Podcasts about epsilon theory

It's a holiday weekend in the United States, and we thought it would be a good time to revisit some of the big ideas that our guests shared with us over the past year.   Meeting the new commercial realities created by the globalization of the natural gas market, the energy transition to a lower carbon economy, and the rise of artificial intelligence requires new and smarter markets in which participants are empowered with new financial technology.   And building those smarter markets will require big ideas. We hope you enjoy revisiting these moments and ideas with us.   Our guests featured on this episode are:    -Robert Friedland, Founder & Executive Chairman, Ivanhoe Mines -Brad Hitch, Director of LNG Trading, EQT Corporation -Samantha Dart, Head of Natural Gas Research, Goldman Sachs -Susan Sakmar, Visiting Professor, Univ. of Houston & Board Member, Flex LNG -Mark Lewis, Head of Research, Andurand Capital -Hannah Hauman, Global Head of Carbon Trading, Trafigura -Andy Home, Senior Metals Columnist, Thomson Reuters -Andrea Hotter, Special Correspondent, Fastmarkets -Ben Hunt, Author of Epsilon Theory & Co-Founder/CIO, Second Foundation Partners -Michelle Finneran Dennedy, Chief Data Strategy Officer, Abaxx Technologies -Dr. David Bray, Distinguished Chair of the Accelerator & CEO/Principal, Stimson Center & LDA Ventures, Inc. -Josh Crumb, Founder & CEO, Abaxx Technologies  

The Lads joined by two special guest for a very special episode about a very crazy week! Ben Hunt of Epsilon Theory and Jonah Van Bourg of the 1000x Podcast help us make sense of the madness!Thanks for tuning in, and make sure to Like & Subscribe! In Episode #90 we cover:00:00 Intro To The Episode and Guests 03:44 Ben Hunt Joins The Lads31:05 Bitcoin: The Fastest Horse?35:12 Jonah Van Bourg Joins The Lads1:01:58 Buying or Selling Anything Here?1:06:57 Pasta of the Week

Today, Chuck is joined by Ben Hunt, the creator of Epsilon Theory. Their conversation revolves around the concept of the Widening Gyre, a “profound social equilibrium where bad people and bad ideas drive out good people and good ideas.” They discuss this concept from a few different angles: How it relates to top-down systems like America's political systems and corporations. How it has led to the loss of a national narrative and increased division and conflict. How a community-based approach that focuses on doing the right thing today is the best way out. ADDITIONAL SHOW NOTES Hear more from Ben Hunt: “Ben Hunt: We're Not Going to Fix This from the Top Down” (podcast). “Ben Hunt: In Praise of Bitcoin” (podcast). Ben Hunt (Twitter/X). Epsilon Theory (site). Chuck Marohn (Substack).

This week on our Inside the Coffeehouse series, we welcome Ben Hunt back into the SmarterMarkets™ studio. Ben is author of Epsilon Theory and Co-Founder & CIO of Second Foundation Partners. David Greely sits down with Ben to discuss what AI is teaching us about how we use language – and how we can build digital tools not to outsource our consciousness, but to increase our ability to have trusted conversations at scale.

In episode 401 of the BE SMART podcast: a friendly wager on Bitcoin, market analysis focusing on the US dollar and private equity trends, how the US stock market as a percentage of global market cap is an enormous bubble, and why the US in 2024 resembles Japan in 1990. Plus, a look into the mailbag from Jared's readers and listeners, including questions about Epsilon Theory, swearing in writing, and gold sentiment.

Just Press Record brings together Cara Brookins, author of "Rise: How a House Built a Family," and Rusty Guinn of Epsilon Theory for a fascinating conversation about building things that matter. Cara shares her incredible story of building a 3,500 square foot house from scratch with her four children using only YouTube tutorials, while Rusty discusses transforming a historic 1763 property into a thriving apple orchard and cidery. The conversation weaves through themes of stubborn optimism, the importance of tangible creation in a digital age, and how the people who truly matter in our lives show up even when they think we're making a mistake. From hauling concrete in wheelbarrows to splitting wood at midnight for the perfect Texas brisket, we explore how physical labor connects us to something deeper than just the end product. Cara and Rusty offer profound insights into how social networks are changing human consciousness, the value of finding your "ride or die" tribe of 120 people, and why sometimes the most authentic path forward requires getting your hands dirty. Whether you're interested in homesteading, writing, craft cider, or just finding your place in an increasingly digital world, this conversation has something for everyone who believes in building things that last. A Cultish Creative production exploring what happens when we choose to "do something" rather than just "be something."

Ben Hunt, the author of Epsilon Theory (https://www.epsilontheory.com/) and co-founder of Second Foundation Partners, returns to The Julia La Roche Show to discuss narratives and how they shape everything from financial markets to politics. ✨ This episode is sponsored by Public.com. https://public.com/julia ✨ Paid endorsement for Public Investing, Inc. Not investment advice. All investing involves the risk of loss, including loss of principal. Brokerage services for US-listed, registered securities, options and bonds in a self-directed account are offered by Public Investing, Inc., member FINRA & SIPC. Public Investing offers a High-Yield Cash Account where funds from this account are automatically deposited into partner banks where they earn interest and are eligible for FDIC insurance; Public Investing is not a bank.  Treasury accounts offering 6 months T-Bills are offered by Jiko Securities, Inc.,member FINRA & SIPC. Securities in your account are protected up to $500,000. For details: www.sipc.org. Banking services and the Bank Accounts are provided by Jiko Bank, a division of Mid- Central National Bank. For U.S. Investments in T-bills: Not FDIC Insured; No Bank Guarantee; May Lose Value. Treasuries risk disclosures, see https://jiko.io/docs/treasuries_risk_disclosure.pdf. See public.com/#disclosures-main  A Bond Account is a self-directed brokerage account with Public Investing, member FINRA/SIPC and includes 10 investment-grade and high-yield bonds. As of [11/08/24], the average, annualized yield to worst (YTW) across all ten bonds is greater than 6%. A bond's YTW is not “locked in” until the bond is purchased and is not guaranteed; you may receive less than the YTW of the bonds in the Bond Account if you sell any of the bonds before maturity or if the issuer defaults on the bond. While corporate bond yields should fall in reaction to a Federal Reserve rate cut, there is no way to know whether that will be true of the bonds in the Bond Account, how quickly bond yields will respond, or by how much they will decline. Bond Accounts are not recommendations of individual bonds or default allocations. The bonds in the Bond Account have not been selected based on your needs or risk profile. All investing involves risk. Public Investing charges a markup on each bond trade. Visit public.com/bond-account to learn more 00:00 Introduction to Ben Hunt 01:00 Narrative of narrative 03:08 Narratives behind markets 07:00 Wall Street is a story construction machine 09:08 Bitcoin "number go up" story, narrative evolution 20:00 Post-election market narratives 22:42 Shift from "structural" to "WTF" animal spirits 25:00 Managing market exits and exposure 30:17 How quickly narratives change 36:48 Discussion of "fiat news" concept 44:18 Evolution of semantic layer in markets 47:24 Closing thoughts on understanding storytelling systems

David Salem has been a pioneer, practitioner and student of institutional investing for the last forty years. David was the founding president and CIO of The Investment Fund for Foundations (TIFF), which he led for nearly two decades until 2010. Since then, he has managed a multi-family office, worked and wrote alongside Ben Hunt at Epsilon Theory, and now serves as the Managing Director of Capital Allocation at Hedgeye Risk Management. Along the way, David worked closely with and distilled lessons from David Swensen, Jack Meyer in his time at Harvard Management Company, Charley Ellis, Chuck Feeney from Atlantic Philanthropies, and many other leading CIOs and managers. Our conversation covers David's journey to investing, including sitting alongside Jeremy Grantham during GMO's early growth stage and founding TIFF. We dive into manager selection, decision-making, investment committees, and risk management. We then turn to David's views on China, Japan, private equity, and digital assets. Throughout our conversation, David shares his profound understanding of the unique pressures faced by institutional investors and the principles that guide successful investment strategies and leadership in complex environments. Learn More Follow Ted on Twitter at @tseides or LinkedIn Subscribe to the mailing list Access Transcript with Premium Membership

"I’m not asking you to fight the Beast of Big Politics, Big Tech and Big Media. Honestly I don’t know how you would. This is the end of an age, the _fin de siecle_, the period of time where the Beast is strongest because it is everywhere and invisible all at once. Big Politics, Big Tech and Big Media _are_ the water in which we swim. We are totally immersed in the co​mmon knowledge​ that the enemy is the Other Party, and until that com​mon knowledge is weakened substantially, any direct challenge to the Beast is a suicide mission. A noble suicide mission, like charging a fascist machine gun nest in the Spanish Civil War, but a suicide mission all the same." — Ben Hunt Today we dive into an important and sobering piece. A brilliantly written one that will challenge you to reflect on something we have all been a part of, and that we attempt to be honest and see how we have been pulled into a dangerous feedback loop that will send us to a place we don't want to be. If you end up only listening to a few episodes of the show that strike interest from the title and description... don't let this be one that gets skipped. Check out the original article and other links at:This is the Great Ravine - Epsilon Theory (Link: https://www.epsilontheory.com/this-is-the-great-ravine/)Epsilon Theory on X (Link: https://x.com/EpsilonTheory) Host Links ⁠Guy on Nostr ⁠(Link: http://tinyurl.com/2xc96ney) ⁠Guy on X ⁠(Link: https://twitter.com/theguyswann) Guy on Instagram (Link: https://www.instagram.com/theguyswann) Guy on TikTok (Link: https://www.tiktok.com/@theguyswann) Guy on YouTube (Link: https://www.youtube.com/@theguyswann) ⁠Bitcoin Audible on X⁠ (Link: https://twitter.com/BitcoinAudible) The Guy Swann Network Broadcast Room on Keet (Link: https://tinyurl.com/3na6v839) Check out our awesome sponsors! Get ⁠5% off the COLDCARD⁠ with code BITCOINAUDIBLE ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠(Link: https://bitcoinaudible.com/coldcard) Swan⁠: The best way to buy, learn, and earn #Bitcoin (Link: https://swanbitcoin.com) "Go, track how many times the word "racism" was mentioned, and around 2012, it shoots up. Social justice shoots up. Transgenderism shoots up. White privilege shoots up. This was forced on the American people. Why are we having these conversations now? The people did not wake up one day and decide we want to have a national conversation about chicks with dicks. That didn't happen. This wasn't an organic movement. It was all of the most powerful people decided this is what we're going to talk about, and why was that? Look, when you're failing on policy, you pivot to a culture war. You pit people against each other, so they're fighting each other. We had, in this country, we had an occupied Wall Stree

Ben Hunt is the creator of Epsilon Theory and co-founder of Second Foundation Partners, where he writes and invests through the lens of narratives, or in his words “If a price moves, it is because a human told themselves a story.” Before turning to investing twenty years ago, Ben was a tenured political science professor and founder of two technology companies. He has been studying trends using what we now call big data ever since his first book about predicting international conflict in 1997. Our conversation covers Ben's path to finance, the power of stories, tracking and measuring narratives in markets, and applying the lens of narrative to investing. Ben's insights offer a careful consideration of what's really going on in markets. Learn More Follow Ted on Twitter at @tseides or LinkedIn Subscribe to the mailing list Access Transcript with Premium Membership

A wide-ranging discussion about money, wealth, investing, inherited wealth, books, curiosity, ideas, and more! Full Credit to Matt Zeigler, his Intentional Investor on Epsilon Theory Podcast. Thank you, Matt! In this episode of The Intentional Investor, host Matt Zeigler is joined by Bogumil Baranowski to discuss the power of investing with a multi-generational mindset. Baranowski shares his personal journey from growing up in communist Poland to discovering the transformative potential of free market economies and property rights. We also discuss the importance of viewing wealth as a tree that can be planted, nurtured, and enjoyed by future generations and explore the value of community, education, and personal experiences in shaping one's perspective on investing and life. DISCLOSURES This commentary is being provided to you as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. The opinions expressed in these materials represent the personal views of the author(s). It is not investment research or a research recommendation, as it does not constitute substantive research or analysis. Any action that you take as a result of information contained in this document is ultimately your responsibility. Epsilon Theory will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information. Consult your investment advisor before making any investment decisions. It must be noted, that no one can accurately predict the future of the market with certainty or guarantee future investment performance. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Statements in this communication are forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements and other views expressed herein are as of the date of this publication. Actual future results or occurrences may differ significantly from those anticipated in any forward-looking statements, and there is no guarantee that any predictions will come to pass. The views expressed herein are subject to change at any time, due to numerous market and other factors. Epsilon Theory disclaims any obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or views expressed herein. This information is neither an offer to sell nor a solicitation of any offer to buy any securities. This commentary has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. Epsilon Theory recommends that investors independently evaluate particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial advisor. The appropriateness of a particular investment or strategy will depend on an investor's individual circumstances and objectives. Podcast Program – Disclosure Statement Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC is a registered investment adviser and the opinions expressed by the Firm's employees and podcast guests on this show are their own and do not reflect the opinions of Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC. All statements and opinions expressed are based upon information considered reliable although it should not be relied upon as such. Any statements or opinions are subject to change without notice. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies.  Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed.  Information expressed does not take into account your specific situation or objectives, and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for any individual. Listeners are encouraged to seek advice from a qualified tax, legal, or investment adviser to determine whether any information presented may be suitable for their specific situation.  Past performance is not indicative of future performance. --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/talking-billions/message

 Which pill would you take, red or blue? Today's guest shares insight into what it may mean to exit the narrative matrix of today. In this episode of the FEG Insight Bridge, Greg Dowling welcomes Ben Hunt, the creator and CIO of Epsilon Theory and Co-founder of Second Foundation Partners as he explains the narratives in markets and intertwines game theory and artificial intelligence (AI) concepts. We explore Ben's transition from the world of academia to a successful foray in the investment business, all driven by his profound enthusiasm for game theory. Ben describes his journey of unravelling the enigma behind one of the world's most prominent games, investing. His insight includes comprehending the significance of narratives and identifying underlying patterns to forecast better investment outcomes.Epsilon Theory is Second Foundation's principal publishing brand and a widely read newsletter and website offering unique insights into market dynamics through the lenses of game theory and history. Epsilon Theory's audience spans across 180 countries consisting of over 100,000 professional investors and allocators. Ben's diverse background includes teaching political science, authoring academic books, founding technology companies, and working in venture capital and hedge funds before joining Salient, where he applied his expertise in portfolio management and game theory to enhance client outcomes. He holds a Ph.D. in Government from Harvard University and is a Vanderbilt University graduate.Key TakeawaysWe are wired to respond in predictable patterns to the stories we are told.Our media system has changed significantly to an always-on, 24/7 information provision.Smartphones today allow for a continuous intake of messaging in our lives.Society acknowledges and accepts this higher-than-ever level of information receptiveness. It drives and impacts our world today.To be an informed investor (or informed citizens), it isn't what you read, but how.  Maintain critical distance from the information, and ask yourself questions including “why am I reading this now?”You can find every episode of FEG Insight Bridge podcasts in one place and sign up to receive our other publications here.

In today's episode, we are joined by special guest Ben Hunt, a seasoned professional with a diverse background. Bill and Ben share a common history, having worked together in the past, and now they're here discussing truth, transparency, and the power of narratives. Ben takes us through his three distinct career paths, from academia to entrepreneurship and ultimately landing in the world of investments. However, it was a pivotal moment that led him to explore a new approach to managing money in a world where fundamentals seemed to lose their significance. This journey culminated in Ben's creation of the popular blog newsletter, Epsilon Theory, which now reaches over 120,000 readers. Get ready for an enlightening discussion that will challenge your thinking and shed light on the untapped potential of understanding the stories we tell ourselves. Listen in!

Ben Hunt of Epsilon Theory is back on Panic for a record-breaking sixth time! He may be the smartest guy I know, which is why I keep having him on. He's just an explainer – the way he explains things very easily – and I like complex things explained simply. Ben is a former Professor, a beekeeper, and a market lover. He's the co-founder and CIO of Epsilon Theory, where he writes outstanding essays about narratives in the market – backed up by data. I wanted to catch up with him to weigh in on my themes for the next 10 years in an America that's becoming what I call the Rich, Angry, Degenerate economy. There are a lot of narratives to talk about; Ben was unfortunately right on the one that was inflation. And we get into the latest narrative around the U.S. dollar. You're really going to learn a lot. Enjoy!  Guest - Ben Hunt, Co-Founder and Partner at Second Foundation Partners, Author and Co-Founder at Epsilon Theory  howardlindzon.com, epsilontheory.com  Twitter: @howardlindzon, @epsilontheory, @PanicwFriends, @knutjensen  linkedin.com/in/bhunt  #fintech #invest #investment #venturecapital #stockmarket #finance  Time Stamps:  Intro (00:42) Welcome back Ben (07:05) Gold as a metaphor for the economy (08:32) GFC was different (09:49) “Fiat” news (10:50) Rational optimism (14:24) The Peter Thiel Industrial Complex (18:19) Rich Man, Angry Man, Degenerate Man Economy (23:07) We're treated as a cog in a powerful machine (27:09) The inflation narrative (27:59) The de-dollarization narrative (31:06) Who's Chamath? (35:36) Internet trolls (37:37) Generative AI (38:30) Astroturf campaigns (40:25) Why ‘they' create chaos (41:27) Ruthless pursuit of creativity (43:37) European companies (45:59) Time to get back to work (47:04) Intersection of narratives and markets (48:38) Wrapping up (52:08) Outro (53:16) 

Narratives are everywhere in the investing world. They influence what we think as investors. They also influence the decisions we make. Behind the scenes, there is a science to how narratives work. They follow a predictable life cycle and technology can be utilized to measure them and analyze their impact on stock returns. In this episode, we discuss narrative as an investing factor with Epsilon Theory founder Ben Hunt. We talk about the life cycle of narratives, how they are measured, the types of investments they work best on and a lot more. We hope you enjoy the discussion. SEE LATEST EPISODES ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.validea.com/excess-returns-podcast⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ FIND OUT MORE ABOUT VALIDEA ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.validea.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ FIND OUT MORE ABOUT VALIDEA CAPITAL ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.valideacapital.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ FOLLOW JACK Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/practicalquant⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ LinkedIn: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/jack-forehand-8015094⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ FOLLOW JUSTIN Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://twitter.com/jjcarbonneau⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ LinkedIn: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/jcarbonneau⁠

July 20, 2023 – Ben Hunt, co-founder and chief investment officer at Second Foundation Partners and author of the Epsilon Theory newsletter , explains narratives as self-replicating organisms, much like viruses, which are increasingly being mapped, weaponized, and manipulated by various actors. He emphasizes that this phenomenon resembles "gain of function" research, where narratives are...

Ben Hunt of Epsilon Theory is back on Panic for a record-breaking sixth time! He may be the smartest guy I know, which is why I keep having him on. He's just an explainer – the way he explains things very easily – and I like complex things explained simply. Ben is a former Professor, a beekeeper, and a market lover. He's the co-founder and CIO of Epsilon Theory, where he writes outstanding essays about narratives in the market – backed up by data. I wanted to catch up with him to weigh in on my themes for the next 10 years in an America that's becoming what I call the Rich, Angry, Degenerate economy. There are a lot of narratives to talk about; Ben was unfortunately right on the one that was inflation. And we get into the latest narrative around the U.S. dollar. You're really going to learn a lot. Enjoy!  Guest - Ben Hunt, Co-Founder and Partner at Second Foundation Partners, Author and Co-Founder at Epsilon Theory  howardlindzon.com, epsilontheory.com  Twitter: @howardlindzon, @epsilontheory, @PanicwFriends, @knutjensen  linkedin.com/in/bhunt  #fintech #invest #investment #venturecapital #stockmarket #finance  Show Notes:  Introduction (00:42) Welcome back Ben (07:05) Gold as a metaphor for the economy (08:32) GFC was different (09:49) “Fiat” news (10:50) Rational optimism (14:24) The Peter Thiel Industrial Complex (18:19) Rich Man, Angry Man, Degenerate Man Economy (23:07) We're treated as a cog in a powerful machine (27:09) The inflation narrative (27:59) The de-dollarization narrative (31:06) Who's Chamath? (35:36) Internet trolls (37:37) Generative AI (38:30) Astroturf campaigns (40:25) Why ‘they' create chaos (41:27) Ruthless pursuit of creativity (43:37) European companies (45:59) Time to get back to work (47:04) Intersection of narratives and markets (48:38) Wrapping up (52:08) Closing thoughts (53:16) 

In the ninth episode of The Narrative Game, Epsilon Theory's Dr. Ben Hunt returns to discuss the narrative aspects of the sudden surge in mainstream commentary around the drive towards de-dollarization on the part of China, Russia, Iran et al. Suffice to say, all is not what it might seem. Elsewhere, with the indictment of former President, Donald J. Trump filling the news cycle, Ben offers a few thoughts on the potential motives behind the headlines, who might stand to benefit and whether this particular strategy might pay off. Finally, we discuss the revolution that is ChatGPT and how AI may disrupt the workplace and Ben clues us in on the upcoming Epsilon Connect event in Nashville, TN when he, Rusty Guinn and a host of speakers (including Yours Truly) will bring the narrative world to life in living, breathing colour. Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com. Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.

The City of Man always wins. The Visigoths always sack Rome. The Vandals always sack Hippo. Augustine always dies in the siege. Bad things always happen to good people ... at scale. Here's how we use generative AI to flip the script.

We conclude our A Smarter Way series with Ben Hunt, author of Epsilon Theory & Co-Founder/CIO of Second Foundation Partners. SmarterMarkets™ host David Greely sits down with Ben to discuss how the narratives and stories we tell ourselves shape our decisions and may be one of our biggest obstacles to finding a smarter way forward.

The student loan crisis is a Big Deal. And it is only a part of a Bigger Deal: the Myth of College. This issue will be front-and-center in the upcoming elections. We will all be handed our very own 'Yay, College' signs to raise high. More often than not, we will be asked to raise them in service of market-distorting policies which will make our problems worse.

Today's Strong Towns Podcast guest, Ben Hunt, wrote on Epsilon Theory that “Bitcoin has been an authentic expression of identity, a positive identity of autonomy, entrepreneurialism, and resistance to the Nudging State and the Nudging Oligarchy.”  Today, join Chuck Marohn as he invites Hunt onto the podcast to discuss his insights on Bitcoin, the story of investing, and how it connects to all of us. ADDITIONAL SHOW NOTES “In Praise of Bitcoin,” by Ben Hunt, Epsilon Theory (April 2021). Read more Epsilon Theory here. Ben Hunt (Twitter). Charles Marohn (Twitter).

The FTX fraud has shook the foundation of the cryptocurrency world, we brought together some of the foremost thought leaders in crypto and Bitcoin to discuss what emerges from the ashes. An incredible set of interviews that pull no punches, critical listening for crypto and Bitcoin investors. 00:00:00 Intro 00:00:13 Doomberg 00:22:53 Stephane Ouellette, CEO FRNT Financial 00:40:11 James Seyffart, Bloomberg Crypto 00:56:20 Ben Hunt, Epsilon Theory 01:14:57 Lawrence Lepard, Equity Management Associates 01:35:33 Greg Foss, Looking Glass Education 01:53:51 Grizzle The conference was made possible by our partners: Doomberg Substack: https://doomberg.substack.com/ FRNT Financial Newsletter: https://www.frnt.io/newsletter Epsilon Theory: https://www.epsilontheory.com/ Grizzle Research & Quant Substack: https://grizzleresearch.substack.com/

Harley Bassman and Michael Green welcome Ben Hunt from Epsilon Theory to discuss hollow men, the narrative machine and the real implications for economies and people.

On today's episode of "On the Margin", Ben Hunt Author of Epsilon Theory & Doomberg, everyones favorite green chicken join the show to discuss "The Story Arc of SBF, FTX & Alameda". One month ago saw the collapse of SBF's crypto empire as FTX filed for bankruptcy. Ben & Doomberg discuss the ties between SBFs exchange FTX and trading firm Alameda Research. We then look into the use of the FTT token and how SBF was able to raise venture capital money at unrealistic valuations. Was SBF negligent in this situation, or did he intentionally commit fraud? To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Ben: https://twitter.com/EpsilonTheory Follow Doomberg: https://twitter.com/DoombergT Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Circle's USDC is one of the most trusted and widely used stablecoins in the digital asset industry. Check out their Transparency Hub at circle.com/transparency that outlines everything from links to USDC weekly reserve reports, monthly attestations, and blog posts written by their executive team highlighting how and why USDC was built the way it is. -- Referenced In The Show: The MacGuffin, Part 2: The Story Arc of SBF and FTX: https://www.epsilontheory.com/the-macguffin-part-2-the-story-arc-of-sbf-and-ftx/  The MacGuffin, Part 1: The Corrupt Crypto ‘Revolution': https://www.epsilontheory.com/the-macguffin-part-1/  How Sam Bankman-Fried's Crypto Empire Collapsed: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/14/technology/ftx-sam-bankman-fried-crypto-bankruptcy.html -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:36) The MacGuffin: The Story Arc of SBF & FTX (14:07) The FTX Bankruptcy & The Role of FTT (18:09) The Mechanics of Rehypothecation (27:25) Negligence or Criminality? (35:35) Circle Ad (36:55) How Much Political & Media Power Did SBF Buy? (42:50) The New York Times Puff Piece (49:59) The Role of Investors, Media & Regulators In The FTX Fallout (56:00) The Golden Age of Fraud (1:02:02) Final Thoughts -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

If you don't see that the crypto "industry" has become just as blindingly corrupt, just as oozingly fatuous, just as profoundly captured by the Nudging Oligarchy as the traditional financial services industry it was supposed to replace ... well, you're just not paying attention.

The MacGuffin is the object of desire. It is the thing around which the plot of the story revolves. Here is the story arc of SBF and FTX, and the MacGuffin that anchored it all - the Magical Money Machine.

Searching for that golden ticket - the real MacGuffen with our guest, Ben Hunt. Markets sway with every breath that Powell makes. So ridiculous. StockTober then followed by a November to Remember! Ben Hunt is the creator of Epsilon Theory and inspiration behind Second Foundation Partners, which he co-founded with Rusty Guinn in June 2018. Epsilon Theory, Second Foundation's principal publishing brand, is a newsletter and website that examines markets through the lenses of game theory and history. Over 100,000 professional investors and allocators across 180 countries read Epsilon Theory for its fresh perspective and novel insights into market dynamics. As Chief Investment Officer, Ben bears primary responsibility for determining the Company's investment views and positioning of model portfolios. He is also the primary author of materials distributed through Epsilon Theory. Ben taught political science for 10 years: at New York University from 1991 until 1997 and (with tenure) at Southern Methodist University from 1997 until 2000. He also wrote two academic books: Getting to War (Univ. of Michigan Press, 1997) and Policy and Party Competition (Routledge, 1992), which he co-authored with Michael Laver. Ben is the founder of two technology companies and the co-founder of SmartEquip, Inc., a software company for the construction equipment industry that provides intelligent schematics and parts diagrams to facilitate e-commerce in spare parts. Follow @EpsilonTheory He began his investment career in 2003, first in venture capital and subsequently on two long/short equity hedge funds. He worked at Iridian Asset Management from 2006 until 2011 and TIG Advisors from 2012 until 2013. He joined Rusty at Salient in 2013, where he combined his background as a portfolio manager, risk manager, and entrepreneur with academic experience in game theory and econometrics to work with Salient's own portfolio managers and its financial advisor clients to improve client outcomes. Ben is a graduate of Vanderbilt University (1986) and earned his Ph.D. in Government from Harvard University in 1991. He lives in the wilds of Redding, CT on Little River Farm, where he personifies the dilettante farmer that has been a stock comedic character since Cicero's day. Luckily his wife, Jennifer, and four daughters, Harper, Hannah, Haven and Halle, are always there to save the day. Ben's hobbies include comic books, Alabama football, beekeeping, and humoring Rusty in trivia "competitions". Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy - HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (APPL), (GOOG), (MSFT), (DXY), (EEM), (META), (KODK), (FTX.BS)

Interview recorded - 23rd of November, 2022On todays episode of the WTFinance podcast I had the pleasure of speaking with Brent Donnelly - President of Spectra Markets, an experienced currency, equity and futures trader, and author of two books on trading “Alpha Trader) and “The Art of Currency Trading”.During our conversation we spoke about Key Macro trends Brent is watching, whether we have seen the end of dollar strength (for now), how Brent is looking to position himself and historical periods that this market reminds him of. I hope you enjoy!Buy the books here - Alpha Trader - https://amzn.to/3VdUuKMThe Art of Currency Trading - https://amzn.to/3OxvYSh0:00 - Introduction0:20 - Key macro trends Brent is watching?5:50 - People love the FED trade8:25 - Pullback from Dollar strength and equity weakness?12:50 - Hot property markets 16:18 - Could debt serving risk become an issue in 2023?17:20 - Key data points in the US for recession?21:10 - What historical period does this market remind you of?27:30 - How are you looking to position yourself?38:10 - Any trends that aren't getting enough trend?41:40 - JPY44:47 - One message to take away from our conversation?Brent Donnelly has been trading currencies since 1995 and writing about macro since 2004. He is currently President of Spectra Markets. Brent is the author of Alpha Trader (2021) and The Art of Currency Trading (Wiley, 2019). He writes a widely-read and highly-respected macro and FX daily called AM/FX. Over the course of his career, he has been a market maker, trader, and senior manager at some of the top banks in foreign exchange.He has extensive experience trading currencies, FX options, stock index futures, NASDAQ stocks, and commodities. Brent is a respected macro thinker with the unique perspective of a senior risk taker. He has been quoted by or featured in the Economist, Real Vision, Epsilon Theory, the Wall Street Journal, Financial Times, Bloomberg, and CNBC.Before joining Spectra, Brent was a senior FX trader at HSBC, head of G10 Spot Trading at Citi New York and global head of G10 FX Trading at Nomura New York. He was also a portfolio manager at a major hedge fund in Connecticut for three years. He created and wrote a cartoon called ‘‘Daft Planet,'' which aired on TV in Canada, and he dreams of one day winning the Man Booker Prize.Brent Donnelly - Website - http://brentdonnelly.com/Twitter - https://twitter.com/donnelly_brent?LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/brent-donnelly-98321187/Spectra - https://www.spectramarkets.com/am-fx/WTFinance -Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/wtfinancee/Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/67rpmjG92PNBW0doLyPvfniTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/wtfinance/id1554934665?uo=4Twitter - https://twitter.com/AnthonyFatseas

When we started Show Us Your Portfolio, we assumed there would be one major requirement for each interview - a portfolio. But it turns out one of the most interesting episodes we have done is with someone who doesn't have one (at least in public markets). We talk with Epsilon Theory founder Ben Hunt about why he doesn't invest in public markets and instead invests in the things closest and most important to him. We also get his take on public markets and how he would think about constructing a portfolio if he were to build one in today's world. We hope you enjoy the discussion. ABOUT THE PODCAST Excess Returns is an investing podcast hosted by Jack Forehand (@practicalquant) and Justin Carbonneau (@jjcarbonneau), partners at Validea. Justin and Jack discuss a wide range of investing topics including factor investing, value investing, momentum investing, multi-factor investing, trend following, market valuation and more with the goal of helping those who watch and listen become better long term investors. SEE LATEST EPISODES https://www.validea.com/excess-returns-podcast FIND OUT MORE ABOUT VALIDEA https://www.validea.com FOLLOW OUR BLOG https://blog.validea.com FIND OUT MORE ABOUT VALIDEA CAPITAL https://www.valideacapital.com FOLLOW JACK Twitter: https://twitter.com/practicalquant LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jack-forehand-8015094 FOLLOW JUSTIN Twitter: https://twitter.com/jjcarbonneau LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jcarbonneau

My good friend Ben Hunt is here for the fourth time on Panic with Friends. He's my go-to macro guy, and one of the smartest people to talk about the market with. And if I were going to do a show with any two people, like the All In podcast, it'd be Ben and Jim O'Shaughnessy for sure.  Ben has been dead on with so many topics, and we've got a ton of topics to talk about in this episode. I wanted to talk about the FED, inflation, and what would turn him bullish. I wanted to get some pointers on the global macro and the SPAC market, to include thoughts on Fat Nixon. I wanted to talk about Robinhood and Citadel, and I want him to chime in on Apple having a monopoly. I also wanted to get Ben's thoughts about monetary policy as it relates to the UK pension debacle. I think you're going to get a lot out of our conversation. Enjoy! Guest - Ben Hunt, Co-Founder and Partner at Second Foundation Partners, Author and Co-Founder at Epsilon Theory  howardlindzon.com, epsilontheory.com  Twitter: @howardlindzon, @epsilontheory, @knutjensen  linkedin.com/in/bhunt  #fintech #invest #investment #venturecapital #stockmarket #finance  Show Notes: Introduction (00:40) Welcome Ben (06:40) The best thing about getting older (10:17) Turning a layup into a loss (12:40) Lessons from Goodfellas (14:28) Who's in the PIPE? (18:49) Finance raccoons (20:11) UK pension crisis (22:53) Interest rates repriced globally (23:33) Pension funds can't make margin calls (29:59) FED creates liquidity crises (31:43) Overexposed to 15 years of low rates (34:35) What the blockchain brings (35:16) Loosening the yoke of Amazon, Apple, Google (35:44) Pension fund return projections (36:55) Ferocious bull rally? (40:54) Will the FED pivot? (43:58) Inflation wasn't transitory (46:11) Taking real world risks (50:36) Taking on the overlords (57:18) Wrapping up (1:02:12) Closing thoughts (1:05:58) 

✨ DEBRIEF | Unpacking the Episode: https://shows.banklesshq.com/p/debrief-ben-hunt  Joining us today for his second appearance on Bankless, the macro narrative gigabrain, Ben Hunt. Ben is an investor and creator of Epsilon Theory, a website, and community that examines markets through the lenses of game theory and history. On today's episode, Ben shares his rich insights on the U.S.'s current macro landscape by taking us through a brief history of the past, why our political coordination game is broken, and of course–who's stealing the wealth. ------

Tune in to hear:- Dr. Hunt often questions - why am I hearing this now? Why is Dr. Hunt calling for greater thoughtfulness around timing?- How can we be thoughtful about “weaponized narratives” without succumbing to seeing boogeyman around every corner?- How do we think about this narrative formation process when it comes from the inside out? Is that something we should be seeking to do proactively or should we avoid it to truly be our “authentic selves?”- How can one “let their freak flag fly” without being overly reactionary, which is potentially equally inauthentic?- How can we best react to the fact that there is a push, that seems to grow with each year, to focus more on the financial burden of monthly payments than to look at the sticker price of an item (e.g. a car) itself?Compliance Code: 1716-OAS-9/19/2022https://www.epsilontheory.comhttps://twitter.com/EpsilonTheory

There is no animal more important to the ascendancy of Western Civilization than the horse, and no invention more important than the horse collar. After all nothing shapes history like advances in productivity. Part 3 of Ben's Notes from the Field series here.

Part 2 of Ben's Notes from the Field series, in which he considers the question: what can a bird teach us about value investing? To everything there is a season.

What does farming have to do with investing? Quite a lot, actually. In this first of a series that takes on a life of its own, Ben discusses bees and bonds, eggs and ETFs, and more.

Sep 27 – FS Insider speaks with Ben Hunt, cofounder and chief investment officer at Second Foundation Partners, also the author of the widely-read Epsilon Theory newsletter, where he explains how narratives should be thought of...

Part 13 of the Notes from the Field series discusses the Narrative Machine, which can help us see the invisible memes that drive our political behaviors. Because you're smart enough to make up your own damn mind.

Over the past 25 years, our leaders have intentionally constructed an Apocalypse Now world of proclamation and fiat, where our wealth has grown much faster than our economy. The bill is due for their hubris, and inflation is here to collect it.

We are the human animal. We are non-linear. We ARE a song of ice and fire. It's a song that has built cathedrals and fed billions and taken us to the moon. It's a song that can do all of that and more … far, far more … if only we remember the tune. The Pack remembers.

My guest today is Ben Hunt. Ben spent a decade in academia as a Political Science professor at New York University before starting a couple of his own software companies, which he later sold. Ben then decided to conquer financial markets, serving as the Chief Risk Officer and Chief Investment Strategist for Salient, one of the country's top asset management boutiques. Today, Ben is the co-founder and writer for Epsilon Theory, a website, and newsletter that examines markets through the lenses of game theory, history, philosophy, and sociology.  The topic is his article The MacGuffin Part 1. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: The MacGuffin Terra Luna's crash and its effects on the crypto world Securitization of Bitcoin on Wall Street His perspective on the current financial world Using trend following strategies How FED controls the inflation and business cycles Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

We live in a Cartoon Age, an era not of alienation per Karl Marx, but of alienation per Groucho Marx. What's the cause, what's the future, and what do we do about all this? It's a TL;DR cri de coeur in Part 12 of Epsilon Theory's Notes from the Field series.

This is Part 11 of Ben's Notes from the Field series. I don't need to calculate a Sortino ratio to know if my dogs are doing a Good Job. Same with active investment management. Same with active citizenship. It's all about embracing Convexity, not as a mathematical cartoon, but as a philosophy.

The inevitable result of financial innovation gone awry, which it ALWAYS does, is that it ALWAYS ends up empowering the State. When too clever by half people misplay the meta-game, that's all the excuse the State needs to come swooping in and crush them, just as they are with Bitcoin today they did with Bear and Lehman in 2008. Installment #10 from Notes from the Field.

What if I told you that the dominant strategies for human investing are, without exception, algorithms and derivatives? I don't mean computer-driven investing, I mean good old-fashioned human investing ... stock-picking and the like. And what if I told you that these algorithms and derivatives might all be broken today? You might want to sit down for Part 9 of the Notes from the Field series.

Today, Niels and Cem are joined by Dr. Ben Hunt, Creator of Epsilon Theory, to discuss how he uses game theory, history and behavioral analysis to understand Narrative and how it is used as a weapon to influence human behaviour, how technology has made us more susceptible to "nudging", how Narrative is used to create more competition, division and inequality, how important it is to recognize “the water in which we swim”, the power of Narrative and control of the media, and how to fight back against autocracy in pursuit of happiness, the Billionaires Protocol and much more! ---- ---- Follow Niels on https://twitter.com/toptraderslive (Twitter), https://www.linkedin.com/in/nielskaastruplarsen (LinkedIn), https://www.youtube.com/user/toptraderslive (YouTube) or via the https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/ (TTU website). IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/Ultimate (here). And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/flavor (here). Learn more about the Trend Barometer https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/ (here). Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/reviewttu (iTunes) or https://open.spotify.com/show/2OnOvLbIV3AttbFLxuoaBW (Spotify) so more people can discover the podcast. Follow Cem on https://twitter.com/jam_croissant (Twitter). Follow Ben on https://twitter.com/epsilontheory?lang=da (Twitter). Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Intro 02:02 - Ben's background 06:03 - When did Narrative start to become dominant? 16:43 - The nudging competetive state 40:43 - The power of Narrative and “control” of the media 49:24 - How do we fight back? 54:08 - Crypto - a liberation tool? 01:03:28 - Lack of imagination 01:08:28 - Thanks for listening https://www.epsilontheory.com/ (LINK: Epsilon Theory) Copyright © 2022 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved ---- PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey: 1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/ebooks/ (Click Here) 2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score One of the things I'm really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/market-trends/ (Click Here) 3. Other Resources that can help you And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/resources/ (Click Here) https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/legal/privacy-policy/ (Privacy Policy) https://www.toptradersunplugged.com/disclaimer/ (Disclaimer)

The pecking order is a social system designed to preserve economic inequality: inequality of food for chickens, inequality of wealth for humans. We are trained and told by Team Elite that the pecking order is not a real and brutal thing in the human species, but this is a lie. It is an intentional lie, formed by two powerful Narratives: trickle-down monetary policy and massive student debt financing. Part 8 of the Notes from the Field series.

Epsilon Theory on Tape: Clever Hans by Ben Hunt

In Part 6 of the Notes from the Field Series, Ben observes that we think we are wolves, living by the logic of the pack. In truth we are sheep, living by the logic of the flock.

In Part 4 of the Notes from the Field Series, Ben identifies how the natural lines of a tree and shaping the tree to follow those lines over time is a lot like shaping a portfolio.