Podcast appearances and mentions of rob pizzola

Nick Kostos is joined by by pro sports bettor Rob Pizzola to talk all things NFL Week 4.

Pro sports bettor for the Hammer Betting Network explains why it's going to be “Minnesota or nothing” vs. the Dolphins this Sunday.

In hour three, Ethan Bonner just needs a chance. Giannis scares Heat fans with a bizarre Miami timeline, but we're not sweating it. Plus, Rob Pizzola has his pick for tonight's TNF game and the Dolphins road matchup vs. the Vikings.

Gino Torretta joins the show to preview the Canes - Clemson matchup and to help us kick off National Pizza Month. Crowder's take on how the Dolphins can counter the blitz vs. Minnesota. Giannis scares Heat fans with a weird timeline for his time in Miami. Rob Pizzola explains why it's going to be “Minnesota or nothing” vs. the Dolphins this Sunday.

George Tsilfidis, Rob Pizzola and Austin Mock give their final break down the Week 4 Sunday slate and give out their best bets for games they like! From sides and totals to the matchups they're most interested in, the guys go game-by-game looking for the best betting opportunities on Sunday. On the show:

Join George Tsilfidis and Rob Pizzola for an early break down of the Week 4 NFL slate and give out some of their early leans and looks. They will also be talking about some of the biggest line moves and matchups to target. From sides and totals to the matchups they're most interested in, the guys go game-by-game looking for the best betting opportunities on Sunday. On the show:

NFL Week 3 delivered chaos, the Steelers upset the 2-0 Bengals in Pittsburgh, Josh Allen and the Bills survived five turnovers to beat the Chargers, and Drake Maye's turnover problems continued in New England. Over in golf, Team USA pulled off a historic comeback at the Presidents Cup, erasing a four-point deficit to win 17-13 at Medinah for their 11th straight title. Plus reaction to the MLB regular season wrapping up and the postseason field taking shape. On the industry side, a federal appeals court dealt a major blow to prediction markets, ruling that Ohio and Tennessee can regulate sports-event contracts under state gambling law, a decision that deepens a growing circuit split likely headed for the Supreme Court. A new investigation also revealed how one major sportsbook's VIP program rewarded a reporter posing as a problem gambler, inviting him into their VIP program within 24 hours of a night spent chasing losses. And in Brazil, the president signed a measure banning sports betting deposits and advertising days before the country's election, prompting backlash from top football clubs who rely on betting sponsorships. Plus, a look at using betting partners to get comfortable with bigger bet sizes, and the Chopping Block. Jacob is joined by Rob, Geoff, and Isaac Rose-Berman, in studio this week, to break it all down.

New to FanDuel Sportsbook? Right now when you bet just five dollars, you'll get FIFTY DOLLARS in Bonus Bets every day for five days! Download the FanDuel Sportsbook App or check it out at https://fanduel.com/forwardprogress to get in on the action.

In hour three, remembering the 70-point Dolphins game on the three year anniversary of the best moment from the McDaniel era. Rob Pizzola explains why the Gators are 3 point favorites vs Ole Miss and his pick for the Dolphins-Chiefs game.

Hoch (and his camera man) join the show live from the Dolphins facility taste testing all of the new food offerings coming to Dolphins home games. Gino Torretta talks Canes, Darian Mensah and the upcoming QB draft class. Rob Pizzola explains why the Gators are 3 point favorites vs Ole Miss and his pick for the Dolphins-Chiefs game.

George Tsilfidis, Rob Pizzola and Austin Mock give their final break down the Week 3 Sunday slate and give out their best bets for games they like! From sides and totals to the matchups they're most interested in, the guys go game-by-game looking for the best betting opportunities on Sunday. On the show:

Join George Tsilfidis and Rob Pizzola for an early break down of the Week 3 NFL slate and give out some of their early leans and looks. They will also be talking about some of the biggest line moves and matchups to target. From sides and totals to the matchups they're most interested in, the guys go game-by-game looking for the best betting opportunities on Sunday. On the show:

NFL Week 2 sports betting reaction gets broken down live on Circle Back, alongside a New York Times report alleging a sportsbook used an AI model to score customers by expected losses and aim bonuses and free bets at them, which the sportsbook disputes. Is +EV overrated? We debate expected value betting and whether the hype matches the results. We also react to Vanderbilt vs NC State and what's being called the biggest UFC upset ever, then run through Chopping Block quick hits including the Off Script debut and a comedy tier list. Jacob Gramegna hosts today's Circle Back and is joined by Rob Pizzola, CEO of The Hammer and pro sports bettor, and Jason Cooper, host of The Hammer Daily, to break it all down.

Rob Pizzola breaks down the entire NFL Sunday slate, game by game, with his fair numbers, key notes, matchup analysis and biggest edges heading into kickoff. Rob will also highlight his favorite anytime touchdown scorer candidates and the players he thinks are worth keeping an eye on throughout Sunday.

Nick Kostos starts the second hour talking the latest College Football news including Steve Belichick resigning at North Carolina. Also, Rob Pizzola joins to give a Week 2 NFL betting breakdown.

Nick Kostos is joined by Rob Pizzola to give a betting break down for the Week 2 NFL card.

In hour three, a video of a self-driving Zamboni sparks a debate about the Zamboni-driving profession. Crowder argues he can drive a Zamboni. Rob Pizzola shares his picks for the Fins-Niners game and tonight's TNF matchup.

Up the Cherries! Gino Torretta weighs in on the 2027 QB class and 7-Eleven roller dogs. Breaking down the greatest threat to the sports world: the self-driving Zamboni. Rob Pizzola shares his picks for the Fins-Niners game and tonight's TNF matchup.

Following a lengthy debate about the skills it takes to drive a Zamboni, the pro sports bettor at the Hammer Betting Network, Rob Pizzola, shares his picks for the sports weekend.

George Tsilfidis, Rob Pizzola and Austin Mock give their final break down the Week 2 Sunday slate and give out their best bets for games they like! From sides and totals to the matchups they're most interested in, the guys go game-by-game looking for the best betting opportunities on Sunday. On the show:

Join George Tsilfidis and Rob Pizzola for an early break down of the Week 2 NFL slate and give out some of their early leans and looks. They will also be talking about some of the biggest line moves and matchups to target. From sides and totals to the matchups they're most interested in, the guys go game-by-game looking for the best betting opportunities on Sunday. On the show:

The NFL, under Commissioner Roger Goodell, has taken a major step in its evolving relationship with prediction markets, and the crew breaks down what it means for sports betting going forward. Week 1 of the NFL season brought plenty of storylines, including a reality check for the Los Angeles Rams following their 27-7 loss to the San Francisco 49ers, and a betting-adjacent ad campaign featuring Sydney Sweeney has sparked its own conversation about how brands are approaching this space. Jacob Gramegna hosts this episode of Circle Back alongside Rob Pizzola and Geoff Fienberg, part of the Circles Off lineup from The Hammer Betting Network. Circle Back airs weekly, breaking down the biggest stories in sports betting, prediction markets, and the NFL with sharp analysis and no shortage of debate.

Rob Pizzola breaks down the entire NFL Sunday slate, game by game, with his fair numbers, key notes, matchup analysis and biggest edges heading into kickoff. Rob will also highlight his favorite anytime touchdown scorer candidates and the players he thinks are worth keeping an eye on throughout Sunday.

Nick Kostos is joined by Rob Pizzola to talk all things betting the NFL Week 1 and beyond as we begin the season.

We're live in Las Vegas at Circa's Stadium Swim! Recap of the NFL opener last night. Gino Torretta joins the show for his take on Mensah's debut. Rob Pizzola makes his return for the NFL season and shares his picks for the Fins and NFL games.

In hour two, Crowder embarrasses the show with a crazy order at the Circa pool. Patrick Paul pokes the wrong bear before Week 1. Plus, Rob Pizzola makes his return for the NFL season and shares his picks for the Fins and NFL games.

George Tsilfidis, Rob Pizzola and Austin Mock break down the Week 1 Sunday slate and give out their best bets for the opening weekend of the NFL season. From sides and totals to the matchups they're most interested in, the guys go game-by-game looking for the best betting opportunities on Sunday. On the show:

The new NFL season is almost here! Join us live as we break down every team, top storylines, breakout candidates, and bold predictions before Week 1 kicks off. Whether you're here for stats, hot takes, or just good football talk — this is the show for you. In this stream, we cover:

NFL weekend chaos, Week Zero heartbreak, and plenty of drama. Aaron Donald is back — so what does that mean for the Rams and their futures? Plus, Jacobs lands on the commissioners list, a fantasy league debacle unfolds, and we investigate the very real possibility that the “49ers guy” is completely fake. We break down the brutal Hawaii beat from Week Zero, roast Knish for celebrating way too early, dive into the Ninth Circuit's Kalshi ruling, and ask why “pros don't want to share.” Plus: Storm Buonatony on sports media salaries, the latest GRP saga, and another edition of the Chopping Block. Drop your questions in the chat! Jacob Gramegna hosts this episode of Circle Back alongside Rob Pizzola and Geoff Fienberg for another edition of Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network.

Browns recap covering Deshaun Watson's postgame comments after getting booed plus the Sanders update, and Dae'Quan Wright's stunning exit from the NFL back to LSU; Ashton Jeanty's injury scare and what it means for fantasy owners; Scottie Scheffler playing through hand, foot & mouth disease at the BMW Championship and whether golf needs injury reporting; Establish The Run shutting down their pick-selling service; a separate wild stat showing MLB favorites went 15-0 in a day; the Raheem Palmer/Pam Moldanado interaction; plus Chopping Block. Drop your questions in the chat! Jacob Gramegna hosts this episode of Circle Back alongside Rob Pizzola and Geoff Fienberg for another edition of Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network.

George Tsilfidis, Austin Mock and Rob Pizzola continue the 2026 Hammer Draft Series, this time with their Coach of the Year draft.

George Tsilfidis, Austin Mock and Rob Pizzola continue the 2026 Hammer Draft Series, this time with their Division Winners draft.

NFL preseason line movement is under the microscope after a wild stretch of results: teams that have moved 1.5+ points or more on the spread this season are 0-8, and 23-51 since 2024, according to Big Al McMordie's numbers. That trend has reignited a fierce debate about whether closing line value still holds up as a betting principle, with some pointing to small sample sizes and starters entering games as the real driver behind the movement. Also on deck: reactions to Pat McAfee's surprise album release, plus the fallout from Circa CEO Derek Stevens' pointed comments questioning the legitimacy and tax structure of peer-to-peer prediction markets. Jacob Gramegna hosts this episode of Circle Back alongside Rob Pizzola and Geoff Fienberg for another edition of Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network.

Rishi Bets has been posting on X since 2011 with over 35,000 posts and a following nowhere near what that volume would suggest, and it's exactly why the account works. He posts his bet sizes, his wins, and his losses in real time, no cherry-picking. Rob Pizzola sits down with Rishi for a full interview covering his case for prediction markets over traditional sportsbooks, the World Cup position that went horribly wrong and the choice to post the whole thing publicly, where the line should be on which markets can and can't exist, and a run of hot takes on the sports betting community that don't pull punches.

Rob and Jacob were on the ground at Bet Bash 2026 (August 4-7), and they're bringing back the biggest storylines from the event, including the fallout from Steve Fezzik's touting ethics seminar. Geoff missed the trip, and shares his perspective from watching it all unfold from home. The crew also dives into the latest out of the WNBA, from a player's claims of white privilege in the league to Enes Freedom and Royce White declaring for the WNBA. Plus, sportsbooks are taking an increasingly clear stance against prediction markets, and the guys break down whether it's coming from a place of genuine concern or fear of the competition. Join host Jacob Gramegna alongside Rob Pizzola and Geoff Fienberg on this episode of Circle Back, presented by ProphetX.

You project a running back for 80 rushing yards. The line is 72.5. Nearly eight yards clear — an easy over, right? By the end of this video, that same exact setup might have no bet at all. Rob Pizzola walks through the full process of turning a raw projection into an actual price — not a vibe, not a gut call, a real number you can trust. Starting from a simple two-minute version anyone can use, then building layer by layer into how the market actually prices probability, why your model's mean and the market's median aren't the same thing, and why that gap is the single most common way a good projection turns into a bad bet. By the end, you'll be able to price any prop, and every alternate line on the board, from nothing but a projection and a little bit of math. This is Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network. ⬇️ Download the Excel file: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1j2dlXlL1fgN4rLoI1Q_mTEFpwpnXvr0f/edit?usp=drive_link&ouid=110512856455811077194&rtpof=true&sd=true INSTRUCTIONS: Once the file is open, in the top left go to File > Download > Microsoft Excel (.xlsx)

Netflix just dropped a documentary on the prediction markets boom, and the trailer alone sparked backlash from sharp bettors and skeptics before the film even released. We break down the doc, the reaction, and what it means for the industry. Plus, LeBron James is officially a Philadelphia 76er, and we dig into the betting angle: how the Sixers' title odds shifted, the sheer volume of money traded on his next-team market, and what it says about his legacy. We also cover an Iowa bettor suing a major sportsbook for $14 million after they voided his bets on a pricing error he exploited, a fascinating look at house rules, loopholes, and where the line is drawn. Join host Jacob Gramegna alongside Rob Pizzola and Jason Cooper as they break down all the latest storylines from the world of sports betting. Circle Back is part of the Circles Off network, brought to you by The Hammer Betting Network.

Rob Pizzola sits down solo for a candid state-of-the-channel monologue, no guest, no educational breakdown, just an honest look at where Circles Off is and how it got here. Rob talks through the origins of the channel with Johnny from Betstamp, the plateau that led to the pivot into Circle Back, and the business reality behind The Hammer that most viewers never see, including years of building the company without taking a salary. He also gets into what actually drives him to keep making educational content, why bad betting advice in the space gets under his skin, and why he still does this even though he doesn't have to. This one runs long and stays unpolished on purpose.

Rob Pizzola and G-Stack answer your questions for this upcoming NFL season, as well as some general betting questions. 0:00 Intro 1:15 "When do you usually start betting week 1 lines?" 5:26 "How detrimental is the ACL injury for Mahomes?" 9:04 "Which teams are the most volatile this year?" 17:02 "What are your early #1 seed and/or division bets?" 22:09 "Which team will surprise people this year?" 31:00 "Trevor Lawrence's rushing TD's an outlier?" 33:34 "Full Kelly on Lions Under 10.5 RSW?" 38:08 "What websites/tools do you use for NFL data?" 40:41 "How much do you weigh priors compared to future projections?" 46:49 "When do you stop sizing up your bets?" 49:16 "How do you go about betting futures?" 52:40 Outro

Spain won the World Cup final 1-0 over Argentina in extra time, with Ferran Torres scoring the winner after Argentina played the entire match down a man following a red card and failed to register a shot until the 117th minute. The match was overshadowed by a chaotic post-game and halftime spectacle, including Donald Trump's involvement in the festivities. In golf, Ryan Fox won the Open Championship, but the bigger story was the cheating controversy surrounding Bryson DeChambeau, whose penalty situation dominated golf media coverage. And in sports betting media, Twitter has banned over 40 scam handicapper accounts in a major crackdown, officially barring paid gambling promotions and cracking down on inauthentic engagement tactics used by capper networks. Join host Jacob Gramegna alongside Rob Pizzola and Geoff Fienberg on this episode of Circle Back, the show breaking down the biggest stories, drama, and storylines in the sports betting world. Circle Back is part of Circles Off and The Hammer Betting Network.

Rob Pizzola reacts live to Chris "Flup" Dierkes' viral Substack post detailing a multi-million dollar downswing — and what it actually takes to trust your process through it. Flup, one of the sharpest bettors in the game and a Circle Back regular, wrote candidly about adverse selection, the difference between ego and confidence, spotting real edge vs. variance, closing line value, tilt, and why "just a skill issue" isn't the full story on getting limited. Rob goes section by section, agreeing in some spots, pushing back hard in others — especially on the debate over grinding through a downswing vs. stepping away, and whether getting limited really is just a skill issue. If you've ever doubted your process after a rough stretch, this one's for you.

Conor McGregor's UFC return lasted just over a minute before a devastating knee injury ended his comeback against Max Holloway — and now the conspiracy theories are flying. Did McGregor know he was hurt before he ever stepped in the cage? The crew breaks down what it means for his career, the UFC's future plans, and how the betting markets reacted to one of the wildest outcomes in recent memory. Plus, Argentina's win over Switzerland in the World Cup quarterfinals is still generating controversy after a contentious VAR review led to a second yellow card and an early red for Breel Embolo. And finally, the crew dives into a brewing sportsbook scandal involving MLB star Bryce Harper, who unknowingly became part of a VIP program controversy after a bettor with a documented gambling addiction lost nearly $2 million — raising serious questions about how sportsbooks treat their highest-value, most vulnerable customers.

Most people are using AI as a betting oracle, and it's costing them money. Rob Pizzola breaks down the right way to actually use AI for sports betting — not by asking it who wins tonight's games, but by treating it as a research assistant, a coder, and a data scientist that does the labor while you bring the judgment. Rob walks through a real example from the World Cup, where he built an expected goals model with AI, ran a Poisson distribution across dozens of markets, and found a spot where his numbers diverged from the market by 4% — including exactly how that bet turned out and why the result doesn't matter as much as the process. If you've ever asked ChatGPT or Claude for picks, this video will change how you think about AI in betting for good.

The FIFA World Cup is in absolute chaos after reports that Florian Balogun's red card suspension was reversed ahead of USA vs Belgium following a high-profile intervention involving Donald Trump, sparking major backlash over corruption concerns, competitive integrity, and whether governing bodies are being influenced at the highest level. The crew also breaks down a separate controversy involving Spotify requesting removal of its branding from prediction-market-linked ranking manipulation allegations, raising fresh questions about how betting-adjacent markets could be impacting real-world platforms. On top of that, England's dramatic 3–2 win over Mexico in one of the most chaotic matches of the tournament is being called an all-time World Cup classic. Host Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, and George Tsilfidis as the panel unpacks the biggest stories from across the World Cup and sports betting world, including the integrity concerns surrounding FIFA decisions, the intersection of markets and platform manipulation, and the fallout from a historic England-Mexico clash that has fans and analysts debating its place among the greatest matches ever played.

Live on this week's Circle Back, the crew breaks down one of the biggest cross-sport news days of the year. The United States have advanced in the FIFA World Cup, but the win is overshadowed after a controversial red card to Florian Balogun that will now see him miss a massive matchup against Belgium. The panel discusses what the decision means on the field — and what it could mean for the betting markets moving forward. The biggest story of the day comes out of the NBA, where Malik Beasley has been indicted on federal charges tied to an alleged sports betting scheme involving point shaving and prop bets, with reports indicating a voluntary surrender is being coordinated this week. The conversation digs into what this means for the league, the integrity of sports betting, and why this case could have ripple effects well beyond one player. Later, the crew reacts to Jordan Spieth's comments on betting in golf, and the perceived contradiction between his public stance and his partnership history in the space. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna on Circle Back, part of Circles Off on The Hammer Betting Network, joined this week by Thon Misser, Joey Knish, and Isaac Rose-Berman. Circle Back goes live every Thursday at 4 PM ET breaking down sports betting news, industry drama, and the biggest stories across sports.

Most bettors think their edge comes from projection models, numbers, or opinions they've built on their own work. But there's one thing many of them ignore completely: the market. In this video, Rob Pizzola breaks down why ignoring line movement and market information is one of the most expensive mistakes a bettor can make — not because the market is always right, but because it constantly provides free information that can improve your timing, your price, and your decision-making. From understanding when to bet early vs late, to recognizing steam moves, to spotting when your projection is wildly out of sync with sharp money, this is a deep dive into how the market actually functions in sports betting. Bet timing can matter just as much as the bet itself, line movement can create bets that didn't exist moments earlier, and ignoring market signals can hide major EV opportunities. At the same time, your model being different doesn't automatically mean it's right, and sharp money plus liquidity at key moments matters more than most bettors realize. This isn't about blindly following line movement. It's about understanding that your projection and the market are not enemies — they are two inputs that should be used together. And if you're only using one of them, you're leaving information — and likely money — on the table. If you want to think about betting at a higher level, this is where it starts.

On today's Circle Back, we break down the controversy surrounding Matt Miller after years of allegations resurfaced following his recent GoFundMe campaign, discuss Canada's dramatic 1-0 stoppage-time win over South Africa to advance at the World Cup, look at the latest World Cup odds including the United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, and debate the NFL tampering questions surrounding Adam Schefter, Robert Kraft, A.J. Brown and Diana Russini. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg and Jason Cooper for another episode of Circle Back on the Circles Off YouTube channel. The crew reacts to the biggest stories from the sports world, sports betting and gambling media, offering analysis, opinions and discussion. Presented by ProphetX.

Every time a new sport gets going or a new account starts popping up on social media, the same question starts flooding in: should I trust this person's record? Rob Pizzola breaks down the exact checklist he uses when evaluating whether a sports bettor is actually legit or just riding variance and good timing. From win-loss records that don't tell the full story, to missing tracking metrics like closing line value, timing, and market access, this video exposes the red flags most people completely ignore. Most bettors are not evaluating the right things. They look at ROI, win streaks, or a clean-looking record and assume it translates. But the reality is that how someone tracks, where they bet, and what prices they actually get matters just as much—if not more—than the results themselves. This is a framework designed to help you avoid one of the most common mistakes in sports betting: tailing someone whose results don't actually translate to your real-world betting experience.

The Wall Street Journal investigation into a major prediction market platform alleging offshore promotional tactics, misleading creator campaigns, and staged “wins” sparks debate about how far marketing manipulation may be going in the space. The crew also reacts to a blockbuster NHL trade sending Brady Tkachuk to the Florida Panthers, and breaks down Cabo Verde's stunning World Cup run after securing another major result against Uruguay as they push toward a historic knockout stage appearance in their debut tournament. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, and Jason Cooper on Circle Back, part of The Hammer Betting Network, to break down the biggest sports betting, sports media, and global sports stories of the week with sharp debate across the panel.

In this episode of Circles Off, host Jacob Gramegna is joined by Matt Buchalter (PlusEVAnalytics) for a unique tier list breakdown that ranks sports betting personalities based on something rarely discussed in betting debates: their educational backgrounds — and how useful those degrees actually are in becoming a winning bettor. The discussion runs through a full S to D tier system, evaluating a wide range of fields including applied statistics, economics, business analytics, engineering, finance, psychology, law, and more. Rather than judging individuals, the focus is on the strengths and weaknesses of each discipline when applied to betting markets and decision-making under uncertainty. Throughout the episode, Matt uses real-world examples from across the betting space, including well-known figures like Rob Pizzola and other contributors from The Hammer Betting Network, to illustrate how different educational paths can shape (or fail to shape) betting edge. From highly technical backgrounds like engineering and statistics to more generalist fields like business and communications, the conversation breaks down what actually translates into an edge: structured thinking, probability understanding, and real-world application versus purely theoretical knowledge. This is a deeper look at the intersection between education and betting performance, and whether formal training actually matters when you're facing the markets every day. New Circles Off episodes drop weekly — subscribe for more conversations on sports betting, prediction markets, and the people trying to beat them.