Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcast

Rob Pizzola sits down solo for a candid state-of-the-channel monologue, no guest, no educational breakdown, just an honest look at where Circles Off is and how it got here. Rob talks through the origins of the channel with Johnny from Betstamp, the plateau that led to the pivot into Circle Back, and the business reality behind The Hammer that most viewers never see, including years of building the company without taking a salary. He also gets into what actually drives him to keep making educational content, why bad betting advice in the space gets under his skin, and why he still does this even though he doesn't have to. This one runs long and stays unpolished on purpose.

Spain won the World Cup final 1-0 over Argentina in extra time, with Ferran Torres scoring the winner after Argentina played the entire match down a man following a red card and failed to register a shot until the 117th minute. The match was overshadowed by a chaotic post-game and halftime spectacle, including Donald Trump's involvement in the festivities. In golf, Ryan Fox won the Open Championship, but the bigger story was the cheating controversy surrounding Bryson DeChambeau, whose penalty situation dominated golf media coverage. And in sports betting media, Twitter has banned over 40 scam handicapper accounts in a major crackdown, officially barring paid gambling promotions and cracking down on inauthentic engagement tactics used by capper networks. Join host Jacob Gramegna alongside Rob Pizzola and Geoff Fienberg on this episode of Circle Back, the show breaking down the biggest stories, drama, and storylines in the sports betting world. Circle Back is part of Circles Off and The Hammer Betting Network.

Argentina stunned England with a late 2-1 comeback to set up a World Cup final showdown with Spain, and the reaction is pouring in. A viral take from China (@Chinamaniac) claiming connections matter more than skill or modeling ability in sports betting has sharp bettors pushing back, with many pointing to prediction markets as an accessible alternative. And a wild story is breaking about a White House staffer who's reportedly made over $100,000 betting on prediction markets tied to the president's own speeches, using inside knowledge of what was coming before it was said. Jacob Gramegna hosts Circle Back, the live show breaking down the biggest news, drama, and hot topics from Gambling Twitter, joined this week by Thon Misser, Joey Knish, and Isaac Rose-Berman.

Rob Pizzola reacts live to Chris "Flup" Dierkes' viral Substack post detailing a multi-million dollar downswing — and what it actually takes to trust your process through it. Flup, one of the sharpest bettors in the game and a Circle Back regular, wrote candidly about adverse selection, the difference between ego and confidence, spotting real edge vs. variance, closing line value, tilt, and why "just a skill issue" isn't the full story on getting limited. Rob goes section by section, agreeing in some spots, pushing back hard in others — especially on the debate over grinding through a downswing vs. stepping away, and whether getting limited really is just a skill issue. If you've ever doubted your process after a rough stretch, this one's for you.

Conor McGregor's UFC return lasted just over a minute before a devastating knee injury ended his comeback against Max Holloway — and now the conspiracy theories are flying. Did McGregor know he was hurt before he ever stepped in the cage? The crew breaks down what it means for his career, the UFC's future plans, and how the betting markets reacted to one of the wildest outcomes in recent memory. Plus, Argentina's win over Switzerland in the World Cup quarterfinals is still generating controversy after a contentious VAR review led to a second yellow card and an early red for Breel Embolo. And finally, the crew dives into a brewing sportsbook scandal involving MLB star Bryce Harper, who unknowingly became part of a VIP program controversy after a bettor with a documented gambling addiction lost nearly $2 million — raising serious questions about how sportsbooks treat their highest-value, most vulnerable customers.

Circle Back is back with another live episode, breaking down the biggest stories and chaos from Gambling Twitter this week. Host Jacob Gramegna is joined by Porter, Isaac Rose-Berman, and Joey Knish as the crew dives into the wild finish to the World Cup: Team USA's elimination at the hands of Belgium amid controversy over President Trump's call to FIFA president Gianni Infantino, Cristiano Ronaldo and Portugal's exit from the tournament and the prediction market frenzy over whether he shed a tear, Conor McGregor's massive return to the Octagon against Max Holloway at UFC 329, and the growing allegations that prominent sports betting figure Mikki Mase may be broke after asking fans to use their betting accounts on his behalf. Tune in live for hot takes, sharp analysis, and unfiltered reactions to everything moving the needle in sports betting and gambling media this week.

Most people are using AI as a betting oracle, and it's costing them money. Rob Pizzola breaks down the right way to actually use AI for sports betting — not by asking it who wins tonight's games, but by treating it as a research assistant, a coder, and a data scientist that does the labor while you bring the judgment. Rob walks through a real example from the World Cup, where he built an expected goals model with AI, ran a Poisson distribution across dozens of markets, and found a spot where his numbers diverged from the market by 4% — including exactly how that bet turned out and why the result doesn't matter as much as the process. If you've ever asked ChatGPT or Claude for picks, this video will change how you think about AI in betting for good.

The FIFA World Cup is in absolute chaos after reports that Florian Balogun's red card suspension was reversed ahead of USA vs Belgium following a high-profile intervention involving Donald Trump, sparking major backlash over corruption concerns, competitive integrity, and whether governing bodies are being influenced at the highest level. The crew also breaks down a separate controversy involving Spotify requesting removal of its branding from prediction-market-linked ranking manipulation allegations, raising fresh questions about how betting-adjacent markets could be impacting real-world platforms. On top of that, England's dramatic 3–2 win over Mexico in one of the most chaotic matches of the tournament is being called an all-time World Cup classic. Host Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, and George Tsilfidis as the panel unpacks the biggest stories from across the World Cup and sports betting world, including the integrity concerns surrounding FIFA decisions, the intersection of markets and platform manipulation, and the fallout from a historic England-Mexico clash that has fans and analysts debating its place among the greatest matches ever played.

Live on this week's Circle Back, the crew breaks down one of the biggest cross-sport news days of the year. The United States have advanced in the FIFA World Cup, but the win is overshadowed after a controversial red card to Florian Balogun that will now see him miss a massive matchup against Belgium. The panel discusses what the decision means on the field — and what it could mean for the betting markets moving forward. The biggest story of the day comes out of the NBA, where Malik Beasley has been indicted on federal charges tied to an alleged sports betting scheme involving point shaving and prop bets, with reports indicating a voluntary surrender is being coordinated this week. The conversation digs into what this means for the league, the integrity of sports betting, and why this case could have ripple effects well beyond one player. Later, the crew reacts to Jordan Spieth's comments on betting in golf, and the perceived contradiction between his public stance and his partnership history in the space. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna on Circle Back, part of Circles Off on The Hammer Betting Network, joined this week by Thon Misser, Joey Knish, and Isaac Rose-Berman. Circle Back goes live every Thursday at 4 PM ET breaking down sports betting news, industry drama, and the biggest stories across sports.

Most bettors think their edge comes from projection models, numbers, or opinions they've built on their own work. But there's one thing many of them ignore completely: the market. In this video, Rob Pizzola breaks down why ignoring line movement and market information is one of the most expensive mistakes a bettor can make — not because the market is always right, but because it constantly provides free information that can improve your timing, your price, and your decision-making. From understanding when to bet early vs late, to recognizing steam moves, to spotting when your projection is wildly out of sync with sharp money, this is a deep dive into how the market actually functions in sports betting. Bet timing can matter just as much as the bet itself, line movement can create bets that didn't exist moments earlier, and ignoring market signals can hide major EV opportunities. At the same time, your model being different doesn't automatically mean it's right, and sharp money plus liquidity at key moments matters more than most bettors realize. This isn't about blindly following line movement. It's about understanding that your projection and the market are not enemies — they are two inputs that should be used together. And if you're only using one of them, you're leaving information — and likely money — on the table. If you want to think about betting at a higher level, this is where it starts.

On today's Circle Back, we break down the controversy surrounding Matt Miller after years of allegations resurfaced following his recent GoFundMe campaign, discuss Canada's dramatic 1-0 stoppage-time win over South Africa to advance at the World Cup, look at the latest World Cup odds including the United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, and debate the NFL tampering questions surrounding Adam Schefter, Robert Kraft, A.J. Brown and Diana Russini. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg and Jason Cooper for another episode of Circle Back on the Circles Off YouTube channel. The crew reacts to the biggest stories from the sports world, sports betting and gambling media, offering analysis, opinions and discussion. Presented by ProphetX.

Today on Circle Back LIVE, we're diving into the biggest gambling conversations happening right now — from World Cup betting angles and market reactions to the growing debate between prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks. The panel breaks down where sharp bettors are finding edges, what's driving the latest sportsbook vs prediction market discussion, and the “hidden” sources of betting information that most people overlook. We also react to the biggest stories and discourse shaping the betting world this week, including what actually matters versus what's just noise. Circle Back LIVE streams every Thursday at 4 PM ET on Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna, joined by Alex Moretto (Director of Content at The Hammer), Isaac Rose-Berman (sharp tennis bettor), and Mike “Mr. Peanutbettor” (professional sports bettor).

Every time a new sport gets going or a new account starts popping up on social media, the same question starts flooding in: should I trust this person's record? Rob Pizzola breaks down the exact checklist he uses when evaluating whether a sports bettor is actually legit or just riding variance and good timing. From win-loss records that don't tell the full story, to missing tracking metrics like closing line value, timing, and market access, this video exposes the red flags most people completely ignore. Most bettors are not evaluating the right things. They look at ROI, win streaks, or a clean-looking record and assume it translates. But the reality is that how someone tracks, where they bet, and what prices they actually get matters just as much—if not more—than the results themselves. This is a framework designed to help you avoid one of the most common mistakes in sports betting: tailing someone whose results don't actually translate to your real-world betting experience.

The Wall Street Journal investigation into a major prediction market platform alleging offshore promotional tactics, misleading creator campaigns, and staged “wins” sparks debate about how far marketing manipulation may be going in the space. The crew also reacts to a blockbuster NHL trade sending Brady Tkachuk to the Florida Panthers, and breaks down Cabo Verde's stunning World Cup run after securing another major result against Uruguay as they push toward a historic knockout stage appearance in their debut tournament. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, and Jason Cooper on Circle Back, part of The Hammer Betting Network, to break down the biggest sports betting, sports media, and global sports stories of the week with sharp debate across the panel.

Prediction markets are putting real pressure on traditional sportsbooks as reduced-vig pricing continues to reshape how odds are being offered across the industry. The panel breaks down how books are still hanging onto outdated pricing structures—like heavy two-way lines and inefficient World Cup markets—while prediction markets push tighter spreads and more competitive pricing models. The conversation dives into what that actually means for bettors, including why small pricing edges (even down to cent-level differences in straddles) compound into a massive long-term advantage, and whether sportsbooks are being forced to adapt or risk being outpaced entirely. The group also unpacks the broader shift in betting philosophy—from “democratization” to what might actually be a rising meritocracy—where sharper bettors and better information tracking are starting to matter more than ever. That leads into a deeper debate on bet tracking, where third-party tools, sponsorship incentives, and logistical limitations (especially across different jurisdictions like Nevada) collide with the reality that many serious bettors still rely on manual spreadsheets to stay disciplined and consistent. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna, this episode features Mike (Peanut Bettor), Porter (@BAanalytics_), Jacob Gramegna, and Thon Misser as they debate the biggest structural changes hitting sports betting right now. It's a LIVE episode of Circle Back on Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network, streaming every Thursday at 4 PM ET, breaking down betting market inefficiencies, industry drama, and the evolving edge between sportsbooks and bettors.

In this episode of Circles Off, host Jacob Gramegna is joined by Matt Buchalter (PlusEVAnalytics) for a unique tier list breakdown that ranks sports betting personalities based on something rarely discussed in betting debates: their educational backgrounds — and how useful those degrees actually are in becoming a winning bettor. The discussion runs through a full S to D tier system, evaluating a wide range of fields including applied statistics, economics, business analytics, engineering, finance, psychology, law, and more. Rather than judging individuals, the focus is on the strengths and weaknesses of each discipline when applied to betting markets and decision-making under uncertainty. Throughout the episode, Matt uses real-world examples from across the betting space, including well-known figures like Rob Pizzola and other contributors from The Hammer Betting Network, to illustrate how different educational paths can shape (or fail to shape) betting edge. From highly technical backgrounds like engineering and statistics to more generalist fields like business and communications, the conversation breaks down what actually translates into an edge: structured thinking, probability understanding, and real-world application versus purely theoretical knowledge. This is a deeper look at the intersection between education and betting performance, and whether formal training actually matters when you're facing the markets every day. New Circles Off episodes drop weekly — subscribe for more conversations on sports betting, prediction markets, and the people trying to beat them.

The UFC 250 DM scandal involving Daniel Cormier and Eric Trump sits at the center of the episode after alleged Instagram messages surfaced suggesting requests for UFC betting intel ahead of fights at the White House, with screenshots posted and then deleted as both sides deny authenticity and claim hacking, fueling debate over whether the story is real or fabricated. The crew also reacts to the Knicks winning the NBA championship and what that result means for how the season is being interpreted, along with World Cup criticism focused on hydration breaks and concerns that the tournament has felt underwhelming so far. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, and Jason Cooper on Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network, as they break down the biggest sports betting and sports media stories of the week with sharp debate and differing perspectives across the panel.

We break down one of the most unbelievable NBA Finals games in recent memory as the Knicks storm back from a 29-point deficit to beat the Spurs in Game 4 and take a 3-1 series lead. We go through how the comeback unfolded, the key turning points, and the wild betting implications around the game, including massive live movement on ProphetX that saw the Knicks priced as high as 30-1 mid-game. We also dive into the ongoing Jeff Nadu situation following the $1 betting discussion that's been circulating online, including his response and the broader back-and-forth with Circles Off. On top of that, we get into prediction market discourse around hedging behavior and whether certain strategies are being misunderstood or misrepresented. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna, joined by Isaac Rose-Berman, Shipper, and Thon Misser.

Circles Off sits down with Andrew Gombas for a deep dive into one of the most complete career paths in modern sports betting. Andrew has done nearly every job in the industry — from pick selling, to running betting groups, to working inside PPH-style operations, to becoming a full-time bettor focused heavily on MMA. In this conversation with Rob Pizzola, he breaks down what each side of the industry actually looks like from the inside and how it all connects. We also get into the evolution of sports betting groups, what most people misunderstand about pick selling ecosystems, and how the PPH world has changed over time. Andrew shares stories from inside that space, including the realities of account gathering, group dynamics, and what it takes to operate at scale. The conversation also goes into MMA betting at a high level — how his process has evolved, where his edge comes from, and what sharp fight handicapping actually looks like in practice. Later in the episode, things get even deeper with discussions around fixed fights, controversial situations in UFC betting, and the darker side of the betting ecosystem. This is part of the Circles Off interview series presented by ProphetX, focused on sharp betting minds, betting markets, and real behind-the-scenes process. If you're interested in sports betting, MMA betting, betting groups, or how the industry actually works behind the scenes, this episode delivers a rare inside perspective.

Jeff Nadu faces backlash after a betting screenshot from a Novig post goes viral, with viewers zooming in on what appears to be a $1.06 wager and sparking criticism over how he presents himself as a sports bettor. The situation escalates as the screenshot spreads online, fueling debate around credibility, unit sizing, and perception in public-facing betting content. Meanwhile, a $35K crypto dispute involving a university student raises questions around platform rules, interpretation of written terms, and accountability in high-stakes markets. The episode also reacts to the latest storylines from the NBA and NHL Finals. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, and George Tsilfidis on Circle Back, presented by ProphetX, to break down all three storylines. The crew reacts, debates, and unpacks the controversy, providing sharp takes and real-time analysis across sports betting, crypto disputes, and the NBA and NHL Finals.

These New Betting Laws are already getting pushback after Massachusetts introduced a rule requiring sportsbooks to notify bettors when their accounts are limited and provide a reason. On paper, it's framed as transparency for consumers, but early reactions from bettors suggest it doesn't actually explain much—just a polished way of saying winning action isn't welcome. The debate has quickly turned into whether this is real protection for bettors or just another layer of messaging that changes nothing about how limits are applied. Also on today's show, the ongoing Haralabob vs Matt Kalish feud continues to escalate, with Haralabos Voulgaris challenging the consistency and fairness of industry narratives around prediction markets and sportsbook growth strategies. The discussion has spilled into broader questions about hypocrisy, market evolution, and how legacy betting companies justified their early expansion tactics. On top of that, hedge funds and trading firms like SIG are reportedly struggling to retain or recruit top-tier traders, as prediction markets and independent trading opportunities give sharp talent more freedom than ever before. On today's LIVE Circle Back, host Jacob Gramegna is joined by Porter of BA Analytics, pro sports bettor Chinamaniac, and sharp bettor Isaac Rose-Berman. The show goes live Thursdays at 4 PM ET on Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network.

Circles Off sits down with sharp bettor Thon Misser (@ThonMisser) for a deep dive into how he actually approaches modern betting markets, from live wagering to prediction markets and everything in between. Thon has quietly built a reputation for finding edges in places most bettors ignore — including niche sports like Japanese baseball, reality TV markets, and newer prediction market platforms. In this conversation with Rob Pizzola, he breaks down how he thinks about betting today, where his edge comes from, and why the betting landscape is changing faster than most people realize. We also get into his live betting process, how he structures his week across different sports and markets, and what it really takes to operate at a sharp level in today's environment. Later in the episode, the conversation shifts into prediction markets, insider trading debates, and whether these new formats are going to coexist with or disrupt traditional sportsbooks. This is part of the Circles Off interview series presented by ProphetX, focused on sharp thinking, betting markets, prediction markets, and real process-driven discussion. If you're interested in sports betting, prediction markets, live betting strategy, or how sharp bettors actually think, this episode delivers a rare inside look.

A betting influencer, Taylor Mathis, has sparked controversy after a Game 7 betting slip post showing one side of a wager while appearing to place another, leading to a wave of backlash and confusion across Gambling Twitter. The crew breaks down the fallout, the viral $1.7 million parlay sweat that divided the community, whether sportsbooks should ever void bets placed in error, and the growing debate over professional bettors versus casual gamblers. Plus, thoughts on the NBA Finals between the Spurs and Knicks, the Stanley Cup Final between the Golden Knights and Hurricanes, and whether penalty shootouts are still the right way to decide major soccer matches after the Champions League Final. Circle Back is part of The Hammer Betting Network and features Jacob Gramegna alongside Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, and Jason Cooper discussing the biggest stories in sports betting. From industry controversies and betting strategy debates to the latest headlines across sports, the crew gives their reactions to the topics everyone is talking about.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's camp sending a legal warning to Underdog over a foul-baiting board game has sparked a much larger conversation about where the line is between creative sports content and athlete representation rights. Jacob Gramegna, Chris Dierkes, Mike (Peanut Bettor), and Shipper break down what actually happened, why Underdog is refusing to back down, and what this says about how sports brands, players, and platforms are colliding in real time. The crew also dives into a major betting exchange controversy involving bot errors and inconsistent market voiding decisions. When obvious pricing mistakes happen, should exchanges always void the market to protect fairness, or should every bet stand once it's matched? That debate leads into a broader discussion on market integrity, prediction markets, and whether the industry applies rules consistently or selectively depending on who benefits.

Most bettors are losing money on player props because they're using the wrong inputs. If you're looking at a player's last 10, 15, or 20 games to project a prop, you're not finding an edge — you're creating a false one. In this video, Rob Pizzola breaks down one of the most common and costly mistakes in sports betting: treating hit rates like probabilities. It might look like math. It might feel like an edge. But it's neither. Instead, Rob explains why hit rate thinking breaks down, starting with why endpoint selection completely distorts results and why context inside those games matters more than the results themselves. He also explains why alternates don't fix a bad process and why backward-looking stats fail to project forward outcomes. From there, he introduces the framework that actually matters: volume, quality, and conversion. Using real NBA examples, Rob shows how two players with identical box score outputs can have completely different projections once you look under the surface, and why most bettors miss this entirely. Finally, he connects it back to how real betting markets work today, and why competing with serious groups requires more than basic trend-spotting or hit rate filtering. This is not about picks or parlays. It's about understanding the process behind the bets. If you're serious about improving how you bet player props, this is the framework you need to understand.

DraftKings co-founder responds directly to recent criticism and sparks a wider debate about prediction markets, how sportsbooks are evolving, and whether the industry is heading in the right direction or not. The crew breaks down that situation alongside a NASCAR betting controversy where a wager was graded as a loss instead of being voided, triggering backlash over how sportsbooks handle unexpected outcomes and settlement rules. Daniel Cormier also gets pulled into a separate betting dispute after questioning whether a bet should stand if the counterparty didn't have the financial ability to pay. The crew is joined by Rob Pizzola, Kirk Evans, and Geoff Fienberg on this episode of Circle Back on Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network. They also run through a weekend betting and sports recap including Victor Wembanyama's dominance, discussions around Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the New York Knicks' form, and Mitch Marner's hot streak. Plus NBA opening tip-off betting angles, the Bet Pass schedule release, and a special announcement to close the show.

DraftKings co-founder Matt Kalish set Gambling Twitter on fire after a viral rant about prediction markets, sharp bettors, retail gamblers, and the future of sports betting. Jacob Gramegna, Joey Knish, Storm Pig, and Porter of BA Analytics react to the entire situation, break down the backlash, and discuss what the conversation says about the current state of the gambling industry. The crew also dives into the viral “Sports betting will be dead in 5-10 years” take, whether traditional betting research still works, and why so many bettors feel the space is changing rapidly. The show also covers Dana White asking President Donald Trump to help reverse the 90 percent limit on gambling loss deductions for US taxpayers, why the gambling tax issue has become a major talking point across the industry, and plenty more betting discourse from the week. Circle Back LIVE airs every Thursday at 4 PM ET on Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network, hosted by Jacob Gramegna with rotating guests from the sports betting and analytics space.

In this Circles Off Q&A, Rob Pizzola is joined by Plus EV Analytics, Matt Buchalter, for a deep dive into sports betting modeling — how it actually works in practice, what separates good models from bad ones, and how sharp bettors think about building and evaluating their edge. This episode is built around 10 of the toughest modeling questions pulled directly from Circles Off content and community discussion. The conversation covers how to start a model from scratch, when a model is strong enough to bet real money, and how to deal with early season uncertainty like small samples, roster turnover, and regression questions. Rob and Matt also explore what matters more between getting the mean right or the distribution right, how to think about closing line value thresholds, and how to separate variance from a broken edge when results turn against you. They also get into Bayesian vs frequentist thinking, how professional bettors evaluate their models over time, and which inputs are often overrated or underrated when building a betting model. For anyone serious about sports betting models, market pricing, or long-term edge creation, this is a practical, sharp breakdown from two experienced voices in the space. Subscribe to Circles Off for more sharp betting conversations, modeling breakdowns, and market analysis.

In this episode of Circles Off, Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola and Matt Buchalter as they react to a viral NBA Same Game Parlay strategy from Guy Boston Sports that has been circulating across YouTube. The group breaks down the ideas presented in the video titled “My Winning Same Game Parlay Strategy for the NBA,” which has gathered tens of thousands of views, and examines whether the logic actually holds up in real sports betting markets. Rob and Matt take a sharp, analytical look at the strategy, questioning the assumptions behind NBA same game parlays, discussing where these types of betting systems often go wrong, and highlighting why something that sounds good on paper doesn't always translate into real edge or long-term profitability. Throughout the discussion, they evaluate the video from a sharp bettor's perspective, separating entertainment-driven betting content from strategies that are actually useful for bettors trying to win consistently. This is part of the Circles Off reaction series, where we review popular sports betting content and determine whether the advice being shared is actionable or misleading. Topics include NBA betting, same game parlays, sports betting strategy, and critical breakdowns of betting advice circulating on YouTube and social media.

The UFC betting market is under scrutiny again after suspicious line movement on Sean Brady vs. Joaquin Buckley caused sportsbooks to pull the fight entirely before Brady won as a massive underdog. The crew also discusses Sean Strickland upsetting Khamzat Chimaev, new legislation aimed at sportsbook limiting practices in New Jersey, and the viral World Cup betting strategy claiming bettors can “guarantee” profits by backing 14 teams. Jacob Gramegna hosts Rob Pizzola, Jason Cooper, and George Tsilfidis on Circle Back, a weekly Circles Off show from The Hammer Betting Network focused on sports betting news, betting controversies, prediction markets, sportsbook behavior, and gambling industry discussions.

A sports bettor on Twitter revealed he was missing the last bit of money needed to pay rent, so he decided to tail a Dub Club pick seller that was being promoted as a winning bettor. The story sparked a massive discussion about gambling responsibly, the dangers of relying on sports betting for income, and the growing trust issues around pick-selling culture online. The crew also reacts to another Gambling Twitter controversy involving a bettor posting an empty Cavaliers bet slip for engagement before eventually placing the wager at a much worse number after getting called out publicly. Plus, more discussion around the ongoing drama, accountability, and credibility problems surrounding betting content online. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Mike (Mr. PeanutBettor), Joey Knish, and storm_pig for another episode of Circle Back on Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network. The panel breaks down the biggest stories, controversies, and conversations happening across Gambling Twitter and the sports betting world.

In this episode of Legendary Loopholes on Circles Off, Jacob Gramegna is joined by Matt Buchalter, also known as Plus EV Analytics, to break down one of the most incredible NBA betting edges you'll ever hear. Matt walks through how he discovered a Same Game Parlay error at an offshore sportsbook that created a massive edge. What started as a small observation quickly turned into an opportunity to generate thousands in profit. Using a real example from a Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks game, the two dive into exactly how the loophole worked, how it was bet, and how it ultimately played out. The story includes a dramatic finish, where a late, seemingly meaningless shot ended up deciding the outcome. This is a full breakdown of the process behind identifying sportsbook mistakes, capitalizing on edges, and understanding how these rare opportunities exist in the betting market. If you're interested in sports betting strategy, +EV betting, and real stories from sharp bettors, this is an episode you won't want to miss.

A viral tweet claiming sportsbooks “screw their customers” gets broken down — and the math behind it doesn't hold up. The crew digs into how betting markets actually work, why pricing is often misunderstood, and how public perception of sportsbooks gets shaped by viral takes. They also react to a bizarre identity verification request from BallyBet that raises questions about how far sportsbooks are going with compliance, plus a broader discussion on prediction markets and how a small percentage of informed participants drive most of the efficiency. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, George Tsilfidis, and Geoff Fienberg on Circle Back, part of The Hammer Betting Network, to react to the biggest stories from the betting world. From sportsbook practices and viral betting discourse to industry trends and market dynamics, the crew breaks it all down.

This episode covers a wide range of topics across betting, prediction markets, and probabilistic thinking. We start with the Brendan Sorsby situation after reports surfaced about a major gambling-related issue involving the Texas Tech QB, including over 10,000 bets placed dating back to 2022. The conversation focuses on what this means for gambling integrity in college sports and the broader responsibility discussion that comes with it. From there, the panel reacts to Isaac Rose-Berman's recent article on prediction markets and the way they are positioned as an alternative to traditional sportsbooks. The discussion explores whether that framing is accurate, how these platforms actually generate profit, and what bettors often misunderstand about their structure. The group also breaks down a viral take from Plus EV Analytics on parlay thinking and how human intuition struggles with probability when outcomes are layered together. Host Jacob Gramegna is joined throughout the episode by Joey Knish, Isaac Rose-Berman, and Chris Dierkes (Flupnolide), a trader at Novig, with all four contributors involved in the full discussion across gambling, markets, and bettor psychology.

In this episode of Circles Off, Rob Pizzola sits down with Jon Sadow, VP of Sportsbook Product at FanDuel, to break down the launch of Bet Protect+. This new feature, introduced during the NBA Playoffs, allows bettors to pay a small fee to insure their wagers against player injuries. But how does Bet Protect+ actually work, and what does it mean for bettors in practice? Rather than speculation, we go straight to the source. Jon Sadow, the driving force behind Bet Protect+, walks through the thinking behind the product, how it was built, and what problems it aims to solve for recreational bettors. Rob Pizzola asks the important questions from a bettor's perspective, digging into pricing, value, and how this type of feature fits into the broader sports betting ecosystem. Whether you're a casual bettor looking for added protection or a more experienced bettor trying to understand the math behind these features, this conversation provides valuable insight into one of the newest innovations in the space. This is a must-watch for anyone betting on the NBA Playoffs or interested in how sportsbooks continue to evolve their products. Make sure to like, comment, and subscribe for more interviews, breakdowns, and sports betting insights from Circles Off and The Hammer Betting Network.

A U.S. soldier is now at the center of a massive betting controversy after allegedly using classified information tied to a secret mission to make over $400,000 on Polymarket. The situation has sparked a major debate around insider trading, prediction markets, and where the line is drawn between public information and national security. Things escalated further when Donald Trump weighed in on the case, comparing it to legendary sports betting controversies and suggesting it may not be as clear-cut as it seems. The crew also breaks down Warren Buffett's latest comments on legalized gambling, where he labeled the industry a “tax on the wealthy,” adding fuel to an already heated discussion about the long-term impact of sports betting expansion. On top of that, the episode covers Caesars Sportsbook's partnership with the Westgate SuperBook and what it could mean for the broader sports betting market. With bettors already reacting strongly to the consolidation of odds and independent pricing, the crew dives into whether this move signals a larger industry shift or just another step in the inevitable tightening of the space. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna, this episode of Circle Back on Circles Off features Rob Pizzola, Kirk Evans, and Geoff Fienberg as they react, debate, and break down the biggest stories in sports betting and prediction markets.

Welcome to Circles Off! In this episode, Rob Pizzola reacts to the 2026 Sports Betting Superlatives blog written by Ferris (FerrisB_86), one of the most well-known voices in the sports betting space. This blog doesn't hold back — featuring bold takes, callouts, and “most likely to” superlatives across the industry, including Rob himself and others from The Hammer Betting Network. Some of it hits, some of it misses, but all of it sparks conversation. Rob reads through the article for the first time and gives his unfiltered thoughts on the takes, the narratives, and what it says about the current state of sports betting Twitter. If you agree or disagree with anything from the blog, drop a comment below — Rob will be checking and responding to your thoughts. Make sure to like, subscribe, and comment your questions. Join our Discord community to dive deeper into sports betting discussions, strategy, and more. ➡️ Ferris' blog: https://parttimerposts.blogspot.com/2026/04/2026-sports-betting-superlatives.html ➡️ Ferris' Circles Off interview: https://youtu.be/xSRFGRL57Ig?si=AKamU45WKYYqxmSK

FanDuel's new BetProtect Plus feature is getting a lot of attention — but is it actually worth it? We break down how the 3% premium works, why it might seem appealing to casual bettors, and the major flaws that make it a losing play long term. From guaranteed negative EV scenarios to why using it on unders makes no sense, we explain what bettors are missing and why this “protection” could be costing you more than you think. Plus, we discuss the marketing angle behind the rollout and why this might be a win for sportsbooks, even if it's a loss for bettors. We also get into the ongoing debate around unit shaming after a bettor was criticized for the size of their wager, and whether that kind of reaction is justified. Then, we break down the early payout controversy after Paddy Power paid out Arsenal to win the Premier League — only for the title race to flip after a major result. Was it a smart marketing move or a costly mistake? All that and plenty more from across the sports betting world on this episode of Circle Back, hosted by Jacob Gramegna with Rob Pizzola, Kirk Evans, and Geoff Fienberg.

A major Twitter Bookie Scam is unfolding as Leviathan Locks gets exposed, but the story doesn't stop there. What started as accusations quickly spirals into a much bigger situation involving Boomers Bets, who had been publicly vouching for Leviathan Locks while allegedly paying back victims behind the scenes. As more information comes out, the connection between the two raises serious questions about how deep this operation went and how many bettors were affected. Plus, we break down Chris Dierkes' recent article on betting philosophy, including his stance on risk tolerance and whether bettors should be more aggressive, and call out some of the worst sports betting content currently coming from major media outlets. Circle Back is hosted by Jacob Gramegna and features Mike (Mr. PeanutBettor), BA Analytics, and Chinamaniac as they react to the latest news, drama, and discourse across betting Twitter and the sports betting industry.

In this episode, we do something a little different. We brought back Isaac Rose Berman (roundrobin42), a sharp tennis bettor and responsible gaming advocate, and put him in the hot seat to rank some of the most well-known names on Gambling Twitter. From respected voices to controversial figures, Isaac breaks down his honest thoughts on 19 prominent betting personalities and places them into tiers based on credibility, perception, and overall impact in the space. Some rankings might surprise you. Others might start arguments. If you've ever wondered who's actually sharp on Gambling Twitter, this one's for you. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna. This video is part of the Circles Off channel on The Hammer Betting Network, bringing you insight, analysis, and conversation from across the sports betting world.

This week on Circle Back, the crew kicks things off with a recap of the 2026 Masters, as Rory McIlroy goes back-to-back and continues to cement his legacy. From there, we dive into a major controversy surrounding Dub Club after one of its most prominent pick sellers went on a shocking and offensive public rant, raising serious questions about platform responsibility and moderation in the pick selling space. Plus, we break down the growing conversation around athletes holding ownership stakes in prediction markets, including Connor McDavid and Giannis Antetokounmpo, and whether the perceived conflict of interest is being overblown. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, Kirk Evans, and Geoff Fienberg to react to a chaotic weekend across the sports betting world. From golf headlines to industry drama and evolving betting narratives, the panel gives their unfiltered thoughts on everything shaping the space right now.

Ohio lawmakers are proposing sweeping changes to the sports betting landscape, including banning online betting, eliminating props and parlays, limiting wagers, and restricting ads during games. The crew reacts to what this could mean for bettors and the industry, and whether this is a real threat or political posturing. Plus, a viral story involving Mike Vrabel and Diana Russini has taken over social media after the two were seen together at a hotel in Arizona, sparking major reactions and debate. And to wrap, a heated discussion on whether gambling is truly comparable to the stock market, along with a strong reaction to the take that Cooper Flagg winning NBA Rookie of the Year would be “spectacularly dumb.” Jacob Gramegna is joined by Mike (Mr. PeanutBettor), Joey Knish, and special guest Chris Dierkes to break down the latest conversations, controversies, and debates from gambling Twitter and beyond.

Welcome to Circles Off! In this episode, Rob Pizzola, CEO of The Hammer and pro sports bettor, walks you through his first-ever sports betting model, the one he successfully used on the NHL in the 2017-2018 season. While this exact model wouldn't work in today's NHL, Rob breaks down the step-by-step process and key strategies that go into building a winning sports betting model. Whether you're a beginner looking to understand how models are made or an experienced bettor wanting insight into profitable prediction strategies, this video is packed with valuable tips. Rob also answers your questions in the comments, so don't be shy! Make sure to like, subscribe, and comment your questions — Rob will check and respond. Join our Discord community to dive deeper into sports betting models, predictions, and strategy.

This week on Circle Back, the crew dives into a heated debate sparked by Alex Monahan's claim that winning at sports betting is actually easier than most people think—and why the real challenge isn't winning, but scaling. Plus, we break down a deeply concerning discovery on Polymarket, where a market appears to be designed to exploit users who don't fully read the house rules, raising serious questions about predatory structures in betting platforms. And finally, we discuss Steve Fezzik stepping away from his pick selling service—for now—and what it could mean for the broader betting ecosystem. Jacob Gramegna, Rob Pizzola, and Geoff Fienberg are joined by George Tsilfidis to react to the latest stories and controversies from gambling Twitter and beyond. From sharp betting theory to industry drama, the panel gives their unfiltered thoughts on everything shaping the sports betting space right now.

The NFL is making moves against prediction markets, sending warning letters about betting on things like broadcasts, celebrities, and even the NFL Draft. The crew breaks down what this means for the future of prediction markets, plus reacts to the U.S. suing Illinois over its regulation efforts. They also dive into whether sportsbook cashouts are actually predatory, and if bettors should ever be using them. Plus, a debate on whether MLB BvP (batter vs pitcher) data is completely meaningless when it comes to betting, and more. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Mike (Mr. PeanutBettor), Joey Knish, and Storm Pig to react to the biggest stories in the betting world this week.

Rob Pizzola sits down with The Shipper, a professional sports bettor who made the leap from working as a sportsbook trader to taking on the betting world full-time. In this follow-up interview — one of the most requested guests on Circles Off — Shipper shares how he approaches betting today, what sportsbooks look for when limiting players, and tips every bettor can use. Whether you're a casual fan or a sharp bettor, this episode is packed with insights into the mindset, strategy, and lessons learned from someone who's seen the inside of the industry. Shipper discusses his experiences betting around the world, the signals sportsbooks watch when limiting accounts, and practical advice for improving your own betting approach. If you enjoyed the first interview with Shipper, you don't want to miss this one — it goes even deeper into the world of professional sports betting, revealing the strategies and thought processes that separate casual bettors from professionals.

This week in sports betting was complete chaos, and the crew breaks it all down. From Tiger Woods making headlines again after a DUI arrest while talking about a return for The Masters, to a bizarre UFC controversy where the wrong winner was announced, creating a window for a prediction market bettor to cash in at massive odds. Plus, a deep dive into the growing conversation around microbetting, with DraftKings launching new features tied to historical at-bats and the NFL's involvement in a lawsuit raising bigger questions about where this is all headed. Jacob, Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, and Kirk Evans react to all the biggest stories from the week, mixing sharp analysis with unfiltered opinions on the state of sports betting. From industry drama to viral moments, this is Circle Back on Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network.

We asked ChatGPT to pick the 10 most insightful sports betting questions, and in this Q&A, experts Rob Pizzola and Isaac Rose-Berman break them all down. From bankroll management to understanding edge, market selection, and how sharp bettors think, this episode is packed with practical insights to help you make smarter betting decisions. Whether you're new to sports betting or looking to refine your approach, this discussion shows what it really takes to improve your process and think like a pro. Watch, learn, and let us know in the comments which insights surprised you the most. Subscribe for more expert Q&A episodes, strategy breakdowns, and sports betting analysis right here on Circles Off from The Hammer Betting Network.

Most sports bettors don't even realize they're being scammed. In this episode of Circles Off, professional sports bettor Rob Pizzola breaks down the Top 5 biggest scams in the sports betting industry — and how you can avoid falling into these traps. From fake “guaranteed wins” to misleading betting services and shady bankroll strategies, these are the tactics that cost bettors thousands over time. If you're serious about improving as a bettor, you NEED to understand what to avoid just as much as what to do. This isn't theory — these are real scams happening right now in sports betting.

The crew breaks down the discourse around March Madness this year, with many fans pointing out the lack of upsets, buzzer beaters, and overall chaos that typically defines the tournament. With favorites dominating early, the panel dives into whether something feels off and explores the growing belief that NIL has fundamentally changed the landscape of college basketball and the tournament's unpredictability. Later, the conversation shifts to the controversy surrounding MLB's new partnership with Polymarket and what it could mean for the future of sports betting and league involvement. To close things out, the crew lightens things up by sharing and reacting to some of their all-time favorite tweets, bringing a different energy to end the show. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna, this episode features professional sports bettor and CEO of The Hammer Rob Pizzola, basketball originator Kirk Evans, and special guest Jason Cooper of The Hammer Daily filling in.

In this episode of Circles Off, professional sports bettor Rob Pizzola and sharp bettor Isaac Rose-Berman react to Linemaker Sports' viral video “The New Way to Get Rich Sports Betting in 2026.” Is this actually a profitable strategy, or just another misleading take on sports betting? Hosted by Jacob Gramegna, the crew breaks down the key claims from Linemaker Sports and gives their honest, expert analysis on what works, what doesn't, and what bettors need to avoid. If you're serious about sports betting, this is the type of breakdown that can save you time, money, and frustration. Topics covered include: - sports betting strategy in 2026 - common misconceptions about “getting rich” betting - what sharp bettors actually look for - the difference between real edges and fake systems - responsible gambling and long-term sustainability