Podcasts about prediction markets

  • 477PODCASTS
  • 859EPISODES
  • 43mAVG DURATION
  • 3DAILY NEW EPISODES
  • Jun 16, 2026LATEST

POPULARITY

20192020202120222023202420252026


Best podcasts about prediction markets

Latest podcast episodes about prediction markets

Even Money: NFL Gambling Podcast
Prediction Markets 101 & 2026 World Cup Bets

Even Money: NFL Gambling Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2026 29:23


Steve Fezzik & Ross break down everything you need to know about prediction markets! Plus Steve gives his approach to betting on the 2026 World Cup. Download the DraftKings Sports Book App and use code ROSS Connect with the Pod Website - https://www.rosstucker.com Become A Patron - https://www.patreon.com/RTMedia Podcast Twitter - https://twitter.com/RossTuckerPod Podcast Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/rosstuckerpod/ Ross Twitter - https://twitter.com/RossTuckerNFL Ross Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/rosstuckernfl/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Audio Mises Wire
The Fear of the Signal: Why the State Urgently Wants to Bind Prediction Markets

Audio Mises Wire

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 15, 2026


Prediction markets, while obviously imperfect, still work well because people voluntarily put their money where their beliefs are. Naturally, the government wants to shut them down.Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/fear-signal-why-state-urgently-wants-bind-prediction-markets

Mises Media
The Fear of the Signal: Why the State Urgently Wants to Bind Prediction Markets

Mises Media

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 15, 2026


Prediction markets, while obviously imperfect, still work well because people voluntarily put their money where their beliefs are. Naturally, the government wants to shut them down.Original article: https://mises.org/mises-wire/fear-signal-why-state-urgently-wants-bind-prediction-markets

Alles Coin Nichts Muss
#219 KI für Krypto-Trading und vom Tellerwäscher zum Krypto-Millionär noch möglich?

Alles Coin Nichts Muss

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2026 61:07 Transcription Available


Vom Tellerwäscher zum Millionär, das war lange das große Krypto-Versprechen: 2010 zufällig ein paar Euro in Bitcoin gesteckt und ein paar Jahre später die komplette Bloodline in Rente geschickt. Funktioniert das heute eigentlich noch? Und wenn ja, wo? Bei den Perps, in den Prediction Markets oder doch nur mit schmutzigen Fingern und ehrlicher Research-Fleißarbeit? Darüber sprechen Julius Nagel und Florian Adomeit in dieser Folge von Alles Coin, Nichts Muss.

Monero Talk
Can ZSide Outperform Monero and Zcash? Paul Sztorc Debates Bitcoin Privacy & More | EPI 386

Monero Talk

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 12, 2026 92:24


Any donation is greatly appreciated! 47e6GvjL4in5Zy5vVHMb9PQtGXQAcFvWSCQn2fuwDYZoZRk3oFjefr51WBNDGG9EjF1YDavg7pwGDFSAVWC5K42CBcLLv5U OR DONATE HERE: https://www.monerotalk.live/donate TODAY'S SHOW: Douglas Tuman speaks with Paul Sztorc of LayerTwo Labs about the current state of Bitcoin, the future of sidechains, privacy technologies, Monero's growing real-world relevance, and his efforts to launch a new Bitcoin fork featuring native sidechain functionality. The discussion explores Bitcoin maximalism, network effects, privacy tradeoffs, Zcash vs. Monero, decentralized naming systems, and whether Bitcoin's culture is preventing meaningful innovation. TIMESTAMPS: (00:00:00) Introduction, Sponsors & Pre-Show Discussion (00:08:41) Paul's Bitcoin Origins, Silk Road & Discovering Crypto (00:17:06) Drivechains Explained & Why Paul Is Forking Bitcoin (00:31:32) One Coin vs. Many Coins, Network Effects & Privacy (00:43:10) Bitcoin Culture, Maximalism & Why BTC May Be Stagnating (00:57:36) Monero vs. Zcash, Privacy Adoption & Real-World Usage (01:06:59) Namecoin, BitNames & Decentralized Identity Systems (01:17:11) Prediction Markets, Stablecoins & Future Sidechains (01:26:31) Launch Plans for eCash/ZSide & Adoption Challenges (01:38:13) Closing Thoughts & Final Remarks GUEST LINKS: https://x.com/Truthcoin Purchase Cafe & tip the farmers w/ XMR! https://gratuitas.org/ SPONSORS: Cakewallet.com, the first open-source Monero wallet for iOS. You can even exchange between XMR, BTC, LTC & more in the app! Monero.com by Cake Wallet - ONLY Monero wallet (https://monero.com/) StealthEX, an instant exchange. Go to (https://stealthex.io) to instantly exchange between Monero and 450 plus assets, w/o having to create an account or register & with no limits. WEBSITE: https://www.monerotopia.com CONTACT: monerotalk@protonmail.com ODYSEE: https://odysee.com/@MoneroTalk:8 TWITTER: https://twitter.com/monerotalk FACEBOOK: https://www.facebook.com/MoneroTalk HOST: https://twitter.com/douglastuman INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/monerotalk TELEGRAM: https://t.me/monerotopia MATRIX: https://matrix.to/#/%23monerotopia%3Amonero.social MASTODON: @Monerotalk@mastodon.social MONERO.TOWN: https://monero.town/u/monerotalkAny donation is greatly appreciated!Any donation is greatly appreciated!

iGaming Daily
The Future of Prediction Markets at SBC Summit Americas 2026| Ep. 792

iGaming Daily

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2026 18:01


This episode explores the evolving landscape of prediction markets in the gaming industry, focusing on regulatory challenges, regional differences, and future prospects. Experts discuss recent developments in Latin America and the US, highlighting the importance of regulation, legal debates, and industry trends.Key TopicsRegulatory challenges for prediction marketsRegional differences in regulation (Latin America vs US)Future prospects and industry trendsHost: Fernando NoodtGuests: Lucia Gando & Justin ByersProducer: Anaya McDonaldEditor: Anaya McDonaldLearn how Optimove's Positionless Marketing is changing how iGaming teams operate. Discover how operators are using Optimove's Positionless Marketing Platform to launch personalised CRM campaigns, dynamically change casino lobbies and bet slips, and create engaging gamified experiences. Learn more at optimove.com.Finally, remember to check out Optimove at https://hubs.la/Q02gLC5L0 or go to Optimove.com/sbc to get your first month free when buying the industry's leading customer-loyalty service. 

WSJ What’s News
Can Regulators Get a Grip on Prediction Markets?

WSJ What’s News

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2026 11:38


A.M. Edition for June 10. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is set to propose new rules for booming prediction markets in an effort to crack down on manipulation and bets regulators determine aren't in the public interest. WSJ reporter Alexander Osipovich discusses where the CFTC is likely to draw the line – allowing most sports betting while targeting wagers on war, terrorism and assassinations. Plus, Democrat Graham Platner coasts to victory in Maine, teeing up a crucial Senate contest against Susan Collins in November. And GM follows Ford with a pivot into energy storage. Luke Vargas hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Correction: A previous version of this podcast incorrectly said the Senate had included funding for an anti-weaponization fund in the immigration bill that passed last week. In fact, the Senate bill refrained from adding language to kill the fund. (Corrected on June 10) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

WSJ Tech News Briefing
TNB Tech Minute: U.S. Regulators Propose New Rules for Prediction Markets

WSJ Tech News Briefing

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2026 2:40


Plus: an anti-Nvidia data center startup closed a new funding round valuing it at $1.55 billion dollars. And the AI selloff hits more chipmakers in Asia. Danny Lewis hosts. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Nightly Business Report
Markets Ready for SpaceX IPO, Proposals for Prediction Markets, and The Big Business of the Knicks 6/10/26

Nightly Business Report

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2026 44:10


Stocks under pressure as investors prepare for the SpaceX IPO, which is shaping up to be an historic liquidity event. The names that could see the most selling, plus a former derivatives trader on how to hedge any current SpaceX exposure. The CFTC's proposed new rules for prediction markets could mean major changes for sports betting. And speaking of sports, CNBC's Alex Sherman breaks down the big numbers behind the Knicks ahead of Game Four.    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Empire
CFTC Chair Michael Selig On Perps, Prediction Markets & Crypto In The U.S

Empire

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2026 62:58


This week, CFTC Chair Michael Selig joins the show to discuss the CFTC's recent policy announcement on perps in the U.S. We deep dive into how to regulate crypto in the U.S, prediction markets, 24/7 markets, working with the SEC and more. Enjoy! -- Follow Michael: https://x.com/MichaelSelig Follow Rob: https://x.com/HadickM Follow Empire: https://x.com/theempirepod -- Robots will soon outnumber humans onchain. peaqOS turns them into a new trusted liquid asset class, with yield tied to real-world workloads. It gives robots all they need to do business on any chain — and lets humans earn from automation. Explore the Machine Economy: https://peaq.xyz -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (04:20) Working With The SEC (08:40) Bringing Perps To The U.S (19:03) peaq Ad (19:49) How To Regulate DeFi? (26:08) Becoming The Crypto Capital of The World (29:10) Prediction Markets (45:28) 24/7 Capital Markets (56:39) The Clarity Act (01:00:14) Final Thoughts -- Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, Rob and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

Crazy Wisdom
Episode #552: The Unbanked Advantage: How Nigeria's Financial Chaos Made It Crypto-Ready

Crazy Wisdom

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2026 52:32


In this episode of the Crazy Wisdom Podcast, host Stewart Alsop sits down with software engineer and entrepreneur Arowolo Muritadhor for a wide-ranging conversation that moves from agriculture and manufacturing in Nigeria to the evolving role of crypto in the country's economy. They touch on how hyperinflation, particularly the naira's dramatic drop in 2023, pushed Nigerians toward stablecoins as a practical savings tool, and how informal kiosk networks have stepped in where traditional banking infrastructure falls short. The conversation also covers the tension between government regulation and the permissionless nature of blockchain technology, comparisons between the decline of the Roman Empire and current shifts in US economic dominance, the role of mobile payments in Africa, language learning, and whether AI agents have any real utility in crypto infrastructure yet. You can connect with Arowolo on LinkedIn and X at @armolas_06.Timestamps00:00 - Host welcomes Arowolo Muritadhor, introducing topics of software engineering and animal food production in Nigeria.05:00 - Discussion shifts to manufacturing, components assembly, and China's dominance in low-cost production globally.10:00 - Conversation explores crypto adoption in Nigeria as a network state phenomenon, separating informed users from mainstream population.15:00 - Mobile payments and kiosk ATM replacements emerge as critical financial infrastructure bridging unbanked Nigerians.20:00 - Roman Empire parallels drawn to modern crypto taxation, government control, and inevitable death-and-taxes reality.25:00 - Bitcoin and Ethereum permissionless nature debated against government wallet-level censorship vulnerabilities.30:00 - AI agents examined as crypto infrastructure tools, revealing mostly trading bots rather than foundational builders.35:00 - Nigeria's 2023 naira collapse compared to Argentina's hyperinflation, driving citizens toward stablecoin dollar savings.40:00 - US Treasury history unpacked through FDR gold confiscation and Nixon ending convertibility, paralleling empire decline.45:00 - Crypto reframed as anti-bank rather than purely anti-government, enabling freedom through immutable accountability.50:00 - Transparent blockchain ledgers discussed as potential government accountability tools across democracy, republic, and oligarchy structures.Key Insights1. Nigeria has a significant divide between its northern and southern regions in terms of economic activity. The north, centered around Abuja, is more agricultural with substantial cattle production, while Lagos in the south functions as a dense urban and commercial hub. This geographic and economic split shapes how different financial tools and technologies are adopted across the country.2. China's dominance in low-cost manufacturing has made it nearly impossible for countries like Nigeria, the United States, or Argentina to compete on price alone. The more realistic path for developing economies is to import components and focus on local assembly and creativity, which is where meaningful economic participation becomes possible.3. Crypto adoption in Nigeria accelerated dramatically around 2023 when the naira experienced a sharp devaluation against the US dollar. Before that point, saving in dollars was difficult for many Nigerians, especially those without formal bank accounts, making stablecoins like USDT an attractive and practical alternative for preserving wealth.4. Informal kiosk operators in Nigeria have organically become a substitute for ATMs, giving communities access to basic financial services where traditional banking infrastructure does not reach. This grassroots financial layer is now a key entry point for integrating crypto and stablecoin payments into everyday commerce.5. Governments are increasingly trying to regulate crypto at the wallet and centralized exchange level, using tax compliance as a primary mechanism. While Bitcoin and Ethereum remain largely permissionless, the practical chokepoints for most users remain centralized platforms where identity and transactions can be monitored.6. The historical parallel between the fall of the Roman Empire and current shifts in US economic and geopolitical power offers a useful frame for understanding why crypto matters. Just as Rome debased its currency and struggled to sustain imperial costs, the US faces mounting debt and a financialized economy that may accelerate dollar instability and push more people toward alternative stores of value.7. One genuinely constructive use case for blockchain beyond speculation is immutable accountability, particularly for public institutions and prediction markets. A transparent ledger that governments or officials voluntarily adopt could create verifiable records of decisions and promises, reducing corruption and increasing trust in ways that traditional governance structures have struggled to achieve.

Unchained
What Two DOJ Cases Reveal About the Legal Risks of Prediction Markets: Bits + Bips

Unchained

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 7, 2026 46:10


Steve Sosnick on the ratchet effect in equities, the AI bandwidth parallel, Kevin Warsh's impossible first week, and why crypto is the unsexy trade right now. --- Thank you to our sponsor! Coinbase: Get 20% off the first year of your Coinbase One annual plan at coinbase.com/unchained. Heads up! If you haven't yet, be sure to subscribe to Bits + Bips, since the show will migrate there in a few weeks. Follow us on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Apple Podcasts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠YouTube⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Spotify⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠X⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Unchained⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and wherever you get your podcasts. ---- Equities are near all-time highs, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge just hit a multi-year peak, Iran ceasefire talks are producing a familiar ratchet effect in markets, and Bitcoin is quietly underperforming tech stocks on a nine-month volatility low. Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, joins Steve Ehrlich to map what's actually driving these unique market dynamics. They cover the two vulnerabilities that could change things, the uncomfortable parallel between today's AI capex and the 1999 bandwidth buildout, what $120 billion in money market inflows says about where retail cash is actually sitting, the challenge Kevin Warsh faces walking into an already-skeptical FOMC, and why crypto is currently losing the competition for momentum-chasing money to AI stocks, upcoming IPOs, and even a memory chip ETF. Host: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Steve Ehrlich, Head of Research at SharpLink and Host of Bits + Bips: The Interview Guest: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Steve Sosnick — Chief Strategist at Interactive Brokers Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Late Confirmation by CoinDesk
CFTC Chairman Mike Selig on crypto, prediction markets and AI-powered market surveillance

Late Confirmation by CoinDesk

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 5, 2026 18:17


CFTC Chairman Mike Selig sits down on the mainstage at Consensus to break down the most consequential regulatory shift in crypto history: a joint SEC-CFTC taxonomy that finally defines what kind of asset everything is, effectively putting the Howey Test to rest. He also makes the case for why prediction markets belong under federal jurisdiction, not state gaming commissions, and why he's already suing multiple states to prove it. Operating as the sole commissioner on a five-member body, Selig is moving fast on rulemaking, AI-powered market surveillance, and cementing the US as the global home for crypto innovation. - Timecodes: 00:00 - CFTC Chairman Mike Selig at Consensus Miami 2026 01:00 - The New Crypto Taxonomy 03:13 - Joint CFTC/SEC Rulemaking and Its Durability 04:34 - Protecting Software Developers 06:53 - Why Prediction Markets Belong With the CFTC 09:13 - Sports Wagers vs Event Contracts Explained 11:33 - State Lawsuits and the Path to the Supreme Court 13:36 - Using AI for Market Surveillance 15:09 - Operating as the Sole Commissioner

TRENDIFIER with Julian Dorey
#431 - “Destroying Young Men!” - Louis Ruggiero UNLOADS on Polymarket, Darkest Moments & $10B SCAM

TRENDIFIER with Julian Dorey

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 5, 2026 152:34


SPONSORS: 1) SUPERPOWER: Head to https://superpower.com and use code JULIAN at checkout for $20 off your membership. Unlock your new health intelligence with 100+ biomarkers tested every year. 2) DOSE: Ready to give your liver the support it deserves? Head to https://dosedaily.co/JULIAN or enter JULIAN to get 35% off your first subscription. JOIN PATREON FOR EARLY UNCENSORED EPISODE RELEASES: https://www.patreon.com/JulianDorey CLIPPERS DISCORD: https://discord.gg/8QmWEKJ3BT (***TIMESTAMPS in description below) ~ Louis Ruggiero is an ex gambling addict and Youtuber. FOLLOW LOUIS: YT: https://youtube.com/@nothingsoffthetable IG: https://www.instagram.com/nothingsoffpod TT: https://www.tiktok.com/@nothingsoffpod FOLLOW JULIAN DOREY YT: https://www.instagram.com/julianddorey/ X: https://x.com/juliandorey JULIAN YT CHANNELS - SUBSCRIBE to Julian Dorey Clips YT: https://www.youtube.com/@juliandoreyclips - SUBSCRIBE to Julian Dorey Daily YT: https://www.youtube.com/@JulianDoreyDaily - SUBSCRIBE to Best of JDP: https://www.youtube.com/@bestofJDP ****TIMESTAMPS**** 00:00 - Losing your Innocence and A Decade of Addiction 16:38 - Survivor's Guilt and “The Obsession” 27:58 - Root of Addiction, Jimmy Confesses a Mu*der, and Overdosing 44:17 - Life After Rehab, Confessing Jimmy's Confession 53:58 - Jimmy Gets Locked Up, Losing $50k in Vegas 01:05:31 - Gambling Keeping Louis Afloat, Family Ties, Married in 24 Hours 01:21:11 - Three Month Drug Psychosis in Colombia, Losing $10 Million 01:32:21 - Louis Plotted Suicide Before Thanksgiving, Gambling Lies 01:43:33 - Pressure Relief Group, The Massive Problem w/ Legal Gambling 01:57:39 - Horror of Prediction Markets, “Gambling is a tax on the poor” 02:05:58 - Life After Gambling, Living Without Fear 02:19:38 - Privileged Life, Recovered After Feeling Consequences 02:26:48 - Louis' Work CREDITS: - Host, Editor & Producer: Julian Dorey - COO, Producer & Editor: Alessi Allaman - https://www.youtube.com/@UCyLKzv5fKxGmVQg3cMJJzyQ - In-Studio Producer: Joey Deef - https://www.instagram.com/joeydeef/ Julian Dorey Podcast Episode 431 - Louis Ruggiero Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Sex Afflictions & Porn Addictions
Prediction Markets: The New Addiction Nobody's Talking About | Joe Ciccolo

Sex Afflictions & Porn Addictions

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 4, 2026 48:01 Transcription Available


Prediction markets like Kalshi let you bet on presidential elections, Taylor Swift's engagement, and whether it'll snow in LA this month. Billions in annual trading volume. Near-zero consumer protections. And a younger male demographic growing faster than any other.Craig Perra sits down with Joe Ciccolo -- nationally recognized expert in digital asset regulatory compliance, founder of BitAML, and Executive Director of the California Blockchain Advisory Coalition -- to break down what prediction markets actually are, why they're structurally different from gambling (and why that distinction matters for your protection), and what nobody in the industry wants you to know about the regulatory gap that leaves consumers completely exposed.This is not a fear piece. This is a pattern recognition conversation.What you'll learn:*How prediction markets work and why they're more addictive than traditional betting*The insider trading paradox: why informed trading is literally built into the model*Why the FTC regulates these platforms but has zero consumer protection mandate*How crypto exchanges fusing with prediction markets are eliminating the last friction between you and a compulsive bet*What the industry's own marketing reveals about who they're really targetingIf you recognize yourself in any of this, the Self-Sabotage Assessment at mindfulhabitmastery.com/slst is where to start.Connect with Joe Ciccolo:LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/joeciccolo/Website: https://www.bitaml.com

The Options Insider Radio Network
Wide World of Options: The New Frontier: Crypto, Prediction Markets, and the Regulators Watching It All

The Options Insider Radio Network

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 4, 2026 18:12


From election contracts to crypto derivatives, a new generation of markets is raising complex questions about oversight, jurisdiction and investor protection. In this all-new episode of Wide World of Options, former CFTC commissioner Dawn Stump sits down to explore how these products work, who's watching and where the regulatory lines are still being drawn.

The Alchemist's Library
Internet Money, Inner Chaos, and the Cost of Chasing More - Champ

The Alchemist's Library

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 4, 2026 55:12


Send us Fan MailIn this episode of The Alchemist's Library, Champ breaks down internet money, crypto, prediction markets, online business, personal branding, entrepreneurship, hustle culture, burnout, chronic illness, Miami culture, and the hidden cost of chasing more. What starts as a conversation about travel, Marbella, and getting robbed turns into a deeper look at how Champ went from Tulsa, Oklahoma to building a massive online audience and making serious money on the internet.Champ shares the story behind his early music dreams, software sales job, viral crypto content, $850K Discord launch, and why he believes prediction markets could become the next major online money opportunity. The conversation also gets personal, covering Lyme disease, POTS, mold exposure, health struggles, high-performance pressure, comparison, family, relationships, and the painful realization that money does not automatically create meaning.Subscribe for more conversations on business, health, philosophy, psychology, wealth, culture, and self-mastery.#InternetMoney #PredictionMarkets #EntrepreneurshipTIMESTAMPS00:00 – Why Marbella Changed Champ's View on Travel07:26 – Champ's Origin Story From Tulsa to Online Fame10:22 – How Bullying Pushed Champ Onto the Internet15:14 – How Crypto Turned Into Internet Money18:40 – How Champ Made $850K From a Discord Launch20:18 – Why Prediction Markets Could Be the Next Crypto23:20 – How Prediction Market Arbitrage Works25:29 – Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting Odds30:18 – How AI Agents Are Trading Prediction Markets31:15 – Champ's Battle With Lyme Disease and POTS35:18 – Performing at 40 Percent Capacity39:46 – Why Hustle Culture Can Poison High Performers42:12 – The Problem With Success Built on Fear44:41 – What Gives Life Meaning After Making Money46:23 – Why Internet Fame Didn't Fix Everything47:35 – The Reality of Miami Influencer Culture51:01 – Why Dating in New York Feels Different52:08 – Why Champ Left Brickell MiamiConnect with Us!https://www.instagram.com/alchemists.library/https://twitter.com/RyanJAyala

OICs Wide World of Options
Wide World of Options: The New Frontier: Crypto, Prediction Markets, and the Regulators Watching It All

OICs Wide World of Options

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 4, 2026 18:12


From election contracts to crypto derivatives, a new generation of markets is raising complex questions about oversight, jurisdiction and investor protection. In this all-new episode of Wide World of Options, former CFTC commissioner Dawn Stump sits down to explore how these products work, who's watching and where the regulatory lines are still being drawn.

All Talk with Jordan and Dietz
Prediction Markets Under Scrutiny

All Talk with Jordan and Dietz

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 4, 2026 9:09


June 4, 2026 ~ Defense attorney Michael Bullotta breaks down the federal probe into George Santos over suspicious prediction-market activity and what legal issues could be in play. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcast
The Most Interesting Sports Bettor You've Never Heard Of | Presented by ProphetX

Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 3, 2026 107:15


Circles Off sits down with sharp bettor Thon Misser (@ThonMisser) for a deep dive into how he actually approaches modern betting markets, from live wagering to prediction markets and everything in between. Thon has quietly built a reputation for finding edges in places most bettors ignore — including niche sports like Japanese baseball, reality TV markets, and newer prediction market platforms. In this conversation with Rob Pizzola, he breaks down how he thinks about betting today, where his edge comes from, and why the betting landscape is changing faster than most people realize. We also get into his live betting process, how he structures his week across different sports and markets, and what it really takes to operate at a sharp level in today's environment. Later in the episode, the conversation shifts into prediction markets, insider trading debates, and whether these new formats are going to coexist with or disrupt traditional sportsbooks. This is part of the Circles Off interview series presented by ProphetX, focused on sharp thinking, betting markets, prediction markets, and real process-driven discussion. If you're interested in sports betting, prediction markets, live betting strategy, or how sharp bettors actually think, this episode delivers a rare inside look.

SportsTech Allstars: Startups & Key Initiatives
The Bloomberg Terminal for Sports Bettors - Evan Kirkham, Outlier #262

SportsTech Allstars: Startups & Key Initiatives

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 3, 2026 30:41


In this episode of the Sports Tech AllStars Podcast, we present Evan Kirkham, CEO and Co-Founder of Outlier.The conversation explores how Outlier is building a data-driven sports betting platform that charges bettors directly rather than taking affiliate fees from sportsbooks, why that single decision shapes everything about the product, and where the $11 million Series A company is heading next - including a data acquisition and a new live betting product.TakeawaysOutlier charges bettors a subscription fee instead of taking affiliate money from sportsbooks - a deliberate choice that keeps the product fully aligned with the userTaking affiliate fees from sportsbooks creates an incentive to funnel users rather than serve them - Outlier refuses to make that trade-offThe platform is essentially a Bloomberg Terminal for sports bettors, taking users from insight to analysis to bet execution in one seamless flow65% to 70% of Outlier's traffic is NBA, with prop bets driving 95 percent of overall usageThe US skipped the betting shop era entirely - everyone came to digital sports betting at the same time, which is why adoption has been so fastThe financialization of sports betting is the defining US trend - bettors will increasingly move in and out of positions like traders, with limit orders and automated executionThe market is bifurcating between serious data-driven bettors and casual fans who just want entertainment - most products are still trying to serve both at onceUK bettors have ingrained behaviors tied to legacy sportsbooks - breaking those habits is the core challenge of international expansionOutlier is acquiring a data technology provider and launching a net new live in-game betting productTo learn more, visit: https://www.outlier.betGet in touch with Evan Kirkham at: linkedin.com/in/evan-kirkham-581b1220 Hosted by ⁠Rohn Malhotra⁠ from ⁠SportsTechX⁠ - Leading source of Investment and Innovation insights in sports. As promised, here's your small surprise:Unlock your 30-day growth plan (worth €49) on the SportsTechX Intelligence Hub for free!Simply verify your company details and you get access to 1,500+ investors, programmes, initiatives and events in the sportstech ecosystem.Here's how to get set up and if you'd like a walkthrough of the platform, feel free to book a call here.More from SportsTechX:Explore the SportsTechX Intelligence Hub, an interactive database of over 8,000 sports tech companies, 8,000+ deals, 1,000+ investors, programs and events - HEREDownload the latest Global Sports Tech Ecosystem Report - HERESign Up for the Sports Tech Weekly Newsletter for more news, features & insights on Sports Tech - HERE Stay Connected and follow for more:LinkedInYouTubeSpotifyApple PodcastChapters00:00 Introduction02:59 What Outlier Is and Why It Calls Itself a Bloomberg Terminal for Sports03:28 Is Outlier for Casual Bettors or Serious Ones?04:08 The Match.com Model - Building a Suite of Data Products05:14 The Origin Story05:51 Game Lines vs Prop Bets08:40 Why Outlier Charges Subscribers Instead of Taking Sportsbook Affiliate Fees10:13 Subscription as the Core Business Model 12:10 Why Affiliate Models Serve the Sportsbook, Not the Bettor13:18 100,000 Monthly Active Users and the NBA Dominance13:48 Expanding Into Soccer and International Markets 16:00 Why the US Adopted Sports Betting So Fast Compared to Europe17:57 The Learned Behavior Problem in UK Betting Markets19:47 The Stale UK Market and the Opportunity for a Fresh Product21:13 The Financialization of Sports Betting23:20 The Bifurcation of Sports Betting: Serious vs Fun24:11 Prediction Markets, Cultural Betting and Responsible Gambling in Europe25:03 Betting as a Shared Entertainment Experience26:38 Why Sportsbooks Are Missing the Fun Segment Entirely27:12 What Is Next: Series A, CMO Hire, Data Acquisition and Live Betting Product29:18 Favourite Sporting Moment

Squawk Pod
Tariffs with the USTR & Prediction Markets with the CFTC 6/2/26

Squawk Pod

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 2, 2026 38:07


In Washington, D.C., U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer stops by the Squawk set to discuss trade and tariff strategy. Shortly after news broke of a potential tariff on Brazil, Ambassador Greer references his office's investigations into unfair trade practices. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig is in DC as well, addressing his own role in regulating prediction markets. In corporate news, Anthropic is going public, Google plans to raise $80 billion to fund its AI build-out, short-seller Andrew Left was found guilty of securities fraud, and Senator Bernie Sanders has a pitch for national AI ownership: the American AI Sovereign Wealth Fund Act.    Dan Murphy - 15:37 Jamieson Greer - 20:09 Michael Selig - 29:48   In this episode: Michael Selig, @ChairmanSelig Dan Murphy, @dan_murphy Joe Kernen, @JoeSquawk Becky Quick, @BeckyQuick Andrew Ross Sorkin, @andrewrsorkin Cameron Costa, @CameronCostaNY Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Tech Path Podcast
Two Massive Stellar Partnerships!

Tech Path Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 2, 2026 30:30


The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC), and Stellar announced plans to enable tokenization of custodied assets on the Stellar network. MoneyGram today announced the launch of MGUSD, a native U.S. dollar stablecoin and the foundation for a growing suite of financial services across its global network. ~This episode is sponsored by Tangem~ Tangem ➜ https://bit.ly/TangemPBN Use Code: "PBN" for Additional Discounts! Guest: Denelle Dixon, CEO & Executive Director at Stellar Development Foundation Stellar Learn More ➜https://bit.ly/StellarXLMwebsite 00:10 Sponsor: Tangem 01:00 Moneygram launching stablecoin on Stellar 02:40 Expectations 03:30 Canton disbelief 05:30 What will be the limitations?  06:15 Why 24/5? 07:30 Institutions care about distribution 09:45 Bridges to access DeFi apps like Morpho? 12:00 When will this happen? 01:00 Next 2 years 14:40 BENJI 5-Year performance 15:40 RWA value in 12months? 17:00 Why hasn't USDC or PayPalUSD taken off on Stellar? 18:30 Is “Privacy” misleading? 19:40 KYC for everyone? 24:15 CLARITY Act odds & unlock 25:10 Perps & Prediction Markets on Stellar? 25:40 POS System: Toast partnership? 28:30 Customer confidence timeline? #Crypto #XLM #ethereum ~Two Massive Stellar Partnerships!

Squawk on the Street
11AM Hour: Kalshi CEO on Prediction Markets, Former Defense Secretary Mark Esper & Revolution Medicines CEO on Pancreatic Cancer Drug Breakthrough 6/1/26

Squawk on the Street

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 1, 2026 43:35


The CEO of Kalshi joins to discuss the company's latest product announcements and the regulatory environment for prediction markets. Then, Former Defense Secretary Mark Esper helps break down the latest headlines on the war with Iran. We also speak with the CEO of D-Wave Quantum following the U.S. government's recent investment in quantum companies. Plus, the CEO of Revolution Medicines joins to discuss the company's pancreatic cancer drug that nearly doubled survival rates.   Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

After Earnings
DraftKings CFO on Prediction Markets, the “Super App” & Sports Betting Integrity

After Earnings

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 1, 2026 25:44


Ann Berry is joined by Alan Ellingson, CFO of DraftKings, to discuss how the company is navigating the rising popularity of prediction markets, its new “Super App” designed to let users seamlessly operate across jurisdictions, and how DraftKings is working to maintain integrity in sports betting. 00:00 Alan Ellingson, CFO of DraftKings, Joins00:38 Q1 earnings highlights: revenue, EBITDA, and profitability01:25 Prediction markets: threat or opportunity?02:53 Cannibalization concern: what the data actually shows03:34 Why sportsbook users aren't switching to prediction markets05:26 Prediction market regulation: CFTC rulemaking and legislative bans06:38 Market integrity: fighting insider trading and gaming the system07:58 The Super App: from seven apps to one unified platform09:33 Super App expansion: lotteries, horse racing, and what's next10:06 Could DraftKings move into stock trading?11:08 Rail Bird acquisition: building a prediction market exchange12:07 Ad break: KeyBank12:38 ESPN, NBC, and Amazon: the content partnership strategy14:19 What exclusive broadcast deals actually do for the bottom line15:06 League partnerships vs. broadcast deals: a disciplined approach16:14 State tax hikes: the regulatory landscape17:21 Black market competition: offshore sportsbooks and the tax disadvantage19:26 Cost-cutting and margin defense20:07 Path to 30% EBITDA margins21:26 Breaking down the balance sheet22:23 Prediction markets as a billion-dollar TAM opportunity22:43 Outro and upcoming episodes After Earnings is brought to you by Stakeholder Labs and Morning Brew. For more go to https://www.afterearnings.com Follow Us X: https://twitter.com/AfterEarningsTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@AfterEarningsInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/afterearnings_/ Reach Out Email: afterearnings@morningbrew.com $DKNG Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Global Story
How did prediction markets get so big?

The Global Story

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 1, 2026 26:29


On prediction markets such as Polymarket people are placing sometimes huge wagers on questions ranging from the sublime (‘will Jesus Christ return by the end of the year?') to the very serious (‘will the US invade Iran?'). Gambling is restricted across many US states but prediction markets are not classified as gambling. Their rapid rise over recent years speaks – some say – to an increasing nihilism among young men in particular, who feel they may as well try to profit from world events they cannot control. Supporters say prediction markets are a smart way to make money. Critics say they are enabling insider trading. So what is the truth behind their rise? We speak to senior business journalist at the BBC, Mitch Labiak. Producer: Hannah Moore Mix: Travis Evans Executive producers: Richard Fenton-Smith and James Shield Senior news editor: China Collins Photo: Polymarket logo appears in this illustration. Credit: Reuters/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

When Shift Happens Podcast
E174: Tarek Mansour, Kalshi CEO: Why Prediction Markets Are the Future of Investing

When Shift Happens Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 1, 2026 75:03


Tarek Mansour is the co-founder and CEO of Kalshi, the largest federally regulated prediction market exchange in the US - valued at $2 billion and backed by some of the world's top investors.THE SHIFT NEWSLETTER

Monocle 24: The Foreign Desk
Upping the ante: How prediction markets are shaking geopolitics

Monocle 24: The Foreign Desk

Play Episode Listen Later May 30, 2026 30:16


The rapid rise of prediction markets is prompting questions about their influence on politics, military operations and the way we consume news. We discuss with guests including PredictIt founder John Aristotle Phillips. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Late Confirmation by CoinDesk
CFTC Not Ready for Crypto's Expansion, Expert Warns

Late Confirmation by CoinDesk

Play Episode Listen Later May 29, 2026 25:18


CoinDesk's The Policy Protocol hosts Rebecca Rettig and Renato Mariotti dig into the New York Times investigation of the CFTC and Kalshi's latest lawsuit against Minnesota before sitting down with Aaron Klein, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. Klein argues that independent financial regulators have been turned into "subsidiaries of the White House," warns that the CFTC is not structurally up to the jurisdiction CLARITY would hand it, and makes the case that the SEC and CFTC should be merged. He also unpacks lessons from Dodd-Frank and the savings-and-loan crisis. Plus, Rebecca and Renato debrief on the CFTC staffing debate and name House Agriculture Chairman GT Thompson and Ranking Member Angie Craig as their People of the Week for their bipartisan push to fill out the CFTC commission. - Timecodes: 00:00 Welcome to The Policy Protocol 00:43 All Roads Lead to the CFTC 01:22 Unpacking the NYT's CFTC Investigation 02:41 Pendulum Swing: Reading the NYT in Context 05:11 Why the CFTC Needs Funding and Personnel 06:52 Aaron Klein Joins the Show 07:30 The History of the CFTC and the Great Salad Oil Swindle 08:10 Independent Regulators as White House Subsidiaries 09:39 Dodd-Frank Lessons for the CLARITY Era 11:47 The Case for Merging the SEC and CFTC 13:21 PolyMarket, Soft on Financial Crime, and CZ/Binance 15:06 SEC-CFTC Office Sharing and the Value of MOUs 18:16 Renato and Rebecca Debrief on the CFTC's Future 21:45 Trump on Prediction Markets and Expanded Jurisdiction 22:30 People of the Week: GT Thompson and Angie Craig 24:26 Tribute to Ondo CEO Nathan Allman 25:01 Closing Thoughts and Sign-Off

Late Confirmation by CoinDesk
Are Prediction Markets Killing Altcoins? | Scott Melker on Markets Outlook

Late Confirmation by CoinDesk

Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2026 21:08


Altcoins have lost the plot with Scott Melker. In today's Markets Outlook, Scott Melker, Host of Wolf of All Streets, tells CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie why altcoins have lost the plot, what's really driving the weird market we're all feeling, and why Bitcoin is still the only bet he's making long-term. Plus: are prediction markets, tokenized equities, and "private Bitcoin" just hype? - Timecodes: 00:00 - Scott Melker Joins Markets Outlook 01:38 - Why Bitcoin Is Underrated 03:59 - Is Crypto Recreating the System It Was Built to Fight?  06:08 - Scott's Bitcoin Origin Story 08:04 - Why This Market Feels Impossible to Read 10:07 - How Prediction Markets Killed the Altcoin Casino  13:33 - Teaching His Kids About Bitcoin and AI in a Complicated World 16:22 - AI Tokens and Zcash Outlook 18:33 - Zcash as Privacy Bitcoin: “It Makes Me Want to Puke” 19:46 - Scott's Bitcoin Price Outlook for the Rest of the Year - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie.

Markets Daily Crypto Roundup
Are Prediction Markets Killing Altcoins? | Scott Melker on Markets Outlook

Markets Daily Crypto Roundup

Play Episode Listen Later May 28, 2026 21:08


Altcoins have lost the plot with Scott Melker. In today's Markets Outlook, Scott Melker, Host of Wolf of All Streets, tells CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie why altcoins have lost the plot, what's really driving the weird market we're all feeling, and why Bitcoin is still the only bet he's making long-term. Plus: are prediction markets, tokenized equities, and "private Bitcoin" just hype? - Timecodes: 00:00 - Scott Melker Joins Markets Outlook 01:38 - Why Bitcoin Is Underrated 03:59 - Is Crypto Recreating the System It Was Built to Fight?  06:08 - Scott's Bitcoin Origin Story 08:04 - Why This Market Feels Impossible to Read 10:07 - How Prediction Markets Killed the Altcoin Casino  13:33 - Teaching His Kids About Bitcoin and AI in a Complicated World 16:22 - AI Tokens and Zcash Outlook 18:33 - Zcash as Privacy Bitcoin: “It Makes Me Want to Puke” 19:46 - Scott's Bitcoin Price Outlook for the Rest of the Year - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie.

Stu Does America
How We Hit a 1000% Profit Position! | Ken Paxton Texas Prediction Markets

Stu Does America

Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2026 47:08


We just hit a massive 1000% one-day profit position in the political prediction markets! In this episode of Predictable with Stu Burguiere, we break down how the Ken Paxton race in Texas created an incredible value opportunity and how we capitalized on it. If you are looking to understand the mechanics behind political betting, election forecast modeling, and finding massive inefficiencies in the markets, this deep dive is for you. We look at the data, the shifting political landscape in Texas, and where the next big market opportunities are hiding. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Late Confirmation by CoinDesk
Trump Calls State Officials 'Scum' Over Prediction Markets | CoinDesk Daily

Late Confirmation by CoinDesk

Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2026 1:20


President Trump defends the CFTC's authority over prediction markets. President Trump defended the CFTC's exclusive authority over prediction markets in a Truth Social post, calling state officials trying to regulate them "scum." His attack targeted Chris Christie, Letitia James, Tim Walz, and JB Pritzker — all of whom have moved against prediction market platforms in their states. CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie hosts "CoinDesk Daily." - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie. “CoinDesk Daily” is produced by Jennifer Sanasie and edited by Victor Chen.

Business Daily
Prediction markets: are they fuelling insider trading?

Business Daily

Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2026 17:27


This week, Michelle, Rahul and Will explore prediction markets — online platforms where people can bet on future events, from elections to pop culture and even world conflicts.Concerns about insider trading are on the rise and platforms are being banned in an increasing number of countries. So as talk of regulation increases, we try to predict the future of the prediction market.Presenters: Michelle Fleury, Rahul Tandon and Will BainProducer: Rebecca Smyllie(Photo: Getty/Yuichiro Chino)

Squawk on the Street
11AM Hour: Former CFTC Chair on Prediction Markets, Lululemon Settles Proxy Battle & Zscaler Sinks on Earnings 5/27/26

Squawk on the Street

Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2026 43:04


Former CFTC and SEC Chair Gary Gensler joins to discuss regulation of prediction markets after President Trump said the CFTC should have "exclusive authority" over them. We also discuss Lululemon agreeing to two board nominees in the company's settlement with its founder, Chip Wilson. Plus, we take a look at Zscaler's latest quarter which has the stock sinking this morning.   Squawk on the Street Disclaimer Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Bitcoin Takeover Podcast
S17 E26: Steve Thurmond, Calin Culianu & The Phenomenal Big Blockers

Bitcoin Takeover Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2026 494:44


Almost 9 years since the big split of the Bitcoin community, it's time to learn more about how the Bitcoin Cash chain developed. Calin Culianu is the creator of Fulcrum, an efficient privacy-preserving SPV client. Steve Thurmond is the most ardent advocate for Cash Stamps: a convenient paper wallet system that's used for gifting. Throughout the episode, more BCH community members will join to have the conversation that you will never hear on any other Bitcoin podcast. Time stamps: 00:01:09 Introducing Calin Culianu & Steve Thurmond 00:02:37 The Evolution of Bitcoin Cash 00:03:59 Who is Behind Bitcoin Cash Now? 00:06:34 Narratives and Misconceptions 00:07:53 Vlad's Perspective on the Fork 00:09:44 Bitcoin's Capture and Speculative Nature 00:11:48 Vlad's Journey with Lightning Network 00:16:07 Blockstream and the "Banker" Conspiracy 00:18:33 The Security Budget Debate 00:22:12 The Problem with IOU Systems like Lightning 00:24:02 Vlad's Disappointment with Onboarding 00:24:58 Ethereum's Rise Amidst Bitcoin's Infighting 00:27:52 The Bankers Won, But Crypto Still Exists 00:32:16 The Future of Bitcoin and Firing Core Devs 00:33:08 The Wall of Consensus in BTC 00:39:19 The Multi-Coin Future 00:42:48 Bitcoin Cash's Development Philosophy 00:49:08 Craig Wright's Controversial Involvement 00:55:16 The Impact of Contentious Forks 00:58:55 The Resilience of Bitcoin Cash 01:02:32 The Value of Open Source Competition 01:08:51 Greg Maxwell's Influence 01:12:00 The Ecash fork 01:25:02 Introducing New BCH Community Members 01:26:38 Building Smart Contracts on Bitcoin Cash 01:34:06 Why UTXO is Better than EVM 01:40:07 Can You Run a BCH Node? 01:41:07 The Flawed "Run a Node" Narrative 01:53:27 The Dangers of RBF and the Importance of 0-Conf 02:05:07 One-Minute Blocks Proposal 02:08:02 Finality and User Experience in Wallets 02:12:13 The "It's Just Money, Bro" Philosophy 02:41:39 What Can You Buy with BCH? 02:48:28 The Permissionless Nature of BCH 02:52:12 The Paradox of Layer Twos 02:57:18 The Stigma of Building on BCH 02:58:21 The Changing Culture of Bitcoin Cash 03:11:35 Ordinals and the "Spam" Debate 03:17:07 Would BCH Still Have a Nice Dev Culture If Michael Saylor Started Buying? 03:28:14 Quantum Computing and Satoshi's Coins 03:42:59 The Tail Emission Debate 03:50:11 The Culture is the Ultimate Defense 03:53:16 The Politicization of Bitcoin Development 03:59:26 Privacy and Fungibility 04:02:21 The Future of Privacy on BCH 04:36:12 Fulcrum: An Electrum Server Implementation 04:38:54 The Litecoin Question 04:49:13 The Difficulty of Recreating Bitcoin's Genesis 04:51:38 The Long-Term Bet on SHA-256 04:54:12 A Break and Introduction to Rosco 05:48:33 CashScript and Smart Contracts on BCH 05:55:22 BCH vs. Ethereum Smart Contracts 06:03:05 The UTXO Stack and Abstraction Layers 06:43:30 The Avalanche Pre-Consensus Question 06:45:51 The "Tax" Fork 07:04:06 The Failed Attack on Bitcoin Cash 07:08:58 The 2018 Inflation Bug Disclosure 07:22:46 The Michael Saylor Phenomenon 07:28:41 The Arrest of Roger Ver 07:39:28 Spending Crypto in the Real World 07:44:22 The End of Crypto-Friendly Spaces in Europe 07:52:05 Prediction Markets and Community Sponsorship 08:08:17 Robin Linus is Jealous of BCH Opcodes 08:09:50 Final Thoughts and Conclusion

Options Boot Camp
Options Boot Camp 392: Are Prediction Markets Too Expensive?

Options Boot Camp

Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2026 42:11


Are prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket a rip-off for retail traders? In this episode of Options Boot Camp, drill instructors Mark Longo and Dan Passarelli break down the exact math behind prediction market fees and compare them directly to equity options commissions. They tackle the biggest complaints about event contract fees, payment for order flow, and why wide bid-ask spreads might actually be a bigger problem than the commissions themselves. The mailbag is also packed with listener questions covering the vertical integration of crypto brokers buying exchanges, handling tech stock crashes while running the Wheel Strategy, the fear of automatic option exercise on expiration Friday, and managing short premium positions.

The Options Insider Radio Network
Options Boot Camp 392: Are Prediction Markets Too Expensive?

The Options Insider Radio Network

Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2026 42:11


Are prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket a rip-off for retail traders? In this episode of Options Boot Camp, drill instructors Mark Longo and Dan Passarelli break down the exact math behind prediction market fees and compare them directly to equity options commissions. They tackle the biggest complaints about event contract fees, payment for order flow, and why wide bid-ask spreads might actually be a bigger problem than the commissions themselves. The mailbag is also packed with listener questions covering the vertical integration of crypto brokers buying exchanges, handling tech stock crashes while running the Wheel Strategy, the fear of automatic option exercise on expiration Friday, and managing short premium positions.

Hacker News Recap
May 26th, 2026 | Spain blocks prediction markets Polymarket, Kalshi over lack of gambling licence

Hacker News Recap

Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2026 15:14


This is a recap of the top 10 posts on Hacker News on May 26, 2026. This podcast was generated by wondercraft.ai (00:30): Spain blocks prediction markets Polymarket, Kalshi over lack of gambling licenceOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48279316&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(01:56): Netherlands blocks US takeover of vital digital supplierOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48278406&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(03:23): Big tech's anti-labor playbook has come for WikipediaOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48285592&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(04:50): Motorola phones have started hijacking the Amazon app to insert affiliate codesOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48274794&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(06:17): The real cost of owning a homeOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48281611&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(07:44): Dropbox CEO Drew Houston to step downOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48279453&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(09:11): DynIP – Dynamic DNS with RFC 2136, IPv6, DNSSEC, and BYODOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48276363&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(10:38): Chemistry behind the Garden Grove chemical tankOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48284712&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(12:05): The user is visibly frustratedOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48275059&utm_source=wondercraft_ai(13:32): Uber, Lyft drivers in Massachusetts form first US ride-share unionOriginal post: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48281509&utm_source=wondercraft_aiThis is a third-party project, independent from HN and YC. Text and audio generated using AI, by wondercraft.ai. Create your own studio quality podcast with text as the only input in seconds at app.wondercraft.ai. Issues or feedback? We'd love to hear from you: team@wondercraft.ai

The Information's 411
Polymarket's Regulatory Hurdles, Pre-IPO Betting Boom on Prediction Markets, AI Increasing Workloads

The Information's 411

Play Episode Listen Later May 27, 2026 43:37


Finance reporter Michael Roddan joins TITV Host Akash Pasricha to discuss the global regulatory hurdles and strict customer identification questions facing Polymarket. Crypto reporter Yueqi Yang breaks down how Polymarket and Kalshi are opening up pre-IPO valuation betting on companies like SpaceX and OpenAI for offshore retail investors. Freshworks CEO Dennis Woodside joins the show to unpack a new report revealing why AI applications are creating more complex workflows and tool sprawl for IT leaders rather than reducing them. Finally, AI reporter Stephanie Palazzolo details exclusive reporting on Baseten's talks to raise $1 billion at an $11 billion valuation and explores why developers are quietly whispering to their AI agents.Articles discussed on this episode: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/ai-inference-provider-baseten-talks-raise-1-billion-11-billion-valuationhttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/polymarket-wants-traders-id-faces-sanctions-legal-riskshttps://www.theinformation.com/newsletters/the-information-finance/pre-ipo-betting-boom-hits-prediction-marketshttps://www.theinformation.com/newsletters/ai-agenda/hot-new-way-communicate-ai-whisperingSubscribe: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theinformation The Information: https://www.theinformation.com/subscribe_hSign up for the AI Agenda newsletter: https://www.theinformation.com/features/ai-agendaTITV airs weekdays on YouTube, X and LinkedIn at 10AM PT / 1PM ET. Or check us out wherever you get your podcasts.Follow us:X: https://x.com/theinformationIG: https://www.instagram.com/theinformation/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@titv.theinformationLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/theinformation/Chapters:00:00 - Introduction01:13 - Polymarket Faces Global Regulatory Crackdown11:33 - Pre-IPO Betting Boom Hits Prediction Markets20:29 - Freshworks CEO: AI is Increasing Workloads, Not Reducing Them32:18 - Exclusive: Baseten in Talks to Raise $1B at $11B Valuation38:12 - Why Developers Are Whispering to AI Agents

Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar
5/26/26: Trump Goes To War For Prediction Markets, Hasan Piker Subpoenaed By Feds Over Cuba Trip

Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar

Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2026 36:02 Transcription Available


Krystal and Saagar discuss Trump goes to war for prediction markets, Hasan Piker reportedly subpoenaed by feds over Cuba trip. Professor Marandi: https://x.com/s_m_marandi?s=20 To become a Breaking Points Premium Member and watch/listen to the show AD FREE, uncut and 1 hour early visit: www.breakingpoints.com Merch Store: https://shop.breakingpoints.com/ See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

a16z
Robin Hanson on Prediction Markets, Gambling, and the Future of Forecasting

a16z

Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2026 27:55


Theo Jaffee and Sophia Puccini speak with economist Robin Hanson about prediction markets, gambling, and why he believes speculative markets are one of the most powerful tools humans have for aggregating information and forecasting outcomes. The conversation begins with Minnesota's recent law criminalizing prediction markets before expanding into the broader backlash surrounding platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket. Hanson explains his long-term vision for “decision markets,” where markets could help guide choices made by companies, governments, and even individuals. Along the way, they discuss sports betting, games and human psychology, futurism, AI, and Hanson's broader work on how societies misunderstand risk, incentives, and coordination Resources: Follow Robin Hanson on X: https://x.com/robinhanson Follow Theo Jaffee on X: https://x.com/theojaffee Follow Sophia Puccini on X: https://x.com/schisofrenia Stay Updated:Find a16z on YouTube: YouTubeFind a16z on XFind a16z on LinkedInListen to the a16z Show on SpotifyListen to the a16z Show on Apple PodcastsFollow our host: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Eye On The Market
Home Alone: inflation and the new Fed chair; investing in China's AI ecosystem; Prediction markets

Eye On The Market

Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2026 27:16


The new Fed chair Kevin Warsh, like Kevin McAllister in Home Alone, faces a lonely vigil: survive until the adults get home again. The latest on inflation, rising Treasury yields, shrinking equity risk premia and pressure from the White House. Also: investing in China's home-grown AI ecosystem, and the predation in prediction markets. Watch the video

Squawk Pod
Friday in DC: Kevin Warsh, Prediction Markets, & OpenAI's IPO 5/22/26

Squawk Pod

Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2026 33:10


Squawk Box's Joe Kernen and Becky Quick are in Washington, D.C., where President Trump will swear in Kevin Warsh as the Federal Reserve's next chair. The two are joined by House Oversight and Government Reform Committee Chairman Rep. James Comer (R-KY) to discuss his congressional probe into insider trading on Kalshi and Polymarket. Then, House Minority Whip Rep. Katherine Clark (D-MA) shares her thoughts on the Democratic agenda ahead of the November midterm elections, the DNC's 2024 election autopsy, and the affordability crisis. Plus, President Donald Trump said he postponed a signing ceremony for his administration's much-anticipated executive order on AI, and reports have unveiled more details about OpenAI's IPO filing.   Rep. James Comer - 13:10 Rep. Katherine Clark - 26:13   In this episode: Rep. James Comer, @RepJamesComer Rep. Katherine Clark, @WhipKClark Becky Quick, @BeckyQuick Joe Kernen, @JoeSquawk Andrew Ross Sorkin, @andrewrsorkin Cameron Costa, @CameronCostaNY Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Throughline
Prediction markets are making a 150-year comeback

Throughline

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2026 51:34


Prediction market sites allow users to put money on everything from the war in Iran to the winner of the Super Bowl. But where did these markets come from? And what can that history tell us about where they might be going? Today on the show, how betting on popes and presidents long ago planted a seed for a “terrorism market” in the early 2000s, and how those early prediction markets shaped the industry that has taken hold today.Guests:Koleman Strumpf, economics professor at Wake Forest UniversityPaul Rhode, economic historian at the University of Michigan.Robin Hanson, Associate Professor of Economics at George Mason University and systems architect for the Policy Analysis MarketRobert Forsythe, Professor of Finance at Wayne State University and co-founder of the Iowa Political Stock MarketTo access bonus episodes and listen to Throughline sponsor-free, subscribe to Throughline+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org/throughline.See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.NPR Privacy Policy

Establish The Run
How Sports Sharps Are Using Prediction Markets Right Now (Episode 982 with Adam Levitan, Nigel Eccles, Henry Kerins, Sports_Projections)

Establish The Run

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2026 73:37


Adam Levitan takes a deep dive into the expanding world of projection markets, gaining insight from those spearheading the market from guests Nigel Eccles, former FanDuel founder and founder of BetDEX and BetHog, Henry Kerins, who serves as the VP of Trading at Novig, and @Sports__Proj, a former DFS Shark turned anonymous Prediction Market While from The Risk Takers Podcast. Timestamps:0:00 - Introduction2:05 - How Prediction Markets Work Compared To Sportsbooks6:32 - Are Prediction Markets Better For Consumers?11:00 - Benefits Beyond The Lack of Limiting17:17 - PMs And States Without Legalized Gambling21:20 - Does Opposing Side Matter In Market Making?25:15 - Marketing For Prediction Markets28:54 - Advice On Market Making For Non-Professionals39:29 - Experts On The Merits Of Taking43:44 - How Retail/Casual Traders Can Gain An Advantage46:32 - The Regulatory Outlook on PMs49:59 - Listener QuestionsWant ETR on your team this season? Our 2026 NFL Best Ball product has you covered with:Real-Time RankingsResearch & Analysis ArticlesDraft Strategy ContentDraft LivestreamsDiscord CommunityQ&As with ETR TeamSubscribe now at https://subscribe.establishtherun.com/nflbestball/DraftKings Best Ball: Draft One, Get OneEnter DraftKings' $20M Best Ball contest for $25 and you'll receive a bonus ticket to play a second Best Ball draft for free. Available to all DraftKings customers.⁠⁠⁠⁠Sign Up Now⁠⁠⁠⁠! ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://dkng.co/ETRBestBall⁠⁠⁠⁠Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Help is available for problem gambling. Call (888) 789-7777 or visit [⁠⁠⁠⁠ccpg.org⁠⁠⁠⁠](⁠⁠⁠⁠http://ccpg.org⁠⁠⁠⁠) (CT).18+ in most eligible states, but age varies by jurisdiction. Eligibility restrictions apply. Void where prohibited. 1 per customer. Must enter a lineup into the NFL Best Ball $20M Headliner Contest. $25 entry fee. Bonus issued as 1 ticket to NFL Best Ball $20M Headliner Contest. Ticket reward is site credit valid for use only on NFL Best Ball $20M Headliner Contest. Ticket reward is single-use and expires at contest lock on 9/9/26. See terms at⁠⁠⁠⁠ https://www.draftkings.com/promotions⁠⁠⁠⁠. Ends 9/9/26 at contest lock. Sponsored by DraftKings.FREE NEWSLETTER: Tired of attention-seeking hot takes? Get the highest-quality fantasy football analysis in your inbox, FREE: https://establishtherun.kit.com/emailDFS OPTIMIZER: Sign up for THE SOLVER for access to the software we think fantasy players need to win: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://thesolver.com/?ref=etr⁠⁠⁠⁠SPORTSBOOK OFFERS: We've partnered with several major sportsbook outlets to help supply you with the best offers in the industry and ensure you're maximizing your bankroll from the start: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://establishtherun.com/offers/⁠⁠⁠⁠FOLLOW US: Check out our social media channels for FREE fantasy football & DFS videos, analysis, and more: ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://linktr.ee/establishtherun⁠

Tech Won't Save Us
Prediction Markets Want to Financialize Everything w/ Jathan Sadowski

Tech Won't Save Us

Play Episode Listen Later May 21, 2026 61:28


Polymarket and Kalshi are everywhere. But what are they doing to society? Jathan Sadowski joins Paris Marx to discuss the rise of prediction markets and their negative social effects as they push the global economy closer toward the financialization of everything. Jathan Sadowski is an Associate Professor at Monash University. He is the author of The Mechanic and the Luddite and co-hosts This Machine Kills. Tech Won't Save Us offers a critical perspective on tech, its worldview, and wider society with the goal of inspiring people to demand better tech and a better world. Support the show on Patreon. The podcast is made in partnership with The Nation. Production is by Kyla Hewson. Also mentioned in this episode: Jathan wrote about Kalshi trying to bring about the financialization of everything in Fast Company. The NYT reported on the use of classified information by a US soldier to place a bet on the capture of Maduro. Wired just reported on how the US is using AI to spot insider trading. Polymarket users sent death threats to a reporter.

On The Tape
Rick Heitzmann at Manhatta | Standing Table #2

On The Tape

Play Episode Listen Later May 19, 2026 21:06


Today we're doing lunch at Manhatta, towering 60 stories above the financial district. Joining us is Rick Heitzmann, co-founder and partner at one of New York's most influential early stage venture firms, First Mark Capital.  Rick has been early to some of the most category defining companies of the last decade, backing names like Pinterest, Airbnb, and DraftKings. That foresight has landed him on the Forbes Midas list, not once, not twice, but five times. And if that wasn't enough, he's living the dream of every New York sports fan, joining the ownership group of the New York Yankees. Timecodes: 00:00 – Cold open: The Vilification of AI 01:08 – Meet Rick Heitzmann 03:18 - Philly Sports Fan Turned Yankees Owner 05:02 - How Rick Got Into Yankees Ownership 06:00 - Spotting Trends Early: DraftKings, Airbnb & Pinterest 07:50 - Sports Betting, Prediction Markets & Integrity in Sports 09:40 - Danny Meyer, Hospitality & NYC Restaurant Culture 11:27 - Why the Restaurant Business Is So Tough Right Now 12:46 - AI, Digital Health & The Future of Healthcare 15:45 - The Explosion of Women's Sports & Sports Merch Culture 18:02 - The Great Jersey Debate: Should Adults Wear Them? — FOLLOW US Instagram: riskreversalmedia   Twitter: https://x.com/riskreversal LinkedIn: riskreversalmedia   #investing #stocks #stockmarket #ApexFintechSolutions Standing Table is made possible through our continued partnership with Apex Fintech Solutions. Apex Fintech Solutions provides the tools and services that enable hundreds of clients to launch, scale, and support digital investing for tens of millions of end investors. The company provides essential infrastructure and a comprehensive ecosystem of cloud-based products to enable and streamline trading, wealth management, cost basis, tax reporting, and, through its subsidiary Apex Clearing™, custody and clearing. For more information, visit the Apex Fintech Solutions website: https://apexfintechsolutions.com/ LinkedIn: apex-fintech SUBSCRIBE: RiskReversal Pod for more from Guy and Dan: https://apple.co/3RzvgpD RiskReversal Media channel for more episodes and content:    / @riskreversalmedia   The financial opinions expressed in Risk Reversal content are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on Risk Reversal. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in Risk Reversal carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.​​

The Indicator from Planet Money
Prediction markets are threatening national security. Who's gonna fix it?

The Indicator from Planet Money

Play Episode Listen Later May 12, 2026 8:54


It's the Wild West of online betting. Prediction markets have been plagued by insider trading allegations, ethical questions and even national security concerns. Today on the show, what are sites like Polymarket doing to self-police, and what other regulations might be necessary? We talk to one U.S. senator with some ideas. The Indicator has a weekly newsletter! Sign up now: npr.org/indicatornewsletter Related:  Is anyone gonna do anything about these Iran War trades?  Do prediction market bettors make anything better?  Polymarket bots, lithium found: lots!, marathon shoe thoughts  For sponsor-free episodes of The Indicator from Planet Money, subscribe to Planet Money+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org. Fact-checking by Sierra Juarez. Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter.  See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.NPR Privacy Policy