Podcasts about prediction markets

Elon Musk faces a multi-billion dollar verdict after a California jury finds his tweets misled Twitter shareholders, raising the stakes for tech CEOs with unchecked social media influence. Plus, CBS kills its legendary radio news service while podcasting explodes, signaling a dramatic shift in how America consumes, trusts, and pays for news. CBS News Shutters Radio Service After Nearly a Century A US appeals court puts on hold an earlier ruling that had blocked Perplexity from using its agentic shopping tool to shop on Amazon's marketplace FBI is buying location data to track US citizens, director confirms The 49MB Web Page Microsoft unveils MAJOR improvements coming to Windows 11 this year — movable Taskbar, reduced RAM usage, less AI and ads, and much more CONFIRMED: "We are evolving how Windows is built behind the scenes to raise the quality bar" Meta will shut down VR Horizon Worlds access in June Meta changes course on Horizon Worlds VR shut-down Gamers react with overwhelming disgust to DLSS 5's generative AI glow-ups Jury agrees that Musk's tweets during Twitter takeover misled investors After three months, Samsung is ending sales of the $2,899 Galaxy Z TriFold 200,000 Devices Erased? Pro-Iran Hackers Hit US Firm With Data-Wiping Attack Japan to allow 'proactive cyber-defense' from October 1st Sears Exposed AI Chatbot Phone Calls and Text Chats to Anyone on the Web Arizona AG files criminal charges against Kalshi over 'illegal gambling' Major League Baseball Steps Into the Prediction Markets, Strikes Deal With Polymarket Polymarket is opening a bar where you can drink and watch the world unravel in real time It's been 20 years since the first tweet Project Hail Mary is movie medicine The futurist who helped define tech trend reports just killed them (literally) This new cassette player has USB-C and Bluetooth, in case you want to ditch Spotify Host: Leo Laporte Guests: Janko Roettgers, Dan Patterson, and Lisa Schmeiser Download or subscribe to This Week in Tech at https://twit.tv/shows/this-week-in-tech Join Club TWiT for Ad-Free Podcasts! Support what you love and get ad-free audio and video feeds, a members-only Discord, and exclusive content. Join today: https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: meter.com/twit shopify.com/twit outsystems.com/twit preview.modulate.ai

While for now there are rumors swirling a new scoop from Laura Loomer suggests Tulsi Gabbard will resign shortly and people have already made huge bets on prediction markets that she will   Become A Member http://youtube.com/timcastnews/join The Green Room - https://rumble.com/playlists/aa56qw_g-j0 BUY CAST BREW COFFEE TO FIGHT BACK - https://castbrew.com/ Join The Discord Server - https://timcast.com/join-us/ Hang Out With Tim Pool & Crew LIVE At - http://Youtube.com/TimcastIRL Go to http://kalshi.com/timcast and get a $10 credit to trade on any market of your choosing!

In three parts I'll make the case that in Q1 of this year, the AI race has become basically a land grab for design and development tasks. MLB fully embraces our new prediction market overlords. Even if they're behind in AI Apple is still making big money from AI. And Uber is still placing bets in the self-driving race. Google introduces 'vibe design' with Stitch (The Deep View) OpenAI to Acquire Startup Astral, Expanding Push Into Coding (Bloomberg) Crypto.com cuts around 12% of staff as CEO pushes enterprise-wide AI integration (The Block) Major League Baseball Steps Into the Prediction Markets, Strikes Deal With Polymarket (WSJ) Apple Is Way Behind in AI—and Still Making a Fortune From It (WSJ) Uber to invest $1.25 billion in Rivian as part of new robotaxi deal (The Verge) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

For the Good of the Public brings you news and weekly conversations at the intersection of faith and civic life. Monday through Thursday, The Morning Five starts your day off with scripture and prayer, as we also catch up on the news together. Throughout the year, we air limited series on Fridays to dive deeper into conversations with civic leaders, thinkers, and public servants reimagining public life for the good of the public. Today's host was Michael Wear, Founder, President and CEO of the Center for Christianity and Public Life.  Thanks for listening to The Morning Five! Please subscribe to and rate The Morning Five on your favorite podcast platform. Learn more about the work of the Center for Christianity and Public Life at www.ccpubliclife.org. Today's scripture: Psalm 46 (NIV) News sources:  https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2026/03/17/joe-kent-resigns-iran-war/  https://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/03/17/world/iran-war-trump-oil-lebanon/heres-the-latest?smid=url-share  ​​https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2026/03/17/congress/senate-launches-debate-on-trump-backed-elections-bill-00832602  https://www.wsj.com/us-news/law/arizona-ag-sues-kalshi-alleging-illegal-gambling-betting-on-states-elections-b387d276?mod=hp_lead_pos6  https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/2026/04/online-sports-betting-app-addiction/686061/?gift=66OeTwjwIWd7-zlTK2lFDi3Q8DuxbBUQfdARMQEcv-Y&utm_source=copy-link&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=share  Join the conversation and follow us at: Instagram: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@michaelwear⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, @ccpubliclife Twitter: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@MichaelRWear⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, @ccpubliclife and check out ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@tsfnetwork⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ Music by: King Sis #politics #faith #prayer #scripture #JoeKent #TrumpAdministration #news #Iran #War #Senate #VoterID #Gambling #PredictionMarkets Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Can prediction markets coexist with traditional sportsbooks and financial platforms?Dustin Gouker is a journalist and consultant covering sports betting and prediction markets. He publishes the newsletters The Closing Line and The Event Horizon, where he tracks the rapidly evolving intersection of gambling, finance, and event-based trading.Timestamps➡️ 1:15 — How prediction markets re-emerged after the 2024 election and Kalshi court ruling➡️ 3:33 — The Super Bowl “Cardi B performed” market controversy➡️ 6:25 — Why vague market rules create settlement disputes➡️ 7:34 — The financialization and “gamblification” of everyday events➡️ 10:23 — Insider trading concerns in prediction markets➡️ 12:41 — DraftKings acquiring a CFTC-regulated exchange and the sportsbook response➡️ 17:00 — Why prediction market volume numbers are often misunderstood➡️ 20:18 — The coming clash between sportsbooks and prediction market platforms➡️ 27:18 — Are prediction markets really “truth machines”?➡️ 33:33 — The risks of speculation and the future of event-based tradingSponsor: Day One Law, a boutique corporate law firm founded by Nick Pullman. Nick and his team at Day One provide strategic legal counsel to startups, crypto projects, and Web3 innovators. ⁠You can get in contact with them via this link⁠: ⁠⁠https://www.dayonelaw.xyz/#contactResources: ✉️ The Closing Line✉️ The Event Horizon ✉️ Dustin's newsletter on DraftKings' acquisition of RailbirdDisclaimer: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute legal or investment advice. Views expressed by the guest are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of their employers. Listening to this podcast does not create an attorney-client relationship.

Tom Sosnoff is a veteran trader and entrepreneur, the founder of LossDog, and the builder of multiple billion-dollar companies. In this conversation, we discuss why volatility creates opportunity, how he thinks about active investing across asset classes, and why he believes crypto deserves a place in every portfolio. We also talk about options trading, oil and commodity volatility, the rise of self-directed investors, prediction markets, AI's role in portfolio construction and financial advice, and how Tom is thinking about building the next generation of investing tools.=====================Arch Public is an agentic trading platform that automates the buying and selling of your preferred crypto strategies. Sign up today at https://www.archpublic.com and start your automated trading strategy for free. No catch. No hidden fees. Just smarter trading.=====================Simple Mining makes Bitcoin mining simple and accessible for everyone. We offer a premium white glove hosting service, helping you maximize the profitability of Bitcoin mining. For more information on Simple Mining or to get started mining Bitcoin, visit https://www.simplemining.io/pomp=====================0:00 - Why traders stay long crypto in volatile markets0:52 - The real problem with today's economy & the future of investing5:26 - Rise of the self-directed investor8:55 - How to trade extreme market volatility11:08 - Why everyone should own bitcoin12:09 - Selling volatility & options strategies20:25 - Navigating chaos in today's macro environment22:19 - Trader mindset vs entrepreneur mindset24:29 - Building an AI investing platform26:38 - Why options trading is exploding28:30 - Thoughts around Prediction Markets 32:46 - How AI will disrupt financial advisors34:40 - Tom's $1M crypto giveaway

The next great battle in finance may not be over stocks, crypto, or even payments. It may be over where the $90 trillion great wealth transfer actually lands. In this episode, Robinhood founder and CEO Vlad Tenev returns to Bankless for a fast-moving conversation on how Robinhood wants to position itself for that generational handoff, why he believes 24/7 markets and tokenization are inevitable, and why the popular narrative around Gen Z as financially reckless misses what he's seeing on-platform. ---

This week on “Talk About Las Vegas With Ira,” Ira sits down with Roger Gros, editor-at-large of "Global Gaming Business" and host of three industry podcasts. Roger shares his unlikely journey into the gaming world—starting out as a musician before heading to Atlantic City to perform. That trip led him to a job dealing cards at Caesars Atlantic City, a move that eventually launched a decades-long career covering the casino industry as one of its most respected journalists. In this episode, Roger discusses how dramatically the media landscape has changed over the years and reveals the most surprising transformation he's witnessed in gaming. He explains the rapid rise of online gaming and sounds the alarm about prediction markets—a new betting-style system where participants don't place bets but instead “trade” on out-comes. Roger also talks about protecting the integrity of gaming, the role of the Nevada Gaming Control Board, and highlights the often overlooked innovators shaping the modern casino industry. Along the way, he makes a spirited case that Elvis Presley and Howard Hughes both de-serve a place in the Gaming Hall of Fame. Now based in Boulder City, Nevada, where he's lived for the past 20 years, Roger keeps close tabs on the gaming world while producing three podcasts: “The Boulder City Podcast,” “The Gaming Legacy Podcast,” and the “GGB Podcast,” where he interviews both veter-an legends and today's industry leaders—including his first “Gaming Legacy Podcast” guest, Jack Binion. He also explains why he prefers recording interviews in person whenever possible—and shares whether he's optimistic about the future of Las Vegas. (Also Watch Full Podcast Video)

I sat down with Dewey and Igor from Function Space at ETHDenver to discuss how they're building something fundamentally different in prediction markets. They're not creating another venue like Polymarket or Kalshi. Instead, they're building the primitive layer underneath - enabling developers to create numerical range forecasting markets for anything from Tesla's quarterly revenue to Apple's iPhone sales. We explore why they believe prediction markets can become a superset of all financial instruments, the challenges of building in such a competitive space, and why being at the protocol level might be the smartest play. If you're interested in the infrastructure powering the next generation of prediction markets, this conversation reveals what's happening beneath the surface. • [00:00] Function Space is building the primitive layer for prediction markets, not another venue• [02:00] The team's background from BankSA and their transition into prediction markets• [03:00] Function Space enables numerical range forecasting vs binary yes/no contracts• [06:00] The business model centers on native token demand for market resolution• [09:00] Emerging trends: Pre-ICO TGE markets and yield hedging for DeFi protocols• [13:00] Why building at the protocol level consolidates liquidity better than fragmented venues• [18:00] Prediction markets becoming primitives themselves - like Condo Finance using positions as collateral• [21:00] The challenge of being novel: communicating concepts that don't exist yet• [23:00] Prediction markets divorced from crypto cycles - volumes up even when crypto's down• [26:00] Actively seeking builders and advanced traders for their private trial programConnect with FunctionSpace:https://www.functionspace.dev/ https://x.com/functionspaceHQhttps://t.me/+pUEOlfRhHspiNmRlDisclaimer:Nothing mentioned in this podcast is investment advice and please do your own research. It would mean a lot if you can leave a review of this podcast on Apple Podcasts or Spotify and share this podcast with a friend. Be a guest on the podcast or contact us - https://www.web3pod.xyz/

En este nuevo segmento de finanzas en Café en Mano, nos sentamos nuevamente con Carlos Feliciano de CAF Investments para hablar claro y sin filtro sobre lo que está pasando con tu dinero, la economía y el mundo.Desmentimos la mala información que corre en las redes sobre las inversiones en propiedades versus la bolsa de valores. Carlos nos explica cómo la reciente guerra y la tensión en Irán afectan directamente nuestro bolsillo, el precio de la luz y el valor de nuestros planes de retiro (401k). Además, hablamos del peligroso auge de las aplicaciones de apuestas y "Prediction Markets" que están arruinando las finanzas de muchos jóvenes.¿Qué significa realmente ser millonario hoy en día? ¿Cómo puedes empezar a invertir si no tienes experiencia? Todo esto y mucho más en este episodio. ¡Busca tu libreta!☕ Este episodio es traído a ustedes por Fus Telecom, internet sin preocupaciones.

Prediction markets are evolving from a niche hobby into a sophisticated asset class as trading volumes for events like the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament surge by 3,000% year-over-year. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, these federally regulated exchanges allow for peer-to-peer trading and flexible exits, mimicking the structure of traditional financial markets. Asaf Meir of Solidus Labs discusses how this shift attracts a new generation of retail investors looking to hedge risk through geopolitical and economic outcomes. He also highlights recent guidance from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) regarding market integrity and the necessity of real-time surveillance to prevent manipulation in the U.S. financial landscape.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

This Day in Legal History: Butler ActOn March 13, 1925, the Tennessee General Assembly approved the Butler Act, a statute that made it unlawful for public school teachers to present any theory that denied the biblical account of human creation. The law specifically prohibited teaching that humans evolved from lower forms of life, reflecting growing tensions between scientific ideas and religious beliefs in early twentieth-century America. Tennessee lawmakers framed the statute as a way to protect traditional moral values in public education. Critics, however, immediately argued that the law restricted academic freedom and undermined the teaching of modern science.The controversy quickly escalated when a young teacher, John T. Scopes, agreed to challenge the statute. Scopes was charged with violating the Butler Act after he allowed evolution to be discussed in his classroom. His prosecution led to the famous 1925 Scopes “Monkey” Trial in Dayton, Tennessee. The trial drew national attention and featured two of the era's most prominent legal figures: Clarence Darrow for the defense and William Jennings Bryan for the prosecution. Their courtroom clash turned the case into a dramatic public debate over science, religion, and the role of government in shaping school curricula.Although Scopes was ultimately convicted and fined $100, the trial exposed deep cultural divisions within the United States. Media coverage portrayed the proceedings as a symbolic struggle between modern scientific thinking and religious fundamentalism. Over time, the Butler Act came to be seen by many as an example of government overreach into education and intellectual inquiry. Tennessee formally repealed the statute in 1967, decades after the trial had become a lasting symbol of the conflict between science and law.Federal Circuit Judge Pauline Newman has asked the U.S. Supreme Court to review her ongoing challenge to a suspension imposed by her fellow judges. In a petition filed Thursday, the 98-year-old judge argues that the D.C. Circuit wrongly ruled that courts cannot review many challenges to judicial suspension orders under the Judicial Conduct and Disability Act. Newman contends that the statute should allow review when suspension decisions violate the law or the Constitution. Her petition claims the lower court misinterpreted the law by blocking challenges to actions that exceed the authority granted under the statute. Newman argues that her suspension effectively removes her from the bench without impeachment, which she says undermines constitutional protections for judicial independence and lifetime tenure.The Federal Circuit's judicial council first suspended Newman in 2023 after concerns that potential mental or physical health issues made her unable to perform judicial duties. The suspension followed her refusal to undergo medical evaluations requested by her colleagues and was characterized as serious misconduct. Although the suspension was initially set for one year, it has been renewed twice. Newman appealed through the internal judicial review process, but a national committee of judges upheld the suspension in 2024. She also challenged the suspension in federal court, arguing that parts of the judicial discipline law are unconstitutional. Both a district court and the D.C. Circuit dismissed the case, relying on a statutory provision stating that disciplinary orders under the act are final and not subject to judicial review. Newman now asks the Supreme Court to clarify whether courts may still review suspension orders that allegedly exceed legal or constitutional limits.Judge Newman Takes Suspension Battle To Supreme Court - Law36098-year-old judge asks US Supreme Court to hear case over her suspension | ReutersThe U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has begun the process of developing regulations for prediction markets, issuing an advance notice of proposed rulemaking and asking the public for input on how the industry should be governed. The agency said the move is intended to support innovation while ensuring prediction markets operate within the framework of the Commodity Exchange Act. Interest in regulation has grown as more companies apply to register as designated contract markets, with many applications coming from prediction market platforms. These platforms allow users to trade on the outcomes of events such as sports games, elections, and entertainment awards.The CFTC is seeking feedback on several issues, including whether margin trading should be allowed, what types of event contracts might be harmful to the public interest, and whether individuals with insider knowledge should be restricted from trading on certain outcomes. At the same time, the agency released staff guidance reminding platforms to avoid contracts that could be easily manipulated, such as those tied to specific player injuries or actions by a single referee. The guidance also explains that platforms can list new contracts through a self-certification process, although the CFTC can intervene if it believes a contract violates the law.The regulatory effort comes amid ongoing legal disputes about who has authority over prediction markets. The CFTC maintains that it has exclusive jurisdiction, while several states have attempted to regulate or restrict these platforms under gambling laws. Meanwhile, members of Congress have introduced legislation that would ban certain types of event contracts, including those related to violence or death, and strengthen rules against insider trading on prediction markets.CFTC Proposes Prediction Markets Rule - Law360CFTC Seeks Public Comment on Advanced Notice of Proposed Rulemaking Relating to Prediction MarketsThe Trump administration has filed a lawsuit against California seeking to block the state's Advanced Clean Cars I (ACC I) regulations, arguing that the rules unlawfully interfere with federal authority over vehicle fuel economy standards. The lawsuit, brought by the U.S. Department of Justice and the Department of Transportation, targets California rules adopted in 2012 that require automakers to sell increasing numbers of low-emission and zero-emission vehicles. Federal officials claim the regulations effectively force manufacturers to meet stricter nationwide standards and function as a quota system for electric vehicles.According to the complaint, California cannot impose its own limits on vehicle emissions because the federal Energy Policy and Conservation Act gives the federal government authority to set fuel-economy standards through the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. The administration argues that California's requirements could increase vehicle prices, reduce consumer choice, and disrupt the national auto market. Federal officials also say Congress revoked certain Clean Air Act waivers in 2025 that previously allowed California to enforce some emissions rules.California leaders strongly dispute the lawsuit and say the state is defending policies designed to reduce pollution and expand access to cleaner vehicles. State officials argue the federal government is attempting to undermine California's environmental regulations and its efforts to lead the transition to cleaner transportation. The lawsuit is part of a broader series of legal disputes between the federal government and California over vehicle emissions standards and electric-vehicle mandates.Feds Sue To Stop California's ‘Illegal' EV Regulations - Law360U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) told a federal court that it is making progress on a system to refund about $166 billion in tariffs that were ruled unlawful. According to a court filing, the agency's four-part refund system is between 40% and 80% complete, with the review portion the most developed and the mass-processing component the least finished. The system will include an online portal where importers and brokers can submit claims for reimbursement.The filing was submitted to the U.S. Court of International Trade in response to an order from a judge directing the government to begin refunding tariffs after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down most of the tariffs in February. The Court's decision invalidated tariffs collected since February 2024 but did not explain how refunds should be handled. CBP previously suggested building a new system to process claims rather than using its existing process, and officials say the new portal could begin accepting applications as soon as mid-April.More than 330,000 importers paid the tariffs on roughly 53 million shipments, though only about 21,000 importers are currently registered to receive refunds. Refunds will go only to the companies that originally paid the tariffs, and there is no legal requirement that businesses pass the money on to consumers. Some companies, including FedEx, have said they will reimburse customers, while Costco indicated it may lower prices using the refunded funds. Meanwhile, new legal disputes are emerging as businesses and states challenge additional tariffs imposed after the Supreme Court ruling.US customs agency says building system for tariff refunds is 40% to 80% complete | Reuters This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.minimumcomp.com/subscribe

A new candidate plans a run for the U.S. Senate.Tribes worry about the impact of prediction markets on gaming.What would Oklahoma classrooms look like without screens?You can find the KOSU Daily wherever you get your podcasts, you can also subscribe, rate us and leave a comment.You can keep up to date on all the latest news throughout the day at KOSU.org and make sure to follow us on Facebook, Tik Tok and Instagram at KOSU Radio.This is The KOSU Daily, Oklahoma news, every weekday.

This week people are writing the narratives they want to hear! The internet was in a tizzy when Timothee Chalamet suggested that Opera and Ballet are struggling art forms even though he was right. People are oh-so inspired by Ryan Murphy's interpretation of Carolyn Bessette Kennedy. And finally, the news is being written by the highest bidder.  7 min: Celebrities with Abs 17 min: The Kennedys and Love Story  33 min: Timmy vs. The Opera  53 min: The Prediction Market  79 min: Caps Off ___________________________________ Keep up with all the latest: https://www.goodnoticings.com/ Read our many musings on Substack: https://goodnoticings.substack.com/ Join the Patreon for new, exclusive episodes every Friday! https://www.patreon.com/c/goodnoticings Follow us on: TikTok- @goodnoticingspod Instagram- @goodnoticingspod Theme song by: Bri Connelly  ___________________________________ The Kennedys:  https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/06/opinion/daryl-hannah-love-story-jfk-jr.html https://www.bbc.com/culture/article/20260212-carolyn-bessette-kennedy-the-true-story-behind-the-mysterious-and-tragic-us-icon Ballet and Opera:  https://theviolinchannel.com/report-shows-us-ballet-companies-2023-financial-year-results/ https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/08/arts/met-opera-peter-gelb-finances.html https://www.theatlantic.com/entertainment/archive/2015/08/american-dance-critic/399908/ https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/29/opinion/culture/opera-english-latin-language.html Zara Larsson Abs:  https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/celebrity/articles/zara-larsson-ab-routine-unusually-183500356.html Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

John Cassidy, staff writer at The New Yorker and the author of Capitalism and Its Critics: A History: From the Industrial Revolution to AI (Macmillan, 2025) talks about his recent story, "How to Prevent Insider Trading on Trump's Wars" and other recent takes on economics and politics.photo:  Karoline Leavitt at her first Press Conference in 2025 (YouTube channel called White House, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons)

Mar 10, 2026 – After oil spiked near $120 this week, prices tumbled following President Trump's bold claim that the conflict is nearing its end. Yet, with conflicting reports and fresh news of potential Iranian mining operations, the Strait of Hormuz...

In this episode, I speak with Phil from Augur about why prediction markets still matter and why decentralization in crypto still matters even more. We unpack Augur's long history as one of the earliest projects in crypto, why it lost momentum during high-fee Ethereum days, and why the team believes now is the right time to return. Phil explains how Augur is rebuilding around a modular oracle, how prediction market resolution really works, and why security at the oracle layer is the real game.We also dive into Augur's new white paper, the idea of making truth profitable, and how their escalation game and algorithmic fork are designed to make manipulation expensive. This is a deep but important conversation for anyone building in Web3, following prediction markets, or thinking about the future of decentralized infrastructure.Key points00:01:00 — Augur's early historyAugus explains that Augur was one of the earliest crypto projects, the first ICO, and the first ERC20 token. He also shares how it helped bring prediction markets and decentralized oracles into crypto.00:02:00 — Why Augur lost momentumAugus talks about how DeFi summer and high Ethereum L1 gas fees made Augur harder to use, especially for smaller wagers.00:03:30 — What crypto got wrong about decentralizationWe discuss how many projects promised to decentralize later, but often never followed through. Augus explains why Augur's original design stood apart.00:04:30 — The revival of AugurAugus explains how leftover treasury funds were used to restart development and how the new foundation was formed in 2025 to continue Augur's mission.00:06:30 — What prediction market users are really betting onAugus explains that users are not only betting on an outcome. They are also trusting how that outcome will be resolved.00:08:30 — Why resolution design mattersWe break down why trusting a multisig or centralized team becomes risky when prediction markets get large.00:09:30 — Augur's oracle designAugus explains that Augur's core innovation is a decentralized oracle that allows open participation in market resolution.00:12:00 — Making truth profitableAugus explains Augur's core design principle: align incentives so honest participants make money by supporting the truth.00:15:30 — The limit of escalation gamesAugus explains that escalation alone is not enough because a very large attacker could still outspend everyone else.00:16:00 — Augur's algorithmic forkAugus introduces Augur's key innovation: an algorithmic fork that forces dishonest attackers into the wrong universe.00:17:00 — How the fork works in practiceAugus explains how REP holders migrate into the universe they believe will retain economic value, which pushes honest users toward the truthful outcome.00:19:30 — How attackers lose moneyWe discuss how attackers may win a specific market but still lose overall because their tokens become worthless in the false universe.00:21:15 — How Augur makes moneySam asks about the business model, and Augus explains that Augur is not run for profit. Fees stay inside the protocol to pay for research and participation.00:24:00 — The next 12 months for AugurAugus shares that Augur is separating the oracle from the prediction market front end and focusing on oracle-as-a-service.00:26:00 — What Augur is looking forAugus says they are not fundraising. Instead, they want strong developers, aligned talent, and partnerships with prediction market platforms.Connect with Augurhttps://augur.net/ https://augur.net/blog/the-augur-lituus-whitepaper/https://x.com/AugurProjectDisclaimerNothing mentioned in this podcast is investment advice and please do your own research.It would mean a lot if you can leave a review of this podcast on ApplePodcasts or Spotify and share this podcast with a friend.Be a guest on the podcast or contact us - https://www.web3pod.xyz/

Tune in live every weekday Monday through Friday from 9:00 AM Eastern to 10:15 AM.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Buy our NFT⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Join our Discord⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Check out our Twitter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Check out our YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠DISCLAIMER: The views shared on this show are the hosts' opinions only and should not be taken as financial advice. This content is for entertainment and informational purposes.

CFTC Chairman Michael Selig discusses prediction markets, sports betting, and regulation. Selig also commented on his belief that bets could risk becoming an 'Assassination Market'. Selig spoke with Bloomberg's Tim Stenovec.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this week's episode of the Rich Habits Podcast, Robert Croak and Austin Hankwitz explain how to use prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi to their fullest potential. ---

Scott, cofounder of SideSwap, joins the show to talk about what his team has been quietly building in the Liquid ecosystem. We cover SideSwap's atomic swap markets, their peg-in/peg-out service, and how partners like Aqua Wallet are plugging into their infrastructure. Scott breaks down the new Liquid Connect feature, their first Simplicity based binary outcome contracts on Swaption, and the roadmap toward Bitcoin native prediction markets on Liquid. We also get into Liquid's privacy advantages over Tron and Ethereum for Tether users, the surprising growth of the Brazilian stablecoin dePix, the federation trust model debate, and why liquid adoption has been slow but may finally be turning a corner.Sideswap: https://sideswap.ioSwaption: https://swaption.ioLiquid Explorer: https://liquid.networkTether Stats: https://usdt.networkSideswap on X: https://x.com/side_swapEPISODE: 194BLOCK: 940011PRICE: 1452 sats per dollar(03:00) Introducing Scott and Sideswap(05:01) Non‑custodial swaps, peg‑in/peg‑out, and order books(08:08) Liquidity on Liquid: USDT vs. dePix in Brazil(10:03) Market making tools and dealer participation(11:58) Why Liquid adoption lagged and what may change(14:08) Confidential transactions, Tether on Liquid, and privacy gains(18:10) USDT on Liquid: issuance, custody patterns, and censorship resistance(21:08) Prediction markets on Liquid: vision and building blocks(24:46) Designing binary contracts and oracle models(28:54) Trust models: Liquid federation vs. alt L2s(33:29) Pragmatism in scaling: Spark, Phoenix, and layered ledgers(36:33) Liquid Wallet Connect and Swaption MVP(41:13) Ecosystem growth, integrations, and Brazil network effects(43:19) Simplicity on Liquid: why it matters for Bitcoiners(46:26) Calls to action: try swaps, order books, and Swaption(50:31) User experience: Lightning vs. Liquid in practice(52:41) AI agents and potential Liquid use cases(54:46) Roadmap: Satoshi Dice, oracles, and a Polymarket‑style proof of conceptmore info on the show: https://citadeldispatch.comlearn more about me: https://odell.xyzmonitor the situation: https://citadelwire.com

On this Tuesday, March 10 edition of Wake Up America, Austin Petersen breaks down a nation at a crossroads. From the terrifying federal charges unsealed against the ISIS-inspired bombers in New York City to the technological and financial revolutions shaping our future, we are diving deep into the fight for reality. While the "Government-God" bureaucrats fail to keep us safe, the private sector, autonomous technology, and prediction markets are providing the clarity the mainstream media refuses to give you. TOPICS COVERED

Welcome to this week's episode of the PEBCAK Podcast!  We've got four amazing stories this week so sit back, relax, and keep being awesome!  Be sure to stick around for our Dad Joke of the Week. (DJOW) Follow us on Instagram @pebcakpodcast   Please share this podcast with someone you know!  It helps us grow the podcast and we really appreciate it!   Simple 6 signup link https://simple6.co/r/CFUR98   US Cyber Command aided in Iran strikes https://www.nextgov.com/cybersecurity/2026/03/how-cyber-command-contributed-operation-epic-fury-against-iran/411818/   FBI arrests crypto thief https://www.bleepingcomputer.com/news/security/fbi-arrests-suspect-linked-to-46m-crypto-theft-from-us-marshals/   Millions stolen from Korean Tax Authority https://www.bleepingcomputer.com/news/security/48m-in-crypto-stolen-after-korean-tax-agency-exposes-wallet-seed/   Users revolt against Kalshi over Iran prediction https://nypost.com/2026/03/05/business/kalshi-refuses-to-pay-winnings-on-54m-trade-related-to-khameneis-death-drawing-user-fury/     Dad Joke of the Week (DJOW)   Find the hosts on LinkedIn: Chris - https://www.linkedin.com/in/chlouie/ Brian - https://www.linkedin.com/in/briandeitch-sase/ Dusten - https://www.linkedin.com/in/dusten-henderson-653889109/

The mindset of a poker pro can now be applied outside of a narrow game.In Episode #517 of 'Meanderings', Juan & I discuss: Annie Duke's 'Thinking In Bets' book and how the poker mindset can reshape everyday decision-making, why focusing on process over outcomes matters, how using AI as a sounding board revealed hidden risk-taking in my own finances, testing assumptions in small experiments before going all-in, how arbitrage opportunities appear with prediction markets and why clarity on desired outcomes should drive bet-sizing. No support for this week so no beanie either. Also my laptop died suddenly hence the rather curt cut off at the end. Luckily we were almost done anyway phew. Stan Link: https://stan.store/meremortalsTimeline: (00:00:00) Intro(00:03:22) Outcome vs process: luck, good decisions, and post mortems(00:09:16) Poker as repeated high impact decisions and learning while folding(00:12:45) Symmetry, asymmetry, and spotting obviously bad bets(00:18:34) Focus on decision quality, not results: lessons from early poker hands(00:23:34) Plans that fail from wrong models: refining sell strategies(00:28:15) Designing a simple, robust framework: time, percentage, and mean reversion(00:31:28) Support break and playful side bets (brief interlude)(00:31:59) Defining enough: goals, asymmetry, and chasing deltas(00:35:18) Context is king: life design vs maximising returns(00:38:56) Lifestyle upgrades vs status buys(00:42:39) Comparing lives you don't want(00:45:14) Test your dreams: mini retirements and truth over fantasy(00:48:25) Prediction markets 101: from politics to Eurovision(00:51:08) Arbitrage basics: finding edge across bookmakers(00:56:24) Overconfidence, Dunning Kruger and too much information(01:01:02) Avoiding tilt: energy, time, and knowing when to walk away(01:03:27) AI flights of fancy: unified physics and healthy scepticism(01:05:01) Wrap up: from thinking in bets to betting on ideas Connect with Mere Mortals:Website: https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/Discord: https://discord.gg/jjfq9eGReUTwitter/X: https://twitter.com/meremortalspodsInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/meremortalspodcasts/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@meremortalspodcastsValue 4 Value Support:Boostagram: https://www.meremortalspodcasts.com/supportPaypal: https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/meremortalspodcast

Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are rapidly expanding—with over $63 billion in 2025 volume—and are increasingly likely to reach the U.S. Supreme Court (SCOTUS) by 2026–2027. A legal battle is brewing between platforms arguing they are federally regulated "event contracts" (via CFTC) and state regulators labeling them illegal gambling.Guest: Ryan VanGrack, VP of Legal and Global Head of Litigation at Coinbase00:00 intro00:09 Private Market Exposure00:44 Investing in Polymarket vs Kalshi01:49 USDC Yields & No Fees02:50 A.I. Agents Will Look For Lowest Fees03:50 Chris Christie vs Prediction Markets04:29 Quacks Like Gary Gensler06:09 Sportsbook vs Derivatives07:40 Federal vs State Regulators08:39 Kalshi Contract Outrage12:18 War Markets?13:46 Social Utility16:20 Insider Trading & Manipulation16:57 It's Already Being Policed18:15 New Tax on Losses if States Win20:03 LIGHTNING ROUND#Crypto #Polymarket #Kalshi~Will Prediction Markets Be Banned?

Meta and News Corp reached a licensing deal this week. Plus, defense contractors untangle Claude from their workflows.But first, the online prediction marketplace Kalshi lets users bet on the outcome of many things that can happen in the future. One bet that saw a lot of action was whether Ali Khamenei would be ousted as the supreme leader in Iran. Khamenei was killed over the weekend during a U.S. military strike.Kalshi didn't pay out the bets that were placed after Khamenei's death. Instead, it reimbursed those traders. And this outraged some users on the site. Marketplace's Stephanie Hughes spoke with Paresh Dave, senior writer at Wired, about all these headlines from the week in tech.

Meta and News Corp reached a licensing deal this week. Plus, defense contractors untangle Claude from their workflows.But first, the online prediction marketplace Kalshi lets users bet on the outcome of many things that can happen in the future. One bet that saw a lot of action was whether Ali Khamenei would be ousted as the supreme leader in Iran. Khamenei was killed over the weekend during a U.S. military strike.Kalshi didn't pay out the bets that were placed after Khamenei's death. Instead, it reimbursed those traders. And this outraged some users on the site. Marketplace's Stephanie Hughes spoke with Paresh Dave, senior writer at Wired, about all these headlines from the week in tech.

Matt and Nic are back for another week of news and deals. In this episode:  What Dario Amodei and SBF have in common Trump wades in to the market structure debate and asks the banks to come to the table Why stablecoins are not like banks Kraken Financial gets a skinny Fed master account Visa and Bridge are rolling out stablecoin-linked cards The FBI arrests a suspect accused of stealing $46m in BTC from the US marshalls Morgan Stanley is coming out with their own Bitcoin ETF The Aave token governance controversy rumbles on Kalshi's traders are upset about their "death market" policy Content mentioned in this episode: The CIV Youtube Channel Alpen Labs, Size Matters: Architecting BTC Credit Markets

A surprising February jobs report is raising new questions about the strength of the labor market. The economy lost 92,000 jobs last month weighed down by severe winter weather and a strike at a major health care provider. CNBC's Steve Liesman and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly break down the data, the broader economic picture, and what it could mean for the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. Then, former U.S. Congressman Sean Maloney, now CEO of the Coalition for Prediction Markets, discusses the future of prediction markets, concerns about insider trading, and what regulation might look like in this fast-growing space. Plus, Kristi Noem is out as Homeland Security Secretary, the Pentagon labels Anthropic a “supply chain risk,” and the war with Iran enters its seventh day.   Mary Daly - 16:08 Sean Maloney - 33:25   In this episode: Steve Liesman, @steveliesman  Mary Daly, @MaryDalyEcon Andrew Ross Sorkin, @andrewrsorkin Joe Kernen, @JoeSquawk Becky Quick, @BeckyQuick Katie Kramer, @Kramer_Katie Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Are these markets more accurate than traditional polling? Do they invite insider trading and corruption? Should Congress ban wagering tied to government decisions? And is betting on regime change ethically different from betting on the Super Bowl? From Iran to Texas Senate races to the Oscars, this conversation explores the explosive rise of prediction markets — and whether they're a powerful forecasting tool or a dystopian step too far. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Dr. Beckett interviews Josh Luber, discussing Luber's 136-page book on “BlindBoxification”, covering transparency versus mystery in the hobby, hybrid product concepts, and Panini's outlook without full licensing. Beckett highlights Griffey's rise prior to grading and factory set production, then points to prediction markets as a major emerging topic—raising issues like insider knowledge, manipulation, regulation, and examples of real-world event control. They discuss pseudonymous hobby identities and how real-world presence can act as a safeguard. Beckett and Luber explore “truly collectible cards” (TCCs)—cards that aren't for sale—contrasting illiquid “inaccessible” grails with liquid bellwether cards. Beckett shares his 1977 experience splitting a 1952 Topps set to keep 406 cards while a partner took the Mantle, using it to frame what makes a card iconic, alongside T206 Honus Wagner. They revisit how “hits” used to be high-number short prints and speculate on series-by-series supply differences, including Beckett's thesis about the 1952 Topps fifth series drop-off and the Mantle double print. The conversation also contrasts earlier hobby knowledge-sharing with today's widespread access to data (e.g., pop reports and market tools), and concludes with Wagner's long-standing mystique predating grading, PSA's origins in coin grading, and challenges graders face with trimming detection and policy choices.   00:48 Transparency and Licensing Talk 01:33 Griffey Before Grading 02:09 Prediction Markets in Cards 04:37 Handles and Hobby Pseudonyms 05:35 Truly Collectible Cards 07:38 What Makes a Card Iconic 08:54 High Numbers as the Hits 11:21 Information Then vs Now 13:52 Wagner Mystique and Grading Origins    

Prediction markets may revolutionize the municipal bond industry by improving credit transparency, trading efficiencies, hedging strategies and portfolio management. On the inaugural episode of the Masters of the Muniverse podcast, MMA founder Tom Doe and Bloomberg Intelligence's new head of municipal research and strategy, Matthew Gastall, discuss the possibilities and promise of prediction markets. They also explore potential policy actions in regions exposed to the greatest infrastructure and energy risks. The Masters of the Muniverse podcast is part of BI's FICC Focus series.

Next week's schedule: Monday, Wednesday, Thursday! Welcome to another Coca Thursday! Or as we are now calling it Coca will debate David about some random topic sandwiched between other sports topics he's curious about. Not the best name for the hour, but we're working on it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Next week's schedule: Monday, Wednesday, Thursday! Welcome to another Coca Thursday! Or as we are now calling it Coca will debate David about some random topic sandwiched between other sports topics he's curious about. Not the best name for the hour, but we're working on it! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Today let's talk about prediction markets, which continue to insert themselves into the news cycle and the news in increasingly weird, unsettling, and potentially illegal ways.  My guest today is Liz Lopatto, a senior reporter at The Verge who owns what we cheerfully call the chaos beat. Liz has been writing a lot about prediction markets lately and especially why they all seem so intent on being perceived as sources of news — a position which directly incentivizes insider trading. That in turn creates a long list of very predictable problems. Links: Prediction markets want to eat the news | The Verge How anonymous bettors cashed In on the Iran strike | NYT With Iran, Kalshi & Polymarket Bet on the Depravity Economy | 404 Media Polymarket pulls bet on nuclear detonation in 2026 | 404 Media Polymarket defends betting on war as ‘invaluable' | The Verge Someone made a ton of money betting on Maduro's capture | The Verge Are prediction markets gambling? Robinhood CEO bets no | Decoder Prediction markets roll out war bets beyond Washington's reach | Bloomberg Polymarket partners with Substack for some reason  | The Verge It's MAGA v Broligarch in the battle over prediction markets | The Verge Subscribe to The Verge to access the ad-free version of Decoder! Credits: Decoder is a production of The Verge and part of the Vox Media Podcast Network. Decoder is produced by Kate Cox and Nick Statt and edited by Ursa Wright. Our editorial director is Kevin McShane.  The Decoder music is by Breakmaster Cylinder. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Crypto's vibe check time: Jez (izebel_eth) joins the crew to dissect whether idealism is RIP, if cypherpunks should abandon hope, how Memecoins and asset mayhem changed the game, why prediction markets are both truth engines and regulatory minefields, and where real permissionless finance is actually winning in the middle of global chaos. Welcome to The Chopping Block — where crypto insiders Haseeb Qureshi, Tom Schmidt, Tarun Chitra, and Robert Leshner chop it up about the latest in crypto. This week the gang is joined by super-perpetuals-junkie Jez for a spicy look at whether crypto has lost its soul — or if things are just getting interesting. Is crypto's vibe shift just growing pains, or did Memecoins and jaded traders nuke our idealism for good? The crew rehashes dreams of cypherpunk glory, debates the “death of the dream,” and gets existential about crypto's place in a world where everything is either a commodity, a meme, or a permissionless financial machine. Plus: War in Iran sends TradFi running, but DeFi markets are live, and prediction markets step up just as the regulators get weird. Enough nostalgia — let's get into it. Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Pods, Fountain, Podcast Addict, Pocket Casts, Amazon Music, or on your favorite podcast platform. Show highlights

The crew discusses whether prediction markets enable “Bloomberg terminal espionage,,” wonder how to regulate markets that could be on anything, dive into why the OCC is saying no to stablecoin yield and more. Thank you to our sponsors!  ⁠⁠Fuse: The Energy Network Prediction markets are in the spotlight again. On one hand adoption appears to be growing as the Nasdaq has announced plans of entering the space. On the other hand, they scrutinize markets that pose a national security risk.  In this DEX in the City episode, hosts Jessi Brooks, Katherine Kirkpatrick Bos and TuongVy Le discuss suspected insider trading activity around a market tied to the strikes on Iran. Beyond ethical concerns about betting on war, they grapple with the definition of “a death market” and ask whether all prediction markets around an individual are death markets.  The big question: How can these markets on literally any possible event be policed? Plus, is Jane Street manipulating the Bitcoin market? Why the OCC is saying NO to stablecoin yield and the takeaway from Jack Dorsey's Block layoffs. Hosts: ⁠⁠⁠Jessi Brooks⁠⁠⁠, General Counsel at Ribbit Capital ⁠⁠Katherine Kirkpatrick Bos⁠⁠, General Counsel at StarkWare ⁠⁠TuongVy Le, General Counsel at Veda Links: Unchained: Nasdaq Eyes Prediction Markets With SEC Filing Bitcoin Rebounds as ETF Inflows Return, Jane Street Speculation Swirls ZachXBT Alleges Axiom Employee Misused Internal Data White House Talks Make Progress on Stablecoin Yields but No Deal Yet DEX in the City: Insider Trading and Crypto: What the Law Actually Says Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This week, the team dives into why disinformation and the AI industry battles have quickly positioned themselves at the center of the ongoing conflict between the U.S and Iran. They also discuss how prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are increasingly facing insider trading accusations and ethical questions. Also, how did Paramount beat Netflix in its bid for Warner Bros? Plus — Zoë, Brian, and Leah share their predictions for the future.Articles mentioned in this episode: X Is Drowning in Disinformation Following US and Israeli Attack on Iran  How Journalists Are Reporting From Iran With No Internet  Anthropic Hits Back After US Military Labels It a ‘Supply Chain Risk'  A Former Top Trump Official Is Going After Prediction Markets  Everything Larry and David Ellison Will Control If Paramount Buys Warner Bros. Join WIRED's best and brightest on Uncanny Valley as they dissect the collision of tech, politics, finance, and business, from Alexis Ohanian's newest tech venture to the effects of inaccurate information from artificial intelligence (AI) chatbots on social protests. Learn about your ad choices: dovetail.prx.org/ad-choices

This is The Briefing, a daily analysis of news and events from a Christian worldview.On today's edition of The Briefing, Dr. Mohler discusses who is in command of Iran's military forces, if President Trump's attacks in Iran were constitutional, if inaction in Iran would have been worse, and the death of Khamenei and prediction markets.Part I (00:14 – 07:44)Who is in Command and Control of Iranian Forces? Iran's Military is Likely Still Following the Orders of Ayatollah KhameneiPart II (07:44 – 18:56)Was the President's Action Constitutional or Not? The Complications of President Trump's Decision in Light of the Controversial (And Unconstitutional?) War Powers ActWar and Peace Cannot Be Left to One Man — Especially Not This Man by The New York Times (David French)Secretary of State Rubio on Iran Strikes by C-Span (Marco Rubio)Part III (18:56 – 21:20)What Would Be Worse in Iran, Action or Inaction? Inaction on Iran Assuredly Would Have Been a Failed PolicyPart IV (21:20 – 25:52)Are the Prediction Markets Turning into Death Markets? The Death of Iran's Khamenei in the Prediction Markets is Raising Massive QuestionsBets on Fate of Iran's Khamenei Spark Uproar at Leading Prediction Markets by The Wall Street Journal (Kevin T. Dugan and Krystal Hur)Sign up to receive The Briefing in your inbox every weekday morning.Follow Dr. Mohler:X | Instagram | Facebook | YouTubeFor more information on The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary, go to sbts.edu.For more information on Boyce College, just go to BoyceCollege.com.To write Dr. Mohler or submit a question for The Mailbox, go here.

Prediction markets are having a big moment. Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have brought them into the spotlight. But most prediction markets still follow a simple format: a binary outcome. Yes or no. Win or lose.In this episode, I sit down with Philip from Trendle.fi to explore a new approach. What if prediction markets were not just about outcomes? What if you could actually trade attention around topics, trends, and people?Philip explains how Trendle measures conversations across platforms like Reddit, YouTube, and X to create an attention index. Traders can then long or short that index depending on whether they think the topic will gain or lose traction.We also talk about how the 2024 U.S. elections boosted prediction markets, why peer-to-peer models may outperform traditional bookmakers, and why the next wave of innovation will come from new market mechanics rather than copying existing models.If you're interested in Web3 innovation, market design, or the future of prediction markets, this episode is for you.Key LearningsPrediction markets are entering the mainstreamPlatforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have introduced thousands of users to prediction markets, especially during major political events like the 2024 U.S. elections.Prediction markets have existed for decadesBetting on future outcomes is not new. From horse racing to sports betting, humans have always tried to predict the future and place bets on it.Peer-to-peer markets may outperform bookmakersTraditional bookmakers take on risk when setting odds. Peer-to-peer markets allow users to trade directly with each other, often resulting in better pricing and reduced risk for the platform.Trendle introduces a new concept: the attention indexInstead of predicting outcomes, Trendle measures how much attention a topic receives online and turns that attention into a tradable asset.Social media data powers the attention indexTrendle gathers data from Reddit, YouTube, and X to measure how often people discuss specific topics and updates the index frequently.Attention itself can become a marketUsers can long or short topics depending on whether they think the conversation around them will grow or fade.AI agents are already trading prediction marketsSome traders are building bots that detect price discrepancies across platforms and use arbitrage strategies.Trendle's strategy starts with crypto communitiesThe initial go-to-market strategy focuses on crypto traders and communities before expanding to broader cultural topics like celebrities and major trends.Education will be a major challengeBecause the attention index is a new concept, helping users understand how it works will be a key focus.Trendle is currently fundraising and exploring partnershipsThe team is looking to collaborate with communities, builders, and investors as they scale the platform.Connect with Trendlehttps://trendle.fi/https://x.com/trendlefi DisclaimerNothing mentioned in this podcast is investment advice and please do your own research.Finally, it would mean a lot if you can leave a review of this podcast on ApplePodcasts or Spotify and share this podcast with a friend.Be a guest on the podcast or contact us - https://www.web3pod.xyz/

Das große Börsen-Update mit BIT Capital-Gründer Jan Beckers hat sich inzwischen zu einer kleinen Tradition im OMR Podcast entwickelt. Dieses Mal blickt er auf ein Ausnahmejahr an den Märkten zurück: Während der Nasdaq stagnierte, lieferte sein Flaggschiff-Fonds 35 Prozent Performance ab. Mit über zwei Milliarden Euro Assets under Management und einer Rendite von rund 1000 Prozent seit Auflage gehört er zur Spitze der Tech-Investoren. Doch für 2026 läutet Jan einen radikalen Strategiewechsel ein. Er erklärt, warum das goldene Zeitalter von Software-Aktien wie Adobe oder Salesforce vorbei ist und er diese sogar aktiv shortet. Stattdessen investiert er massiv in AI-Infrastruktur, Speicherchips und die Energieversorgung hinter dem Boom. Wir sprechen über seinen Weg vom Gründerszene-Chef zum Milliarden-Investor, seine privaten Wetten auf OpenAI und seine Prognose für Bitcoin und Prediction Markets. Doch trotz aller Erfolge warnt Beckers vor einer unsichtbaren Gefahr: Eine spezifische Entwicklung könnte schon in den nächsten drei Jahren eine Katastrophe auslösen, die weit über die Finanzmärkte hinausgeht.

With prediction market apps and sites like Polymarket, Kalshi and WagerWeb, you can literally bet on anything: Labubus, criminal case verdicts, Stephen Hawkings black hole theories, natural disasters. You can even bet on when a celebrity is going to die. But prediction markets aren't just about making money from gambling, there's a darker truth here. On this episode, Jason and Peter talk to Jonathan D. Cohen, author of the book, Losing Big: America's Reckless Bet On Sports Gambling, to discuss America's sports betting public health crisis. On this episode, Jason and Peter also dive in with Jonathan about the coverage of insider trading becoming a problem in prediction markets. Something to note, we did film this episode before the story broke about MrBeast's editor being banned from Kalshi for insider trading. We do bring up the story about former Toronto Rappers player, Jontay Porter, who was fined and banned from the NBA, for making proposition bets based on his game performance. We'll also cover the role of AI when it comes to sports betting along with the endorphin release rush you get when you make a bet. We'll also cover mob sports betting, legitimate poker games and Jonathan's record as a competitive board game player. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz and hits energy infrastructure in the Gulf. America's European allies walk a tightrope. And online prediction markets are under scrutiny after Democrats levy accusations that they were used to bet on the war in Iran.    *This podcast has been corrected to remove a reference to President Donald Trump backing a criminal indictment against Delcy Rodriguez, the new president of Venezuela. Listen to the Morning Bid podcast ⁠⁠here⁠⁠. Sign up for the Reuters Econ World newsletter ⁠⁠here⁠⁠. Listen to the Reuters Econ World podcast ⁠⁠here⁠⁠. Find the Recommended Read here. Visit the Thomson Reuters Privacy Statement for information on our privacy and data protection practices. You may also visit megaphone.fm/adchoices to opt out of targeted advertising. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Robinhood's General Manager of Crypto, Johann Kerbrat, joins David Sencil at Consensus Hong Kong to discuss the launch of Robinhood Chain, the company's public testnet, and its $1M global hackathon.They cover:Moving traditional financial assets fully on-chain24/7 trading and instant settlementPerpetuals and global expansionRobinhood's Layer 2 strategyPrediction markets as one of its fastest-growing business linesAI integration through CortexThe future of on-chain financial infrastructureRecorded at Consensus Hong Kong 2026.

Unpacking the regulatory path forward for prediction markets with Coinbase Litigation Head Ryan VanGrack. Coinbase's VP of Legal and Global Head of Litigation, Ryan VanGrack, joins Jennifer Sanasie and Renato Mariotti to discuss why the company is challenging state regulators to ensure a unified federal framework for prediction markets. He also shares why he believes bipartisan market structure legislation is still on the table despite recent setbacks. - Timestamps: 01:10 - The CFTC's Response to Kalshi's Insider Trading Accusations02:38 - Why Coinbase is Suing the States03:41 - Prediction Markets vs. Sports Betting08:14 - The States Are "Gaslighting" the Public on Prediction Markets11:31 - Is Market Structure Still Possible?15:58 - Addressing Concerns About Coinbase's Role in Stalled Market Structure Legislation - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie and Renato Mariotti .

Are prediction markets rigged? Rob Pizzola gives his honest take on the stigma surrounding prediction markets and why many of the common criticisms don't hold up. He breaks down how these markets actually function, where the skepticism comes from, and whether concerns about manipulation or unfair advantages are rooted in reality. Rob also explains how pricing, liquidity, and incentives work in practice — and why misunderstanding those mechanics fuels a lot of the backlash. He also discusses the value of products like Kalshi, how prediction markets compare to traditional sportsbooks, and where sharp bettors may (or may not) find edge. This episode is hosted by Rob Pizzola, professional sports bettor and CEO of The Hammer, and dives into the evolving role of prediction markets within the broader betting ecosystem.

Live Feb 24, 2026 | Yaron Brook ShowAI Impact; Russia War; Iran–Will He?; US Chips; Prediction Markets; Welfare Fraud | Yaron Brook ShowThe Yaron Brook Show is Sponsored by:-- The Ayn Rand Institute (https://www.aynrand.org/starthere)-- Energy Talking Points, featuring AlexAI, by Alex Epstein (https://alexepstein.substack.com/)-- Express VPN (https://www.expressvpn.com/yaron)-- Hendershott Wealth Management (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X4lfC...) https://hendershottwealth.com/ybs/-- Michael Williams & The Defenders of Capitalism Project (https://www.DefendersOfCapitalism.com)Join this channel to get access to perks: / @yaronbrook Like what you hear? Like, share, and subscribe to stay updated on new videos and help promote the Yaron Brook Show: https://bit.ly/3ztPxTxSupport the Show and become a sponsor: / yaronbrookshow or https://yaronbrookshow.com/ or / yaronbrookshow Or make a one-time donation: https://bit.ly/2RZOyJJContinue the discussion by following Yaron on Twitter (https://bit.ly/3iMGl6z) and Facebook (https://bit.ly/3vvWDDC )Want to learn more about Ayn Rand and Objectivism? Visit the Ayn Rand Institute: https://bit.ly/35qoEC3#IranProtests #RussiaUkraineWar #Tariffs #Individualism #Capitalism #Geopolitics #China #WesternCivilization #objectivismBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/yaron-brook-show--3276901/support.

Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket have seen explosive growth over the last year. These platforms allow people to put money on the outcomes of everything from local elections to the Super Bowl.But an epic battle is underway between state regulators and these companies. At least 20 federal lawsuits have been filed against these companies. The cases claim these markets are simply gambling by another name and should be regulated like betting platforms.Now, the federal government is putting its thumb on the scale, arguing prediction markets should be looked as as a financial exchange, not a betting platform. This paves the way for their further expansion, not regulation. What does the future hold for companies like these?Find more of our programs online. Listen to 1A sponsor-free by signing up for 1A+ at plus.npr.org/the1a.Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are booming, but they're facing questions about users betting on information that is not publicly available, from Super Bowl performances to geopolitical crises. Advocates for the platforms say they are "truth machines" but critics say they're a new vehicle for insider trading. WSJ's Caitlin Ostroff explains how users are making fortunes, and why regulators are starting to take notice. Ryan Knutson hosts. Further Listening: - How ‘The Joker' Rigged the Texas Lottery - How Parlays Became the Biggest Bet in SportsSign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In a landmark trial in California, Meta and Google are being accused of addicting children to social media. On this week's On the Media, hear how the dramatic proceedings are playing out, and how measures to protect kids online can backfire. Plus, why are betting companies showing up in newsrooms?[01:00] Host Brooke Gladstone speaks with  Madlin Mekelburg, a legal reporter at Bloomberg, about the landmark lawsuit against Google and Meta that went to trial this week. The social media giants are being accused of deliberately designing their platforms in a way that is addictive and harmful to children's brains, and the verdict of this case will influence the outcomes of thousands of similar cases across the country. Plus, neuroscience researcher Ian Anderson explains why the ‘addiction' framework  misses the complexity of what social media does to our brains. [20:00] Brooke interviews Julia Angwin, investigative journalist and founder of Proof News, a nonprofit journalism studio. They discuss the tools that users can employ to protect themselves against doomscrolling, and how social media bans across the world can sometimes do more harm than good. [34:41] Host Micah Loewinger speaks with Judd Legum, the author of the accountability newsletter Popular Information, about the explosive rise of prediction markets, and the implications of their growing partnerships with newsrooms.   Further reading / watching:“Social Networks Face Big Tobacco Moment Over Addiction Cases,” by Madlin Mekelburg“Overestimates of social media addiction are common but costly,” by Ian Anderson and Wendy Wood“I Killed Color on My Phone. The Result Shocked Me,” by Julia Angwin“Social Media Use and Well-Being Across Adolescent Development,” by Ben Singh, Mason Zhou, Rachel Curtis, et al“Evidence for link between digital technology use and teenage mental health problems is weak, our large study suggests,” by Qiqi Cheng and Neil Humphrey“The casino-fication of news,” by Judd Legum On the Media is supported by listeners like you. Support OTM by donating today (https://pledge.wnyc.org/support/otm). Follow our show on Instagram, Twitter and Facebook @onthemedia, and share your thoughts with us by emailing onthemedia@wnyc.org.