Podcasts about Replicate

We often times hear people say, I just want my coffee at home to taste like it does at the coffee shop. Now we totally get that people just want to brew great coffee at home, however, there are certain things that distinguish the coffee experience at home from the cafe. Here's how to make your home coffee experience better than the one at your local coffee shop.Pick up our coffee here: https://mirrorcoffeeroasters.com/Find us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mirrorcoffeeroasters/Mirror Coffee Roasters is a specialty coffee roaster located in Bellingham, WA

In the second hour of the show, Dukes & Bell talked some NFL news with Bryant McFadden before continuing the discussion with their 4th & 1. They wrapped the hour with some Yeah Man, No Man!

Hey folks, this is Alex, finally back home! This week was full of crazy AI news, both model related but also shifts in the AI landscape and big companies, with Zuck going all in on scale & execu-hiring Alex Wang for a crazy $14B dollars. OpenAI meanwhile, maybe received a new shipment of GPUs? Otherwise, it's hard to explain how they have dropped the o3 price by 80%, while also shipping o3-pro (in chat and API). Apple was also featured in today's episode, but more so for the lack of AI news, completely delaying the “very personalized private Siri powered by Apple Intelligence” during WWDC25 this week. We had 2 guests on the show this week, Stefania Druga and Eric Provencher (who builds RepoPrompt). Stefania helped me cover the AI Engineer conference we all went to last week, and shared some cool Science CoPilot stuff she's working on, while Eric is the GOTO guy for O3-pro helped us understand what this model is great for! As always, TL;DR and show notes at the bottom, video for those who prefer watching is attached below, let's dive in! Big Companies LLMs & APIsLet's start with big companies, because the landscape has shifted, new top reasoner models dropped and some huge companies didn't deliver this week! Zuck goes all in on SuperIntelligence - Meta's $14B stake in ScaleAI and Alex WangThis may be the most consequential piece of AI news today. Fresh from the dissapointing results of LLama 4, reports of top researchers leaving the Llama team, many have decided to exclude Meta from the AI race. We have a saying at ThursdAI, don't bet against Zuck! Zuck decided to spend a lot of money (nearly 20% of their reported $65B investment in AI infrastructure) to get a 49% stake in Scale AI and bring Alex Wang it's (now former) CEO to lead the new Superintelligence team at Meta. For folks who are not familiar with Scale, it's a massive company in providing human annotated data services to all the big AI labs, Google, OpenAI, Microsoft, Anthropic.. all of them really. Alex Wang, is the youngest self made billionaire because of it, and now Zuck not only has access to all their expertise, but also to a very impressive AI persona, who could help revive the excitement about Meta's AI efforts, help recruit the best researchers, and lead the way inside Meta. Wang is also an outspoken China hawk who spends as much time in congressional hearings as in Slack, so the geopolitics here are … spicy. Meta just stapled itself to the biggest annotation funnel on Earth, hired away Google's Jack Rae (who was on the pod just last week, shipping for Google!) for brainy model alignment, and started waving seven-to-nine-figure comp packages at every researcher with “Transformer” in their citation list. Whatever disappointment you felt over Llama-4's muted debut, Zuck clearly felt it too—and responded like a founder who still controls every voting share. OpenAI's Game-Changer: o3 Price Slash & o3-pro launches to top the intelligence leaderboards!Meanwhile OpenAI dropping not one, but two mind-blowing updates. First, they've slashed the price of o3—their premium reasoning model—by a staggering 80%. We're talking from $40/$10 per million tokens down to just $8/$2. That's right, folks, it's now in the same league as Claude Sonnet cost-wise, making top-tier intelligence dirt cheap. I remember when a price drop of 80% after a year got us excited; now it's 80% in just four months with zero quality loss. They've confirmed it's the full o3 model—no distillation or quantization here. How are they pulling this off? I'm guessing someone got a shipment of shiny new H200s from Jensen!And just when you thought it couldn't get better, OpenAI rolled out o3-pro, their highest intelligence offering yet. Available for pro and team accounts, and via API (87% cheaper than o1-pro, by the way), this model—or consortium of models—is a beast. It's topping charts on Artificial Analysis, barely edging out Gemini 2.5 as the new king. Benchmarks are insane: 93% on AIME 2024 (state-of-the-art territory), 84% on GPQA Diamond, and nearing a 3000 ELO score on competition coding. Human preference tests show 64-66% of folks prefer o3-pro for clarity and comprehensiveness across tasks like scientific analysis and personal writing.I've been playing with it myself, and the way o3-pro handles long context and tough problems is unreal. As my friend Eric Provencher (creator of RepoPrompt) shared on the show, it's surgical—perfect for big refactors and bug diagnosis in coding. It's got all the tools o3 has—web search, image analysis, memory personalization—and you can run it in background mode via API for async tasks. Sure, it's slower due to deep reasoning (no streaming thought tokens), but the consistency and depth? Worth it. Oh, and funny story—I was prepping a talk for Hamel Hussain's evals course, with a slide saying “don't use large reasoning models if budget's tight.” The day before, this price drop hits, and I'm scrambling to update everything. That's AI pace for ya!Apple WWDC: Where's the Smarter Siri? Oh Apple. Sweet, sweet Apple. Remember all those Bella Ramsey ads promising a personalized Siri that knows everything about you? Well, Craig Federighi opened WWDC by basically saying "Yeah, about that smart Siri... she's not coming. Don't wait up."Instead, we got:* AI that can combine emojis (revolutionary!

The Thunder took down the Pacers in Game 2 of the NBA Finals. Success breeds copycats and we talk about which team is easier to replicate. With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder run a one man centerpiece offense. The Pacers, on the other hand, mimic Tyrese Haliburton's style and have three-point shooters. Who is more rare, a smart point guard or a once-in-a-lifetime talent? He just passed Allen Iverson for most points through first two career NBA Finals games, but is he better than '06 Dwayne Wade? Michael Jordan? Steph Curry? Plus, a new week with new headlines!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Thunder took down the Pacers in Game 2 of the NBA Finals. Success breeds copycats and we talk about which team is easier to replicate. With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder run a one man centerpiece offense. The Pacers, on the other hand, mimic Tyrese Haliburton's style and have three-point shooters. Who is more rare, a smart point guard or a once-in-a-lifetime talent? He just passed Allen Iverson for most points through first two career NBA Finals games, but is he better than '06 Dwayne Wade? Michael Jordan? Steph Curry? Plus, a new week with new headlines!  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Ottawa Charge GM Mike Hirshfeld joins the program to talk about the PWHL expansion draft process, and what's next for his team

(00:00) Craig reacts to his Knicks being sent home (00:15:28) Deion right about Shedeur criticism? (00:29:58) Will Lions replicate 2024 success? (00:42:18) Did Siakam deserve ECF MVP honors? (00:52:27) What do you make of the Stefon Diggs' situation? (01:10:14) Where do Knicks go from here? (01:20:29) Does Purdy have something to prove? (01:30:12) What went wrong for the Knicks? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The growing presence of AI in the wedding industry, and why wedding pros must focus on what technology can't replicate: human connection, intuition, and real relationships. AI can handle tasks, but it can't hold hands, calm nerves, or read the room like you can.Think about what you can do in your business to create more human connections.Show Notes:The Limitations of AI in WeddingsIs AI a Friend or a Foe?The Efficiency of AIThe Human Touch in WeddingsDoubling Down on Being HumanBuilding Human ConnectionsTips for Building a Referral BusinessPersonalizing Your ApproachIncorporating Human Moments into Your WorkflowA Word About My Wedding SongsMy Wedding Songs is a resource for wedding music planning. Grab a copy of our Wedding Music Planner for ceremony and reception guides with song suggestions. Join the Wedding MusicLetter for weekly trending wedding songs and ideas.

Hey everyone, Alex here

Hour 1 Starting Lineup OKC built to last | OKC model and can it be replicated  What You May Have Missed Hour 2 News & Observer Duke beat writer Steve Wiseman Good, Bad & Ugly Whole World News Hour 3 Utah Jazz play-by-play David Locke Sports Roulette Final thoughts

Seán's guest believes that we should replicate the success of the 2004 smoking ban to fight the climate crisis. But, how would this work?Sadhbh O'Neill, Climate and Environmental Researcher, has been writing about this in the Irish Times, and joins to discuss.

Seán's guest believes that we should replicate the success of the 2004 smoking ban to fight the climate crisis. But, how would this work?Sadhbh O'Neill, Climate and Environmental Researcher, has been writing about this in the Irish Times, and joins to discuss.

Learn tips, tricks, and insights from the best and brightest business owners and entrepreneurs in the martial arts community, so you can successfully build and grow your martial arts business while living your life “at your best.” - In this episode Dave Kovar talks with Kovar Inc. CEO Dave Chamberlain about your team, culture and how to find what helps you win and replicate it. -- For information on Kovar Systems: www.kovarsystems.com

In this week's Akem's Analysis, we will examine Montana and Montana State's last 10 seasons to determine who seems to be on a better trajectory and why. Both teams have seen success, but neither has reached the pinnacle. The New Haven Chargers are joining the NEC. The FCS Oversight Committee has approved 12-game regular season schedules for all FCS teams, and now it just needs to pass. What does this mean for other teams in the FCS?0:00 - Intro 1:16 - Comparing Montana & Montana State's Last 10 Seasons 17:28 - FCS Oversight Committee Approves Moving To 12-Game Schedules Permanently 22:30 - University of New Haven Joining The NEC 28:39 - How Does Sac State Replicate What Notre Dame Has Done? 37:50 - Schools Facing NCAA Punishment For Academics 46:10 - Would NFL Teams Rather Take a G5 Player or FCS Player? 51:52 - Final Thoughts 52:36 - End

Mike Johnson and Abe Gordon continue to react to the Atlanta Braves losing their three game series against the Tampa Bay Rays after losing the rubber match yesterday 8-3, and also explain why Chris Sale doesn't have to replicate what he did last year in his Cy Young season, but has to better than what he is right now.

Cedric Mullins set incredible career highs in 2021 with the first 30-30 season in Orioles history. Can he reach those numbers again this year after a hot start?

Every loan you fund is either making you unforgettable—or forgettable.If you're closing deals but not creating repeat business, not getting consistent referrals, and not building raving fans out of your clients and partners… your loan process is broken. And you're leaving hundreds of thousands (if not millions) on the table.In this episode of The 360 Experience Podcast, Tim Braheem is flying solo to break down the exact system that helped him go from funding 3 loans a month to over 500 a year. His Perfect Loan Process is a 73-step machine designed to create an experience so addictive, so dialed-in, that clients and referral partners can't help but come back—and bring others with them.What you'll gain from this episode:1️⃣ Turn Every Loan Into New Leads: Discover how to create referral momentum by delivering an unforgettable experience that turns every client, agent, CPA, and advisor into your personal sales force.2️⃣ Systematize Your Excellence: Learn how to build a repeatable, scalable process that eliminates reactivity, increases efficiency, and ensures your team delivers “wow” moments every time.3️⃣ Create Addicted Referral Partners: Hear real-life examples and scripts you can use to proactively turn listing agents, CPAs, and financial advisors into new referral relationships—on every deal.➡️ Ready to turn every loan into your next 3 deals? Download the Perfect Loan Process for free and start building a system that creates repeat business and nonstop referrals: https://go.theloanatlas.com/perfect-loan-process_________________________________________________________________ABOUT TIM BRAHEEMWith more than 25 years of experience as a highly successful mortgage professional, industry leader, educator, and life coach, Tim Braheem is committed to engaging with people on a deep level and helping them uncover the barriers they have placed in the way of having the level of success they deserve in both their business and personal lives.FOLLOW Instagram ► https://www.instagram.com/tbraheem/LinkedIn ► https://www.linkedin.com/in/timbraheemTHE LOAN ATLASJOIN ► https://go.theloanatlas.com/membership FOLLOWInstagram ► https://www.instagram.com/theloanatlas/YOUTUBE ► https://www.youtube.com/@LoanAtlas----------➡️ SUBSCRIBE YOUTUBE ► https://www.youtube.com/@LoanAtlas➡️ FOLLOW THE LOAN ATLASInstagram ► https://www.instagram.com/theloanatlas/➡️ FOLLOW TIM BRAHEEMInstagram ► https://www.instagram.com/tbraheem/LinkedIn ► https://www.linkedin.com/in/timbraheem

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 . 01. ID 02. Cocho - Coast Fantasy [DAYS like NIGHTS] 03. Rob Hes, Paralel - Figures [DAYS like NIGHTS] 04. Silicodisco - Biscayne Boulevard (Vhyce Remix) [Espacio CIELO] 05. Was - Like That [DAYS like NIGHTS] 06. Róisin Murphy x DJ Koze - Can't Replicate (12” Edit) [Ninja Tune] 07. Dilby - Passing Notes [Circus] 08. Eelke Kleijn vs Lee Cabrera - Self Control (Eelke Kleijn 12AU Cosmic Airplane Edition) [DAYS like NIGHTS] 09. Fiona Kraft - Deeper Feeling (MAGA Remix) [Connected] 10. Florian Kruse - Nordic Soul [Stone Free Berlin] 11. Rony Seikaly - Out Of Time [Stride] 12. Solee - Sternstunde (Joris Voorn Edit) [Spectrum] This show is syndicated & distributed exclusively by Syndicast. If you are a radio station interested in airing the show or would like to distribute your podcast / radio show please register here: https://syndicast.co.uk/distribution/registration

Hawks and United broadcaster Mike Conti recaps a huge weekend for both squads!

Why Female Attorneys Get 'Gangbusters' Marketing Results (And How to Replicate Their Success) with Sonya Palmer>> Get the newest LFG episodes delivered to your inbox when you Sign Up for our Newsletter.>> Get the new book beyondintakebook.comResource Links:Fast track your marketing efforts while avoiding common marketing mistakes in our new trainingEstate planning attorney? Stop guessing how to get results from online ads and grow your firm with our client-generating Seminar 3.0 Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Feel like you're drowning in a sea of sameness online? In this AI-dominated landscape, your unique voice and lived experience are your unfair advantage. In this episode, I break down:Why your personal brand is your most valuable asset in 2025 (and no, being "good at what you do" isn't enough)The exact content formats getting real engagement right now (spoiler: it's not your how-to tips)How to weave your authentic stories into marketing that connects and convertsThe Instagram formats that are actually working (and why talking to camera is non-negotiable)Simple ways to humanise your sales process in a world of automationsBecause here's what I know for sure: Your personality, perspective, and human connection are impossible for AI to replicate. Stop hiding behind generic content and start showing up as the irreplaceable expert you are. Ready to stop blending in and start standing out? Let's make some magic.FREE DOWNLOAD: Get my 27-page Lead Magnet Success Manual with 19 proven lead magnet formats for 2025! > LINK https://heyhazal.com/19-proven-lead-magnet-formatsHAZAL'S LINKSThe Self-Makers Mastermind: https://heyhazal.com/self-makers-mastermind Marketing Call Book $20k Marketing CallInstagram: @Hey.HazalWebsite: https://heyhazal.com/#PersonalBranding #ContentStrategy #AIMarketing #2025Marketing #StandOutOnline #AuthenticMarketing #Entrepreneur #SmallBusinessTips #MarketingCoach #SocialMediaStrategy #BusinessGrowth #Storytelling #InstagramMarketing #ContentCreation #OnlineBusiness #BusinessCoach #PersonalBrandMessaging #SelfMakers #MarketingTips #DigitalMarketing

1pm hour of The K&C Masterpiece!

There's a story today about how a VR headset can make us more empathetic toward nature. But according to the Pacific Northwest based author and biologist Thor Hanson, no digital technology can ever replicate nature. Instead, he argues in his new book Close to Home, we humans are wired, so to speak, to appreciate the natureal world whether its on the Galapagos or in our local park. In fact, he told me in a windswept conversation he recorded outside his home on San Juan island, the wonders of nature are just acute outside our door, even if we live in Los Angeles or New York City. Here are the five KEEN ON AMERICA takeaways in our conversation with Thor Hanson:1. Nature is accessible everywhere, not just in remote locations. Hanson emphasizes that meaningful connections with nature can be found right outside your door, even in highly urbanized environments like Los Angeles.2. Local nature connections provide emotional resilience against global environmental challenges. Hanson suggests that forming bonds with nearby natural spaces helps counterbalance feelings of helplessness about larger environmental crises.3. Scientific evidence confirms nature's positive impact on physical and mental health. Multiple studies show measurable benefits from nature exposure, including lower anxiety, reduced blood pressure, and faster recovery from illness.4. Children have a natural ability to observe and connect with nature that adults often lose. Kids see more details in nature because they haven't developed the sensory filters that adults use to block out environmental stimuli.5. Small-scale local conservation efforts can collectively make significant environmental impacts. Hanson shares examples like Switzerland's community pond-building initiative that successfully reversed amphibian population declines across an entire region.Author and biologist Thor Hanson is a Guggenheim Fellow, a Switzer Environmental Fellow, and winner of the John Burroughs Medal. His books include Close to Home, Buzz, The Triumph of Seeds, Feathers, Bartholomew Quill, The Impenetrable Forest, Hurricane Lizards and Plastic Squid, Star and the Maestro, and more.Named as one of the "100 most connected men" by GQ magazine, Andrew Keen is amongst the world's best known broadcasters and commentators. In addition to presenting the daily KEEN ON show, he is the host of the long-running How To Fix Democracy interview series. He is also the author of four prescient books about digital technology: CULT OF THE AMATEUR, DIGITAL VERTIGO, THE INTERNET IS NOT THE ANSWER and HOW TO FIX THE FUTURE. Andrew lives in San Francisco, is married to Cassandra Knight, Google's VP of Litigation & Discovery, and has two grown children.Keen On America is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit keenon.substack.com/subscribe

This episode is sponsored by BetterHelp. Give online therapy a try at https://betterhelp.com/MASTYORASTY and get on your way to being your best self.-------------------------Alireza Karduni is an assistant professor of Human-Centered Computing at Simon Fraser University, School of Interactive Arts and Technology. He is back on the show to talk about music, creativity and the limits of AI. http://karduni.com-------------------------To learn more about psychedelic therapy go to my brother Mehran's page at: https://www.mindbodyintegration.ca/ or to https://www.somaretreats.org for his next retreat.***Masty o Rasty is not responsible for, or condone, the views and opinions expressed by our guests ******مستی و راستی هیچگونه مسولیتی در برابر نظرها و عقاید مهمان‌های برنامه ندارد.***--------Support the showhttps://paypal.me/raamemamiVenmo + Revolut: @KingRaam Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this episode, Katy Kaminski helps us explore the latest trends in managed futures and how different approaches to replication can impact performance and correlation. We explore the pros and cons of index versus mechanical replication, highlighting how each method reacts differently in various market conditions. Plus, we touch on the most recent developments in the ETF space and how they're reshaping access to CTAs, but also question if all of the new products are truly worthy of the "CTA" lable. Stick around as we break down these ideas and share insights that can help shape your investment strategies.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Katy on LinkedIn.Episode TimeStamps:01:50 - What has caught our attention recently?06:09 - Industry performance update13:06 - Q1, Rick: Have Katy done any work on Co-Movement Factor and "offsides" systems?18:12 - Q1.2, Rick: Katy's work shows us the dispersion between "slow" and "fast" systems w/ an optimal window of 10mo: How does this "optimal window" differ by year?25:54 - Q2, Brian: Are there more individual investors than institutional investors?28:43 - Q2.2: Are investors holding the ETF “long term”, or do they “chase performance”?32:25 - Q3, Niels: How should we think about future returns in trend following?36:24 - The beta of trend following and how to access it44:05 - Combing index- and mechanical replication50:58 - The pitfalls of replication...

United Analyst Jason Longshore recaps a great opening win for the club and if they can keep up the pace this weekend

We also explore:How AI helped Chris write a book in under a weekThe future of AI and automation in businessWhat AI can't replace in human creativityThe balance between AI tools and personal brandingHow AI is leveling the playing field for startups and agenciesA must-listen for marketers, entrepreneurs, and anyone looking to future-proof their business in an AI-driven world!

In this episode, Matt and Chris take a look at a recent developmental psychology paper on the social evaluation of young babies. Do they display a preference for agents who are nice to others or could they care less at the babbling age? This is a large-scale, multi-lab, preregistered replication effort of a rather influential paper so it ticks all of Chris' Open Science boxes, but how does Matt react? Is he stuck in his pre-replication crisis paradigms? Join us to find out and along the way find out about baby Matt's psychotic tendencies, how cats feel about cucumbers, and how Matt narrowly escaped being eaten by a big ol' crocodile.Paper Reference: Lucca, K., Yuen, F., Wang, Y., Alessandroni, N., Allison, O., Alvarez, M., ... & Hamlin, J. K. (2025). Infants' Social Evaluation of Helpers and Hinderers: A Large‐Scale, Multi‐Lab, Coordinated Replication Study. Developmental Science, 28(1), e13581.Original Study: Hamlin, J. K., Wynn, K., & Bloom, P. (2007). Social evaluation by preverbal infants. Nature, 450(7169), 557-559.Decoding Academia 3200:00 Introduction00:59 Matt's Close Shave with a Crocodile03:15 Discussion on Crocodile Behavior05:13 Introduction to the Academic Paper06:18 Understanding Registered Reports07:49 Details of the Replication Study12:07 The Many Babies Study18:23 Challenges in Developmental Psychology20:35 Original Study and Replication Efforts26:27 HARKing and the QRP problem in psychology34:24 Discussing the Results36:58 Exploring the Red Ball Experiment39:38 Forest Plot Analysis41:19 Infant Preferences and Social Evaluation43:24 Failure to Replicate the Original Study47:06 Exploratory Analysis and Moderators50:03 Interpretations and Implications54:21 Evolutionary Perspectives on Social Behavior58:34 Prosocial Evolutionary Speculation01:05:10 Psychopathic Baby Matt01:06:28 Concluding Thoughts and Reflections01:11:20 Comparative Psychology on Snake Hatred!The full episode is available for Patreon subscribers (1hrs 15 mins).Join us at: https://www.patreon.com/DecodingTheGurus

Jeff and Dan talk about the NHL's 4Nations Face Off and whether or not the NBA can replicate what hockey did for All Star weekend.

Hour 3: Sal and BT say the Jets will try to replicate the Lions success. Plus, the Knicks will face some interesting challenges coming-up and much more.

The guys break down the Eagles draft picks and how the Falcons need to learn from their model

00:00 Jamal Murray drops 55 and some are mad at Nathan MacKinnon.14:50 Nuggets lineup.30:50 Can the Broncos replicate the Eagles?

In hour two, What does the Eagles run mean for the Miami Dolphins? Discussing whether there's a blueprint the Dolphins can follow to build a contender and whether Chris Grier and Mike McDaniel are the right guys to lead them. Andrew Wiggins makes his debut tonight for the Heat but Hoch is convinced Jimmy Butler's Warriors are winning the title. Plus, Luka debuts for the Lakers tonight and Anthony Davis quickly confirms everyone's worries in Dallas.

In the second hour, Mike Mulligan and David Haugh were joined by Tribune reporter Brad Biggs to discuss the Eagles' 40-22 win against the Chiefs in the Super Bowl on Sunday. Biggs also discussed what's next on the Bears' to-do list. Later, Score football analyst Olin Kreutz joined the show to share his takeaways from the Super Bowl.

Ben Criddle talks BYU sports every weekday from 2 to 6 pm.Today's Co-Hosts: Ben Criddle (@criddlebenjamin)Subscribe to the Cougar Sports with Ben Criddle podcast:Apple Podcasts: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/cougar-sports-with-ben-criddle/id99676

Ben Criddle talks BYU sports every weekday from 2 to 6 pm.Today's Co-Hosts: Ben Criddle (@criddlebenjamin)Subscribe to the Cougar Sports with Ben Criddle podcast:Apple Podcasts: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/cougar-sports-with-ben-criddle/id99676

Ben Criddle talks BYU sports every weekday from 2 to 6 pm.Today's Co-Hosts: Ben Criddle (@criddlebenjamin)Subscribe to the Cougar Sports with Ben Criddle podcast:Apple Podcasts: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/cougar-sports-with-ben-criddle/id99676

Ben Criddle talks BYU sports every weekday from 2 to 6 pm.Today's Co-Hosts: Ben Criddle (@criddlebenjamin)Subscribe to the Cougar Sports with Ben Criddle podcast:Apple Podcasts: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/cougar-sports-with-ben-criddle/id99676 Stitcherhttps://www.stitcher.com/podcast/espn960sports/cougar-bytes

(0:00) Greg Bedard of BostonSportsJournal.com joins the show and discusses the turnaround of the Washington Commanders and if the Patriots can replicate that. (16:51) More thoughts on the Patriots and how they can replicate the Commanders returning to contention. (24:12) 3 Up and 3 Down from NFL Divisional Weekend. (34:53) Some additional thoughts from NFL Divisional Weekend, including Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions.

Nick and Jonathan discuss Jayden Daniels' success in Washington, and if the Browns could follow a similar turnaround.

Nick and Jonathan discuss Jayden Daniels' success in Washington, and they're joined by The MMQB's Albert Breer to discuss Ohio State and the NFL Playoffs. Also, they talk about a 'crash' that happened after the national championship game.

Hour 3 in full featuring Sal Capaccio.

Date: December 2o, 2024 Reference: Kotani et al. Positive single-center randomized trials and subsequent multicenter randomized trials in critically ill patients: a systematic review. Crit Care. 2023  Guest Skeptic: Dr. Scott Weingart is an ED Intensivist from New York. He did fellowships in Trauma, Surgical Critical Care, and ECMO. He is a physician coach concentrating […] The post SGEM#465: Not A Second Time – Single Center RCTs Fail To Replicate In Multi-Center RCTs first appeared on The Skeptics Guide to Emergency Medicine.

On this episode of Move the Sticks, Bucky Brooks is joined by special guest Lance Zierlein. The duo dives into what makes Lions offensive coordinator Ben Johnson such a coveted head coaching candidate in the NFL. They explore the challenges that come with transitioning from a successful coordinator to a head coach and whether Johnson can replicate his success with a new roster. Next, they break down the Game of the Week: Packers vs. Eagles, predicting who will move on to the divisional round. Finally, they preview the College Football Playoff semifinals, highlighting key things to watch. Tune in for all this and more on the latest episode of Move the Sticks! Help people affected by the raging wildfires in California. Go to redcross.org/NFL to make a donation. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Democrats are trying to replicate Republicans' success in amplifying their political messages across social media platforms, especially in how they use content creators and high-profile podcasters like Joe Rogan.

Applications for the NYC AI Engineer Summit, focused on Agents at Work, are open!When we first started Latent Space, in the lightning round we'd always ask guests: “What's your favorite AI product?”. The majority would say Midjourney. The simple UI of prompt → very aesthetic image turned it into a $300M+ ARR bootstrapped business as it rode the first wave of AI image generation.In open source land, StableDiffusion was congregating around AUTOMATIC1111 as the de-facto web UI. Unlike Midjourney, which offered some flags but was mostly prompt-driven, A1111 let users play with a lot more parameters, supported additional modalities like img2img, and allowed users to load in custom models. If you're interested in some of the SD history, you can look at our episodes with Lexica, Replicate, and Playground.One of the people involved with that community was comfyanonymous, who was also part of the Stability team in 2023, decided to build an alternative called ComfyUI, now one of the fastest growing open source projects in generative images, and is now the preferred partner for folks like Black Forest Labs's Flux Tools on Day 1. The idea behind it was simple: “Everyone is trying to make easy to use interfaces. Let me try to make a powerful interface that's not easy to use.”Unlike its predecessors, ComfyUI does not have an input text box. Everything is based around the idea of a node: there's a text input node, a CLIP node, a checkpoint loader node, a KSampler node, a VAE node, etc. While daunting for simple image generation, the tool is amazing for more complex workflows since you can break down every step of the process, and then chain many of them together rather than manually switching between tools. You can also re-start execution halfway instead of from the beginning, which can save a lot of time when using larger models.To give you an idea of some of the new use cases that this type of UI enables:* Sketch something → Generate an image with SD from sketch → feed it into SD Video to animate* Generate an image of an object → Turn into a 3D asset → Feed into interactive experiences* Input audio → Generate audio-reactive videosTheir Examples page also includes some of the more common use cases like AnimateDiff, etc. They recently launched the Comfy Registry, an online library of different nodes that users can pull from rather than having to build everything from scratch. The project has >60,000 Github stars, and as the community grows, some of the projects that people build have gotten quite complex:The most interesting thing about Comfy is that it's not a UI, it's a runtime. You can build full applications on top of image models simply by using Comfy. You can expose Comfy workflows as an endpoint and chain them together just like you chain a single node. We're seeing the rise of AI Engineering applied to art.Major Tom's ComfyUI Resources from the Latent Space DiscordMajor shoutouts to Major Tom on the LS Discord who is a image generation expert, who offered these pointers:* “best thing about comfy is the fact it supports almost immediately every new thing that comes out - unlike A1111 or forge, which still don't support flux cnet for instance. It will be perfect tool when conflicting nodes will be resolved”* AP Workflows from Alessandro Perili are a nice example of an all-in-one train-evaluate-generate system built atop Comfy* ComfyUI YouTubers to learn from:* @sebastiankamph* @NerdyRodent* @OlivioSarikas* @sedetweiler* @pixaroma* ComfyUI Nodes to check out:* https://github.com/kijai/ComfyUI-IC-Light* https://github.com/MrForExample/ComfyUI-3D-Pack* https://github.com/PowerHouseMan/ComfyUI-AdvancedLivePortrait* https://github.com/pydn/ComfyUI-to-Python-Extension* https://github.com/THtianhao/ComfyUI-Portrait-Maker* https://github.com/ssitu/ComfyUI_NestedNodeBuilder* https://github.com/longgui0318/comfyui-magic-clothing* https://github.com/atmaranto/ComfyUI-SaveAsScript* https://github.com/ZHO-ZHO-ZHO/ComfyUI-InstantID* https://github.com/AIFSH/ComfyUI-FishSpeech* https://github.com/coolzilj/ComfyUI-Photopea* https://github.com/lks-ai/anynode* Sarav: https://www.youtube.com/@mickmumpitz/videos ( applied stuff )* Sarav: https://www.youtube.com/@latentvision (technical, but infrequent)* look for comfyui node for https://github.com/magic-quill/MagicQuill* “Comfy for Video” resources* Kijai (https://github.com/kijai) pushing out support for Mochi, CogVideoX, AnimateDif, LivePortrait etc* Comfyui node support like LTX https://github.com/Lightricks/ComfyUI-LTXVideo , and HunyuanVideo* FloraFauna AI* Communities: https://www.reddit.com/r/StableDiffusion/, https://www.reddit.com/r/comfyui/Full YouTube EpisodeAs usual, you can find the full video episode on our YouTube (and don't forget to like and subscribe!)Timestamps* 00:00:04 Introduction of hosts and anonymous guest* 00:00:35 Origins of Comfy UI and early Stable Diffusion landscape* 00:02:58 Comfy's background and development of high-res fix* 00:05:37 Area conditioning and compositing in image generation* 00:07:20 Discussion on different AI image models (SD, Flux, etc.)* 00:11:10 Closed source model APIs and community discussions on SD versions* 00:14:41 LoRAs and textual inversion in image generation* 00:18:43 Evaluation methods in the Comfy community* 00:20:05 CLIP models and text encoders in image generation* 00:23:05 Prompt weighting and negative prompting* 00:26:22 Comfy UI's unique features and design choices* 00:31:00 Memory management in Comfy UI* 00:33:50 GPU market share and compatibility issues* 00:35:40 Node design and parameter settings in Comfy UI* 00:38:44 Custom nodes and community contributions* 00:41:40 Video generation models and capabilities* 00:44:47 Comfy UI's development timeline and rise to popularity* 00:48:13 Current state of Comfy UI team and future plans* 00:50:11 Discussion on other Comfy startups and potential text generation supportTranscriptAlessio [00:00:04]: Hey everyone, welcome to the Latent Space podcast. This is Alessio, partner and CTO at Decibel Partners, and I'm joined by my co-host Swyx, founder of Small AI.swyx [00:00:12]: Hey everyone, we are in the Chroma Studio again, but with our first ever anonymous guest, Comfy Anonymous, welcome.Comfy [00:00:19]: Hello.swyx [00:00:21]: I feel like that's your full name, you just go by Comfy, right?Comfy [00:00:24]: Yeah, well, a lot of people just call me Comfy, even when they know my real name. Hey, Comfy.Alessio [00:00:32]: Swyx is the same. You know, not a lot of people call you Shawn.swyx [00:00:35]: Yeah, you have a professional name, right, that people know you by, and then you have a legal name. Yeah, it's fine. How do I phrase this? I think people who are in the know, know that Comfy is like the tool for image generation and now other multimodality stuff. I would say that when I first got started with Stable Diffusion, the star of the show was Automatic 111, right? And I actually looked back at my notes from 2022-ish, like Comfy was already getting started back then, but it was kind of like the up and comer, and your main feature was the flowchart. Can you just kind of rewind to that moment, that year and like, you know, how you looked at the landscape there and decided to start Comfy?Comfy [00:01:10]: Yeah, I discovered Stable Diffusion in 2022, in October 2022. And, well, I kind of started playing around with it. Yes, I, and back then I was using Automatic, which was what everyone was using back then. And so I started with that because I had, it was when I started, I had no idea like how Diffusion works. I didn't know how Diffusion models work, how any of this works, so.swyx [00:01:36]: Oh, yeah. What was your prior background as an engineer?Comfy [00:01:39]: Just a software engineer. Yeah. Boring software engineer.swyx [00:01:44]: But like any, any image stuff, any orchestration, distributed systems, GPUs?Comfy [00:01:49]: No, I was doing basically nothing interesting. Crud, web development? Yeah, a lot of web development, just, yeah, some basic, maybe some basic like automation stuff. Okay. Just. Yeah, no, like, no big companies or anything.swyx [00:02:08]: Yeah, but like already some interest in automations, probably a lot of Python.Comfy [00:02:12]: Yeah, yeah, of course, Python. But I wasn't actually used to like the Node graph interface before I started Comfy UI. It was just, I just thought it was like, oh, like, what's the best way to represent the Diffusion process in the user interface? And then like, oh, well. Well, like, naturally, oh, this is the best way I've found. And this was like with the Node interface. So how I got started was, yeah, so basic October 2022, just like I hadn't written a line of PyTorch before that. So it's completely new. What happened was I kind of got addicted to generating images.Alessio [00:02:58]: As we all did. Yeah.Comfy [00:03:00]: And then I started. I started experimenting with like the high-res fixed in auto, which was for those that don't know, the high-res fix is just since the Diffusion models back then could only generate that low-resolution. So what you would do, you would generate low-resolution image, then upscale, then refine it again. And that was kind of the hack to generate high-resolution images. I really liked generating. Like higher resolution images. So I was experimenting with that. And so I modified the code a bit. Okay. What happens if I, if I use different samplers on the second pass, I was edited the code of auto. So what happens if I use a different sampler? What happens if I use a different, like a different settings, different number of steps? And because back then the. The high-res fix was very basic, just, so. Yeah.swyx [00:04:05]: Now there's a whole library of just, uh, the upsamplers.Comfy [00:04:08]: I think, I think they added a bunch of, uh, of options to the high-res fix since, uh, since, since then. But before that was just so basic. So I wanted to go further. I wanted to try it. What happens if I use a different model for the second, the second pass? And then, well, then the auto code base was, wasn't good enough for. Like, it would have been, uh, harder to implement that in the auto interface than to create my own interface. So that's when I decided to create my own. And you were doing that mostly on your own when you started, or did you already have kind of like a subgroup of people? No, I was, uh, on my own because, because it was just me experimenting with stuff. So yeah, that was it. Then, so I started writing the code January one. 2023, and then I released the first version on GitHub, January 16th, 2023. That's how things got started.Alessio [00:05:11]: And what's, what's the name? Comfy UI right away or? Yeah.Comfy [00:05:14]: Comfy UI. The reason the name, my name is Comfy is people thought my pictures were comfy, so I just, uh, just named it, uh, uh, it's my Comfy UI. So yeah, that's, uh,swyx [00:05:27]: Is there a particular segment of the community that you targeted as users? Like more intensive workflow artists, you know, compared to the automatic crowd or, you know,Comfy [00:05:37]: This was my way of like experimenting with, uh, with new things, like the high risk fixed thing I mentioned, which was like in Comfy, the first thing you could easily do was just chain different models together. And then one of the first things, I think the first times it got a bit of popularity was when I started experimenting with the different, like applying. Prompts to different areas of the image. Yeah. I called it area conditioning, posted it on Reddit and it got a bunch of upvotes. So I think that's when, like, when people first learned of Comfy UI.swyx [00:06:17]: Is that mostly like fixing hands?Comfy [00:06:19]: Uh, no, no, no. That was just, uh, like, let's say, well, it was very, well, it still is kind of difficult to like, let's say you want a mountain, you have an image and then, okay. I'm like, okay. I want the mountain here and I want the, like a, a Fox here.swyx [00:06:37]: Yeah. So compositing the image. Yeah.Comfy [00:06:40]: My way was very easy. It was just like, oh, when you run the diffusion process, you kind of generate, okay. You do pass one pass through the diffusion, every step you do one pass. Okay. This place of the image with this brand, this space, place of the image with the other prop. And then. The entire image with another prop and then just average everything together, every step, and that was, uh, area composition, which I call it. And then, then a month later, there was a paper that came out called multi diffusion, which was the same thing, but yeah, that's, uh,Alessio [00:07:20]: could you do area composition with different models or because you're averaging out, you kind of need the same model.Comfy [00:07:26]: Could do it with, but yeah, I hadn't implemented it. For different models, but, uh, you, you can do it with, uh, with different models if you want, as long as the models share the same latent space, like we, we're supposed to ring a bell every time someone says, yeah, like, for example, you couldn't use like Excel and SD 1.5, because those have a different latent space, but like, uh, yeah, like SD 1.5 models, different ones. You could, you could do that.swyx [00:07:59]: There's some models that try to work in pixel space, right?Comfy [00:08:03]: Yeah. They're very slow. Of course. That's the problem. That that's the, the reason why stable diffusion actually became like popular, like, cause was because of the latent space.swyx [00:08:14]: Small and yeah. Because it used to be latent diffusion models and then they trained it up.Comfy [00:08:19]: Yeah. Cause a pixel pixel diffusion models are just too slow. So. Yeah.swyx [00:08:25]: Have you ever tried to talk to like, like stability, the latent diffusion guys, like, you know, Robin Rombach, that, that crew. Yeah.Comfy [00:08:32]: Well, I used to work at stability.swyx [00:08:34]: Oh, I actually didn't know. Yeah.Comfy [00:08:35]: I used to work at stability. I got, uh, I got hired, uh, in June, 2023.swyx [00:08:42]: Ah, that's the part of the story I didn't know about. Okay. Yeah.Comfy [00:08:46]: So the, the reason I was hired is because they were doing, uh, SDXL at the time and they were basically SDXL. I don't know if you remember it was a base model and then a refiner model. Basically they wanted to experiment, like chaining them together. And then, uh, they saw, oh, right. Oh, this, we can use this to do that. Well, let's hire that guy.swyx [00:09:10]: But they didn't, they didn't pursue it for like SD3. What do you mean? Like the SDXL approach. Yeah.Comfy [00:09:16]: The reason for that approach was because basically they had two models and then they wanted to publish both of them. So they, they trained one on. Lower time steps, which was the refiner model. And then they, the first one was trained normally. And then they went during their test, they realized, oh, like if we string these models together are like quality increases. So let's publish that. It worked. Yeah. But like right now, I don't think many people actually use the refiner anymore, even though it is actually a full diffusion model. Like you can use it on its own. And it's going to generate images. I don't think anyone, people have mostly forgotten about it. But, uh.Alessio [00:10:05]: Can we talk about models a little bit? So stable diffusion, obviously is the most known. I know flux has gotten a lot of traction. Are there any underrated models that people should use more or what's the state of the union?Comfy [00:10:17]: Well, the, the latest, uh, state of the art, at least, yeah, for images there's, uh, yeah, there's flux. There's also SD3.5. SD3.5 is two models. There's a, there's a small one, 2.5B and there's the bigger one, 8B. So it's, it's smaller than flux. So, and it's more, uh, creative in a way, but flux, yeah, flux is the best. People should give SD3.5 a try cause it's, uh, it's different. I won't say it's better. Well, it's better for some like specific use cases. Right. If you want some to make something more like creative, maybe SD3.5. If you want to make something more consistent and flux is probably better.swyx [00:11:06]: Do you ever consider supporting the closed source model APIs?Comfy [00:11:10]: Uh, well, they, we do support them as custom nodes. We actually have some, uh, official custom nodes from, uh, different. Ideogram.swyx [00:11:20]: Yeah. I guess DALI would have one. Yeah.Comfy [00:11:23]: That's, uh, it's just not, I'm not the person that handles that. Sure.swyx [00:11:28]: Sure. Quick question on, on SD. There's a lot of community discussion about the transition from SD1.5 to SD2 and then SD2 to SD3. People still like, you know, very loyal to the previous generations of SDs?Comfy [00:11:41]: Uh, yeah. SD1.5 then still has a lot of, a lot of users.swyx [00:11:46]: The last based model.Comfy [00:11:49]: Yeah. Then SD2 was mostly ignored. It wasn't, uh, it wasn't a big enough improvement over the previous one. Okay.swyx [00:11:58]: So SD1.5, SD3, flux and whatever else. SDXL. SDXL.Comfy [00:12:03]: That's the main one. Stable cascade. Stable cascade. That was a good model. But, uh, that's, uh, the problem with that one is, uh, it got, uh, like SD3 was announced one week after. Yeah.swyx [00:12:16]: It was like a weird release. Uh, what was it like inside of stability actually? I mean, statute of limitations. Yeah. The statute of limitations expired. You know, management has moved. So it's easier to talk about now. Yeah.Comfy [00:12:27]: And inside stability, actually that model was ready, uh, like three months before, but it got, uh, stuck in, uh, red teaming. So basically the product, if that model had released or was supposed to be released by the authors, then it would probably have gotten very popular since it's a, it's a step up from SDXL. But it got all of its momentum stolen. It got stolen by the SD3 announcement. So people kind of didn't develop anything on top of it, even though it's, uh, yeah. It was a good model, at least, uh, completely mostly ignored for some reason. Likeswyx [00:13:07]: I think the naming as well matters. It seemed like a branch off of the main, main tree of development. Yeah.Comfy [00:13:15]: Well, it was different researchers that did it. Yeah. Yeah. Very like, uh, good model. Like it's the Worcestershire authors. I don't know if I'm pronouncing it correctly. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.swyx [00:13:28]: I actually met them in Vienna. Yeah.Comfy [00:13:30]: They worked at stability for a bit and they left right after the Cascade release.swyx [00:13:35]: This is Dustin, right? No. Uh, Dustin's SD3. Yeah.Comfy [00:13:38]: Dustin is a SD3 SDXL. That's, uh, Pablo and Dome. I think I'm pronouncing his name correctly. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. That's very good.swyx [00:13:51]: It seems like the community is very, they move very quickly. Yeah. Like when there's a new model out, they just drop whatever the current one is. And they just all move wholesale over. Like they don't really stay to explore the full capabilities. Like if, if the stable cascade was that good, they would have AB tested a bit more. Instead they're like, okay, SD3 is out. Let's go. You know?Comfy [00:14:11]: Well, I find the opposite actually. The community doesn't like, they only jump on a new model when there's a significant improvement. Like if there's a, only like a incremental improvement, which is what, uh, most of these models are going to have, especially if you, cause, uh, stay the same parameter count. Yeah. Like you're not going to get a massive improvement, uh, into like, unless there's something big that, that changes. So, uh. Yeah.swyx [00:14:41]: And how are they evaluating these improvements? Like, um, because there's, it's a whole chain of, you know, comfy workflows. Yeah. How does, how does one part of the chain actually affect the whole process?Comfy [00:14:52]: Are you talking on the model side specific?swyx [00:14:54]: Model specific, right? But like once you have your whole workflow based on a model, it's very hard to move.Comfy [00:15:01]: Uh, not, well, not really. Well, it depends on your, uh, depends on their specific kind of the workflow. Yeah.swyx [00:15:09]: So I do a lot of like text and image. Yeah.Comfy [00:15:12]: When you do change, like most workflows are kind of going to be complete. Yeah. It's just like, you might have to completely change your prompt completely change. Okay.swyx [00:15:24]: Well, I mean, then maybe the question is really about evals. Like what does the comfy community do for evals? Just, you know,Comfy [00:15:31]: Well, that they don't really do that. It's more like, oh, I think this image is nice. So that's, uh,swyx [00:15:38]: They just subscribe to Fofr AI and just see like, you know, what Fofr is doing. Yeah.Comfy [00:15:43]: Well, they just, they just generate like it. Like, I don't see anyone really doing it. Like, uh, at least on the comfy side, comfy users, they, it's more like, oh, generate images and see, oh, this one's nice. It's like, yeah, it's not, uh, like the, the more, uh, like, uh, scientific, uh, like, uh, like checking that's more on specifically on like model side. If, uh, yeah, but there is a lot of, uh, vibes also, cause it is a like, uh, artistic, uh, you can create a very good model that doesn't generate nice images. Cause most images on the internet are ugly. So if you, if that's like, if you just, oh, I have the best model at 10th giant, it's super smart. I created on all the, like I've trained on just all the images on the internet. The images are not going to look good. So yeah.Alessio [00:16:42]: Yeah.Comfy [00:16:43]: They're going to be very consistent. But yeah. People like, it's not going to be like the, the look that people are going to be expecting from, uh, from a model. So. Yeah.swyx [00:16:54]: Can we talk about LoRa's? Cause we thought we talked about models then like the next step is probably LoRa's. Before, I actually, I'm kind of curious how LoRa's entered the tool set of the image community because the LoRa paper was 2021. And then like, there was like other methods like textual inversion that was popular at the early SD stage. Yeah.Comfy [00:17:13]: I can't even explain the difference between that. Yeah. Textual inversions. That's basically what you're doing is you're, you're training a, cause well, yeah. Stable diffusion. You have the diffusion model, you have text encoder. So basically what you're doing is training a vector that you're going to pass to the text encoder. It's basically you're training a new word. Yeah.swyx [00:17:37]: It's a little bit like representation engineering now. Yeah.Comfy [00:17:40]: Yeah. Basically. Yeah. You're just, so yeah, if you know how like the text encoder works, basically you have, you take your, your words of your product, you convert those into tokens with the tokenizer and those are converted into vectors. Basically. Yeah. Each token represents a different vector. So each word presents a vector. And those, depending on your words, that's the list of vectors that get passed to the text encoder, which is just. Yeah. Yeah. I'm just a stack of, of attention. Like basically it's a very close to LLM architecture. Yeah. Yeah. So basically what you're doing is just training a new vector. We're saying, well, I have all these images and I want to know which word does that represent? And it's going to get like, you train this vector and then, and then when you use this vector, it hopefully generates. Like something similar to your images. Yeah.swyx [00:18:43]: I would say it's like surprisingly sample efficient in picking up the concept that you're trying to train it on. Yeah.Comfy [00:18:48]: Well, people have kind of stopped doing that even though back as like when I was at Stability, we, we actually did train internally some like textual versions on like T5 XXL actually worked pretty well. But for some reason, yeah, people don't use them. And also they might also work like, like, yeah, this is something and probably have to test, but maybe if you train a textual version, like on T5 XXL, it might also work with all the other models that use T5 XXL because same thing with like, like the textual inversions that, that were trained for SD 1.5, they also kind of work on SDXL because SDXL has the, has two text encoders. And one of them is the same as the, as the SD 1.5 CLIP-L. So those, they actually would, they don't work as strongly because they're only applied to one of the text encoders. But, and the same thing for SD3. SD3 has three text encoders. So it works. It's still, you can still use your textual version SD 1.5 on SD3, but it's just a lot weaker because now there's three text encoders. So it gets even more diluted. Yeah.swyx [00:20:05]: Do people experiment a lot on, just on the CLIP side, there's like Siglip, there's Blip, like do people experiment a lot on those?Comfy [00:20:12]: You can't really replace. Yeah.swyx [00:20:14]: Because they're trained together, right? Yeah.Comfy [00:20:15]: They're trained together. So you can't like, well, what I've seen people experimenting with is a long CLIP. So basically someone fine tuned the CLIP model to accept longer prompts.swyx [00:20:27]: Oh, it's kind of like long context fine tuning. Yeah.Comfy [00:20:31]: So, so like it's, it's actually supported in Core Comfy.swyx [00:20:35]: How long is long?Comfy [00:20:36]: Regular CLIP is 77 tokens. Yeah. Long CLIP is 256. Okay. So, but the hack that like you've, if you use stable diffusion 1.5, you've probably noticed, oh, it still works if I, if I use long prompts, prompts longer than 77 words. Well, that's because the hack is to just, well, you split, you split it up in chugs of 77, your whole big prompt. Let's say you, you give it like the massive text, like the Bible or something, and it would split it up in chugs of 77 and then just pass each one through the CLIP and then just cut anything together at the end. It's not ideal, but it actually works.swyx [00:21:26]: Like the positioning of the words really, really matters then, right? Like this is why order matters in prompts. Yeah.Comfy [00:21:33]: Yeah. Like it, it works, but it's, it's not ideal, but it's what people expect. Like if, if someone gives a huge prompt, they expect at least some of the concepts at the end to be like present in the image. But usually when they give long prompts, they, they don't, they like, they don't expect like detail, I think. So that's why it works very well.swyx [00:21:58]: And while we're on this topic, prompts waiting, negative comments. Negative prompting all, all sort of similar part of this layer of the stack. Yeah.Comfy [00:22:05]: The, the hack for that, which works on CLIP, like it, basically it's just for SD 1.5, well, for SD 1.5, the prompt waiting works well because CLIP L is a, is not a very deep model. So you have a very high correlation between, you have the input token, the index of the input token vector. And the output token, they're very, the concepts are very close, closely linked. So that means if you interpolate the vector from what, well, the, the way Comfy UI does it is it has, okay, you have the vector, you have an empty prompt. So you have a, a chunk, like a CLIP output for the empty prompt, and then you have the one for your prompt. And then it interpolates from that, depending on your prompt. Yeah.Comfy [00:23:07]: So that's how it, how it does prompt waiting. But this stops working the deeper your text encoder is. So on T5X itself, it doesn't work at all. So. Wow.swyx [00:23:20]: Is that a problem for people? I mean, cause I'm used to just move, moving up numbers. Probably not. Yeah.Comfy [00:23:25]: Well.swyx [00:23:26]: So you just use words to describe, right? Cause it's a bigger language model. Yeah.Comfy [00:23:30]: Yeah. So. Yeah. So honestly it might be good, but I haven't seen many complaints on Flux that it's not working. So, cause I guess people can sort of get around it with, with language. So. Yeah.swyx [00:23:46]: Yeah. And then coming back to LoRa's, now the, the popular way to, to customize models is LoRa's. And I saw you also support Locon and LoHa, which I've never heard of before.Comfy [00:23:56]: There's a bunch of, cause what, what the LoRa is essentially is. Instead of like, okay, you have your, your model and then you want to fine tune it. So instead of like, what you could do is you could fine tune the entire thing, but that's a bit heavy. So to speed things up and make things less heavy, what you can do is just fine tune some smaller weights, like basically two, two matrices that when you multiply like two low rank matrices and when you multiply them together, gives a, represents a difference between trained weights and your base weights. So by training those two smaller matrices, that's a lot less heavy. Yeah.Alessio [00:24:45]: And they're portable. So you're going to share them. Yeah. It's like easier. And also smaller.Comfy [00:24:49]: Yeah. That's the, how LoRa's work. So basically, so when, when inferencing you, you get an inference with them pretty efficiently, like how ComputeWrite does it. It just, when you use a LoRa, it just applies it straight on the weights so that there's only a small delay at the base, like before the sampling to when it applies the weights and then it just same speed as, as before. So for, for inference, it's, it's not that bad, but, and then you have, so basically all the LoRa types like LoHa, LoCon, everything, that's just different ways of representing that like. Basically, you can call it kind of like compression, even though it's not really compression, it's just different ways of represented, like just, okay, I want to train a different on the difference on the weights. What's the best way to represent that difference? There's the basic LoRa, which is just, oh, let's multiply these two matrices together. And then there's all the other ones, which are all different algorithms. So. Yeah.Alessio [00:25:57]: So let's talk about LoRa. Let's talk about what comfy UI actually is. I think most people have heard of it. Some people might've seen screenshots. I think fewer people have built very complex workflows. So when you started, automatic was like the super simple way. What were some of the choices that you made? So the node workflow, is there anything else that stands out as like, this was like a unique take on how to do image generation workflows?Comfy [00:26:22]: Well, I feel like, yeah, back then everyone was trying to make like easy to use interface. Yeah. So I'm like, well, everyone's trying to make an easy to use interface.swyx [00:26:32]: Let's make a hard to use interface.Comfy [00:26:37]: Like, so like, I like, I don't need to do that, everyone else doing it. So let me try something like, let me try to make a powerful interface that's not easy to use. So.swyx [00:26:52]: So like, yeah, there's a sort of node execution engine. Yeah. Yeah. And it actually lists, it has this really good list of features of things you prioritize, right? Like let me see, like sort of re-executing from, from any parts of the workflow that was changed, asynchronous queue system, smart memory management, like all this seems like a lot of engineering that. Yeah.Comfy [00:27:12]: There's a lot of engineering in the back end to make things, cause I was always focused on making things work locally very well. Cause that's cause I was using it locally. So everything. So there's a lot of, a lot of thought and working by getting everything to run as well as possible. So yeah. ConfUI is actually more of a back end, at least, well, not all the front ends getting a lot more development, but, but before, before it was, I was pretty much only focused on the backend. Yeah.swyx [00:27:50]: So v0.1 was only August this year. Yeah.Comfy [00:27:54]: With the new front end. Before there was no versioning. So yeah. Yeah. Yeah.swyx [00:27:57]: And so what was the big rewrite for the 0.1 and then the 1.0?Comfy [00:28:02]: Well, that's more on the front end side. That's cause before that it was just like the UI, what, cause when I first wrote it, I just, I said, okay, how can I make, like, I can do web development, but I don't like doing it. Like what's the easiest way I can slap a node interface on this. And then I found this library. Yeah. Like JavaScript library.swyx [00:28:26]: Live graph?Comfy [00:28:27]: Live graph.swyx [00:28:28]: Usually people will go for like react flow for like a flow builder. Yeah.Comfy [00:28:31]: But that seems like too complicated. So I didn't really want to spend time like developing the front end. So I'm like, well, oh, light graph. This has the whole node interface. So, okay. Let me just plug that into, to my backend.swyx [00:28:49]: I feel like if Streamlit or Gradio offered something that you would have used Streamlit or Gradio cause it's Python. Yeah.Comfy [00:28:54]: Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.Comfy [00:29:00]: Yeah.Comfy [00:29:14]: Yeah. logic and your backend logic and just sticks them together.swyx [00:29:20]: It's supposed to be easy for you guys. If you're a Python main, you know, I'm a JS main, right? Okay. If you're a Python main, it's supposed to be easy.Comfy [00:29:26]: Yeah, it's easy, but it makes your whole software a huge mess.swyx [00:29:30]: I see, I see. So you're mixing concerns instead of separating concerns?Comfy [00:29:34]: Well, it's because... Like frontend and backend. Frontend and backend should be well separated with a defined API. Like that's how you're supposed to do it. Smart people disagree. It just sticks everything together. It makes it easy to like a huge mess. And also it's, there's a lot of issues with Gradio. Like it's very good if all you want to do is just get like slap a quick interface on your, like to show off your ML project. Like that's what it's made for. Yeah. Like there's no problem using it. Like, oh, I have my, I have my code. I just wanted a quick interface on it. That's perfect. Like use Gradio. But if you want to make something that's like a real, like real software that will last a long time and will be easy to maintain, then I would avoid it. Yeah.swyx [00:30:32]: So your criticism is Streamlit and Gradio are the same. I mean, those are the same criticisms.Comfy [00:30:37]: Yeah, Streamlit I haven't used as much. Yeah, I just looked a bit.swyx [00:30:43]: Similar philosophy.Comfy [00:30:44]: Yeah, it's similar. It's just, it just seems to me like, okay, for quick, like AI demos, it's perfect.swyx [00:30:51]: Yeah. Going back to like the core tech, like asynchronous queues, slow re-execution, smart memory management, you know, anything that you were very proud of or was very hard to figure out?Comfy [00:31:00]: Yeah. The thing that's the biggest pain in the ass is probably the memory management. Yeah.swyx [00:31:05]: Were you just paging models in and out or? Yeah.Comfy [00:31:08]: Before it was just, okay, load the model, completely unload it. Then, okay, that, that works well when you, your model are small, but if your models are big and it takes sort of like, let's say someone has a, like a, a 4090, and the model size is 10 gigabytes, that can take a few seconds to like load and load, load and load, so you want to try to keep things like in memory, in the GPU memory as much as possible. What Comfy UI does right now is it. It tries to like estimate, okay, like, okay, you're going to sample this model, it's going to take probably this amount of memory, let's remove the models, like this amount of memory that's been loaded on the GPU and then just execute it. But so there's a fine line between just because try to remove the least amount of models that are already loaded. Because as fans, like Windows drivers, and one other problem is the NVIDIA driver on Windows by default, because there's a way to, there's an option to disable that feature, but by default it, like, if you start loading, you can overflow your GPU memory and then it's, the driver's going to automatically start paging to RAM. But the problem with that is it's, it makes everything extremely slow. So when you see people complaining, oh, this model, it works, but oh, s**t, it starts slowing down a lot, that's probably what's happening. So it's basically you have to just try to get, use as much memory as possible, but not too much, or else things start slowing down, or people get out of memory, and then just find, try to find that line where, oh, like the driver on Windows starts paging and stuff. Yeah. And the problem with PyTorch is it's, it's high levels, don't have that much fine-grained control over, like, specific memory stuff, so kind of have to leave, like, the memory freeing to, to Python and PyTorch, which is, can be annoying sometimes.swyx [00:33:32]: So, you know, I think one thing is, as a maintainer of this project, like, you're designing for a very wide surface area of compute, like, you even support CPUs.Comfy [00:33:42]: Yeah, well, that's... That's just, for PyTorch, PyTorch supports CPUs, so, yeah, it's just, that's not, that's not hard to support.swyx [00:33:50]: First of all, is there a market share estimate, like, is it, like, 70% NVIDIA, like, 30% AMD, and then, like, miscellaneous on Apple, Silicon, or whatever?Comfy [00:33:59]: For Comfy? Yeah. Yeah, and, yeah, I don't know the market share.swyx [00:34:03]: Can you guess?Comfy [00:34:04]: I think it's mostly NVIDIA. Right. Because, because AMD, the problem, like, AMD works horribly on Windows. Like, on Linux, it works fine. It's, it's lower than the price equivalent NVIDIA GPU, but it works, like, you can use it, you generate images, everything works. On Linux, on Windows, you might have a hard time, so, that's the problem, and most people, I think most people who bought AMD probably use Windows. They probably aren't going to switch to Linux, so... Yeah. So, until AMD actually, like, ports their, like, raw cam to, to Windows properly, and then there's actually PyTorch, I think they're, they're doing that, they're in the process of doing that, but, until they get it, they get a good, like, PyTorch raw cam build that works on Windows, it's, like, they're going to have a hard time. Yeah.Alessio [00:35:06]: We got to get George on it. Yeah. Well, he's trying to get Lisa Su to do it, but... Let's talk a bit about, like, the node design. So, unlike all the other text-to-image, you have a very, like, deep, so you have, like, a separate node for, like, clip and code, you have a separate node for, like, the case sampler, you have, like, all these nodes. Going back to, like, the making it easy versus making it hard, but, like, how much do people actually play with all the settings, you know? Kind of, like, how do you guide people to, like, hey, this is actually going to be very impactful versus this is maybe, like, less impactful, but we still want to expose it to you?Comfy [00:35:40]: Well, I try to... I try to expose, like, I try to expose everything or, but, yeah, at least for the, but for things, like, for example, for the samplers, like, there's, like, yeah, four different sampler nodes, which go in easiest to most advanced. So, yeah, if you go, like, the easy node, the regular sampler node, that's, you have just the basic settings. But if you use, like, the sampler advanced... If you use, like, the custom advanced node, that, that one you can actually, you'll see you have, like, different nodes.Alessio [00:36:19]: I'm looking it up now. Yeah. What are, like, the most impactful parameters that you use? So, it's, like, you know, you can have more, but, like, which ones, like, really make a difference?Comfy [00:36:30]: Yeah, they all do. They all have their own, like, they all, like, for example, yeah, steps. Usually you want steps, you want them to be as low as possible. But you want, if you're optimizing your workflow, you want to, you lower the steps until, like, the images start deteriorating too much. Because that, yeah, that's the number of steps you're running the diffusion process. So, if you want things to be faster, lower is better. But, yeah, CFG, that's more, you can kind of see that as the contrast of the image. Like, if your image looks too bursty. Then you can lower the CFG. So, yeah, CFG, that's how, yeah, that's how strongly the, like, the negative versus positive prompt. Because when you sample a diffusion model, it's basically a negative prompt. It's just, yeah, positive prediction minus negative prediction.swyx [00:37:32]: Contrastive loss. Yeah.Comfy [00:37:34]: It's positive minus negative, and the CFG does the multiplier. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, so.Alessio [00:37:41]: What are, like, good resources to understand what the parameters do? I think most people start with automatic, and then they move over, and it's, like, snap, CFG, sampler, name, scheduler, denoise. Read it.Comfy [00:37:53]: But, honestly, well, it's more, it's something you should, like, try out yourself. I don't know, you don't necessarily need to know how it works to, like, what it does. Because even if you know, like, CFGO, it's, like, positive minus negative prompt. Yeah. So the only thing you know at CFG is if it's 1.0, then that means the negative prompt isn't applied. It also means sampling is two times faster. But, yeah. But other than that, it's more, like, you should really just see what it does to the images yourself, and you'll probably get a more intuitive understanding of what these things do.Alessio [00:38:34]: Any other nodes or things you want to shout out? Like, I know the animate diff IP adapter. Those are, like, some of the most popular ones. Yeah. What else comes to mind?Comfy [00:38:44]: Not nodes, but there's, like, what I like is when some people, sometimes they make things that use ComfyUI as their backend. Like, there's a plugin for Krita that uses ComfyUI as its backend. So you can use, like, all the models that work in Comfy in Krita. And I think I've tried it once. But I know a lot of people use it, and it's probably really nice, so.Alessio [00:39:15]: What's the craziest node that people have built, like, the most complicated?Comfy [00:39:21]: Craziest node? Like, yeah. I know some people have made, like, video games in Comfy with, like, stuff like that. So, like, someone, like, I remember, like, yeah, last, I think it was last year, someone made, like, a, like, Wolfenstein 3D in Comfy. Of course. And then one of the inputs was, oh, you can generate a texture, and then it changes the texture in the game. So you can plug it to, like, the workflow. And there's a lot of, if you look there, there's a lot of crazy things people do, so. Yeah.Alessio [00:39:59]: And now there's, like, a node register that people can use to, like, download nodes. Yeah.Comfy [00:40:04]: Like, well, there's always been the, like, the ComfyUI manager. Yeah. But we're trying to make this more, like, I don't know, official, like, with, yeah, with the node registry. Because before the node registry, the, like, okay, how did your custom node get into ComfyUI manager? That's the guy running it who, like, every day he searched GitHub for new custom nodes and added dev annually to his custom node manager. So we're trying to make it less effortless. So we're trying to make it less effortless for him, basically. Yeah.Alessio [00:40:40]: Yeah. But I was looking, I mean, there's, like, a YouTube download node. There's, like, this is almost like, you know, a data pipeline more than, like, an image generation thing at this point. It's, like, you can get data in, you can, like, apply filters to it, you can generate data out.Comfy [00:40:54]: Yeah. You can do a lot of different things. Yeah. So I'm thinking, I think what I did is I made it easy to make custom nodes. So I think that helped a lot. I think that helped a lot for, like, the ecosystem because it is very easy to just make a node. So, yeah, a bit too easy sometimes. Then we have the issue where there's a lot of custom node packs which share similar nodes. But, well, that's, yeah, something we're trying to solve by maybe bringing some of the functionality into the core. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.Alessio [00:41:36]: And then there's, like, video. People can do video generation. Yeah.Comfy [00:41:40]: Video, that's, well, the first video model was, like, stable video diffusion, which was last, yeah, exactly last year, I think. Like, one year ago. But that wasn't a true video model. So it was...swyx [00:41:55]: It was, like, moving images? Yeah.Comfy [00:41:57]: I generated video. What I mean by that is it's, like, it's still 2D Latents. It's basically what I'm trying to do. So what they did is they took SD2, and then they added some temporal attention to it, and then trained it on videos and all. So it's kind of, like, animated, like, same idea, basically. Why I say it's not a true video model is that you still have, like, the 2D Latents. Like, a true video model, like Mochi, for example, would have 3D Latents. Mm-hmm.Alessio [00:42:32]: Which means you can, like, move through the space, basically. It's the difference. You're not just kind of, like, reorienting. Yeah.Comfy [00:42:39]: And it's also, well, it's also because you have a temporal VAE. Mm-hmm. Also, like, Mochi has a temporal VAE that compresses on, like, the temporal direction, also. So that's something you don't have with, like, yeah, animated diff and stable video diffusion. They only, like, compress spatially, not temporally. Mm-hmm. Right. So, yeah. That's why I call that, like, true video models. There's, yeah, there's actually a few of them, but the one I've implemented in comfy is Mochi, because that seems to be the best one so far. Yeah.swyx [00:43:15]: We had AJ come and speak at the stable diffusion meetup. The other open one I think I've seen is COG video. Yeah.Comfy [00:43:21]: COG video. Yeah. That one's, yeah, it also seems decent, but, yeah. Chinese, so we don't use it. No, it's fine. It's just, yeah, I could. Yeah. It's just that there's a, it's not the only one. There's also a few others, which I.swyx [00:43:36]: The rest are, like, closed source, right? Like, Cling. Yeah.Comfy [00:43:39]: Closed source, there's a bunch of them. But I mean, open. I've seen a few of them. Like, I can't remember their names, but there's COG videos, the big, the big one. Then there's also a few of them that released at the same time. There's one that released at the same time as SSD 3.5, same day, which is why I don't remember the name.swyx [00:44:02]: We should have a release schedule so we don't conflict on each of these things. Yeah.Comfy [00:44:06]: I think SD 3.5 and Mochi released on the same day. So everything else was kind of drowned, completely drowned out. So for some reason, lots of people picked that day to release their stuff.Comfy [00:44:21]: Yeah. Which is, well, shame for those. And I think Omnijet also released the same day, which also seems interesting. Yeah. Yeah.Alessio [00:44:30]: What's Comfy? So you are Comfy. And then there's like, comfy.org. I know we do a lot of things for, like, news research and those guys also have kind of like a more open source thing going on. How do you work? Like you mentioned, you mostly work on like, the core piece of it. And then what...Comfy [00:44:47]: Maybe I should fade it in because I, yeah, I feel like maybe, yeah, I only explain part of the story. Right. Yeah. Maybe I should explain the rest. So yeah. So yeah. Basically, January, that's when the first January 2023, January 16, 2023, that's when Amphi was first released to the public. Then, yeah, did a Reddit post about the area composition thing somewhere in, I don't remember exactly, maybe end of January, beginning of February. And then someone, a YouTuber, made a video about it, like Olivio, he made a video about Amphi in March 2023. I think that's when it was a real burst of attention. And by that time, I was continuing to develop it and it was getting, people were starting to use it more, which unfortunately meant that I had first written it to do like experiments, but then my time to do experiments went down. It started going down, because people were actually starting to use it then. Like, I had to, and I said, well, yeah, time to add all these features and stuff. Yeah, and then I got hired by Stability June, 2023. Then I made, basically, yeah, they hired me because they wanted the SD-XL. So I got the SD-XL working very well withітhe UI, because they were experimenting withámphi.house.com. Actually, the SDX, how the SDXL released worked is they released, for some reason, like they released the code first, but they didn't release the model checkpoint. So they released the code. And then, well, since the research was related to code, I released the code in Compute 2. And then the checkpoints were basically early access. People had to sign up and they only allowed a lot of people from edu emails. Like if you had an edu email, like they gave you access basically to the SDXL 0.9. And, well, that leaked. Right. Of course, because of course it's going to leak if you do that. Well, the only way people could easily use it was with Comfy. So, yeah, people started using. And then I fixed a few of the issues people had. So then the big 1.0 release happened. And, well, Comfy UI was the only way a lot of people could actually run it on their computers. Because it just like automatic was so like inefficient and bad that most people couldn't actually, like it just wouldn't work. Like because he did a quick implementation. So people were forced. To use Comfy UI, and that's how it became popular because people had no choice.swyx [00:47:55]: The growth hack.Comfy [00:47:56]: Yeah.swyx [00:47:56]: Yeah.Comfy [00:47:57]: Like everywhere, like people who didn't have the 4090, they had like, who had just regular GPUs, they didn't have a choice.Alessio [00:48:05]: So yeah, I got a 4070. So think of me. And so today, what's, is there like a core Comfy team or?Comfy [00:48:13]: Uh, yeah, well, right now, um, yeah, we are hiring. Okay. Actually, so right now core, like, um, the core core itself, it's, it's me. Uh, but because, uh, the reason where folks like all the focus has been mostly on the front end right now, because that's the thing that's been neglected for a long time. So, uh, so most of the focus right now is, uh, all on the front end, but we are, uh, yeah, we will soon get, uh, more people to like help me with the actual backend stuff. Yeah. So, no, I'm not going to say a hundred percent because that's why once the, once we have our V one release, which is because it'd be the package, come fee-wise with the nice interface and easy to install on windows and hopefully Mac. Uh, yeah. Yeah. Once we have that, uh, we're going to have to, lots of stuff to do on the backend side and also the front end side, but, uh.Alessio [00:49:14]: What's the release that I'm on the wait list. What's the timing?Comfy [00:49:18]: Uh, soon. Uh, soon. Yeah, I don't want to promise a release date. We do have a release date we're targeting, but I'm not sure if it's public. Yeah, and we're still going to continue doing the open source, making MPUI the best way to run stable infusion models. At least the open source side, it's going to be the best way to run models locally. But we will have a few things to make money from it, like cloud inference or that type of thing. And maybe some things for some enterprises.swyx [00:50:08]: I mean, a few questions on that. How do you feel about the other comfy startups?Comfy [00:50:11]: I mean, I think it's great. They're using your name. Yeah, well, it's better they use comfy than they use something else. Yeah, that's true. It's fine. We're going to try not to... We don't want to... We want people to use comfy. Like I said, it's better that people use comfy than something else. So as long as they use comfy, I think it helps the ecosystem. Because more people, even if they don't contribute directly, the fact that they are using comfy means that people are more likely to join the ecosystem. So, yeah.swyx [00:50:57]: And then would you ever do text?Comfy [00:50:59]: Yeah, well, you can already do text with some custom nodes. So, yeah, it's something we like. Yeah, it's something I've wanted to eventually add to core, but it's more like not a very... It's a very high priority. But because a lot of people use text for prompt enhancement and other things like that. So, yeah, it's just that my focus has always been on diffusion models. Yeah, unless some text diffusion model comes out.swyx [00:51:30]: Yeah, David Holtz is investing a lot in text diffusion.Comfy [00:51:34]: Yeah, well, if a good one comes out, then we'll probably implement it since it fits with the whole...swyx [00:51:39]: Yeah, I mean, I imagine it's going to be a close source to Midjourney. Yeah.Comfy [00:51:43]: Well, if an open one comes out, then I'll probably implement it.Alessio [00:51:54]: Cool, comfy. Thanks so much for coming on. This was fun. Bye. Get full access to Latent Space at www.latent.space/subscribe

Could we see another team make a wild draft day trade that brings in two top draft prospects.

Applications for the 2025 AI Engineer Summit are up, and you can save the date for AIE Singapore in April and AIE World's Fair 2025 in June.Happy new year, and thanks for 100 great episodes! Please let us know what you want to see/hear for the next 100!Full YouTube Episode with Slides/ChartsLike and subscribe and hit that bell to get notifs!Timestamps* 00:00 Welcome to the 100th Episode!* 00:19 Reflecting on the Journey* 00:47 AI Engineering: The Rise and Impact* 03:15 Latent Space Live and AI Conferences* 09:44 The Competitive AI Landscape* 21:45 Synthetic Data and Future Trends* 35:53 Creative Writing with AI* 36:12 Legal and Ethical Issues in AI* 38:18 The Data War: GPU Poor vs. GPU Rich* 39:12 The Rise of GPU Ultra Rich* 40:47 Emerging Trends in AI Models* 45:31 The Multi-Modality War* 01:05:31 The Future of AI Benchmarks* 01:13:17 Pionote and Frontier Models* 01:13:47 Niche Models and Base Models* 01:14:30 State Space Models and RWKB* 01:15:48 Inference Race and Price Wars* 01:22:16 Major AI Themes of the Year* 01:22:48 AI Rewind: January to March* 01:26:42 AI Rewind: April to June* 01:33:12 AI Rewind: July to September* 01:34:59 AI Rewind: October to December* 01:39:53 Year-End Reflections and PredictionsTranscript[00:00:00] Welcome to the 100th Episode![00:00:00] Alessio: Hey everyone, welcome to the Latent Space Podcast. This is Alessio, partner and CTO at Decibel Partners, and I'm joined by my co host Swyx for the 100th time today.[00:00:12] swyx: Yay, um, and we're so glad that, yeah, you know, everyone has, uh, followed us in this journey. How do you feel about it? 100 episodes.[00:00:19] Alessio: Yeah, I know.[00:00:19] Reflecting on the Journey[00:00:19] Alessio: Almost two years that we've been doing this. We've had four different studios. Uh, we've had a lot of changes. You know, we used to do this lightning round. When we first started that we didn't like, and we tried to change the question. The answer[00:00:32] swyx: was cursor and perplexity.[00:00:34] Alessio: Yeah, I love mid journey. It's like, do you really not like anything else?[00:00:38] Alessio: Like what's, what's the unique thing? And I think, yeah, we, we've also had a lot more research driven content. You know, we had like 3DAO, we had, you know. Jeremy Howard, we had more folks like that.[00:00:47] AI Engineering: The Rise and Impact[00:00:47] Alessio: I think we want to do more of that too in the new year, like having, uh, some of the Gemini folks, both on the research and the applied side.[00:00:54] Alessio: Yeah, but it's been a ton of fun. I think we both started, I wouldn't say as a joke, we were kind of like, Oh, we [00:01:00] should do a podcast. And I think we kind of caught the right wave, obviously. And I think your rise of the AI engineer posts just kind of get people. Sombra to congregate, and then the AI engineer summit.[00:01:11] Alessio: And that's why when I look at our growth chart, it's kind of like a proxy for like the AI engineering industry as a whole, which is almost like, like, even if we don't do that much, we keep growing just because there's so many more AI engineers. So did you expect that growth or did you expect that would take longer for like the AI engineer thing to kind of like become, you know, everybody talks about it today.[00:01:32] swyx: So, the sign of that, that we have won is that Gartner puts it at the top of the hype curve right now. So Gartner has called the peak in AI engineering. I did not expect, um, to what level. I knew that I was correct when I called it because I did like two months of work going into that. But I didn't know, You know, how quickly it could happen, and obviously there's a chance that I could be wrong.[00:01:52] swyx: But I think, like, most people have come around to that concept. Hacker News hates it, which is a good sign. But there's enough people that have defined it, you know, GitHub, when [00:02:00] they launched GitHub Models, which is the Hugging Face clone, they put AI engineers in the banner, like, above the fold, like, in big So I think it's like kind of arrived as a meaningful and useful definition.[00:02:12] swyx: I think people are trying to figure out where the boundaries are. I think that was a lot of the quote unquote drama that happens behind the scenes at the World's Fair in June. Because I think there's a lot of doubt or questions about where ML engineering stops and AI engineering starts. That's a useful debate to be had.[00:02:29] swyx: In some sense, I actually anticipated that as well. So I intentionally did not. Put a firm definition there because most of the successful definitions are necessarily underspecified and it's actually useful to have different perspectives and you don't have to specify everything from the outset.[00:02:45] Alessio: Yeah, I was at um, AWS reInvent and the line to get into like the AI engineering talk, so to speak, which is, you know, applied AI and whatnot was like, there are like hundreds of people just in line to go in.[00:02:56] Alessio: I think that's kind of what enabled me. People, right? Which is what [00:03:00] you kind of talked about. It's like, Hey, look, you don't actually need a PhD, just, yeah, just use the model. And then maybe we'll talk about some of the blind spots that you get as an engineer with the earlier posts that we also had on on the sub stack.[00:03:11] Alessio: But yeah, it's been a heck of a heck of a two years.[00:03:14] swyx: Yeah.[00:03:15] Latent Space Live and AI Conferences[00:03:15] swyx: You know, I was, I was trying to view the conference as like, so NeurIPS is I think like 16, 17, 000 people. And the Latent Space Live event that we held there was 950 signups. I think. The AI world, the ML world is still very much research heavy. And that's as it should be because ML is very much in a research phase.[00:03:34] swyx: But as we move this entire field into production, I think that ratio inverts into becoming more engineering heavy. So at least I think engineering should be on the same level, even if it's never as prestigious, like it'll always be low status because at the end of the day, you're manipulating APIs or whatever.[00:03:51] swyx: But Yeah, wrapping GPTs, but there's going to be an increasing stack and an art to doing these, these things well. And I, you know, I [00:04:00] think that's what we're focusing on for the podcast, the conference and basically everything I do seems to make sense. And I think we'll, we'll talk about the trends here that apply.[00:04:09] swyx: It's, it's just very strange. So, like, there's a mix of, like, keeping on top of research while not being a researcher and then putting that research into production. So, like, people always ask me, like, why are you covering Neuralibs? Like, this is a ML research conference and I'm like, well, yeah, I mean, we're not going to, to like, understand everything Or reproduce every single paper, but the stuff that is being found here is going to make it through into production at some point, you hope.[00:04:32] swyx: And then actually like when I talk to the researchers, they actually get very excited because they're like, oh, you guys are actually caring about how this goes into production and that's what they really really want. The measure of success is previously just peer review, right? Getting 7s and 8s on their um, Academic review conferences and stuff like citations is one metric, but money is a better metric.[00:04:51] Alessio: Money is a better metric. Yeah, and there were about 2200 people on the live stream or something like that. Yeah, yeah. Hundred on the live stream. So [00:05:00] I try my best to moderate, but it was a lot spicier in person with Jonathan and, and Dylan. Yeah, that it was in the chat on YouTube.[00:05:06] swyx: I would say that I actually also created.[00:05:09] swyx: Layen Space Live in order to address flaws that are perceived in academic conferences. This is not NeurIPS specific, it's ICML, NeurIPS. Basically, it's very sort of oriented towards the PhD student, uh, market, job market, right? Like literally all, basically everyone's there to advertise their research and skills and get jobs.[00:05:28] swyx: And then obviously all the, the companies go there to hire them. And I think that's great for the individual researchers, but for people going there to get info is not great because you have to read between the lines, bring a ton of context in order to understand every single paper. So what is missing is effectively what I ended up doing, which is domain by domain, go through and recap the best of the year.[00:05:48] swyx: Survey the field. And there are, like NeurIPS had a, uh, I think ICML had a like a position paper track, NeurIPS added a benchmarks, uh, datasets track. These are ways in which to address that [00:06:00] issue. Uh, there's always workshops as well. Every, every conference has, you know, a last day of workshops and stuff that provide more of an overview.[00:06:06] swyx: But they're not specifically prompted to do so. And I think really, uh, Organizing a conference is just about getting good speakers and giving them the correct prompts. And then they will just go and do that thing and they do a very good job of it. So I think Sarah did a fantastic job with the startups prompt.[00:06:21] swyx: I can't list everybody, but we did best of 2024 in startups, vision, open models. Post transformers, synthetic data, small models, and agents. And then the last one was the, uh, and then we also did a quick one on reasoning with Nathan Lambert. And then the last one, obviously, was the debate that people were very hyped about.[00:06:39] swyx: It was very awkward. And I'm really, really thankful for John Franco, basically, who stepped up to challenge Dylan. Because Dylan was like, yeah, I'll do it. But He was pro scaling. And I think everyone who is like in AI is pro scaling, right? So you need somebody who's ready to publicly say, no, we've hit a wall.[00:06:57] swyx: So that means you're saying Sam Altman's wrong. [00:07:00] You're saying, um, you know, everyone else is wrong. It helps that this was the day before Ilya went on, went up on stage and then said pre training has hit a wall. And data has hit a wall. So actually Jonathan ended up winning, and then Ilya supported that statement, and then Noam Brown on the last day further supported that statement as well.[00:07:17] swyx: So it's kind of interesting that I think the consensus kind of going in was that we're not done scaling, like you should believe in a better lesson. And then, four straight days in a row, you had Sepp Hochreiter, who is the creator of the LSTM, along with everyone's favorite OG in AI, which is Juergen Schmidhuber.[00:07:34] swyx: He said that, um, we're pre trading inside a wall, or like, we've run into a different kind of wall. And then we have, you know John Frankel, Ilya, and then Noam Brown are all saying variations of the same thing, that we have hit some kind of wall in the status quo of what pre trained, scaling large pre trained models has looked like, and we need a new thing.[00:07:54] swyx: And obviously the new thing for people is some make, either people are calling it inference time compute or test time [00:08:00] compute. I think the collective terminology has been inference time, and I think that makes sense because test time, calling it test, meaning, has a very pre trained bias, meaning that the only reason for running inference at all is to test your model.[00:08:11] swyx: That is not true. Right. Yeah. So, so, I quite agree that. OpenAI seems to have adopted, or the community seems to have adopted this terminology of ITC instead of TTC. And that, that makes a lot of sense because like now we care about inference, even right down to compute optimality. Like I actually interviewed this author who recovered or reviewed the Chinchilla paper.[00:08:31] swyx: Chinchilla paper is compute optimal training, but what is not stated in there is it's pre trained compute optimal training. And once you start caring about inference, compute optimal training, you have a different scaling law. And in a way that we did not know last year.[00:08:45] Alessio: I wonder, because John is, he's also on the side of attention is all you need.[00:08:49] Alessio: Like he had the bet with Sasha. So I'm curious, like he doesn't believe in scaling, but he thinks the transformer, I wonder if he's still. So, so,[00:08:56] swyx: so he, obviously everything is nuanced and you know, I told him to play a character [00:09:00] for this debate, right? So he actually does. Yeah. He still, he still believes that we can scale more.[00:09:04] swyx: Uh, he just assumed the character to be very game for, for playing this debate. So even more kudos to him that he assumed a position that he didn't believe in and still won the debate.[00:09:16] Alessio: Get rekt, Dylan. Um, do you just want to quickly run through some of these things? Like, uh, Sarah's presentation, just the highlights.[00:09:24] swyx: Yeah, we can't go through everyone's slides, but I pulled out some things as a factor of, like, stuff that we were going to talk about. And we'll[00:09:30] Alessio: publish[00:09:31] swyx: the rest. Yeah, we'll publish on this feed the best of 2024 in those domains. And hopefully people can benefit from the work that our speakers have done.[00:09:39] swyx: But I think it's, uh, these are just good slides. And I've been, I've been looking for a sort of end of year recaps from, from people.[00:09:44] The Competitive AI Landscape[00:09:44] swyx: The field has progressed a lot. You know, I think the max ELO in 2023 on LMSys used to be 1200 for LMSys ELOs. And now everyone is at least at, uh, 1275 in their ELOs, and this is across Gemini, Chadjibuti, [00:10:00] Grok, O1.[00:10:01] swyx: ai, which with their E Large model, and Enthopic, of course. It's a very, very competitive race. There are multiple Frontier labs all racing, but there is a clear tier zero Frontier. And then there's like a tier one. It's like, I wish I had everything else. Tier zero is extremely competitive. It's effectively now three horse race between Gemini, uh, Anthropic and OpenAI.[00:10:21] swyx: I would say that people are still holding out a candle for XAI. XAI, I think, for some reason, because their API was very slow to roll out, is not included in these metrics. So it's actually quite hard to put on there. As someone who also does charts, XAI is continually snubbed because they don't work well with the benchmarking people.[00:10:42] swyx: Yeah, yeah, yeah. It's a little trivia for why XAI always gets ignored. The other thing is market share. So these are slides from Sarah. We have it up on the screen. It has gone from very heavily open AI. So we have some numbers and estimates. These are from RAMP. Estimates of open AI market share in [00:11:00] December 2023.[00:11:01] swyx: And this is basically, what is it, GPT being 95 percent of production traffic. And I think if you correlate that with stuff that we asked. Harrison Chase on the LangChain episode, it was true. And then CLAUD 3 launched mid middle of this year. I think CLAUD 3 launched in March, CLAUD 3. 5 Sonnet was in June ish.[00:11:23] swyx: And you can start seeing the market share shift towards opening, uh, towards that topic, uh, very, very aggressively. The more recent one is Gemini. So if I scroll down a little bit, this is an even more recent dataset. So RAM's dataset ends in September 2 2. 2024. Gemini has basically launched a price war at the low end, uh, with Gemini Flash, uh, being basically free for personal use.[00:11:44] swyx: Like, I think people don't understand the free tier. It's something like a billion tokens per day. Unless you're trying to abuse it, you cannot really exhaust your free tier on Gemini. They're really trying to get you to use it. They know they're in like third place, um, fourth place, depending how you, how you count.[00:11:58] swyx: And so they're going after [00:12:00] the Lower tier first, and then, you know, maybe the upper tier later, but yeah, Gemini Flash, according to OpenRouter, is now 50 percent of their OpenRouter requests. Obviously, these are the small requests. These are small, cheap requests that are mathematically going to be more.[00:12:15] swyx: The smart ones obviously are still going to OpenAI. But, you know, it's a very, very big shift in the market. Like basically 2023, 2022, To going into 2024 opening has gone from nine five market share to Yeah. Reasonably somewhere between 50 to 75 market share.[00:12:29] Alessio: Yeah. I'm really curious how ramped does the attribution to the model?[00:12:32] Alessio: If it's API, because I think it's all credit card spin. . Well, but it's all, the credit card doesn't say maybe. Maybe the, maybe when they do expenses, they upload the PDF, but yeah, the, the German I think makes sense. I think that was one of my main 2024 takeaways that like. The best small model companies are the large labs, which is not something I would have thought that the open source kind of like long tail would be like the small model.[00:12:53] swyx: Yeah, different sizes of small models we're talking about here, right? Like so small model here for Gemini is AB, [00:13:00] right? Uh, mini. We don't know what the small model size is, but yeah, it's probably in the double digits or maybe single digits, but probably double digits. The open source community has kind of focused on the one to three B size.[00:13:11] swyx: Mm-hmm . Yeah. Maybe[00:13:12] swyx: zero, maybe 0.5 B uh, that's moon dream and that is small for you then, then that's great. It makes sense that we, we have a range for small now, which is like, may, maybe one to five B. Yeah. I'll even put that at, at, at the high end. And so this includes Gemma from Gemini as well. But also includes the Apple Foundation models, which I think Apple Foundation is 3B.[00:13:32] Alessio: Yeah. No, that's great. I mean, I think in the start small just meant cheap. I think today small is actually a more nuanced discussion, you know, that people weren't really having before.[00:13:43] swyx: Yeah, we can keep going. This is a slide that I smiley disagree with Sarah. She's pointing to the scale SEAL leaderboard. I think the Researchers that I talked with at NeurIPS were kind of positive on this because basically you need private test [00:14:00] sets to prevent contamination.[00:14:02] swyx: And Scale is one of maybe three or four people this year that has really made an effort in doing a credible private test set leaderboard. Llama405B does well compared to Gemini and GPT 40. And I think that's good. I would say that. You know, it's good to have an open model that is that big, that does well on those metrics.[00:14:23] swyx: But anyone putting 405B in production will tell you, if you scroll down a little bit to the artificial analysis numbers, that it is very slow and very expensive to infer. Um, it doesn't even fit on like one node. of, uh, of H100s. Cerebras will be happy to tell you they can serve 4 or 5B on their super large chips.[00:14:42] swyx: But, um, you know, if you need to do anything custom to it, you're still kind of constrained. So, is 4 or 5B really that relevant? Like, I think most people are basically saying that they only use 4 or 5B as a teacher model to distill down to something. Even Meta is doing it. So with Lama 3. [00:15:00] 3 launched, they only launched the 70B because they use 4 or 5B to distill the 70B.[00:15:03] swyx: So I don't know if like open source is keeping up. I think they're the, the open source industrial complex is very invested in telling you that the, if the gap is narrowing, I kind of disagree. I think that the gap is widening with O1. I think there are very, very smart people trying to narrow that gap and they should.[00:15:22] swyx: I really wish them success, but you cannot use a chart that is nearing 100 in your saturation chart. And look, the distance between open source and closed source is narrowing. Of course it's going to narrow because you're near 100. This is stupid. But in metrics that matter, is open source narrowing?[00:15:38] swyx: Probably not for O1 for a while. And it's really up to the open source guys to figure out if they can match O1 or not.[00:15:46] Alessio: I think inference time compute is bad for open source just because, you know, Doc can donate the flops at training time, but he cannot donate the flops at inference time. So it's really hard to like actually keep up on that axis.[00:15:59] Alessio: Big, big business [00:16:00] model shift. So I don't know what that means for the GPU clouds. I don't know what that means for the hyperscalers, but obviously the big labs have a lot of advantage. Because, like, it's not a static artifact that you're putting the compute in. You're kind of doing that still, but then you're putting a lot of computed inference too.[00:16:17] swyx: Yeah, yeah, yeah. Um, I mean, Llama4 will be reasoning oriented. We talked with Thomas Shalom. Um, kudos for getting that episode together. That was really nice. Good, well timed. Actually, I connected with the AI meta guy, uh, at NeurIPS, and, um, yeah, we're going to coordinate something for Llama4. Yeah, yeah,[00:16:32] Alessio: and our friend, yeah.[00:16:33] Alessio: Clara Shi just joined to lead the business agent side. So I'm sure we'll have her on in the new year.[00:16:39] swyx: Yeah. So, um, my comment on, on the business model shift, this is super interesting. Apparently it is wide knowledge that OpenAI wanted more than 6. 6 billion dollars for their fundraise. They wanted to raise, you know, higher, and they did not.[00:16:51] swyx: And what that means is basically like, it's very convenient that we're not getting GPT 5, which would have been a larger pre train. We should have a lot of upfront money. And [00:17:00] instead we're, we're converting fixed costs into variable costs, right. And passing it on effectively to the customer. And it's so much easier to take margin there because you can directly attribute it to like, Oh, you're using this more.[00:17:12] swyx: Therefore you, you pay more of the cost and I'll just slap a margin in there. So like that lets you control your growth margin and like tie your. Your spend, or your sort of inference spend, accordingly. And it's just really interesting to, that this change in the sort of inference paradigm has arrived exactly at the same time that the funding environment for pre training is effectively drying up, kind of.[00:17:36] swyx: I feel like maybe the VCs are very in tune with research anyway, so like, they would have noticed this, but, um, it's just interesting.[00:17:43] Alessio: Yeah, and I was looking back at our yearly recap of last year. Yeah. And the big thing was like the mixed trial price fights, you know, and I think now it's almost like there's nowhere to go, like, you know, Gemini Flash is like basically giving it away for free.[00:17:55] Alessio: So I think this is a good way for the labs to generate more revenue and pass down [00:18:00] some of the compute to the customer. I think they're going to[00:18:02] swyx: keep going. I think that 2, will come.[00:18:05] Alessio: Yeah, I know. Totally. I mean, next year, the first thing I'm doing is signing up for Devin. Signing up for the pro chat GBT.[00:18:12] Alessio: Just to try. I just want to see what does it look like to spend a thousand dollars a month on AI?[00:18:17] swyx: Yes. Yes. I think if your, if your, your job is a, at least AI content creator or VC or, you know, someone who, whose job it is to stay on, stay on top of things, you should already be spending like a thousand dollars a month on, on stuff.[00:18:28] swyx: And then obviously easy to spend, hard to use. You have to actually use. The good thing is that actually Google lets you do a lot of stuff for free now. So like deep research. That they just launched. Uses a ton of inference and it's, it's free while it's in preview.[00:18:45] Alessio: Yeah. They need to put that in Lindy.[00:18:47] Alessio: I've been using Lindy lately. I've been a built a bunch of things once we had flow because I liked the new thing. It's pretty good. I even did a phone call assistant. Um, yeah, they just launched Lindy voice. Yeah, I think once [00:19:00] they get advanced voice mode like capability today, still like speech to text, you can kind of tell.[00:19:06] Alessio: Um, but it's good for like reservations and things like that. So I have a meeting prepper thing. And so[00:19:13] swyx: it's good. Okay. I feel like we've, we've covered a lot of stuff. Uh, I, yeah, I, you know, I think We will go over the individual, uh, talks in a separate episode. Uh, I don't want to take too much time with, uh, this stuff, but that suffice to say that there is a lot of progress in each field.[00:19:28] swyx: Uh, we covered vision. Basically this is all like the audience voting for what they wanted. And then I just invited the best people I could find in each audience, especially agents. Um, Graham, who I talked to at ICML in Vienna, he is currently still number one. It's very hard to stay on top of SweetBench.[00:19:45] swyx: OpenHand is currently still number one. switchbench full, which is the hardest one. He had very good thoughts on agents, which I, which I'll highlight for people. Everyone is saying 2025 is the year of agents, just like they said last year. And, uh, but he had [00:20:00] thoughts on like eight parts of what are the frontier problems to solve in agents.[00:20:03] swyx: And so I'll highlight that talk as well.[00:20:05] Alessio: Yeah. The number six, which is the Hacken agents learn more about the environment, has been a Super interesting to us as well, just to think through, because, yeah, how do you put an agent in an enterprise where most things in an enterprise have never been public, you know, a lot of the tooling, like the code bases and things like that.[00:20:23] Alessio: So, yeah, there's not indexing and reg. Well, yeah, but it's more like. You can't really rag things that are not documented. But people know them based on how they've been doing it. You know, so I think there's almost this like, you know, Oh, institutional knowledge. Yeah, the boring word is kind of like a business process extraction.[00:20:38] Alessio: Yeah yeah, I see. It's like, how do you actually understand how these things are done? I see. Um, and I think today the, the problem is that, Yeah, the agents are, that most people are building are good at following instruction, but are not as good as like extracting them from you. Um, so I think that will be a big unlock just to touch quickly on the Jeff Dean thing.[00:20:55] Alessio: I thought it was pretty, I mean, we'll link it in the, in the things, but. I think the main [00:21:00] focus was like, how do you use ML to optimize the systems instead of just focusing on ML to do something else? Yeah, I think speculative decoding, we had, you know, Eugene from RWKB on the podcast before, like he's doing a lot of that with Fetterless AI.[00:21:12] swyx: Everyone is. I would say it's the norm. I'm a little bit uncomfortable with how much it costs, because it does use more of the GPU per call. But because everyone is so keen on fast inference, then yeah, makes sense.[00:21:24] Alessio: Exactly. Um, yeah, but we'll link that. Obviously Jeff is great.[00:21:30] swyx: Jeff is, Jeff's talk was more, it wasn't focused on Gemini.[00:21:33] swyx: I think people got the wrong impression from my tweet. It's more about how Google approaches ML and uses ML to design systems and then systems feedback into ML. And I think this ties in with Lubna's talk.[00:21:45] Synthetic Data and Future Trends[00:21:45] swyx: on synthetic data where it's basically the story of bootstrapping of humans and AI in AI research or AI in production.[00:21:53] swyx: So her talk was on synthetic data, where like how much synthetic data has grown in 2024 in the pre training side, the post training side, [00:22:00] and the eval side. And I think Jeff then also extended it basically to chips, uh, to chip design. So he'd spend a lot of time talking about alpha chip. And most of us in the audience are like, we're not working on hardware, man.[00:22:11] swyx: Like you guys are great. TPU is great. Okay. We'll buy TPUs.[00:22:14] Alessio: And then there was the earlier talk. Yeah. But, and then we have, uh, I don't know if we're calling them essays. What are we calling these? But[00:22:23] swyx: for me, it's just like bonus for late in space supporters, because I feel like they haven't been getting anything.[00:22:29] swyx: And then I wanted a more high frequency way to write stuff. Like that one I wrote in an afternoon. I think basically we now have an answer to what Ilya saw. It's one year since. The blip. And we know what he saw in 2014. We know what he saw in 2024. We think we know what he sees in 2024. He gave some hints and then we have vague indications of what he saw in 2023.[00:22:54] swyx: So that was the Oh, and then 2016 as well, because of this lawsuit with Elon, OpenAI [00:23:00] is publishing emails from Sam's, like, his personal text messages to Siobhan, Zelis, or whatever. So, like, we have emails from Ilya saying, this is what we're seeing in OpenAI, and this is why we need to scale up GPUs. And I think it's very prescient in 2016 to write that.[00:23:16] swyx: And so, like, it is exactly, like, basically his insights. It's him and Greg, basically just kind of driving the scaling up of OpenAI, while they're still playing Dota. They're like, no, like, we see the path here.[00:23:30] Alessio: Yeah, and it's funny, yeah, they even mention, you know, we can only train on 1v1 Dota. We need to train on 5v5, and that takes too many GPUs.[00:23:37] Alessio: Yeah,[00:23:37] swyx: and at least for me, I can speak for myself, like, I didn't see the path from Dota to where we are today. I think even, maybe if you ask them, like, they wouldn't necessarily draw a straight line. Yeah,[00:23:47] Alessio: no, definitely. But I think like that was like the whole idea of almost like the RL and we talked about this with Nathan on his podcast.[00:23:55] Alessio: It's like with RL, you can get very good at specific things, but then you can't really like generalize as much. And I [00:24:00] think the language models are like the opposite, which is like, you're going to throw all this data at them and scale them up, but then you really need to drive them home on a specific task later on.[00:24:08] Alessio: And we'll talk about the open AI reinforcement, fine tuning, um, announcement too, and all of that. But yeah, I think like scale is all you need. That's kind of what Elia will be remembered for. And I think just maybe to clarify on like the pre training is over thing that people love to tweet. I think the point of the talk was like everybody, we're scaling these chips, we're scaling the compute, but like the second ingredient which is data is not scaling at the same rate.[00:24:35] Alessio: So it's not necessarily pre training is over. It's kind of like What got us here won't get us there. In his email, he predicted like 10x growth every two years or something like that. And I think maybe now it's like, you know, you can 10x the chips again, but[00:24:49] swyx: I think it's 10x per year. Was it? I don't know.[00:24:52] Alessio: Exactly. And Moore's law is like 2x. So it's like, you know, much faster than that. And yeah, I like the fossil fuel of AI [00:25:00] analogy. It's kind of like, you know, the little background tokens thing. So the OpenAI reinforcement fine tuning is basically like, instead of fine tuning on data, you fine tune on a reward model.[00:25:09] Alessio: So it's basically like, instead of being data driven, it's like task driven. And I think people have tasks to do, they don't really have a lot of data. So I'm curious to see how that changes, how many people fine tune, because I think this is what people run into. It's like, Oh, you can fine tune llama. And it's like, okay, where do I get the data?[00:25:27] Alessio: To fine tune it on, you know, so it's great that we're moving the thing. And then I really like he had this chart where like, you know, the brain mass and the body mass thing is basically like mammals that scaled linearly by brain and body size, and then humans kind of like broke off the slope. So it's almost like maybe the mammal slope is like the pre training slope.[00:25:46] Alessio: And then the post training slope is like the, the human one.[00:25:49] swyx: Yeah. I wonder what the. I mean, we'll know in 10 years, but I wonder what the y axis is for, for Ilya's SSI. We'll try to get them on.[00:25:57] Alessio: Ilya, if you're listening, you're [00:26:00] welcome here. Yeah, and then he had, you know, what comes next, like agent, synthetic data, inference, compute, I thought all of that was like that.[00:26:05] Alessio: I don't[00:26:05] swyx: think he was dropping any alpha there. Yeah, yeah, yeah.[00:26:07] Alessio: Yeah. Any other new reps? Highlights?[00:26:10] swyx: I think that there was comparatively a lot more work. Oh, by the way, I need to plug that, uh, my friend Yi made this, like, little nice paper. Yeah, that was really[00:26:20] swyx: nice.[00:26:20] swyx: Uh, of, uh, of, like, all the, he's, she called it must read papers of 2024.[00:26:26] swyx: So I laid out some of these at NeurIPS, and it was just gone. Like, everyone just picked it up. Because people are dying for, like, little guidance and visualizations And so, uh, I thought it was really super nice that we got there.[00:26:38] Alessio: Should we do a late in space book for each year? Uh, I thought about it. For each year we should.[00:26:42] Alessio: Coffee table book. Yeah. Yeah. Okay. Put it in the will. Hi, Will. By the way, we haven't introduced you. He's our new, you know, general organist, Jamie. You need to[00:26:52] swyx: pull up more things. One thing I saw that, uh, Okay, one fun one, and then one [00:27:00] more general one. So the fun one is this paper on agent collusion. This is a paper on steganography.[00:27:06] swyx: This is secret collusion among AI agents, multi agent deception via steganography. I tried to go to NeurIPS in order to find these kinds of papers because the real reason Like NeurIPS this year has a lottery system. A lot of people actually even go and don't buy tickets because they just go and attend the side events.[00:27:22] swyx: And then also the people who go and end up crowding around the most popular papers, which you already know and already read them before you showed up to NeurIPS. So the only reason you go there is to talk to the paper authors, but there's like something like 10, 000 other. All these papers out there that, you know, are just people's work that they, that they did on the air and they failed to get attention for one reason or another.[00:27:42] swyx: And this was one of them. Uh, it was like all the way at the back. And this is a deep mind paper that actually focuses on collusion between AI agents, uh, by hiding messages in the text that they generate. Uh, so that's what steganography is. So a very simple example would be the first letter of every word.[00:27:57] swyx: If you Pick that out, you know, and the code sends a [00:28:00] different message than that. But something I've always emphasized is to LLMs, we read left to right. LLMs can read up, down, sideways, you know, in random character order. And it's the same to them as it is to us. So if we were ever to get You know, self motivated, underlined LLMs that we're trying to collaborate to take over the planet.[00:28:19] swyx: This would be how they do it. They spread messages among us in the messages that we generate. And he developed a scaling law for that. So he marked, I'm showing it on screen right now, the emergence of this phenomenon. Basically, for example, for Cypher encoding, GPT 2, Lama 2, mixed trial, GPT 3. 5, zero capabilities, and sudden 4.[00:28:40] swyx: And this is the kind of Jason Wei type emergence properties that people kind of look for. I think what made this paper stand out as well, so he developed the benchmark for steganography collusion, and he also focused on shelling point collusion, which is very low coordination. For agreeing on a decoding encoding format, you kind of need to have some [00:29:00] agreement on that.[00:29:00] swyx: But, but shelling point means like very, very low or almost no coordination. So for example, if I, if I ask someone, if the only message I give you is meet me in New York and you're not aware. Or when you would probably meet me at Grand Central Station. That is the Grand Central Station is a shelling point.[00:29:16] swyx: And it's probably somewhere, somewhere during the day. That is the shelling point of New York is Grand Central. To that extent, shelling points for steganography are things like the, the, the common decoding methods that we talked about. It will be interesting at some point in the future when we are worried about alignment.[00:29:30] swyx: It is not interesting today, but it's interesting that DeepMind is already thinking about this.[00:29:36] Alessio: I think that's like one of the hardest things about NeurIPS. It's like the long tail. I[00:29:41] swyx: found a pricing guy. I'm going to feature him on the podcast. Basically, this guy from NVIDIA worked out the optimal pricing for language models.[00:29:51] swyx: It's basically an econometrics paper at NeurIPS, where everyone else is talking about GPUs. And the guy with the GPUs is[00:29:57] Alessio: talking[00:29:57] swyx: about economics instead. [00:30:00] That was the sort of fun one. So the focus I saw is that model papers at NeurIPS are kind of dead. No one really presents models anymore. It's just data sets.[00:30:12] swyx: This is all the grad students are working on. So like there was a data sets track and then I was looking around like, I was like, you don't need a data sets track because every paper is a data sets paper. And so data sets and benchmarks, they're kind of flip sides of the same thing. So Yeah. Cool. Yeah, if you're a grad student, you're a GPU boy, you kind of work on that.[00:30:30] swyx: And then the, the sort of big model that people walk around and pick the ones that they like, and then they use it in their models. And that's, that's kind of how it develops. I, I feel like, um, like, like you didn't last year, you had people like Hao Tian who worked on Lava, which is take Lama and add Vision.[00:30:47] swyx: And then obviously actually I hired him and he added Vision to Grok. Now he's the Vision Grok guy. This year, I don't think there was any of those.[00:30:55] Alessio: What were the most popular, like, orals? Last year it was like the [00:31:00] Mixed Monarch, I think, was like the most attended. Yeah, uh, I need to look it up. Yeah, I mean, if nothing comes to mind, that's also kind of like an answer in a way.[00:31:10] Alessio: But I think last year there was a lot of interest in, like, furthering models and, like, different architectures and all of that.[00:31:16] swyx: I will say that I felt the orals, oral picks this year were not very good. Either that or maybe it's just a So that's the highlight of how I have changed in terms of how I view papers.[00:31:29] swyx: So like, in my estimation, two of the best papers in this year for datasets or data comp and refined web or fine web. These are two actually industrially used papers, not highlighted for a while. I think DCLM got the spotlight, FineWeb didn't even get the spotlight. So like, it's just that the picks were different.[00:31:48] swyx: But one thing that does get a lot of play that a lot of people are debating is the role that's scheduled. This is the schedule free optimizer paper from Meta from Aaron DeFazio. And this [00:32:00] year in the ML community, there's been a lot of chat about shampoo, soap, all the bathroom amenities for optimizing your learning rates.[00:32:08] swyx: And, uh, most people at the big labs are. Who I asked about this, um, say that it's cute, but it's not something that matters. I don't know, but it's something that was discussed and very, very popular. 4Wars[00:32:19] Alessio: of AI recap maybe, just quickly. Um, where do you want to start? Data?[00:32:26] swyx: So to remind people, this is the 4Wars piece that we did as one of our earlier recaps of this year.[00:32:31] swyx: And the belligerents are on the left, journalists, writers, artists, anyone who owns IP basically, New York Times, Stack Overflow, Reddit, Getty, Sarah Silverman, George RR Martin. Yeah, and I think this year we can add Scarlett Johansson to that side of the fence. So anyone suing, open the eye, basically. I actually wanted to get a snapshot of all the lawsuits.[00:32:52] swyx: I'm sure some lawyer can do it. That's the data quality war. On the right hand side, we have the synthetic data people, and I think we talked about Lumna's talk, you know, [00:33:00] really showing how much synthetic data has come along this year. I think there was a bit of a fight between scale. ai and the synthetic data community, because scale.[00:33:09] swyx: ai published a paper saying that synthetic data doesn't work. Surprise, surprise, scale. ai is the leading vendor of non synthetic data. Only[00:33:17] Alessio: cage free annotated data is useful.[00:33:21] swyx: So I think there's some debate going on there, but I don't think it's much debate anymore that at least synthetic data, for the reasons that are blessed in Luna's talk, Makes sense.[00:33:32] swyx: I don't know if you have any perspectives there.[00:33:34] Alessio: I think, again, going back to the reinforcement fine tuning, I think that will change a little bit how people think about it. I think today people mostly use synthetic data, yeah, for distillation and kind of like fine tuning a smaller model from like a larger model.[00:33:46] Alessio: I'm not super aware of how the frontier labs use it outside of like the rephrase, the web thing that Apple also did. But yeah, I think it'll be. Useful. I think like whether or not that gets us the big [00:34:00] next step, I think that's maybe like TBD, you know, I think people love talking about data because it's like a GPU poor, you know, I think, uh, synthetic data is like something that people can do, you know, so they feel more opinionated about it compared to, yeah, the optimizers stuff, which is like,[00:34:17] swyx: they don't[00:34:17] Alessio: really work[00:34:18] swyx: on.[00:34:18] swyx: I think that there is an angle to the reasoning synthetic data. So this year, we covered in the paper club, the star series of papers. So that's star, Q star, V star. It basically helps you to synthesize reasoning steps, or at least distill reasoning steps from a verifier. And if you look at the OpenAI RFT, API that they released, or that they announced, basically they're asking you to submit graders, or they choose from a preset list of graders.[00:34:49] swyx: Basically It feels like a way to create valid synthetic data for them to fine tune their reasoning paths on. Um, so I think that is another angle where it starts to make sense. And [00:35:00] so like, it's very funny that basically all the data quality wars between Let's say the music industry or like the newspaper publishing industry or the textbooks industry on the big labs.[00:35:11] swyx: It's all of the pre training era. And then like the new era, like the reasoning era, like nobody has any problem with all the reasoning, especially because it's all like sort of math and science oriented with, with very reasonable graders. I think the more interesting next step is how does it generalize beyond STEM?[00:35:27] swyx: We've been using O1 for And I would say like for summarization and creative writing and instruction following, I think it's underrated. I started using O1 in our intro songs before we killed the intro songs, but it's very good at writing lyrics. You know, I can actually say like, I think one of the O1 pro demos.[00:35:46] swyx: All of these things that Noam was showing was that, you know, you can write an entire paragraph or three paragraphs without using the letter A, right?[00:35:53] Creative Writing with AI[00:35:53] swyx: So like, like literally just anything instead of token, like not even token level, character level manipulation and [00:36:00] counting and instruction following. It's, uh, it's very, very strong.[00:36:02] swyx: And so no surprises when I ask it to rhyme, uh, and to, to create song lyrics, it's going to do that very much better than in previous models. So I think it's underrated for creative writing.[00:36:11] Alessio: Yeah.[00:36:12] Legal and Ethical Issues in AI[00:36:12] Alessio: What do you think is the rationale that they're going to have in court when they don't show you the thinking traces of O1, but then they want us to, like, they're getting sued for using other publishers data, you know, but then on their end, they're like, well, you shouldn't be using my data to then train your model.[00:36:29] Alessio: So I'm curious to see how that kind of comes. Yeah, I mean, OPA has[00:36:32] swyx: many ways to publish, to punish people without bringing, taking them to court. Already banned ByteDance for distilling their, their info. And so anyone caught distilling the chain of thought will be just disallowed to continue on, on, on the API.[00:36:44] swyx: And it's fine. It's no big deal. Like, I don't even think that's an issue at all, just because the chain of thoughts are pretty well hidden. Like you have to work very, very hard to, to get it to leak. And then even when it leaks the chain of thought, you don't know if it's, if it's [00:37:00] The bigger concern is actually that there's not that much IP hiding behind it, that Cosign, which we talked about, we talked to him on Dev Day, can just fine tune 4.[00:37:13] swyx: 0 to beat 0. 1 Cloud SONET so far is beating O1 on coding tasks without, at least O1 preview, without being a reasoning model, same for Gemini Pro or Gemini 2. 0. So like, how much is reasoning important? How much of a moat is there in this, like, All of these are proprietary sort of training data that they've presumably accomplished.[00:37:34] swyx: Because even DeepSeek was able to do it. And they had, you know, two months notice to do this, to do R1. So, it's actually unclear how much moat there is. Obviously, you know, if you talk to the Strawberry team, they'll be like, yeah, I mean, we spent the last two years doing this. So, we don't know. And it's going to be Interesting because there'll be a lot of noise from people who say they have inference time compute and actually don't because they just have fancy chain of thought.[00:38:00][00:38:00] swyx: And then there's other people who actually do have very good chain of thought. And you will not see them on the same level as OpenAI because OpenAI has invested a lot in building up the mythology of their team. Um, which makes sense. Like the real answer is somewhere in between.[00:38:13] Alessio: Yeah, I think that's kind of like the main data war story developing.[00:38:18] The Data War: GPU Poor vs. GPU Rich[00:38:18] Alessio: GPU poor versus GPU rich. Yeah. Where do you think we are? I think there was, again, going back to like the small model thing, there was like a time in which the GPU poor were kind of like the rebel faction working on like these models that were like open and small and cheap. And I think today people don't really care as much about GPUs anymore.[00:38:37] Alessio: You also see it in the price of the GPUs. Like, you know, that market is kind of like plummeted because there's people don't want to be, they want to be GPU free. They don't even want to be poor. They just want to be, you know, completely without them. Yeah. How do you think about this war? You[00:38:52] swyx: can tell me about this, but like, I feel like the, the appetite for GPU rich startups, like the, you know, the, the funding plan is we will raise 60 million and [00:39:00] we'll give 50 of that to NVIDIA.[00:39:01] swyx: That is gone, right? Like, no one's, no one's pitching that. This was literally the plan, the exact plan of like, I can name like four or five startups, you know, this time last year. So yeah, GPU rich startups gone.[00:39:12] The Rise of GPU Ultra Rich[00:39:12] swyx: But I think like, The GPU ultra rich, the GPU ultra high net worth is still going. So, um, now we're, you know, we had Leopold's essay on the trillion dollar cluster.[00:39:23] swyx: We're not quite there yet. We have multiple labs, um, you know, XAI very famously, you know, Jensen Huang praising them for being. Best boy number one in spinning up 100, 000 GPU cluster in like 12 days or something. So likewise at Meta, likewise at OpenAI, likewise at the other labs as well. So like the GPU ultra rich are going to keep doing that because I think partially it's an article of faith now that you just need it.[00:39:46] swyx: Like you don't even know what it's going to, what you're going to use it for. You just, you just need it. And it makes sense that if, especially if we're going into. More researchy territory than we are. So let's say 2020 to 2023 was [00:40:00] let's scale big models territory because we had GPT 3 in 2020 and we were like, okay, we'll go from 1.[00:40:05] swyx: 75b to 1. 8b, 1. 8t. And that was GPT 3 to GPT 4. Okay, that's done. As far as everyone is concerned, Opus 3. 5 is not coming out, GPT 4. 5 is not coming out, and Gemini 2, we don't have Pro, whatever. We've hit that wall. Maybe I'll call it the 2 trillion perimeter wall. We're not going to 10 trillion. No one thinks it's a good idea, at least from training costs, from the amount of data, or at least the inference.[00:40:36] swyx: Would you pay 10x the price of GPT Probably not. Like, like you want something else that, that is at least more useful. So it makes sense that people are pivoting in terms of their inference paradigm.[00:40:47] Emerging Trends in AI Models[00:40:47] swyx: And so when it's more researchy, then you actually need more just general purpose compute to mess around with, uh, at the exact same time that production deployments of the old, the previous paradigm is still ramping up,[00:40:58] swyx: um,[00:40:58] swyx: uh, pretty aggressively.[00:40:59] swyx: So [00:41:00] it makes sense that the GPU rich are growing. We have now interviewed both together and fireworks and replicates. Uh, we haven't done any scale yet. But I think Amazon, maybe kind of a sleeper one, Amazon, in a sense of like they, at reInvent, I wasn't expecting them to do so well, but they are now a foundation model lab.[00:41:18] swyx: It's kind of interesting. Um, I think, uh, you know, David went over there and started just creating models.[00:41:25] Alessio: Yeah, I mean, that's the power of prepaid contracts. I think like a lot of AWS customers, you know, they do this big reserve instance contracts and now they got to use their money. That's why so many startups.[00:41:37] Alessio: Get bought through the AWS marketplace so they can kind of bundle them together and prefer pricing.[00:41:42] swyx: Okay, so maybe GPU super rich doing very well, GPU middle class dead, and then GPU[00:41:48] Alessio: poor. I mean, my thing is like, everybody should just be GPU rich. There shouldn't really be, even the GPU poorest, it's like, does it really make sense to be GPU poor?[00:41:57] Alessio: Like, if you're GPU poor, you should just use the [00:42:00] cloud. Yes, you know, and I think there might be a future once we kind of like figure out what the size and shape of these models is where like the tiny box and these things come to fruition where like you can be GPU poor at home. But I think today is like, why are you working so hard to like get these models to run on like very small clusters where it's like, It's so cheap to run them.[00:42:21] Alessio: Yeah, yeah,[00:42:22] swyx: yeah. I think mostly people think it's cool. People think it's a stepping stone to scaling up. So they aspire to be GPU rich one day and they're working on new methods. Like news research, like probably the most deep tech thing they've done this year is Distro or whatever the new name is.[00:42:38] swyx: There's a lot of interest in heterogeneous computing, distributed computing. I tend generally to de emphasize that historically, but it may be coming to a time where it is starting to be relevant. I don't know. You know, SF compute launched their compute marketplace this year, and like, who's really using that?[00:42:53] swyx: Like, it's a bunch of small clusters, disparate types of compute, and if you can make that [00:43:00] useful, then that will be very beneficial to the broader community, but maybe still not the source of frontier models. It's just going to be a second tier of compute that is unlocked for people, and that's fine. But yeah, I mean, I think this year, I would say a lot more on device, We are, I now have Apple intelligence on my phone.[00:43:19] swyx: Doesn't do anything apart from summarize my notifications. But still, not bad. Like, it's multi modal.[00:43:25] Alessio: Yeah, the notification summaries are so and so in my experience.[00:43:29] swyx: Yeah, but they add, they add juice to life. And then, um, Chrome Nano, uh, Gemini Nano is coming out in Chrome. Uh, they're still feature flagged, but you can, you can try it now if you, if you use the, uh, the alpha.[00:43:40] swyx: And so, like, I, I think, like, you know, We're getting the sort of GPU poor version of a lot of these things coming out, and I think it's like quite useful. Like Windows as well, rolling out RWKB in sort of every Windows department is super cool. And I think the last thing that I never put in this GPU poor war, that I think I should now, [00:44:00] is the number of startups that are GPU poor but still scaling very well, as sort of wrappers on top of either a foundation model lab, or GPU Cloud.[00:44:10] swyx: GPU Cloud, it would be Suno. Suno, Ramp has rated as one of the top ranked, fastest growing startups of the year. Um, I think the last public number is like zero to 20 million this year in ARR and Suno runs on Moto. So Suno itself is not GPU rich, but they're just doing the training on, on Moto, uh, who we've also talked to on, on the podcast.[00:44:31] swyx: The other one would be Bolt, straight cloud wrapper. And, and, um, Again, another, now they've announced 20 million ARR, which is another step up from our 8 million that we put on the title. So yeah, I mean, it's crazy that all these GPU pores are finding a way while the GPU riches are also finding a way. And then the only failures, I kind of call this the GPU smiling curve, where the edges do well, because you're either close to the machines, and you're like [00:45:00] number one on the machines, or you're like close to the customers, and you're number one on the customer side.[00:45:03] swyx: And the people who are in the middle. Inflection, um, character, didn't do that great. I think character did the best of all of them. Like, you have a note in here that we apparently said that character's price tag was[00:45:15] Alessio: 1B.[00:45:15] swyx: Did I say that?[00:45:16] Alessio: Yeah. You said Google should just buy them for 1B. I thought it was a crazy number.[00:45:20] Alessio: Then they paid 2. 7 billion. I mean, for like,[00:45:22] swyx: yeah.[00:45:22] Alessio: What do you pay for node? Like, I don't know what the game world was like. Maybe the starting price was 1B. I mean, whatever it was, it worked out for everybody involved.[00:45:31] The Multi-Modality War[00:45:31] Alessio: Multimodality war. And this one, we never had text to video in the first version, which now is the hottest.[00:45:37] swyx: Yeah, I would say it's a subset of image, but yes.[00:45:40] Alessio: Yeah, well, but I think at the time it wasn't really something people were doing, and now we had VO2 just came out yesterday. Uh, Sora was released last month, last week. I've not tried Sora, because the day that I tried, it wasn't, yeah. I[00:45:54] swyx: think it's generally available now, you can go to Sora.[00:45:56] swyx: com and try it. Yeah, they had[00:45:58] Alessio: the outage. Which I [00:46:00] think also played a part into it. Small things. Yeah. What's the other model that you posted today that was on Replicate? Video or OneLive?[00:46:08] swyx: Yeah. Very, very nondescript name, but it is from Minimax, which I think is a Chinese lab. The Chinese labs do surprisingly well at the video models.[00:46:20] swyx: I'm not sure it's actually Chinese. I don't know. Hold me up to that. Yep. China. It's good. Yeah, the Chinese love video. What can I say? They have a lot of training data for video. Or a more relaxed regulatory environment.[00:46:37] Alessio: Uh, well, sure, in some way. Yeah, I don't think there's much else there. I think like, you know, on the image side, I think it's still open.[00:46:45] Alessio: Yeah, I mean,[00:46:46] swyx: 11labs is now a unicorn. So basically, what is multi modality war? Multi modality war is, do you specialize in a single modality, right? Or do you have GodModel that does all the modalities? So this is [00:47:00] definitely still going, in a sense of 11 labs, you know, now Unicorn, PicoLabs doing well, they launched Pico 2.[00:47:06] swyx: 0 recently, HeyGen, I think has reached 100 million ARR, Assembly, I don't know, but they have billboards all over the place, so I assume they're doing very, very well. So these are all specialist models, specialist models and specialist startups. And then there's the big labs who are doing the sort of all in one play.[00:47:24] swyx: And then here I would highlight Gemini 2 for having native image output. Have you seen the demos? Um, yeah, it's, it's hard to keep up. Literally they launched this last week and a shout out to Paige Bailey, who came to the Latent Space event to demo on the day of launch. And she wasn't prepared. She was just like, I'm just going to show you.[00:47:43] swyx: So they have voice. They have, you know, obviously image input, and then they obviously can code gen and all that. But the new one that OpenAI and Meta both have but they haven't launched yet is image output. So you can literally, um, I think their demo video was that you put in an image of a [00:48:00] car, and you ask for minor modifications to that car.[00:48:02] swyx: They can generate you that modification exactly as you asked. So there's no need for the stable diffusion or comfy UI workflow of like mask here and then like infill there in paint there and all that, all that stuff. This is small model nonsense. Big model people are like, huh, we got you in as everything in the transformer.[00:48:21] swyx: This is the multimodality war, which is, do you, do you bet on the God model or do you string together a whole bunch of, uh, Small models like a, like a chump. Yeah,[00:48:29] Alessio: I don't know, man. Yeah, that would be interesting. I mean, obviously I use Midjourney for all of our thumbnails. Um, they've been doing a ton on the product, I would say.[00:48:38] Alessio: They launched a new Midjourney editor thing. They've been doing a ton. Because I think, yeah, the motto is kind of like, Maybe, you know, people say black forest, the black forest models are better than mid journey on a pixel by pixel basis. But I think when you put it, put it together, have you tried[00:48:53] swyx: the same problems on black forest?[00:48:55] Alessio: Yes. But the problem is just like, you know, on black forest, it generates one image. And then it's like, you got to [00:49:00] regenerate. You don't have all these like UI things. Like what I do, no, but it's like time issue, you know, it's like a mid[00:49:06] swyx: journey. Call the API four times.[00:49:08] Alessio: No, but then there's no like variate.[00:49:10] Alessio: Like the good thing about mid journey is like, you just go in there and you're cooking. There's a lot of stuff that just makes it really easy. And I think people underestimate that. Like, it's not really a skill issue, because I'm paying mid journey, so it's a Black Forest skill issue, because I'm not paying them, you know?[00:49:24] Alessio: Yeah,[00:49:25] swyx: so, okay, so, uh, this is a UX thing, right? Like, you, you, you understand that, at least, we think that Black Forest should be able to do all that stuff. I will also shout out, ReCraft has come out, uh, on top of the image arena that, uh, artificial analysis has done, has apparently, uh, Flux's place. Is this still true?[00:49:41] swyx: So, Artificial Analysis is now a company. I highlighted them I think in one of the early AI Newses of the year. And they have launched a whole bunch of arenas. So, they're trying to take on LM Arena, Anastasios and crew. And they have an image arena. Oh yeah, Recraft v3 is now beating Flux 1. 1. Which is very surprising [00:50:00] because Flux And Black Forest Labs are the old stable diffusion crew who left stability after, um, the management issues.[00:50:06] swyx: So Recurve has come from nowhere to be the top image model. Uh, very, very strange. I would also highlight that Grok has now launched Aurora, which is, it's very interesting dynamics between Grok and Black Forest Labs because Grok's images were originally launched, uh, in partnership with Black Forest Labs as a, as a thin wrapper.[00:50:24] swyx: And then Grok was like, no, we'll make our own. And so they've made their own. I don't know, there are no APIs or benchmarks about it. They just announced it. So yeah, that's the multi modality war. I would say that so far, the small model, the dedicated model people are winning, because they are just focused on their tasks.[00:50:42] swyx: But the big model, People are always catching up. And the moment I saw the Gemini 2 demo of image editing, where I can put in an image and just request it and it does, that's how AI should work. Not like a whole bunch of complicated steps. So it really is something. And I think one frontier that we haven't [00:51:00] seen this year, like obviously video has done very well, and it will continue to grow.[00:51:03] swyx: You know, we only have Sora Turbo today, but at some point we'll get full Sora. Oh, at least the Hollywood Labs will get Fulsora. We haven't seen video to audio, or video synced to audio. And so the researchers that I talked to are already starting to talk about that as the next frontier. But there's still maybe like five more years of video left to actually be Soda.[00:51:23] swyx: I would say that Gemini's approach Compared to OpenAI, Gemini seems, or DeepMind's approach to video seems a lot more fully fledged than OpenAI. Because if you look at the ICML recap that I published that so far nobody has listened to, um, that people have listened to it. It's just a different, definitely different audience.[00:51:43] swyx: It's only seven hours long. Why are people not listening? It's like everything in Uh, so, so DeepMind has, is working on Genie. They also launched Genie 2 and VideoPoet. So, like, they have maybe four years advantage on world modeling that OpenAI does not have. Because OpenAI basically only started [00:52:00] Diffusion Transformers last year, you know, when they hired, uh, Bill Peebles.[00:52:03] swyx: So, DeepMind has, has a bit of advantage here, I would say, in, in, in showing, like, the reason that VO2, while one, They cherry pick their videos. So obviously it looks better than Sora, but the reason I would believe that VO2, uh, when it's fully launched will do very well is because they have all this background work in video that they've done for years.[00:52:22] swyx: Like, like last year's NeurIPS, I already was interviewing some of their video people. I forget their model name, but for, for people who are dedicated fans, they can go to NeurIPS 2023 and see, see that paper.[00:52:32] Alessio: And then last but not least, the LLMOS. We renamed it to Ragops, formerly known as[00:52:39] swyx: Ragops War. I put the latest chart on the Braintrust episode.[00:52:43] swyx: I think I'm going to separate these essays from the episode notes. So the reason I used to do that, by the way, is because I wanted to show up on Hacker News. I wanted the podcast to show up on Hacker News. So I always put an essay inside of there because Hacker News people like to read and not listen.[00:52:58] Alessio: So episode essays,[00:52:59] swyx: I remember [00:53:00] purchasing them separately. You say Lanchain Llama Index is still growing.[00:53:03] Alessio: Yeah, so I looked at the PyPy stats, you know. I don't care about stars. On PyPy you see Do you want to share your screen? Yes. I prefer to look at actual downloads, not at stars on GitHub. So if you look at, you know, Lanchain still growing.[00:53:20] Alessio: These are the last six months. Llama Index still growing. What I've basically seen is like things that, One, obviously these things have A commercial product. So there's like people buying this and sticking with it versus kind of hopping in between things versus, you know, for example, crew AI, not really growing as much.[00:53:38] Alessio: The stars are growing. If you look on GitHub, like the stars are growing, but kind of like the usage is kind of like flat. In the last six months, have they done some[00:53:4

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