A podcast covering Dynasty, Devy, and C2C fantasy football.
@DynastyCoachA and @AaronWilcox86
In this episode, the hosts engage in a lively discussion about college football player props, betting lines, and the Guess the Guy game. They analyze various players' performances, market shares, and the impact of injuries on their projections. The conversation also delves into specific betting lines for players like Jeremiah Smith, Ryan Williams, and Jeremiah Love, as well as quarterback projections for Arch Manning and Drew Aller. The hosts share insights on the potential for breakout players and the importance of research in making informed betting decisions. Takeaways The Guess the Guy game adds a fun element to player analysis.Player props and betting lines are crucial for understanding player performance.Injuries can significantly impact a player's season and betting lines.Market share is an important metric for evaluating player potential.Jeremiah Smith and Ryan Williams are key players to watch this season.Jeremiah Love's rushing yards projection is uncertain due to team dynamics.Arch Manning is expected to have a strong season with high touchdown potential.Drew Aller's passing yards line is a challenging bet due to team changes.Kenyon Sadiq's receiving yards projection is a topic of debate.Antonio Williams may struggle to meet expectations this season. Titles Guess the Guy: Betting Lines and Player AnalysisCollege Football Betting Insights Sound bites "We finally do have some lines.""This is the second to last week.""Let's look at some player props." Chapters 00:00 Introduction to Guess the Guy and Player Props02:15 Player Props and Betting Lines Discussion04:39 Guessing the Player: Eugene Wilson07:06 Analyzing Jeremiah Smith and Ryan Williams09:33 Jeremiah Love's Rushing Yards Projection28:12 Evaluating Running Back Performance30:08 Arch Manning's Passing Touchdowns Expectations35:18 Drew Allar's Passing Yards Projection40:36 Kenyon Sadiq's Receiving Yards Discussion45:21 Antonio Williams' Market Share and Performance01:02:06 Final Thoughts and Predictions
Devy Devotional Podcast Episode Notes: Next Man UpDate: August 13, 2025Hosts: John Arrington, Andy StarrNote: Aaron Wilcox was absent for this episode.IntroductionJohn Arrington hosts alongside Andy Starr, filling in for the absent Aaron Wilcox.The episode focuses on recent injuries in college football, particularly during fall camps, and discusses the "next man up" for key teams, exploring potential replacements and their impact on team dynamics and fantasy football (Devy and CFF).Key Topics and Discussions1. General Injury OverviewThe hosts discuss the impact of injuries across college football, noting that while some are minor, others could have significant long-term effects.The focus is on identifying players who could step up in the absence of injured starters, especially at running back and wide receiver positions.2. Notre Dame: Keidren Young's Season-Ending InjuryInjury: Keidren Young (RB, Notre Dame) suffered a season-ending ACL tear.Impact: Young was expected to have a role as a spell back for Jeremiah Love, particularly on early downs. His injury disrupts his development and role for 2025.Next Man Up: Aneas Williams is highlighted as a potential beneficiary, likely stepping into a larger role in the running back room. The hosts note Notre Dame's limited depth at RB, with only Jeremiah Love, Jadarian Price, and Aneas Williams listed alongside Young on the depth chart (per Our Lads).Future Outlook: Young's injury could push him to re-earn his role in 2026, especially with Love and Price potentially leaving. Concerns arise about Notre Dame recruiting over Young or adding walk-ons to bolster depth.Devy Notes: Williams is seen as an electric back with more explosiveness than Young, offering a promising 1-2 punch for 2026 if Young recovers fully. However, the hosts express caution about running back injuries in general, citing examples like Jonathan Brooks and CJ Baxter.3. Iowa: Kamari Moulton's Hamstring InjuryInjury: Kamari Moulton (RB, Iowa) is sidelined with a hamstring injury, missing practice in the week leading up to the episode.Impact: Moulton was expected to lead Iowa's backfield after Caleb Johnson's surprising 2024 season. A prolonged absence could severely hamper Iowa's already weak offense.Next Man Up: The depth chart behind Moulton is thin, with Jayzeon Patterson, Terrell Washington, Xavier Williams, and Brevin Doll listed. None have shown significant promise, with low big-time run rates and PPR points per touch.Discussion: The hosts express concern about Iowa's running game without Moulton, noting the team's historical reliance on defense and tight ends rather than offensive firepower. They discuss the addition of FCS transfer quarterback Mark Grunowski, who could add a rushing element, but doubt Iowa will shift to a spread offense under coach Kirk Ferentz.Devy Notes: Moulton's 7% big-time run rate offers some optimism if he returns healthy, but the hosts are pessimistic about Iowa's offense without him, predicting a potential struggle to reach 200 rushing yards as a team.4. Florida: Wide Receiver InjuriesInjuries:Eugene Wilson III (WR) has been limited in spring and fall practices due to an undisclosed injury.Dallas Wilson (WR, true freshman) is in a hard cast for a lower leg injury, expected to miss at least a week or two.Impact: Florida's wide receiver room is depleted, raising concerns about offensive production, especially with a tough 2025 schedule.Next Man Up:J. Michael Sturdivant (WR, transfer from Cal): Expected to fill a role similar to Kahleil Dike but has regressed since a 755-yard sophomore season at Cal (2022). His 315 yards in 2024 at UCLA raise doubts about his ability to exceed 300-500 yards in the SEC.Vernell Brown III (WR, true freshman): A five-star recruit with inconsistent camp reports but high athletic potential. He could seize a starting role if Wilson and Wilson are sidelined.Tank Hawkins (WR, true sophomore): Showed promise with a 4.6 average depth of target (A-dot) on limited routes (46) in 2024. Could step up as a possession receiver.Other Names: Aiden Mizell and Khalil Jackson are mentioned but deemed unexciting due to limited production (Jackson had 13 yards in 2024).Discussion: The hosts speculate on lineup adjustments, suggesting Eugene Wilson could move to the X-receiver role with Brown in the slot if injuries persist. They emphasize the need for quarterback DJ Lagway to elevate the offense, noting his shoulder and calf injuries as concerns. Florida's tough schedule and coach Billy Napier's job security add urgency to getting top players like Brown on the field.Devy Notes: Brown is the most exciting prospect for Devy purposes, with potential to break out if given opportunities. Sturdivant and Hawkins are less appealing, with Sturdivant's decline making him a risky bet.5. LSU: Wide Receiver InjuriesInjuries:Nick Anderson (WR, transfer from Oklahoma) is recovering from a quadriceps injury, possibly related to a car accident and concussion protocol.Aaron Anderson (WR) has been sidelined during fall camp, with limited details on the injury.Impact: LSU's deep wide receiver room mitigates the impact, but the injuries could open doors for younger players.Next Man Up:Barion Brown (WR): A former Kentucky standout with a strong freshman year, Brown has earned all-SEC preseason honors and praise in camp. He's listed as a backup flanker but could see significant snaps.Zavion Thomas (WR): Also receiving camp buzz but hasn't stood out significantly as a receiver.Chris Hilton Jr. (WR): The presumed starter at X-receiver, Hilton has big-play potential (2.5+ yards per route run in three seasons) but only 225 yards in 2024. His role is questioned due to competition from younger talent.Kylan Billiot (WR, true sophomore): A highly-touted recruit listed as third-string behind Nick Anderson. Could see snaps if injuries persist.Teron Francis (WR, true freshman): Nicknamed “Man Child,” Francis has generated hype for his athleticism and camp performance, potentially pushing for a role.Discussion: The hosts debate whether veterans like Hilton and Aaron Anderson can hold off younger talents like Billiot and Francis. LSU's passing game, led by quarterback Garrett Nussmeier, is expected to remain strong despite injuries due to the team's depth.Devy Notes: Brown and Francis are the most intriguing for Devy leagues, with Brown offering immediate production potential and Francis as a long-term upside pick. Hilton's big-play ability is noted but tempered by his limited production.6. Oklahoma: Running Back InjuriesInjuries:Taylor Tatum (RB) and Jayden Ott (RB) are dealing with minor injuries, expected to return by Week 1.Xavier Robinson (RB) is also injured, leaving only Javontae Barnes and true freshman Torrey Blaylock as healthy backs in camp.Impact: Oklahoma's running back room is described as “disgusting” due to its lack of proven talent and injury concerns.Next Man Up:Torrey Blaylock (RB, true freshman): Has impressed in camp with his speed and explosiveness, potentially earning a role in specific packages.Javontae Barnes (RB): Healthy as of recent reports but hampered by a 2023 foot injury (dead bone removed near his big toe). His 577 yards in 2024 were underwhelming (4.7 YPC).Jayden Ott (RB): A former standout at Cal, Ott struggled in 2024 but could rebound if healthy.Taylor Tatum (RB): A highly-touted recruit with better per-carry metrics than Barnes but limited by inexperience and injury.Discussion: The hosts highlight Blaylock's potential to see the field due to his explosiveness, despite being low on the depth chart. Concerns linger about Barnes' recovery from his foot injury and Ott's ability to return to form. The addition of quarterback John Mateer and new offensive coordinator could shift focus to the passing game.Devy Notes: Blaylock is a sleeper pick for Devy leagues due to his camp buzz and the weak depth chart. Tatum remains a high-upside prospect, while Ott and Barnes are less appealing due to recent struggles.Additional NotesAaron Wilcox's Absence: The hosts humorously note Aaron's absence, joking about his fear of the “Guess the Guy” segment, which was skipped for the second consecutive week.College Football Excitement: With the season two weeks away, the hosts are excited about upcoming games, noting a stronger-than-usual Week 0 and Week 1 schedule.Technical Issues: Andy experienced internet connectivity issues during the podcast, briefly dropping out. John's daughter inadvertently turned off his house lights via voice-controlled devices, adding a humorous moment.Key Devy TakeawaysHigh-Upside Prospects to Watch: Vernell Brown III (Florida), Torrey Blaylock (Oklahoma), Barion Brown (LSU), and Teron Francis (LSU) are highlighted as potential breakout players if injuries create opportunities.Injury Concerns: Keidren Young (Notre Dame), Kamari Moulton (Iowa), Eugene Wilson III (Florida), Dallas Wilson (Florida), Nick Anderson (LSU), and DJ Lagway (Florida) face varying degrees of injury risk, impacting their Devy value.Depth Chart Analysis: Teams like LSU and Florida have deeper talent pools to weather injuries, while Iowa and Oklahoma face significant challenges if their injured players miss extended time.ClosingThe hosts thank listeners for their support on Gridiron Ratings' YouTube channel and Spotify, encouraging engagement through comments and subscriptions.They promise to return with Aaron Wilcox for the next episode, as college football season approaches.Runtime: ~1 hourListen on: Gridiron Ratings YouTube, SpotifyNext Episode: TBD, with hopes of Aaron Wilcox's return and live football discussions.
Date: August 6, 2025Hosts: John Arrington, Aaron Wilcox, Andy StarrGuests: None In this episode of the Devy Devotional podcast, the hosts deliver their annual "Hot Takes" edition, offering bold predictions about college football players and their future prospects in the NFL. The trio skips the usual "Guess the Guy" segment to dive deep into their spicy opinions, rated on a Taco Bell sauce scale: Mild, Hot, Fire, and Diablo. The episode blends fun with actionable insights, reflecting on past predictions and unveiling new ones for the 2025 season and beyond.Key HighlightsReflection on Past Takes: The hosts revisit their hot takes from the previous year, highlighting successes like Aaron's call on the 2025 running back class generating hype (e.g., Ashton Jeanty, TreVeyon Henderson) and Eric Singleton Jr. rising to a top-five Devy wide receiver. John's standout prediction of Jordan Tyson surpassing Zachariah Branch earned a Diablo rating and proved prescient, with Tyson now a contender for WR1 in the 2026 class.Hot Takes Galore: Each host shares multiple bold predictions, with reactions ranging from Mild to Diablo based on their spiciness. The spiciest takes are highlighted below as the episode's key moments.Skipped Segment: The "Guess the Guy" segment is postponed to the next episode, giving Aaron a temporary reprieve (though he's back on the hook next week).Spiciest TakesHere are the standout predictions that earned the highest heat ratings:Aaron Wilcox: Kenyon Sadiq (Oregon TE) will be the next tight end to hit 1,000 receiving yards and become the Devy TE1 this season and beyond. Rating: Diablo Why It's Spicy: With a career A-dot of 1.9 yards and competition from Oregon's talented roster (e.g., Dakorien Moore), Sadiq would need a dramatic role change and 120+ receptions to reach 1,000 yards. Aaron argues Sadiq's explosiveness and a revamped Oregon offense (minus Tess Johnson and Terrence Ferguson) make it possible.Andy Starr: Kendrick Raphael (Cal RB) will be a top-three RB in the ACC for PPR points and rush for 1,000 yards. Rating: Diablo Why It's Spicy: Facing competition from ACC standouts like Damond Claiborne and Mark Fletcher, Raphael's lack of elite talent and Cal's middling offense make this a long shot. Andy cites coach Brian Harson's tendency to feed his RB1 as the rationale.Aaron Wilcox: Sawyer Robertson (Baylor QB) will be a first-round pick in the 2026 NFL draft. Rating: Hot to Diablo Why It's Spicy: A Baylor QB breaking into the first round is rare, especially with Robertson's unproven status. Aaron points to his size, mobility, and a potential Cam Ward-like rise, though John doubts his skill justifies it.John Arrington: Jayce Brown (Kansas State WR) will outrank Zachariah Branch, Denzel Boston, Eugene Wilson, Antonio Williams, and Carnell Tate, becoming a top-three Devy WR in the 2026 class. Rating: Hot Why It's Spicy: Beating out established names like Carnell Tate is bold, but Jayce Brown's upside at Kansas State could shine as a junior. John sees him as a sleeper ready to break out.Other Notable TakesJohn Arrington: Denzel Boston will be a day-three NFL draft pick (likely sixth round). (Mild) Consensus ranks him as WR16, but John sees him as overhyped and unlikely to rise beyond day three.Andy Starr: Niko Iamaleava will succeed at UCLA, reclaiming first-round draft pick status. (Hot) A bounce-back season could restore his stock, aided by a new OC and JV and Thomas in the backfield.John Arrington: Zachariah Branch won't declare for the 2026 draft and will transfer again. (Mild to Hot) Still ranked WR17, John predicts another flop at Georgia and a transfer.Aaron Wilcox: Darian Mensah (Duke QB) will be a top-five Devy QB by season's end. (Fire) His G5 success and $8M Duke transfer fuel this bold climb.John Arrington: JV and Thomas will be a top-five RB in the 2026 class. (Fire) John compares him to Bucky Irving, hinting at untapped potential.Closing NotesThe episode wraps with a teaser for future discussions, including Andy's unshared take on Diego Pavia, suggesting more spice to come. The hosts encourage listeners to act on these takes—whether trading for Zion Kearney or snagging Jayce Brown—while blending entertainment with Devy insight.Where to Listen: Subscribe on the Gridiron Ratings YouTube channel, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or find it at DynastyLeagueFootball.com. Tell them Devy Devotional is your favorite Devy podcast!
The boys discuss their process for creating rankings for Devy, rookie, and C2C drafts.
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John, Andy, and Aaron review the Tadpole Bowl Live Draft and a C2C supplemental draft
Find John @DynastyCoachA, Aaron @Aaronwilcox86, and Andy @AStarrFF. Join in the conversation with the boys by watching live on the Gridiron Ratings YouTube channel (2) Gridiron Ratings - YouTube
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@@AaronWilcox86 and @DynastyCoachA are joined by @SportsfanaticMB @FF_DirtyMike @FF_Guitarist and @C2CDecker to complete a 2024 freshmen class mock draft
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