Podcasts about prediction markets

The promise is that they can beat the experts at predicting inflation, elections, and FDA approvals. But right now, 90 percent of the action is sports. Is this a future we want to bet on? Stephen Dubner speaks with, among others, the C.E.O. of Kalshi. (Part one of a two-part series.) SOURCES:Robin Hanson, professor of economics at George Mason University.Nicole Kagan, head of research at Kalshi.Tarek Mansour, co-founder and C.E.O. of Kalshi. RESOURCE:"Kalshi and the Rise of Macro Markets," by Anthony Diercks, Jared Dean Katz, and Jonathan Wright (Federal Reserve Board, 2026)."Slowly, Then All At Once: What Mamdani's Victory Tells Us About Information Aggregation," (Kalshi Research, 2026)."Futarchy: Vote Values, But Bet Beliefs," by Robin Hanson (2000)."The Use of Knowledge in Society," by Friedrich Hayek (American Economic Review, 1945). EXTRAS:"The Economics of Sports Gambling," by Freakonomics Radio (2019)."How to Be Less Terrible at Predicting the Future," by Freakonomics Radio (2016)."The Folly of Prediction," by Freakonomics Radio (2011). Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The Texan's Weekly Roundup brings you the latest news in Texas politics, breaking down the top stories of the week with our team of reporters who give you the facts so you can form your own opinion.Republican Officials Respond to Bo French's Comment on UT Austin StudentsTexas Republican Candidates Embrace AI-Generated Campaign Ads Ahead of NovemberOne Month From Early Voting, Here's What the Polls are Saying in Major Texas RacesTalarico Community Event in Houston's Third Ward Features Letitia Plummer, Emphasizes Black VoteLand Commissioner Buckingham Announces Push for New Energy Production on State LandsRoblox Absent at Texas House Committee Hearing on Children's Online Safety'It Is Gambling': Texas Senators Skeptical of Prediction Markets' Legality in TexasTexas House Committee Weighs Tradeoffs of Property Tax Relief ProposalsEnjoy what you hear? Be sure to check out our articles at The Texan and leave us a review!Got questions for the reporting team? Email editor@thetexan.news — they just might be answered on a future podcast.

Americans' 401(k) balances are hitting records—but nearly one in five workers has an outstanding plan loan. Don and Tom explain why a properly sized emergency fund should protect retirement savings from life's inevitable surprises.They also show why TLT and other long-term Treasury funds are not cash substitutes: when rates move, long-duration bonds can swing like stocks. A diversified bond allocation, regular rebalancing, and clear buckets matter more than chasing today's yield.Then they examine a puzzling Social Security statement and Robinhood's expanding prediction markets, where a simple yes-or-no contract looks a lot more like gambling than investing.00:35 — Retirement savings reach record highs05:49 — The rise of 401(k) loans07:45 — Building the right emergency fund09:19 — When and why to rebalance13:08 — Why TLT is not cash19:23 — A strange Social Security estimate22:34 — Robinhood's prediction-market gambleQuestions? Comments? Click!

On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere looks at the prediction market industry through the lens of culture and examines the LeBron James / Polymarket situation as well as actress Sydney Sweeney and her provocative deal (and advertisement) with Novig. Then, Stu heads to Minnesota for today's “Candidate Countdown!” Plus, Stu analyzes what the market has to say about potential 2028 presidential runs from Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom.

In this Season 3 episode, co-hosts A. Valerie Mirko, Partner at Armstrong Teasdale LLP and leader of the firm's Securities Regulation and Litigation practice, and William Nelson, Senior Counsel at Eversheds Sutherland, are joined by Peter Chan, Partner at Baker McKenzie and former Assistant Regional Director at the SEC, for a deep dive into prediction markets. Peter draws on his expertise to break down how these markets work, key compliance considerations for in-house counsel and compliance professionals, and the evolving regulatory landscape at both the agency and congressional levels. Tune in for a timely overview of the regulatory, compliance, and investor protection issues that financial services professionals should have on their radar.Listen to recent past episodes of this series on the Brief Encounters channel, or see the whole series in one place on the show's PLAYLIST. Please note, the positions and opinions expressed by the speakers are strictly their own, and do not necessarily represent the views of their employers, nor those of the D.C. Bar, its Board of Governors or co-sponsoring Communities and organizations.

The summer of 2026 turned into the summer of predictive markets. Polymarket and Kalshi, two of the largest betting platforms in the US, expanded their marketing to reach users everywhere. And they seem to be actively pursuing women customers — highlighting bets on who'd win Love Island USA to who'd attend the Taylor Swift Travis Kelce wedding. To discuss this phenomenon, we're talking with Nancy Walecki, staff writer at The Atlantic and Lauren McCarthy, business reporter at The New York Times, to understand how predictive markets are catering to women, and what it all means. Support public media with NPR+ and enjoy perks for over 25 podcasts like this one. This show's perks include sponsor-free listening. Learn more at plus.npr.org.See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.NPR Privacy Policy

The actor Sydney Sweeney is under fire for ‘sexualising women's sports' in an ad campaign for US sports prediction company Novig, which features a series of images of her in various states of undress as she pretends to play different sports. The ad has been widely criticised by a number of sportswomen, including Olympic swimmer Ariarne Titmus who described it as ‘infuriating' and a ‘kick in the teeth' to women who have ‘spent decades perfecting their craft'. Sweeney has responded by saying the ad was about ‘embracing a fun idea'. Lucy Hough speaks to Guardian feature writer Elle Hunt – watch on YouTube. Help support our independent journalism at theguardian.com/infocus

CoinDesk's The Policy Protocol hosts Rebecca Rettig and Renato Mariotti open on the AMC–Robinhood tokenization showdown playing out on X and "CLARITY Act death watch," before sitting down with Cody Carbone, CEO of the Digital Chamber. Carbone argues the bill's fate comes down to ethics and that the White House and President Trump himself will have to weigh in publicly on the Tillis–Gallego ethics proposal to get to 60 votes. He also lays out the contingency plan if CLARITY stalls and breaks down the Digital Chamber's lawsuit against Illinois' new crypto tax. Plus, Rebecca and Renato debrief on why spot-market authority survives even if CLARITY doesn't, and name LeBron James, and the wave of celebrity prediction-market deals, as their Person of the Week. - This episode is brought to you by Grayscale, the world's largest digital asset-focused investment platform. Grayscale's mission is to make digital asset investing simple and open to every investor. Learn more at grayscale.com. - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. Join the Testnet now at realfi.co. - Register now for CoinDesk's Policy and Regulation event on September 22, 2026: policy-regulation.coindesk.com. - Chapters/Timecodes: 00:00 Welcome to The Policy Protocol 02:54 The AMC–Robinhood Tokenization Showdown 05:18 Can AMC Actually Sue? Renato's Litigation Read 07:41 CLARITY Act Death Watch 10:15 Why Reg Crypto Isn't Enough Without Market Structure 11:06 Cody Carbone, CEO of the Digital Chamber Joins 12:03 Ethics, Ethics, Ethics: Will the White House Weigh In? 15:25 What Happens to Crypto Policy if Clarity Fails? 17:42 Federal Preemption and the Illinois Crypto Tax Fight 20:51 The Convergence of TradFi and Digital Finance 23:32 Rebecca and Renato Debrief on Spot Authority 24:37 Person of the Week: LeBron James and Prediction Markets

Prediction markets are being manipulated and misused. Congress can and should protect the American people with appropriate legislation. A great nonprofit organization, Represent Us, is pushing draft legislation, the PREDICT Act, designed to attack the prediction market problem. I sat down with Maria McFarland Sanchez-Moreno, CEO of RepresentUs, to discuss this important and necessary legislation. Tell Congress to PASS the PREDICT Act: https://act.represent.usSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Professional forecaster Molly Hickman breaks down what it really means to assign a probability to the future — and why she believes generalists often out-forecast subject-matter experts. This episode explores the art and science of forecasting, from techniques to ethical considerations, and how AI and prediction markets are shaping our understanding of the future.Key TopicsThe definition of forecasting and its importanceTechniques for starting in forecastingThe role of AI and large language models in forecastingHow to interpret probabilities and conditional forecastsForecasting in complex systems like climate and geopoliticsEthical boundaries and red lines in prediction marketsThe impact of AI bots on forecasting accuracy and decision makingChapters03:06 Getting Started with Forecasting: Tools and Techniques06:15 Beginning Forecasting as a Beginner07:31 Gut Feelings vs Market Wisdom08:33 The Delphi Loop and Group Forecasting09:39 Measuring Forecast Accuracy and Skill11:17 Forecasting Long-Term and Uncertain Events12:40 Extrapolating Trends and Model Limitations14:19 AI Bots in Forecasting and Their Performance18:16 Prediction Markets as Collective Wisdom19:19 The Future of Prediction Markets and Society24:06 The Meaning of Probabilities and Risk Assessment27:20 Dealing with Chaos and Unpredictability32:52 Combining Models and Expert Opinions36:31 Forecasting and Expertise in Science and Policy39:01 Forecasting AI Risks and Ethical BoundariesFollow Molly Hickman on X (https://x.com/celloMolly)Follow Breaking Math onSubstack (https://breakingmath.substack.com/)X (https://x.com/breakingmathpod)Instagram (https://www.instagram.com/breakingmathmedia/)Website (https://www.breakingmath.io/)YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/@BreakingMathPod)Follow Noah onInstagram (https://www.instagram.com/profnoahgian/)X (https://x.com/ProfNoahGian)Bluesky (https://bsky.app/profile/profnoahgian.bsky.social)Follow Autumn onX (https://x.com/1autumn_leaf)Bluesky (https://bsky.app/profile/1autumnleaf.bsky.social)Instagram (https://www.instagram.com/1autumnleaf/)Substack (https://substack.com/@1autumnleaf)email: breakingmathpodcast@gmail.com

Plus: The AI boom is turbocharging China's exports. And thieves have stolen several paintings from France's Renoir Museum. Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. An artificial-intelligence tool assisted in the making of this episode by creating summaries that were based on Wall Street Journal reporting and reviewed and adapted by an editor. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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Odds from Polymarket are popping up in our news, even though it's illegal here. But are prediction markets a legit source of news anyway? Also: head-to-head clashes between politicians, and with presenters, are heating up, but not always generating light.Read more about this episode of Mediawatch on the RNZ websiteIn this episode:1:10 Media picking apart political bickering over delayed fuel tax.5:50 Greens double down on misleading claims about MPs houses.8:02 Act pushed back on media criticism of policy to put ‘reside' back in ‘residency' rules.11:35 ZB host takes on Wellington mayor on Tiaki Wai rollout.17:05 Polymarket predictions popping up in our news, six months after it became illegal for NZers to use.23:11 Newsroom.co..nz senior business reporter Andrew Bevin on how prediction markets work and whether their odds are legit news or not.Follow Mediawatch and listen on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or any podcast app to make sure you never miss an episode.Find more RNZ Podcasts at the new section of the RNZ website at rnz.co.nz/podcastsGo to this episode on rnz.co.nz for more details

Adam Levitan returns to discuss his offseason bout with cancer, prediction markets and ETR content plans for the upcoming season before tackling a bunch of hard-hitting listener questions.Links mentioned in the episode:⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Subscribe to Draft Kit Pro, In-Season Package or Bundle for all our articles, tiers and rankings this draft season⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Evan Silva's Top 150 Rankings for 2026 Fantasy Football⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Evan Silva's Top-150 Change Log for 2026⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Subscribe to the Establish The Run YouTube Channel⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Levitan's Redraft Player Notes⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Timestamps:0:00 - Introduction2:25 - Recapping Adam's Cancer Journey8:18 - Prediction Markets14:08 - ETR's Plans For The Season18:34 - Listener QuestionsWant ETR on your team this season? Our 2026 NFL Draft Kit Pro has you covered with:Draft Rankings & TiersResearch & Analysis ArticlesDraft Strategy ContentIn-Season Roster ManagementTrade CalculatorsDiscord CommunitySubscribe now at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://subscribe.establishtherun.com/nfldraftkitpro/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Polymarket Sign-Up Bonus: Deposit $10, get $50!Trade on NFL games every week on Polymarket.⁠ Sign up for Polymarket⁠ with code ETR for a $50 bonus when you deposit $10.⁠Sign Up Now⁠FREE NEWSLETTER: Tired of attention-seeking hot takes? Get the highest-quality fantasy football analysis in your inbox, FREE: https://establishtherun.kit.com/emailDFS OPTIMIZER: Sign up for THE SOLVER for access to the software we think fantasy players need to win: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://thesolver.com/?ref=etr⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠SPORTSBOOK OFFERS: We've partnered with several major sportsbook outlets to help supply you with the best offers in the industry and ensure you're maximizing your bankroll from the start: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://establishtherun.com/offers/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠FOLLOW US: Check out our social media channels for FREE fantasy football & DFS videos, analysis, and more: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://linktr.ee/establishtherun

  Prediction Market Kalshi announced this week that they have placed their very first permanent ban on their platform on former US Representative George Santos. Holly and Greg discuss the ban as well as some of the other trouble Prediction Markets are in.  

The investment industry has always struggled with blurring the line between investing and speculation. Paul talks about the rise of prediction markets — betting on things like the weather, politics, and sports — and how hedge fund managers are now trying to spin these markets as a hedge against stock prices. Listen along to hear why these tactics are only available to accredited investors, and why confident investors know that gambling part of your retirement savings at a casino can't seriously be seen as financial planning.   Want to cut through the myths about retirement income and learn evidence-based strategies backed by over a century of data? Download our free Retirement Income Guide now at paulwinkler.com/relax and take the stress out of planning your retirement.   This material is for general educational purposes only and is not personalized investment, financial, tax, or legal advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Nothing here is an offer, solicitation, or recommendation for any security or strategy. All financial decisions involve risk, and you should consult qualified professionals before acting on this information. Advisory services offered through Paul Winkler, Inc., an SEC-registered investment adviser. 

Sometimes it's inside information, sometimes it's changing perceptions with huge amounts of cash, sometimes it's holding a hair dryer to a weather gage. Prediction Market Researcher Dr. Joshua Mitts says these are just some of the ways Prediction Markets are being manipulated. In this episode of Profoundly Pointless we explore how people are making millions manipulating Prediction Markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. We talk the different ways Prediction Markets are being manipulated, why some market categories are easier to manipulate than others and why only a very small number of people are actually making money on Prediction Markets. Contact the Show Dr. Joshua Mitts 00:00 Introducing Dr. Joshua Mitts 01:21 How Prediction Markets are Manipulated 07:28 The Cost of Prediction Market Manipulation 10:21 Where Prediction Market Manipulation Happens 13:46 Listener Submitted Questions 16:10 Protecting Yourself from Market Manipulation Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This is The Briefing, a daily analysis of news and events from a Christian worldview.On today's edition of The Briefing, Dr. Mohler discusses 5 MLB teams partnering with prediction markets in states where betting is illegal, Kalshi's George Soros ban, the moral complexities of data centers, and why secularism is not a sufficient worldview to keep students from using A.I. to cheat in school.Part I (00:13 – 07:58)Pete Rose Would Like a Word: Five MLB Teams Partner with Prediction Markets in States Where Betting is IllegalKalshi partners with MLB teams in latest prediction market marriage by USA Today (Adam Kaufman)Part II (07:58 – 11:52)Serial Fraudster Gets Lifetime Ban from Kalshi: George Santos Receives First Lifetime Ban From Kalshi For Betting on His Own Attendance to State of the Union AddressEx-Congressman George Santos Receives Kalshi's First-Ever Lifetime Ban by The Wall Street Journal (Brian Schwartz and Jack Morphet)Part III (11:52 – 20:30)The Moral Complexities of Data Center: There are Many Things to Consider Morally and Politically HerePart IV (20:30 – 27:28)A.I., Secularism, and Students Cheating: A Secular Ethic is Not Enough to Create Honest Students and to Prevent Them From CheatingSign up to receive The Briefing in your inbox every weekday morning.Follow Dr. Mohler:X | Instagram | Facebook | YouTubeFor more information on The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, go to sbts.edu.For more information on Boyce College, just go to BoyceCollege.com.To write Dr. Mohler or submit a question for The Mailbox, go here.

September 1, 2026: 7am — Some Republicans worry midterm convention could backfire To listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads, sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In this hour of A Numbers Game, Gill Alexander and Kelley Bydlon are joined by Cantor Fitzgerald head of gaming and author, Joe Peta, with his explantations on how the prediction markets impact sports books and how bettors can use them to their advantage. Also on the show, some NFL news and the Falcons still not naming a starting QB. And, Money Moves and Pod To The Futures co-host Jonathan Von Tobel drops by with some plays for college football's Week 1. Get instant access to expert picks, public betting splits data, and pro betting tools when you join VSiN pro. You can take 17% off an annual subscription when you use promo code: POD26. Click Here to get started. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Here are the best segments from today's show. BTB Analytics: BTB Analytics model's give you the spread, the current market line, the cover probability, and a quantified edge — showing exactly where and by how much their numbers disagree with the book. Go to BTB-Analytics and use Code VSIN for 10% off http://btb-analytics.com/ Sharp Plays: Follow the sharp money at SharpPlays.com http://sharpplays.com/ Sharps Invitational: Everyone starts with 10,000 chips. Build your stack, climb the leaderboard! Enter at JoinTheSharps.com and use code VSIN50 for a 50% deposit bonus up to $100. https://jointhesharps.com/register?ref=VSIN Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In this hour of A Numbers Game, Gill Alexander and Kelley Bydlon are joined by Cantor Fitzgerald head of gaming and author, Joe Peta, with his explantations on how the prediction markets impact sports books and how bettors can use them to their advantage. Also on the show, some NFL news and the Falcons still not naming a starting QB. And, Money Moves and Pod To The Futures co-host Jonathan Von Tobel drops by with some plays for college football's Week 1. BTB Analytics: BTB Analytics model's give you the spread, the current market line, the cover probability, and a quantified edge — showing exactly where and by how much their numbers disagree with the book. Go to BTB-Analytics and use Code VSIN for 10% off http://btb-analytics.com/ Sharp Plays: Follow the sharp money at SharpPlays.com http://sharpplays.com/ Sharps Invitational: Everyone starts with 10,000 chips. Build your stack, climb the leaderboard! Enter at JoinTheSharps.com and use code VSIN50 for a 50% deposit bonus up to $100. https://jointhesharps.com/register?ref=VSIN Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Krystal and Saagar discuss Don Jr defends prediction markets as lawsuits pile up, Milo deported amid feud with Laura Loomer, tech freakout over AI hacking spree. Rory Johnston: https://www.commoditycontext.com/ To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: www.breakingpoints.com Merch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/ See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

P.M. Edition for Aug. 31. The second quarter was a good one for S&P 500 companies. Per-share earnings soared 53% and many companies have raised their guidance. WSJ reporter Theo Francis explains what's propelling those gains. Plus, the Federal Trade Commission sues Amazon for allegedly manipulating prices for ads on its site—and making billions from merchants. And the Supreme Court allows President Trump to keep building his White House ballroom. Pierre Bienaimé hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Plus: California publicly traded utilities tumble after state lawmakers reject plan to shield them from wildfire claims. And Aon agrees to a $17 billion deal to buy USI Insurance from KKR. Pierre Bienaimé hosts. Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The Rams just added a Hall of Famer to the defense. Do you bet on them now? Then Daniel O'Boyle joins from InGame.com to talk about Prediction Markets and the court case that Kalshi just lost. 

A poll from Median Strategies roiled the Los Angeles mayoral race earlier this month, showing Mayor Karen Bass with an 11 point lead over challenger Nithya Raman. The results were cited by several media outlets, and were touted by the Bass campaign before the poll was exposed as fake. When contacted, Median Strategies posted a statement that their polling had been "a short-term social experiment examining how purported polling information could enter and spread through the political information ecosystem without independent verification." Social experiment or not, the poll did impact the race - at least in the short term - and certainly impacted election prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. Political data expert Paul Mitchell joined us to talk about how junk polls, paid influencers and strategic gaming of the election markets can distort perceptions about a campaign. Plus, who had the Worst Week in California Politics? 2:01 "That's the Pacific Ocean" 4:35 Capitol Weekly Internship 7:30 Death penalty 9:04 Paul Mitchell 10:23 Bogus polling 13:37 Picked up by media 17:02 "Everybody's a pundit" 20:48 Prediction markets 22:13 $7M bet on Spencer Pratt AFTER the election 23:56 Could prediction markets replace polling? 27:15 How is this legal? 30:05 Predictit 31:35 A note about gaming 34:01 Duane Dichiara debt 34:48 Scott Lay's election pool 35:33 Junk polls designed to generate coverage 38:28 "Traditionally, your campaign's internal polling is some of the highest quality polling" 41:03 What California race should people be watching more closely? 43:15 The split in the Democratic Party 47:14 #WWCA Want to support the Capitol Weekly Podcast? Make your tax deductible donation here: capitolweekly.net/donations/ Capitol Weekly Podcast theme is "Pickin' My Way" by Eddie Lang "#WorstWeekCA" Beat provided by freebeats.io Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Gill Alexander is joined by Drew Dinsick (Analyst for NBC Sports Edge, Deep Dive Podcast) and Zach Cohen (VSiN Senior Editor) to preview the US Open from all betting angles! They react to the draw, offer betting strategies, analysis, and picks for the final major in 2026. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Robinhood says it wants to be everything to investors—but its fastest-growing attractions look a lot like a casino. Don and Tom examine prediction markets, options, crypto, payment for order flow, and the uneasy fit between fiduciary advice and a brightly lit door to speculation.They explain why gamification and enormous transfer bonuses can be especially dangerous for inexperienced investors. If the goal is long-term wealth rather than entertainment, a boring, diversified custodian still beats a platform built to monetize trading excitement.Then they answer questions about using bonds during a retirement downturn, combining CD ladders with target-date funds, the trap behind eye-popping mortgage REIT dividends, and better ways to give money to grandchildren.1:03 — Robinhood and its merry band of revenue streams3:00 — Vlad Tenev explains the financial supermarket5:36 — A fiduciary office beside a casino door8:28 — Monetizing speculation instead of investing13:14 — Using bonds when retirement begins in a downturn21:06 — CD ladders and target-date funds23:36 — The truth behind 17% REIT dividends27:28 — UTMA, UGMA, 529s, and gifts for grandchildrenQuestions? Comments? Click!

Right now Prediction Markets are exploding in popularity and controversy. Going from a niche hobby to a market with billions of dollars in trades. In this episode of Profoundly Pointless we explore the future of Prediction Markets with Prediction Market Researcher Dr. Koleman Strumpf. We talk how prediction markets really work, the crazy/brilliant strategies some people are using to make millions and why Prediction Markets could become the Wild West. Contact the Show Dr. Koleman Strumpf Website Dr. Koleman Strumpf Social 00:00 Introducing Dr. Koleman Strumpf 01:20 What are Prediction Markets 04:37 Why Prediction Markets are Becoming More Popular 05:49 Regulating Prediction Markets 08:55 Manipulating Prediction Markets 12:52 The Dangers of Prediction Markets 14:51 Prediction Market Strategies 18:58 The Future of Prediction Markets Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Washington is taking on a multi-billion dollar industry: prediction markets. Companies like Kalshi say it’s not gambling, but a King County Judge ruled last month that Kalshi has to cease most of its operations in Washington. Washington State Standard Reporter Jake Goldstein-Street will tell us more about this legal battle. We can only make Seattle Now because listeners support us. Tap here to make a gift and keep Seattle Now in your feed. Got questions about local news or story ideas to share? We want to hear from you! Email us at seattlenow@kuow.org, leave us a voicemail at (206) 616-6746 or leave us feedback online or on the KUOW App.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Vanguard Group has agreed to buy digital wealth platform Altruist, marking a strategic shift from its traditional organic growth approach to expanding its wealth management capabilities through acquisition. The deal follows Altruist’s notable impact earlier this year when it introduced a tax strategy tool that caused a sell-off in wealth management stocks. In an exclusive interview with Bloomberg’s Dani Burger, Vanguard CEO Salim Ramji and Altruist CEO Jason Wenk discussed the significance of the transaction and Vanguard’s commitment to enhancing its digital wealth offerings.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is The Briefing, a daily analysis of news and events from a Christian worldview.On today's edition of The Briefing, Dr. Mohler discusses the new U.S. ‘Operation Economic Outcast' war strategy against Iran, the history and function of modern political polling, and the influence of prediction markets on modern politics.Part I (00:14 – 10:20)The New War Strategy Against Iran: The U.S. is Calling for ‘Operation Economic Outcast' to Squash Iranian Economy to End the U.S-Iran ConflictBessent Launches ‘Operation Economic Outcast' to Isolate and Squeeze Iran by The Wall Street Journal (Brian Schwartz, Laurence Norman, and Alexander Ward)Part II (10:20 – 17:11)How Did We Get Into Such a ‘Wild West' of Political Polling? The Important History and Function of Modern Political PollingWhy Polling Chaos Could Create Big Problems for American Politics by The New York Times (Reid J. Epstein)Part III (17:11 – 26:00)The Influence of Prediction Markets on Modern Politics: Young Men and Gambling Markets are Having a Massive Influence on Modern Polling – There are Big Issues HereSign up to receive The Briefing in your inbox every weekday morning.Follow Dr. Mohler:X | Instagram | Facebook | YouTubeFor more information on The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, go to sbts.edu.For more information on Boyce College, just go to BoyceCollege.com.To write Dr. Mohler or submit a question for The Mailbox, go here.

Ep. 224 features Andrew Wood, Co-Founder of RallyTabs, to discuss his transition from investment banking into entrepreneurship, the evolution of RallyTabs from a physical pull-tab concept into a digital product, and how the company is creating a new sports engagement experience that combines predictions, collectibles, and pack-ripping mechanics.   Hear them discuss: How Andrew's experience covering the gaming industry as an investment banker led him to identify opportunities within the sports gaming ecosystem. The origins of RallyTabs, including its evolution from a slot route concept to a live sports pull-tab product before ultimately becoming a digital platform. How RallyTabs combines sports predictions, digital cards, collectibles, and pack-ripping mechanics into a single fan engagement experience. The user experience behind RallyTabs, including digital packs, live sports predictions, collectible cards, and the ability to reactivate cards for future games. Why RallyTabs sits at the intersection of sports predictions, fantasy, collectibles, and pack ripping rather than fitting neatly into a single existing category. The company's go-to-market strategy, combining digital marketing with in-person activations at sports bars, stadiums, and tailgates. Why simplicity and a low barrier to entry are central to RallyTabs' strategy for attracting a broader audience of sports fans. How the company has funded its growth through founders and a friends-and-family round while testing customer acquisition channels before pursuing a larger capital raise. Andrew's perspective on the rapid evolution of the gaming industry, from the post-PASPA boom to the emergence of sweepstakes and prediction markets. RallyTabs' roadmap for the next 12 months, including expanding into football and additional sports, growing its customer base, exploring retail-focused products, and becoming a bigger part of the live game-day experience.   The Startup Zone at SBC Summit in Lisbon is the best way for startups to establish their presence at "The Greatest Show in Gaming". Discounted packages are available exclusively through BettingStartups, but spaces are very limited so register your interest ASAP: https://www.bettingstartups.com/sbc-summit-2026   Learn more

Global prediction markets are booming. Trading volumes reached a record US$24 billion in April this year, heavily driven by excitement over the FIFA World Cup and sports betting. But with that expansive growth come risks. Recent high-profile cases alleging insider trading related to the markets have alarmed businesses over the fear employees could exploit their nonpublic information for personal gain. Regulators have taken notice, and enforcement is on the rise. How can businesses protect themselves from insiders who might use the prediction markets for ill gain? How significant is the enforcement and regulatory impact on companies? And what's on the horizon as the prediction markets continue to captivate the public? Join The Sidley Podcast host and Sidley partner, Sam Gandhi, as he speaks with two of the firm's thought leaders on these issues — Ian McGinley, a partner in Sidley's Securities Enforcement and Regulatory and White Collar Defense and Investigations practices and a former Commodity Futures Trading Commission director of enforcement, and Matthew Podolsky, also a partner in Sidley's Securities Enforcement and Regulatory and White Collar Defense and Investigations practices. Matt is a former acting United States attorney for the Southern District of New York and former chief of their Securities and Commodities Fraud Task Force. Together, they discuss the exponential growth of the prediction markets, what is driving that growth, and the real-world risks of insider trading prosecutions related to engaging with those markets. Executive Producer: John Metaxas, WallStreetNorth Communications, Inc.

Haseeb Qureshi is the Managing Partner at Dragonfly, a crypto investment firm with roughly $4 billion under management. Dragonfly recently closed its fourth venture fund at $650 million.Prior to Dragonfly, Haseeb was a General Partner at MetaStable Capital, the crypto fund co-founded by Naval Ravikant and later acquired by Dragonfly. Before venture, he was a software engineer at Airbnb and Earn.com, and before that a top-10 globally ranked professional poker player.We spoke about digital dollars, nationalized banks, bubbles and speculation, Iran and BlackRock, jaywalking, and beanie babies.0:00 – Intro1:23 – What Happened to Crypto?3:18 – Stablecoins and Escape Velocity7:04 – Bitcoin, Gold, and the Generational Trade10:34 – War and Stores of Value15:06 – Retail, Nvidia, and Capital Flight18:23 – Stablecoins 10120:00 – Eurodollars, Venmo, and AI Agents23:00 – Dollarization and the Black Market25:28 – Banks, Airwaves, and the Balance of Power31:20 – Too Many Currencies36:11 – Institutions and Cypherpunks40:08 – Iran and BlackRock41:00 – Speculation and Bubbles43:12 – Prediction Markets and the Overton Window51:04 – Skin in the Game and the Rational Voter54:06 – Staying in Crypto57:13 – When Crypto VC Ends58:57 – What Would Change Haseeb's Mind on Crypto1:03:00 – What Should More People Be Thinking About?

Organizations have long relied on surveys, forecasts, and expert analysis to anticipate future risks and opportunities. Could prediction markets offer business leaders a new—and in some cases more accurate—way to forecast economic conditions, manage risk, and improve decision making? In this episode of C-Suite Perspectives, Steve Odland, President and CEO of The Conference Board, is joined by PJ Tabit, Principal Economic Policy Analyst at The Conference Board's CEO Center, to explore the growing role of prediction markets in business and public policy. Together, they examine how prediction markets work and why they are gaining credibility as forecasting tools; discuss how companies can use them to strengthen risk management and business planning; and explore the governance, compliance, and reputational considerations executives should understand as these markets continue to evolve. More from The Conference Board: ·       Making Predictions Is Hard, Especially About the Future—Or It Used to Be ·       AI and the C-Suite: Implications for CEO Strategy in 2026 ·       EU Digital Markets Act Developments Impact US Tech Firms ·       Government Actions Attempt to Address AI Cybersecurity Risks

Hundreds of millions of dollars, desperation for insider info, fury and accusations of conspiracy when it doesn't go your way—is this gambling or elections? Through the magic of prediction markets, it's both! Guest: David Gilbert, reporter at WIRED covering disinformation, online extremism, and how these trends impact people's lives across the globe.Want more What Next TBD? Subscribe to Slate Plus to access ad-free listening to the whole What Next family and across all your favorite Slate podcasts. Subscribe today on Apple Podcasts by clicking “Try Free” at the top of our show page. Sign up now at slate.com/whatnextplus to get access wherever you listen.Podcast production by Rob Gunther, Evan Campbell, Madeline Thames-Ducharme and Patrick Fort.Paige Osburn is the senior supervising producer of What Next and What Next TBD. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Hundreds of millions of dollars, desperation for insider info, fury and accusations of conspiracy when it doesn't go your way—is this gambling or elections? Through the magic of prediction markets, it's both! Guest: David Gilbert, reporter at WIRED covering disinformation, online extremism, and how these trends impact people's lives across the globe.Want more What Next TBD? Subscribe to Slate Plus to access ad-free listening to the whole What Next family and across all your favorite Slate podcasts. Subscribe today on Apple Podcasts by clicking “Try Free” at the top of our show page. Sign up now at slate.com/whatnextplus to get access wherever you listen.Podcast production by Rob Gunther, Evan Campbell, Madeline Thames-Ducharme and Patrick Fort.Paige Osburn is the senior supervising producer of What Next and What Next TBD. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Hundreds of millions of dollars, desperation for insider info, fury and accusations of conspiracy when it doesn't go your way—is this gambling or elections? Through the magic of prediction markets, it's both! Guest: David Gilbert, reporter at WIRED covering disinformation, online extremism, and how these trends impact people's lives across the globe.Want more What Next TBD? Subscribe to Slate Plus to access ad-free listening to the whole What Next family and across all your favorite Slate podcasts. Subscribe today on Apple Podcasts by clicking “Try Free” at the top of our show page. Sign up now at slate.com/whatnextplus to get access wherever you listen.Podcast production by Rob Gunther, Evan Campbell, Madeline Thames-Ducharme and Patrick Fort.Paige Osburn is the senior supervising producer of What Next and What Next TBD. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Hundreds of millions of dollars, desperation for insider info, fury and accusations of conspiracy when it doesn't go your way—is this gambling or elections? Through the magic of prediction markets, it's both! Guest: David Gilbert, reporter at WIRED covering disinformation, online extremism, and how these trends impact people's lives across the globe.Want more What Next TBD? Subscribe to Slate Plus to access ad-free listening to the whole What Next family and across all your favorite Slate podcasts. Subscribe today on Apple Podcasts by clicking “Try Free” at the top of our show page. Sign up now at slate.com/whatnextplus to get access wherever you listen.Podcast production by Rob Gunther, Evan Campbell, Madeline Thames-Ducharme and Patrick Fort.Paige Osburn is the senior supervising producer of What Next and What Next TBD.Need to set up your Slate Plus feed? If you subscribed through Slate.com, check out our FAQ at slate.com/podcastfaqs for easy instructions. Members subscribed via Apple Podcasts get automatic access—no setup required. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On this special segment of The Full Ratchet, the following Investors are featured: Grant Demaree of Onebrief Mark Peter Davis of Interplay Glenn Solomon of Notable Capital Each investor highlights a situation where they decided not to invest, why they passed, and how it played out. The host of The Full Ratchet is Nick Moran of New Stack Ventures, a venture capital firm committed to investing in founders outside of the Bay Area. We're proud to partner with Ramp, the modern finance automation platform. Book a demo and get $150—no strings attached.   Want to keep up to date with The Full Ratchet? Follow us on social. You can learn more about New Stack Ventures by visiting our LinkedIn and Twitter.

CVC Marathon Managing Partner Bruce Richards joins with his reaction to today's global bond market sell-off. He also shares his outlook for the private credit market and where he sees opportunity right now. Then, Kalshi Board Member & Former CFTC Commissioner Brian Quintenz joins to discuss the regulatory landscape for prediction markets as headwinds continue to grow. Plus, we bring you the details of Meta's landmark child safety trial that begins today. Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Today on AirTalk: Mark Walter, L.A. Lakers battle and more (0:30) Prediction markets in elections (18:15) Jewish identity (51:32) PetTalk (1:15:15) Visit www.preppi.com/LAist to receive a FREE Preppi Emergency Kit (with any purchase over $100) and be prepared for the next wildfire, earthquake or emergency.

Handel on the Law. Marginal Legal Advice.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks might look identical on the surface. Same lines, same moneylines, same spreads. But legally and structurally, they're nothing alike. In this conversation, Jacob sits down with Captain Jack Andrews to break down why prediction markets don't meet the legal definition of gambling the way sportsbooks do, walking through the "chance, consideration, and reward" test, the Wire Act's business-of-betting standard, and why the operator side, not the consumer side, is what actually matters. They also dig into the "Duck Test," the case that could eventually land in front of the Supreme Court, and why the outcome could determine whether prediction markets are regulated state by state or protected under federal preemption. If you've ever wondered whether prediction markets are just sportsbooks in disguise, this is the conversation that settles it.

The SEC stopped waiting for Congress. Harmony minted four billion tokens out of thin air. And on Robinhood's new chain, AI agents moved $200 million while the humans logged off. Joel and Travis cover the SEC's August 14 vote on Regulation Crypto — the first formal crypto rulemaking of Chairman Paul Atkins' tenure, landing days after the Senate left town without moving the CLARITY Act. Then: Harmony's empty-block exploit that minted 26% of ONE's total supply and the chain rollback the team is now weighing; Goldman Sachs buying NEOS Investments for $2.25 billion and inheriting a bitcoin income ETF; Tether becoming the 17th largest holder of US Treasuries on Earth; Anthropic watermarking everything Claude writes to satisfy the EU AI Act; H100 Group's world-first bitcoin-for-bitcoin acquisition; Hyperliquid's absurd $106 million of revenue per employee; and Anthropic's $9.1 billion, 20-year lease with bitcoin miner Riot Platforms — signed at a moment when it costs more to mine a bitcoin than a bitcoin is worth. Joel demos three AI builds including an America Online time capsule frozen in August 1996, and Travis walks through FourthWeb's agent swarm scraping 150-plus news sources every fifteen minutes. Plus: 52% of Gen Z investors have moved money earmarked for investing into sports betting, and 26% now call it part of their long-term financial strategy. Programming note — this is our second-to-last show before a hiatus. Joel's getting married. We'll be back in late November. We're not quitting. Not financial advice. Stay bad.Support the show: https://badcryptopodcast.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

DoubleZero Edge is partnering with Kalshi to deliver Wall Street-grade market data to the world's largest CFTC-regulated prediction market. Co-Founder Austin Federa joins Jennifer Sanasie on Markets Outlook to unpack why professional infrastructure took so long to reach crypto, what the 10/10 flash crash revealed about new finance's weaknesses, and why faster data could level the playing field for every trader, not just the big firms. Plus, in today's Brand New Rails, we meet the ship captain working to bring the $2 trillion commercial shipping industry on-chain. - Timecodes: 00:00 - Austin Federa Joins Markets Outlook 00:43 - DoubleZero x Kalshi: Inside the Announcement 02:30 - Why Wall Street Infrastructure Took So Long to Reach Crypto 04:36 - Brand New Rails: Tokenizing the $2 Trillion Shipping Industry 07:13 - Does Faster Data Hurt Retail Traders? 08:16 - Prediction Markets: More Than a Narrative 10:31 - Access, Disruption, and Federa's 2017 Thesis 12:13 - The Catalyst to Watch 13:11 - New Finance's Biggest Challenge - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. RealFi is launching August 2026. Join the Testnet now at realfi.co. - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie.

Plus: European vibe-coding startup Lovable notches $13 billion valuation. And rust-powered battery maker Form Energy raises $750 million to boost manufacturing. Danny Lewis hosts. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.