Podcasts about prediction markets

The CFTC pulled a power last used in the Carter era to rescue Kalshi. Katherine, Jessi, and Vy Le on what it means — plus Japan's crypto tax cut and DTCC's tokenization leap. ======================================================== Thank you to our sponsor! ⁠⁠⁠Cape⁠⁠⁠: Your biggest crypto vulnerability isn't your wallet, it's your phone number. Cape is America's privacy-first mobile carrier that rotates your SIM identity daily and blocks SIM swaps before they happen. Get 33% off your first six months at https://cape.co/unchained (use code: UNCHAINED). ======================================================== Kalshi had a rough week. Sued by Michigan, hit with a restraining order, then rescued by a CFTC emergency power invoked only four times in the agency's history, most recently during Jimmy Carter's Cold War grain embargo. Katherine Kirkpatrick Bos, Jessi Brooks, and Vy Le untangle how a fight over sports event contracts became a battle over federal preemption, why Kalshi also pulled its flight cancellation contracts under public pressure, and the insider-trading allegation swirling around a Trump teleprompter operator. They also cover Japan's new financial instruments law, which cuts crypto's tax rate from as high as 55% to a flat 20% and is already pulling Amazon Japan's delivery drivers onto yen stablecoins. Then there's DTCC's live settlement of tokenized securities with JPMorgan, Goldman, and BlackRock, which Vy Le argues could end the era of synthetic wrapper tokens. And the Clarity Act, still stuck on ethics and yield disputes as the midterms eat into Congress's calendar. The episode closes on a rare bright note: pseudonymous investigator ZachXBT turning impersonation memecoins into charity donations for Venezuela's earthquake victims. Host: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Katherine Kirkpatrick Bos⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, General Counsel. Previously held senior legal roles across DeFi and centralized exchanges. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Jessi Brooks⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, General Counsel at Ribbit Capital⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Vy Le⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - Co-host of DEX in the City and General Counsel of Veda Timestamps

Prediction-market pioneer Robin Hanson joins Cato's Ryan Bourne to explain this new industry's promise, how betting can improve decision-making, and whether we should worry about insider trading, manipulation, and sabotage as these markets proliferate. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Former CFTC Commissioner Brian Quintenz is now on the board of Kalshi Exchange and a senior advisor to the Coalition for Prediction Markets. The morning after Kalshi unveiled a “Midterms Hub” for election contracts, Quintenz discusses prediction markets regulation and impact on U.S. elections. AI-native IT startup Serval is helping customers like SeatGeek bring IT engineers off of IT help desks and into business units, where they can focus less on support tasks and more on big picture problem solving for the organization. Serval CEO and founder Jake Stauch and SeatGeek CEO Jack Groetzinger discuss the future of work in the age of AI. Plus, Google parent Alphabet has hiked capital expenditures, and Meta has unveiled its newest perspective on AI.    Brian Quintenz - 19:00 Jake Stauch & Jack Groetzinger - 35:28   In this episode: Becky Quick, @BeckyQuick Andrew Ross Sorkin, @andrewrsorkin Katie Kramer, @Kramer_Katie Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

It seems like you can bet on anything nowadays and like you can make a wager on practically everything. Examples of the proliferation of this can be seen everywhere from service members betting on insider knowledge, to people making bets on sports games. One of the most mind-blowing aspects of all of this is that companies that dominate the betting space, like Polymarket and Kalshi, are essentially unregulated. Bobby Allyn is a technology correspondent at NPR. He joins Chris Hayes to discuss the rapid ride of prediction markets, concerns, the outlook and more. Sign up for MS NOW Premium on Apple Podcasts to listen to this show and other MS podcasts without ads. You'll also get exclusive bonus content from this and other shows. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

In this episode, Matt and Joseph sit down with Robin Hanson, Associate Professor of Economics at George Mason University, to discuss prediction markets. A prediction market is a kind of betting market, wherein people place bets on whether or not some future event is going to happen by investing in market shares associated with that event. If the event happens, the people who predicted it correctly get paid. If not, they lose the money they invested. So far, so good: all that is pretty normal for a betting market. But in the case of a prediction market, there is a further twist. Before the future comes to pass and the people who guessed it correctly get paid, there's a mathematical formula you can use, based on all the bets that have been placed so far, to determine what the probability of that event happening is. In other words, before the payout, the current prices of all shares in market give us the ability to subtly aggregate the wisdom of every individual speculator into a combined judgment about what is probably going to happen.So what, you might think. Well, it turns out that this system for forecasting the future is unusually accurate, particularly when it comes to making the most difficult predictions about the behavior of large, complex systems. And so, for several decades now, our guest has been thinking hard about how can we leverage the information provided by various prediction markets to assist with a wide range of challenging forecasting tasks that might nonetheless be important to do.Although prediction markets have mostly been set up, thus far, to determine the outcomes of things like elections or sporting events, Robin Hanson thinks they can be also be used for more ambitious purposes. One small-scale example is: the board of a public corporation could use a variation on a prediction market (called a decision market) to make decisions about whether to hire a new CEO. A bolder example would be a new system of government he calls futarchy, in which legislators abandon their role of drafting and passing legislation, and instead turn their attention to coming up with precise, measurable definitions of success. Each individual question about what policies to pass when can then be adjudicated by prediction and decision markets, which require measurable definitions of success to function.Robin Hanson is always abrim with fresh ideas, and it was a pleasure talking to him. I hope you enjoy our conversation.Matt Teichman Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On today's ‘Predictable w/ Stu', Stu Burguiere responds to a wave of attacks on prediction markets from CNN, The Hill and other critics who claim the industry is becoming dangerous while getting even the most basic of facts wrong (which must be quite embarrassing for them.) Then, Stu dives into the biggest news stories that went down over the past week including the latest in the Maine Senate race, Lindsey Graham's untimely death and political replacement, and the future of Lebron James's career in the NBA. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

We talk about Kalshi, a prediction market, and how it's becoming popular among bettors in the US.

David Bieri joins Dave Cohen to talk about the prediction market Kalshi. Can you bet on pretty much everything?

Die erste Stadt verbietet Rechenzentren jetzt, die lokale Infrastruktur für Abwasser zu nutzen. Aber es ist nicht nur das Abwasser, KI-Unternehmen brauchen auch Gas. Musk übernimmt das Business jetzt direkt – ihr merkt, wir drehen die zweite Runde in “Rechenzentren vs. the people”. Aber jetzt, wo die WM vorbei ist, fragen wir die Expertin direkt auch mal: Wie war es denn? Also nicht der Fußball, sondern alles drumherum. ➡️ Mit der "Haken Dran"-Community ins Gespräch kommen könnt ihr am besten im Discord: http://hakendran.org ✔️ Jetzt abstimmen für den Grauen Haken 2026 und den Goldenen Haken 2026 - am besten per Mail an grauerhaken@hakendran.org

What do World Cup taxes, AI-built accounting tools, and remote work have in common? In this episode, Blake and David unpack how tax rules hit global athletes and sports bettors, why Xero's new AI products signal a shift toward accountants building their own software, and where firms still face risk with audit standards, cybersecurity, and homegrown apps. You'll also hear what's really happening with remote work and a listener correction on Trump accounts.SponsorsCanopy - http://accountingpodcast.promo/canopyOnPay - http://accountingpodcast.promo/onpayThe Value Builder System - http://accountingpodcast.promo/valueCloud Accountant Staffing - http://accountingpodcast.promo/casChapters(00:00) - Cold Open and Welcome (00:27) - World Cup Chat Setup (04:04) - World Cup Player Taxes (06:58) - Betting and Prediction Taxes (09:47) - Xerocon London Highlights (12:58) - Xero Ultra Midmarket Push (15:31) - Xero Force Agent Builder (20:56) - More Xero Updates (23:22) - App News Canopy Close (26:13) - TaxDome Kiosk In Person (27:34) - Rippling Banking Payroll (29:37) - Exit Readiness Pitch (30:30) - AI Audits Need Rules (32:40) - QC 1000 Rollbacks (35:58) - CBIZ Activist Pressure (39:04) - Vibe Coding Boom (40:41) - DIY Tools Hidden Risks (48:05) - WISP Versus Security (48:57) - Remote Work Reality (50:13) - AI Usage Cost Chaos (54:13) - Trump Accounts Correction (58:23) - AI Handles CPE Reporting (01:01:13) - CPE Plug And Farewell  Show NotesWorld Cup players face tax penaltieshttps://www.accountingtoday.com/news/world-cup-players-face-tax-penaltiesHow Much Will World Cup Players Pay in Taxes? In 2026, FIFA is the Real Winnerhttps://www.cpapracticeadvisor.com/2026/07/06/fifa-is-the-real-winner-of-the-2026-world-cup/186247/World Cup Betting Tax Rules Differ for Prediction Markets, Sportsbookshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-12/world-cup-betting-tax-rules-differ-for-prediction-markets-sportsbooksXero CEO on AI, the builder class and Xero at 20https://www.accountingweb.co.uk/tech/tech-pulse/xero-ceo-on-ai-the-builder-class-and-xero-at-20How we're building Xero to scale with growing businesseshttps://blog.xero.com/product-updates/xero-ultra-launch-scaling-businesses/Introducing XeroForce: Your no code custom AI agent builder for financial workflowshttps://blog.xero.com/news-events/introducing-xeroforce-ai-agent-builder/Paying your bills just got cheaper: Standard ACH is now free in Xerohttps://blog.xero.com/product-updates/paying-your-bills-just-got-cheaper-standard-ach-is-now-free-in-xero/Xerocon London 2026: The Agentic Era Has Arrived for Small Business Financehttps://blog.xero.com/product-updates/xerocon-london-2026-agentic-era-small-business-finance/TaxDome Launches Kiosk: The In-Person Client Experience, Now Digitally Integratedhttps://www.cpapracticeadvisor.com/2026/06/09/taxdome-launches-kiosk-the-in-person-client-experience-now-digitally-integrated/184868/Rippling Launches Business Bankinghttps://www.cpapracticeadvisor.com/2026/06/23/rippling-launches-business-banking/185574/MindBridge urges clearer PCAOB guidance on AI auditshttps://itbrief.co.uk/story/mindbridge-urges-clearer-pcaob-guidance-on-ai-auditsPCAOB Issues Proposed Amendments to QC 1000 and Seeks Public Commenthttps://pcaobus.org/news-events/news-releases/news-release-detail/pcaob-issues-proposed-amendments-to-qc-1000-and-seeks-public-commentRestarting the M&A Flywheel — CBIZ, Inc.https://cbizflywheel.com/Starbucks starts vibe coding enterprise stackhttps://www.semafor.com/article/07/09/2026/starbucks-starts-vibe-coding-enterprise-stackSoftware vendors aren't losing sleep over vibe-coding — yethttps://www.accountingtoday.com/news/software-vendors-arent-losing-sleep-over-vibe-coding-yetMost accounting firms can be impersonated by email – we checked 275 of themhttps://www.accountantsdaily.com.au/business/22638-most-accounting-firms-can-be-impersonated-by-email-we-checked-275-of-themDespite return-to-office crackdowns, remote work is alive and well as the rate has barely changed over the last two yearshttps://fortune.com/2026/07/05/remote-work-data-shows-hybrid-and-flexible-work-arrangements-are-here-to-stay-census-data/AI bills are baffling the C-suite after shift to usage-based pricinghttps://www.theregister.com/ai-and-ml/2026/07/03/ai-bills-are-baffling-the-c-suite-after-shift-to-usage-based-pricing/5266383Need CPE?Get CPE for listening to podcasts with Earmark: https://earmarkcpe.comSubscribe to the Earmark Podcast: https://podcast.earmarkcpe.comGet in TouchThanks for listening and the great reviews! We appreciate you! Follow and tweet @BlakeTOliver and @Dav...

Joyce Talks about:President Trump's Address on the 2020 and 2024 elections, China's election interference, and accesses voter files in 18 different states. Trump teleprompter operator under fire after winning $100,000 on the prediction market Kalshi for predicting what the president would say during his speech. Gambling and prediction markets, insider information, Polymarket, Kalshi.Decades old cold case solved due to new technology. Brendan Carr, FCC chairman, declares The View as not a news organization. Marco Rubio on political terrorism and countering far left violence. State Department describes Antifa protesters as deformed and not normal. Misfits. Derrick from TMZ joins the show to talk about the Taco Bell Cyclospora outbreak and people now suing. Kim Kardashian's scheduled post, Brendan Carr's comments about The View, FIFA World Cup final game. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Jeff sits down with Gavin Filmore of Tidal for a deep dive into why, even after three decades, the ETF industry is still, potentially only in the “second or third inning.” Gavin walks through the evolution from simple, passive equity ETFs to today's surge in active and derivatives-based products, explaining how his experience running an oil ETN through the negative-oil shock convinced him of the importance of flexibility over rigid index rules. They break down how market makers and regulation (like 6c-11 and the derivatives rule) have reshaped the landscape, why semi-transparent ETFs fizzled, and how white-label platforms like Tidal have ridden this innovation wave to roughly $80 billion across hundreds of largely active funds. Jeff and Gavin also get tactical on what it really takes to launch and grow an ETF now, from differentiated “white space” ideas and realistic AUM milestones, to operating capital, distribution strategy, and the contrasting roles of grassroots retail demand versus platform-driven institutional flows, before looking ahead to areas like prediction markets and single-stock futures as the next potential frontiers.Chapters:00:00-01:12=Intro01:13-3:51=Early Innings: Gavin's New York Roots and ETF Growth Setup3:52–13:30 = Active ETFs, Derivatives, and Why the ETF Boom Is Still Early13:31–21:48 = Why Derivatives Need Active ETFs: Oil Going Negative, Flexibility, and Hidden ETF Plumbing21:49–32:57 = Market Makers, Liquidity Myths, and the Hidden Frictions of ETF Trading32:58–44:13 = Building Tidal: Inside a White-Label ETF Platform Built on Active and Derivatives44:14–01:02:12 = How to Launch an ETF: Capital, Distribution, Retail vs. Institutional, and Platform Hurdles01:02:13-01:13:40 =  Prediction Markets, Single-Stock Futures, and the Next Frontiers for ETFs01:13:41-01:19:16 =  ETF Inning Count, Industry Outlook, and Parting ShotsFollow along with Gavin and Tidal on LinkedIn and be sure to check out tidalfinancialgroup.com for more information!Don't forget to subscribe to⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Derivative⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, follow us on Twitter at⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@rcmAlts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠sign-up for our blog digest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visit⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠www.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket have expanded from letting people bet on just sports to everything from political events to reality TV, and even the weather. But by injecting financial incentives into things like disease outbreaks, we're even more susceptible to bad actors and manipulation. On today's episode, host Kate Lindsay is joined by creator Austin Evans to talk about the spread of prediction markets, and how a tool once believed to help us make sense of society ended up making everything even more chaotic. ***GET TICKETS TO OUR LIVE SHOW HERE!!!!***This podcast is produced by Vic Whitley-Berry, Daisy Rosario, and Kate Lindsay. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket have expanded from letting people bet on just sports to everything from political events to reality TV, and even the weather. But by injecting financial incentives into things like disease outbreaks, we're even more susceptible to bad actors and manipulation. On today's episode, host Kate Lindsay is joined by creator Austin Evans to talk about the spread of prediction markets, and how a tool once believed to help us make sense of society ended up making everything even more chaotic. ***GET TICKETS TO OUR LIVE SHOW HERE!!!!***This podcast is produced by Vic Whitley-Berry, Daisy Rosario, and Kate Lindsay. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket have expanded from letting people bet on just sports to everything from political events to reality TV, and even the weather. But by injecting financial incentives into things like disease outbreaks, we're even more susceptible to bad actors and manipulation. On today's episode, host Kate Lindsay is joined by creator Austin Evans to talk about the spread of prediction markets, and how a tool once believed to help us make sense of society ended up making everything even more chaotic. ***GET TICKETS TO OUR LIVE SHOW HERE!!!!***This podcast is produced by Vic Whitley-Berry, Daisy Rosario, and Kate Lindsay. Need to set up your Slate Plus feed? If you subscribed through Slate.com, check out our FAQ at slate.com/podcastfaqs for easy instructions. Members subscribed via Apple Podcasts get automatic access—no setup required. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

July 15, 2026 ~ Aalok Sharma, Partner at Stinson, explains how prediction markets work, why they have become so popular, and what participants should know about this growing form of forecasting and speculation. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Kalshi's volume skyrockets during the World Cup. Kalshi's World Cup contracts alone generated $7.4 billion in volume before group play ended, more than the entire projected U.S. sportsbook handle for the whole tournament. CoinDesk's Uyen Truong hosts "CoinDesk Daily." - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. Find out more at⁠⁠⁠ realfi.co⁠⁠⁠. - Ledn provides a secure and transparent way to access liquidity while maintaining your bitcoin holdings. Perfect 8 year track record of keeping clients assets safe. Don't sell your bitcoin. Get a bitcoin-backed loan. Check out your rate by using their loan calculator at⁠⁠⁠ ledn.io⁠⁠⁠ JPEG Trading is a global proprietary trading firm specializing in cryptocurrency and decentralized finance markets. From market structure and liquidity provision to quantitative trading strategies, JPEG Trading operates across the full spectrum of blockchain-based assets. Follow @jpegtrading on X to stay ahead of the latest developments in digital asset markets:⁠⁠⁠ https://x.com/jpegtrading⁠⁠⁠ - This episode was hosted by Uyen Truong. “CoinDesk Daily” is produced by Jennifer Sanasie and edited by Victor Chen.

Convergence of brokers, betting and prediction markets Prediction markets (PMs) have exploded in popularity over the past year, with volumes doubling since the start of May. By some measures, prediction markets are already approaching the scale of online sports betting. Julie Hoover from the Gaming, Lodging & Leisure team joins the podcast to discuss what's driving this growth and categories other than sports which could be the next major opportunities for PMs, Julie also explores key differences between prediction markets and traditional sports betting, including taxation, and market-making dynamics.. She discusses online brokers, which share a significant customer base with prediction markets and could be well positioned to succeed in this growing market as the companies expand their PM offerings. Finally, we examine the risks, which include more than 15 state lawsuits challenging prediction markets. It's likely that the U.S. Supreme Court will ultimately decide whether and which sports event contracts can continue to be offered.   "Bank of America" and “BofA Securities” are the marketing names for the global banking businesses and global markets businesses (which includes BofA Global Research) of Bank of America Corporation. Lending, derivatives, and other commercial banking activities are performed globally by banking affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including Bank of America, N.A., Member FDIC. Securities, trading, research, strategic advisory, and other investment banking and markets activities are performed globally by affiliates of Bank of America Corporation, including, in the United States, BofA Securities, Inc. a registered broker-dealer and Member of FINRA and SIPC, and, in other jurisdictions, by locally registered entities. ©2026 Bank of America Corporation. All rights reserved.    

Prediction markets might not be a good choice for average investors, providing kids with honest conversations about money, and planning a memorable cruise to Alaska.

Prediction markets are gaining popularity, but experts warn they can mislead investors by amplifying speculation, bias, and unnecessary financial risk. Mark Hulbert, Investment Columnist for The Wall Street Journal, Barron's & MarketWatch in Washington, DC joins Rob Hart on the WBBM Noon Business Hour to discuss.

Asaf Meir, co-founder and CEO at Solidus Labs, discusses the rise of prediction markets, how his firm spots prediction market manipulation and compares trading volumes from the world's biggest sporting event to other major world events. Asaf also examines what the future of prediction market regulation may look like.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Kalshi's new plan to prevent political campaign staffers from betting on their own campaigns is hardly foolproof. The disability community has concerns about moving special education oversight from the Education Department to the Department of Health and Human Services. Influencers are questioning the guidance to throw away leftover breast milk in a bottle after two hours.See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.NPR Privacy Policy

Join us as we dive into the latest trends in crypto, meme coins, Robin Hood's chain, and the impact of regulation. This episode covers the explosive Robin Hood meme coin summer with 700% WINNERS, key market insights, and upcoming regulatory developments.Check Out Scribe: Scribe.how/CRYPTO101Check out Quince: https://quince.com/CRYPTO101Check out Shopify: https://shopify.com/crypto101Check out NPR: https://npr.orgGet my #1 altcoin pick for this month.Get immediate access to my entire crypto portfolio for just $1.00 today! Get your FREE copy of "Crypto Revolution" and start making big profits from buying, selling,Get immediate access to my entire crypto portfolio.. just $1.00 today! Go here to get access: https://www.crypto101insider.com/cryptnation-directm6pypcy1?utm_source=Internal&utm_medium=YouTube&utm_content=Podcast&utm_term=20250916Get your FREE copy of "Crypto Revolution: Your Guide To The Future of Money". In this book, I reveal how to make (and keep) a fortune during this crypto bull run! http://www.cryptorevolution.com/free?utm_source=Internal&utm_medium=YouTube&utm_content=Podcast&utm_term=20250916Chapters00:00 Introduction and Episode Overview03:17 Robin Hood Chain's Momentum and Meme Coin Summer06:53 Research Process and Top Meme Coin Calls09:12 Market Movements and Meme Coin Liquidity12:21 Robin Hood's Growing Ecosystem and Community15:25 Key Meme Coins: Cash Cat, Hood Rat, Tendies20:21 Risks and Opportunities in Meme Coins22:39 Regulatory News: Hyperliquid and Lighter24:45 Circle's Bank Approval and Regulatory Environment26:08 Clarity Act and US Crypto Regulation Outlook29:46 Bitcoin Bottoming and Market Cycles36:45 Soccer World Cup and Crypto Parallels45:36 Prediction Markets and Event Bets49:48 Closing Remarks and Community EngagementSubscribe to YouTube for Exclusive Content:https://www.youtube.com/@crypto101podcast?sub_confirmation=1Follow us on social media for leading-edge crypto updates and trade alerts:https://twitter.com/Crypto101Podhttps://instagram.com/crypto_101Guest Linkhttps://x.com/sheffieldreport*This is NOT financial, tax, or legal advice*Boardwalk Flock LLC. All Rights Reserved  ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬Fog by DIZARO https://soundcloud.com/dizarofrCreative Commons — Attribution-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported — CC BY-ND 3.0 Free Download / Stream: http://bit.ly/Fog-DIZAROMusic promoted by Audio Library https://youtu.be/lAfbjt_rmE8▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬Our Sponsors:* Check out NPR: https://npr.org* Check out Quince and use my code quince.com/crypto101 for a great deal: https://www.quince.com* Check out Scribe and use my code Scribe.how/CRYPTO101 for a great deal: https://scribe.com/Crypto101* Check out Shopify and use my code shopify.com/crypto101 for a great deal: https://www.shopify.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Who will be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028? What will the price of gold be at the end of the week? Who will win the World Cup? All of these are relatively benign bets you can make today. But there are other bets that maybe aren't so benign, like will Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro be removed from office by the end of January? That well-timed bet, made in the hours before the U.S. captured and extracted Maduro, netted the anonymous investor who made it $400,000. Are prediction markets democratizing information as some argue or are we monetizing reality in a way that incentivizes perverse motives? Alex Goldenberg, Fellow at Rutgers University, joins The Excerpt to explain how these markets work and the risks they pose financially and politically. (This episode originally aired on February 11, 2026.)Let us know what you think of this episode by sending an email to podcasts@usatoday.com. Episode transcript available here. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

On CoinDesk's The Policy Protocol, hosts Rebecca Rettig and Renato Mariotti break down a case of prediction market manipulation involving 500,000 fake Spotify streams and examine the latest uncertainty surrounding the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. Then, Blockchain Association CEO and former CFTC Commissioner Summer Mersinger joins the show to explain why she believes prediction markets are underestimating the CLARITY Act's chances, why the CFTC needs fee-based funding, and what a fully staffed bipartisan commission would mean for the future of crypto regulation. Plus, Rebecca and Renato wrap up with a Person of the Week that shows just how mainstream prediction markets have become. - Timecodes: 0:00 - Summer Mersinger Joins The Policy Protocol 2:08 - Manipulation on Prediction Markets and Spotify 5:29 - Where Is the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve? (Rebecca) 8:28 - Summer Mersinger on Better Markets and Christy Goldsmith Romero 10:18 - CFTC Resources, Funding & Clarity's Regulatory Framework 15:54 - Clarity Passage Odds + The Single-Commissioner Debate 21:07 - Why Jose Mourinho & Future Are Our People of the Week - This episode is brought to you by RealFi, a smarter stablecoin, backed by real-world assets. Find out more at realfi.co. - Ledn provides a secure and transparent way to access liquidity while maintaining your bitcoin holdings. Perfect 8 year track record of keeping clients assets safe. Don't sell your bitcoin. Get a bitcoin-backed loan. Check out your rate by using their loan calculator at ledn.io - JPEG Trading is a global proprietary trading firm specializing in cryptocurrency and decentralized finance markets. From market structure and liquidity provision to quantitative trading strategies, JPEG Trading operates across the full spectrum of blockchain-based assets. Follow @jpegtrading on X to stay ahead of the latest developments in digital asset markets: https://x.com/jpegtrading

Matt and Nic are back with another week of news and deals. In this episode:  Strategy sells $216m worth of BTC Where does Strategy go from here with STRC? Kalshi's case faces the ban of sports contracts in NY TeraWulf signs a massive lease with Anthropic BonkDAO's legal hack Vanguard hires a head of digital assets Kraken wins arbitration against Mazars for de-auditing them in 2022 Vitalik lays out a new four year plan Polymarket's 5 minute BTC markets are being manipulated Content mentioned: Settlement Manipulation in Prediction Markets  

CNBC's Megan Cassella reports on the latest strikes between the U.S. and Iran, and Democratic Senate Nominee for Maine Graham Platner is ending his campaign. Former Republican Senator for Nevada Dean Heller is now an advisor to Kalshi, and he responds to former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie's comments about the difference between prediction markets and sports gambling. Plus, CNBC's 20th annual list: Top States for Business with Scott Cohn. The guesses and the top 5, plus a special interview with the governor of the state that ranked first. A hint: it's in the heart of things.    Megan Cassella - 02:58 Dean Heller - 12:51 Scott Cohn - 22:26 Top State Governor - 30:00   In this episode: Joe Kernen, @JoeSquawk Melissa Lee, @MelissaLeeCNBC Megan Cassella, @mmcassella Scott Cohn, @ScottCohnTV Katie Kramer, @Kramer_Katie Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Welcome to Avory Around the Desk Podcast... Sean Emory, Founder and CIO of Avory & Co., asks whether prediction markets like Kalshi are really about betting, or whether they could expand society's capacity to transfer risk. Using Florida's hurricane insurance crunch, the Generac hedge, and AI-enabled micro-insurance, he argues insurance is capacity, and technology may finally be able to expand it. Chapters00:00 Welcome and setup01:19 Why prediction markets matter02:49 Markets as information engines05:55 From betting to bigger thesis07:17 Insurance prices uncertainty09:28 Capacity and risk transfer11:41 Florida hurricanes case study13:06 Hedging with opposite exposures15:04 Micro risks and AI automation18:31 Tech stack enables new markets21:15 Liquidity, market makers, regulation22:56 Wrap up and key takeawayDisclaimerThis conversation is for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing discussed is personalized investment, legal, tax, or insurance advice. Views reflect our thinking as of the recording date and may evolve as new information becomes available. Do your own research and consult a qualified professional before making financial decisions.More at avoryfunds.com

Themen u.a.: Deutschland sollte auf bessere Vermögensbildungspolitik statt auf Umverteilung setzen, meint Ökonom Daniel Stelter. Und: Braucht die Polizei mehr Befugnisse für die Massenüberwachung im Netz? Von WDR 5.

It seems like you can place a bet on anything these days-- and in some places, you pretty much. With sites like Polymarket and Kalshi, you can put money on whether or not a politician will utter a phrase, major geopolitical events, how many goals an athlete might score, and more. But in Canada, stricter regulations have prevented these sights from spreading north of the U.S. border. But that's about to change. Wealthsimple, a Canadian finance company, is bringing Kalshi to the great white north-- if in a limited capacity. Today on The Big Story podcast, host Caryn Ceolin is speaking with Elliot Goodell Ugalde, a Ph. D candidate at Queen's University, specializing in political economy and the governance of artificial intelligence about the risks are of bringing prediction markets into the country, what the government could do to mitigate them, and how they could affect society. We love feedback at The Big Story, as well as suggestions for future episodes. You can find us:Through email at hello@thebigstorypodcast.ca Or @thebigstory.bsky.social on Bluesky

Joining the show are Raymond Chung, founder and CEO of AcreHedge, Chief Technology Officer Todd Larson, and Chief Media Officer (and returning guest) Zoe Kent. Together they explain how prediction markets work, why they're gaining popularity, and how they could eventually become another valuable tool alongside crop insurance and traditional marketing strategies. Ray shares how his background on Wall Street combined with years operating one of the nation's largest edamame processing businesses led him to create AcreHedge. Todd explains how modern AI accelerated development of the platform while maintaining enterprise-level quality, and Zoe discusses using her own farming operation as the first public market on AcreHedge. The discussion covers: What prediction markets actually are—and what they are not How "wisdom of the crowd" often produces remarkably accurate forecasts Why prediction markets differ from sports betting or casino gambling Filling risk management gaps left by traditional crop insurance Weather, disease, commodity price, acreage, and yield-related markets Real-world examples using New World Screwworm, corn prices, and USDA acreage reports How farmers can use markets to express opinions while managing financial risk AI's growing role in agriculture and software development Why agriculture deserves specialized prediction markets built by people who understand farming The group also has plenty of fun discussing edamame, Skittles, weather forecasting, rock picking, farm influencers, and brainstorming future prediction markets that could keep both farmers and agriculture enthusiasts engaged. Whether you're interested in grain marketing, crop insurance, technology, finance, or simply enjoy learning about innovative ideas shaping agriculture, this episode offers an early look at what could become an entirely new category of farm risk management. Want Farm4Profit Merch? Custom order your favorite items today!https://farmfocused.com/farm-4profit/ Don't forget to like the podcast on all platforms and leave a review where ever you listen! Website: www.Farm4Profit.comShareable episode link: https://intro-to-farm4profit.simplecast.comEmail address: Farm4profitllc@gmail.comCall/Text: 515.207.9640Subscribe to YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCSR8c1BrCjNDDI_Acku5XqwFollow us on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@farm4profitllc Connect with us on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Farm4ProfitLLC/Farm4Profit Media is not a financial, legal, or tax advisor. Content is provided for informational purposes only, and we serve solely as a platform for third-party opinions. Any actions taken based on this content are at your own risk. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

LikeFolio's Landon Swan examines the sharp pullback in Flutter (FLTR) and DraftKings (DKNG) despite growing betting activity. He discusses how prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are attracting younger bettors with real-time wagering options, the competitive response from FanDuel and DraftKings, and how regulation and potential industry consolidation could shape the future of sports betting.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Raoul Pal and Tarek Mansour, co-founder and ceo of Kalshi, explore how prediction markets, super forecasters, and regulated crypto perps are reshaping the way people trade, price risk, and filter truth from noise. Recorded June 24, 2026. And don't forget we're offering our lowest prices ever right now and you can lock them in for life. Just visit realvision.com/pricing. Offers ends July 4, 2026. Today's sponsor is Plus500 US. Take your trading to the next level with cross-market contracts, from precious metals to key indices, and more. Whether you're a seasoned trader in the Futures arena or brand new, Plus500's user-friendly trading platform offers you the advanced tools, market insights, and quick execution you've been looking for. Get started with Plus500 for as little as $100 at https://us.plus500.com. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Polymarket may look smarter than regular betting, but for African youths, it raises serious questions about gambling, quick-money culture, and financial discipline.#Polymarket #BettingCulture #AfricanYouth

Connect with Early Riders — https://www.earlyriders.com/contactConnect with Onramp — https://onrampbitcoin.com/contact-us/Presented collaboratively by Early Riders & Onramp Media…Final Settlement is a weekly podcast covering capital markets, dealmaking, early-stage venture, bitcoin applications and protocol development.This week Brian, Michael, and Liam break down Saylor's five-point plan and Strategy's new BTC monetization program. On AI, they cover Sam Altman's government-restricted model launch (Soul, Luna, and Terra in limited preview) and Chinese resellers offering Claude tokens 70-90% below Anthropic's prices. They run through a wave of digital-asset deals: SpaceX's post-IPO slide, Franklin Templeton's new Franklin Crypto arm, the ICE and OKX joint venture and the broader tokenized-deposit wave, Kraken's 15% stake in Aave, SBI's acquisition of Bitbank, and Binance exiting the EU over its MiCA license. They close on Tether passing Ethereum as the second-largest crypto, Facebook's move into prediction markets, and Bitcoin sitting in deep value near $59K.Chapters00:00 - MicroStrategy's Strategic Shift19:55 - AI Developments and Government Regulations35:04 - Navigating Market Fundamentals36:34 - Innovations in Digital Assets38:10 - Tokenization Trends and Institutional Adoption40:58 - The Future of Financial Services43:51 - Education and Institutional Understanding of Bitcoin47:31 - Kraken's Strategic Moves in DeFi51:15 - SBI Holdings and the Japanese Crypto Market54:14 - MetaPlanet's Bitcoin Products and Market Dynamics57:21 - Regulatory Challenges in the EU01:00:19 - Prediction Markets and Future TrendsIf you found this valuable, please subscribe to Early Riders Insights for access to the best content in the ecosystem weekly: https://www.earlyriders.com/researchKeep up with Michael:https://x.com/MTangumaKeep up with Liam:https://x.com/Lnelson_21Keep up with Brian:https://x.com/BackslashBTC

Investment company Wealthsimple is partnering with Kalshi to launch Wealthsimple Predict. It's an app that'll allow Canadians to place bets on things like Bank of Canada interest rates, job numbers and long term weather patterns.This comes at a time where there's growing scrutiny on prediction markets in the U.S. for misleading advertising and susceptibility to insider trading. So why are young investors, especially Gen Z, fuelling the demand for prediction markets and other high risk and speculative ways to make money? And what are the risks of companies like Wealthsimple leaning into the gamification of the economy?Charles Martineau, Associate Director of Research at the Rotman Financial Innovation Hub at the University of Toronto, joins us to talk about the phenomenon and what the data tells us about who actually wins on prediction markets.For transcripts of Front Burner, please visit: https://www.cbc.ca/radio/frontburner/transcripts

Prediction markets are a multi-billion dollar industry, led by companies like Kalshi and Polymarket. They are also controversial. Some want them banned and believe they are operating illegally, while others see them as invaluable truth-seeking markets.This podcast is a multi-hour deep dive on prediction markets, starting from conclave betting in 15th century Rome to the CFTC's proposed rulemaking on Rule 40.11 earlier this month.My goal: The internet's most comprehensive explainer on prediction markets.By the end of this episode, I promise you'll be in the top percentile for understanding prediction markets, regardless of where you're starting from. (You just might need to listen twice. There's a lot here.)Timestamps:0:00 Intro1:40 16th century papal betting (Koleman Strumpf)11:13 Insider trading rules on prediction markets (Bobby DeNault)16:20 The Google search insider case and Rule 180.1 (Sam Enzer)27:38 Why prediction markets matter (Chris Giancarlo)33:20 Election betting in America38:35 Iowa Electronic Markets and the 1992 no-action letter45:56 Dodd-Frank, swaps and the Special Rule48:08 Senator Lincoln on Super Bowl and Derby contracts55:49 Parlays as swaps (Josh Sterling)1:01:23 CFTC's exclusive jurisdiction (Thania Charmani)1:07:30 Perspective on the CFTC's NPRM (Michael Passalacqua)1:14:55 Exceptions that swallow the rule (Paul Grewal)1:27:25 How prediction markets actually work1:36:05 Kalshi's probability-weighted fee structure1:38:18 Cardi B and the resolution problem (Dustin Gouker)1:45:05 Oracles, UMA and decentralized resolution (Jeff Amico)1:51:55 Inside the Ninth Circuit case2:07:49 The CFTC's June 2026 proposed rulemaking (Brad Bourque, Stefan Schropp)2:19:06 Kalshi's landmark 2024 win2:23:05 PASPA, Murphy v. NCAA (Daniel Wallach)2:45:14 The case against banning prediction markets (Bobby DeNault)Newsletter: Stay updated on emerging tech law for free at lawofcode.fm. https://www.lawofcode.fm/Any feedback on this episode? Or how to improve the podcast? Click here. https://forms.gle/W4d2a5aHuLJjuNdn7Sponsors: This episode is sponsored by Cahill Gordon & Reindel, the Hyperliquid Policy Center, and the Solana Policy Institute. To get in touch with the Cahill team about how the issues discussed in this episode apply to your situation, email mtomsky@cahill.com. Subscribe to Cahill's free client alerts on digital assets and emerging technology at https://www.cahill.com/news/index?search=1&practice=litigation-digital-assets-and-emerging-technology.In this episode, you'll hear from the world's leading experts on the legal layer of prediction markets:Josh Sterling, partner at MillbankBobby DeNault, Head of Enforcement at KalshiChris Giancarlo, former Chairman of the CFTCDaniel Wallach, founder of Wallach Legal LLCStefan Schropp, Senior Regulatory Counsel at ParadigmSam Enzer, partner at Cahill Gordon & Reindel and co-chair of CahillNXTPaul Grewal, Chief Legal Officer at CoinbaseKoleman Strumpf, economics professor at Wake ForestBrad Bourque, Policy Counsel at Hyperliquid Policy CenterThania Charmani, partner at Winston & TaylorMichael Passalacqua, Senior Advisor to CFTC Chairman SeligJeff Amico, Chief Operating Officer at GensynMatt Kalish, co-founder of DraftKings and CEO of HardscopeDustin Gouker, author of the Event Horizons newsletterDisclaimer: This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute legal or investment advice. Views expressed by guests are their own and do not necessarily reflect those of their employers. Listening to this podcast does not create an attorney-client relationship.

With Robin Hanson, the pioneer of modern prediction markets and Associate Professor of Economics at George Mason University. Robin first proposed the idea of modern prediction markets in 1988, long before crypto and blockchain made them accessible to millions. We discuss why prediction markets may become one of the world's most powerful tools for aggregating information, making better decisions, and challenging traditional institutions. - Why prediction markets are about information and not gambling - Why markets can outperform polls and traditional forecasting - Should insider trading be allowed in prediction markets? - How companies could use prediction markets to make better decisions - The future of corporate governance powered by markets - Why prediction markets may reshape politics and public policy - The tension between privacy, transparency, and regulation - Why incumbents often resist prediction markets - How crypto is accelerating the adoption of prediction markets - Robin Hanson's vision for the future of decision-making Prediction markets are still in their early days, but they could fundamentally change how companies, governments, and individuals make decisions. Powered by ACX Compliance – the world's largest crypto compliance specialised managed services provider.  By crypto compliance professionals. For crypto compliance professionals.  

(0:00) About the Boardroom Governance Summit (Aug 26-27, 2026)  (0:54) Intro (2:15) About the podcast sponsor: The American College of Governance Counsel. (3:01) Start of interview. *Reference to prior episode with Terry (E131) from 2024. (3:50) About Terry's role as Co-Chair of WilmerHale's Sports & Gaming Practice  (4:52) Sports Investment Boom, now including institutional investors and private equity  (8:40) League Ownership Models (ie. NFL, MLS, WPHL, etc) (14:24) Player Revenue Battles (example of WNBA) (16:34) Terry's sports governance practice (18:18) The Soccer World Cup, Global Expansion, and cross-border investments (20:35) U.S. Sporting Franchises  (23:09) Betting platforms and Integrity. Growth of prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi. (26:58) Women's Sports Surge (32:38) Family Business Governance (38:06) Family Office Structures (41:11) Wine Industry Pressure (44:27) Future of Sports Investing (47:03) College Sports Revenue Sharing. Reference to House case settlement (49:55) Promotion and Relegation Teresa (Terry) Johnson is co-chair of WilmerHale's Sports & Gaming Practice, and a partner in the firm's Transactional Department. Ms. Johnson is an experienced sports and corporate transactions lawyer with over three decades of experience advising clients on securities transactions, corporate governance and capital markets matters. You can follow Evan on social media at:X: @evanepsteinLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/epsteinevan/ Substack: https://evanepstein.substack.com/__To support this podcast you can join as a subscriber of the Boardroom Governance Newsletter at https://evanepstein.substack.com/__Music/Soundtrack (found via Free Music Archive): Seeing The Future by Dexter Britain is licensed under a Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 United States License

Chris EdmondsBS, College of Arts and Sciences, 1992President of Fixed Income & Data Service, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)More InformationChristopher Edmonds - ICE BioLinkedIn ProfileICE - Chris Edmonds takes the reins at ICE Fixed Income and Data ServicesYouTube - ICE's Chris Edmonds on Prediction Markets, Data Innovation, and how Technology is Reshaping TradingCrisil Coalition Greenwich - A conversation with Chris Edmonds: President of Fixed Income & Data Services at ICE

Episode Description:Prediction markets allow people to trade contracts tied to real-world events—from elections and weather to rocket launches, airport traffic, awards, and the words a public figure might use during a speech.But James argues that having an opinion isn't enough. Betting on your favorite team, preferred candidate, or a vague feeling about what might happen is speculation without an edge. His rule is simple: only participate when you believe you have an unfair advantage.In this solo episode, James explains the two advantages he looks for. The first comes from understanding how prediction-market participants behave—especially their tendency to overlook outcomes that appear almost certain because the potential payout looks small. The second comes from researching a particular market more thoroughly than the other participants.He walks through three trades he made: whether the U.S. government will confirm the existence of extraterrestrial life before 2027, whether SpaceX will exceed a specified number of June launches, and whether Donald Trump will use the phrase “movie star” during an upcoming speech. He also examines TSA passenger data to show why good research sometimes leads to the most important decision of all: not making the trade.The larger lesson is not that any outcome is guaranteed. It is that a repeatable process—researching the data, comparing your estimated probability with the market price, diversifying, and walking away when the edge is unclear—is more useful than betting on instinct.Editorial Note:Prediction-market contracts are speculative and can result in the loss of the full amount committed to a position. Short-term returns expressed on an annualized basis are hypothetical comparisons, not guarantees that the same opportunity can be repeated throughout a year. This episode is educational and reflects James's personal reasoning, not individualized financial advice.What You'll Learn:How binary prediction-market contracts are priced and settled.Why James avoids trades based only on personal preference or intuition.The two types of informational advantage he looks for before entering a market.Why apparently likely outcomes can still be priced below James's estimate of their probability.How to compare a contract's price with your independent estimate of the outcome.Why diversification matters when a single losing contract can erase several smaller gains.How historical speeches, launch schedules, and public datasets can inform a trade.Why declining to place a bet is often the correct conclusion when the evidence is inconclusive.Timestamped Chapters:[02:00] The Search for an Unfair AdvantageWhy James believes a feeling or personal preference is not a sufficient reason to place a bet.[02:43] What Is a Prediction Market?How event contracts cover subjects ranging from weather and elections to entertainment, sports, and public speeches.[03:29] How Yes-or-No Contracts WorkA hypothetical presidential contract illustrates pricing, payouts, and profit.[04:26] Don't Bet on What You Want to HappenWhy fandom, political preference, and intuition can distort judgment.[05:12] Two Types of Informational AdvantageJames distinguishes between understanding market behavior and possessing unusually strong research about one event.[06:30] Why Traders May Overlook Near-CertaintiesHow small-looking payouts and the cost of tying up capital can leave heavily favored outcomes below full value.[07:52] Will the Government Confirm That Aliens Exist?James explains why he bought “No” contracts on an official confirmation occurring before 2027.[10:40] Diversifying a Basket of High-Probability TradesWhy James prefers multiple positions rather than concentrating everything in one supposedly certain outcome.[11:20] The SpaceX Launch TradeUsing completed launches, the remaining calendar, and an upcoming mission to evaluate a five-day contract.[13:38] Turning Presidential Speeches Into DataHow James analyzes recurring words and phrases instead of relying on opinions about Donald Trump.[15:38] Betting Against “Movie Star”Why past speeches, synonyms, context, and the market price led James to take the “No” side.[18:30] TSA Passenger Data—and Knowing When to PassHistorical checkpoint volume offers useful evidence, but not necessarily enough of an edge to justify a trade.[21:01] Three Trades and One Repeatable SystemJames reviews his positions and the difference between market-level and event-specific advantages.[23:00] Prediction Markets as a Continuing ExperimentWhy James plans to keep testing the approach and sharing shorter updates.Additional Resources:Kalshi: What Are Prediction Markets? — An introduction to event contracts, pricing, and settlement.Kalshi: How Prices Are Determined — How opposing orders are matched and market prices are established.Kalshi FAQ — Platform rules, prohibited conduct, trading mechanics, and account information.CFTC: Understanding Prediction Markets and Event Contracts — The federal regulator's overview of event contracts and their uses.CFTC: Contracts and Products — Regulatory information about derivatives and event contracts.TSA Checkpoint Travel Numbers — Official daily passenger-screening figures used for historical comparisons.SpaceX Launches — Official information about completed and upcoming SpaceX missions.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

CoinDesk's The Policy Protocol hosts Rebecca Rettig and Renato Mariotti open with two hot topics: Coinbase's SEC-registered AI agentic trading launch and tribal gaming operators' letter to Senators Thune and Schumer demanding that the CLARITY Act include a prohibition on prediction markets. Then Katie Boller Gosewisch, Executive Director of the Alliance to End Human Trafficking, joins to challenge CLARITY's Section 604, arguing that shielding DeFi developers from money-transmitter liability creates a "duty of care" gap that traffickers can exploit. Plus, Rebecca and Renato close by naming Meta as their Person of the Week for its reported move into points-based prediction markets. - Check out CoinDesk's latest episode of Public Keys from the NYSE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=75LrBmSScvY&list=PLZWrc_gWChqnim-9ZbIKZTOrPA7IgFKVR&pp=sAgC - Register now for CoinDesk's Policy and Regulation event on September 22, 2026: https://policy-regulation.coindesk.com/. - Timecodes: 00:00 Welcome to The Policy Protocol 00:51 This Week: AI Trading, Prediction Markets, Human Trafficking 01:15 Coinbase Launches AI Agentic Trading 02:22 SEC-Registered AI Agents and the Hallucination Problem 03:43 Tribes Concerns Over Clarity Act 05:30 Rebuttals to the Tribes' Clarity Concerns 06:23 Katie Boller Gosewisch Joins the Show 07:31 Section 604: The Liability Shield Traffickers Could Exploit 08:59 Are DeFi Developers Money Transmitters? 09:52 What Section 604 Actually Says, and What It Doesn't 10:54 Should We Reinstate a Human Trafficking Coordinator? 11:30 Duty of Care and the 'Turning a Blind Eye' Problem 13:07 The Roman Storm/Tornado Cash Case as the Test 14:37 Future Loopholes and the Reasonable Doubt Risk 15:28 Cryptocurrency, Anonymity, and Rising Online Trafficking 16:02 Blockchain Is Transparent, and That Helps Law Enforcement 17:39 Person of the Week: Meta 19:58 The Points-Based Prediction Market and What Meta Could Unlock

The quad is back. Dave and Brit rejoin Sam and Jess fresh off a More or Less fan encounter at the Zurich airport. It was quite the week for Meta as the squad breaks down the company's new line of glasses featuring Kylie Jenner (or, in Jess' words, Kendall), and Brit makes the call that this is finally the watershed moment for women buying smart glasses ( The men seem to be the early adopters, Dave wore his in the Sistine Chapel, and Sam owns 10+ pairs.). Then they get into Meta's prediction market: a genuinely interesting information machine or a very efficient way to addict twenty-somethings to fake gambling? In true MOL fashion, the squad is split. Sam is all in, Dave is worried it'll work too well, and Brit thinks it'll all click when you tie it to The Bachelor. Dave also ran GLM 5.2 on eight Nvidia B200s with some hacker friends and came away shaken. Open source is now matching, if not outperforming, frontier models at 10x the speed, raising uncomfortable questions about the enormous bets sitting on frontier labs today. Remember last year's AI talent war? It's back, and Jess argues it's really an early indicator of investor insecurity. Finally, in pop culture corner: Cannes and Sam's unsolicited review of The Information's new mobile app.Chapters:0:00 Episode trailer0:50 Intro1:12 MOL Got Recognized at the Zurich Airport3:02 What's on the Agenda Today5:04 Meta Smart Glasses, The Moment Women Finally Buy In?14:20 Meta's Prediction Markets, Brilliant or Addictive?19:39 Polymarket's Influencer Problem22:48 AI Talent Wars, Investors Are Reading the Wrong Signals25:40 GLM 5.2 on Nvidia B200s, Open Source Catches Frontier Models28:20 AI Token Spend, Sam's $1,500/Month Experiment31:04 Sam Reviews The Information App Live36:17 Anthropic, Dell, and the Math Behind Generational Returns43:30 Cannes Lions, Worth It or Corporate Boondoggle?We're also on ↓X: https://twitter.com/moreorlesspodInstagram: https://instagram.com/moreorlessYouTube: https://youtu.be/dbdH6dPMDxkConnect with us here:1) Sam Lessin: https://x.com/lessin2) Dave Morin: https://x.com/davemorin3) Jessica Lessin: https://x.com/Jessicalessin4) Brit Morin: https://x.com/brit

And now for something (almost) completely different.  Welcome to Out of Scope, a new sub-series where Austin and Tori Pastore (aka Birb Bernake) riff with guests on hot takes from the frontiers of tech, finance, policy, and whatever else is the flavor of the week In this debut episode, they sit down with Austin Campbell to discuss... quite a few things: running stablecoin reserves, repealing the 17th Amendment, why banks resemble cartels, insider trading, market structure, why regulators should be paid more and held to higher standards, modernizing the BSA, and—most importantly—a definitive ranking of video conferencing tools. 00:00 - Introducing Tori  01:24 - Chinese Peptides Explained  02:45 - GLP 1 Hype Cycle  05:40 - Peptides and Food Science  10:49 - Enter Austin Campbell  16:11- Stablecoin Reserve Rules  20:35 - Gold Doom Scenarios  22:59 - Banks' Payment Monopoly  34:38 - AI Lobbying and EA critiques  38:20 - Prediction Markets Incentives  43:59 - Fixing Regulator Accountability  47:39 - Prediction Markets  48:47 - Market Manipulation Debate  59:54 - Perps Versus Futures  01:02:51 - Assassination Markets Debate  01:06:21 - Austin's Magic Wand Reforms  01:10:40 - Blooper Reel Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Liston Abramson Partner Catherine Christian weighs in on Luigi Mangione's decision not to assert a psychiatric defense at his murder trial. Gambling Law Expert Professor I. Nelson Rose explains gambling prediction markets.  National Center for LGBTQ Rights Vice President of Legal Shannon Minter discusses his victory against Trump's transgender military ban. In the Legal Grab […]

This episode SP and GP get into the first World Cup on Prediction Markets. The insanity of this world cup has surpassed our wildest expectations and we discuss what makes it unlike anything we have ever seen before. Big news and a lot of questions follow - enjoy!0:00 First World Cup on Prediction Markets36:00 News1:04:30 Q&AWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__ProjFollow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

CoinDesk hosts Rebecca Rettig and Renato Mariotti open on the record-breaking SpaceX IPO, then turn to Terry Duffy's exit from CME and the exchange's threatened lawsuit against the CFTC over whether perpetuals are swaps or futures. Their guest is Dan Berkovitz, former Commissioner of the CFTC and former General Counsel of the SEC, now at Millennium Management, who brings a rare both-agencies vantage point to the push for SEC–CFTC harmonization, the swaps-versus-futures fight over perps, and the "economic purpose" test he argues sports-betting prediction markets cannot meet. - Check out CoinDesk's latest episode of Public Keys from the NYSE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=75LrBmSScvY&list=PLZWrc_gWChqnim-9ZbIKZTOrPA7IgFKVR&pp=sAgC - Register now for CoinDesk's Policy and Regulation event on September 22, 2026: https://policy-regulation.coindesk.com/. - Timecodes: 00:00 The Role of CFTC 00:25 Welcome to The Policy Protocol 00:44 The Record SpaceX IPO and Retail Demand 01:41 Synthetic SpaceX Perps on Hyperliquid 03:40 Terry Duffy Exits CME and Sues the CFTC 06:07 Dan Berkovitz Joins the Show 06:44 Can the SEC and CFTC Harmonize? 08:29 Are Perpetuals Swaps or Futures? 09:11 Prediction Markets and the 'Economic Purpose' Test 11:07 The ErisX Sports Betting Precedent 13:07 The Hurricane Hedging Counterargument 15:02 Why Crypto Couldn't 'Come In and Register' Before 17:28 Gary Gensler Is Back 20:27 Person of the Week: Jamie McDonald

Steve Fezzik & Ross break down everything you need to know about prediction markets! Plus Steve gives his approach to betting on the 2026 World Cup. Download the DraftKings Sports Book App and use code ROSS Connect with the Pod Website - https://www.rosstucker.com Become A Patron - https://www.patreon.com/RTMedia Podcast Twitter - https://twitter.com/RossTuckerPod Podcast Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/rosstuckerpod/ Ross Twitter - https://twitter.com/RossTuckerNFL Ross Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/rosstuckernfl/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Steve Fezzik & Ross break down everything you need to know about prediction markets! Plus Steve gives his approach to betting on the 2026 World Cup. Download the DraftKings Sports Book App and use code ROSS Connect with the Pod Website - https://www.rosstucker.com Become A Patron - https://www.patreon.com/RTMedia Podcast Twitter - https://twitter.com/RossTuckerPod Podcast Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/rosstuckerpod/ Ross Twitter - https://twitter.com/RossTuckerNFL Ross Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/rosstuckernfl/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

A Google engineer and member of special forces have been arrested for placing illegal bets on prediction markets. And these are just examples of the insider trading that may shape more than the country's finances. *** Thank you for listening. Help power On Point by making a donation here: wbur.org/giveonpoint