Podcast appearances and mentions of Robert Jervis

Nicholas Wheeler joins Cheap Talk to discuss his research program in international diplomacy; personal chemistry among leaders; the security dilemma; explaining Russia's aggression toward Ukraine; the policy utility of international theory; and Marcus is so excitedSubscribe and leave a review on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your podcast player of choicePlease send us your questions or comments! Send us an email or leave us a voicemailSupport the podcast by visiting our online store at cheaptalk.shopNick Wheeler's books include:Saving Strangers: Humanitarian Intervention in International SocietyThe Security Dilemma: Fear, Cooperation and Trust in World Politics (with Ken Booth)Trusting Enemies: Interpersonal Relationships in International ConflictFurther Reading:Marcus Holmes. 2018. Face-to-Face Diplomacy: Social Neuroscience and International Relations. Cambridge University Press.Robert Jervis. 1976. Perception and Misperception in International Politics. Princeton University Press.Tuomas Forsberg and Heikki Patomäki. 2022. Debating the War in Ukraine: Counterfactual Histories and Future Possibilities. Routledge. Stephen M. Walt. 2022. “An International Relations Theory Guide to the War in Ukraine.” Foreign Policy.See all Cheap Talk episodes

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Book summary: 'Why Intelligence Fails' by Robert Jervis, published by Ben Stewart on June 20, 2023 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Here's a summary of ‘Why Intelligence Fails' by the political scientist Robert Jervis. It's a book analysing two cases where the U.S. intelligence community ‘failed': being slow to foresee the 1979 Iranian Revolution, and the overconfident and false assessment that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction in 2003. I'm interested in summarising more books that contain valuable insights but are outside the typical EA canon. If you'd like more of this or have a book to suggest, let me know. Key takeaways Good intelligence generally requires the relevant agency and country office to prioritise the topic and direct scarce resources to it. Good intelligence in a foreign country requires a dedicated diplomatic and covert collection corps with language skills and contextual knowledge. Intelligence analysis can be deficient in critical review, external expertise, and social-scientific methodology. Access to classified information only generates useful insight for some phenomena. Priors can be critical in determining interpretation within intelligence, and they can often go unchallenged. Political pressure can have a significant effect on analysis, but is hard to pin down. If the justification of an intelligence conclusion is unpublished, you can still interrogate it by asking: whether the topic would have been given sufficient priority and resources by the relevant intelligence organisation whether classified information, if available, would be likely to yield insight whether pre-existing beliefs are likely to bias analysis whether political pressures could significantly affect analysis Some correctives to intelligence failures which may be useful to EA: demand sharp, explicit, and well-tracked predictions demand early warning indicators, and notice when beliefs can only be disproven at a late stage consider negative indicators - 'dogs that don't bark', i.e. things that the view implies should not happen use critical engagement by peers and external experts, especially by challenging fundamental beliefs that influence what seems plausible and provide alternative hypotheses and interpretations use red-teams, pre-mortems, and post-mortems. Overall, I've found the book to somewhat demystify intelligence analysis. You should contextualise a piece of analysis with respect to the psychology and resources involved, including whether classified information would be of significant benefit. I have become more sceptical of intelligence, but the methodology of focusing on two known failures - selecting on the dependent variable - mean that I hesitate to become too pessimistic about intelligence as a whole and as it functions today. Why it's relevant to EA The most direct application of this topic is to the improvement of institutional decision-making, but there is value for any cause area that depends on conducting or interpreting analysis of state and non-state adversaries, such as in biosecurity, nuclear war, or great power conflict. This topic may also contribute to the reader's sense of when and how much one should defer to the outputs of intelligence communities. Deference is motivated by their access to classified information and presumed analytic capability. However, Tetlock's ‘Expert Political Judgment' cast doubt on the value of classified information for improving prediction compared to generalist members of the public. Finally, assessments of the IC's epistemic practices might offer lessons for how an intellectual community should grapple with information hazards, both intellectually and socially. More broadly, the IC is an example of a group pursuing complex, decision-relevant analysis in a high-uncertainty environment. Their successes and ...

King's College professor Richard Ned Lebow discusses his vast body of work on international politics. He talks about his cultural theory of international politics, Thucydides, realism, deterrence, Russia and the causes of the Ukraine war, and hegemonic stability theory, among other topics. Show NotesRichard Ned Lebow bioRichard Ned Lebow, The Quest For Knowledge in International Relations (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2022).Richard Ned Lebow, A Cultural Theory of International Relations(Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2009).Richard Ned Lebow, Why Nations Fight: Past and Future Motives for War (Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2010).Richard Ned Lebow, Avoiding War, Making Peace (Cham, Switzerland: Palgrave Macmillan, 2017).Robert Jervis, Richard Ned Lebow, and Janice Gross Stein, Psychology and Deterrence (Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1989).Richard Ned Lebow, Between Peace and War: The Nature of International Crisis (Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2981).Simon Reich and Richard Ned Lebow, Good-Bye Hegemony! Power and Influence in the Global System (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 2014). Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This episode is the second part of a conversation between four people who knew the late Robert Jervis well: Francis Gavin of the Kissinger Center and chair of the editorial board of the Texas National Security Review; Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Colin Kahl; Mira Rapp-Hooper, a member of the National Security Council staff, where she is responsible for an array of Indo-Pacific issues; and Derek Chollet, the counselor of the State Department. Do not miss the first episode! The views expressed here, of course, are personal and not those of the U.S. government.

Many of those who follow War on the Rocks and the Texas National Security Review mourned the passing of Robert Jervis, the towering scholar of international relations who defined a field and mentored generations of scholars and policymakers. Four of his close friends, colleagues, and protégés sat down to remember his legacy, his intellectual contributions, and his kindness. It is a fascinating discussion that touches on a variety of important issues related to international security. This episode, which is the first of two parts, is hosted by Francis Gavin of the Kissinger Center and chair of the editorial board of the Texas National Security Review. He is joined by Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Colin Kahl; Mira Rapp-Hooper, a member of the staff of the National Security Council, where she is responsible for an array of Indo-Pacific issues; and Derek Chollet, the counselor of the State Department. The views expressed here, of course, are personal and not those of the U.S. government.

Confused about just what's going on in Ukraine and just how we got here? This is the Episode of AJSTW to listen to! We talk about America's gas crisis, and how the Biden Administration has only done half of what needs to be done regarding our imports of oil from Russia.  Andrew talks about how you can't make science bend to politics, especially when it comes to chemistry and physics, and he revisits the VW Diesel Engine scandal.  Then they take a listen to what Vice President Kamala Harris had to say in Poland, and speculate on whether she was trying to signal for her teleprompter to move more quickly.Then they're joined by Professor Paul Proast from the University of Chicago, a recognized expert in international law and politics. They take a deep dive into the problems in Central and Eastern Europe, figuring out just how we got to this point in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine - talking about the history of NATO and how NATO is perceived by Russia.  What is Putin's mindset in all of this, and what are the factors that are driving him?  Just how should the US be supporting Ukraine?  Should we send jets from/through Poland?  What is the danger of a nuclear conflict, and is Vladimir Putin willing to use nuclear weapons?  Why is Russia a member of the UN Security Council?  Is it fair to ask Ukraine to remain "neutral", and are any of Russia's other "peace" proposals at all workable? And we talk about the work of Professor John Mearshimer, as well as mention other notable academics, like Dr. Robert Jervis from Columbia University!How does this all end?   Listen and find out!

This week on Sinica, Kaiser chats with David McCourt, associate professor of sociology at the University of California, Davis. For the last several years, David — who is not himself a China specialist — has undertaken a sociological study of "China-watchers," and has presented his findings to date in a series of papers as he prepares to publish a book. Focusing on China-watchers as a community, he offers fascinating insights into how they interact to shape the major narratives of "engagement" and "strategic competition.5:24 – Who counts as a “China-watcher”?13:53 – A taxonomy of China-watchers 21:43 – Small e engagement and capital E Engagement 28:35 – The sociological sources of China policy 37:54 – What China policy positions tell us about America 45:14 – Habitus and China policy orientation 55:19 – The China-watching community and American presidential administrations, Obama to Biden A transcript of this conversation is available at SupChina.com. Recommendations: David: Gregoire Chamayou, The Ungovernable Society: A Genealogy of Authoritarian Liberalism Kaiser: The works of the great American political scientist Robert Jervis, who died on December 9, especially Perception and Misperception in International Politics and System Effects: Complexity in Political and Social LifeSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Robert Jervis passed away on December 9th at the age of 81. He was one of the major figures of International Relations scholarship  -- in the entire history of International Relations as a field of study.   In October 2015, Robert Jervis sat down with me for a long interview about his life and career in which he discussed how his upbringing shaped his worldview from a young age.It was a long and thoughtful conversation about both his personal history and the origins of some of the big ideas that he brought into this world. This episode was behind a paywall of archived content, available at https://www.patreon.com/GlobalDispatches         

This week on Sinica, we present a deep-dive into the worldview of China's leading Party theorist, Wáng Hùníng 王沪宁. Wang — the only member of the Politburo Standing Committee who has not run a province or provincial-level municipality — is believed to have been the thinker behind ideas as central (and as ideologically distinct) as Jiāng Zémín's 江泽民 signature “Three Represents,” which brought capitalists into the Chinese Communist Party; Hú Jǐntāo's 胡锦涛 “Scientific Outlook on Development” that focused on social harmony; and Xí Jìnpíng's “Chinese Dream” that aimed at the “great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.” While much of Wang's life since he entered government has been hidden from view, his earlier writings contain many ideas that appear to have shaped Party policy across the tenure of three Party general secretaries over a period of nearly three decades, and offer clues about what still might be in store. Kaiser is joined by Joseph Fewsmith III, an eminent professor of political science at Boston University; the intellectual historian Timothy Cheek, professor of history at the University of British Columbia, whose work has focused on establishment intellectuals in the PRC; and Matthew Johnson, principal and founder of the China-focused consultancy AltaSilva LLC, who has studied and written about Wang extensively.4:31 – An outline of Wang Huning's career8:36 – Wang Huning's personality and temperament12:28 – Wang speaks16:45 – Wang as an example of post-charismatic leadership loyalty24:02 – Wang's America Against America31:04 – Wang Huning's concepts of cultural security and cultural sovereignty46:36 – Wang and Document Number Nine55:39 – Chinese conceptions of democracyA transcript of this podcast is available on SupChina.com.Recommendations:Matt: The Nerves of Government: Models of Political Communication and Control by Karl Deutsch; and The Logic of Images in International Relations by Robert Jervis.Joe: Now that more Americans recognize that China is not becoming "more like us," they need a deeper understanding of China, and not one just rooted in hostility and militarism.Tim: In Memory of Memory by Maria Stepanova.Kaiser: River of Stars by Guy Gavriel KaySee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Podcast: Unsolicited Response Podcast (LS 30 · TOP 5% what is this?)Episode: Jay Healey on Cyber Norms and Cyber EscalationPub date: 2021-07-07A recent article by Jay Healey and Robert Jervis, The Escalation Inversion and Other Oddities of Situational Cyber Stability, breaks down four mechanisms in which cyber activities could be used and result in a stabilizing or destablizing. Dale talks with Jay about the article, escalation due to cyber, and the current state and future of cyber norms. Subscribe to Dale's ICS Security Friday News & Notes email at https://friday.dale-peterson.com/signup/ The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Dale Peterson: ICS Security Catalyst and S4 Conference Chair, which is the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Listen Notes, Inc.

A recent article by Jay Healey and Robert Jervis, The Escalation Inversion and Other Oddities of Situational Cyber Stability, breaks down four mechanisms in which cyber activities could be used and result in a stabilizing or destablizing. Dale talks with Jay about the article, escalation due to cyber, and the current state and future of cyber norms. Subscribe to Dale's ICS Security Friday News & Notes email at https://friday.dale-peterson.com/signup/ 

Quote of the Week I think analysts have to understand that the most precious commodity in Washington DC is not secrets or information, everybody's got that. It's time. It's time. The future in Washington DC. Longest is four years. And every day, it's a day shorter.  OverviewWhere to begin. Marty was described to me as, “the greatest analyst we ever had (truthfully),” would I be interested in speaking to him? Guess the answer!? The result, a SpyCast with a CIA analytic legend. For 40 years Marty analyzed intelligence for US foreign policymakers, trained a whole generation of analysts, and mentored figures who would go on to have senior leadership positions within American intelligence, such as former Acting and Deputy Director of CIA Mike Morrell. In this episode we talk China, Asia, making sense of the world, and a whole host of topical issues.Vietnam Veteran. China Hand. Briefer of Presidents.Marty served in the Vietnam War as an NCO, went on to become an Asia expert, with particular expertise in China, and headed up two major analytic units – he actually became Deputy Director of the Office of East Asian Analysis the same day as Tiananmen Square (April 15, 1989). He retired in 2005 having held the #4 and #3 positions at CIA and having had one-on-ones with four sitting presidents. What do you think President Carter said to him when he answered the door to the then China head Marty Petersen? You’ll need to listen to find out.And...  This one was just so much darn fun – he’s so smart and so good natured (now, there’s two things that don’t often go together).Fun FactMarty and former Acting and Deputy Director of CIA John McLaughlin started on the same day as each other and retired within a week of each other. They remain good friends.Marty's Book Recommendation"If there is one book you should read on intelligence analysis, I would read..." Robert Jervis, Why Intelligence Fails (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 2010)You can support local independent bookstores by purchasing here: https://bookshop.org/books/why-intelligence-fails/9780801478062  Further resources Martin Petersen, "What I Learned in 40 Years of Doing Intelligence Analysis for US Foreign Policymakers," Studies in Intelligence: https://bit.ly/3hgQGXI  Martin Petersen, "Reflections on Readings on 9/11, Iraq WMD, and Detention and Interrogation Program," Studies in Intelligence: https://bit.ly/3vX3hn5 Martin Petersen, "Reviewing 2034: The Next World War," The Cipher Brief: https://bit.ly/3fbBGHX Dorothy Wickenden, "'2034,' A Cautionary Tale of Conflict with China," The New Yorker: https://bit.ly/3bknGup 

Will we remember early 2021 as a key escalatory moment in offensive cyber operations? Three top experts join us to unpack the implications of two major recent cyber operations — the SolarWinds hack attributed to Russia and the Microsoft Exchange hack by China. What does it all mean? What should the United States do? What should it have done differently? Dmitri Alperovitch, Erica Borghard, and Jason Healey tackle these questions and more.   Further reading:  Dmitri Alperovitch and Ian Ward, "How Should the U.S. Respond to the SolarWinds and Microsoft Exchange Hacks?" Lawfare Erica Borghard and Jacquelyn Schneider, "Want to tell Russia to stop hacking U.S. systems? Here’s what works — and what doesn’t," Monkey Cage Jason Healey and Robert Jervis, "The Escalation Inversion and Other Oddities of Situational Cyber Stability," Texas National Security Review Michael Poznansky, "Covert Action, Espionage, and the Intelligence Contest in Cyberspace," War on the Rocks

Chris, Zack, and Melanie get together to discuss Joshua Rovner’s recent War on the Rocks article, “Intelligence in the Biden Administration.” Rover argues that President-elect Joe Biden should immediately rebuild relations with the intelligence agencies. How can he go about doing that in difficult political circumstances and after years of them being treated with contempt during the Donald Trump administration? What role does Congress have in ensuring our intelligence agencies are functioning properly? How will Biden use the intelligence community to enhance U.S. security and prosperity? The crew also wonders why, with other national security team members in place, Biden has not yet named a secretary of defense. Finally, Chris surprises us with a promise to make a holiday dessert, Melanie has some praise for those working on vaccines, and Zack gives a shout out to the Bombshell podcast hosts as their amazing show ends.    Links Joshua Rovner, "Intelligence in the Biden Administration," War on the Rocks, November 25, 2020 Robert Jervis, "Why Intelligence and Policymakers Clash," Political Science Quarterly, November 02, 2010 Samantha Lee, "Moderna's Groundbreaking Coronavirus Vaccine Was Designed in Just Two Days," Business Insider, November 26, 2020 Rosa Brooks, "It's Time for a Woman to Run the Defense Department," The New York Times, November 30, 2020 Christopher Krebs, "Trump fired me for saying this, but I'll say it again: The election wasn't rigged," The Washington Post, December 1, 2020 Jack Detsch and Robbie Gramer, "Pentagon Purges Leading Advisors From Defense Policy Board," Foreign Policy, November 25, 2020 Zack Cooper, "Bad Ideas Series: 'Great Power Competition' Terminology," Center for Strategic and International Studies, December 1, 2020 Brad Stapleton, “The Problem with the Light Footprint: Shifting Tactics in Lieu of Strategy,” Cato Institute Policy Analysis No. 792, June 7, 2016 Paul R. Pillar, “Intelligence, Policy, and the War in Iraq,” Foreign Affairs, March/April 2006

Přijdou takhle jednou realista, liberál a konstruktivista do hospody...a jak to dopadlo, si každý po poslechu této epizody může domyslet sám. Tenhle díl je totiž o teoriích mezinárodních vztahů. Teorie podle nás nejenomže nejsou nuda, ale patří k základní výbavě gramotného pozorovatele současného dění! Kdo vyhrožuje anarchií, co to znamená demokratický mír a jak moc vlastně záleží na našich vlastních rozhodnutích? Skončí krize (středního věku) mezi Evropou a USA odchodem Trumpa? A jak odhalovat chyby v argumentaci (nejen) politiků? Zdroje: Profesor Jeffrey Legro. Teoretický základ o teoriích: https://www.e-ir.info/2017/12/24/getting-started-with-international-relations-theory/ Robert Jervis o averzi ke ztrátám a IR: https://www.jstor.org/stable/3791678?seq=1 Rozhovor s Kennethem Waltzem o IR a jeho kariéře: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9T-Bh254RJI Michael Doyle a teorie demokratického míru: https://www.jstor.org/stable/30038953?seq=1 "klasičtější" pohled na teorie IR: https://foreignpolicy.com/2009/10/26/one-world-rival-theories/ Zvuky: Předpovídáme budoucnost: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PGyRY0ktmeE&fbclid=IwAR2kGtAUuSl1wImQHyQLJRAfiqxhNJXKWunIeueh78M5JV37YC3O7fsJuqg Victoria Nuland o Trumpovi: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gCdtTmPhQK8 John Mearsheimer kritizuje demokratický mír: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qRM6MzCwZak O Spojených národech: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ATkJe8iADhc Drumroll: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ViZqQkddCc Feminismus v mezinárodních vztazích: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ajAWGztPUiU

This week Bombshell welcomes Suzanne Maloney of Brookings to chat all things Iran. And because we love our listeners so much, we extended the discussion for the whole show to consider legality, effectiveness, process, and what happens next. Also, Megxit. Duh.   Links Jonathan Marcus, “Qasem Soleimani: Why Kill Him Now and What Happens Next?” BBC, January 3, 2020 Agnes Callamard, “The Targeted Killing of General Soleimani: Its Lawfulness and Why It Matters,” Just Security, January 8, 2020 Loveday Morris, “US Leaders Rally Behind Tattered Iran Deal, Ignoring Trump’s Call to Ditch It,” Washington Post, January 10, 2020 Brian Naylor, “Trump Administration Announces More Economic Sanctions Against Iran,” NPR, January 10, 2020 Rick Noack, Armand Emamdjomeh, and Joe Fox, “How U.S. Sanctions Are Paralyzing the Iranian Economy,” Washington Post, January 10, 2020 Ian Talley and Isabel Coles, “US Warns Iraq It Risks Losing Access to Key Bank Account if. Troops Told to Leave,” Wall Street Journal, January 11, 2020 Robert Jervis, “On the Current Confrontation with Iran,” War on the Rocks, January 9, 2020 Suzanne Maloney, “The Lull in Hostilities Between Iran and the U.S. Is Just Escalation in Disguise,” Politico, January 11, 2020

This week Bombshell welcomes Suzanne Maloney of Brookings to chat all things Iran. And because we love our listeners so much, we extended the discussion for the whole show to consider legality, effectiveness, process, and what happens next. Also, Megxit. Duh.   Links Jonathan Marcus, “Qasem Soleimani: Why Kill Him Now and What Happens Next?” BBC, January 3, 2020 Agnes Callamard, “The Targeted Killing of General Soleimani: Its Lawfulness and Why It Matters,” Just Security, January 8, 2020 Loveday Morris, “US Leaders Rally Behind Tattered Iran Deal, Ignoring Trump’s Call to Ditch It,” Washington Post, January 10, 2020 Brian Naylor, “Trump Administration Announces More Economic Sanctions Against Iran,” NPR, January 10, 2020 Rick Noack, Armand Emamdjomeh, and Joe Fox, “How U.S. Sanctions Are Paralyzing the Iranian Economy,” Washington Post, January 10, 2020 Ian Talley and Isabel Coles, “US Warns Iraq It Risks Losing Access to Key Bank Account if. Troops Told to Leave,” Wall Street Journal, January 11, 2020 Robert Jervis, “On the Current Confrontation with Iran,” War on the Rocks, January 9, 2020 Suzanne Maloney, “The Lull in Hostilities Between Iran and the U.S. Is Just Escalation in Disguise,” Politico, January 11, 2020

In this episode of Horns of a Dilemma, chair of the Texas National Security Review Editorial Board Frank Gavin interviews political scientist Robert Jervis. In a wide-ranging interview that reaches all the way back to Jervis’ undergraduate days at Oberlin College in the late 1950’s, Gavin explores the factors which shaped Jervis’ career, the state of the political science field today, especially as it relates to security studies, and how political scientists deal with challenges ranging from the expansiveness of their theoretical claims to balancing political considerations in policy-relevant work. This interview was recorded during the University of Texas Clements Center’s Summer Seminar on History, Statecraft, and Diplomacy.   Music and Production by Tre Hester

Co mají společného brexit, rybáři, rasisti a malá násobilka? V premiérovém dílu podcastu se díváme na to, jakým způsobem přemýšlíme, proč všichni vidíme realitu trochu jinak, a jak to souvisí s politikou. Rozebereme, k čemu je náchylný náš mozek, jak vyhodnocujeme každodenní situace, a proč a kdy děláme chyby v úsudku. Ať už hrajete v casinu nebo "Člověče" u babičky, tzv. kognitivním zkreslením se nelze vyhnout. Případné komentáře a připomínky pište na vzhuruzahumna@gmail.com, na twitter Za_Humny nebo na naše instagramy haanule a _bramborova. Velké díky za pomoc s naším amatérismem patří: Adam Hříbal (foto), Jan Kordovský (technikálie), Šimon Martínek (znělka). Zdroje a odkazy: Knihy: Zygmunt Bauman. 44 dopisů z tekutého moderního světa. Sociologické nakladatelství (SLON), 2019. Rolf Dobbeli: Die Kunst des Klaren Denkens (GER) (https://www.amazon.de/Die-Kunst-klaren-Denkens-Denkfehler/dp/3446426825) Robert Jervis. Perception and Misperception in International Politics. Princeton University Press, 1976. (ENG) Daniel Kahneman. Thinking, Fast and Slow. Penguin Books, 2012. (ENG) George Lakoff. Don’t Think of an Elephant!. White River Junction Vt., 2004. (ENG) Další zdroje: Obecně o zkresleních (ENG): https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/intentional-insights/201610/how-our-biases-cause-us-misinterpret-politics O konfirmačním zkreslení (ENG): http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20190411-how-to-make-wiser-judgements-about-the-future bias O autocenzuře online (ENG): https://www.huffingtonpost.ca/adam-kingsmith/self-censorship-reading-online_b_2403378.html Šťastné pondělí feat SPD: https://www.televizeseznam.cz/video/stastne-pondeli/milos-zeman-pokracuje-ve-svem-cinskem-turne-nas-zvlastni-reporter-na-vlastenecke-demonstraci-a-rozhovor-s-jaroslavem-kmentou-63912080 O britských rybářích (ENG): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XQJfs7p8x78 A ještě něco navíc: Otestujte se (ENG): https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2017/politics/cognitive-biases/?utm_term=.f5726175d147 Otestujte se více (ENG): https://www.clearerthinking.org/tools-and-mini-courses

McAlvany Weekly Commentary Perception Management: Countries have ego, along with insecurity & fear The art of the deal: Using deception & sometimes the truth Cold War discussions in 1960’s strangely parallel to today with China, Iran, & North Korea   The McAlvany Weekly Commentary with David McAlvany and Kevin Orrick Robert Jervis – Does Instant Twitter Diplomacy Change […] The post Robert Jervis – Does Instant Twitter Diplomacy Change The Game With China, Iran, & North Korea? appeared first on McAlvany Weekly Commentary.

“Palestine does not exist.” Those were a Brooklyn councilmember’s controversial words aimed at a local reporter on March 27. The tweet from Kalman Yeger set in motion a series of events that led to protests in the street and the likely removal of the politician from the council’s immigration committee. On this episode we’ll be diving into the local incident and exploring its broader international scope with the help of Eagle reporter Noah Goldberg and Robert Jervis, a professor at Columbia University. We’ll also be hearing from prominent Palestinian-American activist Linda Sarsour to comment on the matter.Interview with Noah Goldberg at 1:47Interview with Robert Jervis at 8:08Interview with Linda Sarsour at 12:11Lawrence Madsen is a native New Yorker. His family and friends have told him since he was 17 that he has a voice for radio. When he saw an opportunity to do just that, he jumped for it. He is dearly fond of the Brooklyn Eagle. He attended Columbia University, and volunteers with the disaster relief group Team Rubicon.Subscribe to Brooklyn this Week:iTunesSpotifyStitcher

Date of Recording: 16/01/2019 Description: At the end of the Cold War, the United States emerged as the world’s most powerful state, and then used that power to initiate wars against smaller countries in the Middle East and South Asia. According to balance‑of‑power theory—the bedrock of realism in international relations—other states should have joined together militarily to counterbalance the U.S.’s rising power. Yet they did not. Nor have they united to oppose Chinese aggression in the South China Sea or Russian offensives along its Western border. This does not mean balance‑of‑power politics is dead, argues renowned international relations scholar T.V. Paul, but that it has taken a different form. Rather than employ familiar strategies such as active military alliances and arms buildups, leading powers have engaged in “soft balancing,” which seeks to restrain threatening powers through the use of international institutions, informal alignments, and economic sanctions. Paul places the evolution of balancing behavior in historical perspective from the post-Napoleonic era to today’s globalized world. “Both critics and proponents of the role of the balance of power in international politics treat it as depending on military instruments. The signal accomplishment of T. V. Paul’s book is to show that there is a much larger set of tools that states can employ to restrain troublemakers.”—Robert Jervis, author of How Statesmen Think "In this sophisticated and sweeping historical survey, T.V. Paul shows how modern states have pursued various types of balancing behavior—short of war—to constrain potential hegemonic powers. Restraining Great Powers is a tour de force that should be carefully read and reflected on by scholars and practitioners alike."—David Shambaugh, George Washington University Biography: T. V. Paul is the James McGill Professor of International Relations at McGill University. He has authored or edited eighteen books, including The Warrior State and The Tradition of Non-Use of Nuclear Weapons. He served as president of the International Studies Association (ISA) during 2016–2017. Paul lives in Montreal, Canada. Dr. Walter Ladwig is a Senior Lecturer in International Relations at King’s College London. He is also an Associate Fellow at the Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies and a Non-Resident Fellow of the Center for the Advanced Study of India at the University of Pennsylvania. His book, The Forgotten Front: Patron-Client Relationships in Counterinsurgency was published with Cambridge University Press. Hillary Briffa is currently reading for a doctorate in War Studies at King’s College London, querying whether small states can have a Grand Strategy. She currently teaches second-year undergraduates on the module ‘Grand Strategy and the Foundations of the Anglo-American Strategic Tradition.’

Robert Jervis is the author of How Statesmen Think: The Psychology of International Politics (Princeton University Press, 2017). Jervis is the Adlai E. Stevenson Professor of International Politics at Columbia University. Drawing on the increasing attention researchers in the field of psychology are paying to emotions, Jervis shows how emotional... Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Robert Jervis is the author of How Statesmen Think: The Psychology of International Politics (Princeton University Press, 2017). Jervis is the Adlai E. Stevenson Professor of International Politics at Columbia University. Drawing on the increasing attention researchers in the field of psychology are paying to emotions, Jervis shows how emotional needs structure beliefs. For example, the desire to conserve cognitive resources can cause policy-makers to look at misleading indicators of military power, and psychological pressures can lead them to take unusually high risks. How Statesmen Think also looks at how deterrent threats and counterpart promises often fail because they are misperceived. You can read an introduction to the book here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Robert Jervis is the author of How Statesmen Think: The Psychology of International Politics (Princeton University Press, 2017). Jervis is the Adlai E. Stevenson Professor of International Politics at Columbia University. Drawing on the increasing attention researchers in the field of psychology are paying to emotions, Jervis shows how emotional needs structure beliefs. For example, the desire to conserve cognitive resources can cause policy-makers to look at misleading indicators of military power, and psychological pressures can lead them to take unusually high risks. How Statesmen Think also looks at how deterrent threats and counterpart promises often fail because they are misperceived. You can read an introduction to the book here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Robert Jervis is the author of How Statesmen Think: The Psychology of International Politics (Princeton University Press, 2017). Jervis is the Adlai E. Stevenson Professor of International Politics at Columbia University. Drawing on the increasing attention researchers in the field of psychology are paying to emotions, Jervis shows how emotional needs structure beliefs. For example, the desire to conserve cognitive resources can cause policy-makers to look at misleading indicators of military power, and psychological pressures can lead them to take unusually high risks. How Statesmen Think also looks at how deterrent threats and counterpart promises often fail because they are misperceived. You can read an introduction to the book here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/psychology

Robert Jervis is the author of How Statesmen Think: The Psychology of International Politics (Princeton University Press, 2017). Jervis is the Adlai E. Stevenson Professor of International Politics at Columbia University. Drawing on the increasing attention researchers in the field of psychology are paying to emotions, Jervis shows how emotional...

Robert Jervis is the author of How Statesmen Think: The Psychology of International Politics (Princeton University Press, 2017). Jervis is the Adlai E. Stevenson Professor of International Politics at Columbia University. Drawing on the increasing attention researchers in the field of psychology are paying to emotions, Jervis shows how emotional needs structure beliefs. For example, the desire to conserve cognitive resources can cause policy-makers to look at misleading indicators of military power, and psychological pressures can lead them to take unusually high risks. How Statesmen Think also looks at how deterrent threats and counterpart promises often fail because they are misperceived. You can read an introduction to the book here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Beth Fisher-Yoshida interviews Robert Jervis, Adlai E. Stevenson Professor and Professor of International and Public Affairs at Columbia University. Release date: February 2015

Gideon Rose, editor of Foreign Affairs, interviews Robert Jervis, Adlai E. Stevenson Professor of International Politics at Columbia University. Jervis discusses ongoing nuclear talks with Iran, the prospects for an agreement, how scholarship on nuclear weapons has evolved, and the possibility of an Iranian-Israeli nuclear standoff.