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Earnings season is upon us; will volatility pick up? A bigger question will be how tariffs may affect corporate earnings. Employment numbers are dipping into contraction zone as the economy slows. Markets sell off on renewed tariff news. Crude oil prices are creeping back up. No one is expecting correction...which is when they usually appear. Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have exploded in popularity—driving a massive shift from active to passive investing. But is this trend distorting markets and concentrating risk? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn explore how ETF growth may be reshaping price discovery, liquidity, and investor behavior: Why do investors choose single-stock ETF's? Leverage. But that cuts both ways, when stocks are going up as well as going down. Lance and Jonathan examine FUnd performance vs Indexes over time. The irony of ETF's: They're passive, but being traded like stocks because of a "get-rich-quick" mentality. Speculation leads to broken markets. Lance and Jonathan discuss the US Dollar and why it remains the default reserve currency of the world, even as the mix of currencies evolves. Lance advises when it's time to be bearish. SEG-1: Earnings Season Prelude - No Fear of Correction SEG-2: Astro's & ETF's - It's All About Leverage SEG-3: The Irony of ETF's SEG-4: Dealing with the Dollar RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18uxAOHUAE0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Investor Greed Returns With A Vengeance" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-greed-returns-with-a-vengeance/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Fear of Correction," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EtaKUHTNq-Y&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Bull Market is Alive and Well" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DtaiG62GGL4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=141s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #InvestorGreed #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #OilPrices #Tariffs #ETFs #PassiveInvesting #MarketTrends #InvestingStrategies #FinancialMarkets #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The economy is showing increasing signs of weakening, and eventually stock prices are going to have to reflect that predicts portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz -- who guest stars in this week's Market Recap while Lance Roberts is traveling in the UK.Earnings estimates for the rest of this year and next are very optimistic, perhaps unrealistically so.Should the economy continue to weaken, the chances of attaining those earnings results will drop so low that Wall Street will have to start demanding that stocks trade at a discount to current prices.Michael and I discuss the logic why, as well dig into the newest -- and controversial -- non-farms payroll data, inflation expectations & bond yields, the investment potential of the artificial intelligence & energy sectors, and the future of Tesla.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#recession #marketcorrection #tesla 0:00 - Welcome and Fourth of July Greetings2:20 - Market Technicals and Potential Melt-Up7:21 - Seasonal Trends and Upcoming Catalysts11:46 - Wall of Worry and Market Resilience16:17 - Drivers of the Market Breakout21:14 - Technical Indicators and Consolidation Needs22:56 - June Non-Farm Payrolls Report Analysis27:22 - Discrepancies in BLS and ADP Data32:26 - Economic Slowdown Signals36:42 - AI and Economic Growth Potential44:29 - Energy and AI Investment Opportunities56:00 - Upcoming AI and Energy Investing Event59:40 - Tesla and AI's Physical Applications1:18:24 - Rant: Societal Risks of AI and UBI1:29:32 - Preparing for AI's Impact1:34:16 - Closing and Financial Advice_____________________________________________Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Portfolio manager Lance Roberts warns that speculation is running rampant among retail investors now. Yes, the market is now at an all-time high and the bulls are in charge.But as stocks are back to being overbought in the short term and earnings forecasts are likely going to have to be ratcheted down sometime soon, the risk of a blow-off top followed by a reversal is not low.We discuss the odds of that, plus potential market black swans and white swans, the growing student loan default crisis, weakening housing, cooling jobs markets, as well as Lance's firm's recent trades in this week's Market Recap. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#speculation #bullmarket #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Is the Fed setting the stage for another policy blunder? As inflation pressures linger and economic growth slows, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the risks of the central bank's next move—and what it could mean for your money on this morning's episode of #TheRealInvestmentShow. The Market Rally is ON, yet oil prices are telling a different story about the economy. President Trump could be picking a successor to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell sooner than later. Lance and Michael expose the Fed's political "independance," and it's proclivity for financial socialism. The Fed is always late...and always wrong. The true role of the Fed is to protect its member banks. Jerome Powell doesn't mind being late. The ill-fated push to lower bank's minimum reserve requirements. Again. (Did we not learn from the past?) SEG-1: Vacation Prelude - The Rally is On SEG-2: The Folly of the Fed & Financial Socialism SEG-3: Economic Data Shows Weaking - Will the Fed be too late? SEG-4: The Fed is Always Wrong RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8wHxhOOWMQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What Oil Prices Are Saying About the Economy," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiMvWO2ZDX8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Bulls Are Back in Town," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZ-J2YfNC5w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #OilPrices #Tariffs #FederalReserve #InterestRates #InflationOutlook #RecessionRisk #FedMistake #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #MarketRally #BullishMarket #OilPrices #Tariffs #IranIsraelConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
In case you haven't noticed, the market's been in a rally ever since the April lows. Investor sentiment is finally turning more extreme-bullish. The whole Tariff thing is not A Thing; the Debt Crisis is not A Thing; World War 3 is not A Thing. Investors are starting to look past all this, and sentiment is on the rise. Markets on Wednesday knocked on the door of another all-time high; the NASDAQ achieved that milestone. Again. And it is possible the S&P will set a new, all-time high this week. Under the surface, things are over bought but not extremely stretched. July tends to be an event stronger month; August/September tend to be a lot weaker. If there is a risk of another correction, it will probably happen in August or September; not likely in July. Of note have been oil prices, seeing a sharp spike after the Israel/Iran conflict and the Iran bombings, but then falling equally as quickly. Oil prices have collapsed, sitting on support at the 50-DMA, and still on a sell signal. It would be no surprise to see oil bounce a bit from this level, but prices are going to remain stuck in the $60/bbl range for a while. Oil prices are being more reflective of economic data, which is showing sluggishness in the economy: Reduced economic demand = reduced demand for oil. Oil pries are actually telling us a lot about the economy, heading into the Summer. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jiMvWO2ZDX8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #OilPrices #Tariffs #IranIsraelConflict #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets enjoyed a very nice rally on Tuesday, up by about 1% by the end of the day. A little bit of a sell-off right before the end of the session restrained markets from achieving another all-time high. The trajectory of the market remains bullish. Lance discusses progress since the Death Cross in the Spring; the difference between when a Death Cross matters or not is whether a Recession occurs afterwards. The NASDAQ is actually at all-time highs, triggering a "Golden Cross." If the NASDAQ continues to set new, all-time highs, it will drag the S&P with it. Despite these achievements, we're still expecting some sloppiness in the markets; use any dips as an opportunity to buy at lower prices. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DRzdiS6C1vc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #BullishMarket #BuyTheDip #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts, Chief Investment Strategist at RIA Advisors, returns to Soar Financially to break down the market's bizarre reaction to the U.S. strike on Iran, the real drivers behind inflation, and the demographic crisis crushing long-term growth. Roberts also exposes how retail investors have taken over the market while institutions sit on the sidelines, and why the Fed may be two steps behind—again.#oilprices #iran #inflation ------------
Is the threat of World War III finally off the table? Lance Roberts breaks down the latest developments in global conflict and what they mean for financial markets. From oil prices and defense stocks to safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries, we'll unpack how investors should think about geopolitical risk now. Are markets too complacent—or is the worst truly behind us? Is Apple dead? Lance addresses a YouTube Chatroom query with analysis of how Apple continues to do well, despite a paucity of innovation; why 420 ETF's all own Apple; the evolution of the smartphone. Why you need Apple in your portfolio. What is the next narrative of the Summer? Is the Fed trapped (again)? SEG-1: Markets & The End of WW3 SEG-2 Is Apple Dead (It's not growing...) SEG-3: Why You Need Apple in Your Portfolio SEG-4: Cease Fire Violations & Summer's Next Narrative RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTZR3PEvaxc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Bullish Prelude to July," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DiUwcZ7ujqU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "U.S. Strikes Iran: How to Invest When Geopolitics Explode" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5GDPILjaAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #BullishMarket #IranIsraelConflict #WorldWar3 #GeopoliticsAndMarkets #WarImpactOnStocks #GlobalConflict #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Is the threat of World War III finally off the table? Lance Roberts breaks down the latest developments in global conflict and what they mean for financial markets. From oil prices and defense stocks to safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries, we'll unpack how investors should think about geopolitical risk now. Are markets too complacent—or is the worst truly behind us? Is Apple dead? Lance addresses a YouTube Chatroom query with analysis of how Apple continues to do well, despite a paucity of innovation; why 420 ETF's all own Apple; the evolution of the smartphone. Why you need Apple in your portfolio. What is the next narrative of the Summer? Is the Fed trapped (again)? SEG-1: Markets & The End of WW3 SEG-2 Is Apple Dead (It's not growing...) SEG-3: Why You Need Apple in Your Portfolio SEG-4: Cease Fire Violations & Summer's Next Narrative RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTZR3PEvaxc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Bullish Prelude to July," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DiUwcZ7ujqU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "U.S. Strikes Iran: How to Invest When Geopolitics Explode" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5GDPILjaAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #BullishMarket #IranIsraelConflict #WorldWar3 #GeopoliticsAndMarkets #WarImpactOnStocks #GlobalConflict #FinancialMarketsToday #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets on Monday were under a bit of pressure because of the weekend bombings in Iran and their nothing-burger response. Markets broke out of their consolidation and ended the day in the green, retaining a bullish stance. Markets held support at a previous top, and proved multiple levels on which there is solid footing. Unfortunately, there's not a tremendous amount of upside from where we are now, but technicals are improving. The downside risk is down to 2,800, and there is about 100-points of upside, so the risk/reward is not great enough to be super-aggressive. Pay attention to slowing economic growth, and the a Federal Reserve that is content to hold pat on interest rates for now. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DiUwcZ7ujqU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketConsolidation #BullishMarket #IranIsraelConflict #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Over the weekend, the U.S. launched strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities. Of course, for Americans and the financial markets, the response from not only Iran but also Iran's allies will be critical. Lance Roberts describes a process of logical evaluation and portfolio risk management when markets experience turmoil: What matters most to investors? What do these attacks mean for earnings? How might geopolitics affect EOQ activity? [NOTE: Lance is on vacation next week, 6/30-7/4] Remembering the Japanese Carry Trade blow up vs Iran Bombings: There is not the same sense of urgency this time; markets have already moved-on. How will the Israel-Iran conflict play out? Watch "Top Gun." Likely outcomes will be higher oil prices, a stronger dollar, and weaker equities. SEG-1: Bombings in Iran: What Matters Most? SEG-2a: Lance's Summer Vacation Preview SEG-2b: Where's the Sense of Urgency? SEG-3: How the Iran-Israel Conflict Will Play Out SEG-4: Watching for Pickup in Volatility RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5GDPILjaAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Respond to Iran Bombings," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yWM3nfbeF2I ------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Day Preview: Will They or Won't They?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEf6M7XXCqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #Gold #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Over the weekend, the U.S. launched strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities. Of course, for Americans and the financial markets, the response from not only Iran but also Iran's allies will be critical. Lance Roberts describes a process of logical evaluation and portfolio risk management when markets experience turmoil: What matters most to investors? What do these attacks mean for earnings? How might geopolitics affect EOQ activity? [NOTE: Lance is on vacation next week, 6/30-7/4] Remembering the Japanese Carry Trade blow up vs Iran Bombings: There is not the same sense of urgency this time; markets have already moved-on. How will the Israel-Iran conflict play out? Watch "Top Gun." Likely outcomes will be higher oil prices, a stronger dollar, and weaker equities. SEG-1: Bombings in Iran: What Matters Most? SEG-2a: Lance's Summer Vacation Preview SEG-2b: Where's the Sense of Urgency? SEG-3: How the Iran-Israel Conflict Will Play Out SEG-4: Watching for Pickup in Volatility RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L5GDPILjaAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this show: "Iran Struck By U.S.: Markets, Risk, and Rational Investing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/iran-stuck-by-u-s-markets-risk-and-rational-investing/ "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ "Oil Price Rise, Not Tariffs, Will Cause CPI To Tick Up" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-price-rise-not-tariffs-will-cause-cpi-to-tick-up/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Respond to Iran Bombings," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yWM3nfbeF2I ------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Day Preview: Will They or Won't They?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEf6M7XXCqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #Gold #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #StockMarketNews #IranUSConflict #SmartInvesting #MarketVolatility #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
How are markets reacting to the weekend bombings in Iran? Futures are slightly positive. On Friday markets sold off, landing right on top of the 20-DMA; the market continues to work along this support line after working off about half of the over bought condition. Looking ahead to next month, July tends to be a stronger period, going into the third quarter, and buy back windows reopen. There may be a decent entry point by the end of this week. The Dollar was already beginning to rally prior to the weekend's geopolitical news, and there is a huge short position on the Dollar. If the US Dollar Index gets to 99- or 100, look for a pretty sharp rally in the Dollar as those shorts are forced to cover. And any rise in the Dollar is going to weigh on assets that are traded in dollars. For Oil Prices, the big concern is what's happening in and around the Strait of Hormuz, a backbone of oil prices; oil prices had spiked following the weekend's attacks, but have been cooling over the past few hours. Gold prices similarly had a lot of early gains on Sunday, but are starting to give up a large portion of those gains this morning. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yWM3nfbeF2I ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Dollar's Death Is Greatly Exaggerated" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-death-is-greatly-exaggerated/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #Gold #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Stocks are still in a technical breakdown, approaching a test of the 20 Day daily moving average (DMA)Portfolio manager Lance Roberts thinks the S&P could easily drop another 100 points or more until it hits support.Once it does, he thinks that will be a good time to add capital back into quality stocks that have sold off a bit.So in the near term, keep your powder dry -- but be ready to act once that moment arrives.Lance and I discuss this coming oppportunity, as well as AI, energy, Tesla, why the Fed is 'too late' in its policy response yet again, as well as Lance's firm's latest trades in this week's Market Recap.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #tesla #artificialintelligence _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
FBI Releases Secret Docs Exposing Mass Voter Fraud, Article by John Zmirak. Trump- Don't Let the Rioters Win and Gold Has Entered 3rd & FINAL Phase: Why $10,000 oz Could Be Coming. FBI Releases Secret Docs Exposing Mass Voter Fraud John Zmirak. Trump Learned the Bitter Lesson of 2020: Don't Let the Rioters Win Gold Has Entered 3rd & FINAL Phase: Why $10,000 oz Could Be Coming FBI Releases Secret Docs Exposing Mass Voter Fraud to Rig 2020 Election Against Trump! FAKE Ballots Watch this video at- https://youtu.be/SfK7CHs9ABw?si=39TbBb7dcAc39zo4 Benny Johnson 4.77M subscribers 158,699 views Jun 17, 2025 This story is INSANE! BECOME A MEMBER: / @bennyjohnson FOLLOW OUR NEW CHANNELS: Benny On The Block: / @bennyontheblock Benny's Brews: / @bennysbrews FOLLOW BENNY ON SOCIALS: https://www.bennyjohnson.com/follow CHECK OUT OUR MERCH: https://shop.bennyjohnson.com/ Sign up for The Benny Newsletter: https://www.bennyjohnson.com/newsletter SUBSCRIBE TO THE PODCAST https://www.bennyjohnson.com/thebenny... Gold Has Entered 3rd & FINAL Phase: Why $10,000 oz Could Be Coming | Mike Maloney Join Mike Maloney, best-selling author and seasoned gold investor, as he unveils the third and final stage of gold's monumental bull market. In this eye-opening presentation, Mike draws compelling parallels between today's gold surge and the infamous 1970s gold rush — when prices soared 25x in just months. Discover why gold and silver are “Giffen goods” — assets that gain demand as prices rise — and how global fear, greed, and economic instability could ignite the Great Gold & Silver Rush of the 21st Century. 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Buy Precious Metals at: https://www.goldsilver.com Get Free content from Mike's new book here: http://www.ggsr21.com Subscribe to our channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/goldsilver?... Get Essential Gold & Silver News—Delivered Twice a Week: https://goldsilver.com/join-our-newsl... Follow Mike on Twitter: / goldsilver_com Follow us on Facebook: / goldsilverdotcom Check out our sister channel Wealthion @Wealthion featuring regular guests such as Jim Rickards, Rick Rule, Stephanie Pomboy, Lance Roberts, John Hathaway, Alisdair McLeod, Simon Hunt, John Rubino, Jim Rogers, Marc Faber and more. As always, thank you for your support. M. Article by John Zmirak: John Zmirak. Trump Learned the Bitter Lesson of 2020: Don't Let the Rioters Win Find the article at- https://stream.org/trump-learned-the-bitter-lesson-of-2020-dont-let-the-rioters-win/ Trump Learned the Bitter Lesson of 2020: Don't Let the Rioters Win By John Zmirak Published on June 12, 2025 As gangs of illegal aliens and radical activists attack ICE officers and now local police in the streets of Los Angeles, I'm reminded of the race riots of 2020, and the mistakes most of us made while they were happening. In case you've blotted those ugly memories from your mind, let's review what happened in the aftermath of the botched arrest of career criminal George Floyd: The police officers involved were immediately pulled from duty, then quickly arrested and charged. The System was working. There was literally nothing to riot about, except the vague and tendentious claim that “systemic racism” was killing black Americans. The Marxist group Black Lives Matter used Floyd's accidental death as a bloody shirt to wave around, demanding (and getting) hundreds of millions of dollars from large corporations to spend however it wished (for instance, on fancy homes and salaries). Conservative pundits and churches adopted that organization's mantra and offered uncritical support — desperate to establish their “antiracist” bona fides and protect their reputations. A series of coordinated “protests” erupted across the country, demanding that governments defund the police. Over and over, these protests turned violent, devolving into riots that saw the looting of neighborhoods poor and rich alike. Our media gaslit us with reports that these events were “mostly peaceful,” even as fires lit by arsonists raged on camera in the background. In blue states like Minnesota and California, Democrat governors who were savagely enforcing COVID lockdowns allowed the rioters to run free — pulling police from the scene and refusing to use their National Guards to protect citizens and their property. This was the starkest example of anarcho-tyranny in U.S. history … until the January 6 fedsurrection, that is. People who sneered when black entrepreneur and former presidential candidate Herman Cain died of COVID after attending a Trump campaign event and insisted that in-person voting was too dangerous to be allowed defended the riots publicly from the charge that they were “superspreader events.” Their excuse? “Racism is a threat to public health.” Trump did not federalize the National Guard in those rogue states to impose law and order. Like many of his supporters, and likely the advisors who convinced him to remain inert, I reasoned, “Let the blue cities burn. We'll make sure the federal government doesn't pay to rebuild them. The Left is trying to trap Trump into overreacting by using force in the hope that civilians will suffer and he will look like the dictator they've been calling him since Election Night 2016.” I now realize Step 6 was a huge mistake, as I'm sure Trump and his team had the chance to reflect on during the four years of lawfare and chaos they all endured under The Secret Committee Formerly Known As Joe Biden. Now, we need to analyze why this is true so we can give full-throated support to restoring the rule of law today. Abandoning Territory to Marxist Gangs Is Wrong Donald Trump is president of the entire United States, and he works for every American. That includes law-abiding citizens in blue states and cities who might not support mayors and governors committed to flouting U.S. laws on immigration, citizenship, and public order. Trump represents the harried, hunted police who work in Los Angeles and the taxpayers forced to fund the health care, education, and even transgender treatments of millions of illegal aliens the Biden regime let in. We're supposed to love our neighbor. At minimum that includes our fellow Americans — even those deluded enough to believe that we owe citizenship and welfare payments to foreigners who broke into our national home. Just as we shouldn't hand out free heroin to addicts and shrug at the thought that they might OD, we shouldn't hand anarchy to Californians and Minnesotans, even if it's what they say they want. “Stinks to be you” isn't a New Testament maxim. When Moderation Looks Like Weakness, It Is Weakness Letting blue cities burn or sink in their own squalor sounds tempting. However, it's not just a crime: it's a blunder, as political philosopher Yoram Hazony points out. The spectacle of U.S. cities roiling with chaos, falling into the hands of Leftist mobs waving foreign flags, makes America look weak and vulnerable in the eyes of its foreign enemies. Furthermore, it makes any president who presides over it seem like a wounded, crippled giant. That was true in 2020, and it's even truer today — when the riots are aimed not at some nebulous, made-up bogeyman like “systemic racism” or “whiteness,” but directly at the law enforcement policies that got Trump elected and are, rightly, very popular: mass repatriation of blatantly illegal aliens. These riots are aimed at Trump as a leader and his voters as citizens. They are armed, organized efforts to deprive the U.S. government of its legitimate monopoly on violence in large swathes of its territory. If Trump isn't willing to take every legal, constitutional measure to crush them and punish the perpetrators, he might as well resign right now and flee with his family into exile like the former Shah of Iran. Of course, that would leave all of us under a revolutionary tyranny every bit as ugly as Iran's. Mobs Follow the Strong and Scorn the Weak It's a sad fact of fallen human nature: A high percentage of people don't join causes or adopt opinions because of rational argumentation, or even moral sentiments. People flock to the strong and steadfast, and naturally feel contempt for those who lack the courage of their convictions. One of the main reasons that George Washington became first a national hero, then our leader in the fight for independence, was his obvious personal fearlessness. Bullets whizzed past him, shot through his hat and even his coat, and he was unperturbed. By contrast, the rival General Horatio Gates who sought to replace Washington at the head of the Continental Army disgraced himself by fleeing a 1780 military defeat at Camden, S.C., leaving his beaten troops behind. Trump can't afford to do the same today. Please Support The Stream: Equipping Christians to Think Clearly About the Political, Economic, and Moral Issues of Our Day. Even thugs who stand for evil ideas can gather a following for their bravery. In their case, it's the gumption of bullies, and attracts other would-be bullies. But that's how warlords have triumphed all too often for millennia. The thugs of illegal alien mobs, backed by the bullies in power in cities like Los Angeles, are counting on decent people to hide in their homes and on Trump to hide in the White House. We cannot let these lawless, unpatriotic, un-American mobs raise foreign flags over our cities. There's a word for that: It's “surrender.” We didn't vote for a white flag, but for the man who stood tall while bleeding and shouted, “Fight, fight, fight!” ----------------------------------------------------------------------- John Zmirak is a senior editor at The Stream and author or coauthor of 14 books, including The Politically Incorrect Guide to Immigration and The Politically Incorrect Guide to Catholicism. His newest book is No Second Amendment, No First. -------------------------------------------------------------------- Check out our ACU Patreon page: https://www.patreon.com/ACUPodcast HELP ACU SPREAD THE WORD! Please go to Apple Podcasts and give ACU a 5 star rating. Apple canceled us and now we are clawing our way back to the top. Don't let the Leftist win. Do it now! Thanks. Also Rate us on any platform you follow us on. It helps a lot. Forward this show to friends. 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It's Fed Day! Will the Federal Reserve finally cut rates—or kick the can again? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down what's at stake, what markets are pricing in, and what it means for your money. Thursday is Juneteenth, markets are closed, and so are we. Lance reviews the track for crude oil prices and the likely effect on inflation as the Iran-Israel conflict continues. What will Jerome Powell say following today's Fed meeting? Fed grammar matters. Danny and Lance review elements of the Big, Beautiful Bill as it bounces between the House and Senate; contents subject to change. Lance points out the insane irony of the Dept. of Agriculture's stance on feeding wildlife vs. feeding the masses. Danny and Lance review a Barron's article depicting a dilemma of wanting to retire early on limited savings, and live to 98. Hilarity ensues. SEG-1: Juneteenth & Fed Day SEG-2a: Fed Meeting Preview & Market Sentiment SEG-2b: The BIg, Beautiful Bill - Pt.1 SEG-3: The Big, Beautiful Bill - Pt.2 SEG-4: Can You Afford to Retire? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MEf6M7XXCqQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Oil Prices Are On the Rise," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4O6HNmfPPb4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What's the Difference Between Fixed Income and "Stable" Income?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jV5Oepv5zPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #Inflation #SupplyDemand #FedDay #FederalReserve #FedRateDecision #FOMC #InterestRateCut #JeromePowell #FinanceNews #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #FixedIncome #StableIncome #RetirementPlanning #IncomeInvesting #FinancialEducation #MarketVolatility #BigBeautifulBill #DeptAgriculture #ParksWildlife #SNAP #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Oil prices are on the rise in response to the current turmoil in the Middle East. Will this feed into higher inflation? The cure for higher oil prices is higher oil prices because it crimps off demand. The Fed has been concerned about inflation from tariffs, but that hasn't been the case. Now, the spectre of hotter inflation is rising with oil price increases; however, this all must be put into context: a longer view of oil price oscillations have not seen much of a spike. We may see a small increase in inflation, but not nearly to the degree the media would have you believe. When the Iran-Israel conflict ends, oil prices will slide back down. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4O6HNmfPPb4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OilPrices #CrudeOil #Inflation #SupplyDemand #FederalReserve #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
What's the difference between fixed income and "stable" income? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down the key differences between Dividend Stocks vs fixed income investments like bonds and annuities, and other strategies often labeled as stable income; how each performs in various market environments, the risks you may not see, and what every retiree or income-focused investor should consider. Lance and Jon also address the #1 Thing that homeowners regret about their houses, and a special "Two Dad's on Money" episode about whether your college grad kid should move back in with Mom & Dad. SEG-1: Retail Sales Preview, Where Market Risk Remains SEG-2: Are Dividend Stocks "Stable" or Fixed? SEG-3a: How to Calculate (and understand) Dividend Risk SEG-3b: Homeowners' #1 Remorse SEG-4: Two Dad's on Money - Should Your College Grad Move Back Home? RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jV5Oepv5zPM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Where Downside Risk Remains," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cIyoblbtIdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How the Iran-Israel Conflict Could Shock Global Markets," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3v0Xj2_iJ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PensionFund #DownsideRisk #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #FixedIncome #StableIncome #RetirementPlanning #IncomeInvesting #FinancialEducation #MarketVolatility #IranIsraelConflict #TwoDadsOnMoney #CollegeGrads #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets rallied a bit on Monday, despite the turmoil in the Middle East. Retail investors bought heavily into the dip. Futures this morning are slightly depressed. Oil prices fell, stock prices rose, and really, nothing has changed. Bulls are still trying to drive the market higher, but struggling to do so; momentum is beginning to slow. A bit of perspective: Markets finished the first quarter, and then fell sharply in April, followed by the current upward thrust that has continued through the second quarter. This has gotten pension funds off-sides, a situation that must be corrected before the end of the month: Therein lies the downside risk to markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cIyoblbtIdg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PensionFund #DownsideRisk #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts breaks down the latest developments in the Iran-Israel conflict and what they mean for global markets, oil prices, and investor sentiment. With tensions rising in the Middle East, we explore how geopolitical risk is shaping the outlook for the S&P 500, energy stocks, safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries. Lance touches on the impact of Middle East conflicts on the stock market, how oil prices typically respond to geopolitical tension, and what sectors may benefit or suffer from the crisis. Lanec also addresses investor strategies during geopolitical uncertainty, with a look at historical market reactions to major conflicts. SEG-1: Iran-Israel - What's the next Catalyst? SEG-2: Market Effects of Iran-Israel Conflict SEG-3: Bifurcated Investing by Political Persuasion SEG-4: The Return of TINA RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3v0Xj2_iJ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain Bullish Despite Weekend Events," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CMnSNn4v7Yo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is a College Degree Really Worth It?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QuYNsk7T3tY ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #MarketVolatility #IranIsraelConflict #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets sold off slightly on Friday on concerns over the Iran-Israel conflict, down to the 20-DMA, which has been good support for markets. Markets remain over bought, and markets started on Friday to work off some of that "overboughtedness, and this morning futures are pointing higher. Interestingly, while retail investors are fully into the markets, institutional investors have been woefully underweight equities, and have some catching up to do. As markets continue to push higher, each of the interim dips are being bought up by institutional investors, which will continue to be the case as we approach the end of this month, and the end of the quarter, the end of the reporting period for hedge funds and portfolios. We believe the next two weeks will see more buying pressure as these groups reallocate capital to bolster their portfolio performance. The US Dollar, meanwhile, has been under pressure, trying to set a double bottom in order to set up for a counter-trend rally. There's a ton of negative sentiment on the Dollar, with the short-dollar trade the most over-crowded, presently. Something will cause a shift back into the US Dollar, and create a potential rally to between $97 and $103. A stronger Dollar will attract foreign investors back into the US, with a positive effect on domestic markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CMnSNn4v7Yo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts breaks down the latest developments in the Iran-Israel conflict and what they mean for global markets, oil prices, and investor sentiment. With tensions rising in the Middle East, we explore how geopolitical risk is shaping the outlook for the S&P 500, energy stocks, safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries. Lance touches on the impact of Middle East conflicts on the stock market, how oil prices typically respond to geopolitical tension, and what sectors may benefit or suffer from the crisis. Lanec also addresses investor strategies during geopolitical uncertainty, with a look at historical market reactions to major conflicts. SEG-1: Iran-Israel - What's the next Catalyst? SEG-2: Market Effects of Iran-Israel Conflict SEG-3: Bifurcated Investing by Political Persuasion SEG-4: The Return of TINA RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3v0Xj2_iJ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Bull Rally Continues" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-bull-rally-continues/ "The Iran-Israel Conflict And The Likely Impact On The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-iran-israel-conflict-and-the-likely-impact-on-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Remain Bullish Despite Weekend Events," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CMnSNn4v7Yo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is a College Degree Really Worth It?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QuYNsk7T3tY ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishMarkets #USDollar #IranIsraelConflict #MarketRally #GeopoliticalRisk #MarketVolatility #IranIsraelConflict #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The outbreak of war between Israel and Iran has caught markets by surprise and may serve as the catalyst for the pullback Lance Roberts has been expecting.He can see the S&P losing 100+ points over the coming week from the current military action.If that happens and provided things don't escalate materially from there, in his opinion that could present an attractive opportunity to buy stocks before they seek to return to all-time highs.We discuss the odds, as well as the latest oil, inflation and jobs data, as well as Lance's firm's latest trades in this week's Market Recap.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#iranisraelwar #investing #stocks _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Mike questions whether the Liberal Party’s dedication to the global climate agenda could tear Canada apart. Lance Roberts highlights one unmissable investment opportunity. Meanwhile, 'The Goofy' showcases the most striking example of special interest politics in decades. This episode was pre-recorded on June 10.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
May CPI surprised with a "cooler" print on inflation, begging the question of what the Fed will do next. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the CPI report, reveal what's driving the slowdown in some consumer prices, and explore what it means for interest rates, your portfolio, and the broader economy. Who's going to end up "eating" the tariff-related increases? A clue may appear in the PPI reading. April saw a massiv surge in stock buy backs; that window will soon close. Lance and MIchael discuss the initial effects of tariffs on the economy; consumer choice is a factor that should not be ignored. For investors, the key is focusing on what really matters (earnings) vs the popular narratives de jour. Markets have all the information, but investors sometimes allow sentiment to take control. SEG-1: CPI & PPI - Who's Eating the Tariffs? SEG-2: Parsing CPI: What Did Tariffs Really Affect? SEG-3: Why All That Matters is Earnings SEG-4: How to Manage Risk Best RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3F4zKT325bo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=10s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "No Love for Puts," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imI9OvQa8ac&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "CPI Day - Will Inflation Hold Steady?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2SOCvadsj58&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=1s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InflationCools #InflationUpdate #ConsumerPriceIndex #MarketPullback #StockBuyBacks #Puts #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #MayCPI #InflationWatch #CPI2025 #MarketRally #SmallCapStocks #Russell2000 #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #ImpossibleMeat #Flexitarian #StockInheritance #EstatePlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets had a rare down-day amid the relentless run since April. Markets are up 3% for the year. There was a record surge in buy back announcements in April, well above any previous year, which is where much of the buying pressure for stocks came from. What happens when the buy back window next closes?? There are two things going on that might indicate now is a good time to think about hedging your protfolio, or at the very least, being patient: Buy backs are about to go into blackout period, and there is no love for puts right now. No one seems to want to buy any insurance for their portfolio: Why buy insurance, when the market is just going to keep going up?? Well...typically, when levels of Puts are low, that indicates proximity to market peaks. These factors, along with seasonality, would tend to indicate markets are primed for a pullback. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=imI9OvQa8ac&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPullback #StockBuyBacks #Puts #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Today is CPI Day, and all eyes are on the Consumer Price Index report for May. What will today's CPI data mean for the Federal Reserve's interest rate path and future market volatility? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine the implications for stocks, bonds, and consumer sentiment. Lance questions the data the government is providing, and examines the Small Caps' performance of late. What will be the impact of tariffs on CPI? Why now is a "normal" interest rate environment. Nobody cares about economic date revisions. Danny tackles the question of whether you should disclaim a $5-Million inheritance; hilarity ensues with an anecdote about Lance's son's request for money. No. Impossible Meat goes "Flexitarian;" more hilarity ensues. Danny & Lance discuss the sticky wicket of stock and land inheritances; CPI preview: No expectation of a hot print. SEG-1: What Difference Does a One-Tenth Percent Inflation Make? SEG-2: Inflation Expectations vs Real Life SEG-3: Should You Disclaim an Inheritance? SEG-4a: Beyond Meat & Flexitarian's SEG-4b: Land Inheritances & Liquidity Issues SEG-4c: CPI Preview RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2SOCvadsj58&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=3&t=1s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Small Caps on a Tear...but," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IaVrimYakns&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Private Equity is Coming for Your Money," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z5pY32IgCBY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=152s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MayCPI #InflationWatch #CPI2025 #MarketRally #SmallCapStocks #Russell2000 #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #ImpossibleMeat #Flexitarian #StockInheritance #EstatePlanning #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Small Cap stocks have been on a tear lately, and lost of speculative bets are being placed on Small Caps. You may recall, Smapp Caps got beaten up in April, and have had a nice rally since. We are advising caution at this elevated level, approaching the 200-DMA, and take some profits sooner than later. There's real risk to Small Cap stocks economically; economnic data is showing slowing, and that is going to impede earnings at some point. It's important to note that 40% of Small Cap stocks are not profitable, particularly in the Russell 2000, which is also approaching its 200-DMA and is very over bought on multiple levels. These stocks perform best coming out of a recessionary cycle, and right now is the wrong side of that cycle. While the S&P is near all-time highs, Small Caps are way, way back. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IaVrimYakns&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #SmallCapStocks #Russell2000 #TakeProfits #ReduceRisk #SlowingEconomy #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn uncover how private equity investments are no longer just for the ultra-wealthy...but is that the best plan? With Wall Street's latest push, retail investors are now being targeted as the next frontier for capital. From alternative investments in 2025 to the growing trend of private equity entering 401(k) plans, we break down what you need to know about the risks of private equity, the lack of transparency compared to public markets, and what this shift could mean for retail investors. Don't miss this deep dive into why Wall Street is coming after your retirement savings—and what you can do about it. SEG-1: Industrials Lead the Way SEG-2: The Private Equity Story - Why Am I So Lucky? SEG-3: The Private Equity Story - The Democratization of Private Equity SEG-4: The Private Equity Story - Everyone's Looking for an Edge RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z5pY32IgCBY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=152s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Private Equity – Why Am I So Lucky?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/private-equity-why-am-i-so-lucky/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Preparing for a Pullback," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoKv2jBDwNs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Buy the Dip--Technically Speaking," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BTKdUS6nh4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuySignal #Tariffs #MarketNarrative #PrivateEquity #AlternativeInvestments #RetailInvestors #WallStreetWatch #FinancialFreedom #BuyTheDip #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketStrategy #Sentiment #Price #FearGreedIndicator #InvestingTips #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The Rally continues with the Bulls in control since April 9, but not much has happened. Markets needed a reason to sell, and Tariffs gave them that reason, but that is all over with. That's why you have to be careful with narratives. Markets move past them quickly, and it's on to the next issue or event. Weekly buy signals now suggest the correction is complete, Bulls are back in control, and all time highs are just a breath away. We're seeing improvements in sentiment and breadth; we're in th emiddle of a reversal process. However, there is an expectation of a relaxation of what's going on: Money flows are ebbing, sellers are exhausted, and buyers are slowing. That suggests that markets are going to consolidate, or pullback to support at the 200-DMA. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoKv2jBDwNs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuySignal #Tariffs #MarketNarrative #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are you waiting for the perfect moment to "buy the dip" but unsure how to spot it? Lance Roberts reveals how to identify smart entry points using technical analysis. From recognizing key support levels and reversal patterns, to understanding what oversold indicators are really telling you, we'll walk you through the tools, charts, and signals that professional investors rely on. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a long-term investor trying to fine-tune your entry, this episode will help you buy with more confidence when markets pull back. Plus, we'll share insights on how to avoid common pitfalls, manage risk, and ride the recovery wave effectively. SEG-1: Market Upsides Outweigh the Downsides SEG-2: How to Know When to Buy the Dip or Not SEG-3: Two Key Tools - Sentiment & Price SEG-4a: Futures Commentary SEG-4b: Preparing for Next Earnings Season RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BTKdUS6nh4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "This is Not a Bear Market Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=15oEA1pEwQE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is 70 the New 65? Reshaping Retirement in America," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6DR5m8qL-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarketRally #MarketCorrection #BuySignal #RisingRelativeStrength #BuyTheDip #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketStrategy #Sentiment #Price #FearGreedIndicator #InvestingTips #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
We received lots of email traffic over the weekend about the "next shoe to drop" in the markets: This is NOT a bear market rally. Yes, we had a correction; that correction is now over. Taking a longer view of market action (think: weekly vs daily), we get a better sense of what is going on. We're seeing a lot of improvement from where we were just a couple of months ago. The correction worked off a lot of the over bought conditions. And on a weekly basis, a buy-signal has been triggered. We are now seeing rising relative strength. We will see a correction sometime this summer; it's just a matter of time. That would provide another buying opportunity to add exposure to equities. For investors, the upside potential for the markets outweighs the downside. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=15oEA1pEwQE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarketRally #MarketCorrection #BuySignal #RisingRelativeStrength #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are you waiting for the perfect moment to "buy the dip" but unsure how to spot it? Lance Roberts reveals how to identify smart entry points using technical analysis. From recognizing key support levels and reversal patterns, to understanding what oversold indicators are really telling you, we'll walk you through the tools, charts, and signals that professional investors rely on. Whether you're a seasoned trader or a long-term investor trying to fine-tune your entry, this episode will help you buy with more confidence when markets pull back. Plus, we'll share insights on how to avoid common pitfalls, manage risk, and ride the recovery wave effectively. SEG-1: Market Upsides Outweigh the Downsides SEG-2: How to Know When to Buy the Dip or Not SEG-3: Two Key Tools - Sentiment & Price SEG-4a: Futures Commentary SEG-4b: Preparing for Next Earnings Season RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5BTKdUS6nh4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "Does Consumer Spending Drive Earnings Growth?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/does-consumer-spending-drive-earnings-growth/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "This is Not a Bear Market Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=15oEA1pEwQE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is 70 the New 65? Reshaping Retirement in America," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z6DR5m8qL-Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BearMarketRally #MarketCorrection #BuySignal #RisingRelativeStrength #BuyTheDip #TechnicalAnalysis #StockMarketStrategy #Sentiment #Price #FearGreedIndicator #InvestingTips #MarketTiming #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
The correction that occurred in March and April is now officially over, declares portfolio manager Lance Roberts.He has removed his short positions and thinks the market's bias is to the upside in the immediate term, though he cautions a pullback will happen at some point given how short-term overbought stocks remain.Lance and I also discuss the implications of Elon Musk's recent pushback on the Big Beautiful Bill, as well as the latest mixed jobs data and the concerning decline in consumer sentiment.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#bigbeautifulbill #elonmusk #trump 0:00 - Trump-Musk feud and Big Beautiful Bill5:21 - Congressional spending issues9:42 - Tax cut renewal urgency14:21 - Fiscal responsibility awareness19:20 - Trump-Musk feud's impact21:16 - Market resilience amid uncertainty31:19 - Bull market confirmation34:42 - RIA portfolio performance40:32 - Earnings and consumer spending55:47 - Jobs market mixed signals1:04:25 - Silver breakout and precious metals1:10:10 - Nutrition in medical education1:16:23 - RIA trades and AI/infrastructure thesis1:19:29 - Rant: When to fight back?1:39:55 - Insurance and asset protection1:46:09 - Closing and viewer guidance_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Are investors wrong to assume that rate cuts will automatically tame inflation? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz challenge the belief that the Fed's rate cuts always translate into lower inflation. Using historical data and current economic conditions, we explore how monetary policy really interacts with price pressures—and why rate cuts may actually stoke inflation under the wrong conditions. Specifically, Lance and Mike address the real impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts and inflation, why cutting rates doesn't always reduce inflation, and some lessons from past economic cycles. What today's investors should expect in 2025
Markets rallied in the morning and faded in the afternoon on Wednesday, which was no surprise: Markets are still overbought, wrestling with a momentum sell signal, and futures are flat ahead of Friday's BLS employment report. Markets anticipate the number will be weaker than expected, adding to the trend of weaker economic performance. If that's the case, markets could perform better, interpreting the data to foreshadow a lowering of interest rates sooner than later. (A stronger jobs report could ignite a sell-off, as rate cuts would be expected to be pushed back later in the year.) Markets are very close to all-time highs, with some Wall Street analysts pushing for S&P 7,000 by the end of the year. Similarly, the Mag-7 have come roaring back in the Nasdaq, and that index is also approaching new, all-time highs. Markets may continue to struggle to make gains, unlike the major moves we saw in April, but there's no reason to be negative on markets, presently; expectations for a retracement to recent lows is very slight. "Buy the Dip" should be the function for investors for now. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r8b98kV23Ao&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRally #SP7000 #AmericanExceptionalism #Dollar #Mag7 #MoneyFlows #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Are investors wrong to assume that rate cuts will automatically tame inflation? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz challenge the belief that the Fed's rate cuts always translate into lower inflation. Using historical data and current economic conditions, we explore how monetary policy really interacts with price pressures—and why rate cuts may actually stoke inflation under the wrong conditions. Specifically, Lance and Mike address the real impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts and inflation, why cutting rates doesn't always reduce inflation, and some lessons from past economic cycles. What today's investors should expect in 2025
Is a summer swoon looming in the stock market for 2025? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff explore the historical performance of the S&P 500 and major sectors during the summer months—June through August, and examine whether investors should brace for a seasonal pullback, looking at historical June-to-August returns and volatility trends, what typically drives a summer slowdown in stocks, and sector-by-sector analysis: What holds up best in weak seasonal periods? How do global macroeconomic conditions and slowing growth shape investor behavior? Lance and Danny also discuss how markets listen and absorb news...and adapt. The US is NOT going broke; Lance again discusses the economic benefits of needful government spending on infrastructure projects and the multiplier effect. Danny and Lance also parse a potential bill to ban sitting Congresspersons from investing in markets. SEG-1: Sell in May, or Go Away? SEG-2: Why June Isn't Always a Loser Month for Markets SEG-3: The More Markets Hear, the More They Adapt SEG-4a: Is the US Going Broke? SEG-4b: Should Congress Be Banned from Trading? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55_d45otgA4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Sell in May & Go Away?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k0JoZpN0_40&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Reports of the Death of American Exceptionalism are Greatly Exaggerated," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2B9lqcwx9EU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2063s ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SellInMay #MarketRally #AmericanExceptionalism #Dollar #Mag7 #MoneyFlows #SummerSwoon #StockMarketTrends #MarketForecast #Investing2025 #SeasonalInvesting #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Should you sell in May and go away? Markets have had a strong rally following the sell off in April: Markets were under pressure, over sold, and sentiment got very negative. That sentiment has not totally reverse quite yet, and there is a lot of momentum behind the market presently. Price tends to carry price: As markets begin to rally, like a freight train, it's hard to stop. One thing to keep in mind: Lower returns are not necessarily negative returns. Technically, markets are doing fine, and behind the scenes some bullish activity has been occurring. Money flows have turned positive, and the Mag-7's are doing well again. Hedge funds have been under-weighted, which is being corrected, and that's adding octane; stock buy backs continue to add liquidity to the markets. The markets' consolidation process is actually bullish for investors. A breakout of consolidation will set up for a rally to new, all-time highs. How will that happen amid the falling dollar and the threat of tariffs? Markets tend to do what you don't expect. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k0JoZpN0_40&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SellInMay #MarketRally #AmericanExceptionalism #Dollar #Mag7 #MoneyFlows #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Is America's global leadership really fading? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn reveal the truth behind the “decline of American exceptionalism” narrative, and why the U.S. continues to lead in economic strength, innovation, and global influence. Today's show also features several bonus elements, including a recap of Mrs. Robert's trip to the Vegas Bitcoin Expo and convention robots; an exposition on the alleged death of American Exceptionalism, and a follow-up to the story of Mrs. Roberts' instant pickle recipe. Lance & Jonathan opine with chatroom participants about their first PC's, and Jonathan critiques a ChatGPT-created SWAN Portfolio. Parents have apparently failed an entire generation, if a survey of Google search terms is to be believed; Lance and Jonathan expose homeowner "wilding" as reason enough for HOA's, and Lance closes with the promise of opportunity. And amore focused show tomorrow. SEG-1: Be Careful of Negative Narratives SEG-2a: Convention Robots SEG-2b: The Death of American Exceptionalism SEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Pickles, Pt-2 SEG-3b: First PC's & AI Multipliers SEG-3c: The SWAN Portfolio SEG-4a: Google Searches & Parental Failures SEG-4b: Wilding Homeowners SEG-4c: Opportunities are Coming Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2B9lqcwx9EU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2063s ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Beware of Anti-US Narratives ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T5p7sa_q0rI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Buying Stocks is Always hard," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24ymsN45E9s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AmericanExceptionalism #USEconomicResilience #USGlobalLeadership #AmericasFuture #DebunkTheDecline #Dollar #EmergingMarkets #InternationalMarkets #ForeignCurrency #MoneyFlows #InvestorGreed #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #AprilVolatility #Gold #Dollar #InvestingChallenges #InvestorMindset #BehavioralFinance #Innovation #ArtificialInetlligence #AI #BitCoin #Robots #SWANPortfolio #HomeOwnership #Wilding #HOA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
he Dollar has been under s tremndous amount of pressure, which is enticing some investors to move assets into other currencies. As Dollar has declined we've seen a relative increase in Emerging Markets and International Stocks. The narrative now is that the decline in the Dollar is a decline in American Exceptionalism, so money must move away from US stocks. Be very careful with that notion: A longer view of Emerging Markets and International's will show those asset classes have still not quite made up for losses over the past 5-years. And an impartial look at where economic growth is going to occur in the future shows it's not going to be in Europe or emercing countries. They will benefit from a strong US market to come, but they're not going to be the drivers of innovation and growth. Another long-term view of the Dollar's performance reveals that it is now higher than it was ten-years ago. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video of this report here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T5p7sa_q0rI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025: https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #AmericanExceptionalism #Dollar #EmergingMarkets #InternationalMarkets #ForeignCurrency #MoneyFlows #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Why does the stock market test our patience and nerve? Lance Roberts looks at the psychology of investing, how to master long-term strategies, and ways to navigate market volatility with confidence! Today is National Leave Work Early day...but before you do, make sure to tackle Lance's Monday Mandatory Reading list (links are provided below); Lance shares another tender moment from the Roberts' kitchen, and his essay on why buying stocks is hard any way you look at it (yet investors still do!) and a review of Ten Investing Rules to live and invest by. SEG-1a: National Leave Work Early Day SEG-1b: Wrapping Up May SEG-2: Monday Mandatory Reading List SEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Pickle Recipe SEG-3b: Why Buying Stocks is Hard SEG-4: Ten Investing Rules for Navigating Volatile Markets Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24ymsN45E9s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "6-2-25 Don't Get Greedy," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ClTgBtG0z3g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is This the Year for Your Roth Conversion?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Lv4vPAF638&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestorGreed #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #AprilVolatility #Gold #Dollar #InvestingChallenges #InvestorMindset #BehavioralFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets wrapped the month of May very strongly, despite the choppy performance in the last week of the month. Markets are expected to open slightly lower this morning, and we're expecting more choppy performance. We're still in favor of taking profits, reducing risk, and raising cash while markets are mildly positive for the year. Remember how you felt during April's volatility? If you were uncomfortable, you had too much risk. Don't be greedy. Gold has had a decent corrective cycle; the Dollar is working a consolidation cycle. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video of this report here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ClTgBtG0z3g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestorGreed #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #AprilVolatility #Gold #Dollar #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Why does the stock market test our patience and nerve? Lance Roberts looks at the psychology of investing, how to master long-term strategies, and ways to navigate market volatility with confidence! Today is National Leave Work Early day...but before you do, make sure to tackle Lance's Monday Mandatory Reading list (links are provided below); Lance shares another tender moment from the Roberts' kitchen, and his essay on why buying stocks is hard any way you look at it (yet investors still do!) and a review of Ten Investing Rules to live and invest by. SEG-1a: National Leave Work Early Day SEG-1b: Wrapping Up May SEG-2: Monday Mandatory Reading List SEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts' Pickle Recipe SEG-3b: Why Buying Stocks is Hard SEG-4: Ten Investing Rules for Navigating Volatile Markets Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=24ymsN45E9s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "Buying Stocks Is Always Hard" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/ "The Narratives Change. Markets Don't." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/ "Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again." https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "6-2-25 Don't Get Greedy," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ClTgBtG0z3g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is This the Year for Your Roth Conversion?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Lv4vPAF638&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=17s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestorGreed #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #AprilVolatility #Gold #Dollar #InvestingChallenges #InvestorMindset #BehavioralFinance #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Stocks remain overbought in the near term and a pullback is still likely, due in part to the upcoming blackout period for buybacks -- counsels portfolio manager Lance Roberts.Lance thinks now is a good time to trim positions, lock in gains, and raise cash in advance of the pullback -- and then when it happens -- to 'buy the dip'So get your shopping list ready. Lance shares his near the end of today's video.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#tariffs #corporateearnings #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
Nvidia will open positively this morning following last night's earnings report. The stock's performance has been intriguiing, essentially trading sideways following a phenomenal run over the past four years. And despite claims of the death of AI, etc., etc., Nvidia is poised to set new, all-time highs today. The recent consolidation just allowed for earnings and valuation to "catch up" with the price. Similarlym, the S&P today will be pushing to a new high, confirming recent support actually held. The next move higher will be a test of all-time highs, around 6,130. Markets have recovered about 80% of the declines seen earlier this year. Regardless of the (false) narratives, if you want to make money, you've got to follow what the market is telling you. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video of this report here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_utj49L0G3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CorrectionOver #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
It's “Nvidia Day!” The Big Dog in the Tall Grass for AI reports earnings after the closing bell today. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff delve into the anticipation surrounding Nvidia's upcoming earnings report, set to be released after today's market close. We'll explore market expectations, potential impacts on NVDA stock, and the broader implications for the AI and semiconductor sectors. Also a discussion about the inimitable Mrs. Roberts, and the profound changes AI is poised to wrought on global industries. Is the 4% Rule dead or just being updated? Lance bemoans the bots in our X and YouTube channels, and he and Danny review the changes afoot in advisors' recommendations for retirement savings drawdowns. SEG-1: EOM & Shifting Sentiment SEG-2a: Lance' Wife is Scary SEG-2b: Is AI the Next Leg of Industrial Revolution? SEG-3a: Retirement Income Empowerment teaser SEG-3b: Death of the 4% Rule? SEG-4a: Twitter Bots & Chatrooms SEG-4b: Changing the 4% Rule Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WWSQGN1zFrg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What is the Risk to Nvidia?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6KJCZut3qwU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Anchoring Problem & How to Solve It" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6t41x9fsYv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NvidiaDay #NVDA #NvidiaStock #TechStocks #StockMarketNews #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #AnchoringBias #BehavioralFinance #CognitiveBiases #InvestmentPsychology #SmartInvesting #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Markets enjoyed a nice, 2% rally Tuesday on news of a pause until July on Eurozone tariffs by President Trump. (Remember our article in November 2024 revealing tariffs as NOT inflationary; see link below). Goldman Sachs came out this week admitting as much. Duh. This entire rally has been predicated on the realization that tariffs are not the inflationry boogie man, and not that big of a hit to the economy. It's all economic sticks & carrots by the Trump Administration. Money flows are very elevated to levels that are typically seen at the peaks of market advances, not the beginning. We've come very far, very fast; this is a good time to take some profits out of the market. Money flows into Nvidia since the bottom have been stellar, which has elevated the stock price; Nvidia is up 40% from the low. That's still 14% below its all-time highs, but a 40% gain is not chump-change. So the risk tomorrow, after the company's report tonight, is to the downside, or a very muted upside. Options pricing currently are foretelling a move of 7%, either up or down. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video of this report here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6KJCZut3qwU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MoneyFlows #Nvidia #TrumpTariffs #Inflation #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Discover the hidden influence of anchoring bias on investment decisions and learn actionable strategies to overcome it. Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn share behavioral finance concepts and provide practical solutions for navigating cognitive pitfalls in today's markets. Lance and Jon examine the literal ramifications of anchoring (example: real estate prices); why headlines are to be avoided; Lance's Calculus anecdote; secrets clients don't tell advisors. Lance provides a Nvidia Earnings Preview and a look at building AI factories; how deficit trajectories can be changed by higher industrial output; how much money is lost in corrections; what is your time frame for savings. SEG-1: Waiting on Nvidia SEG-2: Solving the Challenge of Anchoring SEG-3: Headlines are Meaningless SEG-4: Changing the Trajectory of Deficits Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's video on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6t41x9fsYv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mention in this show: "The Anchoring Problem And How To Solve It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-anchoring-problem-and-how-to-solve-it/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Today's the Day to Reduce Risk," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1gbbRIpFRqE ------- Our previous show is here: "Are There Warts on The One Big Beautiful Bill?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HLSBdKV-eO0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=152s ------- Register for our next in-person event, "Retirement Income Empowerment Workshop," June 14, 2025: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2025-05-08/ysxr ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #BuyTheDip #ReduceRisk #RaiseCash #MarketConsolidation #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #200DMA #AnchoringBias #BehavioralFinance #CognitiveBiases #InvestmentPsychology #SmartInvesting #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
Stocks are very overbought in the near term, given how far they've rebounded in recent weeks, warns portfolio manager Lance Roberts.So he thinks a pullback is highly likely here.In fact, it may already have begun.We discuss how low it may go, as well as how high bond yields may go, the impact of the "Big, Beautiful Bill" that just passed in the House, and Lance's firm's recent trades (spoiler alert: he just sold 100% of a Mag 7 position)For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this videoWORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#bonds #marketcorrection #taxcuts _____________________________________________Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.