Podcast appearances and mentions of lance roberts

At this point, the stock market is being driven nearly entirely by sentiment and momentum.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts thinks the odds are good that will continue as the allure of S&P 7,000 entices investors to keep buying dips through the remainder of the year.He and I discuss the technical reasons for this, as well as the impact of the government shutdown, the latest disappointing ADP jobs report, bonds and Lance's firm's recent trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.TIME'S NEARLY UP! LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#bullmarket #jobsreport #shutdown _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

The government shutdown has silenced the Bureau of Labor Statistics, leaving investors without the monthly jobs report. But does Wall Street really need the BLS to keep moving? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore what happens when government labor data goes missing, how traders adapt, and what alternative indicators might offer clues about the state of the economy. Lance and Mike also examine valuation metrics in the markets, and discuss claims that interest rates are still too high. Can the "AI Effect" sustaining markets and the economy continue into 2026? 0:19 - What the Economic Surprise Index is Saying 4:29 - Markets Hit All-time High. Again. 9:30 - When P/E Ratios are Elevated 12:25 - 1999 Valuations vs Now 13:52 - Is the AI Excitement Worth It? 17:47 - The Risk of Disappointment 21:57 - Government Shutdown Ramifications 24:03 - BLS vs ADP 27:31 - What JOLTS & IRS Data is Telling Us 33:44 - Stephen Miran - Are Rates Too High? 35:38 - The Fallacy of CPI 37:37 - Immigration Impact on Economic Growth 39:00 - The Natural Rate of Interest 41:26 - The Taylor Rule Explained 45:17 - Will AI Spending Be Able to Continue into 2026? 46:58 - The Resilience of the Market

Markets reached new all-time highs Wednesday, once again bouncing off the 20-day moving average. Since April, each test of the 20-DMA has sparked fresh rallies, while volatility remains tightly compressed. With October seasonality often providing tailwinds, investors are asking: is the market set up for a strong year-end run? In today's pre-market update, we cover: Why markets keep holding the 20-DMA trendline The impact of October volatility and average returns Healthcare strength broadening gains beyond AI How a pullback could set up November's rally Why early December may bring some profit-taking Will October tailwinds carry the market higher, or is a pullback first on the horizon? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ItZKs7kgaEU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketUpdate #InvestingNews #AllTimeHighs #YearEndRally #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #Finance #InvestingAdvice #Money    

The government shutdown has silenced the Bureau of Labor Statistics, leaving investors without the monthly jobs report. But does Wall Street really need the BLS to keep moving? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore what happens when government labor data goes missing, how traders adapt, and what alternative indicators might offer clues about the state of the economy. Lance and Mike also examine valuation metrics in the markets, and discuss claims that interest rates are still too high. Can the "AI Effect" sustaining markets and the economy continue into 2026? 0:19 - What the Economic Surprise Index is Saying 4:29 - Markets Hit All-time High. Again. 9:30 - When P/E Ratios are Elevated 12:25 - 1999 Valuations vs Now 13:52 - Is the AI Excitement Worth It? 17:47 - The Risk of Disappointment 21:57 - Government Shutdown Ramifications 24:03 - BLS vs ADP 27:31 - What JOLTS & IRS Data is Telling Us 33:44 - Stephen Miran - Are Rates Too High? 35:38 - The Fallacy of CPI 37:37 - Immigration Impact on Economic Growth 39:00 - The Natural Rate of Interest 41:26 - The Taylor Rule Explained 45:17 - Will AI Spending Be Able to Continue into 2026? 46:58 - The Resilience of the Market

Dinesh D'Souza- January 6th, 2021 Looks Different Now. - Mike Maloney- Silver Is About to Explode — Here's Why I'm Buying Now   January 6th, 2021 Looks Different Now https://youtu.be/LlrrgE8_Xc4?si=MY45wEFsXVBjp5Ah Dinesh D'Souza 799K subscribers Sep 30, 2025 The Dinesh D'Souza Podcast January 6 looks different now — and those who doubted the original story are vindicated once again. My new film "The Dragon's Prophecy" opens in select theaters Monday Oct. 6 and Wednesday Oct. 8. Streaming and DVD starts Thursday Oct. 9. Get movie tickets and pre-order steaming and DVDs at TheDragonsProphecyFilm.com — Dinesh D'Souza is an author and filmmaker. A graduate of Dartmouth College, he was a senior domestic policy analyst in the Reagan administration. He also served as a research fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and the Hoover Institution at Stanford University. He is the author of many bestselling books, including "Illiberal Education," "What's So Great About Christianity," "America: Imagine a World Without Her," "The Roots of Obama's Rage," "Death of a Nation," and "United States of Socialism." His documentary films "2016: Obama's America," "America," "Hillary's America," "Death of a Nation," and "Trump Card" are among the highest-grossing political documentaries of all time. He and his wife Debbie are also executive producers of the acclaimed feature film "Infidel." — Want to connect with Dinesh D'Souza online for more hard-hitting analysis of current events in America? Here's how: Get Dinesh unfiltered, uncensored and unchained on Locals: https://dinesh.locals.com/ Facebook:   / dsouzadinesh   Twitter:   / dineshdsouza   Rumble: https://rumble.com/dineshdsouza Instagram:   / dineshjdsouza   Parler: https://parler.com/user/DineshDSouza GETTR: https://gettr.com/user/dineshdsouza Email: https://dineshdsouza.com/contact-us/         Silver Is About to Explode — Here's Why I'm Buying Now - Mike Maloney Why I'm Buying Silver RIGHT NOW — and Why You Should Watch This Move Silver is making a dramatic run. As of this writing, it's within a few dollars of historic all-time highs — and technicals, fundamentals, and supply pressures are lining up to suggest much higher potential ahead. In this update, Mike Maloney walks us through: The long-term “cup & handle” patterns and multi-timeframe breakouts How silver is outperforming both gold and the stock market The alarming drain in global free inventories and what that means for future price gaps Why the broader public has barely noticed — yet Watch this video at- https://youtu.be/kZDOaEhjMxo?si=AP0cpPe7B769TZ2O GoldSilver 843K subscribers 76,873 views Sep 29, 2025 PART 2 HERE:    • Silver Is the Bargain — Gold/Silver Ratio ...   Get Mike Maloney's 1st book for free here: http://www.GoldSilver.com/freebook ----------------------------------------------------------------- GoldSilver is one of the most trusted names in precious metals. Since 2005, we've provided investors with both education and world-class bullion dealer services. We offer a wide selection of bullion products, private vault storage, global shipping, and easy payment choices. Buy Precious Metals at: https://www.goldsilver.com Get Free content from Mike's new book here: http://www.ggsr21.com Subscribe to our channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/goldsilver?... Get Essential Gold & Silver News—Delivered Twice a Week: https://goldsilver.com/join-our-newsl... Follow Mike on Twitter:   / goldsilver_com   Follow us on Facebook:   / goldsilverdotcom   Check out our sister channel Wealthion @Wealthion featuring regular guests such as Jim Rickards, Rick Rule, Stephanie Pomboy, Lance Roberts, John Hathaway, Alisdair McLeod, Simon Hunt, John Rubino, Jim Rogers, Marc Faber and more. As always, thank you for your support. M. Silver Is the Bargain — Gold/Silver Ratio Could Be 20 - Mike Maloney https://youtu.be/GbBl1rwNcoo?si=1zyjcfCixnq23Voc GoldSilver 843K subscribers 63,309 views Sep 29, 2025 LINK TO PART 1:    • Silver Is About to Explode — Here's Why I'...   Get Mike Maloney's 1st book for free here: http://www.GoldSilver.com/freebook In this video, Mike Maloney dives deep into the Gold-Silver Ratio vs Price, revealing why he considers silver to be one of the most undervalued assets in the market today. ▶️ Watch as he: • Compares the mining supply ratio (≈ 7:1) to the trading ratio (≈ 85:1) • Explains how silver's industrial usage erodes its available stock • Reviews historical ratio trends and why he expects a collapse toward 20:1 (or less) • Lays out how converting silver into gold at key ratio thresholds can multiply your gold holdings

The U.S. government shutdown has officially started. What does this mean for the economy, markets, and your investments? Lance Roberts covers the immediate fallout from the shutdown on federal spending, workers, and services ; how markets have historically reacted during shutdowns—and what to expect this time; the risk to GDP, delayed economic data releases, and consumer confidence. This shutdown is more than politics—it's a real test for the economy and financial markets. Stay informed and prepared. [*NOTE: YouTube sustained severe streaming issues during this morning's live feed. This is a separate recording of the show.]

October kicks off the seasonally strong six months of the year (Oct–Mar), but investors shouldn't assume smooth sailing. Historically, October averages about a 1% gain. Yet markets just notched five straight months of S&P 500 gains during the seasonally weak window, raising the odds of a short-term pullback. In this pre-market update, Lance Roberts breaks down: Why history suggests a 4–5% correction may be due. How earnings season, corporate buybacks, and fund managers playing “catch-up” could fuel year-end support. The balance between seasonal strength and the need for markets to reset. Corrections are normal and often healthy—positioning portfolios for the rally that could close out the year.

The U.S. government shutdown has officially started. What does this mean for the economy, markets, and your investments? Lance Roberts covers the immediate fallout from the shutdown on federal spending, workers, and services ; how markets have historically reacted during shutdowns—and what to expect this time; the risk to GDP, delayed economic data releases, and consumer confidence. This shutdown is more than politics—it's a real test for the economy and financial markets. Stay informed and prepared. [*NOTE: YouTube sustained severe streaming issues during this morning's live feed. This is a separate recording of the show.]

Why do we invest? The answer goes far beyond just making money. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn, Two Dads on Money, break down the most important reasons people put their money to work in the markets. Lance and Jon also show why investing is not just for Wall Street professionals—it's for everyone. Whether you're just starting out or refining your long-term strategy, this episode will give you a clear framework for why investing is essential for financial freedom and peace of mind. 0:19 - Quarter-end Rebalancing & Potential Gove't Shutdown 6:14 - Pay Attention to the US Dollar 12:49 - Why & How We Invest: Real Estate & FOMO 18:41 - Trade Like a Pro - Not a Gambler 23:27 - Dealing w Emotions as Investors 25:28 - When Life Happens - Car Batteries & Tires 31:53 - The Major Reason We Invest: Growing Savings Faster than Inflation 37:28 - Market Compounding is a Myth 38:49 - Why Money Sitting in Cash for Opportunity 41:06 - Next Week's Show Preview

The U.S. Dollar has been weak, but a long basing pattern suggests a potential reversal. What would a Dollar rally mean for global markets, corporate profits, and investor portfolios?  Lance Roberts breaks down: * Why the Dollar matters for multi-national companies and profit margins. * How CTA short positions could fuel a sharp rally. * The impact on commodities, bonds, and global capital flows. * Why a Dollar counter-trend rally could be one of the least-expected—and most market-shaking—trades right now.

Why do we invest? The answer goes far beyond just making money. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn, Two Dads on Money, break down the most important reasons people put their money to work in the markets. Lance and Jon also show why investing is not just for Wall Street professionals—it's for everyone. Whether you're just starting out or refining your long-term strategy, this episode will give you a clear framework for why investing is essential for financial freedom and peace of mind. 0:19 - Quarter-end Rebalancing & Potential Gove't Shutdown 6:14 - Pay Attention to the US Dollar 12:49 - Why & How We Invest: Real Estate & FOMO 18:41 - Trade Like a Pro - Not a Gambler 23:27 - Dealing w Emotions as Investors 25:28 - When Life Happens - Car Batteries & Tires 31:53 - The Major Reason We Invest: Growing Savings Faster than Inflation 37:28 - Market Compounding is a Myth 38:49 - Why Money Sitting in Cash for Opportunity 41:06 - Next Week's Show Preview

Lance Roberts examines one of the most reliable technical analysis tools investors use to measure market risk: the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The RSI helps identify when markets are overbought, oversold, or diverging from price action. While RSI is not a perfect “buy or sell” signal, it is a powerful guardrail for risk management. History shows that overbought conditions can persist much longer than expected, but when momentum fades, corrections can arrive suddenly.

After a three-day selloff, is the market still on track for 7,000? Last week's decline tested the 20-DMA momentum line — a level that has held strong since April. Futures are pointing higher this morning, suggesting the bullish trend remains intact. But with the S&P 500 still 10% above its 200-DMA, the risk of a deeper correction can't be ignored. In today's pre-market update, we'll cover: Why the 20-DMA is a key support level How far markets could fall if the 200-DMA is tested What analysts mean by a 7,000 target for the S&P 500 December's mutual fund distributions and their impact on markets Why the bullish trendline from October 2022 is still in play Despite near-term risks, the bigger trend remains constructive. The key is managing portfolio risk carefully as we move toward year-end.

Lance Roberts examines one of the most reliable technical analysis tools investors use to measure market risk: the Relative Strength Index (RSI). The RSI helps identify when markets are overbought, oversold, or diverging from price action. While RSI is not a perfect “buy or sell” signal, it is a powerful guardrail for risk management. History shows that overbought conditions can persist much longer than expected, but when momentum fades, corrections can arrive suddenly.

The leading economic indicators are showing that the economy is slowing further. Are we headed into recession?It's too early to tell.But it does put today's sky-high stock valuations in doubt, as they depend on very strong earnings growth next year -- which increasingly look at odds with the decelerating economic data.This boosts the chance of a coming correction in the stock market.How big of one?Lance and I discuss in today's video, along with the latest inflation numbers, AI, signs of growing vulnerability in the credit system, central planner intervention and, always, Lance's firm's latest trades,For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Weekly Recap.#recession #inflation #ai 0:00 - Slowdown Signals: Leading Indicators Suggest Economic Weakening4:44 - Economic Data: 3.8% Q2 GDP Driven by Trade, Spending Outpaces Income6:43 - Earnings Gap: Mag 7 Slows, Bottom 493 Flat, 11-15% Growth Questioned9:18 - AI's Economic Impact: Reduces Jobs/Wages, Hurts Earnings Outlook10:00 - Leading Economic Index: Negative Turn Signals Slower Growth11:19 - 2022 Anomaly: Stimulus Masked Recession Signals, Now Normalizing13:57 - Yield Curve Uninversion: Signals Slower Growth, Recession Risk14:56 - Employment Trends: Full-Time Jobs Drop, Weakens Consumer Spending16:52 - Recession Context: 16-Year Gap, Policy Aversion to Downturns18:29 - Policy Response: All-Out Stimulus Likely for Even Mild Recession23:21 - Policy Addiction: QE, Zero Rates, Checks Expected at Job Losses26:20 - Inflation History: Pre-2000 Restraint vs. Post-Reagan Deficit Surge31:05 - Wealth Inequality: Top 10% Own ~80% Net Worth, Policy-Driven35:30 - Socialism vs. Capitalism: 46% Youth Favor Socialism Amid Inequality39:13 - Speculative Risks: Perpetual Options, Leveraged Bitcoin ETF Losses41:57 - AI Bubble: Nvidia-OpenAI Circular Financing Echoes Dot-Com Excesses47:53 - Entrepreneurship: Capital Access Easier, Opportunities for Scrappy Ideas57:12 - Precious Metals: Silver Melt-Up, Rebalanced to Manage Gains59:46 - Bitcoin Concerns: Leveraged ETFs Down 45%, Signals Risk-Off Move1:01:49 - Technical Analysis: Overbought High Beta, Declining Money Flows1:06:23 - Market Outlook: 5-10% Oct-Nov Correction, Buyable for Year-End Rally1:12:11 - Bond Bull Case: High Valuations, Low ERP Favor Bonds Over Stocks1:16:45 - Tricolor Bankruptcy: $1B Subprime Auto Loans Signal Credit Issues1:20:56 - PayPal's Buy-Now-Pay-Later: Debt Sale Raises Red Flags1:24:13 - AI Spending Risks: $800B Shortfall, Winner-Take-All Dynamics_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

The Federal Reserve's latest move has investors asking: Is policy turning more accommodative or staying restrictive? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz decode the Fed's decision, cut through the jargon, and explain what it means for markets, rates, and your money. We'll cover: What the Fed actually signaled last week The difference between accommodative and restrictive policy How markets typically react to these shifts Key risks for stocks, bonds, and the economy going forward Stay tuned as we unpack the Fed's message and put it into plain language for investors navigating uncertain markets. SEG-1a: On becoming "vintage" and Irrational Exuberance SEG-1b: Markets Appear to be Pulling Back SEG-2a: Jerome Powell's "Fairly Valued" Market Assessment SEG-2b:The Virtual Circle of the Markets & Economy SEG-2c: Quad Chart: Is the Fed too Easy or too Restrictive? SEG-2d: Markets Are Always Searching for a Narrative SEG-2e: AI Impact - A Double-edged Sword SEG-2f: What Credit Spread Compression is Telling Us SEG-2g: How We Manage in the Markets Now SEG-2h: The Fed Jargon Test Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, ww Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Accommodative Or Restrictive? Decoding The Fed's Latest Move" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/accommodative-or-restrictive-decoding-the-feds-latest-move/ -------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oDHV6eIWGlI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Pullback or Just a Pause?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AYd7d13Iu1Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "Strange Recession Signals: What Markets & Odd Indicators are Telling us" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKIv4RZn6sE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketToday #PreMarketUpdate #MarketPullback #EnergyStocks #StockMarketAnalysis #DecodingTheFed #FederalReserve #FedDecision #InterestRates #MarketOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets are gently pulling back after 107 straight days without a 2% swing—one of the longest quiet stretches in recent history. While we're not calling for a crash, momentum and breadth are weakening as money flows decline, signaling that more sellers may be stepping in. At the same time, energy stocks are showing relative strength, breaking out even as oil prices remain flat around $64/bbl. Could energy be the bullish story while the broader market cools off? Lance Roberts break down: Why extended streaks of gains often invite short-term corrections The dichotomy between strong trends and weakening internals What rising energy stocks could mean for sector rotation Key risks to watch as markets digest their overbought positions Stay tuned for market insights before the opening bell and learn how to navigate the push-and-pull of trends vs. internals.  

The Federal Reserve's latest move has investors asking: Is policy turning more accommodative or staying restrictive? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz decode the Fed's decision, cut through the jargon, and explain what it means for markets, rates, and your money. We'll cover: What the Fed actually signaled last week The difference between accommodative and restrictive policy How markets typically react to these shifts Key risks for stocks, bonds, and the economy going forward Stay tuned as we unpack the Fed's message and put it into plain language for investors navigating uncertain markets. SEG-1a: On becoming "vintage" and Irrational Exuberance SEG-1b: Markets Appear to be Pulling Back SEG-2a: Jerome Powell's "Fairly Valued" Market Assessment SEG-2b:The Virtual Circle of the Markets & Economy SEG-2c: Quad Chart: Is the Fed too Easy or too Restrictive? SEG-2d: Markets Are Always Searching for a Narrative SEG-2e: AI Impact - A Double-edged Sword SEG-2f: What Credit Spread Compression is Telling Us SEG-2g: How We Manage in the Markets Now SEG-2h: The Fed Jargon Test Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, ww Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Accommodative Or Restrictive? Decoding The Fed's Latest Move" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/accommodative-or-restrictive-decoding-the-feds-latest-move/ -------- Watch today's video on YouTube:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oDHV6eIWGlI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Pullback or Just a Pause?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AYd7d13Iu1Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "Strange Recession Signals: What Markets & Odd Indicators are Telling us" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKIv4RZn6sE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketToday #PreMarketUpdate #MarketPullback #EnergyStocks #StockMarketAnalysis #DecodingTheFed #FederalReserve #FedDecision #InterestRates #MarketOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

9-24-25 Strange Recession Signals - What Markets & Odd Indicators are Telling Us by Lance Roberts

Are we really on the edge of a recession—or are investors just overthinking the signals?  Beyond unemployment and consumer spending, unusual data points like men's underwear sales, cardboard box demand, and even giant Halloween skeleton purchases are popping up as quirky economic indicators. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down:  • Traditional recession signals like jobless claims, consumer spending, and market fundamentals.  • Technical market warnings investors can't ignore.  • Why strange metrics like cardboard boxes and holiday spending trends might reveal cracks in the economy.  • The psychology driving investors to go “all in” or “head for the exits.” SEG-1a: The Dichotomy of Economic Data SEG-1b: When Stocks are "Richly Valued" SEG-2a: The Economic Indicators of Recession SEG-2b: Strange Economic Indicators SEG-2c: The Giant Skeleton Indicator SEG-2d: When Will Indicators Change? SEG-2e: How Gig Workers Skew Employment Data SEG-2f: What Would an Impending Recession Mean to the Stock Market? SEG-2g: A Change in Quarterly Reporting? SEG-2h: What If We Went Back to the Lows of April? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKIv4RZn6sE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Jerome Powell's Alan Greenspan Moment" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nKShoQvDm38&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "Two Dads on Money: Spotting Red Flags in Financial Advisors," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kLQnqk_I9Ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JeromePowell #StockMarketUpdate #PreMarketAnalysis #OverboughtMarkets #MarketVolatility #AlanGreenspan #RichlyValued #RecessionIndicators #StockMarketAnalysis #EconomicSignals #MarketFundamentals #InvestingInsights #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets pulled back Tuesday as Jerome Powell had his “Alan Greenspan moment,” warning that stocks are “richly valued.” While the dip worked off some overbought conditions, futures point higher this morning and the positive trend remains intact. Lance Roberts interprets what Powell's comments mean for investors, the widening gap between stock prices and moving averages, and why compressed volatility could set the stage for a sharper sell-off if something breaks. Stay tuned as we discuss: Why Powell's remarks echo Greenspan's famous caution. The risks of stretched valuations and market gaps. Key technical levels investors should be watching. Why volatility creeping higher may matter more than it seems.

Not all financial advisors are created equal. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down the biggest red flags you should watch out for before trusting someone with your financial future. From hidden fees to pushy sales tactics, we'll show you how to separate the pros from the pretenders. Whether you're interviewing a new advisor or reviewing your current one, these insights will help you protect your money and make smarter decisions.

Markets keep climbing along the moving averages, but warning signs are building. Negative divergences between money flows and price action suggest fewer buyers stepping in, even as stocks remain overbought. With support levels at the 50- and 100-day moving averages, any pullback may be shallow—and could set the stage for a year-end rally. In this pre-market update, we cover: Why divergences between money flows, oil, and energy stocks matter now. How support at key moving averages could cushion a correction. What earnings season and Trump's push to reduce reporting requirements mean for investors. Why the Dollar's consolidation supports asset prices—and what it signals for growth. Stay ahead of the open with the insights you need to manage risk and capture opportunity.

Not all financial advisors are created equal.  Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down the biggest red flags you should watch out for before trusting someone with your financial future. From hidden fees to pushy sales tactics, we'll show you how to separate the pros from the pretenders. Whether you're interviewing a new advisor or reviewing your current one, these insights will help you protect your money and make smarter decisions.

Are markets set to keep climbing, or are we staring down the next pullback? Lance Roberts breaks down the bullish vs. bearish case for stocks, exploring what could fuel the rally—and what risks could trip it up. From the Federal Reserve's latest moves, to earnings trends, market breadth, and money flows, we'll cover the key factors driving sentiment. Whether you lean bullish or bearish, this analysis will help you understand the forces shaping today's market. Also in this show, commentary on Lance's daughter's first college exam, Donald Trump's Tik Tok dealing: Who will benefit? SEG-1a: All Bull Markets End in a Bear Market SEG-1b: Markets Continue Elevated Advance SEG-2a: Take Caution in Over Bought Markets SEG-2b: Citadel Securities - No Free Lunch SEG-2c: Market Tension Between Expectations & Reality SEG-2d: The Bull Case SEG-2e: The Bear Case SEG-2f: The Narrow Market SEG-2g: What Investors Should Do Now

Are markets set to keep climbing, or are we staring down the next pullback? Lance Roberts breaks down the bullish vs. bearish case for stocks, exploring what could fuel the rally—and what risks could trip it up. From the Federal Reserve's latest moves, to earnings trends, market breadth, and money flows, we'll cover the key factors driving sentiment. Whether you lean bullish or bearish, this analysis will help you understand the forces shaping today's market. Also in this show, commentary on Lance's daughter's first college exam, Donald Trump's Tik Tok dealing: Who will benefit?  SEG-1a: All Bull Markets End in a Bear Market SEG-1b: Markets Continue Elevated Advance SEG-2a: Take Caution in Over Bought Markets SEG-2b: Citadel Securities - No Free Lunch SEG-2c: Market Tension Between Expectations & Reality SEG-2d: The Bull Case SEG-2e: The Bear Case SEG-2f: The Narrow Market  SEG-2g: What Investors Should Do Now

Markets are climbing at a pace that simply can't last. With retail investors pouring in $4 billion a day and corporate buybacks adding another $5 billion daily, the market's steep advance has pushed prices far above long-term averages. In this Before the Bell update, Lance Roberts reviews: Why extreme inflows are fueling unsustainable market momentum The risks of overbought conditions and stretched valuations Why a 3–5% correction could happen suddenly—even if the trend remains bullish What investors should watch for in managing risk History shows that reversions to the mean always happen. The only question is what catalyst sparks the next pullback. Stay disciplined, stay cautious, and remember: risk management is more important than market momentum.

Right now nearly every asset class in rising in price simultaneously.And many indices and individual securities are hitting all-time highs.Investors are getting increasingly confident -- which explains the ongoing melt-up.How long will it last?And when it reverses, will it do so gently? Or violently?The longer the current momentum continues at this pace, the more likely the reckoning is sooner and more painful.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss why, as well as the latest technical analysis, this week's FOMC release, gold, AI, social media, the just-announced TikTok deal, the housing market and Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#interestrates #marketcorrection #bullmarket 0:00 - Market Heat: High Correlation Across Asset Classes (Stocks, Gold, Bitcoin)2:48 - Why This Rally Isn't "Broken" Yet – Investment Committee Insights3:35 - Train Analogy: Momentum Hard to Stop Despite Slowing Economy4:36 - Earnings as Key Driver: Bull Case vs. Risk of Reversal7:16 - Broad Momentum: Accumulator Model +8%, All-Weather +6%, AI +9%8:14 - Outlook: Exuberance Leads to 5-10% Correction, But Hard to Time10:11 - Tax Cuts Minor; Deregulation & AI Could Drive Growth (Nvidia-Intel Stake)13:31 - Historical Parallels: 1998-99, 2021 Euphoria Ends in Corrections14:46 - Q4 Tailwinds: Earnings Beats, Buybacks +50% YoY, Manager Chasing16:42 - Bias Upward Through Year-End, But 3-5% Pullback Possible18:53 - Google Parabolic: 3-4 Std Dev Above Moving Averages19:35 - Standard Deviations Explained: 99% Odds of Correction24:18 - Gold Also Parabolic: Take Profits, Hedge Positions27:02 - Google AI Threat: Search Monopoly at Risk from Ad Revenue Loss37:47 - Mark Newton Outlook: Momentum to Oct/Nov, Then Correction into 202644:14 - Dot Plot: 4 More Cuts into 2026; Projections Show Slow Growth (1.8%)48:45 - TikTok Deal: Missed Chance to Curb Societal Harm from Social Media59:27 - Housing Cracks: Inventory Up in Midwest/Northeast (Boston +11%)1:04:54 - Idea: Incentive Kids to Live Nearby – Free House After Raising Family1:18:03 - Trades: Position Swaps Next Week – Max 30 Stocks for Outperformance1:20:21 - Rant: Lance's Wife Post-Chemo – Back to Work, Hilarious Wig Story1:26:40 - YouTube Wins: Nutritious, Authentic Content on Demand1:31:16 - Hater Drama: Troll Picks Fights for Visibility – Followers Defend_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

From the Fed's next move to the outlook for gold and gold miners, Axel Merk, CEO of Merk Investments, shares with Lance Roberts his take on today's biggest market risks: The largest jobs revision ever, the Fed's lagging response, why active management beats passive distortions, and how investors should think about risk, contrarian views, and the role of gold in their portfolios. 0:18 - Introduction of Alex Merk, CEO Merk Investments 2:01 - Annual revisions to BLS Employment Report - Largest negative revision to jobs in history. 4:20 - William Poole's explanation of BLS numbers & methodology and why markets pay attention. 6:13 - Herbert Hoover's belief in National Data for creating BLS numbers. 8:19 - The market trades off the data, whether you agree with it or not. 9:35 - How the Fed intervenes 10:55 - Kevin Walsh Fed candidate: The Fed needs more real-time data. They're always too late. 12:24 - Preview of September Fed meeting: The Fed should cut rates. 14:20 - What monetary policy is and/or should be (and what it is not) 16:36 - Correlation of asset classes...and not. 18:55 - How the Fed looks at inflation & asset prices (Gold & Gold Miners) 21:55 - Active Management is counter-cyclical 22:52 - Gold & Gold Miners as an asset class: Due for correction? 24:41 - The impact of passive investing driving asset prices; Index Investing & Price Distortion 26:29 - Rapidly depleting asset investments (Gold) 28:30 - Active Management Matters: Invest in management teams 30:14 - Importance of understanding the fundamentals of companies in which to invest 32:29 - Venture Capital-lite: Who Gets the Money? 34:42 - What Worries You Now? Having no investment process; a mediocre process is better than nothing 35:33 - If you can sleep with what you have... 37:25 - Why Technical Analysis works well in Gold space 40:20 - Risk Management in Good Times: The Value of Good Analysis 42:29 - The Value of Contrarian Views & Skin in the Game 45:29 - There is No Such Thing as an Investing in the End of the World; there's always the day after 48:07 - The Best Investment Advice Ever: Invest in Yourself Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://youtu.be/YeciboacIW0 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Looms Following Fed Cut," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwqWqisbCyQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "No Risk-free Path for the Fed" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sC5i-sZm73o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/ "Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AxelMerk #JobsReport #FederalReserve #GoldInvesting #MarketOutlook

From the Fed's next move to the outlook for gold and gold miners, Axel Merk, CEO of Merk Investments, shares with Lance Roberts his take on today's biggest market risks: The largest jobs revision ever, the Fed's lagging response, why active management beats passive distortions, and how investors should think about risk, contrarian views, and the role of gold in their portfolios. 0:18 - Introduction of Alex Merk, CEO Merk Investments    2:01 - Annual revisions to BLS Employment Report - Largest negative revision to jobs in history. 4:20 - William Poole's explanation of BLS numbers & methodology and why markets pay attention. 6:13 - Herbert Hoover's belief in National Data for creating BLS numbers. 8:19 - The market trades off the data, whether you agree with it or not. 9:35 -  How the Fed intervenes 10:55 - Kevin Walsh Fed candidate: The Fed needs more real-time data. They're always too late. 12:24 - Preview of September Fed meeting: The Fed should cut rates. 14:20 - What monetary policy is and/or   should be (and what it is not) 16:36  - Correlation of asset classes...and not. 18:55 - How the Fed looks at inflation & asset prices (Gold & Gold Miners) 21:55 - Active Management is counter-cyclical 22:52 - Gold & Gold Miners as an asset class: Due for correction?  24:41 -  The impact of passive investing driving asset prices; Index Investing & Price Distortion 26:29 - Rapidly depleting asset investments (Gold) 28:30 - Active Management Matters: Invest in management teams 30:14 - Importance of understanding the fundamentals of companies in which to invest 32:29 - Venture Capital-lite: Who Gets the Money? 34:42 - What Worries You Now? Having no investment process; a mediocre process is better than nothing  35:33 - If you can sleep with what you have...  37:25 - Why Technical Analysis works well in Gold space 40:20 - Risk Management in Good Times: The Value of Good Analysis 42:29 - The Value of Contrarian Views & Skin in the Game 45:29  - There is No Such Thing as an Investing in the End of the World; there's always the day after 48:07 - The Best Investment Advice Ever: Invest in Yourself Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube:  https://youtu.be/YeciboacIW0 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Volatility Looms Following Fed Cut," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TwqWqisbCyQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "No Risk-free Path for the Fed" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sC5i-sZm73o&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/ "Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AxelMerk #JobsReport #FederalReserve #GoldInvesting #MarketOutlook

It's Fed Day – the most anticipated event for markets this month. The Federal Reserve's rate decision and Jerome Powell's press conference could shape the direction for stocks, bonds, and the economy heading into year-end. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down: • What the Fed is likely to announce today • The impact on interest rates, inflation, and growth • How markets ($SPY, $QQQ, bonds, gold) typically react to Fed decisions • Why risk management matters as volatility rises around policy changes Stay tuned for clear insights on how today's FOMC meeting could set the tone for investors into Q4.

The Federal Reserve cut rates on Wednesday, September 17, 2025 — but the path forward is anything but risk-free. Markets had already priced in much of the move, leaving investors to wonder if Powell's guidance will calm volatility or spark fresh uncertainty. Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz look at what the Fed's latest decision means for stocks, bonds, and the economy. Why Powell's words may matter more than the rate cut itself. The risks of inflation, slowing growth, and financial instability in the months ahead.

Markets sold off, then rallied back to even after the Fed announced its first rate move in nine months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are showing early signs of rounded tops, but both are likely to set fresh all-time highs today. Volatility continues to compress, hitting new lows — but that calm may not last. Tomorrow brings one of the largest options expirations ever, setting the stage for heightened volatility as quarter-end re-balancing also comes into play. The dollar rallied on the Fed's cut, while the Magnificent 7 saw mixed performance, with some under-performing as money rotated into defensive names. Today could bring the opposite rotation, back into offensive growth stocks. Bottom line: risk management is key. Taking profits where possible makes sense in this environment, with no need for major portfolio shifts until the next wave of volatility hits.

It's Fed Day – the most anticipated event for markets this month. The Federal Reserve's rate decision and Jerome Powell's press conference could shape the direction for stocks, bonds, and the economy heading into year-end. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down:  • What the Fed is likely to announce today  • The impact on interest rates, inflation, and growth  • How markets ($SPY, $QQQ, bonds, gold) typically react to Fed decisions  • Why risk management matters as volatility rises around policy changes Stay tuned for clear insights on how today's FOMC meeting could set the tone for investors into Q4.

The Federal Reserve cut rates on Wednesday, September 17, 2025 — but the path forward is anything but risk-free. Markets had already priced in much of the move, leaving investors to wonder if Powell's guidance will calm volatility or spark fresh uncertainty. Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz look at what the Fed's latest decision means for stocks, bonds, and the economy. Why Powell's words may matter more than the rate cut itself. The risks of inflation, slowing growth, and financial instability in the months ahead.

Stocks head into today's session on edge as the risk lies to the downside if the Fed disappoints. Adding to the mix, a record options expiration Friday could bring heightened volatility for the rest of the week. Money flows continue to chase equities, but the biggest rallies have come from the most-shorted stocks. International and emerging markets are also showing strong momentum, with many trading well above their moving averages. Still, a widening gap persists between S&P equal-weight and market-cap indexes, as AI-driven tech remains the primary driver of gains. Meanwhile, bond yields keep sliding as markets price in rate cuts, but that message may be signaling deeper economic concerns. Are stocks right to keep rallying, or is the bond market flashing the real warning?

Should you invest actively or stick with indexing? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down five different strategies investors use to build wealth, reduce risk, and stay ahead of the market. From active stock picking to index fund simplicity, we'll explore the pros, cons, and real-world applications of each approach so you can better understand how they fit into your financial plan.

Markets continue the current phase of compression and no big moves in anticipation of Fed rate cuts to be announced tomorrow. Markets are operating under the lowest levels of compressed volatility we've seen in a while. Markets have just been ticking-up (or down) 20-basis points, 30-basis points each day, not making much headway. There is a slight tilt of more buyers than sellers at this point. The MACD buy signal is ON at elevated levels, which limits much more upside. We have moved into the seasonally weak period of the year, August and September, in which there is typically more volatility, only we didn't get it! Sometimes, averages and statistics don't do what they're supposed to...or what you want them to do. Some years have pullbacks in the Fall, and some years don't. This year didn't. What normally happens is weaker returns; that didn't happen, either: There is a lot of support for the markets and a lot of retail buying going on, and the chase for AI has been pushing stocks higher. The AIQ, for example, is at the highest, most over bought level we've seen since the peak of the market back in April. But breadth in the markets has not been very strong; only a few companies are seeing much activity, and those that ARE are seeing very extreme deviations above moving averages. This is cause for caution. Doesn't mean anything is going to crash, but those type of deviations are hard to sustain. Same thing is happening in the Q's. The equal-weighted index, however, is displaying very different behavior. We are about to move into a seasonally-strong period of the year; earnings are going to be good with a likely 75% beat-rate; that will support the markets. Stock buy backs are at record highs this year, and their resumption will also add support to markets.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KLdsKL5irVM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #AIStocks #SP500 #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing  

Should you invest actively or stick with indexing?  Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down five different strategies investors use to build wealth, reduce risk, and stay ahead of the market. From active stock picking to index fund simplicity, we'll explore the pros, cons, and real-world applications of each approach so you can better understand how they fit into your financial plan.

The jobs market isn't just about employment—it's a leading signal for corporate earnings. In this episode, we explore how recent employment data revisions and slowing job growth are flashing caution for corporate profits. Here's what you'll learn: Why employment trends often lead earnings results How slowing payroll growth may impact revenue and margins Key sectors most at risk from weaker labor demand What this signal could mean for the stock market outlook Portfolio considerations as corporate profits face pressure Understanding the link between the labor market and earnings is critical for investors positioning ahead of the next quarter. SEG-1a: Fed Cuts & Commentary, Buy Back Window Shuts SEG-1b: Market Movement Muted SEG-2a: Tesla Shares & Elon's Compensation SEG-2b: The S&P 493 SEG-2c: Bond Yield Behavior SEG-2d: Overall Bullish Backdrop is not at Risk SEG-2e: The Only Thing that Matters (Forward Earnings) SEG-2f: What Wall St. is Expecting in 2026 SEG-2g: The Problem w Wall Street's Forecasts SEG-2h: The Most Important Indicator to Watch SEG-2i: PCE, CPI, & % of Full Time Workers SEG-2j: Why the Fed is Behind the Curve SEG-2k: Market Earnings Growth By Sector comparison SEG-2l: Why Watt St. Exuberance is at Odds w Economy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "All Time Highs on Muted Moves," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNd7D4lz7FU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "The Essential Hierarchy of Money Goals ," is here: https://youtu.be/XHMHkOAWRIc ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/ "Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketComplacency #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #AllTimeHigh #WallOfWorry #20DMA #CorporateEarnings #JobsReport #StockMarketOutlook #RecessionRisk #MarketAnalysis #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets hit another all time high last week, but on very muted moves as investors continue climb a wall of worry. Markets continue to test the 20-DMA and rally back above...another pullback to that level would not be surprising. Markets are somewhat over bought on a relative strength basis, and not sitting on a very tight MACD momentum signal. Retail buying is approaching some of the highest levels we've seen, while professional investors' allocations are still somewhat underweight equities (computer traded algorithms are excepted). AS we head into the end of the quarter, we could see institutional buying also providing additional support. This is NOT the look of a "market melt-up;" it's just a gradual grind higher with investors willing to pay a little more without a sharp, speculative spike. What to watch? Volatility remains complacent, and complacent markets invariably lead to non-complacent markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNd7D4lz7FU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketComplacency #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #AllTimeHigh #WallOfWorry #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The jobs market isn't just about employment—it's a leading signal for corporate earnings. In this episode, we explore how recent employment data revisions and slowing job growth are flashing caution for corporate profits. Here's what you'll learn: Why employment trends often lead earnings results How slowing payroll growth may impact revenue and margins Key sectors most at risk from weaker labor demand What this signal could mean for the stock market outlook Portfolio considerations as corporate profits face pressure Understanding the link between the labor market and earnings is critical for investors positioning ahead of the next quarter. SEG-1a: Fed Cuts & Commentary, Buy Back Window Shuts SEG-1b: Market Movement Muted SEG-2a: Tesla Shares & Elon's Compensation SEG-2b: The S&P 493 SEG-2c: Bond Yield Behavior SEG-2d: Overall Bullish Backdrop  is not at Risk SEG-2e: The Only Thing that Matters (Forward Earnings) SEG-2f: What Wall St. is Expecting in 2026 SEG-2g: The Problem w Wall Street's Forecasts SEG-2h: The Most Important Indicator to Watch SEG-2i: PCE, CPI, & % of Full Time Workers SEG-2j: Why the Fed is Behind the Curve SEG-2k: Market Earnings Growth By Sector comparison SEG-2l: Why Watt St. Exuberance is at Odds w Economy Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "All Time Highs on Muted Moves," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNd7D4lz7FU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "The Essential Hierarchy of Money Goals ," is here: https://youtu.be/XHMHkOAWRIc ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Corporate Earnings Slowdown Signaled By Employment Data" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corporate-earnings-slowdown-signaled-by-employment-data/ "Invest Or Index – Exploring 5-Different Strategies" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/invest-or-index-exploring-5-different-strategies/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketComplacency #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #AllTimeHigh #WallOfWorry #20DMA #CorporateEarnings #JobsReport #StockMarketOutlook #RecessionRisk #MarketAnalysis #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Markets and the Fed keep talking about inflation, but what's really happening? Lance Roberts previews the upcoming CPI, PPI reports, and real-world data to explain why the official numbers don't always match what you're feeling. From wages and rents to energy prices--is inflation is truly under control, or just hiding in plain sight. Discover how “disinflation” differs from “deflation,” why Wall Street's narrative matters for stocks, and what it means for your portfolio. SEG-1a: Inflation Day - Will Tariffs' Effects Appear? SEG-1b: What Bond Yields Are Telling About Interest Rates SEG-2a: Will Markets Have Another 20% Year? SEG-2b: Inflation Estimates & CPI Components SEG-2c: Wrapping the Quarter - Buy Backs & Positioning SEG-2d: The Risk Range Report Explained SEG-2e: Dealing with Bearish Bias Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The AI Trade is Back," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin: Smart Investors Guide," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhKjbRKNksY ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #AI #Nvidia #Oracle #Tech #Bonds #BondYields #20DMA #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPI #StockMarket #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Good market performance on Wednesday, but that was on the backs of only a few stocks: Broadcom, Nvidia, Oracle...all AI-related. Oracle's outlook for AI-related Cap-ex spending was optimistic, which dovetailed nicely with what Nvidia had said earlier. Oracle opened the day ahead 33%, traded as high as 40%, and closed the day with a 35% gain. That action lifted the entire Tech sector, and pushed the S&P to another all-time high. Price compression is creating a wedge pattern, which markets are trying to break out of. The negative divergence we've been watching really doesn't matter...until it matters. Yesterday's breadth, however, was not impressive, with only a few spots of strength and a lot of red across the market heat map. Yesterday's PPI report ignited a kneejerk reaction in the bond market, but digging deeper into the data resulted in a further decline in yields. This morning's CPI report (+2.9%) will have a bearing on bonds, and if yields continue to drop, short covering will add to the movement downward. Interest Rates now have a buy signal, indicating yields will slip lower. Bond are over sold, and a reversal would not be surprising. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #AI #Nvidia #Oracle #Tech  #Bonds #BondYields #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets and the Fed keep talking about inflation, but what's really happening? Lance Roberts previews the upcoming CPI, PPI reports, and real-world data to explain why the official numbers don't always match what you're feeling. From wages and rents to energy prices--is inflation is truly under control, or just hiding in plain sight. Discover how “disinflation” differs from “deflation,” why Wall Street's narrative matters for stocks, and what it means for your portfolio. SEG-1a: Inflation Day - Will Tariffs' Effects Appear? SEG-1b: What Bond Yields Are Telling About Interest Rates SEG-2a: Will Markets Have Another 20% Year? SEG-2b: Inflation Estimates & CPI Components SEG-2c: Wrapping the Quarter - Buy Backs & Positioning SEG-2d: The Risk Range Report Explained SEG-2e: Dealing with Bearish Bias Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The AI Trade is Back," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our Previous Show, "The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin: Smart Investors Guide," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhKjbRKNksY ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Are We On the Edge of Recession?" September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #AI #Nvidia #Oracle #Tech  #Bonds #BondYields #20DMA #Inflation #FederalReserve #CPI #StockMarket #EconomicOutlook #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Are we standing at the edge of a recession? Economic data is showing cracks: slowing job growth, weakening consumer spending, and tightening credit conditions. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's policies continue to weigh on growth. In this episode, Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down the key signals flashing caution, what they could mean for corporate earnings and market performance, and how investors should think about risk management in the months ahead; plus bonus content: Sourdough bread and marriage tips. SEG-1a: Jobs Revision and Economic Reality SEG-1b: Money Flows & Inflation Preview SEG-2a: Sourdough Baking w Christina & Michelle SEG-2b: Are We In a Recession - YouTube Poll SEG-2c: What Does Recession Mean? SEG-2d: Instead of Predicting, Start Preparing SEG-2e: When Everyone Agrees... SEG-2f: Don't Over-react to "Recession" SEG-2g: What Can You Control? SEG-2h: Understanding the Risk of Speculation SEG-2i: What About "Cash on the Sidelines?" SEG-2j: The Math of Loss vs Compounding SEG-2k: Don't Forget to Save SEG-2l: Cash Gives Options SEG-2m: Happy Wife, Happy Life Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Money Flows Bolster Markets," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our Previous Show, "The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin: Smart Investors Guide," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhKjbRKNksY ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #RelativeStrength #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #20DMA #Recession #Cash #Economy #StockMarket #FederalReserve #MarketOutlook #SourdoughBread #MarriageTips #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Money flows have been positive over the past few weeks, yet markets have not advanced much. Relative strength is picking up, but still in a negative divergence with the market itself. However, momentum remains very, very slow even as stocks continue to rise. Only slowly. There is a significant gap between the market and the MAG-7. More inflation prints coming in the latest CPI & PPI reports, and if they come in weaker than expected, along with the recent disappointing employment numbers, the odds increase of a 50-bp rate cut by the Fed.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #RelativeStrength #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Are we standing at the edge of a recession? Economic data is showing cracks: slowing job growth, weakening consumer spending, and tightening credit conditions. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's policies continue to weigh on growth. In this episode, Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down the key signals flashing caution, what they could mean for corporate earnings and market performance, and how investors should think about risk management in the months ahead; plus bonus content: Sourdough bread and marriage tips.  SEG-1a: Jobs Revision and Economic Reality SEG-1b: Money Flows & Inflation Preview SEG-2a: Sourdough Baking w Christina & Michelle SEG-2b: Are We In a Recession - YouTube Poll SEG-2c: What Does Recession Mean? SEG-2d: Instead of Predicting, Start Preparing SEG-2e: When Everyone Agrees... SEG-2f: Don't Over-react to "Recession" SEG-2g: What Can You Control? SEG-2h: Understanding the Risk of Speculation SEG-2i: What About "Cash on the Sidelines?" SEG-2j: The Math of Loss vs Compounding SEG-2k: Don't Forget to Save SEG-2l: Cash Gives Options SEG-2m: Happy Wife, Happy Life Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Money Flows Bolster Markets," is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6i2HhmE5U0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Our Previous Show, "The Best Way to Buy Bitcoin: Smart Investors Guide," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhKjbRKNksY ------- Register for our next RIA Dynamic Learning Series event, "Savvy Medicare Planning," September 18, 2025: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/events/savvy-medicare-planning-what-baby-boomers-need-to-know-about-medicare/ ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Valuations Are Extreme: Navigating A Bubble" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/valuations-are-extreme-navigating-a-bubble/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Accepting The Hard Truth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-accepting-the-hard-truth/ "Meme Markets: Investing vs. Entertainment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-markets-investing-vs-entertainment/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #RelativeStrength #CPI #PPI #Inflation #MarketDeviations #NegativeDivergence #MarketCorrection #20DMA #Recession #Cash #Economy #StockMarket #FederalReserve #MarketOutlook #SourdoughBread #MarriageTips #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Thinking about buying Bitcoin but not sure of the best approach? You're not alone. With so many options—crypto exchanges, ETFs, custodians, and even payment apps—the path can feel overwhelming. In this episode, we break down the smartest ways to buy Bitcoin while considering security, fees, custody, and long-term investing strategy. Should you buy directly on an exchange, use a crypto wallet, or stick to regulated investment vehicles like ETFs? We'll walk through the pros and cons so you can make an informed decision that fits your goals. Whether you're a beginner or a seasoned investor curious about crypto, this guide will help you navigate the choices and avoid costly mistakes.