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On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reacts to Kalshi's newly launched election hub and dives into the vital question of how Americans are REALLY using prediction markets to enrich their lives: for information or for profit (or BOTH?) Then, Stu breaks down last night's primary elections in Arizona and analyzes the biggest value plays from the markets. Plus, Stu responds to a few questions and comments from our incredible audience. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On today's ‘Predictable w/ Stu', Stu Burguiere responds to a wave of attacks on prediction markets from CNN, The Hill and other critics who claim the industry is becoming dangerous while getting even the most basic of facts wrong (which must be quite embarrassing for them.) Then, Stu dives into the biggest news stories that went down over the past week including the latest in the Maine Senate race, Lindsey Graham's untimely death and political replacement, and the future of Lebron James's career in the NBA. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this episode, I will walk you through the real first week of the school holidays - the meltdowns, the boredom, the clinginess, the explosions over nothing - and why this week is always the hardest for anxious children.I explain exactly what's happening in your child's nervous system when the school‑day scaffolding disappears, why their bucket fills before lunchtime, and the three practical tools you can use immediately to stabilise the week.So if you're standing in your kitchen wondering how you're going to survive six weeks, this episode gives you what you need to get through the first seven days without losing yourself!Highlights from this episode:01:11 - When the scaffolding comes down03:00 - What is the bucket?05:09 - Name the state, not the behaviour08:50 - Predictable moments11:01 - Lower your expectations14:33 - Holiday rhythm card
The US and Iran are striking each other again over the Strait of Hormuz. Predictable. We must all remember if we are ever going to put a stop to this mess we need to clean up our House at home. With Sen Lindsey Graham dead the most Zionist person left in congress is without a doubt Randy Fine. Randy has a primary August 18th. in the 6th district of Florida.Today he was the only Republican to vote against adding the Save America Act, to the 2027 State Department funding bill, which would require a ID to vote in federal elections. In any other first world country in the world a citizen needs an ID to show proof of citizenship. But in America illegals can still vote which is insane. The reason Randy voted no was not because of the context of the bill but because he is having personal beef with Alex Bruesewitz. Fine threatened the White House and GOP leadership, stating he will vote against every rule on the House floor until Trump fires Bruesewitz.“The two have been engaged in a weeks long rivalry on the social media platform X that started when Bruesewitz made an appearance on “The Tucker Carson Show” podcast. Carlson referred to Fine on the show as a “that creepy fat guy from Florida who endorsed genocide.”Randy's key opponent is Dan Bilzerian, who has currently raise more money and has people knocking door to door in Florida now to get rid of Randy Fine. Because of Randy's pettiness he might not get Endorsed by Trump this go around.He is in danger of losing this race. What a glorious year it would be indeed with Lindsey Graham dead. Mitch McConnell resigning and dying, and randy Fine might lose his seat in the primary. If this happens we could get Congressmen Dan Bilzerian as this area of Florida is automatically Republican. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.ryandawson.org/subscribe
Count the ways you're chasing new business right now. Referrals, ads, emails, the newsletter you started and stopped. Now the harder question. How many are actually finished? Running isn't finished. A thing that's running can still be losing you money and you'd never know it.You'll learn how to pick the one channel your numbers already point to, what finishing it really takes, and when you've earned the next one. You'll hear how a $4M caterer killed six lead sources, built the one already working, and made his new business boring. And boring is the most beautiful word there is!Topics discussed:Introduction (00:00)Running isn't finished, and what that's costing you (00:30)You don't have a lead problem, you have a seven-things-running problem (01:47)What Scott got wrong for years at J&L Marketing (03:11)Tony's catering company and the feast-or-famine whiplash (04:33)Where his last 20 corporate accounts actually came from (07:04)The hard call: killing six lead sources to build one (07:37)How Tony built the referral channel into seven streams (08:54)Why predictable beats exciting, and boring wins (10:45)Level one: get the channel running without you (14:17)Level two: five to seven streams feeding one channel (15:39)Level three: tune each stream and turn the dials (18:38)What predictable new business actually buys you (19:24)Turn challenges into measurable results with the FREE Business Bourbon & Cigars Leadership Retreat Workbook: http://meplusultra.com/workbookSubscribe so you don't miss any episodes:Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3SN2fHnSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/74bfJL9J2fjevQEvi17ekUYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@MePlusUltraNetwork/Connect with Me Plus Ultra:https://www.instagram.com/me_plus_ultra/https://www.facebook.com/MePlusUltra/https://www.facebook.com/groups/1011061052968028/https://x.com/Me_Plus_Ultra/Connect with Scott Joseph:https://www.linkedin.com/in/ScottJosephhttps://www.instagram.com/scotttjoseph/https://www.facebook.com/ScottTJoseph/https://x.com/ScottTJoseph1This episode was produced by Podcast Boutique https://www.podcastboutique.com
Visit today's Sponsor Mocha Girls Read and pick up thier recommended July book, One Leg On Earth.We are counting lies!! In this episode, Tamara and Classy review the audiobook of 'Count My Lies' by Sophia Stava, exploring its plot, characters, and narration. They discuss the book's predictable twists, character development, and the effectiveness of the audiobook narration.Ep 571Pick up a copy of today's book, Count My LiesJoin the newsletter! shelfandscreensociety.riverside.comFind all the essential links in one spot and follow Tamara!Connect with Tamara on social media:Instagram | https://www.instagram.com/shelfaddiction/TikTok | @shelfaddictionConnect with Classy on social media:Instagram | https://www.instagram.com/thebookishvirtualassistantTikTok | @classygreen1Join the SAO book club on BookClubs: https://bookclubs.com/shelf-addiction-book-club/join/Check out our sponsors and deals!
(SPOILER) Your Daily Roundup covers your Big Brother weekend happenings, BB Time Capsule is definitely giving the vets an advantage, the Love Island finale was predictable, DWTS: The Next Pro tonight, & the Courtney Robertson story from the weekend. Music written by Jimmer Podrasky (B'Jingo Songs/Machia Music/Bug Music BMI)Ads:TaskRabbit – Get $15 off your first task at https://taskrabbit.com or on the Taskrabbit app using Promo Code: REALITYSTEVESee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Podcast Episode Description: "It's an exit plan, not an exit due." Host Laurie Barkman sits down with Alan Bennett, founder of Trust Built Solutions and exit planning coach who has lived through three very different business exits — a retail meat market that he closed in 2008, a contract catering business that a seller-financed deal and COVID unraveled in 2020, and a psychiatric practice exit to private equity where he finally got to use every lesson he had learned the hard way. Alan's story is one of the most honest and unfiltered accounts of what owner dependency really costs — not just in valuation, but in hours, health, relationships, and missed opportunities. He shares the trust cycle that unlocks delegation, the trap that keeps owners perpetually in the weeds, and why exit planning isn't about selling — it's about building a business that actually works without you. Key Insights You can build a $2 million business and still have nothing to sell. Alan's first business did over $2 million in combined retail and catering revenue — but without systems, processes, or a team that could run without him, he had no transferable asset when the time came. When the landlord forced the issue in 2008, closing was the only option. The business had value in revenue but none in structure. The tape measure at 2am is the moment owner dependency becomes visible. Alan snuck into his meat market at 2am to measure steaks with a tape measure — and his team saw it on the security camera. That moment destroyed their trust in him. Owner dependency isn't just about overwork — it's about the signal you send your team every time you step in to fix what they should be handling. Trust is the real solution to owner dependency — and it flows both ways. Owners think the problem is whether they trust their team. The real problem is whether the team trusts the owner. Trust must be rebuilt the same way it was broken, consistently over time. Once the team sees the owner trust them, delegation follows — and with delegation comes purpose, accountability, and a business that runs without the owner in every room. Recurring contract revenue changes everything about valuation. Alan's second business had almost the same revenue as his first — but seven school contracts and two summer camp agreements made it dramatically more valuable on paper. The nature of the cash flow matters as much as the size of the revenue. Predictable, contracted income is what buyers pay premiums for. Seller financing without protective deal structure is a catastrophic risk. Alan's chef bought the catering business on a 10-year seller note — and COVID made him unable to pay after four months. Because the right protective language wasn't in the agreement, Alan had no real recourse beyond liquidating equipment at pennies on the dollar. The deal structure must be built before the agreement is signed, not after something goes wrong. Exit planning is not the same as selling — and most owners don't know the difference. Many business owners, especially in the trades, recoil at the phrase "exit planning" because they think it means they're selling. Alan reframes it: a well-executed exit plan makes the business easier to grow, easier to finance, and easier to scale — whether you ever sell or not. The best time to start was 20 years ago. The second best time is today. Chapters: 00:05 Introduction of Alan Bennett 01:13 Business #1: The Retail Meat Market 06:34 100 Hours a Week and the Physical and Mental Toll 08:45 The $30,000 Consultant and the Map He Couldn't Read 10:23 Closing the Business: No Runway, No Plan 12:30 The Anger After the Close — And What He Learned 14:00 Business #2: The Contract Catering Company 15:51 How Recurring Contracts Changed the Business Model 18:30 Working 25 Hours a Week in Flip Flops 19:30 The Seller-Financed Deal with His Chef 21:21 COVID Hits: Four Payments In, Everything Stops 25:18 Liquidating the Assets and Licking the Wounds 27:54 Business #3: The Psychiatric Practice Exit to Private Equity 29:30 Owner Dependency — Calling It What It Is 30:55 The 2am Tape Measure Story That Changed Everything 33:30 How Trust Is Broken — And How It's Rebuilt 35:57 The Owner Dependency Trap: Bridging the Gap 40:31 Exit Plan vs. Exit Due — The Reframe That Changes Everything 41:44 Key Takeaways for Business Owners Thinking About Transition Is your business truly ready—and are you? Take the Succession Readiness Assessment to get a clear snapshot of where you stand and what to focus on next. https://btsherpa.com/succession P.S. Most owners don't realize where they stand until they're already in a transition. Take a few minutes now to understand your readiness—and give yourself more options later. Connect with Laurie Barkman: Website: https://lauriebarkman.me LinkedIn: in/lauriebarkman YouTube: @LaurieBarkman_BTSherpa Connect with Alan Bennett: Website: https://www.trustbuiltsolutions.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/alanbennettcepa Email: alan@trustbuiltsolutions.com
View this sermon (with video and/or audio recording) on our website: https://www.lordoflords.org/sermons/the-unpredictable-promised-harvest/Watch this sermon directly on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FoyR656gi1UPredictability, that's how we tend to like things in our lives. We want our car to start when we turn the key. We want our refrigerator to keep our food cold and our freezer to keep it colder. We expect it to be hot in the summer, cold in the winter, and cooler in the spring and fall. We expect that four-letter "W" word to be around all the time. Consistent. Reliable. Predictable.That's what makes Jesus' parable in today's Gospel so maddeningly frustrating ... and at the same time wonderfully exhilarating! It's just not predictable. A farmer goes out to sow his seed, but he doesn't know what's going to grow or where or how. There doesn't seem to be any rhyme or reason. He just scatters the seed. We think how terribly wasteful and inefficient this is. We are the kind of people who pull out the tape measure to make sure we plant our cucumbers at ½ inch depth, our peppers 18 inches apart, and our tomatoes around May 31. We dig furrows, plant the seed, and put the little stakes at the end of each row -- all to maximize our garden's potential. Then, because it's Wyoming, we are pleasantly surprised when anything grows!Even with all that care and precision, we still have no idea how well our plants will grow. We do the work and let God do the rest. It is all very unpredictable.And that's exactly what Jesus is teaching us today. The seed of God's Word is wonderfully, maddeningly unpredictable. You can sow it, plant it or scatter it, but you don't know whether that Word is going to take root and grow or not. You don't know which seeds will be snatched or baked or choked ... or which will produce an abundant harvest.The Sower was reckless with his Seed, letting it fall where it may. And this is exactly what Jesus is doing as he scatters the seed of his Word to the "large crowds" that listened to him teach from the boat. Jesus scattered this seed to anyone within earshot -- the devout, the curious, the super-religious, the seekers, the skeptics, the Jewish opposition, the tax collectors, and sinners. He scattered the seed liberally -- not only to those whom he thinks will give the greatest return on the investment or on those who meet the proper demographics -- but to all.Jesus is teaching us to do exactly the same thing. We scatter the seed of his Word in as many ways, in as many places, to as many different people as we can. We scatter his seed to the big homes next to the golf course, the neighborhoods around the church, throughout Casper, and the communities of Bar Nunn, Mills, and Evansville. We hang flyers on doors and post reels on social media. We share God's Word on our webpage, YouTube, email, from the pulpit in church, and with adult instruction classes in people's homes. We share the Word with young families, the single mom, the widowed grandfather, the lonely teenager, the overwhelmed college student, the alcoholic businessman, the depressed housewife, and the cute little kids.But there is no predictability when or how or with whom the gospel seed grows. That's why we try to scatter the seed in so many ways. All God asks and expects us to do is scatter the seed and support the scattering with our time, effort, prayers, and offerings. He will bless the harvest.We plant the seeds, but some of the soil is hard. It isn't allowed to take root. These are the hearts (our hearts) that are stubborn and resistant, feeling no need to repent, no hunger or thirst for God's Word, and does not allow for conversion and change. If someone does not want God's gospel -- his free and unconditional forgiveness, his deliverance from death and the Devil, and his reconciliation with the holy God -- the Lord of the harvest does not force the gospel to stay but allows the seed to be snatched away. A Gideon's Bible in every hotel room and a church on every corner doesn't bother Satan if he can keep snatching the gospel from hard and stubborn hearts.Some of the seeds we sow will fall on ground cluttered with rocks and stones. Here the seed springs up quickly but cannot stand the heat. Satan loves a faith that is based on feelings, emotions, and convenience, rather than digging deep roots into Christ's gospel. It's a quick and easy faith of compromise, convenience, and mediocrity that cannot stand strong with the heat of challenges and conflicts, persecution and pain.Some of the seeds we scatter will fall on ground with weeds so there is competition. Competition with the difficulties at work, the struggles at home, the hurt feelings with friends, the worries and concerns of life, the vacationing and sleeping in, or the lusts of the flesh and the pleasures of the world. All these will choke the Word of God from growing in hearts and transforming lives.Totally unpredictable.Instead of predictability, we have something better -- we have God's promise through his prophet, "Just as the rain and the snow come down from the sky and do not return there unless they first water the earth, make it give birth, and cause it to sprout, so that it gives seed to the sower and bread to the eater, in the same way my word that goes out from my mouth will not return to me empty. Rather, it will accomplish whatever I please, and it will succeed in the purpose for which I sent it" (Isaiah 55:10-11). God's Word works. It will either be rejected or accepted. It will either be discounted or believed. It will either harden or convert. It will either create enemies or create saints.This is good! When things are in our hands, we can never be sure of the outcome. When we're on our own, what can we do? What can we accomplish? I can't even make my garden grow, let alone produce a harvest for God!But in God's hands -- his creating hands, his nail-pierced hands, his faith-instilling hands -- then we can be sure. Absolutely sure. Those hands, once pierced and fastened to the cross but now raised from the dead, are the hands that have defeated all our enemies and chase away the Evil One. Those are the hands that have taken the weeds and doubts of sin and pulled them up by the roots and forgiven them. Those are the hands that shield us from the burning persecution of Satan and shade us by his grace and care.These are the hands that take your hard, rocky, weed-infested soil and turns it over through the cultivating of his holy, inspired Word -- his Law and Gospel. The Law prepares the soil of the heart for the seed of the Gospel. The Law points out the rocks, weeds, and hard soil. It causes you to repent of those rocks, weeds, and hardness. It breaks up the rocks, pulls the weeds, and softens your hard heart.Then the Gospel cultivates your soil. You drink deeply of the water of your Baptism through repentance and absolution. You are nourished with the body and blood of Christ in the Lord's Supper. You are blessed with his benediction and grace. You are fertilized with all the nutrients you need to grow your faith through God's holy Scriptures.God, the ultimate Sower and the Lord of the harvest, will bring about the harvest he desires. What does this harvest look like? It's not simply a full sanctuary, increased Bible study attendance, and a budget in the black. It's a marvelously, miraculously, maddeningly unpredictable harvest 30, 60, 100 times what was sown. (If you've ever planted anything, you know how astronomically amazing those harvest numbers are.) This harvest displays itself in your life by worshiping weekly, praying constantly, studying daily, speaking truthfully, helping faithfully, serving consistently, loving unconditionally, and forgiving repeatedly. It's not often the big and spectacular that is accomplished, but rather the ordinary and mundane. It's hearing, understanding, and living the Word in your life, in your family, at your job, at your school, and with your friends. Producing fruit. Living as Christ. Loving as you have been loved. Forgiving as you have been forgiven. Serving as you have been served. These are the fruits of faith that are pleasing to the Sower.Let me tell you a story of how God works this in real life. Several years ago, I received an email in the spring asking if our church had a class on the basics of the Bible. The writer of the email said she had gone to a WELS church with a friend, was impressed, and wanted to learn more about the Bible. She had received flyers on her door in Racine from us in the past. She checked out the church on our webpage and even watched a few of my sermons. So, she joined the Bible Inquirer's Class I had just started. There wasn't really any intention of leaving her church and joining our Lutheran Church. But then God's Word began to dig roots, grow, and flourish. She found the truth of God's Word and the free forgiveness in Christ she had been missing her whole life. The Holy Spirit moved her to join our congregation that summer.But the story doesn't end there. While God's Word began to blossom and change her life, the Word also began to germinate within her two daughters. Her 9-year-old daughter would play with their 7-year-old neighbor, Gracie. After coming in to get dressed for church one day, her daughter said, "Gracie has never heard of God and Jesus and stuff ... so I told her about it."A few weeks later, Mom was folding laundry in her bedroom and noticed that her daughter and Gracie were sitting on the backsteps. Her daughter had out her Children's Bible and was reading Gracie the story of Adam and Eve, and Gracie looked incredibly taken by the story! Mom said that was even more amazing was that her daughter absolutely, positively, hates reading and will do just about anything to avoid it. And there she was, all on her own (with the help of the Holy Spirit, of course), reading the Bible to the neighbor girl. And enjoying it!Over the course of the summer, her two daughters read Gracie over 50 pages of the Bible. Then they both told their mom, "You know, Mom, the Bible is actually really interesting!"Then her 9-year-old explained that she had gotten out her old first communion dress and dressed Gracie in it. Then she got some water and baptized her!What an unpredictable but promised harvest! All from scattering the seed with a door hanger, a friendly invitation to church, and a webpage. Then the seed of the Word beginning to take root in Bible Class, maturing into membership, and blossoming in a family and a neighborhood.What is God going to accomplish in you and through you? I don't know. But I want you to eager to see the field ripe for harvest. God has planted his seed deep into your heart for a purpose, and he will see it through to completion. Let the Word take root in your heart. Continue to recklessly scatter the seed. Preach the Word and plant it home. Know that you have God's promise that his Word will produce a harvest. Not always the same harvest. Not always the harvest we're looking for or praying for. But it will be a marvelous, miraculous, maddeningly unpredictable, promised harvest. In you and through you. Good seed sprouting in good soil. Amen.
Hustle can get you started. But systems are what let you scale. In this episode of The Level Up Podcast, Paul Alex breaks down how to turn raw hustle into predictable infrastructure and build a company that does not depend on your personal adrenaline every day. Let's be real… If the business only moves when you move… If every task depends on your memory… If every new hire needs you to explain the same thing over and over… You do not have a scalable company. You have a treadmill. In this episode, you'll learn: Why brute force does not scale long term How undocumented processes turn founders into bottlenecks Why standard operating procedures create predictable execution How strong infrastructure makes your business more valuable and sellable The truth is simple: A real business needs a playbook. Not just hustle. Not just charisma. Not just late nights. Not just founder energy. It needs documented systems. Clear training. Quality control. Repeatable execution. And operators who can run the machine without needing you in every detail. High-level CEOs do not keep the process trapped in their head. They record it. Write it down. Train the team. Build the system. And eventually, the playbook starts running the company. Stop relying on adrenaline. Build the infrastructure. Empower the operators. Step into the visionary role. And keep leveling up. Your Network is your NETWORTH! Make sure to add me on all SOCIAL MEDIA PLATFORMS: Instagram: https://jo.my/paulalex2024Facebook: https://jo.my/fbpaulalex2024YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCGhDAD1JyGGzSQUPD9lc9HQLinkedIn: https://jo.my/inpaulalex2024 Looking for a secondary source of income or want to become an entrepreneur? Check out one of my companies below to see if we can help you: www.CashSwipe.com FREE Copy of my book “Blue to Digital Gold - The New American Dream”www.officialPaulAlex.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Most interviews sound the same.Safe questions. Predictable answers. Polite agreement.But every now and then, something different happens.A moment of silence.An unexpected question.A shift in energy that makes everyone lean in.In this episode, I sit down with Alfie Joey – former BBC presenter – to explore what actually makes an interview memorable.Alfie has interviewed prime ministers, celebrities and business leaders. We talk about why over-preparation can make you more natural, how one repeated question can break through any defence, and why the best interviewers never make it about themselves.Alfie shares stories from the field – from interviewing Peter Mandelson in a completely unexpected way, to creating a room-wide “chocolate moment,” to asking one simple question that left an entire audience in silence.If you host a podcast or want to have better conversations, this episode will change how you think about asking questions.What You'll Learn:- How to create (or spot) powerful interview moments- The danger of putting yourself in the story- How to challenge guests without confrontation- Why most questions lead nowhere – and how to fix that- The simple LinkedIn trick to make interviews freshIn This Episode:04:08 – The Power of Over-Preparation08:00 – Interviewing Peter Mandelson 12:27 – The LinkedIn Trick for Better Questions16:54 – Why Listening Is the #1 Skill18:30 – Never Put Yourself in the Story23:30 – The Chocolate Interview Moment29:35 – Following the Audience, Not the Plan50:47 – Why You Must Watch Your RecordingsIf you want to run better interviews – and better conversations – this episode is for you.We hope you enjoy it.———————Connect with Alfie: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/alfie-speakeasyguy-joey/ Website: https://alfiejoey.com/
Clay Clark is the co-founder of five kids, the host of the 6X iTunes chart-topping ThrivetimeShow.com Podcast, the 2007 Oklahoma SBA Entrepreneur of the Year, the 2002 Tulsa Metro Chamber of Commerce Young Entrepreneur of the Year, an Amazon best-selling author, a singer / song-writer and the founder of several multi-million dollar businesses. Top 3 Value Bombs 1. Without leads, even the best product, service, and market opportunity will fail to generate business success. 2. Predictable growth comes from implementing repeatable systems, documented processes, disciplined time management, and tracking key performance indicators. 3. Knowledge creates awareness, but wisdom comes from executing what you learn consistently and relentlessly. Check out LaserSKN website - LaserSKN Sponsors HighLevel - The ultimate all-in-one platform for entrepreneurs, marketers, coaches, and agencies. Learn more at HighLevelFire.com. ThriveTime Show - Is your business stuck? Join Eric Trump and Clay Clark at America's highest rated business conference November 5th and 6th in Tulsa, Oklahoma. Request life-changing tickets today at ThriveTimeShow.com/eofire.
Chris Gavre joins this week's episode to discuss why mobile homes make for a great investment strategy and shares practical ways for others to replicate this model.Full Description / Show NotesChris's career history and backgroundLand home packages explainedMobile homes as a scalable, affordable housing solutionWhy land home packages can be more predictable than flipsPros and cons of the modelHow investors can get started in this spaceWhat's next for Chris and his career
Every startup pitch deck has a "why now" slide. Most of them are nonsense, barely considered, and only there to tick a box.But timing is more than a slide, it can make or break a company. It's the difference between pets.com and the trillion-dollar company selling the exact same idea a decade later.In this episode, Yaniv Bernstein sits down with Paul Orlando, who has built four startup accelerators supporting over 300 companies, including Hong Kong's first accelerator and a program in Rome run in partnership with the Vatican, and has taught entrepreneurship at USC for over a decade, where he also runs one of LA's largest startup incubators. Paul has spent years obsessing over a single question: why do some ideas succeed while near-identical ones fail years earlier? The answer became his book, ‘Why Now? How Good Timing Makes Great Products.'In this episode, you will:Learn Paul's framework of timing drivers, and the five that show up again and again: technology, social/behavioral change, regulation, installed base, and crisisWalk through the YouTube case study in detail to see how broadband penetration, digital camera adoption, and falling storage costs converged to make 2005 the right year, after the identical idea failed less than a decade earlierDiscover why first-mover advantage is much narrower than founders assume, and the two specific conditions (locking in customers, locking out competitors) required for it to actually workGet a framework for balancing founder agency against timing, because you can't will your way into good timing, but you also can't wait passively for the perfect moment to arriveTimestamps00:00 Coming Up...01:04 On Today's Show: Why Timing Matters01:44 Guest Intro: Paul Orlando02:42 Is 'Why Now' Predictable?05:40 Paul's Timing Drivers Framework08:44 Case Study: YouTube's Market Timing11:47 Business Model Shifts15:16 Case Study: Pets.com Unit Economics22:16 Case Study: AI Vibe Coding24:11 What Are 'Sleeping Beauty' Startups?27:46 Incorporating AI into Timing Drivers28:52 Collapse of Build Costs33:34 Case Study: Vera and Unit Economics of Voice35:15 False 'Why Now' Risks37:46 First Mover Reality40:33 Reid Hoffman on Blitzscaling41:49 Case Study: AT&T's Picturephone and Mobile Telephony46:31 Lessons on Failure and Agency54:09 Closing ThoughtsResources mentioned'Why Now?: How Good Timing Makes Great Products' by Paul Orlando: https://www.amazon.com/Why-Now-Timing-Makes-Products/dp/B0CYXSNMT3Paul's website, Startups Unplugged: https://startupsunplugged.comPaul on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/porlandoPaul on X/Twitter: https://twitter.com/porlandoThe PactHonor the Startup Podcast Pact! If you have listened to TSP and gotten value from it, please:Follow, rate, and review us in your listening appSecure your official TSP merchandise at https://shop.tsp.show/Follow us on YouTube for full video episodes: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCNjm1MTdjysRRV07fSf0yGgGive us a public shout-out on LinkedIn or anywhere you have a social media followingKey linksThis episode of the Startup Podcast is sponsored by .tech domains. Forget weird prefixes and creative misspellings; the availability for .tech domains is simply way better than .com. For a clean name that highlights your tech credentials, get a .tech domain at your favorite registrar.The Startup Podcast website: https://www.tsp.show/episodes/Learn more about Chris and YanivWork 1:1 with Chris: http://chrissaad.com/advisory/Follow Chris on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/chrissaad/Follow Yaniv on Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ybernstein/Producer: Justin McArthur https://www.linkedin.com/in/justin-mcarthurAssistant Producer: Steph Hefferan https://www.linkedin.com/in/steph-heff/Intro Voice: Jeremiah Owyang https://web-strategist.com/
Predictable revenue creates predictable freedom. In this episode of The Level Up Podcast, Paul Alex breaks down why recurring revenue is one of the strongest business models for building stability, valuation, and long-term wealth. Let's be real… If every month starts at zero… And you have to chase every dollar all over again… You are not building peace of mind. You are building pressure. In this episode, you'll learn: Why one-time sales can create unstable cash flow How recurring revenue turns clients into long-term value Why subscriptions, retainers, and residual systems increase business stability How predictable income can raise your company's valuation and reduce financial anxiety The truth is simple: The goal is not just to make a sale. The goal is to build continuity. Monthly retainers. Subscription access. Usage-based billing. Maintenance packages. Residual income streams. Systems that create value every month and get paid every month. High-level operators do not want to restart from zero every thirty days. They engineer recurring revenue. They build retention. They automate billing. They make their service so valuable that clients cannot afford to cancel. Because when the baseline is secure… The business breathes easier. The founder thinks clearer. And the company becomes more valuable. Stop starting over every month. Build the recurring model. Lock in the clients. Secure the baseline. And keep leveling up. Your Network is your NETWORTH! Make sure to add me on all SOCIAL MEDIA PLATFORMS: Instagram: https://jo.my/paulalex2024Facebook: https://jo.my/fbpaulalex2024YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCGhDAD1JyGGzSQUPD9lc9HQLinkedIn: https://jo.my/inpaulalex2024 Looking for a secondary source of income or want to become an entrepreneur? Check out one of my companies below to see if we can help you: www.CashSwipe.com FREE Copy of my book “Blue to Digital Gold - The New American Dream”www.officialPaulAlex.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The dominant structural shift underlined in this episode is the removal of the pricing floor for undifferentiated, repeatable IT work due to agentic AI adoption, especially in IT services and MSP operations. As described by Dave Sobel, this shift is not about wholesale job elimination but about AI absorbing routine, predictable execution, leaving human operators responsible for judgment and oversight. This change is illustrated by organizations such as OpenAI, where 97.9% of employees use AI agents, and by sector-wide hiring data tracked by SignalFire, revealing that software engineers—previously considered vulnerable—remain the largest share of new hires. The most consequential development is the clear division between executional work and judgment-based roles. Data from SignalFire shows that software engineers make up 55% of new tech hires, contrary to predictions of their displacement by AI. Similarly, ISC2's Cybersecurity Workforce Survey, reported by Dark Reading, finds entry-level cybersecurity roles are evolving rather than disappearing, with AI taking over routine triage and increasing demand for higher-level judgment skills. OpenAI's near-universal internal AI adoption supports the notion that employees are adapting their roles rather than being replaced outright. Further supporting developments include evidence from SplashTop, which measured that 53% of IT team capacity is spent on endpoint maintenance and repetitive tasks, areas highly susceptible to automation. The effect is heightened by macro trends—cited from Axios Macro and the NFIB—showing small businesses are actively reducing hiring plans and seeking solutions that remove the need for headcount growth. New MSP offerings, such as managed support teams available within 30 days, are scrutinized for repackaging traditional labor models vulnerable to rapid automation. For MSPs and IT service providers, the operational implication is the urgent need to reevaluate service lines, staffing, and pricing models. Services based on predictable, repeatable execution now face competition from AI-driven agentic work that operates with negligible marginal cost, eroding the business case for labor arbitrage and body-shopping models. The path to defensibility shifts toward services that require human judgment, oversight, and outcome-based delivery, with increased risk for firms reliant on commoditized execution. Sorting offerings by their exposure to automation and focusing investment in non-automatable, judgment-driven roles becomes a practical risk mitigation approach. 00:00 The Most-Hired Casualty 04:19 Which Half It Eats 07:06 The Rent-a-Team Trap 09:47 Why Do We Care? Supported by: Pax8 Sign up for the SMB Online Conference: www.smbonlineconference.com
Megyn Kelly is joined by Mike Davis, founder of the Article III Project, and Stu Burguiere, host of "Predictable with Stu," to talk about the shocking Supreme Court decision on mail-in ballots going against conservatives, why Justice Amy Coney Barrett and Chief Justice John Roberts sided with the liberal justices on this issue, concerns about its impact on future elections, why Chief Justice John Roberts is siding with the Supreme Court's liberal majority on multiple key cases, the implications of the Lisa Cook firing case, why the Trump administration's DHS chief Markwayne Mullin is quickly backtracking over his comments about Haitians and TPS, the growing conservative backlash over the potential Haitians aren't immediately deported, the truth about crimes committed by some of the Haitian immigrants in America, why supporting legal immigration and assimilation does not require supporting Temporary Protected Status for Haitians, the ultra woke politician Scott Wiener getting screamed at by anti-Israel protesters during a trans rally, why even progressive politicians are no longer woke enough for parts of the activist left, "Supergirl" bombing at the box office, how the film's star alienated potential audiences with her public comments, why Hollywood's fake feminism is failing, and more. Davis- https://article3project.org/ Burguiere- https://predictableshow.com/ Supersure Insurance: Upgrade your business insurance to a year-round SuperAgency at https://Supersure.com/Megyn Herald Group: Learn more at https://GuardYourCard.com The Wellness Company: Don't let a sudden illness derail your summer—secure your peace of mind and save $45 on a Medical Emergency Kit today by visiting https://UrgentCareKit.com/MK and using promo code MK. Birch Gold: Text MK to 989898 and get a free America 250 silver round with qualifying purchase Follow The Megyn Kelly Show on all social platforms: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/MegynKelly Twitter: http://Twitter.com/MegynKellyShow Instagram: http://Instagram.com/MegynKellyShow Facebook: http://Facebook.com/MegynKellyShow Find out more information at:https://www.devilmaycaremedia.com/megynkellyshow Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Hour 2 - Despite the Sox winning three in a row at home, the guys are not convinced this team will capitalize on the momentum. How much time does Breslow have left and more!
In this episode of Kilowatt, we dive into the latest developments shaking up the electric vehicle market, starting with Tesla's surprising decision to open Model S Signature Edition orders in Europe. We also examine the regulatory landscape as the NHTSA updates rules allowing the upcoming Tesla Cybercab to ditch brake pedals entirely, alongside new details on its strict weight limits and recent sightings in New Zealand. Safety and legal battles take center stage as we break down Tesla's recent settlement over a fatal Full Self-Driving crash in Texas and look at a groundbreaking feature that uses vehicle cameras to deploy airbags before an impact even occurs. Support the Show: https://www.supportkilowatt.com/ Other Podcasts: Beyond the Post YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/@beyondthepostfm) Beyond the Post Podcast (https://www.beyondthepost.fm/) Shuffle Playlist (https://shows.acast.com/shuffle-playlist) 918Digital Website (https://www.918digital.com/) News Links: Not a Tesla App: Tesla Opens Surprise Model S Signature Edition Orders in Europe Electrek: Tesla settles lawsuit over fatal ‘Full Self-Driving' pedestrian crash Ars Technica Cars: Elon Musk denies Tesla's Autopilot caused crash that killed grandmother Teslarati: Tesla and driver sued by family of woman killed in Texas crash: what we know Electrek: Tesla sued over fatal crash in Texas home that killed 76-year-old woman Teslarati: Tesla pushes back against unfair reporting of accidents The Verge: Tesla claims driver ‘manually overrode self-driving' in deadly Texas crash Electrek: Tesla admits FSD was on in fatal Texas crash, blames driver for ‘overriding' it Teslarati: Tesla finally clarifies fatal Texas crash, confirms driver manually overrode acceleration Electrek: NHTSA probes fatal Tesla crash into Texas home that killed woman CleanTechnica: Tesla On Autopilot Crashes Into Texas House, Killing One Not a Tesla App: Tesla Crashes Into Texas Home, Driver Blames Autopilot Ars Technica Cars: NHTSA investigating alleged Tesla Autopilot crash that killed woman in her home Not a Tesla App: Tesla Cybercab Won't Need Brake Pedals Under New NHTSA Rules Not a Tesla App: Tesla Cybercab Has a Max Weight Limit of 617 Lbs InsideEVs: Teslas Will Now Deploy Their Airbags Before Crashes Happen Thanks To Cameras Not a Tesla App: Tesla Cybercab Spotted in New Zealand for First Time Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
On this episode of ‘Predictable w/ Stu,' Stu Burguiere previews this Saturday's primary election runoff in Louisiana as well as next Tuesday's races in Colorado as both states gear up for this November's monumental midterms. Then, friend-of-the-program Dan Andros joins for another wild and surprising round of ‘Predict the Prediction!' Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
A parent has been using the puzzle pieces to help her young son with his fears, but he still gets panicky and clingy when it's time to head into activities. If he's not willingly stepping into the worry, is it still working? Is the pattern still changing? What else can she do? WE'VE MADE PLAYLISTS OF OUR EPISODES TO HELP YOU FIND RESOURCES ON SPECIFIC TOPICS. Here is our first: For those brand new to the podcast, we suggest starting with this playlist featuring Lynn Lyons and the 7-part anxiety disruptor series as well as a 3-part series on the skills most helpful in managing anxious kids: flexibility, problem solving, and autonomy. Consult our Spotify profile for the most up-to-date selection. We will select two listeners who complete our listener survey. We hope it is you! FOLLOW US Join the Facebook group to get news on the upcoming courses for parents, teens, and kids. Follow Flusterclux on Facebook and Instagram. Follow Lynn Lyons on Twitter and Youtube. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
On this episode of ‘Predictable w/ Stu,' Stu Burguiere breaks down last night's primary election results and details why making smart investments, even in the face of the rise of socialism, can help soften the blow of American elections trending in a very dark direction. Then, Stu goes through his comprehensive list of primary election investments to celebrate the wins and fess up to the losses. Plus, a look at some of our audience's biggest victories and losses from last night. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Olaitan Fashanu: Three Teams, Three Backlogs, One Feature—Can You Make Them See Each Other? Read the full Show Notes and search through the world's largest audio library on Agile and Scrum directly on the Scrum Master Toolbox Podcast website: http://bit.ly/SMTP_ShowNotes. "How do we ensure that these teams actually work together to show the same data?" - Olaitan Fashanu Olaitan brings a problem most Scrum Masters in scaled environments will recognize. Three teams. Three separate backlogs. One product, accessed across app, web, and support channels. Leadership made a top-down team topologies decision: split the work to move faster. Predictable result—each team optimizes for their own backlog, blind to what the others are building, sometimes shipping the same feature twice with different behaviors. The product owners know there's overlap. The teams love the idea of linking tickets across backlogs. They just won't maintain the habit. Olaitan and Vasco walk through experiments together: a sync between POs, joint refinement sessions, linking tickets, putting "this is also being built by Team B" notes at the top of stories. The deeper insight: the Scrum Master's job is to keep surfacing information until a habit forms. As Vasco's old lifting coach put it—you find the imbalance, you get rid of the imbalance, one by one. That's how you get stronger. In this episode, we refer to team topologies and the practice of surfacing information across team boundaries. Self-reflection Question: Where in your organization are teams unknowingly building the same thing twice—and what's the smallest experiment you could run this week to make that visible? [The Scrum Master Toolbox Podcast Recommends]
Visit us at Network2020.org.Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The COVID-19 Pandemic. On-and-off-and-on-again tariffs. Over the past few years, the deeply interconnected global system has experienced major shocks that international organizations and nation states alike have struggled to grapple with. In this age of uncertainty, businesses and governments need to make new calculations. More large companies are opening their own geopolitical units to stay steady on the shifting currents. How do corporations assess geopolitical risks? What changes do companies large and small need to make in their approaches to doing business? And what unforeseen opportunities may come from these changes?Join us to delve into the calculation of risks in this potential new geopolitical order with Matt Gertken, Chief Geopolitical/US Political Strategist at BCA Research and Pablo Rasmussen, a Director at Brzezinski Global Strategies.Music by Sergii Pavkin from Pixabay.
On this episode of ‘Predictable w/ Stu,' Stu Burguiere outlines the biggest investment opportunities to engage in for tomorrow's primary elections in New York, Maryland, Utah and South Carolina. Plus, a look at the upcoming NBA Draft and where the smart profit prospects lie for your investments. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In this episode, Bradley sits down with Stephen Woessner, co-founder of Predictive ROI, who has owned five businesses and spent 16 years helping agency owners grow. Stephen shares his family's entrepreneurial roots and why he believes risk tolerance, strategic clarity, and team-building form the core of any founder's DNA.They cover the "ones and threes" revenue friction points, Predictive ROI's three pillars of growth (grow audience, nurture leads, increase sales), and why trust has moved so far upstream in B2B buying that most prospects are already pre-sold before a first conversation. Stephen also breaks down where agentic AI is creating real operational leverage today.This goes beyond tactics and into what sustainable growth actually requires. What does owning your addressable market mean in practice? How do you pick one channel when resources are tight? And how do you build trust deep enough that the sales process becomes a foregone conclusion? If you are working to grow more predictably, build a stronger pipeline, and understand how content and AI function as real business tools, this conversation is for you.Visit https://workshop.blueprintos.com to register for the upcoming Above The Business workshop.ResourcesLearn more about Stephen Woessner and Predictive ROI: https://predictiveroi.com/Connect with Stephen on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/stephenwoessnerListen to the Sell With Authority podcast: https://open.spotify.com/show/2JUWdPxO9zhTzRtalDC59E?si=39125931da4a4247 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/sell-with-authority/id1596810706 Thanks to our sponsorsCoach P ConsultingCoach P found great success as an insurance agent and agency owner, leading a large and stable team of top-performing professionals. Today, he shares the systems, delegation strategies, and specialization methods he developed along the way. Gain access to weekly training calls and mentoring at:https://www.coachpconsulting.comBe sure to mention you heard about it on the Above The Business Podcast.Autopilot RecruitingAutopilot Recruiting helps small business owners solve staffing challenges by taking the stress out of hiring. Their dedicated recruiters work on your behalf every business day, optimizing your applicant tracking system, posting job listings, and sourcing candidates through social media and local communities.https://www.autopilotrecruiting.comMention Above The Business Podcast when you reach out.Direct ClicksDirect Clicks is built by business owners, for business owners. They specialize in custom marketing solutions that drive real results. From paid search campaigns to SEO and social media management, they provide comprehensive digital marketing support to help your business grow.Exclusive offer for listeners:https://directclicksinc.com/abovethebusinessGet a free marketing campaign audit and actionable recommendations.About Above The BusinessAbove The Business is hosted by Bradley Hamner, founder of BlueprintOS, and focuses on helping small business owners transition from Rainmaker to Architect by building systems, teams, and operations that scale.
If your message is predictable, your message is invisible.If your advertising is predictable, your advertising is invisible.When something never changes, we quit paying attention to it.But we always pay attention to things that are new, surprising, and different.What qre you doing for your customers that is new, surprising, and different?Talk about those things in your advertising.Most business owners are fearful of making a mistake.But you cannot do things that are new, surprising, and differentunless you are willing to take a chance.If you never make mistakes, you'e not taking enough chances.Take a chance.Offer your clients a product, a service, a benefit, or a guarantee that surprises and delights them.The first step is to decide how you will surprise and delight your customers.The second step requires energy and activities.Energy and Activities.Energy and Activities.Energy to Energize.Activities to Organize.Let's review what we have learned.ONE: Predictability is Invisibility.TWO: You will delight your customers with something that is new, surprising, and different.THREE: Business growth is fueled by energy and activities.Decide what you will do that is new.And then do it.– Roy H. WilliamsStarting with a single strand of pearls that he purchased for his girlfriend, Jeremy Shepherd has become one of America's most successful sellers of pearls and pearl jewelry. Intrigued by the pearl business, he became rich in pearls of wisdom as he accumulated a treasure trove of entrepreneurial insights through his successes and his mistakes.Roving reporter Rotbart credits Jeremy with recognizing a business opportunity and then having the determination to transform himself into one of the industry's leading experts. If you're looking for profit-making advice that has real luster, Jeremy's insights glow with it.Pearls of wisdom are free today – and on the way – at MondayMorningRadio.com
In this hour, fill-in host Donny "Football" Chedrick reacts to the Pirates' series loss to the Colorado Rockies from over the weekend. Is this team becoming too predictable? June 22, 2026, 6:00 Hour
Predictable, Daniel 2, with Pete Chiofalo by Keller, Texas
In this episode of ‘Predictable w/ Stu,' Stu Burguiere details one wild and profitable night of investing in Hakeem Jeffries and his NY-08 Democratic Nominee market and responds to some viewer insight regarding the rollercoaster of an evening. Then, Predictable Media's Brenton Evans joins to preview the US Open and highlight some of the most potentially profitable markets surrounding the tournament. And an update on Stu's investments over peace in Iran. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On this episode of ‘Predictable w/ Stu,' Stu Burguiere breaks down the results of yesterday's primary elections in Georgia, Oklahoma and Alabama and gives a comprehensive rundown of his positions and how he did. Plus, a look at some of our audience members biggest wins and losses from last night's adventures. And Stu looks at Steven Spielberg's new movie ‘Disclosure Day,' and breaks down some extraterrestrial-related markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
What if the answer isn't creating more content? In today's episode, I sit down with Tianna Mamalick, marketing strategist, founder of SMB Marketing School, and an expert in helping service-based businesses generate predictable leads through paid ads and SEO. This conversation is a refreshing reality check for entrepreneurs who feel exhausted trying to keep up with social media, constantly creating content, and chasing visibility. We dive into the idea that many of our goals, to-do lists, and even business strategies may be rooted in old conditioning rather than true alignment. Tianna shares why more content isn't always the answer, how to build a business that doesn't depend on you being online 24/7, and what it really takes to create sustainable growth in different seasons of life and business. If you've ever wondered whether there's a better way to grow your business without burnout, this episode is for you. In This Episode We Discuss: Why so many goals and business habits may be trauma responses The hidden cost of being "always on" How social media became the default marketing strategy for most entrepreneurs Creating predictable lead generation outside of social media Why paid ads and SEO can create long-term business stability The importance of preparing your business for seasons when you can't be as visible Why saying one thing 100 times is more effective than saying 100 different things The difference between being busy and actually moving the needle How to build a business that supports your life, not consumes it Connect with Tianna: Instagram: @smbmarketingschool Connect with Felicia: Instagram: @feliciaromero Enjoying the Podcast? One of the best ways to support the show is by leaving a rating and review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. Your reviews help us reach more people and continue bringing you conversations that inspire, challenge, and empower. If this episode resonated with you, take a screenshot, share it to your Instagram Stories, and tag both of us so we can connect with you and hear your biggest takeaway. Thank you for being here and for being part of this community.
What if your major donors wanted to commit longer?Most of them already do. They just haven't been asked.In this week's episode of The Intentional Fundraiser podcast, I'm talking about one of the most underused strategies in major gifts: recurring and multi-year commitments.Not because donors resist them.Because most fundraisers don't have the language to invite them in.Here's what we cover:Why predictable revenue lets your organization plan in mission mode, not survival modeThe exact invitation language I've seen open multi-year conversations naturallyA stewardship framework called Renewal Cues and Milestone MomentsHow automation and AI can help you make sure no touchpoint gets missedAnd your challenge: draft one multi-year invitation this week. Email, letter, or phone script. Just get it on paper.Here's a question to sit with: What would change in your organization if you knew, right now, what your major gift revenue would look like for the next three years?That's what these conversations can make possible.Listen to the episode and share it with someone on your team who handles major donor relationships.More from Tammy ZonkerAuthor of Calling All HeroesFounder of Fundraising TransformedPresident of Modern Institute for Charitable GivingLearn more about the Excellence in Major Gift Fundraising SeminarSubscribe to Tammy Zonker's Scaling Major Gifts newsletterConnect with Tammy Zonker on LinkedInResources: Show notes, links, and resources mentioned in this episode.Review my show: Please review my show. After you click the link, scroll to the bottom, first tap to rate with five stars, and then tap “Write a Review.” Then, let me know what you liked most about this particular episode or how you find my podcast helpful, valuable, insightful, or inspiring in some way.Privacy Policy: See Privacy Policy at https://www.fundraisingtransformed.com/policies
On this episode of ‘Predictable w/ Stu,' Stu Burguiere looks at the latest in the emerging peace deal between the United States and Iran and gives some vital advice on the one important thing to keep in mind before investing in any related markets. Then, Stu previews tomorrow's primary elections in Oklahoma, Georgia and Alabama and explains the importance of learning about these races as early as possible. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On this episode of ‘Predictable w/ Stu,' Stu Burguiere shows how smart investing in every moment of a sports event like the NBA Finals can yield major investment opportunities. Then, a preview of this coming Tuesday's primary elections in Oklahoma, Alabama and Georgia. And, Stu runs through some of his recent, more unusual investments in the inaugural edition of ‘Predictable Postmortem.' Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On this episode of ‘Predictable with Stu,' Stu Burgiere reacts LIVE to the incoming primary election results in South Carolina, Maine, North Dakota and Nevada. Plus, Stu's latest commentary on the slowly-unfolding primary election results reveal out of California. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On this episode of ‘Predictable w/ Stu,' Stu Burguiere breaks down the implications of Graham Platner's election victory in Maine and highlights his plays on the race. Plus, a comprehensive look at Stu's investments in all of Tuesday's primary races. And, Stu answers viewer's questions from last night's livestreams. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Systems Behind a $2.2M Maternity Leave Natalie Ellis took three months completely offline after her second daughter was born. No Slack, no email, no podcast. Her team did $2.2 million in revenue during that window with zero ad spend. Natalie is the founder and CEO of BossBabe, she's crossed $40 million in lifetime revenue on under $3 million in total ad spend, and her brand-new book The Freedom-Based Business Method is out now. In this conversation, Natalie walks me through the exact systems she built so her business could run on its own. She also gets honest about the moment she realized her million-dollar business had quietly become a job she couldn't quit. We dig into the alignment audit she has every founder run before touching a funnel, the "one number" that makes revenue predictable, and why she's never been willing to burn out her audience for a sales spike. Natalie pulls back the curtain on all of it, including the Walmart licensing deal she rarely talks about and the exact rhythm her team runs when she's nowhere near her laptop. RESOURCES MENTIONED IN THIS EPISODE: Revenue highs are exciting. The unexplainable dips that follow? Not so much. If you are a female founder making six figures or more annually, the problem isn't that things aren't working. It's that you can't yet see what is. And you can't repeat what you can't see. My free live training, The Revenue Consistency Formula, fixes that. Click here to join. High-six-figures is a ceiling for a reason. What got you here stops working here. If you're a female founder earning $500K or more annually and you've already tried it all, what you need next isn't another strategy. It's someone inside your business showing you the way forward. The Milly Club is my private six-month coaching program for women growing toward their first million. Apply here. The Freedom-Based Business Method by Natalie Ellis BossBabe Natalie Ellis on Instagram HERE ARE THE 3 KEY TAKEAWAYS FROM THIS EPISODE: 1️⃣ Hitting a million doesn't mean the business is built — Natalie made her first million with one $29 membership and a single webinar funnel, then made the mistake most successful founders make. She stopped doubling down on what was working and chased new offers and channels instead. Crossing a revenue milestone is the signal to deepen what's working, not the permission to take your attention off it. 2️⃣ Predictable revenue starts with knowing your one number — Every business has one metric that drives the rest. Webinar sign-ups, sales calls booked, email opt-ins. Once you know yours and build your daily activities around it, revenue stops spiking and lulling. Most founders are running 40 things at once and tracking none, which is why their months look so different from each other. 3️⃣ Your audience's trust is the asset, and you can't get it back once you burn it — Natalie has crossed $40 million in revenue on under $3 million in ad spend because she's protected that trust at every turn. She's said no to sponsorships and promo pushes that would've spiked short-term cash. Founders who treat their audience like a one-time spike machine end up rebuilding their list every year and wondering why nothing converts.MORE FROM ME Follow me on Instagram @amyporterfield SUBSCRIBE & REVIEW If you loved this episode, please take a moment to subscribe and leave a review on Apple Podcasts! Your support helps us reach more entrepreneurs who need these insights.
After Giants implode in 9th inning, the same usual situations continue to arise: SF has no proven closer & it costs the team a game. Fans sound off after tough loss: is this on Keaton Winn, Tony Vitello, or team structure?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Investor Fuel Real Estate Investing Mastermind - Audio Version
In this episode, Cheryl Yetka of Quiet River Real Estate Investments shares her approach to building stable, long-term wealth through workforce housing. With a background spanning hospitality, asset management, and multifamily real estate, she emphasizes predictable cash flow, disciplined operations, and investing in essential housing for working professionals. Cheryl highlights the importance of focusing on stability over speculation, building strong teams, and maintaining consistent performance metrics to achieve long-term investment success. Professional Real Estate Investors - How we can help you: Investor Fuel Mastermind: Learn more about the Investor Fuel Mastermind, including 100% deal financing, massive discounts from vendors and sponsors you're already using, our world class community of over 150 members, and SO much more here: http://www.investorfuel.com/apply Investor Machine Marketing Partnership: Are you looking for consistent, high quality lead generation? Investor Machine is America's #1 lead generation service professional investors. Investor Machine provides true 'white glove' support to help you build the perfect marketing plan, then we'll execute it for you…talking and working together on an ongoing basis to help you hit YOUR goals! Learn more here: http://www.investormachine.com Coaching with Mike Hambright: Interested in 1 on 1 coaching with Mike Hambright? Mike coaches entrepreneurs looking to level up, build coaching or service based businesses (Mike runs multiple 7 and 8 figure a year businesses), building a coaching program and more. Learn more here: https://investorfuel.com/coachingwithmike Attend a Vacation/Mastermind Retreat with Mike Hambright: Interested in joining a "mini-mastermind" with Mike and his private clients on an upcoming "Retreat", either at locations like Cabo San Lucas, Napa, Park City ski trip, Yellowstone, or even at Mike's East Texas "Big H Ranch"? Learn more here: http://www.investorfuel.com/retreat Property Insurance: Join the largest and most investor friendly property insurance provider in 2 minutes. Free to join, and insure all your flips and rentals within minutes! There is NO easier insurance provider on the planet (turn insurance on or off in 1 minute without talking to anyone!), and there's no 15-30% agent mark up through this platform! Register here: https://myinvestorinsurance.com/ New Real Estate Investors - How we can work together: Investor Fuel Club (Coaching and Deal Partner Community): Looking to kickstart your real estate investing career? Join our one of a kind Coaching Community, Investor Fuel Club, where you'll get trained by some of the best real estate investors in America, and partner with them on deals! You don't need $ for deals…we'll partner with you and hold your hand along the way! Learn More here: http://www.investorfuel.com/club —--------------------
On this episode of ‘Predictable w/ Stu,' Stu Burguiere checks in on the latest with California's absolute snail's pace of an election results tally and previews tomorrow's primary elections in Maine, South Carolina, North Dakota and Nevada to try and identify potential upsets that could yield major value. Plus, Stu answers some of the audience's most burning questions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Sharon Vornholt is a seasoned real estate investor, marketing strategist, and nationally recognized probate investing expert with nearly three decades of experience in the industry. Since 1998, she has built a reputation for helping investors and agents generate consistent, high-quality leads—particularly through probate and direct mail marketing strategies. As a real estate and business coach, Sharon specializes in teaching entrepreneurs how to create effective marketing plans, attract motivated sellers, and stand out through powerful personal branding. She is the creator of the Louisville Gals Real Estate Blog, where she shares actionable insights, training, and resources for investors at every level. Sharon is also an accomplished author, podcaster, and educator, hosting the popular "Let's Talk Real Estate Investing" podcast. Through her content, coaching, and speaking, she empowers real estate professionals to build scalable, profitable businesses with confidence. During the show we discuss: Why probate investing is a hidden goldmine most investors overlook—and how less competition creates better deals How to consistently generate high-quality leads using probate data and direct mail marketing The exact mindset shift needed to approach probate deals with empathy (and still close profitably) How to build a scalable marketing system that brings in deals month after month Why branding and positioning matter even in real estate investing (and how to stand out) How to turn one niche strategy into a full business model instead of chasing random deals Common mistakes investors make when entering probate—and how to avoid them How Sharon built longevity in the industry by focusing on systems, not just transactions Resources: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sharonvornholt/ https://louisvillegalsrealestateblog.com/
What if raising secure kids has less to do with what you do wrong as a parent — and more to do with teaching them to build the right relationships from the start? My guest this week is Dr. Amir Levine, molecular neuroscientist, child psychiatrist, and associate professor of clinical psychiatry at Columbia University. His new book, Secure: The Revolutionary Guide to Creating a Secure Life, offers a unified theory of relationships with surprisingly concrete tools for building security at any age. This episode shares specific, teachable tools for helping kids of all ages — including neurodivergent kids — move through the world with greater security. What you'll learn: Why less than 10% of adult attachment style can be explained by parenting and why that's good news if you've been worrying you've already "done something wrong" What CARP means (Consistent, Available, Responsive, Reliable, Predictable) and why teaching kids to look for CARP friends can shape their relationship patterns for life Why our brains chase drama and ignore the secure people already around us and how to redirect toward a "secure village" How small, everyday micro-interactions create structural changes in the brain and why each one is an opportunity This episode is brought to you buy: BetterHelp: You don't have to say yes to everything this summer. Find support in therapy. Sign up and get 10% off at BetterHelp.com/humans. Uresta: Learn more about this amazing breakthrough, trusted by over 50 thousand women at Uresta.com Tumble: Machine Washable Rugs, Made Better. For a limited time only, our listeners get 10% off + free shipping at Tumbleliving.com/HUMANS Great Wolf Lodge: Bring your pack together at a Lodge near you. Learn more at GreatWolf.com
On this episode of ‘Predictable w/ Stu,' Stu Burguiere takes a look at the latest on the California vote count and previews next Tuesday's primary elections in Maine, South Carolina, Nevada and North Dakota to get you in on the ground floor of finding the best value in your prediction market investments. Then, friend-of-the-show Dan Andros joins for a round of the brand new segment: ‘Predict the Prediction!' Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
On this episode of ‘Predictable w/ Stu,' Stu Burguiere reacts to the primary election results in California and several other states to try and find the value in the prediction markets as the nation begins to lock in its candidates for November's midterms. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
We just hit a massive 1000% one-day profit position in the political prediction markets! In this episode of Predictable with Stu Burguiere, we break down how the Ken Paxton race in Texas created an incredible value opportunity and how we capitalized on it. If you are looking to understand the mechanics behind political betting, election forecast modeling, and finding massive inefficiencies in the markets, this deep dive is for you. We look at the data, the shifting political landscape in Texas, and where the next big market opportunities are hiding. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Megyn Kelly begins the show saying goodbye to Stephen Colbert as his Late Show is finally canceled on CBS, Jimmy Kimmel's pathetic support for Colbert, Bruce Springsteen and Robert De Niro blaming Trump and sounding small, and more. Then Stu Burguiere, host of "Predictable with Stu," joins to discuss what's really behind the cancelation of Stephen Colbert's show, Don Lemon's insane Substack trying to rewrite history and make the firing about himself, Lemon trying to blame "white men" for ever problem in his career, Jimmy Fallon's bizarre anti-Trump attempt to get political, Colbert's disgusting and unfunny pro-vaccine sketch during COVID, the growing online movement around Spencer Pratt, whether Trump supporting Pratt but not endorsing him will help his run, President Trump's funny comments about going to his son's wedding, his hilarious asides about muscular and attractive men, a comedian making those comments go viral with his own spin on them, the cultural backlash over "Elliot" Page's role in The Odyssey, Trump's declining poll numbers but the unpopularity of prominent Democratic positions also, what it could all mean for Republican chances in the midterms, the tragic stabbing death of Henry Nowak in England, why identity politics influenced how authorities handled the situation, and more. More from Burguiere- https://predictable.substack.com/ Birch Gold: Text MK to 989898 for a free info kit and to see if you qualify for up to $10,000 back through May 29. Pure Talk: Dial #250 and say keyword MEGYN KELLY to switch to Pure Talk and get unlimited data for just $34.99 a month! Ethos Life Insurance: Protect your family with life insurance from Ethos. Get up to $3 million in coverage in as little as 10 minutes at: https://ethos.com/MK Relief Factor: Break up with pain—Relief Factor targets inflammation so you can move better and feel better; try the 3-Week QuickStart for just $19.95 at https://ReliefFactor.com or call 800-4-RELIEF. Follow The Megyn Kelly Show on all social platforms: YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/MegynKelly Twitter: http://Twitter.com/MegynKellyShow Instagram: http://Instagram.com/MegynKellyShow Facebook: http://Facebook.com/MegynKellyShow Find out more information at:https://www.devilmaycaremedia.com/megynkellyshow Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.