Podcasts about Deterrence

The Cognitive Crucible is a forum that presents different perspectives and emerging thought leadership related to the information environment. The opinions expressed by guests are their own, and do not necessarily reflect the views of or endorsement by the Information Professionals Association. During this episode, Dr. Josh “Bugsy” Segal asks the provocative question: Are We Losing the War? Josh discusses the importance of understanding the impact of the nation's investments in soft power assets and programs, emphasizing the need for a strategic approach and a broader national security context. He expresses concerns about the challenges in reaching the desired audience for information operations and the need for the US to adapt and innovate in the face of increasing influence from China and Russia. Lastly, the discussion touches on the current administration's agenda of cutting costs, the threat posed by adversaries, and the importance of nurturing relationships–particularly in the context of disinformation and subversive narratives. Recording Date: 19 Feb 2025 Resources: Cognitive Crucible Podcast Episodes Mentioned #213 Sviatoslav Hnizdovskyi on Countering Authoritarian Influence #192 Josh "Bugsy" Segal on the American Maginot Line #124 Dean Cheng on China, Space, and Information Operations #24 John Davis on Modern Warfare, Teamwork, and Commercial Cognitive Security Deft9 Solutions Russia's GRU Unit 29155 The DOGE website Link to full show notes and resources Guest Bio:  Dr. Joshua “Bugsy” Segal is the Co-Founder & Vice President for Strategy and Innovation at Deft9 Solutions. A veteran of over 30 years in national security policy, strategy and operations, and intelligence, both military and civilian, Dr. Segal is an internationally recognized expert in arms control, countering foreign malign influence, and counter-WMD. Dr. Segal spent over a decade as a member of U.S. multilateral arms control delegations in Geneva, Vienna, and The Hague, including the negotiations to finalize the 1993 Chemical Weapons Convention and establish the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons. After leaving the federal government and then retiring from the military, Dr. Segal serves as an advisor to senior DoD leaders on operations in the information environment and teaches OSINT tradecraft. About: The Information Professionals Association (IPA) is a non-profit organization dedicated to exploring the role of information activities, such as influence and cognitive security, within the national security sector and helping to bridge the divide between operations and research. Its goal is to increase interdisciplinary collaboration between scholars and practitioners and policymakers with an interest in this domain. For more information, please contact us at communications@information-professionals.org. Or, connect directly with The Cognitive Crucible podcast host, John Bicknell, on LinkedIn. Disclosure: As an Amazon Associate, 1) IPA earns from qualifying purchases, 2) IPA gets commissions for purchases made through links in this post.

I'm releasing a new paper “Superintelligence Strategy” alongside Eric Schmidt (formerly Google), and Alexandr Wang (Scale AI). Below is the executive summary, followed by additional commentary highlighting portions of the paper which might be relevant to this collection of readers. Executive SummaryRapid advances in AI are poised to reshape nearly every aspect of society. Governments see in these dual-use AI systems a means to military dominance, stoking a bitter race to maximize AI capabilities. Voluntary industry pauses or attempts to exclude government involvement cannot change this reality. These systems that can streamline research and bolster economic output can also be turned to destructive ends, enabling rogue actors to engineer bioweapons and hack critical infrastructure. “Superintelligent” AI surpassing humans in nearly every domain would amount to the most precarious technological development since the nuclear bomb. Given the stakes, superintelligence is inescapably a matter of national security, and an effective [...] ---Outline:(00:21) Executive Summary(01:14) Deterrence(02:32) Nonproliferation(03:38) Competitiveness(04:50) Additional Commentary--- First published: March 5th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XsYQyBgm8eKjd3Sqw/on-the-rationality-of-deterring-asi --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

This Week’s SPECIAL on the United Nations Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons – Third Meeting of States Parties March 2-7, 2025 Posing with the iconic gun sculpture in front of UN headquarteers in New York. The Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW) held its Third Meeting of States Parties (3MSP) at...

Today, Martha, Les, Morgan, and Jess discuss the latest U.S. strikes on the Houthis in Yemen and whether they will effectively stop further attacks on shipping in the Red Sea. The Houthis, backed by Iran, have been disrupting maritime operations in the region for 17 months—but will this action truly restore deterrence?Is this about targeting the Houthis, or is it really a move against Iran? With Trump designating the Houthis as a terrorist organization and signaling maximum pressure to Tehran, how does this fit into his broader strategy for the Middle East? And, more broadly, as the Houthis continue attacking Western ships while sparing Chinese vessels, where exactly does Beijing stand in this conflict?Check out the answers to these questions and more in this episode of Fault Lines.Check out the sources that helped shape our Fellows' discussion: https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5196769-vance-musk-doge-federal-workforce-mistakes/https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/in-yemen-strikes-trump-takes-on-a-group-that-has-outlasted-powerful-foes-70ef7b3d?mod=hp_lead_pos8https://abcnews.go.com/International/iranian-general-raises-prospect-response-amid-us-strikes/story?id=119847045Follow our experts on Twitter: @lestermunson@marthamillerdc@NotTVJessJones @morganlroachLike what we're doing here? Be sure to rate, review, and subscribe. And don't forget to follow @masonnatsec on Twitter!We are also on YouTube, and watch today's episode here: https://youtu.be/o0Cds_L7F1o Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Adam, Curtis, and Jim continue discussing Dr. Keith Payne's article "Deterrence and Arms Control: Ending the Deceptive "Holiday from History." The conversation reviews the second four of the eight common but demonstrably false worldview beliefs, as posited by Dr. Payne, and assesses his suggestions to alter these idealist canards. The discussion continues from last week's TNV podcast and emphasizes the need for a realistic approach to arms control and the importance of understanding adversaries' motivations in the geopolitical landscape.

With war at Europe's doorstep and US support uncertain, the continent must focus on military readiness and strategic autonomy. RFI's David Coffey speaks with Serge Stroobants of the Institute for Economics and Peace on whether Europe can defend itself and at what cost. The sharp decline in US-Ukraine relations has raised doubts about American support for Europe, as the continent assesses its ability to defend itself against a threat from Russia.Donald Trump's decision to cut military aid to Ukraine this week signals a  shift in US foreign policy and raises questions about America's commitment to Europe's security.From shortages in the number of tanks and the availablity of artillery, to the debate over a unified European army, leaders must decide whether to bolster national forces or embrace deeper military cooperation.As France and the UK guard their nuclear arsenals and Russia tests Europe's resolve, can the EU build a credible deterrent, or will it continue to rely on America?The Director for Europe, the Middle East, and North Africa at the Institute for Economics and Peace, Serge Stroobants, explained to RFI that Europe lacks the capacity to react quickly to security threats, with defence procurement bogged down by fragmentation and slow production timelines.As early as 2016, Germany's defence industry acknowledged that no major projects would reach completion for at least six to eight years. Today the projections are even worse.“If you want to invest quickly in the military – into defence, into new equipment and weapon systems – these need to be bought off the shelf outside of Europe," with the US, Turkey, and South Korea as key suppliers, he says.Defence neglectedBeyond military upgrades, Europe faces a broader challenge as its entire economic and state system must adapt to meet modern security demands.EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen's recent pledge to cut red tape for defence procurement is a step in the right direction, Stroobants says, but it comes too late and under pressure from events rather than forward planning.“The problem is – as is so often with the EU – we are doing this under the pressure of the events. We're not doing this in advance. We're not planning. We don't have a strategy."Despite being a continent of 500 million people – and the world's third-largest economic and military power – Europe remains unable to ensure its own security due to a longstanding lack of strategic foresight and neglect of defence spending.As it stands, a unified EU defence force remains a challenge due to Europe's struggle to coordinate military policy alongside foreign diplomacy and development.Stroobants explains that peace and security are based on three pillars – diplomacy, development and defence. “When you look at the EU, this has been done for almost 75 years, but if you are not able to integrate foreign policy and foreign development...and have common influence outside of European borders? Well, it doesn't really help to only unify just one of those three pillars," he said.While the EU has made progress in development and soft power, true strategic influence for the bloc requires the full integration of defence and diplomacy to establish an undivided foreign policy and a stronger global presence.'Europe must do the heavy lifting' in Ukraine, needs 'US backing': UK's StarmerReshaping Europe“For 30 to 35 years now, we have been divesting from defence, but it's much more than defence. It's the entire society that has lived with the idea that we would live eternally in peace," Stroobants says.He argues that to independently deter Russian aggression, European nations must go beyond bolstering their military capabilities – they need to rethink their entire strategic approach.“If you want to be ready, you need to invest in defence...but you also need to reshape your society and your infrastructure,” he adds.He also points out that with France and the UK as Europe's only nuclear powers, their cooperation on a nuclear umbrella remains uncertain. France insists its deterrent will stay national but may engage allies without losing autonomy. Both nations favour a "coalition of the willing" over an EU or NATO-led approach, prioritising national security.'Deterrance and power'While Moscow takes America's military threat seriously and views European states as weak, Stroobants added,  Europe must take concrete steps to change this perception and restore credible deterrence.European security hinges on two key concepts: deterrence and power. Deterrence relies not just on military capability but on the will to use it – because, as Stroobants puts it, “you can have 20,000 nuclear warheads, but if you have nobody who is strong enough to use them, they are not going to be a deterrent."And that's exactly what's happening with the EU at the moment”.True power – accroding to Stroobants – is essentially a combination of military, economic, and diplomatic strength,comboined with a clear strategy and the political will to act.Britain holds back as France pushes for truce between Russia and UkraineWhile Europe possesses significant resources, it lacks a unified vision on how to confront Putin's Russia and define its role in an increasingly aggressive global order – leaving it strategically adrift and unable to deter adversaries effectively.The absence of key nations – including the Baltic states – from a recent high-level security meeting in London only underscores the challenge of consolidating a unified European deterrent.“After having lived in the military for 30 years, in Europe and under the NATO umbrella, not incorporating all the allies or member states [at high level meetings] is really strange," he said.For Stroobants, Europe now is facing the disintegration of alliances that have taken over seven decades to build.

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.public.newsFor many decades after World War II, fears of nuclear war eclipsed all other fears, including overpopulation, climate change, and asteroids. Thousands of Hollywood movies, documentaries, and books raised the alarm. Images of devastation from Hiroshima and Nagasaki and deathly images of mushroom clouds from thermonuclear tests in the South Pacific and the Western United States made nuclear apocalypse seem like a probable outcome of continuing human progress.And yet the nuclear apocalypse never arrived. The United States and Russia have reduced their nuclear arsenals. The number of nuclear-armed nations grew only to nine, which is a fraction of the dozens of nations President John F. Kennedy and others in the foreign policy establishment had feared in the early 1960s. “The atomic bomb was designed to bomb the world to peace,” said Marco Visscher, the author of a dazzling new book, The Power of Nuclear. “Not to pieces, but to peace. Deterrence seems to have worked fairly well. We should be honest that this nuclear war that many people expected in the 1960s didn't come about.”

Anthony Donovan, author, activist, and documentarian, joins Greg Mello, Executive Director of the Los Alamos Study Group, to discuss the idea of deterrence's lack of credibility and reflect on the insanity of the Nuclear Deterrence Summit. They then shift to Trump, Congress, the Budget, and what might be a positive budget cut for DOGE.

How can we balance the growing number of satellites on orbit, and the services they provide, with the importance of astronomical science and protecting Dark and Quiet Skies?  Reflected light and spectrum interference from satellites have become more problematic for astronomers and Star Gazers alike, but there are mitigation techniques being developed and tested to protect our Night Sky. Understanding the approaches to timely de-orbiting and space traffic awareness play into protecting astronomical instruments and data, and maintaining the beauty of the Night Sky. Join The Aerospace Corporation's Colleen Stover and experts Dr. Lindsay DeMarchi, a “stellar mortician”, and Dr. Samuel Factor, Division of Signal & Image Processing, to discuss the issues and potential solutions around the resilience of our skies. Read more at the American Astronomical Society. This episode is part of the Center for Space Policy and Strategy's series on Resiliency. The series explores various perspectives of what resiliency means from across the space community.   The Space Policy Show is produced by The Aerospace Corporation's Center for Space Policy and Strategy. It is a virtual series covering a broad set of topics that span across the space enterprise. CSPS brings together experts from within Aerospace, the government, academia, business, nonprofits, and the national labs. The show and their podcasts are an opportunity to learn about and to stay engaged with the larger space policy community. Subscribe to our YouTube channel to watch all episodes!

Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss Dr. Keith Payne's article "Deterrence and Arms Control: Ending the Deceptive "Holiday from History," exploring the historical context of U.S. nuclear deterrence policy, the failures of idealism in foreign policy, and the need for accountability in Washington. The conversation reviews the first four of the eight common worldview beliefs that are demonstrably false, as posited by Dr. Payne. The discussion, which continues with next week's TNV podcast, emphasizes the need for a realistic approach to arms control and the importance of understanding adversaries' motivations in the geopolitical landscape.

Dr. Thérèse Scarpelli Cory is the Director of the Jacques Maritain Center and its associated History of Philosophy Forum. Her work is on medieval theories of mind, cognition, and personhood, with special focus on the thought of Thomas Aquinas and his thirteenth-century interlocutors.She is the John and Jean Oesterle Associate Professor of Thomistic Studies at the University of Notre Dame and is a member of the Pontifical Academy of St. Thomas Aquinas.Today we're talking about a piece she published in January of 2024 in the Church Life Journal from the McGrath Institute for Church Life at the University of Notre Dame entitled Migrants and the Unborn: A Culture of Life Versus a Culture of Deterrence.

Dr. Thérèse Scarpelli Cory is the Director of the Jacques Maritain Center and its associated History of Philosophy Forum. Her work is on medieval theories of mind, cognition, and personhood, with special focus on the thought of Thomas Aquinas and his thirteenth-century interlocutors. She is the John and Jean Oesterle Associate Professor of Thomistic Studies at the University of Notre Dame and is a member of the Pontifical Academy of St. Thomas Aquinas. Today we're talking about a piece she published in January of 2024 in the Church Life Journal from the McGrath Institute for Church Life at the University of Notre Dame entitled Migrants and the Unborn: A Culture of Life Versus a Culture of Deterrence.

Retired Lt. Gen. E. John Deedrick served as the final commander of the Combined Security Transition Command –Afghanistan (CSTC-A). He also held the position of Deputy Chief of Staff for Security Assistance (DCOS SA) at the Headquarters of Resolute Support; the NATO mission in Afghanistan. He was the United States Military Representative to NATO and commanded 1st Special Forces Command. The Jedburgh Podcast, the Jedburgh Media Channel and the Green Beret Foundation are proud to announce our partnership with the University of Health and Performance outside of Bentonville, Arkansas. To kick off our combined investment in the development of our Special Operators post service, Fran Racioppi sat down with Lt. Gen. Deedrick to discuss his take on the Army today, where it came from and where it's going. As one of the last senior leaders in Afghanistan he gave his honest assessment of the withdrawal, the impact leave has on our allies and Special Forces Operators, and what the void left has done for the Taliban and American national security. They also discuss the importance of our allies, why NATO works, and how Special Operations has evolved to fight unconventional warfare, counter-insurgency and counter-terrorism in the Grey Zone through integrated deterrence.Finally, they talk about the effect of politics on our military and why our leaders all want the same goal, but have different paths to get there. Watch, listen or read our conversation from the UHP. Don't miss our full Veterans Day coverage from UHP. Follow the Jedburgh Podcast and the Green Beret Foundation on social media. Listen on your favorite podcast platform, read on our website, and watch the full video version on YouTube as we show why America must continue to lead from the front, no matter the challenge.HIGHLIGHTS0:00 Introduction2:23 Welcome to University of Health and Performance5:02 Why did we leave Afghanistan8:02 Did we abandon our Afghan partners11:04 Withdrawal Effect13:24 The Taliban and Al-Qaeda15:22 Enabling Iran16:59 NATO's importance22:30 NATO vs Russia28:38 The Ukraine conflict today32:30 North Korea's involvement34:12 What makes a Green Beret different?38:24 Changes to the ODA41:14 Is China the next fight?45:51 Politicizing the military48:02 US forces deployed across America49:38 Lt. Gen. Deedrick's Sergeant51:53 Daily HabitsQUOTES04:10 “It was a pretty low cost to keep an eye on Al-Qaeda. And also off chutes that are as dangerous.”13:23 “I hope we aren't paying them not to attack us”17:49 “Nobody freelances at NATO. NATO is an expression of the sovereign will of their capitals.”26:30 “Don't start a shooting war with Russia. I mean the two nuclear powers”29:10 “When you are so reliant on other nations for your supply chains, you put yourself at risk.”31:09 “You've got to go to North Korea to get weapons and soldiers. That's just sad.”45:20 “The most difficult fight would be China, so I think you have to use that as your pacing item and optimize your fight for that.”45:52 “Lethality on the battlefield is critical.”50:23 “What I would love to see is less personality and more policy.”52:53 “It is a really bad idea to use the active duty US Military in a domestic capability.”The Jedburgh Podcast and the Jedburgh Media Channel are an official program of The Green Beret Foundation.The opinions presented on the The Jedburgh Podcast and the Jedburgh Media Channel are the opinions of my guests and myself. They do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the Green Beret Foundation and the Green Beret Foundation assumes no liability for their accuracy, nor does Green Beret Foundation endorse any political candidate or any political party.

This week we are discussing a smashingly successful air attack conducted by the Empire of Japan in December 1941 (but not that one).Jump to around 14:30 to get right to the actionSources:Bell, Christopher M. “The ‘Singapore Strategy' and the Deterrence of Japan: Winston Churchill, the Admiralty and the Dispatch of Force Z.” The English Historical Review, vol. 116, no. 467, Jun 2001, pp. 604 - 634.Garzke, William H., Robert O. Dulin, and Kevin V. Denlay. "Death of a Battleship: The Loss of HMS Prince of Wales, December 10, 1941 - A Marine Forensic Analysis of the Sinking." 2012. https://web.archive.org/web/20220327195109/https://pacificwrecks.com/ships/hms/prince_of_wales/death-of-a-battleship-2012-update.pdfToll, Ian W. Twilight of the Gods: War in the Western Pacific, 1944 - 1945. Norton, 2020.Support the show

I discuss some takes on the ongoing misdirection in war and how one headline doesn't stay fresh for very long.  I also bring up the Reece Committee, a Select Committee that Investigated Tax-Exempt Foundations and Comparable Organizations between 1952 and 1954, and how it uncovered the education system as a communistic/jewish brainwashing program.  I also describe current cases of money shifting away from public schools to other alternatives; and I bring up a case report of a man who suffered greatly from the Pfizer COVID shots. https://rumble.com/v2yfloi-g.-edward-griffin-interviews-norman-dodds-on-the-reece-committee-1981.html   Book Websites:  https://www.moneytreepublishing.com PROMO CODE: “AEFM” for 10% OFF https://armreg.co.uk  PROMO CODE: "americaneducationfm" for 15% off all books and products.  (I receive no kickbacks).

#NUKES: Costs. Pause. Peter Huessy, president of Geostrategic Analysis and a fellow at the National Institute for Deterrence Studies, @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill https://www.airandspaceforces.com/air-force-orders-halt-some-work-sentinel-icbm/   UNDATED

On this episode of the podcast, Robert B. Charles, former Assistant Secretary of State, breaks down President Donald Trump's 25% steel and aluminum tariffs, explaining how they aim to revitalize American manufacturing, generate foreign revenue and combat illegal immigration and fentanyl trafficking from China, Mexico and Canada. Charles exposes China's 600 fentanyl manufacturers and Mexico's military efforts to curb the crisis. Charles further explores how tariffs could offset income tax revenue but stresses the urgent need for spending cuts. Furthermore, Charles praises Secretary of State Marco Rubio's strong foreign policy stance and calls for major reforms to USAID. Lastly, he shares powerful stories from his new book, “Cherish America” which highlights courage and resilience. You can purchase his new book on Amazon.com.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Mike hosts Michèle Flournoy, Co-Founder and Managing Partner of WestExec Advisors. She is also former Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of the Center for a New American Security (CNAS), where she currently serves as Chair of the Board of Directors. Prior to that she served as the as the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy during former President Obama's first term in office from 2009-2012. They discuss deterrence and developments in the Indo-Pacific.

Space, once a distant destination, has become yet another battleground for great power competition.  Since the early days of the People's Republic of China, the country has been pursuing a series of ambitious space programs aimed to build up its space capacity as an essential element of its comprehensive national power.  In recent years, under the Xi Jinping regime, Beijing has significantly increased its investment in its civilian space program efforts. It has a plan to send Chinese Taikonauts to the Moon before the US can return.  As the US-China strategic competition continues to heighten, it is vital to assess China's space policy and its role in China's grand strategy. To discuss these issues, host Bonnie Glaser is joined by Dean Cheng, senior advisor to the China program at the U.S. Institute of Peace and a nonresident fellow with George Washington University's Space Policy Institute. Dean focuses on China's space program, Chinese military doctrine, and “dual-use” issues associated with China's scientific and technical enterprises.  He also recently published a book titled China and the New Moon Race. Timestamp[00:00] Start[01:54] Space Race 2.0[03:27] Space in China's Grand Strategy[05:27] Achievements of China's Space Program[07:18] Similarities and Differences in China's Approach[09:14] Nature of Public-Private Cooperation in China[12:42] Implications of Landing on the Moon[15:30] A Chinese Incident in Space[17:00] International Lunar Research Station [18:50] Responses to China's Space Ambitions[21:03] Problems in the US-China Civilian Space Race[23:20] Stars and Stripes on Mars

DeTerrence Allen, a dedicated behavior scientist, comes from a family of Board-Certified Behavior Analysts, including his wife. His passion for ABA is rooted in a heartwarming “love story” for the field. A dynamic speaker, DeTerrence recently delivered an inspiring talk on soft skills at the Black Men of Behavior Analysis Conference.So, what are soft skills? DeTerrence highlights critical communication skills rooted in kindness and respect, understanding the function behind your words, and ensuring you've built rapport with those you engage with. Soft skills are essential for effective collaboration and creating meaningful change.Passing the BCBA exam is just the beginning. DeTerrence emphasizes the importance of continuing to learn and refine your approach. For new BCBAs, he advises seeking out supportive supervisors and mentors, building a professional network, and having regular discussions with colleagues. ABA also needs to be thoughtfully defined across different contexts, as its application varies.To connect with DeTerrence Allen and learn more about soft skills and professional growth in ABA, visit his LinkedIn profile. He's passionate about supporting clinicians in their development and helping them thrive in the field.#autism #speectherapyWhat's Inside:What are soft skills?The importance of building rapport for communication.How new BCBAs can increase soft skills.Mentioned In This Episode:DeTerrence Allen on LinkedInABA Speech: HomeJoin the aba speech connection membership Eye-Opening Moments PodcastEye-Opening Moments are stories of adversity, encounters, and perspectives. They are...Listen on: Apple Podcasts Spotify

In this episode of NucleCast, Adam and Dr. John Swegle discuss the implications of a recent missile attack in Ukraine, where an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) was used in a conventional capacity. They delve into the specifics of the attack, the characteristics of the missile, and the potential messaging and escalation dynamics involved. The conversation also touches on the broader implications for NATO and the future of nuclear and conventional warfare.Dr. John Swegle works as an independent consultant through the National Strategic Research Institute at the University of Nebraska on issues related to the effects of nuclear weapons and proliferation on US national security. Immediately prior to that, he was a Senior Advisory Scientist at the Savannah River National Laboratory in Aiken, South Carolina. He began his career at Sandia National Laboratories in Albuquerque, New Mexico, where he was a member of the plasma theory group, and then moved to Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, where he conducted and managed analyses of foreign technology and nuclear programs in what was then Z Division; he also worked in a nuclear design division for several years where he was introduced to the basic concepts of nuclear design and nuclear-driven electromagnetic pulse. He is a graduate of Cornell University, where he obtained an MS and PhD in applied physics with a specialty in plasma physics, and the University of Washington in Seattle, where he earned BSEE and MSEE degrees.Chapters00:00 Introduction to the Attack on Ukraine03:02 Details of the Missile Attack14:25 Implications of Using ICBMs Conventionally15:13 Messaging and Escalation Dynamics24:54 Wishes for Future ConsiderationsSocials:Follow on Twitter at @NucleCastFollow on LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/nuclecastpodcastSubscribe RSS Feed: https://rss.com/podcasts/nuclecast-podcast/Rate: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/nuclecast/id1644921278Email comments and topic/guest suggestions to NucleCast@anwadeter.org

In this episode of War & Peace, Olga and Elissa are joined by Michael Kofman, senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment specialising in Ukrainian and Russian military affairs. They reflect on the developments along Ukraine's frontlines in 2024, the challenges Ukraine's and Russia's armed forces have faced, including high equipment losses as well as shortages of personnel and ammunition, and how the war might evolve in the year ahead. They discuss the implications of the deployment of North Korean troops to support Russian forces in the Kursk region and look at how the new U.S. administration under President Donald Trump might affect the war. They speculate on the potential consequences for Ukraine's military capabilities if Washington cuts back on weapons aid to Kyiv and whether Europe can muster the resources to fill the gap. They also explore how Ukraine's and Russia's armies might evolve in the coming years. Click here to listen on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.For more, check out Michael's podcast, The Russia Contingency, and Crisis Group's Q&A “Mobilisation, Peacemaking and Deterrence in Ukraine”, and our Ukraine country page. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Join Victor Davis Hanson and cohost Jack Fowler to talk about Marco Rubio as Secretary of State, US sovereignty, Harris-Biden admin and the sympathetic worldview, the necessity of deterrence, France pre-WWII, the unimpressive modern elite, GenZ lacking life skills, Israel and necessity, Gazans knew Hamas, and euthanasia in Canada.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

With Eliot traveling, Eric welcomes back prolific historian and author Hal Brands to the show to discuss his forthcoming book The Eurasian Century: Hot Wars, Cold Wars, and the Making of the Modern World (New York: W.W. Norton, 2025) which will be published in mid-January. They discuss the ideas and careers of geopolitical thinkers Halford Mackinder, Alfred Thayer Mahan, and Nicholas Spykman whose views about the influence of geography on international affairs became enormously influential among political leaders of all stripes in the early to mid-Twentieth Century. They touch on the costs of deterrence versus the much higher costs of great power wars, the breakdown of the international trading system in the 1930s and how it presaged military conflict, why regional crises in the interwar period rapidly metastasized into the most costly global conflict in history and how our contemporary world resembles the world of 1940-1941. They also discuss the rise of China and the bipartisan consensus it has spawned on diagnosing our current international environment but has not yet led to a bipartisan execution of policies to remedy the situation. They also discuss the rise of geopolitical super predators in the 1930s, the evolution of "Fortress Eurasia" -- the emerging alliance among the PRC, Russia, Iran and North Korea, Senator Mitch McConnell's recent Foreign Affairs article arguing against retrenchment, and why it is hard to imagine a future conflict not becoming a global conflict today. Shield of the Republic will be taking a break for the holidays and will return in early January. The Eurasian Century: Hot Wars, Cold Wars, and the Making of the Modern World: https://a.co/d/2XQ7lWa The Price of American Retreat: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/price-american-retreat-trump-mitch-mcconnell Shield of the Republic is a Bulwark podcast co-sponsored by the Miller Center of Public Affairs at the University of Virginia.

On this edition of The Truth Central, Dr. Jerome Corsi explains how today's leaders and voters could learn today from political machinations of the past through three very important books about government deception and corruption:1. How FDR, through lying to the American people at the time, manipulated the nation into fighting World War II through Douglas Horne's book: The McCollum Memorandum: A Story of Washington, D.C. in 1940-41: Franklin D. Roosevelt's Journey from Deterrence to Provocation on the Road to Pearl Harbor2. How Senator Frank Church, the man at the center of numerous investigations into the abuses of power within the American government, tried to expose corruption and malfeasance while up against a very powerful establishment through James Risen's book: The Last Honest Man: The CIA, the FBI, the Mafia, and the Kennedys―and One Senator's Fight to Save Democracy3. Mattias Desmet's in-depth study of how people become enamored by Marxist/Socialist philosophies in his book: The Psychology of Totalitarianism.Visit The Truth Central website: https://www.thetruthcentral.comIf you like what we are doing, please support our Sponsors:Get RX Meds Now: https://www.getrxmedsnow.comMyVitalC https://www.thetruthcentral.com/myvitalc-ess60-in-organic-olive-oil/Swiss America: https://www.swissamerica.com/offer/CorsiRMP.phpGet Dr. Corsi's new book, The Assassination of President John F. Kennedy: The Final Analysis: Forensic Analysis of the JFK Autopsy X-Rays Proves Two Headshots from the Right Front and One from the Rear, here: https://www.amazon.com/Assassination-President-John-Kennedy-Headshots/dp/B0CXLN1PX1/ref=sr_1_1?crid=20W8UDU55IGJJ&dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.ymVX8y9V--_ztRoswluApKEN-WlqxoqrowcQP34CE3HdXRudvQJnTLmYKMMfv0gMYwaTTk_Ne3ssid8YroEAFg.e8i1TLonh9QRzDTIJSmDqJHrmMTVKBhCL7iTARroSzQ&dib_tag=se&keywords=jerome+r.+corsi+%2B+jfk&qid=1710126183&sprefix=%2Caps%2C275&sr=8-1Join Dr. Jerome Corsi on Substack: https://jeromecorsiphd.substack.com/Visit The Truth Central website: https://www.thetruthcentral.comGet your FREE copy of Dr. Corsi's new book with Swiss America CEO Dean Heskin, How the Coming Global Crash Will Create a Historic Gold Rush by calling: 800-519-6268Follow Dr. Jerome Corsi on X: @corsijerome1Our link to where to get the Marco Polo 650-Page Book on the Hunter Biden laptop & Biden family crimes free online:https://www.thetruthcentral.com/marco-polo-publishes-650-page-book-on-hunter-biden-laptop-biden-family-crimes-Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-truth-central-with-dr-jerome-corsi--5810661/support.

Sources:As Nationwide Fraud Losses Top $10 Billion in 2023, FTC Steps Up Efforts to Protect the Public. (2024, February 9). Federal Trade Commission. https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2024/02/nationwide-fraud-losses-top-10-billion-2023-ftc-steps-efforts-protect-publicBBB Tip: 10 steps to avoid scams. (2024, June 21). Better Business Bureau. https://www.bbb.org/article/tips/8767-bbb-tips-10-steps-to-avoid-scamsThe Latest Scams You Need to Be Aware of in 2024, By DeNicola, L. (2023, December 30). https://www.experian.com/blogs/ask-experian/the-latest-scams-you-need-to-aware-of/​​Empowering Fraud Fighters. (n.d.). Financial Industry Regulatory Authority Foundation. https://www.finrafoundation.org/networks-we-strengthen/fighting-fraudInternet Crime Report 2023 by The Federal Bureau of Investigations. (2024). In Internet Crime Complaint Center. https://www.ic3.gov/Media/PDF/AnnualReport/2023_IC3Report.pdf National Center for Victims of Crime, Financial Crime Resource Center: https://victimsofcrime.org/financial-crime-resource-center/ Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, FinCEN Resource Center: https://www.fincen.gov/fincen-resource-centerFletcher, E. (2023, October 6). Social Media. Federal Trade Commission. https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/data-visualizations/data-spotlight/2023/10/social-media-golden-goose-scammersIdentity Fraud Cost Americans $43 Billion in 2023. (2024, April 10). American Association of Retired People. https://www.aarp.org/money/scams-fraud/info-2024/identity-fraud-report.htmlIs Fraud Always a Federal Crime? (2024, March 20). Stechschulte Nell. https://www.tpatrialattorneys.com/fraud-always-federal-crime/Criminal Consumer Fraud, Must the Goals of Deterrence and Compensation Be Mutually Exclusive? By The American Journal of Criminal Law, Kirschner, N. M. (1979). https://www.ojp.gov/ncjrs/virtual-library/abstracts/criminal-consumer-fraud-must-goals-deterrence-and-compensation-beRecovering From Online Fraud. National Crime Victim Law Institute: https://ncvli.org/recovering-from-financial-fraud-and-identity-theft-services-for-victims/#:~:text=%E2%80%93Identity%20Theft%20Resource%20Center%20What Are Some Common Types of Scams? (2024, March 13). Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. https://www.consumerfinance.gov/ask-cfpb/what-are-some-common-types-of-scams-en-2092/Resources:FBI Internet Complaint Center: https://www.ic3.gov/FBI Tip Center: http://tips.fbi.govBBB Scam Risk Calculator: https://www.bbb.org/all/scam-prevention/risk-calculatorCybercrime Support Network: https://fightcybercrime.org/Identity Theft Resource Center: https://www.idtheftcenter.org/Financial Industry Regulatory Authority: https://www.finra.org/Report Fraud to the Federal Trade Commission: https://reportfraud.ftc.gov/For additional resources and a list of related non-profit organizations, please visit http://www.somethingwaswrong.com/resourcesFollow Something Was Wrong:Website: somethingwaswrong.com IG: instagram.com/somethingwaswrongpodcastTikTok: tiktok.com/@somethingwaswrongpodcast Follow Tiffany Reese:Website: tiffanyreese.me IG: http://www.instagram.com/lookieboo The Data Points cover art is by the Amazing Sara Stewart. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

In China's 14th Five-Year Plan that spans from 2021 to 2025, priority was assigned to development of emerging technologies that could be both disruptive and foundational for the future. China is now a global leader in AI technology and is poised to overtake the West and become the world leader in AI in the years ahead. Importantly, there is growing evidence that AI-enabled military capabilities are becoming increasingly central to Chinese military concepts for fighting future wars.A recently released report provides insights on Chinese perspectives on military use of AI. Published by Georgetown's Center for Security and Emerging Technology (CSET), the report illustrates some of the key challenges Chinese defense experts have identified in developing and fielding AI-related technologies and capabilities. Host Bonnie Glaser is joined by the author of this report, Sam Bresnick, who is a Research Fellow at Georgetown's CSET focusing on AI applications and Chinese technology policy.  TimestampsB[00:00] Start[01:33] Impetus for the Georgetown CSET Report[03:34] China's Assessment of the Impacts of AI and Emerging Technologies[06:32] Areas of Debate Among Chinese Scholars[09:39] Evidence of Progress in the Military Application of AI[12:13] Lack of Trust Amongst Chinese Experts in Existing Technologies[14:25] Constraints in the Development and Implementation of AI[18:20] Chinese Expert Recommendations for Mitigating AI Risk[23:01] Implications Taken from Discussions on AI Risk[25:14] US-China Areas of Discussion on the Military Use of AI[28:50] Unilateral Steps Toward Risk Mitigation

In this episode of War & Peace, Olga Oliker speaks with Lucian Kim, Crisis Group's Senior Ukraine analyst, about his new book “Putin's Revenge: Why Russia Invaded Ukraine”. They reflect on Lucian's decades-long career as a journalist covering pivotal political events in Russia and Ukraine, from Ukraine's 2004 Orange Revolution and the 2014 Euromaidan protests to Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. They explore Moscow's increasingly strained relations with Kyiv and Western capitals, Russian President Vladimir Putin's shift from a pragmatic leader to an increasingly authoritarian strongman, and what led to his decision to launch the deadliest conflict in Europe since the Second World War. They also discuss which lessons Western policymakers should draw to better engage with Ukraine and Russia to secure European security in the future.For more, be sure to check out Lucian's book “Putin's Revenge: Why Russia Invaded Ukraine”, our latest Q&A “Mobilisation, Peacemaking and Deterrence in Ukraine”, and our Ukraine country page. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On Sunday, The Washington Post, El Universal in Mexico, and Lighthouse Reports published “Death and Deterrence in the Rio Grande,” a yearlong investigation on drowning deaths of asylum seekers. As the U.S.-Mexico investigations editor for Lighthouse Reports, I helped collect the data, did reporting, and coordinated the binational investigation. We wanted to examine how border militarization, including Texas' Operation Lone Star, contributes to the growing number of drowning deaths in the Rio Grande/Río Bravo. As a longtime border reporter, I had never encountered a comprehensive, binational investigation of this issue, so a year ago, we set out to document what was happening, especially in the Eagle Pass/Piedras Negras corridor on the Rio Grande, which has seen the highest number of drownings. The investigation began November 15, 2023, when I and my colleagues Daniel Howden, director at Lighthouse Reports, and Justin Hamel, an independent photojournalist, set out from the boat ramp at Shelby Park in Eagle Pass. Leading us down the river was Jessie Fuentes, owner of Epi's Canoes and Kayaks. We set out at sunrise as fog drifted across the river, lending it a ghostly, ethereal ambience. But we were soon met with a cold, hard reality: desperate families stranded on islands in the middle of the river. We came across a family of four, the father with a toddler on his shoulders, standing in the freezing water. Soldiers in Texas yelled at them to go back to Mexico. During our investigation, we found that in 2023, one out of every 10 people who died in the river was a child. Our trip down the river was a heartrending experience, one I'll never forget. In this special Backlight & Border Chronicle podcast, I discuss our investigation's findings with my Lighthouse colleagues Beatriz Ramahlo da Silva and Tessa Pang. And please check out the full investigation published by our media partners The Washington Post and El Universal. You can also read about how we undertook the lengthy data collection and analysis for this project at Lighthouse Reports. Support our work and local border journalism at theborderchronicle.com --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/border-chronicle/support

In this intense conversation in Taiwan, I engage with one of the leading expert in military defense technologies responsible for Taiwan's security. My guest is anonymous due to fears of being targeted (read: murdered) by Chinese spy agencies.We explore the complexities of China-Taiwan relations, emphasizing that these dynamics extend beyond who happens to be in politics at any particular time. Our discussion highlights the interconnections between economics, sanctions, technology, AI, drones, and semiconductors.This was an important conversation about a critical geopolitical issue that's of indispensable importance to the United States. Watch this episode on YouTube and let me know what you think in the comments. Cozen O'Connor Public Strategies - The Beltway BriefingListen for of-the-moment insider insights, framed by the rapidly changing social and...

This is my interview with author and historian Dr. James Gelvin , professor of Middle Eastern history at UCLA. [ This episode was originally released in December 2020. Professor Gelvin will be coming back for an episode next season to give an update on what's occurred in the past four years. ] The episode is centered around the Israel and Palestine conundrum, but touches upon the rich and ancient culture of the region known as Palestine and the recent normalization of relations that the Trump administration announced with the state of Israel. There's also a detour into the state of the Middle East as a whole, if the Arab spring has run dry, how the middle east is the most food insecure region in the world, which segued into how neo-liberal policies create much civil and economic unrest. Along with thought provoking ideas on revolutions and nationalism. The Israel-Palestine Conflict: One Hundred Years of War The New Middle East: What Everyone Needs to Know (0:00) - Episode Introduction (6:24) - Traveling (10:14) - Framing the Israel-Palestine Conflict (16:24) - Identity and Nationalism (20:27) - The Legacy of the Ottoman Empire (34:12) - The Creation of Nations (38:39) - The Six Day War and it's Relevance (46:03) - The Water Wars & The Arab Spring (56:46) - Has the Arab Spring Run Dry? Tunisia as an Outlier (59:27) - Understanding Neoliberalism and its Emergent Effects (1:17:23) - Oslo Accords and Trump's Impact (1:41:05) - Land for Peace Formula, Israel's Policy of Deterrence (1:44:01) - Saudi Arabia's Diversification Efforts

#NUKES: What is the nuclear weapon threshold? Peter Huessy, Deterrence Studies. @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill 1906 War of the Worlds

In this episode, Seth Leibsohn and Ed Morrissey, of Hotair.com, discuss whether Trump has a post-election mandate, with Ed arguing that mandates are myths in the U.S. system, as presidents often misinterpret election results as broad approval for sweeping changes. They debate voter demographics and policy shifts, with Seth suggesting elections can still indicate ideological realignments despite national divisions. They also talk about Biden's ratcheting up tension between Russia and Ukraine by allowing Ukraine's use of long-range weapons.

Robert Ward is joined by Bill Emmott, Chairman of the IISS Trustees, Murano Masashi, a senior fellow with Hudson Institute's Japan Chair, and Dr Baldauff Nanae, Non-Resident Senior Associate Fellow at the NATO Defense College to discuss Japan and deterrence. Robert, Bill, Masashi and Nanae discuss:  · The strategic definition of deterrence, from what it entails to how it works· Nuclear deterrence, including Japan's strategy amid the nuclear arms race in East Asia· Integrated deterrence, including Japan's efforts to deepen and integrate operations with allies and partnersWe hope you enjoy the episode and please follow, rate, and subscribe to Japan Memo on your podcast platform of choice. If you have any comments or questions, please contact us at japanchair@iiss.org. Date recorded: 31 October 2024  Japan Memo is recorded and produced at the IISS in London.  Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Luke Litle talks with Dr. Mara Karlin about the development of the 2022 National Defense Strategy, various practical approaches to deterring adversaries, recent US security challenges, and potential future global security threats. Dr. Karlin is a professor of practice at SAIS and is the co-lead for the Security, Strategy, and Statecraft focus area. She has served in national security roles for six U.S. secretaries of defense, advising on policies spanning strategic planning, defense budgeting, the future of conflict, and regional affairs involving the Middle East, Europe, and Asia. Most recently, she served as Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy, Plans, and Capabilities, leading the development and implementation of the 2022 National Defense Strategy, Nuclear Posture Review, and Missile Defense Review.

Historical examples, like the 1971 INS Khukri incident & Pulwama-Balakot in 2019 incident highlights the dangers of inadequate military preparation. Investments should focus on crucial but often overlooked areas such as long-range artillery, drones, smart ammunition, and advanced air defence. Small budget increases or aggressive privatisation could fund these needs, ensuring robust defence capabilities and deterrence against China and Pakistan. Editor-in-Chief Shekhar Gupta says in this week's #NationalInterest ----more----Read this week's National Interest here: https://theprint.in/national-interest/india-must-spend-right-for-two-front-deterrence-jugaad-against-china-pakistan-wont-cut-it/2358851/

Three Buddy Problem - Episode 21: We dig into an incredible government report on Iranian hacking group Emennet Pasargad and tradecraft during the Israel/Hamas war, why Predatory Sparrow could have been aimed at deterrence in cyber, and the FBI/CISA public confirmation of the mysterious Salt Typhoon hacks. Plus, discussion on hina's cyber capabilities, the narrative around “pre-positioning” for a Taiwan conflict, the blending of cyber and kinetic operations, and the long tail of Chinese researchers reporting Microsoft Windows vulnerabilities. The future of CISA is a recurring theme throughout this episode with some speculation about what happens to the agency under the Trump administration. Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade (https://twitter.com/juanandres_gs) (SentinelLabs), Costin Raiu (https://twitter.com/craiu) (Art of Noh) and Ryan Naraine (https://twitter.com/ryanaraine) (SecurityWeek).

Dakota Cary, Strategic Advisory Consultant at SentinelOne, joins Lawfare Senior Editor Eugenia Lostri, to discuss his article on U.S. attempts to deter Chinese hacking group Volt Typhoon. They talk about why Volt Typhoon won't stop its intrusions against critical infrastructure, whether other hacking groups can be deterred, and where we should focus our attention to counter malicious activity.Materials discussed during the episode:"Exploring Chinese Thinking on Deterrence in the Not-So-New Space and Cyber Domains," by Nathan Beauchamp-MustafagaFinal Report of the Defense Science Board (DSB) Task Force on Cyber Deterrence, February 2017The Atlantic Council report, "Adapting US strategy to account for China's transformation into a peer nuclear power," by David O. Shullman, John K. Culver, Kitsch Liao, and Samantha WongTo receive ad-free podcasts, become a Lawfare Material Supporter at www.patreon.com/lawfare. You can also support Lawfare by making a one-time donation at https://givebutter.com/c/trumptrials.Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/lawfare. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this episode of NucleCast, Bob Peters discusses the often-misunderstood concept of escalation in national security. He explores how escalation is perceived negatively by many national security professionals, leading to a risk-averse approach that can undermine deterrence. Peters argues that the U.S. needs to embrace escalation as a strategic tool, especially in the context of being a status quo power. The conversation also touches on the challenges within military education and the need for a shift in mindset regarding the use of military force.Robert Peters is a Research Fellow for Nuclear Deterrence and Missile Defense in The Heritage Foundation's Allison Center for National Security. Prior to joining Heritage, Peters served as the lead strategist at the Defense Threat Reduction Agency, where he oversaw the office that developed the Agency's five-year strategy, conducted the Agency's research and tabletop exercise program, and executed Agency-level program evaluations. Leading a team of forty-two people, Peters revamped the research function within the Agency and oversaw the Department of Defense's Track 1.5 and Track 2 strategic dialogues with allies and partners.For many years, Peters served as a Senior Research Fellow at National Defense University's Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction, where he focused on nuclear deterrence issues, countering weapons of mass destruction, and counterproliferation.In the first Obama Administration, Peters served as the Special Advisor for Countering Weapons of Mass Destruction in the Office of the Secretary of Defense, where he worked on the New START nuclear arms control treaty, the 2010 Nuclear Posture Review, and the 2010 Quadrennial Defense Review.In addition, Peters held positions at Northrop Grumman and the Potomac Institute for Policy Studies.A graduate of Miami University and Georgetown University's School of Foreign Service, Peters has lectured at National War College, Missouri State University, Army War College, and the United States Naval AcademyChapters00:00 Introduction to Escalation in National Security05:41 Understanding Escalation as a Tool12:46 The Impact of Status Quo on Escalation19:38 Challenges in Military Thinking26:59 Wishes for Military Strategy ReformSocials:Follow on Twitter at @NucleCastFollow on LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/nuclecastpodcastSubscribe RSS Feed: https://rss.com/podcasts/nuclecast-podcast/Rate: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/nuclecast/id1644921278Email comments and topic/guest suggestions to NucleCast@anwadeter.org

#StateThinking: Ukraine and missing US deterrence. @MaryKissel Former Senior Adviser to the Secretary of State. Executive VP Stephens Inc. 1910

Episode Summary: In this episode, Heather “Lucky” Penney chats about a key component of the nuclear triad with Chris Adams, sector vice president and general manager for Strategic Space Systems at Northrop Grumman, and Jen "Boots" Reeves, Senior Fellow for Space Studies at Mitchell Institute. The nuclear triad forms the bedrock of America's national security. The idea is simple: to hold enemy nations at risk to such a degree that they will never cross certain lines. For this to work, our nuclear enterprise needs to be highly resilient, dependable, and zero fail. We normally focus on the weapons portion of the enterprise: ICBMs, SLBMs, and air launched weapons from bombers and certain fighters. And while those technologies are obviously critical, the ability to use them demands an incredibly safe and secure command and control system—what we call nuclear command, control, and communications—or NC3 for short. People often take that part of the enterprise for granted because it's largely invisible. Chris and Jen talk about the NC3 enterprise—outlining why it's so important and explaining why it must be modernized. Credits: Host: Heather “Lucky” Penney, Senior Resident Fellow, The Mitchell Institute for Aerospace Studies Producer: Shane Thin  Executive Producer: Douglas Birkey Guest: Christopher Adams, Sector Vice President and General Manager, Strategic Space Systems division (SSSD), Space Systems sector, Northrop Grumman Guest: Jennifer "Boots" Reeves, Senior Resident Fellow for Space Studies, The Mitchell Institute Spacepower Advantage Center of Excellence Links: Subscribe to our Youtube Channel: https://bit.ly/3GbA5Of Website: https://mitchellaerospacepower.org/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/MitchellStudies Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Mitchell.Institute.Aerospace LinkedIn: https://bit.ly/3nzBisb Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mitchellstudies/ #MitchellStudies #AerospaceAdvantage #space #deterrence Thank you for your continued support!

JAPAN: Talking nukes:  Peter Huessy, president of Geostrategic Analysis and a fellow at the National Institute for Deterrence Studies, on the 2024 Nobel Peace Prize, @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill https://www.reuters.com/world/japans-nihon-hidankyo-wins-2024-nobel-peace-prize-2024-10-11/. 1903 Japanese bus

In this episode, Seth Leibsohn and Ed Morrissey, of Hotair.com, talk about the VP debate tonight between JD Vance and Tim Walz, where Vance may challenge Waltz on policy positions linked to Kamala Harris. Leibsohn and Morrissey then discuss President Biden's apparent confusion when asked about the Israeli strikes in Yemen, with the hosts expressing concern over Biden's cognitive abilities and the constitutional crisis this may represent.

#PRC: Testing DF-41 mobile launch from Hainan. Peter Huessy, National Institute for Deterrence. @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill 1962

GOOD EVENING: The show begins in Lebanon where theIAW is destroying rocket launchers... 1947 Tripoli CBS EYE ON THE WORLD WITH JOHN BATCHELOR FIRST HOUR 9:00-9:15 #LEBANON: Air war Guest: Colonel Jeff McCausland, USA (retired) @mccauslj @CBSNews @dickinsoncol 9:15-9:30 #PRC: ICBM over East Asia Guest: Colonel Jeff McCausland, USA (retired) @mccauslj @CBSNews @dickinsoncol 9:30-9:45 #IRAN: Hezbollah on the back foot Guest: Behnam Ben Taleblu, FDD 9:45-10:00 #IRAN: Brokering Russian anti-ship missiles to the Houthis Guest: Behnam Ben Taleblu, FDD SECOND HOUR 10:00-10:15 #PRC: Testing DF-41 mobile launch from Hainan Guests: Peter Huessy, National Institute for Deterrence; @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill 10:15-10:30 #MALAYSIA: Manufacturing boom Guests: Charles Ortel, On The Money; @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill 10:30-10:45 #Philippines: Confrontations with the PLA Guests: James Fanell, co-author of "Embracing Communist China: America's Greatest Strategic Failure" and government fellow at the Geneva Centre for Security Policy; @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill https://thehill.com/opinion/international/4891071-philippines-sabina-shoal-china/ 10:45-11:00 #JAPAN: Hawks Guests: Lance Gatling, principal of Nexial Research based in Tokyo; @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill https://thehill.com/opinion/4890957-china-japan-missile-attack/ THIRD HOUR 11:00-11:15 1/4: The October 7 War: Israel's Battle for Security in Gaza by Seth J. Frantzman (Author), Mark Dubowitz (Foreword) 11:15-11:30 2/4: The October 7 War: Israel's Battle for Security in Gaza 11:30-11:45 3/4: The October 7 War: Israel's Battle for Security in Gaza 11:45-12:00 4/4: The October 7 War: Israel's Battle for Security in Gaza FOURTH HOUR 12:00-12:15 #FRANCE: Hunting Season, Wednesday: sheltering in the copse Guest: Simon Constable, Occitanie 12:15-12:30 #RUSSIA: Sanctions busting oil in Dubai and Mumbai Guest: Michael Bernstam, Hoover Institution 12:30-12:45 #MOON: Intuitive Machines for moon lander Guest: Bob Zimmerman, BehindtheBlack.com 12:45-1:00 am #MARS: Curiosity wheel anomalies Guest: Bob Zimmerman, BehindtheBlack.com

Developing stories you need to know just in time for your drive home. Get the facts first on Morning Wire. Babbel: For a limited time, get 60% off your Babbel subscription at http://www.babbel.com/wireBirch Gold: Text "WIRE" to 989898 for your no-cost, no-obligation information kit.

PREVIEW: TAIWAN: Colleague Mark Montgomery of FDD re the state of US deterrence in the western Pacific, facing PLA threats to Taiwan, the Philippines, Japan and more. More tonight. 1895 Taiwan 

#PRC: US nuclear posture updated toward China and Russia Peter Huessy, president of Geostrategic Analysis and a fellow at the National Institute for Deterrence Studies, @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill https://www.reuters.com/world/biden-approved-secret-nuclear-strategy-focusing-chinese-threat-new-york-times-2024-08-20/ 1952 CREW B-36 PEACEMAKER

Israel pre-empted an attack by the terrorist group Hezbollah, while Hezbollah's response was mostly intercepted by Israel with little damage done. How will this missile exchange affect the negotiations for a cease-fire in Gaza? Plus, it's the three-year anniversary of the disastrous U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, a failure which looms large over the 2024 presidential election.   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This is The Briefing, a daily analysis of news and events from a Christian worldview.Part I (00:13 - 08:11)Tropical Storm Debby Is a ‘Once Every Thousand Years' Storm? “Acts of God“ and the Remnants of Theological Language in a Secular AgePart II (08:11 - 14:00)Why Would Israel Assassinate the Leaders of Its Enemies? Deterrence and Israel's Great ChallengeWhy Israel Escalates: Risky Assassinations Are a Desperate Bid to Restore Deterrence by Foreign Affairs (Dalia Dassa Kaye)Part III (14:00 - 20:05)Israel's Existential Threats Have Changed its Politics: A Lot of Liberal Arguments Disappear After an a Savage AttackIs Israel Defensible? The cruel geostrategic logic of the Holy Land. by Claremont Review of Books (Christopher Caldwell)Part IV (20:05 - 25:04)Presidential Election Realities Come Into Focus—And There Are Massive Worldview Issues at StakeSign up to receive The Briefing in your inbox every weekday morning.Follow Dr. Mohler:X | Instagram | Facebook | YouTubeFor more information on The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, go to sbts.edu.For more information on Boyce College, just go to BoyceCollege.com.To write Dr. Mohler or submit a question for The Mailbox, go here.