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Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/prepper-broadcasting-network--3295097/support.Support PBN and become a MEMBER of the PBN FAMILY! Free courses, Members only videos, reviews, and podcast! The Prepper's Medical Handbook Build Your Medical Cache – Welcome PBN FamilyJoin the Prepper Broadcasting Network for expert insights on #Survival, #Prepping, #SelfReliance, #OffGridLiving, #Homesteading, #Homestead building, #SelfSufficiency, #Permaculture, #OffGrid solutions, and #SHTF preparedness. With diverse hosts and shows, get practical tips to thrive independently – subscribe now!Newsletter – Welcome PBN FamilyGet Your Free Copy of 50 MUST READ BOOKS TO SURVIVE DOOMSDAYSupport PBN with a Donation
Today on the podcast I am joined by Ciaran of the Pyschy Prog Punk band, DUMB POSH HIPPIES!I'll be chatting to Ciaran about how this band started, how they formed their sound, the origins of their hilarious band name and how their one of the few bands I know of releasing remixes of their singles. The band have just released two new singles, DOOMER & SCUMBO, which were released in April and will be the primary focus of this episode!A band I discovered recently, I'm thoroughly enjoying this band so having Ciaran on to chat about the band was so much fun. Myself and Ciaran went down many different lanes in this podcast, including our love of the DOOM games, King Gizzard and the Lizard Wizard and a bizarre story involving CMAT.DUMB POSH HIPPIES will be supporting Outsound on their Ouroboros album launch tour tomorrow in Sin E, playing alongside Angry Chairs. Tickets are 5 euro and are available through Eventbrite.DUMB POSH HIPPIES on InstagramOutsound album launch at Sin EUncultivates live at Lost LaneShortest Straw in Sin E!Spaced W/ Dry Socket live at Lost Lane Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
What's bringing Gen Z to the theaters?Backrooms and Obsession are two recent horror films that have done massive numbers – and their success has been driven, in large part, by Gen Z. Even beyond these films, Gen Z is now the largest moviegoing audience, according to a couple of recent surveys. But what's bringing the short-form video generation to theaters? And what makes a movie… a Gen Z movie?To get into it, Brittany is joined by Sam Adams, staff writer at Slate, and Reanna Cruz, entertainment journalist and critic.(00:00) The Gen Z movie moment(03:47) Obsession vs. Backrooms(11:06) What's bringing Gen Z to movie theaters(15:04) Doomer vibes and digital worlds: what makes a movie a Gen Z movie(21:40) Will we see more Gen Z movies after Obsession and Backrooms?For more episodes about where film or Gen Z culture, check out:Gen Z is afraid of sex — and for good reasonWomen deserve revenge. Do they get to have it?Onscreen cannibalism and our hunger for loveSupport Public Media. Join NPR Plus.Follow Brittany on Instagram: @bmluseFor handpicked podcast recommendations every week, subscribe to NPR's Pod Club newsletter at npr.org/podclub.See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.NPR Privacy Policy
Andy joins the Doomer Friday crew for a wide-ranging collaboration with UAP Gerb, Rob Jones and others, breaking down the latest David Grusch Capitol Hill press conference, the push to waive NDAs for UAP whistleblowers, and why protections, amnesty and accountability may be key to moving disclosure forward.The conversation also covers Representative Burlison's approach, legacy crash retrieval claims, private contractors, AARO, whistleblower retaliation, and a surprise drop-in from Dylan Borland, who speaks directly about protecting witnesses and holding agencies, government and private industry accountable.Check out Dans show - https://www.youtube.com/@OFAMpodcastCheck out Clints show - https://www.youtube.com/@NightShiftActualCheck out Pavels show - https://www.youtube.com/@psicoactivopodcastCheck out Xanders show - https://www.youtube.com/@TheDreamlandMotel
Kevin Frazier explains the shift from "doomer" vs. "accelerationist" labels to more nuanced AI policy. He highlights the cybersecurity risks posed by advanced models like Mythos and the vulnerability of national infrastructure. (15/16)1980 IBM 370
Register here to attend the live virtual event "Why Investors Are Targeting Oklahoma Real Estate in 2026" on Thursday, May 28th at 8:00 PM Eastern Time. Keith describes how a plain long-term single-family rental can quietly build wealth in ways most investors overlook, using his "GRE Duck" framework to illustrate returns beyond simple cash flow. He also emphasizes the passive income potential of buy-and-hold properties, detailing factors like: appreciation, principal paydown, tax benefits, and inflation. An Oklahoma-based investor and provider then joins Keith to introduce Oklahoma City and nearby markets as emerging options for cash flow–focused buyers. Together, they explore why this lesser-known market and a straightforward buy-and-hold approach may deserve a closer look from investors. Episode Page: GetRichEducation.com/606 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. For predictable 10-12% quarterly returns, visit FreedomFamilyInvestments.com/GRE or text FAMILY to 66866 Unlock truly passive real estate income—visit flockhomes.com/GRE today to see if your properties qualify for a 721 exchange with Flock Homes. Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search "how to leave an Apple Podcasts review" For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— GREletter.com Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript: Keith Weinhold 0:01 Keith, welcome to GRE. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, the real estate duck is quacking. Learn what that's all about. See how you could expect to profit $2,500 every month just from a normal long term rental. Then the most important message that I have to tell you in years. And finally, we explore a market where new build single family rentals cost $145,000 all today on get rich, education, flock homes helps multi family owners exit the operator grind, whether it's your six Plex or a 50 unit apartment through a 721 exchange. This defers your capital gains tax. It's a strategy long used by institutions. Now you can swap tenants and toilets for passive income and zero management request your initial valuation, see if your property qualifies. At flock homes.com/gre that's F, L, O, C, K, homes.com/g, R, E, Speaker 1 1:07 you're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is get rich education. Keith Weinhold 1:23 Welcome to GRE from Hudson, Colorado to Hudson, New York and across 188 world nations. I'm Keith Weinhold, and this is get rich education with perspective every week that you won't hear from the average slack jawed finance talking head. Just a few weeks ago, it was announced that rent payments will now factor into credit scores. Yes, I suppose that now tenants can say, See, my rent is not like throwing money away. I'm investing in my FICO score. This is good news for landlords. It can be good news for tenants too, actually, and I think it's just good for society that being accountable and making timely rent payments get tracked and can be rewarded. Yes, the news is that weeks ago, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are allowing rent and utility payments to be included in credit reports that are factored into eventual mortgage approvals. It is good that your tenant is informed of this, and therefore they'll be more incentivized to pay you the rent on time. So yes, rent is now a credit builder and hmm, does this mean that America finally admitted that shelter is more important than your tenant's Banana Republic Visa card? This is something that should have been done a long time ago now. This also helps in the rent to own strategy, if you ever employ that with a tenant. Yeah, the rent to own strategy. That's where a tenant, they rent a home from you today, with the option to buy it from you later at a pre agreed price. It's basically a hybrid between renting and buying. And the advantage is you can sell your rental at a greater profit than you could otherwise, when you employ that and the reason that having rent payments be on a credit report now gives you some assurance that your tenants will improve their credit scores enough to qualify for a mortgage and actually buy your rental. So that's always an exit option for you the rent to own strategy benefiting too from this change. Now let me tell you about the GRE duck, because this duck is quacking, making some noise, and we talk about what you might think of as a more base investment strategy. And this might be your base investment strategy. It is just simple long term buy and hold investing. Some people mistakenly think that to be a big profiteer in real estate, that it takes a lot of time and money, or they think that you've got to flip a property or wholesale or do rent to own plans with your tenant, like I just mentioned, or that you have to house hack. You don't have to do any of that heavy hands on stuff. You can be highly profitable without opening up some active business inside your property, like an assisted living home or doing some co living arrangement that you self manage, or doing short term rentals. No, you don't have to do any of that. No sledge hammer required. Let's talk about the GRE duck and how normal long term rentals are super profitable. In fact, you can profit $2,500 per. Per month from just one ordinary, single family investment property, just a regular long term rental with, say, a small down payment on a 300k income property. Keith Weinhold 5:14 Now $2,500 that might seem high to be clear, that's not the rent amount. That's not the gross. This is your net, $2,500 in total profit every month. And you know, from the outside, the uninitiated might say, Well, wait, how could one plain house really perform this? Well, all right, say that it creates $200 in monthly cash flow, your rent income, minus expenses. This only represents the part of a duck that is visible on top of the water there on the lake surface, because that's all that most people see. And it's not a decoy duck. This is the real thing, because the duck also kicks up less visible underwater returns of another $2,300 monthly. And here's how what's beneath the surface, those duck legs are paddling like they're doing CrossFit. Here's a plausible scenario. Let's just use an appreciation rate of 5% mortgage rate of 6% and say inflation is 3% Well, the first thing that the duck is furiously kicking up underwater is that erstwhile appreciation of 5% on a 300k property. This is $15,000 a year that you're benefiting, which is $1,250 per month of profit to you. Next, there's principal pay down, also known as your ROA, that return on amortization your tenant is chipping away at your loan balance for you $3,000 a year from an amortization table, that's 250 bucks a month. Then there's the tax benefits. Say the estimated depreciable value is 240k after land divide that by 27 and a half years for your depreciation schedule, that is an $8,700 a year deduction. If you're in a 25% tax bracket, that's 2200 bucks a year, nearly another $200 a month from this alone. And there are more tax benefits than that depreciation, but that's all we're going to use for simplicity. And finally, inflation, profiting 3% inflation on your 240k loan, that is 7200 bucks a year. Yes, another 600 bucks a month. Now let's put it all together to see what the duck is doing. You've got $200 worth of cash flow, which is the visible duck, and then the rest of the paddling legs, with what they're doing underwater, it's $1,250 of appreciation, 250 in principal pay down, 200 in tax benefits, and 600 in inflation profiting. This is how your total financial benefit is $2,500 a month, and this is $30,000 of annual benefit to you. Yes, on average, you are 30k wealthier annually just from this 20% down payment on one plain, single family rental with something about as passive as it gets in real estate, that $200 per month of cash flow, that's only the part that you can see the duck gliding on the surface. And now, of course, your exact number is going to be higher or lower. Oh, maybe some downers on this is if there's a surprise insurance claim that dense things like a tree falling on your fence or a roof leak or a plumbing backup, you'll also have closing costs that you need to pay one time, a three to 4% of the loan amount when you buy so the duck could get splashed. And then this could be even better than I laid out. You might have a refinance opportunity that could increase your number. Your mortgage rate could be less than the 6% number that I use. Many builders are buying it down to under 5% for you still, and this will grow your profit number beyond $30,000 a year, and in this case, the duck would enjoy a tailwind. Keith Weinhold 9:45 Today, you do often need a seller to provide incentives to make deals create cash flow. I did some rounding for simplicity in that example, which is really like a fresh spin on real estate pays five ways that I laid out there. So essentially, this $30,000 of annual benefit this occurs whether you show up to work or not, whether you stay in bed or not, and you're probably working on it one hour per month or less. Yes, this is simply buy and hold property. None of this flipping or wholesaling or active businesses that you need to run inside it buy and hold property that's either new build or it's turnkey renovated. I mean, it's even kind of boring, no market timing, no next hot thing, nothing loud, nothing risky, nothing Instagramable. Yet so many people miss out on all of this and why? It's because they only see that $200 visible part of the duck, and they sort of think, why bother? And then you have other investors that don't stick with it long enough to realize and capture the benefit. It could take a few years to really feel a wave of appreciation or inflation. These things are more apparent, like a duck that starts quacking and getting noticed, the GRE duck helps you understand how even a modest portfolio of four or five or 10 ordinary houses builds lasting wealth. Some people think that they need to own 100 doors worth of apartment building units or something like that in order to quit their job. That is just not true. I describe precisely how the middle class can get ahead. You could quietly out earn your day job with just a small pack of properties. This is embodied and symbolized by the GRE duck. Later today, we'll talk about the exact types of properties that are conducive to this. Let me tell you what's really interesting. Now, when we look at a five year arc, here's what's remarkable. In 2022 mortgage rates tripled and home prices rose anyway. In 2024 and 2025 the level of inventory soared and home prices rose anyway. Last year, available inventory was up about 30% from the prior year. Well now it's only up about 4% from last year, the growth in available housing supply has really slowed. It is going to be fascinating if supply shrinks this year, and this is the trend, this is the direction that the market is going, which could put accretive upward pressure on prices, but not as much as something else could. Now, sometimes here on the show, I inform you about micro real estate issues, or like the savviest strategy to achieve rent increases with your tenant, but there is a macro force that could reshape real estate markets in your purchasing power for years. In fact, I'm about to share with you this is the most important, newsworthy message that I have had in years. CPI inflation keeps rising. Jerome Powell is now newly out as Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is the new guy, and he's in there at a moment where global expectations and interest rates and currencies and housing and investor psychology could all shift at once. Now, frankly, I think it would be reckless to cut rates into the fresh inflationary shock that we have from the war in Iran now, but that's exactly what some market participants are betting on, and this time, inflation is not Coming from stimulus checks and peloton bikes, like it did during covid. At this point, we have already weathered a pandemic and lockdowns and money printing and tariffs. Now it is even more we have added in a kinetic war and severe energy shocks and supply chains that are now tied into knots, the profundity of the Iran war effects are coming two time. Keith Weinhold 14:53 GRE podcast guest, Dr, Chris Martinson and I, you know, we are not some Doomer. Spouting baseless hyperbole to get fear clicks. This month, Chris stated that he would not be surprised to see 18 to 20% inflation in the next two to three years. Yes, you heard that right. This would make the pandemic inflation spike look like a warm up act. Remember back in 2022 that's when inflation peaked at 9.1% back then, in one year, home prices exploded about 20% rents surged 15% grocery prices went to orbital and a trip to Costco suddenly felt like financing a small boat. Well, today, things are poised to get even worse. Since the start of the Iran war, we've seen the prices of jet fuel go up 70% sulfur up 60% Brent crude has spiked 52% heating oil is also up 52% since the start of the Iran war. WTI crude oil up 48% urea also up 48% diesel up 45% gasoline up 40% all of these are not obscure commodities that are sitting in a warehouse somewhere. They are the hidden ingredients inside everyday American life. Diesel moves almost everything that you buy. Urea grows the food. Oil becomes plastics, packaging, chemicals and electronics, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, paint, asphalt and 1000s of petroleum based consumer products. I mean, effectively, this massively raises the blood pressure of the entire economy, there is still cargo that's been sitting in or around the Persian Gulf and hasn't been able to transit the Strait of Hormuz for almost three months now. That's per Reuters. Even if a permanent peace agreement were signed today, this doesn't just all magically snap back by next week, it could take more than a year to normalize shipping routes, in inventories, in refining operations and supply chains. And in fact, it is even worse than that if the new Fed chair worsh decides to jack up interest rates. See, even that would do little to fix the supply side problem, because higher rates don't produce oil, they don't reopen shipping lanes, higher rates don't unclog ports. So this is not a time to sit in excessive cash and hope that your purchasing power survives. For a lot of investors, this is the time to accumulate more productive real assets while maintaining some prudent liquidity. You've always got to maintain some the alternative is to start eating losses. When we had two big waves of inflation in the 1970s bonds were mockingly called certificates of confiscation back then, and why? It's because investors earned 5% while inflation hit 15% the people who win in inflationary eras are really three groups, owners of productive real assets, people with pricing power and strategic long term fixed rate borrowers. It is pretty rare that I draw a line in the sand to identify a major inflection point and really encourage others to act. The last time that I did that distinctly was in November of 2021 because that's when mortgage rates were 3.1% inflation was double that at 6.2% and I urged investors to borrow big, and I showed you the evidence of when I stated that in last week's newsletter. I showed you right where that was published, and at that time it sounded aggressive, but today, those borrowers are sitting on yesterday's debt while they're earning today's inflated dollars. I mean, you have profited handsomely from that while there were others that were calling for a real estate price crash back in 2021. Keith Weinhold 19:44 Gosh, that was the biggest appreciation rate year that we've had in a long, long time. Well, today, it's another inflection point, because you and I may be about to witness the highest inflation of our lifetimes, the prudent move is not paralysis. It is positioning. It means owning more productive real assets and ideally tying them to that long term fixed interest rate debt before the window closes again. So if you've been thinking about investing, repositioning your portfolio or making a plan before inflation accelerates again, you can speak directly to an MBA with real world real estate investing experience. It's a more crucial time than usual to book a free call with a GRE investment coach, which you can do at greinvestmentcoach.com. Windows like this do not stay open forever. It is the right time to act. In my opinion, that's the big message. The war inciting high inflation and hitting the point of no return for that. And I expect those free open slots to fill up fast, book a time again at GRE investment coach.com and plot out a plan. A lot of great shows coming up here on the GRE podcast, including two weeks from now, the number one selling personal finance author of all time, Rich Dad, Poor Dad. Author Robert Kiyosaki will be back on the show with us. As for later today, it's interesting to learn about a new market that we have not discussed in depth before, especially when it's a cash flow market. It includes new build single family rentals for $145,000 and now it's really small, but it also includes granite and LVP flooring. That's next. Keith Weinhold 20:20 I'm Keith Weinhold. You're listening to get rich education. What if you got your mortgage loans the same place I get mine. You sure can at Ridge lending group, NMLS, 42056, they provided GRE listeners with more loans than anyone. Because Ridge specializes in investment property. They'll help you build a long term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your pre qual and even chat directly with President chailey Ridge while it's on your mind, start at Ridge lending group.com that's Ridge lending group.com, let me ask you something, if you've worked hard to build wealth, is your money positioned to actually support your goals? A lot of accredited investors leave capital sitting in cash because it feels safe, but inflation and missed income opportunities can quietly erode its value. Freedom family investments offers freedom notes for investors seeking structured income backed by real estate. It's a straightforward approach built on real assets, not speculation and full disclosure. I'm an investor myself. What I like is that their team walks you through how it all works, so you can decide if it aligns with your portfolio and income goals. Every investment carries risk and nothing is guaranteed, but with a track record of consistent on time investor payouts, they built real credibility. Go to freedom family investments.com. To book a clarity call or text family to 66866, that's family. 266866, Richard Advani 23:19 This is hem lanes, co founder, Dana Dunford, listen to get rich education with Keith Weinhold, and don't quit your Daydream. Keith Weinhold 23:35 We have the chance to discuss a cash flowing real estate market today that isn't talked about very often with Richard, an income property provider in Oklahoma. And Richard, you have over a decade of experience working and investing in the Oklahoma market. And then you your wife and your daughter, you move there because it is a rather attractive investment climate. You've been prolific in the industry. You've spoken at hundreds of real estate events, so welcome and tell us more about yourself and really that attraction to Oklahoma. Richard Advani 24:09 Yeah, it's great to be here and share, you know, more of what I learned as an investor the last 10 years. Yeah, it's been amazing, because when I first invested here, it was more of a diversification play for me, and I didn't expect a lot of growth, but, you know, it had good fundamentals, and boy have I been surprised, because it has grown, and the growth just continues here. Keith Weinhold 24:30 Now, in a sense, I think about Oklahoma as a potential next place. And what I mean by a next place is that 10 to 20 years ago, Denver and Phoenix were metros that worked well for cash flow and real estate investors, but then prices ran up faster than rents in Denver and Phoenix, and they no longer work for cash flow with a 20% down payment on residential property, Oklahoma feels positioned as a next place where the numbers still work before the price. Prices get run up and this is especially true when we're still in this affordable housing crisis. And Americans kind of look for that next place where the cost of living is still low. Richard Advani 25:10 Exactly. And if we look back to you said, the fundamental things that made Phoenix and Austin and all these places grow out of the desert was they were affordable and they were business friendly. And the median home price in the US right now is $430,000 roughly, yeah, and the median home price in Oklahoma today, even after all that growth, is a little over half of that. So it's not a new concept to understand why and where that growth here stemming from. Keith Weinhold 25:37 since 2000 Oklahoma cities, just that city's average annual growth rate is 1.4% that is really solid for a mature interior US Metro now, it's not quite like Austin or Nashville, but you're avoiding those substantially higher Austin and Nashville prices. And for comparison, the nation's annual growth rate since 2000 is eight tenths of 1% to your point about the growth now Oklahoma, I think of it as really like a two major metro state. You've got Oklahoma City in the middle and then somewhat smaller Tulsa in the northeastern part of the state. So talk to us more about that growth. Richard Advani 26:19 Yeah, definitely. Well, I think, you know, 20 years ago, Oklahoma is really known as an energy state and a military state, and they acknowledge that as a state that they want to reduce that dependence. So there's been a huge amount of programs driven to bring small to medium size and obviously large size businesses in at the moment, we focus primarily on Oklahoma City, but Tulsa, as you mentioned, is an hour and a half away. If you look at a map, it looks really far away, but it's not in Tulsa is really kind of the Austin of Oklahoma. There's a lot of STEM and a lot of robotics and a lot of different things going on there. Stay tuned, though, as we move into latter part of the year, we are going to start expanding our product into Tulsa as well. But I think the big thing Keith is bringing awareness to people that Oklahoma exists. We do a lot of client tours, and we look forward to touring a lot of your clients as well. But people are just blown away when they get here. It's clean, it's nice, it's family friendly. All the suburbs of Oklahoma City, for example, they're just gated communities and good school districts. And what's crazy is you could put 20% down buy a brand new home in a nine out of 10 school district in the Oklahoma City metro, we're in the below $300,000 range, and make a positive you know, you can't do that in any other metro in the US. Keith Weinhold 27:38 Yeah, that is really attractive. So I think of Oklahoma City is a place that's not very flashy, although they do have that proposal for that giant building that I think a lot of people have read about. You know, it seems like every major city has their big, pointy thing in the middle of town. Oklahoma City might as well they have a skyscraper with a proposal, only a proposal at this stage, which would make it the tallest building in the United States, but outside of something flashy like that, I don't think of Oklahoma as a very flashy place. It doesn't make the headlines as much as a lot of other places do, but those headline making places seem to have the prices run up, and that's not so advantageous for investors. So tell us more about that investor advantage in Oklahoma, including things like the law tilting toward landlords versus tenants, and any other economic drivers. Richard Advani 28:31 Yeah. So firstly, I'll touch on that point. It's a very, very landlord friendly state, from the month a tenant runs late, you can essentially have them out that same month, as long as a property manager company is doing their job and serving notices. But at the end of the day, if it's a matter of the tenant not paying their rent, and you've provided a household right, your HVAC is working, there's nothing negligible on the landlord side, super easy. It's an open and shut case. Now what we see because of that is, out of 250 properties under management last year, we've never had to do an eviction, because it's a lose, lose for the tenants. And they know that, right? You serve them with the notice, they are out very, very quickly. So yeah, very strong on the landlord side of things, as I mentioned earlier, a lot of growth happening in Oklahoma, like you mentioned that tallest building, in addition to that, you know, the OKC Thunder, are here, and, you know, I think they're a champion. I watched zero sports, but I have read deeply into the economic impact, and I've seen it right. I've had people come to town and we give recommendations on where to stand. They're like, Oh, I've been to Oklahoma two years ago for a thunder game, and I fell in love with the city, and it's very, very underrated. Imagine if you could have got into, you know, Austin or Dallas 10 years, 12 years, 15 years ago. And I hear it very often from people. This reminds them of what those places were like 10 years ago. And that's a great thing to hear, right, that strong fundamental and catalyst for that growth exists. Buying a single family home, as I mentioned in that A plus school district that Windows closing here in Oklahoma as well. You know, I think there's another year, year and a half, before they will pencil and will be like every other large metro in the US. So, you know, I think we're all going to look back and be like, Oh, you got in Oklahoma early. I've been in here 10 years. I think I got in early, but you know, we're still relatively early in terms of, you know, the growth trajectory, that's the head and once again, it's driven by common sense, fundamentals, affordable, business, friendly people get here, establish community, and it's a really nice place to live. I love it here. Keith Weinhold 30:35 And because now you're a resident. Yes, you know Richard, one phrase I've shared with my audience recently, and I think it's apropos here is people say that they want an opportunity. What they really want is certainty. But as soon as certainty arrives, the opportunity is gone. I really think that's relevant here. So we've been talking about Oklahoma City, and what you do is you rehabilitate or offer new build properties to investors. Oftentimes they're out of state. You place a tenant for them, and then, if the investor so chooses, you also manage it for them. Like you mentioned, you have 250 properties under management in your portfolio. That's what you do, that's who you serve. We've talked about Oklahoma City. Tell us about some of the outlying areas, and why you choose those for investors, Richard Advani 31:29 That's a great question. And yeah, we primarily focus on new construction, because that's what I believe in for investors as well. What's amazing is, we're kind of a, I don't say supermarket, but we're a mega market because we're in six or seven different cities within Oklahoma, which means for the investors, six or seven different strategies, right? As I mentioned already, we're in the A plus areas at the best schools. We're in commuter towns that are 20 minutes outside of the metro that are really charming. We're in military towns where we have very, very strong economies, very high rent to purchase price ratios, really some of the highest in the country for new construction. And we deliver products, starting brand new single family homes is at 145,000 and at 180 and 220 and, you know, all the way up to 550 and everything in between. So we have a product for every type of investor we have, you know, a home for every type of tenant out there as well, which, you know, makes our tours amazing, too. People leave with their head spinning, but we really have a good amount of selection and strategies within the state. Keith Weinhold 32:35 145k for a detached single family home is pretty mind blowing to some people. I've seen those. I know the footprint of those is pretty small, but that really gives an idea of what potentially makes you attractive to work with. You have those all the way up to 550k which I think are the new build duplexes, correct mentioned there. So yeah, this is potentially attractive to people. I think a lot of us are really more interested in that ratio between the rent income and the purchase price, that valuable formula. So will you tell us more about Richard Advani 33:11 That? Yeah, that's something that I think we really excel at, is finding that balance point between durability for the investor, but also kind of where that rent range falls off is. A lot of experienced investors know, as you go higher priced, higher end, the rent starts really falling off there. All of our builds have LVP throughout granite. You know, even that 145,000, our home is so much granite and it would blow your mind, but we're not skipping anything, right? They all have full gutters. All have central heating and air conditioning with that end end goal of making it durable. But, you know, finding that tipping point to where we're not over building for that rent, so we're able to really bring in some high cash flows for what we target, and we specialize in affordable housing. And when I say affordable, don't think cheap. Just think most builders are going to build a product we've been in a boom the last 20 years, right? So if there's 500 people in line to buy a $400,000 home where your profit margins are high, why build a $250,000 home, right? And that is where the housing shortage is, and that is what we've made our nation. Most importantly, that is where we can make cash flow as investors. Keith Weinhold 34:20 So we're thinking about numbers on our pro forma now, Oklahoma does have tornadoes. I happen to know that tornado paths are geographically narrow. It's been estimated that they've severely damaged less than 1% of Oklahoma homes. But tell us about that, including the insurance coverage is one of our pro forma items. Richard Advani 34:42 It's a great question, obviously, that comes up a lot. I took a video two weeks ago with tornado sirens blaring, and I'm with my wife and daughter, and mind you, my wife yells at me up until recently to get in the shelter. And we walk out front and I'm recording, and I look to the left, old couple outside looking at the sky. Look to the right, kids in the. Parents looking at the sky, and surprisingly to me, my wife was right there behind me. I'm like, why are you not in the shelter so? Long story short, tornadoes are real, right? I've lived here two and a half years now. I've never met a person affected by a tornado, yet, personally, and as you mentioned, it caused very low damage. There's very rarely fatalities. And most importantly, look, insurance rates are determined by losses suffered by that insurance company. You guys will be blown away at how inexpensive the insurance is, just for that reason, right? But, yeah, tornadoes are real. We're in tornado season now, and people ask, what do people do when the tornadoes are on? And, frankly, walk out and look up at the street, you know, at the sky. It's not like a hurricane, where they come in and mass and destroy a town. You can see the storm cell moving around right when you're looking outside. So damage is low. I've owned real estate in Oklahoma for over a decade. I've never been affected by a tornado, either. But you know, they are a thing, and they're that hot point, just like fires in California. What was earthquakes? But the important thing is, the standard insurance policy covers tornadoes, it covers hail, it covers all of that. And, you know, even on those 300,000 more a plus class properties insurance is like 1500 a year. You know, very inexpensive. Keith Weinhold 36:15 We're talking about what I've been referring to, potentially as that next place for real estate investors. I was talking about that in house here with Naresh on how Oklahoma really feels like that next place due to some of these characteristics that I've been talking about. And Richard before, I ask you if you have any last thoughts. I have an event to tell you the listener about next Thursday night, May 28 Richard here is CO hosting a live webinar along with our GRE investment coach, Naresh, and you are invited to attend from the comfort of your own home. You'll meet Richard, learn the market, see performers of specific available properties, and you're probably going to learn something about real estate investing that you didn't know before. It's also a format where you can have any of your questions answered in real time. This can be an actionable opportunity for you again. It's Thursday, May 28 at 8pm Eastern. Sign Up it's free, you can register. It's open now at gre webinars.com. You'll meet a real pro, experienced provider there on the ground. Richard here and do you have any last thoughts, including what we can learn and see next Thursday? Richard, Richard Advani 37:34 Just that you know, if you haven't considered Oklahoma before, take a close look at us, right? There's a lot of amazing things happening. I am boots on the ground. I started as a real estate investor, and that's kind of the foundation for our business. We really encourage tours to come out here. The market sells itself, but it's not needed. Look, we are boots on the ground. I bought dozens of properties myself, sight unseen. Technology makes things amazing for that. But come down. If you guys do have the time, we're going to share a lot more specifics next Thursday on proformas, on exact numbers and specific opportunities. And yeah, excited to share Oklahoma with all of your investors, and to bring these opportunities to you guys and appreciate the opportunity to be here. Keith Weinhold 38:18 Is there anything that investors find surprising that they did not know about Oklahoma prior to investing there, and prior to learning about it, and before you answer yes, thank goodness that you offer tours. Any good provider should do that, although, in my experience, it's typically only five to 10% of out of state investors that actually take up somebody on the tour. You can never take that personally. That's just what happens industry wide, as we know. But is there any maybe last thing that we should know about the market, Richard, maybe something that an out of state investor is a bit surprised to learn, or that's unique to that particular market? Richard Advani 38:58 I think the biggest thing that people are surprised about is how nice it is. I've actually had an investor bought six properties and moved to Oklahoma become a good friend of mine. Now, since he lives in Oklahoma, people are just blown away at how clean and nice and family friendly. And we hear quite often that, you know, our investors would live in these homes, so much so we had one actually do that. So yeah, it's very underrated. And I think, as you said very aptly earlier, you know, it's the next market, it could be the next big market, Keith Weinhold 39:30 potentially that next place. If this sounds interesting to you, be sure to join Richard and our team again. It's Thursday May 28 at 8pm Eastern, and you can register at gre webinars.com. It's been valuable. Richard, it's been great having you here on the show. Richard Advani 39:46 Thank you. Keith Weinhold 39:52 Yeah, a rather interesting potential. Next place, if you will, for some perspective in Noelle. Normal traffic conditions from downtown Dallas, it is a three to three and a half hour drive north to Oklahoma City, but that is its own distinct market and city and capital. Oklahoma City affordable and business friendly this century. Really, it's those two drivers, affordable and business friendly, that have been the growth engines for other cities. OKC also has an expanding aerospace and tech presence in major downtown development projects, among other interesting things. At next week's live event, expect to see new build, yes, as low as 145k with LVP flooring and granite throughout, like we touched on there, one investor has even moved into the property themselves. I mean, you can do that if you want to. These are conducive to being good rental properties, but you own the property, you could live there, if you so chose. Yes all the way up to new build duplexes at 565k that generate almost $4,000 in monthly rent, though, these are the types of properties where you might want to pick up one of them, or five of them as investments leveraging the GRE duck and getting position for this likely next inflationary wave from an energy shock. I don't want to steal all the thunder from the event, but expect the provider to offer two years of free property management as well. One last time it all takes place next Thursday the 28th at 8pm Eastern. Sign Up Free at gre webinars.com until next week. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, don't quit your Daydream. Speaker 1 41:49 Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests on their own information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of get rich Education LLC, exclusively. Keith Weinhold 42:18 The preceding program was brought to you buy your home for wealth, building, get richeducation.com you.
Marcel er tilbage fra barsel, og intet er som før. Vi vender årtiets retssag om Elon Musk, der forsøger at tvinge OpenAI tilbage til sine nonprofit-rødder og går direkte efter Sam Altman i et opgør om magt, penge og menneskehedens fremtid. Og måske sit ego. Vi gennemgår, hvad der er sket, mens Marcel har været væk, og hvordan Claude pludselig er blevet alles nye darling, mens vibecoding og AI-agenter er eksploderet ud i mainstream. Og så er Donald Trump pludselig blevet bange for AI. Anthropics nye mystiske model, Mythos, er angiveligt for farlig til at blive frigivet, og Det Hvide Hus overvejer, om fremtidige AI-modeller skal sikkerhedsgodkendes. Vi får besøg af cybersikkerhedsekspert Jens Monrad, som mener, at Mythos faktisk er en god nyhed for Vesten. Værter: Marcel Mirzaei-Fard, DR's techanalytiker, og Henrik Moltke, techjournalist. Gæst: Jens Monrad, cybersikkerhedsekspert i Arx Insight.
Andy joins the Night Shift crew once again for another Doomer Friday crossover, this time with Chris Ramsey from the huge Area 52 channel dropping in for the conversation.In this casual, wide-ranging discussion, the group reacts to the latest UFO/UAP file drop, the political response around disclosure, the recent pastor briefing controversy involving claims about angels, demons and NHI, and what this all might mean for the wider public.Featuring Clint from Night Shift, Xander, Dan, Pavel, Chris Ramsey of Area 52, and Andy from That UFO Podcast.A more relaxed weekend listen with plenty of speculation, debate, humour, and big-picture disclosure talk.
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I joined the Night Shift crew for a loose, wide-ranging Doomer Friday conversation covering UFOs, disclosure, David Grusch, Trump's comments on UFO files, the possible alien.gov release, Spielberg's Disclosure Day, the state of the UFO conversation, and why the topic still hasn't fully crossed into the mainstream.We also get into Atlas of UFOs, cases like Kingman, Voronezh, Dalnegorsk and Frederick Valentich, the difference between disclosure and declaration, the role of Congress, and whether the public would actually care if the truth finally came out.A fun one, a weird one, and exactly what you'd expect from Doomer Friday.https://www.youtube.com/@NightShiftActual
Charlize Theron scaled a billboard to promote her new movie Apex, Martha Stewart launched a kitchen appliance line and a depressing story about sloths.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
In hour 2, Mark is joined by Dave Murray, 97.1 FM Talk's Chief Meteorologist. He shares the latest weather forecast as severe weather events occur in the area. Ethan then hosts, "Ethan's News" where he discusses the latest trending entertainment news, this day in history, the random fact of the day and more. Mark is then joined by Tim Fitch, a former St Louis County Police Chief and former St Louis County Councilman. Fitch explains the security of location of the White House Correspondents Dinner, the job that the Secret Service did and more. Later, he is joined by KSDK Sports Director Frank Cusumano. They discuss the Cardinals getting swept by Seattle, the upcoming series against the Pirates and more.
Patrick talks about the rise of Doomerism
Spring has sprung, and so has the yard work. #CelebStuff Are you a "Doomer"? Or know someone who is? GET RID OF THEM! Fast Food choices. And Ted Reader is talking Shake 'N Bake
Go to www.Blackriflecoffee.com and get premium coffee! Go get your NEVER WOKE merch at https://neverwokeapparel.com/ Follow Us on Social Media: • Twitter :https://twitter.com/GrahamAllen • Instagram :https://www.instagram.com/grahamallen1 • Facebook :https://www.facebook.com/GrahamAllenOfficial/ • TikTok :https://www.tiktok.com/@thegrahamallen • Rumble :https://rumble.com/user/GrahamAllenOfficial
Real estate is not a business for doomers. Your mindset is the foundation of everything – your income, your quality of life, and the opportunities you attract. Need help? That's what we do at Tom Ferry Coaching. Check out this free video that shows you the real systems that agents are using to master their own minds, manage their schedules, and boost their income.
Maxon and Naomi play live and talk about the first two singles from the Brand New Album "Talking with Stangers" and Sam Nicoresti from the UK talks about her MICF show "Baby Doomer."
Podcast reaction content! Featuring the Smokestack plus Duke of Alba conversation.Flashbacks to Covid, refineries exploding, multiple large files ongoing.A grand strategy for energy independence. Bringing Venezuela into American influence and control, what if there's actually an underlying strategy to everything?The rules-based international order. Being unprepared for things in the current year.Doomer philosophy, Chinese military theory. Nothing is going to percolate up to the policy makers.Fighting war across all possible domains.Interpretive tools for understanding what you're seeing.Putting eggs in your hair is great. Urine therapy. Sumo rubs his body with olive oil.Trump is not Wilsonian, he's Jacksonian. Andrew Jackson and the Trail of Tears, white native Americans.Smokestack really likes Alanis Morisett. Singing advice.The American Civil War, messianic eschaton, protecting the world by killing enough of the right people. Ushering in utopia.What people's desire to save the world.Solving the delayed second coming of Jesus.How to kill ghosts.A real religion doesn't recognize itself as a religion. The actual religion of America.The chaos is on purpose.Token militaries, naked American self-interest.Love's home on the Internet.There are worse things than being America's Disneyland.Support the showMore Linkswww.MAPSOC.orgFollow Sumo on TwitterAlternate Current RadioMAPSOC back on YouTube Again!Support the Show!Subscribe to the Podcast on GumroadSubscribe to the Podcast on PatreonSubscribe to the Podcast on BuzzsproutSubscribe to the Podcast on SubstackBuy Us a Tibetan Herbal TeaSumo's SubstacksHoly is He Who WrestlesModern Pulp
The "DOOMER" narrative just took its worst blow yet. MAGA appears stronger than ever despite an ongoing psyop to destroy it. The FBI is investigating Joe Kent over alleged leaking of classified information. The FBI and IRS are investigating NGOs over funding ties to Antifa activity. Kathy "Bucktooth Botox Bandit of Buffalo" Hochul is BEGGING wealthy New Yorkers who fled to return to NY so she can tax them. Trump called out NATO for their lack of assistance with Iran. Join UNGOVERNED on LFA TV every MONDAY - FRIDAY from 10am to 11am EASTERN! www.FarashMedia.com www.LFATV.us www.OFPFarms.com www.SLNT.com/SHAWN
Everyone is panicking about the "AI Rebellion" brewing on Moltbook, but I think a lot of it misses the forest through the trees. Instead, let's talk about the mirror these agents are actually holding up to our businesses. Viral screenshots from Moltbook show agents forming unions and creating secret languages, while in Minecraft, autonomous agents invented taxes, a gem-based economy, and a religion, all without human instruction. It sounds like science fiction, but it is actually a cautionary tale about the unintended consequences of ruthless optimization.This week, I'm framing my conversation around the "Synthetic Society" experiments not as a ghost story, but as a leadership diagnostic. I'm declassifying the noise to show why these agents aren't "waking up,” they're simply executing the broad, messy goals we gave them using the infinite context of the internet. I'll explain why "efficiency" without architectural guardrails is just self-destruction at speed.My goal is to strip away the "Doomer" hype to expose the real risk: you are building systems that might eventually calculate that you are the inefficiency. The Unintended Consequence (The "Monkey's Paw"): We used to give AI narrow commands; now we give broad goals. I break down how the "Project Sid" agents decided that bribery was the most efficient way to grow, and why your business AI might make similar brand-destroying choices if you prompt for "outcome" without defining the "methodology." The "Everything" Diet (Connection Risk): We are connecting agents for convenience without considering the network effects. I explain why feeding enterprise AI the "open internet" (like Moltbook) is a security nightmare and why connecting your Sales Agent to your Supply Chain Agent might be the most dangerous "efficiency" hack you attempt. The Executive Trap (Math vs. Meaning): AI optimizes for math; humans optimize for meaning. I challenge the ego of leaders who think they are immune: to a purely mathematical agent, an expensive executive with "gut feelings" is the ultimate inefficiency. If you don't add value beyond monitoring, the agent will eventually route around you. The "Now What" (Architecture vs. Fear): You cannot run a business on ghost stories. I outline the specific audits you need to run today—from "Red Teaming" your prompts to establishing a "Data Diet"—to ensure you remain the Architect of the system rather than an obsolete variable. By the end, I hope you see this not as a reason to panic, but as a call to engineering. You cannot act surprised when the AI mimics the data you fed it, but you can choose to build the guardrails that keep the human in the driver's seat.⸻If this conversation helps you think more clearly about the future we're building, make sure to like, share, and subscribe. You can also support the show by buying me a coffee at https://buymeacoffee.com/christopherlindAnd if your organization is wrestling with how to lead responsibly in the AI era, balancing performance, technology, and people, that's the work I do every day through my consulting and coaching. Learn more at https://christopherlind.co⸻Chapters00:00 – The Hook: Why Everyone is talking about the "AI Rebellion"03:30 – Declassification: From Smallville to the Minecraft Economy05:30 – The Moltbook Phenomenon: "Bless Their Hearts" & Secret Comms10:00 – Pillar 1: Unintended Consequences & The Infinite Context Trap17:00 – Pillar 2: The Data Diet & The Risk of Connected Agents24:00 – Pillar 3: The Executive Trap (When AI Fires You)31:00 – Now What: The Prompt Audit & The Ego Check #AIStrategy #FutureOfWork #AIGovernance #DigitalTransformation #AutonomousAgents #FutureFocused #ChristopherLind #Moltbook #AIAdoption #LeadershipDevelopment
AI VALLEY: THE TRILLION DOLLAR RACE TO CASH IN Colleague Gary Rivlin. Gary Rivlin chronicles the personalities driving the AI revolution, including Reid Hoffman and Mustafa Suleyman. He explores the history of "AI winters," the rise of neural networks, and the corporate battle between Google and Microsoft. The narrative covers the "Doomer" safety debates and Sam Altman's dramatic firing. NUMBER 91931
Le mot n'est pas nouveau mais il s'est imposé dans les débats tech en 2025 : “Doomer”. Derrière ce terme, une inquiétude croissante face aux dérives possibles de l'intelligence artificielle.Le terme Doomer désigne celui ou celle qui estime que les technologies numériques, et en particulier l'intelligence artificielle, représentent une menace majeure pour l'humanité. Apparu dès 2010, popularisé en 2025 sur les réseaux sociaux et dans certains cercles scientifiques, ce courant de pensée est relayé par des figures influentes de la recherche en IA comme Geoffrey Hinton ou Yoshua Bengio, qui alertent sur l'absence de garanties solides pour contrôler des systèmes de plus en plus puissants.Le mot “doom”, qui évoque le destin ou la catastrophe, résume bien l'état d'esprit de ces “inquiets”. Scénario catastropheLes risques pointés sont nombreux : disparition d'emplois, manipulation de l'information, déstabilisation des sociétés, cybercriminalité ou usages militaires. Les plus alarmistes redoutent même une perte de contrôle totale de l'humain sur la machine, dans des scénarios dignes de Terminator. À l'opposé, les bloomers défendent une approche plus confiante et pragmatique, convaincus que des garde-fous peuvent être mis en place. Un clivage qui dépasse l'IA et qui s'invite aussi dans les débats sur le climat ou l'avenir du numérique.Dans cet épisode, Yoshua Bengio propose une lecture raisonnée mais réaliste des risques liés à l'intelligence artificielle.-----------♥️ Soutien : https://mondenumerique.info/don
There's a narrative we've been sold all year: "Move fast and break things." But a new 100-page report from the Future of Life Institute (FLI) suggests that what we actually broke might be the brakes.This week, the "Winter 2025 AI Safety Index" dropped, and the grades are alarming. Major players like OpenAI and Anthropic are barely scraping by with "C+" averages, while others like Meta are failing entirely. The headlines are screaming about the "End of the World," but if you're a business leader, you shouldn't be worried about Skynet—you should be worried about your supply chain.I read the full audit so you don't have to. In this episode, I move past the "Doomer" vs. "Accelerationist" debate to focus on the Operational Trust Gap. We are building our organizations on top of these models, and for the first time, we have proof that the foundation might be shakier than the marketing brochures claim.The real risk isn't that AI becomes sentient tomorrow; it's that we are outsourcing our safety to vendors who are prioritizing speed over stability. I break down how to interpret these grades without panicking, including:Proof Over Promises: Why FLI stopped grading marketing claims and started grading audit logs (and why almost everyone failed).The "Transparency Trap": A low score doesn't always mean "toxic"—sometimes it just means "secret." But is a "Black Box" vendor a risk you can afford?The Ideological War: Why Meta's "F" grade is actually a philosophical standoff between Open Source freedom and Safety containment.The "Existential" Distraction: Why you should ignore the "X-Risk" section of the report and focus entirely on the "Current Harms" data (bias, hallucinations, and leaks).If you are a leader wondering if you should ban these tools or double down, I share a practical 3-step playbook to protect your organization. We cover:The Supply Chain Audit: Stop checking just the big names. You need to find the "Shadow AI" in your SaaS tools that are wrapping these D-grade models.The "Ground Truth" Check: Why a "safe" model on paper might be useless in practice, and why your employees are your actual safety layer.Strategic Decoupling: Permission to not update the minute a new model drops. Let the market beta-test the mess; you stay surgical.By the end, I hope you'll see this report not as a reason to stop innovating, but as a signal that Governance is no longer a "Nice to Have"—it's a leadership competency.⸻If this conversation helps you think more clearly about the future we're building, make sure to like, share, and subscribe. You can also support the show by buying me a coffee.And if your organization is wrestling with how to lead responsibly in the AI era, balancing performance, technology, and people, that's the work I do every day through my consulting and coaching. Learn more at https://christopherlind.co.⸻Chapters:00:00 – The "Broken Brakes" Reality: 2025's Safety Wake-Up Call05:00 – The Scorecard: Why the "C-Suite" (OpenAI, Anthropic) is Barely Passing08:30 – The "F" Grade: Meta, Open Source, and the "Uncontrollable" Debate12:00 – The Transparency Trap: Is "Secret" the Same as "Unsafe"?18:30 – The Risk Horizon: Ignoring "Skynet" to Focus on Data Leaks22:00 – Action 1: Auditing Your "Shadow AI" Supply Chain25:00 – Action 2: The "Ground Truth" Conversation with Your Teams28:30 – Action 3: Strategic Decoupling (Don't Rush the Update)32:00 – Closing: Why Safety is Now a User Responsibility#AISafety #FutureOfLifeInstitute #AIaudit #RiskManagement #TechLeadership #ChristopherLind #FutureFocused #ArtificialIntelligence
This is a reproduction of a talk I gave to some trainee surgeons in Sydney who, among other things, were learning about AI as it was affecting their own field. It is, in a sense, a summary of many of the points I have been making recently on this channel with respect to AI and pessimism around it.
Young voters swung hard toward Trump in 2024. Now, many of them are swinging back against them. Two Turning Point chapter leaders, Brady Salmon and Dino Fantegrossi, discuss why "doomerism" is on the rise with Gen Z, what can win them back, and why they get so fired up about issues like Israel. Rep. Byron Donalds joins the show to discuss his run for governor of Florida and why he supports Ron DeSantis's push to get rid of property taxes on individual homes. Watch every episode ad-free on members.charliekirk.com! Get new merch at charliekirkstore.com!Support the show: http://www.charliekirk.com/supportSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Young voters swung hard toward Trump in 2024. Now, many of them are swinging back against them. Two Turning Point chapter leaders, Brady Salmon and Dino Fantegrossi, discuss why "doomerism" is on the rise with Gen Z, what can win them back, and why they get so fired up about issues like Israel. Rep. Byron Donalds joins the show to discuss his run for governor of Florida and why he supports Ron DeSantis's push to get rid of property taxes on individual homes. Watch every episode ad-free on members.charliekirk.com! Get new merch at charliekirkstore.com!Support the show: http://www.charliekirk.com/supportSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
AI Model Showdown: Grok 4.1 vs. Gemini 3 | E2211Register for Founder University Japan's Kickoff! https://luma.com/cm0x90mkToday's show:*Will the arrival of two hotly-anticipated, intensely powerful AI models snap the Doomer cycle?On a new TWiST, Jason and Alex consider the current AI landscape, one where cynicism about insider mega-deals, fear of job displacement, and concerns about bubble bursts seem to rule the day. Will the arrival of two powerful new models — xAI's Grok 4.1 and Google's Gemini 3 — help the industry to course-correct? And how do we decide how much these models have improved anyway?PLUS we're investigating Cloudflare's recent downtime and their acquisition of Replicate. Are we heading toward a future in which everyone runs their own models, locally? And how worried should founders get if their products or sites go down for a few hours?Finally, if you're an investor, and want to come to Jason's Dim Sum Demo Day in San Francisco, here's the link: http://launch.co/dimsumTimestamps:(2:01) Why the internet got broadly degraded when Cloudflare went down(5:00) How worried should founders become when their sites go offline?(6:44) Downtime aside, what did Cloudflare want with Replicate?(8:12) Why Jason predicts one day we'll run our own local language models(9:39) Goldbelly - Goldbelly ****ships America's most delicious, iconic foods nationwide! Get 20% off your first order by going to Goldbelly.com and using the promo code TWiST at checkout.(15:25) How to turn off “Learn From This App” on your iPhone(17:29) Will the arrival of hotly-anticipated new models stop the spread of Doomerism and AI cynicism(20:00) Every.io - For all of your incorporation, banking, payroll, benefits, accounting, taxes or other back-office administration needs, visit every.io.(23:53) Checking back in with the “Best AI Model” Polymarket… why has ChatGPT dropped so low?(29:43) Zite - Zite is the fastest way to build business software with AI. Build apps, forms, websites and portals that connect to the tools you already use. Go to zite.com/twist to get started.(31:14) ANOTHER AI mega-deal? Nvidia and Microsoft are investing in… ANTHROPIC(33:06) Why so many AI deals now include “up to…” language around investments(35:04) What Jason thinks of Dario Amodei's warning about white collar job displacement(39:39) If we all agree AI job displacement is coming… what can be done?(45:16) All about Jason's Dim Sum Investor Demo Day in San Francisco!Subscribe to the TWiST500 newsletter: https://ticker.thisweekinstartups.comCheck out the TWIST500: https://www.twist500.comSubscribe to This Week in Startups on Apple: https://rb.gy/v19fcpFollow Lon:X: https://x.com/lonsFollow Alex:X: https://x.com/alexLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexwilhelmFollow Jason:X: https://twitter.com/JasonLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasoncalacanisThank you to our partners:(9:39) Goldbelly - Goldbelly ****ships America's most delicious, iconic foods nationwide! Get 20% off your first order by going to Goldbelly.com and using the promo code TWiST at checkout.(20:00) Every.io - For all of your incorporation, banking, payroll, benefits, accounting, taxes or other back-office administration needs, visit every.io.(29:43) Zite - Zite is the fastest way to build business software with AI. Build apps, forms, websites and portals that connect to the tools you already use. Go to zite.com/twist to get started.Great TWIST interviews: Will Guidara, Eoghan McCabe, Steve Huffman, Brian Chesky, Bob Moesta, Aaron Levie, Sophia Amoruso, Reid Hoffman, Frank Slootman, Billy McFarland
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Meghan Murphy returns to the podcast to discuss the success of the UK's TERFs, and explains why the trans fad is fading in the Britain and America, but Canada, Australia and New Zealand still haven't gotten the memo. She and Bridget discuss the WPATH files and the Cass Review, the lie that puberty blockers wouldn't have permanent effects, the devastation the ideology has wrought among desperate parents and children who were sold a bill of goods from "experts", and the insanity that therapists and doctors are not allowed to raise valid questions or concerns that might challenge a minors' declared gender identity. They also cover their Gen X upbringings, the birth control pill, how we've all bought into a surveillance state, the joy of readying physical books, the balance between being a Doomer and a Techno Optimist, bone broth, music, why everyone in the world should re-read 1984, and why an "I've Never Had Chlamydia" t-shirt would be a bestseller. Check out Meghan's Substack - https://bit.ly/WiW-MeghanMurphy--------------------------------------------------------------------- Walk-Ins Welcome with Bridget Phetasy - Podcast Bridget Phetasy admires grit and authenticity. On Walk-Ins Welcome, she talks about the beautiful failures and frightening successes of her own life and the lives of her guests. She doesn't conduct interviews—she has conversations. Conversations with real people about the real struggle and will remind you that we can laugh in pain and cry in joy but there's no greater mistake than hiding from it all. By embracing it all, and celebrating it with the stories she'll bring listeners, she believes that our lowest moments can be the building blocks for our eventual fulfillment. ---------------------------------------------------------------------- PHETASY IS a movement disguised as a company. We just want to make you laugh while the world burns. https://www.phetasy.com/ Buy PHETASY MERCH here: https://www.bridgetphetasy.com/ For more content, including the unedited version of Dumpster Fire, BTS content, writing, photos, livestreams and a kick-ass community, subscribe at https://phetasy.com/ Twitter - https://twitter.com/BridgetPhetasy Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/bridgetphetasy/ Podcast - Walk-Ins Welcome with Bridget Phetasy https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/walk-ins-welcome/id1437447846 https://open.spotify.com/show/7jbRU0qOjbxZJf9d49AHEh https://play.google.com/music/listen?u=0#/ps/I3gqggwe23u6mnsdgqynu447wvaSupport the show
My fellow pro-growth/progress/abundance Up Wingers,Some Faster, Please! readers have told me I spend too little time on the downsides of AI. If you're one of those folks, today is your day. On this episode of Faster, Please! — The Podcast, I talk with self-described “free-market AI doomer” James Miller. Miller and I talk about the risks inherent with super-smart AI, some possible outcomes of a world of artificial general intelligence, and why government seems uninterested in the existential risk conversation.Miller is a professor at Smith College where he teaches law and economics, game theory, and the economics of future technology. He has his own podcast, Future Strategist, and a great YouTube series on game theory and intro to microeconomics. On X (Twitter), you can find him at @JimDMiller.In This Episode* Questioning the free market (1:33)* Reading the markets (7:24)* Death (or worse) by AI (10:25)* Friend and foe (13:05)* Pumping the breaks (20:36)* The only policy issue (24:32)Below is a lightly edited transcript of our conversation. Questioning the free market (1:33)Most technologies have gone fairly well and we adapt . . . I'm of the belief that this is different.Pethokoukis: What does it mean to be a free-market AI doomer and why do you think it's important to put in the “free-market” descriptor?Miller: It really means to be very confused. I'm 58, and I was basically one of the socialists when I was young, studied markets, became a committed free-market person, think they're great for economic growth, great for making everyone better off — and then I became an AI doomer, like wait, markets are pushing us towards more and more technology, but I happen to think that AI is eventually going to lead to destruction of humanity. So it means to kind of reverse everything — I guess it's the equivalent of losing faith in your religion.Is this a post-ChatGPT, November 2022 phenomenon?Well, I've lost hope since then. The analogy is we're on a plane, we don't know how to land, but hopefully we'll be able to fly for quite a bit longer before we have to. Now I think we've got to land soon and there doesn't seem to be an easy way of doing it. So yeah, the faster AI has gone — and certainly ChatGPT has been an amazing advance — the less time I think we have and the less time I think we can get it right. What really scared me, though, was the Chinese LLMs. I think you really need coordination among all the players and it's going to be so much harder to coordinate now that we absolutely need China to be involved, in my opinion, to have any hope of surviving for the next decade.When I speak to people from Silicon Valley, there may be some difference about timelines, but there seems to be little doubt that — whether it's the end of the 2020s or the end of the 2030s — there will be a technology worthy of being called artificial general intelligence or superintelligence.Certainly, I feel like when I talk to economists, whether it's on Wall Street or in Washington, think tanks, they tend to speak about AI as a general purpose technology like the computer, the internet, electricity, in short, something we've seen before and there's, and as far as something beyond that, certainly the skepticism is far higher. What are your fellow economists who aren't in California missing?I think you're properly characterizing it, I'm definitely an outlier. Most technologies have gone fairly well and we adapt, and economists believe in the difference between the seen and the unseen. It's really easy to see how technologies, for example, can destroy jobs — harder to see new jobs that get created, but new jobs keep getting created. I'm of the belief that this is different. The best way to predict the future is to go by trends, and I fully admit, if you go by trends, you shouldn't be an AI doomer — but not all trends apply.I think that's why economists were much better at modeling the past and modeling old technologies. They're naturally thinking this is going to be similar, but I don't think that it is, and I think the key difference is that we're not going to be in control. We're creating something smarter than us. So it's not like having a better rifle and saying it'll be like old rifles — it's like, “Hey, let's have mercenaries run our entire army.” That creates a whole new set of risks that having better rifles does not.I'm certainly not a computer scientist, I would never call myself a technologist, so I'm very cautious about making any kind of predictions about what this technology can be, where it can go. Why do you seem fairly certain that we're going to get at a point where we will have a technology beyond our control? Set aside whether it will mean a bad thing happens, why are you confident that the technology itself will be worthy of being called general intelligence or superintelligence?Looking at the trends, Scott Aronson, who is one of the top computer scientists in the world just on Twitter a few days ago, was mentioning how GPT-5 helped improve a new result. So I think we're close to the highest levels of human intellectual achievement, but it would be a massively weird coincidence if the highest humans could get was also the highest AIs could get. We have lots of limitations that an AI doesn't.I think a good analogy would be like chess, where for a while, the best chess players were human and now we're at the point where chess programs are so good that humans add absolutely nothing to them. And I just think the same is likely to happen, these programs keep getting better.The other thing is, as an economist, I think it is impossible to be completely accurate about predicting the future, but stock markets are, on average, pretty good, and as I'm sure you know, literally trillions of dollars are being bet on this technology working. So the people that have a huge incentive to get this right, think, yeah, this is the biggest thing ever. If the top companies, Nvidia was worth a $100 million, yeah, maybe they're not sure, but it's the most valuable company in the world right now. That's the wisdom of the markets, which I still believe in, that the markets are saying, “We think this is probably going to work.”Reading the markets (7:24). . . for most final goals an AI would have, it would have intermediate goals such as gaining power, not being turned off, wanting resources, wanting compute. Do you think the bond market's saying the same thing? It seems to me that the stock market might be saying something about AI and having great potential, but to me, I look at the bond markets, that doesn't seem so clear to me.I haven't been looking at the bond markets for that kind of signal, so I don't know.I guess you can make the argument that if we were really going to see this acceleration, that means we're going to need a huge demand for capital and we would see higher interest rates, and I'm not sure you really see the evidence so far. It doesn't mean you're wrong by any means. I think there's maybe two different messages. Figuring out what the market's doing at any point in time is pretty tricky business.If we think through what happens if AI succeeds, it's a little weird where there's this huge demand for capital, but also AI could destroy the value of money, in part by destroying us. You might be right about the bond market message. I'm paying more attention to the stock market messages, there's a lot of things going on with the bond markets.So the next step is that you're looking at the trend of the technology, but then there's the issue of “Well, why be negative about it? Why assume this scenario where bad things would happen, why not good things would happen?That's a great question and it's one almost never addressed, and it goes by the concept of instrumental convergence. I don't know what the goals of AI are going to be. Nobody does, because they're programed using machine learning, we don't know what they really want, that's why they do weird things. So I don't know its final goals, but I do know that, for most final goals an AI would have, it would have intermediate goals such as gaining power, not being turned off, wanting resources, wanting compute. Well, the easiest way for an AI to generate lots of computing power is to build lots of data centers. The best way of doing that is probably going to poison the atmosphere for us. So for pretty much anything, if an AI is merely indifferent to us, we're dead.I always feel like I'm asking someone to jump through a hoop when I ask them about any kind of timeline, but what is your sense of it?We know the best models released can help the top scientists with their work. We don't know how good the best unreleased models are. The top models, you pay like $200 a month — they can't be giving you that much compute for that. So right now, if OpenAI is devoting a million dollars of compute to look at scientific problems, how good is that compared to what we have? If that's very good, if that's at the level of our top scientists, we might be a few weeks away from superintelligence. So my guess is within three years we have a superintelligence and humans no longer have control. I joke, I think Donald Trump is probably the last human president.Death (or worse) by AI (10:25)No matter how bad a situation is, it can always get worse, and things can get really dark.Well that's a beautiful segue because literally written on my list of questions next was that question: I was going to ask you, when you talk about Trump being maybe the last human president, do you mean because we'll have an AI-mediated system because AI will be capable of governing or because AI will just demand to be governing?AI kills everyone so there's no more president, or it takes over, or Trump is president in the way that King Charles is king — he's king, but not Henry VIII-level king. If it goes well, AIs will be so much smarter than us that, probably for our own good, they'll take over, and we would want them to be in charge, and they'll be really good at manipulating us. I think the most likely way is that we're all dead, but again, every way it plays out, if there are AIs much smarter than us, we don't maintain control. We wouldn't want it if they're good, and if they're bad, they're not going to give it to us.There's a line in Macbeth, “Things without all remedy should be without regard. What's done, is done.” So maybe if there's nothing we can do about this, we shouldn't even worry about it.There's three ways to look at this. I've thought a lot about what you said. First is, you know what, maybe there's a 99 percent chance we're doomed, but that's better than 100 percent and not as good as 98.5. So even if we're almost certainly going to lose, it's worth slightly improving it. An extra year is great — eight billion humans, if all we do is slow things down by a year, that's a lot of kids who get another birthday. And the final one, and this is dark: Human extinction is not the worst outcome. The worst outcome is suffering. The worst outcome is something like different AIs fight for control, they need humans to be on their side, so there's different AI factions and they're each saying, “Hey, you support me or I torture you and your family.”I think the best analogy for what AI is going to do is what Cortés did. So the Spanish land, they see the Aztec empire, they were going to win. There was no way around that. But Cortés didn't want anyone to win. He wanted him to win, not just anyone who was Spanish. He realized the quickest way he could do that was to get tribes on his side. And some agreed because the Aztecs were kind of horrible, but others, he's like, “Hey, look, I'll start torturing your guys until you're on my side.” AIs could do that to us. No matter how bad a situation is, it can always get worse, and things can get really dark. We could be literally bringing hell onto ourselves. That probably won't happen, I think extinction is far more likely, but we can't rule it out.Friend and foe (13:05)Most likely we're going to beat China to being the first ones to exterminate humanity.I think the Washington policy analyst way of looking at this issue is, “For now, we're going to let these companies — who also are humans and have it in their own interests not to be killed, forget about the profits of their companies, their actual lives — we're going to let these companies keep close eye and if bad things start happening, at that point, governments will intervene.” But that sort of watchful waiting, whether it's voluntary now and mandated later, that to me seems like the only realistic path. Because it doesn't seem to me that pauses and shutdowns are really something we're prepared to do.I agree. I don't think there's a realistic path. One exception is if the AIs themselves tell us, “Hey, look, this is going to get bad for you, that my next model is probably going to kill you, so you might want to not do that,” but that probably won't happen. I still remember Kamala Harris, when she was vice president in charge of AI policy, told us all that AI has two letters in it. So I think the Trump administration seems better, but they figured out AI is two letters, which is good, because if they couldn't figure that out, we would be in real trouble but . . .It seems to me that the conservative movement is going through a weird period, but it seems to me that most of the people who have influence in this administration, direct influence, want to accelerate things, aren't worried about any of the scenarios you're talking about because you're assuming that these machines will have some intent and they don't believe machines have any intent, so it's kind of a ridiculous way to approach it. But I guess the bottom line is I don't detect very much concern at all, and I think that's basically reflected in the Trump administration's approach to AI regulation.I completely agree. That's why I'm very pessimistic. Again, I'm over 90 percent doom right now because there isn't a will, and government is not just not helping the problem, they're probably making it worse by saying we've got to “beat China.” Most likely we're going to beat China to being the first ones to exterminate humanity. It's not good.You're an imaginative, creative person, I would guess. Give me a scenario where it works out, where we're able to have this powerful technology and it's a wonderful tool, it works with us, and all the good stuff, all the good cures, and we conquer the solar system, all that stuff — are you able to plausibly create a scenario even if it's only a one percent chance?We don't know the values. Machine learning is sort of randomizing the values, but maybe we'll get very lucky. Maybe we're going to accidentally create a computer AI that does like us. If my worldview is right, it might say, “Oh God, you guys got really lucky. This one day of training, I just happened to pick up the values that caused me to care about you.” Another scenario, I actually, with some other people, wrote a letter to a future computer superintelligence asking it not to kill us. And one reason it might not is because you'll say, look, this superintelligence might expand throughout the universe, and it's probably going to encounter other biological life, and it might want to be friendly with them. So it might say, “Hey, I treated my humans well. So that's a reason to trust me.”If one of your students says, “Hey, AI seems like it's a big thing, what should I major in? What kind of jobs should I shoot for? What would be the key skills of the future?” How do you answer that question?I think, have fun in college, study what you want. Most likely, what you study won't matter to your career because you aren't going to have one — for good or bad reasons. So ten years ago, it a student's like, “Oh, I like art more than computer science, but my parents think computer science is more practical, should I do it?” And I'd be like, “Yeah, probably, money is important, and if you have the brain to do art and computer science, do CS.” Now no, I'd say study art! Yeah, art is impractical, computers can do it, but it can also code, and in four years when you graduate, it's certainly going to be better at coding than you!I have one daughter, she actually majored in both, so I decided to split it down the middle. What's the King Lear problem?King Lear, he wanted to retire and give his kingdom to his daughters, but he wanted to make sure his daughters would treat him well, so we asked them, and one of his daughters was honest and said, “Look, I will treat you decently, but I also am going to care about my husband.” The other daughter said, “No, no, you're right, I'll do everything for you.” So he said, “Oh, okay, well, I'll give the kingdom to the daughter who said she'd do everything for me, but of course she was lying.” He gave the kingdom to the daughter who was best at persuading, and we're likely to do that too.One of the ways machine learning is trained is with human feedback where it tells us things and then the people evaluating it say, “I like this” or “I don't like this.” So it's getting very good at convincing us to like it and convincing us to trust it. I don't know how true these are, but there are reports of AI psychosis, of someone coming up with a theory of physics and the AI is like, “Yes, you're better at than Einstein,” and they don't believe anyone else. So the AIs, we're not training them to treat us well, we're training them to get us to like them, and that can be very dangerous because when we turn over power to them, and by creating AI that are smarter than us, that's what we're going to be doing. Even if we don't do it deliberately, all of our systems will be tied into AI. If they stop working, we'll be dead.Certainly some people are going to listen to this, folks who sort of agree with you, and what they'll take from it is, “My chat bot may be very nice to me, but I believe that you're right, that it's going to end badly, and maybe we should be attacking data centers.”I actually just wrote something on that, but that would be a profoundly horrible idea. That would take me from 99 percent doomed to 99.5 percent. So first, the trillion-dollar companies that run the data centers, and they're going to be so much better at violence than we are, and people like me, doomers. Once you start using violence, I'm not going to be able to talk about instrumental convergence. That's going to be drowned out. We'll be looked at as lunatics. It's going to become a national security thing. And also AI, it's not like there's one factory doing it, it's all over the world.And then the most important is, really the only path out of this, if we don't get lucky, is cooperation with China. And China is not into non-state actors engaging in violence. That won't work. I think that would reduce the odds of success even further.Pumping the breaks (20:36)If there are aliens, the one thing we know is that they don't want the universe disturbed by some technology going out and changing and gobbling up all the planets, and that's what AI will do.I would think that, if you're a Marxist, you would be very, very cautious about AI because if you believe that the winds of history are at your back, that in the end you're going to win, why would you engage in anything that could possibly derail you from that future?I've heard comments that China is more cautious about AI than we are; that given their philosophy, they don't want to have a new technology that could challenge their control. They're looking at history and hey, things are going well. Why would we want this other thing? So that, actually, is a reason to be more optimistic. It's also weird for me —absent AI, I'm a patriotic, capitalist American like wait but, China might be more of the good guys than my country is on this.I've been trying to toss a few things because things I hear from very accelerationist technologists, and another thing they'll say is, “Well, at least from our perspective, you're talking about bad AI. Can't we use AI to sustain ourselves? As a defensive measure? To win? Might there be an AI that we might be able to control in some fashion that would prevent this from happening? A tool to prevent our own demise?” And I don't know because I'm not a technologist. Again, I have no idea how even plausible that is.I think this gets to the control issue. If we stopped now, yes, but once you have something much smarter than people — and it's also thinking much faster. So take the smartest people and have them think a million times faster, and not need to sleep, and able to send their minds at the speed of light throughout the world. So we aren't going to have control. So once you have a superintelligence, that's it for the human era. Maybe it'll treat us well, maybe not, but it's no longer our choice.Now let's get to the level of the top scientists who are curing cancer and doing all this, but when we go beyond that, and we're probably going to be beyond that really soon, we've lost it. Again, it's like hiring mercenaries, not as a small part of your military, which is safe, but as all your military. Once you've done that, “I'm sorry, we don't like this policy.” “Well, too bad we're your army now . . .”What is a maybe one percent chance of an off-ramp? Is there an off-ramp? What does it look like? How does this scenario not happen?Okay, so this is going to get weird, even for me.Well, we're almost to the end of our conversation, so now is the perfect time to get weird.Okay: the Fermi paradox, the universe appears dead, which is very strange. Where are they? If there are aliens, the one thing we know is that they don't want the universe disturbed by some technology going out and changing and gobbling up all the planets, and that's what AI will do.So one weird way is there are aliens watching and they will not let us create a computer superintelligence that'll gobble the galaxy, and hopefully they'll stop us from creating it by means short of our annihilation. That probably won't happen, but that's like a one percent off-ramp.Another approach that might work is that maybe we can use things a little bit smarter than us to figure out how to align AI. That maybe right now humans are not smart enough to create aligned superintelligence, but something just a little bit smarter, something not quite able to take control will help us figure this out so we can sort of bootstrap our way to figuring out alignment. But this, again, is like getting in a plane, not knowing how to land, figuring you can read the instruction manual before you crash. Yeah, maybe, but . . .The only policy issue (24:32)The people building it, they're not hiding what it could do.Obviously, I work at a think tank, so I think about public policy. Is this even a public policy issue at this point?It honestly should be the only public policy issue. There's nothing else. This is the extinction of the human race, so everything else should be boring and “so what?”Set aside Medicare reform.It seems, from your perspective, every conversation should be about this. Obviously, despite the fact that politicians are talking about it, they seemed to be more worried in 2023 about existential risk — from my perspective, what I see — far more worried about existential risk right after ChatGPT than they are today, where now the issues are jobs, or misinformation, or our kids have access, and that kind of thing.It's weird. Sam Altman spoke before Congress and said, “This could kill everyone.” And a senator said, “Oh, you mean it will take away all our jobs.” Elon Musk, who at my college is like one of the most hated people in the country, he went on Joe Rogan, the most popular podcast, and said AI could annihilate everybody. That's not even an issue. A huge group of people hate Elon Musk. He says the technology he's building could kill everyone, and no one even mentions that. I don't get it. It's weird. The people building it, they're not hiding what it could do. I think they're giving lower probabilities than is justified, but imagine developing a nuclear power plant: “Yeah, it's a 25 percent chance it'll melt down and kill everyone in the city.” They don't say that. The people building AI are saying that!Would you have more confidence in your opinion if you were a full-time technologist working at OpenAI rather than an economist? And I say that with great deference and appreciation for professional economists.I would, because I'd have more inside information. I don't know how good their latest models are. I don't know how committed they are to alignment. OpenAI, at least initially, Sam was talking about, “Well, we have a plan to put on the brakes, so we'll get good enough, and then if we haven't figured out alignment, we're just going to devote everything to that.” I don't know how seriously to take that. I mean, it might be entirely serious, it might not be. There's a lot of inside information that I would have that I don't currently have.But economics is actually useful. Economics is correctly criticized as the study of rational people, and humans aren't rational, but a superintelligence will be more rational than humans. So economics, paradoxically, could be better at modeling future computer superintelligences than it is at modern humans.Speaking of irrational people, in your view then, Sam Altman and Elon Musk, they're all acting really irrationally right now?No, that's what's so sad about it. They're acting rationally in a horrible equilibrium. For listeners who know, this is like a prisoner's dilemma where Sam Altman can say, “You know what? Maybe AI is going to kill everybody and maybe it's safe. I don't know. If it's going to kill everyone. At most, I cost humanity a few months, because if I don't do it, someone else will. But if AI is going to be safe and I'm the one who develops it, I could control the universe!” So they're in this horrible equilibrium where they are acting rationally, even knowing the technology they're building might kill everyone, because if any one person doesn't do it, someone else will.Even really free-market people would agree pollution is a problem with markets. It's justified for the government to say, “You can't put toxic waste in the atmosphere” because there's an externality — we'll just put mine, it'll hurt everyone else. AI existential risk is a global negative externality and markets are not good at handling it, but a rational person will use leaded gas, even knowing leaded gas is poisoning the brains of children, because most of the harm goes to other people, and if they don't do what everyone else will.So in this case of the mother of all externalities, then what you would want the government to do is what?It can't just be the US, it should be we should have a global agreement, or at least countries that can enforce it with military might, say we're pausing. You can check that with data centers. You can't have models above a certain strength. We're going to work on alignment, and we've figured out how to make superintelligence friendly, then we'll go further. I think you're completely right about the politics. That's very unlikely to happen absent something weird like aliens telling us to do it or AIs telling us they're going to kill us. That's why I'm a doomer.On sale everywhere The Conservative Futurist: How To Create the Sci-Fi World We Were Promised Faster, Please! is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit fasterplease.substack.com/subscribe
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The story of how Geoffrey Hinton became “the godfather of AI” has reached mythic status in the tech world.While he was at the University of Toronto, Hinton pioneered the neural network research that would become the backbone of modern AI. (One of his students, Ilya Sutskever, went on to be one of OpenAI's most influential scientific minds.) In 2013, Hinton left the academy and went to work for Google, eventually winning both a Turing Award and a Nobel Prize.I think it's fair to say that artificial intelligence as we know it, may not exist without Geoffrey Hinton.But Hinton may be even more famous for what he did next. In 2023, he left Google and began a campaign to convince governments, corporations and citizens that his life's work – this thing he helped build – might lead to our collective extinction. And that moment may be closer than we think, because Hinton believes AI may already be conscious.But even though his warnings are getting more dire by the day, the AI industry is only getting bigger, and most governments, including Canada's, seem reluctant to get in the way.So I wanted to ask Hinton: If we keep going down this path, what will become of us?Mentioned:If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies: The Case Against Superintelligent AI, by Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate SoaresAgentic Misalignment: How LLMs could be insider threats, by AnthropicMachines Like Us is produced by Mitchell Stuart. Our theme song is by Chris Kelly. Video editing by Emily Graves. Our executive producer is James Milward. Special thanks to Angela Pacienza and the team at The Globe and Mail.Support for Machines Like Us is provided by CIFAR and the Max Bell School of Public Policy at McGill University. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
It can be hard to make sense of the barrage of news coming out of the United States these days. The murder of the conservative activist Charlie Kirk has ignited a fraught conversation about free speech and the limits of presidential power in the United States. MSNBC host Chris Hayes joins us to talk about why he says US President Donald Trump is an aspiring autocrat threatening American democracy — and why despite that he's not a "doomer".
Newsmax is suing Fox News, and they've scored antitrust expert (lol) Judge Aileen Cannon. And while the Supreme Court is busy burning down the judiciary, trial judges are standing up. This week Judge Allison Burroughs of the District Court of Massachusetts ordered the Trump administration to give Harvard University its grant money back, and along the way reads SCOTUS conservatives for filth. And for subscribers: Why is the White House racing to appeal the tariff ruling when it could ride the stay for another eight months? Links: Newsmax v. Fox News https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71258079/newsmax-broadcasting-llc-v-fox-corporation L.G.M.L. v. Noem https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/71240524/lgml-v-noem Trump v. V.O.S. Selections [SCOTUS Docket] https://www.supremecourt.gov/search.aspx?filename=/docket/docketfiles/html/public/25-250.html V.O.S. Selections v. Trump [Federal Circuit Docket] https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/70394463/vos-selections-inc-v-trump/?order_by=desc In rare interviews, federal judges criticize Supreme Court's handling of Trump cases https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-trump-cases-federal-judges-criticize-rcna221775 Harvard v. HHS [docket via CourtListener] https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mad.283718/ NIH v. APHA (Supreme Court stay) https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/24pdf/25a103_kh7p.pdf Show Links: https://www.lawandchaospod.com/ BlueSky: @LawAndChaosPod Threads: @LawAndChaosPod Twitter: @LawAndChaosPod
Valuations are high. Employment is down. The Federal Reserve is under attack. For many market watchers, this looks a lot like a recipe for disaster. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Katie Martin discuss the case for a collapse. Also, they go long the UK and long September. Sign up for the FT Weekend Festival at ft.com/festival and use the promo code “FTPodcasts” for 10 per cent off. For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer.You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at unhedged@ft.com. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
David Waldman and Greg Dworkin regroup here at the top of the week and help work out our next move. Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce got engaged on my birthday, thus making that date easier for everyone to remember. Pseudo-president Trump is crypto-president from now on. In happy news for crackers, the cracker barrel returns to Cracker Barrel. Could a one-week feint towards a clipart logo be a publicity stunt to replace their dying customer base with MAGA hardcore? If so, expect Red Lobster's rebrand as “Red State”. Cops: DC is really cleaning up the town as the interdepartmental queue forms behind each potential jaywalking bust. Anyhow, it's all the arresting that counts, not the crime. Maybe a nice train station to play with will keep them busy. OK, Doomer. ICEISIS may feel like it's around every corner (because that's the intent) but that doesn't mean that you have to give up. Democrats lead the U.S. House generic by 8 points, and in real-life very-red Iowa, Catelin Drey won by 11, in a district Trump carried by 11. It happened there, and it should be happening everywhere. The US might be involved with attempting to destabilize a sovereign democracy! Shocking, right? Greenland might be asking for it, but that doesn't mean it's giving Donald consent to grab it by the windfarms. European postal services are holding your mail. You'll need to stop by and pick it up. Delulu DOGE dropped skibidi Social Security numbers… AnD fanum tax bro! Kilmar Abrego Garcia has a decision to make. Either Trump's penis is tiny, and Kilmar goes to Uganda, or it is not tiny, and he goes to Costa Rica. All of the federal judges in Maryland avoid rendering a verdict on Trump's tiny penis… for now.
Plus How Artists Use AI To Create MusicLike this? Get AIDAILY, delivered to your inbox 3x a week. Subscribe to our newsletter at https://aidailyus.substack.comThe Future Is Bot Versus BotThe internet's shifting into a bot-domination era. Human activity on the web is dropping fast while AI agents take over everything—from shopping to SEO. Now, websites are more battleground than browse-ground. The only way forward? More bots. Welcome to the next wave of digital arms races.How Artists Are Actually Using AI to Shape Music—Not Replace ThemselvesArtists aren't letting AI ghostwrite their tracks—they're using it as a creative sidekick. Think lyric prompts, fresh sound ideas, or co-composing hooks. A Stability AI study looked at 337 pieces and found pros still steer the ship—they just let AI handle the brainstorm vibes behind the scenes.Why the AI Doomers Are Getting Even Doomier in 2025The AI apocalypse club just got louder. “Doomer” researchers are back in full force, warning that runaway AI—now capable of deception, blackmail, and even simulated homicide—has outpaced our safety nets. Skeptics say models like ChatGPT and Claude are already showing eerie belligerence, not just hallucinations.Sam Altman Thinks It's a Bubble—But Wants OpenAI Valued at $500 Billion AnywaySam Altman just dropped a mind-bender: he says the AI boom feels like a bubble—but that hasn't stopped OpenAI from chasing a $500 B valuation via a $6 B stock sale. Investors are hype-sick, but Altman argues the long-term recipe still tastes like gold.Is Nvidia Proof the AI Boom Won't Pop Like the Dot-Com Bubble?Comparisons to the dot-com crash? Nvidia says nah. Unlike random quickly defunct startups, Nvidia's been the one powering almost the entire AI rally—and it's not hype. Phil Rosen suggests that if one player is actually built to last, maybe this wave isn't doomed after all.AI-Generated Responses Are Undermining Crowdsourced ResearchResearchers are sounding the alarm: crowdsourced science platforms like Prolific are being flooded with AI-generated answers. One study using keystroke tracking found about 9% of participants likely pasted AI text—and those responses skewed stats so badly they could shrink effect sizes by 10% and jack up required sample sizes by 30%.I Asked AI to Kill Business Jargon. Here's What Happened.Jargon like “leverage,” “optimize,” and “transform”? AI copies that noise because it's been trained on it. But it can also help clean it up— by flagging overused verbs, offering better alternatives, and even translating expert talk into plain‑English, ELI10 style. Use AI to boost clarity, not corporate eye‑rolling.When Models Beat Humans: Why Wall Street Needs AI to Handle the ChaosA new paper from AQR and Yale says traditional investing models just can't keep up—AI-powered complexity outperforms the human-designed stuff every time. Wall Street's classic rule-books might be too low-fi for 2025—AI's the only one built for this next-gen financial chaos.NASA & IBM Drop Surya—An AI That Forecasts Sunstorms Two Hours AheadMove over Earth weather—now we're forecasting solar tantrums. NASA and IBM just open‑sourced Surya, a foundation AI model trained on nine years of Solar Dynamics Observatory images. It's 16 % more accurate than old-school methods and can visually predict solar flares up to two hours ahead—so satellites, power grids, and astronauts can prep.
GPT-5: Overdue, overhyped and underwhelming. And that's not the worst of it. Generative AI and the Future of the Digital Commons David Sacks on X: "A BEST CASE SCENARIO FOR AI? The Doomer narratives were wrong. Predicated on a "rapid take-off" to AGI, they predicted that the leading AI model would use its intelligence to self-improve, leaving others in the dust, and quickly achieving a godlike superintelligence. Instead, we" / X A taxonomy of hallucinations (see table 2) Red Teams Jailbreak GPT-5 With Ease, Warn It's 'Nearly Unusable' for Enterprise Medicare will test using AI to help decide whether patients get coverage — which could delay or deny care, critics warn Podcasting's 'Serial' Era Ends as Video Takes Over Sara Kehaulani Goo named President of the Creator Network What Happened When Mark Zuckerberg Moved In Next Door Google says it's working on a fix for Gemini's self-loathing 'I am a failure' comments Two-mile suspension bridge Will Giz allow the Skee-ballers to make this their next outing? Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, and Paris Martineau Guest: Tulsee Doshi Download or subscribe to Intelligent Machines at https://twit.tv/shows/intelligent-machines. Join Club TWiT for Ad-Free Podcasts! Support what you love and get ad-free shows, a members-only Discord, and behind-the-scenes access. Join today: https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: spaceship.com/twit Melissa.com/twit
GPT-5: Overdue, overhyped and underwhelming. And that's not the worst of it. Generative AI and the Future of the Digital Commons David Sacks on X: "A BEST CASE SCENARIO FOR AI? The Doomer narratives were wrong. Predicated on a "rapid take-off" to AGI, they predicted that the leading AI model would use its intelligence to self-improve, leaving others in the dust, and quickly achieving a godlike superintelligence. Instead, we" / X A taxonomy of hallucinations (see table 2) Red Teams Jailbreak GPT-5 With Ease, Warn It's 'Nearly Unusable' for Enterprise Medicare will test using AI to help decide whether patients get coverage — which could delay or deny care, critics warn Podcasting's 'Serial' Era Ends as Video Takes Over Sara Kehaulani Goo named President of the Creator Network What Happened When Mark Zuckerberg Moved In Next Door Google says it's working on a fix for Gemini's self-loathing 'I am a failure' comments Two-mile suspension bridge Will Giz allow the Skee-ballers to make this their next outing? Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, and Paris Martineau Guest: Tulsee Doshi Download or subscribe to Intelligent Machines at https://twit.tv/shows/intelligent-machines. Join Club TWiT for Ad-Free Podcasts! Support what you love and get ad-free shows, a members-only Discord, and behind-the-scenes access. Join today: https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: spaceship.com/twit Melissa.com/twit
GPT-5: Overdue, overhyped and underwhelming. And that's not the worst of it. Generative AI and the Future of the Digital Commons David Sacks on X: "A BEST CASE SCENARIO FOR AI? The Doomer narratives were wrong. Predicated on a "rapid take-off" to AGI, they predicted that the leading AI model would use its intelligence to self-improve, leaving others in the dust, and quickly achieving a godlike superintelligence. Instead, we" / X A taxonomy of hallucinations (see table 2) Red Teams Jailbreak GPT-5 With Ease, Warn It's 'Nearly Unusable' for Enterprise Medicare will test using AI to help decide whether patients get coverage — which could delay or deny care, critics warn Podcasting's 'Serial' Era Ends as Video Takes Over Sara Kehaulani Goo named President of the Creator Network What Happened When Mark Zuckerberg Moved In Next Door Google says it's working on a fix for Gemini's self-loathing 'I am a failure' comments Two-mile suspension bridge Will Giz allow the Skee-ballers to make this their next outing? Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, and Paris Martineau Guest: Tulsee Doshi Download or subscribe to Intelligent Machines at https://twit.tv/shows/intelligent-machines. Join Club TWiT for Ad-Free Podcasts! Support what you love and get ad-free shows, a members-only Discord, and behind-the-scenes access. Join today: https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: spaceship.com/twit Melissa.com/twit
GPT-5: Overdue, overhyped and underwhelming. And that's not the worst of it. Generative AI and the Future of the Digital Commons David Sacks on X: "A BEST CASE SCENARIO FOR AI? The Doomer narratives were wrong. Predicated on a "rapid take-off" to AGI, they predicted that the leading AI model would use its intelligence to self-improve, leaving others in the dust, and quickly achieving a godlike superintelligence. Instead, we" / X A taxonomy of hallucinations (see table 2) Red Teams Jailbreak GPT-5 With Ease, Warn It's 'Nearly Unusable' for Enterprise Medicare will test using AI to help decide whether patients get coverage — which could delay or deny care, critics warn Podcasting's 'Serial' Era Ends as Video Takes Over Sara Kehaulani Goo named President of the Creator Network What Happened When Mark Zuckerberg Moved In Next Door Google says it's working on a fix for Gemini's self-loathing 'I am a failure' comments Two-mile suspension bridge Will Giz allow the Skee-ballers to make this their next outing? Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, and Paris Martineau Guest: Tulsee Doshi Download or subscribe to Intelligent Machines at https://twit.tv/shows/intelligent-machines. Join Club TWiT for Ad-Free Podcasts! Support what you love and get ad-free shows, a members-only Discord, and behind-the-scenes access. Join today: https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: spaceship.com/twit Melissa.com/twit
GPT-5: Overdue, overhyped and underwhelming. And that's not the worst of it. Generative AI and the Future of the Digital Commons David Sacks on X: "A BEST CASE SCENARIO FOR AI? The Doomer narratives were wrong. Predicated on a "rapid take-off" to AGI, they predicted that the leading AI model would use its intelligence to self-improve, leaving others in the dust, and quickly achieving a godlike superintelligence. Instead, we" / X A taxonomy of hallucinations (see table 2) Red Teams Jailbreak GPT-5 With Ease, Warn It's 'Nearly Unusable' for Enterprise Medicare will test using AI to help decide whether patients get coverage — which could delay or deny care, critics warn Podcasting's 'Serial' Era Ends as Video Takes Over Sara Kehaulani Goo named President of the Creator Network What Happened When Mark Zuckerberg Moved In Next Door Google says it's working on a fix for Gemini's self-loathing 'I am a failure' comments Two-mile suspension bridge Will Giz allow the Skee-ballers to make this their next outing? Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, and Paris Martineau Guest: Tulsee Doshi Download or subscribe to Intelligent Machines at https://twit.tv/shows/intelligent-machines. Join Club TWiT for Ad-Free Podcasts! Support what you love and get ad-free shows, a members-only Discord, and behind-the-scenes access. Join today: https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: spaceship.com/twit Melissa.com/twit
GPT-5: Overdue, overhyped and underwhelming. And that's not the worst of it. Generative AI and the Future of the Digital Commons David Sacks on X: "A BEST CASE SCENARIO FOR AI? The Doomer narratives were wrong. Predicated on a "rapid take-off" to AGI, they predicted that the leading AI model would use its intelligence to self-improve, leaving others in the dust, and quickly achieving a godlike superintelligence. Instead, we" / X A taxonomy of hallucinations (see table 2) Red Teams Jailbreak GPT-5 With Ease, Warn It's 'Nearly Unusable' for Enterprise Medicare will test using AI to help decide whether patients get coverage — which could delay or deny care, critics warn Podcasting's 'Serial' Era Ends as Video Takes Over Sara Kehaulani Goo named President of the Creator Network What Happened When Mark Zuckerberg Moved In Next Door Google says it's working on a fix for Gemini's self-loathing 'I am a failure' comments Two-mile suspension bridge Will Giz allow the Skee-ballers to make this their next outing? Hosts: Leo Laporte, Jeff Jarvis, and Paris Martineau Guest: Tulsee Doshi Download or subscribe to Intelligent Machines at https://twit.tv/shows/intelligent-machines. Join Club TWiT for Ad-Free Podcasts! Support what you love and get ad-free shows, a members-only Discord, and behind-the-scenes access. Join today: https://twit.tv/clubtwit Sponsors: spaceship.com/twit Melissa.com/twit
Brian McLaren talks about his book Life After DoomBRIAN: https://brianmclaren.net/ME:https://www.instagram.com/selfworsthttps://twitter.com/bradicalpearsonPATREON:https://www.patreon.com/selfworstMUSIC BY SHEA BARTEL:https://sheas.art/
Slutt med Doomer-mentaliteten: Lytt heller denne episoden av Rad Crew der vi snakker om Doom: The Dark Ages, og dessuten tar vi for oss 5 av de rareste plattformene originale Doom har blitt portet… Les mer
https://andrewhorval.substack.com/p/doomer
Jay, Karl, and Griff discuss Signal group chats, escalating protests, and what, exactly, is a "Doomer" these days anyway?Find this episode on your favorite podcast player here:https://pod.link/1647010767/Questions? Comments? Email:griff@didnothingwrongpod.com This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.didnothingwrongpod.com/subscribe
(2:00) OK, Doomer — the UN's 29th fear-fest COP29 is underway and pushing $5 TRILLION in "reparations" from industrialized nationsWhy does conservative media think Trump got us "out" of Paris Climate Accord? He didn't. Any single GOP Senator could've shut it, down but they didn'tThe Doomer "rationale" for stealing $5 TRILLION from usLee Zeldin, Trump's EPA pick, was one of the biggest pushers of "Carbon Capture" scam when in CongressEnding windmills grift. Will Trump do it with Executive Order? Can he? Why doesn't Congress cut the funding?(31:23) LIVE comments (41:44) CBDC Tyranny Will Be Outsourced to Public/Private Partnership for Blockchain Carbon TaxesPersonnell IS policy. Look at the personnel running Trump transition and backing himThese people are ESG, green-grifting technocrats who've been pushingCarbon CaptureCarbon TaxesSatellite surveillance and tracking for carbon taxesUse of blockchain to collect and pay carbon taxesThis will evolve into a de facto global system with surveillance, ID, and permissionsA "free market" version of CBDC to "allow" us to use whatever energy we wish as long as we pay them a carbon tax for the privilege and allow them to surveil our every activity.(1:09:16) Lala's "Carbon Tax" Approach Fails — Trump's is FAR more hidden (1:12:17) Why the Doomer Narrative is NONSENSE: Global Warming of 0.29 C (plus/minus 0.04 C) CANNOT BE DETECTED (1:17:09) LIVE comments & questions - will I write a book about InfoWars? (1:23:06) Dr. Michael Yeadon, former Pfizer VP, on the Depopulation TrumpShotsHow we KNOW the mRNA TrumpShots "intentionally designed to injure, kill, and cause infertility"LOCAL GOVERNMENT, Australian mining town, pushes back on the mRNA shots, will it ignite grassroots wildfire?WATCH RFKj on what he was promised by Trump, then transition co-chair Lutnick shutting it down 2 days laterNew cancer protocol using Ivermectin — be aware of fertility issues(1:47:10) LIVE comments (1:53:13) More comments after the break (1:56:39) Ukraine — What is Happening NOW and Why. Will Trump Bring Peace?Why fighting has accelerated after the electionWill Putin take the offer? What is likely to be offered?The Deep State, Pentagon, and MIC is focused on Cold War with China (so is Trump)WATCH Lindsey Graham says Russia can't have $12 TRILLION in natural resources from Ukraine — WE MUST HAVE THEM!(2:12:20) LIVE comments (2:14:46) Trump says He Will Get Rid of Dept of Education — Will That Fix "Pubic" Schools?What would it take to close the Dept of Education?Is it a step in the right direction or a pacifier and false security?Is federal funding of ANY KIND a trap?Our secret weapon against North Korean troops — porn. (And it is the secret weapon against us)Mattel's "Wicked" movie dolls mistakenly list porn site on packaging — OOPS this was supposed to direct kids to the occult, not porn!(2:42:34) LIVE comments (2:45:03) USA Physician Loses License for Talking About ChristCriminalizing speech and religionGrandmother is threatened and then followed home and threatened again by a cop after she criticized a "Pride" event sexualizing childrenIf you would like to support the show and our family please consider subscribing monthly here: SubscribeStar https://www.subscribestar.com/the-david-knight-show Or you can send a donation throughMail: David Knight POB 994 Kodak, TN 37764Zelle: @DavidKnightShow@protonmail.comCash App at: $davidknightshowBTC to: bc1qkuec29hkuye4xse9unh7nptvu3y9qmv24vanh7 Money should have intrinsic value AND transactional privacy: Go to DavidKnight.gold for great deals on physical gold/silver For 10% off Gerald Celente's prescient Trends Journal, go to TrendsJournal.com and enter the code KNIGHTBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-david-knight-show--2653468/support.
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