Podcast appearances and mentions of lance roberts

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Best podcasts about lance roberts

Latest podcast episodes about lance roberts

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
8-20-25 John Tamny - Money is Ruthless

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 20, 2025 40:30


Lance Roberts interviews John Tamny, author, economist, and editor of RealClearMarkets. Tamny's provocative new book, Deficit Delusion, reframes how we think about debt and growth. He makes a bold case: Trump-style protectionism and fear-driven immigration policies are economically self-defeating—even for conservatives. Trade is the greatest foreign policy mankind has ever devised, plus it's great for workers as is any scenario that expands the division of labor. $36.1 trillion Government Debt is not a crisis—it's a sign of U.S. strength & investor confidence about the U.S.'s future, it's not weakness. 1:55 - Will the Debt Spiral spark a financial crisis? 4:03 - What is the debt relative to economic growth? 5:18 - The Uber Analogy & Expectations of Debt 8:40 - What are we NOT doing because of Excessive Government Debt? 12:30 - The Premise of Productive Debt & Economic Growth 16:33 - The Danger of Government Spending Cuts 18:40 - The Dark Side of the Flat Tax 22:25 - GDP: The Most Fraudulent Number in Economics 25:58 - What is the "right" tax rate? 28:46 - We Need to Fund the 'nut jobs' 31:09 - Why taxes should be cut for everyone 33:33 - How long before the first, one-man "unicorn" $1B company? 37:13 - The Debt Crisis Isn't the Thing to Worry About Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w John Tamny, Editor/Real Clear Markets Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://youtu.be/Hm6yNkNtC0Q -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Greg Mankiw's Solutions Would Expand Federal Debt" https://www.realclearmarkets.com/2025/08/12/greg_mankiws_solutions_would_expand_federal_debt_1128148.html ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JohnTamny #GovernmentDebt #DeficitDelusion #Budget #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
8-19-25 Do You Really Need a Local Financial Advisor

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 19, 2025 51:07


Do you really need a local financial advisor to manage your money? Geography doesn't matter anymore when it comes to building wealth and securing your financial future. Lance previews this week's Jackson Hole consortium; what will Jerome Powell Infer? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn cover the conundrum of local vs virtual financial advisors; how college students are lured by credit card offers, and the dangers of credit accounts. This leads to a discussion of personal budgeting, and how deceptively easy it is to begin a culture of savings; the "B-word" is Budget; the importance of controlling discretionary spending and leakage of money; Lance shares an example by working with an income of only $50k; the surprising result of pre-tax contributions and their impact on income; 401k's vs Roth; the benefits of speaking with a "coach" about money, i.e., a financial advisor. SEG-1a: Jackson Hole Preview - What's the Fed going to do? SEG-1b: Negative Divergences are Increasing SEG-2a: Local vs Virtual Financial Advisors SEG-2b: Do You Need a Financial Advisor? SEG-2c: Getting Started So You Can Save & Invest SEG-2d: Stay Away from Credit Cards SEG-2e: Everything's on a Payment Plan SEG-2f: Addressing the "B-word" (Budgeting) SEG-2g: What's Your Number? SEG-2h: Controlling Your Discretionary Spending SEG-2i: Budgeting w $50k SEG-2j: 401k's vs Roth's SEG-2k: Why Should You Speak With a Financial Advisor? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yNJaSxQqghA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=6s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inflation Data Sends Markets To New Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/inflation-data-sends-markets-to-new-highs/ "Excess Bullishness & 10-Rules To Navigate It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/excess-bullishness-10-rules-to-navigate-it/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What is Bitcoin Telling Us Now?" is here: http://bit.ly/463MS4b ------- Our previous show is here: "Ten Rules for Navigating Excessive Market Bullishness" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogzk5Y4D7b0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BitCoin #JacksonHole #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #MarketCorrection #MarketRisk #FinancialAdvisor #VirtualAdvisor #OnlineFinancialPlanning #InvestingTips #PersonalFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
8-18-25 Ten Rules for Navigating Excessive Market Bullishness

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 18, 2025 42:22


Are investors too optimistic right now? Lance Roberts breaks down ten rules for navigating excess market bullishness so you can protect your portfolio while still participating in market gains. Also in today's show: Lance's assessment of earnings season so far, and the role Nvidia will play in determining market moods. We've got a special interview segment planned for Wednesday's (8/20) show [Premier link is below]; Lance reveals yet another saga by the Roberts' children, and how we can learn from our mistakes, whether we're dishwashers or investors. The reason markets look great can be traced to 7-stocks. The inherent risks of the future; the double edged sword of margin debt, and what's really driving earnings growth. Lance reviews his Ten Rules for Navigating excess bullishness in the market, earnings growth forecast justification, and why retail investors are the last resort for Wall Street. SEG-1a: Earnings Season is Almost Done SEG-1b: Nvidia is one of the Last Supports for Markets SEG-2a: John Tamny Interview Tease [ https://youtu.be/Hm6yNkNtC0Q ] SEG-2b: Bullish Sentiment for the Young & Lance's Daughter SEG-2c: Learning from Our Mistakes SEG-2d: Investors' Ability to Forget Pain SEG-2e: Things Look Great...but only because of 7-stocks SEG-2f: The Spread Between Market Cap vs Equal Weight Indexes SEG-2g: The Risk of Not Knowing Crypto, AI future SEG-2h: Margin Debt is a Double-edged Sword SEG-2i: What/Who's Really Driving Earnings Growth SEG-2j: The CoreWeave Story SEG-2k: Ten Rules for Navigating Excess Market Bullishness SEG-2l: Proper Position Sizing in Portfolios SEG-2m: Behind the Scenes with Economic Growth SEG-2n: Justifying Earnings Growth Forecasts SEG-2o: You're the Cannon Fodder for Wall Street SEG-2p: Smart Money vs Dumb Money SEG-2q: Bullish Market Sentiment Driven by Narrow Framework Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ogzk5Y4D7b0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inflation Data Sends Markets To New Highs" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/inflation-data-sends-markets-to-new-highs/ "Excess Bullishness & 10-Rules To Navigate It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/excess-bullishness-10-rules-to-navigate-it/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Risks are Posed in AI Story?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZXO6sFR3mCc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Money Playbook for Young Millionaires" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fOXqIaMP8RY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #StockMarketRisk #InvestorPsychology #MarketSpeculation #PortfolioStrategies #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Wall Street Is Now Dumping It's Junk On The Regular Investor | Lance Roberts

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 16, 2025 106:20


Wall Street exists to sell us its products.And right now, retail investors are so greedy that they're buying whatever they can get their hands on.So this is a "bonanza" time for Wall Street, says portfolio manager Lance Roberts, which is happily selling us all of the junk it ever wanted to unload.Prices may continue for a good while longer, but be warned, says Lance: history is clear that periods of indiscriminate buying like this always end in tears.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this weekly Market Recap.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #speculation #stocks 0:00 - Markets near all-time highs, ignoring economic slowdown1:56 - High speculation reminiscent of 1999 and 20213:22 - Concerns about young investors taking excessive risks6:26 - High valuations and narrow moats in new IPOs like FIG11:32 - Brent Johnson echoes correction risk by September18:44 - Earnings growth concentrated in tech and major banks21:26 - Tech earnings driven by capex, potential for crest28:23 - Record insider selling and $1.1T share buybacks in 202535:05 - Rotation into healthcare, Buffett's United Healthcare stake 48:14 - Simplevisor platform for DIY investors and managed portfolios58:44 - Retail sales data shows economic slowdown1:03:05 - Fed likely to cut rates in September, market expects three cuts1:16:22 - Life was hard historically, affluenza saps younger generations1:24:26 - Parents enabling affluenza, need to foster resilience1:37:34 - Risk of home price decline if supply glut hits market_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
8-14-25 Will the Fed Cut Rates NOW

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2025 44:42


Will the Federal Reserve blink and cut rates now? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest inflation data, economic trends, and market signals that could force the Fed's hand and what it means for your portfolio. Lance previews today's PPI report, which could reveal tariff inflation producers are having to pay. More importantly will be any trend PPI numbers reveal. Markets continue to touch all time highs amid fundamental weaknesses. Following Wednesday's CPI number, is the Fed going to be forced to lower rates? Lance and Michael discuss pro's & con's and the "Sneaky" Inflation index; why PPI is a more accurate gauge of tariff inflation. Markets have already pried-in the next rate cut. Forward earnings expectations are very elevated...and deviated from economic realities. Michael Reviews the "UPS Barometer" of activity; only ten companies are driving market gains presently; the S&P 490 are struggling. What if Nvidia stumbles in next report? (This is NOT the end of the AI cycle.) Markets over-estimate growth; are rotating sectors more rapidly; how long will the rotations stick? Fundamentals matter more to small- and mid-cap companies, more susceptible to economic changes. WHat will the Fed be thinking following PPI, PCE, & Nvidia report next week? SEG-1a: PPI & Retail Sales Preview - Will Tariff Inflation Appear? SEG-1b: Sector Rotation Beginning to Appear SEG-2a: What Are the Odds of a 50 vs 25 Rate Cut? SEG-2b: The Shoe Price Index & "Sneaky" Inflation SEG-2c: Why PPI Data is Important Tell of Tariff Inflation SEG-2d: What Would Market Response Be to 1/2-pt. cut? SEG-2e: Earnings Growth is Being Driven By Only Ten Companies SEG-2f: What If Nvidia Stumbles? SEG-2g: Markets Are Richly Priced on a Narrative SEG-2h: How Long Will This Rotation Stick? SEG-2i: The Fundamental Realities of Small- & Mid-Caps SEG-2j: The SimpleVisor Thematic Portfolio Tools SEG-2k: Wait to Gauge the Fed Post-PPI, PCE, & Nvidia Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1vTkvEIUxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Index Isn't Always Accurate: Factors Influencing Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-index-isnt-always-accurate-factors-influencing-yields/ "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Breadth Expands," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Portfolio Concentration: Hidden Risks That Can Sink Your Returns," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #FederalReserve #RateCut #InterestRates #USEconomy #StockMarketNews #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8-14-25 Market Breadth Expands | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2025 4:29


Markets yet again hit new, all-time highs on Wednesday, following a very well-defined uptrend. This is a very narrow trend channel. Even though a buy signal has been triggered, upside is somewhat limited. The up-again, down-again, up-again, down-again market patterns over the past several days is not a great sign of internal market strength because of the mis-match of buyers and sellers struggling at current price levels. The gap between the S&P 500 Equal Weight and the S&P itself is getting pretty large. The rotation out of tech that we've been looking for is showing up in the equal-weighted index. This suggests that some of the leaders are starting to give up some of their gains. The good news is, we're starting to see growth in market breadth, and money is starting to rotate into areas of the market that had not previously participated in the gains. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8/14/25 Will the Fed Cut Rates NOW??

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2025 44:43


Will the Federal Reserve blink and cut rates now? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest inflation data, economic trends, and market signals that could force the Fed's hand and what it means for your portfolio.  Lance previews today's PPI report, which could reveal tariff inflation producers are having to pay. More importantly will be any trend PPI numbers reveal. Markets continue to touch all time highs amid fundamental weaknesses. Following Wednesday's CPI number, is the Fed going to be forced to lower rates? Lance and Michael discuss pro's & con's and the "Sneaky" Inflation index; why PPI is a more accurate gauge of tariff inflation. Markets have already pried-in the next rate cut. Forward earnings expectations are very elevated...and deviated from economic realities. Michael Reviews the "UPS Barometer" of activity; only ten companies are driving market gains presently; the S&P 490 are struggling. What if Nvidia stumbles in next report? (This is NOT the end of the AI cycle.) Markets over-estimate growth; are rotating sectors more rapidly; how long will the rotations stick? Fundamentals matter more to small- and mid-cap companies, more susceptible to economic changes. WHat will the Fed be thinking following PPI, PCE, & Nvidia report next week? SEG-1a: PPI & Retail Sales Preview - Will Tariff Inflation Appear? SEG-1b: Sector Rotation Beginning to Appear SEG-2a: What Are the Odds of a 50 vs 25 Rate Cut? SEG-2b: The Shoe Price Index & "Sneaky" Inflation SEG-2c: Why PPI Data is Important Tell of Tariff Inflation SEG-2d: What Would Market Response Be to 1/2-pt. cut? SEG-2e: Earnings Growth is Being Driven By Only Ten Companies SEG-2f: What If Nvidia Stumbles?  SEG-2g: Markets Are Richly Priced on a Narrative  SEG-2h: How Long Will This Rotation Stick? SEG-2i: The Fundamental Realities of Small- & Mid-Caps SEG-2j: The SimpleVisor Thematic Portfolio Tools SEG-2k: Wait to Gauge the Fed Post-PPI, PCE, & Nvidia Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1vTkvEIUxg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Index Isn't Always Accurate: Factors Influencing Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-index-isnt-always-accurate-factors-influencing-yields/ "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Breadth Expands," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2gfnyTW59w8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Portfolio Concentration: Hidden Risks That Can Sink Your Returns," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBreadth #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #SectorRotation #FederalReserve #RateCut #InterestRates #USEconomy #StockMarketNews #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
8-13-25 Portfolio Concentrations - Hidden Risks that Can Sink Your Returns

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2025 53:59


Many investors unknowingly take on portfolio concentration risk—placing too much money in one stock or sector. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down why concentrated stock portfolios can be dangerous, how lack of investment diversification can magnify losses, and what smart risk management investing looks like. Whether you're building long-term wealth or protecting what you've earned, understanding the hidden dangers of over-concentration is critical. We'll share practical tips to improve your stock diversification strategy, reduce downside risk, and strengthen your portfolio's resilience in volatile markets. SEG-1a: CPI Print Offers Hope for September Rate Cut SEG-1b: Small- & Mid-Cap Performance SEG-2a: Blood Tests & Caffeine SEG-2b: Market Capitalization Concentrations SEG-2c: Is there an Ideal Number of Stocks for a Portfolio? SEG-2d: What is the Goal? SEG-2e: Over-weighting or Under-weighting Positions SEG-2f: The Pain Trade SEG-2g: What Happens Next w Sector Rotation? SEG-2h: Portfolios Are Like NASCAR SEG-2i: What is Your Goal? SEG-2j: Investing Without a Plan is Like Throwing Darts in the Dark SEG-2k: Portfolio Construction for Returns & Taxes SEG-2l: YOLO vs Planning SEG-2m: Importance fo Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Internals Remain Weak," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3v7e03zkoWs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Meme Stock Trading & Jesse Livermore's Timeless Rules for Speculation," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZVH-DHO81pk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2s------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #PortfolioRisk #Diversification #StockMarketTips #InvestingStrategy #WealthManagement #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8-13-25 Market Internals Remain Weak | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2025 5:29


Markets jumped to all-time highs following Tuesday's CPI Report on expectations the Fed will cut rates in September. The report provided markets with a lot of optimism and the opportunity to change the discount rate for stocks. Apparently, it matters not that markets have been rallying all year on expectations of Fed rate cuts. Markets have been in a linear trend, running in a channel for the past week and a half; meanwhile, there has continued to be a negative divergence in money flows. When money flows decline, more pressure is placed on stocks. Money flows now need to play catch up with the rising markets. Bullishly, markets have broken out to new, all-time highs, and typically, new highs beget new highs, so there's no reason to be overly bearish. But, despite the rallying mood, market internals remain weak. Breadth in the market remains very narrow. Small & Mid-Caps have seen a small uptick and rotation into that space, but be careful: While large cap stocks are making new highs, small- and mid-cap stocks remain very range-bound. From a performance perspective, Small- and Mid-cap stocks continue to lag their large-cap brethren.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3v7e03zkoWs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8/13/25 Portfolio Concentration: Hidden Risks That Can Sink Your Returns

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 13, 2025 54:00


Many investors unknowingly take on portfolio concentration risk—placing too much money in one stock or sector. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down why concentrated stock portfolios can be dangerous, how lack of investment diversification can magnify losses, and what smart risk management investing looks like. Whether you're building long-term wealth or protecting what you've earned, understanding the hidden dangers of over-concentration is critical. We'll share practical tips to improve your stock diversification strategy, reduce downside risk, and strengthen your portfolio's resilience in volatile markets. SEG-1a: CPI Print Offers Hope for September Rate Cut SEG-1b: Small- & Mid-Cap Performance SEG-2a: Blood Tests & Caffeine SEG-2b: Market Capitalization Concentrations SEG-2c: Is there an Ideal Number of Stocks for a Portfolio? SEG-2d: What is the Goal? SEG-2e: Over-weighting or Under-weighting Positions SEG-2f: The Pain Trade  SEG-2g: What Happens Next w Sector Rotation? SEG-2h: Portfolios Are Like NASCAR SEG-2i: What is Your Goal? SEG-2j: Investing Without a Plan is Like Throwing Darts in the Dark SEG-2k: Portfolio Construction for Returns & Taxes SEG-2l: YOLO vs Planning SEG-2m: Importance fo Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJh3DN2dGg0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Internals Remain Weak," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3v7e03zkoWs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Meme Stock Trading & Jesse Livermore's Timeless Rules for Speculation," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZVH-DHO81pk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2s------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #PortfolioRisk #Diversification #StockMarketTips #InvestingStrategy #WealthManagement #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
8-12-25 Meme Stock Trading & Jesse Livermore's Timeless Rules for Speculation

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2025 57:30


Meme stocks meet Jesse Livermore's timeless trading rules — Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn discover how classic speculation strategies apply to today's market frenzy. Lance preview's today's CPI print and a Goldman Sachs report on who exactly is shouldering the increased costs of tariffs; a look at markets' up/down pattern, and weakness within; Lance and Jonathan discuss meme stocks, speculative risk, and what the Old Masters of investing had to say about it. Also commentary and guidance for younger investors and those who would like to begin investing: How to get the discipline started. SEG-1a: CPI Preview - It's Always .2% SEG-1b: Who's Footing the Bill for Tariffs? SEG-2a: Meme Stock Frenzy SEG-2b: Speculative Trading Index Examined SEG-2c: Two Old Dudes' Pudding & Protein Paks SEG-2d: The Risk of Speculative Trading SEG-2e: Benjamin Graham on Risk SEG-2f: Jesse Livermore on Market Dynamics & Risk SEG-2g: Ten Rules for Investing SEG-2h: Think Ahead SEG-2i: Needs vs Wants for Younger Generation SEG-2j: First Apartments, First Phones SEG-2k: Getting Started w Savings Plans SEG-2l: Time Flies SEG-2m: What Index Investing Teaches SEG-2n: It's a Different Game for 40-50-year olds Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZVH-DHO81pk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Watch the Weakness in the Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R2kE4pk9IMA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "US GDP Shows Cracks - Why You Should Pay Attention" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fszx_pdp-sA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #NASDAQ #MemeStocks #StockMarketTrading #JesseLivermore #TradingStrategy #MarketSpeculation #JesseLivermore #BenjaminGraham #NeedsWants #SavingMoney #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8-12-25 Watch the Weakness in the Rally | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2025 2:58


Markets have been in an interesting, up/down, up/down pattern over the past week and a half, stair-stepping through a recovery rally, and now again approaching new all-time highs. Relative strength continues to moderate, and momentum remains in a weakening trend. Money flows are weak, as well. So while the recent rally has been good, it has been on very narrow breadth. In fact, yesterday's NASDAQ rally only included 48% of the index members (the lowest on record). This has not been a hallmark, bull market rally, and because of its inherent weakness, any data coming out over the next few weeks has the potential to cause yet another decline or correction. This is a rally in which you want to be managing risk very carefully. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R2kE4pk9IMA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #NASDAQ #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8-12-25 Two Dads on Money - Meme Stock Trading & Jesse Livermore's Timeless Rules for Speculation

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 12, 2025 57:31


Meme stocks meet Jesse Livermore's timeless trading rules —  Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn discover how classic speculation strategies apply to today's market frenzy. Lance preview's today's CPI print and a Goldman Sachs report on who exactly is shouldering the increased costs of tariffs; a look at markets' up/down pattern, and weakness within; Lance and Jonathan discuss meme stocks, speculative risk, and what the Old Masters of investing had to say about it. Also commentary and guidance for younger investors and those who would like to begin investing: How to get the discipline started. SEG-1a: CPI Preview - It's Always .2% SEG-1b: Who's Footing the Bill for Tariffs? SEG-2a: Meme Stock Frenzy SEG-2b: Speculative Trading Index Examined SEG-2c: Two Old Dudes' Pudding & Protein Paks SEG-2d: The Risk of Speculative Trading SEG-2e: Benjamin Graham on Risk SEG-2f: Jesse Livermore on Market Dynamics & Risk  SEG-2g: Ten Rules for Investing SEG-2h: Think Ahead SEG-2i: Needs vs Wants for Younger Generation SEG-2j: First Apartments, First Phones SEG-2k: Getting Started w Savings Plans SEG-2l: Time Flies SEG-2m: What Index Investing Teaches SEG-2n: It's a Different Game for 40-50-year olds Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZVH-DHO81pk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Watch the Weakness in the Rally," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R2kE4pk9IMA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "US GDP Shows Cracks - Why You Should Pay Attention" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fszx_pdp-sA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #MarketWeakness #AllTimeHighs #NASDAQ #MemeStocks #StockMarketTrading #JesseLivermore #TradingStrategy #MarketSpeculation #JesseLivermore #BenjaminGraham #NeedsWants #SavingMoney #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing  

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
8-11-25 US GDP Shows Cracks - Why You Should Pay Attention

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2025 51:06


August may be a seasonally-weaker month for markets, but for Summer Weather in Texas, it's hot! Lance shares weekend wedding events, and previews this week's economic data reports: Will inflation stoked by tariffs appear in the numbers? The only question that matters to investors his how the news will affect forward earnings estimates. There is now a 90% probability of a Fed rate cut by September; much will hinge on this week's CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales data. Lance reviews the similarities and differences between the Dot Com bubble and the AI boom. (Lance's ADD is triggered by a story on a TV monitor about adult pacifiers.) Revenues are key to economic growth, and employment is critical. Commentary on debts, deficits, and student loan defaults. Markets are sitting in a contraction zone: 80% of market is not growing. Global growth forecasts are dismal; debt is not the problem. Debts and deficits are a feature of the economy, not a bug. SEG-1a: August Weather & Weddings in Texas SEG-1b: CPI, PPI, & Retail Sales: Will Tariff Inflation Show Up? SEG-2a:The Only Question That Matters - How Does it Affect Earnings? SEG-2b: AI Today is a Lot Like 1999 SEG-2c: Adult Pacifier Distraction SEG-2d: Revenue is What Generates Earnings SEG-2e: Wage Growth Isn't Increasing SEG-2f: IMF Growth Projections SEG-2g: The Debt & Deficits Problem Isn't What You Think Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fszx_pdp-sA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Set Up for Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ajVPyWtMA9I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Would a 20% Social Security Reduction Mean for Your Retirement?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2eRpXL4yYQI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #AllTimeHighs #USDollar #Gold #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #MarketOutlook #GDPTrends #RecessionRisk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8-11-25 US GDP Shows Cracks - Why You Should Pay Attention

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2025 51:07


August may be a seasonally-weaker month for markets, but for Summer Weather in Texas, it's hot! Lance shares weekend wedding events, and previews this week's economic data reports: Will inflation stoked by tariffs appear in the numbers? The only question that matters to investors his how the news will affect forward earnings estimates. There is now a 90% probability of a Fed rate cut by September; much will hinge on this week's CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales data. Lance reviews the similarities and differences between the Dot Com bubble and the AI boom. (Lance's ADD is triggered by a story on a TV monitor about adult pacifiers.) Revenues are key to economic growth, and employment is critical. Commentary on debts, deficits, and student loan defaults. Markets are sitting in a contraction zone: 80% of market is not growing. Global growth forecasts are dismal; debt is not the problem. Debts and deficits are a feature of the economy, not a bug. SEG-1a: August Weather & Weddings in Texas SEG-1b: CPI, PPI, & Retail Sales: Will Tariff Inflation Show Up? SEG-2a:The Only Question That Matters - How Does it Affect Earnings? SEG-2b: AI Today is a Lot Like 1999 SEG-2c: Adult Pacifier Distraction SEG-2d: Revenue is What Generates Earnings SEG-2e: Wage Growth Isn't Increasing SEG-2f: IMF Growth Projections  SEG-2g: The Debt & Deficits Problem Isn't What You Think Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fszx_pdp-sA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s -------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets are Set Up for Correction" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ajVPyWtMA9I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Would a 20% Social Security Reduction Mean for Your Retirement?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2eRpXL4yYQI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #AllTimeHighs #USDollar #Gold #USEconomy #EconomicGrowth #MarketOutlook #GDPTrends #RecessionRisk #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8-11-25 Markets are Set Up for Correction | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2025 5:15


Markets are doing okay despite their correction a week ago, which revealed a pullback in relative strength. Markets subsequently stair-stepped their way back up to tease new, all-time highs. Do not rule out the presence of seasonality, however. The thing to watch is the deterioration of money flows; even though markets are going up, the underlying money flows are continuing to weaken. Are money flows about to turn positive? It's the wrong time of the year for that. Market is actually set up more for correction. Buyers are sitting a good bit lower than where sellers are.     Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ajVPyWtMA9I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "US Economic Growth Shows Cracks" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/ "Meme Stock Trading & Livermore's Approach To Speculation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #AllTimeHighs #USDollar #Gold #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Dangerously Rosy Earnings Estimates Will Plunge Stocks When They Adjust | Lance Roberts

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 9, 2025 72:22


2026 forward corporate earning estimates are the farthest they have ever been from historical averages.This makes a future downward revision a near-guarantee at this point; which will in turn force stocks to reprice downwards as well.So warns portfolio manager Lance Roberts.While he doesn't see much on the immediate radar to suggest the market is in any near-term trouble, he's concerned this lurking repricing risk will grow the more that earning estimates distort to the upside.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Weekly Market Recap video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#corporateearnings #aistocks #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
8-7-25 The Low Beta Boom - Side Stepping the Dot-Com Bust

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2025 48:18


How can low beta stocks help savvy investors sidestep the pain of the Dot-Com Bust? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz reveal why that lesson matters today...what low beta investing means, how it works in bear markets, and how it can protect your portfolio from bubbles and volatility. Lance reviews market reaction to tariffs coming completely online, and Apple's commitment to re-shore manufacturing to the US; the multiplier effect of domestic manufacturing. A look at Eli Lilly's successful completion of trials for its GLP pill; markets continue to hover along the 20-DMA. Lance and Michael discuss the AI phenomenon; what it really means when we're talking about "the market;" what is the cycle that is sustaining the stock market? How will younger investors' habits imprint market dynamics. What will trigger a crisis of confidence in the market; Lance and Michael discuss the importance of continuous risk management. SEG-1: Tariffs Are Fully in Effect - Market Response SEG-2a: Markets Continue to Defy Dire News SEG-2b: Is the AI Bubble the Same as the Dot-com Bubble? SEG-2c: Commentary on the Concentration on AI Stocks SEG-2d: What Do We Mean when We Say, "Market?" SEG-2e: The Virtuous Cycle Lifting Markets Higher SEG-2f: Impact & Influence of Younger Investors' Habits SEG-2g: What Will Be the Crisis of Confidence? SSEG-2h: The Importance of Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xW8-B15zzCk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-7-25 Is the Correction Over?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UEX8Ev1PJgo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Build a Winning Investment Portfolio | What to Buy & What to Avoid in 2025 " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYKQ9V4PIfU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #20DMA #LowBetaStocks #DotComBubble #RiskManagement #StockMarketCrash #DefensiveInvesting#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8-7-25 Is the Correction Over? | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2025 3:53


Markets continue to hover around the 20-DMA. There is a negative divergence between momentum and the market rally, with buying participation and money flows being very weak. Retail "dip-buyers" continue to step in to nibble at every dip in the market. Markets will again provide clearance above the 20-DMA, which will validate the test of that level. Relative strength is beginning to recover from Friday's sell off. Just because we had a one-day sell off does not necessarily mean the correction is over; be cautious in your risk taking. There is no sign of concern for a correction; portfolio insurance in the form of Puts is very, very cheap now. That is a good contrarian indicator that risk still exists in the market. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UEX8Ev1PJgo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing  

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8-7-25 The Low Beta Boom: Sidestepping The Dot-Com Bust

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2025 48:19


How can low beta stocks help savvy investors sidestep the pain of the Dot-Com Bust? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz reveal why that lesson matters today...what low beta investing means, how it works in bear markets, and how it can protect your portfolio from bubbles and volatility. Lance reviews market reaction to tariffs coming completely online, and Apple's commitment to re-shore manufacturing to the US; the multiplier effect of domestic manufacturing. A look at Eli Lilly's successful completion of trials for its GLP pill; markets continue to hover along the 20-DMA. Lance and Michael discuss the AI phenomenon; what it really means when we're talking about "the market;" what is the cycle that is sustaining the stock market? How will younger investors' habits imprint market dynamics. What will trigger a crisis of confidence in the market; Lance and Michael discuss the importance of continuous risk management. SEG-1: Tariffs Are Fully in Effect - Market Response  SEG-2a: Markets Continue to Defy Dire News SEG-2b: Is the AI Bubble the Same as the Dot-com Bubble? SEG-2c: Commentary on the Concentration on AI Stocks SEG-2d: What Do We Mean when We Say, "Market?" SEG-2e: The Virtuous Cycle Lifting Markets Higher SEG-2f: Impact  & Influence of Younger Investors' Habits SEG-2g: What Will Be the Crisis of Confidence? SSEG-2h: The Importance of Risk Management Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xW8-B15zzCk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "8-7-25 Is the Correction Over?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UEX8Ev1PJgo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Build a Winning Investment Portfolio | What to Buy & What to Avoid in 2025 " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYKQ9V4PIfU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #20DMA #LowBetaStocks #DotComBubble #RiskManagement #StockMarketCrash #DefensiveInvesting#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Citizen of Heaven
NEWS, part 3: with Brent Clanton and Phil Robertson

Citizen of Heaven

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 7, 2025 16:30


Register your feedback here. Always good to hear from you!We're wrapping up with Brent Clanton and Phil Robertson in this part of the episode. Here we focus on clickbait — the news industry's increasing tendency to rope viewers in with wild headlines, claims of urgency, and countless other tactics designed to keep us glued to the screen. How can we protect ourselves? And how extreme should our reaction be? Is the best approach to just tune out completely? Let's find out.Check out Brent and The Real Investment Show with Lance Roberts at https://www.youtube.com/c/therealinvestmentshow and https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757Contact Phil Robertson at https://floridacollege.edu/employee/phil-robertson/ Check out Hal on YouTube at https://www.youtube.com/@halhammons9705Hal Hammons serves as preacher and shepherd for the Lakewoods Drive church of Christ in Georgetown, Texas. He is the host of the Citizen of Heaven podcast. You are encouraged to seek him and the Lakewoods Drive church through Facebook and other social media. Lakewoods Drive is an autonomous group of Christians dedicated to praising God, teaching the gospel to all who will hear, training Christians in righteousness, and serving our God and one another faithfully. We believe the Bible is God's word, that Jesus died on the cross for our sins, that heaven is our home, and that we have work to do here while we wait. Regular topics of discussion and conversation include: Christians, Jesus, obedience, faith, grace, baptism, New Testament, Old Testament, authority, gospel, fellowship, justice, mercy, faithfulness, forgiveness, Twenty Pages a Week, Bible reading, heaven, hell, virtues, character, denominations, submission, service, character, COVID-19, assembly, Lord's Supper, online, social media, YouTube, Facebook.

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
8-6-25 How to Build a Winning Investment Portfolio

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2025 57:13


Are you building an investment portfolio but unsure what assets belong—and which ones to avoid? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff demonstrate how to build a diversified portfolio, the critical assets every investor should consider (stocks, bonds, ETFs), and the common portfolio mistakes that could hurt your long-term returns. How to know the correct investment tool to use; the good and bad sides of mutual funds; why you should be caustius about private equity and alternative investment opportunities. Annuities: Three questions to ask about yourself; can you "Be Your Own Bank?" Lance describes his personal annuity and insurance plans. Why you should never put all your money into anything. If you want to be wealthy, do what wealthy people do. SEG-1: Markets' Response to Earnings are Muted SSEG-2a: Using the Correct Tool to Structure Your Portfolio SEG-2b: Wall Street Will Sell You Anything You Want SEG-2c: Why Mutual Funds Get a Bad Rap SEG-2d: Mutual Funds Will Always Underperform an Index SEG-2e: Be Cautious of Alternative Investments & Private Equity SEG-2f: Opportunity Zone Investments? SEG-2g: Three Tests for Annuities SEG-2h: Can You "Be Your Own Bank?" SSEG-2i: How Lance's Annuity Works SEG-2j: Never Put ALL Your Money in Anything SEG-2k: Do What Wealthy People Do Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYKQ9V4PIfU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Be Careful with Technical Analysis" is here: ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qNJPwrh0f4E&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Where Do Millennials Get Financial Advice? | Two Dads on Money Talk Smart Money Moves" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4CeRptptzCU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #StopLoss #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #20DMA #PortfolioBuilding #InvestmentStrategy #DiversifyYourPortfolio #FinancialPlanningTips #SmartInvesting #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8-6-25 Be Careful with Technical Analysis | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2025 5:43


Technical Analysis is a good way of seeing what the herd is thinking; it's a representation of market psychology. Those who characterize technical analysis as "voodoo" actually take the rules a little too literally. We suggest using stop loss levels as a measure, and when those stops are triggered, either pay attention to find a bounce to sell into, or that stock will confirm support from a previous level. Why is this relevant? We violated the 20-DMA this week. That does not necessarily mean we're going into a bigger correction; the violation WAS a warning sign that markets COULD work their way lower. This is where PATIENCE is important in using technical analysis. IF markets stay below the 20-DMA thru Friday, that's a confirmation of the break. If markets close above this level on Friday, then the break below was just a violation; if they close BELOW that level, it's a confirmation of the break, and a key to watch for markets to go lower towards the 50-DMA. Be cautious about knee jerk reactions because of a technical break; you could get whipsawed.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qNJPwrh0f4E&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #StopLoss #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Palantir #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8-6-25 How to Build a Winning Investment Portfolio | What to Buy & What to Avoid in 2025

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2025 57:14


Are you building an investment portfolio but unsure what assets belong—and which ones to avoid? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff demonstrate how to build a diversified portfolio, the critical assets every investor should consider (stocks, bonds, ETFs), and the common portfolio mistakes that could hurt your long-term returns. How to know the correct investment tool to use; the good and bad sides of mutual funds; why you should be caustius about private equity and alternative investment opportunities. Annuities: Three questions to ask about yourself; can you "Be Your Own Bank?" Lance describes his personal annuity and insurance plans. Why you should never put all your money into anything. If you want to be wealthy, do what wealthy people do. SEG-1: Markets' Response to Earnings are Muted   SSEG-2a: Using the Correct Tool to Structure Your Portfolio SEG-2b: Wall Street Will Sell You Anything You Want SEG-2c: Why Mutual Funds Get a Bad Rap SEG-2d: Mutual Funds Will Always Underperform an Index SEG-2e: Be Cautious of Alternative Investments & Private Equity SEG-2f: Opportunity Zone Investments? SEG-2g: Three Tests for Annuities SEG-2h: Can You "Be Your Own Bank?" SSEG-2i: How Lance's Annuity Works SEG-2j: Never Put ALL Your Money in Anything SEG-2k: Do What Wealthy People Do Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYKQ9V4PIfU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Be Careful with Technical Analysis" is here:  ttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qNJPwrh0f4E&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Where Do Millennials Get Financial Advice? | Two Dads on Money Talk Smart Money Moves" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4CeRptptzCU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #StopLoss #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #20DMA #PortfolioBuilding #InvestmentStrategy #DiversifyYourPortfolio #FinancialPlanningTips #SmartInvesting #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
8-5-25 Where Do Millennials Get Financial Advice - Two Dads on Money Talk Smart Money Moves

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2025 52:07


In this episode of Two Dads on Money, Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn dive into how Millennials find financial advice in today's digital world. From TikTok influencers to YouTube financial experts, and from Reddit forums to traditional financial planners, where should Millennials really turn for smart money guidance? Lance reviews Monday's Market action, Eurozone vs U.S. economic growth expectations, and Palantir's earnings report. Millennials are getting a lot of financial information from AI, which is nothing more than GroupThink. Why the F.I.R.E. movement failed; retirement is boring; entrepreneurism and the realities of running your own business. Pro's & con's of Capitalism (it's not broken). SEG-1: Markets Stage Two 1% Moves in Two Days SEG-2a: Two Dads on Money - Where Millennials Get Financial Info SEG-2b: Making Money on The Internet SEG-2c: Legal Liabilities Behind Financial Advice SEG-2d: Beware of Get Rich Quick Advisors SEG-2e: Social Media Advice Purveyors Do Not Know You SEG-2f: The Rise & Fall of the FIRE Movement SEG-2g: Myths & Realities of Starting Your Own Business SEG-2h: Why Businesses Fail SEG-2i: The Need for Financial Education SEG-2j: Find a Mentor SEG-2k: Capitalism Isn't Broken Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4CeRptptzCU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Regain Footing at 20-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1ewHonE7Mw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bull Streak Ends as August Begins" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IKtxyXbfikM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1223s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Palantir #Capitalism #FinancialEducation #FIREMovement #MillennialMoney #20DMA #StockMarket2025 #BullMarketEnds #AugustStockTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8-5-25 Markets Regain Footing at 20-DMA | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2025 4:00


Palantir knocked the cover off the ball with last night's earnings report, but since the company is not as large as, say, Apple, Google, or Meta, that's not going to provide quite as much lift to the markets. Following two sell-offs Thursday and Friday, markets on Monday executed a nice one-percent move to the upside, making for TWO one-percent moves in two days to reclaim the 20-DMA. The issue now is whether markets can hold onto the gains and stay above that level for the remainder of the week. Such would also remove the risk of markets further dipping to the 50-DMA. Relative Strength also saw a decent bounce on Monday. However...pay attention to what's happening, because risk DOES still remain. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1ewHonE7Mw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Palantir #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing  

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8-5-25 Where Do Millennials Get Financial Advice? | Two Dads on Money Talk Smart Money Moves

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2025 52:08


In this episode of Two Dads on Money, Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn dive into how Millennials find financial advice in today's digital world. From TikTok influencers to YouTube financial experts, and from Reddit forums to traditional financial planners, where should Millennials really turn for smart money guidance?   Lance reviews Monday's Market action, Eurozone vs U.S. economic growth expectations, and Palantir's earnings report. Millennials are getting a lot of financial information from AI, which is nothing more than GroupThink. Why the F.I.R.E. movement failed; retirement is boring; entrepreneurism and the realities of running your own business. Pro's & con's of Capitalism (it's not broken).   SEG-1: Markets Stage Two 1% Moves in Two Days SEG-2a: Two Dads on Money - Where Millennials Get Financial Info SEG-2b: Making Money on The Internet SEG-2c: Legal Liabilities Behind Financial Advice SEG-2d: Beware of Get Rich Quick Advisors SEG-2e: Social Media Advice Purveyors Do Not Know You SEG-2f: The Rise & Fall of the FIRE Movement SEG-2g: Myths & Realities of Starting Your Own Business SEG-2h: Why Businesses Fail SEG-2i: The Need for Financial Education SEG-2j: Find a Mentor SEG-2k: Capitalism Isn't Broken   Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4CeRptptzCU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Regain Footing at 20-DMA" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1ewHonE7Mw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Bull Streak Ends as August Begins" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IKtxyXbfikM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=1223s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/   #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRally #Palantir #Capitalism #FinancialEducation #FIREMovement #MillennialMoney #20DMA #StockMarket2025 #BullMarketEnds #AugustStockTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Citizen of Heaven
NEWS: with Brent Clanton and Phil Robertson

Citizen of Heaven

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 5, 2025 21:58


Register your feedback here. Always good to hear from you!I got a couple of insiders for our discussion this week. Brent Clanton is a long-time radio celebrity in the Houston area and formerly served as shepherd for the Kleinwood church of Christ. Links to his work are included below. Phil Robertson worked in TV news in a former life; currently he is an associate vice president at Florida College. They're here to talk about the impact the news has on our lives as Christians.Check out Brent and The Real Investment Show with Lance Roberts at https://www.youtube.com/c/therealinvestmentshow and https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the-real-investment-show-podcast/id1271435757Contact Phil Robertson at https://floridacollege.edu/employee/phil-robertson/Check out Hal on YouTube at https://www.youtube.com/@halhammons9705Hal Hammons serves as preacher and shepherd for the Lakewoods Drive church of Christ in Georgetown, Texas. He is the host of the Citizen of Heaven podcast. You are encouraged to seek him and the Lakewoods Drive church through Facebook and other social media. Lakewoods Drive is an autonomous group of Christians dedicated to praising God, teaching the gospel to all who will hear, training Christians in righteousness, and serving our God and one another faithfully. We believe the Bible is God's word, that Jesus died on the cross for our sins, that heaven is our home, and that we have work to do here while we wait. Regular topics of discussion and conversation include: Christians, Jesus, obedience, faith, grace, baptism, New Testament, Old Testament, authority, gospel, fellowship, justice, mercy, faithfulness, forgiveness, Twenty Pages a Week, Bible reading, heaven, hell, virtues, character, denominations, submission, service, character, COVID-19, assembly, Lord's Supper, online, social media, YouTube, Facebook.

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
8-4-25 Bull Streak Ends as August Begins

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2025 42:36


The historic stock market bull streak has finally come to an end as August kicks off, raising concerns about seasonal weakness, rising volatility, and technical breakdowns. Lance Roberts breaks down what triggered the reversal, how meme stock speculation is adding risk, and what the August-September period historically means for investors. Lance Roberts discusses the latest earnings reports, and provide insights on how to navigate the market correction risks, why investors should be wary of excessively high valuations; managing portfolios for risks today. Lance also covers the aspect of time investors have to recover from adverse results; it's different for a 60-year old vs a 30-year old. Markets are sailing on tailwinds now, but hat if...? Commentary on monopolies, duopolies, and how big is too big? SEG-1a: Our New Digital Format & Housekeeping SEG-1b: Market Commentary - High Beat Rates SEG-2a: New Show Format explainer SEG-2b: The Big Trick with Valuations SEG-2c: Investor Sentiment, Valuations, & FOMO SEG-2d: Managing Portfolios for Risks Today SEG-2e: How Much Time Do You have? SEG-2f: Market Tailwinds & What-if's SEG-2g: Ad Spending on Meta & Google SEG-2h: A Brief History of Monopolies & Gov't Regulation SEG-2i: Markets Are Being Driven by only 6 Companies SEG-2j: Be Cautious Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is a Reflexive Rally on the Way Today?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0PFQOOnWZxI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Herd Mentality Could Be Costing You Big" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hkyUUEPAlWY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #BreakingTrendLine #20DMA #StockMarket2025 #BullMarketEnds #AugustStockTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8-4-25 Is a Reflexive Rally on the Way Today? | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2025 3:29


Markets have just concluded one of the longest stretches of stocks running above their moving averages, and of not having a +/- move in a single day; 72-days with out that occurring, the longest stretch since 1968. That all ended on Friday: We took out the 20-DMa, and had a 1.75-percent drop. We took a very over-bought relative strength index and crammed it to the bottom of its trading range in one day. IT should be no surprise to see a bit of a reflexive rally this morning in attempt to recover some of Friday's decline. Today's question is whether markets can get back above the 20-DMA and reverse that break. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0PFQOOnWZxI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #BreakingTrendLine #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
8-4-25 Bull Streak Ends as August Begins

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2025 42:37


The historic stock market bull streak has finally come to an end as August kicks off, raising concerns about seasonal weakness, rising volatility, and technical breakdowns. Lance Roberts breaks down what triggered the reversal, how meme stock speculation is adding risk, and what the August-September period historically means for investors. Lance Roberts discusses the latest earnings reports, and provide insights on how to navigate the market correction risks, why investors should be wary of excessively high valuations; managing portfolios for risks today. Lance also covers the aspect of time investors have to recover from adverse results; it's different for a 60-year old vs a 30-year old. Markets are sailing on tailwinds now, but hat if...? Commentary on monopolies, duopolies, and how big is too big? SEG-1a: Our New Digital Format & Housekeeping    SEG-1b: Market Commentary - High Beat Rates SEG-2a: New Show Format explainer SEG-2b: The Big Trick with Valuations SEG-2c: Investor Sentiment, Valuations, & FOMO  SEG-2d: Managing Portfolios for Risks Today SEG-2e: How Much Time Do You have? SEG-2f: Market Tailwinds & What-if's SEG-2g: Ad Spending on Meta & Google SEG-2h: A Brief History of Monopolies & Gov't Regulation SEG-2i: Markets Are Being Driven by only 6 Companies SEG-2j: Be Cautious Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is a Reflexive Rally on the Way Today?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0PFQOOnWZxI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our previous show is here: "Herd Mentality Could Be Costing You Big" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hkyUUEPAlWY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #BreakingTrendLine #20DMA #StockMarket2025 #BullMarketEnds #AugustStockTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

register ends markets commentary bull brief history valuations streak lance roberts candid coffee real investment show therealinvestmentshow visit
Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Did The Rally In Stocks Just End? | Lance Roberts

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 2, 2025 60:01


The market has been in a "bullish stampede" for an impressive while now.But with corporate earnings deviated by a record amount from their historic averages, extreme stock valuations, and now clear signs the economy is slowing, portfolio manager Lance Roberts sees the odds of a market correction -- and a recession -- rising.Is there a chance that correction began on Friday?Lance and I discuss the odds, as well as breakdown the latest economic data, this week's FOMC decision, recession chances, and Lance's firm's latest trades in this week's Market Recap.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #bullmarket #bearmarket _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
7-31-25 The Fed Holds Firm

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2025 46:31


The Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady in its latest policy meeting, signaling a firm stance amid inflation concerns, and despite unchecked market bullishness. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down what the Fed's decision means for investors, the economy, and your portfolio. AI datacenter buildouts are showing up in economic data...but, the 3% GDP print has a more dire undertone: Strip out the build outs, and the economy is weaker than it appears. Is dissention among Fed governors politically motivated, or being economically cautious? Home prices are declining; housing is like an economic pyramid (NOT a pyramid scheme!) The AI buildout is skewing economic data. The bulk of market positivity bs being driven by only a few, large companies; any iss by Amazon or Apple reported today could sway markets tomorrow.

The Real Investment Show Podcast
7-31-25 Consider the Risks Even in Bullish Markets | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2025 2:48


Markets are doing just fine despite a sell-off towards the 20-DMA, but did not close at that level. Markets will likely have a positive day Thursday overall. Markets are still very over bought, which will limit upside action; still very close to moving up to 6,400 on the S&P (a little hard to believe following April's 20% drop FROM 6,000 and we're now back almost to 6,400). Markets are getting fairly extended, although risk is contained for the moment; earnings are coming in much better than expected. There is still a lot of bullish bias in the markets, and that's keeping things elevated. Apple and Amazon report today, and there's a risk that if either one misses, it could pull back markets tomorrow. We're now entering the end of summer; August is considered a weaker month for markets, even in a bullish environment. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8aJBb1QNpg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRotation #Apple #Amazon #Comcast #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
7-30-25 How to Effectively Hedge Against Inflation

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2025 46:32


It's a mega-earnings report day, and a Fed Meeting day, to boot; the notion among some investors that 20% returns are normal is scary. The Fed is expected to hold steady on interest rates, but there is dissention in the ranks of Fed Governors. Inflation erodes your purchasing power—are you prepared? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down smart strategies to hedge against inflation and protect your wealth. Lance and Danny commiserate on kids home for the Summer and then off to college. You've got to have inflation for economic growth; the best hedge against inflation, historically, is still stocks. The only benchmark for portfolios is the rate of inflation. Investing strategies are only wrong if they don't work. Adjusting retirement for inflation and lifestyle. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Mega Earnings Reports & Fed Day Preview SEG-2a: Kids Home for Summer & Off to College SEG-2b: Currency Debasement & Inflation SEG-3: Emotional Aspects of Inflation (bias) SEG-4: Adjusting Retirement for Inflation & Lifestyle Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0rXwvTN34YI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Capturing Rotation in Market Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrBF8fbdFEo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Grit, Grind, & Glam" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QnGdW2MyR20&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRotation #Healthcare #Technology #BasicMaterials #Industrials #Transports #REIT #InvestorExhaustion #InflationHedge #ProtectYourWealth #SmartInvesting #InflationProtection #FinancialPlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
7-30-25 Capturing Rotation in Market Correction | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2025 4:58


Healthcare stocks have been under a lot of pressure of late as markets continue in rotational moves. Healthcare has been basing, going back to April; not going up, not going down, just traveling sideways. Meanwhile, Technology has been doing very, very well...and getting very, very over bought (looks a lot like the S&P 500). If we start to see a correctional move in the S&P, we could see a move to areas in which there is good fundamental value (like Healthcare), and also into areas that have been beaten up: They're not going down anymore, but they haven't been rising, either. These could catch some rotational action. Basic Materials, Industrials, and Transports all have been doing well as a result of the AI-chase and the associated infrastructure build-out. But Utilities, however, have been doing okay as a mixed bag of companies: These may come to be seen as a risk-off defensive play. Similarly, REIT's haven't gone anyway as a function of interest rates. There remains risk of a correction; timing is always the problem. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrBF8fbdFEo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketRotation #Healthcare #Technology #BasicMaterials #Industrials #Transports #REIT #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
7-29-25 Stocks Appreciate Money Flows | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 29, 2025 4:17


Markets continue to perform bullishly, stringing together a sixth day of gains on Monday. If Tuesday follows suit, markets will stretch out a line of positive closes stacking up against an inevitable down day, sooner or later. The question is whether markets will cross the 20-DMA: A pullback to 6,260 would not be surprising at all. WHEN that happens, we'll look next to the 50-DMA at around 6,280 and to the 200-DMA below that at 5,870. All that to say, there is some downside risk to the market. Meanwhile, Emerging Markets are improving, but still trading sideways; as money flows head back into the U.S. Emerging Markets and Gold are tending to lag the S&P. Money flows are always looking to where they'll get appreciation. Right now, Stocks are doing that trick very well. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kVphLBnAmaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MoneyFlow #Gold #EmergingMarkets #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
7-28-25 Prelude to Pullback | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 28, 2025 4:42


We're about to enter the two months of the year when volatility begins to pick up; August and September tend to be weaker months. Markets have had a very long stretch with minimal movement. Two things to note: Markets have been above the 20-DMA for 68-days (one of the longest stretches in history). Money flows are beginning to decline, which is a sign of investor exhaustion. Sentiment and positioning are very bullish, and there has been excess speculation as the market has continued to grind higher. At this point it is reasonable to expect a short-term pullback, or at least a consolidation in the market. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QhyvfiwBPG8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #InvestorExhaustion #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Market Correction Now Likely Given Wall Street's "Nothing Can Go Wrong" Hubris | Lance Roberts

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 26, 2025 109:03


WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comDespite stretched valuation levels and further signs that the consumer is struggling, stocks are partying on.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts sees stocks prices as having "detached from all the underlying economic data" at this point.That doesn't mean they won't go even higher still here in the near term. But he does think the probability of a correction is now quite high.So how is he positioning for that?We discuss that, as well as what earnings season is currently telling us, what the Fed is most likely to announce next week, how AI is super-concentrating wealth in both the corporate sector as well as consumer households, the long term risks to the markets, and Lance's firm's latest trades. For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.#federalreserve #marketcorrection #artificialintelligence 0:00 - Market Outlook and Correction Risks18:35 - Portfolio Adjustments:21:36 - Fed Policy and Trump's Influence41:12 - Earnings Insights56:01 - Wealth Concentration and AI1:03:35 - Economic Data and Consumer Debt1:11:07 - Long-Term Market Risks1:25:00 - Gold and Crypto Update1:31:27 - Life Philosophy Rant1:47:04 - Closing and Resources_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
7-24-25 How AI is Driving the Market

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 24, 2025 46:32


Artificial intelligence is no longer the future—it's the engine behind today's market moves. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how AI and machine learning are reshaping investing strategies, influencing algorithmic trading, and transforming financial analysis. Lance looks at earnings season and Tesla's results; there's nothing wrong with the markets, but all the ingredients are in place for a market reversion; what will be the catalyst? Lance corrects himself on Tesla comments; Lane and Michael hash over the impact of AI on market trading, and the pro's and con's of algorithmic trading; AI can tell you what to buy, but what about when to sell? Jerome Powell is in a pickle with an over-budget Fed Building redux and an unhappy Boss (DJT). What would a Powell removal do for markets? Lance's notes on our switch to pure-digital August 4th; is the government missing an investment opportunity in the AI infrastructure buildout? * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Earnings Season Results to Date SEG-2a: Tesla Correction & Pre-market commentary SEG-2b: AI vs Dot-com Revolutions SEG-3: Fed Froth & Powell Fed Building Bungle SEG-4a: Going Digital SEG-4b: The AI Investment Buildout Opportunity Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhqbFkLRaO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=173s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Will Be the Catalyst for Correction?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-N20Dd9DjU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Are Stocks Going Up?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H_aRMFHXBbE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2455s ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ "AI Is Powering Markets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-is-powering-markets/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #CreditSwaps #CreditSpreads #AIMarkets #AIInvesting #ArtificialIntelligence #StockMarketTrends #MachineLearningFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
7-24-25 What Will Be the Catalyst for Correction? | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 24, 2025 4:49


Earnings Season continues...everything is fine as reports are coming in better-than-expected for the most part. Markets enjoyed a Wednesday rally with solid buying. But interestingly, volatility collapsed, with hedging concerns "giving up" on concerns over the rise in complacency. This low VIX doesn't necessarily mean anything...along with the Put/Call Ratio and credit default swaps (see today's Daily Market Commentary - link below). Credit Spreads are extremely compressed, too. These are all good and well by themselves. They are just ingredients. But those ingredients need a catalyst, and when that catalyst appears, these ingredients suggest there will next occur a very sharp reversion in the markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T-N20Dd9DjU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japan Financing Seals The Deal And Toyota Jumps" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/japan-financing-seals-the-deal-and-toyota-jumps/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MarketReversion #InvestorComplacency #MovingAverages #VIX #Volatility #CreditSwaps #CreditSpreads #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
7-23-25 Why Are Stocks Going Up

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2025 46:32


Stocks are rallying despite weak fundamentals. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the real reasons behind the 2025 market surge. Malcom Jamal-Warner and Ozzy Osborne pass; they always come in three's: Who's next? Trumps tariff deal with Japan moves markets momentarily; Meme stocks are back. Negative divergences while markets on the rise signal more potential for market correction (not crash!) Lance & Danny discuss why stocks are up and where the money is coming from. The Roberts' Family Saga - the tale of the new mattress - continues. Why's the market going up: Markets move on speculative activity & narratives (don't watch the news during the day!) Lance & Danny discuss how the news affects forward earnings (think: Enron), and why we have Sarbanes-Oxley. How we manage our portfolios; the Schiller CAPE-10 explained, and mean reversion cycles. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Jamal-Warner, Ozzy, & Meme Stocks are Back SEG-2: Why Are Stocks Up - Where the money comes from SEG-3a: The Roberts' Mattress Saga SEG-3b: Why is the Market Rallying? SEG-4: How Does the News Affect Forward Earning Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H_aRMFHXBbE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2455s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Warning Signs in Negative Divergences," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m9Yu1BZPLw4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Two Dads on Money - Rent or Buy?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t68v7YNraes&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #NegativeDivergence #RelativeStrength #Momentum #WhyAreStocksUp #StockMarketRally #InvestorSentiment #MarketMystery #Stocks2025 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
7-23-25 Warning Signs in Negative Divergences | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2025 3:58


Markets opened lower on Tuesday, and rallied back in the afternoon; on Monday, markets opened higher, and fell off. Markets just aren't making much headway. Markets are still stringing together the longest run of days above the 20-DMA. This all suggests that we are going to get a correction at some point. Relative strength is in a negative divergence while the market is going up. That's a warning sign, and there's also a negative divergence in momentum as the market is moving higher, at the same time. This DOESN'T mean the market is going to crash, but it DOES bring up the risk of at least a short-term correction.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://youtu.be/TYCtn9zlFKU ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #NegativeDivergence #RelativeStrength #Momentum #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
7-22-25 Two Dads on Money - Rent or Buy

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 22, 2025 46:33


Renting vs Buying a Home – Which Makes More Sense in 2025? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn, Two Dads on Money, ponder whether, with rising mortgage rates and stubbornly high rents, is it better to rent or buy right now? * What are the true costs of homeownership vs renting? * What are the hidden fees most people overlook? * What are the financial pros and cons of both options? Home ownership is often styled as the "American Dream," thanks to marketing by the National Association of Realtors (what's their vested interest??) For the unprepared, home ownership can become a nightmare. Avoid the anchoring effect in determining whether your house purchase was a gain or a loss (expenses of ownership). Housing is not unaffordable; your expectations may be, however. Before you sign that lease or lock in a mortgage, listen in!

The Real Investment Show Podcast
7-22-25 Bonds Are Trapped in a Trading Range | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 22, 2025 4:10


Bonds have been trapped in a trading range for some time, with Yields stuck at around 4.3-4.4%. This is a function of economic growth and inflation. If you want to know where interest rates should trade (in terms of the Ten-year Treasury), it's GDP + Inflation: There is about an 84% correlation going all the way back to 1970. Technically speaking, there's a giant wedge being built into Yields, and they're going to break out to one side or the other. If to the upside, rates will move up to about 4.8%, maybe 4.9%; some kind of inflationary pressure is going to be needed to raise that rate above GDP to add to that total return. However, if the economy slows, we could see Yields break down below the wedge, putting rates closer to 4%, maybe 3.5%. The rest of the markets are doing fine for now. Another wedge pattern is also developing, and a break out to the downside is going to lead to that correction we've been expecting. Interestingly, the NASDAQ has traded above its 20-DMA for over 60-days, the longest such stretch since 1999. Money flows are extended; that typically marks market peaks. Retail trading flows appear to be reaching a level of exhaustion.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://youtu.be/TYCtn9zlFKU ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #Bonds #TenYearTreasury #GDP #Inflation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
7-21-25 Big Questions for Big Tech

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2025 46:35


Can the AI boom sustain current valuations, or is a reckoning coming? Lance Roberts examines how AI and Big Tech investing trends are shaping portfolios, whether rising interest rates will derail Tech stock market outlook, and the growing risks of regulation impact on Big Tech from Washington to Brussels. Markets are still flirting with all-time highs. Lance shares the latest Roberts Family Saga, and his Coldplay strategy. Is investor exuberance getting out of hand? Options expiring within 24-hours are at an all-time high: This is not hedging, this is pure betting. Lance discusses anticipated spending for AI, and identifies associated debt as productive (think, Hoover Dam) vs non-productive (entitlements), which is dis-inflationary. Buuy backs are a poor (non-productive) use of capital. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Mega-cap Earnings Preview SEG-2a: Another Roberts Family Saga & Coldplay SEG-2b: Market Exuberance is Getting Out of Hand SEG-3a: Paramount & Colbert Kill The Late Show SEG-3b: No Concerns for Market Correction...yet SEG-4: Productive Debt vs Stock Buy Backs Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dnE_SxbFc0c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here: https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "Money Scripts & Credit Scores," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaEHi-fSbuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #GravitationalPull #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #BigTech #TechStocks #ArtificialIntelligence #FAANG #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
7-21-25 Moving Averages' Gravitational Pull | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2025 4:56


Markets are overbought and very extended above moving averages. This is neither out of the ordinary or a crisis situation. Markets are still flirting with all-time highs, but the deviations are important to pay attention to: Moving averages are like gravity, pulling indexes back towards the center. There is still support for stocks, thanks to earnings activity, but once the reporting is done, the focus will return to economic data, and that's when stock will be most susceptible to the gravitational pull. Economic data is okay, but not great, and a pullback to the 200-DMA (worth about 6%) would be no surprise. Investors should expect a 3-5% correction around August or September.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GmJdcv12lGA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #GravitationalPull  #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Real Investment Show Podcast
7-21-25 Big Questions for Big Tech

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2025 46:36


Can the AI boom sustain current valuations, or is a reckoning coming? Lance Roberts examines how AI and Big Tech investing trends are shaping portfolios, whether rising interest rates will derail Tech stock market outlook, and the growing risks of regulation impact on Big Tech from Washington to Brussels. Markets are still flirting with all-time highs. Lance shares the latest Roberts Family Saga, and his Coldplay strategy. Is investor exuberance getting out of hand? Options expiring within 24-hours are at an all-time high: This is not hedging, this is pure betting. Lance discusses anticipated spending for AI, and identifies associated debt as productive (think, Hoover Dam) vs non-productive (entitlements), which is dis-inflationary. Buuy backs are a poor (non-productive) use of capital. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4, 2025. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode!  SEG-1: Mega-cap Earnings Preview SEG-2a: Another Roberts Family Saga & Coldplay SEG-2b: Market Exuberance is Getting Out of Hand SEG-3a: Paramount & Colbert Kill The Late Show SEG-3b: No Concerns for Market Correction...yet SEG-4: Productive Debt vs Stock Buy Backs   Hosted by RIA Advisors RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dnE_SxbFc0c&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here:  https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "Money Scripts & Credit Scores," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaEHi-fSbuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, "Savvy Social Security Planning," August 23, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/pbx9RwqV8cjF ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Retail Speculation Is Back With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/retail-speculation-is-back-with-a-vengeance/ "Company Buybacks Are Surging" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/company-buybacks-are-surging/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketRisk #MarketCorrection #MovingAverages #GravitationalPull #RiskManagement #PortfolioRisk #PortfolioManagement #BigTech #TechStocks #ArtificialIntelligence #FAANG #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Plenty Of Warning Signs A 5-7% Correction May Happen Soon | Lance Roberts

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 19, 2025 118:47


Stocks have risen so far so fast, and remain so overbought in the short term, that the risk of a correction in the near term is uncomfortably high.So warns portfolio manager Lance Roberts.He could easily see a pullback of 5-7% occur over the coming weeks.We discuss the odds of that, as well as bond yields, whether President Trump will actually fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, the accelerating AI threat to jobs, and Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#federalreserve #bondyields #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour
7-18-25 Money Scripts & Credit Scores

Lance Roberts' Real Investment Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 18, 2025 46:16


Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle host Rich's last live Radio-episode* and reveal the reason for Matt's recent absence from the show. Airport Security parameters; strong start to Earnings Season; references to '80's TV sit-coms; market futures, Lance's charts, the ultimate Death Cross; Richard previews Saturday's (7/19) Candid Coffee, and the genesis of the partnership with Lance Roberts; understanding Money Scripts; Netflix & streaming services; Gen-Z and Social Media. Rich and Matt discuss the possibilities of Mrs. Roberts' bakery/coffee shop; Retail Sales report analysis: People are still spending. The Paradox of Thrift, Fed meetings and a brief history of the Federal Reserve Banking System. Rich reviews American Express' report, debt to income ratios and Money Scripts (Brad Klontz); how childhood location bears on credit scores in later life. * NOTE: The Real Investment Show will be 100% digital starting Monday, August 4. Please be sure you're SUBSCRIBED here to catch each episode! SEG-1: Matt's Back (and leg) & some market commentary SEG-2a: Candid Coffee Preview SEG-2b: Money Scripts & Financial Success SEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Coffee Shop & Retail Spending SEG-3b: Retail Sales Summary SEG-4: AmEx reports, Money Scripts, & Managing Money Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaEHi-fSbuQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Magnificent Seven Are Mediocre" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-magnificent-seven-are-mediocre/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Prepare Now for Correction," is here: https://youtu.be/VDnRZFc0Hpw ------- Our previous show is here: "The Magnificent 7 Are Mediocre," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dFXBBqri1lo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "RIA Retirement Blueprint," July 19, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/qaMtj3cydgDQ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyScripts #CreditScoreTips #FinancialMindset #CreditHealth #MoneyBehavior #EarningsSeason #RetailSales #Inflation #ParadoxOfThrift #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing