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In this episode we will be discussing computer chip vulnerabilities. In recent years the United States has shifted focus from the Global War on Terrorism to preparing for peer level threats. Key to this shift is the development of modern, networked weapons. These weapons would not be possible without microelectronics, better known as computer chips. These small components are the enabling technology for every aspect of modern society and advanced weaponry. How would the F-35 get off the ground without computer chips?While the development of these chips is a worldwide endeavor, over 98% of logic and memory chips are fabricated in just two countries, both located in the Indo-Pacific region. What happens if the supply of these chips is threatened? How can the United States meet this challenge?Scott Chafian, and Daniel Marujo, the president of Trusted Strategic Solutions, will review this, and more, in this month's episode of On Future War.References and NotesTSS Microchip Primer - https://tss.llc/microchip-primer/DOD INSTRUCTION 5200.44 - Protection of Mission Critical Functions to Achieve Trusted Systems and Networkshttps://www.esd.whs.mil/portals/54/documents/dd/issuances/dodi/520044p.pdfGhost Fleet: A Novel of the Next World War by P. W. Singer and August Cole Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Marc Benioff is the co-founder and CEO of Salesforce, the second-largest software company in the world. He started programming at age 15, selling his first program for $75, and went on to build Salesforce into a company worth more than $300 billion that also owns Slack, Tableau, Quip, and MuleSoft. Marc is known as a marketing legend, and is now leading Salesforce into the era of AI agents. In our conversation, we discuss:• The importance of maintaining a beginner's mind• His approach to product launches and marketing• Managing through tough times and layoffs• His relationship with Steve Jobs and lessons learned• Why Salesforce is betting big on AI agents• Many stories from his entrepreneurial roller coaster• Much more—Brought to you by:• Cloudinary—The foundational technology for all images and video on the internet• Enterpret—Transform customer feedback into product growth• Coda—The all-in-one collaborative workspace—Find the transcript at: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com/p/behind-the-founder-marc-benioff—Where to find Marc Benioff:• X: https://x.com/benioff• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/marcbenioff—Where to find Lenny:• Newsletter: https://www.lennysnewsletter.com• X: https://twitter.com/lennysan• LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lennyrachitsky/—In this episode, we cover:(00:00) Introduction to Marc Benioff and Salesforce(03:54) Marc's early career and domain names(05:59) The App Store story and lessons from Steve Jobs(15:18) Lessons from launching Salesforce(22:03) The importance of keeping a beginner's mindset(29:53) Why Marc calls Salesforce the “25-year startup”(31:47) Agentforce(36:09) Why Marc says AI is the defining technology of our lifetime(40:12) AI's impact on the workforce(42:31) Entrepreneurs need to be like conductors(46:02) Failure corner(50:32) The future of AI agents(56:34) Final thoughts and farewell—Referenced:• Bill.com: https://www.bill.com• App Store: https://www.apple.com/app-store/• Salesforce: https://www.salesforce.com• Oracle: https://www.oracle.com• Larry Ellison on X: https://x.com/larryellison• Siebel Systems: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Siebel_Systems• Saba Software: https://talentedlearning.com/lms-vendor-directory/saba-software• Tom Siebel on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thomassiebel• Avon: https://www.avon.com• Salesforce Chief Has Pulled Some Crazy Stunts: https://www.businessinsider.com/marc-benioff-salesforcecom-chief-has-pulled-some-crazy-stunts-2012-3• Matthew McConaughey on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/officiallymcconaughey• Woody Harrelson on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/woodyharrelson• “Ask More of AI” with Matthew McConaughey: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLnobS_RgN7JaxOsLD8WH0I9E6osK3UrfI• Marc's tweet about the ad with McConaughey and Harrelson: https://x.com/Benioff/status/1866175950062239784• Chris Rock on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chrisrock• Sushi Iwa: http://www.sushiiwa.jp/en/• Ryoanji Temple Rock Garden: https://www.japan.travel/en/spot/1145/• Neil Young Archives on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/neilyoungarchives• Mount Tam: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mount_Tamalpais• Spirit Rock: https://www.spiritrock.org• Jack Kornfield: https://www.spiritrock.org/teachers/jack-kornfield• Agentforce: https://www.salesforce.com/form/agentforce/demo• Minority Report on Prime: https://www.amazon.com/Minority-Report-Tom-Cruise/dp/B00A2FSSHK• Peter Schwartz on X: https://x.com/peterschwartz2• UCSF Health: https://www.ucsfhealth.org• A.I. Chatbots Defeated Doctors at Diagnosing Illness: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/17/health/chatgpt-ai-doctors-diagnosis.html• Does AI improve doctors' diagnoses? Study puts it to the test: https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2024/11/241113123419.htm• A.I. Will Transform the Global Economy—if Humans Let It: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/07/special-series/ai-transform-global-economy.html• Wargames on Prime: https://www.amazon.com/Wargames-Dabney-Coleman/dp/B0011EQBOS• Her on Prime: https://www.amazon.com/Her-Joaquin-Phoenix/dp/B00KATY250• AI (Einstein) at Salesforce: https://www.salesforce.com/in/artificial-intelligence• Salesforce Signs Definitive Agreement to Acquire Airkit.ai: https://www.salesforce.com/news/stories/salesforce-signs-definitive-agreement-to-acquire-airkit-ai• Salesforce Buys Big Data Startup RelateIQ for Up to $390M: https://techcrunch.com/2014/07/11/salesforce-buys-big-data-startup-relateiq-for-up-to-390m• Salesforce to cut workforce by 10% after hiring ‘too many people' during the pandemic: https://techcrunch.com/2023/01/04/salesforce-to-cut-workforce-by-10-after-hiring-too-many-people-during-the-pandemic• Michael Dell on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mdell• Bret Taylor on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/brettaylor• Akio Toyoda: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Akio_Toyoda• Kaizen: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kaizen• TRS-80: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TRS-80• CLOAD Magazine: https://archive.org/details/cload_newsletter—Recommended books:• Ghost Fleet: A Novel of the Next World War: https://www.amazon.com/Ghost-Fleet-Novel-Next-World/dp/054470505X• Behind the Cloud: The Untold Story of How Salesforce.com Went from Idea to Billion-Dollar Company—and Revolutionized an Industry: https://www.amazon.com/Behind-Cloud-Salesforce-com-Billion-Dollar-Company/dp/0470521163• Trailblazer: The Power of Business as the Greatest Platform for Change: https://www.amazon.com/Trailblazer-Business-Greatest-Platform-Change/dp/1984825194—Production and marketing by https://penname.co/. For inquiries about sponsoring the podcast, email podcast@lennyrachitsky.com.—Lenny may be an investor in the companies discussed. Get full access to Lenny's Newsletter at www.lennysnewsletter.com/subscribe
In this explosive episode of "Connecting the Dots," I tackle the recent drone strike on Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's vacation home—an intense response to the IDF's assassination of Hamas leader Yaya Seir. With award-winning journalist Laith Maru by my side, we break down the escalating conflict in Gaza and Lebanon, Netanyahu's hardline stance, and the powerful symbolism of martyrdom. We also expose the Western media's biased coverage and dive deep into the impact of U.S. foreign policy. The stakes are high, and we explore the very real possibility of a broader regional war—calling for global solidarity in these dangerous times. Find me and the show on social media. Click the following links or search @DrWilmerLeon on X/Twitter, Instagram, Facebook, Patreon and YouTube! Hey everyone, Dr. Wilmer here! If you've been enjoying my deep dives into the real stories behind the headlines and appreciate the balanced perspective I bring, I'd love your support on my Patreon channel. Your contribution helps me keep "Connecting the Dots" alive, revealing the truth behind the news. Join our community, and together, let's keep uncovering the hidden truths and making sense of the world. Thank you for being a part of this journey! Wilmer Leon (00:00): A drone strike hit Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's vacation home after the IDF martyred Hamas' political and military leader, Yahya Sinwar, in Gaza. The genocide operations continue in Gaza and Lebanon, while Netanyahu declares, "nothing will deter us." Yet, this insanity continues. Let's dive into it. Announcer (00:37): Connecting the Dots with Dr. Wilmer Leon, where the analysis of politics, culture, and history converge. Wilmer Leon (00:44): Welcome to the Connecting the Dots podcast. I am Dr. Wilmer Leon. Here's the point: we often view current events as though they occur in isolation, but most events take place within a broader historical context. My guests and I probe these issues to connect the dots between events and the broader context, helping you better understand and analyze the global events shaping our world. Today, we're tackling the ongoing U.S.-backed genocide in Gaza and the looming threat of World War III. My guest for this episode is an award-winning broadcaster and journalist, based in Beirut, Lebanon—my dear brother, Laith Marouf. Welcome back, Laith. Laith Marouf (01:43): Great to be with you, Wilmer. Wilmer Leon (01:45): Laith, I finally got it right this time! For further analysis and interviews from the region, go to FreePalestine.Video to see Laith in action. Did I get that right, Laith? Laith Marouf (02:08): Yes, absolutely. Wilmer Leon (02:09): Alright, let's dive in. Al Jazeera and other outlets confirmed that Israel's IDF killed Hamas' political and military leader, Yahya Sinwar, in Gaza. He was martyred a few days ago. Laith, can you talk about his significance? Some compare him to Che Guevara or General Soleimani. Who was Yahya Sinwar? Laith Marouf (02:49): Yahya Sinwar was a crucial leader for the Palestinian cause. He was imprisoned for over 20 years by the Israeli regime, with a 400-year sentence against him. During his imprisonment, he worked closely with Palestinian prisoners from various factions, becoming a prominent figure in the movement for prisoner rights in occupied Palestine. He was later released in a prisoner exchange between Hamas and Israel, after Hamas captured Israeli soldiers. Once released, Sinwar vowed to fight for the rights of Palestinian prisoners, whom many Palestinians regard as living martyrs—those who pay the ultimate price for Palestine's liberation. Sinwar's leadership culminated in the planning of the October 7th operation, where Israeli soldiers were captured to secure the freedom of Palestinians imprisoned in Israeli jails. Even until his last moments, Sinwar fought for the freedom of Palestinian prisoners. Israeli media had slandered him, claiming he was hiding or that he kept Israeli prisoners around him as shields. But the truth? He was on the frontlines with his soldiers, resisting Israeli invaders for over a year. Wilmer Leon (05:30): Laith, I want to explore something you've brought up before—the concept of martyrdom. I think many in the West know the term, but they don't grasp its significance in the region. Could you elaborate on what it means when someone like Yahya Sinwar or Palestinian prisoners are called martyrs? Laith Marouf (08:21): Absolutely, Wilmer. The concept of martyrdom exists in many cultures, even beyond a religious context. For example, Soviet communists called their dead martyrs when fighting the Nazis, and French revolutionaries used the term during their revolution. In Christianity, saints who died spreading the faith were considered martyrs. In Islam, the word "Shahid" (martyr) holds even more weight. It comes from the Arabic root meaning "to witness." A Shahid is an eternal witness to the injustice they fought against and provides testimony to God. In Islam, martyrs hold the highest place in heaven, alongside the prophets. Wilmer Leon (10:08): President Joe Biden called Yahya Sinwar's death an “opportunity for a new day” in Gaza and suggested this could lead to a political settlement between Israelis and Palestinians. Biden described Sinwar as an insurmountable obstacle. What are your thoughts on these statements, Laith? Laith Marouf (11:29): Biden's comments show how much they feared Sinwar as a leader. To call him an “insurmountable obstacle” reveals the West's complete misunderstanding of the situation. This is not the politics of personality; it's the politics of persecution. Biden's administration and the West fundamentally misunderstand that this is a people's resistance movement, not centered around one individual. Yahya Sinwar's principles and actions galvanized the resistance. In truth, it is the imperialist mindset that's failing here. The West tries to erase its historical crimes—genocide in the Americas, Africa, and more. Sinwar exposed the beast for what it is. His achievement on October 7th? He showed the world the real face of white supremacy and colonialism. Wilmer Leon (13:14): What's your take on the rhetoric from Western leaders like Biden and Kamala Harris? They talk about peace, but they're assassinating negotiators and leaders like Hassan Nasrallah or Soleimani, who could facilitate dialogue. How does this fit in with their supposed efforts toward peace? Laith Marouf (21:53): There's no safety with the empire, Wilmer. Assassination has always been part of its modus operandi. Indigenous leaders in the U.S. were murdered while negotiating treaties. Soleimani was killed on a peace mission in Iraq. This hypocrisy isn't new—it's just becoming more blatant. The Zionist regime and the U.S. imperial powers believe they can impose whatever deal they want on Palestine and Lebanon. But they are gravely mistaken. Wilmer Leon (24:00): Before we talk about the drone strike on Netanyahu's vacation home, I want to address the idea that some confuse restraint with weakness. Could you explain why resistance movements, like Hezbollah, take a different approach compared to an oppressing force like Israel? Laith Marouf (25:05): Absolutely. Resistance movements like Hezbollah are defensive. In 1982, Israeli forces took just four days to march from southern Lebanon to Beirut. In 2006, they couldn't get past the valleys in the south, and now, in 2023, they can't even advance a few meters into Lebanon. Hezbollah has repelled their attempts for 18 days straight, destroying their tanks and armored vehicles. Hezbollah doesn't need to invade northern Palestine at this moment. Its strategy is to weaken the Israeli military, so when the time comes, an invasion will be decisive. Wilmer Leon (28:13): You mentioned that a full-scale war could erupt before the U.S. elections. Why would the Biden-Harris administration risk such a conflict so close to an election? Laith Marouf (29:06): Netanyahu and the Zionist lobby in the U.S. want to ensure that, no matter who wins the election, the war continues. Both Trump and Biden will be trapped into supporting Israel's agenda. I wouldn't even be surprised if Kamala Harris suspended the election under martial law, should American soldiers start returning in body bags. Wilmer Leon (31:24): Many African Americans ask why they should care about Palestine. Could you explain the connection between our struggles? Laith Marouf (33:37): Historically, the struggles of African Americans and Palestinians are deeply intertwined. The Black Panthers trained with Palestinian resistance fighters in Algeria. In the 60s and 70s, many African Americans, Indigenous Americans, and leftist movements understood the international struggle against imperialism. Today, the empire is once again repressing marginalized communities, and Palestinians are facing similar repression. This should resonate with African Americans, as it's a global fight against the same oppressors. Wilmer Leon (37:03): Now, about the drone strike on Netanyahu's vacation home. I remember saying on my show that someone needed to send a message, perhaps with a missile in his swimming pool—not to assassinate him, but to show they could reach him anytime. What do we know about this recent strike? Laith Marouf (38:48): Yes, the drone strike was surgical. Netanyahu's house near Tel Aviv was hit, and although Israeli media claims that Netanyahu and his wife narrowly escaped, the message was clear. The operation was meticulous, with missiles and drones sent in layers to confuse Israel's defense systems. Hezbollah has shown it can strike when and where it wants. Wilmer Leon (40:59): This dark humor among Palestinians and Lebanese—like the jokes about sending quiet drones—seems to reflect something deeper about their mindset. What are your thoughts? Laith Marouf (41:42): You're absolutely right. People here use dark humor and poetry to cope with endless invasions and destruction. It's a way to assert their humanity despite being subjected to constant imperial aggression. Wilmer Leon (42:44): The U.S. media is so out of touch. I saw an "expert" on MSNBC comparing Hamas to drug cartels. The journalist didn't push back at all. How does this speak to the state of journalism in America? **Laith Marouf (44:19(continued from last segment…) Laith Marouf (44:19): The propaganda in the West has reached a point where groupthink dominates. Critical thinking has been rooted out, so media narratives continue building on false assumptions. This has caused severe cognitive dissonance, especially regarding Israel and Palestine. The Western media has become so detached from reality that it's making poor decisions seem justified. Assassinating negotiators and leaders only galvanizes resistance, and yet they keep making the same mistakes. Wilmer Leon (46:38): There's a saying attributed to Sun Tzu, “The evil ruler burns his own village to rule over the ashes.” I believe this applies to Netanyahu, Biden, and Harris. But it's important to note that this is not just administration policy—this is American foreign policy. It transcends the individual leaders. What's your take on that? Laith Marouf (47:41): Absolutely. This is deeply embedded in U.S. foreign policy, especially in relation to the Middle East. Countries like Iran, Lebanon, and Syria stand in the way of imperial control, and the U.S. is willing to burn 30,000 years of civilization to maintain dominance. It's not about protecting the land or people, but rather about control at all costs. They're willing to destroy the Fertile Crescent, the birthplace of human civilization, to get what they want. Wilmer Leon (48:53): Let's talk about Yemen. The U.S. is now going after Ansar Allah, known in the West as the Houthis. The head of Ansar Allah, Abdul-Malik al-Houthi, is reportedly being targeted. What does the name "Ansar Allah" signify, and what's their role in the broader resistance? Laith Marouf (49:39): Ansar Allah means "Helpers of God." Historically, it refers to the Yemeni tribes who allied with Prophet Muhammad when he migrated to Medina. They view themselves as the original Muslims and carry that banner in their struggle today. Despite being the poorest country in the world, Yemen has managed to withstand bombings from U.S., British, and Saudi forces for years. Recently, they hit an American aircraft carrier, showing their power on the high seas. Yemen is a key part of the axis of resistance, and it's no surprise that the empire is now targeting them. Wilmer Leon (52:22): People need to understand how costly this war is. It costs between $6 million and $8 million a day to operate a U.S. supercarrier like the USS Eisenhower or Gerald Ford. We struggle to fund infrastructure here at home, but we're spending billions abroad. Laith Marouf (55:50): Exactly. They claim it costs $20 billion a year to support Israel's war efforts, but that number is far from accurate. It's probably closer to trillions. Qatar, for instance, admitted to spending $2 trillion funding the war in Syria. The U.S. and its allies in the Gulf are pouring dark money into these wars, and we're seeing the same playbook in Palestine. Wilmer Leon (58:16): As we wrap up, Laith, what are the two or three key points you want people to take away from our conversation? Laith Marouf (58:32): First, visit FreePalestine.Video to stay informed and support the truth. Second, we're at a critical moment in history. The West will go to extreme lengths to maintain the Zionist colony. We're likely headed toward an Israeli attack on Iran, which will lead to a regional war involving Palestinians, Syrians, Iraqis, and Lebanese fighters. This will draw the U.S. into direct conflict. Finally, Western citizens have a responsibility to stop their governments from escalating this into a nuclear war. The stakes couldn't be higher—this is about the survival of humanity. Wilmer Leon (01:01:07): Laith Marouf, my dear brother, thank you for your time today. I'm always grateful for your insights. Stay safe, and we'll talk again soon. Laith Marouf (01:01:31): Thank you, Wilmer. See you soon. Wilmer Leon (01:01:34): And thank you all for listening to the Connecting the Dots podcast with me, Dr. Wilmer Leon. Stay tuned for new episodes every week. Follow, subscribe, leave a review, and share the show. You can find all the links to our social media in the show description below. And remember, this is where the analysis of politics, culture, and history converge—because talk without analysis is just chatter, and we don't chatter here on Connecting the Dots. See you next time. I'm Dr. Wilmer Leon. Have a great one. Peace. I'm out. Announcer (01:02:18): Connecting the Dots with Dr. Wilmer Leon—where the analysis of politics, culture, and history converge.
The Cognitive Crucible is a forum that presents different perspectives and emerging thought leadership related to the information environment. The opinions expressed by guests are their own, and do not necessarily reflect the views of or endorsement by the Information Professionals Association. During this episode, MAJ Scott Hall discusses his paper: Enhancing Mounted Maneuver Operations by Setting Conditions of Advantage through Information Environment Effects Synchronization, which is getting published in Armor magazine in the Fall 2024 edition. Recording Date: 26 Sept 2024 Research Question: Scott Hall suggests interested students examine: What are the challenges and opportunities associated with integrating Information Operations across all domains and services, and how can joint forces Information forces coordination and application be improved? How can the DIME (Diplomatic, Information, Military, Economic) framework be leveraged to achieve a more comprehensive and integrated approach to Information Operations? What role can artificial intelligence and machine learning play in processing vast amounts of data and identifying patterns and trends in Information Advantage Dimensions? Resources: Cognitive Crucible Podcast Episodes Mentioned #166 John Agnello on Information Advantage Large Language Model Course of Action Analysis Dynamic Generative Large Language Model for Continuous Situational Awareness Stratagem: Deception and Surprise in War by Barton Whaley The Deceivers: Allied Military Deception in the Second World War by Thaddeus Holt Ghost Fleet: A Novel of the Next World War by P. W. Singer and August Cole Unrestricted Warfare by COL Qiao Liang and COL Wang Xiangsui Link to full show notes and resources Guest Bio: MAJ Scott C. Hall is the U.S. Army Cyber (ARCYBER) G-39 Influence Branch and ARCYBER Trans-Regional Information Advantage Detachment (TIAD) Lead Information Advantage Planner, Fort Eisenhower, GA. His previous assignments include: U.S. Army Europe and Africa Command (USAREUR-AF) G-5 Plans Eastern Campaign Branch, Clay Kaserne, Wiesbaden, Germany, Squadron Executive Officer, 1st Squadron, 16th Cavalry Regiment, 316th Cavalry Brigade, Fort Benning, GA. National Training Center (NTC) Live Fire Combined Arms Battalion Lead "Dragon 11," Operations Group, NTC Combined Arms Battalion Company OC/T “Scorpion 11”, Operations Group NTC, Fort Irwin, CA., Troop Commander, Havoc Troop (HHT), 1st Squadron, 91st Cavalry Regiment, 173rd IBCT (Airborne), Grafenwöhr, Germany, Aide-de-Camp to the Deputy Commanding General – Maneuver, 1st Cavalry Division, Fort Hood, TX and Bagram Airbase, Afghanistan, Platoon Leader, 3rd Platoon, C Company (Tank), 2nd Squadron, 8th Cavalry Regiment, 1st Brigade, 1st Cavalry Division, Fort Hood, TX and Baghdad, Iraq. MAJ Hall's military education includes; US Army Cyber Operations Planner Course (COPC), Joint Cyber Operations Planner Course (JCOPC), Joint Information Operations Planner Course (JIOPC), US Army Space Cadre Basic Course, US Army Special Technical Operations Planner Course, Joint Special Operations University (JSOU) Special Operations Forces (SOF) Information Advantage and Intelligence Integration Course, JSOU SOF Influence and Operations in the Information Environment, Joint Military Deception Training Course (JMTC), US Army Theater Army Staff Course, Information Operations Officer Qualification Course, Command and General Staff College, US Air Force Joint Firepower Course, NTC OC/T Certification Course, US Army Jumpmaster Course, US Army Pathfinder Course, Maneuver Captains Career Course, Combative Level 1, US Army Airborne School, US Army Armor Officer Basic Course, and US Army Air Assault School. MAJ Hall holds a Master of Business Administration degree in Project Management from Grand Canyon University and a bachelor's degree in Military History from Norwich University, VT. MAJ Hall's awards includes; a Bronze Star, Meritorious Service Medal (3rd award), Army Commendation Medal (4th Award), Army Achievement Medal (3rd Award), Meritorious Unit Commendation (2nd Award), and NATO Medal – Afghanistan, the Combat Action Badge, Senior Rated Parachutist Badge, Army Space Badge, Pathfinder Badge, and Air Assault Badge. MAJ Hall also holds the German Silver Parachutist Badge and the Romanian Parachutist Badge and holds a Bronze Order of Saint George Medallion and an Order of Saint Maurice Medallion. About: The Information Professionals Association (IPA) is a non-profit organization dedicated to exploring the role of information activities, such as influence and cognitive security, within the national security sector and helping to bridge the divide between operations and research. Its goal is to increase interdisciplinary collaboration between scholars and practitioners and policymakers with an interest in this domain. For more information, please contact us at communications@information-professionals.org. Or, connect directly with The Cognitive Crucible podcast host, John Bicknell, on LinkedIn. Disclosure: As an Amazon Associate, 1) IPA earns from qualifying purchases, 2) IPA gets commissions for purchases made through links in this post.
Elliot Ackerman is both a former White House Fellow and Marine. He served five tours of duty in Iraq and Afghanistan, where he received the Silver Star, the Bronze Star for Valor, and the Purple Heart. Ackerman is also an ex–CIA paramilitary officer. Ackerman in the author of numerous books, including the New York Times bestseller 2034: A Novel of the Next World War. His new book is 2054: A Novel. Ackerman explains how the war in Ukraine, and the escalating conflicts in the Middle East and elsewhere, are a frightening vision of the future right out of science fiction where increasingly lethal drones and other new technologies are rewriting the rules of warfare – and reminding us of very old lessons that will need to be relearned again (at a deadly cost). Ackerman reflects on America's combustible domestic politics and the attempt on Trump's life in Pennsylvania, the dangers of conspiracy theories, and how the country's politics and culture are increasingly toxic and what that means long-term for the democracy crisis and the struggle against neofascism and authoritarianism. Chauncey DeVega ponders the question of time and how the next 30 or so days until Election Day will feel like an eternity that will simultaneously go by very quickly. He also shares the lessons he learned in his neighborhood travels about human dignity, poverty, and economic precarity. Chauncey also offers a public health lesson and warning about the dangers of nose spray, hand sanitizer, incense and cheap lighters. And Chauncey DeVega attempts to save you from the new movie “The Substance”, a movie that is more proof of payola and the herd mentality of movie critics and other influentials and cultural tastemakers. WHERE CAN YOU FIND ME? On Twitter: https://twitter.com/chaunceydevega On Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/chauncey.devega My email: chaunceydevega@gmail.com HOW CAN YOU SUPPORT THE CHAUNCEY DEVEGA SHOW? Via Paypal at ChaunceyDeVega.com Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/thechaunceydevegashow
For nearly a year now, the world has been transfixed – and horrified – by what's happening in the Gaza Strip. Yet for all the media coverage, there seems to be far less known about how this war is actually being fought. And the how of this conflict, and its enormous human toll, might end up being its most enduring legacy.In April, the Israeli magazine +972 published a story describing how Israel was using an AI system called Lavender to target potential enemies for air strikes, sometimes with a margin of error as high as 10 per cent.I remember reading that story back in the spring and being shocked, not that such tools existed, but that they were already being used at this scale on the battlefield. P.W. Singer was less surprised. Singer is one of the world's foremost experts on the future of warfare. He's a strategist at the think tank New America, a professor of practice at Arizona State University, and a consultant for everyone from the US military to the FBI.So if anyone can help us understand the black box of autonomous weaponry and AI warfare, it's P.W. Singer.Mentioned:“‘The Gospel': how Israel uses AI to select bombing targets in Gaza” by Harry Davies, Bethan McKernan, and Dan Sabbagh“‘Lavender': The AI machine directing Israel's bombing spree in Gaza” by Yuval Abraham“Ghost Fleet: A Novel of the Next World War” by P. W. Singer and August ColeFurther Reading:“Burn-In: A Novel of the Real Robotic Revolution” by P. W. Singer and August Cole“The AI revolution is already here” by P. W. Singer“Humans must be held responsible for decisions AI weapons make” in The Asahi Shimbun“Useful Fiction”
Episode 729: The Next World War - Nations are lining up to fulfill Bible prophecy, and the world has been disrupted. For Christians, this is not bad news! Discover more on this episode of Good News with Greg Fritz. Get the full series for FREE here: https://gregfritz.org/product/seven-undeniable-end-time-events-av/
War in Ukraine, conflicts in Gaza, and tensions in the South China Sea and Taiwan—global tensions are rising. Are we on the brink of a new era of great power conflicts? Philip Zelikow, an American diplomat and scholar with decades of experience, delves into these pressing issues. He discusses the potential for a new kind of global conflict, reminiscent of the hot and cold wars of the 20th century, and the shifting dynamics between China, Russia, the United States, and their allies.
For this episode of the Global Exchange podcast, Colin Robertson talks with David Collenette, Julie Dzerowicz and Andrew Rasiulis about Canada's role in NATO as we enter the Washington NATO summit. // Participants' bios - Hon. David Collenette is chair of the NATO Association of Canada. A former member of parliament he served as Minister of Defence and Transportation in the Chretien governments. - Julie Dzerowicz is chair of the NATO Parliamentary Association and the memher of parliament for Davenport - CGAI Fellow Andrew Rasiulis served in the Canadian Armed Forces and in then in the Defence Department where is was responsible for Eastern European affairs. // Host bio: Colin Robertson is a former diplomat and Senior Advisor to the Canadian Global Affairs Institute, www.cgai.ca/colin_robertson // Read & Watch: - "Age of Revolutions: Progress and Backlash from 1600 to the Present", by Fareed Zakaria: https://www.penguinrandomhouse.ca/books/763565/age-of-revolutions-by-fareed-zakaria/9780393239232 - "The Prince", by Stephen Maher: https://www.simonandschuster.ca/books/The-Prince/Stephen-Maher/9781668024492 - "You Never Know: A Memoir" by Tom Sellick: https://www.harpercollins.ca/9780062945761/you-never-know/ - "2034: A Novel of the Next World War", by Elliot Ackerman and Admiral James Stavridis: https://www.amazon.com/s?k=9781984881250 - "Roads to Oblivion: Triumphs and Tragedies of British Car Makers 1946-56", by Christopher Balfour: https://www.amazon.com/Roads-Oblivion-Triumphs-Tragedies-British/dp/1870979826 // Recording Date: July 4, 2024.
Creepy Dr. Debbie Birx is back to let you know the bird flu pandemic is on. How you know the Hunter Biden trial is just for show, and the MSM actually admits Biden is angling for WW3 with Russia? (Please subscribe & share.)
Elliot Ackerman is a widely respected writer. His reach extends across fiction and non-fiction, from novels to essays to memoir and commentary. He is an exemplar of Theodore Roosevelt's ideal of service combining thought and action.In this episode of the Serve to Lead podcast, Ackerman discusses his bestselling new book, 2054: A Novel. This is a successor to 2034: A Novel of the Next World War. Each is coauthored with Admiral James Stavridis. A third volume, 2084, is also planned.Ackerman shares his views of the value of history and literature in comprehending the unprecedented challenges of our moment of global change and unrest—ranging from great power competition to climate disruption to the rise of new technologies, including artificial intelligence and biotechnology. He also reflects on how longstanding notions of spheres of influence may be transformed in our interconnected world. Get full access to The Next Nationalism at jamesstrock.substack.com/subscribe
In this episode, CNN anchor and chief national security analyst Jim Sciutto warns that another world war could be looming. • We're hosting a live event with Scott Galloway in New York City on April 22nd. Learn more and grab your ticket at nextbigideaclub.com/events
Psychological warfare or mental warfare is the use of techniques and tactics designed to influence the attitudes, emotions, and behavior of an individual or a group of people. This has been used countless times throughout the ages by many armed forces but in this context, we are discussing mental warfare in everyday life between individuals and within an individual themselves. Tune in and learn all about the psychology and how the next war will be fought.
World Braces for Israeli Strike on Iran That Could Trigger Next World War
CNN's Jim Sciutto comes by to discuss his new book, The Return of Great Powers: Russia, China, and the Next World War. Plus, the Women's NCAA tournament draws the wrong court, and an April Fools game asks you to spot the fake Rolex. Produced by Joel Patterson and Corey Wara Email us at thegist@mikepesca.com To advertise on the show, visit: https://advertisecast.com/TheGist Subscribe to The Gist Subscribe: https://subscribe.mikepesca.com/ Follow Mikes Substack at: Pesca Profundities | MikePesca | Substack Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Jordan Klepper sits with CNN anchor, chief national security analyst, and bestselling author, Jim Sciutto, to discuss his new book "The Return of Great Powers: Russia, China, and the Next World War." Plus, NOTUS Investigative reporter, Byron Tau, joins Jordan to talk about his new book, "Means of Control." They chat about how technology companies house our data and Tau offers tips that anyone can use to limit the amount personal information we give to these companies.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Eliot and Eric welcome CNN Chief National Security Correspondent Jim Sciutto to the show. The recipient of multiple awards for his journalism, including the Emmy, Edward R. Murrow, and George Polk awards he is also the author of The Shadow War, The Madman Theory, and recently The Return of Great Powers: Russia, China, and the Next World War (New York: Dutton, 2024). They discuss why as a journalist he writes books, how the shooting war in Ukraine changed the perspective of both journalists and government officials about the danger of great power competition, the role of frontline states like Finland and Estonia and understanding the threat of Russian revanchism, Jim's reporting on the potential for Russian use of nuclear weapons on the battlefield in the fall of 2022 and whether the threat was genuine or an example of Russian use of information operations for "reflexive control," the transformation of Taiwan's defense posture and the threat of disruption and damage to US alliances in a second Trump Presidency. The Return of Great Powers: Russia, China, and the Next World War: https://a.co/d/1RVHvZ4 Shield of the Republic is a Bulwark podcast co-sponsored by the Miller Center of Public Affairs at the University of Virginia.
Kara and Scott discuss NBC's internal backlash to hiring former RNC chair Ronna McDaniel, Boeing's CEO stepping down, and how the royal family's PR team messed up the Kate Middleton story. Then, does the DOJ have a good case against Apple in its antitrust lawsuit? Plus, will Donald Trump get a financial boost from Truth Social's parent company going public? Finally, our Friend of Pivot is Jim Sciutto, CNN's Chief National Security Analyst, and the author of "The Return of Great Powers: Russia, China, and The Next World War.” Jim discusses how the recent attack in Moscow exposed Putin's vulnerabilities, and also explains why he thinks the U.S. and its allies are facing "a 1939 moment." Follow Jim at @jimsciutto Follow us on Instagram and Threads at @pivotpodcastofficial. Follow us on TikTok at @pivotpodcast. Send us your questions by calling us at 855-51-PIVOT, or at nymag.com/pivot. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
LTG (r) Kenneth E. Tovo was commissioned from the U.S. Military Academy into the Infantry in 1983. After serving his initial tour with the 82nd Airborne Division, Tovo completed the Special Forces Qualification Course and transferred to Special Forces. He served as a Special Forces detachment, company, battalion, and group commander in the 10th Special Forces Group (Airborne).Tovo's additional assignments included serving as a plans officer with 1st Special Forces Operational Detachment-Delta and Joint Headquarters Center (NATO); aide de-camp to the commander, Stabilization Force, Bosnia; chief of staff, U.S. Army Special Operations Command (USASOC); deputy commanding general, Special Operations Command Europe (SOCEUR); deputy commanding general, 1st Armored Division/U.S. Division Center, Iraq; commanding general, Special Operations Command Central (SOCCENT); and commanding general, Combined Security Transition Command-Afghanistan and NATO Training Mission-Afghanistan (CSTC-A/NTM-A). Most recently, Tovo served as the military deputy commander of U.S. Southern Command in Miami, Fla.Tovo's operational assignments include the first Gulf War, refugee relief operations in Northern Iraq, noncombatant evacuation operations in Sierra Leone, peacekeeping operations in Bosnia on two occasions, five tours in Iraq, and one tour in Afghanistan. As mentioned in the podcast:Green Beret Foundation - https://greenberetfoundation.org/First Flight Venture Center- https://www.ffvcnc.org/Graham Allison: - Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?-https://amzn.to/3I2U0TBPeter Zienhan Books:- The Absent Super Power - https://amzn.to/3XdW4w1Disunited Nations: The Scramble for Power in an Ungoverned World - https://amzn.to/3YfcupCThe Accidental Superpower: The Next Generation of American Preeminence and the Coming Global Disorder - https://amzn.to/3Yr7cXtThe End of the World Is Just the Beginning: Mapping the Collapse of Globalization - https://amzn.to/3RJCZRpChristian Brose - The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare - https://amzn.to/3HvnbwY P.W.Singer and August Cole - Ghost Fleet: A Novel of the Next World War - https://amzn.to/3HGFtvr Charles E. Heller - America's First Battles - https://amzn.to/3HBL1Hm In this podcast, the opinions and statements made are solely those of the individual and do not represent any organization or entity. The views expressed are based on personal experience and research, and should not be taken as official positions or endorsements. The individual takes full responsibility for the content of the podcast and encourages listeners to form their own opinions based on their own research and analysis.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/philosophy-from-the-front-line--4319845/support.
A new global competition is taking place, and CNN Chief National Security Correspondent Jim Sciutto draws on his reporting from the front lines of political hotspots and warzones across the globe to explain history unfolding in front of us. The fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 was the beginning of the beginning. Three decades later, Jim Sciutto said on CNN's air as the Ukraine war began, that we are living in a “1939 moment.” The global order as we have long known it is now gone. Great powers are reinvigorated and determined to assert dominance on the world stage. As it escalates, this new order will affect everyone across the globe. Peace has been shattered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, but in reality, this affects every corner of our world—from Helsinki to Beijing, from Australia to the North Pole. This is a battle with many fronts: on the Arctic floor, in the oceans and across the skies, and in cyberspace. Sciutto argues that we are witnessing the return of great power conflict, “a definitive break between the post–Cold War era and an entirely new and uncertain one.” The world order that marked the last 30 years is shifting, and Sciutto will explain the realities of this new post–post–Cold War era, the increasingly aligned Russian and Chinese governments, and the flashpoint of a new, global nuclear arms race. He poses a question: that as we consider uncertain outcomes, we ask whether the West and Russia and China can prevent a new world war. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Subscribe to The Realignment to access our exclusive Q&A episodes and support the show: https://realignment.supercast.com/a16z Podcast: a16z Podcast | Andreessen HorowitzREALIGNMENT NEWSLETTER: https://therealignment.substack.com/PURCHASE BOOKS AT OUR BOOKSHOP: https://bookshop.org/shop/therealignmentEmail Us: realignmentpod@gmail.comFoundation for American Innovation: https://www.thefai.org/posts/lincoln-becomes-faiFormer NATO Allied Supreme Commander Admiral James Stavridis and Elliot Ackerman, co-authors of 2054: A Novel and 2034: A Novel of the Next World War, return to The Realignment. In a follow-up to their fictional exploration of a military conflict between the U.S. and China in the 2030s, Stavridis and Ackerman explore how artificial intelligence, advances in biotechnology, fractious politics, and an evolving world order defined by nation-states and corporate power could shape the midpoint of the 21st century.
Subscribe to The Realignment to access our exclusive Q&A episodes and support the show: https://realignment.supercast.com/a16z Podcast: a16z Podcast | Andreessen HorowitzREALIGNMENT NEWSLETTER: https://therealignment.substack.com/PURCHASE BOOKS AT OUR BOOKSHOP: https://bookshop.org/shop/therealignmentEmail Us: realignmentpod@gmail.comFoundation for American Innovation: https://www.thefai.org/posts/lincoln-becomes-faiJim Sciutto, CNN Chief National Security Analyst and author of The Return of Great Powers: Russia, China, and the Next World War, joins The Realignment. Jim and Marshall discuss why he believes we're living in a "1939 moment," why the "Cold War II" description understates the perilous geopolitical environment, lessons from the past two years of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, whether the United States can afford to handle multiple theaters of conflict at once, and the Biden vs. Trump foreign policy visions that will define the 2024 election.
The author and Marine veteran discusses the future of technology, the promise of AI, the perils of toxic politics, and other themes packed into his latest work of speculative fiction. Guest: Elliot Ackerman, co-author of "2054: A Novel," which was published on March 12. Find our previous discussions with Ackerman here: Ep. 107: The legacy of America's Afghan war; And Ep. 79: “2034: A Novel of the Next World War”.
The New Abnormal breaks down Sen. Katie Britt's disastrous State of the Union reply and why she should have spoken to Bobby Jindal and Blake Masters before agreeing to do it. Plus! CNN's Chief National Security Analyst Jim Sciutto joins Andy Levy to talk about his new book The Return of Great Powers: Russia, China, and the Next World War, which is out on March 12. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Joining us this week is Peter W. Singer, a New York Times bestselling author of books including Ghost Fleet, LikeWar and the techno-thriller Burn In. He shares details on the New America volunteer, non-profit organization and its awesome #SharetheMicinCyber program helping to bring diversity of thought to the cybersecurity front lines. We also discuss the future of social media, what defines a cyberwar, Ukraine's leverage of social media to garner global support this year, and the great work Useful Fiction is delivering to organizations to address the age old problem of translating complex themes (such as cyber) into compelling business narratives audiences understand and can learn from. And definitely take a few minutes to learn more about Passing the Mic's cybersecurity fellowship program this week. Read more here: https://www.newamerica.org/the-thread/passing-the-mic-introducing-new-americas-cybersecurity-fellowship/ Peter Warren Singer is Strategist at New America, a Professor of Practice at Arizona State University, and Founder & Managing Partner at Useful Fiction LLC. A New York Times Bestselling author, described in the Wall Street Journal as “the premier futurist in the national-security environment” and “all-around smart guy” in the Washington Post, he has been named by the Smithsonian as one of the nation's 100 leading innovators, by Defense News as one of the 100 most influential people in defense issues, by Foreign Policy to their Top 100 Global Thinkers List, and as an official “Mad Scientist” for the U.S. Army's Training and Doctrine Command. No author, living or dead, has more books on the professional US military reading lists. His non-fiction books include Corporate Warriors: The Rise of the Privatized Military Industry, Children at War, Wired for War: The Robotics Revolution and Conflict in the 21st Century; Cybersecurity and Cyberwar: What Everyone Needs to Know and most recently LikeWar, which explores how social media has changed war and politics. It was named an Amazon and Foreign Affairs book of the year and reviewed by Booklist as “LikeWar should be required reading for everyone living in a democracy and all who aspire to.” He is also the co-author of a new type of novel, using the format of a technothriller to communicate nonfiction research. Ghost Fleet: A Novel of the Next World War was both a top summer read and led to briefings everywhere from the White House to the Pentagon. His latest is Burn-In: A Novel of the Real Robotic Revolution. It has been described by the creator of Lost and Watchmen as “A visionary new form of storytelling—a rollercoaster ride of science fiction blended with science fact,” and by the head of Army Cyber Command as “I loved Burn-In so much that I've already read it twice.” For links and resources discussed in this episode, please visit our show notes at https://www.forcepoint.com/govpodcast/e274
CONTENTThe guest today is the Cognitive Marine a serving USMC officer currently stationed in Okinawa who previously appeared on podcast #039. On this episode we discuss how past and present wars influence thought on the way battles may be fought in the future. Subjects include: Okinawa, Singapore and Menorca.Ukraine & Russia.Israel & Gaza.The influence and development of his Cognitive Marine Instagram account.His book choice on Desert island Dits is 2034: A Novel of the Next World War by Elliot Ackerman & Admiral James Stavridis. WHERE TO GET OUR DESERT ISLAND DITS BOOK CHOICESMost of our book recommendations can be bought via the Unconventional Soldier Bookshop. 10% of each purchase supports the pod and helps independent book stores on line sales. "BUY ME A COFFEE"If you want to support the podcast you can buy me a coffee here.SOCIAL MEDIACheck out our blog site on Wordpress Unconventional SoldierFollow us on social media and don't forget to like, share and leave a review.Instagram @the_unconventional_soldier_pod.Facebook @lateo82. Twitter @TheUCS473.Download these and other platforms via Link Tree.Email us: unconventionalsoldier@gmail.com. This episode brought to you in association with ISARR a veteran owned company. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
SEASON 2 EPISODE 90: COUNTDOWN WITH KEITH OLBERMANN A-Block (1:44) SPECIAL COMMENT: Dementia J. Trump has really lived up to the name. Or - DOWN to it. In a jaw-dropping development, even for him, even for his declining acuity, even in the vast Fog of Trump, he has just endorsed TWO rival candidates in the same congressional Republican primary. Saturday, at the Young Republicans banquet, Trump endorses Bo Hines, hoping to be chosen as the Republican running for North Carolina's 6th Congressional District. Then yesterday, Trump writes “Addison McDowell just announced he is running for North Carolina's 6th Congressional District… has my Complete and Total endorsement." There are SIX Republicans in the primary. Plenty of time for Trump to endorse all six of them. The primary isn't until the 5th of March. This should stop being a surprise. The man is mentally impaired, declining fast, doesn't know which number World War the NEXT World War would be, continually confuses Obama for Biden, doesn't know what city he's in, thinks Hungary's Viktor Orban is the dictator of Turkey, and this is after he STARTED with any one (or more) of a dozen psychological and maybe physiological problems that could be summarized under the heading “his brain doesn't work right.” It is not just a question of what Trump would do that he wanted to do but thought he couldn't get away with the first time. It is also a question of what Trump would do that he would never know he was doing – out of sheer mental incapacitation. Like endorsing two candidates in the same race. Within 89 hours. Just to put a cherry on top of this cake of crazy, as I was recording the podcast Trump was speaking in Iowa. He was supposed to boast about the "U.S. Economy." But he didn't say that. He said the "Eunice Economy." Eunice. So good economic news for anybody named Eunice. Also: Hunter Biden humiliates Jim Comer and Jim Jordan, and the Republicans address the danger that Joe Biden is to America by launching a formal inquiry into impeaching him and then immediately going on vacation for the rest of the year. The show trial impeachment of Joe Biden is SO fraudulent that it has even by noticed by Chuck Todd, who has written 1,947 of the dumbest words imaginable on the topic, including the idea - as if he had dreamt it up - that the concept of impeachment has now been diluted. What Chuck did not mention but I will, is the role NBC News played on the day impeachment - and our original form of government - died. September 21, 1998, the day NBC and all the other networks prostituted themselves to the GOP and ran, unseen and unedited and without any context, Bill Clinton's Grand Jury testimony that had been illegally given to the Republican-run House Judiciary Committee and then illegally broadcast on all the networks while not one of tv's "journalists" made one complaint. It was before Chuck's time at NBC. It was NOT before mine. B-Block (27:21) THE WORST PERSONS IN THE WORLD: Running the gamut from Twitter-X to Tesla to putting his thumb on the finger for Republican politicians, Elon Musk wins all three medals. C-Block (34:00) THINGS I PROMISED NOT TO TELL: Any one, in any profession, can have a similar experience. But only in broadcasting does it signal the death of your youth. "Hey," your new colleague says. "I used to listen to you when I was a KID." I've been on both sides of the equation and I'll tell you those stories.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, says confidence across all sectors in the equity market remains fragile. Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross Asset Strategist, says that fiscal support at the federal and state levels is reducing the odds of a recession. Elliot Ackerman, Former White House Fellow, US Marine Corps Veteran & Co-Author of 2034: A Novel of the Next World War, says the urban warfare environment in Gaza poses major challenges to both sides. Terry Haines, Pangaea Policy founder, expects Congress to pass spending bills on Ukraine, Israel, and the Southern border before the end of the year. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO Economist, North America, says the Fed may opt for future rate hikes. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance Full Transcript: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Lisa Abramoids along with Tom Keane and Jonathan Ferrow, joining us each day for insight from the best in economics, geopolitics, finance and investment. Subscribe to Bloomberg Surveillance on demand on Apple, Spotify and anywhere you get your podcasts, and always on Bloomberg dot Com, the Bloomberg Terminal and the Bloomberg Business app. Lori Kelvacina joining head of US Equity Strategy to RBC Capital Markets. Do you agree with that that when you look under the hood, you're seeing massive breakdowns that are reflective of a great deal of pain that people really gloss over. I think that's fair, Lisa. I mean, I think Jana hit the nail on the head when she talked about small caps making a new low. I always tell people about small caps, even if you can't buy them, they tell you a lot about what's going on in the broader market. And I think what's going on is that they're really taking the brunt of the pain as regards to the big increase in tenure yields that we've seen now. Of course, the tech stocks and the cap part of the market are getting knocked around by that as well. But small caps, it doesn't matter to how many charts I can show people suggesting that the balance sheets are not that bad. People simply don't want to hear it. And there's a view that small caps are simply not going to be able to weather the storm that's created by the surge and interest rates, whether it's ten year yields or fed funds. And again, I have so many charts, Lisa that I've been showing people for the last six months saying, hey, small caps have done a good job of shifting towards long term debt, the variable rates down, the weighted average maturities are really not that bad on average about four and a half years. People simply don't want to hear it, Lisa. There's just been a long adage that small caps don't weather higher interest rates very well, and I think that's one of the big reasons why they're getting punished right now. Laurie, can you talk about sector performance within the small caps sectors, because I do think that the sectors are telling an interesting tale in small caps that maybe we're not picking up in large cups. So if you think about you know, think about it. From evaluation perspective, I will say that most sectors in small cap look cheap relative to their low large cap counterparts. But where it gets really interesting is on some of the cyclical sectors. So it's not just small cap financials that are dragging down the rustle two thousand from evaluation perspective. Healthy sectors from a fundamental perspective, like industrials, also look pretty cheap relative to large cap. In the small cap space, consumer discretionary stocks really look kind of left for dead if you look at valuations there. They're deeply, deeply cheap, and they were actually really down around recession type flows last summer. So we're really seeing that pain very very widespread. And given we are in the midst of earning season, is there anything that you're getting out of earnings that maybe is not getting picked up by the markets, considering the markets are so captivatd like what's happening in these macro indicators, So I think people are really misunderstanding what's going on with inflation moderating and what that does to companies. One of the things that we've seen when we compare our numbers versus the street consensus and we actually, you know, we use the Bloomberg data to monitor the street consensus and it does a really good job of articulating how margin expansion is baked into a number of different sectors next year. Well, in my modeling, we actually don't have margin expansion. We kind of have margins going back to twenty twenty two type levels. And one of the reasons why is that we don't give margins a big benefit from sliding inflation. We simply haven't seen a justification to do that in our back test. And when you go through all the transcripts, what we're really noticing is that companies are picking up on this. So the pricing discussion has simply gotten much much swishier, and companies are saying it's going to be a softer pricing environment. Of course, there are a couple that are out there saying they're going to raise prices to infinity and beyond. That's not really the norm here, And what we're really seeing is that companies are acknowledging that they're not going to have an excuse to push these prices through as the cost environment moderates, and so we're not going to necessarily see this big boon to margin expansion simply from cost coming down and prices staying high. And I think that's really what's embedded in a lot of street assumptions for next year. The Laurie I'd like to build on what Gina was referring to about sectors and specifically sector dispersion amongst large cap names, right. I mean it's usually out of ties sturn periods of distressed I'm thinking two thousand and two thousand and eight. Yet sector dispersion has been very high since the pandemic started. I mean, I wonder what you take from that. I mean, certainly we look at some of the interest rate sensitive sectors and how they've underperformed. I mean, is that going to continue? I mean, what's it going to take to kind of get these correlations the right way? So I'll tell you Damian what I feel like I've noticed in the sector data over the last couple of months. And this is looking at the S and P five hundred specifically, But it feels like anytime there's a part of the market that gets a little bit of leadership, it can't sustain it for that long. And I've described it as you know, sort of this sniper that goes out. Anything good we have just gets taken away. And we saw you know, utilities, you know, for example, was having a really nice moment late in the summer and then all of a sudden, just the bottom fell out. We've also seen energy just really kind of lose that luster, and I think the problem is that the market is losing confidence in any one narrative. We really can't get a rotation going because, on the one hand, tech stocks look expensive, they look crowded, they're earning stam it is starting to fade, and hey, interest rates are not usually a good thing for those stocks, so that's starting to take a toll. But anything the market wants to rotate into just can't seem to maintain its footing for all that long from a fundamental perspective either. So it's just been a real struggle, I think, both to find something to generate intercremental excitement in the market and to really allow that rotation to play out. Well, Laurie, I'm so happy you managed you mentioned utilities, because it's been utilities and consumer staples, those traditionally low beated, defensive sectors that have underperformed. I'm wondering, you know, how do you position defensively in today's market, so I think it's very tough. I've actually got an underweight on consumer staples. I'm neutral on utilities. I'm overweight healthcare. That one's had a tough time getting going as well. But to me, it's got the nicest combination of decent valuations. At least until recently, it's had strong earnings revision trends. We've seen the medtech space sort of take a little bit of a hit, and there's been a concern about the weight loss drugs that emerged. I've been trying to tell people that happened at a time when the medtech stocks looked like they were kind of over their skis from earning revision perspective anyway. But if you look in other areas like pharm a biotech, if you look at the providers in services space, you have a really nice kind of ramp up in earning provision trends that feels like it has more room to run. It's not a perfect story by any stretch, but other than the weight loss drugs, it does feel like it has less macro hair than say, utilities and staples. With staples, I will tell you my analyst is starting to feel a little bit better there, just based on the fact that we did have this big sell loss from the weight loss drugs and valuations, I will admit to you are pretty compelling, but I do continue to worry about that sector from just a pricing perspective. I think it's right at the sort of center of the storm I mentioned in terms of not being able to pass through higher prices for much longer. We're seeing those companies actually really talk about how consumers are pushing back. Laurie, What does it tell you that you can have the right idea in terms of the solidness of a corporate balance seat, that you can have the right idea about historical valuation, and that investors just won't bite that it doesn't actually work in trading practice. I think it tells you that, you know, so, whether it's the Middle East, whether it's interest rates, we're in a sentiment driven market at this point in time, and confidence is just very, very fragile. One of the things we've talked about, Lisa a lot this year is how twenty twenty two, twenty twenty three has felt a lot like twenty ten, twenty eleven, and two thousand and two two thousand and three, which were kind of messy extended post crisis normalization periods. I lived through both of those as a strategist, and what we saw was that confidence was just very fragile. There was a constant fear of the next skeleton coming out of the closet and blowing things up, constant fear of tipping into another economic downturn. And I think that's the environment we've been in recently, and so anytime we have issues that come up, there's just not a lot of confidence that either companies or management teams, or the market as a whole, or the economy is going to be able to weather the storm. And that kind of felt like it was easing over the summer, but I feel like we're getting sucked right back into that messy normalization period again where confidence is low. Laurie Kevesy, No of RBC Capital Markets, thank you so much for being with us. Andrew Sheets, global head of credit research at Morgan Stanley, is going to be on tender hooks parsing through all of this. What's most important for you this week? Thanks? So. I think several things are important. I think that confirming that the FED is pausing, and we do think that the FED will not raise rates, and that that can kind of further reinforce the idea that they are done raising rates for this rate cycle, which we think is important for generating and stabilizing bonds. And I think the earning season remains very important. I mean, again, you had this kind of interesting dynamic where so far the underlying reported earnings are pretty decent, but the guidance has been disappointing. The market's reaction to that has generally been to punish misses pretty severely, and we've seen quite a bit of idiosyncratic risk coming out of earnings single stock risk, which also matters. So those are two things that are at the top of our list. You also mentioned at the top of your list that fiscal policy is key across the US, across Europe, across China. Fiscal policy is playing an elevated role in market dynamics this year. Tell us about your views on fiscal policy. So, I do think the fiscal story is really interesting one that affects the US, it affects Europe, it affects China, and so you know, we focus on it in a couple of ways. I mean, my colleague Chetanaya, who's are head of Asia Economics. Yous just some great charts that show just how much fiscal policy in China and the US have diverged, where China's been tightening fiscal policy while the US has been loosening it. We do think that in order to get more bullish on China, we do need to see a larger response, a larger fiscal response than what we've seen so far in the US. I think the real key is how much can the States pick up the slack on the fiscal response side. I think there's a lot of focus, a lot of right focus on you know, we have these large deficits, these unusually large deficits in the US relative the strength of the economy. But if you go below the surface, the state and municipality spending actually holds up pretty well on our four pass over the next twelve months, and that keeps we think, the US economy out of recession and stable, even as federal spending pulls back a bit. But I think that's also really important and really important of how you can get a soft landing even with so much fiscal support from the federal government. In the rearview, mirror, and then how does this fiscal landscape actually impact your corporate credit strategy. I mean, obviously, as an equity investor, we're sort of engaged in this conversation somewhat, and there is a concern in the equity universe that some crowding out may occur as a result of these extraordinary deficits in high yields. Are you seeing any evidence of that? Is the fiscal landscape impacting your corporate strategy at this point? So? I think so far, ironically, you know what's been happening on the fiscal side, as I think been helping credit, and I think that's an absolute and a relative case. And in absolute terms, the fiscal support at both the federal and state level, I think as reducing the odds of a recession, is supported the economy and that's kind of obviously helpful for credit. But I think also in a relatives I think something that's been weighing on treasury markets has been the income. The carry is low because the curves inverted, you get paid more to hold T bills than extending out the curve. And then supply has been very heavy, or expectations of supply are high. And then if you look at the corporate credit market, it's kind of the other way around that the carry on corporate credit is positive, the credit curve is positively sloped, and issuance has been really undershooting expectations as companies, which I think have more flexibility than the federal government to issue or not are looking at these yields and we think are saying this is expensive borrowing. We're going to try not to do it to the extent we can. So you've seen less supply on the corporate market, especially the investment grade market, which we think is a relatively positive technical supporting that market. Andrew, if you go back to call it late June early July, I think you'd be hard pressed to find one fixed income asse class that was down on the year. But now we look at it and it's a completely opposite pit story. Here. The one asset class that stands out to me that is still up on the air as US high Yield. I'm curious to hear your thoughts on that, what's keeping it up and whether or not to consistain its current performance. So that's that's a great point. I mean, I think US Highield has been pretty remarkable in terms of how well it's hold up on a relative and absolute basis anything. I think with hindsight, it's been helped by the fact that yield's been rising, and generally investors, you know, look to high yield is actually a better performing historical sector and in rising yields at somewhat shorter duration. And then you've seen relatively little supply out of that market, especially because it's been so expensive for these more levered issuers, and so that's also helped technicals. But you know, going forward, and I think this has been a really key part you mentioned earlier on the show. You know, you look at what's happening at breadth in the equity market, you look at the underperformance of small caps relative to large caps, and I think that's still actually a relatively troubling signal for the future performance of high yield. I think if the equity market is saying, look, we're we're getting incrementally more cautious on smaller, more levered, more cyclical stocks, as long as that's happening, I think it's much it's hard to see the catalyst to drive further compression or more compression on spreads. So we think spreads decompressed from here. We think that there's already a lot in the price of high yields relative performance, even if we avoid a recession in the US, which remains our base case. Just quickly, Andrew, how concerned are you the Japanese buyers, in particular big corporate debt buyers in the US are going to pull back, especially with some of the adjustments we're expecting from the Bank of Japan. So we think that risk so far is moderate, but we do have to watch it. Again that the return on a hedged basis for a Japanese investor in the US corporate credit is not good, so we do need to watch that. We do need to see still if the flows on an unheedged basis continue. Our base cases that they do, but I think that's something subject to what we might see this week. Andrew Sheets of Morgan Stanley, thank you. There hasn't necessarily been the hardline escalation that some people were expecting with the ground invasion. Joining us to understand all of this is Elliot Akerman, someone with on the ground moots on the ground experience in Fallujah, US Marine Corps veteran, former White House fellow and co author of the twenty thirty four a novel of the Next World War. I hope we are not entering into another World War, Elliott Akerman. I want to get your sense of what you make around the fact that we have not seen a greater escalation and what the chances are for that at this point based on the measures taken. Well, I think what we've seen is very deliberate military movements on the part of the Israelis. I mean, pretty soon, we're going to be a month since the October seventh attacks and we haven't seen them rush headlong into Gaza. And then we've also seen the United States take measures by moving two carrier battle groups and other forces into the Mediterranean to dissuade the Iranians or Hezbolah from coming in from Lebanon and to the north of Israel. So this counter offensive is playing out in a really deliberative manner, and I think that so far we're seeing that that is stopping this war from turning into a regional contagion. Yet it does seem that most of the rhetoric or statements coming out of the region, Elliott, are about the war really continuing or at least get getting started. The ground troops really getting busy now, which would suggest that there's not a lot of endgame in sight. It seems that we're getting going and the assumption is that this is going to take some time to play out. Is there any resolution in your mind in the near term or is this another war that we're going to contend with for an extended period of time and very similar fashion to what's going on in the Ukraine. I think there's a tendency when we look at wars is we focus a lot on the movements of ground troops in the real specific and that that's important, of course, but it's also important to hold in your mind at the same time, you know, the idea that war is politics. It's politics by other means, What are the politic politics of this situation? And this attack on October seventh was, you know, by all accounts, launched as a counter to the Saudis and the Israelis signing a peace deal, a peace deal that would disempower Hamas and put Aroan in a very difficult position in the region, and so by basically forcing an atrocity on the Israelis, Hamas forces an Israeli response that causes that peace deal to collapse. So that's what we're seeing right now. So this kind of poses an obvious question, which is who is the party that actually has the leverage at this point. You know, Israel doesn't have a ton of leverage because they have to respond Hamas is waiting for that response. I would say the people who have the most leverage right now are the Saudis. You know, if the Saudis were to turn around and start renegotiating this peace deal at any point, it takes away all of the leverage that Hamas and Iran have created. And I think we have to as much as where you know, there's a lot of discussion about the fatigue that the world is going to have when we start seeing the Israeli military operating in Gaza and the civilian death toll. I think there's also some fatigue that the Arab world probably has with the Palestinian question, particularly in the context in which Hamas is inflaming tensions and could we see possibly a peace resumed out of the Arab world on this question, Elliott, your former marine five tours of duty in Iraq and Afghanistan. The one question I have for you is these tunnels underneath Gaza. How do you infiltrate these tunnels? I mean, what does that look like? I mean, I'm just curious, like, is there any precedent for that? Well, I mean there is historical precedents for that, But I can't emphasize enough just how challenging that operating environment is. You know, a major urban center is the worst place that you want to be fighting. The closest analogy I can come up with based off of my experiences in Fallujahs, it's like being in a knife fight in the phone booth. Everything happens at very close quarters and very very quickly, and many of the high tech weapons systems that armies like ours and like the Israelis Army are invested in they become much less effective because of the close quarters natures of the fighting. And these tunnels make it extremely complicated for the Israelis because they have to go in, they have to map out these tunnels, figure out where they are, and you also have hostages that are being held with these tunnels. So at the tactical level, you couldn't have posed a more challenging problem to the Israeli military. I don't believe it's insurmountable, but it's going to make it very, very slow going, and it forces them to act extremely deliberatively, which I think we've seen so far. Well, you said that it's not insurmountable, and I want to really develop that point a little bit because there are a lot of people saying, what does it mean to beat Hamas ken Israel win this war? What does winning look like? From your vantage point? What does winning look like? Again? I think winning at least is the Israelis have defined it is the destruction of Hamas and then some normalization or stasis in security in the region so Israelis can continue to live in all parts of Israel and southern Israel in particular. Now, when it comes to destroying Hamas, you know that is you know it's going to take some work, but that is tactically viable. I think the question is now, what do you do in Gaza? And do you face a protracted insurgency in Gaza? And I think when it comes to this idea of normalizing relations in the region, that's when we start to get into questions of diplomacy. You can Israel and can Arab partners negotiate with whatever the inheritors are of Hamas. Whatever that palaestin and the authority is to create stability in the region. We haven't gotten there yet. But again, you know what I'm seeing is we shouldn't underestimate the fatigue that also exists in the Arab world with this conflict, because it seems that the war was predicated on Hamas blowing up the best chance for peace that it ever existed. You talked about how Saudi Arabia arguably has the most leverage in all of this. We do have a Saudi official coming to Washington, I believe this week Axios was reporting. I'm wondering what the goal is among some of the Arab nations that have the leverage, have the power. I'm thinking, yes, Saudi Arabia, but also maybe to a lesser extent cutter and also the United Arab Emirates. What do they want? I think they want to live in a region that isn't played by this systemic war in Israel between the Israelis and the Palestinians, to allow peace to finally break out in the Middle East, and to live in a region in the world that isn't When it's spoken the Middle East, we don't immediately think conflict war in a place where security isn't assured, that maybe the Middle East can start to look a little bit more like Western Europe. I think that is probably what they want. I think that's what everybody wants. And again, I think we shouldn't underestimate the fatigue that exists on all sides of this conflict. Just twenty seconds. Do you think that their goal is for Israel to survive or not to survive? I think their goal is for Israel to survive, Elliott. I think it's I think it's difficult for them to say that, but yes I do. Elliot Ackerman, thank you so much for taking the time joining us now. Terry Haynes, founder of Pangea Policy, I want to start with Mike Johnson what we heard out of him over the weekend. How surprised were you to hear some of his points that sound very much like a playbook that comes for another time. Well, I wasn't a bit surprised. Acshually, I've been writing for markets for weeks that the strategy that would get pursued is, you know, breaking all these pieces apart instead of have you know, instead of Biden's idea that they should all be rolled up together. I think what markets ought to notice too, though, is what Johnson doesn't say. What Johnson doesn't say is he's four square against Ukraine Aid. Ukraine Aid shouldn't happen. That it won't happen, none of those things. You know. What we've got here. What I was always fearful about, and I think is coming true, is that this is going to become a fight about how all these things get done, these things being Israeli Ukraine aid, border security enhancements, and that's going to take up most of the rest of the year. But I do think they all get done in the end. So they get done. We continue to fund or support these two wars. Where do we cut spending in order to accommodate them, Well, we don't. Bottom line, we don't. You know. The good news and the bad news is really is that on book spending has really been consistent for the last decade plus, off book spending in our commitments, you know, whether it be to housing or to you A variety of other things that are kind of under the under the line continue to balloon. And that's a big problem. Washington has not yet gotten the memo from the markets that that that the markets, for the first time in forty years, are very concerned about rising debt, rising deficit, and rising US fiscal spending. There isn't a politician in Washington other than Biden himself that's ever heard markets be concerned about that. And you know, Biden's not in a position to care or do anything about it because he's beholden to his left wing who think that endless spending it is the right idea. Okay, so we keep spending. What about with China. There's a lot happening with China this week, which is interesting considering so much happening geopolitically around the world, and yet China Taiwan is lingering in the background. Tell us your views on what's happening with China? Is their meaning behind the meetings this week that we should be reading into, well, Gina, as you know very well, the you know, every time the markets here anything good from a US China perspective, and the a one is the prospect that Biden and President Ju Chiming might might meet on the sidelines of the APEC meeting next month. Uh. You know, the markets think this is a good thing, you know, but in reality, what they've been very China has been very blunt about is really through the National Security Law, through kicking a lot of Western accountants out, UH, now through UH providing through a conference this week more evidence of state control in a variety of areas in financial services. UH is a world that you know, as you all talked about in the last hour or so, where China looks increasingly uninvestable, and so I think the UH, you know, they've kind of the cats out of the bag on China, and even markets are starting to figure out that that there's not going to be any kind of long term rapprochmont between the US and China. The best we're going to get is a situation where the where the competitor and the clashers understand each other well enough not to take the next step into a rising yet again geopolitical risk. Terry former Vice President Penance pulled out of the twenty twenty four election this past weekend. You know, Trump leads the polling in some of these early states. I mean, it's still early days, obviously, but I mean I'm curious, do you believe we're past peak Trump? Is there anyone else in the GOP who can even make a run at him. Well, you know, I'll stick to my earlier views that I think we're a little past peakd Trump. What you've got in the early primary states, Damien, is a situation where you know, the polls right now are basically fifty percent or in favor of Trump, which means fifty percenter against him. You probe into the Trump support a little bit more, and you've got another quarter to a half who can be convinced otherwise. And as you point out, it is very early days. We've got, you know, basically two and a half months before the first almost a quarter of a year before the first primary season. So you know, my advice to markets is really twofold one, stay cool on this till after the first of the year when you have some idea of what's going on. Number one, number two. I think what you do see as a continued winnowing down of the competitors. We're already basically down to three. We're down to Hayley, DeSantis and Tim Scott as the leading challengers. Pence understood he wasn't part of that, so he's very honorably bowing out early. But what you're going to get, I think is a consolidation that happens earlier and provides a much more unexpected from markets perspective challenge to Trump than is now thought. Terry Mike Johnson is Speaker of the House, but is he the leading voice for House Republicans? And you know where I'm going with this, right, I mean, you've got Scalise emor Jordan. I mean, what happens to these to these gentlemen after their unsuccessful runs for Speaker of the House. You know, people people tend to view position new people in positions based on the people that were already there, So Mark, they're very used to that this strong speaker model, this kind of super majority leader position, whether it be Nancy Pelosi or McCarthy or you know, John Bayne or somebody else. In reality, what you've got with Johnson as a situation where the party regulars Scalise Emmer Jordan are more empowered now than they were before and they're really going to be leading the party much more than Johnson. That said, you know, one of the things Johnson also said on the Sunday shows, which bears underscoring, is that you know, they're looking much more seriously at extending government funding beyond November seventeenth than they would have been, say a month ago. So you know, so I have accordingly put my own odds back down to about forty percent. But I think the political situation's volt and I'll be ready to put him back up again, you know, if and when the Republicans fall apart, just quickly. Here we're talking about the Republican side and the nominees for the election. Why was Gavin Newsom in China ostensibly to talk about economic ties and all the rest. Really what he's doing is trying to do what he can to burnish his foreign policy chops. You know, there's a lot of sharks in the water now, and wouldn't surprise me if Biden's feeling like a ramorra a little bit and should they falter. And you saw evidence of that even with Vice President Harris' sixty minutes interview last night. But you know, Newsom wants to put him out out there as the alternative, himself out there was the alternative. Republicans would love that, because Newsom wouldn't get a vote outside the solidly blue states. Terry Haynes and PANGEA Policy, thank you so much. Joining us now is Tiffany Wilding, economist and managing director at PIMCO. So glad to have you on the show. We were talking earlier and Gina made this great point about how she thinks the pain trade is actually to the upside in equity markets. Things go better than expected, earning's coming stronger than expected. Is it the same with economic projections that the economy, if it reaccelerates, that's almost the pain trade right now, given more people are situated. Yeah, I mean, I think some of that has been quote priced into the economics, communities forecasts. I mean, you saw many economists that were penciling in a recession earlier in the year, you know, and obviously if you look at the consensus numbers, those have come up. I mean, certainly that can continue. And it's definitely been a risk that we've been highlighting as well, you know, in particular the consumer. You know, it's certainly possible the consumer remains strong. The consumer did basically re accelerate their you know, their consumption and their purchases into the back half of this year. You know, it's a question of how interest rate sensitive the consumer is, and it's proving to be not that interest rate sensitive right now, which raises a question also, Tiffany, what's the connection between growth and inflation. Is there a sense that if growth accelerates, you can still see the disinflation continue that we've seen so far this year. Yeah, I mean, so this has been a point that we've been trying to really hammer home, which is that it really, you know, there'll be some continued disinflation as a result of you know, the fact that you're still getting you know, the product market side of the economy, so the side of the economy that was impacted by some of these supply chain snags. You're still getting some normalization there, but labor markets are incredibly tight, and you are still seeing a pretty decent amount of nominal income growth as a result of that labor market improvement. And so, you know, we think you probably still need some labor market softening in order to just get inflation, you know, kind of more truly back down to target. Yeah. So if you have an economy that's reaccelerating in a labor market that's strong, you know you should this services X shelter kinds of metrics that the FED is looking at, those probably will start to re accelerate. Tiffany, what is the most important economic indicator you're watching this week. You know, obviously the jobs number, you know, is going to be incredibly important. You know. Now there's going to be some noise around that because there is some strike activity. But I think you know, everybody's trying to figure out what the underlying trend in the labor market is. You know, and as I mentioned, you know, if growth, so the FED or Reserve needs to target growth that's under potential. So that call it like around one percent is what the FED is opening to target in order to cool the labor market off. You know, growth right now looks like it's running at two and a half three, so it is well above that, which suggests the labor market is going to remain strong, you know, so well, you know, obviously we'll be looking at that. The wage number within the labor market report is obviously going to be very important as well. But overall, you know, we've said, if the data flow continues to be as strong as it was in September, you know, certainly the FED is probably going to want to keep its options open to hike more. We think the SEP could maybe even take out cuts for twenty twenty four just to try to keep those financial conditions tight. And where do you think this? What is the impact on financial prices? Then, so you've got the Fed likely to pause, You've got data still coming in reasonably strong. What are financial markets to do with this kind of data? Well, you know, I think, you know, obviously, kind of good news should be bad news in some sense, right, because the Federal Reserve is trying to cool off the economy, and ultimately the way they do that is through tighter financial conditions, and whether that's you know, higher interest rates or you know, a decline in equities, you know, maybe wider credit spreads, all of those things. You know, that's how you cool off the economy. And so if the economy remains strong, you know, then that's what we need more pricing like that in order to cool things off. Tiffany, there's been a lot of focus on the quarterly refinancing announcement. You know, my question for you is a simple one. Is the supply story in US treasuries already reflected in the price? Yeah? I mean I think this is a key question, you know. Now, I think it's actually broader than the refunding. I mean, clearly Treasury has had a big refunding need. You know, they've been trying to increase coupons, you know, as a result of the fact that you know, they have this bigger need and they were really ramping up bills. Now they're moving into coupons. I think the bigger issue here is that good growth, better growth expectations, is actually increasing people's expectations for supply. And that's that's not that's counterintuitive relative to usual experience because usually you have higher tax revenues and you know that reduces financing need. But right now with you have central banks that can just continue to you know, reduce their balance sheet for longer, or you know, the Bank of Japan, which you know really pulls away from you know, from buying jgbs. That results in more expectations for supply globally, and that's increasing term premium. Yeah, you know, so I think that is going to continue with the refunding. I mean, Tiffany or you're right in the wheelhouse here talking about the crowding out effect from Japan to the US, I mean foreign buying of treasuries. Where does the demand come from the Feds no longer backstopping things, you know, talk to about demand for US treasuries on a forward basis, you know, who is that marginal buyer, who's that marginal risk taker? Yeah, I mean that's that's what everybody's trying to figure out, right And the problem, I think, well, one of the issues is is that, you know, you kind of go back to twenty fourteen, twenty fifteen, twenty sixteen, where you had a good amount of bond yields that were negative and really the US was the only game in town. Well, now with interest rates just across the world much higher, it's possible to you know, to get you know, positive yielding assets outside of the United States right now. You know, some diversification of portfolios as a result of that is probably reasonable, you know. So I think it is the question of who's the marginal buyer, But not only who's the marginal buyer, but what price are they willing to pay and what yield do they need to get in order to come back into the bond market. Tiffany Wilding of PIMCO, thank you so much for being with us. Subscribe the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast on Apple, Spotify and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live every weekday starting at seven am Eastern on Blueberk dot com, the iHeartRadio app tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app. You can watch us live on Bloomberg Television and always on the Bloomberg Terminal. Thanks for listening. I'm Lisa Abramowitz, and this is BloombergSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Chief Economist, says the last mile to get us back to 2% inflation on a sustained basis is tough. David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, still sees inflation coming down. Elliot Ackerman, Former White House Fellow, US Marine Corps Veteran & Co-Author of 2034: A Novel of the Next World War, discusses the Israel-Hamas war. Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management CEO, sees some sort of yield curve control being brought into the US. Sheila Kahyaoglu, Jefferies Senior Equity Research Analyst, discusses Delta earnings. Get the Bloomberg Surveillance newsletter, delivered every weekday. Sign up now: https://www.bloomberg.com/account/newsletters/surveillance See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Hour 3 of The Bench with John Granato, and Del filling in for Lance Zierlein! This hour the guys discussed if this is the worst season of Astros baseball during their dynastic run going back to 2017, looked ahead to Texans-Steelers next weekend, Lance caught some strays over his allegiance during the next World War, and of course they ended the show with 'New of the Weird'!
Lyle Goldstein is back to talk with Scott about a recent U.S. wargame simulating a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. While Goldstein has some problems with the game's design, he thinks it was far superior to most in its realism. And that, above all, the report authors were honest about the sheer scale of losses both sides face if diplomatic solutions dry up or go ignored. Discussed on the show: The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Accompanying video 2034: A Novel of the Next World War by Elliot Ackerman and Admiral James Stavridis Lyle J. Goldstein is the Director of Asia Engagement at Defense Priorities. He is the author of Meeting China Halfway: How to Defuse the Emerging US-China Rivalry. Follow his work at The National Interest and on Twitter @lylegoldstein This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Tom Woods' Liberty Classroom; ExpandDesigns.com/Scott. Get Scott's interviews before anyone else! Subscribe to the Substack. Shop Libertarian Institute merch or donate to the show through Patreon, PayPal or Bitcoin: 1DZBZNJrxUhQhEzgDh7k8JXHXRjY Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Download Episode. Lyle Goldstein is back to talk with Scott about a recent U.S. wargame simulating a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. While Goldstein has some problems with the game's design, he thinks it was far superior to most in its realism. And that, above all, the report authors were honest about the sheer scale of losses both sides face if diplomatic solutions dry up or go ignored. Discussed on the show: The First Battle of the Next War: Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Accompanying video 2034: A Novel of the Next World War by Elliot Ackerman and Admiral James Stavridis Lyle J. Goldstein is the Director of Asia Engagement at Defense Priorities. He is the author of Meeting China Halfway: How to Defuse the Emerging US-China Rivalry. Follow his work at The National Interest and on Twitter @lylegoldstein This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Tom Woods' Liberty Classroom; ExpandDesigns.com/Scott. Get Scott's interviews before anyone else! Subscribe to the Substack. Shop Libertarian Institute merch or donate to the show through Patreon, PayPal or Bitcoin: 1DZBZNJrxUhQhEzgDh7k8JXHXRjY
EPISODE 1510: In this KEEN ON show, Andrew talks to Eliot Ackerman, the author of the novel HALCYON, which imagines an America where Al Gore becomes President and there is technology that can resurrect dead people ELLIOT ACKERMAN is the author of the novels Red Dress in Black and White, Waiting for Eden, Dark at the Crossing (a finalist for the National Book Award), and Green on Blue (a finalist for the Dayton Literary Peace Prize), as well as the memoir Places and Names, and is the coauthor with Admiral James Stavridis of the best seller 2034: A Novel of the Next World War. Ackerman is both a former White House Fellow and Marine, and served five tours of duty in Iraq and Afghanistan, where he received the Silver Star, the Bronze Star for Valor, and the Purple Heart. His latest novel is Halcyon (2023) Named as one of the "100 most connected men" by GQ magazine, Andrew Keen is amongst the world's best known broadcasters and commentators. In addition to presenting KEEN ON, he is the host of the long-running How To Fix Democracy show. He is also the author of four prescient books about digital technology: CULT OF THE AMATEUR, DIGITAL VERTIGO, THE INTERNET IS NOT THE ANSWER and HOW TO FIX THE FUTURE. Andrew lives in San Francisco, is married to Cassandra Knight, Google's VP of Litigation & Discovery, and has two grown children. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Subscribe to The Realignment to access our exclusive Q&A episodes and support the show: https://realignment.supercast.com/.REALIGNMENT NEWSLETTER: https://therealignment.substack.com/PURCHASE BOOKS AT OUR BOOKSHOP: https://bookshop.org/shop/therealignmentEmail Us: realignmentpod@gmail.comFoundation for American Innovation: https://www.thefai.org/posts/lincoln-becomes-faiElliot Ackerman, author of Halcyon, The Fifth Act: America's End in Afghanistan, and 2034: A Novel of the Next World War, returns to The Realignment. Elliot and Marshall discuss his alternate history of America in the 2000s, how revisiting the past challenges our assumptions about our national character, conflict versus character, and his broader writing foreign policy reporting as the country faces new challenges and conflicts.
National security expert Rebeccah Heinrichs joins Rep. Crenshaw to discuss strategic nuclear deterrence in the 21st century, the New Cold War against China and Russia, idealism vs realism in foreign affairs, and why America must re-establish itself as the global military and economic superpower if it hopes to survive. Rebeccah Heinrichs is a senior fellow at Hudson Institute and the director of its Keystone Defense Initiative. She specializes in US national defense policy with a focus on strategic deterrence. Ms. Heinrichs currently serves as a commissioner on the bipartisan Strategic Posture Commission, which was created in the Fiscal Year 2022 National Defense Authorization Act. She also serves on the US Strategic Command Advisory Group and the National Independent Panel on Military Service and Readiness. Follow her on Twitter at @RLHeinrichs.
The world is rapidly changing and it seems that things keep getting worse by the day. Some astrologers predict that there might be a war coming in 2025 and if that's the case, it's better to be prepared. In this video, I am going to share the most important skill to master during times of uncertainty, should it come to that, and some practices that will help you exercise this important skill. FREE RESOURCES ► Wearing Confidence Masterclass: In this masterclass, you will learn how to cultivate unshakable confidence and radical self-acceptance from the inside out in a feminine way. Get immediate access here: [discontinued class] COURSES ► VENUSIAN WOMAN - Online program for self-aware women that want to develop self-confidence, magnetism, sovereignty, and authenticity in their feminine expression. Learn more about Venusian Woman here: https://bit.ly/experience-womanhood Let's stay connected! Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/venusian.academy/ --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/venusian-woman/message
Could our worries and misjudgments of the present and future be due to our inability to analyze the past? Historian and prolific author, Niall Ferguson, is the Milbank Family Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and a senior faculty fellow of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard. His famous books include “Doom: The Politics of Catastrophe” (2021), “The Square and the Tower” (2018), “The Ascent of Money” (2008), and “Civilization: The West and the Rest” (2011). The host, Gita Wirjawan, is an entrepreneur, educator, and currently a visiting scholar at Stanford University at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC). #Endgame #GitaWirjawan #NiallFerguson Recorded at Stanford University on January 31, 2023. ----------------- SGPP Indonesia Master of Public Policy March 2023 Intake: admissions.sgpp.ac.id admissions@sgpp.ac.id https://wa.me/628111522504 Other "Endgame" episode Playlist: https://endgame.id/season2 https://endgame.id/season1 https://endgame.id/thetake Listen on Spotify: https://endgame.id/spotify Visit and subscribe: https://youtube.com/@SGPPIndonesia https://youtube.com/@VisinemaPictures
Episode 2522: Are We Being Led Into The Next World War
Episode 2498: The Breakdown Of The Next World War
LTG (r) Kenneth E. Tovo was commissioned from the U.S. Military Academy into the Infantry in 1983. After serving his initial tour with the 82nd Airborne Division, Tovo completed the Special Forces Qualification Course and transferred to Special Forces. He served as a Special Forces detachment, company, battalion, and group commander in the 10th Special Forces Group (Airborne).Tovo's additional assignments included serving as a plans officer with 1st Special Forces Operational Detachment-Delta and Joint Headquarters Center (NATO); aide de-camp to the commander, Stabilization Force, Bosnia; chief of staff, U.S. Army Special Operations Command (USASOC); deputy commanding general, Special Operations Command Europe (SOCEUR); deputy commanding general, 1st Armored Division/U.S. Division Center, Iraq; commanding general, Special Operations Command Central (SOCCENT); and commanding general, Combined Security Transition Command-Afghanistan and NATO Training Mission-Afghanistan (CSTC-A/NTM-A). Most recently, Tovo served as the military deputy commander of U.S. Southern Command in Miami, Fla.Tovo's operational assignments include the first Gulf War, refugee relief operations in Northern Iraq, noncombatant evacuation operations in Sierra Leone, peacekeeping operations in Bosnia on two occasions, five tours in Iraq, and one tour in Afghanistan. As mentioned in the podcast:Green Beret Foundation - https://greenberetfoundation.org/First Flight Venture Center- https://www.ffvcnc.org/Graham Allison: - Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?-https://amzn.to/3I2U0TBPeter Zienhan Books:- The Absent Super Power - https://amzn.to/3XdW4w1Disunited Nations: The Scramble for Power in an Ungoverned World - https://amzn.to/3YfcupCThe Accidental Superpower: The Next Generation of American Preeminence and the Coming Global Disorder - https://amzn.to/3Yr7cXtThe End of the World Is Just the Beginning: Mapping the Collapse of Globalization - https://amzn.to/3RJCZRpChristian Brose - The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare - https://amzn.to/3HvnbwY P.W.Singer and August Cole - Ghost Fleet: A Novel of the Next World War - https://amzn.to/3HGFtvr Charles E. Heller - America's First Battles - https://amzn.to/3HBL1HmDisclaimer: “The views represented are not necessarily those of DEFTECH, NCMBC, FTCC, or the Federal Government. The content and interviews are for instructional purposes and to build awareness for the NC Innovation Ecosystem.” “DEFTECH is a North Carolina Military Business Center subsidiary and receives support from Fayetteville Technical Community College.”
Joining us this week is Peter W. Singer, a New York Times bestselling author of books including Ghost Fleet, LikeWar and the techno-thriller Burn In. He shares details on the New America volunteer, non-profit organization and its awesome #SharetheMicinCyber program helping to bring diversity of thought to the cybersecurity front lines. We also discuss the future of social media, what defines a cyberwar, Ukraine's leverage of social media to garner global support this year, and the great work Useful Fiction is delivering to organizations to address the age old problem of translating complex themes (such as cyber) into compelling business narratives audiences understand and can learn from. And definitely take a few minutes to learn more about Passing the Mic's cybersecurity fellowship program this week. Read more here: https://www.newamerica.org/the-thread/passing-the-mic-introducing-new-americas-cybersecurity-fellowship/ Peter Warren Singer - A Strategist at New America, a Professor of Practice at Arizona State University, and Founder & Managing Partner at Useful Fiction LLC. A New York Times Bestselling author, described in the Wall Street Journal as “the premier futurist in the national-security environment” and “all-around smart guy” in the Washington Post, he has been named by the Smithsonian as one of the nation's 100 leading innovators, by Defense News as one of the 100 most influential people in defense issues, by Foreign Policy to their Top 100 Global Thinkers List, and as an official “Mad Scientist” for the U.S. Army's Training and Doctrine Command. No author, living or dead, has more books on the professional US military reading lists. His non-fiction books include Corporate Warriors: The Rise of the Privatized Military Industry, Children at War, Wired for War: The Robotics Revolution and Conflict in the 21st Century; Cybersecurity and Cyberwar: What Everyone Needs to Know and most recently LikeWar, which explores how social media has changed war and politics. It was named an Amazon and Foreign Affairs book of the year and reviewed by Booklist as “LikeWar should be required reading for everyone living in a democracy and all who aspire to.” He is also the co-author of a new type of novel, using the format of a technothriller to communicate nonfiction research. Ghost Fleet: A Novel of the Next World War was both a top summer read and led to briefings everywhere from the White House to the Pentagon. His latest is Burn-In: A Novel of the Real Robotic Revolution. It has been described by the creator of Lost and Watchmen as “A visionary new form of storytelling—a rollercoaster ride of science fiction blended with science fact,” and by the head of Army Cyber Command as “I loved Burn-In so much that I've already read it twice.” For links and resources discussed in this episode, please visit our show notes at https://www.forcepoint.com/govpodcast/e206
Willy welcomes James Stavridis. He is a retired US Navy Admiral and Supreme Allied Commander of NATO and the best-selling author of 2034: A Novel of the Next World War and To Risk It All: Nine Conflicts and the Crucible of Decision. He is currently the Vice Chair of Global Affairs, Managing Director of the Carlyle Group, and Chair of the Board of Trustees of the Rockefeller Foundation. James begins discussing his career in the Naval Academy in the late 1970s. Being on a top-five national-ranked team, his coach brought over an experienced Pakistani player, beating him and his members, making it his first lesson on humility. In his freshman year, he decided to be a sailor, much to his father's disappointment, who was a former infantry officer. But the choice paid off 25 years later. The first 20 years of his career were during the Cold War. He described knowing every detail of every Russian warship and conducting tabletop exercises. He points out aircraft carriers as the US's biggest advantage over Russia, while their strong point was undersea warfare. He mentions how the current Russian army is only a shadow of its former self. Due to bombings of US embassies in East Africa, James and his group were tasked to launch Tomahawk missiles on Osama Bin Laden's residence in the late 1990s. The mission failed because Pakistani residents informed Bin Laden of their presence. In 2001, Bin Laden returned fire on the Pentagon, killing many of James' close comrades and friends, ironically in the "safest place in the world." James affirms how Navy men are trained firefighters, able to combat the fire after the bombing. The Pentagon bombing taught James that "life can change forever in an instant," the importance of being ready at all times, and the flexibility in changing strategies. After 911, James was tasked with creating a tactical think tank called Deep Blue, gathering the smartest men in all ranks for a year and a half before becoming a carrier strike commander. The anger fueled James and the rest of the military to implement dramatic changes and innovate, fighting against internal parochialism. He emphasizes the importance of breaking those barriers in times of crisis. He believes the workforce should be challenged, incentivized, and rewarded for new ideas. He uses "innovation cells," having a small number of switched-on people to brainstorm with and compensating them exceptionally for their work. James thinks the US is not paying enough attention to South America, despite engaging with Colombia previously. He explains how South America has untapped potential for natural resources and economic and cultural diversity. Finland and Sweden joining NATO is a formidable threat against Vladimir Putin's war as these nations are highly-skilled air and land fighters, respectively. Their geographical locations and hold on the Arctic are also advantages.
China remains the top concern for long-term US national security and tensions over Taiwan have increased steadily over the past several months. Chinese President Xi Jinping used the 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party to cement his grip on power – and to make clear where his party stands on its future ambitions, to include the reunification of the self-governing island of Taiwan. So just how close are China and the US moving toward war over Taiwan? That's something that Cipher Brief Expert Admiral James Stavridis (Ret.) has been contemplating for some time. He is the author of 2034: A Novel of the Next World War - that he co-wrote with journalist Elliott Ackerman - played out just how that war might start.
WWII's Jupiter return has Germany back in the news, from an indirect assault by the Russians via Nordstream to the Poles demanding reparations, the pale ghost of two world wars haunts the western front.
Subscribe to The Realignment on Supercast to support the show and access all of our bonus content: https://realignment.supercast.com/.REALIGNMENT NEWSLETTER: https://therealignment.substack.com/BOOKSHOP: https://bookshop.org/shop/therealignmentEmail us at: realignmentpod@gmail.comElliot Ackerman, author of The Fifth Act: America's End in Afghanistan and 2034: A Novel of the Next World War, returns to The Realignment near the first anniversary of the U.S. withdrawal from Kabul to discuss how the war reshaped American society, the pivot to Great Power competition, and his service during the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq as a Marine/CIA officer.
Munk Members Podcast provides listeners with a focused, half-hour masterclass on the big issues, events and trends driving the news and current events. The show features Janice Gross Stein, the founding director of the Munk School of Global Affairs and bestselling author, in conversation with Rudyard Griffiths, Chair and moderator of the Munk Debates. This edition of the Munk Members Podcast features Janice and Rudyard's recommendations for great summer reads. What are the books you should be including on your reading list for the beach, the cottage and your favourite hammock? Janice and Rudyard share their suggestions for big, meaty non-fiction reads that are going to expand listeners' thinking on some of the key issues of our time. Also, what is a fun summer book that you shouldn't miss out on as an indulgence? We have all your summer reading needs covered in this special edition of the Munk Members podcast. This podcast is a project of the Munk Debates, a Canadian charitable organization dedicated to fostering civil and substantive public dialogue. More information at www.munkdebates.com. Rudyard's Picks: Geography Is Destiny: Britain and the World, a 10,000 Year History by Ian Morris. 2034: A Novel of the Next World War by Elliot Ackerman and James G. Stavridis All That Is Solid Melts Into Air by Marshall Berman Janice's Picks: The American War in Afghanistan: A History by Carter Malkasian Reality+: Virtual Worlds and the Problems of Philosophy by David Chalmers The Magician by Colm Tóibín
Admiral James Stavridis, USN (Ret.) spent more than thirty years in the U.S. Navy, rising to the rank of four-star admiral. He was Supreme Allied Commander at NATO and previously commanded U.S. Southern Command, overseeing military operations through Latin America. At sea, he commanded a Navy destroyer, a destroyer squadron, and an aircraft carrier battle group in combat. He holds a Ph. D. from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University, where he recently served five years as dean. He received fifty medals in the course of his military career, including twenty-eight from foreign nations. James is the author of To Risk It All: Nine Conflicts and the Crucible of Decision, which he shares insights from here. He has published nine other books, including 2034: A Novel of the Next World War, with Elliott Ackerman. He is chief international analyst for NBC News and a contributing editor for Time magazine. He is currently the Vice Chair, Global Affairs of the Carlyle Group and the Chair of the Board of Trustees for the Rockefeller Foundation In this podcast, he shares: The strategic lesson we can draw from great military leaders of the past, John Paul Jones, and today, Admiral Michelle Howard Four keys to making the right decision, especially in moments of urgency Tips for keeping focused on your “north star” and avoid getting distracted by near-term noise __________________________________________________________________________________________"You have to be willing to bet on yourself in the hardest situations and be determined even when things appear to be going against you." -Admiral James Stavridis__________________________________________________________________________________________Episode Timeline:00:00—Introducing James + The topic of today's episode2:22—If you really know me you know that...3:18—What is your definition of strategy?3:40—What do people get wrong with strategy?4:30—Can you outline the topics in your book, To Risk it All?7:31—Could you tell us about the nine core principles and lessons from your stories?11:00—Could you talk about how your ideas aren't about having a structured set of contingency plans, but more a cultural shift in mindset to be prepared—could you talk about that?12:50—How do you keep a clear eye on the right target, the "north star" so to speak?14:48—What's something you've changed your mind about?17:17—Could you tell us about your novel, 2034: A Novel of the Next World War?18:38—What put you on the path of entrepreneurship that led you to Village Global, your venture capital firm?18:43—Where can people follow you and your work?__________________________________________________________________________________________Additional Resources: Personal Page: https://admiralstav.com/Twitter: https://twitter.com/stavridisjBooks: https://admiralstav.com/previous-books/LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jimstavridis
“There is no constitutional barrier to gun responsibility. Keeping firearms out of the hands of dangerous people is not only the responsible thing to do, it is the best way to protect the Second Amendment. We can do both.” That's from legendary actor Matthew McConaughey. Born in Uvalde, Texas. Speaking for America. And finally, a powerful, reasonable, likable voice for responsible gun owners. This time is different. And he is different. Independent Americans host Paul Rieckhoff (@PaulRieckhoff) has often said Matthew McConaughey could win if he ran for Governor of Texas. Especially if he ran as an independent. Lots of folks didn't take him seriously as a politician. Maybe that changed this week. He's not going away. And this issue isn't going away. Not in America. And not on this show. Because gun violence is not just a public safety issue. It's not just a public health issue. It's a national security issue. And every time Americans kill other Americans, our enemies are celebrating. And this is another hot summer in America. Another summer of fire. A summer fire that could clear the brush, or burn us down. And the violence is not going away. The heat is not going away. The fire is not going away. And stakes have never been higher. This episode, we're bringing back one of the best leaders and strategic thinkers in America, and in the world, to help break it down and guide us through the fire. Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander, Admiral Jim Stavridis (@stavridisj). Author of the new book, To Risk It All: Nine Conflicts and the Crucible of Decision, Admiral Stavridis spent more than thirty years in the US Navy, rising to the rank of four-star admiral. He commanded at NATO and previously commanded US Southern Command, overseeing military operations through Latin America. At sea, he commanded a Navy destroyer, a destroyer squadron, and an aircraft carrier battle group in combat.. He has published eleven books, including 2034: A Novel of the Next World War, with Elliot Ackerman, and is chief international analyst for NBC News and a contributing editor for Time. He is vice chair, global affairs, and managing director of the Carlyle Group and the chair of the board of the Rockefeller Foundation. He's a leader, a teacher and a voice of reason. His vision for the future is as clear as his knowledge of history. And he goes deep on gun violence in America as a national security threat, what the likeliest scenarios for Ukraine are, and then a look at where the next wars might unfold. The answer might surprise you. Every episode of Independent Americans hosted by Paul Rieckhoff breaks down the most important news stories–and offers light to contrast the heat of other politics and news shows. It's independent content for independent Americans. And delivers a healing dose of the Righteous Media 5 Is: independence, integrity, information, inspiration and impact. -Get extra content, connect with guests, attend exclusive events, get merch discounts and support this critical show that speaks truth to power by joining our IA community on Patreon. -WATCH the full video of this conversation with Paul and Admiral Stavridis here. And share it with your friends and family. -Get a copy of To Risk It All: Nine Conflicts and the Crucible of Decision. Or listen to the audiobook for free now by joining Audible Plus. -Find us on social media or www.IndependentAmericans.us. -Check the hashtag #LookForTheHelpers on Twitter. And share yours. -Also check out other Righteous Media podcasts including the B Dorm Podcast, The Firefighters Podcast with Rob Serra and Uncle Montel - The OG of Weed. Independent Americans is powered by Righteous Media. Righteous is an independent, American, Veteran-owned and led content company. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Admiral James Stavridis - The Bold Decision To Risk It All. | Brought to you by Babbel (https://babbel.com/passionstruck Admiral James Stavridis, USN (Ret.) spent more than thirty years in the U. S. Navy, rising to the rank of four-star admiral. He was Supreme Allied Commander at NATO and previously commanded U. S. Southern Command, overseeing military operations through Latin America. He holds a Ph. D. from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University, where he recently served five years as dean. He received fifty medals in the course of his military career. He has published ten books, including To Risk it All, Sailing Tru North, and 2034: A Novel of the Next World War, with Elliott Ackerman, and is the chief international analyst for NBC News. --► Buy Admiral Stavridis' New Book To Risk it All: https://amzn.to/3lwfAU6 (Amazon link) --► Citadel Commencement Speech: https://youtu.be/uO8CH8Hjrgg Thank you, Babbel for sponsoring the podcast: * Babbel is the new way to learn a foreign language. Save up to 60 % off your subscription when you go to https://babbel.com/PASSIONSTRUCK. Click here for the full show notes: -- ► https://passionstruck.com/admiral-james-stavridis-to-risk-it-all/ --► Subscribe to My Channel Here: https://www.youtube.com/c/JohnRMiles --► Subscribe to the podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/passion-struck-with-john-r-miles/id1553279283 *Our Patreon Page: https://www.patreon.com/passionstruck. What I discuss with Admiral James Stavridis 0:00 Teaser and announcements 3:00 Introducing Admiral James Staridis In this episode 5:23 The power of decision making 7:44 The Amazing Story of Petty Officer Dorie Miller 13:22 Admiral Michelle Howard's moment of truth 18:39 The concept of how time slows down 27:27 Why Ernest Edwin Evans received the Medal of Honor 32:18 Why Admiral Zheng He is a revered figure in China 37:09 The vital importance of India in the global balance of power 42:46 Why creativity is at the heart of our character 44:51 Admiral Stavridis discusses his Citadel Commencement Speech 48:47 The character traits ADM Stavridis learned from his father 52:26 The opportunity for mentorship and leadership 56:20 Show wrap-up and analysis To Risk It All Admiral Stavridis joins us to discuss his new book To Risk It All where he delivers a master class in decision-making under pressure seen through the prism of some of the most heroic acts in the 250-year history of the United States Navy. The decision-makers Stavridis profiles range from the American Revolutionary War to the present day, for example: Doris “Dorie” Miller, was the first Black American awarded the Navy Cross after he bravely remained on a sinking ship at Pearl Harbor to help his crewmates. Rear Admiral Michelle Howard, whose ability to simultaneously delegate authority yet bear full responsibility was instrumental in the 2009 rescue of Captain Richard Phillips from Somali pirates. Civil War Navy admiral David Farragut, whose adaptability to new technologies and decisive actions based on calculated odds defined his success. Thank you for listening to the Passion Struck podcast. I hope you keep up with the weekly videos I post on my channel, subscribe to, and share your learnings with those who need to hear them. Your comments are my oxygen, so please take a second and say 'Hey' ;). -- Where you can find Admiral James Stavridis: * Website: https://admiralstav.com/ * Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/stavridisjam/ * LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jimstavridis/ * Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/james.stavridis * Twitter: https://twitter.com/stavridisj Links * My interview with Vice Admiral Ted Carter * My interview with Navy Seal and Astronaut Chris Cassidy * My interview with Rear Admiral Tim Gallaudet * My interview with astronaut Captain Wendy Lawrence * My interview with Navy Seal Mark Divine * My interview with Gretchen Rubin about knowing yourself * My interview with Dr. Michelle Segar on her new book "The Joy Choice" * My most recent solo episode on why your brain dictates your reality and how to boost its performance *My Solo episode on work-life balance: https://open.spotify.com/episode/7AZksXySbYVoMPMuma5DpB?si=_VPv5sn3QBCq2pYVh-LXkg *Solo episode on overcoming burnout: https://open.spotify.com/episode/5keAXxjRs3Q8NKZYWBlPXS?si=N-nf0iQjThSzgsCAutPVPA *Solo episode on how you stop living in fear: https://passionstruck.com/how-do-you-stop-living-in-fear/ -- Welcome to Passion Struck podcast, a show where you get to join me in exploring the mindset and philosophy of the world's most inspiring everyday heroes to learn their lessons to living intentionally. Passion Struck aspires to speak to the humanity of people in a way that makes them want to live better, be better and impact. * Learn more about me: https://johnrmiles.com. *Stay tuned for my latest project, my upcoming book, which will be published in the summer 2022. FOLLOW JOHN ON THE SOCIALS * Twitter: https://twitter.com/Milesjohnr * Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/johnrmiles.c0m * Medium: https://medium.com/@JohnRMiles * Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/john_r_miles * LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/milesjohn/ * Blog: https://johnrmiles.com/blog/ * Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/passion_struck_podcast/ * Gear: https://www.zazzle.com/store/passion_struck/
Stand Up is a daily podcast. I book,host,edit, post and promote new episodes with brilliant guests every day. Please subscribe now for as little as 5$ and gain access to a community of over 800 awesome, curious, kind, funny, brilliant, generous souls Check out StandUpwithPete.com to learn more Wajahat Ali is a columnist at The Daily Beast and a Senior Fellow at The Western States Center and Auburn Seminary. He has previously been a New York Times contributing op-ed writer, CNN commentator, host for Huff Post, and co-host of Al Jazeera America's The Stream. He is also a recovering attorney and playwright. He is currently working on his first book, "Go Back To Where You Came From: And, Other Helpful Recommendations on How to Become American" scheduled for Spring 2022 publication. He makes Pakistani food and Lego sets "for his kids" during his free time. Listen to him Co Host Democracy-ish with Danielle Moodie You can send him hate mail at wajahatmali@protonmail.com Admiral James Stavridis, USN (Ret.) spent more than thirty years in the U. S. Navy, rising to the rank of four-star admiral. He was Supreme Allied Commander at NATO and previously commanded U. S. Southern Command, overseeing military operations through Latin America. At sea, he commanded a Navy destroyer, a destroyer squadron, and an aircraft carrier battle group in combat. He holds a Ph. D. from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University, where he recently served five years as dean. He received fifty medals in the course of his military career, including twenty-eight from foreign nations. He has published nine other books, including 2034: A Novel of the Next World War, with Elliott Ackerman, and is chief international analyst for NBC News and a contributing editor for Time magazine. He is currently the Vice Chair, Global Affairs of the Carlyle Group and the Chair of the Board of Trustees for the Rockefeller Foundation. Check out all things Jon Carroll Follow and Support Pete Coe Follow and Support Gareth Sever Pete on YouTube Pete on Twitter Pete On Instagram Pete Personal FB page