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18 episodes with prediction markets
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4 episodes with prediction markets
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4 episodes with prediction markets
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Vitalik Buterin is the creator of Ethereum, but he's also a true Bitcoin maximalist. In this episode, Vitalik tells his story as a bitcoiner, explains why he built Ethereum, and makes use of his knowledge to predict the future of the two networks. Time stamps: Introducing Vitalik (00:01:00) Vitalik's Early Involvement with Bitcoin (00:02:22) Writing for Bitcoin Weekly (00:03:01) Bitcoin's Early Fees and Transaction Model (00:06:45) Evolving Understanding of Bitcoin (00:09:15) Bitcoin Cash and the Scaling Debate (00:10:25) Dark Wallet Project (00:14:06) Coinjoin and Privacy Innovations (00:16:41) Colored Coins and Bitcoin 2.0 (00:21:05) Transition to Ethereum Development (00:21:58) Current Layer Two Innovations (00:24:11) Scaling and Privacy Innovations (00:25:55) Ethereum's Early Criticism (00:27:05) EVM's Role in Smart Contracts (00:28:11) Challenges of Parallelization (00:29:23) Sandboxing and Security (00:30:24) Future Scaling Ideas (00:34:49) Ethereum vs NXT vs Counterparty vs Omni/Mastercoin (00:35:37) Lessons from Ethereum's Success (00:37:07) The DAO Hack and Community Resilience (00:43:16) Ethereum's Network Effect (00:45:43) Ethereum's Ecosystem Resilience (00:49:35) Decentralization vs. Scalability (00:50:41) Critique of Ethereum Killers (00:51:21) Layer One and Layer Two Dynamics (00:52:53) SideShift (00:53:21) How Vitalik Cancelled Craig Wright (00:54:51) Current Characters in Bitcoin (00:58:03) Daniel Kravisz's Views on Craig Wright (00:59:04) Manipulative Tactics in Dating Advice (01:00:34) NoOnes: Marketplace for Global South (01:01:19) Bitcoin.com News Evolution (01:02:40) Bitcoin Magazine is Now Pro Trump (01:04:37) Libertarian Shifts in Crypto (01:05:03) Ethereum Domain Name Registrations (01:06:09) Layer Two Scaling Decision (01:08:08) Hardware Requirements for Ethereum Node (01:10:45) Philosophical Questions on Scaling (01:12:01) The Dystopia Scenario (01:13:03) Importance of Full Nodes (01:14:24) Technological Innovations (01:15:27) Running Full Nodes in Ethereum (01:16:30) Privacy and RPC Trust (01:17:28) Adapting Ethereum to New Cryptography (01:19:53) Scaling Debate in Ethereum (01:22:04) Respect for Ethereum's Approach (01:23:15) Zcash and Ethereum Collaboration (01:25:00) Challenges for Zcash (01:27:04) Impact of Developer Actions (01:28:01) Scaling Solutions in Bitcoin and Ethereum (01:30:43) Defining Rollups vs. Sidechains (01:31:40) Security Implications of Drivechains (01:34:03) Transition to Proof of Stake (01:36:19) ZK Coins and Shielded Client Side Validation (01:37:53) Thoughts on TheStandard.io (01:40:03) Backing Up Coins and Holding Keys (01:42:11) Evolution of Multi-Sig Technology (01:46:43) Privacy (01:48:14) Concerns About Centralized Data Collection (01:51:10) Impact of Snowden Revelations (01:53:35) Privacy as a Key Aspect of Decentralization (01:55:49) Ethereum's Cypherpunk Roots (01:57:07) Feedback from Cypherpunks on Ethereum (02:00:42) The Inspiration Behind DAOs (02:02:07) AI and DAOs (02:02:40) Vitalik's Public Image and Price Pressure (02:02:55) Media Attention and Its Impact (02:03:43) Decentralization and Attention (02:04:03) Price Influence and Market Dynamics (02:04:59) Focus on Ethereum's Values (02:06:01) Historical Use Cases of Ethereum (02:08:28) Next Bull Market Narrative (02:09:38) DeFi Ecosystem as a Proven Use Case (02:09:45) Political Instability and Financial Security (02:12:05) Polymarket, Prediction Markets and Mainstream Adoption (02:12:20) Zero Knowledge Proofs and Privacy (02:14:20) Roger Ver (02:15:23) Principles of Freedom and Privacy (02:22:57) Critique of Blockstream's Liquid (02:24:00) Bitcoin's Role in Decentralization (02:26:15) Transition to RISC-V (02:27:37) Adoption of RISC-V (02:28:36) Redesigning Ethereum in A Time Travel Scenario (02:31:30) Challenges in Ethereum's Development (02:32:45) Ethereum and Bitcoin Relationship (02:37:02) Complementarity of Bitcoin and Ethereum (02:38:40) Does Vitalik Still Use Bitcoin? (02:41:21) Lightning Network (02:42:06) Standardization of LN Invoies (02:43:20) Privacy Concerns with Bitcoin (02:45:42) Running Lightning Nodes (02:46:52) Home-Based Bitcoin Solutions (02:48:12) Tribalism in Crypto Communities (02:48:53) Ethereum's Evolution and Ideals (02:50:06) Collaboration Between Bitcoin and Ethereum (02:51:10) Diverse Blockchain Future (02:51:45) Is Vitalik a Bitcoin Maximalist? (02:52:59) Community Values and Challenges (02:53:45) Cultural Dynamics in Cryptocurrencies (02:56:05) Layer Two Solutions for Bitcoin (02:59:31) Vitalik's Online Presence (03:00:25) Closing Remarks and Future Guests (03:01:36)
This past presidential election was the first where Americans could legally bet on the outcome. That event proved prediction markets to be a source of truth. This episode offers two looks at prediction markets. In the first half of the show, Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour joins Ricky Mulvey to discuss: - What he learned about Kalshi from this past election. - The difference between an events contract and gambling. - How prediction markets could disrupt sports betting. Then, New York Magazine Features writer, Jen Wieczner, joins Mary Long to discuss her reporting on the billion-dollar betting platform Polymarket, and its legal challenges in the United States. Read Wieczner's piece on Polymarket here: https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/is-polymarket-legal-politics-betting-shayne-coplan.html Company discussed: HOOD Hosts: Mary Long, Ricky Mulvey Guests: Tarek Mansour, Jen Wieczner Engineers: Rick Engdahl, Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Episode 566: Neal and Toby chat about why the US dollar continues to stumble against world currencies and how gold is having another moment. Then, the world mourns over the passing of Pope Francis and, of course, prediction markets are taking bets on who the next pope will be. Plus, Chipotle plans to open up its first restaurant in Mexico, something other chains have attempted to do but failed. Can Chipotle pull it off? Meanwhile, Toby dives into the Dubai Chocolate trend taking over the world. Subscribe to Morning Brew Daily for more of the news you need to start your day. Share the show with a friend, and leave us a review on your favorite podcast app. Visit https://planetoat.com/ to learn more! Listen to Morning Brew Daily Here: https://link.chtbl.com/MBD Watch Morning Brew Daily Here: https://www.youtube.com/@MorningBrewDailyShow Hue new? Scientists claim to have found colour no one has seen before | Science | The Guardian Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Today, I'm talking with Vlad Tenev, the co-founder and CEO of Robinhood, which started as a way to open up stock trading. But the company's ambitions have grown over time – and they're getting bigger. Just a day before Vlad and I talked, Robinhood announced it would soon be offering bank accounts and wealth management services, which would really allow Robinhood to be involved with your money at every possible level. So I was very interested to sit down with Vlad and really hash out where Robinhood is going, and why he's so adamant that certain big ideas, like prediction markets based around everything from sports games to presidential elections, are going to play a pivotal role in the future of finance. Links: Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev on markets for everything | Hard Fork Robinhood is launching bank accounts | Verge Kalshi sues Nevada and New Jersey regulators | Esports Insider Kalshi CEO: ‘State law doesn't really apply' to us | TechCrunch Robinhood debuts a sports gambling hub | Verge The SEC has ended its investigation into Robinhood crypto | Verge Robinhood admits it's just a gambling app | Verge Massachusetts regulator subpoenas Robinhood over sports betting | CNN Transcript: https://www.theverge.com/e/645822 Credits: Decoder is a production of The Verge and part of the Vox Media Podcast Network. Our producers are Kate Cox and Nick Statt. Our editor is Ursa Wright. The Decoder music is by Breakmaster Cylinder. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Kalshi is the largest prediction market in America, building a unique trading economy around political, sports, and cultural events. While some states view it as an illegal operation requiring gambling licenses, others—including certain courts and members of the Trump administration—see it as a groundbreaking financial opportunity. On this episode of Equity, Max Zeff sits down with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour at the latest StrictlyVC event in San Francisco. Mansour shares why he sees Kalshi as a global source of truth. Listen to the full episode to hear more about: How Kalshi is creating a new trading economy around political and cultural events. The regulatory challenges and opportunities that prediction markets face. Mansour's vision for Kalshi as a global tool for decision-making and transparency. The controversy surrounding Kalshi's status and its ongoing legal battles. Equity is TechCrunch's flagship podcast, produced by Theresa Loconsolo, and posts every Wednesday and Friday. Subscribe to us on Apple Podcasts, Overcast, Spotify and all the casts. You also can follow Equity on X and Threads, at @EquityPod. For the full episode transcript, for those who prefer reading over listening, check out our full archive of episodes here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In Thursday's episode of iGaming Daily, brought to you by Optimove, Jessica Welman and Charlie Horner, explore the evolving landscape of event contracts in gaming, particularly within the sports betting sector. Both break down recent regulatory challenges, including cease and desist orders issued by states like Nevada and New Jersey against platforms like Kalshi for offering event contracts on sports events. The discussion also examines the implications of Mississippi's failed sweepstakes ban bill and the broader impact of gambling legislation across the US. To read more on the topic discussed in today's episode, click on the following link:- https://sbcamericas.com/2025/04/02/connecticut-dcp-investigating-kalshi/- https://sbcamericas.com/2025/04/01/ohio-kalshi-robinhood-cryptocom/- https://sbcamericas.com/2025/03/31/kalshi-lawsuit-nv-nj-betting-contracts/- https://sbcamericas.com/2025/04/01/mississippi-sweeps-betting-bill-dies/Host: Jessica WelmanGuest: Charie HornerProducer: Anaya McDonaldEditor: James RossiGaming Daily is also now on TikTok. Make sure to follow us at iGaming Daily Podcast (@igaming_daily_podcast) | TikTok for bite-size clips from your favourite podcast. Finally, remember to check out Optimove at https://hubs.la/Q02gLC5L0 or go to Optimove.com/sbc to get your first month free when buying the industry's leading customer-loyalty service.
In this episode of the LSR podcast, hosts Matt Brown, Pat Evans, and Sam McQuillan discuss the latest developments in the gaming industry, including regulatory challenges faced by Robinhood, a state roundup of sports betting legislation in Alaska, Alabama, Oklahoma, and Mississippi, the impressive growth of Underdog, compliance issues at Resorts World, and the alarming rise of online gambling scams. The conversation highlights the evolving landscape of sports betting and the importance of regulatory oversight.00:00 Sports Betting News Today00:55 Regulatory Challenges for Robinhood in Sports Betting06:07 State Roundup: Alaska, Alabama, Oklahoma, and Mississippi 10:12 Underdog's Growth and Valuation Surge 16:36 Michigan again targets unregulated operators18:08 Resorts World: Compliance Issues and Legal Troubles21:47 The Rise of Online Gambling ScamsJoin us today on the Legal Sports Report podcast for the latest Sports Betting news and updates. At LSR we cover the latest sports betting news with expert analysis of the most important stories in the legal sports betting and daily fantasy businesses in the United States and Canada.For the most current US legal sports betting news visit: https://legalsportsreport.com/newsL E T ' S C O N N E C T:LegalSportsReport: https://x.com/LSPReportWant to know the status of sports betting in your state? Legal Sports Report tracks sports betting legislation across the country here: https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sportsbetting-bill-tracker
On this episode of the Crazy Wisdom Podcast, I, Stewart Alsop, sit down with Federico Ast, founder of Kleros, to explore how decentralized justice systems can resolve both crypto-native and real-world disputes. We talk about the pilot with the Supreme Court in Mendoza, Argentina, where Kleros is helping small claims courts resolve cases faster and more transparently, and how this ties into a broader vision for digital governance using tools like proof of humanity and soulbound tokens. We also get into the philosophical and institutional implications of building a digital republic, and how blockchain can offer new models of legitimacy and truth-making. Show notes and more about Federico's work can be found via his Twitter: @federicoast (https://twitter.com/federicoast) and by joining the Kleros Telegram community.Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation!00:00 Introduction and Guest Welcome00:38 Claros Pilot Program in Mendoza02:00 Claros and the Legal System05:13 Personal Journey into Crypto07:16 Challenges and Innovations in Kleros18:02 Proof of Humanity and Soulbound Tokens26:54 Incentives and Proof of Humanity27:01 Interesting DAO Court Cases27:21 Prediction Markets and Disputes31:36 Customer Service and Dispute Resolution38:21 Governance and Online Communities40:02 Future of Civilization and Technology47:16 Bounties and Legal Systems49:06 Conclusion and Contact InformationKey InsightsDecentralized Justice Can Bridge the Gap Between Traditional Legal Systems and Web3: Federico Ast explains how Kleros functions as a decentralized dispute resolution system, offering a faster, more transparent, and more accessible alternative to conventional courts. In places like Mendoza, Argentina, Kleros has been piloted in collaboration with the Supreme Court to help resolve small claims that would otherwise take years, demonstrating how blockchain tools can support real-world judicial systems rather than replace them.Crypto Tools Are Most Powerful When Rooted in Real-World Problems: Ast emphasizes that his motivation for building in the blockchain space came not from hype but from firsthand experience with institutional inefficiencies in Argentina—such as corruption, inaccessible courts, and predatory financial systems. For him, crypto is a means to address these structural issues, not an end in itself. This grounded approach contrasts with many in the space who begin with the technology and try to retrofit a use case.Proof of Humanity and Soulbound Tokens Expand the Scope of Legitimate Governance: To address concerns over who gets to participate in decentralized juries, Kleros integrates identity verification through Proof of Humanity and uses non-transferable Soulbound Tokens to grant eligibility. These innovations allow communities—whether geographic, organizational, or digital—to define their own membership criteria, making decentralized courts feel more legitimate and relevant to participants.Decentralized Courts Can Handle Complex, Subjective Disputes: While early versions of Kleros were built for binary disputes (yes/no, Alice vs. Bob), real-world conflicts are often more nuanced. Over time, the platform evolved to support more flexible decision-making, including proportional fault, ranked outcomes, and variable payouts. This adaptability allows Kleros to handle a broader spectrum of disputes, including ambiguous or interpretive cases like those found in prediction markets.Incentive Systems Create New Forms of Justice Participation: Kleros applies game theory to create juror incentives that reward honest and aligned decisions. In systems like Proof of Humanity, it even gamifies fraud detection by offering financial bounties to those who uncover duplicate or fake identities. These economic incentives encourage voluntary participation in public-good functions such as identity verification and dispute resolution.Kleros Offers a Middle Ground Between Corporate Automation and Legal Bureaucracy: Many companies use rigid, automated systems to deny customer claims, leaving individuals with no real recourse except to complain on social media. Kleros offers an intermediate option: a transparent, peer-based adjudication process that can resolve disputes quickly. In pilot programs with fintech companies like Lemon, over 90% of users who lost their case still accepted the result and remained customers, showing how fairness in process can build trust even when outcomes disappoint.Digital Communities Are Becoming the New Foundations of Governance: Ast points out that many people now feel more connected to online communities than to their local or national institutions. Blockchain governance—enabled by tools like Kleros, Proof of Humanity, and decentralized IDs—allows these communities to build their own civil infrastructure. This marks a shift toward what he calls a “digital republic,” where shared values and participation, rather than geography, form the basis of collective decision-making and legitimacy.
Gm! This week we're joined by Cindy Leow & Chris Heaney to discuss Swift, the most recent liquidty upgrade to Drift. We deep dive into how Swift will improve onchain execution, competing with CEXs, how to accelerate Solana DeFi, whats next for Drift & much more. Enjoy! -- Follow Cindy: https://x.com/cindyleowtt Follow Chris: https://x.com/crispheaney Follow Jack: https://x.com/whosknave Follow Lightspeed: https://twitter.com/Lightspeedpodhq Subscribe to the Lightspeed Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/lightspeed Join the Lightspeed Manlets Collective Telegram: https://t.me/+QUl_ZOj2nMJlZTEx -- Use Code LIGHTSPEED10 for 10% off tickets to Digital Asset Summit 2025: https://blockworks.co/event/digital-asset-summit-2025-new-york -- Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors the Lightspeed podcast. As Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing 20% of global crypto, it remains the top choice for securing your Solana assets. Buy a LEDGER™ device now and build confidently, knowing your SOL are safe. Buy now on https://shop.ledger.com/?r=1da180a5de00. -- Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- (00:00) Introduction (01:23) What Is Drift? (04:49) Onchain Execution (07:02) Ledger Ad (10:32) Decentralization (11:23) Is Swift An L2? (18:43) The REV Impact (23:01) MEV On Solana (24:21) Building On Solana (26:25) Ledger Ad (30:58) The Key To Building An Onchain Exchange (31:45) The Evolution Of Drift (35:48) CEX vs DEX Perps (38:50) What's Next For Drift? (41:25) Prediction Markets (44:52) Accelerating Solana DeFi -- Disclaimers: Lightspeed was kickstarted by a grant from the Solana Foundation. Nothing said on Lightspeed is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Mert, Jack, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
The puns were flying around fast and furious on the final day of the 50th annual International Futures Industry Conference as JB Mackenzie from Robinhood joined the show to discuss the evolution of prediction markets. Prediction markets have made headlines in recent months around events like the presidential election, but as their popularity grows, JB shares his view on just how far prediction markets might push into areas like politics and sports. JB also outlines expansion efforts under way at Robinhood and explains why the new generation of investors that has embraced prediction markets and 24/7 trading is likely to drive innovation in other areas of the financial ecosystem. Sign up for Modern Money SmartBrief
This week, we discuss IBM acquisitions, IDEs in the age of AI, and bidding farewell to Skype. Plus, the dos and don'ts of using chat in corporate meetings. Watch the YouTube Live Recording of Episode (https://www.youtube.com/live/nWu6QCcr_xo?si=yCZKxkmYK8c6GmOy) 509 (https://www.youtube.com/live/nWu6QCcr_xo?si=yCZKxkmYK8c6GmOy) Runner-up Titles I'm going to make a point until the other people stop talking Is there a place I can type? Rediscovering USENET Let me introduce you to Del.icio.us That Big Blue HOA That assumes that enterprise IT is compelling The Costco liquor store is Open Source Lights out programming. The WebKit of IDEs The DevRel that makes a difference Rundown IBM roll ups? Accelerating Production AI and Bringing NoSQL Data at Scale to All Enterprises (https://www.datastax.com/blog/ibm-plans-to-acquire-datastax) IBM Completes Acquisition of HashiCorp, (https://newsroom.ibm.com/2025-02-27-ibm-completes-acquisition-of-hashicorp,-creates-comprehensive,-end-to-end-hybrid-cloud-platform) IDE up for grabs AI disruption - code editors are up for grabs (https://redmonk.com/jgovernor/2025/02/21/ai-disruption-code-editors-are-up-for-grabs/) Google launches a free AI coding assistant with very high usage caps (https://techcrunch.com/2025/02/25/google-launches-a-free-ai-coding-assistant-with-very-high-usage-caps/) Google's principles for measuring developer productivity (https://newsletter.getdx.com/p/googles-principles-for-measuring-developer-productivity) Goodbye Update on Support for Amazon Chime (https://aws.amazon.com/blogs/messaging-and-targeting/update-on-support-for-amazon-chime/) Exclusive: Microsoft is finally shutting down Skype in May (https://www.xda-developers.com/microsoft-killing-skype/), Om's ode to Skype (https://om.co/2025/02/28/skype-is-dead-what-happened/). Relevant to your Interests The Death and Life of Prediction Markets at Google—Asterisk (https://asteriskmag.com/issues/08/the-death-and-life-of-prediction-markets-at-google) Microsoft's Majorana 1 chip carves new path for quantum computing - Source (https://news.microsoft.com/source/features/ai/microsofts-majorana-1-chip-carves-new-path-for-quantum-computing/) Microsoft Says It Has Created a New State of Matter to Power Quantum Computers (https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/19/technology/microsoft-quantum-computing-topological-qubit.html) Trump Enforcers Affirm Lina Khan's Approach to Antitrust (https://daringfireball.net/2025/02/thoughts_and_observations_on_todays_iphone_16e_announcement) No Rules Are Implicit Rules (https://brainbaking.com/post/2025/02/no-rules-are-implicit-rules/) Is AWS Delivering on Its 3-Layer Approach to AI? (https://www.lastweekinaws.com/blog/aws-year-of-ai/) Apple Unveils New Lower-Priced iPhone With A.I. Features (https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/19/business/apple-iphone-16e-ai.html) HP adds 15 minutes waiting time for telephone support calls (https://www.theregister.com/2025/02/20/hp_deliberately_adds_15_minutes/) YouTube Plans Lower-Priced, Ad-Free Version of Paid Video Tier (https://archive.ph/2025.02.20-175148/https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-20/youtube-plans-lower-priced-ad-free-version-of-paid-video-tier) Google may be close to launching YouTube Premium Lite (https://www.theverge.com/news/617009/google-youtube-premium-lite-us-launch) He created one of the world's first websites. It was IMDb. (https://www.washingtonpost.com/entertainment/movies/2025/02/23/imdb-internet-history-col-needham/) Processing 23 Billion Rows of ALIEN TXTBASE Stealer Logs (https://www.troyhunt.com/processing-23-billion-rows-of-alien-txtbase-stealer-logs/) Introduction to Service Mesh (https://thenewstack.io/introduction-to-service-mesh/) Slack is down — live updates on massive outage (https://www.tomsguide.com/news/live/slack-down-updates-outage-2-25) Introducing Alexa+, the next generation of Alexa (https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/devices/new-alexa-generative-artificial-intelligence) Alphabet's Google cuts some cloud division staff, Bloomberg reports (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/alphabets-google-cuts-cloud-division-192306780.html) British musicians release a silent album to protest plans to let AI use their work (https://apnews.com/article/uk-musicians-protest-ai-copyright-law-dc80620c1c226a816048b87fb30309c4) NVIDIA Announces Financial Results for Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2025 (https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-fourth-quarter-and-fiscal-2025) The Job Market Is Frozen (https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2025/02/jobs-unemployment-big-freeze/681831/) The Hardest Career Shift No One Talks About (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AtEIwHGf1Ko) Intel breaking new organizational ground by formalizing the idea of a co-CEO that reports to a (third?) CEO to be named later. (https://www.intc.com/filings-reports/all-sec-filings##document-5774-0000050863-25-000024-3) NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang Addresses The "DeepSeek Fiasco" For The First Time; Says Investors "Overreacted" & "Got It All Wrong" (https://wccftech.com/nvidia-ceo-jensen-huang-addresses-the-deepseek-fiasco-for-the-first-time/) Uber and Waymo officially launch autonomous vehicle service in Austin; what to know (https://www.statesman.com/story/business/2025/03/04/uber-waymo-austin-atx-autonomous-ride-service-driverless-cars-launch/81210367007/) How to Get Hired When AI Does the Screening (https://hbr.org/2025/02/how-to-get-hired-when-ai-does-the-screening) How's that open source licensing coming along? (https://www.theregister.com/2025/02/24/open_source_licensing/) Apple unveils new Mac Studio, the most powerful Mac ever (https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2025/03/apple-unveils-new-mac-studio-the-most-powerful-mac-ever/) Apple introduces iPad Air with powerful M3 chip and new Magic Keyboard (https://www.apple.com/newsroom/2025/03/apple-introduces-ipad-air-with-powerful-m3-chip-and-new-magic-keyboard/) Sponsors Subscribe to the Fork Around and Find Out Podcast (https://www.fafo.fm) Nonsense Everyone Hates Pennies, Except This Guy (https://www.wsj.com/business/mark-weller-penny-defender-trump-d543a9de) Mother's Flour Tortillas (https://www.heb.com/recipe/recipe-detail/mothers-flour-tortillas) A Comprehensive Guide to American Regional Cuisine (https://www.reddit.com/r/MapPorn/s/MLHzVqA4YH) Listener Feedback Episode 94: Adding more condiments to the 7 layer networking burrito, with Marino Wijay (https://www.softwaredefinedinterviews.com/94) Multi Tool Warren recommends: Micra Multi-Tool | Leatherman (https://www.leatherman.com/micra-20.html) Mykel recommends ROXON 802 Phantom (https://roxontool.com/products/roxon-s802-phantom) Matt recommends the Swiss+Tech Utili-Key 6-in-1 Multi-tool | REI Co-op (https://www.rei.com/product/850418/swisstech-utili-key-6-in-1-multi-tool) Conferences DevOpsDayLA (https://www.socallinuxexpo.org/scale/22x/events/devopsday-la) at SCALE22x (https://www.socallinuxexpo.org/scale/22x), March 6-9, 2025, discount code DEVOP Open Source Career Day 2025 (https://www.linkedin.com/company/open-source-career-day-2025/), March 9, 2025 VMUG NL (https://vmugnl.nl), March 12th, Coté speaking. DevOpsDays Chicago (https://devopsdays.org/events/2025-chicago/welcome/), March 18th, 2025. SREday London (https://sreday.com/2025-london-q1/), March 27-28, Coté speaking (https://sreday.com/2025-london-q1/Michael_Cote_VMware__Pivotal_Platform_Engineering_for_Private_Cloud). 10% with code LDN10 Monki Gras (https://monkigras.com/), London, March 27-28, Coté speaking. Cloud Foundry Day US (https://events.linuxfoundation.org/cloud-foundry-day-north-america/), May 14th, Palo Alto, CA NDC Oslo (https://ndcoslo.com/), May 21-23, Coté speaking. KubeCon EU (https://events.linuxfoundation.org/kubecon-cloudnativecon-europe/), April 1-4, London. 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Gambling is a hobby as old as time and recently there has been a huge focus on sports gambling with new online betting apps. But now you can wager on ‘events', like elections. Predication markets let you bet on future events and try to make a profit. David Tyler, CEO of Outlier Technology Limited, joins us to talk about Polymarket, one of the ways you can make wagers on future events. Find out more at outliertechnology.co.uk and connect with David on LinkedIn.
Wow - very important and historic episode. My good friend SportsProjections joins the podcast as a permanent co-host and we start to actually have structure to our episodes.Each week we will bring you the same educational deep-dives as always, but now we will be addressing any news that's relevant to someone looking to make money betting and answering audience Q&A.If you want your questions on the show - join the discord at: https://www.goldenpants.com/0:00 Intro4:05 Education: Where Does Alpha Come From?31:27 Current Events: Prediction Markets in Sports Betting?53:00 Audience Q&AWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling aka GoldenPants13. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/Want to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.comWant 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks
February 4th, 2025 - We're ready to count how many times Taylor Swift is shown on the Super Bowl Broadcast. As always, we're sharing our favorite upcoming cultural events, art openings, concerts, and all of the things that make Denver the city we're proud to call home. Follow WDG: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC8u8GmvBi6th6LOOMCuwJKw Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/whats_good_denver/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@whatsgooddenver Do you have a Denver event, cause, opening, or recommendation that you want to share with us? We want to hear from you! Tell us what's good at tom@kitcaster.com. The Goods: Single Valentine's Pub Crawl @ 1932 Blake Street MAD HOUSE PARTY - LA FIRE AID BENEFIT @ The Banshee House Superbowl Gameday Buffet @ Number Thirty-Eight Ruby Hill Rail Yard @ Ruby Hill Zero Fare for Transit Equity Day @ Metro Denver Black History Month Kick Off @ Tivoli Turnhalle Throwback Thursday: Whisky Tasting @ Spirit Hounds Denver Linda Kozloff-Turner: Women of Jewelry @ Boulder Book Store Goldens in Golden @ Parfet Park Meet the Collection: The Technology of the 10th Mountain Division @ Stephen H. Hart Research Center Orchid Day Monster Jam First Friday Art Walk in 40 West Arts First Friday at Denver's Art District on Santa Fe First Friday in RiNo Tennyson Street First Friday Art Walk Our Sponsor: Kitcaster Podcast Agency Music produced by Troy Higgins
In this episode of the Crazy Wisdom Podcast, I, Stewart Alsop, sit down with Louis Anderson, a fascinating thinker whose journey spans biotech hacking, life in San Francisco's hippie communes, and deep involvement in the Urbit ecosystem. Our conversation weaves through topics like secularism, pseudo-religious structures in modern tech communities, the philosophical underpinnings of Protestantism and its influence on secular thought, and the complex relationship between climate change, transhumanism, and personal sovereignty. We also explore Louis's vision for network states and the future of personal servers. For more on Louis's work, check out tactics.louisandersonllc.com and reach out via LinkedIn or to info@louisandersonllc.com.Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation!Timestamps00:00 Introduction and Guest Background00:35 Diving into Secularism02:17 French vs. American Secularism04:34 Protestantism and Secularism05:58 The Evolution of Secularism15:08 Theism, Atheism, and Non-Theism17:35 Introduction to Urbit20:32 Urbit's Structure and Critique25:41 Future of Personal Servers27:32 Spiritual Journeys and Woo28:17 Exploring Occultism and Mysticism28:44 Influential Figures in Mysticism30:18 The Golden Age of Mysticism30:49 Western and Eastern Mysticism32:02 Chaos Magic and Modern Mysticism34:10 Transhumanism and Body Modification39:38 Climate Change and Human Impact40:48 The Role of Carbon in Climate Change45:27 Betting on Climate Predictions52:23 Network States and Legal FrameworksKey InsightsSecularism as a Modern Religion: Louis Anderson challenges conventional views on secularism, suggesting that it has evolved into a form of religion itself, particularly in Western societies. He contrasts American secularism, which allows for individual interpretation and freedom, with French secularism, which often imposes strict boundaries between religion and the public sphere. This perspective invites a reevaluation of how secularism shapes modern identity and cultural structures.The Influence of Protestant Thought on Modern Ideologies: The conversation highlights how Protestantism, with its emphasis on personal interpretation and decentralized authority, has deeply influenced secular and scientific worldviews. Unlike Catholicism's institutional hierarchy, Protestantism fosters an environment where individuals are encouraged to seek truth independently, a mindset that parallels the scientific method and modern democratic ideals.The Network State as a New Political Frontier: Louis introduces the concept of the network state, likening it to America's founding principles where communities form around shared ideas rather than geography. He critiques the current structure of Urbit's Azimuth system, arguing for a more community-driven model that reflects collective ownership and governance rather than capitalist hierarchies.Body Modification and the Ethics of Transhumanism: Discussing transhumanism, Louis proposes a radical shift in how we perceive body modification—not as a rejection of our natural form but as a collaborative evolution with our physical selves. He emphasizes a respectful, co-creative relationship with the body, contrasting it with the often utilitarian, enhancement-focused approach seen in current transhumanist discourse.Climate Change as Both a Scientific and Personal Challenge: The episode explores climate change beyond its scientific basis, framing it as a challenge to human adaptability and foresight. Louis suggests that individual bets and prediction markets can help people internalize climate risks, making the abstract threat more tangible and prompting proactive decision-making in areas like real estate and resource management.Mysticism's Enduring Influence on Modern Thought: Louis's deep dive into mysticism, from Kabbalah to Theosophy, reveals how ancient spiritual traditions continue to shape contemporary philosophical and cultural landscapes. He connects these esoteric systems to modern tech ideologies, suggesting that the search for meaning and structure persists even in highly rational, secular environments.The Intersection of Technology, Spirituality, and Identity: The episode underscores a recurring theme: the blending of technological advancement with spiritual exploration. Whether discussing personal servers as digital shrines or the metaphysical implications of network states, Louis highlights how technology is not just a tool but a medium through which modern humans negotiate identity, community, and existential purpose.
Rutgers statistician Harry Crane critiques Nate Silver's model. Timestamps 1:49: Intro ends 3:55: Interview begins 4:08: Crane's bio 8:50: Nate Silver 10:42: Critique of Silver's model 12:42: Silver's criticism of prediction markets 23:57: Silver as tout 25:04: Silver's model 27:48: Simulations in Silver's model 30:51: 50-50 election forecasts Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter/X @ssgamblers Bet on elections at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. Attend our forecasting and prediction markets meetup in Washington DC on 23 January 2025. RSVP here: https://partiful.com/e/tgYHaoevQ78X7hpnDUHA
MilliΞ is the CoFounder of Truemarkets. In this episode, we explore why decentralized prediction markets are still in the early innings of development and how they will redefine forecasting global events and uncovering truth. We also learn how Truemarkets is addressing key challenges in dispute resolution, integrating AI for permissionless market creation, and implementing a token to accelerate early community involvement in the success of their platform. NOTE: We recorded this episode just before the US election results in November 2024, but the conversation is still just as relevant post-election. If you hear any comments related to the election, we were still uncertain who would win and whether Polymarket's results would prove to be a leading indicator for voter sentiment in the election. ------
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Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Pods, Fountain, Podcast Addict, Pocket Casts, Amazon Music, or on your favorite podcast platform. In this episode of Unchained, Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev offers a rare glimpse into the company's strategy. How did memes like Dogecoin become one of Robinhood's biggest assets, onboarding millions of users? What drove its decision to embrace stablecoins, staking, and a dedicated crypto wallet—and what risks do these moves carry? As Europe's MiCA regulations set the stage for a global crypto framework, Vlad discusses how Robinhood is positioning itself for growth, the role of prediction markets, and why blockchain could dramatically lower costs for investors. He also shares personal insights from his own experiences with hyperinflation, revealing how stablecoins might safeguard wealth for millions around the world. With crypto ETFs, regulatory shifts, and a new administration looming, here's what he thinks is next for Robinhood—and the crypto industry. Show highlights: How Robinhood has been experiencing growth in the crypto retail market The effect of election night and Robinhood's event contracts on trading volumes What Robinhood saw happened with the launch of spot ETFs in the U.S. How the exchange was able to attract crypto investors The role of MiCA in Robinhood allowing users to stake ETH and SOL How the company aims to enhance the user experience with the Robinhood wallet Why Robinhood decided to invest in Global Dollar Network, which has stablecoin USDG What's on Vlad's crypto regulation wish list under the new administration and Congress Whether the criteria to list crypto assets on Robinhood will change under a crypto-friendly Trump administration Why Vlad is so excited about prediction markets Why he sees blockchain technology as a tool that will ultimately help users Visit our website for breaking news, analysis, op-eds, articles to learn about crypto, and much more: unchainedcrypto.com Thank you to our sponsors! Polkadot Kelp DAO Guest Vlad Tenev, CEO of Robinhood Links Unchained: Why Robinhood, a TradFi Hub, Is Growing Its Crypto Business Globally Reuters: Robinhood's top attorney Gallagher rules out SEC chair role Robinhood Reports Third Quarter 2024 Results Robinhood to Acquire Bitstamp Spot Bitcoin ETF Options: Why You 'Can't Overstate' Their Importance The Legend Awakens: Introducing Robinhood Legend, Futures Trading, and Index Options Finimize: Robinhood, Kraken, And Partners Launch New Stablecoin USDG - Decrypt: Robinhood Launches US Presidential Election Prediction Market—For Americans Only Timestamps 00:00 Intro 02:43 Robinhood's growth in the crypto retail market 05:05 Election night's surprising impact on trading volumes 07:11 What Robinhood observed after U.S. spot ETF launches 11:56 How the platform attracted millions of crypto investors 16:49 MiCA's role in enabling ETH and SOL staking on Robinhood 19:09 Enhancing user experience with the Robinhood wallet 21:32 Why Robinhood is betting on stablecoins 25:37 Vlad's crypto regulation wish list from the new administration 30:05 Will Robinhood change its crypto listing criteria? 32:18 Vlad's excitement about prediction markets 36:12 How blockchain could lower costs and empower users 41:21 News Recap Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Part 1: Fred Norris (@PIsFredNorris) declares victory in his side bet with Zoltar (@zoltarssg) on how ratings at Fox News would fare following Tucker Carlson's departure. Part 2: Coalition for Political Forecasting Research Director Mick Bransfield (@mickbransfield) and Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) discuss the merits of CFTC Chairman Rostin Behnam's opposition to election event contracts. Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces Tucker Carlson segment 2:02: Behnam's announcement on event contracts rulemaking 11:36: Tucker Carlson segment begins 11:48: Fred Norris recaps bet with Zoltar 19:30: Fox News ratings after Tucker Carlson 25:21: Tucker Carlson's decline 29:17: Tucker Carlson segment ends 29:32: Behnam segment begins 34:53: What legal prediction markets would look like 38:05: Behnam vs. Kalshi 38:26: Proprietary technology 41:31: Kalshi's view 41:48: Why Kalshi's view is at odds with Behnam 42:05: State law 42:22: Behnam's view on prediction markets 43:55: CFTC jurisdiction 46:09: Chougule's view on political betting 46:37: Chougule's critique of Kalshi 47:19: Chougule's view on Behnam's perspective 47:39: Benefits of status quo 49:23: Repealing state law "Anderson Cooper out as CNN anchor in 2024?" Trade on Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. https://polymarket.com/event/anderson-cooper-out-as-cnn-anchor-in-2024/anderson-cooper-out-as-cnn-anchor-in-2024?tid=1734481400982 Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter @ssgamblers Coalition for Political Forecasting https://coalitionforpoliticalforecasting.org/
In this episode, join Kevin as he chats with Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum, about why public goods matter—not just for Ethereum, but for the world. They'll unpack creative ways to fund these initiatives and call on the Web3 community to step up, support innovation, and build a stronger future by 2025. ✨ Subscribe to the Green Pill Podcast ✨ https://pod.link/1609313639
Time stamps: Introducing Paul… again! (00:00:46) Core Untouched Soft Work (00:01:56) Peter Todd's Criticism (00:02:19) Debate on Soft Forks (00:04:44) Luke Dash Jr.'s Perspective (00:05:00) SPV Wallets and Full Nodes (00:08:51) Data Availability Issues (00:12:10) Neutrino and Privacy (00:14:16) Dandelion++ Proposal (00:17:05) Quality of Bitcoin Core Development (00:18:45) Libbitcoin's Fast Sync (00:19:36) Bitcoin Core Limitations (00:20:01) Governance Challenges (00:20:55) Responsibility in Development (00:24:39) Mainstream Adoption Concerns (00:25:31) Risk of Centralization (00:26:54) Michael Saylor's Influence (00:27:55) Wrapped Bitcoin and Smart Contracts (00:33:19) Bitcoin Core's Innovation Stagnation (00:34:31) BIP 300 and Soft Forks (00:37:11) Redefining Bitcoin Maximalism (00:38:27) The Miners' Interests (00:40:46) Layer Two Labs (00:41:56) Explaining the Core Untouched Soft Work Proposal (00:43:53) Challenges with Soft Fork Activation (00:46:04) Slow Progress of Soft Forks (00:48:12) Competition Among Layer 1 Solutions (00:49:21) Critique of the Lightning Network (00:51:31) Concerns Over Custodial Solutions (00:53:06) Historical Perspective on Lightning Network (00:54:17) Cultural Issues in Criticizing the Lightning Network (00:55:22) Incompetence in Development (00:56:40) Potential for Improvement (00:58:57) BIP Activation Dynamics (01:00:22) Prediction Markets for Bitcoin Soft Forks? (01:01:22) Political Control in Bitcoin (01:02:49) Concerns About Full Nodes (01:04:18) Covenants and Activation Delays (01:05:38) Blockstream's Influence (01:06:56) Why Covenants Are a Mistake (01:08:01) The Role of Miners in Soft Forks (01:09:13) Misguided Investments in Technology (01:10:21) Competition in Bitcoin Development (01:11:23) Privacy Improvements in Bitcoin (01:14:46) The Search for Innovative Solutions (01:17:13) User Experience and Adoption (01:21:41) No Interest in User Experience (01:22:45) Changing the Culture (01:23:19) Technological Gaps (01:24:04) Network Effects and Competition (01:25:15) Bitcoin's Complacency (01:26:34) Decentralization Spectrum (01:28:13) Historical Context of Competition (01:29:05) Privacy Innovations (01:31:29) Politicians Praising Bitcoin (01:34:10) Mainstream Adoption (01:35:31) Innovation and Disruption (01:37:33) Sponsor Plug and Market Insights (01:38:16) Community Questions (01:42:52) Blocking on Twitter (01:43:20) Perceptions of Bitcoiners (01:45:40) Miners' Misunderstanding of Bitcoin (01:46:37) Future of Bitcoin Projects (01:49:07) Privacy Improvements in Bitcoin (01:50:15) Monero's Position in Privacy (01:51:57) Mempool Policy and CUSF (01:54:36) Conway's Law in Bitcoin (01:58:20) Criticism of Bitcoin's Direction (02:00:09) Responsibility in Bitcoin Core Development (02:01:59) Ad Hominem Attacks in Bitcoin Proposals (02:04:15) Closing Statement on CUSF (02:05:06) The Future of Consensus (02:05:16) Soft Forks and Innovation (02:06:08) Understanding Soft Forks (02:07:12) Prediction Markets in Bitcoin? (02:08:18)
This episode was originally published on our sister podcast, web3 with a16z. If you're excited about the next generation of the internet, check out the show: https://link.chtbl.com/hrr_h-XCWe've heard a lot about the premise and the promise of prediction markets for a long time, but they finally hit the main stage with the most recent election. So what worked (and didn't) this time? Are they really better than pollsters, is polling dead? So in this conversation, we tease apart the hype from the reality of prediction markets, from the recent election to market foundations... going more deeply into the how, why, and where these markets work. We also discuss the design challenges and opportunities (including implications for builders throughout). And we also cover other information aggregation mechanisms -- from peer prediction to others -- given that prediction markets are part of a broader category of information-elicitation and information-aggregation mechanisms. Where do domain experts, superforecasters, pollsters, and journalists come in (and out)? Where do (and don't) blockchain and crypto technologies come in -- and what specific features (decentralization, transparency, real-time, open source, etc.) matter most, and in what contexts? Finally, we discuss applications for prediction and decision markets -- things we could do right away to in the near-future to sci-fi -- touching on trends like futarchy, AI entering the market, DeSci, and more. Our special expert guests are Alex Taborrok, professor of economics at George Mason University and Chair in Economics at the Mercatus Center; and Scott Duke Kominers, research partner at a16z crypto, and professor at Harvard Business School -- both in conversation with Sonal Chokshi. As a reminder: None of the following should be taken as business, investment, legal, or tax advice; please see a16z.com/disclosures for more important information. Resources:(from links to research mentioned to more on the topics discussed)The Use of Knowledge in Society by Friedrich Hayek (American Economic Review, 1945)Everything is priced in by rsd99 (r/wallstreetbets, 2019)Idea Futures (aka prediction markets, information markets) by Robin Hanson (1996)Auctions: The Social Construction of Value by Charles SmithSocial value of public information by Stephen Morris and Hyun Song Shin (American Economic Review, December 2002)Using prediction markets to estimate the reproducibility of scientific research by Anna Dreber, Thomas Pfeiffer, Johan Almenberg, Siri Isaksson, Brad Wilson, Yiling Chen, Brian Nosek, and Magnus Johannesson (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (November 2015)A solution to the single-question crowd wisdom problem by Dražen Prelec, Sebastian Seung, and John McCoy (Nature, January 2017)Targeting high ability entrepreneurs using community information: Mechanism design in the field by Reshmaan Hussam, Natalia Rigol, and Benjamin Roth (American Economic Review, March 2022)Information aggregation mechanisms: concept, design, and implementation for a sales forecasting problem by Charles Plott and Kay-Yut Chen, Hewlett Packard Laboratories (March 2002)If I had a million [on deciding to dump the CEO or not] by Robin Hanson (2008)Futarchy: Vote values, but bet beliefs by Robin Hanson (2013)From prediction markets to info finance by Vitalik Buterin (November 2024)Composability is innovation by Linda Xie (June 2021)Composability is to software as compounding interest is to finance by Chris Dixon (October 2021)resources & research on DAOs, a16z crypto Stay Updated: Let us know what you think: https://ratethispodcast.com/a16zFind a16z on Twitter: https://twitter.com/a16zFind a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16zSubscribe on your favorite podcast app: https://a16z.simplecast.com/Follow our host: https://twitter.com/stephsmithioPlease note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures.
In today's episode we are joined by ParaFi partners, Ben Forman and Kevin Yedid-Botton. They unpack their biggest predictions for crypto in 2030. They unpack their vision of Bitcoin reaching gold parity at $815K, stablecoins hitting 10% of M2 supply, and AI dominating 90% of on-chain activity. They also explain the evolution of prediction markets, Solana's path to Ethereum parity, and why wallets will become the new banks. To close out they discuss the rising geopolitical influences Bitcoin may have for the coming decade, and its transformative role for nation state accumulation. Thanks for tuning in! - - Start your day with crypto news, analysis and data from Katherine Ross and David Canellis. Subscribe to the Empire newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire?utm_source=podcasts Follow ParaFi: https://x.com/paraficapital Follow Kevin: https://x.com/yedidbotton Follow Jason: https://twitter.com/JasonYanowitz Follow Santiago: https://twitter.com/santiagoroel Follow Empire: https://twitter.com/theempirepod Subscribe on YouTube: https://tinyurl.com/4fdhhb2j Subscribe on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/mv4frfv7ww Subscribe on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/wbaypprw Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ - - Explore the SKALE Ecosystem at skale.space/ecosystem and stay up to date with the gas-free blockchain on X at @skalenetwork - - It's time for an on chain Binance to emerge. Magic Eden is getting into token trading and their vision is to become on chain Binance and then much more as the entire world ends up moving on chain - - The self-custody wallet that's built for swapping. Created for a multi-chain world by the most trusted team in DeFi. Available on Chrome, iOS, and Android. https://blckwrks.co/UniswapWallet - - $cmETH, a Mantle native liquid restaking token, will launch together with Season 2: Methamorphosis, allowing users to easily participate in restaking, and earn $COOK rewards in addition to other yields. $COOK, the governance token of mETH Protocol, will allow holders to play a pivotal role in directing the strategic future of mETH Protocol. Learn more: https://x.com/mETHProtocol - - Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors Empire podcast. Celebrating 10 years of protecting over 20% of the world's crypto, Ledger ensures the security of your assets. For the best self-custody solution in the space, buy a LEDGER™ device and secure your crypto today. Buy now at Ledger.com - - Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (02:15) Predictions for 2030 (05:02) Bitcoin Price 2030 Prediction (13:42) Stablecoin Growth (29:55) Tokenized RWA Growth (40:14) Prediction Markets (47:54) Media & Prediction Market Relationship (55:43) Skale Ad (56:22) Magic Eden Ad (57:06) Uniswap Ad (57:38) Mantle Ad (58:33) Ledger Ad (59:18) AI is 90% of Onchain Activity (01:07:50) Application Layer Boom (01:14:52) Wallets as the New Banks (01:24:43) Solana Parity with Ethereum (01:32:16) 98% of Tokens Underperform BTC (01:41:24) Blockchain GDP to $1T (01:50:24) Honorable Mentions (01:53:42) Geopolitical BTC Race - - Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
A Note from James:"Oh my gosh, so many things going on with Bitcoin. Let me just summarize it. Obviously, Gary Gensler resigning is huge for Bitcoin. He was the head of the SEC, and this is the end of a regulatory cloud over crypto. Another major development is the proposal for Bitcoin to be included in U.S. strategic reserves. If the U.S. starts buying Bitcoin, which Senator Carol Loomis has proposed in a bill, Bitcoin could hit a million. I'm not even being too hyperbolic here. Plus, companies are beginning to adopt crypto, and tokenization is taking off.Today's guest is Omid Malekan, an expert in crypto who used to run crypto at Citibank. He's written extensively on the subject, and I love catching up with him to get his unique perspective on where crypto is heading. If you're curious about Bitcoin's future, the meme coin phenomenon, or the catalysts that might reshape the world of finance, Omid has a lot of insights to share. And trust me, you'll want to stick around for this one.”Episode Description:In this episode, James sits down with Omid Malekan, crypto expert and author, to discuss the seismic shifts happening in the world of Bitcoin and cryptocurrency. With Gary Gensler stepping down as SEC chair, what does this mean for the future of crypto? Omid shares his perspective on Bitcoin's potential to become a strategic reserve asset for the U.S. government and dives into the fascinating, if controversial, world of meme coins.From understanding why tokenization is more than just a buzzword to exploring how stablecoins and decentralized finance are disrupting traditional banking, this episode provides a clear, actionable roadmap for anyone interested in the future of money and blockchain technology.What You'll Learn:Why Gary Gensler's resignation matters for Bitcoin's future – and what it means for the regulatory environment.How tokenization could reshape financial markets – from real estate to gold and beyond.The role of meme coins in crypto's evolution – as both protest and possibility.The promise and potential pitfalls of stablecoins – and why they're more than just digital dollars.Omid's predictions for Bitcoin and Ethereum in a post-regulatory world – and which other coins might take off.Timestamped Chapters:[01:30] Bitcoin's Big News: Why Gensler's resignation is a game-changer[02:52] Omid Malekan's take on Bitcoin as a U.S. strategic reserve[05:25] The meme coin phenomenon: From joke to serious business[10:09] What's next for crypto banking and decentralized finance[20:07] Stablecoins: The next big thing for the U.S. dollar[36:17] Ethereum vs. Solana: The battle for blockchain supremacy[50:07] Tokenization and the future of asset ownershipAdditional Resources:Follow Omid Malekan on TwitterLearn more about stablecoins and decentralized finance at CoinDesk. ------------What do YOU think of the show? Head to JamesAltucherShow.com/listeners and fill out a short survey that will help us better tailor the podcast to our audience!Are you interested in getting direct answers from James about your question on a podcast? Go to JamesAltucherShow.com/AskAltucher and send in your questions to be answered on the air!------------Visit Notepd.com to read our idea lists & sign up to create your own!My new book, Skip the Line, is out! Make sure you get a copy wherever books are sold!Join the You Should Run for President 2.0 Facebook Group, where we discuss why you should run for President.I write about all my podcasts! Check out the full post and learn what I learned at jamesaltuchershow.com------------Thank you so much for listening! If you like this episode, please rate, review, and subscribe to “The James Altucher Show” wherever you get your podcasts: Apple PodcastsiHeart RadioSpotifyFollow me on social media:YouTubeTwitterFacebookLinkedIn
In this Three Breakthroughs episode of the Alumni Ventures Tech Optimist Podcast, Mike Collins and Naren Ramaswamy explore game-changing advancements shaping the future of technology. They discuss prediction markets and their impact on election forecasting, highlighting how innovation is redefining traditional polling. The conversation moves to brain-computer interfaces, featuring a breakthrough device by Synchron that empowers individuals with paralysis to interact with technology in revolutionary ways. Finally, the duo examines the rise of AI-driven collaboration and creativity, showcasing examples like meme-generating AI bots and the productivity enhancements offered by emerging tools. This episode highlights how innovation continues to transform our world.To Learn More:Alumni Ventures (AV)AV LinkedInAV Deep Tech FundTech OptimistChapters:Legal Disclosure:https://av-funds.com/tech-optimist-disclosuresCreators & Guests Mike Collins - Host Naren Ramaswamy - Guest
with @atabarrok @skominers @smc90We've heard a lot about the premise and the promise of prediction markets for a long time, but they finally hit the main stage with the most recent election. So what worked (and didn't) this time? Are they better than pollsters, journalists, domain experts, superforecasters?So in this conversation, we tease apart the hype from the reality of prediction markets, from the recent election to market foundations... going more deeply into the how, why, and where these markets work. We also discuss the design challenges and opportunities, including implications for builders throughout. And we also cover other information aggregation mechanisms -- from peer prediction to others -- given that prediction markets are part of a broader category of information-elicitation and information-aggregation mechanisms.Where do (and don't) blockchain and crypto technologies come in -- and what specific features (decentralization, transparency, real-time, open source, etc.) matter most, and in what contexts? Finally, we discuss applications for prediction and decision markets -- things we could do right away to in the near-to distant future -- touching on everything from corporate decisions and scientific replication to trends like AI, DeSci, futarchy/ governance, and more?Our special expert guests are Alex Tabarrok, professor of economics at George Mason University and Chair in Economics at the Mercatus Center; and Scott Duke Kominers, research partner at a16z crypto, and professor at Harvard Business School -- both in conversation with Sonal Chokshi.RESOURCES(from links to research mentioned to more on the topics discussed)The Use of Knowledge in Society by Friedrich Hayek (American Economic Review, 1945)Everything is priced in by rsd99 (r/wallstreetbets, 2019)Idea Futures (aka prediction markets, information markets) by Robin Hanson (1996)Auctions: The Social Construction of Value by Charles SmithSocial value of public information by Stephen Morris and Hyun Song Shin (American Economic Review, December 2002)Using prediction markets to estimate the reproducibility of scientific research by Anna Dreber, Thomas Pfeiffer, Johan Almenberg, Siri Isaksson, Brad Wilson, Yiling Chen, Brian Nosek, and Magnus Johannesson (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (November 2015)A solution to the single-question crowd wisdom problem by Dražen Prelec, Sebastian Seung, and John McCoy (Nature, January 2017)Targeting high ability entrepreneurs using community information: Mechanism design in the field by Reshmaan Hussam, Natalia Rigol, and Benjamin Roth (American Economic Review, March 2022)Information aggregation mechanisms: concept, design, and implementation for a sales forecasting problem by Charles Plott and Kay-Yut Chen, Hewlett Packard Laboratories (March 2002)If I had a million [on deciding to dump the CEO or not] by Robin Hanson (2008)Futarchy: Vote values, but bet beliefs by Robin Hanson (2013)From prediction markets to info finance by Vitalik Buterin (November 2024)Composability is innovation by Linda Xie (June 2021)Composability is to software as compounding interest is to finance by Chris Dixon (October 2021)resources & research on DAOs, a16z crypto
Learn how prediction markets work, the legal gray areas in which they operate, and how they could be regulated in the future. What are prediction markets like PredictIt, Polymarket and Kalshi, and how do they work? Is it legal to bet on elections in the United States? Hosts Tess Vigeland and Anna Helhoski welcome Sam Taube, the writer of the Nerdy Investor email newsletter, to break down how event contracts operate, explore the legal gray areas of election betting, and discuss whether prediction markets are a smart financial move—or just gambling in disguise. Then, Tess and Anna break down this week's money headlines, including the latest inflation figures and what they mean for interest rates, the CFPB's plan to enforce new click-to-cancel subscription rules, and Spirit Airlines' Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing. In this episode, the Nerds discuss: how prediction markets work, betting on elections, event contracts explained, investing vs gambling, election betting legality, gambling vs investing, Commodity Futures Trading Commission, event contracts legality, prediction market regulation, prediction markets news, event contracts explained simply, and Consumer Price Index. To send the Nerds your money questions, call or text the Nerd hotline at 901-730-6373 or email podcast@nerdwallet.com. Like what you hear? Please leave us a review and tell a friend.
A reading and discussion inspired by https://blockworks.co/news/crypto-opinion-markets-drive-collective-wisdom Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/nathanielwhittemorecrypto Subscribe to the newsletter: https://breakdown.beehiiv.com/ Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownNLW
Welcome to The Chopping Block – where crypto insiders Haseeb Qureshi, Tom Schmidt, Tarun Chitra, and Robert Leshner get together and give the industry insider's perspective on crypto. This week, Laura Shin joins the squad to help break down the aftermath of the 2024 U.S. presidential election and its impact on the crypto landscape. With a new pro-crypto administration on the horizon, they explore what Trump's stance on blockchain regulation could mean for the industry, from ETFs and stablecoin legislation to the potential of a national Bitcoin reserve. They also dig into the power of prediction markets, which outperformed mainstream media in election coverage, signaling a shift in trust and transparency. From the populist appeal of crypto to the challenges facing a divided Democratic Party, this episode uncovers the political dynamics that could drive innovation or stifle growth in the U.S. crypto market. Expect insights on the forces shaping America's crypto future and the role of policy in crypto's place on the global stage. Show highlights
Chat with us in our new telegram: https://t.co/uvyS3SSdUn In this episode, Jason and Santi unpack the implications of Trump's victory for the crypto industry. From Bitcoin's immediate price surge to the potential for a US Bitcoin reserve, they discuss how the regulatory landscape could dramatically shift in crypto's favor. They also unpack why prediction markets like Polymarket emerged as crucial information sources during the election, the return of major crypto conferences to the US, and share why they believe we're still early in crypto's journey. Thanks for tuning in! - - Start your day with crypto news, analysis and data from Katherine Ross and David Canellis. Subscribe to the Empire newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire?utm_source=podcasts Follow Jason: https://twitter.com/JasonYanowitz Follow Santiago: https://twitter.com/santiagoroel Follow Empire: https://twitter.com/theempirepod Subscribe on YouTube: https://tinyurl.com/4fdhhb2j Subscribe on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/mv4frfv7 Subscribe on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/wbaypprw Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ - - Explore the SKALE Ecosystem at skale.space/ecosystem and stay up to date with the gas-free blockchain on X at @skalenetwork - - Supra Containers are secured by Supra's L1 nodes and get access to Supra's 500k TPS throughput, sub-second consensus latency, and all their built-in services like oracle price feeds and onchain randomness without any overhead. Supra is also MultiVM compatible so you can easily deploy your EVM, Move, and SVM smart contracts here. Get all the freedom, control, and tools you need to build super dApps and bring the world onchain. To learn more, visit www.supra.com/blockworks - - Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors Empire podcast. Celebrating 10 years of protecting over 20% of the world's crypto, Ledger ensures the security of your assets. For the best self-custody solution in the space, buy a LEDGER™ device and secure your crypto today. Buy now at https://shop.ledger.com/?r=1da180a5de00 - - Toku simplifies every part of global token compensation — everything from paying full time employees in stablecoins, issuing token grants to your team and investors, all in 100 countries on one platform. Talk to Toku today at: https://www.toku.com/ - - Cronos zkEVM has launched its Pioneer Program,offering early users loyalty points for engaging with Cronos zkEVM & its dapps. Join the first quest by depositing CRO in the Cronos zkEVM bridge to receive zkCRO & loyalty points at mainnet launch, as well as a chance to win a part of a $30,000 zkCRO giveaway by depositing in the bridge. Visit https://zkevm.cronos.org/bridge for more info - - Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (02:43) What Does the Election Mean? (15:37) Impact of Prediction Markets (22:20) Portfolio Construction (29:35) Skale Ad (30:14) Cronos Ad (31:12) Toku Ad (32:03) Supra Ad (32:59) Ledger Ad (33:42) Cycle Timing (43:22) Crypto's IPO (47:27) Why We're Bullish - - Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
Andrew Barber On Prediction Markets & Motivation Tactics Only Friends Pod Ep 626 Solve For Why by Solve For Why
On the latest episode of Two Think Minimum, TPI hosts Tom Lenard, Sarah Oh Lam, and Scott Wallsten explore the world of polls and prediction markets with Aristotle CEO John Phillips and General Counsel David Mason. Aristotle helps run PredictIt, a platform which enables research into how markets can forecast events in real-time. The conversation covers how PredictIt is navigating CFTC regulation, the broad value of small-dollar prediction markets to understanding public opinion and risk forecasting, and how PredictIt determines which questions to create contracts for. This episode offers valuable insights for anyone interested in the intersection of market dynamics, public opinion, and data-driven insights.
In the week leading up to election day, presidential election contracts on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt all indicated Donald Trump had a wider lead ahead of Kamala Harris than traditional polls. In his first-ever TV interview, Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan discusses his company's role in elections and the rising popularity of prediction markets, which allow bettors to wager on election outcomes. The Wall Street Journal's Tim Higgins highlights Elon Musk's influence among young men, saying Musk gave them “purpose” in voting for Trump. Plus, the House race remains uncalled, smart ring maker Oura is out with a new report on election day stress levels, and Wall Street awaits the Federal Reserve's next rate cut decision. Shayne Coplan - 14:51Tim Higgins - 32:15 In this episode: Shayne Coplan, @shayne_coplanTim Higgins, @timkhigginsBecky Quick, @BeckyQuickJoe Kernen, @JoeSquawkAndrew Ross Sorkin, @andrewrsorkinCameron Costa, @CameronCostaNY
Trish Regan Dissects POLLING SHOCKER on EVE of Election. The betting markets are usually right… Trish Regan takes a look at the controversial new poll out of Iowa on the eve of the election as well as additional polls numbers suggesting that Donald Trump might pull off a victory. SUBSCRIBE TO Trish's Financial Market Research HERE: https://76research.com
On today's episode, we will discuss the United States presidential election and explore various strategies for trading it through meme coins, prediction markets, and long and short crypto positions. We'll dive into different approaches our guests are considering for election night, as well as examine how the outcome could impact major crypto price action. Tune in live every weekday Monday through Friday from 9:00 AM Eastern to 10:15 AM. Buy our NFT Join our Discord Check out our Twitter Check out our YouTube Give us your thoughts on the show by leaving a rating. -- DISCLAIMER: You should never treat any opinion expressed by the hosts of this content as a recommendation to make a particular investment, or to follow a particular strategy. The thoughts and commentary on this show are an expression of the hosts' opinions and are for entertainment and informational purposes only. This show is never financial advice.
The latest price moves and insights with Jennifer Sanasie and Onramp head of global macro strategy Mark Connors.To get the show every day, follow the podcast here.Onramp head of global macro strategy Mark Connors explains why prediction markets are not driven solely by sentiment around the U.S. election. Plus, insights on bitcoin as a predictor for the presidential race and his optimistic outlook for stablecoins.-Stand With Crypto this November. The future of crypto is on the line, and you can make your voice heard.Pledge to vote at standwithcrypto.org/action/pledge-This content should not be construed or relied upon as investment advice. It is for entertainment and general information purposes.-This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie. “Markets Daily” is produced by Jennifer Sanasie and Melissa Montañez, and edited by Victor Chen. All original music by Doc Blust and Colin Mealey.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
The latest price moves and insights with Jennifer Sanasie and Onramp head of global macro strategy Mark Connors.To get the show every day, follow the podcast here.Onramp head of global macro strategy Mark Connors explains why prediction markets are not driven solely by sentiment around the U.S. election. Plus, insights on bitcoin as a predictor for the presidential race and his optimistic outlook for stablecoins.-Stand With Crypto this November. The future of crypto is on the line, and you can make your voice heard.Pledge to vote at standwithcrypto.org/action/pledge-This content should not be construed or relied upon as investment advice. It is for entertainment and general information purposes.-This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie. “Markets Daily” is produced by Jennifer Sanasie and Melissa Montañez, and edited by Victor Chen. All original music by Doc Blust and Colin Mealey.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
On today's episode, we cover top election night trading strategies, from prediction markets to leveraging majors. We also dive into trending meme coins, including the story of Peanut the Squirrel, which drew attention from Elon Musk and Donald Trump Jr. Plus, we explore live meme coin purchases and more. Tune in live every weekday Monday through Friday from 9:00 AM Eastern to 10:15 AM. Buy our NFT Join our Discord Check out our Twitter Check out our YouTube Give us your thoughts on the show by leaving a rating. -- DISCLAIMER: You should never treat any opinion expressed by the hosts of this content as a recommendation to make a particular investment, or to follow a particular strategy. The thoughts and commentary on this show are an expression of the hosts' opinions and are for entertainment and informational purposes only. This show is never financial advice.
Dmitry Meshkov is Founder and CEO of QUEX Tech. Quex are launching a next-gen Oracle which will be an alternative to Chainlink and sets the security standard for DeFi, RWA, and Prediction Markets. Why you should listen Quex is revolutionizing blockchain oracles by integrating hardware-level cryptographic security to provide secure, decentralized data transfer to blockchain platforms. Their oracle solution addresses the pressing issue of data manipulation, which costs the DeFi space $400 million yearly, by notarizing HTTPS requests and ensuring verifiable on-chain data. This approach is especially valuable for the rapidly expanding Real-World Asset (RWA) market, projected to reach $16 trillion by 2030, where secure, tamper-proof data is crucial. Using trusted execution environments (TEEs), Quex enables robust data integrity for DeFi, prediction markets, and RWA applications, creating a secure foundation for future decentralized applications. Supporting links Stabull Finance Quex Andy on Twitter Brave New Coin on Twitter Brave New Coin If you enjoyed the show please subscribe to the Crypto Conversation and give us a 5-star rating and a positive review in whatever podcast app you are using.
Bitcoin is up slightly at $68,308 Eth is down slightly at $2,450 Binance Coin, down slightly at $557 Donald Trump's Winning odds dive on prediction markets Strive Enterprises to launch BTC-focused arm. Ethereum researchers announce EigenLayer resignations Tornado Cash dev trial postponed to April Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Bitcoin is within a stone's throw of its all-time high after rallying for a fourth day, fueled by voracious spot ETF demand. Could this momentum maintain throughout November after elections?Guest: Mark Yusko, Founder, CEO and Chief Investment Officer of Morgan Creek Capital ManagementMorgan Creek-Exos Risk-Managed Bitcoin Fund ➜ https://bit.ly/BitcoinFundMorganCreek~This Episode is Sponsored By Coinbase~ Get up to $200 for getting started on Coinbase➜ https://bit.ly/CBARRON00:00 Intro00:08 Sponsor: Coinbase00:50 Larry Fink on inflation & fed rates03:55 Bitcoin price if Kamala vs Trump wins11:02 Global Finance structure changing13:43 Ethereum vs Others18:02 Prediction Markets & AI tools20:50 Outro#Bitcoin #ethereum #crypto~Bitcoin $100,000 After Election?
David Glidden (@dglid), co-founder of the Forecasting Meetup Network, provides a step-by-step how-to guide to organizing a forecasting meetup. Timestamps 1:08: Review of September forecasting meetup 2:08: Polymarket's commitment to community-building 3:03: October forecasting meetup 7:03: Interview with Glidden begins 8:29: Working with a partner 9:42: Sensitivity to rejection 12:48: Nate Silver's community of elites 14:25: Big visions 15:25: Shayne Coplan's vision 18:28: Scratch your own itch 19:52: Prediction market newsletters 21:39: Polymarket's The Oracle 22:32: How to begin 23:03: Finding a venue 26:17: Focus on n of 1 26:38: Fundraising 27:28: Manifund 32:39: Value for sponsors 37:17: Getting RSVPs 38:56: How to get involved 41:54: Expanding beyond Washington 43:26: Grassroots activism 44:46: Opponents of election betting 47:53: Why companies don't invest in grassroots activism Join us for a pre-election forecasting & prediction markets meetup/party this Tuesday! Details and RSVP for free here: https://partiful.com/e/ITHDAcznT1DppUXD2p9x Trade on Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter @ssgamblers
Or at least...they're not illegal based on the CFTC's arguments. A Judge has rejected the CFTC's appeal to keep Kalshi from posting a presidential election market. The decision has led to numerous platforms coming online almost immediately. Plus, the SEC's Head of Enforcement heads out. Unlocking Bitcoin DeFi with ExSat The exSat Network aims to unlock and scale the Bitcoin ecosystem without compromising Bitcoins Ideology. The network has partnered with the largest mining pools in the world, major custodians and exchanges, Cefu, Cubolt, Matrixport, Copper, OKX and aims to have over $200M TVL at mainnet launch on the 23rd of October. Follow exSat's Twitter to stay up to date @exsatnetwork or visit the testnet exsat.network Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/nathanielwhittemorecrypto Subscribe to the newsletter: https://breakdown.beehiiv.com/ Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownNLW
In this episode, we speak with CFTC Commissioner Summer Mersinger about the rapidly changing world of cryptocurrency regulation. Commissioner Mersinger provides a detailed look at the differences between the CFTC and SEC, their roles in overseeing digital assets, and how the regulatory landscape is evolving with DeFi and crypto markets. She discusses the CFTC's recent dissent in the Uniswap case, the challenges of classifying assets as commodities or securities, and the implications of U.S. regulations on the global crypto industry. Whether you're a crypto enthusiast, a DeFi developer, or just curious about how the U.S. government is approaching these new technologies, this episode offers invaluable insights into the future of crypto regulation. ------
Host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down the news in the crypto industry from the pause on Kalshi's political prediction markets to eToro's $1.5 million SEC settlement."CoinDesk Daily" host Benjamin Schiller breaks down the biggest headlines in the crypto industry today, as a U.S. federal appeals court halted Kalshi's political prediction markets upon a CFTC request for an emergency stay. Plus, eToro has agreed to pay $1.5 million to settle SEC charges and Circle is moving to New York City.-This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie. “CoinDesk Daily” is produced by Jennifer Sanasie and Melissa Montañez and edited by Victor Chen.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:59) Labor department revises down nonfarm payrolls by 818K (15:02) MIT publishes data from first incoming class post race-based admissions ban (36:16) Decision 2024: State of the race, Polls vs prediction markets (52:33) Tale of two tickets: Private sector vs. Public sector (1:05:19) Kamala Harris supports Biden's tax plans, including a 25% wealth tax on those with more than $100M in assets Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/21/nonfarm-payroll-growth-revised-down-by-818000-labor-department-says.html https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1826290040374243821 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1664788807059660800 https://www.statista.com/statistics/269959/employment-in-the-united-states https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS https://polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-september-2024?tid=1724345228774 https://x.com/chamath/status/1826360792351957141 https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/15/us/harvard-asian-enrollment-applicants.html https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1826469365069271419 https://blockworks.co/news/polymarket-july-all-time-high-trading-volumes https://www.semafor.com/article/08/19/2024/harris-camp-signals-it-backs-biden-bid-to-raise-taxes-on-wealthy-corporations https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/dnc-election-2024-harris-walz/card/harris-backs-tax-increases-proposed-by-biden-pkuLeYl6f1kXrhN4kWgQ https://www.crfb.org/blogs/kamala-harris-agenda-lower-costs-american-families https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2024.pdf
Welcome to The Chopping Block – where crypto insiders Haseeb Qureshi, Tom Schmidt, Tarun Chitra, and Robert Leshner chop it up about the latest news. This week, the boys discuss Ethereum's current standing in the cryptocurrency ecosystem, comparing it to the United States regarding capital concentration despite fewer users. They also dive into the dynamics of prediction markets, focusing on Polymarket's role in predicting election outcomes. The conversation evolves into an analysis of potential changes to the Ethereum mainnet, driven by competition from Solana and other factors, including block time reductions and gas limit increases. The episode concludes with predictions about Ethereum's possible upgrades in the next six months and a bet among the hosts about the outcome. Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Overcast, Podcast Addict, Pocket Casts, Pandora, Castbox, Google Podcasts, TuneIn, Amazon Music, or on your favorite podcast platform. Show highlights
Nate Silver is a statistician, writer, and political analyst, widely recognized for his accurate predictions of U.S. presidential elections. He's now released an exceptional new book titled, "On the Edge: The Art of Risking Everything." The book delves into the world of risk, game theory, cryptocurrency, artificial intelligence, and poker—fields where the stakes are high and the outcomes uncertain. One of the central themes of the book is crypto, which is why we were thrilled to have Nate join us. Nate is not just a respected analyst; he's one of us—a fellow degen who shares our passion for the unpredictable and the frontier. But he's also much more. Nate is an avid poker player, a sharp sports bettor, an interviewer of Sam Bankman-Fried, an NFT enthusiast, and an advisor to Polymarket. In today's episode, he offers keen insights into the brewing battle between the crypto world and its traditional incumbents. ------
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