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Dan Nathan sits down with Adam Nelson, fintech-focused VC partner, to break down why stablecoins and tokenized real-world assets are set to reshape the financial system. They cover the GENIUS Act's impact on regulatory clarity, why Circle's net income now rivals major banks, how Visa and Mastercard are responding to the threat, and the rise of companies like Rain and Velocity building the infrastructure layer. They also dig into why traditional banking moats are eroding, and close with a look at Hyperliquid, perpetual futures, and the growth of prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE Cameron Dawson, CIO of NewEdge Wealth, joins Dan Nathan to break down her "Metallica Market" outlook and why the hyperscalers are undergoing a fundamental transformation — from capital-light monopolies to capital-intensive AI infrastructure builders. They dig into Google's first negative free cash flow quarter since 2004, why 80% of its Q2 earnings came from a one-time $99 billion investment gain, and whether the Mag 7's current dominance echoes the Nifty Fifty and dot-com eras. Cameron also lays out the risk that 2027 S&P earnings estimates could be near their peak, why semiconductors (now 19% of the index) are driving the bulk of 2026's earnings growth, where she still sees strength in financials, and what a Fed Chair Warsh rate move next week could mean for stocks heading into a seasonally choppy back half of the year. Checkout Cameron's 'Metalica' note at NewEdge: https://www.newedgewealth.com/mid-year-outlook-the-metallica-market/ —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
Dan Nathan sits down with Rick Heitzmann, co-founder and partner at FirstMark Capital, to kick off a new Okay, Computer. series on AI investing. They dig into the circular financing behind the AI infrastructure boom — from Nvidia backstopping Apollo's private credit for xAI to Meta's off-balance-sheet data center deals with KKR and Blue Owl — plus the shift from "tokenmaxxing" to an efficiency era, the rise of Chinese open-source models, memory stock froth, and what's next for the IPO market after SpaceX. Show Notes Big Tech Is Hiding $1.65 Trillion in Debt. How Worried Should Investors Be? (Yahoo Finance) SpaceXAI Explores Major Data Center Expansion in Texas (The Information) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan & Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Tuesday, July 21st. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down a wild week across markets — memory stocks in freefall, Google's brutal two-day selloff, and why China's AI models are closing the gap without top-tier Nvidia chips. Micron cratered from its all-time high of $1,255 to $800 in a matter of weeks, and the DRAM ETF whipsawed right along with it. Guy and Dan dig into whether this is a routine flush or something bigger. Google sold off 10% after Gemini news broke the hyperscaler rotation narrative, and they debate whether the moat still holds given decelerating margins and ballooning capex. On the China front: DeepSeek raised $7B at a $52B valuation, Alibaba announced $50B in capex, and Moonshot's new model is narrowing the gap with US labs — all without access to Nvidia's most advanced chips. Dan and Guy also revisit the Nvidia-vs-component-suppliers margin debate, unpack Apple's surprising rally into earnings, and call the technical line in the sand on Netflix after its cash flow miss cut the stock in half. Plus: a quick check on crude, refiners hitting new highs, and what's next for energy names like Exxon and ConocoPhillips. Show Notes Google Gemini Launch Delayed as Tech Falls Short of Internal Goals (Bloomberg) Chinese Models vs. Frontier Models (The Daily Spark) China's Moonshot Unveils AI Model That Narrows Gap With US Firms (Bloomberg) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan, Guy Adami & Carter Worth break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Monday, July 20th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan, Guy Adami & Liz Thomas break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Thursday, July 16th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami host Ben Emons of FedWatch Advisors to discuss shifting Fed communication under Kevin Warsh, including a push away from strong forward guidance like recent comments from Waller. Emons distinguishes disinflation from deflation, noting a negative month-to-month CPI driven by energy declines but warning energy has already rebounded, making expectations volatile. He highlights “funflation” in categories like recreation and food away from home alongside broad underlying price pressures. The group debates whether AI is inflationary, with Emons pointing to supply-constrained memory prices and AI-related investment as drivers, and discusses IBM's sharp drop after clients shifted CapEx toward servers, storage, and memory. They also cover Middle East Strait closures adding an oil war premium, positioning risks across crude, rates, and equities, yen weakness and potential BOJ action, and heightened volatility and leverage in a “Parabolic Seven” chip/memory cohort that could trigger broader market rotation and tightening financial conditions. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
LEARN MORE about NDX: https://www.nasdaq.com/nasdaq-100-options-xnd-ndx?utm_medium=Podcast&utm_source=RiskReversal SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan & Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Wednesday, July 15th. Show Notes Wall Street banks are AI stocks now (FT) China's Q2 GDP Growth Falls Below Target (Rosenberg Research) Weekend Update: Tucker Carlson on Liberal Politics (SNL YouTube) -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan, Guy Adami & Carter Worth break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Tuesday, July 14th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan & Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Monday, July 13th. Show Notes Businesses brace for years of inflation as new costs pile up (Washington Post) The Noble Update (Substack) Companies turn to Chinese AI models to cut costs (FT) -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dan Nathan sits down with Peter Boockvar (CIO, One Point BFG Wealth Partners) and Louis-Vincent Gave (CEO, Gavekal) to break down the AI arms race, the dollar's structural decline, and where the smart money is rotating next. They dig into China's "Toyota vs. Ferrari" AI strategy and why cheap, open-source models threaten to commoditize OpenAI and Anthropic's trillion-dollar valuations, the sustainability of a $6.5 trillion AI CapEx buildout, and why record semiconductor concentration in global indexes is creating a crowded, fragile trade. The conversation moves through the energy crunch driving refining shortages worldwide, the case for gold and commodity stockpiling in a post-Hormuz world, and why long-term bond markets in France, the UK, and Japan may crack before the US does. They close with where Boockvar and Gave are actually putting money to work right now: financials and cyclicals over crowded tech. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami open the podcast by framing the day's key market story as sharp weakness and heightened volatility in memory, chips, and semi equipment, citing rapid reversals in names like Micron and Applied Materials and opaque guidance from Samsung. They discuss whether the AI build-out is increasingly debt-funded—highlighting Amazon and Oracle debt issuance and private credit deals—and reference a “Groundbreaker” piece shared by Jim Chanos arguing investors miss second-derivative slowdowns and that AI resembles a credit-driven real estate cycle more like 2008 than 2000's patient equity bubble. They note a rotation bounce into software (Microsoft, Palantir, Salesforce, Adobe, ServiceNow) but question sustainability, and debate SpaceX's fast-tracked inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 after its IPO, the stock's poor trading, possible broader IPO implications, and an upcoming insider share unlock —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
LEARN MORE about NDX: https://www.nasdaq.com/nasdaq-100-options-xnd-ndx?utm_medium=Podcast&utm_source=RiskReversal SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan & Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Wednesday, July 8th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan, Guy Adami & special guest John Butters break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Tuesday, July 7th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan, Guy Adami & Carter Worth break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Monday, July 6th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE Rosenberg Research Free Trial: Rosenberg Research Free Trial SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan is joined by David Rosenberg, president and founder of Rosenberg Research, for a wide-ranging conversation recorded on the final day of Q2. Rosie lays out his out-of-consensus disinflation call, arguing that with productivity now accounting for roughly 90% of US economic growth, the market and the Fed are wrong to be bracing for higher inflation and that a string of surprisingly benign CPI prints could be coming. From there, the two dig into the cracks beneath a record-setting market: a personal savings rate that's collapsed from 8% to 3%, real disposable income running at zero, and a low-end consumer leaning harder on credit cards just to stay afloat — the setup, Rosie warns, for a consumer recession few see coming. They also tackle the elephant in the market: an AI trade that's broadened from the "Mag 7" into semiconductors, memory, and names like Corning and Cisco, and the financialization underneath it — circular financing arrangements, private credit funds capping redemptions, and accounting quirks that may be flattering S&P earnings more than investors realize. Rosie explains why he's still half in equities (with a heavy tilt toward Asia, bonds, and gold), why "there are no bears left" worries him, and what a 1928 letter from Charles Merrill can teach investors about the cost of being late versus early. Plus: a look ahead to his upcoming book and ETF. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan & Carter Worth break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Tuesday, June 30th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down a market caught in the late stages of euphoria. They dig into Micron's record-high run and the broader memory-stock mania—and ask the uncomfortable question of who's actually left to buy at these levels. With hyperscalers rolling over (Microsoft just posted its worst month since 2000) and Palantir cut in half, Dan and Guy debate whether this is a healthy rotation or the churn before the storm. The guys also get into the "it's different this time" debate around memory stocks as a secular vs. cyclical trade, the SpaceX debt losses and OpenAI's delayed IPO, why crude oil is shrugging off real geopolitical risk, a hawkish Kevin Warsh Fed and the jobs report, Bitcoin slipping below 60K, and Nike's earnings ahead of a brutal stretch for the stock. Articles Referenced Bond Traders Stunned as Losses on SpaceX's New Debt Keep Growing (Bloomberg) How Iran Devastated an American Naval Base—and Caused a U.S. Recalculation (WSJ) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan & Carter Worth break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Monday, June 29th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan and Guy Adami are joined by Gene Munster, Managing Partner at Deepwater Asset Management, for a wide-ranging conversation recorded as the market sold off into the close — and as the guys sign off from their current studio one last time. They open on Micron's blowout quarter and the 16 strategic five-year customer agreements that have it up 20%, debating whether the historic boom-and-bust cyclicality is finally being priced out of memory. From there, Gene makes his case that the AI trade is still in the "second inning," walking through AGI, the gap between hype and adoption, the threat cheap open-source models out of China pose to model pricing, and why he thinks Google has gotten the best return on its AI investment so far. The group also digs into Apple's pricing power as memory costs spike — and the 2019 upgrade-cycle scare that still haunts the bulls — before closing on the SpaceX IPO one week in, the Tesla–SpaceX roll-up bet, and the state of robotaxi and full self-driving. Articles Referenced Why aren't more companies adopting AI? (FT) Fatal Tesla Crash Into Texas Home Now Under Federal Safety Investigation (WSJ) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Liz Thomas, Dan Nathan & Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Thursday, June 25th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami open by focusing on heightened volatility in the NASDAQ and semiconductors after the SOXX hit an all-time high then fell 7%, alongside a 10% overnight drop in South Korea's KOSPI, raising concerns about a global snowball effect. They argue widening volatility bands, “meme stock” dynamics in names like Intel, heavy AI-related capital raising, higher rates, and data-center build push-outs could signal a market high, while the consumer shows strain in retailer and restaurant commentary. They preview Micron earnings, noting extreme implied moves, massive stock swings, and skepticism that “dirt cheap” valuation offsets cyclicality, with high-bandwidth memory now central to the AI trade. After the break, Dan Nathan hosts Gutter Capital co-founders Dan Teran and James Getinger to discuss the firm's $75 million Fund III and the second iteration of its New York City accelerator, Elbow Grease. They explain Gutter's origins from 110+ angel investments, a concentrated portfolio strategy, and a highly hands-on operating model focused on recruiting and day-to-day company building. Teran recounts founding and selling Managed by Q to WeWork and how those experiences shaped Gutter's approach, while Getinger shares his decade as a profitable professional gambler and how that informed his quantitative and operational investing style. They argue venture has become increasingly consensus-driven, with rising seed valuations and capital concentrated in a few mega-funds, making early fundraising harder for nontraditional founders. Gutter emphasizes earlier-stage bets, community and mentorship on Canal Street, and investing in AI-enabled application-layer companies without needing to price frontier-model valuations. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/data/ SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan & Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Tuesday, June 23rd. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami host a special Risk Reversal episode with guest Danny Moses to discuss the latest Fed meeting under Kevin Warsh, emphasizing peak hawkish messaging, reduced forward guidance (including questioning the dot plot), and the market's feedback loop. They debate surging volatility and extreme AI/semiconductor valuations, highlighting Intel's sharp rally on customer speculation and concerns about narrative-driven pricing, correlation risk, and potential CapEx pullbacks, with Micron's upcoming earnings as a key test. The group also covers gold's pullback, favoring gold miners like AEM, and argues energy could rebound despite recent weakness. They note consumer strain using Kroger's warnings on rising costs and promotional shopping, alongside elevated delinquencies and credit card debt. After the break, Dan speaks with CNBC's Deirdre Bosa about SpaceX's IPO, “vibe investing,” xAI's compute strategy, the Cursor acquisition, AI token-cost pressures, and how export controls may accelerate adoption of Chinese open-source models like DeepSeek. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan, Guy Adami & Carter Worth break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Monday, June 22nd. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Is the AI trade a bubble? Imran Khan — founder of Proem Asset Management, former Snap executive, and the banker behind the Alibaba and Mercado Libre IPOs — isn't convinced. Dan Nathan sits down with Imran to pressure-test the bear case, from Nvidia's below-market multiple to the cyclical-vs-secular debate in memory, and to dig into why a big chunk of SpaceX's $2.5T valuation may not be a space story at all. Topics Covered Why hyperscalers underperform during heavy CapEx cycles — and why that's historically the best time to buy Distribution vs. technology: how Gemini won while arguably being the inferior model, and why Grok couldn't Meta's setup — cheap on earnings, not cheap on free cash flow — and the Zuckerberg "big swing" risk Nvidia at a $5T market cap: the $20B debt raise, buybacks, and the customers-are-competitors problem Micron and high-bandwidth memory sold out into 2027, and the cyclical-vs-secular question that decides the stock The "bottleneck trade" everyone's chasing — and why earnings durability is the thing to watch Energy constraints, data center delays, and the long-term demand picture Imran's contrarian case that AI won't create structural unemployment SpaceX's valuation decoded: rocket launch, Starlink, and the xAI cloud ramp What OpenAI and Anthropic coming to market could mean for the AI trade —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
Dan Nathan welcomes Current co-founders Stuart Sopp and CTO Trevor Marshall to discuss Current's business momentum, the fintech landscape, and the evolving AI build-out. Sopp announces an $80 million Series E at a $1.5 billion valuation led by Spring Coast, noting Current's profitability, deepened partnerships with Cross River and General Catalyst's customer value fund, and over 70% growth for three consecutive years. Marshall describes Current's compounding product strategy around combining banking and liquidity, and how disciplined infrastructure cost controls shape their AI approach, including customer-facing personalization and potential use of lower-cost or self-hosted models. The group debates token pricing deflation, open-source models, hyperscaler distribution advantages (especially Google/Vertex), SaaS displacement, and macro factors affecting consumers, concluding fintech winners are emerging and public-market interest may return via IPOs or M&A. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
LEARN MORE about NDX: https://www.nasdaq.com/nasdaq-100-options-xnd-ndx?utm_medium=Podcast&utm_source=RiskReversal Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan & Carter Worth break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Wednesday, June 17th. Mike Tracey, Head of Risk at Apex Fintech Solutions, joins Dan to discuss all things volatility as it relates to the Nasdaq and SpaceX -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan & Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Tuesday, June 16th. Article Referenced The AI 'bottleneck trade' has run its course, says this hedge-fund manager and early SpaceX investor (WSJ) -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down a historic market week, headlined by SpaceX's blockbuster IPO and Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed Chair. Elon priced the deal himself at $135, and the stock popped to a ~$2.2 trillion valuation—instantly the 6th most valuable company in the world. The guys dig into whether the numbers actually add up, walking through Morningstar's $63 fair value, Jim Chanos's bearish note on xAI's financials, and what a 110x sales multiple means for anyone buying the pop. They also preview Warsh's "less is more" approach to Fed communication and what a quieter central bank means for volatility ahead. Then Dan is joined by VC Ann Bordetsky, for an "Okay, Computer." segment on the private-market side of the story: the looming Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs, OpenAI's rumored token price war, the compute crunch constraining AI demand, and why the CFO may now be the most powerful seat at any AI company. Articles Referenced OpenAI Considers Drastic Price Cuts, Anticipating War for Users With Anthropic (WSJ) Everyone hates frontier AI labs, says Palantir boss (The Register) "VCs behaving badly" (Axios) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal MediaThe financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal.Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose.Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan & Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Monday, June 15th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Click the link http://kalshi.com/r/MOSES or download the Kalshi App and use code MOSES to sign up and trade today! Checkout the WAWD Substack here: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/ Danny Moses is joined by Dan Nathan to break down a market that sold off on good news — strong jobs data, sticky inflation, and a Fed whose hands look increasingly tied heading into the CPI print. The guys dig into why the AI and data-center build has become the entire economy, and what a rotation out of those names would actually mean for growth. From there: Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed chair and how Danny is playing the odds of a dissenting vote, the long-awaited SpaceX IPO and the fine print behind it — index-inclusion mechanics, the timing of the Anthropic and Google compute deals, the 90-day exit clauses, and the question of who's left to buy once endowments and retail are already in. They close on two vice trades worth watching: Trulieve's move to the NYSE as cannabis quietly notches its biggest win in years, and how prediction markets like Kalshi are reshaping the data-provider landscape under DraftKings, FanDuel, and Flutter. --ABOUT THE SHOWFor decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners.Follow Danny on X: @dmoses34The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose.Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
Dan Nathan is joined by Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities for a wide-ranging look at the AI trade, fresh off Ives' trip to Apple's WWDC. They dig into whether Apple has finally gotten back in the AI game with its new developer foundation and Gemini partnership, why Ives sees Apple as the "toll booth" for the next consumer AI cycle, and where Dan Nathan remains skeptical. From there: the biggest risk facing the entire AI buildout (hint — it's not valuation), the recent chip selloff, Microsoft and Meta stuck in the mud, Ives' steadfast Palantir call, the Broadcom news, and the state of software and memory names. Then Danny Moses joins for "Only Dan's" to break down the SpaceX IPO — the unusual path to going public, the accommodations being made for Elon, why locked-up shares could make for a wild day one, the odds of a Tesla–SpaceX merger down the road, and what it all signals for the wave of trillion-dollar tech listings on the horizon. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal MediaThe financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal.Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose.Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
LEARN MORE about NDX: https://www.nasdaq.com/nasdaq-100-options-xnd-ndx?utm_medium=Podcast&utm_source=RiskReversal SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan & Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Wednesday, June 10th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Click the link http://kalshi.com/r/MOSES or download the Kalshi App and use code MOSES to sign up and trade today!Checkout the WAWD Substack here: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/Danny Moses is joined by Dan Nathan to break down a market that sold off on good news — strong jobs data, sticky inflation, and a Fed whose hands look increasingly tied heading into the CPI print. The guys dig into why the AI and data-center build has become the entire economy, and what a rotation out of those names would actually mean for growth.From there: Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed chair and how Danny is playing the odds of a dissenting vote, the long-awaited SpaceX IPO and the fine print behind it — index-inclusion mechanics, the timing of the Anthropic and Google compute deals, the 90-day exit clauses, and the question of who's left to buy once endowments and retail are already in. They close on two vice trades worth watching: Trulieve's move to the NYSE as cannabis quietly notches its biggest win in years, and how prediction markets like Kalshi are reshaping the data-provider landscape under DraftKings, FanDuel, and Flutter.Timecodes0:00 - Macro Picture5:00 - Fed Speak9:10 - SpaceX IPO14:15 - Vice Stocks--ABOUT THE SHOWFor decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners.Follow Danny on X: @dmoses34The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content.Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose.Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan & Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Tuesday, June 9th -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Guy Adami and Dan Nathan break down a strange Friday tape: a strong jobs report that sent stocks lower as the market prices out rate cuts — and even flirts with hikes. They dig into the Broadcom-led selloff in semis, Anthropic's call to slow down AI development and what it could mean for the CapEx trade, and Bitcoin getting cut in half at ~$60K alongside the unraveling of the crypto treasury-company trade. Then Guy unloads on the SpaceX IPO and Jamie Dimon's endorsement of the deal, asking whether someone just rang the bell at the top. In the second half, Dan sits down with Jim Brooks, CEO of Team Rubicon, on his path from Navy SEAL to the CIA to the C-suite — and what grit, culture, and leadership look like when you're leading a force of 200,000 volunteers. They close on defense tech, drones, and the future of the space economy. Show Notes Anthropic Urges Global Pause in AI Development, Flags ‘Self-Improvement' Risk (WSJ) Goldman Sachs expects SpaceX's AI revenue to increase 100-fold by 2030 (FT) Morgan Stanley Sees SpaceX's Revenue Reaching $3.4 Trillion in 2040 (WSJ) Elon Musk's near-daily online posts about race are turning off some fans (Washington Post) Musk Leaves Investors Starstruck at Dimon's SpaceX Extravaganza (Bloomberg) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE APEX Data: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/data/ SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan, Guy Adami & Carter Worth break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Monday, June 8th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE Guy Adami and Dan Nathan are back with a packed episode covering the biggest market moves of the week. They kick things off with Broadcom's post-earnings selloff, a two-plus trillion dollar company that dropped over 16% after missing on key AI revenue targets and what it signals about how quickly the market punishes misses at elevated valuations, even when the underlying metrics aren't bad. From there, Guy and Dan dig into the broader AI trade, single-stock volatility versus a VIX sitting below 16, and what the repeal of the pattern day trading rule could mean for retail momentum names going forward. They also touch on Google's surprising resilience on a rough day for semis, why the market may be coming around to it as a long-term AI winner, and what a potential SpaceX IPO could mean for capital rotation across the tech landscape. After the break, Guy Adami sits down with Brian Paes-Braga, Executive Co-Chairman and CEO of Metals Royalty Company (Nasdaq: TMCR), to discuss one of the most urgent and underreported stories in markets today: America's critical mineral crisis. China controls 19 of 20 critical minerals essential to the modern economy, and the U.S. is decades behind. Brian breaks down why rare earths and critical minerals are a national security issue, how the mining industry was quietly offshored while no one was paying attention, and why the race to secure supply chains may mirror the shale revolution that transformed American energy dominance. They also dig into how the Metals Royalty Company is positioning itself as an alternative capital provider for mining projects across the U.S., Canada, and Latin America and why this could be one of the biggest investment themes of the next decade. Show Notes Op-Ed: America's mineral awakening – onshoring supply chains, rebuilding industry, and the race for mineral independence (Mining.com) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
SUBSCRIBE to our newsletter: http://riskreversal.substack.com/ Dan Nathan & Guy Adami break down the top market headlines and bring you stock market trade ideas for Thursday, June 4th. -- Learn more about FactSet: https://www.factset.com/lp/mrkt-callFollow us on Twitter @MRKTCallFollow @GuyAdami on TwitterFollow @CarterBWorth on TwitterFollow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMediaLike us on Facebook @RiskReversalWatch all of our videos on YouTube Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Dan Nathan welcomes Notable Capital partner Jeff Richards to discuss how public-market concentration and multiple expansion in mega-cap tech are influencing private-market valuations. Richards explains Notable's evolution from GGV Capital and its investments across AI and software, then argues that AI adoption is accelerating rapidly, citing publicly reported Anthropic run-rate growth and broad “token path” benefits for infrastructure and select software. He highlights cybersecurity as a key beneficiary as agents increase enterprise risk and could drive continued growth for leaders like CrowdStrike and Palo Alto, while noting stretched valuations and advising patience for pullbacks. The conversation covers Google's equity raise and Berkshire's participation, Microsoft's questions beyond Azure, and why Richards recently bought Meta. They address enterprise “sticker shock” for AI usage, the shift to measuring output, SaaS durability vs. internal builds at startups, talent-driven M&A, rising VC interest in robotics, and potential IPO demand for SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI amid signs of frothy market behavior. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Dan Nathan and Guy Adami open with promotion of their new interview series Standing Table (episodes with Anthony Scaramucci, Rick Heitzmann, and SoFi's Liz Thomas) and note a recent RiskReversal conversation with Dan Niles about investing in a market bubble. They discuss eased geopolitical rhetoric heading into Memorial Day, crude around $88, lower yields, and the S&P 500 at all-time highs, while warning that valuation measures (Buffett indicator, CAPE) and consumer stress signals (high auto payments, elevated gas/insurance costs, rising credit card delinquencies) are flashing red. They review sharp pullbacks in Costco and Walmart as valuation-driven despite decent quarters, then turn to a rebound and potential rotation into software (IGV) and cybersecurity. They highlight rising AI token consumption pricing, “token maxing,” and reports that Amazon, Microsoft, and Uber are pulling back after blowing through AI budgets, framing it as an IPO-era monetization issue. They close on Dell's blowout AI server results and parabolic stock move, cautioning about margins, valuation, and broader crash risk, referencing Andrew Ross Sorkin's comments on the inevitability of future market crashes. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Dan Nathan hosts Dan Niles of Niles Investment Management on the Risk Reversal podcast to discuss macro conditions, AI-driven market leadership, and lessons from prior tech cycles. Niles compares the current AI build-out to 1997–1998's internet infrastructure boom, arguing recent macro scares (tariffs, Iran/oil) created buying opportunities and that a bubble can persist, with further gains likely before a potential 30–50% drawdown next year. He cites a January 30 “agentic AI” step-change increasing token/compute demand, supporting strong CapEx and earnings growth, and notes Nvidia's growth versus valuation relative to past leaders like Cisco. They debate rising yields, inflation measures, and expectations for a rate-cutting Fed chair (Kevin Warsh). The conversation covers Intel's potential benefit from agentic shifts, corporate AI cost pressures, likely disruption to software/IT services and knowledge work, Micron's HBM-driven surge and cyclicality risks, and how major IPOs like SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic could reshape flows and create new short opportunities. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Dan Nathan hosts David Schamis (CEO, Hyperliquid Strategies) and Jeroen Nieuwkoop (COO, Hyperliquid Strategies) to explain Hyperliquid, a three-and-a-half-year-old L1 blockchain built for high-throughput exchange activity and best known for perpetual futures trading. They discuss how Hyperliquid aims to be an “AWS of on-chain trading,” enabling permissionless exchanges like Trade XYZ to list perps on assets such as major U.S. equities, gold, silver, and oil, and why decentralized custody, speed, and UI/UX differentiate it from prior DEXs. They outline HYPE tokenomics, including using ~99% of protocol fees for token buybacks and burns, and define perp pricing via funding rates. The conversation covers U.S. regulatory constraints, Hyperliquid Strategies' Nasdaq-listed DAT (PURR) formed via reverse merger to provide U.S. access to HYPE exposure, and emerging use cases like pre-IPO perps (e.g., SpaceX) for 24/7 price discovery. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Guy Adami and Dan Nathan discuss an S&P 500 pressing all-time highs amid sticky inflation, a 10-year yield around the mid-4% range, and low near-term volatility despite an upcoming Fed meeting and PCE data. They review mixed retail signals (strength at higher-end brands versus Walmart's margin pressure and a strained lower-end consumer), debate the market's resilience, and focus on AI: Nvidia's explosive growth and concerns that soaring usage-based AI costs could challenge the “sanctity” of big-tech CapEx, alongside critiques of Meta layoffs and skepticism about SaaS firms overpromising AI. Guy then interviews Darrell Crate of Easterly, who outlines structural volatility, demographic-driven retirement needs, and hedged equity demand, argues small caps benefit from innovation, and describes Easterly Government Properties as a mission-critical government-lease REIT with an 8% dividend, no canceled leases, a $1.5B pipeline, and potential tailwinds from government efficiency initiatives and GSA changes. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Brian Belski joins Dan Nathan to break down why he still sees the S&P 500 moving higher — but warns a correction may come first. Belski explains why this is now an earnings-driven market, why the Mag 7 may begin to hand leadership to the other 493 stocks, and what could trigger the next pullback. He also shares his views on AI stocks, SpaceX/OpenAI IPOs, financials, industrials, housing, rates, and why he believes the market could still end the year with “an 8 handle.” Topics include:• Why Brian Belski expects a correction before another rally• The case for S&P 8,000 (and why it won't be a straight line)• AI enthusiasm, IPO mania & whether we're in a bubble• Why he's bullish on financials, industrials & select cyclicals• Treasury yields, housing, Walmart, Deere & the consumer outlook• What could actually trigger the next bear market Timecodes 00:00 Intro + Brian Belski Returns02:00 Inside Belski's New ETF (HIS) & Stock-Picking Strategy05:45 How Belski Nailed the S&P 7,000 Call08:30 Why 2026 Is an “Earnings-Driven” Market09:45 Why Belski Expects a Market Correction10:45 Mag 7 vs. The Other 493 Stocks14:00 Walmart Warning, Consumer Trends & Retail Risks17:15 Deere, Industrials & Why AI Could Benefit Old Economy Stocks20:00 Why Belski Still Likes Financials Despite Weak Performance21:45 Airlines, FedEx & The Transport Trade24:00 Housing, Homebuilders & What Happens If Rates Fall26:45 Will Treasury Yields Finally Move Lower?31:00 SpaceX, OpenAI & Anthropic IPO Risks33:00 Could AI IPOs Trigger a Market Shake-Up?39:00 The AI Trade: Bubble, Boom or Just Getting Started?44:00 What Wall Street Is Missing in Software & AI45:45 Timing the Next Market Correction48:00 What Could Actually Cause a Bear Market?49:45 Belski's S&P Outlook: Why He Sees an “8 Handle” This episode is sponsored by Fidelity Investments and the all-new Fidelity Trader+ platform. Try Fidelity's most powerful trading experience yet: www.Fidelity.com/TraderPlus Fidelity Investments and Risk Reversal are not affiliated. Views, opinions, products, services, and strategies discussed are not endorsed or promoted by Fidelity Investments. Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC. Xxx —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Dan Nathan sits down with Lux Capital partner Shahin Farshchi and AI investor Ann Bordetsky from the RBC Private Tech Conference to explore what comes after ChatGPT — and where the next wave of AI is headed. From defense, robotics, semiconductors, and space infrastructure to AI agents, enterprise software, and the future of work, these conversations break down the technologies, companies, and trends shaping the next decade. They also discuss trillion-dollar valuations, venture capital, hyperscalers, and what separates breakout AI winners from the rest. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media
Trump says he was asked to hold off new strikes on Iran, as his approval rating hits a second-term low and gas prices surge. Then, new reporting on Trump's stock trades and how they're connected to companies he has publicly praised. Plus, the 1.8 billion dollar fund from the Trump Justice Department that could end up funneling money to the President's allies. Luke Broadwater, Mychael Schnell, Barry McCaffrey, Dan Nathan, Justin Wolfers, Kristy Greenberg, and Brendan Greeley join The 11th Hour this Monday night. To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
New reporting from the New York Times shows that the Trump administration might be seriously overstating how much damage they've done to Iran's missile program – new data shows inflation accelerating, but Trump says he's not thinking about American's finances “not even a little bit” – & the Secretary of Defense and the FBI Director clash with lawmakers over the cost of the war and their conduct in office. Carol Leonnig, Scott MacFarlane, Lt. Gen. Mark Hertling, Brendan Greeley, Dan Nathan, Dave Weigel, and Josh Tyrangiel join The 11th Hour this Tuesday night. To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.