Podcast appearances and mentions of lance roberts

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Play Episode Listen Later Aug 29, 2026 70:57

LOCK IN YOUR EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S FALL ONLINE CONFERENCE (OCT 17TH) at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceA current sell signal, slowing momentum, retail demand weakening...These are just some of the recently indicators suggesting the market rally is stocks is losing steam, and more likely than not to experience some sort of pullback in the coming weeks.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds, as well as Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, the breaking deal for the US to gain access to 65+ billion barrels of Venezuelan oil reserves, Nvidia's blowout earnigns & forecast, and of course, his firm's latest trades.For everything the mattered to markets this week, watch this video.#kevinwarsh #oil #nvidia _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/disclosureThoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/agreementIMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

8-27-26 Nvidia Says the AI Boom Is Just Getting Started

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 27, 2026 46:01

Nvidia delivered another blockbuster quarter, reporting record revenue of $96.2 billion, up 106% from a year ago, as demand for AI infrastructure continues to accelerate. But the bigger story may be what comes next. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Nvidia's latest earnings, its extraordinary growth outlook, Blackwell and Vera Rubin demand, the massive buildout in AI infrastructure, and Nvidia's growing financial involvement across the AI ecosystem. We also examine the risks, including rising memory costs, margin pressure, enormous capital requirements, and questions about whether today's AI spending boom can deliver adequate returns. 0:00 INTRO 1:00 - Economic Recap & Multiplier Effect 6:31 - Market Push from NASDAQ 11:45 - Passwords, Needles & Rosso's toys 14:30 - NVIDIA Reports - Markets Respond 21:36 - How Ancillary Business Benefit from NVIDIA 24:03 - NVIDIA Stock Performance 25:32 - The Heat Map Game 27:25 - Portfolio Positioning & Nat Gas play 30:37 - The Economics of Gilligan's Island 35:33 - Productivity Factors of AI 38:04 - How Much Return on AI Investment will there be 39:57 - How Will AI be Transformative? 42:42 - We're All Investing in AI Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/lGSWXLw9dPY ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fueling AI Data Centers: Behind The Meter Solutions- Part 1" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/fueling-ai-data-centers-behind-the-meter-solutions-part-1/ "Behind The Meter Solutions Investment Guide- Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/behind-the-meter-solutions-investment-guide-part-2/ "Productivity On Gilligan's Island: Episode 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/productivity-on-gilligans-island-episode-2/ "Bitcoin Up 22%: Has The Halving Cycle Begun?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bitcoin-up-22-has-the-halving-cycle-begun/ --- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "NASDAQ Technicals Are Turning Higher," https://youtu.be/33KMo6HoezY ------- Watch our previous show, "Are Today's Interest Rates Really That High?" https://youtube.com/live/lPCVe6O4LjM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NASDAQ #StockMarket #TechnologyStocks #MarketOutlook #Investing #Nvidia #NVDA #NvidiaEarnings #AIStocks

8-26-26 Q&A Wednesday - The Biggest Risk to Markets Now

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2026 58:41

Markets are facing a growing list of risks as investors head into the final stretch of summer. Stocks are working through a slow-moving correction, Treasury yields remain elevated, technology leadership is being tested, and the Federal Reserve faces renewed questions about inflation and interest rates. Which risks actually matter for your portfolio, and which are mostly market noise? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff answer your questions, live, as we break down the latest economic data, market signals, Fed policy expectations, bond yields, and geopolitical developments to separate the real threats from the headlines. 0:00 INTRO 1:00 - Dolly Parton's Passing 1:46 - NVDIA is the Big News Today - will move markets tomorrow 4:34 - Markets Rally and Hold 20-DMA; Mitigating Market Risk 6:38 - NVIDIA Preview 10:26 - Lance's Wardrobe 11:35 - Semi-conductor Strategies 14:44 - 401-k Rotation Strategies 19:52 - Looking at Interest Rate plays - what is your goal? 22:13 - Is the Globalization Narrative breaking down? (TV Pricing & Exporting Inflation, Importing Deflation) 27:46 - Modifying Cap Ex concept in AI business? 28:48 - If the Basis Trade blows up? 29:19 - Barbell Strategies for ten-year term (Value ETF's vs Momentum ETF's) 35:22 - 50-50 portfolio (eating cake every night & not gain weight) 37:47 - Etherium Price at EOY? (you've missed The Move for this year); it is a risk asset 40:01 - Stuck with TMF (leveraged ETF) What Would You Do From here? 44:51 - When a Company is sold, when to get out? 45:24 - Value vs growth 46:04 - NVIDIA, Market Cap Concentration, & Top Ten Stocks 49:01 - What Could Cause a Spike Higher in Yields? 51:50 - Stanley Drunkenmiller vs the Fed: Let the market dictate action 52:49 - Balanced Portfolios at age 80? 55:21 - Sectors most under-valued, over-looked, and over-valued? 56:38 - How much of investing proverbs/rules have come true? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/tESc03T56K4?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Think Like An Investor, Not A Speculator (Chapter 1 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/think-like-an-investor-chapter-1-of-5/ "Investor Psychology Is Sabotaging Your Returns (Chapter 2 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-psychology-is-sabotaging-your-returns-chapter-2-of-5/ "Normal Interest Rates: What The Debt Panic Gets Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/normal-interest-rates-what-the-debt-panic-gets-wrong/ "Three Percent Real TIPS Yields: Boring But Valuable" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/three-percent-real-tips-yields-boring-but-valuable/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "NVIDIA Earnings Put Market Support to the Test," https://youtu.be/5Dkn-dNU9wA ------- Watch our previous show, "Are Today's Interest Rates Really That High?" https://youtube.com/live/lPCVe6O4LjM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NVIDIA #StockMarket #NVDA #Investing #MarketOutlook #FederalReserve #Investing #InterestRates

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8-25-26 Are Today's Interest Rates Really That High

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 25, 2026 51:13

Interest rates are rising, long-term bond prices have pulled back, and investors are once again worried that higher Treasury yields could threaten the economy and markets. But what if today's rates aren't historically high at all? After more than a decade of near-zero rates and easy monetary policy, investors may have become accustomed to an environment that was anything but normal. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn put today's interest rates into historical perspective, examine what higher yields really say about inflation, growth, debt, and deficits, and explain why a 5% long-term Treasury yield may not be the crisis many headlines suggest. We'll also look at what the changing rate environment means for stocks, bonds, portfolio risk, and investors deciding whether weakness in longer-duration bonds is a warning—or an opportunity. 0:00 INTRO 1:04 - Weekly Preview & Treasury General Account Bond Buy Backs 2:04 - Shorting Treasuries & The Hedge Fund Trade 5:37 - Markets Going Thru a Slow-Motion Correction 8:24 - BitCoin Rallies on Bessent Announcement 11:52 - Bonds & Rates: Brake or Break? 19:08 - Rates Are Normal 21:56 - The Primary Determinants that Set Loan Rates (Economic Composite Index) 25:46 - The Effect of Debt on Economy 29:46 - The Negative Multiplier, Measured (Gov't. Debt vs Household Debt) 33:33 - The S&P in 2008? When Markets are Unsustainable 36:58 - $40-trillion (and "Zero") & Shock and Awe 39:40 - Retirees Get Paid to own Treasuries (How Much to Allocate?) 41:57 - Is the Dollar Losing Value? 44:45 - There is Always a Buyer for Debt (Primary Dealers) 47:56 - Fasting w Lance & Christina Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/lPCVe6O4LjM ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Normal Interest Rates: What The Debt Panic Gets Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/normal-interest-rates-what-the-debt-panic-gets-wrong/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "Market Correction: Patience Pays," https://youtu.be/w_BcRBJ00Io ------- Watch our previous show, "Is the Basis Trade Distorting Bond Yields?" https://youtube.com/live/UtY2oV1kkXc ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #Bitcoin #MarketCorrection #InterestRates #TreasuryYields #BondMarket #Bitcoin #FederalReserve

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8-24-26 Is the Basis Trade Distorting Bond Yields

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Play Episode Listen Later Aug 24, 2026 43:25

Are Treasury yields still sending investors a reliable signal about inflation, growth, and Federal Reserve policy, or is the massive basis trade distorting the message? Lance Roberts explains how the basis trade works, why it matters for Treasury yields, and whether investors can still trust the bond market as an economic and market signal. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - Kevin Warsh + Nvidia Report = Volatility? 5:28 - Market Deviations & Bollinger Bands 13:07 - The Basis Trade & Interest Rates 16:17 - What is a Basis Point? 21:31 - Are Interest Rates Really Telling us What's Going on in Markets? 22:42 - What's the Risk/What Happens When Basis Trade Unwinds? 26:47 - Does Kevin Warsh have Enough Time to Fix It? 28:28 - What Happened on Liberation Day 29:39 - What to Do About It 34:29 - The Psychology of Buyers & Sellers: The Houston Housing Market 37:85 - The Index is the Index Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/UtY2oV1kkXc ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Basis Trade: Is The Bond Market Signal Distorted?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-basis-trade-is-the-bond-market-signal-distorted/ "Investor Psychology Is Sabotaging Your Returns (Chapter 2 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-psychology-is-sabotaging-your-returns-chapter-2-of-5/ "Think Like An Investor, Not A Speculator (Chapter 1 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/think-like-an-investor-chapter-1-of-5/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "Bollinger Bands Are Flashing a Warning," https://youtu.be/HA5OZbl3a4Y ------- Watch our previous show, "The Best Retirement Head Start for Your Kids," https://youtube.com/live/IqyxMopn1Uw?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #BollingerBands #Investing #MarketOutlook #PortfolioManagement #BondMarket #TreasuryYields #BasisTrade #FederalReserve

Risk Of A 10% Market Correction Now Uncomfortably High | Lance Roberts

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Play Episode Listen Later Aug 22, 2026 89:46

REGISTER FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S FALL ONLINE CONFERENCE (OCT 17TH) at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceAfter a rip-roaring rally that began in April, sending the market to new all-time highs, the S&P is now cooling off.Is this just a short breather before stocks race back to new highs soon?Probably not, thinks portfolio manager Lance Roberts.He assesses that the downside risks outweigh the upside ones, and that a correction of about 10% or so is the most likely outcome over coming weeks.He and I discuss why he thinks so, as well as the US Treasury's version of Operation Twist that launched this week, the future massive potential impact of stablecoins and, as usual, Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this new Market Recap#marketcorrection #inflation #stablecoins _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/disclosureThoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/agreementIMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

8-20-26 Is Treasury Bailing Out the Bond Market

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2026 43:46

Is the Treasury stepping in to rescue the bond market, or is that the wrong way to interpret its purchases of long-term Treasuries? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz examine why Treasury purchases are not necessarily the same as Federal Reserve quantitative easing, how issuing Treasury debt to fund an asset swap differs from creating new money, and what this could mean for bond yields, inflation, and investors. We'll also look at the changing relationship between Treasury bonds and gold. 0:00 INTRO 0:50 - Treasury Action & FOMC Meeting Minutes 4:19 - Market Rally on Debt Buy Back 10:03 - Are High Oil Prices Deflationary? 11:13 - Debt & GDP 13:53 - Federal Debt as % of GDP 17:51 - Selling Treasuries is Not a Problem 18:31 - What Happens if Gov't Stops Spending 20:55 - The Treasury Buy Back Plan 24:59 - The History of Buy Back Operations 28:12 - The Basis Trade 31:52 - The Term Premium Model 36:09 - What Would Cause Basis Trade to Unwind? 39:18 - When the Gov't Cuts Spending Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Treasury Buybacks Spark a Market Bounce," https://youtu.be/pY-lAMlQo7M -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/9qhjXZbxkxs ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The US Treasury Doubles Down On Buybacks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-us-treasury-doubles-down-on-buybacks/ -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Are Rising Rates a Market Warning?" https://youtu.be/j6w6g_kXQrU?si=zGfqusgrjAIu1jdN ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #TreasuryYields #MarketVolatility #Investing #TreasuryBonds #BondMarket #GovernmentSpending #InterestRates

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8-19-26 Q&A Wednesday - Are Rising Rates a Market Warning

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2026 41:38

More investors are turning to TikTok, YouTube, and other social-media platforms for financial advice. But how do you separate useful financial education from bad advice, speculation, and outright scams? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn discuss how to evaluate financial advice online, the warning signs investors should watch for, and why popularity, followers, and flashy lifestyles aren't substitutes for expertise. Social media can help people become better investors—but only if they know whom to trust. 0:00 INTRO 0:57 - FOMC Meeting Minutes Preview & Weaker Economic Data 3:26 - Will Earnings Tailwinds Fade in 2207? 5:12 - Market Deviations Continue - Downside Risk Remains 10:15 - Bond Yields & Abnormal Interest Rates (article coming) 16:45 - Why the National Debt is not a Factor in Interest Rates 19:42 - Momentum ETF's & Roth IRA's 27:47 - Shorting Strategies post-IPO? 30:10 - First Houses & Starter Homes 33:27 - Things Aren't That Bad... 37:37 - Buying Bonds and paying accrued interest 38:18 - Putting Money in 401-k 38:40 - Buying Energy Stocks Now? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "September Rally Test Ahead" https://youtu.be/j6w6g_kXQrU?si=zGfqusgrjAIu1jdN -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/9qhjXZbxkxs ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "SpaceX IPO: Should I Buy It, Or Wait?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spacex-ipo-should-i-buy-it-or-wait/ "Leveraged ETFs: Math Often Trumps Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leveraged-etfs-math-often-trumps-hype/ "Think Like An Investor, Not A Speculator (Chapter 1 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/think-like-an-investor-chapter-1-of-5/ -------- Watch our previous show, "Can You Trust Financial Advice on Social Media? https://youtube.com/live/v6Wy7iLl-gQ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #MarketOutlook #FederalReserve #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Inflation #SpaceX #HomeBuyers

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8-18-26 Can You Trust Financial Advice on Social Media

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2026 48:42

More investors are turning to TikTok, YouTube, and other social-media platforms for financial advice. But how do you separate useful financial education from bad advice, speculation, and outright scams? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn discuss how to evaluate financial advice online, the warning signs investors should watch for, and why popularity, followers, and flashy lifestyles aren't substitutes for expertise. Social media can help people become better investors—but only if they know whom to trust. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - Don't Read Too Much Into Indexes 3:14 - Cap-X Spending: Space-X Data Center Grimes County Tax Abatement 5:14 - Market Factors & Dynamics (Momentum Index, Semi-conductor Index, IGV, Value Index, MGK Mega-cap stocks) 11:32 - The Myths of Long Term Investing - Pt-1 13:37 - The Great Wealth Transfer Fail 18:13 - Financial Advice on Social Media 19:47 - Sports Betting as Part of Financial Plan? 21:00 - How We Differ from the Other Guys on Social Media 24:26 - Four Buckets of Social Media Influencers 28:13 - What are They Selling? (Our stuff is free) 30:58 - The Thing About Newsletter Recommendations 32:05 - How Much Risk Can You Afford (and how will you behave)? 34:23 - The $3-T problem: Investors Still Holding Cash? 35:33 - Why the Negativity About Bonds? 38:56 - Why the Prices of Bonds Move (& the home buying conundrum) 43:25 - Looking at our allocations 44:25 - The "Cash on the Sidelines" Myth Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Why Your Portfolio Doesn't Match the Market," https://youtu.be/fYCwotrLSAM -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/v6Wy7iLl-gQ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Think Like An Investor, Not A Speculator (Chapter 1 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/think-like-an-investor-chapter-1-of-5/ -------- Watch our previous show, "Record Highs: Should You Chase the Rally? https://youtube.com/live/c44_giKICEY?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #PortfolioManagement #SP500 #FinancialPlanning #SP500 #MarketOutlook #MarketRally #FinancialAdvice #SocialMedia

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8-17-26 Record Highs - Should You Chase the Rally

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Play Episode Listen Later Aug 17, 2026 41:11

Stocks are back near record highs, the trend remains bullish, and market breadth is strong. But after a powerful run, the S&P 500 is stretched well above its major moving averages, while investor sentiment and money flows have reached extreme levels. Lance Roberts reviews Yen Intervention Narrative amd examines what is driving the rally, why retail investors are piling back into previously beaten-down trades, and whether strong earnings, buybacks, and broad participation can keep markets moving higher. Rebalancing, taking profits in oversized positions, and maintaining discipline may be more important than trying to squeeze every last percentage point out of the rally. 0:00 INTRO 0:54 - 20-Weeks Until Christmas & Pumpkin Spice 2:00 - Target, WalMart, & Retail Spending 6:59 - Markets Post Third Week of Gains 9:54 - Volatility & Risk/Reward 13:07 - Your vs You're & UR 14:45 - Yen Interventions & Dollar Swaps 19:48 - The 2011 Japan Crisis 28:49 - Do You Chase this Rally? 34:04 - Money Flow & Market Breadth 38:54 - What You Should Do Next Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Is the Market's Risk-Reward Getting Worse? https://youtu.be/zadlkEF7iN0 -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/c44_giKICEY?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yen Intervention Narrative: What's True And Not" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yen-intervention-narrative-whats-true-and-not/ "Record Highs: Should You Chase The Rally?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/record-highs-should-you-chase-the-rally/ "Think Like An Investor, Not A Speculator (Chapter 1 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/think-like-an-investor-chapter-1-of-5/ -------- Watch our previous show, "The Retirement Magic Number Trap" https://youtube.com/live/vjIZ60E3B0I?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #PortfolioManagement #MarketRally #SP500 #YenIntervention

Recent Market Breakout Running Out Of Steam? | Lance Roberts

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Play Episode Listen Later Aug 15, 2026 96:43

Stocks are now "stuck" in a trading range after their recent upside breakout.Is the rally running out of steam?Or are new highs ahead, perhaps after a brief re-test?Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds, as well as the future of AI stocks, the latest employment & CPI data and, of course, his firm's latest trades -- of which he made many over the past week.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Market Recap.If your work depends on important conversations and making informed decisions, Plaud can help you capture what matters and revisit it when you need it most. Visit https://plaud.ai/adam and use code adam for 15% off all Plaud devices. That's P-L-A-U-D dot A-I slash adam.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #aistocks #inflation _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/disclosureThoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/agreementIMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

8-13-26 Does the Inflation Report Give the Fed More Time?

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Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2026 42:41

The latest inflation report came in largely as expected, giving the Federal Reserve something increasingly valuable: more time. Inflation was neither soft enough to eliminate concerns about price pressures nor hot enough to force the Fed's hand. That leaves investors asking what comes next for interest rates, the economy, and markets. Lance Roberts examines what the latest inflation data means for Fed policy, whether officials can remain patient, and what investors should watch as the debate over inflation and interest rates continues. 0:00 INTRO 0:50 - CPI & Bond Auction Action 4:00 - Markets Are Stretched 9:31 - Lebo Merch 11:03 - CPI, Inflation, & Oil Prices 12:31 - What The Fed Should Do 16:08 - Core Inflation 18:01 - Inflation vs Prices 20:29 - Why Inflation is Important 21:01 - Why Leave Your Money at Old Company? 21:55 - Why Inflation Matters 24:48 - What the Fed May Do in September 28:31 - CPI Measurement & Boskin Commission 32:09 - The AI "Circular Financing" Narrative Debunked 35:43 - AI Spend per Employee per Month (Chart) 38:19 - AI Winners & Losers Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Retail Investors Are Chasing Again," https://youtu.be/1sKwI4gscZo -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Hl6lVuNeTYM ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Wall Street To Support Data Center Growth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wall-street-to-support-data-center-growth/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Is Inflation Back in Control?" https://youtu.be/ygeDd0d0XF8 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #PortfolioManagement #Inflation #FederalReserve #InterestRates

8-13-26 Retail Investors Are Chasing Again | Before the Bell

google video investors chasing retail markets s p lance roberts

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2026 4:27

Markets remain near record highs, but after a powerful run since April, the S&P 500 is trading more than two standard deviations above trend and has stalled in a tight range. At the same time, retail investors are aggressively buying dips and returning to many of the stocks and sectors that previously burned them. That enthusiasm can keep markets elevated, but stretched conditions warrant caution. As midterm elections approach, investors should avoid chasing the rally, rebalance where necessary, and focus on managing portfolio risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/1sKwI4gscZo --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Wall Street To Support Data Center Growth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wall-street-to-support-data-center-growth/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #PortfolioManagement

8-12-26 Q&A Wednesday - Is Inflation Back in Control?

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 42:06

Fresh inflation data later this morning puts the Federal Reserve and the economy back in focus: Can inflation continue to cool despite higher energy prices? Is the weakening labor market increasing pressure on the Fed to cut rates? And with markets near record highs, should investors remain bullish, rebalance portfolios, or prepare for more volatility? Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your live questions on inflation, interest rates, the economy, markets, portfolio risk, and what investors should be watching next. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Inflation Day - CPI Preview 3:45 - Earning Season wrapping - earnings beats were high, buy backs return 4:35 - Markets Bank & Forth, consolidation continues 5:19 - Bullish Trend Continues - focus on what matters 9:27 - Bloomberg Poll - Living On Parents' Money & Adulting 14:57 - When buying stocks, how much does CEO matter? 17:07 - Tracking Gold Prices/Oil Prices/Inflation 18:25 - K-shaped Economy: When will weakening consumer matter? (Never bet against the consumer) 20:22 - AI Data Center Investment instruments: Revenue-generating asset class? 22:55 - Capital Gains Tax changes' effects on Boomer Retirement? 24:15 - Individual Bonds vs Bond Funds (SimpleVisor) 26:34 - US Treasuries & Yen intervention (FIMA Facility) 29:48 - Bond Yields at 5%+ - Good Time to Buy? 30:54 - CAPE Yields 31:23 - Are Buybacks Losing their Effectiveness? 33:20 - Is there circular-financing going on with Nvidia? 36:34 - What do you consider a long-duration bond? (Duration exceeds needs) 38:49 - What about Corporate Bonds? 39:56 - Earnings are fake? (Microsoft Operating Income) Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Why Bearish Headlines Keep Losing," https://youtu.be/ygeDd0d0XF8 -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Hl6lVuNeTYM ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Abel Takes Charge at Berkshire Hathaway" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/abel-takes-charge-at-berkshire-hathaway/ -------- Watch our previous show, "What Really Drives Markets?" https://youtube.com/live/c9cOlFVLGoU ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #Earnings #PortfolioManagement #Inflation #FederalReserve #Economy

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8-12-26 Why Bearish Headlines Keep Losing | Before the Bell

google video losing momentum markets bearish lance roberts

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 3:52

Markets are consolidating after their recent surge, but the underlying trend remains bullish. Momentum is on a buy signal, moving averages are rising, earnings remain strong, credit spreads are tight, and liquidity continues to support stocks. From tariffs and geopolitical conflicts to recession fears, bearish narratives have repeatedly challenged investors over the past five years. Yet staying out of the market because of scary headlines has been costly. Lance Roberts explains why earnings, liquidity, credit conditions, and market trends matter more than predictions, and why investors should focus on the data rather than the narrative. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/ygeDd0d0XF8 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #Earnings #PortfolioManagement

8-12-26 Q&A Wednesday - Is Inflation Back in Control?

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2026 42:07

Fresh inflation data later this morning puts the Federal Reserve and the economy back in focus: Can inflation continue to cool despite higher energy prices? Is the weakening labor market increasing pressure on the Fed to cut rates? And with markets near record highs, should investors remain bullish, rebalance portfolios, or prepare for more volatility? Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your live questions on inflation, interest rates, the economy, markets, portfolio risk, and what investors should be watching next. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Inflation Day - CPI Preview 3:45 - Earning Season wrapping - earnings beats were high, buy backs return 4:35 - Markets Bank & Forth, consolidation continues 5:19 - Bullish Trend Continues - focus on what matters 9:27 - Bloomberg Poll - Living On Parents' Money & Adulting 14:57 - When buying stocks, how much does CEO matter? 17:07 - Tracking Gold Prices/Oil Prices/Inflation 18:25 - K-shaped Economy: When will weakening consumer matter? (Never bet against the consumer) 20:22 - AI Data Center Investment instruments: Revenue-generating asset class? 22:55 - Capital Gains Tax changes' effects on Boomer Retirement? 24:15 - Individual Bonds vs Bond Funds (SimpleVisor) 26:34 - US Treasuries & Yen intervention (FIMA Facility) 29:48 - Bond Yields at 5%+ - Good Time to Buy? 30:54 - CAPE Yields 31:23 - Are Buybacks Losing their Effectiveness? 33:20 - Is there circular-financing going on with Nvidia? 36:34 - What do you consider a long-duration bond? (Duration exceeds needs) 38:49 - What about Corporate Bonds? 39:56 - Earnings are fake? (Microsoft Operating Income) Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Why Bearish Headlines Keep Losing," https://youtu.be/ygeDd0d0XF8 -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/Hl6lVuNeTYM ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Abel Takes Charge at Berkshire Hathaway" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/abel-takes-charge-at-berkshire-hathaway/ -------- Watch our previous show, "What Really Drives Markets?" https://youtube.com/live/c9cOlFVLGoU ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #Earnings #PortfolioManagement #Inflation #FederalReserve #Economy

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8-11-26 What Really Drives Markets

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2026 46:03

What really drives bull and bear markets? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine why corporate earnings remain one of the most important forces behind market performance. Rising profits can support bull markets, while significant earnings declines have historically accompanied the most severe bear markets. We also examine calls for “sound money” and a return to the gold standard. While concerns over debt, deficits, inflation, and dollar debasement are legitimate, a gold-backed dollar could have significant consequences for credit, economic growth, and investors. The key is separating economic concerns from the fundamental forces actually driving markets. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - CPI Preview & Economic Numbers 4:51 - Markets Break Out to All-new Highs 10:15 - Birthday's & Beach Trips 12:13 - Emails to Lance - Back to Gold? 15:28 - Why We Invest 17:46 - Short-run Price Uncertainty 20:26 - The US as Reserve Currency of the World 21:30 - Real GDP vs Debt 24:38 - The Gold Standard Trap 25:53 - Gold's Role in Your Portfolio 29:26 - Earnings & Valuations - What to Pay Attention To? 31:57 - Markets are Constantly Pricing-in Earnings Expectations 33:17 - Earnings & Multiplier Performance History 34:56 - How We Rebalanced - Black Rock vs Goldman 36:16 - When Earnings Fall (chart) 39:05 - Credit Spread - The Differential Between Yields 43:02 - AI Credit Spreads are a Small Part of Market Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Market Highs Come With a Warning" https://youtu.be/3RiOabBiud4 -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/c9cOlFVLGoU ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wage-growth-as-a-leading-inflation-indicator/ "Sound Money: Be Careful What You Wish For" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sound-money-be-careful-what-you-wish-for/ "Earnings Drive Both Bull & Bear Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-drive-both-bull-bear-markets/ "Leveraged ETFs: Math Often Trumps Hype" -------- Watch our previous show, "Internet Scams You Need to Know - The Ari Schwartz Interview https://youtube.com/live/Azt1_vs16bA?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #MarketRisk #Volatility #Earnings #Gold #MarketOutlook

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8-11-26 Market Highs Come With a Warning | Before the Bell

google video market markets highs volatility lance roberts

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2026 4:39

Markets have broken out to new all-time highs after two months of consolidation, a bullish development that could support higher prices over the next six to twelve months. But the rapid advance has also pushed markets back toward overbought conditions. Volatility is deeply suppressed, investor fear is scarce, and money flow and market breadth have surged toward levels where they have historically peaked. That does not mean a market crash is coming, but it does argue for greater attention to portfolio risk. We explain why the longer-term outlook remains bullish, what could trigger a correction, and which market internals we're watching next. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/3RiOabBiud4 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Leveraged ETFs: Math Often Trumps Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leveraged-etfs-math-often-trumps-hype/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #MarketRisk #Volatility

8-11-26 What Really Drives Markets?

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2026 46:04

What really drives bull and bear markets? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine why corporate earnings remain one of the most important forces behind market performance. Rising profits can support bull markets, while significant earnings declines have historically accompanied the most severe bear markets. We also examine calls for "sound money" and a return to the gold standard. While concerns over debt, deficits, inflation, and dollar debasement are legitimate, a gold-backed dollar could have significant consequences for credit, economic growth, and investors. The key is separating economic concerns from the fundamental forces actually driving markets. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - CPI Preview & Economic Numbers 4:51 - Markets Break Out to All-new Highs 10:15 - Birthday's & Beach Trips 12:13 - Emails to Lance - Back to Gold? 15:28 - Why We Invest 17:46 - Short-run Price Uncertainty 20:26 - The US as Reserve Currency of the World 21:30 - Real GDP vs Debt 24:38 - The Gold Standard Trap 25:53 - Gold's Role in Your Portfolio 29:26 - Earnings & Valuations - What to Pay Attention To? 31:57 - Markets are Constantly Pricing-in Earnings Expectations 33:17 - Earnings & Multiplier Performance History 34:56 - How We Rebalanced - Black Rock vs Goldman 36:16 - When Earnings Fall (chart) 39:05 - Credit Spread - The Differential Between Yields 43:02 - AI Credit Spreads are a Small Part of Market Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Market Highs Come With a Warning" https://youtu.be/3RiOabBiud4 -------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/c9cOlFVLGoU ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Wage Growth As A Leading Inflation Indicator" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/wage-growth-as-a-leading-inflation-indicator/ "Sound Money: Be Careful What You Wish For" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sound-money-be-careful-what-you-wish-for/ "Earnings Drive Both Bull & Bear Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-drive-both-bull-bear-markets/ "Leveraged ETFs: Math Often Trumps Hype" -------- Watch our previous show, "Internet Scams You Need to Know - The Ari Schwartz Interview https://youtube.com/live/Azt1_vs16bA?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #MarketRisk #Volatility #Earnings #Gold #MarketOutlook

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8-6-26 Hidden AI Debt - Is the Risk Overblown

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2026 40:28

Has Wall Street been looking at hyperscaler debt all wrong? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine claims that the "hidden debt" of AI hyperscalers has surged to $1.65 trillion through off-balance-sheet obligations, including long-term leases and infrastructure commitments. But does that mean the AI investment thesis is breaking down? We'll separate the headlines from the fundamentals by comparing the financial strength of Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle. While hidden obligations deserve attention, not all debt carries the same risk, and not every hyperscaler should be viewed through the same lens. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - ISM Looking Good, MFG at 4-year High 4:13 - Markets Take a Rest - time to rebalance? 9:27 - Forward Returns After Breakout to New Highs 14:04 - Open Source AI vs Closed Source AI 17:18 - Who Benefits, Regardless of Source? (Who is the common denominator?) 22:31 - Hyperscaler Bear Porn - Look at the debt 24:53 - A Basket of Hyperscalers Does Not an Index Make 27:35 - What Does "Off Balance Sheet" Mean? (There Are Three Types) 28:27 - Data Center Leasing 30:32 - Joint Ventures 30:55 - Chip Leasing 35:20 - Listen to the Markets 38:34 - Busting Narratives; don't believe the hype Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/HeU8LWC2rfo?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Palantir Earnings Provide Hope For The Software Sector" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/palantir-earnings-provide-hope-for-the-software-sector/ "Hidden Debt: Is Our Hyperscaler Thesis Wrong – Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hidden-debt-is-our-hyperscaler-thesis-wrong-part-2/ "Carnage In Hyperscaler Credit: Really?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/carnage-in-hyperscaler-credit-really/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Time to Rebalance?" https://youtu.be/y7Er-AsOkFc ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Market Questions Answered" https://youtube.com/live/9KGokK9tGuA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #PortfolioManagement #RiskManagement #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #Technology #FinancialPlanning

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8-6-26 Time to Rebalance? | Before the Bell

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Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2026 4:12

The S&P 500 has broken out to fresh all-time highs after months of consolidation, triggering a new momentum buy signal. But after one of the strongest five-day rallies since April 2025, should investors keep buying, or start taking profits? In today's Before the Bell, we discuss why this is an ideal time to review your portfolio's risk, rebalance strategically, and trim oversized winners. We explain why rebalancing shouldn't be mechanical, how to distinguish quality companies from long-term laggards, and why understanding why a stock is underperforming matters just as much as its valuation. We also examine surging call-option activity, declining volatility, and why a healthy pullback would be normal after such a powerful advance. Learn how disciplined profit-taking and thoughtful portfolio management can help reduce stress during the market's next consolidation or correction. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/y7Er-AsOkFc --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #PortfolioManagement #RiskManagement #MarketOutlook

8-6-26 Hidden AI Debt: Is the Risk Overblown?

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2026 40:29

Has Wall Street been looking at hyperscaler debt all wrong? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine claims that the "hidden debt" of AI hyperscalers has surged to $1.65 trillion through off-balance-sheet obligations, including long-term leases and infrastructure commitments. But does that mean the AI investment thesis is breaking down? We'll separate the headlines from the fundamentals by comparing the financial strength of Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle. While hidden obligations deserve attention, not all debt carries the same risk, and not every hyperscaler should be viewed through the same lens. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - ISM Looking Good, MFG at 4-year High 4:13 - Markets Take a Rest - time to rebalance? 9:27 - Forward Returns After Breakout to New Highs 14:04 - Open Source AI vs Closed Source AI 17:18 - Who Benefits, Regardless of Source? (Who is the common denominator?) 22:31 - Hyperscaler Bear Porn - Look at the debt 24:53 - A Basket of Hyperscalers Does Not an Index Make 27:35 - What Does "Off Balance Sheet" Mean? (There Are Three Types) 28:27 - Data Center Leasing 30:32 - Joint Ventures 30:55 - Chip Leasing 35:20 - Listen to the Markets 38:34 - Busting Narratives; don't believe the hype Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/HeU8LWC2rfo?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Palantir Earnings Provide Hope For The Software Sector" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/palantir-earnings-provide-hope-for-the-software-sector/ "Hidden Debt: Is Our Hyperscaler Thesis Wrong – Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hidden-debt-is-our-hyperscaler-thesis-wrong-part-2/ "Carnage In Hyperscaler Credit: Really?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/carnage-in-hyperscaler-credit-really/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Time to Rebalance?" https://youtu.be/y7Er-AsOkFc ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Market Questions Answered" https://youtube.com/live/9KGokK9tGuA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Medicare Planning: Everything You Need to Know Before You Enroll," Thursday, August 20, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/Qjx33M2tS4i4 --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #PortfolioManagement #RiskManagement #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #Technology #FinancialPlanning

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8-5-26 Q&A Wednesday - Market Questions Answered

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2026 49:29

It's Q&A Wednesday, and we're answering your live chat questions on today's biggest investing, market, and economic topics. With the S&P 500 near record highs after weeks of consolidation, investors are asking what comes next. Is this breakout sustainable, or are markets setting up for another bout of volatility? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff discuss market leadership, interest rates, inflation, AI, bonds, portfolio positioning, retirement planning, and whatever else is on your mind. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - AMD, Eli Lilly Earnings & Markets' New High 2:49 - Strait of Hormuz/Iran & Headlines 4:24 - Economic Data Weakens - JOLTS report 5:11 - The Thing About Consolidations & Breakouts 7:54 - Interest rates about to trigger bond buy signal 10:00 - Coffee & Keeping Lance Around 10:51 - Market Behavior & Investment Sentiment 12:19 - Core CPI vs Fed Funds Rate: Is the Fed wrong or the bond market wrong? 15:47 - Using Stablecoin to purchase international stocks 18:05 - Options strategies on parabolic moves 19:00 - US Debt Clock composition & Gold Purchases 23:16 - Will Yield Curve Control be eventually implemented? 24:50 - Is this a good week to rebalance? 27:18 - Investing in broad-market ETF's via SEP IRA 31:27 - Preferred Bonds vs Corp Bonds, & 60/40 Allocations 34:15 - Why you need inflation (why we invest) 39:28 - Understanding what you're buying (bonds) 42:17 - Emerging Market equities concentrated in PVR, VALE? 42:45 - Off balance Sheet AI Debt 43:14 - US purchase of Yen - a form of yield curve control? 46:49 - Traditional Pension + SS = ratio for equities? 48:25 - Two Types of Debt Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/HeU8LWC2rfo?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bonds In Your Portfolio: Why Ditching Them Is The Wrong Move" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bonds-in-your-portfolio-why-ditching-them-is-the-wrong-move/ "AI Bear Case: What Skeptics Get Right And Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bear-case-what-skeptics-get-right-and-wrong/ "The Momentum Crash: Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-momentum-crash-is-it-over/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "New Highs, Now What?" https://youtu.be/K0SaWvIeYkQ ------- Watch our previous show, "The 60/40 Portfolio Is Not Dead" https://youtube.com/live/9KGokK9tGuA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #Bonds #MarketOutlook FinancialPlanning #MarketOutlook

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8-5-26 Q&A Wednesday: Market Questions Answered

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2026 49:30

It's Q&A Wednesday, and we're answering your live chat questions on today's biggest investing, market, and economic topics. With the S&P 500 near record highs after weeks of consolidation, investors are asking what comes next. Is this breakout sustainable, or are markets setting up for another bout of volatility? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff discuss market leadership, interest rates, inflation, AI, bonds, portfolio positioning, retirement planning, and whatever else is on your mind. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - AMD, Eli Lilly Earnings & Markets' New High 2:49 - Strait of Hormuz/Iran & Headlines 4:24 - Economic Data Weakens - JOLTS report 5:11 - The Thing About Consolidations & Breakouts 7:54 - Interest rates about to trigger bond buy signal 10:00 - Coffee & Keeping Lance Around 10:51 - Market Behavior & Investment Sentiment 12:19 - Core CPI vs Fed Funds Rate: Is the Fed wrong or the bond market wrong? 15:47 - Using Stablecoin to purchase international stocks 18:05 - Options strategies on parabolic moves 19:00 - US Debt Clock composition & Gold Purchases 23:16 - Will Yield Curve Control be eventually implemented? 24:50 - Is this a good week to rebalance? 27:18 - Investing in broad-market ETF's via SEP IRA 31:27 - Preferred Bonds vs Corp Bonds, & 60/40 Allocations 34:15 - Why you need inflation (why we invest) 39:28 - Understanding what you're buying (bonds) 42:17 - Emerging Market equities concentrated in PVR, VALE? 42:45 - Off balance Sheet AI Debt 43:14 - US purchase of Yen - a form of yield curve control? 46:49 - Traditional Pension + SS = ratio for equities? 48:25 - Two Types of Debt Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/HeU8LWC2rfo?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bonds In Your Portfolio: Why Ditching Them Is The Wrong Move" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bonds-in-your-portfolio-why-ditching-them-is-the-wrong-move/ "AI Bear Case: What Skeptics Get Right And Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bear-case-what-skeptics-get-right-and-wrong/ "The Momentum Crash: Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-momentum-crash-is-it-over/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "New Highs, Now What?" https://youtu.be/K0SaWvIeYkQ ------- Watch our previous show, "The 60/40 Portfolio Is Not Dead" https://youtube.com/live/9KGokK9tGuA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #Bonds #MarketOutlook FinancialPlanning #MarketOutlook

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8-5-26 New Highs, Now What? | Before the Bell

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Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2026 4:10

The S&P 500 has broken out to a new all-time high after months of sideways consolidation, but does that mean investors should immediately buy? Lance Roberts explains how consolidations work, why sideways markets can resolve overbought conditions without a major correction, and why patience may be rewarded after a breakout. We also discuss why a short-term pullback toward the breakout level could create a better entry point while preserving the current momentum buy signal. Plus, we examine the bond market as falling Treasury yields move closer to triggering a buy signal, despite ongoing concerns about inflation and oil prices. Before chasing new highs, understand what the technicals are signaling about stocks, bonds, interest rates, and where the next opportunity may develop. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/K0SaWvIeYkQ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #Bonds #MarketOutlook

8-4-26 The 60-40 Portfolio Is Not Dead

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2026 47:30

Is the classic 60/40 portfolio really obsolete, or are investors making a costly mistake by abandoning bonds? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine why fixed income still plays a critical role in portfolio construction, risk management, and long-term wealth preservation. We'll discuss why bonds remain valuable despite recent volatility, how they can improve diversification, and why chasing all-equity returns may expose investors to unnecessary risk. If you've been told that "bonds are dead," this conversation offers a different perspective backed by history and current market conditions. 0:00 INTRO 1:12 - Space-X First Report Preview 4:16 - Market Consolidation Continues 6:00 - Sometimes the Best Thing to Do is Nothing 8:57 - Space-X Options? 9:44 - 60/40 Portfolio is Dead? 13:41 - The Case Against Bonds 19:16 - Correlation Matters 24:09 Why Gold Does Not Belong in Bond Side of Portfolio 28:07 - Why We Own Certain Assets 31:02 - Understanding Beta 36:11 - Never Look at Bonds as a Hedge for Inflation 38:35 - Investing when it's "Safe" 39:36 - Inflation is not a Bad Thing 44:50 - Own Bonds, not ETF's Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/9KGokK9tGuA ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bonds In Your Portfolio: Why Ditching Them Is The Wrong Move" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bonds-in-your-portfolio-why-ditching-them-is-the-wrong-move/ "AI Bear Case: What Skeptics Get Right And Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bear-case-what-skeptics-get-right-and-wrong/ "The Momentum Crash: Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-momentum-crash-is-it-over/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Defy the Breakdown" https://youtu.be/Op2rlRHPdaU ------- Watch our previous show, "The Momentum Crash: Is It Over?" https://youtube.com/live/XLZMmL1p-H0 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #Bonds #PortfolioManagement #RetirementPlanning #AssetAllocation

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8-4-26 Markets Defy the Breakdown | Before the Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2026 3:59

The S&P 500 has once again proven why emotional investing rarely pays off. After briefly breaking below the 50-day moving average and triggering bearish headlines, the market quickly reversed, reclaimed key technical levels, and is now back within striking distance of new all-time highs. In today's Before the Bell, we examine why this prolonged consolidation continues to frustrate investors, what the latest earnings from Palantir, Microsoft, Amazon, and chip stocks could mean for the AI trade, and why a new momentum buy signal may be close to triggering. We also discuss the seasonal headwinds of August and September, elevated oil prices, fading summer trading volume, and the improving earnings outlook that continues to support stock prices. Is this finally the breakout investors have been waiting for, or just another head fake inside a frustrating trading range? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/Op2rlRHPdaU --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #AIStocks #MarketOutlook

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8-4-26 The 60/40 Portfolio Is Not Dead

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2026 47:31

Is the classic 60/40 portfolio really obsolete, or are investors making a costly mistake by abandoning bonds? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine why fixed income still plays a critical role in portfolio construction, risk management, and long-term wealth preservation. We'll discuss why bonds remain valuable despite recent volatility, how they can improve diversification, and why chasing all-equity returns may expose investors to unnecessary risk. If you've been told that "bonds are dead," this conversation offers a different perspective backed by history and current market conditions. 0:00 INTRO 1:12 - Space-X First Report Preview 4:16 - Market Consolidation Continues 6:00 - Sometimes the Best Thing to Do is Nothing 8:57 - Space-X Options? 9:44 - 60/40 Portfolio is Dead? 13:41 - The Case Against Bonds 19:16 - Correlation Matters 24:09 Why Gold Does Not Belong in Bond Side of Portfolio 28:07 - Why We Own Certain Assets 31:02 - Understanding Beta 36:11 - Never Look at Bonds as a Hedge for Inflation 38:35 - Investing when it's "Safe" 39:36 - Inflation is not a Bad Thing 44:50 - Own Bonds, not ETF's Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/9KGokK9tGuA ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Bonds In Your Portfolio: Why Ditching Them Is The Wrong Move" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bonds-in-your-portfolio-why-ditching-them-is-the-wrong-move/ "AI Bear Case: What Skeptics Get Right And Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bear-case-what-skeptics-get-right-and-wrong/ "The Momentum Crash: Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-momentum-crash-is-it-over/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Defy the Breakdown" https://youtu.be/Op2rlRHPdaU ------- Watch our previous show, "The Momentum Crash: Is It Over?" https://youtube.com/live/XLZMmL1p-H0 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #Bonds #PortfolioManagement #RetirementPlanning #AssetAllocation

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8-3-26 The Momentum Crash - Is It Over?

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Play Episode Listen Later Aug 3, 2026 50:02

Momentum stocks have suffered one of the sharpest reversals in years, leaving investors wondering whether the worst is behind us or if another leg lower is still ahead. Lance Roberts looks at what caused the momentum crash, why crowded trades can unwind so quickly, and whether the recent rebound is signaling a durable recovery or simply a temporary relief rally. We'll also discuss what history suggests about momentum reversals, portfolio diversification, risk management, and the technical signals investors should watch before increasing exposure to high-growth stocks. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Markets End a Negative July 4:42 - Maybe Not the Buy-the-Dip Opportunity 11:10 - Is the Momentum Crash Over? 17:06 - The Retail Side of Levered Trade 21:09 - The Cap-ex Spend is Real 22:39 - Proportion of S&P 500 Co's Beating Earnings Estimates 26:15 - Is the Correction Over? 29:35 - Bet on Nothing - Trade on Environment You're Given 33:58 - Sector Analysis 35:38 - The AI Bear Case - Three Arguments 39:26 - Hyperscaler Cap-Ex 41:38 - Circular Financing Myth 44:33 - Is AI Revenue Fake? 46:50 - Positioning for Either Outcome Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/XLZMmL1p-H0 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Bear Case: What Skeptics Get Right And Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bear-case-what-skeptics-get-right-and-wrong/ "The Momentum Crash: Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-momentum-crash-is-it-over/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Market Bounce or More Chop?" https://youtu.be/gGQUeec8J9w ------- Watch our previous show, "Mid-Year Financial Checklist" https://youtube.com/live/2oESMTD2Cqg?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #MomentumInvesting #MarketOutlook

8-3-26 The Momentum Crash: Is It Over?

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 3, 2026 50:03

Momentum stocks have suffered one of the sharpest reversals in years, leaving investors wondering whether the worst is behind us or if another leg lower is still ahead. Lance Roberts looks at what caused the momentum crash, why crowded trades can unwind so quickly, and whether the recent rebound is signaling a durable recovery or simply a temporary relief rally. We'll also discuss what history suggests about momentum reversals, portfolio diversification, risk management, and the technical signals investors should watch before increasing exposure to high-growth stocks. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Markets End a Negative July 4:42 - Maybe Not the Buy-the-Dip Opportunity 11:10 - Is the Momentum Crash Over? 17:06 - The Retail Side of Levered Trade 21:09 - The Cap-ex Spend is Real 22:39 - Proportion of S&P 500 Co's Beating Earnings Estimates 26:15 - Is the Correction Over? 29:35 - Bet on Nothing - Trade on Environment You're Given 33:58 - Sector Analysis 35:38 - The AI Bear Case - Three Arguments 39:26 - Hyperscaler Cap-Ex 41:38 - Circular Financing Myth 44:33 - Is AI Revenue Fake? 46:50 - Positioning for Either Outcome Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/XLZMmL1p-H0 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Bear Case: What Skeptics Get Right And Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bear-case-what-skeptics-get-right-and-wrong/ "The Momentum Crash: Is It Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-momentum-crash-is-it-over/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Market Bounce or More Chop?" https://youtu.be/gGQUeec8J9w ------- Watch our previous show, "Mid-Year Financial Checklist" https://youtube.com/live/2oESMTD2Cqg?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #MomentumInvesting #MarketOutlook

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8-3-26 Market Bounce or More Chop? | Before the Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 3, 2026 5:02

The market has reclaimed the 50- and 100-day moving averages after last week's selloff, avoiding the knee-jerk breakdown many feared. But does that mean the next leg higher has begun? In today's Before the Bell, we explain why the S&P 500 remains trapped in a two-month consolidation, why diversified portfolios have held up better than momentum trades, and why this still may not be the "buy the dip" opportunity many investors are waiting for. We'll also discuss why momentum stocks remain under pressure despite a deep correction, what technical signals traders should watch before re-entering that space, and why August and September's seasonal weakness argues for disciplined risk management rather than chasing rallies. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/gGQUeec8J9w --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement

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7-30-26 Hyperscaler Credit - Warning or Opportunity

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2026 44:03

Are investors overreacting to rising credit spreads among the largest AI hyperscalers? As companies like Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle continue borrowing heavily to fund massive AI infrastructure, headlines are warning of "carnage" in hyperscaler credit markets. But does wider credit spread really signal financial trouble—or simply reflect unprecedented capital spending? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine what credit default swaps (CDS), bond spreads, and AI capital expenditures are actually telling investors. We'll separate sensational headlines from market reality, and explore whether this is a genuine warning sign or another example of fear outrunning the fundamentals. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Markets Sell of as Margins Unwind 3:48 - What Happens When Moving Averages Are Broken 7:22 - Yields Respond to FOMC 9:42 - What Walsh Didn't Say... 14:01 - Four Things (he did say) 16:01 - No Support for Rate Hikes in Slowing Economy 21:26 - Momentum is the Market Driver (and it's unwinding) 23:24 - Why the 2% Inflation Target? 27:09 - Google vs Microsoft Earnings & Market Responses 30:25 - Hyperscalers & Credit Spreads 36:34 - Oracle is the Problem Child 37:42 - Market Price Narratives are not Realistic 39:42 - The Importance of Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/lsx5FwAF_mQ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Carnage In Hyperscaler Credit: Really?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/carnage-in-hyperscaler-credit-really/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Consolidate as Sector Rotation Strengthens," https://youtu.be/pG8vxTC6oco ------- Watch our previous show, "Will the Fed Meeting Matter?" https://youtube.com/live/NXuTqIZToX0 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #MomentumStocks #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #Investing #TechStocks #PortfolioManagement

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7-30-26 50-DMA Breakdown: What's Next? | Before the Bell

google video markets federal reserve treasury lance roberts

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2026 4:54

Markets are testing a critical technical level after failing to reclaim the 50-day moving average. Is this a routine pullback before new highs, or the beginning of a deeper correction? In today's Before the Bell, we examine why failed rallies after a moving average break deserve more attention than the initial decline, what the next support levels at the 100- and 200-day moving averages could mean for investors, and why momentum stocks are experiencing far more damage than the broader market. We'll also discuss why oversold conditions could spark a short-term rally, why panic selling may be the wrong move for momentum investors, and how Treasury yields and the Federal Reserve could influence market direction over the next several trading sessions. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/Jn1ZGnryxU4 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #MomentumStocks #MarketOutlook

7-30-26 Hyperscaler Credit: Warning or Opportunity?

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2026 44:04

Are investors overreacting to rising credit spreads among the largest AI hyperscalers? As companies like Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle continue borrowing heavily to fund massive AI infrastructure, headlines are warning of "carnage" in hyperscaler credit markets. But does wider credit spread really signal financial trouble—or simply reflect unprecedented capital spending? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine what credit default swaps (CDS), bond spreads, and AI capital expenditures are actually telling investors. We'll separate sensational headlines from market reality, and explore whether this is a genuine warning sign or another example of fear outrunning the fundamentals. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Markets Sell of as Margins Unwind 3:48 - What Happens When Moving Averages Are Broken 7:22 - Yields Respond to FOMC 9:42 - What Walsh Didn't Say... 14:01 - Four Things (he did say) 16:01 - No Support for Rate Hikes in Slowing Economy 21:26 - Momentum is the Market Driver (and it's unwinding) 23:24 - Why the 2% Inflation Target? 27:09 - Google vs Microsoft Earnings & Market Responses 30:25 - Hyperscalers & Credit Spreads 36:34 - Oracle is the Problem Child 37:42 - Market Price Narratives are not Realistic 39:42 - The Importance of Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/lsx5FwAF_mQ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Carnage In Hyperscaler Credit: Really?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/carnage-in-hyperscaler-credit-really/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Consolidate as Sector Rotation Strengthens," https://youtu.be/pG8vxTC6oco ------- Watch our previous show, "Will the Fed Meeting Matter?" https://youtube.com/live/NXuTqIZToX0 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #MomentumStocks #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #Investing #TechStocks #PortfolioManagement

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7-29-26 Will the Fed Meeting Matter

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2026 43:41

It's Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff answer your questions from our YouTube Live chat while discussing one of the week's biggest market events: the Federal Reserve meeting. Will the Fed's latest decision change the market's direction, or is earnings season, inflation, and economic data driving the bigger story? We answer your questions on investing, portfolio management, retirement planning, market volatility, interest rates, AI stocks, and the economic headlines shaping investor decisions. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - US/Iran Tit-for-tat, FOMC & Rates w No Forward Guidance 3:15 - Earnings Beat Rate at 83% 4:42 - Markets Languish Below 50-DMA 9:24 - Earnings Prelude 10:31 - What has raised living standards (defining "living standards") vs Happiness 15:40 - Social Media & comparisons to wrong benchmarks 17:26 - The Role of Moving Averages (and how we use them) 21:06 - Using Odd Moving Averages vs 20-, 50-, 100-DMA standards 22:10 - Buying Chinese Chip Stocks (or any International stocks)? 24:24 - Where to Find Earnings Estimates by Sectors 25:33 - Mag-7 performance, Microsoft, & Free Cash Flow 28:24 - Repatriation of Money to Japan? 29:36 - Will AI Improve Middle Class standards of Living? (Solo-preneurships) 32:44 - Should We Incentivize Young Couples to Have Children thru Tax Credits? 36:40 - Will Interest Rates & Inflation Continue to Move Up? 37:02 - Is GIS a Dividend Trap? 40:06 - Most pressing worry in current environment: What we don't know 40:33 - When Bear Sterns Collapsed... Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, DAnny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/NXuTqIZToX0 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Capex Depreciation Risk Is The Catch To Record Earnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-capex-depreciation-risk-is-the-catch-to-record-earnings/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Consolidate as Sector Rotation Strengthens," https://youtu.be/pG8vxTC6oco ------- Watch our previous show, "Do You Really Know Your Risk Tolerance?" https://youtube.com/live/m3KZ1fbws2k ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #StockMarket #Investing #FinancialPlanning #QAWednesday #StockMarket #MarketRotation #Investing #SP500 #PortfolioManagement

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7-29-26 Markets Consolidate as Sector Rotation Strengthens | Before the Bell

google video markets sector rotation s p strengthens consolidate lance roberts

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2026 3:56

Markets remain trapped below key technical resistance, with the S&P 500 unable to reclaim its 20-day and 50-day moving averages. While money flows continue to soften and price action stays locked in a tightening consolidation pattern, market internals tell a different story. Lance Roberts shares why equal-weighted stocks are outperforming, why Mega-Cap technology and semiconductors are no longer carrying the market, and how improving market breadth is masking weakness in the headline indexes. We also discuss the seasonal challenges of August and September, what investors should watch for before adding risk, and why diversification becomes especially valuable during periods of market rotation. Rather than chasing headlines, successful investing often means recognizing when leadership is changing, maintaining discipline, and preparing to capitalize on opportunities when quality companies become temporarily mispriced. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/pG8vxTC6oco --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketRotation #Investing #SP500 #PortfolioManagement #Semiconductors #RiskManagement #ValueInvesting

7-29-26 Will the Fed Meeting Matter?

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2026 43:42

It's Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff answer your questions from our YouTube Live chat while discussing one of the week's biggest market events: the Federal Reserve meeting. Will the Fed's latest decision change the market's direction, or is earnings season, inflation, and economic data driving the bigger story? We answer your questions on investing, portfolio management, retirement planning, market volatility, interest rates, AI stocks, and the economic headlines shaping investor decisions. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - US/Iran Tit-for-tat, FOMC & Rates w No Forward Guidance 3:15 - Earnings Beat Rate at 83% 4:42 - Markets Languish Below 50-DMA 9:24 - Earnings Prelude 10:31 - What has raised living standards (defining "living standards") vs Happiness 15:40 - Social Media & comparisons to wrong benchmarks 17:26 - The Role of Moving Averages (and how we use them) 21:06 - Using Odd Moving Averages vs 20-, 50-, 100-DMA standards 22:10 - Buying Chinese Chip Stocks (or any International stocks)? 24:24 - Where to Find Earnings Estimates by Sectors 25:33 - Mag-7 performance, Microsoft, & Free Cash Flow 28:24 - Repatriation of Money to Japan? 29:36 - Will AI Improve Middle Class standards of Living? (Solo-preneurships) 32:44 - Should We Incentivize Young Couples to Have Children thru Tax Credits? 36:40 - Will Interest Rates & Inflation Continue to Move Up? 37:02 - Is GIS a Dividend Trap? 40:06 - Most pressing worry in current environment: What we don't know 40:33 - When Bear Sterns Collapsed... Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, DAnny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/NXuTqIZToX0 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Capex Depreciation Risk Is The Catch To Record Earnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-capex-depreciation-risk-is-the-catch-to-record-earnings/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Consolidate as Sector Rotation Strengthens," https://youtu.be/pG8vxTC6oco ------- Watch our previous show, "Do You Really Know Your Risk Tolerance?" https://youtube.com/live/m3KZ1fbws2k ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #StockMarket #Investing #FinancialPlanning #QAWednesday #StockMarket #MarketRotation #Investing #SP500 #PortfolioManagement

7-28-26 Do You Really Know Your Risk Tolerance?

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 28, 2026 49:07

Everyone says they're comfortable with investment risk—until markets actually decline. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn discuss why true risk tolerance isn't measured during bull markets but during periods of fear and uncertainty. We explain the difference between financial capacity and emotional tolerance, why investors often overestimate the amount of volatility they can handle, and how emotional decisions can permanently damage long-term returns. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - Markets Building Downward Pressure 4:00 - Semi's in Momentum Trade 8:39 - Investor, Know Thyself 11:00 - Investing is Supposed to be Boring 14:02 - Waiting Until the Market is "Safe" 15:47 - Risk Knows No Age 21:06 - TOD vs POD - What's the Difference? 23:55 - What is Per Stirpes? 27:34 - Lance's Treasure Hunt 28:03 - Diversity of Accounts Is Not a Good Thing 28:03 - Diversity of Accounts Is Not a Good Thing 34:58 - The Value in Consolidation of Accounts 36:42 - SIPC Insurance and Bankruptcy 45:04 - At What Age...? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/m3KZ1fbws2k ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Retail Traders Consistently Underperform Over Time" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-retail-traders-consistently-underperform-over-time/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Bounce as Oil Retreats" https://youtu.be/-32Zu3-6gP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "AI's Earnings Catch: The Depreciation Risk" hhttps://youtube.com/live/5lrbGjrxvQY ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Semiconductors #StockMarket #Investing #RiskManagement #ValueInvesting #RiskTolerance #FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning

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7-28-26 Do You Really Know Your Risk Tolerance?

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 28, 2026 49:08

Everyone says they're comfortable with investment risk—until markets actually decline. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn discuss why true risk tolerance isn't measured during bull markets but during periods of fear and uncertainty. We explain the difference between financial capacity and emotional tolerance, why investors often overestimate the amount of volatility they can handle, and how emotional decisions can permanently damage long-term returns. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - Markets Building Downward Pressure 4:00 - Semi's in Momentum Trade 8:39 - Investor, Know Thyself 11:00 - Investing is Supposed to be Boring 14:02 - Waiting Until the Market is "Safe" 15:47 - Risk Knows No Age 21:06 - TOD vs POD - What's the Difference? 23:55 - What is Per Stirpes? 27:34 - Lance's Treasure Hunt 28:03 - Diversity of Accounts Is Not a Good Thing 28:03 - Diversity of Accounts Is Not a Good Thing 34:58 - The Value in Consolidation of Accounts 36:42 - SIPC Insurance and Bankruptcy 45:04 - At What Age...? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/m3KZ1fbws2k ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Retail Traders Consistently Underperform Over Time" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-retail-traders-consistently-underperform-over-time/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Bounce as Oil Retreats" https://youtu.be/-32Zu3-6gP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "AI's Earnings Catch: The Depreciation Risk" hhttps://youtube.com/live/5lrbGjrxvQY ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Semiconductors #StockMarket #Investing #RiskManagement #ValueInvesting #RiskTolerance #FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning

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7-27-26 AI's Earnings Catch - The Depreciation Risk

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 27, 2026 46:17

Big Tech continues to post record earnings, but investors may be overlooking one critical risk: AI capital spending. Lance Roberts explains why today's AI spending boom could become tomorrow's accounting headwind, how depreciation affects corporate profitability, and why investors should look beyond headline earnings. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Elon Musk, former Trillionaire & Another Iran Cease-fire 5:34 - Markets Set to Open Sharply Higher 10:59 - Shopping w Mrs. Roberts & Back to College 13:09 - AI Depreciation Risk Impact on Earnings 16:40 - Valuations on EBITDA 19:11 - Hyperscalers' 2026 Estimates 20:25 - Focusing on Free Cash Flow--why?? 23:25 - Markets Have Already Priced-in Depreciation 25:20 - How to Best Evaluated Companies 27:38 - Are US Treasuries a Safe Asset? 33:34 - What Happens if Foreign Demand for Dollars Goes to Zero? 38:00 - The Only Thing that Matters: Duration 41:03 - Change in Duration is Not a Credit Event 42:37 - Why Buy US Treasuries? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/5lrbGjrxvQY ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Capex Depreciation Risk Is The Catch To Record Earnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-capex-depreciation-risk-is-the-catch-to-record-earnings/ "Are US Treasuries Still A Safe Asset?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/are-us-treasuries-still-a-safe-asset-copy/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Bounce as Oil Retreats" https://youtu.be/-32Zu3-6gP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Financial Fitness Friday - Trump Accounts: What Parents Need to Know" https://youtube.com/live/UGqEJxQ6Fls?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #ArtificialIntelligence #BigTech #Investing #MarketAnalysis

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7-27-26 AI's Earnings Catch: The Depreciation Risk

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 27, 2026 46:18

Big Tech continues to post record earnings, but investors may be overlooking one critical risk: AI capital spending. Lance Roberts explains why today's AI spending boom could become tomorrow's accounting headwind, how depreciation affects corporate profitability, and why investors should look beyond headline earnings. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Elon Musk, former Trillionaire & Another Iran Cease-fire 5:34 - Markets Set to Open Sharply Higher 10:59 - Shopping w Mrs. Roberts & Back to College 13:09 - AI Depreciation Risk Impact on Earnings 16:40 - Valuations on EBITDA 19:11 - Hyperscalers' 2026 Estimates 20:25 - Focusing on Free Cash Flow--why?? 23:25 - Markets Have Already Priced-in Depreciation 25:20 - How to Best Evaluated Companies 27:38 - Are US Treasuries a Safe Asset? 33:34 - What Happens if Foreign Demand for Dollars Goes to Zero? 38:00 - The Only Thing that Matters: Duration 41:03 - Change in Duration is Not a Credit Event 42:37 - Why Buy US Treasuries? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/5lrbGjrxvQY ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "AI Capex Depreciation Risk Is The Catch To Record Earnings" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-capex-depreciation-risk-is-the-catch-to-record-earnings/ "Are US Treasuries Still A Safe Asset?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/are-us-treasuries-still-a-safe-asset-copy/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Bounce as Oil Retreats" https://youtu.be/-32Zu3-6gP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Financial Fitness Friday - Trump Accounts: What Parents Need to Know" https://youtube.com/live/UGqEJxQ6Fls?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #ArtificialIntelligence #BigTech #Investing #MarketAnalysis

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7-27-26 Markets Bounce as Oil Retreats | Before the Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 27, 2026 4:35

Stocks are set to open sharply higher as oil prices reverse from last week's overbought extremes, reinforcing why technical analysis often provides better signals than reacting to headlines. We review how falling oil prices are influencing stocks, gold, silver, and the U.S. dollar, and why those relationships matter for investors. We also examine whether the S&P 500 can reclaim its 50-day moving average after last week's breakdown, what the current momentum sell signal suggests, and why markets remain trapped in a consolidation range. While oversold conditions could support a short-term rebound, geopolitical risks and overhead resistance continue to warrant disciplined risk management rather than emotional reactions. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/-32Zu3-6gP8 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #Gold #TechnicalAnalysis

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Cracks Starting To Show In The Market? | Lance Roberts

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Play Episode Listen Later Jul 25, 2026 104:58

GET YOURSELF SOME LMNT, INCLUDING YOUR FREE 8-COUNT SAMPLE PACK at https://drinklmnt.com/ThoughtfulMoneyAre cracks starting to show in the market?The S&P has gone nowhere for two months now, and a momentum sell signal has just triggered.It has also recently broken out of it's trading wedge...to the downside.Are these signs that should worry investors a larger correction may lie ahead? Or are there good reasons to expect a recovery soon?Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds, as well as the sustainability of the AI trade, the most common ways retail investors self-sabotage their returns, and Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Market Recap.#marketcorrection #aistocks #technicalanalysis _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/disclosureThoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/agreementIMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

7-23-26 Can SpaceX Fire on All Cylinders

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2026 47:06

SpaceX has transformed the commercial space industry with reusable rockets, Starlink, and ambitious plans for Starship. But after one of the largest IPOs in history, can the company continue delivering the growth investors now expect? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine whether SpaceX's fundamentals can keep pace with its valuation. We'll discuss launch cadence, Starlink's revenue potential, Starship's development timeline, competitive pressures, capital requirements, and the risks investors should consider before chasing one of the market's most talked-about stocks. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - Where Do Markets Go Next? 3:40 - The Oil, Dollar, & Gold Connection 9:41 - The Only Thing That Really Matters is Earnings Growth 13:52 - Liquidity Matters as well 15:11 - Google Earnings & Negative Free Cash 23:59 - Space-X: Is Value Eroding? 26:51 - The Three Distinct Businesses of Space-X 33:08 - What Space-X Employees Will Do 37:04 - The Track Record of Elon Musk 37:50 - When to Buy Space-X? 40:52 - Space-X Earnings: Wait for it 41:50 - Oil, Bonds, & Gold Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/XGeCGPXfE4k ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Can SpaceX Fire On All Cylinders?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/can-spacex-fire-on-all-cylinders/ --- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Oil, Earnings, and Market Complacency," https://youtu.be/nBKqoSD_uCI ------- Watch our previous show, "Why Retail Traders Keep Losing" https://youtube.com/live/neGG2EOd8SM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #EarningsSeason #Investing #SpaceX #ElonMusk #GrowthStocks

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7-23-26 Oil, Earnings, and Market Complacency | Before the Bell

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Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2026 4:21

Climbing Oil prices continue on a momentum buy signal as crude approaches key resistance near the 100-day moving average. A stronger U.S. dollar is rising alongside oil, while gold remains under pressure as global demand for dollars increases. Despite geopolitical tensions and higher energy prices, market volatility remains surprisingly subdued. In today's Before the Bell, we examine why the S&P 500 continues to hold support near the 50-day moving average, how corporate earnings are offsetting macro risks, and why investor complacency may be the biggest risk currently hiding beneath the market's surface. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/nBKqoSD_uCI --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #EarningsSeason #Investing

7-23-26 Can SpaceX Fire on All Cylinders?

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2026 47:07

SpaceX has transformed the commercial space industry with reusable rockets, Starlink, and ambitious plans for Starship. But after one of the largest IPOs in history, can the company continue delivering the growth investors now expect? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine whether SpaceX's fundamentals can keep pace with its valuation. We'll discuss launch cadence, Starlink's revenue potential, Starship's development timeline, competitive pressures, capital requirements, and the risks investors should consider before chasing one of the market's most talked-about stocks. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - Where Do Markets Go Next? 3:40 - The Oil, Dollar, & Gold Connection 9:41 - The Only Thing That Really Matters is Earnings Growth 13:52 - Liquidity Matters as well 15:11 - Google Earnings & Negative Free Cash 23:59 - Space-X: Is Value Eroding? 26:51 - The Three Distinct Businesses of Space-X 33:08 - What Space-X Employees Will Do 37:04 - The Track Record of Elon Musk 37:50 - When to Buy Space-X? 40:52 - Space-X Earnings: Wait for it 41:50 - Oil, Bonds, & Gold Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/XGeCGPXfE4k ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Can SpaceX Fire On All Cylinders?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/can-spacex-fire-on-all-cylinders/ --- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Oil, Earnings, and Market Complacency," https://youtu.be/nBKqoSD_uCI ------- Watch our previous show, "Why Retail Traders Keep Losing" https://youtube.com/live/neGG2EOd8SM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #SP500 #EarningsSeason #Investing #SpaceX #ElonMusk #GrowthStocks

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7-22-26 Q&A Wednesday - Spotting Market Narratives

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 22, 2026 52:50

It's Q&A Wednesday, and we're tackling some of the biggest questions investors are asking right now. How do you separate compelling market narratives from reality? We discuss practical ways to identify, question, and fact-check popular investing themes before making portfolio decisions. 0:00 INTRO 0:52 - Google, Intel, Tesla Preview 5:45 - Oil Price Futures & Iran 10:44 - How much allocation to high risk, high reward strategies? 14:44 - Which company for toilet paper price increases 15:25 - Determining when to buy stock in high momentum sector (like semi-conductors)? 19:59 - SimpleVisor S&P Estimated earnings 20:32 - Long dated calls & puts for risk management in current market? 24:22 - Hyperscalers & AI GPU Depreciation & Free Cash Flow 28:27 - Holdings Breakdown in S&P - buying equally in all sectors? 31:45 - Is there a good Sector Rotation Fund we watch? 32:25 - What do we do in the morning to prepare for the day? (not Suze Ormand) 36:12 - Isn't Rebalancing adding to losers? 40:15 - Roth IRA w ETF's 41:26 - Private Credit in a slowing economy 44:51 - Have Food Stocks bottomed? (General Mills) 48:11 - Outlook for Interest Rates through the end of the year 49:53 - Are Energy Stocks attractive? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/AmHOXWmt2OI ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Retail Traders Consistently Underperform Over Time" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-retail-traders-consistently-underperform-over-time/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Markets Eye Earnings as Oil Lifts Yields" https://youtu.be/rWpYjR1_Cxs ------- Watch our previous show, "Why Investors Keep Chasing What's Hot" https://youtube.com/live/-ZZA_xtFZGg?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #OilPrices #EarningsSeason #InterestRates #Investing #StockMarket #PersonalFinance #WealthBuilding #LongTermInvesting

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7-21-26 Why Investors Keep Chasing What's Hot

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2026 49:41

Why do so many investors continue chasing yesterday's biggest winners? Whether it's Bitcoin, gold, silver, semiconductors, or the latest AI stock, the temptation to follow what's already surged can be difficult to resist. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn explore the psychology behind performance chasing, why investors constantly compare their portfolios to the market's hottest sectors, and how fear of missing out (FOMO) can quietly undermine long-term returns. 0:00 INTRO 0:51 - Cyclospora & Iranian Tit-for-Tat - Markets React 5:45 - Markets Unable to Hold 50-DMA 10:58 - Lettuce Pray 11:48 - The Peril of Chasing What is "Hot" 15:27 - How Wall Street Makes Money (on you) 17:29 - The Semi-Conductor Thesis 21:22 - The Myths of Long Term Investing & The Narratives 26:31 - Errors in Benchmarking Portfolios 31:47 - Margin Debt & the Measures that Matter 36:02 - The Pattern Day Trading Rule Change 37:41 - Why Speculative Trading Accounts are a Terrible Idea 39:22 - When Dollars Are at Critical Mass - Don't touch my principle 44:04 - Rebalancing Portfolios in Retirement 45:48 - It's Always All About Inflation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Home Affordability: Better Than Headlines Suggest" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/home-affordability-today-is-better-than-the-headlines/ "Money: The 10 Immutable Laws Of Building Wealth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/money-the-10-immutable-laws-of-building-wealth/ "Why Retail Traders Consistently Underperform Over Time" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/why-retail-traders-consistently-underperform-over-time/ "Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/greed-and-how-to-lose-100-of-your-money/ --- Watch today's "Before the Bell" premarket commentary, "Earnings Hold the Key" https://youtu.be/1Nm8E7UjxbY ------- Watch our previous show, "Why Retail Traders Keep Losing" https://youtube.com/live/neGG2EOd8SM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "Savvy Social Security Planning: More Income, Less Worry," Thursday, August 6, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/tQ3PS8hd64mt --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #Semiconductors #RiskManagement #PersonalFinance #WealthBuilding #LongTermInvesting

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Market Correction Risk Rising As Midterm Madness Approaches | Lance Roberts