Podcasts about polymarket

In 2016, Blitz (@blizzythegoat24) bet on Donald Trump to win the general election. In 2020, Blitz not only bet on Biden to win the election, he guessed the outcome of every state correctly. In 2024, he managed to do the same. He bet on Trump to win the election and guessed every state correctly. In this episode, Blitz explains for the first time how he did it. Timestamps 0:40: Blitz's achievement 3:25: Intro ends 5:25: Interview begins 6:00: Blitz's background 7:16: Blitz's bad start on PredictIt 7:59: Tweet markets 11:00: John Phillips's defense of tweet markets 13:43: Andrew Yang death threats 18:01: Trump VP pick in 2016 19:57: Blitz's methodology in 2024 26:26: Blue wall 29:52: Florida early vote 33:34: Nevada early turnout 37:50: Georgia 38:08: 2020 41:18: Women/abortion 42:01: Black voters 44:26: Polls 52:21: Concerns about democracy 1:01:30: Political bias Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter/x @pjchougule Trade on tweet markets and many more at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. Forecasting Meetup Network. Help us grow the forecasting community to positively influence the future by supporting us with an upvote, comment, or pledge on Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv

Based on data from Polymarket, the chance of a US recession in 2025 surged to 63% on Friday, up from 49% the day before.~This episode is sponsored by iTrust Capital~iTrustCapital | Get $100 Funding Reward + No Monthly Fees when you sign up using our custom link! ➜ https://bit.ly/iTrustPaul00:00 Intro00:17 Sponsor: iTrust Capital00:50 China responds01:17 China to US: We don't need you02:47 PIMCO - Trump is having a “read-my-lips” moment04:27 Tax cuts05:00 PIMCO - US treasuries vs Countries06:35 Euro vs dollar07:09 Larry Fink - Were either in or close to recession08:25 Recession history09:20 Polymarket10:25 Feds Kashkari - Fed vs Tariffs11:34 Fed rules out liquidity injection13:13 CNBC - These recent inflation prints are before tariffs15:25 Small business fading16:20 Policy response this weekend?16:38 Gold vs Bitcoin chart17:30 Outro#Bitcoin #Crypto #recession ~Recession Odds Skyrocket

This week on the podcast, Jackie and Peter discuss the significant volatility in the financial markets due to the escalating global trade war unleashed by President Trump's “Liberation Day” on April 2nd. Economists and banks are sounding the alarm about the increased risk of a global recession. At the same time, oil prices have fallen by about $US 10/B due to fears of a recession and news that OPEC+ is adding more supply than expected into the market. In Canada, the uncertainty is further compounded by the upcoming federal election scheduled for April 28th, 2025.Content referenced in this podcast:Financial Times, “In charts: winners and losers from Trump's new tariffs” (April 4, 2025)BNN Bloomberg, Trump's tariffs to send U.S. into recession: JP Morgan (April 6, 2025)Polymarket, “ US recession in 2025?”Reuters, “OPEC+ unexpectedly speeds up oil output hikes, oil drops” (April 3, 2025)338Canada, Canadian Federal Election PollingPlease review our disclaimer at: https://www.arcenergyinstitute.com/disclaimer/ Check us out on social media: X (Twitter): @arcenergyinstLinkedIn: @ARC Energy Research Institute Subscribe to ARC Energy Ideas PodcastApple PodcastsAmazon MusicSpotify 

President Donald Trump on Friday said that he will extend the deadline for TikTok's owner to find a non-Chinese buyer by 75 days, averting what could have been another disruption of the app. Ethereum has now joined Project Liberty (Polkadot) to bid on TikTok. Meanwhile OnlyFans & Hedera are also now bidders.~This Episode is Sponsored By Coinbase~ Buy $50 & Get $50 for getting started on Coinbase➜ https://bit.ly/CBARRON00:00 intro00:19 Sponsor: Coinbase00:43 Trump on TikTok Deal & Tariffs01:21 Ethereum Joins Project Liberty01:53 Bidders List02:53 Oracle + Andreessen Horowitz03:59 Andreessen & Project Liberty04:45 Trump Loves ETH05:07 China has leverage05:49 Art of The Deal?06:20 Bytedance cannot control anything07:16 Social Media Lawsuits Won't Stop07:53 Hedera & XRP Join Bid?08:33 No chance for Hedera bid09:01 Josh Hawley Grills TikTok CEO10:49 Bipartisan11:11 Vitalik vs Mark Zuckerberg11:52 Vitalik on Government KYC12:32 Lens Chain Launches on ETH13:01 ETH x Polkadot Soon13:20 Airdrops Coming To TikTok13:53 MeWe Incentives14:29 Avalanche x Polkadot14:52 Apple & Google screwed15:19 Death of the App Store?16:15 Ethereum has already gone mainstream16:52 Polymarket growth speed17:41 outro#Ethereum #XRP #TikTok~Ethereum Joins Polkadot TikTok Bid vs Hedera & XRP!

Bitcoin's value dropped by 5% amid global market selloff due to new tariffs announced by President Trump. The US stock market suffered a massive selloff, wiping out more than $2 trillion in value following Thursday's opening.00:00 Intro00:35 Historic Day?01:26 Media response recap05:00 Flight to sideline05:53 Tariffs will force the Feds hand05:27 The operation is over06:55 Trump first tariff crash (March 2018)07:44 Polymarket recession chances08:45 Rate cuts09:48 CNBC - Senate on the tariffs on Canada12:09 This is a tax on consumers12:44 Pressuring countries13:32 Elon not leaving DOGE13:52 Trump x Bukele14:24 Howard Lutnik on the dollar15:25 Stablecoin act passed the committee16:33 Outro#Bitcoin #tariffs  #Crypto~Recession FEAR SKYROCKETS!

The discussion about Frank Reich's Stanford interim coaching role continued, with calls for a potential "Football Friday" trip to California to see Stanford and to play golf at Pebble Beach. Jerry's update highlighted Brandon Nimmo's home run for the Mets, Carlos Mendoza's offensive analysis, Evan Roberts' bold claim about Aaron Judge, Ely De La Cruz's impressive RBI performance, Aaron Glenn's QB1 statement, Kevin Stefanski's Shedeur Sanders mention, and Jameis Winston's receiver comments. The hour concluded with a segment on Polymarket, a platform for betting on pop culture events, notably Sydney Sweeney's broken engagement.

Hour 1 Last night, the Mets' offense erupted, highlighted by Pete Alonso's grand slam, a much-needed boost according to Gio. Amidst discussions about the Yankees' struggling offense and a social media spat between Jazz Chisholm and Dave Portnoy, Gio speculated whether Rafael Devers' strikeouts were intentional to avoid DH duties, a theory Boomer dismissed. Jerry's update featured Alonso's homer with Howie Rose's call, Jameis Winston's jovial press conference, and Browns owner Jimmy Haslam's admission of Deshaun Watson's failed acquisition. Finally, the Jets revealed they've offered voluntary buyouts to a significant portion of their staff. Hour 2 A video of DK Metcalf and Aaron Rodgers working out sparked Gio's frustration over Rodgers' drawn-out decision, questioning why a deal with the Steelers isn't finalized. The Deshaun Watson situation was revisited, with Gio asserting Watson's indifference to his reputation. Jerry's update covered Mets highlights, Rafael Devers' struggles, Carson Kelly's cycle, the Braves' winless start, Aaron Glenn's press conference, and the Titans' draft openness. Mike Tomlin addressed the Rodgers situation, and rumors circulated about Rodgers announcing his Steelers move on Pat McAfee's live show in Pittsburgh. Jameis Winston's Giants press conference and Frank Reich's interim coaching role at Stanford, with Andrew Luck as GM, concluded the hour. Hour 3 The discussion about Frank Reich's Stanford interim coaching role continued, with calls for a potential "Football Friday" trip to California to see Stanford and to play golf at Pebble Beach. Jerry's update highlighted Brandon Nimmo's home run for the Mets, Carlos Mendoza's offensive analysis, Evan Roberts' bold claim about Aaron Judge, Ely De La Cruz's impressive RBI performance, Aaron Glenn's QB1 statement, Kevin Stefanski's Shedeur Sanders mention, and Jameis Winston's receiver comments. The hour concluded with a segment on Polymarket, a platform for betting on pop culture events, notably Sydney Sweeney's broken engagement. Hour 4 Tiger Woods' April Fool's joke about playing the Masters sparked discussion, with Boomer considering his own prank about taking the Maryland Athletic Director job, prompting Gio to compare it to Stanford's offensive coordinator role. The Giants' draft strategy, particularly regarding Shedeur Sanders, was debated. Jerry's final update included Brian Daboll's quarterback focus, Jameis Winston's QB expectations, Jimmy Haslam's Deshaun Watson admission, and Gio's Tush Push criticism. Ochocinco's jab at Shannon Sharpe and Howie Rose's Mets call were featured. The Moment of the Day highlighted Woody Johnson's unusual praise of Aaron Glenn. Boomer concluded the show with good news for Rangers fans.

Bei Hyperliquid jagt gerade eine Negativschlagzeile die nächste. Nach dem Exploit vor zwei Wochen wurde der Platzhirsch unter den dezentralen Perp-Exchanges erneut von einem Krypto-Wal attackiert. Doch diesmal schlägt Hyperliquid zurück – und zeigt dabei sein wahres Gesicht. Wie das aussieht, diskutieren Julius Nagel und Florian Adomeit in dieser Folge von Alles Coin, Nichts Muss. Wer denkt, damit sei die Shitstorm-Front abgearbeitet, hat die Rechnung ohne Polymarket gemacht. Dort sorgt aktuell die fragwürdige Auflösung mancher Wetten für hitzige Diskussionen – und dafür, dass sich der ein oder andere Zocker um seine wohlverdiente Gambling-Kohle gebracht fühlt. Abseits davon gibt's aber auch Lichtblicke: OpenAI haucht dem Memecoin-Casino zumindest kurzfristig neues Leben ein, die US-Stablecoin-Regulierung macht Fortschritte, und Robinhood glänzt mit skurrilen Produktideen – darunter ein Bargeld-Kurier. Außerdem scheint die Demokratisierungswelle jetzt auch den VC-Markt zu erfassen. Und Julius hat ein neues Framework dabei, mit dem sich der echte wirtschaftliche Wert von Ethereum & Co. besser greifen lässt.

CME Group and Google Cloud today announced that they are piloting solutions for seamless and secure wholesale payments and tokenization of assets. CME Group has successfully completed the first phase of integration and testing of Google Cloud Universal Ledger (GCUL), a novel distributed ledger from Google Cloud. ~This Episode is Sponsored By Coinbase~ Get up to $200 for getting started on Coinbase➜ https://bit.ly/CBARRON00:00 Intro00:14 Sponsor: Coinbase00:40 Microsoft… now Google01:15 Google x CME Group01:40 26mil contracts01:50 Google Ethereum RPC02:08 Zetachain x Google Cloud02:15 Zetachain enabling cross-chain for Google EVM02:54 Cross chain Layer-2 transactions03:12 Agg-Layer incoming03:30 Polymarket adds solana03:47 Solana doesn't benefit04:13 Polymarket x agg layer04:32 Agg Layer will boost Ethereum05:15 Sony Gaming on ETH + Polygon flips base05:51 Visa polygon vs solana06:13 Private credit06:28 Money market funds06:50 Solana Futures Flops07:22 Bloomberg attempts to explain Solana vs Ethereum08:45 Courtyard09:40 Custodia Bank chooses Ethereum for stablecoin10:12 BlackRock launches on Solana a year later10:38 ETF Boomers care more about Blockchain than Bitcoin12:55 Bitwise Ethereum staking13:20 Matt Hougan: ETH is the leader14:27 ETH & POL chart15:06 Outro#Ethereum #Crypto #bitcoin ~Google Chooses Ethereum

Die Blockchain mag die Welt revolutionieren, kommt allerdings mit einem fetten Haken: Alles auf ihr ist öffentlich – egal ob Zockereien auf Polymarket, DAO-Payrolls oder sensible Unternehmensdaten. Für viele Corporates oder privatsphäresensible Akteure könnte das genau der Partypooper sein, der Mainstream-Adoption verhindert. Das hat sich auch Yannik Schrade gedacht – und mit Arcium eine Lösung gebaut, die Datenschutz ohne Vertrauensanforderung, rein durch Mathematik und Kryptografie ermöglicht. Was dabei rauskam, ist weit mehr als ein Privacy-Tool: Yannik hat – fast aus Versehen – die Grundlagen für einen verschlüsselten Supercomputer auf der Blockchain geschaffen. Wie das funktioniert, erklärt er Julius Nagel und Florian Adomeit in dieser Folge der Founder Series von Alles Coin, Nichts Muss. Gemeinsam sprechen sie darüber, wie man damit Knete verdient, warum Arcium bewusst nicht auf eine eigene Blockchain setzt – und wie ein 24-Jähriger, dem selbst seine Eltern vom Jurastudium abrieten, eine der erfolgreichsten iPad-Apps Europas baute.

This week, the team is joined by Brock Miller, Senior Staff Software Engineer, to discuss Coinbase Verified Pools—why we launched it, how it works, and what's next. We also break down the latest market trends, including perp funding rates, ETF flows, and the SOL futures ETFs.Beyond markets, we dive into macro updates, covering the April 2nd tariff announcement, the Fed's QT adjustment, and key earnings to watch in April. Onchain, we look at the continued growth in stablecoins, BUIDL's expansion to Solana, and new activity on Pumpswap and Polymarket. Finally, we highlight major Coinbase updates, including our Ethereum Validator Performance Report and a new institutional investor survey showing increasing crypto adoption. Check the show notes for all links.Topics Covered:Coinbase Verified Pools: Why we launched it and what's next.Market Update: Perp funding, ETF flows, and technical levels for BTC, ETH & SPX.Macro Outlook: April 2nd tariff news, Fed QT slowdown, and key earnings ahead.Onchain Insights: Stablecoin growth, BUIDL expansion, and Solana's DeFi shifts.Coinbase Updates: Ethereum validator report & institutional investor trends.Upcoming Catalysts: Pectra Hooli upgrade (March 26) and April 2nd macro events.Host:Ben Floyd, Head of Execution ServicesGuest:Brock Miller, Senior Staff Software EngineerSpeakers:David Duong, Head of Institutional ResearchDavid Han, Research AnalystGreg Sutton, Senior CES Sales TraderLinks:Ethereum Validator Performance ReportCoinbase Institutional Investor SurveyVerified Pools Announcement

► Frank Twitter: https://twitter.com/frankdedomiseur ► Ian Twitter: https://twitter.com/PiluleRouge_CA ► Joey Twitter: https://twitter.com/RealJoey_Aube ► Notre Patreon : https://www.patreon.com/c/isenechal► Faire un don https://paypal.me/IanetFrank► Notre infolettre PILULE ROUGE https://pilulerouge.ca/infolettre/►Ranch Branch (code promo IAN10) https://ranchbrand.ca/ ►ReadyForCanada https://www.ready4canada.com/► TLF DESSIN : https://www.tlfdessin.com/Aujourd'hui dans le podcast, on parle de Mark Carney qui fait dans ses culottes et refuse le débat en français à TVA .Ian revient sur les propos de Madame Tartempion concernant la promesse de baisse d'impôts de Pierre Poilievre. On analyse également le dernier sondage Léger sur les intentions de vote au fédéral ainsi que les tendances sur Polymarket. Enfin, on discute de la nouvelle promesse du jour des conservateurs : éliminer la TPS sur la construction de nouvelles maisons d'une valeur allant jusqu'à 1,3 million de dollars. DANS LA PARTIE PATREON, on commence avec une vidéo montée d'Éric Duhaime illustrant le désastre économique causé par la CAQ sous François Legault. Ensuite, Joey nous présente un montage de Mathieu Bock-Côté sur le refus de Mark Carney de participer au débat de TVA, les baisses d'impôts et le prochain budget déficitaire du Québec. On termine en lisant un article de La Presse tentant de justifier pourquoi il ne faudrait pas baisser les impôts, suivi d'une vidéo de Pierre Poilievre promettant de relancer le projet minier du "Ring of Fire" dans le nord de l'Ontario, un projet bloqué depuis des années par les libéraux.TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro0:22 Madame Tartempion et les baisses d'impôts9:35 Nouveau sondage Léger13:32 Carney refuse le débat à TVA31:01 Nouvelle promesse de Poilievre37:44 À venir dans le Patreon

Thanks to Jesse Richardson for discussion. Polymarket asks: will Jesus Christ return in 2025? In the three days since the market opened, traders have wagered over $100,000 on this question. The market traded as high as 5%, and is now stably trading at 3%. Right now, if you wanted to, you could place a bet that Jesus Christ will not return this year, and earn over $13,000 if you're right. There are two mysteries here: an easy one, and a harder one. The easy mystery is: if people are willing to bet $13,000 on "Yes", why isn't anyone taking them up? The answer is that, if you wanted to do that, you'd have to put down over $1 million of your own money, locking it up inside Polymarket through the end of the year. At the end of that year, you'd get 1% returns on your investment. [...] --- First published: March 24th, 2025 Source: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/LBC2TnHK8cZAimdWF/will-jesus-christ-return-in-an-election-year --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

@syde in India / Japan / Taiwan / Singapore - Infosys - GCC hub - robotics / my test with the BYD bus DENZA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9JT41uonRI4 NIPTECH EXPLORE présente "L'art de l'esprit joyeux" avec Alexandre Jollien et Laurent Jouvet https://youtu.be/L7b72tx5VPY?si=qUvmhY3BEWIVW7KA - Merci à David d'être venu de BERN!NewsMise en œuvre de la stratégie numérique de l'administration fédérale - Transformationsplan 2025 https://www.bk.admin.ch/bk/fr/home/digitale-transformation-ikt-lenkung/digitale-bundesverwaltung/umsetzung.html Apple a du mal avec l'IA - Something Is Rotten in the State of Cupertino - Daring Fireball https://daringfireball.net/2025/03/something_is_rotten_in_the_state_of_cupertino Gemini gets AI-generated “podcasts” https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2025/03/gemini-gets-new-coding-and-writing-tools-plus-ai-generated-podcasts/ REAL LIFE test with NIPTECH 2025 document https://g.co/gemini/share/db4bd1619bde Polymarket : le site qui avait « prédit » la victoire de Trump est désormais interdit en France | Les Echos depuis Novembre et depuis peu en Suisse non plus… https://www.lesechos.fr/finance-marches/marches-financiers/polymarket-le-site-qui-avait-predit-la-victoire-de-trump-est-desormais-interdit-en-france-2134917 Inspiration#PODCAST :: Caffè Croissance 009 – Remettre sa PME entre de bonnes mains, avec Raphaël Gindrat (Nuavo) https://www.odiolab.ch/podcast/caffe-croissance-009-remettre-sa-pme-entre-de-bonnes-mains-avec-raphael-gindrat-nuavo/ Tetragramation by Rick Rubin https://www.tetragrammaton.com/podcasts #AUDIOBOOK :: What You're Made For by Coach George Raveling https://www.amazon.com/What-Youre-Made-Powerful-Lessons/dp/0593852974 #NEWSLETTER :: Coach Raveling https://coachgeorgeraveling.com/newsletter/ #BOOK :: From Punk to Monk: A Memoir by Ray Cappo https://www.amazon.com/Punk-Monk-Memoir-Ray-Cappo/dp/1647228689 #QUOTE :: "Humble like a blade of grass. Not looking for respect, but ready to give it, to whomever you meet." from "From Punk to Monk" by Ray Raghunath Hébergé par Acast. Visitez acast.com/privacy pour plus d'informations.

Ep. 157 features Will Martin from LiveDuel, a decentralized blockchain-based betting exchange aiming to simplify sports betting with crypto innovations. This episode was recorded on-site at the NEXT Summit New York in March 2024. Hear him discuss: How a $300 TikTok filter campaign for the 2022 World Cup won Marketing Genius at The Starties The origin of LiveDuel from Will's background in arbitrage, prop trading, and meme stocks Why they're creating a hybrid model between sportsbooks and betting exchanges How liquidity pools and smart contracts enable a smooth betting experience The evolution of their thesis amid the rise of prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi Their go-to-market strategy, and who they see as their ideal target customer Why they are focused on soccer only for the time being Regulatory challenges of launching a crypto-based platform, especially in the U.S. Their experience in Techstars, and current efforts to raise a new round of capital Creative marketing approaches that stood out at The Starties awards   Catch the video version of this episode here.   Learn more

In this episode, I sit down with Hart Lambur, the co-founder of Risk Labs, the team behind UMA and Across Protocol, two projects solving some of the biggest challenges in crypto—cross-chain interoperability and on-chain data verification.Ethereum has scaled, but in the process, it's fragmented into over 50 Layer 2s, creating a messy user experience. Hart and his team are pushing for a cross-chain intent standard (ERC-7683) to make blockchain transactions feel instant and seamless—because let's be real, waiting minutes (or days) to move assets across chains is a joke.We also dive deep into:The “two-second rule” for crypto UX and why speed is kingHow ERC-7683 enables cross-chain swaps without waiting for block confirmationsWhy Ethereum's fragmentation problem could kill adoption if we don't fix itThe future of prediction markets and decentralized oraclesHow Chainlink maintained dominance in the Oracle space—and whether that's changingWhy AI-powered agents will need blockchain-based dispute resolutionIf you're into DeFi, cross-chain tech, and the future of Ethereum, this episode is packed with insights you won't want to miss.Key Takeaways:✅ Ethereum has scaled, but it now feels like 50 separate chains—interoperability must be solved.✅ The two-second UX rule: If a transaction takes longer, users will lose focus and abandon it.✅ ERC-7683 introduces cross-chain intents, allowing instant swaps by having solvers front transactions.✅ Optimistic oracles (used by UMA) enable decentralized dispute resolution, powering prediction markets like PolyMarket.✅ AI agents will need on-chain contract enforcement—blockchain oracles will play a crucial role.Listen & Subscribe:

EPISODE #89: This week, we brought our bingo paddles to watch Trump's address to Congress. Within minutes, everything was out of control. The ladies were dressed in pink, they waved signs, and Al Green was removed. We get into the the decline of decorum, how the Democrat party is completely lost right now, and how culture has completely shifted to the right. Their potential savior may be none other than Gavin Newsom and his new podcast! Compared to left influencers like Hasan Piker who call for the k*lling of senators, maybe Newsom is not all that bad for Democrats? Also, we have a guest this week! Aella joins the show to talk everything s*x, appearing on the “Whatever Podcast”, and where she see's s*x culture in America.  Featuring Mike Solana, Riley Nork, Molly O'Shea, Kartik Sathappan, AellaWe have partnered with Polymarket! Download the Polymarket: Election Forecast app https://apps.apple.com/us/app/polymarket-election-forecast/id6648798962- Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice, For Entertainment Purposes Only.Sign Up For The Pirate Wires Daily! https://get.piratewires.com/pw/dailyhttps://piratewires.co/free_newsletterPirate Wires on X: https://twitter.com/PirateWiresMike on X: https://twitter.com/micsolanaRiley on X: https://x.com/rylzdigitalMolly on X: https://x.com/MollySOSheaKartik on X: https://x.com/sathaxeAella on X: https://x.com/Aella_GirlTIMESTAMPS:0:00 - Welcome Back To The Pod! Coming Up Later - Aella Joins The Show2:00 - Hello To Our Audio Listeners2:40 -  Trump's Congress Speech Was Chaos20:15 - The Democrats Are Lost - What Happeend?29:35 - Thank you AdQuick For Sponsoring The Pod!29:40 - A Tale Of Two Rogans - The Left Searches For It's Savior - Will It Be Hasan Piker? Or Gavin Newsom?45:25 - The Distopian Future Of The Internet - But At Least We Have Wooly Mice!47:00 - Special Guest! Aella  joins the show to talk attractiveness,  appearing on the “Whatever Podcast” and everything s*x culture#podcast #technology #politics #culture

Harry Crane (@harrydcrane) explains how his model forecasted every state correctly in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Timestamps 0:00: Intro 1:37: Intro ends 3:38: Interview with Crane begins 3:39: When Crane began developing model 3:59: Crane's goals 4:43: Assumptions behind the model 5:12: Polls 6:35: Voter registration 6:56: Crane's Sept 1 forecast 9:21: Approval ratings 9:32: Right track/wrong track 10:58: Polling data 11:53: Crosstabs  13:31: Early voting 18:28: Prediction markets 30:17: Political bias 35:49: Focus groups 38:39: Responding to being wrong 39:06: Allan Lichtman 40:19: Nate Silver 40:51: Crane's model's vulnerabilities 42:59: Silver and Lichtman 49:44: Academic models 49:58: Assessing Crane's model 51:04: Follow Crane Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter/X @ssgamblers  Trade on Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. Forecasting Meetup Network. Help us grow the forecasting community to positively influence the future by supporting us with an upvote, comment, or pledge on Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv

Boomer discusses taxes on selling his MVP trophy and the Yankees' beard policy. Jerry's final update includes Bitcoin and Matthew Stafford's potential moves. The Knicks lost, St. John's won, and Rutgers beat USC. The Brewers' first broadcast since Bob Uecker's passing is mentioned. The Moment of the Day features Al and vending machines. Gio is loving the betting website 'Polymarket'.

Gambling is a hobby as old as time and recently there has been a huge focus on sports gambling with new online betting apps. But now you can wager on ‘events', like elections. Predication markets let you bet on future events and try to make a profit. David Tyler, CEO of Outlier Technology Limited, joins us to talk about Polymarket, one of the ways you can make wagers on future events. Find out more at outliertechnology.co.uk and connect with David on LinkedIn.

這一集，Mark 跟 Debbie 要來聊聊 在 2024年底爆紅的預測平台 - Polymarket，以及美國大選如何驅動市場熱潮，透過預測市場未來的潛力，成為新興交易策略，讓人們能夠參與重大社會事件的討論，同時將投資與預測結合，創造出前所未有的互動模式。而節目的後半段，則會聚焦於 Polymarket 所面臨的監管挑戰， 包括市場的合法性、可能的操控風險，以及這類預測市場在未來的發展方向與潛在課題。我們將帶你剖析這場投資與預測交織的革命，對此感興趣的聽眾，趕快按下收聽鍵，千萬不要錯過！本集重點02:10 Polymarket 在2024年底受到大量關注的原因06:17 線上版賽馬會？預測平台的定義與機制10:47 使用加密貨幣對賭！Polymarket 運作方式15:01 運行在 Polygon 區塊鏈上，去中心化造就出Polymarket的成功17:35 預測平台的結果為何讓人們信服21:43 Polymarket 在競爭激烈的預測市場中，脫穎而出的關鍵策略27:30 Polymarket 存在的風險與監管挑戰32:00 Mark看好Polymarket嗎？

Today's crypto landscape is marked by significant milestones and market movements. Ethereum surges past $2,700 amid strong institutional interest and upcoming upgrades. The NFT space sees its largest sale in three years with Sam Spratt's "X.Masquerade" selling for $3M to art collective Kanbas. Meanwhile, OpenSea adjusts its XP rewards system following community feedback, KernelDAO's restaking protocol reaches $2B TVL, and controversy surrounds Meteora following its co-founder's resignation. Major institutional developments include JPMorgan's office return mandate facing employee pushback, while speculation swirls around Fort Knox's gold reserves, prompting Polymarket prediction markets and discussions about Bitcoin as an alternative reserve asset.

Tackling predatory debt advisors. Superintendent of Bankruptcy Elisabeth Lang tells us more about what her office is doing to address this problem. Then, betting on future events. David Tyler, CEO of Outlier Technology Inc., is here to tell us about prediction markets like Polymarket and explain how they work. Plus, the emotional dynamics of filing a consumer proposal. Joshua Harris from Harris & Partners tells us about financial stress. To find out more about the guests check out: Elisabeth Lang: Office of the Superintendent of Bankruptcy | Debt Solutions Portal David Tyler: outliertechnology.co.uk | LinkedIn Joshua Harris: harrispartners.ca | Facebook Bruce Sellery is a personal finance expert and best-selling author. As the founder of Moolala and the CEO of Credit Canada, Bruce is on a mission to help you get a better handle on your money so you can live the life you want. High energy & low B.S., this is Moolala: Money Made Simple. Find Bruce Sellery at Moolala.ca | Twitter | Facebook | LinkedIn

Rule3O3 returns to discuss how Trump will resolve the debate on the right over H-1B visas. Timestamps  0:00: Intro begins 0:59: Modi-Trump meeting 2:00: Intro ends 4:00: Episode begins 5:13: Why the H1-B debate erupted 5:43: Sriram Krishnan 9:39: Laura Loomer 14:05: Right-wing debate 16:28: Indians Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on X @ssgamblers. Bet on the H1-B debate at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market.  Will Trump eliminate H-1B visa in first 100 days? https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-eliminate-h-1b-visa-in-first-100-days?tid=1739471241781 Will Trump increase cap on H-1B visas in first 100 days? https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-increase-cap-on-h-1b-visas-in-first-100-days?tid=1739471369669 Forecasting Meetup Network. Help us grow the forecasting community to positively influence the future by supporting us with an upvote, comment, or pledge on Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv

Welcome to this week's episode of the PEBCAK Podcast!  We've got four amazing stories this week so sit back, relax, and keep being awesome!  Be sure to stick around for our Dad Joke of the Week. (DJOW) Follow us on Instagram @pebcakpodcast   Microsoft Edge adds tech support scam detection https://www.bleepingcomputer.com/news/microsoft/microsoft-tests-edge-scareware-blocker-to-block-tech-support-scams/ https://www.securityweek.com/google-says-nso-pegasus-zero-click-most-technically-sophisticated-exploit-ever-seen/   Patient monitors send data to China https://www.bleepingcomputer.com/news/security/backdoor-found-in-two-healthcare-patient-monitors-linked-to-ip-in-china/   Magic packet compromises Juniper routers https://www.darkreading.com/endpoint-security/black-magic-enterprise-juniper-routers-backdoor  https://thehackernews.com/2025/01/custom-backdoor-exploiting-magic-packet.html  https://arstechnica.com/security/2024/04/what-we-know-about-the-xz-utils-backdoor-that-almost-infected-the-world/  https://www.crn.com/news/networking/2025/doj-sues-to-block-hpe-s-14b-acquisition-of-juniper-networks-deal-5-things-to-know    January challenge results https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/prediction-market-bets-test-limits-c52f556d     Dad Joke of the Week (DJOW)   Please share this podcast with someone you know!  It helps us grow the podcast and we really appreciate it!   Find the hosts on LinkedIn: Chris - https://www.linkedin.com/in/chlouie/ Brian - https://www.linkedin.com/in/briandeitch-sase/ Glenn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/glennmedina/ Victor - https://www.linkedin.com/in/victordeluca/

W dzisiejszym odcinku Jan Jęcz przybliża ideę rynków predykcyjnych. Opowiada o ich historii i współczesnym zastosowaniu, ale też ryzykach jakie niosą dla demokratycznych społeczeństw. Zastanawia się czy polska polityka doświadczy wzrostu popularności portali typu Polymarket oraz czy rynki predykcyjne są w stanie wyprzeć klasyczne sondażownie. Rozmowę prowadzi Michał Piedziuk.

EPISODE #85 : Robert F. Kennedy Jr. took to Capital Hill this week for his hearing before the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor and Pensions on Thursday. There was some hope that he might attract some Democratic support, but he quickly faced a furry of angry Democrat senators. Trump is having one of the most consequential first two weeks in office. Regardless of your views of Trump, the number of executive orders show that he came prepared this time around. DeepSeek AI emerged from China and took out the entire US stock market. Are DeepSeek's claims real? and how will this effect America's AI supremacy? And finally, we are the media now. Will Pirate Wires soon take over the White House press briefing room? Featuring Mike Solana, Riley Nork, Liz Wolf, Zach Weissmueller, Miles Orion We have partnered with Polymarket! Download the Polymarket: Election Forecast app https://apps.apple.com/us/app/polymarket-election-forecast/id6648798962 - Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice, For Entertainment Purposes Only. Sign Up For The Pirate Wires Daily!  https://get.piratewires.com/pw/daily Pirate Wires Twitter: https://twitter.com/PirateWires Mike Twitter: https://twitter.com/micsolana Riley Twitter: https://x.com/rylzdigital Liz Twitter: https://x.com/LizWolfeReason Zach Twitter: https://x.com/TheAbridgedZach Miles Twitter: https://x.com/milesorionn TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Welcome Back To The Pod! 1:30 - RFK Jr. Goes To Washington For Senate Hearing 27:40 - Trump's Crazy First 2 Weeks In Office  49:30 - DeepSeek Causes Panic For US AI 59:20 - Will DeepSeek Get Banned In The US? - SPONSORED BY POLYMARKET 1:11:55 - We Are The Media Now - Trump WH Opens Up The Press Room For New Media & Podcasts - Will Pirate Wires Be There?! 1:25:25 - Thanks For Watching! Like & Subscribe! #podcast #politics #trump #technology #culture

Update on overnight plane crash in Washington, D.C. Democrats hate Robert Kennedy Jr. and go after him as the HHS nominee. "DO YOU SUPPORT THESE ONESIES???" Betting odds for Trump confirmations are very positive! Jake Tapper effectively gets castrated live on the air. Democrat talking heads are being very stereotypical when discussing illegal aliens in the U.S. Trump signs his first piece of legislation as the Laken Riley Act is made law. Is the air traffic controller to blame in D.C.? Former Kenyan president tells leaders to stop whining about losing money from Donald Trump. Stranded astronauts coming home soon? Senator Bob Menendez apparently wants a pardon from Donald Trump. Irving, Texas, school official tries to help boys play in girls sports. 00:00 Pat Gray UNLEASHED 00:16 Mid-Air Collision in Washington, D.C. 03:37 CNN Blames Trump for Mid-Air Collision 08:41 Trump's Statement on Mid-Air Collision 11:33 RFK Jr. Hearing Starts 14:06 RFK Jr. talks Chronic Disease in America 20:45 RFK Jr.'s Submission to Trump Challenged  22:43 Who is RFK Jr. Going to Fire? 24:33 Is America Overmedicated? 28:05 RFK Jr. vs. Elizabeth Warren 30:25 Pat's Bathroom Incident 36:51 Sen. Bernie Sanders Questions RFK Jr. 43:09 Summary of the RFK Jr. Hearing 43:36 Polymarket's Predictions 50:47 Cutting the Federal Workers 52:47 Stephen Miller Explains Agriculture in America 57:00 Racist Democrat Strategist 1:01:19 Border Czar Tom Homan Lays Down the Law 1:07:24 Laken Riley's Mom Speaks 1:12:10 Recapping the Mid-Air Collision in D.C. 1:15:36 Former Kenya President talks Trump 1:20:21 Joy Behar Attacks Karoline Leavitt 1:25:52 Elon Musk to Bring Lost Astronauts Back 1:28:43 Bob Menendez Begs for Pardons 1:32:08 Boys in Girls Sports in Texas Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

RFK Jr. Obliterates Dems | Deadly Mid Air Collision Over Potomac Has Nation Reeling | 01.30.25 Live show Monday-Thursday at 3pm est. SOCIALS: https://linktr.ee/drewberquist  NEWS: https://RVMNews.com  MERCH: https://RedBeachNation.com #DrewBerquist #ThisIsMyShow Show Notes/Links: Military helicopter and American Airlines passenger jet collide over Potomac https://x.com/Breaking911/status/1884814676581589054 Collision caught on camera at Reagan airport https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/1884831497472856186 Air traffic control collision alert and flight paths https://x.com/rawsalerts/status/1884827088437264387 DC Fire Chief announces that there are no survivors in American Airlines/Blackhawk helicopter crash https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1884952635737797034?s=46&t=uaL12_jzouHgBP9nzey-rg Today's Confirmation Hearings Discussion Tulsi Gabbard and Kash Patel on the hill today RFK Jr. Discussion RFK Jr. talks about the chronic health issue in America and how it has changed https://x.com/RubinReport/status/1884652972287639929 Elizabeth Warren wants RFK Jr. to promise not to sue drug companies, he shuts her up https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1884653619804360876 Bernie Sanders wants RFK Jr. to denounce onesies with anti-vax messages https://x.com/TimRunsHisMouth/status/1884674460390666513 Polymarkets had odds rising to 75% that RFK J.r. gets confirmed https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1884629606310858990 Immigration Discussion Noem and Homan answer questions on Gitmo announcements https://x.com/Breaking911/status/1884730828577489077 Kristi Noem announces that USG is cancelling all funds to NGOs helping illegal immigrants https://x.com/nicksortor/status/1884722049811132633 Trump handles question on govt funding after signing Laken Riley act with class https://x.com/Breaking911/status/1884706300191289686 Sports Discussion What will Texas' record be next year game https://x.com/CFBRep/status/1884698407161188767 UNC converting back to natural grass under Belichick https://x.com/On3sports/status/1884004564426277153 Most recent 3-peats in football, Can KC join? https://x.com/CFBONFOX/status/1884357429024182310 That's Memetastic! Image Credit(s): © Jack Gruber / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Part 1: Dr. Cruse (@predoctit) makes the bear case on Kash Patel's confirmation odds Part 2: Rule3O3 (@Rule3O3) analyzes Vivek Ramaswamy's H1B gaffe Timestamps 0:00: Pratik Chougule (@pjchougule) intro 0:46: Pratik's updated odds on Patel's confirmation 2:03: Hegseth's confirmation 3:01: Pratik introduces Ramaswamy segment 5:41: Intro ends 7:42: Patel segment begins 12:19: Patel scandals 15:52: Dr. Cruse's prediction 16:28: Trump's support of Patel 19:42: Alternatives to Patel 22:29: Why Patel different from Hegseth 23:14: Patel segment ends 23:28: Ramaswamy segment begins 24:50: Whiplash 29:20: Saved By the Bell 30:50: Ramaswamy's critics 39:57: Perceptions of Indian-Americans 43:25: Damage to Ramaswamy Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter/X: @ssgamblers Bet on Kash Patel's confirmation at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. Who will be Trump's FBI Director https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-director-oft-the-fbi?tid=1738200171900 How many Senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as Director of the FBI https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-senators-vote-to-confirm-kash-patel-as-director-of-the-fbi?tid=1738200239466 Which Senators will vote to confirm Kash Patel https://polymarket.com/event/which-senators-will-vote-to-confirm-kash-patel?tid=1738200284701 Which Trump picks will be confirmed? https://polymarket.com/event/which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed/kash-patel-confirmed-as-director-of-the-fbi?tid=1738200304190 Forecasting Meetup Network. Help us grow the forecasting community to positively influence the future by supporting us with an upvote, comment, or pledge on Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv

EP#84: The inauguration mega pod! The “Golden Age” of America begins as Trump was inaugurated as the 47th President of the United States. We get into everything from the executive orders, to the the pardons, the tech ‘oligarchy', optimism in the country, AI, DEI, Elon's hand gesture on stage, Tiktok and more. Featuring Mike Solana, Brandon Gorrell, Riley Nork, Bridget Phetasy, Molly O'Shea We have partnered with Polymarket! Download the Polymarket: Election Forecast app https://apps.apple.com/us/app/polymarket-election-forecast/id6648798962 - Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice, For Entertainment Purposes Only. Sign Up For The Pirate Wires Daily!  https://get.piratewires.com/pw/daily Topics Discussed: https://www.piratewires.com/p/why-trump-brought-tiktok-back-to-life?f=home https://www.piratewires.com/p/what-the-tech-right-sees-in-trump?f=home Pirate Wires Twitter: https://twitter.com/PirateWires Mike Twitter: https://twitter.com/micsolana Brandon Twitter: https://twitter.com/brandongorrell Riley Twitter: https://x.com/rylzdigital Bridget Twitter: https://x.com/BridgetPhetasy Molly Twitter: https://x.com/MollySOShea TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Welcome Back To The Pod! #podcast #politics #trump #technology #culture

Host Christine Lee breaks down the latest news in the crypto industry as Gary Gensler is out as the SEC chair and Polymarket bettors are positive that Trump will pardon Ross Ulbricht.Bitcoin has retreated from an overnight high after Donald Trump did not mention crypto during his inauguration speech. Plus, Gary Gensler is out as the SEC chair and Polymarket bettors are positive that Trump will pardon Ross Ulbricht. "CoinDesk Daily" host Christine Lee breaks down the biggest headlines in the crypto industry.-From our sponsor: In Chinese, belief means trust. For 10 years, Consensus has united those who believe in building a new internet where everyone has value. Join us at Consensus Hong Kong February 18 - 20, 2025 where belief becomes real. Connect with global leaders, innovators, and investors shaping the future of Web3, and experience the power of collaboration at the industry's most influential event. Register now: https://go.coindesk.com/3BeigBq-This episode was hosted by Christine Lee. “CoinDesk Daily” is produced by Christine Lee and edited by Victor Chen.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Rutgers statistician Harry Crane critiques Nate Silver's model. Timestamps 1:49: Intro ends 3:55: Interview begins 4:08: Crane's bio 8:50: Nate Silver 10:42: Critique of Silver's model 12:42: Silver's criticism of prediction markets 23:57: Silver as tout 25:04: Silver's model 27:48: Simulations in Silver's model 30:51: 50-50 election forecasts Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter/X @ssgamblers Bet on elections at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. Attend our forecasting and prediction markets meetup in Washington DC on 23 January 2025. RSVP here: https://partiful.com/e/tgYHaoevQ78X7hpnDUHA

Happy Friday! Sam and Emma speak with Heather Digby Parton, contributing writer at Salon.com and proprietor of the blog Hullabaloo, to round up the week in news. First, Sam and Emma run through updates on the Supreme Court's affirmation of the TikTok ban, Biden and Trump's following denunciations of said ban, Israel's ceasefire sabotage, Trump's cabinet nominees, medicare drug price negotiations, and Mike Johnson's enforcement of the Trump regime, before watching Bernie push Trump treasury pick Bessent on why he doesn't think working people deserve fair wages. Digby then joins, as she, Sam, and Emma dive right into the devastating wildfires continuing to ravage LA, and the right's immediate push to politicize the event for all of their culture war BS, targeting Newsome, Bass, and DEI, before shifting to the greater absurdity of blaming people for failing to deal with an issue (climate change) that you refuse even to acknowledge. Expanding on this latter element, Digby tackles how LA is already being set up for Big Tech disaster capitalists to swoop in, diving deep into the setup of Trump's uber-oligarchy, what Big Tech wants from the relationship, and what makes them distinct from both contemporary and historical oligarch comparisons, wrapping up the show by waxing on the horrors of a Polymarket populist future. And in the Fun Half: Sam and Emma take some highlights from the hearings for Trump's Administrative nominees, including Bessent's abject fear of taxing the wealthy, Russell Vought's attempt to shirk the “has repeatedly fantasized about terrorizing bureaucratic agents” accusations, and Hegseth's utter embarrassment in the face of Elizabeth Warren. They also unpack right-wing reactionaries' attempt to pin California's forest fires on those damn meth-smoking homeless people in urban Los Angeles, plus, your calls and IMs! Follow Digby on Twitter here: https://x.com/digby56 Check out Digby's work at Salon here: https://www.salon.com/writer/heather_digby_parton Check out Hullabaloo here: https://digbysblog.net/ Become a member at JoinTheMajorityReport.com: https://fans.fm/majority/join Follow us on TikTok here!: https://www.tiktok.com/@majorityreportfm Check us out on Twitch here!: https://www.twitch.tv/themajorityreport Find our Rumble stream here!: https://rumble.com/user/majorityreport Check out our alt YouTube channel here!: https://www.youtube.com/majorityreportlive Gift a Majority Report subscription here: https://fans.fm/majority/gift Subscribe to the ESVN YouTube channel here: https://www.youtube.com/esvnshow Subscribe to the AMQuickie newsletter here: https://am-quickie.ghost.io/ Join the Majority Report Discord! https://majoritydiscord.com/ Get all your MR merch at our store: https://shop.majorityreportradio.com/ Get the free Majority Report App!: https://majority.fm/app Go to https://JustCoffee.coop and use coupon code majority to get 10% off your purchase! Check out today's sponsors: Express VPN: Protect your online privacy TODAY by visiting https://ExpressVPN.com/majority. That's https://ExpressVPN.com/majority and you can get an extra four months FREE. Manukora Honey: Now, it's easier than ever to try Manukora Honey. Head to https://Manukora.com/MAJORITY to get $25 off the Starter Kit, which comes with an MGO 850+ Manuka Honey jar, 5 honey travel sticks, a wooden spoon, and a guidebook! That's https://Manukora.com/MAJORITY for $25 off your Starter Kit. Sunset Lake CBD: Sunsetlakecbd is a majority employee owned farm in Vermont, producing 100% pesticide free CBD products. Use code Leftisbest and get 20% off at http://www.sunsetlakecbd.com. Follow the Majority Report crew on Twitter: @SamSeder @EmmaVigeland @MattLech @BradKAlsop Check out Matt's show, Left Reckoning, on Youtube, and subscribe on Patreon! https://www.patreon.com/leftreckoning Check out Matt Binder's YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/mattbinder Subscribe to Brandon's show The Discourse on Patreon! https://www.patreon.com/ExpandTheDiscourse Check out Ava Raiza's music here! https://avaraiza.bandcamp.com/ The Majority Report with Sam Seder - https://majorityreportradio.com/

This week's episode dives into the evolving landscape of crypto as we approach a new administration. We discuss Donald Trump's upcoming presidency and what it could mean for markets, analyze the recent market turmoil despite positive economic indicators, and break down the SEC's case against Elon Musk. We also explore Sony's controversial L2 launch and Tether's move to El Salvador. Finally, some an exciting new privacy tool teams up with Coinbase.  ------

EPISODE #83: Welcome back to the pod! We watched Joe Biden's farewell address to the nation the other night. How will Biden be remembered in history? Solana thinks it won't be thought of too fondly. The LA fires continues, Riley & Brandon give us a report on what's happening in the city. Will this the end of Gavin Newsom Democrats in the state of California? Mark Zuckerberg's decision to change to community notes at Meta has already had a massive effects on accountability in our reporting. Will Elon buy Tiktok? And finally,  we tell you why you must touch grass this weekend! Featuring Mike Solana, Brandon Gorrell, Riley Nork, Andy Jones We have partnered with Polymarket! Download the Polymarket: Election Forecast app https://apps.apple.com/us/app/polymarket-election-forecast/id6648798962 - Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice, For Entertainment Purposes Only. Sign Up For The Pirate Wires Daily!  https://get.piratewires.com/pw/daily Buy some Pirate Wires merch!  https://store.piratewires.com/ Topics Discussed: https://www.piratewires.com/p/wildfire-zuckerberg-california https://www.piratewires.com/p/touching-grass-is-good-for-you-literally?f=home Pirate Wires Twitter: https://twitter.com/PirateWires Mike Twitter: https://twitter.com/micsolana Brandon Twitter: https://twitter.com/brandongorrell Riley Twitter: https://x.com/rylzdigital Matt Twitter: https://x.com/mattmarlinski TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Welcome Back To The Pod! 1:00 - Biden's Farewell Address & Legacy 16:30 - Wildfire - LA Fires Continue to burn  36:40 - Chaos and Accountability - How Mark Zuckerberg Has Changed Everything 50:50 - Bye Bye, Spy App - Will TikTok Be Removed? - Gen Z Finds A New Chinese App 1:07:00 - Will Elon Musk Buy TikTok? - SPONSORED BY POLYMARKET 1:12:00 - Touch Grass! - PW Health Chat - Why You Need To Ground Your Feet To The Earth - Also Red Dye 3 Banned By FDA 1:24:15 - Thanks For Watching! Like & Subscribe!  #podcast #politics #technology #elonmusk #markzuckerberg #culture

Prediction market traders on Polymarket are cautiously optimistic about immediate crypto-related action from President-elect Donald Trump on Inauguration Day. The question of whether Trump will mention cryptocurrency or Bitcoin in his inauguration speech on Monday is sitting at a 31% chance.~This episode is sponsored by iTrust Capital~iTrustCapital | Get $100 Funding Reward + No Monthly Fees when you sign up using our custom link! ➜ https://bit.ly/iTrustPaul00:00 Intro00:13 Sponsor: iTrust Capital00:52 Bitcoin National priority01:21 State-level Bitcoin reserve soon02:31 Markets flying03:23 Fear & Greed03:49 Crypto trading in the U.S. is back05:08 Government BTC holdings06:00 Strive to debut bitcoin ETF bond08:06 $RLUSD now live on Rootnetwork08:33 XRP Ledger Lending Protocol09:17 A.I. tokens coming to Coinbase10:19 Outro#Trump #Crypto #Bitcoin~Trump Inauguration Day Crypto Pump?

A hacker briefly compromised Litecoin's official X account, promoting a fake Solana-based token. Meanwhile, Tether is diving into AI filmmaking as part of a broader tech expansion. Singapore blocked Polymarket under gambling laws, and Animecoin unveiled tokenomics for its anime-focused ecosystem, allocating over 50% of tokens to community initiatives.RESOURCEShttps://cointelegraph.com/news/litecoin-x-account-hacked-promote-fake-tokenhttps://decrypt.co/300583/singapore-blocks-access-to-polymarket-over-gambling-lawhttps://news.bitcoin.com/report-stablecoin-powerhouse-tether-dives-into-ai-filmmaking/https://www.theblock.co/post/334203/arbitrum-azuki-backed-animecoin-unveils-tokenomics?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rsshttps://x.com/sreeramkannan/status/1877854879932424593Secure your Business & Digital Life with Cyber Strategy Institute https://www.thegrowmeco.com/course/https://cyberstrategyinstitute.com/warden/ https://csi-store.samcart.com/products/wardenguard-personal-1device-annual/?coupon=DCN_Wardenhttps://csi-store.samcart.com/products/wardenvault-personal-managed-1device-annual?coupon=DCN_Warden WHERE TO FIND DCNhttps://substack.com/@dcndailycryptonewshttps://twitter.com/DCNDailyCrypto Trader Cobb X: @TraderCobbEMAIL USmatt@dailycryptonews.net——————————————————————***NOT FINANCIAL, LEGAL, OR TAX ADVICE! JUST OPINION! I AM NOT AN EXPERT! I DO NOT GUARANTEE A PARTICULAR OUTCOME I HAVE NO INSIDE KNOWLEDGE! YOU NEED TO DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND MAKE YOUR OWN DECISIONS! THIS IS JUST EDUCATION & ENTERTAINMENT! ©Copyright 2024 Matthew Aaron Podcasts LLCDaily Bitcoin, Ethereum, & Crypto News! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Dr. Cruse (@predoctit) argues that Pete Hegseth, Trump's nominee for Secretary of Defense, is much less likely to get confirmed than the current markets prices indicate. Dr. Cruse and Pratik Chougule also discuss the universe of Republican senators who are willing to vote against Trump nominees. Timestamps 0:00: Pratik introduces episode 0:11: Thune whip count on Hegseth 8:05: Intro ends 10:06: Interview with Cruse begins 10:42: Trump nominees' confirmation prospects 11:24: Democratic Senators 12:11: Rubio 15:44: Most controversial nominees 16:27: Hegseth scandals 31:14: Factors in likelihood of confirmation 33:46: Republican Senators 46:41: Influence of Hegseth markets 46:56: Sexual harrassment allegations Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter @ssgamblers  Trade on Hegseth's nomination at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. https://polymarket.com/event/of-senate-votes-to-confirm-hegseth-as-secretary-of-defense?tid=1736804670342 https://polymarket.com/event/which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed/will-pete-hegseth-be-confirmed-as-secretary-of-defense?tid=1736804692254 https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-defense-secretary/will-pete-hegseth-be-trumps-defense-secretary?tid=1736804733018 Join us for our first DC Forecasting & Prediction Markets meetup of the year! This will be a very casual meetup to meet and socialize with others interested in forecasting, prediction markets, political gambling, sports betting, or anything else relating to predicting the future. Location is TBD but you'll be notified when we've finalized a venue. Last-minute/onsite walk-in RSVPs here on this Partiful event page are welcomed! Who are we? We are prediction market traders on Manifold (and other prediction markets like PredictIt, Kalshi, and Polymarket), forecasters (e.g. on Metaculus and Good Judgment Open), sports bettors (e.g. on FanDuel, DraftKings, and other sportsbooks), consumers of forecasting (or related) content (e.g. Star Spangled Gamblers, Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin, Scott Alexander's Astral Codex Ten), effective altruists, rationalists, and data scientists. Forecast on Manifold how many people will attend this month: https://manifold.markets/dglid/how-many-people-will-attend-a-forec-OzPZILyc5C?play=true Forecast on Manifold how many people will attend meetups this year: https://manifold.markets/dglid/how-many-attendees-will-there-be-at?play=true This meetup is hosted by the Forecasting Meetup Network. Help us grow the forecasting community to positively influence the future by supporting us with an upvote, comment, or pledge on Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv

Dr. Cruse (@predoctit) returns to discuss the strategy behind Trump's nominations and administration appointments. Timestamps 0:08: Pratik introduces segment on Trump appointments 1:18: Call to support SSG 2:16: Golden Modelos 2:58: Intro ends 4:59: Trump segment begins 7:12: Trump's strategy 7:35: 4-D Chess? 25:45: Sarah Palin 33:02: Golden Modelos Worst Trade 39:03: Golden Modelos Best Fight Bet on Trump administration appointments at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. Forecasting Meetup Network. Help us grow the forecasting community to positively influence the future by supporting us with an upvote, comment, or pledge on Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv

EPISODE #82: Anything happen while we were away? Our excitement for the new year fell off a cliff this week as Los Angelas caught on fire. The typical climate change narratives were used by politicians, but this event seems to be a complete failure of California government policies. Are we even sure it was a natural disaster at this point? Trump came in swinging in the new year, suggesting renaming the Panama Canal to the America Canal as well as a rebrand of The Gulf Of America. What is Trump's actual plan here? Mark Zuckerberg continues his based journey by announcing that Meta will no longer use fact checkers. And finally, while you were away, an H1B war was waged on Twitter. We'll catch you up on everything that happened. Happy New Year! (?)  Featuring Mike Solana, Riley Nork, Matt Marlinski, Kartik Sathappan We have partnered with Polymarket! Download the Polymarket: Election Forecast app https://apps.apple.com/us/app/polymarket-election-forecast/id6648798962 - Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice, For Entertainment Purposes Only. Sign Up For The Pirate Wires Daily!  https://get.piratewires.com/pw/daily https://piratewires.co/free_newsletter Pirate Wires Twitter: https://twitter.com/PirateWires Mike Twitter: https://twitter.com/micsolana Riley Twitter: https://x.com/rylzdigital Matt Twitter: https://x.com/mattmarlinski Kartik Twitter: https://x.com/sathaxe TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - Welcome Back To The Pod! 1:30 - LA Fires 35:00 - Trump's Manifest Destiny 46:30 - Odd's That Trump Will Rename The Gulf Of Mexico - SPONSORED BY POLYMARKET 52:35 - Based Zuck Announces The End Of Fact Checking On Meta 1:00:00 - Elon & Vivek Battle Over H1B Immigration  1:26:00 - Thanks For Watching Friends! Like & Subscribe #podcast #technology #politics #culture

Host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down the latest news in the crypto industry as MicroStrategy bags another 1,070 BTC."CoinDesk Daily" host Jennifer Sanasie breaks down the biggest headlines in the crypto industry as Polymarket bettors put their money on Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's resignation. And, MicroStrategy has increased its bitcoin holdings for the ninth consecutive week with the most recent purchase of 1,070 BTC.-This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie. “CoinDesk Daily” is produced by Jennifer Sanasie and edited by Victor Chen.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Story #1: The Polymarket confirmation probabilities for Pete Hegseth, Kash Patel, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., and Tulsi Gabbard are now all over 70 percent. How will the rest of the confirmation process play out? Senator Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) joins the show to discuss. Story #2: Caitlin Clark bends the knee to the woke mob, forgetting that it is 2024 and not 2020. Will explains the race craziness being spread around by the Left. Story #3: Can Pete Hegseth run an organization? Afghan Veteran & Veterans Advocate Mark Lucas joins the show to go on the record about his experiences with Pete Hegseth at Concerned Veterans for America. Tell Will what you thought about this podcast by emailing WillCainShow@fox.com Subscribe to The Will Cain Show on YouTube here: Watch The Will Cain Show! Follow Will on Twitter: @WillCain Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Episode 653: Shaan Puri ( https://x.com/ShaanVP ) talks to Furqan Rydhan ( https://x.com/FurqanR ) about the biggest opportunities in AI right now.  — Show Notes:  (0:00) Intro (4:42) Define the Job-to-be-done (8:20) How to build an AI Agent workflow (11:16) AI Tools break down (27:05) How Polymarket won (31:48) Why VR is a sleeping giant? (44:43) Be a lifelong player in tech (58:52) The unbeatable combination (1:02:27) Adam Foroughi's A+ execution (1:18:35) Betting on -1 to 0 — Links: • Furqan's site - https://furqan.sh/  • Founders, Inc - https://f.inc/  • Applovin - https://www.applovin.com/  • Claude - https://claude.ai/  • OpenAI - https://platform.openai.com/  • Langchain - https://www.langchain.com/  • AutoGen - https://autogenai.com/  • Crew - https://www.crewai.com/  • CloudSDK - https://cloud.google.com/sdk/  • Perplexity - https://www.perplexity.ai/  • “Attention is all you need” - https://typeset.io/papers/attention-is-all-you-need-1hodz0wcqb  • Anthropic - https://www.anthropic.com/  • Third Web - https://thirdweb.com/  • Luna's AI Brain - https://terminal.virtuals.io/  • Oasis - https://oasis.decart.ai/welcome  • Polymarket - https://polymarket.com/  • Gorilla Tag - https://www.gorillatagvr.com/  • Yeeps - https://tinyurl.com/59z2yrdu  — Check Out Shaan's Stuff: Need to hire? You should use the same service Shaan uses to hire developers, designers, & Virtual Assistants → it's called Shepherd (tell ‘em Shaan sent you): https://bit.ly/SupportShepherd — Check Out Sam's Stuff: • Hampton - https://www.joinhampton.com/ • Ideation Bootcamp - https://www.ideationbootcamp.co/ • Copy That - https://copythat.com • Hampton Wealth Survey - https://joinhampton.com/wealth • Sam's List - http://samslist.co/ My First Million is a HubSpot Original Podcast // Brought to you by The HubSpot Podcast Network // Production by Arie Desormeaux // Editing by Ezra Bakker Trupiano

In this episode, Dinesh and Debbie discuss the big issues of the week, including Trump's key appointments, the leadership struggles in the House and Senate, the FBI raid on the CEO of Polymarket, and theirtrip to Charleston that signals a bright new mood in the country.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Developing stories you need to know just in time for your drive home. Get the facts first on Morning Wire. Lumen: Get 15% off your Lumen at https://lumen.me/WireRamp: Now get $250 off when you join Ramp. Go to http://www.ramp.com/WIRE

Election Day, 2024. Louder with Crowder presents: The Election Livestream of the Century: The Rumble on Rumble!Powered by Polymarket!Thank you for joining us in making history. This livestream is positioned not just as an alternative to mainstream media coverage but as a transformative event in how political news is consumed during elections, emphasizing direct, community-involved reporting and real-time interaction.We are simul-streaming with Dan Bongino, Piers Morgan, Russell Brand, Patrick Bet-David, Tim Pool, and other high-profile guests!We will remain live until the election is called, potentially lasting days or weeks.We unveil our cutting-edge, crowdsourced Election Integrity Map, using real-time qualitative data vetted and verified live by in-house journalist-moderators. The Election Integrity Map will display live video and photographic reports submitted by citizen journalists, highlighting election anomalies coast to coast.LIMITED TIME OFFER! Get 47% off new TRUMP WON shirt! Use PROMO CODE: TRUMPWON www.CrowderShop.comANNOUNCING: Mug Club is now Rumble Premium! THIS IS YOUR LAST CHANCE TO GET THE "OG" MUG!Get $10 off with Promo Code: TRUMP47 JOIN NOW!