Podcasts about chief investment strategist

For years, investors lived by TINA: “There Is No Alternative” to stocks. With interest rates near zero and bond yields offering little income, equities dominated the investment landscape. But that math has changed. Today, Treasury yields are above 5%, investment-grade corporate bonds offer competitive income, and real yields have climbed to levels not seen in nearly two decades. Meanwhile, stock valuations remain historically elevated. That creates TIGA: “There Is a Good Alternative.” Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine what the changing relationship between stocks and bonds means for portfolio diversification, why the equity risk premium has narrowed, and how investors can think about balancing income, risk, and long-term return potential. 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - TINA, TIGA; Bulls & Bears; no pants 2:28 - Did the Fed make a mistake in hiking rates prior to PCE Index Release? 3:13 - Oil Prices & Inflation vs Price Levels 4:21 - GDP Calculations: Consumers and Businesses 5:17 - What the Fed is Fighting 8:13 - Where is a Trading opportunity in Bonds? (TNX) 11:15- Investors are Off-sides on Bonds 15:00 - TINA vs TIGA: What it Means 17:27 - How Are You Getting Paid to Diversify? 19:39 - Equity Risk Premium or Discount (chart) 22:15 - Bonds vs Bond ETF's 25:26 - Why Bonds are Like Annuities 27:00 - Rooting for a Technology Crash (chart)... 28:43 - Technology Stocks are Least-sensitive to Interest Rates 32:09 - Yields Take a While to Impact 33:21 - Credit Spreads are Starting to Widen: A Warning Sign for Markets? 39:06 - Small Business Loan Rates 41:07 - The Thing that the Market Cares About (Forward Earnings) 44:56 - Employment Data Preview ==== Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "Bond Yields May Be Setting Up a Trade," https://youtu.be/ikGixV15dME ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/JV2n7ESiZ54?feature=share -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: What's Holding Up the Market? " https://youtube.com/live/BSygFM2sS7Y ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondMarket #TreasuryYields #InterestRates #TLT #Investing

Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, talks PCE benign relative to expectations, ripple effects of spike in diesel prices still to come and signs that Great Moderation Era is in rearview mirror. She Spoke to Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The major indexes remain near record territory, but beneath the surface, the picture is considerably more complicated. Technology continues to provide important support while market breadth has weakened, Treasury yields remain elevated, and small- and mid-cap stocks have faced greater pressure. Meanwhile, investors are weighing the Federal Reserve's latest rate hike, higher bond yields, oil prices, stretched areas of the market, Nvidia's massive stock buyback, and questions about whether Technology can continue carrying so much of the market's weight. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff take your questions directly from the YouTube live chat and discuss what these developments could mean for markets, portfolios, interest rates, bonds, retirement planning, and the economy. 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - Last day of the Quarter; Friday is Employment Day 2:18 - JOLTS Report - Labor Hoarding 6:10 - Markets Continue to Consolidate; Breadth is Very Weak 7:51 - The Set up for a Year End Rally 10:46 - When you're right...and keeping score 13:00 - Cash on Hand? 13:46 - Investor Sentiment Then & Now 15:27 - What about Utilities Now? 16:20 - RSP vs SPY? 17:24 - Interest Rate Sensitive Small- & Mid-caps? 19:08 - When Trading Patterns Fail? (chart) 22:15 - Can You Remember a Time when the US Has Been This Resilient? (yes) 25:40 - Data Center Growth Projections to 2040 27:48 - When do We Know When the Bond Market Crashes? (Why does the Fed hike rates?) (chart) 32:38 - Taking Advantage of Rate Environment to Buy a House 35:34 - Collateralized Loan Obligations as Investments: Know the quality of underlying loans 37:13 - Is Now a Good Time to Invest in REITS? 39:57 - Total Cost of a House Over Time? (What the Real American Dream is...) 42:13 - What is a Qualified Dividend (AMLP & Buying Dividend Companies) 43:44 - The Three Legs of a Portfolio 45:11 - Bumping Up 401k Contributions ==== Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "Market Breadth Sends a Warning " https://youtu.be/YR2WHQHpryU ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/BSygFM2sS7Y -------- Watch our previous show, "Stop Trying to Beat the Market" https://youtu.be/_m7uSDmtseI ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketBreadth #SP500 #Investing #MarketOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketOutlook #Bonds

The major indexes remain near record territory, but beneath the surface, the picture is considerably more complicated. Technology continues to provide important support while market breadth has weakened, Treasury yields remain elevated, and small- and mid-cap stocks have faced greater pressure. Meanwhile, investors are weighing the Federal Reserve's latest rate hike, higher bond yields, oil prices, stretched areas of the market, Nvidia's massive stock buyback, and questions about whether Technology can continue carrying so much of the market's weight. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff take your questions directly from the YouTube live chat and discuss what these developments could mean for markets, portfolios, interest rates, bonds, retirement planning, and the economy. 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - Last day of the Quarter; Friday is Employment Day 2:18 - JOLTS Report - Labor Hoarding 6:10 - Markets Continue to Consolidate; Breadth is Very Weak 7:51 - The Set up for a Year End Rally 10:46 - When you're right...and keeping score 13:00 - Cash on Hand? 13:46 - Investor Sentiment Then & Now 15:27 - What about Utilities Now? 16:20 - RSP vs SPY? 17:24 - Interest Rate Sensitive Small- & Mid-caps? 19:08 - When Trading Patterns Fail? (chart) 22:15 - Can You Remember a Time when the US Has Been This Resilient? (yes) 25:40 - Data Center Growth Projections to 2040 27:48 - When do We Know When the Bond Market Crashes? (Why does the Fed hike rates?) (chart) 32:38 - Taking Advantage of Rate Environment to Buy a House 35:34 - Collateralized Loan Obligations as Investments: Know the quality of underlying loans 37:13 - Is Now a Good Time to Invest in REITS? 39:57 - Total Cost of a House Over Time? (What the Real American Dream is...) 42:13 - What is a Qualified Dividend (AMLP & Buying Dividend Companies) 43:44 - The Three Legs of a Portfolio 45:11 - Bumping Up 401k Contributions ==== Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "Market Breadth Sends a Warning " https://youtu.be/YR2WHQHpryU ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/BSygFM2sS7Y -------- Watch our previous show, "Stop Trying to Beat the Market" https://youtu.be/_m7uSDmtseI ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketBreadth #SP500 #Investing #MarketOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #MarketOutlook #Bonds

Can even the wealthiest investors consistently beat the market? Recent data comparing the Forbes 400 with the S&P 500 raises an important question about investment performance, indexing, and the pursuit of market-beating returns. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn examine why Americans across generations remain uncertain about their future financial needs, and what that says about the importance of planning beyond portfolio performance. Then, we put a real-world income decision under the microscope: a 5-year Multi-Year Guaranteed Annuity (MYGA) yielding 6% versus a 5-year U.S. Treasury yielding 5%. Is the additional yield worth the differences in liquidity, guarantees, taxes, and risk? 0:00 - INTRO 1:00 - National Coffee Day 1:55 - ISM Report/Dallas Fed: 4% GDP Growth? 4:02 - Earnings Season About to Begin/Market Seasonality Set up 6:20 - Markets Continue to Bore; very deceptive 7:54 - Reflexive Rally today? 9:36 - Where to bet on Markets' next move? 11:24 - National Coffee Day & Lance's Weekend Indulgence; Peanut Butter poll 15:15 - Kneejerk Reactions by Investors to Constantly Beat the Market (Fortune 400 vs S&P 500) 18:34 - When Investors Meddle with Portfolios 21:58 - How to Lose Money on a Bond 23:20 - When You're Down in a Position (and don't want to sell at a loss...) 25:49 - Is There a Strategy for Looking for under-valued bonds? 29:37 - Are there Concerns over Stability of US Treasury Market? (6% MYGA vs 5% Treasury) 36:51 - What about Brokered CD's? 39:31 - Managing a Portfolio for Maximum Tax Efficiency; Dealing with Taxes on Bonds 46:58 - Investor Optimism & Beating the Market - Investors Keep Less than the Funds They Own (chart) ==== Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "What the S&P 500 Is Hiding," https://youtu.be/_m7uSDmtseI ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/rw1VkcLx91U -------- Watch our previous show, "Can the S&P 500 Really Reach 9,000?" https://youtube.com/live/6XwMMbygt6k ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Jefferies Sets 9000 Market Target: Everything Must Go Right" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/jefferies-sets-9000-target-for-market-everything-must-go-right/ "Investor Optimism Wins As An Investment Strategy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-optimism-wins-as-an-investment-strategy/ "McDonald's At Four-Year Lows Isn't As Worrisome As Some Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mcdonalds-at-four-year-lows-isnt-as-worrisome-as-some-fear/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP500 #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #Investing #Nvidia #FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning #Bonds #MYGA #PeanutButter

Can even the wealthiest investors consistently beat the market? Recent data comparing the Forbes 400 with the S&P 500 raises an important question about investment performance, indexing, and the pursuit of market-beating returns. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn examine why Americans across generations remain uncertain about their future financial needs, and what that says about the importance of planning beyond portfolio performance. Then, we put a real-world income decision under the microscope: a 5-year Multi-Year Guaranteed Annuity (MYGA) yielding 6% versus a 5-year U.S. Treasury yielding 5%. Is the additional yield worth the differences in liquidity, guarantees, taxes, and risk? 0:00 - INTRO 1:00 - National Coffee Day 1:55 - ISM Report/Dallas Fed: 4% GDP Growth? 4:02 - Earnings Season About to Begin/Market Seasonality Set up 6:20 - Markets Continue to Bore; very deceptive 7:54 - Reflexive Rally today? 9:36 - Where to bet on Markets' next move? 11:24 - National Coffee Day & Lance's Weekend Indulgence; Peanut Butter poll 15:15 - Kneejerk Reactions by Investors to Constantly Beat the Market (Fortune 400 vs S&P 500) 18:34 - When Investors Meddle with Portfolios 21:58 - How to Lose Money on a Bond 23:20 - When You're Down in a Position (and don't want to sell at a loss...) 25:49 - Is There a Strategy for Looking for under-valued bonds? 29:37 - Are there Concerns over Stability of US Treasury Market? (6% MYGA vs 5% Treasury) 36:51 - What about Brokered CD's? 39:31 - Managing a Portfolio for Maximum Tax Efficiency; Dealing with Taxes on Bonds 46:58 - Investor Optimism & Beating the Market - Investors Keep Less than the Funds They Own (chart) ==== Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "What the S&P 500 Is Hiding," https://youtu.be/_m7uSDmtseI ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/rw1VkcLx91U -------- Watch our previous show, "Can the S&P 500 Really Reach 9,000?" https://youtube.com/live/6XwMMbygt6k ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Jefferies Sets 9000 Market Target: Everything Must Go Right" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/jefferies-sets-9000-target-for-market-everything-must-go-right/ "Investor Optimism Wins As An Investment Strategy" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-optimism-wins-as-an-investment-strategy/ "McDonald's At Four-Year Lows Isn't As Worrisome As Some Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/mcdonalds-at-four-year-lows-isnt-as-worrisome-as-some-fear/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP500 #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #Investing #Nvidia #FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning #Bonds #MYGA #PeanutButter

Can the S&P 500 really reach 9,000? Jefferies has set a 9,000 target for the index by the end of 2027, but getting there may require nearly everything to go right. Lance Roberts examines the assumptions behind that forecast, including earnings growth, historically high profit margins, AI-driven capital spending, market valuations, and interest rates. With earnings estimates moving higher instead of following their typical pattern of downward revisions, Wall Street's outlook has become increasingly optimistic. But what happens if earnings growth slows, margins begin to mean-revert, AI spending fails to generate the expected returns, or Treasury yields remain elevated? We look beyond the headline target to examine the math, the risks, and what investors should consider when market expectations leave little room for disappointment. 0:00 - INTRO 0:53 - End of Quarter Prep 2:00 - October tends to be strong in mid-term election years 4:05 - If you're starting to feel bearish...Markets are sitting near all-time highs 9:41 - Baylor Fathers' Weekend, Hope for the Future, and Coffee Coming... 16:50 - Iran Conflict continues; oil prices remain elevated 18:26 - Economic numbers continue strong (charts) despite higher interest rates 23:01 - Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (chart) 24:37 - We're not Recessionary yet - Disinflationary action is coming 26:40 - When does consumer cushion run out? 27:53 - Positive effects of Cap-ex spending 29:30 - Effects of Cap spending (Why not everyone wants a WalMart...) 32:57 - Can the S&P Really Reach 9,000? 35:57 - Estimates Usually Fall 37:09 - Earnings are Breaking Above 90-year Ceiling, and rising... 38:17 - The Earnings Path has a Hole in it 39:25 - Not one Fed Official Sees a Downside to Growth 42:32 - What Has to Happen Next ==== Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "Is a Major Market Rotation Coming?" https://youtu.be/O4vmRc0LypA ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/6XwMMbygt6k -------- Watch our previous show, "Will the Next Trade Be Bonds?" https://youtube.com/live/TeDizY1oNmY?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Jefferies Sets 9000 Market Target: Everything Must Go Right" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/jefferies-sets-9000-target-for-market-everything-must-go-right/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRotation #TechnologyStocks #StockMarket #SectorRotation #Investing #SP500 #Investing #MarketOutlook #SP9000

Can the S&P 500 really reach 9,000? Jefferies has set a 9,000 target for the index by the end of 2027, but getting there may require nearly everything to go right. Lance Roberts examines the assumptions behind that forecast, including earnings growth, historically high profit margins, AI-driven capital spending, market valuations, and interest rates. With earnings estimates moving higher instead of following their typical pattern of downward revisions, Wall Street's outlook has become increasingly optimistic. But what happens if earnings growth slows, margins begin to mean-revert, AI spending fails to generate the expected returns, or Treasury yields remain elevated? We look beyond the headline target to examine the math, the risks, and what investors should consider when market expectations leave little room for disappointment. 0:00 - INTRO 0:53 - End of Quarter Prep 2:00 - October tends to be strong in mid-term election years 4:05 - If you're starting to feel bearish...Markets are sitting near all-time highs 9:41 - Baylor Fathers' Weekend, Hope for the Future, and Coffee Coming... 16:50 - Iran Conflict continues; oil prices remain elevated 18:26 - Economic numbers continue strong (charts) despite higher interest rates 23:01 - Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (chart) 24:37 - We're not Recessionary yet - Disinflationary action is coming 26:40 - When does consumer cushion run out? 27:53 - Positive effects of Cap-ex spending 29:30 - Effects of Cap spending (Why not everyone wants a WalMart...) 32:57 - Can the S&P Really Reach 9,000? 35:57 - Estimates Usually Fall 37:09 - Earnings are Breaking Above 90-year Ceiling, and rising... 38:17 - The Earnings Path has a Hole in it 39:25 - Not one Fed Official Sees a Downside to Growth 42:32 - What Has to Happen Next ==== Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "Is a Major Market Rotation Coming?" https://youtu.be/O4vmRc0LypA ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/6XwMMbygt6k -------- Watch our previous show, "Will the Next Trade Be Bonds?" https://youtube.com/live/TeDizY1oNmY?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Jefferies Sets 9000 Market Target: Everything Must Go Right" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/jefferies-sets-9000-target-for-market-everything-must-go-right/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRotation #TechnologyStocks #StockMarket #SectorRotation #Investing #SP500 #Investing #MarketOutlook #SP9000

With interest rates, inflation, oil prices, Treasury yields, and stock market valuations all competing for investors' attention, what should you be watching now? As the S&P 500 approaches record territory, can markets sustain a breakout, or are new risks beginning to emerge? Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions from the YouTube live chat, and break down the economic, investing, and consumer stories shaping markets this week. We'll discuss what the latest economic and market signals could mean for stocks, bonds, portfolio positioning, retirement planning, and consumers, while separating short-term headlines from longer-term financial considerations. 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - S&P Global Manufacturing Index showing rising costs 3:17 - Market is doing what September Markets do 7:29 - The Dollar is on a tear 9:27 - Coffee & Semi-Conductors 13:39 - S&P Global Manufacturing Index - Market over-reaction to nothing new 16:28 - Capitulation Event for Yields 17:50 - 5-Year Bond Auction - Failed or Poor? 24:01 - Why We Bought 5-year Treasuries 26:01 - The TINA Trade vs the TIGA Trade 32:43 - How We Build Bond Portfolios - ETF's vs Individual Bonds 35:42 - If Bonds Get Crushed 37:20 - Rooting for Gloom & Doom 40:00 - The Great Bond Massacre of 1068 40:57 - Fear in the Bond Market is Starting to Spread Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "Why Your Portfolio May Be Lagging the S&P 500," https://youtu.be/H7TLBSsGh3M ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Rates, Risks, & Record Highs" https://youtube.com/live/TeDizY1oNmY?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #SmallCaps #InterestRates #Investing #Bonds #BondMarket

With interest rates, inflation, oil prices, Treasury yields, and stock market valuations all competing for investors' attention, what should you be watching now? As the S&P 500 approaches record territory, can markets sustain a breakout, or are new risks beginning to emerge? Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions from the YouTube live chat, and break down the economic, investing, and consumer stories shaping markets this week. We'll discuss what the latest economic and market signals could mean for stocks, bonds, portfolio positioning, retirement planning, and consumers, while separating short-term headlines from longer-term financial considerations. 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - S&P Global Manufacturing Index showing rising costs 3:17 - Market is doing what September Markets do 7:29 - The Dollar is on a tear 9:27 - Coffee & Semi-Conductors 13:39 - S&P Global Manufacturing Index - Market over-reaction to nothing new 16:28 - Capitulation Event for Yields 17:50 - 5-Year Bond Auction - Failed or Poor? 24:01 - Why We Bought 5-year Treasuries 26:01 - The TINA Trade vs the TIGA Trade 32:43 - How We Build Bond Portfolios - ETF's vs Individual Bonds 35:42 - If Bonds Get Crushed 37:20 - Rooting for Gloom & Doom 40:00 - The Great Bond Massacre of 1068 40:57 - Fear in the Bond Market is Starting to Spread Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "Why Your Portfolio May Be Lagging the S&P 500," https://youtu.be/H7TLBSsGh3M ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Rates, Risks, & Record Highs" https://youtube.com/live/TeDizY1oNmY?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #SmallCaps #InterestRates #Investing #Bonds #BondMarket

With interest rates, inflation, oil prices, Treasury yields, and stock market valuations all competing for investors' attention, what should you be watching now? As the S&P 500 approaches record territory, can markets sustain a breakout, or are new risks beginning to emerge? Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions from the YouTube live chat, and break down the economic, investing, and consumer stories shaping markets this week. We'll discuss what the latest economic and market signals could mean for stocks, bonds, portfolio positioning, retirement planning, and consumers, while separating short-term headlines from longer-term financial considerations. 0:00 - INTRO 1:08 - Trump - Xi Summit - Much ado about nothing 2:17 - Possible Export Ban on Diesel Exports? 3:35 - Earnings Growth Estimates are Very Large - That's a Risk 5:34 - Markets Hold Up Above Moving Averages 5:56 - Factor Rotation Model performance - VTV Value Index Under Pressure - MGK - Large Cap Growth Stocks proxy 9:48 - Fed Rate Hike Coordinated for Yen Carry Trade? (No, a martket-driven rate hike) 12:28 - Gold Correlation with Real Interest Rates 12:40 - Why Rotate into Financials? (Factor Rotation Model) 13:52 - How do Earnings Grow When the Middle Class is Getting Squeezed? (K-Shaped Economy) 16:58 - Stock Analysis: AMD (NOT a recommendation) 20:10 - Income Producing ETF's in Preparation for Retirement (JPQ) (NOT a Recommendation) 22:09 - Money Moving Out of Stocks into Fixed Income? (charts) 24:49- Tracking Forward Earnings Estimates Revisions 26:05 - Dealing with Gloom-and-Doom Narratives 30:07 - Series: Investing for the Long Term (link is below) 31:54 - Cryptocurrency-A (Tether) Holding US Treasuries; StableCoin, Solana 35:17 - How much Higher Will Rates Run this Year? 35:40 - M2 Correlation with Inflation? (All money is lent into existence) 37:18 - RSP vs SPY and Sector Rotation 38:22 - Late Year Market Dip Yet? 39:11 - Lance is rich and out of touch?? (There will always be the poor among us...) 44:16 - Where did this inflation come from? (We don't want deflation) 46:50 - How We're (really) Doing Financially (chart) 50:14 - What Danny Wears as Market Indicator Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "Is Money Rotating From Growth to Value?," https://youtu.be/46Y-k5LfWxA ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/TeDizY1oNmY?feature=share -------- Watch our previous show, "Can Your Kids Afford to Invest Without You?" https://youtube.com/live/ewgHX5U7dEg ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:" "Portfolio Risk Management: Winning The Long Game (Chapter 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-winning-the-long-game-chapter-5/ "K-Shaped Economy: Reality Or Media-Driven Perception" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/k-shaped-economy-reality-or-media-driven-perception/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #GrowthStocks #ValueStocks #MarketRotation #InterestRates #FederalReserve #Investing #RetirementPlanning

With interest rates, inflation, oil prices, Treasury yields, and stock market valuations all competing for investors' attention, what should you be watching now? As the S&P 500 approaches record territory, can markets sustain a breakout, or are new risks beginning to emerge? Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions from the YouTube live chat, and break down the economic, investing, and consumer stories shaping markets this week. We'll discuss what the latest economic and market signals could mean for stocks, bonds, portfolio positioning, retirement planning, and consumers, while separating short-term headlines from longer-term financial considerations. 0:00 - INTRO 1:08 - Trump - Xi Summit - Much ado about nothing 2:17 - Possible Export Ban on Diesel Exports? 3:35 - Earnings Growth Estimates are Very Large - That's a Risk 5:34 - Markets Hold Up Above Moving Averages 5:56 - Factor Rotation Model performance - VTV Value Index Under Pressure - MGK - Large Cap Growth Stocks proxy 9:48 - Fed Rate Hike Coordinated for Yen Carry Trade? (No, a martket-driven rate hike) 12:28 - Gold Correlation with Real Interest Rates 12:40 - Why Rotate into Financials? (Factor Rotation Model) 13:52 - How do Earnings Grow When the Middle Class is Getting Squeezed? (K-Shaped Economy) 16:58 - Stock Analysis: AMD (NOT a recommendation) 20:10 - Income Producing ETF's in Preparation for Retirement (JPQ) (NOT a Recommendation) 22:09 - Money Moving Out of Stocks into Fixed Income? (charts) 24:49- Tracking Forward Earnings Estimates Revisions 26:05 - Dealing with Gloom-and-Doom Narratives 30:07 - Series: Investing for the Long Term (link is below) 31:54 - Cryptocurrency-A (Tether) Holding US Treasuries; StableCoin, Solana 35:17 - How much Higher Will Rates Run this Year? 35:40 - M2 Correlation with Inflation? (All money is lent into existence) 37:18 - RSP vs SPY and Sector Rotation 38:22 - Late Year Market Dip Yet? 39:11 - Lance is rich and out of touch?? (There will always be the poor among us...) 44:16 - Where did this inflation come from? (We don't want deflation) 46:50 - How We're (really) Doing Financially (chart) 50:14 - What Danny Wears as Market Indicator Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "Is Money Rotating From Growth to Value?," https://youtu.be/46Y-k5LfWxA ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/TeDizY1oNmY?feature=share -------- Watch our previous show, "Can Your Kids Afford to Invest Without You?" https://youtube.com/live/ewgHX5U7dEg ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:" "Portfolio Risk Management: Winning The Long Game (Chapter 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-winning-the-long-game-chapter-5/ "K-Shaped Economy: Reality Or Media-Driven Perception" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/k-shaped-economy-reality-or-media-driven-perception/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #GrowthStocks #ValueStocks #MarketRotation #InterestRates #FederalReserve #Investing #RetirementPlanning

Can younger investors really afford to invest on their own? For many, financial help from their parents may be making the difference. Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn discuss the growing financial support parents provide adult children and what it can mean for both generations. Helping with housing, bills, and everyday expenses may give younger adults more room to save and invest, but what does that assistance mean for Mom and Dad's own retirement plans? Plus, we examine the latest economic and Treasury-market discussion, what interest rates and government borrowing could mean for investors, and how artificial intelligence may be changing retirement planning beyond the stock market. It's a conversation about investing, family finances, retirement planning, and the financial trade-offs that can occur when one generation helps support another. 0:00 - INTRO 0:57 - Economic Activity is rising (different from GDP) 2:54 - Oil Price Drop 3:24 - Expectations for a Soft Landing (Bob Farrell Rule #9) 4:28 - Markets' Breakout towards all time high 5:53 - NASDAQ breaks out to all-time high 7:03 - Financials Under Pressure, Sitting on Support 7:40 - Basic Materials & Cap-ex spending--still under pressure 10:04 - The Bank of Mom & Dad 11:31 - The K Economy (Chart) 13:38 - Helping Lance's Son Learn Investing Lessons 16:21 - Chicago Fed Survey - My Life is Fine, the Country is Doomed 19:25 - Gen-z is Gambling 23:19 - When Mom & Dad help children invest 25:45 - When Parents Don't Do Kids any Favor by Helping - Responsible Gifting 28:18 - It's Always Something Around the House... 31:00 - Three Economic Outcomes 35:22 - ...as soon as the market rallies... 37:25 - Optimism as an Investing Strategy 39:23 - There's never a perfect time... 44:46 - How You Know You're Not in a Bubble Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "S&P 500 Eyes New Highs," https://youtu.be/O5eqwiEF0dY ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ewgHX5U7dEg -------- Watch our previous show, "What Happens When Earnings Estimates Fall Short?" https://youtu.be/PBwgI2MdnFM ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "K-Shaped Economy: Reality Or Media-Driven Perception" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/k-shaped-economy-reality-or-media-driven-perception/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP500 #StockMarket #MarketOutlook #TechnologyStocks #Investing #RetirementPlanning #PersonalFinance #FinancialPlanning #YoungInvestors #K_ShapedEconomy

Earnings expectations can drive stock prices higher, but what happens when corporate profits fail to meet those expectations? Lance Roberts examines earnings mean reversion, why Wall Street estimates can become overly optimistic, and what falling short of projected earnings could mean for stock valuations and market returns; what is the relationship between earnings growth and economic growth, how expectations become embedded in stock prices, and why elevated valuations can make earnings disappointments more consequential. Importantly, what should investors watch as earnings estimates change, and how can portfolio risk be managed when expectations and fundamentals begin to diverge? 0:00 - INTRO 0:59 - Rebalancing Coming; The History of Pensions (now over-funded) 3:51 - Friday's Options Expiry: Volatile Markets 4:37 - Markets Continue to do what they've been doing - Nothing 7:24 - Be Cautious with Allocations 8:03 - Volatility Remains Compressed 10:29 - Website & Radio History 13:50 - Goldman Earnings Estimates - What it doesn't show 17:28 - Why Most Narratives Never Matter - Earnings Don't Always Go Up 21:02 - (Chart) S&P Earnings vs Long Term Trend 22:55 - (Chart) S&P 500 Profit Margins Have Re-Based Higher 23:57 - The Apple iPhone Example 27:40 - The Earnings Boom Runs on One Budget (chart) 29:35 - (Chart) The Consensus Already Forecasts a 2027 Cliff 30:55 - A Narrative Worth Paying Attention to: What if spending tapers off? 32:45 - K-Shaped Economy tease 34:07 - Fed Rate Hike Recap - Where the Fed Rate Hike Reaches... 38:52 - The Fed's Dot Plot Signal 41:51 - Expectations vs Reality & Fed Irony (chart) 42:48 - Who Performs Best When Fed Rates Rise (chart) 43:37 - Portfolio Action Plan Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "Market Pressure Is Building," https://youtu.be/PBwgI2MdnFM ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ewgHX5U7dEg -------- Watch our previous show, "Will Your Money Last as Long as You Do?" https://youtube.com/live/360YB_NdPwA ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Earnings Mean Reversion: When Estimates Snap Back" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-mean-reversion-when-estimates-snap-back-2/ "The Fed Rate Hike Won't Fix The Inflation It Targets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-fed-rate-hike-wont-fix-the-inflation-it-targets/ "K-Shaped Economy: Reality Or Media-Driven Perception" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/k-shaped-economy-reality-or-media-driven-perception/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #SP500 #OilPrice #Earnings #MarketValuations #PortfolioManagement #FederalReserve

Earnings expectations can drive stock prices higher, but what happens when corporate profits fail to meet those expectations? Lance Roberts examines earnings mean reversion, why Wall Street estimates can become overly optimistic, and what falling short of projected earnings could mean for stock valuations and market returns; what is the relationship between earnings growth and economic growth, how expectations become embedded in stock prices, and why elevated valuations can make earnings disappointments more consequential. Importantly, what should investors watch as earnings estimates change, and how can portfolio risk be managed when expectations and fundamentals begin to diverge? 0:00 - INTRO 0:59 - Rebalancing Coming; The History of Pensions (now over-funded) 3:51 - Friday's Options Expiry: Volatile Markets 4:37 - Markets Continue to do what they've been doing - Nothing 7:24 - Be Cautious with Allocations 8:03 - Volatility Remains Compressed 10:29 - Website & Radio History 13:50 - Goldman Earnings Estimates - What it doesn't show 17:28 - Why Most Narratives Never Matter - Earnings Don't Always Go Up 21:02 - (Chart) S&P Earnings vs Long Term Trend 22:55 - (Chart) S&P 500 Profit Margins Have Re-Based Higher 23:57 - The Apple iPhone Example 27:40 - The Earnings Boom Runs on One Budget (chart) 29:35 - (Chart) The Consensus Already Forecasts a 2027 Cliff 30:55 - A Narrative Worth Paying Attention to: What if spending tapers off? 32:45 - K-Shaped Economy tease 34:07 - Fed Rate Hike Recap - Where the Fed Rate Hike Reaches... 38:52 - The Fed's Dot Plot Signal 41:51 - Expectations vs Reality & Fed Irony (chart) 42:48 - Who Performs Best When Fed Rates Rise (chart) 43:37 - Portfolio Action Plan Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "Market Pressure Is Building," https://youtu.be/PBwgI2MdnFM ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ewgHX5U7dEg -------- Watch our previous show, "Will Your Money Last as Long as You Do?" https://youtube.com/live/360YB_NdPwA ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Earnings Mean Reversion: When Estimates Snap Back" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-mean-reversion-when-estimates-snap-back-2/ "The Fed Rate Hike Won't Fix The Inflation It Targets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-fed-rate-hike-wont-fix-the-inflation-it-targets/ "K-Shaped Economy: Reality Or Media-Driven Perception" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/k-shaped-economy-reality-or-media-driven-perception/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #SP500 #OilPrice #Earnings #MarketValuations #PortfolioManagement #FederalReserve

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in three years, but for investors, the bigger question is what comes next. Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz break down what the Fed said, what Chairman Kevin Warsh signaled about inflation and future monetary policy, and why the Fed's updated rate projections matter for markets. With most policymakers anticipating another rate increase this year, is this the beginning of a new tightening cycle, or could the Fed be closer to "one and done"? What could higher rates mean for stocks, bonds, economic growth, and portfolio strategy as investors look toward the Fed's remaining meetings in 2026? 0:00 INTRO 1:12 - Retail Sales Better than Expected 3:20 - Market Reaction to Rate Hike, Dot Plots, & Commentary 5:14 - Room for a Rally? Odds vs History 10:40 - Mrs. Roberts' Hamburger Date 13:37 - Fed Hikes Rates: Policy Mistake? 17:02 - No Rate Cuts Next Year? 19:50 - Why Would the Fed Raise Rates? (Looking at PCE) 24:02 - It's All About the Bond Market 24:44 - Kevin Warsh' non-Forward Guidance & Dot Plots 27:16 - What Problems Will Rate Hike Cause? 30:08 - This is screwy 31:06 - The Neutral Rate is Already Restrictive 32:27 - Has the Bond Market Already Done the Fed's Job? (article) 35:44 - When the Fed Fights Inflation, it Makes Your Life Worse 37:18 - Is This a Start of a New Rate Cycle, or Continuation of Past Rates? 38:46 - This is an Oil Problem 39:26 - Fed Funds Rate History (chart) 42:17 - Give it a few days... Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's Before the Bell report, "What Fed Rate Hikes Mean for Stocks," https://youtu.be/x3R2_RXa6ew ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ZB0_e_Oi86w -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: What Will The Fed Do?" https://youtube.com/live/a_oJzPPbdLQ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Has The Bond Market Already Done The Fed's Job?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/has-the-bond-market-already-done-the-feds-job/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #StockMarket #InterestRates #SP500 #Investing #FedRateHike

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time in three years, but for investors, the bigger question is what comes next. Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz break down what the Fed said, what Chairman Kevin Warsh signaled about inflation and future monetary policy, and why the Fed's updated rate projections matter for markets. With most policymakers anticipating another rate increase this year, is this the beginning of a new tightening cycle, or could the Fed be closer to "one and done"? What could higher rates mean for stocks, bonds, economic growth, and portfolio strategy as investors look toward the Fed's remaining meetings in 2026? 0:00 INTRO 1:12 - Retail Sales Better than Expected 3:20 - Market Reaction to Rate Hike, Dot Plots, & Commentary 5:14 - Room for a Rally? Odds vs History 10:40 - Mrs. Roberts' Hamburger Date 13:37 - Fed Hikes Rates: Policy Mistake? 17:02 - No Rate Cuts Next Year? 19:50 - Why Would the Fed Raise Rates? (Looking at PCE) 24:02 - It's All About the Bond Market 24:44 - Kevin Warsh' non-Forward Guidance & Dot Plots 27:16 - What Problems Will Rate Hike Cause? 30:08 - This is screwy 31:06 - The Neutral Rate is Already Restrictive 32:27 - Has the Bond Market Already Done the Fed's Job? (article) 35:44 - When the Fed Fights Inflation, it Makes Your Life Worse 37:18 - Is This a Start of a New Rate Cycle, or Continuation of Past Rates? 38:46 - This is an Oil Problem 39:26 - Fed Funds Rate History (chart) 42:17 - Give it a few days... Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's Before the Bell report, "What Fed Rate Hikes Mean for Stocks," https://youtu.be/x3R2_RXa6ew ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ZB0_e_Oi86w -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: What Will The Fed Do?" https://youtube.com/live/a_oJzPPbdLQ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Has The Bond Market Already Done The Fed's Job?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/has-the-bond-market-already-done-the-feds-job/ --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #StockMarket #InterestRates #SP500 #Investing #FedRateHike

It's Fed Day, and markets are waiting for answers. It's also Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts takes your questions from our YouTube Live Chat window. He'll break down the biggest economic, investing, and market developments of the past week, including the Federal Reserve's September FOMC meeting, interest rates, inflation, rising Treasury yields, oil prices, AI spending concerns, and the recent pressure on stocks. 0:00 INTRO 0:55 - Fed Day: Will They or Won't They? 3:11 - Market Breaks Below 50-DMA 4:12 - Reflexive Rally not surprising, post-Fed 4:30 - Oil Prices Putting Pressure on Economy 9:02 - What's the Expected Market Reaction for FOMC Rate Decision? 12:54 - Are there clear tech support levels for S&P? 15:57 - Does it make sense to owns TIPS in an IRA in a state with high income tax? 16:47 - Lance's Roth Thesis 19:14 - Inflation feeds into everything; isn't it tame for now? (What the Fed SHOULD do) 22:37 - Credit Card Spending and After Tax Wage Growth 25:31 - Do Markets Compound? (no) 30:03 - Gold Behavior and Rate Hikes 31:53 - Too Bad Warsh Didn't Introduce Truflation (link to Oliver Rust interview is below) 32:49 - 90% Equities, 10% Cash: Time to Buy Bonds? 34:07 - Nick Timaros Chart--pricing in two rate hikes this year? 34:39 - Selling Equities to Lock in Bonds? 38:08 (Gamblers Anonymous Thursdays w Michael Lebowitz) 39:52 - Raise Rate and Lower Credit Card Rates? (Doesn't work that way) 40:15 - Do we only have a few years left to make money? (yes) (chart) 44:34 - Will Payment of Interest on National Debt be an Issue? (no) 46:19 - Where might the top of the Ten Year Treasury be? 47:54 - Why can't you cap credit card rates lower? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's Before the Bell report, "Markets Break the 50-DMA: What Happens Next?" https://youtu.be/GNBpgdhBG9U ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/a_oJzPPbdLQ -------- Watch our previous show, "10 Money Moves to Make Before Year End" https://youtube.com/live/cSHoYh0sR70 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Investing Myths Dismantled (Chapter 4 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investing-myths-dismantled-chapter-4-of-5/ "Is Inflation Data Getting it Wrong? (Oliver Rust Interview) https://www.youtube.com/live/603EdhToXq8?si=lSvziR7PKnwWx1Fp --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #AIStocks #MarketOutlook #Investing #TechnologyStocks #FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning #TaxPlanning #RothConversion #YearEndPlanning

It's Fed Day, and markets are waiting for answers. It's also Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts takes your questions from our YouTube Live Chat window. He'll break down the biggest economic, investing, and market developments of the past week, including the Federal Reserve's September FOMC meeting, interest rates, inflation, rising Treasury yields, oil prices, AI spending concerns, and the recent pressure on stocks. 0:00 INTRO 0:55 - Fed Day: Will They or Won't They? 3:11 - Market Breaks Below 50-DMA 4:12 - Reflexive Rally not surprising, post-Fed 4:30 - Oil Prices Putting Pressure on Economy 9:02 - What's the Expected Market Reaction for FOMC Rate Decision? 12:54 - Are there clear tech support levels for S&P? 15:57 - Does it make sense to owns TIPS in an IRA in a state with high income tax? 16:47 - Lance's Roth Thesis 19:14 - Inflation feeds into everything; isn't it tame for now? (What the Fed SHOULD do) 22:37 - Credit Card Spending and After Tax Wage Growth 25:31 - Do Markets Compound? (no) 30:03 - Gold Behavior and Rate Hikes 31:53 - Too Bad Warsh Didn't Introduce Truflation (link to Oliver Rust interview is below) 32:49 - 90% Equities, 10% Cash: Time to Buy Bonds? 34:07 - Nick Timaros Chart--pricing in two rate hikes this year? 34:39 - Selling Equities to Lock in Bonds? 38:08 (Gamblers Anonymous Thursdays w Michael Lebowitz) 39:52 - Raise Rate and Lower Credit Card Rates? (Doesn't work that way) 40:15 - Do we only have a few years left to make money? (yes) (chart) 44:34 - Will Payment of Interest on National Debt be an Issue? (no) 46:19 - Where might the top of the Ten Year Treasury be? 47:54 - Why can't you cap credit card rates lower? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's Before the Bell report, "Markets Break the 50-DMA: What Happens Next?" https://youtu.be/GNBpgdhBG9U ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/a_oJzPPbdLQ -------- Watch our previous show, "10 Money Moves to Make Before Year End" https://youtube.com/live/cSHoYh0sR70 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Investing Myths Dismantled (Chapter 4 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investing-myths-dismantled-chapter-4-of-5/ "Is Inflation Data Getting it Wrong? (Oliver Rust Interview) https://www.youtube.com/live/603EdhToXq8?si=lSvziR7PKnwWx1Fp --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #AIStocks #MarketOutlook #Investing #TechnologyStocks #FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning #TaxPlanning #RothConversion #YearEndPlanning

The end of the year will be here before you know it. What financial moves should you make now instead of waiting until December? Lance Roberts and Jon Penn look at 10 important year-end financial planning decisions to consider before December 31, including tax planning, Roth conversions, required minimum distributions (RMDs), qualified charitable distributions (QCDs), retirement plan contributions, and charitable giving. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - The Challenge in the Markets 2:22 - Will Warsh Hike Rates...or not? 3:19 - Markets Struggle through Narrow Trading Range 4:31 - If the Markets Stay Flat...? 8:47 - Preparing for Q4 (Halloween & Christmas) 12:32 - Gold, Silver, & Precious Metals as Inflation Hedge? (Why to earn certain assets) 14:24 - Figuring out the equity allocation puzzle 19:26 - ...when we're 64. 20:45 - 20% is not enough for equity exposure 23:33 - Diversity Assets AND Account Types 25:20 - Turn off the noise; the problem with being pessimistic 27:31 - Know What You Own 29:40 - What to Focus on Between Now & EOY 30:55 - How to Prepare for Santa Cause Rally (Tax-loss Harvesting) 32:21 - Wash Rules & ETF's 33:58 - Charitable Contributions & Donor Advised Funds 35:16 - Does Roth Conversion Make Sense Now? 36:00 - How to Handle Required Minimum Distributions this year 36:40 - Qualitied Charitable Distributions 39:30 - Maxing Out Contributions to IRA's (Get the free money) 42:54 - Portfolio Allocation, Risk Tolerances, & Large Expenditures: Cash on hand? 46:07 - Reviewing Beneficiary Designations Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's Before the Bell report, "Is AI Spending Really Slowing?" https://youtu.be/sSQVKetdR2g ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/cSHoYh0sR70 -------- Watch our previous show, "Is This Time Different for Stocks?" https://youtube.com/live/GNSmdq5nH2o ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #AIStocks #MarketOutlook #Investing #TechnologyStocks #FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning #TaxPlanning #RothConversion #YearEndPlanning

The end of the year will be here before you know it. What financial moves should you make now instead of waiting until December? Lance Roberts and Jon Penn look at 10 important year-end financial planning decisions to consider before December 31, including tax planning, Roth conversions, required minimum distributions (RMDs), qualified charitable distributions (QCDs), retirement plan contributions, and charitable giving. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - The Challenge in the Markets 2:22 - Will Warsh Hike Rates...or not? 3:19 - Markets Struggle through Narrow Trading Range 4:31 - If the Markets Stay Flat...? 8:47 - Preparing for Q4 (Halloween & Christmas) 12:32 - Gold, Silver, & Precious Metals as Inflation Hedge? (Why to earn certain assets) 14:24 - Figuring out the equity allocation puzzle 19:26 - ...when we're 64. 20:45 - 20% is not enough for equity exposure 23:33 - Diversity Assets AND Account Types 25:20 - Turn off the noise; the problem with being pessimistic 27:31 - Know What You Own 29:40 - What to Focus on Between Now & EOY 30:55 - How to Prepare for Santa Cause Rally (Tax-loss Harvesting) 32:21 - Wash Rules & ETF's 33:58 - Charitable Contributions & Donor Advised Funds 35:16 - Does Roth Conversion Make Sense Now? 36:00 - How to Handle Required Minimum Distributions this year 36:40 - Qualitied Charitable Distributions 39:30 - Maxing Out Contributions to IRA's (Get the free money) 42:54 - Portfolio Allocation, Risk Tolerances, & Large Expenditures: Cash on hand? 46:07 - Reviewing Beneficiary Designations Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's Before the Bell report, "Is AI Spending Really Slowing?" https://youtu.be/sSQVKetdR2g ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/cSHoYh0sR70 -------- Watch our previous show, "Is This Time Different for Stocks?" https://youtube.com/live/GNSmdq5nH2o ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #AIStocks #MarketOutlook #Investing #TechnologyStocks #FinancialPlanning #RetirementPlanning #TaxPlanning #RothConversion #YearEndPlanning

Stock prices and corporate earnings are breaking trends that have held for roughly 90 years. Does artificial intelligence represent a fundamental change in the economy and markets, or are investors once again being tempted by the four most dangerous words in investing: “this time is different”? Lance Roberts examines whether AI has truly changed the earnings equation, what today's valuations suggest about future returns, and why investors don't necessarily have to choose between being bullish and bearish. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - FOMC Week; AI: To Pause or Not to Pause? 4:35 - Markets Still Stuck 9:47 - A look at Bond Flow Dynamics 13:49 - Why is Everyone Buying Longer Term Bonds? 14:31 - The TINA Trade 17:50 - The Primary Function of Bonds in a Portfolio: Safety 24:02 - Investment Psychology: Narrative and Greed 27:24 - The Gap Between Estimates and Reality 28:18 - The Truth About Compounding 31:29 - The Permanent Impairment of Capital 33:42 - Currency Debasement & Inflation 35:22 - How to Offset Risk of Inflation: Bonds vs Equities 37:25 - A portfolio is an Engine 38:41 - A Crisis Without a Calendar 41:36 - We're at the Tail End of a Secular Bull Market 43:54 - Investing in Lead & Beans 44:50 - Why We Prefer Optimism Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's Before the Bell report, "Don't Overreact to Today's Tech Selloff," https://youtu.be/mE2qTZl5Pf8 ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/GNSmdq5nH2o -------- Watch our previous show, "Can the FIRE Movement Really Work?" https://www.youtube.com/live/HummvRArByg?si=EZBAImkZqNESj9uh ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Weak Buyback & Strong Auctions: Bullish Signals For Bonds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/weak-buyback-strong-auctions-bullish-signals-for-bonds/ "This Time Is Different? Earnings and Price Break 90-Year Trends" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-this-time-different-earnings-and-price-break-90-year-trends/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Winning The Long Game (Chapter 5) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-winning-the-long-game-chapter-5/ "US Debt Trap: A Crisis Without A Calendar" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-debt-trap-a-crisis-without-a-calendar/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Nasdaq #ArtificialIntelligence #FederalReserve #Investing

Stock prices and corporate earnings are breaking trends that have held for roughly 90 years. Does artificial intelligence represent a fundamental change in the economy and markets, or are investors once again being tempted by the four most dangerous words in investing: "this time is different"? Lance Roberts examines whether AI has truly changed the earnings equation, what today's valuations suggest about future returns, and why investors don't necessarily have to choose between being bullish and bearish. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - FOMC Week; AI: To Pause or Not to Pause? 4:35 - Markets Still Stuck 9:47 - A look at Bond Flow Dynamics 13:49 - Why is Everyone Buying Longer Term Bonds? 14:31 - The TINA Trade 17:50 - The Primary Function of Bonds in a Portfolio: Safety 24:02 - Investment Psychology: Narrative and Greed 27:24 - The Gap Between Estimates and Reality 28:18 - The Truth About Compounding 31:29 - The Permanent Impairment of Capital 33:42 - Currency Debasement & Inflation 35:22 - How to Offset Risk of Inflation: Bonds vs Equities 37:25 - A portfolio is an Engine 38:41 - A Crisis Without a Calendar 41:36 - We're at the Tail End of a Secular Bull Market 43:54 - Investing in Lead & Beans 44:50 - Why We Prefer Optimism Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch today's Before the Bell report, "Don't Overreact to Today's Tech Selloff," https://youtu.be/mE2qTZl5Pf8 ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/GNSmdq5nH2o -------- Watch our previous show, "Can the FIRE Movement Really Work?" https://www.youtube.com/live/HummvRArByg?si=EZBAImkZqNESj9uh ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Weak Buyback & Strong Auctions: Bullish Signals For Bonds" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/weak-buyback-strong-auctions-bullish-signals-for-bonds/ "This Time Is Different? Earnings and Price Break 90-Year Trends" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-this-time-different-earnings-and-price-break-90-year-trends/ "Portfolio Risk Management: Winning The Long Game (Chapter 5) https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/portfolio-risk-management-winning-the-long-game-chapter-5/ "US Debt Trap: A Crisis Without A Calendar" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-debt-trap-a-crisis-without-a-calendar/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Nasdaq #ArtificialIntelligence #FederalReserve #Investing

With CPI and PPI inflation reports in focus, markets are looking for clues about the Fed's next move on interest rates. Will cooler inflation give policymakers more room to cut rates, or could hotter data force the Fed to remain cautious? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine what the latest inflation numbers could mean for Fed policy, interest rates, Treasury yields, and financial markets, as investors try to determine whether inflation is cooling enough to change the Fed's outlook. 0:00 INTRO 0:49 - PPI, CPI Preview 2:11 - Oil As Factor in Inflation 4:36 - Markets Continue to Do What They Do 6:53 - Volatility Warms Up 10:03 - PPI, CPI - What's Driving the Numbers 12:56 - Inflation vs Deflation 17:21 - We Have a Relatively Weak Economy 18:51 - Will the Fed Hike Rates Twice this Year? 20:04 - Walsh, Bessent, & Signals to the Market 24:58 - Go Back and Watch Truflation Interview w Oliver Rust: https://www.youtube.com/live/603EdhToXq8?si=irUSKOwd9oEDb2hM 25:56 - Scott Bessent "I am the House" 30:39 - Ten Year Treasury Auction Results 32:38 - S&P 500 Trend Index 34:52 - In the End-phase of Secular Bullish Trend 37:37 - Moving Into a More Normal Rate Environment Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/y1GoUw9wURw -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: What Should Investors Do Now?" https://youtube.com/live/cbnYs0Eoc0E?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "Markets Test Key Support," https://youtu.be/t6Hl9kH52gw ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Hike Or Hold? Debating The Coming Fed Decision" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hike-or-hold-debating-the-coming-fed-decision/ "Investing Myths Dismantled (Chapter 4 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investing-myths-dismantled-chapter-4-of-5/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Inflation #FederalReserve #MarketOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CPI #FedPolicy

With CPI and PPI inflation reports in focus, markets are looking for clues about the Fed's next move on interest rates. Will cooler inflation give policymakers more room to cut rates, or could hotter data force the Fed to remain cautious? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine what the latest inflation numbers could mean for Fed policy, interest rates, Treasury yields, and financial markets, as investors try to determine whether inflation is cooling enough to change the Fed's outlook. 0:00 INTRO 0:49 - PPI, CPI Preview 2:11 - Oil As Factor in Inflation 4:36 - Markets Continue to Do What They Do 6:53 - Volatility Warms Up 10:03 - PPI, CPI - What's Driving the Numbers 12:56 - Inflation vs Deflation 17:21 - We Have a Relatively Weak Economy 18:51 - Will the Fed Hike Rates Twice this Year? 20:04 - Walsh, Bessent, & Signals to the Market 24:58 - Go Back and Watch Truflation Interview w Oliver Rust: https://www.youtube.com/live/603EdhToXq8?si=irUSKOwd9oEDb2hM 25:56 - Scott Bessent "I am the House" 30:39 - Ten Year Treasury Auction Results 32:38 - S&P 500 Trend Index 34:52 - In the End-phase of Secular Bullish Trend 37:37 - Moving Into a More Normal Rate Environment Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/y1GoUw9wURw -------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: What Should Investors Do Now?" https://youtube.com/live/cbnYs0Eoc0E?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "Markets Test Key Support," https://youtu.be/t6Hl9kH52gw ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Hike Or Hold? Debating The Coming Fed Decision" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hike-or-hold-debating-the-coming-fed-decision/ "Investing Myths Dismantled (Chapter 4 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investing-myths-dismantled-chapter-4-of-5/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Inflation #FederalReserve #MarketOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #CPI #FedPolicy

Markets are entering a critical stretch as investors confront rising oil prices, renewed inflation concerns, higher Treasury yields, shifting expectations for Federal Reserve policy, and continued uncertainty over the direction of stocks. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff take your questions live and examine what the latest economic and market developments could mean for your money. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Market is hanging out - Going Nowhere Quickly 3:33 - Rise in Rate Hike Odds will Increase Pressure on the Fed? 7:05 - Too Loud? Too Old... 7:43 - Bessent: "I am the House" 9:19 - Dollar vs the Euro? 10:58 - High-risk, High-reward at 2% of Portfolio? 15:56 - What Dividend Sector is Safest for Building a Retirement Portfolio? Dividend Yield vs Fundamentals 17:50 - Stewardship of Capital issue - How to Find Strong Dividend Companies 20:21 - Doomed? Waiting for the Downturn (don't fall in love...) Valuations Matter 23:54 - Buying Puts as Insurance? Mistakes Most Make... 26:48 - Use of MIGA's for Income Component? 30:51 - Lifetime Income Annuities? 33:12 - Long Term Care insurance policies 35:20 - Worry About Market Volatility? 36:42 - What Moves is Berkshire Hathaway Making? (Google) 37:29 - What are alternative ways to hedge? (Puts vs Cash) 43:02 - What is the recommended percentage of cash in a portfolio? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/cbnYs0Eoc0E?feature=share -------- Watch our previous show, "What Higher Bond Yields Mean for Your Portfolio" https://youtu.be/XWj6ghN3obM ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "Oil and Inflation Raise Market Risk," https://youtu.be/_ClOwNXFx3c ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "September Market Weakness: The Setup Has Teeth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/september-market-weakness-the-setup-has-teeth/ "Investing Myths Dismantled (Chapter 4 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investing-myths-dismantled-chapter-4-of-5/ "Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Inflation #OilPrices #FederalReserve #Investing #FinancialPlanning

Markets are entering a critical stretch as investors confront rising oil prices, renewed inflation concerns, higher Treasury yields, shifting expectations for Federal Reserve policy, and continued uncertainty over the direction of stocks. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff take your questions live and examine what the latest economic and market developments could mean for your money. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - Market is hanging out - Going Nowhere Quickly 3:33 - Rise in Rate Hike Odds will Increase Pressure on the Fed? 7:05 - Too Loud? Too Old... 7:43 - Bessent: "I am the House" 9:19 - Dollar vs the Euro? 10:58 - High-risk, High-reward at 2% of Portfolio? 15:56 - What Dividend Sector is Safest for Building a Retirement Portfolio? Dividend Yield vs Fundamentals 17:50 - Stewardship of Capital issue - How to Find Strong Dividend Companies 20:21 - Doomed? Waiting for the Downturn (don't fall in love...) Valuations Matter 23:54 - Buying Puts as Insurance? Mistakes Most Make... 26:48 - Use of MIGA's for Income Component? 30:51 - Lifetime Income Annuities? 33:12 - Long Term Care insurance policies 35:20 - Worry About Market Volatility? 36:42 - What Moves is Berkshire Hathaway Making? (Google) 37:29 - What are alternative ways to hedge? (Puts vs Cash) 43:02 - What is the recommended percentage of cash in a portfolio? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/cbnYs0Eoc0E?feature=share -------- Watch our previous show, "What Higher Bond Yields Mean for Your Portfolio" https://youtu.be/XWj6ghN3obM ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "Oil and Inflation Raise Market Risk," https://youtu.be/_ClOwNXFx3c ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "September Market Weakness: The Setup Has Teeth" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/september-market-weakness-the-setup-has-teeth/ "Investing Myths Dismantled (Chapter 4 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investing-myths-dismantled-chapter-4-of-5/ "Spock And The Logic Based Approach To Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spock-and-the-logic-based-approach-to-volatility/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Inflation #OilPrices #FederalReserve #Investing #FinancialPlanning

Why are bond yields moving higher, and what could that mean for investors? Rising Treasury yields can influence borrowing costs, economic growth, stock valuations, and bond prices. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down what may be driving yields higher, what the bond market could be signaling, and how changing interest rates can work their way through the economy and financial markets. For investors, the key may not simply be how high yields rise, but understanding what is causing them to move higher. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - ADP, PPI CPI Previews 1:34 - Meh Market: Don't do anything yet 6:03 - Mid-Terms are up in the air 6:57 - Oil Prices & Inflation 8:06 - Volatility remains compressed 9:53 - Labor Day & Refrigerator Raids 10:30 - What do higher interest rates mean for economy, portfolios? 12:52 - What the Fed really controls 14:53 - There's Good Inflation & Bad Inflation 16:27 - Interest Rates, Debt, & Deficits 17:53 - The Math of Term Premiums 20:15 - When a Treasury Matures (is there any risk to not being bought?) 22:38 - Rates are Returning to Normal 24:17 - The Example 27:35 - The Discount Rate 28:59 - The Rate of Change in Interest Rates 30:34 - When Will interest Rates impact Equity Markets? 32:15 - Are Higher Rates the New Normal? 34:09 - It's Okay to Own the Long End of the Curve 37:54 - The Irony of Higher Interest Rates 38:53 - Debt, Deficits, & Demographics 40:18 - Crises Without a Clock are Useless 42:20 - The Thing About Upside-down Bonds (and loss aversion) 45:30 - Just because you take a loss... Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: "When Doing Nothing Wins:" https://youtu.be/XWj6ghN3obM -------- Watch our previous show, "Is Inflation Data Getting It Wrong? - Oliver Rust Interview " https://youtube.com/live/603EdhToXq8?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yield Curve Tells Us More Than We Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-mean-reversion-when-estimates-snap-back/ "Normal Interest Rates: What The Debt Panic Gets Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/normal-interest-rates-what-the-debt-panic-gets-wrong/ "Druckenmiller Warning: The Bond Market Already Priced It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/druckenmiller-warning-the-bond-market-already-priced-it/ "Investing Myths Dismantled (Chapter 4 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investing-myths-dismantled-chapter-4-of-5/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #OilPrices #PortfolioRisk

Why are bond yields moving higher, and what could that mean for investors? Rising Treasury yields can influence borrowing costs, economic growth, stock valuations, and bond prices. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down what may be driving yields higher, what the bond market could be signaling, and how changing interest rates can work their way through the economy and financial markets. For investors, the key may not simply be how high yields rise, but understanding what is causing them to move higher. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - ADP, PPI CPI Previews 1:34 - Meh Market: Don't do anything yet 6:03 - Mid-Terms are up in the air 6:57 - Oil Prices & Inflation 8:06 - Volatility remains compressed 9:53 - Labor Day & Refrigerator Raids 10:30 - What do higher interest rates mean for economy, portfolios? 12:52 - What the Fed really controls 14:53 - There's Good Inflation & Bad Inflation 16:27 - Interest Rates, Debt, & Deficits 17:53 - The Math of Term Premiums 20:15 - When a Treasury Matures (is there any risk to not being bought?) 22:38 - Rates are Returning to Normal 24:17 - The Example 27:35 - The Discount Rate 28:59 - The Rate of Change in Interest Rates 30:34 - When Will interest Rates impact Equity Markets? 32:15 - Are Higher Rates the New Normal? 34:09 - It's Okay to Own the Long End of the Curve 37:54 - The Irony of Higher Interest Rates 38:53 - Debt, Deficits, & Demographics 40:18 - Crises Without a Clock are Useless 42:20 - The Thing About Upside-down Bonds (and loss aversion) 45:30 - Just because you take a loss... Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: "When Doing Nothing Wins:" https://youtu.be/XWj6ghN3obM -------- Watch our previous show, "Is Inflation Data Getting It Wrong? - Oliver Rust Interview " https://youtube.com/live/603EdhToXq8?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yield Curve Tells Us More Than We Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-mean-reversion-when-estimates-snap-back/ "Normal Interest Rates: What The Debt Panic Gets Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/normal-interest-rates-what-the-debt-panic-gets-wrong/ "Druckenmiller Warning: The Bond Market Already Priced It" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/druckenmiller-warning-the-bond-market-already-priced-it/ "Investing Myths Dismantled (Chapter 4 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investing-myths-dismantled-chapter-4-of-5/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next in-person Retirement Income Workshop, "Saturday, September 19, 2026: https://tracking.realinvestmentadvice.com/l/1052953/2026-06-17/2kkcz --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #OilPrices #PortfolioRisk

For decades, Japanese investors looked overseas for income. Now, rising bond yields are giving them a much more viable alternative at home. Ben Powell, Chief Investment Strategist for the Middle East and APAC at the BlackRock Investment Institute, explains why that shift could matter well beyond Japan.General disclosure: This material is intended for information purposes only, and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation or an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any securities, funds or strategies to any person in any jurisdiction in which an offer, solicitation, purchase or sale would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. The opinions expressed are as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Investing involves risks. BlackRock does and may seek to do business with companies covered in this podcast. As a result, readers should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this podcast.In the U.S. and Canada, this material is intended for public distribution.In the UK and Non-European Economic Area (EEA) countries: this is Issued by BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Registered office: 12 Throgmorton Avenue, London, EC2N 2DL. Tel:+ 44 (0)20 7743 3000. Registered in England and Wales No. 02020394. For your protection telephone calls are usually recorded. Please refer to the Financial Conduct Authority website for a list of authorised activities conducted by BlackRock.In the European Economic Area (EEA): this is Issued by BlackRock (Netherlands) B.V. is authorised and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. Registered office Amstelplein 1, 1096 HA, Amsterdam, Tel: 020 – 549 5200, Tel: 31-20- 549-5200. Trade Register No. 17068311 For your protection telephone calls are usually recorded.For Investors in Switzerland: This document is marketing material.In South Africa: Please be advised that BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited is an authorised Financial Services provider with the South African Financial Services Board, FSP No. 43288.In Singapore, this is issued by BlackRock (Singapore) Limited (Co. registration no. 200010143N). This advertisement or publication has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. In Hong Kong, this material is issued by BlackRock Asset Management North Asia Limited and has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong. In Australia, issued by BlackRock Investment Management (Australia) Limited ABN 13 006 165 975, AFSL 230 523 (BIMAL). This material provides general information only and does not take into account your individual objectives, financial situation, needs or circumstances. Before making any investment decision, you should assess whether the material is appropriate for you and obtain financial advice tailored to you having regard to your individual objectives, financial situation, needs and circumstances. Refer to BIMAL's Financial Services Guide on its website for more information. This material is not a financial product recommendation or an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any financial product in any jurisdictionIn Latin America: this material is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice nor an offer or solicitation to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any shares of any Fund (nor shall any such shares be offered or sold to any person) in any jurisdiction in which an offer, solicitation, purchase or sale would be unlawful under the securities law of that jurisdiction. If any funds are mentioned or inferred to in this material, it is possible that some or all of the funds may not have been registered with the securities regulator of Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Panama, Peru, Uruguay or any other securities regulator in any Latin American country and thus might not be publicly offered within any such country. The securities regulators of such countries have not confirmed the accuracy of any information contained herein. The provision of investment management and investment advisory services is a regulated activity in Mexico thus is subject to strict rules. For more information on the Investment Advisory Services offered by BlackRock Mexico please refer to the Investment Services Guide available at www.blackrock.com/mx©2026 BlackRock, Inc. All Rights Reserved. BLACKROCK is a registered trademark of BlackRock, Inc. All other trademarks are those of their respective owners.BII0926-M-5900711-EXP0927

Is the Consumer Price Index accurately measuring the inflation Americans actually experience? Lance Roberts talks with Oliver Rust of Truflation about how real-time inflation data can differ from traditional CPI measurements. They examine housing and rent concessions, regional price differences, consumer substitution, the K-shaped economy, housing affordability, and the continuing resilience of consumer spending. Oliver also explains how Truflation builds its inflation index, where its methodology differs from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, its work with the Federal Reserve, and what its data says about inflation now. Plus, they discuss what could come next as Truflation expands into employment and other economic indicators. For investors watching inflation, interest rates, housing, and the Federal Reserve, the question is increasingly important: Which inflation data best reflects the economy consumers are actually living in? 0:00 - INTRO 0:55 - What is Wrong with current Inflation/CPI Measurement? 2:46 - The Data Truflation Uses 5:36 - Solving for Interstate Price Variables 6:46 - How is Housing Weighted in Truflation Metric vs BLS & CPI 10:24 - The Concessions in Rental Agreements are not accounted for 15:00 - What is Inflation Doing Now? 16:42 - The Bifurcation in Housing - New Homes vs Existing Home Sales 18:23 - Housing Affordability & K-Shaped Economy 21:17 - Who's Right: CPI or Truflation? (Working with the Fed) 25:51 - The Boskin Commission & Hedonics - What Truflation Does Not Measure 28:40 - Factoring in Substitution by Consumers 30:46 - Effects of FIFA World Cup in U.S. 33:01 - Truflation Expectations for the Future 36:20 - The Resilience of the Consumer - how long will they spend? 38:22 - What if Truflation Had Been Around Back Then... 40:14 - Truflation Plans for Expansion: Employment & Economic Indicators 41:49 - Cross Correlation of data sets is worth reviewing Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Oliver Rust, TruFlation Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/603EdhToXq8 ------- Watch our previous show, " " ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #FederalReserve #Economy #Investing

Is the Consumer Price Index accurately measuring the inflation Americans actually experience? Lance Roberts talks with Oliver Rust of Truflation about how real-time inflation data can differ from traditional CPI measurements. They examine housing and rent concessions, regional price differences, consumer substitution, the K-shaped economy, housing affordability, and the continuing resilience of consumer spending. Oliver also explains how Truflation builds its inflation index, where its methodology differs from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, its work with the Federal Reserve, and what its data says about inflation now. Plus, they discuss what could come next as Truflation expands into employment and other economic indicators. For investors watching inflation, interest rates, housing, and the Federal Reserve, the question is increasingly important: Which inflation data best reflects the economy consumers are actually living in? 0:00 - INTRO 0:55 - What is Wrong with current Inflation/CPI Measurement? 2:46 - The Data Truflation Uses 5:36 - Solving for Interstate Price Variables 6:46 - How is Housing Weighted in Truflation Metric vs BLS & CPI 10:24 - The Concessions in Rental Agreements are not accounted for 15:00 - What is Inflation Doing Now? 16:42 - The Bifurcation in Housing - New Homes vs Existing Home Sales 18:23 - Housing Affordability & K-Shaped Economy 21:17 - Who's Right: CPI or Truflation? (Working with the Fed) 25:51 - The Boskin Commission & Hedonics - What Truflation Does Not Measure 28:40 - Factoring in Substitution by Consumers 30:46 - Effects of FIFA World Cup in U.S. 33:01 - Truflation Expectations for the Future 36:20 - The Resilience of the Consumer - how long will they spend? 38:22 - What if Truflation Had Been Around Back Then... 40:14 - Truflation Plans for Expansion: Employment & Economic Indicators 41:49 - Cross Correlation of data sets is worth reviewing Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Oliver Rust, TruFlation Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/603EdhToXq8 ------- Watch our previous show, " " ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Inflation #CPI #FederalReserve #Economy #Investing

Today's guest is Inigo Fraser Jenkins, Chief Investment Strategist at AllianceBernstein. In today's episode, Inigo argues that the golden era of easy diversification and high real returns is ending. He defends US equity exceptionalism while declining to defend the dollar.  To close, he makes the case for gold and explains why bonds may no longer diversify equities. (0:00) Starts (0:54) Is US exceptionalism dead? (10:27) US vs. foreign profit margins (15:12) Diversifying beyond 60/40 (21:05) Gold is money and the role it plays in portfolios (33:08) Higher expected future inflation (35:26) The bull case for healthcare (39:24) Inflation volatility and commodity demand (42:38) AI's impact on the labor market ----- Sponsors: ⁠⁠ Farmland LP⁠ is one of the largest investment funds in the US focused on converting chemical-based conventional farmland to organic, sustainably-managed farmland using a value-add commercial real estate strategy in the agriculture sector. Upwork⁠⁠ is the world's largest human and AI-powered freelance marketplace to hire top talent—trusted by businesses and professionals worldwide. ----- Follow Meb on X, LinkedIn and YouTube For detailed show notes, click here To learn more about our funds and follow us, subscribe to our mailing list or visit us at cambriainvestments.com ----- Follow The Idea Farm: X | LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTok ----- Interested in sponsoring the show? Email us at Feedback@TheMebFaberShow.com ----- Past guests include Ed Thorp, Richard Thaler, Jeremy Grantham, Joel Greenblatt, Campbell Harvey, Ivy Zelman, Kathryn Kaminski, Jason Calacanis, Whitney Baker, Aswath Damodaran, Howard Marks, Tom Barton, and many more.  ----- Meb's invested in some awesome startups that have passed along discounts to our listeners. Check them out here!  ----- Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com).

Is the stock market dangerously expensive, or are investors overlooking strong future earnings growth? The S&P 500's Shiller CAPE ratio has reached 41, yet the PEG ratio, which incorporates expected earnings growth, is signaling one of the cheapest market valuations in decades. Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts examine why these two popular valuation measures are sending completely opposite signals. The key difference comes down to expectations: CAPE relies on historical earnings, while PEG depends heavily on Wall Street forecasts for future growth. We look at the reliability of those earnings forecasts, the extraordinary concentration of expected growth among a handful of large technology companies, the role of AI investment, and whether today's valuations already price in too much optimism. 0:00 INTRO 1:04 - Jobs, JOLTS, & Economic Number Previews 5:01 - Markets are Stuck 11:04 - Vacation & Weekend Plans 12:23 - The Fed: What Will Warsh Do With Rates? 16:12 - The Truth About "Fed Buy Backs" 17:57 - Inflation Expectations are not Reason to Raise Rates 21:29 - No Guidance from the Fed? 23:48 - Valuations - What We Know vs What We Think We Know 28:48 - It all Comes Down to AI 32:12 - The Issue with PEG Ratios 36:12 - Dealing with Earnings Estimates Revisions 37:55 - How AI is Like the Railroads 39:34 -The Use of AI is Growing Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/OOZIdB7YSsw -------- Watch our previous show, "What Should You Expect From a Financial Planner?" https://youtube.com/live/dRd4fGgwrkc ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "Market Stuck in Neutral," https://youtu.be/bTDPi28yJcg ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Valuation: Expensive CAPE Or Cheap PEG?" hhttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-valuation-expensive-cape-or-cheap-peg/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #ValueStocks #SeptemberMarkets #StockMarket #MarketValuation #Investing #SP500 #ArtificialIntelligence

Is the stock market dangerously expensive, or are investors overlooking strong future earnings growth? The S&P 500's Shiller CAPE ratio has reached 41, yet the PEG ratio, which incorporates expected earnings growth, is signaling one of the cheapest market valuations in decades. Michael Lebowitz and Lance Roberts examine why these two popular valuation measures are sending completely opposite signals. The key difference comes down to expectations: CAPE relies on historical earnings, while PEG depends heavily on Wall Street forecasts for future growth. We look at the reliability of those earnings forecasts, the extraordinary concentration of expected growth among a handful of large technology companies, the role of AI investment, and whether today's valuations already price in too much optimism. 0:00 INTRO 1:04 - Jobs, JOLTS, & Economic Number Previews 5:01 - Markets are Stuck 11:04 - Vacation & Weekend Plans 12:23 - The Fed: What Will Warsh Do With Rates? 16:12 - The Truth About "Fed Buy Backs" 17:57 - Inflation Expectations are not Reason to Raise Rates 21:29 - No Guidance from the Fed? 23:48 - Valuations - What We Know vs What We Think We Know 28:48 - It all Comes Down to AI 32:12 - The Issue with PEG Ratios 36:12 - Dealing with Earnings Estimates Revisions 37:55 - How AI is Like the Railroads 39:34 -The Use of AI is Growing Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/OOZIdB7YSsw -------- Watch our previous show, "What Should You Expect From a Financial Planner?" https://youtube.com/live/dRd4fGgwrkc ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "Market Stuck in Neutral," https://youtu.be/bTDPi28yJcg ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Valuation: Expensive CAPE Or Cheap PEG?" hhttps://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/market-valuation-expensive-cape-or-cheap-peg/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook #ValueStocks #SeptemberMarkets #StockMarket #MarketValuation #Investing #SP500 #ArtificialIntelligence

September is starting with a new set of challenges for investors: rising Treasury yields, higher oil prices, persistent inflation, renewed geopolitical tensions, and growing questions about whether the Federal Reserve may have to raise rates again. Add historically weak September seasonality and the uncertainty surrounding the midterm elections, and investors have plenty to think about. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions about market risk, interest rates, inflation, portfolio positioning, retirement planning, and what investors should be watching next. 0:00 INTRO 0:50 - JOLTS Report Review, ADP/Jobs Preview 2:04 - Oil Prices on the rise (oil risk is transient): What's feeding into Inflation? 3:52 - Broadcom report preview 4:14 - Market working down towards 50-DMA to test support 5:15 - Seasonal weakness for September is present; volatility remains low 8:53 - Any market Rotation? 10:28 - Guidance for Acquiring company stock in 401k 12:37 - Recommendation for Rotation in and out of funds - how & why & controlling risk 15:30 - Dividend yields or reinvest in Creation of Retirement Paycheck? 19:37 - Where to hide money from the "coming doom..." 21:30 - Dealing with the risks in September 22:57 - Portfolio Management Rebalancing, & Target Weighting 26:13 - Data Center & related stocks: Bloom, Anet, ETN 30:15 - Money flow & Breadth Indicator, Momentum signals: Tax avoidance investing 32:56 - Is anyone big enough to move the market to influence the election (Situational Awareness) 36:55 - Changes to mandatory withdrawals 38:38 - Sensible policies to "fix" SS: remove restrictions on IRA's vs need for revenue 43:33 - Brookfield Corp? 45:12 - Worry about IRMAA? 45:56 - Pullback # for S&P 46:33 - Gold & Silver to run in future? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ZxnrV8m0F4g?feature=share -------- Watch our previous show, "What Should You Expect From a Financial Planner?" https://youtube.com/live/dRd4fGgwrkc ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "September Weakness Tests Market Support," https://youtu.be/4xaM1pIhI1w ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Loss: Why Crashes, Timing & Valuations Matter (Chapter 3 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/loss-why-crashes-timing-valuations-matter-chapter-3-of-5/dvice.com/resources/blog/why-retail-traders-consistently-underperform-over-time/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketCorrection #RiskManagement #SeptemberMarkets #Investing #FederalReserve #RetirementPlanning #MarketRisk

September is starting with a new set of challenges for investors: rising Treasury yields, higher oil prices, persistent inflation, renewed geopolitical tensions, and growing questions about whether the Federal Reserve may have to raise rates again. Add historically weak September seasonality and the uncertainty surrounding the midterm elections, and investors have plenty to think about. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions about market risk, interest rates, inflation, portfolio positioning, retirement planning, and what investors should be watching next. 0:00 INTRO 0:50 - JOLTS Report Review, ADP/Jobs Preview 2:04 - Oil Prices on the rise (oil risk is transient): What's feeding into Inflation? 3:52 - Broadcom report preview 4:14 - Market working down towards 50-DMA to test support 5:15 - Seasonal weakness for September is present; volatility remains low 8:53 - Any market Rotation? 10:28 - Guidance for Acquiring company stock in 401k 12:37 - Recommendation for Rotation in and out of funds - how & why & controlling risk 15:30 - Dividend yields or reinvest in Creation of Retirement Paycheck? 19:37 - Where to hide money from the "coming doom..." 21:30 - Dealing with the risks in September 22:57 - Portfolio Management Rebalancing, & Target Weighting 26:13 - Data Center & related stocks: Bloom, Anet, ETN 30:15 - Money flow & Breadth Indicator, Momentum signals: Tax avoidance investing 32:56 - Is anyone big enough to move the market to influence the election (Situational Awareness) 36:55 - Changes to mandatory withdrawals 38:38 - Sensible policies to "fix" SS: remove restrictions on IRA's vs need for revenue 43:33 - Brookfield Corp? 45:12 - Worry about IRMAA? 45:56 - Pullback # for S&P 46:33 - Gold & Silver to run in future? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ZxnrV8m0F4g?feature=share -------- Watch our previous show, "What Should You Expect From a Financial Planner?" https://youtube.com/live/dRd4fGgwrkc ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "September Weakness Tests Market Support," https://youtu.be/4xaM1pIhI1w ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Loss: Why Crashes, Timing & Valuations Matter (Chapter 3 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/loss-why-crashes-timing-valuations-matter-chapter-3-of-5/dvice.com/resources/blog/why-retail-traders-consistently-underperform-over-time/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #MarketCorrection #RiskManagement #SeptemberMarkets #Investing #FederalReserve #RetirementPlanning #MarketRisk

What should a good financial planner actually do for you? It should go far beyond choosing investments or building a retirement portfolio. A strong financial planning relationship should provide organization, accountability, objectivity, education, and proactive guidance while coordinating investments, taxes, Social Security, Medicare, insurance, estate planning, and retirement income. Just as importantly, your financial plan should evolve as your life, goals, markets, and tax laws change. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine what investors should expect from a financial planner, why personalization and communication matter, how a fiduciary relationship should work, and why good financial advice is ultimately about helping you make better decisions with your money. 0:00 INTRO 0:54 - Economic Previews & late earnings trickle in 3:15 - AI: Dis-inflationary AND Inflationary 4:57 - September is Seasonally Weak: 11:20 - Traditional Buy & Hold vs more active management & fear of gains 14:16 - Capital Preservation is first priority 17:44 - Separately Managed Accounts (SMA) vs S&P 20:04 - The Challenges of starting to build financial plan 26:00 - Getting Your Money's Worth from Financial Advisor 29:21 - The Problem of Account Accumulation & Dilution of Returns 34:02 - Budgeting, stress-testing, & tax planning opportunities 36:17 - Estate planning, medical directives, Durable POA 38:08 - Financial Planning priorities in Investing 39:06 - The Role of Life Insurance in Financial Planning 40:26 - Annuities' Bad rap - does it make sense? 44:00 - How much Liability Protection do You Need? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/dRd4fGgwrkc -------- Watch our previous show, "Druckenmiller's Bond Market Warning" https://youtube.com/live/8HuTiqxY7yM ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "Don't Make a Big Bet Yet," https://youtu.be/9gNpbwdm97w ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Loss: Why Crashes, Timing & Valuations Matter (Chapter 3 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/loss-why-crashes-timing-valuations-matter-chapter-3-of-5/dvice.com/resources/blog/why-retail-traders-consistently-underperform-over-time/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketOutlook #Investing #MarketCorrection #FinancialPlanning #FinancialAdvisor #RetirementPlanning #PersonalFinance #WealthManagement

What should a good financial planner actually do for you? It should go far beyond choosing investments or building a retirement portfolio. A strong financial planning relationship should provide organization, accountability, objectivity, education, and proactive guidance while coordinating investments, taxes, Social Security, Medicare, insurance, estate planning, and retirement income. Just as importantly, your financial plan should evolve as your life, goals, markets, and tax laws change. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine what investors should expect from a financial planner, why personalization and communication matter, how a fiduciary relationship should work, and why good financial advice is ultimately about helping you make better decisions with your money. 0:00 INTRO 0:54 - Economic Previews & late earnings trickle in 3:15 - AI: Dis-inflationary AND Inflationary 4:57 - September is Seasonally Weak: 11:20 - Traditional Buy & Hold vs more active management & fear of gains 14:16 - Capital Preservation is first priority 17:44 - Separately Managed Accounts (SMA) vs S&P 20:04 - The Challenges of starting to build financial plan 26:00 - Getting Your Money's Worth from Financial Advisor 29:21 - The Problem of Account Accumulation & Dilution of Returns 34:02 - Budgeting, stress-testing, & tax planning opportunities 36:17 - Estate planning, medical directives, Durable POA 38:08 - Financial Planning priorities in Investing 39:06 - The Role of Life Insurance in Financial Planning 40:26 - Annuities' Bad rap - does it make sense? 44:00 - How much Liability Protection do You Need? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/dRd4fGgwrkc -------- Watch our previous show, "Druckenmiller's Bond Market Warning" https://youtube.com/live/8HuTiqxY7yM ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "Don't Make a Big Bet Yet," https://youtu.be/9gNpbwdm97w ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Loss: Why Crashes, Timing & Valuations Matter (Chapter 3 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/loss-why-crashes-timing-valuations-matter-chapter-3-of-5/dvice.com/resources/blog/why-retail-traders-consistently-underperform-over-time/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketOutlook #Investing #MarketCorrection #FinancialPlanning #FinancialAdvisor #RetirementPlanning #PersonalFinance #WealthManagement

Jeff Weniger, Chief Investment Strategist at Corgi Invest, explains why rising bond yields are not necessarily a sign of "impending doom." He points to the resilience of the U.S. economy, with surprising employment figures and expanding services and manufacturing sectors. Jeff also delves into the dynamics of oil prices, highlighting the rapid depletion of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve and its potential impact. He further identifies healthcare, driven by AI in drug development, and cybersecurity, with companies like Datadog (DDOG) and CrowdStrike (CRWD), as sectors showing strong performance.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-...Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-...Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/19192...Watch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplu...Watch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-net...Follow us on X –   / schwabnetwork  Follow us on Facebook –   / schwabnetwork  Follow us on LinkedIn -   / schwab-network  About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Wes Moss is a Managing Partner and Chief Investment Strategist at Capital Investment Advisors (CIA), where he leads a team dedicated to helping individuals and families achieve financial independence. A CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ and prominent money educator, Wes is the author of What The Happiest Retirees Know and You Can Retire Sooner Than You Think, and hosts the nationally recognized Retire Sooner Podcast alongside his weekly call-in radio show, Money Matters. Recognized nationally by Barron's, Forbes, and Investopedia for his expertise in income investing and retirement lifestyle planning, he holds a degree in economics from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and lives in Atlanta with his family.Connect with Wes Moss:Website: https://www.wesmoss.com/ The Retire Sooner Method: The 5 Secrets Behind America's Happiest (and Unhappiest) Retirees. https://a.co/d/00AA74b0 Need expert tax planning? Visit GTG Tax to learn how to make your taxes work for your goals: https://gtgtax.com/ TurnKey Podcast Productions Important Links:Guest to Gold Video Series: www.TurnkeyPodcast.com/gold The Ultimate Podcast Launch Formula- www.TurnkeyPodcast.com/UPLFplusFREE workshop on how to "Be A Great Guest."Free E-Book 5 Ways to Make Money Podcasting at www.Turnkeypodcast.com/gift Ready to earn 6-figures with your podcast? See if you've got what it takes at TurnkeyPodcast.com/quizSales Training for Podcasters: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/sales-training-for-podcasters/id1540644376Nice Guys on Business: http://www.niceguysonbusiness.com/subscribe/The Turnkey Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/turnkey-podcast/id1485077152 Discover how you can look 'poor' to the IRS and rich to a lender. Check out my sponsor, GTG Tax Planning, at gtgtax.com to book a short discovery call.

Stanley Druckenmiller is warning Washington about the bond market, but the real message may not be an impending debt crisis. The bond market may have already delivered its verdict. Lance Roberts examines Druckenmiller's criticism of Treasury intervention, Scott Bessent's expanded long-term Treasury buybacks, and why attempts to manage yields could create a bigger problem than the initial intervention itself. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - Labor Day Preview, Kevin Warsh Review 4:53 - US-Venezuela Oil Deal 6:08 - August Into September Markets 12:09 - Pumpkins, Spice, & Sickle and Hammer 13:14 - Stanley Druckenmiller & AI 15:41 - Druckenmiller's Bond Warning 18:12 - The Bond Buy back Operation 23:23 - Warsh Wants the Fed Out of the Bond market 25:40 - What Druckenmiller Said vs What's being read 28:10 - What You Should Do if You Own Fixed Income 33:12 - If there's not Crisis... 35:46 - The Myths of Long Term Investing, Part-3 - The Math of Loss 42:55 - Why Valuations Matter 45:35 - When You Retire Matters Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/8HuTiqxY7yM -------- Watch our previous show, "Will Your IRA Go to the Right People?" https://youtube.com/live/GpH7q-IgPXs?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "September Volatility Test Begins," https://youtu.be/6e-dFR8sjyc ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SeptemberMarkets #MarketVolatility #Investing #RiskManagement #BondMarket #InterestRates #TreasuryBonds #StanleyDruckenmiller #Investing

Stanley Druckenmiller is warning Washington about the bond market, but the real message may not be an impending debt crisis. The bond market may have already delivered its verdict. Lance Roberts examines Druckenmiller's criticism of Treasury intervention, Scott Bessent's expanded long-term Treasury buybacks, and why attempts to manage yields could create a bigger problem than the initial intervention itself. 0:00 INTRO 0:53 - Labor Day Preview, Kevin Warsh Review 4:53 - US-Venezuela Oil Deal 6:08 - August Into September Markets 12:09 - Pumpkins, Spice, & Sickle and Hammer 13:14 - Stanley Druckenmiller & AI 15:41 - Druckenmiller's Bond Warning 18:12 - The Bond Buy back Operation 23:23 - Warsh Wants the Fed Out of the Bond market 25:40 - What Druckenmiller Said vs What's being read 28:10 - What You Should Do if You Own Fixed Income 33:12 - If there's not Crisis... 35:46 - The Myths of Long Term Investing, Part-3 - The Math of Loss 42:55 - Why Valuations Matter 45:35 - When You Retire Matters Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/8HuTiqxY7yM -------- Watch our previous show, "Will Your IRA Go to the Right People?" https://youtube.com/live/GpH7q-IgPXs?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "September Volatility Test Begins," https://youtu.be/6e-dFR8sjyc ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SeptemberMarkets #MarketVolatility #Investing #RiskManagement #BondMarket #InterestRates #TreasuryBonds #StanleyDruckenmiller #Investing

Willy sat down with Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab and one of the most influential voices in finance, for a wide-ranging conversation on what's driving markets today and what investors should be watching next. Willy and Liz Ann explored a changing investment landscape shaped by inflation, interest rate volatility, federal deficits, and shifting labor and housing markets. They also discussed AI's growing impact, market rotations, and the increasingly blurred line between investing and gambling - including what it could mean for financial literacy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nvidia delivers its best day of the year after earnings out Wednesday night. It added the equivalent of an Intel in market cap during the trading session. So is that the green light for investors to climb back into AI winners? Katie Klingensmith, Chief Investment Strategist at Edelman Financial Engines, breaks down the market outlook and where opportunities remain. Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's, analyzes the economic outlook and the latest developments surrounding Fed Chair Kevin Warsh ahead of his first Jackson Hole speech as Fed chair. Dana Telsey of Telsey Advisory Group breaks down results from Gap and the growing divergence across consumer stocks. Werner Enterprises CEO Derek Leathers discusses shipping demand from major retailers. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Nvidia delivered another blockbuster quarter, reporting record revenue of $96.2 billion, up 106% from a year ago, as demand for AI infrastructure continues to accelerate. But the bigger story may be what comes next. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Nvidia's latest earnings, its extraordinary growth outlook, Blackwell and Vera Rubin demand, the massive buildout in AI infrastructure, and Nvidia's growing financial involvement across the AI ecosystem. We also examine the risks, including rising memory costs, margin pressure, enormous capital requirements, and questions about whether today's AI spending boom can deliver adequate returns. 0:00 INTRO 1:00 - Economic Recap & Multiplier Effect 6:31 - Market Push from NASDAQ 11:45 - Passwords, Needles & Rosso's toys 14:30 - NVIDIA Reports - Markets Respond 21:36 - How Ancillary Business Benefit from NVIDIA 24:03 - NVIDIA Stock Performance 25:32 - The Heat Map Game 27:25 - Portfolio Positioning & Nat Gas play 30:37 - The Economics of Gilligan's Island 35:33 - Productivity Factors of AI 38:04 - How Much Return on AI Investment will there be 39:57 - How Will AI be Transformative? 42:42 - We're All Investing in AI Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/lGSWXLw9dPY ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fueling AI Data Centers: Behind The Meter Solutions- Part 1" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/fueling-ai-data-centers-behind-the-meter-solutions-part-1/ "Behind The Meter Solutions Investment Guide- Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/behind-the-meter-solutions-investment-guide-part-2/ "Productivity On Gilligan's Island: Episode 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/productivity-on-gilligans-island-episode-2/ "Bitcoin Up 22%: Has The Halving Cycle Begun?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bitcoin-up-22-has-the-halving-cycle-begun/ --- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "NASDAQ Technicals Are Turning Higher," https://youtu.be/33KMo6HoezY ------- Watch our previous show, "Are Today's Interest Rates Really That High?" https://youtube.com/live/lPCVe6O4LjM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NASDAQ #StockMarket #TechnologyStocks #MarketOutlook #Investing #Nvidia #NVDA #NvidiaEarnings #AIStocks

Nvidia delivered another blockbuster quarter, reporting record revenue of $96.2 billion, up 106% from a year ago, as demand for AI infrastructure continues to accelerate. But the bigger story may be what comes next. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Nvidia's latest earnings, its extraordinary growth outlook, Blackwell and Vera Rubin demand, the massive buildout in AI infrastructure, and Nvidia's growing financial involvement across the AI ecosystem. We also examine the risks, including rising memory costs, margin pressure, enormous capital requirements, and questions about whether today's AI spending boom can deliver adequate returns. 0:00 INTRO 1:00 - Economic Recap & Multiplier Effect 6:31 - Market Push from NASDAQ 11:45 - Passwords, Needles & Rosso's toys 14:30 - NVIDIA Reports - Markets Respond 21:36 - How Ancillary Business Benefit from NVIDIA 24:03 - NVIDIA Stock Performance 25:32 - The Heat Map Game 27:25 - Portfolio Positioning & Nat Gas play 30:37 - The Economics of Gilligan's Island 35:33 - Productivity Factors of AI 38:04 - How Much Return on AI Investment will there be 39:57 - How Will AI be Transformative? 42:42 - We're All Investing in AI Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/lGSWXLw9dPY ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fueling AI Data Centers: Behind The Meter Solutions- Part 1" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/fueling-ai-data-centers-behind-the-meter-solutions-part-1/ "Behind The Meter Solutions Investment Guide- Part 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/behind-the-meter-solutions-investment-guide-part-2/ "Productivity On Gilligan's Island: Episode 2" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/productivity-on-gilligans-island-episode-2/ "Bitcoin Up 22%: Has The Halving Cycle Begun?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bitcoin-up-22-has-the-halving-cycle-begun/ --- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "NASDAQ Technicals Are Turning Higher," https://youtu.be/33KMo6HoezY ------- Watch our previous show, "Are Today's Interest Rates Really That High?" https://youtube.com/live/lPCVe6O4LjM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NASDAQ #StockMarket #TechnologyStocks #MarketOutlook #Investing #Nvidia #NVDA #NvidiaEarnings #AIStocks

Markets are facing a growing list of risks as investors head into the final stretch of summer. Stocks are working through a slow-moving correction, Treasury yields remain elevated, technology leadership is being tested, and the Federal Reserve faces renewed questions about inflation and interest rates. Which risks actually matter for your portfolio, and which are mostly market noise? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff answer your questions, live, as we break down the latest economic data, market signals, Fed policy expectations, bond yields, and geopolitical developments to separate the real threats from the headlines. 0:00 INTRO 1:00 - Dolly Parton's Passing 1:46 - NVDIA is the Big News Today - will move markets tomorrow 4:34 - Markets Rally and Hold 20-DMA; Mitigating Market Risk 6:38 - NVIDIA Preview 10:26 - Lance's Wardrobe 11:35 - Semi-conductor Strategies 14:44 - 401-k Rotation Strategies 19:52 - Looking at Interest Rate plays - what is your goal? 22:13 - Is the Globalization Narrative breaking down? (TV Pricing & Exporting Inflation, Importing Deflation) 27:46 - Modifying Cap Ex concept in AI business? 28:48 - If the Basis Trade blows up? 29:19 - Barbell Strategies for ten-year term (Value ETF's vs Momentum ETF's) 35:22 - 50-50 portfolio (eating cake every night & not gain weight) 37:47 - Etherium Price at EOY? (you've missed The Move for this year); it is a risk asset 40:01 - Stuck with TMF (leveraged ETF) What Would You Do From here? 44:51 - When a Company is sold, when to get out? 45:24 - Value vs growth 46:04 - NVIDIA, Market Cap Concentration, & Top Ten Stocks 49:01 - What Could Cause a Spike Higher in Yields? 51:50 - Stanley Drunkenmiller vs the Fed: Let the market dictate action 52:49 - Balanced Portfolios at age 80? 55:21 - Sectors most under-valued, over-looked, and over-valued? 56:38 - How much of investing proverbs/rules have come true? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/tESc03T56K4?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Think Like An Investor, Not A Speculator (Chapter 1 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/think-like-an-investor-chapter-1-of-5/ "Investor Psychology Is Sabotaging Your Returns (Chapter 2 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-psychology-is-sabotaging-your-returns-chapter-2-of-5/ "Normal Interest Rates: What The Debt Panic Gets Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/normal-interest-rates-what-the-debt-panic-gets-wrong/ "Three Percent Real TIPS Yields: Boring But Valuable" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/three-percent-real-tips-yields-boring-but-valuable/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "NVIDIA Earnings Put Market Support to the Test," https://youtu.be/5Dkn-dNU9wA ------- Watch our previous show, "Are Today's Interest Rates Really That High?" https://youtube.com/live/lPCVe6O4LjM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NVIDIA #StockMarket #NVDA #Investing #MarketOutlook #FederalReserve #Investing #InterestRates

Markets are facing a growing list of risks as investors head into the final stretch of summer. Stocks are working through a slow-moving correction, Treasury yields remain elevated, technology leadership is being tested, and the Federal Reserve faces renewed questions about inflation and interest rates. Which risks actually matter for your portfolio, and which are mostly market noise? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff answer your questions, live, as we break down the latest economic data, market signals, Fed policy expectations, bond yields, and geopolitical developments to separate the real threats from the headlines. 0:00 INTRO 1:00 - Dolly Parton's Passing 1:46 - NVDIA is the Big News Today - will move markets tomorrow 4:34 - Markets Rally and Hold 20-DMA; Mitigating Market Risk 6:38 - NVIDIA Preview 10:26 - Lance's Wardrobe 11:35 - Semi-conductor Strategies 14:44 - 401-k Rotation Strategies 19:52 - Looking at Interest Rate plays - what is your goal? 22:13 - Is the Globalization Narrative breaking down? (TV Pricing & Exporting Inflation, Importing Deflation) 27:46 - Modifying Cap Ex concept in AI business? 28:48 - If the Basis Trade blows up? 29:19 - Barbell Strategies for ten-year term (Value ETF's vs Momentum ETF's) 35:22 - 50-50 portfolio (eating cake every night & not gain weight) 37:47 - Etherium Price at EOY? (you've missed The Move for this year); it is a risk asset 40:01 - Stuck with TMF (leveraged ETF) What Would You Do From here? 44:51 - When a Company is sold, when to get out? 45:24 - Value vs growth 46:04 - NVIDIA, Market Cap Concentration, & Top Ten Stocks 49:01 - What Could Cause a Spike Higher in Yields? 51:50 - Stanley Drunkenmiller vs the Fed: Let the market dictate action 52:49 - Balanced Portfolios at age 80? 55:21 - Sectors most under-valued, over-looked, and over-valued? 56:38 - How much of investing proverbs/rules have come true? Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/tESc03T56K4?feature=share ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Think Like An Investor, Not A Speculator (Chapter 1 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/think-like-an-investor-chapter-1-of-5/ "Investor Psychology Is Sabotaging Your Returns (Chapter 2 of 5)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/investor-psychology-is-sabotaging-your-returns-chapter-2-of-5/ "Normal Interest Rates: What The Debt Panic Gets Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/normal-interest-rates-what-the-debt-panic-gets-wrong/ "Three Percent Real TIPS Yields: Boring But Valuable" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/three-percent-real-tips-yields-boring-but-valuable/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "NVIDIA Earnings Put Market Support to the Test," https://youtu.be/5Dkn-dNU9wA ------- Watch our previous show, "Are Today's Interest Rates Really That High?" https://youtube.com/live/lPCVe6O4LjM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #NVIDIA #StockMarket #NVDA #Investing #MarketOutlook #FederalReserve #Investing #InterestRates

Interest rates are rising, long-term bond prices have pulled back, and investors are once again worried that higher Treasury yields could threaten the economy and markets. But what if today's rates aren't historically high at all? After more than a decade of near-zero rates and easy monetary policy, investors may have become accustomed to an environment that was anything but normal. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn put today's interest rates into historical perspective, examine what higher yields really say about inflation, growth, debt, and deficits, and explain why a 5% long-term Treasury yield may not be the crisis many headlines suggest. We'll also look at what the changing rate environment means for stocks, bonds, portfolio risk, and investors deciding whether weakness in longer-duration bonds is a warning—or an opportunity. 0:00 INTRO 1:04 - Weekly Preview & Treasury General Account Bond Buy Backs 2:04 - Shorting Treasuries & The Hedge Fund Trade 5:37 - Markets Going Thru a Slow-Motion Correction 8:24 - BitCoin Rallies on Bessent Announcement 11:52 - Bonds & Rates: Brake or Break? 19:08 - Rates Are Normal 21:56 - The Primary Determinants that Set Loan Rates (Economic Composite Index) 25:46 - The Effect of Debt on Economy 29:46 - The Negative Multiplier, Measured (Gov't. Debt vs Household Debt) 33:33 - The S&P in 2008? When Markets are Unsustainable 36:58 - $40-trillion (and "Zero") & Shock and Awe 39:40 - Retirees Get Paid to own Treasuries (How Much to Allocate?) 41:57 - Is the Dollar Losing Value? 44:45 - There is Always a Buyer for Debt (Primary Dealers) 47:56 - Fasting w Lance & Christina Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/lPCVe6O4LjM ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Normal Interest Rates: What The Debt Panic Gets Wrong" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/normal-interest-rates-what-the-debt-panic-gets-wrong/ -------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" report, "Market Correction: Patience Pays," https://youtu.be/w_BcRBJ00Io ------- Watch our previous show, "Is the Basis Trade Distorting Bond Yields?" https://youtube.com/live/UtY2oV1kkXc ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series, "The Smart Way to Pay for College," Thursday, September 3, 2026: https://streamyard.com/watch/mcE7YgphgMns --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Investing #SP500 #Bitcoin #MarketCorrection #InterestRates #TreasuryYields #BondMarket #Bitcoin #FederalReserve