Podcasts about credit research

In this fun and insightful conversation we talk to Matt Reustle. Matt was a credit analyst and then equity analyst at Goldman Sachs in New York. He later worked on the buy-side and then moved to become Colossus's CEO, which is the podcast group responsible for Business Breakdowns and Invest Like The Best. We talk about what people misunderstand about the Sell-side, why most investors fail with management meetings, what he learned from 200+ business breakdowns, and a few investing successes, as well as failures. We hope you enjoy!  You can download Matt Reustle's guide on meeting with management here.  Our memo on issues with the Sell-side can be read here.  *~*~*~*~*  Get access to all of Speedwell Research's in-depth Research Reports here. If you need help getting Speedwell added as an approved research vendor for your investment firm, please reach out to info@speedwellresearch.com  -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Show Notes (0:00) — Intro (1:12) — Misunderstandings on what is the Sell-side (9:15) — Quick Insight into Credit Research (11:58) — Conflicting Prerogatives of a Sell-side analyst (19:14) — Why Most Investors Fail with Management Meetings (29:50) — Business Breakdowns Takeaways (36:24) — What Makes a Great Analyst (44:29) — Matt's Investing Style and 2 Stocks (54:34) — What being CEO of Colossus taught Matt about Investing (58:16) — Consumer Surplus's Role in Great Businesses (1:02:51) — Does a Great Business Mean it Last a Long Time? (1:09:00) — The Pain that is UPS (1:12:56) — Conclusion -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Become a Speedwell Member here to gain access to *all* of our in-depth research reports and more!   Sign up for Speedwell's free newsletter and weekly memos here *~*~*~*~*  Follow Us: Twitter: @Speedwell_LLC Threads: @speedwell_research Email us at info@speedwellresearch.com for any questions, comments, or feedback. -*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*-*- Disclaimer Nothing in this podcast is investment advice nor should be construed as such. Contributors to the podcast may own securities discussed. Furthermore, accounts contributors advise on may also have positions in companies discussed. Please see our full disclaimers here:  https://speedwellresearch.com/disclaimer/

In this follow-up episode on the wildfires in southern California, we explore the consequences for the utilities sector of the City of Los Angeles. We'll dive into the immediate financial effects of disaster relief and lost revenue, as well as the risks from potential legal liabilities which could cost the city billions.  Guests: John Medina, Senior Vice President, Moody's Ratings; Lori Treviño, Assistant Vice President, Moody's Ratings Host: Colin Ellis, Head of Centre for Credit Research, Moody's Ratings 

In this episode, Joe is joined by John Zito, Co-President of Apollo Asset Management and Alex Birry, Global Head of Credit Research at S&P Global Ratings. Topics included views on private credit and the evolution of private markets, John's career trajectory to Apollo, Alex on global mega trends and John's advice for managing high performing teams.

The devastating ongoing wildfires in Los Angeles County are set to become the worst in California's history. In this episode, we discuss the effects on property owners, insurers and the state government, and what the damage could mean for the future of the insurance market in the state.Guests: Jasper Cooper, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, Moody's Ratings; Matt Butler, Vice President, Senior Credit Officer, Moody's Ratings Host: Colin Ellis, Head of Centre for Credit Research, Moody's Ratings

In this episode, we unpack the new Moody's Ratings forecasts for the global economy and explain why there could be bright spots amid a myriad of risks. Join our analysts as they delve into topics like potential changes in US policy, the effects of stimulus on the Chinese economy, and whether Europe is headed for stagnation.Guests: Marie Diron, Global Head of Sovereign and Sub-Sovereign Risk at Moody's Ratings; Madhavi Bokil, Head of Macro Research at Moody's RatingsHost: Colin Ellis, Head of Center for Credit Research, Moody's Ratings

Our Head of Corporate Credit Research Andrew Sheets discusses why uncertainty around the election's outcome could be detrimental for credit investors.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, today I'll discuss the US Election, and how it might matter for Credit. It's Friday, October 18th, at 4pm in London. Morgan Stanley's positive view on credit this year has been anchored on a simplistic thesis. Credit is an asset class that hates extremes, as it faces losses if a company fails, but doesn't earn extra if that company's profits double or even triple. Credit, to an unusual degree, is an asset class that loves moderation. And here at Morgan Stanley, we've been forecasting … a lot of moderation. Moderate growth for the U.S. and Europe. Moderating inflation, that continues to fall into next year. And a moderation of central bank interest rates, rather than the type of sharp declines that you tend to see around recessions; as we think Fed funds will settle in a little bit below three-and-a-half per cent by the middle of next year. This moderate economy, coupled with moderate levels of corporate aggressiveness should be music to a credit investor's ears, and support richer-than-average valuations, in our view. So how does the upcoming U.S. election on November 5th fit into this otherwise benign picture? Who runs a government matters, especially when it's the government of the world's largest and strongest economy. This election is also notable for the differences between the two candidates, who are presenting sharply contrasting visions of economic, domestic and foreign policy. Against this backdrop, we suggest credit investors try to keep a few things top of mind. First, and most broadly, the idea that “credit likes moderation” remains our north star. Outcomes that could drive larger changes of economic policy, or larger uncertainty in policy in general, are probably going to be a larger risk for credit.Second, of all the various policies under discussion, tariffs feel especially important as they can be largely implemented without congressional approval, and are thus far easier to see go into effect. Tariff proposals could create significant dispersion at the single-name level in credit, and pose significant risks for sectors like retail, which import a large share of their ultimate goods. For time-limited investors, tariffs are the policy area where we'd spend the most time – and where much of our Credit Research around the election has been focused. Third, it's notable that as we head into this election, expected volatility, in equities or credit, is elevated even as the stock market sits near all time highs, and credit spreads are historically low. So this begs the question. Do these options markets know something that the rest of the market does not? We're skeptical. Historically, when you've seen high volatility alongside all-time-highs in the market – and it's not all that common – it's tended to be a positive short-term indicator, rather than a negative one. And one way we could perhaps explain this is that it suggests that investors are still a little bit nervous, and not as positive as they otherwise could be. The U.S. election is close in time, uncertain in outcome, and has stakes for future policy. That high implied volatility we see at the moment, in our view, could reflect known unknowns, rather than some hidden factor. Tariff policy, being largely independent of congress and thus easier to implement, is probably the most relevant for single-name credit exposures. And most broadly, credit likes moderation, and should do best in outcomes that are more likely to achieve that. Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

In episode 14 of the Alternative Allocations podcast series, Richard shares reasons why the current disruptive market environment offers a great opportunity for commercial real estate debt, such as better risk adjusted return potential, low to negative correlation to traditional investments, and higher income. Understanding the opportunity, Tony and Richard review the many roles that commercial real estate debt can play in client portfolios. Richard Byrne is President of Benefit Street Partners, a Franklin Templeton Company, and serves as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: FBRT), Benefit Street Partners Multifamily Trust, and Franklin BSP Capital Corporation. He is an influential thought leader and frequent speaker on many topics including commercial real estate debt, highlighting investing opportunities and risks in CRE lending.  Prior to joining Benefit Street Partners, Richard was Chief Executive Officer of Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc and was the Co-Head of Global Capital Markets at Deutsche Bank as well as a member of their Global Banking Executive Committee and Global Markets Executive Committee. Before joining Deutsche Bank, he was Global Co-Head of the Leveraged Finance Group, and Global Head of Credit Research at Merrill Lynch & Co. Richard earned an MBA from the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University, and a BA from Binghamton University. He is a member of the Board of Directors of Wynn Resorts, Limited (NASDAQ: WYNN), and New York Road Runners. He is also Founder and Chief Executive Officer of KASAI Elite Grappling Championships. Commercial real estate debt is struggling—what a great opportunity Commercial real estate debt: Another way to access real estate Benefit Street Partners Richard Byrne | LinkedIn Alternatives by Franklin Templeton Tony Davidow, CIMA® | LinkedIn

As we edge closer to a US Federal Reserve rate decision and a presidential election, municipal credit will get more attention. In this Masters of the Muniverse podcast, hosts and Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Eric Kazatsky and Karen Altamirano talk to Jennifer Johnston, director of research, municipal bonds, at Franklin Templeton Fixed Income. She discusses how technology enhances credit research and why tax policy, slowing tax collections, falling revenues and pressured hospital margins are among areas of concern in 2H and beyond.

Today, we are speaking to leaders who can both geek out on data and translate the big picture of our economy. They are the Head of Research. From strategic planning to market analysis to industry trends, how do their roles guide the creation and management of ETFs?  We have Matt Dines and Carol Spain with us today.  Carol Spain is a Managing Director and Head of Credit Research for Schwab Asset Management. Carol earned a Master of Public Policy from the University of Chicago and a Bachelor of Arts in political science from the University of Notre Dame. She is an active member of the National Federation of Municipal Analysts and is a member of the External Advisory Panel of the Government Finance Research Center. Carol lives in Chicago with her husband and two small children.    Matt Dines serves as Chief Investment Officer at Build Asset Management, where he oversees portfolio management, capital allocation, and strategy for the firm and its clients. Matt holds a Master's degree in Finance from Washington University in St. Louis, with a focus on Quantitative Finance. He holds a Bachelor's degree in Biological Science from the University of Notre Dame. Matt earned his Chartered Financial Analyst® designation in 2017. Matt and his wife live in Seattle with their twin boys.   Kristine Delano guides the conversation about the hard work and skills it takes to research and analyze data in the world of ETFs.  Follow on Instagram kristine.delano.writer  Visit www.womeninetfs.com to find additional support in the ETF industry.  Go to www.kristinedelano.com for your Thrive Guide: a compilation of the most requested and insightful advice from our guests on Leadership and Advancement. In partnership with https://www.etfcentral.com/ Book recommendations:  Leading Lightly by Jody Michael The Asian Financial Crisis 1995-98: Birth of the Age of Debt by Russell Napier

Original Release on November 14th, 2023: Our roundtable discussion on the future of the global economy and markets continues, as our analysts preview what is ahead for government bonds, currencies, housing and more.----- Transcript -----Vishy Tirupattur: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I am Vishy Tirupattur, Morgan Stanley's Chief Fixed Income Strategist. This is part two of our special roundtable discussion on what is ahead for the global economy and markets in 2024. It's Tuesday, November 14th at 10 a.m. in New York. Yesterday you heard from Seth Carpenter, our Global Chief Economist, and Mike Wilson, our Chief Investment Officer and the Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today, we will cover what is ahead for government bonds, corporate credit, currencies and housing. I am joined by Matt Hornbach, our Chief Macro Strategist, James Lord, the Global Head of Currency and Emerging Markets Strategy, Andrew Sheets, Global Head of Credit Research, and Jay Bacow, Co-Head of U.S. Securities Products.Vishy Tirupattur: Matt, 2023 was quite a year for long end government bond yields globally. We saw dramatic curve inversion and long end yields reaching levels we had not seen in well over a decade. We've also seen both dramatic sell offs and dramatic rallies, even just in the last few weeks. Against this background, how do you see the outlook for government bond yields in 2024? Matt Hornbach: So we're calling our 2024 outlook for government bond markets the land of confusion. And it's because bond markets were whipped around so much by central banks in 2023 and in 2022. In the end, what central banks gave in terms of accommodative monetary policy in 2020 and 2021, they more than took away in 2022 and this past year. At least when it came to interest rate related monetary policies. 2024, of course, is going to be a pretty confusing year for investors because, as you've heard, our economists do think that rates are going to be coming down, but so too will balance sheets. But for the past couple of years, both G10 and EM central banks have raised rates to levels that we haven't seen in decades. Considering the possibility that equilibrium rates have trended lower over the past few decades, central bank policy rates may be actually much more restricted today than at any point since the 1970s. But, you know, we can't say the same for central bank balance sheets, even though they've been shrinking for well over a year now. They're still larger than before the pandemic. Now, our economists forecast continued declines in the balance sheets of the Fed, the ECB, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan. But nevertheless, in aggregate, the balance sheet sizes of these G4 central banks will remain above their pre-pandemic levels at the end of 2024 and 2025.Vishy Tirupattur: Matt, across the developed markets. Where do you see the best opportunity for investors in the government bond markets? Matt Hornbach: So Vishy we think most of the opportunities in 2024 will be in Europe given the diverging paths between eurozone countries. Germany, Austria and Portugal will benefit from supportive supply numbers, while another group, including Italy, Belgium and Ireland will likely witness a higher supply dynamic. Our call for a re widening of EGB spreads should actually last longer than we originally anticipated. Elsewhere in Europe, we're expecting the Bank of England to deliver 100 basis points of cumulative cuts by the end of 2024, and that compares to significantly less that's priced in by the market. Hence, our forecasts for gilts imply a much lower level of yields and a steeper yield curve than what you see implied in current forward rates. So the UK probably presents the best duration and curve opportunity set in 2024. Vishy Tirupattur: Thank you, Matt. James, a strong dollar driven by upside surprises to U.S. growth and higher for longer narrative that has a world during the year characterized the strong dollar view for much of the year. How do you assess 2024 to be? And what differences do you expect between developed markets and emerging market currency markets? James Lord: So we expect the recent strengthening of US dollar to continue for a while longer. This stronger for a longer view on the US dollar is driven by some familiar drivers to what we witnessed in 2023, but with a little bit of nuance. So first, growth. US growth, while slowing, is expected to outperform consensus expectations and remain near potential growth rates in the first half of 2024. This is going to contrast quite sharply with recessionary or near recessionary conditions in Europe and pretty uncompelling rates of growth in China. The second reason we see continued dollar strength is rate differentials. So when we look at our US and European rate strategy teams forecasts, they have rates moving in favor of the dollar. Final reason is defense, really. The dollar likely is going to keep outperforming other currencies around the world due to its pretty defensive characteristics in a world of continued low growth, and downside risks from very tight central bank monetary policy and geopolitical risks. The dollar not only offers liquidity and safe haven status, but also high yields, which is of course making it pretty appealing. We don't expect this early strength in US Dollar to last all year, though, as fiscal support for the US economy falls back and the impact of high rates takes over, US growth slows down and the Fed starts to cut around the middle of the year. And once it starts cutting, our U.S. econ team expects it to cut all the way back to 2.25 to 2.5% by the end of 2025. So a deep easing cycle. As that outlook gets increasingly priced into the US rates, market rate differentials start moving against the dollar to push the currency down. Vishy Tirupattur: Andrew, we are ending 2023 in a reasonably good setup for credit markets, especially at the higher quality end of the trade market. How do you expect this quality based divergence across global trade markets to play out in 2024? Andrew Sheets: That's right. We see a generally supportive environment for credit in 2024, aided by supportive fundamentals, supportive technicals and average valuations. Corporate credit, especially investment grade, is part of a constellation of high quality fixed income that we see putting up good returns next year, both outright and risk adjusted. When we talk about credit being part of this constellation of quality and looking attractive relative to other assets, it's important to appreciate the cross-asset valuations, especially relative to equities, really have moved. For most of the last 20 years the earnings yield on the S&P 500, that is the total earnings you get from the index relative to what you pay for it, has been much higher than the yield on U.S. triple B rated corporate bonds. But that's now flipped with the yield on corporate bonds now higher to one of the greatest extents we've seen outside of a crisis in 20 years. Theoretically, this higher yield on corporate bonds relative to the equity market should suggest a better relative valuation of the former. So what are we seeing now from companies? Well companies are buying back less stock and also issuing less debt than expected, exactly what you'd expect if companies saw the cost of their debt as high relative to where the equities are valued. A potential undershoot in corporate bonds supply could be met with higher bond demand. We've seen enormous year to date flows into money market funds that have absolutely dwarfed the flows into credit. But if the Fed really is done raising rates and is going to start to cut rates next year, as Morgan Stanley's economists expect, this could help push some of this money currently sitting in money market funds into bond funds, as investors look to lock in higher yields for longer. Against this backdrop, we think the credit valuations, for lack of a better word, are fine. With major markets in both the U.S. and Europe generally trading around their long term median and high yield looking a little bit expensive to investment grade within this. Valuations in Asia are the richest in our view, and that's especially true given the heightened economic uncertainty we see in the region. We think that credit curves offer an important way for investors to maximize the return of these kind of average spreads. And we like the 3 to 5 year part of the U.S. credit curve and the 5 to 10 year part of the investment grade curve in Europe the most. Vishy Tirupattur: Thanks, Andrew. Jay, 2023 was indeed a tough year for the agency in the US market, but for the US housing market it held up quite remarkably, despite the higher mortgage rates. As you look ahead to 2024, what is the outlook for US housing and the agency MBS markets and what are the key drivers of your expectations? Jay Bacow: Let's start off with the broader housing market before we get into the views for agency mortgages. Given our outlook for rates to rally next year, my co-head of securitized products research Jim Egan, who also runs US housing, thinks that we should expect affordability to improve and for sale inventory to increase. Both of these developments are constructive for housing activity, but the latter provides a potential counterbalance for home prices. Now, affordability will still be challenged, but the direction of travel matters. He expects housing activity to be stronger in the second half of '24 and for new home sales to increase more than existing home sales over the course of the full year. Home prices should see modest declines as the growth in inventory offsets the increased demand. But it's important to stress here that we believe homeowners retain strong hands in the cycle. We don't believe they will be forced sellers into materially weaker bids, and as such, we don't expect any sizable correction in prices. But we do see home prices down 3% by the end of 2024. Now, that pickup in housing activity means that issuance is going to pick up as well in the agency mortgage market modestly with an extra $50 billion versus where we think 2023 ends. We also think the Fed is going to be reducing their mortgage portfolio for the whole year, even as Q2 starts to taper in the fall, as the Fed allows their mortgage portfolio to run off unabated. And so the private market is going to have to digest about $510 billion mortgages next year, which is still a concerning amount but we think mortgages are priced for this. Vishy Tirupattur: Thanks, Jay. And thank you, Matt, James and Andrew as well. And thank you to our listeners for joining us for this 2 part roundtable discussion of our expectations for the global economy and the markets in 2024. As a reminder, if you enjoy the show, please leave us a review on Apple Podcasts and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

In recent months, GLP-1 drugs have been thrust into the spotlight, amplified by increased media attention and several headline-grabbing comments from large retailers. In this episode of All the Credit®, host Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Co-Head of Credit Research, is joined by U.S. Leveraged Finance Credit Research Analysts, Elizabeth Halpin, CFA, Richard Kus, CFA, and Scott Swanson, CFA, to consider the investment implications of GLP-1s across fixed income markets and industries. Recorded on December 19, 2023. This content is not intended to be a substitute for professional medical or health advice, diagnosis, or treatment, and does not constitute medical or other professional advice in any form.  

How has corporate credit fared through slow growth and high inflation? Here's our view on what comes next for this market.----- Transcript -----[00:00:02] Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, Head of Credit Research at Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, I'll be talking about trends across the global investment landscape and how we put those ideas together. It's Friday, December 22nd at 4 p.m. in London. [00:00:18] Sometimes it's hard to explain why a market is moving. This is not one of them. U.S. economic data has been unquestionably good over the last two months, delivering an unusual combination of better than expected growth with lower than expected inflation. In the U.K. and Euro area, inflation has been declining even faster. [00:00:35] Central banks, seeing this encouraging decline in inflationary pressure, have signaled an end to their recent rate hiking campaigns and hinted that next year will bring cuts. These shifts have been significant. The market's expectation of one year interest rates in the eurozone in one year's time have fallen almost 1% in the last month alone. In the U.S., they've fallen about 1.25% over the last two. [00:00:56] As you've heard us discuss on this program throughout the year, inflation is incredibly important to the current macroeconomic story. Much of the concerns this year, especially at the beginning, were based on a widespread view that in an economy near full employment, high inflation could only be brought down with much weaker growth, leaving investors with the unappetizing choice of either a recession or permanently higher inflation. [00:01:17] But the last two months have presented a notable glass half full, more optimistic challenge to that story. In the U.S., there are signs the economy is increasing capacity, which in economic terms allows for more output without higher prices. U.S. energy production has hit record levels, with the U.S. currently producing 40% more oil than Saudi Arabia. More workers are joining the labor force. New business formations are high and supply chain stresses are improving. All of that has helped reduce inflationary pressure and reinforce the idea that policy shifts in the Federal Reserve towards easier monetary policy can be credible over the next several years. [00:01:52] In Europe, growth has been weaker, but this has meant inflation is coming down even faster, bolstering the view that the European Central Bank has taken interest rates much higher than it needs to, and could also reverse these significantly over the next 12 months. [00:02:04] For a market that spent much of the last two years worried about being stuck between this rock and a hard place with growth and inflation, the data over the last two months is welcome news and we remain positive on corporate credit. While levels have rallied more than we expected, we think this is balanced, for now, with these better than expected economic developments. [00:02:22] Within the credit rally, however, we see dispersion. Long term U.S. investment grade bonds, a highly volatile sector, have done so well that spreads are now near the tightest levels in 20 years. We think this looks overdone. In contrast, performance in the lowest rated and also volatile cohort of triple C issuers has lagged significantly. While we've previously had a higher quality bias within credit, we think U.S. and European triple C's can now start to catch up, given some of the better macroeconomic developments we've been seeing in the recent months. [00:02:51] Thanks for listening. Subscribe to Thoughts on the Market on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen and leave us a review. We'd love to hear from you.

David Hamlin, Senior Managing Director, Global Head of Credit Research at SLC Management, discusses his team's fundamental credit research process, including determining where we are in the credit cycle and the use of AI.   This content is intended for institutional investors. The information in this podcast is not intended to provide specific financial, tax, investment, insurance, legal or accounting advice and should not be relied upon and does not constitute a specific offer to buy and/or sell securities, insurance, or investment services. Investors should consult with their professional advisors before acting upon any information contained in this podcast. Any statements that reflect expectations or forecasts of future events are speculative in nature and may be subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions and actual results which could differ significantly from the statements. As such, do not place undue reliance upon such forward-looking statements. All opinions and commentary are subject to change without notice and are provided in good faith without legal responsibility.   SLC-20231211-3273928

In this special year-end episode, we explore the changing EU money market ecosystem. We discuss quantitative tightening, new developments in Minimum Reserve Requirements, changes to sovereign deposit remuneration and excess liquidity. With expert insight from Christophe Rieger (Head of Commerzbank's Rates and Credit Research) and Martin Nazary (Head of Short Term Products at Deutsche Finanzagentur, a major source of liquidity in EU repo markets), both speakers at the upcoming GFF Summit in Luxembourg (31 January to 1 February 2024).Together with hosts Christian Rossler and Andrew Keith Walker, we explore the significant economic impacts of these developments and look at year-end 2023, focusing on the rapidly expanding cleared repo market and the un-cleared triparty repo market.Additionally, we round off 2023 with some money market predictions for 2024 and the upcoming changes in the ECB operational framework. Lastly, we wish all our listeners a good holiday season and, if you celebrate it, a Merry Christmas.

Rates have sharply increased in the past 18 months and at PGIM Fixed Income, we anticipate they will remain elevated. In this episode of All the Credit®, Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Co-Head of Credit Research, is joined by guests Mick Meyler, Head of Developed Market Rates, and Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist, to examine the core factors supporting our view of higher-for-longer rates. The trio also discuss the end of the hiking cycle, weigh the impact of fiscal deficits on long-term rates, and explore the interplay between rates, curve shape, and the economy. Recorded on November 17, 2023.

The municipal bond market has been long-prized as a stable, tax advantaged income generator for individuals, After years of a low interest rate environment, the asset class is getting renewed attention . . . And it's not just from investors! Tech disruptors are eyeing the space and they see a massive, disjointed uncoordinated market in need of modernization. I spoke with STEPHEN WINTERSTEIN on the state of the municipal bond market. He has a 360 degree view of the muni bond space. Steve is the Founder of SP Winterstein and Associates which advises dealers and buy-side firms on municipal fixed income data and technology procurement, vendor engagement, workflow, and market structure. He has over 35 years experience in municipal SMA and mutual fund management, electronic trading, fintech. Most recently, he was head of municipal fixed income at MarketAxess and head of Capital Markets at Alphaledger. We'll tackle his view of thoughtful municipal fixed income management, the size, delivery and fractionalization of the market and the technological challenges faced. Finally, we'll get some input on where Steve thinks AI, Blockchain, LLM's and some of the other buzzy words out there may have some real world impact on the asset class. Background Take us through your career . . . and your start in the Municipal Bond space Portfolio Manager - Meridian Asset Management Managing Director & Senior Vice President, Head of Municipal Fixed Income - PNC Head of Municipal Fixed Income Strategy & Research - Wilmington Trust Head of Municipal Fixed Income - MarketAxess Head of Capital Markets - Alphaledger Managing Partner - SP Winterstein & Associates, LLC Investing Process Discussing the two pillars of Muni Investing - Credit and Duration Fallacy of being able to predict interest rates Spending Calories on Credit Research "Bus Map"- incorporating client input in the design/choice of investment constraints The Municipal Bond Market The Size of the Muni Market and the challenges that causes The fractionalized nature of muni market Typical means tf transacting Brokerage vs SMA vs fund Problems with indexing Where can technology help? Pipe-building, blockchain, AI review of docs, what else? Where are the initiatives of improvement?  What is holding things back? In your mind What is the solvable low-hanging fruit?  What isn't? Where does this help the municipality? Where does this help the market participant? Where does this help the investor? Going Forward With interest rates normalizing- any glimpses into Steve's crystal ball? Getting rid of tax exemption solves the paradox of the heterogenous borrowing base (institutions of all flavors and sizes) and the homogenous lending base (individuals) by broadening the lending base. While removing the tax favored status would raise borrowing costs, it would improve liquidity - which problem do you want to solve in a world where infrastructure so desperately needs funding? How do listeners reach out to you to find out more? STEPHEN WINTERSTEIN ON LINKEDIN https://www.amazon.com/Wealth-Actually-Intelligent-Decision-Making-1-ebook/dp/B07FPQJJQT/

Our roundtable discussion on the future of the global economy and markets continues, as our analysts preview what is ahead for government bonds, currencies, housing and more. ----- Transcript -----Vishy Tirupattur: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I am Vishy Tirupattur, Morgan Stanley's Chief Fixed Income Strategist. This is part two of our special roundtable discussion on what is ahead for the global economy and markets in 2024. It's Tuesday, November 14th at 10 a.m. in New York. Yesterday you heard from Seth Carpenter, our Global Chief Economist, and Mike Wilson, our Chief Investment Officer and the Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today, we will cover what is ahead for government bonds, corporate credit, currencies and housing. I am joined by Matt Hornbach, our Chief Macro Strategist, James Lord, the Global Head of Currency and Emerging Markets Strategy, Andrew Sheets, Global Head of Credit Research, and Jay Bacow, Co-Head of U.S. Securities Products.Vishy Tirupattur: Matt, 2023 was quite a year for long end government bond yields globally. We saw dramatic curve inversion and long end yields reaching levels we had not seen in well over a decade. We've also seen both dramatic sell offs and dramatic rallies, even just in the last few weeks. Against this background, how do you see the outlook for government bond yields in 2024? Matt Hornbach: So we're calling our 2024 outlook for government bond markets the land of confusion. And it's because bond markets were whipped around so much by central banks in 2023 and in 2022. In the end, what central banks gave in terms of accommodative monetary policy in 2020 and 2021, they more than took away in 2022 and this past year. At least when it came to interest rate related monetary policies. 2024, of course, is going to be a pretty confusing year for investors because, as you've heard, our economists do think that rates are going to be coming down, but so too will balance sheets. But for the past couple of years, both G10 and EM central banks have raised rates to levels that we haven't seen in decades. Considering the possibility that equilibrium rates have trended lower over the past few decades, central bank policy rates may be actually much more restricted today than at any point since the 1970s. But, you know, we can't say the same for central bank balance sheets, even though they've been shrinking for well over a year now. They're still larger than before the pandemic. Now, our economists forecast continued declines in the balance sheets of the Fed, the ECB, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan. But nevertheless, in aggregate, the balance sheet sizes of these G4 central banks will remain above their pre-pandemic levels at the end of 2024 and 2025.Vishy Tirupattur: Matt, across the developed markets. Where do you see the best opportunity for investors in the government bond markets? Matt Hornbach: So Vishy we think most of the opportunities in 2024 will be in Europe given the diverging paths between eurozone countries. Germany, Austria and Portugal will benefit from supportive supply numbers, while another group, including Italy, Belgium and Ireland will likely witness a higher supply dynamic. Our call for a re widening of EGB spreads should actually last longer than we originally anticipated. Elsewhere in Europe, we're expecting the Bank of England to deliver 100 basis points of cumulative cuts by the end of 2024, and that compares to significantly less that's priced in by the market. Hence, our forecasts for gilts imply a much lower level of yields and a steeper yield curve than what you see implied in current forward rates. So the UK probably presents the best duration and curve opportunity set in 2024. Vishy Tirupattur: Thank you, Matt. James, a strong dollar driven by upside surprises to U.S. growth and higher for longer narrative that has a world during the year characterized the strong dollar view for much of the year. How do you assess 2024 to be? And what differences do you expect between developed markets and emerging market currency markets? James Lord: So we expect the recent strengthening of US dollar to continue for a while longer. This stronger for a longer view on the US dollar is driven by some familiar drivers to what we witnessed in 2023, but with a little bit of nuance. So first, growth. US growth, while slowing, is expected to outperform consensus expectations and remain near potential growth rates in the first half of 2024. This is going to contrast quite sharply with recessionary or near recessionary conditions in Europe and pretty uncompelling rates of growth in China. The second reason we see continued dollar strength is rate differentials. So when we look at our US and European rate strategy teams forecasts, they have rates moving in favor of the dollar. Final reason is defense, really. The dollar likely is going to keep outperforming other currencies around the world due to its pretty defensive characteristics in a world of continued low growth, and downside risks from very tight central bank monetary policy and geopolitical risks. The dollar not only offers liquidity and safe haven status, but also high yields, which is of course making it pretty appealing. We don't expect this early strength in US Dollar to last all year, though, as fiscal support for the US economy falls back and the impact of high rates takes over, US growth slows down and the Fed starts to cut around the middle of the year. And once it starts cutting, our U.S. econ team expects it to cut all the way back to 2.25 to 2.5% by the end of 2025. So a deep easing cycle. As that outlook gets increasingly priced into the US rates, market rate differentials start moving against the dollar to push the currency down. Vishy Tirupattur: Andrew, we are ending 2023 in a reasonably good setup for credit markets, especially at the higher quality end of the trade market. How do you expect this quality based divergence across global trade markets to play out in 2024? Andrew Sheets: That's right. We see a generally supportive environment for credit in 2024, aided by supportive fundamentals, supportive technicals and average valuations. Corporate credit, especially investment grade, is part of a constellation of high quality fixed income that we see putting up good returns next year, both outright and risk adjusted. When we talk about credit being part of this constellation of quality and looking attractive relative to other assets, it's important to appreciate the cross-asset valuations, especially relative to equities, really have moved. For most of the last 20 years the earnings yield on the S&P 500, that is the total earnings you get from the index relative to what you pay for it, has been much higher than the yield on U.S. triple B rated corporate bonds. But that's now flipped with the yield on corporate bonds now higher to one of the greatest extents we've seen outside of a crisis in 20 years. Theoretically, this higher yield on corporate bonds relative to the equity market should suggest a better relative valuation of the former. So what are we seeing now from companies? Well companies are buying back less stock and also issuing less debt than expected, exactly what you'd expect if companies saw the cost of their debt as high relative to where the equities are valued. A potential undershoot in corporate bonds supply could be met with higher bond demand. We've seen enormous year to date flows into money market funds that have absolutely dwarfed the flows into credit. But if the Fed really is done raising rates and is going to start to cut rates next year, as Morgan Stanley's economists expect, this could help push some of this money currently sitting in money market funds into bond funds, as investors look to lock in higher yields for longer. Against this backdrop, we think the credit valuations, for lack of a better word, are fine. With major markets in both the U.S. and Europe generally trading around their long term median and high yield looking a little bit expensive to investment grade within this. Valuations in Asia are the richest in our view, and that's especially true given the heightened economic uncertainty we see in the region. We think that credit curves offer an important way for investors to maximize the return of these kind of average spreads. And we like the 3 to 5 year part of the U.S. credit curve and the 5 to 10 year part of the investment grade curve in Europe the most. Vishy Tirupattur: Thanks, Andrew. Jay, 2023 was indeed a tough year for the agency in the US market, but for the US housing market it held up quite remarkably, despite the higher mortgage rates. As you look ahead to 2024, what is the outlook for US housing and the agency MBS markets and what are the key drivers of your expectations? Jay Bacow: Let's start off with the broader housing market before we get into the views for agency mortgages. Given our outlook for rates to rally next year, my co-head of securitized products research Jim Egan, who also runs US housing, thinks that we should expect affordability to improve and for sale inventory to increase. Both of these developments are constructive for housing activity, but the latter provides a potential counterbalance for home prices. Now, affordability will still be challenged, but the direction of travel matters. He expects housing activity to be stronger in the second half of '24 and for new home sales to increase more than existing home sales over the course of the full year. Home prices should see modest declines as the growth in inventory offsets the increased demand. But it's important to stress here that we believe homeowners retain strong hands in the cycle. We don't believe they will be forced sellers into materially weaker bids, and as such, we don't expect any sizable correction in prices. But we do see home prices down 3% by the end of 2024. Now, that pickup in housing activity means that issuance is going to pick up as well in the agency mortgage market modestly with an extra $50 billion versus where we think 2023 ends. We also think the Fed is going to be reducing their mortgage portfolio for the whole year, even as Q2 starts to taper in the fall, as the Fed allows their mortgage portfolio to run off unabated. And so the private market is going to have to digest about $510 billion mortgages next year, which is still a concerning amount but we think mortgages are priced for this. Vishy Tirupattur: Thanks, Jay. And thank you, Matt, James and Andrew as well. And thank you to our listeners for joining us for this 2 part roundtable discussion of our expectations for the global economy and the markets in 2024. As a reminder, if you enjoy the show, please leave us a review on Apple Podcasts and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

Joel Levington, Director of Credit Research at Bloomberg Intelligence, joins to discuss the UAW strike and outlook for auto makers. Angelo Zino, Senior Industry Analyst at CFRA Research, joins to discuss the latest tech earnings and his recommendations for stocks. Herman Chan, Senior Regional Banks Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins to discuss regional bank stocks recent negativity and weariness in the months ahead as the Fed signals higher for longer. Bryan Whalen, co-CIO and Generalist Portfolio Manager from TCW, joins to discuss the latest bond market turmoil and what it means for a recession outlook. Mike Sievert, T-Mobile CEO, joins to discuss company earnings. Jack Devine, founding partner at the Arkin Group, joins to discuss the latest on the Israel-Hamas war. Kate Kaminski, COO of Walton Global, joins the latest to discuss housing, mortgage rates, and commercial real estate. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

As head of Macro Credit Research within Private Markets at BlackRock, Amanda Lynam is responsible for assessing how the broad picture of risk impacts credit markets and the securities within them. In doing so, she marries the top down with an understanding of company fundamentals, a skillset developed during her time in a sell-side research role focused on the insurance and healthcare sectors. Our discussion takes stock of the current opportunity set in corporate credit, exploring Amanda's process for finding value amidst an environment of middling credit spreads, but high all-in yields. As most of the heavy lifting is currently being done by the risk-free component, her team sees this continuing, with a view that the bar is high for Fed rate cuts well into 2024.Expecting a higher cost of capital to prevail for some time, Amanda expects more dispersion of returns across issuers in credit, with a view that certain capital structures that added considerable leverage when rates were low will struggle as they ultimately need to refinance. She notes that to some extent, higher rates are already biting, with defaults picking up and with the maturity wall beginning in earnest in 2025, corporates will need to engage markets on rolling paper in the not-too-distant future.Next, we talk about the supply and demand for funds in credit markets. First, on the demand for capital side, she states that 2022 was the lowest issuance year in high yield since the GFC, a favorable technical backdrop that is fading as a tailwind this year and next. With respect to the supply of credit, a topic that has received more attention post the SVB debacle, Amanda shares her team's focus on opportunities in private credit, a market she sees as expanding amidst the contraction in bank lending and offering higher spread compensation.We finish the discussion with some of Amanda's views on the progress of empowering careers for women in finance. She says it is important for females to have both a mentor who helps you in the day to day and a sponsor who can help you advance on a longer-term basis. I hope you enjoy this episode of the Alpha Exchange, my conversation with Amanda Lynam.

Check out episode 2 of the Alternative Allocations podcast series, focusing on the opportunities in alternative credit strategies with my guest Rich Byrne. Rich and I explore the current market environment, and the opportunities in direct lending, distressed, and real estate debt.  Rich Byrne is President of Benefit Street Partners, a wholly owned subsidiary of Franklin Resources, Inc. (NYSE: BEN), and serves as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Franklin BSP Lending Corporation, Franklin BSP Capital Corporation, Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: FBRT), and Benefit Street Partners Multifamily Trust. Prior to joining Benefit Street Partners, Rich was Chief Executive Officer of Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc and was the Co-Head of Global Capital Markets at Deutsche Bank as well as a member of their Global Banking Executive Committee and Global Markets Executive Committee. Before joining Deutsche Bank, he was Global Co-Head of the Leveraged Finance Group, and Global Head of Credit Research at Merrill Lynch & Co. Rich earned an MBA from the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University and a BA from Binghamton University. He is a member of the Board of Directors of Wynn Resorts, Limited (NASDAQ: WYNN), and New York Road Runners. He is also Founder and Chief Executive Officer of KASAI Elite Grappling Championships.   Benefit Street Partners Why Private Credit? Richard Byrne | LinkedIn Alternatives by Franklin Templeton Tony Davidow, CIMA® | LinkedIn    

With our macro base case calling for below trend, but positive growth and elevated inflation, we see a fairly healthy environment for credit and credit returns looking forward. In this episode of All the Credit®, we'll take a closer look at the high-quality credit spectrum, where solid nominal yields, reasonable credit spreads, and durable credit fundamentals could be attractive to fixed income investors. Alternatively, even if the economy proves less resilient than expected, tactically allocating to high-quality credit can provide reasonable insulation from outside drawdowns and downturns. Hosts Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Co-Head of Credit Research, and Mike Collins, CFA, Senior Portfolio Manager, Multi-Sector Strategies, have invited three of our senior investment professionals to discuss the opportunities they see within Investment Grade Corporates, Securitized Credit, and Municipal Bonds: Dave Del Vecchio, Co-Head of U.S. Investment Grade Corporate Bonds, Edwin Wilches, CFA, Co-Head of Securitized Products, and Sean McCarthy, Head of Municipal Bond Research. Recorded on September 21, 2023.

Elliott Stein, Senior Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins to discuss the news regarding Jeffrey Epstein, JP Morgan, and US Virgin Islands. Brent Schutte, Chief Investment Officer at Northwestern Mutual, joins to discuss markets, investing, and outlook for the economy. Joel Levington, Director of Credit Research at Bloomberg Intelligence, joins to discuss the UAW strike and the profit headwinds facing the auto industry. Aubyn Hill, Minister of Industry, Investment, and Commerce in for the Jamaican government, joins to discuss Jamaica's rare credit upgrade and outlook for the country's finances. Gary Shilling, president at A. Gary Shilling & Co., joins to discuss his outlook for markets, the Fed, and rate hikes. Tim Duy, Chief US Economist at SGH Macro Advisors, joins to discuss the Fed's most recent decisions and outlook for the economy. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Joel Levington, Director of Credit Research at Bloomberg Intelligence, joins to discuss his note on the UAW possible strike. Monica Defend, head of Amundi Institute, the largest asset manager in Europe, joins to discuss stagflation in Europe and outlook for Euro and global economies. Richard Bourke, with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins to discuss how a potential autoworker strike in Detroit can take its toll on the steel industry. Mike Parra, CEO of DHL Express Americas, joins to discuss his company, costs from inflation and Fed tightening, and supply chain concerns. Barry DiRaimondo, founder of commercial real estate developer Steelwave, joins to talk commercial real estate concerns and pressures on real estate across the US. Tors Hagen, CEO at Viking Cruises, joins to talk about the cruise industry and outlook for his company. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mike McGlone, Senior Macro Strategist with Bloomberg Intelligence, discusses the US losing the corn export battle and his call on gold. Greg Taylor, CIO at Purpose Investments, joins to talk about ETF flows and spot based Bitcoin ETFs. Joel Levington, Director of Credit Research at Bloomberg Intelligence, joins to discuss his note on Tesla. Mark Douglas, CEO at MNTN, joins to discuss streaming wars, outlook for the ad and streaming industries, and the Messi Effect. Barry Ritholtz, Founder of Ritholtz Wealth Management and Host of “Masters in Business,” discusses his recent column on investing, “Mind the Gap.” Anna Wong, Chief US Economist with Bloomberg Economics, discusses Core PCE inflation and other eco data from this week. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Simone Foxman.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Mitch Reznick is the Head of Sustainable Fixed Income at Federated Hermes and the Co-Portfolio Manager of the company's SDG Engagement High Yield Credit Fund.  With over 23 years experience in the corporate credit industry, he was previously the Co-Head of Credit Research for the global credit team at Fortis Investments, and prior to that was an associate analyst in the leveraged finance group at Moodys Investors Service in New York.Mitch has a Master's in International Affairs from Columbia University, a Bachelor's in history from Pitzer College and is a CFA charterholder.  He is Co-Chair of the Federated Hermes Sustainability Investment Centre and holds several advocacy roles, including founding board member of the European Leveraged Finance Association (ELFA); Co-Chair of the Credit Risk and Ratings Advisory Committee at the Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI) and workstream member CFO Coalition for the SDGs of the United Nations Global Compact (UNGC). Formerly, Mitch was Co-Chair of the Capital Markets Advisory Committee of the IFRS Foundation; member of the Sovereign Working Group (PRI); workstream member of the UK-China Green Finance Task Force; and served on the Green Finance Advisory of the City of London.In today's episode, Mitch recounts that it was early in his career while working in the leveraged finance team at Moody's that he fell in love with finance in general and specifically with the high yield corporate credit world. He later moved to London as a high yield fund manager for Fortis Investments and then left in 2008 for Federated Hermes as part of a team hired to rebuild the credit business in the wake of the global financial crisis.Mitch discusses how early on he observed that Federated Hermes was well-placed to bring sustainable fixed income solutions to the market and since then he has been focused on ESG integration and building investment solutions that deliver financial returns while delivering positive change for society and the environment with engagement being the catalyst.  Mitch describes in detail the Federated Hermes SDG Engagement High Yield Credit Fund which he is Co-Manager. He discuss at length the UN Sustainable Development Goals, and what they mean in the fixed income space.We talk about greenwashing, ‘greeniums', ‘step-ups', transition bonds and much more.Mitch is active on a number of technical working groups and work streams that are currently developing the connection between sustainability and fixed income investments. As a representative of a large investor in the fixed income space, he is very much in the flow of this evolution and represents the current thinking on the subject.About the SRI 360° Podcast: The SRI 360° Podcast is focused exclusively on sustainable & responsible investing. In each episode, Scott Arnell interviews a world-class investor who is an accomplished practitioner from all asset classes. In my interviews, I cover everything from their early personal journeys—and what motivated and attracted them to commit their life energy to SRI—to insights on how they developed and executed their investment strategies and what challenges they face today. Each episode is a chance to go way below the surface with these impressive people and gain additional insights and useful lessons from professional investors. Connect with SRI 360°: Sign up for the free weekly email update: https://sri360.com/newsletter/ Visit the SRI 360° PODCAST: https://sri360.com/podcast/ Visit the SRI 360° WEBSITE: https://sri360.com/ Follow SRI 360° on TWITTER: https://twitter.com/SRI360Growth/Follow SRI 360° on FACEBOOK: https://www.facebook.com/SRI360Growth/

Just a few months ago, the market was confident that post global financial crisis, financial sector reforms, and regulatory scrutiny ensured that the U.S. banking system was rock solid, and that the next cycle's culprit would emanate from elsewhere. However, banking is once again front and center as investors weigh systematic risks from another prospective real estate crunch—this time in the commercial property sector. In this episode of PGIM Fixed Income's All the Credit®, with guests Jason Pan, CFA, FSA, Securitized Products Credit Research Analyst, and David Jiang, U.S. Investment Grade Credit Research Analyst, we'll outline the scale of the potential problem, including the cadence of decay and potential flashpoints in commercial real estate, and discuss potential transmission through the banking system, extension of credit, and the real economy. Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Co-Head of Credit Research, returns to All the Credit® as host, alongside Mike Collins, CFA, Senior Portfolio Manager. Recorded on June 9, 2023.

Mary Pryshlak, Head of Investment Research at Wellington Management, joined Alexandra Dimitrijevic, Global Head of Research & Development at S&P Global Ratings and host Joe Cass on this episode of Fixed Income in 15. Discussion focused on the potential role of Generative AI in credit research, leadership experiences from Alexandra and Mary and books that have fundamentally changed our guests' lives.

My name's Stewart Foley, I'll be your host. Today's topic is senior secured loans and we're joined by Kevin Egan, Senior Portfolio Manager and Co-Head of Credit Research at Invesco.

Alison Williams, Senior Global Banks and Asset Managers Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, join to break down bank earnings. Matt Schettenhelm, Senior Litigation Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins the program from the NAB Convention in Las Vegas (National Association of Broadcasters) to discuss the outlook for the Fox News-Dominion lawsuit and the challenges both parties face. Jeff Langbaum, Senior REIT Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins the program to discuss Brookfield defaulting on debt and the impact of return-to-office, or lack thereof, on the economy. Joel Levington, Director of Credit Research at BI, joins to discuss the outlook for Tesla ahead of Thursday's earnings and its overall strategy. Justina Lee, Markets/Quants Reporter with Bloomberg News, joins the program to discuss her story on ChatGPT decoding Fed Speak and predicting stock moves from headlines. Anurag Rana, Senior Tech Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins to discuss the significance of Apple opening its first store in India, its financial implications, and Apple's new high-yield savings account with Goldman Sachs. Wendy Thomas, President & CEO at Secureworks (NASDAQ: SCWX), joins the program to talk about the state of cybersecurity and its importance amid financial stability concerns and geopolitical tensions. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Meera Chandan and Roberto Henriques discuss the outlook for European banking sector and FX in the aftermath of US banking stress.  This podcast was recorded on 14 April 2023 This communication is provided for information purposes only. Institutional clients can view the related report at www.jpmm.com/research/content/GPS-4386463-0 for more information; please visit www.jpmm.com/research/disclosures for important disclosures. © 2023 JPMorgan Chase & Co. All rights reserved.

Anurag Rana, Senior Tech Analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence, joins the program to discuss the deliveries miss for Apple on personal PCs. David O'Reilly, CEO of Howard Hughes (NYSE: HHC), joins to discuss economic challenges that commercial real estate faces, as well as office spaces and residents/home buyers. Jason Greenblath, Senior Portfolio Manager and director of Corporate Credit Research at American Century Investments, talks about credit, investing, inflation outlook, and can touch on crypto. Alexander Isakov, Russia Economist with Bloomberg Economics, discusses his recent piece on Putin turning his attention to the 2024 election, and the resiliency of Russia's economy in its invasion and the challenges it faces. Joel Levington, Director of Credit Research with Bloomberg Intelligence, discusses Carvana debt and the potential for filing for bankruptcy. Christine Mastandrea, COO at Whitestone REIT (NYSE: WSR), joins to discuss commercial real estate and property prices. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

A confluence of higher debt levels, tightening central bank policies, and weakening growth are raising red flags around borrower credit quality as signs of financial strain are beginning to emerge. Against this backdrop and as a part of our integrated credit research processes, we remain on the lookout for potential problems across corporate borrowers, consumers, and commercial real estate, both in the near and long term. Listen to this episode of PGIM Fixed Income's All the Credit® podcast as Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Co-Head of Credit Research, and Gary Horbacz, CFA, Head of Securitized Products Research, share their insights on credit fundamental trends and vulnerabilities across the asset class, along with outlooks on defaults and loss expectations. Recorded on February 23, 2023.

In a rapidly changing financial environment, learn about KBRA's approach to ESG in the credit rating process and how it is keeping pace as issues evolve.   Patrick Welch is Chief ESG & Ratings Policy Officer at Kroll Bond Rating Agency (KBRA), responsible for leading all aspects of KBRA's commitment as an ESG-focused firm, delivering to investors the highest quality credit analysis and research. Prior to this role, Pat served as KBRA's chief credit officer for five years.   Previously, Pat worked for 19 years at Goldman Sachs, where he served as a vice president within the Credit Risk Management and Advisory Department, and as deputy chief credit officer at Goldman Sachs Bank USA.   Previously to Goldman Sachs, Pat spent seven years in the Structured Finance Group at Standard & Poor's (now S&P Global Ratings), where he rated numerous asset classes. He began his career as an analyst at Security Pacific National Bank.   Pat holds both a B.S. and MBA from Cornell University.   Van Hesser is a Senior Managing Director and Chief Strategist at KBRA, where he is responsible for commenting on market and economic developments and their impact on credit markets. Previously, he led the company's Financial Institutions and Corporates credit rating groups. Van has been named to Institutional Investor Magazine's All-America Fixed Income Research Team rankings 10 times across three categories.   Prior to joining KBRA, Van was a managing director in the Financial Institutions Group at Wells Fargo Principal Investments. Previously, he worked at HSBC Securities for 10 years, serving as managing director and global head of Credit Research and head of U.S. Fixed Income Research.   Van also held senior sell-side corporate bond research roles covering financial institutions at Credit Suisse First Boston and Goldman Sachs, as well as a corporate finance position in Salomon Brothers' Financial Institutions Group. He started his career as a bank examiner at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.   Van earned a B.S., cum laude, from Fordham University and an MBA from Yale University.   Sponsor – KBRA Website: https://www.kbra.com/  LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/kroll-bond-rating-agency-llc/

In this Credit Chat edition, Joel Levington, Global Head of Credit Research, Daniel Fan, Senior China Real Estate Analyst and Pri De Silva, Senior Asia Financial Institutions Analyst join Robert Schiffman to share their views on downgrade recession risk for US industrials, the impact of potential “boycotts” on China property value and limited financial risk for the Chinese banking system. A slowdown in growth is unlikely to affect China's banking system, avoiding a 2008-like crisis, yet the country's real estate sector may become further depressed. In contrast, despite over $150 billion of industrial bonds at risk of downgrade, recession fears in the US could be overblown. Following GE's decision to separate in multiple stand-alone entities, 3M is following suit, with potentially Danaher not far behind, scenarios that may be beneficial for all parts of the capital structure.

The current, compressed, and rapidly changing credit cycle, which has experienced dramatic swings in economics, policy, inflation, and corporate fundamentals, has been anything but typical. With a backdrop like this, investors' and credit analysts' heads are spinning trying to keep up! In this episode, Janet Crowe and Brian Barnhurst, CFA, PGIM Fixed Income's Co-Heads of Credit Research, help us see the big picture in the underlying trends in corporate credit fundamentals, from earnings and leverage, to upgrades and downgrades, and more.   Host and Senior Portfolio Manager, Mike Collins, taps into the trio's collective expertise to help assess how well equipped the corporate bond market is to withstand a potential slowdown. The episode also answers some key questions, including: which industries are likely to be the winners and losers as we move forward?; and where are the risks and opportunities? Find out in this episode of All the Credit®!   Recorded on June 27, 2022.

In our summer Series 4 of the 2022 Fiftyfaces Podcast we invite you to see our industry through fresh eyes through hearing the stories of 10 extraordinary professionals.  We hear of the training and perspective obtained through playing tennis at a professional level, challenging ice-skating routines and practicing the ancient Japanese martial art of Kendo.  We hear about formative life experiences, such as mission-work in a violence-rocked Latin America as well as the challenges of becoming legally blind early in one's career.  We hear about life's setbacks, and how we rarely see the failures or false starts that end up on the cutting room floor, and about the importance of breadth v. depth as well as the importance of nurturing the variance in life as well as investing. So take time during your summer road trip or plane journey to recharge and arrive inspired.  Hear from these 10 inspiring guests: James Penney is Chairman of Darwin Alternative Investment Management Ltd, a firm that offers innovative Alpha driven investment solutions for long term investors. He has had a varied background that involved time doing mission-based work in Latin America during his study of theology, he has spent time as an academic and as an consultant before developing his asset management business.  Darwin Alternative Investment Management, through its investment products promotes the dignity of people at every stage of their lives, and is the sponsor of our Next Chapter podcast series.  Heather Brilliant is the President and CEO at Diamond Hill Capital Management, a $30 billion asset manager headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. She previously was Chief Executive Officer Americas at First State Investments, and prior to that was CEO at Morningstar, Australasia, and formerly Global Head of Equity and Credit Research. She's had a career long involvement with CFA Institute globally, and was formerly Chairman of the Board, as well as a Director and Board Member for over seven years. John Bowman is Executive Vice President of the CAIA Association, and a prolific writer and commentator on the investment management industry. He has written about the subject of culture, restoring the virtuous reputation of the industry and ensuring that dialogue and education are maximized, particularly in the area of alternative investing. Cynthia Steer has had  a multi-decade career in investment management, spending time as an investment director, CIO and Chief Retirement Strategist at a series of large consulting firms, and she now holds a broad range of investment committee and independent director roles. Aaron Joseph is Senior Vice President Investor Solutions at Blue Vista Capital Management, a Chicago based real estate investment manager focused in particular on middle market equity, student housing and real estate credit. He previously worked as deputy sustainability officer in the Office of the Mayor in the city of Chicago, and as a Strategy Manager at Urban Partnership Bank focused on providing banking services for impact capital and urban real estate investors.  Eve Ellis is a wealth advisor with William Blair. She has a particular interest in socially responsible and impact investments and manages two proprietary portfolios, a gender parity strategy and a dedicated diversity and inclusion strategy. She is also a member of the Forum for Sustainable and Responsible investment. She has received multiple awards, including featuring on the Crain's New York Women and Financial Advice inaugural list in 2020. And the Forbes America's Top Women Wealth Advisors Best in State. Zia Uddin is President of Monroe Capital LLC, an asset management firm headquartered in Chicago, which invests in middle market companies in North America through a range of products. Prior to joining Monroe he focused on middle market private equity investing for most of his career. Currently, he sits on a range of private company boards as well as on a public company board. Jason Mitchell is co-head of responsible investments at Man Group, and the host of a sustainable future podcast at the Man Institute, a podcast that he has hosted since 2018, and has now passed its 55th episode. He writes and speaks widely on sustainability issues, as well as serving on a number of committees such as Esmee Fairbairn Foundation, and World Bank Carbon Pricing Leadership Coalition. Matt Sherwood, Ph.D. is Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of WeVidIt Media, a video streaming platform that leverages data and analytics for a more inclusive and profitable entertainment industry. We met while he worked as an asset allocator, where he headed up public market investments for MMBB Financial Services.  He has spent time as a guest lecturer and an appointed professor at Columbia University and The King's College in New York, and has authored a textbook on the topic of ESG Investing. He is a board member of the Guide Dog Foundation and American Vet Dogs and serves on the Lavelle Fund's Investment Committee. Steve Kim is a partner in investment strategy and risk management at Verdis Investment Management in the Philadelphia area. He has focused over 30 years in his career in implementing and managing operating infrastructures. Prior to his role at Verdis he held various Chief Technology Officer roles, he now focuses on integrating his insight from systems modeling and data analysis into an investment approach, particularly in the venture capital arena. All of our podcasts are available on Apple Podcasts, Spotify and all major podcast channels.  You can find all of our content on the Fiftyfaces Hub (fiftyfaceshub.com) including resources and other material to enhance your career.

In this episode, we're excited to welcome back Analysts Charles Macgregor, Trung Nguyen, and Leonard Law of Lucror Analytics, who present their high-yield/crossover picks in India and Indonesia. -- Smartkarma users can find the presentation slides here. -- Lucror Analytics was established in 2010 in Singapore, to meticulously and methodically scrutinise the opportunities and risks inherent in high yield investing. Since 2010, Lucror Analytics has been entrusted as a reliable research partner by the largest and most reputable participants in the high yield segment – asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and private banks, who recognise the value and distinct advantage that independent research imparts to their investment and risk management decisions. Charles Macgregor is an industry veteran with over 35 years of experience. As Head of Asia, he is responsible for the Asian credit research product at Lucror, which he joined in 2013. Previously, he had worked for Deutsche Asset Management, where he was Head of Credit Research, Asia-Pacific and Co-Chair of their Global Credit Methodology Committee. He also worked at Moody's, where he was a Senior Credit Officer and a member of their New Instruments Committee and Symbols & Definitions Committee. Follow his work: https://skr.ma/eo2AP5v6VsRmWYcD9 Leonard Law covers a portfolio of Chinese and Indonesian high-yield corporate credits. Prior to joining Lucror in 2017, he was an Associate Analyst with Moody's Investors Service for three years, responsible for credit analysis and research. Follow his work: https://skr.ma/CKFZpohb6GzTFfH77 Trung Nguyen is responsible for covering high-yield companies in the Southeast Asia region. He joined Lucror in 2013 from ST Asset Management, a credit investment arm of Temasek Holdings, where he spent over six years in investment research and portfolio management. Follow his work: https://skr.ma/1pHREyj8z5QDLRLE9 -- This podcast is provided for general informational and entertainment purposes only, and is not intended to provide financial, investment or other professional advice. Views expressed by third parties do not necessarily represent Smartkarma's views. Smartkarma assumes no responsibility or liability for the accuracy, compliance or completeness of the podcast or the information it contains. Users should not rely on the podcast or the information it contains when making individual, business or other strategic decisions and should always consult a qualified expert or professional adviser.

Olesya Zhovtanetska, Senior Director, Public Fixed Income, Credit Research and ESG in Bonds & Treasury at SLC Management, discusses ESG integration in the fixed income space as well as her professional and personal connection to Ukraine.   The information in this podcast is not intended to provide specific financial, tax, investment, insurance, legal or accounting advice and should not be relied upon and does not constitute a specific offer to buy and/or sell securities, insurance or investment services. Investors should consult with their professional advisors before acting upon any information contained in this podcast. To review the transcript and disclosure for this podcast, please visit: https://www.slcmanagement.com/ca/en/insights/three-in-five-podcast/three-in-five-episode-51-olesya-zhovtanetska/

In today's episode, Willy welcomes Lotfi Karoui. Lotfi joined Goldman Sachs in 2007 and was promoted to managing director in 2015. Currently, he is the Chief Credit Strategist and head of the Credit Research Group at Goldman Sachs, one of the world's leading investment banking, securities, and management firms. His research covers a wide span of topics, including income markets, interest rate models, and macro-finance. His work is published in various academic journals, including the Journal of Financial Economics, Management Science, the Journal of Derivatives, and the Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. To start, Willy asks Lotfi about Paul Tudor Jones' opinion in a recent CNBC interview, in which he stated, “You don't want to be in bonds or stocks right now. I can't think of a worse macro-environment...” Lotfi points out the paradigm shift of the newfound ability for investors to park their cash, decreasing the urgency of putting money in bonds and stocks. The built-up risk premium also becomes a factor, citing widened corporate bond spreads as an example. Lotfi continues to explain that “anything that has a little bit of duration risk has probably its worst start ever,” encompassing investment-grade and treasury bonds. The terminal value of the fed funds rate is set to peak at 3%, which coincides with Goldman Sachs view of the ideal target to dip one's toes into bonds. Lotfi noticed a significant trend in the past five economic declines: The slope of the yield curve has done a fantastic job at predicting future recessions. However, he enumerates two caveats – correlation is not entirely causation, and the current cycle has proven to be more nuanced since the onset of the Great Moderation in the early eighties. He also emphasizes the imbalance in the labor market, with the federal government slowing down the economy without pressuring businesses to lay off employees. He presents his definition of a soft landing in terms of the ongoing inflation and status of the employment market and rates – the slowing down of the economy below potential while avoiding recession that causes companies to overreact. He states that the odds of a recession happening over the next two years are 35%. As gas prices are climbing, Lotfi highlights that demand destruction is the only way to rebalance the energy market instead of shrinking the demand side of the equation. He compares the effects of oil shocks on the United States and the European markets. The US economy is protected from the negative consequences due to a meaningful offset. Whereas Europe, they heavily rely on Russia to import their commodities. Lofti defines the current cycles as unpredictable and having more complex qualities. While the credit cycle is fairly young, the general business cycle is far ahead in its lifetime, making it impossible to tell if it is currently in recovery. Regarding inflated housing prices, Lotfi says the average monthly mortgage payment in the U.S. has increased by 41% in 2022. This is largely caused by tight inventories and real estate companies building fewer structures than needed. The episode ends with Lotfi's interpretation of why companies are choosing to hire local talent rather than investing in foreign labor. The slowdown of globalization to regionalization has resulted from varied factors, such as the COVID-19 and the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. The pandemic has brought to light previously hidden weaknesses in how companies manage their supply chains. This connects to the urgency and significance of implementing ESG programs as consumers and employees are more socially vocal. Lotfi's predictions on the future of the credit market are fairly optimistic, suggesting considering risk and price of risk, de-escalating conflict, and a reversion in inflation.

The transition to a net zero economy is of existential importance to the future of our planet. And the world needs four trillion dollars of new financing a year to meet the challenge. In this episode, we look at the role of the ESG debt market and the critical role it will play in financing our low carbon future. Joining us are Mary-Therese Barton, Head of Emerging Debt at Pictet Asset Management, Philipp Buff, Head of Credit Research at Pictet Asset Management, Emre Tiftik, Director, Sustainability Research, Global Initiatives at IIF, and Sonja Gibbs, Managing Director and Head of Sustainable Finance at IIF. The host is Ben Robinson, co-founder of aperture.   Read more here: https://am.pictet/en/globalwebsite/global-articles/2022/expertise/esg/ESG-bond-market-transformation/tab/Foreword?utm_source=podcast&utm_medium=group&utm_campaign=esgbonds

This week I'm chatting with Jemma Permalloo. Jemma has a full time corporate job as a VP of a large investment bank in London in the Credit Research department. We actually met as we started our careers on the same Graduate scheme in the same department! Jemma is also a Content Creator in her spare time and Co-Founder of the popular travel blogging Instagram page @twiniestories with her twin sister Jessi. Learn how Jemma started experimenting with Content Creation whilst working full time in a fast paced role in the banking industry and how she built twiniestories with her sister to 11k+ followers. We discuss: Balancing a full time career with a side hustle Setting boundaries between the two & protecting her professional reputation Considerations for starting something new alongside your job How to grow an audience Monetization options as a content creator I love the huge difference in skill sets Jemma gets to experiment with by doing such an analytical role in her corporate career and the contrast of the creative side of travel blogging. Jemma is proof that you don't have to quit your job to start something completely different! Want to learn what it's like to be a digital nomad in Bali? Grab our FREE Bali guide for Female Digital Nomads CLICK HERE Want more from the collective? Subscribe to our weekly newsletter | Follow @femaleleadershipcollective on IG To connect with Jemma: Instagram: @twiniestories | LinkedIn: Jemma Permalloo --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/flc/message

In this episode Geoff Castle, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, chats with Stan Manoukian, founder of Independent Credit Research LLC. Together they discuss Stan's background, his experiences with distressed debt and the motivation that led him to start his own firm. Stan also discusses in depth the lessons he has learned throughout his career and how he applies them to distressed debt investing. Finally, Stan shares his perspectives on a variety of topics from credit cycles, as they relate to distressed credit investing and the opportunity with reorg equities. 

For our first episode of the year, Hina & Sandeep are joined by Paul Watters, Head of Credit Research for EMEA, to discuss our house views on issues that could impact Corporates in 2022. Listen in and hear about inflationary pressures, evolving geopolitical landscape and default expectations for 2022. Our aim is to provide market participants with further advanced analytical insight into Corporate Credits, CLOs and Leveraged Finance deals, with S&P Global Ratings regular podcast, based on key features we're seeing in corporate credits and sectors that CLOs are exposed to. For more Leveraged Finance and CLOs Insights visit Leveraged Finance & CLOs Essentials

FII Fácil Entrevista: Alexandre Muller da JGP Alexandre de Oliveira Muller É um dos sócios da JGP e o responsável pela equipe de gestão dos fundos de crédito desde 2014. Anteriormente, trabalhou no Banco UBS Pactual e foi sócio do Banco BTG Pactual, onde liderou o time de Credit Research focado em empresas da América Latina desde 2007. Alexandre Muller também fez parte da equipe de gestão de ativos de crédito privado da Icatu Hartford Asset Management entre 2003 e 2007, participando do desenvolvimento e gestão de alguns dos primeiros fundos de investimentos focados em crédito privado do Brasil. Graduou-se em Economia pela Universidade Federal Fluminense.#JGP #JGPX11#fiifacil #cashtfacil #fiitalkContatos JGP: https://fiagro.jgp.com.br/https://www.jgp.com.br/https://www.youtube.com/jgpgestaohttps://www.instagram.com/jgp.asset/https://www.linkedin.com/company/jgp/---------------------------------------------------------------------------+ Lista de Espera - Curso de Valuationhttps://fiifacil.hubspotpagebuilder.c...+ APP de FII - BAIXE o APPAPP Store: https://apps.apple.com/br/app/fii-f%C...Play Store: https://play.google.com/store/apps/de...

In this Credit Chat edition, Joel Levington, BI's Global Head of Credit Research and Stephen Flynn, BI Sr. Telecom, Cable & Media analyst join Robert Schiffman to share their views on the trajectory of high grade and high yield fundamentals, rising star potential, funding expectations and outlooks for Ferrari, Ford, Tesla, Netflix, T-Mobile and Dish.

Steve sits down with Beth Lee, Senior Director, Derivatives & Quantitative Strategy and Laura Cronin, Managing Director, Public Fixed Income, Credit Research, to discuss InvestHer, a program they started to help advance women's professional development at SLC Management and the asset management industry at large. The information in this podcast is not intended to provide specific financial, tax, investment, insurance, legal or accounting advice and should not be relied upon and does not constitute a specific offer to buy and/or sell securities, insurance or investment services. Investors should consult with their professional advisors before acting upon any information contained in this video. To review the transcript and disclosure for this podcast, please visit: https://www.slcmanagement.com/en/insights/podcasts/three-in-five-podcast-series-episode-20-three-investher-questions-for-beth-and-laura

This episode takes a slightly different turn as we look at recent developments at Evergrande Real Estate Group (3333 HK). The highly indebted real estate company saw its share price jump from four-year lows on the resolution of a dispute with a Chinese bank last week, but trouble for China's largest property developer seems far from over. Insight Providers Travis Lundy and Charles Macgregor mull over the current situation and discuss where the company goes from here. Travis Lundy has 20+ years of experience in Asia doing alternative strategies (i.e. non-delta1 non long-only) in fixed income, equity derivatives, and activist/catalyst/event-driven and long-short equity strategies, with most of that time spent managing money. Charles Macgregor is an industry veteran with over 35 years of experience. As Head of Asia, he is responsible for the Asian credit research product at Lucror, which he joined in 2013. Previously, he had worked for Deutsche Asset Management, where he was Head of Credit Research, Asia-Pacific and Co-Chair of their Global Credit Methodology Committee. He also worked at Moody's, where he was a Senior Credit Officer and a member of their New Instruments Committee and Symbols & Definitions Committee. This podcast is provided for general informational and entertainment purposes only, and is not intended to provide financial, investment or other professional advice. Views expressed by third parties do not necessarily represent Smartkarma's views. Smartkarma assumes no responsibility or liability for the accuracy, compliance or completeness of the podcast or the information it contains. Users should not rely on the podcast or the information it contains when making individual, business or other strategic decisions and should always consult a qualified expert or professional adviser.

On this special episode, we have the pleasure of welcoming Insight Providers Charles Macgregor, Leonard Law, and Trung Nguyen of Lucror Analytics. The analysts go over high-yield picks in the Indonesian and Indian markets, focusing on names that Lucror covers and outlining their high-conviction "Buy" ideas. This episode's presentation can be found here: https://skr.ma/ZK4u7Crv4Pw26sRd8 Charles Macgregor is an industry veteran with over 35 years of experience. As Head of Asia, he is responsible for the Asian credit research product at Lucror, which he joined in 2013. Previously, he had worked for Deutsche Asset Management, where he was Head of Credit Research, Asia-Pacific and Co-Chair of their Global Credit Methodology Committee. He also worked at Moody's, where he was a Senior Credit Officer and a member of their New Instruments Committee and Symbols & Definitions Committee. Follow his work: https://skr.ma/eo2AP5v6VsRmWYcD9 Leonard Law covers a portfolio of Chinese and Indonesian high-yield corporate credits. Prior to joining Lucror in 2017, he was an Associate Analyst with Moody's Investors Service for three years, responsible for credit analysis and research. Follow his work: https://skr.ma/CKFZpohb6GzTFfH77 Trung Nguyen is responsible for covering high-yield companies in the Southeast Asia region. He joined Lucror in 2013 from ST Asset Management, a credit investment arm of Temasek Holdings, where he spent over six years in investment research and portfolio management. Follow his work: https://skr.ma/1pHREyj8z5QDLRLE9

Der DAX legt nach einer lahmen Woche einen guten Freitag hin: der DAX schloss den Freitag mit +0,7 % und 15.519 Punkten und damit über der 15.500 Punktemarke und nah an seiner Anfang der Woche erreichten Rekordmarke. Der ATX in Wien stieg 0,3 % auf 3.464 Punkte. An der Wall Street war zu Xetra Schluss wenig Bewegung zu sehen. Am Montag bleibt die Börse in New York ganz geschlossen. Es ist Feiertag, Memorial Day. DAX Gewinner war die Siemens Aktie, die eine klare Gegenbewegung zu den Verlusten der letzten Tage zeigt mit +3,8 %, Infineon mit +2,4 % und Merck mit +1,8 %. DAX Verlierer waren Fresenius mit -0,7 %, die Deutsche Post mit -1,3 % und Schlusslicht Daimler mit -1,6 %. Hören Sie Jochen Stanzl, Chefmarktanalyst von CMC Markets zu DAX, Bitcoin und Salesforce, zur Finanzierung der neuen Biden Billionen Christoph Rieger, Leiter Zins und Credit Research der Commerzbank, zum Übernahmeangebot der Immofinanz und der Forderung nach Nachbesserung S Immo CEO Bruno Ettenauer und zur Strategie in seinem neuen Fonds Tigris Small & Micro Cap Growth Fund Fondsinitiator und Fondsadvisor Lukas Spang.

In this episode of ESG Talks, Dana Bunting, Senior Managing Director of KBRA's Business Development Team interviews Judy Wesalo Temel, Senior Vice President and Director of Credit Research at Fiera Capital. Judy leads the fixed income credit research team and is responsible for approving or not approving the purchases of a broad range of municipal and corporate credit including state and local governments, higher education, health care, infrastructure, utilities, transportation, financials, and other sectors. She directs the development of credit policy, databases, and other tools to manage clients' portfolio credit risk. Judy also plays a key role in Fiera's U.S. ESG strategies.

Welcome to another special episode of ‘On the Couch’ with myself Henry Jennings from Marcus Today. This week I am talking to Doug Morris, the CEO of Sharesight. Some members will be familiar with this portfolio tracking platform and Doug runs through some of its features. We talk, Bitcoin, NFTs and the rise of fintechs and some of the trends that he sees with his unique view on a wide range of client portfolios.Doug is a leading voice in the Australasian FinTech and SaaS industries. He began his career with Morningstar, Inc. in Chicago, IL, where he served in a project management role within the investment management business. He served as Product Manager for Morningstar Adviser Research Center, a platform serving financial advisers and then Global Product & Marketing Manager, Equity & Credit Research, overseeing international research distribution. Doug joined Sharesight as General Manager in 2013, before becoming CEO in 2015. 

Welcome to another special episode of ‘On the Couch' with myself Henry Jennings from Marcus Today. This week I am talking to Doug Morris, the CEO of Sharesight. Some members will be familiar with this portfolio tracking platform and Doug runs through some of its features. We talk, Bitcoin, NFTs and the rise of fintechs and some of the trends that he sees with his unique view on a wide range of client portfolios.Doug is a leading voice in the Australasian FinTech and SaaS industries. He began his career with Morningstar, Inc. in Chicago, IL, where he served in a project management role within the investment management business. He served as Product Manager for Morningstar Adviser Research Center, a platform serving financial advisers and then Global Product & Marketing Manager, Equity & Credit Research, overseeing international research distribution. Doug joined Sharesight as General Manager in 2013, before becoming CEO in 2015. 

In this episode recorded 14 April 2021, the Credit Research team discusses the Singapore property market and whether cooling measures are imminent, what the best REIT sectors are, as well as idiosyncratic developments with Credit Suisse, China Huarong and Alibaba.

In today's episode, Hina and Sandeep are joined by Paul Watters, Head of Credit Research for EMEA, to discuss a recent publication he co-authored titled “EU Could Meet 70% Vaccination Target By Late July If Production Steps Up”. Listen in as we discuss the key findings of the article, what it means for various sectors within Corporates including the impact of delays in vaccine distributions, risks of new variants and the progress of global immunization programs.

Christoph Rieger, Head of Rates and Credit Research at Commerzbank comments on the market environment in 2021, including excess savings, increasing inflation, the strengthening of the euro, and asset purchase programmes, with their implications for policy makers, particularly the ECB. He also considers how large scale issuance by the EU will influence financial markets this year.

Putting credit research at the center of a fixed‐income portfolio is the key to robust active management inside the $20 billion John Hancock Bond Fund. In his interview with Portfolio Intelligence host John Bryson, fund manager Howard Greene of Manulife Investment Management describes how he and his team do credit research differently than many competitors. With individual analysts providing full sector coverage up and down the credit‐quality spectrum, Howard outlines how this approach helps analysts evaluate the upper bounds of high yield and the lower tiers of the investment‐grade market segments. According to Howard, this can help uncover more frequently overlooked value opportunities while enabling more agnostic views on where to find the most attractive sources of yield.

In today’s podcast, we outline our framework for assessing environmental, social and governance (ESG) credit risk in corporate bonds in light of the EU taxonomy. We discuss physical and transition risks in the pulp and paper, shipping and real estate sectors. We discuss the winner’s curse in shipping and how long-term physical risks in pulp and paper and real estate may turn into short-term risks. Global Head of FI&C Research Thomas Harr chairs today’s podcast and he is joined by Head of Credit Research in Sweden Louis Landeman, Senior Norwegian Credit Analyst Bendik Engebretsen and Senior Swedish Credit Analyst David Andrén

A deep dive into Tesla, plus the art of credit research. Guest: Bob Boyd, managing director, head of Credit Research and a portfolio manager at Pacific Asset Management.

Sejam muito bem vindos a mais um episódio oficial do Nota Preta, seu podcast de finanças e empreendedorismo! Somos culturalmente um país de investidores conservadores, e a renda fixa sempre se apresentou como uma ótima opção para atender esse perfil de investidor. Porém, nossa taxa básica de juros caiu a patamares baixíssimos, onde a remuneração da renda fixa não se faz mais atraente para alguns. Nesse sentido, logo surge a pergunta: A renda fixa morreu? Para responder a essa pergunta e muita mais, conversamos com Camilla Dolle que possui MUITA propriedade no assunto. Nossa convidada é formada em Economia pela FEA-USP, trabalhou na S&P Global Ratings, fez parte do time de Credit Research do Banco Santander, onde analisou empresas de diversos setores. Atualmente está na XP onde iniciou a área de Research de Renda Fixa e hoje é responsável por todos os conteúdos sobre o tema na XP. Saia da manda, e ouça nossa episódio!!! Convidada:

Nimisha Srivastava, Global Head of Credit Research at Willis Towers Watson, explains what has driven the downturn and subsequent recovery in credit markets during the COVID crisis. With a varying outlook across different areas of the credit landscape, she also sets out her views on different ways of lending money, in terms of the type of borrower, loan structure, securitisation, liquidity, and looking for “bargains” in fallen angels and distressed credit.

Learn about why an experienced credit team is one of the most important tools when it comes to municipal investing in today's markets. Featured is Chuck Grande, Co-Head of Municipal Investments and Head of Municipal Credit Research at UBS Asset Management. Host: Daniel Cassidy

With 2020 in full swing, Hina Shoeb from Corporate Ratings, Sandeep Chana from Structured Finance, and Paul Watters, who heads up Credit Research across EMEA, discuss S&P Global Ratings' Corporate Outlook for 2020.

If investors ignore the challenges the SDGs represent, future growth will be much lower and much more erratic than it has been in the past. This will have an impact on valuations and, ultimately, the returns investors make, warns Take Wiersma, co-head of Credit Research, in our latest podcast episode. Wiersma discusses the opportunities that incorporating the SDGs into credit strategies offer and the process used at Robeco to assess the contribution companies are making to the achievement of these global objectives.

With many countries today above the recommended prudent upper threshold for debt, there is a risk that growth will slow, creating an unsustainable and negative debt/GDP cycle. That is what Jim Reid, Global Head of Thematic Research & Credit Research at Deutsche Bank Research highlights in this latest episode of Podzept.

With many countries today above the recommended prudent upper threshold for debt, there is a risk that growth will slow, creating an unsustainable and negative debt/GDP cycle. That is what Jim Reid, Global Head of Thematic Research & Credit Research at Deutsche Bank Research highlights in this latest episode of Podzept.

With many countries today above the recommended prudent upper threshold for debt, there is a risk that growth will slow, creating an unsustainable and negative debt/GDP cycle. That is what Jim Reid, Global Head of Thematic Research & Credit Research at Deutsche Bank Research highlights in this latest episode of Podzept.

Chris Rupkey, MUFG Union Bank Chief Financial Economist, previews Fed Vice Chair Clarida's speech, saying it's the Fed versus the markets right now. Joel Levington, Bloomberg Intelligence Director of Credit Research, reacts to PIMCO's Scott Mather's call that this is "probably the riskiest credit market ever." Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research & Strategy Operations, says the U.S. restrictions on Huawei caught Beijing by surprise. And Democratic presidential candidate Gov. Steve Bullock (D-Montana) tells us he's the best candidate to win in Trump country.  Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com

Chris Rupkey, MUFG Union Bank Chief Financial Economist, previews Fed Vice Chair Clarida's speech, saying it's the Fed versus the markets right now. Joel Levington, Bloomberg Intelligence Director of Credit Research, reacts to PIMCO's Scott Mather's call that this is "probably the riskiest credit market ever." Meredith Sumpter, Eurasia Group Head of Research & Strategy Operations, says the U.S. restrictions on Huawei caught Beijing by surprise. And Democratic presidential candidate Gov. Steve Bullock (D-Montana) tells us he's the best candidate to win in Trump country. 

Al Hunt, Bloomberg Opinion columnist, discusses the key races to watch in the midterm elections. Schwark Satyavolu, Trinity Ventures General Partner, on investment opportunities in fintech. Brian Rye, Senior Government analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence, on the impact the midterm elections could have on major policies, ranging from healthcare to energy. Noel Hebert, Director of Credit Research for Bloomberg Intelligence, on Sears creditors asking a court to probe Eddie Lampert’s transactions that they say may have bilked them of $2.6 billion. 

Guests:  Joe Stiglitz, Nobel Laureate in Economics and Professor at Columbia University, discusses the deficit, trade wars, and how America must be lead towards the new, service economy.  Noel Hebert, Director of Credit Research for Bloomberg Intelligence, on 125-year old iconic retailer Sears filing for bankruptcy.  Ali Al-Ahmed, founder and director of The Institute for Gulf Affairs, and Toby Harshaw, Bloomberg Opinion editor, to discuss the missing Saudi journalist Khashoggi, and impact on US-Saudi relations. 

Bloomberg Daybreak Asia Reporter Ramy Inocencio joins Carol and they speak to Katherine Doherty, Bloomberg News Corporate Finance Reporter and Noel Hebert, Bloomberg Intelligence Director of Credit Research, on Sears being urged to sell Kenmore. Alex Webb, Bloomberg Gadfly European Tech Columnist, says Facebook needs to employ more people to stop dodgy ads. Mark Gurman, Bloomberg News Technology Reporter, and William Studebaker, President at ROBO Global, discuss Amazon developing home robots. And we Drive to the Close with President & CIO at Cognios Capital.  Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.com

Bloomberg Daybreak Asia Reporter Ramy Inocencio joins Carol and they speak to Katherine Doherty, Bloomberg News Corporate Finance Reporter and Noel Hebert, Bloomberg Intelligence Director of Credit Research, on Sears being urged to sell Kenmore. Alex Webb, Bloomberg Gadfly European Tech Columnist, says Facebook needs to employ more people to stop dodgy ads. Mark Gurman, Bloomberg News Technology Reporter, and William Studebaker, President at ROBO Global, discuss Amazon developing home robots. And we Drive to the Close with President & CIO at Cognios Capital. 

Jack Devine, former Acting Director of the CIA and President of security firm The Arkin Group, and Toby Harshaw, Bloomberg View editor, discuss President Trump upcoming meeting with North Korea's Kim Jong Un.Noel Hebert, Director of Credit Research for Bloomberg Intelligence, on Toys R Us said to prepare for a shutdown of its US operations, and Claire's preparing to file bankruptcy. Tad Rivelle, Chief Investment Officer for Fixed Income at TCW Group, on the bond markets and current investment strategy. Max Nisen, Bloomberg Gadfly columnist covering health care, discuss the health care industry landscape following the Express Scripts-Cigna, and potential anti-trust issues.

David Ford has been an active investor in the public markets. However, in the past 12 months David has been gaining experience angel investing in a variety of startups from the £2m-£10m valuation range. Prior to becoming a full time angel investor, David worked for a leading global leveraged finance investor, backing a variety of LBOs and investing across a range of asset classes, including Senior Debt, High Yield bonds, and PIK securities. He was latterly Head of Credit Research for Europe, as well as sitting on the European, AsiaPacific, and US Investment Committees. David also got an early taste for the tech ecosystem, in the early 2000s David was on secondment to the San Francisco office and experienced first hand the boom and bust of Silicon Valley! In Today’s Episode You Will Learn: 1.) How David made your entry into the investing world? What was it that attracted you to the world of investments? 2.) What was David’s primary method of deal sourcing as a hobbyist angel and how has that transitioned now he is a full time angel? 3.) How has David found the transition coming from a professional investing background? What is the biggest surprise for David on entering the industry full time? 4.) What does David believe makes a great lead investor? What is required to carry out the round successfully? 5.) When looking back at the experience starting out what were the biggest pitfalls David faced? How did he overcome them? 6.) What have been the biggest takeaways from David’s 1st year full time angel investing? How has David’s strategy and investing thesis changed over the year? Items Mentioned In The Show Today: David’s Fave Blog: Biotech and Money (http://biotechandmoney.com) David’s Most Recent Investment: Smart Surgical (http://smart-surgical.com) As always, you can learn more about SyndicateRoom here: www.syndicateroom.com