Podcast appearances and mentions of lance roberts

Is the stock market topping — or just catching its breath? This week, equity markets face a triple threat: an Iranian strike rattling geopolitical risk assets, an Anthropic AI capability announcement that hammered IBM, CrowdStrike, financials, and SaaS stocks, and a technical picture showing the S&P 500 slipping below both its 20- and 50-day moving averages. Lance Roberts breaks down the bull and bear case in full. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo 0:00 - INTRO 1:05 - Market Over Reaction to Iran Hits? 6:54 - The Potential for Building a Market Topping 13:27 - Impact of Oil Prices on Inflation 18:11 - The Energy Stocks Heat Map 20:40 - The Iran Situation 23:03 - Gauging the Risk 24:56 - The Bearish Scenario 29:23 - The Bullish Scenario 37:04 - What We're Doing Now 39:08 - Be Cautious With Positioning 42:12 - Coming Attractions ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/m3M6saceH5g?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Cut Your Medicare Bill in 2026 | IRMAA Appeal Secrets" here: https://youtube.com/live/dO3QPhf0rEs?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Hold 100-DMA?" is here: https://youtu.be/h0iV2DpbEq4 ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PreMarket #StockMarketToday #MarketAnalysis #CrudeOil #BondMarket #StockMarket2026 #MarketTop #SP500Analysis #IranGeopolitics #AIStocks

Stocks have been trading sideways for months now -- since Halloween of last year.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts sees the market now at a "very important crossroads".Which path will it take when it breaks out of this trading range?Lance and I discuss the odds, as well as the latest inflation and AI news, rising private credit concerns, the new expansion in US manufacturing, as well as Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.REGISTER FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S SPRING ONLINE CONFERENCE AT THE EARLY BIRD DISCOUNT PRICE at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#inflation #artificialintelligence #stockmarkets _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Is AI killing software stocks — or creating the buying opportunity of the decade? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz review: Since peaking in September 2025, the software ETF (IGV) has crashed 30% while semiconductors (SMH) surged 30% and broad tech stayed flat. The market is pricing in a "SaaSpocalypse" — the idea that generative AI will make traditional SaaS companies obsolete. But is that narrative right? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo 0:00 - INTRO 0:49 - National Chili Day & Demise of Whataburger 3:04 - Nvidia & SalesForce Report 7:25 - Markets Are "Stable" 12:17 - Blizzards & Chili 13:21 - The Incredible Nvidia Numbers 15:37 - The Lack of Market Reaction to Nvidia Report 17:02 - Where Will the Capital Come From? 23:22 - Why the Market Isn't Enthusiastic (about Nvidia) 24:30 - SalesForce & The Software Apocalypse 30:15 - Who Will Survive? 33:13 - Will AI Create a New Spreadsheet 36:19 - Tariffs: Old vs New: Markets Are Calm 40:49 - Betting on Tariff Refunds? ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/6DavZVDY7OQ ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Software Stocks: Navigating The SaaSpocalypse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/software-stocks-navigating-the-saaspocalypse/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Q & A Wednesday: Straight Talk About Your Money" here: https://youtube.com/live/oW7OkyOvYC4 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Support at Risk," is here: https://youtu.be/tiE6S1qaBn0 ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #PersonalFinance #RetirementPlanning #InvestingBasics #FinancialPlanning #AskUsAnything

Markets just triggered a momentum BUY SIGNAL — here's what you need to know before the open. On Wednesday, the S&P 500 cleared both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, reaffirming market stability after days of choppy price action below key technical levels. Sector rotation is driving the move — money is flowing OUT of Energy and Staples and INTO Technology and Growth. But the broader picture still shows a consolidation range with a topping process underway. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/tM0dk2oR0N4 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PreMarket #StockMarketToday #SectorRotation #SP500 #MomentumTrading

Is AI killing software stocks — or creating the buying opportunity of the decade? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz review: Since peaking in September 2025, the software ETF (IGV) has crashed 30% while semiconductors (SMH) surged 30% and broad tech stayed flat. The market is pricing in a "SaaSpocalypse" — the idea that generative AI will make traditional SaaS companies obsolete. But is that narrative right? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo 0:00 - INTRO 0:49 - National Chili Day & Demise of Whataburger 3:04 - Nvidia & SalesForce Report 7:25 - Markets Are "Stable" 12:17 - Blizzards & Chili 13:21 - The Incredible Nvidia Numbers 15:37 - The Lack of Market Reaction to Nvidia Report 17:02 - Where Will the Capital Come From? 23:22 - Why the Market Isn't Enthusiastic (about Nvidia) 24:30 - SalesForce & The Software Apocalypse 30:15 - Who Will Survive? 33:13 - Will AI Create a New Spreadsheet 36:19 - Tariffs: Old vs New: Markets Are Calm 40:49 - Betting on Tariff Refunds? ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/6DavZVDY7OQ ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Software Stocks: Navigating The SaaSpocalypse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/software-stocks-navigating-the-saaspocalypse/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Q & A Wednesday: Straight Talk About Your Money" here: https://youtube.com/live/oW7OkyOvYC4 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Support at Risk," is here: https://youtu.be/tiE6S1qaBn0 ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #PersonalFinance #RetirementPlanning #InvestingBasics #FinancialPlanning #AskUsAnything

Welcome to Q & A Wednesday: Straight Talk on Your Money — a live, unscripted Q&A show pulled directly from our YouTube chatroom. No canned slides. No rehearsed talking points. Just practical, plain-English answers to real-world money questions with Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff. Lance & Danny tackle topics like retirement planning, Roth vs. traditional decisions, tax-smart withdrawal strategies, Social Security timing, portfolio risk management, diversification, income planning, cash vs. investing, debt payoff frameworks, and how to think through market volatility without wrecking your long-term plan. We also discuss the “why” behind common financial rules of thumb—what holds up, what doesn't, and how to tailor decisions to your situation. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo 0:00 - INTRO 0:50 - SOTU Address & Nvidia preview 5:32 - Markets Building a Rolling Top 9:20 - What is Happening to META? 12:31 - Is An Attack on Iran Priced-in to the Market? 14:37 - Buying Brazilian Bonds 18:15 - What's the Best Way to Keep Up w Sector Rotation? 20:34 - Is StableCoin Good for The Dollar? 23:48 - Will TurboTax Go AI? 27:13 - Investing in the Healthcare Space 30:27 - What is the Key Metric in Planning a Portfolio? 34:55 - Indicators for Reducing Risk in Positions 40:03 - Pro's & Con's of Bond ETF's 43:34 - Will Silver Prices Stay High? 45:14 - The Difference Between Treasury Notes vs Bonds 48:04 - Allocation Recommendation for 45-yr old Millionaire 51:44 - Coming Attractions ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/oW7OkyOvYC4 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "The Business Cycle Narrative & War With Iran" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-business-cycle-narrative/ "Is China Really Dumping US Treasuries?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-china-really-dumping-us-treasuries/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Stop Chasing 2026 Returns," here: https://youtube.com/live/iN9Pv2Thvbo -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Support at Risk," is here: https://youtu.be/tiE6S1qaBn0 ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #PersonalFinance #RetirementPlanning #InvestingBasics #FinancialPlanning #AskUsAnything

Markets are carving a rolling top while holding firm support near the 100-DMA. The last week-plus has been choppy, with price repeatedly capped below the 20- and 50-DMAs. Tuesday's dip to the 100-DMA brought in buyers, pushing the market back toward the 50-DMA, and futures are higher this morning. If the market can close up around 0.25%, it could reclaim near-term resistance and set up a move back toward prior highs. But this remains a fickle, range-bound tape—so keep risk management tight. A clean break below the 100-DMA raises the odds of a quick 3%–5% downside move. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/tiE6S1qaBn0 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement

Welcome to Q & A Wednesday: Straight Talk on Your Money — a live, unscripted Q&A show pulled directly from our YouTube chatroom. No canned slides. No rehearsed talking points. Just practical, plain-English answers to real-world money questions with Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff. Lance & Danny tackle topics like retirement planning, Roth vs. traditional decisions, tax-smart withdrawal strategies, Social Security timing, portfolio risk management, diversification, income planning, cash vs. investing, debt payoff frameworks, and how to think through market volatility without wrecking your long-term plan. We also discuss the "why" behind common financial rules of thumb—what holds up, what doesn't, and how to tailor decisions to your situation. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo 0:00 - INTRO 0:50 - SOTU Address & Nvidia preview 5:32 - Markets Building a Rolling Top 9:20 - What is Happening to META? 12:31 - Is An Attack on Iran Priced-in to the Market? 14:37 - Buying Brazilian Bonds 18:15 - What's the Best Way to Keep Up w Sector Rotation? 20:34 - Is StableCoin Good for The Dollar? 23:48 - Will TurboTax Go AI? 27:13 - Investing in the Healthcare Space 30:27 - What is the Key Metric in Planning a Portfolio? 34:55 - Indicators for Reducing Risk in Positions 40:03 - Pro's & Con's of Bond ETF's 43:34 - Will Silver Prices Stay High? 45:14 - The Difference Between Treasury Notes vs Bonds 48:04 - Allocation Recommendation for 45-yr old Millionaire 51:44 - Coming Attractions ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/oW7OkyOvYC4 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "The Business Cycle Narrative & War With Iran" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-business-cycle-narrative/ "Is China Really Dumping US Treasuries?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-china-really-dumping-us-treasuries/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Stop Chasing 2026 Returns," here: https://youtube.com/live/iN9Pv2Thvbo -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Support at Risk," is here: https://youtu.be/tiE6S1qaBn0 ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketOutlook #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #PersonalFinance #RetirementPlanning #InvestingBasics #FinancialPlanning #AskUsAnything

Most investors don't realize how quickly a good plan can get derailed by one bad question: “What will your investments return this year?” Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn break down why asking an advisor for short-term performance predictions is usually the wrong framework—especially when comparisons start with “Can you beat Treasuries this year?” Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:50 - E-books & Economic Data 2:53 - Will AI Lead to Next Period of Financial Instability? 5:33 - Market Fails at 20- 50-DMA 11:10 - Chasing Returns in 2026 12:31 - Index's Substitution Effect 16:39 - What About the Flat Market? 19:20 - Where Returns Come From... 23:07 - Generating 6% Return w Bonds Only? 27:38 - Making Money vs Keeping It 29:05 - Money is Emotional 30:43 - What Do You Do w Your $1Million? 34:17 - Markets Have Been Easy 35:46 - Markets' Extreme Deviations 40:50 - Mistakes In Chasing Benchmarks 43:24 - Why Root for Economic Failure? 45:22 - Set a Goal & Manage Risk ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/iN9Pv2Thvbo ------- Watch our previous show, "Is China Really Dumping U.S. Treasuries?," here: https://youtube.com/live/fEk6rYGzFkA?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Test: 5% Pullback Risk Rising," is here: https://youtu.be/FfqIQklIxcc ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketOutlook #Investing #RiskManagement #FinancialPlanning #InvestingEducation #BehavioralFinance #RiskManagement #WealthProtection

On this day in 1836, the defenders of the Alamo were entering the second day of a siege that would ultimately define Texas history. Surrounded, outnumbered, and under pressure, they faced a critical reality: hold the line—or face the consequences. Markets aren't all that different right now. After failing at the 20- and 50-day moving averages, the S&P is once again leaning on a key level of support—the 100-day. That's your line in the sand. Momentum is weakening, internal breadth is deteriorating, and while the surface looks calm, the underlying currents are shifting. The question for investors this morning is simple: do buyers defend this level…or does support give way, opening the door to a deeper correction? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/FfqIQklIxcc --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketOutlook #Investing #RiskManagement

Most investors don't realize how quickly a good plan can get derailed by one bad question: "What will your investments return this year?" Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn break down why asking an advisor for short-term performance predictions is usually the wrong framework—especially when comparisons start with "Can you beat Treasuries this year?" Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:50 - E-books & Economic Data 2:53 - Will AI Lead to Next Period of Financial Instability? 5:33 - Market Fails at 20- 50-DMA 11:10 - Chasing Returns in 2026 12:31 - Index's Substitution Effect 16:39 - What About the Flat Market? 19:20 - Where Returns Come From... 23:07 - Generating 6% Return w Bonds Only? 27:38 - Making Money vs Keeping It 29:05 - Money is Emotional 30:43 - What Do You Do w Your $1Million? 34:17 - Markets Have Been Easy 35:46 - Markets' Extreme Deviations 40:50 - Mistakes In Chasing Benchmarks 43:24 - Why Root for Economic Failure? 45:22 - Set a Goal & Manage Risk ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/iN9Pv2Thvbo ------- Watch our previous show, "Is China Really Dumping U.S. Treasuries?," here: https://youtube.com/live/fEk6rYGzFkA?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Test: 5% Pullback Risk Rising," is here: https://youtu.be/FfqIQklIxcc ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketOutlook #Investing #RiskManagement #FinancialPlanning #InvestingEducation #BehavioralFinance #RiskManagement #WealthProtection

Is China really “dumping” U.S. Treasury bonds—or is that headline missing key context? Lance Roberts examines what Treasury International Capital (TIC) data does (and doesn't) show, why China's reported holdings can shift for reasons that have nothing to do with panic selling, and how custody chains and financial centers can complicate the narrative. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:52 - What to Do w Tariffs Struck Down by SCOTUS 5:35 - GDP Weaker than Expected, except... 12:59 - Coming Attractions - Ten Laws of Money 16:27 - Chat Question: Is China Dumping U.S. Treasuries? 17:48 - The Problem w the Narrative & Lance in France 22:06 - China's Shift in Custodial Relationships 26:13 - Why Luxembourg & Belgium Matter 28:05 - How the Financial Plumbing Works 29:16 - Why They Buy Dollar-denominated Assets 31:55 - Dollar vs Euro Trade 32:48 - How Investors Should Look at U.S. Treasuries 34:08 - U.S. Treasuries Anchor Risk-free Pricing 37:20 - Portfolio is a Toolbox, not a Narrative 39:01 - Focus on the Risk that Matters 41:51 - Tariff Changes & Policy Risks 43:26 - Semper Gumby - Always Flexible ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/fEk6rYGzFkA?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Mega Roth Questions & Senior Deductions," here: https://youtube.com/live/fEk6rYGzFkA?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Rotation Warning - Breadth at 50-Year Extreme," is here: https://youtu.be/Dule_eZoSBY ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketBreadth #SectorRotation #RiskManagement #USTreasuries #China #BondMarket #InterestRates #MacroInvesting

Markets bounced Friday, recovering to close slightly above the 20-day moving average, but the story remains internal rotation—not a clean, broad-based trend. Energy and mega-caps carried the tape into the close, while this morning the leadership is shifting again, with Healthcare acting better (Eli Lilly notably higher) and much of the rest of the market looking flat. February is doing what it often does—acting like one of the weaker seasonal months—and the S&P 500 is up only about 1.2% year-to-date. Under the surface, sector bifurcation is pronounced: Energy, Industrials, and Basic Materials have posted outsized gains, while Technology, Financials, and Healthcare have lagged. That divergence is a reminder that "index level" calm can mask very real crosscurrents in risk. Breadth is also sending a message. The equal-weighted index continues to outperform, and roughly 65% of S&P 500 constituents are outperforming the index so far this year—an extreme not seen in decades. Strong participation isn't inherently bearish, but when performance becomes that broadly stretched, the probability of mean reversion and sharp reversals tends to rise. Bottom line: respect the rotation, don't chase what's extended, and stay disciplined on risk controls. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/Dule_eZoSBY --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketBreadth #SectorRotation #RiskManagement

Is China really "dumping" U.S. Treasury bonds—or is that headline missing key context? Lance Roberts examines what Treasury International Capital (TIC) data does (and doesn't) show, why China's reported holdings can shift for reasons that have nothing to do with panic selling, and how custody chains and financial centers can complicate the narrative. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:52 - What to Do w Tariffs Struck Down by SCOTUS 5:35 - GDP Weaker than Expected, except... 12:59 - Coming Attractions - Ten Laws of Money 16:27 - Chat Question: Is China Dumping U.S. Treasuries? 17:48 - The Problem w the Narrative & Lance in France 22:06 - China's Shift in Custodial Relationships 26:13 - Why Luxembourg & Belgium Matter 28:05 - How the Financial Plumbing Works 29:16 - Why They Buy Dollar-denominated Assets 31:55 - Dollar vs Euro Trade 32:48 - How Investors Should Look at U.S. Treasuries 34:08 - U.S. Treasuries Anchor Risk-free Pricing 37:20 - Portfolio is a Toolbox, not a Narrative 39:01 - Focus on the Risk that Matters 41:51 - Tariff Changes & Policy Risks 43:26 - Semper Gumby - Always Flexible ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/fEk6rYGzFkA?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Mega Roth Questions & Senior Deductions," here: https://youtube.com/live/fEk6rYGzFkA?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Rotation Warning - Breadth at 50-Year Extreme," is here: https://youtu.be/Dule_eZoSBY ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketBreadth #SectorRotation #RiskManagement #USTreasuries #China #BondMarket #InterestRates #MacroInvesting

While stocks have been stuck in a trading range for months, it has given their Daily Moving Averages time to catch up and for oversold levels to burn off.Technically, this should provide current prices with stronger support to move higher from -- especially if capital starts rotating back into the battered software and AI sectors.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds for this, as well as the new Supreme Court decision against tariffs, the latest GDP growth and PCE inflation data, mounting signs of concern in private credit, as well as Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.Get Lance's 10 Immutable Laws Of Building Wealth at https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/money-the-10-immutable-laws-of-building-wealth/REGISTER FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S SPRING ONLINE CONFERENCE AT THE EARLY BIRD DISCOUNT PRICE at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#tariffs #bullmarket #privatecredit _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Ray Dalio's Davos comments aren't a “next-week collapse” call—they're a long-cycle warning: rising debt supply can eventually force higher yields and tough policy trade-offs. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 looks calm on the surface, but sector/factor dispersion and low correlations show a fierce rotation under the hood. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine the calm index ≠ calm market—watch dispersion and correlations for the next regime shift. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Economic Reports Show Benefits of AI Data Centers 5:17 - Why The Dow Jones Index Matters Now 9:20 - WalMart Quarterly is Proxy for Staples 12:30 - Why WalMart Valuation Matters 15:53 - Periods of Rolling Bubbles 19:45 - Has AI Cap-ex Already Been Priced-in? 22:20 - The Value-Growth Rotation 24:01 - Fed Meeting Minutes Recap 26:57 - Debunking Dalio 33:13 - Dealing with Negative, Doom & Gloom Headlines 37:10 - Mortgage-backed Bond Exposure 41:18 - Could the Yield Curve Flatten? 43:09 - Is Kevin Warsh just Jerome Powell 2.0? 44:19 - Avoid Worrying About Things Out of Your Control ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/mippkxiCJQI ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Calm Market Waters Hide Fierce Undercurrents" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/calm-market-waters-hide-fierce-undercurrents/ "AI Bubble: History Says Caution Is Warranted" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bubble-history-says-caution-is-warranted/ "Market Sector Review: Extreme Market Bifurcation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-sector-review-extreme-market-bifurcation/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Markets, Money, and Your Questions" here: https://youtube.com/live/3xyx42x5s44 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dow Streak Signals Pullback ," is here: https://youtu.be/zor3I7w1wLA ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #DowJones #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingStrategy #RayDalio #Davos #MarketRotation #SP500 #RiskManagement

Markets pushed higher Wednesday morning and ran straight into a key technical "traffic jam" as the 20-day and 50-day moving averages converged near the same level. Late-day selling pulled prices back toward the 50-DMA, and with futures slightly lower this morning, the big question is whether buyers step back in—or whether we start to see a more routine digestion of gains. The bigger tell right now may be the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The Dow has notched nine consecutive months of gains, a streak that's historically rare over long market history. When runs like this extend, it doesn't automatically signal a crash—but it does increase the odds of corrective action. If a Dow pullback shows up, it can easily spill into the S&P 500 and NASDAQ through sentiment and positioning. Breadth is improving, with roughly 65% of S&P 500 stocks trading above their moving averages. That's supportive for trend health—yet it's also a double-edged sword. When participation rises broadly, markets can correct broadly as well, even if the primary trend remains intact. Bottom line: we're not talking about a major breakdown. But a 3–5% pullback would be completely normal given the Dow's extended run and the market's proximity to key moving averages. That's why this is a good window to take partial profits, rebalance risk, and maintain discipline. If/when a pullback arrives, it can create a more favorable entry point to put that capital back to work. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/zor3I7w1wLA --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Sector Review: Extreme Market Bifurcation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-sector-review-extreme-market-bifurcation/ "Calm Market Waters Hide Fierce Undercurrents" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/calm-market-waters-hide-fierce-undercurrents/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #DowJones #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingStrategy

Ray Dalio's Davos comments aren't a "next-week collapse" call—they're a long-cycle warning: rising debt supply can eventually force higher yields and tough policy trade-offs. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 looks calm on the surface, but sector/factor dispersion and low correlations show a fierce rotation under the hood. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine the calm index ≠ calm market—watch dispersion and correlations for the next regime shift. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Economic Reports Show Benefits of AI Data Centers 5:17 - Why The Dow Jones Index Matters Now 9:20 - WalMart Quarterly is Proxy for Staples 12:30 - Why WalMart Valuation Matters 15:53 - Periods of Rolling Bubbles 19:45 - Has AI Cap-ex Already Been Priced-in? 22:20 - The Value-Growth Rotation 24:01 - Fed Meeting Minutes Recap 26:57 - Debunking Dalio 33:13 - Dealing with Negative, Doom & Gloom Headlines 37:10 - Mortgage-backed Bond Exposure 41:18 - Could the Yield Curve Flatten? 43:09 - Is Kevin Warsh just Jerome Powell 2.0? 44:19 - Avoid Worrying About Things Out of Your Control ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/mippkxiCJQI ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Calm Market Waters Hide Fierce Undercurrents" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/calm-market-waters-hide-fierce-undercurrents/ "AI Bubble: History Says Caution Is Warranted" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-bubble-history-says-caution-is-warranted/ "Market Sector Review: Extreme Market Bifurcation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-sector-review-extreme-market-bifurcation/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Markets, Money, and Your Questions" here: https://youtube.com/live/3xyx42x5s44 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dow Streak Signals Pullback ," is here: https://youtu.be/zor3I7w1wLA ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #DowJones #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingStrategy #RayDalio #Davos #MarketRotation #SP500 #RiskManagement

It's Q&A Wednesday—your questions drive the show. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down what's moving markets right now, key economic and Fed signals to watch this week, and the practical portfolio decisions that matter most (risk, allocations, income, taxes, and retirement timing). Drop your question in the live chatroom and we'll tackle as many as we can. Topics we often cover: market volatility & trend levels, rates/inflation, sector rotation, retirement income, tax strategy, ETFs vs. individual bonds, and avoiding emotional decision-making. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Wrapping Earnings Season w Highest Revenue Growth Ever 4:38 - Markets Bounce off 100-DMA 6:47 - What's Next for Crude Oil & Energy Stocks? 9:40 - How Much Money is "Enough" to Retire On? 17:48 - Study: Coffee & Dementia 19:06 - Work Benefits vs Medicare 20:41 - Capital Allocation in Current Markets 23:19 - How to Plan for 2027 25:14 - Bloom Energy & Fuel Cell Tech 26:21 - Price Floor Effects on Trading, Employment & Metals 29:56 - Extended Car Warranty Pros & Cons 31:27 - How Much Trust in Forward Guidance? 32:55 - Is Palantir Over Sold? (Yes) 33:35 - Datacenter Rage vs Fiber Optics 35:00 - Corporate Stock Buy Backs vs AI Cap-Ex Spending 35:54 - Planning to Retire at 56 36:52 - Should You Wait Until 74 for Social Security? 39:09 - Market Rotation Velocity 40:28 - Coming Attractions ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/3xyx42x5s44 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Seasonality: Buy Signal And Investing Outcomes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/seasonality-buy-signal-and-investing-outcomes/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Bank, Brokerage, or Corporate Trustee? (It's a Matter of Trust)," here: https://youtube.com/live/MU8qVbSiqxY?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "1100-DMA Bounce: Range-Bound Markets & Energy Risk," is here: https://youtu.be/EJVtzKwAMG4 ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #MovingAverages #EnergyStocks #QandAWednesday #MarketOutlook #PortfolioRisk #RetirementPlanning #InvestingEducation

Markets tested the 100-day moving average (100-DMA) and buyers stepped in—exactly where many systematic and algorithmic strategies tend to respond. Futures are pointing higher this morning, but that doesn't automatically mean the selloff is finished. Momentum remains weak and the market is still on a sell signal, which often sets up a choppy, range-bound environment without a clear catalyst. We also discuss why "chasing winners" can get dangerous late in an extended run—highlighted by Walmart's sharp drop after a strong advance. In commodities, crude oil is trying to stabilize, but remains on a sell signal at elevated levels. If support near ~$62 fails, the next downside zone could pull oil into the mid-to-high $50s—potentially helping inflation prints while pressuring Energy stocks. Energy sector momentum is stretched and nearing a sell signal from a high level. If you've been riding Energy higher, this may be a prudent window to rebalance risk and harvest gains—rather than waiting for the market to do it for you. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/EJVtzKwAMG4 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Sector Review: Extreme Market Bifurcation" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-sector-review-extreme-market-bifurcation/ "Calm Market Waters Hide Fierce Undercurrents" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/calm-market-waters-hide-fierce-undercurrents/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #MovingAverages #EnergyStocks

It's Q&A Wednesday—your questions drive the show. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down what's moving markets right now, key economic and Fed signals to watch this week, and the practical portfolio decisions that matter most (risk, allocations, income, taxes, and retirement timing). Drop your question in the live chatroom and we'll tackle as many as we can. Topics we often cover: market volatility & trend levels, rates/inflation, sector rotation, retirement income, tax strategy, ETFs vs. individual bonds, and avoiding emotional decision-making. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Wrapping Earnings Season w Highest Revenue Growth Ever 4:38 - Markets Bounce off 100-DMA 6:47 - What's Next for Crude Oil & Energy Stocks? 9:40 - How Much Money is "Enough" to Retire On? 17:48 - Study: Coffee & Dementia 19:06 - Work Benefits vs Medicare 20:41 - Capital Allocation in Current Markets 23:19 - How to Plan for 2027 25:14 - Bloom Energy & Fuel Cell Tech 26:21 - Price Floor Effects on Trading, Employment & Metals 29:56 - Extended Car Warranty Pros & Cons 31:27 - How Much Trust in Forward Guidance? 32:55 - Is Palantir Over Sold? (Yes) 33:35 - Datacenter Rage vs Fiber Optics 35:00 - Corporate Stock Buy Backs vs AI Cap-Ex Spending 35:54 - Planning to Retire at 56 36:52 - Should You Wait Until 74 for Social Security? 39:09 - Market Rotation Velocity 40:28 - Coming Attractions ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/3xyx42x5s44 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Seasonality: Buy Signal And Investing Outcomes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/seasonality-buy-signal-and-investing-outcomes/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Bank, Brokerage, or Corporate Trustee? (It's a Matter of Trust)," here: https://youtube.com/live/MU8qVbSiqxY?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "1100-DMA Bounce: Range-Bound Markets & Energy Risk," is here: https://youtu.be/EJVtzKwAMG4 ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #MovingAverages #EnergyStocks #QandAWednesday #MarketOutlook #PortfolioRisk #RetirementPlanning #InvestingEducation

Choosing a corporate trustee is one of the most important decisions in estate planning—especially if you're naming a bank, brokerage trust department, or independent trust company to manage assets and carry out your wishes after you're gone. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down how to compare corporate trustees beyond just “lowest fees,” including fiduciary standards, investment flexibility, service model, administrative capabilities, distribution discipline, technology/reporting, continuity, and how they handle family dynamics. We also cover the key differences between revocable and irrevocable trusts, including where each is typically used, how control and flexibility change, and why trustee selection matters even more once a trust becomes irrevocable. Finally, we explain Trust Protectors—what they do, why they can be a critical safeguard, and how they may help your beneficiaries replace a trustee later if service, philosophy, or circumstances change. For educational purposes only. This discussion is general in nature and not individualized legal, tax, or investment advice—talk with your estate attorney and tax professional to apply these concepts to your situation. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Bifurcated Markets - Over Sold, Over Bought 3:09 - Markets Challenge 100-DMA 7:57 - The Danger in Overlooking the Importance of Trusts 11:21 - Don't Scrimp on Speedo's or Estate Plans 14:24 - Where There's a Will... 17:51 - Medical, Durable Powers of Attorney 20:26 - The Parties to a Trust 23:45 - Setting Up the Trust 29:34 - Wills vs Beneficiary Directions 32:00 - Who Do You Designate as Trustee? 36:27 - Choosing the Right Corporate Trustee 39:20 - Estate Taxes & Exemptions 40:55 - Passing Assets to Children Who Marry & Divorce 43:51 - Legal Zoom & On Line Platforms 46:15 - Trust Protectors 47:39 - The Cost of Setting Up a Trust 52:54 - What is Required to Change a Trust Company? ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/MU8qVbSiqxY?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Seasonality: Buy Signal And Investing Outcomes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/seasonality-buy-signal-and-investing-outcomes/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Margin Debt & the One-Stock Myth," here: https://youtube.com/live/MU8qVbSiqxY?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Test - Momentum Fades, Rotation Shifts," is here: https://youtu.be/Qkkl5m8hY7w ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketUpdate #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #MarketRotation #EstatePlanning #Trusts #Trustee #WealthManagement #FinancialPlanning

Markets held the 100-DMA on Friday, but that support is in focus again today. The bigger issue is a negative divergence: price has risen while momentum and relative strength have faded. If the 100-DMA breaks, the next key level is the 200-DMA near 6,650—so stay disciplined on allocations, concentration, and risk. Breadth is improving: the gap between market-cap and equal-weight has narrowed, and equal-weight has led over the past six months. Energy, Utilities, Industrials, and Materials have been driving gains, but several are getting extended—take profits and rebalance where needed. Also watch Technology: it's oversold, and even a modest rebound could quickly shift leadership back toward mega-cap performance. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/Qkkl5m8hY7w --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketUpdate #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #MarketRotation

Choosing a corporate trustee is one of the most important decisions in estate planning—especially if you're naming a bank, brokerage trust department, or independent trust company to manage assets and carry out your wishes after you're gone. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down how to compare corporate trustees beyond just "lowest fees," including fiduciary standards, investment flexibility, service model, administrative capabilities, distribution discipline, technology/reporting, continuity, and how they handle family dynamics. We also cover the key differences between revocable and irrevocable trusts, including where each is typically used, how control and flexibility change, and why trustee selection matters even more once a trust becomes irrevocable. Finally, we explain Trust Protectors—what they do, why they can be a critical safeguard, and how they may help your beneficiaries replace a trustee later if service, philosophy, or circumstances change. For educational purposes only. This discussion is general in nature and not individualized legal, tax, or investment advice—talk with your estate attorney and tax professional to apply these concepts to your situation. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Bifurcated Markets - Over Sold, Over Bought 3:09 - Markets Challenge 100-DMA 7:57 - The Danger in Overlooking the Importance of Trusts 11:21 - Don't Scrimp on Speedo's or Estate Plans 14:24 - Where There's a Will... 17:51 - Medical, Durable Powers of Attorney 20:26 - The Parties to a Trust 23:45 - Setting Up the Trust 29:34 - Wills vs Beneficiary Directions 32:00 - Who Do You Designate as Trustee? 36:27 - Choosing the Right Corporate Trustee 39:20 - Estate Taxes & Exemptions 40:55 - Passing Assets to Children Who Marry & Divorce 43:51 - Legal Zoom & On Line Platforms 46:15 - Trust Protectors 47:39 - The Cost of Setting Up a Trust 52:54 - What is Required to Change a Trust Company? ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/MU8qVbSiqxY?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Seasonality: Buy Signal And Investing Outcomes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/seasonality-buy-signal-and-investing-outcomes/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Margin Debt & the One-Stock Myth," here: https://youtube.com/live/MU8qVbSiqxY?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Test - Momentum Fades, Rotation Shifts," is here: https://youtu.be/Qkkl5m8hY7w ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketUpdate #SP500 #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #MarketRotation #EstatePlanning #Trusts #Trustee #WealthManagement #FinancialPlanning

Happy Presidents Day—today's show blends portfolio risk management with real-life planning (and a little chili controversy). We break down margin debt and how leverage turns routine volatility into forced selling and permanent losses. Then we pivot to weddings, pre-nups, and money conversations—what couples should sort out early to protect goals and reduce future stress. Next, we tackle the "one stock forever" question: why the idea is tempting, where concentration risk shows up, and what characteristics investors are really looking for (durable cash flows, pricing power, strong balance sheets). We wrap with the reflation trade—what typically works when growth/inflation narratives heat up, and how valuation can bite when the story gets crowded. Educational only—not individualized investment advice. 0:00 - INTRO 0:22 - Margin Debt & Losing It All 12:08 - Planning Weddings 16:23 - When Should a Pre-nupt be used? 21:20 -The One Stock You'd Buy if You Could Only Buy One 24:32 - The Reflation Trade and Chili: Beans or No Beans Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP, and w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/MU8qVbSiqxY?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Seasonality: Buy Signal And Investing Outcomes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/seasonality-buy-signal-and-investing-outcomes/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Duct Tape & WD-40 Your Portfolio Together," here: https://youtube.com/live/EsweZ6GtMvI?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Rotation Keeps Stocks Flat," is here: https://youtu.be/8iyhck2LBpY ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarginDebt #RiskManagement #FinancialPlanning #ReflationTrade #InvestingPsychology

REGISTER FOR THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S SPRING ONLINE CONFERENCE AT THE EARLY BIRD DISCOUNT PRICE at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceWhile the S&P has hit a new record high this year, it is having a difficult time rising back above 7,000.The technical action is weak, and the 20-Daily Moving Average is in danger of crossing below the 50-Daily Moving Average.Should that indeed happen, it substantially increases the odds of a further material decline.Will the market recover? Or will it roll-over?Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds, as well as the the recent rise in volatility, the latest CPI inflation data, "financial nihilism", the implications of warmer US-Russia relations, the housing market, and Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.#marketcorrection #volatility #inflation _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

“Value is back,” the headlines say—so investors rush from mega-cap growth into “boring” staples, utilities, and healthcare. But here's the problem: sector labels aren't valuation metrics. In many cases, the so-called “value rotation” is an illusion—because investors may be rotating into expensive stocks while selling the actual value hiding inside “growth.” Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down why value and growth aren't mutually exclusive, and why the market's favorite shortcut—“defensives = value, tech = growth”—can lead to costly portfolio mistakes. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Employment Numbers Surprise 6:01 - Why We're Setting Up for a Dollar Rally 14:05 - Gasoline Price Comparisons 15:59 - Value Stocks & Market Rotations 19:36 - Defining "Growth" vs "Value" 21:22 - Buying the Future, not the Past 22:38 - The Problem w Forward Earnings 28:06 - How Passive Flows Drive Markets Higher 32:01 - Overbought Markets Can Remain So for a Long Time 35:01 - How the Dow Industrials Have Shifted 37:57 - Employment is Not as Strong as Hoped (It's garbage) 39:57 - Expect Revisions Next Year 43:11 - Friday Inflation-Truflation Report Preview 45:34 - ISM Index Anecdotal Evidence Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/2133YnloEBo?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "BLS Labor Report Defies Consensus" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bls-labor-report-defies-consensus/ --- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: You Ask 'em, We'll Answer," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sI0zNQTCyE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dollar Rally Risk - Overbought Markets," is here: https://youtu.be/ioOGa5YHzDI ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #USdollar #MarketTechnicalAnalysis #MeanReversion #PortfolioRiskManagement #GoldAndSilver #ValueInvesting #StockMarket #PortfolioStrategy #Valuation #InvestingEducation

"Value is back," the headlines say—so investors rush from mega-cap growth into "boring" staples, utilities, and healthcare. But here's the problem: sector labels aren't valuation metrics. In many cases, the so-called "value rotation" is an illusion—because investors may be rotating into expensive stocks while selling the actual value hiding inside "growth." Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down why value and growth aren't mutually exclusive, and why the market's favorite shortcut—"defensives = value, tech = growth"—can lead to costly portfolio mistakes. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Employment Numbers Surprise 6:01 - Why We're Setting Up for a Dollar Rally 14:05 - Gasoline Price Comparisons 15:59 - Value Stocks & Market Rotations 19:36 - Defining "Growth" vs "Value" 21:22 - Buying the Future, not the Past 22:38 - The Problem w Forward Earnings 28:06 - How Passive Flows Drive Markets Higher 32:01 - Overbought Markets Can Remain So for a Long Time 35:01 - How the Dow Industrials Have Shifted 37:57 - Employment is Not as Strong as Hoped (It's garbage) 39:57 - Expect Revisions Next Year 43:11 - Friday Inflation-Truflation Report Preview 45:34 - ISM Index Anecdotal Evidence Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/2133YnloEBo?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "BLS Labor Report Defies Consensus" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bls-labor-report-defies-consensus/ --- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: You Ask 'em, We'll Answer," here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sI0zNQTCyE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dollar Rally Risk - Overbought Markets," is here: https://youtu.be/ioOGa5YHzDI ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #USdollar #MarketTechnicalAnalysis #MeanReversion #PortfolioRiskManagement #GoldAndSilver #ValueInvesting #StockMarket #PortfolioStrategy #Valuation #InvestingEducation

Is the U.S. Dollar setting up for a deeper rally—and what does that mean for markets that have been riding the "weak dollar" trade? Lance Roberts walks through a long-term, monthly chart perspective: when major indexes stretch 2+ standard deviations above long-term means, the odds of a meaningful mean reversion rise. Right now, the S&P 500 is extended, the equal-weight S&P is even more stretched, and several "Dollar-sensitive" areas look extremely overbought—including Basic Materials, Industrials, and Transports. The same setup shows up in international stocks and emerging markets, where foreign flows often chase currency differentials. If the Dollar turns higher from an oversold condition and triggers a buy signal, those rotations can reverse fast. We also cover why gold and silver—classic Dollar trades—can stay extended longer than expected, but rarely hold at 3–4 standard deviations for very long. Bottom line: overbought doesn't mean "crash tomorrow," but it does mean it's time to think about taking profits, rebalancing, and reducing risk before the mean reversion shows up. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/ioOGa5YHzDI --- Articles mentioned in this report: "BLS Labor Report Defies Consensus" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bls-labor-report-defies-consensus/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

It's Q&A Wednesday: You ask 'em, we'll answer—and today's episode covers the questions investors actually wrestle with when markets get noisy. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff start with a preview of upcoming economic reports and what recent data may be signaling about slowing growth and the next bout of market volatility. From there, we dig into real portfolio decisions—especially for investors heading into retirement—including how to think about allocation changes, managing risk, and avoiding the behavioral traps that derail long-term outcomes. Lance & Danny also hit the big evergreen topics: recency bias, whether there's truly a “one stock to own forever,” what buffered ETFs do (and don't) protect you from, and the mechanics behind the bond yield / interest-rate relationship. We also tackle timely portfolio choices like metals, tax-deferred vs. taxable accounts, seasonality, foreign currency trades, and how to invest in individual bonds. We wrap with practical tradeoffs around high-yield savings, the reality of beating the market consistently, and a broader discussion on growth modeling—plus a curveball question: Is AI going to take our jobs? 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Economic Reports Preview: More Weakness? 4:59 - Markets Do What They Do - More Volatility? 11:04 - How Should I Change My Portfolio Going Into Retirement? 17:48 - Dealing with Recency Bias 21:04 - The One Stock to Own Forever 24:20 - The Thing About Buffered ETF's 28:19 - Inverse Relationship Between Bond Yields vs Interest Rates 34:10 - Metals: Selling Today? 35:50 - Tax-deferred vs Taxable brokerage Accounts 39:16 - Using Seasonality When Investing 40:48 - Dealing with Foreign Currency Trades 44:00 - How to Invest in Individual Bonds? 47:01 - The Pro's & Con's of High Yield Savings 48:11 - Do You Consistently Beat the Market? 53:36 - Defining Magnitude and Modeling Growth 55:31 - Is AI Going to Take Our Jobs? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sI0zNQTCyE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Seasonality: Buy Signal And Investing Outcomes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/seasonality-buy-signal-and-investing-outcomes/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Duct Tape & WD-40 Your Portfolio Together," here: https://youtube.com/live/EsweZ6GtMvI?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Rotation Keeps Stocks Flat," is here: https://youtu.be/8iyhck2LBpY ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #SectorRotation #TreasuryYields #Volatility #QandAWednesday #RetirementInvesting #MarketVolatility #BondMarket #TaxPlanning

Markets are stuck in the same rhythm: rally, pull back, test support, and bounce again. After Tuesday's dip, futures are mildly higher this morning—but the bigger story is consolidation. Under the surface, leadership is rotating: Energy, Financials, and Value have held the upper hand, while Growth has started to perk up. That internal rotation can keep the index "flat" even as specific sectors trend. The setup still leans toward an upside breakout, but the market hasn't shown the momentum needed to follow through—yet. Meanwhile, 10-year Treasury yields have been sliding for several sessions. A bounce back toward 4% wouldn't be surprising given where inflation sits and what yields are "supposed" to reflect. If incoming inflation or employment data disappoints, yields could push lower again. Finally, volatility is quietly grinding higher as turnover and leadership churn continue. No fear-spike yet—but this is often the type of prelude we see before volatility eventually makes a sharper move. Manage risk, stay disciplined, and let the market prove the breakout. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/8iyhck2LBpY --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #SectorRotation #TreasuryYields #Volatility

It's Q&A Wednesday: You ask 'em, we'll answer—and today's episode covers the questions investors actually wrestle with when markets get noisy. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff start with a preview of upcoming economic reports and what recent data may be signaling about slowing growth and the next bout of market volatility. From there, we dig into real portfolio decisions—especially for investors heading into retirement—including how to think about allocation changes, managing risk, and avoiding the behavioral traps that derail long-term outcomes. Lance & Danny also hit the big evergreen topics: recency bias, whether there's truly a "one stock to own forever," what buffered ETFs do (and don't) protect you from, and the mechanics behind the bond yield / interest-rate relationship. We also tackle timely portfolio choices like metals, tax-deferred vs. taxable accounts, seasonality, foreign currency trades, and how to invest in individual bonds. We wrap with practical tradeoffs around high-yield savings, the reality of beating the market consistently, and a broader discussion on growth modeling—plus a curveball question: Is AI going to take our jobs? 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Economic Reports Preview: More Weakness? 4:59 - Markets Do What They Do - More Volatility? 11:04 - How Should I Change My Portfolio Going Into Retirement? 17:48 - Dealing with Recency Bias 21:04 - The One Stock to Own Forever 24:20 - The Thing About Buffered ETF's 28:19 - Inverse Relationship Between Bond Yields vs Interest Rates 34:10 - Metals: Selling Today? 35:50 - Tax-deferred vs Taxable brokerage Accounts 39:16 - Using Seasonality When Investing 40:48 - Dealing with Foreign Currency Trades 44:00 - How to Invest in Individual Bonds? 47:01 - The Pro's & Con's of High Yield Savings 48:11 - Do You Consistently Beat the Market? 53:36 - Defining Magnitude and Modeling Growth 55:31 - Is AI Going to Take Our Jobs? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6sI0zNQTCyE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Seasonality: Buy Signal And Investing Outcomes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/seasonality-buy-signal-and-investing-outcomes/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Duct Tape & WD-40 Your Portfolio Together," here: https://youtube.com/live/EsweZ6GtMvI?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Rotation Keeps Stocks Flat," is here: https://youtu.be/8iyhck2LBpY ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #SectorRotation #TreasuryYields #Volatility #QandAWednesday #RetirementInvesting #MarketVolatility #BondMarket #TaxPlanning

Markets rallied back into positive territory today, but the real risk-management lesson isn't the chart—it's behavior. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn unpack the “WD-40 & Duct Tape” framework: WD-40 reduces emotional friction when headlines and volatility try to lock up decision-making, and duct tape is the discipline that keeps your portfolio plan intact (allocation, diversification, rebalancing rules, time horizon, liquidity). We also hit real-life planning topics investors ignore until it's urgent—pre-nups, trusts, board liability, and why you shouldn't scrimp on estate planning. Because protecting wealth isn't just about returns—it's about structure, documents, and decisions made before stress shows up. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Valentine's PSA & Earnings Recaps 4:25 - Markets Rally Back Into Positive Territory 9:21 - Christmas Lights, Roofers, & Racoons 12:31 - Engagements, WD-40, & Duct Tape 18:35 - Investors Getting Emotional w Markets 26:57 - When Should a Pre-Nup Be Used? 31:57 - Will a Trust Protect One's Assets? 39:27 - Don't Scrimp on Estate Planning 42:58 - Can I Get Sued on a Board of Directors? 45:22 - Updating an Estate Plan Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/EsweZ6GtMvI?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Speculative Narrative Unwinds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/speculative-narrative-unwinds/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Technology Stocks: Dead… or the Next Opportunity?" here: https://youtube.com/live/dkvgydsdn-g?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Signals Melt-up" is here: https://youtu.be/U5PtR83h4qs ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketMeltUp #SectorRotation #TechStocks #BitcoinAnalysis #BehavioralFinance #MarketVolatility #PortfolioDiscipline #EstatePlanning #WealthProtection

Markets rebounded Monday and nearly tagged new highs—trend remains bullish, but leadership is rotating. After an early-year chase into Value, money is flowing back into Technology and Growth. At the same time, global equity inflows ex-Tech are running hot (over $60B YTD), a classic "melt-up" signal that's worth monitoring for crowding and speculation. Futures are higher again this morning—watch for follow-through. Bitcoin bounced but hasn't regained traction yet. It's still deeply oversold, momentum is flattening, and a tradable setup could emerge if we get confirmation with a momentum turn/buy signal. Not financial advice. Manage risk and avoid chasing extended moves. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/U5PtR83h4qs --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketMeltUp #SectorRotation #TechStocks #BitcoinAnalysis

Markets rallied back into positive territory today, but the real risk-management lesson isn't the chart—it's behavior. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn unpack the "WD-40 & Duct Tape" framework: WD-40 reduces emotional friction when headlines and volatility try to lock up decision-making, and duct tape is the discipline that keeps your portfolio plan intact (allocation, diversification, rebalancing rules, time horizon, liquidity). We also hit real-life planning topics investors ignore until it's urgent—pre-nups, trusts, board liability, and why you shouldn't scrimp on estate planning. Because protecting wealth isn't just about returns—it's about structure, documents, and decisions made before stress shows up. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Valentine's PSA & Earnings Recaps 4:25 - Markets Rally Back Into Positive Territory 9:21 - Christmas Lights, Roofers, & Racoons 12:31 - Engagements, WD-40, & Duct Tape 18:35 - Investors Getting Emotional w Markets 26:57 - When Should a Pre-Nup Be Used? 31:57 - Will a Trust Protect One's Assets? 39:27 - Don't Scrimp on Estate Planning 42:58 - Can I Get Sued on a Board of Directors? 45:22 - Updating an Estate Plan Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/EsweZ6GtMvI?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Speculative Narrative Unwinds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/speculative-narrative-unwinds/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "Technology Stocks: Dead… or the Next Opportunity?" here: https://youtube.com/live/dkvgydsdn-g?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Signals Melt-up" is here: https://youtu.be/U5PtR83h4qs ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketMeltUp #SectorRotation #TechStocks #BitcoinAnalysis #BehavioralFinance #MarketVolatility #PortfolioDiscipline #EstatePlanning #WealthProtection

Technology stocks started February on the back foot as volatility spiked and leveraged trades unwound across markets—crypto first, then metals, then equities. The key question: is this a real breakdown in tech leadership, or a mechanical liquidation that's creating selective opportunity? 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Superbowl Recap & Looking for BLS & CPI 4:41 - More Trapped Longs & Volatility to Come 10:38 - Market Volatility May not Be Over Yet 14:28 - The AI Threat to Software Co's 18:12 - Salesforce vs AI 23:20 - Narratives are Justification for Overpaying 26:30 - Technology Sector Analysis & Rotation 29:40 - Value to Growth Rotation 32:05 - Where are Earnings Coming From? 35:08 - Waiting for the Bottom to Buy 37:36 - Fundamentals Then & Now 40:01 - Margin Debt vs DPI (Disposable Personal Income) 41:30 - What Happens When You Lose it All 44:05 Boomer Advice for Younger Investors 48:41 - Learn when Enough is Enough Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/dkvgydsdn-g?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Speculative Narrative Unwinds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/speculative-narrative-unwinds/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "The Wealth-Health Gap," here: https://youtube.com/live/TynkcovRQIQ?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Holds, Volatility Returns," is here: https://youtu.be/y7ilBZWTrcA ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #TechnologyStocks #Nasdaq #MarketVolatility #SectorRotation #RiskManagement

Technology stocks started February on the back foot as volatility spiked and leveraged trades unwound across markets—crypto first, then metals, then equities. The key question: is this a real breakdown in tech leadership, or a mechanical liquidation that's creating selective opportunity? 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Superbowl Recap & Looking for BLS & CPI 4:41 - More Trapped Longs & Volatility to Come 10:38 - Market Volatility May not Be Over Yet 14:28 - The AI Threat to Software Co's 18:12 - Salesforce vs AI 23:20 - Narratives are Justification for Overpaying 26:30 - Technology Sector Analysis & Rotation 29:40 - Value to Growth Rotation 32:05 - Where are Earnings Coming From? 35:08 - Waiting for the Bottom to Buy 37:36 - Fundamentals Then & Now 40:01 - Margin Debt vs DPI (Disposable Personal Income) 41:30 - What Happens When You Lose it All 44:05 Boomer Advice for Younger Investors 48:41 - Learn when Enough is Enough Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/dkvgydsdn-g?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Speculative Narrative Unwinds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/speculative-narrative-unwinds/ "Technology Stocks: Dead Or An Opportunity?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/technology-stocks-dead-or-an-opportunity/ ------- Watch our previous show, "The Wealth-Health Gap," here: https://youtube.com/live/TynkcovRQIQ?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "100-DMA Holds, Volatility Returns," is here: https://youtu.be/y7ilBZWTrcA ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #TechnologyStocks #Nasdaq #MarketVolatility #SectorRotation #RiskManagement

The market has been range-bound for months.Has it topped out and about to roll over, as we saw at the start of 2022?Or, is it consolidating and poised for a breakout higher soon?Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds, as well as the likely rotation of capital back into Growth from Value, the sell-off in Bitcoin and its repercussions, the growing trouble in private credit, and Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #growthstocks #bitcoin _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Is inflation actually cooling—or just being measured differently? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Truflation's real-time inflation readings (built from millions of point-of-purchase prices across multiple providers) versus the official CPI/PCE framework, which relies far more on surveys and sampling. We'll also address the big caveat: neither CPI/PCE nor Truflation perfectly captures what you feel “in the shops,” because inflation varies by geography, income group, and what you actually buy. The aggregate number can hide the lived experience. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Employment Data Continues to Weaken 4:10 - Finishing up Earnings Season 10:36 - Truflation & Kevin Warsh's Hawkishness 12:36 - The Truflation Conundrum vs CPI 16:12 - The Reflation Trade vs Real Economy 20:49 - Cheaper Fritos & Texas Chili (no beans) 21:48 - Tariff Impact on Inflation 23:33 - Value vs Growth 26:11 - Why Portfolio Positioning Matters 28:05 - More Chili (with beans & Broccoli) 29:27 - Software Services vs AI 30:29 - The Risk Facing Oracle 35:22 - Leverage Kills 40:11 - The Lesson in Narratives 41:37 - Warsh vs Powell - Is there a difference? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Your Questions, Real Answers," here: https://www.youtube.com/live/dLVV-H-lG3A?si=Ej0Pl1nUuYmKYpFG -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up for Rotation Trades is here: https://youtu.be/IKsm6U2CK8w ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketRotation #SP500 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #Inflation #CPI #PCE #Truflation #Economy

Is inflation actually cooling—or just being measured differently? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Truflation's real-time inflation readings (built from millions of point-of-purchase prices across multiple providers) versus the official CPI/PCE framework, which relies far more on surveys and sampling. We'll also address the big caveat: neither CPI/PCE nor Truflation perfectly captures what you feel "in the shops," because inflation varies by geography, income group, and what you actually buy. The aggregate number can hide the lived experience. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Employment Data Continues to Weaken 4:10 - Finishing up Earnings Season 10:36 - Truflation & Kevin Warsh's Hawkishness 12:36 - The Truflation Conundrum vs CPI 16:12 - The Reflation Trade vs Real Economy 20:49 - Cheaper Fritos & Texas Chili (no beans) 21:48 - Tariff Impact on Inflation 23:33 - Value vs Growth 26:11 - Why Portfolio Positioning Matters 28:05 - More Chili (with beans & Broccoli) 29:27 - Software Services vs AI 30:29 - The Risk Facing Oracle 35:22 - Leverage Kills 40:11 - The Lesson in Narratives 41:37 - Warsh vs Powell - Is there a difference? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Your Questions, Real Answers," here: https://www.youtube.com/live/dLVV-H-lG3A?si=Ej0Pl1nUuYmKYpFG -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Set Up for Rotation Trades is here: https://youtu.be/IKsm6U2CK8w ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketRotation #SP500 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis #Inflation #CPI #PCE #Truflation #Economy

Markets sold off again Wednesday, closing right on the S&P 500's 50-day moving average (50-DMA). While the index is still riding its underlying support line and working off an overbought condition, the momentum trade has largely been wrung out. Despite the turbulence, the broader uptrend remains intact—just with a lot more internal rotation. Wednesday's damage was concentrated in mega-cap momentum and "growth leadership," while much of the rest of the market held up better. That matters because Value vs. Growth has become increasingly overextended over the last several sessions—conditions that often precede a mean-reversion move and create rotation trade opportunities. The NASDAQ is also telling a different story. It's broken down through the 20-, 50-, and 100-day moving averages during a consolidating/topping process and remains on a sell signal. However, after the persistent selling in Technology, the index is now extremely oversold. Historically, oversold extremes have often aligned with short-term bottoms and tradable reflex rallies—even if the bigger-picture backdrop stays choppy. Bottom line: a rotation back from Value into Growth over the coming days and weeks wouldn't be surprising. As investors, the goal isn't to chase what worked yesterday, but to watch for setups where price has moved too far, too fast—and where improving risk/reward can favor disciplined entries, position sizing, and clear stop/target levels. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/IKsm6U2CK8w --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketRotation #SP500 #NASDAQ #TechnicalAnalysis

Today's live YouTube Chat Q&A covers the full spectrum—earnings season takeaways, the selloff-to-rebound pattern, and the big debate around Big Tech, AI, and margins. We walk through where tech and AI leadership stand now, whether AI is pressuring software profitability, and the “real world” constraint markets may be underpricing: power demand (including what ERCOT could mean for data-center expansion). We also hit the energy transition angle—why wind/solar intermittency matters, the critical minerals push, and why fundamentals still matter when narratives run hot. On the positioning side, we discuss whether metals look oversold, how to think about “rebound rallies,” and why investor discipline (process, rebalancing, and risk controls) beats chasing headlines. Finally, we shift to planning questions that come up constantly in the chat: Medicare timing (age 65 vs. later), enrolling in your 70s, key pitfalls with Medicare Advantage, and how COBRA fits into the transition. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19- Earnings Season Recap 4:05 - Markets Sell off to Rebound 9:05 - Tech Stocks & AI - Where are We? 10:17 - Is AI Destroying Software Profit Margins? 16:26 - Will ERCOT Pump the Brakes of Data Centers? 19:22 - Wind & Solar Are Not Consistent or Reliable 20:42 - The Critical Mineral Push 22:33 - Fundamentals Matter a Lot 24:19 - Are Metals Over Sold? 27:41 - Investor Discipline & Having a Plan 29:10 - This was Not a Forced Manipulation 30:45 - Leverage on Bitcoin 31:47 - Jumping on Medicare at age 65? 38:44 - Signing Up for Medicare in 70's 40:32 - Be Careful with Medicare Advantage 42:56 - The Thing About COBRA Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: ------- Watch our previous show, "The Trap of Chasing Returns," here: https://youtube.com/live/sKXpfWf8oRs?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dip Buyers Step In" is here: https://youtu.be/EY04EexrThs ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SectorRotation #RiskManagement #ReflationTrade #PortfolioRebalancing #BuyTheDip #EarningsSeason #ArtificialIntelligence #BigTech #RiskManagement #Medicare

Today's live YouTube Chat Q&A covers the full spectrum—earnings season takeaways, the selloff-to-rebound pattern, and the big debate around Big Tech, AI, and margins. We walk through where tech and AI leadership stand now, whether AI is pressuring software profitability, and the "real world" constraint markets may be underpricing: power demand (including what ERCOT could mean for data-center expansion). We also hit the energy transition angle—why wind/solar intermittency matters, the critical minerals push, and why fundamentals still matter when narratives run hot. On the positioning side, we discuss whether metals look oversold, how to think about "rebound rallies," and why investor discipline (process, rebalancing, and risk controls) beats chasing headlines. Finally, we shift to planning questions that come up constantly in the chat: Medicare timing (age 65 vs. later), enrolling in your 70s, key pitfalls with Medicare Advantage, and how COBRA fits into the transition. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19- Earnings Season Recap 4:05 - Markets Sell off to Rebound 9:05 - Tech Stocks & AI - Where are We? 10:17 - Is AI Destroying Software Profit Margins? 16:26 - Will ERCOT Pump the Brakes of Data Centers? 19:22 - Wind & Solar Are Not Consistent or Reliable 20:42 - The Critical Mineral Push 22:33 - Fundamentals Matter a Lot 24:19 - Are Metals Over Sold? 27:41 - Investor Discipline & Having a Plan 29:10 - This was Not a Forced Manipulation 30:45 - Leverage on Bitcoin 31:47 - Jumping on Medicare at age 65? 38:44 - Signing Up for Medicare in 70's 40:32 - Be Careful with Medicare Advantage 42:56 - The Thing About COBRA Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dLVV-H-lG3A&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Watch our previous show, "The Trap of Chasing Returns," here: https://youtube.com/live/sKXpfWf8oRs?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Dip Buyers Step In" is here: https://youtu.be/EY04EexrThs ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SectorRotation #RiskManagement #ReflationTrade #PortfolioRebalancing #BuyTheDip #EarningsSeason #ArtificialIntelligence #BigTech #RiskManagement #Medicare

Markets sold off sharply Tuesday, then bounced into the close—continuing a familiar pattern: when price tests the 50-day moving average (50-DMA), dip buyers step in. That's been working, but it's also how traders get trapped when the "buy-the-dip" playbook finally fails—so risk management matters. This morning, futures are pointing higher as the market tries to reclaim the 20-day moving average (20-DMA). Tuesday's weakness was concentrated in mega-cap tech (NVDA, MSFT, GOOGL), and early action suggests a bounce attempt. Meanwhile, the "heat map" continues to highlight rotation: value and defensives (WMT, COST, PG) plus energy have been outperforming while growth digests valuations. That rotation can persist, but value is getting overbought/overextended, raising the odds of a rotation back toward growth as we move through earnings season. Seasonally, February can be volatile, and we're watching the VIX closely as volatility's trendline remains elevated. Bottom line: expect choppy, sloppy trading—keep allocations disciplined, avoid chasing stretched moves, and stay focused on process over predictions. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/EY04EexrThs --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Precious Metals Aren't Predicting Economic Collapse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/precious-metals-arent-predicting-economic-collapse-draft/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DipBuyers #BuyTheDip #SP500 #Premarket #RiskManagement

Most investors don't blow up because they “didn't know enough.” They blow up because they frame the decision wrong. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down narrow framing—the behavior where investors judge one investment in isolation (“Why don't I own that?”) instead of evaluating results through the entire portfolio and a long-term plan. When something becomes “hot,” it feels obvious, safe, and inevitable. But return-chasing often ends the same way: buying after a big run, then selling after the first real drawdown. That cycle turns investing into reaction instead of strategy—headlines instead of planning, emotion instead of discipline. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - ISM Manufacturing Feed Reflation Narrative 4:15 - Sector Rotations Worth Watching 8:20 - Markets Continue in Rising Trend 13:24 - The Trap of Cahasing Returns 15:58 - The Trouble w Investor Complacency 18:20 - The Flaw in Framing 22:09 - Momentum Drives Price 23:21 - Leverage Unwinding & Volatility 24:42 - It's Silver Profit Taking Time 25:47 - Risk Tolerance vs Risk Capacity 28:03 - A Portfolio is Like a Car 31:12 - The Misconception Between Risk & Volatility 34:23 - Risk is the Destruction of Capital 35:58 - Markets Do Not Compound Returns 37:31 - Would You Rather... 42:33 - Everybody Idolizes Warren Buffett 43:30 - Establish a Discipline 45:52 - Have a Plan - Write it Down 48:51 - E-book Library Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/sKXpfWf8oRs?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Bears Are an Endangered Species," here: https://www.youtube.com/live/NAyXnrquGiQ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Reflation Rotation" is here: https://youtu.be/9f2tn_O1BUc ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SectorRotation #RiskManagement #ReflationTrade #PortfolioRebalancing

Most investors don't blow up because they "didn't know enough." They blow up because they frame the decision wrong. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down narrow framing—the behavior where investors judge one investment in isolation ("Why don't I own that?") instead of evaluating results through the entire portfolio and a long-term plan. When something becomes "hot," it feels obvious, safe, and inevitable. But return-chasing often ends the same way: buying after a big run, then selling after the first real drawdown. That cycle turns investing into reaction instead of strategy—headlines instead of planning, emotion instead of discipline. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - ISM Manufacturing Feed Reflation Narrative 4:15 - Sector Rotations Worth Watching 8:20 - Markets Continue in Rising Trend 13:24 - The Trap of Cahasing Returns 15:58 - The Trouble w Investor Complacency 18:20 - The Flaw in Framing 22:09 - Momentum Drives Price 23:21 - Leverage Unwinding & Volatility 24:42 - It's Silver Profit Taking Time 25:47 - Risk Tolerance vs Risk Capacity 28:03 - A Portfolio is Like a Car 31:12 - The Misconception Between Risk & Volatility 34:23 - Risk is the Destruction of Capital 35:58 - Markets Do Not Compound Returns 37:31 - Would You Rather... 42:33 - Everybody Idolizes Warren Buffett 43:30 - Establish a Discipline 45:52 - Have a Plan - Write it Down 48:51 - E-book Library Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Register for our next Candid Coffee, 2/21/26: https://streamyard.com/watch/Wq3Yvn9ny5GV ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/sKXpfWf8oRs?feature=share ------- Watch our previous show, "Bears Are an Endangered Species," here: https://www.youtube.com/live/NAyXnrquGiQ -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Reflation Rotation" is here: https://youtu.be/9f2tn_O1BUc ------- Visit our E-book Library (no library card required!) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SectorRotation #RiskManagement #ReflationTrade #PortfolioRebalancing

Industrial and Basic Materials stocks are leading the "reflation" narrative—both have been strong, with Industrials tagging fresh highs and Materials extending a sharp run since December. The catch: these areas are increasingly overbought, and valuations eventually matter. The key question for 2026 is whether earnings and growth can "catch up" to prices that have already sprinted ahead. In this pre-market update, we walk through why disciplined investors rebalance to targets, take partial profits, and reduce risk without "selling everything." We also highlight what rotations tend to do: money chases what's hot, then swings back toward what was ignored. Staples were deeply out of favor late last year—then rallied as flows rotated. Energy also rebounded as oil broke higher after an oversold setup, but as positions work, it's time to harvest gains and avoid giving them back during the next volatility spike. Finally, we discuss where the next rotation could emerge: defensive, higher-dividend areas like Utilities have lagged and are out of favor—often a condition that sets up future inflows when investors pivot from offense to defense. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/9f2tn_O1BUc --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Precious Metals Aren't Predicting Economic Collapse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/precious-metals-arent-predicting-economic-collapse-draft/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SectorRotation #RiskManagement #ReflationTrade #PortfolioRebalancing

Lance Roberts examines why bears have become an endangered species—and why that may be a warning sign rather than a confirmation of safety. Investor sentiment is extreme, margin debt is surging, speculative behavior is accelerating, and market leadership remains narrowly concentrated. When optimism becomes unanimous, history shows future returns tend to disappoint. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19- February & Earnings Season Continues 4:50 - The Action Behind Friday's Action 13:53 - Rationalizing Markets' Ups & Downs 15:23 - Percentage of Markets at All-new Highs 16:38 - The Reflationary Narrative 17:50 -Why Bears are Extinct 20:20 - Everyone has to buy, but at what price? 22:19 - Why Portfolio Risk Management is Important 25:14 - Market Cycles & Deviations 31:10 - Average Longevity is Increasing 34:02 - Do Not Ignore the Impact of Passive Investing 37:07 - Demand Drives Product Innovation on Wall St. 41:35 - Markets Set the Lows 43:40 - The Cure for High Prices is High Prices Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/live/NAyXnrquGiQ ------- Watch our previous show, "Retirement Income When Markets Are Expensive," here: https://youtube.com/live/5MX3c-VM-n0?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Rotation, Volatility, and Commodities Risk" is here: https://youtu.be/Dt4z5fAB7jI ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Bears Are An Endangered Species" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/endangered-species-list-includes-market-bears/ "The Market Cycles Potentially Driving 2026 Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-cycles-outlooks-for-2026-draft/ "Precious Metals Aren't Predicting Economic Collapse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/precious-metals-arent-predicting-economic-collapse-draft/ Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketToday #MarketVolatility #CommodityMarkets #RiskManagement #SP500 #MarginCall #Leverage #MarketRisk #InvestorSentiment #StockMarketOutlook #RiskManagement #FinancialPlanning

Lance Roberts examines why bears have become an endangered species—and why that may be a warning sign rather than a confirmation of safety. Investor sentiment is extreme, margin debt is surging, speculative behavior is accelerating, and market leadership remains narrowly concentrated. When optimism becomes unanimous, history shows future returns tend to disappoint. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19- February & Earnings Season Continues 4:50 - The Action Behind Friday's Action 13:53 - Rationalizing Markets' Ups & Downs 15:23 - Percentage of Markets at All-new Highs 16:38 - The Reflationary Narrative 17:50 -Why Bears are Extinct 20:20 - Everyone has to buy, but at what price? 22:19 - Why Portfolio Risk Management is Important 25:14 - Market Cycles & Deviations 31:10 - Average Longevity is Increasing 34:02 - Do Not Ignore the Impact of Passive Investing 37:07 - Demand Drives Product Innovation on Wall St. 41:35 - Markets Set the Lows 43:40 - The Cure for High Prices is High Prices Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/live/NAyXnrquGiQ ------- Watch our previous show, "Retirement Income When Markets Are Expensive," here: https://youtube.com/live/5MX3c-VM-n0?feature=share -------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Rotation, Volatility, and Commodities Risk" is here: https://youtu.be/Dt4z5fAB7jI ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Bears Are An Endangered Species" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/endangered-species-list-includes-market-bears/ "The Market Cycles Potentially Driving 2026 Returns" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-cycles-outlooks-for-2026-draft/ "Precious Metals Aren't Predicting Economic Collapse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/precious-metals-arent-predicting-economic-collapse-draft/ Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketToday #MarketVolatility #CommodityMarkets #RiskManagement #SP500 #MarginCall #Leverage #MarketRisk #InvestorSentiment #StockMarketOutlook #RiskManagement #FinancialPlanning

Stocks have been stuck in a compressing trading range for the past several months.And recently they've broken down below it.That development, plus a number of other headwinds weighing on the markets, suggests that stocks could experience a 'risk-off reset' soon, falling substantially lower.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds for this, as well as the recent Federal Reserve guidance, growing concerns in AI stocks, the bull & bear cases for 2026, this week's gut-wrenching plunge in the precious metals, as well as Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#goldprice #silverprice #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.