Looking for timely information on fixed income trends and market opportunities? PGIM Fixed Income is proud to bring you, All the Credit. Hosted by Senior Portfolio Manager Mike Collins, All the Credit has a new guest each month to tell you what matters most in global fixed income and how it could impact your portfolio.
Shifts in interest rates have thrust Liability-Driven Investing (LDI) into the spotlight, reshaping pension plan liabilities and presenting new de-risking opportunities. This episode of the All the Credit® Credit Markets in Transition sub-series examines impacts on funded status, plan sponsor adaptations, and the interplay of structured products and derivatives in portfolio construction. PGIM Fixed Income's Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Head of Global Credit Research, hosts Tom McCartan, FIA, CFA, Multi-Sector Portfolio Manager. Recorded on March 27, 2025.
Asset-based finance (ABF) has grown in popularity as an attractive alternative to traditional direct lending and its turning heads with those looking to capitalize on investment opportunities. This episode of All the Credit® kicks off our new sub-series, Credit Markets in Transition, with an in-depth look at the rapidly growing ABF sector. We assess ABF's evolution, factors driving the surge in investment, its role within the financial ecosystem, and critical considerations for investors. PGIM Fixed Income's Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Head of Global Credit Research, hosts Edwin Wilches, CFA, Co-Head of Securitized Products. Recorded on January 28, 2025.
Amid global complexities, China's economic outlook presents both challenges and opportunities that are crucial to investment considerations. In this episode of All the Credit®, we weigh possible growth scenarios for China, the impacts of tariffs, private sector confidence, and property sector challenges. We assess the nation's fiscal strategies, rising social unrest, and geopolitical tensions with the U.S. and Taiwan. PGIM Fixed Income's Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist, hosts Shikeb Farooqui, PhD, Lead Asia Economist. Recorded on January 9, 2025.
Accelerating demand growth for U.S. power has wide ranging investment implications. In this episode of All the Credit®, we explore the complexities surrounding the demand for power generation driven in part by AI advancements and data centers, discussing logistical implications, regulatory challenges, and regional power dynamics. We address the potential role of nuclear energy and the risks for utilities and consumers amid rising power prices. PGIM Fixed Income's Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Head of Global Credit Research, hosts Michael Haigh, CFA, U.S. Leveraged Loans Portfolio Manager, and Maxwell Hausle, CFA, U.S. Investment Grade Credit Research Analyst. Recorded on November 26, 2024.
What challenges and opportunities lie ahead for oil markets amid looming oversupply and fluctuating demand? In this episode of All the Credit®, we delve into the outlook of crude oil, exploring supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical risks, and potential impacts from the 2024 U.S. election. We examine various energy subsectors and the financial health of U.S. energy companies. PGIM Fixed Income's Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist, hosts Dave Winans, U.S. Investment Grade Credit Research Analyst.
As the geopolitical landscape continues to shift in light of recent global election results, the consequential economic effects are becoming a primary focus in the investment sphere. This episode dives into the latest election outcomes in both developed and emerging nations, the growing divide in electorates, and the impact of these elections on fiscal deficits. This episode features PGIM Fixed Income's Katharine Neiss, PhD, Deputy Head of Global Economics and Chief European Economist, Mehill Marku, Head Geopolitical Analyst, Cathy Hepworth, CFA, Head of Emerging Markets Debt, and host Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist. Recorded on July 16, 2024.
Amid global market volatility and potential economic shifts, understanding inflation's impact on bond markets is pivotal for informed investing. This episode delves further into this topic with a focus on developed markets such as the U.S. and Eurozone, exploring the potential path of rate cuts, the attractiveness of bonds versus cash, and how a reflation scenario could impact investment strategies. This episode features PGIM Fixed Income's Katharine Neiss, PhD, Deputy Head of Global Economics and Chief European Economist, Robert Tipp, CFA, Chief Investment Strategist and Head of Global Bonds, and host Michael Roper, CFA, Portfolio Manager, European Investment Grade Corporate Bonds. Recorded on June 24, 2024.
Bonds are back and with fixed income gaining interest with investors, we're taking an introspective look at our investment process and how we're navigating current market dynamics here at PGIM Fixed Income. We touch on our scenario-based approach, investment views, the fixed income opportunity set we see ahead, and what it means for us as we construct portfolios. This episode features PGIM Fixed Income's Greg Peters, Co-Chief Investment Officer, and host, Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Head of Global Credit Research. Recorded on May 31, 2024.
Navigating the volatile landscape of geopolitics and its implications on emerging markets has become critical in this uncertain economic climate. In this episode, we provide an in-depth analysis of the current geopolitical landscape, its profound impact on emerging markets, and the risk factors on our radar. This episode features PGIM Fixed Income's Cathy Hepworth, CFA, Head of Emerging Markets Debt, Mehill Marku, Lead Geopolitical Analyst, and host, Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist. Recorded on April 23, 2024.
With significant repricing across all commercial real estate (CRE) sectors, normalizing rent growth, and rising expenses, it's time to revisit and reassess the CRE space. Get our thoughts on the CRE market today, implications for the banking sector, and risk factors we're monitoring. This episode features PGIM Fixed Income's David Jiang, U.S. Investment Grade Credit Research Analyst, Jason Pan, CFA, FSA, Securitized Products Credit Research Analyst, and host, Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist. Recorded on March 12, 2024.
Despite fluctuating post-pandemic interest rates, the U.S. economy has shown unexpected resilience. Contrary to predictions of a possible recession the U.S. economy continues to show signs of economic growth. In this episode of All the Credit®, Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist, hosts Guillermo Felices, PhD and George Jiranek, CFA, two of PGIM Fixed Income's global investment strategists, for an analysis of U.S. interest rate fluctuations and their ripple effect on the economy, including responses across sectors, shifts in consumer financial health, and labor market dynamics. Recorded on February 23, 2024.
In the current climate of rising premiums and inflationary pressures, the insurance industry faces significant challenges. In this episode of All the Credit®, Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist, and Pinto Suri, U.S. Investment Grade Credit Research Analyst, examine the complexities of the auto and home insurance sectors, challenges facing issuers in the post-pandemic environment, effects on insurers' pricing strategies, implications for CPI, and considerations for investors. Recorded on January 25, 2024.
In recent months, GLP-1 drugs have been thrust into the spotlight, amplified by increased media attention and several headline-grabbing comments from large retailers. In this episode of All the Credit®, host Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Co-Head of Credit Research, is joined by U.S. Leveraged Finance Credit Research Analysts, Elizabeth Halpin, CFA, Richard Kus, CFA, and Scott Swanson, CFA, to consider the investment implications of GLP-1s across fixed income markets and industries. Recorded on December 19, 2023. This content is not intended to be a substitute for professional medical or health advice, diagnosis, or treatment, and does not constitute medical or other professional advice in any form.
Rates have sharply increased in the past 18 months and at PGIM Fixed Income, we anticipate they will remain elevated. In this episode of All the Credit®, Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Co-Head of Credit Research, is joined by guests Mick Meyler, Head of Developed Market Rates, and Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist, to examine the core factors supporting our view of higher-for-longer rates. The trio also discuss the end of the hiking cycle, weigh the impact of fiscal deficits on long-term rates, and explore the interplay between rates, curve shape, and the economy. Recorded on November 17, 2023.
While U.S. money center banks have emerged as an attractive subsegment of the U.S. investment grade corporate market, European banks face unique challenges sustaining their market prominence. Given the fragility of the Eurozone's economy, with an anticipated growth of 0.5% both this year and next, the spotlight on the relative attractiveness of European banks has made its way to the forefront. In this episode of All the Credit ®, host Michael Roper, CFA, European Investment Grade Corporate Bond Portfolio Manager, along with guests Chris Alquiza, CFA, U.S. Investment Grade Corporate Bond Portfolio Manager, and James Hyde, European Investment Grade Credit Research Analyst, dissect the perception of risk and relative value between U.S. banks and EU banks from a U.S. market perspective, how trading relationships might be impacted by this, and provide bottom-up thoughts on European bank fundamentals and where we think they're headed. Recorded on October 20, 2023.
Investors could be pardoned if they have whiplash, but the fact is that interest rates go through paradigm shifts. Indeed, they just migrated from a decade of ultra-low levels back to what may be a sustained period back “home” in their long-term 3-5% range. Just as investors never caught up with the 40-year secular decline in rates, the inverted curve could be with us for some time, leaving a boon for yield-curve strategies. Furthermore, with the vast majority of rate hikes behind us, market volatility is set to fall. A re-emergence of the “search for yield” is likely to follow, providing a tail wind for spread product and further boosting returns. These newly restored higher yields should fuel a continuation of the bull market that began in Q4 2022, one driven not by a rapid drop in yields, but simply driven by yield itself. After all, in bonds, yield is nearly destiny. Learn more in this episode of All the Credit®, featuring Robert Tipp, CFA, Chief Investment Strategist and Head of Global Bonds, and hosted by Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist, and Mike Collins, CFA, Senior Portfolio Manager, Multi-Sector Strategies. Recorded on September 20, 2023.
With our macro base case calling for below trend, but positive growth and elevated inflation, we see a fairly healthy environment for credit and credit returns looking forward. In this episode of All the Credit®, we'll take a closer look at the high-quality credit spectrum, where solid nominal yields, reasonable credit spreads, and durable credit fundamentals could be attractive to fixed income investors. Alternatively, even if the economy proves less resilient than expected, tactically allocating to high-quality credit can provide reasonable insulation from outside drawdowns and downturns. Hosts Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Co-Head of Credit Research, and Mike Collins, CFA, Senior Portfolio Manager, Multi-Sector Strategies, have invited three of our senior investment professionals to discuss the opportunities they see within Investment Grade Corporates, Securitized Credit, and Municipal Bonds: Dave Del Vecchio, Co-Head of U.S. Investment Grade Corporate Bonds, Edwin Wilches, CFA, Co-Head of Securitized Products, and Sean McCarthy, Head of Municipal Bond Research. Recorded on September 21, 2023.
Amid the dog days of summer, we're serving up the latest episode of All the Credit® on an industry that produces the alcoholic beverage of choice for a large swath of consumers—beer. Who are the main players in the big brewing industry and what's their market share? How are their products holding their own in a market saturated with options such as craft brews, seltzers, and non-alcoholic substitutes? PGIM Fixed Income's Elitza Fleischman, CPA, U.S. Investment Grade Credit Research Analyst, covers these details, plus trends in growth, pricing, and margins for the biggest brewers. We wrap up with our portfolio positioning from returning co-host, Alyssa Davis, U.S. Investment Grade Corporate Bond Portfolio Manager. Recorded on July 25, 2023.
Quantitative tightening (QT), the unwinding of the large scale of purchases of a broad range of financial assets by central banks, has become a feature of monetary policy since the great financial crisis. Though central banks around the world have already started this process, given the many distractors in the market, such as the global banking crisis and the U.S. debt ceiling brinkmanship, QT has gone on somewhat unnoticed. That said, as we near the end of hiking cycles and the paths of short-term interest rates become clearer, we expect markets to shift their focus to QT. Exactly how do central banks intend to unwind their bloated balance sheets? PGIM Fixed Income's Katharine Neiss, PhD, Deputy Head of Global Economics and Chief European Economist, and Bethany Payne, CFA, Developed Market Rates Portfolio Manager, join this episode of All the Credit® to help us better understand QT and explore its potential market and economic impacts. First, we'll take a look at quantitative easing (QE), the process by which central banks expand their balance sheets by buying up financial assets on a massive scale, why they do this, and how this tool fits into their policy options to help achieve their price stability mandates. Then we'll look at the reasons why central banks are so motivated to unwind their balance sheets and reverse QE, the constraints they face, and the potential risks to financial markets. We'll wrap up with some thoughts on how successful we think QE and QT have been thus far and if central banks will be able to turn to these tools as readily in the future. Michael Roper, CFA, European Investment Grade Corporate Bond Portfolio Manager, returns to All the Credit® as host, alongside Mike Collins, CFA, Senior Portfolio Manager for Multi-Sector Strategies. Recorded on June 9, 2023.
Just a few months ago, the market was confident that post global financial crisis, financial sector reforms, and regulatory scrutiny ensured that the U.S. banking system was rock solid, and that the next cycle's culprit would emanate from elsewhere. However, banking is once again front and center as investors weigh systematic risks from another prospective real estate crunch—this time in the commercial property sector. In this episode of PGIM Fixed Income's All the Credit®, with guests Jason Pan, CFA, FSA, Securitized Products Credit Research Analyst, and David Jiang, U.S. Investment Grade Credit Research Analyst, we'll outline the scale of the potential problem, including the cadence of decay and potential flashpoints in commercial real estate, and discuss potential transmission through the banking system, extension of credit, and the real economy. Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Co-Head of Credit Research, returns to All the Credit® as host, alongside Mike Collins, CFA, Senior Portfolio Manager. Recorded on June 9, 2023.
With “x-date” looming, concerns about a potential default are weighing on financial markets and the global economy. As the nation's solvency hangs in the balance, Daleep Singh, PGIM Fixed Income's Chief Global Economist and Head of Macroeconomic Research, joins this episode of All the Credit® to discuss this U.S. government fiscal fiasco. To begin, Daleep lays the groundwork with a brief history of the U.S. debt ceiling, including some of the recent impasses that may act as a guide for the current situation. Daleep then provides his take on the potential outcomes of this debt debacle with estimates on the probabilities of each outcome. Our discussion wraps up with considerations on the most likely path forward for the U.S. government, and the economic, market, and investment implications that investors should watch for. Alyssa Davis, U.S. Investment Grade Corporate Bond Portfolio Manager, cohosts this episode. Recorded on May 8, 2023.
After years of strict COVID lockdowns, China's domestic consumer economy is rapidly re-opening. Meanwhile, global manufacturing—normally an area of Chinese dominance—is being challenged by tighter credit conditions after years of progressive central bank hawkishness. In addition, the country still finds itself in the global geopolitical crosshairs as highly restrictive policies against China remain. In this episode of All the Creditâ, PGIM Fixed Income's Gerwin Bell, PhD, Lead Economist for Asia, discusses China's re-opening and how it could be different from recoveries from past decades. Gerwin also provides his 2023 GDP and inflation forecasts for China, assesses the country's policy initiatives and what they could mean for its interest rates and currency, and shares his long-term growth outlook. Michael Roper, CFA, European Investment Grade Corporate Bond Portfolio Manager, joins as co-host for this timely discussion. Recorded on April 24, 2023.
Recent global banking failures shook investors and markets alike, leaving many wondering if we're witnessing a repeat of the 2008 global financial crisis. In this episode of All the Credit®, Mick Meyler, Head of Developed Market Rates, and David Jiang, U.S. Investment Grade Credit Research Analyst, review the events of this latest crisis, discuss the potential for more bank runs, outline potential regulatory responses, and assess the impacts on bank earnings and credit fundamentals. The duo also unpacks the recent swings in interest rates and central bank policy expectations, attempts to measure the impact of now-tighter credit conditions, and more. Lindsay Rosner, CFA, Multi-Sector Portfolio Manager, joins this episode as a special co-host and provides a summary of our portfolio positioning, particularly in the financial sector, while also accounting for heightened recession risk. Recorded on March 24, 2023.
A confluence of higher debt levels, tightening central bank policies, and weakening growth are raising red flags around borrower credit quality as signs of financial strain are beginning to emerge. Against this backdrop and as a part of our integrated credit research processes, we remain on the lookout for potential problems across corporate borrowers, consumers, and commercial real estate, both in the near and long term. Listen to this episode of PGIM Fixed Income's All the Credit® podcast as Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Co-Head of Credit Research, and Gary Horbacz, CFA, Head of Securitized Products Research, share their insights on credit fundamental trends and vulnerabilities across the asset class, along with outlooks on defaults and loss expectations. Recorded on February 23, 2023.
The residential real estate market directly or indirectly impacts everyone. After all, everyone is born short a house. Home prices and construction activity also largely impact economic growth, wealth, inflation, and, for fixed income investors, residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). With the market suddenly in a downturn, should investors be prepared for lower house prices and rents? Declines in home construction and sales? Increased delinquencies and defaults on mortgages? In this episode of All the Credit®, Kaustub Samant, Head of Mortgage Credit Research at PGIM Fixed Income, reviews the current state of the residential real estate market, along with the recent history of home price appreciation (HPA) and changes in rental rates. Mr. Samant examines trends in the market and affordability issues, and the looming decline of residential prices and rents. We also discuss implications for GDP and inflation, mortgage default vulnerabilities, and shifts we've made within the capital structure in lieu of changes in the market for mortgage-related fixed income securities. Recorded on January 12, 2023.
Earlier this year, PGIM Fixed Income developed an inflation indicator tool that uses various economic variables to segregate the supply factors that explain the change in inflation, from those associated with demand. The end result helps us gain insight into the future direction of core goods inflation. On this episode of All the Credit®, Guillermo Felices, PhD, Global Investment Strategist, explains our proprietary inflation model and reviews the findings. Guillermo also: provides an update on the direction and level of inflation that we're expecting over the next year; delves into the policy implications and highlights the macroeconomic scenarios we envision for 2023; and shares our views on the level of interest rates in each of these potential scenarios. Recorded on December 9, 2022.
For the first time in decades, long-term interest rates have broken out of their steady downtrend with recent spikes. Is this a temporary irregularity? Or could today's rate environment be a new paradigm? In this episode, Robert Tipp, CFA, Chief Investment Strategist, examines how we arrived at “low for long,” questioning if it was a failed experiment and if leaving it in the past might actually be a good thing. Robert also provides his thoughts on potential interest rate paths and soft versus hard landing possibilities in 2023. Recorded on November 17, 2022.
On this special edition of All the Credit®, Mike Collins hands the mic to PGIM Fixed Income's Co-Chief Investment Officer, Greg Peters, and newly appointed Chief Global Economist, Daleep Singh, to discuss: the current macro backdrop; central bank policy and response; impacts to the fixed income market; possible macro scenarios heading into 2023 and trends we're watching; opportunities in fixed income; and how our investment process aims to help our clients thrive through this period of heightened risk and uncertainty. Recorded on October 12, 2022.
With the recent announcement of a major student loan forgiveness program in the U.S., we dissect the program and its implications for fixed income investors. PGIM Fixed Income's Florence Chan, Head of ABS Research, and Scott Motta, of the Securitized Products portfolio team, are here to sort through all the details, including: a brief history of student loans in the U.S.; details on the new loan forgiveness program; thoughts on the economic and inflationary impact of the program; characteristics of the student loan asset back securities (SLABS) market; and how PGIM Fixed Income views and has been positioning ourselves within the SLABS market. Recorded on September 23, 2022.
In a prior episode, we examined the broad economic implications of the European energy crisis as a result of Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the related effects of the conflict. And with the winter season fast approaching, we wanted to provide an update on the region's energy situation. We've called on Katharine Neiss, PhD, Chief European Economist, and Magdalena Polan, Lead Economist for major EM economies in Central EU and the Middle East, to summarize the current state of affairs in Europe, detail the current and possible alternative sources of energy for the region, and highlight the areas in which access or reliance on Russian oil and gas has ceased. The duo also hones in on key distinctions in the energy situation across Europe, provides their assessment of the region's outlook for this winter and the next, and hypothesizes how the ongoing energy transformation might ultimately shape Europe. Recorded on August 23, 2022.
After a challenging first half of the year for fixed income, we see reason for optimism ahead for a variety of sectors. PGIM Fixed Income Multi-sector Portfolio Manager, Lindsay Rosner, CFA, and Senior Portfolio Manager, Mike Collins, CFA, examine the state of individual fixed income sectors and share their top active management, relative-value ideas. We're talking “all the opportunities” in this episode of All the Credit®! Recorded on August 2, 2022.
The current, compressed, and rapidly changing credit cycle, which has experienced dramatic swings in economics, policy, inflation, and corporate fundamentals, has been anything but typical. With a backdrop like this, investors' and credit analysts' heads are spinning trying to keep up! In this episode, Janet Crowe and Brian Barnhurst, CFA, PGIM Fixed Income's Co-Heads of Credit Research, help us see the big picture in the underlying trends in corporate credit fundamentals, from earnings and leverage, to upgrades and downgrades, and more. Host and Senior Portfolio Manager, Mike Collins, taps into the trio's collective expertise to help assess how well equipped the corporate bond market is to withstand a potential slowdown. The episode also answers some key questions, including: which industries are likely to be the winners and losers as we move forward?; and where are the risks and opportunities? Find out in this episode of All the Credit®! Recorded on June 27, 2022.
Although the traditional asset allocation portfolio mix of 60% stocks and 40% bonds has been a widely adopted investment approach that has spanned decades, a lower interest rate environment coupled with the underperformance of equities and bonds, has investors questioning the validity of the 60-40 asset allocation model. While we also see this portfolio structure as flawed, it's not for the reasons that others have suggested. In this episode, PGIM Fixed Income's Tom McCartan, FIA, CFA, Custom Multi-Sector and Multi-Sector LDI Portfolio Manager, and Tyler Thorn, of the multi-sector portfolio management team, shed light on why it's not the idea, but rather the objective and execution that is flawed, as these traditional models overly emphasize asset returns and asset volatility, rather than focusing more on investors' long-term outcomes. Tom and Tyler explain why the low level of bond yields should not alter one's asset allocation mix, highlight the different types of risk premia available to investors, and dive into why investors should begin to shift away from near-term, asset-based targets to longer-term, outcome-based objectives. The duo concludes this episode by giving their suggestions on how investors can refine and realign their current portfolios to optimize their outcomes. Recorded on May 17, 2022.
The global impacts of Russia's invasion of Ukraine are wide-ranging and include the global energy industry amidst the varied reliance on Russian oil and gas by European countries. With COVID-related supply shortages, the exacerbation of the shift away from traditional fossil-fuel-based energy investment, and higher housing, travel, and many food prices, conditions are increasing the need for tighter monetary policies while negative consequences for global demand are being realized. In this episode of All the Credit®, we turn to Chief European Economist, Katharine Neiss, PhD and global energy analyst, David Winans, to guide us through the complexities of these events and the implications of powering down from Russian energy. Katherine and Dave review vital facts around Europe's reliance on Russian energy, discuss the geopolitical and energy policy alternatives available to different countries (including the status of green energy initiatives), share their views on the resultant fiscal and monetary policy implications, and what this all means for global energy producers and distributors. Host and Senior Portfolio Manager, Mike Collins, CFA, also discusses some PGIM Fixed Income's key positions as we navigate this elevated macroeconomic tail risk environment and aim to generate alpha for our clients amid these uncertain times. Recorded on April 8, 2022.
Credit fundamentals across most municipal bond issuers have improved markedly and may be more immune from some of the recent geopolitical events in eastern Europe and rising commodity prices relative to many corporate or sovereign credits. That, coupled with aging populations, a steady stream of daily retirements in the U.S., and increased demand for high-quality fixed income securities, especially tax-exempt issues, leaves the municipal bond market well supported. In this episode of All the Credit®, host and Senior Portfolio Manager, Mike Collins, is joined by PGIM Fixed Income's Jason Appleson, CFA, FRM, Head of Municipal Bonds, and Lee Friedman, CFA, U.S. Investment Grade Corporate Bonds Portfolio Manager, to dissect the taxable and tax-exempt municipal bond market and discuss its evolution. The trio reviews some key characteristics of the broad municipal bond complex, highlights the fundamental trends amongst issuers, assesses the attractiveness of municipal bond valuations, and shares our best ideas and municipal positioning across our fixed income strategies. Recorded on March 8, 2022.
Securitized products, sometimes referred to as structured products or, more generically, asset-backed securities, has—more recently—experienced dramatic growth in market size. And while the sector is approaching nearly $4 trillion, the securitized assets market and investor appetite continues to expand. In this episode of All the Credit®, we'll explore the evolution of the fixed income securitized marketplace and make our case as to why we believe securitized products offer a compelling source of value. Host and PGIM Fixed Income Senior Portfolio Manager, Mike Collins, sits down with Gabriel Rivera and Edwin Wilches, Co-Heads of Securitized Products at PGIM Fixed Income, to discuss the ins and outs of this complex asset class, what opportunities we like (and those we don't), and our current positioning. Our panel closes their discussion with a look at the ESG footprint in the securitized products market, and the investor implications for the LIBOR to SOFR transition. Recorded on February 4, 2022.
Despite the wildly unique ride that was 2021, which saw a boom in economic growth in most countries, a global inflation surge, and COVID's constant and pervasive presence, the path of the global economy and financial markets may have been more predictable a year ago than they are today. With economic and earnings growth poised to peak, inflation most likely to subside, and tightening of monetary and fiscal policies expected, the outlook for 2022 is murky. In the latest installment of All the Credit®, we provide our expectations for the global economy, inflation, and the fixed income markets for 2022. We also highlight investment and asset allocation trends we're seeing across our global client base, discuss fixed income market technicals, share our best ideas across global bond markets, and identify keys risks for 2022. Join PGIM Fixed Income's newly named Co-Chief Investment Officers, Craig Dewling and Gregory Peters, along with host and PGIM Fixed Income Senior Portfolio Manager Mike Collins, for this look into 2022. This episode was recorded on January 11, 2022.
The 26th annual UN Climate Change Conference (COP26) fell short of our expectations and left ESG-focused investors with more considerations than ever before. It also did little to add clarity to the path ahead. With COP26 behind us, host Michael Collins, CFA is joined by PGIM Fixed Income's ESG specialists, Armelle de Vienne and John Ploeg, CFA for an insightful discussion of the summit, how it came to be, its purpose, and its major takeaways. Our ESG specialists also provide their take on how the asset management industry and ESG-focused client expectations will evolve in response to the pervasive demand for ESG-considerations to be incorporated in investment decisions. The discussion details how climate and social governance considerations are factored into PGIM Fixed Income's proprietary impact ratings, what we're doing to help ESG-focused clients meet their investment goals, including in the CLO-space, and how our active investment approach helps PGIM Fixed Income maintain a competitive advantage in the ESG-space. Looking for more content from PGIM Fixed Income's ESG specialists? Check out The Bond Blog @ PGIM Fixed Income for John Ploeg's recent post, Three Flawed Assumptions in Climate Risk Models: https://pgimfixedincome.blog/three-flawed-assumptions-in-climate-risk-models/?utm_medium=3rdParty&utm_content=2021-02-09 This episode was recorded on December 1, 2021.
In this episode of All The Credit, PGIM Fixed Income's panel discusses the latest emerging trends in the global banking sector, which include the rapidly growing interest in central bank digital currencies. Host and Senior Portfolio Manager Michael Collins, CFA is joined by Chief European Economist Katharine Neiss, PhD, and European Investment Grade Credit Research Analyst James Hyde for a conversation on disruptions in the sector, what's driving the ongoing resilience in global banks, and how our team views investment risks and opportunities. Katharine Neiss also recently authored an entry on "The Bond Blog @ PGIM Fixed Income" on the ECB's push for a digital currency, which you can find here: https://pgimfixedincome.blog/behind-the-ecbs-digital-currency-push/. This episode was recorded on November 4, 2021.
Episode 20 of All The Credit® covers the current topics impacting emerging markets– idiosyncratic issues, the unique inflationary challenges facing EM nations, how developed markets impact the sector, China, and more. Cathy Hepworth, CFA, Head of Emerging Markets Debt, joins Host and Senior Portfolio Manager Michael Collins, CFA, to provide her insights on what her team is watching across the range of emerging market strategies managed at PGIM Fixed Income. (Recorded on September 29, 2021)
With approximately 100 years of investment experience across the three-member panel, this episode of All The Credit delves into the nuances of the current global credit cycle with a special focus on how the "rising star" phenomenon is impacting investment grade and high yield markets. Host and Senior Portfolio Manager Mike Collins welcomes PGIM Fixed Income's Terence Wheat, Co-Head of the U.S. Investment Grade Corporate Team, and Steve Logan, European Leveraged Finance Portfolio Manager, for an assessment of how their teams are approaching this environment, what's driving the current shift, and potential opportunities for credit investors. Recorded on August 24, 2021
In this episode of All The Credit, a panel of senior investment professionals from PGIM Fixed Income and PGIM Real Estate explore if there's a housing bubble, how return to work scenarios could impact commercial office markets, what the future holds for retail, lodging, warehouses, and much more. This wide-ranging discussion of all things real estate features Lee Menifee, Head of Americas Investment Research at PGIM Real Estate, and he's joined by Sean Beggan and Gabe Rivera of PGIM Fixed Income's Securitized Products Team.
With inflation rising, shortages of key goods due to rising demand, and disruptions abound in the global supply chain, PGIM Fixed Income's All The Credit assesses the top-down macroeconomic factors at play and delves into some of the supply chain bottlenecks causing angst. Importantly, this episode also shares what the current environment means for fixed income investors. Host and Senior Portfolio Manager Mike Collins is joined by Chief Economist Nathan Sheets and Senior Credit Analysts John Smigelsky and Jake Kemeny to assess how investors can make sense of the current state of the ever-changing and newsworthy global supply chain.
Hear from PGIM Fixed Income's Lead Economist for Asia Gerwin Bell, PhD, and EMD Portfolio Manager Johnny Mak as they take a deep dive into all things China: the economic growth outlook, potential demographic challenges, the country's fundamentals, industry winners, an update on global trade agreements, and more in this episode of All The Credit. Episode 16 also includes our firm's positioning given the macroeconomic view on China, as well as a follow-up discussion to a recent paper co-authored by Gerwin Bell entitled "Three Focal Points for the U.S.-China Relationship," available now on PGIMFixedIncome.com. Listen and subscribe to All The Credit wherever you find your podcasts. (This episode was recorded on May 18, 2021).
This episode of PGIM Fixed Income's podcast All The Credit provides listeners with, quite literally, a view of all the credit. From corporate fundamentals to sector winners and losers, Rich Greenwood, Head of PGIM Fixed Income's Credit Group, delivers his insights on the credit market amidst the COVID-19 recovery. Greg Peters, Head of Multi-Sector and Strategy, provides his take on the evolution of asset classes, the predicted duration of what he's coined as The Golden Age of Credit, as well as how our team is positioning multi-sector portfolios given market fundamentals and the current opportunity set.
With trillions of dollars in negative yielding debt around the world, money market rates pegged at zero, and relatively tight credit spreads, recent surveys of investors reveal plans for potential large allocation shifts from long-only strategies into a variety of alternatives. On this episode of All The Credit, Host Mike Collins invites Erik Schiller, Head of Liquidity, Mick Meyler from PGIM Fixed Income's Developed Market Rates team, and Mike Niosi from our Client Advisory Group to provide their view of the Alternatives market, including what draws investors to these strategies, the current risks and opportunities in the market, and more.
n this episode of All The Credit, Mike Collins welcomes Chief Economist Nathan Sheets and Chief Investment Strategist Robert Tipp for an analysis of the economic, market, and political journey we’ve taken in the past year as well as a forward-looking conversation on what investors can expect as the recovery continues. Mike and his guests discuss the pace and magnitude of the recovery thus far, including support in terms of economic fiscal stimulus and private sector innovations. All of this leads to a constructive outlook in 2021, with future thoughts on what happens in the years to come. Listen today to hear the potential investment implications for active, fixed income investors.
Description: In this episode of All The Credit, Senior Portfolio Manager and Host Mike Collins welcomes two of our London-based colleagues to discuss what makes the European High Yield, Bank Loan, and CLO markets attractive for investors. Jonathan Butler, Head of European Leveraged Finance, discusses our current outlook, including the five factors supporting an allocation to European High Yield, and Asha Narayan, CLO Portfolio Manager, discusses PGIM Fixed Income's approach to CLO management and how it can fit into an active, fixed income portfolio. Listen and subscribe to All The Credit wherever you find your podcasts for insights for active, fixed income investors.
All The Credit host Mike Collins speaks with PGIM Fixed Income's Municipal Bond Team on our final episode of 2020. Episode 11 features Susan Courtney, Head of the Municipal Bond Team, and Garrett Falzone, Head of Municipal Bond Research. Listen in as they cover the opportunity set in this unique investment sector that combines politics and public services. This brief program introduces listeners to the muni market, analyzes the impact of the pandemic on cities and states, assesses the low default rate and how ESG factors impact investment decisions, and shares our house view of the opportunity set for investors now and going forward. Listen and subscribe to All The Credit wherever you get your podcasts.
PGIM Fixed Income's Senior Portfolio Manager and All The Credit host Mike Collins welcomes two guests who possess unique insights into the U.S. political system. In this episode we hear from Nathan Sheets, PGIM Fixed Income's Chief Economist and former Under Secretary of the Treasury Department, and David Burns, a senior member of Prudential's Congressional Government Affairs team, as they share their thoughts on the recent elections and the future political landscape in America. The two guests highlight prospects for new stimulus plans, who they expect to see fill important Washington positions that could impact the development of U.S. monetary and fiscal policy, and what it could mean for your investment portfolio.
As ESG investing continues to make news headlines and discussions are on the rise with asset owners, PGIM Fixed Income is pleased to host a timely interview. In Episode Nine of All The Credit, Host and Senior Portfolio Manager Mike Collins welcomes Eugenia Unanyants-Jackson, in the newly formed role of Head of ESG Research. In this episode, the two delve into the growth of ESG in the fixed income space, the firm's development of an internal ratings framework and its integration into the investment process, how this newly-created role will help PGIM Fixed Income's clients, and general market trends we can expect to see going forward.