Podcasts about kalshi

BING BONG! After an extended absence due to some antibiotics, Liv is back and has brought with her another episode filled with a slurry of emotion. Liv's latest covers the betting app Kalshi and its competitor, Polymarket. Although illegal in some states, these “prediction market platforms” have had a boom in popularity allowing users to bet on anything imaginable, including but not limited to, political events. With Don Jr as a strategic advisor for both Kalshi and Polymarket, it's safe to say these morally questionable sites will be with us for the foreseeable future. Jake and Julian join Liv on this adventure and I would bet it doesn't take too long for the rails to leave entirely with this troublesome trio. Subscribe for $5 a month to get all the premium episodes: www.patreon.com/qaa Check out our new podcast series network Cursed Media! All episodes of Spectral Voyager Season 2 are out now! Binge the entirety of Truly Tradly Deeply by Annie Kelly and Megan Kelly as well as Science in Transition by Liv Agar and Spencer Barrows: cursedmedia.net Produced by Liv Agar & Corey Klotz. Theme by Nick Sena. Additional music by Pontus Berghe and Jake Rockatansky. Theme Vocals by THEY/LIVE (instagram.com/theyylivve / sptfy.com/QrDm). Cover Art by Pedro Correa: (pedrocorrea.com) qaapodcast.com QAA was known as the QAnon Anonymous podcast.

A regulated exchange suing its own regulator almost never happens. The hosts trace why CME did it, and why the CFTC may have better odds than crypto Twitter thinks. Thanks to our sponsor!

Episode Description:Prediction markets allow people to trade contracts tied to real-world events—from elections and weather to rocket launches, airport traffic, awards, and the words a public figure might use during a speech.But James argues that having an opinion isn't enough. Betting on your favorite team, preferred candidate, or a vague feeling about what might happen is speculation without an edge. His rule is simple: only participate when you believe you have an unfair advantage.In this solo episode, James explains the two advantages he looks for. The first comes from understanding how prediction-market participants behave—especially their tendency to overlook outcomes that appear almost certain because the potential payout looks small. The second comes from researching a particular market more thoroughly than the other participants.He walks through three trades he made: whether the U.S. government will confirm the existence of extraterrestrial life before 2027, whether SpaceX will exceed a specified number of June launches, and whether Donald Trump will use the phrase “movie star” during an upcoming speech. He also examines TSA passenger data to show why good research sometimes leads to the most important decision of all: not making the trade.The larger lesson is not that any outcome is guaranteed. It is that a repeatable process—researching the data, comparing your estimated probability with the market price, diversifying, and walking away when the edge is unclear—is more useful than betting on instinct.Editorial Note:Prediction-market contracts are speculative and can result in the loss of the full amount committed to a position. Short-term returns expressed on an annualized basis are hypothetical comparisons, not guarantees that the same opportunity can be repeated throughout a year. This episode is educational and reflects James's personal reasoning, not individualized financial advice.What You'll Learn:How binary prediction-market contracts are priced and settled.Why James avoids trades based only on personal preference or intuition.The two types of informational advantage he looks for before entering a market.Why apparently likely outcomes can still be priced below James's estimate of their probability.How to compare a contract's price with your independent estimate of the outcome.Why diversification matters when a single losing contract can erase several smaller gains.How historical speeches, launch schedules, and public datasets can inform a trade.Why declining to place a bet is often the correct conclusion when the evidence is inconclusive.Timestamped Chapters:[02:00] The Search for an Unfair AdvantageWhy James believes a feeling or personal preference is not a sufficient reason to place a bet.[02:43] What Is a Prediction Market?How event contracts cover subjects ranging from weather and elections to entertainment, sports, and public speeches.[03:29] How Yes-or-No Contracts WorkA hypothetical presidential contract illustrates pricing, payouts, and profit.[04:26] Don't Bet on What You Want to HappenWhy fandom, political preference, and intuition can distort judgment.[05:12] Two Types of Informational AdvantageJames distinguishes between understanding market behavior and possessing unusually strong research about one event.[06:30] Why Traders May Overlook Near-CertaintiesHow small-looking payouts and the cost of tying up capital can leave heavily favored outcomes below full value.[07:52] Will the Government Confirm That Aliens Exist?James explains why he bought “No” contracts on an official confirmation occurring before 2027.[10:40] Diversifying a Basket of High-Probability TradesWhy James prefers multiple positions rather than concentrating everything in one supposedly certain outcome.[11:20] The SpaceX Launch TradeUsing completed launches, the remaining calendar, and an upcoming mission to evaluate a five-day contract.[13:38] Turning Presidential Speeches Into DataHow James analyzes recurring words and phrases instead of relying on opinions about Donald Trump.[15:38] Betting Against “Movie Star”Why past speeches, synonyms, context, and the market price led James to take the “No” side.[18:30] TSA Passenger Data—and Knowing When to PassHistorical checkpoint volume offers useful evidence, but not necessarily enough of an edge to justify a trade.[21:01] Three Trades and One Repeatable SystemJames reviews his positions and the difference between market-level and event-specific advantages.[23:00] Prediction Markets as a Continuing ExperimentWhy James plans to keep testing the approach and sharing shorter updates.Additional Resources:Kalshi: What Are Prediction Markets? — An introduction to event contracts, pricing, and settlement.Kalshi: How Prices Are Determined — How opposing orders are matched and market prices are established.Kalshi FAQ — Platform rules, prohibited conduct, trading mechanics, and account information.CFTC: Understanding Prediction Markets and Event Contracts — The federal regulator's overview of event contracts and their uses.CFTC: Contracts and Products — Regulatory information about derivatives and event contracts.TSA Checkpoint Travel Numbers — Official daily passenger-screening figures used for historical comparisons.SpaceX Launches — Official information about completed and upcoming SpaceX missions.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Patrick Bet-David and the Home Team break down the devastating earthquake in Venezuela, the Supreme Court's major immigration ruling that strengthens President Trump, the rise of the Democratic Socialists after New York's primaries, AI bias, Apple price hikes, Kalshi's explosive growth, and much more.-----

SpaceX stock prices fell back to earth this week after they skyrocketed in the wake of the IPO a couple weeks ago. Plus, why a Google AI subsidiary is investing in the film studio A24. And why Meta might be getting into the prediction markets. The New York Times reported this week the social media giant was working on its own prediction market app, sort of like Kalshi and Polymarket, which have been bringing in billions of dollars but also drawing lots of scrutiny and legal challenges. Marketplace's Meghan McCarty Carino spoke with Anita Ramaswamy, financial columnist at The Information, for this week's “Tech Bytes: Week in Review.”Check out our YouTube page to watch more episodes of “Tech Bytes.”

SpaceX stock prices fell back to earth this week after they skyrocketed in the wake of the IPO a couple weeks ago. Plus, why a Google AI subsidiary is investing in the film studio A24. And why Meta might be getting into the prediction markets. The New York Times reported this week the social media giant was working on its own prediction market app, sort of like Kalshi and Polymarket, which have been bringing in billions of dollars but also drawing lots of scrutiny and legal challenges. Marketplace's Meghan McCarty Carino spoke with Anita Ramaswamy, financial columnist at The Information, for this week's “Tech Bytes: Week in Review.”Check out our YouTube page to watch more episodes of “Tech Bytes.”

Start your morning with Buzzcast with Austin Karp:  All things soccer as the World Cup's Round of 32 approaches; MLB looks to revolutionize its player contracts; Kalshi looks to raise funds at a $40B valuation; Dave Pasch re-ups at ESPN; and Apple TV looks to attract more F1 viewers with a race in front of the paywall. Sign up for SBJ 360, our free, daily newsletter. SBJ 360 delivers a concise, high-level overview of the most important stories shaping the sports industry. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Today's blockchain and crypto news Bitcoin is down slightly at $61,180 Ethereum is down slightly at $1,630 BNB is down slightly at $561 SBI Holdings agrees to acquire Japanese crypto exchange Bitbank CoinShares survey finds crypto oversight gap Kraken partners with Maple Finance Thailand issues arrest warrant for illegal crypto mining participants. Kalshi in talks to raise funding. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Apple hiked Mac and iPad prices 15-25% on the memory crunch; iPhones held steady. Anthropic accused Alibaba of distilling Claude 28.8 million times. IBM detailed a 0.7nm chip, Facebook revived its Creator Studio app, and Kalshi chased a $40B valuation. Apple raises Mac, iPad, and other product prices by 15%-25%, saying it has "never seen a component price increase this much, this quickly"; iPhone is unchanged (WSJ) Apple Raises Mac and iPad Prices to Counter Memory Shortages (Bloomberg) Sources: in a letter to US officials, Anthropic accused Alibaba of adversarial distillation, using Claude 28.8M times from April to June via almost 25K accounts (Bloomberg) IBM details a 0.7nm chip manufacturing process that utilizes a "nanostack" 3D transistor architecture, which it says could continue chip innovation for 10 years (The New York Times) Facebook brings back Facebook Creator Studio as a stand-alone app with a built-in AI chatbot to help creators grow their audiences through personalized guidance (TechCrunch) Meta looks to AI to review harmful content in cost-cutting drive (FT) Sources: Kalshi is in talks to raise funding at a ~$40B valuation in a round that may close as soon as Q3; Kalshi raised $1B at a $22B valuation in May 2026 (FT) Subscribe to the ad-free feed. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Kalshi seeks funding at $40B. Prediction-market platform Kalshi is raising fresh capital at a roughly $40 billion valuation, nearly double the $22 billion it hit just one round ago. CEO Tarek Mansour says an IPO is on the table, but not before 2027. CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie hosts "CoinDesk Daily." - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie. “CoinDesk Daily” is produced by Jennifer Sanasie and edited by Victor Chen.

Find James Lavish's SubStack Here: https://www.jameslavish.com/ Click the link http://kalshi.com/r/MOSES or download the Kalshi App and use code MOSES to sign up and trade today! Checkout the WAWD Substack here: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/ In this episode of On the Tape, Danny Moses welcomes James Lavish back to the show for a wide-ranging conversation that goes well beyond Bitcoin. Drawing on his background trading risk arbitrage on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange and running the Bitcoin Opportunity Fund, James breaks down why he believes the Fed and Treasury are "trapped" by a looming wall of debt—roughly $14 trillion rolling over in the next year on top of ongoing $2 trillion deficits—and what that means for rates, inflation, and the dollar. Danny and James dig into Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Fed chair and his more hawkish-but-mostly-bark tone, the odds of a July rate hike, and how the war and energy prices are feeding back into inflation. They explore the "hot ball of money" chasing AI and the SpaceX IPO, the K-shaped economy driving retail toward speculative bets, and why James sees a coming rotation of capital out of high-flying AI names and back into Bitcoin. The two also debate Michael Saylor's Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) at length—whether its leverage and perpetual preferred structure leave Saylor in a "trap" or a position of strength—with James arguing the balance sheet concerns are overblown if you believe in Bitcoin long term. James shares how his fund approaches Bitcoin-adjacent energy and AI investments, and Danny closes with his Kalshi picks of the week. --ABOUT THE SHOW For decades, Danny has seen it all on Wall Street and has built his reputation on integrity, curiosity and skepticism that he will bring with him each week. Having traded through the Great Financial Crisis and being featured in "The Big Short" is only part of the experiences Danny wants to share with the listener. This weekly podcast cuts through market noise, offering entertaining and informative discussions with expert guests giving their views of the financial world and the human side of it. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just getting started, On The Tape provides something for all listeners. Follow Danny on X: @dmoses34 The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in 'On The Tape' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money that you can afford to lose. Derivatives are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell or retain any specific investment or service.

Episode 630: Another moment of the Red Sox season that feels like rock bottom comes at the hands of the Colorado Rockies. The Red Sox dropped two of three in Colorado in a series that felt like Boston could have swept. The guys try to digest the disappointing series and discuss just how bad this season has been. They also break down Jarren Duran's ongoing struggles and react to Craig Breslow's latest ridiculous comments about potentially not selling at the trade deadline. One of the most frustrating parts of this season has been wasting a really strong Red Sox pitching staff. Jake Bennett's potential emergence adds even more speculation around possible trades, so the 10 talks about which players they're attached to and who they could realistically see moved. We also get an update on the POTY race, hear about Tyler's first job, and mentally prepare  for a tough four-game series against the Yankees — where history tells us there's usually some news. 00:00:00 - This Team Sucks.  00:07:29 - Chapman Pitching Hurt.   00:11:19 - The Jarren Duran Situation. 00:22:10 - Rock Bottom?   00:24:55 - Sell, Sell, Sell.   00:34:21 - Wasting This Pitching Staff is a Crime. 00:39:43 - The Craig Breslow Quotes 00:42:22 - Just a Baseball?  00:52:24 - Jared's Nomar Auto & Brian Wilson, Starting 9 Alumni.   00:58:21 - Laugh or Cry?  01:02:14 - Who are We Attached To on This Team? 01:06:22 - Wilyer Abreu's Extremely Confusing Splits   01:11:05 - Is Jared's House Burning Down? 01:12:23 - POTY Race Update 01:14:21  - Taikus 01:15:02 - Shoutout To Our Pals at Baseball Lifestyle 101  01:20:55 - Tyler's First Job.  01:25:55 - Unreal, Thank You Delta. 01:27:56 - What Makes Seasons Like This Even Worse 01:50:31 - Prepare For News This Weekend    01:59:02 - Will Sonny Gray be Traded?  02:00:56 - Would You Trade Wilyer Abreu? + 62-100  02:06:41 - 1/10 Odds?   02:14:00 - MLB Draft Coming Soon  02:26:39 - Stop and Shop   02:33:21 - Weather Lookahead  02:35:50 - Prediction Time   02:39:43 - Final Thoughts  SECTION 10 MERCH IS HERE: https://section10merch.com/ Trade $20 Get $20 on Kalshi - https://app.kalshi.com/1r91/Section10 Sign Up For Our Patreon for more Section 10 Content! https://www.patreon.com/cw/section10podcast Get Blue Moon Non-Alcoholic Belgian White Belgian-Style Wheat Brew delivered by visiting http://get.bluemoonbeer.com/JARED for delivery options Find out why Nutrafol is the best-selling hair growth supplement brand. Visit Nutrafol.com and enter promo code SECTION10 for $10 off your first month's subscription and free shipping. Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/SECTION Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Gambling has moved from casinos to our phones. FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, ESPN Bet, Kalshi, and day-trading platforms have made “action” available every minute of the day. When is risk-taking legitimate, and when does it become gambling? Is sports betting different from day trading or prediction markets? What are the dangers of addiction, wasted time, and chasing easy money? with Rabbi Chaim Jachter – Rav of Sha'arei Orah in Teaneck, Dayan on the Elizabeth Beis Din – 25:10 with Rabbi Moshe Rotberg – Rav of Zichron Yechezkel, Toms River NJ, Rov of Hatzalah of Central Jersey, Pyscotherapist - 47:11 with Mr. Yehuda Liff – Therapist at Retorno, Specializing in addiction – 1:09:38 מראי מקומות   

Episode 437: Major changes to the Major League Baseball draft system could be on the horizon with the new CBA. The league is deciding whether to include new draft eligibility rules that would cut out all high school players from being drafted. Jared, Dallas, Jay Hay, and Tyler break down the pros and cons of such a radical change, the ramifications it would have across Minor League Baseball, and the substantial boost college baseball would receive if it happens. The guys dive deep into the draft with one of the best interviews in Baseball is Dead history. Projected top-5 pick Jackson Flora joins the show for a great conversation about his draft process, his favorite team growing up, and an all-time answer to the show's patented final question for guests. The crew also discusses Tarik Skubal's return from injury and what his trade sweepstakes look like with just a few weeks left before the deadline. They also break down the most polarizing player in baseball right now: Dalton Rushing. Dive deep with Baseball is Dead and get ready for another loaded weekend of baseball action. 00:00:00 - Jared Returns From MLB Combine 00:03:05 - Last Year For High School Players to be Draft Eligible?  00:31:21 - The Rise of College Baseball at the Cost of Minor League Baseball  00:49:50 - Jackson Flora Joins BID  01:31:57 - Tarik Skubal Sweepstakes Update 01:37:18 - Paul Goldschmidt's Resurgence  01:39:21 - What Team Becomes The Scariest With Tarik Skubal?  01:43:43 - Another Yankees Cake Walk Through the AL? 01:48:36 - The Most Polarizing Player in Baseball: Dalton Rushing 01:55:08 - Family Feud  02:26:20 - Sign Up For The BID Patreon 02:30:21 - Award-Winning Nugs  02:37:18 -  Final Thoughts NEW BID MERCH IS HERE: https://www.baseballisdead.com Trade $20 get $20 on Kalshi - https://app.kalshi.com/1r91/BID Sign Up For Our Patreon for more Baseball Is Dead Content! https://www.patreon.com/cw/BaseballisDead Sign up for your one-dollar-per-month trial today at shopify.com/DEAD Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Bitcoin remains under pressure as another $469 million flows out of spot Bitcoin ETFs, pushing cumulative ETF demand to its weakest level since July 2025. Matt breaks down why institutional money continues leaving the market, what it means for Bitcoin's short-term outlook, and why history suggests long-term investors may still want to keep emotions in check despite growing fear.The episode also explores Japan's emergence as a global stablecoin leader, with both Circle's USDC and Ripple's RLUSD expanding into the country's regulated financial system. Matt discusses President Trump's decision to delay signing legislation containing a Federal Reserve CBDC ban, the implications for the Clarity Act, and why stablecoins—not Bitcoin—may ultimately become crypto's biggest real-world success story.Finally, Matt covers new crypto security incidents involving Genesis and Cardano wallets, Jameson Lopp's latest research on preparing Bitcoin for a post-quantum world, Kalshi's reported $40 billion valuation, and reflects on why every major Bitcoin bear market has tested investors' patience before rewarding those willing to think in years instead of weeks.Happy Hodling, Everyone. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Prediction markets aren't new. Election betting was common until the 1940s, then mysteriously faded away.There was an entire political era when party bosses were expected to conspicuously gamble on their candidates (even if they secretly hedged).And in the 1980s, a few economists designed an election market that beat out election polling 74 percent of the time.Today, we're running an excerpt from our friends at Throughline, NPR's excellent history podcast. Subscribe right now if you don't already. And, listen to their extended version of the episode to hear about the early markets for betting on terrorism and military uses of prediction markets.Support:NPR+Read: Our book: Planet Money: A Guide to the Economic Forces That Shape Your Life Our weekly longform Planet Money newsletterOur weekly Indicator round-up newsletterFollow: InstagramTikTokYouTubeFacebookToday's episode was produced for Planet Money by Sam Yellowhorse Kesler, edited by Alex Goldmark, and engineered by Maggie Luthar. The original Throughline episode was produced by Rund Abdelfatah, Casey Miner, Cristina Kim, Devin Katayama, Sarah Wyman, Julia Redpath, and Kyana Moghadam. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.NPR Privacy Policy

In this episode of The Brainstorm, Brett, Sam, and Nick explore the future of prediction markets, cutting-edge medical AI, and the surprising power of global events to reshape financialization. You'll discover how the World Cup has catapulted prediction markets into the spotlight, with volume trending towards over $100 billion annualized. We also uncover a revolutionary medical scanning device that promises to do high-definition ultrasound in a fraction of the cost and time, and break down the implications of accessible, frequent scans—tracking disease progression and enabling personalized health insights—while sparking debate on regulations, data privacy, and consumer bioscience.Key Points From This Episode:Prediction markets are seeing a huge surge in volume during the World Cup, driven partly by sports-betting restrictions in the U. S. and by new users exploring adjacent markets like crypto and Key Performance Indicators (KPI)/event-based contracts.Kalshi appears to be benefiting more than Polymarket in the current wave, with stronger U. S.-market exposure and regulatory positioning, while Polymarket's share has fallen and it's facing trust/marketing scrutiny.Midjourney's new medical scanning device sparked excitement and controversy because it could make frequent, lower-cost scans possible, potentially improving early detection and longitudinal health data, but also raising concerns about ambiguous findings and the tension between biohacking and traditional medical science.If you know ARK, you know we focus on long-term innovation. But that doesn't mean we ignore breaking news. Every day, we debate the latest developments in tech and markets. Now, we're bringing those conversations to you in “The Brainstorm,” a co-production from ARK, WOLF, and Public. Tune in weekly for our quick takes on what's shaping innovation right now.Learn more about WOLF: https://wolf.financialLearn more about Public: https://public.com/Disclosure: http://arkinv.st/39rzF94

Episode 436: Baseball is Dead is Down One Man. No, it's not because our guy Jared Carrabis ate 106 off his home, Saugus tough. Buster Posey feels like he just got rocked after another day of Giants stories dominating baseball. Posey's comments on the Pride Night fiasco have left Giants fans wanting more, just like the team's performance on the field. Jay Hay makes the case again for the Giants being forced to trade their ace Logan Webb, and the guys react to Rafael Devers' comments on his pinch-running incident. The Phillies lit up the Nationals in the 9th inning and are now just 5.5 games back of the first-place Atlanta Braves. The crew discusses the possibility of Philly storming back in the NL East race. Pete Crow-Armstrong's hot streak continues, but so do the injuries across the Chicago Cubs' starting rotation. With two starters landing on the IL, everyone's wondering what the Cubs' next pitching move will be. And lastly, the guys show some love to players across the league for their recent performances, and Jay Hay delivers some award-winning nugs! 00:00:00 - Jared Day To Day, Head Contusion   00:04:05 - Buster Posey's Statement on Pride Night  00:15:01 - Rafael Devers Speaks  00:20:34 - Do The Giants Have To Trade Logan Webb?     00:34:37 - Phillies Light Up The 9th vs Washington  00:42:02 - Jazz Chisholm, The Lollipop Kid. 00:51:22 - Show'em Some Love  01:00:00 - PCA's Greatness | Cubs Pitching Injuries Grow 01:05:47 - Can the Phillies catch the Braves?  01:12:52 - Award-Winning Nugs    01:15:28 - Final Thoughts  NEW BID MERCH IS HERE: https://www.baseballisdead.com Trade $20 get $20 on Kalshi - https://app.kalshi.com/1r91/BID Sign Up For Our Patreon for more Baseball Is Dead Content! https://www.patreon.com/cw/BaseballisDead Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

KALSHI: Download the Kalshi app and use code PHILLYTAKE to get ten dollars when you trade ten. The Philadelphia 76ers selected Labaron Philon Jr with the 22nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft. A lot of draft experts are saying the Sixers had one of the steals of the entire draft... but was it the best pick? RB provides his overall thoughts on the draft. Also, many fans are wondering how they will address one of their biggest issues in rebounding and more size. We also hear from Nick Nurse & Mike Gansey, who revealed a couple intriguing pieces of intel about Philon, the pending free agencies of Quentin Grimes & Kelly Oubre, the vision for the future of the Sixers, and much more! Today, we discuss it all! FOLLOW US ON ALL PLATFORMS: https://linktr.ee/phillytakewithrb CHECK OUT THE NEW MERCH: https://phillytakewithrb.com/ Philly Take Discord: https://discord.gg/vEXh2Aqp Venmo: https://venmo.com/phillytakewithrb CashApp: https://cash.app/$phillytakewithrb Subscribe to Philly Take with RB on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCZ6xo8_BSzZJVYfWEqEt1Gw INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/rbphillytake/ TWITTER: https://twitter.com/RBPhillyTake Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

KALSHI: Download the Kalshi app and use code PHILLYTAKE to get ten dollars when you trade ten. RB's live reaction & instant analysis to the Philadelphia 76ers selecting Labaron Philon Jr with the 22nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft. Did the Sixers get one of the sleepers of the draft? Was this the right pick? FOLLOW US ON ALL PLATFORMS: https://linktr.ee/phillytakewithrb CHECK OUT THE NEW MERCH: https://phillytakewithrb.com/ Philly Take Discord: https://discord.gg/vEXh2Aqp Venmo: https://venmo.com/phillytakewithrb CashApp: https://cash.app/$phillytakewithrb Subscribe to Philly Take with RB on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCZ6xo8_BSzZJVYfWEqEt1Gw INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/rbphillytake/ TWITTER: https://twitter.com/RBPhillyTake Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this episode, we sit down with Justin Welsh, entrepreneur, writer, and founder of a $15 million one-person business. After helping build two billion-dollar companies and raising more than $300 million in venture capital, Justin chose a different path; one focused on freedom, leverage, and ownership. We discuss the power of writing, the future of entrepreneurship in the age of AI, why many founders are building the wrong businesses, and how to create wealth without sacrificing your time, health, and relationships. If you want to build a business that supports your life instead of consuming it, this episode is for you.This episode is supported by Sydecar, HEX, Wispr Flow, Granola, Beehiiv, KalshiSydecar: http://Sydecar.io/partner/trailblazersbeehiiv: https://www.beehiiv.com/splash?utm_campaign=trailblazers-2026-Partnership&utm_medium=podcast&utm_source=trailblazers&utm_term=podcast-2&stripe_campaign_code=TRAILBLAZERS30 (or use code “trailblazers30” for 30% OFF)*beehiiv has a major announcement coming July 16 - can't say more, but you won't want to miss it. RSVP here: https://www.beehiiv.com/summer-release-2026Granola: http://granola.ai/trailblazers*Granola is the official notetaker of Trailblazers. Check out the episode show notes here: https://notes.granola.ai/t/5998b389-aaa5-4d9c-bc58-a7ff3230378c-009c2hmaKalshi: http://Kalshi.com/r/trailblazersWispr Flow: https://ref.wisprflow.ai/trailblazersHEX: http://hex.ai/trailblazers

KALSHI: Download the Kalshi app and use code PHILLYTAKE to get ten dollars when you trade ten. Giannis Antetokounmpo is about to be traded within the next 24 hours, before the start of the 2026 NBA Draft. According to Shams Charania, it is down to the Boston Celtics & the Miami Heat. So which team has the better offer? And how will this affect the Eastern Conference? In other news, Trae Young signed a massive 4-year contract with the Wizards after opting out of his player option... and it shocked everyone. Lastly, could any draft trades or surprises be on the horizon for the Sixers tomorrow night? Today, we discuss it all! FOLLOW US ON ALL PLATFORMS: https://linktr.ee/phillytakewithrb CHECK OUT THE NEW MERCH: https://phillytakewithrb.com/ Philly Take Discord: https://discord.gg/vEXh2Aqp Venmo: https://venmo.com/phillytakewithrb CashApp: https://cash.app/$phillytakewithrb Subscribe to Philly Take with RB on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCZ6xo8_BSzZJVYfWEqEt1Gw INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/rbphillytake/ TWITTER: https://twitter.com/RBPhillyTake Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Peter Schiff warns the bubble is popping as crypto leads the decline, while the bond market faces another breakdown with the 10-year potentially breaking above 5%. He emphasizes inflation is a choice—all Fed chairs chose it, and Warsh will too despite tough talk, because the alternative is politically unacceptable. He reveals the May deficit surged 30% while interest expense jumped 44%, with annual interest payments now hitting $1.6 trillion and will be $2 trillion by next year. Schiff identifies Japan as a looming harbinger with 250% debt-to-GDP, yields climbing above 4%, and the yen collapsing below 160 with potential for another 30-50% decline. His end game thesis: the US dollar loses reserve currency status, US assets get repriced down, and he's positioning to "have all the chips" at the finish line. Gold's pullback from $5,600 to $4,200 is a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" move, while silver at $65 is headed to $200 and Bitcoin at $64,000 should be sold. GDP growth is an illusion created by faulty deflators that understate inflation; the economy hasn't really expanded, just become more expensive, and stagflationary depression is locked in.Thank you to our sponsors: Kalshi - download the Kalshi app and use code JULIA to get $10 when you trade $10. kalshi.com/julia Monetary Metals - learn more at https://www.monetary-metals.com/julia/Links:https://x.com/PeterSchiffhttps://www.youtube.com/@peterschiffTimestamps: 0:00 Intro and welcome Peter Schiff 00:50 Air coming out of bubble 1:16 Markets too complacent on inflation risks1:45 Warsh has a problem - Hike or no hike, both bad3:36 Inflation is a choice - All Fed chairs chose it5:11 Warsh will choose inflation despite tough talk5:24 Bond market breakdown coming - 10-year to 5%, 30-year to 5.5-6%7:42 May deficit up 30%, interest expense up 44%8:13 Interest payments $1.6 trillion/year, will be $2 trillion next year9:39 Government spending up 50% since COVID, taxes reduced10:57 Inflation is hidden tax - Government prefers it11:52 Iran war costs through inflation, not direct taxation13:49 Wealth tax - Slippery slope, will hit middle class eventually19:56 Japan crisis - Debt to GDP 250%, yen collapsing below 16020:29 Japanese bond yields at 4% on 30-year, rising fast21:45 Japan could sell $1 trillion in US treasuries24:41 Japan harbinger for US crisis24:54 Treasury Secretary Paulson says crisis inevitable27:18 Gold warning sign - Pullback to $4,200 from $5,600 normal29:24 Silver at $65, headed to $20032:39 Stock market at highs but economy worse than Biden36:56 GDP illusion - Deflator too low, just prices not growth39:48 End game - Dollar won't be reserve currency40:40 Playing for end game, wants all chips at finish43:31 Contrarian predictions - Higher rates, higher oil, higher gold44:30 Japan crisis first domino, then dollar next45:01 Summary - Stagflation and end game thesis

I react to The View's horrifying and misleading coverage of the Karmelo Anthony case in this solo podcast episode. Check out Kalshi and trade $20 to get $20 for FREE using code “bradp” or this link: https://kalshi.com/sign-up?referral=bradp Support My Show: https://linktr.ee/bradpolumboSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Human beings have always loved to gamble. Archeological records suggest we've been doing it for the last 12,000 years, since the end of the last Ice Age. But for as long as we've been playing games of chance, we've worried about what they might be doing to us. For thousands of years, everyone from Aristotle to George Washington condemned gambling, an ancient anxiety that ran so deep it became something like a moral consensus. And then that consensus evaporated. In the span of a decade, both Canada and the US legalized sports betting. Now anyone with a smartphone and a credit card can wager on basketball, hockey, or American cornhole. But it turned out that was just the beginning. A few years later came “prediction markets” like Kalshi and Polymarket that let you bet on, well, just about anything: whether the US will invade Cuba, the odds of James Comey being sent to prison, and whether Jesus Christ will return before 2027. That last one, by the way, is currently sitting at 3 per cent on Polymarket. If betting on missile strikes, military coups, and political prosecutions feels kind of gross, I'm with you. But James Surowiecki thinks we should give prediction markets a chance. Surowiecki is the author of The Wisdom of Crowds, a book he wrote more than 20 years ago, where he argued that large groups of ordinary people are actually better than experts at making predictions. It's become something of a foundational text for these markets: the idea that they can crowdsource knowledge, aggregate what millions of people believe about the future, and use that signal to make better decisions. So I wanted to have James on to make the case for prediction markets, and to see if he could make me feel just a little less squeamish about a world where you can gamble on everything. Mentioned The Wisdom of Crowds, by James Surowiecki (Doubleday, 2004).  Francis Galton, “Vox Populi,” Nature 75 (1907): 450–451 — the–ox-weighing experiment. The 1986 Challenger disaster and Morton Thiokol's stock: Maloney & Mulherin, “The complexity of price discovery in an efficient market,” Journal of Financial Economics (2003).  Kalshi (prediction market platform). Polymarket (prediction market platform). The 2024 “French whale” (Théo), who used neighbour polls to bet roughly $85M on a Trump win — CBS–News / 60 Minutes. The Polymarket trader's well-timed bets on the June 2025 US strikes on Iran — CNN– The market on the length of a Karoline Leavitt White House briefing Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and the earnings-call “mention markets” — Tec–Crunch. The market on Maduro's removal and the ~$400K Venezuela payout — PBS–NewsHour. The Zohran Mamdani NYC mayoral market — DL –ews. The market on Bad Bunny's first Super Bowl LX song — Pol–market. DARPA's Policy Analysis Market (the “terrorism futures” proposal, cancelled after backlash in 2003) — CNN–(2003). The 1979 Iranian Revolution as a US intelligence failure — Nat–onal Security Archive, George Washington University. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Episode 629:  A Red Sox Series Victory? Yes, you read that right. The Red Sox took two out of three against the Seattle Mariners. A new Klark's Ketchup MVP was crowned in Seattle, and the guys brought back an old friend to the podcast. Marc “Beetle” Bertrand joins the show for a MEATY discussion on the 2026 Red Sox. Beetle and the guys break down the historical ineptitude this team is showing, Tyler's days working at 98.5, what Beetle would do to try to save the Red Sox, and much more. The Red Sox head to Coors Field next to face the Colorado Rockies, and there's no better way to preview the series than a little Stop & Shop and Weather Lookahead before three games in the Rocky Mountains. 00:00:00 - Intro 00:04:05 - Rafael Devers Pitch Runner Situation 00:08:57 - The Alex Cora Tweet 00:25:39 - Marc “Beetle” Bertrand Interview 03:06:37 - Taiku's 03:09:26 - Connelly Early Recap 03:14:09 - Section 10 Night in Portland 03:25:33 - Payton Tolle Recap 03:30:58 - Klark's Ketchup MVP Vote 03:43:10 - Stop & Shop 03:49:23 - Weather Lookahead 03:52:17 - Predictions 03:56:09 - Final Thoughts   SECTION 10 MERCH IS HERE: https://section10merch.com/ Trade $20 Get $20 on Kalshi - https://app.kalshi.com/1r91/Section10 Sign Up For Our Patreon for more Section 10 Content! https://www.patreon.com/cw/section10podcast Get Blue Moon Non-Alcoholic Belgian White Belgian-Style Wheat Brew delivered by visiting http://get.bluemoonbeer.com/JARED for delivery options Find out why Nutrafol is the best-selling hair growth supplement brand. Visit Nutrafol.com and enter promo code SECTION10 for $10 off your first month's subscription and free shipping. Don't sleep on @ultrapouches. New customers get 15% Off with code SECTION10 at takeultra.com! #UltraPouches #Ad Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/SECTION Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.comGrain Markets and Other Stuff Links —Apple PodcastsSpotifyTikTokYouTubeFutures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

Episode 435:  MLB Draft season is fast approaching! Our tribal chief, Jared, is away at the MLB Draft Combine, which allows Dallas, Tyler, and Jay Hay to get weird at the start of the week! Rafael Devers finds himself in the news once again for the wrong reasons. This time, it features him attempting to wave off a pinch runner and send him back to the dugout in the 9th inning. The guys react to the potential fallout of another public incident for Devers and the Giants organization. Bryce Harper hit for his own “Br-cycle” this week and added another milestone to his potential Hall of Fame career. The conversation on Harper leads the guys to discuss which active player most needs a World Series ring to cement their legacy.  And lastly, Byron Buxton has said he does not want to be traded from the Minnesota Twins. The crew reacts to the request and the lose-lose situation small-market superstars find themselves in during the social media era. 00:00:00 - Milky The Hunchback 00:02:13 - What Do the Giants Do With Rafael Devers? 00:31:34 - Bryce Harper Hits for the Cycle 00:40:26 - Whose Legacy Would Most Benefit From a World Series Ring? 00:48:08 - Jake Bauers Joins BID 01:21:54 - Byron Buxton Wants to Stay in Minnesota 01:35:25 - Housekeeping Around the League 01:39:19 - Home Run Derby Update 01:46:11 - Award-Winning Nugs 01:55:32 - Final Thoughts NEW BID MERCH IS HERE: https://www.baseballisdead.com Trade $20 get $20 on Kalshi - https://app.kalshi.com/1r91/BID Sign Up For Our Patreon for more Baseball Is Dead Content! https://www.patreon.com/cw/BaseballisDead For simple, online access to personalized and affordable care for Hair Loss, ED, Weight Loss, and more, visit Hims.com/BID Sign up for your one-dollar-per-month trial today at shopify.com/DEAD Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Ryan Spoon, President of Yahoo Media Group, talks with TITV Host Akash Pasricha about Cannes Lions, World Cup and prediction markets. We also talk with The Information's Cory Weinberg about SpaceX's 74-day IPO track and its balance sheet implications for OpenAI and Anthropic, and Yueqi Yang about Kalshi holding informal IPO talks after surpassing $2 billion in annualized revenue. Finally, we get into Bernie Sanders' new 50% AI equity tax proposal with our reporter Eli Rosenberg.Articles discussed on this episode: https://www.theinformation.com/articles/law-professor-behind-bernies-ai-sovereign-wealth-fund-ideahttps://www.theinformation.com/newsletters/the-briefing/cannes-ad-festival-puts-openais-projections-spotlighthttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/openais-light-balance-sheet-face-hard-look-ipoSubscribe: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theinformation The Information: https://www.theinformation.com/subscribe_hSign up for the AI Agenda newsletter: https://www.theinformation.com/features/ai-agendaTITV airs weekdays on YouTube, X and LinkedIn at 10AM PT / 1PM ET. Or check us out wherever you get your podcasts.Follow us:X: https://x.com/theinformationIG: https://www.instagram.com/theinformation/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@titv.theinformationLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/theinformation/Chapters:00:00 - Introduction 01:13 - Yahoo Media's Ryan Spoon on Cannes Lions & Live Sports 05:21 - Prediction Markets, Polymarket, and Kalshi Tactics 11:20 - SpaceX's Record 74-Day Confidential IPO Window 15:19 - OpenAI & Anthropic Off-Balance-Sheet Commitments 24:43 - Kalshi Crosses $2B Revenue, Explores Bank Talks 31:02 - Inside Bernie Sanders' $7T Sovereign AI Wealth Tax 36:25 - The UC Davis Law Professor Behind the AI Equity Plan

Join John Macari and Marlon Bethel on this explosive episode of The Finest Unfiltered as they break down two major attacks on NYPD officers that unfolded within hours of each other. According to reports, NYPD officers approached a vehicle reported stolen when the driver suddenly accelerated, striking multiple officers, including an NYPD Sergeant. Officers opened fire, striking the suspect, who was taken into custody. Both the Sergeant and suspect are expected to recover. John and Marlon discuss the incident, the use of force involved, and whether NYC's criminal justice system will hold the suspect accountable. We wish the Sergeant a speedy recovery and examine what charges should follow and whether Bronx District Attorney Darcel Clark will aggressively prosecute the case. Also discussed: An NYPD officer shot during a gun battle with a barricaded suspect in Bedford-Stuyvesant, Brooklyn. The dramatic standoff involving Lamin Simmons that led to an exchange of gunfire inside a residential neighborhood. The risks officers face every day responding to dangerous calls. The growing controversy surrounding nearly $13 billion in NYC Department of Education contracts and the questions taxpayers are asking. The latest public safety headlines impacting New York City. Sponsored By Kalshi On Kalshi, you're trading against peers in a live market — meaning there's no house. As probabilities change, you can buy and sell your position in real time. For a limited time, download the Kalshi app and use code FINEST to get $10 when you trade $10. http://kalshi.com/r/FINEST K-A-L-S-H-I. Kalshi. Trade on anything. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices, values, and available markets may differ from those mentioned. For more information see http://kalshi.com/regulatory. #NYPD #Bronx #Brooklyn #BedStuy #PoliceNews #CrimeNews #JohnMacari #MarlonBethel #TheFinestUnfiltered #NYC #PublicSafety #LawEnforcement #BreakingNews #Kalshi ️ New to streaming or looking to level up? Check out StreamYard and get $10 discount! https://streamyard.com/pal/d/5689366474915840 Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Kentucky sues prediction market giants Kalshi and Polymarket, plans appear to be hon hold for a data center company looking to operate in Lexington, an environmental public interest group is helping local governments craft ordinances for data centers, and Louisville celebrates affordable housing projects funded by the American Rescue Plan.

Prediction markets have become one of the biggest stories in gaming, fintech and sports betting, but Canada's approach looks very different from the United States.Kalshi is entering the Canadian market through a partnership with Wealthsimple, giving users access to thousands of event contracts. However, there is one major restriction: no sports betting contracts and no political markets. In this episode of iGaming Daily, Fernando Noodt is joined by Canadian Gaming Business Editor Tom Nightingale to break down:

A shooting in Times Square following the New York Knicks Championship Parade has reignited debate about public safety, gun-free zones, and the challenges facing the NYPD during large-scale events. On this episode of The Finest Unfiltered, John Macari and Marlon Bethel examine the shooting, the circumstances surrounding it, and what it reveals about crime, enforcement, deterrence, and the realities of policing one of the most heavily visited locations in the world. Is Times Square really a “Gun Free Zone,” or are law-abiding citizens the only ones following the rules? What lessons should city leaders and law enforcement take away from this incident? Also Discussed: The viral NYPD officer-civilian confrontation that's dividing social media The NYPD's deployment for the Knicks Championship Parade—the good, the bad, and the ugly Crowd management, staffing, overtime, and public safety challenges Crime policy, enforcement, and public perception in NYC ️ The latest developments impacting the NYPD and New York City John and Marlon bring decades of law enforcement experience to a conversation that goes beyond the headlines and asks the questions many New Yorkers are already asking. Join the discussion and let us know your thoughts in the comments. ⸻ Sponsored By Kalshi On Kalshi, you're trading against peers in a live market — meaning there's no house. As probabilities change, you can buy and sell your position in real time. For a limited time, download the Kalshi app and use code FINEST to get $10 when you trade $10. http://kalshi.com/r/FINEST K-A-L-S-H-I. Kalshi. Trade on anything. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices, values, and available markets may differ from those mentioned. For more information see http://kalshi.com/regulatory. Hashtags #TimesSquare #NYPD #NYC #KnicksParade #TimesSquareShooting #PublicSafety #JohnMacari #MarlonBethel #TheFinestUnfiltered #Crime #NewYorkCity #LawEnforcement #Knicks #GunFreeZone #NYCNews ️ New to streaming or looking to level up? Check out StreamYard and get $10 discount! https://streamyard.com/pal/d/5689366474915840 Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Kalshi just brought crypto perps to the US, targeting a $90 trillion offshore market. Its Head of Crypto, John Wang, explains the bet, the risks, and who Kalshi is actually competing with. ======================================================== Thank you to our sponsor! ⁠⁠⁠Fidelity⁠⁠⁠: Fidelity has been building in crypto and DeFi since 2014 — now they're hiring. Explore career opportunities at one of the most forward-thinking names in finance here: ⁠⁠⁠crypto.fidelitycareers.com⁠⁠⁠. ⁠⁠⁠Cape⁠⁠⁠: Your biggest crypto vulnerability isn't your wallet, it's your phone number. Cape is America's privacy-first mobile carrier that rotates your SIM identity daily and blocks SIM swaps before they happen. Get 33% off your first six months at cape.co/unchained (use code: UNCHAINED). ======================================================== The $90 trillion offshore market for crypto perpetual futures just got its first US-regulated entrant. Kalshi — the prediction market exchange that raised $1 billion at a $22 billion valuation — launched the first CFTC-approved crypto perps, becoming the only domestic exchange approved on launch day. John Wang, Kalshi's Head of Crypto, joins Laura Shin to map how perpetual futures work, why Kalshi's guarantee fund and segregated accounts differ from what offshore venues provide, and how the exchange plans to compete with Hyperliquid, Coinbase, and Kraken. Wang pushes back on CME Group CEO Terry Duffy's claim that crypto perps are "a disaster waiting to happen," noting CME's own futures carry higher leverage than Kalshi's platform. He covers the ARCA and Galaxy block trades on Kalshi's prediction markets, insider trading protections built around athlete and congressional staff lists, and the regulatory filings separating Kalshi from perps on equities. Wang estimates only 0.2% of the US has adopted perpetual futures — the real growth has barely started. Host: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Laura Shin⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, Host / Unchained Guests: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠John Wang - Head of Crypto at Kalshi Timestamps

The by-election results that could trigger a Labour leadership crisis, with Andy Burnham, Keir Starmer, and Reform UK all with stakes in the result. *Trade on what happens next with Kalshi. Trade $10 with code TRIGGER and receive $10 free. http://kalshi.com/r/TRIGGER Triggernometry is proudly independent. Thanks to the following sponsor for making that possible: - Go to https://Sheath.com. Use code TRIGGERNOMETRY for 20% off Join our exclusive TRIGGERnometry community on Substack! https://triggernometry.substack.com/ OR Support TRIGGERnometry Here: Bitcoin: bc1qm6vvhduc6s3rvy8u76sllmrfpynfv94qw8p8d5 Shop Merch here - https://shop.triggerpod.co.uk/ Advertise on Triggernometry: https://trigger-brands.com | or enquire at marketing@triggerpod.co.uk Find TRIGGERnometry on Social Media: https://twitter.com/triggerpod https://www.facebook.com/triggerpod/ https://www.instagram.com/triggerpod/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Episode 628: The Red Sox keep finding new ways to disappoint us all. This series featured a 3-game sweep at the hands of the Toronto Blue Jays. Full-on apathy toward this team is hitting harder than ever. Finding positives has become increasingly difficult, but Tyler's love of IKF and Jake Bennett still shine through the haze of last place. After the sweep, players in the clubhouse spoke extremely candidly, and the guys react to Trevor Story and IKF's reactions to yet another debacle of a start for the Red Sox. Jared uses historical comparisons to put the severity of what we're watching with the 2026 Red Sox into context, while also forecasting who could realistically be traded from this team. Tyler lays down an ultimatum for the Boston Red Sox and reveals he is not a future firefighter in training. The guys revive “Down in the DMs” to hear fans' frustrations and questions on the eve of Section 10 Night in Portland. Come out to Portland and meet the entire Section 10 Crew! Tickets are still available! 00:00:00 - Craig Breslow Still Believes 00:10:23 - Apathy Has Set In 00:14:39 - IKF's Leg Kick 00:16:01 - Honest Quotes from the Clubhouse 00:18:42 - 1-40 When Down 2+ Runs 00:21:41 - Willson Contreras and Sonny Gray 00:29:33 - 1-29 with RISP vs. Blue Jays 00:32:46 - Who Does Kalshi Think Will Be Traded? 00:35:33 - What Team Is Worse? 1992 Red Sox or 2026 Red Sox 00:40:48 - The Concept of Theo Epstein 00:53:52 - “If Stanton Comes to the Red Sox, I'll Never Watch Another Game.” 00:56:35 - Sonny Gray's Contract Details 01:00:08 - Thank You to Felger and Mazz for Listening! 01:02:58 - Who Is Tyler Saving from a Burning Building? 01:06:38 - Connor Wong & Caleb Durbin's Pop Fly in the 9th 01:12:29 - Jake Bennett's Number One Supporter 01:23:02 - Down in the DMs | Aquarium Talk, Maine Question of the Week & John Williams 01:57:10 - Stop & Shop 02:00:35 - Weather Lookahead 02:05:40 - Taikus 02:07:28 - Kyle Boddy Leaves Red Sox Organization 02:10:48 - Predictions 02:14:10 - Final Thoughts SECTION 10 MERCH IS HERE: https://section10merch.com/ Trade $20 Get $20 on Kalshi - https://app.kalshi.com/1r91/Section10 Sign Up For Our Patreon for more Section 10 Content! https://www.patreon.com/cw/section10podcast Get Blue Moon Non-Alcoholic Belgian White Belgian-Style Wheat Brew delivered by visiting http://get.bluemoonbeer.com/JARED for delivery options Find out why Nutrafol is the best-selling hair growth supplement brand. Visit Nutrafol.com and enter promo code SECTION10 for $10 off your first month's subscription and free shipping. Shop plans at mintmobil.com/SECTION10 Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at https://ethos.com/SECTION Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

P.M. Edition for June 18. WSJ senior video and national security reporter Shelby Holliday discusses the technology on the dilapidated ships carrying sanctioned oil that makes them a risk around the world. Plus, the Supreme Court rules that not all drug users can be banned from owning guns, expanding the reach of the Second Amendment. And CME, the U.S.'s leading futures exchange, sues the CFTC to stop prediction-market platform Kalshi from diving into the market for the trendy derivatives known as “perps.” Alex Ossola hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newslette Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Tim Cook warned Apple price hikes are unavoidable as AI gobbles up memory chips. Noam Shazeer bolted from Google to OpenAI. Midjourney unveiled a bizarre full-body ultrasound scanner, and businesses piled into Kalshi to hedge real-world risk. In an interview, Tim Cook says Apple price hikes are "unavoidable" to offset surging memory and storage chip costs, and "the situation has become unsustainable" (The Wall Street Journal) Star Google AI Researcher Shazeer Joins OpenAI (The Information) Midjourney unveils its first hardware product, the Midjourney Scanner, an ultrasound-based full-body scanner; it is unclear how AI fits into the medical effort (The Verge) Businesses have started using Kalshi to hedge business risks; Kalshi says institutional trading volume on its platform has grown 800% since November 2025 (The New York Times) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

CME CEO says they will sue the CFTC. CME CEO Terrence Duffy says the exchange will sue the CFTC, arguing the regulator's approval of Kalshi's perpetual futures violates the Dodd-Frank Act by treating what are really swaps as futures. CoinDesk's Jennifer Sanasie hosts "CoinDesk Daily." - This episode was hosted by Jennifer Sanasie. “CoinDesk Daily” is produced by Jennifer Sanasie and edited by Victor Chen.

Episode 434: The dawn of a new era has arrived. Baseball Is Dead Family Feud has leveled up with the addition of a rotating fourth player. Each Thursday, a new guest will join the mix to complete a 2-vs-2 round. Teammates will be bonded for life… and hearts will be broken forever. Before the feud begins, the guys break down the major change Major League Baseball made to the Home Run Derby rules — the clock is gone, replaced by a set number of swings. The crew shares their thoughts on the new format, along with the official start of award season in Casa de Carrabis. Shohei Ohtani's “struggles” on the mound have the guys intrigued as he continues his historic chase for both the MVP and Cy Young in what's shaping up to be one of the greatest National League Cy Young races in history. Finally, Bruce Meyer joins Baseball Is Dead to break down the latest in MLB labor negotiations. Will there be a strike? Will games be missed? And is a salary cap actually coming to baseball? Lock in for a loaded edition of Baseball Is Dead! 00:00:00 - Vote Nick Kurtz   00:02:28 - Major Home Run Derby Rule Change   00:30:38 - Award Season in The Carrabis House | What Award Should Jared Win Next? Let Us Know In The Comments! 00:41:12 - Ohtani “Struggles” on The Mound    00:56:05 - Pete Crow-Armstrong on a HEATER  01:01:54 - What Do The Cubs Do at The Trade Deadline?  01:11:17 - A New Era of Family Feud Begins   01:41:06 - Join the Baseball Is Dead Patreon! 01:42:30 - Bruce Meyer Joins BID   02:37:23 - Nugs 02:44:11 - Final Thoughts NEW BID MERCH IS HERE: https://www.baseballisdead.com Trade $20 get $20 on Kalshi - https://app.kalshi.com/1r91/BID Sign Up For Our Patreon for more Baseball Is Dead Content! https://www.patreon.com/cw/BaseballisDead Don't sleep on @ultrapouches. New customers get 15% Off with code BID at takeultra.com! #UltraPouches #Ad Sign up for your one-dollar-per-month trial today at shopify.com/DEAD Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

00:00 Welcome to Boys Club Live 00:34 Williamsburg Cold Open 01:14 Pride and Internet Bits 05:03 NoDi Micro Neighborhoods 07:06 Why NoDi Went Viral 12:01 Commit to the Bit 13:32 Timothée Chalamet Kalshi Ad 21:02 Neighbor Noise and Sports Vibes 23:52 Is Basketball Scripted 27:18 World Cup Tourist Freddy 31:09 America Middle Class Envy 32:08 NYC Grass Is Greener 32:30 Freddy Goes Viral 35:27 Do You Bet 37:24 Nick Devor (Barrons) 38:06 Kalshi Chalamet Ad 40:06 Sportsbooks Plateau 44:55 CFTC Draft Rules 48:15 World Cup Betting Boom 52:21 Polymarket US Volume 54:58 Sports Shift And Partnerships 57:42 Sportsbook Vs Event Contracts 01:01:07 Five Year Outlook 01:02:52 Kalshi vs Polymarket 01:03:53 Do Fees Matter 01:05:34 World Cup Betting Economics 01:07:30 Guest Swap and Research 01:08:07 David Rosenberg (Notion) 01:09:41 Career Bets Explained 01:13:38 Founder Psyop Debate 01:16:07 Fun Is the Moat 01:18:01 Notion as AI Company 01:20:57 Founder Advice in AI 01:26:01 Model Drops at Notion 01:29:06 Emrata Essay Discourse 01:35:32 Wrap and Thanks

In this episode, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO of QI Research and former Fed insider, gives Kevin Warsh a 9 out of 10 on his first FOMC meeting and press conference, saying "it sounds like he's fed up too" after witnessing a dramatic departure from Powell's approach. Warsh delivered a remarkably short statement (140 words vs Powell's 341 words), removed the dot plot entirely ("show don't tell"), eliminated forward guidance, and created five task forces including communications overhaul, data exploration, and inflationary frameworks review. Danielle was thrilled he's revisiting the arbitrary 2% inflation target, moving away from core PCE (which she calls "a bunch of BS" because stock market gains inflate the metric), and exploring trim mean inflation instead. Warsh went to a grocery store asking people if Fed policy actually helps with gas, beef, and egg prices—demonstrating he understands Fed policy cannot address supply-driven inflation. He called non-farm payroll data "echoes of history" and demanded accountability, slamming the NBER for being "derelict in their duty" to call recessions when bankruptcy filings are up 38% year-over-year and personal bankruptcies surged 8%. Danielle warns the market is "calling his bluff" after today's sell-off, notes no junk bonds have been sold in 41 days signaling credit stress, and says to watch the MOVE index and credit spreads closely as the next tell. She's cautiously optimistic but "wait and see," drawing comparisons to Powell's 2018 pivot when he reversed course after market pain. Warsh managed a unanimous vote despite the aggressive reform agenda.Thank you to our sponsors: Kalshi - download the Kalshi app and use code JULIA to get $10 when you trade $10. https://www.kalshi.com/julia Monetary Metals - learn more at https://www.monetary-metals.com/julia/Links: Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DanielleDiMartinoBoothQIFed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/0735211655Timestamps: 0:00 Introduction - Fed day with Danielle DiMartino Booth 1:37 Statement very short - 140 words vs Powell's 341, "fed up too"2:14 No forward guidance, removed dot plot - "show don't tell"3:13 Warsh strategic approach - "I'm going to fix this broken institution"5:20 Five task forces including communications and inflationary frameworks7:48 Revisit 2% inflation target - Arbitrary and unnecessary14:10 Rate cuts - most traders on Kalshi expect zero16:57 Markets lower today, Wall Street calling his bluff17:51 Bankruptcies up 38.4% year over year, personal up 8%19:00 NBER derelict in recession calling - Should have called 202524:43 Non-farm payroll data unreliable until third revision - "echoes of history"26:09 Financial markets work best reacting to real data, not Fed speak27:20 Overall impression 9 out of 10, cautiously optimistic29:15 Watch MOVE index and credit spreads for next signal30:00 Warsh got unanimous vote - Corralled all governors

CME Group filed a federal lawsuit in Washington, D.C. against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and Chairman Michael Selig. The suit challenges the regulator's recent decision to approve perpetual futures for Kalshi and Coinbase, arguing that these 24/7 contracts are legally swaps rather than futures. GUEST: Chris Perkins, CEO of 250 Digital Asset Follow Chris on X ➜ https://x.com/perkinscr97 ~This episode is sponsored by iTrust Capital~ iTrustCapital | Get $100 Funding Reward + No Monthly Fees when you sign up using our custom link! ➜ https://bit.ly/iTrustPaul 00:00 intro 00:10 Sponsor: iTrust Capital 00:31 Chris Perkins on Perps 03:25 Terry Duffy Sues CFTC 04:35 CME Trying To Kill Crypto Perps 07:24 Terry Duffy Calls Michael Selig a Liar on CNBC 07:56 Banning Hyperliquid? 09:55 CME Monopoly Power 11:20 Chicago Crypto "Privilege Tax" 12:17 Federal Reserve Stablecoin ID Checks!? 16:19 $STRC Collapsing! 18:35 BlackRock Causing $STRC Mass Exit? 19:54 Coincidence? 20:15 CNBC Fudding Michael Saylor 21:08 Nothing To Worry About? 22:24 Michael Saylor: A.I. is Not a Problem 23:00 Quantum & A.I. will help crypto? 24:00 Lightning Round 24:26 July 4th Crash 24:40 Peter Schiff 24:52 CME vs Hyperliquid 25:11 Strategy to BlackRock? 25:34 Brian vs Dimon 26:10 Morpho & Vaults 27:12 SpaceX vs Solana & Hyperliquid 27:40 Binance vs Coinbase 28:55 Federal Reserve vs Uncertainty 30:36 outro #Bitcoin #XRP #Ethereum ~TradFi Sues CFTC!

Episode 433: All-Star season is officially here! The first round of voting has been released, and Dallas has officially begun his campaign for Nick Kurtz to make the All-Star Game. The conversation then shifts to a debate over who the best catcher in baseball is following Drake Baldwin's return to the Atlanta Braves. According to recent reporting, the San Francisco Giants are open for business. A disastrous season has forced Buster Posey to try to move the big contracts of Rafael Devers, Willy Adames, and Matt Chapman. The guys break down exactly what it would take to trade those massive deals and who among the three high-dollar players is the real prize. The Giants remain in the news for all the wrong reasons. Landen Roupp, JT Brubaker, and Ryan Walker all wrote Bible verses on their hats during Pride Night at the stadium, turning a night meant for inclusion into a debate about something much bigger. Lastly, the guys show some love for players who are succeeding around the league on the eve of a landmark edition of Baseball is Dead. 00:00:00 - Vote Nick Kurtz 00:08:27 - Who Is the Best Catcher in Baseball? 00:21:12 - The Giants Are Open for Business 00:41:35 - What Team With a Losing Record Would You Want to Take Over? 00:48:49 - Giants Pride Night Controversy 01:07:34 - Show 'Em Some Love 01:20:44 - Final Thoughts | Join the BID Patreon! Link in the Description NEW BID MERCH IS HERE: https://www.baseballisdead.com Trade $20 get $20 on Kalshi - http://www.kalshi.com/r/BID Sign Up For Our Patreon for more Baseball Is Dead Content! https://www.patreon.com/cw/BaseballisDead Sign up for your one-dollar-per-month trial today at shopify.com/DEAD Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The long-awaited debut of Red Sox Farm Director Brian Abraham is here! Tyler is like a kid in a candy store with Brian on the show. He asks about Franklin Arias' upcoming Triple-A call-up and gets an update on Kristian Campbell's progression back to the major leagues. Jared joins Tyler with questions on how the Red Sox develop winning culture in the minor leagues and more! Tune in for an engaging conversation with the Red Sox Farm Director and get filled in on all the latest happenings from down on the farm. SECTION 10 MERCH IS HERE: ⁠https://section10merch.com⁠ Trade $20 Get $20 on Kalshi - ⁠http://kalshi.com/r/SECTION10⁠  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

On this week's episode: Space X's IPO is a POS ... We'll explain to Eli why you can't bet against Kalshi's continued existence on Kalshi ... And Knicks fans like Heath can finally die happy.To support our show on Patreon, go here:patreon.com/skepticratTo hear more from Evil Giraffes on Mars, go here:facebook.com/EvilGiraffesOnMarsGet great deals while supporting the show by checking out our sponsors:quince.com/skepticratmintmobile.com/skepticratauraframes.com (code: SKEPTICRAT)groundnews.com/skepticratHeadline Sources: SpaceX IPO is full of shenanigans: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/10/business/spacex-ipo-what-to-know.htmlhttps://www.nytimes.com/live/2026/06/12/business/spacex-ipo-elon-muskNo injuries, no props - CFTC proposes prediction market rules: https://www.espn.com/espn/betting/story/_/id/49019930/cftc-proposes-rules-limiting-prediction-markets-kalshi-sportshttps://www.theverge.com/business/948083/kalshi-prediction-markets-insider-tradingPentagon releases third tranche of UFO files, revealing more nothing: https://www.cbsnews.com/news/ufo-files-pentagon-3rd-release-documents-videos/Videos: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WpT4K5ZElXECIA officer found with $40 million in gold bars and his entire life story was a lie: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/arrest-303-gold-bars-cia-officer-spun-tale-was-top-gun-fighter-pilot-rcna349037https://www.nytimes.com/2026/06/10/us/politics/pentagon-cia-officer-gold-bars.htmlBathroom break during French Open match:https://apnews.com/article/arthur-gea-bathroom-break-french-open-3c031bafb4dd161fb074ccadb091e6d1Bryce Harper toothpaste insanity: https://apnews.com/article/bryce-harper-phillies-toothpaste-toothbrush-63653a5054c0acd4c2db43da48d75590Trump ruins the Knicks 13-game playoff win streak but then hopefully it's happy or something: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/08/trump-booed-knicks-spurs-madison-square-garden.htmlPete Hegseth's fitness calamities continue to be impossibly funny: https://www.reddit.com/r/SipsTea/comments/1u3b1b4/hegseth_struggling_to_put_up_weight_at_guantanamo/

Episode 627: A series win for the Red Sox feels like a confusing process in 2026. Stories about the Sox have given the guys plenty of news to react to, and the latest batch continues to highlight just how dysfunctional the front office has become. Sam Kennedy's quotes about selling in early June brought the reality of the season into sharp focus, leaving the boys asking whether simply winning series is what fans should even want for the rest of the year. The team's recent form won't stop Jared, Steve, and Tyler from heading to AMB. They recap their latest Fenway Friday experience—including an interview that will be released soon! Trade rumors continue to swirl, highlighted by Aroldis Chapman calling out Yankees GM Brian Cashman. Willson Contreras has carried the Red Sox on his back all season, and the crew weighs the risk of trading him while he still has control left on his contract. The Tartan Army's takeover of Fenway during Sunday Night Baseball took center stage, sparking a plea to bring them back for the next series against the Blue Jays. Stevie Stats drops some eye-popping numbers that may cause early-onset baldness, and for the first time in a long time, the Klark's Ketchup MVP is handed out. 00:00:00 - Section 10 Discord, Elite00:03:36 - AMB Fridays00:07:33 - An Interesting Sighting at Fenway00:12:41 - Sam Kennedy's Quotes | Do We Want Sam on The 10? Let Us Know in the Comments00:19:22 - Pedroia Says No to the Sox00:28:44 - Laughing Stock of the League (Again)00:42:08 - Sox Win a Series?? + Sox in the Box00:54:43 - Sunday Night Sox00:55:07 - Taikus01:00:51 - What Are We Rooting For This Year?01:01:57 - Say Sorry to Chapman, Cashman01:06:34 - Team Extreme at AMB 01:10:37 - Brian Abraham Interview Coming Soon…01:15:46 - What Would the Red Sox Be Without WC-40?01:22:15 - Would You Consider Trading WC-40?01:25:05 - Jared's Bad Take01:31:52 - Scot Sox01:44:34 - Bowser and Romy Coming to Save the Season?01:50:49 - Roman Anthony, Mob Boss02:00:41 - 0-37 When Down 3+ Runs This Year02:02:27 - Klark's Ketchup MVP Vote02:20:28 - Stop and Shop02:25:42 - Weather Lookahead02:28:50 - Predictions | Bring the Scots Back to AMB02:37:09 - Final Thoughts  Get your Sea Dogs Tickets For Section 10 Night! https://www.gofevo.com/event/Section10TixJerz2026?_gl=1*1yekqqg*_gcl_au*MTYwNDc4MDMyNi4xNzc5MTQxOTkw*_ga*MTQ4ODcyNDk0NC4xNzc5MTQxOTkw*_ga_HBHG8ES33G*czE3NzkxNDE5ODkkbzEkZzEkdDE3NzkxNDIyMTgkajYwJGwwJGgw We're looking for an intern to help cut clips from our shows! Interested? Send an email to Section10intern@gmail.com with examples of your work. SECTION 10 MERCH IS HERE: ⁠https://section10merch.com⁠ Trade $20 Get $20 on Kalshi - ⁠http://kalshi.com/r/SECTION10⁠  Get Blue Moon Non-Alcoholic Belgian White Belgian-Style Wheat Brew delivered by visiting ⁠http://get.bluemoonbeer.com/JARED⁠ for delivery options Find out why Nutrafol is the best-selling hair growth supplement brand. Visit Nutrafol.com and enter promo code SECTION10 for $10 off your first month's subscription and free shipping. Discover upgraded basics, fresh styles, and more at http://mackweldon.com Plus, get 20% off your first order of $125 or more with code SECTION10. This episode of Section 10 is sponsored by BetterHelp. Sign up and get 10% off at https://BetterHelp.com/ROCKET #ad  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

On Tuesday night, oyster farmer and combat veteran Graham Platner overwhelmingly sailed to victory in the Democratic Senate primary in Maine. His opponent, Gov. Janet Mills unofficially dropped out in late April, leaving Platner effectively unopposed. But a series of scandals rocked his candidacy, leaving his viability against Republican Sen. Susan Collins in November in question.The veteran has repeatedly emphasized the way his combat trauma made him a worse version of himself, and how in later years he has been able to heal and evolve. In Maine, Democrats so far appear to have accepted that message of redemption, and his promise to provide a progressive economic agenda for Maine.“It's a very working-class state that has been very badly impacted by job loss and then, in recent years, by a pretty extreme wave of gentrification,” Intercept reporter Noah Hurowitz says. “The progressive policy agenda of Graham Platner combined with the perceived authenticity of his ‘I am a fighter, I will actually do this,' whereas Janet Mills who has been in power and overseen a lot of this and has not been perceived to bring a lot of the changes that Mainers seek” is resonating with voters. We also check in on California, where Intercept contributor Jordan Uhl breaks down the latest conspiracy theories about voter suppression, which conservatives have hinged on the defeat of former reality TV star Spencer Pratt, and the early results in the governor's race. Uhl also breaks down how betting platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are adding to the confusion, and what that could mean come November. “If they don't like the outcome, it's rigged. If they like the outcome, it's fine,” says Uhl. “At the gubernatorial level, you can see how Megyn Kelly pointing to prediction market data is symptomatic of a larger problem here. People weren't looking to actual polling data. They were looking to the behavior of gamblers to inform their analysis.”Full transcript: https://interc.pt/3S6IcaaKeep our investigations free and fearless at theintercept.com/join. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

It's real: The two great flavors of What Next and What Next TBD together at last. But what's not real? Where does a sincere speaker using a medium with a motive fall? And how much wolf can you cry before they just take you off shepherd duty?This episode is member-exclusive. Listen to it now by subscribing to Slate Plus. By joining, not only will you unlock exclusive episodes of What Next —you'll also access ad-free listening across all your favorite Slate podcasts. You can subscribe directly from the What Next show page on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Or, visit slate.com/whatnextplus to get access wherever you listen.Podcast production by Patrick Fort, Evan Campbell, Paige Osburn, Madeline Ducharme, and Rob Gunther. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.