Podcasts about polymarket

On today's episode Jerry joins PFT, Big T and Arian to discuss a conspiracy theory claiming that the world could lose 7 seconds of gravity. People are saying the reason for this anomaly is because of the intersection of two gravitational waves from black holes, predicted in 2019 with a probability of 94.7%. In addition, the guys get into Jerry's new computer, Venezuela and the Polymarket, college football and NIL deals, NFL coaching searches and much more. Enjoy! (00:01:10) Jerry's New Computer (00:17:35) Polymarket (00:21:40) College Football (00:33:22) Mike Tomlin & NFL Coaches (00:56:35) Donald Trump (01:05:06) Massive Power Outage & Losing Gravity (01:19:40) Ebo NoahYou can find every episode of this show on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or YouTube. Prime Members can listen ad-free on Amazon Music. For more, visit barstool.link/macrodosing

In episode 1986, Jack and Miles are joined by filmmaker, tv writer. host of Glamorous Trash: A Celebrity Memoir Podcast and author of I Shouldn't Be Telling You This: (But I'm Going To Anyway), Chelsea Devantez, to discuss… RFK Jr. Latest Vaccine F**kery “Blindsided” The CDC, Who’s Taking The Over On NUCLEAR APOCALYPSE? Peace to Duffman, Disneyland Line-Cutting Leads To Brutal Fight and more! ‘Astounding’ vaccine change puts US behind peer countries, experts warn US to slash routine vaccine recommendations for children in major change experts say creates doubt HHS announces unprecedented overhaul of US childhood vaccine schedule The Obvious Reason the U.S. Should Not Vaccinate Like Denmark How the Danish Vaccination Registry became a cornerstone of Denmark’s immunisation service Assessment of the U.S. Childhood and Adolescent Immunization Schedule Compared to Other Countries Why RFK Jr.’s plan to follow Europe on vaccines is getting panned CDC staff ‘blindsided’ as child vaccine schedule unilaterally overhauled The perils of RFK Junior's anti-vaccine leadership for public health The casino-fication of news ‘Goodness Gracious!’: CNN Data Guru Reveals Trump Takeover Odds Father brutally beaten in fight over line-cutting at Disneyland Disneyland addresses increasing hostility, fighting at theme parks LISTEN: ROCKMAN (THREESIXTY Edit) by Mk.geeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

‘The Traitors' is back tonight on Peacock along with a new mystery show called ‘His & Hers' on Netflix. Plus, the upcoming SNL lineups. Ashley Tisdale left her “toxic mom group” - the internet is discussing. Does lip syncing have the same stigma as it used to? Do kids today come out of the womb knowing how to type? Gambling platform Polymarket will not be paying bets on the invasion of Venezuela. This shows a major flaw in the ability to bet on anything. Here's stuff that was socially acceptable in the 90s and definitely isn't anymore.

Hour 1: The next Bob's Movie Club assignment is here. You have one week to watch ‘The Social Network' to join the discussion next Thursday. Mickey Rourke is being problematic and possibly asking for money? Bad Advice is back tomorrow @ 7am. Email us: BadAdvice973@gmail.com. Here's your two minute update on College Football. TLDR: It's chaos because the players are now getting paid. Vinnie has an update on the Northern Californian mom who was throwing parties for her son and his friends. Someone asked Chat GPT what they would do if it were alive for a day. Hour 2: ‘The Traitors' is back tonight on Peacock along with a new mystery show called ‘His & Hers' on Netflix. Plus, the upcoming SNL lineups. Ashley Tisdale left her “toxic mom group” - the internet is discussing. Does lip syncing have the same stigma as it used to? Do kids today come out of the womb knowing how to type? Gambling platform Polymarket will not be paying bets on the invasion of Venezuela. This shows a major flaw in the ability to bet on anything. Here's stuff that was socially acceptable in the 90s and definitely isn't anymore. (53:25) Hour 3: Ben Affleck, Matt Damon, Alexander Skarsgård - let's discuss! Matt Damon got down to his high school weight for The Odyssey. Plus, the Olympics are coming! Why do Americans love curling so much? The best hot sauce debate. Girl Scout cookie season is back! Support your local young women in business. Which is scarier: Feeling older or looking older? (1:39:01) Hour 4: New Bruno Mars music is coming! The Palisades wildfires were exactly 1 year ago, and now Spencer Pratt is running for mayor. What should we really be doing to stay healthy as we age? Plus, a lot of nonsense, giggles, and a totally fair game. (2:19:59)

We dive into the chaos at the office (sinkholes included), Boomer's new Oura Ring and a song about prescription side-effects. We revisit an infamous NFL firing and Joe Judge's odd comment about Ole Miss & living next to Aaron Hernandez. Plus, we explore the wild "EMF" injury theory in San Francisco and the latest on the Giants' pursuit of John Harbaugh—including whether a certain Polymarket personality is actually an AI.

Crypto News: The banking lobby continues to fight against stablecoin yield and there is big movement in DC around the crypto market structure bill. Trump-backed World Liberty Financial seeks US bank charter to bring USD1 stablecoin fully onshore. Wyoming issues first state-backed stablecoin on Solana.Brought to you by

Meghan is out on maternity leave after welcoming baby Ransom, so Miranda is in the driver's seat with Daily Mail White House reporter Nikki Schwab and lawyer-comedian Seena Ghaznavi. They break down the stunning U.S. arrest of Venezuela's sitting president Nicolás Maduro, what the legal and geopolitical fallout could look like, and why the story is raising serious Iraq-era warning signs. The panel digs into the wild Polymarket angle, where massive anonymous bets were placed just before the raid, and what “insider trading for war” could mean if anyone actually enforces it. Plus, Nikki shares Mar-a-Lago New Year's Eve details and why the political optics around Marco Rubio and J.D. Vance are suddenly shifting. The group also reacts to Marjorie Taylor Greene's appearance on ‘The View' and her unfulfilled Epstein-files promises. Finally, they discuss Finland's media literacy model and why AI misinformation may become the defining parenting challenge of the next decade. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this edition of Trend Roof Rusted, Jack and Miles discuss the finale of Stranger Things (or is it?), PolyMarket vs. Venezuela, Google's AI Overview STILL being inaccurate, Hampton Inn cancelling ICE?, anti-Venezuelan invasion protesters getting arrested and much more!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Health-care subsidies that millions of Americans depend on for insurance have officially expired. The Washington Post’s Peter Whoriskey joins to discuss how some families are dealing with the sudden rise in costs. A person on the crypto-betting site Polymarket won $400,000 wagering that Nicolás Maduro would soon be out as Venezuela’s leader. Alexander Osipovich of The Wall Street Journal explains why the timing of the bets might be suspicious. Doctors are seeing a surge of patients with serious flu-like symptoms. NBC News’s Erika Edwards breaks down why flu season is so bad this year. Plus, the White House left the door open to military force in Greenland, Trump announced a deal on Venezuelan oil, and more details emerged about the people killed during the operation to capture Maduro. Today’s episode was hosted by Shumita Basu.

xAI has raised another monster round. Polymarket has yet another controversy around whether a bet should pay out or not. Could the AI datacenter buildout actually disrupt politics in local America? And a sort of roundup of what's been at CES so far. Elon Musk's xAI Raises $20 Billion (NYTimes) Polymarket refuses to pay bets that US would ‘invade' Venezuela (FT) Americans Hate AI. Which Party Will Benefit? (Politico) The data center rebellion is here, and it's reshaping the political landscape (Washington Post) Three Reasons We Can't Get Enough of LinkedIn (WSJ) What surprised us the most at CES 2026 (The Verge) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Venezuelan investigative journalist Roberto Deniz discusses concerns that forces loyal to the new regime in Venezuela are cracking down against critics of the U.S. ouster of President Nicolás Maduro. Then, Secretary of State Marco Rubio told lawmakers that President Trump wants to buy Greenland, not invade it, according to the New York Times. Security analyst Jim Walsh looks at the administration's goals. And, while Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's ouster came as a surprise to most, a better on the Polymarket cryptocurrency platform made $400,000 in profits in a series of wagers, the last coming just hours before the U.S. operation began. The bets are raising red flags among market watchers who say the winner likely relied on insider information. NPR's Bobby Allyn explains.Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

Tuesday - Jim asks when did nudity lead to arousal? Jim also asks if he should whiten his real teeth to match his falsies. Do you have nicknames for your friends? Should you be able to gamble and win on Polymarket anonymously? It's Only Money with Bracher Brown with Edgewater Family Wealth on how blanket advice could be costly. Plus, JCS News, the Froggers Football Follow-up, JCS Trivia & You Heard it Here First. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Tuesday - Jim asks when did nudity lead to arousal? Jim also asks if he should whiten his real teeth to match his falsies. Do you have nicknames for your friends? Should you be able to gamble and win on Polymarket anonymously? It's Only Money with Bracher Brown with Edgewater Family Wealth on how blanket advice could be costly. Plus, JCS News, the Froggers Football Follow-up, JCS Trivia & You Heard it Here First.

Prediction markets turn global politics into profit as traders cash in on Nicolás Maduro's capture, the federal government faces constitutional backlash for labeling ICE observers “domestic terrorists,” and Black women survivalists prepare for another Trump era by building systems of self-reliance where the state has failed. NewsThe Government Unconstitutionally Labels ICE Observers as Domestic TerroristsMaduro's capture gives Polymarket, prediction market traders huge profitsBlack Women Survivalists and Preppers Are Ready for Trump Era Follow @PodSaveThePeople on Instagram. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Today's Headlines: Trump's Venezuela operation keeps getting weirder. Nicolás Maduro and his wife pled not guilty in Manhattan court and Maduro insists he's “still president” — despite currently living at the detention center. Trump walked back his claim that Marco Rubio would “run Venezuela,” and is now elevating Stephen Miller to help oversee things with interim leader Delcy Rodriguez — while warning he'll launch more strikes if she doesn't cooperate. Meanwhile, Trump allies say opposition leader María Corina Machado blew her shot at power by… not giving Trump her Nobel Prize. To make things…more chaotic, Trump has started floating similar threats toward Cuba, Mexico, Colombia — and Greenland — prompting Greenland's prime minister to remind him that their country is “not an object of superpower rhetoric.” Congress only got briefed on the Venezuela strikes after the fact, because Trump says lawmakers “leak,” though somehow oil companies heard before and after. Also suspicious: someone made $400k on Polymarket betting Maduro would be deposed in January. Abroad, protests in Iran continue, and a British intel report says Ayatollah Khamenei has a “Plan B” escape route to Moscow if things collapse. In other news, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth censured Sen. Mark Kelly in the first step toward possible rank demotion — all because Kelly appeared in a video noting it's legal to refuse illegal military orders. The administration also slashed the number of recommended childhood vaccines from 17 to 11 — a move that could reshape insurance coverage and access next year and Arizona's Supreme Court building was evacuated after a suspicious package containing homemade explosive material was found. Lastly, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz announced he won't seek a third term following months of harassment fueled by Trump and right-wing trolls resurfacing an old Somali daycare fraud case. Resources/Articles mentioned in this episode: NBC News: Live updates: Maduro arrives at New York courthouse for first court appearance since capture in Venezuela The New Republic: Trump Wants Stephen Miller to Have a Terrifying New Role in Venezuela WaPo: U.S. plan to ‘run' Venezuela clouded in confusion and uncertainty Newsweek: Cuba's ‘Days Are Numbered'—Lindsey Graham Yahoo: Greenland's Prime Minister Just Delivered A Brutal Reality Check To Donald Trump The Independent: Gunfire heard near Venezuelan presidential palace The Times: Ayatollah Khamenei plans to flee to Moscow if Iran unrest intensifies AP News: Hegseth censures Sen. Kelly after Democrats' video urging troops to resist unlawful orders PBS: Trump administration cuts number of vaccines it recommends for every child The Guardian: Arizona supreme court evacuated after package tests positive for explosives AP News: Walz, Democrats' 2024 VP pick, drops bid for third term as Minnesota governor; Klobuchar considers Morning Announcements is produced by Sami Sage and edited by Grace Hernandez-Johnson Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today's blockchain and crypto news Bitcoin is up slightly at $93,829   Ethereum is up slightly at $3,237 And XRP is down slightly $2.37 Eth staking flips to risk on PeckShield says attacker of Gnosis Safe has moved nearly $20M to Tornado Cash. Polymarket starts taker-only fee on 15-minute crypto NFT Paris cancels event. ###Gemini Card Disclosure: The Gemini Credit Card is issued by WebBank. In order to qualify for the $200 crypto intro onus, you must spend $3,000 in your first 90 days. Terms Apply. Some exclusions apply to instant rewards in which rewards are deposited when the transaction posts. This content is not investment advice and trading crypto involves risk. For more details on rates, fees, and other cost information, see Rates & Fees. The Gemini Credit Card may not be used to make gambling-related purchases.  ### For 40% off your order, head to Udacity.com/DCR and use code DCR. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

This Week In Startups is made possible by:Crusoe Cloud - https://crusoe.ai/buildUber - http://uber.com/twistEvery.io - http://every.io/Today's show: Jason and Alex are BACK on TWiST for 2026! This holiday season was anything but calm, with deca-corn acquisitions, massive Polymarket bets, and major new startups breaking from stealth!Jason talks the recent Nvidia-Groq $20B acquisition, a major exit for Chamath as the lead investor back in 2017! Jason delves into how the VC fund math shapes out for pre-seed VC funds vs. Series A VC funds.Jason and Alex delve into drama swirling META's AI team. Yann LeCun, META's former Chief AI Scientist, announced that he would be leaving META to become Executive Chairman at AMI Labs. LeCun left the META team in the new year, calling the new Chief AI Scientist, Alexandr Wang, inexperienced. LeCun now looks to move AI beyond the era of LLM at AMI Labs.PLUS Jason and Alex talk about the new social media app Tangle, from Biz Stone, co-founder of Twitter, and Evan Sharp, co-founder of Pinterest. Their Startup, West Co, launched tangle, which seeks to become an “intentional living” app. The two look to improve how humans interact with modern tech. Jason points out that very few news products have worked, but is eager to see how two industry veterans build in the space. Timestamps:(00:00) Why Restaurants are OVER — Peptides and other self medications(06:41) Nvidia Acqui-Hires Groq for $20 BILLION(9:48) Crusoe Cloud: Crusoe is the AI factory company. Reliable infrastructure and expert support. Visit https://crusoe.ai/build to reserve your capacity for the latest GPUs today.(11:00) The VC fund math between seed vs. Series A funds(15:00) META buys TWiST 500 Company, Manus! Why it matters.(20:20) Uber AI Solutions: Your trusted partner to get AI to work in the real world. Book a demo with them TODAY at http://uber.com/twist(21:24) Why Yann LeCun left META, and what could be behind it(25:27) Producer Claude on the Gondola Crash in Zurich(29:13) Jason's Request for Augmented human intelligence(30:11) Every.io - For all of your incorporation, banking, payroll, benefits, accounting, taxes or other back-office administration needs, visit http://every.io/(32:04) How one Trader made $436.8k on one bet on polymarket!(36:05) Jason's Predictions for 2026 IPOs(40:01) Is news broken? How Tangle is tackling it.(45:53) How much should startup incur in legal expenses? Should founders try to use AI to avoid costs?(50:59) Why Google should let NotebookLM cook, make it a standalone brand! *Subscribe to the TWiST500 newsletter: https://ticker.thisweekinstartups.com/Check out the TWIST500: https://twist500.comSubscribe to This Week in Startups on Apple: https://rb.gy/v19fcp*Follow Lon:X: https://x.com/lons*Follow Alex:X: https://x.com/alexLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexwilhelm/*Follow Jason:X: https://twitter.com/JasonLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasoncalacanis/*Thank you to our partners:(9:48) Crusoe Cloud: Crusoe is the AI factory company. Reliable infrastructure and expert support. Visit https://crusoe.ai/build to reserve your capacity for the latest GPUs today.(20:20) Uber AI Solutions: Your trusted partner to get AI to work in the real world. Book a demo with them TODAY at http://uber.com/twist(30:11) Every.io - For all of your incorporation, banking, payroll, benefits, accounting, taxes or other back-office administration needs, visit http://every.io/

Cracker Barrel, travel agents, and Stranger Things. Canadian performer Ashley MacIsaac's show was cancelled after he was wrongly accused of being a sex offender by AI. When did JLR get so into politics? Burning your Christmas tree. A saran wrap ball and Krystle wants to live with Skinny. Flyer in Glasgow promotes an event for a person to get kicked in the balls one last time. Snitzer was down for a full day after someone threw a basketball at him. Will the Browns hire Deion Sanders as head coach? Maduro is being held in a NYC jail. Charlie believes Venezuela is just a distraction from other issues. Group 764. A caller is upset with Charlie. A bet on Polymarket, that Maduro would be captured, won a new user $450k. Rover got hooked on Hallmark Christmas movies while in Svalbard. Duji begged to be in a Hallmark movie being filmed in Cleveland. Does Snitz have a food truck update?

A caller is upset with Charlie. A bet on Polymarket, that Maduro would be captured, won a new user $450k. Rover got hooked on Hallmark Christmas movies while in Svalbard. Duji begged to be in a Hallmark movie being filmed in Cleveland. Does Snitz have a food truck update?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Cracker Barrel, travel agents, and Stranger Things. Canadian performer Ashley MacIsaac's show was cancelled after he was wrongly accused of being a sex offender by AI. When did JLR get so into politics? Burning your Christmas tree. A saran wrap ball and Krystle wants to live with Skinny. Flyer in Glasgow promotes an event for a person to get kicked in the balls one last time. Snitzer was down for a full day after someone threw a basketball at him. Will the Browns hire Deion Sanders as head coach? Maduro is being held in a NYC jail. Charlie believes Venezuela is just a distraction from other issues. Group 764. A caller is upset with Charlie. A bet on Polymarket, that Maduro would be captured, won a new user $450k. Rover got hooked on Hallmark Christmas movies while in Svalbard. Duji begged to be in a Hallmark movie being filmed in Cleveland. Does Snitz have a food truck update?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

A caller is upset with Charlie. A bet on Polymarket, that Maduro would be captured, won a new user $450k. Rover got hooked on Hallmark Christmas movies while in Svalbard. Duji begged to be in a Hallmark movie being filmed in Cleveland. Does Snitz have a food truck update?

This week we talk about prediction markets, incentives, and gambling addiction.We also discuss insider trading, spot-fixing, and Gatorade.Recommended Book: The Kingdom, the Power, and the Glory by Tim AlbertaTranscriptPrediction markets are hundreds of years old, and have historically been used to determine the likelihood of something happening.In 1503, for instance, there was a market to determine who would become the next pope, and from the earliest days of commercial markets, there were associated prediction markets that were used to gauge how folks thought a given business would do during an upcoming economic quarter.The theory here is that while you can just ask people how well they think a political candidate will fare in an election or who they think will become the next pope, often their guesses, their assumptions, or their analysis will be swayed by things like political affiliation or maybe even what they think they're meant to say—the popular papal candidate, for instance, or the non-obvious, asymmetric position on a big commercial enterprise that might help an analyst reinforce their brand as a contrarian.If you introduce money into the equation, though, forcing people to put down real currency on their suspicions and predictions, and give them the chance to earn money if they get things right, that will sometimes nudge these markets away from those other incentives, making the markets commercial enterprises of their own. It can shift the bias away from posturing and toward monetization, and that in turn, in theory at least, should make prediction markets more accurate because people will try to align themselves with the actual, real-deal outcome, rather than the popular—with their social tribe, at least—or compellingly unpopular view.This is the theory that underpins entities like Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold Markets, and many other online prediction markets that have arisen over the past handful of years as regulations on these types of businesses have been eased, and as they've begun to establish themselves as credible players in the predicting-everything space.In politics in particular, these markets have semi-regularly shown themselves to be better gauges of who will actually win elections than conventional polls and surveys, and though their records are far from perfect and still heavily biased in some cases, such community-driven predictions from money-motivated markets are gaining credibility because of their capacity to incentivize people to put their money where their mouths are, and to try to profit from accurate preordination.The flip-side of these markets, and some might even say a built-in flaw with no obvious solution, is that they are rife with insider trading: people who are in the position to know things ahead of time making in some cases millions of dollars by placing big bets that, for them, aren't bets at all, because they know what will or what is likely to happen.This seems to have occurred at least a few times with big political events in 2025, and it's anticipated that it could become an even bigger issue in the future, especially for markets that use cryptocurrencies to manage payments, as those are even less likely than their fiat currency peers to keeps solid tabs on who's actually behind these bets, and thus who might be trading on knowledge that they're not supposed to be trading on.That said, it could be argued that such insider trading makes these markets even more accurate, eventually at least. And that points us toward another problem: the possibility that someone on the inside might look at a market and realize they can make a killing if they use their position, their power to sway these markets after placing a bet, giving them the ability to assure a payout by abusing their position—major events being influenced by the possibility of a community-funded payday for those in control.What I'd like to talk about today is the same general principle as it's playing out in the sports world, and why the huge sums of money that are now sloshing around in the sports betting industry in the US are beginning to worry basically everyone, except the sports betting companies themselves.—In October of 2025, the head coach of the NBA basketball team, the Portland Trail Blazers, Chauncey Billups, Miami Heat player Terry Rozier, and former NBA player Damon Jones, and about 30 other people were arrested by the FBI due to their alleged illegal sports gambling activities. Rozier was already under investigation following unusual betting activity that was linked to his performance in a 2023 game—he was later cleared of wrongdoing, but the implication then and in this more recent instance is that he and those other folks who were rounded up by the FBI may have been involved in rigging things so they could get a big payoff on gambling markets.Similar things have been happening across the sports world, including a lifetime ban for Jontay Porter, a former Toronto Raptors player, who apparently gave confidential information to people who were placing bets on NBA games—he later pleaded guilty to conspiracy to commit wire fraud as a result of that investigation—and in November of 2025 two Major League Baseball players, both of them pitchers for the Cleveland Guardians, Emmanuel Clase and Luis Ortiz, were charged by federal prosecutors for allegedly rigging pitches to benefit people betting on those pitches; they've been charged with wire fraud and money laundering, and each could face up to 65 years in prison.And those are just a few of the many instances of game-rigging that have been alleged in recent years, the specifics of which vary, but the outcome is always to give someone an advantage in these markets, which are only recently broadly legal across the United States, and which thus allow folks with the right connections or some money to invest ahead of time to, for instance, pay a pitcher to throw an inning, or pay a coach to tell them who will be benched and when, so that they can make a big wager with less of a risk, or in some cases, no risk at all.One of the big issues here is that rather than simply being a which-team-will-win sort of thing, many of these bets are highly specific and granular, including what are called proposition or prop bets that allow folks to gamble on the number of strikeouts a pitcher will tally in a given inning and other very specific things.If a pitcher were to then place a bet, perhaps through an intermediary, on their own prop bet-related performance, they would stand a decent chance of tallying the right number of strikes and balls. They could also sell that information to someone else, taking a guaranteed payout in exchange for the foreknowledge they grant that gambler, who could then do what they want with the information, and then if they do well with it, they could pay that pitcher to do the same again in the future.This type of bet is called spot-fixing, and it's seen across prediction markets, not just sports markets. Pitchers can fix an inning of a game, but poker players can also go all-in or fold a given number of times in a tournament, and the folks in charge of dumping Gatorade over the winning coach following a Super Bowl event can leak that color, based on their foreknowledge of the setup, to gamblers—these markets are sprawling and varied, and anyone in any position of power who can make decisions about such things, or who's involved enough to leak information can do so at a profit, either themselves putting down money on spot-fixed prop bets, or selling that information to those who will themselves place a bet.The issue sports organizations in the US are now running into is that while they aligned themselves with sports gambling entities like DraftKings and FanDuel after these platforms were legalized in more states following the striking-down of a federal ban on such things in 2018—as I record this, they're currently legal in 31 states, alongside Washington DC and Puerto Rico—and they've profited a fair bit from that, allowing these businesses to become sponsors, to slap their logos on everything, and to generally become interwoven with the leagues themselves; despite all that, they've also created a sports culture in which betting is ultra-common, and that means fans are no longer just fans, they're putting down money on various possible sports-related outcomes.That means folks who were maybe previously die-hard fans of their local team may no longer just be disappointed when their team loses, they'll be financially impacted, perhaps even devastated. And many athletes who play on these teams, in these leagues, are now suffering all kinds of abuse and threats from people who decided to put a lot of money on their performance, but who failed to win a game, or maybe even throw the exact right number of strikes and balls in a given inning.This points at two big issues with sports betting in the US right now.First is that there's a lot of money splashing around in this space. An estimated $160-170 billion was wagered by US citizens in 2025 alone, generating about $16.4 billion in revenue for sportsbooks—the entities that take these sorts of bets.That's likely a significant undercount, too, as more generalist prediction markets are also getting involved in the sports betting game, blending this type of gambling with other sorts of prediction markets, like those related to politics and international happenings, like war.And second, a lot of people are gambling a lot of money on sports stuff right now, and that's becoming an issue. In October of 2025, a Pew Research poll found that 43% of US adults think legalized sports betting is bad for society, up from 34% in 2022, and 40% says it's bad for sports, up from 33%. A whopping 22% of US adults say they personally bet money on sports in the past year, up from 19% in 2022, and 10%, one in ten American adults, say they have placed a sports bet online in the past year, up from 6% in 2022.There has been a significant increase in calls to the National Problem Gambling Helpline in recent years—a 45% increase from 2017 in states where sports betting hasn't been legalized, and a 148% increase, more than three times as much, in states where sports betting was legalized by August of 2025. Not for nothing, too, it's estimated that professional athletes are about five-times more likely than the average person to become hooked on gambling, which would seem to amplify all these issues, in addition to the obvious problems this can create for people with often high-paying, but also often financially precarious, short-term careers.The implication, then, is that legal sports betting either sparks or reinforces gambling issues, creating more addictive behavior and triggering more financial issues. And bankruptcy numbers seem to back this up: in states where online gambling is allowed, bankruptcy rates increased by 28% and debt collections rose by 8% just two years after sports betting legalization. Data also shows that there's a 20% increase in mass-market alcohol consumption in states with legalized sports betting, and that for every dollar spent on sports betting, 99 cents of investment money disappears from records, which means, basically, people are not using spare money they would spend on random stuff anyway when placing these bets, they're spending money that would otherwise be put into savings, or which is already in their savings on this type of gambling—and much of that money then disappears into the pockets of these gambling platforms.This same general state of affairs has played out in other countries before the US, but things seem to be moving especially fast here in part because this isn't gambling that's limited to a physical location, it's increasingly being conducted on smartphones and other always-on-us devices, and that means it's easier to get hooked, but also that it's more accessible to more people more of the time, and the ever-present deluge of information about these topics, and about these platforms that allow us to casually place bets on said topics, make getting sucked in and sold on the idea of easy money, simpler and more likely than ever before.Show Noteshttps://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2025/10/23/nba-chauncey-billups-terry-rozier-arrested-betting-probe/https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2025/11/09/emmanuel-clase-luis-ortiz-indicted-bribes/https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2025/12/29/sports-betting-integrity-fans/https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2025/10/29/player-prop-bets-nba-arrests/https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2025/06/14/sports-betting-athlete-abuse-online/https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_bookmakershttps://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-bettinghttps://nypost.com/betting/best-sports-betting-apps-usa/https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambling_in_the_United_Stateshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sports_bettinghttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sportsbookhttps://www.delasport.com/history-of-sports-betting/https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7780080/https://www.espn.com/sports-betting/story/_/id/23561576/chalk-line-how-got-legalized-sports-bettinghttps://www.cnn.com/2024/05/03/sport/sports-betting-usa-impact-on-lives-spt-intlhttps://naadgs.org/history-of-sports-betting-the-transition-from-illegal-to-mainstream/https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_match-fixing_incidentshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_gambling_in_the_United_Stateshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Professional_and_Amateur_Sports_Protection_Act_of_1992https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambling_in_the_United_Kingdomhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_markethttps://users.wfu.edu/strumpks/papers/Int_Election_Betting_Formatted_FINAL_NoComments.pdfhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proposition_bethttps://www.axios.com/2025/12/14/sports-betting-gambling-young-men-crisishttps://www.espn.com/espn/betting/story/_/id/47337056/scandals-prediction-markets-2025-turning-point-sports-bettinghttps://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2025/10/02/americans-increasingly-see-legal-sports-betting-as-a-bad-thing-for-society-and-sports/ This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit letsknowthings.substack.com/subscribe

Topics discussed on today's show: Heidi's Vacation, Take Down The Tree, Gay Hockey, Vaccine Recommendations, Inappropriate Laughter, Heidi's New Years Resolution, GLP1's, Super Bowl Ranking, Stranger Things, Waymo, Polymarket, Betting on HF, Smart Legos, Gut Microbiome, Word Sandwich, Turning 50 Tunes, KNAC 40th Anniversary, and Apologies.

Would you get off the plane if the pilot came on the intercom and said, "I'm not feelin it today"? If you're looking to buy Bronco playoff tickets, be on the lookout for scams! Do you have any New Year's resolutions? Which one of us do you think can stick to our resolutions? The waitlist for Polymarket is INSANE!

durée : 00:03:19 - Un monde connecté - par : François Saltiel - Sur la sulfureuse plateforme Polymarket, les paris s'accumulent sur l'avenir du monde avec une bonne dose de sensationnalisme et de cynisme. Dernier en date, l'intervention américaine au Venezuela, misé par un individu particulièrement chanceux... ou bien informé.

Welcome to 2026, what we all did during the break, the late night Maduro mission, Amy Kaufeldt's New Year's resolutions, a hammer attack against JD Vance, Stranger Things last season drama, RIP MTV forever, an insane way to make a million dollars, insider trading on Polymarket and so much more!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Welcome to 2026, what we all did during the break, the late night Maduro mission, Amy Kaufeldt's New Year's resolutions, a hammer attack against JD Vance, Stranger Things last season drama, RIP MTV forever, an insane way to make a million dollars, insider trading on Polymarket and so much more!

In der heutigen Folge sprechen die Finanzjournalisten Lea Oetjen und Holger Zschäpitz über weitere Hiobsbotschaften für Tesla, gewinnende Chip-Aktien und eine verdächtige Wette bei Polymarket. Außerdem geht es um BYD, Salzgitter, Thyssenkrupp, Aurubis, Valero Energy, Phillips 66, Chevron, ExxonMobil, SAP, Salesforce, ServiceNow, Micron Technology, ASML, Lam Research, Arm Holdings, Nvidia, Siemens, AMD, Aeon, Fast Retailing, Seven & i Holdings, Amundi ETF MSCI EM Latin America (WKN: A2H58P), IBM, Cisco Systems, McDonald's, Nike, UnitedHealth Group, Home Depot, Verizon, Merck & Co., Coca-Cola, Procter & Gamble, Amgen, Johnson & Johnson, Flutter Entertainment und Heineken. Wir freuen uns an Feedback über aaa@welt.de. Noch mehr "Alles auf Aktien" findet Ihr bei WELTplus und Apple Podcasts – inklusive aller Artikel der Hosts und AAA-Newsletter. Hier bei WELT: https://www.welt.de/podcasts/alles-auf-aktien/plus247399208/Boersen-Podcast-AAA-Bonus-Folgen-Jede-Woche-noch-mehr-Antworten-auf-Eure-Boersen-Fragen.html. Der Börsen-Podcast Disclaimer: Die im Podcast besprochenen Aktien und Fonds stellen keine spezifischen Kauf- oder Anlage-Empfehlungen dar. Die Moderatoren und der Verlag haften nicht für etwaige Verluste, die aufgrund der Umsetzung der Gedanken oder Ideen entstehen. Hörtipps: Für alle, die noch mehr wissen wollen: Holger Zschäpitz können Sie jede Woche im Finanz- und Wirtschaftspodcast "Deffner&Zschäpitz" hören. +++ Werbung +++ Du möchtest mehr über unsere Werbepartner erfahren? Hier findest du alle Infos & Rabatte! https://linktr.ee/alles_auf_aktien Impressum: https://www.welt.de/services/article7893735/Impressum.html Datenschutz: https://www.welt.de/services/article157550705/Datenschutzerklaerung-WELT-DIGITAL.html

Celebrity birthdays, a newly created Polymarket account making nearly half a million dollars on the capture of Nicolás Maduro by the U.S. military, Elon Musk's Neuralink brain chips — plus news and sports. 

In this podcast, Jimmy argues that a coordinated, "astroturfed" media and influencer campaign was launched to discredit Candace Owens and whistleblower Mitch Snow after Snow claimed to witness key TPUSA security and political figures at Camp Huachuca shortly before Charlie Kirk's assassination. He highlights posts from Evan Kilgore and others who reversed their support for Owens while allegedly coordinating messaging, and shows claims that many of these same accounts promote the betting platform PolyMarket.  He goes on to review accusations that PolyMarket is financially tied to Trump-world, citing Donald Trump Jr.-linked investments and the DOJ dropping charges against the company, while also noting pushback involving Tim Pool, Ian Miles Cheong, and other right-wing influencers. Jimmy frames the backlash as evidence that powerful interests are panicking over Owens' investigation, asserting that coordinated smears typically indicate someone is "over the target." Plus segments on the additional reporting about shady financial dealings at Turning Point USA and online "bounty" deals that reward influential social media operators for spreading propaganda. Also featuring Ryan Matta and Stef Zamorano!

2026's first primary is just two months away. Both parties are trying to get voters to believe in their ability to address the affordability crisis. Republicans are combatting President Trump's conflicting perspective on the economy. Democrats are hoping to solidify their voice for voters after struggling to find a message that connected with them in 2024. Our panel breaks down which races could help define their identities - and reshape Congress - in the year ahead.Online prediction markets have reintroduced election betting to the American public. Companies like Kalshi and Polymarket have grown in popularity for allowing users to wager on everything from wars to the weather - as well as elections. Now, major media outlets are looking to embed their odds into their news coverage. Is there any upside to gamifying politics?As one listener writes, admitting when you're wrong is a key part of engaging with politics. So where did our panel miss the mark in 2025?

In this episode, hosts Sebastien Couture, Brian Crain, and Friederike Ernst gather for their annual wrap-up to discuss the end of the "infinite money glitch": the era where tokens traded at billions without proven product-market fit. They explore the 2025 "spring cleaning" that devastated the altcoin market and the quiet, efficient entry of web2 incumbents like Revolut and Stripe. The discussion centers on the industry's maturation into a space where protocols are finally judged on their ability to generate real revenue and growth.The team analyzes the 2025 "spring cleaning" of altcoins alongside Polymarket's mainstream breakout. As giants like Stripe and Revolut scale crypto integrations, the hosts debate if consolidating distribution power is diluting the original promise of decentralized agency. Finally, they address the existential quantum threat to Bitcoin and share their 2026 "hot takes.Topics00:00 Intro & Notable Memories 04:30 The Bybit Hack & Price Action 08:15 Polymarket & The Mainstream Breakout 12:00 The Altcoin "Spring Cleaning" 18:45 Axelar & The Circle Acquisition 25:30 Incumbents: Back-end Upgrades vs. Values33:15 Social Media & The Economics of Attention 42:00 Staking Consolidation & Distribution Power 50:30 The Quantum Threat to Bitcoin 58:45 2026 Predictions: RWAs & PerpsLinks Sebastien on X: https://x.com/seb3point0 Brian on X: https://x.com/crainbf Friederike on X: https://x.com/tw_tter Gnosis: https://gnosis.io/Sponsors: Gnosis: Gnosis has been building core decentralized infrastructure for the Ethereum ecosystem since 2015. With the launch of Gnosis Pay last year, we introduced the world's first Decentralized Payment Network. Start leveraging its power today at http://gnosis.io

2025 war kein einfaches Jahr für Chemiker von Brenntag (WKN: A1DAHH). Auch Rohstoffe haben gelitten. Genau wie frisches Tierfutter von Freshpet (WKN: A12ENX). Menschenfutter hat bei Sweetgreen (WKN: A3C7N2), Cava (WKN: A3EGWY) und Chipotle (WKN: A0ESP5) keinen Spaß gemacht. Und Strategy (WKN: 722713) war nur zwischendurch die richtige Strategie. Aja: Eine wortwörtliche Talfahrt gab's mit Vail (WKN: 905285) auch noch. Zum Glück für SK Hynix (WKN: 907210) und Micron (WKN: 869020) hat KI ein teures Gedächtnis und teure Gebäude von Porr (WKN: 850185). Zum Glück für Deutz (WKN: 630500), Kraken (WKN: A2DYP6) und Fincantieri (WKN: A40H69) hat Europa teure Rüstungsvorhaben. Zum Glück für die Kryptowelt sind stabile digitale Zahlungsmittel ziemlich beliebt. Wer hätte vorhergesagt, dass die New York Times (WKN: 857534) zum Hidden Gem aus Börsensicht wird. Vielleicht die Prediction Markets von Kalshi, Polymarket und Co. Wird Hasbro (WKN: 859888) endlich mal spielerisch Geld verdienen? Covered Call ETFs tun sich damit schwer. Aktien hören ist gut. Aktien kaufen ist besser. Bei unserem Partner Scalable Capital geht's unbegrenzt per Trading-Flatrate und auf der hauseigenen European Investor Exchange, die genau auf Privatanleger zugeschnitten ist. Alle weiteren Infos gibt's hier: scalable.capital/oaws. Diesen Podcast vom 31.12.2025, 3:00 Uhr stellt dir die Podstars GmbH (Noah Leidinger) zur Verfügung.

Thank you to our sponsors! Uniswap Mantle 2025 was a year of mixed outcomes for crypto. The industry got landmark stablecoin regulations in the U.S. but with a major limitation. Bitcoin soared to new all-time highs but failed to surge to heights many expected and is set to end the year flat. In this final installment of Unchained's year in review show, Ambient Finance founder Doug Colkitt and Gwart take a look back at the passing of the GENIUS Act, Bitcoin's all-time high run and the “10/10” crash. Plus, did “threadguy's” tax woes trigger Zcash's run? And is Nic Carter overreacting about the quantum computing threat to Bitcoin? Guests: Doug Colkitt, Co-founder of Fogo and Ambient Finance Gwart, Host of The Gwart Show Links: Unchained: Who Are the Winners and Losers of the New Stablecoin Law in the U.S.? Pump.fun Becomes Third Largest ICO, Raises $600M in 12 Minutes Stripe and Paradigm Announce New Layer 1 Blockchain 'Tempo' Stablecoin Issuers Enter Bidding War to Launch Hyperliquid's USDH Coinbase Buys Cobie's ‘Up Only' NFT and Echo in $375 Million Deal Bitcoin Hits All-Time High Ahead of $125,500 Crypto Markets Recover After Record $19 Billion Liquidation Why the Black Friday Whale's $192 Million Crypto Trade Was Legal Why the Privacy Coins Mania Is Much More Than Price Action How the x402 Standard Is Enabling AI Agents to Pay Each Other MegaETH Just Had Its Public Sale. Can It Succeed in Building a Web2-Like Experience? Can ‘Choose Rich' Nick Create the Barstool Sports of Crypto? Do Kwon Sentenced to 15 Years in Prison Cracking Bitcoin Encryption Is Getting Much Easier, Google Says Timestamps:

In deze tweede terugblikaflevering kijken we terug op 2025 door de bril van infrastructuur, institutionele macht en de markt. Een belangrijk vertrekpunt daarbij zijn stablecoins. De hoeveelheid geld die bij uitgevers als Tether staat geparkeerd, groeide het afgelopen jaar verder door. Die toename kwam vooral door bredere inzet van stablecoins als handelsmiddel, als schakel tussen crypto en traditionele markten en als alternatief voor dollars in delen van de wereld waar toegang tot het financiële systeem beperkt is. Dat roept vragen op over de rol van die uitgevers. Grote sommen geld staan feitelijk buiten het bancaire systeem, terwijl ze wel een steeds belangrijkere functie vervullen binnen datzelfde systeem. Ook tokenisatie stond dit jaar nadrukkelijker op de agenda. Jarenlang bleef het vooral bij beloftes, maar in 2025 kwamen concrete toepassingen op gang. Banken en financiële instellingen experimenteerden met onchain money markets, fondsen en andere producten. Bedrijven als Robinhood brachten zelfs aandelen naar de blockchain. De vraag is waar in dit model uiteindelijk de waarde terechtkomt: bij de blockchain zelf, bij de uitgever van het product of bij de partij die bestaande financiële instrumenten ‘onchain’ brengt. Dat bepaalt ook voor wie deze ontwikkeling het meest gunstig uitpakt. Een opvallende toepassing dit jaar was Polymarket, een platform voor voorspellingen dat liet zien hoe blockchains kunnen worden ingezet voor markten rond informatie en verwachtingen. Tegelijkertijd werd ook in Nederland geëxperimenteerd. ING werkte aan plannen voor een euro-stablecoin en Rabobank bood een Bitcoin ETP aan. Dat wijst op serieuze interesse, maar ook hier blijft de vraag of dit fundamenteel nieuwe toepassingen zijn of vooral varianten op bestaande producten. Richting 2026 lijkt verdere adoptie waarschijnlijk, maar het debat draait steeds meer om de toegevoegde waarde en de vraag of crypto wordt geïntegreerd of juist opgeslokt door de traditionele financiële wereld. Institutionele adoptie speelde daarbij een grote rol. In de VS gingen vrijwel alle grote partijen aan de slag met crypto, variërend van banken tot vermogensbeheerders. De drijfveer lijkt een mix van overtuiging en angst om achter te blijven. Fed-voorzitter Jerome Powell noemde bitcoin dit jaar ‘digital gold’, een uitspraak die veel zegt over hoe de munt inmiddels wordt gezien. Ook overheden roerden zich. De staat Texas begon met het aanleggen van een strategische bitcoinreserve. Dat is iets anders dan bedrijven die bitcoin op de balans zetten, zoals Strategy. Dat laatste bleek geen onverdeeld succes. Het aantal bedrijven met een bitcoinreserve groeide snel, maar sommigen kwamen al in de problemen. Tot slot de markt. Eind 2024 werden scenario’s geschetst waarin bitcoin eind 2025 op 150.000 dollar zou kunnen staan, maar zelfs dat niveau werd niet gehaald. De markt overschatte bepaalde verhalen, terwijl eerdere euforie de prijs tijdelijk opstuwde. In het najaar kantelde het sentiment en bleek de markt minder stabiel dan gehoopt. Dat roept de vraag op hoe volwassen crypto werkelijk is. Vooruitkijkend spelen macro-economische ontwikkelingen, de rol van ETF’s en bredere financiële trends een bepalende rol voor 2026. Co-hosts zijn Bert Slagter en Mauro Halve. Gasten Bert Slagter Mauro Halve Links Host Daniël Mol Redactie Daniël Mol Matthijs DamsteegSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Space Show Presents Special End of Year Messaging From Space Show Supporters To All, Friday, 12-16-25Quick Summary:Our program began with discussions exploring technical and political challenges related to NASA's Artemis program and the 2028 moon landing timeline, including concerns about safety, funding, and competing lunar missions. The conversation ended with discussions about autonomous systems in space, regulatory requirements for pilots, and the current state of the Space Show's funding and operations. Space Show participants included myself, Marshall Martin, John Jossy, John Hunt and later we were joined by Phil Swan.David began by promoting a recent segment highlighting past programs and encouraging donations to support the show during the final days of our 2025 campaign. Marshall shared his long-standing interest in space and support for the Space Show, recalling a childhood fascination with space and his daughter's involvement in a Loral tour. He talked about his compelling need to continue financially donating to The Space Show and urged other listeners to do the same given the importance of the program and its unique format. Marshall and David then discussed the political aspects of space exploration and the importance of understanding political issues to predict future developments. They talked about Jared Isaacman's presence at NASA headquarters and the need for quick decisions regarding the 2028 moon landing timeline. John Hunt expressed concerns about the readiness of the Starship lander for the 2028 mission and suggested that an alternative, human-rated lander would be needed. The Wisdom Team also discussed the potential impact of China's space program on U.S. efforts and the historical context of space race reactions.Team members discussed concerns about the Artemis program's timeline and safety, particularly focusing on Mike Griffin's warning about a 6.5-day wait period before a crew could return from the moon and the potential for crew strandings in crisis situations. They noted that while the 2028 deadline might be unrealistic, Elon Musk's company could potentially develop a competing lunar mission, though Marshall acknowledged this was currently only a 10% possibility. The discussion concluded with John Jossy suggesting that Artemis III might be delayed until a reliable and safe human landing system is developed, while Marshall emphasized that the lunar mission race includes both Artemis and China's space program, with funding and technical challenges remaining significant obstacles for both.The Wisdom Team discussed the challenges of a 2028 moon mission without the Gateway, with David highlighting that Starship would need orbital refueling, a lunar landing system, spacesuits, and an elevator like lander to reach the surface, none of which are currently ready. John Jossy added that Artemis 3 does not plan for a landing pad, and John Hunt suggested that Jared might need to inform the Chief of Staff about the timeline concerns, as President Trump probably wants the mission to happen during his presidency. The discussion concluded with Hunt noting that careerists might be hesitant to speak up due to job security concerns, while Trump might be more willing to take risks.Together we talked about the challenges and potential timelines for returning to the moon, considering both technical and policy aspects. Marshall suggested that Congress might continue to fund a lunar program even if it faces delays, while David proposed a hypothetical 2029 deadline to potentially allow more time for engineering and safety improvements. The discussion highlighted concerns about technological breakthroughs, funding, and the availability of top talent, with John Hunt emphasizing the need for better program management and funding levels to meet goals.The Wisdom Team discussed the challenges and timelines for NASA's Artemis program, particularly focusing on the 2028 deadline for returning to the moon and what it might mean to the administration if that goal is not met. Phil Swan explained his support for the Space Show, emphasizing its focus on scientific depth and honesty in space industry coverage. The panelists then debated whether NASA could meet the 2028 target, with Marshall expressing skepticism about the timeline, while Phil suggested it might be achievable with a more conservative approach using the SLS rocket. The discussion concluded with a hypothetical bet on whether the program would meet the 2028 deadline, with most panelists expressing doubt.Marshall then presented his paper (see it on our blog at www.thespaceshow.com for this program on this date) on defending Earth and space stations from interstellar objects using large mirrors to either melt or redirect the objects. Phil suggested using a solar power satellite with laser beaming instead, as it could provide better range and dual purpose functionality. Marshall agreed to allow John Jossy to post his paper on the blog for further critique and feedback, as he is still working on it and seeking input from informed individuals. Phil also introduced the Evidence Ledger, an open-source peer review process where concepts and claims are reviewed by experts in the field.We then talked about both flight and human spaceflight training and regulations, with Marshall sharing his experience of obtaining a pilot's license in 1973 and David recounting his university flight training back in 67-68. They explored changes to FAA medical certification requirements for pilots, noting that private pilots no longer need a Class 3 medical certificate if their aircraft has a stall speed below 65 knots. The conversation concluded with a discussion about regulatory requirements for human spaceflight crew members, particularly whether they would need pilot licenses for atmospheric portions of their missions. This was answered in emails after the show but the short answer is no but covered in other regulations.Our Wisdom Team discussed the challenges and readiness of autonomous systems in space versus automotive technology, with David comparing the current state of self-driving cars to potential space systems. Phil and Marshall shared insights about space shuttle launches and Apollo missions, emphasizing the role of human pilots and the importance of thorough testing and quality engineering. The conversation highlighted the balance between perfect systems and acceptable risk levels, with Marshall noting that humans can often handle unexpected situations better than computers. The discussion concluded with Marshall's observation about the shift in focus from Mars to the moon, suggesting that solving the moon mission might be a more immediate challenge.Nearing the end of the program, we discussed the challenges and similarities between missions to the Moon and Mars, with Phil arguing that the engineering difficulties are more similar than the distances suggest. David shared updates on the Space Show's funding status, noting they are currently at 35% of their annual target. David took the opportunity to again ask listeners to support The Space Show with donations prior to the end of the year. Previous donation instructions have been provided so they are not repeated here but if one requests assistance or has questions, they can reach out to David at drspace@thespaceshow.com.David and the team discussed betting on the likelihood of Artemis III with the Program of Record making it to the Moon and back within the 2028 timeline. We talked about betting on the Polymarket, the legality facing Americans as its against the law with David wondering how people get around and do it given he hears about it all the time on various podcasts. It was suggested that Polymarket users might be using a VPN to hide their location. David said he would do some research on it for the Tuesday, Dec. 30 program, mainly out of his curiosity. John Jossy inquired about posting Marshall's papers on space mirrors and space settlements on David's blog. (Note: There is now a regulated US version of the Polymarket but you have to apply to use it and their may be a waiting list. You can find out more with a Google or AI Search for legal ways for US citizens to engage in the Polymarket).The Team wished all a Happy New Year and encouraged listeners to support The Space Show during this year's campaign.Special thanks to our sponsors:Northrup Grumman, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Helix Space in Luxembourg, Celestis Memorial Spaceflights, Astrox Corporation, Dr. Haym Benaroya of Rutgers University, The Space Settlement Progress Blog by John Jossy, The Atlantis Project, and Artless EntertainmentOur Toll Free Line for Live Broadcasts: 1-866-687-7223 (Not in service at this time)For real time program participation, email Dr. Space at: drspace@thespaceshow.com for instructions and access.The Space Show is a non-profit 501C3 through its parent, One Giant Leap Foundation, Inc. To donate via Pay Pal, use:To donate with Zelle, use the email address: david@onegiantleapfoundation.org.If you prefer donating with a check, please make the check payable to One Giant Leap Foundation and mail to:One Giant Leap Foundation, 11035 Lavender Hill Drive Ste. 160-306 Las Vegas, NV 89135Upcoming Programs:Broadcast 4478: Zoom: TOM OLSON | Sunday 28 Dec 2025 1200PM PTGuests: Thomas A. Olson Get full access to The Space Show-One Giant Leap Foundation at doctorspace.substack.com/subscribe

The crypto tax situation in DeFi is getting even more complicated in 2025. Guest: Mark J. Kohler, CPA, Senior Partner of KKOS Lawyers, Co-Founder of Directed IRAWebsite ➜ https://markjkohler.com/Certified Tax Advisor Network ➜ https://bit.ly/TaxAdvisorNetworkYoutube ➜ https://www.youtube.com/c/markjkohler00:00 Intro00:35 Crypto holders Are Underwater01:10 Top Crypto Investor Mistakes03:19 Mark Kohler Trifecta03:55 No Special Treatment For Crypto?04:38 Capital Gains Loss Deduction08:03 Staking is Income, But Not Liquid Staked Tokens?09:59 Stablecoin Vault Rewards11:53 Gambling Losses Are Taxed13:24 Polymarket vs Gambling16:21 Law Coming To Lower Crypto Taxes18:35 Tariff Tax Rebate?20:20 Loan on Crypto?23:45 What If Tax Advisor is Crypto-Dumb26:20 outro#Crypto #tax #bitcoinCrypto Tax Hell

In today's episode, we're reflecting on 2025.We discuss:- Are blockchains ready for real world adoption?- TPS vs throughput: what matters more?- Solana's pressure test via $TRUMP- Agentic trading platform Hype and AI bots in crypto- Uni unification, Morpho vaults, and the Aave governance controversy- Prediction markets take center stage: Polymarket and Kalshi- Perp DEX explosion post-Hyperliquid- Stablecoin supply: Ethereum still leads- Revenue across chains: Hyperliquid dominates, but Solana and Tron surpriseAnd much more—enjoy!—Timestamps:(00:00) Introduction(01:00) Are blockchains real-world ready?(05:06) TPS vs throughput needs(12:05) Decentralization vs scalability tradeoff(20:06) Solana's $TRUMP stress test(25:25) Agentic trading bots rise(27:34) Uni unification and DeFi(33:02) AAVE front-end fee fight(34:07) Morpho vaults and risks(40:15) Rise of prediction markets(45:10) Stablecoin supply by chain(47:58) Revenue leaders: Hyperliquid, Tron(52:34) Solana app revenue dominance(1:01:31) Outro—Follow the co-hosts:https://x.com/hildobbyhttps://x.com/0xBoxehttps://x.com/sui414Follow the Indexed Podcast:https://x.com/indexed_pod  —The Indexed Podcast discusses hot topics, trendy metrics and chart crimes in the crypto industry, with a new episode every 1st and 3rd Thursday of the month, brought to you by wizards @hildobby_ @0xBoxer @sui414.Subscribe/follow the show and leave a comment to help us grow the show!—DISCLAIMER: All information presented here should not be relied upon as legal, financial, investment, tax or even life advice. The views expressed in the podcast are not representative of hosts' employers views. We are acting independently of our respective professional roles.

This Week In Startups is made possible by:Caldera + Lab - http://calderalab.com/TWISTCrusoe Cloud - https://crusoe.ai/buildUber - http://uber.com/twistToday's show: Why did a power outage in the Bay Area cause Waymos to pile up on city streets?Jason was actually in San Francisco to take in the spectacle of Waymos blocking traffic. But why did this happen? And can we look forward to a day when automated cars are more graceful and coordinated than ballet dancers performing “Swan Lake”? We're asking the tough (and also culturally erudite) questions!PLUS self-driving cars are coming to London, Coinbase's buying spree continues, another entrant in our nearly-complete Gamma Pitch Deck Competition, AND why Jason predicts that Google is going to buy UBER!You won't want to miss this holiday TWiST!Timestamps:(00:00) It's a holiday TWiST! Jason's calling in from vacay in Lake Tahoe.(03:11) Jason was in SF for the great Waymo power outage!(06:06) Why Jason says one day Waymos will be better coordinated than dancers in “Swan Lake”(07:33) We predicted Starlink coming to every Tesla nearly 3 years ago!(09:05) Caldera + Lab: Whether you're starting fresh or upgrading your routine, Caldera Lab makes skincare simple and effective. Head to http://calderalab.com/TWIST and use TWIST at checkout for 20% off your first order.(11:29) Jason calls what Tesla's Optimus team is planning “otherworldly”(14:39) Why Jason thinks we're all going to live in an “Opt-In Truman Show” someday soon(18:52) Baidu, Lyft, and Uber bring self-driving cars to London… they don't have them already?!(20:49) Crusoe Cloud: Crusoe is the AI factory company. Reliable infrastructure and expert support. Visit https://crusoe.ai/build to reserve your capacity for the latest GPUs today.(24:02) When do we get to 50% of all rides being done by autonomous vehicles… and how many robotaxis will that take?(27:50) Why Jason thinks Google is going to buy… UBER?!(31:12) Uber AI Solutions: Your trusted partner to get AI to work in the real world. Book a demo with them TODAY at http://uber.com/twist(32:30) Will it eventually come down to which car can drive a mile for the cheapest?(35:08) Coinbase picks up The Clearing Company, which makes frameworks for prediction markets(39:50) How much did the biggest AI models improve this year?(44:09) Who's going to actually buy Warner Bros? We're checking the Polymarket.(47:06) GAMMA PITCH w/ Jonathan Sherman of Lumix Ads(51:00) Why Jason says Jonathan's pitch is a 9.5 out of 10(52:50) What Jason looks for in a founder: “a big audacious vision”(54:18) How Lumix (safely) collects users' “mobile ad ID” on the go to identify themSubscribe to the TWiST500 newsletter: https://ticker.thisweekinstartups.com/Check out the TWIST500: https://twist500.comSubscribe to This Week in Startups on Apple: https://rb.gy/v19fcp*Follow Lon:X: https://x.com/lons*Follow Alex:X: https://x.com/alexLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexwilhelm/*Follow Jason:X: https://twitter.com/JasonLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasoncalacanis/*Thank you to our partners:(09:05) Caldera + Lab: Whether you're starting fresh or upgrading your routine, Caldera Lab makes skincare simple and effective. Head to http://calderalab.com/TWIST and use TWIST at checkout for 20% off your first order.(20:49) Crusoe Cloud: Crusoe is the AI factory company. Reliable infrastructure and expert support. Visit https://crusoe.ai/build to reserve your capacity for the latest GPUs today.(31:12) Uber AI Solutions: Your trusted partner to get AI to work in the real world. Book a demo with them TODAY at http://uber.com/twist

Recorded 11/18/25Vincent co-founder Slava Rubin and Sacra's Jan-Erik Asplund discuss the rise of prediction markets, focusing on Kalshi and Polymarket. They explore the mechanics of prediction markets, their regulatory landscape, and the competitive dynamics between these platforms. The discussion also touches on the future of prediction markets, their integration into existing trading platforms, and the potential for new market entrants.

Joey Krug (Founders Fund partner, former Pantera co-CIO, and Augur co-founder) returns to unpack whether the “crypto-native era” is fading as institutions and mainstream apps adopt crypto rails without adopting crypto culture.  We dig into prediction markets' breakout (and why Polymarket finally found product-market fit), the coming regulatory fights around market structure and “insider” edges, and what's next for founders building in a post-cypherpunk, distribution-first phase of crypto. ------

In this episode of Gimme Some Truth, Nate, Andrew, and Clint take a deep dive into the rapidly growing world of prediction markets—a space sitting at the intersection of investing, betting, and financial innovation.We explore how prediction markets first emerged from political forecasting and academic research, how companies like Kalshi and Polymarket are shaping the U.S. landscape, and what the regulatory environment looks like today.The conversation also covers how prediction markets actually work, their impact on sports betting and investment portfolios, and whether they could eventually disrupt traditional gambling platforms and investment products.From potential returns and real-world use cases to risks, volatility, and long-term outlook, this episode breaks down everything investors need to know about this evolving asset class.Timestamps:00:00 — Introduction to Prediction Markets00:36 — Origins in Politics & Academia01:49 — U.S. Regulation & Emerging Companies03:51 — Evolution & Future of Prediction Markets09:06 — Are Prediction Markets Investing or Gambling?11:16 — Key Risks & Considerations13:30 — Final Thoughts & TakeawaysRead the blog - https://walknercondon.com/blog/how-prediction-markets-could-disrupt-gambling-sports-betting-and-traditional-investing/

Thank you to our sponsor, Multichain Advisors!What rights do token holders have? Is everyone getting rugged? In this episode of Uneasy Money, Ethena founder Guy Young joins hosts Kain Warwick, Luca Netz and Taylor Monahan to interrogate the lack of clarity around token expectations and rights as Aave DAO goes against Aave Labs and Circle acquires the Axelar team. Do centralized exchanges hold the solution? Plus, does MOVE's Rushi Manche deserve a second chance? And how can you stay safe from the fake Zoom scam? Hosts: Luca Netz, CEO of Pudgy Penguins Kain Warwick, Founder of Infinex and Synthetix Taylor Monahan, Security at MetaMask Guest: Guy Young, CEO & Founder of Ethena Labs Links: Unchained: AAVE Holders Question if DAO Quietly Redirected Revenue Away From Treasury SEC Ends Four-Year Probe Into Aave ‘Poison Pill' Proposal Calls for Aave DAO to Take Over Aave Labs Jump Crypto's Firedancer Goes Live on Solana Mainnet How to Trade Prediction Markets Without an Opinion on the Event MetaMask Adds Native Bitcoin Support Timestamps:

Earlier this year journalist Ben Makuch caught a glimpse of Eric Schmidt, the former CEO of Google, dancing at a club in Kyiv. It was a surreal moment, a snapshot of a tragic war that the West thinks is defining the future of conflict. Tech executives have flocked to Ukraine, courting the country in an attempt to get at a resource more precious than gold: data. Makuch was just there and has written about what he saw for The New Republic and he's on the show today to talk about it.Some light smoking banterBen's timelineGoogle's CEO dancing in a bar in KyivUkraine as laboratory for war techThe JSOC era is overIn defense of the majestic American turkeyThe great America vs China speculationWar, cheaperOn the actual frontlineWheat fields of fiber optic lineThe buzz of the droneLife in the bloodlandsThe human suffering of living in UkraineFPV-made propaganda“Never underestimate human innovation when it comes to killing other humans.”What's Erik Prince doing in Ukraine?New York Times on Military ReformThe Medieval—and Highly Effective—Tactics of the Ukrainian ProtestsWho Is St. Javelin and Why Is She a Symbol of the War in Ukraine?‘Cope Cages' on Busted Tanks Are a Symbol of Russia's Military Failures‘Unauthorized' Edit to Ukraine's Frontline Maps Point to Polymarket's War BettingSupport this show http://supporter.acast.com/warcollege. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Bitwise's Matt Hougan and Ryan Rasmussen return with 10 big predictions for 2026. From the case for $1M BTC (and why the classic four-year cycle may be dead) to a world where ETFs soak up more than 100% of new BTC/ETH/SOL supply. We get into Bitcoin volatility vs. mega-cap tech, crypto equities vs. tech equities, and why Polymarket could smash past its 2024 election-era highs. Plus: stablecoins as an “escape valve” that emerging economies may blame for currency stress, on-chain also known as “ETFs 2.0,” and how the Clarity Act could be the starter's gun for ETH and SOL to run. ------

JINGLE BELL OPS  - 12.15.2025 - #900 BestPodcastintheMetaverse.com Canary Cry News Talk #900 - 12.15.2025 - Recorded Live to 1s and 0s Deconstructing World Events from a Biblical Worldview Declaring Jesus as Lord amidst the Fifth Generation War! CageRattlerCoffee.com SD/TC email Ike for discount https://CanaryCry.Support   Send address and shirt size updates to canarycrysupplydrop@gmail.com   Join the Canary Cry Roundtable This Episode was Produced By:   Sir Aaron B, Knower-of-the-Times, Poiema of the One True God   Executive Producers Sir Jamey Not the Lanister*** Amber J*** iAnon*** LX Protocol BARON of the Berrean Protocol***   Producers of TREASURE (CanaryCry.Support) Katy P, Michael B, Cage Rattler Coffee   Producers of TIME Timestampers: Jade Bouncerson, Morgan E Clankoniphius Links: JAM   Candace to meet Erika today   BBB Rob Reiner and wife murdered by son (Fox/X) → Rob Reiner movies → Rob Reiner on Epstein list → Trump Truth social on Reiner  → Reiner's wife took the iconic photo of Trump's book cover   GUN CONTROL/ZIONIST Clip: Schumer introduction to Australia shooting…but first (X) Australian bystander disarms suspected shooter in Australia Hanukkah attack (Fox) CLIP: Australian Prime Minister say they have and will take "the security agencies' advice" CLIP: Prime Minister turns to gun laws → Clip: Side view of guy tackling shooter* → Clip: weird angle of the shooter* CLIP: BB Netenyahu responds  Mossad Warned Australia of Threats to Jews Before Bondi shooting (Australia Times) → Mossad officially joins investigation into Australia massacre (X) → India on high alert for terror attacks on Jews → Israel says Iran is number 1 suspect of Bondi massacre (BRICS/X) → Alleged survivor of Bondi massacre was also "survivor" of Oct 7 (JPost) → Photos surface of him getting blood make up, is it real? (X)    FBI CLIP: Brown President "doesn't know" what was going on in the class A Brown University student survived being shot in HS. Then came the active shooter alerts (AP) Brown University shooting: authorities say they released sole person of interest (Guardian) CLIP: reporters GRILL about Brown Surveillance   FBI claims it stopped NYE bomb plot in LA (X) Clip: Ariel footage of plotters going to desert to test explosives (X)  Clip: Aerial footage at press conference - filming tv screen    UFO Clip: Prof. Avi Leob tells Newsmax, Maven stopped sending data from 3I/Atlas (X)  PolyMarket bet Trump very very likely to declassify UFO files before 2026    EXECUTIVE PRODUCERS TALENT/TIME END

It's the High Society Radio Christmas special no one invited them to. Chris Faga and Chris Stanley are back to basics — talking parties they didn't make the list for, Sandals resorts, and the invention of the “suaslide.” The boys break down Polymarket bets on global wars, Tucker Carlson's new Qatari adventures, and the chaos of AI teaming up with Disney. Add in some CIA “breaking news,” a few perfectly timed bleeps, and a solid argument about mail-order brides, and you've got another top-tier mix of politics, perversion, and vacation envy.The Christmas Party They Weren't Invited ToBack to BasicsBig Sandals GuyPolymarket Betting on the Ukraine WarCambodia vs ThailandWhy Do We Still Listen to Washington?Glenn Beck's Botox ForeheadBreaking CIA News“If We Could Vote From Our Phones…”Tucker Carlson Buys a House in QatarDoorDash Pricing RantDesigner Galaxy GasJapan Is F***ed UpMail-Order BridesDisney and OpenAIDON'T FORGET TO WATCH FAGA'S NEW SPECIAL "BURN AFTER SAYING" ON THE HSR YOUTUBE PAGE!⁠⁠https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TxIHJU2LotU⁠⁠Support Our Sponsors!⁠⁠https://yokratom.com/⁠⁠ - Check out Yo Kratom (the home of the $60 kilo) for all your kratom needs!Body Brain Coffee: https://bodybraincoffee.com/ - Grab A Bag of Body Brain Coffee with Promo Code HSR20 to get 20% off!⁠⁠https://fatdickhotchocolate.net/⁠⁠ Get you a fat dick at fatdickhotchocolate.netHigh Society Radio is 2 native New Yorkers who started from the bottom and didn't raise up much. That's not the point, if you enjoy a sideways view on technology, current events, or just an in depth analysis of action movies from 2006 this is the show for you.Chris Stanley is the on-air producer for Bennington on Sirius XM.A Twitter Chris Really Likes: ⁠⁠https://x.com/stanman42069⁠⁠Chris from Brooklyn is a lifelong street urchin, a former head chef and current retiree.Twitter: ⁠⁠https://twitter.com/ChrisFromBklyn⁠⁠Follow Mike Suarez X: https://x.com/MikeVSuarez Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mikevsuarezEngineer: JorgeEditor: TannerInstagram: ⁠⁠https://www.instagram.com/lilkinky69/⁠⁠Executive Producer: Mike HarringtonInstagram: ⁠⁠https://www.instagram.com/themharrington/⁠⁠Twitter: ⁠⁠https://twitter.com/TheMHarrington⁠See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

All of this week's episodes of It Could Happen Here put together in one large file. - Arab Israeli Peace and New Visions for Gaza feat. Dana El Kurd - Oops All Gambling, Political Betting Joins the News - Natalism feat. Andrew - The Insurrectionist Running to Replace Nancy Mace - Executive Disorder: White House Weekly #45 You can now listen to all Cool Zone Media shows, 100% ad-free through the Cooler Zone Media subscription, available exclusively on Apple Podcasts. So, open your Apple Podcasts app, search for “Cooler Zone Media” and subscribe today! http://apple.co/coolerzone Sources/Links: Arab Israeli Peace and New Visions for Gaza feat. Dana El Kurd Bad Cousins - https://badcousins.show/ GREAT Trust Plan - https://www.washingtonpost.com/documents/f86dd56a-de7f-4943-af4a-84819111b727.pdf A Plan to Rebuild Gaza Lists Nearly 30 Companies. Many Say They’re Not Involved - https://www.wired.com/story/a-plan-to-rebuild-gaza-lists-nearly-30-companies-many-say-theyre-not-involved/ Paradox of Peace - https://academic.oup.com/isagsq/article/3/3/ksad042/7280243 Oops All Gambling, Political Betting Joins the News https://news.kalshi.com/p/kalshi-cnn-prediction-market-partnership https://www.businessinsider.com/kalshi-cnbc-deal-cnn-data-integration-partnership-2025-12 https://x.com/Kalshi/status/1996233186251075862?s=20 https://illinoislawreview.org/wp-content/ilr-content/articles/2008/3/Cherry.pdf https://www.axios.com/2025/11/20/time-galactic-prediction-market https://dune.com/datadashboards/prediction-markets https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/SpeechesTestimony/behnamstatement051024 https://edition.cnn.com/2024/10/02/business/appeals-court-allows-kalshi-election-betting/index.html https://www.datawallet.com/crypto/polymarket-restricted-countries https://www.gameshub.com/news/news/are-the-walls-closing-in-on-polymarket-after-latest-european-ban-2837953/ https://www.dlnews.com/articles/regulation/polymarket-banned-romania-for-operating-without-a-licence/ https://www.yogonet.com/international/news/2025/08/18/114882-polymarket-banned-in-australian-amid-crackdown-on-illegal-betting-election-wagering-concerns https://dune.com/rchen8/polymarket https://blog.uma.xyz/articles/unpacking-polymarkets-meteoric-rise-in-numbers https://www.marketwatch.com/story/polymarket-authorized-for-u-s-return-days-after-donald-trump-jr-joins-as-advisor-c3c8b348 https://truthpredict.net/ https://www.forbes.com/sites/boazsobrado/2025/12/04/alleged-insider-nets-1-million-on-polymarket-in-24-hours/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zcPwUiMPj6w https://news.kalshi.com/p/zohran-mamdani-cites-kalshi-election-odds https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/polls/tennessee-us-house-7-special-election-polls-2025.html https://www.natesilver.net/p/sbsq-26-do-prediction-markets-make https://www.axios.com/2024/07/16/nate-silver-polymarket https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/ https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/23501236/supreme-court-strikes-federal-law-prohibiting-sports-gambling https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1996978855538823522?s=20 Natalism feat. Andrew https://iep.utm.edu/anti-natalism/ https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/mar/11/what-is-pronatalism-right-wing-republican https://www.npr.org/2025/04/30/nx-s1-5382208/whats-behind-the-pronatalist-movement-to-boost-the-birth-rate https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/40660745/ The Insurrectionist Running to Replace Nancy Mace https://www.justice.gov/usao-dc/pr/south-carolina-man-sentenced-assaulting-law-enforcement-during-jan-6-capitol-breach-0https://www.postandcourier.com/beaufort-county/politics/tyler-dykes-campaign-sc1-congress/article_c255115c-45cf-430e-b4a4-160a322631e1.htmlhttps://www.courtlistener.com/docket/67681795/united-states-v-dykes/ https://atlantaantifa.org/2023/04/19/inside-southern-sons-active-club-part-i/https://atlantaantifa.org/2023/04/19/inside-southern-sons-active-club-part-ii/ Executive Disorder: White House Weekly #45 https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/12/10/2025-22461/agency-information-collection-activities-revision-arrival-and-departure-record-form-i-94-and#page-57209 https://www.cnn.com/2025/12/09/politics/georgia-democrat-eric-gisler https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5641420-democrats-gain-momentum-miami/?utm_social_handle_id=1917731&utm_social_post_id=619113438 https://www.scotusblog.com/2025/12/supreme-court-allows-texas-to-use-redistricting-map-challenged-as-racially-discriminatory/ https://www.justice.gov/usao-dc/pr/man-charged-planting-explosive-devices-outside-rnc-and-dnc-january-5-2021 https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/justice-department/pipe-bomb-suspect-told-fbi-believed-2020-election-conspiracy-theories-rcna247544 https://www.fanfiction.net/s/7869373/1/Return-to-Sunny-TownSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Visit our website for breaking news, analysis, op-eds, articles to learn about crypto, and much more: unchainedcrypto.com Thank you to our sponsor! Walrus The prediction market meta is piping hot and everyone wants a piece of the pie. In this episode of Unchained, 10x Research founder Markus breaks down what the competition boils down to. Plus, will other platforms follow Polymarket's lead and launch a token? He also walks through a “near certain” trade nestled in Polymarket and shares 10 strategies that can be used to trade prediction markets without an opinion.  One key nugget: “It's the wisdom within the crowd.” Guest: Markus Thielen, CEO of 10x Research Previous appearance on Unchained: How to Invest in This Bitcoin Downtrend: Bits + Bips Links Unchained: Paradigm Claims Polymarket Trading Figures Are Double Counted Polymarket Opens US App to Waitlisted Users Intercontinental Exchange to Invest $2 Billion in Polymarket Crypto.com and Kalshi Lead Prediction Market Coalition Setup Kalshi Hits $11B Valuation After $1B Raise: Report Timestamps:

Gavin Newsom is the 2028 Democratic front-runner. That's what many of the polls and the Polymarket betting odds say.It's been widely believed that Newsom wants to run for president someday. But belief that he could be a front-runner was less common. A liberal white guy from a state that much of the country considers badly governed just didn't seem like the profile the Democratic Party was looking for.But as a Californian who has watched Newsom for a long time, I was surprised by him this year. After President Trump returned to the White House, Newsom started a podcast, interviewing people like Charlie Kirk, Steve Bannon and Michael Savage, which made a lot of Democrats mad. At the same time, Newsom turned himself into the leader of the resistance — trolling Trump on social media and pushing a ballot initiative to end California's independent redistricting to counter the partisan redistricting effort in Texas.Newsom has been willing to try things and take risks. He has shown a feel for this moment — in politics and in the way attention works now.But it's still true that he runs a state that the country considers badly governed. California tops the rankings of unaffordable states, at a time when affordability has become a central electoral issue.In this conversation, I ask Newsom about all of this — what he learned this year from talking to figures on the right, how he thinks the Democratic Party can win back voters it lost, why California is so unaffordable and what he's doing about it.Mentioned:Applebee's America by Ron Fournier, Douglas B. Sosnik and Matthew J. Dowd“And, This Is Charlie Kirk”“And, This Is Gaming Culture & Gen-Z Nihilism With Content Creator Brandon “Atrioc” Ewing”“And, This Is Michael Savage”“And, This Is Steve Bannon”“Newsom Says Trump's Attacks Are ‘Not Normal'”“Barack Obama 2004 Democratic National Convention Keynote Speech”Book Recommendations:Built to Last by Jim Collins, Jerry I. PorrasMeditations by Marcus Aurelius1929 by Andrew Ross SorkinThoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast, and you can find Ezra on Twitter @ezraklein. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Rollin Hu. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris. Our senior engineer is Jeff Geld, with additional mixing by Isaac Jones. Our executive producer is Claire Gordon. The show's production team also includes Marie Cascione, Annie Galvin, Kristin Lin, Emma Kehlbeck, Jack McCordick, Marina King and Jan Kobal. Original music by Pat McCusker and Aman Sahota. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The director of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also subscribe via your favorite podcast app here https://www.nytimes.com/activate-access/audio?source=podcatcher. For more podcasts and narrated articles, download The New York Times app at nytimes.com/app.