Podcast appearances and mentions of lance roberts

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2025 5:00

Good market performance on Wednesday, but that was on the backs of only a few stocks: Broadcom, Nvidia, Oracle...all AI-related. Oracle's outlook for AI-related Cap-ex spending was optimistic, which dovetailed nicely with what Nvidia had said earlier. Oracle opened the day ahead 33%, traded as high as 40%, and closed the day with a 35% gain. That action lifted the entire Tech sector, and pushed the S&P to another all-time high. Price compression is creating a wedge pattern, which markets are trying to break out of. The negative divergence we've been watching really doesn't matter...until it matters. Yesterday's breadth, however, was not impressive, with only a few spots of strength and a lot of red across the market heat map. Yesterday's PPI report ignited a kneejerk reaction in the bond market, but digging deeper into the data resulted in a further decline in yields. This morning's CPI report (+2.9%) will have a bearing on bonds, and if yields continue to drop, short covering will add to the movement downward. Interest Rates now have a buy signal, indicating yields will slip lower. Bond are over sold, and a reversal would not be surprising. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #AI #Nvidia #Oracle #Tech #Bonds #BondYields #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

ai video tech price trade september 11th bond register oracle cap nvidia interest rates cpi s p ppi broadcom lance roberts

9/11/25 There Ain't No Inflation

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2025 45:06

Markets and the Fed keep talking about inflation, but what's really happening? Lance Roberts previews the upcoming CPI, PPI reports, and real-world data to explain why the official numbers don't always match what you're feeling. From wages and rents to energy prices--is inflation is truly under control, or just hiding in plain sight. Discover how “disinflation” differs from “deflation,” why Wall Street's narrative matters for stocks, and what it means for your portfolio. SEG-1a: Inflation Day - Will Tariffs' Effects Appear? SEG-1b: What Bond Yields Are Telling About Interest Rates SEG-2a: Will Markets Have Another 20% Year? SEG-2b: Inflation Estimates & CPI Components SEG-2c: Wrapping the Quarter - Buy Backs & Positioning SEG-2d: The Risk Range Report Explained SEG-2e: Dealing with Bearish Bias Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The AI Trade is Back," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin: Smart Investors Guide," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhKjbRKNksY ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #AI #Nvidia #Oracle #Tech #Bonds #BondYields #20DMA #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPI #StockMarket #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

discover september 11th wall street inflation markets recession fed wrapping cpi ppi lance roberts real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

9-10-25 Are We On the Edge of Recession

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2025 54:44

Are we standing at the edge of a recession? Economic data is showing cracks: slowing job growth, weakening consumer spending, and tightening credit conditions. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's policies continue to weigh on growth. In this episode, Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down the key signals flashing caution, what they could mean for corporate earnings and market performance, and how investors should think about risk management in the months ahead; plus bonus content: Sourdough bread and marriage tips. SEG-1a: Jobs Revision and Economic Reality SEG-1b: Money Flows & Inflation Preview SEG-2a: Sourdough Baking w Christina & Michelle SEG-2b: Are We In a Recession - YouTube Poll SEG-2c: What Does Recession Mean? SEG-2d: Instead of Predicting, Start Preparing SEG-2e: When Everyone Agrees... SEG-2f: Don't Over-react to "Recession" SEG-2g: What Can You Control? SEG-2h: Understanding the Risk of Speculation SEG-2i: What About "Cash on the Sidelines?" SEG-2j: The Math of Loss vs Compounding SEG-2k: Don't Forget to Save SEG-2l: Cash Gives Options SEG-2m: Happy Wife, Happy Life Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Money Flows Bolster Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin: Smart Investors Guide," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhKjbRKNksY ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #RelativeStrength #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #20DMA #Recession #Cash #Economy #StockMarket #FederalReserve #MarketOutlook #SourdoughBread #MarriageTips #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

loss risk math economic recession predicting federal reserve cio sidelines sourdough happy wife lance roberts senior investment advisor real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

9-10-25 Money Flows Bolster Markets | Before the Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2025 3:35

Money flows have been positive over the past few weeks, yet markets have not advanced much. Relative strength is picking up, but still in a negative divergence with the market itself. However, momentum remains very, very slow even as stocks continue to rise. Only slowly. There is a significant gap between the market and the MAG-7. More inflation prints coming in the latest CPI & PPI reports, and if they come in weaker than expected, along with the recent disappointing employment numbers, the odds increase of a 50-bp rate cut by the Fed. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #RelativeStrength #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

money video register markets fed flows relative bolster lance roberts cpi ppi

9/10/25 Are We On the Edge of Recession?

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2025 54:45

Are we standing at the edge of a recession? Economic data is showing cracks: slowing job growth, weakening consumer spending, and tightening credit conditions. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's policies continue to weigh on growth. In this episode, Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down the key signals flashing caution, what they could mean for corporate earnings and market performance, and how investors should think about risk management in the months ahead; plus bonus content: Sourdough bread and marriage tips. SEG-1a: Jobs Revision and Economic Reality SEG-1b: Money Flows & Inflation Preview SEG-2a: Sourdough Baking w Christina & Michelle SEG-2b: Are We In a Recession - YouTube Poll SEG-2c: What Does Recession Mean? SEG-2d: Instead of Predicting, Start Preparing SEG-2e: When Everyone Agrees... SEG-2f: Don't Over-react to "Recession" SEG-2g: What Can You Control? SEG-2h: Understanding the Risk of Speculation SEG-2i: What About "Cash on the Sidelines?" SEG-2j: The Math of Loss vs Compounding SEG-2k: Don't Forget to Save SEG-2l: Cash Gives Options SEG-2m: Happy Wife, Happy Life Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Money Flows Bolster Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin: Smart Investors Guide," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhKjbRKNksY ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #RelativeStrength #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #20DMA #Recession #Cash #Economy #StockMarket #FederalReserve #MarketOutlook #SourdoughBread #MarriageTips #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

loss risk math economic recession predicting federal reserve cio sidelines sourdough happy wife lance roberts senior investment advisor real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

9-9-25 The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 9, 2025 52:51

Thinking about buying Bitcoin but not sure of the best approach? You're not alone. With so many options—crypto exchanges, ETFs, custodians, and even payment apps—the path can feel overwhelming. In this episode, we break down the smartest ways to buy Bitcoin while considering security, fees, custody, and long-term investing strategy. Should you buy directly on an exchange, use a crypto wallet, or stick to regulated investment vehicles like ETFs? We'll walk through the pros and cons so you can make an informed decision that fits your goals. Whether you're a beginner or a seasoned investor curious about crypto, this guide will help you navigate the choices and avoid costly mistakes.

thinking bitcoin trouble cio etfs diversification correlation buy bitcoin lance roberts senior investment advisor real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

9/9/25 The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin: Smart Investors Guide

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 9, 2025 52:52

Thinking about buying Bitcoin but not sure of the best approach? You're not alone. With so many options—crypto exchanges, ETFs, custodians, and even payment apps—the path can feel overwhelming. In this episode, we break down the smartest ways to buy Bitcoin while considering security, fees, custody, and long-term investing strategy. Should you buy directly on an exchange, use a crypto wallet, or stick to regulated investment vehicles like ETFs? We'll walk through the pros and cons so you can make an informed decision that fits your goals. Whether you're a beginner or a seasoned investor curious about crypto, this guide will help you navigate the choices and avoid costly mistakes.

thinking smart bitcoin investors trouble cio etfs diversification correlation buy bitcoin investor's guide lance roberts senior investment advisor real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

9-8-25 Why Diversification Is Failing In The Age Of Passive Investing

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 8, 2025 46:02

Lance Roberts explores how the rise of passive index funds and ETFs has reshaped markets, leading to higher correlations across asset classes and eroding the traditional benefits of diversification. Once considered the cornerstone of portfolio risk management, diversification now struggles as capital floods into passive vehicles—concentrating money in the same stocks and sectors. He'll break down: Why diversification no longer offers the same protection. How passive investing drives market distortions. The hidden risks behind “set it and forget it” strategies. What investors need to consider when building resilient portfolios today. SEG-1a: Economic Trends Continue to Weaken SEG-1b: Negative Divergence Continues SEG-2a: The Ugly Reason Behind Portfolio Diversification SEG-2b: The Correlation of One SEG-2c: What's in Your ETF? SEG-2d: 7-Rules for Portfolio Management SEG-2e: Diversification is Hogwash SEG-2f: Bashing Keynesian Economic Theories SEG-2g: The Trouble with Fed Intra-meeting Rate Cuts SEG-2h: Dollars Needed to Generate GDP

concerns register failing trouble etfs diversification correlation passive investing lance roberts real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

9/8/25 Why is diversification failing investors in the age of passive investing?

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 8, 2025 46:03

Lance Roberts explores how the rise of passive index funds and ETFs has reshaped markets, leading to higher correlations across asset classes and eroding the traditional benefits of diversification. Once considered the cornerstone of portfolio risk management, diversification now struggles as capital floods into passive vehicles—concentrating money in the same stocks and sectors. He'll break down: Why diversification no longer offers the same protection. How passive investing drives market distortions. The hidden risks behind “set it and forget it” strategies. What investors need to consider when building resilient portfolios today. SEG-1a: Economic Trends Continue to Weaken SEG-1b: Negative Divergence Continues SEG-2a: The Ugly Reason Behind Portfolio Diversification SEG-2b: The Correlation of One SEG-2c: What's in Your ETF? SEG-2d: 7-Rules for Portfolio Management SEG-2e: Diversification is Hogwash SEG-2f: Bashing Keynesian Economic Theories SEG-2g: The Trouble with Fed Intra-meeting Rate Cuts SEG-2h: Dollars Needed to Generate GDP

investors concerns register failing trouble etfs diversification correlation passive investing lance roberts real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

9-8-25 Negative Divergence Continues to Concern | Before the Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 8, 2025 6:58

Markets sold off on Friday; nothing really surprising to investors. Markets continue to grind along the trend line, with a little weakness showing in Nvidia and other tech stocks. This is why it's important to keep portfolios balanced between growth a defense. The S&P isn't breaking out, rather moving side ways, tracking right along with the 20-DMA. The biggest concern we have presently is the continuing, large negative divergence in relative strength and momentum. This behavior tends to show up prior to market corrections. Volatility remains extremely suppressed. Gold's consolidation has resulted in abnormal over-bought conditions. This would be a great place to take profits and await the next pullback. An inverse of that has been Oil prices, very over-sold. Despite the weakness in Oil, Energy prices have been performing well. Bond Yields have fallen sharply over the past three sessions; the trend in Yields has been decidedly lower over the past few months. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PIeIdX4aXas&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #PortfolioAllocation #PortfolioHedging #RiskManagement #Gold #Oil #Yields #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

energy video gold negative concerns register markets oil nvidia volatility s p yields dma divergence bond yields lance roberts

Big Jobs Miss Suggests Economy Is Sicker Than Believed | Lance Roberts

covid-19 loss investing jobs economy foreign copyright believed securities suggests exchange commission sec market recap sicker jolts lance roberts

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 6, 2025 111:27

The jobs market is starting to show signs of being in real trouble.August payrolls were a huge disappointment, coming in at a VERY weak 22k (vs expectations of 75k).And the June payrolls number was revised downwards to a LOSS of -13k jobs,. On top of that, this week's JOLTS data revealed that there are now *fewer* jobs openings than applicants, something we haven't seen since the early days of COVID.As the unemployment rate now rises to 4.3%, should we expect it to begin rising more aggressively from here as the economy continues to slow?Are we seeing the early warning signs that a recession lies ahead?Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds, as well as the latest technical analysis for stocks, the ongoing breakout in gold & silver, the attractiveness of the oversold energy sector, prudent risk management best practices, and Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this latest Market Recap.LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#labormarket #unemployment #recession _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

9-4-25 Stock Market Bubble - Extreme Valuations and What Investors Should Do Now

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 52:44

Stock valuations are at extreme levels — some call it a bubble, while others argue the bull market has more room to run. So, who's right? And more importantly, what should YOU do as an investor? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz expose the conflicting market narratives and explain why selling everything may not be the smartest move. Instead, they'll explore how active investing, technical signals, and disciplined risk management can help you capture gains while protecting your portfolio if the tide turns.

discover investors bubbles register achieve extreme stock markets option function retire cio valuations pullback what you get stock market bubble lance roberts michael lebowitz real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

9/4/25 Stock Market Bubble? Extreme Valuations & What Investors Should Know

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 52:45

Stock valuations are at extreme levels — some call it a bubble, while others argue the bull market has more room to run. So, who's right? And more importantly, what should YOU do as an investor? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz expose the conflicting market narratives and explain why selling everything may not be the smartest move. Instead, they'll explore how active investing, technical signals, and disciplined risk management can help you capture gains while protecting your portfolio if the tide turns.

fear discover investors bubbles register achieve extreme stock markets option function retire cio valuations pullback what you get stock market bubble lance roberts michael lebowitz real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

9-4-25 Markets' Bullish Trend Remains Intact | Before the Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2025 4:39

Markets were flat for the day on Wednesday until the end of the session, when markets rallied above the 20-DMA to keep the bullish trend intact. Each intraday pullback exposes the 'buy-the-dip' mentality. But that doesn't move the needle much in terms of relative strength or momentum, which remain rather weak. Markets just haven't made much of a move in a while. That is the type of activity seen when markets are trying to slow the pace and prepare for a pullback (not a MAJOR correction). The longer markets trade sideways and work off over-bought positions, the better the opportunity that will be afforded for investors to add equity exposure. Interestingly, Gold has been in an over-sold position, has worked through, and is now in a place where profit taking is prime. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OPN3UX4VjI8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #PortfolioAllocation #PortfolioHedging #RiskManagement #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

video gold register trend markets remains bullish dma intact lance roberts

9-3-25 10 Reasons You Shouldn't Retire

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 3, 2025 60:44

Thinking about retirement? Think again. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff present 10 powerful reasons you shouldn't retire too soon—from financial stability to maintaining purpose and health. But if you do decide to retire, they'll also show you exactly what steps to take to protect your money, lifestyle, and long-term security. SEG-1a: How ChatGPT Saved Google in Anti-trust Court SEG-1b: Why the 50-DMA is Key SEG-2a: Looking Ahead to Employment Revisions SEG-2b: Portfolio Risk Management Amid Investor Complacency SEG-2c: Traders' Performance & Baseball Greats SEG-2d: Honor Thy Stoploss SEG-2e: Tariffs + Markets Looking for Reason to Cool Off SEG-2f: Day Trading is Not a Good Career Choice SEG-2g: Retirement vs The Big Correction SEG-2h: Making Mistakes Too Close to Retirement SEG-2i: What to Do With Debt Prior to Retirement SEG-2j: Running a Financial Plan SEG-2k: YouTube Poll - Biggest Concern About Retirement SEG-2l: Retirement Realities SEG-2m: Health in Retirement SEG-2n: Bonus Segment - Lance's Cheat Meal SEG-2o: Bonus Segment - The Empty Nester's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHA4ZE7kuHo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Tuesday's Market Drop the Start of Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J09F1Ldd6Lk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "DIY Investing & Why Swing Trading Isn't Long-Term Wealth," is here: https://youtu.be/9MJOE0l7L9Q ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #PortfolioAllocation #PortfolioHedging #RiskManagement #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #RetirementPlanning #FinancialIndependence #RetireSmart #MoneyManagement #WealthBuilding #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

health running thinking performance retirement reason retire correction looking ahead cio traders dma day trading diy investing lance roberts real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

9-3-25 Is Tuesday's Market Drop the Start of Correction? | Before the Bell

video market drop register markets correction dma lance roberts

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 3, 2025 4:41

Markets sold off, as expected, for the first trading day of September. Market action has been very compressed, with not a lot of volatility. Markets ARE moving, but not in big moves in one direction or the other. This tends to lend to a lot of complacency in the market. Markets DID break through the 20-DMA, but a break is only valid if it holds through the end of the week. IF that occurs, the 50-DMA is the next level of key support, and below that, it's a long way down before reaching any significant levels of support. Still, the market is continuing its low-volatility rise. The negative divergence in momentum and relative strength remains, and appears to be increasing, and that tends to lead to bigger corrective action. Was Tuesday's sell-off the start of a correction, which would align with September's reputation as a "weaker" month for markets? The Thing to watch will be the 50-DMA, as key support. There are a lot of trading algorithms lined up at the 50-DMA, and a break below that level will trigger a lot of selling. That risk is worth a bit of hedging in your portfolio at least until we get through the month. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J09F1Ldd6Lk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #PortfolioAllocation #PortfolioHedging #RiskManagement #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

9/3/25 10 Reasons You Shouldn't Retire (but what to do if you do)...

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 3, 2025 60:45

Thinking about retirement? Think again. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff present 10 powerful reasons you shouldn't retire too soon—from financial stability to maintaining purpose and health. But if you do decide to retire, they'll also show you exactly what steps to take to protect your money, lifestyle, and long-term security. SEG-1a: How ChatGPT Saved Google in Anti-trust Court SEG-1b: Why the 50-DMA is Key SEG-2a: Looking Ahead to Employment Revisions SEG-2b: Portfolio Risk Management Amid Investor Complacency SEG-2c: Traders' Performance & Baseball Greats SEG-2d: Honor Thy Stoploss SEG-2e: Tariffs + Markets Looking for Reason to Cool Off SEG-2f: Day Trading is Not a Good Career Choice SEG-2g: Retirement vs The Big Correction SEG-2h: Making Mistakes Too Close to Retirement SEG-2i: What to Do With Debt Prior to Retirement SEG-2j: Running a Financial Plan SEG-2k: YouTube Poll - Biggest Concern About Retirement SEG-2l: Retirement Realities SEG-2m: Health in Retirement SEG-2n: Bonus Segment - Lance's Cheat Meal SEG-2o: Bonus Segment - The Empty Nester's Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHA4ZE7kuHo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Tuesday's Market Drop the Start of Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J09F1Ldd6Lk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "DIY Investing & Why Swing Trading Isn't Long-Term Wealth," is here: https://youtu.be/9MJOE0l7L9Q ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #PortfolioAllocation #PortfolioHedging #RiskManagement #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #RetirementPlanning #FinancialIndependence #RetireSmart #MoneyManagement #WealthBuilding #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

health running thinking retirement reason retire correction looking ahead cio traders dma day trading lance roberts real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

9-2-25 DIY Investing & Why Swing Trading Isn't Long-Term Wealth

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 2, 2025 51:26

Think you can outsmart the market? Many DIY investors fall into the same traps: chasing hype, trying to time the market, concentrating in one hot sector, or lacking patience. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down five of the biggest mistakes DIY investors make — and why they can derail your financial future. They'll also explore swing trading vs. long-term investing: * How short-term trading chases quick wins with high risk. * Why long-term investing builds wealth through discipline, diversification, and compounding. * The bottom-line difference: Are you surfing market waves or planting financial trees? If you want to avoid costly missteps and grow wealth the smart way, this discussion is for you. SEG-1a: Employment Expectations & Revision Repercussions SEG-1b: Market Correction Could Rapidly Unwind Risky Positions SEG-2a: Graduation parties & Food Trucks SEG-2b: DIY Investing - Meme Markets SEG-2c: The FOMO Factor & Following the Herd SEG-2d: First Time Investing Mistakes - Bitcoin, Palantir, & Amazon SEG-2e: When the Herd is Right AND Wrong SEG-2f: You Cannot Time the Market SEG-2g: The Goal of Investing SEG-2h: Don't Be Afraid to Sell SEG-2i: Portfolio Management & Taxes SEG-2j: Investing is About Patience Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisors, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://youtu.be/9MJOE0l7L9Q -------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #PortfolioAllocation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing #InvestingMistakes #DIYInvestor #SwingTrading #LongTermInvesting #WealthBuilding #Investing #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

investing wealth goal diy long term graduation cio herd palantir be afraid portfolio management swing trading diy investing lance roberts real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

9-2-25 Be Cautious With Allocations | Before the Bell

video register markets cautious dma allocations lance roberts

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 2, 2025 3:34

Markets closed down a bit on Friday ahead of a long, holiday weekend, but still maintained its bullish trend. The 20-DMA is continuing to act as running trend support, and bullishly-speaking, the market is doing just fine. The trend line support is very important because trading algorithms and systematic traders have all moved their stops up to that 20-DMA; if we DO get a confirmed violation of the 20-Day, we could see more selling pressure come into play. Just below that is the 50-DMA, which will become much more critical for support: If the market takes out the 50-DMA, a LOT of programmatic selling will kick in, followed by a quicker drop to the 100- and 200-DMA's...which have all converged around 6,000. We don't think we'll see 6,000 by the end of the month, before we get set up for an end-of-year rally, but there is the potential for a pullback this month. There is a lot of speculative activity that could be quickly unwound if we get a bit of a correction. The divergences in relative strength and momentum we've been watching are precursors for larger than normally expected corrections. Re-balancing portfolios and storing up a little cash this month would be wise. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=__3NfLfuGNQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #PortfolioAllocation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

9/2/25 DIY Investing & Why Swing Trading Isn't Long-Term Wealth

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 2, 2025 51:27

Think you can outsmart the market? Many DIY investors fall into the same traps: chasing hype, trying to time the market, concentrating in one hot sector, or lacking patience. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down five of the biggest mistakes DIY investors make — and why they can derail your financial future. They'll also explore swing trading vs. long-term investing: * How short-term trading chases quick wins with high risk. * Why long-term investing builds wealth through discipline, diversification, and compounding. * The bottom-line difference: Are you surfing market waves or planting financial trees? If you want to avoid costly missteps and grow wealth the smart way, this discussion is for you. SEG-1a: Employment Expectations & Revision Repercussions SEG-1b: Market Correction Could Rapidly Unwind Risky Positions SEG-2a: Graduation parties & Food Trucks SEG-2b: DIY Investing - Meme Markets SEG-2c: The FOMO Factor & Following the Herd SEG-2d: First Time Investing Mistakes - Bitcoin, Palantir, & Amazon SEG-2e: When the Herd is Right AND Wrong SEG-2f: You Cannot Time the Market SEG-2g: The Goal of Investing SEG-2h: Don't Be Afraid to Sell SEG-2i: Portfolio Management & Taxes SEG-2j: Investing is About Patience Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisors, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://youtu.be/9MJOE0l7L9Q -------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #PortfolioAllocation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing #InvestingMistakes #DIYInvestor #SwingTrading #LongTermInvesting #WealthBuilding #Investing #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

investing wealth goal diy long term graduation cio herd palantir be afraid swing trading diy investing lance roberts real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

9-1-25 Labor Day Special

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 1, 2025 43:26

Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn dive into how Millennials find financial advice in today's digital world. From TikTok influencers to YouTube financial experts, and from Reddit forums to traditional financial planners, where should Millennials really turn for smart money guidance? Lance and Danny discuss why you should be cautious about private equity and alternative investment opportunities. Annuities: Three questions to ask about yourself; can you "Be Your Own Bank?" Lance describes his personal annuity and insurance plans. Why you should never put all your money into anything. If you want to be wealthy, do what wealthy people do. 0:49 - Ten Rules for Navigating Excess Market Bullishness 2:40 - Proper Position Sizing in Portfolios 6:05 - Behind the Scenes with Economic Growth 7:44 - Justifying Earnings Growth Forecasts 12:04 - You're the Cannon Fodder for Wall Street 14:02 - Smart Money vs Dumb Money 16:18 - Social Media Advice Purveyors Do Not Know You 28:49 - The Rise & Fall of the FIRE Movement 31:58 - Myths & Realities of Starting Your Own Business 34:15 - Never Put ALL Your Money in Anything 36:43 - Do What Wealthy People Do Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisors, Jonathan Penn, CFP, & Danny Ratliff CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://youtu.be/9MJOE0l7L9Q -------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestmentStrategy #DiversifyYourPortfolio #FinancialPlanningTips #SmartInvesting #Capitalism #FinancialEducation #FIREMovement #MillennialMoney #MoneyTalks #Investing #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

millennials wall street reddit scenes cfp cio economic growth portfolios smart money starting your own business rise fall labor day special fire movement cannon fodder ten rules lance roberts be your own bank real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

Does A September Surprise Lie In Store For Stocks? | Lance Roberts

loss investing surprise stocks foreign copyright federal reserve historically securities market updates exchange commission sec lance roberts

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 30, 2025 109:04

Historically, September is the cruelest month for stocks.October is little better.Are odds good that history will repeat, especially with valuations as extreme as they currently are?Or, will the party continue on through the end of the year?Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the probabilities, as well as the latest market technical analysis, recession risk, the likeliest next steps for the Federal Reserve, and where bond yields are headed.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Market Update.LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#federalreserve #marketcorrection #bondyields _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

8-28-25 Nvidia Falls Short

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2025 52:59

Nvidia reported earnings with strong overall results, but Wall Street was not impressed. Despite solid forward guidance, a data center revenue miss rattled investors and sent the stock lower. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Nvidia's earnings highlights, why guidance failed to wow the bulls, and what this means for tech stocks going forward; the ongoing soap opera that is the Federal Reserve: Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, and dovish vs hawkish monetary policy stances; a discussion of the evolution of markets and investing as "entertainment." * Nvidia's Q2 2025 earnings breakdown * Why data center revenue is the market's key focus * How Wall Street is reacting to Nvidia's guidance * What this could mean for broader tech sector momentum

gold wall street diy forward register falls markets stocks nvidia cio valuations gamification days of our lives nvda lisa cook lance roberts michael lebowitz real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

8-28-25 Gold is Liquidity Source for Stocks | Before the Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2025 5:31

Markets are doing fine, sitting right at all time highs, and money flows have been improving. Relative strength has improved, but still has a negative divergence. Nvidia was also sitting at all time highs, but will not be surprised to see it open lower. From a fundamental perspective, Nvidia is operating on "all cylinders," only the ultra-optimistic observers were disappointed in the company's earnings report. The Small-cap/Mid-cap space (IWM) has been performing better, but here's the concern: About 40% of these companies have NO profits, and are zombie companies, surviving on debt issuance. So this particular index is not all that healthy. Also remember, these companies are very, very economically sensitive. Any weakness in the economy will be reflected in the earnings of these companies. Yields have not done a lot, currently sitting at around 4.2%, which is where they should be trading in the present environment. Gold has behaved similarly, going nowhere and trading in a narrow range. Gold has become a liquidity source for stock chasing. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: http://bit.ly/47QZT3k ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Gold #LiquiditySource #BullishTrend #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

video gold register markets stocks nvidia mid relative liquidity yields iwm lance roberts

8/28/25 Nvidia Falls Short

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 28, 2025 53:00

Nvidia reported earnings with strong overall results, but Wall Street was not impressed. Despite solid forward guidance, a data center revenue miss rattled investors and sent the stock lower. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Nvidia's earnings highlights, why guidance failed to wow the bulls, and what this means for tech stocks going forward; the ongoing soap opera that is the Federal Reserve: Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, and dovish vs hawkish monetary policy stances; a discussion of the evolution of markets and investing as "entertainment." * Nvidia's Q2 2025 earnings breakdown * Why data center revenue is the market's key focus * How Wall Street is reacting to Nvidia's guidance * What this could mean for broader tech sector momentum

gold wall street diy register falls markets stocks nvidia cio days of our lives nvda lisa cook lance roberts michael lebowitz real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

8-27-25 Is the Taylor Swift Engagement a Market Event

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 27, 2025 46:49

Taylor Swift's engagement has captured global attention—but does it matter for investors? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine why celebrity headlines dominate financial chatter, what it says about investor psychology, and why distraction often shows up near the peak of speculative markets. ✅ How celebrity news becomes a market “story” ✅ Why investors chase hype instead of fundamentals ✅ The risks of distraction during late-stage bull markets ✅ What Taylor Swift's engagement says about sentiment-driven investing Markets move on emotion as much as data—and when Wall Street obsesses over pop culture, it often signals froth. We'll show you why this cultural buzz might be less about Taylor Swift and more about where we are in the market cycle. SEG-1a: The Meme Market: Investing for Entertainment SEG-1b: Market Complacency Setting Up for Correction SEG-2a: Taylor Swift Engagement & Influence on Markets SEG-2b: The Cracker Barrel Capitulation SEG-2c: Nvidia Earnings Preview SEG-2d: The Government Takes a Stake in Intel SEG-2e: Lance Agrees with Danny. Twice! SEG-2f: Hot to Trade Collapse of French Government Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwYPTOh0PBk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Low Volatility Begets High Volatility" is here: http://bit.ly/4fTiayV -------- Our previous show, "Are Robo Advisors All They're Cracked Up to Be?" can be viewed here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c1ZZOzPLRME&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Momentum Strategies And Physics: Mass And Velocity Matter" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/momentum-strategies-and-physics-mass-and-velocity-matter/ “Buy Every Dip” Remains The Winning Strategy…For Now https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buy-every-dip-remains-the-winning-strategyfor-now/ "Market Valuations Don't Matter…Until They Do" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-valuations-dont-matter-until-they-do/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #LowVolativity #HighVolativity #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility #NASDAQ #20DMA #TaylorSwift #StockMarket #MarketPsychology #Speculation #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

influence market event taylor swift engagement wall street register cio stake cracked up lance roberts senior investment advisor real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

8-27-25 Low Volatility Begets High Volatility | Before the Bell

video negative register markets volatility lance roberts

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 27, 2025 4:34

Markets rallied Tuesday, still in a tight trading range. Negative divergence continues, and market breadth remains low, with a lot of stocks NOT participating in this action. There is no market concern; this level of complacency is what sets up for an eventual correction. And while a 5% might be expected (and normal), it will be painful following this elongated period of gains. Low volatility begets high volatility; all markets need is a catalyst. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: http://bit.ly/4fTiayV ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #LowVolativity #HighVolativity #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Charles' Take: ETFs Outnumber Stocks, Retail Investors Keep Buying the Dip

Charles Payne's Unstoppable Prosperity Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2025 6:55

In a surprising turn, there are now more ETFs than individual stocks in the U.S., according to Morningstar. This shift has fueled a constant influx of cash into the stock market, leading retail investors to consistently buy the dip. Charles is joined by Lance Roberts, CIO of RIA Advisors, who discusses the implications of this trend and the risks retail investors face. Despite the market's upward trajectory, Roberts emphasizes the importance of diversification and hedging, especially with stocks like Nvidia showing potential volatility. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

investors retail roberts stocks nvidia cio etfs morningstar lance roberts

8-26-25 Are Robo Advisors All They're Cracked Up to Be?

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2025 53:14

New investors often believe that higher risk equals higher reward—but that's not always the case. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn explore why newbie investors take on more risk than experienced ones, the common investing mistakes beginners make, and how risk management strategies can protect long-term wealth. From portfolio allocation to investor psychology, we'll compare how experienced vs. beginner investors approach risk and why discipline matters more than luck. If you're starting your investing journey, this discussion will help you avoid the traps that cost new investors money.

change focusing register cio robo advisors cracked up lance roberts senior investment advisor real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

8-26-25 Market Internals Weaken | Before the Bell

video market register markets puts underneath s p weaken internals lance roberts

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2025 4:30

Markets sold off after testing all time highs. The S&P has now set a "double top," and markets are now consolidating in a very narrow channel. Meanwhile, markets are doing well with a bullish trend still in place. However, there also remains a negative divergence with money flows going into the market are weakening, as well as a negative divergence in momentum and relative strength. Underneath the surface, there is some deterioration in the markets. Such are not immediate threats, but are a prelude to an eventual market correction. And with level of deviation, a price correction of between 3% and 5% at some point is not out of the question. Now is a good time to take some profits, save some cash, and perhaps buy cheap insurance in the form of Puts while volatility is at a low ebb. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/oYjR_cIL3Yo ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishTrend #MarketTechnicals #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #MarketVolatility #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

8/26/25 Are Robo Advisors All They're Cracked Up to Be?

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2025 53:15

New investors often believe that higher risk equals higher reward—but that's not always the case. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn explore why newbie investors take on more risk than experienced ones, the common investing mistakes beginners make, and how risk management strategies can protect long-term wealth. From portfolio allocation to investor psychology, we'll compare how experienced vs. beginner investors approach risk and why discipline matters more than luck. If you're starting your investing journey, this discussion will help you avoid the traps that cost new investors money.

change focusing register cio robo advisors cracked up lance roberts senior investment advisor real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

8-25-25 Buy Every Dip Remains the Winning Strategy for Now

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 25, 2025 42:39

“Buy every dip” has been the mantra of this bull market — and so far, it has rewarded investors. Lance Roberts explains why the buy the dip strategy continues to work in today's market, even as valuations stretch and risks build beneath the surface. Lance looks at how investors are approaching stock market pullback investing, what history tells us about short-term market trends versus long-term risks, and the potential turning points that could challenge the strategy. More importantly, we'll outline how to incorporate risk management in volatile markets so portfolios aren't caught off guard when the trend inevitably shifts. SEG-1a: NVIDIA Preview SEG-1b: Why Markets Hit All-time Highs SEG-2a: Investors Aren't Worried About Correction SEG-2b: How EFT's Are Distorting the Markets SEG-2c: Why the Buy the Dip Strategy Has Worked SEG-2d:Market Valuations Don't Matter Until They Do SEG-2e: Markets Will Eventually Have a Mean-reverting Event SEG-2ee: Rules for Managing Portfolios - Optionality of Cash SEG-2f: Focus on High Quality Names SEG-2g: Adding Tactical Hedges SEG-2h: Avoid High Leverage SEG-2i: Portfolios Are Ethereal SEG-2j: Be Willing to Sell SEG-2k: The Negative Equity Sentiment Indicator Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t-3XZo7LbCY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2046s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' All-time Highs...but" is here: http://bit.ly/4lPbQtR -------- Our previous show, "Raising Money Smart Kids - How to Teach Kids About Money & Saving," can be viewed here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SvLHCd84WNw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: “Buy Every Dip” Remains The Winning Strategy…For Now https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buy-every-dip-remains-the-winning-strategyfor-now/ "Market Valuations Don't Matter…Until They Do" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-valuations-dont-matter-until-they-do/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JeromePowell #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #MarketRally #MarketBreadth #MarketTechnicals #BuyTheDip #StockMarketStrategy #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #RiskManagement #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

strategy winning focus saving register markets remains eft highs lance roberts real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

8/25/25 “Buy Every Dip” Remains The Winning Strategy…For Now

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 25, 2025 42:40

“Buy every dip” has been the mantra of this bull market — and so far, it has rewarded investors. Lance Roberts explains why the buy the dip strategy continues to work in today's market, even as valuations stretch and risks build beneath the surface. Lance looks at how investors are approaching stock market pullback investing, what history tells us about short-term market trends versus long-term risks, and the potential turning points that could challenge the strategy. More importantly, we'll outline how to incorporate risk management in volatile markets so portfolios aren't caught off guard when the trend inevitably shifts. SEG-1a: NVIDIA Preview SEG-1b: Why Markets Hit All-time Highs SEG-2a: Investors Aren't Worried About Correction SEG-2b: How EFT's Are Distorting the Markets SEG-2c: Why the Buy the Dip Strategy Has Worked SEG-2d:Market Valuations Don't Matter Until They Do SEG-2e: Markets Will Eventually Have a Mean-reverting Event SEG-2ee: Rules for Managing Portfolios - Optionality of Cash SEG-2f: Focus on High Quality Names SEG-2g: Adding Tactical Hedges SEG-2h: Avoid High Leverage SEG-2i: Portfolios Are Ethereal SEG-2j: Be Willing to Sell SEG-2k: The Negative Equity Sentiment Indicator Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t-3XZo7LbCY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2046s -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' All-time Highs...but" is here: http://bit.ly/4lPbQtR -------- Our previous show, "Raising Money Smart Kids - How to Teach Kids About Money & Saving," can be viewed here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SvLHCd84WNw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: “Buy Every Dip” Remains The Winning Strategy…For Now https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buy-every-dip-remains-the-winning-strategyfor-now/ "Market Valuations Don't Matter…Until They Do" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-valuations-dont-matter-until-they-do/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JeromePowell #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #MarketRally #MarketBreadth #MarketTechnicals #BuyTheDip #StockMarketStrategy #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #RiskManagement #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

strategy winning focus register markets remains eft highs lance roberts real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

8-25-25 Markets' All-time Highs...but | Before the Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 25, 2025 3:20

Markets closed at all-time highs on Friday, thanks to comments by Jerome Powell that the Fed will be cutting rates in September. Markets confirmed support at the 20-DMA. Markets also saw a very sharp uptick in money flows, thanks to options expirations: Friday was the largest options expiration day for August on record. Market breadth also improved dramatically. Small-cap and Mid-cap stocks also jumped by 3%. Futures this morning are lower, with some profit taking coming in. However, we are still running a negative divergence in money flows and relative strength, indicating underlying technical weaknesses remain. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: http://bit.ly/4lPbQtR ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "UPS Is At Pandemic Lows: Value Or Value Trap?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ups-is-at-pandemic-lows-value-or-value-trap/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JeromePowell #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #MarketRally #MarketBreadth #MarketTechnicals #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

video market register markets fed futures mid highs jerome powell dma lance roberts

Fed Chair Signals Rate Cuts Ahead, Markets Zoom Higher | Lance Roberts

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 23, 2025 96:57

Jerome Powell just made his long-awaited speech at Jackson Hole and sent a strong signal the Fed will start cutting interest rates due to increasing concern over growing economic weakness.The markets, little surprise, took this as fantastic news and practically every asset class rose sharply in price.Is this sustainable?Assets, after all, are valued based on expected future earnings.If the economy is slowing, shouldn't that bring valuation multiples *down* not *up*?Lance Roberts and I discuss that in depth today, as well as where inflation, earnings estimates and the housing market are likely headed.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this new Market Recap.LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#federalreserve #interestrates #labormarket 0:00 - Jackson Hole Symposium and record August options expiration3:07 - Risks to earnings from recent economic data4:02 - Market reaction to Powell's speech, expectations of rate cuts11:45 - Steve Hanke's inflation outlook and quantity theory of money15:59 - Bond yields debate: Economic growth vs. tariff uncertainty19:59 - Money supply growth relative to GDP and inflation27:29 - Currency devaluation and wealth preservation strategies32:07 - Wealth gap and inflation's impact on asset owners vs. non-owners34:02 - Alternative 2008 scenario: Letting banks fail43:14 - Role of government in economic resets, infrastructure investment46:05 - Risks to earnings due to slowing economic activity56:19 - ETF flows: Retail buying vs. professional selling1:04:59 - Housing market correction and its economic impact1:11:30 - Demographic trends in housing: Boomer sell-offs1:13:48 - Recent trades and Simplevisor thematic models1:19:14 - Grace under pressure: Handling adversity in life and markets1:34:05 - Thoughtful Money Fall Conference announcement, October 18th_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

8-21-25 Bad News is not New News | Before the Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 21, 2025 2:38

Target's earnings report was not good, and guidance was weaker; the chain is blaming the consumer for not spending in their stores. This is nothing new: We've heard from other retailers like Chipotle, Starbuck's, and Cava that consumers are holding back on spending. Additionally, a look at GDP reveals consumption, which is 2/3rds of the economy, dropping a lot. AI infrastructure building has offset this somewhat, but it underscores the importance of the consumer in the economy. WalMart's report today will be similarly intriguing as a barometer of the consumer. This may be the calm before the storm of this week's Jackson Hole meeting, and the actions of the Fed seeming to be more political and economic. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has dropped about 10% over the last couple of weeks. Bitcoin, NASDAQ, and speculative stocks have been very highly correlated. Whether or not you're a Bitcoin fan, it IS a gauge of sentiment and speculative appetite. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bU-QunzVoco&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1------- Articles mentioned in this report: "UPS Is At Pandemic Lows: Value Or Value Trap?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ups-is-at-pandemic-lows-value-or-value-trap/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitCoin #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #LisaCook #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #AIstory #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

ai video target bitcoin walmart register fed gdp bad news nasdaq chipotle jackson hole starbuck cava new news lance roberts candid coffee

8-20-25 John Tamny - Money is Ruthless

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2025 40:30

Lance Roberts interviews John Tamny, author, economist, and editor of RealClearMarkets. Tamny's provocative new book, Deficit Delusion, reframes how we think about debt and growth. He makes a bold case: Trump-style protectionism and fear-driven immigration policies are economically self-defeating—even for conservatives. Trade is the greatest foreign policy mankind has ever devised, plus it's great for workers as is any scenario that expands the division of labor. $36.1 trillion Government Debt is not a crisis—it's a sign of U.S. strength & investor confidence about the U.S.'s future, it's not weakness. 1:55 - Will the Debt Spiral spark a financial crisis? 4:03 - What is the debt relative to economic growth? 5:18 - The Uber Analogy & Expectations of Debt 8:40 - What are we NOT doing because of Excessive Government Debt? 12:30 - The Premise of Productive Debt & Economic Growth 16:33 - The Danger of Government Spending Cuts 18:40 - The Dark Side of the Flat Tax 22:25 - GDP: The Most Fraudulent Number in Economics 25:58 - What is the "right" tax rate? 28:46 - We Need to Fund the 'nut jobs' 31:09 - Why taxes should be cut for everyone 33:33 - How long before the first, one-man "unicorn" $1B company? 37:13 - The Debt Crisis Isn't the Thing to Worry About Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w John Tamny, Editor/Real Clear Markets Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://youtu.be/Hm6yNkNtC0Q -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Greg Mankiw's Solutions Would Expand Federal Debt" https://www.realclearmarkets.com/2025/08/12/greg_mankiws_solutions_would_expand_federal_debt_1128148.html ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JohnTamny #GovernmentDebt #DeficitDelusion #Budget #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

money donald trump expectations trade danger register dark side fund cio 1b ruthless economic growth premise government debt flat tax john tamny realclearmarkets lance roberts tamny greg mankiw candid coffee real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

8/20/25 John Tamny - Money is Ruthless

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2025 40:31

Lance Roberts interviews John Tamny, author, economist, and editor of RealClearMarkets. Tamny's provocative new book, Deficit Delusion, reframes how we think about debt and growth. He makes a bold case: Trump-style protectionism and fear-driven immigration policies are economically self-defeating—even for conservatives. Trade is the greatest foreign policy mankind has ever devised, plus it's great for workers as is any scenario that expands the division of labor. $36.1 trillion Government Debt is not a crisis—it's a sign of U.S. strength & investor confidence about the U.S.'s future, it's not weakness. 1:55 - Will the Debt Spiral spark a financial crisis? 4:03 - What is the debt relative to economic growth? 5:18 - The Uber Analogy & Expectations of Debt 8:40 - What are we NOT doing because of Excessive Government Debt? 12:30 - The Premise of Productive Debt & Economic Growth 16:33 - The Danger of Government Spending Cuts 18:40 - The Dark Side of the Flat Tax 22:25 - GDP: The Most Fraudulent Number in Economics 25:58 - What is the "right" tax rate? 28:46 - We Need to Fund the 'nut jobs' 31:09 - Why taxes should be cut for everyone 33:33 - How long before the first, one-man "unicorn" $1B company? 37:13 - The Debt Crisis Isn't the Thing to Worry About Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w John Tamny, Editor/Real Clear Markets Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://youtu.be/Hm6yNkNtC0Q -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Greg Mankiw's Solutions Would Expand Federal Debt" https://www.realclearmarkets.com/2025/08/12/greg_mankiws_solutions_would_expand_federal_debt_1128148.html ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JohnTamny #GovernmentDebt #DeficitDelusion #Budget #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

money donald trump trade economics danger debt register dark side fund cio 1b ruthless premise government debt flat tax john tamny realclearmarkets lance roberts tamny greg mankiw candid coffee real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

8-19-25 Do You Really Need a Local Financial Advisor

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2025 51:07

Do you really need a local financial advisor to manage your money? Geography doesn't matter anymore when it comes to building wealth and securing your financial future. Lance previews this week's Jackson Hole consortium; what will Jerome Powell Infer? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn cover the conundrum of local vs virtual financial advisors; how college students are lured by credit card offers, and the dangers of credit accounts. This leads to a discussion of personal budgeting, and how deceptively easy it is to begin a culture of savings; the "B-word" is Budget; the importance of controlling discretionary spending and leakage of money; Lance shares an example by working with an income of only $50k; the surprising result of pre-tax contributions and their impact on income; 401k's vs Roth; the benefits of speaking with a "coach" about money, i.e., a financial advisor. SEG-1a: Jackson Hole Preview - What's the Fed going to do? SEG-1b: Negative Divergences are Increasing SEG-2a: Local vs Virtual Financial Advisors SEG-2b: Do You Need a Financial Advisor? SEG-2c: Getting Started So You Can Save & Invest SEG-2d: Stay Away from Credit Cards SEG-2e: Everything's on a Payment Plan SEG-2f: Addressing the "B-word" (Budgeting) SEG-2g: What's Your Number? SEG-2h: Controlling Your Discretionary Spending SEG-2i: Budgeting w $50k SEG-2j: 401k's vs Roth's SEG-2k: Why Should You Speak With a Financial Advisor? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yNJaSxQqghA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=6s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inflation Data Sends Markets To New Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/inflation-data-sends-markets-to-new-highs/ "Excess Bullishness & 10-Rules To Navigate It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/excess-bullishness-10-rules-to-navigate-it/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What is Bitcoin Telling Us Now?" is here: http://bit.ly/463MS4b ------- Our previous show is here: "Ten Rules for Navigating Excessive Market Bullishness" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogzk5Y4D7b0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitCoin #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #FinancialAdvisor #VirtualAdvisor #OnlineFinancialPlanning #InvestingTips #PersonalFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

local budget addressing register fed budgeting cio geography roth financial advisors stay away jackson hole do you need ten rules your number lance roberts senior investment advisor candid coffee real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

8/19/25 Do You Really Need a Local Financial Advisor?

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2025 51:08

Do you really need a local financial advisor to manage your money? Geography doesn't matter anymore when it comes to building wealth and securing your financial future. Lance previews this week's Jackson Hole consortium; what will Jerome Powell Infer? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn cover the conundrum of local vs virtual financial advisors; how college students are lured by credit card offers, and the dangers of credit accounts. This leads to a discussion of personal budgeting, and how deceptively easy it is to begin a culture of savings; the "B-word" is Budget; the importance of controlling discretionary spending and leakage of money; Lance shares an example by working with an income of only $50k; the surprising result of pre-tax contributions and their impact on income; 401k's vs Roth; the benefits of speaking with a "coach" about money, i.e., a financial advisor. SEG-1a: Jackson Hole Preview - What's the Fed going to do? SEG-1b: Negative Divergences are Increasing SEG-2a: Local vs Virtual Financial Advisors SEG-2b: Do You Need a Financial Advisor? SEG-2c: Getting Started So You Can Save & Invest SEG-2d: Stay Away from Credit Cards SEG-2e: Everything's on a Payment Plan SEG-2f: Addressing the "B-word" (Budgeting) SEG-2g: What's Your Number? SEG-2h: Controlling Your Discretionary Spending SEG-2i: Budgeting w $50k SEG-2j: 401k's vs Roth's SEG-2k: Why Should You Speak With a Financial Advisor? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yNJaSxQqghA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=6s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inflation Data Sends Markets To New Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/inflation-data-sends-markets-to-new-highs/ "Excess Bullishness & 10-Rules To Navigate It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/excess-bullishness-10-rules-to-navigate-it/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What is Bitcoin Telling Us Now?" is here: http://bit.ly/463MS4b ------- Our previous show is here: "Ten Rules for Navigating Excessive Market Bullishness" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogzk5Y4D7b0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitCoin #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #FinancialAdvisor #VirtualAdvisor #OnlineFinancialPlanning #InvestingTips #PersonalFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

local budget addressing register fed budgeting cio geography roth financial advisors stay away jackson hole do you need ten rules your number lance roberts senior investment advisor candid coffee real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

8-19-25 What is Bitcoin Telling Us Now?| Before the Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2025 3:58

Markets have been very slowly climbing a wall of worry over the past few weeks. While August tends to be a weaker month for markets, such has not been the case thus far. However, negative divergences in relative strength, money flows, and momentum have belied an underlying weakness in the markets. The NASDAQ has been doing well with the drive to chase technology stocks, but that trend has weakened even more than the S&P 500, creating a divergence between the two indexes. A look at Bitcoin, which is a proxy for risk-taking, and for which there is a high correlation with the NASDAQ, also shows some weakening. Bitcoin has triggered a sell signal, and is starting to show a downtrend in relative strength. This doesn't mean markets are about to crash; this could be just a prelude as investors remove risk ahead of the Jackson Hole symposium later this week. IF Jerome Powell comes out more-dovish, we could see markets strengthen. Remember, this has been a market driven by the top ten stocks; performance has been concentrated in Tech and Financials. That kind of bifurcation in the markets is worth paying attention to. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWwtLllMsS8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitCoin #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #AIstory #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

video tech bitcoin register markets nasdaq jackson hole financials s p lance roberts candid coffee

8-18-25 Ten Rules for Navigating Excessive Market Bullishness

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2025 42:22

Are investors too optimistic right now? Lance Roberts breaks down ten rules for navigating excess market bullishness so you can protect your portfolio while still participating in market gains. Also in today's show: Lance's assessment of earnings season so far, and the role Nvidia will play in determining market moods. We've got a special interview segment planned for Wednesday's (8/20) show [Premier link is below]; Lance reveals yet another saga by the Roberts' children, and how we can learn from our mistakes, whether we're dishwashers or investors. The reason markets look great can be traced to 7-stocks. The inherent risks of the future; the double edged sword of margin debt, and what's really driving earnings growth. Lance reviews his Ten Rules for Navigating excess bullishness in the market, earnings growth forecast justification, and why retail investors are the last resort for Wall Street. SEG-1a: Earnings Season is Almost Done SEG-1b: Nvidia is one of the Last Supports for Markets SEG-2a: John Tamny Interview Tease [ https://youtu.be/Hm6yNkNtC0Q ] SEG-2b: Bullish Sentiment for the Young & Lance's Daughter SEG-2c: Learning from Our Mistakes SEG-2d: Investors' Ability to Forget Pain SEG-2e: Things Look Great...but only because of 7-stocks SEG-2f: The Spread Between Market Cap vs Equal Weight Indexes SEG-2g: The Risk of Not Knowing Crypto, AI future SEG-2h: Margin Debt is a Double-edged Sword SEG-2i: What/Who's Really Driving Earnings Growth SEG-2j: The CoreWeave Story SEG-2k: Ten Rules for Navigating Excess Market Bullishness SEG-2l: Proper Position Sizing in Portfolios SEG-2m: Behind the Scenes with Economic Growth SEG-2n: Justifying Earnings Growth Forecasts SEG-2o: You're the Cannon Fodder for Wall Street SEG-2p: Smart Money vs Dumb Money SEG-2q: Bullish Market Sentiment Driven by Narrow Framework Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogzk5Y4D7b0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inflation Data Sends Markets To New Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/inflation-data-sends-markets-to-new-highs/ "Excess Bullishness & 10-Rules To Navigate It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/excess-bullishness-10-rules-to-navigate-it/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Risks are Posed in AI Story?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZXO6sFR3mCc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Money Playbook for Young Millionaires" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fOXqIaMP8RY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarketRisk #InvestorPsychology #MarketSpeculation #PortfolioStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

learning young navigating market risk wall street investors register premier roberts ability scenes nvidia cio excessive smart money posed earnings season cannon fodder ten rules what who lance roberts candid coffee real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

8/18/25 Ten Rules for Navigating Excessive Market Bullishness

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2025 42:23

Are investors too optimistic right now? Lance Roberts breaks down ten rules for navigating excess market bullishness so you can protect your portfolio while still participating in market gains. Also in today's show: Lance's assessment of earnings season so far, and the role Nvidia will play in determining market moods. We've got a special interview segment planned for Wednesday's (8/20) show [Premier link is below]; Lance reveals yet another saga by the Roberts' children, and how we can learn from our mistakes, whether we're dishwashers or investors. The reason markets look great can be traced to 7-stocks. The inherent risks of the future; the double edged sword of margin debt, and what's really driving earnings growth. Lance reviews his Ten Rules for Navigating excess bullishness in the market, earnings growth forecast justification, and why retail investors are the last resort for Wall Street. SEG-1a: Earnings Season is Almost Done SEG-1b: Nvidia is one of the Last Supports for Markets SEG-2a: John Tamny Interview Tease [ https://youtu.be/Hm6yNkNtC0Q ] SEG-2b: Bullish Sentiment for the Young & Lance's Daughter SEG-2c: Learning from Our Mistakes SEG-2d: Investors' Ability to Forget Pain SEG-2e: Things Look Great...but only because of 7-stocks SEG-2f: The Spread Between Market Cap vs Equal Weight Indexes SEG-2g: The Risk of Not Knowing Crypto, AI future SEG-2h: Margin Debt is a Double-edged Sword SEG-2i: What/Who's Really Driving Earnings Growth SEG-2j: The CoreWeave Story SEG-2k: Ten Rules for Navigating Excess Market Bullishness SEG-2l: Proper Position Sizing in Portfolios SEG-2m: Behind the Scenes with Economic Growth SEG-2n: Justifying Earnings Growth Forecasts SEG-2o: You're the Cannon Fodder for Wall Street SEG-2p: Smart Money vs Dumb Money SEG-2q: Bullish Market Sentiment Driven by Narrow Framework Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogzk5Y4D7b0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inflation Data Sends Markets To New Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/inflation-data-sends-markets-to-new-highs/ "Excess Bullishness & 10-Rules To Navigate It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/excess-bullishness-10-rules-to-navigate-it/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Risks are Posed in AI Story?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZXO6sFR3mCc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Money Playbook for Young Millionaires" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fOXqIaMP8RY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarketRisk #InvestorPsychology #MarketSpeculation #PortfolioStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

learning ai navigating market risk wall street investors register premier roberts ability scenes nvidia cio excessive smart money posed earnings season cannon fodder ten rules what who lance roberts candid coffee real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

8-18-25 What Risks are Posed in AI Story?| Before the Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2025 4:55

Markets were sloppy but okay on Friday, selling off a bit to 6,430, but the bullish trend remains in place in a very defined, stair-step elevation. Every dip is being bought, but rallies aren't doing so well. Sellers have been dragging buyers higher, with buyers reluctantly paying higher prices. There's just not a lot of "eagerness" for buyers to pay higher prices, which is showing up in money flows: Weakness in money flows as markets are rising is a bit of a negative divergence to watch: These are typically preludes to some type of market consolidation or corrective action. One of the last supports for the market to report in this cycle is Nvidia, for which the bar has been set extremely high. Any slight misstep could disrupt markets, a la DeepSeek? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZXO6sFR3mCc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

video register risks markets weakness sellers nvidia posed lance roberts candid coffee

Wall Street Is Now Dumping It's Junk On The Regular Investor | Lance Roberts

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 16, 2025 106:20

Wall Street exists to sell us its products.And right now, retail investors are so greedy that they're buying whatever they can get their hands on.So this is a "bonanza" time for Wall Street, says portfolio manager Lance Roberts, which is happily selling us all of the junk it ever wanted to unload.Prices may continue for a good while longer, but be warned, says Lance: history is clear that periods of indiscriminate buying like this always end in tears.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this weekly Market Recap.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #speculation #stocks 0:00 - Markets near all-time highs, ignoring economic slowdown1:56 - High speculation reminiscent of 1999 and 20213:22 - Concerns about young investors taking excessive risks6:26 - High valuations and narrow moats in new IPOs like FIG11:32 - Brent Johnson echoes correction risk by September18:44 - Earnings growth concentrated in tech and major banks21:26 - Tech earnings driven by capex, potential for crest28:23 - Record insider selling and $1.1T share buybacks in 202535:05 - Rotation into healthcare, Buffett's United Healthcare stake 48:14 - Simplevisor platform for DIY investors and managed portfolios58:44 - Retail sales data shows economic slowdown1:03:05 - Fed likely to cut rates in September, market expects three cuts1:16:22 - Life was hard historically, affluenza saps younger generations1:24:26 - Parents enabling affluenza, need to foster resilience1:37:34 - Risk of home price decline if supply glut hits market_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

8-14-25 Will the Fed Cut Rates NOW

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2025 44:42

Will the Federal Reserve blink and cut rates now? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest inflation data, economic trends, and market signals that could force the Fed's hand and what it means for your portfolio. Lance previews today's PPI report, which could reveal tariff inflation producers are having to pay. More importantly will be any trend PPI numbers reveal. Markets continue to touch all time highs amid fundamental weaknesses. Following Wednesday's CPI number, is the Fed going to be forced to lower rates? Lance and Michael discuss pro's & con's and the "Sneaky" Inflation index; why PPI is a more accurate gauge of tariff inflation. Markets have already pried-in the next rate cut. Forward earnings expectations are very elevated...and deviated from economic realities. Michael Reviews the "UPS Barometer" of activity; only ten companies are driving market gains presently; the S&P 490 are struggling. What if Nvidia stumbles in next report? (This is NOT the end of the AI cycle.) Markets over-estimate growth; are rotating sectors more rapidly; how long will the rotations stick? Fundamentals matter more to small- and mid-cap companies, more susceptible to economic changes. WHat will the Fed be thinking following PPI, PCE, & Nvidia report next week? SEG-1a: PPI & Retail Sales Preview - Will Tariff Inflation Appear? SEG-1b: Sector Rotation Beginning to Appear SEG-2a: What Are the Odds of a 50 vs 25 Rate Cut? SEG-2b: The Shoe Price Index & "Sneaky" Inflation SEG-2c: Why PPI Data is Important Tell of Tariff Inflation SEG-2d: What Would Market Response Be to 1/2-pt. cut? SEG-2e: Earnings Growth is Being Driven By Only Ten Companies SEG-2f: What If Nvidia Stumbles? SEG-2g: Markets Are Richly Priced on a Narrative SEG-2h: How Long Will This Rotation Stick? SEG-2i: The Fundamental Realities of Small- & Mid-Caps SEG-2j: The SimpleVisor Thematic Portfolio Tools SEG-2k: Wait to Gauge the Fed Post-PPI, PCE, & Nvidia Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1vTkvEIUxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Index Isn't Always Accurate: Factors Influencing Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-index-isnt-always-accurate-factors-influencing-yields/ "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Breadth Expands," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Portfolio Concentration: Hidden Risks That Can Sink Your Returns," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #FederalReserve #RateCut #InterestRates #USEconomy #StockMarketNews #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

ai forward register inflation odds markets fed rates fundamentals federal reserve nvidia cio sneaky cpi gauge ppi rate cut pce livermore lance roberts michael lebowitz candid coffee real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

8/14/25 Will the Fed Cut Rates NOW??

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2025 44:43

Will the Federal Reserve blink and cut rates now? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest inflation data, economic trends, and market signals that could force the Fed's hand and what it means for your portfolio. Lance previews today's PPI report, which could reveal tariff inflation producers are having to pay. More importantly will be any trend PPI numbers reveal. Markets continue to touch all time highs amid fundamental weaknesses. Following Wednesday's CPI number, is the Fed going to be forced to lower rates? Lance and Michael discuss pro's & con's and the "Sneaky" Inflation index; why PPI is a more accurate gauge of tariff inflation. Markets have already pried-in the next rate cut. Forward earnings expectations are very elevated...and deviated from economic realities. Michael Reviews the "UPS Barometer" of activity; only ten companies are driving market gains presently; the S&P 490 are struggling. What if Nvidia stumbles in next report? (This is NOT the end of the AI cycle.) Markets over-estimate growth; are rotating sectors more rapidly; how long will the rotations stick? Fundamentals matter more to small- and mid-cap companies, more susceptible to economic changes. WHat will the Fed be thinking following PPI, PCE, & Nvidia report next week? SEG-1a: PPI & Retail Sales Preview - Will Tariff Inflation Appear? SEG-1b: Sector Rotation Beginning to Appear SEG-2a: What Are the Odds of a 50 vs 25 Rate Cut? SEG-2b: The Shoe Price Index & "Sneaky" Inflation SEG-2c: Why PPI Data is Important Tell of Tariff Inflation SEG-2d: What Would Market Response Be to 1/2-pt. cut? SEG-2e: Earnings Growth is Being Driven By Only Ten Companies SEG-2f: What If Nvidia Stumbles? SEG-2g: Markets Are Richly Priced on a Narrative SEG-2h: How Long Will This Rotation Stick? SEG-2i: The Fundamental Realities of Small- & Mid-Caps SEG-2j: The SimpleVisor Thematic Portfolio Tools SEG-2k: Wait to Gauge the Fed Post-PPI, PCE, & Nvidia Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1vTkvEIUxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Index Isn't Always Accurate: Factors Influencing Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-index-isnt-always-accurate-factors-influencing-yields/ "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Breadth Expands," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Portfolio Concentration: Hidden Risks That Can Sink Your Returns," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #FederalReserve #RateCut #InterestRates #USEconomy #StockMarketNews #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

ai forward register odds markets fed rates fundamentals federal reserve nvidia cio cpi s p gauge ppi rate cut pce lance roberts michael lebowitz candid coffee real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit

8-14-25 Market Breadth Expands | Before the Bell

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2025 4:29

Markets yet again hit new, all-time highs on Wednesday, following a very well-defined uptrend. This is a very narrow trend channel. Even though a buy signal has been triggered, upside is somewhat limited. The up-again, down-again, up-again, down-again market patterns over the past several days is not a great sign of internal market strength because of the mis-match of buyers and sellers struggling at current price levels. The gap between the S&P 500 Equal Weight and the S&P itself is getting pretty large. The rotation out of tech that we've been looking for is showing up in the equal-weighted index. This suggests that some of the leaders are starting to give up some of their gains. The good news is, we're starting to see growth in market breadth, and money is starting to rotate into areas of the market that had not previously participated in the gains. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

video market register markets expands s p breadth lance roberts candid coffee

8-13-25 Portfolio Concentrations - Hidden Risks that Can Sink Your Returns