that often leads to multiple follow-up calls and frustrating back-and-forth exchanges. As one example demonstrates, trying to help a confused homeowner distinguish between a water heater and heating unit over the phone can be nearly impossible without visual context. When clients are present, these misunderstandings rarely occur.The liability protection afforded by client presence cannot be overstated. Clients and agents become witnesses to your process and findings, creating a powerful defense against false claims. Statistical analysis reveals complaints are approximately three times more likely to come from absent clients compared to those who attended inspections. Additionally, clients often notice details that might escape even the most diligent inspector, creating a collaborative environment that enhances inspection quality.While managing client safety around ladders, electrical panels and other hazards adds complexity to an inspector's responsibilities, implementing clear safety protocols and expectations can effectively mitigate these risks. The relationship-building opportunity of demonstrating your expertise in real-time generates confident clients who become your strongest advocates.Ready to transform your inspection business with tools that streamline scheduling and reporting? Visit inspectortoolbelt.com today to explore our comprehensive solution designed specifically for professional home inspectors who want to focus more on exceptional inspections and less on administrative headaches.Check out our home inspection app at www.inspectortoolbelt.comNeed a home inspection website? See samples of our website at www.inspectortoolbelt.com/home-inspection-websites*The views and opinions expressed in this podcast, and the guests on it, do not necessarily reflect the views and opinions of Inspector Toolbelt and its associates.

We determine which sport have the best breakable/unbreakable records.

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This is a link post. Thank you to Arepo and Eli Lifland for looking over this article for errors. I am sorry that this article is so long. Every time I thought I was done with it I ran into more issues with the model, and I wanted to be as thorough as I could. I'm not going to blame anyone for skimming parts of this article. Note that the majority of this article was written before Eli's updated model was released (the site was updated june 8th). His new model improves on some of my objections, but the majority still stand. Introduction: AI 2027 is an article written by the “AI futures team”. The primary piece is a short story penned by Scott Alexander, depicting a month by month scenario of a near-future where AI becomes superintelligent in 2027,proceeding to automate the entire economy in only [...] ---Outline:(00:45) Introduction:(05:27) Part 1: Time horizons extension model(05:33) Overview of their forecast(10:23) The exponential curve(13:25) The superexponential curve(20:20) Conceptual reasons:(28:38) Intermediate speedups(36:00) Have AI 2027 been sending out a false graph?(41:50) Some skepticism about projection(46:13) Part 2: Benchmarks and gaps and beyond(46:19) The benchmark part of benchmark and gaps:(52:53) The time horizon part of the model(58:02) The gap model(01:00:58) What about Eli's recent update?(01:05:19) Six stories that fit the data(01:10:46) ConclusionThe original text contained 11 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. --- First published: June 19th, 2025 Source: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/KgejNns3ojrvCfFbi/a-deep-critique-of-ai-2027-s-bad-timeline-models Linkpost URL:https://titotal.substack.com/p/a-deep-critique-of-ai-2027s-bad-timeline --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

DuckTerritory's Matt Prehm and Erik Skopil convene to set the stage for what could be a very exciting close to the month of June on the recruiting trail. Then they turn their attention to who could lead the team in certain stats this fall. To learn more about listener data and our privacy practices visit: https://www.audacyinc.com/privacy-policy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit https://podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NBA Finals Game 5 betting. best bets as always. The latest episode of RJ Bell's Dream Preview podcast features Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers breaking down Game 5 of the 2025 NBA Finals and pivotal offseason developments. They begin by analyzing the Desmond Bane trade, where Memphis sent Bane to Orlando for Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cole Anthony, four unprotected first-round picks, and a pick swap. The Magic, previously last in the league in three-point percentage and makes, addressed a dire shooting need. While Bane strengthens the backcourt alongside Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner, both hosts agree Orlando still lacks a true playmaker to fully optimize the roster. Turning to Memphis, the trade signals a possible rebuild despite the Grizzlies surpassing expectations last season with a +5 net rating. The franchise had already fired head coach Taylor Jenkins. Ja Morant, despite off-court controversies, recorded his best statistical season per estimated plus-minus, but trade value concerns and injury history complicate future decisions. Jaren Jackson Jr., on a one-year deal, might be easier to move but would likely require a max extension. Mackenzie suggests Memphis may be following Oklahoma City's “draft capital” model to rebuild in a Western Conference crowded with rising powers like the Thunder, Mavericks, and Spurs. The conversation shifts to Kevin Durant's future. Odds favor Minnesota, Miami, Houston, and San Antonio as potential trade destinations. Mackenzie argues Houston offers the best fit, balancing defense and the need for a closer. The Rockets' roster is full of youth and effort but lacks a go-to scorer in crunch time. However, Munaf notes the potential cost—losing Jalen Green, Jabari Smith, or Cam Whitmore—may be steep for an aging Durant with limited prime years remaining. Both agree that while the trade could elevate Houston, it does not guarantee championship contention. In analyzing Game 5 of the NBA Finals, the Thunder return home with the series tied 2–2 and are listed as 9.5-point favorites. Game 4 was pivotal—Oklahoma City finally covered a road playoff game, aided by Shea Gilgeous-Alexander's late-game scoring surge. The Pacers attempted a record number of full-court press possessions, forcing OKC to shift SGA off-ball. This change, emphasizing scoring over playmaking, resulted in SGA posting zero assists. His potential assists have dropped from 15.3 earlier in the playoffs to just 10.3 in the Finals. Mackenzie recommends betting under 6.5 assists for SGA in Game 5. Statistical betting trends further back the Thunder. Teams favored by eight or more points at home in a tied 2–2 playoff series are 20–2 straight up and 17–5 against the spread. Historically, such teams cover at a 62 percent rate in Game 5 scenarios. Munaf adds that OKC is 9–2 straight up and 8–3 ATS at home this postseason, further reinforcing confidence in them to win and cover. Among player props, Aaron Neesmith is spotlighted for Indiana. He's averaging 15.4 points per game in road contests this postseason. Munaf recommends the over on both his points and three-point props, noting his consistency when Halliburton struggles to create. The episode closes by revisiting odds and possible futures for Durant and the teams in play. With the draft looming on June 25, both hosts suggest the next big move could come sooner than expected. Game 6 will shift back to Indiana, but Game 5 is set to be decisive. Listeners are offered a promo code for discounted picks, and the hosts preview a busy offseason ahead. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

David Samson: Guardians' record a 'mirage'; team is still bucking statistical trends full 1016 Thu, 05 Jun 2025 13:11:07 +0000 JILxRGB2LWvaS8XGevp7LjKEY6HdSFe8 mlb,cleveland guardians,sports The Ken Carman Show with Anthony Lima mlb,cleveland guardians,sports David Samson: Guardians' record a 'mirage'; team is still bucking statistical trends The only place to talk about the Cleveland sports scene is with Ken Carman and Anthony Lima. The two guide listeners through the ups and downs of being a fan of the Browns, Cavaliers, Guardians and Ohio State Buckeyes in Northeast Ohio. They'll help you stay informed with breaking news, game coverage, and interviews with top personalities.Catch The Ken Carman Show with Anthony Lima live Monday through Friday (6 a.m. - 10 a.m ET) on 92.3 The Fan, the exclusive audio home of the Browns, or on the Audacy app. For more, follow the show on X @KenCarmanShow. 2024 © 2021 Audacy, Inc. Sports False https://

What comes to mind at the start of summer? Backyard barbecues, quality time spent, and long drive. Transportation safety is the topic of this episode of Stats+Stories with guest Joel Greenhouse.

Every year, statistics classes are filled with math averse students who white knuckle it to the end of the semester in the hopes of getting a passing grade. And the dream of forgetting about math and statistics for a little while. But what if it didn't have to be that way? What if instead of white knuckling it, students were actually excited about the subject; or, at the very least, not terrified of it? Two professors has been developing strategies to help students get over their fear of “sadisistics” and that's the focus of this special two part episode Stats and Stories Hunter Glanz is an Associate Professor of Statistics and Data Science at California Polytechnic State University. He maintains a passion for machine learning and statistical computing, and enjoys advancing education efforts in these areas. In particular, Cal Poly's courses in multiple computing languages give him the opportunity to connect students with exciting data science topics amidst a firm grounding in communication of statistical ideas. Rhys Jones is an internationally recognized expert in statistical literacy and education, known for his leadership in curriculum development, digital learning, and student engagement. Originally trained in biochemistry and immunology, he transitioned to focus on making statistics more accessible and engaging for students and teachers across various education levels.

RJ Bell, Steve Fezzik, Scott Seidenberg and Mackenzie Rivers talk all things NBA playoffs. Plus, the guys discuss NFL Hard Knocks and give out best bets. In this podcast episode, RJ Bell and his expert panel analyze a historic NBA playoff collapse, strategic betting angles, and key NFL developments. The episode opens with a promotion for discounted picks at pregame.com, spotlighting successful handicappers like Dave Esler and Greg Shaker. The heart of the episode is the New York Knicks' unprecedented collapse against the Indiana Pacers in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Scott Seidenberg recounts how the Knicks lost a 14-point lead in the final 2:45, with the Pacers scoring 23 points in 3:14—an NBA playoff record since 1997. Aaron Neesmith's six 3-pointers in the fourth quarter were the most in any playoff fourth quarter since 1997–98. The panel discusses the psychological and statistical impacts of this loss, with RJ questioning how such a collapse may affect the Knicks' mindset for the rest of the series. McKenzie Rivers and Steve Fezzik explore the zigzag theory in betting, revealing that Game 2's line moved from Knicks -4.5 to -6, despite the traumatic nature of Game 1's finish. Statistical trends support a potential Knicks bounce back: favorites after a Game 1 loss are 59% ATS since 2002, particularly dominant in first quarters. However, McKenzie notes this edge vanishes when teams are closely seeded. Despite the market showing confidence in New York, concerns linger over their seven-man rotation, fatigue after an overtime loss, and historical playoff struggles. RJ emphasizes the Knicks' tendency to crumble under high expectations, comparing this year to the pressure-filled 1994 and 1999 Knicks teams. Attention then shifts to the Oklahoma City Thunder, who dominated the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 1. Anthony Edwards was held to 18 points and scoreless in the fourth quarter. The panel credits OKC's elite perimeter defense and deep roster. McKenzie highlights OKC's transition from regular-season darlings to playoff powerhouses, noting they lead the league in turnovers forced and have the lowest turnovers committed. Betting markets reflected OKC's strength; post-Game 1, their series odds jumped from -330 to -675, reflecting a 1–1.5 point market upgrade. In NFL coverage, the panel discusses two major Hard Knocks announcements: the Buffalo Bills will be featured in training camp, while the NFC East will be showcased during the regular season. They also debate the NFL's decision to retain the “tush push” after the Packers' failed attempt to ban it, with Fezzik estimating the Eagles would've been downgraded by half a point without it. Jalen Hurts' rushing TD prop even increased from 9.5 to 10.5 after the rule's preservation. The episode concludes with betting strategies across sports. RJ and Fezzik analyze the Rockies' historically bad MLB season, advocating for under 40 wins. They highlight Colorado's -160 run differential just a third into the season—on pace to break modern records. Additionally, they discuss the Tampa Bay Rays' skewed home-heavy schedule, recommending an under 77.5 wins bet as they face 59 road games in their final 97. The podcast closes with RJ teasing advanced NFL projection models and a “five-pack” of early NFL bets for next week. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Si is away so Darth hosts Hamzah and Barts to review the 2-2 draw with Arsenal. The lads discuss: Lineups and gameplanEvaluating the first choice front 3?Statistical game of 2 halvesStatspack - Possession, XG, XA, XT, Shots, Big Chances, Game State, Defensive Errors, Monte CarloCurtis Jones praiseConor Bradley deep diveArsenal adjustmentsPost-subs analysisThat Andy Robbo chance Statspack: https://drbarts.quarto.pub/match-day-36-season-2425 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Join Jacob, Blake, and Brett as they discuss the logistics of hitting, which statistics are important, and the recent NBA Lottery Drama.

Are we alone in the universe—or already living alongside an ancient alien intelligence? In this mind-bending exploration, Professor Robin Hanson (George Mason University & Oxford's Future of Humanity Institute) breaks down the statistical odds that alien life exists and why it may have already been found in our own solar system. From AI-driven extraterrestrials silently observing us, to the chilling theory that humans are being domesticated by advanced alien civilizations, Hanson reveals where alien life is most likely to emerge, why UFO sightings might actually be real, and how our understanding of “quiet” vs. “loud” aliens could change everything we know about our future. Robin Hanson's Book, The Elephant in the Brain: Hidden Motives in Everyday Life: https://www.elephantinthebrain.com/ BialikBreakdown.comYouTube.com/mayimbialik

Note: this episode was recorded in August of 2022.In the latest Elucidation, Matt talks to Witold Więcek about the difficulties that come up for researchers who would like to draw upon statistics. Lots of academic fields need to draw heavily on statistics, whether it's economics, psychology, sociologym, linguistics, computer science, or data science. This means that a lot of people coming from different backgrounds often need to learn basic statistics in order to investigate whatever question they're investigating. But as we've discussed on this podcast, statistical reasoning is easy for beginners to mess up, and it's also easy for bad faith parties to tamper with in undetectable ways. They can straight up fabricate data, they can cherry pick it, they can keep changing the hypothesis they are testing until they find one that is supported by a trend in the data they have. So what should we do? We can't give up on statistics; it is simply too useful a tool.Witold Więcek argues that researchers have to be mindful of “p-hacking”. Statistical significance, the golden standard of academic publishing, can easily be guaranteed by unscrupulous research or motivated reasoning: statistically speaking, even noise can look like signal if we keep asking more and more questions of our data. Modern statistical workflows require us to either adjust the results for number of hypotheses tested or to follow principles of Bayesian inference. As a broader strategy, Więcek recommends that every research project making significant use of statistical arguments bring in in an external consultant, who can productively stress test those arguments in an adversarial way, given that they aren't part of the main team.It was a great conversation! I hope you enjoy it.Matt Teichman Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this powerful episode of For the Love of History, host TC is joined by scholar and author Dr. Anita Say Chan to explore the unsettling historical roots of modern data science and artificial intelligence. Drawing from her groundbreaking book Predatory Data: Eugenics in Big Tech and Our Fight for an Independent Future, Anita uncovers how today's predictive algorithms trace back to 19th-century eugenics. Yes, really. Statistical regression—the backbone of online recommendation engines—was developed by a eugenicist. And that's just the beginning. We unpack how algorithmic bias, data colonialism, and techno-eugenics operate in today's platforms—from Facebook's role in global violence to the AI industry's resistance to regulation. If you're curious about the intersections of technology, race, gender, and power, this is the episode you've been waiting for.

Proudly sponsored by PyMC Labs, the Bayesian Consultancy. Book a call, or get in touch!Intro to Bayes Course (first 2 lessons free)Advanced Regression Course (first 2 lessons free)Our theme music is « Good Bayesian », by Baba Brinkman (feat MC Lars and Mega Ran). Check out his awesome work!Visit our Patreon page to unlock exclusive Bayesian swag ;)Thank you to my Patrons for making this episode possible!Yusuke Saito, Avi Bryant, Ero Carrera, Giuliano Cruz, Tim Gasser, James Wade, Tradd Salvo, William Benton, James Ahloy, Robin Taylor,, Chad Scherrer, Zwelithini Tunyiswa, Bertrand Wilden, James Thompson, Stephen Oates, Gian Luca Di Tanna, Jack Wells, Matthew Maldonado, Ian Costley, Ally Salim, Larry Gill, Ian Moran, Paul Oreto, Colin Caprani, Colin Carroll, Nathaniel Burbank, Michael Osthege, Rémi Louf, Clive Edelsten, Henri Wallen, Hugo Botha, Vinh Nguyen, Marcin Elantkowski, Adam C. Smith, Will Kurt, Andrew Moskowitz, Hector Munoz, Marco Gorelli, Simon Kessell, Bradley Rode, Patrick Kelley, Rick Anderson, Casper de Bruin, Philippe Labonde, Michael Hankin, Cameron Smith, Tomáš Frýda, Ryan Wesslen, Andreas Netti, Riley King, Yoshiyuki Hamajima, Sven De Maeyer, Michael DeCrescenzo, Fergal M, Mason Yahr, Naoya Kanai, Steven Rowland, Aubrey Clayton, Jeannine Sue, Omri Har Shemesh, Scott Anthony Robson, Robert Yolken, Or Duek, Pavel Dusek, Paul Cox, Andreas Kröpelin, Raphaël R, Nicolas Rode, Gabriel Stechschulte, Arkady, Kurt TeKolste, Gergely Juhasz, Marcus Nölke, Maggi Mackintosh, Grant Pezzolesi, Avram Aelony, Joshua Meehl, Javier Sabio, Kristian Higgins, Alex Jones, Gregorio Aguilar, Matt Rosinski, Bart Trudeau, Luis Fonseca, Dante Gates, Matt Niccolls, Maksim Kuznecov, Michael Thomas, Luke Gorrie, Cory Kiser, Julio, Edvin Saveljev, Frederick Ayala, Jeffrey Powell, Gal Kampel, Adan Romero, Will Geary, Blake Walters, Jonathan Morgan, Francesco Madrisotti, Ivy Huang, Gary Clarke, Robert Flannery, Rasmus Hindström, Stefan, Corey Abshire, Mike Loncaric, David McCormick, Ronald Legere, Sergio Dolia, Michael Cao, Yiğit Aşık and Suyog Chandramouli.Takeaways:Player tracking data revolutionized sports analytics.Decision-making in sports involves managing uncertainty and budget constraints.Luke emphasizes the importance of portfolio optimization in team management.Clubs with high budgets can afford inefficiencies in player acquisition.Statistical methods provide a probabilistic approach to player value.Removing human bias is crucial in sports decision-making.Understanding player performance distributions aids in contract decisions.The goal is to maximize performance value per dollar spent.Model validation in sports requires focusing on edge cases.

Steve Forbes explains why focusing on trade deficits and surpluses completely ignores the key questions of economic health—and why the focus on that could lead to serious and avoidable economic turbulence.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

In this week's episode Patrick and Greg have some serious fun with song lyrics they misunderstood at some point in their personal lives. They then use this as a thinly veiled excuse to explore some very basic statistical things that they have also misunderstood at some point in their professional lives. Along the way they discuss over-engineered front ends, mumbling, Scaramouche, mondegreens, Tony Danza, Bingo Jed, word salad, containers, sitting next to Kurt Cobain, kicking cats, tiddles, ears ringing, the Dunder Chief, wrinkles in the space time continuum, naked or not, missing data bouncer, colite gas, and dying on the dance floor. Stay in contact with Quantitude! Web page: quantitudepod.org TwitterX: @quantitudepod YouTube: @quantitudepod Merch: redbubble.com

(SPOILER) Your Daily Roundup covers tomorrow's podcast guest, DONDI with a statistical abnormality last night, the Joe Schmo Show, Love is Blind had more engagements that weren't shown, & Paradise on Hulu has their best episode yet.   Music written by Jimmer Podrasky (B'Jingo Songs/Machia Music/Bug Music BMI) Ads:   Factor Meals - 50% off your first box PLUS free shipping at https://factormeals.com/realitysteve50off Promo Code: realitysteve50off Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices