Podcast appearances and mentions of rob pizzola

The UFC 250 DM scandal involving Daniel Cormier and Eric Trump sits at the center of the episode after alleged Instagram messages surfaced suggesting requests for UFC betting intel ahead of fights at the White House, with screenshots posted and then deleted as both sides deny authenticity and claim hacking, fueling debate over whether the story is real or fabricated. The crew also reacts to the Knicks winning the NBA championship and what that result means for how the season is being interpreted, along with World Cup criticism focused on hydration breaks and concerns that the tournament has felt underwhelming so far. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, and Jason Cooper on Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network, as they break down the biggest sports betting and sports media stories of the week with sharp debate and differing perspectives across the panel.

G-Stack and Rob Pizzola preview the Cincinnati Bengals ahead of the 2026-27 NFL season, taking a look at various betting markets, including looking at MVP markets, and discussing their expectations for the year.

G-Stack and Rob Pizzola preview the Dallas Cowboys ahead of the 2026-27 NFL season, taking a look at various betting markets, including looking at Offensive Player of the Year markets, and discussing their expectations for the year.

Circles Off sits down with Andrew Gombas for a deep dive into one of the most complete career paths in modern sports betting. Andrew has done nearly every job in the industry — from pick selling, to running betting groups, to working inside PPH-style operations, to becoming a full-time bettor focused heavily on MMA. In this conversation with Rob Pizzola, he breaks down what each side of the industry actually looks like from the inside and how it all connects. We also get into the evolution of sports betting groups, what most people misunderstand about pick selling ecosystems, and how the PPH world has changed over time. Andrew shares stories from inside that space, including the realities of account gathering, group dynamics, and what it takes to operate at scale. The conversation also goes into MMA betting at a high level — how his process has evolved, where his edge comes from, and what sharp fight handicapping actually looks like in practice. Later in the episode, things get even deeper with discussions around fixed fights, controversial situations in UFC betting, and the darker side of the betting ecosystem. This is part of the Circles Off interview series presented by ProphetX, focused on sharp betting minds, betting markets, and real behind-the-scenes process. If you're interested in sports betting, MMA betting, betting groups, or how the industry actually works behind the scenes, this episode delivers a rare inside perspective.

Jeff Nadu faces backlash after a betting screenshot from a Novig post goes viral, with viewers zooming in on what appears to be a $1.06 wager and sparking criticism over how he presents himself as a sports bettor. The situation escalates as the screenshot spreads online, fueling debate around credibility, unit sizing, and perception in public-facing betting content. Meanwhile, a $35K crypto dispute involving a university student raises questions around platform rules, interpretation of written terms, and accountability in high-stakes markets. The episode also reacts to the latest storylines from the NBA and NHL Finals. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, and George Tsilfidis on Circle Back, presented by ProphetX, to break down all three storylines. The crew reacts, debates, and unpacks the controversy, providing sharp takes and real-time analysis across sports betting, crypto disputes, and the NBA and NHL Finals.

Circles Off sits down with sharp bettor Thon Misser (@ThonMisser) for a deep dive into how he actually approaches modern betting markets, from live wagering to prediction markets and everything in between. Thon has quietly built a reputation for finding edges in places most bettors ignore — including niche sports like Japanese baseball, reality TV markets, and newer prediction market platforms. In this conversation with Rob Pizzola, he breaks down how he thinks about betting today, where his edge comes from, and why the betting landscape is changing faster than most people realize. We also get into his live betting process, how he structures his week across different sports and markets, and what it really takes to operate at a sharp level in today's environment. Later in the episode, the conversation shifts into prediction markets, insider trading debates, and whether these new formats are going to coexist with or disrupt traditional sportsbooks. This is part of the Circles Off interview series presented by ProphetX, focused on sharp thinking, betting markets, prediction markets, and real process-driven discussion. If you're interested in sports betting, prediction markets, live betting strategy, or how sharp bettors actually think, this episode delivers a rare inside look.

A betting influencer, Taylor Mathis, has sparked controversy after a Game 7 betting slip post showing one side of a wager while appearing to place another, leading to a wave of backlash and confusion across Gambling Twitter. The crew breaks down the fallout, the viral $1.7 million parlay sweat that divided the community, whether sportsbooks should ever void bets placed in error, and the growing debate over professional bettors versus casual gamblers. Plus, thoughts on the NBA Finals between the Spurs and Knicks, the Stanley Cup Final between the Golden Knights and Hurricanes, and whether penalty shootouts are still the right way to decide major soccer matches after the Champions League Final. Circle Back is part of The Hammer Betting Network and features Jacob Gramegna alongside Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, and Jason Cooper discussing the biggest stories in sports betting. From industry controversies and betting strategy debates to the latest headlines across sports, the crew gives their reactions to the topics everyone is talking about.

Most bettors are losing money on player props because they're using the wrong inputs. If you're looking at a player's last 10, 15, or 20 games to project a prop, you're not finding an edge — you're creating a false one. In this video, Rob Pizzola breaks down one of the most common and costly mistakes in sports betting: treating hit rates like probabilities. It might look like math. It might feel like an edge. But it's neither. Instead, Rob explains why hit rate thinking breaks down, starting with why endpoint selection completely distorts results and why context inside those games matters more than the results themselves. He also explains why alternates don't fix a bad process and why backward-looking stats fail to project forward outcomes. From there, he introduces the framework that actually matters: volume, quality, and conversion. Using real NBA examples, Rob shows how two players with identical box score outputs can have completely different projections once you look under the surface, and why most bettors miss this entirely. Finally, he connects it back to how real betting markets work today, and why competing with serious groups requires more than basic trend-spotting or hit rate filtering. This is not about picks or parlays. It's about understanding the process behind the bets. If you're serious about improving how you bet player props, this is the framework you need to understand.

DraftKings co-founder responds directly to recent criticism and sparks a wider debate about prediction markets, how sportsbooks are evolving, and whether the industry is heading in the right direction or not. The crew breaks down that situation alongside a NASCAR betting controversy where a wager was graded as a loss instead of being voided, triggering backlash over how sportsbooks handle unexpected outcomes and settlement rules. Daniel Cormier also gets pulled into a separate betting dispute after questioning whether a bet should stand if the counterparty didn't have the financial ability to pay. The crew is joined by Rob Pizzola, Kirk Evans, and Geoff Fienberg on this episode of Circle Back on Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network. They also run through a weekend betting and sports recap including Victor Wembanyama's dominance, discussions around Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the New York Knicks' form, and Mitch Marner's hot streak. Plus NBA opening tip-off betting angles, the Bet Pass schedule release, and a special announcement to close the show.

In this Circles Off Q&A, Rob Pizzola is joined by Plus EV Analytics, Matt Buchalter, for a deep dive into sports betting modeling — how it actually works in practice, what separates good models from bad ones, and how sharp bettors think about building and evaluating their edge. This episode is built around 10 of the toughest modeling questions pulled directly from Circles Off content and community discussion. The conversation covers how to start a model from scratch, when a model is strong enough to bet real money, and how to deal with early season uncertainty like small samples, roster turnover, and regression questions. Rob and Matt also explore what matters more between getting the mean right or the distribution right, how to think about closing line value thresholds, and how to separate variance from a broken edge when results turn against you. They also get into Bayesian vs frequentist thinking, how professional bettors evaluate their models over time, and which inputs are often overrated or underrated when building a betting model. For anyone serious about sports betting models, market pricing, or long-term edge creation, this is a practical, sharp breakdown from two experienced voices in the space. Subscribe to Circles Off for more sharp betting conversations, modeling breakdowns, and market analysis.

The Hammer HQ's Rob Pizzola joins the show to break down how he's betting the NHL Playoffs and the Conn Smythe award. Plus, Rob shares some early thoughts on NFL Week 1.

The Hammer HQ's Rob Pizzola joins to break down how he's betting the NHL Playoffs, Conn Smythe award, and NFL Week 1. Nick shares his quick hitting thoughts on the NHL Playoffs, and reveals who he thinks will be the worst team in the NFL this season.

Nick Kostos opens Tuesday's show with his reaction to Victor Wembanyama's incredible performance in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Nick hits on Knicks vs. Cavaliers, the NHL Playoffs, and his thoughts on who he thinks will be the worst team in the NFL. Rob Pizzola, Liam McHugh and Jay Croucher join the show.

In this episode of Circles Off, Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola and Matt Buchalter as they react to a viral NBA Same Game Parlay strategy from Guy Boston Sports that has been circulating across YouTube. The group breaks down the ideas presented in the video titled “My Winning Same Game Parlay Strategy for the NBA,” which has gathered tens of thousands of views, and examines whether the logic actually holds up in real sports betting markets. Rob and Matt take a sharp, analytical look at the strategy, questioning the assumptions behind NBA same game parlays, discussing where these types of betting systems often go wrong, and highlighting why something that sounds good on paper doesn't always translate into real edge or long-term profitability. Throughout the discussion, they evaluate the video from a sharp bettor's perspective, separating entertainment-driven betting content from strategies that are actually useful for bettors trying to win consistently. This is part of the Circles Off reaction series, where we review popular sports betting content and determine whether the advice being shared is actionable or misleading. Topics include NBA betting, same game parlays, sports betting strategy, and critical breakdowns of betting advice circulating on YouTube and social media.

The UFC betting market is under scrutiny again after suspicious line movement on Sean Brady vs. Joaquin Buckley caused sportsbooks to pull the fight entirely before Brady won as a massive underdog. The crew also discusses Sean Strickland upsetting Khamzat Chimaev, new legislation aimed at sportsbook limiting practices in New Jersey, and the viral World Cup betting strategy claiming bettors can “guarantee” profits by backing 14 teams. Jacob Gramegna hosts Rob Pizzola, Jason Cooper, and George Tsilfidis on Circle Back, a weekly Circles Off show from The Hammer Betting Network focused on sports betting news, betting controversies, prediction markets, sportsbook behavior, and gambling industry discussions.

Rob Pizzola, G-Stack George and Austin Mock hunt for value in the Offensive and Defensive Rookie of the Year markets. 0:00 Intro 2:24 OROY 35:10 DROY 59:34 Outro

A viral tweet claiming sportsbooks “screw their customers” gets broken down — and the math behind it doesn't hold up. The crew digs into how betting markets actually work, why pricing is often misunderstood, and how public perception of sportsbooks gets shaped by viral takes. They also react to a bizarre identity verification request from BallyBet that raises questions about how far sportsbooks are going with compliance, plus a broader discussion on prediction markets and how a small percentage of informed participants drive most of the efficiency. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, George Tsilfidis, and Geoff Fienberg on Circle Back, part of The Hammer Betting Network, to react to the biggest stories from the betting world. From sportsbook practices and viral betting discourse to industry trends and market dynamics, the crew breaks it all down.

In this episode of Circles Off, Rob Pizzola sits down with Jon Sadow, VP of Sportsbook Product at FanDuel, to break down the launch of Bet Protect+. This new feature, introduced during the NBA Playoffs, allows bettors to pay a small fee to insure their wagers against player injuries. But how does Bet Protect+ actually work, and what does it mean for bettors in practice? Rather than speculation, we go straight to the source. Jon Sadow, the driving force behind Bet Protect+, walks through the thinking behind the product, how it was built, and what problems it aims to solve for recreational bettors. Rob Pizzola asks the important questions from a bettor's perspective, digging into pricing, value, and how this type of feature fits into the broader sports betting ecosystem. Whether you're a casual bettor looking for added protection or a more experienced bettor trying to understand the math behind these features, this conversation provides valuable insight into one of the newest innovations in the space. This is a must-watch for anyone betting on the NBA Playoffs or interested in how sportsbooks continue to evolve their products. Make sure to like, comment, and subscribe for more interviews, breakdowns, and sports betting insights from Circles Off and The Hammer Betting Network.

A U.S. soldier is now at the center of a massive betting controversy after allegedly using classified information tied to a secret mission to make over $400,000 on Polymarket. The situation has sparked a major debate around insider trading, prediction markets, and where the line is drawn between public information and national security. Things escalated further when Donald Trump weighed in on the case, comparing it to legendary sports betting controversies and suggesting it may not be as clear-cut as it seems. The crew also breaks down Warren Buffett's latest comments on legalized gambling, where he labeled the industry a “tax on the wealthy,” adding fuel to an already heated discussion about the long-term impact of sports betting expansion. On top of that, the episode covers Caesars Sportsbook's partnership with the Westgate SuperBook and what it could mean for the broader sports betting market. With bettors already reacting strongly to the consolidation of odds and independent pricing, the crew dives into whether this move signals a larger industry shift or just another step in the inevitable tightening of the space. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna, this episode of Circle Back on Circles Off features Rob Pizzola, Kirk Evans, and Geoff Fienberg as they react, debate, and break down the biggest stories in sports betting and prediction markets.

The Hammer HQ's Rob Pizzola joins the show to break down his favorite NFL Draft bets.

Nick Kostos opens the Power Hour with his thoughts on the NHL Playoffs, why he thinks the Cowboys need to keep George Pickens and draft defense. Plus, Rob Pizzola stops by to give out his best bets for the NFL Draft.

Nick Kostos is LIVE on Draft Day! Nick opens the show breaking down why he believes Fernando Mendoza will revive the Las Vegas Raiders franchise. Nick shares his thoughts on Mike Vrabel, George Pickens' contract, and the latest surrounding James Pearce. Plus, Nick reacts to Jalen Williams' injury for the Oklahoma City Thunder. Rob Pizzola, Matt Moore and Trevor Sikkema join the show!

In hour three, does KD lack a killer instinct? Impossible to ignore the latest development in the alleged cheating scandal between Mike Vrabel and Dianna Russini. Plus, insight into betting the NFL draft with Rob Pizzola of the Hammer Betting Network.

DRAFT DAY IS HERE! NFL Draft preview with Omar Kelly. A juicy twist in the Mike Vrabel & Dianna Russini scandal. Insight on how to bet the NFL draft with Rob Pizzola. Finesse Mitchell describes his experience auditioning for Saturday Night Live.

Welcome to Circles Off! In this episode, Rob Pizzola reacts to the 2026 Sports Betting Superlatives blog written by Ferris (FerrisB_86), one of the most well-known voices in the sports betting space. This blog doesn't hold back — featuring bold takes, callouts, and “most likely to” superlatives across the industry, including Rob himself and others from The Hammer Betting Network. Some of it hits, some of it misses, but all of it sparks conversation. Rob reads through the article for the first time and gives his unfiltered thoughts on the takes, the narratives, and what it says about the current state of sports betting Twitter. If you agree or disagree with anything from the blog, drop a comment below — Rob will be checking and responding to your thoughts. Make sure to like, subscribe, and comment your questions. Join our Discord community to dive deeper into sports betting discussions, strategy, and more. ➡️ Ferris' blog: https://parttimerposts.blogspot.com/2026/04/2026-sports-betting-superlatives.html ➡️ Ferris' Circles Off interview: https://youtu.be/xSRFGRL57Ig?si=AKamU45WKYYqxmSK

Rob Pizzola gives his take on the 1st round of the 2026 NFL Mock Draft! 0:00 Intro 2:40 Pick 1-10 18:11Pick 11-20 36:17 Pick 21-32 55:36 Outro

FanDuel's new BetProtect Plus feature is getting a lot of attention — but is it actually worth it? We break down how the 3% premium works, why it might seem appealing to casual bettors, and the major flaws that make it a losing play long term. From guaranteed negative EV scenarios to why using it on unders makes no sense, we explain what bettors are missing and why this “protection” could be costing you more than you think. Plus, we discuss the marketing angle behind the rollout and why this might be a win for sportsbooks, even if it's a loss for bettors. We also get into the ongoing debate around unit shaming after a bettor was criticized for the size of their wager, and whether that kind of reaction is justified. Then, we break down the early payout controversy after Paddy Power paid out Arsenal to win the Premier League — only for the title race to flip after a major result. Was it a smart marketing move or a costly mistake? All that and plenty more from across the sports betting world on this episode of Circle Back, hosted by Jacob Gramegna with Rob Pizzola, Kirk Evans, and Geoff Fienberg.

Rob Pizzola, George Tsilfidis, Austin Mock & ClevTA do a 2026 NFL Mock Draft as if they were the GM's!

This week on Circle Back, the crew kicks things off with a recap of the 2026 Masters, as Rory McIlroy goes back-to-back and continues to cement his legacy. From there, we dive into a major controversy surrounding Dub Club after one of its most prominent pick sellers went on a shocking and offensive public rant, raising serious questions about platform responsibility and moderation in the pick selling space. Plus, we break down the growing conversation around athletes holding ownership stakes in prediction markets, including Connor McDavid and Giannis Antetokounmpo, and whether the perceived conflict of interest is being overblown. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, Kirk Evans, and Geoff Fienberg to react to a chaotic weekend across the sports betting world. From golf headlines to industry drama and evolving betting narratives, the panel gives their unfiltered thoughts on everything shaping the space right now.

In hour three, spread and player props for tonight's Heat vs Raptors game. Solana gets reminded of his Andrew Wiggins take. Our thoughts on the Dianna Russini - Mike Vrabel saga. Plus, Rob Pizzola joins the show to prepare us for The Masters.

Pro sports bettor at the Hammer Betting Network - Rob Pizzola - joins the show to discuss his betting strategies for various situations and his plays for the sports weekend including The Masters.

Welcome to Circles Off! In this episode, Rob Pizzola, CEO of The Hammer and pro sports bettor, walks you through his first-ever sports betting model, the one he successfully used on the NHL in the 2017-2018 season. While this exact model wouldn't work in today's NHL, Rob breaks down the step-by-step process and key strategies that go into building a winning sports betting model. Whether you're a beginner looking to understand how models are made or an experienced bettor wanting insight into profitable prediction strategies, this video is packed with valuable tips. Rob also answers your questions in the comments, so don't be shy! Make sure to like, subscribe, and comment your questions — Rob will check and respond. Join our Discord community to dive deeper into sports betting models, predictions, and strategy.

Rob Pizzola, George Tsilfidis and Austin Mock take an early look at the Super Bowl market and which teams they value at different price points! 0:00 Intro 3:26 Short Favourites (+1900 or shorter) 23:15 Mid-Range (+2000 to +4900) 42:01 Long-Shots (+5000 or larger) 56:48 Outro

This week on Circle Back, the crew dives into a heated debate sparked by Alex Monahan's claim that winning at sports betting is actually easier than most people think—and why the real challenge isn't winning, but scaling. Plus, we break down a deeply concerning discovery on Polymarket, where a market appears to be designed to exploit users who don't fully read the house rules, raising serious questions about predatory structures in betting platforms. And finally, we discuss Steve Fezzik stepping away from his pick selling service—for now—and what it could mean for the broader betting ecosystem. Jacob Gramegna, Rob Pizzola, and Geoff Fienberg are joined by George Tsilfidis to react to the latest stories and controversies from gambling Twitter and beyond. From sharp betting theory to industry drama, the panel gives their unfiltered thoughts on everything shaping the sports betting space right now.

Rob Pizzola sits down with The Shipper, a professional sports bettor who made the leap from working as a sportsbook trader to taking on the betting world full-time. In this follow-up interview — one of the most requested guests on Circles Off — Shipper shares how he approaches betting today, what sportsbooks look for when limiting players, and tips every bettor can use. Whether you're a casual fan or a sharp bettor, this episode is packed with insights into the mindset, strategy, and lessons learned from someone who's seen the inside of the industry. Shipper discusses his experiences betting around the world, the signals sportsbooks watch when limiting accounts, and practical advice for improving your own betting approach. If you enjoyed the first interview with Shipper, you don't want to miss this one — it goes even deeper into the world of professional sports betting, revealing the strategies and thought processes that separate casual bettors from professionals.

Rob Pizzola, George Tsilfidis, and Austin Mock break down early NFL division futures, identifying potential mispriced value in the market! 0:00 Intro 1:36 AFC East 10:40 AFC North 16:02 AFC South 22:24 AFC West 31:40 NFC East 37:43 NFC North 46:38 NFC South 49:45 NFC West 54:36 Outro

This week in sports betting was complete chaos, and the crew breaks it all down. From Tiger Woods making headlines again after a DUI arrest while talking about a return for The Masters, to a bizarre UFC controversy where the wrong winner was announced, creating a window for a prediction market bettor to cash in at massive odds. Plus, a deep dive into the growing conversation around microbetting, with DraftKings launching new features tied to historical at-bats and the NFL's involvement in a lawsuit raising bigger questions about where this is all headed. Jacob, Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, and Kirk Evans react to all the biggest stories from the week, mixing sharp analysis with unfiltered opinions on the state of sports betting. From industry drama to viral moments, this is Circle Back on Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network.

We asked ChatGPT to pick the 10 most insightful sports betting questions, and in this Q&A, experts Rob Pizzola and Isaac Rose-Berman break them all down. From bankroll management to understanding edge, market selection, and how sharp bettors think, this episode is packed with practical insights to help you make smarter betting decisions. Whether you're new to sports betting or looking to refine your approach, this discussion shows what it really takes to improve your process and think like a pro. Watch, learn, and let us know in the comments which insights surprised you the most. Subscribe for more expert Q&A episodes, strategy breakdowns, and sports betting analysis right here on Circles Off from The Hammer Betting Network.

Most sports bettors don't even realize they're being scammed. In this episode of Circles Off, professional sports bettor Rob Pizzola breaks down the Top 5 biggest scams in the sports betting industry — and how you can avoid falling into these traps. From fake “guaranteed wins” to misleading betting services and shady bankroll strategies, these are the tactics that cost bettors thousands over time. If you're serious about improving as a bettor, you NEED to understand what to avoid just as much as what to do. This isn't theory — these are real scams happening right now in sports betting.

Rob Pizzola, George Tsilfidis and Austin Mock take an early look at NFC Win Totals and how each team fares after free agency! 0:00 Intro 2:20 NFC East 21:54 NFC North 40:28 NFC South 56:40 NFC West 1:12:52 Outro

The crew breaks down the discourse around March Madness this year, with many fans pointing out the lack of upsets, buzzer beaters, and overall chaos that typically defines the tournament. With favorites dominating early, the panel dives into whether something feels off and explores the growing belief that NIL has fundamentally changed the landscape of college basketball and the tournament's unpredictability. Later, the conversation shifts to the controversy surrounding MLB's new partnership with Polymarket and what it could mean for the future of sports betting and league involvement. To close things out, the crew lightens things up by sharing and reacting to some of their all-time favorite tweets, bringing a different energy to end the show. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna, this episode features professional sports bettor and CEO of The Hammer Rob Pizzola, basketball originator Kirk Evans, and special guest Jason Cooper of The Hammer Daily filling in.

In hour four, Hoch reads the NBA Lineup for tonight and the betting lines. Plus, the Sweet 16 lineup for the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament. Rob Pizzola gives Solana his props about the Buffalo Sabres.

In this episode of Circles Off, professional sports bettor Rob Pizzola and sharp bettor Isaac Rose-Berman react to Linemaker Sports' viral video “The New Way to Get Rich Sports Betting in 2026.” Is this actually a profitable strategy, or just another misleading take on sports betting? Hosted by Jacob Gramegna, the crew breaks down the key claims from Linemaker Sports and gives their honest, expert analysis on what works, what doesn't, and what bettors need to avoid. If you're serious about sports betting, this is the type of breakdown that can save you time, money, and frustration. Topics covered include: - sports betting strategy in 2026 - common misconceptions about “getting rich” betting - what sharp bettors actually look for - the difference between real edges and fake systems - responsible gambling and long-term sustainability

The crew on Circle Back reacts to the latest wave of national media coverage around sports betting, including a recent piece from The Atlantic that sparked debate across gambling Twitter. The panel discusses whether these stories are genuinely trying to explore the problems within the industry or if they're being produced with the intention of villainizing sports betting altogether. From misleading narratives to misunderstandings about how the market actually works, the group breaks down where they think the media continues to get it wrong. Later, the crew responds after Kelly In Vegas clapped back on Twitter following criticism of her betting content on last week's show. The discussion turns into a broader conversation about modern betting media, content quality, and accountability within sports betting Twitter. To close things out, the panel reacts to a viral Jeff Nadu tweet and satirically debates whether it's time to start teaching kids how to gamble in a world where betting is now everywhere. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna, this episode of Circle Back features professional sports bettor and CEO of The Hammer Rob Pizzola, sophisticated square Geoff Fienberg, and special guest Jason Cooper of The Hammer Daily filling in for basketball originator Kirk Evans.

Rob Pizzola, G-Stack, and Austin Mock break down the biggest NFL free agent signings of the offseason, grading every key move and whether each team won or lost the deal. 0:00 Intro 1:24 Maxx Crosby Debacle 7:52 Trey Hendrickson (Ravens) 11:53 Malik Willis (Dolphins) 16:24 Alec Pierce & Daniel Jones (Colts) 21:45 Mike Evans (49ers) 27:03 Romeo Doubs & Patriots Signings 30:32 Wan'Dale Robinson & Titans Signings 36:08 Kenneth Walker & Chiefs Signings 41:38 Travis Etienne & Saints Signings 44:15 Tyler Linderbaum & Raiders Signings 50:47 Jaelan Phillips & Devin Lloyd (Panthers) 55:06 Odafe Oweh & Commanders Signings 59:48 Trent McDuffie & Jaylen Watson (Rams) 1:04:14 Jamel Dean, Rico Dowdle & Michael Pittman Trade (Steelers) 1:09:16 Outro

The crew reacts to one of the strangest betting markets in recent UFC memory, breaking down the suspicious line movement in the Michael Johnson vs Drew Dober fight and why so many bettors immediately questioned what was happening. Was it sharp action, bad numbers from sportsbooks, or something even stranger? The panel dives into how the market moved, why it raised eyebrows across gambling Twitter, and what bettors should actually take away from situations like this. They also discuss whether sports bettors truly need projections or models to succeed, when gambling is actually the most fun for bettors, and other stories from the week in betting. Circle Back is hosted by Jacob Gramegna and features professional sports bettor and CEO of The Hammer, Rob Pizzola, basketball originator Kirk Evans, and sophisticated square Geoff Fienberg. The group reacts to the biggest conversations across the betting world each week — from market drama and industry controversies to betting strategy debates and everything in between.

In hour three, lines for tonight's Heat - Nets game. Would the Dolphins consider trading their 1st round pick if it means a team will take on Tua's deal? Rob Pizzola joins the show to talk mosh pits and Panthers / Heat bets tonight.

When DraftKings posted +225 on there being a perfect game during the MLB season, gambling Twitter immediately called it one of the worst prices ever hung. But most of the outrage focused on the wrong reasons. In this video, Rob Pizzola breaks down why the reaction missed the mark, walks through the probability calculation step by step, converts the implied odds properly, and uses base rate math to estimate the true price of this season-long prop in the Major League Baseball betting market. Along the way, he explains what this says about sportsbook pricing and how to think about market mispricing more intelligently. Rather than piling on, Rob treats this as a sports betting analysis exercise — showing viewers how to approach niche markets, sanity-check numbers, and build a number from scratch. If you've ever wondered how to price something like a perfect game prop yourself, this is a full breakdown of the math and assumptions behind it on the Circles Off channel.

Massachusetts has officially approved a regulation requiring sportsbooks to notify bettors within 48 hours if their account is limited, a move that's sparking conversations across the betting world. We also break down the latest market settlements, including the high-profile Ali Khamenei market, and highlight unusual pricing in upcoming MLB markets, giving bettors insight into what's happening behind the scenes. Join host Jacob Gramegna with professional sports bettor and CEO of The Hammer, Rob Pizzola, basketball originator Kirk Evans, and sophisticated square Geoff Fienberg as they react to these developments, provide analysis, and share what bettors should pay attention to in today's fast-moving betting landscape.

Are prediction markets rigged? Rob Pizzola gives his honest take on the stigma surrounding prediction markets and why many of the common criticisms don't hold up. He breaks down how these markets actually function, where the skepticism comes from, and whether concerns about manipulation or unfair advantages are rooted in reality. Rob also explains how pricing, liquidity, and incentives work in practice — and why misunderstanding those mechanics fuels a lot of the backlash. He also discusses the value of products like Kalshi, how prediction markets compare to traditional sportsbooks, and where sharp bettors may (or may not) find edge. This episode is hosted by Rob Pizzola, professional sports bettor and CEO of The Hammer, and dives into the evolving role of prediction markets within the broader betting ecosystem.