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Best podcasts about exchange commission sec

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Latest podcast episodes about exchange commission sec

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
The Investor's Dilemma: Ride The Bubble Or Seek Safety? | Peter St Onge

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 20, 2025 111:56


Suddenly signs of systemic stress are cropping up all around us.In the public debt markets, credit spreads are on the rise after years of dormancy. In the private credit markets, defaults and counter party risk concerns have moved to the forefront.Volatility has returned to the stock market as doubts of AI spending sustainability mount.And worldwide, suspicions of fiat currency debasement are going mainstream.Where is all this headed?To discuss, we're fortunate to welcome macro, markets and monetary analyst Peter St Onge to the programWORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#aibubble #recession #economy _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Stephanie Pomboy: Is This The Breaking Point?

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 19, 2025 68:09


Macro analyst Stephanie Pomboy returns to discuss rising market volatility, record gold & silver prices, concerning failures in the private credit industry & other signs of rising systemic stress.We talked about the growing stresses becoming increasingly evident in the AI ecosystem, private credit, sovereign debt (Japan), the jobs market, Bitcoin and elsewhere in society and the financial system.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#gold #marketcorrection #artificialintelligence _____________________________________________Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Recession Warning: The Real Economy Is 'Very, Very, Very Weak' | Craig Fuller @FreightWaves ​

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 18, 2025 68:40


The freight industry has long been thought of the circulatory system of the economy.It's how the things bought & sold through commerce get from point A to point B in the real world. Historically, when trucking frieght loads diminish, it's usually correlated with a weakening economy. And if it gets bad enough, a recession.Today's guest is Craig Fuller of Freightwaves, price reporting agency (PRA) focused on the global freight market and the leading provider of high-frequency data for the global supply chain.He recently released a prediction that the US freight trucking industry is about to experience "the largest capacity purge in history"We'll ask him what that means for the economy, as well as the hundreds of thousands of workers he expects to be impacted by it.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#recession #trucking #freight _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Business Pants
Larry Summers distraction, SNAP governance, and Eli Lily's David Ricks outs himself

Business Pants

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 18, 2025 46:15


MAGAISM/BRO CULTURE CRONYISM/CEOs RULE!/ELONISMI am deeply ashamed': Larry Summers to step back from public commitments after new Epstein emails Senator Elizabeth Warren: “[Summers] cannot be trusted to advise our nation's politicians, policymakers and institutions — or teach a generation of students at Harvard or anywhere else.”And an unidentified Trump administration official told Politico that companies and organizations should end their association with Summers.The former Treasury secretary, along with Bill Clinton and the Democratic megadonor Reid Hoffman, are among the Democratic figures whom the Justice Department is investigating over Epstein ties — at President Trump's behest.Economist Warns That Trump's Investments in the Tech Industry Could Crash the Whole EconomyItalian economist Mariana Mazzucato, a University College London economics professor:“I think the kind of capitalism Trump has is crony capitalism.”“I would describe crony capitalism as Mafia-like. You're showing your upper hand. You're handing out favors to some. But then divide and conquer. Picking and choosing without a particular strategy.”She argues that the Intel deal is poorly designed because it doesn't have any conditions to incentivize the company to be build new products, while the government simply acts as a passive investor.All SNAP recipients required to reapply as Trump admin cracks down on fraud: 'Business as usual is over'‍ ‍SEC to Allow Companies to Block Shareholder ProposalsThe U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced that it will not express opinions to requests from companies asking to exclude shareholder proposals from their proxy voting materials during the 2025-2026 proxy season, effectively allowing companies to avoid voting on issues proposed by investors such as climate, sustainability and diversity at annual meetings. Elon Musk is set to make more than every U.S. elementary teacher combinedWashing Post: BezosWhite nationalist talking points and racial pseudoscience: welcome to Elon Musk's Grokipedia: World's richest person wanted to ‘purge' propaganda from Wikipedia, so he created a compendium of racist disinformationSTAKEHOLDERS RULE!‘We've probably made housing unaffordable for a whole generation of Americans': top real-estate CEO on the real cost of Covid economic firefightingSean Dobson, CEO of The Amherst GroupFord CEO says he has 5,000 open mechanic jobs with 6-figure salaries from the shortage of manually skilled workers: ‘We are in trouble in our country' CEO James D. Farley, Jr: $24,861,866; 253:1.Ford Family Executive Chair William Clay Ford, Jr. 20,379,912; 207:1$519,845 for personal use of aircraft$1,394,538 for securityEOnly 16% of Large Companies on Track for Net ZeroMissing at U.N.'s Climate Meeting: American ExecutivesWOKE DATADisney ditches 'diversity' and 'DEI' in business report for the first time since 2019Nearly half of LGBTQ characters AXED from TV amid Trump-era rollback of woke DEI initiativesAccording to Deadline, around 41% of the 489 LGBTQ characters that were on the small screen this year will not return due to series cancellations and endings.AIJeff Bezos is putting $6.2 billion—and himself as co-CEO—behind a new AI startupProject PrometheusVik Bajaj: StanfordOpenAI accused of ‘consistent and dangerous pattern' rushing product to market that is ‘inherently unsafe or lacking in needed guardrails'The nonprofit Public Citizen is now demanding OpenAI withdraw Sora 2 from the public, writing in a letter to the company and CEO Sam Altman that the app's hasty release so that it could launch ahead of competitors shows a “consistent and dangerous pattern of OpenAI rushing to market with a product that is either inherently unsafe or lacking in needed guardrails.”Sora 2, the letter says, shows a “reckless disregard” for product safety, as well as people's rights to their own likeness and the stability of democracy.OpenAI didn't immediately respond to a request for comment.In the age of AI, CEOs quietly signal that layoffs are a badge of honorPeople Are Having AI “Children” With Their AI Partners‍ ‍Eli Lilly CEO says he has 'at least 1 or 2 AIs running' during every meeting he's in David Ricks: Ricks said he doesn't like OpenAI's ChatGPT for science-related questions — "It's too verbal," he said. Instead, he prefers Anthropic's Claude and xAI's Grok.Still, he has to be careful to watch for hallucinations, an issue the frontier model companies are still trying to tamp down.The CEO of $2.2 billion AI company Turing can't live without ChatGPT, swears by his Kindle, and has only taken 2 weeks of vacation in 7 yearsJonathan Siddharth; StanfordSTUPIDThe CFO Centre names Natalie Garfield as new CFOHeinz goes all-in on Thanksgiving leftovers with squeezable turkey gravy

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Stock Market Now Hostage To Passive Capital Flows | Mike Green

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 16, 2025 107:57


When you're uncertain, they say to seek the counsel of those smarter than you.Well, amongst the many experts I interview on this channel, Michael Green is definitely in the top cohort intellectual horsepower-wise.Mike is portfolio manager & chief strategist at Simplify Asset Management which holds over $6 billion in client assets.And today, we'll tap his latest thinking on the stock market, the credit markets, the economy, and whatever else 2026 holds for investors that he thinks important.Mike's research convinces him that passive capital flows are the single greatest factor that determine where any given stock -- and the overall indices, too -- will head.So, what's his outlook for those passive flows?Watch this video to find out.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#passiveinvesting #capitalflows #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Stocks Becoming More Volatile Due To Growing Liquidity Shortfall | Michael Lebowitz

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 15, 2025 112:48


Volatility returned to the stock market this week.Partly due to growing concerns about the sustainability of the AI spending boom.Partly due to further stresses building in the credit market.And also due to a growing shortfall of liquidity.Portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz and I discuss each of these in depth in this week's Market Recap.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#artificialintelligence #federalreserve #liquidity _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Jeff Clark's Top Gold & Silver Mining Stock Picks

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 13, 2025 38:20


WANT HELP INVESTING IN MINING STOCKS? SCHEDULE A FREE CONSULTATION with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comPrecious metals mining company analyst Jeff Clark shares his top picks for gold & silver mining companies.#goldprice #silverprice #miningstocks _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Is The Gold & Silver Rally Back On? | Andy Schectman

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 12, 2025 75:24


TO BUY SILVER & GOLD, contact Andy's firm at info@milesfranklin.comThe precious metals appear to have recovered from their recent pullback as gold futures vaulted over $4,200/oz today while silver futures surpassed $53/oz.So, is the precious metals rally back on?I asked this question to Andy Schectman in today's livestream. He think it very well may be.We discuss this plus a host of other PM-related topics. To hear it all, click here or on the video below.FYI: if you're looking to purchase bullion online, Thoughtful Money recommends Miles Franklin, co-founded, owned and operated by Andy. The firm has been in operation since 1989, and is a full-service precious metals broker with a mission to educate the masses on the benefits & principles of sound money and deliver fair pricing.Given the important of the partnership between Thoughtful Money and his firm, Andy himself has offered to give Thoughtful Money followers the “white glove” treatment. So if you're interested in learning more about their services, email them directly at info@milesfranklin.com and Andy or one of his lieutenants will give you personal attention, answer all your questions and work to get you the products that best meets your needs at the best possible price.#goldprice #silver #preciousmetals 00:00:00 — Is the rally back on? — initial take00:02:53 — How the price was knocked down (overnight dump, low liquidity)00:03:38 — Who bought the dip (Bank of America, Morgan Stanley)00:08:35 — Concern: inventory squeeze — intro to supply question00:09:56 — Tether and stablecoin buying of gold explained00:11:19 — Retail premiums and US Mint supply issues00:13:53 — Thesis: revaluing gold to devalue the dollar and reshore manufacturing00:18:01 — Kystan USD stablecoin backed by gold — broader trend00:20:22 — Tether at mining summit / disintermediation of miners00:23:14 — Silver as a strategic battleground (industrials vs investors vs states)00:24:32 — Silver added to US critical minerals list — implications00:26:04 — Primary silver production challenges; byproduct supply issues00:28:13 — Will silver become an heirloom metal again?00:38:44 — Shanghai futures, Russia, Hong Kong vaults — repo facility theory00:46:04 — Institutional positioning: $96M GLD call block (December bets)00:52:16 — User questions: selling bullion — process overview01:00:16 — Shipping & insurance details (USPS vs FedEx; insurance limits)01:06:24 — Confiscation risk discussion — likelihood and institutional focus_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Great Women in Compliance
Insights from the 42nd Annual ACI FCPA and Global Anti-Corruption Conference

Great Women in Compliance

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 12, 2025 31:07


In this episode of Great Women in Compliance, co-hosts Lisa Fine and Hemma Lomax get a special preview of the 42nd Annual ACI Conference on the FCPA and Global Anti-Corruption. They are joined by two of the conference's distinguished speakers: Sandra Moser, Partner at Morgan, Lewis & Bockius and former Chief of the DOJ's Fraud Section, and Kimberly Parker, Partner and Co-Chair of the White-Collar Defense & Investigations practice at WilmerHale. Sandra and Kimberly share their personal journeys into the white-collar and compliance space, discuss why this conference is a "must-attend" event in the anti-corruption world, and dive deep into their upcoming session topics. Kimberly explores how companies are re-evaluating resource allocation as global priorities evolve, while Sandra tackles the critical compliance challenges of operating in China amid geopolitical tensions. This episode is a must-listen for practical insights on shifting DOJ expectations, the future of compliance, and tips for any first-time attendees  Highlights include: * Sandra and Kimberly's Journeys to Compliance * Spotlight on the ACI FCPA Conference: * Evolving Priorities & Resource Allocation * Navigating Compliance in China * The Future of Compliance Resources:   ACI's 42nd Annual Conference on the FCPA and Global Anti-Corruption (December, Washington, DC - https://www.americanconference.com/fcpa-dc/ * Morgan, Lewis & Bockius: https://www.morganlewis.com/bios/sandramoser * WilmerHale: https://www.wilmerhale.com/en/people/kimberly-parker Biographies Sandra Moser is a corporate investigations authority and trial lawyer who co-leads the firm's global white collar and investigations practice. She is former chief of the US Department of Justice's (DOJ's) Criminal Division, Fraud Section in Washington, DC, and a former Assistant US Attorney (AUSA) for the District of New Jersey. She defends companies, boards, and executives in a wide range of matters—including healthcare and federal program fraud, the False Claims Act (FCA), the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA), securities, commodities, and anti-money laundering—involving the DOJ, state attorneys general offices, US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), US Congress, and other domestic and international enforcement agencies. Kimberly A. Parker's practice focuses on white-collar criminal matters, internal corporate investigations, and compliance counseling. Ms. Parker is vice chair of the firm's Litigation/Controversy Department, co-chair of the White Collar Defense and Investigations Practice, and co-leads the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) and Anti-Corruption Practice. Ms. Parker is also co-chair of the firm's Pro Bono and Community Service Committee. Ms. Parker represents clients in a range of criminal and enforcement matters and also provides compliance and governance advice. She has conducted internal investigations in the United States, Asia, Africa, Europe, and Latin America. She has represented companies and individuals in a variety of FCPA enforcement matters. She also regularly counsels clients facing difficult FCPA issues in a variety of business contexts, and assists clients in developing and implementing FCPA compliance programs and conducting FCPA training. She is a regular speaker at FCPA events.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
US Growth Stocks To Lose Their Crown To International Value In Coming Years | John Thorndike, GMO

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 11, 2025 49:04


I always say the most valuable people to interview are capital allocators, because they have to answer to their clients for their market calls.They are judged not by their opinions, but by their results.Today, we're fortunate to hear from one of the most-respected capital management firms in the world: Grantham, Mayo, Van Otterloo -- which was co-founded by the great investor Jeremey Grantham and currently manages over $65 billion of client assets.Specifically, we're sitting down with John Thorndike Co-Head of Asset Allocation, who co-manages GMO's Dynamic Allocation & International Value ETFs.We'll discuss GMO's outlook for 2026 and where the firm sees the biggest risks & opportunities for investors.John sees that International Value stocks are set to outperform US Growth stocks in coming years.To find out why, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comHere are the ETFs John mentions in this video:- GMOD: https://www.gmo.com/americas/product-index-page/multi-asset-class/dynamic-allocation-strategy/dynamic-allocation-etf/- DRES: https://www.gmo.com/americas/product-index-page/equities/domestic-resilience-strategy/domestic-resilience-etf/?accept=Funds- GMOI: https://www.gmo.com/americas/product-index-page/equities/international-opportunistic-value-strategy/international-value-etf/- GMOV: https://www.gmo.com/americas/product-index-page/equities/u.s.-opportunistic-value-strategy/u.s.-value-etf#valueinvesting #internationalinvesting #jeremeygrantham_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
An Oil & Gas Revolution Is Underway That Will Change Everything | Doomberg

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 9, 2025 70:02


In today's discussion we look at the all-important energy market. Remember, without energy, there is no economy.As we look to the future, where are global energy trends headed?How is the AI race and its voracious need for cheap electrons changing the game?And where are the best opportunities for investors likely to lie?To discuss in depth, we're fortunate to sit down with the green chicken himself, the energy expert Doomberg.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#naturalgas #oil #energy _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Market & Economic Headwinds Are Building | Lance Roberts

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 8, 2025 116:04


There are now such a host of reasons to have concern for both the economy & markets heading into 2026, that the Wall Street euphoria is starting to wear off.The headwinds are building, cautions Lance Roberts.Slowing growth, unrealistic earnings expectations and historically-high valuations are all good reasons to worry.Lance and I discuss his outlook heading into 2026, as well as this week's weakness in the all-important AI stocks, the Fed's new "not QE" program, the future of the dollar, the plight of the middle class, as well as Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Market Recap.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#artificialintelligence #federalreserve #dollar _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Stablecoin Revolution To Make The Dollar More Dominant Than Ever? | Brent Johnson

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 6, 2025 51:38


Dollar Milkshake Theory creator, Brent Johnson sits down with me at the New Orleans Investment Conference to offer a detailed look into the rise and future role of USD stablecoins, which are being heartily embraced by the Trump Administration.Why exactly?In short, Brent sees the new stablecoin strategy as not just a means to soak up the $trillions in Treasury bonds that the US government will issue over the new year -- it's an entirely new currency system.It's a new form of sovereign control.I'm highly confident this must-listen discussion will blow your mind.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#dollar #money #stablecoin _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
The USA Is Now A 'Pre-War' Economy | Peter Tchir

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2025 61:06


Wall Street's fears of Trump's tariffs and trade wars are greatly diminished these days -- at least by the stock market which has been flirting with new highs of late.Now that we're nearing the end of the year and a resurgence in inflation hasn't materialized, and new trade deals have been or are being finalized with many of America's largest trading partners -- including China, too, now it seems -- an important question is emerging:Will the economy start experiencing tailwinds soon from the Administration's policies?To discuss, we're fortunate to welcome to the program, Peter Tchir, Head of Macro Strategy at Academy Securities.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#tariffs #chinatrade #wareconomy _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Is The Stock Market Now The Most Overvalued It's Ever Been? | New Harbor

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 2, 2025 59:18


In this latest monthly outlook from the advisors at New Harbor Financial, John and Mike discuss investing in a world of nosebleed valuations levels during a time when the Fed is cutting rates.This doesn't happen often.What makes more sense: Ride the current party until it ends? Or play it safe and leave it early?We also discuss whether the gold trade is over, or just taking a breather before resuming.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#valuations #marketcorrection #goldprice _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Stock Valuations Are The Most Deviated They've Ever Been In History | Lance Roberts

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 1, 2025 107:04


Stock valuations are the most deviated they've ever been from long-term trendlines in history.Above even 1929.But Wall Street doesn't care. The bull rally marches on, and looks poised to continue through the end of the year.But how long can this record deviation sustain?And what will the repercussions be if it doesn't?Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss these key questions, as well as this week's Federal Reserve rate cut, the end of QT, the China-US trade talks, oil stocks, and Lance's firm's latest trades in this week's Market Recap.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#marketcorrection #interestrates #artificalintelligence 0:00 – Fed Cuts 25bps & Ends QT: Expected, But Powell Pushes Back on More Cuts2:39 – QT/QE Mechanics Explained: No Money Printing, Just Bank Asset Swaps4:02 – Fed Dumps MBS for Treasuries: Stabilizes Yields, New Buyer in Debt Market7:13 – Fed Steps Back as Treasury Buyer: Material Impact? Opens Door to QE9:40 – Fed Balance Sheet Stress: Can't Shrink More Without Credit Risks11:25 – Fed's Crisis Bailouts Train "Buy the Dip": Best Returns in 30 Years12:24 – Economy Can't Normalize: Needs Deep Recession/Depression for Health13:21 – Debt Reform Choices: Small Sacrifices Now or Systemic Crash Later15:19 – No Imminent Breakdown: Debt-to-GDP Fine vs Japan/Europe18:44 – Market Breadth Crashes: Worst Since 1990 Despite Rally20:03 – Mag 7 Dominance: K-Shaped Profits, Rest of S&P 493 Starving21:05 – AI Hype Unhealthy? NO – Passive Flows Fuel Narrow Rally25:27 – AI: Job Killer or Tool? Power Crunch for Data Centers Looms29:01 – AI Bubble Risks: Overbuild Like Railroads/Internet, But Chips Depreciate Fast38:58 – If AI Bursts: S&P Down 40%, Still Bull Market (Valuations Insane)46:09 – Earnings Season Stellar: 85% Beats, Low Bar Set by Analysts52:49 – Portfolio Strategy: Rotate to Oversold Defensives (Value, Energy, Staples)1:09:12 – TA Update: Bull Intact, Year-End Rally on Buybacks/Seasonality1:24:26 – Gov Shutdown Irrelevant + Welfare Reform: End Dependency, Add Work Rules_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Will The A.I. Stock Juggernaut Run Out Of Steam Soon? | Katie Stockton

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 30, 2025 52:28


As of the recording of this video, the S&P 500 index is trading at a new all-time high, within less than 100 points of the big round 7,000 milestone.And Nvidia just became the first $5 trillion market cap company in history.So the bull market in stocks appears to be doing just fine -- despite the skeptic's worries that current valuations are far too high when compared to fundamentals.Will the party continue on from here in 2026?Or will the new year end the current 3-year stream of double digit returns for stocks?To discuss, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program market technician and portfolio manager Katie Stockton, Founder and Managing Partner of Fairlead Strategies.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#ai #artificialintelligence #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Minimum Competence
Legal News for Weds 10/29 - Argentina's $16B Appeal, Judge Ousts Acting USA in CA, Cameo Sues OpenAI and TX Sues to Link Tylenol to Autism

Minimum Competence

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 29, 2025 7:17


This Day in Legal History: Black TuesdayOn October 29, 1929, the United States experienced one of the most catastrophic financial events in its history—Black Tuesday, the climax of the stock market crash that helped trigger the Great Depression. While primarily remembered as an economic crisis, this day also had profound and lasting legal consequences that reshaped American financial regulation and the federal government's role in the economy.In the immediate aftermath, the lack of oversight and rampant speculation that had fueled the 1920s bull market came under intense scrutiny. The legal system responded in the 1930s with a suite of landmark legislative reforms designed to stabilize financial markets and restore public confidence. Chief among these were the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, which established mandatory disclosure requirements for public companies and created the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to enforce federal securities laws.These laws introduced the legal principle that corporations owe a duty of candor to investors and that misleading or fraudulent statements can be subject to civil and criminal penalties. They also laid the foundation for modern financial regulation, including rules governing insider trading, market manipulation, and fiduciary duties of brokers and advisors.The legal legacy of October 29, 1929, is thus not limited to market losses but includes the birth of a federal regulatory framework that continues to govern securities markets today. It marked a turning point where the federal government took a permanent role in policing Wall Street and protecting investors through statutory and administrative mechanisms.The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit will hear Argentina's appeal of a $16.1 billion judgment related to its 2012 expropriation of oil company YPF. The judgment, issued by U.S. District Judge Loretta Preska in 2023, awarded $14.39 billion to Petersen Energia Inversora and $1.71 billion to Eton Park Capital Management, former minority shareholders of YPF. They claimed Argentina violated contractual obligations by failing to make a tender offer when it nationalized 51% of YPF from Spanish energy firm Repsol.Argentina argues the case should not be heard in a U.S. court, citing sovereign immunity, misapplication of Argentine law, and the principle of international comity. It also contends the damages are vastly overstated—amounting to 45% of its 2024 national budget. The litigation has been financially backed by Burford Capital, which could receive a large payout if the appeal fails.The appeal arrives as President Javier Milei, a libertarian reformer, works to stabilize Argentina's economy with austerity measures, having recently achieved a rare budget surplus. Meanwhile, Argentina is also separately appealing a court order to hand over YPF shares, an order currently on hold. The U.S. government has not taken a stance on the appeal but opposed the share turnover, citing foreign policy risks.Argentina to ask US appeals court to overturn $16.1 billion YPF judgment | ReutersA federal judge ruled that Bilal Essayli was unlawfully appointed as acting U.S. attorney for California's Central District, which includes Los Angeles. U.S. District Judge J. Michael Seabright found that Essayli's continued service beyond the 120-day interim period allowed by law was improper since he had neither been nominated by the president nor confirmed by the Senate. This decision disqualifies him from serving in the acting role but allows him to remain as first assistant U.S. attorney.The ruling does not dismiss three criminal indictments issued during Essayli's tenure, as they were signed by other prosecutors and no due process violations were found. Still, the judgment raises concerns about leadership stability in the largest federal judicial district in the country, serving roughly 19 million people.Essayli's appointment was part of a broader pattern under the Trump administration of bypassing Senate confirmation for key prosecutorial roles. A similar ruling recently invalidated the acting U.S. attorney appointment in Nevada, and another decision in New Jersey blocked Alina Habba, a Trump ally, from participating in prosecutions. These appointments are now under appeal.Judge disqualifies ‘acting' US attorney in California | ReutersThe celebrity video platform Cameo filed a trademark infringement lawsuit against OpenAI in a California federal court, accusing it of unlawfully using the name “Cameo” for a new feature in its Sora video generation app. Cameo claims that OpenAI's use of the term for AI-generated virtual likenesses causes brand confusion and threatens the distinctiveness of its trademark.OpenAI launched Sora as a standalone app in late September, and its feature—also named “Cameo”—lets users create AI-generated videos that can include virtual celebrities. Cameo argues this directly competes with its own service, where users pay real celebrities for personalized video messages. The company pointed to examples of AI-generated videos featuring public figures like Mark Cuban and Jake Paul, claiming this puts OpenAI in head-to-head competition with their business model.Cameo said it attempted to resolve the issue privately, but OpenAI declined to change the feature's name. OpenAI responded that it disagrees with the lawsuit, arguing no one can monopolize a generic term like “cameo.”The lawsuit seeks financial damages and a court injunction to stop OpenAI from using the name “Cameo.”OpenAI sued for trademark infringement over Sora's ‘Cameo' feature | ReutersTexas has hired the law firm Keller Postman—which previously secured a $1.4 billion settlement from Meta—to lead a new lawsuit alleging that Tylenol use during pregnancy increases the risk of autism in children. Filed in Panola County, the suit accuses Johnson & Johnson and Kenvue, Tylenol's current owner, of misleading consumers by marketing the drug to pregnant women despite knowing potential developmental risks tied to its active ingredient, acetaminophen.Ashley Keller, a senior partner at the firm, said the case will be handled on a contingency basis, meaning Texas pays only if it wins, similar to prior deals with Meta and Google. The firm's effective hourly rate under that model can reach $3,780, though its total fees are capped at 11% of any recovery. Keller defended the state's approach, saying the firm invests heavily and shares the litigation risk with Texas.The lawsuit builds on ongoing national litigation over acetaminophen and childhood developmental disorders, though courts have previously rejected similar claims. A 2024 federal ruling in New York dismissed related cases after expert testimony linking acetaminophen to ADHD was excluded. Texas' case, however, is distinct because it focuses on state-level claims of deceptive trade practices and fraudulent transfer, alleging J&J unlawfully moved Tylenol liabilities to Kenvue.Texas Returns to Keller Postman to Link Tylenol to Child Autism This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.minimumcomp.com/subscribe

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Is Violent Societal Unrest Now Inevitable? | Peter Turchin

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 28, 2025 62:32


On this channel we spend most of our time talking about the economy, markets and money.Which are all very important -- no doubt -- but they exist in service to society. If society reaches a point where it starts unraveling, then our portfolios start to matter a lot less when compared to safety & survival. Today's guest expert is Peter Turchin, Project Leader for Social Complexity and Collapse, Complexity Science Hub in Vienna.Dr Turchin has written a number of best-selling books on the currently precarious state of Western society, including End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration, War and Peace and War: The Rise and Fall of Empires, Ages of Discord and most recently The Great Holocene Transformation: What Complexity Science Tells Us about the Evolution of Complex Societies.So what does he see as mostly likely ahead for us?We'll ask the man himself in this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#revolution #societalcollapse #unrest _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
All Bubbles End - So You'd Better Have Some Liquidity | David Rosenberg

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 26, 2025 71:56


It's easy to feel confused these days.With the stock market at all-time highs, some analysts predict this bull market has a lot longer to run as the busiiness-friendly policies of the new Administration start adding tailwinds to the economy.Others see economic growth as imbalanced, at best, and worry that overall the trend for 2026 is downwards, risking recession and a material market correction.So, which is it?For guidance, we turn to highly-respected economist & award-winning researcher David Rosenberg, founder & president of Rosenberg Research.David concludes the market is in a major price bubble not unlike the DotCom era, and advises investors to build/maintain liquidity within (at least) part of their portfolio in order to weather the bubble's bursting as well as to have dry powder to deploy at attractive valuations when it does.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#bubble #marketcorrection #bearmarket _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Stocks Likely To Trend Higher Into Year End? | Michael Lebowitz

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 25, 2025 116:03


Have markets now made it safely through the seasonal risk of October?Portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz thinks they likely have, barring some surprise curveball.Which is why, should conditions remain steady, Michael sees stocks trending higher into year end.He and I discuss why, as well as inflation, housing, recession risk, bond yields, gold and the recent sports betting scandal, as well as his firm's latest trades in this week's Market RecapWORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#inflation #goldprice #recession _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Michael Pento: A Coming Credit Crisis Is The Most Likely Trigger For A Market Plunge

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 23, 2025 84:53


When today's guest was last on this channel back in July, he warned that a 'triumvirate" of three massive asset price bubbles -- in credit, real estate and stocks -- threatened to take down our fragile economy and dash the retirement hopes for millions.Since then, the bubbles have only expanded.Will they expand further -- or pop -- in 2026?To find out, we have the great good fortune to welcome money manager Michael Pento back to the program.BUY THE REPLAY of the full Thoughtful Money conference here at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#recession #marketcorrection #marketcrash _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Here's The Latest Outlook From Lacy Hunt, Lyn Alden, James Grant + A Dozen Other Experts

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 22, 2025 27:24


BUY THE REPLAY of the full Thoughtful Money conference here at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceWell, the Fall Thoughtful Money conference was held online this past weekend and I'm delighted to say the event was a real success.That was due primarily to the amazing line-up of speakers who presented and took live audience Q&A throughout the insight-packed 11-hour day.Lacy Hunt delivered the keynote, followed by Stephanie Pomboy & Grant Williams, Michael Howell, Darius Dale, Sven Henrich, Andy Schectman, James Grant, Danielle DiMartino Booth, Judy Shelton, Michael Every, David Hay, Lyn Alden, Melody Wright, Craig Wichner, New Harbor Financial and Jonathan Wellum. And Jeff Clark provided a bonus video focused on gold & silver mining stocks.For those of you who didn't attend, I thought you'd enjoy hearing some of the conference highlights.You can also lock in your Early Bird ticket price to our Spring 2026 online conference at 0% inflation at https://thoughtfulmoney.com/2026#recession #investing #marketcorrection_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Ed Dowd: USA Facing A 'Toxic Cocktail' of Trouble In Stocks, Credit, Trade & Housing

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 21, 2025 59:21


Today's guest suggests that for much of the past three years, the economy & financial markets have been boosted by a "sugar high" cocktail including prodigous fiscal stimulus from the government, massive AI capex outlays from the private sector, a wave of incremental consumer spending from waves of millions of illegal immigrants.But now he warns the sugar high is behind us.If true, what will the repercussion be?To find out, we're fortunate to welcome to the program for the first time Edward Dowd, founder of macroeconomic consulting & research firm Phinance Technologies.PURCHASE THE REPLAY OF THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S FALL CONFERENCE at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#marketcorrection #recession #inflation _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Jan van Eck: Q4 Macro & Market Outlook

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 20, 2025 81:20


When market uncertainty is as high as it is now, I often emphasize that the most useful people to interview are asset managers.Because they don't have the luxury of merely having an opinion on the road ahead -- they have to commit capital to their convictions, and be judged upon the results.Today we have the great fortune of having the return appearance of one of the most respected capital allocators in the business: Jan van EckJan is CEO of vanEck, an asset management firm with over $100 billion in assets under management invested across its wide family of ETFs and funds, spanning equity, bond, commodity, digital and regional asset classes.As we've done the past several quarters now, Jan and I will spend the next hour discussing his Q4 macro and market outlooks, as well as where he sees the biggest opportunities for investors right now.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#goldprice #ai #china _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Get Out Or Buy The Dip? | Lance Roberts

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 18, 2025 91:04


Well, this week certainly was not a dull one.It saw growing fears of credit contagion from "cockroach" corporations as the fallout from TriColor and First Brands now spreads to regional banks.The President whipsawed markets with a "yes, we are/no, we aren't" barrage of tweets on a trade war with China.Bitcoin and the crypto complex took their lumps, while the precious metals skyrocketed to all-time highs.Is the heightened uncertainty reason to sell? Or a buying opportunity?For everything that mattered to market this week, watch this Market Recap.BUY THE REPLAY OF THOUGHTFUL MONEY'S FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#goldprice #creditspreads #debtdefault _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Stephanie Pomboy: When The Next Shakeout Happens, Will You Be A Winner Or A Loser?

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 16, 2025 73:11


Macro analyst Stephanie Pomboy returns to discuss rising market volatility, record gold & silver prices, concerning failures in the private credit industry & other signs of rising systemic stress.She also takes live viewer Q&A#goldprice #creditspreads #artificialintelligence 0:00 - Gold & Silver Rally: Early Innings or Pullback Ahead?2:16 - Silver's Surge: Supply-Demand Imbalance Exposed2:45 - Gold to $22,000? Backing the Monetary Base3:24 - Bracing for Pullback: De-Risking Drags All Assets4:03 - Long-Term Bull: Hard Assets vs. Paper (S&P Ratio)5:12 - Jamie Dimon: Gold to $5K-$10K Endorsement5:54 - Adam's Caution: Nothing Moves in a Straight Line6:53 - Valuation Gap: Gold Up or S&P Down?7:12 - Stock Overvaluation: Waiting for Risk Unwind8:17 - Credit Bifurcation: Junk Yields Spike9:14 - Multi-Decade Shift: Commodities Over Paper11:45 - Hedging Gold: Fire Insurance Analogy13:06 - Prospect Theory: Losses Hurt Twice as Much14:27 - Stephanie's Stance: No Changes, Hedging Uncompelling19:15 - Resources: Hedging Help & Gold Primer22:53 - High-Yield Spreads: Market Starting to Care?23:36 - China Tariffs Trigger De-Risk: Junk Blows Out25:12 - Muted Reactions: Hooters & Red Lobster Bankruptcies29:50 - "We Don't Know How Bad": Private Credit Opacity30:40 - Bodies Floating: TriColor & First Brands Validate?35:07 - PE Proliferation: More Firms Than McDonald's40:14 - Systemic Risk: Trillions Maturing, Interest Doubled42:46 - Historical Busts: 2007 ABCP to Meltdown47:48 - AI Bubble Threat: Hype Drives S&P Fragility50:49 - Achilles Heel: 60-65% Burst Wipes US GDP55:52 - Allocations: Gold Held, Energy for AI Buildout57:01 - AI Endures: Needs Massive Power Infrastructure1:00:15 - Oil Under $60 Myth: Demand Surge Ignored1:01:01 - Tax Migration: Adam's Nevada Move1:01:53 - Stephanie's Florida Journey: NYC to Beaches1:10:05 - Follow Stephanie: Macromavens.com & Conference Tease_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
SPECIAL REPORT: Silver Price Explodes Above $50/oz -- Is It Too Late To Buy In? | Andy Schectman

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2025 55:20


TO BUY SILVER & GOLD, contact Andy's firm at info@milesfranklin.comWith silver having just exploded above $50/oz, many of you have reached out to me asking about what's driving the surge & if there's still time to join the party.So I invited precious metals expert Andy Schectman on for a livestream this morning to discuss to all things silver.To listen to the replay of the livestream, click here or on the video below.FYI: if you're looking to purchase bullion online, Thoughtful Money recommends Miles Franklin, co-founded, owned and operated by Andy. The firm has been in operation since 1989, and is a full-service precious metals broker with a mission to educate the masses on the benefits & principles of sound money and deliver fair pricing.Given the important of the partnership between Thoughtful Money and his firm, Andy himself has offered to give Thoughtful Money followers the “white glove” treatment. So if you're interested in learning more about their services, email them directly at info@milesfranklin.com and Andy or one of his lieutenants will give you personal attention, answer all your questions and work to get you the products that best meets your needs at the best possible price.#silverprice #silver #goldprice _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Housing Market Now Falling Into A Deflationary Vortex | Reventure Consulting's Nick Gerli

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 12, 2025 66:12


The housing market remains in an injured state, with transactions still frozen and an increasing number of states seeing falling prices.But...the Federal Reserve has resumed rate cuts and mortgage rates are lower than at the start of the year.So, will we start to see some healing in the housing market as we head into 2026?Or will things get worse from here?Today we have the good fortune to be joined by Nick Gerli, founder of reventure Consulting and creator of the excellent reventure app.Nick walks through his latest --- and increasingly pessimistic -- outlook on the US housing market and shares a number of charts with us.TIME IS RUNING OUT! GET YOUR TICKET NOW FOR SATURDAY'S THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#homeprices #housingmarket #realestate 0:00 - High-Level Summary: Disinflationary Vortex2:07 - Growing Pessimism: Rental Market Downturn3:18 - Affordability Crisis in For-Sale & Rental Markets4:52 - Immigration's Impact on Rentals & Housing6:55 - Work Permit Applications Plummet8:26 - Single-Family Rent Growth Hits 14-Year Low9:41 - Disinflation Argument: Shelter's Role in CPI11:37 - Key Inflations for Housing: Rents & Wages Only13:36 - Wage Growth Moderating Post-Great Resignation15:00 - Home Prices vs. Income: Bubble Territory16:22 - Home Price Declines Spread to Half of U.S. States18:14 - Local Variations: Micro-Level Analysis19:48 - Examples: Crashes in Houston & Tampa Zip Codes21:24 - National Map: Contagion of Price Declines23:10 - Wealth Effect: Affluent Buyers vs. Broader Market25:42 - Average Home Buyer Age Now 5627:53 - Stock Market Correction's Potential Housing Impact31:26 - Inventory Drives Prices: State-by-State Breakdown35:32 - National Inventory Trends & 2026 Forecast37:18 - Mortgage Rate Distribution: Unlocking Supply40:36 - Lower Rates Could Boost Inventory, Not Prices42:39 - Homebuilders Cutting Prices to Move Inventory45:12 - New Homes Now Cheaper Than Existing Ones47:54 - Softening Labor Market Adds Downward Pressure50:53 - Buyer Demand at 30-Year Lows53:12 - Unemployment's Direct Link to Defaults55:22 - Forbearance Programs Distorting Foreclosures57:47 - Student Loan Repayments Fueling Delinquencies1:00:33 - Parting Advice: Buyers, Sellers & Investors1:02:55 - Where to Follow Nick Gerli & Reventure App1:04:12 - Conference Reminder & Financial Advice_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Has The Market Moved Too Far Too Fast? | Michael Lebowitz

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 11, 2025 87:25


Portfolio manager Michael Lebowtiz looks back at the red-hot rise in stocks over the past two month and asks:Have stocks moved too far too fast?Can this continue without a pullback first?YOU CAN STILL GET THE 'LAST CHANCE TO SAVE' PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#investing #marketcorrection #aibubble _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
A 'Very Precarious' Time For Markets: AI Bubble, Credit Risks & Insider Selling | Jesse Felder

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 9, 2025 93:04


Wall Street is partying hard right now with stocks at all-time highs.Unless a significant correction happens soon, the S&P will put in its third year of double-digit returns in a row.But pressures are building.The AI juggernaut, which is driving so much of the US economy and the market's rise these days, increasingly appears to be in bubble territory.While on the other hand, a large percentage of American consumers are increasingly struggling under the high cost of living.How will these pressures resolve in 2026?To discuss, we welcome back to the program macro analyst Jesse Felder, founder & Editor of the respected market research firm: The Felder Report.YOU CAN STILL GET THE 'LAST CHANCE TO SAVE' PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#aibubble #commodities #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Runaway Debt & Deficits + AI Buildout = HUGE Demand For Hard Assets | Jonathan Wellum

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2025 51:21


The Debt-to-GDP ratio of the world's largest economies is rising at a frightening pace as reckless deficit spending has become the order of the day.This is increasingly pushing investors into asset classes that offer protection from the inflation/loss of fiat currency purchasing power that results.Meanwhile, the gargantuan buildout of processing power and electricity generation & transmission need for AI is unleashing a global era of "Mine, Baby, Mine".This, also, is enticing investors to own natural resources. Combined together, these two trends paint a very compelling picture of relentless demand for hard assets for the foreseeable future.So, how to take advantage of this trend?Jonathan Wellum, founder of Rocklinc Investment Partners, Thoughtful Money's endorsed Canadian financial advisor, shares how his firm is positioning.For the details, watch this video.YOU CAN STILL GET THE 'LAST CHANCE TO SAVE' PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#goldprice #oil #commodities _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Get Ready For "Stagflation Lite" | Cameron Dawson

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2025 71:20


Citing a current macro landscape of lower economic growth, sticky inflation and rising unemployment, today's guest has recently declared we've entered a "stagflation lite" period.How long will it last?And how should investors position accordingly?To find out, we're fortunate to welcome Cameron Dawson, Chief Investment Officer at NewEdge Wealth, back to the program today.YOU CAN STILL GET THE 'LAST CHANCE TO SAVE' PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#stagflation #artificialintelligence #unemployment _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

#plugintodevin - Your Mark on the World with Devin Thorpe
What We're Building Together (and How to Be Part of It)

#plugintodevin - Your Mark on the World with Devin Thorpe

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2025 25:27


Superpowers for Good should not be considered investment advice. Seek counsel before making investment decisions. When you purchase an item, launch a campaign or create an investment account after clicking a link here, we may earn a fee. Engage to support our work.Watch the show on television by downloading the e360tv channel app to your Roku, LG or AmazonFireTV. You can also see it on YouTube.Devin: What is your superpower? Jenny: Inclusive capital advocacy.The future of regulated investment crowdfunding is being shaped not just by markets but by the voices that advocate for fair, effective policies in Washington. Jenny Kassan, President of the Crowdfunding Professional Association (CfPA), has emerged as a leading champion of this work. The association's upcoming summit and the advocacy efforts that precede it illustrate the growing momentum behind this movement.Jenny explained, “The Crowdfunding Professional Association represents the crowdfunding industry, the regulated investment crowdfunding industry. This is everyone who's involved in trying to make it easier for small businesses, entrepreneurs, changemakers, artists, everyone who has the ability to offer an investment opportunity to be able to offer it to everybody, everybody in the country.”The October summit in Washington, D.C., highlights the growing traction of this movement. Jenny shared that this year, the CfPA is securing more meetings with members of Congress and the Senate who influence financial market rules. That progress signals a growing recognition of the industry's role in democratizing access to capital.Speakers at the summit will include SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce, known for her balanced approach to fostering innovation while maintaining sensible regulation, and James Murphy from FINRA, the body overseeing day-to-day regulation of crowdfunding platforms. These perspectives, alongside industry leaders like Mark Elenowitz, will help issuers, investors, and platforms better navigate the complex regulatory landscape.Jenny was candid about the rapid changes unfolding in this space, especially around emerging technologies like crypto. “The industry is really evolving quickly. Even though there haven't been any law changes yet, there's been a huge, huge evolution and rapid change in the space,” she noted. Panels on crypto and digital assets will explore how innovation intersects with regulation, underscoring the importance of ongoing dialogue with policymakers.The CfPA summit is more than a conference. It is the culmination of months of advocacy, uniting stakeholders to strengthen the rules that govern investment crowdfunding. By convening entrepreneurs, investors, regulators, and industry professionals, the event will serve as a platform to share knowledge, influence policy, and build momentum for greater capital access.Jenny's leadership highlights that regulated investment crowdfunding is still young but brimming with potential. Her efforts—and those of the CfPA—help ensure the system grows into a tool that works for everyone.tl;dr:Jenny Kassan explained how the Crowdfunding Professional Association advocates in Washington to strengthen rules for regulated investment crowdfunding.She shared details about the upcoming summit, including meetings with legislators, regulators, and key industry experts.Jenny emphasized the importance of balanced regulation, highlighting insights from SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce and FINRA's James Murphy.She described how crowdfunding empowers underrepresented entrepreneurs, often outperforming traditional fundraising sources like venture capital and banks.Jenny encouraged participation in the CfPA and its summit, reminding listeners that inclusive access to capital benefits everyone.How to Develop Inclusive Capital Advocacy As a SuperpowerJenny described her superpower as her ability to advocate for inclusive access to capital. She explained that her passion lies in helping entrepreneurs—especially those underrepresented in traditional finance—gain the resources they need to thrive. As she put it, “We see like women, people of color, people that don't come from the top schools or from wealthy families often are quite successful with regulation crowdfunding, sometimes even more so. That's the reason I love the tool so much.”Her superpower is evident in her consistent championing of entrepreneurs who face barriers to traditional funding. By focusing on regulated investment crowdfunding, she empowers founders to bypass gatekeepers and reach communities of investors who share their vision.One story illustrates this clearly: Jenny highlighted data showing that diverse and under-resourced founders often raise more successfully through crowdfunding than through venture capital, angel groups, or banks. That success proves that crowdfunding levels the playing field. For Jenny, seeing women and people of color outperform traditional fundraising norms affirms the power of her mission.Jenny offered valuable insights for developing this superpower:Recognize who is excluded by traditional systems and design new ways to include them.Focus on building tools and structures that make participation easier for everyone.Ground advocacy in data that demonstrates success outside the status quo.Persist in championing change even when mainstream systems resist.By following Jenny's example and advice, you can make inclusive capital advocacy a skill. With practice and effort, you could make it a superpower that enables you to do more good in the world.Remember, however, that research into success suggests that building on your own superpowers is more important than creating new ones or overcoming weaknesses. You do you!Guest ProfileJenny Kassan (she/her):President, Crowdfunding Professional AssociationAbout Crowdfunding Professional Association: The Crowdfunding Professional Association (CfPA) is a 501 (c)(6) nonprofit trade organization established by numerous authors and contributors to the Jumpstart Our Business Startup Act (“JOBS Act”) on April 5, 2012. The CfPA is dedicated to representing the Crowdfunding industry and supporting the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) while providing the industry with education, a professional network and the tools necessary to cultivate and balance a healthy ecosystem that will accelerate capital formation and ensure investor protection whenever possible. Join our association at https://www.crowdfundingecosystem.com/join or get your company listed with a microsite in the CfPA online ECO directory at: https://www.crowdfundingecosystem.com/upgrade/upgradeWebsite: crowdfundingecosystem.comLinkedin: linkedin.com/company/crowdfunding-professional-associationCompany Facebook Page: facebook.com/CrowdfundingProfessionalAssociationOther URL: events.humanitix.com/regulated-investment-crowdfunding-summit-2025Biographical Information: Jenny Kassan is an attorney, community economic development leader, and nationally recognized advocate for mission-driven entrepreneurship. With nearly 30 years of experience, she has dedicated her career to helping founders raise capital on their own terms while building wealth that stays rooted in local communities. She is the CEO of Baltimore Community Commons, which fosters investment access, knowledge sharing, and mutual aid, and the owner of The Kassan Group, a boutique law firm serving impact entrepreneurs. Jenny is also the author of Raise Capital on Your Own Terms: How to Fund Your Business Without Selling Your Soul and a frequent speaker on innovative finance, sustainable business, and community wealth building.Jenny's leadership extends across the national crowdfunding and economic justice ecosystem. She currently serves as President of the Crowdfunding Professional Association and President of Community Ventures, and previously co-founded CrowdFund Main Street and the Sustainable Economies Law Center. Her public service includes serving on the Fremont City Council, advising the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on small and emerging companies, and directing community projects at the Alameda County District Attorney's Office. A graduate of Yale Law School and UC Berkeley, Jenny continues to shape policies and practices that empower entrepreneurs while advancing a more equitable economy.X/Twitter Handle: @jennykassanPersonal Facebook Profile: facebook.com/jenny.kassanLinkedin: linkedin.com/in/jennykassanInstagram Handle: @thekassangroupSupport Our SponsorsOur generous sponsors make our work possible, serving impact investors, social entrepreneurs, community builders and diverse founders. Today's advertisers include FundingHope, Rancho Affordable Housing (Proactive), and Power Up October. Learn more about advertising with us here.Max-Impact MembersThe following Max-Impact Members provide valuable financial support:Carol Fineagan, Independent Consultant | Hiten Sonpal, RISE Robotics | Lory Moore, Lory Moore Law | Mark Grimes, Networked Enterprise Development | Matthew Mead, Hempitecture | Michael Pratt, Qnetic | Dr. Nicole Paulk, Siren Biotechnology | Paul Lovejoy, Stakeholder Enterprise | Pearl Wright, Global Changemaker | Scott Thorpe, Philanthropist | Sharon Samjitsingh, Health Care Originals | Add Your Name HereUpcoming SuperCrowd Event CalendarIf a location is not noted, the events below are virtual.Superpowers for Good Live Pitch on October 6, 2025, hosted by Devin Thorpe on e360tv, will feature Core Tax Deeds, Dopple, ProActive Realty Group, and Victory Hemp Foods pitching their active Regulation Crowdfunding campaigns to a nationwide audience. Viewers can vote for their favorite companies, win prizes, ask live questions, and join a private investor Zoom session to engage directly with founders and even invest during the show. Don't miss this free chance to discover and support purpose-driven startups—register here: https://thesupercrowd.com/25q3pitchSuperCrowdHour, October 15, 2025, at 12:00 PM Eastern. Devin Thorpe, CEO and Founder of The Super Crowd, Inc., will lead a session on “The Perfect Pitch: Creating an Irresistible Offering.” As a former investment banker and author, Devin will guide entrepreneurs through the process of crafting a regulated investment crowdfunding offering that aligns with investor expectations and captures attention. In this session, he'll share what makes a pitch compelling, how to structure terms that attract capital, and practical strategies for presenting your company's story in a way that resonates with investors. Whether you're launching your first community raise or refining a current campaign, this SuperCrowdHour will equip you with the tools to stand out and secure investor support. Don't miss this opportunity to learn how to transform your vision into a pitch investors can't resist.Impact Cherub Club Meeting hosted by The Super Crowd, Inc., a public benefit corporation, on October 28, 2025, at 1:30 PM Eastern. Each month, the Club meets to review new offerings for investment consideration and to conduct due diligence on previously screened deals. To join the Impact Cherub Club, become an Impact Member of the SuperCrowd.SuperGreen Live, January 22–24, 2026, livestreaming globally. Organized by Green2Gold and The Super Crowd, Inc., this three-day event will spotlight the intersection of impact crowdfunding, sustainable innovation, and climate solutions. Featuring expert-led panels, interactive workshops, and live pitch sessions, SuperGreen Live brings together entrepreneurs, investors, policymakers, and activists to explore how capital and climate action can work hand in hand. With global livestreaming, VIP networking opportunities, and exclusive content, this event will empower participants to turn bold ideas into real impact. Don't miss your chance to join tens of thousands of changemakers at the largest virtual sustainability event of the year.Community Event CalendarSuccessful Funding with Karl Dakin, Tuesdays at 10:00 AM ET - Click on Events.KingsCrowd Investment Crowdfunding Week: September 29 through October 2nd, featuring speakers, panels and live pitches. Free registration!Earthstock Festival & Summit (Oct 2–5, 2025, Santa Monica & Venice, CA) unites music, arts, ecology, health, and green innovation for four days of learning, networking, and celebration. Register now at EarthstockFestival.com.Regulated Investment Crowdfunding Summit 2025, Crowdfunding Professional Association, Washington, DC, October 21-22, 2025.Impact Accelerator Summit is a live, in-person event taking place in Austin, Texas, from October 23–25, 2025. This exclusive gathering brings together 100 heart-centered, conscious entrepreneurs generating $1M+ in revenue with 20–30 family offices and venture funds actively seeking to invest in world-changing businesses. Referred by Michael Dash, participants can expect an inspiring, high-impact experience focused on capital connection, growth, and global impact.If you would like to submit an event for us to share with the 9,500+ changemakers, investors and entrepreneurs who are members of the SuperCrowd, click here.We use AI to help us write compelling recaps of each episode. Get full access to Superpowers for Good at www.superpowers4good.com/subscribe

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Bloomberg Economics' Chief US Economist Just Turned From Bearish To Bullish | Anna Wong

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 5, 2025 59:01


Much concern has been raised of late about how the economy is slowing and recession risk is rising.But is that really true?Or, could we already be through the worst of things, with the economy strengthening from here?To find out, we have the good fortune to talk today with Dr Anna Wong, Chief U.S. Economist for Bloomberg Economics. Prior to her current role, Anna also worked at the Federal Reserve Board, the White House Council of Economics Advisers, and the U.S. Treasury.In today's discussion, Anna explains why she has recently turned from being bearish (for years) to guardedly bullish.TIME'S NEARLY UP! LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#bullmarket #economicrecovery #unemployment _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Can The Rally In Stocks Continue Into Year End? | Lance Roberts

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 4, 2025 87:14


At this point, the stock market is being driven nearly entirely by sentiment and momentum.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts thinks the odds are good that will continue as the allure of S&P 7,000 entices investors to keep buying dips through the remainder of the year.He and I discuss the technical reasons for this, as well as the impact of the government shutdown, the latest disappointing ADP jobs report, bonds and Lance's firm's recent trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.TIME'S NEARLY UP! LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#bullmarket #jobsreport #shutdown _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
A Tipping Point? US Treasurys Are No Longer The 'Reserve Asset Of Choice' | David Hay

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 2, 2025 66:30


TIME'S NEARLY UP! LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conferenceDavid Hay delivers his macro & market outlook -- plus takes your live Q&A#bonds #marketcorrection #goldprice _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Could The Weakening Jobs Market Actually Be GOOD For The Economy? | Michael Kantrowitz

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 2, 2025 108:26


While many analysts are worried about the weakening jobs market, today's guest thinks it might be exactly what's needed for the economy to get...better?Michael Kantrowitz, chief investment strategist & managing director at Piper Sandler, is best known for his H.O.P.E. framework -- which predicts how recessions start and end.Michael sees the economy as potentially entering "goldilocks" conditions of rising growth, disinflation, lower interest rates and low oil prices.The weakening job market is disinflationary AND provides the incentive for the Fed to cut rates. That actually creates the kind of conditions that we normally see with economy recoveries.So, does that mean the market will continue rising?Watch this video to find out.TIME'S NEARLY UP! LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#recession #economicrecovery #interestrates _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved

#plugintodevin - Your Mark on the World with Devin Thorpe
Building a Stronger Future for Regulated Investment Crowdfunding

#plugintodevin - Your Mark on the World with Devin Thorpe

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 2, 2025 26:10


Superpowers for Good should not be considered investment advice. Seek counsel before making investment decisions. When you purchase an item, launch a campaign or create an investment account after clicking a link here, we may earn a fee. Engage to support our work.Watch the show on television by downloading the e360tv channel app to your Roku, LG or AmazonFireTV. You can also see it on YouTube.Devin: What is your superpower? Jenny: Inclusive capital advocacy.The future of regulated investment crowdfunding is being shaped not just by markets but by the voices that advocate for fair, effective policies in Washington. Jenny Kassan, President of the Crowdfunding Professional Association (CfPA), has emerged as a leading champion of this work. The association's upcoming summit and the advocacy efforts that precede it illustrate the growing momentum behind this movement.Jenny explained, “The Crowdfunding Professional Association represents the crowdfunding industry, the regulated investment crowdfunding industry. This is everyone who's involved in trying to make it easier for small businesses, entrepreneurs, changemakers, artists, everyone who has the ability to offer an investment opportunity to be able to offer it to everybody, everybody in the country.”The October summit in Washington, D.C., highlights the growing traction of this movement. Jenny shared that this year, the CfPA is securing more meetings with members of Congress and the Senate who influence financial market rules. That progress signals a growing recognition of the industry's role in democratizing access to capital.Speakers at the summit will include SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce, known for her balanced approach to fostering innovation while maintaining sensible regulation, and James Murphy from FINRA, the body overseeing day-to-day regulation of crowdfunding platforms. These perspectives, alongside industry leaders like Mark Elenowitz, will help issuers, investors, and platforms better navigate the complex regulatory landscape.Jenny was candid about the rapid changes unfolding in this space, especially around emerging technologies like crypto. “The industry is really evolving quickly. Even though there haven't been any law changes yet, there's been a huge, huge evolution and rapid change in the space,” she noted. Panels on crypto and digital assets will explore how innovation intersects with regulation, underscoring the importance of ongoing dialogue with policymakers.The CfPA summit is more than a conference. It is the culmination of months of advocacy, uniting stakeholders to strengthen the rules that govern investment crowdfunding. By convening entrepreneurs, investors, regulators, and industry professionals, the event will serve as a platform to share knowledge, influence policy, and build momentum for greater capital access.Jenny's leadership highlights that regulated investment crowdfunding is still young but brimming with potential. Her efforts—and those of the CfPA—help ensure the system grows into a tool that works for everyone.tl;dr:Jenny Kassan explained how the Crowdfunding Professional Association advocates in Washington to strengthen rules for regulated investment crowdfunding.She shared details about the upcoming summit, including meetings with legislators, regulators, and key industry experts.Jenny emphasized the importance of balanced regulation, highlighting insights from SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce and FINRA's James Murphy.She described how crowdfunding empowers underrepresented entrepreneurs, often outperforming traditional fundraising sources like venture capital and banks.Jenny encouraged participation in the CfPA and its summit, reminding listeners that inclusive access to capital benefits everyone.How to Develop Inclusive Capital Advocacy As a SuperpowerJenny described her superpower as her ability to advocate for inclusive access to capital. She explained that her passion lies in helping entrepreneurs—especially those underrepresented in traditional finance—gain the resources they need to thrive. As she put it, “We see like women, people of color, people that don't come from the top schools or from wealthy families often are quite successful with regulation crowdfunding, sometimes even more so. That's the reason I love the tool so much.”Her superpower is evident in her consistent championing of entrepreneurs who face barriers to traditional funding. By focusing on regulated investment crowdfunding, she empowers founders to bypass gatekeepers and reach communities of investors who share their vision.One story illustrates this clearly: Jenny highlighted data showing that diverse and under-resourced founders often raise more successfully through crowdfunding than through venture capital, angel groups, or banks. That success proves that crowdfunding levels the playing field. For Jenny, seeing women and people of color outperform traditional fundraising norms affirms the power of her mission.Jenny offered valuable insights for developing this superpower:Recognize who is excluded by traditional systems and design new ways to include them.Focus on building tools and structures that make participation easier for everyone.Ground advocacy in data that demonstrates success outside the status quo.Persist in championing change even when mainstream systems resist.By following Jenny's example and advice, you can make inclusive capital advocacy a skill. With practice and effort, you could make it a superpower that enables you to do more good in the world.Remember, however, that research into success suggests that building on your own superpowers is more important than creating new ones or overcoming weaknesses. You do you!Guest ProfileJenny Kassan (she/her):President, Crowdfunding Professional AssociationAbout Crowdfunding Professional Association: The Crowdfunding Professional Association (CfPA) is a 501 (c)(6) nonprofit trade organization established by numerous authors and contributors to the Jumpstart Our Business Startup Act (“JOBS Act”) on April 5, 2012. The CfPA is dedicated to representing the Crowdfunding industry and supporting the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) while providing the industry with education, a professional network and the tools necessary to cultivate and balance a healthy ecosystem that will accelerate capital formation and ensure investor protection whenever possible. Join our association at https://www.crowdfundingecosystem.com/join or get your company listed with a microsite in the CfPA online ECO directory at: https://www.crowdfundingecosystem.com/upgrade/upgradeWebsite: crowdfundingecosystem.comLinkedin: linkedin.com/company/crowdfunding-professional-associationCompany Facebook Page: facebook.com/CrowdfundingProfessionalAssociationOther URL: events.humanitix.com/regulated-investment-crowdfunding-summit-2025Biographical Information: Jenny Kassan is an attorney, community economic development leader, and nationally recognized advocate for mission-driven entrepreneurship. With nearly 30 years of experience, she has dedicated her career to helping founders raise capital on their own terms while building wealth that stays rooted in local communities. She is the CEO of Baltimore Community Commons, which fosters investment access, knowledge sharing, and mutual aid, and the owner of The Kassan Group, a boutique law firm serving impact entrepreneurs. Jenny is also the author of Raise Capital on Your Own Terms: How to Fund Your Business Without Selling Your Soul and a frequent speaker on innovative finance, sustainable business, and community wealth building.Jenny's leadership extends across the national crowdfunding and economic justice ecosystem. She currently serves as President of the Crowdfunding Professional Association and President of Community Ventures, and previously co-founded CrowdFund Main Street and the Sustainable Economies Law Center. Her public service includes serving on the Fremont City Council, advising the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on small and emerging companies, and directing community projects at the Alameda County District Attorney's Office. A graduate of Yale Law School and UC Berkeley, Jenny continues to shape policies and practices that empower entrepreneurs while advancing a more equitable economy.X/Twitter Handle: @jennykassanPersonal Facebook Profile: facebook.com/jenny.kassanLinkedin: linkedin.com/in/jennykassanInstagram Handle: @thekassangroupSupport Our SponsorsOur generous sponsors make our work possible, serving impact investors, social entrepreneurs, community builders and diverse founders. Today's advertisers include FundingHope, Rancho Affordable Housing (Proactive), and Power Up October. Learn more about advertising with us here.Max-Impact MembersThe following Max-Impact Members provide valuable financial support:Carol Fineagan, Independent Consultant | Hiten Sonpal, RISE Robotics | Lory Moore, Lory Moore Law | Mark Grimes, Networked Enterprise Development | Matthew Mead, Hempitecture | Michael Pratt, Qnetic | Dr. Nicole Paulk, Siren Biotechnology | Paul Lovejoy, Stakeholder Enterprise | Pearl Wright, Global Changemaker | Scott Thorpe, Philanthropist | Sharon Samjitsingh, Health Care Originals | Add Your Name HereUpcoming SuperCrowd Event CalendarIf a location is not noted, the events below are virtual.Superpowers for Good Live Pitch on October 6, 2025, hosted by Devin Thorpe on e360tv, will feature Core Tax Deeds, Dopple, ProActive Realty Group, and Victory Hemp Foods pitching their active Regulation Crowdfunding campaigns to a nationwide audience. Viewers can vote for their favorite companies, win prizes, ask live questions, and join a private investor Zoom session to engage directly with founders and even invest during the show. Don't miss this free chance to discover and support purpose-driven startups—register here: https://thesupercrowd.com/25q3pitchSuperCrowdHour, October 15, 2025, at 12:00 PM Eastern. Devin Thorpe, CEO and Founder of The Super Crowd, Inc., will lead a session on “The Perfect Pitch: Creating an Irresistible Offering.” As a former investment banker and author, Devin will guide entrepreneurs through the process of crafting a regulated investment crowdfunding offering that aligns with investor expectations and captures attention. In this session, he'll share what makes a pitch compelling, how to structure terms that attract capital, and practical strategies for presenting your company's story in a way that resonates with investors. Whether you're launching your first community raise or refining a current campaign, this SuperCrowdHour will equip you with the tools to stand out and secure investor support. Don't miss this opportunity to learn how to transform your vision into a pitch investors can't resist.Impact Cherub Club Meeting hosted by The Super Crowd, Inc., a public benefit corporation, on October 28, 2025, at 1:30 PM Eastern. Each month, the Club meets to review new offerings for investment consideration and to conduct due diligence on previously screened deals. To join the Impact Cherub Club, become an Impact Member of the SuperCrowd.SuperGreen Live, January 22–24, 2026, livestreaming globally. Organized by Green2Gold and The Super Crowd, Inc., this three-day event will spotlight the intersection of impact crowdfunding, sustainable innovation, and climate solutions. Featuring expert-led panels, interactive workshops, and live pitch sessions, SuperGreen Live brings together entrepreneurs, investors, policymakers, and activists to explore how capital and climate action can work hand in hand. With global livestreaming, VIP networking opportunities, and exclusive content, this event will empower participants to turn bold ideas into real impact. Don't miss your chance to join tens of thousands of changemakers at the largest virtual sustainability event of the year.Community Event CalendarSuccessful Funding with Karl Dakin, Tuesdays at 10:00 AM ET - Click on Events.KingsCrowd Investment Crowdfunding Week: September 29 through October 2nd, featuring speakers, panels and live pitches. Free registration!Earthstock Festival & Summit (Oct 2–5, 2025, Santa Monica & Venice, CA) unites music, arts, ecology, health, and green innovation for four days of learning, networking, and celebration. Register now at EarthstockFestival.com.Regulated Investment Crowdfunding Summit 2025, Crowdfunding Professional Association, Washington, DC, October 21-22, 2025.Impact Accelerator Summit is a live, in-person event taking place in Austin, Texas, from October 23–25, 2025. This exclusive gathering brings together 100 heart-centered, conscious entrepreneurs generating $1M+ in revenue with 20–30 family offices and venture funds actively seeking to invest in world-changing businesses. Referred by Michael Dash, participants can expect an inspiring, high-impact experience focused on capital connection, growth, and global impact.If you would like to submit an event for us to share with the 9,500+ changemakers, investors and entrepreneurs who are members of the SuperCrowd, click here.We use AI to help us write compelling recaps of each episode. Get full access to Superpowers for Good at www.superpowers4good.com/subscribe

DH Unplugged
DHUnplugged #771: Red October?

DH Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2025 62:29


Crypto pulling back October - one of the toughest months Day traders - some good news Intel's new growth model PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm-Up - Crypto pulling back - REMINDER - NEW CTP  for Lithium Americas (LAC) stock! - October - one of the toughest months - Day traders - some good news Markets - New Tariffs announced - Drugs, trucks, kitchen cabinets - Intel's new growth model - Quantum stocks rallying - Powell setting the stage RYDER CUP - What a finish! Friday Jobs Report Labor Dept - may - or may not release jobs report Friday - Fearing that a government shutdown will be problematic - Convenient US to take stake in Lithium Americas - Up 29% - Where are we coming up with all of this $ Red October? -9 of the 20 largest single-day drops in the Dow Jones occurred in October. - 1907 Bank Panic - 1929 Crash (Black Tuesday) - 1987 Crash (Black Monday, -22.6% in one day) - 2008 Financial Crisis (S&P 500 fell ~17% in October alone) - Since 1950, the S&P 500 has averaged a gain of ~0.91% in October -Over the past 20 years, October has been relatively favorable, with average gains between 0.8% and 1.5% for the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq. -October is 35% more volatile than the average month. Saudi Arabia for the Win! - Electronic Arts rallied on Friday following a report by the Wall Street Journal that the video game company is nearing a roughly $50 billion deal to go private. - The deal would likely be the largest leverage buyout of all time, according to the Journal. - Investors including Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund and Silver Lake could announce the deal as soon as next week, the report said - Also in n the TikTok Deal - what is up with that? - Oh - Jared Kushner's Affinity Partners is another participating investor, according to a source familiar with the matter, who asked not to be named because the discussions are private. On the Other hand - Shares of CarMax fell to an all-time low on Thursday, as investors disposed of positions after disappointing second-quarter earnings results. - This followed surprisingly disappointing financial and operating results, with retail used unit sales declining 5.4 percent, and comparable same-store sales decreasing 6.3 percent. - Net income declined by 28.16 percent to $95.4 million from $132.8 million in the same period last year, while net sales and operating revenues dropped by 6 percent to $6.59 billion from $7.013 billion year-on-year. - Carvana next or reason why KMX doing poorly? Ponzi Accusations - The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is accusing the men who bought bankrupt chains RadioShack, Modell's Sporting Goods, and Pier 1 Imports of running a Ponzi scheme that duped investors out of tens of millions of dollars. - A complaint filed in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of Florida on Tuesday, alleges the co-founders of Miami-based Retail Ecommerce Ventures, Alex Mehr and Tai Lopez, together with the company's Chief Operating Officer Maya Burkenroad, raised approximately $112 million combined from hundreds of U.S. investors by selling investments in eight companies they created and controlled under Retail Ecommerce Ventures. - Between April 2020 through Nov. 2022, they raised money by selling two types of investments. They sold unsecured notes that promised returns of up to 25% a year, and ownership shares that offered monthly payouts as high as 2%, according to the complaint.| - To pay interest, dividends and maturing note payments, Mehr and Lopez resorted to using a combination of loans from outside lenders, merchant cash advances, money raised from new and existing investors,

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Gold May Rally Up To $6,000-8,000/oz | Brien Lundin

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 30, 2025 70:56


Gold is up 40% this year.Silver's up almost 50%.And the mining stocks as a sector are up over 100%.Has the big money in precious metals now been made?Or is the party just getting started?For answers to all things gold, silver and the companies that mine them, we fortunate to speak with Brien Lundin, CEO of Jefferson Financial, publisher of GoldNewsleter.com and producer of the excellent New Orleans Investment Conference.LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#goldprice #silverprice #preciousmetals_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

The Treasury Update Podcast
Talking Tariffs: Current Status and Investment Impacts (Federated Hermes)

The Treasury Update Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 29, 2025 33:01


Craig Jeffery talks with Damian McIntyre and John Mosko of Federated Hermes about the evolving state of US tariffs, court rulings, and their ripple effects on inflation, the Fed, and investment strategies. They explore how companies are reacting, what it means for rates, and how treasury professionals can navigate duration and asset decisions in this environment.   Views are those of Federated Securities Corp. as of 9/05/25, and are subject to change based on market conditions and other factors. These views should not be construed as a recommendation for any specific security or sector. Bond prices are sensitive to changes in interest rates, and a rise in interest rates can cause a decline in their prices. You could lose money by investing in a mutual fund. Although some money market funds seek to preserve the value of your investment at $1.00 per share, they cannot guarantee they will do so. An investment in these funds is not a bank account and is not insured or guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other government agency. Ultrashort and other short duration bond funds are not “money market” mutual funds. Some money market mutual funds attempt to maintain a stable net asset value through compliance with relevant Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) rules. Short duration funds are not governed by those rules, and their shares will fluctuate in value. Due to various risks and uncertainties, actual events, results or actual performance may differ materially from that reflected or contemplated in any forward-looking statements. Nothing contained herein may be relied upon as a guarantee, or a representation as to the future. Although the information provided in this podcast has been obtained from sources which Federated Hermes believes to be reliable, it does not guarantee accuracy of such information and such information may be incomplete or condensed. Federated Hermes is not affiliated with Strategic Treasurer.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Our Addiction To Deficit Spending Is The Greatest Threat To Our Future Prosperity | Lyn Alden

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 28, 2025 68:24


Today's guest has long been warning that the US -- as well as many other countries -- is now in an era of fiscal dominance.That's when fiscal spending gets out of control, like a runaway train.It becomes so large that it becomes the primary determinant of economic growth and inflation -- steamrolling over any impact of monetary policy or private sector lending.At this time of this recording, the deficit for the 2025 US fiscal year is on track to be the 3rd largest in history, behind the COVID emergency spending years of 2020 and 2021.The key difference , of course, is this time we're not facing a global pandemic and economic lockdown. Yet the profligate deficit spending continues unabated.What impact is this having on the economy, asset prices, our currency's purchasing power, and social stability?For answers, we are very fortunate to welcome back to the program Lyn Alden, investment strategist & author of the book "Broken Money: Why Our Financial System is Failing Us and How We Can Make it Better"LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#deficit #money #inflation _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Odds Of Stock Market Correction Grow As Economy Slows | Lance Roberts

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 27, 2025 114:18


The leading economic indicators are showing that the economy is slowing further. Are we headed into recession?It's too early to tell.But it does put today's sky-high stock valuations in doubt, as they depend on very strong earnings growth next year -- which increasingly look at odds with the decelerating economic data.This boosts the chance of a coming correction in the stock market.How big of one?Lance and I discuss in today's video, along with the latest inflation numbers, AI, signs of growing vulnerability in the credit system, central planner intervention and, always, Lance's firm's latest trades,For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this Weekly Recap.#recession #inflation #ai 0:00 - Slowdown Signals: Leading Indicators Suggest Economic Weakening4:44 - Economic Data: 3.8% Q2 GDP Driven by Trade, Spending Outpaces Income6:43 - Earnings Gap: Mag 7 Slows, Bottom 493 Flat, 11-15% Growth Questioned9:18 - AI's Economic Impact: Reduces Jobs/Wages, Hurts Earnings Outlook10:00 - Leading Economic Index: Negative Turn Signals Slower Growth11:19 - 2022 Anomaly: Stimulus Masked Recession Signals, Now Normalizing13:57 - Yield Curve Uninversion: Signals Slower Growth, Recession Risk14:56 - Employment Trends: Full-Time Jobs Drop, Weakens Consumer Spending16:52 - Recession Context: 16-Year Gap, Policy Aversion to Downturns18:29 - Policy Response: All-Out Stimulus Likely for Even Mild Recession23:21 - Policy Addiction: QE, Zero Rates, Checks Expected at Job Losses26:20 - Inflation History: Pre-2000 Restraint vs. Post-Reagan Deficit Surge31:05 - Wealth Inequality: Top 10% Own ~80% Net Worth, Policy-Driven35:30 - Socialism vs. Capitalism: 46% Youth Favor Socialism Amid Inequality39:13 - Speculative Risks: Perpetual Options, Leveraged Bitcoin ETF Losses41:57 - AI Bubble: Nvidia-OpenAI Circular Financing Echoes Dot-Com Excesses47:53 - Entrepreneurship: Capital Access Easier, Opportunities for Scrappy Ideas57:12 - Precious Metals: Silver Melt-Up, Rebalanced to Manage Gains59:46 - Bitcoin Concerns: Leveraged ETFs Down 45%, Signals Risk-Off Move1:01:49 - Technical Analysis: Overbought High Beta, Declining Money Flows1:06:23 - Market Outlook: 5-10% Oct-Nov Correction, Buyable for Year-End Rally1:12:11 - Bond Bull Case: High Valuations, Low ERP Favor Bonds Over Stocks1:16:45 - Tricolor Bankruptcy: $1B Subprime Auto Loans Signal Credit Issues1:20:56 - PayPal's Buy-Now-Pay-Later: Debt Sale Raises Red Flags1:24:13 - AI Spending Risks: $800B Shortfall, Winner-Take-All Dynamics_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Bonds Looking Bullish In The Near-Term | Michael Lebowitz

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 25, 2025 66:13


Portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz joins us live to explain why he remains bullish on bonds here in the near term, as well as to take your Q&A#bonds #treasurybonds #inflation _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Overvalued Bull Markets Like Now "Do Not End Well" | New Harbor Financial

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 25, 2025 70:37


In this latest monthly outlook from the advisors at New Harbor Financial, John and Mike discuss investing in a world of nosebleed valuations levels during a time when the Fed is cutting rates.This doesn't happen often.What makes more sense: Ride the current party until it ends? Or play it safe and leave it early?We evaluate the options in today's video, as well as what to do if sitting on big gains in the precious metals. We also identify several important end-of-year moves investors should consider implementing before the winter holidays arrive.LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#bullmarket #marketcorrection #goldprice _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Likely Near-Term Pullback Should Present A Buying Opportunity | Mark Newton, Fundstrat

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 23, 2025 57:59


When today's guest was last on the program back in May, he made the bold prediction that new all-time highs for the stock market were just weeks away.And he was right.And since then, markets have continued powering higher, trading at a new all-time high the day of this recording.So, is he still bullish on the markets prospects for the remainder of the year?To find out, we're fortunate to welcome back to the program Mark Newton, Head of Technical Strategy at market research firm Fundstrat, where he works with its founder Tom Lee.Mark thinks stocks will likely enter a 5-10% correction in October/November -- which will offer a buying opportunity before the end of the year rally.After that? He thinks a more pronounced correction from extended highs could happen in the first half of 2026.LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#bullmarket #marketcorrection #technicalanalysis _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Sick Labor Market To Pop Biggest Stock Bubble Ever Seen? | George Gammon

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 21, 2025 99:08


The stock market is back in party mode since zooming back to all-time highs in the wake of the April Liberation Day lows.And the Fed just cut its policy rate for the first time this year, and guided that more cuts likely lie ahead.So, can the bulls remain in charge and keep powering asset prices higher into 2026?Or are the many potential risks, not the least of which is a slowing economy, more likely to bring an end to the party?To discuss, we have the good fortune to welcome George Gammon to the program. George is best-known for his financial education media endeavors, most notably his George Gammon and Rebel Capitalist YouTube channels.LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#bubble #labormarket #jobs _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Ralph Nader Radio Hour
Dirtbag Billionaire

Ralph Nader Radio Hour

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 20, 2025 85:37


Ralph interviews New York Times reporter, David Gelles, about his new book, “Dirtbag Billionaire: How Yvon Chouinard Built Patagonia, Made a Fortune, and Gave It All Away.” Then, we welcome back former IRS commissioner, John Koskinen, to update us on how the Trump Administration is dismantling the IRS and stealing your personal information.David Gelles is a reporter on the New York Times climate team and he leads the Times's “Climate Forward” newsletter and events series. He is the author of The Man Who Broke Capitalism: How Jack Welch Gutted the Heartland and Crushed the Soul of Corporate America—and How to Undo His Legacy, and his new book is Dirtbag Billionaire: How Yvon Chouinard Built Patagonia, Made a Fortune, and Gave It All Away.He [Yvon Chouinard] saw Patagonia as a role model for other corporations and believed that by running Patagonia in a different way, he could show that capitalism just didn't have to suck so much.David GellesThere's a paradox that runs through the pages of Dirtbag Billionaire and it's never fully resolved…It's the fact that Chouinard is an environmentalist who wants to reduce the impact of mankind on planet earth, and yet he runs a big, complicated clothing company that is taking a toll on the environment that he's trying to protect. He runs a company that in theory, he says, and in practice is largely doing, the work of funding grassroots activists and environmental conservation. But he's doing it by participating in the very capitalist system that is responsible for so much of the damage to our natural world. And the list goes on. These contradictions are what really has animated Chouinard and his executive team for all these years. They understand their own perfections. But unlike most, they are willing to really examine their own failings, to look it square in the eye, straight in the mirror, and try to figure out how to make things better.David GellesChouinard being a “dirtbag” is something he always identified as and he still does at a certain level. The great insult in his mind is being called a “billionaire.”David GellesJohn Koskinen served as the IRS Commissioner from 2013 to 2017.Lobbyists and corporations are very good at making sure that [tax advantages] always stayed. You never hear too often of tax advantages taken out of the code, what everybody argues about as new ones being put into the code.John KoskinenThese (IRS workers) are very skilled people who in fact have given up the opportunity to make two or three times more money in the private sector because they believe in public service.John KoskinenNews 9/19/25* Just weeks after David Ellison's Skydance Media completed their $8 billion takeover of Paramount Global, Ellison is setting his sights even higher – a proposed $70 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, Variety reports. If this deal proceeds, it would mean that Ellison would control CNN in addition to CBS news, the latter of which he seemingly plans to place under the supervision of “anti-woke” arch-zionist media personality Bari Weiss. While true that cable news does not possess nearly as much clout as it did just a few years ago, this would represent a nearly unprecedented consolidation in that sector. Ellison and his lieutenants would wield a tremendous amount of influence in the media, which would translate to real impacts on the political process. It remains to be seen whether the Trump administration media regulators will take any action to block this deal. Based on their actions so far, it seems unlikely.* In more media news, ABC has indefinitely suspended Jimmy Kimmel Live!, which the comedian has hosted since 2003, after he criticized Trump and his allies for “capitaliz[ing]” on the murder of Charlie Kirk to score political points, CNN reports. Federal Communications Commission Chairman Brendan Carr threatened action up to and including revoking the broadcast license for ABC, which airs the program, or possibly blocking their merger with Nexstar. While Rolling Stone reports multiple executives at ABC and its parent company Disney, felt that Kimmel “had not actually said anything over the line,” they folded immediately under the threat of retaliation by the administration. This move represents a major contradiction of Carr's previously stated belief that “[the FCC] must dismantle the censorship cartel and restore free speech rights for everyday Americans.” Democrats are incensed at this attack on free speech, Congressman Ro Khanna is seeking to subpoena Carr to testify to the House Oversight Committee. Trump, feeling confident after claiming the scalp of both Kimmel and Colbert – two outspoken critics – is now calling for NBC to remove Jimmy Fallon and Seth Meyers, via Truth Social. Variety reports conservative media conglomerate Sinclair will “replace the Friday timeslot of ‘Jimmy Kimmel Live!' with a Charlie Kirk tribute special on its ABC affiliate stations — and is offering the special to all other ABC stations across the country.”* Regarding social media, the Wall Street Journal reports that the U.S. and China are nearing a deal on control of TikTok, under a framework in which “an investor consortium including Oracle... Silver Lake and Andreessen Horowitz” would acquire an 80% stake. Oracle is of course run by David Ellison's father, Larry Ellison, one of the richest men in the world, while Andreessen Horowitz is the venture capital firm of Trump ally Marc Andreessen. Silver Lake is another Silicon Valley private equity firm. This deal would finally put an end to the nebulous legal limbo created by Congress passing the TikTok ban and Trump refusing to enforce it. According to this report, the new company that would be created to run TikTok in America, “would also have an American-dominated board with one member designated by the U.S. government.”* The administration is seeking to shore up support in corporate America in other ways too. Trump has renewed his 2018 push to eliminate the reports businesses are mandated to issue on a quarterly basis, moving to a biannual reporting system. Trump argues that this shift would “cut costs and discourage shortsightedness on the part of publicly traded companies.” Others however believe that this change could be harmful to the economy, making companies less transparent and therefore increasing potential investor risk. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) said it is “making Trump's proposal a priority.” This from Reuters.* More troubling signs are emerging in the U.S economy. Per Bloomberg, “Consumers in the top 10% of the income distribution accounted for 49.2% of total spending,” in the second quarter of 2025. This is the highest percentage of consumer spending accounted for by that demographic going back to 1989, according to an analysis of the Federal Reserve's Financial Accounts and Survey of Consumer Finance data conducted by Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody's. Chandan Economics reports a spike in late rent payments in August, suggesting stress in the “financial health of renter households,” while for homeowners, Polymarket reports that even more people are searching "help with mortgage" on Google than during the 2008 housing crisis. This comes as only 1.3 million home building permits were issued in August, the lowest level since the Spring of 2020, according to economist and Washington Post columnist Heather Long. Taken together, this data paints a picture of an economy flailing, and kept afloat only by the very rich.* Speaking of the very rich, the first American Pope, Leo the XIV, condemned the precipitous rise in CEO pay compared to their employees. Leo remarked that CEOs now make “600 times more than what average workers are receiving," adding "What does that mean…If [money] is the only thing that has value anymore, then we're in big trouble." Specifically, Leo was referring to the proposed new compensation package for Tesla CEO Elon Musk, which could turn the billionaire into a trillionaire. This from Yahoo! Finance. Senator Bernie Sanders echoed this sentiment, writing “The Pope is exactly right. No society can survive when one man becomes a trillionaire while the vast majority struggle to just survive — trying to put food on the table, pay rent and afford health care. We can and must do better.”* Turning to Israel and Gaza, AP reports Jerry Greenfield of Ben & Jerry's is resigning from the company after 47 years. In a letter, Jerry explains that he could not “in good conscience” remain at Ben & Jerry's because their parent company – the British conglomerate Unilever – has been constraining his ability to advocate against the genocide in Gaza. Jerry writes “For more than 20 years under their ownership, Ben & Jerry's stood up and spoke out in support of peace, justice and human rights, not as abstract concepts, but in relation to real events happening in our world…It's profoundly disappointing to come to the conclusion that that independence, the very basis of our sale to Unilever, is gone.” This is the largest, but by no means only, rupture between Ben & Jerry's and Unilever; this report notes “In March Ben & Jerry's said that its CEO was unlawfully removed by Unilever in retaliation for the ice cream maker's social and political activism.” However, as Greenfield's departure illustrates, the founders have little recourse besides their public platform and resignation.* In a sign of Israel's waning influence in the Democratic Party, POLITICO reports Democratic public affairs “megafirm” SKDK has ended their $600,000 contract with the state of Israel which was supposed to run from April 2025 through March 2026. The firm's recent focus had been “pitching guests for news shows to hear Israel's side of the war in Gaza.” The firm has been tight-lipped on this decision, saying only the work “had run its course.” Yet, this decision comes directly on the heels of reporting that Stagwell, the parent company of SKDK, was involved in “setting up a bot program ‘to amplify pro-Israel narratives on Instagram, TikTok, LinkedIn, YouTube, and other platforms,'” as revealed in a Foreign Agents Registration Act filing.* On Wednesday, Senator Bernie Sanders crossed a major rhetorical rubicon, labeling Israel's actions in Gaza a “genocide.” In an op-ed appropriate titled “It Is Genocide,” Sanders cites the casualty totals – noting that “The full toll is likely much higher, with many thousands of bodies buried under the rubble” – along with the Israeli blockade on the enclave and their systematic destruction of Gaza's infrastructure, including hospitals, water and sanitation facilities and schools. Sanders also cites the genocidal intent expressed by Israeli leaders, through quotes like “the Gaza Strip should be flattened, and there should be one sentence for everyone there — death. We have to wipe the Gaza Strip off the map. There are no innocents there.” Sanders concludes this piece by warning that if the world fails to act, as during the Holocaust, Netanyahu and other “demagogues” will feel emboldened. History, Sanders writes “demands that the world act with one voice to say: enough is enough. No more genocide.” After Sanders' announcement, Vermont Congresswoman Becca Balint came out with her own statement accepting the genocide label. Zeteo reports a total of 20 members of Congress now say Israel is committing genocide.* Finally, to end on a positive note, on Monday the House passed the bipartisan Mental Health in Aviation Act, which seeks to “break down…barriers and support the mental health of our aviation workforce by changing the current rules which prevent aviation professionals from seeking mental health care by imposing unfair penalties on those who do,” according to a press release by the bill's Republican sponsor Pete Stauber. A press release from the Democratic sponsor, Sean Casten, reads “Aviators should not be unfairly penalized for seeking mental health care…The current system perpetuates a culture of silence, and it's past time that changes.” Some observers have attributed some credit for the passage of this bill to the comedian Nathan Fielder's series The Rehearsal, the latest season of which dealt extensively with the issue of aviators' mental health. While congressional staff have downplayed the show's influence, it seems hard to deny that at the very least it raised the profile of this pressing issue. Either way, hopefully this bill will make it safer to fly by removing the stigma from pilots seeking mental healthcare. Get full access to Ralph Nader Radio Hour at www.ralphnaderradiohour.com/subscribe

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart
Rising Reversal Risk In Stocks? | Lance Roberts

Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 20, 2025 115:27


Right now nearly every asset class in rising in price simultaneously.And many indices and individual securities are hitting all-time highs.Investors are getting increasingly confident -- which explains the ongoing melt-up.How long will it last?And when it reverses, will it do so gently? Or violently?The longer the current momentum continues at this pace, the more likely the reckoning is sooner and more painful.Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss why, as well as the latest technical analysis, this week's FOMC release, gold, AI, social media, the just-announced TikTok deal, the housing market and Lance's firm's latest trades.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.LOCK IN THE EARLY BIRD PRICE DISCOUNT FOR THE THOUGHTFUL MONEY FALL CONFERENCE AT https://thoughtfulmoney.com/conference#interestrates #marketcorrection #bullmarket 0:00 - Market Heat: High Correlation Across Asset Classes (Stocks, Gold, Bitcoin)2:48 - Why This Rally Isn't "Broken" Yet – Investment Committee Insights3:35 - Train Analogy: Momentum Hard to Stop Despite Slowing Economy4:36 - Earnings as Key Driver: Bull Case vs. Risk of Reversal7:16 - Broad Momentum: Accumulator Model +8%, All-Weather +6%, AI +9%8:14 - Outlook: Exuberance Leads to 5-10% Correction, But Hard to Time10:11 - Tax Cuts Minor; Deregulation & AI Could Drive Growth (Nvidia-Intel Stake)13:31 - Historical Parallels: 1998-99, 2021 Euphoria Ends in Corrections14:46 - Q4 Tailwinds: Earnings Beats, Buybacks +50% YoY, Manager Chasing16:42 - Bias Upward Through Year-End, But 3-5% Pullback Possible18:53 - Google Parabolic: 3-4 Std Dev Above Moving Averages19:35 - Standard Deviations Explained: 99% Odds of Correction24:18 - Gold Also Parabolic: Take Profits, Hedge Positions27:02 - Google AI Threat: Search Monopoly at Risk from Ad Revenue Loss37:47 - Mark Newton Outlook: Momentum to Oct/Nov, Then Correction into 202644:14 - Dot Plot: 4 More Cuts into 2026; Projections Show Slow Growth (1.8%)48:45 - TikTok Deal: Missed Chance to Curb Societal Harm from Social Media59:27 - Housing Cracks: Inventory Up in Midwest/Northeast (Boston +11%)1:04:54 - Idea: Incentive Kids to Live Nearby – Free House After Raising Family1:18:03 - Trades: Position Swaps Next Week – Max 30 Stocks for Outperformance1:20:21 - Rant: Lance's Wife Post-Chemo – Back to Work, Hilarious Wig Story1:26:40 - YouTube Wins: Nutritious, Authentic Content on Demand1:31:16 - Hater Drama: Troll Picks Fights for Visibility – Followers Defend_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.