Podcasts about kalshi

The Circle Back crew of Jacob Gramegna, Joey Knish, Chris Dierkes & Storm Pig dive deep into the latest and greatest news and drama from Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week. Today's show discusses Chris Dierkes' failed attempt at angle shooting, if pick sellers are self-aware, a possible new trend in Las Vegas casinos and much more

A breakthrough benchmark is testing whether AI can actually predict future events by analyzing real-world data. Researchers at the University of Chicago just launched Profit Arena, a new AI evaluation platform that measures "predictive intelligence" by having models forecast outcomes on live prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket. Early results show AI models like GPT-4 and Claude are already performing as well as or better than human forecasters, with some models finding real market edges - like one AI that correctly predicted a Toronto FC soccer win when the market only gave it 11% odds. This represents a major shift from traditional saturated benchmarks toward dynamic, real-world testing that could reshape how we measure AI progress.Brought to you by:KPMG – Discover how AI is transforming possibility into reality. Tune into the new KPMG 'You Can with AI' podcast and unlock insights that will inform smarter decisions inside your enterprise. Listen now and start shaping your future with every episode. ⁠⁠⁠https://www.kpmg.us/AIpodcasts⁠⁠⁠Blitzy.com - Go to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://blitzy.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ to build enterprise software in days, not months Vanta - Simplify compliance - ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://vanta.com/nlw⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Plumb - The automation platform for AI experts and consultants ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://useplumb.com/⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Agent Readiness Audit from Superintelligent - Go to ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://besuper.ai/ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠to request your company's agent readiness score.The AI Daily Brief helps you understand the most important news and discussions in AI. Subscribe to the podcast version of The AI Daily Brief wherever you listen: https://pod.link/1680633614Subscribe to the newsletter: https://aidailybrief.beehiiv.com/Interested in sponsoring the show? nlw@breakdown.network

Rob Pizzola and the team from The Hammer Betting Network dive deep into the latest news and drama making waves on Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week with Joey Knish, Chris Dierkes, and Jacob Gramegna. In today's show, we react to Chris Dierkes' (Flupnolide) outburst right before recording our live show, we recap BetBash 2025 and discuss Rufus Peabody sticking up for Steve Fezzik's tout service. Whether you're here for the insights or just the entertainment, don't miss this lively discussion on the hottest topics in the betting community on Circle Back, the latest show on The Hammer Betting Network, part of Circles Off and proudly presented by Kalshi.

Recorded LIVE from Bet Bash, Rob Pizzola and the team from The Hammer Betting Network dive deep into the latest news and drama making waves on Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week with Joey Knish, Chris Dierkes, and Jacob Gramegna. In today's show, we discuss Ohio potentially banning all player prop wagering, Taylor Swift's appearance on the Kelce brothers' New Heights podcast, the best moments from Bet Bash 2025 and much more. Whether you're here for the insights or just the entertainment, don't miss this lively discussion on the hottest topics in the betting community on Circle Back, the latest show on The Hammer Betting Network, part of Circles Off and proudly presented by Kalshi.

Dave Smith brings you the latest in politics! On this episode of Part Of The Problem, Dave responds to Coleman Hughes' video regarding Gaza, and more.Support Our Sponsors:Naturally reset your mind + uplift your mood with Mind Lift from The Wellness Company! Visit twc.health/problem and use code PROBLEM for 10% off + FREE Shipping!Kalshi - https://kalshi.com/daveMASA Chips - https://www.masachips.com/DAVE Go to BodyBrainCoffee.com, use code DAVE20 for 20% off your first orderPart Of The Problem is available for early pre-release at https://partoftheproblem.com as well as an exclusive episode on Thursday!ROB LIVE DATES HERE:PORCH Tour: www.porchtour.comFind Run Your Mouth here:YouTube - http://youtube.com/@RunYourMouthiTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/run-your-mouth-podcast/id1211469807Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/4ka50RAKTxFTxbtyPP8AHmFollow the show on social media:X:http://x.com/ComicDaveSmithhttp://x.com/RobbieTheFireInstagram:http://instagram.com/theproblemdavesmithhttp://instagram.com/robbiethefire#libertarianSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Thank you to Polygon for supporting this show.

Find an amazing edge yet still poor? If so - this episode aims to help you correct that. Along with advice on scaling an edge (including SP's vertical v. horizontal scaling lesson) - we break down a big week of industry news and field some questions regarding Kalshi, working with a group and GPs return to twitter.00:00 Live from Las Vegas – First Impressions02:15 Scaling an Edge: The Most Valuable Skill in Betting04:33 Vertical vs. Horizontal Scaling – Two Paths to Growth08:45 Operational Efficiency & The Big Spot Decision17:09 Applying Skills Across Sports & Markets29:05 Industry News – Ohio Micro-Bet Ban & Pinnacle API Shutdown 1:17:49 Venmo “Gambling” Scandal & Rule vs. Integrity Violations1:22:50 Illinois Surcharge Tax, No-Vig Launch & Exchange Betting1:32:20 Listener Q&A & Book Recommendations2:04:15 Closing Thoughts – Staying Ahead of the Next EdgeWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__ProjWant to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.comWant 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Dave Smith brings you the latest in politics! On this episode of Part Of The Problem, Dave is joined by Scott Horton to discuss Trump's meeting with Putin regarding the Russia/Ukraine conflict, Mark Maron's comments about the state of comedy on Howie Mandell's show, and more.Support Our Sponsors:Brighten your SMILE with The Wellness Company. First-ever peptide toothpaste for whiter teeth and restored gums. Fluoride-free. Click http://www.twc.health/problem and use code PROBLEM for 10% off + FREE Shipping!Kalshi - https://www.kalshi.com/daveTuttle Twins - https://www.tuttletwins.com/problemHexclad - Find your forever cookware @hexclad and get10% off at hexclad.com/PROBLEM! #hexcladpartnerGo to BodyBrainCoffee.com, use code DAVE20 for 20% off your first orderPart Of The Problem is available for early pre-release at https://partoftheproblem.com as well as an exclusive episode on Thursday!ROB LIVE DATES HERE:PORCH Tour: www.porchtour.comFind Run Your Mouth here:YouTube - http://youtube.com/@RunYourMouthiTunes - https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/run-your-mouth-podcast/id1211469807Spotify - https://open.spotify.com/show/4ka50RAKTxFTxbtyPP8AHmFollow the show on social media:X:http://x.com/ComicDaveSmithhttp://x.com/RobbieTheFireInstagram:http://instagram.com/theproblemdavesmithhttp://instagram.com/robbiethefire#libertarianSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Jeffrey Pritchard, Legal Director of the Coalition for Political Forecasting, analyzes lawsuits about Kalshi's sports contracts and their implications for prediction markets. Rule3O3 discusses Indian-American gender divides and the impact of childhood grievances on politics. Timestamps 0:11: Chougule introduces segment with Pritchard 1:07: Chougule introduces Rule3O3 segment 1:28: Mamdani victory 2:10: Intro ends 4:10: Pritchard segment begins 4:13: Why Kalshi wants to be regulated under federal law 4:41: State regulation 6:34: CFTC 7:24: State compliance costs 7:43: Kalshi's goal 9:09: Liquidity 10:59: Criticisms of Kalshi 11:08: Zubkoff tweet 12:40: Pritchard agreement with Zubkoff 12:54: Contradictions in Kalshi's position 13:41 : Mansour response to Zubkoff 14:37: Pritchard response to Mansour 16:28: Chougule's view of Kalshi sports contracts 18:28: Chougule defends Kalshi 19:46: Market demand for sports betting 20:24: The need to attract sports bettors  21:22: Regulatory environment 22:53: Retail traders 24:01: Gaming industry 29:48: Lawsuits 29:58: Nevada 30:37: New Jersey 31:15: Maryland 31:23: Illinois 31:46: Third Circuit 32:11: Timing 32:24 : Pritchard segment ends 32:39: Rule 3O3 segment begins 32:41: Gender divides among Indian-Americans 32:54: Saira Rao 33:22: White women 35:51: Finding an edge through elite thinking 36:06: Childhood trauma 36:57: Outsider psychology 37:34: Political biographies 38:20: UVA rape accusation 40:31: Crime demographics in mainstream media 42:41: Rule3O3 segment ends 42:57: DC August Forecasting and Prediction Markets meetup Star Spangled Gamblers is a podcast on betting and winning real money on politics. SUPPORT US: Patreon: www.patreon.com/starspangledgamblers FOLLOW US ON TWITTER/X: @ssgamblers VISIT OUR WEBPAGE: www.starspangledgamblers.com  Trade at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. Join us for our monthly DC Forecasting & Prediction Markets meetup on Thursday, August 14 from 6-9pm. We're returning to Rocklands BBQ in Arlington a few blocks from the Virginia Sq-GMU metrorail stop on the Orange/Silver line. Free parking also available. We'll be in the private space upstairs; head to the back of the restaurant, and up the stairs on your left. Our guest speaker this month is Ambassador Tom Miller. A 29-year career diplomat, Ambassador Miller's experience in the Foreign Service spanned many continents, including posts in Greece, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Cyprus, Thailand as well as the State Department in Washington, where he worked on North Africa, the Middle East, and counter-terrorism issues. From 2019 to 2022, Tom was Chair of the Board of the US subsidiary of Intralot, Inc., a US corporation that runs lotteries in 11 states. Last-minute/onsite walk-in RSVPs here on this Partiful event page are welcomed! https://partiful.com/e/2VIW9cQaw6pexbaQSmUh?f=1&photo=all Who are we? We are prediction market traders on prediction markets like Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, and Polymarket, forecasters (e.g. on Metaculus and Good Judgment Open), sports bettors (e.g. on FanDuel, DraftKings, and other sportsbooks), consumers of forecasting (or related) content (e.g. Star Spangled Gamblers, Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin, Scott Alexander's Astral Codex Ten), effective altruists, rationalists, futurists, and data scientists. Forecast on Manifold how many people will attend meetups this year: https://manifold.markets/dglid/how-many-attendees-will-there-be-at?play=true This meetup is hosted by the Forecasting Meetup Network. Help us grow the forecasting community to positively influence the future by supporting us with an upvote, comment, or pledge on Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv

The Circle Back crew of Jason Cooper, Joey Knish, Chris Dierkes & Mr. Peanut Bettor return to break down the most absurd, hilarious, and important moments from Gambling Twitter this week. From green dildos flying at WNBA games to the latest offshore sportsbook crackdown, no headline is safe.We're diving into the new gambling tax law and why it's brutal for bettors, exposing Fezzik's latest “live bet” grift, and calling out some absolutely cooked takes — including someone claiming MLB is more volatile than the NFL. Plus, we talk rough years for Barstool Pickem, Benson's cease and desist, and why you should actually read the rules before placing a bet.Strap in — this week's episode is stacked.

In today's episode of iGaming Daily, sponsored by Optimove, SBC Media Managing Editor Jessica Welman is joined by International Masters of Gaming Law (IMGL) President and Jones Walker partner Marc Dunbar and they tackle the legal mess that is Kalshi sports contracts.Dunbar gives his tips on which courts to pay attention to and offers an idea of just how long this legal battle is going to stretch on. With four active court cases and two of those in the appeals courts, there is a lot to break down, but Dunbar clears the signal from the noise and offers his insight on what judges will focus on and why the PASPA repeal is a good case to use to benchmark expectations.Host: Jessica WelmanGuests: Marc DunbarProducer: Anaya McDonaldEditor: Anaya McDonaldiGaming Daily is also now on TikTok. Make sure to follow us at iGaming Daily Podcast (@igaming_daily_podcast) | TikTok for bite-size clips from your favourite podcast. Finally, remember to check out Optimove at https://hubs.la/Q02gLC5L0 or go to Optimove.com/sbc to get your first month free when buying the industry's leading customer-loyalty service.Article Linkshttps://sbcamericas.com/2025/08/03/kalshi-injunction-maryland-loss/https://sbcamericas.com/2025/08/01/maryland-sport-contract-ruling-kalshi/

Phill Gray, the former Head of Trading for Sports Interaction and gaming industry veteran, returned to a new episode of the Gaming News Canada Show and covered a smorgasbord of topics, including: The latest report from iGaming Ontario, which reflects the ongoing popularity of online casino games with Ontarians playing on regulated websites/apps;Some thoughts and layers on the road to regulation in Alberta;The debate around in-play/prop bets, including proposals by legislators in New Jersey and Ohio to ban them;The latest on the U.S. gambling industry, including conversations and legislation around responsible gaming, the presence of prediction markets by Kalshi and others, taking action against illegal operators, hiking taxes on wagers, etc., etc. etc.The concern about the VIP programs offered by operators in the legal gambling environment. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

MUSICAfter nearly two decades on SiriusXM, The Howard Stern Show is reportedly set to end later this year as Stern's $100 million‑per‑year contract expires and renewal negotiations falter, sources tell The Sun. https://www.the-sun.com/entertainment/14910416/howard-stern-show-canceled-contract-up/Ozzy Osbourne's cause of death has been revealed to be a heart attack. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/05/arts/music/ozzy-osbourne-cause-of-death.htmlGreen Day have teamed up with the makers of Garbage Pail Kids for a special card set called "Battle of the Bands." The 100-card set tells the history of the trio and some sets will come with an autographed card from Billie Joe Armstrong, Mike Dirnt or Tre Cool. It can be ordered now through the Topps website. https://www.topps.com/products/2024-gpk-battle-of-the-bands-green-dayMaynard James Keenan is perfectly happy if Tool, A Perfect Circle or Puscifer fans go home with "a souvenir that sucks." https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UuuW4mGPomc&t=153s David Byrne of Talking Heads and Hayley Williams of Paramore have collaborated on yet another track. https://variety.com/2025/film/global/david-byrne-hayley-williams-song-the-twits-film-release-date-1236477786/ Sweden's Way Out West festival has been sold out for a while, but promoters have come up with an interesting way to give away their last tickets. youtube.com/watch?si=M3qVdPMliSv4an1D&v=M3rhZVzfNsU&feature=youtu.be· Travis Barker gave fans THE ICK by liking sexy photos posted by his son's 20-year-old girlfriend. https://pagesix.com/2025/08/05/celebrity-news/travis-barker-ridiculed-for-liking-thirst-traps-of-son-landons-girlfriend/TVThe nominees for the 2025 MTV Video Music Awards were announced on Tuesday. Lady Gaga received the most nominations with 12. Bruno Mars earned 11 nominations, and Kendrick Lamar got 10. The MTV VMAs will take place on Sunday, September 7th. Linkin Park's “The Emptiness Machine," Green Day's “One Eyed Bastard,” Evanescence's “Afterlife,” Twenty One Pilots' “The Contract” and Lenny Kravitz's "Honey" are up for Best Rock Video at the MTV Video Music Awards. The show, which will air on CBS for the first time, will take place September 7th at the UBS Arena in Elmont, New York. ESPN has acquired NFL Network and the rights to the RedZone channel. https://www.espn.com/espn/story/_/id/45910378/espn-get-nfl-network-rights-redzone-nfl-equity-stakeRoku has entered the ultra-budget streaming game. https://www.usatoday.com/story/entertainment/tv/2025/08/05/roku-howdy-cheap-ad-free-streaming-service/85506641007/?taid=6892024c289e8c0001153562&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter MOVING ON INTO MOVIE NEWS:Francis Ford Coppola was hospitalized in Rome, Italy. https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/francis-ford-coppola-hospitalized-italy-condition-1236337928/· The latest movie adaptation of War of the Worlds apparently sucks. https://www.gamesradar.com/entertainment/sci-fi-movies/amazons-new-war-of-the-worlds-adaptation-which-stars-ice-cube-and-is-filmed-entirely-on-a-computer-screen-debuts-to-0-percent-on-rotten-tomatoes/ George Clooney recently spoke out about a long-standing criticism of his acting. https://variety.com/2025/film/news/george-clooney-defends-adam-sandler-great-actor-1236477728/ Christie Brinkley and her daughter Sailor Brinkley Cook have more in common than they thought! https://www.usmagazine.com/celebrity-moms/news/christie-brinkley-71-matched-with-same-men-as-daughter-sailor-27/ AND FINALLY A financial exchange called Kalshi thinks Jay-Z is the odds-on favorite to headline the 2026 Super Bowl Halftime Show. Out of almost two dozen possibilities, he has a 28% chance of getting the gig. Or, to be more accurate . . . of GIVING HIMSELF the gig, since it's basically his call. https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsuperbowlheadline/who-will-headline-super-bowl-lxSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

NBA prop crusher Calvin (CalvinandHobo) joins the show this week to talk about what it takes to win as a ball-knower who doesn't have a model.Calvin had an interesting journey into professional betting that included becoming a cult hero on JuiceReel before he had to stop posting picks once he won too much and gained too many followers. (He explains why this is a big problem)Calvin doesn't model - but puts in insane hours of research to understand rotations, coach speak and injury predictions. While some bettors rush to bet the injury report - he predicts it.Calvin on Twitter: https://x.com/CalvinAndHobo0:00 - Intro/ Calvin's start betting9:35 – Inside Calvin's NBA Prop Betting Process14:00 – Coach Honesty Rankings & Rotation Intel20:00 – Why Player Props > Sides & Totals32:00 – Scaling Up, Quitting the Job & Betting Partnerships41:00 – Turning Down Tout Life & Ethics of Selling Picks52:00 – Future of NBA Props & Growth via Volume + SGPs59:30 – Gambling Legislation, Kalshi & Tax Debate1:20:30 – Listener Q&A, Dead Edges & Final ReflectionsWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__ProjWant to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.comWant 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

The Circle Back crew of Jason Cooper, Joey Knish, Chris Dierkes & Porter dive deep into the latest and greatest news and drama from Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week. Today's show discusses the Emmanuel Clase scandal, Hulk Hogan, if it's becoming more difficult to win on sides and totals and so much more.

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, joins Julia La Roche in-studio on Fed day to analyze the historic FOMC meeting featuring the first double dissent since 1993, arguing it could have been a triple dissent based on softened statement language. She criticizes Powell's dismissive handling of the dissenters and Trump's public attacks on the Fed chair, warning of an "Armageddon scenario" if Trump continues his pressure campaign. DiMartino Booth presents data showing the US entered recession in Q2 2024, with job losses, rising underemployment, and deflation in key sectors like hotels and airlines. She argues Powell could secure his legacy by admitting he's wrong about the job market being "solid" when data shows jobs are increasingly hard to get.Sponsors:  Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/julia⁠ Kalshi: ⁠https://kalshi.com/julia  Links:    Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth  Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@UCYPBim2ARV9Yrqci0ljokFA  Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/07352116550:00 Welcome and introduction - FOMC day reaction1:05 Historic double dissent - first since 19933:04 History of Fed dissents - why they disappeared after 19966:48 Powell's dismissive handling of dissenters8:26 Why dissents should be healthy for Fed decision-making9:23 Trump's embarrassing public beratement of Powell10:52 The Armageddon scenario - what happens if Trump pushes too hard13:13 Will Powell stay? Hell would freeze over before he leaves15:00 Powell's path to securing his Fed legacy16:40 Jobs hard to get rises to highest of cycle - 18.9%17:26 US economy entered recession in Q2 202419:13 Deflation signals - hotel revenues and airline travel down20:25 Core PCE market-based pricing is negative 0.3%21:23 Gig economy collapse - Uber drivers earning 60% less22:41 Biggest risk - Fed's tone deafness to job market reality

Fraser is joined by Jared Quay Campbell to talk fantasy football! The first 15 minutes are typical nonsense of the week in news from Shannon Sharpe to Gilbert Arenas including the Kalshi Korner bets of the week.Then on to 2025 Fantasy Football Sleepers, Busts & League Winners you need to have down.

This week, Pace, Shane and Gosu try to answer that question, by unveiling inplaylive.com/butter - a comprehensive list of both approved and shady books, designed to help you navigate the ever-changing betting landscape. Plus! Kalshi's lawsuit drama, a betting course at Carnegie Mellon, and CFL picks from Gosu! If you want to join our community - use coupon code BEHINDTHELINES for a discount here:inplaylive.com/members For some Free Sports Investing Training (from one of the world's top live sports wagering experts), click here: https://event.webinarjam.com/register...

Rob Pizzola and the team from The Hammer Betting Network dive deep into the latest news and drama making waves on Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week with Geoff Fienberg, Kirk Evans, and Jacob Gramegna. In today's show, we discuss the controversy surrounding NFL Training Camp, if you should sell picks, hand out some life advice and much more. Whether you're here for the insights or just the entertainment, don't miss this lively discussion on the hottest topics in the betting community on Circle Back, the latest show on The Hammer Betting Network, part of Circles Off and proudly presented by Kalshi.

The Circle Back crew of Jason Cooper, Joey Knish, Chris Dierkes & Mr. Peanut Bettor dive deep into the latest and greatest news and drama from Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week. Today's show discusses Joey Tunes making the jump to touting, how Coldplay and the Astronomer CEO are still in the news cycle, if a new sports betting survey has shed some bad light on the industry, Terry Rozier betting scandal update, and so much more.

Kalshi CEO and co-founder Tarek Mansour discusses how artificial intelligence is impacting prediction markets and the company's business model on "Bloomberg Open Interest." Kalshi has partnered with xAI, the AI startup founded by Elon Musk, to bring Grok to predictions. He speaks with Bloomberg's Matt Miller and Sonali BasakSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Jeffrey Pritchard, attorney and writer at Comped.com, returns to discuss developments in prediction market regulation under the Trump administration. Timestamps 0:00: Intro begins 0:37: CFTC prediction market roundtable 1:40: Polymarket investigation 3:02: Regulatory entrepreneurship 5:43: Intro ends 7:43: Interview begins 8:16: Comped.com 9:51: Trump administration 11:41: Quintenz 14:34: Pham 15:15: Kalshi's strategy 18:27: Prediction market roundtable 20:26: Gaming law 26:35: Reaction to Kalshi sports markets 31:53: Kalshi lawsuits 32:51: CEA 34:45: Federalism 37:03: Injunctions 38:21: Maryland case Follow Star Spangled Gamblers Twitter: @ssgamblers YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@starspangledgamblers1029 TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@starspangledgambl7 Trade on Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. Join us for our monthly DC Forecasting & Prediction Markets meetup on Thursday, July 31. https://partiful.com/e/NIWa277GHtddC5sxSTU6 Our guest speaker this month will be former U.S. diplomat Thomas Miller, who previously served as the non-executive chairman of the U.S. subsidiary of Intralot, one of world's largest lottery/sports betting operators. Meet and socialize with others interested in forecasting, prediction markets, political gambling, sports betting, or anything else relating to predicting the future. We're returning to Rocklands BBQ in Arlington a few blocks from the Virginia Sq-GMU metrorail stop on the Orange/Silver line. Free parking also available. We'll be in the private space upstairs; head to the back of the restaurant, and up the stairs on your left. Food and drink available for purchase. Open to all ages. Last-minute/onsite walk-in RSVPs here on this Partiful event page are welcomed! Who are we? We are prediction market traders on Manifold (and other prediction markets like PredictIt, Kalshi, and Polymarket), forecasters (e.g. on Metaculus and Good Judgment Open), sports bettors (e.g. on FanDuel, DraftKings, and other sportsbooks), consumers of forecasting (or related) content (e.g. Star Spangled Gamblers, Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin, Scott Alexander's Astral Codex Ten), effective altruists, rationalists, and data scientists. Forecast on Manifold how many people will attend meetups this year: https://manifold.markets/dglid/how-many-attendees-will-there-be-at?play=true This meetup is hosted by the Forecasting Meetup Network. Help us grow the forecasting community to positively influence the future by supporting us with an upvote, comment, or pledge on Manifund: https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv

We are joined by Chris "Flupnolide" Dierkes - the most profitable bettor on Kalshi this month and a professional bettor not afraid to bet huge on great spots.Chris talks about scaling his betting from being a solo-bettor using OddsJam to running one of the bigger groups in operation. He also enjoys mixing it up on Twitter under the handle @flupnolide where you can find him posting some of the biggest bets that hit the exchanges. If you don't listen to this episode you must not like putting down big money on huge edges!Chris on Twitter: https://x.com/flupnolide0:00 Intro & Start of Betting11:30 Rundown of Flup's Operation22:00 Flup's Superpower: Account Priming39:00 Benefit of Winning Circa Survivor44:45 Why do content?53:45 $300k Sinner Bet1:00:00 Gambling Twitter 0 Poker IQ1:06:00 Edge Graveyard1:29:00 Everything Prediction Markets2:05:00 Hot Takes & Bayesian UpdatesWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.My website: https://www.goldenpants.com/ Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__ProjWant to work with my betting group?: john@goldenpants.comWant 100s of +EV picks a day?: https://www.goldenpants.com/gp-picks

Bill Fleckenstein, founder and president of Fleckenstein Capital, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 276 where he provides an assessment of America's financial predicament, arguing that 30 years of Federal Reserve easy money policies have created damage to the economy and society. He explains how the Treasury is attempting to manage the $36 trillion debt crisis by rolling financing to the short end of the curve while allowing banks to increase leverage ratios, creating demand for government bonds. Fleckenstein believes market analysis no longer applies due to the dominance of passive flows, making shorting ineffective and valuations meaningless. He's holding more cash than ever in his investment career and warns that we're past the point of no return financially. Beyond economics, he's concerned about wealth bifurcation driving younger generations toward financial gambling or socialism, eroding American society's fabric.Sponsors: Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/juliaLinks: Book: https://www.amazon.com/Greenspans-Bubbles-Ignorance-Federal-Reserve/dp/0071591583 Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/fleckcap Website: https://www.fleckensteincapital.com/0:00 Welcome and introduction - Bill returns to the show0:56 Big picture macro view - uncertainty and Trump volatility4:55 Bond market games - rolling debt to short end of curve7:39 Investment strategy - holding more cash than ever10:22 Why shorting doesn't work anymore - the passive bid problem11:46 Passive flows and employment concerns for young graduates14:25 Understanding the passive bid - why it matters for all ages18:37 Fed critique - 30 years of destructive easy money policies22:49 Mission creep and arrogance at the Federal Reserve25:57 Bond market story - financing games and bank leverage29:04 Is this the right policy approach? No good options left34:24 Are we in a Fed-induced bubble? The "everything bubble"36:45 Can the Fed control inflation? Lessons from the gold standard40:24 Could we return to sound money? Past the point of no return44:20 The math doesn't work - why we're too late47:01 What keeps Bill up at night - societal breakdown and wealth bifurcation50:09 Optimism in human ingenuity despite challenges51:10 Quick take on gold - the one financial antidote

Watch The X22 Report On Video No videos found (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:17532056201798502,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-9437-3289"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");pt> Click On Picture To See Larger Picture GM is starting to realize that manufacturing out of the US is not going to work, they are now making plans to bring back manufacturing into this country.Trump has cut 25% of the IRS more cuts are coming.Too Late is destroying the housing market.Fake info about Powell resigning, markets didn't flinch. Trump made deal with Japan. Trump is thinking about removing capital gains tax for houses. Trump and the patriots have put out the bait and Obama took it. They tried to spin the story that it was fake. Tulsi then dropped additional information that was declassified showing Obama orchestrated the entire Russian Collusion Hoax. Trump is now preparing the public, he is exposing the entire agenda to the people of the US. The people will see everything is connected and they accept arrests. [DS] players feeling pain every step of the way.   Economy GM Slides 7% After Beating Q2 Earnings Despite $1 Billion Tariff Hit, Warns of Steeper Impact Ahead General Motors reported second-quarter earnings that surpassed analyst expectations, even as the automaker absorbed a $1.1 billion hit from tariffs - but it also warned about a coming steeper impact from tariffs moving into the second half of the year. In her letter to shareholders, CEO Mary Barra emphasized GM's resilience, stating:   To strengthen its domestic manufacturing base and reduce import exposure, GM announced $4 billion in new U.S. factory investments in June. The plan will expand capacity by 300,000 units across key high-margin models — pickups, SUVs, and crossovers — at plants in Michigan, Kansas, and Tennessee. “This will help us satisfy unmet customer demand, greatly reduce our tariff exposure, and capture upside opportunities as we launch new models,” Barra wrote. Currently, GM imports about half the vehicles it sells in the U.S., primarily from Mexico and South Korea. In contrast, rival Ford produces about 80% of its U.S. vehicles domestically. Ford is expected to report second-quarter earnings next week. Meanwhile, Stellantis, which owns Jeep, said tariffs cost it €300 million in the first half of the year and warned that results in the second half of 2025 will be significantly affected. Shares in Stellantis and Ford both fell about 1% on Tuesday morning. Source: zerohedge.com https://twitter.com/ElectionWiz/status/1948028438495088828 (function(w,d,s,i){w.ldAdInit=w.ldAdInit||[];w.ldAdInit.push({slot:18510697282300316,size:[0, 0],id:"ld-8599-9832"});if(!d.getElementById(i)){var j=d.createElement(s),p=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];j.async=true;j.src="https://cdn2.decide.dev/_js/ajs.js";j.id=i;p.parentNode.insertBefore(j,p);}})(window,document,"script","ld-ajs");  https://twitter.com/Kalshi/status/1947726659366388036 https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1947976587879534937 Canada Accepts They're Not Going to Get a Trade Deal Before 35% Tariffs Kick In   Trump is simply waiting for the USMCA timeline to trigger a renegotiation. President Donald Trump is ambivalent to the trade partnership with Canada. This moot-status reality is why there's no substantive engagement. ‘No deal' -until USMCA redo- is a win for President Trump. The United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) is set to expire on July 1, 2036, 16 years after its entry into force on July 1, 2020, unless all three countries agree to extend it for another 16-year term. A joint review is scheduled for July 1, 2026   in July 2026, during the scheduled joint review of the USMCA,

News of crypto company's IPO plans comes months after reports that BitGo was considering a listing, and days after President Donald Trump signed into law a trio of crypto-related bills, kicking off a wave of optimism about the digital asset sector. China is now gearing up for it's first-ever signs of easing up it's crackdown on cryptocurrencies. We breakdown four major companies that may create an IPO boom.~This episode is sponsored by Tangem~Tangem ➜ https://bit.ly/TangemPBNUse Code: "PBN" for Additional Discounts!00:00 Intro00:17 Sponsor: Tangem00:42 China market funds01:00 One Trillion Incoming01:15 Guotai Junan International01:33 China Softening thanks to Stablecoin Bill02:44 Crypto IPO floodgates are opening soon03:45 Ripple IPO next?04:00 Escrowed XRP04:21 Hong Kong sandbox04:34 China will allow RMB to get slutty05:36 RMB liquidity05:55 Standard Charter x Ripple 06:20 Standard Charter knows something06:36 BNY already tokenizing funds06:55 BNY x Ripple07:00 Mainland China stablecoin might be allowed08:10 Animoca Brands IPO08:35 Yat Siu: Animoca Delisting made it more powerful09:30 Free NFTs & Tokens10:25 Tradfi buying NFTs11:00 Animoca Pudgy Treasury11:20 PUDGY CHART 10X!11:45 Luca Netz: $PENGU will flip Dogecoin12:50 NFT's outperform staked ETH13:05 Kalshi valuation vs Polymarket IPO13:20 Polymarket returns to the U.S., what next?14:10 Polymarket Stablecoin14:55 Outro#XRP #Crypto #pudgypenguins ~MEGA Crypto IPO's Incoming

Rob Pizzola and the team from The Hammer Betting Network dive deep into the latest news and drama making waves on Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week with Geoff Fienberg, Kirk Evans, and Jacob Gramegna. In today's show, we discuss the controversy surrounding WNBA salaries and the league's supposed beef with Caitlin Clark, how to make a life hedge on Kalshi, possibly the worst tweet in Galmbling Twitter history and much more. Whether you're here for the insights or just the entertainment, don't miss this lively discussion on the hottest topics in the betting community on Circle Back, the latest show on The Hammer Betting Network, part of Circles Off and proudly presented by Kalshi.

Nick Maggiulli, COO at Ritholtz Wealth Management and author of "The Wealth Ladder," presents his data-driven framework for understanding wealth progression. He explains his six-level wealth ladder system (from under $10K to over $100M) and introduces the 0.01% spending rule for lifestyle decisions. Maggiulli emphasizes focusing on controllable factors rather than macro predictions, shares his personal journey from working-class background to level four wealth through consistent content creation, and discusses why different strategies are needed at each wealth level. He advocates for the "just keep buying" approach for level three investors while acknowledging that business ownership becomes necessary to reach level five.Sponsors: Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/juliaLinks:The Wealth Ladder: https://www.amazon.com/Wealth-Ladder-Proven-Strategies-Financial/dp/0593854039/X: https://x.com/dollarsanddataOf Dollars and Data: https://ofdollarsanddata.com/Timestamps:0:00 Welcome and introduction - Nick's return to the show1:19 Big picture outlook - focusing on individual control vs macro3:14 Death of the Amex lounge - rise of the upper middle class7:21 The wealth ladder framework - six levels explained10:06 Spending framework - the 0.01% rule13:03 Income vs wealth-based spending decisions17:11 Nick's personal journey through the wealth levels19:37 Building through content creation and consistency23:22 Stanford experience and class differences26:07 Progressing from level three to four - just keep buying28:41 The book as guide and warning - when is enough enough?30:20 Money and happiness - the logarithmic relationship32:44 Just keep buying framework at all-time highs36:45 Why Nick owns Bitcoin - the 5% allocation40:39 Final thoughts - importance of income across wealth levels

Enjoy my live reaction to watching Kevin Holland go down at UFC 318. The Anchor moves to 8-2 and I hope you enjoy my pain. Follow me!Twitter (x): @DieHardMMAPodInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/diehardufc/Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/DieHardMMAPodcastBlueSky: @diehardmmapod.bsky.social► Spectation Sports https://spectationlink.com/DIEHARD Promo Code: DIEHARD for 20% off ► Die Hard MMA Merch: https://die-hard-mma-podcast-merch.myspreadshop.com/all► Kalshi: http://kalshi.com/ufc Promo Code DIEHARD when you sign up and you'll receive $10 when you trade $100!

Grab your tin foil hat and get in here LIVE!! Lets take one final look at the fighters for UFC 318 and try to make some money!!Follow me!Twitter (x): @DieHardMMAPodInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/diehardufc/Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/DieHardMMAPodcastBlueSky: @diehardmmapod.bsky.social► Spectation Sports https://spectationlink.com/DIEHARD Promo Code: DIEHARD for 20% off ► Die Hard MMA Merch: https://die-hard-mma-podcast-merch.myspreadshop.com/all► Kalshi: http://kalshi.com/ufc Promo Code DIEHARD when you sign up and you'll receive $10 when you trade $100!

The Circle Back crew of Jacob Gramegna, Joey Knish, Chris Dierkes & Chinamaniac dive deep into the latest and greatest news and drama from Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week. Today's show discusses Astronomer's CEO Andy Byron getting caught with his CPO at a Coldplay concert, Michael Mizrachi's WSOP win, Grant Horvat's decision to bail on a PGA Tour event, and much more.

(1) John Martin schools Brad on how you can bet using Kalshi on the CEO from Astronomer leaving company (2) Dame Lillard, the Blazers, Bucks, Orlando and NBA Moves (3) Drew Hill from the Daily Memphian in-studio on NBA Summer Grizzlies games

Rob Pizzola and the team from The Hammer Betting Network dive deep into the latest news and drama making waves on Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week with Geoff Fienberg, Jason Cooper, and Jacob Gramegna. In today's show, we go discuss the World Series of Poker's decision to ban William Kassouf, the week of Jeff Nadu, the worst New York Times article we have ever seen, and much more. Whether you're here for the insights or just the entertainment, don't miss this lively discussion on the hottest topics in the betting community on Circle Back, the latest show on The Hammer Betting Network, part of Circles Off and proudly presented by Kalshi.

Happy Monday Degenerates!! Its a PPV fight week and we are talking about the BFM belt. Join us to preview UFC 318 from a gambling perspective!!Guest: JamesTwitter (x): @LucrativeJamesFollow me!Twitter (x): @DieHardMMAPodInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/diehardufc/Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/DieHardMMAPodcastBlueSky: @diehardmmapod.bsky.social► Spectation Sports https://spectationlink.com/DIEHARDPromo Code: DIEHARD for 20% off ► Die Hard MMA Merch: https://die-hard-mma-podcast-merch.myspreadshop.com/all► Kalshi: http://kalshi.com/ufcPromo Code DIEHARD when you sign up and you'll receive $10 when you trade $100!0:00 Intro 12:25 Carli Judice vs Nicolle Caliari23:11 Brunno Ferreira vs Jackson McVey37:03 Ryan Spann vs Łukasz Brzeski49:22 Jimmy Crute vs Marcin Prachnio1:06:00 Adam Fugitt vs Islam Dulatov1:17:35 Ateba Gautier vs Robert Valentin1:28:20 Francisco Prado vs Nikolay Veretennikov1:38:52 Marvin Vettori vs Brendan Allen1:50:21 Kyler Phillips vs Vinicius Oliveira1:59:10 Michael Johnson vs Daniel Zellhuber2:09:36 Dan Ige vs Patricio Pitbull2:19:11 Kevin Holland vs Daniel Rodriguez2:27:21 Paulo Costa vs Roman Kopylov2:35:55 Max Holloway vs Dustin Poirier

Henrik Zeberg, head macro economist at SwissBlock, warns that markets are approaching a historic "blow-off top" with the S&P 500 potentially reaching 6,700-6,900 before a devastating crash. Using his business cycle model, he argues we've already hit the "Titanic moment" - where leading indicators have collapsed while markets surge to bubble extremes. Zeberg predicts this "Everything Bubble" will lead to a deflationary crash potentially worse than 2008, followed by a stagflationary period in 2026-2028. He criticizes the Federal Reserve for massive policy errors, focusing on backward-looking inflation data while ignoring consumer distress and housing market deterioration. Despite being long Bitcoin (targeting $150K-$180K), he warns it could crash 80% and sees parallels to subprime risks in corporate treasuries loaded with crypto.Sponsors: Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/juliaLinks: X: https://x.com/HenrikZebergSubstack: https://henrikzeberg.substack.com/p/final-warning-the-emperors-new-clothes0:00 Welcome Henrik Zeberg0:43 Macro framework and business cycle model3:29 Titanic moment explained6:09 Blow-off top targets (S&P 6,700-6,900)8:06 Trading vs investing in this environment9:30 Market signposts to watch11:21 Post blow-off top scenario14:30 How sharp will the decline be?18:00 Prediction markets showing 20% recession odds18:54 Liquidity vs solvency problem23:03 Federal Reserve policy errors26:21 Fed credibility problems29:11 What to ask Powell at FOMC31:09 Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?33:08 Bitcoin analysis and bubble concerns37:30 Bitcoin as subprime risk40:01 Gold outlook and inflation narrative42:45 The "Everything Bubble" thesis48:13 How to protect yourself51:16 Final thoughts and where to find Henrik

The Circle Back crew of Jacob Gramegna, Joey Knish, Chris Dierkes & Porter of BAanalytics dive deep into the latest and greatest news and drama from Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week. In today's show, we discuss how low the bar is for partnerships in sports betting, the worst of the worst in pick selling, the momentum of the Fair Bet Act and so much more.

Katie and Matt talk about dreams, Jane Street's Indian options trade, XAI, Tesla governance, sports gambling and prediction markets.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

New York Times' bestselling author Larry McDonald, founder of The Bear Traps Report, returns to The Julia La Roche Show for episode 273 to discuss the markets and the economy.Sponsors: Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/juliaLinks: How To Listen When Markets Speak: https://www.amazon.com/Listen-When-Markets-Speak-Opportunities-ebook/dp/B0C4DFVFNR Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/Convertbond Bear Traps Report: https://www.thebeartrapsreport.com/00:00 Introduction: Larry McDonald, founder of the Bear Traps Report00:47 Getting long high beta names in April, now lightening positions02:18 Add high beta into fear/panic, lighten into complacency 04:11 Warning about "Liz Truss moment" for America - bond panic scenario 06:38 Debt ceiling suspension creates $1.7 trillion bond issuance catch-up 08:04 Bessent's "bag of tricks" to fight bond vigilantes 09:33 Dollar counter-trend rally from front-end Treasury issuance 11:41 Mechanics of dollar rally: need dollars to buy Treasuries 13:53 Emerging market bonds outperforming long-term Treasuries 16:14 Question whether "bag of tricks" arrives on time to help bonds 17:05 Financial repression explanation: suppress rates below inflation18:40 Bond vigilantes back despite Bessent's interventions 19:35 Commodities renaissance: copper names up 200-300% over 5 years21:51 New portfolio construction: gold, copper, uranium, lithium miners24:08 Risk: banks exposed to $5 trillion in commercial real estate debt25:09 Jamie Dimon and Buffett selling banks at "alarming pace" 26:31 Optimistic on lithium trade and Chile election outcome 26:55 Expecting 100 basis points in rate cuts due to debt burden 28:12 Coal names oversold, offshore drilling opportunities30:00 Closing remarks

Rob Pizzola and the team from The Hammer Betting Network dive deep into the latest news and drama making waves on Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week with Geoff Fienberg, Kirk Evans, and Jacob Gramegna. In today's show, we go further into the impact of the One Big Beautiful Bill on sports betting, Dina Titus' plans to try to amend the bill, the state of Major League Baseball content and betting, and much more. Whether you're here for the insights or just the entertainment, don't miss this lively discussion on the hottest topics in the betting community on Circle Back, the latest show on The Hammer Betting Network, part of Circles Off and proudly presented by Kalshi.

Chris Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors and author of The Institutional Risk Analyst blog, returns to the show. He argues the Fed is "clearly late" in addressing a commercial real estate nightmare while consumer credit remains quiet, creating a "silent recession" ignored by markets. He warns the "Big Beautiful Bill" will drive inflation higher despite Trump's demands for rate cuts, with Treasury Secretary Bessent's shift to T-bill issuance representing a "last resort before default." Whalen predicts NYC mayoral candidate Mamdani will win and destroy real estate values with rent freezes, while inflation radicalizes politics nationwide. He advocates for gold as central banks abandon dollars, positioning in short-term treasuries and bank preferreds, and warns America needs an Argentina-style "Milei moment" crisis to force real change.Sponsors: Monetary Metals. https://monetary-metals.com/julia Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/juliaLinks:    Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen    Website: https://www.rcwhalen.com/    The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/   Inflated book (2nd edition): https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/inflated-r-christopher-whalen/1146303673Timestamps:00:00 Introduction: Chris Whalen00:59 Fed is "clearly late" - commercial side is a nightmare02:31 Fed late but no rate cuts coming soon due to fiscal deficits 04:28 Big beautiful bill will cause higher inflation and long rates 06:48 Silent recession in commercial real estate and private credit 09:18 NYC mayoral race: Mamdani 70% chance, will freeze rents 11:40 Wealthy exodus from NYC unlikely - condos vs. rentals 13:00 Inflation radicalizing Democratic Party politics 14:23 America needs Argentina "Milei moment" when crisis hits 16:13 Bessent switching to T-bills - last resort before default 19:17 Trump mismanaging relationship with Powell 20:45 Bank sector: deflation in lending, lack of credit demand 22:35 Private equity "train wreck" ignored by Fed stress tests 24:10 Dollar decline signals gold returning as reserve asset 25:30 Physical gold vs. ETFs discussion 27:12 Portfolio positioning: gold, bank preferreds, short-term treasuries29:51 Housing volumes down 20-25%, lock-in effect persists 32:02 Southern overbuilding compressing million-dollar homes 35:20 Warning about market reaction to big beautiful bill

On today's podcast episode, we discuss the second biggest digital ad player's (Meta) vision for the future of ads, if it will lead to money saved or more commercials, and why the 30-second AI-made TV ad for Kalshi matters more than most. Join Senior Director of Podcasts and host Marcus Johnson, Senior Director of Briefings Jeremy Goldman, and Principal Analyst Yory Wurmser. Listen everywhere and watch on YouTube and Spotify.   To learn more about our research and get access to PRO+ go to EMARKETER.com Follow us on Instagram at: https://www.instagram.com/emarketer/ For sponsorship opportunities contact us: advertising@emarketer.com For more information visit: https://www.emarketer.com/advertise/ Have questions or just want to say hi? Drop us a line at podcast@emarketer.com  For a transcript of this episode click here: https://www.emarketer.com/content/podcast-ai-ads-2k-meta-kalshi-reimagined-ad-world-behind-numbers © 2025 EMARKETER

The Circle Back crew of Jacob Gramegna, Joey Knish, Chris Dierkes & Mr. PeanutBettor dive deep into the latest and greatest news and drama from Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week. In today's show, we discuss President Donald Trump's Big Beautiful Bill, which threatens the existence of sports betting in the United States of America, Joey Chestnut's return to the 4th of July's Nathan's Famous Hot Dog eating contest and much more. Whether you're here for the insights or just the entertainment, don't miss this lively discussion on the hottest topics in the betting community on Circle Back, the latest show on The Hammer Betting Network, part of Circles Off and proudly presented by Underdog.

Welcome to The Chopping Block – where crypto insiders Haseeb Qureshi, Tom Schmidt, Tarun Chitra, and Robert Leshner chop it up about the latest in crypto. This week, we're joined by Jon Charbonneau and Ryan Watkins to unpack the bombshell news of Robinhood Chain—an Arbitrum-based network debuting tokenized U.S. stocks, 3× crypto perps, and that head-scratching $500 K liquidity cap. From riffing on whether proof-of-stake yields are just “money in a box,” to debating Solana's first U.S. staked ETF, to sizing up the looming perp wars between Robinhood and Coinbase, the crew maps a common thread: corporate chains and regulatory work-arounds are colliding with crypto's decentralization ideals, forcing builders, traders, and even ETF hawks to rethink where real security, fairness, and opportunity will live next. Show highlights

Meredith Whitney, CEO of Meredith Whitney Advisory Group, returns to The Julia La Roche Show to discuss her outlook on a bifurcated economy where 52% of households are entering their second recession since COVID stimulus ended, while high-end consumers continue driving economic growth. Sponsors: Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/julia⁠ Kalshi: ⁠https://kalshi.com/julia Links: https://meredithwhitneyllc.com/Timestamps:0:00 Intro 0:54 Macro outlook and consumer segmentation 2:37 Recession expectations for Main Street 4:19 Market distortions and wealth effects 4:51 Dollar stores as economic indicator 6:17 Dollar store vs Walmart consumer dynamics 7:57 Trading down narrative discussion 8:26 Segmented recession clarification 8:54 Housing market outlook 9:23 Worst housing market in decades 11:12 Senior demographics and aging in place 12:32 First-time homebuyer challenges 14:25 Housing bubble discussion 15:29 Avocado toast generation (24-38 age group) 17:09 Experiential spending and lifestyle patterns 19:53 Nation's fiscal picture and debt concerns 22:44 Interest rates and Treasury market risks 24:31 Fed's impossible situation with stagflation 25:42 Rate cut predictions 27:04 Underappreciated risks and Treasury concerns 28:30 Home equity as "get out of jail free card" 30:15 Where to find Meredith's work and closing thoughts

Rob Pizzola and the team from The Hammer Betting Network dive deep into the latest news and drama making waves on Gambling Twitter. From controversial takes to unexpected betting strategies, we're breaking down all the must-know moments from the week with Geoff Fienberg, Jason Cooper, and Jacob Gramegna. In today's show, we discuss the latest NBA betting scandal with Malik Beasley, Zohran Mamdani's mayoral candidacy in New York City, knee braces and much more. Whether you're here for the insights or just the entertainment, don't miss this lively discussion on the hottest topics in the betting community on Circle Back, the latest show on The Hammer Betting Network, part of Circles Off and proudly presented by Underdog.

This week, David and guest co-host Tom Schmidt (Dragonfly) unpack a deceptively quiet crypto market with Bitcoin dominance hitting 66% and altcoins eerily still. What meta could flip the trend? They dive into Circle's explosive 10x IPO, Robinhood's surprise crypto surge, and why Coinbase is finally catching up. Plus: the Kalshi vs. Polymarket drama, ICOs creeping back, and how meme coins might soon help you get a mortgage. Also: Vitalik's Layer 1 pivot, prediction markets heating up, and signs of a new retail cycle forming. Tom Schmidt & Chopping Block https://x.com/tomhschmidt https://x.com/_choppingblock https://x.com/dragonfly_xyz ------

Today's show:EVs are igniting a global tariff war, and Xiaomi's shockingly cheap, high-quality electric cars threaten to obliterate Western automakers, sparking fears of a manufacturing wipeout. In today's brand-new TWiST, Jason and Alex dive into the EV price war, Uber's rumored plan to team up with Travis Kalanick on a self-driving takeover, and DoorDash's mega-drones giving us a glimpse of the future of food delivery. Plus, Tesla's cautious safety driver rollout shows we're only in the early innings of the autonomous revolution, a consideration of Meta's talent shopping spree, AND a new edition of Reddit Rapid Response. Don't miss this deep dive into the future of cars, delivery, and AI.Timestamps:(02:24) Guess who's BACK at Uber? On the Travis Kalahnik-Pony AI deal.(10:43) Superpower - Visit superpower.com/twist to get $50 off your membership. This offer is only for the first 100 twist listeners who sign up.(17:24) All the huge opportunities for Kalshi, PolyMarket and prediction markets(19:44) Lemon.io - Get 15% off your first 4 weeks of developer time at https://Lemon.io/twist(25:37) TODAY'S POLYMARKET: How well will Apple's “F1” do at the box office?(30:03) Pilot - Visit https://www.pilot.com/twist and get $1,200 off your first year.(31:58)What actually IS AGI? And why does it matter for the Microsoft-OpenAI negotiation?(45:57) Inside Meta's massive Superintelligence shopping spree: maybe it's not so crazy to pay AI experts $100M?(01:05:15) Reddit Rapid Response: Can you be a great founder if you hate doing cold sales?Subscribe to the TWiST500 newsletter: https://ticker.thisweekinstartups.comCheck out the TWIST500: https://www.twist500.comSubscribe to This Week in Startups on Apple: https://rb.gy/v19fcpFollow Lon:X: https://x.com/lonsFollow Alex:X: https://x.com/alexLinkedIn: ⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexwilhelmFollow Jason:X: https://twitter.com/JasonLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasoncalacanisThank you to our partners:(10:43) Superpower - Visit superpower.com/twist to get $50 off your membership. This offer is only for the first 100 twist listeners who sign up.(19:44) Lemon.io - Get 15% off your first 4 weeks of developer time at https://Lemon.io/twist(30:03) Pilot - Visit https://www.pilot.com/twist and get $1,200 off your first year.Great TWIST interviews: Will Guidara, Eoghan McCabe, Steve Huffman, Brian Chesky, Bob Moesta, Aaron Levie, Sophia Amoruso, Reid Hoffman, Frank Slootman, Billy McFarlandCheck out Jason's suite of newsletters: https://substack.com/@calacanisFollow TWiST:Twitter: https://twitter.com/TWiStartupsYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/thisweekinInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/thisweekinstartupsTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@thisweekinstartupsSubstack: https://twistartups.substack.comSubscribe to the Founder University Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/@founderuniversity1916

Join Michale, Mike, Yano and Santi on stage and LIVE from PERMISSIONLESS IV as they break down crypto's breakout moment for this week's roundup! -- Start your day with crypto news, analysis and data from Katherine Ross. Subscribe to the Empire newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/empire?utm_source=podcasts -- Follow Michael - https://x.com/im_manderson Follow Mike - https://x.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Santi - https://x.com/santiagoroel Follow Jason: https://x.com/JasonYanowitz Follow Empire: https://twitter.com/theempirepod -- Join the Empire Telegram: https://t.me/+CaCYvTOB4Eg1OWJh -- GEODNET is the world's largest RTK network, delivering real-time, centimeter-level precision for drones, robots, farmers, and first responders. Recognized by the U.S. Congress, this blockchain-powered network supports mission-critical applications across a wide range of industries. Discover how GEODNET is changing the world: [https://geodnet.com] -- Get up to speed on the biggest stories in crypto each week. In five minutes. Get the Bitwise Weekly CIO Memo delivered directly to your inbox at bitwiseinvestments.com/ciomemo/empire -- Ledger, the global leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors Expansion! As Ledger celebrates 10 years of securing 20% of global crypto, it remains the top choice for securing your assets. Buy a LEDGER™ device now, and build confidently, knowing your BTC, ETH, SOL, and more are safe.Buy now on https://shop.ledger.com/?r=1da180a5de00. -- Citrea is the first zero-knowledge rollup to enhance the capabilities of Bitcoin blockspace and enable Bitcoin applications (₿apps). Citrea is optimistically verified by Bitcoin, offering the most Bitcoin-secured and native way to extend BTC's utility to DeFi. Learn more about Citrea: https://citrea.xyz/?utm_source=bellcurve&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=website_promo Follow Citrea on X/Twitter for the latest on its journey to mainnet: https://x.com/citrea_xyz Chapters: (00:00) Intro (01:25) The Growth of Prediction Markets (04:11) Polymarket vs Kalshi's Business Models (09:32) Ads (Geodnet, Bitwise) (11:08) Is Crypto Forming Its Own Mag 7? (19:16) Ads (Geodnet, Bitwise) (20:53) Global Capital Pools and the State of Venture (30:21) Bitcoin Dominance Is Up Only (36:21) Ads (Ledger, Citrea) (37:52) Verifiable Apps and the Effectiveness of the DAO (40:56) How to Play the Stablecoin Boom — Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

Dolph Lundgren pulls up and the boys go deep—Viagra talk, Warhol stories, and that time he almost starred in Gladiator. They kick things off with a Sandler sighting at the club, debate the confidence of gay men, and take some wild swings at modern fashion. Dolph opens up about his return to the big screen, Nordic tours, and directing behind the camera. Plus, they relive ‘90s Simpsons gems, sip classic cocktails, and pitch cold plunge setups that'll piss off your landlord. Sponsored by:

Joel McHale joins Mark and Sam to throw back some drinks and dive into a wild one—swapping stories about Rodney Dangerfield and Paul Reubens, breaking down cancel culture and Demolition Man predictions, and reminiscing on stage life, reality TV chaos, and hair transplant regrets. Plus, Joel dishes behind-the-scenes moments with Seth MacFarlane, Mark Wahlberg, and the highs and lows of being a Hollywood extrovert. Sponsored by: