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On today's episode, Stig and I speak with Ed Harrison, the editor at Real Vision TV. Ed talks to us about current market conditions and how investors should position themselves accordingly. We'll discuss the accelerating debt situation across the globe and the opportunities and constraints for investors. In addition, we'll cover the continued massive money printing and the impact on the economy, not only as investors but as citizens.IN THIS EPISODE, YOU'LL LEARN:Why facing a double-dip recession is the base case scenarioHow can the US most efficiently pay off its public debt?Which implications does it have if Janet Yellen will be the new Treasury Secretary? How to take advantage of the increasing debt burden in developed nationsWhy the decoupling of the US and China will lead to a weaker US dollar BOOKS AND RESOURCESVisit Edward Harrison’s blog and newsletter, Credit write down. Watch Edward Harrison on Real Vision TV and listen to his podcastTweet directly to Edward HarrisonCheck out our top picks for the Best Investing Podcasts in 2020Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) hereSupport our free podcast by supporting our sponsors.GET IN TOUCH WITH PRESTON AND STIGPreston: Twitter | LinkedInStig: Twitter | LinkedInHELP US OUT!What do you love about our podcast? Here’s our guide on how you can leave a rating and review for the show. We always enjoy reading your comments and feedback!
In this episode, you'll learn:Are we in an inflationary or deflationary environment?Why interest rates will turn negative in the USWhy bitcoin is consuming all other asset classesHow and why hedge funds, large corporations, and endowments will soon enter the bitcoin spaceAsk The Investors: “Modern Monetary Theory” – is it valid? BOOKS AND RESOURCES MENTIONED IN THIS EPISODEPreston and Stig’s interview with Raoul Pal about Macro ConcernsPreston and Stig’s interview with Raoul Pal about Macro InvestingPreston and Stig’s interview with Raoul Pal about Macro Economics and Global RisksListen to the Real Vision PodcastConnect with Raoul Pal on TwitterRaoul Pal's website, Real Vision TV with free videosGet a FREE book on how to systematically identify and follow market trends with Top Traders Unplugged. BlockFi provides financial products for crypto investors. Products include high-yield interest accounts, USD loans, and no fee trading. For a limited time, you can earn a bonus of $25 when you open a new account. Just go to theinvestorspodcast.com/blockfi to start earning today.Take part of OurCrowd's investment in Cyabra today.Solve your long list of must-reads once and for all with Blinkist.Capital One. This is Banking Reimagined. What’s in your wallet?Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here.Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors.
In this episode, you'll learn:How the low yield has changed the investment thesis for growth and value investorsWhat is the optimal investing strategy dependent on your view on the COVID-19 vaccineWhat the dollar index is indicating for investors right now The difference and similarities of the US and European economiesWhether the Euro and other international currencies are positioned to replace the US dollar as the main global reserve currencyAsk The Investors: Will bond investors rush into stocks given the low interest rate? BOOKS AND RESOURCES MENTIONED IN THIS EPISODEVisit Edward Harrison’s blog and newsletter, Credit write down. Watch Edward Harrison on Real Vision TV and listen to his podcastTweet directly to Edward HarrisonEnjoy better health and peak performance with Athletic Greens, your all-in-one daily drink. Get the FREE D3/K2 wellness bundle with your first purchase!Get a FREE book on how to systematically identify and follow market trends with Top Traders Unplugged. Solve your long list of must-reads once and for all with Blinkist.Make hiring efficient and effective. Get a quality candidate within the first day with ZipRecruiter. Capital One. This is Banking Reimagined. What’s in your wallet?Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) here.Support our free podcast by supporting our sponsors.
Diego Parrilla es socio y Portfolio Manager en Quadriga Asset Management, una administradora de inversiones con base en España, donde maneja el fondo Quadriga Igneo Fund que acumula un retorno superior al 50% en 2020.Construyo una impresionante carrera internacional en el mundo de las inversiones. En 2017 se incorporó como socio en Quadriga, tras casi 20 años de experiencia en el sector de trading y riesgo en Londres, Singapur y Nueva York, trabajando en bancos de inversión globales de gran prestigio, como JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs o Merrill Lynch. Ademas, en 2011 fundo Natural Resources and Commodity Advisors (NARECO) en Singapur, para asesorar a clientes institucionales y gestionar estrategias macro y materias primas. Posteriormente, se incorporo a BlueCrest Capital Management como Portfolio Manager gestionando $150m en estrategias de valor absoluto macro y materias primas, para luego liderar el desarrollo del área de materias primas en Dymon Asia y en Old Mutual Global Investors en Singapur, antes de volver a España e incorporarse a Quadriga Asset Managers como socio y gestor.Publicó junto a Daniel Lacalle el libro “La Madre de Todas las Batallas - La energía, árbitro del nuevo orden mundial” en 2014 y el libro “The Anti-Bubbles” o “Anti burbujas” en 2017. Además colabora con medios de todo el mundo como el Financial Times, El Mundo, CNN, CNBC, Real Vision TV y Bloomberg TV, entre otros. Es ingeniero por la Universidad Politécnica de Madrid.
Bruce Norris is joined this week by Raoul Pal. In the early 90s, Raoul worked at Goldman and Sachs, where he co-managed the hedge fund sales business and equities and equity derivatives in Europe. He then co-managed the GLG Global Macro Fund in London for GLG Partners, one of the world's largest hedge funds. He retired from managing client money at age 34 in 2004, and since then he has founded Real Vision TV, the world's first On-Demand TV channel for finance. Raoul has been publishing global macro investors since 2005 to provide original, high quality, quantifiable and easy readable research for the Global Macro Investment Community. This is a very special segment in which they discuss the coronavirus and its impact he could see it having on the global economy, where he sees Bitcoin playing a role, his job as a global macro investor, how he reaches his conclusions on matters, his tv program where he covers statistics and numbers, people's reaction to the Fed lowering rates, and much more all on the real estate radio show.The Norris Group originates and services loans in California and Florida under California DRE License 01219911, Florida Mortgage Lender License 1577, and NMLS License 1623669. For more information on hard money lending, go www.thenorrisgroup.com and click the Hard Money tab.Play Now http://www.thenorrisgroup.com/
In this episode, you'll learn:Why Quantitative Easing is very likely in the fourth quarter of 2019The full picture of the global debt situationHow Central Banks are all connectedThe outlook for Bitcoin and GoldResources Mentioned:https://www.realvision.com/tv/shows/skin-in-the-game/videos/financial-engineering-unfunded-pensions-and-potential-disasterConnect with Raoul Pal on TwitterRaoul Pal’s website, Real Vision TV with free videosDownload your free audio book at Audible.Find the best job candidate at Ziprecruiter.Discover CMC Markets, the ultimate platform for online trading on mobile and desktop.Solve your long list of must-reads once and for all with Blinkist.Move your business to the cloud with Netsuite.
Evergreen Gavekal CEO, Tyler Hay, interviews Grant Williams, author of Things That Make You Go Hmmm, co-founder of Real Vision TV, and long-time friend of the firm, from the 2019 John Mauldin Strategic Investor Conference in Dallas Texas. Listen to hear his perspective on a broad range of topics about the global economy, as he and Tyler debrief on the most thought-provoking speeches and interviews given at the conference. DISCLOSURE: This material has been prepared or is distributed solely for informational purposes only and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Any opinions, recommendations, and assumptions included in this presentation are based upon current market conditions, reflect our judgment as of the date of this presentation, and are subject to change. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. All investments involve risk including the loss of principal. All material presented is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy cannot be guaranteed and Evergreen makes no representation as to its accuracy or completeness. Securities highlighted or discussed in this communication are mentioned for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation for these securities. Evergreen actively manages client portfolios and securities discussed in this communication may or may not be held in such portfolios at any given time. Louis Gave’s has an equity ownership in Evergreen. Louis’ views and opinions are his own, and are not necessarily the views of Evergreen.
A handful of billionaires have renewed their warnings of a global recession – with one legendary commodities trader even predicting something worse than the Great Depression. In this week where 20 tons of gold have mysteriously disappeared from Venezuela's vaults, Tesla has another $920 million in debt payments due, and a value investor just dived into an iconic fast food business, Dan Ferris makes sense of it all. He's joined in this week's episode by Grant Williams. Grant is co-founder of Real Vision Group and has more than 30 years of experience in finance during which time he held senior positions at investment banks in London, Tokyo, New York, Sydney, and Singapore. Real Vision TV, the world's only video on-demand channel for finance, has been described by some as the "Netflix for Finance Geeks."
A handful of billionaires have renewed their warnings of a global recession – with one legendary commodities trader even predicting something worse than the Great Depression. In this week where 20 tons of gold have mysteriously disappeared from Venezuela’s vaults, Tesla has another $920 million in debt payments due, and a value investor just dived into an iconic fast food business, Dan Ferris makes sense of it all. He’s joined in this week’s episode by Grant Williams. Grant is co-founder of Real Vision Group and has more than 30 years of experience in finance during which time he held senior positions at investment banks in London, Tokyo, New York, Sydney, and Singapore. Real Vision TV, the world's only video on-demand channel for finance, has been described by some as the "Netflix for Finance Geeks."
Dr Pippa Malmgren (@DrPippaM) is a futurist trend spotter, public speaker, best selling author and advisor to investors and governments about macroeconomic policy and investment strategy. She is a former Presidential Advisor who served on The National Economic Council in the White House where she was the point person on Enron and Terrorism Risks to the Economy after 911. She was the initial negotiator on Sarbanes Oxley and the Patriot Act and was on the President’s Working Group on Corporate Governance and the President’s Working Group on Financial Markets.Pippa anticipated the Financial Crisis in 2007, the slowdown in China, Brexit, Trump and the return of inflation. She is ranked in the top 25 Most Influential Economists in the World and one of the top 10 of global experts on Geopolitics and she was ranked in the top 5 on the Most Powerful Women in Finance list, all in 2017.As an economist, she focuses on how new technologies solve old problems and generate new forms of growth. In 2015 she won the Intelligence Squared Debate on Robotics alongside Walter Isaacson, which was broadcast by the BBC to 80 million homes worldwide, has been published in Wired Magazine, Monocle, The International Economy and other publications and is a regular guest anchor for CNBC, Bloomberg and often on the BBC (radio and TV).In 2016, her book Signals: How Everyday Signs Can Help Us Navigate the World's Turbulent Economy became a best-seller on Amazon in four categories after being crowd-funded on Indiegogo. She also wrote Geopolitics for Investors which was commissioned by the CFA:She is a Non-Executive Board Member of the Department of International Trade in the UK, advising on Brexit. She also serves on the British Ministry of Defence Working Group on Global Strategic Trends and briefs Britain’s top Generals at Sandhurst. She serves on several advisory boards and working groups: She Chairs the Lewis PR Advisory Board (LAB) and is on the Advisory Boards at Real Vision TV, the Ditchley Foundation and Indiana University’s School of Public Policy and Environmental Affairs as well as the Indiana University Manufacturing Initiative.Pippa founded DRPM Group, an economic advisory firm that helps global firms understand the economic landscape and before that was the Deputy Head of Strategy for UBS and the Chief Currency Strategist for Bankers Trust, ran Bankers Trust’s Asset Management business in Asia from Hong Kong and was named a Global Young Leader by the World Economic Forum.You can listen right here on iTunesIn our wide-ranging conversation, we cover many things, including: * How automation equals more jobs * The reason Pippa is optimistic about the world economy * Why China is investing heavily in Mexico * How the 21st century is flipping leadership and business on its head * Why entrepreneurship is the future and education is broken * The reason our world is becoming more polarized, separated and populist * How drones and autonomy will impact our economy * The problem with healthcare and technological solutions to fix it * Understanding ways of rewriting government * Why capitalism is the best system we have * What Pippa learned from advising George W Bush--Make a Tax-Deductible Donation to Support FringeFMFringeFM is supported by the generosity of its readers and listeners. If you find our work valuable, please consider supporting us on
Artyści Rynków - Rozmowy z ludźmi, którzy kreują świat tradingu
Czy zastanawialiście się kiedyś, jak to jest, gdy cały świat stoi przed Wami otworem? W pierwszym odcinku w podróż dookoła świata zabiera nas Paoul Pal, jeden z najlepszych na świecie makro inwestorów. W rozmowie z naszym głównym analitykiem rynkowym Michaelem McCarthym opowiada o swojej podróży zawodowej - od analityka technicznego, przez zarządzanie funduszami hedgingowymi, aż po najnowszy, własny projekt, program Real Vision TV. Wyjawia nam również, czego nauczył się od najlepszych traderów świata i gdzie upatruje nowe, obiecujące okazje na rynku. Zapraszamy do wysłuchania pierwszego podcastu CMC Markets.
Porter’s back from Nicaragua and he’s growing more and more concerned about corporate and consumer debt. In our current “Escher Economy” it’s hard to distinguish which way is up and which way is down. The underlying balance sheet of the US consumer is in big trouble and Porter tells listeners that the likely outcome could lead to big changes at America’s ballot box in 2020. Porter & Buck welcome special guest Grant Williams, co-founder of Real Vision TV. Known as “Netflix for finance geeks,” Real Vision is the world’s only video-on-demand channel with a finance and investor focus. Porter and Grant talk about how we’ve come to accept the madness of global economic activity over the last decade, how there seems to be a bubble forming in just about every asset class, and the two big signals to watch for that will show you when economies fueled by debt are about to run out of gas. Porter answers a listener’s question in the mailbag about gold and gold miners…and reveals one of the biggest mistakes you can make with these investments. Next week, Porter and Buck interview James Damore, the ex-Google employee who wrote the viral memo, “Google’s Ideological Echo Chamber.” www.investorhour.com
Ever wondered what it's like to view the world in the palm of your hand? In the first episode of the Artful Trader we go around the world in 80 trades with one of the world's top Macro investors Raoul Pal. He joins CMC Markets Chief Market Strategist Michael McCarthy to talk about his journey from technical analysis to managing hedge funds to launching ‘Real Vision TV'. In this interview, Raoul Pal reveals what he learnt from the world's top traders and where he thinks the next ‘pearls' of opportunity lie.For more exclusive content go to www.TheArtfulTraderPodcast.com. The Artful Trader is an original podcast series by CMC Markets. Each episode, host Michael McCarthy will interview one of the industry's greats about their journey to mastering the art of the financial markets. The information in this podcast is general in nature and should not be taken as financial advice.
In Episode 46, we welcome Real Vision TV co-founder, Raoul Pal. The guys start by going over a bit of Raoul’s background. Raoul started his career by running equity and equity derivatives at Goldman Sachs. Through this, he learned the macro investing world. He then joined a hedge fund, managing its global macro fund before retiring at 36 on the coast of Spain. But it was then that Raoul decided to start a research service, the Global Macro Investor, aimed at large, institutional players. However, in 2008, Raoul realized the ordinary investor had been let down by the system and financial media. So, in an effort to help, Raoul founded Real Vision TV with Grant Williams. Real Vision features the smartest guys in the world teaching you how to invest, what their best ideas are, and so on… After this background, the guys jump in, with Meb asking Raoul about his overall investing framework. Raoul tells us this whole game is about probabilities. To invest successfully, we look for times when the odds are in our favor. So, to look for these times, Raoul developed a system based on the business cycle – with a focus on GDP, as asset prices are moved by economic growth. The model relies heavily on findings from ISM reports (Institute for Supply Management). Raoul tells us that when looking at ISM numbers, it’s not just the level that counts, but also the rate of change of those levels. Overall, this model helps forecast S&P levels, bond yields, inflation, world trade… basically everything! So, what is it saying now? “We’ve got to expect a recession this year or next year, or if we’re at the wild extremes, the year after that.” Meb brings up stats from Ned Davis, tying ISM levels to market returns. He says how last year, it appeared that ISM levels were rolling over, but then they steadied and now are a bit high. He asks Raoul what it means for us now. You’ll want to hear Raoul’s response, which includes the possibility that asset prices may weaken soon – while bond yields may suffer significantly. Meb then points to Raoul’s call of a potential short trade in oil. Raoul tell us that this is the largest speculation in oil – ever. Way too many people went long, and this speculative positioning is too far ahead of the actual business cycle. He says oil is maybe $10-$15 too high right now. It’s coming close to being a perfect trade setup. Oil could hit as low as $30. Next, the guys discuss great opportunities around the globe. Raoul points to Cypress. Greek stocks are still hammered too. He says the upside could be huge – potentially 10x your money. Meb agrees, mentioning his own study about markets that have gone down big, or stayed down for many years. The upside is often spectacular. The conversation then steers toward one the biggest emerging macro story in the world – India. You’re going to want to hear this one. It’s a fascinating story, and Raoul gives us actionable investment ideas. Next up – Bitcoin. Raoul gives us a quick primer on Bitcoin and blockchain technology. He tells us that many people are confused as to what, exactly, it is – currency? Investment? Raoul gives us his thoughts. There’s way more, as this episode is packed with great content. The guys talk about Google’s and IBM’s prospects as investments… artificial intelligence… making money entrepreneurially rather than through investing… and Raoul’s most memorable trade – it’s fascinating story involving the South African Rand that you don’t want to miss. What are the details? Find out in Episode 46.
On episode 13 of the Epsilon Theory podcast, Dr. Ben Hunt is joined in San Antonio by Grant Williams, founder and publisher of Things That Make You Go Hmmm… and co-founder of Real Vision TV. It’s the day after the 2016 presidential election and time to explore how and why Trump won, what it might mean for markets, and where Dr. Hunt and Grant are turning their attention.
Jason Burack of Wall St for Main St interviewed first time guest, former hedge fund manager, global macro newsletter writer and Co-Founder & CEO of Real Vision TV https://realvisiontv.com/, Raoul Pal. Raoul is the former Co-manager of the hedge fund GLG Global Macro Fund which he managed for years after working on Wall Street and in the financial industry for years as well. He retired from the financial industry at age 36 and started writing a paid newsletter called, The Global Macro Investor http://www.globalmacroinvestor.com/About.asp Raoul became upset with the lack of honest, in depth coverage of what's really going on in markets and the global economy by the mainstream financial media so he and co-founder, Grant Williams decided to start Real Vision TV where they traveled around the world interviewing top guests like Kyle Bass, Jim Rogers and Hugh Hendry at length for their insights on the global economy. During this 30+ minute interview, Jason starts off by asking Raoul the consequences of a strong US Dollar for the global economy? Raoul talks about how according to the Bank of International Settlements (BIS) there's over $10 trillion in outstanding US Dollar denominated loans and how there's not enough money to pay those loans back. Jason and Raoul discuss how lower oil and base metal commodity prices helped exacerbate falling currencies in countries like Brazil and Russia.
In this episode of the Big Question Podcast, I speak to Raoul Pal. Raoul is a world renowned global macro investor, an investment strategist, economic historian, traveler, rum drinker, and co-founder of Real Vision TV, together with Grant Williams. If you enjoyed this podcast, make sure to receive future Big Question conversations right in your inbox: capitalistexploits.at/signup/
This week, for the second time on Chat With Traders, my guest is Morad or better known as; Futures Trader 71. As you could imagine, FT is a futures trader, he’s also very short-term and has been trading for about 16 years now. During this time, he was the founder of a successful prop firm and more recently, has started a brokerage; Stage 5 Trading. First time around (on episode 37) we spoke extensively about FT’s path of becoming a trader, market profile and volume profile, and creating a legacy. This time we spoke about all new topics… For example; how to learn a new skill, how to measure your progress besides PnL, how to remove attachment to the outcome, how FT uses a regressive risk management strategy, and plenty more too. --- Sponsored by RealVisionTV.com: Watch the smartest minds in finance share all, and put an end to “there’s nothing to watch.” Get a FREE 7-day trial of Real Vision TV, to start streaming now.
In this episode, Preston and Stig talk to one of the most notable macro investors in the world, Raoul Pal. Raoul is the owner and CEO of Real Vision TV and he has interviewed some of the biggest names in finance. During this interview, Raoul talks about some of the biggest ideas he has heard from billionaire hedge fund managers and high net worth individuals. Click here to get full access to our show notes.
Raoul Pal has a history rooted in the hedge fund industry, and with him, he carries more than 25+ years of experience in financial markets. For a number of years he worked at Goldman Sachs where he co-managed the hedge fund sales business in equities and equity derivatives. He later moved on to GLG, one of the largest hedge fund groups in the world, where he launched their global macro fund in London. Today, Raoul no longer manages client money but continues to invest his own. He also writes a premium research newsletter, The Global Macro Investor, and is the co-founder of Real Vision TV. In this episode we navigate through some uncharted waters which have not been explored previously on this podcast. So in addition to macro investing, technical analysis and hedge funds, we discuss theoretical economic models, business cycles, negative interest rates, and why the world is economically in a frightening position. --- Sponsored by TradeStation.com – With TradeStation, you’ll have access to a wide-range of markets and products, an award-winning platform, favorable commissions, and a sharp support team.
Grant Williams is a co-founder of Real Vision TV and author of the widely-read financial newsletter 'Things That Make You Go Hmmm.....'. In this episode of the Capitalist Exploits Big Question Podcast. We discuss investment opportunities that thrive in turbulent markets - from real estate to gold and anything in between. Receive future Big Question conversations right in your inbox: https://capitalistexploits.at/signup/
Jason Burack of Wall St for Main St interviewed returning guest, Grant Williams http://ttmygh.com/. Grant writes the popular investing newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm. He also co-founded the new investor education company Real Vision TV https://realvisiontv.com/.Grant has over 20 years experience working in the financial industry and he's been a money manager and other jobs. During this 30+ minute interview, Jason asks Grant how bad things are in the global economy since he travels all over the globe often?Grant says the global economy has slowed down a lot and that the oil market is a major indicator. Next, Jason asks Grant a listener question about if Russia will go bankrupt because of the low oil price and if it will have to sell any of its gold. Grant thinks there's very little chance Russia or China sells any of its physical gold. Jason then asks Grant about the collapse in the oil market and emerging market debt problems and if he thinks the crisis is much larger than the sub prime housing bubble?Grant says there's a global debt problem and either of these things is capable of collapsing the asset markets and the real economy. Jason then asks Grant a number of WS4MS listener questions about whether the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates, the problems with GLD and about the survival and investment worthiness of gold mining companies. Grant says in his 3 decades of experience, he has never seen a more hated group of investments than gold miners. He thinks sentiment will change in the near future.
Jason Burack had on first time guest newsletter writer, entrepreneur and financial services veteran Grant Williams http://ttmygh.com/. Grant writes the very popular Things That Make You Go Hmm newsletter and he also started a new entrepreneurial venture called Real Vision TV https://realvisiontv.com/ to educate people more about investing and markets. This in depth, fascinating 50+ minute discussion talks about interest rates and the Federal Reserve, financial repression, ECB QE, The Euro breaking apart, black swans, volatility, global currency wars, financial history and gold!