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The Group Chat crew breaks down the biggest SpaceX IPO on Wall Street, the AI shutdown scare gripping the tech world, and the World Cup mania taking over America. Business news, markets, and culture from one of the longest-running business podcasts. This week on Group Chat News: SpaceX goes public at a $2.1 trillion valuation: We break down the IPO frenzy, the OG Starbase investors, and Elon's path to $1 trillion by 2030 The El Segundo wealth boom: how space money is about to reshape the South Bay World Cup mania hits America, Team USA run, and the electric atmosphere in LA A Middle East peace deal looks imminent: what it means for summer gas prices and inflation The Stanford walkout: graduates, free speech, and real-world consequences in tech and finance The Knicks' historic win, Wembanyama, and how you're supposed to carry a loss The Fable 5 AI shutdown scare, government involvement, and Satya Nadella's warning to the industry Should the US government invest in AI companies? The guys debate the trillion dollar question Group Chat News covers business, markets, tech, sports, and culture every week. If you like All-In, My First Million, and business news that actually keeps up with the week, follow and subscribe. ⭐ Enjoying the show? Leave us a rating, it helps more than you'd think. Hosted by Dee Murthy, Anand Murthy, and Chris "Drama" Pfaff
Website: https://saltmustflow.comOTHER PLATFORMSRumble: https://rumble.com/c/SaltyCrackerYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@SaltyCrackerTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@salty_cracker_76Twitter/X: https://x.com/SaltyCracker9Locals: https://saltycracker.locals.com/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@salty_cracker_76SUPPORT SALTYWebsite: https://saltmustflow.com/support/SubscribeStar: https://www.subscribestar.com/salty-crackerCash App: https://cash.app/$saltmustflowMerchandise: https://saltmustflow.com/shop/Mrs. Salty's Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UChnZMOno3rthe1LHvcxufdwMusic by: https://incompetech.com/ Crinoline Dreams In Your Arms--Disclaimer-- These are the opinions and ramblings of a foul-mouthed lunatic. They are for entertainment purposes only and are probably wrong. You listen at your own risk.
SpaceX completed the largest IPO in history, valuing Elon Musk's space exploration company at more than $2 Trillion, and making him the world's first trillionaire. It also paves the way for Anthropic and Open AI, the next trillion dollar companies to test the public markets, ushering in a new wave of massive public companies built on the dream of productivity through artificial intelligence. Gil Luria of D.A. Davidson helps us separate the dreams from the realities of how the AI economy will play out over the next decade, and which companies will survive and thrive. Plus, the World Cup kicked off billions of dollars of spending and marketing throughout North America. The Express goes inside the lines of the biggest revenue generating sporting event in history. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
**Celebrating the Knicks' Big Win and Discussing the Iran Deal** This episode is a must-listen for sports fans and those interested in current events. Ross dives into the world of sports, discussing the New York Knicks' historic win against the San Antonio Spurs. But that's not all - they also tackle the recent Iran deal and its potential implications. With a mix of humor and insightful analysis, the conversation covers everything from the intricacies of the Iran deal to the world of social media and its effects on children. The episode starts with a lively discussion about the Knicks' big win, with Kienan sharing his excitement and Ross offering a more skeptical view. They also talk about the team's young players, including Jalen Brunson, who took a pay cut to help the team. The conversation then shifts to the Iran deal, with Ross expressing concerns about the potential risks. They discuss the deal's implications for the Middle East and the world at large. Ross shares his thoughts on the recent UFC event at the White House, which sparked a lot of debate. They also discuss the importance of government regulation and the balance between protecting people and allowing them to make their own choices. The conversation touches on the topic of sunscreen and the FDA's approval process. The episode also features a fascinating discussion with Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Junior, who shares his thoughts on the importance of getting Americans active and healthy. He talks about the challenges of getting people to make healthy choices and the role of government in promoting wellness. If you're interested in staying up-to-date on current events and sports, this episode is a great listen. Ross offers insightful analysis and humor, making the conversation engaging and entertaining. So grab a cup of coffee, sit back, and tune in to this episode for a unique perspective on the world of sports and politics.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
SpaceX went public in the largest IPO ever, raising about $75 billion at a $1.7–$2 trillion valuation. This make Elon Musk a trillionaire. Shares debuted strongly on Nasdaq (SPCX). The company combines rockets, Starlink internet, and AI, but faces high valuation risks, ongoing losses, and depends heavily on future growth success. Please Like, Comment and Follow 'Broeske & Musson' on all platforms: --- The ‘Broeske & Musson Podcast’ is available on the KMJNOW app, Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever else you listen to podcasts. --- ‘Broeske & Musson' Weekdays 9-11 AM Pacific on News/Talk 580 AM & 105.9 FM KMJ | Facebook | Podcast| X | - Everything KMJ KMJNOW App | Podcasts | Facebook | X | InstagramSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The 27 EU heads of state or government will gather in Brussels on Thursday 17 June for what promises to be an intense meeting. They're expected to make key decisions on the future budget of the European Union. So far, the signals coming out of the negotiations have been overwhelmingly negative when it comes to the prospects of a deal.So what are the possible outcomes for the EU's next long-term budget?Production: By Europod, in co-production with the Sphera network.Follow us on:LinkedInInstagramTake your personal data back with Incogni! Use code EUROPOD at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/europod Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
When BlackRock needed to tokenize their first fund, they called Securitize. When the New York Stock Exchange decided to trade stocks 24/7 on-chain, they called Securitize. In this interview, CEO Carlos Domingo reveals why the DTCC is repeating the same fatal mistake the telecom companies made when WhatsApp arrived, why the banks actually need the Clarity Act far more than crypto does, and what happens when AI agents start trading tokenized assets in real time. Carlos breaks down the Jump Trading partnership, how atomic swaps are replacing T+1 settlement, why BlackRock choosing Securitize changed everything for institutional adoption, and his vision for a future where tokenized stocks, ETFs, and AI-powered portfolios all live in one wallet — and you don't even know you're using a blockchain. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Washington Roundtable discusses Donald Trump's eightieth birthday, on Sunday, with a look at the pageantry and spectacle surrounding the planned U.F.C. fight on the South Lawn of the White House. The panel contrasts Trump's desire to project power and masculinity with his recent pattern of disinhibition: from allegedly falling asleep at important meetings and the N.B.A. Finals to angry outbursts at reporters, including such politically damaging statements as “I love the inflation.” Is the President fading, physically and politically? “It's not about the age; it's about the behavior,” the staff writer Evan Osnos says. “It's about the clear fact that his conduct, his cognitive function, his behavior is declining.”This week's reading: “What Jill Biden Doesn't Say in Her White House Memoir,” by Amy Davidson Sorkin “Can the World Cup Transcend Donald Trump?,” by Ishaan Tharoor “The Supreme Court's Latest Blow to Black Voters' Rights,” by Ruth Marcus “Is Elon Musk's SpaceX Really Worth $1.75 Trillion?,” by John Cassidy “Has Nancy Mace's Crusade Against Sexual Violence Ruined Her Career?,” by Moira Donegan “For the Nation's Birthday, Making It Harder to Become an American,” by Jonathan Blitzer The Political Scene draws on the reporting and analysis found in The New Yorker for lively conversations about the big questions in American politics. Join the magazine's writers and editors as they put into context the latest news—about elections, the economy, the White House, the Supreme Court, and much more. New episodes are available three times a week. Tune in to The Political Scene wherever you get your podcasts. Learn about your ad choices: dovetail.prx.org/ad-choices
ALFI's Serge Weyland and McGill's Patrick Augustin on funds, Europe's pension time bomb, and why financial literacy may be its most urgent lesson. Luxembourg is known to many as the heart of European finance, yet the story of how it earned that title is one we rarely hear told plainly. On this episode, I sat down with two guests perfectly placed to tell it: Serge Weyland, CEO of the Association of the Luxembourg Fund Industry (ALFI), and Patrick Augustin, Associate Professor of Finance at McGill University and Director of the new McGill Luxembourg Centre for Finance. The conversation ranged from the founding milestones of the fund industry to the looming pension challenge facing the entire continent, and landed somewhere unexpectedly personal: how few of us were ever taught to handle our own money. The scale of what Luxembourg has built is genuinely difficult to picture. As Serge explained, the industry traces back nearly 40 years, to 1988, when Luxembourg became the first EU Member State to transpose a directive that let an investment fund created in one country be sold across all the others. That foresight attracted the world's major asset managers, and the result today is staggering. The fund industry now employs roughly two-thirds of the 50,000 people working in Luxembourg's financial services sector, an industry that accounts for a quarter of the country's GDP. "Luxembourg today is home to 8.3 trillion. So that's a lot of money." Serge Weyland, CEO of ALFI Serge described the European Passport as one of the great commercial successes of the bloc, and one of its quietest. Of the 25 trillion euros in funds domiciled in Europe, around 6 trillion belongs to investors outside the continent who trusted its regulatory safeguards. It is, in his words, a success story we simply do not hear often enough. For Patrick, the foundation under all of it is not capital or regulation but people. Luxembourg has long held the operational infrastructure, what some politely call the back office, but as markets shift toward private equity, tokenisation and digital assets, the bottleneck changes too. "Talent is the infrastructure of the financial industry. If you don't have good talent, you're at the risk of failing in the longer run." Patrick Augustin, McGill University That is the gap McGill has come to fill. The Centre is a joint initiative with the Ministry of Finance, the banking association ABBL and ALFI, and its flagship offering is a two-year, part-time Master of Management in Finance, taught on weekends by McGill faculty in Luxembourg. Its standout feature is that students manage a real, regulated fund through Desautels Capital Management, filing compliance, executing trades and defending their investment pitches to outside investors who can scrutinise them hard. Patrick put the case for learning by doing with a simple question: if you wanted to learn tennis or the piano, would you watch videos, or would you play? What both guests kept returning to was the ecosystem itself, the close dialogue between academia, industry and policymakers that Luxembourg's flat hierarchy makes uniquely possible. "The secret sauce is the closely knit community. When there is a need for the industry, we know we have a direct line into the legislator." Serge Weyland, CEO of ALFI The conversation then turned to the issue closest to both men's hearts: pensions, and the financial literacy that underpins them. A joint ALFI/McGill study examined how Europeans save, and the numbers are sobering. European households sit on roughly 14 trillion euros in cash and savings, around 41 to 42 percent of household savings, against just 14 percent in the United States. That cash quietly loses value to inflation year after year. The study's counterfactual was striking: if France and Germany alone reformed their pension systems along the lines of Sweden or Denmark, they could unlock an additional 10 trillion euros over time. Sweden, Serge noted, went from funded pensions worth around 12 percent of GDP twenty years ago to roughly 120 percent today, a tenfold rise. Yet none of this works without education, and education, both guests agreed, has to start far earlier than the lecture hall. "Personal finance essentials should be mandatory, bottom up, from an early age, of course in an age appropriate way." Patrick Augustin, McGill University Serge made the point personally. After 40 years in finance, he reckons that had he invested regularly from the start, he would have five or six times the money he has today, simply because no one ever taught him how. The encouraging note he ended on is that the barrier to entry has never been lower. Through tokenisation and fractional fund units, investing can now begin with 30, 40 or 50 euros a month, held in a digital wallet at a fraction of the traditional cost. The technology is still niche in Europe, though already mainstream among retail savers in parts of Asia. We agreed that crypto, stablecoins, the digital euro and tokenisation each deserve a show of their own. For now, the message from both guests was clear: Luxembourg has the capital and the regulation, and with the right talent and the right financial education, it has every chance of future-proofing both its industry and its citizens. Links and further reading McGill Master of Management in Finance, Luxembourg: https://www.mcgill.ca/desautels/programs/mmf/luxembourg McGill Luxembourg Centre for Finance on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/mcgillluxembourgcentreforfinance/ Contact the MMF Luxembourg programme: mmfluxembourg@mcgill.ca Association of the Luxembourg Fund Industry (ALFI): https://www.alfi.lu ALFI's investment in higher education: https://www.alfi.lu/en-gb/pages/about-us/what-we-do/investment-in-higher-education ALFI/McGill study, Europe's productive capital gap (2025), and the ALFI Blueprint for Savings and Investments: available via https://www.alfi.lu
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Alan's Soap https://AlansSoaps.com/Todd Honor John's memory and the legacy he created for Ian and Alan with Alan's Artisan Soaps “John's Favorites” bundle. Get one bar of each of his favorites for only $28.99. Bulwark Capital https://KnowYourRiskPodcast.comBe confident in your portfolio with Bulwark! Schedule your free Know Your Risk Portfolio review. Go to KnowYourRiskPodcast.com today. Renue Healthcare https://Renue.Healthcare/ToddYour journey to a better life starts at Renue Healthcare. Visit https://Renue.Healthcare/Todd Bonefrog https://BonefrogCoffee.com/ToddGet the new limited release, The Sisterhood, created to honor the extraordinary women behind the heroes. Use code TODD at checkout to receive 10% off your first purchase and 15% on subscriptions.LISTEN and SUBSCRIBE at:The Todd Herman Show - Podcast - Apple PodcastsThe Todd Herman Show | Podcast on SpotifyWATCH and SUBSCRIBE at: Todd Herman - The Todd Herman Show - YouTubeIn reverse order: We have more than one $1 Trillion companies, should we be in these IPOs? King County continues to lose wealth, and an update on what I call "virtuous Nazism"Episode links:King County lost $2.19 billion in income as more than 68,000 tax filers moved away: reportCNN Claims Commie Mamdani Using 'Capitalist Plan' to Fix ‘Housing Crisis'
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Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. LEARN MORE: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/?utm_source=Risk+Reversal&utm_medium=Podcast&utm_campaign=701PJ00000fnXhaYAE Read Apex Investor Pulse: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/library/investor-pulse-research-report-2026-may/ With the year's most anticipated IPO set to price, Guy Adami and Liz Thomas break down what a $1.75 trillion debut means for the broader market — the tiny 5% float, Elon Musk setting his own price, the wave of retail demand, and why it's likely to break its IPO price right out of the gate. They also look ahead to Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed chair and what this moment signals for Anthropic, OpenAI, and the next wave of mega-cap listings. After the break, Guy & Dan sit down with Apex Fintech Solutions CEO Bill Capuzzi on where retail money is actually rotating, the takeaways from Apex's latest Investor Pulse report, and the under-the-radar clearing and capital risks building behind the scenes as the IPO hits. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
Bitcoin and Gold are both posting the worst year of any major asset class in 2026 — BTC down 30%, Gold down 6% and Charlie Bilello says it's the first time we've ever seen this in a calendar year. Meanwhile, SpaceX just made history today, debuting at a $1.75 TRILLION valuation in the largest IPO ever recorded (2.4x the previous record Saudi Aramco) with retail orders alone exceeding $70 billion. We break down whether Bitcoin and Gold's historic underperformance signals a generational opportunity or the death of the safe haven thesis, what $75 billion flowing INTO SpaceX means for the next leg of crypto liquidity, and which catalysts could finally turn the tape. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Tired vs. Wired: $4 Trillion in IPOs Coming, $100B in M&A, and Why the SaaSpocalypse is Over The public markets spent the last twelve months telling you B2B software was finished. Stocks down 60 to 70 percent. PE firms buying nobody. For the first time in history, software trading at a discount to the S&P 500. And at the exact same moment, Anthropic is projecting $50 billion in revenue, Cursor is getting acquired for $60 billion, and SpaceX, Anthropic, OpenAI, and Databricks are about to generate more market value than every other IPO since 2000 combined. Both things are true - and which one defines your next 18 months depends entirely on one question: are you tired or are you wired? In this episode, SaaStr CEO and Founder Jason Lemkin calls the market as he sees it, names who is winning and who is pretending, and makes the case that the Cambrian explosion in B2B is just getting started. You'll learn: Why the SaaSpocalypse was never about B2B dying - it was about pre-AI software dying - and what the Palantir, Twilio, and Atlassian re-acceleration stories actually tell you The four categories every B2B company falls into right now, and why category four founders need to stop pretending the recovery is coming on its own Why vibe coding your CRM is dead as a concept, and what "putting deals on your calendar" actually means as a product strategy Why your biggest near-term competitive edge might be two days of engineering work - making your API agent-friendly before your competitors do What SaaStr's own journey from 20 humans to 3 humans and 21 agents teaches you about consistency as the only real cheat code in agents This is for you if: Your growth has slowed and you are not sure whether it is a market problem or a you problem - this session will help you figure out which You are a founder or exec who has been in the "AI is coming" conversation for a year but has not yet seen it show up in your revenue You want the unfiltered version of where B2B is headed in the next 18 months, including the parts most people are too polite to say out loud
Today is the day SpaceX begins trading on public markets after raising around $75 billion in one of the largest listings on record, valuing the company at nearly $1.8 trillion. Broader markets are also edging higher, with investors weighing whether enthusiasm around SpaceX is part of a wider surge linked to major AI-related listings still to come.There is also growing focus on the personal implications of the listing. The scale of the valuation raises the possibility of Elon Musk entering the trillion-dollar club, prompting questions about what that means in practice Presenter: Leanna Byrne Producer: David Cann
SpaceX went public Friday, with shares trading at just above $150 in a hotly anticipated initial public offering that values Elon Musk's rocket and AI company at $2 trillion. ~This Episode is Sponsored by OKX~ Trade RLUSD/XRP on OKX + claim the new user offer! Deposit and trade $200 to unlock $100 ➜ https://bit.ly/OKXRP Use code: paulbarron *Terms Apply* Guest: Evan Aldo Evan Aldo Youtube Channel ➜ https://bit.ly/EvanAldo 20% off Evan Aldo Course ➜ https://bit.ly/EvanCourse ➜ Use code "paulbarron" 00:10 Sponsor: OKX 01:15 SpaceX IPO Live Launch 02:40 $1 Trillion in one day 03:35 Bubble pop moment? 06:00 Mike Novagratz: Never short Elon 07:45 SPCX analysis 08:50 BTC vs NVIDIA 11:00 BTC bottom? 12:45 SOL: SpaceX after hours 13:15 SOL analysis 14:40 Lily Liu promotes after hours trading on SOL 16:30 HYPE a buy? 18:50 Michael Saylor: Confidence on ETH has collapsed 20:00 ETH analysis 21:50 AVAT nuked 22:30 AVAX to zero? 23:20 JUP analysis #spacex #Bitcoin #crypto ~SpaceX IPO vs Crypto
Catapulted by the market debut of his rocket company SpaceX, Elon Musk is now the world's first trillionaire. That amount of money, all owned by just one person, was once unfathomable. AP's Marissa Duhaney puts a trillion dollars into context.
Ilyce Glink, ThinkGlink.com and the Love, Money + Real Estate newsletter, joins Lisa Dent to discuss how Elon Musk officially became the world’s first trillionaire. She breaks down how big a trillion dollars truly is as well as how Elon went about getting to this point.
SpaceX went public on June 12, 2026, in the largest IPO in history, valuing the rocket, satellite broadband communications, and AI company at $1.77 trillion. Laura Winter speaks with Chris Quilty, Founder and CEO of Quilty Space, George Pullen, Chief Economist at MilkyWayEconomy, and Lou Whiteman, stock analyst at The Motley Fool.
To infinity and beyond! Elon ‘Buzz Lightyear’ Musk has just made history as SpaceX sets it’s sights on a $150/share IPO open to an intergalactic $1.77 TRILLION evaluation – so why aren’t we all buying in as fast as possible? The shop talks pacing your buys when the market’s excitable and reveal the best time to buy into SpaceX before diving into a little Trading 101 with a High-Tight Flag tutorial and reviewing a few software stocks getting a lift from the AI market in DOCN and SNOW. In this video for educational purposes only, Dan Stewart, Ted Zhang, Connor Bates, & Todd Thomas host The Your Money Video Podcast + Live Trading and Watchlist Stocks to Study. Key Moments from the Show 00:00 – Opening Bell 08:15 – This Week in the Markets 17:30 – What is a ‘High-Tight Flag’? 20:00 – SpaceX Opens as the Biggest IPO in History – HOOD, PLTR, CRCL, CRWV 32:30 – Software Stocks Getting an AI Lift – DOCN, DOG, TWLO, SNOW The Your Money Radio Podcast covers general topics & investment ideas for Research. It is for Educational & Entertainment purposes ONLY and is NOT meant to be Investment Advice. If you want or need Investment Advice, contact your own advisors or reach out to Revere Asset Management for individual Investment Advice. For more information contact us. The post EVERYBODY WANTS SPACEX – IPO SHATTERS RECORDS AT $1.77 TRILLION | Your Money Podcast Ep. 595 appeared first on Revere Asset Management.
Scott Maddox spent decades at the center of Florida politics.He served as Mayor of Tallahassee, chaired the Florida Democratic Party, and ran statewide campaigns for Attorney General and Governor. He was widely viewed as one of Florida's rising political stars.Then came the federal investigation, public scandal, conviction, and prison sentence that changed everything.In this candid conversation, Scott joins Brent Cassity to discuss the pressures of politics, the realities of federal prosecution, surviving a public downfall, life inside federal prison, and the difficult road to rebuilding after losing power, reputation, and freedom.This episode is ultimately about resilience, accountability, and discovering who you are when the titles, status, and influence are stripped away.If you've ever faced failure, public criticism, or a life-changing setback, Scott's story offers a powerful perspective on surviving the fall and finding purpose on the other side.Show sponsors: Navigating the challenges of white-collar crime? The White-Collar Support Group at Prisonist.org offers guidance, resources, and a community for those affected at prisonist.org. Protect your online reputation with Discoverability! Use code NIGHTMARE SUCCESS for an exclusive discount Visit Discoverability.co. Auto Plaza Direct "Your personal car concierge!" Let them handle every detail to find your perfect car autoplazadirect.com. Author Saffron Gustafson www.mynameissaffron.com, "My Name is Saffron." Author Nevin Shetty, "Second Chance Economics: How Hiring The Formerly Incarcerated Can Unlock $1 Trillion in GDP." www.secondchanceeconomics.com
The Anthropic IPO is officially in motion. IPO season is back, and companies like Anthropic and SpaceX are leading the race to go public. Anthropic just filed confidentially with the SEC at nearly a trillion dollar valuation, and Claude has been dominating the AI conversation all year. Almost at the same time, two of their biggest customers, Microsoft and Uber, are quietly pulling back on how much they're actually spending on AI. That tension is what this episode is all about.Here's what we're sippin on:What an SEC filing actually means, and why the timing of Anthropic's IPO matters more than the numberWhy Microsoft and Uber are cutting AI spend even though the tools are workingWhat the Gartner forecast on AI budgets tells us about where this whole thing is headed, and what it means for anyone investing in AI right nowIf you've been watching the AI market and wondering what any of this means for you on the ground, this one is for you.A SpaceX deep dive is coming soon, so stay subscribed for that one.Thank you for listening, and as always... enjoy your first sip!Click here to watch the full episode on YouTubeWhat did you think about this episode?--------------------------------JOIN THE NEWSLETTER: Stay sharp on business, career, and life. First Sip Weekly delivers honest lessons, tips, and real conversations from the show to your inbox every week. https://firstsipweekly.beehiiv.com/CONNECT WITH DEKIMBE: YouTubeInstagram Facebook LinkedInFOLLOW THE PODCAST:InstagramApple PodcastsSpotifyFor podcast sponsorship & advertising opportunities please contact: firstsippod@gmail.com
Sponsored By:→ Neuro | Go to https://getneuro.com and use code ONEDAY at checkout for 15% OFF your entire order.Every single grocery store aisle has been disrupted by better-for-you brands. Every one — except the aisle where the fastest-growing demographic in America shops for nutrition.Jon Bier sits down with Jess Haghani — founder and CEO of Lucille Health — for a conversation about what happens when you spot a gap so obvious it feels impossible that no one has filled it yet. Jess watched her grandmother, Lucille, come home from heart surgery and get handed the same ultra-processed nutrition shakes that haven't meaningfully changed since the 1970s. Products people hide in their basements. Products they're embarrassed to let their grandkids see. A $6 billion category with zero dignity, zero innovation, and no real competition.So she left KKR, went to Harvard Business School, and built the brand she knew had to exist.This episode is a little different. Jess hasn't built a nine-figure business yet. But Jon believes she will and this conversation is why.In this episode:• Why less than 1% of food and beverage innovation is happening for older adults, despite them being the fastest-growing consumer demographic in the world — and why that gap is finally closing• The real story behind Lucille: how watching her 92-year-old grandmother hide a nutrition shake in her basement became the founding moment of a brand built around dignity• What it looks like to take on Abbott and Nestlé with no money, no formulation experience, and no playbook and why that might actually be the advantageFind Jess & Lucille:• Jess on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/jesshaghani/• Lucille Health: https://www.lucillehealth.com• Lucille on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lucillehealth/Timestamps:0:00 - Intro1:21 - Jon's personal experience with his dad's hospital nutrition2:04 - Why do hospitals still serve such poor nutrition products?7:43 - The corruption of big incumbents like Abbott and Nestle9:59 - How big is the older adult nutrition market?11:01 - Why has this category never been disrupted?11:38 - The shame and stigma around products like Ensure and Boost15:25 - Jess's background: London, real estate, KKR, HBS17:02 - The story of Lucille, Jess's 92-year-old grandmother19:51 - Assembling the team and figuring it out step by step25:00 - Should founders pay themselves a salary?31:04 - The broader vision: beyond beverages, full category disruption37:23 - The 70+ demographic has the highest retention rate43:18 - Jon's confidence in Lucille Health's future
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Are you looking to save time, make money, and start winning with less risk? Then head to https://www.ovtlyr.com.Learn more about OVTLYR: https://youtu.be/TUCbD5KovlcThe SpaceX IPO is coming… and this may be the most bizarre valuation story in the market right now.In this breakdown, we react to a video explaining SpaceX “like you're hallucinating,” and honestly, that might be the only way this valuation starts to make sense. The company is reportedly coming public around a massive valuation, bigger than entire groups of major companies combined, and the official story is that the future growth justifies the price.But the deeper question is where that number actually came from. We dig into the idea that the IPO valuation may be tied less to normal financial modeling and more to Elon Musk's compensation targets, internal transactions, massive TAM assumptions, and accounting inputs that stretch far beyond what most public companies use.That's why this SpaceX IPO feels different. The valuation, the rule changes, the tiny float, the index fund implications, and the rush to get it public all keep pointing back to the same warning: retail investors may be buying a story before there is any real trend to trade.✅ SpaceX IPO valuation and $1.75 trillion hype✅ Revenue multiples, TAM assumptions, and Elon compensation targets✅ XAI roll-up, stock-based compensation, and 30-year option assumptions✅ Why IPO price action needs time to prove itself✅ OVTLYR trading discipline, trend signals, and avoiding FOMOIf you're thinking about buying SpaceX the second it goes public, this one gives you another reason to slow down, step back, and let the stock prove itself first.Subscribe to OVTLYR for disciplined trading strategies that actually make sense.
Robert Leshner is the Founder and CEO of Superstate, as well as the former CoFounder of Compound.Most people in DeFi are focused on the $2.5 trillion cryptonative market. Robert is focused on the $700 trillion that hasn't moved onchain yet. In this episode, he explains why tokenization is the long awaited evolution for crypto markets, how Superstate is building the bridge between institutional TradFi assets and DeFi, and why the benefits of tokenization will soon lead to a hockey stick moment in DeFi and RWAs.------
Liz Peek discusses SpaceX's $1.78 trillion IPO, questioning whether valuations for AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are sustainable. She notes that Starlink's profitability supports Elon Musk's moonshots. Despite inflation concerns, strong domestic private investment is currently driving U.S. economic prosperity while Europe struggles with over-regulation and high energy costs. (1)1954
The Worst It'll Ever Be: AI Apps in 20 Minutes, SpaceX's $1.8T IPO & Saylor's Head Fake — Bad Crypto Podcast #810 It's a bear market, so the bad boys of crypto are doing what builders do: SHIPPING. Bitcoin sits at $61,873, the altcoins are in the crapper, and Joel has officially divorced his bags. Travis explains why the 4-year cycle is alive and well — mapping this pullback exactly to previous cycles, with a projected bottom around mid-October. Then it goes full mad-scientist. Travis builds a viral-worthy "Culture Shock" site of World Cup visitors reviewing America in 20 minutes flat with Claude's new Fable model, then ships Viddl — a desktop app that downloads video from YouTube, X, TikTok, Instagram or LinkedIn with FFmpeg baked in. Joel premieres his AI-generated origin story film (1978, a food court paycheck, and a TRS-80 in a Radio Shack window) and announces his Acumen daily puzzle games are headed to the App Store. Plus: SpaceX IPOs as $SPCX at a $1.8 TRILLION valuation with ~$250B in demand, OpenAI and Anthropic file to go public, Michael Saylor's 32-BTC head fake, a trader who built his own exchange from a 42-page prompt, and the AI video tool stack the guys actually use (Kling, PAI, Higgsfield, Seedance & more). "The technology that we're using now to build stuff is the worst that it's going to be." — Joel ⏱ CHAPTERS0:00 Cold open & liftoff1:04 Episode 810 kicks off — semi-retired no more3:48 Bitcoin's 4-year cycle is mapping exactly4:45 Saylor's head fake: sells 32 BTC, buys 1,500 more6:40 Market check: BTC $61,873 & Joel divorces his altcoins7:49 The AI trading edge: OKX & the 42-page prompt exchange10:24 SpaceX IPO ($SPCX): $250B demand, $1.8T valuation11:27 Trillion-dollar AI: Anthropic & OpenAI file to go public15:48 Culture Shock: World Cup visitors review America19:09 Viddl: download any video, built in a morning23:06 Joel's AI origin story: 1978 & a TRS-8026:30 The AI video stack: Kling, PAI, Higgsfield, Seedance28:08 Acumen: 9 daily puzzle games headed to the App Store31:56 Travis's Pixar-style get-well video for his brother35:03 "The worst it's ever going to be" — why the opportunity is NOW37:18 The fine print
Crypto News: Binance founder CZ says "Bitcoin won't be "dead" for too long. Don't panic, in large friendly letters." A16z crypto, Paradigm lead $175 million bet to move global credit markets onchain. Crypto tax bills a work-in-progress as U.S. House lawmakers pose concerns. Brought to you by
First up on this week's episode of Inside Business is Elon Musk's company SpaceX and its plan to raise $75 billion through what will likely be the biggest initial public offering (IPO) in history this Friday.The company values itself at $1.75tn, but some analysts feel it is worth far less.Could it prove to be a risky bet for the retail investor given SpaceX's lack of profit? And there are question marks over governance given Musk's almost untouchable status within the company.To get some insight on all this, host Cliff Taylor was joined in studio by Aidan Donnelly, head of Global Equities at Davy.Plus, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is expected to announce a 0.25% rise in the ECB's interest rate, this will bring it up to 2.25%.It will be the first interest rate hike since 2023, following Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the impact that had on energy prices.So, what does this week's increase mean for Irish mortgage holders and those looking to buy?And is this the beginning of a cycle of increases designed to control rising inflation?Cliff was joined in studio by Senior Mortgage Advisor at Irish Mortgage Brokers, Michael Dowling.Produced by John Casey with JJ Vernon on sound. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
In Episode 302 of The Market Moment, Matt, Eli, and Isaac tackle the biggest financial news of the week: the highly anticipated SpaceX IPO. (And yes, it's also Annuity Awareness Month!) . We discuss the motivations behind this massive public offering and debate whether it's truly about raising capital or just creating a liquidity event for early investors. With almost every major bank backing the deal and everyday investors getting unprecedented access, we break down the math, the potential risks, and why it's crucial to look past the hype. Plus, we look at how other mega IPOs have historically performed after their first year. Key Takeaways ➡️ SpaceX Valuation: The company is coming to market with a staggering valuation of roughly $1.75 to $1.8 trillion. ➡️Retail Investor Access: Custodians like Robinhood, Fidelity, and Schwab are offering expanded access for retail investors, allocating around 30% of shares to retail investors. ➡️Index Inclusion Changes: Early plans to include SpaceX in the S&P 500 index just 10 days post-IPO have been reverted to the standard one-year waiting period. ➡️Funding Shortfalls: To bring the company to market, SpaceX needs to raise a total deal size of $86 billion, but there is a reported shortfall of around $28 billion. ➡️Historical Warning: Historically, mega IPOs (like Rivian and Uber) have seen an average drop of 28% twelve months post-IPO, emphasizing the need for a long-term investment horizon rather than expecting quick wins. 04:19 - Retail Access & Valuation Checks 09:33 - Index Rule Reversals & The Funding 16:22 - Historical Mega IPO Performance & Risk Management Linked Videos: https://www.youtube.com/live/vrX6fhBL3bM?si=AaYRNdlUXTmcF9EX https://www.blindsquirrelmacro.com/p/the-physics-of-spacex Enjoyed the episode? Don't forget to:
This week on Inside the Economy, we examine jobs and spending, inflation, and economies outside the United States. Since 2020, hiring demand has increased across the South and in parts of the country such as Idaho, while many Western states have experienced a decline. At the same time, new job creation remains strong. Are there any potential warning signs or anomalies behind the recent uptick in new jobs, or does the data point to continued strength? Inflation has also ticked higher in recent months, driven in part by conflict in the Middle East. Additional pressure has come from rising U.S. beef prices, as drought conditions and shrinking cattle herds continue to constrain supply. What other areas of inflation are being affected by drought conditions? Finally, the world's three largest LNG exporters, the United States, Australia, and Qatar, account for a combined 252 million tons of exports. How could the global LNG landscape change as a result of the conflict in the Middle East, and which countries may emerge as future players? Tune in to learn more. Key Takeaways: • Unemployment at 4.3% • Money-Market Fund Assets reach $8.8 Trillion as of May 28th • PCE Core CPI at 3.3% (YoY)
Motheo Khoaripe speaks to Zinhle Tyikwe about her leadership journey, the lessons she has learnt at the helm of the Consumer Goods Council of South Africa (CGCSA) and GS1 South Africa, and the critical role these organisations play in keeping the country’s retail and consumer goods sector running efficiently. Since taking over as CEO in 2022, Tyikwe has led an organisation that represents more than 9,000 companies across the consumer goods value chain, while also overseeing the standards and barcode systems that underpin modern commerce, product traceability and supply chain efficiency. The Money Show is a podcast hosted by well-known journalist and radio presenter, Stephen Grootes. He explores the latest economic trends, business developments, investment opportunities, and personal finance strategies. Each episode features engaging conversations with top newsmakers, industry experts, financial advisors, entrepreneurs, and politicians, offering you thought-provoking insights to navigate the ever-changing financial landscape. Thank you for listening to a podcast from The Money Show Listen live Primedia+ weekdays from 18:00 and 20:00 (SA Time) to The Money Show with Stephen Grootes broadcast on 702 https://buff.ly/gk3y0Kj and CapeTalk https://buff.ly/NnFM3Nk For more from the show, go to https://buff.ly/7QpH0jY or find all the catch-up podcasts here https://buff.ly/PlhvUVe Subscribe to The Money Show Daily Newsletter and the Weekly Business Wrap here https://buff.ly/v5mfetc The Money Show is brought to you by Absa Follow us on social media 702 on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/TalkRadio702 702 on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@talkradio702 702 on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/talkradio702/ 702 on X: https://x.com/CapeTalk 702 on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@radio702 CapeTalk on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/CapeTalk CapeTalk on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@capetalk CapeTalk on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ CapeTalk on X: https://x.com/Radio702 CapeTalk on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@CapeTalk567 See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This week on Inside the Economy, we examine jobs and spending, inflation, and economies outside the United States. Since 2020, hiring demand has increased across the South and in parts of the country such as Idaho, while many Western states have experienced a decline. At the same time, new job creation remains strong. Are there any potential warning signs or anomalies behind the recent uptick in new jobs, or does the data point to continued strength? Inflation has also ticked higher in recent months, driven in part by conflict in the Middle East. Additional pressure has come from rising U.S. beef prices, as drought conditions and shrinking cattle herds continue to constrain supply. What other areas of inflation are being affected by drought conditions? Finally, the world's three largest LNG exporters, the United States, Australia, and Qatar, account for a combined 252 million tons of exports. How could the global LNG landscape change as a result of the conflict in the Middle East, and which countries may emerge as future players? Tune in to learn more. Key Takeaways: Unemployment at 4.3% Money-Market Fund Assets reach $8.8 Trillion as of May 28th PCE Core CPI at 3.3% (YoY)
──────────────────────────────────────── [00:04:00] Trump Told NBC He 'Had to Take a Turn' and Choose War Over His Good Economy — He Admits the Inflation Was His Decision Knight: he said the quiet part out loud — I could have kept the good economy but I decided to destroy it for the Iran war. It is purely a PR calculation. ──────────────────────────────────────── [00:18:00] 55% of Trump's Own 2024 Voters Want the Iran War to End — He Told the Farmer Who Can't Afford Fertilizer That They Still Love Him Knight: 70% of farmers can't afford fertilizer; Trump's response was loyalty — they still love me. Cognitive dissonance cultivated by the MAGA media for years. ──────────────────────────────────────── [00:30:00] Trump Said 'No New Wars' Over and Over — Tucker Carlson: He Also Shut Down His Own Butler Assassination Investigation Carlson: Trump installed loyalists in every key position yet shut down the investigation into his own attempted murder — no non-sinister explanation exists. ──────────────────────────────────────── [00:42:00] LA Election: Mail-In Ballots Moved the Socialist From Third to Second, Ousting the Strong Second-Place Candidate Knight: a candidate leading strongly on election night was moved out of the runoff as mail-in ballots were counted — the same corrupt vote-by-mail system Trump created in 2020. ──────────────────────────────────────── [00:55:00] SpaceX IPO Prices at Nearly $2 Trillion — It Would Need $1.1 Trillion in Revenue to Justify That, 60x What It Made Last Year SpaceX lost $4.9 billion in 2025 on $18.7 billion in revenue; Amazon's record is $742 billion. Knight: it is the doge of the stock market. ──────────────────────────────────────── [01:08:00] Iran War Costs $750 Per Household So Far — Airlines Are Paying $100 Billion More for Jet Fuel This Year Jet fuel is up 70% year over year, cutting global airline profits in half. The gas buddy analyst says even if ceasefire happened today, prices would not normalize for six to eight months. ──────────────────────────────────────── [01:20:00] Trump Says Oil Will Come Right Down When the War Ends — the Last Time We Were Cursed for Israel's Benefit, Prices Never Came Back The 1973 OPEC embargo quadrupled oil prices and they never came back — this time it is destruction of production infrastructure, not just disruption. ──────────────────────────────────────── [01:33:00] Jonathan Pollard and Mark Levin Are Pushing for a Nuclear Strike on Iran — Knight: They Are Worse Than the Ayatollah Knight: the ayatollah has not pushed for nuclear war — Pollard and Levin are. Levin's son arranged the Pollard-Huckabee meeting; they threaten nuclear war when they don't get what they want. ──────────────────────────────────────── [01:45:00] Housing: One of the Largest Buyer-Seller Gaps in History With Prices Still Elevated — Suggests Massive Institutional Buying Last time there was a gap this large was COVID — the Philadelphia Fed found owner-occupancy fraud is pervasive, with significant percentages of 'owner-occupied' housing vacant. ──────────────────────────────────────── [01:57:00] Barter Economy Preparedness: During the Sarajevo Siege, One Cigarette Bought Bread — Salt Was Literally Money for Most of History Jack Lawson: food, salt, alcohol, tobacco, medical supplies, and tools are the real currency in collapse — Romanian farmers under Communism were left alone because they had food. ──────────────────────────────────────── Money should have intrinsic value AND transactional privacy: Go to https://davidknight.gold/ for great deals on physical gold/silver For 10% off Gerald Celente's prescient Trends Journal, go to https://trendsjournal.com/ and enter the code “KNIGHT” For high quality made in America products go to HomeSteadProducts.shop and use promo code “Knight” for 10% off your purchases Find out more about the show and where you can watch it at TheDavidKnightShow.com If you would like to support the show and our family please consider subscribing monthly here: SubscribeStar https://www.subscribestar.com/the-david-knight-show Or you can send a donation throughMail: David Knight POB 994 Kodak, TN 37764Zelle: @DavidKnightShow@protonmail.comCash App at: $davidknightshowBTC to: bc1qkuec29hkuye4xse9unh7nptvu3y9qmv24vanh7Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-david-knight-show--2653468/support.
──────────────────────────────────────── [00:04:00] Trump Told NBC He 'Had to Take a Turn' and Choose War Over His Good Economy — He Admits the Inflation Was His Decision Knight: he said the quiet part out loud — I could have kept the good economy but I decided to destroy it for the Iran war. It is purely a PR calculation. ──────────────────────────────────────── [00:18:00] 55% of Trump's Own 2024 Voters Want the Iran War to End — He Told the Farmer Who Can't Afford Fertilizer That They Still Love Him Knight: 70% of farmers can't afford fertilizer; Trump's response was loyalty — they still love me. Cognitive dissonance cultivated by the MAGA media for years. ──────────────────────────────────────── [00:30:00] Trump Said 'No New Wars' Over and Over — Tucker Carlson: He Also Shut Down His Own Butler Assassination Investigation Carlson: Trump installed loyalists in every key position yet shut down the investigation into his own attempted murder — no non-sinister explanation exists. ──────────────────────────────────────── [00:42:00] LA Election: Mail-In Ballots Moved the Socialist From Third to Second, Ousting the Strong Second-Place Candidate Knight: a candidate leading strongly on election night was moved out of the runoff as mail-in ballots were counted — the same corrupt vote-by-mail system Trump created in 2020. ──────────────────────────────────────── [00:55:00] SpaceX IPO Prices at Nearly $2 Trillion — It Would Need $1.1 Trillion in Revenue to Justify That, 60x What It Made Last Year SpaceX lost $4.9 billion in 2025 on $18.7 billion in revenue; Amazon's record is $742 billion. Knight: it is the doge of the stock market. ──────────────────────────────────────── [01:08:00] Iran War Costs $750 Per Household So Far — Airlines Are Paying $100 Billion More for Jet Fuel This Year Jet fuel is up 70% year over year, cutting global airline profits in half. The gas buddy analyst says even if ceasefire happened today, prices would not normalize for six to eight months. ──────────────────────────────────────── [01:20:00] Trump Says Oil Will Come Right Down When the War Ends — the Last Time We Were Cursed for Israel's Benefit, Prices Never Came Back The 1973 OPEC embargo quadrupled oil prices and they never came back — this time it is destruction of production infrastructure, not just disruption. ──────────────────────────────────────── [01:33:00] Jonathan Pollard and Mark Levin Are Pushing for a Nuclear Strike on Iran — Knight: They Are Worse Than the Ayatollah Knight: the ayatollah has not pushed for nuclear war — Pollard and Levin are. Levin's son arranged the Pollard-Huckabee meeting; they threaten nuclear war when they don't get what they want. ──────────────────────────────────────── [01:45:00] Housing: One of the Largest Buyer-Seller Gaps in History With Prices Still Elevated — Suggests Massive Institutional Buying Last time there was a gap this large was COVID — the Philadelphia Fed found owner-occupancy fraud is pervasive, with significant percentages of 'owner-occupied' housing vacant. ──────────────────────────────────────── [01:57:00] Barter Economy Preparedness: During the Sarajevo Siege, One Cigarette Bought Bread — Salt Was Literally Money for Most of History Jack Lawson: food, salt, alcohol, tobacco, medical supplies, and tools are the real currency in collapse — Romanian farmers under Communism were left alone because they had food. ──────────────────────────────────────── Money should have intrinsic value AND transactional privacy: Go to https://davidknight.gold/ for great deals on physical gold/silver For 10% off Gerald Celente's prescient Trends Journal, go to https://trendsjournal.com/ and enter the code “KNIGHT” For high quality made in America products go to HomeSteadProducts.shop and use promo code “Knight” for 10% off your purchases Find out more about the show and where you can watch it at TheDavidKnightShow.com If you would like to support the show and our family please consider subscribing monthly here: SubscribeStar https://www.subscribestar.com/the-david-knight-show Or you can send a donation throughMail: David Knight POB 994 Kodak, TN 37764Zelle: @DavidKnightShow@protonmail.comCash App at: $davidknightshowBTC to: bc1qkuec29hkuye4xse9unh7nptvu3y9qmv24vanh7Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-real-david-knight-show--5282736/support.
The markets exploded on the upside this morning under the false hope that a deal with Iran was in the works. And then something suddenly happened. A massive sell off markets plunged on no news... no headlines, nothing. The S&P 500 erases all gains and falls over -2% from its high of the day, erasing -$1.3 trillion in 2 hours.
FCC Grants Amazon Extension on Satellite Deployment Deadline, EU Rejects Apple's DMA Exemption Request, Delaying European Siri AI Rollout, and Instagram has Launched a Global Update Allowing Users to Manually Reorganize Their Profile Grids. MP3 Please SUBSCRIBE HERE for free or get DTNS shows ad-free. A special thanks to all our supporters–without you, none ofContinue reading "OpenAI has filed for a U.S IPO with a reported $1 trillion valuation – DTH"
SpaceX Files S-1: The $2 Trillion IPO Thesis, Starlink Cash Engine, AI Pivot, and Bitcoin AngleThe script discusses SpaceX officially filing an S-1 with the SEC and frames it as a landmark IPO targeting a $2 trillion valuation after private valuations rose from $100B to $200B. It breaks SpaceX into three pillars: space launch/Mars ambitions (about $4.1B revenue in 2025), Starlink as the profitable cash engine (Q1 2026 connectivity revenue $3.3B with over $1.2B profit), and a major pivot into AI infrastructure with billions spent on data centers and custom hardware, described as roughly $8B per quarter. It notes the S-1 confirms SpaceX holds a significant digital asset and has been a longtime Bitcoin holder, while warning IPO volatility will be high and advising patience, monitoring Starlink growth and any post-IPO Bitcoin additions as potential catalysts.00:00 SpaceX IPO Shockwave00:55 Two Trillion Valuation Math01:11 Three Pillars Breakdown02:12 Starlink Cash Engine02:36 AI Infrastructure Pivot03:08 Bitcoin On The Balance Sheet03:59 IPO Risks And Mindset04:51 How To Play The IPO05:34 Live Coverage And Wrap Up________________________________________________________________FOLLOW ME ON X: https://twitter.com/staywinningusdFOLLOW ME ON INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/staywinningusd/SUBSCRIBE ON YOUTUBE: www.youtube.com/@staywinningusdDOWNLOAD ON SPOTIFY: https://open.spotify.com/show/2lPyA19keI2fpr0xZrEKxMNEWSLETTER SIGNUP: https://stay-winning-wealth.kit.com/806fb337d7SUBSCRIBE TO THE BLOG: https://medium.com/@staywinningusd________________________________________________________________
In today's Cloud Wars Minute, I analyze how a trillion dollars in cloud backlog is driving innovation beyond technology and into corporate finance. Highlights 00:03 — In the Cloud Wars, all sorts of crazy things are going on with the technology, what customers are doing with it, but also in how this whole remarkable time is being funded. I want to talk a little bit today about how Google Cloud and Oracle are choosing to fund this unprecedented market demand and why new possibilities require new ways of doing things. 01:25 — In Oracle's most recent quarter, it reported that its RPO, or Remaining Performance Obligation, similar to backlog, is over $550 billion. For Google Cloud, it had an amazing jump as well in its most recent quarter, ended March 31, $462 billion in backlog, almost double what it had been a year before that. So there's amazing demand, these two companies totaling a trillion dollars. 02:09 — Six months ago, Oracle reached out and said, “No, no, we're going to go to some outside funding, some borrowing, to do that.” But the market reacted with a panic. “Oh my God, nobody's ever done this.” And, you know, "What if they can't pay it back?” So there was a lot of skepticism about Oracle's plan six months ago. 02:58 — Now, a week ago, we see Alphabet step up and say, “Hey, we're going to do some equity financing. We're going to take $10 billion from Warren Buffett and some other places. We need this money. We think it's the best way to pursue funding our own data center expansions, our own CapEx needs, which will be somewhere between $185 and $190 billion.” Oracle's will probably be around $75 billion. 04:37 — Oracle and Google Cloud have risen to the top of the Cloud Wars Top 10 because they brought innovation at levels in technology and go-to-market, how they think about customers, deployment models, and so forth, that have really set the new standard for what's happening in the AI cloud business now. Seeking outside funding to meet this demand shows another way to do it. Visit Cloud Wars for more.
Guy Adami and Dan Nathan break down a strange Friday tape: a strong jobs report that sent stocks lower as the market prices out rate cuts — and even flirts with hikes. They dig into the Broadcom-led selloff in semis, Anthropic's call to slow down AI development and what it could mean for the CapEx trade, and Bitcoin getting cut in half at ~$60K alongside the unraveling of the crypto treasury-company trade. Then Guy unloads on the SpaceX IPO and Jamie Dimon's endorsement of the deal, asking whether someone just rang the bell at the top. In the second half, Dan sits down with Jim Brooks, CEO of Team Rubicon, on his path from Navy SEAL to the CIA to the C-suite — and what grit, culture, and leadership look like when you're leading a force of 200,000 volunteers. They close on defense tech, drones, and the future of the space economy. Show Notes Anthropic Urges Global Pause in AI Development, Flags ‘Self-Improvement' Risk (WSJ) Goldman Sachs expects SpaceX's AI revenue to increase 100-fold by 2030 (FT) Morgan Stanley Sees SpaceX's Revenue Reaching $3.4 Trillion in 2040 (WSJ) Elon Musk's near-daily online posts about race are turning off some fans (Washington Post) Musk Leaves Investors Starstruck at Dimon's SpaceX Extravaganza (Bloomberg) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.
Description The Future of Tech is Here. Subscribe to our Newsletter:https://theultimatepartner.com/ebook-subscribe/ Check Out UPX:https://theultimatepartner.com/experience/ In this presentation from Ultimate Partner Live, industry analyst Jay McBain breaks down the monumental macroeconomic shifts rewriting the tech sector in 2026. https://youtu.be/r0qTDyw97Gs As the industry rapidly approaches a $6.07 trillion valuation, driven by massive AI infrastructure investments from Sam Altman and the “Magnificent Seven,” traditional sales and channel models are fundamentally collapsing. McBain reveals how buyer demographics have transformed to an integration-first millennial base, why marketplace ecosystems now command over half of all partner-funded deals, and how a tiny elite of just 1,000 tech service providers control two-thirds of global tech revenue. Learn the exact mechanics behind how Microsoft out-partnered AWS to win 26 straight quarters of dominant growth and how your business can deploy an algorithmic early warning system to capture massive wallet share before competitors even step into the boardroom. Key Takeaways Over half of the Fortune 500 companies vanish every 20 years because their leadership fails to anticipate macroeconomic technological cycles. The true opportunity in the $6.5 trillion AI boom lies not in single vendor products, but in the hardware, software, services, and telecom ecosystem surrounding them. Indirect tech sales are undergoing a structural shift toward direct cloud hyperscaler models driven heavily by Nvidia's core infrastructure client base. Modern business deals are won or lost months before the point of sale based on the average of 6.3 partners surrounding a customer’s environment. Over 51% of tech buyers are now millennials who prioritize software integration capabilities and digital marketplaces over traditional human sales interactions. Tech service economics are pivoting aggressively away from upfront margins toward point-based multi-partner funding across subscription cycles. If you're ready to lead through change, elevate your business, and achieve extraordinary outcomes through the power of partnership—this is your community. At Ultimate Partner® we want leaders like you to join us in the Ultimate Partner Experience – where transformation begins. Key Tags Nvidia AI buildout, $7 trillion AI opportunity, cloud ecosystem decade, Microsoft vs AWS growth, multi-partner cloud deals, digital marketplace migration, millennial B2B buyers, B2B tech subscription economics, tokenized micro consumption, tech services wallet share, hybrid cloud infrastructure, 28 customer moments, IT services industry growth, telecom spend breakdown, channel chief strategy, managed service providers MSP, global systems integrators GSI, software integration first, point-based vendor incentives, automated co-selling workflows Transcript JAY McBAIN AUDIO PODCAST [00:00:00] Jay McBain: So to go back to that story about the 53% of companies who are gonna fail, one of us is gonna be asked to write the book, but chapter one is always you Blame the CEO. [00:00:13] Vince Menzione: We just came back from Ultimate Partner live in Bellevue, Washington, where we hosted incredible leaders for two amazing days. Come join us for this next session where we explore the tectonic shifts we’ve all been seeing. With that, I am incredibly blessed to invite a friend of mine to the stage. I have a quick little side note, like I found an old LinkedIn post from this gentleman from like many years ago, like 20 years ago. [00:00:39] Vince Menzione: And I wasn’t really that nice to you on that LinkedIn post. Like, oh, like this is before Jay became the Jay, that we all know Jay to be j. But he was in the space and I was at Microsoft doing something and he reached out about something. It was kind of rude, Jay. I was like, oh my gosh. I can’t believe. But Jay has been a great friend. [00:00:54] Vince Menzione: When we started the podcast back up, uh, during COVID we started doing podcasts together. When we moved to the studio, Jay was the first person in the studio. He’s always got a spot, uh, at our events. He’s s Spot Art, and, and he’s a great friend and supporter of Ultimate Partner Jay McBain. For those of you who don’t know him, Jay, welcome. [00:01:13] Vince Menzione: Thank you, sir. [00:01:22] Jay McBain: 31 days ago, we landed Artemis two. The furthest humans have ever been away from the planet Earth 57 years ago. We landed on the moon in the 56 years. Between those two moments, the tech industry has been the fastest growing industry in the world. Every single year we moved from the space race to the technology race, and we’re just getting started. [00:01:46] Jay McBain: If you’re old enough, you’ll recognize the mainframe and mini era for 20 years. You’ll recognize a young disheveled Bill Gates showing up in Boca Raton, Florida for, uh, August the 12th, 1981 launch, where Bill thought that every one of us would’ve a PC in our home, and IBM thought they were gonna sell 10,000 of them to hobbyists. [00:02:12] Jay McBain: 1999, a small startup from an executive who just left Oracle in San Francisco named Mark Benioff. A couple of years later, Jeff Bezos went into a boardroom and said, listen, we’ve spent a lot of money building infrastructure to our busiest day, Christmas, black Friday. You’re telling me this stuff sits idle 10 or 20% for the rest of the year. [00:02:35] Jay McBain: Why don’t we rent that out to others? Got laughed outta that boardroom and then got made of fun of on magazine covers. Maybe you should just tend the store, let the adults talk about technology. In March of 2023, our neighbors, our friends, our family saw DeepFakes. They saw poetry, they saw music, and they came to us as tech people and said, did we just light up Skynet? [00:03:03] Jay McBain: Now every one of these 20 year eras, this is the Taylor Swift version of our industry. Every single one of these eras triggers the fastest growing product in history. Today it’s actually Chacha bt first to a billion users. It triggers a new, richest person in the world, bill Gates, to Jeff Bezos. Now, Elon Musk is the first to sign a trillion dollar pay package, and it’s not for car. [00:03:27] Jay McBain: It’s not for cars. It also triggers a most valuable company in the world change. And today that’s nvidia. These are monumental changes in our industry and they’re monumental changes in partnering every single time. And it also links to our customers. If you take a 20 year view of business, one era, and, and think about the AI era, you know, at the start of it here, if you’re to grab the Fortune 500 magazine from 20 years ago and start to flip through it, 53% of the companies in there no longer exist. [00:04:06] Jay McBain: Every 20 year cycle, we lose over half of the biggest companies in the world. These are the companies that have very deep pockets to buy their way outta problems. If you’re not in the Fortune 571% of tech companies don’t make it 10 years. These are the changes that cost industries. There are changes that cost really big companies and the decisions we make, the trends we’re in right now, in 2026 will be written about in the future. [00:04:39] Jay McBain: This new era, a lot of big numbers being thrown around. Vince’s best friend talk about a six and a half trillion dollar AI opportunity, but it’s not Microsoft’s tam. Microsoft is chasing about a trillion dollars of this. And the ecosystem, the hardware, the software, the services, the telecom is gonna make up the rest. [00:05:04] Jay McBain: It is an ecosystem. Every time these big numbers are thrown, the word ecosystem is always thrown around it. Not to be outdone, Sam Altman’s talking about a $7 trillion build out. The world economy this year, the world GDP will be 126. These are material numbers to world GDP, but even better, they’re both larger than our entire industry is today. [00:05:27] Jay McBain: So what took 56 years of the fastest growing industry this year will be $6.07 trillion. Big numbers, but it’s easier to think about it in terms of a dollar that our customers spend in that dollar. They’re gonna spend 25 cents on hardware. They’re gonna spend 25 cents on software. So for anyone that read the memo 15 years ago, that software’s gonna eat the world, there’s still a dollar a hardware to run every dollar of that software. [00:05:57] Jay McBain: And whether you’re thinking humanoid robots or whichever future you’re envisioning, there’s going to be a dollar of hardware to run every dollar of software for the next 20 years. There’s over 25 cents now in IT services, and in many cases, these services are growing faster than the product categories and just under 25 cents in telecom, that’s how it breaks out today. [00:06:19] Jay McBain: And this industry, which took 56 years to get to this point, is gonna double in size in the next three to five years. We already have two and a half trillion of that seven raised and being spent. Part of the reason Nvidia is the most valuable company in the world. Now our industry, uh, you talk about ultimate partnerships. [00:06:40] Jay McBain: Our industry traditionally, and world trade by the way, is 75% indirect. The dealerships, the agencies, the brokers, the resellers, the retailers, the franchisees, the gas stations, the grocery stores, the pharmacies, all 27 industries sell indirect. You gotta think back the last time you bought something direct. [00:07:01] Jay McBain: Well, I bought a Dell from that dude in the nineties. Cool. Well, Dell Technologies is now 60% indirect. Well, I bought insurance. Direct is 15 minutes. Could save me 15%. Well, Geico last year sold more insurance through agencies and brokers than they did direct. This is the world now. We used to be 75% indirect four years ago. [00:07:26] Jay McBain: Then it went to 73.2, then it went to 70.1 and it then it went to 66.7. By the way, marketplace is in these numbers indirect. It’s not marketplace causing this change. It’s one company, Nvidia. Nvidia has seven customers. The magnificent seven, uh, half of them are in the room right now that every morning we wake up to a hundred billion dollars press release about this $7 trillion buildout. [00:07:56] Jay McBain: What’s interesting is indirect sales in our industry is growing by revenue. It increases every year, just not at the pace that this AI build out is happening direct with seven companies. But the reason we’re all here, and I think the core reason that Vince is building this community is this, you know, Microsoft forever has measured and been very vocal. [00:08:21] Jay McBain: About 96% of their deals have partners in them. Kind of who cares, who collects the money. We care about the moments, the 28 moments before the customer makes a purchase. We care about every 30 days forever, because two thirds of our industry, over $4 trillion now is subscription consumption based. Winning a customer today is only winning the first 30 days. [00:08:46] Jay McBain: We care about this cycle. We care about who surrounds our customer. So six years ago, I stood on a big stage and said, you know, we went through a decade of sales. You know, in 1999, you thought you were born to be a salesperson. You’re managing your territory with your gut. Well, a few years later, you were introduced to the science of selling. [00:09:07] Jay McBain: You know, 10 years later you thought as a marketer, you sit around a cocktail party joking with your friends, 50% of my marketing dollars are wasted. I just don’t know which 50%. Really funny. In 2009 until every 58-year-old CMO got replaced by a 38-year-old growth hacker. Coming in with Marketo and Eloqua and Pardot and HubSpot, and 15,505 as of yesterday, MarTech and iTech tools, ninjas in marketing, they wouldn’t let a nickel go through without measuring. [00:09:43] Jay McBain: Now we understand 96% of deals and partners that surround it. No deal is gonna be won or lost in this era without partnering effectively. So we had to have this decade of the ecosystem. One of the ways we’re tracking is by outsiders. You know, Salesforce every year publishes the state of sales and they’ve got, you know, the number one CRM in the world. [00:10:05] Jay McBain: So they get to go talk to all the CROs, all the salespeople in the world. And as of this year, a couple months ago, 94% of every salesperson in every industry in the world uses partners every single day. You wanna see what this number was six years ago. Also, 89% of salespeople around the world don’t think they’re going to club this year without partners. [00:10:29] Jay McBain: So this is a big moment for us, halfway through the decade ecosystem, but we’re only halfway through. We’re starting to understand now at a more granular level. What partnering means. It’s not theory, it’s not flywheels. It’s not really cute. McKinsey slides that we keep showing to our board saying how important partnering is. [00:10:51] Jay McBain: We’re trying to get to the very specific level of the 6.3 partners on average that surround the deal and what they’re doing. How their business model works, and that’s average if I’m working on a public sector deal. I was at a Red Hat conference yesterday talking sovereignty. If I’m in an enterprise or a large public sector deal, it’s north of 10 partners in the deal. [00:11:15] Jay McBain: So we’re starting to understand what used to be this, this, you know, you’ve been the fastest growing industry for 56 straight years. Every single professional services person in every industry has come in to join the fund. Over 90% of accountants are tech services firms. Over 90% of marketing agencies are tech services agencies. [00:11:36] Jay McBain: All of this 250,000 software companies, a million emerging comp tech companies, the half a million VAR that have been in that traditional channel. The managed service providers, all of these 20 different partner types, millions of companies, tens of millions of people competing for 6.3 spots. Around the customer. [00:11:58] Jay McBain: That’s it. Luckily, there’s 141 million global customers to compete for. There’s, there’s some open slots that you can go find, and that’s the point. Our industry never had our own Fortune 500. We always talk to, you know, these partners and GSIs are doing this and SI are doing that. And we never really had a view of capability and capacity or what our own TAM was inside of that partnering. [00:12:25] Jay McBain: And so we set out and we would’ve loved, you know, chat GPT or Gemini or Claude or any of those tools to do this. But there’s one problem in partnering with AI is that it doesn’t know one partner from the next. There’s a big digital sameness problem in our industry that every single partner, whether it’s Larry in the White van or Accenture, with 786,000 employees all say they do all things to all people all the time. [00:12:53] Jay McBain: 98% of them, 99% of them are private companies that don’t share their p and l. You can’t go into Microsoft’s LinkedIn system and find out how many employees, ’cause it’s a block system, it AI can’t see into it. So it just sees, and it’s a great pattern matching. Google, SEO can’t figure out who’s who, nor today can the large language models. [00:13:14] Jay McBain: ’cause all the things they’re trying to match, the transformers are trying to match. It all looks the same. Every tweet, every ebook, every website, every digital history looks the same. So this took us thousands of people hours across two years to do, to dig into every p and l to dig into every dollar of what they’re doing. [00:13:33] Jay McBain: But what was interesting is only a thousand partners in our industry do two thirds of all tech services. When you get into enterprise, it goes up to 80 to 90%. The partners in the middle, in Blue do more tech services. The 30 of them than the 970 partners in white on the outside, the 970 partners in White do more tech services than the next million combined. [00:14:03] Jay McBain: This is our industry in a nutshell. Every time we talk to a a vendor, every time we talk to a partner, every time we talk to a distributor, we’re now talking names, faces, and places. You you wanna talk sovereignty. Yesterday in Atlanta, 90% of sovereign conversations in public sector in the globe is handled by these companies here. [00:14:26] Jay McBain: Forget about how much you do with these partners today. You wanna chase the next column, which is the wallet share. And I was a channel chief for 17 years. I get the weekly report and I see a million dollar partner, another million dollar partner, sorted top to bottom. You don’t know which partners which, which of those million dollar partners is doing 1.2 million in your category. [00:14:46] Jay McBain: They deserve a baseball cap and a front row seat at your event as an MVP. The next partner right next to them is doing 10 million in your category. They’re only doing a million with you. ’cause customers are pulling them into it. Nine times outta 10. They’re leading with your competitor. So I don’t want that list anymore. [00:15:03] Jay McBain: I want the new list, which is showing me those $9 million opportunities. And I as a board member, as A CEO, as a CFO, as a CRO, I wanna see this list. And then I want to talk people, processes, programs, technology. What are we gonna do to go get our fair share of that 9 million? Where’s our lowest hanging fruit? [00:15:24] Jay McBain: How do we double our pipeline? How do we double the size of our company in three years? It’s all right here. Let’s have very specific conversations and move away from flywheels and move around from force multipliers and and things like that in partnering. Let’s figure out how this partner community is surrounded. [00:15:45] Jay McBain: What do 10 million people who have to be smart in front of their customers every single day, what do they read? Where do they go and who do they follow? It’s the law of a few. This is the old Malcolm Gladwell of tipping point 10 million people in the broader channel. A hundred percent of our TAM comes down to only a thousand watering holes. [00:16:08] Jay McBain: 12% of that entire audience. Doesn’t sound like a lot, but it’s over A million. People love podcasts. Number one way they learn the Joe Rogan effect. In our industry, there’s 121 podcasts. These are all public lists. You can go get on my LinkedIn newsletter on canals, oia. But there’s 121 podcasts that drive him forward. [00:16:28] Jay McBain: Really high up on that list, actually number one on the list is ultimate partner, Vince. That’s how I met. ’cause I asked people, 10 million people, you love this. You walk your dog, you drive to work, you listen to podcasts. I’m not the biggest podcast fan. It’s not number one on my list, but it’s number one on theirs. [00:16:44] Jay McBain: They say, you know, you gotta meet this guy, Vince. It’s unbelievable how great these podcasts are. They’re ultimate. [00:16:54] Jay McBain: Then I talked to Vince and said, but Vince, you know, 35% of your community, the 10 million people love to come to events like this one. The hallway conversations, the hotel lobby bar last night. This is what we love to do, especially post pandemic. It’s the number one way we learn. We learn from our peers, we learn from those around us, and, and the learn from the conversations we have here. [00:17:17] Jay McBain: We always remember these moments, you know, years and years later. There’s 352 choices. I’m going to five of them this week in five different cities. It’s a lot of coverage, but again, it’s a tighter li list of how people work. The magazine lists 106 of them associations like Conter. Now the GTIA peer groups, there’s 15 different spheres of influence, but only a thousand places. [00:17:43] Jay McBain: I could walk you through billionaire, after billionaire, after billionaire in this industry and show you how they did this. How did Arne Bellini at ConnectWise? How did Austin McCord at Datto, how did Nerdio become a unicorn? How did threat locker and huntress move away from 6,500 cyber companies and become unicorns over and over and over again? [00:18:05] Jay McBain: It’s only one slide. Unicorns and billionaires are made here, and a lot of people don’t get it. So walking away from Bellevue, a thousand partners, top down, a thousand watering holes, bottoms up. You’ve covered a hundred percent of your tam. You do it better than 10% of your competitor, 10% better than your competitors. [00:18:27] Jay McBain: You win. You carry that on your resume into the next company. You get a bigger job at a bigger pay scale. Let’s just walk through some examples. Cyber 91.7% of it goes through the channel. Huge channel audience. You know, if you’re in MarTech, it’s only 10%, but this one happens to be all channel, but that’s not the story. [00:18:48] Jay McBain: For every dollar that the 6,500 cyber companies are trying to close, there’s $2 in services. Plot twist, the products are grown at 11, the services are grown at 12.6. Your partners are growing faster than you are, and they will continue to for the next, at least five years, probably 10. So when I’m here, five years from now, you’ll hear in me talk about a three to one split in cyber and then a four to one split in cyber. [00:19:18] Jay McBain: Now, when we’re in Miami a couple days ago is CrowdStrike, they’re talking about a $7 and 5 cent multiplier, chasing that two to one up higher. You look at managed services. Here’s a fun story. Managed services. 82% of customers who are man, uh, outsourcing more this year than last year. 650 billion in size. [00:19:38] Jay McBain: This is bigger than the entire SaaS industry. Salesforce, ServiceNow, Workday, Marketo, NetSuite, HubSpot, 250,000. Others. This is bigger. It’s also bigger than all the Hyperscalers combined, not just AWS, Microsoft and Google, but Alibaba and Oracle and everybody down the list. This is a massive market also growing at double digits. [00:19:59] Jay McBain: So these are some big things and obviously we’re watching, you know, week in and week out, quarter in, quarter out, the Battle of Software and Battle of the Hyperscalers and things like that, and who’s growing at what pace and, and how partnering is connecting to all of this. You know, we watched a moment really early in the pandemic where Microsoft started growing faster than AWS and they haven’t stopped since 26 straight quarters. [00:20:27] Jay McBain: And you ask customers and say, you know, does Microsoft have a better product? And in most cases they say no. You know, AWS had a five year head start. Well, did they have a better price? Well, no, actually most cases Microsoft’s more expensive. Well, did did they have better promotion? Was their Super Bowl ad better? [00:20:44] Jay McBain: No, they’re both kind of crap. So you kind of ask the questions of what’s the only difference that could create growth above the leader in the market? Well, it’s place. More of the 6.3 partners are walking into those keyboard room meetings and drawing clouds up on the wall and labeling the Microsoft than they are AWS. [00:21:03] Jay McBain: Very simple. It’s never been about product. The best product in our industry has never won. And now the best way forward is that partnering moment, and this is the moment. So to go back to that story about the 53% of companies who are gonna fail, one of us is gonna be asked to write the book. And it could be the book like Kodak, they invented the product that ended up killing them. [00:21:26] Jay McBain: And it’s a woe is me story, but chapter one is always you blame the CEO. How could they not see those trends happening in 2026? How could they, you know, were they blind? Were they stuck in their own, you know, innovation chamber? Innovator’s dilemma, were they stuck in their own boardrooms? Why couldn’t they see? [00:21:46] Jay McBain: Well, chapter two, you, you blame the board. They have fiduciary responsibility, outsider view, and how could they not see it? But really, this is the future right here. If you take this slide and apply it 10 or 20 years from now to every failure and every success, these are the chapters of the book. Your buyer is now a millennial. [00:22:05] Jay McBain: As of last year, the 51% of our market is bought by people born after 1982. Different psychology, different behavior, different journey, different criteria, their integration. First buyers. The buy a product, 80% as good as the next one. If it works better in their environment. 94% of people won’t buy a car unless it has CarPlay or Android Auto. [00:22:26] Jay McBain: New Buyer. You have to be more integrated than your competitors. That’s a partnering story. The 6.3 partners. If you heard cyber, you need some great channel partnerships, but you need the other 5.3 partners as well, the consultants, the advisors, the designers, the architects, the implementers, the integrators, the manner service, all of the other partners. [00:22:44] Jay McBain: You need to know more of them than your competitors do, and have them label clouds with your name in them. You need better alliances. Even if you compete, you only compete in the morning. You’re best friends by the afternoon. You have to be tight with the hyperscalers, tight, with the big SaaS platforms, tight with cyber, tight with distribution, there are layers, seven layers to every deal. [00:23:04] Jay McBain: You gotta be tight in and have better alliances than your competitors. And then it all comes to the 28 moments, which I’m gonna end on, but the go to market of all of this, the co-selling, co-marketing, co-innovation, co-development, co keeping. This is it. Your product has to be good enough that somebody’s gonna renew it. [00:23:21] Jay McBain: Your Super Bowl has to be, you know, ad has to be good enough that people don’t, you know, shame you on social media. Your pricing has to be somewhere in a country mile of the bell curve of what the customer wants to pay. But successor failure is just here and platforms are synonymous with partnering. [00:23:40] Jay McBain: It’s our role now in the decade of the ecosystem to drive our companies forward. Marketplace. It’s probably the most predict, you know, great prediction we ever made. You know, growing at 82% compounded, it’s hard to predict ’cause it doubles almost every year. We were almost exact to the decimal point. Five years later now till 2030, we’re watching a second story, which is more interesting. [00:24:02] Jay McBain: If 96% of all deals have partners inside of them and there’s private offers and multi-partner offers and distributor sellers record all these funding mechanisms or services as a product. As of last week, over 50% of all deals in marketplaces now have partner funding. It means that while money changes hands differently, the respect and the recognition of what partners do is in the deal. [00:24:26] Jay McBain: We think that’s going to 59, but at some point, that’s gonna have to hit 96. ’cause to run the best programs, whether it’s an indirect sale, whether it’s a direct sale, whether it’s a marketplace deal, it doesn’t matter how money changes hands. What matters is we recognize the 6.3 partners. They’re not only making the deal happen bigger and faster, but renewing and enriching that every 30 days forever. [00:24:48] Jay McBain: When we watch, you know, billion dollar clubs and when we read all the press releases and all the hubbub about how fast this is growing and who, which companies are behind all this. When I’m quoted in some of these press releases, it’s because of this. You know, CrowdStrike, you know, brags are a billion dollars in a single year, but inside of that, they’re showing that 91% growth in marketplaces, which is pretty phenomenal for any company to almost double in size every single year. [00:25:17] Jay McBain: What’s more phenomenal is they’re growing the channel piece of it, 3548%. That green part of it is growing. Companies that understand platform and have people and processes and programs and technology to do it are winning. And they’re getting recognition and partners are starting to join the Billion Dollar Club who don’t sell a product, but are also winning at Extreme Scale. [00:25:44] Jay McBain: So talk about those partner 1000 and who are leaning in to win at this level. As well as everything changes, traditional billing moved into subscription models, moved into consumption models. Now we’re being tokenized to death multi it’s, it’s in this mode of micro consumption. There’s no chance there was little chance in subscription consumption that would be resold. [00:26:09] Jay McBain: You don’t buy Netflix from the cable guy in the white van. There’s zero chance when you’re buying tokens at a buck a piece that that’s going through any indirect sale. This continues to grow. Now the tectonic shifts is what happens when money changes hands differently. These old programs that we used to all write hundreds of different boxes, we checked every day on deal reg and trainings and all the other things are changing. [00:26:35] Jay McBain: To this, you’ll get these slides, by the way, in high res, inside of this now is the customer. For the first time ever, 45 years later, we have the customer in the middle of what we do, the 28 moments in green before they buy the seven layer stack and the partners inside it. The implementation. The integration, the managed services in a cycle that never ends, and two thirds of our industry. [00:26:55] Jay McBain: With the customer in the middle, we can now move money around to the different moments. It’s not all landing in front or backend margins or market development funds or new customer bonuses or spiffs. It’s landing where it needs to land. Over 400 companies now, pretty much led by Microsoft 400 companies are in a point system right now and 400 more. [00:27:18] Jay McBain: We’re working kind of behind the scenes to get that announced in the next 12 months. This is a total changeover in terms of how economics work and partners are yelling over half of us. I don’t care. Don’t call me a VAR anymore. Don’t call me an MSP. Don’t call me a regional system integrator. I do the consulting over half the time. [00:27:36] Jay McBain: I do the design, I do the implementations, I do the managed services, and 44% of us are vibe coding. On weekends. We’re not happy. Just on the services side. We wanna join the seven layer tech stack as well. These are partners growing faster than their vendors by understanding this cycle and where to show up and where the money is in ai. [00:27:56] Jay McBain: And the number one thing they’re asking for is not more leads, which they did for 45 years. The number one thing is now recognized for what I do. I’ve never just been a cash register. We’re completely now past this idea of a channel being a channel of distribution, and now a channel being this platform for the future. [00:28:16] Jay McBain: As we lay that on top of ai, the first couple of years of AI has really been consumer driven. The 95% failure rate that MIT reported last year is now 70%. That’s the failure to get from proof of concept to production. That 70 will be 50 by the summer we’re moving now in business, the maturity rates are going up at the end customer and in 88% of cases, that’s because of the channel. [00:28:43] Jay McBain: They’re working with partners. They’re not vibe coding themselves and working in little skunkwork groups. They’re working with partners to make it happen, and it now becomes the partner’s number one growth opportunity. I can grow at 11 or 12% in cyber every year. Compounded I can grow in 10% in managed services. [00:29:03] Jay McBain: You know, those are great double digit growth ’cause my customers are growing at 2.7% and I can go four x my customer, but I can go 10 x my customer if I have the right services built around ai. And this compounded growth rate and that big number in 2 20 32, 267 is what’s got those top 1000 partners obsessed. [00:29:25] Jay McBain: And your companies are leading with ai. Now you need to connect to those AI services. You need to get partners on this scale of growth. And they will be adding your name inside every cloud. They write on every whiteboard, but 82% of partners around the world, you know, we survey 25,000 of them aren’t ready, and they’re blaming vendors for not being ready, and they’re telling them exactly the workshops and the training that they need to get ready for this cycle. [00:29:53] Jay McBain: 82% of our entire partner, tens of millions of people, aren’t ready to grow at 35% and they need our help. Last thing I’ll say about AI is it’s the first time from client server to cloud, edge to cloud that it’s been segment driven. SMB alone has one, you know, six different segments, one to nine, 10 to 24, 25 to 49, et cetera. [00:30:18] Jay McBain: Mid-market into enterprise. No one that runs a restaurant is calling Jensen to buy a GPU to put next to the stove. No one’s calling Sam or Dario or anyone at Anthropic or OpenAI directly. They’re waiting. If you run a restaurant with all the people running around with tablets, you’ve invested in toast or square or clover or one of the platforms to run your business. [00:30:41] Jay McBain: A hundred different things. And you’re gonna wait for toast to work with a hyperscaler and build out the capabilities genetically. So when they see a spike in Uber Eats orders, they automatically place a food order and automatically change the staffing to deliver on it. That’s what the restaurant’s waiting for, and there’s no one calling and having a big a agent conversation. [00:31:03] Jay McBain: But even if you go into hundreds of people in medium sized business, every one of the vice presidents have their tech stack already built. I talked about the marketing person already, but the HR leader has one, and everybody’s got their seven layer stack. They’re not calling to buy a GPU and they’re not calling to, you know, bring in open AI directly or, or anthropic. [00:31:22] Jay McBain: They’re waiting for the platform they built to integrate together ag agenta capabilities. Everybody’s in wait mode up until enterprise and public, large public sector. So we are looking at this market and at 90% of that AI market is run by those thousand companies, and the rest of the millions of partners are helping in terms of how these businesses are gonna change at that level. [00:31:46] Jay McBain: Here’s where I end. You know, the 28 moments used to be a theory. It used to be a flywheel. How do we buy a car? [00:31:55] Vince Menzione: Well, we Google it, [00:31:57] Jay McBain: 81% of us now, 94% of us use large language models. We find out that there’s 365 brands of car. I’d have to test drive one every day of the year to get through them all. So we start narrowing these things down. [00:32:09] Jay McBain: We configure it. We put our rims on it, we color it. We download the invoice price. We download the backend rebates this month, whether I buy it in May or June, we find out what 5,000 people paid for our exact car within 50 miles of us. And then we don’t wanna go to the dealer because we know more than the salesperson, the manager ever will. [00:32:26] Jay McBain: We know what we’re gonna pay within, you know, dollars or cents. Just carvana the car. Hand me the keys. Let’s just forget the whole eight hour back and forth. I’ll get you a deal thing. I’m smarter than you in technology. Our customers are smarter than us, smarter than salespeople. That’s why 75% of millennials don’t wanna talk to a salesperson. [00:32:48] Jay McBain: They want to end digitally, and by the way, they’re not gonna send a fax after 28 digital moments. They’re gonna end on a digital marketplace. This is all demographics. It’s not hard to see where it’s going, but we’re getting into names, faces, places again. What if every dollar of your tam, the board, the CEO, runs around with their big multi-billion dollar number, they’re chasing? [00:33:09] Jay McBain: What if every single deal looks the exact same? This is a deal with AstraZeneca, A real deal, real customer spending millions of dollars. We know it starts in October, it ends in April. It’s a six month cycle. We see what they read, the MQ ls at the beginning. We see the sales demo moments. We see ISV, but we’ve never had the light blue boxes. [00:33:30] Jay McBain: What if we as a team could overlay the 6.3 partners in this deal? And when you find out a couple things. Here’s where I end. In December, five deals were one, three of them by NTT. The person at NTT probably coaches AstraZeneca’s, you know, kids’ soccer team. They probably have a cottage together at the lake. [00:33:50] Jay McBain: For the last 20 years, if the person at NTT worked at Deloitte, Deloitte would’ve run this deal. But Software One and Yash are both there, so we understand that when they were drawing clouds up on the wall in the boardroom in December, this deal was won and lost there. It was not won and lost at the point of sale. [00:34:09] Jay McBain: So what if you knew more about this and could see every dollar in your tam? You had an early warning system that this was happening. Two things jump out at this now that we’re in Bellevue. AWS was touched twice in this deal, directly in the marketing cycle and the sales cycle. AWS lost this deal. Here’s an example of Microsoft winning a deal with Microsoft never being touched. [00:34:34] Jay McBain: For some reason, NTT who won, who won AWS’s partner of the year a couple years ago led with Microsoft, so did Software one, Microsoft’s biggest reseller in Europe, and as did Yash, they all led with Microsoft and without Microsoft, knowing Microsoft took a multimillion dollar deal away from their competitors by winning in December. [00:34:53] Jay McBain: That’s one. Second. These partners didn’t just show up other than soccer and cottages. They didn’t show up in December. It went closed one in their CRM system. Back in the summer, August, September, we already knew AstraZeneca was in market, spending millions of dollars. We didn’t need them to read an ebook or go to an event to find that out. [00:35:17] Jay McBain: We knew it because it was closed one. They’re spending hundreds of thousands of dollars times five in December to know what to do at the end. This is an early warning system that’s better than any MQL, better than any SQL. And if you could give your company these level of view into their pipeline with an early warning system that I can work with those partners for months before they ever show up at the customer’s boardroom. [00:35:44] Jay McBain: This is it. Talk about 47% winners. This takes you from not only surviving the AI era to being a top five platform winner. Thank you very much. [00:36:01] Vince Menzione: Until next time, we’ll see you in person. Hopefully at our next event.
Interview with Filip Stojkovski on the State of AI in SecOps Filip joins us to talk through the 2+ year rollercoaster that Security Operations tooling has been on since AI entered the chat. We discuss the AI SecOps market, which Filip closely tracks through his SecOps Unpacked project. We also discuss how most of the market has traditionally been focused on the "middle" of the process, which is effectively alert management. Where the conversation really gets interesting is shifting left to discuss building better quality detections. Segment Resources: Be sure to check out SecOps Unpacked - it has more than just vendor information: there are articles, frameworks, podcast episodes, research, and articles/thought leadership Topic: The Unintended Consequences of Vulnmaxxing We discuss my latest blog post where I share a theory that perhaps Project Glasswing is a clever exclusive freemium tier, where Anthropic is hoping to ensnare the world's largest producers of software into using its most expensive model to fix their code for the foreseeable future, creating a much needed new revenue stream for the AI giant with a Trillion dollar valuation. There are some potential unintended consequences that come along with an expensive vulnerability discovery/remediation process that threatens to raise the security poverty line and leave less wealthy companies behind. The Weekly Enterprise News Finally, in the enterprise security news, If you were starting a cybersecurity company today, which category would you pick? layoffs funding the White House AI executive order OpenAI's frontier governance framework Anthropic's Zero Trust for AI agents guide IBM's vulnmaxxing efforts RICO as a service for job seekers Instagram had possibly the most embarrassing hack ever All that and more, on this episode of Enterprise Security Weekly. Visit https://www.securityweekly.com/esw for all the latest episodes! Show Notes: https://securityweekly.com/esw-462
Making Billions: The Private Equity Podcast for Startup Founders and Venture Capital Investors
Send us Fan MailLEARN THE CAPITAL RAISING STRATEGIES AND FRAMEWORKS used by alternative asset professionals: https://go.fundraisecapital.co/apply DOWNLOAD The Sovereign Corporate Scorecard: A step-by-step playbook to identify infrastructure monopolies, asymmetric opportunities, empire-building companies before wall street: https://go.fundraisecapital.co/sovereign-corporate-scorecasd-playbook-352837This episode is brought to you by Reef Pass | Serial Acquisition Investors: Reef Pass Investors has spent the last 10 years focused on partnering with founders to launch and build long-term holding companies, and has a proven track record doing exactly that.To reach out to Reef Pass Investors email holdcofounders@reefpassinvestors.comIn this episode of Making Billions, Ryan Miller argues that SpaceX isn't just a space company; it's laying the foundational infrastructure for humanity's expansion into space, mirroring the East India Trading Company's role in global exploration and control. To capture Private Equity Alpha, institutional allocators must identify why legacy Wall Street valuation models remain fundamentally broken. When will space technology reprice and how should fund managers position assets?Watch this episode of Making Billions with Ryan Miller to exploit this structural asymmetry before commercial orbital manufacturing revenue forces a rapid market repricing.[THE HOST]: Ryan Miller is a fund manager, capital strategist, and former CFO turned angel investor in technology and energy. He is the founder of Fund Raise Capital and Aequor Capital Partners, and has mentored over 1,000 fund managers across private equity, private credit, venture capital, real estate, and alternative assets globally.Subscribe on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCTOe79EXLDsROQ0z3YLnu1QQConnect with Ryan Miller:Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/rcmiller1/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ryanmilleroffical/X: https://x.com/_MakingBillionsWebsite: https://making-billions.com/Support the showDISCLAIMER: This podcast is for entertainment and general informational purposes only — not legal, financial, tax, or investment advice. Nothing herein constitutes a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any security or investment product. Past performance does not indicate future results. Always consult qualified legal, financial, and tax professionals before making any investment decision. NAME NOTICE: "Making Billions with Ryan Miller" reflects the profile and aspirations of guests featured — it is not a promise, projection, guarantee, or representation of any financial result, income, or outcome for any listener, viewer, or reader. Most individuals who consume this content do not raise any particular amount of capital, and many achieve no financial result whatsoever. "Fund Raise Capital" is a brand identifier only — it is not a promise, guarantee, or representation that any member, subscriber, or listener will raise capital, attract investors, or achieve any financial or professional outcome. This show does not constitute a business opportunity, franchise, investment program, or offer of any product or service of any kind. No part of this show should be construed as a solicitation for investment in any way. Guest views are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of the show or host. Host and/or guests may hold positions in assets discussed. This episode may contain paid sponsorships, advertisements, or endorsements. Sponsored content is identified where...
Kerry Lutz and Mike Manwell of Rethinking the Dollar examine the Federal Reserve's next move, rising macroeconomic risks, and the growing strain of U.S. debt markets. The discussion focuses on the Fed's "great decision" as inflation remains elevated while roughly $10 trillion in Treasury debt comes due. They explore whether policymakers will lean toward rate cuts and renewed monetary accommodation to ease fiscal pressure, and what that could mean for the dollar, markets, and global financial stability. The conversation also covers geopolitical tensions, de-dollarization risks, and the potential for major global events to accelerate emergency policy responses. Throughout the episode, they stress the importance of understanding monetary systems and preparing for increased uncertainty. Gold and silver are highlighted as key hedges, with emphasis on physical ownership, market structure concerns, and long-term purchasing power. The episode closes with practical insights on navigating an increasingly fragile economic and geopolitical environment. Find Mike here: RethinkingTheDollar Find Kerry here :https://khlfsn.substack.com and here: https://inflation.cafe Kerry's New Book "The Armstrong Economic Code: The 5 Truths Investors Must Never Forget" is out now on Amazon! Get your copy here: https://a.co/d/bvYbZOz "The World According to Martin Armstrong – Conversations with the Master Forecaster" is a #1 Best Seller on Amazon. . Get your copy here: https://amzn.to/4kuC5p5
Interview with Filip Stojkovski on the State of AI in SecOps Filip joins us to talk through the 2+ year rollercoaster that Security Operations tooling has been on since AI entered the chat. We discuss the AI SecOps market, which Filip closely tracks through his SecOps Unpacked project. We also discuss how most of the market has traditionally been focused on the "middle" of the process, which is effectively alert management. Where the conversation really gets interesting is shifting left to discuss building better quality detections. Segment Resources: Be sure to check out SecOps Unpacked - it has more than just vendor information: there are articles, frameworks, podcast episodes, research, and articles/thought leadership Topic: The Unintended Consequences of Vulnmaxxing We discuss my latest blog post where I share a theory that perhaps Project Glasswing is a clever exclusive freemium tier, where Anthropic is hoping to ensnare the world's largest producers of software into using its most expensive model to fix their code for the foreseeable future, creating a much needed new revenue stream for the AI giant with a Trillion dollar valuation. There are some potential unintended consequences that come along with an expensive vulnerability discovery/remediation process that threatens to raise the security poverty line and leave less wealthy companies behind. The Weekly Enterprise News Finally, in the enterprise security news, If you were starting a cybersecurity company today, which category would you pick? layoffs funding the White House AI executive order OpenAI's frontier governance framework Anthropic's Zero Trust for AI agents guide IBM's vulnmaxxing efforts RICO as a service for job seekers Instagram had possibly the most embarrassing hack ever All that and more, on this episode of Enterprise Security Weekly. Visit https://www.securityweekly.com/esw for all the latest episodes! Show Notes: https://securityweekly.com/esw-462
Interview with Filip Stojkovski on the State of AI in SecOps Filip joins us to talk through the 2+ year rollercoaster that Security Operations tooling has been on since AI entered the chat. We discuss the AI SecOps market, which Filip closely tracks through his SecOps Unpacked project. We also discuss how most of the market has traditionally been focused on the "middle" of the process, which is effectively alert management. Where the conversation really gets interesting is shifting left to discuss building better quality detections. Segment Resources: Be sure to check out SecOps Unpacked - it has more than just vendor information: there are articles, frameworks, podcast episodes, research, and articles/thought leadership Topic: The Unintended Consequences of Vulnmaxxing We discuss my latest blog post where I share a theory that perhaps Project Glasswing is a clever exclusive freemium tier, where Anthropic is hoping to ensnare the world's largest producers of software into using its most expensive model to fix their code for the foreseeable future, creating a much needed new revenue stream for the AI giant with a Trillion dollar valuation. There are some potential unintended consequences that come along with an expensive vulnerability discovery/remediation process that threatens to raise the security poverty line and leave less wealthy companies behind. The Weekly Enterprise News Finally, in the enterprise security news, If you were starting a cybersecurity company today, which category would you pick? layoffs funding the White House AI executive order OpenAI's frontier governance framework Anthropic's Zero Trust for AI agents guide IBM's vulnmaxxing efforts RICO as a service for job seekers Instagram had possibly the most embarrassing hack ever All that and more, on this episode of Enterprise Security Weekly. Show Notes: https://securityweekly.com/esw-462
SpaceX is set to go public on June 12, 2026 at a $1.75 trillion valuation, the largest IPO in history. The company is targeting a $75 billion raise at $135 per share. But the S-1 filing reveals a contradiction: Starlink generates billions while the company posts a net loss, driven by the xAI merger and a massive bet on AI compute. This episode breaks down the SpaceX IPO filing. xAI posted a $2.47 billion operating loss in Q1 2026, and Starlink revenue is covering most of it. Then two compute deals changed the math. Anthropic agreed to pay $1.25 billion a month to rent xAI's Colossus 1 data center, and Google signed a $920 million per month deal, both running through 2029. Together that's about $75 billion in contracted future revenue. We cover how SpaceX shifted from running GPUs internally for Grok to operating as an AI cloud infrastructure provider, the multi-class share structure that keeps Elon Musk in control, the possible Tesla merger tying together chips, data centers, and robotics, and the FCC filing for a million-satellite "space cloud." Plus where the $600-700 billion premium above Starlink and launch is actually coming from, and what a generational liquidity event means for employees and VC backers. SpaceX IPO 2026, xAI merger, Starlink revenue, Elon Musk, $1.75 trillion valuation, Google compute deal, Anthropic Colossus, AI infrastructure, orbital computing.
A landmark new report from the American Water Works Association estimates the United States will need between $2.1 and $2.4 trillion in drinking water infrastructure investment over the next 25 years—and the funding gap is widening fast. In this episode, the findings of Beyond The Replacement Era are explained by Mike Grimm of West Slope Water District, Heather Collins of the Metropolitan Water District of Southern California, Janet Clements of One Water Econ, John Mastracchio of Raftelis, and Adam Carpenter of AWWA.The report identifies a structural shift in water sector costs, with utilities now navigating compounding pressures from PFAS and lead regulations, climate resilience, cybersecurity, and increasingly scarce water sources—not just aging pipes. Without new investment strategies, the average household water bill could more than double by 2050, potentially pushing over 53 million households into financial stress. Federal funding for water infrastructure lags far behind other sectors like transportation, covering just 3.9 percent of public spending—a disparity the guests argue must change. Solutions discussed include expanding federal and state partnerships, consolidating fragmented small utilities to capture economies of scale, and developing dedicated affordability assistance programs to protect vulnerable households. Read the report.waterloop is a nonprofit news outlet exploring solutions for water sustainability.
SpaceX is gearing up for a blockbuster public debut that could be the biggest in Wall Street history and redefine the global space economy. But as the company evolves from a dominant rocket launcher into an AI-powered conglomerate, questions remain about its financial losses and its de facto monopoly on U.S. space ambitions. WSJ's Corrie Driebusch and space reporter Micah Maidenberg join host Luke Vargas to break down the numbers behind the deal and what this massive infusion of capital means for the future of the cosmos. Further Reading See How SpaceX Is About to Eclipse Every Other Blockbuster IPO The Secrets Revealed in SpaceX's IPO Filing Morgan Stanley Sees SpaceX's Revenue Reaching $3.4 Trillion in 2040 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices