POPULARITY
In this episode, William Green chats with investing legend Bill Nygren, who oversees about $25 billion at Harris Associates. Bill is the firm's Chief Investment Officer for US Equities & co-manages two flagship mutual funds: Oakmark Select & Oakmark Fund. Here, he discusses the processes, principles, habits & mindset that have enabled him to beat the market over three decades. IN THIS EPISODE YOU'LL LEARN: 00:00 - Intro 05:32 - How Bill Nygren became a contrarian bargain hunter. 18:05 - Why sports gambling companies often refuse to take his bets. 47:56 - What three qualities he seeks in any company. 01:00:05 - How he scored big on Amazon, Google, Apple & Netflix. 01:11:11 - Why he never relaxes his disciplined focus on valuation. 01:16:04 - What he learned from hedge fund star Michael Steinhardt. 01:24:47 - How Bill's team performs “Devil's Advocate Reviews” for each stock. 01:33:55 - Why he developed his “Mistake Management Protocol.” 01:46:51 - How to succeed without ruining your health or your family. 01:46:51 - Why he discourages people from entering the investing business. 01:50:46 - What you must sacrifice to achieve greatness. 01:59:08 - How to succeed by aligning yourself with top-decile people. 02:07:13 - Why value investing isn't dead. Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join Clay and a select group of passionate value investors for a retreat in Big Sky, Montana. Learn more here. Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Bill Nygren's investment firm, Harris Associates. Bill Nygren's funds, Oakmark Select & Oakmark Fund. William Green's book, “The Great Minds of Investing.” William Green's podcast interview with Christopher Begg. William Green's podcast interview with Ray Dalio. William Green's book, “Richer, Wiser, Happier” – read the reviews of this book. Follow William Green on X. Check out all the books mentioned and discussed in our podcast episodes here. Enjoy ad-free episodes when you subscribe to our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Get smarter about valuing businesses in just a few minutes each week through our newsletter, The Intrinsic Value Newsletter. Check out our We Study Billionaires Starter Packs. Follow our official social media accounts: X (Twitter) | LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook | TikTok. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: TIP Finance Tool. Enjoy exclusive perks from our favorite Apps and Services. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the best business podcasts. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors: SimpleMining Hardblock AnchorWatch Unchained Human Rights Foundation Vanta Indeed Fundrise Onramp Netsuite reMarkable Shopify HELP US OUT! Help us reach new listeners by leaving us a rating and review on Spotify! It takes less than 30 seconds, and really helps our show grow, which allows us to bring on even better guests for you all! Thank you – we really appreciate it! Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm
Daniel discusses the fading case for further EU equities outperformance, and the likely rotation into the US.Speaker: - Daniel Lam, Head of Equity Strategy, Standard Chartered BankFor more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.
Daniel discusses the solid non-farm payroll print, the relatively-low positioning in US equities, and key levels in S&P 500 index. Speaker: - Daniel Lam, Head of Equity Strategy, Standard Chartered Bank For more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.
Quantified measures of US trade and economic policy uncertainty are no longer at all-time highs, yet the global growth outlook for the rest of 2025 can still only be judged through a glass darkly. Indigestion of expanded supply in global fixed income markets similarly clouds the appeal of risky assets. Which makes the resilience of equity markets, and particularly the reversal in US stocks back towards all-time highs, all the more impressive. Marija Veitmane, our global head of equity strategy, joins the podcast to discuss whether a resumption of the strength of recent years is coming, whether equities now merit inclusion in the pantheon of safer assets and to what degree institutional investor preferences are behind one of the more remarkable buys of the dip in recent decades.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
After a nightmarish Spring which saw the US stock market bottoming out in April, equities are defying gravity thanks to optimism that a tariff-induced economic meltdown might be averted. Will it be enough to fuel a new record high this month? Dan Koh invites Ray Heung, Senior Investment Strategist, Standard Chartered Bank on the Bigger Picture to discuss the investment case for US equities, how investors should be digesting news of the latest US and China dispute, and why investors might want to pay attention to long-term US bonds today.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Manpreet speaks to Rajat about renewed optimism towards US equity markets, where we see sector opportunities and why we'd consider adding long maturity US government bonds at current yieldsRead our latest Weekly Market View here. Speaker: - Manpreet Gill, CIO of Africa, Middle East & Europe (AME/E) and Head of Fixed Income, Currency and Commodities (FICC) Strategy, Standard Chartered Bank- Rajat Bhattacharya, Senior Investment Strategist, Standard Chartered BankFor more of our latest market insights, visit Market views on-the-go or subscribe to Standard Chartered Wealth Insights on YouTube.
Mark Giambrone, Head of US Equities and Portfolio Manager / Analyst, Barrow Hanley Global Investors discusses why now may be a better time to start scouting for undervalued riskier assets, amid the uncertainty from the tariff environment. Produced/Presented: Ryan HuangSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
In this podcast, Edmund Shing, Global Chief Investment Officer, discusses the potential disconnect between the stock market rebound and the risk of US economic growth slowing down. Stock market rebound and economic reality: Despite a strong 20% rebound in US equities following tariff-related declines, survey data (consumer and business confidence) suggests a sharp slowdown in US economic growth may be ahead—highlighting a disconnect between markets and fundamentals.Mixed economic signals: While sentiment indicators are weak, hard data like retail sales and the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow indicator still point to solid growth (~2.5% in Q2). However, the delayed impact of higher tariffs could weigh on consumption from June onward.Energy prices as a buffer: Falling energy costs (e.g., US gasoline down 16% YoY) are helping to contain inflation and support growth in both the US and Europe, offsetting some inflationary pressure from tariffs.Infrastructure as a standout asset class: Listed infrastructure funds and ETFs are outperforming equities year-to-date, especially in Europe (+21% in EUR). Sub-sectors like electricity networks, clean water, and clean energy are benefiting from policy support and renewed investor interest.Hosted by Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
In today's episode of The Daily Voice, Sam discusses the main headlines from the first day of trading this week, where equities recover into the close following the downgrade from rating agency, Moody's.
This week, the trio is back! We discuss the Trump-China tariff deal, Tyler's structural framework driven by political utility markets, the tax bill, and widening fiscal deficits. We also dig into the repatriation of foreign capital, the yield curve's breaking point, and how AI-driven productivity might justify tech valuations. Enjoy!—Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthompFollow Tyler: https://x.com/Tyler_Neville_Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_incFollow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidanceFollow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidanceForward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx—Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/17yIKpOcGu-wv67vfeKu5I7Lo17hftwgk/view?usp=sharing—Join us at Permissionless IV June 24th - 26th. Use code FG10 for 10% OFF! https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iv—Blockdaemon is the gateway to the decentralized economy, securing over $110B in digital assets for 400+ institutions with blockchain nodes, APIs, MPC wallets and vaults, and staking solutions.Learn more: www.blockdaemon.comArkham is a crypto exchange and a blockchain analytics platform. Arkham allows crypto traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds and most influential players in crypto, and then act on that information.Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworksEligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding.—Timestamps:(00:00) Introduction (01:05) Tyler's Back! (03:53) China Deal & Tyler's Framework (09:56) Inflation & Labor (11:20) Ads (Blockdaemon, Arkham) (12:17) US Trade & Debt Reality (19:58) Generational Repatriation (22:23) MicroStrategy Monetizing Volatility (24:02) Inflation & Capital Controls (27:05) Tax Bill & Deficit Expansion (28:56) Ads (Blockdaemon, Arkham) (30:27) Dollar & Bond Market Breaking (35:32) Stock Flows, Volatility & Sentiment (38:08) US Equities & AI (43:14) Asian Currencies (45:21) New System in Motion (47:07) Short Bond Trade (49:34) Final Thoughts —Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
This week, Miles and David discuss US equities regaining the top position in our asset class rankings, alongside other important indicator changes.
Global equities ended Thursday's trading session mostly higher, with defensive and defence stocks leading the gains while big tech was mostly lower. This came while Walmart's CEO warned yesterday that tariffs would force it to raise prices this year - even after the recent decrease in duties on China - and data included softer US producer prices as well as underwhelming retail sales. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, talks about what this means for bond markets and why he would cut the allocation to higher-risk segments. And Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM Private Banking Geneva, discusses his expectations for a weaker Swiss franc and highlights his preferred currency pair.00:00 Introduction: Helen Freer, Investment Writing00:31 Markets wrap-up: Jan Bopp, Investment Writing06:22 Bond market update: Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research10:49 FX and metals: Tim Gagie, Head of FX/PM PB Geneva15:12 Closing remarks: Helen Freer, Investment WritingWould you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
US equities have been in the wars so far in 2025, but it has not made it a cheap stock market, according to the guests on the latest edition of the FT Adviser podcast.Talib Sheikh, multi-asset investors at Fidelity, Hugh Gimber, market strategist at JPMorgan, and James Thomson, who runs the Rathbones Global Opportunities fund, discussed the outlook for US equities at a time when share prices have fallen, but so have earnings expectations. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Derek Moore talks about airport business as a sign or lack thereof of recessions. Gold makes another all-time high while the safety trade like treasuries and the US dollar aren't working lately. Plus, looking at typical widening of high yield spreads during recessions compared to today. Later, the VIX Index is still not appropriately pricing in historical volatility given the moves again this week in equity markets. Also, surveys of economists are up to 45% probability of recession in the next 12 months although short of the 60%+ probability in late 2022 and early 2023 so why should we even consider them? Finally, how fund managers were overly long US Equities in December but now after the selloff they are saying they may reduce US equities. A little late no and how even professionals may react, panic, or be influenced by prevailing sentiment. Gold all-time high US Dollar and US Treasuries get correlated with US equities and weren't the safe havens The airport crowdedness indicator of recessions? Fundamental EPS estimates are down a little but not much so far so what are they waiting for? Big earnings week including Tesla and Google (Alphabet) Fund manager surveys show they were overly long US equities before the selloff Fund manager surveys also show as equities are in drawdown, they are thinking of selling High Yield spreads not showing recession levels of widening currently Typical high yield spread during recessions is 1000 basis points plus How economists tend to crowd together in their predicting recessions VIX Index implied volatility (expected) vs actual volatility (historical) Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com
Trevor welcomes Julian Brigden once again to discuss the current economic climate, focusing on the implications of central bank independence, the fragility of the U.S. economy, and the impact of global trade dynamics. They explore the potential consequences of U.S. tariffs, the future of U.S. treasuries, and the behavior of retail investors in the market. The discussion also touches on the vulnerabilities in the bond market, the role of gold as a safe haven, and how individuals can prepare for economic changes.This episode of Mining Stock Daily is brought to you by... Vizsla Silver is focused on becoming one of the world's largest single-asset silver producers through the exploration and development of the 100% owned Panuco-Copala silver-gold district in Sinaloa, Mexico. The company consolidated this historic district in 2019 and has now completed over 325,000 meters of drilling. The company has the world's largest, undeveloped high-grade silver resource. Learn more at https://vizslasilvercorp.com/Calibre Mining is a Canadian-listed, Americas focused, growing mid-tier gold producer with a strong pipeline of development and exploration opportunities across Newfoundland & Labrador in Canada, Nevada and Washington in the USA, and Nicaragua. With a strong balance sheet, a proven management team, strong operating cash flow, accretive development projects and district-scale exploration opportunities Calibre will unlock significant value.https://www.calibremining.com/Integra is a growing precious metals producer in the Great Basin of the Western United States. Integra is focused on demonstrating profitability and operational excellence at its principal operating asset, the Florida Canyon Mine, located in Nevada. In addition, Integra is committed to advancing its flagship development-stage heap leach projects: the past producing DeLamar Project located in southwestern Idaho, and the Nevada North Project located in western Nevada. Learn more about the business and their high industry standards over at integraresources.com
In this episode of the Market Bites podcast, the team break down the latest in US equities, diving deep into whether we've seen the market bottom—or if more turbulence lies ahead. The trio discusses crucial indicators like the VIX, earnings guidance, and inflation data, while also exploring investor psychology, sector rotation, and lessons from historical market cycles. From macroeconomic trends to technical signals, this episode is a must-listen for anyone navigating today's volatile financial landscape.
MRKT Matrix - Monday, April 14th Stocks Rise in choppy trading (CNBC) Auto stocks rise as Trump says he wants to ‘help' some car companies (CNBC) Fed Governor Waller sees tariff inflation as ‘transitory' in ‘tush push' comparison (CNBC) Citigroup Turns Cold on US Equities, Joining Wall Street Peers (Bloomberg) OPEC Cuts Oil Demand Forecasts This Year and Next Amid Trade War (Bloomberg) More than 60% of CEOs expect a recession in the next 6 months as tariff turmoil grows, survey says (CNBC) Bank Trading Bonanza to Continue After Record Ahead of Tariffs (Bloomberg) Nvidia to Make AI Supercomputers Entirely in U.S. (WSJ) Trump's Trade War Is Threatening to Derail the Office-Market Recovery (WSJ) --- Subscribe to our newsletter: https://riskreversalmedia.beehiiv.com/subscribe MRKT Matrix by RiskReversal Media is a daily AI powered podcast bringing you the top stories moving financial markets Story curation by RiskReversal, scripts by Perplexity Pro, voice by ElevenLabs
What will higher-than-expected tariffs mean for markets – and where are the opportunities now? Shawn Tuteja, who oversees ETF and custom baskets volatility trading within Goldman Sachs Global Banking & Markets, shares his outlook with Chris Hussey. This episode was recorded on April 3, 2025. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The fall in US over the last two months stands in stark contrast to the market performance at the start of President Donald Trump's first term in office and has been the worst total return for the S&P 500 at this point of a presidency since George W Bush's first term. Chris Holdsworth, Chief Investment Strategist, Investec Wealth & Investment International, looks at how markets have performed so far this year. Investec Focus Radio SA
The US stock market fell for the third day in a row on Friday – the 2nd worst day for US equities in 2025 due to tariffs expected this week and hotter than anticipated inflation numbers.The Dow fell -1.69% to 41,538 points, ending the week with a loss of -0.96%. 26 of the Dow 30 closed in the red.Amazon was the worst among them, falling -4.29%, alongside fell consumer stock Nike which fell -3.81%.
After falling 10% from the highs, the US equity market seems to be at a standstill. What will determine the next move, and how are the biggest investors positioning now? John Flood, Head of Americas Equities Sales Trading, discusses with Chris Hussey on the Goldman Sachs trading floor. This episode was recorded on March 27, 2025. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
This week, Ian Saunders and Jamie West review movement outside of domestic equities and highlight specific areas of momentum.
This week, news headlines around the Trump Tariffs continued, with President Donald Trump announcing a 25% tariff on all cars and parts that are not built or produced in the US. US consumer and business confidence are taking a hit, so where does this leave you and your investment decisions?In this week's wrap, Grady covers:(0:11): how the Trump Tariffs impact investors(1:59): why copper prices hit a fresh record high(3:52): the impact on US consumer & business confidence(4:54): how the ASX200 performed this week so far(5:37): the most traded stocks & ETFs by Bell Direct clients(6:05): economic news items to watch out for next week.
Central banks adopted a cautious tone on monetary policy, driving gold to a new high last week. The EUR suffered a 'sell the news' reaction following the announcement of Germany's spending plans. President Trump's comments on tariff flexibility provided a boost to the S&P 500 late on Friday. Looking ahead, this week promises to be eventful, with over 50 corporate results from China, and Ukraine peace talks. Investors will be closely watching Friday's US PCE inflation data. According to Mensur Pocinci, Head of Technical Analysis, a sustained rebound in US stocks will require broad-based buying and a shift in behaviour from retail investors - refraining from buying every dip in the market.00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)00:28 Markets wrap-up by Mike Rauber (Investment Writing)06:28 Technical Analysis update by Mensur Pocinci (Head of Technical Analysis)08:23 Closing remarks by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or your favourite podcast player.
In today's episode of The Daily Voice, Sam reviews last week's trade where the S&P 500 snapped its 4-week losing streak as we head into the last full trading week of Q1. Sam also discusses retail traders buying Tesla stock in bulk, and what economic data highlights are worth focussing on for the next few days.
In today's episode of The Daily Voice, Sam reviews Wednesday's trade which included a rate decision from the Federal Reserve where they decided to keep interest rates unchanged. Sam goes onto preview the day ahead, discussing whether the Bank of England will also follow suit can be keep rate on hold.
What's driving US stocks lower, and is this a buying opportunity for investors – or are there better opportunities in global markets? Rich Privorotsky, head of European One Delta Trading in Goldman Sachs Global Banking & Markets, discusses with Chris Hussey. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
After rising in the wake of the US election, valuations of US small-cap stocks have marked a pause. Geoff Dailey, Head of US Equities, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris he expects the new US administration's focus on manufacturing in the US to boost market sentiment.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted by Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
In today's episode of The Daily Voice, Sam discuss a sell-off for European bonds, Oil hitting a multi-month low, Bitcoin climbing back above $90k, and US Equities having a good day.
Market movements this week were characterised by turbulence in US equities. The ASX200 declined 0.95% Monday to Thursday, with the energy sector weighing down on the market the most, followed by consumer staples and utilities. In this week's wrap, Sophia covers: (0:45): why defensive stocks have outperformed (2:11): shifts in global currency markets(2:29): the surge in optimism surrounding the Euro(3:16): how the ASX200 performed this week so far (3:44): the most traded stocks & ETFs by Bell Direct clients (4:08): economic news items to watch out for.
There are rising concerns about the US economy, from weakening consumer numbers to worries about employment. This may explain why US markets have lagged global markets this year, as expected weaker economic growth translates into softer earnings. Chris Holdsworth, Chief Investment Strategist, Investec Wealth & Investment International, shares his views. Investec Focus Radio SA
Michael Oliver, CEO and founder of Momentum Structural Analysis, joins me to share how he sees the technical momentum setup in gold, silver, US general equities, precious metals stocks via the XAU index, the US dollar, bonds / interest rates, and commodities. We start off getting his technical outlook on gold and silver; where Michael postulates that when the US general equities really start to roll over, that a portion of investors will rotate funds into gold, silver, and the PM equities. In addition to remaining constructive on gold, where dips should be bought, Michael points out that the setup in silver and the precious metals equities are setting up to make a bigger breakout versus gold, and he is also keeping a close eye on the gold to silver ratio. We then shifted over to the nuances and difference in what the pricing chart in the S&P 500 or Nasdaq was showing versus the picture shaping up in them momentum framework. Michael is anticipating a correction and cooling off in US general equities, but notes it doesn't need to be a sudden crash, but really more of a protracted bear market in US equities. Despite this future bearish backdrop for US equities, he still sees the pathway forward where gold and silver equities can attract a bid, from money rotating out of stocks into the precious metals complex overall due to rising underlying metals prices. He points to periods of times in late 1970s where we had a similar setup of market forces, and points out the XAU index has been both outperforming the US equities and even Gold for some time, even if GDX hasn't quite performed as well. We then move into his analysis of the US dollar and trends in interest rates and bonds. He points to the potential to see bonds get a short to medium term bid along with gold as safe havens outside of the general equities, for investors want to diversify some exposure into these asset classes, but that longer-term he still remains bearish on the larger pattern playing out in bonds. Wrapping up we take a look at the commodities sector through the lens of the Bloomberg commodities index, noting the commodities haven't tracked with gold thus far, but that may about to be ready to change where commodities pick up some of the money rotation bid as well. In particular, Michael is constructive on the soft commodities and grains complex, as well as fertilizers, farmland, and related agricultural sectors. He believes that a second major leg higher in commodities complex is setting up. Click here to follow along with Michael Oliver's work
In the iconic "Sell me this pen" scene from "The Wolf of Wall Street," the art of sales is brilliantly encapsulated by the need to first understand what the client truly desires. This approach emphasizes that successful salesmanship begins with identifying and addressing the specific needs and wants of the client, be it a pen, a car, a house, or even an option based systematic strategies on US Equities.In this episode of 2050 Investors, Kokou delves into the duality of selling as both an art and a science. Far from the realm of fantasy, salespeople bring a unique blend of creativity and expertise to the world of banking.Join us as we explore different sales techniques from AIDA to SPIN, the evolution of sales strategies over the decades, the nuanced dynamics of the salesperson's role, and the qualities that define the best in the business. We also highlight the essential steps in the sales process and the critical role of salespeople in the financial markets.Later, Kokou sits down with Yann Garnier, Head of Sales for Global Markets at Societe Generale, to gain his unique insights into the importance of understanding time - both linear and cyclical - in building authentic client relationships across cultures and geographies, the impact of artificial intelligence, and the future of the sales profession.Whether you're a seasoned professional or new to the world of sales, this episode offers valuable lessons and perspectives on building lasting customer relationships that you're unlikely to find in a traditional playbook.About this showWelcome to 2050 Investors, your monthly guide to understanding the intricate connections between finance, globalisation, and ESG.Join host Kokou Agbo-Bloua, Head of Economics, Cross-Asset & Quant Research at Societe Generale, for an exploration of the economic and market megatrends shaping the present and future, and how these trends might influence our progress to meeting 2050's challenging global sustainability targets.In each episode, Kokou deep-dives into the events impacting the economy, financial markets, the planet, and society. Through a magical blend of personal anecdotes, in-depth research and narratives overlaid with music, sound effects, and pop culture references, there's certainly something for everyone.Kokou also interviews industry-leading experts, personalities, entrepreneurs and even Nobel prize winners! You will learn from the best on a wide range of subjects on current affairs, market shifts, and economic developments.If you like 2050 Investors, please leave a five-star review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Your support will help us spread the word and reach new audiences. If you're seeking a brief and entertaining overview of market-related topics and their business and societal implications, subscribe now to stay informed!Previous episodes of 2050 Investors have explored ESG, climate change, AI, greenflation, globalization, plastic pollution, food, healthcare, biodiversity and more.CreditsPresenter & Writer: Kokou Agbo-Bloua. Editors: Vincent Nickelsen, Jovaney Ashman, Linda Isker & Jennifer Krumm. Production Designer: Emmanuel Minelle, Radio K7 Creative. Executive Producer : Fanny Giniès. Sound Director: Marc Valenduc. Music: Rone. Graphic Design: Cédric Cazaly.Whilst the following podcast discusses the financial markets, it does not recommend any particular investment decision. If you are unsure of the merits of any investment decision, please seek professional advice.Hosted by Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
Join the Chief Investment Office for a discussion on the executive order Trump signed over the weekend to impose additional tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, the implications for investors, and more. The event is hosted by Amantia Muhedini and features David Lefkowitz, Head of US Equities, Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy, and John Savercool, Head of Governmental Affairs US.
Web3 Academy: Exploring Utility In NFTs, DAOs, Crypto & The Metaverse
Today on The Milk Road Show, we welcome macro specialist Jonny Matthews (ex-Brevan Howard, portfolio manager of $500M) to discuss the global economic landscape and its impact on your investments. Is the US economy too strong? Can crypto thrive in a world of persistent inflation? Jonny shares his contrarian views on where capital is flowing and why the next six months are critical. ~~~~~
In this week's roundup, senior writer and Money Distilled author John Stepek speaks with Opinion columnist Marcus Ashworth. They discuss what Trump’s tariff threats mean for your money, gold's surge, and why there’s more to equities than just US stocks. Marcus's latest column: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-02-03/trump-tariffs-ecb-dithers-while-euro-economy-flatlines See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Jay Pelosky is the founder of TPW Advisory. He has over 35 years of buy-side and sell-side financial market experience. Before going independent, Jay was at Morgan Stanley, where he was ranked #1 by Institutional Investor in Global Equity Strategy and Global Asset Allocation Strategy. In this podcast, we discuss how US, Europe and Asia are fighting over AI, climate and defence, fiscal capacity matters for growth stories, global equity bull market still in play, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights: https://macrohive.com/home-prime/ https://twitter.com/Macro_Hive https://www.linkedin.com/company/macro-hive
Unlock the secrets of strategic investing with Phil Wool from Reliant Global Advisors as he shares how machine learning is revolutionizing portfolio management by focusing on individual company analysis over macroeconomic speculation. Gain insights into the current dynamics of US equities as they navigate through expectations of a soft landing and the Federal Reserve's cautious stance. Explore the complexities of how policy volatility and tariff changes can shape market sentiment and investment opportunities.Discover why emerging markets remain sensitive to US Federal Reserve policies and how a mix of policy uncertainty and insufficient Chinese stimulus is impacting global economic outlooks. Phil discusses the potential overstatements in market valuations due to US tariffs and our active management strategies that have consistently outperformed benchmarks, thanks to a multi-factor approach. Learn how active management, particularly within our US funds, is crucial for navigating market volatility and capitalizing on valuation, quality, and governance insights.Delve into the promising tech sector opportunities in emerging markets, with a focus on tech-heavy regions like Korea and Taiwan. As we highlight the growth dynamics in China's market and the challenges faced by other emerging regions, Phil explains the role of active stock picking and quantitative scoring in identifying underappreciated growth prospects. From our Japan ETF collaboration to the transformative impact of AI, this episode is packed with strategies for harnessing emerging market potential and optimizing your global equity portfolio.DISCLAIMER – PLEASE READ: This is a sponsored episode for which Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC has been paid a fee. Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in the episode or make any representation as to its quality. All statements and expressions provided in this episode are the sole opinion of Columbia Threadneedle and Lead-Lag Publishing, LLC expressly disclaims any responsibility for action taken in connection with the information provided in the discussion. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the partToday's sponsor is CBDX, home of premium, legal THC gummies. Perfect for relaxation, creativity, or unwinding after a long day, these delicious gummies deliver the quality you can trust. With fast discreet shipping and great flavors, CBDX makes enjoying THC easy and hassle-free.Visit CBDX.com and use code LEADLAG to save on your first order! Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:
In this episode, Jonny Matthews joins the show to discuss Fed policy and its impact on yields, US productivity, and resilience in the labor market. We also delve into the Trump Administration's potential impact on markets, the outlook for US equities, and much more. Enjoy! __ Follow Jonny Matthews: https://x.com/super_macro Super Macro: https://super-macro.com/ Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.co/G7Ljv4x5Dp — Join us at Digital Asset Summit 2025 March 18th - 20th. Use code FG10 for 10% off general admission! https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york — SKALE is the next evolution in Layer 1 blockchains with a gas-free invisible user experience, instant finality, high speed, and robust security. SKALE is built different as it allows for limitless scalability and has already saved its 46 Million users over $9 Billion in gas fees. SKALE is high-performance and cost-effective, making it ideal for compute-intensive applications like AI, gaming, and consumer-facing dApps. Learn more at skale.space and stay up to date with the gas-free invisible blockchain on X at @skalenetwork GlobalStake delivers institutional-grade staking with self-owned, SOC2-certified bare-metal infrastructure, carbon-negative operations, and comprehensive security. Enjoy competitive pricing, decentralized operations, and slashing insurance backed by top-rated carriers. Learn more at globalstake.io — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:11) No Recession Call (04:04) Fed Meeting (06:43) Fed Policy & Era Of Higher Rates (10:27) US Vs Global Productivity (14:27) Global Growth Outlook (17:12) Inflation Overview (22:35) Income & Consumption Disparities (25:36) Impact Of Fed Policy (29:20) Ads (30:33) Labor Market Overview (35:42) Trump's Potential Immigration Policy (38:12) Fading DOGE, Deregulation, & Tariffs (40:25) SOFR, Term Premium, & Central Bank Policy (47:42) Risk Assets & US Equities (50:52) Fed Gilt Crisis Moment? (52:33) Alternative Assets (55:05) Euro & US Dollar (57:10) Learn More About Jonny's Work __ Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
While European equity markets rose in yesterday's trading, their US counterparts had a rough day as the latest economic data added to speculation that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged this month amid inflationary pressures. This pushed Treasury yields higher across the curve, with traders no longer fully pricing in a Fed rate cut before July. Dario Messi, Head of Fixed Income Research, tells us why he would tactically take the opportunity to close any duration gap, but would still avoid excessive duration at this stage.00:00 Introduction by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)00:31 Markets wrap-up by Jan Bopp (Investment Writing)05:40 Starting the year with higher bond yields: Dario Messi (Head of Fixed Income Research)11:00 Closing remarks by Bernadette Anderko (Investment Writing)Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
On this episode of the Petika Wealth Management Group Podcast, we dive into the key trends, challenges, and opportunities shaping the stock market and economy in the year ahead. From interest rate policies and inflation to global economic shifts and sector-specific outlooks, we break down what investors and business should anticipate. Joining us to discuss these topics is David Lefkowitz, CFA, Head of US Equities in CIO Global Wealth Management.
Sean Brodrick, Editor of Wealth Megatrends and contributing analyst to Weiss Ratings Daily, joins us to unpack the ongoing euphoria in the post-election “Trump Trade,” which has seen strong buying in US equities, but we wonder how much is already priced to perfection before the new administration even gets going in January of next year. We also discuss how the strong US Dollar may eventually roll over and start to weaken again in the year to come, and how that could be a driver of investment capital into gold and gold equities. Rounding out the discussion we also review many of the tailwinds for nuclear energy that are giving a boost to both uranium equities, small modular reactor stocks, enrichment stocks, and potential ties in with utility companies. Click here to follow along with Sean's work at Weiss Ratings Daily and Wealth Megatrends Click here to learn more about Resource Trader
In this episode, the Data Assets & Alpha Group review recent U.S. equity strength and discuss the potential for a further rally into year-end. They discuss implications of the U.S. elections, recent macro and micro data and sectors which look to offer better risk / reward. They also discuss the relative underperformance of European equities and the risk / reward in China. Andrew Tyler, head of Global Market Intelligence, and Federico Manicardi, head of International Market Intelligence, are in discussion with Eloise Goulder, head of the Global Data Assets & Alpha Group. Note that this discussion follows episodes released on: July '24 – US Equities at All-Time Highs Jun '24 – An Underperformance in European Equities This episode was recorded on November 19, 2024. The views expressed in this podcast may not necessarily reflect the views of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co and its affiliates (together “J.P. Morgan”), they are not the product of J.P. Morgan's Research Department and do not constitute a recommendation, advice, or an offer or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument. This podcast is intended for institutional and professional investors only and is not intended for retail investor use, it is provided for information purposes only. Referenced products and services in this podcast may not be suitable for you and may not be available in all jurisdictions. J.P. Morgan may make markets and trade as principal in securities and other asset classes and financial products that may have been discussed. For additional disclaimers and regulatory disclosures, please visit: www.jpmorgan.com/disclosures/salesandtradingdisclaimer. For the avoidance of doubt, opinions expressed by any external speakers are the personal views of those speakers and do not represent the views of J.P. Morgan.
With the end of 2024 six weeks away and 2025 dawning with the promise of wide-ranging changes under a new US administration as well as further key interest rate cuts, what are the chances that US equities will continue to stand out? Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insights Centre, and Christian Fay, Senior Portfolio Manager for US and Global Equities in Boston, discuss these and other questions in this week's edition.For more insights, visit Viewpoint: https://viewpoint.bnpparibas-am.com/Download the Viewpoint app: https://onelink.to/tpxq34Follow us on LinkedIn: https://bnpp.lk/amHosted by Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy for more information.
John Savercool, Head of Governmental Affairs US, David Lefkowitz, Head of US Equities, and Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income provide our initial reaction to the current vote count, equity and fixed income markets moves, and more.
Ben Carrier, Vice President of US Equities at Vaughan Nelson, recaps the Small Cap Value strategy's 3rd Quarter of 2024.
This week we discuss the split odds between a 25 and 50 basis point cut at the Fed's next meeting, market cutting cycle dynamics, and the rotation from growth to value. We also delve into the latest inflation data, rising labor productivity, and the outlook for crypto Enjoy! – Follow Ram: https://x.com/ramahluwalia Follow Quinn: https://x.com/qthomp Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin – Weekly Roundup Charts: https://drive.google.com/drive/u/0/folders/1XMVpZ672sX1qJV-admNYvznOPFXR737S – Polkadot is the foundation for an open and resilient web. Governed by its users, Polkadot empowers the largest DAO of 1.3M DOT holders to shape the network's future. Home to 500+ apps and chains backed by $6B in shared security, Polkadot is revolutionizing DeFi, GameFi, AI, RWAs, and more. With upgrades like Async Backing, Agile Coretime, Elastic Scaling, and JAM on the horizon, now's the time to join. Start your journey today at polkadot.com/get-started MANTRA is a purpose-built RWA Layer 1 blockchain capable of adherence and enforcement of real world regulatory requirements. As a permissionless chain, MANTRA empowers developers and institutions to seamlessly participate in the evolving RWA tokenization space by offering advanced tech modules, compliance mechanisms, and cross-chain interoperability. Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/ – Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii – Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (02:22) Ram's Background (03:26) 25 Bps vs 50 Bps (08:42) Inflation Data (11:01) The Economy Is Okay (12:36) Fed Opening the Door to 50 Bps Cut (16:08) Parsing the Economic Data (18:12) Labor Productivity (20:27) Ads (21:44) Chinese Economy & Red Flags (28:08) US Equities (32:02) Growth Vs Value (34:31) Factor Market (36:34) Market Rotation (44:24) Permissionless Ad (45:02) Narratives Driving Markets (48:21) Digital Assets (54:49) Bitcoin & Crypto Price Action (59:05) Hot Money Rotation (01:00:37) Cutting Cycle Dynamics – Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
Our Head of Corporate Credit Research shares four reasons that he believes credit spreads are likely to stay near their current lows.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, today I'll be talking about why being negative credit isn't as obvious as it looks, despite historically low spreads.It's Friday, July 19th at 2pm in London.We're constructive on credit. We think the asset class likes moderation, and that's exactly what Morgan Stanley forecasts expect: moderate growth, moderating inflation and moderating policy rates. Corporate activity is also modest; and even though it's picking up, we haven't yet seen the really aggressive types of corporate behavior that tend to make bondholders unhappy. Meanwhile, demand for the asset class is strong, and we think the start of Fed rate cuts in September could make it even stronger as money comes out of money market funds, looking to lock in current interest rates for longer in all sorts of bonds – including corporate bonds. And so while spreads are low by historical standards, our call is that helpful fundamentals and demand will keep them low, at least for the time being. But the question of credit's valuation is important. Indeed, one of the most compelling bearish arguments in credit is pretty straightforward: current spreads are near some of their lowest levels of several prior cycles. They've repeatedly struggled to go lower. And if they can't go lower, positioning for spreads to go wider and for the market to go weaker, well, it would seem like pretty good risk/reward. This is an extremely fair question! But there are four reasons why we think the case to be negative isn't as straightforward as this logic might otherwise imply.First, a historical quirk of credit valuations is that spreads rarely trade at long-run average. They are often either much wider, in times of stress, or much tighter, in periods of calm. In statistical terms, spreads are bi-modal – and in the mid 1990s or mid 2000's, they were able to stay near historically tight levels for a pretty extended period of time. Second, work by my colleague Vishwas Patkar and our US Credit Strategy team notes that, if you make some important adjustments to current credit spreads, for things like quality, bond price, and duration, current spreads don't look quite as rich relative to prior lows. Current investment grade spreads in the US, for example, may still be 20 basis points wider than levels of January 2020, right before the start of COVID. Third, a number of the key buyers of corporate bonds at the moment are being driven by the level of yields, which are still high rather than spread, which are admittedly low. That could mean that demand holds up better even in the face of lower spreads. And fourth, credit is what we'd call a positive carry asset class: sellers lose money if nothing in the market changes. That's not the case for US Treasuries, or US Equities, where those who are negative – or short – will profit if the market simply moves sideways. It's one more factor that means that, while spreads are low, we're mindful that being negative too early can still be costly. It's not as simple as it looks. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.
In this episode, the group discuss risk / reward for US equities following a further leg higher and S&P500 hitting fresh all time highs (ATHs). They discuss fundamental drivers of the rally, market leadership, and the extent to which investor positioning has risen. They also discuss risk / reward for equities as we head into Q2 earnings season, and sectors where the fundamental and positioning backdrop are looking more compelling. Andrew Tyler, Head of US Market Intelligence, and John Schlegel, Head of Global Positioning Intelligence, are in discussion with Eloise Goulder, Head of the Global Data Assets & Alpha Group. This episode was recorded on July 9, 2024. The views expressed in this podcast may not necessarily reflect the views of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co and its affiliates (together “J.P. Morgan”), they are not the product of J.P. Morgan's Research Department and do not constitute a recommendation, advice, or an offer or a solicitation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument. This podcast is intended for institutional and professional investors only and is not intended for retail investor use, it is provided for information purposes only. Referenced products and services in this podcast may not be suitable for you and may not be available in all jurisdictions. J.P. Morgan may make markets and trade as principal in securities and other asset classes and financial products that may have been discussed. For additional disclaimers and regulatory disclosures, please visit: www.jpmorgan.com/disclosures/salesandtradingdisclaimer. For the avoidance of doubt, opinions expressed by any external speakers are the personal views of those speakers and do not represent the views of J.P. Morgan.
Three big things you need to know: First, we are lifting our YE 2024 S&P 500 price target to 5,700 from 5,300, which we would characterize as a nervous raise. Second, we think the risks of a short-term pullback in the S&P 500 are growing, similar to what occurred in April. Third, on positioning, we think it will be tough for the US equity market to see a sustainable leadership transition away from mega cap Growth until we are through the economic soft patch.