Podcasts about Deterrence

Hockey, Hot Mics & Skynet: Trump's Winning Too Much, ICE Goes Rogue, and Iran Is “Weeks Away” (Again) Dan and Corey riff through a chaotic Libservative episode: a U.S. hockey gold win gets instantly politicized via a Cash Patel selfie and Trump's comments, with both left and right accused of ruining sports and the women's team dragged into the discourse. They call Trump's State of the Union a boring, theatrical “WWE” event full of cherry-picked stats, hot-mic moments, and performative outrage, including a clip of Trump bragging about “winning too much.” They argue media manufactures consent for war, especially around repeated Iran nuclear scare narratives, highlighted by a montage of Netanyahu saying Iran is close for decades. The show covers fears of AI-driven surveillance and autonomous weapons as the Pentagon pressures Anthropic, plus whistleblower testimony alleging ICE training is gutted and cadets are taught to enter homes without judicial warrants. They praise a political stunt by NYC's Zohran Mamdani leveraging Trump's vanity to push housing, then end with TikTok clips about “schizos,” legal harassment of lawmakers, and JD Vance chair-humping memes. 00:00 Cold Open Banter 02:17 Hockey Win Gets Political 09:54 Trump Call Fallout 13:10 Iran War Drumbeat 13:36 State Of Union Theater 25:01 Winning Too Much Clip 27:06 SOTU Side Characters 30:48 Medals And Politicization 33:51 Wrap SOTU Loose Ends 35:00 Medicaid Cutoff Confusion 35:22 Handshake Mandela Moment 36:05 Iran Nukes and Netanyahu Clips 38:23 Deterrence and Who Uses Nukes 42:59 Bible Politics and Land Claims 46:52 Iraq War Playbook Returns 48:56 Media Manufacturing Consent 52:10 Venezuela Oil and Dollar Power 54:00 Pentagon Pressures Anthropic 01:03:14 AI Surveillance and Rights Debate 01:10:44 DHS Shutdown and ICE Oversight 01:15:44 Whistleblower on ICE Training Cuts 01:19:58 Warrantless Entry Memo 01:21:36 Constitution Over Deportations 01:25:44 Undertrained Agents Fallout 01:27:56 Catholic Church Tangent 01:29:42 Anti Federal Government Rule 01:32:23 Voter ID Debate 01:38:52 Trump Vanity Housing Play 01:44:32 TikToks Schizos vs Psychos 01:48:45 Harassing Congress Legally 01:51:50 JD Vance Chair Tell 01:55:03 Wrap Up and Plugs

PROF. Mohammad Marandi joins Kyle live from Moscow. His Internet connection is a little sketchy but the audio is fine. Be sure to comment to help us with the YT algorithm. What if the real battlefield isn't a border but a bottleneck? We sit down with Professor Mohammad Marandi to examine how Iran calculates risk, leverage, and legitimacy across a map defined as much by energy corridors as by military bases. From the broken promises of the JCPOA to the aftershocks of a 12-day war, we trace why Tehran insists on a narrow negotiating lane—nuclear assurances only—while locking every other door. Marandi argues that missiles, drones, and regional alliances won't be traded for sanctions relief, pointing to lessons from Syria and recent clashes that, in Iran's view, validated conventional deterrence. He walks through why trust collapsed: inconsistent U.S. compliance, shifting goalposts, and the absence of automatic penalties when commitments are breached. The proposed fix is mechanical rather than symbolic—snap, balanced consequences for violations that make cheating too costly. Alongside this, we explore Iran's stated religious and strategic opposition to nuclear weapons, paired with an explicit caveat about existential threats that functions as deterrence without overt weaponization. The most provocative claim centers on geography and economics. Iran's core deterrent, he says, is aimed at the Persian Gulf, not Israel: dense, vulnerable infrastructure, U.S. bases within range, and shipping lanes that tie oil and gas to global stability. A major war would rupture supply chains, spike markets, and outpace neat military outcomes. That logic, combined with a domestic pivot toward BRICS and the SCO, sets the political price for any new deal. Expect discussions to focus on recognition of enrichment rights, rigorous but bounded inspections, and automatic reciprocity for noncompliance—nothing more on missiles or allies. We close by testing media narratives of Iranian fragility against mass mobilizations at home and a wider global mood swing on Israel-Palestine. Agree or challenge these assessments, the takeaway is the same: any agreement that lasts must align with how power, risk, and credibility are actually distributed on the ground and at sea. If this conversation sharpened your view, follow the show, share it with a friend, and leave a review with the one clause you believe any durable deal must include.

Jonathan Schanzer, Executive Director of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, analyzes Hezbollah's remaining missile arsenal, Israeli deterrence strategies, and the security vacuum in Syria following the escape of ISISrelatives from detention camps. 8.1896 PERSIA

What happens when a “surgical strike” meets a country that's spent years hardening its air defenses, extending missile range, and practicing asymmetric warfare? We sit down with Larry Johnson to test the myths, map the ranges, and weigh what a U.S. or Israeli hit on Iran would truly unleash. From carrier standoff distances and Tomahawk limits to GPS disruption and Russian-made air defenses, we break down the real capabilities and constraints that rarely make it into headlines—and why quick wars promised from podiums so often become long, costly stalemates. The conversation widens to Israel's calculus and the political push in Washington. Can Jerusalem act alone if Iran crosses a ballistic red line? Johnson argues the “12-day war” already answered that: retaliation arrived within hours, pressure mounted by day six, and only a quiet workaround ended the exchange. We also unpack the emerging China–Russia–Iran defense ecosystem—3D radar, GPS jamming, naval drills—that raises the cost of any strike and heightens the chance of spillover into the Gulf, the Red Sea, and global energy routes. Deterrence by threat of nukes sounds simple; in a crowded neighborhood of nuclear and near-peer powers, it's a dangerous bet. With the last U.S.–Russia arms control guardrail gone, tensions don't just simmer—they set the stage for miscalculation. Johnson lays out how New START's collapse, escalating sanctions, and unkept diplomatic signals leave Moscow convinced that only battlefield facts count. That leads us to Ukraine's outlook: dwindling manpower, training pipelines under missile threat, and a Russian campaign that advances by attrition and pressure. We explore why Odessa remains pivotal, how air defense shortages compound losses, and what a negotiated end might look like when one side insists on new borders and the other can't regenerate combat power fast enough. If you value clear-eyed analysis over slogans, this deep dive connects the dots between Iran, Israel, Russia, China, and Ukraine with a focus on capabilities, logistics, and consequences. Follow the show, share this episode with a friend who tracks geopolitics, and leave a review telling us where you think the off-ramp lies.

U.S. forces are converging near Iran. Iran is conducting joint military drills with Russia. And a senior adviser warns there's a 90% chance of military action within weeks if diplomacy fails. The White House says all options are on the table. President Donald Trump hasn't set a public deadline — but patience appears to be running thin. Is this brinkmanship? Deterrence? Or are we already on the edge of something much bigger? Tonight we break down escalating tensions, assassination plot allegations, funding controversies, and the political divide over how America should respond.

Jim and Curtis welcome Senior Fellow, Christopher Stone, to examine Greenland's growing strategic importance in U.S. Golden Dome missile defense and deterrence. They unpack common misconceptions about Greenland's role, discuss sovereignty and self‑determination issues, and explore how emerging threats—such as hypersonic weapons and Arctic militarization—are reshaping deterrence, space policy, and great‑power competition in the High North.Get Involved with more NIDS Services: https://thinkdeterrence.com/Deterrence Education at NIDS https://thinkdeterrence.com/deterrence-education/ Listen to our Podcasts NIDS Podcast Network - National Institute for Deterrence Studies Like and follow us –The NIDS View: https://media.rss.com/nuclearview/feed.xmlLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/thinkdeterrence X.com: https://x.com/thinkdeterrence YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCyGa4dcPqONWzjmbuZMOBHQ Rumble: https://rumble.com/user/NIDSthinkdeterrence Global Security Review: https://globalsecurityreview.comOur Free Events: https://thinkdeterrence.com/events/

Wojciech Przybylski speaks with Maria Repko, Deputy Director at the Centre for Economic Strategy in Kyiv, about how Ukraine's economy functions under winter blackouts, missile attacks and a war-driven defence industry boom.In this episode:– What daily life looks like in Kyiv at -20 degrees with rationed electricity and broken heating– Why Ukrainians reject the ‘resilience' label and what it obscures– Poland–Ukraine cooperation after Donald Tusk's visit and the shift from ‘emotional' to ‘rational' politics– The SAFE mechanism, EU defence funding and why Ukraine's defence industry iterates faster– What to expect from the Ukraine Recovery Conference in Gdańsk– Why ‘closing the sky' matters more than any reconstruction cheque– Frozen Russian assets and what Europe signals by keeping them immobilisedSubscribe for more conversations on democratic security, security policy and political economy in Central Europe.Support independent journalism and analysis: https://visegradinsight.eu/membership-account/membership-checkout/Podcast listeners' code: visegrad35 (35 per cent off yearly subscription)Watch on YouTube: Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/4wOAm6tjBMzvqgtAX7XaIg?si=qapxXc0JTUKBU0ddYk9RjAListen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/at/podcast/ukraines-economy-is-growing-despite-genocide/id1515725435?i=1000749271637&l=en-GB00:00 Guest intro: Ukraine's economy under war00:25 Podcast intro and context01:38 Kyiv winter, vulnerability and survival02:08 Heating destruction and electricity rationing04:21 ‘We do not like the word resilience anymore'05:16 Poland's visit to Kyiv, new cooperation agenda07:58 From ‘emotional' to ‘rational' bilateral politics11:16 Subscription message (promo code)11:40 Ukraine Recovery Conference and diplomacy track13:15 Why the conference matters (Berlin, Rome, now Gdańsk)14:23 A new defence pillar and business-driven recovery15:13 ‘Close the sky': prevention over recovery17:21 Where frozen assets sit and why it stays opaque18:50 Europe's credibility and deterrence signal29:51 Why financial support underpins state capacity30:56 Deterrence logic and Russia's military spending32:29 Why Russia is not preparing to stop34:07 Outro

Stop using accountability as a weapon and start using it as a tool for growth. In this episode, JP Nerbun, Nate Sanderson, and Betsy Butterick break down why traditional "discipline" often fails and how to build a culture of mutual trust.Subscribe to join us for more discussions like this and go deeper with a FREE membership in the TOC Coach Community: https://www.skool.com/toccoachSubscribe to the Culture Toolbox Newsletter for the notes to this and every episode! https://tocculture.com/culture-toolbox Most coaches want accountability, but few know how to teach the actual communication skills athletes need to hold each other to a standard. We explore the "Trust Gap," the difference between punishment and outcomes, and a powerful story of how one athlete's confession transformed a team's culture.In this episode, we discuss:The Accountability Trap: Why athletes often have a negative association with the word and how to reframe it as "responsibility".   Skill vs. Fear: Why players don't speak up (hint: it's usually because they haven't been taught how).   Consistency is Key: How treating star players differently destroys team trust. Outcomes over Consequences: Shifting the language to emphasize player choice and education over compliance.   Building Mutual Trust: Practical ways to invite your players to hold you accountable as a leader.Chapters:0:00 – What coaches get wrong about accountability2:15 – Why athletes feel frustrated by "The Word"4:45 – The 3 things athletes need: Consistency, Clarity, and Skill7:30 – Accountability vs. Discipline vs. Feedback10:15 – Reframing "Consequences" to "Outcomes"13:40 – Deterrence vs. Grace: The "All-Boys School" example16:20 – A story of radical ownership: The athlete confession19:50 – How to build mutual trust with your players23:10 – Closing thoughts: Modeling the standard

In this episode of Econ 102, Noah and Erik are joined by Flock Safety CEO to cover America's crime crisis and how to solve it with technology. They explore international comparisons, why America's crime problem is unique, how cameras can deter crime, tradeoffs in crime reduction, and more.-Sponsors:NotionAI meeting notes lives right in Notion, everything you capture, whether that's meetings, podcasts, interviews, conversations, live exactly where you plan, build, and get things done.  Here's an exclusive offer for our listeners. Try one month for free at ⁠https://www.notion.com/lp/econ102 NetSuiteMore than 42,000 businesses have already upgraded to NetSuite by Oracle, the #1 cloud financial system bringing accounting, financial management, inventory, HR, into ONE proven platform. Download the CFO's Guide to AI and Machine learning: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://netsuite.com/102 Found Found provides small business owners tools to track expenses, calculate taxes, manage cashflow, send invoices and more. Open a Found account for free at https://found.com-FOLLOW on X:https://x.com/glangleyhttps://x.com/eriktorenberghttps://x.com/Noahpinion-Shownotes brought to you by Notion AI Meeting Notes - try one month for free at https://www.notion.com/lp/econ102- Discussion opened with comparisons between AI's impact on various professions, particularly radiology- America's murder rate is approximately 5x higher than Europe and 10x higher than Asia, making it a significantly more violent country- Crime has become increasingly sophisticated over the past decade, shifting from impulsive juvenile offenses to organized, profit-driven enterprises- Foreign criminal organizations operate with different specialties: South American gangs focus on narcotics, firearms, and use drones for reconnaissance- Geographic spread: American cities are too suburban for effective foot patrols, forcing police to drive instead - foot patrols are proven to be more effective deterrents- Gun availability: While firearms make approximately a 2x difference in murder rates, eliminating all guns (which would be extremely difficult) would only get America halfway to European safety levels- Americans have restructured their entire lives around crime avoidance, creating costs not captured in crime statistics- Deterrence through likelihood of capture: Research shows criminals are deterred by the likelihood of getting caught, not by severity of punishment- Garrett compared criminal behavior to children - they commit crimes because they think they'll get away with it, not because punishment is insufficient- Cameras create permanent records that make crime detection highly likely, fundamentally changing the risk calculus- Even with permissive DAs or judges, the existence of video evidence creates accountability- Japan achieved approximately a 5x reduction in crime through widespread camera deployment- Cameras effectively ended many categories of street crime, with criminals openly acknowledging they "can't commit crimes, there's cameras everywhere"- Reduced crime would save cities enormous costs - San Francisco could save approximately $1 billion by reducing crime to Asian standards- Noah emphasized that "law and order" rhetoric won't work in liberal cities - need a different framing- The progressive case for surveillance: Enables walkable neighborhoods and vibrant urbanism- Some American cities don't believe crime is a serious problem, viewing current levels as acceptable- These cities will likely experience declining populations and tax bases, creating a downward spiral until they recognize the need for action- Cities that resist camera technology often have underlying trust issues with their local government- In communities where residents trust their elected officials want them to succeed, camera adoption is widely embraced-Timestamps:0:00 - Introduction3:00 - The State of Crime in America6:04 - Crime Statistics Debate10:59 - The Solution: Cameras Everywhere12:15 - Sponsors: Notion | NetSuite17:00 - How Deterrence Really Works19:35 - Japan's Success with Cameras22:46 - Privacy and Cultural Trade-offs25:50 - Sponsor: Found38:35 - Economic Benefits and Policy44:19 - Closing Thoughts-Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details, please see https://a16z.com/disclosures. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Henry Sokolski notes amidst expired treaties, the US reintroduces extended deterrence language and recommits to the NPT, though non-proliferation enforcement remains inconsistent and challenging against determined adversaries.DECEMBER 1956

In this episode of the Contested Ground podcast, Steve Kuper and Major General (Ret'd) Dr Marcus Thompson are joined by Dr Malcolm Davis, Australian Strategic Policy Institute defence strategy and capability senior analyst, to unpack the strategic shockwaves emerging from the United States' 2026 National Defense Strategy. The trio examine what Washington's shift towards an offshore balancing posture means for Australia, including renewed pressure to lift defence spending, the implications of deterrence by denial along the first island chain, and the risks of assuming unconditional US support in a rapidly deteriorating Indo-Pacific security environment. They also explore the growing assertiveness of China, the fine line between stabilisation and accommodation, and whether Australia is approaching a modern-day version of World War II's "1939 tipping point moment" that demands greater self-reliance, expanded defence industrial capacity, and difficult conversations with the Australian public. Finally, the discussion turns to force structure, autonomous systems, guided weapons, and the hard choices facing government as Australia seeks to balance immediate readiness, AUKUS, and long-term strategic resilience in an era of uncertainty. Enjoy the podcast, The Contested Ground team

In this episode of the Contested Ground podcast, Steve Kuper and Major General (Ret'd) Dr Marcus Thompson are joined by Dr Malcolm Davis, Australian Strategic Policy Institute defence strategy and capability senior analyst, to unpack the strategic shockwaves emerging from the United States' 2026 National Defense Strategy. The trio examine what Washington's shift towards an offshore balancing posture means for Australia, including renewed pressure to lift defence spending, the implications of deterrence by denial along the first island chain, and the risks of assuming unconditional US support in a rapidly deteriorating Indo-Pacific security environment. They also explore the growing assertiveness of China, the fine line between stabilisation and accommodation, and whether Australia is approaching a modern-day version of World War II's "1939 tipping point moment" that demands greater self-reliance, expanded defence industrial capacity, and difficult conversations with the Australian public. Finally, the discussion turns to force structure, autonomous systems, guided weapons, and the hard choices facing government as Australia seeks to balance immediate readiness, AUKUS, and long-term strategic resilience in an era of uncertainty. Enjoy the podcast, The Contested Ground team

Guest: Henry Sokolski. Sokolski discusses the 75th anniversary of atomic testing, health risks for downwinders, nuclear energy costs, and the omission of extended deterrence from defense strategies.1955 SEMINOLE TEST. ENEWETAK ATOLL

Conversations on Groong - Jan 31, 2026Topics:  - Foreign intelligence service  - FIS report, strategic gaps  - Azerbaijan risk and deterrence  - Hybrid threats and elections  - TRIPP, AI, and data risksGuest: David DavidianHosts:  - Hovik Manucharyan  - Asbed BedrossianEpisode 511 | Recorded: Jan 28, 2026SHOW NOTES: https://podcasts.groong.org/511VIDEO: https://youtu.be/dMX6GW54Eek#Groong #Armenia #FIS #ForeignIntelligence #NationalSecurity #TRIPPSubscribe and follow us everywhere you are: linktr.ee/groong

France fines unemployment agency €5 million over data breach Microsoft Teams addition will allow for suspicious calls to be reported UK leaders warned about absorbing cyberattacks without offensive deterrence Check out the show notes here:  Huge thanks to our episode sponsor, Conveyor Want to hear a horror story?   An infosec manager found out that their sales rep had filled in a customer security questionnaire themselves and sent it back to the customer without review.   Which led to dozens of follow up questions.   With Conveyor's Trust Center AI Agent, you can avoid all of that.   The Agent lives in your Conveyor hosted Trust Center and answers every customer question, surfaces documents and even completes full questionnaires instantly so customers can finish their review and be on their way.   Learn more at Conveyor.com   Find the stories behind the headlines at https://cisoseries.com/cybersecurity-news-france-fines-unemployment-agency-teams-flags-calls-uk-pushes-deterrence/

Carol Stauffer, USARPAC G2, joins host Tom Spahr to explore Theater Army intel in the Indo-Pacific. They discuss the shift from "kill chains" to a "kill mesh" & how human relationships maintain deterrence across 35 nations https://warroom.armywarcollege.edu/podcasts/data-deterrence-diplomacy

Concern about the possibility of a Chinese attack against Taiwan has surged in recent years. Wargames and research studies have focused primarily on identifying gaps in US and allied capabilities with the goal of strengthening deterrence. A relatively understudied question, however, is the potential consequences for China if a military operation against Taiwan were to fail. To address this gap, the German Marshall Fund led a study of the possible costs that China would incur across four different, but interrelated areas: the Chinese economy, the military, Chinese social stability, and international costs.GMF commissioned four papers on these key areas. We considered two scenarios that could realistically take place in the next five years. In the first scenario, a minor skirmish escalated into a multi-week maritime blockade of Taiwan by China. Although several dozen members of the Chinese and Taiwanese military were killed, US intervention eventually forced China to de-escalate.  In the second scenario, a conflict escalated into a full-fledged invasion, with Chinese strikes on not only Taiwan but also U.S. forces in Japan and Guam. After several months of heavy fighting, Chinese forces were degraded and eventually withdrew after suffering many tens of thousands of casualties.The authors found that the costs to China of a failed military action against Taiwan would likely be considerable. We believe their findings are important and warrant wide dissemination. In this podcast, we'll discuss the report's major conclusions and implications. Then we'll talk about the potential impact of a failed Chinese attempt to take Taiwan on China's military capabilities and the possible international costs that Beijing could face.  Our next two China Global podcasts will examine the implications of a failed military operation against Taiwan for China's economy and social stability.Our guests today are Zack Cooper and Joel Wuthnow. Zack is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and lecturer at Princeton University.  Joel is a senior research fellow in the Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs within the Institute for National Strategic Studies at NDU. Joel's paper and this interview reflect only his personal views and not those of the National Defense University, the Department of War, or the US government.Timestamps: [00:00] Introduction  [03:22] Implications for China, the United States, and Taiwan [06:31] Actions to Strengthen Deterrence  [08:50] Evaluating Costs and Risks for Chinese Decisionmakers[11:46] Lessons Learned for the PLA [14:05] Steps to Avoid Another Attack [17:14] Intensifying Frictions between Party and Military?  [19:53] Anticipating US Intervention as a Military Variable [22:49] Countries and Organizations Likely to Respond to China[25:55] Potential Diplomatic Actions and Costs[31:50] A Treaty Alliance with Taiwan [34:44] Why International Costs Matter to China

In this episode of The NIDS View, Jim and Curtis dive into one of the most consequential questions facing national security today: How will artificial intelligence reshape deterrence? From enhanced decision-making to the potential for miscalculation, they break down the dual-edged nature of AI as both a strategic asset and a source of new risks. The conversation explores how AI could amplify geopolitical power in both high- and low-trust worlds and challenge long‑standing assumptions about AI confidence, signaling, and escalation. Clear-eyed and thought‑provoking, this episode offers a grounded look at why understanding AI's role in deterrence is essential for leaders, policymakers, and anyone tracking the future of global security.Get Involved with more NIDS Services: https://thinkdeterrence.com/Deterrence Education at NIDS https://thinkdeterrence.com/deterrence-education/ Listen to our Podcasts NIDS Podcast Network - National Institute for Deterrence Studies Like and follow us –The NIDS View: https://media.rss.com/nuclearview/feed.xmlLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/thinkdeterrence X.com: https://x.com/thinkdeterrence YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCyGa4dcPqONWzjmbuZMOBHQ Rumble: https://rumble.com/user/NIDSthinkdeterrence Global Security Review: https://globalsecurityreview.comOur Free Events: https://thinkdeterrence.com/events/

Enjoyed this episode or the podcast in general? Send me a text message:The most decisive missions are the ones that never launch. This episode tracks a living thread of strategic airpower—from the magnesium “Peacemaker” to the digital-native Raider—and shows how bombers shaped diplomacy as much as war. We start with first principles: why strategic bombing is about deterrence and credibility, not dogfights or sorties flown. Then we follow the lineage. The B-36 proved that range equals influence and helped cement the nuclear triad. The B-47 unlocked the jet age for both the military and commercial aviation, but at a human and structural cost that forced training and engineering revolutions. The B-52 outlived its would‑be replacements by adapting—from nuclear alert to precision strike—through Vietnam, Desert Storm, and operations across the 21st century.Speed had its moment. The B-58 Hustler and XB‑70 Valkyrie chased Mach numbers until Soviet SAMs rewrote the rules. Tactics dropped to the weeds, and the B‑1 Lancer became the low‑level penetrator built to survive. Stealth changed the game again. The B‑2 Spirit's low‑observable design, long‑range precision, and deployments from Diego Garcia showed how to blind defenses and finish fights fast—especially when paired with carrier air wings, Growlers, Tomahawks, and Aegis SM‑6 shields in coordinated SEAD.Enter the B‑21 Raider. Smaller than the B‑2, stealthier by design, and built for the Pacific's realities, it combines buried engines, recessed inlets, and next‑gen RAM coatings with open‑architecture software, modular hardware, and optional manning. That makes it more than a bomber: a sensor, a comms node, and a drone quarterback ready for CCAs, hypersonics, and future weapons. With genuine intercontinental range and a price curve trending down, the Raider is poised to become the air‑breathing backbone of deterrence—able to penetrate A2/AD belts without staking tankers or forward bases.From six turning and four burning to radar‑ghost silent, this story isn't nostalgia. It's a systems view of power projection, where the right mix of stealth, range, and integration cools crises before they boil. If this journey resonated, follow the show, share it with a friend who loves aviation history and strategy, and leave a review telling us which bomber best matched its moment.Support the showTo help support this podcast and become a PilotPhotog ProCast member: https://www.buzzsprout.com/1555784/supportIf you enjoy this episode, subscribe to this podcast, you can find links to most podcast streaming services here: PilotPhotog Podcast (buzzsprout.com) Sign up for the free weekly newsletter Hangar Flyingwith Tog here: https://hangarflyingwithtog.com You can check out my YouTube channel for many videos on fighter planes here: https://youtube.com/c/PilotPhotog If you'd like to support this podcast via Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PilotPhotog And finally, you can follow me on Twitter here: https://twitter.com/pilotphotog

Jim and Curtis discuss the implications for deterrence following the change in Venezuelan leadership. They explore the context of U.S. foreign policy, particularly the Monroe Doctrine, and analyze the various threat vectors emerging from Venezuela, including narco-terrorism and geopolitical adversaries. The conversation emphasizes the importance of enforcing international rules and the economic implications of these actions to ensure long-term stability. Get Involved with more NIDS Services: https://thinkdeterrence.com/ Deterrence Education at NIDS https://thinkdeterrence.com/deterrence-education/ Listen to our Podcasts NIDS Podcast Network - National Institute for Deterrence Studies Like and follow us – The NIDS View: https://media.rss.com/nuclearview/feed.xml LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/thinkdeterrence X.com: https://x.com/thinkdeterrence YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCyGa4dcPqONWzjmbuZMOBHQ Rumble: https://rumble.com/user/NIDSthinkdeterrence Global Security Review: https://globalsecurityreview.com Our Free Events: https://thinkdeterrence.com/events/

RUSSIA'S ORESHNIK MISSILE AND PSYCHOLOGICAL DETERRENCE Colleague John Hardy. Russia is utilizing the Oreshnik missile to strike Ukrainian infrastructure, leaving thousands without heat. John Hardy explains these strikes serve as psychological intimidation to deter Western nations from providing security guarantees or ground troops. Recent strikes likely targeted an aircraft repair plant, not gas storage. NUMBER 7OCTOBER 1938

A single account. A single operation. And a claim so shocking it could redefine modern warfare. According to a Venezuelan guard's jaw-dropping testimony, U.S. forces allegedly neutralized hundreds of Maduro's defenders without losing a single soldier—using technology unlike anything seen in human history.

NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION AND ECONOMIC ISOLATION AS DETERRENCE Colleagues James Fanell and Bradley Thayer. To deter immediate Chinese aggression, Fanell advocates for "war fighting proliferation," suggesting the US should support nuclear capabilities for allies like Japan and South Korea because conventional US forces cannot be rebuilt fast enough. Thayer argues for total economic decoupling, urging Washington to cut off trade to exploit Xi Jinping's domestic weaknesses. They propose "political warfare" to isolate the regime diplomatically, treating the CCPas a pariah to encourage internal dissent. They emphasize that the goal is not invasion, but power politics and credible deterrence to change Beijing's calculus without boots on the ground. FANELL NUMBER 41925 DUTCH MARINES PATROL SHANGHAI

The Complex Landscape of Sentencing: Balancing Justice and RedemptionThis conversation delves into the complexities of sentencing in criminal law, exploring the philosophical foundations of punishment, the shift from rehabilitation to retribution, and the implications of mass incarceration. It examines the effectiveness of deterrence and incapacitation, the challenges of parole, and the debate surrounding life without parole. The discussion also highlights the role of algorithmic risk assessments and emerging paradigms like restorative justice, ultimately questioning the future of justice and the potential for redemption.In the realm of criminal law, the question of why we punish is as philosophical as it is practical. This exploration delves into the heart of sentencing, examining the four core philosophies: retribution, deterrence, rehabilitation, and incapacitation. Each philosophy offers a unique lens through which to view justice, yet they often collide with the messy realities of judicial discretion and sentencing reform.Retribution: A Look BackwardRetribution is rooted in the past, focusing on settling a moral score for actions already committed. It demands that punishment fit the crime, emphasizing proportionality to ensure fairness. However, the challenge lies in achieving perfect proportionality, as the subjective experience of punishment can vary widely among individuals.Deterrence: The Forward-Looking ApproachDeterrence aims to prevent future crimes by making punishment a deterrent. It operates on the assumption that potential offenders will weigh the costs and benefits of their actions. Yet, research shows that the certainty of punishment, rather than its severity, is what truly deters crime. This highlights a significant policy paradox, as lawmakers often focus on increasing sentence lengths rather than improving the likelihood of apprehension.Rehabilitation: The Noble IdealRehabilitation seeks to reform offenders by addressing the root causes of their behavior. While historically dominant, this approach faced criticism for its perceived ineffectiveness. However, a resurgence of interest in evidence-based corrections offers hope for more targeted interventions that address criminogenic needs, such as cognitive behavioral therapy and vocational education.Incapacitation: The Brute Force SolutionIncapacitation physically prevents offenders from committing further crimes by removing them from society. While effective in the short term, its long-term efficacy is debated, particularly when considering the replacement effect in market-driven crimes.The Path Forward: Embracing ComplexityAs we navigate the complexities of sentencing, the challenge remains to balance competing values: fairness versus freedom, certainty versus discretion. The rise of restorative and community justice offers a promising alternative, focusing on repairing harm and integrating social services into the justice system. Ultimately, the quest for a just response to crime requires embracing the complexity of human lives and prioritizing redemption over retribution.Conclusion: A Call to ActionFor those studying law, understanding these philosophies is crucial. Yet, beyond academic analysis, the broader question persists: What does a truly just response to crime look like? As future legal professionals and citizens, grappling with this question will shape the future of our justice system.TakeawaysSentencing is a critical juncture in criminal law.The philosophical goals of sentencing include retribution, deterrence, incapacitation, and rehabilitation.The shift from rehabilitation to a punitive system has led to mass incarceration.Deterrence relies more on the certainty of punishment than its severity.Incapacitation may not effectively reduce crime rates due to the replacement effect.sentencing, criminal law, retribution, rehabilitation, deterrence, incapacitation, mass incarceration, justice system, parole, redemption

Dr. Li-Meng Yan w/ The Voice of Dr. Yan – Democratic nations must stop outsourcing their biotechnology and material supply chains. We must impose strict export controls, robust verification, and real penalties when rules are broken. Deterrence worked for nuclear proliferation. Apply the same rigor to synthetic biology and radioactive materials. This is not a policy academic exercise. It is a battle for survival...

Happy Holidays from Curtis and Jim as they discuss the recent advancements in nuclear deterrence modernization, focusing on the W88 nuclear warhead upgrade and its implications for national security. They explore the modernization of other weapons, the importance of developing new systems, and the role of deterrence in maintaining peace. The conversation also covers updates on the B-21 Raider stealth bomber and the Columbia-class submarines, emphasizing the need for operational readiness and strategic planning amid evolving threats.Get Involved with more NIDS Services: https://thinkdeterrence.com/ Deterrence Education at NIDS https://thinkdeterrence.com/deterrence-education/ Listen to our Podcasts NIDS Podcast Network - National Institute for Deterrence Studies Like and follow us – The NIDS View: https://media.rss.com/nuclearview/feed.xml LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/thinkdeterrence X.com: https://x.com/thinkdeterrence YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCyGa4dcPqONWzjmbuZMOBHQ Rumble: https://rumble.com/user/NIDSthinkdeterrence Global Security Review: https://globalsecurityreview.com Our Free Events: https://thinkdeterrence.com/events/

The Cognitive Crucible is a forum that presents different perspectives and emerging thought leadership related to the information environment. The opinions expressed by guests are their own, and do not necessarily reflect the views of or endorsement by the Information Professionals Association. During this episode, Dr. Josh "Bugsy" Segal recaps his recent observations from the Ukraine battlefield and concerns for Western governments which don't adapt quickly. Ukraine's rapid development of sophisticated, cost-effective domestic defense technology, including advanced counter-drone systems, is positioning the nation as a key arms supplier of the future. This innovation highlights a critical national security concern for the U.S., as expensive Western weapons have proven ineffective against Russian countermeasures, and the American defense industry is failing to incorporate vital battlefield insights. To maintain its global defense sector dominance, the U.S. must accept its current competitive disadvantage and immediately prioritize collaboration with Ukraine to integrate its effective, relevant technology. Recording Date: 12 Dec 2025 Resources: Cognitive Crucible Podcast Episodes Mentioned #192 Josh "Bugsy" Segal on the American Maginot Line #219 Dr. Josh Segal on Are We Losing the War? Lethality, Deterrence, and Information Ukraine offers a roadmap for faster and cheaper battlefield innovation by Josh Segal Defense in depth Brave 1 Ukrainian Defense Innovation Fire Point Weapons Systems Link to full show notes and resources Guest Bio:  Josh Segal holds a Ph.D. in Russian Studies from George Washington University and an MA in Russian Studies from Emory University and graduated Summa Cum Laude from Emory. He is a former negotiator on Chemical Weapons Convention and helped establish the OPCW,  and other treaties in the 1990s, became active duty Navy Info warfare and intel officer and served 27 years, finishing as Director of the Information Warfare Program and finally at US Special Operations Command. Current;y, he is a senior advisor to a number of Department of War leaders across Policy and the Services, recently returned from 11 speaking engagements in Europe and North America on Hybrid Warfare. About: The Information Professionals Association (IPA) is a non-profit organization dedicated to exploring the role of information activities, such as influence and cognitive security, within the national security sector and helping to bridge the divide between operations and research. Its goal is to increase interdisciplinary collaboration between scholars and practitioners and policymakers with an interest in this domain. For more information, please contact us at communications@information-professionals.org. Or, connect directly with The Cognitive Crucible podcast host, John Bicknell, on LinkedIn. Disclosure: As an Amazon Associate, 1) IPA earns from qualifying purchases, 2) IPA gets commissions for purchases made through links in this post.

The National Security Hour with Major Fred Galvin – What happens to a nation when it has laws… But no one enforces them? Borders collapse. Cartels expand. Embargoes are ignored. And America's enemies stop fearing consequences. This week on The National Security Hour, host Fred Galvin delivers a hard, unfiltered comparison America cannot afford to ignore...

In this essential episode, Ray Powell and Jim Carouso welcome two returning guests and leading strategic thinkers: retired Australian Army Major General Mick Ryan, author of “The War for Ukraine: Strategy and Adaptation Under Fire,” and Zack Cooper, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and co-host of the Net Assessment Podcast. Together, they dissect the Trump administration's newly released National Security Strategy and its implications for U.S. alliances, Indo-Pacific security, and the evolving competition with China.​NSS Unveiled: Zack explains what the National Security Strategy (NSS) is - the connective tissue linking U.S. objectives to the ways and means of achieving them - while noting the internal contradictions and lack of central logic. Released with minimal fanfare in early December, this NSS marks a significant departure from conventional approaches to American global engagement.​Regional Winners and Losers: Mick offers his characteristically candid, “she'll be right, mate” assessment, arguing that while Europe faces a much more civilizational challenge under this strategy, Indo-Pacific allies like Australia, Japan, and Taiwan emerge relatively intact. The document maintains U.S. commitment to the defense of the first island chain, though the beleaguered Philippines notably goes unmentioned.​Spheres of Influence and Inconsistencies: The experts dissect the document's troubling embrace of spheres of influence - asserting U.S. primacy in the Americas while condemning Chinese ambitions in Asia. This contradiction, combined with transactional mercantilism replacing values-based alliances, signals a fundamental shift in American grand strategy.​The China Challenge: Both guests critique how the NSS reduces all of Asia to a China problem, ignoring critical issues in South Asia, Southeast Asia, and the Pacific Islands. They explore China's aggressive response to Japanese Prime Minister Takeuchi's Taiwan comments and what Beijing's gray zone operations reveal about testing U.S. resolve.​Deterrence and Taiwan: Zack warns that U.S. strategy focuses too narrowly on preventing a Taiwan amphibious invasion while neglecting China's political warfare strategy. Mick emphasizes that Xi Jinping views Taiwan as a political problem, not primarily a military one, and may seek a grand bargain with President Trump.​Technology and National Security: The conversation addresses the controversial decision to allow Nvidia to sell advanced H200 chips to China, which both view as a significant national security mistake that undermines the technology competition goals in the NSS.Congressional Pushback: The recently released National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) includes provisions constraining troop withdrawals from South Korea and other guardrails, reflecting bipartisan congressional frustration with lack of Pentagon consultation.​Episode 118 provides indispensable analysis for understanding how U.S. Indo-Pacific strategy is developing under Trump 2.0, and why allies and adversaries alike are recalculating their positions in the world's most dynamic and consequential region.

The National Security Hour with Major Fred Galvin – What happens to a nation when it has laws… But no one enforces them? Borders collapse. Cartels expand. Embargoes are ignored. And America's enemies stop fearing consequences. This week on The National Security Hour, host Fred Galvin delivers a hard, unfiltered comparison America cannot afford to ignore...

David Shedd outlines strategies to counter Chinese espionage, advocating for "partial decoupling" to protect critical technologies like semiconductors and AI. He argues for modernizing legal deterrence to prosecute theft effectively and warns that Chinese platforms like DeepSeek harvest user data to advance their "Great Heist" of American wealth. 1950 RED ARMY

LISTEN and SUBSCRIBE on:Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/watchdog-on-wall-street-with-chris-markowski/id570687608 Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/2PtgPvJvqc2gkpGIkNMR5i WATCH and SUBSCRIBE on:https://www.youtube.com/@WatchdogOnWallstreet/featured  From America's uneasy military footprint in Syria to the broader question of assimilation at home, this episode tackles two issues that are often discussed separately—but shouldn't be. Why are U.S. troops stationed in places with no clear mission, and what happens when deterrence disappears? Drawing on insights from Victor Davis Hanson, Rand Paul, and history itself, the discussion argues that Americans should never be left as sitting ducks overseas. At the same time, it turns inward to the assimilation debate, questioning an immigration model that prioritizes numbers over shared values, cultural cohesion, and accountability. An empire that won't defend its people abroad—and won't insist on assimilation at home—eventually weakens itself on both fronts.

Today, Dominic Bowen hosts Dr Andrew Mumford on The International Risk Podcast to examine how grey zone warfare, hybrid tactics and strategic ambiguity are reshaping the contemporary security environment. They explore why sub-threshold activity has become a central feature of modern geopolitics, how states exploit ambiguity and deniability to pursue strategic objectives without triggering open conflict, and why these methods increasingly challenge traditional approaches to deterrence, escalation and international law.The conversation examines how cyber operations, disinformation, sabotage, proxy warfare and infrastructure interference generate cumulative effects that erode resilience, undermine public trust and complicate decision-making for governments, businesses and societies. Together, they discuss why hybrid threats are best understood not as isolated tactics but as part of a broader risk-management approach to conflict, and what this means for democratic resilience, public-private cooperation and the future of indirect warfare.Dr Andrew Mumford is Professor of War Studies at the University of Nottingham. His research focuses on contemporary and historical conflict, with particular expertise in insurgency, counterinsurgency, proxy warfare and military strategy. He is the author of The Counterinsurgency Myth, The British Experience of Irregular Warfare, and The West's War Against ISIS. His work examines how states manage risk, legitimacy and escalation in modern conflict, offering insights that inform policymakers, security practitioners and institutions grappling with the rise of hybrid and grey zone warfare.The International Risk Podcast brings you conversations with global experts, frontline practitioners, and senior decision-makers who are shaping how we understand and respond to international risk. From geopolitical volatility and organised crime to cybersecurity threats and hybrid warfare, each episode explores the forces transforming our world and what smart leaders must do to navigate them. Whether you're a board member, policymaker, or risk professional, The International Risk Podcast delivers actionable insights, sharp analysis, and real-world stories that matter.Dominic Bowen is the host of The International Risk Podcast and Europe's leading expert on international risk and crisis management. As Head of Strategic Advisory and Partner at one of Europe's leading risk management consulting firms, Dominic advises CEOs, boards, and senior executives across the continent on how to prepare for uncertainty and act with intent. He has spent decades working in war zones, advising multinational companies, and supporting Europe's business leaders. Dominic is the go-to business advisor for leaders navigating risk, crisis, and strategy; trusted for his clarity, calmness under pressure, and ability to turn volatility into competitive advantage. Dominic equips today's business leaders with the insight and confidence to lead through disruption and deliver sustained strategic advantage.The International Risk Podcast – Reducing risk by increasing knowledge.Follow us on LinkedIn and STell us what you liked!

Vijetha Koppa talks about Lethality Assessment Programs used by police in domestic violence incidents. OTHER RESEARCH WE DISCUSS IN THIS EPISODE: "Does the Certainty of Arrest Reduce Domestic Violence? Evidence from Mandatory and Recommended Arrest Laws" by Radha Iyengar. "Revisiting the Effect of Warrantless Domestic Violence Arrest Laws on Intimate Partner Homicides" by Yoo Mi Chin and Scott Cunningham. "Deterrence or Backlash? Arrests and the Dynamics of Domestic Violence" by Sofia Amaral, Gordon B. Dahl, Victoria Endl-Geyer, Timo Hener, and Helmut Rainer. "Improving Batterer Intervention Programs Through Theory-Based Research" by Gregory L. Stuart, Jeff R. Temple, and Todd M. Moore. "Batterer Intervention Programs: A Report From the Field" by Bethany J. Price and Alan Rosenbaum. “The next Generation of Court-Mandated Domestic Violence Treatment: A Comparison Study of Batterer Intervention and Restorative Justice Programs" by Linda G. Mills, Briana Barocas, and Barak Ariel. "The Oklahoma Lethality Assessment Study: A Quasi-Experimental Evaluation of the Lethality Assessment Program" by Jill T. Messing, Jacquelyn Campbell, Daniel W. Webster, Sheryll Brown, Beverly Patchell, and Janet Sullivan Wilson. "Criminal Charges, Risk Assessment, and Violent Recidivism in Cases of Domestic Abuse" by Dan A. Black, Jeffrey Grogger, Tom Kirchmaier, and Koen Sanders. "Policing in Patriarchy: An Experimental Evaluation of Reforms to Improve Police Responsiveness to Women in India" by Sandip Sukhtankar, Gabriele Kruks-Wisner, and Akshay Mangla. "Gender, Crime and Punishment: Evidence from Women Police Stations in India" by Sofia Amaral, Sonia R. Bhalotra, and Nishith Prakash. "Gender Violence, Enforcement, and Human Capital: Evidence from Women's Justice Centers in Peru" by Sviatschi, Maria Micaela, and Iva Trako. "Female Political Representation and Violence Against Women: Evidence from Brazil" by Magdalena Delaporte and Francisco Pino.

Digital ID cards wont stop illegals but Deter Detain and Deport will!  #IllegalMigration #StopTheBoats #DigitalIDCards #DetainAndDeport #BorderFailure #JonGaunt #NigelFarage #KeirStarmer  Digital ID cards won't stop the small boats — only deterrence will.  Every day, illegal migrants cross the Channel in small boats, while politicians talk tech and avoid enforcement. Digital ID cards don't stop dinghies, they don't scare people smugglers, and they don't secure borders — they just mean more control for you, none for those arriving illegally.  Tonight's LIVE Jon Gaunt–style showdown calls it out. We expose: Why Digital ID cards do NOTHING to stop small boat crossings How people smugglers exploit weak borders Why the boats keep coming without Deterrence, Detention and Deportation Why Starmer dodges enforcement while communities pay the price Why Nigel Farage was right to demand the boats be stopped  No slogans. No spin. Just the truth the political class and mainstream media won't touch.

The National Security Strategy and the First Island Chain: Colleague Steve Yates analyzes the National Security Strategy's focus on the "first island chain" and deterrence against China's bullying of Japan and the Philippines, noting the CCP's obsession with WWII-era Japan for propaganda fails to resonate regionally as neighbors face modern Chinese aggression and grey zone tactics.V 1684

Tensions between China and Japan have spiked since November 7 when Japan's newly elected prime minister, Sanae Takaichi, said in the Japanese parliament that a Chinese attack on Taiwan would be a situation threatening Japan's survival. Under Japan's 2015 security laws, that suggests Japan's self-defense forces could be activated to respond. The following day, the Chinese consul general in Osaka, Xue Jian, posted that China had no choice but to cut off the prime minister's head. China-Japan relations have since plummeted. China's top diplomat, Wang Yi, stated that Takaichi had “crossed a red line that should not have been touched.” China has taken retaliatory actions, restricting tourism to Japan and banning imports of Japanese seafood, among other actions. Why has Beijing reacted so strongly and how far are China-Japan relations likely to deteriorate?Joining us today to discuss the latest episode in China-Japan relations is Professor Akio Takahara. Professor Takahara is a Distinguished Visiting Professor at Tokyo Woman's Christian University and an Emeritus Professor at the University of Tokyo. He is also an Honorary Senior Fellow on Chinese Politics at the Asia Society Policy Institute's Center for China Analysis.Timestamps:[00:00] Introduction[02:07] The State of China-Japan Relations Pre-Dispute[02:49] Beijing's Reaction and Intended Audience[05:42] Continuity in Takaichi's Stance [10:31] Why a Chinese Takeover of Taiwan is Existential to Japan [13:03] China's Signals and Restraint[16:30] Recommendations for De-escalation[19:18] Senkaku Islands Dispute in Connection to Taiwan Dispute[22:04] Beijing's Potential Claims on Okinawa[24:23] View in Japan of the US Reaction[26:36] Takaichi's Support in Japan

New START, the last bilateral nuclear arms control treaty between the United States and Russia, will expire in February 2026 if Washington and Moscow do not reach an understanding on its extension—as they have signaled they are interested to do. What would the end of New START mean for U.S.-Russia relations and the arms control architecture that had for decades contributed to stability among great powers?Lawfare Public Service Fellow Ariane Tabatabai sits down with John Drennan, Robert A. Belfer International Affairs Fellow in European Security, at the Council on Foreign Relations, and Matthew Sharp, Fellow at MIT's Center for Nuclear Security Policy, to discuss what New START is, the implications of its expiration, and where the arms control regime might go from here.For further reading, see:“Putin's Nuclear Offer: How to Navigate a New START Extension,” by John Drennan and Erin D. Dumbacher, Council on Foreign Relations“No New START: Renewing the U.S.-Russian Deal Won't Solve Today's Nuclear Dilemmas,” by Eric S. Edelman and Franklin C. Miller, Foreign Affairs“2024 Report to Congress on Implementation of the New START Treaty,” from the Bureau of Arms Control, Deterrence, and Stability, U.S. Department of StateTo receive ad-free podcasts, become a Lawfare Material Supporter at www.patreon.com/lawfare. You can also support Lawfare by making a one-time donation at https://givebutter.com/lawfare-institute.Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/lawfare. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

At least one in four girls suffers childhood sexual abuse. For example, the Department of Justice (DoJ) concluded Jeffery Epstein trafficked over 1,000 girls, some as young as 14. Nevertheless, six years after Epstein's reported suicide, the Trump Administration's 2026 budget proposes to entirely delete a subsection of federal law that requires DoJ's Office of Violence Against Women to be “a separate and distinct office” and proposes to cut the Office of Violence Against Women's budget by nearly 30%. Per the CDC's Adverse Childhood Experiences (ACEs) study, launched over 25 yrs ago, at least 1 in 4 girls and 1 in 20 boys are sexually abused. Among numerous other sobering stats, ACEs-related health consequences cost the US an estimated $14.1 trillion dollars annually in direct medical spending and lost healthy-life years. Dr. Frank Putnam, a child and adolescent psychiatrist at the U. of North Carolina's Medical School who has spent his 35-year professional life investigating the effects of childhood sexual abuse on child development and adult outcomes, has recently completed “Old Before their Time” an autobiographical account of his research work and findings. In Dr. van der Klok's introduction to the book, he states childhood sexual abuse “embeds itself in a child's mind, body and behavior and is expressed across generations.” Deterrence “is the most powerful target for the prevention of mental illness and for reducing premature death from common illnesses.”Information regarding “Old Before Their Time” is at: https://www.amazon.com/Old-Before-Their-Time-Investigating/dp/1032974826. Dr. Frank Putman's bio is at: https://www.med.unc.edu/psych/people/frank-w-putnam-md/. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thehealthcarepolicypodcast.com

In the final episode of The Nuclear Threshold, A'ndre speaks with Alexandra Bell, President & CEO of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists and one of the leading U.S. diplomats behind recent efforts to strengthen arms control and reduce nuclear risks. Building on the technical and command-and-control foundations laid by Laura Grego and Steve Fetter, this conversation shifts to the political and diplomatic fault lines that make today's nuclear landscape uniquely dangerous.Alexandra explains why nuclear policy has fallen out of public view even as the world edges closer to crisis, and why diplomacy — often undervalued and underfunded — remains the only real mechanism for preventing disaster. Drawing on her experience negotiating the New START Treaty and other engagements, she breaks down the collapse of Cold War–era treaties, the rise of new nuclear states, and the challenge of rebuilding trust in a multipolar world.We also explore how deterrence theory holds up in an era of political volatility and weapons on minutes-notice alert. Alexandra discusses realistic steps the United States and others could take to reduce tensions, the role of scientific cooperation when politics freeze, and why public engagement has always been the catalyst for major progress on nuclear issues.As the Doomsday Clock sits closer to midnight than ever, Alexandra makes the case for “fearless diplomacy” — and why, despite the risks, the path away from catastrophe is still possible if governments and citizens choose it.

The US-China Economic and Security Review Commission has just released its 2025 annual report to Congress. The annual report's analysis and recommendations are a crucial source of information for Congress, the executive branch, and observers of US-China relations. This year's report includes 28 key recommendations for Congress.  On this episode of China Global, we have two Commissioners joining us to discuss the report, Commissioner Aaron Friedberg and Commissioner Mike Kuiken. Commissioner Friedberg is Professor of Politics and International Affairs at Princeton University and co-director of its Center for International Security Studies. He is also a non-resident senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, counselor to the National Bureau of Asian Research, and previously served as Vice President Dick Cheney's Deputy Assistant for National Security Affairs.Commissioner Kuiken is a Distinguished Visiting Fellow at Stanford's Hoover Institution and advisor to the Special Competitive Studies Project. He has over 20 years of experience shaping US national security policy, including 12 years on the Senate Armed Services Committee. Timestamps:[00:00] Intro[1:47] China's Role in the Axis of Autocracy[03:22] Best Response from US and Allies?[05:23] The Interlocking Innovation Flywheels Effect[07:47] Made in China 2025 Plan: 10 Years Later[10:25] Why Does Chinese Dominance Matter?  [12:39] Policy Prescriptions for the US[16:24] Lessons Learned from China Shock 1.0 and Preparing for 2.0[21:09] Bipartisan Political Will on China Policy[24:06] Taiwan as a Vital Interest to the US[28:06] Assuaging Taiwanese Doubts in Congress[30:17] Taiwan's Defense Spending Debate  

The Hoover History Lab and its Applied History Working Group in close partnership with the Global Policy and Strategy Initiative held The Arsenal of Democracy Technology, Industry, and Deterrence in an Age of Hard Choices on Thursday, November 20, 2025, from 4:00 PM - 5:15 PM PT. The event featured the authors Eyck Freymann, Hoover Fellow, and Harry Halem, Senior Fellow at Yorktown Institute, in conversation with Stephen Kotkin, Kleinheinz Family Senior Fellow. The US military stands at a moment of profound risk and uncertainty. China and its authoritarian partners have pulled far ahead in defense industrial capacity. Meanwhile, emerging technologies are reshaping the character of air and naval warfare and putting key elements of the US force at risk. To prevent a devastating war with China, America must rally its allies to build a new arsenal of democracy. But achieving this goal swiftly and affordably involves hard choices. The Arsenal of Democracy is the first book to integrate military strategy, industrial capacity, and budget realities into a comprehensive deterrence framework. While other books explain why deterrence matters, this book provides the detailed roadmap for how America can actually sustain deterrence through the 2030s—requiring a whole-of-nation effort with coordinated action across Congress, industry, and allied governments. Rapidly maturing technologies are already reshaping the battlefield: unmanned systems on air, land, sea, and undersea; advanced electronic warfare; space-based sensing; and more. Yet China's industrial strengths could give it advantages in a protracted conflict. The United States and its allies must both revitalize their industrial bases to achieve necessary production scale and adapt existing platforms to integrate new high-tech tools. FEATURING Eyck Freymann is a Hoover Fellow at Stanford University and a Non-Resident Research Fellow at the U.S. Naval War College, China Maritime Studies Institute. He works on strategies to preserve peace and protect U.S. interests and values in an era of systemic competition with China. He is the author of several books, including The Arsenal of Democracy: Technology, Industry, and Deterrence in an Age of Hard Choices, with Harry Halem, and One Belt One Road: Chinese Power Meets the World. His scholarly work has appeared in The China Quarterly and is forthcoming in International Security.  Harry Halem is a Senior Fellow at Yorktown Institute. He holds an MA (Hons) in Philosophy and International Relations from the University of St Andrews, and an MSc in Political Philosophy from the London School of Economics.  Mr. Halem worked for the Hudson Institute's Seapower Center, along with multiple UK think-tanks.  He has published a variety of short-form pieces and monographs on various aspects of military affairs, in addition to a short book on Libyan political history. Stephen Kotkin is the Kleinheinz Family Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution as well as a senior fellow at Stanford's Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies. He is also the Birkelund Professor in History and International Affairs emeritus at the Princeton School of Public and International Affairs (formerly the Woodrow Wilson School), where he taught for 33 years. He earned his PhD at the University of California–Berkeley and has been conducting research in the Hoover Library & Archives for more than three decades. Kotkin's research encompasses geopolitics and authoritarian regimes in history and in the present.

Cutting Off the CCP: Deterrence Through Nuclear Proliferation and Total Economic Isolation. Jim Fanell and Brad Thayer discuss critical, urgent actions required to counter the PRC's strategic forces threat. Given the severe strategic mismatch, Fanell argues that warfighting proliferation must be considered, suggesting nuclear capabilities and proliferation in Seoul, Tokyo, and even Taiwan to change the calculus in Beijing and Washington. Thayer emphasizes that the current downturn in the PRC's economy presents an opportunity to accelerate Xi Jinping's fall, recommending a political warfare strategy focused on evicting Xi Jinping and the CCP from power. Fanell clarifies they are not recommending armed conflict, but rather a strategy of power politics and isolating the PRC, treating the CCP as an evil, pariah regime by denying them access to US money, stripping them of Most Favored Nation status, and removing them from the World Trade Organization. The most important recommendation is the necessity for US leadership to admit failure as the critical first step to repairing damage to US authority and its allies.

Diplomacy and Deterrence: Trump's Asia Success and the Venezuela Crisis Guest: Mary Kissel Mary Kissel reviews President Trump's successful engagement in Asia, including the ACEN conference where trade agreements and critical mineral investments were highlighted. She notes the strengthening US-Japanese partnership with Prime Minister Takayuki Sai, calling Japan the only significant military counterbalance to China in the region. Regarding the US carrier deployment near Venezuela, Kissel supports the use of deterrence but raises concerns about the legality of military strikes on alleged drug boats without a declaration of war. The political aim may be to empower Venezuelans to overthrow the Maduro regime.

Diplomacy and Deterrence: Trump's Asia Success and the Venezuela Crisis Guest: Mary Kissel Mary Kissel reviews President Trump's successful engagement in Asia, including the ACEN conference where trade agreements and critical mineral investments were highlighted. She notes the strengthening US-Japanese partnership with Prime Minister Takayuki Sai, calling Japan the only significant military counterbalance to China in the region. Regarding the US carrier deployment near Venezuela, Kissel supports the use of deterrence but raises concerns about the legality of military strikes on alleged drug boats without a declaration of war. The political aim may be to empower Venezuelans to overthrow the Maduro regime.

Featuring the Kirsten and Charlotte Asdal alongside Tony (https://www.breakingbeijing.com/) Eric Robinson, Justin (https://justinmc.substack.com/) and myself Chapters 02:55 US-China Relations: Punctuated Decoupling 05:52 Woo Trump didn't sell out Taiwan! But what if he did? 08:21 Xi Jinping's Confidence and Military Calculations 24:12 Blockades 28:54 Innovation vs. Production in Defense Technology 43:08 Book Recommendations and Cultural Reflections 44:57 Game of the Week: Historical Insights Outtro music: suno' s version of bad bunny singing about antietam. I promise I won't do this for every episode outtro until the AI gets better. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

PREVIEW: Israeli Strikes Hit Houthi Targets but Fail to Achieve Deterrence Guest: Bridget Toumey John Batchelor speaks with Bridget Toumey of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies about the lack of success in deterring the Houthis following failed US and British campaigns. The discussion focuses on a recent Israeli strike in late September. Initial reports suggested the Israeli attack was a success in targeting Houthi infrastructure. However, Toumey states that while strikes hit their targets, they have not managed to deter the Houthis. Deterrence likely requires much more significant action than infrastructure strikes, such as killing the leader, Abdul-Malik al-Houthi, or senior military command. Alternatively, incurring costs on Iran for arming the Houthis might be necessary. Israel is expected to continue air strikes, though deterrence remains unachieved.